Marshall is off a hard fought 75-74 loss to Toledo last time out at home and will now be in a letdown spot here in the followup tilt Note: MARSHALL is 7-18 ATS off a home loss by 3 points or less .

Play on Morehead State to cover 

The Knicks in their current form don't inspire bettors, but my projections estimate this line to be bloated, making the Hornets fade material in this spot. Also the Hornets are off a hard fought win vs Denver last time out. I watched part of that game and you could tell this  Charlotte team was working hard and playing with intensity, which Im betting will have them in a natural letdown situation here today vs a side that not only does not inspire bettors, but their opposition as well. 

CHARLOTTE is 11-29 ATS against Atlantic division opponents over the last 3 seasons.

Hornets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Hornets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.Hornets are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.

Knicks are 6-1 ATS L/7 overall in this series and 4-0 SU/ATS  L/4 here at home in MSG. 

Play NY Knicks to cover 

Im very surprised at how badly the San Antonio Spurs have performed this season, and how atrocious their defence has been overall. With that said, and  from a matchup perspective when factoring in player vs player and system vs system, Utah matches up very well vs their hosts and get my support here based on some long standing strategies I've had success with over the years from a long term perspective. Note:  The Jazz set a franchise record with 20 three-pointers made in Monday's win over San Antonio, shooting 60.6 percent (20-33) from beyond the arc on their way to their 34-point win. 

 I know the Spurs showed some life last time out coming from behind to win 130-122 vs the Lakers, but they exerted a great deal of energy in that game, and could suffer the effects of that hard work here vs a physical Utah Jazz team.Note: The Spurs, haven't won back-to-back games since winning four straight in an eight-day span Oct. 27-Nov. 3 and Im betting they falter here today. 

Utah is off a 118-91 win vs Houston last time out. 

NBA Favorites vs. the money line (UTAH) - after a blowout win by 15 points or more against opponent after 4 straight games where both teams scored 100 points or more are 70-13 L/5 seasons for a 84% conversion rate for bettors with the combined average point differential clicking in at 9.8 pg.

NBA Home underdogs (SAN ANTONIO) - revenging a blowout loss vs opponent of 30 points or more against opponent off an home win scoring 110 or more points are 15-45 L/22 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on Utah to cover 

at Talking Stick Resort Arena - Phoenix, AZ

Nevada (9-0) is off to its best start in school history and is currently 5-0 during a six-game road trip, with 25 days between home games. Thanks to this big time start, they are being made hefty DD chalk in a neutral court environment.But the 5-3 Antelopes, who are coached by Dan Majerle, who spent a good portion of his professional career in the Valley of Sun must not be underestimated in their ability to cover this number and be fairly competitive vs a behemoth side.In two of their losses, Grand Canyon let a late lead slip away against Seton Hall  and a slow start saw them lose to Utah despite of not looking out of place and at times dominated that game. Since those two losses, however they have won two straight, defeating LaSalle and Boise State and come in here with momentum. 

Play on Grand Canyon to cover 

The Broncos at press time of this recommended investment option are 6-point favorites on the road against the San Francisco 49ers. The line was bet up  squarely from 3.5 on the opener, by public money, but after the rapid upswing in that movement ,sharp bettors came in with their money on the home underdog and rightly so based on line value alone. Despite of the Broncos current 3-0 run and the Niners dismal back to back blowout  losses at the hands of Seattle 43-16 last week and TB the week before 27-9  I still believe that the Niners can bounce back here at home or at least be very competitive. In the 49ers L/2 home efforts before the above mentioned road fiascos they beat up an up-trending Oakland side 34-3 and stayed very close vs a better than advertised NY Giants group 27-23. With that said , Im betting on the disrespected home dog, to stand tall here and get us the cover behind the arm of a improving QB Mullens who has  completed 64.5% of his passes for 1,147 yards, seven touchdowns, and  has also posted a 91.5 passer rating so far this season and must not be underestimated. I am also betting on a SF side that was ranked 10th vs the run before last Sundays tilt vs the Seahawks to rebound this week, and slow the Broncos key mode of moving the chains  running back Phillip Lindsay,

Broncos are 5-12-1 ATS in their last 18 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.Broncos are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games in Week 14.Broncos are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.

49ers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.49ers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game

Play on the 49ers to cover 

The Pelicans and Anthony Davis come into Motown to play a banged up group of Pistons hobbled by injuries. Davis  loves to play against the Pistons as is evident by averaging  30.4 points in 10 games against them, his highest career mark against any opponent. Im betting he will flourish again against a team that will have rotational issues with player personal adjustments expected. 

DETROIT is 4-14 ATS versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game over the last 2 seasons.DETROIT is 19-38 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons. 

The Pistons are own a ugly 1-11 SU and 3-9 ATS record in this series, including 1-5 SUATS the last six at home.

Play on the New Orleans Pelicans to cover 

Carolina has lost 4 straight games despite of winning the stats battles in the L/3 tilts and  are now .500 on the  season and desperately need a win here this week to have hopes of being in the NFL playoff picture.  This week I expect the Panthers get what they so desperately want, vs a Cleveland team that despite showing promise,  are being out gained  -63 YPG during the 2nd half of the season behind a 30th ranked defense .  note: HC Ron Rivera is 7-1 SU and 7-0-1 ATS career mark during the final four games of the season when coming off a loss . Rivera is also 8-0 ATS  in road games after failing to cover the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games as the coach of CAROLINA. 

CLEVELAND is 4-15 ATS  versus poor defensive teams - allowing 5.65 or more  yards/play over the last 3 seasons.CLEVELAND is 3-15 ATS  vs. awful passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 64% or worse over the last 3 seasons. CLEVELAND is 2-11 ATS after gaining 75 or less rushing yards last game over the last 3 seasons. 

NFL Home teams (CLEVELAND) - good rushing team (4.5 or more YPR) against a team with an average rushing defense (3.5 to 4.5 YPR), after gaining 50 or less rushing yards last game are 5-23 ATS L/35 seasons for a go against 82% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on Carolina to cover 

The KC Chiefs are explosive offensively but they have really struggled on D ranking 2nd to last last in the league . Meanwhile, the Baltimore Ravens own the best defense in the league and a viable enough offence to put a boat load full of points on the board vs this type of porous side. It must also be noted that the Ravens are strong  12-0  ATS L/12 as a underdog on a natural surface when they are playing a team with a better record than them and must not be underestimated in their ability to slow down the Chiefs here. Baltimore is also 11-1 ATS in road games versus terrible defensive teams - allowing 375 or more yards/game in the second half of the season since 1992.  Chiefs are fun to watch but they have some short comings, and as public favs look week in this spot. Remember despite of  10-2 this season,  5 wins have come vs dregs like  Browns,, Bengals, , Raiders ,Cardinals and 49ers. 

Baltimore has won their L/3 visits to KC and get the nod here again.

Play on the Baltimore Ravens to cover 

 The public is all over the Saints here this week against the lowly Bucs. But it must be noted from a long term historical trends perspective this type of fav bet is not a very good one as NFL Road teams (NEW ORLEANS) - dominant team - outscoring opponents by 10 or more points/game, after allowing 14 points or less last game , which happened last time  out, are just 6-25 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors. It must also be noted that the Saints are just 3-4 in the stats battles in their L/7 and off a ugly loss to Dallas last week, Im betting we a have a public favourite that Im betting won't live up to expectations here on the road this week in TB a place where Drew Brees and company have lost their last two trips. 

HC Payton is 2-11 ATS in road games after having won 8 or more out of their last 10 games as the coach of NEW ORLEANS. Bucks are 6-1 ATS L/7 as home dogs and 3-0 SU/ATS L/3.

Take the points with the TB Bucs 

Coming off a game vs nationally ranked Virginia will have VMI ready to compete here vs a Chattanooga side that they matchup well against in this conference opener. 

UT-CHATTANOOGA is 8-18 ATS L/26 in all home games over the last 3 seasons. 

UT-CHATTANOOGA is 2-9 ATS  in home games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons and is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in home games vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% or more  of their attempts over the last 3 seasons and is 6-15 ATS  versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 3 season. 

The Keydets have taken three of the past four matchups including a season sweep last year (70-69 at Chattanooga, 68-65 in Lexington).VMI is 2-0 SU/ATS L/2 visits here.

Play on VMI to cover 

This game features Western Conference competitors vying for future play off positioning, and Im expecting a hard fought game with home court advantage being the difference maker for the home side Portland. I know the Wolves have played good ball since Jimmy Butler was traded, and that the Blazers have been less than consistent, but after playing some decent ball in their last trip to the hardwood allowing the Suns just 86 points in a victory. I expect the Blazers to use the momentum of that tilt to buoy them into this tilt. Note: PORTLAND is 9-1 ATS after allowing 90 points or less over the last 2 seasons.

MINNESOTA is 0-8 ATS  in road games after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread over the last 2 seasons.

Portland is 5-0 SU/ATS L/5 at home in this series.

NBA Home favorites (PORTLAND) - after a game where they covered the spread, in a game involving two marginal winning teams (51% to 60%) are 87-39 ATS L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Portland to cover 

After racing past UC Merced on Tuesday, Bakersfield will take momentum to  MoscowIdaho for Saturday's matchup with the Vandals(3-5) .In a matchup of small schools my projections like Bakersfield 4-4 to cash here. Bakersfield has won four of the last five contests and swept a pair of games last season and get the nod again.

Both these combatants played last night. The Lakers exhausted four starters upward of 36 minutes Friday night in a 133-120 loss at San Antonio that snapped a four-game winning streak, but now will have very little left in the tank tonight to face a physical hardworking Memphis team playing at home. Meanwhile, The Grizzlies,   played no one more than 35 minutes and  took a 107-103 win at New Orleans. The Grizzlies now have an advantage. Note: MEMPHIS is 13-3 ATS  in home games off an upset win as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.

LA LAKERS are 1-8 ATS versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game this season. LA LAKERS are 19-34 ATS  when playing 6 or more games in 10 days over the last 3 seasons

NBA Underdogs vs the money line (LA LAKERS) - after going over the total by more than 18 points in their previous game, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning recorder 14-64 SU l/5 seasons for a go against 82% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA Underdogs (LA LAKERS) - after going over the total by more than 18 points in their previous game, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 22-553ATS L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Memphis to cover 

Houston rolls in here looking for revenge for a loss they suffered to the Mavericks 128-108 at home last week, and despite of wanting revenge are not showing much of a winning touch or any consistency of late, losing 6 of their L/8 overall. In their current form they look less than viable road chalk. Meanwhile, Dallas despite of a dismal effort in their last trip to the court a 132-106 beat down at the hands of the Pelicans , have shown a historical propensity for a top tier bounce back effort, as is evident by HC Carlisle  10-1 ATS record off a blowout loss by 20 points or more to a division rival as the coach of DALLAS. Note: Road teams vs. the money line (HOUSTON) - vs. division opponents, off 2 consecutive road losses by 10 points or more are 13-56 L/22 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors.

HOUSTON is 7-18 ATS versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game over the last 2 seasons

DALLAS is 10-2 ATS in home games this season. 

NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DALLAS) - after having won 2 of their last 3 games, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team are 25-4 ATS L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Dallas to cover 

The Flames rank 16th in the NCAA with 93 3-pointers made and 19th with 10.3 3-point field goals per game this season.Nine different players have converted at least one 3-pointer through nine games, and seven have made at least five. This makes them viable cover options thanks to their downtown abilities to cover vs the back door and put points on the board in bunches. IL-CHICAGO is 9-1 ATS  in road games after 1 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.COLORADO is 4-19 ATS  after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons. 

Play on Illinois Chicago to cover 

The South Alabama  Jaguars enter Saturday's game with losses in three of their last four, including a 71-60 setback at the University of New Orleans on Wednesday night and are looking very inconsistent so far this season. The Jags area team that is lead by one man band Kory Holden who has back to back 40 point games. Im betting the Tulane  Green Wave  who  currently lead all American Athletic Conference teams in 3-point field goal percentage, converting at a 37.5 percent clip to bomb there way to a win from downtown here this afternoon vs what can be best described as a one man team.

Play on Tulane  to cover 

TENN-MARTIN is 9-24 ATS  vs. top caliber teams - outscoring their opponents by 12+ points/game losing by more than 20 points per game. My projections agree with this long term trend. E TENN ST is 6-0 ATS in non-conference games this season with a average point differential of 18.2 ppg.

Play on ETSU to cover 

The Fordham Rams are coming off a double overtime defeat on Tuesday night to previously winless Maine by the score of 75-68 and are now in a letdown situation vs a under rated Big 10 team Rutgers. Fordham is undefeated at home, but this will be their biggest test yet, and despite of probably being competitive early will falter Im betting as this tilt progresses. Look for rebounding to be key here for the Scarlet Knights, as  was the case in previous recent meetings as they owned a +29 rebounding margin in the win over Fordham in 2017 and +18 in last year’s victory both by DD margins of victory. Add a third win and cover here today is what Im expecting.

FORDHAM is 1-10 ATS  versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game over the last 2 seasons. RUTGERS is 12-3 ATS in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons. 

CBB ome teams as an underdog or pick (FORDHAM) - after going over the total by more than 18 points in their previous game against opponent after going under the total by 30 or more points total in their last five games are 20-47 ATS L/5 seasons for a 70% go against conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Rutgers to cover 

Louisville rebuild is way ahead of schedule, and are very viable underdogs here vs Indiana.

 Louisville is at its best in the paint and are good at either making easy buckets  there or  drawing fouls. The Cardinals are making 23.6 free throws per game and rank second in the nation in free throw attempts per field goal attempts and this Im betting gives them a big advantage over Indiana .Indiana was outscored in the paint in two of its last three games and is prone to fouling down the stretch. It's also worth noting that Morgan got into early foul trouble in both the Hoosiers' losses. Louisville plus the points makes sense here considering the matchups.

CBB Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (INDIANA) - a good defensive team (63-67 PPG) against an average defensive team (67-74 PPG), after a win by 6 points or less are 25-58 ATS L/5 seasons for a 70%  go against conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Louisville to cover 

The Broncos head into Saturday's match-up with an overall record of 4-4 after falling to USC Upstate last Saturday. This will be the third team from the Horizon League that WMU has faced this season, coming away victorious over Detroit Mercy and Oakland early this year and matchup well here vs Youngstown State. Im betting on Seth Dugan who is one of just 22 NCAA players   averaging a double-double at 19 points and 10.5 rebounds per game to lead the way here and for the Broncos superior FT shooting to be the difference maker later in this game. Note: WMU is one of just five schools in the Mid-American Conference to have two or more players rank in the top 15 in free-throw percentage. Sophomore Kawanise Wilkins leads WMU and ranks second in the MAC with a .885 free-throw percentage.

 ST is 5-13 ATS  in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons

CBB favorite (W MICHIGAN) - off 2 or more consecutive losses as a favorite against opponent off a home loss  are 140-84 ATS L/21 seasons for a long term 63% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. 

Play on Western Michigan to cover 

The Runnin' Rebels had won four straight games from Nov. 13-23, but have lost their last two. UNLV is coming off a 65-61 loss last Saturday to Cincinnati, which closed its season-opening seven-game homestand. Despite of that this is a good team  that is more than capable of covering vs a Illinois Side on a three game losing streak including coming off a hard fought loss vs Ohio State last time out and will now be in a letdown spot here vs a  feisty non conference foe. 

ILLINOIS is 7-16 ATS  versus good shooting teams - making 45% or more  of their shots over the last 2 seasons.ILLINOIS is 8-18 ATS versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game over the last 3 seasons.

UNLV is 15-5 ATS versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game.

UNLV has covered 4 of the L/5 meetings in this series and gets my support again.

Play on UNLV 

The Hawks lead the A-10 in three-point percentage, converting 39.5 percent, and hold the top two individual spots with Charlie Brown, Jr. (52.0) and Jared Bynum(50.0). Their ability to hit form downtown and a never say die attitude makes them viable DD underdogs vs a Villanova team that is not was good as last years championship version. Note: Leading scorer Charlie Brown, Jr., is questionable for today’s game , but reports are indicating he will play. 

Play on St.Joes to cover 

KSU has the third-longest active home winning streak in FCS at 15 games and is one of five programs with a winning streak of 10 or more games. QB Chandler Burks has started 36 consecutive games at QB and has led the Owls to a 31-5 (.861) record. He is also 17-1 as the starting QB inside Fifth Third Bank Stadium. If South Dakota State wins here today Im betting it won't come easily.

Take the points with Kennesaw State to cover 

Injuries have hampered the Broncos early this season, but after averaging 64.0 points over the first six games, the Broncos have produced a season-best 81 in each of the last two outings and enter this tilt winning 3 of their L/4 and with momentum on their sides. Meanwhile, Idaho Stat win my opinion is to one dimensional, and when team key on slowing guard Brandon Boyd (17.3) who ranks third in the Big Sky Conference in scoring their chances become above average for beating this team. Santa Clara is more than capable of doing just that.  The series is knotted at 2-all with the home team claiming each victory and Im betting the home team grabs the cash again.

IDAHO ST is 5-17 ATS after playing 3 consecutive games as an underdog over the last 3 seasons and is 16-28 ATS as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.

Play on Santa Clara to cover 

The  struggling Bulls lost 96-90 vs the  Indiana Pacers last time out, but played well against a top tier team, and look to be ready clean things up with new HC Boylen on the side lines.  The Bulls have now lost  seven straight  and 11th in their last 12 contests, but now coming off an extended road trip will be ready to compete here at home. Note:Bulls are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.Bulls are also 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. We all know how well the Thunder are playing, but covering 9 points here on the road,  in what will be their 3rd game in 5 nights vs a very hungry team Im betting is asking for to much. With that said, there is value here taking the Bulls to cover. 

Donovan is 9-24 ATS in road games after having won 4 of their last 5 games as the coach of OKLAHOMA CITY.

CHICAGO is 14-3 ATS  in December games over the last 2 seasons. OKLAHOMA CITY is 19-32 ATS after playing a road game over the last 2 seasons. 

 NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (OKLAHOMA CITY) - after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last ten games, in December games are 19-58 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against  76% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (CHICAGO) - in non-conference games, off 3 or more consecutive road losses are 31-8 ATS L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Chicago Bulls to cover 

I like the way new HC Casey has the Pistons playing and despite coming off back to back losses including  Milwaukee last time out, look like viable bets here vs a visiting Philadelphia team off a disappointing loss to the Toronto Raptors in their last game.  Note:  Pistons HC Casey is 91-63 ATS (+21.7 Units) after 2 or more consecutive losses in all games he has coached in his career. Meanwhile, the 76ers despite of being talented have lost 8 of their L/12 road games this season, and now in a letdown situation vs a Motown crew that has played their best ball at home posting a 9-4 record their in trouble, and false favorites in my opinion.  

Pistons are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 Friday games.Pistons are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Pistons are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.Pistons are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games.Pistons are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points.Pistons are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games following a straight up loss.Pistons are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games overall.

76ers are 9-19 ATS in their last 28 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.76ers are 8-17 ATS in their last 25 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.76ers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.76ers are 3-12 ATS in their last 15 road games.76ers are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.76ers are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.

76ers are 4-9 ATS in the last 13 meetings in Detroit.

NBA Road teams vs. the money line (PHILADELPHIA) - off a road loss by 10 points or more against opponent off a road blowout loss of 20 points or more are 5-26 SU L/5 seasons for a 84% go against conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Detroit to cover 

The Utah Jazz recorded a season high for points in their last trip to  the hardwood and  Im betting they use the momentum of that explosive offensive  effort to take out the visiting Houston Rockets on Thursday. The hard working never say die Jazz has won four of their  last six games and converted  on a franchise-record 20 3-pointers in Tuesday's 139-105 beat down of the visiting San Antonio Spurs. Look for more of same action here at home vs a Rockets side that has been highly inconsistent this season, and have lost 5 of their L/7 games overall.

Rockets are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 vs. Western Conference.Rockets are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up loss.Rockets are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games playing on 2 days rest.Rockets are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.Rockets are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall.Rockets are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.Rockets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.Rockets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Rockets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games.Rockets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.Rockets are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 vs. NBA Northwest.Rockets are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.Rockets are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400

Jazz are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 1 days rest.Jazz are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 vs. NBA Southwest.Jazz are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 Thursday games.

NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (HOUSTON) - poor foul drawing team - attempting 24 or less free throws/game, poor defensive team - shooting pct defense of 46% or better  on the season are 69-115 ATS  for a 63% go against conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Utah to cover 

Jacksonville is off a 6-0 win vs Indianapolis last time out at home. But whats obvious is that just can't move the chains regularly or put TDs on the board, averaging just 16.9 ppg on the season and with Cody Kessler under centre I doubt if things get much better vs the Titans. Also despite of the Jaguars exhibiting great D, at home this season, on the road they have  proven to have a gridiron split personality allowing 27+ ppg.  Meanwhile, the Titans are also off a win taking out the Jets 26-22 in come from behind fashion, which will have them exuding confidence here this Thursday night.  

The Jags are 1-4 ATS L/5 Thursdays when taking points.Thursday night NFL home teams have won 12 straight times. Titans are 3-0 SU/ATS L/3 at home in this series.

Note:The Jags are 0-12 SU/ATS as underdogs during the regular season when coming off a SU underdog win and facing a opposition coming off a victory.

Play on Tennessee to cover 

Im a gluten for punishment, as I take the Spurs plus the points here on the road again tonight vs LAL, after losing my recommended wager on them taking points last night in Utah. I know San Antonio does not inspire bettors in their current form, but according to my power rankings they matchup well vs the Lakers. 

Spurs are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 vs. NBA Pacific.Spurs are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Spurs are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points.

Lakers are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Lakers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS win.Lakers are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Lakers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Southwest.

NBA team (LA LAKERS) - revenging 2 consecutive straight up losses to opponent as a favorite, off a win by 20 points or more over a division rival are 4-23 ATS L/22 seasons, for a go against 85% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the San Antonio Spurs to cover 

Villanova after losing players to the NBA last season, look vulnerable this season, as was the case when they were smashed by Michigan at home losing by 27 points and upset loss to Furman. Don't get me wrong theirs alot of talent on this Villy roster, but HC Jay Wright just does not have the top tier depth he had last season when  the Cats ,\made their national championship run. Meanwhile, Temple has lost just once this season, by 6 points, and sport a 8-1 record, and here in this Philadelphia neighbourhood battle must be respected as DD dogs. 

TEMPLE is 14-5 ATS  in road games in non-conference games.

 Temple to cover 

 The Mavericks enter this Bayou tilt having won nine of 11 overall after a 111-102 home victory against Portland on Tuesday. That gave them three wins in four games against West contenders in the last week and has them playing with confidence. Meanwhile, the Pelicans  are banged up with a fair amount of walking wounded including  starting point guard Elfrid Payton, and have now lost six of their last eight games. Note: Pelicans  Nikola Miratic has also been off, and is suffering from an illness of some type. Advantage Mavericks. 

DALLAS is 29-16 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons and is 15-7 ATS  in the first half of the season this season.DALLAS is 13-5 ATS versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.

NBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DALLAS) - after having won 2 of their last 3 games, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team are 24-2 ATS L/5 seasons for a 92% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Dallas to cover 

The matchup pairs the NBA's fourth-leading defense (Grizzlies, 103.1 points per game) against the third-leading offense (Clippers, 117.7). Im betting defense as well as home court advantage will be the difference maker here tonight.

The Grizzlies are 17-0 SU/ATS   when the line is within three points of pick and they are off a road loss in which they had six-plus double-digit scorers.

Memphis Grizzlies ( LATE STEAM)

Saint Louis enters Wednesday’s game at Southern Illinois red hot with a 6-1 record.The Billikens are coming off a impressive 64-52 victory over Butler on Saturday afternoon. SLU played a lock-down defense, allowing the Bulldogs to shoot just 28.1percent from the field en route to a season-low 52 points. I know the Salukis have reeled off three consecutive wins against Tulsa, Colorado State and SIUE, but it will will be the Billikens defence that once again makes them very competitive and Im betting will allow us to cash a ticket here.

Play on St.Louis to cover 

Cleveland State is in free fall losing 5 straight games, and are fade material here vs a Bowl in gGreen team that according to my power rankings should be closer to a 4 point fav here, giving us value with the road team as short chalk.

BOWLING GREEN is 9-0 ATS  after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread over the last 3 seasons .CLEVELAND ST is 2-10 ATS after allowing 75 points or more 4 straight games.

Play on Bowling Green to cover 

Illinois' spread offense features multiple ball handlers on the court with an emphasis on passing which has resulted in opening the court up for their big shooters. Illini have been filling it up from 3-point range to start the season. Illinois have made at least nine threes in six of its first eight games, averaging 10.3 treys per game to rank second in the Big Ten and 22nd in the NCAA. When your backing  an underdog in college Hoops knowing you have side that can light the score board up out of the gate or in back door cover mode makes for a confident bet. Alternately on the flip side, the Illini defense ranks seventh in the nation in turnover rate, forcing turnovers on 24.8 percent of opponent possessions on the season. Opponents are averaging 17.9 turnovers against the Illini, with the Illini leading the Big Ten and ranking 16th in the NCAA in forced turnovers per game.Illinois is currently averaging 18.9 points off turnovers, outscoring foes by 5.3 points per game in that category. Im betting on their ability to light it up from down town and force trunovers keeps them in this game against a very good Ohio State hoops program. 

Buckeyes are 5-23 ATS in their last 28 neutral site games.Buckeyes are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Underdog is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings.

Play on Illinois to cover

All my college Hoops selections both totals and sides are based on a extensive data base of current stats past trends, and  overall head to head team system and player vs player  analysis as well as coaching tendencies when certain circumstances and matchup situations arise. No stone has been left unturned in the process of delivering winners to my clients, including injury reports, line moves and travel situations associated with both fatigue factors and freshness. Because of extensive betting opportunities associated with the large number of games, there are certain days when individual analysis is not included. Thank you and God Bless . Alex Smart 

Western Illinois to cover

San Antonio  came out of a lethargic state last time out  by beating Portland 131-118 on Sunday. Im betting the momentum of their last victory will carry on into this game vs their host Utah, a team on tired legs after playing 6 games in 10 days. and overall have played 10 of their L/12 games on the road Note:

NBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (UTAH) - tired team - playing 6 or more games in 10 days, in December games are just 36-69 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 66% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Road teams vs. the money line (SAN ANTONIO) - good 3PT shooting team (36.5% or better ) against an average 3PT defense (33-36.5%), after a game where a team made 60% of their shots or better are 26-9 L/22 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on San Antonio to cover 

No.5 Michigan, who comes into Welsh-Ryan Arena with an 8-0 record is getting some huge accolades from the media pundits, but according to my power rankings line adjustment variables, are slightly bloated favs here, thus giving us value with a viable home underdog in a conference tilt, that has the makings of a hard fought affair. 

Northwestern 6-2 lost to Indiana 68-66 last time out on the road, and more than capable of making a game of this this evening.NORTHWESTERN is 17-6 ATS off a close loss by 3 points or less to a conference rival .

Northwestern has won and covered the L/3 games in this series at home.

Play on Northwestern to cover 

Bradley,   took last seasons meeting with a dominant 86-46 home win.
• Five Braves scored in double figures and BU shot 60.8 percent from the field as Bradley posted its largest win against a Division I school in 18 seasons (Feb. 5, 2000). I know Arkansas will be out looking for revenge but Bradely has just to much balanced fire power with  seven current Braves have scored at least 20 points in a game .Five different Braves have led the team in scoring this season and no player more than three times and have a big advantage vs a 4-4 Ark Little Rock side that allows an average of 76.9 ppg. 

ARK-LITTLE ROCK is 6-16 ATS versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or less over the last 3 seasons. ARK-LITTLE ROCK is 6-15 ATS   in all home games over the last 3 seasons.

CBB Road teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (BRADLEY) - after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games, playing only their 3rd game in a week are 51-22 ATS L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. 

Bradley to cover 

  Redskins enter this game have lost the stats battles in 4 straight games and enter this game with  backup  QB Colt McCoy   .  McCoy is  just 1-10 SU and 3-8 ATS in division games in his NFL career.. 

Last week the Eagles showed their metal with a come from behind win vs the Giants , and will now use the momentum of that win to get the job done here again this Monday. 

QUOTE: "This was a big game for us," Eagles quarterback Carson Wentz said. "Obviously in terms of the division standings and all that fun stuff, but really mentally to show the resilience that we did. To get down early like we did, then to battle back, just really builds a lot of confidence -- to come from behind and get it done I think will speak volumes about our confidence going forward." END QUOTE: 

Meanwhile, Eagles QB Carson Wentz is a very dependable  7-1 SU and 6-2 ATS as a favorite of 6 or more points and gets my support here as his team plays with sense of urgency. 

Washington has failed to cover 9 of their L/10 Monday nighters. 

Play on the Philadelphia Eagles to cover 

 The Badgers (7-1, 1-0 Big Ten Conference), host Rutgers in their Big Ten home opener in Madison, Wis. on Monday night. The  Scarlet Knights (5-2, 0-1) gave No. 9 Michigan State a tough battle, last time out but eventually fell 78-67 on Friday to the Spartans in Piscataway, N.J and are looking like an improved hoops program right now behind,junior forward Eugene Omoruyi who scored 13 points in that game.Omoruyi, who has four double-doubles this season, has averaged 15.1 points per game and 9.1 rebounds, and his side kick sophomore point guard Geo Baker contributes 14.6 points per game,.Rutgers snatched the most recent game in this series, a 64-60 win last January in Piscataway and will Im betting hang tough again.

RUTGERS is 8-1 ATS versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.

Play on Rutgers to cover 

While the defending champion Warriors have Steph Curry back in the lineup another key cog is still out as Draymond Green has missed the last eight games with a right toe sprain and also  Alfonzo McKinnie has missed the last eight games with left foot soreness. Needless to say their still not at 100%. Note: The Warriors have not been very profitable for their backers of late as they are 2-9 ATS L/11 overall, and have failed to cover 6 of their L/7 as favourites. Long termGOLDEN STATE is 55-69 ATS in all games over the last 2 seasons. 

Golden State won 110-103 when it hosted the Hawks on Nov. 13, and the young men from Atlanta proved they can hang with the big boys in that game, and Im betting they will primed to compete again here at home. 

Historical Trends value also favours this Hawks here as extreme lined home teams (double digit dogs or over 15 pt. favorites) off of a loss  like the Hawks are 185-105-5 63.8% ATS with outliners included) Also teams averaging 103 or more ppg are 268-205-8 ATS 57% after a game where they were behind 15 points or more at the half.

GOLDEN STATE is 0-8 ATS  versus poor 3 point shooting teams - making 33% or less of their attempts over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Favorites of 10 or more points (GOLDEN STATE) - good 3PT shooting team (36.5% or more ) against a poor 3PT defense (36.5% or more), average rebounding team (+/-3 reb/game) against a horrible rebounding team (5.5  or less reb/game) are 16-49 ATS L/22 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Atlanta Hawks to cover 

The Detroit Pistons are proving their a team that must be respected after taking out Golden State SU as 5 point home dogs last time out for their 5th straight home vicotry. Now their listed as underdogs again vs visiting Oklahoma City. The Motown reserves are standing tall, and showing the teams depth and Im betting they won;t bow down today, vs another deep team, especialy on their own court, where they have an edge. 

Thunder are 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Detroit.

 CITY is 7-20 ATS  in road games after a cover as a double digit favorite.OKLAHOMA CITY is 35-48 ATS as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Road teams vs. the money line (OKLAHOMA CITY) - dominant rebounding team - outrebounding opponents by 5+ per game, in December games are just 96-176 L/22 seasons for go against 65% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Detroit to cover 

The Chargers are hot , as is evident by their 6-1 winning run and their QB Phillip Rivers is off a record setting game last time out. But now Im betting on regression to rear its ugly head, for Rivers, and the Chargers to finally meet their match. It must be noted that all but one of their wins this season have come against teams that currently have a losing record. The one exception was the victory over Seattle, which is barely over .500 at 6-5. 

The Steelers, own a 14-1 record against the Chargers at home and that run will continue here tonight. 


The Steelers 13-0 SU and 11-2 ATS as home favs off a loss against non-division opposition coming off a home contest. Roethlisberger is 11-2 SU and 10-2-1 ATS versus .500 or greater AFC West opponents coming off a win.

NFL Underdogs or pick (LA CHARGERS) - hot team, after having won 8 or more out of their last 10 games, good team, winning 60-75% or more of their games on the season are just 7-28 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Pittsburgh Steelers to cover

Alot has changed in San Antonio, as they are now showing a lot of defensive holes and deficiencies. Popovich's team has seen the last two opponents combine to make 40 3-pointers in 95 attempts and they are off a ugly 128-89 loss to the Minnesota Wolves last time out. Im betting their fortunes wont get much better tonight vs a Portland side,  that shot 53.6 percent while defeating the Spurs 121-108 at home on Oct. 20, showing their ability to matchup well vs the Spurs. I know the Spurs need to desperately bounce back, but like Mick Jagger and the Rolling Stones have said before, You don't always get what you want. 

PORTLAND is 36-21 ATS  after playing 2 consecutive home games over the last 3 seasons.

Spurs are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 1 days rest.Spurs are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 vs. Western Conference.Spurs are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game.

NBA team vs the money line (PORTLAND) - after failing to cover the spread in 4 or more consecutive games, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team are 28-4 L/5 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Portland Blazers to cover 

The LA Clippers are a red hot 9-1 L/10 behind a balanced team effort, but their hosts Dallas are more than capable of cooling them off. I know the Mavs looked tired last time out, in a 114-103  road loss to the Lakers but now home again and on a couple of days rest should be more than ready to run and gun with the Clippers tonight, and notch a win and cover for us in this spot. DALLAS is 18-5 ATS  after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons and over have covered 11 of their L/16 and have played their best basketball at home where they sport a 8-2 SU/ATS record.

Mavericks are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 home games.Mavericks are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Mavericks are 14-2 ATS in their last 16 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points.Mavericks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up loss.Mavericks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Mavericks are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games overall.Mavericks are 27-9 ATS in their last 36 games following a ATS loss.Mavericks are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.

DALLAS is 29-13 ATS  versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.

Carlisle is 128-101 ATS  when the line is +3 to -3 as the coach of DALLAS.

Play on Dallas to cover 

Mahomes and the Chiefs have not played since taking part in a  back and forth , 54-51 loss to the Los Angeles Rams on Nov. 19. Mahomes now with a week off might have take some time to get this high octane offence back working at optimal levels. Also strictly from an eye test, Oakland looks to be gaining some confidence, and QB Carr has suddenly learned to take care of the ball much better and has not given up an interception in 6 games to go along with a a high percentage completion rate on mostly short passes. The kind of football the Raiders are playing  gives them high probability to  survive  what coming their wayand Im betting thats what they find a way to do here at home this week in what I project as cover performance. 

The explosive Chiefs have won 19 of their last 20 games against AFC West opponents with their only loss coming last year at Oakland. Could a repeat upset happen, probably not, but taking the 15 points here is a viable investment option. 

KANSAS CITY is 0-7 ATS L/7 after gaining 450 or more total yards/game over their last 3 games.KANSAS CITY is 2-10 ATS L/12  after gaining 6 or more yards/play in 4 consecutive games. 

Raiders HC Gruden is 19-8 ATS vs. good teams - outscoring opponents by 6+ PPG on the season in all games he has coached in his career. 

NFL team (OAKLAND) - after being beaten by the spread by 42 or more points total in their last five games against opponent after going over the total by 35 or more points total in their last three games are 28-5 ATS L/10 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Raiders to cover 

The Titans are off a ugly loss on Monday night football, to the Texans and now demoralized as their play off hopes start to fade. Now in an emotional letdown situation on short rest, the Titans are far from being solid  TD + favs against any team in this league including the lowly NY Jets. Note: The Titans are 1-6 ATS L/7 off a Monday nighter, and just 2-8 ATS L/10 in this series. 

TENNESSEE is 2-12 ATS in home games vs. excellent punt return teams, more than 12 yards per return.TENNESSEE is 2-12 ATS  in home games vs. excellent punt return teams, more than 12 yards per return.

NFL Home teams (TENNESSEE) - off a road loss, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a bad team (25-40%) are 19-54 ATS L/35 seasons for a 74% go against conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on the NY Jets to cover 

Miami  losers of 4 of their L/5 have looked in-cohesive and inconsistent this season, taking part in some ugly affairs and choking in others at key junctures, and  have also come out  completely flat on other occasions. Meanwhile, Buffalo is up trending after two straight wins and must be respected here as underdogs vs a Fins team that just does not look confident right now.

MIAMI is 0-8 ATS L/8 in home games versus poor offensive teams - averaging 4.75 or less  yards/play in the second half of the season.The Dolphins are 0-17 ATS ( L/17 as a favorite coming off a road game where they gained no more than 15 first downs. Which happened last week at Indianapolis in a loss.

The Buffalo Bills are 15-2 ATS as road dogs of 3 or more points against opp coming off consecutive losses, including 7-0 ATS in division tilts. 

NFL Home teams (MIAMI) - off a road loss, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a bad team (25-40%) are just 19-54 ATS L/35 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Buffalo to cover 

Chicago's QB Mitchell Trubisky is downgraded to doubtful Sunday vs NY Giants ( Shoulder )which in my opinion gives the Giants enough edge on their own field to get us the cover. as Daniels starts instead This is the Bears 2nd straight road game and its never easy winning two straight games on the road in this league, even for a teams deemed hot like the Bears. Previous to last week the Giants had won two straight and than had the Eagles on the ropes  as they took a 19-3 lead. Then instead of using emerging super star RB Saquon Barkely to slow the game down, the Gemn did the opposite . hmmm and blew the game .  Anyway,  now Im betting the Gmen bounce back, behind the arm of a QB that in Eli Manning that has a history of top tier efforts at home late in the season, as is evident by a  12-3-1 ATS record in December at home when coming off a loss and 7-0 ATS against opponent like Chicago coming off consecutive wins. Look for his side kick Sqauon Barkley to help keep the option wide open for Manning in what could be a SU upset for the home dog, but more importantly a cover . 

CHICAGO is 2-11 ATS in a road game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 3 seasons.

Play on the NY Giants to cover 

Jacksonville despite of their 7 game losing streak, are still a team that must be respected, behind what must be considered a solid defence allowing an average of just 16.2 ppg on the season as hosts. They have lost their L/3 games by 4 points or less, and getting points is a viable option , vs a Indianapolis team that despite of a current 5 game win streak has lost 3 of their 5 road games this season. Look for Jags QB Kody Kessler who is starting in place of Bortles, to give his team a spark and a cover. 

Marrone is 6-0 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points as the coach of JACKSONVILLE and s 6-0 ATS  vs. good offensive teams - scoring 24 or more points/game in the second half of the season. 

INDIANAPOLIS is 1-8 ATS  after gaining 400 or more total yards in their previous game over the last 3 seasons.

JACKSONVILLE is 4-0 against the spread versus INDIANAPOLIS over the last 3 seasons.

Play on Jacksonville to cover 

BIG 10 CHAMPIONSHIP GAME - Lucas Oil Stadium - Indianapolis, IN

Thanks to Ohio State absolute obliteration of Michigan last week, 62-39, we have a nice value line to bet into backing Northwestern. When a team like Ohio State exerts that much emotional and irrational exuberance in one game, an emotional letdown scenario usually follows them into the next game. We all know that Ohio State has consistently played down to opponents this season, and that despite of their defence playing well last week, have showed themselves over and over again to be porous to say the least. Urban Meyers has failed to cover 5 straight as a DD conference favorite, while the Wildcats HC Pat Fitzgerald is 8-1 ATS L/9 as a DD dog and overall 7-1 ATS in conference action this season. 

NORTHWESTERN is 6-0 ATS  vs. excellent ball control teams, 32 or more possession minutes/game over the last 2 seasons.NORTHWESTERN is 21-8 ATS  in road games vs. mistake prone teams - 60+ penalty yards per game.NORTHWESTERN is 6-0 ATS  as an underdog this season. 

HIO ST is 2-11 ATS after 4 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 3 season.

CFB Underdogs of 10.5 to 21 points (NORTHWESTERN) - after having won 4 out of their last 5 games, a good team (60% to 80%) playing a team with a winning record are 45-17 L/10 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors

CFB Favorites of 10.5 to 21 points (OHIO ST) - hot team, after having won 8 or more out of their last 10 games, a top-level team ( 80%or more ) playing a good team (60% to 80% are 26-61 ATS L/26 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. 

The dog is 5-1-1 ATS in the last seven Big Ten title games and Im betting the pup or cat if you wish grabs the cash again.

Play on Northwestern to cover 

MOUNTAIN WEST CHAMPIONSHIP GAME - Albertsons Stadium - Boise, ID

Boise State won the last time these teams met  24-17 right here on the Blue Carpet back in mid November, thanks to  dominating that game in the final quarter . Im betting they use the momentum of their last meeting to keep on trucking here, and once again come out of this for their 11th straight victory at home in this series. With the said,Im betting  on Boise State capturing the MWC title  and more importantly getting the all important cover as short chalk .

HC Harsin is 7-0 ATS  versus excellent offensive teams - averaging 6.25 or more yards/play in all games he has coached . 

Play on Boise State to cover 

The Redhawks won three of the last four meetings between these teams and goes after their third-straight victory in the series Saturday. Southeast Missouri won four of its last five games and enter the game with momentum on their sides.Southeast Missouri enters the weekend ranked 15th in the nation in 3-point field goal percentage defense. Opponents are shooting 25.9 percent against the Redhawks from behind the arc. The Redhawks rank second in the Ohio Valley Conference behind Murray State (17.6 percent) in that category.My power rankings suggest SE Missouri State is the superior team here in this battle Western Illinois and gets my support. 

SE MISSOURI ST is 12-3 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons.

South East Missouri State to cover 

The Pistons have won four straight, all at home and must not be underestimated in their ability to cover vs the Golden State Warriors here tonight even though previously injured  Seth Curry is expected to return to the lineup for the Warriors.  

DETROIT is 10-2 ATS  versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 or less free throws/game this season. 

NBA Road teams (GOLDEN STATE) - off a cover where the team lost the game straight up as an underdog, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 17-53 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on the Detroit Pistons to cover 

Washington looked lifeless last night in a blowout loss to the Sixers as they shot 40.2 percent (37 of 92) from the field, including 8 of 28 (28.6 percent) from 3-point range . Now on tired legs  the Wizards of OZ come back to face a hard working Brooklyn team, that despite of also playing last night  after taking Memphis to Double OT are better conditioned than the Wizards, and consistently show more fight. 

BROOKLYN is 30-17 ATS as a road underdog over the last 2 seasons.BROOKLYN is 16-5 ATS  against Southeast division opponents over the last 2 seasons.BROOKLYN is 19-6 ATS in road games after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games over the last 2 seasons.BROOKLYN is 20-8 ATS in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons and is 13-4 ATS  in road games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game over the last 2 seasons.

WASHINGTON is 14-26 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons.WASHINGTON is 8-19 ATS  when playing against a struggling team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) over the last 2 seasons.

NBA team (BROOKLYN) - after allowing 130 points or more against opponent after 2 straight losses by 10 points or more are 27-9 ATS L/22 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the NJ Nets to cover 

Maryland is a strong team ranked 24th in the nation at this time, but Penn State are no pushovers,   ranking 46th in the NCAA statistics for scoring defence  allowing only 64.2 points per game, and 25th in 3-pt. field goal defence (27.3%). Im betting it will be their defence that will be the difference maker here that will get us the cover. 

PENN ST is 70-48 ATS vs. teams who are called for 3+ less fouls/game than their opponents .PENN ST is 12-4 ATS in road games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14or less turnovers/game over the last 2 season.

PENN ST is 7-0 ATS  after playing a game where both teams score 65 points or less over the last 3 season.PENN ST is 8-1 ATS  off an upset win as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.( Penn St beat VTech last time out 63-62) 

All six of the Big Ten Conference meetings between Penn State and Maryland have been decided by six points or less and Im betting nothing changes here. 

Play on Penn State  to cover 

SEC CHAMPIONSHIP GAME - Mercedes-Benz Stadium - Atlanta, GA 

This  is a rematch of last year’s National Championship game and its being  played on the same field . I felt Alabama was fortunate to get the win last season, and just got by the skin of their teeth in OT by 3 points thanks the heroics of Tide QB Tua Tagovailola. Now the Dawgs who are 6-1 ATS L/7 with SEC revenge and have cashed 6 straight times as underdogs in this series are the team I recommend backing as Georgia according to my rankings actually matchup well vs a side, that has yet to be tested this season. REVENGE , REVENGE. Georgia covers.

GEORGIA is 10-2 ATS vesus good rushing teams - averaging 4.75 or more rushing yards/carry over the last 2 seasons. GEORGIA is 6-0 ATS  vs. excellent punt return teams, more than 12 yards per return over the last 3 seasons. 

CFB Neutral field underdogs (GEORGIA) - excellent rushing team - averaging 225 or more rushing yards/game, after gaining 225 or more rushing yards in 4 straight games are 23-3 ATS L/26 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Georgia to cover 

California  has been outgunned in 4 straight games  and was pounded by Colorado last week, and somehow still found a way to win. The Golden Bears  biggest problem is that just can't score, and   have  failed to gain 300 yards overall in four straight games.  Today however, Im betting their luck  will run out against a team that is much better than their record might indicate. Bottom line here is you have to score to beat Stanford,  and Cals  passing game is  less than viable, and the running game is putrid in trouble against strong Cardinal defensive front .The Bad News Bears are not going to be able to keep up on the scoreboard.

Stanford has won 9 straight meetings in this series and the L/4 here at Cal dating back to the 2010.

Last week, Stanford beat UCLA 49-42 , but that a good omen as STANFORD is 20-4 ATS  in road games after a playing a game where 70 total points or more were scored and HC Shaw is 7-0 ATS in road games after a playing a game where 70 total points or more were scored.

Play on Stanford to cover 

CONFERENCE USA CHAMPIONSHIP GAME - Floyd Stadium - Murfreesboro, TN

The Blue Raiders have won five of its last six games overall and five in a row over C-USA opponents, and their home winning streak is at seven games going back to last season.  UAB has a great D, but HC Rick Stockstill  also has a tough hard nosed D, and that was evident on Nov 24 of this season UAB was soundly beaten by Middle Tennessee State 27-3 and repeat performance is not out of the question according to my own projections in the rematch for the CUSA Championship.  

Note: [RB] 11/25/2018 - Spencer Brown is "?" Saturday vs Middle Tenn St ( Undisclosed )

UAB is 3-12 ATS L/15  in road games after having won 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games  .MIDDLE TENN ST is 16-6 ATS  after covering the spread in 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games

CFB Road underdogs vs. the money line (UAB) - after gaining 150 or less total yards in their previous game against opponent after outgaining opp by 125 or more total yards in their previous game are 1-33 SU L/26 seasons for a 97% go against  conversion rate for bettors witht he average point differential clicking in at 21.6 ppg. 

Play on Middle Tennessee State to cover 

CONFERENCE USA CHAMPIONSHIP GAME - Floyd Stadium - Murfreesboro, TN

The Blue Raiders have won five of its last six games overall and five in a row over C-USA opponents, and their home winning streak is at seven games going back to last season.  UAB has a great D, but HC Rick Stockstill  also has a tough hard nosed D, and that was evident on Nov 24 of this season UAB was soundly beaten by Middle Tennessee State 27-3 and repeat performance is not out of the question according to my own projections in the rematch for the CUSA Championship.  

Note: [RB] 11/25/2018 - Spencer Brown is "?" Saturday vs Middle Tenn St ( Undisclosed )

UAB is 3-12 ATS L/15  in road games after having won 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games  .MIDDLE TENN ST is 16-6 ATS  after covering the spread in 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games

CFB Road underdogs vs. the money line (UAB) - after gaining 150 or less total yards in their previous game against opponent after outgaining opp by 125 or more total yards in their previous game are 1-33 SU L/26 seasons for a 97% go against  conversion rate for bettors witht he average point differential clicking in at 21.6 ppg. 

Play on Middle Tennessee State to cover 

BIG 12 CHAMPIONSHIP GAME - AT&T Stadium - Arlington, TX

Oklahomas body of work this season  despite of star QB  QB Kyler Murrays heroics have  not impressed me, with their only really top tier outing coming vs West Virginia. The Sooners are erratic to say the least as their defence has allowed 46, 47, 40 and 56  points in the last four games and the word champion if they win today must be used loosely. I know Texas may not inspire bettors either as they have been extremely inconsistent. but they did win this seasons Red River clash 48-45 handing the Sooners they're only loss, and have now covered 6 straight in this series. 

Longhorns HC Tom Herman is 12-1 ATS as a underdog, including 7-0 ATS as a dog of 7 or more points.

TEXAS is 6-0 ATS versus excellent rushing teams - averaging 5.25 or more  rushing yards/carry over the last 2 seasons. OKLAHOMA is 0-6 ATS after gaining 325 or more passing yards in last game this season and is 2-10 ATS  in road games after gaining 6.75 or more yards/play in 2 consecutive games over the last 3 seasons. 

 CFB team (OKLAHOMA) - revenging an upset loss against opponent as a favorite of 7 or more, after a road game where both teams score 31 points or more are 12-45 ATS L/26 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors.

CFB team (OKLAHOMA) - good team - outscoring opponents by 7 or more points/game, after allowing 31 points or more in 3 straight games are 14-41  ATS L/5 seasons for a go against  75% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Texas to cover 

CBB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (THE CITADEL) - in a game involving 2 very good teams - outscoring opponents by 8+ PPG, after scoring 80 points or more 3 straight games are 30-71 ATS L/5 seasons for a  go against 70% conversion rate for bettors.

MERCER is 4-0 straight up against THE CITADEL since 1997

Play on Mercer to cover ( Late Steam)

Denver has been playing some very good hoops of late,  winning 4 straight ,but the Trail Blazers at home are no pushovers, going  24-9 ATS in their last 33 home games and 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Trail Blazers are also 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 vs. NBA Northwest. They come into this game off a close win vs Orlando last time out ending a 3 game losing streak, which is a good thing as they are  8-0 ATS after a close win by 3 points or less over the last 2 seasons.

PORTLAND is also 14-3 ATS in home games vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons and is 21-10 ATS  when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Favorites (PORTLAND) - after a home game where both teams score 100 or more points against opponent off a home blowout win by 20 points or more re 29-9 ATS L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (DENVER) - after allowing 85 points or less against opponent after allowing 100 points or more 5 straight games are 9-33 ATS  L/22 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Portland to cover 

The Mavericks are 2-7 SU on the road this season and will be trying for their first two-game winning streak on the same road trip since going 3-0 against the Pacers, New Orleans Pelicans and Oklahoma City Thunder from Dec. 27-31, 2017. Im betting they don't get it , and that they also fail to cover .With that a said, Im expecting for the the Lakers  to use the 104-96 win against the visiting Indiana Pacers on Thursday night as a confidence and  momentum builder heading in this tilt. 

NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (DALLAS) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points, off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as an underdogs are 1-36 SU L/5 seasons for a go against 97% conversion rate for bettors witht he average margin point differential coming by 10.7 ppg.

Play on the LA Lakers to cover 

PAC 12 CHAMPIONSHIP GAME - Levis Stadium - Santa Clara, CA

The  Washington Huskies upset Washington State last week in a 28-15 emotional filled event that will have them in a letdown scenario this week. It will be hard for them to get up to the same energy levels as last week, vs a tough physical Utah team that can make life miserable for them in the trenches   I know Washington beat the Utes back in September but since than Utah is 7-1 SU and  are 4-1 ATS as underdogs with conference revenge and 5-1 ATS when getting 6 points or less. Washington before last weeks  Apple Cup victory were on a 6 game ATS losing streak and looked far from being championship calibre team. Note    Utah is 15-0 SU in games not played on the weekend  and 5-0 SUATS the last five overall .

UTAH is 19-6 ATS L/25 in road games when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 75% or more). WASHINGTON is 2-8 ATS as a favorite this season.

CFB Neutral field underdogs (UTAH) - outrushing their opponents by 100 or more yards/game on the season are 33-9 ATS L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Utah to cover 

This will be Utahs 4th game in 6 nights, and Im betting their on tired legs vs a side that can run the hell out of opponents, behind the 6th ranked offence. Charlotte is 8-3  at the Spectrum Center this season and have won four straight over Utah at home and get the nod again here on a short chalk line.

From a SRS perspective: Utah is ranked 18th at -1.80 while, Charlotte is ranked 7th with a 3.80 SRS. ( Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average)

NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (UTAH) - in a game involving 2 up-tempo teams (82 or more shots/game), after game - allowing a shooting pct. of 35% or less are 5-25 ATS L/5 seasons for go against 83% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Road teams vs. the money line (UTAH) - poor defensive team - shooting pct defense of 46% or better on the season against opponent after game - allowing a shooting pct. of 35% or less are just 3-24 SU L/5 seasons for a go against 89% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (CHARLOTTE) - in a game involving 2 up-tempo teams (82 or more shots/game), after game - allowing a shooting pct. of 35% or less are 28-7 ATS L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. 

Play on Charlotte to cover 

APPALACHIAN ST is 12-2 ATS after a game where they failed to cover the spread over the last 2 season.E CAROLINA is 8-21 ATS after 2 straight games making 78% of their free throws or better.

CBB Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (E CAROLINA) - after allowing 80 points or more against opponent after a blowout win by 20 points or more are just 189-290 ATS L/21 seasons for a 60% go against conversion rate.

729 Appalachian State  to cover 

at PPG Paints Arena - Pittsburgh, PA

Duquesne, off to a 4-1 start under second-year head coach Keith Dambrot, makes the one-block trek to play their neighbourhood rivals at the  PPG Paints Arena as they go head to head with Pitt (6-1) in the 87th version of the City Game on Friday.The Dukes own a balanced attack as is evident by  five players having either led or tied for the team lead in scoring in DU's first five games. That balance will keep them in this game and get us the cover.

Duquesne to cover 

Delaware has a very talented recruiting class, that will get better as the season progresses. One key cog is Anderson, who never lost a regular season or district game during his high school career at St. John Neumann. This kids a winner, and a floor general and brings a attitude to this team that is hard to come by. Yes, he is coming off a season ending injury last season, but he's fresher than ever and a real treat to watch.The team is off to a 5-2 start this season and Anderson is certainly doing his part. He currently leads the Blue Hens with 29 assists and nine steals while ranking second by averaging 13.4 points and 5.9 rebounds per game. Look for him to lead te way today vs anover match Eastern Shore program.

Play on the Delaware to cover 

My power rankings make the LA Clippers the superior side in this matchup even though they are in the visitors role. The Clippers have won 11 straight games in this series and Im betting nothing changes tonight. Yes, I know the Clippers are playing back to backs , but after not exerting much energy in a 115-99  DD victory vs the Suns last night, they have more than enough left in the tank to dispose of the Kings.

The Clippers are 9-1 ATS as favorites this season and 12-3 ATS L/15 as road chalk.

NBA road favorites like the Clippers.  after a blowout win of 15 points or more against opponent after scoring 100 points or more   after 5 straight games are 32-13 ATS L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Clippers to cover

The Riverside,Highlanders   prepare to host  a dangerous opponent (California Baptist University) (CBU) in the Crosstown Showdown. The Lancers are in the midst of their inaugural season at the NCAA DI level and hungry to compete and will be sky high here and very prepared to take down a team that plays in their own back yard.CBU comes into Thursday's matchup with an overall record of 2-4 SU as the Lancers have dropped four straight after opening up the season 2-0. Nearly all of the team's games have been close losing by three points or less to both Tulsa and Howard, and falling to Arkansas Pin Bluff in Triple OT.The Highlanders  are primo from  downtown this season as their .350 3pt shooting percentage ranks 3rd in the Big West and eight different  players have hit from the land of the trey. Their 3pt defence also ranks 3rd allowing opponents to shoot just .276. That will be the difference maker her tonight. 

Play on California Baptist to cover 

UAB (4-2) will be carrying some momentum into the Rocket City after defeating Canisius, 68-58, to close out the AdvoCare Invitational in Orlando. The Blazers have relied on their defense to keep opponents down which ranks 71st in the NCAA and 4th in C-USA in scoring defense, allowing just 65.8 points per game. Additionally, the Blazers rank 56th in the nation in turnovers forced (16.67) and 64th in steals per game (8.2).Rebounding has been another big time component of the team's game, out-rebounding its opponents by a margin of 6.5, good for 61st in the NCAA. The Blazers have also been good on the offensive glass with 15.0 boards per contest, ranked 31st nationally and Im betting this will be key difference maker tonight. Note> The Blazers are a over powering 11-0 all-time against the Alabama A&M  Bulldogs, with the last meeting coming last season, a 90-58 victory for UAB, in the BHM Jam. The Blazers are also  a dominating 53-0 all-time against opponents from the SWAC, including a 9-0 mark under head coach Robert Ehsan.

 UAB-15.5 to cover  

All my college Hoops selections both totals and sides are based on a extensive data base of current stats past trends, and  overall head to head team system and player vs player  analysis as well as coaching tendencies when certain circumstances and matchup situations arise. No stone has been left unturned in the process of delivering winners to my clients, including injury reports, line moves and travel situations associated with both fatigue factors and freshness. Because of extensive betting opportunities associated with the large number of games, there are certain days when individual analysis is not included. Thank you and God Bless . Alex Smart 

Florida A&M to cover 

Dartmouth (3-3) l is a  up-tempo team, while Marist (1-4) plays a more physical slow down brand of hoops. Dartmouth can launch threes and score in bunches, but the Foxes are not easily scored on, and behind one of the lowest paces in all of college hoops and mess with the flow of a team like Big Green. Despite of the Foxes negative record they must be respected as three of those losses were by single-digits .  It must also be mentioned that  pundits believe this will be a mid to upper tier team Marist  this year and they get my support here today.

Neutral Court underdogs vs. the money line (DARTMOUTH) - off a road loss by 10 points or more against opponent off an embarrassing road loss scoring less than 60 points are 5-51 SU L/5 seasons for a 91% conversion rate for bettors. 

MARIST is 32-16 ATS in road games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 37% or more of their attempts. 

Play on Marist to win cover 

 The Missouri State Bears have gotten to the free throw line 20 times or more in four of their first six games and Im betting that will be the difference maker here tonight vs Air Force . Charity stripe action gives us an edge. 

CBB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (MISSOURI ST) - a good offensive team (74-78 PPG) against a poor offensive team (63-67 PPG), after allowing 75 points or more 2 straight games.are 30-8 ATS L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Missouri State to cover 

My own projections make Kentucky 29+ point favourites vs 0-7  Monmouth, thus giving us value with laying 24 points here . Monmouth have lost 6 of their 7 games this season, by DDs, and are very over matched according to my power rankings, with a less than 40% chances for a cover. HC Calipari of the Wildcats has also made sure his team is not overlooking their opponents tonight. QUOTE:“They have nothing to lose,” Calipari said of a Monmouth team who played a close game with West Virginia just a few weeks ago. “They play fast; they play around their post player.” END QUOTE:Calipari went on to say if the Cats don’t play defense, Monmouth could beat them. 

The HC has been pretty livid about the Wildcats lack of D, lately and wants them to step up. Look for a complete performance and a cover by Kentucky.

Play on Kentucky to cover 

BYU had a 5 game win streak end against Houston last time out, and will now be ready to bounce back vs Illinois State.

BYU has held five of its seven opponents to 40 percent shooting or lower. For the season, BYU opponents are shooting 38.8 percent, top 50 in the NCAA.Through seven games, BYU is one of the top ball control teams in the country. The Cougars are No. 7 in the nation in turnovers at 8.9 per game and are No. 3 in assist to turnover ratio at 1.98:1. After averaging 11.7 turnovers in the first three games, BYU has averaged just 6.8 turnovers over the last four games

Last Meeting: BYU won 80-68, 12/6/17Im betting on them again here as my power rankings makes them 4.5 favs here, which is value compared to this line.

Play on BYU to cover 

All my college Hoops selections both totals and sides are based on a extensive data base of current stats past trends, and  overall head to head team system and player vs player  analysis as well as coaching tendencies when certain circumstances and matchup situations arise. No stone has been left unturned in the process of delivering winners to my clients, including injury reports, line moves and travel situations associated with both fatigue factors and freshness. Because of extensive betting opportunities associated with the large number of games, there are certain days when individual analysis is not included. Thank you and God Bless . Alex Smart 

South Dakota State to cover 

Utah's been struggling having lost 4 of their L/5 and now on tired legs as they play their 3rd game in 4 nights.  Im betting the Jazz will  once again have a hard time getting by a under rated Brooklyn side that is fairly well rested and playing at home . Note: UTAH is 17-33 ATS when playing their 3rd game in 4 days over the last 3 seasons. BROOKLYN I know the Nets do not inspire bettors, but from a matchup perspective according to my power rankings have an edge here on this side number. Brooklyn is 21-9 ATS  when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days over the last 2 seasons

NBA Road teams vs. the money line (UTAH) - off an upset loss as a home favorite against opponent off a close home loss by 3 points or less are 4-22 L/5 seasons for a go against 85% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Brooklyn to cover 

All my college Hoops selections both totals and sides are based on a extensive data base of current stats past trends, and  overall head to head team system and player vs player  analysis as well as coaching tendencies when certain circumstances and matchup situations arise. No stone has been left unturned in the process of delivering winners to my clients, including injury reports, line moves and travel situations associated with both fatigue factors and freshness. Because of extensive betting opportunities associated with the large number of games, there are certain days when individual analysis is not included. Thank you and God Bless . Alex Smart 

Liberty to cover 

Both UTA and TU will be looking to stop two-game losing streaks as the Mavericks are coming off setbacks at Indiana and Arkansas – both teams receiving votes in the national polls and battle hardened and ready to compete here.UTA has posted some solid early-season showings as the revamped Mavs already own victories over perennially-strong mid-major Northern Iowa and a UC Davis team which returns four starters from a Big West Regular Season Championship and NIT appearance and more than capable of hanging around here and cashing a ticket. 

TX-ARLINGTON is 15-5 ATS  versus slow-down teams averaging 53 or less shots/game and is 22-11 ATS versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game over the last 3 seasons.   TX-ARLINGTON is 10-1 ATS after allowing 75 points or more 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons and is 6-0 ATS  after playing 2 consecutive games as a road underdog over the last 3 seasons. 

527 Texas Arlington to  cover Texas Arlington to cover 

Indiana is in top form and are off clobbering back to back opponents, and Im betting they still have enough left in the tank to get by a young Phoenix team that despite of flashing some brilliance on occasion still don't know how to win consistently. This is not a good matchup for the home side Suns. 

PHOENIX is 18-32 ATS  versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 season with a average point differential off 11+ ppg. 

LATE STEAM 

NBA Favorites vs. the money line (INDIANA) - very good shooting team - shooting 48% or more on the season against opponent hot shooting team - 3 straight games making 47% or more of their shots are 27-1 L/5 seasons for a 97% conversion rate for bettors with the average margin of victory coming by 11.6 ppg. 

Play on Indiana to cover 

 North Carolina State with a perfect 6-0 record  looks to have a fine team this season, but many don't believe they are a viable option here vs a  power-conference team  like Wisconsin   playing on the road. However,   Wisconsin's schedule heats up after tonight, with the Badgers probably looking ahead  to a pair of Big Ten Conference games against Iowa and Rutgers after this and may not be totally focused in this spot. 

Wolfpack are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

Play on North Carolina State to cover 

Temple has won 5 of their first 6 games,  with key wins over California and Georgia early in the season deserve respect here as underdogs vs a inconsistent looking Missouri team that has some injury issues as Jordan Geist is battling back issues, and K.J. Santos still out with a fractured foot. The bottom line here is The Owls have too much fire power for Missouri  to handle.

 TEMPLE is 10-2 ATS  after a game with 5 or less offensive rebounds over the last 3 seasons. Temples HC Dunphy is 10-2 ATS  in road games after 2 straight games - attempting 10+ more shots than opponent in all games he has coached since 1997. 

Play on Temple to cover 

Memphis after a 5 game win streak, has lost their last two games ,and lost their last time out as home chalk to NY Knicks. Its not uncommon for teams deemed superior to their opposition to take nights off in the /NBA and also overlook their opponents , which is what Im betting happened to the Grizzlies in that game vs a up-trending Knicks team. Now focusedI expect a usually hardworking Memphis group to give top tier visitor the Raptors a fight for the W behind the leagues top defence. Im betting on the Grizzlies methodical style of play to interrupt and ply havoc on the free flowing Raptors, and make life difficult for them. 

NBA  Home underdogs (MEMPHIS) - off a upset loss as a favorite, good team, winning 60-75% or more of their games on the season are 62-30 ATS L/22 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA Road teams vs. the money line (TORONTO) - average to below average defensive team - allowing 103+ points/game on the season, after leading their last 3 games by 5+ points at the half are 31-61 SU L/5 seasons for a go against 66% conversion rate. The average point differential of those games clicked in at 3.2 ppg, which adds credence to a cover call of 3.5 points or more with the Grizzlies.

Play on the Memphis Grizzlies to cover 

The North Texas men's basketball team is at Oklahoma on Tuesday aiming for its first 9-0 start to a season in program history.The Mean Green (8-0), who are the only 8-0 team in the country and riding a nation's best 10-game winning streak, take on the Oklahoma  Sooners (5-1) and if they lose tonight Im betting it will come at less than the point spread.UNT's opponents have only   averaged of 55.4 point per game this season, making the Mean Green defense a top 10  team in the nation. This is a group of players that competes as is evident by  the fact that the mean Green  only trailed this season for 12 minutes and 13 seconds all year, which means they've either led or have been tied for 96 percent of the season in this campaign..

N TEXAS is 13-5 ATS  in road games over the last 2 seasons

N TEXAS is 11-1 ATS  versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or less  over the last 2 seasons.N TEXAS is 8-1 ATS versus teams who average 40 or more rebounds/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. 

OKLAHOMA is 7-16 ATS  versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or less  over the last 2 seasons

Take the point with North Texas to cover 

Penn is red hot and started 4-0 for the first time since the 1978-79 season leads the series 2-1 after a 105-52 rout last year at The Palestra. Penn's win percentage in its last 48 games under Donahue (34-14) and they get the nod here to win and cover in what Im betting is a big blowout victory.

7755 Pennsylvania to cover  over Delaware State

The Virginia Tech Hokies haven't yet lost a game this season, and are a perfect 5-0. With Penn State having some early season chemistry issues they are just 3-2 and with key cog Mike Watkins having what is described as mental health issues, the Lions don't inspire confidence. Overall it does not matter to me if Watkins state of mind has evened out yet, I still believe that the Hokies own the superior side and give them my backing here on a short line. 

VIRGINIA TECH is 11-3 ATS  versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.VIRGINIA TECH is 9-1 ATS   in November games over the last 2 seasons.VIRGINIA TECH is 15-4 ATS after playing a game as favorite over the last 2 seasonsVIRGINIA TECH is 11-3 ATS  in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

HCChambers is 0-6 ATS  l/6 versus horrible foul drawing teams - attempting 15  or less free throws/game as the coach of PENN ST.

Play on Virginia Tech to cover 

 Texas enters this tilt vs Tennessee  having won 7 straight games following a 0-3 start.   The wins were not that impressive overall and most were against average to sub par average teams with a total combined record of 22-20 record  and they  won 4  of those games by 3 points or less .

Tonight Im betting Tennessee’s 9th ranked defense to go  Helmut to helmet  with Houston’s strong  D and make this a hard fought tilt. With  Tennessee's QB Marcus Mariota  expected to play the Titans are a solid side option , as he  is 7-3 SU and 8-2 ATS in division games when his team is coming off a loss, including 6-0 SUATS the last six games. Note: NFL Road teams (TENNESSEE) - off a road loss, in November games are good long term bets against the spread going 179-117 ATS L/35 seasons for a 61% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. 

 HOUSTON is 0-6 ATS  after a win by 3 or less points over the last 3 seasons. 

The Titans are also 6-1 SU and 7-0 ATS on Monday nights.

Take the point with Tennessee to cover 

The Rockets after winning 5 straight games have suffered back to back losses in the first 2 games of their current 3 game road trip. The finale of those 3 away games comes tonight vs a very inconsistent Washington Wizards team, and gives the Rockets a solid chance at getting back into the win column and more importantly as far as we are concerned a cover . 

Houston owns a - 0.17 ranking 16th in the league while Washington has recorded a -4.07 SRS which ranks 25th in the NBA. Thus opening line of -3.5 according to my numbers is more accurate , which gives us value laying 2.5 points here. SRS : Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average. 

HC D'Antoni is 14-4 ATS in road games vs. poor rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 3+ per game as the coach of HOUSTON.

NBA team (HOUSTON) - in non-conference games, off 2 or more consecutive road losses are 237-167 ATS L/5 seasons for a 59% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. 

Play on the Houston Rockets to cover

The Louisiana Tech Bulldogs are ranked 227 for offensive field goal percentage shooting 42.7% while attempting 56.2 shots per game. The Bulldogs shooting percentages include 63.8% for free throw percentage and 29.8% for three point percentage so far this season.The Delaware Blue Hens are ranked 117 for offensive field goal percentage shooting 45.7% while attempting 55.8 shots per game. The Blue Hens shooting percentages include 74.6% for free throw percentage and 39.2% for three point percentage so far this season.Head to head analysis based on power ranking suggest Delaware is the superior side. 

 Bulldogs are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Bulldogs are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Bulldogs are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games following a straight up loss.Blue Hens are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games.Blue Hens are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games overall.Blue Hens are 34-15-3 ATS in their last 52 games following a ATS loss.Blue Hens are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games following a double-digit loss at home.

Play on Delaware to cover 

The Knicks are just 6-14 start  but have come to life   in their last two games, which featured a surprising win at Boston and close home winner over New Orleans. But now Im betting on the Knicks current gravy train to crash abruptly in the unfriendly confines of Memphis where they will face a grinding opponent that can make life difficult for a  rebuilding young team like the Knicks.  It must be noted that the NYK has lost their L/7 games here and and have not scored more than 100 points in any of those games and Im betting that status quo of that trend continue today . It must be noted that Memphis 6-0 ATS L/6 at home as a favourite and play their best ball right here at home. 

NEW YORK is 4-17 ATS L/21 in road games after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 3 seasons with the average deficit clicking in at more than 12 ppg. 

Play on Memphis to cover 

CFL 106th Grey Cup Championship - Commonwealth Stadium - Edmonton

Im betting the old adage that says " The  Third time is a charm " will see the Calgary Stampeders win and cover and grab this years Grey Cup. For the third straight season the Stampeders finished the regular season with the best regular season record, but in the previous two tries they failed in the finale. Not this time. This team is primed and ready to leave everything on the field here this time around.the Stampeders swept the two game series against the Redblacks this season and another 3 is my call here. With the this game being held in Edmonton Alberta just a few hours away from Calgary I expect the majority of the crowd to be on the Stamps side giving them an extra boost. 

CFL Favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (CALGARY) - off 1 or more consecutive unders, solid team - outscoring opponents by 7 or more points/game are 31-10 ATS L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Calgary to cover 

 The Steelers and an emotional let down situation coming off a revengeful win vs Jacksonville last out .  With that in mind and the fact that he Steelers have  not been good bets vs AFC teams like Denver as is evident by  struggling in these confrontations  recording a  3-11 SU record  and a equally ugly  2-12 ATS mark as road favs L/39 seasons, including 0-9 ATS when favoured by more than 3 points.Meanwhile, the Broncos are up-trending  as they have taken the stats battles  in 4 of their L/5 and cashed in four of those tilts. Denver has also been cash in the bank at home as   home dog  cashing 9 of their L/10 vs above.500 sides.

Long term DENVER is 29-15 ATS L/44  in home games vs. good teams - outscoring opponents by 6+ PPG on the season . Denver  is 6-2 SU L/8 at home this series. 

The Steelers are 0-10 ATS L/10 as a road favorite on natural surface  off a win.

Play on Denver to cover 

The Orlando Magic (9-10) beat the visiting Lakers 130-117 on Nov. 17 to end their season-long four-game winning streak which is the Lakers only loss in their L/8 games. Now with revenge on board I expect the Lakers to come out here with all guns blazing in . a pay back event vs a Orlando team that has fallen back down to earth after a 3 game win streak and  have lost their L/2 games by DDs deficits. Note: The past three opponents the Lakers have faced  are averaging 95. 

LA LAKERS are 13-3 ATS in home games versus horrible foul drawing teams - attempting 21 or less free throws/game over the last 2 seasons. 

NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (ORLANDO) - after beating the spread by 48 or more points total in their last ten games against opponent after going under the total by 30 or more points total in their last three games are 5-31 L/5 seasons with the average combined score deficit clicking in at 14.7 ppg. 

NBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (LA LAKERS) - in a game involving two explosive offensive teams (102 PPG or more ), after allowing 90 points or less are 63-33 L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on LA Lakers to cover 

These long time rivals the New England Patriots and NY Jets  go head to head this Thanks giving weekend. The early public money is as expected all over the Pats.While sharp money goes down on the Jets. I know this is contrarian action, as many expect the Pats to be primed for redemption after suffering a DD loss last time , but  Im betting if the Pats get by a desperate Jets team that has lost 4 straight, it wont come by more than this offered line. The last two meetings here in NY have both been won by the Pats, but both were decided by TD or less. Both times the Pats were 9 to 10 point chalk, and both times the public smashed their money down on them and both times they lost, and now the three and out rule is in effect. Be brave, take the Jets as they make it their mission to get back their long lost respect.  

The Jets have historically been a good bet off a home defeat and than following up as the host team. NY JETS are 21-6 ATS  in home games off a home loss since 1992.

Play on the NY Jets to cover 

Both these teams have trouble scoring, and both have top tier defences ranked 2nd and 3rd in the league. To back a road favorite in my opinion, that team must have the ability to get the ball into the end zone consistently , something the Jags are not doing. I know Buffalo does not inspire bettors, but after scoring 41 points last time out before their bye and now on fresh legs the Bills are a better bet than most might care to believe. Especially taking on an emotionally drained side, that was off a must win situation  last week vs the Steelers and then blew it, by not showing up in the 2nd half after a 16-0 lead . Its interesting to note that the Jaguars are 0-6 ATS  L/6 as a favorite off a game as a dog are 0-6 ATS  off a game as a dog in which they had fewer than 10 incompletions which was the case last week in a hurtful 20-16 loss to the Steelers after taking a a DD lead. 

Play on Buffalo Bills to cover 

The 49ers are fresh and off a bye week, and before the break they loss a close one to the Giants 27-23 on Monday Night even though they out gained them by 374 to 277 yards. The Niners according to my power rankings also despite of a negative record are up trending, and are viable underdogs here vs a Tampa Bay team, that despite of moving the chains with regularity , are just 1-7 in their L/8 games with a 2-27 negative turnover ratio . The Bucs own an atrocious D, and can't hold onto the ball, and are fade material this Sunday.

TAMPA BAY is 1-12 ATS off 1 or more straight overs over the last 2 seasons. TAMPA BAY is 1-9 ATS after a playing a game where 50 total points or more were scored over the last 2 seasons.


NFL road dogs playing on natural surface vs a non-divisional opponent are 10-0 ATS off their bye week, covering by an average of 10.15 ppg and SF fits the bill this Sunday. 
he Fortyniners are 7-0 ATS L/7 after a home game in which a player had at least 6 receptions.
The Fortyniners are 6-0 ATS L/6 as a road dog facing an opponent that is averaging fewer than 25 rushes per game. The Buccaneers are 0-7 ATS L/ 7 at home of a loss. 

Play on the SF 49ers to cover

BYU (6-5) knocked off a ranked opponent on the road earlier this season and is more than capable of turning the trick again as they have the added incentive of needing to  notch back-to-back wins to get bowl eligible. I know Utah is a top tier team, but when these programs have met in the past records  and stats go out the window, as 17 out of the last 20 games in the Holy War have been decided by seven points or less.BYU is  also 21-3-1 ATS as a road dog with revenge, including 14-1 ATS against opposition with at least one loss on the season like Utah. With No. 17 ranked Utah looking ahead to next weeks PAC 12 championship game, expect the unexpected. Take the points. 

BYU is 6-0 ATS in road games in weeks 10 through 13 over the last 3 seasons.

BYU to cover