The Rebels fell to Howard as a 45-point favorite at home last time out, the worst point spread loss in history. Meanwhile, Idaho took  an FCS opponent, notching a win vs  Sacramento, 28-6.  As far as the Howard/UNLV games goes, Howard must not be disrespected, as their HC Mike London  won a National championship with Richmond, and was able to recruit a very strong QB in Caylin Newton who is the brother of Cam Newton. The  UNLV D, was ugly, and the team on a whole. was caught looking ahead to greener pastures, which was in hindsight a mistake, that now has them  embarrassed and ready for redemption this week in Idaho. UNLV can score in bunches, and that is why they have a chance this week to stay very close. Last season these teams played each other tough, with Idaho pulling off a 33-30 win, and I'm expecting another hard fought battle this week, with the points in my humble betting opinion ending be golden.

IDAHO is 0-7 ATS  L/7 when the total is greater than or equal to 70.IDAHO is 8-20 ATS  L/28  in home games after a game with a turnover margin of -2 or worse. HC Petrino is 6-15 ATS  L/21 after playing a non-conference game .

CFB Home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points like Idaho - after a game where they forced no turnovers against opponent after a game where they committed 3 or more turnovers are 14-41 ATS dating back 10 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 75% for bettors.CFB  Road underdogs like UNLV  - after gaining 525 or more total yards in their previous game, with 8 or more offensive starters including the QB returning, in the first month of the season are 40-14 ATS L/54 opportunities for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on UNLV to cover 1 unit reg selection

Last year TCU lost 41-38 to Arkansas in Double OT as 10 point home favs, despite of out stating the Hogs 572-403.  Now this season with revenge on board I expect Gary Andersons troops to be hell bent on laying down some pay back. I know Anderson and TCU had a losing season in their last campaign , but the two times he had losing seasons , he came back with 12 -1 and 11-1 marks. Last week they won 63-0 vs Jackson State and now come in rocking and rolling and in a vengeful mood. Note: Game 2 Chalk off a shut out win like TCU are 7-0 ATS L/7 winning every time by DDs.

Bielema is 0-6 ATS   in home games after outgaining opp by 175 or more total yards in their previous game which happened vs Florida A&M last week in a 49-7 win.

Play on TCU to cover 1 unit reg selection

Indiana showed me a lot , when they played one of the best teams in the nation (Ohio State) very tough, this past Thursday night and were actually tied in third quarter before things got away from them. After that major tune up against a top tier team, I'm betting this game against Virginia will be like a walk in the park.

Cavaliers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall.

CFB home team like Virginia  - in the first month of the season, after closing out last season with 4 or more straight losses, with 5 offensive starters returning are just 15-45 for a go against conversion rate for a 74% for bettors. Also CFB home teams like Virginia  - terrible defense from last season - allowed 425 or more total yards/game, with 5 offensive starters returning, in the first month of the season are 6-22 SU during the L/10 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Indiana to cover 1 unit reg selection

Western Michigan travelled out to the west coast last week to play the USC Trojans. New Head Coach Tom Lesters team played valiantly for a while, before getting beaten by 49-31 count . Now tired and in an emotional letdown scenario the Broncos, go against a DAntonio coached Michigan State team, that has a lot to prove after last seasons dismal results. The Spartans looked determined a 35-10 beat down of Bowling Green last week, and get the nod to bring home the cash to their backers this time around as well.

MICHIGAN ST is 26-9 ATS  after allowing 225 or less total yards in their previous game .

CFB Road underdogs like Western Michigan- after allowing 8 or more passing yards/attempt last game, with an inexperienced QB as starter, in the first two weeks of the season are 18-46 ATS L/25 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 72% for bettors. Home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points like Mich State - in the first month of the season, after closing out last season with 2 or more straight losses against opponent first month of the season, after closing out last season strong with 4 or more wins in last 5 games are 34-10 ATS for a 77% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Mich State Spartans to cover 1 unit reg selection

Saskatchewan took out the Bombers last week in a big Labor Day game by a 38-24 count as home favs of -2.5. Now in the rematch I expect home field advantage to once again be golden, and for the Bombers to get the revenge they so dearly want.

WINNIPEG is 9-1 ATS  L/10 when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.WINNIPEG is 12-1 ATS   in home games after gaining 350 or more passing yards in last game .SASKATCHEWAN is 2-10 ATS    in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest.

CFL Road teams vs. the money line like Saskatchewan - after covering the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games against opponent after covering the spread in 6 or 7 out of their last 8 games are 23-3 L/26 for a 89% conversion rate for bettors on a SU bet. With the line under -2 this trend fits perfectly into me recommending we back the Bombers at home this Saturday.

Play on the Winnipeg Blue Bombers to cover 1 unit reg selection

Iowa defensively  smothered what was supposed to be a offensively explosive Wyoming offense last week in their first game a 24-3 win. Now here in week 2 I expect that same D, will stand tall and be the catalyst for a win in cover vs instate rivals Iowa State . Iowa has taken the two most recent meetings in this series conclusively by scores of 42-13 last season and 31-17 in 2015. I'm betting on another easy win here today.

IOWA is 17-5 ATS  as a road favorite of 7 points or less and  8-1 ATS  L/9  in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest.

CFB home teams like Iowa State - terrible defense from last season - allowed 425 or more total yards/game, with 5 offensive starters returning, in the first month of the season are 6-22 SU L//28.

Play on Iowa to cover 1 unit reg selection

Coach Fedora and the Tar Heels, have almost always shown a lot of defensive deficiencies, as was the case last week in a loss to the California Bears by a 35-30 count. Thanks to first round pick QB Mitch Trubisky and some good wide receivers those defensive deficiencies were masked by simply outscoring their opposition. That won't be the case this season, as the gunslinger is now in the NFL and much of the offense is being reassembled. Last week the Tar Heels simply made  a lot  of  mistakes on both sides of the ball, throwing two interceptions, losing a fumble and giving up big plays on defense and this week vs a hungry Lousiville program things will only get worse in my humble betting opinion.

Louisville has covered the L/3 meetings in this series.

CFB home team like N.Carolina  - in the first month of the season, after closing out last season with 2 or more straight losses against opponent in the first month of the season, bowl team from prior season who lost their last 3 games are 31-6 ATS L/37 for a go against conversion rate of 84% for bettors.

Play on Louisville to cover 1 unit reg selection

Both these teams are on 3 game losing streaks and both are hungry to get back into the win column. With that said , I'm betting  for this tilt to be a hard hitting and grueling affair that will see getting points being golden.

Underdogs or pick like Montreal - revenging a loss versus opponent, off an upset loss to a division rival as a favorite are 57-18 ATS for a 76% conversion rate over the L/21 seasons. AQnd under the same perimeters if its a same season loss these teams like the Als are a bankroll expanding 35-8 ATS during the same time line for a 82% conversion rate.

Play on the Montreal Als to cover 1 unit reg selection

Ohio destroyed a lower tier Hampton program by a 59-0 count last time out, hardly breaking a sweat in the process. Meanwhile, Purdue lost a grueling hard fought battle, to Louisville in their first game of the season, by a 35-28 count. That effort will now have them in an emotional letdown situation which will translate I'm betting into a muted effort that might actually see them upset by a pretty good MAC side.

OHIO U is 6-0 ATS L/6   in road games in non-conference games.PURDUE is 1-10 ATS  L/10  in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest .

CFB Road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points like Ohio - in the first month of the season, bowl team from prior season who lost their last 2 games, team that had a winning record last season are 36-10 ATS over the L/25 seasons. CFB Road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points like Ohio U - in the first month of the season, after closing out last season with 2 or more straight losses, team that had a winning record last season are 40-11 ATS over the L/25 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors.  CFB  home team like Purdue  - in the first month of the season, after closing out last season with 4 or more straight losses, with 5 offensive starters returning are 15-42 ATS dating back 25 seasons.

Play on Ohio U to cover 1 unit reg selection

Cubs RH Kyle Hendricks (6-4, 3.32 ERA) vs. Pirates LH Steven Brault (0-0, 5.93)

Hendricks the Cubs starter tonight vs Pittsburgh  is  2-1 with a 2.31 ERA in eight starts  since the end of July when he came off the disabled list  .The righty hurler has made four straight quality starts and hasn’t allowed more than three runs in any appearance since his return. Meanwhile,  Brault  the Bucks starter will make his first big-league start of the season after six appearances out of the bullpen and has made seven major-league starts last season and went 0-3 with a 4.26 ERA, so he is still looking for his first major-league win. Brault has allowed 17 runs (nine earned) in 8 2/3 innings over four career trips to the hill(one start) against the Cubs and according to my cross reference pitching vs offensive power rankings is fade material tonight. (it must be noted that the cubs offense has done their best work against southpaw hurlers like Brault this season averaging 5.7 rpg in offense

The Pirates smashed  the Cubs 12-0 in the series opener, and now embarrassed I expect they come here with intentions of getting back on track today and handing out some big pay back of their own.The Pirates are 0-14 L/14  on the runline and moneyline  as a 170+ dog after they scored six-plus runs and it is after the All-Star break , losing by an average of 4.43 rpg on the moneyline and 2.93 rpg on the runline.

HENDRICKS when he starts has seen his team go  24-7   against the money line as a favorite of -125 to -175 with the average margin of victory coming by 1.9 rpg.

MLB underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 like the Pirates - with a slugging percentage of .500 or better over their last 3 games against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.50 over his last 5 starts are 24-90 over the L/5 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 79% for bettors.

Play on Chicago Cubs -1.5 on the runline  1 unit reg selection

With UCLA's QB  Josh Rosen healthy again, the Bruins will be a dangerous foe for all comers. Texas A&M is a fine team, but in games that are expected to be close recently they have not performed all that well going just 2-11 ATS L//13 as a dog of 7 points or less. Last season Sumlin and company up ended UCLA 31-24 at home in their opener, but it must be noted that the Aggies HC is just 4-13 ATS facing a team with revenge. Tonight I expect Mora 's Bruins to be hell bent on payback while getting their mojo back.  

 UCLA is 28-14 ATS L/42 in home games in non-conference games. TEXAS A&M is 15-35 ATS   L/50  as a road underdog. 

CFB home team like UCLA - in the first month of the season, after closing out last season with 2 or more straight losses, with 8 or more offensive starters including the QB returning, in the first month of the season are a bankroll expanding 73-35 ATS dating back 5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors

Play on the UCLA Bruins to cover 1 unit reg selection

No. 21 Virginia Tech and No. 22 West Virginia Square off  at FedEx Field in Landover this Sunday night. Both these long time rivals will have new starting QBs, but one side I'm betting has the egde.That team in my betting opinion is the West Virginia Mountaineers with Florida transfer Will Grier under center . He was 6-0 as a starter as a freshman before testing positive for performance-enhancing drugs, subsequently suspended, and then transferring. This kid has the goods and is a top quailty performer and will be supported by the Big 12's leading rusher from last season Senior Justin Crawford and a a deep core of powerful backs .   Meanwhile, VTech will start a red shirt freshman, in Josh Jackson, who will I'm betting experience some jitters here right out of the gate and take time to acclimate to game speed. Yes, I know West Virginia is retooling this season on many fronts, but the pipeline of talent is solid and may surprise a lot of the pundits. TodayI'm betting they stay within the number and get us the cover.  

Vtech is just 2-9 ATS L/11 an non conference favorites of 3 pts or more and have failed to cover in 5 of their L/7 neutral site games. 

CFB team like VTech - in the first week of the season, after closing out last season with 3 or more straight spread covers, team that had a good record last season (60% to 80%) playing a team that had a winning record are 5-30 ATS L/35 opportunities for a go against conversion rate of 865 for bettors. .

Play on the W Virginia Mountaineers to cover  1unit reg selection

No. 1 Alabama plays No. 3 Florida in the Chick-fil-A Classic on Saturday night in what has been called the biggest opening game ever in college football. Alabama, bidding for a perfect 15-0 season, lost 35-31 to Clemson on a last-second touchdown in the College Football Playoff title game last January after a 24-7 victory over Washington in a semifinal pairing at the Georgia Dome and showed many of us that the Tide may have turned (pardon the pun). Now enters Jimbo Fisher's Florida State  that is 30-5 SU in non conference battles, and 9-1 SU vs the SEC. Meanwhile, Alabama the No.1 ranked team in the nation, has some interesting ATS numbers attached to their status, as these top ranked teams are just 16-15-1 ATS in openers,  and just .45-65-1 ATS when not listed a DD favorites.  Nick Saban the Tides formidable HC is also just 6-7 SU and 5-8 ATS in openers vs non conference competition as single digit favorite.

Florida State to cover

South Alabama to cover vs Ole Miss - The Sex scandal that lost head coach Hugh Freeze his job, has this Ole Miss program reeling.  That’s not a good omen for a team that also lost 5 of their L/7 games last season.  Here today vs a South Alabama Jaguars side that  pulled an  upset at Mississippi State in last year's opener, anything is possible. Coincidentally the Jaguars also upset a very good San Diego State program  last season, as DD home dogs, so this is a team that is not easily intimidated and thrives in the underdog role.  

S ALABAMA is 10-2 ATS in road games in September games since 1992 and is 14-3 ATS in road games in the first half of the season since 1992.

Play on the South Alabama to cover 1 unit reg selection

. The UMass minutemen are sure to be jet lagged and an emotional let down state after playing in Australia last week while losing to Hawaii with under 1 minute left on the clock (38-35).  Now they go against a tough head coach Joe Moglia (Coastal Carolina) who owns a magnifcent  51-15 SU record in five years , including a 10-2  record last season – with both losses coming  by a single point! The  CC offense has averaged at least 34 PPG every season under Moglia and are expected to be offensively effecient this season, vs one of last seasons worst Ds. I know the Minutemen has 17 returning starters , but like I have said, before that not neccisarily a good thing considering their continued futility. 

Play on Costal Carolina to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Troy enters this game with what might end up being their best  team ever, as 16 solid starters (10 on offense) return along with a boatload of under rated talent. With their Blue Carpet opponents the Broncos  returning QB Brett Rypien QB and his best WR Cedric Wilson, many think the Broncos will remain a force, but I disagree with this assessment as much of offense is now departed, and 4 key tacklers on D are now also gone. The pipeline of talent that Chris Peterson left behind is also now mostly gone,  and I'm betting HC Harsins team won't be as formidable, which could see Boise State face a drop off this season. It must be noted that the Broncos have failed to cover 16 of their L/25 and re just 1-10 ATS L/11 at home. With Boise State eyeing Washington State in their next game, the Broncos may not as focused in a dangerous opponent in their opener. Troy has covered 5 of their L/7 opeing games as underdogs and have covered 8 of their L/12 as a non conference DD pup. BOISE ST is 0-6 ATS   as a home favorite over the last 2 seasons.

Play on Troy to cover 1 unit reg selection 

There is just not enough respect being shown to Jim Harbaugh and company this week vs Florida. Yes, I know Harbaugh has hardly any key returning starters back, but this guy is a behemoth recruiter and has a boatload full of talent in the pipeline and is now ready to reload. Meanwhile, despite of the accolades the Gators are getting, I'm still not sold on their ability to move the ball behind QB Jim McELwain or any of the other Gator Qbs. Also with a key suspension to WR Antonio Calaway, the Gators are at a disadvantage both mentally and physically as is evident, by the rash of suspensions the team will suffer from this Saturday. Florida has also shown a propensity to implode against top tier opposition, while Harbaugh has proven he can be trusted as a favorite of 7 points or less winning 6 of 7 opportunities ATS and is a perfect 7-0 SU. Harbaugh is also 6-0 SU/ATS as chalk of 7 or less before game 6 winning su by an average of 24.5 ppg. Michigan is 3-0 SU/ATS L/3 meetings in this series and get the nod again this week on a neutral field.

Play on Michigan to cover 1 unit reg selection

Wyoming to cover vs Iowa  

Wyoming QB Josh Allen is  a projected first-rounder in the 2018 NFL draft and I'm betting his offensive talents will be even more explosive this season than last years 28 TD performance. Yes, The cowboys D was bad last season but with Scott Hazelton now running the defense things should be much improved. Today against an Iowa football program that was nearly dead last in the FBS (121st) on offense last year, those problems may not seem as hightligted today. It must be noted that Iowa has failed to cover 5 of their L/6 non conference tilts as favorites of 14 points or less and were only 4-3 SU at home last season. The Cowboys have also covered 5 season openers as underdogs. WYOMING is 6-0 ATS L/6 when the total is between 49.5 and 56.  

Play on Wyoming to cover 1 unit reg selection

The Horns start a new error today as HC Tom Herman takes over the reigns for the Texas Longhorns. You can bet he will have his team ready for a win in merciless fashion today as he makes sure his team gets of on the right foot. I know Maryland had a Bowl bid season in 2016, but I was not all that impressed by them and were a team that was out yarded by 49 ypg and finished their season losing 2 of their L/9 games and lost and failed to cover 5 straight games vs FBS opposition on the road last season losing by just under 23 ppg.  

Herman is 9-0 SU and 7-0 ATS L/9 non conference games. 

CFB Favorites of 10.5 to 21 points like Texas- excellent offense from last season - averaged 425 or more total yards/game, in a non-conference game between two teams from major division 1-A conferences are 30-8 ATS dating back 10 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Also CFB Favorites of 10.5 to 21 points like Texas - good offensive team from last season - scored 31 or more points/game, in a non-conference game between two teams from major division 1-A conferences are 38-10 ATS over the same time perimeters for a 79% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Texas to cover 1 unit reg selection

Muncie, Indiana is just 170 miles away from Champaign, Illinois , and this is not much of a road trip for the Cards.Ball State is now a very underrated MAC East that is going to make some noise this season. It’s the second year for head coach Mike Neu, and he’s got a team that despite of having a rebuilding tag on it,  must be respected behind second year starter QB Ryan Neal and RB James Gilbert 1332 yds, 12 TDS. Meanwhile, Illinois is going to have a very inexperienced team, and have a new starter under center Chayce Crouch who will take over for former Chicago Bears head coach Lovie Smith. Illinois only averaged 19.7 points per game in 2016, ranking  at 122nd in the nation and getting points on the board will be a problem again here this season. I'm betting the Illini inability to move the ball consistently will be their downfall today. 
 
Cardinals are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 vs. Big Ten and have covered 4 straight non conference games..Fighting Illini are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 vs. MAC. 
  
BALL ST is 17-4 ATS L/21 as a road underdog of 7 points or less .ILLINOIS is 12-26 ATS L/38 as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points.

Ball State to cover 1 unit reg selection  

BC defensive front I'm betting will be dominant here in the opener vs N.Illinois and control their opponents offensive line. Both teams have been trying to move forward and get more explosive offensively, but the key factor here today will be the ability of Boston College to stop cold the N.Illinois run game, thus rendering the Huskies ability to spread the field and have an effective pass attack. Both teams should be subdued offensively, but BCs superior top tier D, will be the difference maker. 

Play on Boston College to cover 1 unit reg selection

Head coach Todd Graham,  of the Sun Devils is on the hot seat and to has show his detractors that he has the answers to some ugly questions about the stability of his defense and his ability to keep track in the talent laden PAC12. This in his opening game vs New Mexico state, I expect he makes sure his team leaves everything on the field. Yes, I do expect the  Aggies will do some scoring behind RB Larry Rose III and some talented receivers, but I also expect the Sun Devils D to be improved and to stifle the Aggies at key junctures of this game. In the end I 'm betting the Arizona States offense as the game progresses will swallow up the Aggies soft secondary and pass rush D, like a hungry desert snake and pull away for a lopsided victory and cover the spread.

CFB Home favorites of 21.5 or more points like Arizona State - terrible defense from last season - allowed 6.1 or more yards/play, with an experienced QB returning as starter, in the first month of the season are 32-9 ATS over the L/10 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Arizona State to cover 1 unit reg selection

The Ohio State Buckeyes enter this game having beaten the Indiana Hoosiers 22 straight times, but the line for this game seems a little bit over blown, and their is a line value edge in taking the underdog.


The Buckeyes have failed to cover 6 of their L/8 as road favs of 23 points or less while the Hoosiers have covered 6 of their L/8 at home as double digit underdog as well as 20-1 SU L/21 home openers. Also road chalk of 20 or more points are just 0-6 ATS L/6 season openers. It must also be noted that Indiana has covered 6 straight in this series, and are an under rated Big 10 team with an above average D. With Oklahoma on board for next week, I'm not sure that Urban Meyer will have his troops leave everything on the field and probably be content with a victory as he irons out some early season kinks.

Indiana University coach Tom Allen knows the challenge his team faces Thursday night.
"Biggest home opener in the history of our program," Allen said. "I've know I've said that many times, but it is what it is, That's exactly the situation we find ourselves in."

With that said look for Indiana at home to come out here and play for respect on the national stage.

Play on Indiana to cover 1 unit reg selection

Gruden and the Redskins are 0-2 and have been outscored by a combined 44-20 in their first two preseason games. The offense has been particularly inconsistent and  In Week 2 versus Green Bay, as the HC kept his offense on the field for the entire first half against the Packers 2nd team D, and still looked very incohesive scoring just 1 TD, (barely). Meanwhile, the Bengals are 1-1, and looking like Dr. Jekyll and Mr.Hyde, as they smashed KC in game 1 and than looked horrendous in a game 2 loss to KC by a 30-12 count, mostly because their D, was asleep at the proverbial wheel and missing tackles on a consistent basis. HC Lewis was furious after that game, and I'm betting his team will respond in a big way here . 
 
The Benglas have won 3 straight meetings in this series including their L/2 visits to Cincinnati.   
 
 Road teams where the line is +3 to –3 like the Bengals  - after being outrushed by 75 or more yards last game are 24-9 ATS dating back 10 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Cincinnati Bengals to cover 1 unit reg selection

All indications according to my prognostication and data mining suggest this should be a close game making getting points golden in my opinion. The QB combo of  Aaron Rodgers/ Brett Hundley  looked to be in top form last week and once again look like solid options in this tilt  as they look to go 3-0 in preseason ball . Meanwhile, theBroncos despite of a similar 2-0 record, played two soft opponents out of the gate, and this jump in class   I'm betting is to much for them to handle. 

 DENVER is 0-8 ATS  off an upset win by 10 points or more as an underdog. DENVER is 0-7 ATS  off a upset win by 14 points or more as an underdog. Denver beat up on the 49ers last week 33-14.

 NFL Home teams where the line is +3 to –3 like the Broncos - after a game with a turnover margin of +3 or better are 6-20 ATS L/26 over the L/10 seasons for a 76% go against conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the GB Packers to cover 1 unit reg selection

On the defensive side of the ball, the Rams starters struggled their last time out, allowing 21 points and despite of being 2-0 in preseason play it's their inconsistent defense , that remains their biggest issue. Their hard hitting take no prisoners reputation when they were in St.Louis has a quickly evaporated. Add to that a offense that is also highly inconsistent, and you have a recipe for consistent  crap performances. I'm not quite sold on the Rams getting much better this season. Meanwhile, the Chargers after back to back losses, are now very hungry to get into a winning state of mind, and this in their first battle of LA is a perfect opportunity to win over some fans. With that said,  I'm expecting management to be pressuring the HC and his staff to get things rolling here this week.

Rams are 0-6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games.Rams are 1-10-1 ATS in their last 12 games overall.

NFLX l teams with a money line of +130 to -150 like the Chargers - after a 2 game home stand are 39-15 SU for a 72 conversion rate for bettors. Considering this trend getting points very much makes for a value line.Underdogs or pick like the Chargers  - off an upset loss as a favorite, winless in the preseason are 40-17 ATS L/57 opportunities for 70% conversion rate for bettors. NFL Underdogs or pick like the Chargers- off an upset loss as a home favorite, with a losing record are 49-19 ATS dating back 10 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the LA Chargers to cover 1 unit reg selection

Allianz Stadium - Sydney Austrailia

Minutemen dropped 46-40 decision at Hawaii last year…Rainbow Warriors’ quarterback Dru Brown passed for 311 yards with five touchdowns and no interceptions, and now gong into his second full year as a starter I'm betting he will be even smoother vs a Minuteman secondary that had only 4 interceptions all season long.

Meanwhile,  the Minutemen return seven offensive starters from last year’s team that compiled a ugly 2-10 record and nothing looks like it going to change this season , with core of the offense back , and doing what it does best and that is struggle to move the ball. Hey.I know Hawaii's D, is a lower tier group, but I expect they will do enough to fluster and easily frustrated Umass group. Yes, I also know the  UMass defense returns 10 starters but that's also hardly a good thing, considering how horrendous they were last season.

The difference maker here today, will be Hawaii's superior QB Brown, and the late start time  of 6:00 pm et which will screw with the UMass teams internal clock as they travel half way around the world for this tilt. Meanwhile Hawaii is virtually a hope skip and a jump from Australia and will feel no jet lag or time change issues.

Warriors 7-0 ATS season openers.HAWAII is 22-9 ATS  L/31 in the first two weeks of the season.

Hawaii to cover 1 unit reg selection

Ottawa after winning the Grey Cup last season, came into this season with a huge target on their backs. The RedBlacks played hard like they always do , but ran themselves down, in some grueling hard fought early season games. Last week after 8 days of rest, they smashed the lowly Hamilton Ti-Cats by a 37-18 for their first comfortable win giving them a 2-6 record on the season.  Now this week , against a hungry and under rated BC Lions team, I'm betting they will experience a let down effort, vs a team that played the leagues top team Calgary last week very tough losing a heart breaking 21 -17 decision, and that  a week after losing the 2nd of a home and home vs the Saskatchewan Riders. BRITISH COLUMBIA has reacted well in this situation going   6-0 ATS  L/6 after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses .

BRITISH COLUMBIA is also 10-1 ATS  L/11 in non-conference games winning SU by an average of 9.1 ppg.

Meanwhile, OTTAWA is 0-6 ATS  L/6  in home games after outgaining opp by 70 or more total yards in their previous game which happened against Hamilton last time out.

. Lions are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 Saturday games.RedBlacks are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games following a straight up win.Lions are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 games following a straight up loss.Lions are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 road games.

CFL team vs the money line like the RedBlacks - after failing to cover the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games, terrible team, winning 25% or less of their games on the season are 7-38 L/45 dating back 5 seasons also  CFL  team vs the money line like the RedBlacks - a lower tier team (25% or less) playing a team with a winning record are just 5-43 for a go against 90% conversion rate for bettors.

CFL Road underdogs or pick like the Lions- in a game involving two average defensive teams (23-28 PPG) after 9 or more games are a long term profitable side to back going 95-48 ATS dating back 21 seasons.

Play on the BC Lions to cover 1 unit reg selection

 Oregon State was playing at higher level by the end of the 2016 campaign. The Beavers finished Coach Gary Anderson’s second year with victories over Arizona and Oregon and must not be underestimated today vs Colorado State side that will opening a new on campus stadium.  I know the Rams have a lot of key offensive players returning, but unlike many others I'm not all that impressed , and feel their over rated, especially outside of the Mountain West Conference. 

I'm betting the Beavers Running back Ryan Nall will be the centerpiece of the offense today, and despite of a uncertain QB situation, the Beavers will be able to do some damage downfield via play action , vs a average at best secondary. As a sophomore last season Nall rushed for 951 yards and 13 touchdowns and should be even better this season .The defense improved during year two of the Coach Anderson era and Oregon States  goal will be to shore up the run defense which looks achievable. 

 Andersen is 20-8 ATS L/28 as a road underdog and  is 24-11 ATS L35 in non-conference games . 

OREGON ST is 8-1 ATS L/9 in games played on turf . 

I respect coach Anderson a lot, and like the way he is rebuilding this Oregon State side. With that said, I'll take his PAC 12 team to get us the cover here on the road in week 0.  

Play on the Oregon State Beavers to cover

Seattle and HC Peter Carroll take preseason football very seriously, as he believes it sets a tone for the regular season. This is a guy that just hates to lose at anything. This being a dress rehearsal week for the regular season, I expect a lot of starters will be in the Seahwaks lineup, for extended periods of time, making them a viable team to back. Meanwhile, the same can not be said about HC Reid preseason intentions, as he has lost 14 of his L/20 week 3 games and is just 1-6 ATS L/7 vs NFC foes. 

Carroll in his NFLX career, is 8-0 SU as a favorite in week 3, including 3-0 ATS at home, with each win coming by double digit deficits. 

Carroll is 15-4 ATS  L/19 against AFC West division opponents. Carroll is  also a perfect 7-0 ATS   after gaining 6 or more yards/play in their previous game , which was the case in a 20-14 win vs Minnesota last week. 

Play on the Seattle Seahawks to cover 

Carolina's first string QB Cam Newton remains at less than 100% this preseason as he recovers from a shoulder injury and may not see action again this week. After watching a vastly upgraded Jacksonville D, play well last week, allowing just 12 points  I'm also betting the Panthers will have problems moving the ball, via the arm of Derek Anderson and the accompanying group of QBs. I also expect Jags QB Jakes Bortles to be hell bent on a good performance this week, after last weeks miserable output and his HCs displeasure with his work. With the  starting QB job, in question I also expect 2nd string Chad Henne to be ready to put on a show if asked, as he looks to steal the starting job away from the struggling Bortles.

JACKSONVILLE is 15-2 ATS L/17  after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of +1 or better . NFL team like the Jags - off a home loss against opponent off a road loss are 25-7 ATS L/35 opportunities  for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Jacksonville Jags to cover 1 unit reg selection

This  is the Cowboys third game of the preseason, and with injuries becoming a concern for Garrett and company I'm betting on a less emphatic response here in this tilt than the 5.5 point opening line would suggest. You also  have to remember that Dallas is a public team, and some lines can be tainted, especially after last season's positive  results. Meanwhile, Indianapolis after losing their first game of the exhibition 24-10 to the Lions,  I'm betting they come out here fully intent on displaying an improved work ethic and game plan  for what many hope is going to be a Colts resurgence in 2017. My own projections make the Boyz just 3 to 3.5 point favs thus giving us value on this underdog line with the Colts. 

 Garrett is 3-13 ATS in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points as the coach of DALLAS and is 2-9 ATS  after playing their last game on the road. INDIANAPOLIS is 11-2 ATS  off a home loss by 10 or more points. 

Game two favs like Dallas of 4 points or more off a SU/ATS win are 6-25-1 ATS L/27 vs a side like the Colts off a SU loss. 

NFL  Road teams like the Colts- off a home loss against opponent off a road loss are 23-3 ATS L/26 for a 89% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Indianapolis Colts to cover 1 unit reg selection

Minnesota has owned the Seattle Seahawks in the past cashing 7 of the L/8 meetings and are 4-0 SU/ATS L/4 confrontations including 7-1 ATS L/8 as dogs. After clobbering the LA Chargers 48-17 last week, I'm betting Seattle and HC Carroll will be a little less anxious and in a natural let downstate this week , which will give a motivated Minnesota team that won a 17-10 decision vs Buffalo last week an emotional edge.

MINNESOTA is 8-0 ATS L/8 in games played on turf.

NFL Home teams like the Seahawks - after a win by 10 or more points against opponent after scoring 3 points or less in the first half last game are 9-35 ATS L/44 for a go against conversion rate of 80% for bettors dating back 24 seasons.-NFL  Favorites like Seattle - after a win by 14 or more points against opponent after scoring 3 points or less in the first half last game 4-23 ATS for a go against conversion rate of 85% conversion rate.\

Play on the Minnesota Vikings to cover 1 unit reg selection

After a hard fought physical 27-20 win vs Ottawa last week as visitors , I expect the Eskies at 7-0 will be a little tired and vulnerable here this week in their 2nd straight road game , vs what is now becoming a very explosive Winnipeg offense, that beat up on Hamilton last time out by a  39-12 count . Look for Winnipeg team that averages 34.4 ppg  to come out of this on top, buoyed by their home field advantage and under rated talent.

EDMONTON is 0-6 ATS  L/6 after gaining 350 or more passing yards in last game. EDMONTON is 6-17 ATS  L/23 after 2 straight wins by 8 or less points. WINNIPEG is 11-3 ATS  L/14 as an underdog.

CFL team Winnipeg - after going over the total by 35 or more points total in their last five games, versus division opponents are 107-63 ATS 63% conversion rate 21 years.

CFL Road teams vs. the money line like Edmonton - after gaining 425 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games against opponent after outgaining opp by 70 or more total yards in their previous game are 5-33 L/38 SU for a go against conversion rate of 87% for bettors. Also Road teams vs. the money line like the Eskies - after gaining 425 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games against opponent after outgaining opp by 90 or more total yards in their previous game are 4-26  L/30 SU for a go against conversion rate of 87% for bettors.

Play on the Winnipeg Blue Bombers to cover 1 unit reg selection

The Eagles are telling us that that QB Wentz is having a good camp, and he looked fairly decent to me as well, in limited action, but this team is deficient in a lot of key areas and needs more than their QB to be competitive this season. Tonight I expect the Bills very strong defense to be the difference maker and for their viable running game to do just enough damage to get us the cover vs a Eagles team that looked bad in a loss to the GB Packers last week .  

 Any NFL team like Bills- off a home loss against opponent off a road loss are 25-4 ATS L/29 opportunities and NFL Road teams like the Bills- off a home loss against opponent off a road loss are 23-3 ATS L/26.

Play on the Buffalo Bills to cover 1 unit reg selection

 BC has had the Sask Roughriders number for a while now , as is evident by having won 7 straight meetings SU including 3 straight as visitors. Now we have a situation where , a famous Einstein quote comes into play.

The definition of insanity is when you do the same thing over and over again and expect different results.

While all good and bad runs must come to end, this individual situation I'm betting does not warrant a change in flow in my humble opinion. The Lions on paper matchup very well, vs the Green Riders, and barring some unforeseen circumstances are the right side here tonight.

SUSASKATCHEWAN is 1-8 ATS  versus good teams - outscoring opponents by 5+ PPG on the season . BC HC Buono is 11-1 ATS L/12 off 1 or more consecutive unders , which has just happened. SASKATCHEWAN is 0-7 ATS   after gaining 7.6 or more yards/play in their previous game .

Play on the BC Lions to cover 1 unit reg selection

R.A. Dickey (7-7, 4.03), fresh arm will take the mound for the Braves this Sunday afternoon. Dickey the veteran knuckleballer hasn't pitched snince Aug. 4, when he took a 5-3 win over Miami, allowing three hits and three runs in six innings. Meanwhile, St.Louis responds, with Michael Wacha (9-4, 3.70 ERA).He has pitched four times in his career against the Braves, going 0-1 with a 3.07 ERA. I know The Cards are red hot but, Dickey I'm betting keeps them off balance today. I'm not all in on a moneyline win by the Braves, but I am betting they make this interesting , which makes for a value runline wager.

DICKEY team when he starts is 9-3  against the money line vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game this season and is 11-1 against the money line in August games dating back to last season.

The Cards, are 0-18 L/18 against runline, when Micheal Wacha starts as a favorite after he went 6 or more innings, and gave up 6 or less hits in his L/start.

Play on the Atlanta Braves ruline +1.5 1 unit reg selection

Tomlin the Pittsburgh Steelers coach has recently not looked to enthused about winning pre season football games. He treats exhibition ball as a live drill opportunity, and does not seem to have a comprehensive game plan as is evident by losing 15 of his L/21 NFLX games and failing to cover 17 of those 21 tilts. Lately in preseason openers the Steelers have shown little to no interest in notching a win in openers losing 6 straight while not covering one of them. I'm not big about  backing teams with so called revenge in preseason ball, but it must be noted that the Giants did get taken out by a 10 point margin in the regular season last season. Look for 2nd year HC McAdoo the former offensive cooridnator of the team looking to get his offense rolling almost immediately after last seasons debacle and for the Giants to get us the cover in their first preseason game.

Play on the NY Giants to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Nova the Pirates starter is off two straight  down performances, but  he's been at his best at PNC Park, with a 7-2 record along with a  2.83 ERA this year and very capable of a rebound today.San Diego will counter with left-hander Travis Wood (2-3, 6.42).

NOVAs team when he starts  is 20-8   against the money line in August games in his career.Padres are 1-5 in the last 6 meetings in Pittsburgh.Pirates are 4-0 in Novas last 4 home starts.Padres are 27-56 in their last 83 road games vs. a right-handed starter.

MLB favorites with a money line of -150 or more like the Pirates - poor power team (0.9 or less  HR's/game) against a starting pitcher who gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start, with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better on the season-NL are a bankroll expanding 100-26 for a 80% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Pittsburgh Pirates to win on the runline -1.5

The Hamilton ti Cats were completely embarrassed last week losing 60-1 to the Calgary Stampeders. That was the 2rd worst loss in the franchise history, and third worst loss in league archives history. That loss came a week after they almost defeated this weeks opponent the Edmonton Eskimos, losing a heart breaking 31-28 battle at home. Now after that last ugly effort, and redemption at hand, I expect we will see  a much better effort from the Ti-Cats this week vs a Eskimos side off an emotional win vs the BC Lions last week for first place in the West. Now in a natural letdown spot, I expect Edmonton will not be in top form, making getting points a solid proposition. I know its hard, backing a side that was just annihilated , but I'm betting last week result was an anomaly , and that the coaching staff and player personnel will  be better prepared.

EDMONTON is 0-6 ATS l/6  when playing against a terrible team (Win Pct. 25% or less ). EDMONTON is 0-6 ATS  L/6 after gaining 7.6 or more yards/play in their previous game.  The Ti Cats have won and covered their L/2 visits to Edmonton. The L/5 games in this series have been decided by 3,3,3,6, and 7 points .

Play on the Hamilton Tiger Cats to cover 1 unit reg selection

My WNBA  Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

Play on the Seattle Storm 

Cardinals RH Michael Wacha (8-4, 3.71 ERA) vs. Brewers RH Matt Garza (4-5, 3.83)

Wacha has struggled in both outings this season versus Milwaukee, surrendering four runs on seven hits in both no-decisions on May 1 and June 15. I'm betting the Brewers do some damage here, and with the added value of getting a run and half on the runline, I very much like our chances of cashing this ticket.

MILWAUKEE is 9-1   against the money line vs. excellent defensive catchers - allowing 0.35 or less  SB's/game this season.The Cardinals are 0-17L/17 on the runline   when Michael Wacha starts as a favorite after he went 6+ innings gave up 6 or fewer hits in his last start.

Play on the Milwaukee Brewers on the runline +1.5

Toronto (3-2) played hard in a recent win vs the Ottawa RedBlacks, and came away with a 3 point victory. The margin was not impressive but the work ethic, and coaching staff impressed me as did some of their defensive stands. Maybe just maybe, the Argos are on their way back up the proverbial ladder. Meanwhile, the Saskatchewan (1-3) Roughriders remain very talented, finished 2016 with a 15-2-1 record , but were upset in a key play off game in OT vs the eventual Grey Cup Champion RedBlacks. Watching them lose to Calgary last week, showed me this team seems to still feeling the effects of last years deflating final result, and their not playing with the same urgency they played last season with. Today I'm expecting the hungrier team (Toronto) to cover the number and possibly pull off an upset. This I'm also betting might finally wake the Roughriders up moving forward. 

The Argos are 2-0 SU/ATS in their L/2 games in Saskatchewan.

SASKATCHEWAN is 2-11 ATS L/13 versus good passing defenses - allowing 7.4 or less passing yards/att. SASKATCHEWAN is 2-10 ATS  L/12 after having lost 2 out of their last 3 games .SASKATCHEWAN is 1-9 ATS L/10 as a home favorite of 7 points or less.

CFL Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 like the Saskatchewan - after gaining 6.5 or less passing yards/attempt in last game are just 8-33 ATS L/41 opportunities for a go against conversion rate of 81% for bettors. Also CFL Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 like Saskatchewan - good passing team - with a completion pct of 61% or better, after gaining 6.5 or less passing yards/attempt in last game 4-24 L/28 for a go against conversion rate of 86% for bettors.

Play on the Toronto Argos to cover 1 unit reg selection

This CFL conflict between host Edmonton and visiting BC features two teams with four-game win streaks vying for first place . This is a big early season game, and 'm betting the Eskies top tier D that has, allowed a league-low eight touchdowns in total and 307.5 yards of net offence per game outperforms the Lions top tier offense.

B.C. is the West Division’s best passing team with 338.6 yards per game, while the Eskimos boast the fewest passing yards allowed in the league at 240.8 yards per game. The Eskimos key to key stops and frustrating opposing offenses has been the pressure generated by the defensive line, who will once again give the Eskimos the edge tonight and get us the win. Edmonton has won the three most recent meetings in Alberta and took the first game they played this year on the road by a FG, and  tonight I'm betting nothing changes.

CFL Road teams straight up like BC Lions - after gaining 425 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games against opponent after outgaining opposition by 70 or more total yards in their previous game are just 5-32 SU for a go against conversion rate of 87% conversion rate for bettors dating back 21 seasons.

Play on the Edmonton Eskimos to cover 1 unit reg selection

My WNBA  Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

 Play on Connecticut to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The line on this game has moved enough for me to back the hard working defending Grey Cup Champion Ottawa RedBalcks vs a upstart Toronto team that maybe getting a little to much respect in this spot. The RedBalcks maybe just 1-3 on the season, but have played a hard early season schedule, that might be taxing on some teams, but will be a catalyst for the RedBlacks , to get back in winning form vs a Toronto team that despite of being 2-2 is not the superior team in this matchup. It must be noted that Ottawa's first 4 games of the season were decided by a total of 7 points, and their win vs under rated Montreal on the July 24 was by 5 points. If the RedBalcks lose this game Im betting the margin , will be extremely close and we will get the cover. I however, won;t be surprised by a straight up win by the visitors here.

OTTAWA is 7-0 ATS L/7 in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest. OTTAWA is 6-0 ATS  after allowing 350 or more passing yards in their last game. OTTAWA is 8-0 ATS L/8 versus good defensive teams - allowing 6.4 or less yards/play.TORONTO is 0-6 ATS  versus poor rushing teams - averaging 4.6 or less rushing yards/carry .OTTAWA is 15-4 ATS L/19 versus mistake prone teams - 88+ penalty yards per game.TORONTO is 1-10 ATS L/11 after having lost 2 out of their last 3 games .

Play on the Ottawa RedBlacks to cover 1 unit reg selection 

BC was upset in their first game of the season but have responded with two strong back to back road efforts. The Lions defense, has been particularly strong, with the offense still not hitting its full potential yet. Meanwhile, Hamilton in partial rebuild mode, has come out looking much weaker than anticipated, on both sides of the ball, and very much looks like fade material after two straight losses by DD deficits. 

HAMILTON is 2-11 ATS L/13 in home games versus excellent rushing defenses - allowing 75 or less rushing yards/game.BRITISH COLUMBIA is 9-1 ATS L/10 in non-conference games .BRITISH COLUMBIA is 10-1 ATS L/11 off 1 or more consecutive unders.BRITISH COLUMBIA is 6-0 ATS L/6 in road games in the first half of the season.

CFL Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 like the ti Cats - after gaining 6.5 or less passing yards/attempt in last game are 8-32 ATS L/40 times dating back 5 seasons.CL Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 ti -Cats - off a non-conference game are 9-37ATS dating back 5 seasons.

Play on the BC Lions to cover 1 unit reg selection

After two grueling tilts against the Calgary Stampeders to start their season, the defending Grey Cup Champs, had a down performance last time out, and were upset vs the  Toronto Argos , a scenario that I envisioned. Now however, after their shabby effort, they will now be ready to perform, vs a Edmonton Eskimos team that despite of 2 straight wins, are still a little over rated. No body plays harder than the RedBlacks in this league, and  despite of the Eskies wanting to make a mark vs the defending champs, the RedBalks won't go without a hardcore fight and must be respected as underdogs.

OTTAWA is 6-0 ATS L/6 in road games after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread and is 6-0 ATS L/6 in road games after a game with a turnover margin of -2 or worse.EDMONTON is 5-15 ATS  after 2 straight wins by 8 or less points.

CFL Road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points like Ottawa - off an upset loss to a division rival as a favorite, in the first half of the season are a bankroll expanding 25-4 ATS in the followup game dating back 20 seasons for an amazing 86% conversion rate for betting backers.

Play on the Ottawa RedBlacks to cover 1 unit reg selection 

After two straight grueling games to begin their season, vs the defending champion RedBlacks, the talented Calgary Stampeders started slowly last week  vs the Winnipeg Jets, but came on strong in 

the 2nd half to get the win. Now back on the road again, they find themselves  even more exhausted than last week, and after putting out even more energy in the 2nd half of the last game come in here very vulnerable and susceptible to being upset.  The Als have been very competitive in all 3 games they have played to this point, and very much look like viable home underdogs in this spot.

CALGARY is 5-20 ATS L/25  after 3 consecutive games with a turnover margin of +1 or better.

CL Favorites of 3.5 to 10 points like Calgary - off a win over a division rival, in the first month of the season.are 8-30 ATS L/38 in their follow up game.

Play on the Montreal Als to cover 1 unit reg selection 

My WNBA  Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

Play on the LA Sparks to cover unit reg selection

The defending Grey Cup Champion Ottawa Grey Blacks took part in two very close back and forth grueling games to start their season, vs the same team they upset for the Championship last season, the Calgary Stampeders. Now in a natural letdown situation the exhausted RedBlacks look susceptible to being upset, vs an improved Toronto Argos squad that despite of being upset as favorites last week vs BC, have a good chance at pulling off the upset and more importantly getting us the cover in this spot. 

Argos HC Trestman is 7-0 ATS  off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a favorite in his career.TORONTO is 8-1 ATS L/9 in road games in the first half of the season dating back a few seasons.

CFL Favorites like Ottawa - in the first month of the season, after closing out last season strong with 2 or more straight wins are 16-43 ATS for a go against conversion rate of 73% for bettors.

Play on Toronto Argos to cover 1 unit reg selection

The Nationals have had some problems with the Atlanta Braves in this series, and look to be in a bit of a funk, averaging just 4.3 rpg in their L/7 trips to the diamond. Today , the Nats will send Stephen Strasburg (9-2, 3.28 ERA) to the hill in the third game of the four-game series. Strasburg got a no decision in his last turn, which was against the Braves. ( Atlanta won that game 11-10 on June 12)

. Meanwhile, the Braves send Julio Teheran to the mound, to face Nationals hitters. Teheran has done his best work on the road this season, going 5-0 along with a registering a solid 2.88 ERA, and must not be underestimated in this spot. Today I'm betting the Braves if they lose, will not go easily, and getting a +1.5 value run line with them makes good investment sense.

 TEHERAN team when he starts is 6-0 L/6.  against the money line in road games vs. an NL team with an on base percentage of .340 or better and is  8-1 overall in his career against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 5 or more runs/game on the season. 

WASHINGTON is 14-20  against the money line in day games this season. 

Calgary just played two straight grueling close games against the defending Grey Cup Champion Ottawa RedBlacks and are now in a letdown situation heading into this tilt against a Winnipeg team that has covered 6 straight games vs a winning team dating back to last season. Winnipeg is also adapt at cashing as underdogs and have turned the trick 9 of the L/11 times getting points. Make no mistake that the Stamps are the superior team, but this is a good spot, for Winnipeg to keep the contest close or pull of the upset at home in front of their own fans.

CFL Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points like th Bombers - poor passing defense from last season - allowed a comp pct of 61% or worse are 49-15 ATS dating back 20 seasons for a potent 77% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Winnipeg to cover 1 unit reg selection 

My WNBA  Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

Play on the Atlanta Dream to cover  1 unit reg selection 

The SF Giants are finally coming to life, after starting their season in dismal fashion. The Giants have now won 6 straight and must not be underestimated with this momentum on their sides.Meanwhile, the Tigers (36-45)  have just  dropped two of three to the American League Central-leading Cleveland Indians, and enter into this game in a letdown situation. Their record at the midway point is their worst since 2003 and I really believe they are over rated favorites in this spot, vs a NL team that their not used to facing. I know veteran hurler for the Giants righty veteran Cain may not inspire bettors, but DETROIT is just 24-36  against the money line against right-handed starters this season, and just and 10-19  against the money line vs. a team with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.20 or worse this season. Also from a runline perspective it must be noted that the Giants are a perfect 10-0 on the runline when Matt Cain starts as an underdog when they won their most recent start and they also won his last start against this same opponent.

Play on the SF Giants +1.5 on the runline 1 unit reg selection 

Edmonton was in top form and hyped up in a a underdog win on the road vs the BC Lions last time out, and will be in a natural letdown state this week vs the visiting Montreal Als , who won a 17-16 decision vs Saskatchewan.The Als have a new quarterback, a rebuilt offensive line and have added receiver Ernest Jackson, one of the Canadian Football League’s most-coveted free agents last February and Im betting they can now compete tonight vs the explosive Edmonton Eskimos. I know lat week was not an indication of what their able to achieve offensively, but this team will come around. QUOTE: We’re not at all concerned about the offensive output. I have supreme confidence everything’s going to work,”  END QUOTE: general manager Kavis Reed, the architect of this team, said Monday as he watched his club practice indoors at Olympic Stadium. 

EDMONTON is 11-26 ATS L/37 after gaining 8.6 or more yards/play in their previous game and is 20-36 ATS L/56 off an upset win as an underdog. CFL Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points like the Als - team that had a losing record last season, in non-conference games 35-7 ATS dating back 20 seasons. 

Play on the Montreal Als to cover 1 unit reg selection

A strong Edmonton Eskimos side upset a very good BC Lions team last week and now the Lions will be very motivated for redemption. Meanwhile,  the under rated Toronto  Argos also pulled off an upset vs the over rated  Hamilton Tiger Cats  last week. In the long run, I'm not sold on a rebuilding Argos ability to perform well vs a loaded side like the Lions and feel this week they are going to get knocked down a few notches.

BRITISH COLUMBIA is 32-16 ATS L/48  off an upset loss as a home favorite. TORONTO is 1-8 ATS  in home games in non-conference games and TORONTO is 4-13 ATS in home games.TORONTO is 4-15 ATS  in home games off an upset win by 10 points or more as an underdog.

CFL Underdogs or pick like the Lions - poor passing defense from last season - allowed a comp pct of 61% or worse, in non-conference games are 43-14 ATS  for a 75% conversion rate for bettors dating back 20 seasons.CFL Road underdogs or pick like the Lions - poor passing defense from last season - allowed a comp pct of 61% or worse are 26-5 ATS L/31 for a 84% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the British Columbia Lions to cover 1 unit reg selection

The defending Grey Cup Champs fought hard last week in a OT tie to these same Calgary Stampeders  in Ottawa in rematch of last season championship game. Now in the 2nd rematch I once again expect the RedBlacks will not roll over and die and have alot to prove to their detractors who constantly tell us their inferior championship team. What few seem to realize is that, this RedBlacks team may not be as talented as some other teams in this league, but what they do have is grit and pride, and no one in this league plays as hard as they do. With that said, I'm recommening we take the points here. 

OTTAWA is 6-0 ATS  in road games off a non-conference game and 9-1 ATS in their L/10 June games. OTTAWA is 11-3 ATS L/14  in a road game where the total is between 49.5 and 56 points.

CFL Road underdogs or pick like the RedBlacks - poor passing defense from last season - allowed a comp pct of 61% or worse are 26-5 ATS. CFL Favorites like the Stamps - first month of the season, after closing out last season strong with 6 or more wins in last 8 games, team that had a winning record last season are just 13-37 ATS dating back 20 seasons.

Play on the Ottawa RedBlacks to cover 1 unit reg selection 

    Philadelphia Phillies send pitcher Mark Leiter Jr to the hill today to face the Seattle Mariners in his second career start. In 12 relief appearances prior to the start, Leiter had pitched 19 innings and posted a 4.74 ERA. He had allowed just 13 hits but had walked 14 as his biggest issue so far has been his control. Meanwhile, Mariners starter ace Felix Hernandez (3-2, 4.68 ERA) will be making his second start since coming back from the disabled list . He won that start, and I'm betting on him being even better this time around vs a Phillies side that averages just 3.6 rpg on the road this season.

PHILADELPHIA is 4-19 against the money line in road games vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game this season losing by an average of 2.1 rpg on the runline.SEATTLE is 19-6 L/25 against the money line in home games vs. a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities this season winning on the runline by an average 2.1 rpg.PHILADELPHIA is 3-19 against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season losing SU by an average of 3 rpg.

Play on the Mariners on the runline -1.5 to win 1 unit reg selection   

Angels RH Jesse Chavez (5-7, 5.15 ERA) vs. Dodgers RH Kenta Maeda (5-3, 4.62)

The Dodgers had their 10 game winning streak snapped yesterday in game 1 of this series vs the LA Angels and now instead of being deflated by the loss will be primed to bounce back in revenge mode.

Angels are 4-9 in their last 13 games following a win.Angels are 2-5 in their last 7 during game 2 of a series.Angels are 7-15 in their last 22 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.Angels are 1-6 in their last 7 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.Dodgers are 17-4 in their last 21 during game 2 of a series.

Angles starter Chavez is 1-2 with a 6.10 ERA in his last six starts, allowing 40 hits in just 31 innings of work, and could easily get gobbled up by a explosive Dodgers offense, that is averaging 8.3 rpg in their L/7 games, and 5.8 rpg at home this season. Meanwhile, the  Dodgers starter Maeda, has seen his team win his L/4 home starts, and is a capble hurler who must be respected vs a Halos team that is inconsistent offensively. If he does need help the Dodgers bullpen has been brilliant this season especially at home where they own a miniscule, 1.94 ERA and 0.957 WHIP.

LA ANGELS are 2-16  against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better losing SU by an average of 2 rpg which can be applied to a runline result. LA DODGERS are 14-1 against the money line in home games vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better this season winning by an average of 3.4 rpg.LA DODGERS are 37-8 L/45 against the money line vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game this season winning SU by an average of 2.9 rpg.

Play on the LA Dodgers -1.5 to win vs the runline 

My WNBA  Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

Seattle Storm to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Hamilton and Toronto both underachieved last season. In the final meeting between both teams the Argos prevailed by a 33-21 count.   

Hamilton had a boatload full of injuries, and despite of their starting QB being healthy now (Zach Collaros) the offensive line is under reconstruction, and will take time to jell and protect their man under center. Meanwhile, /Toronto is a senior laiden team with a vertran QB at the helm in Ricky Ray, a decent running game behind veteran Brandon Whittaker and and a above average WR with Green and Fuller. The Argos defense was horrible last season, but with Corey Chamblin now at the helm, things will improve. With that said, the Argos look very much like viable dogs in this spot.

CFL Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points like the Argos  - poor passing defense from last season - allowed a comp pct of 61% or worse. CFL Underdogs or pick like Toronto - poor passing defense from last season - allowed a comp pct of 61% or worse are also 73-33 ATS.

Play on the Toronto Argos to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Over the last few seasons the pundits keep expecting a Saskatchewan turnaround, but it has not happened. Now many of the so called experts have abandoned the possibility of the Roughriders return to glory. I myself am still waiting and watching, on how it all plays out, but one thing I do believe is that this line on this game is now slightly bloated, as these same experts expect a miraculous Allouettes turnaround and a new era under new GM Reed & HC Chapdelaine and often injured QB Durant who is out looking for revenge for being released by the Roughriders last season. I'm betting that revenge angle is over played and Roughriders Chris Jones and company will be well prepared to face a QB that has struggled recently and that they know like the back of their hands.

CFL Underdogs or pick like Saskachewan - poor passing defense from last season - allowed a comp pct of 61% or worse, in non-conference games are 41-14 ATS dating back 21 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Tigtening the peremiters even more it must be also noted that CFL Road underdogs or pick like Saskatchewan - poor passing defense from last season - allowed a comp pct of 61% or worse are 24-5 L/29 for a 83% conversion rate dating back 5 seasons.Also CFL Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points like Sask - team that had a losing record last season, in non-conference games are 34-7 ATS for a 83% conversion rate for bettors dating back 21 seasons.

SASKATCHEWAN is 78-54 ATS  as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points dating back 21 seasons.

 Play on the Saskatchewan Roughriders to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Angels RH Parker Bridwell (1-0, 2.79 ERA) vs. Yankees RH Michael Pineda (7-3, 3.71)

The Yankees are big favorites here today, but Im not sold on the asking price, and can see value in taking the side (+1.5) with the Halos. The Yankees stumbled home off their west coast road trip finishing on a 6 game losing streak, and are far from being the form that surprised alot of pundits earlier this season. Meanwhile, LAA, despite of a few hiccups is still a viable opponent for all comers, and at just 1 game under .500 must be respected in their abilities to be competitive.  With that said, I'm betting  on Angels starter Bridwell who held New York to an unearned run on seven hits over 3 2/3 innings on Wednesday to once again be a thorn in the side of the Yanks in this spot. Meanwhile, Pineda in his last start vs the  Angels on Wednesday  despite of a lucky no decision was smashed around for five runs and 10 hits over six innings, throwing more than 100 pitches  and once again looks like cannon fodder tonight. Note: The Yankees are 0-11 on the runline when Pineda starts a favorite after a game t he threw more than 100 pitches in. Yankees are 0-5 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.Yankees are 0-6 in their last 6 vs. American League West.Yankees are 0-4 in their last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.

Play on the LA Angels to cover +1.5 on the runline 1 unit reg selection 

 My WNBA  Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

Chicago Sky to cover 1 unit reg selection 

My WNBA  Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

Play on the Connecticut Sun to cover 1 unit reg selection 

NBA Finals - Best of 7 - Game 5 - GSW Leads 3-1


Ok, I was wrong about game 4, The Warriors came out to calmly, while the Cavaliers came out playing like they were on mission and their proverbial scalps were on fire, and broke the all time first half play off scoring record with 86 points . It was truly a game that was straight out of a Hollywood script. Explosive scoring , fouls galore, and lots of nasty verbal and physical exchanges that will have the Warriors very very angry here in Game 5 and ready to reap redemption. The Cavaliers point explosion in game 4 will also I'm betting revert back to their mean average , and a natural letdown scenario should be on the agenda tonight. Also the Warriors Stephen Curry, who scored 14 on 4-of-13 shooting will be very primed to bounce back in this spot.

Coach Steve Kerr said his players aren't worried about the past. but in a subliminal way Im sure their aware i it and being the top tier professionals they are, I''m sure the Warriors will find their groove on their way to a win and cover in game 5 in front of their home town fans.
GOLDEN STATE is 22-11 ATS L/33 as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season.GOLDEN STATE is 7-0 ATS L/7 in home games against Central division opponents this season, winning SU by an average of 26.8 ppg. GOLDEN STATE is 16-4 ATS L/20 in home games after allowing 130 points or more.

NBA Underdogs like Cleveland vs the money line- off a home blowout win by 20 points or more, extremely well rested team - playing 5 or less games in 14 days are just 14-55 ATS in their followup game. Also NBA teams like the Warriors - revenging a road blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more, off an upset loss by 15 points or more as a favorite are 45-18 ATS .

Play on the Golden State Warriors to cover 1 unit reg selection

My  WNBA Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

Play on Phoinex Mercury 1 unit reg selection 

NBA Finals - Best of 7 - Game 4 - GSW Leads 3-0

 The Cleveland Cavaliers after playing their hearts out,  and still losing  game 3 of this series, are now both emotionally and physically drained for game 4 of this series. Both of the Cavs big time stars Irving and James, played alot of minutes, and when, Lue tried to rest James, you could see the swing on the pulse of the game in the Warriors favor. .What also became interesting in the third quarter of the last game, was how the Cavs slowed things down instead of trying to run and gun with the Warriors , and had good results for a while doing this , winning the third quarter 33-22.    But Both Irving and James  are tenaciously attacking one on one at that point and also playing from 45 to 55 minutes overall, which means both could easily run out of gas at some point here in game 4, if they slow down for ball control again. This  I'm betting will be disasterous for the Cavs in this game vs a very under rated Dubs D, (ranked 2nd per 100 possessions).

I know alot has been said, about a Cavaliers comeback after last years 3-1 deficit ended in a surprising 7 game championship run for them, but now things are very different. For one Durant is now a Dub, and Curry is 100% healthy, and the Warriors as a whole are hell bent on not giving the Cavaliers any squeeze room to make a come back and will be all out primed to end it here in Ohio tonight. The linesmakers are making the Warriors -6 or more favs and I feel their being generous and I'm going to recommend we lay the points.

GOLDEN STATE is 10-1 ATS L/11 when leading in a playoff series this season winning SU by more than 16 ppg. GOLDEN STATE is 7-0 ATS in road games in all playoff games this season winning sU by ana verage of 14.2 ppg. GOLDEN STATE is 9-1 ATS L/10 in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game and 10-2 ATS   vs. teams who are called for 2+ less fouls/game than their opponents this season. 

Play on the Golden State Warriors to cover 1 unit reg selection 

NBA Finals - Best of 7 - Game 3 - GSW Leads 2-0

The Golden State Warriors showed their superiority vs the Cleveland Cavaliers in the first two games of this series, winning both games by double digits. It was the Cavs 22 nd ranked Defensive rating , that continues to be their Achilles heel, as the Warriors 132 point output in game 2 would suggest. Hey, folks,  I'm well aware things can quickly change in NBA play off plays, like they did last year when the Dubs took the first two games of the finals vs the Cavs by a combined 48 points before succumbing in 7 games. But this time around things are different. Like I keep on saying the addition of Durant to the Warriors puts them in a different universe than the rest of NBA, and after last years historic collapse you can bet , that the Warriors will come out here again extremely focused and prepared to play with a proverbial chip on their shoulders. It must also be noted that in last years final series, Curry was less than 100%. Thats not the case this time around.

 What  I'm betting will happen in game 3 , will be that the greatness of super star LeBron James, will not be enough to upend a healthy, very motivated and fresh Warriors team, that looks at a victory here on the road as being a decisive payback blow to Cavs chances of repeating, and their own desire to reign supreme over the basketball universe.

GOLDEN STATE is 8-1 ATS L/9 in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game, winning SU by an average of 10 ppg and 26-7 ATS  off 2 consecutive home wins by 10 points winning sU by ana verage of 14.2 ppg. 

NBA Favorites like the Warriors - off 2 consecutive home wins by 10 points or more, top level team, winning 75% or more of their games on the season are 56-22 in their followup game for a impressive 72% conversion rate for bettors going back 21 seasons. 

Play on Golden State Warriors to cover 1 unit reg selection

My WNBA Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

Play on the Chicago Sky to cover 1 unit reg selection 

NBA Finals - Best of 7 - Game 2 - GSW Leads 1-0

Game 1 went as expected, by me,  as the Warriors won a 113-91 event, and now with the lines-makers continuing be in a hold pattern concerning the line, barley budging (-7 to -9) I still feel here at home in Oakland that the Dubs are the far superior team, so I will have no problem backing them here tonight,to cover again.

As I said previously, the two best teams according to my power rankings are going head to head for the NBA championship this season. The difference is that the Warriors are in a class of their own, while the Cavaliers are the best of the rest. The last few seasons these teams I thought were fairly evenly matched, but now  with Durant's presence in the Dubs lineup, there's just too much talent for the Cavs to handle. Defense has been issue for the Cavaliers chances at a repeat this season, and  in game one that became evident again. Note: Cavs are ranked 20th in ppg allowed this season, and 21 in defensive rating per 100 possessions (110.3) In this game I'm expecting  , for the Warriors to come out and take advantage of their opponents soft defensive play again via the top offensive attack in the NBA (115.9 ppg), and for their own very under rated D, to stymie LeBron and Company.The Warriors D is ranked 2nd in Defensive rating per 100 possessions.

GOLDEN STATE is 27-16 ATS  versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts this season winning SU by an average of 14.4 ppg. CLEVELAND is 1-8 ATS  in a road game where the total is 220 to 229.5 this season.GOLDEN STATE is 8-1 ATS  when leading in a playoff series this season winning SU by an average of 18.9 ppg. GOLDEN STATE is 21-10 ATS  as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season.CLEVELAND is 3-13 ATS  in road games in non-conference games this season losing SU by an average of 9.8 ppg. 

NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points like the Cavaliers - revenging a road blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more against opponent off an home win scoring 110 or more points are just 6-35 ATS L/41 in the followup game.

Play on the Golden State Warriors to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Game 1 NBA Finals 

The two best teams according to my power rankings are going head to head for the NBA championship this season. The difference is that the Warriors are in a class of their own, while the Cavaliers are the best of the rest. The last few seasons these teams I thought were fairly evenly matched, but now  with Durant's presence in the Dubs lineup, there's just too much talent for the Cavs to handle. Defense has been issue for the Cavaliers chances at a repeat this season, and I'm expecting for at least game 1 of this series, for the Warriors to come out and take advantage of their opponents soft defensive play. Note: Cavs rank 21st in the league per 100 possessions on defense.  On the other side of the ball the Warriors have shown consistency on D all season long  as is evident by ranking 2nd per 100 possessions and as is usually the case the most amazing offense in the basketball world ranking first in the NBA  (115.9 ppg) and universe as we know it. 

GOLDEN STATE  in 41 games  when playing against a team with a winning record this season, have seen their average margin of victory come by 12.1 ppg. CLEVELAND is 3-12 ATS   in road games in non-conference games this season losing SU by an average of 8.8 ppg. 

Play on the Golden State Warriors to cover 1 unit reg selection 

My WNBA Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

Play on the NY Liberty to cover 1 unit reg selection 

My WNBA Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or total.

Play on San Antonio to cover 1 unit reg selection 

My WNBA Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or total.

Play on Seattle  to cover 1 unit reg selection 

My WNBA Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or total.

Play on Chicago to cover 1 unit reg selection 

My WNBA Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

Play on the Dallas Wings to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Eastern Conference - Finals - Best of 7 - Game 5 - CLE Leads 3-1

There is only one way to put this, Boston is banged up and exhausted and  in over their heads  from a talent perspective against the defending champions. Don't get me wrong the Celtics have played valiantly at times, but as has been the case or most of these matchups, the superior team is Cleveland Cavaliers and Im betting they cash on the line and  advance to the finals against the Golden State Warriors after tonight. 

Cavaliers are 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 road games.Celtics are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Cavaliers are 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Boston.Road team is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings

NBA Underdogs like the Celtics  - off a cover where the team lost the game straight up as an underdog, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 17-56 ATS dating back 21 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 77% for bettors. 

Play on the Cleveland Cavaliers to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 My WNBA Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

Play on Indiana 1 unit reg selection

Eastern Conference - Finals - Best of 7 - Game 4 - CLE Leads 2-1

After humiliating the Boston Celtics with an explosive  48 minute surge in game 2 of this series, winning by 46 points, as I expected the Cleveland Cavaliers ran out of gas in game 3. The Cavs looked asleep at the proverbial wheel after a  half time DD lead, evaporated into thin air as they lost by a 111-108 count. James was flat, and his team played soft,while  the Celtics played loose and with extreme grit. I'm betting the amount of energy the Celtics exerted in that game to get back some lost respect will effect them tonight against  a now very angry James and company, who went from being  media god, to a public and media battering ram over the last 48 hours. Talk about exact polar opposites and extreme , irrational exuberance after the last two games, and your looking at an illusion, created by the media, and fans who gobble this stuff up . Hey everyone, loves an underdog, and I loved the Celtics effort in game 3 , but they are in over their heads with Isiah Thomas down.  With that said, I expect another turn around zig/zag event and a DD margin of victory for the Cavaliers and subsequent cover in game 4

NBA Road underdogs like the Celtics  - good offensive team - scoring 99+ points/game on the season against opponent after leading their last 2 games by 10+ points at the half are just 32-62 for a go against conversion rate of 66% over the L/5 seasons.

Play on the Cleveland Cavaliers to cover 1 unit reg selection

My WNBA Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

Play on Connecticut to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Eastern Conference - Finals - Best of 7 - Game 3 - CLE Leads 2-0
The Boston Celtics were humiliated in their last trip to the hardwood in game 2 of this series, by a 130-86 count, one of the worst beat-downs in the history of the NBA play offs. and to add insult to injury they will now be without star Isiah Thomas for the rest of the play offs. With the way the last game played out, and the injury news involving the Celtics, the early betting action from the public and some sharp bettors has now hammered the line to the point where, I feel confident enough, to take the points. Call me crazy, but under circumstances like this , character players like Horford can rally a group to show pride and play hard and physical. , After the humiliation the Celtics suffered last time out, it will be easy for them to come out here and play loose and motivated. After all they have nothing to lose, as they are expected by many to lay down and die. Also after Cleveland came out last time with a gigantic energy surge, I won't be surprised if they have a natural letdown in this spot despite of what coach HC Lue is telling the media. So guys, with that said, lets play the mathematical long term edges of taking DD underdog in NBA play.

Road team is 9-2-1 ATS in the last 12 meetings. Celtics are 3-1-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Cleveland.

Play on the Boston Celtics to cover 1 unit reg selection

My WNBA Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

Play on the Chicago Sky to cover  1 unit reg selection 

Western Conference - Finals - Best of 7 - Game 3 - GSW Leads 2-0

I have no problems reversing my views on certain matchups. This is one series, where I thought the underdog Spurs were capable of hanging with the Warriors. I no longer believe this to be the case, as Golden State, a well rested juggernaut look unstoppable at the moment vs a banged up and tired Spurs team, and despite of a couple days rest are team in over their heads vs a championship calibre opponent. 

GOLDEN STATE is 11-2 ATS L/13 in road games when playing against a team with a winning record winning SU by an average of 8.6 ppg. GOLDEN STATE is 9-1 ATS  in road games off 2 or more consecutive home wins this season winning su by an average of 13.4 ppg. GOLDEN STATE is 8-1 ATS  after a huge blowout win by 30 or more this season, winning the follow up by an average of 21.5 ppg.

NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points like the Spurs - revenging a road blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more against opponent off an home win scoring 110 or more points 6-34 ATS L/40.

Play on the Golden State Warriors to cover 1 unit reg selection 

My wnba Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

Play on the Dallas Wings to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 My WNBA Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

Play on the Chicago Sky to cover 1 unit reg selection 

    Eastern Conference - Finals - Best of 7 - Game 2 - CLE Leads 1-0
The Cleveland Cavaliers owned game 1 of their Eastern Conference series with the Boston Celtics. That was the case during the regular season, as the won 4 of 5 meetings, and now I expect nothing to change in game 2. The Cavs are still fresh, after taking out the Raptors easily in their last series, and very dangerous. With a banged Boston squad that just recently finished playing an exhausting 7 game series, against the Wizards and now running on fumes, they look like fade material once again. CLEVELAND is 35-18 ATS L/53 when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days dating back to last season, with a combined average win coming by 8.8 ppg. Cavaliers are 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win. Celtics are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Cavaliers are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Boston.


Play on the Cleveland Cavaliers to cover 1 unit reg selection   

 My WNBA Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

Play on the San Antonio Stars to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Western Conference - Finals - Best of 7 - Game 2 - GSW Leads 1-0

San Antonio knows that defense and physical play will be the key to slowing down the explosive Golden State Warriors. The Spurs behind the 27th ranked pace in the league and 2nd best points against numbers and the best defensive rating are well suited to grind and bang and make life difficult for the Warriors. They proved that in the first half of game 1 of this series, but got caught up trying to run and gun with the Warriors in the 2nd half of that game and finally fell, by a 113-111 count after blowing a DD lead. This time around Im betting on an even more physical defensive effort from the Spurs, and a complete game effort and subseuqent cover.SAN ANTONIO is 8-0 ATS L/8 off a close road loss of 3 points or less, dating back three seasons. NBA Home favorites like the Warriors - when leading in a playoff series, a top-level team (75% or better playing a good team (60% to 75%) are just 9-32 ATS dating back 21 seasons.

(Spurs) Leonard injured ruled out of Game 2-  : Spurs are 6-2 ATS without Leonard in the lineup this season.

Play on the San Antonio Spurs to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 The Storm had  two of their biggest stars, point guard Sue Bird and forward Breanna Stewart,  sit out their season-opening, 78-68 loss on Saturday at the defending WNBA champion Los Angeles Sparks because of injuries.Bird (left knee) and Stewart (right knee) were both listed as day-to-day, meaning they might be available for Sunday's home opener, but they have missed some time dating back to last week and are still not 100% which will mean the team will be less cohesive if they play. After playing on the raod yesterday, and than flying home to play a back to back, Im betting the Indiana  Fever have an edge.

Play on the Indiana Fever to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Western Conference - Semifinals - Best of 7 - Game 6 - SAS Leads 3-2

The Spurs and the Rockets played a hard fought back and fourth affair in the last game of this series, and now in a crucial do or die Game 6 battle, more of the same type of tenacious action must be expected. The Rockets need a win to stay alive, and the Spurs would love nothing more to end it now. With that said,  Im betting on another hard battle with end end result proving getting points to be golden proposition. HC Popovich of the Spurs is a master tactician, that will be ready for the small ball attack here in game 6. I'm also betting he will now key  running the attack through with Aldridge in this tilt, and for the  the Spurs’ big men to finally show up and do some damage. I know the Spurs are banged up, but their are some key guys missing for the Rockets to ie Nene, which has forced D'Antoni to shorten his teams rotiation, which will effect their flow on tired legs here tonight  especially after they went in to OT last time .

NBA teams like the Rockets  - off a road cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are just 40-82 ATS L/122 for a go against conversion rate fof 67% for bettors.

HOUSTON is 2-11 ATS in home games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 assists/game or more this season.

Play on the San Antonio Spurs to cover 1 unit reg selection

Yu Darvish (3-2, 2.76 ERA) goes to hill for the Rangers against the Padres this Wednesday night. Darvish has pitched well against the National League as is evident by a  7-2 mark and a 2.09 ERA  and once again looks like a viable hurler to back in this spot vs  a Padres team is averaging 3.7 rpg via a lowly .220 BA.  Meanwhile the Padres counter with Luis Perdomo (0-0, 4.03) who is backed by a bulpen wih a 5.07 ERA. Im betting he gets rocked today vs a Rangers offense that will use the momentum of yestedays explosive output here to ignite their attack again.

Texas crushed the Padres yesterday by a 11-0 count, and I am expecting another lopsided win by the Rangers again tonight. 

Home favorites with a money line of -175 to -250 Rangers - with a rested bullpen - threw 2 innings or less in each of the last 2 games against opponent after a game where the bullpen threw 6 or more innings and are 53-5 SU dating back 20 seasons. SAN DIEGO is 15-49  against the money line in road games vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start over the last few seasons losing SU by an average of 2 rpg.

Play on the Texas Rangers on the RUNLINE -1.5 to win 

Western Conference - Semifinals - Best of 7 - Game 5 - Series tied at 2-2

Houston came out and pounded the Spurs in game 4 of this series, 125-104 , but it it must be noted, that HOUSTON is just 4-12 ATS  after a blowout win by 20 points or more this season.Also after high scoring tilts, the Spurs ,  have played well, both defensively and offensively as they are  8-1 ATS after a combined score of 225 points or more this season winning SU 14.3 ppg and are  14-4 ATS  in home games off a road loss . With that, said look for Popvich and company to bounce back and  come here with all guns blazing and to deliver their backers the cash.

HOUSTON is 6-15 ATS versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or better of their attempts - 2nd half of the season this season. SAN ANTONIO is 22-11 ATS  versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season, winning SU by an average of 8 ppg this season. 

Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points like San Antonio - revenging a loss vs opponent against opponent off a win by 20 points or more over a division rival 53-22 ATS for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points like the Rockets - off a win by 20 points or more over a division rival, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 12-35 ATS for 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the San Antonio Spurs to cover 1 unit reg selection

Eastern Conference - Semifinals - Best of 7 - Game 4 - BOS Leads 2-1

Washington came out firing on all cylinders in game 3 of this series, and smashed the Celtics 116-89. In the previous two games, the Wizards also looked like the superior team for long stretches, before folding, because of shoddy D,. But now  I''m betting that the Wizards have figured their opponents out, and will show their abilities to dominate once again here on their own floor where they have played their best hoops this season.

WASHINGTON is 18-8 ATS in home games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. WASHINGTON is 21-12 ATS  off a home win this season.WASHINGTON is 18-8 ATS  in a home game where the total is 210 to 219.5 this season. Favorite is 4-0 ATS L/4 meetings with the home team covering 7 straight times.

Play on the Washington Wizards to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The San Antonio Spurs after starting their 2nd round series vs Houston with a loss rebounded last time out, with a 121-96 victroy but suffered a big loss in the process as Star guard Tony Parker was injured and will now miss the rest the play offs. I know the Spurs played 19 games without Parker during the regular season, but regrouping and reforming units in a post seaon atmosphere, wihtout a proven post season performer will effect the teams flow. Meanwhile, Houston last time out, surprisingly struggled in transition against a Spurs defense that wanted to break the Rockets' fast break, flow. But now after seeing what the Spurs did last time out will now be better prepared. It also did not help that thier super star Harden had an off game shooting 3 for 17 and sinking just 13 points. I'm betting he rebounds, along with home team, here on their own home floor and give us a winning ticket.

HOUSTON in 27 games,after 1 or more consecutive losses this season, with the average margin of victory comig by 10 ppg.

Spurs are 6-15 ATS in their last 21 games following a straight up win.Spurs are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 road games.Rockets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Conference Semifinals games.

Play on Houston Rockets to cover 1 unit reg selection

Utah lost the first game of this series, by a 106-94 count covering as 13 point underdogs  and did not look out of place . I’m betting on the Jazz to continue to press for physical action, and to make this game a mucky battle , which favors them staying close enough for a cover once again.

UTAH is 75-49 ATS  revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons

NBA Home favorites like the Warriors - when leading in a playoff series, a top-level team ( 75% or better ) playing another quality team (60% to 75%) are just 9-31 ATS  L/21 seasons for a  conversion rate of 78% for go against bettors.

Play on the Utah Jazz to cover  1 unit reg selection

Eastern Conference - Semifinals - Best of 7 - Game 1

The Toronto Raptors take on a Cleveland Cavaliers that they matchup well against. Some teams just seem to play certain teams , very tough, and that’s the situation tonight. In 4 meetings this season, the Raptors are just 1-3 SU , but the three losses all came by 4 points or less, with the lone win coming on the road in convincing fashion (98-83) with a lot of key Cavs resting.  With the Raptors currently in top form after wrapping up their previous series with Milwaukee by winning 3 straight games, I’m betting that their momentum will carry into this game vs a Cavaliers side that may exhibit rust after an extended 7 day lay off after eliminating the Pacers in 4 straight in their opening play off series. CLEVELAND is 12-24 ATS  after 4 or more consecutive wins . TORONTO is 10-1 ATS  when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) this season and 13-4 ATS  in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Play on the Toronto Raptors to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Two teams that don’t get along very well play each other tonight in the opening game of Eastern Conference semi final  in Boston, as the Celtics host the Wizards. Looking at both teams first round series, it became obvious to me that the Celtics have now rounded into the team that many pundits thought they were, and that is that they are a  contender for the Eastern Conference crown thanks to a D, that is currently ranked  6th in scoring defense, allowing 96.5 points per game,. Boston after starting slowly against the Bulls in their opening round series reeled off 4 straight wins after losing the first two games on their own home floor, and now look to be in top form. Meanwhile, Washington despite of getting by Atlanta to get here in their opening round series, struggled at times against the Hawks, and used their home court advantage to advance by winning 3 games as hosts, but now here on the road in Beantown where they have lost 5 straight and failed to cover all five times I’m betting their at a disadvantage.  in game 1 of this series.  Boston was 30-11 SU in the regular season at home while Washington was a sub par 19-22 SU on the road.

Play on the Boston Celtics to cover  1 unit reg selection