All Sports Archive | |||||||
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
01-29-21 | Kings +5.5 v. Raptors | 126-124 | Win | 100 | 12 h 32 m | Show | |
The Kings have covered in three straight games versus the Eastern Conference and according to my projections matchup well here and have are an advantage play. |
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01-28-21 | California v. Arizona State -7.5 | 68-72 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 30 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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01-28-21 | Warriors v. Suns -1 | 93-114 | Win | 100 | 11 h 7 m | Show | |
No rest for either team as Warriors visit Suns but Im betting the home side getting home cooking will be better prepared and ready to run just a little bit harder. NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (PHOENIX) - cold team - failing to cover 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread against opponent after having covered 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread are 75-17 L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate. Play on Phoenix |
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01-28-21 | Sharks +1.5 v. Avalanche | 0-3 | Loss | -118 | 5 h 25 m | Show | |
San Jose is 3-4 in their long road trip to start their season and have been competitive in every game before Tuesday nights drubbing at the hands of Colorado 7-3. Now in bounce back mode Im betting the Sharks being much more competitive vs Avs. COLORADO is 7-12 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons. COLORADO is 5-14 L/19 ATS in home games off a blowout win by 4 goals or more over a division rival. Play on San Jose to cover |
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01-28-21 | Belmont v. Austin Peay +6 | 81-76 | Win | 100 | 15 h 12 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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01-28-21 | UAB v. Middle Tennessee +9.5 | 70-59 | Loss | -101 | 15 h 12 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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01-28-21 | Weber State v. Idaho +12.5 | 81-56 | Loss | -108 | 15 h 11 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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01-28-21 | Lakers -9 v. Pistons | 92-107 | Loss | -113 | 9 h 57 m | Show | |
Detroit is coming off a 122-107 loss at Cleveland on Wednesday. Turnovers led to the Pistons' demise, as they committed 22 that the Cavaliers converted into 30 points and they are in trouble again tonight vs a Lakers side ready to rebound off a loss. DETROIT is 12-27 ATS versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game over the last 3 seasons. Casey is 8-19 ATS versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game as the coach of DETROIT.
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01-28-21 | Blazers v. Rockets -4.5 | 101-104 | Loss | -107 | 8 h 27 m | Show | |
The Blazers are expected to be without CJ McCollum and Jusuf Nurkic and this situation is not a good one for a side that was already playing crap D before these key injuries. |
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01-28-21 | UTEP v. Texas-San Antonio -1 | 79-86 | Win | 100 | 13 h 13 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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01-28-21 | Michigan State +3 v. Rutgers | 37-67 | Loss | -104 | 13 h 13 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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01-27-21 | Mavs +4 v. Jazz | 104-116 | Loss | -109 | 12 h 12 m | Show | |
Mavericks enter this game having gone 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games.Mavericks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog and are 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Tonight against a Utah side that played last night and now tired legs the Mavs have an edge on this line. Note: The Jazz are 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 home games vs. a team with a winning road record and are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 0 days rest.
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01-27-21 | Kansas State +24.5 v. Baylor | 59-107 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 9 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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01-27-21 | Wake Forest v. NC State -7.5 | 67-72 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 47 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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01-27-21 | Bucks -6 v. Raptors | 115-108 | Win | 100 | 8 h 43 m | Show | |
The Raptors are according to my projections actually getting to much respect here vs a Milwaukee team that matches up well against them. I know the Raptors have played well ;lately, but past results do not guarantee future performance, which Im betting is the case here vs the Bucks. TORONTO is 2-11 ATS vs. dominant rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 5+ per game over the last 3 seasons.
NBA Road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MILWAUKEE) - after a cover as a double digit favorite against opponent after a road game where both teams score 100 or more points are 45-15 ATS L/24 seasons for a 75% conversion rate. Play on Milwaukee to cover |
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01-27-21 | Kings +1.5 v. Magic | 121-107 | Win | 100 | 10 h 11 m | Show | |
Kings enter this game well rested and showing a 7-2 ATS record in their last 9 games as a road underdog. Meanwhile, the Magic, are also 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games overall and are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Advantage Sacramento based on overall stats. |
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01-27-21 | Western Carolina +2.5 v. VMI | 61-87 | Loss | -109 | 13 h 5 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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01-27-21 | Vanderbilt +13 v. Florida | 71-78 | Win | 100 | 13 h 35 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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01-26-21 | Georgia Tech v. Duke -5 | 68-75 | Win | 100 | 26 h 59 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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01-26-21 | SE Missouri State v. Tenn-Martin +5 | 66-69 | Win | 100 | 26 h 54 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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01-26-21 | LSU v. Texas A&M +5.5 | 78-66 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 49 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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01-26-21 | Wizards +3.5 v. Rockets | 88-107 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 45 m | Show | |
When the Washington Wizards finally returned to action following a prolonged absence linked to league health and safety protocols, they looked disorganized and took it on the chin. However now with some practice and game time, this well rested side should be more than a handful for a Houston side that is currently being over rated after their big trade. Wizards are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall. Rockets are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. NBA Road underdogs (WASHINGTON) - after a blowout loss by 20 points or more against opponent after 2 straight games where both teams scored 100 points or more are 133-81 ATS L/24 seasons for a 62% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Washington to cover |
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01-26-21 | SIU-Edwardsville v. Eastern Illinois -6.5 | 87-74 | Loss | -108 | 25 h 53 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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01-26-21 | Clippers v. Hawks -5 | 99-108 | Win | 100 | 7 h 50 m | Show | |
Clippers will be without Leonard, George, and Beverley which gives the Hawks a big edge especially with Trae Young now expected to suit up. The Hawks are 10-0 ATS coming off a loss as a dog where they were outscored in the paint by double digits. NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (ATLANTA) - averaging 53 or more rebounds/game on the season, after a game being outrebounded by opponent by 15 or more are 40-17 ATS L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate. Play on Atlanta to cover |
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01-26-21 | Eastern Michigan +11 v. Akron | 65-86 | Loss | -108 | 24 h 24 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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01-25-21 | Thunder +6 v. Blazers | 125-122 | Win | 100 | 12 h 26 m | Show | |
Portland has won six of its last eight games, while the Thunder are 0-3 on a five-game road trip that concludes Wednesday against the Phoenix Suns. Both teams look to performing at the opposite end of the performance spectrum, but my power ratings suggest a closer game than the linemakers number indicates. OKLAHOMA CITY is 23-11 ATS in road games versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game over the last 2 seasons. OKLAHOMA CITY is 12-1 ATS in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons. OKLAHOMA CITY is 23-7 ATS as a road underdog over the last 2 seasons NBA Underdogs (OKLAHOMA CITY) - off 3 or more consecutive road losses, playing on back-to-back days are 25-3 ATS L/5 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Oklahoma City Thunder to cover |
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01-25-21 | Celtics v. Bulls +5.5 | 119-103 | Loss | -114 | 10 h 45 m | Show | |
The Chicago Bulls are off a loss last time out vs the Lakers and are now ready for a bounce back performance vs the Celtics. The Bulls are 11-2 ATS L/13 as a dog. NBA Road favorites (BOSTON) - extremely tired team - when playing their 3rd game in 4 days, good team, winning 60-75% of their games on the season are 75-42 L/5 seasons for a 62% conversion rate. Play on Chicago Bulls to cover |
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01-25-21 | Texas Tech +2.5 v. West Virginia | 87-88 | Win | 100 | 25 h 44 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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01-25-21 | Nuggets -1.5 v. Mavs | 117-113 | Win | 100 | 11 h 42 m | Show | |
Denver behind a top 5 offense has revenge on board for a previous loss to the Mavs, 124-117 at home 2 1/2 weeks ago and will now be primed to play hard tonight. The Nuggets 12-3-1 ATS as a dog with revenge in this series. With the Mavericks off back to back games with in-state rivals Houston and San Antonio Im expecting a deflationary situation for them here tonight. NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (DENVER) - revenging a home loss vs opponent against opponent off an upset loss as a home favorite are 34-11 ATS L/5 seasons fkor a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Denver to cover |
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01-25-21 | Hornets v. Magic +1 | 108-117 | Win | 100 | 9 h 44 m | Show | |
The Hornets made a big comeback last night and then finally won 107-104 on Gordon Hayward's tie breaking shot on a drive to the basket with less than a second remaining. I now expect a bounce back by the Magic, here in the rematch. NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (ORLANDO) - cold team - failing to cover 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread against opponent after having covered 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread are 74-17 L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Orlando to cover |
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01-25-21 | Raptors v. Pacers -2.5 | 114-129 | Win | 100 | 2 h 0 m | Show | |
Indiana Pacers first-year coach Nate Bjorkgren will have his team primed to gain a split with his former boss and Toronto Raptors coach Nick Nurse Monday night when the teams complete a two-game set at Indianapolis.The Raptors won the opener of the back-to-back games 107-102 this past Sunday . Play on the Pacers to cover |
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01-24-21 | Hawks +8.5 v. Bucks | 115-129 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 41 m | Show | |
Atlanta is one of the most under rated teams in the NBA behind Clint Capella who currently ranks No. 2 in the NBA in Rebounds Per Game, and future super star guard Trae Young (22.6 PPG) . We all know how powerful the Bucks can be but this line according to my projections is slightly bloated and offers value for advantage players. MILWAUKEE is 10-21 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 season. |
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01-24-21 | Hornets v. Magic -1 | 107-104 | Loss | -106 | 9 h 43 m | Show | |
In a game that features two struggling sides, one of these teams is the lesser of two evils according to my power rankings . With that said Im betting on the Magic coming out of this with a victory especially with Fournier back int he lineup tonight. |
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01-24-21 | Bills +3 v. Chiefs | 24-38 | Loss | -100 | 59 h 59 m | Show | |
Two strong teams with two top tier QBs Josh Allen (107.2 QB Rating) , and Patrick Mahomes (108.2 ) go head to head. The game is expected to be close, but I like the Bills here getting points vs a side that 0-8-1 ATS L/9. Buffalo is 11-5-1 ATS the past couple of seasons as a underdog of 6 or less points. Bills head coach Sean McDermott 8-1 ATS as a non-division dog vs an above .500 opponent. BUFFALO is 8-1 ATS in games where the line is +3 to -3 this season. NFL Home teams vs. the money line (KANSAS CITY) - after failing to cover the spread in 8 or more of their last 10 games against opponent after covering the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games are 3-20 L/37 seasons for a 87% conversion rate. Play on Buffalo to cover |
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01-24-21 | Thunder +13.5 v. Clippers | 100-108 | Win | 100 | 6 h 54 m | Show | |
The Clippers will attempt to extend their season-high six-game winning streak in their second meeting with the Thunder in less than 48 hours. Im betting they might get it here, and obviously deserve to be favored, but the Thunder, according to my projections matchup well enough to get us the cover. OKLAHOMA CITY is 11-1 ATS in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons. OKLAHOMA CITY is 15-3 ATS in road games after playing a road game over the last 2 seasons. LA CLIPPERS are 8-21 ATS after 4 straight games outrebounding opponent by 5 or more since 1996. (OKLAHOMA CITY) - well rested team - playing 6 or less games in 14 days, with a losing record are 115-68 ATS L/5 seasons for a 63% conversion rate.
Play on Oklahoma City to cover |
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01-24-21 | Bucs +3.5 v. Packers | 31-26 | Win | 100 | 49 h 29 m | Show | |
The Bucs blitzed Aaron Rodgers on 18-of-41 drop backs in the first game they played against each other, and Im betting that kind of pressure will be on todays agenda. Advantage Bucs as underdogs in a game that could easily be a pickem. TAMPA BAY is 8-2 ATS versus good offensive teams - averaging 5.65 or more yards/play this season. TAMPA BAY is 7-1 ATS in all games where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 this season. NFL Road teams (TAMPA BAY) - mistake-free team (1.25 or less TO/G committed) vs a team with 1.25 or less TO/G forced after 8+ games, after 4 consecutive games where they committed 1 or less turnovers are 40-14 ATS L/37 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. NFL Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (GREEN BAY) - after scoring 25 points or more in 2 straight games against opponent after a playing a game where 50 total points or more were scored are 14-39 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Tampa Bay to cover |
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01-24-21 | Rutgers +3.5 v. Indiana | 74-70 | Win | 100 | 3 h 1 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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01-23-21 | Pacific +26.5 v. Gonzaga | 49-95 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 14 m | Show | |
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01-23-21 | Lakers v. Bulls +9 | 101-90 | Loss | -103 | 12 h 8 m | Show | |
The Lakers are obviously the superior side here, but the Bulls have proven themselves resilient this season, especially when getting points. More of the same action on tape in this spot play. CHICAGO is 9-1 ATS versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.CHICAGO is 8-1 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season. CHICAGO is 8-1 ATS in non-conference games this season. Take the points with the Chicago Bulls to cover |
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01-23-21 | Colorado v. Washington State +10 | 70-59 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 19 m | Show | |
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01-23-21 | Pelicans -8 v. Wolves | 110-120 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 36 m | Show | |
With Karl-Anthony Towns out of the Minnesota lineup they just dont have much flow, and the chemistry looks bad as well , as is evident by 11 losses in 12 games including 4 straight defeats with 3 coming by DDs. I know New Orleans is not playing alot better, but they are a viable option vs this type of lower tier competition. |
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01-23-21 | 76ers v. Pistons +6.5 | 114-110 | Win | 100 | 3 h 5 m | Show | |
Detroit has for the most part been competitive this season despite of their ugly record. QUOTE: "We're finding ways to get back into it, to get ourselves in a position to win," Casey said. "We're due. We're due to have some good luck." END QUOTE Im betting Philadelphia may overlook this opponent giving us value on the line. PHILADELPHIA is 2-12 ATS in road games after scoring 110 points or more 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons.NBA Road favorites (PHILADELPHIA) - extremely tired team - when playing their 3rd game in 4 days, good team, winning 60-75% of their games on the season are 82-57 L/5 seasons for a 63% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home underdogs (DETROIT) - after 2 or more consecutive losses, playing on back-to-back days are 65-30 ATS L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate.Play on Detroit to cover |
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01-23-21 | St Bonaventure v. Duquesne +5.5 | 65-61 | Win | 100 | 11 h 11 m | Show | |
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01-23-21 | Cal Poly +16.5 v. Cal-Irvine | 44-67 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 8 m | Show | |
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01-23-21 | Miami-OH v. Eastern Michigan +1.5 | 85-63 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 43 m | Show | |
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01-23-21 | Arkansas State +10 v. UL - Lafayette | 74-77 | Win | 100 | 9 h 12 m | Show | |
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01-23-21 | Akron v. Western Michigan +8.5 | 79-68 | Loss | -114 | 9 h 11 m | Show | |
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01-23-21 | Illinois-Chicago v. Youngstown State +1 | 77-85 | Win | 100 | 9 h 9 m | Show | |
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01-23-21 | Dayton v. VCU -5 | 43-66 | Win | 100 | 9 h 36 m | Show | |
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01-23-21 | Tenn-Martin +12.5 v. Morehead State | 44-76 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 16 m | Show | |
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01-23-21 | Western Carolina +8.5 v. Wofford | 78-91 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 15 m | Show | |
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01-23-21 | Southern Miss v. Texas-San Antonio -5.5 | 72-78 | Win | 100 | 6 h 5 m | Show | |
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01-23-21 | Montana -2.5 v. CS Sacramento | 83-89 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 23 m | Show | |
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01-23-21 | Baylor -8.5 v. Oklahoma State | 81-66 | Win | 100 | 6 h 17 m | Show | |
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01-23-21 | Delaware v. NC-Wilmington -4.5 | 70-77 | Win | 100 | 5 h 17 m | Show | |
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01-22-21 | Thunder +13 v. Clippers | 106-120 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 46 m | Show | |
The Thunder have been in a funk lately and desperate to get back into a winning groove. I know that wont come easily vs the Clippers, but with this being the home sides 4th game in 4 nights and on tired legs the Thunder have an edge on this line . There are positives with supporting the Thunder as a bettor as they are 6-2 ATS in their last eight road games, 4-1 ATS in their last five games against a team with a winning record and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games playing on two days rest. OKLAHOMA CITY is 22-11 ATS in road games versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.OKLAHOMA CITY is 15-3 ATS in road games after playing a road game over the last 2 seasons. OKLAHOMA CITY is 9-1 ATS in a road game where the total is 220 to 229.5 over the last 2 seasons. OKLAHOMA CITY is 22-7 ATS as a road underdog over the last 2 seasons. NBA Underdogs of 10 or more points (OKLAHOMA CITY) - well rested team - playing 6 or less games in 14 days, with a losing record are 115-67 ATS L/5 years for a 63% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Oklahoma City to cover |
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01-22-21 | Nuggets v. Suns -2 | 130-126 | Loss | -104 | 10 h 44 m | Show | |
Nuggets Malone said he would like to give Murray and Jokic some time off, but with the upcoming schedule and the importance of the games it is difficult to find time. QUOTE: "Five games in (eight) days, it's really hard to do that," Malone said. END QUOTE: The key duo are tired. Advantage Phoenix . DENVER is 7-21 ATS in road games after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons. Malone is 0-8 ATS in road games after a cover as a double digit favorite as the coach of DENVER. |
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01-22-21 | Denver +14.5 v. North Dakota State | 58-70 | Win | 100 | 25 h 40 m | Show | |
01-22-21 | Celtics +5 v. 76ers | 110-122 | Loss | -106 | 9 h 30 m | Show | |
The Sixers were swept by the Celtics in the first round of last season's playoffs in the Orlando bubble. Embiid hasn't forgotten the feeling or so the media story spin is putting it. Now Embiid thanks to off season conditioning is now a god among men according to the media, and will slice through a group that dominated them last season. Im not buying. it, and now instead will take a contrarian stance, and take the points with Boston. BOSTON is 20-8 ATS as an underdog over the last 2 seasons. |
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01-22-21 | Cal Poly +16.5 v. Cal-Irvine | 49-68 | Loss | -109 | 23 h 11 m | Show | |
01-22-21 | Arkansas State +10.5 v. UL - Lafayette | 68-81 | Loss | -105 | 23 h 10 m | Show | |
01-22-21 | Southern Miss v. Texas-San Antonio -5 | 64-70 | Win | 100 | 23 h 9 m | Show | |
01-22-21 | Illinois-Chicago v. Youngstown State +1.5 | 67-66 | Win | 100 | 21 h 12 m | Show | |
01-21-21 | Pelicans +7 v. Jazz | 118-129 | Loss | -112 | 14 h 17 m | Show | |
analysis to follow thank you for your patience Van Gundy is 79-52 ATS off a road loss by 10 points or more in all games he has coached since 1996. NBA team (UTAH) - after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a bad team (25% to 40%) are 17-53 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors. New Orleans to cover |
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01-21-21 | SIU-Edwardsville v. Tennessee State -3.5 | 67-65 | Loss | -108 | 26 h 8 m | Show | |
01-21-21 | Montana +1 v. CS Sacramento | 78-66 | Win | 100 | 25 h 24 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned |
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01-21-21 | Tenn-Martin +15 v. Eastern Kentucky | 73-113 | Loss | -109 | 25 h 9 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned |
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01-21-21 | Eastern Illinois +13 v. Belmont | 66-79 | Push | 0 | 25 h 7 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned |
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01-21-21 | Lakers +2 v. Bucks | 113-106 | Win | 100 | 8 h 52 m | Show | |
In a game in fron of no fans, Im betting on the better side pulling off the win in a West vs East super matchup. As good as Giannis Antetokounmpo is , and as much as he brags about his obvious prowess, he has yet to put his money where his mouth is. Meanwhile, LeBron James and company are the real deal, and until the Greek Freak and step up in big games, Ill be fading him in this type of line. |
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01-21-21 | Wichita State v. Memphis -3 | 52-72 | Win | 100 | 24 h 9 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned |
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01-21-21 | Central Michigan +11 v. Akron | 67-81 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 20 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned |
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01-20-21 | Kings +10.5 v. Clippers | 96-115 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 42 m | Show | |
I know the Kings have not played inspirational basketball for a while now, but they still matchup well enough vs the Clippers to cover a line that is partly based on recency bias and brand acceptability. SACRAMENTO is 11-2 ATS in road games after having lost 6 or 7 of their last 8 games over the last 3 seasons
Play on the Sacramento Kings to cover |
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01-20-21 | Colorado v. Washington +13 | 80-84 | Win | 100 | 12 h 35 m | Show | |
01-20-21 | Pistons +5 v. Hawks | 115-123 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 8 m | Show | |
Pistons have been playing very hard and are expected to have most of their regular starters tonight vs Atlanta . It must be noted that 6 of 9 Pistons defeats have been within 5 points in the last 5 minutes of play.ATLANTA is 1-10 ATS versus good pressure defensive teams - forcing 16 or more turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons. Detroit is 3-1 SU/ATS L/4 in Atlanta. Play on Detroit Pistons to cover |
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01-20-21 | Loyola-Chicago v. Valparaiso +12 | 75-39 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 36 m | Show | |
01-20-21 | Kentucky -3 v. Georgia | 62-63 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 36 m | Show | |
01-20-21 | Rhode Island v. Duquesne +5.5 | 69-71 | Win | 100 | 9 h 36 m | Show | |
01-20-21 | Fordham +18 v. Davidson | 58-73 | Win | 100 | 4 h 35 m | Show | |
01-19-21 | Pelicans +6 v. Jazz | 102-118 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 59 m | Show | |
The Jazz may have won 5 straight but there are still some hiccups, and they far from perfect, especially at home where they have gone just 2-2 SU . Pelicans still jelling but I like their chances here tonight to get us the cover. Jazz are 6-14-2 ATS in their last 22 home games. Jazz are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite. The Jazz are 0-9 ATS /1-8 SU as a favorite off a game as a favorite where they rebounded less than 20% of their own misses the only win came by just 3 points. NBA Road teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (NEW ORLEANS) - after going over the total by 30 or more points total in their last five games, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a winning team are 34-13 ATS vL/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on New Orleans to cover |
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01-19-21 | Ole Miss v. Mississippi State -2 | 64-46 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 32 m | Show | |
01-19-21 | SE Missouri State v. Tennessee State -4.5 | 63-59 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 32 m | Show | |
01-19-21 | Kansas State +14.5 v. Oklahoma | 50-76 | Loss | -111 | 7 h 3 m | Show | |
01-18-21 | New Mexico +12 v. UNLV | 46-53 | Win | 100 | 12 h 55 m | Show | |
01-18-21 | Kansas +9 v. Baylor | 69-77 | Win | 100 | 11 h 11 m | Show | |
Baylor is obviously a public favorite and the new power house on the national scene and the Big 12 where they reside. However it must be noted that Kansas beat Baylor on the road at the end of last season and really must be respected and given the benefit of the doubt as a pernial power 5 program. You can bet that these kids on the Jayahwsk roster know what the line is here, and are feeling under appreciated and defintely not be respected which Im betting will bring the best out in them. Meanwhile, Baylor showed their vulnerabilty as mere mortals last time by converting just 41.8 percent of their shots and was outrebounded in the win at Texas Tech, and were also held to fewer than 70 points for the second straight game after averaging 91.2 points through their first 10 games. Bill Self'sability to have his team ready gives me confidence in taking points here this evening. KANSAS is 13-2 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. KANSAS is 7-0 ATS in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing 64 or less points/game over the last 2 seasons. KANSAS is 11-1 ATS in road games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons. KANSAS is 19-2 ATS after allowing 45 points or more in the first half last game since 1997. Scott Drew is 2-10 ATS at home against Kansas in his career at Baylor, including 0-5 as the favorite. |
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01-18-21 | Rockets +1 v. Bulls | 120-125 | Loss | -112 | 12 h 49 m | Show | |
Chicago was really struggling having lost 4 straight games before last nights road victory vs the Dallas Mavericks, and are fade material here on tired legs despite of Houstons changes of late. The Rockets according to my matchup power rankings are a viable bet in this spot. Bulls are 9-20 ATS in their last 29 games following a straight up win.Bulls are 9-21-1 ATS in their last 31 Monday games.Bulls are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite. Bulls are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (CHICAGO) - after going over the total by more than 24 points in their previous game against opponent after going under the total by 18 or more points total in their last three games are 3-24 L/5 seasons for a go against 89% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Houston to cover |
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01-18-21 | Suns -3 v. Grizzlies | 104-108 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 40 m | Show | |
The Grizzlies have won 4 straight games, but Im betting that with this being their 4th game in less than a week, they will be at a disadvantage vs a Suns side that has the ability to make them work hard here, which makes the young men from Memphis susceptible to a 2nd half meltdown. Suns are 17-5 ATS in their last 22 games overall and are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games as a favorite.Suns are also 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games playing on 1 days rest and are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 road games. PHOENIX is 15-4 ATS in road games after scoring 105 points or more 4 straight games over the last 3 seasons. MEMPHIS is 4-17 ATS when playing 4 or less games in 10 days over the last 2 seasons. NBA home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (MEMPHIS) - terrible defensive team - allowing 103+ points/game on the season, after a close win by 3 points or less are 39-76 L/24 seasons for a go against 66% conversion rate for bettors. Phoenix Suns to cover |
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01-18-21 | Spurs -1.5 v. Blazers | 125-104 | Win | 100 | 6 h 16 m | Show | |
HC Popovich has as way of having his teams ready to play top teir opponents, and tonight Im betting the Spurs will primed for the road win vs Portland. Popovich is 267-221 ATS (+23.9 Units) when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) as the coach of SAN ANTONIO. Stotts is 69-92 ATS against Southwest division opponents as the coach of PORTLAND PORTLAND is 8-18 ATS in home games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game over the last 2 seasons. NBA Road teams (SAN ANTONIO) - off a win against a division rival, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season are 68-34 ATS L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play on San Antonio to cover |
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01-18-21 | Wolves +8 v. Hawks | 97-108 | Loss | -106 | 6 h 56 m | Show | |
Hawks despite of some star talent in their lineup are not a cohesive team, and should not garner this much respect not even against the struggling Timberwolves. Note: Hawks are 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a home favorite. Hawks are 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 home games and are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record and are also just 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. NBA Road teams (MINNESOTA) - off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a favorite, a bad team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a losing record are 24-4 ATS L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Minnesota to cover |
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01-18-21 | Magic -2 v. Knicks | 84-91 | Loss | -107 | 2 h 31 m | Show | |
The New York Knicks delivered a huge victory that felt like it was years in the making on Sunday when they routed the Boston Celtics. But now after playing all out and now in a letdown state and on tired legs as they are on back to back tilts, Im expecting the Magic come out of this with a win. ORLANDO is 26-13 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. ORLANDO is 25-14 ATS as a favorite over the last 2 seasons. |
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01-17-21 | Pacers +6 v. Clippers | 96-129 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 47 m | Show | |
This is the last game of the Pacers 4 game west coast road trip which has seen them go 2-1 so far, and because of the lack of entetainment venues open because of covid , Im sure they are not that tired as a team, as rest and relaxation are key to every day life in the NBA right now . The Pacers are also according to my projections a much higher rating side than the linesmakers are giving them credit for here this evening in LA vs the Clippers.Meanwhile, the Clips are off a tilt where they shot the lights out in a 138-100 win vs the Kings, and could easily see a reversion to the mean here offensively, against one of the better defences in the league. Lue is 10-25 ATS in home games after a combined score of 225 points or more in all games he has coached in his career. Pacers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog. Pacers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Clippers are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 home games. |
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01-17-21 | Jazz -1 v. Nuggets | 109-105 | Win | 100 | 4 h 47 m | Show | |
Utah has won 4 straight and are playing their best hoops of the season. The Nuggets could again be without Gary Harris, who has missed two straight games for personal reasons, and Michael Porter Jr. is out because of COVID-19 protocols which puts them at a disadvantage vs a motivated side lookin g for revenge from their play off series vs the Nuggets this past season in the bubble. Snyder is 21-7 ATS in road games after 3 straight games outrebounding opponent by 5 or more as the coach of UTAH. Play on Utah to cover |
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01-17-21 | Bucs +3 v. Saints | 30-20 | Win | 100 | 8 h 13 m | Show | |
The Saints beat Tom Brady and company have lost both meetings this season but it must be noted that Brady is 18-3 SU revenging a division loss and 13-1 SU/ATS vs sides wtih a .300 record or better with the only loss coming to the Saints this season. Brady has never lost 3 times in a row to any team,. Considering HC Arians has won 16 of 23 road games vs division opposition and Brady seething with retribution at hand Im betting on TB getting us the cover. |
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01-17-21 | Northern Iowa +11 v. Loyola-Chicago | 46-88 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 31 m | Show | |
01-17-21 | Memphis -1.5 v. Tulsa | 57-58 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 32 m | Show | |
01-17-21 | UCF +14 v. Houston | 58-75 | Loss | -104 | 6 h 32 m | Show | |
01-17-21 | Penn State v. Purdue -5 | 72-80 | Win | 100 | 5 h 33 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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01-17-21 | Northeastern v. College of Charleston +1.5 | 68-66 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 32 m | Show | |
01-16-21 | California +12 v. Utah | 72-63 | Win | 100 | 12 h 28 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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01-16-21 | Washington State +13 v. USC | 77-85 | Win | 100 | 12 h 58 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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01-16-21 | North Dakota State v. North Dakota +6.5 | 78-82 | Win | 100 | 11 h 53 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |