All Sports Archive | |||||||
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
02-29-20 | St. Mary's v. Gonzaga -13 | 76-86 | Loss | -106 | 13 h 10 m | Show | |
Gonzaga has owned St.Marys going 16-3 L/19 meetings and just clobbered them by a 90-60 count a short road favs in in their first meeting last time out. Even if the Gaels find a way to be more competitive, in the end Im betting on Dogs to easily cover the number here on their own home floor on Senior Night. Gonzaga at home off a home game in which they outshot their opponent by double-digits ( Beat San Diego last time out 94-59 ) are 12-0 SU/ATS with the average margin of victory coming by 37 ppg. Every game beating this side number easily. Play on Gonzaga to cover |
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02-29-20 | Warriors +8.5 v. Suns | 115-99 | Win | 100 | 11 h 28 m | Show | |
The Suns are off a 113-111 loss last night to the Detroit Pistons and are now playing on tired legs as they play back to back games and vulnerable to having a inconsistent game which is not unfamiliar territory for them. With Golden States Andrew Wiggins being upgraded to probable Saturday vs Phoenix ( Back ) Im betting the Warriors will be competitive and get us the cover. The Warriors are 11-0 ATS L/11 on the road with less than two days rest off a 10+ loss facing an opponent averaging less than 4 blocks per game. The Suns are 0-14 ATS /2-12 SU as a home favorite facing an opponent averaging more than 24 assists per game , with the 2 wins coming by 1 point and 6 points. Home favorites (PHOENIX) - after allowing 110 points or more against opponent after 2 straight blowout losses by 15 points or more are 6-32 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 84% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Teams like the Warriors are 15-0-1 ATS /13-3 SU on the road with rest off a 10+ loss in which they had 5 or fewer offensive boards. NBA Favorites of 10 or more points (PHOENIX) - after a home game where both teams score 100 or more points, playing on back-to-back days are 9-34 ATS L/23 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Golden State to cover |
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02-29-20 | Magic v. Spurs -3.5 | 113-114 | Loss | -107 | 9 h 34 m | Show | |
The Magic took the first meeting of the year from San Antonio, 111-109, on Nov. 15 in Orlando and now have revenge on board. . The Spurs have won 15 of the last 20 meetings overall between the teams and eight of the last 10 at home and SAN ANTONIO is 31-9 ATS revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points over the last 2 seasons. The Spurs are 10-0 ATS /SU L/10 as a favorite with more than one day of rest off a loss after out scoring their opponent in the paint by double digits. ORLANDO is 0-9 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots - 2nd half of the season this season. Play on San Antonio to cover |
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02-29-20 | South Carolina v. Alabama -5 | 86-90 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 22 m | Show | |
Alabama has owned this series at home winning 10 of the L/11 meetings here and according to my projections should be closer to 7 point chalk here giving us line value with the home side. ALABAMA is 14-5 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game this season. CBB underdog (S CAROLINA) - average defensive team (67-74 PPG) against a horrible defensive team (78 or more PPG) after 15+ games, after a win by 6 points or less are 315-37 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors. Alabama to cover |
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02-29-20 | Lakers v. Grizzlies +8.5 | 88-105 | Win | 100 | 9 h 26 m | Show | |
The Los Angeles Lakers may not know if LeBron James is available to play Saturday until close to tip-off , but if he does play he will be less than 100% as its never easy playing with a sore groin which makes the Lakers less formidable than usual. Add to that Danny Green is out, and we have a situation where the slumping and desperate Grizzlies look to be competitive. The Grizzlies are 11-0 ATS L/11 at home with no rest off a loss facing an opponent averaging less than 16 percent of points off free throws. Lakers Vogel is 9-23 ATS in road games off a win against a division rival in all games he has coached in his career. Play on the Memphis Grizzlies |
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02-29-20 | San Diego State v. Nevada +5.5 | 83-76 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 2 m | Show | |
San Diego State has looked exhausted their last few times on the court after playing tenacious hoops for most of the season as they built on at one point was a perfect season. But their lack of depth and bench talent is now becoming evident. Now against a Nevada side with a under the radar 6 game win streak entering this game, a top teir perimeter D, and a front line player in un heralded Jalen Harris we have a possible upset brewing. Nevada has won 20 straight conference games over the past three seasons in Reno and even against the mighty Aztecs must be respected getting points in the home underdog role. Nevada to cover |
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02-29-20 | BYU v. Pepperdine +7.5 | 81-64 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 14 m | Show | |
BYU upset Gonzaga last week and will now be in a letdown spot . With their NCAA tournament ticket in hand already Im betting we wont see them at their best, while Pepperdine will be primed to pull off an upset of their own on their own home floor vs a ranked team on seniors Day. Play on Pepperdine to cover |
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02-29-20 | VMI v. Samford +1.5 | 78-84 | Win | 100 | 9 h 42 m | Show | |
The Samford Bulldogs beat VMI last month as two-point underdogs and have won each of the last 10 meetings overall in this series. This is a great opportunity for Samford to end a precarious 10 game overall losing streak to a hoops program they matchup well against. Earl is 18-31 ATS in road games against conference opponents as the coach of VMI. Play on Samford to cover |
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02-29-20 | Northern Illinois v. Western Michigan +2 | 69-72 | Win | 100 | 7 h 8 m | Show | |
The N.Illinois Huskies trailed the E.Michigan Eagles by as much as 17 points last time out before rallying back to earn the two-point victory as senior Eugene German hit a three-pointer with 8.9 seconds left, giving the Huskies their first lead of the contest and the subsequent win and will now be in a letdown state and susceptible to being upset in a place they have not won in since 2006 , (13 straight times). Play on Western Michigan to cover |
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02-29-20 | Auburn +6.5 v. Kentucky | 66-73 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 40 m | Show | |
The last time these teams played it was obvious at least from my perspective that Bruce Pearls group was more tenacious than Kentucky and actually looked like grown men as compared to how fragile and young Kentucky looked and the final score told the story. Hey I know Kentucky has an array of extremely talented individuals on their team, but their is something missing and thats grit and self determination. With that said, Im betting on the more physical side, finding a way to cover vs a team that might be looking for revenge but in some ways unable to deliver it conclusively, especially if this tilt becomes physical which should be the case.Pearl is 18-5 ATS as a road underdog of 3.5 to 6 points in all games he has coached. Play on Auburn to cover |
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02-29-20 | Akron v. Buffalo -1 | 86-73 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 38 m | Show | |
In MAC games only, this is a meeting of two of the three highest scoring teams. Buffalo is first in league play at 76.67 points per game, while Akron is third at 74.53 points per MAC contest. Both can put points on the board, but the difference maker will come behind Buffalos tenacious rebound which ranks as one of the nation's leading rebounding teams averaging 42.50 and second in the country in offensive boards at 14.86 .BUFFALO is 22-11 ATS vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% or better of their attempts over the last 3 seasons. AKRON is 1-10 ATS after playing a game as a road favorite over the last 2 season. BUFFALO is 6-0 straight up against AKRON over the last 3 seasons. Play on Buffalo to cover |
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02-29-20 | Florida v. Tennessee +1 | 58-63 | Win | 100 | 2 h 27 m | Show | |
The past week was not good for Tennessee basketball. A tough loss to Auburn then a blowout loss to Arkansas has basically erased any hope for an at-large bid in the NCAA tournament. But if anyone thinks this Rick Barnes team is just going to lay down here for incoming Florida Im betting their wrong. FLORIDA is 0-6 ATS in road games on Saturday games this season. TENNESSEE is 30-11 ATS as a home underdog of 6 points or less or pick since 1997. TENNESSEE is 3-0 straight up against FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons. Play on Tennessee to cover |
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02-29-20 | Florida State v. Clemson +3.5 | 69-70 | Win | 100 | 2 h 20 m | Show | |
The Clemson Tigers will look even its league record in the ACC and win its fourth game in the last five contests and if they lose here vs Florida State Im betting it wont come without a dog fight and a cover for the home side.The Seminoles have already have locked up a double-bye in the upcoming ACC Tournament so they could easily be going through the motions here and more interested in staying healthy and rested.CLEMSON is 17-7 ATS versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons. Play on Clemson to cover |
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02-29-20 | Kansas v. Kansas State +12 | 62-58 | Win | 100 | 2 h 59 m | Show | |
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02-29-20 | NJIT v. Kennesaw State +8 | 76-55 | Loss | -110 | 1 h 52 m | Show | |
The Kennesaw State men's basketball team closes out the 2019-20 season at home Saturday, hosting NJIT at 1 p.m. for Senior day in the Convocation Center.The Owls are one of the top teams in the conference from the free throw line, ranked third with a 69.8 shooting percentage which is important when looking for a cover from a big home dog. Play on Kennesaw State to cover |
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02-29-20 | Penn State +4.5 v. Iowa | 68-77 | Loss | -110 | 1 h 30 m | Show | |
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02-28-20 | Washington State v. Washington -9.5 | 78-74 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 57 m | Show | |
The Washington State Cougars have struggled offensively of late averaging just 55 points in the past three games without starting point guard and second-leading scorer Isaac Bonton. He is questionable tonight, but if he does play he will be less than 100%. I know Washington has had a disappointing season despite of their talent levels, but tonight this is a huge chance for redemption against their instate rivals and Im betting the Huskies will be primed to play with momentum off a 87-52 win vs California last time out. Washington St Cougars when they are off a double-digit loss in which they scored a significant fraction of their points from the beyond the arc (33.3%) are 0-20 ATS in their followup game. ( Lost to Stanford 75-57 last time out). WASHINGTON ST is 0-6 ATS in road games off a loss by 10 points or more to a conference rival over the last 2 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at 21.4 ppg. Play on Washington to cover |
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02-28-20 | Mavs v. Heat -2.5 | 118-126 | Win | 100 | 9 h 22 m | Show | |
The slumping Miami Heat have lost two straight games to two of the NBA's five-worst teams -- the Cleveland Cavaliers on Monday and the Minnesota Timberwolves on Wednesday, but here I am ready to back them tonight at home on a short line. Why you might ask? Well this Heat team is well coached side that has played their bests hoops at home this season as is evident by a 23-4 record as hosts. Also buying low on this type of team because of recency biases makes for what I consider a viable betting opportunity. The Heat are 18-3 ATS /SU with rest off a loss in which they had at least 25% of their points from free throws. MIAMI is 15-7 ATS as a home favorite this season and is 14-3 ATS against Southwest division opponents over the last 2 seasons.MIAMI is 15-2 ATS in home games after a combined score of 215 points or more 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons. Miami is 15-2 L/17 vs Dallas and have won 5 straight overall meetings. Play on Miami to cover |
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02-28-20 | Wolves v. Magic -7.5 | 125-136 | Win | 100 | 12 h 49 m | Show | |
The Minnesota Timberwolves ended a 5 game losing streak with a huge upset win vs the Miami Heat on the road last time out, but now Im betting they will experience regression to the. mean and a letdown vs a Orlando side that has won 4 of their L/5 and up trending in my power rankings. Note: NBA Road underdogs of +145 to +350 vs. the money line (MINNESOTA) - in non-conference games, off a huge upset win as an underdog of 10 points or more are 3-38 SU L/23 years in their followup game with the average ppg diff clicking in at -11.1 ppg which qualifies under a ATS parameter like we have here in Orlando tonight. ORLANDO is 23-11 ATS versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at +10.4 ppg. The Timberwolves are 0-15 ATS /SU L/15 on the road with less than two days rest off a road game facing an opponent averaging less than 20 fouls-against per game with the average ppg diff clicking in at -8.4 ppg. The Magic are 13-0 ATS/SU as a favorite with less than two days rest off a road game when the total is at least 15 points more than their season-to-date average with the average ppg diff clicking in at +11.5 ppg with 11 of the 13 games by more than 8 ppg. Play on the Orlando Magic to cover |
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02-28-20 | Siena v. Marist +6 | 52-50 | Win | 100 | 10 h 3 m | Show | |
The Marist Red Foxes despite of a sub par record have been competitive this season as is evident by having lost four games by five points or less and another two tilts in overtime. Marist is a defence first team, and embrace a slow grinding style of play, which is opposite to Siena hoops, and their inconsistent and mostly negative defensive performances, that has them ranked 255th ranked adjusted defensive efficiency. I know Marist has the better overall record, but are just 3-10 SU on the raod this season and getting just a little to much respect her, which gives us value on the home dog line. SIENA is 2-9 ATS as a road favorite of 6 points or less or pick over the last 2 seasons. Marist to cover |
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02-28-20 | Harvard v. Columbia +8.5 | 77-69 | Win | 100 | 9 h 26 m | Show | |
Harvard is the better overall team in this matchup with last place Columbia, but in the past this Columbia program has done well in this series going 13-3-1 ATS the last 17 meetings, 6-1-1 ATS the last seven at home. I know Harvard has a great reputation, but they have not been as dominant as the linesmakers have expected recently, as is evident by their 3-11 ATS as a road favorite or pick over the last 2 seasons. HARVARD is also 2-8 ATS against conference opponents this season overall, and is 0-6 ATS off a win against a conference rival this season which happened against Penn in revenge mode, which could easily see them experience an emotional crash and subsequent muted effort. Harvard key starter and senior guard for the Crimson is still sidelined with a foot injury . HARVARD is 0-9 ATS when the total is 140 to 149.5 this season with the average ppg diff clicking in at 0.3 ppg. Play on Columbia to cover |
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02-28-20 | Davidson +10.5 v. Dayton | 67-82 | Loss | -106 | 2 h 55 m | Show | |
Davidson has enough offense and top tier rebounding behind a tenacious mindset to hang tough with one of the most explosive mid major team in the nation Dayton.The last time the two teams met on Feb. 19, 2019, the Wildcats trailed 63-44 with 9:38 to play. Davidson stormed back with a 27-8 streak capped by a Grady steal and two-handed jam to tie the score 71-71 with 1:11 remaining .Dayton squeaked by with a 74-73 win.Doing so they proved they can match up with the flyers , and are capable of pulling off a SU upset. Remember Davidson has 5 starters back from last season team and Dayton 3 so, the teams are very close to the the same . The Flyers, are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games. CBB Road underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (DAVIDSON) - off a blowout win by 20 points or more over a conference rival against opponent off 2 straight wins against conference rivals are 63-33 ATS L/23 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Davidson to cover |
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02-28-20 | Wright State v. Northern Kentucky -3 | 64-62 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 43 m | Show | |
The Norse are 21-8 overall and 11-3 at home, while Wright State is 24-6 overall and 8-3 on the road. Northern Kentucky enters this allowing their opposition to just 65.3 points per game, which ranks 67th in the nation. The Norse have held each of their last two opponents under 60 points and Im betting they will once again be hard to score here at home where they are are 5-1 in their last six home tilts. Thje Norse were clobbered by Wright State 95-63 earlier this season and now with big time revenge on board Im laying the lumber here with the hosts. |
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02-27-20 | Oregon State v. Oregon -10 | 54-69 | Win | 100 | 13 h 10 m | Show | |
Oregon can really smack an opponent down with a their downtown shooting converting at red hot 38% rate which ranks 14th in the nation. At home they explode with the trey knocking down 41% from of their beyond the arcs attempts . Meanwhile their instate rivals here in this Civil War battle , Oregon State, are giving up a 34.2% 3 point defensive conversion rate , which ranks ninth in the Pac-12. This Im betting is the key component in what Im betting will be a one sided beat down for the Ducks at home. where they are a perfect 14-0 SU this season. OREGON is 6-0 ATS in home games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons with the average margin of victory coming by just under 20 ppg. Play on Oregon to cover |
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02-27-20 | Eastern Illinois -4.5 v. SE Missouri State | 72-70 | Loss | -109 | 6 h 58 m | Show | |
EIU squeezed past SE Missouri on Jan. 25, winning 61-59 in a game that was not decided until Alex Caldwell’s 3-pointer hit the rim at the buzzer. that game could have gone either way and was a wake call for Eastern Illinois, and has been a frequent topic in practices and film sessions. So you can bet the superior visiting side here will be wide awake tonight and taking nothing for granted. CBB Home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (SE MISSOURI ST) - cold team - having lost 15 or more of their last 20 games, a bad team, winning 20% to 40% of their games on the season are 84-130 ATS L/5 seasons for go against 61% conversion rate for bettors. E.Illinois to cover |
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02-27-20 | Marshall v. UAB -1.5 | 80-88 | Win | 100 | 3 h 32 m | Show | |
The Marshall Thundering Herd is 4-8 SU in road games this season, including a 61-50 loss to UAB on Jan. 11 and Im betting they are at a disadvantage again tonight. MARSHALL is 4-13 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons. Play on UAB to cover |
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02-26-20 | Maryland v. Minnesota +1 | 74-73 | Push | 0 | 3 h 22 m | Show | |
Minnesota Im betting will use Ohio State blueprint for beating the Terrapins. Last time out the Terps were shut down by Buckeyes, and I expect the Gophers to get it done as well on their own home floor where they are 10-5 this season. Golden Gophers are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games as a favorite. Golden Gophers are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games as a home favorite. Terrapins are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss. MINNESOTA is 8-2 ATS in home games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season. Play on Minnesota to cover |
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02-26-20 | Indiana State v. Southern Illinois -2.5 | 77-68 | Loss | -109 | 12 h 28 m | Show | |
Indiana State is a different team on the road then they are at home as is evident by recording a 2-12 SU and 3-11 ATS record dating back to last season, including 1-6 ATS during this campaign. Considering Indiana State struggles in this series vs Southern Illinois , going 3-13 SU and 1-7 ATS away it wont be a hard decision to take a SIU side that despite of having clinched a first-round bye in the MVC Tournament but with a a win over Indiana State, SIU would clinch a top-four seed. Note: SIU has held 11 opponents under 40% shooting this season. Key to victory: SIU's overall defensive efficiency ranks 81st nationally, which is second-best in the MVC to Loyola. In MVC games, SIU's defensive efficiency leads the league. SIU ranks 9th nationally (of 353) in scoring defense, allowing just 60.9 points per game. SIU also ranks top-55 nationally in fewest fouls per game (10th) and 3-point field goal percentage defense (51st) and are 12-2 at home this season. Play on Southern Illinois to cover |
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02-26-20 | East Tennessee State v. Wofford +4 | 60-54 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 58 m | Show | |
Wofford is on a five-game losing streak , and despite of being home court underdogs here vs a top tier opponent (E.Tenn State) they are always dangerous as hosts and must not be underestimated getting points in front of their own alumni. It must be noted that Wofford when coming off a road loss and coming home are 23-1 SU L/24 opportunities and have cashed 16 straight times. WOFFORD is 7-0 ATS versus excellent ball handling teams - committing 12 or less turnovers/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons. Wofford is 5-1 ATS L/6 in this series. CBB Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (WOFFORD) - off a close loss by 3 points or less to a conference rival against opponent off a no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite are 53-25 ATS L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Wofford to cover |
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02-26-20 | Rutgers +5 v. Penn State | 64-65 | Win | 100 | 1 h 11 m | Show | |
Penn State's offense was the main problem in Sunday's 68-60 defeat at Indiana and tonight against a Rutgers team that predicates it successes and failures with their defense first mind set , Im betting the Nitanny Lions have problems putting points on the board again, exposing their biggest weakness. Note: Rutgers allows just 62.2 ppg . RUTGERS is 13-6 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game this season. Play on Rutgers to cover |
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02-26-20 | St. John's v. Villanova -12.5 | 60-71 | Loss | -109 | 6 h 38 m | Show | |
Villanova Im betting takes their fifth consecutive victory when it hosts St. John's on Wednesday.The No. 12-ranked Wildcats improved to 21-6 overall, and 10-4 in the Big East, following an impressive 64-55 win at Xavier on Saturday and look like viable favs here again vs a side that owns a ugly 3-11 Big East record and off a 81-65 beatdown to host Seton Hall on Sunday.VILLANOVA is 16-4 ATS off a road win over the last 3 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at 15 ppg. Play on Villanova to cover |
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02-25-20 | Pelicans +7.5 v. Lakers | 109-118 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 49 m | Show | |
According to my projections there is value backing Zion and company when he is in the lineup for New Orleans as they are posting a +23.2 Net Rating which matches up well vs the Lakers unit. After the Lakers hard back and forth affair against Boston last time out that saw them win 114-112 im betting their are in letdown situation. The Pelicans are 21-3 ATS L/24 off a game as a favorite in which they had less than 15% of their points from free throws.The Pelicans are 10-0 ATS L/10 as a 8+ dog facing an opponent averaging more than 62 ppg from 2-point range. The Lakers are 1-16 ATS L/17 at home after playing as a home favorite facing an opponent with an assist-to-turnover ratio greater than 1.5. The Lakers are 2-17-1 ATS L/19 at home after a game as a home favorite in which they scored more than 50 points in the paintThe Lakers are 4-21 ATS L/15 at home off a win when they won 4 straight vs current opponent The Lakers are 0-9 ATS L/9 as a home favorite off a home game facing an opponent getting less than 25 percent or their rebounds on the offensive end. Play on the Pelicans to cover |
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02-25-20 | Alabama v. Mississippi State -3.5 | 73-80 | Win | 100 | 26 h 39 m | Show | |
Mississippi State has played their best hoops at home this season where they own a 12-2 SU record and now with revenge on board for a DD beatdown as away dogs earlier this season will primed to get some redemption here tonight. Home court advantage and motivation in revenge mode will be the catalysts here tonight vs a Alabama side in a letdown spot coming off a big 103-78 win vs Ole Miss last time out on the road. Note: Alabama has not won back to back games since late January and Im betting on regression here after their big output last time out. With four games left in the regular season, Mississippi State probably has to win out and go 4-0 in order to feel confident about their NCAA Tournament future. Needless to say they will be leaving everything on the floor here tonight. MISSISSIPPI ST is 12-5 ATS versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or better this season.MISSISSIPPI ST is 14-6 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game this season. MISSISSIPPI ST is 11-1 ATS L/12 in home games after a game where they made 88% of their free throws or better which happened last time out vs Texas A&M CBB Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MISSISSIPPI ST) - after being beaten by the spread by 36 or more points total in their last five games against opponent after going over the total by more than 6 points in three consecutive games are 28-4 ATS L/23 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors. Mississippi State to cover |
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02-25-20 | Memphis v. SMU -4 | 53-58 | Win | 100 | 9 h 28 m | Show | |
Memphis is coming off a huge one-point home victory over a banged up Houston team last time out, and now going on the road in an emotional letdown situation I expect this inexperienced squad to suffer a loss . SMU is 10-1 L/11 at home SU in this series. CBB underdog (MEMPHIS) - off 2 consecutive home wins by 5 points or less against opponent off a road loss by 20 points or more are 6-26 ATS L/23 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on SMU to cover |
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02-25-20 | Senators v. Predators -1.5 | 2-3 | Loss | -123 | 9 h 4 m | Show | |
At the trade deadline the Sens parted ways with pending UFA J.G. Pageau along with Tyler Ennis and Vladimir Namestnikov and now that the team is in total rebuild their vulnerable to getting beat up on. OTTAWA is 0-10 ATS against explosive offensive teams - scoring 3+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season this season. OTTAWA is 4-22 ATS in road games after allowing 3 goals or more 4 straight games over the last 3 seasons. Senators are 0-5 in the last 5 meetings in Nashville.. Nashville on the puckline |
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02-25-20 | Thunder -6.5 v. Bulls | 124-122 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 11 m | Show | |
Oklahoma City has played their best hoops on the road this season and are currently on a 8 game road win streak, and tonight against Bulls team that just snapped a 8 game losing streak, Im betting they once again have an advantage. The Bulls are 0-11 ATS /SU L/11 at home off a win in a home game and are 0-12 ATS/SU at home off a win in a home game facing an opponent taking more than one third of their shots from beyond the arc with the average ppg diff clicking in at -17.9 ppg. The Bulls are 0-11 ATS /SU L/11 at home with rest off a home game facing an opponent with an assist-to-turnover ratio greater than 1.5 with the average ppg diff registering at -13.9 ppg. The Thunder are 16-0-1 ATS /15-2 SU on the road with less than two days rest. The Thunder are 16-0 ATS /14-2 SU on the road with less than two days rest facing an opponent getting less than 25 percent or their rebounds on the offensive end. The Thunder are 16-1-1 ATS /15-3 SU on the road. Play on Oklahoma City to cover |
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02-25-20 | DePaul +7 v. Xavier | 67-78 | Loss | -103 | 11 h 54 m | Show | |
DePaul is off a big win vs Georgetown last time out that halted a ugly losing streak. This Demon Deacons team is talented and much better than their conference record indicates. The Blue Demons are 72nd in the NCAA NET rankings and have victories vs Butler, Texas Tech, Iowa, Georgetown and Minnesota. DePaul's capable of putting together 40 minutes of winning basketball behind a big, athletic starting lineup and must not underestimated vs what my own rankings suggest is a over rated Xavier side. I know Xavier clobbered the Deacons when they met earlier this season, but it must be noted that the visiting team has won the last three meetings in the series. XAVIER is 3-10 ATS in home lined games this season.XAVIER is 2-8 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season. Play on DePaul to cover |
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02-25-20 | Miami-OH +10 v. Kent State | 61-74 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 37 m | Show | |
This past weekend Kent State played a back and forth Double OT affair vs Buffalo and lost 104-98 and now Im betting they will be in an emotional letdown situation vs a Miami team that matches up well against them as was evident earlier this season when. , Miami O took a 77-74 tilt on their own home court. Also key Flashes forward Pippen is not 100% with back issues.Advantage Miami 0. MIAMI OHIO is 6-0 ATS in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons. KENT ST is 0-6 ATS versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season this season.Senderoff is 0-7 ATS in home games after playing a game where both teams score 80 points or more as the coach of KENT ST. Play on Miami 0 to cover |
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02-25-20 | Kentucky v. Texas A&M +6.5 | 69-60 | Loss | -101 | 10 h 57 m | Show | |
No. 8-ranked Kentucky hits the hardwood Tuesday night to tangle with the suddenly surging Texas A&M Aggies at Reed Arena and my projections make the young Blue Devils and over rated commodity in this spot laying points. Calaparis troops have struggled at times thanks to injuries to Nick Richards (ankle), EJ Montgomery (ankle), Johnny Juzang (illness), Nate Sestina (fractured wrist) and Ashton Hagans (thigh contusion) as well as the departure of heralded freshman Kahlil Whitney. They do however remain at the top of the standings thanks to their coaches prowess and their deep bench, but will face a fast improving Buzz Williams coached team that must not be underestimated. TEXAS A&M is 8-1 ATS versus bad pressure defensive teams - forcing 12 or less turnovers/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons. KENTUCKY is 2-8 ATS after 3 or more consecutive wins this season. CBB Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (KENTUCKY) - off a home win against a conference rival, a top-level team ( 80% or better) playing a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) are just 30-66 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors. Take the points with Texas A&M |
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02-25-20 | Dayton v. George Mason +12.5 | 62-55 | Win | 100 | 9 h 11 m | Show | |
The Flyers 25-2 (14-0) are getting a little much respect from linesmakers in this spot. Hey their looking like a viable NCAA tournament team, but this line is bloated thanks to their success, so in. my usual contrarian fashion I will take the points here on a value line. George Mason upset the Flyers 67-63 earlier this season, but just because the road team wants revenge it doesn't mean they will get it and or cover the number. CBB Underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (GEORGE MASON) - after going under the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last seven games are 59-17 ATS L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on George Mason to cover |
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02-24-20 | Grizzlies v. Clippers -9.5 | 97-124 | Win | 100 | 12 h 9 m | Show | |
Kawhi Leonard said the Los Angeles Clippers weren't ready to play Saturday before losing at home to the Sacramento Kings. He doesn't expect that to be the case Monday when the Clippers host the Memphis Grizzlies. With the Grizzlies expected to be without power forward Jaren Jackson Jr., who sustained a sprained left knee late in the second quarter against the Lakers last time out, Im betting the Grizzlies wont have enough offensive to hand with a talented hungry redemption minded team with revenge on board for loss to Memphis earlier this season . LA CLIPPERS are 8-1 ATS in home games revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points this season with the average ppg diff clicking in at 14.3 ppg. Play on LA Clippers to cover |
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02-24-20 | Suns v. Jazz -7.5 | 131-111 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 34 m | Show | |
The Suns are off a hard fought win vs the Bulls in Chicago last time out and now go against a hungry Utah Jazz team that has lost two straight including one as home fav vs the Rockets by a 120-110 count . It must be noted that the Suns have not won back to back games since back in mid January, and Im betting they lose again tonight and more importantly fail to cover vs a very motivated opponent. ( Utah has won 10 straight at home in this series with the 4 most recent battles dating back to 2018 have all seen DD victories with the last 3 coming by 33, 28, 28 points respectively. Rinse and repeat tonight. The Jazz are 12-0 ATS /SU L/12 with rest off a 10+ loss as a home favorite facing an opponent getting less than 25 percent or their rebounds on the offensive end winning by an average of 15 ppg. NBA Teams like the Jazz are 18-1 ATS /SU L/19 as a favorite with rest off a 10+ loss in which they had fewer than 15 foul with the average ppg diff clicking in at +18 ppg. The Jazz are 10-0 ATS /SU L/10 as a favorite with rest off a 10+ loss in a home game facing an opponent with an assist-to-turnover ratio greater than 1.5 with the average ppg diff registering at +13.1 ppg. The Suns are 0-11 ATS /SU off a game as a favorite facing an opponent averaging less than 10 offensive rebounds with the average ppg diff clicking in at -15.3 ppg. Play on Utah to cover |
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02-24-20 | Oklahoma State +14.5 v. Kansas | 58-83 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 17 m | Show | |
Kansas is off a huge road win vs Baylor last time out in a hard fought affair that will have them in an emotional letdown situation vs a side that Im sure their over looking. This will give us an edge taking points, with Oklahoma State. CBB Underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (OKLAHOMA ST) - after going under the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last seven games are 56-19 ATS L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Oklahoma State to cover |
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02-24-20 | South Carolina State v. Florida A&M -5 | 56-62 | Win | 100 | 9 h 47 m | Show | |
Florida A&M has proven they love home cooking as is evident-by their 7-0 SU and 6-1 ATS conference record at home this season and tonight on a short line Im betting they get the job done again. Road underdogs of +145 to +350 vs. the money line (S CAROLINA ST) - in a game involving two poor defensive teams (45-47.5%), after a game where a team made 20% of their 3 point shots or worse are 6-68 SU dating back 23 seasons losing by an average DD count which qualifies under a ATS metric wager. Play. on Florida A&M to cover |
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02-24-20 | Magic v. Nets -3 | 115-113 | Loss | -104 | 10 h 26 m | Show | |
The Brooklyn Nets and Orlando Magic are trending in opposite directions of late.Brooklyn has won 8 of their L/12 since losing five in a row to top tier teams from Jan. 14-23.The Nets have six victories vs below.500 teams during the 12 game subset with seven wins coming by double digits margins while allowing just 105.4 points. From a SRS standpoint: Orlando owns a -1.37 SRS ranking 19th in the league while Brooklyns number clicks in at -0.58 ranking 15th in the league. With an obligatory home court advantage thrown in im estimating this number should be closer to -4, thus giving us value with the Nets. Note:Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average. Brooklyn lost the first meeting in this series this season back in January on the road and should be motivated to get redemption tonight. The Magic are 2-18 ATS /3-17 SU on the road with more than one day of rest off a home game facing an opponent averaging less than 58 ppg from 2-point range with 10 straight losses all coming by more than this number.The Magic are 1-13-1 ATS /1-14 SU as a dog with rest off a loss facing an opponent taking more than one third of their shots from beyond the arc with every loss in the subset coming by at least 5 ppg or more. ORLANDO is 0-8 ATS after 2 straight games where they attempted 90 or more shots this season. NBA Teams like the Nets are 16-0 ATS /SU L/16 at home with rest off a win in a road game facing an opponent averaging less than 12 turnovers per game. The Nets are 10-2 in the past 12 home meetings with Orlando. BROOKLYN is 31-16 ATS against Southeast division opponents over the last 3 seasons NBA Road teams (ORLANDO) - after failing to cover 4 of their last 5 against the spread, in a game involving two marginal losing teams (40 to 49%) are 8-31 ATS L/5 seasons for a for 80% go against conversion rate for bettors. Play on Brooklyn to cover |
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02-24-20 | Norfolk State -1 v. Bethune-Cookman | 55-78 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 19 m | Show | |
Norfolks offense has shown itself to be of the top tier variety in MEAC play , The Spartans rank first in adjusted offensive efficiency and 3P%. and third in offensive rebounding and second in team free throw percentage conversion rate. Meanwhile,Bethune Cookman is a team that is an inconsistent offensive force converting at just 45.5% via their inside FG shots ranking a ugly 321st overall in the nation. In the end I look for the more consistent offence to come out on top and get us the win and cover. BETHUNE-COOKMAN is 0-7 ATS after having won 3 of their last 4 games over the last 2 seasons. CBB road team (NORFOLK ST) - after going under the total by more than 6 points in three consecutive games, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season are 150-95 ATS L/23 seasons for a long term 61% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Norfolk State to cover |
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02-24-20 | West Virginia v. Texas +5.5 | 57-67 | Win | 100 | 10 h 33 m | Show | |
West Virginia embarrassed Texas 97-58 in their first meeting this season and now Im betting Shaka Smart and his Texas Longhorns will be ready to respond. Smart is 3-0 ATS in revenge for a loss of 20 points or more in his career . Texas now in desperation mode needing a win to remain viable for a NCAA tournament appearance, will leave everything on the floor tonight .Texas snapped a four-game losing streak by beating TCU at home in front of about 4,200 people in the 16,000-seat Erwin Center. Then UT built on that by smashing Kansas State 70-59 at Bramlage Coliseum. The fan base looks like they have given up on them, and Im sure Smart is aware of this as his tenure in Texas either winds down or is extended based on these late season performances. While I know its not always a good idea to proverbially attach yourself to a drowning man, I do believe getting five or more points with someone trying to save their own lives is a viable wager. Play on Texas to cover |
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02-23-20 | Wizards v. Bulls | 117-126 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 4 m | Show | |
The tanking Chicago Bulls bring an ugly eight-game losing streak when they host the Washington Wizards on Sunday evening. With this being the Bulls 2nd game in two nights, im betting their tired legs wont provide them with a desperation win vs a wizards side that is up trending in power rankings. CHICAGO is 4-17 ATS at home when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons. CHICAGO is 2-12 ATS in home games versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or more - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. The Bulls are 0-12-1 ATS /0-13 SU L/13 at home off a home game after allowing 50-plus points in the paint. NBA Teams like the Bulls are 2-17 ATS/SU L/19 with less than two days rest off a game as a dog in which their turnovers increased by at least 10 from the game before. The Wizards are 11-1 ATS/10-2 L/12 when the line is within 3 of pick after they scored 15 or more points in the first than the second half. NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (WASHINGTON) - well rested team - playing 6 or less games in 14 days, a bad team, winning 25% to 40% of their games on the season are 129-82 ATS L/23 seasons for a long term 61% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Wizards to cover |
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02-23-20 | Spurs v. Thunder -5 | 103-131 | Win | 100 | 8 h 14 m | Show | |
The thunder are playing with a great deal of confidence as is evident by their 34-22 record and have momentum as they are fresh off dismantling of the Denver Nuggets in crunch time for a 113-101 statement win on Friday. The reason Im willing to lay the 5 points here with the Thunder is their ability in close games to finish off their opponents as this metric will explain: Thunder won the league's -best plus-27.3 net rating in a league-high 38 games that feature a score within five points in the last five minutes of regulation. OKLAHOMA CITY is 8-1 ATS when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) this season. The Spurs are 1-12 ATS/SU as a dog with rest after a game as a road dog in which their opponent had at least a 10 percent higher BAP. The Spurs are 0-8 ATS L/8 off a win in a road game when their opponent is seeking same season revenge for a loss at home. The Thunder are 12-0 ATS/SU at home off a win as a home favorite when they are off two games in which they had double-digit steals are NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (OKLAHOMA CITY) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite, off a win by 10 points or more over a division rival are 37-4 L/5 seasons for a 90% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at 10.9 ppg. Play on Oklahoma City to cover |
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02-23-20 | Wolves +13.5 v. Nuggets | 116-128 | Win | 100 | 7 h 7 m | Show | |
While the Timberwolves are struggling with 16 losses in 17 games, they enter this tilt having played Denver tough in the first three meetings. They lost by two points in overtime and fell by seven points and nine points and Im betting on them hanging tough again and getting is the cover. Note: Denver lost their first game after the break at Denver, in a hard fought affair, and may still be feeling the letdown emotional effects of that tilt which brings into play this trend...The Nuggets are 0-10 ATS L/10 at home after a game with 8+ lead changes. Timberwolves are 20-7 ATS in the last 27 meetings in Denver. NBA Road underdogs of 10 or more points (MINNESOTA) - well rested team - playing 6 or less games in 14 days, a bad team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a winning record are 49-19 ATS L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Minnesota to cover |
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02-23-20 | Pacers +6 v. Raptors | 81-127 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 11 m | Show | |
The Raptors squeaked out a 119-118 home victory on Feb. 5 and had a 115-106 road win over the Pacers two nights later. Both came during Toronto's franchise-best 15-game winning streak. Tonight Im betting on the Pacers hanging tough again, and getting us the cover. Pacers are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 road games. The Raptors are 0-11 ATS off a 10+ win in which their opponent had at least a 10 percent higher BAP. Play on Indiana to cover |
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02-23-20 | USC v. Utah +1 | 65-79 | Win | 100 | 8 h 46 m | Show | |
Utah lost to UCLA last time out for only their 2nd home loss of the season, which was on the heels vs a couple of road losses against a very strong Oregon side and Oregon State previous to that , so they may have been in a letdown situation and on tired legs . Whatever, the case Im betting on the Utes bouncing back vs a USC Trojans team that is slumping after having lost 5 of their L/7 overall. UTAH is 13-4 ATS in home games after 2 straight losses by 10 points or more . CBB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (USC) - after a loss by 6 points or less against opponent after 2 straight losses by 10 points or more are 55-107 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Utah to cover |
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02-23-20 | New Mexico v. Boise State -9 | 61-74 | Win | 100 | 6 h 12 m | Show | |
It’s been 2½ months since Boise State’s first game against New Mexico, thanks to the Mountain West’s early-bird week in December. This Lobos squad is considerably different than the one that edged the Broncos 80-78 in The Pit as both teams have moved in different trajectories. Boise State has recently won 7 of their L/9 and are 12-2 at home while New Mexico has lost 8 of their L/10 and are 3-8 on the road this season. Advantage Boise State. NEW MEXICO is 0-6 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season. NEW MEXICO is 0-8 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 45% or more of their shots this season. BOISE ST is 11-2 ATS in home games versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 45% or worse over the last 3 seasons. CBB Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (BOISE ST) - off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 80%) are 124- 73 ATS L/5 seasons for a 63% conversion rate for bettors. Boise State to cover |
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02-23-20 | Butler v. Creighton -5.5 | 59-81 | Win | 100 | 6 h 7 m | Show | |
No. 15 Creighton, which has played its way into contention for the Big East Conference regular-season championship is currently in top form and will be very hard for Butler to handle here, especially with revenge on board for a earlier season loss to Butler by a 71-57 count.In the weeks since, Butler is 5-7 and Creighton is 9-3 and are off a win vs Marquette that showed off their ability to wear their opposition down via great ball movement and conversion rates. CREIGHTON is 6-0 ATS in home games off an upset win over a conference rival as an underdog over the last 3 seasons (Beat MARQUETTE last time out ) with the average ppg diff clicking in at +16.3 ppg. BUTLER is 3-13 ATS versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons. CREIGHTON is 7-1 ATS L/8 versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or better with the average ppg diff clicking in at +12 ppg. Play on Creighton to cover |
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02-23-20 | South Dakota v. South Dakota State -5 | 80-85 | Push | 0 | 3 h 53 m | Show | |
South Dakota State (21-8, 12-2 Summit League) brings a seven-game winning streak into the game and a 15-0 record inside Frost Arena this season. The Jackrabbits' 23-game home winning streak is the nation's third-longest active streak. S DAKOTA ST is 21-6 ATS L/27 in home games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 37%v or more of their attempts after 15+ games and is 16-4 ATS L/20 in home games versus excellent ball handling teams - committing 12 or less turnovers/game after 15+ games . CBB Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (S DAKOTA ST) - off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 80%) are 124-73 ATS L/5 seasons for a 63% conversion rate for bettors. South Dakota State to cover |
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02-22-20 | Oregon v. Arizona -4.5 | 73-72 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 9 m | Show | |
Arizona is one very dangerous team with three potential first-round draft picks in their lineup. They deserved to win the first meeting with Oregon, and will now be extra motivated in revenge mode to get the job done here in front of their own alumni. Meanwhile, Oregon is off a loss to Arizona State last time out, and many saw some of their weaknesses exposed and tonight the Wildcats are a team that can even shine more light on the Ducks imperfections including some recent traveling woes. OREGON is 0-7 ATS in road games in February games over the last 2 seasons CBB Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (OREGON) - off an upset loss as a favorite against opponent off a home blowout win by 20 points or more are just 18-44 ATS L/5 seasons for a 71% go against conversion rate for bettors. CBB Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (ARIZONA) - after a cover as a double digit favorite against opponent off an upset loss as a favorite are 33-12 ATS L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Arizona to cover |
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02-22-20 | 76ers v. Bucks -8.5 | 98-119 | Win | 100 | 10 h 3 m | Show | |
The Sixers bring a five-game road skid into Saturday nights tilt vs tbhe NBA-best Milwaukee Bucks. I know the Sixers continue to get respect, but they are highly inconsistent, and a team as I myself describe a clunky. Add to that the 76ers seem to have brought unnecessary attention to themselves with narcissistic comments by Embid who at the the All-Star Game, was quoted as saying. QUOTE just proving I'm here, I belong, and being the best player in the world, I just intend to keep coming out every single night and just play hard and trying to get wins and just go out and try to win a championship," Embiid told reporters after the game. END QUOTE: What he said , should have the Bucks talking among themselves, and now Im betting they will be out to send a message to the young self described king of the court tonight . Teams like the Bucks are 24-0 SU/ 23-1 ATS while covering by more than 12.6 ppg as a home 8+ favorite with less than two days rest off a road game in which they scored more than 50 points in the paint. The Bucks are q perfect 26-0 / 23-3 AT L/26 as a 8+ favorite with less than two days rest facing an opponent averaging less than 16 percent of points off free throws. The Seventysixers are 0-12 ATS /2-10 SU on the road with rest off a win after a win in which they trailed by double digits with the average margin ppg diff clicking in at -8.6 ppg. Play on Milwaukee to cover |
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02-22-20 | Suns -1 v. Bulls | 112-104 | Win | 100 | 10 h 55 m | Show | |
I was appalled how badly the Bulls played at home last night vs a Charlotte team that they should have handled. There is some deep seeded issues that must be dealt with in the off season with the Bulls. I know playing without without Lauri Markkanen, Denzel Valentine, Kris Dunn, Otto Porter Jr. and Wendell Carter Jr. are hurting them but the rest of the team should have been able to pick up the slack. Now Im taking this chance to fade the Bulls on a short line vs a Suns team that has shown alot more fight, and off a decent effort vs the defending champion Toronto Raptors last night. The Suns are 20-2 ATS /21-1 SU as a road favorite off a road game in which their opponent shot over 50% from the field. CHICAGO is 3-12 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.CHICAGO is 4-16 ATS at home when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons. The Bulls are 1-19 ATS /SU as a home dog with rest facing an opponent averaging more than 30 points from 3s.The Bulls are 0-11-1 ATS /0-12 SU at home off a home game after allowing 50-plus points in the paint. NBA Teams like the Bulls are 0-11 ATS/SU L/11 at home when the line is within 3 of pick with rest off a loss as a home favorite after allowing 50-plus points in the paint. Play on Phoenix to cover |
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02-22-20 | Campbell +5 v. Gardner-Webb | 61-73 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 2 m | Show | |
With key player Jose Perez out of the lineup for the Gardner Webb I believe they are being over rated in this spot, vs a team that matches up well against them. the all purpose guard (15.0 ppg, 6.0 rpg, 4.3 apg) remains out for personal reasons and makes this team much less formidable. Play on Campbell to cover |
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02-22-20 | Michigan v. Purdue -3 | 71-63 | Loss | -109 | 6 h 47 m | Show | |
Michigan has won three straight against Purdue, but hasn't won at Mackey since Feb. 26, 2014 (three straight losses) and Im betting Purdue holds home court again. Purdue's Trevion Williams had the best game of his career in the first meeting this season, a 84-78 double-overtime victory for Michigan at Crisler Center on Jan. 9. and he will once again be the difference maker. Note: Also if the hobbled Livers plays for Michigan he will be less than 100%. Advantage Purdue. PURDUE is 8-1 ATS in home games vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% or more of their attempts over the last 2 seasons. PURDUE is 6-0 ATS in home games after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 2 seasons. Painter is 20-7 ATS at home when the line is +3 to -3 as the coach of PURDUE. MICHIGAN is 0-6 ATS after covering 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread over the last 2 seasons. Purdue to cover |
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02-22-20 | Middle Tennessee v. Southern Miss -4 | 61-53 | Loss | -113 | 5 h 35 m | Show | |
It will be a playoff atmosphere the next four games for Southern Miss and Im betting they come out here motivated and ready to snatch a victory. The last meeting earlier this season between the two teams left a sour taste with the Golden Eagles, and they will primed for revenge. LaDavius Draine picked up an offensive rebound and hit a step-back, corner three to tie the game with 11 seconds left, but a foul was called on Middle Tennessee's game-winning layup attempt, and those two free-throws were the difference maker. Needless to say this Southern Miss team has had this tilt circled on their calendar, and we should see them at their best. MIDDLE TENN ST is 1-8 ATS versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game this season.MIDDLE TENN ST is 2-10 ATS versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game this season. MIDDLE TENN ST is 0-8 ATS when the total is 140 to 149.5 this season. MIDDLE TENN ST is 0-6 ATS after allowing 75 points or more 3 straight games this season. SOUTHERN MISS is 6-0 ATS versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 45% or more after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons.SOUTHERN MISS is 11-3 ATS versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons. Play on southern Miss to cover |
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02-22-20 | Kansas +2 v. Baylor | 64-61 | Win | 100 | 3 h 45 m | Show | |
The two leaders in the Big 12 square off Saturday in a key battle in the league race as No. 3 Kansas (23-3, 12-1) takes on No. 1 Baylor (24-1, 13-0). Its not very often that Kanas loses at home, which was the case earlier this season to their 24-1 opponent Baylor, and now with revenge on board Im betting on Bill Self motivating his team into redemption mode and for the visitor to get the cover vs their hosts .. note: The Jayhawks are a perfect 6-0 SUATS L/6 in this series as dogs or favorites of 2 or less points.KANSAS is 6-0 ATS in road games against conference opponents this season. KANSAS is 8-1 ATS in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game this season. Play on Kansas to cover |
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02-22-20 | Virginia v. Pittsburgh +3 | 59-56 | Push | 0 | 1 h 32 m | Show | |
02-21-20 | Celtics v. Wolves +6.5 | 127-117 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 3 m | Show | |
The new look Wolves will send out the down town trio D’Angelo Russell, Omari Spellman and Malik Beasley to the court today in a home game that will see this team ready to turn a corner. With Boston taking on the LA Lakers this weekend , Im betting they may not be fully focused here in this spot, giving us value with the. home dog. NBA Teams like the Celtics are 1-15 ATS /SU on the road with rest off a win after scoring 15+ points more than Vegas projected.The Celtics are 1-11 ATS/SU on the road off a win as a favorite in which they had overtime. Play on Minnesota to cover |
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02-21-20 | Suns +7.5 v. Raptors | 101-118 | Loss | -105 | 25 h 15 m | Show | |
DeAndre Ayton is upgraded to probable Friday vs Toronto ( Ankle ) which will be a big boost for the Suns in this game vs the defending champs. I know the Suns have been highly inconsistent this season, but with Toronto expected to be without Norman Powell and Marc Gasol their short handed and vulnerable. The Suns are 15-0 ATS L/15 on the road with rest off a game as a favorite when they lost 2 straight vs current opponent. The Raptors are 0-12 ATS L/12 off a loss as a road favorite after being outscored in the paint by double digit Phoenix is 12-0 ATS L/12 games in this series. Suns HC Williams is 104-69 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points in all games he has coached since 1996. Play on Phoenix to cover |
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02-21-20 | Yale v. Cornell +12 | 81-80 | Win | 100 | 5 h 23 m | Show | |
Cornell was blasted last time out at Dartmouth 75-53 in a sleepy effort, and after being total embarrassed will be ready and motivated for redemption against a top teir opponent. Earl is 11-0 ATS in home games off a road loss as the coach of CORNELL. CORNELL is 6-0 ATS in home games after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.CORNELL is 6-0 ATSin home games off a road loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons. CBB Home underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (CORNELL) - after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games, a bad team (20% to 40%) playing a team with a winning record are 48-23 L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Cornell to cover |
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02-20-20 | UCLA v. Utah -2 | 69-58 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 40 m | Show | |
Utah has lost 2 straight and 4 of their L/6 , but the two wins came at home, where they play their best hoops, as their 10-1 record as hosts would indicate. Tonight against a strong looking UCLA group, Im betting they find a way to win, with the extra motivation of revenge for a earlier lopsided loss to the Bruins in LA a couple of weeks ago. Note: Utah is 16-4-1 ATS at home with same-season conference revenge under head coach Larry Krystowiaki and a perfect 12-0 ATS when they own a win percentage of less than .655. UCLA is 0-7 ATS at road when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons. UCLA is 0-8 ATS in road games after having won 3 of their last 4 games over the last 2 seasons. The Utes are 3-11 ATS vs. teams who are called for 3+ less fouls/game than their opponents over the last 3 season. Utah is 16-4-1 ATS at home with same-season conference revenge under head coach Larry Krystowiaki.
Play on Utah to cover |
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02-20-20 | Hornets v. Bulls -5 | 103-93 | Loss | -105 | 34 h 55 m | Show | |
I know Chicago lost 6 straight entering the All Star break, but thats makes them all the more hungry, and now Im betting they are more than capable of taking out a inconsistent Charlotte side that has lost 20 of their 30 road games this season, with average overall diff clicking in at -8.9 ppg. The Hornets are 0-12 ATS /SU L/12 on the road with rest off a game as a dog after out scoring their opponent in the paint by double digits. The Hornets are 1-16 ATS /0-17 SU as a road dog off a road game facing an opponent averaging less than 20 fouls-against per game. NBA Favorites of -165 to -500 vs. the money line (CHICAGO) - average 3PT shooting team (33-36.5%) against an average 3PT defense (33-36.5%), after 2 straight games - attempting 10+ less free throws than opponent are 33-0 L/5 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at +13.2 ppg which qualifies under the perimeters of this side wager. NBA favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (CHICAGO) - average 3PT shooting team (33-36.5%) against an average 3PT defense (33-36.5%), after 2 straight games - attempting 10+ less free throws than opponent are 28-4 ATS L/5 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Chicago |
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02-20-20 | Bucks v. Pistons +13.5 | 126-106 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 51 m | Show | |
The Milwaukee Bucks key players Giannis Antetokounmpo and Khris Middleton took part in the all star game and Im betting will be a bit of an emotional letdown situation on the road today vs a stumbling Motown side Im sure their overlooking. The Bucks have had a propensity to play down to their opponents this season, and with Philadelphia on board for this weekend in a key eastern conference battle, they could easily just go through the motions here, while Detroit will look at this as a big time redemption game , and an opportunity to get some pride and momentum back after a nasty first half of the season. Casey is 18-6 ATS in home games after 4 or more consecutive losses in all games he has coached . NBA Teams like the Pistons are 19-3-1 ATS at home with more than two days of rest off a loss as a road dog in which they scored fewer than 10 fast break points. NBA Home underdogs of 10 or more points (DETROIT) - revenging 2 straight losses where opp scored 100 or more points, off a cover where the team lost the game straight up as an underdog are 27-7 ATS L/23 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Detroit to cover |
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02-20-20 | Gardner-Webb -3.5 v. Hampton | 77-87 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 40 m | Show | |
GARDNER WEBB is 8-1 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 45% or better of their shots after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.GARDNER WEBB is 12-3 ATS versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons.Craft is 20-8 ATS in road games against conference opponents as the coach of GARDNER WEBB. Gardner Webb is 3-0 SUL/3 in this series. |
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02-20-20 | Hofstra -3.5 v. Drexel | 81-74 | Win | 100 | 6 h 8 m | Show | |
Drexel lost at home to Hofstra 72-59 on January 25 and according to my power rankings do not matchup well vs Hofstra. Considering how over powering the Pride have been as visitors this season recording a a 6-1 record in CAA play with the average ppg diff in their wins clicking in at 10.3 points it will be an easy decision to lay the points here with the top tier road warrior. HOFSTRA is 7-1 ATS versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games this season.HOFSTRA is 14-2 ATS (when playing only their 2nd game in a week this season. CBB Road teams as an favorite or pick (HOFSTRA) - an good offensive team (74-78 PPG) against an average defensive team (67-74 PPG), after leading in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half are 63-33 ATS L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate. Play on Hofstra to cover |
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02-19-20 | Indiana v. Minnesota -5.5 | 68-56 | Loss | -109 | 14 h 53 m | Show | |
Indiana is tied with Minnesota in the Big Ten standings and Im expecting a hard fought affair here tonight, but the home team has the advantage vs a Hoosiers side in disarray after having lost five out of its last six games. Last time out , the Hoosiers were smashed by a 89-65 count at Michigan on Sunday afternoon and once again look like fade material here on the road where they have struggled to score consistently averaging just 60.8 ppg, while being out scored by -9 ppg. CBB Favorites of -165 to -500 vs. the money line (MINNESOTA) - an average offensive team (67-74 PPG) against an average defensive team (67-74 PPG) after 15+ games, after a combined score of 115 points or less are 97-15 L/5 seasons and 15-2 this season with the average ppg diff clicking in at +8.7 ppg. Play on Minnesota to cover |
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02-19-20 | South Carolina v. Mississippi State -5 | 76-79 | Loss | -118 | 3 h 55 m | Show | |
Mississippi has played their best hoops at home this sesaon in Starkville, notching five consecutive SEC home victories by an average of 17.8 points per game. I know south Carolina has played better of late, but looked winded in a close win vs Tennessee last time out, by a 63-61 count and look ready to succumb to their tired legs in this spot. Play on Miss State to cover |
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02-19-20 | TCU v. Texas -2 | 56-70 | Win | 100 | 10 h 10 m | Show | |
The Texas basketball program has now slipped down to seventh place in the Big 12 standings . Head coach Shaka Smart isn’t in a good spot. The Longhorns are in desperation mode and this TCU team is a side they can handle as was evident in a 62-61 road win in this series a couple of weeks ago. TCU is 0-6 ATS revenging a same season loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons. .TCU is 2-12 ATS versus good defensive teams - allowing 64 or less points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.TCU is 3-13 ATS versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game this season.TEXAS is 23-7 ATS L/30 in home games versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games. Play on Texas to cover |
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02-19-20 | South Dakota State v. North Dakota +4 | 94-83 | Loss | -110 | 1 h 31 m | Show | |
02-19-20 | Syracuse v. Louisville -9.5 | 66-90 | Win | 100 | 11 h 14 m | Show | |
After winning 10 straight games Louisville has hit a speed bump losing two straight on the road as favorites. Now thoroughly embarrassed, and probably losing their No.1 seed in the upcoming NCAA tournament, Im expecting a big redemption effort here at home as Louisville also has revenge on board for a ugly looking DD loss earlier this season vs the Orange on the road . It must be noted that Louisville is 14-1 SU this season as hosts, with the average ppg diff clicking in at 16.3 ppg. More of the same one sided action is my prediction tonight vs a Syracuse side that has lost 4 of their L/5 games. CBB Home teams as a favorite or pick (LOUISVILLE) - off 2 or more consecutive upset losses as a road favorite are 117-69 ATS L/23 seasons for a 63% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Louisville to cover |
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02-19-20 | Auburn v. Georgia +4 | 55-65 | Win | 100 | 10 h 44 m | Show | |
Auburn is expected to be without key starter Okoro who recently suffered a hamstring injury and sat out Saturday's loss to Missouri and its likely he will miss this tilt vs a Georgia team that may not represent a major threat to Bruce Pearls hierarchal SEC run. Auburn certainly missed his presence, especially on the defensive end of the court last time out in a loss to Missouri and he will once again Im betting be missed tonight against a highly motivated Georgia team that will be looking at this game like it were a championship affair. Georgia HC Crean is 31-15 ATS as a home underdog of 6 points or less or pick in all games he has coached since 1997. Play on Georgia to cover |
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02-19-20 | Army +5.5 v. Loyola Maryland | 77-81 | Win | 100 | 9 h 23 m | Show | |
Under rated Army 8-2 L/10 and Loyola winners of 4 of their L/5 played a tough hard fought tilt back on Jan 18 with the Black Knights winning by a 81-80 score and now Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation in what will be according to my projections another close game, that favors the road dog getting points. The last two meetings here at Loyola between these teams has been decided by 3 and 2 points respectively. Look for history to repeat itself. Play on Army to cover |
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02-18-20 | Baylor v. Oklahoma +3.5 | 65-54 | Loss | -105 | 3 h 3 m | Show | |
The Sooners have only one home loss this season and it came against a top-flight Kansas team and Im betting they wont be easily defeated here tonight, by the No,.1 ranked team in the country (Baylor). Play on Oklahoma to cover |
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02-18-20 | Ole Miss +1 v. Missouri | 68-71 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 40 m | Show | |
Mississippi (13-12) is currently in top form as is evident by having won three of their last four games with the one loss coming to Kentucky by 4 points. OLE MISS is 13-4 ATS L/17 in road games when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) . MISSOURI is 4-13 ATS L/17 in home games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) after 15 or more games of a season. Play on Ole Miss to cover |
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02-18-20 | Dayton v. VCU +3.5 | 66-61 | Loss | -105 | 3 h 33 m | Show | |
VA COMMONWEALTH is 6-0 ATS in home games versus good shooting teams - making 45% or better of their shots after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons. VA COMMONWEALTH is 4-1 straight up against DAYTON L/5 here at home. Play on VCU to cover |
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02-18-20 | Arkansas v. Florida -7 | 59-73 | Win | 100 | 11 h 48 m | Show | |
The Razorbacks, , have dropped four straight while scoring scoring 65, 54, 77 and 75 points against SEC teams since losing standout guard Isaiah Joe to what is likely a season-ending knee injury . The Hogs are fade material in their current form vs a coach and program that has them figured out as is evident by Coach Mike White, which has seen the go 7-0L/7 overall in their series 3-0 at home. Note: Florida has won 12 straight at home in this series. Add to that their inability to consistently reblound, as they rank last in rebounding margin at minus-10.1 and next-to-last in offensive and defensive rebounding CBB Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (FLORIDA) - after a cover as a double digit favorite against opponent off an upset loss as a favorite are 32-12 ATS L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Florida to cover |
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02-18-20 | St. Louis v. Massachusetts +3.5 | 63-67 | Win | 100 | 10 h 41 m | Show | |
UMass (10-15, 4-8 Atlantic 10)did not look put of place vs the conference-leading Dayton Flyers losing a heart breaker in OT , and now get ready for a rematch with Saint Louis (18-7, 7-5 A-10) The Minutemen almost pulled of the upset in the first matchup with the Billikens in early January after turning the ball over 25 times at Chaifetz Arena for a 83-80 loss. The Billikens are a big man team, but Umass can handle them physically, and recently have consistently been changing up their defesnive stances which are difficult for a rigid team like St.Louis to deal with. MASSACHUSETTS is 10-2 ATS in all home games this season and is 11-3 ATS as a home underdog or pick over the last 3 seasons. Play on UMass to cover |
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02-18-20 | Illinois +6 v. Penn State | 62-56 | Win | 100 | 1 h 33 m | Show | |
My College basketball selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision. Play on Illinois to cover |
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02-17-20 | Coppin State v. Norfolk State -9 | 60-80 | Win | 100 | 12 h 48 m | Show | |
Norfolk State clobbered Coppin State by a 82-59 count as 1 point road favs earlier this season and Im betting are more than capable of covering once again as heftier chalk. The L/3 most recent meetings in this series have all been DD victories vs Norfolk State . Dixon is 0-6 ATS in road games revenging a home loss vs opponent as the coach of COPPIN ST. Jones is 10-1 ATS in home games when playing only their 2nd game in a week as the coach of NORFOLK ST. CBB Favorites of -165 to -500 vs. the money line (NORFOLK ST) - off 2 or more consecutive home wins, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a bad team (20-40%) are 80-12 SU with the average margin of victory by 8.6 ppg , which was coincidentally the opening line (-8.5). Im betting on that number being breached here today and for a Norfolk State cover . Play on Norfolk State to cover |
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02-17-20 | Xavier -1.5 v. St. John's | 77-74 | Win | 100 | 10 h 3 m | Show | |
Xavier's won three of its last four games and took the first meeting with the Red Storm at Cintas Center on Jan. 5. Meanwhile, St. John's has lost three of its last four. St.Johns did however, surprise Providence last time out, which was shocking since St. John's senior Mustapha Heron, who led the team in scoring earlier this season, didn't play and is likely done for the season, according to the New York Post. However, now in a letdown situation, after that huge win, Im betting the Red Storm falter vs a Xavier program that has beaten them 10 straight times and is bigger and more physical, than St.Johns, and have a big advantage on the board s where the Red Storm rank 300th in the nation in rebounding on the defensive glass.Xavier's sitting squarely on the bubble right now, according to a number of postseason projections and Im betting we see them at their best here as they leave everything on the floor. XAVIER is 6-0 ATS after covering 4 of their last 5 against the spread over the last 2 seasons. Play on Xavier to cover |
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02-16-20 | All Star LeBron -6 v. All Star Giannis | 157-155 | Loss | -108 | 34 h 3 m | Show | |
Because of rule changes -my projections estimate that LeBron and company will have the edge entering the 4th quarter. Note: The fourth quarter will be untimed and the teams will play to a final target score. The final target score is determined by taking the team that is leading after three quarters and adding 24 points ( in honor of Kobe Bryant.) The team that is behind need to score 29 points before the leading team scored 24 points in order to win the All-Star Game. I know its alot to take in, but my mathematical projections estimate LeBron gets it done. Play on LEBRON to cover |
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02-16-20 | Indiana v. Michigan -7.5 | 65-89 | Win | 100 | 2 h 32 m | Show | |
Michigan has beaten Indiana in six straight meetings with a 15.5-point average margin of victory. Rinse repeat situation now on board. INDIANA is 1-8 ATS in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons. MICHIGAN is 8-0 ATS as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points over the last 2 seasons. Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MICHIGAN) - off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 80%) are 121-69 over the last 5 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Michigan to cover |
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02-15-20 | Washington +3 v. UCLA | 57-67 | Loss | -108 | 13 h 40 m | Show | |
Washington has lost seven straight in conference play and are really suffering alot of close losses and unlucky situational defeats. KenPom ranks them 353 out of 353 in something called the luck factor. Five of the Huskies Big 12 losses have come by a single basket and two in overtime. Today in revenge mode vs a UCLA side that beat them earlier this season and now feeling like they have nothing to lose Im expecting Washington to be loose and focused and to quite possibly pick up the SU win but more importantly the cover. CBB some teams as an underdog or pick (UCLA) - off a close win by 3 points or less over a conference rival against opponent off an embarrassing road loss scoring less than 60 points are 18-45 ATS L/23 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Washington to cover |
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02-15-20 | Virginia v. North Carolina -1 | 64-62 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 55 m | Show | |
North Carolina are no pushovers on their own floor where head coach Roy Williams is 21-1 SU at home in his career when his team owns a losing record. Meanwhile, Virginia despite of a top tier D, continues to struggle to score consistently , behind a offence that is shooting just 41.7 percent from the field and 25.7 percent from three on the road. Play on North Carolina to cover |
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02-15-20 | Pacific v. St. Mary's -10.5 | 63-71 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 52 m | Show | |
02-15-20 | Seton Hall v. Providence +2 | 71-74 | Win | 100 | 9 h 55 m | Show | |
Villanova is off a huge win vs Villanova last time out and will now be in a letdown situation against a hungry Providence side that needs a win badly here , if they have hopes for a NCAA tournament appearance. Add to that the Friars are in revenge mode for a 73-64 loss a few weeks ago at the Hall and you have a motivated team to back against a side that may not have the nergy needed to get them a road win. SETON HALL is 1-8 ATS after playing a game where both teams score 80 points or more over the last 3 seasons which was the case vs Villanova last time out. |
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02-15-20 | NJIT v. Liberty -16.5 | 49-62 | Loss | -107 | 8 h 18 m | Show | |
The Liberty Flames owned the NJIT Highlanders in their first meeting winning by a 65-38 score covering as a 10-point favorite in Newark. the Liberty held clamped down on NJIT allowing them a measly 23.5% shooting FG conversion rate, and are more than capable of dominating again here at home.NEW JERSEY TECH is 0-6 ATS vs. top caliber teams - outscoring their opponents by 12+ points/game over the last 2 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at -18.2 ppg. Play on Liberty to cover |
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02-15-20 | Auburn v. Missouri +5.5 | 73-85 | Win | 100 | 8 h 25 m | Show | |
Auburn be without star freshman Isaac Okoro and Im betting because of this their flow will be curtailed enough to make them vulnerable today. I know Missouri may not inspire bettors, but after Missouri outscored ranked LSU 42-38 in the paint and held a slight rebounding edge I feel they can do the same here and be competitive and thus get us the cover. Missouri HC Martin is 14-4 ATS ( in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games in all games he has coached since 1997. Play on Missouri to cover |
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02-15-20 | West Virginia +5.5 v. Baylor | 59-70 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 52 m | Show | |
Im betting on Bob Huggins Mountaineers to come out here and play hard against the No. 1 team in the country after suffering back to back losses. West Virginia has the D and size advantage, needed to give Baylor problems especially under the glass. Note:Baylor ranks 229th in defensive rebounding percentage. W VIRGINIA is 13-3 ATS in road games off an embarrassing home loss scoring less than 60 points. West Virginia has covered their last two visits to Baylor. Play on West Virginia to cover |
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02-15-20 | Charlotte v. Rice -1 | 54-70 | Win | 100 | 7 h 45 m | Show | |
The Rice Owls are connecting on 43.4% from the floor and 34.3% from three while allowing their opponents to connect on 46.0% from the field but just 32.4% from three. Rice enters Saturday afternoon's contest vs Charlotte with a 12-14 record, including 4-9 in Conference USA. The Owls had their three-game winning streak snapped on Thursday, falling to Old Dominion, 73-70. The Owls continue to uptrend in my rankings and despite of playing against a team with a better record matchup well . My projections give them the edge vs a program that they have beaten 5 of the L/6 times here on Seniors day. Play on Rice to cover |
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02-15-20 | Wisconsin v. Nebraska +6.5 | 81-64 | Loss | -109 | 7 h 4 m | Show | |
Badgers beat up on Nebraska in an 82-68 win when these teams faced off against each other on January 21. But Im betting the Cornhuskers will be able to hang here in redemption mode at home behind an offence that has picked up their numbers of late .Nebraska (7-17, 2-11 Big Ten) comes off a heartbreaking 72-70 loss to ninth-ranked Maryland on Tuesday in College Park where they showed their resiliency .Tuesday's loss at No. 9 Maryland marked the fifth loss by five points or less this season, including losses at Maryland and at Rutgers, who are a combined 30-0 at home this season, which proves this teams never say die attitude and ability to be competitive here today. WISCONSIN is 0-6 ATS versus poor shooting teams - making 42% or lerss of their shots after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons.WISCONSIN is 0-6 ATS off a win against a conference rival this season ( They beat Ohio /state last time out) Hoiberg is 9-1 ATS in home games after a close loss by 3 points or less in all games he has coached since 1997. Nebraska to cover |
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02-15-20 | Bradley v. Southern Illinois +1 | 69-67 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 54 m | Show | |
This game is revenge tilt for Southern Illinois for a loss they suffered to the Bradley Braves on the road in Peoria six weeks ago. In the past when the Salukis have been beaten by the Braves they have responded well in the rematch going a bankroll expanding 15-2-1 ATS, including 8-0 SUATS the last eight as hosts in this series . Considering the Salukis love home cooking and beating up on opponents here on a regular basis Im betting they cover in redemption mode here today. Note: Southern Illinois average ppg diff clicks in at 11.8 ppg at SIU Arena this season. Play on Southern Illinois to cover |
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02-15-20 | San Jose State v. Air Force -9 | 86-95 | Push | 0 | 3 h 30 m | Show | |
Playing the high altitudes of Clune Arena for San Jose State will not be an easy task. SAN JOSE ST is 0-10 ATS in road games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at -31.3 ppg. Play on Air Force |
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02-15-20 | Texas Tech v. Oklahoma State +4 | 70-73 | Win | 100 | 4 h 23 m | Show | |
Texas Tech is off a huge win last time out which delivered their biggest margin of victory in Big 12 action. Im now expecting an emotional letdown and natural offensive regression in this followup tilt . They also will be without key freshman guard Terrence Shannon Jr. who suffered a concussion vs TCU. Meanwhile, Oklahoma State is up trending according to my power rankings after three straight covers, and deserve our respect getting points here this afternoon at home. I know the Cowboys were clobbered by Texas Tech and their first meeting but now with a chance at redemption vs a side that could easily be over looking them their viable underdogs.TEXAS TECH is 9-26 ATS in road games versus poor 3 point shooting teams - making 31% or less of their attempts.OKLAHOMA ST is 15-4 ATS revenging a blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more. Play on Oklahoma State to cover |