Brooklyn Im betting will want to finish off their season with a-lot of momentum both from a offensive and defensive perspective which Im betting results in a big time DD victory. 

The Cavaliers are 0-8 ATS/SU  after their opponent made at least 10 more free throws than they did last game with each loss coming by 15 or more points with the average ppg diff clicking in by an average of 30.4 ppg. 

CLEVELAND is 9-23 ATS   as a road underdog this season.

Play on Brooklyn to cover

My early season power ranking suggest the Sun should be -3 favs here giving us value on an short fav line. CONNECTICUT is 33-14 ATS 47 as a home favorite of 3 points or less. 

WNBA team vs the money line (PHOENIX) - off a road win, marginal winning team from last season (51% to 60%) playing a team who had a losing record are 7-20 L/24 season for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Sun to cover

Boston was locked into a spot in the play-in tournament after its 102-94 loss in Cleveland on Wednesday night and find themselves in that spot because of injuries that  have seen them struggle down the stretch. However, Boston is still a viable opponent for this afternoons  competition the Minnesota Wolves who despite of playing better are still a non play off side with some major inconsistencies. 

Celtics are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 2 days rest.  

Timberwolves are 8-22-1 ATS in their last 31 games as a home favorite.

Celtics are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Minnesota. Celtics are 7-0-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings.

Play on Boston to cover 

Im betting the Jazz will be treating this game like a night off as postseason  basketball approaches.  Injuries are always a concern so Im expecting we see alot of bench players getting more minutes than usual giving us value with a ugly home dog in Oklahoma City.  

The Thunder are 8-1 ATS L/9 overall in this series. 

NBA Favorites of 10 or more points (UTAH) - good 3PT shooting team (36.5% or better) against a poor 3PT defense (36.5% or worse ) after 42+ games, after a game making 12 or more 3 point shots are just 45-82 ATS L/24 seasons for a 65% conversion rate. 

Play on Oklahoma City to cover 

Utah played last night and are now on tired legs and with the post season almost here will be careful with their existing roster, so some top line players may get more rest than usual. I know Motown may not inspire bettors, but they are capable of a cover here at home, getting points. Note: Detroit got smashed last time out, 119-100 by the Wolves, but the Pistons have proven resilient this season going 11-1 ATS after a 15 point or more loss and is 16-4 ATS  off a home loss this season.

NBA team vs the money line (DETROIT) - explosive offensive team - scoring 103+ points/game on the season, after scoring 40 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games are 28-6 SU L/24 seasons for a 83% conversion rate thus giving us value from a league wide  trends perspective getting points. 

NBA Road teams (DENVER) - off a road win, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a bad team (25% to 40%) are 33-59 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 64% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA Road teams (DENVER) - extremely tired team - when playing their 3rd game in 4 days, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a bad team (25% to 40%). are 24-55 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Detroit Pistons to cover 

Minnesota is a winner in back-to-back contests, including a 119-100 rout of Detroit on Tuesday in which it led throughout and have been playing better of late, but tonight they wont be catching the Nuggets asleep at the proverbial wheel, and will have the full attention of what my power rankings suggest is a superior side. Denvers SRS is 6th in the NBA at +6.03 while the Wolves rank 26th with a -5.41 mark, and even with a recent uptick in positive data are still over matched in general terms. Note: SRS - Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average. 

MINNESOTA is 1-11 ATS  in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 2 seasons.

DENVER is 10-0 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons and 5-0 SU L/5 visits to Minnesota.   Nuggets are 21-4-1 ATS in the last 26 meetings in Minnesota.

NBA Home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MINNESOTA) - after leading in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half against opponent after a combined score of 205 points or more are 6-26 ATS L/24 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA Road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DENVER) - good team - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game against opponent after leading in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half are 38-11 ATS L/24 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Denver Nuggets to cover 

The Brooklyn Nets played last night in a revenge tilt vs the Bulls and got the redemption they wanted. Now on tired legs as they play back to back games the Nets could find their hands full vs a hungry Popivich crew that are vying for a play off appearance, and also in revenge mode for a loss back on March 1st to these same Nets. Note: The Nets are 3-9 ATS with not rest last 12 overall at home and 0-5 ATS vs non conference opposition. Also HC Pop of the Spurs is an astute student of the game, and when given the opportunity to avenge  a loss vs a foe is 150-78 SU. 

Spurs are 13-5-1 ATS in their last 19 road games.Spurs are 15-5 ATS in the last 20 meetings in Brooklyn.Nets are 6-14 ATS in their last 20 games playing on 0 days rest.

Play on the Spurs to cover

In the Wizards last 16 games they have won 13 times and lost 3 times twice by 1 point margins and once by 3 points. Washington has proved themselves to be a side that deserves respect when taking points and nothing changes tonight in the rematch vs Atlanta from Monday night where they lost a hard fought 125-124 affair. Even with Bradly Beal out there is enough offence off the bench to get the job done. 

WASHINGTON is 22-10 ATS  as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season with the average ppg diff clicking in at 4.1 ppg. WASHINGTON is 16-5 ATS  versus sub par defensive teams - allowing 110+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season and 12-4 ATS  versus good shooting teams - making  46% or more of their shots - 2nd half of the season this season. 

Play on the Washington Wizards to cover

The Hornets  are right around the edge of being  No. 10 seed in this year’s Eastern Conference playoff chase and cannot afford anymore losses and Im betting that will see them leave everything on the floor here tonight vs the Nuggets giving us an edge taking points.  It must also be noted that the Hornets have revenge on board for a beating they took in the Mile High city on March 14 which will add to their motivation factors in this spot play.  Note :Denver has lost 3 of their L/4 and are on tired legs after back to back games vs Utah and Brooklyn and now playing their 4th game in 6 nights. 

The home side is 8-0 ATS L/8 meetings in this series.

Play on Charlotte to cover 

The Spurs are on the tipping point of a play off or new format play in position, and need wins badly and will play with a desperate edge in this tilt. The Bucks are the superior side, but have been less than reliable  opposition away from home   as is evident by their 14-19 SU  road record would indicate. SAN ANTONIO is 5-0 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons and are 2-0 SU/ATS L/2 meetings at home in this series.

MILWAUKEE is also just 0-9 ATS  against Southwest division opponents this season like San Antonio. MILWAUKEE is 4-12 ATS  in road games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more  of their shots this season.

NBA Road favorites (MILWAUKEE) - after 4 or more consecutive wins, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a losing record are 29-63 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against  68% conversion rate.

Play on the San Antonio Spurs to cover

Washington is very under rated here from a data standpoint having lost on 3 times in their L/16 games  with the 3 defeats coming by 1 point two times and 3 points in the other loss. I know Atlanta has really moved up in their respectability status in NBA play, but they are bering over rate here vs a very tough opponent. With revenge on board for a home loss back in the end of January Im betting we see the Wizards in top form and motivated.

The Wizards are 12-0-1 ATS L/13 as a dog off a game as a favorite.  WASHINGTON is 11-0 ATS   after having won 3 of their last 4 games this season.

WASHINGTON is 18-8 ATS versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game - 2nd half of the season this season.

NBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (ATLANTA) - good shooting team (45.5-47.5%) against an poor defensive team (45.5-47.5%) after 42+ games, hot shooting team - 2 straight games making  50%  or more of their shots are 21-47 ATS L/24 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate. 

Play on the Washington. Wizards to cover 

Sacramento beat Oklahoma City 103-99 when they met May 4th in a closely contested game. From a mqtch-up perspective the Thunder are more than capable of covering here. I know the Thunder are near or at the bottom of the league in key stats, but its not like they cant be competitive as was the case recently when they went into Boston and upset the Celtics. So with that said lets just plug our noses and pull the trigger. Note: Thunder are 5-1 with 0/1 rest  situation while the Kings are 0-5 ATS on Sunday as a host.  OKLAHOMA CITY is 17-1 ATS on Sunday games over the last 2 seasons

OKLAHOMA CITY is 40-26 ATS  revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.. OKLAHOMA CITY is 34-18 ATS   as a road underdog over the last 2 seasons. OKLAHOMA CITY is 17-7 ATS  as a road underdog of 6.5 to 12 points over the last 2 seasons

 SACRAMENTO is 3-11 ATS  in home games when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

NBA Home favorites of 10 or more points (SACRAMENTO) - after a home game where both teams score 100 or more points, tired team - playing 8 or more games in 14 days are 69-109 ATS L/24 seasons for a 61% conversion rate.

Play on the Thunder to cover 

 .

This Im betting  will be a hard fought affair that will result in a lower scoring style post season style affair.

The Celtics own an edge here from a system vs system perspective vs Miami and matchup well here despite of the Heats upward momentum and the Celtics inconsistent efforts. 

The Celtics are 12-0 ATS /SU at home with rest after they had 3 or fewer double digit scorers last game.

Play on the Celtics to. cover (LATE STEAM)

The Jazz are off a hard fought affair vs the Nuggets last time out and are now in an emotional letdown state and lacking overall energy and Im sure in some ways they are over looking the Rockets. With that said, there is value taking points here with a Houston side that is  11-1 as visiting underdogs of 4 points or more more vs .700  or better  opposition. Meanwhile, the Jazz are just 1-5 ATS L/6 after facing the Nuggets. 

HOUSTON is 12-3 ATS ( in road games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

NBAFavorites of 10 or more points (UTAH) - after a home game where both teams score 100 or more points, playing on back-to-back days are 15-37 ATS L/24 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Rockets to cover

The Raptors who are 4-0 ATS L/4 may no long er be a championship calibre side, but they are still no pushovers, and are more than capable of being competitive tonight vs the visiting Grizzlies even with injuries and key players out. Grizzlies are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite. Raptors are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 home games.

Toronto is 5-0 SU/ATS L/5 meetings in this series as hosts. Grizzlies are 1-9-1 ATS in the last 11 meetings.

Nurse is 57-35 ATS  versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more  assists/game - 2nd half of the season as the coach of TORONTO

NBA Road teams vs. the money line (MEMPHIS) - after allowing 110 points or more 4 straight games against opponent after scoring 120 points or more are 18-65 L/24 seasons for a  go against 78% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Toronto  to cover

Washington continues to play an all out brand of wide open hoops, but after two exhausting game in a row vs Milwaukee and and Toronto Im betting the Wizards hit the wall here in what will be their 3rd game in 4 nights. The Wizards did beat Indiana 154-141 when they played last week, but the Pacers stayed competitive in that tilt, and are more than capable of upending their opponent in the rematch. The Pacers are 3-0 SU/ATS L/3 meetings in Indiana. 

Wizards are 9-20 ATS in their last 29 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.

NBA Road teams vs. the money line (WASHINGTON) - after allowing 110 points or more 4 straight games against opponent after scoring 120 points or more are 18-65 L/24 seasons for a  go against 78% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Pacers to cover

The 76ers now on a 7 game win streak will be paying attention here tonight, as they are still looking to secure top seed in the east. Add to that revenge for a ugly DD loss to the Pistons in the Motown the last time these teams met and you now have a situation that bodes well for a beatdown scenario. 

The Seventysixers are 16-0-1 ATS/16-0 SU as a favorite after being outscored in the paint by at least 6 points last game.

The Pistons are 0-15-3 ATS /0-18 SU as a dog coming off a 10+ point win.

DETROIT is 1-10 ATS  off a home win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

Play on the 76ers to cover 

NY has played some great hoops behind a fantastic work ethic, and chemistry, but the young Suns have matured quickly and have stood up to some of the best teams in the league and prevailed. I know the Knicks are out looking to avenge a 118-110 home loss to the Suns back on April 26th in NY city but my power rankings suggest the Suns are the superior side, and in most circumstances would prevail in a matchup with the Knicks. Also this is NYKs fourth straight road game and they looked pooped last time out in Denver losing 113-97, most probably because of the high octane effort they consistently put out. Meanwhile, the Suns after a night off where they looked asleep at the wheel in a ugly 135-103 loss to Atlanta will be primed to bounce back. Note: NYK is just 1-5 ATS vs Pac division opposition as 8 point underdogs  or less. The Suns are 5-0 ATS/SU  L/5 in this series.PHOENIX is 11-1 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less this season.

Play on Phoenix to win /cover

Atlanta played a hard fought game against a top tier opposition ( Phoenix) last night and are now on tired legs and in emotional letdown spot after recording an all out impressive 135-103 victory. The Hawks never let up and played all out, because of their obvious respect for their opponent  which will see them Im betting start slowly tonight vs the Pacers. ATLANTA is 4-14 ATS  in road games when playing on back-to-back days over the last 3 seasons. Indiana is 3-0 SU L/3 at home in this series.ATLANTA is 24-41 ATS   in road games versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 season.

Play on Indiana to cover 

The Wizards played a back forth tilt vs the Bucks last night and lost by a 135-134 count and will now both be on tired legs and in an emotional letdown state which makes them susceptible to a down performance vs a Raptors side that has won 8 straight meetings in this series SU. 

Raptors are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a home favorite.Raptors are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.

Play on the Toronto Raptors to win 

Memphis has struggled of late, losing 4 of their L/5 while Minnesota with Towns back int he lineup are playing much better winning 5 of their L/6. However despite of the divergence in fortunes recently the Grizzlies matchup well vs the Wolves, according to my power rankings and deserve respect here as short favs. Minnesota ranks 26th in the league SRS -6,71 , while Memphis is ranked 13th in SRS, with a +0.96 mark. SRS - Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average.

MEMPHIS is 11-3 ATS  versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game this season.

MEMPHIS is 20-9 ATS  against Northwest division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (MINNESOTA) - after going over the total by more than 24 points in their previous game against opponent after going under the total by 18 or more points total in their last three games are 5-29 ATS L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate.

Play on the Grizzlies to cover 

LA has taken a breather from their heavy schedule of late with a few days off and will be fresh and ready to get back on track after suffering 3 straight losses. Meanwhile, the Raptors are on tired legs as they play their 4th straight road game against quality opposition, which makes them susceptible to exhaustion as this tilt progresses. LA CLIPPERS are 10-0 ATS   after failing to cover 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread over the last 2 seasons with the ppg dif clicking in at just over 22 ppg. The Raptors are 0-10-1 ATS L/11 coming off a win where they scored 15+ points more expected. ( that happened vs the Lakers) 

Play on the LA Clippers to cover 

NYK is the real deal and continue to prove it during a 12-1 SU ATS L/13 run. Meanwhile, Memphis has lost 3 of his L/4 tilts and despite of being viable side, they are not currently in top form and are 14-17 L/31 at home this season and wobbly favorites. 

 NEW YORK is 16-4 ATS versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game - 2nd half of the season this season.

NEW YORK is 23-6 ATS   when the line is +3 to -3 this season.

The Knicks are 17-0 ATS /15-2 SU  after allowing at least 50 points in the paint last game. the two losses came by 2 and 3 points. 

Play on NY Knicks to cover

The Pelicans are off three straight road games with the last a grueling OT affair vs the Wolves. Now in a physical and emotional letdown state the Pelicans will have their hands full with a Golden State side that needs wins badly. 

NEW ORLEANS is 6-14 ATS  as a home favorite this season.

GOLDEN STATE is 33-13 L/46 ATS vs. dominant rebounding teams - out-rebounding opponents by 5+ per game - 2nd half of the season .

NBA Home teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (NEW ORLEANS) - after going over the total by more than 24 points in their previous game against opponent after going under the total by 18 or more points total in their last three games are 5-28 L/5 seasons for a go against 85% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA  Home teams (NEW ORLEANS) - after going over the total by more than 18 points in their previous game against opponent after going under the total by more than 30 points in their previous game are 7-31 ATS L/24 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (GOLDEN STATE) - after a blowout win by 20 points or more against opponent after scoring 105 points or more 4 straight games are 30-6 SU/ 30-5-1 ATS L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Golden State Warriors to cover

Indiana were clipped 132-124, as 7-point home dogs the  last  time  these two sides met  in late March. Now in revenge mode I expect the Pacers to be motivated and to play a strong competitive game.   Note: The Wizards are  1-12-2 ATS at home in   this series when the Pacers are out looking to get even while the Pacers are a perfect  5-0 SUATS L/5 in this series when in revenge mode for a 7 or more point defeat. 

NBA Home teams (WASHINGTON) - good shooting team (45.5-47.5%) against an poor defensive team (45.5-47.5%) after 42+ games, hot shooting team - 2 straight games making  50% or better  of their shots are just 46-102 ATS L/24 seasons for a go against  69% conversion rate.

Play on the Indiana Pacers to cover

Im not a big proponent of laying points with a road side, but their are matchup instances where I feel comfortable enough to do so and this is one of those situations. It must be noted that San Antonio comes home after a grueling hard fought 4 game road trip that concluded with a  143-140 loss to the Celtics in Boston and now exhausted with this being their 8th game in 14 days  and in a emotional letdown situation are susceptible to down effort. SAN ANTONIO is 10-21 ATS  in home games after a combined score of 225 points or more over the last 2 seasons and is i15-31 ATS  after a combined score of 245 points or more. 

SAN ANTONIO is 0-7 ATS  in home games after scoring 105 points or more 4 straight games this season. SAN ANTONIO is 4-12 ATS  in a home game where the total is 220 to 229.5 this season

NBA Favorites vs. the money line (PHILADELPHIA) - after 3 straight wins by 10 points or more against opponent after a combined score of 245 points or more. are 26-1 with the average margin ppg diff  clicking in at  +13.7 ppg. 

NBARoad favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (PHILADELPHIA) - good team - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game against opponent after leading in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half are 38-11 ATS L/24 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Philadelphia to cover

This is a big game for both sides, but my power rankings suggest the Blazers matchup well  here. The Blazers lost by 1 point the last time these teams played, but with redemption as an added motivational factor the Blazers are the right side. Note: PORTLAND is 26-13 ATS  in road games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons. Celtics are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

NBA Favorites vs. the money line (PORTLAND) - after 3 straight wins by 10 points or more against opponent after a combined score of 245 points or more are 26-1 L/24 seasons for a 96% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Portland Blazers to win 

Today I waited to see if Bucks star Giannis Antetokounmpo would play and he is listed as probable. The last time these top tier teams played the Nets took a closely contested 125-123 victory , but that was with Harden in the lineup. I know the pundits love the Nets, but their biggest weakness remains their defense that allows struggle   117.2 points per 100 possessions and Im betting they are vulnerable in this spot. Meanwhile, The Bucks  own a  w a +5.9 point differential per 100 possessions, 5th best in the league and are top 10 defense that deserves respect especially here at home. Note: Nets: 1-5 away against Central division sides.  Bucks: 6-0 as conference  home favs  vs  .600 or better  opponents. 

NBA Home favorites (MILWAUKEE) - after leading their last 3 games by 5+ points at the half against opponent after a combined score of 235 points or more are 54-29 ATS L/24 seasons for a 65% conversion rate. 

Play on the Milwaukee Bucks to cover

When Karl Anthony Towns is in the Minnesota Wolves lineup this Wolves team seem to find cohesion and chemistry and must not be underestimated. I know the Wolves beat the Pelicans the last time they met 135-105, and now the visiting side is looking for revenge, but unfortunately the matchup stats from the last clash tells me a comparatively  different story. Like Mick Jagger said in his iconic song, You don't always get what you want. Advantage Minnesota. 

NEW ORLEANS is 12-21 ATS  as a favorite this season.  Pelicans are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Pelicans are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite.  

Timberwolves are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall. 

Pelicans are 3-10 ATS in the last 13 meetings.

Play on the Minnesota Wolves

The Pistons were dealing with some fatigue issues recently but now with a couple of days rest Im betting they are ready to compete again, especially against an inconsistent side like Charlotte who according to my projections does not deserve to be this big a favorite. Note: The Pistons also have the added incentive and motivation to get revenge for  105-102 loss to the Hornets on March 11. 

DETROIT is 21-5 ATS  after a game where they failed to cover the spread this season. DETROIT is 14-2 ATS   off a home loss this season.( The Pistons lost last time out and have proven to be a big bounce back side to back when that happens) Pistons are 11-0 ATS in their last 11 games following a double-digit loss at home.

NBA Road teams (DETROIT) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off a home loss by 10 points or more are 114-60 ATS L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Detroit to cover

We have two top tier sides ready to do battle here tonight in Phoenix . However, one team stands out in this matchup as being superior and also being very motivated with double revenge on board and that side is the Utah Jazz who own the  leagues best  scoring margin at +9.5 PPG and 2nd best in DFG percentage. Jazz are 10-4-1 ATS in their last 15 games as a road underdog.

Utah Jazz own the leagues best SRS mark at 9.46 while the Phoenix Suns rank 4th at 5.77.  Note: SRS - Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average

 NBA Road favorites (UTAH) - after a blowout win by 20 points or more against opponent after 3 straight games where both teams scored 100 points or more are 58-29 ATS L/24 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Utah Jazz to cover

With Irving out, the Blazers Im betting have an edge in this contest. The Nets are also on tired legs after playing last night and have not been good bets in back to back affairs. Nets are 6-13 ATS in their last 19 games playing on 0 days rest.

NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (PORTLAND) - after a blowout win by 20 points or more against opponent after scoring 105 points or more 4 straight games are 29-5 L/24 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA road teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (PORTLAND) - after a blowout win by 20 points or more against opponent after scoring 105 points or more 4 straight games are 29-6 SU L/24 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Portland to win 

The Pelicans enter this game having lost 6 of their L/8 and are a hard fought 114-112 loss vs the Denver Nuggets last time out and could easily be susceptible to a emotional letdown scenario. NEW ORLEANS is 11-21 ATS as a favorite this season. Pelicans are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite.  Pelicans are 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings.

NBA  team (NEW ORLEANS) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite of 7 or more, off a cover where the team lost the game straight up as an underdog are 25-58 ATS L/24 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors. ( The Thunder took a 111-110 win las time these teams met this season)

Play on the Oklahoma City Thunder to cover

The Raptors according to my power rankings matchup well vs the Nuggets, and earlier this season gave them a good beating. I know the Nuggets are out looking for revenge, but they are on tired legs and off a grueling affair vs the Pelicans last time out pulling off a 114-112 win and susceptible to a letdown scenario.  DENVER is 4-12 ATS  revenging a road loss vs opponent this season . Nuggets are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite.

Nurse is 11-1 ATS  in road games versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or more  of their shots as the coach of TORONTO.

NBA Home teams (DENVER) - revenging a road blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more, off a close home win by 3 points or less are 26-54 ATS L/24 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors.


 Play on the Toronto Raptors to cover

Minnesota is in a groove and have won 3 straight and 4 of their L/5 and in their current form must be respected as home underdogs vs an over hyped Golden State brand. 

GOLDEN STATE is 7-15 ATS  in road games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more  assists/game this season.GOLDEN STATE is 21-38 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 3 seasons.  Warriors are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games.  Warriors are 9-30 ATS in their last 39 Thursday games. Warriors have failed to cover 6 of L/8 at Minnesota. 

NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (GOLDEN STATE) - an average team (+/- 3 PPG diff.) against a poor team (-3 to -7 PPG diff.) after 42+ games, after trailing in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half are 7-29  L/24 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Minnesota Wolves to cover

Detroit seems to be able to deal with the Canes well, and that was evident in recent back to back wins in this series. I know the Canes have revenge on board, but you don't always get what you want.Red Wings are 10-3 in the last 13 meetings in Carolina.

CAROLINA is 0-5 ATS in home games against poor possession teams-averaging 3+ less shots on goal than opp in the 2nd half of the year over the last 3 seasons.

Play on the Red Wings to cover +1.5 

The Suns come home off an exhausting 5 game road trip and will time to get acclimated to home cooking again, and are at a disadvantage vs a Clipper side that would love to send a message to their upstart conference rivals. Note: Suns: 2-13  L/15 home after  5 or more road games. 

LA CLIPPERS are 16-5 ATS  versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.LA CLIPPERS are 18-8 ATS  when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Play on the LA Clippers to cover

Charlotte lost 114-104 to Milwaukee last night, and susceptible to being trampled on by their hosts tonight. Boston is off three straight losses and will be primed to bounce back in a big way vs a side that smashed them 125-104 a couple of days ago. 

BOSTON is 16-4 ATS  after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games over the last 3 seasons.

Hornets are 0-7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Boston.

NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (BOSTON) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite of 7or more, off a home loss are 115-65 ATS L/24 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Celtics to cover

 Both sides may not inspire bettors but according to my projections the Wolves are the better side, and have been competitive lately with their star Towns back in the lineup winning 3 of their L/5 and showing upward momentum. Meanwhile, the rockets have lost 14 of their L/16 overall and rarely look like their doing anything but going through the motions.  

HOUSTON is 0-8 ATS   off a road cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog over the last 3 season.HOUSTON is 1-8 ATS ( as a home underdog of 6 points or less this seasonHOUSTON is 7-24 ATS  when playing against a team with a losing record this season

NBA  Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (HOUSTON) - after going over the total by more than 24 points in their previous game against opponent after going under the total by 18 or more points total in their last three games are 5-27 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against  85% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Minnesota to cover

The Nets are off a big win, against the Suns, last time out , and will now be in a letdown situation vs the Raptors tonight . Meanwhile, the Raptors despite of still not being a championship side are still a capable side, and have been playing better lately and deserve respect as hosts here. Note: Toronto is 5-0  SU L/5 as hosts in this series.TORONTO is 18-7 ATS when the total is greater than or equal to 230 over the last 3 seasons.

Nets are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS win.Nets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite.

Raptors are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games. 

Play on the Raptors to cover

Charlotte seems to know how to deal with the Bucks and and have beaten twice this season already and despite of the Bucks being in revenge mode are not viable favs here considering they are barely a .500 team on the road dating back to last season, as they are 17-17 away from home and 11-23 ATS L/24 as visitors. CHARLOTTE is 4-0 SU/ against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons. 

The Hornets are 11-0 ATS L/11 10-1 SU off a win as a home dog in which they had 6+ double digit scorers.

 Borrego is 13-3 ATS  in home games versus horrible foul drawing teams - attempting 21 or less free throws/game as the coach of CHARLOTTE. 

Budenholzer is 17-31 ATS  in road games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more  of their attempts as the coach of MILWAUKEE.

MILWAUKEE is 2-12 ATS  in road games after 2 or more consecutive unders over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Road favorites (MILWAUKEE) - extremely tired team - when playing their 3rd game in 4 days, good team, winning 60-75% of their games on the season are 68-105 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 61% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Hornets to cover

Memphis has been a cover machine and they have played quite well of late, but this is a bad spot for them here in the thin air of the mile high city as they play their 7th straight road game and are on now exhausted and on tired legs and very suceptiable to a down effort. 

 
NBA Underdogs (MEMPHIS) - off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as a road underdog, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team are 15-45 ATS L/24 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Denver to cover

The Clippers still have a chance for top seed in the West and Im betting they will be primed to play down the stretch and especially here tonight in revenge mode vs the pesky Pelicans who defeated them 135-113 back in mid march . Note the Clippers  this season when looking to avenge a same-season defeat of 10 or more points,  5-0 SUATS the last five opportunities  and Im betting the 6th straight comes tonight in the Bayou. The explosive Clippers  are also 11-3 SU and 10-4 ATS away taking on  losing sides , including 3-0 SUATS mark when playing with a redemption on their minds.   

LA CLIPPERS are 10-2 ATS  versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.

 NEW ORLEANS is 2-15 ATS in home games versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46%  or better - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

NBA Road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (LA CLIPPERS) - good team - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game, after allowing 55 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games. are 127-78 L/5 seasons for a 62% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the LA Clippers to cover

The Lakers style of play bases its success or failures on their ability to play a top tier brand of defense, but against good ball handling sides like Orlando that type of hoops does not really give value to being a DD favorite as they the Lakers. Note: NBA Home teams vs. the money line (ORLANDO) - good ball handling team - committing 14  or less turnovers/game, after 2 straight games committing 7+ less turnovers than opponents are 37-7 L/5 seasons for a 84% conversion rate.LA LAKERS are 17-35 ATS  versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 3 seasons. LA LAKERS are 2-10 ATS  in a road game where the total is 210 to 219.5 this season.

Play on the Orlando Magic to cover

 Two playoff hopefuls dealing with the ramifications of COVID protocols meet Sunday night when the Sacramento Kings visit the Golden State Warriors for a matchup of Western Conference playoff significance. These sides , both looking for a post season, placings will be primed to play hard, but according to my own numbers this line is bloated considering how rested the Kings are and how important this game is. 

Kings: 6-1  with /3+ days rest . the Warriors are  1-5 as division home favs of  9 points or less. 

SACRAMENTO is 27-11 ATS when playing 4 or less games in 10 days over the last 3 seasons.SACRAMENTO is 9-1 ATS  in road games after a win by 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons.

Play on Sacramento Kings to cover 

  Milwaukee since March 1 of last season, is just  17-16 SU and 11-22 ATS away.  The last time they were visitors was  10 days ago  where they did win and cash vs the  Hawks, 120- 109.  That may have been an aberration  as the Bucks  are just 9-16 ATS away in non- division games, and  4-12 ATS when not favored by 7 or more points. Now with revenge on board it must be noted that   the Hawks are  6-1 ATS at home with same-season double-digit loss revenge when out look for redemption from two straight losses vs the same side which is the case here tonight. Also the Bucks are just 1-10 ATS  off consecutive home games with no rest going against a foe  seeking same-season double revenge (exact). 

MILWAUKEE is 10-22 ATS  in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons

McMillan is 30-12 ATS in home games vs. dominant rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 5+ per game in all games he has coached since 1996.

NBA Underdogs (ATLANTA) - revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, off an upset win over a division rival as an underdog of 6 or more are 69-36 ATS L/24 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Atlanta to cover

The T-Wolves suffered a frustrating last-second 128-125 loss at Sacramento on Wednesday. Towns scored 26 but missed a shot in the final seconds and despite of a not so flattering overall record are playing much more competitive hoops of late and have the ability to hang tough today vs a Utah side that Im sure is over looking them and playing with star Donovan Mitchell;. 

Note: Jazz are just 1-7 ATS L/8 as 10+ ppg fav vs division at home. Meanwhile, the Wolves are 5-1-1 ATS L/7 in a division road game. 

 Timberwolves are 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Utah.Timberwolves are 8-1-1 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up loss.

NBA Home favorites of 10 or more points (UTAH) - after a blowout win by 15 points or more against opponent after scoring 55 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games are 10-33 ATS L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate.   

Road underdogs of 10 or more points (MINNESOTA) - terrible defensive team - shooting pct defense of 48% or more  on the season, averaging 48 or less rebounds/game on the season are 69-34 ATS L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Minnesota to cover

 Detroit was very burned out and rested players last time vs San Antonio and took it on the chin, and now a little bit more rested Im betting their ready to compete again. 

DETROIT is 24-9 ATS  versus good shooting teams - making 46% ofr more  of their shots this season. DETROIT is 11-0 ATS   after a blowout loss by 15 points or more this season.

 INDIANA is 1-10 ATS in home games versus terrible defensive teams - allowing 110+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. Bjorkgren is 0-10 ATS  in home games after a combined score of 235 points or more as the coach of INDIANA.

The Pacers are 0-15 ATS L/15 at home after they has at least twice as many assists as turnovers last game.

Home teams (INDIANA) - off a home no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite, with a losing record are 16-45 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Detroit to cover 

The Knicks seek their first nine-game winning streak in a little over eight years Saturday afternoon when they host the Toronto Raptors and Im betting they get it.

 TORONTO is 4-12 ATS  on the road when the line is +3 to -3 this season. Raptors are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 road games.

Knicks are 21-6-1 ATS in their last 28 games overall.

Thibodeau is 22-5 ATS  when the line is +3 to -3 as the coach of NEW YORK. 

Thibodeau is 15-1 ATS at home when the line is +3 to -3 as the coach of NEW YORK.

 Thibodeau is 12-1 ATS versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game - 2nd half of the season as the coach of NEW YORK.

Play on the NY Knicks to cover

Golden State won the last meeting between these teams back on April 12th here 116-107, and matchup well vs the Nuggets.  DENVER is 0-8 ATS  in road games revenging a road loss vs opponent this season.

GOLDEN STATE is 13-5 ATS in home games versus up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots/game this season.

DENVER is 14-23 ATS  versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game this season.

NBA Road favorites (DENVER) - after 4 or more consecutive wins, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a losing record are 26-61 ATS  L/5 seasons for a go against  70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Golden State to cover

Both team do not inspire bettors but Im betting the Hornets have the edge here a thome. Hornets are 20-7-1 ATS in their last 28 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Hornets are 37-15-1 ATS in their last 53 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Hornets are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

Bickerstaff is 6-22 ATS when playing 6 or more games in 10 days as the coach of CLEVELAND.

CHARLOTTE is 23-11 ATS  versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Home teams vs. the money line (CHARLOTTE) - an average team (+/- 3 PPG differential) against a poor team (-3 to -7 PPG differential), after a blowout loss by 15 points or more are 39-6 L/6 seasons for a 87% conversion rate.

Play on Charlotte to win /cover

The Rockets are in tank mode and not a viable wager here even if some Clipper stars are rested.

The Rockets are 0-18 ATS L/18  at home with less than two days rest coming off a 10+ point loss.

HOUSTON is 4-15 ATS  as a home underdog this season.

 NBA Home underdogs (HOUSTON) - after allowing 110 points or more 4 straight games against opponent after allowing 60 points or more in the first half last game are 24-57 ATS L/24 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Clippers to cover

Both these top tier Eastern Conference sides are coming off losses and on enough rest to have them ready to bounce back here in what Im betting will be a closely contested affair. Also after watching the Bucks lose a hard fought 128-127 affair to the Suns that ended with a controversial call , Im betting they will be in a emotional letdown state and less than 100% mentally because of this, which gives an advantage to the visitings 76ers. Add to that the Sixers have revenge on board for a loss to the Bucks in their previous matchup and will be motivated to perform at top level. 

76ers are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up loss.n76ers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games.

Bucks are 5-16 ATS in their last 21 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Bucks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a home favorite.Bucks are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 home games

NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (PHILADELPHIA) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off a home loss by 10 points or more are 22-5 ATS L/5 seasons for a  82% conversion rate.

NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (MILWAUKEE) - very good team - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game, after 4 straight games where both teams scored 100 points or more are 12-33 ATS L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate.

Play on Philadelphia to cover

Boston catches Phoenix off a hugely emotional 128-127 win last time out vs the Bucks. Thats an advantage for a charged up Celtics team that will be motivated to pull of the upset vs a vulnerable top tier opponent. 

BOSTON is 11-2 ATS  versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.BOSTON is 17-7 ATS  when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 70% or better ) over the last 2 seasons.BOSTON is 27-13 ATS  as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.Stevens is 30-11 ATS versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or better of their shots as the coach of BOSTON.

Play on Boston to cover 

Minnesota and Sacramento played last night with the Wolves upsetting the Kings as underdogs, now thoroughly embarrassed Im betting they stop tanking for one night and come out of this with a motivated win. 

 MINNESOTA is 3-11 ATS  after 1 or more consecutive wins this season.

NBA team (SACRAMENTO) - off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a favorite, a bad team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a losing record are 42-17 ATS L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Kings to cover

San Antonio have played their worst basketball in the Alamo City as is evident by have notching just  12 victories in  their 30 games at home.  The Spurs  won only twice in a nine-game home-stand from March 22 through April 5 and have dropped four straight in its home building.

SAN ANTONIO is 7-18 ATS in home games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.

MIAMI is 19-7 ATS against Southwest division opponents over the last 3 seasons.

NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (MIAMI) - after a blowout win by 20 points or more against opponent after scoring 105 points or more 4 straight games are 25-8 ATS L/24 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Miami to cover 

The Knicks are the real deal and they have chemistry. I know the Hawks are the flashier side, but the Knicks tenacious work ethic sets them apart from alot of mid level competition. NEW YORK is 14-1 ATS  at home when the line is +3 to -3 this season. 

NEW YORK is 9-1 ATS  versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more  of their shots - 2nd half of the season this season. NEW YORK is 10-1 ATS  versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.

NBA Home favorites (NEW YORK) - after beating the spread by 30 or more points total in their last five games, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team are 38-12 L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the NY Knicks to cover

The NBA's top two scorers will go head-to-head when Curry leads the Warriors into the nation's capital to duel Beal and the Washington Wizards. Wizards take care of business vs side like Golden State as they  are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Washington has won five in a row and seven of eight and deserve respect here at home vs the Warriors. 

GOLDEN STATE is 6-14 ATS  in road games versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game this season. GOLDEN STATE is 6-14 ATS  in road games versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game this season.

WASHINGTON is 12-2 ATS  in home games after covering 4 of their last 5 against the spread over the last 3 seasons.

Brooks is 17-5 ATS in home games after covering 4 of their last 5 against the spread as the coach of WASHINGTON. 

NBA team vs the money line (GOLDEN STATE) - off an upset win as an underdog against opponent off 2 consecutive home wins by 10 points or more are 6-32  L/5 seasons for a go against  84% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (GOLDEN STATE) - after beating the spread by 30 or more points total in their last five games against opponent after going under the total by 18 or more points total in their last three games are 12-33 ATS L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate.

Play on Washington to cover

Sacramento ended a 9 game losing streak last time out and now have momentum on their sides vs a Wolves side that has lost 12 of their L/16 games. The Kings also have revenge on board or a 116-106 loss on April 5th. 

MINNESOTA is 11-24 ATS as a road underdog of 6 points or less over the last 3 seasons. MINNESOTA is 6-18 ATS  against Pacific division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Home favorites of 3 to 9.5 points (SACRAMENTO) - revenging a road loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days are 61-25 ATS L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate.

Play on Sacramento Kings to win 

The Pelicans consistently rise to the occasion when playing top tier sides and Im betting on them doing the same again in this tilt. When their 7th ranked ppg offence is hitting on all cylinders any team is susceptible to being beaten including the Brooklyn Nets. 

Pelicans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

NBA Favorites vs. the money line (NEW ORLEANS) - revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, off 2 or more consecutive upset losses as a road favorite are 28-1 L/24 seasons for a 97% conversion rate.

NBA Home teams (NEW ORLEANS) - revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, off 2 or more consecutive upset losses as a road favorite are 24-5 ATS L/24 seasons for a 83% conversion rate.

Play on the New Orleans to win 

The Jazz are on tired legs and banged up entering this game playing their 3rd game in 4 days with some key injuries to Donavan Mitchell, and Rudy Gobert who is he plays will be less than 100%. Meanwhile, the Lakers are also missing their two top players Davis and James, but have come together as a team, behind a top tier brand of defense and deserve respect getting points in this spot play. 

Lakers are 4-0 SU/ATS L/4 at home in this series.

Jazz are 6-13-1 ATS in their last 20 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Jazz are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games.

NBA Road favorites (UTAH) - extremely tired team - when playing their 3rd game in 4 days, good team, winning 60-75% of their games on the season are 67-102 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 61% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Road teams vs. the money line (UTAH) - after going over the total by more than 24 points in their previous game, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 25-4 L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate. 

Play on the LA Lakers to cover 

The Grizzlies beat the Bucks 128-115 in their last contest on Saturday and Im betting they will be in a letdown spot here in the Mile High city tonight. I know the  Nuggets are playing  through the loss of Jamal Murray, who tore the ACL in his left knee last week and is out for the season.  However, Denver has not missed a beat and have won two straight without its point guard and will be highly motivated in this spot play. The Nuggets are 16-11 ATS in 2020-21 when they are at least a 5-point favorite.

Nuggets are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

Grizzlies are 0-3-1 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Denver.

NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MEMPHIS) - after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more against opponent after scoring 55 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games are 11-27 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against  71% conversion rate. 

 NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (MEMPHIS) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off a double digit win as a underdog of 6 points or more are 1-30 L/5 seasons for a 97% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +9.7 ppg. 

Play on the Denver Nuggets to cover 

Sacramento has lost 9 straight games, and could easily be in tank mode. However, their opponent Dallas has also not played all that well of late, losing 4 of their L/6 while failing to cover 5 times. nothing is coming easy for the Mavs of late, and Im betting that will once again be the case tonight.  Carlisle is 13-27 ATS   in home games after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games as the coach of DALLAS. 

 Kings are 5-1 ATS L/6 at Dallas and have won 3 of their L/4 meetings here the heart of Texas. 

The Mavericks are 0-11 ATS L/11  off a home game in which they scored fewer than 10 fast break points.

DALLAS is 1-8 ATS  when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) this season. Mavericks are 9-20 ATS in their last 29 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record. 

NBA Underdogs (SACRAMENTO) - terrible defensive team - shooting pct defense of 48% or more  on the season, after a game - allowing a shooting pct. of 55% or higher are 107-70 L/24 seasons for a 61% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Sacramento to cover

The Magic have revenge on board for an embarrassing  132-90 loss to the Rockets in their season-opener and will be very motivated here today.

The Houston Rockets are 8-62 ATS in their last 70 defeats on the road, including 3-39 ATS versus opponents with  revenge like the Magic. .

HOUSTON is 6-24 ATS  when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

Houston is 1-12 SUATS this season versus non-conference opponents seeking revenge from a same-season loss of 4 or more points . 

NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (ORLANDO) - up-tempo team averaging 83 or more shots/game on the season against opponent after 5 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 47% or higher are 41-17 ATS L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (HOUSTON) - in a game involving 2 up-tempo teams (82 or more shots/game), after 5 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 47% or higher are 18-41 ATS L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate. 

Play on Orlando to win 

NYK have been playing some strong hoops of late, but New Orleans matchup well according to my power rankings vs the Knicks and have the added incentive of revenge here for a loss they suffered at home last week to their hosts today. 

NEW YORK is 1-10 ATS  after successfully covering the spread in 7 or more consecutive games

NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (NEW YORK) - after going over the total by 18 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going under the total by 30 or more points total in their last five games are 85-104 L/5 seasons for a go against 66% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on New Orleans to cover 

The Grizzlies according to my power rankings are one of the most under rated teams in the NBA and deserve respect here vs a Bucks side that is 0-9 ATS L/9 vs Southwest division sides. I know Memphis played yesterday and may not be ready to run and gun in this spot, they do have the weapons needed to be competitive. Note: The Grizzlies are 6-1 L/7 ATS with no rest vs non conference opposition. 

MILWAUKEE is 7-16 ATS   versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more  of their shots this season.MEMPHIS is 8-1 ATS   versus  teams - allowing 110+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.MEMPHIS is 16-7 ATS  in non-conference games this season.

Play on Memphis to cover

The Mavs are tired and I suspect their conditioning is not good, as Cuban and company complain about the condensed schedule. Tonight against a NYK side that has won 4 straight and covered 7 straight Im betting they are in trouble, as the Knicks have the added motivation of revenge for a loss they suffered at home earlier this season to the Mavs. 

DALLAS is 5-14 ATS  when playing 8 or more games in 14 days this season.

The  Mavs are 1-6 ATS  as non-conf favs of 2 or more  pts vs opposition  with revenge.

The Knicks are 13-0 ATS covering by more than 15 ppg after allowing at least 50 points in the paint last game.   NEW YORK is 8-1 ATS  versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.  

NBA Home favorites (DALLAS) - in non-conference games, off a no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite are 57-97 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against  62% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the NY Knicks to cover

The Thunder maybe tanking but there is still some pride left among this young side, and Im betting they will be motivated to get revenge vs a Pistons side that beat them 132-108 at home 10 or so ago at home. OKLAHOMA CITY is 11-3 ATS revenging a same season loss vs opponent this season.  Thunder are  13-2 ATS away vs .400 or less opposition while the  Pistons: 0-6 as home favs vs a side that is an under .500 side.  OKLAHOMA CITY is 28-12 ATS  when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Road teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (OKLAHOMA CITY) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off a home loss by 10 points or more are 24-4 L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate.

Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (OKLAHOMA CITY) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off a home loss by 10 points or more are 22-4 ATS L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate.

Play on Oklahoma City to cover

Milwaukee is off beating up two lower tier teams the Orlando Magic and Minnesota Wolves and are now playing back to back road games which means their not that fresh . Meanwhile, the well conditioned  Hawks are not a team that should be disrespected as they have won 7 of their L/8 overall and out to prove their worthiness and will be motivated to grab a straight up win . Bucks are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 road games and despite of their top tier status dont deserve to be this much of a favorite .  Hawks are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 1 days rest. Hawks are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 home games.

NBA Favorites (ATLANTA) - off an upset win as an underdog, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team are 43-18 ATS L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Atlanta to cover

Chicago has lost 3 straight games and 9 of their L/12 and do not deserve to be this big favorite against any team in the league not even the tanking Orlando Magic. Note: The Magic have revenge on board for DD loss to the Bulls the last time they met this season. NBA Road teams (ORLANDO) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off a home loss by 10 points or more are 111- 57 ATS L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. 

CHICAGO is 39-60 ATS  in home games over the last 3 seasons. CHICAGO is 9-22 ATS  in home games versus sub par defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

ORLANDO is 13-3 ATS  in road games versus struggling  defensive teams - allowing 110+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. 

NBA Road teams (ORLANDO) - cold team - having lost 15 or more of their last 20 games against opponent after having lost 3 of their last 4 games are 69-34 ATS L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA team vs the money line (ORLANDO) - a capable offensive team - scoring 103+ points/game on the season, after scoring 40 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games are 27-6 L/24 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Orlando Magic to cover

The Nets are fresh and ready to get redemption for a ugly loss suffered to the Sixers the last time they played. 
BROOKLYN is 21-9 ATS  in road games revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.

Nets are not be underestimated getting points and are  5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog. Nets are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 road games.

Considering the Sixers are still getting acclimated to home cooking after an extended 4 game road trip Il back the revenge minded side in this spot play. 

 BROOKLYN is 10-1 ATS  after 2 consecutive non-conference games this season.

NBA team vs the money line (BROOKLYN) - off an upset loss as a favorite of 10 points or more, extremely well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 7 days are 27-4 L/24 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors, which qualifies from a under ATS perspective.

Play on Brooklyn to cover

We have two teams playing at the opposite end of the proverbial performance spectrum at the moment going head to head here this evening. The Jazz remain one of the leagues top teams, while the Thunder look to be in tank mode. But Im betting on the Jazz overlooking their downtrodden opponent, while I expect the Thunder to be motivated to play a top tier side, with a nothing to lose attitude. From a linesmakers perspective this is not an outlandish line considering the matchup, but  the NBA is not a cut dry type of league when it comes to deciphering equilibriums , and with that said Ill take a contrarian view and recommend we plug our noses and  take the points. 

Oklahoma City is 4-0 SU L/4 visits to Utah. 

OKLAHOMA CITY is 24-13 ATS  in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.  OKLAHOMA CITY is 18-7 ATS in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons. OKLAHOMA CITY is 31-14 ATS as a road underdog over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Road underdogs (OKLAHOMA CITY) - after being beaten by the spread by 30 or more points total in their last three games, a struggling  team, winning 25% to 40% of their games on the season are 227-154 ATS L/24 seasons for a 60% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Road underdogs of 10 or more points (OKLAHOMA CITY) - after being beaten by the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games, a struggling  team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a winning record are 178-115 ATS L/24 seasons for a 61`% conversion rate.

Play on Oklahoma City to cover 

The Lakers despite of being without their two top players James and Davis have shown themselves to be a difficult team to face, thanks to a very strong defence that ranks 2nd in the league in ppg allowed and 1st in defensive efficiency. Its their conditioning that makes them dangerous because they run constantly in transition. Note:LA LAKERS are 9-1 ATS  in road games when playing 8 or more games in 14 days over the last 2 seasons. I know the Lakers played yesterday and lost, but they are Lakers are 14-6 ATS in their last 20 games as a road underdog and  are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 games playing on 0 days rest and also 4-0 ATS off an SU loss and also 4-0 SU/ATS L/4 meetings in this series. 

Lakers are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 games playing on 0 days rest.

 Charlotte also boasts a strong defensive presence but the Lakers rank higher , and in this type of head to head matchup have an edge according to my projections. 

Hornets are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

Hornets are 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

Play on the Lakers to cover

Denver is off a down performance last time out and now Im betting on a big bounce back effort. 

DENVER is 20-8 ATS  after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 2 seasons

NBA  Road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DENVER) - off an upset loss as a home favorite against opponent off an home win scoring 110 or more points are 28-4 ATS L/24 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Denver to cover

The Bulls were upset last night vs Minnesota , but they are a well conditioned group despite of this being a back to back game, and their 5th and final road game on this current trip. Donovan is 17-5 ATS in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game as the coach of CHICAGO. CHICAGO is 13-4 ATS in road games versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game this season. 

Chicago is 18-10 SU against opponents with a losing record.

The Grizzlies are 12-15 SU in home games.

Bulls are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.

Bulls are 14-5 ATS in their last 19 games as a road underdog.

Bulls are 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings.

Bulls to cover

Dallas lost to San Antonio last night in a close game by a 119-117 count and are now on tired legs against a top tier side that beat them already this year by a DD deficit. Rinse and repeat on tonights agenda. Carlisle is 36-53 ATS  in home games revenging a road loss vs opponent of 10 points or more as the coach of DALLAS. 

DALLAS is 0-7 ATS after 2 straight games where they attempted 90 or more shots this season.

The Seventysixers are 11-0 ATS/SU  as a favorite after being outscored in the paint by double digits last game with each win coming by by more than 5 points. 

PHILADELPHIA is 22-12 ATS  versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game this season.

NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (DALLAS) - terrible defensive team - allowing 103+ points/game on the season against opponent after a blowout win by 20 points or more are 63-105 L/24 seasons for a 63% conversion rate. 

Play on the 76ers to cover

Minnesota has played alot more competitively of late especially with  Karl-Anthony Towns in the lineup covering 6 of their L/9 and once again according to my power rankings  look like viable underdogs in this spot play vs the visiting Chicago Bulls side that has lost 9 of their L/14 SU overall and off a loss last time out. 

CHICAGO is 17-31 ATS  versus up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Bulls are 0-6 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Minnesota.

Play on Minnesota to cover

The Bucks have now lost 3 straight games, and will be vert hungry to get back on the winning track against a Orlando side they match up well against according to my power rankings and SRS numbers data. Milwaukee is ranked 4th in SRS 4.31 while, Orlando is ranked 27th with a -6.94 mark. SRS - Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average. Advantage Milwaukee. 

Bucks are 5-0-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Orlando.

NBA Home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (ORLANDO) - revenging a home loss vs opponent, off a home cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog are 11-33 L/24 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Milwaukee Bucks to cover

The Sacramento Kings have lost 5 straight games, and look very much like they will lose again tonight and by a hefty count vs a Utah side that can crush the best of sides without empathy.

UTAH is 10-2 ATS  in home games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or better of their shots this season . Jazz are 18-4 ATS in their last 22 games as a home favorite.

The Jazz are 16-0 ATS /SU at home after Rudy Gobert had a double double last game.

Play on the Utah Jazz to cover

Playing hard last night in a start to finish win vs the Suns, the clippers now on tired legs and not completely focused on this lowly opponent ( Rockets) should offer room for a cover by the road underdog that has covered 3 of their L/5 and not lost by more than 10 points in their L/8 games. 

HOUSTON is 14-4 ATS  in road games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

LA CLIPPERS are 8-21 ATS  in home games off 3 or more consecutive home wins since 1996

NBA  team (LA CLIPPERS) - after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a bad team (25% to 40%) are 19-57 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate. 

Play on the Rockets to cover 

Neither of these teams is playing all that well of late, but considering this is the Sixers 5th game in 9 days means they are the more tired side here. With that said,  Im betting we have an edge with the home side . SRS numbers -Phil  4.81 vs NO - 0.32- Suggest the number is tainted with general value going to the underdog.

SRS - Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average

76ers are 10-22-2 ATS in their last 34 road games vs. a team with a winning home record

76ers are 1-3-2 ATS in the last 6 meetings. 

Play on the NO Pelicans to cover

 The Pistons have been very competitive of late covering 10 of their L/15 overall, but they did get beat up on by Denver last time out, 134-119. The thin air of the Mile High city and the fact the Pistons were playing back to back games and already on tired legs contributed to their loss. Now with rest Im betting on them coming out here alot fresher vs a Kings side they have revenge against for a 110-107 loss back in late February. 

DETROIT is 8-0 ATS after a blowout loss by 15 points or more this season.

DETROIT is 20-8 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more  of their shots this season.

NBA Road underdogs (DETROIT) - revenging a close loss vs opponent of 3 points or less against opponent off a upset loss as a favorite are 34-8 ATS L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Detroit to cover

The Phoenix suns played and emotional game that ended in a OT win vs Utah last night, and now on tired legs and in an emotional letdown state are susceptible   to being run over by a side that will have little empathy for them, as they look to send a message their upstart conference rivals. 

LA CLIPPERS are 15-7 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record this season. LA CLIPPERS are 62-42 ATS  as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 3 seasons.

NBA road underdogs (PHOENIX) - after going over the total by more than 30 points in their previous game, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 4-24 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 86% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the LA Clippers to cover

Both these sides are playing sub par hoops at the moment, but according to my projections we have value with the home dog in this spot play.

CLEVELAND is 1-9 ATS  as a favorite over the last 2 seasons. CLEVELAND is 0-8 ATS against Northwest division opponents this season.

NBA Road teams vs. the money line (CLEVELAND) - after beating the spread by more than 30 points in their previous game against opponent after being beaten by the spread by 30 or more points total in their last five games are 8-30 L/24 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Oklahoma City to cover 

MLB Home underdogs against a 1.5 run line (PITTSBURGH) - with a team on base percentage .300 or worse on the season (NL), after allowing 8 runs or more 2 straight games are 32-4 L/25 seasons for a 89% conversion rate.

The Jazz will be ramped up take out the Suns this Wednesday night in Phoenix after the Suns took out Utah in their New Year eve game by DDs. Im sure the Jazz were side swiped by a team that they had probably previously over looked. it must be noted that the Jazz since last season have been one of the leagues most dangerous road teams winning 30 off 44 games SU, including a 7-0 SU mark vs a side they have revenge against. Note: Utah is 3rd in ppg allowed defense and 3rd in ppg offense and rank 1st in the NBA in SRS with a 10.02 mark vs the Suns 3rd ranked SRS with a 6.33 mark which includes ranking 5th in defense ppg, and 9th in ppg offense. Utah has won their 3 most recent visits to Phoenix. Rinse and repeat event on board. 

SRS - Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average

NBA teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (PHOENIX) - very good team - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game, after 4 straight games where both teams scored 100 points or more are 9-32 L/5 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors. 

The Phoenix Suns are 4-185-2 ATS at home in SU losses to avenging opponents, including 0-30 ATS in their last 30 games.

Play on Utah to cover

The Atlanta Hawks are a hot team in search of their 14th victory in 18 games under interim coach Nate McMillan and will host the Memphis Grizzlies on Wednesday night. I know they played last night but are a well conditioned team and more than capable of continuing to run and gun here vs a Memphis side that also played last night and , that they this franchise has beaten at home in 17 of their L/24 games.

Hawks are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 home games.

 Grizzlies are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 road games vs. a team with a winning home record and are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 0 days rest.

NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (MEMPHIS) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off a double digit win as a underdog of 6 points or more are 1-29 L/5 seasons for a 97% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at -9.5 ppg. 

Play on atlanta to win /cover

Pistons have played well against top tier sides like Denver as is evident by a  7-0 ATS record  in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. DETROIT is also 11-1 ATS   versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game this season.

Meanwhile, the Nuggets are a sub par  8-18-1 ATS in their last 27 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400 and  is 8-18 ATS after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons. 

I know The Nuggets scored a 119-109 win on Sunday over Orlando for their fifth straight and are hot, but this number is just slightly inflated and gives us some needed value.

Detroit also looked good last time out, taking a 132-108 win vs the Thunder and have momentum entering this tilt.Road underdogs (DETROIT) - off a road win, a bad team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a winning record are a bankroll expanding 52-24 L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate. 

Detroit has covered 4 of the L/5 meetings in this series and Im betting they stay within the number here tonight.

Play on the Pistons to cover

Boston is owns the 6th best SRS in the league at 4.57 while Boston ranks 10th with a 1.96 mark. My projections and power rankings along with the SRS data, makes the 76ers the fav by 2.5 plus points making them my selection this spot. Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average.

PHILADELPHIA is 18-8 ATS  versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more  of their shots this season.

NBA Favorites vs. the money line (PHILADELPHIA) - off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a home favorite against opponent off an home win scoring 110 or more points are 25-1 L/5 seasons for a 96% conversion rate.

Play on the 76ers to cover

The Lakers remain without the services of Anthony Davis and LeBron James and are fade material in their current form that has seen them lose 6 of the L/9 and while covering just 2 times. The Lakers also have a history of poor performances vs the Atlantic division failing to cover 20 of their L/24 opportunities including 4 straight meetings vs the Raptors as visitors. 

Lakers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog.Raptors are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

Play on the Raptors to cover

My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

The Knicks have proved themselves to be a top tier defensive side this season behind key catalyst  Rose  who plays into their system perfectly. Since  Derrick Rose came to this team the Knicks own the  best defense in the NBA  as is evident by allowing just  107.2 points per 100 possessions. Tonight whether James Harden or Durant play for the Nets, I still like the Knicks and their never say die attitude, and hard core physical attributes and team chemistry to make life difficult for the Nets.The Knicks are 9-2 ATS l/11 on the road vs .750 or better opposition. The Knicks have lost both meetings this season, by 5 and 7 points respectively and another close one will be on this agenda , but Im betting on the Knicks tenaciousness to get them the cover in revenge mode. Note:Knicks are  4-0 ATS in this series when playing with same-season double revenge- exact . 

Play on NY Knicks to cover

Angles starter Ohtani is healthy now, but he was not sharp in the spring, putting up a 12.19 ERA in 10 1/3 innings. This is flashing value for me to take the runline here.Right-hander Dylan Cease, who was 5-4 with a 4.01 ERA in 12 starts last season, will be on the mound for the White Sox and Im betting he and his bullpen support  keeps his team in this one til the end.LA ANGELS are 8-13  against the money line when playing against a terrible team (Win Pct. 38% or worse ) over the last 2 seasons. LA ANGELS are 1-12  against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 over the last 2 seasons.

The Nets come into the game 34-15, fresh off an truly eye opening 111-89 win over the Charlotte Hornets on Thursday night. The home blowout represented a fourth straight victory for the Nets, who have won 12 of their last 14 to climb to the top of the Eastern Conference during this hot stretch. This team is heading into top gear and looks unstoppable in their current form especially against an inconsistent Bulls side that looks lost after 6 straight losses where they have been outplayed. Note: The Nets are  14-2 in 2/1 rest situations  and are 6-1 ATS L/7 in this series . Rinse and repeat situation on board. CHICAGO is 0-11 ATS  in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season. 

Even if Durant is not in the lineup today the Nets still have the guns to defeat the Bulls. 

NBA Road teams (BROOKLYN) - after 4 or more consecutive wins, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a losing record are 62-32 ATS L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Brooklyn Nets to win 

Tigers starter  Skubal, one of baseball’s top pitching prospects, won a rotation spot in Detroit based on his impressive Spring Training performance and a focus that impressed manager A.J. Hinch. He faced Cleveland once last year, striking out five over 2 1/3 innings of one-run ball and gets my support here today vs the Indians on the RL/ 

MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (CLEVELAND) - off 2 straight upset losses to division rivals as a road favorite, vs. division opponents are 11-30 L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. 

MLB Road teams against a run line. (+1.5, -130) to (-1.5, +160) (CLEVELAND) - off 2 straight upset losses to division rivals as a road favorite, vs. division opponents are L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Tigers to cover +1.5 

The San Antonio Spurs have not played well at home this season, and have won only twice through the first seven games of their franchise-high 9 game home-stand, and once again look like vulnerable favs in this spot.  Spurs are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. I know that the Pacers are not exactly playing great basketball, but a sense of desperation now permeates around this team, and a win is extremely important right now. This Im betting will see the Pacers pull out all the stops here this evening, making getting points a viable investment  option. 

Pacers are 13-4-1 ATS in their last 18 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.

Pacers are 21-7 ATS in their last 28 games following a double-digit loss at homePacers are 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings.Pacers are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings in San Antonio.

NBA Home teams (SAN ANTONIO) - after going over the total by more than 18 points in their previous game against opponent after going under the total by more than 30 points in their previous game are 31-6 ATS L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate. 

Play on the Indiana Pacers to cover

My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Cleveland has lost 4 straight games by DD deficits and even now in desperation mode look like candidates to be blown out of the water in another  blowout style affair. vs a Heat side that is heating up and that has won and cover 5 straight in this series at home. The Cavaliers are 0-11 ATS /SU failing to cover by more than 14 ppg  as a 8+ point dog after Collin Sexton was their high scorer last game with the average ppg diff clicking in at 25.1 ppg. CLEVELAND is 0-7 ATS  in road games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) this season with the average ppg diff clicking in at -22.4 ppg. 

Play on Cleveland to cover

My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.