Two teams on horrendous losing streaks, but according to my power rankings the lesser of the two evils is Samford. 

THE CITADEL is 0-6 ATS  versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons.

CBB underdog (THE CITADEL) - after 7 or more consecutive losses against opponent after 8 or more consecutive losses are 8-27 ATS L/23 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors. 

Samford to cover 

The Boilermakers have struggled away from home for most of the year and Im betting nothing changes here today against the Buckeyes. Ohio State has been playing with better flow after a bit of mid season slump  and  Im betting they will get it done in front of the home crowd to get back to .500 in the conference play. PURDUE is 5-13 ATS in road games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons. Ohio State is 13-4 SU l/17 at home in this series.

 PURDUE is 0-6 ATS  in road games versus very good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 39% or better over the last 2 seasons.

Play on Ohio State to cover 

My College basketball selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision.

North Western to cover 

Team USA is packed full of explosive star power, with guys like  Ja Morant/Jaren Jackson / Trae Young/ Miles Bridges and Devonte Graham out to prove to the world on a international stage how over powering they are. With team Worlds super star Luka Doncic banged up they just don't seem as formidable and Im betting they get stomped on tonight. 

Play on Team USA to cover 

Siena plays their best hoops at home where they are 10-0 this season behind what has become a very strong defence , as is evident by allowing an average 10 ppg less trhan they do on the road . They have won 3 straight home games covering by more than 9.6 ppg above the number. Considering their love for home cooking and their current form Im betting the Saints will come marching into this game and grab us the cover vs a public fav that has lost 4 of their L/6 road games. 

RIDER is 0-6 ATS  in road games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) over the last 2 seasons with the average ppg diff registering at -13.8 ppg. 

Favorites of -165 to -500 vs. the money line (SIENA) - an average offensive team (67-74 PPG) against an average defensive team (67-74 PPG) after 15+ games, after a combined score of 115 points or less ate 95-15 L/5 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at 8.7 ppg. 

Play on Siena to cover 

Two of the top teams in the conference will do battle tonight in what Im betting will be hard fought affair in a critical Ivy League event .Princetons overall record may not inspire bettors vs a top tier team like Yale, but recently the Tigers are really revving up  as is evident by a 8-1 SU /ATS record L/9  .

Henderson is 17-6 ATS  versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game after 15+ games as the coach of PRINCETON.

Play on Princeton to cover 

Oregon (18-6, 7-4 Pac-12) has revenge on board for a loss to the Buffaloes earlier this season on the road, and their HC Altman said it was because of a lack of toughness. Now the redemption reminded Ducks  will have sophomore center Francis Okoro, back in the lineup who went home to Nigeria last week for the funeral service for his father. Hes a big physical presence  and adds a dimension to Altmans lineup that the HC said his team is lacking . 

 HC Dana Altman is  10-0 SUATS  in his last ten games playing with revenge. 

The home team in this series has been golden going  12-2 ATS the last fourteen meetings, with Oregon having  covered four straight at home against the Colorado. 

Oregon to cover 

Washington smashed USC 72-40 back in Jan, and now USC has revenge on board. However, it must be noted that HC  Enfield is just 10-20 ATS revenging a same season loss vs opponent as the coach of USC and now after 3 straight losses the Trojans look in a disarray and could easily struggle here today vs a program that has shown to have their number in recent meetings. 

WASHINGTON is 4-0 straight up against USC over the last 3 seasons.

USC is 1-10 ATS in home games after covering 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread over the last 3 seasons.USC is 2-11 ATS  in home games after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 3 season.

Play on Washington 

This is the final game for both teams before the All-Star Break. The Thunder have lost two straight after a 114-106 home loss to San Antonio on Tuesday. Oklahoma City had won nine of 10 games before that and now finally look tired after  all out grueling run that saw them play strong start to finish basketball. The way the Thunder have played is hard on a team, and tonight Im betting it will come back to bite them here in the bayou vs Zion Williamson and company. 

It must be noted that Pelicans were getting clobbered by what was a red hot Portland side in their last tilt , before embarking on a comeback. Note:

The Pelicans are 10-0 ATS/SU L/10 as a favorite after a win in which they trailed by 15. 

The Pelicans are 10-0 ATS /SU as a favorite with less than two days rest off a win in which they had at least a 10 percent higher BAP than their opponent.

New Orleans to cover 

Previous to their last game , where Cal Irvine only scored 61 points in a loss at UC Santa Barbara they had put up 80, 91, 83 points respectively and now Im betting a big out put here tonight against Cal Riverside, for a conclusive win and cover which will be their 7th straight victory and cover in this series.UC-IRVINE is 8-0 ATS  versus bad pressure defensive teams - forcing 12 or les  turnovers/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.UC-IRVINE is 6-0 ATS  versus horrible foul drawing teams - attempting 15 or less free throws/game after 15+ games over the last 2 season.

Play on UC Irvine to cover 

Since San Jose State joined the Mountain West in 2013, Fresno State is 10-2 against the Spartans and the Bulldogs have won its last two road games at The Event Center.  Fresno State is 3-0 against SJSU in head coach Justin Hutson's tenure, which includes a 79-64 victory over the Spartans back on Jan. 4 in Fresno at the Save Mart Center.  Last season, the Bulldogs beat San Jose State 73-53 on the road on Jan. 2, 2019 and then added a 121-81 win over SJSU in both teams' regular season finale on March 9, 2019. Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation here again tonight. 

Play on Fresno State to cover 

While Northwestern has been on the wrong end of plenty of blowouts and have had a crap season overall, the Wildcats have shown flashes of brilliance vs some tough Big Ten teams. At one point, it led by 18 at Rutgers, 10 against Purdue and 15 against Maryland and must not be underestimated in their ability to get us the cover here tonight at home vs Michigan who are just 1-5 SU in true road games this season.

Play on Northwestern to cover 

My College basketball selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision.

SFlorida to cover 

The Grizzlies enter with seven victories in their past nine games, including a 106-99 road win over the Washington Wizards on Sunday, while Portland is off a loss last night in New Orleans in a tilt where they look exhausted in the 2nd half losing by a DDs. Now on back to back games and their 5th game in 8 days, Im betting the Blazers are a big disadvantage vs a Grizzlies side on 3 days rest after playing 3 straight on the road. MEMPHIS is 10-1 ATS after playing 2 consecutive road games this season.

MEMPHIS is 8-0 ATS when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) this season.

The Grizzlies are 18-2 ATS/SU as a home favorite with more than one day of rest facing an opponent averaging more than 45 rebounds per game.The Grizzlies are 11-0 ATS /SU as a favorite with more than one day of rest off a road game facing an opponent getting less than 25 percent or their rebounds on the offensive end. 

The Trailblazers are 2-19 ATS/SU with no rest off a loss as a road dog after allowing 50-plus points in the paint.

Play on Memphis to cover 

My College basketball selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision.

Georgia Tech to cover 

The Raptors are on a 15 game win streak, with one of those wins coming against Brooklyn by just one point. Some teams no matter what the metrics suggest matchup well against what might seem like superior opponents and Brooklyn is one of those teams when considering this matchup vs the Raptors. With that said, Im taking the points here with the home team. BROOKLYN is 14-3 ATS  versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more  of their attempts - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Teams like the Raptors  are 0-11 ATS /1-10 SU off a 10+ win in which they shot over 55% from the field with the one SU win in the subset coming by just 1 points. 

NBA teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (TORONTO) - very good team - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game, after allowing 105 points or more 3 straight games are 8-33 SU L/23 seasons for a 81% go against conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (TORONTO) - very good team - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game, after allowing 105 points or more 3 straight games are 5-24 ATS L/23 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Brooklyn to cover 

The media has suddenly fell in love with how well the Knicks are playing recently, but Washington is also up-trending winning four of their L/6 overall and matchup well vs the Knicks and get my support here tonight .I know the Wizards played last night but they are on the of the leagues better conditioned teams, as is evident by a    17-4 ATS record when playing on back-to-back days over the last 2 seasons.

 Wizards are 12-0 ATS /SU on the road when the line is within 3 of pick off a win as a home favorite in which they shot over 50% from the field.

The Knicks are 0-15-1 ATS /0-16 SU off a loss after scoring 15+ points more than Vegas projected. 

Play on Washington to cover 

Detroit has really looked bad of late, but Im betting after some embarrassing efforts will be able to muster some energy and here and keep this game competitive vs a Orlando side that might be getting just a bit to much respect from linesmakers. Look for Center John Henson and point guard Brandon Knight, the players acquired from the Cavaliers in the Drummond deal, to get things rolling in the right direction before the all star break. 

The Magic are 1-15 ATS/SU with less than two days rest off a win as a favorite facing an opponent averaging less than 20 fouls per game.The Magic are 0-11 ATS /2-9 SU at home with less than two days rest off a win in a home game after a game with 8+ lead changes.

NBA Home teams (ORLANDO) - after going over the total by more than 18 points in their previous game against opponent after going under the total by more than 30 points in their previous game are 4-25 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 86% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Detroit Pistons to cover 

There’s no place like home in the Big Ten, and tonight despite of what many may feel, Ohio State has the edge here at 6 points or less vs a Rutgers team that has been much better at home then on the road where they are just 1-7 SU. It must also be noted that Rutgers was down by 18 to Northwestern last time out at home, before staging an enormous energy draining coming back for a 77-73 win and could easily be in a letdown situation here tonight, giving Ohio State a clear edge. 

Ohio State is 4-0 SU at home in this series  covering 3 of the 4 tilts, with a 76-62 win here last February. 

Ohio State to cover 

Auburn after a 15-0 start  to their current season lost their first game of the campaign to Alabama  as road chalk by a ugly DD margin and now have revenge on board and will be out to get their proverbial pint of blood here tonight in front of their own alumni. Auburn is 18-4-1 ATS at home in their series , including 4-0 SUATS the last four, 11-2-1 ATS as a favorite, and 9-1 ATS with 3 or more days of rest. 

CBB Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (AUBURN) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 75 or more points against opponent off an upset win as a road underdog are 67-34 ATS L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors.

Auburn to cover 

Despite its record, VMI has provided a strong challenge in virtually every SoCon outing. Near misses at ETSU (61-55) and Furman (74-72 OT), along with home losses to Mercer (69-66) and Samford (78-75) have the Keydets well behind the race to the top six but definitely a dangerous proposition here especially when getting points. VMI is 6-0 ATS  in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Play on VMI to cover 

When the season started i  Michigan State was a nearly-unanimous No. 1 team. On paper, it had explosive scoring, experience, in future NBA draft pick Cassius Winston, excellent defense and a proven coach in Tom Izzo and now Im not so sure that all the hype was correct, at least about being the best team in the conference. Since the Spartans beat up on Illinois earlier this season, Im seeing a regression from them as is evident by their current 3 game losing steam and Illinois is uptrending. Now with revenge on board for the earlier DD beatdown Im expecting retribution and redemption to show up in Illinois tonight.MICHIGAN ST is 1-9 ATS   in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season. Illinois is 12-2 SU at home this season, while Michigan State is 6-6 in 12 road games.

Play on Illinois to cover 

Portland Super star Lillard has scored 30 or more points in 25 games this season, but he had one of his worst shooting games the last time Portland faced New Orleans. He shot just 6 of 21 from the field and missed all 10 of his 3-pointers while scoring just 18 points in the visiting Pelicans' 102-94 win Dec. 23 and Im betting his bauyou voodoo will come out to haunt him here again tonight as Zion Williamson and company outshine the visitors. 

Trail Blazers are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. Trail Blazers are 2-6 ATS in the last 8 meetings in New Orleans.

The Trailblazers are 4-22-1 ATS/ 3-23 SU as a road dog off a win as a home favorite facing an opponent averaging more than 15 turnovers per game.The Trailblazers are 2-17 ATS /SU as a road dog off a win as a home favorite in which their opponent had at least a 10 percent higher BAP. 

Pelicans are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite.

Pelicans are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 2 days rest.

Pelicans are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.

Play on New Orleans to cover 

When these teams played back on Jan 4th Ohio lost as 1 point favs 77-65 and now will be ready for pay back here in revenge mode on their own home floor where they have won 12 of tghe L/15 meetings. . OHIO U is 24-11 ATS in home games revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite.

CBB Home favorites of -165 to -500 vs. the money line (OHIO U) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a road favorite, off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival are 244-44 L/23 seasons for a 85% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at 9.3 ppg. 

Play on Ohio to cover 

The Bonnies are off a big road win Duquesne as road dog last time and will now be in an emotional letdown spot vs a long time rival. It is never easy winning on the road in this conference and getting points is my opinion a golden opportunity to cash a ticket here with a side that is being understimated. 

last ST BONAVENTURE is 5-16 ATS  when the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 3 seasons.
 ST BONAVENTURE is 15-29 ATS off an upset win as a road underdog since 1997.
 ST BONAVENTURE is 0-6 ATS  after 2 straight games where they had 5 or less steals over the last 2 seasons.

Play on St.Joes to cover 
 

With Andrew Wiggins now in the fold after the Warriors pulled off a trade with the Timberwolves, Im betting on more offensive continuity and more output going forward. Meanwhile, Miami after playing all out top tier hoops for much of the first part of the season, have now suddenly hit a speed bump, and are slumping as they embark on their 4th road game in 6 days in a back to back situation after playing last night against Portland in a loss where they look exhausted and were out worked on the boards. Advantage: Golden State 

OLDEN STATE is 8-1 ATS after a game being outrebounded by opponent by 15 or more this season. MIAMI is 0-9 ATS  in road games versus struggling  defensive teams - allowing 110+ points/game this season.

Teams like the Heat are 1-15 ATS /SU on the road off a loss as a road dog facing an opponent with an assist-to-turnover ratio greater than 1.5

The Warriors are 13-1 ATS L/14 as a dog with rest off a home game when they lost 2 straight vs current opponent.

NBA team (MIAMI) - good shooting team (45.5-47.5%) against a poor shooting team (41.5-43.5%), good ball handling team (14.5 or less TO's) against an average pressure defensive team (14.5-16.5 TO's) 22-42 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 66% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Golden State to cover

No. 1 Baylor brings a school-record 20-game winning streak when it travels south on I-35 on Monday to take on Texas in Austin in Big 12 Conference action. tonight Im betting of this streak continues it will not come easily which makes getting points with the home dog a viable investment opportunity.TEXAS is 25-12 ATS L/37 as a home underdog of 6 points or less or pick.

Pressure is building on coach Shaka Smart, who has yet to win a NCAA Tournament game in four-plus seasons. The Longhorns are 14-9 and need a win here badly. They have shown enough life for me to back them here in desperation mode. 

Play on Texas to cover 

Things are not good for both these franchises. However, it seems at the time of this game, that the Hornets are the lesser of these two evils. Detroit has absolutely no continuity, and looked extremely weak, last time out, as they were out rebounded by a 47-28 in a 95-92 loss Saturday to the New York Knicks. I feel strongly that trading veteran Andre   Drummond to Cleveland  will wreak temporary havoc on the flow of this team making them fade material in their curret form. Overall, Charlotte has defeated Detroit nine consecutive times and Im betting they get us the cover here tonight. DETROIT is 0-8 ATS when playing with triple revenge - 3 straight losses vs. opponent this season. The Pistons are 1-16 ATS/SU with less than two days rest off a loss in a home game when they lost 3 straight vs current opponent. 

'NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (CHARLOTTE) - after 5 or more consecutive losses, a bad team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a losing record are 53-25 ATS L/23 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Charlotte to cover 

After suffering two straight close road losses  this is a critical game for the Scarlet Knights as they return home to the RAC and try to maintain an undefeated record. Im betting on them really bringing the heat here vs a Northwestern team that is on a 6 game losing streak. Key here is Rutgers 60th ranked defensive rebounding efficiency and 45th in offensive rebounding conversion rate. Meanwhile, in conference play Northwestern ranks 12th in limiting opponents’ second-chance opportunities and just dont matchup well here. 

NORTHWESTERN is 0-6 ATS  in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing 64 or less points/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons.

RUTGERS is 9-0 ATS when playing only their 2nd game in 8 days this season.

Starting with the 2017 season, Big 10 teams ranked outside the top 11 that are home vs an unranked team and favored by less than 8 or a dog are 26-2-1 ATS.

Play on Rutgers to cover 

Memphis  has been uptrending for a while now but are off a hard fought loos last night in Philadelphia and are now on tired legs with this being their 3rd game in 4 night. Meanwhile, Washington has shown signs of life of late, as they play hard and show great work ethic , while winning 3 of their L/4 while covering 6 of their L/9. Tonight vs the Grizzlies I expect more consistent work, and some extra motivation in revenge mode for a loss they suffered to the Grizzlies in Memphis on Dec 14th . 

WASHINGTON is 22-11 ATS  in home games revenging a road loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.

WASHINGTON is 12-3 ATS in home games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 assists/game or more  this season.

The Grizzlies are 1-15-1 ATS /0-17 SU off a road game when their opponent is seeking same season revenge for a loss on the road.

NBA Teams like the Grizzlies are 0-14 ATS /SU on the road off a loss as a road dog facing an opponent with an assist-to-turnover ratio greater than 1.5.

Play on Washington to cover 

Clemson has played their best basketball at home this season, and have recent wins vs Duke, Syracuse , NC Stare and Wake Forest as hosts. I know Notre Dame has been playing well, and on a 3 game win streak, but the Tigers are highly motivated after two straight hard fought defensive road losses, and will come out here like their hair is on fire.NOTRE DAME is 8-18 ATS  versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons.teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (CLEMSON) - after allowing 65 points or less 2 straight games against opponent after scoring 80 points or more 5 straight games. CBB teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (CLEMSON) - after allowing 65 points or less 2 straight games against opponent after scoring 80 points or more 5 straight games are 40-15 SU L/23 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Clemson

Since losing five out of six games during a mid-year slog, the Buckeyes have clawed their way back into a tie for No. 10 in the Big Ten standings with a three-game winning streak, but Im betting that all comes to an end vs a Wisconsin side that matches up very well against them and is able to play their rough and tumble style of rugby/hoops. 

 Starting with the 2017 season, Big 10 teams ranked outside the top 11 that are home vs an unranked team and favored by less than 8 or a dog are 26-2-1 ATS.

Play on Wisconsin to cover 

Gonzaga's HC Mark Few has one loss in his L/27 league games and that was to St.Marys last season in the conference tournament. Now with big time revenge on board I look for Gonzaga to bring their A game.  St.Mary is a just 3-15 ATS in this series, including 0-7 ATS at home. 

ST MARYS-CA is 1-9 ATS L/10 in home games versus teams who average 40 or more rebounds/game on the season after 15+games .ST MARYS-CA is 4-13 ATS  in home games when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct.  80% or better ) after 15 or more games.

Play on Gonzaga to cover 

Utah State is  now finally fully healthy and owns one of the nation’s best home-court advantages and have revenge on board for blowing a big lead and suffering a surprising loss to Boise State . This indicates a pedal to the metal situation here that favors the Aggies here to get us the cover. 

Play Utah State to cover 

Phoenix blasted the Houston Rockets on the first leg of a back to back Friday, 127-91, snapping a four-game losing skid. However, the Suns have proven highly inconsistent and Im betting they fall flat here tonight vs a Denver Nuggets team that went into Utah and pulled off an upset last time out. NBA Road favorites (DENVER) - off an upset win over a division rival as an underdog against opponent off an upset win as an underdog are 33-8 L/23 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors.

The Nuggets are 15-0 ATS /14-1 SU when the line is within 3 of pick when they are off two games in which they allowed fewer than 100 points.

NBA  teams like the Suns are 0-19 ATS /0-19 SU as a home dog with less than two days rest off a 10+ win in which they had at least 30% of their points from threes. 

Play on Denver to cover 

Iowa is off a ugly road loss to Purdue and will now be very hungry here today to bounce back and take out their frustrations on a team that they matchup very well against. Lay it and play it. 

IOWA is 6-0 ATS in home games versus up-tempo teams averaging 62 or more shots/game over the last 3 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at 23.3 ppg. OWA is 9-2 ATS in home lined games this season with the average ppg diff clicking in at +14.3 ppg. 

Starting with the 2017 season, Big 10 teams ranked outside the top 11 that are home vs an unranked team and favored by less than 8 or a dog are 25-1 ATS.

Play on Iowa to cover 

Penn State has won 5 straight games thanks to a tenacious style of hoops and blue collar play around the rim as they continue to scoop up rebounds at a high rate. Last time out they went into Michigan State and upset the mighty Spartans by a 75-70 count and are now directly eyeing the possibility of Big 10 championship. Im betting on early season low expectations to have now disappeared for this Nitanny Lions team to continue to play with purpose. 

MINNESOTA is 4-19 ATS L/23 in road games after game - where they allowed a shooting pct. of 33% or less. Pitino is 8-21 ATS  as a road underdog of 6 points or less or pick as the coach of MINNESOTA. 

PENN ST is 7-0 ATS  off an upset win over a conference rival as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.

PENN ST is 9-0 ATS in February games over the last 2 seasons.

PENN ST is 22-9 ATS  versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games over the last 3 season

Starting with the 2017 season, Big 10 teams ranked outside the top 11 that are home vs an unranked team and favored by less than 8 or a dog are 25-1 ATS.

Play on Penn State to cover 

  Mizzou after two losses needs to rebound and todays atmosphere in a Rally For Rhyan game is perfect to get some energy up for the feat . The Razorbacks are a solid team but their rebounding issues show their weaknesses making them vulnerable. The Tigers struggled a great deal against Texas A&M on Tuesday and now Missouri knowing this will be pushing even harder .Look for Mizzou to pulls off a grinder here an stay perfect in Rally For Rhyan games. 

ARKANSAS is 10-23 ATS  when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) after 15 or more games.ARKANSAS is 0-7 ATS  after 2 straight games where both teams score 75 points or more over the last 3 seasons.

Play on Missouri to cover 

According to the metrics Seton Hall matches up well vs Villanova.The Pirates have frecorded a remarkable road record of 6-2, including 5-0 in the Big East play and despite not winning here in Villanova since 1994 this program is not going to be intimidated behind a veteran roster. If there was ever a time for an upset and long drought to end its here today. 

Play on Seton Hall to cover 

There are a lot of similarities with Indiana and Purdue this season. Both teams, most notably, have been great at home and have struggled on the road.  Purdue played Wednesday night against Iowa, so that' a quick turnaround and Im betting they will be a little tired while Indiana has  not  played since last Saturday at Ohio State Im betting they will be fresh and ready to work hard today on their way to win and cover .

PURDUE is 0-6 ATS  in road games versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season this season. PURDUE is 1-7 ATS  in road games versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game this season. PURDUE is 0-6 ATS  in road games against conference opponents this season.

INDIANA is 8-1 ATS  in home games versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game after 15+games over the last 3 seasons.

Starting with the 2017 season, Big 10 teams ranked outside the top 11 that are home vs an unranked team and favored by less than 8 or a dog are 25-1 ATS.

TCU Basketball has lost four games in a row after a 4-0 start in conference play, and are very desperate to end their skid, and Im betting they leave everything on the floor here in an attempt to somehow salvage their season with a marquee win. 

Self is 10-20 ATS  in road games after a game where they made 20% of their 3 point shots or worse as the coach of KANSAS.

CBB Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (KANSAS) - off a home win against a conference rival, a top-level team ( 80% or more ) playing a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) are 29-64 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on TCU to cover 

 Auburn. Bruce Pearl’s has seen his side work hard to  take a  victory in double overtime against Ole Miss, and previous to that  a home win over Kentucky and overtime with Arkansas. Needless to say the Tigers are exhausted which makes taking points here with LSU a legit-mate side investment option. I know LSU came our flat las time and were upset by Vanderbilt but Im sure they were caught looking ahead to this tilt. 

Play on LSU to cover 

Temple, under the direction of first-year head coach Aaron McKie, sports a balanced attack with two players averaging double figures and another four averaging 6.0 points or more and matchup well at home vs a  Mustangs program that is  4-4 on the road this season, including 1-3 in conference games..

Jankovich is 2-10 ATS  in road games versus poor shooting teams - making 42%or less  of their shots after 15+ games in all games he has coached since 1997.

Play on Temple to cover 

Utah looked asleep at the wheel vs a short handed Denver side the other night and suffered a 3 point loss at home as 9 point favorites. It was embarrassing to say the least, for a team that prides itself on hardcore blue collar work ethic. Now looking for redemption Im betting they get it vs a exhausted Portland team that played last night in as come from behind win  and now playing their 4th game in week . UTAH is 13-3 ATS off an upset loss as a home favorite over the last 2 season. Note: The Trailblazers are 0-10 ATS/SU L/10 as a dog after a win in which they trailed after the third with the average ppg diff registering at -13.6 ppg. 

PORTLAND is 4-12 ATS  as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season.

The Jazz are 13-1 ATS /SU as a favorite off a loss after a game with 8+ lead changes.

The Jazz are 11-0 ATS/SU off a loss in a home game facing an opponent taking more than one third of their shots from beyond the arc with the average ppg diff clicking in at 14.3 ppg.

The Jazz are 19-3-1 ATS /21-2 SU at home with rest facing an opponent averaging less than 16 percent of points off free throws with the average ppg diff clicking in at +12.5 ppg.

NBA Teams like the Jazz are 11-0 ATS /SU L/14 as a home 8+ favorite with less than two days rest off a loss in which their opponent shot worse than 25% from beyond the arc with at least 20 attempts with the average ppg diff clicking in at +20.9 ppg.

Play on Utah to cover 

The Toronto Raptors recorded an impressive victory for their franchise-best 12-game winning streak by come from behind and erasing a  19-point deficit to upend the Indiana Pacers. This Raptors team is confident and is never out of a game because of their consistency at both ends of the court. Im betting they will be pushed tonight, but in the end will find a way to notch a 2nd straight victory in this series. Note:The Raptors are 10-0 ATS /9-1 SU with less than two days rest off a win in a home game after a win in which they trailed by 15. Teams like the Pacers are 0-10 ATS /SU L/10 at home when the line is within 3 of pick off a road game after a loss in which they led by 15. 

NBA Teams like the Raptors are 11-0 ATS /SU on the road when the line is within 3 of pick with rest off a home game after rebounding less than 20% of their own misses. 

NBA  team vs the money line (INDIANA) - off a road cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 11-30 SU L/5 seasons and 0-5 this season! 

NBA team (INDIANA) - off a cover where the team lost the game straight up as an underdog, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 46-105 ATS L/23 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Toronto to cover 

Dallas does its best work against teams like Washington. DALLAS is 12-2 ATS  versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36%or better  of their attempts this season and have excelled as road chalk going  13-3-1 ATS in their last 17 games as an away favorite. Also when Dallas comes off a home game and then playing on the road they are  19-0 ATS   L/19 overall. I know the Mavericks are with super star Donic and possibly Kristaps Porzingis but from a depth standpoint still have the guns needed to take down a defensively deficient opponent.DALLAS is 15-6 ATS versus terrible defensive teams - allowing 110+ points/game this season.

The Mavericks are 15-0 ATS and have won 13 straight SU/ATS on the road with rest off a home game in which they had at least 30% of their points from threes.

NBA teams  like the Mavericks are 25-2-1 ATS /26-2 SU as a road favorite after a game as a home favorite in which they had a shooting percentage at least 10 lower than their opponent. 

NBA Home underdogs (WASHINGTON) - excellent offensive team (102 or more PPG) against a horrible defensive team (102 or more PPG) after 42+ games, after scoring 105 points or more 5 straight games are 17-40 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Dallas to cover 

 Harvard and Yale are the two best teams in the Ivy league . Yale  has won 11 of their last 12 while  the Crimson have  won 8 in a row.  Now the rematch of last seasons conference Championship game that Yale won  is at hand and should be very competitive .  Look for a Tommy Amakers Crimson tide team to be very hungry here in revenge and add the old ball coaches 6-0 ATS run in his last six Ivy games when seeking revenge, and his programs  7-1 SU and 8-0 ATS  conversion rate in the last eight meetings in this series . 

Play on Harvard to cover 

The Golden Eagles own The Summit League's highest scoring offense at 79.0 points per game, which improved to 24th in the NCAA and have to much fire power for N.Dakota to contend with as was the case earlier this season when ORU took a 88-73 decision at home. 

N DAKOTA is 1-9 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record this seaso

CBB  teams where the line is +3 to -3 (ORAL ROBERTS) - in a game involving two excellent free throw shooting teams (73% or better ), after 3 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 47% or higher are 40-14 L/22 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on on Oral Roberts to cover 

Murray State has won 11 straight games, and Im betting they dont go down without a fight here if they lose. Belmont lost to Murray State 85-75 as 1 point dogs earlier in conference play this season, and in my opinion this is to big of point spread adjustment on that result and now shouts value for advantage players. The Racers last lost on Dec. 21, a 78-76 overtime thriller at Evansville.

CBB Home teams as a favorite or pick (BELMONT) - hot shooting team - 3 straight games making 47% or more  of their shots against opponent after game - allowing a shooting pct. of 33% or less are 13-39 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors.

CBB home team vs. the money line (BELMONT) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 75 or more points against opponent off 3 or more consecutive home wins are 38-100  SU L/5 seasons for a  go against 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Murray State to cover 

In each of the past five road games, the Golden Grizzlies have jumped out to a double digit lead in the first half: +15 at Detroit, +10 at Milwaukee, +15 at Green Bay, +12 at Cleveland State, +13 at Youngstown State. The Golden Grizzlies took a lead into half in four of the five outings: +9 at Detroit, +3 at Green Bay, +3 at Cleveland State, +4 at Youngstown State, -4 at Milwaukee. Oaklands fast starts seem predicated towards us getting a cover here tonight at Northern Kentucky.

Play on Oakland to cover 

After an upset win over now-No. 16 Michigan State this past weekend, the Wisconsin Badgers make their way across state borders to face Minnesota on Wednesday evening  in what Im betting is a huge letdown spot. I know there could be some recncy bias applied here by bettors and pundits because of the Gophers last game that saw them lose at Illinois last time out 59-51 despite of looking every bit efficient as their opponents. Note:

MINNESOTA is 8-0 ATS off an embarrassing road loss scoring less than 60 points over the last 2 seasons

MINNESOTA is 7-0 ATS versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season.

Home favorites of -165 to -500 vs. the money line (MINNESOTA) - average offensive team (67-74 PPG) against a poor offensive team (63-67 PPG), after scoring 60 points or less 2 straight games are 81-10 L/23 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at  +8.9 ppg. 

Starting with the 2017 season, Big 10 teams ranked outside the top 11 that are home vs an unranked team and favored by less than 8 or a dog are 23-1 ATS.

Play on Minnesota to cover 

Utah has dominated this series at home  winning 9 straight here  and are  7-2-1 ATS  and Im betting they have a distinct edge tonight vs a Utah side that played hard last night from start to finish vs Portland which was their 3rd game in 4days. Now in a letdown spot on tired legs the host has the edge.The Denver Nuggets could also find themselves with a short bench for their Wednesday road game against the Utah Jazz after reportedly pulling off a four-team trade Tuesday night. This will effect their flow.  DENVER is 1-9 ATS  when playing their 3rd game in 4 days this season.

The Jazz are 19-2-1 ATS /21-1 SU at home with rest facing an opponent averaging less than 16 percent of points off free throws. 

Play on Utah to cover 

The No. 5 Cardinals eye a ninth straight victory on Wednesday night when they host a Wake Forest squad that's looking to win back-to-back league games for the first time in three years. While I do believe that the Cardinals will get the win Im betting  it just wont come by more than 15 points. 

LOUISVILLE is 0-6 ATS  in home games after a game where they made 50% of their 3 point shots or better over the last 3 seasons

CBB Favorites of 10 or more points (LOUISVILLE) - hot shooting team - 3 straight games making  47% or more  of their shots against opponent after game - allowing a shooting pct. of 33% or less are 9-35 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate. 

Play on Wake Forest to cover 

The Tigers playing winning ball ,but this line looks a little bloated as .Six of their nine consecutive wins have come by four points or fewer. LSU has yet to play a team ranked in this week's AP Top 25 and maybe getting just to much respect. I know Vanderbilt may not inspire bettors but  the Commodores took both Kentucky and Florida to the final minutes of their past two games before losing by nine and six points, respectively. and are more than capable of staying competitive here in this spot play as DD home dogs. 

Play on Vanderbilt to cover 

Halting   a season-long 12-game losing streak when they return home to host the Atlanta Hawks on Wednesday Im betting will not be as easy as the line indicates, even though the Hawks are short handed. Nothing comes easy to the Wolves, especially winning. 

MINNESOTA is 0-7 ATS  versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game - 2nd half of the season this season. The Timberwolves are 2-17 ATS  at home facing an opponent taking more than one third of their shots from beyond the arc. 

The Timberwolves are 0-14 ATS /1-13 SU at home when they are off two games in which they allowed 110+ points.

Play on Atlanta to cover 

Purdue has been dominant at home in wins over Minnesota, Maryland, Michigan, Rutgers, Wisconsin, and Illinois and Im betting they continue their top tier work as hosts tonight against Iowa.

PURDUE is 6-0 ATS in home games after 2 straight games giving up 9 or less offensive rebounds this season. Painter is 20-7 ATS at home when the line is +3 to -3 as the coach of PURDUE.

IOWA is 7-20 ATS in road games over the last 3 seasons.

Starting with the 2017 season, Big 10 teams ranked outside the top 11 that are home vs an unranked team and favored by less than 8 or a dog are 23-1 ATS.

Play on Purdue to cover

Creighton can really run and gun and shoot the lights out but Providence has a’ size advantage and Im betting they control  the glass and slow this game down to a speed that suits them. Look for the Friars physicality to be the difference maker down low . Note : Friars have revenge on board for a heart breaking 78-74 loss  earlier this season to the Jays, and will be motivated here. 

CREIGHTON is 1-10 ATS  in road games after covering 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread over the last 3 seasons.

Cooley is 17-7 ATS  as a home favorite of 3 points or less or pick as the coach of PROVIDENCE.

Play on Providence to cover

The Spurs fell 108-105 to the Clippers last night in have looked competitive for a while now and up-trending in my power rankings. Its not an easy task playing on consecutive nights in the NBA and especially not here in LA where two top tier teams are located, but San Antonio is one of the leagues better conditioned teams, and are going to be motivated to get revenge for a 114-104 loss  at home in this series back in late November. SAN ANTONIO is 31-7 ATS  revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points over the last 2 seasons.

Also teams playing  the 2nd of back to back in LA are actually a long term good bets, going 82-65-1 ATS for a 56% conversion rate. ( just the opposite of what you might expect) 

SAN ANTONIO is 32-18 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons

The Lakers are 1-18 ATS  as a home 8+ favorite off a game as a favorite in which they scored 10 or more points in the first than the fourth quarter.

The Spurs are 11-0 ATS /9-3 SU  as a dog with less than two days rest after a game as a road dog in which they had more than 8 times as` many field goal attempts as turnovers with all 3 losses ins trends subset coming by exactly 2 points. 

NBA Road underdogs of 10 or more points (SAN ANTONIO) - after beating the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after being beaten by the spread by 30 or more points total in their last three games are 23-6 L/23 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on San Antonio to cover 

The Blazers enter this game on a red hot  4 game win streak behind the blazing efforts of super star Damian Lillard. The Trail Blazers guard is on a historic run—one that could shape the West’s 8-seed race and Portland’s plans at the trade deadline. Tonight behind Lillard Im betting on the Blazers making life tough on the Nuggets and getting us the cover in revenge mode, for the two losses they have suffered to the Nuggets this season home and away. 

Note: Denver is off an OT win vs the Pistons last time out on Sunday, and could easily find themselves in an emotional letdown spot. NBA Teams like the Nuggets  are 2-17 ATS 6-13 SU L/19 as a favorite after they had overtime. NBA Teams like the Blazers are 18-0 ATS as a dog with rest after playing as a home dog when seeking same season revenge for a loss on the road.The Trailblazers are 21-3-1 ATS  on the road after playing as a home dog.The Trailblazers are also 14-1 ATS  off a win as a dog when they lost 2 straight vs current opponent.

PORTLAND is 11-1 ATS  revenging a road loss vs opponent of 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

The Nuggets are 1-16 ATS L/17 as a home favorite with less than two days rest off a loss when they won 2 straight vs current opponent. 

Play on Portland to cover 

Milwaukee bounced back from a 127-115 home loss to the Denver Nuggets on Friday to close their three-game homestand with a 129-108 victory over the Phoenix Suns on Sunday and roll into the Bayou to play the up trending Pelicans. You can bet because of the hype of Zion Williamson that the powerful Bucks will be in the mood to to make a statement here and give the kid  and his team something to think about. Meanwhile, the Pelicans were humbled last time out vs Houston after imploding late, and giving up a boat load full of points thanks to a massive amount of turnovers. Note: NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (NEW ORLEANS) - after a game committing 13+ more turnovers than opponents are 26-66 ATS L/23 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors. 

he Bucks are 23-3 ATS /24-2 SU as a road favorite with less than two days rest off a home game in which they scored a least 18 fast break points with the L/19 wins coming by 7 ppg or more and the overall ppg diff clicking in at +12.4 ppg. 

The Pelicans are 0-9-1 ATS/0-10 SU  at home off a loss facing an opponent averaging less than 10 offensive rebounds with the average ppg diff registering in at 11 ppg. 

NBA Teams like the Pelicans  are 0-17-1 ATS /0-18 SU as a home dog with rest off a loss in a road game when they lost 2 straight vs current opponent with the average ppg diff clicking in at 17.2 ppg. 

Play on the Milwaukee Bucks to cover 

Duke is off a huge win at Syracuse last time out where they shot the lights out in a 97-88 win,  and now in an emotional letdown state, and in an obvious regression situation , Im betting a emotional charged Boston College will be  completive enough to cover. DUKE is 0-7 ATS  after a game - shooting 57% or higher, allowing 43% or lower over the last 3 seasons.

CBB  underdog (BOSTON COLLEGE) - revenging a loss where team scored less than 50 points, off an upset win as a road underdog of 12 points or more are 30-5 ATS L/23 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors. (Duke smashed Boston College back on Dec 31 at home by DDs-Duke 88-49)

Play on Boston College to cover 

Ohio State is one of the nation's top shooting teams, ranking No. 16 overall with a 38.1% 3-point shooting percentage    42.4% of their field-goal attempts come from behind the arc. key here will be Michigans D, which is very viable when preventing 3-pointers. Just 26.9% of opponents' field-goal attempts have been from beyond the arc  — third-lowest in the nation. And only 22.9% of the total points scored against Michigan have been from 3s; so this edge Im betting will be the difference maker. 

MICHIGAN is 10-2 ATS versus good defensive teams - allowing 64 or less points/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons. 

Starting with the 2017 season, Big 10 teams ranked outside the top 11 that are home vs an unranked team and favored by less than 8 or a dog are 23-0 ATS. 

Play on Michigan to cover 

A matchup of the top two teams in the Mid-American Conference men's basketball race favors the home team according to my power rankings. Home Court Advantage

CMU is 10-1 at home, tied for the best in the conference.
 
 
The Chippewas are averaging 82.4 points per game, which is third in the nation behind Gonzaga (88.4) and Duke (83.4).
 
The Chippewas are allowing 76.1 points per game. They are forcing 17.0 turnovers per game, which is second in the MAC, and No. 19 in the country. Of those 17 turnovers, 9.5 come from steals, which is second in the MAC and ninth in the country.
 

CMU's turnover margin of plus 4.4 is the best in the MAC and is No. 14 in the country.

C MICHIGAN is 21-6 ATS against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.

C MICHIGAN is 8-0 ATS  versus excellent ball handling teams - committing 12 or less turnovers/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.C MICHIGAN is 7-0 ATS  in February games over the last 2 seasons.

Play on CMU to cover 

The Clippers have won two of three against the Spurs, including a 134-109 victory the last time they met on Dec. 21 in San Antonio. However, it must be noted that SAN ANTONIO is 10-1 ATS  revenging a blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more over the last 2 seasons. The Clippers are 4-24-1 ATS L/29 as a home favorite off a home game when their opponent is seeking same season revenge for a loss at home. 

NBA Teams like the Clippers are 0-16 ATS  as a 8+ favorite after a game as a home favorite in which allowing 50-plus points in the paint. 

The Spurs are 12-0 ATS L/12 as a dog off a home game in which their opponent had at least a 10 percent higher BAP.

NBA  Favorites of 10 or more points (LA CLIPPERS) - a good team (+3 to +7 PPG diff.) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 42+ games, after scoring 60 points or more in the first half last game are 6-28 ATS L/5 seasons for a 83% go against conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the San Antonio Spurs to cover 

The Minnesota Timberwolves are mired in an 11-game losing streak for the second time this season and are fade material in their current form.

The Timberwolves are 0-18 ATS/SU  as a dog after Karl Anthony Towns was their high scorer by double digits last game.

The Kings are 11-0 ATS/SU as a home favorite with less than two days rest off a loss in a home game facing an opponent averaging more than 45 rebounds per game.

NBA Teams like the Kings are 18-0 SU/ 17-1 ATS as a home favorite with less than two days rest off a 10+ loss in which they had 3 or fewer double digit scorers.

NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (SACRAMENTO) - average 3PT shooting team (33-36.5%) against an average 3PT defense (33-36.5%) after 42+ games, good ball handling team (14.5 or less TO) vs. an average pressure defense (14.5-16.5 TO) after 42+ games are 118-33 L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate.

Play on the Sacramento Kings to cover 

Kansas State may not inspire bettors when going against a ranked opponent like Baylor, but Im betting we have value here with the home dog. KState has won 3 of their L/4 home games with the one loss to TCU coming by 2 points. They must never be underestimated when on their own floor, and tonight Im betting home court advantage will be golden and upset not out of the question. Note: Kansas State has won the last 4 meetings in this series.Weber is 41-24 ATS (+14.6 Units) when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct.  80% or better) as the coach of KANSAS St.

Play on Kansas State to cover 

The Grizzlies enter this game having won 11 of their L/14 and despite of loss are capable home favorites vs a team that continues to play with out their top player Griffin and will now be without  point guard Derrick Rose who is unlikely to play Monday due to a groin injury suffered during the first half of Sunday's game.

The Pistons are 1-18 ATS /SU as a dog with less than two days rest off a win after allowing 50-plus points in the paint. NBA Teams like the Pistons  are 0-9-1 ATS/0-10 SU L/10 as a road dog off a win in which they scored more than 50 points in the paint with the average ppg diff clicking in at - 13.3 ppg. 

The Grizzlies are 11-0-1 ATS/12-0 SU as a home favorite after a game as a road dog in which they had an assist percentage at least 10 worse than their season-to-date average with the average ppg diff clicking in at +11.6 ppg. 

NBA Teams like the Grizzlies are 18-2 ATS /19-1 SU as a home favorite with more than one day of rest off a 10+ loss in a road game in which their opponent had at least a 10 percent higher BAP with the average ppg diff registering at +13.9 ppg. 

Play on the Grizzlies to cover 

The  E.Washington Eagles are on a five-game winning streak that includes three road wins in a row, and matchup well vs a N.Arizona team that  owns a porous  defense, ranking 290th in effective field goal percentage allowed and 285th in 2P field goal percentage conversion rate. Look for Eastern Washingtons uptempo attack to wreak havoc and for this conference top teams to come away with a victory for the 5th straight time in this series. 

Eastern Washington to cover 

The Atlanta Hawks will have trouble finding enough healthy players to compete on Monday when they host the Boston Celtics.. The Hawks lost two more starters on Saturday and could be without leading scorer Trae Young when they return home to meet the Celtics. If young plays he may see limited time because of nagging minor injuries. 

The Hawks are 1-19 ATS/SU as a home dog off a road game when seeking same season revenge for a loss on the road.

NBA Teams like the Hawks  are 0-15-1 ATS /0-16 SU as a home dog with rest off a loss in a road game when they lost 2 straight vs current opponent.

Play on Celtics to cover 

Howard is not as bad as their record would indicate, as they have covered 9 of 21 games despite of a ugly 11 game losing streak. Howards L/3 losses have been by single digits, and they offer value here because of their ugly record.   Meanwhile, their opposition Coppin State has lost 8 straight road games , and despite of beating this Howard side when they met earlier in conference play, my matchup stats says this is more evenly matched than the line would indicate. Last time out  Senior guard Charles Williams (18.2 ppg, 4.7 rpg)  struggled vs Coppin State , but a rebound must be expected as this kids to talented to tank again. Sometimes  an ugly situation like this offers value. 

Howard to cover 

The Hornets have lost 10 of their last 11 games, including two on the road since pulling off Tuesday night's home victory against in the New York Knicks.The Magic are in a five-game losing streak, coming off Saturday night's 102-89 home loss to the Miami Heat. both have conistently been in the loss column However, I see more promise from the Magic and give them by support here tonight.Prior to last week, the Hornets lost six consecutive home games. In the last seven home outings, they've failed to score more than 107 points in regulation in any of those. Advantage : Orlando. ORLANDO is 11-3 ATS  when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) this season with the average ppg diff clicking in at +9.7 ppg. When Orlando visited here on Jan 20th they won by a 106-83 count and a rinse and repeat effort is my projection. 

NBA Teams like the Magic are 14-0 ATS/SU on the road when the line is within 3 of pick off a 10+ loss facing an opponent averaging less than 58 ppg from 2-point range with the average ppg diff registering at + 11 ppg. 

Play on Orlando to cover

SF HC Shanahan,  has gone 21-5 . SU with  Jimmy Garoppolo at QB , and overall the 49ers have  the edge in rush offense, rush defense and pass defense. I know the best player on the field is considered to be young QB super star Patrick Mahomes, but the complete package is on the side he is facing today. Considering the Chiefs were down by two TDs to the Pats , and were down 24-0 to the Texans, and 10-0 to the Titans, the feeling here for me here is, that as explosive as the Chiefs are there karmic regression is coming and their consistent flirting with disaster is essentially going to bite them on the proverbial butts vs a side that if in the lead will grind them into the ground via a concerted ground attack. All in all Im all in here on the 49ers being this years super bowl champs. 

Play on the SF 49ers to cover 

Thanks to Torontos current 10 game win streak there is a slightly bloated line attached to this tilt involving the Chicago Bulls. When these teams played earlier this season, the Raptors pulled out a 93-92 squeaker, and Im betting on another close tilt here with the Bulls getting my support. Note: From a SRS perspective: Chicago owns a -2.97 marker, while Toronto a 5.72 , which roughly evens out into a -9 true line according to those projections. So we have a one possession edge which qualifies for me to back the Bulls here getting points. SRS =Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average.

TORONTO is 14-29 ATS  after 6 or more consecutive wins. 

The Bulls are 14-0-1 ATS  on the road facing an opponent averaging less than 10 offensive rebounds with the average ppg diff clicking in at 1.2 ppg. 

NBA Home favorites of 10 or more points (TORONTO) - a good team (+3 to +7 PPG diff.) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 42+ games, after scoring 60 points or more in the first half last game are 4-23 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against  85% conversion rate. 

Play on Chicago to cover 

Bruins Alford has a talented roster  but is inconsistent  at 11-10 through 21 games. The Bruins have home losses to Hofstra and Cal State Fullerton, and a neutral-court loss to a Cole Anthony-less North Carolina team and could miss the postseason entirely. Utah has also struggled but from a matchup perspective should be competitive. 

UCLA is 1-8 ATS  vs. teams who are called for 3+ less fouls/game than their opponents over the last 2 seasons. UCLA is 0-6 ATS after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread over the last 2 seasons.

UTAH is 7-0 ATS after a combined score of 125 points or less over the last 3 seasons. (Utah lost at USC 56-52 last time out)

CBB  road team (UTAH) - off a cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog, in a game involving two marginal winning teams (51% to 60%) are 34-7 ATS L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors.

CBB Road teams as an underdog or pick (UTAH) - off a cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog, in a game involving two marginal winning teams (51% to 60%) are 29-6 ATS L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Utah to cover 

The Pelicans have an adrenalin rush and momentum entering this game as Zion Williamson makes his presence felt. New Orleans has won 3 straight, and will not be easily defeated by the Rockets here today. 

The Pelicans are 11-0 ATS/SU as a dog with less than two days rest off a 10+ win as a favorite when they shot better than 50 percent from the field their last two tilts.

NBA  team vs the money line (NEW ORLEANS) - after 3 straight wins by 10 points or more against opponent after a combined score of 245 points or more are 26-3 L/23 seasons for a 90% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (NEW ORLEANS) - off a win by 20 points or more over a division rival against opponent off a home win are 36-13 L/23 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on New Orleans to cover 

Milwaukee came out last time out asleep at the proverbial wheel, and lost as DD favorites to a short handed Denver team by a 127-115 . Now a little embarrassed Im expecting a concerted effort to make sure they don't have a repeat performance and to make sure they have a much better defensive effort in what should be a start to finish effort.
The Bucks are 10-0 ATS/SU L/10 as a favorite with rest off a loss in a home game. The Suns are 0-12 ATS/SU as a dog off a loss in a home game in which they had 3 or fewer double digit scorers. 

Play on Milwaukee to cover

When these teams played back on Jan 19 S.Dakota took at 91-81 win, and now with revenge on board and playing at home where they are 10-0 this season,  I look for Omaha Nebraska to get the win and cover and get the redemption they so badly want. NEBRASKA-OMAHA is 6-0 ATS  revenging a road loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasonsNEBRASKA-OMAHA is 12-2 ATS  when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons.

CBB underdog (S DAKOTA) - in a game involving two poor defensive teams (74-78 PPG) after 15+ games, after scoring 75 points or more 4 straight games are 30-6 ATS L/23 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors.

Nebraska Omaha to cover 

The Blazers are off a huge emotional upset vs the Lakers last night in LA, for Kobe Bryants memorial celebration last night where Lilliard went off for 48 points. The Trailblazers are 0-12 ATS /SU with no rest after a game as a road dog in which allowing 50-plus points in the paint with the average ppg diff clicking in at  -8.9.   

The Jazz are 11-0 ATS/SU as a favorite with less than two days rest off a loss in which they scored fewer than 10 fast break points with the average ppg diff registering at +18.9 ppg. 

The Lakers payed tribute to former superstar Kobe Bryant  before their Friday home game against the Portland Trail Blazers, but then they couldn't  get a win  and were punished by Damian Lillard's 48-point Kobe like  explosion in a 127-119 defeat. Now a little embarrassed Im betting they come out here and take their frustration out on the Kings in a start to finish effort. Note: The Lakers are 6-0  SU on second nights, including 4-0 on the road.

The Kings are 0-17 ATS/0-17 SU as a home dog off a win as a road dog facing an opponent averaging more than 5 blocks per game with the average ppg diff clicking in at -16 ppg. 

NBA Teams like the Kings  are 0-18 ATS /SU as a home dog with less than two days rest off a 10+ win in which they had at least 30% of their points from threes (Which was the case for the Kings in a upset win vs the Clippers last time out) 

Play on the LA Lakers to cover 

Starting with the 2017 season, Big 10 teams ranked outside the top 11 that are home vs an unranked team and favored by less than 8 or a dog are 21-0 ATS.PURDUE is 4-12 ATS in road games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.PURDUE is 1-13 ATS  in road games after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread over the last 3 seasons.

Play on Northwestern to cover 

Kemba Walker is a 50 /50 bet to play tonight for the Celtics which would slightly adjust my projections but not enough not to lay three with a deep home team in an important eastern conference matchup. 

 The Celtics are 19-0-2 ATS /21-0 SU as a home favorite with less than two days rest off a game as a favorite when they lost 3 straight vs current opponent with none of the L/20 games in this subset coming by less than 5 points a game.

NBA Home favorites (BOSTON) - revenging a road loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, off a home win by 10 points or more are 55-22 ATS L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA Teams like the Sixers  are 1-14 SU/2-13 ATS as a dog off a game as a favorite facing an opponent averaging less than 16 percent of points off free throws.

Play on Boston to cover 

The Orlando Magic, losers of four straight games, have been off since their 113-92 loss at the Miami Heat on Monday. That rest may hinder them rather than help them vs a Heat team that is well conditioned and in a flow despite of some recent losses. The Heat are 19-1 ATS with more than one day of rest off a loss as a home favorite facing an opponent averaging more than 5 blocks per game. Mimai beat Orlando at home in their last meetings, but it must be noted that  ORLANDO is 1-14 ATS  revenging a road loss vs opponent this season. 

 MIAMI is 11-2 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses this season.

Teams like Heat are 18-0 ATS /SU as a road favorite with more than one day of rest off a loss in a home game facing an opponent averaging more than 30 points from 3s. 

NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (ORLANDO) - off a road loss against a division rival, playing with 3 or more days rest are 11-34 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Miami Heat to cover

 Bruce Pearl’s Tigers got of to a hot start this season registering a  15-0  mark but are just 3-2 L/5 SU failing to cover 4 of those tilts including  a pair of DD beatdowns . Now down trending the Tigers face a Kentucky team on a 4 gam er win streak and  that will be out to revenge a  77- 71 overtime loss  in the Elite 8 round to the Tigers last season.   The Wildcats are 34-4 SU overall in this series and have covered 11 of their 17 on the road here in Auburn . Kentucky behind Calapari are  12-2 ATS in their last fourteen games when in revenge mode, including 7-0 ATS L/7 versus top tier opposition with a .777 record or better. Key to this game will be the 29th ranked Kentucky FG D, and their ability to sink shots at the charity stripe ( Entering the game at 77.1% at the foul line, the Wildcats had another solid performance at 84.2% (16 of 19) last time out. 

Play on Kentucky to cover 

Key New Mexico starter aQuan Lyle is OUT Saturday vs Fresno State ( Suspension ) . The Lobos have lost 4 of their L/5 by DDs, and look lifeless right now.

 Fresno State has won five of its last seven meetings with New Mexico, which includes three straight wins in games at the Save Mart Center.  Fresno State has won 50 of its last 66 home games.

NEW MEXICO is 4-12 ATS  in road games against conference opponents over the last 2 season with the average ppg diff clicking in at -11.2 ppg. 

Fresno State to cover 

TCU was upset by Texas at home last season, but the program has done well in rebound mode after a situation like this going  16-6 ATS in road games off an upset loss as a home favorite . I know Baylor is getting huge accolades and playing very well but this line is a little bloated and public leaning and Im betting we have value with a under appreciated and under valued side in the Horned Frogs. 

Play on TCU to cover 

According to my power rankings SF is one of the most under rated teams in the country and must never be underestimated behind a veteran group that can score in bunches.USF is 16-7 on the year and 5-3 in the WCC.  Since falling to Portland, the Dons have gone 5-1 - their lone loss during that stretch a 58-48 loss at Saint Mary's.The Dons are 11-3 at home this season where they average 81.8 ppg and shooting 46.0% from the field.   Saturdays:  The Dons are 8-1 this season on the sixth day of the week. The lone loss came on the road at Portland.  For the year, USF is averaging 80.0 ppg and shooting 48.7% from the field.  Minlend, Bouyea, and Lull all average 13.0 or more on Saturday.

Favorites of 10 or more points (GONZAGA) - hot shooting team - 3 straight games making 47% or more  of their shots against opponent after game - allowing a shooting pct. of 33% or less are 9-34 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on USF Dons to cover on the Hill vs Gonzaga 

Starting with the 2017 season, Big 10 teams ranked outside the top 11 that are home vs an unranked team and favored by less than 8 or a dog are 21-0 ATS. CBB Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (OHIO ST) - off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 80%) are 115-65 ATS L/5 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Ohio State to cover 

In the teams' first meeting, Dec. 20 in Oklahoma City, the Thunder pulled out a 126-108 victory and Im betting on the Thunders domination last time to continue here. The Thunder come into Friday's game having won six consecutive on the road to tie the second-longest streak in Oklahoma City history. The Thunder have won 11 of their last 12 on the road.

The Suns are 0-14 ATS/SU with more than one day of rest after they shot over 50% from the field.The Suns are 0-14-1 ATS /0-15 SU off a win as a road dog when seeking same season revenge for a loss on the road.

The Thunder are 14-0-1 ATS L/15 on the road with less than two days rest.The Thunder are 13-0-1 ATS L/14  on the road with less than two days rest facing an opponent averaging more than 30 points from 3s all from this season and have won their L/6 SU . 

Play on Oklahoma City Thunder to cover 

Memphis has come a long way and New Orleans is just getting started on the road to bigger and better things as along as Zion Williamson stays healthy. Tonight backing  home court advantage for teams that play similar styles is my recommendation.  The Pelicans are 14-0 ATS/SU as a favorite off a win in a road game in which they had less than 15% of their points from free throws with the ppg diff clicking in at 15.9 ppg. 

NBA Underdogs (MEMPHIS) - in a game involving 2 up-tempo teams (82 or more shots/game) after 42+ games, red hot shooting team - 3 straight games making 50% or more of their shots are 4-25 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 86% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Teams like Memphis are 0-16-1 ATS /1-16 SU L/17  as a dog with less than two days rest off a win . 

Play on New Orleans to cover 

 Wright State enters this road game vs Wis Milwaukee leading the conference with a  18-4 overall record and and 8-1 in conference mark, but Im betting their in an emotional letdown spot after taking our N.Kentucky last time out by DDs in an all out performance  vs a , side that eliminated them last season from the conference tournament.  Meanwhile, Wisc-Milwaukee owns a sub .500 recored (9-10)   with one of their 10 losses coming earlier this season to Wright State on the road by a , 82-70 count, but have gotten better since that meeting according to my power rankings, and deserve our respect on home floor tonight getting points vs a side that should be in what I describe as  energy regression.Underdog is 9-2-1 ATS in the last 12 meetings.

Play on Wis Milwaukee to cover 

The Raptors defeated the Pistons 125-113 on Oct. 30 and 112-99 on Dec. 18 and   matchup well vs the Griffin less Pistons who are experiencing alot of inconsistencies with the lineup they have been putting on the floor. DETROIT is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) versus good pressure defensive teams - forcing 16  or more turnovers/game this season with the average ppg diff registering a -9.6 ppg. 

NBA Teams like the Pistons  are 0-14-1 ATS/0-15 SU L/15 as a home dog with rest off a loss in a road game when they lost 2 straight vs current opponent with the average ppg diff clicking in at -18.3 ppg. 

The Pistons are 0-13-1 ATS /0-14 SU L/14 as a dog with rest off a road game after allowing 50-plus points in the paint with a combined average of - 14.1 ppg diff.

 The Raptors are 23-4 ATS /25-2 SU L/27 with less than two days rest off a win in a road game facing an opponent averaging more than 24 assists per game with the average ppg diff clicking in at +11.6 ppg including 15 wins and 14 of 15 covers. 

Play on Toronto Raptors to cover 

Stanford (15-4 overall) after starting 4-0 in the Pac-12 play have lost 2 straight but will be primed for a bounce back effort tonight  at home where they are  11-1 this season. Meanwhile, Oregon State is struggling mightily losing 4 straight, the last 3 by ugly DD deficits and are fade material in their current form. 

STANFORD is 12-1 ATS  in home games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons and  is a perfect 8-0 ATS  in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons. STANFORD is 7-0 ATS  after allowing 55 points or less this season which was the case in a lethargic  52-50 loss vs California last time out. 

HC Tinkle is 0-7 ATS in road games versus very good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 39% or less after 15+ games in all games he has coached since 1997.

Play on Stanford to cover 

LAC Key starters George  and  Patrick Beverley are listed as probable and Kawhi Leonard also expected to play . Note:  In his last eight games, Leonard is averaging 35 points, 7.9 rebounds and 5.4 assists on 51.8 percent shooting which  makes for a perilous matchup for a Sacramento Kings team that the Clippers have owned in recent matchups from a ATS perspective as is evident by a perfect 8-0 ATS L/8 mark in this series.In their last meeting on Dec. 31, the Clippers earned a 105-87 victory. Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation here tonight and a Clipper cover.

Clippers have covered 5 straight at home vs opposition playing 2nd of back to back like the Kings ( Kings lost by 20 to Oklahoma City on the road last night and looked exhausted which does not bode well against a now healthy Clippers side)

The Clippers are 20-0 SU/ 18-2 ATS  as a home favorite off a road game when they won 2 straight vs current opponent with the average ppg diff clicking in at +18.7 ppg.

Play on LA Clippers to cover 

Im taking a contrarian stance with IDAHO ST  college hoops program that is a perfect is 6-0 ATS as a road underdog of 12.5 to 15 points over the last 2 seasons. Yes, Northern Colorado is the superior side and despite of Idaho State losing 4 straight have been competitive not losing by 8,6,3 and 9 points respectively . It must also be noted that N.Colorado is a off a grueling hard fought loss vs E.Washington last time out on the road and with this being their 3rd game in 5 days could easily lack the energy to cover this DD spread. 

Note: Betting against the public ( including 7 parameters that have used) has netted a 120-56-2 68%  CBB record dating back to the 2005 seasons for a massive 32% ROI. 

Play on Idaho State to cover 

Two of the Big Ten's hottest teams will meet Thursday when No. 18 Iowa visits No. 15 Maryland in College Park, Md.Starting with the 2017 season, Big 10 teams ranked outside the top 11 that are home vs an unranked team and favored by less than 8 or a dog are 19-0 ATS. Maryland continues to prove to me they are the real deal and are my choice here tonight on their own home floor. MARYLAND is 21-9 ATS  in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

CBB Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MARYLAND) - hot team - having covered 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread, a top-level team (80% or more ) playing a team with a winning record are 59-28 ATS for a 69% conversion rate for bettors.

Maryland to cover 

Im taking a contrarian stance here tonight with Eastern Illinois a team running hot and on a 4 game win streak getting DDs vs a highly touted hoops program( Murray State). It must be noted that Murray State is in a look ahead situation here as they have Austin Peay on board for Saturday in a matchup of the OVcs top teams. Im betting this will have Murray State not completely 100% focused here giving us an extra edge. Note:MURRAY ST is 4-16 ATS  in home games after 9 or more consecutive wins since 1997- I attribute this kind of line attrition to bloated lines based on recency bias) This EIU hoops group is hard working and  currently leads the OVC in blocks and ranks 41st in the NCAA and must be respected here as a DD dog. 

Note: Betting against the public ( including 7 parameters that have used) has netted a 120-56-2 68%  record dating back to the 2005 seasons for a massive 32% ROI. 

Play on Eastern Illinois to cover

Starting with the 2017 season, Big 10 teams ranked outside the top 11 that are home vs an unranked team and favored by less than 8 or a dog are 19-0 ATS. I have Illinois ranked No.18 as 7 point chalk here according to my numbers . Im betting Illinois wins their 8th in a row and covers. 

Play on Illinois to cover 

The defending NBA champion Raptors are rolling right now,as is evident by a current 8 game win streak. Now because of their run, Im betting we have a slightly bloated line to bet in to here with the home underdog Cleveland Cavaliers. I know the Cavs have looked asleep at the wheel, for most of this season, but if there was ever a time to wake up , it would be at home against the defending NBA champs. Note: Cleveland is 5-1 SU/ATS L/6 at home in this series.

NBA Teams like the Cavaliers are 17-0 ATS L/17  as a dog with rest after playing as a home dog when seeking same season revenge for a loss on the road with the average ppg diff clicking in at -1.9 ppg. NBA Teams like the Cavs are 15-0 ATS L/15 as a 8+ dog off a loss in a home game facing an opponent averaging more than 24 assists per game with the average ppg diff 0f -0.7 ppg.

NBA Teams  like the Raptors are 0-14 ATS L/14 as a 8+ favorite after a game as a home favorite in which allowing 50-plus points in the paint with the average ppg diff clicking in at +1.9 ppg.The Raptors are 0-11 ATS /3-8 SU L/11 on the road with rest off a win in which their opponent had at least a 10 percent higher BAP.

NBA team (TORONTO) - after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a bad team (25% to 40%) are 17-51 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Cleveland to cover 

New Mexico has looked pretty bad in recent games , losing 3 of their L/4 big big DD amounts, so it might be hard for some of you to the pull the trigger here against a 21-0 SU San Diego State team that looks almost unstoppable. However, those above ugly losses came on the road and  it must be noted that The Lobos are a perfect 13-0 at home this season, and must not be underestimated getting DDs as home dogs. A team like the Lobos that plays fast and averages more than 80 ppg is always going to be a dangerous pup. The last time UNM hosted a top-10 opponent was last season when UNM pulled off a 27-point victory over then-undefeated and No. 5/6 Nevada on Jan. 5, 2019.

CBB teams off a big loss going against a top 5 ranked opponent dating back to the 2005 season have been a good money making venture for bettors going 107-56-1 ATS for a 66% conversion rate and a massive 26.6% ROI. 

Play on New Mexico to cover 

 IU is coming off a 77-76 loss to #17 Maryland on Sunday  after blowing a late lead and this Im betting will have an impact on their  confidence here tonight in Penn State. Meanwhile, the Nittany Lions are off a big confidence building road victory vs Michigan last time out . Note: CBB   Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (PENN ST) - off an upset win over a conference rival as an underdog, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 80%) are 64-27 ATS L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Also

Since the beginning of  2017 season, Big 10 teams ranked outside the top 11 that are playing at home vs an unranked team and favored by less than 8 or a dog are 18-0 ATS L/18 opportunities. 

Play on Penn State to cover