Missouri has not beaten South Carolina since the 2016 season, but Im betting that comes to end here this week at home vs a side that was battered and beaten physically last week by Alabama . it must be noted that Carolina maybe getting too much respect out of the gate this season, as they have been outgunned and out-gained by their 2 FBS opponents this season. Last season the Tigers  lost 37-35 to the Gamecocks but  were the superior side in the stats battle outgaining the Birds by a  490-377 count . Im expecting those numbers to be replicated and or bettered this week, and for Missouri to get the cover in convincing fashion. 

Missouri have dominated their last two opponents outscoring them by a 88-7 count.MISSOURI is 16-5 ATS  in home games after allowing 7 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games with the average ppg diff clicking in at +10.4 ppg.

CFB home team  (MISSOURI) - after allowing 9 points or less in 2 straight games against opponent after allowing 37 points or more last game are 24-2 SU with the average point per game diff registering at +20.2 ppg. 

Play on Missouri to cover 

UCF is off a convincing full throttle beat down of Stanford last week, and could easily find themselves in a natural letdown spot here vs Pittsburgh this week. Meanwhile, the Panthers thanks to a hard nosed D, and athletic top tier secondary gave Penn State all they could handle last week in a 17-10 loss and Im betting will be  a handful for the Knights here in this spot.  

UCF is 0-13 SU in its school history in games against current FBS teams when the Knights are coming off a current FBS affiliated foe.

PITTSBURGH is 10-0 ATS L/10 after 2 consecutive games where they forced no turnovers since 1992. 

CFB Road favorites of 10.5 to 21 points (UCF) - dominant team - outgaining their opponents by 125 or more yards/game, after gaining 475 or more total yards in 3 consecutive games are 33-10 ATS L/10 seasons for a 77%conversion rate.

Play on Pittsburgh to cover 

RedHawks coach Chuck Martin is 26-14 ATS as an underdog and also owns a 6-1 ATS mark as a non-conference underdog of 21 or more points. Meanwhile, Ohio State is 2-6 ATS as favorites of 34 or more points against MAC opposition and fade material on this big a chalk line. I know Ohio State is the vastly superior side, but from a mathematical standpoint my projections make this a value underdog line. 

CFB Road underdogs of 21.5 or more points (MIAMI OHIO) - after gaining 225 or less total yards in their previous game against opponent after gaining 6.25 or more yards/play in their previous game are 23-4 ATS L/10 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. 

CFB Home favorites of 31.5 or more points (OHIO ST) - with a good offense - averaging 5.8 or more yards/play, after gaining 7.25 or more yards/play in their previous game are 6-26 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Miami O to cover 

Akron s offence is practically non existent and has scored only 15.7 PPG, which is 124th in the country, and they won't be able to keep up with a team that just put up 42 points vs Mississippi State last week. This game has total annihilation written all over it. Note: CFB road team vs. the money line (TROY) - excellent offensive team (440  or moreYPG) against a poor offensive team (280 to 330 YPG), after gaining 525 or more total yards in their previous game are 26-1 SU L/5 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at +18 ppg. 

Play on Troy to cover 

 Im impressed with UL Lafayette and their top tier running game and because Ohio continues to struggle against the run, Im betting their a live under appreciated dog . The Cajuns return five senior starting offensive linemen  and are a tough experienced group that can protect the three headed monster of  Raymond Calais, Trey Ragas and Elijah Mitchell  who combined   2900  plus yards on the ground last season averaging  6.7 ypc. This season already this explosive trio is   averaging 8.1 ypc. Im betting on more of the same dynamic action today vs an Ohio run D, that is allowing  5.2 yards per carry this season, ranking them a dismal 114th in the nation at not stopping the run.

LA LAFAYETTE is 15-3 ATS after gaining 475 or more total yards/game over their last 3 game.

CFB home (OHIO U) - after allowing 6.5 or more rushing yards/attempt last game against opponent after gaining 225 or more rushing yards in 2 straight games are 4-25  SU  L/5 seasons for a go against 86% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on UL Lafayette to cover

UMass is looking like a dismal football program right now but Coastal Carolina in only their 3rd season of FBS football should not be this big fav on the road , not even against this horrid group. It must be noted that Coastal has only one road win by 11 points or more, since joining  the FBS and with their Sunbelt opener coming next week vs App State they may not be fully focused here , making the ugly home dog a value selection on this line. 

UMass to cover 

Syracuse after getting run over by Clemson last week in a much anticipated game will be ina letdown situation vs a under rated Western Michigan side  with 14 starters returning and that  put 352 yards against a stingy  Michigan State defense in their opener  and 7 TDs vs Georgia State last week .Considering  Dino Barbers team have been run over to the tune 675 yards in the last two tilts  things may not get much better today.

CFB road team (W MICHIGAN) - excellent offensive team (440 or more YPG) against a poor offensive team (280 to 330 YPG), after gaining 525 or more total yards in their previous game are 26-1 SU L/5 seasons for a 96% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +18 . 

Play on Western Michigan to cover 

Utah visits USC on Friday night. On the opening line a couple of land locked sports books opened this game as a pickem before the public and some sharps scrambled in with their money on Utah. But now at +4 we have value with the Trojans at home. Note:The home team has won 6 straight in the series and has covered 7 of the last 8 meetings. With that said, Im betting USC  behind the big arm of  Kedon Slovis’ and a strong running game and  a defense that is top 20 in opponent red zone scoring and top 25 in sacks will get the job done and deliver to us some profits here this evening. It must be noted that USCs new air raid system is something that has given the Utes alot of problems of late, as they are 0-5 ATS L/5 vs a team using the air raid offence. 

Whittingham is 19-30 ATS  as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points as the coach of UTAH.

CFB  home team (USC) - after gaining 450 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games, with 5 defensive starters returning, in the first month of the season are 29-4 ATS L/10 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the USC to cover 

FIU may not inspire bettors but they have a history of competing, and have cashed 8 of their L/9 against a 500 team like LA Tech. Skip Holtz has never been a coach to back laying points, and I really feel this is one of his lesser teams and lack value on a TD or more line as favs.

Davis is 17-2 ATS after outrushing opponent by 125 or more yards last game in all games he has coached since 1992 which was the case in their last game vs New Hampshire. 

Holtz is 2-9 ATS  in a home game where the total is between 49.5 and 56 as the coach of LOUISIANA TECH

CFB Road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (FLA INTERNATIONAL) - with a terrible rushing D - allowing 5.25 or more rushing yards/carry are 50-18 ATS L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.

Take the points with Florida International to cover 

The As were upset yesterday by the Royals and will be ready for big bounce back here today. Note: The Athletics have won 7 straight as a 140-plus favorite after they lost by one run, winning by an average of 8.43 runs per game qualifying as a strong runline situation. 

OAKLAND is 31-7 against the money line vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons with the average rpg diff clicking in at +3.3 rpg. 

MLB Road underdogs against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line +100 or higher) (KANSAS CITY) - poor hitting team (AVG .260 or less) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 or less ) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose lasts less than 5 innings per start are 15-43 L/22 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Oakland As on the runline -1.5

WNBA Playoffs - Semifinals - Best of 5 - Game 1

This matchup features two of the best front courts in the league, but Im betting what I believe is the superior D, to win this series and game 1.  Sparks have my support getting points. Note:  Sparks are one of the league's original franchises and  have garnered three WNBA titles , and have been to the Finals five times and have an overall culture of winning, and obvious play off experience which gives them in an edge in this environment vs a Connecticut side, that just cant matchup to those numbers, 

WNBA team (CONNECTICUT) - after going over the total by more than 12 points in two consecutive games, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record after 15 or more games are 4-26 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against 87% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the LA Sparks to cover 

The public was all over the Cleveland in game 1 of the season, and they lost big time when the Browns crapped the bed in their opener for their 19th loss in 21 seasons in their opening game(includes a tie). Im still not a believer in a team with no winning culture in place, and despite of the upgrades and fantasy like dreams of a Super Bowl by the pundits and their supporters, I believe we should all temper our expectations at least for now on how good the Browns will be this season. I also don't think they deserve to road favs in this spot vs a hard nosed NY Jets team that matches up fairly well against them. With that said, Im recommending we take the points here tonight. 

Cleveland 0-3 ATS L/3 Monday night tilts. NY Jets are 5-1 ATS L/6 in this series. Cleveland is 2-12 ATS L/14 coming off a loss.

Road teams vs. the money line (CLEVELAND) - after being beaten by the spread by more than 35 points in their previous game, in conference games are 4-24 SU L/36 seasons for a go against  85% conversion rate for bettors.

NFL Favorites (CLEVELAND) - team with a poor scoring defense last season - allowed 24 or more points/game, after a playing a game where 50 total points or more were scored are 15-40 ATS since 1983 for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the NY Jets to cover 

Philadelphia's Darren Sproles, Jordan Howard and rookie Miles Sanders combined for 116 yards rushing on 26 carries in Week 1 against Washington, helping the Eagles rally from a 17-point deficit for a 32-27 win. This Philadelphia team looked rejuvenated and like they were on a mission, and have momentum and chip on their shoulders coming into this game against the Atlanta Hawks a team that coming off a ugly looking 28-12 defeat  at Minnesota in the season opener. Note: The Falcons were gashed by the  Vikings   for 172 yards on the ground and the three headed monster of Sproles, Howard and Sanders should be ready for a field day here on Sunday night Football. 

Quinn  the Falcons HC has now lost 11 of his last 18 games going back to the playoffs and is fade material according to my power rankings. 

Philadelphia is 5-0 SU/ATS away vs a side of a  away SU loss.Eagles are 12-5-1 ATS in their last 18 meetings.

Falcons are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.Falcons are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.

ATLANTA is 1-9 ATS in all games where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 over the last 2 seasons.Eagles are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games.

NFL Underdogs  (ATLANTA) - after trailing in their previous game by 14 or more points at the half against opponent after scoring 30 points or more last game are 3-32 SU L/5 seasons for a  go against 94% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Philadelphia Eagles to  cover 

The Chicago Bears and the Denver Broncos are both off opening week losses, and will be primed to bounce back.

The Bears offense managed just 254 yards in their opening loss last Thursday, but the defense held the Packers to 213 yards, including allowing Aaron Rodgers to throw for just 166 yards and Im betting they will be key to slowing down QB Joe Flacco and  the Broncos here in this tilt. The Bears have had extra rest , while Denver is on short rest. Note: Broncos are 4-10-1 ATS in their last 15 games when playing on Sunday following a Monday night game. Green By is 3-0 ATS vs teams coming off aMonday night game.

Bears are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

CHICAGO is 20-6 ATS against AFC West division opponents since 1992.Since 2014, a team like the Bears that did not cover at home in Week 1, and is on the road in Week 2, is 22-7 ATS (75%) in that Week 2 away tilt.

DENVER is 0-6 ATS off a loss against a division rival over the last 3 seasons and is is 0-8 ATS after trailing in their previous game by 14 or more points at the half over the last 3 seasons.

 NFL Home teams (DENVER) - poor passing defense from last season - allowed 7 or more passing yards/attempt, in non-conference games are 8-30 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Chicago Bears to cover 

WNBA Playoffs - 2nd Round - Single Elimination

Today Im betting on the  LA Sparks  continue their home dominance Sunday against the defending champion Seattle Storm in the second round of the WNBA playoffs. L.A. was 15-2 at home during the regular season and has not lost at Staples Center since June 18.  Two of those home victories came against No. 6 seed Seattle and a 3rd win is coming today.

LOS ANGELES is 10-2 ATS  in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season with the average diff coming in at +9.7 ppg. LOS ANGELES is 8-1 ATS  in home games versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 73+ points/game after 15+ games this season with average ppg diff of +14.1 ppg.

WNBA Road underdogs (SEATTLE) - revenging a loss versus opponent by 10 points or more, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% after 15 or more games are 1-33 SU L/5 seasons.

Play on the LA Sparks to cover 

Cubs starter Jose Quintana (13-8, 4.15 ERA, 143 SO) has seen his team supply him with a  average seven runs a game in all his starts since the All-Star break, helping him to a 7-1 record in the second half. Today Im betting on more huge run support. Note:The Cubs are 8-0 on the ML as a home 200+ favorite after they won by five-plus runs and it is not a series opener. winning by an average of 6.4 runs per game and thus qualify as a solid runline favs in a favourable matchup vs the Pirates.

Cubs are 8-0 in Quintanas last 8 starts vs. National League Central.Cubs are 59-19 in their last  home games vs. a team with a losing record.Cubs are 5-0 in Quintanas last 5 starts vs. Pirates.Pirates are 0-6 in the last 6 meetings in Chicago.

Play on the Chicago Cubs -1.5 runline 

This is a battle of NFC North competitors here this Sunday as the Minnesota Vikings and Green put  their early season undefeated records on the line. Both are off wins , but the Packers looked better in their win than the Vikings who were out gained 345-269 but still managed to win vs Atlanta.  Here today Im betting home field advantage will hold.  Hey, I know the Packers have not beaten the Vikings since the 2016 season, but that means this crowd and the Packers are going to be up for this tilt and play with a lot of energy. Note: Rodgers  is 23-6-1 SU in  his career in home division games, and 11-0-1 SU in the first 6 games of the season at home vs division rivals. We all know how proud Aaron Rodgers is and how much pride this franchise has as a whole. Its early and I could change my mind, based as the season progresses, but there seems to be something special abut this group of Cheese Heads, and for now Im betting on that to be on full display here today. 

Minnesota has only won 2 of their L/11 road openers vs division opponents.Vikings are 1-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.Home team is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.

Play on the Green Bay Packers to cover 

The Steelers were embarrassed last week vs the New England Pats by a score of 33-3 in their road opener and now they will be out looking for redemption in front of their home town fans this Sunday. No pro likes to be embarrassed and Ben Rothlisberger is a prime example of this , winning and covering 8 straight SU/ATS after losing by 18 or more points. Im betting the Steelers bounce back here vs a Seattle team that is just 2-12 ATS and 1-12-1 SU L/13 road openers dating back to the 2005 campaign. 

The last  two times these 2 teams met here in Pittsburgh the Steelers won 24-0 and 21-0 and another strong effort is on todays agenda. 

PITTSBURGH is 108-79 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.  

NFL Favorites (PITTSBURGH) - after trailing in their previous game by 14 or more points at the half are 59-27 . ATS L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Pittsburgh Steelers to cover 

The Orange were annihilated last week as favs by a  63-20 count at Maryland. Im betting that this team was more focused on their upcoming game against the Tigers than the Terps.  Despite of public recency bias, based on results Dino Babers knows how to slow Clemson as Syracuse only lost by 4 at Clemson a year ago, and was undefeated at  6-0 at home in 2018 and must be respected getting this many points in the Carrier Dome. Note: Clemson is 0-8 ATS L/8  on the road as 20 or more favs. 

Take the points with Syracuse to cover 

Hawaii despite of being porous on D, have enough offensive weapons to stay within the number here vs a over rated Washington side. The public and pundits are expecting the Huskies to bounce back this week after being upset by California 20-19. But Im betting this weeks expected  victory will not come so easily . Note: In the L/14 seasons, ranked teams after a loss like Washington have gone 244-300-14 (44%) against the spread (ATS) .  From a head to head historical reference Washington leads the series 3-2 SU with the last two meetings featuring wins for the Huskies by 1point at Hawaii in 2014, and by 8 points  at home in 2011. 

Play on Hawaii to cover 

Florida has owned Kentucky at home winning 15 straight here vs the Wildcats, and Im betting nothing changes today as the home team goes into battle without their starting QB Terry Wilson who is expected to be out for the season with a knee injury. Because of the injury the line is a plus TD for the favs Florida . Im big on value lines, but Im betting this is not one of them. Note:Kentucky is 3-23 ATS in its last twenty-six straight-up losses at home.

Mullen is 10-0 ATS after playing 2 straight non-conference games in all games he has coached since 1992. ( Mullens team 29.2 vs  opp 15 ppg)

CFB road team (FLORIDA) - good offensive team from last season - scored 31 or more points/game, after allowing 6 points or less last game are 35-11 ATS L/10 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors.

CFB road team (FLORIDA) - good rushing team from last season - averaged 200 or more rushing yards/game, after allowing 125 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games are 44-14 ATS L/27 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Florida Gators to cover 

Montreal comes in  to this tilt vs Saskatchewan having won three consecutive games and are now  6-4, on the season with momentum on their sides. Meanwhile, the Roughriders after  getting their butts handed to them 35-10 in the  Banjo Bowl  at the hands of the division-leading Blue Bombers will now be in a bit of a letdown situation. They were sky high for the above mentioned beatdown and still got clobbered which Im betting will effect their confidence going forward. 

MONTREAL is 9-1 ATS when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.

MONTREAL is 6-0 ATS in a road game where the total is between 49.5 and 52 over the last 2 seasons.

SASKATCHEWAN is 18-36 ATS  after having won 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games since 1996 and is 0-5 ATS L/5 September games.

CFL Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (MONTREAL) - with a poor passing D - allowing 300 or more passing yards/game are 34-6 ATS L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Montreal Als to cover 

 After being blasted by KState 52-0 last week it might be hard for some to see some light when its comes to BGSU. However , I do expect the Green Falcons to bounce back this week in their home coming tilt and make a game of this vs visiting Louisiana  Tech.  Im betting on the Falcons  to establish a run game with Clair, Frye, and a big OL, and keep themselves within the number. 

Bulldogs are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall.Bulldogs are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games on fieldturf.

Falcons are 35-17-1 ATS in their last 53 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.

 Bowling Green to cover 

Im betting on two long time instate non conference rivals to go to head in a real battle for the Cy-Hawk Trophy this week, despite of recency bias favoring Iowa. The Hawkeyes are just 2-5 ATS as conference road favs and the home team in this series has covered 3 straight times . I know Iowa State did not look great in their opener, but   Iowa State is coming off a  bye week and has spent that time getting energized and preparing for their big rivalry matchup.

Campbell is 9-2 ATS as a home underdog as the coach of IOWA ST.

Play on Iowa State to cover 

Memphis has started their season winning their first two home games including a week 1 15-10  victory vs Ole Miss and an easy 55-24 victory vs a FCS opponent Southern last week. Now in a let down spot vs a tough Sun belt opponent South Alabama Im betting covering this number will not come easily. MEMPHIS is 1-9 ATS in road games off 2 consecutive home wins since 1992.MEMPHIS is 4-15 ATS  after gaining 575 or more total yards in their previous game since 1992 and is 13-33 ATS after scoring 42 points or more last game since 1992.

Memphis is just 3-16 SU in their L/19 road openers.

Play on South Alabama to cover 

The Mounties are coming off a 38-7 beat down  at Missouri  and now are being given a home dog classification by the lines-makers vs a over rated NC State football program that just got finished beating up on two sub par Carolina programs(East and Coastal). I know that West Virginia might be down a few notches this season with just 10 returning starters, and have a new head coach, but this line is over blown thanks to recency bias thus giving us value according to my projections. Note: West Virginia 20-1 L/21 at home vs non conference opposition.

NC STATE is 8-22 ATS as a road favorite of 7 points or less since 1992.

CFB Home underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (W VIRGINIA) - excellent passing team from last season - had a completion pct of 62% or better, in non-conference games are 32-9 ATS L/27seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.

CFB Home underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (W VIRGINIA) - good offense from last season - averaged 400 or more total yards/game, in non-conference games are 33-11 ATS L/10 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on West Virginia to cover 

Temple and Maryland have  alot of  similarities this season. New head coaches and offensive systems. Inexperienced top tier  talent everywhere. According to my power ranking projections both all match up very well, and Im not going to be swayed by Maryland 2 lopsided wins in the first couple of weeks of this season.

CFB Home underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (TEMPLE) - team that had a winning record last season, in non-conference games are 74-33 L/27 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors.

CFB Home underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (TEMPLE) - good offense from last season - averaged 400 or more total yards/game, in non-conference games are 33-11 ATS L/10 seasons for a 75% conversion rate. 

Play on the Temple Owls to cover 

Tonight Im betting a talented blue collar group in Kansas State under new HC Chris Klieman, will give a over rated Mississippi State program a much closer battle than many might anticipate. Kansas State annihilated their first two opponents, and  while the Bulldogs also won their first two games they were far from spectacular, and with starting QB Tommy Stevens enduring a shoulder injury last week and backup QB Garrett Shrader expected  to start  further credence is added to my call .( Even if Sharder starts Im still expect KState to play a jack in the box role today metaphorically speaking-suprise suprise )

 Mississippi State is in a look ahead revenge mode for their  SEC season opener against Kentucky next week and may not be fully focused here, giving us value with the dog.

New Kansas State head coach Chris Klieman, has won 23 away games in a row and knows how to get his troops prepared in the visitors role. 

CFB Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (KANSAS ST) - after scoring 42 points or more in 2 straight games are 43-15 ATS L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.

CFB road team (KANSAS ST) - allowing 225 or less total yards/game over their last 2 games, with an experienced QB vs. opponent with inexperienced QB are 93-47 ATS L/27 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Kansas State Wildcats to cover 

Lovie Smiths Illinois is up-trending, with two straight wins to start their campaign but Im betting they will have their hands full with a Eastern Michigan side that is 21-7-1 ATS in its last 29 on the road. Meanwhile, Illinois is  just 4-10 ATS in its last 14 versus an opponent from the MAC and still don't have a winning culture in place as is evident by going 13-57 Su  in regular season games over the last 12 seasons. Yes, Eastern Michigan lost to Kentucky last week 38-17 and failed to cover as 16 point dogs,  but this hard nosed never say die group deserves our respect as does the football program that has gone 12-1 ATS L/13 vs .500 or better opposition and that is 7-0 ATS in road games after 1 or more consecutive straight up losses over the last 3 seasons.

Play on Eastern Michigan to cover 

The Redblacks are coming off their biggest meltdown of the season, a 46-17 loss to the last place, and provincial rival Toronto Argos. Coach Campbell of Ottawa was visibly upset and equally embarrassed and Im betting he motivates his team to bounce back here in a game vs another under performing team the BC . Lions. 

OTTAWA is 8-1 ATS as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points over the last 3 seasons.

BRITISH COLUMBIA is 3-12 ATS in home games versus awful passing teams averaging 6.9 or less passing yards/att - after 9 or more games since 1996.. OTTAWA is 6-0 ATS  in road games after allowing 350 or more passing yards in their last game over the last 3 seasons. Campbell is 12-4 ATS in road games versus poor rushing teams - averaging 90 or less rushing yards/game as the coach of OTTAWA.

CFL Underdogs or pick (OTTAWA) - off an upset loss to a division rival as a favorite, with a losing record are 46-18 ATS L/26 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Take the points with Ottawa to cover 

 Tonights tilt at NRG Stadium, the home of the Texans will see the vast majority of the crowd rooting for Houston. which Im betting will give them a edge.

It must be noted that Washington States HC   Leach is  just 2-7 ATS in weekday games and 5-14-2 ATS going against  .500 or better non-conference opposition . Leach is also 0-7 ATS in road games after 2 consecutive games where they forced 3 or more turnovers in all games he has coached since 1992.

With a top tier coach Dana Holgorsen, who stands 17-1 SU in non-conference games. and a Houston Cougars football program that are 13-1-1 ATS as 2 or more points underdogs we have  a viable side to back here tonight on ESPN. 

CFB Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (HOUSTON) - in non-conference games, in the first month of the season, bowl team from prior season who lost their last 2 games are 64-27 ATS L/27 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

CFB Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (HOUSTON) - porous defense from last season - allowed 425 or more total yards/game, with 8 or more offensive starters including the QB returning are 52-21 ATS L/27 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Houston Cougars to cover 

Minnesota and Seattle are deep teams with tons of experience and championship pedigree and both will not be easily intimated. The Minnesota Lynx enter the post season playing their best hoops of the season as is evident by winning 5 of their L/6 games while shooting an impressive 48 percent from the field in those 5 wins and are more than capable of pulling off the straight up upset here in their current form. I know Seattle has won all 3 games in this series this season, but my estimates still suggest we have leverage on this line getting 3 or more points.

Storm are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

WNBA team (MINNESOTA) - double revenge - 2 straight losses vs. opponent against opponent off a road win against a division rival are 48-23 ATS L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Minnesota Lynx to cover 

 The betting public are starting to be sold on the  Broncos, who   with QB Joe Flacco  now in the fold and Vic Fangio back as the defensive ordinator are considered possible play off contenders . However, the Raiders despite of being expected to be without suspended star Antonio Brown for this game are being looked upon as bad bets here this week after starting as 3 point favs . However in my usual contrarian fashion I now see some value in a situation this is being over blown. Quite honestly Brown has been a distraction to this team since being acquired and his absence may not be a bad thing. 

Broncos are 6-15 ATS in their last 21 vs. AFC.Broncos are 5-13 ATS in their last 18 road games.Broncos are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 vs. AFC West.Broncos are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 Monday games.Broncos are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall.Broncos are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games on grass.Broncos are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games in September.

Home team is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.

DENVER is 7-18 ATS in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.

Play on Oakland to cover 

The Texans had a good record in 2018 but it was all smoke and mirrors and they lost in the play offs in humiliating fashion by a 21-7 count vs the Colts as chalk, barely mustering a fight and now this season Im betting things will not get much better, starting tonight against explosive New Orleans Saints. The bottom line here is that the Texans  just don't have the firepower to hang with the Saints in their home Opener on prime time TV where the Saints will want to start to with a bang after last seasons horrific officiating  call that was partially responsible for eliminating them from the play offs.  Note: Week one underdogs like the Texans of at least two or more points are 0-16 ATS/SU L/16 when they were beaten by 12 or more points  ATS  in their first playoff game last season with the average margin loss coming by 13.4 ppg. I know the Saints have lost their L/5 openers but all good and bad things must eventually come to an end.

Texans are 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 road games.Texans are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.Texans are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 Monday games.

Favorite is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.Home team is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.

Play on the New Orleans Saints to cover 

New England willed their way to a Super Bowl championship last season , but in no way shape or form were they as over powering during the reg season as many might have thought, and now the departure of Gronk , Bradys main downfield target will see the team Im betting slowly adjust to his absence. Tonight Im also betting on Roethlisberger and company to make a game of this here at Gillette Stadium. Note: Big Ben  is 35-18-2 ATS career as a underdog in the NFL  and has won 30 of those games SU.  Meanwhile, the Pats have failed to cover 8 of their L/11 at home under the Sunday night lights.

Tomlin is 30-19 ATS as an underdog as the coach of PITTSBURGH.

The Steelers are 7-1 ATS  since Dec 13, 2015 as a road dog.

The Steelers are 4-0 ATS L/4 as a dog.

NFL Favorites (NEW ENGLAND) - in the first month of the season, after closing out last season strong with 2 or more straight wins are 23-51 ATS L/10 seasons for a 69%  go against conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Pittsburgh Steelers to cover 

Super Bowl teams like the Rams that lost have been bad bets in their followup campaign are just 17-31-1 ATS in non division road games as chalk dating back 19 seasons.It must also be noted that Defending Super Bowl loser in Game One of the season if they are away and facing a non-conference opponent are 1-15 ATS L/16 seasons. The Rams qualify here under those perimeters. Meanwhile, Carolina is according to my preseason power rankings a very under rated team that deserves respect as home dogs against any team in this league.Carolina is 5-0 ATS L/5 at home in this series vs the Rams and gets my support here today.

Panthers are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 home games.Rams are 5-13 ATS in their last 18 games in Week 1.

Take the points with Carolina to cover

Mac Brown return as  coach of North Carolina was impressive as he took out rival South Carolina.  Now coming home his young men are feeling confident, which the same cannot be said, about a Miami Fl side that was run over by a speedy Florida D in game one losing by a 24-20 count. Last week the Gamecocks had just 270 total yards and went 3 for 13 on third down and Im betting they can slow the Canes in this spot.  Meanwhile, N.Carolina;s new Offensive coordinator Phil Longo, previously of Ole Miss knows how to fire up a offence with different looks and Im betting he has this Canes D on their heels here today. Possible upset in the making , which makes getting points here a viable investment opportunity.  HC Mac  Brown’s career numbers  are 14-0 last fourteen home openers) and 4-0 ATS as a conference home dog against opposition coming off a loss like the Miami Canes. 

Play on N.Carolina Tarheels to cover 

Western Michigan has one the most talented experienced returning groups in the nation ( production wise) and won't be intimidated by the Michigan State Spartans. Considering look ahead tilts to Arizona State and Northwestern on deck over the next couple of weeks, Dantonio and company may not be fully focused on this up trending opponent which gives us value taking the underdog here. 

The Spartans are just 3-14 ATS L/17 at home in non conference action and 0-5 ATS L5 as 14 or more favourites.

MLB Road underdogs (W MICHIGAN) - good offense from last season - averaged 400 or more total yards/game, after out-gaining opp by 125 or more total yards in their previous game and  48-18 ATS L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate.

Play on Western Michigan to cover 

Wyoming according to my projections is being over rated here vs Texas State. Giving us value taking the points . 

Texas State had the No. 5 defense in the Sun Belt Conference in 2018, allowing 383.9 yards per game. Almost everyone returns this year and should continue to uptrend. With new  HC Jake Spavital’s at the helm of the team the offence should also see improvement. The old ball coach has proven himself over and over again with seven previous coaching stops, his last three as an offensive coordinator for Power 5 schools.Texas State trails 2-1 in the all-time series, but the hosting team has won each game. Home field advantage will be the difference maker here again this week vs Wyoming. 

Bohl is 6-15 ATS  in September games as the coach of WYOMING

CFB Home underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (TEXAS ST) - after allowing 6.25 or more yards/play in their previous game, with 8 or more offensive starters including the QB returning, in the first month of the season are 22-3 ATS L/26 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Texas State to cover 

Florida International-was crushed last week vs Tulane 42-14, while Western Kentucky came out flat and was upset loss vs  FCS Central Arkansas 35-28 as 10 point favs. 

There is a new HC in Western Kentucky as Helton takes over and gets 10 returning starters to build with. It might not seem like it after getting upset by a FCS side, last week but  returning production and S&P+ projections for telling  the Hilltoppers to improve to 101st overall,  with a 6-6 record brings hope . With all 5 starters back on the O-line Im expecting bigger and better things from this Hilltoppers offence as the season progresses, starting today vs Florida International team that allowed 42 points to Tulane side that struggled mightily on offence last season.

FLA INTERNATIONAL is 9-21 ATS after being outrushed by 150 or more yards last game since 1992.

CFB Road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (W KENTUCKY) - in conference games, off a upset loss as a double digit home favorite are 48-16 ATS  L/27 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on W.Kentucky to cover 

Georgia State pulled of an enormous upset last week beating Tennessee in what will probably be the biggest upset of the year. Now in an equally enormous let down situation Georgia State is being over rated in this spot on what my own projections make a bloated line giving us value backing Furman getting points. It must be noted that Furman runs a triple option attack, and last year Georgia State rush D was atrocious and allowed huge chunks of ground yardage on individual plays from scrimmage and today their inadequacies will be exposed.

Play on Furman to cover

Maine  is as tough as nails defensively behind their now infamous “Black Hole” defense that returns almost all their starters.  The Black Bears  rush D, was of the top tier variety last season on the FCS and they will once again be hard to run against and more than prepared to slow down Georgia Southern’s triple option attack. Meanwhile, with Georgia Southerns junior quarterback Shai Werts is  banged up after last weeks run in with LSU and less than 100% the Eagles are being over rated.  Bottom line here this is a nasty FCS group that Georgia Southern will face here today and a win wont come easily for them, thus Im recommending we take the points.

Play on the Maine Black Bears to cover 

UCLA still looks like its going to be while before they morph into a better team as last week they  managed just 218 yards and 14 points against  Cincinnati. Now this week off a tough as nails San Diego State D, that shut out their opening week opponent , the Bruins will once again having issues putting points on the board. The Bruins Quarterback Dorian Thompson-Robinson looked like a deer lost in headlights at times in week one, and his PTSD experience of fumbling twice and throwing two interceptions should spark more atrophy here.On the flip side   I know San Diego State Quarterback Ryan Agnew did not look good last week and his top tier running back Juwan Washington on a tender ankle had just 55 yards  last week in their 6-o win but, I don't think they wanted to open their play book and give the Bruins anything to look at. This week will be different. 

Aztecs are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.Aztecs are 16-5 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.

Bruins are 2-11 ATS in their last 13 non-conference games.Bruins are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games in September.Bruins are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.

CFB Road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (SAN DIEGO ST) - in the first month of the season, after closing out last season with 2 or more straight losses, team that had a winning record last season are 43-14 ATS L/27 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on San Diego State to cover 

Jimbo Fisher has been competitive in previous tilts vs Dabo Swinney. Last season, Texas A&M gave Clemson fits in a a 28-26 victory by the Tigers in which the Aggies had more total yards.   Texas A&M head coach has beaten Clemson or stayed within 10 points in a loss in previous recent meetings. This Texas A&M team is built to stand tall against teams like Clemson and Im betting we have value taking points here this week.

TEXAS A&M is 12-1 ATS  after playing a game at home over the last 3 seasons. ( Texas A&M beat Texas St in week 1 at home)Fisher is 21-7 ATS  after allowing 75 or less rushing yards last game in all games he has coached since 1992. 

CFB road team (TEXAS A&M) - after a game where they forced 4 or more turnovers against opponent after a game where they committed 3 or more turnovers are 40-13 ATS L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate.

CFB Road underdogs (TEXAS A&M) - good offense from last season - averaged 400 or more total yards/game, after outgaining opp by 125 or more total yards in their previous game are 48-18 ATS L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Texas A&M Aggies to cover 

Colorado won last year's meeting 33-28 in Lincoln and despite of Nebraska wanting revenge and  their stock in an up-trending mode Im betting the Buffaloes will be a hand full for them. The Huskers despite of always getting alot of public support have lost 7 straight road games and if they end their current negative run  Im betting it won't come easily. 

The Buffaloes smashed Colorado State last week 52-31. Note:Buffaloes are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points.Buffaloes are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.

Cornhuskers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games.Cornhuskers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games in September.

CFB Home underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (COLORADO) - excellent passing team from last season - had a completion pct of 62% or better, in non-conference games are 31-8 ATS L/27 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Colorado Buffs to cover 

Ottawa is having a bad season, and the usual hard nosed type of football they play under Campbell their coach is almost non existent. Meanwhile, Toronto, after dismal start to their campaign, have shown some spark lately winning on the road vs a a top tier Winnipeg team 4 weeks ago, and staying fairly competitive in recent games as  McLeod Bethel-Thompson has thrown for 300-plus yards in six of his 10 appearances this season and he hasn’t been picked off in his last four outings.  I know the Argos will not inspire bettors, but according to my current projections they matchup well vs the Red Black that has lost 7 of their L/8 and get my support here getting points. 

OTTAWA is 0-7 ATS  in home games versus terrible defensive teams - allowing 430 or less yards/game since 1996.

OTTAWA is 5-24 ATS  versus poor passing defenses - allowing 300 or more passing yards/game since 1996.

CFL Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (TORONTO) - with a poor passing D - allowing 300 or more passing yards/game are 33-6 ATS L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Toronto Argos to cover 

Boise State after travelling out to the east coast and erasing a DD deficit for a win vs Florida State last week will now be in a letdown spot. Yes, it is the Broncos home opener, but according to my power rankings Marshall is the type of team that is built to stay competitive against this type of opponent via a already solid defence and offence that has enough returning starters to make some noise. 

Harsin is 0-7 ATS  as a home favorite of 10.5 to 14 points as the coach of BOISE ST. Harsin is 1-9 ATS  after gaining 375 or more passing yards in last game as the coach of BOISE ST. 

CFB Home favorites (BOISE ST) - after allowing 100 or less rushing yards last game against opponent after outrushing opponent by 200 or more yards last game are 16-44 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Marshall to cover 

Two non play off teams the Fever and the Liberty go head to head here tonight in NY where Im betting the home team has the edge. NY won the last meeting by a 82-76 count at Indiana last time out. In the first game of the year between these sides in NY the Fever won 81-80 on a buzzer beater. Im projections make this a close game, but home court and desperation have me backing them taking points.

INDIANA is 5-18 ATS   versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.INDIANA is 2-13 ATS   versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game on the season after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.

WNBA Underdogs (NEW YORK) - terrible team - outscored by their opponents by 6+ points/game, after 4 straight games where both teams scored 70 points or more are 42-19 ATS L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the NY Liberty to cover 

The battle of Alberta between Edmonton 6-4 and Calgary 5-4 has the makings of a hard fought battle, that makes getting points a golden opportunity. Both sides are off home losses as it might seem their attention might have been in a look ahead spot and  diverted to this inter provincial rivalry. 

Eskimos are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.Eskimos are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games in Week 12.Eskimos are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss

Stampeders are 6-14 ATS in their last 20 games following a ATS loss.Stampeders are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games.Stampeders are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games in Week 12.Stampeders are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up loss.

CFL Underdogs or pick (EDMONTON) - revenging a same season loss versus opponent, off an upset loss to a division rival as a favorite are 38-11 ATS L/23 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Edmonton Eskimos to cover 

Jake Odorizzi (14-6, 3.55 ERA), is 5-1 with a 3.05 ERA in 10 starts. He's 3-0 with a 1.93 ERA in four career outings at Comerica Park and gets my support here today. He has allowed one run in 13 innings against the Tigers in 2019. Meanwhile, the Home Run heavy Twins look well equiped to beat up on a 2 seam fastball hitter in Zimmerman who is  1-9,  along with a bloated 6.24 ERA.

MINNESOTA is 13-1 SU vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 5.90 or worse this season with the average run diff clicking in at 5 rpg. 

DETROIT is 3-22 SU in home games vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better this season with the average run diff clicking at at 4.6 rpg.

Play on the Minnesota Twins to win on the RL -1.5

Lynx star Maya Moore is sitting out and fellow superstar Seimone Augustus not 100 percent and with a play off spot locked up Im betting we see this team more interested in staying healthy than playing all out hoops. With that said, look for up and coming star rookie Teaira McCowan (9.6 ppg, 8.8 rpg) to lead Indiana in what Im betting will be a competitive effort. 

MINNESOTA is 2-12 ATS L/14 in home games after playing 3 consecutive home games.

WNBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (INDIANA) - after having won 2 of their last 3 games, a bad team, winning 25% to 40% of their games after 15 or more games are 58-19 ATS L/22 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Indiana to cover 

 Texas  upset Georgia in the Sugar Bowl, 28-21 and since than Longhorns nation has been standing proud. .  However, with  starting QB Ehlinger  now having to deal with three of his starting offensive linemen gone  and  current group RBs banged up in camp as per reports Im betting the sledding could be a lot tougher than many might expect.    On defence the Longhorns have to replace three starting defensive linemen, two LBs and both starting CBs.  I know that Texas will be motivated to honour former RB Cedric Benson who passed a couple of weeks ago in a motorcycle accident, but covering the number here could still prove difficult considering the alliterations  this  football program will have to endure here early in the season. Meanwhile, HC Skip  Holtz remains a very good coach and  operates and  recruits a never say die group of kids that have endured  five  1-point losses over the last three seasons. Im betting he once again makes life difficult for an opponent, and gets us the cover.  It must be noted that Texas has failed to cover 19 of their L/27 as non conference favs while Holtz on the other hand  thrives in the underdog role cashing  (49 of the L/63 times for a 77% conversion rate for bettors).Holtz is  also 34-16 ATS as a road underdog in all games he has coached since 1992. 

Bulldogs are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 non-conference games.Bulldogs are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games in August.Bulldogs are 38-18 ATS in their last 56 road games.

Play on LA Tech to cover 

LSU's Orgeron is a well liked coach,  but from a bettors perspective his backers may not be all that fond of   him considering his 0-4 ATS record in his last four non-conference home games, and his  1-4 ATS record as a favorite of 21 or more points. It must also be noted last season, against SE Louisiana a lower tier football team, the Bayou Bengals  looked very average and unmotivated. Today a under rated Georgia Southern team off a 10 win campaign must  not be underestimated in their abilities to find a way to cover here today vs a behemoth SEC foe.HC Chad Lunsfords reinstatement of the power running game, made GSouthern dangerous and nothing changes today. The Eagles are 3-0 ATS all time vs SEC and have covered 5 of their L/6 as 20 point or more underdogs. With Texas on board for Oregeron and company, the Tigers full attention, might be lacking making them unreliable favs here despite of public perceptions. 

LSU is 0-6 ATS in home games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons. 

Play on  Georgia Southern to cover 

Pittsburgh's QB Kenny Pickett is a veteran quarterback and under rated and , his receiving corps is of the top tier variety and wont be intimidated by Virginia's experienced D. Meanwhile, on my over rated charts,Cav QB Bryce Perkins is key here, as he and his team are expected by most pundits to win their conference this season. But today things wont come easily vs a well coached Panthers team that has won 4 straight in this series grabs the cash.

Play on Pittsburgh to cover 

UTSA has bigger and better athletes, and despite of what Incarnate Word was able to do in a lower tier division their out of their league ( co champions and undefated in San Antonio) and should be pounded by the Roadrunners as this tilt progresses. No one is going to take UIW for granted , thus Im expecting an all out effort by UTSA, which makes this an easy lay.

Play on UTSA to cover 

Lobos are in a transition season with new dynamics and schemes and are expected to possibly highlight four QBs today. Needless to say their cohesiveness could be tested. Meanwhile, the Sam Houston BearKats come in nationally ranked, 22nd in the preseason poll by Stats FCS, and must not be underestimated in their ability to cover here vs a team like New Mexico. 

Lobos are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite.   Lobos are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games in August. Lobos are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a home favorite of 3.5-10.0. Lobos are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games as a favorite. Lobos are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 home games.v  Lobos are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog.

Play on Sam Houston to cover 

The public is all over Alabama but it must be noted that  HC Saban has been inconsistent as a large favorite  covering just 11 of 33 games when favored by 30 or more points. Meanwhile, Duke HC Cutcliffe is 15-3 SU lifetime in season openers with the three losses coming by an average of 5.56 ppg. 

 The Blue Devils return the top two rushers and the most experienced part  of their defense. abd look fairly solid and more than capable of being competitive. Meanwhile, Alabama loses Damien Harris and most of the offensive line and it must also be noted that this game is being played at the Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, where  QB Tagovailoa had a bad game while looking uncomfortable playing on that surface ,converting just t 10-of-25 passes  for just  165 yards and 2 interceptions against Georgia in the SEC Championship game. Could this environment trigger a PTSD event? Im betting it does . 

DUKE is 6-0 ATS  as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.DUKE is 24-8 ATS in games played on turf.

ALABAMA is 8-19 ATS  when the total is between 56.5 and 63 since 1992.DUKE is 28-13 ATS when the total is between 56.5 and 63 since 1992.

Take the points with Duke to cover 

 Superdome - New Orleans, LA

The Mississippi State Bulldogs delivered  8 wins   last season and  ranked No. 1 in the nation in defence and this season Im betting their offence chips in and makes this side very under rated. Meanwhile, the Ragin Cajuns despite of a top tier recruiting class and success last season in a 7 win campaign, are over matched here today. The Cajuns might be out looking for revenge for a  56-10  smash down last season to the Bulldogs, but Im betting they will fail as they make it 36 straight losses to a SEC school. Note: UL-Lafayette are  an ugly 0-28 ATS in their last 28 SU home losses versus lined opponents.

CFB Favorites of 10.5 to 21 points (MISSISSIPPI ST) - excellent rushing team from last season - averaged 5.25 or more rushing yards/carry are 81-36 ATS L/27 seasons for a 69% covnersion rate for bettors.

Play on the Mississippi State Bulldogs to cover 

Toledo continues to recruit top tier offensive players as was  evident by  scoring at least 50 points in six games during their  2018 campaign, and something that will aid them covering here today . Meanwhile, Kentucky is a depleted team  with players going to the NFL and other departures that no longer make them a contender in the SEC.    Mark Stoops has his work cut out for him this season, and some serious regression is not out of the question. It must be noted as far as this matchup is involved the Wildcats are being over rated in my humble betting opinion. Note Kentucky is  1-7 ATS as home favourite the past two seasons, while the Rockets are 7-2 ATS  in road openers . The MAC owns a 9-0 ATS L/9 record  vs SEC  opposition. 

KENTUCKY is 0-6 ATS  in home games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.

CFB road team (TOLEDO) - poor defense from last season - allowed 400 or more total yards/game, with 5 defensive starters returning, in the first two weeks of the season are 61-27 L/27 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Toledo Rockets to cover 

This bet is not so much about Lovie Smiths Illinois even though Im betting they will be significantly better this season, but this bet is rather about  the matchup discrepancies here today , that favor Illinois. The Zips have a completely new coaching staff, and only have a couple returning starters on the defensive side of the ball back,  and a new offensive scheme that will take time to be cohesive.I know the MAC has a reputation for doing well against the Big10 in the past, but today the Big 1o will dominate .

Illinois in their 4 wins last season averaged 39.5 ppg so they can score when in a groove and should prove even better this season. Overall from a historical standpoint it must also be noted  that Illini have won 21 straight home openers by an average of 24 points per game. 

CFB Favorites of 10.5 to 21 points (ILLINOIS) - excellent rushing team from last season - averaged 5.25 or more rushing yards/carry are 81-36 ATS  L/27 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Illinois to cover 

Last season the Michigan State Spartans ranked 127th in scoring nationally  and put up an average of 8 ppg in their final 4 tilts. It was a frikin embarrassment. However, Im betting they will be improved this season , but tonight they might not show off their improved attack and playbook options  as the Spartys have a  reputation for staring slowly  failing to cover 4 of their L/5 openers and are also 0-6 ATS as home chalk of more than 17 points.  Meanwhile, Tulsa behind  head man Phil Montgomery have really been bitten the by the injury bug the last couple of seasons, but have remained fairly competitive  behind a under rated D as they have eight one-possession losses,  Note:The Golden Hurricane were ranked eighth in the country in pass defense last season. With alot of experience returning this season and Montgomerys need to post some wins to save his job Im betting on him pulling out all the stops this season. Considering  Tulsa  has covered 6 of their L/7 ATS as a under dog of 20 or more points they get my support here vs what we can usually count on to be a disinterested  Mark Dantonio group.

Play on the Tulsa Canes to cover 

Army had a tremendous season in 2018, and some regression must be expected this around especially with their two top Full Backs gone, and a new defensive coordinator in the fold . But hey Art Monkin has done a great job with the Black Knights and they should be fine this season. However today they go against a very under rated Rice squad with a huge amount of returning experience in the lineup, and with some luck the Owls won't be as injury prone as last season ie ( 4 QBS played last year). Army because of their recent success is now a public team but because of this we are getting a decent line to bet into here with the underdog, especially considering that I highly doubt that Army will open up their  playbook this week with Jim Harbaughs Michigan up next. I also expect the Knights may not play their starters late into this tilt, which gives credence to back door cover opportunities if need be. Note: Rice HC Bloomgren has said he has been preparing for Army's Triple option since last February. 

Rice has cashed 10 of their L/15 as 20 point or more dogs. Army has failed to cover 15 of their L/24 as DD favorites( 38%). Army is 4-11 ATS L/15 season openers. 

CFB Home favorites of 21.5 or more points (ARMY) - good defense from last season - allowed 315 or less total yards/game, with an experienced QB vs. opponent with inexperienced QB, in the first two weeks of the season are 16-44 ATS L/27 seasons for a go against  73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Rice Owls to cover 

Texas State Im betting is a under rated commodity here in game 1 vs respected   Texas A&M football program However, this Bobcats team is loaded with experienced  players  with 19 returning starters and the O-Line completely intact.  Meanwhile,  the Aggies, despite of a decent season last year, have to now endure a new batch of players on defence, having to replace 6 of 7 players in the front 7, which will effect them here today. With Clemson up next for Texas A&M concentrating on this matchup, could be difficult. Texas State has also been solid as an underdog of 20 or more points cashing 5 of their L/6 opportunities, and Im betting they don't roll over so easily here, and find the way to get us a cover on a almost 5 TD spread.

Bobcats are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 road games.Bobcats are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games on grass.Bobcats are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall.

Aggies are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games in August.Aggies are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 Thursday games.

Play on Texas State to cover 

After winning 3 straight Dallas has dropped three straight and failed to cover  . But it must be noted that Agler is 36-20 ATS  after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games in all games he has coached since 1997. Its interesting to note that Chicago has average 44.3 % with their FG conversion rate at home, but DALLAS is 21-9 ATS when their opponents make 40% to 44% of their shots in a game over the last 3 seasons. 

Chicago Sky have already clinched a playoff berth, so playing all out here is not a priority. However staying healthy is , which makes for plenty of back door cover options if the Sky get up  big and rest their top players . 

WNBA Road underdogs (DALLAS) - after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games are 51-20 ATS L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors.

Dallas to cover 

The Baltimore Ravens go  into Washington with momentum as they ride a 16-game winning streak in pre-season play and have won and covered each of their three exhibition tilts this season.Rookie QB Trace McSorley  has looked tremendous and completed 19 of his 28 passing attempts for 203 yards, two touchdowns, last time out in a Ravens, win and should get more snaps tonight with Lamar Jackson not expected to play. Meanwhile, Washington despite of a preseason win last time out, is suffering through some scattered key injuries and will want to stay relatively healthy, going forward so Im betting they play alot of backups and  sort out the bottom half of the depth chart . Looks very much like Baltimore makes it 17 straight here, and covers for the 11th time in 13 trips to the gridiron. 

BALTIMORE is 10-1 ATS in all games over the last 3 seasons.BALTIMORE is 8-0 ATS after 1 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 3 seasons.

WASHINGTON is 5-15 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points .

Play on Baltimore to cover 

The Minnesota Vikings opened at 2.5 point dogs  vs the Buffalo Bils, but that number was knocked down, and now the value despite of the divergence still lies with the Vikings of favorites of 3 points. 

Zimmer is 12-4 ATS  in games where the line is +3 to -3 as the coach of MINNESOTA. Zimmer is 9-2 ATS  in road games as the coach of MINNESOTA. 

NFLX   teams where the line is +3 to -3 (MINNESOTA) - after a 2 game home stand against opponent after playing their last game on the road are 29-6 ATS L/10 seasons for a 83% conversion rate. 

NFLX Road teams (MINNESOTA) - off 2 consecutive home wins, undefeated in the preseason are 41-16 ATS L/27 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Minnesota Vikings to cover 

Coach Chip Kelly has 19 returning starters in the lineup and come into this season with experience and momentum after outgunning 3 of their L/4 opponents last season. Meanwhile, the Bearcats despite of being fairly solid team  , are 0-4 ATS L/4 in non conference home games and according to my projections could get lit up by QB Dorian Thompson-Robinson and RB  Joshua Kelley who could have a big day vs a D, that has lost their 3 top players from last season.  With instate rivals Ohio State on deck, we may not see the Bearcats fully focused and unreliable favs. 

Play on the UCLA Bruins to cover 

Phoenix has won the two meetings between the teams by a combined 11 points and Im betting on another close game , as both teams are competing for a play off birth against each other. The Mercury dont have as tough a path as Atlanta, but the Dream still have a chance if they can win their L/4 games of the season, so they wont easily fold here tonight. 

Atlanta has won 2 straight. 

WNBA Favorites (PHOENIX) - after going over the total by more than 12 points in two consecutive games are 73-129 ATS L/23 seasons for a go against 64% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Atlanta to cover 

Los Angeles' weakness is, perimeter defending, was again exposed as Washington knocked down  nine first-half 3-pointers and put the Sparks in a 17-point halftime hole and tonight Im betting they wont easily get off the matt after being KOd last time out. LA  has proven themselves at home but on the road they have lost  9 of 15 straight up and are fade material as hefty road favs. LOS ANGELES is 7-18 ATS off a road blowout loss by 20 points or more since 1997.

Home teams vs. the money line (INDIANA) - after leading in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half against opponent after a combined score of 155 points or more are 32-6 L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Indiana to cover 

Athletics starter Chris Bassitt has seen (9-5, 3.59 ERA, 117 SO) has een Left-handed batters hitting .198 off him compared to .255 against righties. He's close to averaging one strikeout per inning (117 in 125 1/3 innings) and his 1.18 WHIP is solid.

Athletics are 7-0 in Bassitts last 7 starts vs. American League Central.

Meanwhile,Royals right-handed starter Glenn Sparkman (3-9, 5.52 ERA),  has gone 0-4 with a 7.50 ERA in his past seven starts and is fade material here. 

Royals are 0-8 in Sparkmans last 8 starts vs. a team with a winning record.

OAKLAND is 30-8 SU vs. AL teams allowing 4.9 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons winning by an average of 3.4 rpg.OAKLAND is 28-5  against the money line vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons winning by an average of 3.4 rpg.

KANSAS CITY is 2-13  against the money line in home games vs. good fielding teams - averaging 0.6 or less errors/game in the second half of the season this season losing by an average of 3.9 rpg. 

Play on the Oakland AS on the runline -1.5 

The Washington Nationals starter Patrick Corbin(10-5, 3.17 ERA, 184 SO) ranked fifth in the NL in strikeouts, joining teammates Max Scherzer (second) and Stephen Strasburg (third) in the top five. His 1.76 ERA at home this year (12 starts) is the second-best home ERA in the NL and deserves his big chalk status here today. Meanwhile, his pitching opponent, Brooks despite of coming off a good effort vs a struggling team in KC, is just 1-4 with an 8.07 ERA in eight starts for Baltimore overall and fade material in this spot on the runline. 

Home favorites with a money lines of -200 or more (WASHINGTON) - in an inter-league game, in August games are 50-4 L/21 seasons for a 93% conversion rate with the average score of 6.1 to 2.9 - with a diff of +3.2 rpg qualifying as a solid run-line situation. 

Play on the Washington Nationals to win on the RL -1.5

Sunday night National Football League preseason action  features the AFC North  Pittsburgh  Steelers  doing battle with the AFC South Tennessee Titans at Nissan Stadium, in Nashville, Tennessee. 

The Titans owned a top tier  defense last year  ranking 8th in total yards allowed and 3rd in points allowed( 18.9 ppg). This season and tonight Im betting the Titans D will continue to shine thanks to addition of some key draft acquisitions and depth. On offence with QB Mariotts expected to play at least half the game a Tennessee offence that has looked more fluid than usual thanks to a more balanced run and passing game  and  should continue to do good work vs a Pittsburgh D, that might not be as stable as many pundits believe. On the opposite end of the field, its looks like the Steelers Big ben will see limited time if plays today at all which gives me more credence in my backing of the Titans here at home this week. Note: PITTSBURGH is 1-11 ATS  L/12 off a upset win as an underdog . Their 17-7 win vs KC last week qualifies here under a regression chart that I use to isolate let down spots. 

Steelers are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. AFC.Steelers are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games on a natural surface. 

Titans are 13-6-1 ATS in their last 20 home games.

Play on the Tennessee Titans to win on the ML

Home team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

Looking to maintain their spot atop the WNBA standings, the Sun try for a fifth consecutive victory while looking to halt the Los Angeles Sparks' 10-game home winning streak on Sunday. From a matchup perspective my power rankings suggest the Sun have the edge here and offer us value taking points. 

Take the points with the Connecticut Sun to cover 

Veteran QB Philip Rivers will not play this week vs the  Chargers and  backing Seattle is a good investment option behind  a above average group of backup QBs  ie JT Barrett and especially Geno Smith with veteran QB Wilson probably playing the first quarter. Pete Carrol said all of starters will see some action on Saturday, but has not specified how much. The line from its opening has spun around in a big way , but there is still market value here on this line favoring the Seahawks. Advantage Seahawks. 

SEATTLE is 31-12 ATS against AFC West division opponents since 1993.

SEATTLE is 33-18 ATS in road games since 1993.

 NFLX team (SEATTLE) - after being outgained by 150+ total yards in their previous game are 24-9 L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors.

NFLX Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (LA CHARGERS) - after allowing 3 points or less in the first half last game are 11-31 L/10 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Seattle Seahawks to cover 

The B.C. Lions outplayed the Hamilton Tiger-Cats last month in  their best road game of the season and still ended up with the L despite of covering as 8.5 dogs. Its been a very frustrating year for the Lions, and now they get a chance for redemption vs the TiCats here tonight at home . I know the public is all over the TiCats, because of the BCs horrible record ( 2-10 ATS) but travelling from East to West and playing in a different time zone is never easy. Plus the Lions have already proved they match up well vs this group of Hamilton players and must be respected in their ability to even pull off the SU upset. Note: CFL Home teams vs. the money line (BRITISH COLUMBIA) - after 5 or more consecutive straight up losses, in weeks 10 through 15 are 29-12 SU  L/22 seasons for a 71% conversion rate with the ppg diff 0f +6.1 ppg clicking in on the scoreboard.

Tiger-Cats are 6-15 ATS in their last 21 Saturday games.Tiger-Cats are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games in AugustTiger-Cats are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings in BC.

Play on the BC Lions to cover 

Jets running back Le’Veon Bell won’t see action until the regular season. With QB Saints Drew Brees likely to see his only action prior to Week 1 kickoff the Saints have an edge over his young counterpart Sam Darnold . Note:  Brees has averaged 22 snaps in Week 3 of the previous two pre-seasons.

The Saints have covered 3 of their L/4 road games in the preseason and 6 of their L/8 preseason games overall and get the nod again.

NEW ORLEANS is 21-6 ATS  in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest .

NFLX Home teams (NY JETS) - after a win by 10 or more points against opponent after scoring 3 points or less in the first half last game are 39-11 L/27 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.

NFLX  teams where the line is +3 to -3 (NY JETS) - in non-conference games, off a double digit road win are 11-33 ATS L/10 seasons L/10 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors.

NFLX Home teams (NY JETS) - after a game with a turnover margin of +3 or better are 8-25 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors.

NFLX Favorites (NEW ORLEANS) - after outrushing opponent by 75 or more yards last game are 40-17 ATS L/10 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the New Orleans Saints 

Both teams were of the top tier variety on the defensive side of the ball last season, with both ranking in the top-25 nationally for total defense. Im betting on more of the same this season, and for this particular battle to be won on the defensive side of the ball in the trenches. Look for Redshirt freshman QB Jarren Williams to do more than enough to get the Canes to the promised land and get us the cover. 

This is a huge instate non conference  rivalry game that Im betting will be hard fought, thus making getting points a value investment option. 

Underdog is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

Hurricanes are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in August.

Gators are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 vs. ACC.Gators are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games on fieldturf.

CFB road team vs. the money line (FLORIDA) - first 2 weeks of the year, after closing out last season strong with 4 or more wins in last 5 games, team that had a good record last season (60% to 80%) playing a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) are 3-23 SU L/27 seasons for a go against 89% conversion rate ( Average ppg differential clicks in at +12.5 ppg which makes this a strong ATS selection based on these above perimeters.)

Miami Fl to cover 

Saskatchewan is having a good season, winning 4 in a row and well Ottawa is not as they have now lost 6 of their L/7 overall. Tonight because of the direction and path both teams are on we get to bet into a recency bias line, that is bloated according to my power rankings charts. Despite the RedBlacks below .500 record at 3-6 Campbells troops are a hard working blue collar group that never say die and deserve my respect on a DD underdog line. Note: Ottawa has covered 14 of their L/19 as a road underdog over the last 3 seasons.

Ottawa has won and covered their L/2 visits to the Prairies and get my support here again in this spot. 

SASKATCHEWAN is 4-13 ATS in home games after having won 4 out of their last 5 games since 1996.

CFL Favorites (SASKATCHEWAN) - after 3 or more consecutive straight up wins, good team, winning 60-75% or more of their games on the season are just 43-81 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against 65% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Ottawa to cover

Buffalo enters this week 3 preseason tilt  off a 27-14 win last week vs Carolina on the road  but it must be noted that from a league wide trend in preseason ball this may not be a positive situation for them. Note: NFLX teams where the line is +3 to -3 (BUFFALO) - in non-conference games, off a double digit road win are just 11-31 ATS in the followup for go against 74% conversion rate for bettors. BUFFALO is also just  3-13 ATS after outgaining opp by 100 or more total yards in their previous game since 1993. 

The Bills also own a ugly 3-12 SU / ATS mark against NFC North foes in preseason action . Meanwhile, the  Lions are a bankroll expanding 14-2 SU and 15-1 ATS for their backers  vs AFC East opposition including a 9-1 SUATS record  in this series) – including 10-0 ATS at home in Motown. 

Im expecting a letdown situation here for the Bills, while the Lions after losing their first two preseason games will be primed to get a victory in what they consider to be their dress rehearsal game for the regular season. 

Play on the Detroit Lions to cover 

 The LA Sparks will try to extend their home winning streak to 10 games on Thursday night against the Indiana Fever. However, Im betting  it wont come so easily . 

LOS ANGELES is 9-21 ATS  after scoring 70 points or more in 5 straight games over the last 2 seasons.

This will be the Sparks 4th game in 8 days, and they are on just one days rest so a little bit of fatigue will factor into this game, which gives credence to an Indiana cover here . 

WNBA Home favorites of 10 or more points (LOS ANGELES) - after a game where they covered the spread, well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days are 11-35 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors.

WNBA Road underdogs (INDIANA) - after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games are 50-19 ATS L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Indiana Fever to cover 

Miami is expected to keep their starters in the game for alot longer than the Jaguars, which has me automatically leaning to the Dolphins in this preseason instate NFL battle. I know QB Josh Rosen after a rather ugly rookie campaign under a archaic offensive scheme in Arizona, may not inspire bettors, but he has some very athletic and  speedy receivers he has been gifted with an a new ability to go down field more often. 

Jaguars are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 Thursday games.Jaguars are 2-5-2 ATS in their last 9 vs. AFC.Jaguars are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games on grass.Jaguars are 2-8-2 ATS in their last 12 games overall.Jaguars are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 road games.

 Dolphins are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 home games.

Jacksonville is 1-8-1 ATS vs. AFC East.

Miami is 5-0 SU and 4-0-1 ATS in preseason vs the Jags. 

Play on the Miami Dolphins to cover 

Phoenix's recent win on got them back to .500 (13-13) as they rallied for a 78-72 victory over the New York Liberty on Sunday and now bring momentum into this game vs their hosts Las Vegas.Phoenix is in seventh in the league, one-half game better than Minnesota for the final playoff spot, and will play with desperation tonight making them viable underdogs.Phoenix won the only game between the teams thus far, 86-84 on May 3 and get my support to make this a competitive tilt as well. I know Las Vegas has been hot, but because of a recency bias attached to this side number we have value on the underdog. Note:

LAS VEGAS is 0-6 ATS in home games vs. teams who are called for 2+ less fouls/game than their opponents over the last 3 seasons. LAS VEGAS is 1-9 ATS  after a game where they covered the spread this season. LAS VEGAS is 1-10 ATS in home games after scoring 80 points or more in 3 straight games. LAS VEGAS is 6-28 ATS in home games hot shooting team - 2 straight games making 45% or better of their shots.  

PHOENIX is 12-4 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons. 

Play on the Phoenix Mercury to cover 

The Liberty are in a real funk and have lost 11 of their L/12 games, but this is a favorable matchup for them from a ats perspective , as Im betting this number is bloated according to my power rankings. The  Fever were smashed  107-68 on the road by the Washington Mystics last time out, and after being KOd like that by a heavy weight its hard to bounce right back. Home teams vs. the money line (INDIANA) - terrible defensive team - allowing 77+ points/game on the season, after a huge blowout loss by 30 or more are 6-25 L/22 seasons for a  go against 81% conversion rate for bettors.

 INDIANA is 0-7 ATS  in home games when playing against a team with a losing record after 15+ games after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons. INDIANA is 4-17 ATS versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons. INDIANA is 0-6 ATS in home games versus terrible teams - outscored by their opponents by 6+ points/game over the last 3 seasons. 

Play on the NY Liberty to cover 

This will be the 3rd straight season, these teams Minnesota and Seattle have faced each other.The Vikings barely edged out a 21-20 victory in their last pre-season encounter; and Im betting on another closely contested affair here in this NFLX tilt. Looking at the Seahawks, I like the way they have stacked this team with top tier athletes, with tremendous size especially on offence focusing a strong looking WR core ,  where I believe they will be improved. This will buoy QB Wilsons ability in the run heavy option and continue to make him a dangerous weapon. Im expecting big things from the Seahawks in the regular season, and a few flashes of brilliance here today in preseason action, making them my choice to cover this number and stay competitive on the road . 

SEATTLE is 33-17 ATS in road lined games since 1993 and  is 32-16 ATS  as an underdog since 1993. 

NFLX Favorites (MINNESOTA) - after scoring 30 points or more last game against opponent after scoring 3 points or less in the first half last game are 4-21 ATS L/27 seasons for a go against 84% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Seattle Seahawks to cover

 Rookie  star Arike Ogunbowale  leads a up trending Dallas Wings side that is on a 3 game win streak into Connecticut to play the Suns . Ogunbowale leads all rookies in scoring at 16.3 points per game, which is also good for seventh in the league and is getting more confident an over powering with each game out and is a game changer.

Meanwhile, Connecticut rallied from seven down in the final 1:47 to extend its home winning streak to six games Friday night , and exerted alot of energy in that contest , after a gruelling 4 game road trip prior to that. Now against a team they maybe over looking a natural letdown spot looks to be on the agenda making them fade material vs this type of number. I know the Sun  have won 19 of their last 20 home games dating back to last year, and I doubt they lose today ,but Im betting covering will be more difficult than some might think. 

CONNECTICUT is 1-9 ATS  after a combined score of 155 points or more this season. CONNECTICUT is 37-57 ATS  as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points since 1997.

CONNECTICUT is 2-9 ATS  vs. excellent free throw shooting teams - making 80% or better  of their shots after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.CONNECTICUT is 2-12 ATS after 2 consecutive non-conference games over the last 2 seasons. 

Play on the Dallas Wings to cover 

  Montreal after 3 straight victories  is off two hard fought losses one in OT, and one that was only played into the third quarter before being cancelled because of a vicious storm. Two unfortunate events that will have them hungry to compete here tonight, in Calgary. With Calgary off a heart breaking loss to Winnipeg last week 26-24, in a gruelling affair I wont be surprised if the Stamps suffer a let down scenario, and come out here on the slow side, and fail to cover this spread.

MONTREAL is 6-0 ATS  in road games versus excellent passing teams with a completion pct. of 64% or better over the last 2 seasons. MONTREAL is 9-2 ATS after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses over the last 2 seasons.

CFL Road teams vs. the money line (MONTREAL) - after beating the spread by 35 or more points total in their last five games, after the first month of the season are 21-9 L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate with a 5 point per game margin differential. 

Play on the Montreal Als to cover 

Connecticut Sun look to retain the inside track on a bye to the semifinal round of the playoffs Friday night when they host the reigning WNBA champion Seattle Storm. However, I don't believe the sledding will be easy, for a  Sun side that is still getting acclimated to being at home after a exhausting 4 game  road trip that including 3 straight games out west. I know the visiting Storm were smashed by the Mystics last time out, but after that embarrassment Im betting this proud championship team will be out looking for redemption and will be prepared to play a strong game. 

Note: Storm are 21-7 ATS in their last 28 games following a ATS loss.

Sun are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games.Sun are 4-13 ATS in their last 17 Friday games.Sun are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win.Sun are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games following a ATS loss.Sun are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games overall.Sun are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Sun are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 vs. Western Conference.

Play on the Seattle Storm to cover 

Packers  Coach Matt LaFleur told reporters yesterday that Aaron Rodgers and the rest of the starters on both sides of the ball would play for a decent portion of the game, which has me leaning towards the Packers here in Baltimore tonight. I know the Ravens are on a  15-preseason game win streak, but all good and bad things must eventually come to end. However , more importantly we are getting points here and a game I have pegged to be very competitive, which according to my projections makes for a viable investment opportunity. 

NFL team (GREEN BAY) - after being outgained by 150+ total yards in their previous game are 23-6 ATS L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Green Bay Packers to cover 

Seattle swept Washington in the 2018 championship series and won this season's first meeting 74-71 on the road June 14. However, the Mystics (17-7) finally got some amount of revenge with a 99-79 win at Seattle on Aug. 2 and will be ready to send another message to the Storm here tonight.

Storm are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 vs. Eastern Conference.Mystics are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Mystics are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games following a straight up win.Mystics are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games playing on 2 days rest.Mystics are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 Wednesday games.

WNBA Home favorites vs. the money line (WASHINGTON) - a very good team (+7 or more  PPG diff.) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 15 or more games, after scoring 75 points or more are 27-1 SU winning by an average of 12.7 ppg. 

Play on the Washington Mystics to cover

The LA Dodgers travelled from the West Coast to the East coast yesterday, and after a gruelling overall schedule should show some jet lag here tonight in Miami and be at a disadvantage. It must be noted that over the L/5 seasons , teams travelling from west coast or mountain west and than playing in the visitors role in Miami have not been a very bad bet going just 3-15 (SU/ML).  

 

MLB Home teams against a 1.5 run line (MIAMI) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 on the season (NL), with a cold starting pitcher- ERA 7.50 or worse over his last 3 starts are 177-122 for a 60% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Marlins to cover +1.5 RL

Both these teams are playing very good basketball at the moment, with the Sky having won 7 of their L/8 games, while the Sparks have also won 7 of their L/8. But home court advantage Im betting will be the difference makers and after playing a grueling competitive game in Las Vegas a couple of days ago the Sky will not be as fresh as they need to be vs a LA team on a 5 game home winning streak that plays their best in Southern California. LA has won the L/4 meetings in this series dating back to last season and they get the nod again this Sunday.

Play on the LA Sparks to cover 

RYU the Dodgers starter is 17-2 SU in home games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)  Dodgers 5.2 Opp 1.9 ...3.3 rpg average deficit diff. RYU is 18-2  SU in home games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a average rpg diff of 3.5 rpg scored. Meanwhile, Mike Leake(9-8, 4.24 ERA, 103 SO) pitched around a lot of traffic on the bases in his D-backs debut. He allowed 11 hits and walked one in 5 1/3 innings and to me looks like cannon fodder vs a sometimes explosive Dodgers batting order making this a viable runline wagering opportunity.

Dodgers are 7-0 in Ryus last 7 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.

Dodgers are 4-0 in Ryus last 4 starts vs. Diamondbacks.

The Diamondbacks are 0-17 SU a road dog of more than 160 off a loss as a underdog in which they never led and it is not a series opener losing by an average of 2.78 rpg.

The Dodgers are 28-0 SU in the last game of a series as a 200+ chalk after they won and never trailed winning by an average of 4.4 rpg.

Play on the LA Dodgers to win on the -1.5 RL

Phoenix  getting to the playoffs is not guaranteed and they need wins, but Dallas who most probably wont be in the play offs would love to play spoilers here, against a team that they have matched up well against recently despite of losing all three meetings with the last two having been decided by a combined 9 points.I once again look for a fairly close affair , and for a Dallas team that is winless on the road this season, to play loose and stay within the number for a cover.

Mercury are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games playing on 1 days rest.

Play on the Wings to cover 

What could possibly motivate the defending Super Bowl Champion New England Pats here tonight. Im betting not much. From a trends stand point Super Bowl Champs in their first road game of the season are just 7-20 SU,and HC Bellicheck has a recent history of not particularly doing well in his first road game losing 4 straight times all as a favourite and are a ugly 0-5 ATS in preseason play overall vs the NFC North where the Lions reside. Meanwhile, Detroit a franchise that is trying to bring in a winning culture into Motown will take a little bit more pride in this event, especially since its being played here in Michigan in front of their own fans. It must also be noted that the Lions are 14-2 SU/15-1 ATS in NFLX action against the AFC East and are actually viable bets here tonight vs a side Im betting will show very little in their opener, and instead be in full assessment mode .

NEW ENGLAND is 1-10 ATS  as a preseason road favorite since 1993

NEW ENGLAND is 1-10 ATS as a preseason road favorite of 7 points or less since 1993. 

NEW ENGLAND is 0-7 ATS  as a preseason road favorite of 3 points or less since 1993. 

Play on the Detroit Lions to cover 

Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia, PA, 7:30 PM 

It was not the season the Eagles had envisioned after winning the Super Bowl the season before so needless to say the team would like to get back on track right away, yes even here in the preseason. Im also betting on a competitive approach here be the QB group as the Eagles replace key backup  Nick Foles, which makes them dangerous even though this is a preseason game. Note: Look for this trio to come out and really show there stuff here in game 1.  Nate Sudfeld, Cody Kessler and Clayton Thorson. Advantage Eagles. 

The Titans enters this preseason game vs the Eagles on a 0-14 SU / 3-11 ATS skien vs. NFC East and overall are  1-6 SUATS L/7 Away. Meanwhile, the Eagles are  3-0 SUATS vs. AFC South.

Philadelphia Eagles to cover 

The Liberty will desperately try to avoid being swept at the hands of the Sky, but also look to keep from matching a season high with their fourth consecutive overall defeat. Needless to say they have some pride on the line here, and Im betting they play hard and at least make this competitive vs a red hot team. 

NEW YORK is 10-2 ATS in road games double revenge - 2 straight losses vs. opponent over the last 2 seasons. 

WNBA team vs the money line (NEW YORK) - double revenge - 2 straight losses vs. opponent against opponent off a road win against a division rival are 39-27 SU L/5 seasons.

WNBA Road underdogs (NEW YORK) - after 3 or more consecutive losses against opponent after 1 or more consecutive wins are 50-21 ATS L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the NY Liberty to cover 

 The Phillies send  their ace on Saturday when Aaron Nola takes the mound. Nola is 9-2 with a 3.72 ERA and over his past eight starts, he is 3-1 with a 1.99 ERA. He has never faced the White Sox , however , my power rankings suggest he matches up vs well vs this inconsistent Pale Hose batting order that is averaging just 3.8 rpg vs righty pitching this season and that overall has scored two runs or less in 9 of their L/13 games.

NOLA is 11-1 SU when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season. (Team's Record) with the average score deferential clicking in at 2.9 rpg. 

CHI WHITE SOX are 9-33 SU after a 3 game span where the bullpen threw 13 total innings or more over the last 2 seasons with a rpg differential of 2.8 rpg registering on the final scoreboard. 

Home favorites with a money line of -200 or more (PHILADELPHIA) - in an inter-league game, in August games are 42-4 SU L/22 seasons with a +3 rpg score differential making this a viable RL trend. 

Play on the Philadelphia Phillies on the -1.5 RL

Atlanta has lost 6 straight games, but other than a couple of clunkers have been mostly competitive, and are viable underdogs vs a Chicago Sky team, that has lost 6 of 9 and 4 of their L/5  on the road this season, WNBA Underdogs (ATLANTA) - after 4 or more consecutive losses, a terrible team (25% or less) playing a team with a winning record are 24-5 ATS L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Atlanta Dream to cover 

Vegas has won seven of eight and shares the top spot in the league with Connecticut and are getting a negative public lean , which according to my power rankings gives us value with a underdog wager with the Dallas Stars. Add to that Dallas has not been able to win  regularly in July, going 1-7 which gives us a recency bias. 

LAS VEGAS is 12-23 ATS in home games versus teams who make 5 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. LAS VEGAS is 6-15 ATS  in home games vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons.

AS VEGAS is 0-6 ATS after a game where they covered the spread this season. 

WNBA Road underdogs (DALLAS) - after 3 or more consecutive losses against opponent after 1 or more consecutive wins are 50-20 ATS L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors.

WNBA Home favorites of 10 or more points (LAS VEGAS) - averaging 45 or more rebounds/game on the season, in May, June, or July games are 9-33 ATS L/22 seasons for a 79% go against conversion rate for bettors.

DALLAS is 6-1 straight up against LAS VEGAS over the last 3 seasons.

Play on the Dallas Wings to cover 

The Tiger-Cats are well rested coming off a bye week in week six and a win in week five against the Stampeders (30-23) and will be primed to pull he upset as home dogs vs the undefeated Winnipeg Blue Bombers.

Tiger-Cats are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games.Tiger-Cats are 10-1-1 ATS in their last 12 Friday games.Tiger-Cats are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.

O'Shea is 0-6 ATS  in road games after allowing 150 or less passing yards in their last game as the coach of WINNIPEG. 

CFL Favorites (WINNIPEG) - with a turnover margin of 0.75 or more /game or better on the season, after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of +2 or better are 15-40 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Hamilton Ti cats to cover