My own projections make Ohio a 5 point fav here, and thus we are getting value with this line.  The last two meetings here between these two programs has seen Ohio win by DDs. Im betting on a Kent State team that loss by a 91-65 score toEastern Michigan on the road last time out to be on the wrong end of the score again. 

OHIO U is 62-39 ATS  as a home favorite of 6 points or less or pick with the average point diff of 5.6 ppg. 

CBB Road underdogs of +145 to +350 vs. the money line (KENT ST) - after 3 or more consecutive overs, an good offensive team (74-78 PPG) against an average defensive team (67-74 PPG) after 15+ games are 3-58 SU  L5 seasons with an average point differential of 19.9 ppg. 

Play on Ohio to cover 

The Portland Blazers played a hard fought affair in the thin air of the Mile High City last night and lost to Denver. Now on tired legs they go go against the fastest pace team in the league the Sacramento Kings.  Thats not a good situation for them here and Im betting the Blazers are fade material in this spot as they are just 1-7 SU L/8 after playing in the Rocky Mountains against the Nuggets. Meanwhile, the Kings are 15-8 SU at home this season and 11-1 SU/ATS on a totals line of 229 or less.

PORTLAND is 38-61 ATS off a road cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog

NBA Road teams vs. the money line (PORTLAND) - after beating the spread by 54 or more points total in their last ten games against opponent after going under the total by more than 18 points in their previous game are 12-43 SU L/5 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Sacramento Kings to cover 

Im not buying into the Jayhawks  preseason hype that had them ranked No. 1 in the AP poll .  I know Kansas has shown flashes of brilliance and are off a  road win at Baylor last time out, but overall they still have showed me their weaknesses when they smoked by Iowa State a couple games back by a 77-60 count.  I can't get that beatdown out of my head, and remember saying to my self wow has this program degenerated. Now enters a revenge minded Longhorns team fresh off a hard fought loss to 15-1 Texas Tech last time out, and brimming with confidence despite of losing .

The Horns  lost to KU twice  last season which is good news for their betting supporters as they are  9-3 ATS as dogs in double revenge mode  and 9-2 overall with revenge overall.  Add to that Texas has done well here on the road going 4-0 ATS run at Allen Fieldhouse  and we have what looks like is a value selection backing the young men from Austin to cover .   

KANSAS is 2-12 ATS off a road win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.KANSAS is 5-14 ATSin home games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.

Play on Texas to cover 

The Spurs head home after a 122-112 loss to Oklahoma City on Saturday night in a rematch of the two teams' epic double-overtime game, won by San Antonio, 154-147, on Thursday. Im betting the Spurs are now on tired legs and in a natural deflated letdown situation which makes the susceptible to a down game. I know Charlottes struggling, but their also desperate and a league wide trend supports them here on this line as well. Note:NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (CHARLOTTE) - in non-conference games, off 3 or more consecutive road losses are 34-9 ATS L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. With that said, Im betting the Hornets get us a cover here on a value line as underdogs. 

Play on the Charlotte Hornets to cover

 Monmouth swept last year's season series vs Siena and match up well vs this  Siena group according to my current power rankings. MU has won four straight regular season games over Siena at the Times Union Center and  and despite of this being 3rd game in 5 nights, are viable cover dogs in this road spot vs their hosts. Monmouth has covered 2 of their L/3 and have been competitive . Meanwhile, Siena off a rare win last time out have recent history of following up their victories with ATS clunkers as is evident by the following trends: Siena 1-8 ATS after a win by 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons and is 2-11 ATS  after 1 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.

SIENA is 1-8 ATS  versus struggling teams - outscored by their opponents by 4+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.SIENA is 0-8 ATS  after a game with 5 or less offensive rebounds over the last 2 seasons.

CBB Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (SIENA) - in a game involving two poor offensive teams (63-67 PPG) after 15+ games, after a win by 6 points or less are 4-27 ATS L5 seasons for a go against 87% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on Monmouth to cover 

Duke is off an emotional game against Florida State last time out where they scored late to seal a win vs Florida State. That hard fought effort will have them in a letdown spot, vs a grinding Syracuse team that will try to make this a physical event .  Im obviously not calling for an upset here, but I am betting on the Orange getting us the cover. 

CBB Road underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (SYRACUSE) - off an upset loss to a conference rival as a favorite against opponent off a road win against a conference rival are 52-21 ATS L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Syracuse to cover 

The Trail Blazers have despite of a couple of recent road wins  have overall not travelled well this season and own a  8-10  record on the road this season and  have struggled against the Nuggets of late and have lost four- straight to Denver dating back to last season. Im betting nothing changes tonight. 

Denver has won  17 of 20 home games this season and overall 7 of their L/8 H/A and covered 4 of their L/5 and own a 5-0 SU/ATS mark vs division opponents this season. 

DENVER is 12-3 ATS  when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Road underdogs SU  (PORTLAND) - revenging a home loss vs opponent, off a home win by 10 points or more are just 159-518 L/23 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors with the average point differential clicking in at 7.7 ppg. 

Play on the Denver Nuggets to cover 

The Ducks  have revenge on board for  a 20-point loss in the semi-finals of the Pac-12 tourney last season, and are desperate for wins as they are just 8-5 on the season, with numerous boosters beginning the cat calls for HC Altmans job after their ugly home loss to Oregon State and than to UCLA  last time out.  The Ducks need this win badly and should play like their hairs on fire vs a  USC side they trail by 3 games. We have revenge and desperation as our allies here in backing Oregon on their own home floor. 

OREGON is 10-2 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.OREGON is 11-3 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 3 seasons.Altman is 12-4 ATS after a close loss by 3 points or less as the coach of OREGON ( which was the case vs UCLA last time out 87-84)

 CBB Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (USC) - after going over the total by more than 12 points in two consecutive games, in a game involving two marginal winning teams (51% to 60%) are 8-32 ATS L/23 seasons for a go against  80% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on Oregon to cover 

This line is bloated according to  my projections. Tulane has covered 3 straight at home and have not lost on their own home floor by more than 4 points in their L/5 overall, and have the capability to cover here today as DD home dogs. No matter what the public perception here, tor the final results we have an edge here with the pup.

Memphis will play its third true road game of the season and is in search of its first win in such contests with losses at LSU (Nov. 13) and Houston (Jan. 6). The Tigers are 1-5 in games played on a road or neutral court this season.

Tulane has flaunted what Dunleavy has called his deepest team since his arrival. Ten of the Green Wave's 12 players to see court time this season average at least 11.5 minutes per game.

CBB Road favorites of 10 or more points (MEMPHIS) - after a win by 6 points or less against opponent after scoring 30 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games are 6-27 ATS for a go against 82% conversion rate for bettors.

CBB Underdogs of 10 or more points (TULANE) - in a game involving two poor defensive teams (74-78 PPG), after scoring 65 points or less 2 straight games are 30-9 ATS L/23 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Tulane to cover 

The Hawks were annihilated by the Bucks when they met last week (144-112), and will now get a chance to avenge that defeat here at home . The Hawks deserve out respect here as they have proven their abilities recently against another top tier team by  positing a dramatic 123-121 win over Philadelphia and have confidence heading into this tilt. Meanwhile, Hawks are explosive enough offensively to offer us plenty of value on this line either by being competitive from start to finish or getting us a back door cover. It must also be noted that the Bucks super star Giannis Antekokounmpo, who is experiencing and dealing with  hip and quad injuries will Im betting also effect the flow of this Bucks team. 

MILWAUKEE is 1-11 ATS  versus terrible defensive teams - allowing 110+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons. 

Home teams vs. the money line (ATLANTA) - revenging a loss vs opponent, off a huge upset win as a road underdog of 10 points or more 22-7 L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate. NBA Underdogs (ATLANTA) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off a huge upset win as a road underdog of 10 points or more are 22-5 ATS L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Atlanta to cover 

Purdue Fort Wayne is the Summit League's lone undefeated team in conference action at 4-0 while holding a 12-7 overall record, but all good and bad things must eventually come to an end , Im betting this streak does as well here at South Dakota vs a disciplined we'll coached Coyotes group that is committing just 11.7 turnovers per game which ranks them in the top 50 in the nation in that category. 

I know the Coyotes have been suffering with injuries, and are a sub .500 team, but considering how well guys like sophomore Stanley Umude  has played  averaging 19 points and 7.4 rebounds per game over his last five games this team looks better than most might anticipate. 

South Dakota has won the L/4 meetings in this series and gets the nod again here on their own home court. 

CBB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (IUPU-FT WAYNE) - poor defensive team - allowing 77+ points/game on the season, after scoring 85 points or more 3 straight games  are 6-26 SU/ATS L/5 seasons .

Play on South Dakota to cover 

 No John Wall in the lineup no problem  as  Otto Porter Jr. has upped his game and really looks like the real deal, making the Wizards a under rated team, especially with Bradley Beal playing lights out some of the best hoops of career . With that said, Im betting on the  Wizards  6-1 ATS L/7  to come out here looking to make a statement vs a talented Toronto team that they they have double revenge against vs two losses suffered earlier this season. With Toronto  looking ahead to  a matchup with  Boston up next and not fully focused on a team that they have owned ,  I expect the Wizards to surprise the visitors here and more importantly get us the cover.

Brooks is 44-26 ATS as a home underdog in all games he has coached since 1996.

NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (TORONTO) - after having won 4 of their last 5 games, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a losing record are 55-101 L/5 seasons for go against 65% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Washington Wizards to cover 

AFC Divisional Playoffs

NE super star future HOF QB Brady is 19-3 SU at home in the playoffs, including 11-1 SU and Divisional Round tilts, and Im betting he gets another win here vs the Chargers here this Sunday afternoon in Fox-borough. He has also won all 7 meetings SU vs Rivers, and must not be underestimated  despite of the aging process in his ability to lead his team to a convincing victory here again at home and get us the cover. Note: Brady is 10-0-1 ATS in playoff victories when not favored by more than 6 points. 

NEW ENGLAND is 15-4 ATS  versus good offensive teams - averaging 5.65 or more yards/play over the last 3 seasons.

NEW ENGLAND is 11-1 ATS after a game with a turnover margin of +2 or better over the last 3 seasons

NFL Road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (LA CHARGERS) - off 2 consecutive road wins, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 5-26 L/35 seasons for a 84% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

New England to cover 

Sacramento enters this game as one of the most explosive teams in the NBA and are   averaging 13.1 seconds per possession  - a pace that ranked second in the league after Thursday night's games. The Kings also were leading the NBA in fast-break points at 22.6 per game. That type of system matches up well visiting Charlotte a side that is struggling mightily having lost  four of five games and seven of 10 and were smashed by DDs in their last trip to the floor. Note:

CHARLOTTE is 0-8 ATS after a blowout loss by 20 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Road teams vs. the money line (CHARLOTTE) - after a huge blowout loss by 30 or more against opponent after scoring 55 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games are 2-26 L/5 seasons for a 93% go against conversion rate with the average point diff  clicking in at 11.9 ppg.

Play on Sacramento to cover 

 The Anteaters  come into here to Fullerton looking to get revenge for a s 71-55 beatdown  in the Big West tourney title game last season , a defeat that hurt a great deal because the Titans got to playing the NCAA tournament. Tonight Im betting Cal Irvine get their revenge behind a 5 returning starters that have already earned a 12-4 record on the season and up trending in power rankings.  Note: The Anteaters a re 5-1 -1 ATS L/6 here in this series and have cashed 3 straight SU/ATS with. a.500 or better record in  conference revenge while on the road. 

Play on Cal Irvine to cover 

Houston had their undefeated season come to a screeching halt at Temple last time out and now in a letdown situation will come home and go against a rebuilding Wichita State program with a top tier coach at the helm in Gregg Marshall who would like nothing more than to get revenge for a loss in last seasons AAC tourney.  With that said, the Shockers are 8-0-1 ATS as dogs of more than 9 points under head coach Gregg Marshall and  even though they are on a 3 game losing streak won't be be easily intimidated here , not even against a quality Cougar team. 

Play on Wichita State to cover 

LSU has come a long way in a short period of time and are now  ranked as the AP’s preseason No. 23 team and despite a 11-3 record and 4-0 SU run Im betting will have their hands full with Arkansas here on the road. Its never easy to grab victories in the SEC in on the road, and the Tigers just don't have a record of success when traveling vs conference opposition as is evident by going  just 3-19 SU  in its last 22 SEC away games, which includes losing 7 straight as visitors.   Add to that the  Hogs have revenge on board for 2 losses in this series last season and you have a  home team that will be hungry to take down the visitor here. It must be noted that the last seven times the Razorbacks have hosted the Bayou Bengals here Bud Walton Arena with revenge they  have cashed  7 straight times  ATS. 

LSU is 4-13 ATS in road games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 3 seasons.  ARKANSAS is 7-0 ATS  after game - where they allowed a shooting pct. of 33% or less over the last 2 seasons.Anderson is 14-3 ATS  as a home favorite of 3 points or less or pick in all games he has coached since 1997

CBB  home team (ARKANSAS) - very good defensive team - shooting pct defense of 39% or less on the season against opponent hot shooting team - 3 straight games making 47%  or more of their shots are 83-44 ATS L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. 

Arkansas to cover 

This is not a good matchup on paper but I expect Florida's physicality and defence to help them stand tall here and get us the cover vs a top tier Tennessee program. KenPom has the Gators’ defense ranked ninth nationally in adjusted defensive efficiency. The Gators are also ninth in Division I ball with only 60.7 points allowed per contest and have covered 3 straight at home. 

CBB favorite (TENNESSEE) - after going over the total by more than 6 points in four consecutive games against opponent after going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last five games are 7-36 ATS L/22 seasons for a 84% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Florida to cover 

The Colts enter this game extremely underrated according to my matchup stats and power rankings, and this is evident by winning the stats battles 13 of their L/14 games overall. However, the books are playing to public sentiment knowing how much the public loves the Chiefs and their style of play, and have posted a over valued line on the board that favours the Colts in my humble opinion. It must be noted that the Chiefs did not play all that well down the stretch  covering only once in their L/5 overall and have a history of ugly play off performances losing 8 straight ATS at home including 6 straight SU here at Arrowhead. With the Colts Andrew Luck 2-0 SU at Arrowhead in his career is every bit as good as Chiefs QB  Patrick Mahomes and more experienced ,I expect a  Colts team that is 7-1 SU/ATS here in this venue  to have an  edge getting points . 

INDIANAPOLIS is 8-1 ATS in road games vs. excellent passing teams with a completion pct. of 64% or better over the last 3 seasons.KANSAS CITY is 2-13 ATS in playoff games since 1992.

NFL team vs the money line (INDIANAPOLIS) - good team (outgain opp. by 40-100 YPG) against an average team (+/- 40 YPG) after 8+ games, after gaining 375 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games are 43-6 SU L/5 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Indianapolis to cover 

 Texas Tech behind a potent D continues to pile up the wins and are now 14-1 SU on the season with their only loss to powerful Duke. However, from a bettors perspective not all is good with the Techies as they are a bankroll depleting 2-13 ATS L/15 when favored and are just 2-6 ATS L/8 on the road when laying points and overall are on a 1-7-1 ATS run. Texas at 10-5 may have not shown the same potency as their instate rivals, but Im betting they muster up a big effort here this Saturday afternoon vs an opponent that has not won in Austin in  23 years, 0-22 SU. 

TEXAS is 27-13 ATS L/40  in home games vs. top caliber teams - outscoring their opponents by 12+ points/game after 15+ games and s 16-5 ATS  as a home underdog of 3 points or less or pick. 

CBB Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (TEXAS) - an average offensive team (67-74 PPG) against an excellent defensive team (63 or less PPG), after allowing 65 points or less 3 straight games are 91-48 ATS L/23 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. 

Play on Texas to cover 

Duke is a behemoth opponent and obviously the best in the country. However, because of this they have a huge target on their backs and must almost always play full out because of this. Thus they are not always as fresh as thye need to be because of their strength of schedules and are vulnerable to being upended by a very talented team like the Florida State Seminoles especially here on the road. Duke, will be playing in just its second true road game of the season in a very unfriendly environment. FSU is 13-2, ranked 13th nationally and last year made a run to the NCAA Tournament Elite Eight – the same round in which Duke finished.The Seminoles went toe-to-toe with the Blue Devils in a 100-93 loss in Durham, N.C., last season, and blew Duke out, 93-78, when the two last met in Tallahassee in 2017 and wont be intimidated here in front of a boisterous crowd. Take the points.

Florida State is 3-0 ATS L/3 in this series and 5-0 ATS in the 2nd off back and back home  vs opposition off a SU win. 

CBB Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DUKE) - off a road blowout win by 20 points or more, in a game involving two top-level teams (80% or more) are 15-43 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Florida State to cover 

Over the its last three games at Gentile Arena, Loyola's offense has fired on all cylinders,registering an average of  78.0 points per game, while hitting 61.5 percent (88-for-143) of its field goal attempts and 46.4 percent (26-for-56) of its three-point tries. This is where thye play their best hoops, and after their ugly clunker against Evansville last time out Im expecting a spirited effort vs Illinois State today and a cover. Note: In its last two meetings with Illinois State, Loyola has held the Redbirds to 55.0 ppg, 36.4 percent (44-for-121) from the field, and 30.9 percent (17-for-55) from long range.

LOYOLA-IL is 17-4 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons with the average point diff clicking in at 10 ppg. 

Play on Loyola Chicago to cover 

The Wildcats are coming off their most encouraging victory in weeks, a 72-71 win over West Virginia that featured the largest comeback (21 points) in school history and today here in Hilton buoyed by that confidence building win will be very competitive. Meanwhile, Iowa State after a big win vs Kansas last week came out with a clunker in Baylor in their followup and lost straight up, and despite of now being recharged wont find it easy sledding here today. IOWA ST is 0-6 ATS L/6 versus poor 3 point shooting teams - making 31% of their attempts over the last 3 seasons.KANSAS ST is 20-9 ATS in road games after playing a game as favorite over the last 3 seasons.

Kansas State to cover 

Im going to brave here this week and take the points with Clemson.The Tigers lost to the No. 1 Duke Blue Devils in Durham, 87-68.  They committed a lot of turnovers in that game,  but are more than capable of hanging tough here with their ability to be physical under the glass.  They were only rebounded,  by Duke by a 40-36. Clemson is averaging 35.8 rebounds per game, while the Cavs snatch 34.7 per tilt. That Im betting will be huge for them here vs a Cavs side that lives in and dies in transition. When thye teams met in the play offs lat season on a neutral court Clemson lost 64-58 and when thye met in Clemson the season before Virginia eked out a 77-74 win and today Im betting the Tigers get us the cover . Clemson is 2-0 ATS in its last two home games.

Play on Clemson to cover 

The last meeting in this series saw, the Flashes drop a 71-67 decision at home against the Eagles and they now have revenge on board. The Golden Flashes own a balanced lineup of scoring with five players scoring in double-figures and have won 20 of the last 23 games and are not easy outs for any team , and get the nod here getting points.

KENT ST is 60-35 ATS in road games after having won 4 of their last 5 games since 1997

E MICHIGAN is 17-37 ATS when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct.  80% or better since 1997. HC Murphy is 5-21 ATS (-18.1 Units) when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 80% or better) as the coach of E MICHIGAN.  is 2-9 ATS in all games this season.

Play on Kent State to cover 

The Panthers  who are currently on a 4 game losing streak and have not performed well vs above .500 teams,  going  0-6 L/6 are fade material here tonight as they are also exhausted as they play their 3rd game in 4 nights vs a strong opponent in Calgary that has won 9 of their L/13 home games. Whats also interesting  is that Calgary's practice on Thursday was extremely intense as head coach Bill Peters let it be known he wasn't impressed with his club's three-game winning streak and 6-1-1 run. He wants more from his team, and is expecting here tonight in a 100% effort. Making me feel comfortable with taking them on the value puckline here. 

Road underdogs of +200 or higher against the money line (FLORIDA) - after allowing 4 goals or more 4 straight games against opponent after scoring 3 goals or more in 2 straight games are 0-25 L/25 SU but have lost by an average of 2.2 goals per game which makes this a viable wager on the value puckline. 

Play on the Calgary Flames to cover -1.5 puckline 

Dallas and Minnesota have played their L/3 meetings very closely with average point differential of 3.3 ppg deciding these games. My projections once again estimate a closely contested affair with  road dog flashing a value on the line.

DALLAS is 33-20 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons.

DALLAS is 32-16 ATS ( versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MINNESOTA) - after beating the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going under the total by more than 6 points in three consecutive games are 3-22 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 88% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DALLAS) - off a home no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite, with a losing record are 24-3 ATS L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Dallas Mavericks to cover 

This game pairs last year’s regular-season champion in the Horizon League (NKU) vs. the conference tournament champion Raiders, who were also the preseason favorite in this year’s coaches poll. NKU was second.NKU comes in 13-4 overall and 3-1 in Horizon League play, and WSU is 8-9, 2-2. It is a key early game for positioning in the league and Im betting it will be closely contested despite of what is a divergence in records but not head to head talent.  In. physical game look for Loudon Love, a diverse skilled and bulky 6-foot-9, 280-pound sophomore center and  a preseason first team all-Horizon selection, to key to Wright State covering here tonight.

 line according to my projections is off by almost 4 points. True line value here sits at -2.5 favouring Northern Kentucky which suggests according to my data  a one possession game. 

WRIGHT ST is 6-0 ATS versus good passing teams, averaging 16 or more assists/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons and  is s 7-0 ATS versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons. 

N KENTUCKY is 4-13 ATS L/17 in home games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game after 15+ games.

CBB Road teams as an underdog or pick (WRIGHT ST) - off a road win by 10 points or more against opponent off a road blowout win by 20 points or more are 77-34 ATS L/22 SEASONS FOR A 70% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. 

Wright State to cover 

Penn State is better than their 7-8 overall record would indicate and were competitive in their  loss at No. 2 Michigan, and  should have beaten Indiana and probably could have upended Maryland in College Park if it were not for a combination of bad calls and some nasty choking. The Lions are talented but in cohesive offensively at time, but are more than capable upending any team in this conference and here tonight as DD pups get my support vs Nebraska side that has lost their first two conference games this season. 

PENN ST is 8-1 ATS in road games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.PENN ST is 12-4 ATS vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% or more  of their attempts after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.

PENN ST is 8-0 ATS after 2 straight games with 12 or less assists over the last 2 seasons and 9-1 ATS  after scoring 30 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons and is 6-0 ATS  after 4 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers over the last 2 season.Chambers is 11-2 ATS  after 2 straight losses by 10 points or more as the coach of PENN ST. 

Play on Penn State to cover 

The Owls have won two straight after defeating Louisiana Tech, 78-66, on Saturday and have momentum entering this game vs UTSA . Rice is connecting on 43.8% from the field and 34.0% from three  and has the ability to compete vs a side that has won 8 of their L/10 games overall. 

RICE is 8-1 ATS  after 2 straight games forcing opponent to commit 11 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons.TX-SAN ANTONIO is 0-6 ATS  after allowing 65 points or less 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons. 

Play on Rice to cover 

The Celtics have won 4 straight games after pummelling the Indiana Pacers last night by a 135-108 count  and enter this game vs Miami in top form .  It must be noted that the Celtics are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games following a straight up win and 25-9 ATS in their last 34 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record. Meanwhile, the  Heat have lost  back-to-back games after and are suddenly struggling on offence and have averaged 90.5 ppg in this tilts and should have problems scoring again vs a strong Celtics D.

BOSTON is 14-2 ATS off a home blowout win by 20 points or more over the last 3 seasons. Celtics are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Miami.

The Celtics are 14-0-1 ATS /15-0 SU L/15 as a favorite when they are off two games in which they had twice as many assists as turovers.The Heat are 0-11 ATS/SU L/11 when the line is within 3 of pick after playing as a home favorite when they won 2 straight vs current opponent. 

Play on Boston to cover 

The Trailblazers have proven themselves to be highly inconsistent this season despite of some flashes of brilliance and are just are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up win which was the case vs NYK last time out. With this being the Blazers 4th game in 6 days Im expecting a energy saving effort here tonight against a young Bulls side that Im sure their over looking. I know the Bulls have lost 4 straight but they have proven their competitive ability recently against top tier teams like Indiana and Toronto losing hard fought closely contested affairs by 3 and 6 points respectively, and have the ability to keep this game close as well and get us the cover via a physical defence that is improving significantly of late as is evident by holding 5 of their L/9 opponents under 96 points or less.

The Trailblazers are 0-12 ATS and 3-9 SU off a game as a favorite in which they scored fewer than 10 fast break points  ad all 3 wins came by 4 points or less.The Bulls are 14-1-1 ATS L/16  off a 10+ loss in a home game when they lost 3 straight vs current opponent and they won 10 of those games SU with only 1 loss coming by more than 9 points. 

CHICAGO is 21-8 ATS when the total is 200 to 209.5 over the last 2 seasons.

Play on the Chicago Bulls to cover 

The Jazz come home off a 4 game road trip on tired and legs and in an emotional letdown spot after playing the Milwaukee Bucks last time out and losing 114-102. That  after putting up a solid fight for the first 3 quarters before being out scored 30-16 in the final period. Meanwhile, Orlando will be ready to compete in desperation mode after 3 straight ugly road losses. Note: NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (ORLANDO) - in non-conference games, off 3 or more consecutive road losses are 34-8 ATS L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate. 

Magic are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games playing on 1 days rest.Jazz are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400

The Magic are 15-0 ATS L/15 as a road 8+ dog with less than two days rest after playing as a road dog when they are off two games in which they allowed 100+ points and it is before the All-Star break. The Magic are 8-0 ATS as a road 8+ dog after playing as a road dog facing an opponent taking more than 30 percent of their shots from beyond the arc with non of the 6 SU losses coming by more than 7 points. 

The Jazz are 0-8-1 ATS at home with rest off a 10+ loss in a road game facing an opponent averaging more than 24 assists per game and lost 7 of those games SU. 

 Play on Orlando to cover 

This line according to my numbers is bloated considering the Dallas Mavs current form that has seen them lose  three straight and 11 of 14 and are banged up with their star guard Luka Doncic dealing with a nagging back issue. That  is not a good  omen for the home team playing their 6th game in 10 nights and having struggled against  Phoenix  in the recent past going just  0-5 against Suns while  scoring an average of just 93 points a game .DALLAS is 7-17 ATS when playing 6 or more games in 10 days over the last 2 seasons.DALLAS is 8-18 ATS versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Play on Phoenix Suns to cover ( LATE STEAM)

The 76ers smashed the visiting Wizards 132-115 on Tuesday night and now the Wizards  have revenge on board.Washington has won four of its past five at home and are playing their best ball there despite of being without star John Wall.Tonight Im betting they make life difficult for the 76ers and get us the cover. 

PHILADELPHIA is 3-11 ATS  after 2 or more consecutive wins this season. 

The 76ers are 0-18 ATS and 1-17 SU L/18 when the line is within 3 of pick  on the opening line off a win as a favorite when they are facing an opponent averaging less than 10 offensive rebounds. The one victory for the 76ers came by just 2 points. 

NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (PHILADELPHIA) - after having won 4 of their last 5 games, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a losing record are 55-100 L/5 seasons for a go against 65% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on Washington Wizards to cover 

Kansas State has revenge on board for two ugly losses to West Virginia  last season by 12 points at Manhattan  and 38 in the rematch at Morgantown. The Wildcats lost last week at home to Texas in their home opener, but will be very prepared to revenge those above mentioned losses making them a good team to back here. It must also be noted that Huggins is 8-82-1 ATS in SU conference losses against vs opponents looking for revenge .Weber is 20-10 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less or pick as the coach of KANSAS ST.

Play on Kansas State to cover 

Houston, which has won its first 15 games to open the season and is one of only three undefeated teams remaining in the nation, enters Wednesday's game on the heels of a 90-77 win over Memphis on Sunday inside the Fertitta Center.The Cougars are in top 10 nationally in multiple defensive categories, including opponents' field goal percentage (36.2, second), opponents' 3-point field goal percentage (26.4, fifth), and scoring defense (59.2 points per game, seventh).Houston is playing its first road game since Dec. 8, a 10-point victory at Oklahoma State. This version of the Houston hoops program Im betting is a special group, and will be as dangerous on the road as they are at home.Temple and Houston are meeting for the ninth time, with the Cougars holding a 6-2 lead in the series. Houston swept the Owls last season, including an 80-59 victory in Philadelphia and get the nod again.

HOUSTON is 9-2 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game this season.

HOUSTON is 8-1 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons.Sampson is 18-4 ATS off 2 or more consecutive home wins as the coach of HOUSTON.

Play on Houston to cover

Play on Houston to cover 

Vanderbilt according to my power rankings matches up well here in this SEC tilt, and while its never easy winning on the road in this conference very much have an edge and upset possibilities attached to them vs a Georgia team that was annihilated vs Tennessee last time out by a 96-50 count as 13.5 point dogs. It must be noted that  Georgia's HC Crean is 0-7 ATS L/7 after trailing in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half in all games he has coached which was the case last time out. Hey folks I know this is a young Vanderbilt group, but they have a kid by the name  of Shittu  who was named the conference's Freshman of the Week who balances a team with alot of chemistry. 

Nine Commodores have scored in double figures in a game so far this season and Vanderbilt's average height is (6 feet, 5 inches) and ranks 17th nationally according to KenPom. 

Play on Vanderbilt to cover 

Oklahoma are off a hard fought win vs instate rivals Oklahoma State last time out  and will now be in a letdown situation against a strong Texas Tech side, that has just one loss this season and that was to Duke in a game that they were very competitive. Texas Tech is a perfect 9-0 this season at home , but just 3-6 ATS thanks to bloated public trap lines associated with their top tier play. But today at around 6 points we have enough value to believe that the RedRaiders have a number that they can cover against. The Red Raiders and Sooners have split the last three seasons with the home team winning the last six matchups (rinse and repeat option is on board here).

Difference maker: Texas Tech’s defense is operating at an all time optimal historic level. It has an adjusted defensive efficiency of 83.5, which includes an astronomical field goal defense. Teams are averaging less 1 point per possession and only one opponent has surpassed 0.9 PPP. 

OKLAHOMA is 2-9 ATS in road games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.OKLAHOMA is 0-7 ATS off a home win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons and is  is 0-6 ATS in road games off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons. 

TEXAS TECH is 16-7 ATS  versus good shooting teams - making 45% or better of their shots over the last 2 seasons. 

TEXAS TECH is 17-4 ATS in home games after failing to cover 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread .

CBB Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (TEXAS TECH) - cold team - failing to cover 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread, in a game involving two top-level teams (80% or better ) are  83-43 ATS L/L/22 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on Texas Tech to cover 

Purdue's Carsen Edwards, who is leading the Big Ten in scoring at 25.5 points per game comes to town looking to help his Boilermakers upset Big 10 power house Michigan State tonight, and  whether Purdue turns the trick or not Im betting there is value on this line with the  visiting underdog. Note: MICHIGAN ST is 4-14 ATS L/18 off 2 straight wins against conference rivals over the last 3 seasons. 

We all know physical Michigan State is , and how tough they are under the glass,  and Purdue can't match that, but the Spartans have a tendency to run and gun with reckless abandon, and the Boilermakers are a team that can make them pay in transition. PURDUE is 10-2 ATS  vs. dominant rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 7+ per game over the last 3 seasons.

injury update: Michigan State  is going to play a third straight games without junior guard Joshua Langford due to an ankle injury . He is a big part of  the Spartans' top tier junior class, as he  averages 15 points per game and will be missed against this type of opponent. 

PURDUE is 9-2 ATS  when the total is 150 to 159.5 over the last 2 seasons. 

Play on Purdue to cover 

The Thunder have revenge on board for a loss they suffered to the Wolves earlier this season just before Christmas here in Oklahoma City, and  are also off an embarrassing home loss to Washington last time out and will want to bounce back in a way to get back some lost respect. Note: NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (OKLAHOMA CITY) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a home favorite are 36-5 L/5 seasons and a perfect 4-0 this season.

The Thunder are 9-1 SU with same season revenge for a loss vs the Wolves and a perfect 6-0 SUATS when they have a win percentage of .450 or better. 

The Thunder are 18-0 ATS /SU as a home 8+ favorite off a game as a favorite after rebounding less than 20% of their own misses and it is before the All-Star break with every win coming by DDs.

The Timberwolves are 0-12-1 ATS 0-13 SU as a 8+ dog off a win facing an opponent averaging more than 12 offensive rebounds.

Play on Oklahoma  City to cover 

Iowa State is off a huge win vs Kansas last time out, and will now be in a letdown situation here at Baylor tonight.  Iowa State is not a very physical team,which will be an issue in a bad matchup for them here.Quote:Prohm said the Bears "bring a lot of challenges with their physicality and their size upfront, tremendous rebounding team, that's going to be a huge key to the game."END QUOTE.   With that said, Im betting Baylor a side that is holding opponents to 39.6 percent from the field, including 32 percent from 3-point range behind a 4 guard scheme and a complimentary bevy of big men will give the Cyclones fits here . 

IOWA ST is 5-17 ATS L/22 as a road favorite of 3 points or less or pick. Baylor is 12-2 SU L/14 overall in this series and 2-0 SU L/2 here at home vs Iowa St.

Play on Baylor to cover 

After setting a school record with 15 MAAC wins a season ago, this year's Griffs kept the winning ways going in conference play last weekend with road wins at Marist and Siena. tonight Im betting the Griffs close out their non conference schedule with another win vs Brown tonight . Note:CANISIUS is 12-2 ATS  when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons and is 13-4 ATS after playing 2 consecutive road games over the last 3 seasons. 

Play on Canisius to cover 

My matchup stats tell me these teams are pretty evenly matched MAC opponents and Im betting we have value on this line with a underdog that had won 10 straight times prior to a loss vs Ball State last time out and that has revenge on board for a loss they suffered last season to Buffalo that kept them out of post season play. Toldeo has experience with 4 of their 7 top guys back from last year, and must not be underestimated to keep this game close and maybe..... just maybe pull off an upset. 

CBB underdog (TOLEDO) - off a loss by 10 points or more to a conference rival against opponent after 2 straight covers as a double digit favorite are 112-61 ATS L/22 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. 

Play on Toledo to cover 

The Lakers like other teams Super Star LeBron James has been on in the recent past get used to him controlling their games, and when their super star quarter back is out, those teams tank. James has missed 21 games over the last few seasons , and when he's out they have proven to be bad bets going  3-18 SUATS . The Lakers proved this correct when they got completely steam rolled by Minnesota yesterday afternoon in a road game. Now on tired legs they go against a Dallas team that plays their best hoops at home, as is evident by a 15-3 record  as hosts that has seen them win 13 of their last 14  here at American Airlines Center. With the Cavs having revenge on board for a DD loss the last time these teams played back in LA 114-103  on Nov 30 they look like solid bets as single digit home favs. Note:DALLAS is 8-1 ATS  in home games revenging a road loss vs opponent this season and from a league wide trend NBA teams favs of  3.5 to 9.5 points (DALLAS) - revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, off 2 or more consecutive road losses , are 32-9 ATS L/5 seasons for a 78% Conversion rate for bettors.Dallas is also 9-1 SU /8-2 ATS L/10 as a host in this series.

The Lakers are 0-11-1 ATS/ 0-12 SU off a loss as a dog when their opponent is seeking same season revenge for a loss on the road and it is before the All-Star break with the average margin of fefeat coming by 16.3 ppg. 

LA LAKERS are 5-15 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record this season.DALLAS is 12-4 ATS in home games versus teams who make 6 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season.

Play on Dallas to cover 

Houston had a six-game winning streak come to an  abrupt end  this past Saturday as they  lost for just the second time in 11 tilts last time out vs Portland. Meanwhile, Denver is off a DD 123-110 victory at home at the Pepsi Center last time out,  vs Charlotte. Note: DENVER is 9-19 ATS in road games after playing a home game over the last 2 seasons and is 2-10 ATS after a combined score of 225 points or more this season and is 7-20 ATS after scoring 120 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

DENVER is also 8-18 ATS  against Southwest division opponents over the last 2 seasons and are at a disadvantage vs a Houston team that plays their best ball at home as is evident by a 13-5 and 12-6 record as hosts.

The Rockets took out the Nuggets with  a 109-99 win at Denver on Nov. 13 that extended Houston's winning streak in the series to eight straight. Im betting on it being 9 after tonight. 

The Rockets are 12-0 ATS SU/ATS as a favorite off a road game in which their points decreased by at least 25 from the game before and it is before the All-Star break and   are 12-0 SU/ATS  facing an opponent averaging less than 16 percent of points off free throws.

NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (DENVER) - revenging a home loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, off a home win by 10 points or more are 44-216 L/22 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. 

Play on the Houston Rockets to cover 

 NATIONAL CHAMPIONSHIP GAME - Levi's Stadium - Santa Clara, CA

Alabama has gone 14-0 SU against the nation's No. 23 schedule while Clemson' is 14-0 record has come against the nation's No. 32-ranked schedule  Alabama has won 16 straight tilts  while Clemson has won 14 in-a-row. According to my data, and power rankings these teams are evenly matched from an overall perspective and Im betting the points will be golden here in the National Championship game. 

ALABAMA is 0-6 ATS  in road games versus excellent rushing teams - averaging 230 rushing or more yards/game over the last 2 seasons. CLEMSON is 8-1 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.Swinney is 11-1 ATS in road games vs. excellent teams - outscoring opponents by 17+ PPG on the season as the coach of CLEMSON. 

CFB Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (CLEMSON) - in a game involving two dominant teams (outgaining opponents by 100+ YPG), after gaining 525 or more total yards in their previous game are 38-12 ATS L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Clemson to cover 

Pittsburgh has won eight straight and 10 of its past 11 games, most recently a 4-0 win Friday over Winnipeg....to surge into a points tie with Washington atop the Metropolitan Division, but as like everything in life all good and bad things must come to end. Tonight Im betting a Chicago team that does not inspire bettors to upset the Pens to end their win streak on a value situation. Nobody understands anomalies and certain matchup discrepancies, but for whatever reason the Blackhawks have owned the Pens for a long time now and have won 10 of their L/11 meetings overall 5 in a row and 4 in a row in Pittsburgh . Whether its physiological or note is not is something I can't delve into here, but getting an edge whenever is possible is how I attack all wagering situations, and tonight we have such a situation. Im betting if the Pens win it wont come easily giving us value on the puckline.

Play on the Chicago Blackhawks to win on the puckline

The Raptors looked very good and worked very hard in a win vs the Milwaukee Bucks last night on the road and notched a impressive win. However, after playing that kind of gruelling physical affair  on the road  and now on tired legs Im betting they will have a problem performing at an optimal level against vs the most under rated team in the NBA ( Indiana Pacers) according to my power rankings assessment charts. It must also be noted that Raptors Kawhi Leonard played 38 minutes last night, and after suffering through numerous injuries, in his career Im sure the coaching staff will be careful with his minutes tonight, and that also gives us an edge with the Pacers. In the most recent meeting in this series here in Toronto back on Dec 19 the Raps were fortunate to get the victory in a 99-96 smash mouth affair, and tonight look for the fresher legs of the visitor and their scorching defence ranked No.1 in points allowed to be the difference maker here. Also from a SRS head to head matchup scenario that tells us the Raptors are ranked 5th with a 4.80 numerical rating, and the Pacers 6th ranking 4.60 , we have a pickem situation, even with home court advantage thrown in. Add to that a fatigue factor ratio , and we have a upset situation edge. Nothings a sure bet , but I like the edge we have here getting points with this live dog. Note: SRS Is a Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average.

Raptors are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win.

Raptors are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up win.Pacers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Pacers are 21-8 ATS in their last 29 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Play on Indiana to cover .

Indiana to cover 

Washington is just 4-17 SU on the road this season, dropping eight consecutive games away from Capital One Arena and while I  rarely ever  lay DDs with any team, the odd circumstance offers up value. With that said, this  tilt here in Oklahoma City is one of them.  The Wizards  continued road futility, and a banged up lineup makes them fade material even on a DD line. Note: The visitors are  playing without key cog John Wall ( out for season) arguably the teams best player and are also saddled with the  absence of power forward Markieff Morris who is also out with an injury. Streaky super star Westbrook broke out with a 32 point performance last time out, and will be licking his chops with anticipation here . 

Oklahoma City matches up very well vs the Wizards as was evident in a 134-111 beatdown win by the Thunder as road 3.5 point road dogs on Dec 11 of this season.

Thunder are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 vs. NBA Southeast.Wizards are 0-3-1 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Oklahoma City.

WASHINGTON is 1-8 ATS  in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season Opp. 123.2  Wizards 106.6  for a consistent DD trend presenting itself and is is 3-11 ATS overall as a road underdog this season with the average point differential margin clicking in at 13.5 ppg. 

NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (WASHINGTON) - revenging a home blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more against opponent off a road win are just 1-25 SU L/5 seasons for a 96% conversion rate with the average margin of defeat coming by 11.1 ppg. 

Play on Oklahoma City  to cover 

The Philadelphia Eagles had to over come alot of struggles this season, to have a chance to defend their super bowl title and make it to the play offs. But now a new season begins here in the play offs vs a public sweet heart that has a lineup filled with players that generally has very little post season NFL experience. I know the Bears had a tremendous season, but under pressure vs a side that knows how to win big games  Im betting they are in trouble. Public money poured in on the Bears from the out set of the opening line, but sharp money has stormed back behind the Eagles and with that  I recommend we take the points here. 

PHILADELPHIA is 8-1 ATS versus good rushing defenses - allowing 90 or less rushing yards/game over the last 3 seasons. 

NFL Road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (PHILADELPHIA) - good passing team - with a completion pct of 60% or better, after gaining 6.75 or more passing yards/attempt in 4 straight games are 26-8 ATS L/10 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Philadelphia Eagles to cover 

South Dakota State is 11-6 overall and 1-1 in Summit League play. The preseason favorites, SDSU has opened league play with three-straight games on the road, concluding with Sunday's contest, and will be on tired legs here vs South Dakota, 7-8 on the season and 1-1 in Summit League play, and fresh off a win vs Denver.

Instate rivals playing different styles of basketball do battle here in a game I have pegged to be closely contested. When tilts like this go down.... records go out the window. 



S DAKOTA is 7-0 ATS in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.S DAKOTA is 12-1 ATS in home games versus excellent ball handling teams - committing 12 or less turnovers/game after 15+ games since 1997. S DAKOTA is 8-1 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.S DAKOTA is 14-1 ATS as a home underdog of 6 points or less or pick since 1997.S DAKOTA is 7-0 ATS as a home underdog of 3.5 to 6 points since 1997.

CBB road team (S DAKOTA ST) - after 3 or more consecutive overs, an excellent offensive team (76 or better PPG) against a good defensive team (63-67 PPG) are 53-25 ATS L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on South Dakota to cover

Ravens league leading defence matches up well vs the Chargers offence as was evident only two weeks when they beat the Chargers in LA by a 22-10 count. After some early public  money came in on the Chargers the line sits at around 2.5 and is a viable option if we are backing Baltimore at home where they are 6-2 this season. 

LA CHARGERS is 0-6 ATS after playing their last game on the road this season.

Ravens are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 playoff games.Ravens are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 Wildcard games.

NFL Home favorites vs. the money line (BALTIMORE) - mistake-free team (1.25 or less TO/game committed) against a team with 1.25 or more  TO/game forced, after a game with a turnover margin of +2 or better are 54-5 SU L/10 seasons for a 92% conversion rate and a perfect 9-0 this season for a 100% conversion rate. 

NFL Favorites (BALTIMORE) - after having won 3 out of their last 4 games against opponent hot team, after having won 8 or more out of their last 10 games are 30-8 ATSL/10 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Baltimore Ravens to cover 

The Golden State Warriors and Sacramento Kings have in the recent past played closely contested affairs, with both meetings this season decided by scores of 130-125 and  117-116 home and away, and Im betting on another hard fought affair here with the getting points our very best option. 

GOLDEN STATE is 3-13 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season.he Warriors are 0-9 L/9 ATS  on the road with rest off a loss as a home favorite in which they had 3+ players with 20+ points . The Kings are 7-0 ATS  and 6-1 SU with less than two days rest off a home game facing an opponent getting less than 25 percent or their rebounds on the offensive end. The lone loss came to Golden State by a 130-125 loss as 5 point dogs. 

NBA Home teams (SACRAMENTO) - after 2 straight games - attempting 10+ less free throws than opponent against opponent after a game making 12 or more 3 point shots are 31-10 ATS L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors.  

Play on Sacramento to cover 

 Seattles HC Pete Carroll always gets my respect, and in a key game like this Im betting his football knowledge and coaching abilities will help his hard nosed blue collar group come out on top and more importantly get us the cover vs a inconsistent Dallas crew. 

Dallas is 2-9 SU and 3-8 ATS record in the playoffs since 1997.Carroll is 14-5 ATS  against NFC East division opponents as the coach of SEATTLE. Carroll is 37-23 ATS as an underdog as the coach of SEATTLE. HC Garrett is 28-40 ATS in home games as the coach of DALLAS.Garrett is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home games vs. poor kickoff coverage teams, allowing 24 or more yards per return in the second half of the season as the coach of DALLAS. 

SEATTLE is 7-1 ATS vs. excellent passing teams with a completion pct. of 64% or better this season and is 8-2 ATS versus good offensive teams - averaging 5.65 or more yards/play this season. 

NFL Road teams (SEATTLE) - mistake-free team (1.25  or lessTO/G committed) vs a team with 1.25 or less TO/G forced after 8+ games, after 4 consecutive games where they committed 1 or less turnovers are 29-9 L/36 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Seattle to cover 

 EKU is pulling down 36 rebounds per game and will give the Racers a run for their money under the basket and in the paint, and must not be under rated in their ability to cover here in enemy territory.

E KENTUCKY is 32-12 ATS in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing 64 points/game or less since 1997. E KENTUCKY is 8-1 ATS  in road games vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72%  or more of their attempts over the last 2 seasons.MURRAY ST is 4-13 ATS  versus foul prone teams - called for 21 or more fouls/game over the last 3 seasons.

CBB Road underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (E KENTUCKY) - explosive offensive team - scoring 84+ points/game on the season, after a combined score of 165 points or more 2 straight games are 26-5 ATS L/5 seasons for a 84% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Eastern Kentucky to cover 

Wofford sits atop the SoCon standings with a perfect 3-0 league record and is 11-4 overall. The Terriers rank near the top in virtually every conference statistical category but Mercer must not be underestimate in their ability to cover here. Note: Under Coach Bob Hoffman, Mercer has won 203 games over the past 10-plus seasons (2008-09 to present) and are viable program with good work ethic and are never out of a game as has been the case in quite of few of their tilts this season.Team Statistics

WOFFORD is 1-8 ATS in home games after 2 consecutive conference games over the last 2 seasons

CBB Underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (MERCER) - off a loss by 10 points or more to a conference rival against opponent after 2 straight covers as a double digit favorite are 58-26 ATS for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Mercer to cover 

But No. 5 Kansas has owned that Big 12 championship pedigree for 14 consecutive seasons, so Iowa State and despite of up trending and looking very talented are not ready to upend this over powering hoops program just yet as their key weaknesses are just to  blatant  and will not serve them well vs this type of team no. matter how motivated they are.  Some of their problems come with their lack of being able to Draw foul as the Cyclones are a not a very physical team, ranking in the bottom half of the NCAA in offensive free-throw rate. In a game like this charity stripe shooting will be critical and despite of an aggressive run and gun mentality can't sink the downtown shots with consistency as Iowa State attempts an above average number of treys, but rank just 142nd in three-point accuracy at 35 percent.

KANSAS is 15-4 ATS in road games versus excellent teams - shooting 45% or better with a defense of 42% or better over the last 3 seasons.KANSAS is 8-1 ATS  in road games after having won 4 of their last 5 games over the last 2 seasons.

Play on Kansas to cover 

Houstons strength is stopping the run, but teams that can pass like the Colts are a more difficult type of opponent for the Texans. In the last meeting between these teams, Houston couldn't slow down Colts quarterback Andrew Luck and wide receiver T.Y. Hilton. Hilton had nine receptions for 199 yards, and Luck passed for 399 yards and two TDs in Indy's 24-21 win in Houston. A repeat type performance is not out of the question here and actually a high probability outcome according to my projections. 

HOUSTON is 1-9 ATS  vs. excellent punt coverage teams, allowing 7.5 or less yards per return in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

O'Brien is 0-6 ATS in home games after outgaining opp by 100 or more total yards in their previous game as the coach of HOUSTON.

NFL team vs the money line (INDIANAPOLIS) - good team (outgain opp. by 40-100 YPG) against an average team (+/- 40 YPG) after 8+ games, after gaining 375 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games are 42-6 SU L/5 seasons and a perfect 9-0 this season! 

Play on the Indianapolis to cover 

SIU E is playing pretty good basketball at the moment winning 3 straight games, ad despite of having a losing record so far , are up trending and viable underdogs according to my power charts in this tilt vs Eastern Illinois.

SIU EDWARDSVL is 22-10 ATS L/32  in road games in January games .E ILLINOIS is 9-21 ATS L/30 in home games after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games. 

Play on SIU Edwardsville to cover 

 The Ramblers know how to win on the road and  have won three straight and seven of their last eight MVC road tilts.Loyola, which through games of January 2 ranked 11th in the nation in scoring defense (59.5 ppg), has limited four straight opponents to fewer than 50 points are a dangerous matchup for Drake, 

LOYOLA-IL is 6-0 ATS in road games versus good passing teams, averaging 16 or more assists/game over the last 3 seasons. LOYOLA-IL is 11-3 ATS  vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% or more  of their attempts over the last 2 seasons and is is 9-2 ATS  in road games versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. 

CBB road team (LOYOLA-IL) - after allowing 55 points or less 4 straight games, with 2 more starters returning from last year than opponent are 24-5 ATS L/22 seasons for a 84% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Loyola Chicago to cover 

Indiana State  lost its opener on Wednesday, dropping a 79-44 contest at Loyola. The loss was ISU's second-straight as it finished the non-conference season with a defeat to TCU and enter this game looking a little bit ragged.  I know Bradley has also been inconsistent, but they matchup well vs the Sycamores, and in what is expected to be a close game have an edge behind, the second ranked charity stripe shooting in the MVC and 57th nationally with 313 free throw attempts this season.Bradley ranks 30th in the country with a free-throw rate of 43.1 percent (FTA/FGA), while placing 40th by scoring 22.6 percent of its points from the line.

INDIANA ST is 0-7 ATS  after playing 3 consecutive games as an underdog over the last 3 seasons. Lansing is 0-6 ATS  after trailing in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half as the coach of INDIANA ST.

CBB  underdog (BRADLEY) - after being beaten by the spread by 42 or more points total in their last five games are 248-173 L/5 seasons for a 59% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Bradley to cover 

Oklahoma State has been struggling to this point in the season, while their long time rivals the Sooners are looking like a future tournament team. However, everything goes out the window when these two instate enemies meet and Im expecting the Cowboys to stand tall and get us the cover vs a Sooners side off their first loss in 8 games. that loss was a hard a hard fought physical affair vs Kansas last time out and could easily see this group in a letdown spot here. 

This is the 237th Bedlam meeting, and the Cowboys have taken four of the last five, including the last two.

Note: With its win vs No. 19/21 LSU in November, Oklahoma State racked up its fifth victory over a ranked opponent in its last six opportunities. The Cowboys are one of just five teams in college basketball that can claim to have beaten five of their last six ranked opponents. 

CBB road underdogs of 10 or more points (OKLAHOMA ST) - cold team - failing to cover 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread against opponent hot team - covering 8 or more of their last 10 against the spread are 62-30 ATS L/22 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Oklahoma State to cover 

   Cleveland State took 319 free throws through 15 games, a mark that ranks among the top 40 in Division I. It is their ability to get to the charity stripe is what makes them dangerous underdogs in this spot. 

 CLEVELAND ST is 8-1 ATS  in road games when playing only their 3rd game in a week over the last 2 seasons. CLEVELAND ST is 17-4 ATS after playing a game as a road underdog over the last 2 seasons.CLEVELAND ST is 6-0 ATS  after 2 straight games giving up 9 or less offensive rebounds over the last 2 seasons.Felton is 18-3 ATS L/21 after failing to cover 4 of their last 5 against the spread in all games he has coached.

Play on Cleveland State to cover 

Fairfield faces the MAAC's top scoring tonight in Iona, which averages 77.8 points per game, after battling the second-highest scoring team in Rider (77.0) on Thursday evening. The Stags currently stand third in the MAAC for scoring average at 71.9 points every forty minutes and have the capabilities to hang here with Iona. 

IONA is 1-9 ATS in all lined games this season.

CBB home team (IONA) - after going over the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games, a bad team, winning 20% to 40% of their games on the season are 83-136 for a go against 62% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Fairfield to cover 

Oklahoma City (24-13) might have a better record than the Blazers,( 22-16)  but from a matchup perspective , the Blazers according to my head to head systems ratings offer up a huge amount of trouble for the Thunder. 

The Thunders top player Westbrook has has hands full going against Portland's Damian Lillard, who is having a career season offensively. He ranks eighth in the NBA in scoring at 26.7 points while shooting 45.2 percent from the field, 39.4 percent from 3-point range and 89.5 percent from the foul line, and Thunder also must contend with Portland center Jusuf Nurkic, who is coming off the best game of his career in a 113-108 overtime win over Sacramento on Tuesday.  Note:The Trailblazers are 17-3 ATS and 16-4 SU when the line is within 3 of pick after they had overtime which happened last time out. 

Thunder are 7-21 ATS in their last 28 vs. NBA Northwest.Thunder are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Trail Blazers are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Trail Blazers are 29-13 ATS in their last 42 home games.PORTLAND is 11-1 ATS  in home games after 3 or more consecutive unders over the last 3 seasons.PORTLAND is 15-5 ATS  in home games vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons. Portland is 4-0 SU/ATS L/4 at home in this series.Thunder are 0-6 ATS in the last 6 meetings.

The Thunder are 0-10 ATS/SU when the line is within 3 of pick off a game as a favorite after a win in which they trailed after the third which was the case last time out.The Trailblazers are 10-1 ATS/SU at home with more than one day of rest facing an opponent averaging more than 45 rebounds per game.

Play on the Portland Blazers to cover 

The Lakers are a banged up team, with their key super star LeBron James out with an injury, and will will also go without Kyle Kuzma ( back) and Rajon Rondo. I know the Knicks wont inspire bettors, but they actually have an opportunity to compete and pull off an upset here vs this short handed group tonight according to my current matchup projections based on both teams existing lineups. It must also be noted that the Lakers took part in a gruelling 107-100 loss last time out where numerous lead changes took place and will now be in an emotional letdown situation, and probably less than motivated taking on a lower tier team, that they could easily overlook. Note: The Lakers are 3-19 ATS L/21 and 2-20 SU with rest off a loss as a home dog after a game that was tied 5+ times and 0-8 ATS SU L/8  at home off a home game after a game that was tied 5+ times.

LA LAKERS are 5-13 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record this season and are 2-10 ATS  versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game this season. The Knicks are 6-0 ATS L/6 with more than one day of rest off a loss in a road game facing an opponent with an assist-to-turnover ratio greater than 1.5 and it is before the All-Star break.

NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (NEW YORK) - in non-conference games, off 3 or more consecutive road losses are 33-8 ATS L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the NY Knicks to cover 

All my college Hoops selections both totals and sides are based on a extensive data base of current stats past trends, and  overall head to head team system and player vs player  analysis as well as coaching tendencies when certain circumstances and matchup situations arise. No stone has been left unturned in the process of delivering winners to my clients, including injury reports, line moves and travel situations associated with both fatigue factors and freshness. Because of extensive betting opportunities associated with the large number of games, there are certain days when individual analysis is not included. Thank you and God Bless . Alex Smart 

Northern Arizona to cover 

 USF had a 5 game win streak abruptly end last time out vs Santa Barbara 73-71 and will now be in a  letdown situation here after that hard fought loss, and now going against another tough opponent in. St.Marys. This may not be the same kind of potent team that HC Randy Bennett has had in the past but this still must not be under estimated in their ability to pull off an upset and are still ranked No.44 in the KenPom rankings behind one of the slowest and most methodical paces in the league, ,something this version of the Dons will not enjoy playing against. 

Play on St.Marys to cover 

Toronto has been erratic in their play of late,  especially as far as converting for their betting backers is concerned as they are just 5-14 ATS L/19 overall including  1-4 SU/ 0-5 ATS L/5 on the road.  Injuries have played a role in the Raptors current state, as key contributor Kyle Lowry remains sidelined and is not expect to play tonight, and also some bloated lines because of their obvious big time superiority on the east. Do not get me wrong, the Raptors are still a talented team with a lot of depth, but here tonight on the road, vs a up trending  San Antonio side that has cashed 11 of their L/13 overall Im betting the Dinos are in trouble. San Antonio is 17-4 L/21 here vs the Raptors and 2-0 SU/ATS here in Texas in their most recent meetings and get the nod again.

Im not going to delve into the Kawhi Leonard / DeMar DeRozen trade because these teams, because I don't believe it will be a deciding factor for which side wins here tonight. 

SAN ANTONIO is 16-4 ATS  at home when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons. ANTONIO is 12-1 ATS  in home games after covering 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread over the last 3 seasons

SAN ANTONIO is 14-3 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 46% or less of their shots this season and  13-4 ATS  versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game this season. 

NBA Underdogs vs the money line (TORONTO) - after going over the total by more than 18 points in their previous game, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 15-69 SU L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate fro bettors. 

NBA Underdogs (TORONTO) - after going over the total by more than 18 points in their previous game, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 23-58 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. 

Play on San Antonio. to cover 

Even though Southern is on the road, they are according to my power ranking strong candidates to pull off an upset here this Thursday night . Yes, I know that Texas  State has looked strong so far this season, behind a  experienced roster, but Im betting they will have their hands full vs a. side that is aiming directly at the giant target on their backs. 

TEXAS ST is 2-10 ATS L/10  in home games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game.TEXAS ST is 1-8 ATS in home games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons. 

Play on Georgia Southern to cover 

 Green Bay enters the game with a 7-7 overall record and a 1-0 mark in the Horizon League and are according to my numbers not a solid 12.5 point favorite not even vs struggling  Youngstown State. 

CBB team (YOUNGSTOWN ST) - a good offensive team (74-78 PPG) against a horrible defensive team (78 or more PPG), after a close loss by 3 points or less are 88-48 ATS L/22 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Youngstown State to cover 

All my college Hoops selections both totals and sides are based on a extensive data base of current stats past trends, and  overall head to head team system and player vs player  analysis as well as coaching tendencies when certain circumstances and matchup situations arise. No stone has been left unturned in the process of delivering winners to my clients, including injury reports, line moves and travel situations associated with both fatigue factors and freshness. Because of extensive betting opportunities associated with the large number of games, there are certain days when individual analysis is not included. Thank you and God Bless . Alex Smart 

Cleveland State to cover 

The Wolverines host Penn State on Thursday. Michigan (13-0) is one of four teams nationally that reached New Year's Day undefeated.The Wolverines have won 27 of their last 28 games, with the lone loss coming in last year's national championship against Villanova and their extremely hard to beat at home where they have also won 27 of their L/28 .I know Penn State at 7-6 might not inspire bettors but this line is bloated according to my projections and we have value taking the visitor in what Im betting will be a hard fought conference affair. The public is all over the Wolverines, but as part of a long term go against the public system that has cashed at a 68% clip  for me over a 168 game sample size I recommend we take the points in this spot.

PENN ST is 16-7 ATS versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.MICHIGAN is 0-6 ATS  as a home favorite of 10 or more points this season. Beilein is 2-9 ATS in home games after 8 or more consecutive wins as the coach of MICHIGAN.

Play on Penn State to cover 

 After opening Colonial Athletic Association play 2-0 with a pair of home wins last week,  W&Mary have now won  4 of their L/5 games and are currently firing on all cylinders. For the second time this season, freshman Chase Audige was named the CAA Rookie of the Week on Monday. He averaged 16 points, four assists, three rebounds, 1.5 steals and 1.5 blocked shots per game, while shooting 60 percent from the field and 66.7 percent from 3 last week and will be a difference maker here this evening vs inconsistent Delaware side.

Defense has been a key to W&M's 2-0 start in CAA play. In league action, the Tribe ranks second in defensive efficiency (101.8), turnover rate (20.4) and 3-point percentage (30.3).

WM& MARY has won and covered 4 straight games in this series.

WM & MARY is 21-8 ATS in road games after playing 2 consecutive games as a home favorite .WM & MARY is 33-14 ATS after 2 straight games where they made 10 or more 3 point shots.

Shaver is 11-3 ATS in road games after 4 straight games committing 11 or less turnovers as the coach of WM & MARY.

Play on William Mary to cover 

The Raiders, 7-8 and 1-1, dropped the Horizon League opener to UIC in overtime 75-72 before bouncing back to defeat IUPUI 72-64 Sunday afternoon and enter this game with momentum as  they go against the Detroit Mercy Titans (5-9 ) a side that won twice last week at Youngstown State 78-66 and at Cleveland State 73-61 to open their Horizon League schedule after dropping the final six non-conference games. UDM was tabbed to finish tenth in the pre-season Horizon League poll under first-year head coach Mike Davis and according to my head to matchup stats do not matchup well vs the Raiders.

Wright State is 4-0 SU/ATS L/4 meetings in this series.

DETROIT is 11-26 ATS off a road win by 10 points or more.

Play on Wright State to cover 

 As it has numerous times this season,  a young but talented Mercer battled back from a double digit deficit to position themselves for a big comeback victory only to come up short in losing 71-67 to Harvard in a neutral site game played Dec. 28 at Atlanta's State Farm Arena. Mercer has been very competitive despite of a negative record and must be respected here as dogs , Yes even against a Furman team that has been one of the most impressive teams in the SoCon thus far this season.

MERCER is 11-2 ATS  versus teams who average 9 or more steals/game on the season.MERCER is 11-3 ATS in road games after 1 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons. 

Play on Mercer to cover 

Illinois Im betting has the ability to make life rough for a top shelf Indiana hoops program in this tilt that to their ability to play a strong brand of pressure defence that eads the Big Ten in forcing turnovers (18.4 per game). Meanwhile Indiana leads the Big Ten in committing turnovers (14.5 per game). I know Illinois will not inspire bettors, but there is actually line value here with Illinois and this I'm recommending we take the points in this conference matchup. 

Play on Illinois to cover 

Utah State is off to its best start under a first-year head coach in school history as Craig Smith has led the Aggies to a 10-3 record over their opening 13 games. They will have their hands full with undefeated Nevada tonight, but this number Im betting is slightly bloated giving us an edge with a value line to buy into.Utah State has held four opponents to their lowest shooting percentages of the year, including Saint Mary's (.290), Northern Iowa (.310), Alabama State (.207) and Houston (.317) and  have scored more points in the paint than its opponents in all but two games this season and this combo of hard working traits Im betting will  make them competitive in this road game . 

Utah State leads the Mountain West in nine statistics, including scoring defense (64.8), scoring margin (+16.5), free throw percentage (.764), field goal percentage defense (.359), rebounding offense (42.4), rebounding margin (+11.6), assists (16.2), defensive rebounds (31.4) and defensive rebound percentage (.786).

Play on Utah State to cover 

This Air Force team is very under rated in my humble opinion and  have more height, inside scoring ability and quickness than any other group HC Pilipovich has coached. Air Force has played Michigan , Villanova, North Carolina , and Colorado, and despite of losing all by DDs, did not look out of place and looked pretty good to me. Now against less formidable competition in New Mexico on their own home court Im betting their ready to compete and grab a win to open up Mountain West Conference play. Note: New Mexico's Key transfer JaQuan Lyle is out for the season with an Achilles injury and former McDonald’s All-American Carlton Bragg wasn’t cleared by the NCAA until mid-December.

AIR FORCE is 6-0 ATS  in home games when playing only their 2nd game in 8 days over the last 2 seasons.AIR FORCE is 12-3 ATS  in all home games over the last 2 seasons.

Weir is 0-7 ATS  versus struggling  pressure defensive teams - forcing 12or less turnovers/game as the coach of NEW MEXICO. Pilipovich is 26-16 ATS as a home underdog or pick as the coach of AIR FORCE.

Play on Air Force to cover 

Chicago is playing some competitive basketball of late winning 3 of their L/5 straight up while covering 4 of those games. Now tonight vs a Orlando team expected to play without starting point guard D.J. Augustin and backup Jonathon Simmons after each sustained ankle injuries they are at a disadvantage here on the road. Ever since  Coach Jim Boylen,  took over the team from  the fired Fred Hoiberg, the Bulls are playing a physical grinding style of offense that is led by guard Zach LaVine, averaging 23.5 points per game  and must not be underestimated in their new system. HC Boylen was QUOTED:"We're playing the way I think we have to play for us to have a chance to win. We are going to get a defensive mentality in this program first, and then we're going to work on the rest of it. And as we grow together, we get healthy together, I'm confident the offense will come"END QUOTE:. With that said, I like the way the Bulls matchup here and Ill lay the short chalk in their support. 

Chicago is 6-0 SU L/6 at home in this series dating back to the 2015 season. 

ORLANDO is 15-28 ATS  when playing against a struggling team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) over the last 3 seasons. CHICAGO is 19-5 ATS  against Southeast division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Road underdogs (ORLANDO) - after a road game where both teams score 100 or more points, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a losing team are 16-45 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Chicago to cover 

Tulsa at 10-3 and Houston at 13-0 are two teams that must be respected. Im sure Tulsa however, is feeling disrespected by this line. TU has won five straight games and is coming off a 69-59 win over Oral Roberts on Dec. 22 at the Mabee Center. 

  The Canes  lost to Nevada by 10, and on the road to Utah by 5, and have not lost any of their games by this margin this season, and Im betting they cover again vs a good but slightly over rated Cougars team. Snapping  Houston's 26-game home winning streak, which currently is the longest in Division I does not look viable but as far as Im concerend covering does look like a solid opportunity.

TULSA is 6-0 ATS  versus good defensive teams - allowing 64 or less points/game over the last 2 seasons. 

TULSA is 14-5 ATS as an underdog over the last 2 seasons. 

Play on Tulsa to cover 

The Mavericks despite of playing much improved hoops this season , are  a team currently struggling desperate for a win away from home . With that said, Im betting  they will be hell bent on trying to snap a nine-game road losing streak in a place Charlotte where they have covered their L/2 visits .  Note: The road team has snatched five of the last six in the series, with Dallas earning a 115-111 win at Charlotte last season. All good bad runs must come to an end, and Im betting the Mavs current run of road futility ends tonight. 

Mavericks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up loss.( the Mavs lost vs Ok St last time out by DDs )Mavericks are 19-0 ATS/18-1 SU when the line is within three of pick off a loss as a underdog when they allowed 100+ points in each of their last two games and it is before the All-Star break with the only loss coming by just 1 point. DALLAS is 20-6 ATS  after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons

Hornets are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Hornets are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games overall.Hornets are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.Hornets are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Hornets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win.Hornets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.Hornets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points.Hornets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. Western Conference.Hornets are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.

CHARLOTTE is 7-17 ATS  at home when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons.

Play on Dallas to cover 

Harvard  must not be underestimated in their ability to cover here vs a North Carolina hoops program as they returned 99.4 percent of its scoring and 99.0 percent of its minutes from last year's squad, which captured the program's sixth Ivy League championship and made its second-ever appearance in the NIT. Showcasing its depth, 10 different Harvard players have started a game in 2018-19 and 11 players are averaging at least nine minutes per game. Im betting they compete and play hard here and use their top tier IQs to make sure mistakes are kept to a minimum.Note: Harvard is 8-4 against ACC teams in the Tommy Amaker era.Note: HARVARD is 11-2 ATS as a road underdog or pick over the last 2 seasons. 

HARVARD is 6-0 ATS  when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) over the last 2 seasons and  is 7-0 ATS versus excellent teams - shooting 45% or better  with a defense of 42%  or less over the last 3 seasons.HARVARD is 15-2 ATS (+12.8 Units) versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 37% or better of their attempts over the last 3 seasons.HARVARD is 15-3 ATS L/18 in road games versus teams who average 40 or more rebounds/game on the season. 

Harvard to cover 

The Sixers looked flat without Joel Embiid in the lineup last time out in at lopsided loss to Portland and will look to bounce back with him expected to play tonight despite of a questionable status. He is really a game changer and a difference maker for the Sixers. The 76ers are 9-0 ATS/SU in franchise history off a road loss in which Ben Simmons had a plus/minus at least ten points better than the team which happened in that game vs Portland last time out. Just like the Sixers, the Clippers will enter Tuesday's game coming off a loss losing 122-111 to the San Antonio Spurs, in a game when Williams was held to 16 points .  Their energy levels looked weak which is a troubling factor for them going forward and especially tonight. 

PHILADELPHIA is 25-8 ATS  after 2 consecutive non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.PHILADELPHIA is 24-8 ATS off a road loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons. 

Play on the 76ers to cover 

Detroit is desperate for a win, after a heart breaking loss to Orlando on a last second buzzer beater.  Following a previous loss to the Pacers -- a 125-88 beatdown -- the Pistons  had  a players-only meeting to clear the air and hopefully find a way to get on track. Now with them at their very lowest point, Im expecting an extremely motivated effort vs a strong Milwaukee side that wont be overly motivated to take them on. 

 DETROIT is 14-6 ATS  versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 or less free throws/game this season.MILWAUKEE is 23-48 ATS   L/71 as a favorite of 10 or more points.

Bucks are 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points.Bucks are 5-16 ATS in their last 21 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game.Bucks are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 Tuesday games.

The Bucks are 0-19 ATS as a 8-plus point favorite off a home game when their opponent is seeking same-season revenge for a loss at home , they were 14-5 SU in those games but none  of the victories came by more than 8 points.

NBA Home favorites of 10 or more points (MILWAUKEE) - explosive offensive team - scoring 103+ points/game on the season, on Tuesday nights are 19-48 ATS L/5 seasons L/22 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors.

Take the points with the Pistons 

St.Johns enters this game against Marquette of their first loss of the season vs Seton Hall last time out. But it was a fragrant ugly  call that gave them that loss. The Conference admitted that officials made a erroneous call when an inadvertant whistle led to Seton Hall getting the ball down one with 3.1 seconds left on the game clock. Shavar Reynolds' 3-pointer beat the buzzer and delivered St. John's its first defeat of the season. Now with a chip on their shoulder St.Johns looks to rebound, and notch a win. I know the Golden Eagles have won eight straight games overall but this is just their second true road game of the season -- their last road game ended in a blistering behind the wood shed  96-73 beatdown by Indiana back on Nov. 14.The Red Storm and Golden Eagles split the season a year ago, with each team winning on it's own court and Im betting the host has the edge again. 

 MARQUETTE is 0-7 ATS  in road games after covering 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread over the last 3 seasons. 

MARQUETTE is 1-8 ATS  in road games after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 3 seasons

CBB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (MARQUETTE) - in a game involving 2 very good teams - outscoring opponents by 8+ PPG, after scoring 80 points or more 3 straight games are just 34-76 L/5 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on St.John's to cover 

 The Matadors head into the 2019 year on a season-high three-game winning streak after beating Morgan State 94-86 last Saturday and owns one of the top offenses in the conference, CSUN leads the Big West in points per game (78.2), field goals made per game (29.3), field goal percentage (48.5) and assists per game (16.9). On the defensive side, the Matadors are tops in the Big West in steals per game (6.7) and blocks per game (4.8) and have the capability of hanging tough here as underdogs vs San Diego State .

Matadors are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up win.Matadors are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.Matadors are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games.

CS-NORTHRIDGE is 10-1 ATS  in road games after 1 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.

CBB Underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (CS-NORTHRIDGE) - after allowing 75 points or more 5 straight games, with just one or fewer starters returning from last season are 44-23 ATS L/22 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on CS Northridge to cover 

FIESTA BOWL - State Farm Stadium - Phoenix, AZ

UCF has won 25 straight games, and what Im betting  to happen here is that despite of them going against a very strong SEC team, without their starting QB McKenzie Milton, they wont go down without a fight . Look for highly talented backup Darriel Mack who led his team to a 56-41 come from behind victory vs Memphis in the season finale to lead this team again, and for this very athletic and deep UCF group to get us the cover . With almost a month to prepare for the Bayou Tigers, Im very sure the Knights  will be very ready to compete. 

CFB Favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (LSU) - off an extremely close road loss by 3 points or less, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are just 13-42 ATS L/26 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the UCF to cover 

The Magic wrapped are off a 109-107 win over the Detroit Pistons on Sunday afternoon, and will now be in a letdown spot here on the road vs a Charlotte team, that is averaging 113.4 points-per-game , the seventh-best output average in the NBA. Meanwhile, The Magic have scored more than 100 points just 19 times in their 35 games, which is not a good omen here as they  shot just 38.3 percent in the first meeting.vs the Hornets this season, and have now  lost six straight in Charlotte and been held under 100 points in four of those games. With that said,  Im betting the Hornets romping to a comfortable victory here tonight. 

Orlando F Jonathon Simmons left the win over Detroit with a sprained right ankle and is questionable for Monday.

ORLANDO is 19-32 ATS (versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts over the last 2 seasons with the point differential clicking in at 8.2 ppg.

Play on Charlotte to cover 

North Colorado (7-5) has won their L/2 visits to take on  Portland State (5-6) and 3 in row SU/ATS and get the nod again. Both sides have been inconsistent but according to my power rankings NC has the edge by -4 or more. 

N COLORADO is 11-2 ATS in road games after 2 straight games where they made 10 or more 3 point shots.PORTLAND ST is 4-14 ATS after playing a game as favorite over the last 2 seasons.

Play on N.Colorado to cover 

The Idaho Vandals won the lone meeting last season, defeating the Weber State Wildcats, 68-62, in Ogden and has won the L/2 meetings overall. I know Idaho is slumping having lost 5 straight, but the home team has been a solid bet in the recent past when these teams have played and Im betting the hosts grabs the cheese again. 

Wildcats are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 road games.Wildcats are 4-10-1 ATS in their last 15 games overall.Wildcats are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Monday games.Wildcats are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. Big Sky.Wildcats are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS win.

Verlin is 30-18 ATS  when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) as the coach of IDAHO.

CBB underdog (IDAHO) - after being beaten by the spread by 42 or more points total in their last five games are 243-167 ATS L/5 seasons for a 59% conversion rate for bettors.

LIBERTY BOWL - Liberty Bowl Memorial Stadium - Memphis, TN

We all know the Big 12 is all about offence, but when it counts there are teams like Oklahoma State that can be counted upon to make key stops. What Im betting here today is for the Cowboys to go toe toe and punch for punch with Missouri offensively, but in key junctures of the game to show their ability to stand tall. You have to remember Oklahoma State took on some extremely explosive offenses in Big 12 action  (ie Oklahoma ) and stood tall, losing by just one point 48-47 count, and have the capabilities to not only cover here but pull off the upset as more than TD dog. 

Cowboys are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.Cowboys are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 non-conference games.Cowboys are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up loss.Cowboys are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss.Cowboys are 5-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.Cowboys are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games.Cowboys are 20-7 ATS in their last 27 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game 

MISSOURI is 3-12 ATS  in December games since 1992.

Play on Oklahoma State to cover 

REDBOX BOWL - Levi's Stadium - Santa Clara, CA

Michigan State has shown a propensity to not to be able to the move the chains consistently against any team  for most of this season. Their games are ugly in the trenches affairs, and the Spartans are like vultures just waiting around for fumbles and turnovers in an effort to try to find the end zone. Im betting the trend continues and Oregon musters out a win vs my nomination for  the Ugly Betty football team of the year. 

MICHIGAN ST is 6-16 ATS in road games after failing to cover the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games and  10-28 ATS after scoring 7 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games. 

OREGON is 30-9 ATS  L/39 after leading their last 2 games by 14+ points at the half and  20-8 ATS after gaining 350 or more rushing yards last game. 

CFB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (OREGON) - off a double digit road win, a good team (60% to 80%) playing a team with a winning record are 26-9 ATS L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Oregon to cover 

Montana State has proven in the recent past not to travel well as their   2-14 SU record in its last 16 games on the road would indicate. According to my matchup stats their run of visitor futility will continue today at Northern Arizona.

MONTANA ST is 3-13 ATS  after a game where they covered the spread over the last 2 seasons. N ARIZONA is 12-4 ATS after 2 straight games giving up 9 or less offensive rebounds over the last 2 seasons. 

N ARIZONA is 9-2 ATS when playing their 2nd game in 3 days over the last 2 seasons.N ARIZONA is 12-4 ATS after 2 straight games giving up 9 or less offensive rebounds over the last 2 seasons

Montana State is 4-20 SU in its last 24 games when playing on the road against Northern Arizona.

Play on N.Arizona to cover 

We are getting a cheap line here, because super star LeBron James is expected to remain sidelined with a groin injury and the Lakers are 0-2 without him and also because their playing their 3rd game in 4 nights. However, in contrarian fashion, Im going against the Kings, as Im not liking their current form, and their consistent slow starts despite of notching wins. Note: Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (LA LAKERS)  tired team - when playing their 3rd game in 4 days, in December games are actually good long term bets going 66-39 ATS L/5 seasons for a 62% conversion rate for bettors.

Los Angeles was also  without LeBron James when they lost 117-116 at Sacramento on the 27th of this Month, and competed fine without James, and actually had a DD lead, before getting lazy and falling apart. Now with a fire lit underneath their proverbial butts,Im betting they bounce back in the rematch here at home. Note:The Kings are 0-14 ATS/SU L/14 on the road off a game as a favorite when they are facing a team that is averaging more than 24 assists per game like the Lakers. 

LA LAKERS are 15-4 ATS in home games off 2 consecutive losses against division rivals.

Play on the LA Lakers to cover 

The Sixers are an upward trajectory team, that seems to just keep getting better with experience and jell as a unit. I can see a dominant  type of confidence creeping over this side since the king of egos Jimmy Butler has arrived. making them extremely dangerous for all comers in this league.    Since Butler  has arrived  Philadelphia have been performing optimally especially against top tier opponents winning  7 of 10 against .500 or greater opposition.  With that said, Im betting on a the Sixers  continuing  their climb to elite status in the East with another win tonight vs a side they have revenge against for loss thye suffered here last season by a 114-110 count. With the Trail Blazers off  two consecutive hard fought  back to back tilts against defending champion Golden State, and on tired legs after playing last night  I expect the home team will be at a disadvantage vs a top tier side.  

76ers are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.

 Philadelphia is 76-43-1 ATS in its last 120 non-conference games under head coach Brett Brown.PHILADELPHIA is 32-17 ATS  when the total is 220 to 229.5 over the last 3 seasons.

Trail Blazers are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Trail Blazers are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up loss.76ers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.76ers are 21-8-1 ATS in their last 30 vs. NBA Northwest.76ers are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 games playing on 2 days rest.76ers are 37-16-1 ATS in their last 54 vs. Western Conference.

NBA  Underdogs vs the money line (PORTLAND) - after allowing 100 points or more 5 straight games against opponent after a blowout win by 15 points or more are just are 37-152 for a go against 81% go against conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Philadelphia 76ers to cover 

The Oral Roberts men's basketball team will travel to Omaha to kick off Summit League play Sunday against the Mavericks and despite of being underdogs matchup well here vs Nebraska Omaha according to my line projections.Omaha has used the same starting lineup in 11 of the 14 games entering Sunday's game and because of this will start becoming more cohesive as this season progresses. ORU is 14th in the nation in total rebounds with 537, and 38th in the nation in total assists with 206 and their tenaciousness under the basket Im betting will be the difference maker in us covering today. 

CBB NEBRASKA-OMAHA is 0-6 ATS L/6 versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 18  or less free throws/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.NEBRASKA-OMAHA is 1-8 ATS ( versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons. 

Play on Oral Roberts to cover 

My projections make Northestern a 8 to 8.5 point favourite here and with this much deviation on the line, Ill recommend we take the points. 

NORTHEASTERN is 5-13 ATS  vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% or more of their attempts over the last 2 seasons.

Coen is 11-25 ATS as a favorite of 10 or more points as the coach of NORTHEASTERN and is 11-21 ATS  as a home favorite of 10 or more points as the coach of NORTHEASTERN.

Play on Delaware to cover 

The Eagles need to win and they need the Bears to beat the Vikings to get into the playoffs. Needless to say, the Eagles need only worry about taking care of their business, here. However, Im betting Washington will not be so willing a participant in letting the Eagles get a free pass in  their home finale and will cherish the opportunity to play spoilers vs the defending Super Bowl champs. . The Eagles have struggled as visitors   this season overall  as they are just 3-4 on the road, with the average point differential clicking in at -3.2. Eagles 23.1 Opp 26.3. Im recommending we go on the take .

Eagles are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win.Eagles are 2-5 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.Eagles are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.Eagles are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 vs. NFC.Eagles are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 vs. NFC East.Eagles are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.Eagles are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.

Redskins are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.Redskins are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games on grass.Redskins are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games.Redskins are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games following a straight up loss.

WASHINGTON is 17-3 ATS L/20 versus inconsistent defensive teams - allowing 6 or less yards/play in the second half of the season.

WASHINGTON is 22-6 ATS  vs. excellent passing teams averaging 260 or more passing yards/game after 8+ games. 

 PHILADELPHIA is 2-11 ATS  versus struggling  defensive teams - allowing 6 or more yards/play over the last 3 seasons.

Play on the Washington Redskins to cover