Atlantas Trae Young had a ugly outing last night, but Im betting now with the rust off after a injury lay off he will be in rebound mode tonight. This is a well conditioned Hawks team that my own power rankings suggest matchup well vs the Sixers. It will be Atlanta's second back-to-back of the season. The Hawks  split the first one on the road, beating Detroit and losing to top tier Milwaukee which can be forgiven.

76ers are 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.76ers are 6-14-1 ATS in their last 21 road games.

Hawks are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Hawks are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 home games.Hawks are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games following a ATS loss.

ATLANTA is 47-31 ATS  in home games versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 or less  free throws/game over the last 3 seasons. ATLANTA is 44-28 ATS   in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 3 seasons.

NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (PHILADELPHIA) - off a win by 10 points or more as an underdog, in November games are 3-33 L/5 seasons for a go against  91% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Atlanta Hawks to cover

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Chicagos super star Zach Lavine despite of some nagging injuries is expected to play tonight against visiting  New Orleans . With him in the lineup, the Bulls offense will be alot more balanced and thanks to improved defensive play this season, the Bulls look like viable bets here on their own home court.Green is 2-11 ATS  in road games in November games as the coach of NEW ORLEANS.Donovan is 32-18 ATS  in the first half of the season as the coach of CHICAGO.

Pelicans are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Pelicans are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

Bulls are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.

Bulls are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

NBAl teams where the line is +3 to -3 (NEW ORLEANS) - explosive offensive team - scoring 118+ points/game on the season, first half of the season are 9-32 ATS 26 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (NEW ORLEANS) - explosive offensive team - scoring 118+ points/game on the season, first half of the season is 8-33 L/26 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Chicago to cover 

Buffalo had a five game win streak abruptly come to an end  vs Ohio last time out. on the road . However, it must be noted that Buffalo is looking to win its fourth road game of the season. A win would make the Bulls bowl eligible for the seventh time in program history and the fifth time in the last six seasons so they will be very motivated and ready for a bounce back effort.

Key projected difference maker: Buffalo has forced 19 turnovers on the season.  The Bulls' lead the MAC with a +7 turnover margin. Add to that Bulls defense has been positively aggressive this season  scoring  a defensive touchdown in three of the last four games. 

BUFFALO is 19-5 ATS against teams with a turnover margin of -1 per game or worse since 1992BUFFALO is 14-3 ATS  after having won 4 out of their last 5 games since 1992.

Chippewas are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 home games.

CFB road team (BUFFALO) - off a big upset loss by 17 points or more as a favorite, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team are 23-3 L/30 seasons for a 89% conversion rate!

Play on the Buffalo Bulls to cover 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Retooling with a young group in Davidson makes them vulnerable to a top tier Wright State side from the Horizon league. 

Wildcats are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games.

Raiders are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

Raiders are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record

CBB Road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DAVIDSON) - team that had a winning record last season, with just two starters returning from last year in the first 10 games of the season are 6-25 ATS 5 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors. 

CFB road team (DAVIDSON) - poor foul drawing team from last season - attempted 18 or less free throws/game, team from a second tier division 1-A conference against a team from a mid-major conference are 7-29 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Wright State to cover 

The Battle of the Bricks goes tonight as up-trending Ohio takes on Miami Ohio in Oxford tonight. Im betting- Ohio has surprised alot of ppl this season behind a offense thats piling up top tier numbers. It must be noted that rhe Redhawks have one of the best defenses in the conference. Miami ranks first in scoring defense (21.4), second in total defense (348.0), first in rush defense (107.8), third in sacks (23) and third in interceptions (7). Miami's rush defense ranks 18th nationally.  In five conference games the RedHawks are allowing 18.0 points per contest and have allowed just 10 touchdowns all MAC season.-- In conference play, opponents have reached the re zone 16 times, but have come away with touchdowns just 50% of the time.

Meanwhile, Ohio is ranked 124th in tackling and 123rd in coverage.Thats important because Im betting on QB  Gabbert  who has won 11 of his 12 career starts in Oxford to keep up with Rourke and company and get us to the promised land with either a cover or a SU upset victory.

Projected key difference maker: In his first year with the football program, Graham Nicholson has not disappoin ted  . He finished the season 15-20 on field goals, including 6-of-7 on attempts between 40-49 yards. He added 30 touchbacks on 65 kickoffs in 2021. He is 13-for-16 on field goals in 2022. He also had his first game-winning field goal, connecting on a 36-yard field goal with 21 seconds to go in the 17-14 win at Northwestern.

The RedHawks are 32-15-2 at home vs. Ohio, including a 30-28 victory in 2018 in the Bobcats' last visit.

OHIO U is 4-15 ATS L/19 when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) 

MIAMI OHIO is 32-15 ATS ( L/47 when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%)MIAMI OHIO is 21-8 ATS   off a double digit road win since 1992. which was the case last time out. Martin is 13-4 ATS  as a home underdog as the coach of MIAMI OHIO.

Play on Miami O to cover

Two top tier teams, play tonight as Boston visits Memphis. Im betting home court advantage with a team that went 30-11 SU as hosts last season and are already 3-0 straight up at home this season offers up value . 

Celtics are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Celtics are 19-40-2 ATS in their last 61 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points.

MEMPHIS is 11-1 ATS  as a home underdog of 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons.MEMPHIS is 33-17 ATS  in home games over the last 2 seasons. Jenkins is 101-75 ATS   versus good passing teams, averaging >=23 assists/game as the coach of MEMPHIS.

MEMPHIS is 11-2 ATS  in home games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or better of their attempts over the last 2 seasons.MEMPHIS is 17-7 ATS  versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons. MEMPHIS is 30-12 ATS  versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more  of their shots over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Home teams vs. the money line (MEMPHIS) - an excellent offensive team (118 or more  PPG) against a poor defensive team (114-118 PPG) are 27-4 L/26 seasons for a 86% conversion rate. 

Take the points with Memphis to cover 

The Saints are off a top tier 24-0 effort last time out vs a very inconsistent Raiders team. However it must be noted that NFL teams off a shutout home win are just 1-4 ATS/SU  L/5 opportunities dating back 37 seasons. Also the Saints have proven themselves very inconsistent this season, losing 5 of 8 games. Allen is 3-12 ATS after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread in all games he has coached and is vulnerable to a letdown scenario here.

NEW ORLEANS is also just  9-22 ATS  L/31  against AFC North division opponents .

Harbaugh is 6-0 ATS  in road games against teams with a turnover margin of -1 per game or worse in the second half of the season as the coach of BALTIMORE.

Favorites vs. the money line (BALTIMORE) - team with a turnover diff. of +0.75/game or better against a team with a diff of -0.75/game or worse, after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of +1 or better are 31-3 L/10 seasons for a 92% conversion rate for bettors.

New Orleans is 0-5 ATS under the Monday night lights of prime time action, 

Baltimore is 6-1-1 ATS on Monday night away tilts.

Play on Baltimore to win /cover

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Musketeers are 7-15 ATS in their last 22 games overall.

Musketeers are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 home games.

CBB  favorite (XAVIER) - first 5 games of the season, after closing out last season strong with 4 or more straight wins, good team from last season (60% to 80%) playing a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) from last year are 3-24 ATS L/26 seasons for a go against  89% conversion rate.

Play on Morgan state to cover

Orlando has played well at home this season beating Charlotte and Golden state and playing closely contested tilts vs Boston and Sacramento.  Meanwhile, Houston has lost 6 straight, with 5 of the 6 losses by 8 or more points and 9 of their L/10  games overall this season, and all 7 road tilts they have played. Advantage to Magic.

HOUSTON is 14-27 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons.HOUSTON is 21-48 ATS  when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons

NBA Home teams vs. the money line (ORLANDO) - excellent shooting team (47% or more ) against a terrible defensive team ( 47% or more ), average ball handling team (14.5-16.5 TO's) against an average pressure defense (14.5-16.5 TO's). are 30-2 L/5 seasons for a 94% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +11.1 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. 

NBA Home teams (ORLANDO) - after going over the total by more than 18 points in two consecutive games against opponent after going under the total by 18 or more points total in their last three games are 22-4 ATS L/5 seasons for a 84% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Orlando to cover 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

TARLETON ST is 7-0 ATS  in a road game where the total is 130 to 134.5 over the last 3 seasons.

ARIZONA ST is 1-8 ATS  in November games over the last 3 seasons.

CBB Home favorites of 10 to 19.5 points (ARIZONA ST) - first 5 games of the season, non-tournament team from last season who won 4+ of their last 5 games, mediocre team from last season that won between 45-55% of their games are 4-26 ATS L/26 seasons for a go against  87% conversion rate. 

CBB Home favorites of 10 or more points (ARIZONA ST) - first 5 games of the season, non-tournament team from last season who won 4+ of their last 5 games, mediocre team from last season that won between 45-55% of their games are 5-30 ATS L/26 seasons for  a 86% conversion rate.

Play on Tarleton to cover

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

 Bulldogs are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games.

Tigers are 1-11 ATS in their last 12 Monday games.

CBB Home favorites of 10 to 19.5 points (CLEMSON) - first 5 games of the season, non-tournament team from last season who won 4+ of their last 5 games, mediocre team from last season that won between 45-55% of their games are 4-26 ATS L/26 seasons for a go against  87% conversion rate. 

CBB Home favorites of 10 or more points (CLEMSON) - first 5 games of the season, non-tournament team from last season who won 4+ of their last 5 games, mediocre team from last season that won between 45-55% of their games are 5-30 ATS L/26 seasons for  a 86% conversion rate.

Citadel to cover

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

South Dakota State to cover 

The Jazz have played alot better hoops than many had expected after some departures in the off season. However its still early, and Ive noticed the Jazz have played a lot of run and gun hoops  on a heavy schedule, so they are on tired legs and vulnerable  entering this tilt vs a Clippers side that has won 3 straight games behind a solid D. With that said, Im recommending we ride the momentum of the Clippers at Staples today.  UTAH is 8-18 ATS  when playing 8 or more games in 14 days over the last 2 seasons.

UTAH is 9-21 ATS after having won 3 of their last 4 games over the last 2 season. UTAH is 15-31 ATS  after playing a road game over the last 2 seasons.

Jazz are 16-33-2 ATS in their last 51 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Jazz are 8-18 ATS in their last 26 road games.Jazz are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.Jazz are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game.Jazz are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.

NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (UTAH) - off a win by 10 points or more as an underdog, in November games are 2-32 L/5 seasons for a go against 94% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at -11.4 which easily qualifies on this ATS line. 

Jazz are 0-5 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Los Angeles.

Play on the LA Clippers to cover

Future HOF QB Brady and the Buccaneers are no longer to be feared as is evident by their sub par play so far this season. Brady has averaged a substandard 6.7 yards per attempt and the offense is tied for 25th in third-down efficiency (34.6 percent). 

TAMPA BAY is 9-21 ATS  in home games vs. mistake free teams - 42 or less penalty yards per game. TAMPA BAY is 0-6 ATS  in games played on a grass field this season. TAMPA BAY is 0-6 ATS   in games played on a grass field this season which was the case last time out. 

After a negative outing vs the SF 49ers last /Sunday the defending Super Bowl Champs will be in redemption and bounce back mode and are very dangerous. Sean McVay  is 10-5 ATS as a  road dog and  10-3 ATS and 9-4 ATS i vs NFC South opposition , including cashing and winning 3 straight as a dog. The  Rams’  also own a 8-1 ATS series record vs the Bucs and 3-0 SU/ATS L/3 visits to Tampa Bay. 

Small non-Division Away Pup (+5 or less points) if they lost their last game as a Home Dog/pk and scored 20 points or less are 24-2 ATS . Rams qualify.

NFL team vs the money line (TAMPA BAY) - poor rushing team - averaging 90 or less rushing yards/game, after being outrushed by 75 or more yards in 2 straight games are 28-6 L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Rams 

New Orleans played last night in a win vs Golden State and will now be on tired legs against a well rested Atlanta Hawks side that is built to take on bigger teams like the Pelicans. 

ATLANTA is 29-15 ATS  when the total is greater than or equal to 230 over the last 3 seasons. 

Pelicans are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Pelicans are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Pelicans are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games following a straight up win.

NBA  Road teams vs. the money line (NEW ORLEANS) - off a home no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite, extremely tired team - when playing their 3rd game in 4 days are 32-10 L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate.

Pelicans are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 Saturday games.

Pelicans are 2-7 ATS in the last 9 meetings.

Play on Atlanta to cover

Last time out -The Knicks came back from a  12-point deficit ,  in the fourth-quarter Friday to edge the host Philadelphia 76ers 106-104. The Celtics are off a  hard fought victory Chicago Bulls to take a 123-119 event. Both teams are now ion tired legs, but the Knicks under HC Thibodeau has proved themselves to well conditioned. Note: Thibodeau is 18-7 ATS   when playing on back-to-back days as the coach of NEW YORK. Knicks are also 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games playing on 0 days rest. Knicks are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

Celtics are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up win.

Celtics are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games.

BOSTON is 14-30 ATS  versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game on the season over the last 3 seasons.

NBA Road teams vs. the money line (BOSTON) - off a home no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite, extremely tired team - when playing their 3rd game in 4 days are 10-32 L/5 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors.

The Knicks have won the L/3 meetings SU at home in this series.

Play on the Knicks to cover

Brooklyn is off a much needed win last time out playing a complete game vs the Washington Wizards. by a 128-86 count. But now Im betting on regression, vs a Charlotte side that is desperate for some positive results after 3 straight losses.Note:  BROOKLYN is 9-25 ATS (after a game where they covered the spread over the last 2 seasons.Udoka is 1-14 ATS  vs. poor rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 3+ per game in all games he has coached.

BROOKLYN is 10-26 ATS  as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons.BROOKLYN is 18-43 ATS  as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.BROOKLYN is 17-30 ATS  after 1 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Underdogs of +145 to +350 vs. the money line (CHARLOTTE) - after scoring 105 points or less 2 straight games against opponent after scoring 68 points or more in the first half last game are 27-17 L/5 seasons for a 62% conversion rate. Im not recommending we make this a ML bet, but giving an example of a possible outright upset that makes taking points a very viable option.

Play on Charlotte to cover 

Cincinnati lost last week to UCF and now are in a emotional letdown spot and vulnerable to starting slow despite of being in bounce back mode. Since last seasons play off run the Bearcats own a 1-6-1 ATS mark. 

NAVY is 7-0 ATS  vs. good teams - outscoring opponents by 10+ PPG on the season over the last 2 seasons. NAVY is 9-1 ATS  vs. very good offensive teams - scoring 34 or more points/game over the last 2 seasons. NAVY is 8-1 ATS  versus good offensive teams - averaging 5.9 or more yards/play over the last 2 seasons. Niumatalolo is 6-0 ATS  as a road underdog of 14.5 to 21 points as the coach of NAVY. Niumatalolo is 15-4 ATS  off a home win against a conference rival as the coach of NAVY.

CFB Underdogs of 10.5 to 21 points (NAVY) - mistake free team - 42 or less penalty yards per game, after dominating the time of possession last game (36 or better  minutes) are 55-16 SATS L/30 seasons for a 74% conversion rate. 

Play on Navy to cover

These two teams are operating at the opposite end of the performance spectrum with Illinois getting national accolades, while Michigan state seems completely lost. However, for today at least Im betting on Michigan state finding a way to be competitive. After a huge passing game last week vs Nebraska (91% completion rate)-- Illinois Im betting regresses especially after having to endure a emotional letdown after playing in type of stadium that can sap your energy. Michigan State needs wins badly to get a Bowl invite, so Im betting they leave everything on the field today. 

ILLINOIS is 2-10 ATS  in home games vs. poor passing defenses - allowing 8 or more passing yards/att.  ILLINOIS is 2-13 ATS  in a home game where the total is 42 or less since 1992.

ILLINOIS is 1-9 ATS in home games after covering the spread in 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games since 1992.

Play on Michigan State to cover 

Both these sides Tennessee and Georgia  are explosive offensively but the difference maker comes via the Dawgs far superior D.  The Dawgs are 10 ppg and 131 yards better on defense than the Volunteers.  Georgia ranks 1st in red zone offense, and No.2 in Red Zone defense. Meanwhile, the Vols are ranked 82nd in the nation in overall D. Note:  Dawgs HC  Kirby Smart is 36-7 SU covering 31 times  as a favorite of less than 20 points,  and has won 8 straight games against  undefeated foes.

CFB road team (TENNESSEE) - in a game involving two explosive offensive teams (34 or more PPG) after 7 or more games, after scoring 31 points or more in 3 straight games are 7-25 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors. 

CFB Home favorites (GEORGIA) - in a game involving two dominant teams (outgain opponents by 1.2+ YPP), after gaining 525 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games. are 48-19 ATS L/30 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Georgia to cover 

 The UCF Knights are strong team especially when playing at home but have yet to notch a victory on the road in the American Athletic Conference this season and have not grabbed a  win in Memphis since 2018 season. Im betting UCF will find it hard again to find a way to win here this week on the highway, vs a  Memphis side that 11-0 coming off an open date going back 8 seasons and 3-0 under Silverfield. key here will be the tigers discipline Note: Memphis ranks sixth for fewest penalties in FBS football and are averaging just  4.25 penalties per game. 

Memphis is also 7-0 ATS as a home dog since 2016.

MEMPHIS is 10-1 ATS  off 2 consecutive road lossesMEMPHIS is 10-1 ATS  in home games vs. excellent teams - outscoring opponents by 17+ PPG on the season since 1992.MEMPHIS is 25-12 ATS  in home games vs. good offensive teams - scoring 31 or more points/game .

MEMPHIS is 6-1 against the spread versus UCF since 1992 at home. 

Play on Memphis to cover

 Baylor is 6-1-1 ATS as Big 12 away pups  and are viable dogs in this spot based on their overall body of work during this campaign as compared to the Sooners inconsistent displays. 

BAYLOR is 7-0 ATS  in road games after playing 3 straight conference games over the last 3 seasons. Baylor is 20-1 ATS as a conference underdog against an opponent coming off a SU/ATS win.

BAYLOR is 46-27 ATS  when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) since 1992.

Bears are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game and are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.Bears are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points and  are 17-5 ATS in their last 22 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Bears are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.Bears are 15-6 ATS in their last 21 games overall.Bears are 15-6 ATS in their last 21 games following a straight up win.Bears are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games on grass.Bears are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games.Bears are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games in November.Bears are 47-23 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

Sooners are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.Sooners are 0-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.Sooners are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games. Oklahoma is  0-5 ATS at home against  a side likr BU coming off consecutive SU/ATS victories.

Bears are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 meetings in Oklahoma.Underdog is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.Bears are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.

CFB home team (OKLAHOMA) - after being beaten by the spread by 49 or more points total in their last five games, in weeks 10 through 13 are 18-48 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate.

Play on Baylor to cover 

TCU is red hot entering this game winning 8 straight and still undefeated,  ranking 3rd in the nation in Scoring Offense, averaging 44.3 PPG.and go against a Texas Tech side that was blasted vs Baylor last week and looking emotional and physically drained after taking on quality opponents in 5 of their L/6 trips to the gridiron. 

CFB road team (TEXAS TECH) - average offensive team (4.8 to 5.6 YPP) against a poor defense (5.6 to 6.2 YPP) after 7+ games, after being outgained by opp by 125 or more total yards last game are just 9-30 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on TCU to cover 

Purdue upset the Hawkeyes as 11-point pups on the road  at Iowa last season  and now the Hawkeyes have revenge on board. I know both sides have played at the proverbial opposite end of performance spectrum , but Iowa showed some offensive uptick last week in a victory, and with a solid defensive group on the field ranking 5th overall on D Im betting they can make a game out of this and possibly get SU playback. IOWA is 6-0 ATS  in road games off a home win over the last 3 seasons. Hawkeyes are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

Road team is 10-2 ATS in their last 12 meetings.

CFB Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (IOWA) - with an excellent rushing D - allowing 100 or less rushing yards/game, after allowing 1.5 or less rushing yards/attempt last game are 60-26 ATS L/30 seasons for a 70% conversion rate. 

Play on Iowa to cover 

Golden State took part in a back and forth event last night with the Orlando Magic losing 130-129  and are now on tired legs headed into this tilt against Zion Williamson and company and  at a disadvantage after losing 4 straight games, thanks to a shoddy D, that ranks last in the league in ppg allowed (122.2). Im betting on the Pelicans who will be prepared  as hosts to take advantage of an opponents not operating on all cylinders.GOLDEN STATE is 5-16 ATS  in road games after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread over the last 2 seasons. GOLDEN STATE is 22-34 ATS  in road games over the last 2 seasons.GOLDEN STATE is 11-22 ATS  in road games after a game where they failed to cover the spread over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Road teams vs. the money line (GOLDEN STATE) - explosive offensive team - scoring 118+ points/game on the season, after allowing 115 points or more 2 straight games are 11-32 L/26 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at -4.2. 

Play on New Orleans to cover

Wow what an ugly outing for the Boston College last time out, losing 13-3 as 8-point road favorite vs UConn which drops their ATS record vs FBS sides this season to 1-6 ATS.  With that said, Im betting on another ugly outing for the Golden Eagles this week vs a Duke side that has registered 35 and 45 points in back to back games . With BC  averaging  17.3 PPG  on offense this season I highly doubt they can keep up here tonight and as the game progresses should find themselves down by DDs. 

Blue Devils are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Friday games.Blue Devils are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games on fieldturf. Blue Devils are 11-4-1 ATS in their last 16 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.

Eagles are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games overall.Eagles are 0-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.Eagles are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

CFB road team (DUKE) - after a game where they forced 4 or more turnovers against opponent after a game where they committed 3 or more turnovers are 63-27 ATS L/10 seasons for a 70% conversion rate.

Play on Duke to cover 

Coastal Carolina are home dogs tonight where they deserve respect as is evident by a  17-2 SU in their last 19 overall , including 6-0 SU in revenge, and 2-0 SU/ATS as a underdog. Coastal Carolina lost in OT last season 30-27 in Boone and with big time revenge on board you can bet the home side will be fully awake and ready to perform. 

Mountaineers are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win which w the case last time out. 

Chadwell is 6-0 ATS  when the line is +3 to -3 as the coach of COASTAL CAROLINA.

APPALACHIAN ST is 0-7 ATS after allowing 125 or less passing yards in their last game over the last 3 seasons.

 CFB home team (COASTAL CAROLINA) - off a double digit road win, a top-level team (80% or better ) playing a team with a winning record are 62-28 ATS L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate. 

Play on Coastal Carolina to cover

Utah despite of supposedly being in a rebuilding or remodeling mode have played well this season. However, now with opponents aware of the Jazz grit and top tier play to begin the season will now have zero surprise factor working for them, and will face a Dallas side prepared to play them. Also after falling asleep at the wheel in a loss vs the Orlando Magic last time out the Mavericks will be primed for a  bounce back effort.  

Jazz are 8-22-1 ATS in their last 31 road games.Jazz are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games playing on 1 days rest.Jazz are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.

Mavericks are 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 home games.Mavericks are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 2 days rest.

NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (UTAH) - off a win by 10 points or more as an underdog, in November games are 2-31 L/5 seasons for a 94% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at -11.7 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. 

NBA team (UTAH) - in a game involving two average free throw shooting teams (72-76%), after a game making 19 or more 3 point shots are 7-25 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors.

Dallas is 5-1 SU/ATS L/6 at home in this series vs Utah.

Play on Dallas to cover 

Milwaukee pulled off a 110-108 win in the first game of this 2 game set in Wisconsin with the visiting Detroit Pistons. The  Pistons showed alot of fight and grit  in that above mentioned tilt  and Im betting they're not going down without a fight tonight. Pistons are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.

Pistons are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a winning home record

DETROIT is 30-13 ATS  versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 3 seasons. DETROIT is 29-16 ATS  versus good defensive teams - allowing 108 or less points/game over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Favorites of 10 or more points (MILWAUKEE) - team that had a winning record last season, after 4 or more consecutive wins are 8-29 ATS L/26 seasons for a 79% conversion rate. 

NBA  team vs the money line (DETROIT) - off a loss against a division rival against opponent off a close win by 3 points or less over a division rival are 22-6 L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate.

Play on the Detroit  Pistons to cover 

Both these offenses are less than explosive, but overall according to my data and power rankings projections the difference maker will come via Western Michigan superior red zone  defense   where they rank  top-30 in opponent conversion rate. Last time out the Broncos was suffocating allowing Miami just 10 points in a win and smashed and grabbed their way to 7 sacks.  Note:The Broncos have seen a decrease in their FBS opponent rushing yards in each of the last four games since giving up a season-high 238 to Pittsburgh and  Im betting the ground the lanes will once again be shut down forcing Bowling Green to the air making them alot more one dimensional and readable. Advantage Western Michigan. 

Falcons are 7-20 ATS in their last 27 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

Falcons are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games in November.Falcons are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a bye week.

 Falcons are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 Wednesday games.

Broncos are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings.

Play on Western Michigan to cover 

The Minnesota Timberwolves (4-3) head to The Valley on Tuesday night to take on the Phoenix Suns (5-1) at Footprint Center.

Phoenix will be without center Deandre Ayton (ankle) for the second straight game, and despite of not not effecting them last time out vs still rebuilding Houston, it will against the Wolves.  Im betting Aytons absence will be a negative factor that will help us cash a ticket with a Minnesota side off a loss vs the Spurs last time out in what was in my opinion a look ahead situation. Now focused on their opponent Im betting we see the Wolves step up in redemption mode. 

Williams is 15-34 ATS  in home games after a blowout win by 15 points or more in all games he has coached

MINNESOTA is 27-15 ATS  when the total is greater than or equal to 230 over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Favorites (PHOENIX) - after 3 consecutive covers as a favorite, good team from last season who won 60% to 75% of their games are 6-25 ATS L/26 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate.  

Play on Minnesota to cover

Oh how far the mighty have fallen. Biblical proportions have been attached to line and the perception of the public and the lines-makers ability to play into that concept. Right now Rodgers and company are no longer feared by their opponents and the betting public has abandoned them for their new darlings the Buffalo Bills. 
However with that said it must be noted QB Rodgers is 40-15 SU in his career in October, tilts including 8-1 ATS as a pup of 2 points or more. The inconsistent star seems to stand tall in these types of games , however, as is evident by his  5-0 SU /ATS mark in tilts he enters with a sub .500 record when going against top tier competition with a  .750 or better win percentage. When the chips are down Im betting the Packers find a way to be competitive in this nationally televised prime time event. 

NFL Favorites (BUFFALO) - solid team - outgaining their opponents by 0.75 or more yards/play, after gaining 400 or more total yards/game over their last 3 games are 15-53 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against  78% conversion rate.

Play on Green Bay to cover 

These teams spilt the two previous contests in Minneapolis, with the Spurs winning 115-106 on Monday and Minnesota prevailing 134-122 on Wednesday. With that said, I run here with a regular season zig zag theory and support and recommend we bet the upstart Spurs at home with crowd advantage on their side. 

Timberwolves are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up win.

Spurs are 11-1 ATS in their last 12 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.

Spurs are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.Spurs are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games playing on 1 days rest.Spurs are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

Spurs are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games following a ATS win.Spurs are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

Spurs are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win.

 Spurs are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.

Spurs are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games.Spurs are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 games overall.

Road favorites (MINNESOTA) - off 2 or more consecutive home wins, on Sunday games are 7-27 ATS L/5 seasons for a 80% go against conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA Home teams vs. the money line (SAN ANTONIO) - an excellent offensive team (118 or more  PPG) against a poor defensive team (114-118 PPG) are 26-4 L/26 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on San Antonio to cover

Minnesota has owned this series of late winning 4 straight meetings. Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation here today. Note: Chicago has allowed five power-play goals on 10 chances over the past two contests. 

The Blackhawks lost yesterday by a 4-3 count in OT. CHICAGO is 0-11 ATS  after losing their previous game in overtime over the last 2 seasons. losing by an average of 2.5 gpg. 

Play on Minnesota to cover 

The defending Super Bowl Champs are not getting alot of respect here , probably based on  their  24-9 loss on the road in San Francisco  in early October. However, now in revenge mode, Im betting on this sleepy looking Rams side to come out their coma here with a top tier effort.

McVay is 10-2 ATS  after having lost 2 out of their last 3 games as the coach of LA RAMS.

NFL Underdogs or pick (LA RAMS) - after a game where they committed 1 or less turnovers against opponent after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse are 49-15 ATS L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors.

NFL Favorites (SAN FRANCISCO) - in a game involving two average defensive teams (18-23 PPG), after a loss by 10 or more points are 7-29 L/10 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors.

NFL Home teams vs. the money line (LA RAMS) - off a home win by 10 points or more against opponent off a home blowout loss by 21 points or more are 24-1 L/39 seasons for a 96% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on LA Rams to cover 

Atlantas positive ATS record according to my data is skewed in comparison to the the fact they have been out-gained in each of their last six trips to the gridiron. Thats not a good omen for a team that has failed to cover 11 of their L/15 as home favs. ATLANTA is 3-11 ATS in home games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons and despite of Carolina not having a solid record still beat TB last week and were gritty in a loss to the Rams in their previous game. Carolina has won their last two visits here and don't be surprised if a rinse and repeat situation rears it ugly head in this spot play.

NFL  Road underdogs or pick (CAROLINA) - after failing to cover the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games against opponent after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games are 35-10 ATS L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. 

NFL Home favorites (ATLANTA) - after covering the spread in 4 out of their last 5 games, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a losing team are 10-35 ATS 39 seasons for a 78% go against conversion rate. 

Take the points with Carolina to cover 

The Bruins (6-1, 3-1 Pac-12) were defeated by  Oregon 45-30 last week at Autzen Stadium Note:The Bruins are 3-6 SU/ATS coming off their first loss of the season. . That was a deflating loss for the Bruins and Im betting they are drained emotionally here and may come out a little flat.

Meanwhile, Ssnce giving up 40 or more  points in each of its first three Pac-12 tilts, the Stanfords defense has really picked up on their tenacity and has now permitted  its last  three  opponents to score  56 combined points and have won two straight games. Note: Cardinal HC David Shaw is  16-4 SU and 16-3  ATS when coming off two wins exact. 

Shaw is 20-10 ATS  in road games in games played on a grass field as the coach of STANFORD.

Stanford owns a 12 -2 SU record  last 14 games in this series,  covering 11 of those games. 

Play on Stanford to cover

The Bucks are a solid defensive side ranking 1st in the NBA in ppg allowed . The Bucks  have become very physical in nature, and Im betting they matchup well here vs a run and gun offensive structure that Atlanta utilizes. ATLANTA is 5-20 ATS  in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at +7.7. ATLANTA is 4-14 ATS  as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons. McMillan is 9-22 ATS  in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing 108 or less  points/game as the coach of ATLANTA.

NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (MILWAUKEE) - good free throw shooting team from last season - made 76% or better of their free throws, after 3 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 42% or less are 25-2 L/26 seasons for a 93% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +12.1 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering

NBA Home teams vs. the money line (MILWAUKEE) - good 3 point shooting team from last season - made 36%  or better of their attempts, after 3 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 42% or less are 23-4 L/26 seasons for a 85% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +11.7 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering.

Milwaukee is 4-1 SU/ATS L/5 at home in this series.

Play on Milwaukee to cover 

Last week South Alabama struggled to score and lost 10-6 to the Troy Trojans and a very physical game. Now in a letdown spot and physically/ emotionally drained Im betting they will have a hard time getting up off the matt in a tilt vs Arkansas State this Saturday. With formerly banged up QB James Blackman expected back in the llineup this week for the Red Wolves Im betting they will be competitive.  S ALABAMA is 0-6 ATS in road games after the first month of the season over the last 2 seasons. S ALABAMA is 0-7 ATS  after having won 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games since 1992.S ALABAMA is 0-7 ATS  off 1 or more consecutive unders over the last 2 seasons.

Play on Arkansas State to cover 

 The SMU Mustangs D is not looking good this season  allowing 453 YPG vs FBS opposition  and  have been shredded  against ground attacks  as their No. 120th ranking trying to stop the run would indicate. With that said, Im betting on Tulsa RB Deneric Prince who enters this game   off a career-best 231 yards performance last week to be a major catalyst in a Tulsa cover and possible outright win this week. 

TULSA is 6-0 ATS versus good offensive teams - averaging 5.9 or more  yards/play over the last 3 seasons.TULSA is 9-0 ATS  as an underdog over the last 3 seasons. 

SMU is 6-17 ATS L/23 when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%). SMU is 0-6 ATS in road games after playing a game at home over the last 2 seasons. SMU is 1-8 ATS in road games after the first month of the season over the last 3 seasons.

SMU is 6-17 ATS L/23 when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%). 

CFB road team vs. the money line (SMU) - in a game involving two excellent offensive teams (440  or more YPG) after 7+ games, after being out-gained by opp by 125 or more total yards last game are 4-34 SU L/30 seasons for a 90% conversion rate. 

Play on Tulsa to cover 

This is not a strong version of the North Texas football program taking to the field today against Western Kentucky especially from a defensive standpoint as is evident by allowing an average of 476.1 ppg and 34.5 ppg. I know the Mean Green are 3-1 in CUSA action but like I said having a Swiss cheese D is not optimal. going forward -or here today, for that matter.   Meanwhile, Western Kentucky is looking very strong after finding a way past UAB last week, and now sporting a 3-1 record in CUSA action while allowing just 19.5 ppg at home this season and can alos light it up offensively averaging 39.5 ppg at home. The only real weakness that the Hilltoppers have displayed is a lack of discipline, but Littrell is 2-9 ATS in road games vs. mistake prone teams - 60+ penalty yards per game as the coach of NORTH TEXAS.

NORTH TEXAS is 7-21 ATS  in road games versus good offensive teams - averaging 5.9  or more yards/play with the average ppg diff clicking in at -24.7.

Note:N.Texas is 2-23-1 ATS record in conference tilts  when they loss SU which the lines-makers believe will happen as do I. 

CFB road team (NORTH TEXAS) - in a game involving two explosive offensive teams (34 or more  PPG) after 7 or more games, after a loss by 6 or less points and 5-25 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Western Kentucky to cover 

I know how powerful Ohio State can be, but Penn State Im betting can keep this game close enough to cover via a grinding ground game that is capable of turning this game into a slow crawl in the trenches. Note: Day is 0-6 ATS  in road games vesus good rushing teams - averaging 4.75 or more  rushing yards/carry as the coach of OHIO ST. 

CFB home team vs. the money line (PENN ST) - off a blowout win by 21 points or more over a conference rival, in a game involving two top-level teams ( 80% or better ) are 29-3 L/5 seasons SU  for a 91% conversion rate for bettors.

CFB Home underdogs of 14.5 or more points (PENN ST) - with a good offense - averaging 400 or more total yards/game are 45-10 ATS L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Penn State to cover 

Wow what an emotional  hangover Syracuse must have after going into Death Valley and taking a big lead  and then falling apart late and eventually losing to Clemson.  The Orange had an opportunity of lifetime and blew it. Not a good situation for them here as Im betting they will have problems mustering the energy needed to take out a hungry Notre Dame side.  ND as a dog versus an opponent coming off a loss, and  they are coming off a victory of 4 points or more are 10-1 ATS . The Irish are 5-0 SUATS L/5 vs the ACC.NOTRE DAME is 7-0 ATS  against teams who commit 1 or less turnovers/game on the season over the last 3 seasons.NOTRE DAME is 6-0 ATS  after having won 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games over the last 3 seasons.NOTRE DAME is 7-0 ATS in road games after a game where they forced 1 or less turnovers over the last 3 seasons.

Play on Notre Dame to cover 

Damian Lillard averaged 33.3 points during the Trail Blazers' 4-0 start, shooting 50 percent overall and 40 percent on 3-pointers while playing 37.1 minutes per game. He was injured last time out in the Blazers first loss of the season. He is a key cog for this teams offensive flow and Im betting it effects them here tonight vs a young under rated Houston team that almost always plays a all out brand of hoops on young legs. Houston has covered their L/4 trips to Portland and get the nod again tonight. Rockets are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games dating back to last season, and are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

PORTLAND is 18-36 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasonsTrail Blazers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

Trail Blazers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a double-digit loss at home.

Play on Rockets to cover 

The 76ers lost the first game in this 2 tilt set in Toronto on Wednesday, but now I expect the   Philadelphia 76ers  to answer  back in the rematch on Friday night. Philadelphia  are going to make adjustments. It's almost like the playoffs, where you do something in Game 1, and the other side adjust to it.  I know the 76ers have struggled so far , but its early and they are more than capable behind Doc. Rivers tutelage of a bounce back beginning here tonight vs the Raptors. Note: TORONTO is 0-9 ATS in home games versus struggling teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

 NBA Road teams vs. the money line (PHILADELPHIA) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite, off a loss by 10 points or more to a division rival are 23-9 L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Philadelphia to cover

Washington (3-1) matches up well against Indiana as was the case in their opening game of the season winning by. a 114-107 count as road dogs. With Indiana (1-4)  playing horrendous D, early on this season ranking dead last in the league in ppg allowed ( 122 ppg) they are fade material. 

INDIANA is 4-14 ATS  against Southeast division opponents over the last 2 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at -6.4.

INDIANA is 2-11 ATS versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or more of their shots over the last 3 seasons.

NBA team vs the money line (WASHINGTON) - excellent defensive team (42% or less) against a struggling defensive team (47% or more ) are 30-4 L/5 seasons for a 88% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +11.7 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. 

Washington is 5-0 SU/ATS L/5 meetings in D.C. 

Play on Washington to cover 

Is Tom Brady finally starting to show his age?  Well to an extent he has been for a while, but even at 75% of where he was the future HOF QB is still better than most QBs in this league and deserves respect .  The Bucs lost last week and look lost in the process , but after all the negative press are ready to reap redemption on a national stage this Thursday night. .  Lets look at what Brady bring to the table in a situation like this.... He is  10-0 SU/ATS in his NFL career with a sub .500 record  and coming off a SU defeat . While the Ravens are 0-3-1 ATS L/4 overall and  0-5-1 ATS  in Thursday night road game . Until Tommy shows me he is toast Im betting he will be the difference maker here today and motivating factor behind a Bucs rebound.Ravens are 1-6 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.

Buccaneers are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.Buccaneers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

Play on Tampa Bay to cover 

Both these teams are off 2 straight wins with back up QBs at the helm. Conventional handicapping has alot of pundits on Lafayette, but Im going to take a contrarian view here tonight in a tilt that features strong  defensive units sitting inside the Top 35 in scoring defense (ULL 21st, USM 35th). Both have almost identical  yards allowed per play and yards allowed per game with the superior offensive numbers belonging to Lafayette . Despite of that I like home field advantage to be a strong , advantage for this Southern Miss football program . key catalyst Im betting for Southern /Miss  will be Frank Gore, Jr., who continues to lead the ground game with 568 rushing yards and four TDs. He averages 81.1 yards per contest rushing and 4.9 per carry.

Golden Eagles are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games overall.

Southern Miss holds a 40-11-1 series advantage, including a current nine-game winning streak heading into this contest including 6 straight wins at home . 

Play on Southern Miss to cover

Portland is on a big run to begin their season winning all 4 of their contests, while the Heat have looked lethargic at times and lost 3 of their first 4 games. It must be noted , however, that MIAMI is 8-0 ATS  in road games after having lost 3 of their last 4 games over the last 2 seasons and are a resilient group with top tier chemistry and work ethic so staying in a down mode wont be permanent. Miami has won their last two visits to Portland and Im betting number 3 is right around the corner. 

PORTLAND is 11-26 ATS  L/37 off a win by 20 points or more over a division rival .  The Blazers had a 135 point output last time out against Denver in a DD win ( 135-110) so now a regressionary offensive output against a  Heat side that can play a strong brand of D wont come as a surprise. Note: Portland hasn't won at least five in a row to start a campaign since the Clyde Drexler-led squad won its first eight in 1992-93.

MIAMI is 22-8 ATS  versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or better  of their attempts over the last 2 seasons.MIAMI is 30-18 ATS  versus good shooting teams - making 46% or better of their shots over the last 2 seasons.

Miami has won the last three meetings overall against the  Blazers.

Play on Miami to cover 

Giannis Antetokounmpo is up-trending in his scoring average to nearly 30 points a game last season and is off to another quick start and averaging 32.5 ppg entering this tilt.  He averaged  31.9 points per game against the Nets in the 2021 Eastern Conference semifinals and matches up very well against this current group and will be key for me in backing the Bucks to win and  cover tonight against a Nets team with early season defensive problems. 

Bucks are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.

Nets are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MILWAUKEE) - after leading in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half against opponent after a combined score of 255 points or more are 23-5 ATS L/26 seasons for a 82% conversion rate. 

Home favorites of -165 to -500 vs. the money line (MILWAUKEE) - after allowing 48 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games against opponent after a combined score of 245 points or more are 45-4 L/26 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at +11.3 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. 

Nets are 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Milwaukee.

Nets are 16-35-1 ATS in the last 52 meetings.

Play on Milwaukee to cover 

This is Detroits 3rd straight road game and they have lost the previous two by 24 and 9 points respectively and now Im betting they are at a disadvantage vs a Wizards side that  are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. note: 

Pistons are 1-7 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Washington. The L/4 meetings here in DC have been won the Wizards by DD margins and a rinse and repeat situation is projected here.

NBA team vs the money line (WASHINGTON) - excellent defensive team (42% or less ) against a struggling defensive team (47% or more ) are 29-4 L/5 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at +11.5 ppg which qualifies on this ATS offering. 

NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (DETROIT) - off a loss against a division rival, on Tuesday nights are 1-27 L/5 seasons for a go against 97% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +12.2 . 

Play on Washington to cover 

 The Bears 5-1 ATS in their last six Monday Night road games have finally figured out that any success they will have this season wont come on the back of QB Justin Fields. Thus Im expecting a continued run heavy attack from the Bears and for their staunch defense to stand tall. Note: The Bears rushing attack has big-play potential, ranking second in rush yards per game (170) and seventh in rushing average (5.2 yards per rush).With that said  I will  back them getting more than a TD on the road here in this prime time event . 

NFL Home teams (NEW ENGLAND) - excellent passing team (7.3  or more PY/Att.) against an average passing defense (5.9-6.7 PY/Att.), after gaining 8 or more passing yards/attempt last game are 9-33 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate.

Play on Bears to cover

After losing key players in the off season it was expected that the Jazz could easily find themselves as lottery picks by the end of this campaign. Well for now they have dispelled some of the pundits predictions, after some early season wins including a hard fought OT victory vs the Pelicans last now. However,  now on tired legs and offering up  less than deep bench Im betting they are vulnerable to being upset by their hosts the Houston Rockets this Monday night. Jazz are 16-35-4 ATS in their last 55 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. Jazz are 8-20-1 ATS in their last 29 road games.

Jazz are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games playing on 0 days rest.Jazz are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.Jazz are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 Monday games.Jazz are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.

Rockets are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.Rockets are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.

NBA Road teams vs. the money line (UTAH) - in a game involving two explosive offensive teams (118 PPG or more ), after allowing 115 points or more 2 straight games are just 11-30 L/26 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Houston Rockets to cover 

After a hard fought win vs the Dallas Mavs (107-105) in their opener   the Suns had a letdown performance in game 2 of their campaign against Portland and lost 113-111 , but will now be prepared in a big way for a bounce back against the Clippers tonight. Note: 

Williams is 18-6 ATS in road games off a upset loss as a favorite as the coach of PHOENIX.

Williams is 48-31 ATS  when the line is +3 to -3 as the coach of PHOENIX.

PHOENIX is 26-12 ATS  on the road when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons.

LA CLIPPERS are 13-27 ATS in a home game where the total is 210 to 219.5 over the last 3 seasons.

NBA Home favorites (LA CLIPPERS) - off a win against a division rival, first half of the season are 42-80 L/5 seasons for a go against 66% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA team (PHOENIX) - off a upset loss as a favorite against opponent off a road win by 3 points or less are 47-20 L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate.

Play on the Phoenix Suns to win 

KC QB Mahomes is in bounce back and redemption mode this week after throwing a late interception last week and falling short vs Josh Allan and Buffalo . The top tier QB is still high in the  NFL  QB standing with a passer rating of at least 100 and is tied for the league lead with 17 touchdown passes and capable of a big effort . Considering the 49ers are banged up on both offense and defense  they are in trouble. The Niners also have alot of walking wounded who if they play are less than 100% i.e( Left tackle Trent Williams and defensive end Nick Bosa ) Advantage Chiefs. 

49ers are 3-13-1 ATS in their last 17 games in Week 7.

Chiefs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.

NFL Underdogs -SU (SAN FRANCISCO) - after allowing 7 or more passing yards/attempt last game against opponent after allowing 7 or more passing yards/attempt in 3 straight games are 1-25 L/5 seasons with the average ppg diff  clicking in at -12.3 which easily qualifies on this ATS line offering. 

Play on Kansas City to cover 

Giants Im betting will  continue their  upward momentum  on Sunday when they face the host Jacksonville Jaguars.  The lines-makers expect this to be a close game, but the Giants have shown grit and propensity, as is evident by winning five of the 6 one-score tilts and a rinse and repeat situation is at hand again this Sunday. Yes, I know  Jags QB Trevor Lawrence had a big game last week, maybe the best of his career, but his team still found a way to lose to a Indy team they have dominated in the recent past . Letdown is in order here for Jags as is continued success for Big Blue.  

NY GIANTS are 9-1 ATS in road games in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

JACKSONVILLE is 0-7 ATS   in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.  

The Jaguars 0-18 SU  in their last eighteen games against NFC opposition.

NFL teams where the line is +3 to -3 (JACKSONVILLE) - after a road game where both teams scored 24 or more points, in October games are 8-24 L/5 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors.

NFL Road underdogs or pick (NY GIANTS) - after a game where they committed 1 or less turnovers against opponent after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse are 36-9 ATS L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on NY Giants to cover 

Donovan Mitchell is a game changer for the  Cleveland Cavaliers and Im betting he will be the difference maker here tonight in Chicago. I know LaVine is expected to make his debut tonight for Chicago after sitting out so far with a nagging  injury, but he is still less than 100% and may not play as much as is expected by the pundits. 

Bulls are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 0 days rest.Bulls are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 home games.

NBA  team vs the money line (CHICAGO) - off a road cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog against opponent off a road loss are 33-82 L/5 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Underdogs (CHICAGO) - off a close road loss of 3 points or less, average team from last season that won between 45-55% of their games are 6-28 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Cavaliers to cover

Penn States perfect season record ended last week in a loss to the Michigan and they will now be in a letdown situation against a hungry and tough group of Gophers who after a 4-0 start have lost 2 straight. Last week the Nittany Lions D was shredded on the ground allowing a whopping 418 yards. Now against a strong Minnesota run attack behind the legs of  Mohammed Ibrahim trouble looms for the home side here this Saturday on white out night. 

Fleck is 8-0 ATS  after 2 or more consecutive losses against the spread as the coach of MINNESOTA.Fleck is 11-2 ATS  in road games vs. good offensive teams - scoring 31 or more points/game in all games he has coached since 1992.

Franklin is 7-22 ATS  after 1 or more consecutive straight up losses as the coach of PENN ST.Franklin is 3-15 ATS off a road loss as the coach of PENN ST. 

CFB Road underdogs (MINNESOTA) - with a good offense - averaging 400 or more total yards/game, after gaining 225 or less total yards in their previous game are 28-6 ATS 10 seasons for a 83% conversion rate. 

Play on Minnesota to cover 

Both these teams are playing their 3rd game in 4 nights, but my special power rankings suggest the Pistons are more well conditioned than the Spurs . Considering how tanked the Pacers looked at the end of their last game which was a back and forth event vs San Antonio last night that saw them lose by a 137-134 count, I feel confident the Pistons finding. a way to get the W tonight and keep Indiana winless on the season. 

Pistons are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.Pistons are 11-2 ATS in their last 13 road games.Pistons are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 0 days rest

NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (INDIANA) - off an upset loss as a home favorite against opponent off a road loss are 5-28 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 85% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Home teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (INDIANA) - off an upset loss as a home favorite against opponent off a road loss are 6-27 L/5 seasons for a go against 82% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Detroit Pistons to cover 

Celtics played a strong game last night in Miami against what was a revenge minded Miami Heat team, that wanted redemption for last years game 7 loss to Boston. However, that expected strong effort did not materialize and instead it was Boston who came out swinging and eventually garnering a 111-104 win . After playing all out hoops last night I now expect the Bean town crew to be in a physical and emotional letdown scenario vs a young under rated Orlando squad playing at home dreaming of an upset. Celtics are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.

BOSTON is 2-11 ATS after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.

Magic are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Magic are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (BOSTON) - off an road win scoring 110 or more points, team that had a winning record last season playing a team that had a losing season are 15-42 ATS L/26 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors.

Favorites (BOSTON) - poor foul drawing team from last season - attempted 24 or less free throws/game, hot shooting team - 2 straight games making 50% or better  of their shots are 13-40 ATS L/26 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Orlando to cover 

Alabama took part in a back forth emotional battle last week and lost on a ugly looking FG to Tennessee losing for the first time this season. That was an exhausting affair, and now Im betting instead of a giant rebound, Im expecting a slow start from Sabans now over valued crew. Note: Nick Saban in his career,  js  0-5 ATS vs FBS opposition at home when coming off a SU/ATS loss  Hey I know Mississippi State lost last week for the 2nd time this season to Kentucky, but I would at all not be surprised if they were not caught looking ahead to this game . 

Leach is 33-13 ATS versus good rushing teams - averaging 200 or more rushing yards/game in all games he has coached since 1992

CFB Road underdogs (MISSISSIPPI ST) - with a good offense - averaging 400 or more total yards/game, after gaining 225 or less total yards in their previous game are 28-6 ATS L/10 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Mississippi state to cover 

Stanford is in a huge letdown situation after upsetting Notre Dame last time out, and will now be vulnerable vs up trending ASU side that defeated a decent Washington team a couple of weeks ago before their bye week. Now well rested Arizona State with the relief of having gotten rid of HC Herm Edwards and a new era under way Im betting use their fresh legs here to be competitive and get us the cover .

STANFORD is 2-9 ATS   vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 58% or better. over the last 2 seasons.

Shaw is 3-11 ATS  vs. excellent kickoff return teams, more than 24 yards per return as the coach of STANFORD.

Cardinal are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 conference games.

Play on Arizona State to cover

Purdue 4-0 L/4 is getting alot of respect for the great football they have played, but this is a bad matchup for them vs Wisconsin despite of what many pundits expect. I know the Badgers seem discombobulated and are off being edged by Michigan State, 34-28 last time out in double OT, but this is a home tilt that puts this team in a situation that makes getting a victory a must just to get back some lost respect which means they will leave everything on the field in a all out effort. From historical standpoint Wisconsin is  42-28 ATS in Big Ten tilts when sporting a .500 record. WISCONSIN is also 47-27 ATS  when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) since 1992.

Note: Wisconsin 15-0 SU in this series since the 2003 season. 

 PURDUE is 0-6 ATS  after allowing 125 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons. PURDUE is 10-22 ATS  as a road underdog of 7 points or less since 1992.

CFB Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (PURDUE) - an excellent offensive team (34 or more  PPG) against an average defensive team (21-28 PPG), after a playing a game where 60 total points or more were scored are 7-31 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 82% conversion rate!

Play on Wisconsin to cover 

This a key game for both Oklahoma State and Texas , as they have each already lost 1 game. With that said, Im expecting this to be a gritty battle that will be won in the trenches in physical fashion, and could easily be decided on the last possession of the game.  Note:Texas HC Steve Sarkisian is just  3-13 SU away against opposition  with a better record.  Steve Sarkisian is 0-1 SU against Oklahoma State.

I know the Cowboys blew a lead to TCU last time out and lost in OT, but the this is a resilient program as they have 6 straight wins after a loss. 

OKLAHOMA ST is 9-2 ATS  vs. good passing teams averaging 8 or more passing yards/att. over the last 2 seasons.

OKLAHOMA ST is 43-26 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) since 1992.

 The Cowboys have won five of their past six and 11 of their past 14 on Homecoming.

OSU has won eight of the past 12 matchups with Texas, as well as two of the past three played in Stillwater. 

OSU is 7-2 in its past 10 and 16-7 in its past 23 games vs. AP Top 25 teams and 9- 4 in its last 13 games when both teams are ranked in the AP Top 25.

CFB home team vs. the money line (OKLAHOMA ST) - good offensive team - scoring 31 or more points/game, after scoring 31 points or more in 5 straight games are 40-2 L/5 seasons for a 95% conversion rate which obviously qualifies on this ATS line offering . 

Play on Oklahoma State to cover 

The Buffalo Bulls are currently in top form going 4-0 SUATS  and deserve respect here getting points vs visiting Toledo. The offense has averaged 36.5 PPG during that span including allowing back to back opponents to score 7 points. This kind of data and momentum gives us an edge on a possible SU win or a back door cover in competitive fashion. Note:  The Bulls have not allowed points in the fourth quarter in any of their last four games. The Bulls have outscored their opponents, 55-7, in the first half over the last two games.

Buffalo owns a solid  12-4-1 ATS mark as a home underdog, including 5-0-1 ATS against better than .700 foes. 

Buffalo is 3-0 ATS L/3 at home vs Toledo at home.The Bulls won the last meeting, 49-30, at UB Stadium in 2019.

CFB Road favorites (TOLEDO) - after 1 or more consecutive straight up wins against opponent after 3 or more consecutive straight up wins are 13-39 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate.

CFB Home underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (BUFFALO) - after out-gaining opp by 175 or more total yards in their previous game are 39-14 ATS for a 74% conversion rate.

Play on Buffalo Bulls to cover

UAB owns  the nation's third-ranked pass defense and will be key to slowing down the Western Kentucky offense that averages throwing the ball 44 times per game so far this season..This will be the fourth spread offense UAB has faced this season and they have faired very well as the  Blazers have allowed  opposition quarterbacks to complete  just 54 percent of their passes and have held opposing sides to an average of just  176.6 passing yards per game.

Note:  Western Kentucky has averaged 489 yards and 40 points per game, while UAB allows only  319 yards and 17 points per game. With said, this is a important game, and as almost is the case the better D will find a way to win.  On the flipside the Blazers are a strong rushing team behind McBride and one of the nations most cohesive Offensive lines, but so far this season WKU has been a dominant run stopping group, but Im betting that wont be the case today. 

The physicality of UABS defense and offense will be the difference maker tonight. 

Clark is 12-1 ATS  when the total is between 56.5 and 63 as the coach of UAB.Clark is 8-1 ATS  as a road underdog of 7 points or less as the coach of UAB.UAB is 6-0 ATS  in road games off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons. UAB is 10-2 ATS L/12 as C USA dog.

WKU is 0-8 ATS as  single-digit conference chalk when facing an above .500 win percentage side.

Play on UAB to cover 

Miami opened this season with a loss,  116-108 to the visiting Chicago Bulls on Wednesday. The team played well and still were defeated, but Im betting on a bounce back here  by the Heat vs a Boston Celtics  side they have revenge against for a Game 7 loss in last years play offs. I know Boston looked good , in their opening win against Philadelphia on Tuesday by a 127-116 count, but will now be in emotional letdown spot after a big night where Bill Russells number was retired. 

Celtics are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.

Heat are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games following a ATS loss.Heat are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up loss.

Play on revenge minded Miami Heat to cover 

South Alabama has had a great start to their campaign garnering a 5-1 record to this point but in their two most recent games have been over rated by the lines-makers and failed to cover . Tonight against Troy (5-2) Im betting their dream season maybe abruptly upended. The Trojans have cashed 3 straight times against the spread and are on a 4 game winning run, and have cashed 5 straight times in this series and are not to be underestimated in their ferocity and ability to compete. Troy is also 3-0 ATS on the road this season and have cashed 4 straight as underdogs overall. 

S ALABAMA is 20-37 ATS after playing a game at home.

TROY is 9-1 ATS  vs. good passing teams averaging 8 or more passing yards/att. over the last 3 seasons.

CFB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (S ALABAMA) - after allowing 6.25 or more yards/play in their previous game against opponent after out-gaining opp by 125 or more total yards in their previous game are 51-108 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 68% conversion rate.

CFB road team (TROY) - poor rushing team - averaging 3.25 or less rushing yards/carry are 160-91 ATS L/5 seasons for a 64% conversion rate.

Play on Troy to cover 

San Antonio is committed to a long-term rebuild as is evident by trading Dejounte Murray to the Atlanta Hawks. I know there are also question marks around Charlotte, but despite of probably not playing All-Star LaMelo Ball here tonight who has an ankle injury still is the deeper side with more experience and overall fire power. Charlotte will go big on Wednesday with a starting five of forwards Kelly Oubre Jr., Gordon Hayward and P.J. Washington, center Mason Plumlee and point guard Terry Rozier in Ball's stead. Rozier averaged 19.3 points per game in 2021-22. Im betting they over power the young Spurs on their way to a win. 

CHARLOTTE is 13-3 ATS   as a road favorite over the last 3 seasons and get the nod here this Wednesday night. 

Hornets are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

Play on the Charlotte Hornets to cover

The Celtics won last season's Eastern Conference championship . The Celtics have had some bad PR surround the team , of late, as HC  Ime Udoka was suspended for the season because of a scandal and  now  the men from Bean-town move forward with  interim head coach, Joe Mazzulla. The Celtics beefed up in the off season with Blake Griffin now in the fold and the often injured but very talented Malcolm Brogodon. The chemistry of the team and hard defensive work ethic will Im betting stay intact as their ability to compete in the Eastern Conference. Note: The Celtics led the league in Defensive Rating (106.2) last season and despite of some defensive deletions including Williams III remain solid in that stopping department. 

I know there is alot of enthusiasm around Embiid and Harden in the 76ers rotation , but Im not sold that these two stars complement each other and cohesiveness is something that may not manifest for the Philly pundits. Last season the Sixers  ranked  11th in  Offensive Rating (113.0) and 12th- Defensive Rating (110.2) and Im betting at least for now those averages will not be excessively breached. 

As for tonight home court advantage will be key, and something I'll call in a tongue and cheek manner "The Tuesday Effect " 

PHILADELPHIA is 0-10 ATS  on Tuesday nights over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (BOSTON) - on Tuesday nights are 184-118 ATS L/5 seasons for a 61% conversion rate. 

 76ers are 3-12-1 ATS in their last 16 road games.

76ers are 4-16 SU L/20 visits to Boston dating back to the 2015 season.

Play on Boston to cover 

 QB Wilson has not performed well for the Broncos since coming over from Seattle but he is  15-2-1 ATS in his  career  as an underdog vs opposition  coming off consecutive victories  like the Chargers , including a stellar  8-0 ATS mark in division games under those parameters. Look for the QB to finally get things going this week, and for a solid Denver D, to give the Chargers all they can handle in this Monday night spot play. 

NFL Home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (LA CHARGERS) - good offensive team - scoring 24 or more points/game, after a win by 3 or less points are 12-36 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors.

NFL Underdogs or pick (DENVER) - after failing to cover the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games against opponent after covering the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games are 36-12 ATS 5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Denver to cover 

Buffalo is great team and off a convincing 38-3 win vs Pittsburgh last week ,  but I have circled this game on my schedule for a while, and with the Chiefs getting points Im going with the underdog. Mahomes has matured alot after some key losses and in his career and now looks ready to ascend . Chiefs QB Mahomes is 9-0 ATS as a dog in his NFL career and Im betting he and his team have the edge in this tilt.  I know the kid had to work hard to get bring his team back from a deficit last time out in a 30-29 win, but he proved himself to be a winner, and nothing changes today.

Reid is 35-18 ATS in games where the line is +3 to -3 as the coach of KANSAS CITY.

NFL Road favorites (BUFFALO) - solid team - out-gaining their opponents by 0.75 or more yards/play, after gaining 400 or more total yards/game over their last 3 games are 5-25 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors.

NFL Favorites (BUFFALO) - with an incredible offense - averaging 385 or more total yards/game, after gaining 450 or more total yards/game over their last 3 games are 6-34 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 85% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Chiefs to cover 

Arizona is more than capable of  taking advantage of Seattle's porous run defense and Im betting on  QB Kyle Murray to run wild here and use play action to put up a big offensive output. The Seahawks have allowed an average of 30.8 ppg this season, and those numbers should not get any better after this tilt. 

ARIZONA is 6-0 ATS  in road games in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons. Kingsbury is 6-0 ATS in road games vs. poor ball control teams, 28 or less possession minutes/game as the coach of ARIZONA.

SEATTLE is 0-6 ATS after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of +1 or better over the last 3 seasons.

NFL team (SEATTLE) - after going over the total by 35 or more points total in their last three games, a bad team, winning 25% to 40% of their games on the season are 2-24 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 92% conversion rate for bettors.

NFL Road favorites (ARIZONA) - with a poor first half defense - 14 or more points per game, after a loss by 6 or less points are 22-4 ATS L/39 seasons for a 85% conversion rate. 

The visiting team is  15-2-1 ATS in this series and a rinse and repeat situation is at hand this Sunday again. 

Play on Arizona to cover 

How embarrassing it must have been for the Steelers as an organization after last weeks 38-3 loss to Buffalo. Now in redemption mode Im expecting  Tomlin and company to salvage some respect with a top tier effort here at home vs TB ,  where they are 9-1-3 ATS L/13 as home dogs, including a 5-0 ATS mark vs NFC south and 5-1 ATS L/6 vs the Buccaneers. Note:Tomlin when getting points at home is  12-2-5 ATS in his career, including 5-0-2 ATS L/7 opportunities dating back 4 seasons. 

PITTSBURGH is 17-6 ATS  after allowing 35 points or more last game since 1992 with a +8 point diff. 

NFLHome underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (PITTSBURGH) - slow starting team - outscored by 5+ PPG in the first half, after scoring 14 points or less last game are 31-8 ATS L/10 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Pittsburgh to cover 

The Giants are being under rated here as home dogs vs a Baltimore team that does not deserve as much respect as its getting based in part on their reputation and their win against Cincinnati last time out. However, after watching the Giants consistently this season, Ive noticed one key factor which has me on them today, and that is team chemistry and grit. This team plays hard, and have more upper tier talent than given credit for.

Note: Ravens bring a 3-7 ATS  L/10 NFC East, including  0-4-1 ATS when traveling . The home side this season is  5-0 ATS run in this series and a rinse and repeat situation is at hand. 

Harbaugh is 18-30 ATS  in October games as the coach of BALTIMORE.

NFL Favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (BALTIMORE) - in a game involving two mistake-free teams (1.25 or less turnovers/game committed), after a game where they forced 1 or less turnovers are 22-49 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against  69% conversion rate. 

Play on NY Giants to cover 

Dolphins QBs Tua Tagovailoa and Teddy Bridgewater are  in concussion protocol, and if one or the other plays will be less than 100% this week vs the visiting Vikings. The Dolphins could be forced to start rookie Skylar Thompson, who played most of Miami's Week 4 loss to the New York Jets. On the flipside Im betting QB  Kirk Cousins and the Vikings take advantage of the banged up Fins and  Justin Jefferson and Dalvin Cook  to  explode on the Miami defense  and romp to a win behind a consistent offense. 

MIAMI is 0-6 ATS in October games over the last 2 seasons.

San Jose State 12-0 SUATS  as a road favorite in games when coming off a double-digit win like last time out by a 40-7 count vs UNLV. Im betting on the Spartans up trending to continue here vs a Fresno State side that is 0-4 SU/ATS this season, with a lack of offense being a key problem for them (23.6 ppg). SAN JOSE ST is 23-8 ATS L/31 as a road favorite . 

Plus we have revenge on board here by Brennan and company as Fresno State smashed San Jose State last season by a 40-7 count. 

CFB Home underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (FRESNO ST) - outrushed by their opponents by 60 or more yards/game on the season, after allowing 6 or more rushing yards/attempt last game are 14-39 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on San Jose State to cover 

Clemson at 6-0 is getting better with each passing week and have an edge over a Florida state side that has lost two straight after a fast start.Clemson is 4-0 ATS in the last four of this series and gets the nod here as Im betting they continue their upward momentum. 

Play on Clemson to cover 

The Leafs were over powering at home in the Scotiabank Arena  last season , garnering a powerful  31-8-2 record and a plus-47 goal differential . Im betting on more of the same type action here tonight, vs a Ottawa side they beat  3-1 and 6-0 in two meetings as hosts in this series during the last campaign. Note:Leafs did not  need overtime to beat the Senators in five straight tilts  at  home in this series and have overall won their L/6 tilts at Scotiabank Arena. 

The Senators lost their season-opener Thursday, 4-1, to the Sabres in Buffalo and dont look quite ready to compete at a higher level on the road where they are   53-128 in their last 181 away games.

Play on Maple Leafs on the puckline 

The Huskies have dropped two straight, including last week’s 45-38 loss at Arizona State and really need a big game, and Im betting they get it. note: Arizona QB Jayden de Laura  the last time he was here with Arizona State was inserting a giant flag featuring the Washington State logo in the turf at midfield after leading the Cougars to an Apple Cup smash down  last November.   I know de Laura is not  with the Cougars anymore but you can bet the Huskies will be primed for payback this Saturday and could easily be merciless in romp to a big DD victory. 

ARIZONA is 1-11 ATS  in road games after allowing 575 or more total yards in their previous game since 1992. ARIZONA is 4-22 ATS  in road games after 2 straight games where 60 total points or more were scored since 1992.

NFL Road underdogs (ARIZONA) - off 4 or more consecutive overs, with a poor scoring defense - allowing 31 or more points/game are 5-23 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 82% conversion rate. 

Play on Washington to cover 

James Madison at 5-0 gets all the headlines and alot of support from the pundits buy the Eagles (3-3) own the  top-ranked offense in the Sun Belt and the 11th-best passing offense in the nation and must not be underestimated in their abilities to keep things close because of their offensive prowess and  give us in a worse case scenario a back door cover . With that said, will will go against the public darlings, and take the underdog. GA SOUTHERN is 8-1 ATS   vs. good passing teams averaging 250 or more passing yards/game. over the last 3 seasons.

Play on the Georgia Southern Eagles to cover 

The Bulldogs are coming off a 41-31 victory over UTEP to open Conference USA play, which was the programs six straight conference-opening win.Quarterback Parker McNeil has thrown for 1,167 yards and 12 touchdowns this season. He ranks fourth in the FBS in yards per completion (14.8) and is more than capable of leading his team to a cover here and even a SU win. Note:LA Tech ranks third nationally with five plays from scrimmage over sixty yards. The Bulldogs are 21st nationally in plays from scrimmage over 30 yards with 16. I know North Texas has won seven-straight C-USA matchups dating back to Oct. 30, 2021 which is the longest active streak in the league and the fourth-longest streak nationally, but all good and bad runs must eventually come to an end.LOUISIANA TECH is 5-0 ATS and  straight up against NORTH TEXAS since 1992 here in this venue and a rinse and repeat situation is possibly at hand and more important a cover . 

CFB Road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (LOUISIANA TECH) - with a poor scoring defense - allowing 31 or more points/game, after allowing 31 points or more in 3 straight games are 47-13 ATS L/10 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on LA Tech to cover 

Alabama QB Bryce Young is questionable and if he plays will be less than 100% giving an edge to what will be a hyped up home team ready to make an imprint on the SEC.  Tennessee is the real deal behind stud QB QB Herndon Hooker and must be respected here getting points. I know the Vols have lost 15 straight to Bama, but the under valued Vols have already ended 5-game losing streaks to Florida and LSU and like the old saying goes 3s a charm. 

CFB home team vs. the money line (TENNESSEE) - good offensive team - scoring 31 or more points/game, after scoring 31 points or more in 5 straight games are 36-2 L/5 seasons for a 95% conversion rate for bettors.

CFB Road favorites (ALABAMA) - after 1 or more consecutive straight up wins against opponent after 3 or more consecutive straight up wins are 13-38 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against  75% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Tennessee to cover 

BYU is off a hard fought loss to Notre Dame last week, and now in. a emotional letdown state go against a tough Arkansas squad in a vulnerable state .  Note: Cougars are just  1-8 ATS versus SEC opposition dating back 32 seasons. Arkansas HC Sam Pitman is   7-0 SU and 5-0 ATS in his career vs non conference opposition. 

BYU is 19-37 ATS L/56 in home games vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 58% or better. Sitake is 5-14 ATS  after 2 or more consecutive losses against the spread as the coach of BYU.

ARKANSAS is 23-9 ATS  off a road blowout loss by 21 points or more since 1992.

CFB home team (BYU) - off a loss against a conference rival against opponent off a road blowout loss by 21 points or more are 44-82 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 65% conversion rate for bettors.

Play. on Arkansas to cover 

CFB home team vs. the money line (TCU) - after scoring 31 points or more in 5 straight games are 33-2 L/5 seasons for a 92% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +13.2 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering.

Play on TCU

CFB home team vs. the money line (SYRACUSE) - with an excellent defense - allowing 285 or less total yards/game, after gaining 6.75 or more yards/play in their previous game are 42-3 L/5 seasons for a 93% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff at +22.9 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. 

Play on Syracuse to cover 

After smashing Oklahoma by a 49-0 count last week, I expect the Longhorns to be in an emotional letdown spot here in this tilt vs Iowa State. Iowa State after a close last time out to Kansas State now finds itself in desperation mode and Im betting they leave everything on the filed this week. Note: Cyclones HC Campbell is 10-1 ATS as a double-digit underdog in conference tilts , including 10-0 ATS against winning sides. 

TEXAS is 20-35 ATS   after allowing 7 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games since 1992.

Iowa state has won and covered the last two meetings in this series. 

Play on Iowa State to cover 

Navy has looked good of late after starting lethargically at 0-2. They have won 2 of their L/3 with the only loss a 13-10 heart breaker to military rivals Air Force. Today against SMU Im betting the Middies triple option run heavy offense keeps them in this game vs a SMU side thatS ranks 106th in rush yards allowed this season allowing  179 yards per game. 

NAVY is 8-1 ATS  vs. very good offensive teams - scoring 34 or more points/game over the last 2 seasons. 

NAVY is 7-0 ATS  in road games off an upset win as a home underdog which was the case last time out vs Tulsa . 

SMU is 6-16 ATS when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) 

CFB team (SMU) - excellent offensive team (6.2 or better YPP) against a team with a poor defense (5.6 to 6.2 YPP), after allowing 6.75 or more yards/play 2 consecutive games are 10-35 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors.

CFB Underdogs of 10.5 to 21 points (NAVY) - mistake free team - 42 or less penalty yards per game, after dominating the time of possession last game (36+ minutes) are 44-15 ATS L/30 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Navy to cover 

Temple’s visits  the Bounce House tonight in a game that Im betting will not go well for them. Temple just does not travel well  going 0-6 SU/ATS L/6 away and that trend should stay intact vs  team that is a  defensive juggernaut   as they  lead  the nation in red zone defense. Opponents have scored on just 47% of their trips to the red zone, converting on 9-of-19 attempts. The Knights have only allowed four touchdowns in the red zone in 19 trips for opponents.

Duke shutout Temple in their first game this season, and than last time out scored just 3 points so scoring will be an issue this evening for them again. Meanwhile, UCF has averaged 35.6 ppg so far this season on offense and another points  explosion is not out of the question on their home turf on Space night where they have won all 5 of these themed tilts. Note: The Owls have been destroyed by UCF in their last 3 meetings by an average 36.3 ppg. 

  Since 2017, the Knights are 33-3 SU in home games at FBC Mortgage Stadium.

TEMPLE is 0-8 ATS off a road loss against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.TEMPLE is 0-6 ATS  after scoring 7 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons.

CFB Favorites of 21.5 to 31 points (UCF) - after 2 straight wins by 17 or more points against opponent after scoring 3 points or less in the first half last game are 71-33 ATS L/30 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on UCF to cover

Baylor is the overall superior side, but West Virginia is always dangerous because of their explosive offense. Here at home West Virginia Im betting has enough of an edge on this line to get us the cover. The Mountaineers are a perfect 5-0 SU L/5 at home in this series.

Note: Losing to Oklahoma State at home last time will take a little bit out the Bears and their performance could easily be muted.  

Brown is 11-1 ATS after a game where they forced no turnovers as the coach of W VIRGINIA.

Mountaineers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Thursday games.

Mountaineers are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

Mountaineers are 10-3-1 ATS in their last 14 home games.

Bears are 7-16-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.Bears are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Thursday games.Bears are 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a bye week.

Play on West Virginia to cover 

I know Philly is a perfect 4-0 and the only undefeated team in the NFL right now but despite of The Birds offensive line is a little banged up they are still capable of hanging tough here at home vs a team traveling from the west to east. Note: The Cards  signed some insurance in the form of Billy Price who is a multiple purpose lineman and highly under rated. Im betting despite of the injuries the Cards will step up here and be competitive. 

Arizona is 6-0 ATS in its last six games against the NFC East. ARIZONA is 22-9 ATS   vs. excellent teams - outscoring opponents by 10+ PPG on the season. Kingsbury is 11-3 ATS  in weeks 5 through 9 as the coach of ARIZONA. Kingsbury is 11-3 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points as the coach of ARIZONA.

NFL Road favorites (PHILADELPHIA) - solid team - out-gaining their opponents by 0.75 or more yards/play, after gaining 400 or more total yards/game over their last 3 games are just 5-24 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Cardinals to cover 

 Detroit owns a a defense that ranks at the bottom of the NFL in overall yards (444.8) and points allowed (35.3 ) and is in fade material in their current form . Detroit lost to Seattle 48-45 last time out. Patriots are 17-5 ATS in their last 22 home games vs. a team with a losing road record and have the edge! 

DETROIT is 3-12 ATS  in road games off an extremely close home loss by 3 points or less. DETROIT is 9-22 ATS  in road games after gaining 6.5 or more yards/play in their previous game

NEW ENGLAND is 6-0 ATS  against teams who force 1 or less turnovers/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. Belichick is 17-4 ATS after being out-gained by 150+ total yards in their previous game as the coach of NEW ENGLAND which was the case last time out. 

NFL  team (DETROIT) - after going over the total by 35 or more points total in their last three games, a bad team, winning 25% to 40% of their games on the season are 2-23 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 92% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Patriots to cover 

Miamis QB today Bridgewater is 2-0 in two career starts against the Jets, completing 73.1 percent of his throws in those affairs. Today Im betting he hits Tyreek Hill (477 yards, two touchdowns) and Jaylen Waddle (381 yards, three touchdowns) for enough receptions and scores to get us to the promised land. Meanwhile, the flip-side, NY Jets QB Wilson, who went 3-10 as a starter last year, is playing behind a banged-up offensive line and at a disadvantage this Sunday. 

Dolphins are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. AFC East.MIAMI is 9-0 ATS  off 2 or more consecutive unders over the last 3 seasons.

Jets are 7-19-1 ATS in their last 27 vs. AFC East.

Play on the Miami Dolphins to cover 

NYG QB Daniels is not 100% with a banged up ankle hampering his mobility which is not a good omen against the Packers aggressive pass rush. With that said, Im betting on the Gmens offense to have flow issues, while the Packers behind , Aaron Rodgers arm gets consistent production and gets is a conclusive victory. 

In the previous 7 international  games that have featured favs  of more than 7 points  the chalk have gone 6-0 SU cashing 5 of those times with the winning team allowing an average of just 11.7 ppg. 

NFL Favorites vs. the money line (GREEN BAY) - in a game involving two average offensive teams (18-23 PPG), after a win by 3 or less points are 29-1 L/10 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at +13.2 which qualifies on the his ATS offering. 

Play on Green Packers to cover 

Washington State looks explosive offensively behind the arm of QB transfer Cameron Ward who is being looked at very closely by NFL scouts. I know USC has a fine group this season, but it must also be noted that  USC is 1-9 ATS  vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 58% or better. over the last 2 seasons. With a look ahead revenger against Utah on board next week, its not out of the realm of possibility that the Trojans could get caught looking ahead and a vulnerable spot as DD favs. 

USC is 0-6 ATS in home games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.

WASHINGTON ST is 10-2 ATS  vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 58% or better. over the last 2 seasons.WASHINGTON ST is 8-0 ATS  after gaining 100 or less rushing yards last game over the last 2 seasons.WASHINGTON ST is 6-0 ATS  in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 2 seasons. Dickert is 6-0 ATS  after playing a game at home as the coach of WASHINGTON ST.

Play on Washington State to cover 

Kentucky took a gut-wrenching, 22-19 loss at No. 14 Ole Miss last week, and despite of being angry because of bad calls, from the officials will have a hard time in what must be considered a huge letdown scenario.Wildcats are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up loss.

South Carolina has had promising performances since its blowout loss to Georgia in Week 3. They can be excused for their performance vs one of college footballs top teams, so Im not underestimating their ability to compete vs a good but slightly over rated Kentucky side. 

Play on South Carolina to cover 

The Illinois defense is currently ranked  No. 1 in the nation in scoring D allowing  a little  over eight points per game. Here today against a Iowa side that struggles to score averaging just 16.4 ppg they have an edge. Last week the Illini held Wisconsin to just 10 points and a rinse and repeat situation is on board here this week in what the lines-makers are suggesting will be a low scoring battle. Illinois has the better offensive flow and will get the job done and bring us home the dough. 

Fighting Illini are 7-0-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

Fighting Illini are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games.

CFB home team vs. the money line (ILLINOIS) - with a good rushing D - allowing 125 or less rushing yards/game, after allowing 1 or less rushing yards/attempt last game are 27-3 L/5 seasons for a 90% conversion rate. 

Play on Illinois to cover

 Texas State owns  the 4th-best defense in the Sun Belt and the No. 2 pass defense and have the ability to stay within the underdog line here at home vs the offensively explosive Mounties .

Despite of App States offensive attributes they  have looked inconsistent at times this season and with  Coach Shawn Clarke at the helm of  the Mountaineers they are just  8-15-1 ATS as favs.  Meanwhile, Texas State is  , 6-1-1 ATS when a home dog the past three years plus, and are  6-1-1 ATS at home versus teams with a better record than themselves. 

TEXAS ST is 6-0 ATS  after a loss by 21 or more points over the last 3 seasons which was the case last time out. 

Play on Texas State to cover