Nebraska according to my early season own power rankings, should be closer to 20 point favorities. Lay the points -SACRAMENTO ST is 9-21 ATS L/30 as a road underdog of 15.5 to 18 points

Play on the Nebraska Corn Huskers to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 College Hoops Favorites of 10 or more points like the Gators - with four starters returning from last year in the first 10 games of the season, team from a major division 1-A conference against a team from a weak division 1-A conference are 49-17 ATS L/63.

Florida to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Los Angeles Lakers and Minnesota Timberwolves are two young promising  teams . At this point in the season, the Lakers look to be more polished under head coach Luke Walton, and needlessly to say have been impressive of late, winning 5 of their L/6 SU, including last nights shallacking of the Pelicans.  Meanwhile, the Wolves under new HC Thibeadeau were expected to better defensively, under his tutledge, but that is not the case at the moment as the men from the city of lakes,  have now  allowed 119 points in two of its last three games while their opposition have scored more than 102 in all but one tilt and were uncerimoniously dumped on last night by the LA Clippers in a DD loss. Note from a league wide trends perspective - Home teams like the Wolves - a lower tier side  (25% to 40%) playing a team with a winning record, in November games are just 10-31 ATS L/41 overall. MINNESOTA is 4-15 ATS L/19 in home games first half of the season dating back to las season. The Lakers have won their L/3 visits to Minnesota. 

Play on the LA Lakers to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Niagara to cover 1 unit regarding selection

One season after Seton Hall won the Big East Tournament for the first time since 1993 and made its first NCAA Tournament in a decade, the Pirates look to continue their success with four of five starters returning from last year's squad.  Their top scorer for last season, Whitehead is gone to the NBA, but this team is still deep and will be explosive offensively and very stout on defense. The team they are playing today,  C ConnState is just a battering ram for them today, and I very much expect a big DD beatdown. HC Willard is 10-1 ATS L/10 in home games when playing with one or less days rest. 

Seton Hall to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Panthers have won two games in a row since starting the season with only one victory across their first six games. Meanwhile, The Panthers (3-5) are coming off victories against Arizona and the Los Angeles Rams (3-5). But I myself still see alot of problems with Carolina's overall flow this season, espeially QB Newton,  and believe that they may actually end up on the wrong side of the scoreboard this week, vs a very opportunistic KC defense  that can  gain control of the line of scrimmage. HC Rivera said the Panthers appeared to be a fatigued team, something he attributed to coming off the West Coast trip and this factor Im betting puts them at a disadvantage today.  Note: KANSAS CITY is 6-0 ATS L/6 in road games vs. bad defensive teams who give up 24 or more points/game like the Panthers. Chiefs are also 10-0 ATS/U L/10 when visiting a non-divisional opponent with fewer wins.

Key Injury update: [QB] 11/07/2016 - Alex Smith is upgraded to probable Sunday vs. Carolina.

Play on the KC Chiefs to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Bears enter this game vs TB well rested  after a 13-day break. Chicago saw starting quarterback Jay Cutler return for its last game, a surprise Monday night win against the Minnesota Vikings. The team after going through a rash of injuries is healing with more key bodies.The Bucs' defense has allowed a combined 1,087 yards of total offense and 73 points in the last two losses  and while Chicago has not been explosive on offense this season, I expect they may have one of their best efforts of the season this Sunday, vs this swiss cheese TB defense.  TAMPA BAY is 3-11 ATS L/14  in home games against conference opponents.

Play on the Chicago Bears to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Detroit manhandled the Nuggets from the start in a 103-86 win Nov. 5, and matchup man to man very well against them. I know the Nuggets have revenge on board, but thye have some injury concerns, while Motown is fairly healthy. Stan Van Gundys Pistons base their successes and failures on D, and Im betting that what gets them the cover tonight. Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points like Detroit -a top tier defensive team (41.5-43.5%) against a poor defensive team  like the Nuggets -47.5%45.5 are 42-14 ATS L/56 opportunities for a massive 75% conversion rate on the line.

Play on the Detroit Pistons to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Milwuakee after three straight wins, has lost two in a row and will be hungry to get back in the winners column when they face a very inconsistent Grizzlies side, that is having difficulties transforming to a new faster pace system.HC Kidd of the Bucks is 33-14 ATS L/47 after 2 or more consecutive losses. According to my own power rankings the  Bucks matchup very well vs the Grizzlies. 

MILWAUKEE is 10-1 ATS L/11 after 3 consecutive non-conference games over the last few seasons.MEMPHIS is 9-19 ATS L/28 as a road underdog .

Lay the points with the Milwaukee Bucks to cover 1 unit reg selection

The Clippers played in Oklahoma City last night in a hard fought back forth battle that saw them win by a 110-108 count. Im sure their now in in an emotional letdown spot and on tired legs vs a Wolves side that will be primed to upset them. LA CLIPPERS are 8-19 ATS L/27 after scoring 100 points or more 3 straight games dating back to last season.From  aleague wide perspective it must be noted that Any NBA team like the Clippers - a top tier offensive team (102  or more PPG) against a lower tier defensive team allowing (102 or more PPG), after scoring 110 points or more 4 straight games are in favorable play against angle of 42-15 ATS for a big time 74% conversion rate.

Play on the Minnesota Wolves to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Sixers got a proverbial monkey off their back on Friday, when they beat the Indiana Pacers 109-105 in overtime. With some confidence now on their sides, they come into Atlanta looking for two in a row. Previous to that win the 76ers lost a one-point decision to Cleveland on Nov. 5 and a ot loss to the Pacers. As far as matching up well vs Atlanta it must be noted, that 

Philadelhia is 10-1 ATS L/11 vs. top caliber teams - outscoring their opponents by 9+ points/game. Meanwhile, ATLANTA is 27-47 ATS  L/74 in home games when playing against a terrible team (Win Pct. 25% or less).

Play on the Philadelphia 76ers to cover  1 unit reg selection 

Minnesota at 7-2 is not a team that should be taken lightly. Meanwhile, after a promising start to their season, Nebraska has fallen back to earth with a thud, and have lost two straight. After last weeks embarrassing massive DD loss to Ohio State, these young men come home demoralized.  Not a good spot for Nebraska this week. 

MINNESOTA is 9-1 ATS L/10after allowing 40 or less rushing yards last game. Nebraksas HC 

Riley is 2-13 ATS L/15 in home games versus good rushing teams - averaging 200 or more  rushing yards/game .

CFB Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points like the Gophers - outrushing their opponents by 1.25 or more yards/carry on the season, after allowing 75 or less rushing yards last game are a bankroll expanding 31-8 ATS. 

Minnesota to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Coming off a bye week, the Razorbacks put forth their vrery best effort of the season in a 31-10 beatdown of Florida , while LSU enters off a physical 10-0 battering and beating at the hands of the Crimson tide last week. One team has momentum , while the other is in a letdown situation. 

LSU is 0-6 ATS L/6 in road games when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons. Arkansas has won 2 straight meetings in this series.

Take the points with Arkansas 1 unit reg selection 

The 5-4 Lakers go against the 1-8 Pelicans at the Smoothie King Center Saturday.After defeating the Milwaukee Bucks 112-106 on the road Thursday night for their first win of the season after eight consecutive losses, I expect the Pelcians to fall flat on their faces here again tonight. Meanwhile, the Lakers after winning 4 of their L/5  look to be in a top tier flow situation. Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 like the Lakers  - off an upset win over a division rival as an underdog, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 33-9 ATS.

Play on the LA Lakers to cover 1 unit reg selection 

St.Joes to cover 1 unit reg selection

Kent State to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Ohio State rolled Nebraska last week, by a huge DD margin, Now after satisfying their egos, and upping their national ranking ,they may start a little slow this week against a Maryland side that has covered 4 of their L/5 as 28 or more point home dogs. You have to remember, that HC Urban Meyer and company have a Michigan State program that ruined their run for a National Championship last season, on board and will be in a look ahead situation. 
MARYLAND is 13-4 ATS L/17 in home games after a loss by 28 or more points, which qualifies after last weeks 59-3 loss to Michigan.

Play on the Maryland Terps to cover 1 unit reg selection

This is a big Sun Belt game, for App State (7-2) and (Troy 7-1). Big games are won with D, and nothing changes here today. Troy is offensively explosive , but this game will be won in the trenches. The Mountaineers have allowed just 16.9 ppg, (17 ppg on the road). 

Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 App State are 33-10 ATS - solid team - outscoring opponents by 10 or more points/game, after scoring 31 points or more in 3 straight games. Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 like App State - good rushing team - averaging 4.75 or more rushing yards/carry, after gaining 6.5 or more rushing yards/attempt last game have cashed 31 of the L/39 times for a huge 80% conversion rate vs the spread.

App State to cover 1 unit reg selection

Alabama is off a huge game against LSU last week and won a hard fought 10-0 defensive slugfest. These young men are beaten and battered, and will also be in an emotional let down state. Meanhile, Miss State showed their ability to hang with the big boys and took a win from Texas A&M last week. It must be noted that Miss State is 6-0 ATS in their L/6 as dogs of 23 points or more.

Road underdogs Miss State are 72-33 ATS L/95 opportunities - in a game involving two excellent rushing teams (4.8 YPR or more ), after gaining 6 or more rushing yards/attempt last game. 

Take the points with Miss state 1 unit reg selection

Texas for their second straight week, got by an opponent in a shoot out, allowing a combined 80 points in those two games . With that said, its become obvious to me that HC Charlie Strong defense is atrocious, and now going against a quality D, and balanced team, like West Virginia the Longhorns are in big trouble. The Mountaineers own the best defense in the Big 12, and are 70 YPG superior to the Longhorns porous D. It must be noted Charlie Strongs program has covered only 3 of 12 at home off back to back wins, and have failed to cover 5 straight under those perimeters. 

TEXAS is 0-7 ATS L/7 after outgaining opp by 125 or more total yards in their previous game.Holgorsen is 2-11 ATS L/13 in road games versus excellent offensive teams - averaging 450 plus yards/game.

Play on West Virginia to cover 1 unit reg selection

The linesmakers have installed Tennessee as big favs. It may have come as shock how big the opening line was, but it was not for me. I always like an edge if I can find one, but laying points here in this tilt is not an issue for me. It must be noted Rockytop is 30-1 SU in this series and 23-8 ATS and are 19-2 ATS L/21 when they are not favored by 17 or more  points.  Stoops is 10-20 ATS  as an underdog as the coach of KENTUCKY losing SU by an average of 16.2 ppg.

Play on the Tennesse Vols in a Blowout win- 1 unit reg selection 

SF to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The up and down Sacarmento Kings enter this game off a loss last night to the Lakers as favs, after two straight wins and are finally starting to pay attention to playing better D, which will aid them against a run and gun Portland opponent tonight, that was smashed by DDs vs the Clippers last time out. I know that the Kings have head a heavy schedule of late, but it must be noted that  NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points like Sacramento  - extremely tired team - playing 9 or more games in 14 days, on Friday nights are a bankroll expanding 30-8 ATS L/39.SACRAMENTO is 34-16 ATS L/50 off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a home favorite.PORTLAND is 71-102 ATS L/179 as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points. 

Play on the Sacramento Kings to cover 1 unit reg selection 

UNLV to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Hawaii to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Tulane to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Navy to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Tulsa to cover  1 unit reg selection 

Eastern Kentucky to cover 1 unit reg selection 

UC Davis to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Cleveland Cavaliers were in the nation's capital Thursday for a White House meeting with President Barack Obama. Hanging around the capital since then in a tense environment may not serve them well in this spot vs a Washington side hungry for an upset of the league champs. The Celtics looked off their game, on election night, and lost a  110-106 decsion to the Hawks. Washington incidently beat Atlanta last week by a 95-92 count.  Washington has covered 3 of the L/4 meetings between these two teams as hosts and Im betting on the points being golden again in this spot.  

Play on the Washington Wizards to cover  1 unit reg selection 

NC State to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 MY early season Power rankings suggest a DD, Temple win.

Temple to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Drexel to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Pittsburgh to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Last season Marquettes Ellenson led the Golden Eagles and the Big East in rebounding (9.7rpg) and finished third in the league in scoring (17ppg), but he left for the NBA in the off season and is now with Detroits D league team. This Marquette squad will still be tough on the interior, but major flaws remain from a 8-10 Big East team from a year ago. Meanwhile, despite of Vandy also losing some players they have added quality talent, and now have a top tier coach in Drew, who will guide this team to a upward projectory. This team is being played on a neutral court, but with Ellenson gone Vandy has the definite edge. 

Vanderbilt Commodores to cover 1 unit reg selection

Arizona State (5-4, 2-4) has lost three games in a row and four of five as  injuries ravaged the team at multiple positions and most critically at the quarterback spot, . The Sun Devils played without 10 starters in a loss a 54-35 loss at Oregon in their last game Oct. 29.Sophomore quarterback Manny Wilkins, who led the Sun Devils to 66 points over Texas Tech and 51 against California in September victories, has been in an and out of the lineup while dealing with ankle and shoulder injuries since. He was back in practice Sunday and appears set to return to the starting lineup, and will give a boost to his team this Thursday night vs a Utah side that despite of being a very competitive PAC12 opponent,  but has also been inconsistent. 

Whittingham is 9-26 ATS L/35  as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points as the coach of UTAH. ARIZONA ST is 6-0 ATS L/6 in home games after allowing 6.25 or more yards/play in their previous game.

Graham is 9-1 ATS L/10 in home games after failing to cover the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games as the coach of ARIZONA ST.es are 1-7 ATS as road favorites since joining the conference. The Sun Devils are also 8-3 ATS as conference home dogs and 7-3 ATS with rest.  ASU is also 11-1 ATS L/12 in this series.

Play on Arizona State to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Denver Nuggets did not make the play offs last season , but they played well against teams that were considered contenders and did make the post season. Denver isn't intimidated by the Warriors' imposing roster and beat the Golden State Warriors at home  and lost a hard fought battle as visitors on the Dubs own court in OT, covering both times. The Nuggets actually matchup well vs the Warriors, especially in  the Mile High City where the young legs of Nuggets can keep pace with a run and gun visitor that will feel the effects of the  thin air. Denver has won 2 of the L/3 meetings here. 

NBA Home teams vs. the money line like the Nuggets  - in a game involving two average defensive teams (43.5-45.5%), hot shooting team - 2 straight games making 50% plus  of their shots are 44-8 SU.

Take the points with Denver 1 unit reg selection 

The New Orleans Pelicans after starting their season with a ugly 0-8 record have public bettors turning against them. But in my usual contrarian fashion, Im recommending we take the lowly Pelicans here against the spread. I know the Pelicans are playing without Tyreke Evans and Quincy Poindexter and J'Rue Holiday but their replacements are more than adequate. Meanwhile, the Bucks who are 4-3 SU on the season, are a over rated team, that is getting far to much respect from the lines-makers.The two teams met earlier this month in New Orleans with Milwaukee holding on late for a 117-113 victory to snap a 14-year losing streak in the Bayou, and both look evenly matched , with one side, the Pelcians being extremely desperate.  The Bucks are  from a solid group, as  they are allowing 18.1 points per game on 16.1 turnovers. Their struggles was evident again Sunday as Milwaukee gave up 21 points on 27 turnovers. Truth is this Bucks side cannot be trusted as favorites. NBA Home teams like the Bucks  - a low level foul drawing team - attempting 21 or less free throws/game, in November games are 119-185 for a go against conversion rate of 61% on the line.NEW ORLEANS is 16-5 ATS L/21 after 8 or more consecutive losses.MILWAUKEE is 4-15 ATS L/19 in home games after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games .

Play on the New Orleans Pelicans to cover 1 unit reg selection

When the Chicago Bulls (4-4) visit the Miami Heat (2-4) on Thursday,  alot of focus will be on Dwyane Wade, the shooting guard,  and 12-time NBA All-Star and three-time NBA champion. His teammates will primed to support him in his quest to take down his former team. "I'm looking forward to it," Wade told ESPN after the Bulls beat the Orlando Magic on Monday night. "I'm looking forward to playing in the environment I played in for 13 years and competing against guys I've played with and have relationships with." So when Dwayne Wade is keyed up, there are few players in the game that can control a court like him. Considering the Heat have lost 2 of 3 home games already, their weak favorites here considering the circumstances.

Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 like Chicago - extremely tired team - playing their 5th game in 7 days, in November games are 50-18 ATS.

Play on the Chicago Bulls to cover 1 unit reg selection 

San Antonio ,  was almost perfect at home last season when it won 40 of its 41 regular-season games at the AT&T Center. but early this season they have already  dropped two in a row at home - including an ugly 116-92 setback to the Los Angeles Clippers on Saturday.Meanwhile Houston has looked decent this season, winning 2 of their L/3 while covering 4 of their L/6 including a 4-1 ATS mark in their L/5 away games. With that said, lets take the points with the motivated and much improved visitor.

Play on the Houston Rockets to cover 1 unit reg selection 

I really like Portland and believe their under rated, but todays line in this Phoenix game is off according to my own power rankings. One of Phoenix's two wins this season came against the Trail Blazers, when guard Eric Bledsoe's 3-pointer at the buzzer in overtime plunged through the net for a dagger like 118-115 victory.  With that said, the Suns matchup well against Portland, especially with their  star guard Lillard battling a thumb and ankle injuries.  

Suns are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Suns are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games.

 The Suns won three of the past four meetings.Trail Blazers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.Suns are 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Portland.Suns are 11-5 ATS in the last 16 meetings.Underdog is 10-4 ATS.

Play on the Phoenix Suns to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Cleveland swept Atlanta in the Eastern Conference semifinals last spring and despite of the addition of Dwight Howard to the  Hawks lineup, Im betting the defending champs are still the superior side and will control play in the interior. 

NBA underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points like the Hawks - a decent  shooting team (45.5-47.5%) against an average defensive team (43.5-45.5%), dominant rebounding side (5.5 or more reb/game) against an average rebounding team (+/-3 reb/game)

The Cavaliers is 17-6 ATS L/23 in home games against Southeast division opponents by an average margin of victory coming by 16 ppg.   Hawks are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 road games and have failed to cover  and lost6 straight as a road dog by an average of  11.7 ppg. .Hawks are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 vs. NBA Central. Hawks are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Cavaliers are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 home games.Hawks are 0-5 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Cleveland.Favorite is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

Play on the Cleveland Cavaliers to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Chicago Bulls averaged 113.7 points and outscored its opposition by 17.7 points in the first three contests but is now slumping in a big way as is evident by scoring 99.3 points and being outscored by 12.3 points in the last three tilts, which was culminated with a ugly 111-94 loss at Indiana on Saturday. Meanwhile, the Orlando Magic are playing at the opposite end of the proverbial performance spectrum, having won 3 straight games, after starting out with three straight losses. With these teams trending in the opposite direction, Im betting on taking  the points ending up being golden here. 

Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points like the Bulls - after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games, tired team - playing 6 or more games in 10 days are 22-51 ATS L/73. 

CHICAGO is 2-16 ATS L/18 against Southeast division opponents and s 8-20 ATS  L/28 in home games when playing 6 or more games in 10 days. Bulls are 6-25 ATS in their last 31 vs. NBA Southeast.Magic are 7-0 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Chicago. Magic are 13-3 ATS in the last 16 meetings.Underdog is 20-6 ATS in the last 26 meetings.

Play on the Chicago Bulls to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Everyone loves and underdog and side on the rise like the Oakland Raiders , especially when playing against a defending Super Bowl Champion. The Raiders , thanks to some luck and the arm of star QB Carr have been rolling. However, with expectations so high, Im actually expecting gridiron karma to catchup with the Black and Silver in the Black-hole this Sunday after winning despite of a record 23 penalties. The Raiders are 0-7 ATS L/7 off back to back away games, and 3-13 ATS off back to back wins. Meanwhile, the Broncos will be wide awake this week with the media casting the Raiders as upset candidates in this spot. Denver has won 9 straight in this series, and 18-4 ATS on the road vs the AFC West and a perfect 12-0 ATS vs above .500 or more side. 

Play on Denver to cover 1 unit reg selection

The Tennessee Titans are coming off a spirited home win, but they have not dealt well with success in the past as is evident by going 1-7 ATS L/8 as an underdog off a win. The T Titans a have also lost 14 of their L/18 away games and and failed to cover 13 of them scoring an average of just 17.7 ppg in the process. Tennessee is also 0-8-1 ATS L/9 in this series and 0-5 SU/ATS at San Diego. Meanwhile, the Chargers have over -powered AFC South opponents in the past going 14-2 SU at home and 15-1 ATS. It must also be noted Tennessee has been unable to take advantage of bad defensive teams like the Chargers in the past failing to cover 17 of their L/20 opportunities if that side allowed an average of 350 plus yards per tilt. 

Play on the San Diego Chargers to cover 1 unit reg selection

The San Francisco 49ers are desperate and looking to end a six-game straight up and against the spread losing streak Sunday afternoon when they take on Drew Brees and the surging New Orleans Saints at Levi's Stadium. New Orleans is 3-1 SU in its past four games but are only a  road favorite for just the second time since Week 16 of the 2014 season. The  caveat comes via the Saints ,  2-9 ATS L/11 record as away chalk ,  and  1-8 ATS mark  as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5. The Saints  have also had series problems vs the 49ers failing to cover 5 straight meetings.  Meanwhile,  the Niners are off a bye week, and will be fresh for this tilt. Also despite of Drew Brees and company areial exploits of late, they do face a SF pass Defense, that has been in great form this season, allowing just 222 yards per game which ranks them 7th in the league. Bottom line: What Im betting happens today is that   SF will take advantage of the  Saints  29th  ranked   pass D that has allowed 286.7 ypg, and out enough points on the board to make this a scarey road adventure for the more often than not inconsistent Saints . Yes folks the Niners  have the ability to  keep the Saints guessing by opening the lanes up  thanks to the expected  addition of now healthy RB Carlos Hyde who has 6 rushing TDs so far this season in limited action.

 From a league wide perspective, NFL teams Underdogs or pick like SF - after 6 or more consecutive losses, in the second half of the season are a long term good bet as is evident by a 62% ATS conversion rate using extensive sample size of 216 games.

Play on the SF 49ers to cover 1 unit reg selection

The Memphis Grizzlies and Portland Trail Blazers both enter Sunday's matchup at the FedEx Forum with 3-3 records , but my own power rankings suggest the Blazers are the superior team. I have matained since last season that the Blazers were extremely under rated and nothing has changed my opinion since. I also believe Damian Lillard is one of a kind star in the NBA , and his numbers make this evident.  Portland's star guard  ranks third in the NBA in scoring at 34.2 points a game and became the first player since O'Neal in 1994 to score at least 27 points in each of his first six games. After analyzing the Grizzlies early this season, I feel their development under a new  uptempo system , will hinder them, and today, against this type of a opponent they are at a disadvantage. Note: Portland is 31-14 ATS versus poor shooting teams - making 43% or less of their shots.

Injury update: Mike Conely questionable vs Blazers ( Achilles) if he does play he will be less than 100%.

Play on the Portland Trailblazers to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Jets look to be ressurected from the dead, after winning their L/2 SU/ATS. Meanwhile, the Fins are also winning and took back to back wins. However, the Fish don;t seem to deal well with success going 0-9 ATS as hosts of consecutive wins vs a division opponent coming off a victory and 0-5 ATS L/5 in this series. Finally the Jets are 22-4 ATS as divison dogs against opponents off a ATS win, which includes a sparkling 15-0 ATS mark as 3.5 or more  point pups. From  aleague wide NFL perspective Favorites of 3.5 to 10 points like Miami - after having won 2 out of their last 3 games, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a losing team are just 26-64 ATS .

Play on the NY Jets to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Orlando Magic are just what  Wizards need to cash a second straight ticket and right their proverbial early season ship.  The Wizards are off an impressive win vs a tough Atlanta squad last time out and now have momentum. Washington has beaten Orlando 8 straight times, in every imaginable way. I know the Magic have said in the media that enough is enough, and their going to end this now, but hey while words are powerful and thoughts can manifest, Im betting on a rip from a Rolling Stones song being key here. You Don't Always get what you want. I also don't put much faith in the fact that the two wins the Magic have garnered have come against Philadelphia, and Sacramento. 

Even if John Wall misses tonights game, I very much like the Wizards chances at covering an exageratted line. 

Play on the Washington wizards to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Both TCU and Baylor are off heart breaking losses, and will be primed to bounce back. Baylor now with no chance for a undefeated season may be a little deflated, and in a look ahead sandwich spot, with the mighty Oklahoma Sooners coming up next.  Meanwhile, Gary Patterson HC of the Frogs is no pushover as he is 16-4 ATS as a dog of 7 or more points and has covered 7 in a row under these spread peremiters.  

TCU is 5-1 L/6 ATS here at Baylor and look like solid underdogs in this spot. TCU is 10-1 ATS L/11 vs. excellent punt coverage teams, allowing  7.5 or less yards per return. Road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points like the Horned Frogs - in conference games, off a upset loss as a double digit home favorite 41-13 ATS.

Play on TCU to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Both these teams are struggling, and both I am sure look at this game as an opportunity fir a rare win. With that said look for this tilt to be hard fought , and for the points to be golden. Florida Atlantic previous to their last game, lost by 6, 5,2,4 points, so they have been very competitive. It must be noted that the invading Owls own a12-1 ATS mark as a dogs against foes off a loss, like Rice . Also all College Football Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points like Florida Atlantic  - with a horrible scoring defense - allowing 35 or more points/game, after scoring 9 points or less last game have bounced back in a huge way covering 24 of the L/29 times.( W.Kentucy beat Florida Atlantic 52-3 last time out)

Play on Florida Atlantic to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Syarcuse head coach Dino Babers is known for running an offensive system that's all about tempo, quarterback development and the passing game and nothing has changed during his tenure at Syracuse so far. Syracuse is well rested coming off an open date with a 500 record and may provide more of test for Clemson the linesmkaers may anticipate. I expect Syracuse spreads it out, and bombs away from the outset. Yes, I know Clemson is the superior side, but 27 plus points is a boatload full of digits , considering the Tigers usually do just enough to get their wins, and with an objective of staying healthy for the long run to their championship aspirtions. The Tigers have won 5 of their 7 games  by 7 points or less, and have had a tenedncy to look inconsistent in the past. From a league wide perspective , College Football Road underdogs of 21.5 or more points like the Cuse- after outgaining opp by 225 or more total yards in their previous game, with 8 or more offensive starters including the QB returning are 25-7 ATS for a 78% conversion rate on the line.SYRACUSE is 6-0 ATS L/6 vs. excellent punt coverage teams, allowing or less  7.5 yards per return. CLEMSON is 1-12 ATS L/13 after playing 3 straight conference games.CLEMSON is 0-7 ATS L/7 in weeks 10 through 13 dating back 3 seasons. Syracuse has won the L/2 meetings in this series SU. 

Syracuse to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Demon Deacons signal-caller Clawson is completing just 54.9 percent of his throws with just four touchdowns against seven interceptions on the season, thats not a good omen against a Virginia defense that is improving .I'm a fan of HC Mendenhall and I can see his team is getting better as his time on the sideliness progresses forward as was evident against  Louisville last time out in a 32-25 loss.  Virginia is 7-0 ATS L/7 on the road. Also from a league wide trends perspective - It must be noted that  Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 like the Cavaliers  - after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread, a lower tier team, winning 25% to 40% of their games on the season are 32-12 L/44 oportunities for a 73% conversion rate.

Play on Virginia to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Im not a big fan of  Charlie Strong football and it seems to me more often than not hes his own worst enemy. It  also seems hes on the hot seat on a consistent basis, and despite of talent level and top tier recruiting nothing seems come easy for this Longhorns football program of late, with close losses and defeats becoming the norm. After an emotional win vs Baylor (35-34) last time out in  a  game the Horns were fortunate to win, after being on the wrong side of the stats sheet, they now have the tall task as being listed as favorites on the road against an explosive Texas Tech side behind QB Mahomes ( expected to play and upgraded for Saturday). HC Strong of Texas has failed to cover 13 of his L/20 after a SU/aTS win and 3-7 ATS if that team was 5-0 or better. So what Im saying here is that , not even a  Matthew Mcconaughey motivational speech and heart thumping ritual song ie ( Wolf of Wall Street) will save the Horns or Strong from themselves.

Play on Texas Tech to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Notre Dame took advantage of a emotionally downtrodden Miami Fl side last week, and took a  20-0 lead vs the Canes before showing their 2016 inconsitencies allowing 27 unanswered points . Than  finally the football gods allowed them an opportunity for redemption by getting a late FG to win a ugly 30-27 event. Now Notre Dame 4-11 ATS off a win and 0-7 ATS L/7 on a neutral or home field under those peremiters situation will now  take on Navys triple option offense, that has gained more than 1148 yards in their L/2 games.

Play on Navy to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Boise State perfect season is over after last weeks heart breaking loss and now a hang over is at hand, against a San Jose State team that has the ability on any given Sunday to hang with a deflated opponent. It must be noted the Broncos are just 2-17 ATS L/19 as a conference  favorite of more than 15 points on the Blue Carpet and have failed to cover 5 of their L/6 in a week day game. And yes I know how bad a D, the Spartans have, but Boise State has not exactly been lights out against sides like this recently going,  0-7 ATS  vs. poor passing defenses - allowing 8 or more pass yards per attempt .

Play on San Jose State to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Dallas has lost their first 4 games, and lack off offense has been the culprit in their L/3 as they faild to eclipse the 100 point plateau. The Mavs are ranked 25 th in offensive output in the league and 23rd in offensive effeciency and 23rd in defensive rating.  The once mighty Mavs are now in rebuild and  Dirk Notwitzki is getting older  and more injury prone and can no longer be counted on to lead the way all by himself, despite of what the media would have you believe. Meanwhile, Portland is 2-3 on the season, and own the leagues 4th most potent offense. The D, has let them down, but they are more than capable of correcting this, as they rank amongst the most under rated teams in the NBA.

PORTLAND is 13-4 ATS L/17 after having lost 3 of their last 4 games DALLAS is 17-32 ATS  versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts .NBA Favorites like the Portland Blazers - off an upset loss as a road favorite, first 6 games of the season, playoff team from last season who lost 4 or more of their last 5 games are 30-8 ATS for a powerful 79% conversion rate .

Play on the Portland to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Clippers enter this contest with the leagues top defense allowing an average of just 91 ppg and the best defensive rating in the league. That bad news for a Memphis Grizzlies side that ranks 26th in offense, despite of a new style that wants to show case a little bit more run and gun action. The Clippers are a tremednous two way team, and destined for bigger and better things. After alot of post season debacles, you can see they are now a ruthless/grizzled type of side, that does not easily get flustered, not even on the road . It must be noted that  LA CLIPPERS are 13-3 ATS  as a road favorite of 3.5 to 6 points over the last few seasons, with the average margin of victory coming by 10.5 ppg. 

Play on the LA Clippers to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Phoenix comes in here as a live underdog acording to my own numbers and stats and power ranking evalulations. NBA ,Home favorites like the Pelicans are  15-45 ATS  - after 2 or more consecutive losses, terrible team, winning 25% or less of their games on the season. Also NBA home teams with a lower tier Defense, allowing 103 or more points per game after allowing 100 or more point in two straight tilts like the Pelicans   are  5-23 ATS. Phoenix gets the nod here according to current trends and my early season power rankings.

Play on the Phoenix Suns to cover 1 unit reg selection

QB Rush has been the catalyst behind the  Chippewas’ offense this season. The Charlotte Mich., native has already thrown for 2,533 yards and 21 touchdowns -  he owns two 300-yard passing games and he shelled Virginia for 402 yards in September. The Chippewas enter this game 25th in the FBS in passing yards per game at 283.4  and will be Im betting be able to keep pace with a suddently explosive Miami O offense.  The Chippewas’ defense is vastly under rated and some times disrepsected, but that would be a mistake, and Im betting will be the difference maker when all the chips are down. The unit is tied for second in the FBS in defensive touchdowns with four. Central Michigan’s defense has 11 interceptions (tied 13th in the nation), with nine of those coming via  the secondary -  Central Michigan,according to my own power rankings is the superior  side and has been more consistent throughout the course of the season.  

Play on Central Michigan to cover 1 unit reg selection LATE STEAM 

Patrick Cousins is a walking talking freak show and time bomb. But , hey the guy can play basketball, so I guess he can be given a break, since we are talking basketball. The talented star is averaging 26.8 points per game and 9.6 rebounds per game. The Kings are 4.6 points per 100 possessions better with Cousins on the floor than their opponents, according to NBA.com's stats database. They score a team-best 109.9 points per 100 possessions with Cousins on the floor. Their season average is 100.9. Witht hat said, the NBA top big man Cousins should do very well today, vs a revamped Orlando team that I have downgraded. The Magic Magic are giving up 106.6 points per game and dont matchup well vs the Kings. It must be noted Orlando is off a ugly close win vs the Sixers and  the Kings are off  loss. However, the Kings play into a league wide trend, that suggests they have an edge here as All  NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 like Sacramento - off a road loss against opponent off a road win by 3 points or less are 23-4 ATS in their follow up game for a powerful 85% conversion rate.

Play on the Sacramento Kings to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Dwyane Wade and the new-look Chicago Bulls with 7 new players put their perfect start on the line when they visit the Boston Celtics in an early season rematch Wednesday night. Last week in Chicago, the Bulls (3-0) scored a 105-99 victory over the Celtics (2-1) and look like they matchup very well vs the Celtics. The Bulls have looked very cohesive, for not having played with each other, and if things remain intact, their chemistry looks like the key to more of their current success on the court.

Bulls are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Celtics are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 vs. NBA Central.

Play on the Chicago Bulls to cover 1 unit reg selection 

New Orleans enters this game in desperation mode, after starting their current campaign at 0-4 SU. The biright spot is star Anthony Davis who  is averaging 37 points and 13 rebounds a game. the key problem for Pelicans is that they have allowed 111 points a game. HC Gentry was livid after the last game, which is rare for guy with a  calm cool character. Now with a fire lit under their behinds, I expect the Pelicans come out here, with all guns blazing. Underdog is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings.Grizzlies are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 vs. NBA Southwest.Grizzlies are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.

Play on the New Orleans Pelicans to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Golden State Warriors this Tuesday night. Last season, the Blazers matched up well vs the Dubs , in the play offs despite of losing. I continue to rank Portland higher than the linesmakers and very much like their chances to cover in this spot. Note: GS Durant was injured in his last game, but will play, but is less than 100% and has been known to be injury prone, and may have his minutes limited. 

Golden State is 15-30 ATS  after 2 straight games where both teams .PORTLAND is 20-9 ATS after allowing 110 points or more over the last 2 seasons.( LR: Port 115- Denver 113) Golden State is  0-3 ATS so far this season. 

From a league wide perspective nba  teams like Golden State- off a no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite, first 6 games of the season, playoff team from last season who lost 4 or more of their last 5 games have failed to cover 24 of the L/29 times for go against 83% ATS conversion rate. 

Play on the Portland Trailblazers to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Although the Vikings defense appears to have a decisive edge against the Bears offense, the same does not hold true on the opposite side of the ball. Minnesota is No. 31 in total offense with 299.2 yards per game, and Chicago is No. 12 in total defense with 350.4 yards allowed per game. According to my own data this game should me much closerthan the linesmakers estimate, and I will not be surprised if the Bad News Bears, give causaul NFL watchers some surprising headlines come Tuesday morning. The Vikings are  8-22 ATS L/30 in road games vs. poor offensive teams - scoring 17 or less points/game.CHICAGO is 6-0 ATS L/6 after 3 or more consecutive losses. 

Play on the Chicago Bears to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Golden State Warriors have some questions marks surrounding them, from my own perspective. After closely watching sports since I was maybe 6 years old, (48 years) it was evident that some teams with star laden lineups never materialized into great teams, and some remained very average. Now Im not saying this is the case with the Warriors, but with the addition of Durant in the off season, could the possibility of over crowded ego situation hamper the Warriors. Their loaded , but so far this season, their flow seems a little off especially defensively in transistion. They were beaten up on by San Antonio 129-100 in their home opener and despite of beating New Orleans last time out, 122-114 they still don't have the feel of a championship team at the moment. I know its early, and Im not suggesting anything apocalyptic, but they have given me food for thought. With that said, today here on the road, the Dubs are being asked to cover a DD spread, and in the past this may have looked like a positive ATS situation for them. But Im betting not today, vs a young talented Suns team that clobbered the Sacramento Kings in their first game and than lost to Oklahoma City in a hard fought OT battle. Last season, the  Warriors crushed Phoenix by 19 and 25 points in their first two meetings, but then had to battle hard for very tough eight- and seven-point victories later in the season. You might be saying, but now the Warriors have Durnat in their lineup. But it must be noted , he's recorded double-figure rebounds just once in three matchups last season vs the Suns. Look for the Suns Booker and Bledsoe to be instrumental in a cover for the home side today.

Play on the Phoenix Suns to cover 1` unit reg selection 

Green Bay Packers Aaron Rogers broke the 300 yard plaeau last time out after 15 straight games and looks to be back in tune ,The Packers offense piled up 406 yards and controlling the ball for almost 40 minutes against Chicago.Meanwhile, Atlanta's defense ranks 27th in scoring, 26th in yards allowed and 31st in passing yards allowed.Matt Ryan has failed to cover 5 straight vs NFC North opponents. Last year HC Quinn and company started out 5-0 before finsihing 3-8 run and after back to back losses it loooks like the Falcons are headed in that direction again. after a 4-1 start

.ATLANTA is 0-6 ATS L/6 in home games vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 61% or better. ATLANTA is 1-10 ATS L/10 as a favorite. 

Play on the Green Packers to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Hawaii has put alot of air miles on their bodies so far this season, and after pulling off the upset of Air force last week come home on tired legs and in a letdown scenario. Meanwhile, New Mexico owns the No.1 rush offense in the country that allows opposing  run offenses to cruise to 259 ypg . New Mexico gets the nod.  Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (NEW MEXICO) - good rushing team - averaging 4.75 or more rushing yards/carry, after gaining 6.5 or more rushing yards/attempt last game are 30-8 ATS L/38 opportunities.NEW MEXICO is 20-8 ATS ( in road games versus good offensive teams - averaging 5.9 or more yards/play. HAWAII is 0-8 ATS L/8 in home games after playing 2 straight conference games. HAWAII is 0-7 ATS L/7 in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest. New Mexico has won 6 straight meetings in this series and 3-0 L/3 visits to Hawaii. 

New Mexico to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Nuggets are loaded with young talent, but they're developing almost all of it simultaneously and their will be growing pains. Denver, did pull off a win as a road underdog in their first game of the season, but are 2-11 ATS L/13 off a road win and 8-20 ATS L/28 after playing as a road underdog. From a league wide trends perspective: NBA teams of-3 to +3 line of a upset win like the Nuggets are 95-153 ATS in the followup game for a lowly 38% ATS conversion rate. Meanwhile visiting Portland is a very under rated team, and I expect they build on their 44 win season last year and a play off series. They lost as underdogs to the Clippers in a hotly contested home opener, but are now 31-18 ATS after playing a game as underdog. Bottom line: Portland is the superior side, and have proven that in 7 of their L/8 meetings.

Play on the Portland Blazers to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Florida State is quietly playing better  football of late, allowing just one TD in their L/6 quarters of play. Now in good form and being pegged as home underdogs vs Clemson, I feel strongly about pulling the trigger and backing them as home pups in a place where they have won 23 of their l/24 games. Consdering Clemson is just 0-6 ATS as road favorite of less than a TD, my recommendation here is to take the points with the host puppies. 

Florida State to cover 1 unit reg selection

 Utep barely got a win last week in a exhausting 5 OT affair vs UTSA. Now  beat up and in an emotional letdowns scenario, they go against a Dominion side fresh off a humiliating loss to explosive Western Kentucky. With redemption a key motivator here this week for a visitor with a chip on their shoulders the home side is in trouble. It must be noted that UTEP has allowed an average of 39.2 ppg at home this season. College Football underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (UTEP) - a bad team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a winning record 17-46 ATS L/63.UTEP is 4-17 ATS  in home games after having lost 4 out of their last 5 games.

Old Dominion to cover 1 unit reg selection

Three highly-regarded newcomers for the New York Knicks will be  play tonight for the first time in NY as Knicks host the Memphis Grizzlies Saturday at Madison Square Garden.Center Joakim Noah and shooting guard Courtney Lee  and former MVP Derrick Rose bring their show to the big apple. There is alot of hope , among the pundits , in NY for a resurgence of the franchises fortunes and this is a big opportunity to slowly but surely move in that direction. Im even expecting the lackadaisical star Carmello Anthony to put on a rare game face , and help lead his team past the visiting Grizzlies. 

Play on the NY Knicks to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Tigers are coming off an impressive 56-3 dismantling of an Arkansas team that dealt the Rebels a 34-30 setback the week before. Auburn averaged 9.5 ypc on the ground last time out.  Thats not a good omen for a Ole Miss side that ranks  113th out of 128 FBS teams against the run and don't rank any better than 70th nationally in pass defense, total defense or scoring defense. Auburns D allows just 14 ppg. This is a mismatch based on current perfromances and worth a wager on the visitor as short chalk. Malzahn is 9-0 ATS L/9 after 3 or more consecutive wins against the spread and is s 10-1 ATS  in road games vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 58% or worse like Ole Miss. 

Play on Auburn to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Badgers are brusied and battered after taking on three straight tough opponents, Michigan, Ohio State and Iowa.  Today against a under appreciated 7-0 Nebraska side, that has covered 4 of their L/5 as conference dog of 8 points or less Wisconsin is at a disadvantage. Favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (WISCONSIN) - in a game involving two good rushing teams - both outrushing opponents by 50+ YPG, after allowing 100 or less rushing yards last game are 20-43 ATS L/46 opportunities. Nebraskas coach Riley is 24-7 ATS in road games in October games in all games he has coached and is 9-1 ATS  in road games vs. mistake free teams like Wisconsin - 42 or less penalty yards per game in all games.

Play on  Nebraska to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Texas Techs offense is so explosive its rediculous. I know their D, is atrocious, but after their 66-59 loss last week to Oklahoma, Im betting facing the Frogs offense wont be such a big task. It must also be noted TCUs offense has been stagnant of late, scoring 24 points vs a rebuilding Kansas program, and scoring just 10 points vs W.Virginia las t week, while losing 3 straight stat sheet battles. Im betting the Frogs weak favorites vs a Texas Tech side that is offensively tenacious and  hungry. TCU is 0-6 ATS  when playing on a Saturday this season.TEXAS TECH is 8-0 ATS off 2 straight losses against conference rivals and is 21-9 ATS L/30 off a home loss against a conference rival.

Texas Tech to cover 1 unit reg selection

The unbeaten and fourth-ranked Washington Huskies are enjoying their best ranking since the end of the 2000 season, but they are heading into what their coach calls their toughest test of the season.Utah senior running back Joe Williams Im betting is the catalyst this week for the Utes,  as he is coming out of a five-week retirement due to injuries, rushing for 179 yards against the Beavers and a school-record 332 vs. the Bruins. The coaching staff convinced him to come back after other injuries ravaged the position.UTAH is 36-19 ATS  as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 pointsUtah is 7-1 this year and their only loss came by 5 points at California this season, and game they had a chance to win late. It must be noted that HC Whittingham in 72 games has only lost 6 times by 10 or more points in Salt Lake City. The Utes are 12-3 ATS as double-digit dogs – 3-0 SU the last three –including 3-0 ATS at home.

Play on Utah to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Baylor has yet to be tested this season, and now they go against a desperate Texas team that is trying ressurrect their season from a scrape heap of over estimated enthusiasm. Texas junior running back D'Onta Foreman has been a key cog in the Longhorns' offense and ranks third in the country with an average of 142.5 rushing yards per game. Foreman has carried the ball 141 times for 855 yards (11th nationally) and eight touchdowns, and will be the key catalyst behind what I am betting will be a Texas cover at home. TEXAS is 16-5 ATS L/21 vs. excellent passing defenses allowing 5.25 or less passing yards/att. Baylor has yet to be tested this season, and now they go against a desperate Texas team that is trying ressurrect their season from a scrape heap of over estimated enthusiasm. ghorns' offense and ranks third in the country with an average of 142.5 rushing yards per game. Foreman has carried the ball 141 times for 855 yards (11th nationally) and eight touchdowns, and will be the key catalyst behind what I am betting will be a Texas cover at home. TEXAS is 16-5 ATS L/21 vs. excellent passing defenses allowing 5.25 or less passing yards/att. 

Baylor to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Seven turnovers doomed Army last week vs North Texas. My own projections tell me this a better team than many might expect and much better than they showed us last week. This week, I expect they take care of the ball and get us a cover and possible upset vs a Wake Forest side that just does not float my boat. 

Underdogs like Army of 3.5 to 10 points - after failing to cover the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games, winning between 51% and 60% of their games are 37-11 ATS L/48 opportunities.WAKE FOREST is 2-11 ATS  in home games when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest .

Army to cover 1 unit reg selection 

I really like the way Philadelphia handled themselves vs the Oklahoma City Thunder in their opening game despite of losing. I was very impressed by Joel Embiid who had 20 points and a core of young players that look ready to take the next step forward in their development. Meanwhile, Atlanta;s once dominating starting five no longer boasts Tegaue or Hoford , and must be considered much less intimidating with Shroder and Dwight Howard as their replacements. There is finally some light at the end of the tunnel and Philly and with that I recommend we take the points here with the home side. 

Philadephia to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Penn State is off a huge win vs Ohio State last week, and now will be in a monumental letdown spot. Considering Penn State has not covered in 8 straight road games  and 0-5-1 ATS as road favorites and as a program going back 3 decades have failed to cover 3 straight times after a home underdog win. Meanwhile, Purdue looked good last week in a hard fought loss to Nebraska, and look more motivated now that fired HC Darrell Hazel is gone. 

Purdue to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Kentucky impressed me last week, getting a win last week vs a Mississippi State side that has won the previous 7 tilts against them. The wildcats have now won 4 of their L/5 games, and have a very good chance of pulling off another underdog win this week vs a Missouri side, that is less than impressive this season.  The Tigers are on  a3-0 ATSSU run and 3-11 SU L/14 vs opposition football teams and allowing an ugly 518 ypg and 35 points per game this season, and very much look like fade material. A road team like Kentucky - good offensive team (5.6 to 6.2 YPP) against a team with a poor defense (5.6 to 6.2 YPP), after gaining 525 or more total yards in their previous game. 

Play on the Kentucky Wildcats to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Central Michigan are a top tier MAC side, but Kent state are no pushovers with 17 returning starters on the roster. I know th Golden Flashes own a sub par 2-6 record, but their D, is raked 29th in the nation and must not be ignored when looking at DD spreads. After playing their hearts out vs Toldeo last week in a 31-17 loss, Im betting the Chips are in a letdown scenario and ripe for the upset. With that saidd, lets take the boatload full of points . 

Play on Kent State to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Lousiville is a great team, but we are starting to get into the outer limits of   their favorite status with this spread. I know impresive wins are a must now for the Cardinal after losing to Clemson earlier this season. However, thats alot of pressure and I doubt very highly Virginia would just lie down and die here at home in what is a great opportunity for the program to spring a upset. The Cavs have covered 4 of their L/5 as DD home dogs, and get my nod here as huge home doggies. 

Virginia to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Phoenix Suns lost their first game of the season to Sacramento, but as the game went on it became apparent that their young players are aggressive and fast , and must not be underestimated coming into this contest. With Suns guard Bledsoe healthy again the Suns remain dangerous underdogs. Meanwhile, Oklahoma City had their hands full with Philadelphia last time out, pulling out a late win, but a non cover. Dealing with the loss of Ibaka and Durant in the front court, Im betting will mess with their offensive flow, and against a speedy Suns line up that will become apparent  tonight. OKLAHOMA CITY is 13-24 ATS L/37 when playing against a team with a losing record and they are 8-21 ATS L/29 after a non conference game. 

Play on the Phoenix Suns to cover 1 unit reg selection 

San Diego State is continuing to impress me with a solid D that is allowing just 17.6 ppg on the seaspn and just 285.7 ypg. Thats not a good omen for a Utah state side that ranks 81st in offense . It must aso be noted that the Aggies are a ugly 7-31-1 ATS in home losses, and have failed to cover their L/10 if they lose. I really like SD State SU, here, and barring a minor miracle the Aztecs should easily win and more importantly cover. 

SAN DIEGO ST is 9-2 ATS L/11 against conference opponents with the average margin of their wins coming by 22.8 ppg. Long is 15-4 ATS L/19 when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) in all games he has coached with the average margin of victory coming by 10.2 ppg. Road favorites like San Diego State  of 3.5 to 10 points after having won 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team have cashed 30 of the L/37 times.

San Diego State to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Stan Van Gundy the respected coach of th Detroit Pistons anticipated his offense would have some problems  in the early part of this season. Motowns head coach has even more concerns about his defense and rebounding after an less than respectable performance on opening night vs Toronto in a loss.The Pistons also clearly missed floor leader Reggie Jackson, who is expected to sit out approximately 20 games with knee tendinitis and are in trouble again vs a hungry Orlando team also off a loss. I know Orlando looked bad in their opener, but I have more hope for them right now than I do the Pistons, at least from a head on matchup perspective. ORLANDO is 13-4 ATS L/17 off a home loss . Detroit has had the upper hand in recent meetings, but this is a revamped Magic side, and they now get to go against a depleted and banged up Pistons  team that is no where near where they were last season, at the moment. 

Play on the Orlando Magic to cover 1 unit reg selection 

I have alot of respect for the Raptors, but the defending champion Cleveland Cavaliers are the superior side, according to my numbers. Thus covering a 2 or 3 point spread makes for a viable wager. Toronto (1-0) had its season cut short last spring by the Cavaliers, who defeated the Raptors in six games of the Eastern Conference finals to advance to the NBA Finals and the Raps are still not ready in my humble opinion to change those recent outcomes. Cleveland (1-0) opened the season with a 117-88 thumping of the New York Knicks on Tuesday night and look more explosive than ever. From a long term NBA trends comes this beauty: Underdogs like Toronto - off a home win by 10 points or more against opponent off a home blowout win by 20 points like the Cavs are 64-111 ATS for ugly 36% conversion rate on the betting line.

Play on the Toronto Raptors to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Last season, the Blazers exceeded expectations with a 44 win season. They continue to be under estimated and their young group led by Lillard are only getting better with age. Meanwhile, the Clippers remain airly intact, and have stayed that way for a few years now, which makes them pretty easy to figure out from a systems perspective. I know LAC is explosive and talented, but a good technical team can play spoliers against them more often than not. 

Portland is 55-34 ATS L/89 as a home underdog of 3 points or more.

Play on the Portland Trailblazers to cover 1 unit reg selection

The Jaguars are allowing 27 points per game, putting pressure on an offense that hasn't been able to keep pace and things don't look to get much better vs a Tennessee side with a top tier QB Marcus Mariota at the heelm of the offense. Tennessee blew a chance to make it 3 straight wins last week vs Indianapolis, but will primed for redemption tonight. I know the Titans have some nasty ATS numbers in their data base, but all good and bad numbers usually revert back to their norms, so those ATS numbers don't bother me when looking at handicapping this tilt. The Titans are however, 6-1 ATS L/7 Thursday night games and a perfect 5-0 ATS off a loss. 

Play on Tennessee to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Historically speaking,  this Pitt  football program has a leg up on Virginia Tech, as the Panthers are winners of four consecutive meetings at Heinz Field and six of the previous seven. It seems that this long standing rivalry always brings out the best in the Panthers, no matter how good or bad they are doing at the time of their clashes. I know the Hokies run game is progressing upward quickly, as was evident against Miami last week in a lopsided win, but   against a Pitt defense that’s been as stingy as any in the ACC in the run game, allowing only 96.6 yards per game, the fifth best mark nationally, their in deeper than many might now think.  Piitsburgh is 5-0 ATS L/5 at home in this series all 5 as underdogs. PITTSBURGH is 15-4 ATS in home games off a win by 10 points  or more over a conference rival, which happened against Virginia last week.

Play on Pittsburgh to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Embiid and Saric, two Euro hoops stars that it took years to get over to Philly, will now lead a young team that might finally have the pieces to move forward.These new pegs including bringing over Jayred Bayless from Milwaukee to run the point bring genuine hope to a Sixers fan base that needs some positive news.  Meanwhile, Oklahoma State now has to deal with finding chemistry without Durant and Ibaka in the front court, which Im betting will be more troubling than many pundits might expect.

OKLAHOMA CITY is 5-15 ATS L/20 against Atlantic division opponents . PHILADELPHIA is 15-4 ATS L/19  against Northwest division opponents and 21-8 ATS L/29  in non-conference games.

Play on the Philadelphia 76ers to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Warriors, enter this season loaded with stars including newly acquired FA Durant, reigning back-to-back MVP Stephen Curry, Klay Thompson and Draymond Green. Meanwhile, the Spurs remain as potent as ever. even though they are now without retired Tim Duncan. Spurs Starting Lineup: Tony Parker, Danny Green, Kawhi Leonard, LaMarcus Aldridge and Pau Gasol. Bottom line here: Just because the Warriors are loaded, it still a situation where chemistry has not been factored in and whether this group will work well together . Tonight Im betting this line is being over estimated and that getting points here is a strong opportunity to cash a ticket. 

 SAN ANTONIO is 23-11 ATS L/34 ATS first half of the season. Road underdogs like the Spurs a  horrible foul drawing team from last season - attempted 21 or less free throws/game are 58-27 ATS L/85 opportunities. Also nba teams like San Antonio vs the money line  - excellent offensive team from last season that scored 102 or more points are 51-17 SU.

Play on the San Antonio Spurs to cover 1 unit reg selection