Keuchel  did not look good in his most recent trip to the hill, as  loss as well as taking a first-inning comebacker to the head , which ended in a 9-0 loss to Seattle. Keuchel lasted five innings, giving up five runs and six hits.KEUCHEL the Astros starter  is 7-12 against the money line in night games this season. (Team's Record) 

Meanwhile, Estrada despite of dealing with some back problems recently has looked good on the hill. In his last outing, he battled through his pain to allow just one run over six innings during a start vs. Baltimore.ESTRADA is 7-2 against the money line vs. AL teams scoring 4.9 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) 

Im betting on the Jays to be competitive here today and to cover on the runline.

Home underdogs against a 1.5 run line (TORONTO) - with a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start, with a cold starting pitcher- ERA  6.50 or worse over his last 10 starts is 37-13 on the RL last 21 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

The Astros are 0-15 straight up on the road off a home game in which they left 16-plus men on base and it is post All-Star break.

Play on the Toronto Blue Jays +1.5 runline 

Seattle has been down graded on my power rankings to lows not seen in years. Wow how the mighty have fallen. From a charts perspective Im betting the Cowboys have the edge , yes even here on the road , and most sharps I know agree with my assessments and you will see this via  line movement as well. 

DALLAS is 11-2 ATS  after outrushing opponent by 75 or more yards last game over the last 3 seasons. 

NFL Home teams vs. the money line (SEATTLE) - off 2 consecutive road losses, in the first month of the season are 18-44 SU L/35 seasons. 

NFL Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (SEATTLE) - off a road loss, in September games are 63-105 ATS L/35 seasons for a go against 63% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on the Dallas Cowboys to cover 

The Rams were dominant last week in a 34-0 win vs Arizona, and have won their first two games convincingly and enter this game against cross town rivals the San Diego Chargers with a full head of steam that will be hard to stop. Note: Teams like the Rams that allowed no more than six first downs last game like the Rams did are 45-16-2  ATS including 9-1 ATS L/10.Since moving to LA, the Rams are 5-1 SU and 4-2 ATS as favorites of more than 3 points under head coach Sean McVay and get the nod to add positive numbers into those columns here today.

Chargers are 3-7 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.Chargers are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.Chargers are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games in September.Chargers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.Chargers are 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 games in Week 3.

NFL Home favorites (LA RAMS) - in non-conference games, off a win by 10 points or more over a division rival are 27-7 ATS L/10 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the LA Rams to cover 

Miami has started  2-0 but I can't say its been very impressive. Meanwhile the Raiders despite of being 0-2 have played better in my opinion. They did not look put of place vs a powerful looking Rams team in week 1 and  than lost a heart breaker last week to Denver after blowing a 19-10 lead heading into the 4th quarter. This is a good spot for the Raiders to cover and be competitive vs a Fins team that are 2-9-1 ATS L/12 as a home favorite.

Raiders are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games in Week 3.Raiders are 4-1-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up loss.Raiders are 3-1-2 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.Raiders are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games in September.

Dolphins are 16-45-3 ATS in their last 64 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Dolphins are 1-4-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.Dolphins are 4-22 ATS in their last 26 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.Dolphins are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games in Week 3.

OAKLAND is 23-9 ATS L/32 in road games after a loss by 6 or less points.MIAMI is 6-20 ATS  off an upset win over a division rival as an underdog.

Road teams (OAKLAND) - off a loss against a division rival, in the first month of the season, after closing out last season with 3 or more straight losses are 39-15 ATS L/35 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Oakland Raiders to cover 

Let me start by saying that NFL away teams, coming off a tie in their previous game, are 0-13 SU  L/13 times. dating back to 1988. So history does not favour the Green Bay Packers here this week in Washington. With  Green Bays super star Aaron Rodgers knee banged up and less than 100% the Packers look like weak favs in this spot.  Rodgers was sacked 4 times last week, and Im not sold on his ability to play favouring his knee which will inhibit his mobility. Also the Packers a a whole, are in a emotional  letdown situation after controlling their last game for 3 quarters before falling apart and settling for a lucky OT tie. Look for Skins defensive coordinator Greg Manusky to be ready to pressure Rodgers this Sunday . Note: Redskins coach Jay Gruden believes the key to controlling Rodgers is to bring pressure.QUOTE"

"The most important thing is that you've got to make him uncomfortable in the pocket," Gruden said. "If you give him time to move around and buy time, and find a second, third option, or fifth or sixth option because he's scrambling around, he's going to dice you up.

"The team's that have had success, which aren't very many, they pressure him, and that's the key." END QUOTE:

NFL Favorites (GREEN BAY) - team with a poor scoring defense last season - allowed 24 or more points/game, after a playing a game where 50 total points or more were scored are 15-39 ATS in the followup dating back 35 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on Washington to cover 

Army controlled time of possession last week , in their usual methodical way, via their ground attack and delivered Hawaii their first defeat of the season,(27-21) dropping them to 3-1 . The bad news is Hawaii is 0-16-1 ATS L/17 at home coming off a game where they had less than 26 minutes time of possession. Im betting all the early season travelling and the intensity and physicality of that last tilt will have the Rainbow Warriors a little tired this week,  and less than motivated as they face a lower tier team.With that said, look for the margin of victory by the Warriors to be less than expected by the lines makers.

Note: Prior to this season, the Duquesnes last game against an FBS team was in 2014, when they were very competitive facing the  Buffalo  Bulls of the MAC losing 38-28.  Duquesne has converted 53.2% of its third-down opportunities, this season ranking fifth in the FCS in that category. Hawaii has allowed 50% conversion on  third downs , with only six other teams  in the nation more futile defensively stopping this key down.  

Play on Duquesne  to cover 

The Washington Huskies are getting a lot of love from the lines makers here and not giving a lot of respect to the Arizona State Sun Devils. But it must be noted that the Huskies  have failed to cover 16 of their L/21 as PAC 12 Double digit  home chalk . Meanwhile, Arizona State has covered 6 of their L/7 as DD dogs. Hey I know the Sun Devis lost to San Diego State last week , as favs, but I'll forgive that effort as they were in a letdown situation after the physical win they notched the week before against Michigan state. Meanwhile, Washington is getting a lot of accolades from the pundits, but Im betting the sledding for the Huskies won't be easy in this spot after their exhausting physical win vs Utah last week.

The Arizona State Sun Devils are 11-1 SU and 12-0 ATS in their the last twelve games against the Washington Huskies.

 WASHINGTON is 1-9 ATS  after allowing 275 or less total yards in 2 consecutive games .

CFB Home favorites (WASHINGTON) - after going under the total by 28 or more points total in their last three games, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 42-86 ATS L/10 seasons for a 67% go against conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on Arizona State to cover 

Eastern Michigan is highly under rated and staunch defensive team that can give San Diego State some issues here. I know the Aztecs  pulled off  the upset behind a backup  QB last time out vs Arizona State, but now in a huge letdown situation , I expect SDState could find them selves getting frustrated by  a very physical MAC team, with a never say die attitude that went into Purdue and upset them in their 2nd game of the season, allowing them just 19 points . It must be noted that  Eastern Michigan is 8-0 ATS the last eight vs non conference opposition and  are also 2-0 SUATS all-time against MWC opponents.  

E MICHIGAN is 8-0 ATS  when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) over the last 3 seasons.

CFB Underdogs of 10.5 to 21 points (E MICHIGAN) - in a game involving two good teams (60% to 80%), in non-conference games are 46-17 L/27 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Eastern Michigan to cover 

De Jong will make his third start of the season after giving up five runs (three earned) in his last start against the Royals and owns a 8.11 road ERA. The 24-year-old was recalled from Triple-A Rochester on Sept. 3. Im betting the welcome wagon won't be a friendly one here today as the As light him up and notch a win behind their starter Fiers (12-7, 3.38) a hurler who has done best work at home for the A's. He's gone 3-0 with a 3.21 ERA in five home starts since being acquired last month from Detroit.Fiers is 6-1 with a 2.91 ERA in 10 career head-to-heads, including nine starts, against the Twins.

FIERS is 9-0  against the money line vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season this season. (Team's Record) by a average of 3.1 rpg. MINNESOTA is 2-18  against the money line in road games vs. a team with a very good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.250 or better this season losing by an average of 2.9 rpg.

OAKLAND is 25-7  against the money line against AL Central opponents this season by an average of 2.2 rpg.

 Twins have not won a series at Oakland since 2011, and have gone just 4-17 at the Northern California site since the start of the 2012 season.

The Athletics have won 16 in a row as a moneyline favorite off a game as a favorite in which they struck out at least ten times and it is post All-Star break and not a series opener and 14 of those games on the runline. 

Play on the Oakland As to win on the runline 

Oklahoma State was bypassed by most of the pundits last week in their game vs Boise State. I however, knew better, and recommend we bet on Gundy and company instead and I was right in my assessments .Now the Cowboys are getting a little to much love vs a Texas Tech team that is explosive offensively and capable of hanging with Oklahoma State , which they proved in a big DDwin vs a well balanced Houston side last week by a 63-49 count. Also I expect the Cowboys of Stillwater to be in a letdown situation after that huge win that saw them playing with chip on their proverbial shoulders. Note: The Cowboys have failed to cover 4 of their L/5 as DD home chalk, while Texas Tech is 5-1 ATS  L6 as conference dogs of 10 points or more. 

Although Oklahoma State has a nine-game winning streak in the series, the matchup has produced some quality shootouts recently. The Cowboys just squeezed by Texas Tech 45-44 in Stillwater in 2016 and escaped Lubbock with a 41-34 victory a year ago.

Texas Tech is 12-0 ATS L/12 on the road coming off a home game where they scored at least 42 points.

 OKLAHOMA ST is 7-19 ATS L/26 vs. dominant ball control teams, 32+ minutes TOP, 21+ FD's per game.TEXAS TECH is 6-0 ATS  after a home game where both teams score 31 or more points over the last 3 seasons.

CFB road team (TEXAS TECH) - excellent offensive team (6.2 YPP or more ) against a team with an excellent defense (4.2 YPP or less ), after gaining 525 or more total yards in their previous game are 33-9 ATS L/10 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. 

Play on Texas Tech to cover 

Coastal Carolina is one of those teams I have circled to better the pundits expect, especially with HC  Joe Moglia on the sidelines. This coach is super intelligent and one of the best hidden secrets in the College game. They walloped their last two opponents UAB and Campbell by putting 47 and 58 points on the scoreboard and must not be underestimated vs a Ragin’ Cajuns side that is  ranked 107th on d in the nation and  from a betting perspective just  12-29-1 ATS mark at home in conference play, including 2-15-1 ATS when off a loss which is the case here as they are off a 56-10 loss to Miss State last week.

CFB Road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (COASTAL CAROLINA) - with a terrible defense - allowing 6.1 or more yards/play, after gaining 525 or more total yards in their previous game are 28-4 ATS L/5 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on Coastal Carolina to cover 

The 2-0 Wolfpack  had their game against ranked West Virginia at Raleigh. Cancelled last week because of Hurricane conditions.  Now they go on the road to face Doc Holliday’s Marshall , which is never easy task especially  for a rusty team that missed some practices . Note Marshall is defiant 7-1-1 ATS record in their last nine appearances as non-conference home dogs and their L/6 tries vs ACC competition have not failed too cover with a 5-1-1 ATS mark.  Huntington will be rocking today so when you come a knocking take the points with the Thundering Herd. 

MARSHALL is 7-0 ATS  as an underdog over the last 2 seasons. NC STATE is 7-20 L/27 ATS  as a road favorite of 7 points or less .

2-0 away teams in Game Three like NC State with a week off are just 14-28 ATS in non-conference games. Rested, undefeated non-conference home dogs  like Marshall are 11-1 ATS against opponents playing off an ATS win.

Play on Marshall to cover 

North Texas is off a huge win vs Arkansas last week, and the team as a whole after the wild celebration, and start to finish leave everything on the field type effort will now be in an emotional let down spot vs a Liberty team, that is famous for the amount of NFL players they have developed. It must be noted that North Texas are just  3-22 SU  off a SU win as a dog and a current run of 1-15 SU and 3-13 ATS away under the same perimeters. Meanwhile, Flames HC Turner Gill is a perfect  5-0 ATS in his career as a underdog against opposition off a SU/ATS victory  and cover of 20 or more points which the young men from Denton achieved vs Arkansas last week. With Gill having 2 weeks to prepare for this tilt, Im betting he will have this young talented group ready to compete here on their own home field. LIBERTY is a perfect  12-0 ATS  in non-conference games since 1992.

Play on Liberty to cover 

Kansas is on a two game win streak, and Baylor was exposed last week in a 40-27 loss to a banged Duke team limping with numerous injuries. The Jayhawks continue to be under rated and disrespected because of a dismal long term record, but after annihilating back to back opponents, it sure looks like their on their way back to being competitive.Kansas is 12-4 SUATS  L/16  in games following consecutive wins, while the Bad News Bears’ have failed to cover 14 of their L/19  as favs.  

BAYLOR is 7-20 ATS L/27 against teams who force 2.75 or more turnovers/game on the season.

CFB Road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (KANSAS) - after going over the total by more than 21 points in their previous game, in the first half of the season are 26-6 ATS L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Kansas to cover 

Im not going to argue about who the better team is here, its obvious Clemson is a national contender while , Georgia Tech is not. However, it must be noted that Tech   behind  a one way running game and ability to control time of possession, have the ability to stick close enough for a cover here vs a Dabo Swinney team that consistently seems to do just enough to get a victory especially on the road where they have failed to cover 14 of their L/15 as away chalk of 7 or more points. With a revenge game on board vs Syracuse up next Clemson might not be full focused here, giving us an edge with a underdog that has cashed 6 straight with conference revenge. ( Clemson beat Tech last season 24-10 at home) last season.

Play on GTech to cover 

Texas A&M is 6-0 ATS in Game Four of the season, and Jimbo Fisher is 10-2 SU versus SEC opponents, including 4-0 SUATS away. The Aggies played Clemson tough in their first game of the season covering while making Clemson work for the win. Now here on the road it will be a lot tougher, but thanks to Alabamas pounding of opponents to this point in the season the price tag attached to them is high and there is value taking the points here behind a very well coached team.  TEXAS A&M is 7-0 ATS after playing a game at home over the last 2 seasons. 

After consecutive  blowout wins against Northwestern State (59-7) and ULM (48-10), Texas A&M is fifth in the nation in total offense, averaging 596.3 yards per game. It's one of four offenses that rank in the top 25 in both rushing and passing (Houston, Ohio State and Oklahoma State ) nd have the ability to make this close.

CFB Road underdogs (TEXAS A&M) - in a game involving two dominant teams (outgaining opponents by 100+ YPG), after gaining 6.75 or more yards/play in their previous game. 42-14 ATS L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Texas A&M to cover 

Both these teams according to my power rankings have not performed up tot heir charts. Yes, I know Louisville has won 2 row, with the only excusable loss coming to Alabama,   and Indiana 3 in a row.  But those wins by both teams have come  vs teams they were expected to beat, and Virginia despite of beating Ohio of the Mac last week in convincing fashion , are still not performing at an optimal level. After analysing  head to head strengths and weaknesses , Im sticking to my preseason assessments, that would make the Cardinal the superior team even here in enemy territory. 

Louisville is 15-0 ATS L/15 on the road when they failed to cover by at least seven points last game.

CFB home team (VIRGINIA) - in the first month of the season, after closing out last season with 4 or more straight losses, with 5 offensive starters returning, in the first month of the season are 18-46 ATS L/27 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. 

Play on Louisville to cover 

The Rutgers Scarlet Knights are off back to back destructions vs Kansas Jayhawks and the Ohio State Buckeyes and have given up a combined 107 points in their last two games. The Buffalo Bulls of the MAC might not inspire many bettors, but this team is explosive offensively and dangerous and more than capable of stopping Rutgers cold, and also putting a DD beating on them, even here on the road. The Bulls have averaged 39.7 ppg this season, and can match that output today vs a very bad Rutgers D that is allowing 38 points and 430.7 yards per game.

 The Bulls are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games, 5-2 ATS vs. a team with a losing record and 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games overall. 

RUTGERS is 0-6 ATS  off a road blowout loss by 28 points or more over the last 3 seasons and  is 2-14 ATS L/16 in home games after allowing 525 or more total yards in their previous game . 

CFB Home underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (RUTGERS) - with a horrible scoring defense - allowing 35 or more points/game, after a playing a game where 60 total points or more were scored are 13-38 ATS L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on Buffalo to cover 

This is a trap game for Notre Dame, and Im confident they don't deserve their high ranking,

Some of the interesting factors that have me backing Wake here this week are  listed  below...

Wake Forest (2-1 SU, 0-3 ATS) has covered the spread in its last 11 straight games against ranked opponents. Notre Dame (3-0 SU, 1-2 ATS),  owns a tight 6.8 average margin of victory in its last 10 road ACC games dating back over the L/10 seasons.Wake Forest is 12-1 ATS with revenge L/2 seasons,( lost last Years meeting 48-37 on the road but covered) and go against what looks to me to be an over rated and still jelling Irish team that despite of being undefeated are just 1-2 ATS while losing the stats wars in 2 of 3  games this season .It must also be noted that the lucky catholic boys have not registered more than 400 yards in any of their three victories which all came  at home. Here on the road trouble could be brewing vs a Wake Forest side that can be explosive and competitive as was evident vs Boston College last time out. 

From a matchup persepctive  ( difference maker)  Wake Forest's rushing attack Im betting  will gouge  Notre Dame's wobbly defensive front. Wake Forest has gained 264 yards per game on the ground, while Notre Dame has allowed 107 rushing yards per game. 

***Notre Dame is the highest-ranked non-conference opponent to visit Wake Forest since the Demon Deacons pulled a September 1996 shocker by toppling No. 13 Northwestern. There was also a 1979 upset of No. 13 Auburn. Last season Wake Forestupset No.25 ranked NC State. 

NOTRE DAME is 1-8 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) over the last 3 seasons. 

CFB Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (WAKE FOREST) - after gaining 525 or more total yards/game over their last 2 games are 68-29 ATS L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on Wake Forest to cover 

 Cincinnati D, is ranked 2nd in the nation right now and their ground game is averaging 5 yards per carry.  I expect the Bearcats will pound away here and eat up clock time while their own D keeps Solichs offense off the field consistently which will mess with the Bobcats fluidity which in turn will see them frustrated.  Cincinnati continues to roll, on their way to their 4th straight win and cover.

Cincinnati is 21-2 L/23 vs MAC opponents SU. 

CFB home team vs. the money line (CINCINNATI) - after allowing 9 points or less in 2 straight games against opponent after allowing 37 points or more last game are 24-2 with the average margin of victory combing by 20.6 ppg.

Play on Cincinnati to cover 

Tulsa under HC Philip Montgomery has proven himself over rated, and he can't motivate his team to be consistent as was the case last week when they were upset at home by Arkansas State. The offence is not very efficient anymore and the defence, has proven insufficient more often then not. Against a hard working side like Temple that is off a big win vs Maryland last week, their in trouble. The Owls prevailed 43-22 in Tulsa to close the 2017 regular season and matchup well vs the visitors.

TEMPLE is 12-1 ATS vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 58% or worse over the last 3 seasons.

TEMPLE is 14-3 ATS against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.

TEMPLE is 8-0 ATS after allowing 125 or less passing yards in their last game over the last 3 seasons.

TEMPLE is 15-3 ATS after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread over the last 3 seasons. 

Play on Temple to cover 

The Jags enter this game jacked up and ready to get revenge vs the Pats for last seasons play off elimination loss. But it must be noted that the Pats are not easily intimidated as is evident by a long standing trend that has shown them to be good bets in this situation. Note:the Patriots are 8-0 ATS when the line is within 3.5points of pick and their opponent is seeking revenge for a  post season defeat . You have also remember that the Pats are the healthiest they have been in a long time and Gronkowski is said to be 100% which is a dangerous situation for all comers in the NFL. QB Tom Brady also looks like he's on a mission and off a stellar performance in week 1 vs the Texans. Not a good omen for a  Jacksonville side that is 0-14 ATS when hosting a non-divisional op-ponent that is getting more than 65% of their first downs through the air.

NEW ENGLAND is 16-4 ATS  after playing a game at home over the last 3 seasons. NEW ENGLAND is 8-0 ATS  as a road favorite of 7 points or less over the last 3 seasons.  England is 11-1 SU L/12 meetings in this series.

Play on New England to cover 

The Rams did not look completely cohesive last week in their win vs the Oakland Raiders. I  know they won by DDs, but their was still some issues especially early on in that tilt. This week against another side that is not considered very good, Im betting the Rams struggle again, to cover this big number even though they are at home. Arizona in their game vs Washington last week looked asleep at the wheel, mostly in the first half and allowed 30 first downs losing by a 24-6 count.That was the bad news, but the good news from a historical standpoint shows us that the  Cardinals are 13-0 ATS  L/13 as a underdog coming off a game where they allowed at least 22 first downs . Also the Cards D looked to get their footing in that loss last week, allowing just 3 points in the 2nd half which will give them stopping momentum coming into this tilt. Arizona has covered 6 straight as road opening underdogs. 

NFL Underdogs of 10.5 or more points (ARIZONA) - after a loss by 14 or more points against opponent after scoring 30 points or more last game are 24-5 ATS L/10 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. 

Play on the Arizona Cards to cover 

Tennessee was smashed  in a 57-14 blowout loss to DeSaun Watson and the Texans last season.Im betting the Titans will have had this game circled for a long time now and be out looking for revenge and very primed for payback. Titans QB Marcus Mariota suffered an elbow injury in the 27-20 loss to the Dolphins last week but appeared on track to start against Houston after practicing fully on Wednesday , and will be ready to lead his team. Pros don't like to be embarrassed and Im betting on the avenging home team getting what they want here and that is redemption. 

TENNESSEE is 11-3 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons. 

NFL Road teams vs. the money line (HOUSTON) - in the first month of the season, after closing out last season with 4 or more straight losses, team that had a terrible record last season (25% or less ) playing a team had a winning record last year are 2-30 L/25 seasons for a go against 94% conversion rate for bettors.

Take the points with the Tennessee Titans to cover 

The Green Bay Packers have double revenge on board for a pair of losses they suffered to Minnesota last season. With super star QB Aaron Rodgers upgraded to probable Sunday the Packers have a good chance to get some payback and redemption here today at Lam-beau Field. Note : Aaron Rodgers is  11-0 SU and 9-2 ATS at home during the first six games of the season.

NFL Home teams vs. the money line (GREEN BAY) - good passing team from last season - had a completion pct of 60% or better, after allowing 5.5 or less passing yards per attempt last game are 30-4 SU L/10 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on the Green Bay Packers to cover

Philly is off a Thursday night win vs Atlanta (18-12). Which is a good omen for their oppostion today today as defending champions are 24-6 straight up in tilts when  off a Thursday night contests, including 7-0 SU and 6-1 ATS the last seven overall. Meanwhile, the Bucks are off an explosive effort and win vs New Orleans in their first game by a 48-40 count  as underdogs behind the arm of veteran QB Fitzgerald. Unfortunately for Bugs supporters a repeat type performance Im betting are not in the cards as Fitzgerald has a history of a down performance after his team took a straight up win as pups going 1-10 SU/ATS in the follow up .TAMPA BAY is also  0-6 ATS  off 1 or more straight overs over the last 2 seasons losing by an average of 6.1 ppg. 

TAMPA BAY is 1-9 ATS  after a playing a game where 50 total points or more were scored over the last 3 seasons. TB 19.5 Opp 26.9 (- TD + Diff)

PHILADELPHIA is 7-0 ATS in games where the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons average margin of victory 10 ppg. 

Tampa Bay is 4-17 SU all-time against defending Super Bowl champions.

NFL team (TAMPA BAY) - off a win over a division rival as an underdog of 6 or more point are just 5-26 SU L/5 seasons in the followup . Team 26.5 Opp 16.9.

Play on the Philadelphia Eagles to cover 

Utah enters this game against Washington with revenge for a 33-30 loss last season, which flashes a go sign here on this bet , because of their proficiency in this role as is evident by a 5-1 ATS L/6 with conference revenge. The Utes won last time out but failed to cover, versus a though Northern Illinois side by a 17-6 count as 13 point road chalk. However it must also be noted that Utah HC Whittingham has cashed 13 of their L/14 off a ATS loss. Overall the Utes have recently also been a viable investment option when getting 5 or more points as a home underdog cashing 6 of their L/7 opportunities. Utahs Defence remains very solid, and here at home in a black out game where they have won 8. of their L/10 they look like live dogs that must be respected.

UTAH is 15-3 ATS after allowing 275 or less total yards in 2 consecutive games since 1992.

CFB Road favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (WASHINGTON) - off a home win by 17 points or more, good team from last season who won 60% to 80% of their games are 17-45 ATS  L/26 seasons for a go against  73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Utah Utes to cover 

Alot of sharp bettors got down on what appeared to be a value line with a home team that won 11 games last season (TCU). But on futher review and a comparison of both teams strengths and weaknesses , it becomes failry obvious that the linemakers are actually short on this line, and it should be closer to -16 with visiting Ohio State according to my power rankings. Historically speaking Ohio State has been a solid bet on the road coveing 10 straight as away chalk or -17 or less and are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 in their first road game of the season. The importance of this game is not essential to TCU Big 12 camapign this season, and with Texas on board next week, I'm betting the coaching staff have not been able to dedidcate as musch time as is needed to take on this type of explosive opponent. Note: TCU is 0-6 ATS L/6 before facing the Texas Longhorns and have only covered 1 of their L/5 head to heads with Big10 opposiiton. I know Urban Meyer is not on the sidelines but he still has his fingerprints all over this team, and is still pulling the strings. Bet on a conclusive Ohio State victory and cover.

Play on Ohio State to cover 

 Eastern Washington ranked 6th in FCS, recorded five sacks against Northern Arizona last week and are the type of defence that can cause problems for Washington State QB who  has weak completion numbers (66,7%) and a below average offensive stats for a guy playing in Mike Leach's air raid system. Washington State offensive line has looked solid , and QB Gardner Minshew has not been sacked once, but still hurries his throws and has been intercepted 3 times already. Today against this type of aggressive D, their could easily be problems. Eastern Washington will primed to compete against instate rivals Cougars today, and Im betting they will get us a cover behind a balanced team with a solid QB in Gage Gubrud who owns has 9 TDs no interceptions so far this season.

Play on Eastern Washington 

Ole Miss has looked horrendous on defence so far this season, and its obvious the talent level from the offensive side of the ball is far superior to that on the defensive side. Truth is Ole Miss has almost always won recruiting battles for WRs and top tier QBS, but have failed to land defensive 4 and 5 star recruits. But today I expect the D, to step up while the offence continues to do what they do best and that is  score. Yes, even against their behemoth opponent Alabama. 

Ta'amu the Rebels QB is working with one of the top receiving corps in the nation. It is led by A.J Brown, who tops the SEC in receptions per game (7.5) and is second in receiving yards per game (125.5), eighth nationally. This offence can hang points on the best teams in the nation, and thats what I'm betting  on here tonight, against a against an Alabama secondary with all new starters. 

 When Alabama travelled here  two years ago, it had to come  from behind  a 21-point deficit in the second quarter to pull off a wild a43-37 victory. In 2014-15, the Rebels pulled off back-to-back upsets of the Crimson Tide.

Ole Miss 9-3 ATS as a underdog of more than 17 points, and 8-3 ATS as a underdog with conference revenge.  

CFB Home underdogs of 14.5 or more points (OLE MISS) - after allowing 37 points or more last game against opponent after allowing 7 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games are 38-8 ATS L/10 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Ole Miss to cover 

Calgary after starting their season with 7 straight wins is just 2-2 in their L/4 games, and have failed to cover 3 of their L/4 overall. Both SU losses came on the road where they play today. Meanwhile, Hamilton after a slow start to their campaign are humming along right now having won 3 straight and 4 of their L/5 SU/ATS and get the nod today in their current form vs a side that could be in an emotional down situation after a high energy meeting and  48-42 loss  vs provincial rival Edmonton last time out. 

HAMILTON is 10-1 ATS struggling  passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 64% or worse - after 9 or more games over the last 2 seasons. 

HAMILTON is 7-0 ATS after gaining 8.1 or more yards/play in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.

CFL teams where the line is +3 to -3 (CALGARY) - after going over the total by 49 or more points total in their last five games are 10-33 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors. 

CFL team vs the money line (CALGARY) - with an excellent offense - averaging 7.25 or more yards/play, after allowing 7.6 or more yards/play in their previous game are 6-22 L/5 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors. 

CFL team vs the money line (CALGARY) - after failing to cover the spread in 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games against opponent after covering the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games are 5-29 L/5 seasons for a go against 85% conversion rate for bettors. 

Hamilton to cover 

Both these teams are off convincing wins last time out, and both are now 2-0. Both have explosive offences and top tier QBs leading the way. The difference maker will be home field advantage . With that said, Oklahoma State gets the nod in what the lines makers estimate  will be a closely contested affair. 

OKLAHOMA ST is 90-62 ATS as a favorite since 1992.

BOISE ST is 0-6 ATS  after allowing 125 or less passing yards in their last game over the last few seasons.HC Harsin is 0-7 ATS  after gaining 375 or more passing yards in last game as the coach, of Boise State. 

OKLAHOMA ST is 30-12 ATS after scoring 50 points or more last game.

CFB home team (OKLAHOMA ST) - after 2 straight wins by 21 or more points against opponent after scoring 42 points or more in 2 straight games are 30-8 ATS L/26 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. 

Play on Oklahoma State 

UAB is off a loss to under rated Coastal Carolina last week by a 47-24 count . But they have proven to be a good bounce back side and are 19-4 ATS as home pups when coming off a loss. Tulane has looked good this season on offence behind top QB Johnathon Banks, but their defence is atrocious having allowed 953 yards in their first two games and are ranked 111th in the nation on defence and are less than viable road favs in their first game away from home this season.

TULANE is 8-23 ATS L/30 in road games after 2 or more consecutive wins against the spread.

CFB Home underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (UAB) - team that had a winning record last season, in non-conference games are 70-30 ATS L/27 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. 

Play on UAB to cover 

Hawaii has impressed me by starting their season at 3-0, behind an explosive and balanced offence. While Im not totally sold on them ,because of their  far inconsistent defence I do like them to cover vs Army this week despite of being on the road. I know Armys option offence is hard to stop, but the Warriors can use the blue print that was successful in Game 1 as they had success outpointing another option based offence owned by Colorado State . This Warriors team can burn you and so many ways one Im betting it will that attack that allows them help us cash a ticket this Saturday. 

Monken is 0-6 ATS in home games after playing a game at home as the coach of Army. 

CFB Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (HAWAII) - after scoring 42 points or more in 2 straight games are 37-11 ATS L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors.

CFB Road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (HAWAII) - with a terrible defense - allowing 6.1 or more yards/play, after gaining 475 or more total yards in their previous game are 34-9 ATS L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors.

CFB road team vs. the money line (HAWAII) - excellent offensive team (6.2 or more  YPP) against a team with a terrible defense ( 6.2 YPP or more ), after gaining 6.75 or more yards/play in 2 consecutive games are 40-4 SU L/27 seasons for a 91% conversion rate for bettors on the blind which give credence to us taking the points here this week. 

Play on Hawaii to cover 

We have a significant power ranking increase registered for Kansas after going into Central Michigan and hammering them by a 32-7 count. Call me crazy but this team might actually be competitive going forward after a long embarrassing drought. I'm betting Kansas can make Rutgers one-dimensional by stopping the run,  as QB Sitkowski is currently questionable with an arm injury  I know some might call me continue to call me a lunatic for laying points with Kansas but  unbelievably to some they are  capable of garnering a win vs a Rutgers side that could be emotionally let down after being humiliated 52-3 last week by Ohio State.

CFB road team vs. the money line (RUTGERS) - average defensive team (330 to 390 YPG) against a good defensive team (280 to 330 YPG), after gaining 3.25 or less yards/play in their previous game are just 2-36 SU in their next game L/27 seasons for a go against 95% conversion rate for bettors. The average margin of victory was 17.6 ppg)

Play on Kansas to cover 

  Toledo, 20-7 SU in two seasons under HC Jason Candle and must be respected as  a viable football program especially when playing here in the Glass Bowl. Meanwhile, Miami their opponents despite of pasting Savannah State last time out 77-0 showed some weakness in game 1 of their schedule vs LSU losing in DD fashion. Not all is perfect with Mark Richts football program and despite of good recruiting classes this steam just can't seem to get over the hump especially on the road. It must be noted Toledo is 5-1 ATS L/6 at home when they own a winning record which they have including last weeks 66-3 win vs VMI. Note: TOLEDO is 27-8 ATS after a win by 28 or more points since 1992.TOLEDO is 7-0 ATS after outgaining opp by 225 or more total yards in their previous game over the last 3 seasons.TOLEDO is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) in home games after gaining 7.25 or more yards/play in their previous game since 1992.

 Toledo is 8-0 ATS  L/8 covering my more than 8.5 ppg at home coming off a game where they allowed less than 200 passing yards  

Home teams coming off a win by more than 35 points are 748-600-32 ATS for a quality long term winning   bet. 

CFB Home underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (TOLEDO) - excellent passing team from last season - had a completion pct of 62% or better, in non-conference games are 31-7 ATS L/26 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on Toledo to cover 

Boston College has come a long way over the last few seasons. However, I was  still surprised to see them build into a  market  road favorite against a under valued Wake Forest team that has the ability to blast away offensively with the best of teams, including Boston College even without the suspended QB Kendal Hinton in the lineup. I expect the Demon Deacons to stretch the field  vs BC via the run game , and than use that option behind a good looking freshman QB Sam Hartman to open up down field against a  suspect secondary that is the weakest part of the defence as was the case vs Umass in week 1.  Look for star WR Greg Dorch to so some damage here today and for Wake Forest to keep this game close enough to possibly pull off the upset.

WAKE FOREST is 11-2 ATS  as an underdog over the last 3 seasons. BOSTON COLLEGE is 7-18 ATS off 2 consecutive home wins since 1992. 

CFB Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (WAKE FOREST) - in a game involving two dominant teams (outgaining opponents by 100+ YPG), after gaining 475 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games are 28-5 ATS L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

CFB Home underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (WAKE FOREST) - excellent passing team from last season - had a completion pct of 62% or better are 37-12 ATS L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors.

CFB Road favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (BOSTON COLLEGE) - in a game involving two dominant teams (outgaining opponents by 100+ YPG), after gaining 6.25 or more yards/play in their previous games are 22-54 ATS L/5 seasons for a  go against 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Wake Forest to cover 

The smell of desperation is in the air. Washington down 2-0 must win here tonight or be eliminated by Seattle. Their star Delle Donne has been hampered by a knee injury, but the Mystics have tried to makeup for her  sudden offensive inadequacies by playing a physical brand of basketball that had them take the Storm down to the wire in game 2. Now with their season on the line and backs up against the wall, Im betting they claw to a victory here vs a Seattle side that has lost 3 of their L/4 road games SU.

Washington has won and covered 3 of the L/4 meetings here in DC. 

WNBA Favorites (WASHINGTON) - revenging 2 straight losses where opponent scored 75 or more points, with a winning record on the season are 36-10 ATS L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Washington Mystics to cover 

The Packers have owned the  Bears over the last couple of seasons.  With the Vikings on board next week , for the Cheese Heads a look ahead situation vs a top tier  Minnesota Vikings team could mess with the coaching staff and players being fully prepared for this tilt. The Bears talent level is increasing and their ability to even pull off a straight up victory here on the road should not be underestimated . Look for a Bears defence that was already solid in the past to be even tougher now with Khalil Mack in the fold, and for the usually conservative offence under the tutelage of new HC and former KC offensive coordinator Matt Nagy to  be  much more cohesive behind the arm of the talented QB Mitch Trubisky.

NFL Home favorites (GREEN BAY) - team that had a losing record last season, in conference games are 87-141 L/34 seasons for a go against 62% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on the Chicago Bears to cover 

The Chargers started slow last season, losing their first 4 games  and despite of wanting to get off to a better start this season will be hard pressed to do so, vs a under rated KC Chiefs team that is well coached and capable of making life difficult for them. From a historical perspective the Chiefs have covered 5 straight here in Southern California , and from a league wide trends data base it must be noted that NFL Favorites (LA CHARGERS) - first 2 weeks of the year, non-playoff team from prior season who won their last 2 games are 4-23 ATSL/10 seasons for a go against 85% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Add to that Andy Reid is 5-1 ATS in the first month of the reg season in his L/6 divisional classes and we have a live dog to back here.

KANSAS CITY is 10-2 ATS  versus division opponents over the last 3 seasons.

KC to cover 

Minnesota is off an amazing season, going 13-3 SU and now once again look like one of the deepest teams in the conference. But it must be noted that teams in week 1 with 4 or fewer losses (including playoffs)last season are 35-48-2 ATS and far from sure bets coming into the following campaign. Also teams in week one at home who won 7 or 8 games (including playoffs) last season are just 30-41-1 ATS  L/72. Add to that Minnesota will have a new QB in Cousins who is 0-3 SU/ATS in home openers at the helm of the offence and it may take time to find his groove, behind a offensive line with some weaknesses Note: Nick Easton, the starting left guard and backup center, is out for the season after undergoing surgery to repair a bulging disk in his neck.  This is also a  pivot that has shown a lot of inconsistencies in the past .Meanwhile, San Francisco finished last season winning their L/5 games, and must not be underestimated on the road where they have played their best football of late as is evident by a 7-2 ATS mark in their L/9 away. Note: 49ers QB Jimmy Garappolo (7-0 SU and 6-1 ATS as a starter). 

49ers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games in week 1.

Vikings are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. NFC.

Play on the SF 49ers to cover 

This is a weak road favorite we are seeing here with Tennessee. Despite of being in the post season last year, the Titans were lucky to be there after being out stated and out scored overall by a total of 38 points on the season. It must be noted that Tennessee has not fared well  in the past against AFC opposition  failing to cash in 7 of their L/8 ATS . Meanwhile Miami is 4-1 SU and a perfect  5-0 ATS L/5 in season openers . Tennessee was 0-4 in the preseason  which is not a good omen for a sudden turnaround today vs a desperate Miami team with a veteran QB at the helm in Tannehill. 

TENNESSEE is 112-146 ATS  against conference opponents since 1992.

Home teams in week one in games with a total of  46 or more are 48- 35-2 ATS.

Teams in week 1 which lost 10 or more games last season against a team that did not lose more than 9 games are 106-67-2 ATS L/175 . 

Play on the Miami Dolphins to cover 

Rice played a solid game vs a  balanced Houston team on the road last week, and were competitive for almost 3 quarters before falling apart late for a 45-27 loss covering as 25 point dogs. The game was a lot closer than the final score might indicate , as Rice showed some explosive offensive schemes in that back and forth battle. Meanwhile, their opposition this week Hawaii has played some impressive offensive football in their first two weeks of the season vs Navy last week at home and Colorado State in their road opener putting up, 59 and 43 points in victories. The Warriors Achilles heel as has been the case in  recent past campaigns remains their defence, as they allowed an average of 37.5 ppg in those two above mentioned tilts. Tonight in what could be an emotional letdown spot for the Warriors  against a Rice squad that can put points up on the board in a hurry, Im betting their in trouble and a win if they can get it, will not  come without some blood , sweat and tears.

Hawaii is 0-6 ATS L/6 after accumulating 450 or more yards of offence in two straight games. 

Rice is a perfect 7-0 ATS in their L/7 visits to Paradise Island. 

CFB  road team vs. the money line (RICE) - a good offensive team (28-34 PPG) against a horrible defensive team allowing 34 ppg or more, after scoring 20 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games 36-4 SU L/27 seasons.

Play on Rice to cover 

The Sun Devils looked great last week in a win vs Texas San Antonio. Herm Edwards the new HC of the Devils has not lost his touch since an extended departure from the College football scene. It must be noted that Arizona State have covered 4 straight  as home undedogs of 7 or more points, and have won 10 straight at home all-time versus the Big Ten.  Meanwhile, we know that the  Spartans under HC DAtonio are slow starters and just got by Utah state last week and are just 0-6 ATS their last six versus the Pac-12 and far from solid road favs here in this spot. 

ARIZONA ST is 10-2 ATS in home games when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.

CFB Road favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (MICHIGAN ST) - off a home win, in the first month of the season, after closing out last season strong with 3 or more straight wins are 8-30 ATS L/26 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. 

CFB Home underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (ARIZONA ST) - excellent passing team from last season - had a completion pct of 62% or better, in non-conference game are 30-7 ATS L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Arizona State to cover 

Penn State was involved in a hard fought game vs Appalachian State last time out and needed a late score to cover. That game could still be effecting them and a emotional letdown scenario is not out of the question vs a another gritty program. Last season in Happy Valley Pittsburgh actually out gained the Lions despite of losing on the scoreboard and are 5-0-1 ATSL/6 in this series. You can bet HC Narduzzi and company behind what should be a solid run game to be primed on pulling of the upset vs their instate rivals and be sky high here emotionally today. It must be noted that Penn State has covered just once in their L/10 as -14 or less road chalk. The Panthers are also 11-0-1 ATS L/12 as home dogs of 8 or more points and get my support again as home pups. 

CFB Road favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (PENN ST) - in the first month of the season, after closing out last season strong with 4 or more straight wins, team that had a winning record last season are 10-33 ATS L/26 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

CFB Road favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (PENN ST) - off a home win, in the first month of the season, after closing out last season strong with 3 or more straight wins are 8-30 ATS L/510seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Pittsburgh to cover 

Play on Pittsburgh to cover 

Its always a big game for  CFL home teams when Calgary comes to town, and you can bet the Eskimos and their fans will be tuned up to pull off the upset. Edmonton is just 6-5 on the season, and have lost 3 of their L/4 with all the losses closely contested. The Eskies are however,  undefeated at home this season, and actually matchup well vs this visiting power house , according to my rankings and have the ability to hand the Stampeders just their 2nd loss of the season. Take the points. 

EDMONTON is 9-2 ATS as an underdog over the last 2 seasons. 

CFL Home underdogs or pick (EDMONTON) - off a road loss, in September games are 61-27. ATS L/22 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on the Edmonton Eskimos to cover 

Needless to say this is a huge game for Jimbo Fisher and Texas A&M. Meanwhile, Clemson   will not be a hyped up in this non conference affair. I believe in Fisher as a DD home dog, and feel his team has what it takes to cover vs this National championship contender.

HC of Texas A&M is 45-8 SU all-time in home games in his career including 22-1 SU in games in which his teams are undefeated meanwhile, Clemson is 0-14-1 ATS failing to cover by more than 10 ppg since the 2000 campaign as a road favorite coming off a home game where they failed to cover by at least six points which was the case on a -51 line vs Furman last week.

Play on the Texas A&M Aggies 

The LA Monroe Warhawks have 17 returning starters in the fold, and must not be underestimated here this week vs their hosts Southern Miss  side with just 9 returning starters. Both own wins vs lower tier teams in their season debuts, and  both look capable enough to put points on the board in what should be a  hard fought back and forth affair that could easily be decided by a late scoring drive. 

LA MONROE is 20-8 ATS  as a road underdog of 7 points or less since 1992.LA MONROE is 20-6 ATS L/26 in road games after outgaining opp by 125 or more total yards in their previous game. SOUTHERN MISS is 3-14 ATS in home games after outgaining opp by 225 or more total yards in their previous game.

CFB team (LA MONROE) - in the first month of the season, after closing out last season with 3 or more straight losses, returning 8+ off. starters and QB against opponent returning 5 or less def. starters - weeks 1-2 are 26-4 ATS L/5 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on LA Monroe to cover 

 Saskatchewan has won three straight games, while Winnipeg has lost 3 straight. In my humble opinion and based on both sides recent performances this game should be closer to a pickem, thus giving us value the Green Riders on this tainted line. Saskatchewan has covered 4 of the L/6 meetings in this series and get my support here in this spot. 

SASKATCHEWAN is 11-3 ATS in weeks 10 through 15 over the last 3 seasons.SASKATCHEWAN is 11-2 ATS off in 2 straight division games over the last 3 seasons.SASKATCHEWAN is 16-6 ATS off 2 straight wins against division rivals since 1996. 

CFL Underdogs or pick (SASKATCHEWAN) - in a game involving two average defensive teams (23-28 PPG) after 9 or more games are 132-73 ATS L/22 seasons for a long term 65% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on the Saskatchewan Roughriders to cover 

We all know how good a program and team Georgia football will field here today, but this is a long time rivalry that is emotional, and I expect a full house here today to back the Gamecocks. Like last season, we can expect a physical game , that I'm betting actually favours South Carolina to cover. Georgia won last years battle 24-10 on their own home turf, but now with the border war changing venues we will take the points. Note: Georgia has failed to cover 5 straight in road openers if they are DD chalk kickoff. South Carolina is 8-3 ATS in this series, and 5-1-1 ATS with conference revenge.

Play on South Carolina to cover 

Arkansas State is a program that has been highly competitive recently  and off a win in game 1 of their season and Im betting they can stay within the number here this week, vs a No.1 ranked Alabama team that will be focused on staying healthy before their SEC opener next week vs Ole Miss. Nick Saban is 0-5 ATS in his career with Alabama as a non-conference favorite of more than 28 points before his SEC opener when facing an opponent coming off a victory and  is also just 1-11 ATS as non conference home chalk of 28 points or more and . It must also be pointed out that the Arkansas State Red Wolves  have lost just 1 game of their last 159 games by more than 37 points.

 CFB Underdog  of 31.5 or more points (ARKANSAS ST) - after outgaining opp by 175 or more total yards in their previous game are 32-7 ATS L/25 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. 

Arkansas State to cover 

This one is a revenge situation that sets up from last season where Duke mercilessly smashed Northwestern, 41- 17, as a 2-point home underdog. Revenge is one very powerful motivational factor as stated in many data bases including the bible. Quote" “Vengeance is mine; I will repay. End Quote: That will be the Northwestern moto this week. 
Look for the Cats at home in Ryan Field today to make it 10-2 SU in their L/12 home openers.

NORTHWESTERN is 10-2 ATS off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.

CFB home team vs. the money line (NORTHWESTERN) - in non-conference games, off a close win by 7 points or less over a conference rival are 46-9 L/10 seasons for a 84% SU conversion rate. ( NW beat Purdue last week 31-27.)

Play on Northwestern to cover

WNBA Finals - Best of 5 - Game 1

According to my power rankings the Seattle Storm are the superior team, and a -5 point home line is 2 points short of where it should be according to my numbers based on home court advantage and a eastern team travelling west. Also Washingtons Delle Donne is less than 100% as he suffers through a knee injury.n the first two games of the playoffs, she averaged 29.5 points and 13.5 rebounds on 48.5 percent shooting. In two games after returning from the injury, she put up 14.5 points and 10.5 boards, while shooting just 39.2 percent. Without her Im betting they can't keep up offensively. Also a lot of emotion went into their dramatic game 5 win vs the Dream, and now a huge letdown is to be expected, even more so than the Storm could experience.

WASHINGTON is 4-13 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons. 

SEATTLE is 8-1 ATS  versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game this season.

WASHINGTON is 0-7 ATS  in road games off a road win against a division rival over the last 2 seasons.

WASHINGTON is 3-19 ATS  after 3 straight games with 45 or more rebounds since 1997. 

WNBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (SEATTLE) - after allowing 45 points or more in the first half last game against opponent after scoring 80 points or more are 32-12 ATS L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Seattle Storm to cover 

The fresher bullpen today Im betting will be a big difference maker in this tilt between Miami and visiting Philadelphia. 

Philadelphia's relievers have pitched 8 innings in the last 3 games.Miami's relievers have pitched 15.2 innings in the last 3 games.

The Marlins have lost 19 straight in franchise history as a 150-plus underdog when they off a game as a underdog in which Starlin Castro had multiple hits. losing by an average of more than 5 rpg. .The Phillies have won 8 straight in  franchise history as a favorite with Nick Pivetta when he averaged more than four pitches per batter in his last start. The Phillies have won these eight tilts by an average  5.5 rpg. 

Phillies are 4-0 in Pivettas last 4 starts vs. Marlins

Miami is 4-11 ATS in its last 15 games when playing at home against Philadelphia and 1-5 ATS L/6 overall. 

Play on the Phillies on the runline -1.5

This is the annual Labor Day classic between two long time rivals, and a upset is not out of the question, as is a cover for the underdog.

TORONTO is 13-3 ATS L/16 in road games vs. excellent ball control teams, 32 or more possession minutes/game.

CFL Underdogs or pick (TORONTO) - off an upset loss to a division rival as a favorite, with a losing record are 46-17 ATS L/22 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. 

CFL team vs the money line (HAMILTON) - with an excellent offense - averaging 7.25 or more yards/play, after allowing 7.6 or more yards/play in their previous game are 5-21 SU L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Toronto Argos to cover 

Plutko the Tribes starter will take the mound for the first of three games against the Royals at Progressive Field. Last time out, he allowed two runs, five hits and struck out five in 5 1/3 innings against the Twins.Junis'  KCs starter last start against Cleveland was a 9-3 loss on July 2. He pitched 5 1/3 innings, allowing nine runs (eight earned). In two starts against the Indians this year, Junis is 0-2 with a 9.82 ERA. In four career appearances (three starts) vs. Cleveland, he is 0-2 with an 8.05 ERA he is a candidate to take part in a one sided loss vs the Indians again today.

KC is 12-50 SU vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better this season with the combined average loss coming by 2.2 rpg.CLEVELAND is 34-8 SU  in home games vs. poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average win coming by 2.9 rpg.KANSAS CITY is 4-25 SU in road games vs. AL teams allowing 4.4 or less runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons with the losses coming by an average of 2.2 rpg.

The Indians have won 20 straight as a home 130-plus favorite off a home game when they lost by one run in their starter's last start and it is post All-Star break. Cleveland has outscored their opposition by an average of 4.75 runs per game.The Indians have also  won 8 straight in the first game of a home series when they are off a home series and they are facing a team that is seeking same season revenge. Cleveland has won these eight tilts by an average of more than  7 runs per game.

MLB underdogs with a money line of +150 or more (KANSAS CITY) - hot hitting team - batting .305 or better over their last 5 games, with a rested bullpen - threw 5 innings or less over last 3 games are 13-64 L/5 seasons. Teams 6.4 Opponent 3.5.

Play on the Cleveland Indians on the runline -1.5 

Play on the Miami Canes to cover ,

Hawaii might of taken advantage of rebuilding Colorado State program for a win on the road last week 43-34, but now on tired legs after back and forth trips from Paradise Island to the mainland and than back to Paradise Island  again, the Warriors will now have to contend with a solid Navy football program that will not be over looking them because of the irrationally exuberant headlines Hawaiis football program has been featured in all week. The Midshipan will be especially primed to capture a conclusive victory here after losing 6 of their L/7 games last season.Mind you two of those losses were to UCF and Notre Dame where they did not look out of place.The Midshipman did show their metal with a 49-7 win vs Virginia in their Bowl game, and are still steaming and ready to roll here's  vs  this Saturday night in the final game of the day. Im betting this will  one of  Niumatalolo’s most explosive teams yet and that the Warriors despite of vast coaching and tempo changes on offence are not ready to compete  with this kind of opponent just yet. 

HAWAII is 0-7 ATS  after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.HAWAII is 0-6 ATS  after allowing 475 or more total yards in their previous game over the last 2 seasons

CFB Favorites of 10.5 to 21 points (NAVY) - excellent rushing team from last season - averaged 5.25 or more rushing yards/carry, with an experienced QB returning as starter are 45-15 ATS L/26 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on Navy to cover 

The Ponies  make their debut under new head coach Sonny Dykes this Saturday at North Texas. These teams are pretty evenly matched, but Im betting SMU has made more efficient upgrades especially on D in the off season behind former Northern Illinois defensive coordinator Kevin Kane and the offence under take no prisoners style of play implemented by   Dykes leadership will see the Mustangs continue to roll. I feel strongly that SMU has a outright chance at victory, partly because I feel North Texas will have problems plugging the run via 3-3-5 defensive scheme and ha a tendency of giving up huge plays.

NORTH TEXAS is 8-20 ATS L/28 when the total is greater than or equal to 63 .

The Mustangs have beaten UNT three consecutive times overall and lead the all-time series 31-5-1.

Play on SMU to cover 

  Chip Kelly  the former Oregon HC  Is now back in the  Pac-12 . His OU team was dominating, but I'm betting his task here at UCLA will be a daunting  one this season, especially on defense where this Bruins football program looked atrocious last season especially vs the run, ranking last among power 5 teams .   Kelley from a wagering perspective  was not a particularly good bet outside of his conference in his tenure with the Ducks, going just  6-7 ATS, including 1-3 ATS in season opening battles . On the flipside Bearcats HC Luke Fickell has put together a truly talented and under rated  group here behind some very good recruiting classes and I'm betting this Cincinnati Bearcats teams is  being seriously underestimated , while Chip and his ultra talented but still  less than cohesive group are over rated at this point in the season.

UCLA is 1-8 ATS in September games over the last 3 seasons. 

CFB home team vs. the money line (UCLA) - poor rushing defense from last season - allowed 4.75 or more rushing yards/carry, with 5 offensive starters returning are just 9-22 SU L/5 seasons, with the average point differential clicking in at 5.9 ppg. 

Play on Cincinnati to cover 

  Two seasons ago,  Troy closed as 35-point underdogs at Clemson and covered with extraordinary ease in a hard fought  30-24 loss. Last year, they fearlessly went into Death Valley and  upset LSU, 24- 21, as 20.5-point pups Now with revenge on board for a a season opening 24-13 home loss to the Broncos in 2017 I expect they will be primed to be competitive again . I know BSU was  ranked No. 22 in the preseason AP poll and returning senior QB Brett Rypien, is a stud QB.   But it must be noted that Troy  are no pushovers , and are  9-0 ATS record  as underdog of  9 or more points at Veterans Memorial Stadium and this will be their first home dog situation since the 20015 season..  It would also be important to point out that Bryan Harsin’s Broncos   have covered only 1 of their L/5  ATS in season openers the last five years, and 4-10 ATS as double-digit chalk versus an opponent that won 10 or more games the previous season. Troy is a team that won 25 of their 31 overall and must be respected here as home dogs. Yes even a against this powerful Boise group. 

CFB Home underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (TROY) - excellent passing team from last season - had a completion pct of 62% or better, in non-conference game are 30-6 ATS L/26 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. 

CFB Home underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (TROY) - good passing team from last season - had a completion pct of 58% or better, in non-conference games are 42-15 ATS L/10 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Troy to cover 

The Hawkeyes should not be favoured by this much. The opening line was bad, and has been bet down, and I'm betting taking 10 points with Northern Illinois also offers value.    Iowa has lost a lot form last years team. and have been far from good bets in the past in non conference openers going just  3-11 ATS at  home when they are less  16 point chalk .Meanwhile, NIU is 30-10 SU and 27-11-2 ATS in its last forty road games and are  14-4 ATS as double-digit non-conference road dogs  the last 18 seasons. including  11- 1 ATS in their L/12 Big 12 battles  . HC Ferentiz  and company also  own a ugly 1-5 ATS record in its last six games against MAC opponents and are 0-3 ATS in season openers. The last time these teams opened against each other in  2012-13  the two tilts were decided by a total of  just 4 points and Im betting another very close game here behind a very improved Northern Illinois defence. 

N ILLINOIS is 13-4 ATS L/17 as a road underdog of 7.5 to 14 points.

CFB road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (N ILLINOIS) - in the first month of the season, after closing out last season with 2 or more straight losses, team that had a winning record last season are 42-13 ATS L/26 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on Northern Illinois to cover 

This is a pure and simple situation that will see Texas focused on getting some payback for last seasons humiliating loss at home to this same Maryland program. Its not usually my thing to lay almost two touchdowns on the road between power 5 teams, but this one stands out as being exceptional situation and worth laying the lumber. Texas will primed on taking a merciless stance here today on their way to a one sided beatdown of mammoth proportions. Note: Suspended HC DJ Durkins has had a lot of issues that have effected this Terps group mentality, and I expect we see that here today. I don't think interim HC and OC Matt Canada will have this team ready to compete at the level it needs to not to be embarrassed today.

 Maryland football program  failed to cover 34 of  their L/36 straight up non-conference home or neutral field losses, including  23 straight ATS losses under these perimeters. 

Texas head coach Herman is 9-3 SUATS  when seeking revenge, including  10-1 ATS in non-conference games, and a perfect  5-0 ATS as a visitor. 

Play on Texas to cover 

After a few of ugly seasons, since going FBS football, Texas State has finally tapped into a deep Texas talent pool and had a couple of very good recruiting classes  with 17 3star recruits in the lineup , which has them flying in under the radar in this opener vs Rutgers side that averaged just 18 PPG (120th), 115.58 PYPG (124th) and 147.08 RYPG (86th) on offence .With an inexperienced TD at the helm of offence in QB Sitkowski I'm betting things will  not get much better for the Scarlet Knights even with their new OC McNutty making calls. 

Note:Less than two weeks before the start of the year, the Scarlet Knights saw eight players - all from the defensive side of the ball - charged for their alleged involvement in a credit-card fraud scheme. These kids set a tone in the lockeroom that won't be easy erased when the on field group takes to the field today.

Rutgers is 3-8 ATS L/11 as a DD fav, and in no way to they inspire me, especially vs a Texas State Defence that has shown vast improvement over the last few seasons.

Play on Texas State to cover 

South Carolina goes against instate opponent Coastal Carolina here today in what must be looked at as a tuneup game for the Gamecocks and super bowl type game for Coastal Carolina. 

The talent discrepancies are large, but the motivational factors are also big, and Im betting HC Joe Moglia and company can compete here and cover the number vs a Gamecocks side that has some new faces on D, especially in the secondary. Carolina also have a tendency to play conservatively on offense and will see OC Mclendon coach only the 2nd game of his career. Also with a huge tilt vs Georgia on board for next week, Im betting South Carolina will not showcase their full playbook, and leave little for the Bulldogs coaches to dissect. 

I know this is Coastal Carolinas only 2nd season in FCS, butJo Mogila is 51-15 SU in five years on the sideline and is an astute student of the game, and spent last season analyzing what this team needed to compete. I respect this HC a lot and feel he can keep his team close enough to cover. 

The Gamecocks are just 3-9 ATS L/12 at home as DD chalk. 

CFB road team (COASTAL CAROLINA) - poor defense from last season - allowed 400 or more total yards/game, with 5 defensive starters returning, in the first two weeks of the season are 59-25 ATS L/26 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. 

Play on Coastal Carolina to cover

WNBA Playoffs - Semifinals - Best of 5 - Game 3 - SEA leads 2-0

These teams played hard fought closely contested affairs back in Seattle in game 1 and game 2 and the Mercury could still not find a way to win , and Im betting on nothing changing , the superior team Seattle gets the cheese again on the road where they have won 13 of their 17 games this season.


SEATTLE is 8-0 ATS in road games after allowing 80 points or more this season.PHOENIX is 2-8 ATS in home games after allowing 80 points or more this season. (Seattle won 91-87 in OT last time out )

SEATTLE is 8-1 ATS in road games vs. excellent 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons.

WNBA team vs the money line (SEATTLE) - a very good team (+7 PPG or more differential) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG differential), after scoring 80 points or more in 3 straight games are 41-9 L/21 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. 

WNBA Road teams vs. the money line (SEATTLE) - hot team - having won 20 or more of their last 25 games, playing with 2 days rest are 23-4 SU L/21 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on the Seattle Storm to cove

San Diego State Rbs Rashaad Penny(2248 ry) and Juwan Washington (759 ry) will be primed to run wild this week, vs a Stanford D, that no longer looks as formidable as it once did. Last season Stanford performed well below expectations defensively and permitted a whopping 35 ppg in their final two games of the season, and now with Justin Reid and DT Harrison Phillips gone to the NFL via the draft, things don't likely look to get much better. San Diego State plays the type of ball that can keep them in this tilt till the end , and get us the cover.

STANFORDs last 6 games as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points over the last 3 seasons have seen a average margin of victory coming by 13.3 ppg, which gives us value with the underdog based on line divergence.

CFB team (STANFORD) - in the first week of the season, after closing out last season with 3 or more straight spread covers, team that had a good record last season (60% to 80%) playing a team that had a winning record are just 7-30 ATS L/26 seasons for a  go against 81% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on SD State to cover 

HOMER BAILEY (R) vs. AUSTIN GOMBER (L)

Veteran right-hander Homer Bailey (1-12, 6.17 ERA) will start the series opener, for the Reds vs the steaming hot St.Louis Cardianls.  BAILEY is 0-11  against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (Team's Record)with the average margin of defeat coming by 3.4 rpg which qualifies this trend as a runline edge. 

The Cardinals counter with rookie left-hander Austin Gomber (4-0, 2.79), who has allowed just  four runs in his last four starts, covering 22 innings.GOMBER is 6-0 against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season. (Team's Record) with the average win coming by 4.4 rpg which qualifies under a runline premier wager.

The Reds have lost 28 straight on the moneyline  as a dog of more than 145 after a game as a home dog in which they did not hit a home run and struck out more than six times with 20 of those games won by multiple runs.  

MLB Chalk with a money line of -175 to -250 (ST LOUIS) - after allowing 2 runs or less against opponent after 2 straight one run losses are 71-14 L/21 seasons with the average margin victory coming by 2.3 rpg. 

Play on the St.Louis Cards to win on the runline -1.5 

This one goes like this , Tulane owns a  shaky run D , and it  did not do well vs good run teams last season. Things don't look to get much better this season, and Wake Forest will take advantage of this and pound the ball on the ground mercilessly  right out of the gate, behind 5 retuning starters and than as tilt progresses use the option to do further damage through the air.  Yes even with Sam Hartman taking snaps, thanks to his ability to hit WR Greg Dorch who can also explode when playing on special teams, especially vs a revamped Tulane secondary. Willie Fritz and company have their hands full with a under rated and explosive Wake Forest football program today . With that said lay the points with the Demon Deacons on the road. 

TULANE is 2-11 ATS  against ACC opponents since 1992. ACC 40.8 Tulane 13.1

Play on Wake Forest to cover 

REYNALDO LOPEZ (R) vs. C.C. SABATHIA (L)

The Yankees starter tonight, vs the White Sox owns a 19-6 career record along with a 3.73 ERA in 36 starts against Chicago. His .760 winning percentage against Chicago is Sabathia's highest against any American League team. He had a couple sub par efforts vs them recently but is rated after coming off the DL a week ago and primed to finished he is season strong. The White Sox have struggled vs lefties this season going just 11 -22 and have been outscored by an a average of 2.1 rpg in those tilts. Yankees are 23-6 in Sabathias last 29 home starts.

Meanwhile, Reynaldo Lopez (4-9, 4.66)  the Pale Hose starter is  winless for the White Sox. Since winning at Texas on July 1, he is 0-4 with a 6.70 ERA in his last nine starts and is fade material here today.Yankees are 14-3 in their last 17 games vs. a right-handed starter.

The Yankees have won 17 straight as a moneyline favorite of 200+  after they had a comeback victory  and it is post All-Star break and not a series opener. The Yankees have won  all 17 games  by  multiple runs which makes this a viable run-line wagering situation. 

Play on the NY Yankees on the runline -1.5 

WNBA Playoffs - Semifinals - Best of 5 - Game 2 - SEA leads 1-0

Seattle won the first game of this series, but did not cover. The Mercury gave it their all and left everything on the floor in game 1, and still fell short. Tonight Im betting they get lit up as they play on the road on tired legs.

SEATTLE is 11-1 ATS  after a game where they failed to cover the spread this season. 

SEATTLE is 13-4 ATS versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game after 15+ games this season.SEATTLE is 11-2 ATS versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game on the season after 15+ games this season. 

Mercury are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 Semi-Finals games.Storm are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 vs. Western Conference.Storm are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Tuesday games.

Storm are 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 games overall.Storm are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 home games.Storm are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

Home favorites vs. the money line (SEATTLE) - a very good team (7 or more PPG diff.) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 15 or more games, after a game where both teams scored 75 points or more are 34-2 L/21 seasons with the average margin of victory coming by 10.2 ppg.

Play on the Seattle Storm to cover 

Erlin the Padres stater is 1-2 with a 3.00 ERA in five career appearances (three starts) against Los Angeles - with one of the losses coming in a start on April 16, when he was tagged for six runs in three innings of sub par work. The Dodgers 9 see this guys stuff well, and now with another look could easily light him up again. Ryu his Dodgers pitching opponent is 5-1 with a 2.63 ERA in eight career starts versus the Padres, including a victory at San Diego opposite Erlin in April when he gave up just two runs and three hits with a season-high nine strikeouts over six innings.

LA DODGERS are 24-3 SU in home games when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) over the last 2 seasons with the average combined margin of victory coming by 3.8 rpg. 

The Dodgers have won 30 of their L/31 in the last game of a home series as a 200+ favorite off a game in which they scored first and have won 26 of those games by multiple runs . All 7 of the games they played vs the Padres in this above mentioned trend have been won by multiple runs each time. 

Play on the Dodgers -1.5 runline

WNBA Playoffs - Semifinals - Best of 5 - Game 1

The Dreams record speaks for itself but own power rankings make the Mystics the better team, and my choice here today.

ATLANTA is 2-10 ATS after playing a game as a road favorite over the last 3 seasons. WASHINGTON is 12-4 ATS  after a non-conference game this season.Thibault is 21-8 ATS in road games after playing 5 consecutive games as favorite in all games he has coached since 1997.

WNBA Road favorites (WASHINGTON) - up-tempo team averaging 62 or more shots/game on the season, after a game where a team made 50% of their shots or better are 107-56 ATS L/21 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

WNBA team vs the money line (WASHINGTON) - after leading in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half against opponent after scoring 70 points or more in 3 straight games are 61-23 SU L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Washington Mystics to cover 

JUSTIN VERLANDER (R) vs. JAIME BARRIA (R)

Verlander the Astros starter has won all five starts against the Angels since he was acquired from the Detroit Tigers on Sept. 1 of last season, allowing two earned runs in 36 innings of magnificent work.He has thrown 23 consecutive scoreless innings over his past three starts at Angel Stadium.QUOTE: "I like the aesthetic of pitching here," Verlander said after shutting out the Angels on five hits over six innings in a 7-0 win on July 21. END QUOTE. Im betting he leads his team to a conclusive victory here today behind what I expect will be solid run support behind a offense that is finally almost 100% healthy. 

HOUSTON is 33-10 against the money line in road games vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game this season winning by an average of 2.4 rpg. LA ANGELS are 1-9 against the money line in home games vs. AL teams scoring 4.9 or more runs/game, losing by an average of 4.2 rpg. HOUSTON is 12-1 against the money line after 6 consecutive games versus division rivals this season winning by an average of 3.8 rpg. 

HOUSTON is 21-4  against the money line in road games after batting .333 or better over a 3 game span over the last 2 seasons winning by an average of 4.1 rpg. 

The Angels have lost 34 straight on the moneylline as a dog of more than 135 when they are off a game as a dog and their opponent's starter has a strike-per-ball ratio better than 1.89 on the season and it is not a series opener and have lost 11 of their L/12 games in this trend by multiple runs.

Play on Houston Astros on the Runline -1.5

Calgary (7-1) must be considered the front runner for the Grey Cup this season despite of suffering an upset lost to Saskatchewan last time out , and Winnipeg (5-4) their opposition while competitive have proven inconsistent this season. The Bombers over the last few years are solid in the underdog role, and tonight I'm betting they give this powerful Stamps team all they can handle.WINNIPEG is 13-3 ATS as a road underdog over the last 3 seasons.
Winnipeg also lost last week , and were run over, by Ottawa, but have proven resilient in a comeback role going ,9-0 ATS in road games after being outgained by opp by 70 or more total yards last game over the last 3 seasons.

WINNIPEG is 8-0 ATS in road games versus good passing teams averaging 8.3 or more passing yards/att over the last 3 O'Shea is a perfect 8-0 ATS in road games versus good passing teams averaging 8.3 or more passing yards/att as the coach of the Bombers. WINNIPEG is 9-1 ATS versus good offensive teams - scoring 29 or more points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Blue Bombers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Calgary.

Play on the Winnipeg Blue Bombers to cover

So it looks like Aaron Rodgers the stud QB of the Green Bay Packers will not play tonight. But its not like Green Bay has missed his presence  in their previous two NFLX games, as was evident by them scoring 82 points with a  +31 differential . This is a pretty big spread considering how well the Packers have looked without Rodgers and their is value to be had here taking points. 

GB has covered their L/3 first away games of the preseason. The Packers are also 7-2 SU/ATS  away  off home game in preseason action. Meanwhile, Oakland is just 0-6 L/6 vs NFC North and 0-4  SU/ATS home off an away tilt. 

OAKLAND is 0-6 ATS  after playing a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.GREEN BAY is 8-1 ATS in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.

NFL Road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (GREEN BAY) - after 2 or more consecutive wins against the spread, undefeated in the preseason are 30-9 ATS L/25 seasons for a   77% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Green Bay Packers to cover 

This is a big week for most NFL teams as most coaching staffs play this game similar to a regular seasons game, as they put the finishing touches on their schemes and rosters. I know a lot of pundits are exited about the Browns making a miraculous comeback from their recent dismal decade of plain ugly losing football behind stud QB Rookie Baker Mayfield . But the kid has still only completed just 55 percent of his passes, in his first 33 preseason attempts and will have his hands full with a pumped up Philadelphia D, that would like to prove that their Super Bowl Championship was no fluke.The Eagles haven't lost to Cleveland since, 1994 as Philadelphia has taken the last five games in the series by an average of 10.8 points and primed to have history repeat itself tonight behind QB Nick Foles who is expected to play andNate Sudfeld, who was 22 for 39 for 312 yards and three touchdowns against New England last week.

Play on the Philadelphia Eagles to cover

These two teams despite of contrasting styles matchup very evenly, as was the case last time these teams played here in Washington on Aug 17, as the Mystics squeaked by the Sparks 69-67. Im betting on another close game here today and for the Sparks to cover the number again.

LOS ANGELES is 8-0 ATS versus excellent ball handling teams - committing 12 or less turnovers/game over the last 2 season.LOS ANGELES is 7-0 ATS revenging a close loss versus opponent by 3 points or less over the last 3 seasons. 

LOS ANGELES is 8-1 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons and a perfect 6-0 ATS L/6 visits to DC.

Play on the LA Sparks to cover    

 ADAM PLUTKO (R) vs. DAVID PRICE (L)

Plutko the Indians starter today is 4-3 with a 4.62 ERA in 10 games -- including seven starts and looks very hittable in his current form.The Boston offense  after a short drought woke up against 15-game winner Carlos Carrasco and the Cleveland bullpen yesterday and took a 10-4 win and I'm betting they will honed in on doing some repeat damage in this spot. It must be noted that the Indians have lost 21 straight on the moneyline as a 110+ dog in the last game of a road series after a game in which they had multiple multiple-run innings, as long as they did not win by 7-plus runs which obviously not the case yesterday as they lost in a big way. The Tribe lost 19 of those 21 games by multiple runs, with the average margin of defeat coming by 3.9 rpg. 

Meanwhile, Price the BoSox Starter is 8-1  against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (Team's Record) with the average margin of victory coming by 1.9 rpg. Price is currently in top form and has won 2 straight outings while garnering a stingy 1.89  ERA on his L/3 starts.PRICE is 10-3 in his career when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 2.63 and a WHIP of 1.202.Red Sox are 6-0 in Prices last 6 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.

BOSTON is 28-6 SU in day games this season with the average margin of victory coming by 2.2 rpg.

Red Sox are 9-0 in their last 9 during game 4 of a series.

Play on the Boston Red Sox to win on the runline -1.5 

MASAHIRO TANAKA (R) vs. PABLO LOPEZ (R)

Masahiro Tanaka (9-4, 4.03) the NYY starter today has looked a little tired of late as his team has lost his last three trips to the hill. Meanwhile, Lopez the Marlins start makes his second interleague start. The righty won at Tampa Bay on July 21, permitting  one run on two hits and a walk, with six strikeouts, over 6.0 innings of quality ball. With Didi Gregorius injured  .270 / 22 homers/  74 RBIs and super star Aaron Judge still on the DL, the Yanks are not as formidable offensively, so Lopez looks like who could have a solid outing. 

Miami already shocked the Marlins this season by a 9-1 count, the last time Tanaka faced them, and the Japanese right  hander is just 0-2 in 2 career starts vs the Marlins, and must not be over estimated here vs a young team playing with very little to lose.

NY YANKEES are 14-15  against the money line vs. poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game this season and are are 14-17  against the money line vs. good fielding teams - averaging 0.6 or less errors/game in the second half of the season this season. The Yankees have lost 11 straight on the road after playing as a home favorite when they scored two or fewer runs for their starter in his last start and it is post All-Star break.

MLB underdogs against a 1.5 run line.(Money Line +100 or higher) (MIAMI) - poor NL hitting team (AVG .250 or less ) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA 3.75 or better ), with a starting pitcher whose gives up 1 or more HR's/start are 39-16 L/21 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Miami Marlins on the RUNLINE +1.5

Calgary 6-0 on the the season is the class of the league and the front runner for taking the Grey Cup this season. Saskatchewan has lost 4 of 6 games, with their only wins coming in back to back tries vs the Hamilton Ti Cats. The Green Riders don't have much fire power, averaging just 21 points a game on offence and thats not a good thing considering the visiting Stamps own the leagues top D, allowing just 12.3 ppg. The Stamps have won and covered their L/3 trips Saskatchewan and another win and cover is on todays agenda. 

CALGARY is 8-0 ATS off 2 straight wins against division rivals over the last 3 seasons with the average combined margin of victory coming by 19.5 ppg.

Favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (CALGARY) - off 1 or more consecutive unders, solid team - outscoring opponents by 7 or more points/game are 28-6 ATS L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Calgary Stampeders to cover

 Aces close out their first season since moving from San Antonio against the Atlanta Dream on Sunday in their finale at Mandalay Bay Events Center. they just missed  play off spot, this season, after losing last time out to Dallas who ended up clinching the final play off spot. QUOTE:"We played pretty good basketball. So did they," Aces coach Bill Laimbeer told the Las Vegas Review-Journal after the Aces lost to the Wings, allowing Dallas to clinch the eighth and final playoff spot Friday night. I'm betting Lamber will emphasize finishing the season strong, and I expect to see the Aces to play hard here today vs a team that despite of wanting to get a victory to secure a better play off seeding , still has to balance the fact that staying healthy is of also paramount importance, which may effect their ability to be physical. 

LAS VEGAS is 22-11 ATS against Eastern conference opponents over the last 2 seasons. Aces 81.2 Opp 82.1

WNBA team vs the money line (LAS VEGAS) - explosive offensive team - scoring 77+ points/game on the season, after leading their last 3 games by 5+ points at the half 66-15 SU L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

WNBA team (ATLANTA) - decent defensive team (40.5-43.5%) against a poor defensive team (43.5-46%) after 15+ games, after 2 straight games making 8 or more 3 point shots are just 12-33 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Vegas Aces to cover 

 Blue Jays starter Borucki  has not performed very well in his  the last two  trips to the hill and is fade material here according to my power rankings.  Boroucki allowed four runs and six hits in four innings of a no-decision Tuesday in Kansas City, and was said to be dealing with a toe blister and that probably still has not healed and could effect his delivery .  Meanwhile, The Yankees starter Happ faces his former Toronto teammates for the first time since the trade and is coming off a superb outing last time out vs the Rays.  The veteran southpaw allowed just one hit over seven scoreless innings of top quality work in the 4-1 victory. He has won all 3 of his starts with the Yankees since coming over in the trade and is perfect 3-0 on the RL with his team winning those games by multiple runs.He knows the Jays batting order well, and definitely has an advantage here in this spot. 

TORONTO is 7-24 SU vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game this season with the average margin of defeat coming by 2.3 rpg .

The Blue Jays have lost 22 straight SU in the last game of a series as a road dog of more than 130 after they lost by three-plus runs losing by ana average of 2.46 rpg, with 7 of the L/8 losses coming by 2 or more runs.The Yankees are 21-1 SU as a favorite after a game as a home favorite in which they allowed 12+ hits winning 17 of the L/20 on the runline and 11 of the L/13. The average margin of victory was by 3.11 rpg.

Play on the NY Yankees on the runline 

Seattle lost their first preseason game of the season, a 19-17 decision at home to the Colts and now the rumours of their expected demise continue to increase in ferocity. Despite of that the Seahawks still are on a 7-2 SU/ATS NFLX run and  deserve respect as underdogs in this spot. Yes, they have lost some key options, but the culture in Seattle is still hard nosed never say die, and Pete Carroll remains a fine coach, that has proven tough in the preseason during his career. Add to that the Seahawks have owned this series in the past vs the LA Chargers winning 11 of the L/15 meetings, including last seasons 48-17 NFLX shellacking . Carroll is 34-15-1 against the spread in his career in the preseason, and I'm betting on another cover here tonight. 

Play on the Seattle Seahawks to cover

The Sparks and Mystics go head to head Friday at Capital One Arena in Washington, D.C., with more at stake for Washington than Los Angeles. The Mystics have won seven straight and are one game behind the second-place Atlanta Dream with two games left.The Dream have two games left as well, beginning on Friday against league-leading Seattle at home. On Sunday, Atlanta visits Las Vegas s, who are also fighting for the eighth and final playoff spot.

The top two seeds receive double-byes in the playoffs, so there's plenty of pressure on the Mystics to notch a win here and I expect they come on fire and very motivated to get a victory.

LOS ANGELES is 2-11 ATS ( versus teams who attempt 16 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games this season. WASHINGTON is 9-2 ATS vs. poor rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 3+ per game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons

Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (WASHINGTON) - after going under the total by more than 24 points in their previous game, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team after 15 or more games are 24-3 ATS L/21 seasons with the average margin of victory coming by 12.2 ppg. 

Play on Washington to cover

The Patriots lost to the Eagles in last years Super Bowl despite of putting up 600+ yards of offence.  I'm not putting down the Eagles , because they played great in the underdog role , but their lucky to have won  considering that prior to that Super Bowl tilt NFL teams that gained 600+ or more yards were 38-0-1. Today I expect future Hall of Fame  HC Bellichick to get his revenge, vs the Super Bowl Champs here at home. It must be noted that defending NFL champions have lost 19 of their L/26 first preseason road games, and are a cash dumping 8-17-1 ATS and have failed to cover 6 straight SU/ATS vs a side playing its 2nd  exhibition home game of the season.

Eagles are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games on FT( fieldturf) Patriots are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games on FT.  are 34-16-2 ATS in their last 52 home games.Patriots are 36-17-2 ATS in their last 55 games overall.

Play on the NE Pats to cover 

The Liberty  were on the road Tuesday night and lost to the Los Angeles Sparks 74-66 for their 10th straight loss, but it must be noted that NEW YORK is 13-4 ATSL/17 in road games off a cover where the team lost the game straight up as an underdog.

Tonight Bill Lambeers Vegas Aces are in my opinion being over rated , considering they have lost 4 of their L/5 SU/ATS with their only win coming against lowly Indiana last time out. With the pressure of a play off spot looming in the back ground for this young team, the pressure could be to much for them, and I''m betting this 12 point chalk line thats been attached to them is out of whack and does not truly coordinate to the matchup discrepancies. 

Lambeer is 23-44 ATS as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points in all games he has coached since 1997.

LAS VEGAS is 0-7 ATS  in home games after 2 or more consecutive unders over the last 3 seasons.NEW YORK is 13-4 ATS  in road games off a cover where the team lost the game straight up as an underdog

WNBA Road underdogs (NEW YORK) - after 3 or more consecutive losses against opponent after 1 or more consecutive wins are 50-20 L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the NY Liberty to cover 

On Sunday, after the Wings lost their eighth straight game and barely holding onto the eighth and final spot, team president/general manager Greg Bibb fired coach Fred Williams and replaced him for the rest of the season with assistant Taj McWilliams-Franklin. These types of situations usually ignite a team , at least temporarily. I know the Wings are without their leading scorer right now  Liz Cambage, and Connecticut has been playing strong hoops of late winning 6 of their L/7, but because of the lack of being able to pace themselves correctly have   been streaky this season, and with this being the Suns 4th game in a week, they  could easily find themselves in a letdown situation and running on fumes. With that that said, door is wide open for a Dallas cover here based on motivation factors alone.

CONNECTICUT is 2-11 ATS  after 2 straight games attempting 70 or more shots this season.CONNECTICUT is 1-9 ATS after scoring 75 points or more in 5 straight games this season.

WNBA Road underdogs (DALLAS) - after 3 or more consecutive losses against opponent after 1 or more consecutive wins are 52-19 ATS for a 73% conversion rate last  5 seasons.

Play on the Dallas Wings to cover 

The Mercury (17-14), who are in seventh place, have a shot at climbing as high as No. 4, where the Los Angeles Sparks (18-12) are currently ranked. Needles to say thesis an important game for the Mercury and I'm betting they come out here on fore and take advantage of exhausted LA team playing their 3rd game in 5 days. Add to that the added incentive of the Mercury to get revenge here for two previous losses to the Sparks this Eason. Note: WNBA Favorites (PHOENIX) - revenging 2 straight losses where opponent scored 75 or more points, with a winning record on the season are 33-10 ATS L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors.

LOS ANGELES is 2-8 ATS when playing their 3rd game in 5 days this season

The Mercury blew out Indiana last time out by 20 points, which is a good omen for us here this evening, as Phoenix  HC Brondello is 7-0 ATS  in home games after a blowout win by 20 points or more as the coach of PHOENIX.

PHOENIX is 29-8 ATS L/37 versus teams who average 37 or less rebounds/game on the season after 15+ games.

WNBA Road teams vs. the money line (LOS ANGELES) - tired team - playing their 3rd game in 5 days, with a winning record on the season after 15 or more games are 19-48 L/5 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Phoenix Mercury to cover 

The defending WNBA champion have not played with a lot of emotion or motivation this season, and lookalike they are pacing themselves for the bigger prize. With Minnesota still needing some wins to clinch a playoff spot, this veteran laden group Im betting will take nothing for granted and be prepared to take down the leagues currently top ranked team Seattle here tonight at home. Minnesota is a perfect 4-0 SU here and nothing Im betting changes tonight as the Lynx bring out their A game and send a message to the Storm that their championship banner won't be easily snatched away from them. 

WNBA team vs the money line (SEATTLE) - after a road game where both teams score 75 or more points, good team, winning 60-75% or more of their games, after 15 or more games are 19-31 L/5 seasons for a go against 62% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Minnesota Lynx to cover

The Atlanta Dream lost their 2nd leading scorer McCoughtry for the season with torn ligaments in her left knee Thursday. Even though the Dream responded with two victories , I'm betting it will eventually catch up to them, quite possibly today, vs a team that I'm betting they will be less than inspired to play against. I know the Liberty go against a side that has won 13 of their L/14 games, but that just means they will be primed and motivated to pull off the upset. The Liberty proved they can hang with good teams especially at home where last time out they lost 82-81 home to the Sparks. Considering the Dream are on tired legs playing their 4th game in a week its not a far reach taking points here today with the home dog. Note: WNBA Road teams vs. the money line (ATLANTA) - tired team - playing their 3rd game in 5 days, with a winning record on the season after 15 or more games are just 19-48 L/5 seasons with a 4.6 ppg differential, qualifying on a ATS perimeter.

ATLANTA is 4-16 ATS L/20 as a road favorite of 3.5 to 6 points .NEW YORK is 11-2 ATS after playing a game as a home underdog over the last 2 seasons.

ATLANTA is 6-15 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons andi s 5-15 ATS  versus struggling teams - outscored by their opponents by 6+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

NY Liberty are 3-1 SU/ATS L/4 at home in this series.

Play on the NY Liberty to cover  

Mets RH Noah Syndergaard (7-2, 3.17 ERA) vs. Marlins LH Wei-Yin Chen (4-8, 5.48)

Syndergaard the NY Mets starter gave up four runs over 6 1/3 innings of a rare victory against Cincinnati on Monday, ending a amazing run  of 13 straight starts in where he allowed three runs or fewer. I'm betting on him bouncing back here and holding the light hitting Marlins to limited run production in this spot.The hard throwing righty also owns  a 1.62 ERA in six career starts against the Marlins.

Meanwhile, Chen his pitching opponent from the Marlins , permitted just one hit in 5 2/3 scoreless innings in a victory vs St. Louis in his last trip to the hill, and is 2-2  along with a stingy 1.52 ERA over his last five home starts. Chen has pitched his best ball at home this season and owns a stingy 1.94 ERA in 9 starts.

 I expect both hurlers to once again provide us with a tightly contested low scoring affair that makes taking the runline a very viable option. 

MLB Road favorites against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line +160 to +115) (NY METS) - with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.50 or worse on the season, with a team on base percentage .310 or worse on the season (NL) are 17-56 L/21 seasons for a go against  77% conversion rate for bettors.

MLB Road favorites against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line +130 to -255) (NY METS) - ice cold hitting team - batting .240 or worse over their last 20 games, starting a pitcher who walked 1 or less hitters each of his last 2 outings are 29-70 L/5 seasons for a 70% go against conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on the Miami on the runline +1.5 

Montreal has looked less than consistent this season, and are off two horrible defensive performances and losses. There has been a lot of soul searching going on in the land of the Allouettes, after last weeks embarrassing 50-11 defeat to Hamilton, and now somewhat of a bounce back effort must be expected against their Eastern rivals Ottawa this week, from a group that desperately need some redemption medicine. Meanwhile, Ottawa lost a heart breaker in a back and forth battle last week to Toronto 42-41 and could easily find themselves in an emotional letdown scenario vs a struggling team that Im sure will not inspire them. With that said, lets take the points. with a downtrodden side. Note: Road dogs off a loss in the CFL L/21 seasons with at least 4 days rest are 60% proposition. 

OTTAWA is 0-6 ATS in home games after gaining 7.6 or more yards/play in their previous game over the last 3 seasons.

OTTAWA is 4-20 ATS L/24 versus poor passing defenses - allowing 300 or more passing yards/game.

OTTAWA is 4-13 ATS as a home favorite over the last 3 seasons.

CFL Road underdogs or pick (MONTREAL) - with a poor passing D - allowing 300 or more passing yards/game are 30-8 ATS L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Montreal Als to cover

Rangers RH Drew Hutchison (1-2, 6.29 ERA) vs. Yankees RH Lance Lynn (8-8, 4.58)

Insults were flying, after the Rangers hammered the Yankees last night in their own diggs. Here a sample of the dialogue: "I want to kill them every time I go out there, to be honest," Guzman said regarding the Yankees after becoming the youngest player to homer three times in the Bronx since a 23-year-old Mickey Mantle did it on May 13, 1955. "I never liked the Yankees growing up." END QUOTE: Im sure the Yanks are aware of the kids statements, and also will be looking for a quick turnaround here in redemption vs a over confident Rangers group. Note: NY YANKEES are 18-3 against the money line after allowing 9 runs or more over the last 2 seasons winning by an average of almost 3 rpg. 

The Yankees have won 18 straight  as a favorite of more than 130 when they are off a game as a favorite in which they allowed 12+ hits with 16 of those games coming by multiple runs with the average margin of victory clicking in at 4 rpg. 

Play on the NY Yankees to win on the moneyline 

Indiana is 3-3 in their L/6 , and showing signs of being competitive. they did notch a recent win against a very good LA Sparks team, and also beat Dallas and went into NY and took out the Liberty straight up as dogs. I know Indiana does not inspire most bettors, but at around 12 points there is value taking them as underdogs here, as Phoenix has really been struggling of late, losing 9 of their L/11 overall SU, and are off a gruelling and heart breaking loss to the Washington Mystics last time out (103-98) With this being the Mercury's 3rd game in 4 nights, I'm betting their tired legs and  damaged emotional well being, will play a part in failing to cover vs a side  playing with nothing to lose. Unlike the Mercury who need wins to try to salvage a play off spot. I do know that the Mercury handled the Fever on two previous occasions this season, but here at home they have lost 2 of the L/3 meetings between these teams .

PHOENIX is 0-8 ATS in home games after a game where both teams scored 75 points or more this season which happened in their last  game vs Washington (103-98).PHOENIX is 0-9 ATS in home games after allowing 75 points or more this season.PHOENIX is 1-7 ATS in home games vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 76% or more  of their attempts this season.

Play on the Indiana Fever to cover 

Rangers LH Mike Minor (8-6, 4.53 ERA) vs. Yankees RH Masahiro Tanaka (9-2, 3.76)

Tanka the Yankees starter is in top form and has held his L/3 opponents to 1 ER on 12 hits in 19.7 innings of stellar work for a minuscule 0.46 ERA. Needless to say he is sharp and will be a handful for a streaky Texas nine that could be slowing down scoring just 3 runs yesterday after a torrid offensive run. Note:  Texas 3B Adrian Beltre was hitless in four at-bats on Thursday and is 2-for-20 over his last five contests., Minor the Rangers starter despite of pitching well of late, has  struggled on the road this season as he is 3-4 with a 6.50 ERA in nine trips to the hill. 

TANAKA is 17-2 against the money line in home games vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) with average margin of victory coming by 3 rgg. 

TANAKA is 15-2  against the money line in home games in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) with the average margin of victory coming by 3 rpg.

MLB favorites with a money line of -150 or more (NY YANKEES) - with a slugging percentage of .390 or worse over their last 20 games against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.100 or less  over his last 10 games are 37-4 L/5 seasons with the average victory coming by 3.1 rpg making this a viable runline investment option. 

Play on the NY Yankees on the runline -1.5

Bill Carrol the Seattle Seahawks HC takes the preseason seriously and likes to instal a winning attitude in his teams locker room right out of the gate as is evident by owning a 34-14-1 ATS career mark in NFLX games with Seattle.Carroll has consistently clobbered teams residing in the AFC South like the Colts and has notched victories  eight times during his NFL career vs this division winning all eight straight up by an average of 13 ppg and overall is a solid 20-5 ATS vs the AFC. Meanwhile, Frank Reich the HC of the visiting Colts has really got a great deal of work to do to get this franchise back in play off contention , with or without QB Andrew Luck in the lineup, who is still in rehabilitation mode. 

SEATTLE is 47-22 ATS L/69 in non-conference games.

Seahawks are 7-0-1 ATS in their last 8 Thursday games.Home team is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.

Play on the Seattle Seahawks to cover 

The LA Sparks enter this game on tired legs as they play. their 4th game in a week, their 2nd straight road game after a gruelling come from behind win vs the NY Liberty last night. I'm betting despite of winning 3 straight games, that the Sparks might be to tired to deal with a Atlanta team that has lost only once in their L/12 trips to the hardwood. The Dream might of had some detractors earlier on this season, but the way their playing , two way ball at the moment they are proving their naysayers wrong and are proving to be a  difficult team to beat down the stretch to the post season. 

Sparks are 0-9 ATS in their last 9 games following a straight up win.

Sparks are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games playing on 0 days rest.Dream are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 vs. Western Conference.Dream are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Sparks are 4-17 ATS in the last 21 meetings.Sparks are 1-7 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Atlanta.

The teams have split their two games so far this season ,  with both being played played in Los Angeles ,with the Sparks notching a  72-64 on June 12 and Atlanta firing back with  a 81-71 win  17 days ago.

WNBA Home favorites (ATLANTA) - explosive offensive team - scoring 77+ points/game on the season against opponent after 2 straight wins by 6 points or less are 28-9 ATS L/21seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Atlanta Dream to cover

Sun enter this game  on a four-game winning streak all by DDs  that has helped them  to a No. 5 rankings in the WNBA standings. The way they are currently playing Im betting they Weill be hard to stop vs a defensively deficient Dallas Wings team that has lost 5 straight games. Connecticut beat Dallas here on July 22 by DDs, 92-75, and now are just 2 point favs. giving us value based on my projections. 

DALLAS is 1-10 ATS revenging a straight up loss versus opponent as a home favorite over the last 3 seasons and is 2-11 ATS revenging a straight up loss versus opponent as a favorite .

CONNECTICUT is 16-3 ATS L/19  in road games after 2 straight games with 20 or more assists.

WNBA team vs the money line (CONNECTICUT) - explosive offensive team - scoring 77+ points/game on the season, after leading their last 3 games by 5+ points at the half are 61-14 L5 seasons and 13-1 this season. 

Play on the Connecticut Sun to cover