All Sports Archive | |||||||
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
11-14-23 | Akron v. Eastern Michigan -4 | 27-30 | Loss | -106 | 14 h 44 m | Show | |
Akron has lost all 6 of their road games this season by an average of 15 ppg, while their opponents Eastern Michigan have played their best football at Ryerson Stadium this season where they have won all 4 games. From a projection standpoint I have made the home side a -7 favorite based on some metrics the linesmakers are not using, thus giving us an edge by a FG over this offering, making this viable wagering opportunity laying points at what I perceive to be a discount . Eastern Michigan is 9-2 ATS L/11 meetings in this series and get the green light again. CFB Road underdogs vs. the money line (AKRON) - slow starting offensive team - scoring 8 or less PPG in the first half, after scoring 3 points or less in the first half last game are 6-63 L/10 seasons for a 91% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at -19.4 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. CFB Road underdogs vs. the money line (AKRON) - after scoring 3 points or less in the first half last game against opponent after 2 straight games where 60 total points or more were scored are 2-29 L/5 seasons for a 94% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at -19.5 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. Play on Eastern Michigan to cover |
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11-13-23 | Broncos v. Bills -7 | 24-22 | Loss | -109 | 24 h 24 m | Show | |
Denver played a big game last time out upsetting the KC chiefs but this has not been a success-full situation for the Broncos in the past as their 0-9 ATS record would indicate when coming off an underdog victory. Add to that their a ugly 0-7 ATS L/7 record in this series vs the Bills. I know the Broncos are well rested but the Bills are not in a good mood after some sub par efforts and recent loss to the Bengals last time out, and will be primed to bounce back in a big way in front of their home town fans in prime time action. Buffalo also owns a 7-0 SUATS L/7 as chalk vs a the AFC West. Buffalo has struggled to cash for their betting backers of late failing in 3 straight opportunities,, but when this has happened to them previously the Bills are cash friendly 14-1 ATS L/15 against opposition coming off a victory and 9-0 ATS playing as hosts. McDermott is 8-1 ATS vs. poor teams - outscored by 6+ points per game on the season in the second half of the season as the coach of BUFFALO. NFL Road underdogs vs. the money line (DENVER) - off an upset win as a home underdog of 7 or more are 21-90 L/30 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at -9.9 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. Lay the points with the Buffalo Bills |
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11-13-23 | Knicks +9 v. Celtics | 98-114 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 1 m | Show | |
The Knicks enter this game giving up 103.2 per outing (second in NBA) and here against the explosive Celtics Im betting they will be very physical and tenacious which will in turn take away the home teams positive flow. Based on a short list of early season results the line may not seem out of place, but after watching the Knicks on a few occasions this seasons it become obvious this a proud hard core type of team, that deserves alot more respect than they are getting tonight. NEW YORK is 32-18 ATS in road games over the last 2 seasons. NEW YORK is 9-1 ATS in road games after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons. NEW YORK is 10-1 ATS after a blowout win by 20 points or more over the last 2 seasons. NEW YORK is 29-16 ATS versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts over the last 2 seasons. NBA team vs the money line (NEW YORK) - after a cover as a double digit favorite, in November games are 38-4 L/5 seasons for a 91% conversion rate for bettors. NBA team (BOSTON) - off 2 consecutive wins by 10 points or more against division rivals, top level team, winning 75% or more of their games on the season are 19-47 ATS L/27 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Knicks to cover |
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11-13-23 | Villanova v. Pennsylvania +11.5 | 72-76 | Win | 100 | 9 h 50 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. This is a Big 5 battle between the Villanova Wildcats and Penn Quakers. .The +11 line has been covered by Pennsylvania in 14 consecutive games. The -11 line hasn’t been covered by Villanova in any of their last 10 games on the road.The +11 line has been covered by Pennsylvania in 3 of their last 4 games against Villanova.According to my line projections we have the edge with the home side Pennsylvania taking points. Play on Penn to cover |
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11-12-23 | Jets +1 v. Raiders | 12-16 | Loss | -112 | 79 h 25 m | Show | |
Jets D, is obviously their strong point and it will be their stopping units that Im betting stop the Raiders cold . A new interim coach had the Raiders playing all out football last week in a lopsided win, vs a hapless looking Giants team last week.However, I now expect all the teams previous inconsistencies to be on full display this Sunday Previous to last weeks loss the Jets had won 3 straight and according to my power rankings are the superior side here today. LAS VEGAS is 7-21 ATS L/28 in a home game where the total is between 35.5 and 38 points. Play on NY Jets to cover |
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11-12-23 | Mavs v. Pelicans +2.5 | 136-124 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 12 m | Show | |
The New Orleans Pelicans will be primed to bounce back from a 0-3 road trip when they host the Mavericks on Sunday night. Meanwhile, the Mavs are off a hard fought win vs conference rivals the Clippers last time out in what turned into a physical game and could easily be in a emotional let down state here in the Bayou tonight making them vulnerable to a hungry home side. NEW ORLEANS is 8-0 ATS in home games vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.NEW ORLEANS is 12-2 ATS in home games after failing to cover 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread over the last 3 seasons.Green is 15-4 ATS versus terrible defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 48% or more as the coach of NEW ORLEANS. NBA team vs the money line (NEW ORLEANS) - after being beaten by the spread by 36 or more points total in their last five games against opponent after going over the total by more than 30 points in their previous game are 33-10 L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on New Orleans to cover |
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11-12-23 | 49ers -3 v. Jaguars | 34-3 | Win | 100 | 73 h 7 m | Show | |
The Jaguars (6-2) put their five-game winning streak on the line Sunday when they host the 49ers (5-3), a team that has lost three straight following a 5-0 start. However, from a-recent historical perspective this sis a good spot to support the 49ers . Note: HC Kyle Shanahan’ is 4-0 ATS L/4 on the road off 3 consecutive ATS losses. This Niners team is just to talented to stay down for long and Im betting they rebound today in a big way. SAN FRANCISCO is 10-1 ATS off a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons while Jacksonville is 7-21 ATS L/28 against NFC West division opponents. SAN FRANCISCO is 11-3 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. NFL team vs the money line (SAN FRANCISCO) - off an upset loss by 14 points or more as a home favorite, good team, winning 60-75% or more of their games on the season are 22-4 L/10 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. NFL teams where the line is +3 to -3 (SAN FRANCISCO) - after 3 or more consecutive losses against the spread against opponent after 2 or more consecutive wins against the spread are 35-13 ATS L/20 seasons for a 73% conversion rate. NFL Road teams (SAN FRANCISCO) - off an upset loss as a home favorite, good team, winning 60-75% or more of their games, in the second half of the season are 29-8 ATS L/10 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on SF 49ers |
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11-12-23 | Saints -2.5 v. Vikings | 19-27 | Loss | -120 | 73 h 32 m | Show | |
Joshua Dobbs makes his first start for his new team as the Vikings host the Saints (5-4) on Sunday . Dobbs was named NFC Offensive Player of the Week after passing for 158 yards and two touchdowns , after replacing the youngster Hall, but now as a starter will have his hands full with a tough Saints D. His relative inexperience as a NFL starter will Im betting hinder him. The Saints lead the NFC South over the Falcons (4-5) and Buccaneers (3-5) and have momentum and motivation on their sides as they enter on a two game win streak. NEW ORLEANS is 21-9 ATS L/30 in road games vs. excellent passing teams averaging 260 or more passing yards/game. Play on the New Orleans Saints to cover |
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11-12-23 | Texans +7 v. Bengals | 30-27 | Win | 100 | 72 h 18 m | Show | |
Texans rookie QB C.J. Stroud set a single-game rookie passing record with 470 yards in last week’s come from behind victory vs the Buccaneers. The kid looks like he is the real deal and with the team riding high after that win will ride that momentum into this game against Bengals side that is in a emotional letdowns situation after last weeks all out effort and win vs the Buffalo Bills. HOUSTON is 5-1 against the spread versus CINCINNATI in Ohio. Houston to cover |
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11-12-23 | UAB +5 v. Maryland | 66-63 | Win | 100 | 4 h 30 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Big 10 conference Maryland getting to much respect here vs experienced mid major conference side UAB. My own number makes the Terps just a 2 point fav. Full possession of value makes the Blazers to side to back. Kennedy is 22-12 ATS in non-conference games as the coach of UAB. CBB Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MARYLAND) - bad pressure defensive team from last season - forced 12 or less turnovers/game, in a non-conference game between two teams from major division 1-A conferences are 13-40 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on UAB to cover |
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11-12-23 | Colts v. Patriots +2 | 10-6 | Loss | -110 | 66 h 53 m | Show | |
Colts can score but their D is very suspect and Im betting even the pedestrian offense of the Pats will be able to take advantage of them. Meanwhile, the one positive New England has exhibited this season is a fairly consistent D. The Patriots have shown some signs of brilliance as was the case when they took out Buffalo by a 29-25 score a few weeks ago and must not be underestimated with a HC like Belichick whose Patriots teams are 3-0 in international games all-time. NEW ENGLAND is 21-8 ATS L/29 when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) in the second half of the season. Play on New England to cover |
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11-11-23 | Blues v. Avalanche -1.5 | 8-2 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 15 m | Show | |
Blues rank 30th offensively with just 2.33 goals per game and with Goaltender Jordan Binnington slumping going 1-3-0 with a 3.52 GAA and an .895 save percentage in his last four trips to the golden pond the Blues look like fade material vs a sometimes explosive Colorado Avs side playing at home.Blues are 1-7 in their last 8 road games and their 3 most recent road losses have all come by 2 goals or more. Colorado has won the L/3 meetings by 2 or more goals dating back to last season. Play on Colorado Avs to win -1.5 |
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11-11-23 | Raptors v. Celtics -8 | 94-117 | Win | 100 | 11 h 51 m | Show | |
This will be the final stop on a four-game road trip for Toronto nd Im betting they will be on tired legs in a nasty home environment against a superior side the Celtics. BOSTON is 21-9 ATS in home games after a game where they covered the spread over the last 2 seasons which is the case here tonight. Note: against this type of team in a cover situation you need to be able to make charity stripe conversion something Toronto isa not doing well as they rank last in the NBA in free-throw percentage at 69.6 percent. NBA team vs the money line (BOSTON) - after a cover as a double digit favorite, in November games are 37-4 L/5 seasons for a 90% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +12.5 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. Play on the Celtics to cover |
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11-11-23 | Fresno State v. Kent State -2.5 | 69-79 | Win | 100 | 12 h 41 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Kent State had their 23 games win streak abruptly end last time out in OT vs a very good looking James Madison side. However, Im now expecting to rebound vs aFresno State side traveling from West to East and way out of their time zone. CBB road team (FRESNO ST) - poor foul drawing team from last season - attempted 18 or less free throws/game, team from a second tier division 1-A conference against a team from a mid-major conference are 11-33 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors. Kent State to cover |
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11-11-23 | Utah +9.5 v. Washington | 28-35 | Win | 100 | 52 h 20 m | Show | |
After a back forth high scoring battle against USC last week in a victory by a 52-42 count Im now looking for immediate offensive regression in a letdown spot by the Huskies who could easily find themsleves looking ahead to their big game against Oregon State next week. Huskies are 0-12 ATS L/12 after facing USC and 0-4 ATS L/4 before facing Oregon State. Washington is 0-4-1 ATS L/10 as a conference home fav of 10 points or less. Utah is 5-2 ATS L/7 in this series. Utah is 9-1 ATS L/10 as a conference road dog of 10 points or less. CFB Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (UTAH) - off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival against opponent after a road game where both teams score 31 points or more are 63-26 ATS L/31 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play Utah to cover |
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11-11-23 | NC-Wilmington v. North Carolina-Asheville | 83-66 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 21 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Both these programs are ranked in the College Insider Mid-Major Top 25, with the Seahawks checking at seventh on the list and UNC Asheville at 17th Asheville suffered a 99-74 loss to Michigan on Tuesday (Nov. 7), in their season opener, but after playing that type of type tier opponent will be well prepared for a bounce back effort. Meanwhile , UNC Wilmington comes into Saturday's game after defeating Mount Olive 105-66 on Monday (Nov. 6) and this will be a quick up turn in class which will not serve them well in this road game in a hostile foreign environment. UNC-ASHEVILLE is 6-0 ATS in home games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons. CBB Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (UNC-WILMINGTON) - good team from last season - outscored opponents by 4 or more points/game, after leading in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half are 5-25 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Asheville to cover |
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11-11-23 | Georgia Tech +14 v. Clemson | 21-42 | Loss | -105 | 53 h 53 m | Show | |
Clemson got by Notre Dame last time out to snap a two game losing streak. The win did not come easily, as the Tigers offense stalled in the 2nd half . Now in an emotional letdown scenario Im betting the home side is vulnerable and Im betting covering this spread vs an improving Georgia Tech squad will be a difficult chore. Both these teams sport identical records and both are vying for a bowl appearance, so a closer than expected game is my projection. Key is 9-2 ATS as an underdog as the coach of GEORGIA TECH. GEORGIA TECH is 8-1 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.GEORGIA TECH is 8-1 ATS in road games vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 58% or better. over the last 2 seasons. GEORGIA TECH is 6-0 ATS in road games after a game where they committed 1 or less turnovers over the last 3 seasons. GEORGIA TECH is 10-2 ATS off an upset win by 10 or more as a road underdog CLEMSON is 0-6 ATS in a home game where the total is between 52.5 and 56 over the last 3 season. Clemson is 1-5 ATS coming off a win. Play on Georgia Tech to cover |
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11-11-23 | Texas Tech +4 v. Kansas | 16-13 | Win | 100 | 53 h 38 m | Show | |
Texas Tech has owned this series winning 18 of the last 20 meetings against Kansas, having been favored 18 times. In the two games they were the underdog, they notched wins both times SU. Tech has also only failed to cover one time in this L/7 as a conference dog of 7 points or less and deserve respect here to cover behind a QB in QB Behren Morton, who, has thrown for 978 yards and 10 TDS in his L/5 games . CFB Home favorites (KANSAS) - after having won 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games, a good team (60% to 80%) playing a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) are 13-36 ATS L/10 seasons for a 74% go against conversion rate for bettors. Play on Texas Tech to cover |
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11-11-23 | Michigan v. Penn State +4.5 | 24-15 | Loss | -110 | 53 h 33 m | Show | |
Michigan enters this game with a perfect 9-0 record but from a historical standpoint teams with this type of W/L stat l are just 6-20-1 ATS when taking on a side a with top tier defense, that allow 20.5 ppg or less since 1982. With all the crap surrounding the Wolverines for cheating , a cloud now rests over this program, and could easily effect their play vs a motivated and very strong opponent playing at home. Franklin is 11-2 ATS after a dominating performance - 34+ minutes TOP, 24+ First downs as the coach of PENN ST PENN ST is 9-0 ATS after playing 2 straight conference games over the last 2 seasons. CFB- Favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (MICHIGAN) - with a good first half defense - 8 or less points per game, after 3 straight wins by 17 or more points are 9-35 ATS L/10 seasons for a 80% go against conversion rate for bettors. CFB Home underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (PENN ST) - in a game involving two good rushing teams - both outrushing opponents by 50+ YPG are 37-17 ATS L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. CFB Home underdogs (PENN ST) - after 1 or more consecutive straight up wins, a top-level team (80% or better) playing a team with a winning record are 38-18 ATS L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. CFB home team vs. the money line (PENN ST) - in a game involving two good offensive teams (390 to 440 YPG) after 7+ games, after outgaining opp by 175 or more total yards in their previous game are 30-4 L/10 seasons for a 89% conversion rate. Play on Penn State to cover |
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11-11-23 | Virginia Tech v. Boston College +2 | 48-22 | Loss | -112 | 52 h 57 m | Show | |
BC has won 5 straight games but against what many would consider sub par competition. However, their opponent today Virginia Tech has not exactly set the ACC on fire, and after being humiliated in Louisville last time out by a 34-3 count don't look like viable road favs especially considering they have lost all 4 of their away games this season and have averaged just 12 ppg on offense in turf games this season. Alot of pundits are looking for reasons to fade Boston College, but from my perspective this is a hard working well coached team with alot of fight and deserve respect as home pups. Note:CFB road team vs. the money line (VIRGINIA TECH) - after gaining 150 or less total yards in their previous game against opponent after outgaining opp by 125 or more total yards in their previous game are just 4-42 L/31 seasons for a go against 91% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Boston College to cover |
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11-11-23 | Alabama v. Kentucky +11 | 49-21 | Loss | -100 | 29 h 46 m | Show | |
Huge revenge on board for Stoops as he gets ready to get redemption for a merciless 63-3 beatdown by Saban and company the last time these two programs met. With Alabama off what must be described as their best game of the season last time out vs LSU, a letdown scenario and regression must be expected . NoteL Saban is 2-7 ATS as conference road favorite of 3 or more points against a .500 or better side. Meanwhile, Kentucky is 5-0 ATS L/5 as conference home dogs of 4 pts or more and have cashed their L/4 home finales of the season. After watching Alabama this season I cant but keep feeling this is not a 5 star group like other incarnations of this program, and that they could fail in their attempt at a SEC championship and god forbid be upset here today,No matter what happens I strongly believe we get the cover here today by backing Kentucky. Play on Kentucky to cover |
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11-11-23 | Texas State v. Miami-OH +2.5 | 75-65 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 24 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Miami Ohio to cover ( LATE STEAM) |
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11-10-23 | UMass Lowell v. Dartmouth +2.5 | 81-48 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 58 m | Show | |
Duke clobbered Dartmouth last time out which was not a big surprise, but a closer look at the score sheet showed that the Big Green were only outrebounded by four, 33-29, and held a 10-5 edge in offensive boards. This came against a team that finished last season fifth nationally in rebounding margin (+7.9). That was a gritty performance, which bodes well here against Umass Lowell, a side the Big Green have beaten all 3 times they have faced them recently. The Big Green have done well in home-openers as is evident by winning 4 of their L/5 home openers and time in their last six tries and eight of their last 10 opportunities. Meanwhile, the River Hawks reached the America East Championship Game last season, finishing 17-0 at home but barley were a .500 team on road garnering a 9-8 away record. Note: The Big Green beat Princeton (who went on to advance to the Sweet 16) on Feb. 11 then Harvard in the season finale on Mar. 4 here at home and must not be underestimated. CBB Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (UMASS-LOWELL) - good team from last season - outscored opponents by 4 or more points/game, after leading in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half are 5-24 L/5 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors. CBB road team vs. the money line (UMASS-LOWELL) - good team from last season - outscored opponents by 3 or more points/game, after leading in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half are 26-77 L/5 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Dartmouth to cover |
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11-09-23 | Portland State v. UC-Santa Barbara -7 | 82-76 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 29 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. UC Santa Barbara Men's Basketball, have been voted to finish first in the conference.The reigning Big West Player of the Year and Big West Tournament MVP returns to the lineup for the Gauchos and earned his spot on the All-Big West Preseason Team. Mitchell's top tier campaign ended with him averaging 16.3 points and 5.1 assists per game while shooting at 50.6 percent from the field. More of the same on tape tonight in the Gauchos opener. Coburn is 8-18 ATS after 1 or more consecutive unders as the coach of PORTLAND ST. CBB Road underdogs of +145 to +350 vs. the money line (PORTLAND ST ) - off an upset win as an underdog, with just two starters returning from last year in the first 5 games of the season are 3-54 L/26 seasons for a go against 95% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +10.1 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. UC San Barbara to cover |
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11-09-23 | Stephen F Austin v. Middle Tennessee -2.5 | 62-67 | Win | 100 | 25 h 1 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. After entering the season as preseason favorites in the Conference USA coaches poll, the Blue Raiders are coming off a 74-57 home victory over Northern Kentucky on Monday. MTSU over its last 32 home games has limited opponents to 59.6 points per game in regulation, having gone 30-2 in that stretch. The Blue Raiders added six newcomers to the roster to replace its six departing players. The average newcomer is 1.7 inches taller than the player he is replacing (6'8.0" vs. 6'6.3"). Defense remains a staple as does home court advantage. MIDDLE TENN ST is 9-1 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less or pick over the last 3 seasons.MIDDLE TENN ST is 13-1 ATS in home games after playing a home game over the last 3 seasons.MIDDLE TENN ST is 6-0 ATS in home games after a game where they made 78% of their free throws or better over the last 3 seasons.MIDDLE TENN ST is 10-1 ATS in a home game where the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 3 seasons. Play on Middle Tennessee State to cover |
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11-09-23 | Howard +12 v. Georgia Tech | 85-88 | Win | 100 | 25 h 40 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Georgia Tech did well in their opener, but Im betting they will have their hands full with an explosive Howard group tonight. I know HC Damon Stoudamire bring s a big name with him, but Gtech still has some growing to do, an \d Im betting that will become evident this Thursday night. CBB Home favorites of 10 or more points (GEORGIA TECH) - first 5 games of the season, non-tournament team from last season who won 4+ of their last 5 games, mediocre team from last season that won between 45-55% of their games are 7-35 ATS L/26 seasons for a 83% go against conversion rate for bettors. Play on. Howard to cover |
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11-09-23 | James Madison v. Kent State -3.5 | 113-108 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 36 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. The Golden Flashes began this season full force after a second-half spark that led to a 79-58 win over Malone in their home opener, extending their home game winning streak at home to 23 in a row. Im betting the Flashes continue their home streak. JMU began their season with an exciting overtime 79-76 win over No.4 Michigan State and will be vulnerable as they are in a huge letdown spot here today after that big upset. KENT ST is 7-0 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less or pick over the last 3 seasons. KENT ST is 6-0 ATS in November games over the last 2 seasons. CBB Road underdogs of +145 to +350 vs. the money line (JAMES MADISON) - off an upset win as an underdog, with just two starters returning from last year in the first 5 games of the season are 3-54 L/26 seasons for a go against 95% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +10.1 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. Play on Kent State to cover |
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11-08-23 | Pistons +12 v. Bucks | 118-120 | Win | 100 | 12 h 29 m | Show | |
Detroit had seven players sidelined by injuries or illness on Monday when it faced a fully healthy Golden State squad and still played cohesively for 90% of that game but faded late losing by 11. Im betting their young legs will keep them in this game as well, vs a Milwaukee side that Im sure will be over looking them and or showing less than desirable motivation, especially after taking part in a emotional thriller in Brooklyn last time out as they barley walked away with a 129-125 victory. Advantage Motown on the spread. NBA Home favorites of 10 or more points (MILWAUKEE) - after going over the total by 18 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going over the total by 36 or more points total in their last five games are 4-28 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 88% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Pistons to cover |
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11-08-23 | Celtics v. 76ers +2.5 | 103-106 | Win | 100 | 13 h 41 m | Show | |
Philadelphia is in top form entering this home game against the Celtics as is evident by having won 5 straight games, with four straight coming by DDs. Meanwhile, the Celtics started strong with 5 straight victories , but that was suddenly snapped last time out vs Minnesota. This is obviously going to be a hard fought game between two eastern conference rivals , and for me that means taking points with the side honing home court advantage. PHILADELPHIA is 20-5 ATS versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or more of their shots over the last 2 seasons. PHILADELPHIA is 23-11 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons. NBA team vs the money line (PHILADELPHIA) - after a cover as a double digit favorite, in November games are 36-4 L/5 seasons for a 90% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Favorites (BOSTON) - after beating the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games, in a game involving two top-level teams (75% or better ) are 15-42 ATS L/27 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Philadelphia to cover |
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11-07-23 | Ball State +10 v. Northern Illinois | 20-17 | Win | 100 | 14 h 31 m | Show | |
It has mot been a very good campaign for Ball State overall as they have garnered only two wins so far, but they have been every competitive of late cashing 3 straight times, and playing with momentum and determination. Meanwhile, N.Illinois from a recent historical trend line has not been a very good home favorite,N.Illinois is 1-10 ATS as a favorite over the last 2 seasons and is 0-7 ATS as a home favorite over the last 2 seasons and are off a loss last time out, in game where their defense continually let them down allowing 37 points. Momentum resides with Ball State. Northern Illinois owns the third-best passing defense in the country, but they struggle to stop the run as is evident by allowing 167 rushing yards per game and because of that Im betting they will have issues against duel threat QB Kelly and top tier running back Marquez Cooper . The Cardinals defense has been very staunch of late allowing just 19.5 points per game in their last four trips to the gridiron. They're 33rd against the rush and 68th against the pass and could easily give N. Illinois QB Lombardi fits here tonight . N Neu is 14-5 ATS in road games after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread as the coach of BALL ST. Ball State has won three of the last four rivalry meetings with Northern Illinois . the average ppg diff of the last 5 Stalk events have been decided by 8 points or less. Ball State to cover |
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11-06-23 | Chargers -3 v. Jets | 27-6 | Win | 100 | 25 h 31 m | Show | |
The Chargers looked very explosive last week vs the Chicago Bears last Sunday Night in prime time action as QB Herbert completed 31-of- 40 passes for 298 yards, 3 touchdowns, with no interceptions. When the Chargers top tier QB is running hot look out as even what has been on occasion a staunch NYJ defense will have it hands full. , Meanwhile, the flip-side the Jets continue to flounder offensively and Im betting they just wont be able to keep up. NFL teams where the line is +3 to -3 (NY JETS) - after allowing 14 points or less in 2 straight games are 21-69 ATS L/10 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play on San Diego to cover |
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11-06-23 | Georgia Southern +10.5 v. Georgia Tech | 62-84 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 7 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 26 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Georgia Tech has a new coaching staff a new system, and have alot of half backed non substantiated optimism surrounding them.The Yellow Jackets were Picked to finish 13th in the ACC preseason poll with no players receiving All-Conference votes. They also currently have the third-lowest odds to win the conference. This program had a vast amount of turnover following the firing of Josh Pastner. Only four scholarship players remain from last year's team. All in all, there are 10 newcomers on this roster, with 6 of those being transfers. Gtechs new HC Stoudamire did not stand out during his five-year tenure at Pacific and as a assistant with Boston was deemed average at best and with little real quality talent may suffer in his first season at the helm of the Yellowjackets. Georgia Southern Im betting stays within the perimeters of a quality dog. CBB Home favorites of 10 to 19.5 points (GEORGIA TECH) - first 5 games of the season, non-tournament team from last season who won 4+ of their last 5 games, mediocre team from last season that won between 45-55% of their games are 5-30 ATS L/26 seasons for a 86% conversion rate. CBB Home favorites of 10 or more points (GEORGIA TECH) - first 5 games of the season, non-tournament team from last season who won 4+ of their last 5 games, mediocre team from last season that won between 45-55% of their games are 6-35 ATS L/26 seasons for. ago against 86% conversion rate. Play on the GSouthern to cover |
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11-06-23 | Wizards +11 v. 76ers | 128-146 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 38 m | Show | |
The Sixers will try to land their fifth consecutive victory when they host the Washington Wizards on Monday. Because of thier lofty run they are also being over rated here on this line making the underdog a viable proposition. I know the Wizards have lost 5 of 6 but now in desperation mode against a top tier opponent I expect them to put forward a big effort as they search for early season redemption and momentum. NBA Favorites of 10 or more points (PHILADELPHIA) - team that had a winning record last season, after 4 or more consecutive wins are 9-30 ATS L/27 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors. NBA team vs the money line (WASHINGTON) - very good shooting team - shooting 48% or more on the season, after a game - allowing a shooting pct. of 60% or higher are 26-3 L/27 seasons for a 90% conversion rate for bettors.\ Play on Washington to cover |
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11-06-23 | Maine +8.5 v. Charlotte | 52-69 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 35 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 26 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. My Early season projections for this game come in closer to -6 for /charlotte giving us a full possession edge. Maine is a team that centers around a strong defense, with their top two way player being Tynes who joins a crew of 10 returning players from a season ago. Lots of experience on the Black Bears side and they deserve respect here as underdogs.Meanwhile, Charlotte win the CBI tourney championship last season with a strong finish, but now are being a little over rated because of that giving us value with the pup. Note: The 49ers were led by the duo of Brice Williams and Aly Khalifa who are gone now. NBA favorite (CHARLOTTE) - first 5 games of the season, after closing out last season strong with 4 or more straight wins, good team from last season (60% to 80%) playing a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) from last year are 3-26 ATS L/26 seasons for a 89% conversion rate. Play on Maine to cover |
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11-05-23 | Bills +2.5 v. Bengals | 18-24 | Loss | -112 | 84 h 2 m | Show | |
This pick here for me is simple. REVENGE .sweet sweet revenge- Buffalo comes out here this week against Cincinnati \ with a playoff-loss revenge as a rallying cry. This will be the first time in 30 games that the Bills will be lined as underdogs which is just fine with me . With the Bengals in an emotional letdown state after last weeks big win vs the 49ers they are vulnerable here to regression, as Its hard to play with that intensity against top tier competition two weeks in a row . I know the Bills have been in a bit of a funk of late from a ATS perspective but Buffalo is still a highly talented group that deserves respect . BUFFALO is 8-0 ATS L/8 after 4 or more consecutive losses against the spread . NFL teams where the line is +3 to -3 (BUFFALO) - after 3 or more consecutive losses against the spread against opponent after 2 or more consecutive wins against the spread are 35-12 ATS L/10 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Buffalo is 5-2 SU/ATS L/7 at Cincinnati. Play on the Bills to cover |
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11-05-23 | Hornets +11.5 v. Mavs | 118-124 | Win | 100 | 13 h 31 m | Show | |
After a grueling Mile High city trip and loss at Denver Im betting the Mavs are in letdown situation and also gassed after their high altitude track meet. Meanwhile, Charlotte has shown some flashes of brilliance vs Atlanta in. opening season win and a victory vs Indiana as underdogs on the road last time out and are according to my early season power rankings a value underdog option this Sunday. DALLAS is 11-23 ATS as a home favorite over the last 2 seasons.DALLAS is 11-26 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. DALLAS is 8-21 ATS in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons. NBA Home favorites of 10 or more points (DALLAS) - after going over the total by 18 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going over the total by 30 or more points total in their last five games are 4-27 SU/ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 87% conversion rate with the average point per game diff clicking in at -5 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering by DDs. Charlotte is 3-1 SU/ATS L/4 overall vs Dallas. Play on Charlotte to cover |
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11-05-23 | Raptors -3.5 v. Spurs | 123-116 | Win | 100 | 4 h 38 m | Show | |
Spurs are off a two big upset wins vs the Phoenix Suns and will no be in an emotional letdown spot vs a hungry Toronto team that is playing much better than their record may indicate NBA Home underdogs of +145 to +350 vs. the money line (SAN ANTONIO) - off an upset win of 10 points or more as a road underdog 1-29 L/5 seasons for a go against 97% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clikcing in at -12.3 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. Play on Toronto to cover |
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11-05-23 | Seahawks +6.5 v. Ravens | 3-37 | Loss | -105 | 19 h 56 m | Show | |
Both these sides are ranked top 10 on both defense and offense and are alot more closely matched than the linesmakers are suggesting. After a slow start on D to start their season, the Seahawks have allowed a total 50 points in their L/4 overall, (12.5 ppg) and have upward momentum entering this tilt. You have to remember the Seahawks took out a strong Detroit team on the road, and must not be underestimated in their prowess and grit. Meanwhile, Ravens QB Lamar Johnson has failed to cover 21 of 33 NFL home tilts . Carroll is 25-15 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points as the coach of SEATTLE. Baltimore is 0-5 ATS L/5 off consecutive wins.BALTIMORE is 8-19 ATS L/27 in home games vs. excellent punt return teams, more than 12 yards per return.BALTIMORE is 4-13 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 3 seasons. Play on Seattle to cover |
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11-05-23 | Dolphins v. Chiefs -1 | 14-21 | Win | 100 | 67 h 3 m | Show | |
Chiefs looked less than motivated last time out against Denver and star QB Mahomes actually failed to throw for a TD for the first time since the 2021 season spanning 29 games. It was a shocking loss but it must be noted that HC Reid is 22-9 SU in NFL career in tilts following a SU favorite loss, including cashing 6 straight times of late a favorite of 7 or less points . Im betting the Chiefs were caught looking ahead to this game and will be very primed to bounce back in a big way vs a side my power rankings suggest they matchup well against. KANSAS CITY is 11-2 ATS l/13 in road games off a road blowout loss by 14 points or more . In Miamis only two games vs top tier squads like the Chiefs they were blasted by DDs vs Buffalo and Philadelphia . Rinse and repeat not out of the question here. MIAMI is 1-8 ATS in road games vs. excellent passing teams with a completion pct. of 64% or better over the last 3 seasons.KANSAS CITY is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) versus excellent offensive teams - averaging 375 or more yards/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. Play on the Chiefs to cover |
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11-04-23 | Boise State v. Fresno State -2.5 | 30-37 | Win | 100 | 3 h 24 m | Show | |
LATE STEAM QB Mikey Keene is key here to what Im betting will be a fairly conclusive home win on a short line for Fresno State. Boise State has failed to cover their L/5 roadies. BOISE ST is 1-8 ATS after a win by 21 or more points over the last 3 seasons.Fresno State has hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 13 games (+10.80 Units / 9% ROI) FRESNO ST is 34-18 ATS L/52 after having won 6 or 7 out of their last 8 games. Fresno State to cover |
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11-04-23 | Washington v. USC +3 | 52-42 | Loss | -105 | 60 h 55 m | Show | |
The Huskies are 2-8 ATS L/10 as road chalk and are getting a ,little to much respect here vs the USC Trojans who are led by a HC Lincoln Riley .It must be noted that USCs HC is a home pup for the first time in his career and Im sure despite of the lofty opposition will have his team ready to compete. It must be noted that Riley is 4-0 SU vs unbeaten conference opposition and 3-0 ATS as a conference-under dog. In his career Riley is also an amazing 40-3 ATS at home overall . From a historical perspective the Trojans are 9-2 ATS as underdogs vs Washington and Im betting they leave everything on the field today after what many will consider a down season for this football program. Riley is 21-9 ATS in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 63 in all games he has coached . CFB Home underdogs vs. the money line (USC) - in a game involving two explosive offensive teams (34 or more PPG) after 7 or more games, after scoring 42 points or more last game are 34-22 L/31 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at +1 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. Play on USC to cover |
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11-04-23 | SMU v. Rice +12.5 | 36-31 | Win | 100 | 72 h 3 m | Show | |
Rice looked good last week against top tier group from Tulane losing by a 30-28 count but more importantly covering as DD underdogs . I know their opponent SMU has galloped away to a fine season, and will see post season action, but the Owls must not be underestimated and at with a .500 record need some more victories for a decent Bowl invite and are motivated to play strong here. It must also be noted that Rice is 10-1 ATS L//11 in this series while losing 11 of their L/12 here in Houston, including 0-9 ATS over the last nine visits to this venue. Note: Rice is also 10-0 ATS L/10 after playing Tulane . SMU is 17-32 ATS in road games versus good offensive teams - averaging 5.9 or more yards/play.SMU is 6-20 ATS in road games after covering the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games.SMU is 0-7 ATS in road games after out-gaining opp by 125 or more total yards in their previous game over the last 3 seasons. Lashlee is 0-6 ATS after gaining 475 or more total yards/game over their last 3 games as the coach of SMU. CFB Road favorites (SMU) - excellent offensive team (6.2 or more YPP) against a team with a poor defense (5.6 to 6.2 YPP), after gaining 6.25 or more yards/play in 2 consecutive games are 81-41 ATS L/10 seasons for a 67% conversion rate. Play on Rice to cover |
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11-04-23 | Lakers v. Magic +4 | 101-120 | Win | 100 | 10 h 11 m | Show | |
The Lakers started their campaign with a 119-107 road loss in Denver on Oct. 24 before dropping a 132-127 overtime tilt in Sacramento a few days later. Both their road games have ended in defeat and here against a strong/young looking group of Magic Im betting they will also have their hands are full. I know the Magic have a few injuries, but are deeper than many pundits might appreciate. note: Paolo Banchero is healthy and when hes 100% can be a game changers much like he was in Orlandos win at Utah last time out when he poured down 30 points and 8 rebounds. ORLANDO is 21-10 ATS in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons. ORLANDO is 35-22 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots over the last 2 seasons. NBA Road teams vs. the money line (LA LAKERS) - an average offensive team (108-114 PPG) against an excellent defensive team (104 or less PPG), after a combined score of 235 points or more are 3-28 L/5 seasons for a go against 90% conversion rate. Play on the Magic to cover |
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11-04-23 | Notre Dame v. Clemson +3 | 23-31 | Win | 100 | 65 h 8 m | Show | |
Clemson is never easy to play. against in Death Valley, and even against a strong Florida State football program had a chance to win late in the game via an ugly FG attempt that missed its mark The Tigers eventually lost in OT. I know the Tigers have not looked as powerful as past incarnations, but like I said this is a tough place to play and Notre Dame already exhibited a tendency to be over whelmed in a nasty environment at Louisville in a DD loss. So its not like the Irish are invincible. Yes, I know Dabo Sweeny and company has lost 2 straight, but this HC has proven resilient in the past and has only been defeated three times a row twice in his career- the last time was back in 2010. NOTRE DAME is 15-34 ATS versus good defensive teams - allowing 4.5 or less yards/play. NOTRE DAME is 1-13 ATS L/14 off 2 consecutive home wins by 14 points or more . CFBP home team vs. the money line (CLEMSON) - in a game involving two good offensive teams (390 to 440 YPG) after 7+ games, after outgaining opp by 175 or more total yards in their previous game are 30-4 L/10 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors -so according to this long standing trend getting points here is viable wagering opportunity. Play on Clemson to cover |
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11-03-23 | Grizzlies v. Blazers +3 | 113-115 | Win | 100 | 14 h 29 m | Show | |
The Memphis Grizzlies are the lone winless team in the NBA as they start a two-game set in Portland with a 0-5 record. the linesmkaers combination of disrespect for the Blazers and the desperation factor attached to this number make for what I am betting is a viable underdog selection. Note:MEMPHIS is 0-9 ATS in road games against Northwest division opponents over the last 2 seasons.MEMPHIS is 4-14 ATS on the road when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons. MEMPHIS is 12-24 ATS in road games versus struggling defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or better over the last 2 seasons. NBA team vs the money line (MEMPHIS) - after allowing 68 points or more in the first half last game against opponent after scoring 48 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games are 5-22 L/5 seasons for a go against 82% conversion rate for bettors. Underdogs (PORTLAND) - poor team - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game, after allowing 105 points or less 2 straight games are 64-30 ATS L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Portland is 5-1 ATS L/6 in this series. Play on Portland Blazers to cover |
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11-03-23 | Mavs v. Nuggets -6.5 | 114-125 | Win | 100 | 14 h 18 m | Show | |
Dallas has won all 4 of their games this season so far while their opponents tonight the Nuggets had their 4 game win streak end last time out with a DD loss at Minnesota. Im betting the Nuggets here at home off a ugly loss will come out here like gang busters and take down the Dallas Mavericks in the high altitudes of Denver where it is never easy for visitors to play. Malone is 34-17 ATS after trailing in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half as the coach of DENVER. DENVER is 11-2 ATS off a road loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. DENVER is 18-8 ATS in home games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts over the last 2 seasons. DENVER is 41-22 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons DALLAS is 3-12 ATS in November games over the last 2 seasons. Kidd is 20-45 ATS after 3 or more consecutive wins in all games he has coached. NBA Favorites (DENVER) - off a road loss against a division rival, on Friday nights are 31-9 ATS L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Denver to cover |
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11-02-23 | Spurs v. Suns -8 | 132-121 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 51 m | Show | |
Spurs a few days ago, upset the Suns after the Suns had taken a big lead before melting down and losing. Now angry and in redemption mode will be ready for a huge bounce back effort. When teams play their opponent a second time in a span of three days in the regular season and are road favorites after losing the last game at home, they are: 20-8 SU at home. Also Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (PHOENIX) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite of 7 or more against opponent off an road win scoring 110 or more points are 41-16 ATS L/27 seasons for a 72% conversion rate.
Play on Suns to cover |
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11-02-23 | TCU +3 v. Texas Tech | 28-35 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 53 m | Show | |
The visiting Horned Frogs (4-4, 2-3) have had a tough go of it this season, after going to the National Championship game last year. The worst effort of the season came last time out against Kstate in a ugly 41-3 loss, however, now the Frogs will now be primed for big bounce back effort against their hosts Texas Tech this week a side that has lost 2 Straight SU/ATS. Note: Though he downplayed it, this will be the first trip back to Lubbock for TCU's Sonny Dykes as a head coach at the school where his father, Spike Dykes, won 82 games from 1986-99. This game means alot to Dykes junior. TEXAS TECH is 0-6 ATS after out-gaining opp by 125 or more total yards in their previous game over the last 3 seasons. CFB Road underdogs (TCU) - average passing team (6.4-7.5 PYA) against an average passing defense (6.4-7.5 PYA) after 7+ games, after allowing 9 or more passing yards/attempt in their last game are 55-22 ATS L/10 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on TCU |
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11-01-23 | Bulls +5.5 v. Mavs | 105-114 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 23 m | Show | |
Chicago enters this road game against the Mavs off a upset win in Indiana last time out and have momentum entering this tilt . Note:CHICAGO is 21-9 ATS off an upset win as an underdog over the last 3 seasons. Meanwhile, Dallas is off a DD win vs a banged up Memphis side, which was their third straight win to being the season. It must be noted however, that DALLAS is 1-12 ATS L/13 after scoring 120 points or more 3 straight games so regression wont come as a surprise.DALLAS is also 1-9 ATS after 3 straight games where they made 47% of their shots or better over the last 2 seasons which is the case. HC Kidd has had issues against teams like the Bulls in the past going 2-12 ATS versus excellent pressure defensive teams -forcing 17 or more turnovers/game in all games he has coached . DALLAS is 9-23 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons.DALLAS is 7-21 ATS in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons. Play on Chicago to cover |
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11-01-23 | Kent State +3.5 v. Akron | 27-31 | Loss | -110 | 37 h 32 m | Show | |
This is a tilt between two evenly matched MAC bottom feeders, and is being lined like a late FG will win it. Im in complete agreement with the lines-makers and thus I recommend we take the points. CFB road team (KENT ST) - mistake-free team (1.25 or less TO/G committed) vs a team with 1.25 or less TO/G forced after 8+ games, after a game where they forced 1 or less turnovers. are 82-40 ATS L/10 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. CFB home team vs. the money line (AKRON) - after failing to cover the spread in 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games against opponent after failing to cover the spread in 6 or 7 out of their last 8 games are 14-27 L/10 seasons for a go against 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Kent State to cover |
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10-31-23 | Buffalo +16 v. Toledo | 13-31 | Loss | -113 | 12 h 16 m | Show | |
Buffalo after a slow start have progressively improved and have now won 3 of their L/4 overall while, covering 4 of their L/5. Early season losses against Wisconsin and Liberty were not unexpected , but the Buffalos still were fairly competitive and did not not look out of place. Also a a win vs pretty good Louisiana Lafayette showed me this Buffalo team deserves my respect here against their MAC rivals the Toledo Rockets tonight. The Rockets have won 7 straight but have misfired in 6 of those games ATs. TOLEDO is 1-8 ATS as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points over the last 3 seasons.BUFFALO is 9-2 ATS in road games in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons. CFB road team (BUFFALO) - after going under the total by 21 or more points total in their last three games, a bad team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a winning record are 86-43 ATS L/10 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Buffalo to cover |
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10-30-23 | Raiders v. Lions -8 | 14-26 | Win | 100 | 73 h 58 m | Show | |
Wow were the Lions ever embarrassed last time out by Baltimore. The Lions were media darlings until that game and now they are being dumped like rotten apples by these same media pundits. However the lines-makers are still believers in this Motown crew and in my opinion for good reason. After suffering that humiliating defeat the men from Detroit now have their feet solidly planted and are ready for immediate redemption against a Vegas side that has a one dimensional offensive aerial attack that cannot run the ball and also a inconsistent D. DETROIT is 17-7 ATS vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 61% or better. over the last 3 seasons. DETROIT is 6-0 ATS in home games after allowing 400 or more total yards in their previous game over the last 3 seasons. Campbell is 6-0 ATS in home games after allowing 35 points or more last game as the coach of DETROIT. DETROIT is 7-0 ATS in home games after covering the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games over the last 3 seasons. With that said, Im betting this is the kind of team the Lions matchup well against. Here at home the Lions are a money making machine for their backers as is evident by a 13-2-1 ATS since the 2021 campaign. Monday Night Football sides are 31-18 ATS dating back 43 seasons when coming off a loss of more than 21 points. I know we are betting into a crooked line, but the true value of this number should become evident as this game unfolds, as my projections make the number closer to -10 which gives us value on this offering. Play on the Detroit Lions to cover |
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10-30-23 | Wolves -1.5 v. Hawks | 113-127 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 11 m | Show | |
The Hawks are off a big underdog road win vs the Milwaukee Bucks last time and I expect they will be in a letdown situation here, and are also on tired legs with this being their 3rd game in 4 games. ATLANTA is 7-20 ATS off an upset win as an underdog over the last 3 seasons. Meanwhile,Anthony Edwards, Karl-Anthony Towns and Rudy Gobert make Minnesota a contender in the Western Conference and must be respected here as short favs . NBA Home underdogs vs. the money line (ATLANTA) - after leading in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half are 42-122 L/27 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate. NBA Road favorites vs. the money line (MINNESOTA) - after allowing 105 points or less 2 straight games against opponent after leading in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half are 73-19 L/27 seasons for a 79% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in +5.7 which qualifies on this ATS offering. Play on Minnesota to cover Play on Minnesota to cover |
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10-29-23 | Blazers +9.5 v. 76ers | 98-126 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 23 m | Show | |
Blazers top offensive threat Anfernee Simons will not be in the lineup tonight for the Blazers, and that in part is why we are getting a good number to bet into. Meanwhile, after two hard fought road games vs the Bucks and the Raptors the 76ers return home on tired legs and may not have that extra edge they will need for all out performance. With the negative factor of Harden (who wants out of Philly hanging over the team, Im betting that also effects the Sixers over all play from a subconscious level) Advantage Blazers as they make the needed adjustment to Simons being out.
Play on Portland to cover |
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10-29-23 | Chiefs v. Broncos +7 | 9-24 | Win | 100 | 77 h 19 m | Show | |
Denver lost 19-8 at Kansas City two weeks ago and now Im betting they will be competitive again here at home. KANSAS CITY is 0-6 ATS after a win by 14 or more points over the last 2 seasons. (Beat Chargers 31-17 last week) DENVER is 15-3 ATS L/18 in home games vs. excellent teams - outscoring opponents by 10+ PPG on the season . NFL Road favorites (KANSAS CITY) - dominant team - outscoring opponents by 10 or more points/game, after a win by 10 or more points are 13-46 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors. Denver is 2-0 ATS L/2 at home in this series. Play on Denver Broncos to cover |
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10-29-23 | Texans v. Panthers +3 | 13-15 | Win | 100 | 89 h 28 m | Show | |
Carolina is the only winless team in the NFL so far this season, and now at home and in desperation mode against a banged up Texans squad with 11 players on the injured list which is tied with two other teams for the most in the league the Panthers have an edge. HOUSTON is 6-18 ATS L/24 vs. struggling teams - outscored by 10+ points per game on the season . Carolina is 4-0 ATS L/4 in this series. NFL teams where the line is +3 to -3 (CAROLINA) - after 3 or more consecutive losses against the spread against opponent after 2 or more consecutive wins against the spread. are 35-11 ATS over the L/10 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Carolina to cover |
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10-29-23 | Rams +6.5 v. Cowboys | 20-43 | Loss | -110 | 78 h 30 m | Show | |
The Rams out-gained the Steelers last week and still found a way to lose, while their opponents today bounced back from a ugly loss vs the 49ers in prime time to notch a victory vs the Chargers last week. by a 20-17 count. The Rams may not inspire bettors because of their lack of consistency. However, also despite of being a rebuilding mode, still have a hardcore group of talent that plays with grit and must not be underestimated in their ability to be competitive in this spot situation. With a top tier QB Stafford at the helm of the offense, and the Rams ability to run the ball consistently behind an array of backs, Im betting they will give the Cowboys all they can handle . McVay is 27-14 ATS in road games against conference opponents as the coach of LA RAMS. McVay is 18-9 ATS in road games in games played on turf as the coach of LA RAMS. McVay is 24-14 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses as the coach of LA RAMS. Rams are 5-1 ATS L/6 vs NFC sides in away games. NFL Favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (DALLAS) - after 2 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers against opponent after 4 consecutive games where they committed 1 or less turnovers are 6-32 L/10 seasons for a go against 84% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the LA Rams to cover |
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10-29-23 | Jets v. Giants +3 | 13-10 | Push | 0 | 75 h 31 m | Show | |
It does not matter who starts at QB Daniel Jones or Taylor as their attack will center around star RB Saquon Barkley who is now healthy and back in the starting lineup. My power rankings suggest the Giants will have success here this week moving the ball, against a NYJ side that is off a bye week. Rest seems to do some teams well, but this Jets franchise looks to be an outliner as they are 1-10 SU including seven straight losses since 2015. Yes, I know the Jets have played well of late, but it must be noted that they are 5-15 ATS L/20 in road games after 3 or more consecutive wins against the spread . NY GIANTS are 13-5 ATS vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 61% or worse over the last 2 seasons. The Giants are 5-1-1 ATS the last seven games in this series. Play on the NYG to cover |
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10-29-23 | Patriots +9.5 v. Dolphins | 17-31 | Loss | -110 | 70 h 42 m | Show | |
The Fins are expected to be without their entire left side of the offensive line in this weeks tilt vs the New England Pats. Last week the Dolphins suffered on offense scoring just one TD , because the starting center was out as well as the left tackle , and things could get hairy again this week vs a fairly staunch Pats D. After upsetting the Buffalo Bills last time out, the Pats now have some confidence and momentum and are viable underdogs here today. Belichick is 29-18 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points as the coach of NEW ENGLAND. NEW ENGLAND is 25-10 ATS L/35 in road games vs. excellent passing teams averaging 7.5 or more passing yards/att. Play on New England to cover |
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10-28-23 | Oregon State v. Arizona +3 | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 36 h 11 m | Show | |
Arizona is surprising some of the pundits this season as they are still in Bowl contention with a 4-3 record. and will be very motivated to play hard here today. Meanwhile, Oregon State despite of a solid 6-1 record have had a few issues away from home , and were out gained in both away games this season and are just 2-5 ATS L/7 as PAC 12 road chalk . Beavers are also just 1-7-1 ATS L/9 as road favorites of fewer than seven points. Advantage Arizona . CFB Road favorites (OREGON ST) - after allowing 5.5 or more rushing yards/attempt in 2 straight games are 25-55 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Arizona to cover |
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10-28-23 | Cincinnati +7.5 v. Oklahoma State | 13-45 | Loss | -110 | 59 h 51 m | Show | |
Oklahoma state just completed a trifecta of underdog winners, but now they are in a vulnerable situation after those hard fought affairs , as they look ahead to a Bedlam battle rivalry tilt against Oklahoma next week. I know Cincinnati has not looked all that consistent this season, but the talent base is still there and they are more than capable of being competitive here today vs a side that is 1-9 ATS off a win by 10 points or more as an underdog with Gundy as the coach of OKLAHOMA ST.( Cowboys beat W.Virginia by a 38-24 count last time out. Satterfield is 10-2 ATS L/12 in road games after 2 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers in all games he has coached . CINCINNATI L/11 against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons have seen a ppg diff of - 0.4 . CFB Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (CINCINNATI) - after being beaten by the spread by 28 or more points total in their last three games, in October games are 92-47 ATS L/10 seasons for a 66% conversion rate. CFB Road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (CINCINNATI) - in a game involving two teams with 1.25 or less turnovers/game forced, after 2 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers are 57-27 L/10 seasons for a 68% conversion rate. Play on the Cincinnati Bearcats to cover |
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10-28-23 | Pacers v. Cavs -3 | 125-113 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 16 m | Show | |
The Cavaliers last time out looked very much like they were headed for a second straight win to start the season leading Oklahoma City Thunder 100-90 with 2:37 to play on Friday night before falling apart late. Now in redemption mode Im betting on the Cavs to be ready to rebound in a big way. I know the Pacers are more rested and off impressive victory scoring 143 points , but my early season power ranking still suggest the Cavs are superior more motivated side playing with home court advantage. Also major letdown regression from that huge offensive production must be expected against a side that will be focused on playing a much stronger defensive game after the last debacle. CLEVELAND is 27-11 ATS (+14.9 Units) in home games in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (CLEVELAND) - off a upset loss as a favorite, marginal winning team from last season who won between 51% and 60% of their games are 21-4 L/5 seasons for a 84% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +10.4 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. NBA Road underdogs (INDIANA) - after allowing 68 points or more in the first half last game against opponent after a close loss by 3 points or less are 14-39 ATS L/27 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Cleveland Cavaliers to cover |
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10-28-23 | 76ers -4 v. Raptors | 114-107 | Win | 100 | 11 h 58 m | Show | |
Raptors are going to be tired tonight after losing a 104-103 battle vs Chicago last night giving the Philadelphia 76ers an advantage.Also as far as the medias big deal about Harden not accompanying his team , is actually a blessing in disguise as he is a distraction and creates alot of negative energy when he is court-side. Talented player but just causes to much drama. Coaches like Nurse are a down to business type of coach, and Im sure he wont miss his presence . Raptors are expected to be without OG Anunoby and if he plays will be less than 100%. PHILADELPHIA is 38-23 ATS as a favorite over the last 2 seasons. TORONTO is 2-11 ATS in home games after allowing 105 points or less 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons NBA Underdogs (TORONTO) - off a close road loss of 3 points or less, average team from last season that won between 45-55% of their games are 6-29 ATS L/27 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at -10.4. Play on Philadelphia to cover |
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10-28-23 | Bulls -1 v. Pistons | 102-118 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 14 m | Show | |
I know Chicago played a grueling OT game last night, but are one of the better conditioned teams in the NBA. Yes, I know the Motown crew pulled off an upset , last time out against Charlotte and in their first game of the season played the Miami Heat very tough losing by just one point , but according to my early season power rankings do not matchup well against the Bulls. This is the home opener for the Pistons , and they will be motivated but Im betting that wont be enough. Chicago has won 15 consecutive meetings in this series vs Motown, including a sweep of the last four season series qnd nothing should change today even if the oftenr injured Zach Lavine does not play. NBA Home underdogs vs. the money line (DETROIT) - off an upset win of 10 points or more as a road underdog are 10-42 L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Chicago to win/cover |
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10-28-23 | Arkansas State +2.5 v. UL-Monroe | 34-24 | Win | 100 | 70 h 25 m | Show | |
I know Arkansas State is no longer a Sunbelt power house, but the way UL Monroe is playing Im not sure they should be favs in this tilt. The Warhawks have lost 5 straight games most of which were not pretty watch. On the flispide, Arkansas State is off two consecutive losses vs Coastal Carolina and Troy, but after facing those viable sides, playing this group will feel like a walk in the park. Its also important to note that Arkansas State is 13-0 SUATS L/13 vs ULM.LA MONROE is 3-12 ATS L/15 as a home favorite of 3 points or less and has failed to cover 13 of their L/14 overall as conference home chalk. CFB Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (LA MONROE) - slow starting team - outscored by 7+ PPG in the first half, after a playing a game where 60 total points or more were scored are 40-84 L/31 seasons for a go against 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Arkansas State to cover |
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10-28-23 | Tulane v. Rice +11 | 30-28 | Win | 100 | 80 h 48 m | Show | |
Tulane is a top 25 ranked team but Rice must not be under estimated in this ability to competitive here this Saturday afternoon at home where they average 39.3 ppg in offensive production. RICE is 14-1 ATS L/15 in home games after outgaining opp by 175 or more total yards in their previous game ( Crushed Tulsa 42-10 last time out, outgaining them by 222 yards) RICE is 16-3 ATS )n home games off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival since 1992. RICE is 30-16 ATS L/46 in home games vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 58% or better. Bloomgren is 7-0 ATS in home games after a game where they committed no turnovers as the coach of RICE. CFB home team vs. the money line (RICE) - in a game involving two good offensive teams (390 to 440 YPG) after 7+ games, after outgaining opp by 175 or more total yards in their previous game are 30-3 L/10 seasons for a 91% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Rice to cover |
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10-27-23 | Warriors +3.5 v. Kings | 122-114 | Win | 100 | 14 h 47 m | Show | |
The Warriors cruised to a 120-100 win at Sacramento in Game 7 of their first-round playoff series last season to eliminate the third-seeded Kings and end their surprisingly strong season.But Im betting the revenge card is over blown here and that the Warriors after a ugly game 1 performance of the current season will be ready to make sure of a better performance against a familiar foe that they matchup well against. The Sacramento Kings have only hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 33 games at home (-24.90 Units / -30% ROI) NBA Favorites vs. the money line (SACRAMENTO) - good free throw shooting team from last season - made 76% or more of their free throws, after a game making 19 or more 3 point shots are 20-9 L/27 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Golden State to cover |
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10-27-23 | Clippers v. Jazz +4 | 118-120 | Win | 100 | 13 h 36 m | Show | |
After a lopsided season-opening loss to the Sacramento Kings, the Utah Jazz will be primed to bounce back against the Los Angeles Clippers this Friday night. Meanwhile, the Clippers because of a strong effort in their opener are now bring over rated in a place where they have not thrived of late (Salt Lake City). UTAH is 30-12 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. UTAH is 33-14 ATS as an underdog over the last 2 seasons. UTAH is 19-6 ATS when the total is 220 to 229.5 over the last 2 seasons. Utah is 4-0 SU/ATS L/4 vs the Clippers at home . Play on the Utah Jazz to cover |
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10-27-23 | Raptors v. Bulls -2 | 103-104 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 25 m | Show | |
After a deflating season-opening loss that quickly prompted a players-only meeting, the Chicago Bulls will aim to regroup on Friday against the visiting Toronto Raptors. Like Ive said many times before pros dont like to be embarrassed. Remember these individuals have huge egos and have been stars at every level they have ever played at , and now with their egos bruised will be ready to come out with a take no prisoners type of performance. Thats what Im betting the Bulls do tonight and the unfortunate recipients of their redemption tour will be the Raptors. TORONTO is 3-15 ATS in road games after 1 or more consecutive unders over the last 2 seasons.TORONTO is 10-24 ATS after allowing 100 points or less over the last 3 seasons. CHICAGO is 35-19 ATS as a home favorite over the last 3 seasons. Chicago is 3-0 SU/ATS L/3 at home in this series. NBA team vs the money line (CHICAGO) - off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a home favorite, marginal losing team from last season who won 40-49% of their games are 33-14 L/27 seasons for a 70% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +4.3 which qualifies on this ATS offering. Play on Chicago to cover |
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10-27-23 | Knicks v. Hawks -1.5 | 126-120 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 7 m | Show | |
Both these teams are off narrow defeats in their opening games of the current campaign, but I like the odds of the home side Hawks bouncing back. After playing the Celtics in their opener in a game that looked to be hard fought and grueling Im betting the Knicks are in a vulnerable spot here in Atlanta .NBA Favorites (ATLANTA) - off a road loss against a division rival, on Friday nights are 31-9 ATS L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Atlanta Hawks to cover |
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10-27-23 | Nuggets v. Grizzlies +5.5 | 108-104 | Win | 100 | 10 h 11 m | Show | |
I also know the Grizzlies will be without the suspended Ja Morant but the the Grizzlies still retained several key contributors from last year's playoff squad, including Jaren Jackson Jr., Desmond Bane, Brandon Clarke and Xavier Tillman Sr. and now have Marcus Smart in Morant's position and should form themselves into a cohesive unit as this season progresses. MEMPHIS is also 15-3 ATS as a home underdog over the last 3 seasons.MEMPHIS is 14-2 ATS as a home underdog of 6 points or less over the last 3 seasons..MEMPHIS is 9-0 ATS in home games on Friday nights over the last 2 seasons. Memphis is 3-0 SU/ATS L/3 at home vs the Denver Nuggets. Play on Memphis to cover |
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10-26-23 | Georgia State +1.5 v. Georgia Southern | 27-44 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 47 m | Show | |
The Georgia Southern Eagles host the Georgia State Panthers as in-state Sun Belt action this Thursday night. Georgia State enters this game with a 6-1 record , including 3-1 in Sun Belt play, and enter this tilt on a two-game win streak. Note:GEORGIA ST is 10-1 ATS in road games after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread over the last 3 seasons and are-9-1 ATS in road games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons. GEORGIA ST is 6-0 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) over the last 2 seasons. GEORGIA ST is 8-1 ATS in road games vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 58% or worse over the last 3 seasons. GEORGIA ST is 9-1 ATS in road games vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 58% or better. over the last 3 seasons. Georgia Southern at 5-2 is fine team playing at home but Georgia State according to my power rankings is one of the most under rated teams in the nation and deserve respect .Georgia State has emerged victorious in the last three meetings between these teams and Im once again history repeats itself in this spot play. Play on Georgia State to cover |
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10-25-23 | Cavs v. Nets +1.5 | 114-113 | Win | 100 | 25 h 36 m | Show | |
The Cavs finished the preseason at just 1-3 and are little banged up with Allen and Garland not 100% with nagging injuries. The Cavs were sub .500 team on the road last season, and dont deserve respect as road favs against a fairly talented Nets team playing in front of their home town fans on opening night. NBA Road teams vs. the money line (CLEVELAND) - first 6 games of the season, after closing out last season with 3 or more straight ATS losses against opponent first 6 games of the season, playoff team from last season who lost 6 or more of their last 8 games are 8-28 L/27 seasons for a 78% conversion rate. Play on the Brooklyn Nets to cover |
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10-25-23 | Hawks -3.5 v. Hornets | 110-116 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 3 m | Show | |
Atlanta is fairly healthy rolling into the season with the only injured player being Wesley Matthews who will be out with a mild right calf strain. Meanwhile, The Charlotte Hornets released their injury report Tuesday evening and shows guards Cody Martin (left knee soreness), James Bouknight (left knee), and Frank Ntilikina (tibia fracture) have been ruled out for Wednesday's regular season home opener against the Atlanta Hawks. Bryce McGowens (left ankle) is listed as doubtful. Advantage Hawks. The Hornets finished last in the Southeast Division and posted the fourth-worst record (27-55) in the NBA last season and Im betting the upgrades will not help them all that much. NBA Home teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (CHARLOTTE) - lower tier performing team from last season who won only 25% to 40% of their games are 6-22 L/5 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate with the ppg diff clicking in at +7.2 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. Play on the Hawks to cover |
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10-25-23 | Rockets +4 v. Magic | 86-116 | Loss | -108 | 24 h 41 m | Show | |
Im betting Houston is being under rated here -but with guard Jalen Green, forward Jabari Smith Jr. and center Alperen Sengun in the mix must not be underestimated in their ability to cover and even pull of the upset. I know the consensus is that the Magic have rebuilt a fine young roster, but their inconsistency remains a concern. Note: Orlando won just 44.4% of the games last season in which it was the moneyline favorite (8-10). NBA home teams vs. the money line (ORLANDO) - in non-conference games, first 6 games of the season, after closing out last season poorly with 4 or more straight losses are 6-20 L/5 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors. The road team has won the last 2 most recent meetings in this series. Houston Rockets to cover |
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10-25-23 | Jacksonville State -7.5 v. Florida International | 41-16 | Win | 100 | 12 h 16 m | Show | |
Jacksonville State according to my own projections should be closer to 10 point road chalk here, so getting them at this number makes for a viable wagering opportunity. Jacksonville State's powerful run game and defensive stopping units have a huge edge over a FIU team that is struggling to score behind a freshman QB. It must be noted that the Gamecocks rank 50 th in the nation in defensive HAVOC , so FIUs pedestrian offensive line and freshman QB should have their hands full tonight. Despite of being an efficient defensive group the Panthers just do not matchup well vs Jacksonville States grinding productive ground attack. Remember this is a FIU squad that is 1-4 in conference play with their only victory coming in OT vs winless Sam Houston State. FLA INTERNATIONAL is 0-7 ATS L/7 as a home underdog of 7.5 to 10 points . Play on Jacksonville State to cover |
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10-22-23 | Dolphins v. Eagles -2.5 | 17-31 | Win | 100 | 62 h 43 m | Show | |
Philadelphia is off a loss last week vs the NYJets but actually out-gained the Jets by more than 100 yards. Im now betting on a huge bounce back performance by the Eagles against media darlings the Miami Dolphins at home in prime time this Sunday night. I know the Fins offense has been downright explosive, and have looked better than the Eagles attack, but the Eagles D is superior to that of the Dolphins by 56 plus yards a game. Since this tilt features two strong squads , Im betting as is usually the case in big games for the more physical D of the Eagles to be the difference maker. NFL Underdogs vs. the money line (MIAMI) - after going over the total by 35 or more points total in their last five games, in non-conference games are 7-40 L/10 seasons for a go against 85% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at -8.9 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. Play on Philadelphia to cover |
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10-22-23 | Packers -1 v. Broncos | 17-19 | Loss | -109 | 93 h 9 m | Show | |
The Broncos enter this game as one of two teams this season without a victory against the spread as is evident by a 0-5-1 record ATS thanks in part to a 31st ranked 33.3 points per game D. I know the Broncos held the KC Chiefs to just 14 points last week , but that was in a windy atmosphere that hampered both offenses. Yes, this young Packers team, has had problems scoring of late, but that should change here this week according to my projections. Denver is 0-3 SU/ATS at home this season. DENVER is 1-10 ATS against teams who force 1 or less turnovers/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. DENVER is 5-15 ATS in games where the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons. LaFleur is 11-2 ATS off a road loss as the coach of GREEN BAY. NFL Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (GREEN BAY) - after failing to cover the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games, in the first half of the season are 35-11 ATS L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. NFL Home teams vs. the money line (DENVER) - in a game involving two average offensive teams (18-23 PPG), after a loss by 10 or more points are 4-24 L/5 seasons for a go against 86% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Green Bay to cover |
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10-22-23 | Cardinals +9.5 v. Seahawks | 10-20 | Loss | -105 | 3 h 46 m | Show | |
QB Geno Smith’s just does not have consistent flow and chemistry with the offensive part of his teams attack. and as result his TD production is way down .In last weeks loss to the Bengals Geno Smith threw for 326 yards but the Seahawks failed to score on four of their trips to the red zone. I know the Seahawks have won 3 of their L/4, but I just dont like the way HC Carrols team plays- there is a lack of what I would call the warrior mentality . On the flip side The Cardinals have led at halftime in 4 of their 6 games before falling apart, so they must not be under estimated in their ability to be competitive for a full 4 quarters at some point this season. I also believe from watching some practice reports they they have made some adjustment and have decent replacements for some of their missing offensive cogs. Take the points with the Cardinals |
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10-22-23 | Commanders v. Giants +2 | 7-14 | Win | 100 | 100 h 42 m | Show | |
I know the Giants have struggled offensively this season ,but it must be noted that their opponents the Commanders have a underperforming defense that has struggled along the defensive line as is evident by ranking 25th in pass rush win rate and 16th in pass rush per PFF. Meanwhile on the flipside, the Giants D is improving as was evident in a recent game against the SF 49ers and should pose problems for Washingtons offensive flow. NFL Road teams vs. the money line (WASHINGTON) - average offensive team (295 to 335 YPG) against a team with a sub par defense (335 to 370 YPG), after being outgained by 150+ total yards in their previous game are 1-27 L/10 seasons for a 97% go against conversion rate for bettors. NFL Road teams (WASHINGTON) - with a struggling defense - allowing 6.0 or more yards/play, after being outgained by 150+ total yards in their previous game are 5-22 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play on NY Giants to cover |
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10-22-23 | Browns v. Colts +2.5 | 39-38 | Win | 100 | 77 h 28 m | Show | |
The Browns are off a huge win last week vs the 49ers as underdogs, but are now going to be in an emotional as well as physical letdown scenario after their grueling battle in the trenches. This makes the Browns vulnerable for a down performance in Indianapolis this Sunday making getting points a viable investment option. The Colts lost last time out by DDs to Jacksonville but have proved resilient in the past covering 12 of 14 after a DD SU/ATS defeat. INDIANAPOLIS is 32-17 ATS L/49 in home games versus good rushing teams - averaging 130 or more rushing yards/game. CLEVELAND is 0-5 ATS L/5 coming off a win. CLEVELAND is 1-8 ATS after 1 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasonsCLEVELAND is 2-12 ATS after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games over the last 3 seasons. Stefanski is 15-27 ATS against conference opponents as the coach of CLEVELAND. NFL Home teams vs. the money line (INDIANAPOLIS) - after allowing 5.5 or less passing yards per attempt last game against opponent after gaining 5.5 or less passing yards/attempt in 2 straight games are 33-4 L/10 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Indianapolis Colts to cover |
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10-21-23 | Arizona State +27 v. Washington | 7-15 | Win | 100 | 77 h 32 m | Show | |
One of if not the biggest wins in the history of the Washington Huskies football program took place last week vs /Oregon and will undoubtedly see this group in a huge letdown scenario vs Arizona State this week making them vulnerable. Washington has failed to cover 7 of their L/9 after playing Oregon , and ASU is 15-1 ATS L/16 in this series. Arizona State has also on failed to cover one time in their L/7 as conference of more than 17 points. WASHINGTON is 1-8 ATS in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 3 seasons. CFB Underdogs of 21.5 to 31 points (ARIZONA ST) - after 3 or more consecutive straight up losses, in October games are 46-17 ATS L/10 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on ASU to cover |
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10-21-23 | Army +31.5 v. LSU | 0-62 | Loss | -110 | 60 h 38 m | Show | |
Army (2-4) fell at home to Troy last Saturday, 19-0. It was the first time that Army was shutout at home at Michie Stadium since 2003 and you can bet this fearless group will be ready to bounce back this week with a much better showing. Note:ARMY is 18-6 ATS L/24 as a road underdog of 21.5 or more points . Meanwhile,LSU (5-2) enters with the second-best total offense in the nation averaging 550.4 yards per game and also ranking third in points per game (45.3) but could easily be caught looking ahead to their battle against Alabama up next. : Military schools that are dogs of 14 or more points are 7-0 ATS versus the SEC dating back more than 40 seasons. Monken is 15-5 ATS in road games vs. good passing teams averaging 8 or more passing yards/att. as the coach of ARMY. ARMY is 6-0 ATS in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. ARMY is 25-9 ATS after a playing a game where 29 total points or less were scored since 1992. Play on Army to cover |
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10-21-23 | TCU +6.5 v. Kansas State | 3-41 | Loss | -109 | 73 h 33 m | Show | |
TCU is 11-2 in Big 12 regular-season games under HC Dykes., including are 7-1 in road contests . The Oct. 7 loss at Iowa State snapped a seven-game road winning streak that was tied for second-longest in the nation so thye are side to be respected when going on the road especially when getting points.Last year's 38-28 win in Fort Worth by KState snapped a three-game losing streak to the Wildcats. But now you can bet Dykes and company have revenge on board, and I wont be surprised if they pull off the SU victory behind their uptrending QB redshirt freshman Josh Hoover who looked excellent and poised vs BYU last week in a big 44-11 DD win. Take the points with TCU |
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10-21-23 | Hawaii -1.5 v. New Mexico | 21-42 | Loss | -110 | 1 h 10 m | Show | |
Hawaii lost a 41-34 game at the hands of San Diego State last Saturday. Hawaii gained 102 more yards on the day than their opponent and still lost but are getting more cohesive as this season progresses. QB Brayden Schager, who threw for 427 yards and three touchdown looks to have a great deal of momentum on hiss ides and deserves respect here in this spot play. CFB home team vs. the money line (NEW MEXICO) - after allowing 6.25 or more yards/play in 4 consecutive games against opponent after gaining 6.75 or more yards/play in their previous game are 4-23 L/31 seasons for a 85% go against conversion rate. ( LATE STEAM - Hawaii to cover |
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10-21-23 | Texas v. Houston +23.5 | 31-24 | Win | 100 | 56 h 57 m | Show | |
Texas after a loss to Oklahoma last time out, enter into this frey with extra rest . Im sure the Longhorns are still however in a letdown mode after that heart breaking loss, and that could easily hamper them against an explosive opponent that has lots of back door capabilities. TEXAS is 0-6 ATS vs. excellent passing teams averaging 275 or more passing yards/game. over the last 3 seasons. TEXAS is also 0-4 ATS L/4 after taking on the Sooners. TEXAS is 1-5 ATS L/6 off a rest/ bye week. Sarkisian is 4-13 ATS in a road game where the total is between 56.5 and 63 in all games he has coached since 1992. TEXAS has also failed to cover as away favs of more than 12 points in 6 of their L/7 opportunities. , Houston is 8-0 ATS L/8 as dogs of more than 13 points. Play on Houston to cover |
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10-21-23 | Penn State v. Ohio State -4.5 | 12-20 | Win | 100 | 31 h 57 m | Show | |
Ohio State has won six straight in the series and 10 of the past 11. Penn State coach James Franklin is 1-8 vs. the Buckeyes and has lost all four games in Ohio Stadium by an average of more than 11 ppg. Penn State has not won in Columbus since 2011 and Im betting they wont turn the trick here this week.More importantly I project a TD or more win by the home side. PENN ST is 3-19 ATS L/21 vs. incredible defensive teams who give up 12 or less points/game. Note:The Buckeyes' pass defense is fourth (154.3) in the country. The defense is third in average points allowed (9.7) and seventh in total defense (263.5). PENN ST is 7-19 ATS in road games after allowing 6 points or less last game. Day is 12-2 ATS in October games as the coach of OHIO ST. .CFB Home favorites vs. the money line (OHIO ST) - after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread, in a game involving two top-level teams (80% or better ) are 41-4 L/5 seasons for a 91% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in +13.7. CFB home team vs. the money line (OHIO ST) - off a blowout win by 21 points or more over a conference rival, in a game involving two top-level teams ( 80% or better ) are 29-3 L/5 seasons for a 91% conversion rate for a average ppg diff of +13.3 clicking in. Play on the Ohio State to cover |
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10-19-23 | James Madison v. Marshall +4.5 | 20-9 | Loss | -110 | 83 h 57 m | Show | |
Marshall lost their 2nd straight game at Georgia State this past Saturday after starting their season at 4-0.Meanwhile James Madison continued their undefeated run at 6-0 with a huge DD win vs Georgia Southern last time out . According to my power rankings despite the slight discrepancy in records -both these sides are evenly matched, with home field advantage favoring a Marshall side that is 3-0 at home this season, and long term have cashed 60% of their L/30 home games as underdogs dating back to 2002 season. Overall Marshall has 22-8 L/30 SU at home and have won 5 straight dating back to last season as hosts including a win vs Sunbelt perennial App State. Advantage Marshall CFB home team vs. the money line (MARSHALL) - after going over the total by 21 or more points total in their last three games, a top-level team (80% or ,more ) playing a team with a winning record are 36-6 L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors. CFB Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (MARSHALL) - after going over the total by 35 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going over the total by 42 or more points total in their last five games are 30-9 ATS L/31 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. CFB Home underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (MARSHALL) - after a game where they committed 1 or less turnovers against opponent after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of +1 or better are 23-5 ATS L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. Marshall to cover |
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10-18-23 | New Mexico State v. UTEP +3.5 | 28-7 | Loss | -115 | 34 h 14 m | Show | |
Mew Mexico State according to my projections are precarious road favs here at UTEP considering they are just. 3-17 SU in their last 20 games on the road. I know the Aggies (4-3) are getting alot of accolades this season, and have a top tier QB under center Pavia has a QB rating of 166.9, ranking second in CUSA and 18th in FBS., but it must be noted that Opponents are averaging 204.7 passing yards, and opposing quarterbacks hold a passer rating of just 89.4 when facing UTEP. The Miners ,must not be underestimated and have momentum on their sides after a road win at Florida International last week. One key feature to UTEP is in their special teams department with their punter Sloan who registered a 64 yard punt last week, and has the ability to quickly flip field position in favor of his team. Note:UTEP is 8-1 ATS vs. poor punt return teams, less than 7.5 yards per return over the last 3 seasons. UTEP is 3-0 in Wednesday regular-season contests and Im betting has a great opportunity to repeat in this spot play vs a visitor that does not have a history of respectable road performances. Play on UTEP to cover |
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10-17-23 | Diamondbacks v. Phillies -1.5 | 0-10 | Win | 136 | 12 h 26 m | Show | |
Arizona lost game 1 of this series by a 5-3 count and Im betting they will lose this game as well vs what my power rankings suggest is the superior side. Phillies have won 17 of their L/24 overall play off games, and have now won 3 straight post season games by 2 or more runs. I know Dbacks Kely is a quality hurler, but the Phillies sometimes explosive batting order can make the best of pitchers look ordinary as was the case in game one of this series vs Zac Gallen. Also it must be noted that the Phillies pitching staff is also in top form and have not allowed more than 3 runs and 6 of their L/7 tilts. With that said, Phillies starter Nola won Game 3 of the NLDS last Wednesday, when he allowed two runs over 5 2/3 innings in the Phillies' 10-2 victory. He is 4-2 with a 3.76 ERA in seven career postseason starts. Momementum resides in the City of Brotherly Love. MLB Home favorites against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line +115 to +160) (PHILADELPHIA) - good offensive team (4.7 or more runs/game) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 3.70 or more ) (NL), with a slugging percentage of .460 or better over their last 15 games and 49-30 L/5 seasons for a 62% conversion rate. Play on Philadelphia -1.5 runline |
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10-16-23 | Cowboys -1 v. Chargers | 20-17 | Win | 100 | 11 h 27 m | Show | |
The Cowboys were thoroughly embarrassed last week on national tv in prime time vs the SF 49ers, by a 42-10 count and will now be primed for a big bounce back performance. Believe me when I say pros do not like to be embarrassed and you can bet this talented and egotistical but sometimes in cohesive Cowboys group is now fully focused . Note DALLAS is 12-0 ATS after allowing 6 or more yards/play in their previous game over the last 3 seasons. DALLAS is 6-0 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons. DALLAS is 9-0 ATS after allowing 400 or more total yards in their previous game over the last 3 season. DALLAS is 6-0 ATS after allowing 30 points or more last game over the last 3 seasonsDALLAS is 6-0 ATS after gaining 75 or less rushing yards last game over the last 3 season.DALLAS is 6-0 ATS after being outrushed by 75 or more yards last game over the last 3 seasons. The Chargers have looked at average at best this season, with the pass /d, looking very unstable. Note:McCarthy is 7-0 ATS vs. struggling passing defenses - allowing 260 or more passing yards/game as the coach of DALLAS. NFL Road favorites vs. the money line (DALLAS) - after allowing 40 points or more last game are 33-4 L/10 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Dallas to cover |
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10-15-23 | Giants +15.5 v. Bills | 9-14 | Win | 100 | 35 h 19 m | Show | |
The reason for this rocketing off the opening line is because New York Giants quarterback Daniel Jones will not play Sunday night against the Buffalo Bills because of a neck injury. However according to my power rankings this kine of line shift is still unjustified and over doen to extent giving us value with the underdog. Veteran backup Tyrod Taylor, who spent three seasons with the Bills, will start for New York and instead of being a hinderance could actually be a breath of fresh air for a stumbling banged up side. The Bills win but by not as much as the linesmakers might anticpate. We have already had sharp money beat back the line from a high of +16. NFL .600 or better sides returning from London, coming off a SUATS loss like the Bills, are 0-5 SUATS all-time. Bills are off a loss to the Jaguars in London last week. NY GIANTS is 4-0 against the spread versus BUFFALO since 1992 in games played in Buffalo. NFL Home teams (BUFFALO) - outgaining their opponents by 1.25 or more passing yards/attempt, after gaining 7 or more passing yards/attempt in 2 straight games are 18-41 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate. NFL Favorites (BUFFALO) - solid team - outgaining their opponents by 50 or more yards/game, after gaining 375 or more total yards in 3 consecutive games are 15-39 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Giants to cover |
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10-15-23 | Patriots +3 v. Raiders | 17-21 | Loss | -120 | 73 h 48 m | Show | |
These two teams have inefficient offenses and solid defenses and Im expect a very close game, but the desperate Patriots Im betting have the edge on this type of line offering. With owner Kraft ready to fire Bill Belichick Im looking for the old ball coach to craft some magic here today. Raiders are just 2-11 ATS L/13 vs AFC East. NFL Road teams (NEW ENGLAND) - off an embarrassing loss by 21 points or more as a home favorite are 24-5 ATS L/10 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. NFL Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (NEW ENGLAND) - after failing to cover the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games, in the first half of the season are 32-9 ATS L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Patriots to cover |
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10-15-23 | 49ers v. Browns +8.5 | 17-19 | Win | 100 | 69 h 28 m | Show | |
SF 49ers QB Brock Purdy are getting alot of headlines , especially after destroying the Dallas Cowboys on national TV this past Sunday. However, Im betting Purdy will be in a regressionary mode this week after that explosion vs the Cowboys as he goes against NO .1 defense in the NFL ( Cleveland Browns) that has the physicality to deal with the 49ers . With that said Im betting on a much closer game than the lines-makers public line is estimating. CLEVELAND is 9-1 ATS L/10 against teams who commit 0.75 or less turnovers/game on the season. Cleveland 3-0 SU/ATS L/3 at home in this series dating back to 1992. NFL Road favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (SAN FRANCISCO) - dominant team - outscoring opponents by 10 or more points/game, after a win by 10 or more points are 8-31 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Browns to cover |
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10-15-23 | Colts +4 v. Jaguars | 20-37 | Loss | -109 | 69 h 10 m | Show | |
.After a two week stint in the Uk Im betting the Jags are slow out of the gate as they get acclimated to home cooking again. Home sweet home, is not so sweet for the Jaguars when Trevor Lawrence is the QB as is evident by a 1-4 SU and 0-5 ATS record as a home favorite . On the flip-side with under rated QB Gardner Minshew back behind center, for the Colts Im expecting them to be ready to continue to heat up on offense. Minshew completed 19 of 23 passes for 171 yards along with recording a positive passer rating of 112.1 in his only start this season and is more than capable of lighting up this inconsistent Jags secondary. Jacksonville is just 1-15 ATS as a favorite if it was an underdog in its previous game (which they were). Play on Indy Colts to cover |
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10-15-23 | Panthers +14 v. Dolphins | 21-42 | Loss | -120 | 69 h 58 m | Show | |
Carolina is off a crap performance last time out in a 42-24 loss to the Lions, but have proven resilient in the past . CAROLINA is 11-2 ATS L/13 after allowing 40 points or more last game . I know Miami has proven themselves to be dynamic on offense so far this season, but will now play without injured star RB Devon Achane , who had 7 TDS in his first 4 games. I also know QB Bryce Young has not looked good out of the gate this season, but the kid is still learning the ropes and is more than capable of a big game. NFL Favorites (MIAMI) - with an excellent offense - averaging 360 or more total yards/game, after gaining 450 or more total yards/game over their last 3 games are 8-30 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Carolina to cover |
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10-15-23 | Seahawks v. Bengals -3 | 13-17 | Win | 100 | 29 h 40 m | Show | |
Cincinnati looked good against the Arizona Cardinals last time out and are gaining momentum entering this tilt against the visiting Seahawks. Trends also back the the Bengals as they own a 7-0 ATS record when coming off a SU away chalk victory and are , 12-1 ATS in tilts when both teams are coming off a win, Meanwhile the Seahawks are just 1-10 ATS in games after allowing 7 or fewer points last time out . CINCINNATI is 12-1 ATS after the first month of the season over the last 2 seasons. With QB Joe Burrow looking close to 100% after a right calf strain, Im betting the Bengal's are the right side. Burrow looked mobile and completed 36 of 46 passes for 317 yards and three touchdowns with one interception. I know Seattle has really been tough on opponents run against allowing just 3.18 ypc, and the Bengals have struggled running the ball but CINCINNATI is 15-4 ATS after gaining 99 or less rushing yards in 4 straight games . CINCINNATI is 15-3 ATS vs. poor passing defenses - allowing 235 or more passing yards/game over the last 3 seasons.CNCINNATI is 6-0 ATS versus poor defensive teams - allowing 350 or more yards/game over the last 2 seasons.CINCINNATI is 13-4 ATS vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 61% or better. over the last 2 seasons. Play on Cincinnati to cover |
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10-15-23 | Saints -1.5 v. Texans | 13-20 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 20 m | Show | |
Houston (2-3) managed just one touchdown and settled for four field goals in a 21-19 road loss to Atlanta in Week 5 and I truly did not like the way they looked in that tilt especially when trying to finish drives. Meanwhile, the Saints had season highs of 42 rushes and 136 yards on the ground against New England Pats and won 34-0. That type of game plan Im sure is on the agenda again and according to my power rankings gives the visitor a significant edge on what is is essentially a pickem line. NEW ORLEANS is 21-8 ATS L/29 in road games vs. excellent passing teams averaging 260 or more passing yards/game.. NEW ORLEANS is 13-4 ATS in road games after allowing 200 or less total yards in their previous game which was the case last time out. NFL Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (NEW ORLEANS) - after failing to cover the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games, in the first half of the season are 32-9. ATS L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the New Orleans Saints to win |
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10-14-23 | Miami-FL +4 v. North Carolina | 31-41 | Loss | -110 | 73 h 25 m | Show | |
Miami enters this game with a 4-1 record after a loss last week to Georgia Tech, while Carolina enters at 5-0. The Canes may have fell asleep at the proverbial wheel looking forward to this game , but now Im betting they will be wide awake here vs the Heels and ready to perform. North Carolina is 1-14 ATS when coming off a conference home tilt, including 0-9 ATS as the favorite. N CAROLINA is 1-10 ATS after scoring 35 points or more in a win over a conference rival since 1992. Brown is 1-11 ATS off a home win against a conference rival as the coach of N CAROLINA. CFB road team (MIAMI) - after allowing 250 or less total yards/game over their last 3 games, with 8 or more offensive starters including the QB returning are 32-8 ATS L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate. CFB Road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (MIAMI) - after gaining 525 or more total yards/game over their last 3 games against opponent after out-gaining opp by 125 or more total yards in their previous game are 25-5 ATS L/10 seasons for a 83% conversion rate. Miami FL to cover |
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10-14-23 | USC v. Notre Dame -2.5 | 20-48 | Win | 100 | 73 h 31 m | Show | |
Notre Dame after a ugly effort vs a fired up Louisville Cardinal last week will be primed to get back on track vs a Trojans side that is exhibiting some weak defensive deficiencies as is evident by allowing 41 points in back to back games. What happened last week in Louisville the Irish I think was attributed to them not being able to meet the motivation factors needed after their heart breaking 17-14 loss to Ohio State the week before. USC is 5-15 ATS vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 58% or better. over the last 3 seasons NOTRE DAME is 15-4 ATS vs. excellent punt return teams, more than 12 yards per return since 1992. USC is 1-11 ATS in road games off 2 no-covers where the team won as a favorite since 1992. USC is 1-14 ATS versus non-conference revenge, and a nasty 2-15 ATS as pups of less than 8 points and a just 2-12 ATS in non-conference road tilts. Notre Dame to cover |