My projections make this Washington Huskies team an  underdog of closer to a FG in a game Im betting will be much closer than this line suggests. Huskies HC DeBoer is  8-1 ATS as a  pup , including 5-0 SUATS with the Huskies and is also  6-1 SU against  undefeated opposition. Meanwhile, HC Harbaugh owns a  11-21-1 ATS career vs undefeated sides like Washington. Teams like Michigan who defeated a Nick Saban side last time out have failed to cash 11 of their L/14. My own view here is the Michigan wolverines after getting some fortunate calls and a dream play run at the game to tie Alabama could find it hard to get their emotional drive back here . After watching in disbelief Saban allowed Michigan  to take the ball first in OT with momentum   which resulted in a TD. Then on offense the Tides miscues cost them from tying the game.  Now  Im betting the Wolverines  will now be in a huge letdown spot. In my opinion it was Saban that lost that game and gifted it to Michigan.  Hey dont get me wrong the Wolverines are fine team, but Im betting on Huskies super star QB Penix who can make the best of Defenses look bad to step up here and give the edge to the Huskies to cover. note: DeBoer is 11-1 ATS   in non-conference games in all games he has coached since 1992. 

Play on Washington to cover

This is Oklahoma City Thunder 3rd straight road game in 5 days and Im betting they will be on tired legs here vs their underdog opponent the Washington Wizards. The Thunder lost the fiorst two games of this road trip, and previous to that played Denver, Minnesota and Boston and fatigue could be an issue here. Advantage Washington to cover

NBA Road teams vs. the money line (OKLAHOMA CITY) - off 2 or more consecutive road losses, good team, winning 60-75% of their games on the season are 16-32 L/5 seasons for a go against 67% conversion rate. 

NBA Road favorites (OKLAHOMA CITY) - a very good team (7 or more PPG differential) against a terrible team (-7 or less PPG differential), after a combined score of 235 points or more are 7-24 ATS L/27 seasons for  a 78% conversion rate. 

Play on Washington to cover

Detroit thanks to their ugly 3-32 SU record are  cashing of late brining home the cash to their backers in 5 of their L/6 overall. Thanks to their very bad season huge DD lines are being offered up to the public . Thanks to those market abnormalities their has been value backing the faltering men from Motown. With the Nuggets playing on tired legs with this being their 3rd game in 4 nights, Im betting they wont have the enthusiasm or legs to put forward a big effort vs a side I'm sure their over looking. Advantage Detroit on the line.

NBA Home favorites of 10 or more points (DENVER) - after going over the total by 18 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going over the total by 30 or more points total in their last five games are 5-31 ATS L/5 seasons for a 86% go against  conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Underdogs of 10 or more points (DETROIT) - after having covered 3 of their last 4 against the spread, tired team - playing their 4th road game in 7 days are 69-34 ATS L/27 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Detroit to cover 

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.

Northwestern to cover

The New Orleans Pelicans suffered their most lopsided home loss in more than two months in their last game and will be primed for a big bounce back effort vs a side they matchup well against vs Kings side that  my power rankings suggest the Pelicans  match up well against. The Pelicans are a perfect  3-0  against the Kings this season, having won in New Orleans 129-93 on Nov. 20 and 117-112 on Nov. 22, then taking them out  in an in-season tournament quarterfinal game Dec. 4 in Sacramento. Rinse and repeat now on board.

SACRAMENTO is 7-18 ATS in home games after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.

NEW ORLEANS is 21-9 ATS versus sub par  defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 48% or worse over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Underdogs (NEW ORLEANS) - after a loss by 10 points or more against opponent after 2 straight games where both teams scored 115 points or more are 75-31 ATS L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Pelicans to cover

 Atlanta was off a ugly 150-116 loss in Indiana to the Pacers on Friday and now after that embarrassment will be ready to play an all out game vs a Orlando side that after a fast start to their season having lost 5 of their L/7 and 11 of their L/16 overall SU. 

NBA team (ATLANTA) - after a blowout loss by 20 points or more against opponent after 2 straight games where both teams scored 115 points or more are 36-10 ATS L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.

ATLANTA is 7-2 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons and have won 4 of the L/4 meetings here in the Magic kingdom. 

NBA team vs the money line (ATLANTA) - an explosive offensive team (118 PPG or more ) against an avg. offensive team (108-114 PPG), after allowing 68 points or more in the first half last game are 34-9 L/27 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Atlanta to cover

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Maryland to cover

The Chicago Bears come into this game having won  four of its last five games, with the only l defeat coming by 3 points. I know the Green Bay Packers desperately need a win here to get a wild card spot in the post season,  QB Justin Fields is finally starting to look like a top tier NFL QB and will be  primed to make sure the Bears  dont just lie down and play dead for the Packers.    In his L/9 trips to the gridiron  he has passed for  1,838 yards, 13 TDs, and  uses his legs proficiently rushing  521 rushing yards, This game looks much closer to a pickem according to my projections. Spoiler alert in play here. Oh one last thing I know Green Bay has owned the Bears in the recent past but that was with Aaron Rodgers under center. 

GREEN BAY is 0-6 ATS   after allowing 3 points or less in the first half last game over the last 3 seasons which was the case last time out. 

CHICAGO is 6-0 ATS  vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 61% or better in the second half of the season this season.

NFL Road underdogs or pick (CHICAGO) - with a sub par passing D - allowing a comp pct of 64% or worse, after allowing 5.5 or less passing yards per attempt last game are 61-35 ATS L/5 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Chicago Bears to cover

The SF 49ers are expected to rest  their key starters here today giving the Rams a rare advantage .  The Rams are running hot having  three straight and six of its past seven games. Considering the The Rams are 9-0 ATS as a division road pup it is not a hard decision to take the points here today. The Rams also have the added motivation of revenge for a loss earlier this season to the 49ers- Note: McVay is 7-0 ATS in road games revenging a same season loss against opponent as the coach of LA RAMS. Also the Niners are off a  DD win vs the Washington last week by a 27-10 count which is not necessarily good omen as Shanahan is 1-8 ATS  ) in home games off a double digit road win as the coach of SAN FRANCISCO.

NFLHome teams (SAN FRANCISCO) - outgaining their opponents by 1.75 or more passing yards/attempt, after gaining 7 or more passing yards/attempt last game are 28-61 L/10 seasons for a 69% go against conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the LA Rams to cover

Blaine Gabbert starts for the Chiefs today. The  last time he started was in 2018  season for the Tennessee Titans. KC cannot do any better than where they are entering the play offs and are not really interested opponents for the Chargers today. There will plenty of Chargers hopefuls that will be primed to play this game considering the Chargers will be over hauled in the off season. Advantage Chargers. KANSAS CITY KC is 0-6 ATS   in road games after outgaining opp by 100 or more total yards in their previous game over the last 3 seasons.Reid is 1-10 ATS   in road games after outgaining opp by 100 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games in all games he has coached since 1992.

Play on the LA Chargers to cover

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.

Fairfield to cover

After having been robbed in the previous game because of suspect officiating the Detroit Lions are in a nasty mood and ready to take their frustrations out this week vs the visiting Minnesota Vikings The Lions  own a 6-0 SU/ATS L/6 record against Vikings and here at home have a been a dominant side, winning five of seven games while scoring 30.6 ppg. Advantage Motown.

DETROIT is 11-1 ATS  vs. excellent passing teams with a completion pct. of 64% or better in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.Campbell is 9-0 ATS  vs. good passing teams averaging 235 or more passing yards/game in the second half of the season as the coach of DETROIT.

Play on the Lions to cover

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

UCLA to cover

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

LSU to cover

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Utah to cover

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Notre Dame to cover

The Ravens enter in this game expected to rest alot of players and the Steelers are in desperation mode as they need to win this game for any chance they have to get into the play offs, and some luck. The Ravens are a deep team and must not underestimated in their abilities to compete here even with some of their key starters on the side lines. It must be  noted that 17 of the previous 31 games in this series have been decided by a field go or less and 24 of those games by one score or less. It must also be noted that the Ravens are  13-1-1 ATS as a home pup in this series when the Steelers own an above .500 record.  BALTIMORE is also 11-2 ATS   as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.

 PITTSBURGH is 0-6 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 3 seasons.

NFLFavorites of 3.5 to 10 points (PITTSBURGH) - after a game where they forced 1 or less turnovers against opponent after 4 consecutive games where they committed 1 or less turnovers are 23-50 ATS L/10 seasons for a 69% go against conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Ravens to cover

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

BC to cover

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Citadel to cover

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Army to cover

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Villanova to cover

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Gtown to cover

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Louisville to cover

Houston has played their best hoops at home this season winning 14 of 19 games and won at home last time out for their 2nd straight win.  HOUSTON is 15-3 ATS  after playing a home game this season. Udoka is 12-1 ATS off a home win as the coach of HOUSTON. Meanwhile, the visotrs tonight are on a down mode at the moment after a   117-106 home loss to the New Orleans Pelicans on Wednesday, their third loss in five games. Current momentum and their top tier level of play at home has me recommending we take the hosts to cover.

NBA  Home underdogs of +145 to +350 vs. the money line (HOUSTON) - after playing 4 consecutive home games are 24-13 L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +1 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. 

Play on Houston to cover

The Blackhawks are banged up and playing a ugly brand of hockey at the moment,  as is evident by losing 11 of the L/13 trips to the ice and are also on tired legs as they play their 3rd game in 4 nights, vs a surging NJ Devils side, that (4-1-0) L/5 and  who are 12-6-1 since Thanksgiving even though they are also not fully healthy. The Blackhawks have lost 17 of 21 road games with the average gpg diff clicking in at  -2.3 gpg  and are fade material here tonight. CHICAGO is 0-12 ATS  in road games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.CHICAGO is 6-32 ATS when playing their 3rd game in 4 days over the last 3 seasons.

Play on the NJ Devils to cover -1.5 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Arizona State  to cover

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Utah Valley has suffered just two losses over the last two seasons in the  confines of the UCCU Center. The Wolverines have won 21 of their last 23 games at home and get the nod again.

CBB team (UTAH VALLEY ST) - in a game involving two average free throw shooting teams (65-69%), cold shooting team - 3 straight games making 40% or less of their shots are 69-27 ATS L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors.

Utah Valley to cover

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

IUPU to cover

The Suns are shinning bright right now after 4 straight wins and have the ability to pull off the upset vs the red hot LA Clippers tonight in the desert. I know that Kevin Durant is expected this miss this game but Bradly Beal has really stepped up his play and feels confident taking a leading role for the Suns. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (PHOENIX) - vs. division opponents, off 3 or more consecutive home wins are 33-8 L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors.

Take the points with the Phoenix Suns to cover

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Rice to cover

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Louisville to cover

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Radford to cover

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

George Washington to cover

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Saint Louis  to cover

Both these sides enter this game in top form. The Thunder have won four straight  games and seven of their last eight, entering Tuesday's matchup with the second-fewest losses in the conference. Oklahoma City is 22-9 this season. Meanwhile,   Boston has won 11 of its past 12. So this will be a clash of the titans, but Im betting the home court advantage for the Thunder will be the difference maker in a place where the home side has won the two most recent meetings.

BOSTON is 1-10 ATS  in road games versus good pressure defensive teams - forcing 15 or more  turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.

OKLAHOMA CITY is 16-3 ATS  in home games versus good rebounding teams - out-rebounding opponents by 3+ per game over the last 3 seasons.OKLAHOMA CITY is 15-3 ATS  versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 or less free throws/game this season.OKLAHOMA CITY is 8-1 ATS   in non-conference games this season.

NBA Home teams vs. the money line (OKLAHOMA CITY) - after 2 or more consecutive wins against opponent after 4 or more consecutive wins are 68-33 L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors.

The Thunder are 4-0 ATS L/4 meeting in this series.

Play on Oklahoma City to cover

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Illinois Chicago to cover

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Toledo to cover

The Bucks are back home after a four-game road trip, most recently defeating the Cavaliers in Cleveland on Friday by a 119-111 final and have won 9 of their L/10 overall SU. Meanwhile, Indiana has won 3 straight, and before that run started they lost 6 of 7 Considering the Bucs play their best hoops at home where they are 16-1 SU while covering 12 of those games it will be an easy decision to back the home side that has one more day rest as compared to the visitors. . Indiana can really light up that score-bard and thats their opus operandi  but  Milwaukee is equally explosive offensively.  These are the top two offensive teams in the NBA in points per game (126.6 and 125, respectively) and offensive rating (122.3 and 121, respectively). the difference maker comes on the defensive end of the floor via efficiency ratings - Indiana ranks 28th (120.9) in defensive  while the Bucks rank 16th (116) . Note: Defensive Rating (available since the 1973-74 season in the NBA); for players and teams it is points allowed per 100 posessions.

MILWAUKEE is 55-42 ATS (as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Road underdogs (INDIANA) - in a game involving two good three point shooting teams (36.5% or more ), after 2 straight games making 16 or more 3 point shots are 20-46 ATS L/27 seasons for a 70% go against conversion rate for bettors .

NBA Road underdogs (INDIANA) - good 3PT shooting team (36.5% or better ) against an average 3PT defense (33-36.5%), after 2 straight games making 16 or more 3 point shots are 23-53  ATS L/27 seasons for a  go against 70%  conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Home favorites (MILWAUKEE) - after having won 3 of their last 4 games, top level team, winning 75% or more of their games on the season are 55-24 ATS L/5 seasons for a 62% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Bucks to cover

Alabama started slowly this year but like a  run away freight train seem unstoppable now. 

The Tide enter this game with some powerful trends on their  side. For example Alabama is  20-3-1 ATS as an underdog against  an undefeated team and the SEC champion team  is  perfect  6-0 ATS in a Bowl game  vs a undefeated side.  On the flipside the wolverines are 0-6 SU/ATS in their L/6 Bowl games.

I know Michigan can run the ball, and have a mobile QB, but Sabans crew owns 30th ranked rush defense in the country allowing just   3.7 YPC and 124.5 YPG. I can see Harbaugh finding the sledding tough in this matchup and thus for us taking the points makes alot of sense. 

ALABAMA is 7-0 ATS versus good offensive teams - averaging 5.9 or more  yards/play this season.

Harbaugh is 4-12 ATS when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest as the coach of MICHIGAN.

Play on Alabama to cover

The Tennessee Volunteers have alot of talent, but that has not helped all that much this season, as they underperformed as compared to what the pundits though they would achieve. The Vols owned the worst time of possession in all of FCS football, and here against Iowas super staunch D, will be challenged to hold the ball for long here today. What Im betting on is that this disciplined Iowa D, that ranked 5th in not taking penalties this season will life miserable for a mistake prone and undisciplined Vols side that ranked 127 th in penalties this season. I know the Hawkeyes offense has looked stale this season, but it must be noted that TENNESSEE is 5-15 ATS L/20 versus terrible offensive teams - averaging 4.25 or less yards/play. Also Ferentz is 31-18 ATS  when the total is between 35.5 and 42 points as the coach of IOWA with the average ppg diff clicking in at +4.3 ppg. 

Play on Iowa to cover

Liberty comes into this game undefeated and have out yarded their opposition in every game this season and Im betting if they lose to this powerful Oregon side they wont go into the night easily. After losing the PAC 12 championship to Washington, the Ducks may find themselves in a emotional letdown spot. With RB Bucky Irving opting out and a litany of other key missing parts from the regular season the Ducks are waddling in this tilt vs a formidable opponent.  QB Bo Nix cannot win this game on his own.

Note: Pac 12 Bowlers are 3-26 ATS vs teams coming off a victory like Liberty.  
Liberty 6-0 ATS vs. sides  coming off a SUATS loss as a favorite.

OREGON is 0-6 ATS in road games vs. good teams - outscoring opponents by 10+ PPG on the season over the last 3 seasons.

LIBERTY is 7-0 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

CFB Neutral field underdogs (LIBERTY) - excellent rushing team - averaging 225 or more rushing yards/game, after gaining 225 or more rushing yards in 4 straight games are 26-3 ATS L/31 seasons for a 90% conversion rate for bettors.

CFB Neutral field underdogs (LIBERTY) - outrushing their opponents by 100 or more yards/game on the season, after gaining 225 or more rushing yards in 4 straight games are 24-3 ATS L/31 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Liberty to cover

QB Jayden Daniels’ will play for LSU today and his name alone has over bloated this line in favor of the underdogs Wisconsin. It must be noted that Heisman Trophy QBS  have lost 20 of 31 games SU vs top tier  defenses that give up 19 PPG or less like the Badgers. I know LSU has flashy explosive offense but Wisconsin has a very tough D, that can slow down the best of attacks. On the flips side Im betting the Badgers can grind their way towards the red zone , and also do some damage to a non existent  LSU red zone D, ranked 113th in the nation. Note:

Brian Kelly is 1-7 ATS as a bowl favorite of 7 or more points while, the Badgers have covered 6 of their L/8 as 6+ point underdogs.

CFB Neutral field favorites (LSU) - after having won 3 out of their last 4 games, good team, winning 60-80% or more of their games on the season are 9-29 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors.

CFB Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (WISCONSIN) - off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival, with 17 or more total starters returning are 38-13 ATS L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors.

CFB Underdogs of +155 to +300 vs. the money line (WISCONSIN) - off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival, with 9 or more defensive starters returning are 34-18 L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors 

Play on Wisconsin to cover

The Suns have won two consecutive tilts to move above .500 but have been major underachievers so far this season. Phoenix lost nine of 12 games before the consecutive victories and according to my power rankings are being over rated in this spot play at home. Note: PHOENIX is 4-12 ATS  in home games this season. From a matchup perspective the Magic look good here as they are  13-4 ATS  versus sub par defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or more this season. ORLANDO is 32-18 ATS  as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons. Meanwhile, PHOENIX is 2-16 ATS  versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots this season and is 0-7 ATS  after failing to cover 4 of their last 5 against the spread this season. Advantage Orlando. 

NBA Home teams (PHOENIX) - bad pressure defensive team - forcing 12 or less turnovers/game, in December games are 16-40 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors.

Take the points with the Orlando Magic 

 This is the Grizzlies 3rd game in 4 nights and they are coming off an exhausting 4 game road trip that saw them lose their last two tilts. Sacramento is off a road win vs Atlantan last time out and has momentum entering this game . Im betting it takes some time for the Grizzlies to acclimated to home cooking and for the Kings to grab the win. 

 SACRAMENTO is 19-8 ATS  in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. SACRAMENTO is 23-10 ATS ( when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) over the last 3 seasons. SACRAMENTO is 37-21 ATS in road games over the last 2 seasons.

Play on the Sacramento Kings to cover

Boston's most recent win was a 120-118 slugfest at home against Toronto. The truth of the matter was the Celtics looked a little tired after playing all out winning hoops for what has been an extended period of time which believe it or not can be exhausting both physically and mentally. With this being the Celtics 3rd game in 4 nights the young Spurs who have been fairly competitive at home could easily stay within this offered underdog number. The Spurs have procured a -8.2 ppf at home this season. 

BOSTON is 15-27 ATS  when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons

NBA Road favorites of 10 or more points (BOSTON) - extremely tired team - when playing their 3rd game in 4 days, in December games are 4-23 L/27 seasons for a go against 85% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Road favorites (BOSTON) - a very good team (+7 or more  PPG differential) against a terrible team (-7 or less PPG differential), after a combined score of 235 points or more are 6-24 ATS L/27 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Spurs to cover

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

N Dakota State to cover

Las Vegas is off a big win last time out at KC and are 5--1-1 ATS under new interim HC Antonio Pierce . With momentum on their sides going against a Colts side, that is just 1-6 ATS hosting AFC West opposition taking points here with the reborn Raiders looks very much to be. viable betting option. It must also be noted that the visitor in this series is 5-0 ATS L/5 and  Raiders’ interim head coach's  when coming off a victory the last three seasons, are  5-1 ATS as a pups, and 3-0 ATS against opposition like the Colts  coming off a SUATS defeat.

LAS VEGAS is 7-0 ATS after allowing 14 points or less last game over the last 3 seasons. (Beat KC last week 20-14)

INDIANAPOLIS is 16-31 ATS  when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) since 1992.

NFL Road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (LAS VEGAS) - with a terrible passing D - allowing a comp pct of 64% or worse, after allowing 5.5 or less passing yards per attempt last game are 36-11 ATS L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Las Vegas to cover

 I know the Bucs won last time out as hosts, but that has been a recipe for disaster for their betting backers as they are  0-5-1 ATS at home off a home game. I know QB Baker Mayfield has looked great for the Bucs, but today he goes against a desperate Saints side that needs wins to have the possibility of making the pay offs. Today revenge and desperation trump the Bucs situational algorithms. 

NEW ORLEANS is 21-8 ATS L/29 in road games revenging a same season loss against opponent and are 5-0 ATS when they have triple revenge on board. (Saints have lost last three to TB including a game this season)

NEW ORLEANS is 12-3 ATS L/15  in road games vs. struggling  passing defenses - allowing 260 or more passing yards/game after 8+ games  .

NFL team (TAMPA BAY) - off an upset win as a home underdog, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team in the second half of the season are 5-25 ATS L/30 seasons for. go against 83% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on New Orleans to cover

Baltimore is off a huge DD road win vs the SF 49ers last time out and will be in natural letdown spot here this Sunday. Note: NFL team (BALTIMORE) - off a double digit win as a road underdog of 6 more are 13-38 ATS L/10 seasons in their followup tilt. Also BALTIMORE is 0-6 ATS  in home games after a win by 10 or more points over the last 3 seasons and top gun QB Lamar Jackson is 0-3 ATS as a home favorite when coming off a straight up underdog victory. 

Meanwhile, Miami is off a ugly 22-20 win vs Dallas last time out and continue to uptrend in my power rankings. NFL Road underdogs or pick (MIAMI) - good offensive team - scoring 24 or more points/game, after a win by 3 or less points are 97-49 ATS L/30 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors.

The Fins have also played teams like the Ravens tough recently going  6-0 ATS  vs. good offensive teams - scoring 24 or more points/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Miami has covered their L/2 vs the Ravens including one here in Maryland and get my backing to cover this week in a key spot play. 

Play on Miami to cover

Dallas super star Doncic has been on a tear  of late, recently putting up  39-points and a  50-point explosion Christmas Day in Phoenix in a victory versus the Suns. He was  given Thursday off on the second night of a back-to-backs and should be fresh and ready to run and gun tonight against the over rated and inconsistent Golden State. 

Kidd is 22-10 ATS  versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game as the coach of DALLAS.

NBA Home teams vs. the money line (GOLDEN STATE) - after going over the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games, on Saturday games are 47-69 L/5 seasons for a go against 60% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Mavs to cover

Dallas' offense has looked a little inconsistent the past two games as  Dak Prescott was limited to 134 passing yards by the Bills , but is more than capable of a bounce back effort here at home.In the team's home games, Prescott has completed 74 % of his passing attempts with 20 touchdowns and just two interceptions. Rinse and repeat on todays agenda vs visiting Motown. 

Dallas is 15-0 SU and 12-3 ATS at home in this last 15 games overall , including a 5-0 ATS  when coming off a loss and are in bounce back mode. DALLAS is 6-0 ATS as a home favorite of 7 points or less over the last 2 seasons. Dallas also matches up well vs a explosive team like the Lions, going   7-0 ATS ( in home games vs. good passing teams averaging 235 or more passing yards/game. over the last 2 seasons 

Play on Cowboys to cover

NYK has lost 3 of their L/4 games , but this is a resilient well conditioned side that is more than capable of bouncing back. Note: NEW YORK is 15-4 ATS after having lost 3 of their last 4 games over the last 2 seasons. This will be the Knicks 3rd game in 4 nights, but they are one of the NBAs best conditioned sides as is evident by HC Thibodeau  26-12 ATS mark  in road games when playing their 3rd game in 4 days as the coach of NEW YORK. We all know the Pacers can shoot the lights out both their defense is atrocious.  With that said it must be noted that NEW YORK is 8-1 ATS versus terrible defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 48% or more  this season.NEW YORK is also 7-0 ATS in road games after 1 or more consecutive unders this season.( lost in Orlando 118-107 - going under a total of 226) Meanwhile, Im betting Indiana after two straight underdog wins on the road could easily be in a letdown spot here which seems to not be uncommon for them as they are  5-17 ATS L/22 off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as a road underdog . INDIANA is also  0-8 ATS  after a division game this season.  ( Took out  division foe Chicago 120-114 last time out) 

NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (INDIANA) - in a game involving two average teams (+/- 3 PPG differential.), after scoring 120 points or more 2 straight games are 25-55 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against  70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the NY Knicks to cover

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

The Pistons continue their ugly season tonight against the Raptors as they try to grab a victory for the first time in 28 games . Despite of not winning they have been mostly competitive and played a great game vs the Celtics last time out after taking a big lead.Despite playing an grueling heart breaking game in a overtime contest on Thursday, the Pistons will be the fresher team on Saturday vs a Toronto side playing in back to back games. Im not saying the Pistons grab the win here, but taking points with them is a viable option. note: The Pistons have grabbed the cash the L/3 times they have faced the Raptors at home in Motown.

NBA Home teams vs. the money line (DETROIT) - after 2 straight losses by 6 points or less against opponent after scoring 115 points or more 2 straight games are 25-12 L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate.

NBA Home teams (DETROIT) - sub par pressure defensive team - forcing 12 or less turnovers/game, in December games are 15-40 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Detroit to cover

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Auburn lost  In the Stats battles , in all 7 conference games with a net average of -165 YPG and yet fine d favor with the linesmakers. Needless to say this was not one of better incarnations of the Auburn football program and Im betting they are getting far to much respect here  vs a Maryland side with a top tier QB at the helm of their offense,  ( future NFLer  Taulia Tagovailoa)

Auburn is -1-5 SU ATS L/6 Bowl games and failed to cover 7 of their L/8 against the Big 10.  AUBURN is 0-8 ATS L/8 in road games off a cover where the team lost as an underdog.

Teprs are 5-1 ATS  L/6 non conference tilts. 

MARYLAND is 9-2 ATS  after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread over the last 2 seasons.

Maryland to cover

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Ole Miss QB Jaxson Dart can rip apart the best of defenses. Yes, Penn State has a top tier D, but their offense is very inconsistent . Note: Penn States respected defensive coordinator Manny Diaz has left a for a job at Duke, and will not be around to mentor his D today. Edge Ole Miss taking points. 

Big Ten bowl sides like Penn State  have lost 11 of 17 games  and are just  4-13 ATS versus the SEC football programs when they are a  three point or more  favorite. Ole Miss is  5-0 SUATS as the bowl under dog  of 3 or more points. 

CFB Underdogs of +155 to +300 vs. the money line (OLE MISS) - after being beaten by the spread by more than 21 points in their previous game, in December games are 19-7 L/30 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

 CFB Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (OLE MISS) - after allowing 5.5 or less passing yards per attempt last game, with 9 or more offensive starters returning are 170-101 L/31 seasons for a 63% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Ole Miss to cover

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

CALIFORNIA is 9-1 ATS  vs. teams who are called for 3+ less fouls/game than their opponents over the last 3 seasons.

ARIZONA is 1-8 ATS  in road games versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game over the last 2 seasons.

Play on California to cover

The Denver Nuggets,  would be riding a 10-game winning streak if not for Oklahoma City. The last time these teams played the young never say die Thunder came out on top and their ability to be relentless will be the difference maker tonight. 

The Thunder rallied to win at Denver on Dec. 16, and now they return there for another matchup against the reigning champions on Friday night.

OKLAHOMA CITY is 20-8 ATS  in all games this season.OKLAHOMA CITY is 17-7 ATS  as a road underdog of 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Underdogs (OKLAHOMA CITY) - after scoring 115 points or more 2 straight games against opponent after scoring 135 points or more are 41-12 ATS L/27 seasons for a 78% conversion rate. 

Play on Thunder to cover

Atlanta enters this home game against Sacramento dumping money for their betting backers at an astounding rate , as is evident by cashing just 2 of their L/15 overall including SU losses in 9 of their L/12 overall. I know Atlanta has won 4 straight meetings in this series but that was than and this is now. Advantage Kings 

SACRAMENTO is 10-1 ATS in road games versus terrible defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 48% or more  over the last 2 seasons

ATLANTA is 2-13 ATS  versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or better  of their attempts this season.ATLANTA is 5-20 ATS  versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more  assists/game this season. ATLANTA is 0-7 ATS as a home favorite this season. ATLANTA is 0-9 ATS  in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 230 this season.

NBA Home teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (ATLANTA) - after 3 or more consecutive losses, in December games are 8-32 L/5 seasons for. a 80% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA Home teams (ATLANTA) - after allowing 115 points or more 4 straight games against opponent after a loss by 10 points or more are 22-55 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Sacramento 

  Cleveland came through in the crunch in  a hard-fought battle Wednesday, taking down the Dallas Mavericks on the road 113-110 after needing to come-back from a 20-point deficit. Entering this game with a big scoop of confidence Im betting the Cavs give the visiting Milwaukee Bucks all they can handle. Cleveland has won the L/4 meetings in this series a at home and have an edge taking points at home.

CLEVELAND is 28-14 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MILWAUKEE) - poor defensive team - allowing 114+ points/game on the season, after scoring 120 points or more 2 straight games are 31-61 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 66% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Cleveland to cover

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

 .

Wright St to cover

Clemsons  HC Dabo Sweeney is used to playing for bigger marbles than this, and the team as whole may not be as motivated to play in a minor bowl  . Meanwhile. Kentucky is a gritty team, that has played well overall this season, against top tier competition and considering ,ACC teams are  just 1-6 SU L/7  l  bowl games vs the Southeastern Conference its not going to be hard decision for me to take the points with the underdog Wildcats who are 24-1 SU in their L/25 non conference games.

Play on Kentucky to cover

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

I know Oklahoma will start a freshman QB  Jackson Arnold today after their starter went into the transfer portal, but this is still a solid Sooners team that is more than capable of upending No.14th ranked Arizona.  He went 18-for-24 for 202 yards this season so its not like hes has not taken a snaps. Scouting reports also say hes is excelling in the new offensive coordinators system. I also know Arizona has won 6 straight and are streaking into this Bowl game, but it must also be noted that  Pac-12 bowl sides  are an ugly 2-25 ATS versus opposition  coming off a victory.

Note: The Sooners are 5-0 SU in their L/5 games against Pac-12.  The favorite is 2-7 ATS in this bowl venue.

Arizona QB Noah Fafita may have more issues staying upright as his starting starting left tackle, will ,miss this tilt,

Historical trend chart:

ARIZONA is 0-7 ATS in road games after scoring 35 points or more in a win over a conference rival since 1992.ARIZONA is 1-12 ATSin road games after scoring 37 points or more in 2 straight games since 1992. (Beat rivals Arizona State 59-23 last time out)

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

The Bulls according to my power rankings matchup well here at home vs a Indiana team that pays little attention to D. Note: CHICAGO is 8-1 ATS versus terrible defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 48%  or more this season. Right now the Bulls are a ATM machine for their betting backers cashing 11 of their L/13 ATS and are off a underdog victory vs the Atlanta Hawks last time out. That good news considering they are a bankroll expanding CHICAGO is 10-1 ATS  off an upset win as a home underdog over the last 2 seasons .  HC Donovan is 18-2 ATS  off an upset win as a home underdog as the coach of CHICAGO.CHICAGO is also 7-0 ATS  after covering 4 of their last 5 against the spread this season. The Pacers won last time out against Houston, but that was only their 3rd win in 9 games, and Im betting against them here tonight, mostly because of their lack of defensive discipline, something the Bulls have in spades. 

NBA Home teams vs. the money line (CHICAGO) - after 2 or more consecutive unders, average defensive team (108-114 PPG) against a horrible defensive team (118 or more  PPG) are 40-8 L/27 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Chicago to cover 

Both of these teams have opt outs, but the deeper side is Kansas State and they have the better coach in my opinion, Kleiman who takes winning seriously and losing even more intensely as is evident by going   6-0 ATS /SU  after 1 or more consecutive straight up losses over the last 2 seasons.( KState lost to Iowa State 42-35 to end the season) Bounce back time on todays agenda for the Wildcats. Note: Kleiman is 10-1-1 ATS off a loss versus a side  coming off a victory like NC State. 

KANSAS ST is 13-5 ATS (as a favorite over the last 2 seasons. KState ranked No. 1 in the nation in most Defensive TD

CFB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (NC STATE) - after 4 or more consecutive wins against the spread, with a winning record on the season are 16-40 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors. 

NC State is 0-3 SUATS L3 Bowls. 

Play on Kansas State to cover

To start with SMU is 0-4 SU/ATS vs ACC schools and have lost their L/3 Bowl games SU/ATS all as chalk. I know Boston college will have a back up QB at the helm of the offense, but my projections estimate they will still do enough damage to cover this number with their D being the key to covering this number and even possibly pulling of the upset. It must also be noted three of the Eagles 6 wins came as underdogs this season and they must not be discounted in this spot play . I know SMU comes in their streaking, but are jus  2-11 ATS  in road games after 4 or more consecutive straight up wins . 

CFB Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (BOSTON COLLEGE) - after going over the total by 28 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going over the total by 35 or more points total in their last five games are 55-24 L/31 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on BC to cover

Texas A&M enters this Bowl game with a recent history of failure in Bowl games going 0-3 SU/ATS L/3 appearances. The Aggies despite of some top tier talent just makes to many mistakes and are an undisciplined group as is evident by ranking No. 130  in the nation in Most Penalties Per Game (9.83). Also the Aggies this season are 1-5 SU against fellow Bowl teams. Considering the Cowboys are 6-1 ATS L/7 series , I like their chances to cover against a inconsistent Aggies side.   .The key will be one of the nations top running backs  Gordon who eclipsed the 100-yard mark in eight games this season and has 20 TDs  of Oklahoma State. 

OKLAHOMA ST is 11-3 ATS  vs. good teams - outscoring opponents by 10+ PPG on the season over the last 3 seasons.

TEXAS A&M is 1-8 ATSin road games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.

CFB team (OKLAHOMA ST) - after being beaten by the spread by 49 or more points total in their last five games, in December games are 60-20 ATS sicne 1992 for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Oklahoma State to cover

Cleveland has played very competitive ball and according to my projections matchup well here vs a Dallas Mavs side that  is 15-28 ATS  as a home favorite over the last 2 seasons and just 10-24 ATS in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons. Considering Cleveland is well rested after last playing Saturday in a 109-95 win at Chicago, they look to have an edge here taking points vs a side that played Christmas day in a win vs the Suns on the road - behind Doncics 50 point out put. Regression from the Mavs should be expected. 

NBA Underdogs (CLEVELAND) - off a win against a division rival, in December games are 45-25 ATS L/5 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Cleveland  to cover

These teams West Virginia and North Carolina feature two key missing parts. The Mountaineers will be without starting C Zach Frazier who is out due to surgery. Meanwhile, North Carolina, will be without star QB Drake Maye  who opted out for the NFL draft. Both may have problems moving the ball consistently though the air because of this will Im betting  instead pound the ball on the ground consistently behind very strong running games. The Mounties have a trio of strong backs,  QB Garrett Green ,.J. Donaldson, and  Jaheim White  while, Tar Heels exhibit  RB Omarion Hampton who had 1442 yars of production. From my projected perspective this will be a grinding game that could easily be decided by one score, thus making the underdog value a very viable proposition. 

W VIRGINIA is 0-8 ATS as a neutral field favorite of 7 points or less since 1992. W VIRGINIA is 1-12 ATS   as a neutral field favorite since 1992. West Virginia is also s 0-11 ATS as a bowl favorite. 

N CAROLINA is 7-0 ATS  in road games against teams who force 1 or less turnovers/game on the season 

CFB Neutral field favorites (W VIRGINIA) - after having won 3 out of their last 4 games, good team, winning 60-80% or more of their games on the season are 7-28 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate for bettors. 

The Fav has failed to cover 5 of the L/6 Duke's Mayo Bowl confrontations. 

Play on North Carolina to cover

So Tulanes HC Willie Fritz is gone to Houston along with a few assistants , but is that enough to sway this line in that big of a direction vs a side like Tulane that has won 24 of their L/27 games overall. Im betting no. This is a viable Tulane team, that is in my opinion being vastly under rated and deserve respect here getting points. The Green Wave are 11-2 on the season , while the VTech Hokies are just 6-6 on the season, and just 2-4 away from home. Just have to take the points here as the line seems bloated. VIRGINIA TECH is 2-11 ATS L/13  in road games after gaining 6.25 or more yards/play in 2 consecutive games . Also VTech won their last game of the season vs Virginia, but in the past thats not a good omen for their betting backers as they are 1-10 ATS L/11 coming off a victory as a fav (which they were).

Play on Tulane to cover

The Chicago Bulls have shown alot of consistency and competitive recently winning 8 of their L/12 SU while covering 10 of those games. They did lose to Cleveland late time out but are a resilient bunch that Im betting will bounce back vs a Atlanta side that does not travel particularly well as is evident by their 8-9 away record that has seen them fail to cover 11 of those tilts and 10 of their L/14 overall SU(home/away). With the Hawks expected to be  without forward De'Andre Hunter who will undergo a non-surgical procedure and already missing key component Johnson, Trae Young becomes the sole arbiter of the Hawks, and despite his prowess is not a one man team. Advantage Chicago. 

ATLANTA is 5-16 ATS  in road games after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.ATLANTA is 2-12 ATS  versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more  of their attempts this season.

NBA team (CHICAGO) - off a home loss by 10 points or more, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a losing team are 73-34 ATS L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Home teams vs. the money line (CHICAGO) - after 2 or more consecutive unders, average defensive team (108-114 PPG) against a horrible defensive team (118 or more  PPG) are 39-8 L/27 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Chicago to cover

The Texas State offense was explosive this season but the D is where the problems are incurred as is evident by ,  ranking 118th in the nation while  allowing 33.8 points per game and earlier this season allowed 77 points in a loss versus Arkansas State. I know Rice  Backup AJ Padgett has not been as explosive as starter JT Daniels , but he is a quality QB that matches up well vs this miserable Texas State secondary and D. Note: AAC bowlers are 4-2 SUATS vs. Sun Belt opponent.  The Owls 7-1 ATS L/7 games as a dog of 13 or less points. RICE is 8-2 ATS in games played on turf this season.

NFL Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (RICE) - after outgaining opp by 175 or more total yards in their previous game, with an experienced QB vs. opponent with inexperienced QB are 57-27 ATS L/10 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Rice to cover 

Boston owns the No.1  SRS in the NBA with. a 11.50 mark, while the Lakers are ranked 20th in SRS at -0.13. Even with home court advantage there is a clear cut edge for the top tier Celtics telling me this line is tainted based on Lakers brand name recognition. I know the Lakers grabbed a elite  win vs the Thunder last time out on the road, but history does not bode well for the aging Lakers to put out another big time effort in this spot, as HC  Ham is 6-19 ATS  off a road win as the coach of LA LAKERS.

SRS - Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average

BOSTON is 19-9 ATS  when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons.

Boston team vs the money line (LA LAKERS) - after allowing 115 points or more 3 straight games against opponent after scoring 125 points or more 2 straight game are 39-10 L/27 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +7.2 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering.

Play on Celtics to cover

Philadelphia  before their current 3 games losing streak had won 24 of 28 games . Despite of the negatives of their current skein this is still a proud side with enough top tier talent for a conclusive bounce back effort. I know the Giants had won 3 straight before getting lambasted by DDs last week at New Orleans , but this is a side that has been out yarded in 6 straight games and just don't have the wheels to compete here vs a frustrated and redemption minded side. Its not often I lay this much lumber, but that what Im recommending we do this Monday. 

Super Bowl losing sides from the previous season  like the Eagles are  9-1 SU L/10 opportunities   when playing off three consecutive  defeats, including 3-0 SUATS at home by an average ppg diff of 14 ppg. 

NFL team (PHILADELPHIA) - off an upset loss as a favorite, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a losing record in the second half of the season is 43-14 ATS L/10 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Eagles to cover

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

CBB Road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (TCU) - after going over the total by 48 or more points total in their last ten games, top level team, winning 80% or more of their games on the season are 14-44 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Hawaii to cover

Kyler Murray is set to make his sixth start since returning from injury.The QB   has completed 62.1 percent of his passes for 1,075 yards, four touchdowns and four interception while rushing  for 155 yards and three scores and Im betting he will be the difference maker vs a Bears side he matches up well against. 

ARIZONA is 9-1 ATS as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points over the last 3 seasons.Arizona 9-2 ATS in their last eleven non-division tilts and 5-1 ATS L/6 in this series.

CHICAGO is 0-7 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. 

CHICAGO is 0-7 ATS  after being outgained by opp by 100 or more total yards last game over the last 2 seasons.CHICAGO is 0-6 ATS  after allowing 300 or more passing yards in their last game over the last 2 seasons.

Chicago  1-5 ATS L/6 as short non-division home favorite  of 6 or less points.

Play on the Arizona Cards to cover

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Neutral court teams as a favorite or pick (TEMPLE) - after 2 or more consecutive unders, in a game involving two good offensive teams (74-78 PPG) are 28-6 ATS L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +11.3. 

Temple to cover

Seattle is not playing well, despite of finding a way to win last time out, coming from behind to beat a tired Philadelphia Eagles side  20-17 count. After 4 straight exhausting games against the 49ers twice and the Cowboys and the Eagles last time out, Im betting the Seahawks dont have alot left in the tank.  It must also be noted that the Seahawks are  0-5 SU in away tilts  this season since its Bye Week. With  Tennessee owning a 6-1 ATS record in this series  and the fact that they are 4-0 SUATS this season   off a loss the Titans look like viable underdogs. 

NFL Road teams (SEATTLE) - poor rushing team (70-95 RY/game) against a team with an average rushing defense (95-125 RY/game), after being outrushed by 75 or more yards in 2 straight games are 22-53 ATS L/30 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Tennessee to cover

San Jose State has not lost since late October  winning 6 straight games and have looked decent overall . But this line vs Coastal Carolina is a just a bit too big a spread. according to my projections.  Note : Coastal Carolina is 5-1 ATS vs an opponent  with equal or better record and are 20-9 ATS L/29 as a dog of  12 points or more . San Jose State HC  Brennan has cashed only 2 of 8  ATS as a double-digit favorite.

Coastal Carolina to cover

After winning the in season tournament the Lakers old legs look like they have cramped up as is evident by losing 5 of their L/6 including four straight. Meanwhile, the Thunder are playing at the opposite end of the performance spectrum, and just off ending the Clippers extended win streak while  having won 5 of their L/6 and three straight and will be primed to take down the visitors tonight as they are one of the best conditioned sides in the league. 

OKLAHOMA CITY is 14-5 ATS  versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game this season.OKLAHOMA CITY is 21-6 ATS versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 13 or less turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.OKLAHOMA CITY is 20-9 ATS  as a home favorite over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Home teams vs. the money line (OKLAHOMA CITY) - off 2 consecutive home wins by 10 points or more, well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days are 32-4 L/5 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +11.4 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. 

Play on the Thunder to cover

After two top tier victories in a row vs KC and Dallas, Im betting on the Bills to be in a letdown spot here in Southern California tonight vs a Chargers side   that is a  perfect 5-0 SU at home in this series and a  5-0 ATS in its last five games as a double-digit underdog . It must be noted that the Bills are 0-6 ATS L/5 as DD favs. I know the Bills need wins for a play off admission but a victory does not mean things will go all that easily , especially against a side that looks to be running the ball this week alot because their starting star QB Hebert in out. Note: The Bills rush D, is kind of wonky as is evident by allowing 4.6 ypc. Advantage Chargers 

NFL Underdogs of 10.5 or more points (LA CHARGERS) - after 2 or more consecutive losses, a bad team, winning 25% to 40% of their games on the season are 30-4 ATS L/10 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors.

Chargers to cover

I dont think is the kind of Bowl invite the Utah Utes expected at the out set of what might be considered a disappointing season, based on high expectations. I realy cant see the Utes coming into this game with a lot of enthusiasm, and Im betting they are weak favs here vs a Northwestern side that won their L/3 games of the season while covering their L/6 overall.

. The Utes are 0-4 SU in their last four bowl tilts,  and have lost 3 of their L/4 SU/ATS vs big 10 opposition. Whittingham is 24-38 ATS  as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points as the coach of UTAH.

Big Ten teams coming off a victory like (Northwestern) are 14-0 ATS in bowl games versus Pac-12 opponents. Meanwhile, Pac 12 Bowl  teams like the Utes are 2-25 ATS vs teams coming off a win. 

Northwestern is 7-3 ATS L/10 bowl games. 

Play on Northwestern to cover

Pittsburgh QB  Rudolph, has  gone  5-4-1 SU and 5-3-2 ATS as a starter in his NFL career but has , a 2-0 SU record vs the Bengals. . HC Tomlin has never a had losing NFL season and he is 22-9 when he brings his team in with a .500 record and are  11-4 SU as a host   including 4-0 SUATS as a pup.  Its not easy going with a Steelers team that has scored an average of just 13 points in their L/5 games, but I feel confident we have a top tier  spot position to bet into as the Steelers really need a victory here to catch the possibility of a play off spot.  I like the Steelers chances of having the favor of the  God of Fortune  on their sides here in Steel Town this Saturday. 

PITTSBURGH is 8-1 ATS (after allowing 30 points or more last game over the last 3 seasons. Steelers are 5-0 SU/ATS L/5 at home off a 3 game losing run! Steelers are 4-0 SU/ATS L/4 Saturday home games.

NFL teams where the line is +3 to -3 (PITTSBURGH) - after 3 or more consecutive losses against the spread against opponent after 2 or more consecutive wins against the spread are 37-13 ATS L/10 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Pittsburgh Steelers

JMD HC  Curt Cignetti, has left the team, some say abandoned ( lol)  to be the new coach at Indiana .This  leaves a strong side without their mentor, which could easily see the Dukes fumble here vs a military  school thats not easy to play against . 

Air Force is 9-0 L9 as non-conf dogs  and 8-2 ATS L/10 bowl games . 

CFB team (AIR FORCE) - after being beaten by the spread by 49 or more points total in their last five games, in December games are 58-20 ATS L/31 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Air Force to cover

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Seton Hall to cover

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

West Virginia to cover

 Atlanta rallied late for a 134-127 road win over the Houston Rockets on Wednesday and have momentum and confidence entering this game against inconsistent Miami side. that is  15-33 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.MIAMI is  also 18-32 ATS  as a home favorite over the last 2 seasons.Friday's game will be the second of the season between the teams, as the Heat won in Atlanta 117-109 on Nov. 11 and now Im betting on a top tier revenge effort from a Hawks side that grabbed a victory here the last time they visited. 

Play on Atlanta to cover