My  College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

UAB is 8-21 ATS  L/29 when the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last few seasons.

CBB  home team (UAB) - off a home win scoring 85 or more points, a good team (60% to 80%) playing a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) are 28-57 ATS L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors.

LA Tech to cover

George Washington has revenge on board for last seasons loss to Richmond in the conference tourney and now have payback on their agenda. Richmond has lost their L/4 vs an avenging conference tourney foes, and  the Colonials  are 11-3-1 ATS in revenge  overall and 9-1 ATS L/10 getting points.

RICHMOND is 1-7 ATS  L/8  after playing 2 consecutive games as an underdog this season.RICHMOND is 10-21 ATS  L/31 in home lined games.

CBB Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (RICHMOND) - a poor offensive team (63-67 PPG) against an average defensive team (67-74 PPG) after 15+ games, after allowing 85 points or more are 17-49 ATS L/21 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on George Washington to cover

My  College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

CBB road team (CALIFORNIA) - after going under the total by more than 6 points in three consecutive games, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season 100-56 ATS L/211 seasons for a 64% conversion rate.

 

Play on California  to cover

My  College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

Play on North Texas   to cover

My  College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

Xavier is a fine program with very good pedigree but, they have been highly inconsistent with HC Mack at the helm. Creighton is every bit as good as Xavier this season according to my power rankings and pose possible upset possibilities.

Creighton 4-0 ats L/4 vs opposition off DD loss. Villanova pounded Xavier last time out by DD.

The Home fav in this series is just 1-5 ATS L/6 and Xavier is just 1-5 ATS vs conference opp off a DD \SU loss.

XAVIER is 4-12 ATS ( versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 37% or more  of their attempts after 15+ games dating back to last season. XAVIER is 0-9 ATS L/9  off a road loss over the last 2 seasons. CREIGHTON is 8-1 ATS L/9 in road games in January games over the last 3 seasons.

CBB Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (XAVIER) - off a loss by 10 points or more to a conference rival, top level team, winning 80% or more of their games on the season are 11-35 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 76% for bettors.

Play on Creighton to cover

Both the LA Lakers and Dallas Mavericks are playing decent basketball at the moment. Both are still cellar dwellers but, one team in my head to head analysis is superior to the other, and that side is Dallas. With this game on the Mavs with 2 days rest on their  home floor I expect  what my power ranking tell me is the  better team to come out of this with a win and cover. Add to that the young Lakers are in a huge letdown spot after a very motivated upset win the Spurs last time out, and are now susceptible to a flat performance.

LA LAKERS are 11-24 ATS  L/35 after playing 2 consecutive home games over the last couple of seasons.

Lakers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.

Mavericks are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win.Mavericks are 11-2 ATS in their last 13 vs. Western Conference.

Dallas is 7-0 SU L/7 meetings in this series and 3-0 SU/ATS L/3 at home.

NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (LA LAKERS) - poor defensive team - allowing 99+ points/game on the season, after allowing 90 points or less 2 straight games are 22-92 SU L/22 seasons losing SU by an average of 9.7 ppg.

NBA Road underdogs of +145 to +350 vs. the money line (LA LAKERS) - after going under the total by more than 30 points in their previous game, in January games are 55-5 SU L/22 seasons winning SU by an average of 8.9 ppg.

Play on the Dallas Mavericks to cover

My  College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

W VIRGINIA is 11-3 ATS L/14 when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct.  80% or better )

W.Virginia  is 9-1 ATS L/10 versus very good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 39% or better.

Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (TEXAS TECH) - off a loss by 10 points or more to a conference rival, top level team, winning 80% or more of their games on the season are 11-35 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on West Virginia to cover

My  College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

AKRON is 15-3 straight up against BOWLING GREEN since 1997 in games played in Akron.


BOWLING GREEN is 7-17 ATS L/24 versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons. BOWLING GREEN is 3-12 ATS (L/15 after covering 2 of their last 3 against the spread.

Akron to cover

My  College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

Minnesota after a 5 game win streak has lost two straight including a embarrassing DD loss to Northwestern last time out. Now with redemption at hand vs one of the Big 10 top teams I'm expecting a strong effort here at home.

MINNESOTA is 12-3 ATS L/15 in home games off a road loss by 20 points or more . MINNESOTA is 11-3 ATS  L/14  in home games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14  or less turnovers/game.  MINNESOTA is 14-5 ATS  L/19 when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct.  80% or more) 

Play on Minnesota to cover

Cleveland has looked asleep at the proverbial wheel in back to back games after getting clobbered by Minnesota by 28 points on Monday night,  and then smashed in their ugliest defeat of the  season, 133-99, at Toronto Thursday night. Now humiliated and seeking redemption as well as revenge for two earlier losses this season to Indiana already this season , I'm betting on the Cavaliers  finally coming out and getting down to business. Tonight I expect LeBron James and his humungous ego to come out here and show a glimpse of his Hall of Fame talent and lead his team to a cover. Meanwhile,  after having a  two game home win streak abruptly ended ,  by losing  114-106 to visiting Miami on Wednesday night I've begun to notice the Pacers  looking strangely in cohesive for long stretches more often as the season progresses which is a worrisome development. I think this team feeds to much off leading scorer  Victor Oladipo and when he's not in a groove the team goes into a sinkhole. With that said, I am recommending we lay the short lumber with the Dr.Jekyll and Mr.Hyde Cavaliers.

Pacers are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games overall.Road team is 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings.

NBA Favorites vs. the money line (CLEVELAND) - after 2 or more consecutive losses, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) are 34-4 L/5 seasons for a 90% SU conversion rate for bettors with the average margin of victory coming by 10.1 ppg.

Play on the Cleveland Cavaliers to cover

My own line makes Canisius a -1.5 home favorite thus getting 4 points here in a one possession game makes for a viable wagering opportunity according to my own systems analysis.

The Peacocks have won four of the last five meetings against the Golden Griffins over the past two seasons.The Peacocks and Golden Griffins split the regular season series last year, with both teams winning on the road.The two teams met again in the quarterfinal round of the MAAC tournament, where the Peacocks edged the Golden Griffins, 61-58, advancing Saint Peter's to the semifinals and ending Canisius' season.

I know the home team here will be out looking for revenge, but the truth is these teams are quite evenly matched and nothing will come easily in my humble opinion.
Saint Peter's currently leads conference in scoring defense, field goal percentage defense, three-point field goal defense, and turnover margin.

CANISIUS is 3-20 ATS L/23 in home games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) after 15 or more games and 1-8 ATS vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% or more of their attempts after the same time line game perimeters. ST PETERS is 13-3 ATS L/16 versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game after 15+ games .ST PETERS is 11-3 ATS L/14 as a road underdog of 6 points or less or pick .ST PETERS is 19-7 ATS L/26 against conference opponents .CANISIUS is 2-11 ATS after 2 straight games committing 11 or less turnovers .


Peacocks are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Peacocks are 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings in Canisius.
Road team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

CBB Road teams as an underdog or pick (ST PETERS) - in a game involving two average teams (+/- 3.5 PPG diff.) after 15 or more games, after a blowout win by 20 points or more are 36-9 ATS L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on St.Peters to cover

Arizona State started out their season on fire, but that was against non conference opponents. Play conference games is like entering another dimension and nothing comes all that easily especially in a conference like the PAC 12. Now enter Dana Altman's Oregon Ducks, a solid side with good work ethic that most not be underestimated in their abilities to be competitive here in a series that the visitor has dominated for a long time , as is evident by a 11-1-1 ATS mark including 6 straight covers. I know Arizona State has revenge on board, for being knocked out of last seasons, conference tourney by the Ducks, but getting a win here as well as a cover will be  a difficult task vs a side that has covered 6 of their L/7 as underdogs.

OREGON is 6-0 ATS  L/6  in road games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games dating  back to last season. OREGON is 10-0 ATS  versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or better of their shots after 15+ games  dating back three seasons. 

CBB  team (ARIZONA ST) - in a game involving 2 top tier teams - outscoring opponents by 8+ PPG, after allowing 75 points or more 3 straight games are  99-162 ATS L/21 seasons for a go against 62% conversion rate on the blind for bettors.

Play on Oregon to cover

Stanford has shown some upward momentum of late , taking out both UCLA and USC in back to back games and must be respected as short favs vs a struggling  Washington State side that  inspires no one at this time not even their own fans after losing 7 of their L/9, as they  look completely asleep at the proverbial wheel. Stanford has clobbered Washington State in their two most recent meetings, by DD deficits and have won their L/2 visits to WS, and  another win here is a high probability according to my numbers and matchup stats.

WASHINGTON ST is 1-9 ATS  L/10 when the line is +3 to -3  and is 0-6 ATS l/6  at home when the line is +3 to -3.

Play on Stanford to cover

A week ago I would have been backing the Raptors in this spot, vs a struggling Cavaliers side,   but with the high possibility of playing tonight's game without guard Kyle Lowry, who is listed as day-to-day with a bruised tailbone and back spasms,  I'm betting against the Raptors instead.  Lowry's abs cense was obvious in a loss to Miami last time out, as the Raptors took it on the chin in a  90-89 decision to the Heat.  I know Cleveland has been playing less than inspired hoops of late, but going against one of the Eastern Conference strongest teams I expect LeBron James and company to be very motivated and ready to perform to their best of their abilities. QUOTE: "I mean, the whole game is completely different without Kyle," said Raptors star DeRozan, who scored 25 points and gave Toronto an 89-88 lead on a basket with 3.1 seconds left. "You can kind of tell with our ball movement wasn't all the way there like it normally be when Kyle's out there. Like I said, he's a general on the floor. He sees things when they need to be called. That's no excuse." END QUOTE. No ones making excuses for the Raptors, but like I said above and what  his team mate also suggests is that TO just doesn't have the same energy with Lowry at less than 100% or not playing.

Note: The Dinos, forward Serge Ibaka is also expected to miss with an injury.

Raptors are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Cavaliers are 4-0-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Toronto

NBA  Road underdogs (CLEVELAND) - struggling team - failing to cover the spread in 12 or more of the last 15 are a long term profitable bet, going 131-80 ATS L/21 seasons for a 62% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on Cleveland to cover

After a great season last year, and an appearance in the NCAA Tourney, Northern Kentucky now has a big target on their backs. Teams like Wright State looking for Horizon league accolades have games like this circled on their calendars and will be well prepared to be competitive and possibly pull off an upset. Add to that the Raiders are also in revenge mode  for a pair of losses to the Norse, last season and you have the makings of a more competitive game than the lines-makers might expect. Note : The four most recent meetings in this series have been decided by 5, 7, 4, 3 points.

Wright State has won 5 straight and 8 of their L/9 and are in top form and climbing my power rankings.

Underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (WRIGHT ST) - after allowing 80 points or more against opponent after allowing 25 points or less in the first half last game are 190-125 ATS L/5 seasons for a long term 60%+ conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on Wright State to cover

Minnesota has a 5 game win streak snapped last time out against Indiana and will be out looking for redemption tonight vs a Northwestern side that has lost 3 of their L/4 games overall. Wildcats are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record and 1-4 ATS L/5 vs the Big 10. According to my own power rankings the wrong team is favored, as my own numbers make the Gophers a -1 fav. Thus according to my numbers we have value with the visitors.

Northwestern  HC Collins is 3-13 ATS  L/16  in home games versus excellent teams - shooting 45% or better with a defense of 42% or better and is 5-16 ATS  L21  in home games versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game .

Play on the Minnesota Gophers to cover

Oklahoma City is a talented but an inconsistent team, that is still above .500 on the season. Their veterans ie ( Melo, George, Westbrook) and the experience they bring to the court make them viable underdogs against young teams like Minnesota . Last night, the Thunder, looked asleep at the proverbial wheel, in their game vs short handed Portland losing by a 117-106 count. However, after not showing up for that game, the Thunder should have plenty of jump and energy for this tilt vs their hosts the Wolves. Meanwhile, the Wolves are  dynamic group, with plenty of athleticism, and are off an impressive 127-99 win vs the Cavaliers last time out, but according to my own matchup data, and cross reference player vs player and system vs systems rankings, the Thunder have an edge vs a side that could easily be in a letdown mode after their last complete game tenacious effort.   Its also interesting to note  that MINNESOTA is 0-8 ATS  L/8 in home games after scoring 120 points or more . HC Thibodeau is 4-15 ATS   in home games off a home blowout win by 20 points or more in all games  he coached in his career.

MINNESOTA is 22-38 ATS   versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game dating back to last season.Timberwolves are 4-10-1 ATS in their last 15 home games. .Thunder are 39-18-1 ATS in their last 58 games following a double-digit loss at home.Underdog is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

Timberwolves are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

NBA Road teams vs. the money line (OKLAHOMA CITY) - off 2 or more consecutive upset losses as a favorite against opponent off a home win are 28-10 SU L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors and also NBA teams vs the money line (OKLAHOMA CITY) - off an upset loss to a division rival as a favorite against opponent off an home win scoring 110 or more points are 33-13 SU in the follow up L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Oklahoma City Thunder to cover

Detroit is  has really been having  a lot of problems defending of  late, especially on the road as is evident by a  8-13 away record, which is ranks last in the Eastern Conference and recently have allowed allowing 101.4 points and 46.9 percent shooting  during their current 5 game losing road run. QUOTE: "We've lost five straight on the road and all of them have been horrendous defensive effort, every one of them," Motown's HC Van Gundy said. "Pathetic defensive effort. I don't think our effort is close to good. "END QUOTE: I agree with his assessments, and I'm doubting this teams ability to make a 360 here.

The Nets are 3-3 SU in their last six games but have been extremely competitive last five games  as the games were decided by three points or less and I'm betting they come out here and take advantage of a down trodden Pistons team in this spot and once again give their opponents headaches behind a strong blue collar work ethic.  

BROOKLYN is 16-6 ATS  L/22 when playing against a team with a winning record this season.DETROIT is 16-29 ATS  L/45  in road games when playing against a team with a losing record.

DETROIT is 3-17 ATS  L/20 on the road when the line is +3 to -3. BROOKLYN is 8-1 ATS  L/9 off a cover where the team lost the game straight up as an underdog this season.

Brooklyn has covered 4 straight at home in this series.

NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (BROOKLYN) - off a loss against a division rival, in January games are 24-5 ATS L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Brooklyn Nets to cover

Harvard has been inconsistent this season, but they have shown a lot of competitive efforts vs top tier competition, taking out St.Marys CA, losing but covering vs Kentucky 79-70, and going on the road to play Minnesota of the Big 10 and covering a s 14 points dogs ( 65-55). Harvard won their L/game  at home and now rested after a torrid early season road schedule and now should have plenty in the tank to use  their big bodies to push around a less physical side . This Harvard Ivy League hoops program has established pedigree and  must not be underestimated in this spot vs a strong but over rated Wofford side from what is a lower tier conference.

HARVARD is 8-1 ATS L/9 after playing a game as a home favorite. Harvard HC Amaker is 16-6 ATS   versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game.

Play on Harvard to cover

FRESNO ST is 6-16 ATS  L/22  in home games off a close win by 3 points or less over a conference rival .FRESNO ST is 11-25 ATS  L/36 when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct.  80% or better). BOISE ST is 9-2 ATS  L/11 versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game.

CBB Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (BOISE ST) - after beating the spread by 30 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going over the total by 30 or more points total in their last three games are 39-9 ATS L/21 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Boise State to cover

.

Bowling Green has owned the Huskies of late winning 18 of the L/26 meetings SU . Meanwhile, the visiting  Huskies will be playing off a triple-revenger with Ohio U  and will now be in a letdown spot and susceptible to a down performance . It must be noted Northern Illinois  is a ugly  1-15 SU and covered only three of those games ATS   after going against the  Bobcats .   Meanwhile,  Bowling Green  is returning home off a home loss to Miami Ohio on Tuesday which is  good omen for us  Falcons backers as the Falcons own a 4-0 SU/ATS mark here off a previous home loss.   Bowling Green has won and covered the last five series meetings with NIU when favored by 6 or fewer points and I'm betting on it being 6 covers in a row here after tonight.

Huskies are 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 vs. Mid-American. Favorite is 2-0-2 ATS in the last 4 meetings.

Bowling Green to cover

My  College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

The Akron Zips are a different team at home, and enjoy the confines of their own digs (James A. Rhodes Arena) . Zips are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games. Akron is 49-9 SU L/58 home games. Akron is 7-0 at home under 1st year HC Groce and get the nod to cover here tonight vs Buffalo.

Akrons HC Groce is 15-2 ATS L/17 after playing 2 consecutive games as a road underdog in all games.and is 13-2 ATS L/15 off 2 or more consecutive road losses in all games.AKRON is 18-3 ATS L/21 in home games after a game where they made 53% of their free throws or worse which happened last time out in a 67-65 loss to Toledo.

Akron to cover

CFP NATIONAL CHAMPIONSHIP - Mercedes-Benz Stadium - Atlanta, GA

After watching Georgia shoot it out  with Oklahoma and win in OT it became obvious to me that this team, is really special, and  can both play top tier defense and show case an explosive offense, which makes them extremely dangerous on both sides of the ball , and a bad matchup for Alabama .  Meanwhile, Alabama despite of their over powering performance vs Clemson, still  played a game in their comfort zone behind their trade mark defense , and methodical offense. It was how Saban and company have won games for a long time now.  I also  know the public has now piled all back onto the Tides bandwagon, but I'm betting   Nick Saban's domination of college football could easily come  to end today and could begin a down trend for Alabama football. Yes, this is definitely a contrarian view point,as I  refuse to stay inside the box by  following the mainstream medias viewpoint and instead look at all possible indicators and factors.   Its hard betting against the Tide, but I am very impressed with Georgia's ability to play two way football, something Saban's side does not look capable of doing in their current form. It will be Georgia's superior  offensive abilities  that will be the difference maker here today.

GEORGIA is 6-0 ATS  L/6  in road games vs. excellent punt coverage teams, allowing  7.5or less  yards per return. Bulldogs HC Smart is 7-0 ATS  L/7 in road games after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread.

Crimson Tide are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 conference games.Bulldogs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 neutral site games.

CFB Neutral field underdogs (GEORGIA) - excellent rushing team - averaging 225 or more rushing yards/game, after gaining 225 or more rushing yards in 4 straight games are 23-3 ATS L/24 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Georgia to cover

It has become obvious to me recently  the importance of Indiana Pacers leading scorer Victor Oladipo to the teams successes or failures. He's is truly the key to this teams flow in my humble opinion and brings a great deal of chemistry and energy to the Pacers attack. After losing 5 straight games, Oladipo made a triumphant return last time out  scoring 26 points as his team blasted the Bulls by a lopsided 125-86 count and I'm betting his fresh legs will be the catalyst to a Pacers win and cover tonight vs visiting Milwaukee . QUOTE: "He opened up the offense as well as the defense with a couple of steals in the first quarter," McMillan said about Oladipo  . "We were able to establish a tempo. When you have a guy like that capable of creating opportunities for himself as well as his teammates. It just frees you up. A lot of what our guys have to do is catch and shoot because the defense is focused on him." END QUOTE:

With Oladipo out, the Bucks owned  the Pacers in a 122-101 blowout last Wednesday night. But now with revenge on board and their star back in the lineup payback is at hand.

MILWAUKEE is 12-23 ATS   L/35 versus struggling defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46%  or less. INDIANA is 22-10 ATS   L/32 when playing 4 or less games in 10 days.INDIANA is 26-13 ATS  39  in home games revenging a same season loss vs opponent.

Bucks are 2-8-2 ATS in their last 12 vs. NBA Central. Some teams and people don't like Mondays ( aka Boom Town Rats - 1979) but it seems the Pacers like the first day of the week, as they are 7-0 ATS  L/7 Monday games) Home team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Bucks: 0-3-1 in 1/1 rest sit vs div -Pacers: 4-1 home in 1/1 rest sit vs div.

Home favorites vs. the money line (INDIANA) - after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 74-18 SU L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Favorites (INDIANA) - revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more against opponent off a road win are a long term viable wagering option, going 106-60 ATS L/5 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on Indiana to cover

The Bearcats very much at this point in the season look like national championship contenders. They did suffer a couple losses in December, but since than they have won 5 straight by an average of 22.4 ppg. Now with revenge on board for losing 2 of three to SMU last season, including a DD loss in the AAC championship game,  I'm betting the Bearcats will be ready to perform with a vengeance. The Ponies have lost 4 straight meetings on this floor and I'm betting the 5th straight comes today in lopsided fashion.

Mustangs are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.  Bearcats are 9-3 ATS L/12 at home.

Play on the Cincinnati Bearcats to cover

NFC Wildcard Playoffs

The Falcons have big game play off experience while the key man under center  Jared Goff for the Rams does not . It must be noted that first start QBs in the post season are just 11-27 SU/ATS L/15 seasons.
 I know the Falcons have not inspired many bettors this season, but having been in key post season situations before they are better prepared to deal with the pressure   than their inexperienced opposition. The Rams can score in bunches, but the Falcons D, has been staunch this season, and held 6 teams to 300 yards or less and their L/2 opponents to season low offensive outputs.

 The Falcons are ranked top 10 in both Defense and offense.

ATLANTA is 6-0 ATS L/6 against NFC West division opponents dating back to last  season.

Play on Atlanta to cover

My  College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

Wyoming under coach Allen Edward  26-4 SU at home  and must be respected here as short favorites.

 The Wyoming Cowboys  have revenge on board .....  The Boyz are 20-5 ATS as conference home underdogs against opposition that are not off a double-digit loss like Boise State.

Wyoming to cover

 My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

Kent State is off a couple of hard fought road losses, but the Flashes did pick up a win in their last home game in the M.A.C. Center, a top tier  victory over the Pac 12's Oregon State, 79-78. This Kent State team has a strong home court advantage and are viable bets here today vs Central Michigan. Kent State is 28-10 against Central Michigan at home. Prior to last season, they had not been defeated by them in the M.A.C. Center since Feb. 26, 1997. 


Kent State   to cover

 My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

This Hoosiers D allows 72.4 points per game which ranks them 191st in the nation and they allow a 44% shooting percentage and a 38% average from via the trey, ranking them 198th and 321st in those defensive categories. I expect Minnesota a side that is ranked 36th in the country in offensive rating with 114.2, and their defensive rating of 96.4 is ranked 94th to come out of this with a conclusive win vs a side that they matchup well against.


MINNESOTA is 6-0 ATS L/6 in home games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game after 15+ games. MINNESOTA is 11-2 ATS L/13 in home games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game .INDIANA is 4-12 ATS L/16 versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game.


Minnesota to cover

My  College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

NC Charlotte to cover

 My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

My own line makes this game closer to a pickem. Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (VIRGINIA) - off a road blowout win by 20 points or more, in a game involving two top-level teams ( 80% or better) and 30-7 ATS for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. 

North Carolina to cover

My  College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

Xavier to cover

My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

Louisville to cover

The Charlotte  Hornets enter this game  with momentum as they are off a season-high point total in a 131-111 victory at the Sacramento Kings on Tuesday.  Meanwhile, the tired looking LA Lakers are off getting blasted by a 133-96  by the visiting Oklahoma City Thunder in their last trip to the hardwood on Wednesday night.  The Lakers futility has been obvious for a while, as they have lost 8 straight behind an offense ranks last in the NBA in 3-point shooting (32.6 percent), free throw shooting (68.8), and average the second-most turnovers per game (16.1). I know the Lakers beat the Hornets the last time these teams played on Dec. 9 in Charlotte, but the Lakers are only 1-11 since then, and in a major funk. Yes, injuries have played a role in the Lakers recent slide, but even when they are healthy chemistry issues and cohesiveness seem to be an issue. I personally feel having the self promoting Lavar Ball around the team ( Lonzo Balls dad)  makes for a circus like environment that in part is playing havoc with this young groups concentration. With that said, I'm betting on the revenge minded Hornets to come out here and get the win/cover as short road chalk.

Hornets are 3-1-2 ATS in their last 6 road games.Lakers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games.Hornets are 9-2-1 ATS in the last 12 meetings in Los Angeles.

CHARLOTTE is 22-8 ATS  L/30  in road games after leading in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half.LA LAKERS are 12-27 ATS  L/39 when playing 6 or more games in 10 days over.

NBA Home teams (LA LAKERS) - in a game involving two poor defensive teams (45.5-47.5%), after a game - allowing a shooting pct. of 55% or higher are 12-37 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 76% for bettors.

NBA Road favorites vs. the money line (CHARLOTTE) - poor pressure defensive team - forcing 14 turnovers/game or less, after a game committing 10+ less turnovers than opponents are 45-11 SU L/21 seasons with the average margin of victory coming by +8.9 ppg.

Play on the Charlotte Hornets to cover

The Toronto Raptors are in red hot form behind emerging super stars Lowry and DeRozan and up and coming kids with huge potential like Delon Wright. This past Monday On Jan. 1, the Raptors beat the Bucks 131-127 in overtime. That victory was the fourth straight in the series for Toronto, which grabbed the final three games of a first-round playoff series from Milwaukee last spring.
Meanwhile, the Bucks have won 3 of their L/4 with the lone loss coming in the above mentioned game. Despite of this game taking place in Milwaukee I'm betting the superior side according to my power rankings Toronto comes out on top again.
MILWAUKEE is 12-24 ATS L/38 after having won 3 of their last 4 games .

TORONTO is 20-7 ATS  vs. poor rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 3+ per game

Raptors are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. Raptors are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 1 days rest.Bucks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points.Bucks are 3-8-3 ATS in their last 14 vs. Eastern Conference. Raptors are 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Milwaukee.

NBA Home underdogs (MILWAUKEE) - after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 30-62 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 68% for bettors.

Play on the Toronto Raptors to cover

My  College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

 My own line makes this closer to -4 for Rider. Value taking Fairfield on a bloated line  .

FAIRFIELD is 23-10 ATS L/33 as a road underdog of 6.5 to 9 points . Fairfield has won the L/4 meetings in this series SU , including their last two visits to Rider.

Play on Fairfield  to cover

My  College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

My own line makes Wisconsin-7 fav here , vs Rutgers. Value laying the short lumber in this spot.  Wisconsin has won 5 straight while Rutgers has lost two straight. both are playing at the opposite end of the performance spectrum at the moment , making the short road fav a solid option in this spot.

WISCONSIN is 6-0 ATS L/6  in road games after 2 straight games being called for 5+ less fouls than opponent and 6-0 ATS   off 2 consecutive home wins by 10 points or more. RUTGERS is 1-8 ATS  L/29 after scoring 25 points or less in the first half last game. Rutgers HC Pikiell is 1-13 ATS  L/14 vs. teams who are called for 3+ less fouls/game than their opponents in his career.

CBB favorite (WISCONSIN) - average 3PT shooting team (32-36.5%) against a good 3PT defense (32% or less), good ball handling team (14.5 TO or less) vs. an average pressure defense (14.5-17.5 TO) after 15+ games are 78-40 ATS L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Wisconsin to cover

My  College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

 My own line makes this closer to -5.5 for Toledo. Value taking Akron .

CBB Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (AKRON) - after scoring 75 points or more 3 straight games against opponent after scoring 75 points or more 4 straight games are 28-11 ATS L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Akron to cover

Los Angeles is playing some very good hoops at the moment as they go for their seventh win in the last eight tilts  when they host the Oklahoma City Thunder on Thursday night. Meanwhile, Oklahoma City is also playing well with seven victories in the last nine outings. However,  In game that is essentially a pickem, my own power rankings suggest in a head to head , and player to player and system vs  system analysis , that the Thunder are the superior overall team and have a better than 55% chance of coming out as the  victorious side. SF Paul George scored 42 points in 42 minutes when the Thunder took  a 120-111 home victory over the Clippers on Nov. 10 and is averaging 26.4 points on 44-of-75 shooting over his last five contests . With that said, I'm betting  George will once again be the key catalyst for what I expect will  be Thunder success in this meeting.

Thunder are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game.( last night the Thunder beat LAL 133-96) Thunder are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games.Thunder are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

Play on Oklahoma City to cover

My  College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

 My own line makes this closer to -2 to 2.5 for Marymount. Value taking San Clara .

Play on Santa Clara to cover

My  College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

Charlottes HC Fancher is 11-2 ATS  L/13   in road games versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season.

Play on Charlotte to cover

My  College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

My line makes this closer to -11 . Considering current form we have good value taking points here.
 
Play on VMI  to cover

My  College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

 I have Ohio State as -4 favs in this spot so value here taking points with Ohio State.
 
Play on Ohio State  to cover

My  College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

CBB Road teams as an underdog or pick (E ILLINOIS) - an average team (+/- 3.5 PPG differential) against a poor team (-3.5 to -8 PPG differential), after scoring 55 points or less are 35-12 ATS L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on E.Illinois to cover

I don't often watch complete NBA games, but rather , just go through all the action in fast form replays every morning, so I can get a better grip on emotions and energy levels, when I attach all the pertinent stats and power rankings / projections to a matchup vs the line. After all  sports are played by humans and not robots. So for me its important to see and gage with my own eyes what is exactly going on in a matchup.  With that said, for whatever reason, I ended watching big chunks of a previous matchup featuring tonight's combatants, the New Orleans Pelicans and Utah Jazz ( played on Dec 1). What I took from that game, and stood out to me was how the Pelicans Anthony Davis seemed to own the Jazz, he looked extremely confident and his team could feel his energy and they played off of it, leading for 3 quarters before Davis injured his hamstring. After Davis exited the Jazz took over and won 114-108. With Davis healthy and expected to play tonight I expect he and  his side kick Cousins to come out here looking for revenge.  Add to that some embarrassing collapses in recent tilts for the well rested Pelicans and I'm betting we see them at their best tonight, and as you can see from the line , the books agree with my assessments.

UTAH is 4-12 ATS  L/16 after having lost 2 of their last 3 games this season.  Pelicans are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record. Jazz are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 vs. Western Conference.

NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (UTAH) - after a close win by 3 points or less against opponent after a loss by 6 points or less are 19-42 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 69% for bettors

NBA .teams where the line is +3 to -3 (NEW ORLEANS) - after allowing 100 points or more 2 straight games against opponent after a close win by 3 points or less are 50-21 ATS L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on New Orleans to cover

The Bulls after a slow start to their campaign, have really come together as a team, and must be respected here vs the Toronto Raptors as home dogs. The Bulls have covered 16 of their L/21 overall and are 8-2 ATS L/10 vs an above .500 team like the Raptors, and 7-1 ATS L/8 home games. I'm recommending we take the points here with the home dog.

Raptors are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 vs. NBA Central.Raptors are 0-6 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Chicago.

CHICAGO is 12-4 ATS  L/16 versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more  of their shots this season and  is 18-8 ATS  l/26  versus top tier teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game.

CHICAGO is 9-1 ATS  when playing with double revenge - 2 straight losses vs. opponent this season.

NBA Road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (TORONTO) - after a win by 6 points or less against opponent after a combined score of 205 points or more 3 straight games are 20-47 ATS L/21 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 70% for bettors.

Play on the Chicago Bulls

My  College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

Georgia will be in a huge emotional letdown situation after battling Kentucky hard last time out , but still falling short via  a 66-61 loss. Look for Ole Miss to take advantage of the situation, and make it 5 in row ATS vs the SEC opposition.

GEORGIA is 1-9 ATS L/10 in home games after playing a game as an underdog. OLE MISS is 28-12 ATS L/40  in road games in January games .OLE MISS is 55-33 ATS L/88 as a road underdog or pick. OLE MISS is 12-4 ATS L/16  in road games versus good ball handling teams - committing  14 or less turnovers/game.

Play on Ole Miss to cover

The Knicks,  enter this game better prepared to take on the San Antonio after a  119-107 road loss  vs the Spurs last week on Dec 28.

The Knicks, in their last trip to the  hardwood ended   a four-game losing streak on Sunday in a 105-103 win and now with  momentum and added  confidence will I'm betting deal better with their top tier opponents in the rematch. Being able to get the feel of what's coming their way tonight by examining , their  last meeting in this series is an important factor in the Knick's being competitive tonight, considering Hornacek's recent ability to adjust to opponents via condensed scouting  charts . Considering that my own numbers ( cross reference player vs player -system vs system power rankings) also  suggest this line is closer to an adjusted  pickem, makes  taking the points here  a viable wager.  

Note: San Antonio's offense is averaging just 97.1 ppg on the road this season, while NYK has averaged 107.3 ppg at home.

Knicks are 13-4 ATS in their last 17 home games.

Knicks are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 vs. Western Conference.NEW YORK is 15-5 ATS  in home games versus teams who make 6 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season. Knicks are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

Spurs are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

Play on the NY Knicks to cover

My  College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

My own line makes Northeastern a -2 fav here at home. When adding in systems and cross reference matchup power rankings its closer to a pickem, according to a duel comparison chart that I have formulated. With that said, I'm betting we have value with taking points here.

HOFSTRA is 6-0 ATS  L/6 as a road underdog of 3.5 to 6 points. HOFSTRA is 13-3 ATS  L/16  as a road underdog or pick. HOFSTRA is 11-3 ATSL/14 as a road underdog of 6 points or less or pick.NORTHEASTERN is 0-8 ATS  L/8 as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points.

Hofstra has won 4 straight meetings in this series including 2 here at Northeastern.

Play on Hofstra to cover

Play on Hofstra to cover

My  College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

According to my power rankings the wrong team is favored here. This taking points with the visitor is optimal.

C MICHIGAN is 2-10 ATS  L/12  in home games versus up-tempo teams averaging 62 or more shots/game.

Play on Ohio  to cover

The Bulldogs are off beating the No.1 ranked Villanova Wildcats 101-93 on Saturday at Hinkle Fieldhouse , and despite of being in an emotional letdown scenario, must not be underestimated as dogs in this spot. Meanwhile, Xavier despite of current 9 game win streak, have really had to work hard for wins in their three most recent tilts as hosts, The Musketeers had to exert a lot of energy in a 22-point comeback in a win vs East Tennessee State, and barely got by in a four-point win vs explosive Marshall, then on Saturday had to find a way back from 16 point deficit to beat DePaul in the Big East opener. Needless to say that both teams could be experiencing a drop off here based on their recent battles. QUOTE: "Over the past two weeks, I don't think we've played like a top-five team," Mack said about his Xavier program "I think we're capable of doing that. I hope we're a better version of ourselves tomorrow night against a really good Butler team." END QUOTE:

From a matchup perspective Butler is never an easy out for any hoops program in this nation , and from a personal power ranking perspective are a viable side to take when getting points. Add to that these two rivals are just 90 miles apart makes for an even more pronounced confrontation that makes taking the points golden in my betting opinion.

I'm also betting on Butler top tier downtown 3 point snipers Paul Jorgensen and Kelan Martin to be the difference makers here tonight in a Butler cover.

BUTLER is 7-0 ATS L/7 vs. excellent free throw shooting teams - making 77% or more of their shots. BUTLER is 16-7 ATS L/23 versus top tier teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game .

Play on Butler to cover

Los Angeles  is off a grueling , double-overtime loss (142-148) in Houston on Sunday that lasted nearly three hours and saw starters Brandon Ingram, Kyle Kuzma and Tyler Ennis play over 40 minutes apiece. Already short-handed due to the injuries of Brook Lopez (sprained right ankle) and rookie Lonzo Ball (sprained left shoulder),  and  now exhausted the Lakers are  susceptible to getting run over as this tilt progresses.  Meanwhile, Minnesota had a much easier time of it , in a 107-90 victory at Indiana on Sunday and will be more than ready to run and gun again here at home as they go for their 7th win in 10 games.

Lakers are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game.Lakers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 0 days rest.Timberwolves are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Pacific.Home team is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.

LA LAKERS are 11-23 ATS  L/34 after a loss by 6 points or less over the last few seasons with the average deficit margin clicking at just under 11 ppg.

Play on the Wolves to cover

CITRUS BOWL - Camping World Stadium - Orlando, FL


Notre Dame and their top tier coach Brian Kelly put together a fine group on the field this campaign , and overall they played incredible ball for 90% of this season and looked like play off contenders . Playing at such a high level against what was some very strong competition this season , finally saw them slip towards the end against Miami fl and Stanford, suffering stagnant losses. It must be noted that the Catholic boys faced the toughest schedule of all bowl teams this season and must be respected here against a average SEC team in LSU. Yes, I know HC Orgeron is liked by his players, and finished strong, but I cannot over look the ugly effort they had against Troy at home this season, and consistent lapses in this teams abiity to be motivated. It must also be noted that new Hcs in Bowl games as favorites of less than 4 points are just 6-15 ATS L/21.

I really believe this is a coaching mismatch, and I'm betting after a month off Notre Dame will be ready to roll again. Kelly is 25-12 ATS in his career when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 75% or better) .

Play on Notre Dame to cover

My  College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

Youngstown State is 0-10 on the road this season, with a average  score  of  Opp  88.7  Youngstown St 67.3. This is a rare very winnable game for Cleveland State and they will be primed to perform.

YOUNGSTOWN ST is 0-6 ATS L/6 after a game where they made 53% of their free throws or worse.YOUNGSTOWN ST is 2-8 ATS L/10 as an underdog this season losing SU by an average of 21.4 ppg.

Play on the Cleveland State to cover

The 76ers went into Denver last night and took out the Nuggets by a 107-102 count, and now with momentum on their sides I expect them to come out and take out the  Phoenix Suns this Sunday night. I know the Suns have played decent hoops of late winning 5 of their L/7 and  two good back to back games, but from a player vs player  and system vs system  perspective  the Sixers in their current form matchup very well against  them despite of losing the first meeting in this series this season back in December . With that that said,  their is added incentive for the Sixers as they look to avenge that above mentioned embarrassing 115-101  loss in Philadelphia on Dec. 4,

76ers are 16-7 ATS in their last 23 vs. NBA Pacific.76ers are 43-19-1 ATS in their last 63 vs. Western Conference.Favorite is 22-7 ATS in the last 29 meetings.

PHILADELPHIA is 30-18 ATS  L/48 in non-conference games.PHILADELPHIA is 25-14 ATS  L/39 revenging a home loss vs opponent.

NBA Road favorites vs. the money line (PHILADELPHIA) - with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season, on Sunday games are 32-3 L/L/5 seasons for a 92% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average victory coming by 8.9 ppg.

NBA Road favorites (PHILADELPHIA) - with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season, on Sunday games are 31-4 ATS L/5 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Philadelphia 76ers to cover

Indiana's leading scorer Victor Oladipo  is is expected  miss his third consecutive game with a sore right knee when Indiana (19-17) hosts Minnesota (22-14) on Sunday. That's  after  having  lost three in a row. That's not good news for a  Pacers team that already in funk after having lost three straight games.  QUOTE:
"We've lost that sense of urgency," said HC McMillan, whose team lost to Chicago 119-107 on Friday night. "We're giving up big quarters defensively. Teams are really coming out and just jumping on us. We have to get stops so we can rebound the ball and we can establish a tempo. Right now, we're not defending well at all." END QUOTE
I agree with this statement completely, and doubt very much that the Pacers can just turn a switch and go back into overdrive again.
The Pacers shot a team-record 66.7 percent in a 130-107 victory over the host Timberwolves on Oct. 24 and now with revenge on board I'm betting on the Wolves to be very motivated in this spot .

Timberwolves are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Pacers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall.Road team is 7-0 ATS in the last 7 meetings.

 MINNESOTA is 21-9 ATS L/30  in road games versus good shooting teams - making   46% or more of their shots .

NBA Road favorites vs. the money line (MINNESOTA) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite of 10 or more against opponent off a road loss by 10 points or more are 26-2 SU L/21 seasons for a 93% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Minnesota to cover

My  College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

My own numbers make Syracuse a pickem to -1 point favorite, so according to those numbers we have value taking points here with VTech in a game that could easily be a one possession contest.

Hokies are 8-1-1 ATS in their last 10 vs. Atlantic Coast.Orange are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win (which happened last time out vs E.Michigan) Hokies are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings.

SYRACUSE is 5-13 ATS  L/18 versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or less dating back to last season.VIRGINIA TECH is 31-18 ATS  L/49 versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game. VIRGINIA TECH is 17-8 ATS  L/25 versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game .VIRGINIA TECH is 11-3 ATS  L/14 after 3 consecutive non-conference games.

Syracuse is 0-5 ATS L/5 at home vs VTech.

Play on VTech to cover

The Atlanta Falcons need a victory more than the Carolina Panthers do when the teams meet in the regular-season final Sunday at Mercedes-Benz Stadium and will be the more motivated of these two teams this Sunday. The Falcons (9-6) can clinch the final NFC wild-card spot with a victory.

Carolina's HC Rivera has already thrown caution to the wind, and told the media We have to make sure we do it in a judicious fashion and that's not to expose him," Rivera said , referring to his veteran QB Cam Newton. So needless to say, this game is more about staying healthy for the Falcons and not worrying about their play off position entering the post season.

I know Atlanta is coming off a loss, but in the past QB Matt Ryan is 9-2 SU/ATS at home in division games coming off a loss , including 8-0 ATS L/8 and a perfect 4-0 ATS facing a team off a victory like Carolina is. Also teams off appearing in a Super Bowl last season, and losing are 12-1 ATS L/13 times when they are off a loss of more than 3 points which happened in a 23-13 loss to the Saints last week,

Needless to say, I feel good about backing a motivated team like Atlanta vs a side that has more lose than win here today.

NFL Home favorites (ATLANTA) - after having won 2 out of their last 3 games, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team are 29-6 ATS L/10 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Atlanta Falcons to cover

My  College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

The wrong team is favored here according to my own power rankings and projections . Idaho on my data and matchup scenarios should be -1.5 point fav on the open, thus getting points here makes for a viable wagering opportunity .

N.Colorado has been playing well and lighting up the board, but I'm betting  Idaho's ability to play solid defense will be the difference maker. ( allowing just 63.2 ppg)

IDAHO is 16-2 ATS  L/18  in road games versus up-tempo teams averaging 62 or more shots/game.N COLORADO is 1-8 ATS  L/9  in home games when playing with one or less days rest .N COLORADO is 0-6 ATS  L/6 after covering 4 of their last 5 against the spread.

CBB Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (IDAHO) - after beating the spread by 30 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going over the total by 30 or more points total in their last three games are 37-7 ATS L/20 seasons for a 84% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Idaho to cover

My  College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.


No. 3 Arizona State (12-0) has been the most surprising team in college basketball, while No. 17 Arizona (10-3) is riding a seven-game winning streak. both are playing at a high level, but I'm betting on the status quo to continue going forward with Arizona showing us their pedigree in a key game.

From a matchup perspective I feel strongly that Arizona has the edge vs Arizona St small ball lineup. Arizona has a height advantage in the post and I'm betting this will be a catalyst to them winning and covering this evening in this big time desert brawl.

Arizona has won and covered 4 straight meetings in this series and I'm betting on a rinse and repeat situation tonight.

Wildcats are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs. Pacific-12.Wildcats are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.Sun Devils are 0-5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Arizona

Play on Arizona to cover

CAPITAL ONE ORANGE BOWL - Hard Rock Stadium - Miami, FL

Miami fl after a strong season finished off their campaign with a couple of down performances vs  Pittsburgh followed by a ACC Championship loss vs defending national champion Clemson . This was a Miami Fl side that was talked about as a national contender and missed the play offs by one game. Remember the Canes were also undefeated before those two above mentioned losses and in no way should be disrespected here vs Wisconsin. Miami I'm betting will do just fine vs a Badgers side that despite of being a defensive juggernaut have problems vs top tier secondary's ranking 112 in intercepted passes . Note: Hurricanes had 15 interceptions this season.

ACC Bowl underdogs are 10-0-1 ATS l/11 against Big 10 opposition  .

CFB road team vs. the money line (WISCONSIN) - good offensive team (5.6 to 6.2 YPP) against a good defense (4.2 to 4.8 YPP) after 7+ games, after being outgained by opp by 125 or more total yards last game are 3-29 SU L/25 seasons for a 91% conversion rate for bettors  losing by an average of 17.8 ppg.

Play on  Miami Fl  to cover

The Pistons according to my cross reference system/player rankings is a team that matches up well vs the Spurs. It's not about which side is superior, but about a head to head matchup analysis that suggests  that this Motown group are viable home underdogs. The Spurs rank 6th in SRS 3.02 and the Pistons rank 12th with a 0.77 SRS. The Pistons offense is ranked 22nd while the Spurs offense ranks 24th overall in the league.  Both sides own viable defenses with the San Antonio ranking first and Detroit in 7th spot. From a aggregate point of view the line is slightly bloated according to my own systems, and with that said I'm recommending we take the points here with the Pistons. ( Detroit is 11-5 SU at home this season)

Note: Detroit was upset last time out vs the Orlando Magic , as 4 point favs,(102-89) which is a good omen considering Detroit's ability in the past to bounce back as is evident by their  10-1 ATS  record L/11 opportunities  in home games off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a favorite .

DETROIT is 9-1 ATS   as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season.

Play on the Detroit Pistons to cover

Pro ballers do not like to be embarrassed, because it effects future contract negotiations  , and also damages what are usually huge egos. That is what the Miami Heat experienced last night    in its worst home loss of the season to Brooklyn by a 111-87 count . Tonight the Heat will be in a  big bounce back situation when they  visit  the Orlando Magic, a side of a upset victory vs the Pistons , last time out , but is also a side that has failed to get consecutive wins for  more than seven weeks.

MIAMI is 9-1 ATS L/10 off an upset loss as a home favorite .ORLANDO is 2-10 ATS L/12 after a game where they covered the spread this season.

Previous to that above mentioned loss by  Miami  they have played well  going 7-4 in its last 11 games while allowing more than 100 points in losing four of five. During this 11-game stretch, the Heat are allowing 96.8 points while recording a 102.7 defensive rating. Needless to say the Heat are no pushovers, and are well armed in their quest for redemption this evening. The Heat beat the Magic last time they played by a 107-89 count on Dec 26th. ORLANDO is 1-8 ATS  revenging a same season loss vs opponent this season.

ORLANDO is 4-14 ATS  versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts this season.

Play on the Miami Heat to cover

My  College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

Huge game for one of the hardest working teams in the nation. This may not be one of Butlers better teams over the years, but none are harder working than this group. I'm betting they make life difficult for the nations to team and get us the cover.

Butler is 4-0 ATS L/4 in this series.

A road team (VILLANOVA) - after going over the total by more than 30 points in their previous game, in December games are 13-40 ATS L/5 seasons for a 76% go against conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Butler to cover

My  College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

BYU has big time revenge on board for 3 straight losses to St.Mary's last season. That was the first time since the 2000 campaign that BYU was kicked around in 3 straight head to head battles. I'm betting BYU leaves everything on the court here today, something I feel comfortable backing.

Play on BYU to cover

My  College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

UMass lost to St.Bonnie last season on March 9th and now have revenge on board.
UMASS has covered 5 of the L/6 meetings in this series in revenge mode. UMass has covered their two most recent visits here.

ST BONAVENTURE is 1-8 ATS L/9 as a favorite of 10 or more points.ST BONAVENTURE is 8-22 ATS  as a home favorite of 9.5 to 12 points
ST BONAVENTURE is 0-7 ATS  as a home favorite of 10 or more points. ST BONAVENTURE is 0-6 ATS L/6  in home games off a road win.

Play on UMass to cover

My  College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

Florida State to cover

My  College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

My own numbers make this a pickem, this getting one possession points here is viable considering that my own cross reference projections and player personnel matchups that the Sooners have  a high probability of covering here in a game they have a 55% or greater chance of winning SU. Hey guys I know TCU has come a long way, since their recent lackluster campaigns, but they still don't have the pedigree needed to beat a focused Big 12 opponent that will relish knocking this upstart group down a few notches here today.

OKLAHOMA is 10-2 ATS  L/12 when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 80% or better) over the last 2 seasons.

Play on Oklahoma to cover

TAXSLAYER BOWL - Everbank Field - Jacksonville, FL

The Mississippi State defense enters this game vs Louisville very under rated. This season the Bulldogs went against some explosive offenses in SEC play so facing ,Louisville's top tier offense will not be an issue. Miss State looked very strong against the pass, ( 302 total yards per game), ranking 10th in the nation and allowed opposing run games to average just 127 rushing yards per game. The Bulldogs proved their defensive ferociousness in a close 31-24 loss to number one ranked Alabama.. Meanwhile, Louisville despite of being offensively explosive are well below average defensively, as was evident when they allowed 41 points to Clemson, and 42 points to Wake Forest and more than one defensive lapse against average offenses during their less than memorable campaign. Today against a Mississippi State team that can control the clock with a vaunted running game and a versatile QB under center ( Nick Fitzgerald) I'm betting the Bulldogs have a very viable opponent . Also look for Louisville and their super star under center LaMar Jackson to struggle at key junctures of this game and fail to cover the number.

MISSISSIPPI ST is 16-3 ATS L/18 after playing a game at home .Petrino is 5-15 ATS L/20 vs. excellent punt coverage teams, allowing 7.5 or less yards per return.

CFB Favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (LOUISVILLE) - after a game where they forced no turnovers .
against opponent after a game with a turnover margin of -2 or worse are just 41-74 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 64% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Mississippi State to cover

Five-time All Star forward Blake Griffin will be a game-time decision when the Los Angeles Clippers play the Los Angeles Lakers at Staples Center on Friday, but play or not I'm betting on the Clippers still having the edge in their current form, failing to cover just twice in their L/10 games. Meanwhile, the Lakers  3-12 L/15 SU continue to play without two key contributors Lonzo Ball and Brooks Lopez which will hinder their cohesiveness again in this spot. Also Kuzma the Lakers leading scorer is listed as questionable for Friday's game because of a quad injury and if he plays could see limited minutes. With that said, I'm recommending we lay the short lumber and back the Clippers to cover .

Clippers are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.Lakers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games.

The Clippers have won 20 of their past 22 games against the Lakers dating to the start of the 2012-13 season and get the nod again here in a neutral court environment.

Play on the LA Clippers to cover

The Wildcats enter this game having dumped the cash for their backers in 6 of their L/7 games ATS sand have failed to cover 4 of their L/5 vs an above .500 team like Iowa State. Meanwhile, Iowa State is in top form having won 9 straight games overall and are  9-3-1 ATS L/12 home games dating back to last season and have covered 4 straight in this series vs visiting KState. I'm betting on home floor advantage to be key behind a Iowa State cover here tonight.

Wildcats are 2-8-1 ATS in the last 11 meetings in Iowa State.

KANSAS ST is 1-7 ATS L/8 as a favorite this season and is 1-7 ATS L/8 after 3 consecutive non-conference games this season and also  5-18 ATS L/23 as a road favorite of 3 points or less or pick .

KANSAS ST is 1-8 ATS L/9 versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game. IOWA ST is 10-2 ATS L/12 versus good defensive teams - allowing 64 or less points/game.

Play on Iowa State to cover

This  Wizards  continued their trend of inconsistent hoops this week   beating Boston in a motivated effort and  than laid an egg against the lowly Atlanta Hawks in their next game. Meanwhile, Houston has lost 4 in a row, in part due to injuries. But the other night they played at a high level leading Boston by as much as 26 points before folding and losing by 1 point. This Rockets team despite of being short handed is very deep and more than capable of taking out the Wizards here behind an offense averaging 114.6 points per game, which ranks second in the NBA.

The Rockets swept the two-game series from the Wizards last season, including a 114-106 win in Washington on Nov. 7 and I'm expecting a rinse and repeat situation.

Rockets are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Rockets are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. NBA Southeast.Rockets are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 road games. Rockets are 4-0 ATS L/4 visits to DC.

NBA Road teams vs. the money line (HOUSTON) - a top-level team ( 75% or better) playing a marginal winning team (51% to 60%), first half of the season are 37-11 SU l/5 seasons  for a 77% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA team (WASHINGTON) - off a double digit loss as a favorite of 6 points or more, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team are 26-61 ATS L/21 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 70% for bettors.

Play on Houston Rockets to cover

No. 16 Kentucky (9-2) meets Louisville (10-2) on Friday afternoon at Rupp Arena. The Cardinals have won six straight against unranked opponents while Kentucky is coming off an 83-75 loss to UCLA on Dec. 22 and primed for a huge bounce back against a hated rival. This instate Blue Grass rivalry is something that's been circled on the Wildcats calendar for a while now. Louisville upset Kentucky 73-70 as home dogs last season, and now revenge is at hand. The Wildcats have covered 4 straight with revenge in this series and get the nod again here this afternoon to win and cover.

LOUISVILLE is 9-20 ATS L/29 in road games when playing against a team with a winning record . KENTUCKY is 17-6 ATS L/23 in home games when playing against a team with a winning record with the average margin of victory coming by 17.5 ppg.KENTUCKY is 16-5 ATS L/21 in home games versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or less.LOUISVILLE is 2-13 ATS L/15 in road games after playing 3 consecutive games as favorite.

Play on Kentucky to cover

The Milwaukee Bucks are an extremely talented team, that does not always play inspired ball, which results in their inconsistencies. The truth is that the Bucks when motivated can beat any team in this league, but on many occasions just come out in play flat uninspired hoops. With losses in five of their last seven games, the Bucks should be up for this tilt against  a Minnesota Timberwolves team that is streaking and have  won five games in a row, including a 128-125 overtime victory over Denver Wednesday night. Last nights game was grueling for the Wolves, and  should see them on tired legs tonight. The Bucks in their current from need every edge they can get , and with this being at home where they usually play well they get the nod as short home favorites. (Bucks are 11-6 SU at home this season)

  Milwaukee has won five of the last six meetings in the series, including three in a row at the Bradley Center and the favorite is 5-1 ATS L/6 meetings.

.Timberwolves are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 vs. NBA Central.Bucks are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

MINNESOTA is 1-9 ATS L/10 in road games vs. teams who are called for 2+ more fouls/game than their opponents .MINNESOTA is 1-8 ATS  in non-conference games this season.MINNESOTA is 17-42 ATS L/59 after scoring 120 points.

Play on Milwaukee to cover

 CAMPING WORLD BOWL - Camping World Stadium - Orlando, FL

Virginia Tech finished their season by shutting out long time rivals Virginia in their final game of the season by a 10-0 count. VTech defense was phenomenal this season allowing an average of just 13.5 ppg. They should also be a handful for a an explosive Oklahoma St offense here today. Meanwhile, on the flipside, the Cowboys D, is porous, allowing 30.1 ppg on the season. What I;m betting will happen is that VTech will score with consistency today, while Oklahoma State will stall on key drives, which will be the difference maker. 

Gundy is 5-13 ATS L/18 vs. good defensive teams who give up 17 or less points/game.
Fuente is 9-0 ATS L/9 when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest in all games. and is  10-1 ATS  after failing to cover the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games.

OKLAHOMA ST is 6-19 ATS L/25  vs. dominant ball control teams, 32+ minutes TOP, 21+ FD's per game .

Play on VTech to cover

My  College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

My line makes Delaware a -3 chalk , but when adding my own matchup power rankings and cross reference systems analysis that line shrinks to -2 , thus giving us value on the +6 underdog line.

DELAWARE is 1-9 ATS  L/10 versus good passing teams, averaging 16 or more  assists/game  and is 6-16 ATS  L/22 versus good shooting teams - making 45% or more of their shots .

Cornell to cover ( Late Steam Update)

Two teams struggling to get wins on the board go head to head tonight as the Grizzlies visit the  Lakers in the Staples Center. The veteran laden Grizzlies are struggling much more than even I anticipated would be the case without injured floor general Conley out of the lineup, while the young Lakers show considerable inconsistencies. With that said, I'm always trying to find cracks in the current narratives associated with sports matchups that give me an edge against a line . From a matchup perspective the Grizzlies veterans are proven commodities in this league ie Gasol , Evans and matchup well against Lakers mostly inexperienced and unproven group that is also banged up with Lonzo Ball (shoulder) and Brookes Lopez expected to miss with an ankle injury.  With that said,  I'm betting we have value taking the Grizzlies.

LA LAKERS are 7-22 ATS  L/29 after playing 2 consecutive home games .Underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (MEMPHIS) - after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread, well rested team - playing 6 or less games in 14 days are 69-34 ATS L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Memphis Grizzlies to cover

ACADEMY SPORTS + OUTDOORS TEXAS BOWL - NRG Stadium - Houston, TX

Missouri ended their season as one of the hottest teams in the nation winning 6 straight. Meanwhile, Texas after a disastrous start to their season, getting pummelled by Maryland in their opener, in front of  their own embarrassed fans , picked  things up as the season progressed and looked like a viable opponent by the end of their campaign.

Missouri is an explosive offensive team, but their defense is atrocious, ranking 122 in red zone defense. Today I expect top tier HC tom Herman who is 9-1 ATS as a dog , to be well prepared for the Tigers attack after a 1 month preparation time, and for his own capable offense to smash and grab a cover for us here today against a group of pylons.

TEXAS is 6-0 ATS  vs. excellent passing teams averaging 8.5 or more passing yards/att.

Play on Texas  to cover

My  College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

Aztecs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Cowboys are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games. Road team is 3-0-1 ATS in the last 4 meetings. Wyoming is 0-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

Play on San Diego State to cover

FOSTER FARMS BOWL - Levi's Stadium - Santa Clara, CA

Rich Rodriguez's Arizona started their season strong ,but ended their campaign on a down note losing 3 of their L/4 games and on the season the defense was a big concern as they surrendered 40 or more points in 5 of their 9 games. Meanwhile, their opponents today Purdue , went 6-6 on the seasons and notched 4 conference victories and are being under rated here by the lines-makers. The Boilermakers HC Jeff Brohm is a major planner and motivator and has a perfect 3-0 record in Bowl games and gets my support here today.

Big 10 teams are 10-4-1 ATS vs PAC 12 Bowl opponents. Arizona's HC Rich Rod is 3-23 ATS vs Big 10 opposition.

ARIZONA is 0-6 ATS  L/6  in road games vs. poor punt return teams, less than 7.5 yards per return.Rodriguez is 2-13 ATS L/15  in road games after 2 straight games where 60 total points or more were scored.

Play on Purdue to cover

Charlotte enters this game having lost 14 of their L/18 overall SU, and have not notched back to back wins during that negative run. The Hornets did get a rare win last time out, vs the Bucks, but are still a less than cohesive unit at this time and fade material vs what my own ranking suggest is a better side .  Meanwhile, the Celtics were upset at home vs a hungry looking Washington Wizards group last time out, and will now be primed for a bounce back performance. note: Celtics are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up loss.

Celtics are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Hornets are 1-5-2 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

CHARLOTTE is 5-17 ATS  L/22 against Atlantic division opponents. CHARLOTTE is 7-15 ATS L/22 revenging a loss vs opponent this season .BOSTON is 25-14 ATS L/39 as a road favorite dating back to last season.

CHARLOTTE is 1-8 ATS  L/9 versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game this season. BOSTON is 20-7 ATS L/27 in a road game where the total is 200 to 209.5. 

Boston has won 7 of the L/8 meetings in this series and 4 straight here in Charlotte.

NBA Underdogs vs the money line (CHARLOTTE) - in a game involving 2 up-tempo teams (82  or more shots/game), after a game - attempting 20+ more free throws than opponent are JUST 9-50 SU L/5 seasons and 0-5 this season with the average margin of loss coming by 8.5 ppg.

Play on the Boston Celtics to cover

My  College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

Butler even here on the road according to my own power rankings should be 5.5 point favs vs a Georgetown team that is not as good as its 10-1 record might indicate, thus giving us value on this -3 opening line. Butler has a +3.8 turnover margin on the season, which is third in the BIG EAST and 33rd nationally. Butler has also won the points-in-the-paint battle in all 10 of its victories this season. On the campaign, Butler is averaging a +13.3 edge in points in the paint . Butler has out-rebounded its opponent nine times this season, including the last six games and according to my own matchup player/system comparisons have edge in the above mentioned categories from a head to head projection.

Bulldogs are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 50 points in their previous game. Bulldogs are 23-11-1 ATS in their last 35 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600..Hoyas are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points. Hoyas are 8-20 ATS in their last 28 home games. Bulldogs are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings.

CBB Road teams as an favorite or pick (BUTLER) - off 2 consecutive home wins by 10 points or more, a good team (60% to 80%) playing a team with a winning recordings in Georgetown are 44-18 ATS L/62 opportunities.

Road team is 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings are 44-18 ATS L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

CBB Home underdogs of +145 to +350 vs. the money line (GEORGETOWN) - after allowing 55 points or less against opponent after leading in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half are 28-140 SU L/21 seasons winning SU by an average of 8.5 ppg.

Play on Butler to cover

The Chicago Bulls and Milwaukee Bucks resume their long time rivalry tonight in a Boxing Day matchup at the Bradley Center.The same two teams met a little less than two weeks ago here in the same venue as the Bulls took a 115-109 victory . I know that the Bucks will now be out looking for revenge, but the according to my own matchup/systems player to player power rankings the Bulls matchup very well in this matchup and are a viable wagering investment opportunity getting points.

With Bucks star Antetokounmpo playing on a sore knee, I'm betting the physically active Bulls will be more than a handful for the home team once again tonight.

CHICAGO is 19-7 ATS as a road underdog of 6.5 to 12 points dating back to last season.CHICAGO is 8-1 ATS when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days this season.MILWAUKEE is 9-24 ATS L/33
in home games after having won 2 of their last 3 games. Bulls are 9-1 ATS L/10 overall.

Bulls are 15-3 ATS in their last 18 vs. Eastern Conference.Bulls are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Bucks are 0-4-2 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Bucks are 0-3-2 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Bucks are 1-7-2 ATS in their last 10 vs. NBA Central.Bucks are 1-7-3 ATS in their last 11 vs. Eastern Conference.
Underdog is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings.Road team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings.


NBA Home
favorites (MILWAUKEE) - after allowing 100 points or more 5 straight games against opponent after scoring 55 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games are 18-48  ATS L/21 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

The Chicago Bulls to cover

Indiana enters this game against the Motown Pistons rated in the upper tier of my power rankings are a very under rated NBA team , on a overall upward performance  trajectory.  The Pacers rank 6th in offensive production (108.6 ppg) in the league and 8th overall in SRS +1.99. Meanwhile, the Pistons rank 14th in  SRS with a 0.64 , and 22nd in offensive output (102.7 ppg). Detroit owns the better defense, but the numbers according to my head to head charts is minimal . Both are obviously rested, but one of these teams, the Pacers has excelled with added time off thanks to their aggressive run and gun offensive approach. Note: INDIANA is 13-1 ATS  L/14 in road games when playing with 2 days rest.

INDIANA is 28-14 ATS  L/32 vs. division opponents. DETROIT is 10-26 ATS  L/36 when the line is +3 to -3 .

Pacers are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 road games.Pacers are 23-9 ATS in their last 32 vs. Eastern Conference.Pacers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Pistons are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games.Pistons are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall.Pacers are 7-2 ATS in the last 9 meetings.

NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (INDIANA) - off a home win, in a game involving two marginal winning teams (51% to 60%) are 28-8 ATS L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Indiana Pacers to cover

QUICK LANE BOWL - Ford Field - Detroit, MI

A lot has been made about how Northern Illinois beat Nebraska earlier this season, but the truth is the Corn huskers were not that good  . Also a lot of pundits also seem to like to point out how well this blue collar Huskies program , has played on the road over the years winning 37 of 51 games, but fail to point out that NIU are  2-10 ATS  L/12 as a neutral field underdog, and how they have crashed and burned in 4 straight Bowl outings, and last year look like they made a ghost appearance by not showing up in a 55-7 blasting at the hands of Boise State.  Now they go against  a viable ACC team, that have a huge front 7 that can slow down a average Huskies offensive attack. Also from a turnover perspective it must be noted that NIU were on the negative end of the turnover battle in 6 of their L/9 games, which is not a good omen vs a Duke team that protects the ball well, and better at forcing turnovers. I know 9 of the 10 Quick Lane games have been decided by TD points or less and this one might end up like that to , but it will be Duke that gets the cover as my number makes them 6.5 to 7 point chalk thus giving us value on this line.

DUKE is 21-8 ATS  L/29 in games played on turf and their current HC Cutcliffe is 15-3 ATS  in games played on turf with the average margin of victory coming by 6.6 points per game.

Play on Duke to cover

My  College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

DIAMOND HEAD CLASSIC - Final Rnd - Stan Sheriff Center - Honolulu, HI

Miami expected to play for a title in the Diamond Head Classic, but the Hurricanes saw their hopes of a championship crushed in a 63-54 loss vs New Mexico State on Saturday in the semifinals of the holiday tournament at the Stan Sheriff Center . That tilt could easily see the canes in an  emotional let down state after that affair and susceptible to a down performance vs a tough out in Middle Tennessee State.

MIDDLE TENN ST is 6-0 ATS L/6 in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing 64 or less points/game.MIAMI is 2-12 ATS L/14 in road games after having won 8 or more of their last 10 games. MIAMI is 1-8 ATS L/9 in road games after 2 straight games with 12 or less assists.


Play on Middle Tennessee State  to cover

Two teams that don't really like each other, go head to head to day in Boston on Christmas day, in  a place where the Celtics have won and covered 9 straight in this series. I know the Celtics are a much different team than last season splay offs when the teams last met , with the roster having under gone changes, but I'm sure the animosity remains. From a matchup perspective the intangibles remain much the same and now according to my own power rankings the Celtics are even better now as a group, and  here once again  and on home court the men from Beantown have an edge.

WASHINGTON is 4-14 ATS  L/18 in road games against Atlantic division opponents .BOSTON is 14-5 ATS  L/19 when the total is 200 to 209.5 this season.

NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (WASHINGTON) - off a win by 10 points or more over a division rival against opponent off a home blowout win by 20 points or more are 9-34 ATS L/21 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 795 for bettors.

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The defending NBA champion Golden State Warriors host the Cleveland Cavaliers in a big time Christmas day matchup. I'm sure LeBron James and company will be out looking for redemption here today, after last season beat down in the Finals, and  Golden State will also be out to make sure the status quo remains in play. From my own perspective and matchup/system/players comparisons the Warriors are the superior side with or without Curry in the lineup. Both these teams have explosive offenses , but what sets these teams apart is Golden States ability to play solid defense , behind the 3rd ranked Defensive efficiency ranking in the league  something it seems Cleveland has a problem with as is evident by a 26th ranked defensive efficiency rating. From a SRS perspective the Cavs are ranked 6th in the league with a 2.44 and Golden State ranks 2nd with a 9.48 SRS for a +7 aggregate score making them solid home favorites according to these numbers. Note: Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average.

CLEVELAND is 11-21 ATS  L/33 in all games this season.

NBA Home teams vs. the money line (GOLDEN STATE) - top caliber team - outscoring their opponents by 9+ points/game against opponent after scoring 105 points or more 2 straight games like the Cavs have are 39-5 SU record L/5 seasons winning SU by an average of 14.9 ppg.

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HAWAII BOWL - Aloha Stadium - Honolulu, HI

Fresno State is a fine football team, and have been a cash cow for their betting backers this season, when playing as dogs going 6-0 ATS.  With Houston losing Tom Herman to Texas this past season, they were  not as dangerous, with a 100 yard difference on defense. The Cougars are weak favorites here vs a side that my own rankings suggest is the superior side.

FRESNO ST is 8-0 ATS  L/8 when playing against a team with a winning record. FRESNO ST is 7-0 ATS   vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 58% or better.FRESNO ST is 7-0 ATS    off a road loss which happened against Boise State (17-14).Bulldogs are 11-1 L/12 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Cougars are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games on fieldturf.

Favorites in this Bowl game just 2-8 ATS L/10.

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The SF 49ers are showing some life here late in the season behind, QB  jim Garroppolo who is a perfect 5-0 as a starter in the NFL, after last weeks victory vs a stunned Tennessee Titans. Note: Garoppolo is completing 68.7 percent of his passes for 1,026 yards with three touchdowns and two interceptions for a passer rating of 98.0.Today against a Jacksonville, team feeling relaxed after clinching a play off spot , I'm betting the Niners shine again, and get us a cover.

NFL Road teams (JACKSONVILLE) - after covering the spread in 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a losing record are a long term losing proposition going just  43-79 ATS L/34 seasons for a go against 65% conversion rate on the blind.

Jacksonville is 2-19 SU L/21 in the first of two straight scheduled road games and are 1-9 ATS in their L/10 games after exploding for 40 or more points, which they did last week. Jacksonville is also 3-17 ATS L/20 vs NFC opposition and 1-11 ATS mark vs NFC west foes including 0-5 ATS on the highway.JACKSONVILLE is 4-16 ATS L/20 after allowing 200 or less total yards in their previous game. SF is 4-1 ATS L/5 in this series.

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After an abusive nasty and physical affair vs the Steelers 3 weeks ago, that saw the Bengals blow a DD lead and eventually lose, they came out with a physical and emotional hang over and crapped in their own beds in their last two trips to the gridiron. Now rested and their PTSD, on the wain I expect they will give their home town fans and management some satisfaction with a strong effort in their last game at home this season ( HC Lewis is a perfect 5-0 SU L/5 last home games of the season) I know the men from Motown, are winning of late , but its not like their consistent team .

With that said,  I'm recommending we take the host side and the points.

DETROIT is 9-25 ATS  L/34as a road favorite of 7 points or less  and   is 9-27 ATS L/36  in road games after 2 or more consecutive wins

NFL team (CINCINNATI) - after scoring 9 points or less in 2 straight games are 39-12 ATS L/10 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors.

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The Fins were in an emotional let down situation in Buffalo last week, after beating the defending New England Pats the week before. Now I'm betting the Dr.Jeykell and Mr. Hyde Fins come in here and make life difficult for a Chiefs side  that are off a division home win last week. It must be noted that KC is 0-9 ATS L/9 as hosts off a division home victory and  off consecutive wins.
The Chiefs are also 0-5 ATS L/5 as a home fav of more than 7 points .

KANSAS CITY is 0-11 ATS L/11  after gaining 375 or more total yards in 3 consecutive games since 1992.

Favorites (KANSAS CITY) - after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a marginal losing team in the second half of the season are 15-38 ATS L/34 seasons, for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors.

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