Having enough talent on the floor is obviously very important, but in the play offs if you don't have an experienced coach, you are most probably doomed.With Spoelestra on the sidelines for Miami in a clutch post season action Im betting the Heat have the edge especially playing here at home where they have defeated the Knicks in 5 of their L/7 meetings. I know the Knicks played a great game last time out in desperation mode, but even after leaving everything on the floor, there was a feeling of inadequacy surrounding the Knicks and an emotional let down situation could easily hamper their flow this evening. 

MIAMI is 29-16 ATS revenging a road loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.MIAMI is 46-25 ATS  in the second round of the playoffs since 1996. Spoelstra is 30-14 ATS  in the second round of the playoffs as the coach of MIAMI.

Heat are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up loss.Heat are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Heat are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 home games.

Knicks are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 Conference Semifinals games.

Play on the Miami Heat to cover

This has been a homer series so far with the host team winning all five tilts. However, the discrepancy in scores has been  more tilted to towards the Nuggets in their home wins while the Suns home victories have been much closer and hard fought.  My won feelings and analysis suggest the Nuggets are the superior side overall , and deserve respects as underdogs in this key spot play. DENVER is 20-9 ATS  when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season.

Suns are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 Conference Semifinals games.Suns are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

NBA team (PHOENIX) - when trailing in a playoff series, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 18-42 ATS L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate. 

Play on the Nuggets to cover

With the backs up against the proverbial wall, Im betting on a huge bounce back effort from the Celtics in classic zig zag theory mode. They played lousy D, and inconsistent offense and will easily uptrend in their return to the court. Don't count the never say die Celtics out is my moto for tonight.  Remember last season when the Celtics won Game 6 on the road  against the Milwaukee Bucks and then captured the series in seven games. Quote: "If you're not willing to pretty much get dirty, if you're not willing to bleed, if you're not willing to break something, willing to tear something going hard, then you shouldn't be on that court, because that's what it is," Marcus Smart said. "That's what the playoffs are about. Hopefully you stay safe, but that's the mentality. You gotta go, you gotta be willing to risk it all for these games. end Quote

BOSTON is 20-7 ATS off an upset loss to a division rival as a favorite of 6 or more.

BOSTON is 15-6 ATS  when the line is +3 to -3 this season.

BOSTON is 15-4 ATS in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Favorites (BOSTON) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite of 7 or more, off a home loss are 51-15 ATS L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Boston to cover 

The senior laden Lakers are probably pretty tired right now,  after playing all out hoops in 4 straight games, and will have a hard time here against Golden State that plays their best hoops at home as is evident by their 36-10 home record this season. GOLDEN STATE is 15-7 ATS  in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.GOLDEN STATE is 7-0 ATS ( in home games off a loss against a division rival this season

MLB team (GOLDEN STATE) - off a close loss by 3 points or less to a division rival against opponent after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite are 55-22 for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA team (LA LAKERS) - as a # 7 seed in the playoffs, in a playoff game are 113-173 ATS L/26 seasons for a go against 61% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Golden State Warriors 

The Knicks have their backs up against the proverbial wall , as Miami will try to close out this series tonight. Im betting that will be delayed by a desperate side. The Knicks pulled down an average of 46.6 rebounds per game during the regular season, tied for second-most in the NBA, and out-rebounded foes by 4.5 per game and tonight Im betting we see them at their best and very physical as they leave everything on the court. 

MIAMI is 0-8 ATS after allowing 105 points or less 2 straight games this season.

NEW YORK is 12-4 ATS  after having lost 3 of their last 4 games this season.

NBA Road teams (MIAMI) - hot team - covering 8 or more of their last 10 against the spread, well rested team - playing 6 or less games in 14 days are 20-46 L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate. 

Play on the Knicks to cover 

The Suns, thanks to the red hot  shooting of Devin Booker and Kevin Durant, tied the series with a 129-124 win in Game 4 on Sunday . The Suns really had to have everything going for them to get that win, but now here in the Mile High city Im betting on immediate regression from the Suns vs a side that is fired up after their star forward Nikola Jokic was called on a technical and fined for nudging Suns owner court-side. This will ignite the Nuggets . 

Suns are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. PHOENIX is 7-16 ATS in a road game where the total is 220 to 229.5 this season.

Nuggets are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

DENVER is 33-18 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record this season.DENVER is 17-8 ATS  in home games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or better  of their attempts this season.DENVER is 21-11 ATS  versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 or less free throws/game - 2nd half of the season this season. Malone is 66-45 ATS after 2 or more consecutive losses as the coach of DENVER.

Play on Denver to cover

After losing in OT in the road last time out, Im betting the Boston Celtics will  regain control of their Eastern Conference semifinal playoff series  vs the Philadelphia 76ers in a pivotal Game 5 on Tuesday night. When the going gets tough my money rides with the Celtics. 

BOSTON is 17-6 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game this season.BOSTON is 17-5 ATS  when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) this season.

PHILADELPHIA is 15-30 ATS) versus teams who make 14 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 3 seasons.

The long and winding road has not been kind to the Warriors this season as they have just 13 wins in 46 road games . I im betting the this talented by aging  Lakers group understands the importance of a win now situation, as this is this groups last chance at a championship ie (James and Davis in particularly).  Look for the old fellas to leave everything on the floor tonight and for the Lakers to bring home the cash. 

GOLDEN STATE is 5-13 ATS on the road when the line is +3 to -3 this season. GOLDEN STATE is 3-11 ATS  as a road underdog of 6 points or less this season.

Warriors are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 Conference Semifinals games.Warriors are 17-39-1 ATS in their last 57 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Warriors are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game.

LA LAKERS are 14-6 ATSin home games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more  assists/game - 2nd half of the season this season. LA LAKERS are 7-0 ATS  in home games when playing 4 or less games in 10 days this season. 

Lakers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.Lakers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 Conference Semifinals games.

NBA Underdogs (GOLDEN STATE) - when trailing in a playoff series, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 12-36 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the LA Lakers to cover

Devin Booker and Kevin Durant combined for 86 points in Game 3 as the Phoenix Suns got back into the Western Conference semifinals, but now Im betting on some immediate regression against a resilient group of Nuggets. 

Nuggets coach Michael Malone was not pleased with his defenders and said his  defense better be prepared to improve on Sunday. The primary focus will be on defending Booker, who is averaging 36.9 points per game this postseason. Malone has is his team fired up and ready to play. 

Malone is 46-25 ATS in road games off a road loss as the coach of DENVER.

Malone is 33-16 ATS  after trailing in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half as the coach of DENVER.

DENVER is 15-5 ATS when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) - 2nd half of the season this season.

DENVER is 14-6 ATS against Pacific division opponents this season.

NBA  team (PHOENIX) - when trailing in a playoff series, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 16-41 ATS L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors.

Philadelphia is a top tier side, but the Celtics are an elite team with just to many weapons to contain. Yes, the Celtics have off nights, but their consistency and hunger for victory is something that makes them viable betting options, on a value line. The Celtics have also proven they matchup well vs the Sixers which Im sure is frustrating for the 76ers . That frustration manifests into mistakes, and that is when the Celtics are at their best. With Joel Embiid at less than 100% or not able to play today the Sixers are in trouble.

Celtics are 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings.Celtics are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Philadelphia.

 BOSTON is 17-4 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) this season. 

BOSTON is 26-11 ATS  on the road when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons.

Celtics are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games playing on 1 days rest.Celtics are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Conference Semifinals games

BOSTON is 15-5 ATSwhen the line is +3 to -3 this season.

BOSTON is 17-5 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game this season.

PHILADELPHIA is 1-10 ATS versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons. Rivers is 5-16 ATS   versus teams who make 14 or more 3 point shots/game - 2nd half of the season as the coach of PHILADELPHIA. 76ers are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.

NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (PHILADELPHIA) - after being beaten by the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going over the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games are 11-34 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Boston Celtics to cover

Its well documented how the Warriors have struggled on the road this season, garnering an ugly 13-32 record .  they have recently come up big in a couple of road opportunities but, tonight their lack of mojo on the road Im betting will be evident vs a  veteran laden side that knows how to win when the chips are down . Its  crunch games like this that the aging King James shows us glimpses of what made him a super star in this league. Note: Los Angeles won the series opener on the road vs Memphis like they did against Golden State , lost Game 2  just like they did against the Grizzlies and then came home to take a commanding 3-1 series lead with a pair of victories. Rinse and repeat in play today. 

Warriors are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS win.Warriors are 17-38-1 ATS in their last 56 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Warriors are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points.

LA LAKERS are 25-9 ATS  when tied in a playoff series since 1996.

GOLDEN STATE is 5-13 ATS  in road games versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game on the season this season.GOLDEN STATE is 7-15 ATS as a road underdog this season. GOLDEN STATE is 6-15 ATS   in road games after a game where they covered the spread this season. GOLDEN STATE is 5-13 ATS   on the road when the line is +3 to -3 this season.

NBA home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (LA LAKERS) - after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 104-64 ATS L/5 seasons for a 62% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the LA Lakers to cover

All season long the pundits wondered what was wrong with the Heat, as they flailed away playing inconsistent basketball more often than not. It seems the Heat saved their best hoops for the play offs and are now in top form, as was evident when the defeated the defending Milwaukee Bucks in the opening round of the play offs.. With that said, Im now betting after a hard fought loss in game 2 of this series, that they bounce back in classic zig zag theory mode, and deliver a win vs a Knicks at their own home court. I know Jimmy butler is listed as questionable, but this is to important of a game for him to miss with a lower grade ankle issue. Even if butler cannot take to the court I believe this Heat team is deep enough to compete and grab the victory. 

MIAMI is 18-8 ATS   after a loss by 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons .MIAMI is 18-8 ATS   after a loss by 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons. Spoelstra is 28-13 ATS  in the second round of the playoffs as the coach of MIAMI. Heat are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games. MIAMI is 28-16 ATS revenging a road loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons. Heat has covered 5 straight games.

Knicks are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 Conference Semifinals games.

Play on Miami to cover

Down two games to zero the Suns have their backs up against the proverbial wall and will come out firing bullets tonight . DENVER is 4-12 ATS in road games after 2 or more consecutive wins this season. Malone is 4-16 ATS   in road games after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more as the coach of DENVER. 

Advantage Phoenix.

 PHOENIX is 13-4 ATS  in home games after playing a road game this season.

NBA Road underdogs (DENVER) - off 3 or more consecutive home wins, extremely well rested team - playing 5 or less games in 14 days are 16-39 ATS L/27 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Phoenix to cover ( Late Steam)

With 76ers star  Embiid still dealing with a knee injury and less than 100% or not playing at all the home side is at a disadvantage vs a Celtics side that now looks wide awake after a DD win last time out vs the Sixers. Advantage Celtics . 

BOSTON is 16-4 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) this season.BOSTON is 14-5 ATS  when the line is +3 to -3 this season.

PHILADELPHIA is 14-29 ATS versus teams who make 14 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 3 seasons.

NBA Home underdogs (PHILADELPHIA) - revenging a blowout loss vs opponent of 30 points or more against opponent off a win by 10 points or more over a division rival are 8-31 ATS L/27 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate.

Play on the Celtics to cover

The Warriors succumbed to the Lakers in game 1 of this series, but in classic zig zag theory Im betting the Warriors rebound in a big way here this evening.Warriors are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up loss. Warriors are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Warriors are 40-19-1 ATS in their last 60 home games.

LA LAKERS are 9-21 ATS  off a road win over the last 2 seasons.

GOLDEN STATE is 36-16 ATS  in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. GOLDEN STATE is 15-4 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less this season. Kerr is 22-3 ATS revenging 2 consecutive straight up losses to opponent as a favorite as the coach of GOLDEN STATE.( Lakers won the last reg season meeting at home and than took out the Warriors in Game 1 of this series)

NBA Favorites (GOLDEN STATE) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite, off a home loss are 99-42 ATS L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors.

NBAHome favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (GOLDEN STATE) - in the 2nd game of a playoff series are 30-5 ATS L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Warriors to cover

I am betting the Celtics will bounce back here with a top tier brand of defense, something that alluded them in game 1 of this series as they lost 119-115 to the 76ers. Boston ranks 5th in ppg allowed in the NBA and own the top SRS mark with a 6.38.  SRS - Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average

BOSTON is 19-7 ATS  off an upset loss to a division rival as a favorite of 6 or more points.

BOSTON is 15-4 ATS  when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) this season

NBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (PHILADELPHIA) - in a playoff game, in the 2nd game of a playoff series are 5-30 ATS L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate.

NBA Favorites (BOSTON) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite of 7 or more, off an upset loss as a home favorite are 42-10 ATS L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate. 

Play on the Boston Celtics to cover

With Miamis top player Butler unable to finish Game 1 because an ankle issue,  and New York's star forward Julius Randle  unable to start  game 1 it due to a sprained left ankle both sides maybe without their top players. Looking at the depth of the rosters has me now leaning on the Knicks to bounce back in classic zig zag theory mode. It must also be noted that the Heat are 9-26 ATS  after a game where they covered the spread this season.  (Miami upset the Heat in Game 1 of this series)

NEW YORK is 16-6 ATS revenging a same season loss vs opponent this season.

NEW YORK is 10-2 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season. NEW YORK is 20-11 ATS  versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 or less free throws/game - 2nd half of the season this season. NEW YORK is 17-3 ATS  when playing 6 or less games in 14 days this season

NBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MIAMI) - in a playoff game, in the 2nd game of a playoff series are 29-5 ATS L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate.

NBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MIAMI) - after beating the spread by 48 or more points total in their last ten games, on Tuesday nights are 26-4 ATS L/5 seasons for a 87% conversion rate.

Play on NY Knicks to cover 

NBA Favorites (NEW YORK) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite, off an upset loss as a home favorite are 79-37 ATS L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors.

NBAUnderdogs (MIAMI) - off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as a road underdog, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team are 16-48 ATS L/27 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on NYK to cover 

Padres starter SNELL is 0-11 against the money line in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) I know he has pitched well recently but it must be noted thatSNELL is 5-13   against the money line after giving up 2  or less earned runs in his last 2 outings over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

Reds are 5-0 in their last 5 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Reds are 5-1 in their last 6 overall and get the nod here on. a value run  line. 

Padres are 2-5 in their last 7 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Padres are 2-5 in their last 7 during game 1 of a series.Padres are 2-6 in their last 8 vs. National League Central.

Play on Cincinnati Reds +1.5 runline 

Sixers super star Embiid sustained a sprained LCL in his right knee during Game 3 of Philadelphia's first-round series against the Brooklyn Nets and did not play when the 76ers clinched the series with a win in Game 4. If he plays here tonight he will be less than 100%  which will directly effect the flow of this the Sixers. Embiid scored 52 points in Philadelphia's lone victory over Boston, a 103-101 outcome in April and without his presence or lack their off involvement in this tilt are at an extreme disadvantage. So asking DDs is not as extreme as many may expect.PHILADELPHIA is 0-8 ATS versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.BOSTON is 15-3 ATS   when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) this season.

Play on Boston to cover

Golden States starting five have matched up well against the Kings in this this series as is evident  by a +19.4 rating and are +6.2 with Curry on the floor. As we get into the gritty tough part of this series I expect coach Kerr to have his top men on the court for a good portion of this game and for the Warriors to have an edge in a bounce back situation after a down effort at home last time out. Warriors are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 pointsKings are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games.

Play on Golden State to cover

The Heat just shocked the defending champion Milwaukee Bucks and took a series hardly any of the pundits predicted. They finished of ftheir series with a explosive 128-126 victory and will now be in a emotional  letdown situation in game 1 of this series vs the MY Knicks. Heat are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game. Heat are 16-33-2 ATS in their last 51 games following a straight up win.Heat are 9-28-1 ATS in their last 38 games following a ATS win.MIAMI is 8-26 ATS  after a game where they covered the spread this season.

Meanwhile, the Knicks thanks to a top tier brand of defensive ball took out the Cleveland Cavaliers 4 games to 1 and now enter this tilt with momentum on their own home court. Advantage Knicks. 

NEW YORK is 17-2 ATS  when playing 6 or less games in 14 days this season. NEW YORK is 9-1 ATS after 3 or more consecutive unders this season.

NBA Favorites vs. the money line (NEW YORK) - a good team (+3 to +7 PPG differential) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG differential), after a combined score of 205 points or less 2 straight games are 48-4 L/5 seasons for a 92% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +10.5 which easily qualifiers on this ATS offering. 

NBA Home teams (NEW YORK) - after allowing 100 points or less 2 straight games against opponent after a combined score of 235 points or more are 49-14 ATS L/5 seasons for. a72% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the NY Knicks to cover

The Suns are favored to win the series and reach the NBA Finals, but projections don't quite see it that way as my power rankings suggest the Nuggets matchup well vs the Suns especially here at home in the Mile High city. Quote: "We like our chances," Nuggets forward Aaron Gordon said. "I feel like we've continued to take care of ourselves on and off the floor to give ourselves an opportunity to be healthy and get a chance to get our legs back against Phoenix." End quote.

Suns are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win.Suns are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Conference Semifinals games.Suns are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

Nuggets are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 3 or more days rest.Nuggets are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record

DENVER is 17-7 ATS  when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season.DENVER is 13-4 ATS when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) - 2nd half of the season this season.DENVER is 31-16 ATS  when playing against a team with a winning record this season.DENVER is 26-10 ATS   after having won 2 of their last 3 games this season.

Play on the Denver Nuggets to cover

The Royals have lost by 2 runs or more in 8 of their L/11 overall losses and this tilt projects out to be a runline win for the Twins. The Twins last 5 wins overall have come by 2 runs or more. Rinse and repeat in a projected mismatch. 

Note: KCs starter Brad Keller . Over the past 14 games, a Royals starter has been has garnered a win just one time , with all Royals  starters combining to allow 57 runs (56 earned) in 67 2/3 innings during that span -- an ERA of 7.45.

MLB Home favorites with a money line of -175 to -250 (MINNESOTA) - where team's hitters draw 3 walks or less/game on the season against opponent starting a pitcher who walked 5 or more hitters last outing are 58-9 L/26 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors with the average rpg diff clicking in at +2.5 which qualifies on this run line offering from the books. 

MLB team against a 1.5 run line (KANSAS CITY) - after 2 straight games where they committed no errors, starting a pitcher who walked 4+ hitters each of his last 2 outings are 11-40 L/5 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Twins -1.5 runline 

Memphis has been a sub par road team all season long, and are fade material here against a senior laden Lakers team that knows how to win in clutch situations especially when they have home court advantage on this sides. I know the Grizzlies grabbed the win last time out, but thats not a good omen considering they are  0-6 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up win.

MEMPHIS is 1-9 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season. MEMPHIS is 1-15 ATS   as a road underdog of 6 points or less this season.

LA LAKERS are 9-1 ATS  in home games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

The Warriors have won the last two games in this series vs the Kings and now come home, where they play their best basketball as is evident by a 35-8 SU record at home that has seen them cover 29 of those games. I'll follow the Warriors momentum for a cover. Warriors are 40-17-1 ATS in their last 58 home games.

GOLDEN STATE is 25-9 ATS  in home games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more  assists/game this season.GOLDEN STATE is 18-7 ATS  in home games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) over the last 2 seasons.GOLDEN STATE is 14-6 ATS  in home games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more  of their attempts this season.GOLDEN STATE is 23-8 ATS  in home games after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.

Play on the Golden State Warriors to cover

The Hawks thanks to the great work of Trae Young have now gotten the full attention of the Celtics and response  Im betting we now see the Boston play a complete game .  When they take a lead this time which Im betting they do , they wont let up. Full steam ahead. 

Celtics are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.

BOSTON is 16-3 ATS  versus sub par defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 48% or worse - 2nd half of the season this season.

ATLANTA is 7-19 ATS  off an upset win as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.( Atlanta shocked the Celtics with a late comeback win last time out by a 119-117 score)

NBA Favorites (BOSTON) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite of 7 or more, off an upset loss as a home favorite are 41-10 ATS L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate. 

NBA Underdogs (ATLANTA) - when trailing in a playoff series, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 12-34 ATS L/5 seasons for. ago against 74% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Boston to cover

The As look abysmal at this point in the season, and today Im betting they have huge problems with Angels super star starter Ohtani. Ohtani (3-0, 0.64 ERA) has made five starts this season and is yet to give up more than three hits in a game. 

OAKLAND is 1-15   against the money line after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games this season with the average rpg diff clicking at -5.5. 

MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +200 or more (OAKLAND) - with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.000 or less over his last 3 starts, with a struggling bullpen whose ERA is over 6.50 the last 5 games are 1-36 L/26 seasons. 

Play on the LAA to win -1.5 runline 

Kings emerging super star Fox,   is listed as doubtful, tonight . He has averaged 31.5 points, 7.0 assists and 6.0 rebounds in the series and has been a major catalyst for the Warriors. Golden State  now has an edge. 

SACRAMENTO is 8-17 ATS  after playing 2 consecutive road games this season.

NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (SACRAMENTO) - off a close road loss of 3 points or less, well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days are 14-37 ATS L/27 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Golden State to cover

The defending champion Bucks have Giannis Antetokounmpo ready to go tonight and will primed to really get back their mojo against a Miami side that has been highly inconsistent all season long. Im not going to be lured into their current run of good luck in. a key game like this . 

Heat are 8-28-1 ATS in their last 37 games following a ATS win.Heat are 16-33-2 ATS in their last 51 games following a straight up win.Heat are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Heat are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 road games.

MIAMI is 1-10 ATS after having won 4 of their last 5 games this season. MILWAUKEE is 11-2 ATS  off a upset loss as a favorite this season.

MIAMI is 1-8 ATS  in road games versus sub par pressure defensive teams - forcing 13 or less turnovers/game - 2nd half of the season this season. 

MILWAUKEE is 8-1 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons here at home. 

NBA Road underdogs of 10 or more points (MIAMI) - after beating the spread by 30 or more points total in their last three games, in April games are 6-23 ATS L/27 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Favorites of 10 or more points (MILWAUKEE) - double revenge - 2 straight losses vs. opponent, off a upset loss as a favorite are 51-18 ATS L/27 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Home favorites of 10 or more points (MILWAUKEE) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points against opponent off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as an underdog are 23-8 ATS L/27 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Milwaukee to cover

The Grizzlies have played their best hoops at home this season garnering a powerful 37-6 SU record, and tonight Im betting with their backs up against the wall we see them at their best. 
LA LAKERS are 8-19 ATS off 2 or more consecutive home wins over the last 3 seasons.

MEMPHIS is 29-13 ATS  in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. MEMPHIS is 30-16 ATS  against Pacific division opponents over the last 2 seasons

NBA team (LA LAKERS) - as a # 7 seed in the playoffs, in a playoff game are 109-170 ATS L/27 seasons for a go against 61% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Home favorites (MEMPHIS) - after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 41-12 ATS L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.

Lakers are 3-7 ATS in the last 10 meetings in Memphis.

Play on Memphis to cover

Down 3 games to 1 to the Knicks  it's do or die tonight for the Cavaliers. Im betting they come out here with their proverbial hair on fire and get the job done in desperation mode. 

Cavaliers are 20-8-1 ATS in their last 29 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

CLEVELAND is 9-1 ATS  in home games after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread this season.CLEVELAND is 25-16 ATSas a home favorite this season

CLEVELAND is 11-3 ATS in home games versus sub par pressure defensive teams - forcing 13 or less turnovers/game this season.

NBA Home favorites (CLEVELAND) - an average offensive team (108-114 PPG) against an avg. defensive team (108-114 PPG), after a combined score of 205 points or less 2 straight games are 31-8 L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Cleveland Cavaliers to cover

After an inconsistent season, the Suns are finally starting to find their legs and flow, and have now won 3 games in row in this series and are set to eliminate a Clippers side playing without two of leagues top players Leonard and George. You can literally feel the proverbial  air coming out of the Clippers tires. Im betting its lights out on the Clippers season and that it happens in convincing fashion at the hands of the Suns .

PHOENIX is 8-0 ATS  in home games off a road win this season. Williams is 15-3 ATS   after 3 consecutive division games in all games he has coached since 1996. 

Suns are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 Conference Quarterfinals games.

LA CLIPPERS are 4-18 ATS when playing with 2 days rest over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Underdogs (LA CLIPPERS) - when trailing in a playoff series, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 9-34 ATS L/5 seasons for a 79% go against conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Phoenix Suns to cover

Minnesota was able to stave off elimination in game 4 of this series, despite of relinquishing a late lead and having to go into OT. Now after leaving everything on the floor last time out and now having to travel to the Mile High City Im betting their season will come to an end in DD fashion at the hands of what is the superior side.

DENVER is 15-7 ATS  off a road loss this season.

NBA Underdogs (MINNESOTA) - when trailing in a playoff series, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 9-34 ATS L/5 seasons for a 79% go against conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Denver to cover 

The Celtics will be on a mission to eliminate the Atlanta Hawks when their Eastern Conference first-round series shifts back to Boston for Game 5 on Tuesday night. Im betting on the superior side coming out here with all guns blazing and to finish the job in this key situation.

ATLANTA is 1-8 ATS  when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) - 2nd half of the season this season. ATLANTA is 1-10 ATS  in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. BOSTON is 16-2 ATS versus defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 48% or more - 2nd half of the season this season. ATLANTA is 0-8 ATS in road games off a home loss this season. BOSTON is 14-3 ATS  in April games over the last 2 seasons. ATLANTA is 7-15 ATS  against Atlantic division opponents this season.

NBA Underdogs (ATLANTA) - when trailing in a playoff series, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 9-34 ATS L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate. 

Play on Celtics to cover 

Miami finally woke up last time out and played a good game and upset the Bucks. However, Miami has not been consistent this season at all, especially after a victory ,while the Bucks have proved to be resilient off a upset loss. Advantage Bucks. 

MILWAUKEE is 11-1 ATS off a upset loss as a favorite this season. 

MIAMI is 3-11 ATS   after a win by 10 points or more this season. 

MIAMI is 6-26 ATS   after a game where they covered the spread this season.

NBA Road favorites (MILWAUKEE) - after being beaten by the spread by 30 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going over the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games are 31-6 ATS L/5 seasons for a 84% conversion rare for bettors. 

NBA Home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MIAMI) - after a blowout win by 20 points or more are 12-35 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Milwaukee to cover

Minnesota sometimes seems to have to many internal conflicts to be able to deal with the business of fighting hard against their opposition. The Wolves have talent but no sense of unity or chemistry, while the opposite holds true for a cohesive group of Nuggets. Advantage Denver. 

MINNESOTA is 5-16 ATS  in home games after a game - attempting 20+ more free throws than opponent like the Nuggets. MINNESOTA is 18-44 ATS in home games off a home loss against a division rival.

DENVER is 16-6 ATS versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more  of their attempts - 2nd half of the season this season. Nuggets are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 Conference Quarterfinals games

NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MINNESOTA) - after trailing their last 3 games by 5+ points at the half against opponent after scoring 120 points or more 2 straight games are 6-24 ATS L/27 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors.

 Underdogs (MINNESOTA) - when trailing in a playoff series, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 8-33 ATS L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Nuggets to cover

Eastern Conference - First Round - Best Of 7 - Game 4

Boston was upset in game 3 of this series by a 130-122 count, as the Hawks played a top tier offense brand of hoops. The Celtics however, are a super talented well coached team that are resilient and Im betting they bounce back here in a big way vs a Hawks side that is ready for immediate regression. Note:Celtics are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss. Celtics are 11-0 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game.

BOSTON is 15-2 ATS  versus sub par defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 48% - or more  2nd half of the season this season.

NBA Road favorites (BOSTON) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points, off an upset loss as a favorite are 70-31 ATS L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA  Underdogs (ATLANTA) - when trailing in a playoff series, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 8-31 ATS L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA team (ATLANTA) - as a # 7 seed in the playoffs, in a playoff game are 106-169 ATS L/26 seasons for a 62% conversion rate. 

Celtics are 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings.

Play on the Celtics to cover 

The Grizzlies have dominated at home this season, but on the road they have shown themselves to highly inconsistent, garnering wins in just 16 of their 41 road tilts. Meanwhile, the Lakers have played a strong brand of hoops at the Staples center, and Im betting on a rinse and repeat scenario here tonight. Advantage Lakers.

MEMPHIS is 3-12 ATS  in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.MEMPHIS is 1-9 ATS (in road games versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or more  of their shots this season.MEMPHIS is 9-24 ATS  in road games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game this season.

NBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (LA LAKERS) - revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days are 71-44 ATS L/5 seasons for a 62% conversion rate. ( Grizzlies won the last game by 103-93 count)

Lakers to cover

The Royals have lost 7 straight and 10 of their L/11 with only one of the losses coming by 2 or less runs. Advantage Halos on the runline. 

KANSAS CITY is 2-17 against the money line after 2 straight games where they stranded 5 or less runners on base over the last 2 seasons with the average rpg diff registering at -3.2. 

Road teams (KANSAS CITY) - poor AL offensive team (4.2 or less  runs/game) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA 3.33 or better ), after 2 straight games where they stranded 5 or less runners on base are 4-34 L/5 seasons with the average rog didd clicking in at +2.6 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering.

MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +150 or more (KANSAS CITY) - allowing 4.9 or more runs/game on the season (AL), after a combined score of 3 runs or less are 4-41 L/5 seasons with the average rpg diff clicking in at +2.2 which qualifies on this Run-line offering. 

Play on the LA Angels to win -1.5

Even if Antetokounmpo is forced to miss this game tonight , the Bucks have proven they can  compete without their super star and matchup well vs the Heat behind a deep talented side. Advantage goes to the Bucks.

MILWAUKEE is 11-2 ATS  as a road favorite of 6 points or less this season.

MIAMI is 4-12 ATS versus good rebounding teams - out-rebounding opponents by 3+ per game this season. MIAMI is 4-12 ATS  in home games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more  of their attempts this season.

NBA Road teams (MILWAUKEE) - an good offensive team (114-118 PPG) against an avg. defensive team (108-114 PPG) after 42+ games, after a game where both teams scored 120 points or more are 45-19 L/27 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Milwaukee to cover

The Suns have a big time advantage vs a side playing without  George and Leonard. Right now the Clippers look like a defeated team, while on the flip-side the Suns are playing their best basketball of the season. 

PHOENIX is 33-18 ATS  off a road win over the last 2 seasons.Suns are 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Los Angeles.

NBA Underdogs (LA CLIPPERS) - when trailing in a playoff series, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 8-31 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate for bettors. \

Play on Phoenix to cover

The mismatch continues today as Im betting the Sixers take care of business again vs Brooklyn.

BROOKLYN is 4-19 ATS   in home games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.BROOKLYN is 0-10 ATS in home games when playing 5 or less games in 14 days over the last 2 seasons.

PHILADELPHIA is 21-9 ATS  when the line is +3 to -3 this season.

NBA underdogs (BROOKLYN) - when trailing in a playoff series, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 8-31 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate for bettors.

LATE STEAM- Play on Philadelphia 

The Nuggets have proven to me that they mtchup very well against the Wolves, and more of the same advantages they were able to garner in game 1 and 2 will continue here. 

Nuggets are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 Conference Quarterfinals games.

MINNESOTA is 0-7 ATS after covering 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread this season.Timberwolves are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

DENVER is 15-6 ATS  versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts - 2nd half of the season this season.

NBA Underdogs (MINNESOTA) - when trailing in a playoff series, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 7-30 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors. 

The fifth-seeded Knicks went 3-1 in the regular season against the fourth-seeded Cavaliers and then stole home-court advantage with the Game 1 win and according to my power rankings matchup well here at home vs the visitors. 

NEW YORK is 15-6 ATS  revenging a same season loss vs opponent this season. Thibodeau is 19-7 ATS  in April games as the coach of NEW YORK. 

Knicks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

NEW YORK is 8-1 ATS  in home games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season.NEW YORK is 32-18 ATS at home when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons

NEW YORK is 14-2 ATS when playing 6 or less games in 14 days this season.

CLEVELAND is 6-14 ATS in road games after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games this season.Cavaliers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Conference Quarterfinals games.

Cavaliers are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

Play on the Knicks to cover

The Hawks usually explosive offense  that averaged 118.7 points per game during the regular season, have been limited to a total of  205 points in their two playoff games by a tenacious Celtics D. Atlanta has shot 40.7 percent from the field in those two games and Trae Young the Hawks star has also been limited and I cant see things changing much here.BOSTON is 15-1 ATS  versus struggling  defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 48% or more  - 2nd half of the season this season.BOSTON is 13-2 ATS in April games over the last 2 seasons. Mazzulla is 23-9 ATS (off a home win as the coach of BOSTON.

Celtics are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games overall.Celtics are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.Celtics are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win. 

Celtics are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 2 days rest.Celtics are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Celtics are 21-8-1 ATS in their last 30 Conference Quarterfinals games.

ATLANTA is 6-14 ATS against Atlantic division opponents this season.

Hawks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Hawks are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Celtics are 7-0 ATS in the last 7 meetings.Play on the Celtics to cover

The Rays are off to a 16-3 start with a plus-83 run differential, the largest through 19 games in the modern-baseball era and Im betting on some rinse and repeat action here this evening as they host the White sox they will send Michael Kopech (0-2, 6.32 ERA)  to start the series opener for Chicago. Tampa Bay ahs averaged 7.8 rpg at home this season and blasted righty starters like Kopech for an average 7.2 rpg. 

TAMPA BAY is 20-2   against the money line vs. AL teams allowing 5.4 or more runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons with the average rpg diff clicking in at +3.9 which qualifies on this run-line offering.TAMPA BAY is 12-0  against the money line when the total is 7 to 8.5 this season with the rpg diff registering at +5.8 which qulaifies on this runline offering. 

Play on TB to win -1.5 

The Suns matchup well vs the Clippers, and are more than capable of pulling off the victory here on the road in game 3 of this series. The Suns took game 2 of this series, 123-109 and deserve respect here as short road chalk. Suns are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 Conference Quarterfinals games.

LA CLIPPERS are 1-8 ATS in home games off a road loss this season.LA CLIPPERS are 4-16 ATS off a road loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 season.LA CLIPPERS are 4-15 ATS  revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more this season.Clippers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

Suns are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Los Angeles.

Play on the Suns to cover

The Warriors lost the first two games of this series on the road at Sacramento but  have played their best hoops at home this season where they have garnered a 33-8 record and are more than capable of a bounce back performance. 

GOLDEN STATE is 14-3 ATS  as a home favorite of 6 points or less this season. GOLDEN STATE is 21-9 ATS  in home games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more  of their shots this season. GOLDEN STATE is 13-4 ATS  in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

NBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (GOLDEN STATE) - revenging 2 straight losses where opp scored 100 or more points against opponent off an upset win over a division rival as an underdog are 35-11 ATS L/27 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.

GOLDEN STATE is 6-0 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons at home. 

Play on Warriors to cover

Bucks Giannis Antetokounmpo is expected to miss this game and thats why we are getting such a good line to back the home favs in this classic bounce back theory rebounder. ( Miami won game of this series 130-117) The Bucks are a deep team and have the ability to tie this series tonight at  home. Meanwhile, with key  Heat cog Herro is out with a broken hand and that will effect the flow of the visitors. 

Heat are 3-11 ATS in their last 14 games playing on 2 days rest.Heat are 7-27-1 ATS in their last 35 games following a ATS win.Heat are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game.MIAMI is 6-25 ATS after a game where they covered the spread this season

NBA Home teams (MILWAUKEE) - in a playoff game, in the 2nd game of a playoff series are 36-11 ATS L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate)

Play on Milwaukee to cover

Tampa Bays starter RASMUSSEN is 13-0  against the money line as a favorite of -150 or more over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with the average rpg diff clicking in at +4.9 which easily qualifies on this runline offering. Meanwhile ,the Reds will turn to a rookie making his major league debut Wednesday as right-hander Levi Stoudt gets the spot start. Needless to say this is a bad matchup vs an inexperienced MLB pitcher. Rays are 9-2 in their last 11 games vs. a right-handed starter. Rays are 5-0 in their last 5 during game 3 of a series.

Reds are 8-24 in their last 32 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Reds are 0-4 in their last 4 home games vs. a right-handed starter.

Play on the TB Rays to win -1.5 runline

The Clippers took out the Suns in game 1 but now Im betting on the zig zag theory taking hold, and for the Suns to mount a comeback in game 2. PHOENIX is 34-17 ATS  off a upset loss as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.

LA CLIPPERS are 4-16 ATS  in road games when leading in a playoff series since 1996.

NBA favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (PHOENIX) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite of 7or more against opponent off 2 or more consecutive road wins are 28-9 ATS L/27 seasons for a 76% conversion rate.

NBA Home teams (PHOENIX) - in the 2nd game of a playoff series are 34-11 ATS L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate.

NBA Underdogs (LA CLIPPERS) - off an upset win over a division rival as an underdog of 6 or more against opponent off an upset loss to a division rival as a favorite of 6 or more are 13-37 ATS L/27 seasons for a 74% conversion rate. .

Play on the Phoenix Suns to cover

Cleveland lost 101-97 in game 1 of this series , and now in classic zig zag theory fashion Im betting on a huge bounce back here vs the visiting Knicks and game two of this series. 

CLEVELAND is 8-1 ATS  in home games after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread this season.

NBA Favorites vs. the money line (CLEVELAND) - a good team (+3 to +7 PPG differential) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG differential), after a combined score of 205 points or less 2 straight game are 45-3 L/5 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at +10.9 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. 

NBA Favorites of -165 to -500 vs. the money line (CLEVELAND) - off 2 or more consecutive home losses, extremely well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 7 days are 24-1 L/27 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at +12.8  which eawsily qualifies on this ATS offering.

Play on Cleveland to cover

Denver enters this play off game having lost 5 of their L/7 and look wobbly at the wrong time of the season. Meanwhile, Minnesota continues to play competitive hoops and have covered 5 straight games and will not be easily man handled .The Wolves also have a big time revenge scenario  on their minds after suffering a blowout loss to the Nuggets back on Feb here in Denver. 

Timberwolves are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Timberwolves are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games.

 MINNESOTA is 7-0 ATS in road games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 13 or less turnovers/game - 2nd half of the season this season.

MINNESOTA is 18-6 ATS  revenging a same season loss vs opponent this season.

MINNESOTA is 17-6 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season.MINNESOTA is 16-5 ATS  in road games vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons.

DENVER is 13-25 ATS  in a home game where the total is 220 to 229.5 over the last 2 seasons.

Timberwolves are 24-7 ATS in the last 31 meetings in Denver.Timberwolves are 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings.

Play on Wolves to cover

My power rankings make the Clippers viable underdogs on what Im betting is a over blown home fav line for the Suns. 

PHOENIX is 9-33 ATS off a home cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog since 1996. (The Clippers just beat the Suns last week 119-114 and I wont be surprised by a repeat situation manifesting itself here today)

LA CLIPPERS are 15-3 ATSin road games after failing to cover 4 of their last 5 against the spread over the last 3 seasons.Clippers are 35-16-1 ATS in their last 52 games playing on 3 or more days rest.Clippers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Conference Quarterfinals games.

Play on the LA Clippers to cover

Houstons starter VALDEZ is 22-5  against the money line vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) with the average rpg diff clicking in at +3.4 which qualifies on this runline offering. Rangers are 0-5 in their last 5 road games vs. a left-handed starter and this year so far are averaging just 2.5 rpg in production vs southpaws. .Meanwhile,HOUSTON is 45-15   against the money line against left-handed starters  like Heaney over the last 2 seasons with the average rpg diff clicking in at +1.9. The Astros superior starter and bullpen will  help us cover this runline offering. 

Play on Houston to win -1.5 runline 

The Lakers are an older team but along with that comes alot of experience and the ability to perform under pressure. I know the Grizzlies are a strong side, with alot of young talent but their lack of experience in pressure situations makes them vulnerable.Lakers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Grizzlies are 7-19-1 ATS in their last 27 games playing on 3 or more days rest.Grizzlies are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Grizzlies are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 Conference Quarterfinals games.

Play on the Lakers to cover

Warriors have a great deal of play off experience on their sides, and that Im betting will be their edge here in game 1 of an expected close game. Warriors are 32-14 ATS in their last 46 Conference Quarterfinals games. GOLDEN STATE is 33-15 ATS  in the first round of the playoffs since 1996. I know the Warriors have not been great on the road this season, but Kings are just  1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.

Kings are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

SACRAMENTO is 6-17 ATS  in home games versus teams who make 14 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 3 seasons.

Play on the Golden State Warriors to cover 

 The Nets have built chemistry since the  deadline trades sent away Kevin Durant and Kyrie Irving. They have been fr from easy outs on most nights since   Mikal Bridges and Spencer Dinwiddie have come on board and they have alot of confidence heading into this series and here game 1 Im betting they are being under rated. 

BROOKLYN is 13-5 ATS  as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season.BROOKLYN is 13-3 ATS L/16  in road games when playing only their 2nd game in 7 days . BROOKLYN is 10-1 ATS  in road games on Saturday games over the last 2 seasons.BROOKLYN is 19-6 ATS L/21 in road games revenging a home blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more. 

Vaughn is 35-17 ATS in road games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more  of their shots in all games he has coached.Vaughn is 30-15 ATS in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game in all games he has coached

NBA team vs the money line (BROOKLYN) - revenging a home loss vs opponent, off an embarrassing upset loss by 20 points or more as a favorite are 28-6 L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate.

NBA Road teams (BROOKLYN) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off a home blowout loss of 20 points or more are 45-16 ATS L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate.

Play on Brooklyn Nets to cover

Minnesota defeated the Thunder back on Dec 16th by a 112-110 final score. Now in revenge mode in a key play off play in  game Im betting Oklahoma City will be ready to play  and according to my power rankings matchup well vs the Wolves as was the case the last time they met. Daigneault is 8-0 ATS  in road games revenging a close loss vs opponent of 3 points or less as the coach of OKLAHOMA CITY. OKLAHOMA CITY is 15-6 ATS versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or more  of their shots this season.MINNESOTA is 7-16 ATS  as a home favorite this season.

From a SRS perspective the Thunder rank 15th in the league at 0.26 while the 
Wolves rank 21st with -0.22 mark . Even with home court advantage the Thunder has an edge on this offered line. 

SRS - Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average.

Play on Oklahoma City Thunder to cover

Chicago upset Toronto as underdogs last time out and well positioned to pull off another win as pups. Meanwhile, the Heat are  off a  116-105  loss and just  have not looked like a play off team for much of this season and do not deserve to be this big a fav in this tilt vs a Bulls side that has won 11 of their L17 tilts overall. Chicago has won the L/3 most recent meetings and deserve respect here as road dogs. 

MIAMI is 9-24 ATS  when playing against a team with a losing record this season.MIAMI is 4-12 ATS  when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season this season.MIAMI is 5-14 ATS versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 or less free throws/game - 2nd half of the season this season.MIAMI is 9-22 ATS  as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season.

Play on the Bulls to cover 

\The Kings know they need momentum entering the play offs and will be primed to put together a complete game against a Ducks side that has nothing left to play for. LA looked great in their last game taking a 3-0 win and another top down effort is what Im expecting from them tonight in Anaheim. Kings are 5-0 in the last 5 meetings.

LOS ANGELES is 6-0 ATS  in road games after having lost 3 of their last 4 games this season

ANAHEIM is 0-13 ATS  in home games against good passing teams - averaging 5 or more assists per game in the 2nd half of the year this season.ANAHEIM is 0-15 ATS  in home games against good offensive teams - scoring 2.85+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season this season.ANAHEIM is 0-14 ATS  in home games against good offensive teams - averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game in the 2nd half of the year this season.

Play on LA Kings to win -1.5 puckline 

The Rays have been in top form so far this season and have recorded 4 shutouts and  registered 12 straight wins and now Im betting on lucky 13 to be a conclusive victory. The 12 wins to start their season have seen 11 of those games decided by 2 or more runs  and a rinse and repeat situation is my bet today vs a Red Sox side that has lost 3 straight .TAMPA BAY is 20-5 against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons as hosts.Rays are 42-11 in their last 53 home games vs. a team with a losing record.

Red Sox are 8-20 in their last 28 road games.Red Sox are 4-12 in their last 16 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Red Sox are 13-40 in their last 53 games on astroturf.

Play on Tampa Bay to win -1.5

Oklahoma City and New Orleans rank nearly identically in most major statistical categories which makes taking points here a viable wagering option. 

From a SRS perspective the Pelicans have a small edge even when factoring in home court advantage. 

New Orleans owns a 1.63 SRS while Oklahoma City has registered 0.96 SRS. 

SRS - Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average.

Oklahoma City has covered their L/4 visits to New Orleans winning 3 of those games SU. 

NEW ORLEANS is 7-15 ATS  versus good offensive teams - scoring 116+ points/game this season.

OKLAHOMA CITY is 14-6 ATS  versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or more  of their shots this season.

Play on Oklahoma city Thunder to cover

Brad Keller. In his first two starts of the year Keller has a 1-1 record with a 2.61 ERA and nine Ks in 10.1 innings and has the ability to keep his team in this game. Meanwhile, Texas sends Eovaldi  who is 1-1 with a 4.22 ERA. According to early season power rankings KCs struggling offense matches up well here giving us an edge on a runline wager backing the visiting Royals. 

TEXAS is 38-60against the money line vs. AL teams scoring 4.4 or less runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.

MLB Home favorites against a 1.5 run line (Money Line =-190 to +175) (TEXAS) - very good offensive team - scoring  5.4  or more runs/game on the season (AL), playing on Wednesday are 6-33 L/5 seasons for a go against 85% conversion rate. 

Play on Royals +1.5 run-line 

The Angels will be primed for a redemption performance today after blowing a big lead to the Blue Jays yesterday and finally succumbing in extra innings by a 12-11 count. 

 Washingtons starting hurler CORBIN is 2-19   against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with the average rpg diff clicking in at -3.4 which qualifies on this run line offering. CORBIN is 4-25   against the money line as an underdog of +100 or higher over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with the average rpg diff registering at -3.9 rpg. 

MLB underdogs with a money line of +150 or more (WASHINGTON) - after 2 straight games where they committed no errors against opponent after a game they hit 4 or more home runs are 10-61 L/5 seasons with the average rpg diff clicking in at  -3.5 which easily qualifies on this run-line offering. 

Play on Angels -1.5 runline 

My projections make this a very close game, with strong value attached to taking the plus goals on the puck-line. It must be noted that the L/4 most recent meetings in this series have been decided by 1 goal. 

BUFFALO is 6-2 ATS  in road games against good starting goalies - saving  91.5% or better of shots against this season . BUFFALO is 6-3 ATS   in road games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 0.5+ goals/game this season.

BUFFALO is 5-1 ATS  in road games against top caliber teams - outscoring opponents by 0.65+ goals/game this season. BUFFALO is 11-7 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Play on Buffalo to cover

The Warriors mission will be to stay as healthy as possible entering the play offs and I wont be at all surprised if they rest alot of key players as this game proceeds giving us an edge with the home dog. GOLDEN STATE is 3-12 ATS  in road games in the second half of the season this season.

GOLDEN STATE is 5-15 ATS in road games when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

NBA Home underdogs of 10 or more points (PORTLAND) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points, off a road cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog are 44-17 ATS L/27 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Portland to cover

Pelicans played last night, and Im betting dont have the legs to get the cover here vs a Memphis side that is being under rated on this line offering. NEW ORLEANS is 6-15 ATS  versus good offensive teams - scoring 116+ points/game this season

MEMPHIS is 19-7 ATS after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread over the last 2 seasons.

Pelicans are 8-17 ATS in their last 25 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Pelicans are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 0 days rest.Pelicans are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (NEW ORLEANS) - hot team - having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games, playing on back-to-back days are 40-76 L/5 seasons for a go against 66% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Memphis to cover

Detroits season has been abysmal as is evident by a  16-62  SU record and have now lost 9 straight . Their biggest problem has been a lack of shooting consistency  as they convert just  45.4% from the floor, which is 30th in the league.  Tonight against  Brooklyn Im betting the tanking Pistons  are  in trouble. Note: Pistons are   1-8 ATS   in home games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) this season.

Brooklyn lost 107-102 to Minnesota last night, as it snapped a three-game home winning streak , but now need to rebound quickly as they stay in the hunt for play in spot into the post season. Full effort here tonight is the prognosis against a proverbial dead corpse Pistons side playing with no emotion. 

Play on Brooklyn to cover

Indiana has nothing to play for but pride, since their play off hopes are gone. However it must be noted the the Pacers are  15-8-1 ATS home dog this season .  On the flip -iside NYK has played top tier basketball of late, but Im betting missing star Julius Randle will eventually effect their flow. With that said, I expect a well rested Pacers group that  are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 2 days rest will be primed to compete. 

NYK have covered only 3 of their L/8 overall. Pacers have covered 2 straight. 

Pacers to cover

With just over a week left in the regular season, the playoff fate of the Colorado Avalanche is still unknown, but one thing that is know is that they need to keep picking up wins. With the previously injured Lehkonen and Landeskog who  are top-six forwards retuning to the lineup they have a strong chance of doing just that against the San Jose Sharks this Tuesday night.SAN JOSE is 8-27 ATS  in a home game where the total is 6 or more this season.COLORADO is 13-3 ATS  in road games against mistake free teams - opponents average 4 or less power plays/game in the 2nd half of the year this season.

Play on Colorado -1.5 puckline 

The Bulls (38-40) are four games ahead of their closest rival for the final spot in the play-in, but  are not yet officially part of the field. Chicago can get into the play offs withj one more victory or one Orlando Magic loss.A victory vs the Hawks would be  an important one though, as the Bulls would secure the season-series tiebreaker over the Hawks . With Hawks star Trae Young dealing with an illness the Hawks are at a disadvantage vs a motivated side playing at home. Note: The Hawks have not win back to back games since early March ( they coincidentally won last time out) Hawks are 18-41 ATS in their last 59 games following a straight up win. Hawks are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games.ATLANTA is 17-29 ATS  in road games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or better  of their shots over the last 2 seasons. 

ATLANTA is 0-8 ATS in road games revenging a road loss vs opponent of 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. Chicago beat Atlanta at home back in January by a 111-100 count. 

Play on Chicago to cover

 The Celtics won the first two head-to-head meetings by nine and seven points, respectively and matchup very well vs the Sixers .Mazzulla is 14-3 ATS  when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) as the coach of BOSTON.BOSTON is 24-11 ATS   on the road when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at +7. 

76ers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.

Celtics are 35-16-1 ATS in their last 52 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. BOSTON is 24-9 ATS  in road games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or better of their shots - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.BOSTON is 16-5 ATS   in road games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or better  of their attempts - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Celtics are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings.

Play on Boston to cover

Minnesota has lost 3 straight while /Brooklyn has won 3 straight. Both teams are currently operating at the opposite end of the proverbial performance spectrum. Ill ride with the hotter team on their own home court. 

Nets are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

MINNESOTA is 10-19 ATS in non-conference games this season.  Timberwolves are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 1 days rest.

NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (MINNESOTA) - off a loss against a division rival, on Tuesday nights are 2-30 L/5 seasons for a go against 94% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Brooklyn to cover 

Washington is expected to be without leading scorer Kristaps Porzingis ( 23.2 points, 8.4 rebounds and 1.5 blocks per game)   and Bradley Beal who averages 23.2 points per game. With little left to play. for the wizards  I will not be surprised by a big double digit win by the Bucks here against a short handed side. 

MILWAUKEE is 7-0 ATS   in road games when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) - 2nd half of the season this season with the average ppg diff clicking in at+13.5 ppg. 

NBA Road favorites (MILWAUKEE) - after being beaten by the spread by 30 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going over the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games are 31-5 ATS L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +15.3 which easily qualifies on this current ATS offering. 

The Magic come into this tonights  meeting  with the Cavaliers  in top form, as is evident by  winning five of six since March 21, and six of eight since March 18. Cleveland has proven to be a top tier team this season, but the Magic must not be disrespected as home dogs.  ORLANDO is 24-13 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season. 

Orlando is the Eastern Conference's sole team outside of the top 10 not yet eliminated from the play-in race so Im betting they play all out hoops tonight. 

ORLANDO is 8-1 ATS  after successfully covering the spread in 5 or more consecutive games this season. 

I know the Cavs have won both meetings in this series this season with the last back in December , but it must be noted that NBA  team vs the money line (ORLANDO) - revenging 2 straight losses where opp scored 100 or more points, after a cover as a double digit favorite are 38-9 L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors.

Orlando is 3-0 SU/ATS L/3 meetings at home in this series.

Play on Orlando to cover 

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

UConn does everything better than San Diego State according to my power rating projections.  Big East teams are 7-1 ATS in the championship round game. 

CONNECTICUT is 15-0-1 ATS after a non-conference game this season and are 15-0 SU and 14-0-1 ATS in non conference tilts this season. 

CBB Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (SAN DIEGO ST) - after 2 straight close wins by 3 points or less against opponent after 3 straight wins by 10 points or more are 7-30 ATS L/27 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors.

UConn to cover

Its never easy playing in the high altitudes of the the Mile High city, but for a poor traveling side like Golden State a house of horrors could easily await them. The Nuggets according to my projections also matchup very well against the Warriors as was the case the last time these teams met back on Feb 2nd when the Nuggets procured a 134-117 victory. Note: GOLDEN STATE is 0-7 ATS  in road games revenging a same season loss vs opponent this season. I know Denver looked lethargic last time out in a loss but they are a resilient group and playing a top tier group of Warriors should have them motivated to get  redemptionDENVER is 10-1 ATS  after trailing in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half over the last 3 seasons.

GOLDEN STATE is 5-13 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season with the average ppg diff clicking in at -13.3. GOLDEN STATE is 8-22 ATSin road games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more  assists/game this season with the average ppg diff registering at -8.9. GOLDEN STATE is 5-15 ATS in road games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more  of their attempts this season with the average ppg diff registering at -10.2. 

GOLDEN STATE is 1-12 ATS  in road games in the second half of the season this season. GOLDEN STATE is 1-9 ATS  as a road underdog of 6 points or less this season.

NBA Favorites vs. the money line (DENVER) - a good team (+3 to +7 PPG differential) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG differential), after a combined score of 205 points or less 2 straight games are 45-3 L/5 seasons for a 94% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA Road underdogs (GOLDEN STATE) - in a game involving two good three point shooting teams (36.5% or better ), after 2 straight games making 16 or more 3 point shots are 15-41 L/27 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Denver Nuggets to cover 

The Bucks came out flat against the Boston Celtics last time out losing by a 140-99 count, but now after that embarrassing defeat they will be very motivated for a bounce back against a 76ers side they also want to get revenge against for a loss they suffered here at home by a 133-1130 count almost a month ago and an earlier loss to the Sixers back on by on 110-102 in Philly. Note: Philadelphia   in games they lose outright against same-season double avenging .500 or better opponents are 6-32 ATS .

MILWAUKEE is 9-1 ATS off a upset loss as a favorite this season.

MILWAUKEE is 14-5 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less this season. MILWAUKEE is 22-10 ATS  as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season.

NBA  team vs the money line (MILWAUKEE) - revenging a home loss vs opponent, off an embarrassing upset loss by 20 points or more as a favorite are 27-6 L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +10 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. 

NBA Favorites (MILWAUKEE) - revenging a home loss vs opponent, off a home loss by 10 points or more are 48-17 L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Milwaukee to cover

With a playoff berth already clinched, the Cleveland Cavaliers host the Indiana Pacers on Sunday to kick off the final week of the regular season. I know the Cavs have a top tier home record, but could easily be in a emotional letdown state after clinching a play off position and after 2 straight losses look like they are in a bit of late season funk and not at the top of the game, possibly because of fatigue as they have been involved in some very hard fought battles. With no play off appearance in the cards for the Pacers a win or very competitive effort would give them something to feel good about, and thats what Im betting goes down here tonight in Cleveland. Indiana to play all out hoops, and for the Cavs to overlook and recoup with a less than motivated effort.Pacers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. 

Play on Pacers to cover 

The Blackhawks enter this game in what some might consider tank mode losing 7 straight trips to the ice by 2 goals or more. Here tonight against the visiting Devils Im betting on another ugly effort as this team does not seem very enthusiastic about putting forward a cohesive work ethic. I know the Devils have also not been playing all that well, but they now have a opportunity to gain momentum with a top tier effort vs a sub par side and Im betting they will be primed to play. 

CHICAGO is 7-36 ATS versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 0.5+ goals/game over the last 2 seasons.

Play on NJ Devils -1.5 puckline 

Both Dallas and Miami are in a funk right now despite of having talented rosters. The Heat has lost 3 straight while, the Mavs have lost 5 of their L/6. Both are desperate for wins , but Im betting home court advantage will be the difference maker in this head to head tilt. 

DALLAS is 6-18 ATS  in non-conference games this season.

Mavericks are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games overall.

Mavericks are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.

Mavericks are 2-10-2 ATS in their last 14 games playing on 2 days rest.

NBA Favorites vs. the money line (MIAMI) - in a game involving two average offensive teams (108-114 PPG), after scoring 48 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games are 35-4 L/27 seasons for a 90% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Miami Heat to cover

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

San Diego State showed me they are a team that deserves a championship appearance after taking out a highly talented Alabama Crimson Tide program in this tournament. The Aztecs determination, and veteran presence along with a top tier defense first posture suits them well against a side like Florida Atlantic. 

The Aztecs have 16-3 record in non-conference play this season.Aztecs are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 neutral site games.

Aztecs are 13-3-2 ATS in their last 18 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

SAN DIEGO ST is 12-0 ATS  versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games this season.

SAN DIEGO ST is 6-0 ATS  in road games when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 80% or better ) after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.

SAN DIEGO ST is 6-0 ATS  after allowing 65 points or less 3 straight games this season.

Dutcher is 18-4 ATS after 4 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers as the coach of SAN DIEGO ST.

Play on San Diego State to cover

The Knicks will be without key offensive cog Randle as they look to officially clinch a playoff spot Friday night. Im betting the Knicks clinching  a play off spot tonight will be derailed for now vs a Cleveland side that matches up well against them according to my current power rankings. The Cavs rank 2nd in the NBA in SRS with a 5.52 mark, while NYK are ranked 7th with a 2.93 . Factoring in home court advantage the Cavs according to my projections should be -6 point favs giving us decent value laying 4 points or less.

SRS - Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average

CLEVELAND is 14-4 ATS versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 13 or less turnovers/game this season. CLEVELAND is 24-13 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season.

NBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (CLEVELAND) - after 2 or more consecutive unders, a good team (+3 to +7 PPG diff.) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 42+ games are 44-18  L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate.

Play on Cleveland to cover 

Im not a big believer in the tank mode concept but the Spurs are exhibiting a lack of competitive spirit of late losing 4 straight by DDs, and not eclipsing the 94 point plateau on offense in 3 of those games. I know Utah has also lost 4 straight, but now in desperation mode as they seek a play in spot against a side that they have the added incentive of revenge against Im betting the Jazz have a break out game and notch a win as road favs. (Note: San Antonio beat Utah 102-94 as road dogs back in Feb 28th)

SAN ANTONIO is 1-9 ATS after 3 straight losses by 10 points or more this season

SAN ANTONIO is 4-12 ATS  when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) this season.

NBA Road favorites (UTAH) - revenging a loss vs opponent, off a home loss by 10 points or more are 26-7 ATS L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Underdogs (SAN ANTONIO) - averaging 45 or less rebounds/game on the season, after a game being out-rebounded by opponent by 20 or more are 13-31 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Utah to cover

The Knicks and Heat  are both put looking for a  top-six finish in the Eastern Conference  in their final regular-season meeting between the longtime rivals . With that said Im expecting a hard fought battle with the away dog giving us  a golden opportunity to cash a ticket. Note: Jimmy butler is expected to play tonight after taking the last game off with a sore neck. 

Knicks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (NEW YORK) - in a game involving two average teams (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 42 or more games, after a combined score of 245 points or more are 29-50 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MIAMI) - after being beaten by the spread by 42 or more points total in their last seven games against opponent after going over the total by 48 or more points total in their last seven games are 44-14 ATS L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Heat are 11-4 ATS in the last 15 meetings in New York.

Play on Miami to cover

Golden State had a 3 game win streak abruptly end last time out at home in a rare home loss to the up trending Minnesota wolves last time out. Now Im betting the Warriors will be wide awake and primed for a bounce back vs a Pelicans side that has found a way into the win column in 4 straight tilts( 3 of those wins came against bottom feeders Houston, Charlotte and San Antonio .That illustrates that their run may not be that impressive and a more subjective deeper look has me backing the home fav. NEW ORLEANS is 4-14 ATS  as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season. Pelicans are 8-22 ATS in their last 30 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

NEW ORLEANS is 0-8 ATS  in road games versus teams who attempt 39 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season with the average ppg diff clicking in at -11.4. 

Warriors are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.

Warriors are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

Warriors are 3-0 SU/ATS L/3 at home in this series.

NBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (NEW ORLEANS) - after beating the spread by 24 or more points total in their last three games, on Tuesday nights are 7-34 ATS L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (NEW ORLEANS) - revenging a road loss vs opponent, off a win by 15 points or more as an underdog are just 10-27 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. (Golden State beat the Pelicans 108-99 here in this same venue on March 3). 

Play on Warriors 

The Grizzlies are 32-5 at home this season with the average margin ppf diff clicking in at +11.2 ppg . Memphis is also on a 6 game win streak  and gaining momentum as they heads towards the play offs. There will not be a letdown here down the stretch. I know the Magic are playing well , but that will have the Grizzlies even more focused. MEMPHIS is 16-4 ATS in home games in March games over the last 3 seasons.

MEMPHIS is 21-8 ATS  in home games after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 3 seasons.

MEMPHIS is 23-8 ATS in home games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more  assists/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Play on Memphis to cover 

Bringing down the hammer on lower tier sides is something the Thunder do well especially when playing as hosts.  Thunder are currently  secured victories in nine of their last 13 games, and HC Dort's defense has been a big reason for Oklahoma City's recent success. Nothing changes tonight especially if key star  Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is unable to play because of a sore ankle.

OKLAHOMA CITY is 7-0 ATS  in home games versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game this season with the average ppg diff clicking in at +17.6 . 

Play on the Oklahoma City Thunder 

Kings will be have an advantage vs a Minnesota side that played a hard fought game on the road  against the Golden State Warriors  last night grabbing narrow 99-96 victory. The Wolves victory was a grueling physical event and  now on tired legs in a back to back situation their hosts the Sacramento Kings off since Friday have the advantage.Timberwolves are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games following a ATS win.Kings are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

NBA Home teams vs. the money line (SACRAMENTO) - an excellent offensive team (118 PPG or more ) against a poor defensive team (114-118 PPG) are 46-8 L/27 seasons for a 85% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +10.2 which qualifies on this ATS offering. 

Sacramento Kings to cover 

After a 7 game win streak the Sixers have hit a road bump losing 3 of their L/4, but now Im betting on a bounce back effort vs a winning side that should have them motivated in ready to compete- if not even pull off the outright upset. I know Embiid and Harden are not 100% but at least one of them is expected to play tonight and even if they don't Im betting the 76ers are still deep enough to step up and compete. Note: 76ers are 13-3 ATS in the last 16 meetings in Denver.

PHILADELPHIA is 10-2 ATS when playing their 3rd road game in 5 days this season.

DENVER is 5-16 ATS  after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons

Nuggets are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 1 days rest.

NBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DENVER) - off a home win, in March games are 39-76 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 66% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (PHILADELPHIA) - good offensive team - scoring 114+ points/game on the season, after allowing 120 points or more 2 straight games are 38-23 ATS L/27 seasons for a 62% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Philadelphia to cover

Detroits has not got alot to play for other than pride at this point in the season, and tonight against the defending champs their egos will be on the line, as they are rated as 15 point plus home dogs. The advantage that the Pistons have here at least on this line, is that Milwaukee is on tired legs, as this is their 3rd game in 4 nights and could also be over looking an inferior opponent. Advantage goes to the fresher legs of the Pistons playing at home. 

Bucks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.

Casey is 34-18 ATS L/52 in home games after 4 or more consecutive losses in all games he has coached .

NBA Road favorites of 10 or more points (MILWAUKEE) - hot team - having won 15 or more of their last 20 games, extremely tired team - playing their 3rd road game in 4 days are 5-26 ATS L/27 seasons for a go against 84% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Detroit to cover

Home sweet home  is where Golden state plays their best  basketball as their 30-7 SU record would indicate with the average ppg diff  margin clicking in at just under +8 points which qualifies on this ATS offering . The Warriors have 3 straight wins and took out a top tier Philadelphia squad here at home last time out, by a 120-112 count  and Im betting on the momentum of their current run to extend into todays tilt against the visiting Wolves, who despite of two consecutive wins have been highly inconsistent this season. Golden State is 5-0 SU/ATS L/5 at home in this series. 

GOLDEN STATE is 22-6 ATS  in home games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or better  assists/game this season. GOLDEN STATE is 15-3 ATS  in home games versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 or less free throws/game this season.

NBA Home teams vs. the money line (GOLDEN STATE) - an excellent offensive team (118 or more  PPG) against a poor defensive team (114-118 PPG) are 46-7 L/26 seasons for a 87% SU conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking at +10.4 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering.

Play on Golden State Warriors to cover

After 3 straight hard fought tilts against the LA Clippers( back to back meetings) and a their recent loss to the Lakers, Im betting the Thunder may not be as viable a favorite as the lines-makers expect even though the Blazers are missing Lillard and some other not as important starters. Im betting on the Blazers support staff will step things  up a notch off the bench as they look to make an impression that will further their careers. Thunder are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.

Trail Blazers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.

PORTLAND is 12-3 ATS  in home games versus sub standard defensive teams - allowing 116+ points/game this season.

NBA Home teams vs. the money line (PORTLAND) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a losing team are 28-2 L/5 seasons for a 93% conversion rate. (The Thunder beat the 138-129 back in Feb 10 here in Portland)

Play on Portland to cover 

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

 Miami  plays an explosive form of small ball , behind top tier  guards  , including  a small ball super star in  Norchad Omier and despite of the Longhorns current run are in danger of being upset. Note: In the elite 8 round  Big 12 teams are  4-15 vs opp off ATS win. Longhorns are 3-11-1 ATS in their last 15 NCAA Tournament games.

MIAMI in 23 games as an underdog over the last 2 seasons  the Canes have a scoring edge on their favored opponent's by an average  of 2.2 ppg. . 

Hurricanes are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 NCAA Tournament games.Hurricanes are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

Miami Fl to cover

The Lakers continue to play hard to try to get themselves in a play off spot, but now play against a side in top form.  Chicago is off smashing Portland 124-96 on Friday to open a three-game road trip while grabbing  its sixth victory in eight games and must be respected in this spot play vs a aging Lakers group. Bulls are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 road games.Bulls are 4-1-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Los Angeles.The Bulls won both meetings last season and viable underdogs in this spot play.

Lakers are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games playing on 1 days rest.

Lakers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.

Play on Chicago Bulls to cover

Milwaukee is off a huge DD win vs the Jazz last night in Salt Lake City scoring 144 points. Now Im expecting immediate regression by a Bucks side playing back to back games on tired legs in the high altitudes of the Mile High City. Advantage Denver.

MILWAUKEE is 15-28 ATSas an underdog over the last 3 seasons

DENVER is 11-2 ATS  in home games versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game on the season this season.

NBA team (MILWAUKEE) - in a game involving two average free throw shooting teams (72-76%), after a game making 19 or more 3 point shots are 10-28 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Denver to cover

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

 UConn behind a potent two way game have the edge here vs a strong offensive side with a average at best D. The Huskies are 14-0 SU and 13-0-1 ATS vs non conference opposition this season and Im betting nothing changes here today.

GONZAGA is 2-8 ATS  in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) this season. GONZAGA is 0-6 ATS in a neutral court game where the total is 150 to 154.5 over the last 2 seasons.

CONNECTICUT is 7-1 ATS in all neutral court games this season.

NBA favorite (CONNECTICUT) - after beating the spread by 48 or more points total in their last seven games against opponent after beating the spread by 54 or more points total in their last ten games are 53-21 ATS L/26 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA underdog (GONZAGA) - after beating the spread by 48 or more points total in their last ten games against opponent after beating the spread by 48 or more points total in their last seven games are 28-7 ATS L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on UConn to cover 

The Flames already knew they need a miracle finish to reach the playoffs, but their chances took another hit in Thursday's 3-2 home defeat to the Vegas Golden Knights. Tongiht the desperate Flames Im betting will it all on the ice, in a conclusive win vs a tanking Sharks  side that has a chance in  draft lottery of claiming phenom Connor Bedard.

SAN JOSE is 0-16 ATS  when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) this season

Play on Calgary to cover -1.5 on the puckline 

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

PRINCETON is 8-1 ATS  versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games this season.

PRINCETON is 6-0 ATS vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% or better  of their attempts this season.PRINCETON is 7-1 ATS  as an underdog this season.

McDermott is 27-40 ATS \in road games versus good shooting teams - making 45% or better of their shots after 15+ games as the coach of CREIGHTON.

Princeton to cover