Memphis has lost 11 straight after Saturdays heart braking 116-111 defeat at the hands of the Cleveland Cavaliers. It was one of the Grizzlies best efforts of late, and the first time they cracked the 100 point plateau in scoring in 7 straight games. Tonight, exasperated, and feeling dejected, their desperation may turn into a defeatist mindset which will not serve them well vs a talented young Minnesota group, that is more than capable of taking a road win here as short favs.

MEMPHIS is 3-12 ATS L/15 when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%.MEMPHIS is 0-8 ATS in home games after 1 or more consecutive losses this season.MEMPHIS is 1-8 ATS after playing a road game this season.

NBA team vs the money line (MEMPHIS) - struggling team - failing to cover the spread in 8 or more of their last 10, a lower tier team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a winning record are jus 5-41 SU L/5 seasons for a 89% conversion rate SU including 0-5 this season.

Play on Minnesota to cover 1 unit reg selection

Using my own power ranking and plyer/systems matchups suggest this line should be closer tp -16.5, which give us value taking the underdog in this spot.

OKLAHOMA is 0-8 ATS  L/8  in home games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season . OKLAHOMA is 3-12 ATS  L/15  in home games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game. OKLAHOMA is 0-6 ATS L/6 after 2 or more consecutive wins. Oklahoma HC Kruger is 12-27 ATS  L/44 after playing 3 consecutive games as favorite.

CBB Road teams as an underdog or pick (TX-SAN ANTONIO) - after scoring 75 points or more 2 straight games against opponent after scoring 80 points or more 3 straight games 74-35 ATS L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Texas San Antonio to cover

Iowa has a lot of versatility and not used a set lineup every night making them hard to prepare against.  The Hawjkeyes did lose their opener  to Michigan 77-73 , but looked good against a strong side. I know their not highly respected at this time, after losing 20 ppg man Peter Jok, in the off season, but their still capable. Hawkeyes are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. Big Ten.

Meanwhile, Indiana despite of their legendary home court advantage, still are not a premier Big10 team quite yet, and Archie Miller has his work cut out for him. He might get by Iowa tonight but I'm betting it won't come easily , especially after two grueling tilts vs Duke and Michigan

Play on Iowa to cover

The Atlanta Hawks go  head to head with the Brooklyn Nets for the back end of a home-and-home set this Monday night.The Hawks took out  the Nets  Saturday with a 114-102 victory and now the men form Brooklyn come looking for revenge, and I'm betting they get it.

BROOKLYN is 17-7 ATS L/24 in road games revenging a home loss vs opponent .

Brooklyn is 8-1 ATS L/9 overall.

NBA Home teams vs. the money line (ATLANTA) - off an upset win of 10 points or more as a road underdog, in December games are 9-21 L/5 seasons for 70% go against conversion rate.

NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (ATLANTA) - off an upset win as a road underdog, with a losing record are 45-78 L/5 seasons for a 64% go against conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Brooklyn to cover 1 unit reg selection

The Eagles enter this game on fire having won 5 straight games by DD margins. Needless to say, the city of Philly is going wild, and  I smell a bit of irrational exuberance in the air . With that said, I'm betting the Eagles might be starting to believe the hype of their own press clippings, which suits a veteran coach like Carroll and veteran laden player group just fine in Seattle as they will be primed to spring the upset.  HC Carroll is 21-9 SU with Seattle in December games and has won and covered three straight vs NFC East opponents during this month. The Hawks QB Russell Wilson thrives in December tilts going 6-1 SU and 7-0 ATS vs .666 or better opposition late in the season when the veteran seems to shine the most.

Seattle's HC Carroll is 17-4 ATS  L/21  vs. excellent punt coverage teams, allowing  7.5 yards or less  per return in the second half of the season in his career.

NFL Favorites (PHILADELPHIA) - excellent offensive team - scoring 27 or more points/game, after allowing 14 points or less in 2 straight are 9-28 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 76% for bettors.

Play on Seattle to cover 1 unit reg selection

The Spurs continue to play decent ball despite of being without  Kawhi Leonard and are 15-7 SU without him in the lineup. The Spurs have won four consecutive games and 11 of their last 14 and this veteran laden team with one of the all time great NBA HC behind the bench are dangerous underdogs, and must be respected . Tonight against a very inconsistent Thunder side, that is still learning to play as a team behind the star trio Paul George and Carmelo Anthony added to superstar Russell Westbrook who  are volatile in their coordination as a group.

SAN ANTONIO is 23-8 ATS  L/31 in December games .Thunder are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Thunder are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall.Thunder are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Spurs are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 vs. NBA Northwest.

Play on San Antonio to cover

New Orleans  (8-3) eight-game winning streak came to an abrupt end  last week in LA vs the Rams, and now they  find them selves in  a position to lose their NFC South lead as the Carolina Panthers, who are also 8-3, come into the Mercedes-Benz Superdome on Sunday looking to avenge a 34-13 loss to the Saints in Week 3.  The Panthers have won four straight games to move back into a statistical tie with the Saints atop the division, and are my pick today to get us the cover in what I'm betting will be a hard fought affair that could easily be won with a late FG. New Orleans head coach Payton knows about the freight train that is coming his way QUOTE:  ."The last four weeks, they're running the ball extremely well," he said. "Their plus-minus in the turnover ratio has flopped entirely. Defensively, you're seeing one of the better defenses in the league right now when you look at total yards, scoring -- pick a number. They're healthy and I think playing with a lot of confidence. The time of possession has been significantly in their favor as well. Certainly, in this winning stretch, they're first in the league." END QUOTE. I'll back the Saints coach here and recommend we take the points with the talented and peeking visitors.

CAROLINA is 6-0 ATS  L/6 as a road underdog of 7 points or less.CAROLINA is 9-1 ATS  after allowing 6 or more yards/play in their previous game.NEW ORLEANS is 4-14 ATS L/18  after covering the spread in 6 or 7 out of their last 8 games.

Play on Carolina to cover 1 unit reg selection

Boise State is off an emotional hard fought win vs Oregon last time out on the road, and could easily find themselves in a letdown spot here today vs a Portland team despite a lot of new faces this season have enough scoring options to get us the cover here today. Portland also proved their metal in two games vs N.Carolina and Oklahoma and did not look completely out of place.

Broncos are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Broncos are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games following a straight up win.Pilots are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.

Play on Portland to cover

After facing the explosive Golden State Warriors last time out this trip to NY to play the  Knicks  will be like taking walk in Central Park.  Meanwhile, the Knicks  know the  Magic are not an easy  out especially playing without their leading scorer  Porzingis. (25.8 ppg), who is injured ( ankle) and if he plays will see limited minutes. It must be noted that the last time the NYK played without their star they lost a  112-99 tilt at Orlando on Nov. 8th. With that said, and on the flip side look for emerging Magic star Aaron Gordon, to be the catalyst behind his teams cover and or win today. Note: the Magic are ranked 8th in the NBA in offensive production, and the Knicks are ranked 18th.

New York also could be without first-round pick Frank Ntilikina, who also has a sprained ankle -- his left , and is listed as questionable.

NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (NEW YORK) - struggling defensive team - allowing 103+ points/game on the season against opponent after scoring 55 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games are 47-83 ATS L/21 seasons for a go against 64% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Orlando to cover

I don't like to make it a habit laying more than a TD on the road with any NFL team, but if their are rare exceptions and  this is one of them, as I recommend we lay the lumber with the defending New England Pats this afternoon on the road in Buffalo. After a slow start to their current campaign, the Pats have seemingly got better with each progressive game, on both sides of the ball. The Pats have not allowed more than 17 points in any of their L/7 games, with opposing offenses averaging just 11.5 ppg . On offense  QB Brady and company have scored 41,33, and 35 points respectively in their three most recent tilts and are revving on all engines at the moment and ready for a huge take off. |Meanwhile, Buffalo has been wildly inconsistent this season, and in a recent home game vs New Orleans were clobbered a 47-10 count. In last years visit to Buffalo the Pats won by a 41-25 count in a game that was not as close as the score might indicate. With that said, I'm betting on a rinse and repeat situation and a conclusive Patriots win and cover. Note: The Pats covered a 17 point home favs last week, and this number even here on the road is very beatable.

Patriots are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game.Patriots are 12-2 ATS in their last 14 road games.

NEW ENGLAND is 15-0 ATS   after allowing 17 points or less in 2 straight games with the average margin of victory coming by 16.3 ppg. 

Play on the New England Patriots to cover 1 unit reg selection

Minnesota (9-2)  is playing at a very high level and at the head of their division  and have  won seven straight games as they head south to face the Falcons (7-4) on Sunday. The Vikings have a chance at home-field advantage in the play offs and will be primed and ready to take out their hosts. QUOTE: "We've yet to accomplish everything we want to accomplish, and we've got a lot of work ahead of us, but we're hungry for it," said Case Keenum, who has earned another start this week at quarterback. "I think everybody in this locker room is hungry." END QUOTE:

The current numbers and my own power rankings suggest that Minnesota is the superior side. Minnesota is fifth in the NFL with 375.7 yards per game, while  Atlanta's some times explosive offense has recorded 373.4 yards per game. The Vikings are eighth in scoring (24.6 points per game) to the Falcons in 11th (24.1) in the league. Note: There are Two injury concerns for the Falcons that put them at a disadvantage vs the Vikings as  starting cornerbacks Brian Poole and Desmond Trufant. Both left last week's game and did not practice Wednesday. Poole is dealing with a back injury, while Trufant has a concussion.

I know Atlanta has been hot of late, but this franchise has not dealt well with success at least from a ATS perspective very well after some top tier efforts as is obvious  by their 2-17 ATS  L/19 run  in home games after 3 or more consecutive wins against the spread.

ATLANTA is 6-16 ATS  L/22 vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 61% or better. MINNESOTA is 8-0 ATS  L/8 off a win against a division rival.MINNESOTA is 16-3 ATS  L/19 after 2 or more consecutive wins against the spread.ATLANTA is 3-15 ATS  L/18  in home games off a home win by 10 points or more which happened against TB last time out .

The Falcons are 0-10 ATS failing to cover by an average of 8.8 ppg  on turf off a game as a favorite when the line is within 3 of pick and they are averaging at least 24 points per game over their last three games. they were 2-8 SU during that ATS run with the two wins coming by 2 points and 1 point respectively.

NFL Road teams (MINNESOTA) - mistake-free team (1.25 or less TO/G committed) vs a team with 1.25 or less TO/G forced after 8+ games, after 2 consecutive game where they committed 1 or less turnovers are 44-17 ATS L/34 seasons for a 72% long term conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Minnesota to cover

The Blazers recently took four of five games on their last road trip and than came home in an emotional letdown state and looked asleep at the proverbial  wheel in a home loss to the Milwaukee Bucks.QUOTE: "The first game back home is a set-up for a letdown," point guard Damian Lillard said. "We talked about that before a game. We wanted to come out and play above that, but (the Bucks) came in ready. They played a great game, and we made one too many mistakes to give ourselves a great chance to win it." END QUOTE

Now rested and getting used to home cooking again, I expect we will see the upward trending Portland Trailblazers at their best vs a Pelicans team that they look to get revenge on for a 103-93 loss to back on Oct 24th in the Bayou.

NEW ORLEANS is 2-16 ATS L/18 in road games after 2 or more consecutive overs .

Note: Anthony Davis if he plays tonight will be less 100%.

Play on the Portland Blazers to cover

My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals

Play on Arizona   to cover

Write-up (analysis):

My owns projections make this game a pickem, which give us an edge on the line.The Miners really had a good camp playing against some Latin American pro teams, and will not be intimidated by any team. They actually matchup very well vs a side like New Mexico that is having trouble implementing a run and gun system early on this season. 

NEW MEXICO is 2-11 ATS L/13 after a game where they covered the spread which happened last time out. 

CBB A road team vs. the money line (NEW MEXICO) - good pressure defensive team - forcing 18 or more turnovers/game, after 4 straight games committing 14 or less turnovers are 6-28 SU L/5 seasons for a go against 83% SU conversion rate for bettors.

CBB Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (UTEP) - after scoring 65 points or less 3 straight games, with four starters returning from last year in the first 10 games of the season are 32-10 ATS L/20 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on UTEP to cover

My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals

Play on SF  to cover

I know Sacramento may not inspire bettors but they have been very competitive  of late, and have only failed to cover 2 of their L/8 games. Now with revenge on board for a recent loss to the Bucks where they were not competitive losing by a 112- 87 count, I'm betting they will be more prepared. That above mentioned loss came right after the Kings upset the Golden State Warriors , and they were in an emotional let down spot and the Bucks took advantage of it.

 I'm betting the Bucks downfall or inability to cover this DD line, is their rocky defensive rhythm as is evident by  being ranked last in the  league with a 17.5 percent offensive rebounding mark  while ranking near the bottom in defensive rebounding (76.7 percent). The Kings have been working hard on this part of their game, and have shown tenacious work habits for a blue collar team and must be respected here today.

Kings are 7-2 ATS in the last 9 meetings in Milwaukee.Road team is 16-5 ATS in the last 21 meetings. Bucks HC Kidd is 19-40 ATS L/59  after 2 or more consecutive wins.MILWAUKEE is 3-15 ATS  in home games after having won 3 of their last 4 games .MILWAUKEE is 17-39 ATS L/56 as a favorite of 10 or more points.

NBA Home teams vs. the money line (MILWAUKEE) - off an upset win of 10 points or more as a road underdog, in December games are just 8-21 SU L/5 seasons for a go against conversion rate of  73% for bettors.

Road underdogs of 10 or more points (SACRAMENTO) - after going over the total by 30 or more points total in their last five games against opponent after going under the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games are 60-29 ATS L/21 seasons, for a 68% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Sacramento Kings to cover

No. 5 Wisconsin and No. 9 Ohio State are not only playing for the conference title again this Saturday, but both programs have a opportunity to make the College Football Playoff. Needless to say this game I'm betting will be a hard fought grueling event that will see getting points as a golden opportunity. With Ohio State QB JT Barrett at less than 100% with a knee injury , I expect his team will be at a disadvantage. I know their are skeptics out there that think Wisconsin played a weak schedule this season, but going undefeated is not an easy feat and the Badgers deserve respect. With that said, look for the catalyst of a Wisconsin cover and possible upset to come from , RB Jonathan Taylor, who has run behind a massive offensive line for 1,806 yards and leads the Big Ten in rushing vs a Ohio State side that has shown many defensive deficiencies during this current campaign. note: Wisconsin also leads the Big Ten in fewest rushing yards (80.5), total yards (236.9) and points (12.0) allowed per game.

OHIO ST is 0-6 ATS L/6 off 3 straight wins against conference rivals.WISCONSIN is 7-0 ATS after allowing 17 points or less in 4 straight games ,

The underdog has won 4 of the L/6 Big 10 Championship games SU since its inception in 2011, and covered all 6 times.


CFB team (WISCONSIN) - good offensive team (390 to 440 YPG) against a good defense (280 to 330 YPG) after 7+ games, after gaining 7.25 or more yards/play in their previous game are 26-7 ATS L/10 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Wisconsin to cover 1 unit reg selection

ACC CHAMPIONSHIP GAME - Bank of American Stadium - Charlotte, NC

Miami after a great season, looked a little tired emotionally in a loss to Pittsburgh last week. Meanwhile Clemson, hammered South Carolina , solidifying their chances among the pundits at a repeat College play off appearance. However, it must be noted that .800 or better teams off a chalk loss and than going to a conference championship game are 8-0 SU and 2-0 SU/ATS as underdogs. With that said, what 'm betting happened to Miami Fl last week, was that they were in a look ahead situation, and completely overlooked their opponent .  Now wide awake and ready to compete, I'm betting they give Clemson a run for their money.  It must also be noted that national champs are 0-4 ATS L/4 in conference tilts if they are favs of 14 points or less. Add to that Mark Richts Miami program has only 1 previous loss by more than 7 points.

CLEMSON is 12-25 ATS  L/37 after 5 or more consecutive straight up wins .

Play on the Miami Fl to cover

My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals

Play on Missouri State  to cover

ACC CHAMPIONSHIP GAME - Bank of American Stadium - Charlotte, NC

Miami after a great season, looked a little tired emotionally in a loss to Pittsburgh last week. Meanwhile Clemson, hammered South Carolina , solidifying their chances among the pundits at a repeat College play off appearance. However, it must be noted that .800 or better teams off a chalk loss and than going to a conference championship game are 8-0 SU and 2-0 SU/ATS as underdogs. With that said, what 'm betting happened to Miami Fl last week, was that they were in a look ahead situation, and completely overlooked their opponent .  Now wide awake and ready to compete, I'm betting they give Clemson a run for their money.  It must also be noted that national champs are 0-4 ATS L/4 in conference tilts if they are favs of 14 points or less. Add to that Mark Richts Miami program has only 1 previous loss by more than 7 points.

CLEMSON is 12-25 ATS  L/37 after 5 or more consecutive straight up wins .

Play on the Miami Fl to cover

This is  a Troy football program (9-2) that took a big fat cheque from LSU earlier this season to play against them in their own back yard. They not only took that money but they took a SU win as DD dogs.So needless to say this Trojans team is not easily intimidated. With the added revenge factor for Troy as they look to get payback for a  ugly loss last year by a 35-3 count, to this same Arkansas State program (7-3), you can bet your bottom dollar we are backing a motivated and talented side on a current 5 game win streak..

TROY is 9-1 ATS  L/10 after outgaining opp by 125 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games/

CFB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (TROY) - off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival, with 4+ more total starters returning than opponent are 30-6 ATS L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Troy to cover

My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals

Play on Akron to cover

My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals

Play on Oral Roberts to cover

My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals

Play on Tulsa to cover

Brooklyn enters this game as weak hosts and are just 1-5 in its last six home games allowing a whopping 115.3 ppg overall at home in 9 games this season. After playing three straight grueling road games, and getting an underdog win last time out,  I'm betting on Brooklyn not having top tier energy to deal with a rebuilding Atlanta side desperate for wins.

Brooklyn's down fall today vs the spread will center around their energy levels  and a  26th ranked    72.8 percent conversion rate  at the charity stripe, which includes a below 70 percent conversion rate over the last 10 games.

Hawks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.

Home teams vs. the money line (BROOKLYN) - off an upset win as a road underdog, in December games are just 35-60 SU for a go against conversion rate of 63% L/5 seasons.

Play on the Atlanta Hawks to cover

My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals

Play on UC Davis  to cover

My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals

Play on Air Force  to cover

The Clippers are banged up and playing  without four starters -- Blake Griffin (MCL sprain), Patrick Beverley (knee surgery), Danilo Gallinari (sprained ankle) and Milos Teodosic (plantar fascia). But despite of this according to my own power rankings and cross reference player system matchup are still  a viable investment opportunity as a side wager on this line. The Clippers had won three straight until losing to Utah last time out , and are more than capable of keeping this close enough for a possible out right upset. The Clippers beat the Mavs 119-98 at home back on Nov 1. and despite of Dallas now having revenge on board have not been good bets in this spot in the  past as is evident by  HC Carlisle  9-21 ATS record  in home games revenging a road blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more.

Clippers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game which happened against Utah last time out.Mavericks are 2-11 ATS in their last 13 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Mavericks are 0-5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. NBA Pacific

NBA Road teams vs. the money line (LA CLIPPERS) - after being beaten by the spread by 42 or more points total in their last seven games, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a terrible team ( 25% or less) are 26-6 SU L/21 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the LA Clippers to cover 1 unit reg selection

My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals

Play on Oakand to cover

My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals

Play on Wis Green Bay to cover

My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals

Play on Indiana Purdue to cover

My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals

Play on Wichita St to cover

AAC CHAMPIONSHIP GAME - Spectrum Stadium - Orlando, FL

The difference between Memphis and UCF comes down to defense. Both can score in bunches, but only one of these teams has something that resembles a defense, and that is the Knights. In their head to head meeting on Sept30 all the intangibles were on display ,    as UCF punished the Tigers 40-13 in an easy win. The Knights not only ran up 603 yards of total offense to the 396 of the Tigers, but they came up with four takeaways while giving the ball away only once. While some might think revenge is key here in a possible cover for Memphis, and competitive showing or upset, it must also be noted that revenge minded sides, in conference championship tilts are 0-6 SU L/6 when taking on a .916 or better opponent while failing to cover 5 of 6 times. The host in this series is 6-0 ATS L/6 , and I'm betting on the 7th straight cover today and UCF is a perfect 10-0 L/10 SU in this series and have covered 5 straight at home vs Memphis.

Play on UCF to cover 1 unit reg selection

Boise State has been playing good ball early this season, and are a strong Mountain West basketball program, but in their only really test, vs Iowa State they go run over by a 75-64 count. Yes, their a veteran laden team, but here tonight in a PAC12 teams back yard I'm betting their over matched. The Ducks get the nod here.

OREGON is 9-2 ATS L/11 versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 37%  or more of their attempts .OREGON is 23-8 ATS  L/31 versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing  14 or less turnovers/game.OREGON is 14-4 ATS  L/18 versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game.OREGON is 10-2 ATS  L/12 as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points BOISE ST is 0-6 ATS  L/6 after scoring 85 points or more .

CBB Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (OREGON) - in a game involving 2 very good teams - outscoring opponents by 8+ PPG, after allowing 45 points or more in the first half last game are 28-6 ATS L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Oregon to cover

Oklahoma City since changing up the dynamic of the team in the off season are struggling as the big 3 of Russell Westbrook, Paul George and Carmelo Anthony just are not meshing in the way management had hoped. The Thunder have lost 5 of their L/6 and three straight overall, and are fade material vs a hard working and talented young Minnesota Wolves group.Minnesota beat the Thunder 115-113 at Oklahoma City in October. and must not be underestimated in this spot. The Timberwolves showed their abilities last time out knocking down a  120-102 victory over New Orleans on Wednesday . Minnesota is a conference-best 10-3 against the West.

MINNESOTA is 17-6 ATS L/23  in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game.Timberwolves are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Thunder are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 vs. NBA Northwest.Underdog is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings.

NBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MINNESOTA) - after having won 2 of their last 3 games, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team are 24-3 L/5 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Minnesota to cover 1 unit reg selection

PAC 12 CHAMPIONSHIP GAME - Levis Stadium - Santa Clara, AZ

Stanford according to my own data and power rankings have gotten better as this season, has progressed, and are better prepared for a USC team that handily beat them in their first meeting this season in week 2 action. the Cardinal have only lost one game by more than 3 points in their L/18 games overall, and the above mentioned tilt was it.

More recently the Cardinal proved their prowess with a 38-20 win vs a very good Notre Dame Irish side at the Farm last week. Meanwhile, USC rested and prepared for this tilt. However, it must be noted that rested sides in conference championship tilts are just 3-8 ATS L/11 vs a side looking for revenge.

On the season, the Trojans are averaging only 2.5 ppg more than the Cardinal , and from a  cross reference power ranking standpoint are dead even with their underdog foes, making Stanford a viable side to back.

The Cardinal HC Shaw is 9-0 SU L/14 when getting points . Cardinal are also 7-0 SU/ATS in conference championship game after winning PAC12 North. USC is 2-8 ATS L/10 Neutral site games.USC is 1-8 ATS L/9 in road games when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct.  75% or better.)STANFORD is 21-8 ATS L/29 in road games versus excellent offensive teams - averaging  450 yards/game or more.STANFORD is 31-8 ATS  after a game with a turnover margin of +3 or better, which happened vs the Irish last week.

Play on Stanford to cover 

According to my own numbers Fresno State should only be a 5 point favorite here vs Weber State a team that according to my own cross reference power rankings and system/players matchups is vastly under rated in this spot. Weber State previous to season played old school big man basketball, a sort of power game with a couple big guys up front, but this year HC Randy Rahe has changed things up, with mixed results going 4-2 and showing some offensive explosiveness along the way averaging 81.5 ppg while allowing just 61.8 ppg. Rahe now has four guys that can spread things out which makes them dangerous. I know Fresno State and HC Rodney Terry must be respected but this line is a little bloated. Terrys group has a good core of players, and good guard play, but are weak up front in my humble opinion are vulnerable against a side like Weber State.

FRESNO ST last 8 games versus very good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 39% or better has seen the average score registered : Fresno State 70.3 Opposition 67.1 ... which is indicative of my own line settings gives us value with Weber State taking points.

Play on Weber State to cover 1 unit reg selection

The Dallas Cowboys and Washington Redskins are two teams still vying for a wild card spot and this game is important to both teams chances. In their first meeting this season Dallas beat up on the Skins by a 33-19 count. Now with revenge, on board for that defeat they have a good chance of getting their payback with  RB Ezekiel Eliiott  out of the Cowboys lineup because of suspension. The Boyz are 0-3 ATS since star back  was sidelined, and have gained an average of  just 246 YPG in those tilts, and are fade material here because of their ineptness.

WASHINGTON is 13-3 ATS  L/16 vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 61% or better in the second half of the season over the last few seasons. DALLAS is 0-6 ATS  L/6  in home games after scoring 14 points or less last game which happened last time out vs the LA Chargers ina ugly DD home loss.DALLAS is 0-6 ATS  L/6  in home games after being outgained by opp by 100 or more total yards last game . Cowboys HC Garrett is 6-24 ATS  L/30 in home games vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 61% or worse  and is  1-9 ATS  L/10  in home games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season .

Play on the Washington Redskins to cover 1 unit reg selection

The Sacramento Kings carry positive momentum into their Tuesday night matchup with the Milwaukee Bucks and are showing competiveness especially on their own floor where they   5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games.The Kings  are fresh their best game of this season,  , after a  a 110-106 road decision over the Golden State Warriors and are now full of confidence. Meanwhile, the Bucks are really getting frustrated and playing poorly.

Antetokounmpo, their star and one of the best young players in the league has shown  frustration with Milwaukee's inconsistency, when he was filmed swearing at assistant coach Sean Sweeney on Saturday during the Bucks' 121-108 loss to the Jazz in Utah. The kid should cool it, as a lot of the Bucks problems are based on his inconsistencies, as opposing defenses are figuring out ways to slow him down. With that said, I'm betting on the home team getting us the cover here tonight.

NBA Road teams (MILWAUKEE) - an explosive offensive team (102 PPG) or more against an average offensive team (92-98 PPG), after a combined score of 215 points or more 2 straight games are 18-46 L/5 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 72% for bettors.

Play on Sacramento Kings to cover

 Illinois is a dangerous run and gun team, that's playing out side of the box of most Big 10 programs. The Illini just have to much firepower for Wake Forest and getting points here is definitely a bonus  in a game I have pegged at being a SU victory for Illinois.

ILLINOIS is 9-1 ATS  L/10 after scoring 85 points or more 3 straight games and  15-4 ATS L/19 after a combined score of 155 points or more 2 straight games.

Play on Illinois to cover 1 unit reg selection

Roadrunners are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall as they go against a Golden Hurricane side that  are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. The Golden Hurricane are also just 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600 and according to my own power rankings are fade material tonight on a bloated line. I know Tulsa returns 8 of their top 10 scorers from last season, but I was not impressed with the program last season and feel their getting to much love here in this spot.

Take the points with UTSA

The Clippers enter this game banged up and dealing  with injuries, and  already lost guard Patrick Beverley for the season following knee surgery. Yes, they have won two in a row, but beating Atlanta and Sacramento are not great resume builders, and I feel like their still not ready to reach any lofty heights any time soon with key players forward Danilo Gallinari (hip) and guard Milos Teodosic (foot) still out. Prior to this mini streak, they lost 9 straight, and allowed 110 plus points per game during that stretch which is atrocious for a defensive minded team.  Meanwhile, the LA Lakers, enter this game well rested, after coming out and looking emotional drained last time out in loss to the lowly Kings. That defeat after consecutive wins vs the Denver Nuggets and Chicago Bulls in back to back home games. That  is a key problems with some young teams in the NBA, and now they will be primed ready to get back to work . Note: Larry Nance Jr. should help the Lakers' overall level of play and is supposed to return from injury tonight. With that said, and according to my own matchup reference numbers this game should be closer to a pickem here on a neutral floor, thus giving us value with taking the points.

Clippers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 vs. Western Conference.Clippers are 7-18-1 ATS in their last 26 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.

NBA Home teams vs. the money line (LA CLIPPERS) - in a game involving two average teams (+/- 3 PPG differential.), after a close win by 3 points or less are 30-44 L/5 seasons for a go against  60% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the LA Lakers to cover 1 unit reg selection

The lowly Kings enter this game knowing they handed Golden State one of its 15 losses last season, 109-106 in overtime in February.  Nothing is impossible and no team in the NBA no matter how great they maybe is infallible , especially from an ATS perspective. I know that  these teams are operating at the proverbial opposite end of the performance spectrum,  and at the opposite ends of the Pacific Division standings, with the  Warriors having won six in a row at home while the last-place Kings have crapped out nine successive road tilts. However, despite of this, and also knowing the Warriors propensity to do just enough to get wins , and rest their stars against sides like this ,gives me confidence in recommending we take the points with a team that has nothing to lose in what many expect to be an inevitable beat down.

Note: Kevin Durante, Draymond Green, and Steph Curry could be rested tonight, completely held out of the lineup or on the bench for much of this game because of nagging injuries and playing at less than 100%.

NBA Home favorites (GOLDEN STATE) - good 3PT shooting team (=36.5% or better ) against a poor 3PT defense (36.5%or better), average rebounding team (+/-3 reb/game) against a horrible rebounding team ( 5.5 or less  reb/game) are just 14-51 ATS L/21 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

NBA Road underdogs (SACRAMENTO) - off a close loss by 3 points or less to a division rival against opponent after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite are 23-4 ATS L/21 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Sacramento Kings to cover 1 unit reg selection

 The Baltimore Ravens under HC John Harbaugh , have gone 11-1 SU in night games -- the best mark in the NFL. The Ravens have also won nine consecutive prime-time matchups, also the longest streak in the NFL.Joe Flacco the Baltimore Ravens QB loves to perform under the prime time lights when at home , and is 12-1 SU in those tilts. Flacco has been a  TD plus fav 36 times in his career and 32-3 SU in those games and should once again thrive vs a Hosuton D ranked 32nd in the NFL vs the pass. it must also be noted that  Baltimore looked good last time out getting shut out win vs Green Bay 23-0 and are well positioned to take out another team with QB problems. Meanwhile, the visiting  Texans are trying to be competitive after losing starting quarterback Deshaun Watson, who suffered a season-ending knee injury in practice earlier this month . Houston is  just 2-8 SU on Mondays and 1-9 ATS and look very much like fade material in this spot. The Texans did beat a lethargic looking Arizona group last time out, but I'm betting their fortunes will be reversed this evening. BALTIMORE is 11-2 ATS  L/13  in home games after a win by 21 or more points. BALTIMORE is 4-0 SU L/4 at home in this series.

Play on Baltimore to cover

WOODEN CLASSIC - Final Rnd - Titan Gym - Fullerton, CA

Washington State enters this game on a 5 game winning streak, and are jelling much faster than many of expected. Now they are being made DD underdogs vs what my own numbers is a  SD State team that is not all that much more superior to their own group. New HC Brian Dutcher, despite of being a assistant here for years, has put his own signature on this team, by trying to address an anemic offense. There has been more flow from his side, but in their only really tough game vs Arizona State they score jus t68 points. Today I'm betting that  their lack of offensive acumen will be their downfall.

WASHINGTON ST is 6-0 ATS  L/6 in a neutral court game where the total is 140 to 149.5 and 6-0 ATS L/6  in road games when playing only their 3rd game in a week .

SAN DIEGO ST is 2-12 ATS  L/14 after 3 consecutive covers as a favorite.

Play on Washington State to cover

A showdown of Pac-12 and Southeastern Conference undefeated hoops programs tips off Sunday at Galen Center in Los Angeles, with No. 10 USC hosting No. 16 Texas A&M. I'm betting on a Texas A&M defense that is ranked No. 9 nationally in adjusted efficiency, per KenPom  metrics to be the catalyst behind them covering this evening. . Texas A&M also has size, which will negate the Trojans ability to go small with a group of talented guards. Last season when these teams met USC took a closely contested 65-63 win.

TEXAS A&M is 44-27 ATS L/71 versus up-tempo teams averaging 62 or more shots/game. USC  H C Enfield is 7-16 ATS  L/23 when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 80% or better).

Play on Texas A&M to cover

PK 80 INVITATIONAL - Final Rnd - Veterans Memorial Coliseum - Portland, OR

Portland state plays a fast paced full court system, and will be a tough out for Stanford. The Vikings are deep and use a fast and furious 9 -10 man rotation.  Yes, their still rebuilding towards bigger and better things but still vastly under rated. Meanwhile, HC Haase still deals with a part of a group that were not his recruits, and may still not be meshing as a group as fast as their coach had hoped as is evident by very average at best play this season, having lost 4 of their L/5 overall.

STANFORD is 1-8 ATS  L/9 in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%).PORTLAND ST is 9-1 ATS  L/10 in road games after playing 2 consecutive games as an underdog.PORTLAND ST is 13-4 ATS  L/17 as an underdog.PORTLAND ST is 11-2 ATS   when the total is 160 plus over.

Play on Portland State to cover

ADVOCARE INVITATIONAL - Final Rnd - HP Field House - Lake Buena Vista, FL

Missouri has a deep team in Martin's first season. The bench has scored 80 of the Tigers' 185 points in the two games at the Advocare Invitational and are more evenly matched  vs W.Virginia than the linesmakers are estimating.

Take the points with Missouri to cover

PK 80 INVITATIONAL - Final Rnd - Moda Center - Portland, OR

Two of the greatest all time  coaches in college basketball history will go head to head tonight in the championship game of one of the biggest college basketball tournaments ever Sunday when No. 4 Michigan State faces ninth-ranked North Carolina in the championship game of the Victory bracket of the Phil Knight 80 Invitational.

This will be a hard fought matchup, but in the end, it will come down to charity stripe conversion rates. My own cross reference players rankings suggest the Heels are the better overall team at the line when the chips are down.  Mich State HC Izzo is  just 3-11 ATS  in his career vs. excellent free throw shooting teams - making  77% or more  of their shots.

These teams last met in 2013 when the Tar Heels dominated then-No. 1 Michigan State 79-65. Rinse  and repeat here today. 

Play on N.Carolina to cover 1 unit reg selection

The Seattle Seahawks enter this game banged up with multiple injuries, and on a short weeks rest after playing Monday night in a 34-31 home loss to the Atlanta Falcons. Meanwhile, San Francisco last time out pulled off their first win of the season, and than went on their bye week. Now well rested and with confidence and momentum on their sides I'm betting they give the Hawks more than they may have bargained for. Note: In their first meeting this season Seattle pulled off a 12-9 sleep fest failing to cover as -13.5 point chalk.

Historical trend:The Niners are 11-1 ATS L/12 off a victory vs .500 or better side off a Monday night tilt.

NFL Home underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (SAN FRANCISCO) - after failing to cover the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games, a lower tier team ( 25% or less ) playing a team with a winning record in the second half of the season are 55-23 L/34 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the SF 49ers to cover 1 unit reg selection

The Miami Heat are expected to be missing   their most important player when they take the court on Sunday afternoon vs the rebuilding Chicago Bulls. Hassan Whiteside, if he plays will not be 100% and may see more bench time than playing time today if he plays at all. He's the heartbeat of this Heat group, and without him on the court the Heat are vulnerable. I know the Bulls may not inspire confidence in bettors, with a 3-14 record on the season, but two of those wins have come at home, where they play today. With that said, I'm recommending we take the points with the host team.

Heat are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 vs. NBA Central.Bulls are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Southeast.Underdog is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings.

MIAMI is 3-13 ATS  versus lower tier  foul drawing teams - attempting  21  or less free throws/game. CHICAGO is 9-0 ATS L/9 in home games after 2 straight losses by 10 points or more .

Play on the Chicago Bulls to cover 1 unit reg selection

Carolina except for a few glitches this season has looked a like a solid contender in the NFC and must be respected on this line. The Panthers have played their best defensive football on the road this season and held their L/5 hosts to  a season low in yards and have covered 5 of their L/6 away tilts. Both teams are rested so their no advantage for either team from that perspective. The only advantage comes via what  is on paper and so far this season on the playing field  is the super side. Hit it with CAROLINA.

The Jets have lost 12 straight  and 1-15 ATS L/16 after a road game in which they allowed at least 7.5 points fewer than their season-to-date average and they are not a double-digit dog .

CAROLINA is 33-13 ATS L/46 when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) in the second half of the season.

 NFL Favorites of -160 to -475 vs. the money line (CAROLINA) - average passing team (5.9-6.7 PY/Att.) against an average passing defense (5.9-6.7 PY/Att.) are 29-2 winning by an average of 10.8 ppg which qualifies as an  viable ATS trend on this chalk line.

Play on Carolina to cover

The Tennessee Titans will  bring with them a  nine-year losing streak at Lucas Oil Stadium when they visit the Indianapolis Colts on Sunday afternoon losing SU  9 straight times .Both teams will be well rested entering the Week 12 matchup. The Colts are coming off a bye and have not played since Nov. 12, when they lost 20-17 to the Pittsburgh Steelers. The Titans will play on  nine days' rest after a Thursday night matchup in Week 11 in which they were embarrassed in a 40-17 loss to the Steelers, and showed me their an over rated team . Meanwhile, Colts quarterback Jacoby Brissett is expected to make his 10th start. He began the week in the NFL's concussion protocol . The Indy man under center has actually been impressive and has allowed his team to cover 3 straight games.  It must also be noted that the Colts are 10-0 ATs L/10 in the first of consecutive divisional games. I know the Titans took the first meeting between these teams but with revenge on board I'm betting in a reversal of fortunes.

TENNESSEE is 0-8 ATS  L/8 when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season.TENNESSEE is 0-7 ATS L/7  in road games vs. struggling  teams - outscored by 6+ points per game on the season. TENNESSEE is 0-8 ATS  L/8 vs. poor punt return teams, less than 7.5 yards per return in the second half of the season.INDIANAPOLIS is 9-0 ATS  L/9 after having lost 3 out of their last 4 games. TENNESSEE is 8-23 ATS (L/31 against conference opponents. TENNESSEE is 6-15 ATS  L/21 in road lined games.

NFL Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (INDIANAPOLIS) - revenging a loss against opponent, off a cover where the team lost as an underdog are 33-10 ATS L/10 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Indianapolis to cover 1 unit reg selection

GREAT ALASKA SHOOTOUT - Final Rnd - Alaska Airlines Center - Anchorage, AK

Central Mich lost two of its top contributors offensively from last season, but the replacements and supporting cast are even better. Central Mich was picked to finish 11th last season, and did much better than the prognosticators thought, and this years version is even better. The Roadrunner's lost 4 of their top 5 scorers' from last season, and despite of being dangerous are still over rated as they must contend with  chemistry issues. With that said, take the points with Central Michigan.

C MICHIGAN is 8-1 ATS   after allowing 60 points or less over the last few seasons.

CBB Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points lime Central Mich - good offensive team from last season - scored 77 or more points/game are 91-45 ATS L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Central Mich to cover

The Sacramento Kings are retooling and rebuilding ,but have protected their home court well, and have  won four of their past five at Golden 1 Center. Meanwhile, the LA Clippers, just ended a 9 game losing streak vs the lowly Atlanta Hawks, but overall have struggled mightily and don't deserve to road favs here of almost 5 points. That above mentioned losing streak included a season-ending injury to guard Patrick Beverley, a defensive specialist and has really hurt the Clippers. With that said, I'm betting on the Kings being very competitive tonight and getting us the all important cover.

Clippers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 vs. Western Conference.Clippers are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.Kings are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.

NBA Home teams vs. the money line (SACRAMENTO) - an average offensive team (92-98 PPG) against a horrible defensive team (102 PPG or more), after scoring 110 points or more are 114-47  SU dating back 21 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Sacramento Kings to cover 1 unit reg selection

GREAT ALASKA SHOOTOUT - Final Rnd - Alaska Airlines Center - Anchorage, AK

HC Callero and company are on my watch list of up trending teams. Since making the NCAA tournament in 2014 everything has gone down hill for this program, thanks to key injuries whsihc resulted in shooting issues last season. Now healthy and ready to move in the right direction again this group may surprise some pundits this season, and tonight I won't be surprised if they win vs Idaho SU.

CAL POLY-SLO is 33-18 ATS  L/51  in road games after playing 3 consecutive games as an underdog

Play on Cal Poly Slo to cover

The Boston Celtics (17-3), who have won 17 of 18 including a 118-103 win on Friday night against Orlando, travel to Indiana on Saturday as short road chalk . The Pacers  have been playing strong ball, but last night were taken to the brink , eking out a 107-104 victory. Now on tired legs I'm betting they will have problems, dealing with what my own power rankings suggest is the superior side.Note: Pacers are 6-20-1 ATS in their last 27 games when their starting 5 players combine for more than 160 minutes of the previous day.

Celtics are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Celtics are 21-4-1 ATS in their last 26 games following a straight up win.

BOSTON is 8-0 ATS L/8 versus good shooting teams - making 46% or better of their shots this season and  8-0 ATS versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.BOSTON is 13-2 ATS  L/15 versus teams who make 6 or more 3 point shots/game on the season.BOSTON is 13-2 ATS  L/15  in road games against Central division opponents.

Home underdogs (INDIANA) - off a close home win by 3 points or less, in November games are 11-35 ATS L/21 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Boston Celtics to cover 1 unit reg selection

LSU showed me their vulnerabilities when they lost to Troy on Sept. 30 to fall to 3-2 on the season. I know they have played much better of late, but I'm still not sold on HC Ed Orgeron and company . Meanwhile, Texas A&M coach Kevin Sumlin is on the hot seat and really needs a win and a competitive showing here today. QUOTE: "I came here to Texas A&M to win football games," Sumlin said. "What we do and how we've done it has been the right way. It will continue to be the right way."END QUOTE. He is a quality coach and top tier recruiter, and I respect his abilities a lot, and I'm betting he has the Aggies ready to compete tonight vs a opponent that despite of a recent 5-0 ATS run is just 4 -16 ATS at home as a favorite off a win.

LSU is 2-10 ATS  L/12  in home games after 3 or more consecutive wins .

CFB Underdogs of 10.5 to 21 points like Texas A&M - after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins, a good team (60% to 80%) playing a team with a winning record are 67-31 ATS  L/10 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Texas A&M to cover 1 unit reg selection

 The Philadelphia 76ers and the visiting  Orlando Magic on Saturday night are two teams playing at the proverbial opposite end of the performance spectrum.  The Sixer's have won 4 of their L/5 while Orlando has lost 7 straight. However, despite of their current runs, my own cross reference players and systems matchup statistics actually favor the downtrodden dog to cover. Orlando has won 4 straight meetings here in Philly and I'm betting this desperate team won't go easily in this tilt.

76ers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

NBA Road teams (ORLANDO) - after 7 or more consecutive losses, on Saturday games are 67-35 ATS L/21 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Orlando Magic to cover

The Charlotte Hornets  come in to this  back-to-back situation vs the visiting  San Antonio Spurs in a letdown situation after an emotional and physical grueling 100-99 loss last night to the Cleveland Cavaliers. Meanwhile, the Spurs, are off 2 straight days off an will be energized for this tilt. With that said, I'm recommending we back a Spurs side that owns a one-sided season series 40-15 record, including  five of their last six visits to Charlotte.

CHARLOTTE is 21-35 ATS  L/56 versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 or less free throws/game.Hornets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Southwest.Hornets are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up loss

NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (SAN ANTONIO) - off a road loss by 10 points or more, well rested team - playing 6 or less games in 14 days. are 30-8 ATS L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on San Antonio to cover

Last season Oregon State took out Oregon by a 34-24 count in their last game of the season, which resulted on the Ducks not getting a bowl bid.  It was ugly, and the boosters were in a nasty mood. Now with redemption at hand, and the no mercy rule, thrown out, I expect the Ducks to come out here looking to annihilate their opponent. When their top tier QB Justin Herbert has been under center this season the Ducks average around 48 points per game in offense, as was the case last week in a beat down of  pretty good looking Arizona side by a 48-28 count.  I expect at least that many points today for Oregon in a complete game one sided victory vs the beavers 118 ranked D, that is allowing 466 YPG.

OREGON ST is 0-6 ATS  L/6  in road games after being outrushed by 150 or more yards last game  losing SU by an average of 28.6 ppg.

Play on Oregon to cover 1 unit reg selection

Georgia Southern after being completely asleep at the proverbial wheel, all season long, finally woke up last week, and decided to go on a rampage by destroying South Alabama by a 52-0 count as underdogs. Now behind a revived running game that averaged 5.4 ypg last week,  I expect they use the momentum of that win to come out and take down another opponent. Needless to say , interim HC Chad Lundsford ability to wake these kids from their naps, makes me  feel confident they can answer the bell again vs a UL Lafayette football program that has been highly inconsistent this season and just 2-2 in their L/4 overall. With that said,  I'm recommending we take the points . Note: UL Lafayette is just 3-13 ATS L/16 as home favorites.

By the way I know the Georgia Southern D, has been porous at times this season, but LA LAFAYETTE is just  3-13 ATS  L/16   in home games versus struggling defensive teams - allowing  6.25 or more  yards/play  and 7-18 ATS  L/25  in home games when playing against a lower tier team with a win % of .250 or less.

LA LAFAYETTE is 1-11 ATS  L/12  in home games after a game with a turnover margin of +2.

CFB  Road underdogs like Georgia Southern  - with a lower tier defense - allowing 6.1 or more yards/play, after gaining 525 or more total yards in their previous game are 80-35 ATS L/10 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Georgia Southern to cover

In between some ugly performances Rutgers has actually played some decent ball this season, and from time to time have looked competitive as wins vs Purdue, Illinois, and Maryland would suggest. Meanwhile, their visiting opponents the  Spartans are not the type of team that crushes their opponents, against even those sides that have looked inferior , and  have no wins of 10 points or more in conference play this season. I'm betting Rutgers elevates their game looking for an upset and DAntonio and company do what they do best, grind out a slow sleepy win.  With that said ,I'm recommending we take the points.

MICHIGAN ST is 0-7 ATS  L/7 when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%). MICHIGAN ST is 0-8 ATS  L/8 as a road favorite .MICHIGAN ST is 4-15 ATS  L/19  in road games after failing to cover the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games.

CFB home team vs. the money line like RUTGERS - off 2 consecutive road losses, with 5+ more defensive starters returning than opponent are 29-4 SU L/10 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors.

CFB home team vs. the money line like Rutgers - off a road blowout loss by 28 points or more, with 5+ more defensive starters returning than opponent are 30-6 SU L/10 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Rutgers to cover 1 unit reg selection

It must be noted that this Alabama group is banged up right now with key defensive deficiencies. Yes, the Tide are deep and another 5 star recruit takes over for the injured player, but theirs a reason why  one guy got the start over the other guy.  Needless to say, as was the case last week against Mississippi State , the Tide, are currently short handed, and their offense is still not as fluid as it needs to be and must add they are not unbeatable. Despite of my great respect for the Tide, the Auburn football program they play today, are hitting their stride, and looking very much like  a contender for the National Championship. Since their early season hard fought loss to Clemson, the offense has jelled ,  and comes in on a roll, scoring 40 points or more in seven of its last eight games.The Auburn defensive front has also been amazing,  and are run stoppers extroidnare – as was the case vs Georgia ( 46 yards) and have not allowed 200  rushing yards on the year – and their secondary is equally brilliant as was evident against stud QB Nick Fitzgerald and the Mississippi State as they held him  under a  35% completion rate. In a tilt that could mark a changing in the guard in the SEC , I'm betting Auburn gets us the cover, and are a strong candidate to do the unthinkable , get the outright upset vs Alabama. This game has the feel of a late FG decision, making getting points with Auburn a viable investment option.

AUBURN is 14-1 ATS  L/15  in home games vs. very good defensive teams who give up 14 or less points/game and 10-1 ATS  L/11  in home games vs. incredible defensive teams who give up 12 or less points/game.

Nick Saban in his history as a coach has never beaten a .750 or better Auburn squad going 0-4 SU lifetime.

CFB home underdogs like Auburn  that have scored 40 or more points in each of their L/3 tilts, and facing a team off a win by 3 or more points are a bankroll expanding 20-4 ATS L/27 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors.

CFB home team vs. the money line like AUBURN - an excellent offensive team (34 PPG or more) against an excellent defensive team (16 PPG or less) after 7+ games, after scoring 37 points or more in 2 straight games are 25-6 for a 81% conversion rate dating back 25 seasons.

Play on the Auburn Tigers to cover 1 unit reg selection

Hofstra has depth with their perimeter shooting, and are working hard on getting their defense on par with their offense. They are off two consecutive games vs a top tier opponents Clemson and Auburn, and played very well in their last game vs a offensive minded Auburn side. Tonight against a Siena  program that lost 4 of their top 5 sorcerers from last season, the Pride have an edge and from a defensive perspective as they face a group that has looked unbalanced this season, allowing 86,91, 115 points in their L/3games all losses.

Hofstra is the type of team that can take advantage of  this kind of porous defence, and have a edge here in a line I have set at closer to 6.5 to 7 points favoring Hofstra.

HOFSTRA is 10-2 ATS L/12  in road games after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread

CBB team like Siena  - after allowing 80 points or more 3 straight games against opponent after scoring 45 points or more in the first half last game are 35-74 SU for a 69% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Hofstra to cover 1 unit reg selection

Both starting  QBs for Boston College and their hosts Syracuse are expected to miss todays game. Boston without  QB Anthony Brown have proven over an over again,  that without him under center , moving the ball is like moving a 2000lb rock, which I'm betting will be their downfall today. Add to that Boston College already has a Bowl game locked up, and probably looking ahead to greener pastures , and you have a situation where the home dog will be motivated to prove they are better than some of their recent results suggest and finish off their season on a high note in front of their own alumni. Note: With Dungey out a QB for the Orange , they will concentrate on pounding the ball on the ground, and with that said,  it must be noted that BC has allowed 5 ypc, this season and are vulnerable via the opposing ground game.

BC has covered on 5 of their L/21 as a road fav vs a team off consecutive losses.

CFB home team vs. the money line like Syracuse - off a road blowout loss by 28 points or more, with 5+ more defensive starters returning than opponent are 30-6 SU L/10 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. ( Louisville clobbered Syracuse 56-10 last time out) .\

Play on Syracuse to cover 1 unit reg selection

Nevada is picking off where they left off last season, and proving that they are the front runners for the Mountain West Conference and another NCAA tournament invite. They Pack have won 5 straight and proven resilient in the past when playing against another  team with a winning record like their hosts Hawaii,  going 18-4 ATS L/22 and  8-0 ATS  versus good foul drawing teams - attempting 25  or more free throws/game.NEVADA is also 12-1 ATS  L/13 after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite and  6-0 ATS    in road games after scoring 80 points or more 2 straight games . I'm recommending we take Nevada to continue to roll.

Play on Nevada to cover

PK 80 INVITATIONAL - Round 2 - Moda Center - Portland, OR

The first ranked matchup of the Phil Knight Invitational comes between No. 7 Florida and No. 17 Gonzaga in the second round of the "Motion" bracket of the Phil Knight 80 Invitational on Friday. It's never easy for a east coast team to play out west, especially a team that resides in this part of the country. After watching Gonzaga (4-0) cruise in  their its first-round game, and easily defeating Ohio State 86-59 its has become obvious to me that they are going to be a force to be reckoned with again this season, despite of the new faces.
Gonzaga, has  six players are averaging double figures and it will be their versatile depth that will be the difference maker here tonight.

GONZAGA is 8-1 ATS L/9 versus very good shooting teams - making  48% or more  of their shots.

Play on Gonzaga to cover

Toronto had won four in a row until a 41-10 third-quarter meltdown in Madison Square Garden last time out saw them go down to defeat by a 108-100 score. Nothing surprises me in the NBA anymore, and even consistent sides like the Raptors fall into these types of lapses. Today, however, I expect Canada's only NBA team to come back looking for redemption vs a Indiana side they matchup very well against. I know Indiana has won four in a row and surprised a couple of teams as underdogs, but tonight, they won't sneak up on anyone, and will have the full attention of their dangerous hosts.

Toronto has  won nine of the last 11 meetings after taking two of three last season.Raptors are 9-4 ATS in the last 13 meetings in Indiana.

INDIANA is 1-12 ATS  L/13 off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as a road underdog .INDIANA is 9-22 ATS  L/31 off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as an underdog.

NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 like Indiana - off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as a road underdog, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season are 6-26 ATS L/21 seasons for a go against  81% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA teams like Toronto - off an upset loss to a division rival as a favorite against opponent off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as a road underdog are 26-6 ATS L/21 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Toronto Raptors to cover

EMERALD COAST CLASSIC - Semifinals - The Arena at NW FL ST - Niceville, FL

New Mexico snagged the coach of New Mexico State in the off season Paul Weir. In his lone season a coach, he took the Aggies to the NCAA Tournament and procured a 28-6 record on the season. Weir has an unproven roster, and they are a wait and see type of program at the moment, but tonight on a neutral court I believe they run and gun Lobos are being underestimated  in their ability to cover vs a TCU side, that according to my own power rankings should be a 10 point favorite at most .

TCU is 2-9 ATS  L/11  vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% more of  their attempts. NEW MEXICO is 35-19 ATS  L/54  in road games when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 80%).TCU is 4-13 ATS  L/17 after playing 2 consecutive home games and 14-28 ATS L/42  in road games after 3 or more consecutive wins .

Play on New Mexico to cover

Winthrop is a spoiler type team that finished 71st in RPI last season and made it the NCAA tournament.  With a key player like Cooks in their lineup, this program will once again challenge for the Big South championship. Meanwhile, Auburn under Bruce Pearl remains a entertaining team, without actually making a run in post season play . The Tigers have talent, but the problem seems to be  staying focused in the defensive end . That I'm betting will be their downfall tonight vs a feisty side.

Play on Winthrop to cover 1 unit reg selection

 Western Carolina is really over matched here , on paper and as far as talent goes. This is a mismatch of mammoth proportions and if anything Arlington is not a getting the respect they deserve. With that said, lay the points.

TX-ARLINGTON is 11-3 ATS  L/14 when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 20% to 40%).TX-ARLINGTON is 13-2 ATS  L/15 when playing only their 3rd game in a week

Neutral court teams as a favorite or pick Texas Arlington - off a close road loss by 3 points or less, in November games 31-9  ATS L/40 L/20 seasons for a 78% conversion rate.

Play on Texas Arlington to cover

UNC Wilmington under new head coach  McGrath  and former assistant at North Carolina ( national champs) after mentoring under Roy Williams, brings instant creditability to this up trending side, that made it to the NCAA tourney last year. He changed up the Seahawks style of play but I'm pretty sure they will remain competitive in the Colonial. As far as today goes, their opponents Loyola Chicago are team with a good starting 5 , but lack depth , something Wilmington has. With that said, I'm recommending we take the points.

Loyola Chicago HC Moser is 2-12 ATS  L/14 as a neutral court favorite or pick in all games.

Play on NC Wilmington to cover

HC Mike Riley is most likely on the way out of the door at Nebraska. However, the old ball coach has a little something left in his proverbial tank, and I'm betting he motivates his downtrodden team to a cover here at home, vs a Iowa football program, that looks to be living on their laurels of a recent upset win vs Ohio State. Since that monumental win the Hawkeyes have lost two straight and have been outscored by a combined 62-29 count. I know Nebraska has also lost two straight but in the past have proven resilient from a ATS standpoint cashing 13 of his L/14 after consecutive losses.

NEBRASKA is 29-9 ATS  L/38 after failing to cover the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games.NEBRASKA is 15-3 ATS L/18 after scoring and allowing 30 pts or more last game.NEBRASKA is 21-8 ATS  L/29 after allowing 325 or more passing yards in their last game. ( Last week the Cornhuskers lost 55-44 to Penn State)

Play on Nebraska to cover 1 unit reg selection

South Florida (9-1)  and UCF (10-0) according to my own power rankings and cross reference matchup systems  are very evenly matched and  the point spread should be much closer to  a one possession spread . With the pressure of staying undefeated a deterrent for UCF, this situation  also offers up an opportunity for a strong dog to pull off what would not be a surprising upset. South Florida has conclusively beaten UCF in their L/2 meetings, and today I'm betting they get us the cover on a bloated line again.

My own projections estimate that S.Florida will score between 22-28 points which is a good omen , considering the Bulls are 16-4 ATS L/20  in road games when they score 22 to 28 points.

CFB Road underdogs like SOUTH FLORIDA - in a game involving two excellent rushing teams (4.8 YPR or more), after gaining 6 or more rushing yards/attempt last game are 87-37 L/10 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

CFB Road underdogs like SOUTH FLORIDA - after 2 or more consecutive losses against the spread, in a game involving two top-level teams ( 80% or better ) are 25-6 ATS L/10 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors.

South Florida to cover 1 unit reg selection

Rider is a team with a lot of size and despite of losing key scorers from last season remain a dangerous side behind a solid D, that plays differently than a lot of teams in the MAAC where they reside. UC Irvine plays a hard defensive type of basketball, but this Rider team is tough under glass and in the paint, and will over power UC Irvine . Note:  Cal Irvines HC Turner is 14-30 ATS  versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game.

UC-IRVINE is 0-8 ATS  L/8 in a neutral court game where the total is 140 to 149.5 .

Play on Rider to cover 1 unit reg selection

After watching a motivated  victory crumble  into a crushing overtime defeat Sunday at New Orleans, the Redskins come into this game in an emotional let down situation, and are now at a disadvantage vs a NY Giants team off a rousing OT win vs KC last week. Add to that the redskins are banged up , After placing four players on injured reserve Tuesday,  and  will not even attempt a full practice before the game.  You can smell trouble brewing on the field for them this week. Look for Eli Manning and company  who is  17-8 SU  as a starter against Washington to be a catalyst this week. He has completed 493 of 841 passes (59 percent) for 5,934 yards with 28 touchdowns and 23 interceptions vs. the Redskins. He will go against a   Redskins' defense has fallen to 31st in points allowed per game.

NY GIANTS are 7-0 ATS   vs. good passing teams averaging 7 or more passing yards/att. in the second half of the season dating back a few seasons.WASHINGTON is 13-28 ATS  L/41 as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points.

The Redskins are 0-18 ATS L/18 as a FG-plus favorite when they are off a road game and facing a team that has forced 4.5 or fewer punts per game. Five of those 18 games were straight up wins , with only two coming by 3 points.

The Giants are 14-0 ATS  and 12-2 SU off a home game in which they rushed the ball at least ten more times than their season-to-date average.

NFL Underdogs or pick like the Giants - after going under the total by more than 21 points in their previous game, struggling team, winning 25% or less of their games on the season are 50-23 ATS L/24 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the NY Giants to cover

Arizona States HC Hurley one the greatest point guards in NCCAA history is ultra competitive and now in his third  year as the head man, is ready to bolt his team to the next level. This group jelled over the summer in trip to Italy and Spain, and have chemistry and more versatility than the pundits might have expected . Both themselves and their opponents  Kansas State are 4-0 on the season, and both are pretty evenly matched, thus taking points makes a a golden opportunity.

Play on Arizona State to cover 1 unit reg selection

My own line and projections make this an evenly matched pickem, thus getting points is a viable wagering opportunity. This will be the Longhorns first real test of the season, after playing three fluffy games to start their season vs lower tier opposition.

BUTLER is 7-0 ATS  L/7 versus good defensive teams - allowing 64  or less points/game over the last couple of  seasons and is 12-3 ATS  L/15 versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game .BUTLER is 10-1 ATS L/11 when the line is +3 to -3  . TEXAS is 8-19 ATs L/27 as a neutral court favorite of 3 points or less or pick.

Take the points with Butler to cover 1 unit reg selection

This Wash St team only won 6 games last season, but have won 3 already this season. Cougars HC Kents recruiting looks like its been spot on. He has a group that can get up and down the floor in a hurry, and according to my own cross reference players /teams rankings match up very well vs St.Josephs.

Take the points with Washington State

Chargers HC Lynn, who played high school football at Texas small-town powerhouse Celina and college football at Texas Tech, said it's one of the two biggest days in the NFL season. So you can imagine how hopped up he is to be here and what a win would mean to him vs the banged up staggering Cowboys. Los Angeles has won four of its last six, and playing at a high level and must be respected here a short road favorites. Meanwhile, Dallas Star running back Ezekiel Elliott (suspension), All-Pro left tackle Tyron Smith (back, groin) and the most important part  of the defense, linebacker Sean Lee (hamstring), are all out of the lineup making Dallas fade material today.

LA CHARGERS is 8-1 ATS L/9  in road games after having lost 2 out of their last 3 games.DALLAS is 0-6 ATS    in home games after failing to cover the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games losing SU by an average of 10 ppg.

Chargers are 2-0 SU/ATS L/2 visits to Dallas.

NFL Home teams like Dallas - good rushing team - averaging 4.5 or more rushing yards/carry, after being outrushed by 75 or more yards last game are 16-41 ATS L/10 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on LA Chargers to cover

The Detroit Lions were the last team to beat the red hot Minnesota Vikings, back in in Minnesota on Oct 1 ( 14-7). The Lions matchup well against the Vikings according to my own power rankings, as Detroit is bidding for its third sweep of the season series in four years. I'm recommending we take the points with the home team here today on thanksgiving day.

DETROIT is 8-1 ATS L/9 in November games over the last few seasons.MINNESOTA is 26-43 ATS  L/69 as a road favorite.

The Lions are 12-0 ATS/SU  on turf when the line is within 3 of pick and they are off a win in which they had at least three times as many passing yards as rushing yards winning SU by an average of 9.17 ppg and covering by more than 8.79 ppg.

The Vikings are 0-14 ATS / 3-11 SU on the road off a TD-plus win in which they did not score in the first quarter with the 3 SU   wins coming by 3, 3 and 4 points.

NFL team LIONS- mistake-free team ( 1.25 TO/G  or less committed) vs a team with 1.25 TO/G  or less forced after 8+ games, after 4 consecutive games where they committed 1 or less turnovers are 39-15 ATS for a 72% conversion rate for bettors dating back 24 seasons.

Play on the Detroit Lions to cover 1 unit reg selection

The Lakers (8-10) enter into this tilt vs Sacramento off their second straight win. Last night  Los Angeles posted a 103-94 home victory over the Chicago Bulls on Tuesday in a come from behind effort and very much look to be the superior team entering this tilt. Last night they controlled the boards , with a  54-39 rebounding advantage, and are currently ranked 4th in the NBA . thanks to those efforts the Lakers defensive rating, has them ranked 4th as well , as their top tier abilities fly under the radar of most pundits. Meanwhile, the Kings do not rebound well as is evident by giving up 7.8 more per game than their opponents, for last place in the  NBA. With Sacramento also expected to play its third straight game without second-leading scorer Buddy Hield (11.6 points per game), they are at a disadvantage tonight from multiple perspectives including their ability to outscore an opponent behind a lowly 93.2 points per game which is the worst  output in the NBA.

SACRAMENTO is 1-8 ATS  L/9 vs lower tier  defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season (this is mostly because of their won lack of scoring power)

NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 like the Lakers - with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season, in November games are 71-34 ATS L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate.

Play on the Lakers to cover 1 unit reg selection

The Bulls and Jazz enter this game both struggling. Both are desperate for wins, and both I expect will play hard tonight. The Jazz have dropped eight of their past 10 games, including a 107-86 road loss against the Philadelphia 76ers on Monday and without top tier center Rudy Gobert look like a key component has their usually well disciplined team  in disarray . Meanwhile, visiting  Chicago is 0-2 on a four-game trip after losing  by a 103-94 count  to the Los Angeles Lakers last night. The Bulls threw away a 19-point second-half lead against the Lakers, which was embarrassing for them. Like the call from the French revolution, which said " Heads Will roll".  That's exactly the situation now in Bulls land, and this group of players need to stand up and get some respect for themselves immediately .  These are professionals that   know that this will have an adverse financial  effect on their careers going forward and how they are looked as players if they don't bounce  back and make amends for that ugly 2nd half effort last night. The Bulls won both of last season's meetings and have prevailed in three straight meetings and are my pick to cover here.

Bulls are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Bulls are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 0 days rest.Jazz are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 1 days rest.Jazz are 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 vs. Eastern Conference.Underdog is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings.

NBA Road underdogs like Chicago- off 2 or more consecutive road losses, playing on back-to-back days are 67-35 ATS L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Chicago Bulls to cover 1 unit reg selection

 
The San Antonio Spurs play consistent basketball which is evident by a 11-6 record despite missing   All-Star forward Kawhi Leonard and veteran  point guard Tony Parker. However, tonight on the road vs New Orleans I'm betting they will suffer a set back, vs an opponent that has some very talented players  in their lineup , namely the  super star duo Davis and Cousins. ( Cousins seems to elevate his games vs top tier teams). Note: Cousins was ejected last time out, because of what looked like he the and elbow)  HC Gentry said it was a bad call, and now this talented player, despite of being extremely moody will have a chip on his shoulder entering this tilt and be ready and motivated  to show case his talent and  ego vs a big time opponent on his own home floor.

New Orleans owns a 4-0 ATS  l/4 mark at home  in this series. The Spurs are 0-5 ATS L/5 road games.Home team is 20-6 ATS in the last 26 meetings. The Spurs have failed to cover 9 of the L/12 meetings in this series.

NBA Favorites vs. the money line (NEW ORLEANS) - hot shooting team - 2 straight games making 50% or more of their shots against opponent after 5 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 42% or less are 29-4 SU for a 88% SU conversion rate over the L/5 seasons.

Play on New Orleans Pelicans  to cover

 Miami O under a new head coach former assistant at Purdue Jack Owens isa side I'm going to keep an eye on going forward. Just like his mentor at Purdue (Painter) hard work and top tier defense first basketball will be the name of the game. There are some decent hardworking seniors on board, and versatile group that is hard working blue collar types. Their a feisty crew and here as underdogs have merits that I can back on a DD underdog line. Meanwhile, Tulane -was a 6 win team last season, and played to that level, they are improving, but I'm not buying this 11 point line the odds makers have placed on this tilt.

TULANE is 0-7 ATS L/7 in home games versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or less and  10-21 ATS   when playing against a team with a winning record.

Play on Miami Ohio to cover 1 unit reg selection

This is a tilt of 2 fairly evenly matched teams, with home court advantage worth 3 points according to my own cross reference power rankings. Thus in a game I have pegged at close to one possession or 2 possession game, the Bulls  have an edge based on the numbers being offered by the sportsbooks both in Vegas and off shore. I will not be surprised at all if the Bulls pull of the SU upset here vs a Lakers team that should be on tired legs as they prepare to play their 8th game in 13 days.

LA LAKERS are 9-20 ATS  L/29 when playing 8 or more games in 14 days. LAKERS are 6-21 ATS  L/27 after playing 2 consecutive home games.CHICAGO is 15-4 ATS L/19  in road games after a game where they attempted 100 or more shots.

NBA teams like Chicago  have done well from a SU perspective vs NBA Home teams vs. the money line like the LAKERS- off a win by 10 points or more as an underdog, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a losing team winning SU 21 of the L/35 times for a 60% conversion rate dating back 5 seasons.

NBA Home favorites like the Lakers - after allowing 100 points or more 3 straight games against opponent after scoring 55 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games. 61-111 ATS L/21 seasons for a go against conversion rate of more than 64% for bettors on the blind.

Play on the Chicago Bulls to cover 1 unit reg selection

Davidson after depending way to much on two key players last season, had a down campaign, but with recruiting remaining strong, they should be more versatile and explosive this season, as was evident in their first two games when they  scoried 108 and 110 points. Nevada is a fine team, but Davidson I'm betting gives them a big time battle, making getting the points golden. 

CBB team (NEVADA) - off a road win, first 5 games of the season, after closing out last season with 7+ spread covers in last 8 games 9-21 SU L/30 dating back 20 seasons.

Play on Davidson to cover 1 unit reg selection

Valparaiso won 3 straight Horizon league championships behind the duo of Tevonn Walker and Max Joseph, both from Montreal Canada. They lead their college programs in Canada winning the Vanier Cup as well, and now here now in the Missouri Valley Conference they prepare to make another run at a championship. Look for a  group that knows how to win to run rough shot over a Samford  side trying to figure out a guard heavy style of play.

CBB team  like SAMFORD - mediocre team from last season that won between 45-55% of their games, with 3+ more starters returning from last year than opponent, in the first five games of the season are 17-34 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against conversion rate 67% for bettors.

Play on Valparaiso to cover

Donnie Marsh the HC of Alabama A&M takes over a team with the worst RPI in the nation last season. That is in part why this chalk line is this big. This is a hard working group,  with some size, and I'm betting they stay within the number here and get the cover vs a Big 10 program Minnesota. Alabama A&M will face its second straight Top 25 team after losing 104-67 at No. 25 Alabama on Friday. Alabama A&M has hit 15 3-pointers and shot .500 from beyond the arc in its past two games. Johnson has four of the 3s and are capable of back door cover here.

Play on the Alabama A&M to cover 1 unit reg selection

CBE HALL OF FAME CLASSIC - Final Rnd - Sprint Center - Kansas City, MO

Wisconsin will face No. 23 UCLA in the consolation game of the CBE Hall of Fame Classic on Tuesday night at Sprint Center. My won cross reference power rankings suggest that Wisconsin should be 4 point favs, and are the superior overall team at the moment with these rosters on the floor.

UCLA is 4-14 ATS L/18  in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game
UCLA is 2-15 ATS L/15  after having won 2 of their last 3 games

CBB  underdog (UCLA) - after 2 or more consecutive overs, an explosive offensive team (76 PPG or more) against a good offensive team (74-76 PPG) are 55-95 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 64% for bettors.

Play on Wisconsin to cover

UMass has played decently to this point in the season , and is on route to a quick turnaround after last years subpar results. McCall and company could surprise the pundits this season, and as far as tonight goes, very much over match a W Carolina group, that limps into this season, after suffering the injury bug last year, as key players such as Parks and Williams are still not 100%. Lay the points with UMASS.

W CAROLINA is 2-10 ATS L/12 versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or less losing SU by an average of 24.6 ppg. W CAROLINA is 2-9 ATS L/11 in road games when playing against a team with a winning record winning SU by an average 29.4 ppg. W CAROLINA is 4-16 ATS L/20 as an underdog of 10 or more points .W CAROLINA is 0-6 ATS L/6 as a road underdog of 12.5 to 18 points .

Home teams as a favorite or pick MASSACHUSETTS - after scoring 95 points or more, with just two starters returning from last year in the first 5 games of the season are 31- 6 ATS for a 80% conversion rate for bettors over the L/5 seasons.

Play on UMass to cover 1 unit reg selection

 After a single-digit win over 0-4 Omaha on Friday, No. 19 Louisville is facing a big step up in competition Tuesday night when Southern Illinois visits the KFC Yum! Center.. The Salukis (2-0) brought three starters and a host of role players back from last season's third-place Missouri Valley Conference team and have the edge on the line tonight.

Hinson is 32-13 ATS L/45 off a home win as the coach of S ILLINOIS.

Play on Southern Illinois to cover

The Portland Blazers go against a reeling Memphis Grizzlies  team that is playing with out point guard Mike Conely  and on a current four game losing streak. Without Conely on the floor the team just doesn't seem to have consistent rhythm , and once again look like fade material in this spot. The Memphis D has also broken down and has allowed 100 or more points in eight of its past nine games. The Grizzlies went 1-7 in those games.  It's also interesting to note that despite of appearances of a Grizzlies side that can supposedly play uptempo basketball as well as defense, the numbers and data don;t support their prowess, as they rank 29th in the league in pace  and 25th in offensive production. With that said, I'm fading them tonight and keeping a eye on them until they can right their sinking ship.

MEMPHIS is 4-16 ATS  L/20  in home games off a home loss .

NBA Road favorites vs. the money line like PORTLAND  - after allowing 90 points or less 2 straight games against opponent after allowing 100 points or more 3 straight games are  106-25 SU during the L/21 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on the Portland Blazers to cover 1 unit reg selection

Tyronn Lue's Cavaliers are starting to jell, as  they are currently on a 4 game win streak. The victories have not been over powering, but they are getting the job done, behind a veteran crew that prefers a methodical game plan rather than a fast paced run and gun style game. After their recent come from behind  victory vs the LA Clippers, key veteran Dwayne Wade said, QUOTE:"We're one of the oldest teams in the league. We're not built for all of this," Wade said. "We're built for when the game slows down -- and late in games, the game slows down, and that's kind of when we're at our best." END QUOTE. Tonight against a Motown group on tired legs as they play back to back after playing last night, I'm betting the tempo will be to the Cavaliers liking and give them a much needed edge. Detroit won a close grueling tilt last night, 100-97 score at Minnesota. Note: NBA  teams where the line is +3 to -3 like DETROIT- off a road win by 3 points or less, playing on back-to-back days are 5-24 ATS L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors.

DETROIT is 10-22 ATS  L/32 when the line is +3 to -3 .

CLEVELAND is 13-4 ATS L/17 road games when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days.DETROIT is 18-33 ATS  L/51 after covering 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread.

Play on the Cleveland Cavs to cover 1 unit reg selection

The Dallas Cowboys cannot really afford another loss, at this juncture of the season, and will be hell bent on taking out the red hot Philadelphia Eagles this Sunday night deep in the heart of Texas. Add to that the Cowboys have revenge on board for last seasons divisional play off loss, to these same Eagles and you have a hyped up and desperate side to back.  It must be noted that the Cowboys are 7-0 ATS L/7 on  Sundays playing with revenge with 6 of those games SU victories and are 31-16 ATS L/47 as home dogs.

PHILADELPHIA is 0-6 ATS  L/6  in road games versus good offensive teams - averaging 5.65  or more yards/play.DALLAS is 34-18 ATS L/52 after a loss by 14 or more points which happened last time out.

NFL Road favorites like Philadelphia  - excellent offensive team - scoring 27 or more points/game, after leading in their previous game by 21 or more points at the half are 19-45 ATS L/34 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors.  

Play on the Dallas Cowboys to cover 1 unit reg selection

Two franchises the Bulls and the Suns are going through  rebuilding programs  will meet today in Arizona.The Suns enter of a win vs the  Lakers for the first time in three meetings and the Bulls took down Charlotte to end  a five-game losing streak. When it comes to a direct cross reference player vs player and systems check, my own data suggests the Bulls are the superior team , which gives us value taking the points here in this spot.

Phoenix is ranked dead last  in defense in the league, allowing 116.6 ppg with a SRs -9.77 . The Bulls rank 11th overall in Defense, with a SRS -8.24.  Note:SRS Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average.

Bulls are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Suns are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Suns are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games.Suns are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Underdog is 8-1 ATS in the last 9 meetings.Road team is 12-4 ATS in the last 16 meetings.Bulls are 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Phoenix.

NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 like the SUNS - off an upset win as a road underdog, with a losing record 44-78 ATS for a go against 64% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Chicago Bulls to cover 1 unit reg selection