The Tiger-Cats are well rested coming off a bye week in week six and a win in week five against the Stampeders (30-23) and will be primed to pull he upset as home dogs vs the undefeated Winnipeg Blue Bombers.

Tiger-Cats are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games.Tiger-Cats are 10-1-1 ATS in their last 12 Friday games.Tiger-Cats are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.

O'Shea is 0-6 ATS  in road games after allowing 150 or less passing yards in their last game as the coach of WINNIPEG. 

CFL Favorites (WINNIPEG) - with a turnover margin of 0.75 or more /game or better on the season, after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of +2 or better are 15-40 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Hamilton Ti cats to cover 

The NY Liberty started their season slowly but overall have performed well of late and been competetive as is evident by covering 8 of their L/11 games vs a winning side, and are off a impressive SU win vs the LASparks last time toout. Meanwhile, Connecticut despite of a impressive record this season  have  been inconsistent  and are just 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record. My own power rankings suggest this line is slightly bloated thus giving us value with the travelling dog. 

 WNBA Home favorites of 10 or more points (CONNECTICUT) - averaging 45 or more rebounds/game on the season, in May, June, or July games are 9-32 L/5 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the NY Liberty to cover

The Atlanta Dream are a very contrarian side to be on tonight. In my usual contradictory betting bias that the side Im recommending we take tonight in this battle against the visiting Los Angeles Sparks. It must be noted that Los Angeles (10-8) played the last three games with just eight players as Candace Parker (ankle), Alana Beard (hamstring), Alexis Jones (knee) and Maria Vadeeva (knee) are all hurt and Riquna Williams is currently suspended and with the all star break coming up Im doubting these players will be rushed back to the court. Los Angeles barely beat  Atlanta 76-71 in overtime on the road July 14, and Im betting now on tired legs and short handed the Sparks could get upset. 

WNBA  team vs the money line (LOS ANGELES) - off an upset loss as a road favorite, playing with 2 days rest are 23-10 SU L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

WNBA Road teams vs. the money line (LOS ANGELES) - after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% after 15 or more games are 5-32 SU L/5 seasons for a go against 87% conversion rate for bettors. 

Take the points with the Atlanta Dream

My power ranking suggest Indiana despite of their dismal record matches up well against streaking Sky. When these teams played back on June 15 Chicago won 70-64 at Indiana  in a game that essentially was up for grabs, and Im betting on a repeat confrontation here. Note: Indiana has won 4 straight on the road in this series and gets the nod to cover again. 

Sky are 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss.Sky are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 3 or more days rest.Fever are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Fever are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games.Fever are 19-7-1 ATS in the last 27 meetings in Chicago.

WNBA Road teams (INDIANA) - after 4 or more consecutive losses against opponent after 1 or more consecutive wins are 31-9 ATS L22 seasons for a 78% conversion rate! 

 Play on Indiana to cover 

Dallas, which has the worst record in the league, has dropped four straight and six of seven and dont deserve to be favs even against a banged up Mercury side. Look for the Mercury key contributors Grinner and Bonner to be the difference makers. 

Home underdogs (DALLAS) - good ball handling team - committing 14 turnovers/game, on Saturday games are 17-41  ATS L/22 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors.

WNBA Road teams (PHOENIX) - after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games, well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days are 35-17 ATS L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Phoenix Mercury to cover 

Both these teams the BC Lions and Saskatchewan Roughriders need wins, and I am expecting a hard fought affair here making getting points a viable investment option.The spread has shot up after opening at Saskatchewan -2 and now at this level is slightly bloated. I know the Lions have struggled to score, thanks to a struggling offensive line, but their better then their 17 sacks suggest and Im betting they prove that here in desperation mode vs another inconsistent side.

BRITISH COLUMBIA is 19-6 ATS L/25 in road games against teams with a turnover margin of -0.75 per game or worse. BRITISH COLUMBIA is 60-36 ATS  L/96 as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points . 

SASKATCHEWAN is 3-12 ATS  off a blowout loss by 24 points or more to a division rival ( Calgary clobbered the Riders last week 37-10) 

Play on the BC Lions to cover 

The Aces are slight dogs here, but this team is an explosive group that already beat Storm at home 60-56 back on June 25th. Now well rested and off since Saturday I expect this young but powerful Aces group to battle hard and be fresh enough to come out on top. 

Aces are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 3 or more days rest.

WNBA team (SEATTLE) - a good offensive team (72-76 PPG) against a horrible defensive team (76 or PPG) after 15+ games, after scoring 40 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games and  19-45 ATS for 70% go against conversion rate over the  L/22 seasons. 

Play on the Las Vegas Aces to cover 

The recency of Winnipeg going 4-0 SU/ATS to start their season give us value on what Im betting is a bloated line. I know the Red Black have struggled in their L/2 games , one of which came at home to Winnipeg by a 29-14 count,, but now this hard nosed Rick Campbell coached team with revenge on board must not be underestimated in their ability to cash . With that said look for Ottawa to be hard to handle this this week , just like was the case when they walked into Calgary in week 1 of this season vs the defending Grey Cup champs and won SU as underdogs. 

Campbell is 15-3 ATS versus good offensive teams - averaging 7.2 or more yards/play as the coach of OTTAWA. 

OTTAWA is 6-0 ATS in road games after having lost 2 out of their last 3 games over the last 3 seasons.OTTAWA is 11-2 ATS versus good offensive teams - averaging 7.2 or more yards/play over the last 3 seasons.

Road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (OTTAWA) - off an upset loss to a division rival as a favorite, in the first half of the season are 25-4 ATS L/22 seasons. (Which was the case vs a Montreal team they overlooked last week)

Play on the Ottawa RedBlack to cover

Rays starter Brendan McKay 1-0, 1.69 ERA, 13 SO in his  fourth career start comes after a seven-strikeout performance against Baltimore on July 13. In two of his three starts, he held the opposing lineup scoreless. Meanwhile, Pale Hose starter Lopez is 0-2 with a 9.58 ERA in two career starts against the Rays, with four home runs allowed in 10 1/3 innings.

Also after being swept by the Yankees in a double header yesterday to team will have a sense of urgency here and come out and play hard for us im betting vs a White Sox team on an ugly 7 game losing streak. 

MLB  favorites with a money line of -200 or more (TAMPA BAY) - excellent fielding team - averaging 0.5 or less errors/game on the season, after scoring 1 run or less are 465-3 L/5 seasons with the average run differential clicking in at 3.4 rpg which qualifies under my perimeters for a value run line selection in this spot play. 

Play on TB Rays on the RL -1.5

The Wings played the Mercury hard yesterday and covered, and now according to my power rankings Dallas is being underestimated in their ability to cover vs LA here today, which gives us value on this line. I know the Wings are on short rest, but the Sparks are banged up with Candace Parker, Alan Beard, Alexis Jones, and Maria Vadeeva out, and short handed with key starter Riquna Williams' taking a lengthy suspension. Dallas has an edge especially from a ATS standpoint. 

Dallas is 7-1 ATS L/8 meetings in this series and have covered 3 of their L/4 visits to LA.

WNBA Road teams (DALLAS) - after 3 or more consecutive losses against opponent after 1 or more consecutive wins are 52-18 ATS L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Dallas Wings to cover 

The Mercury on a two game losing streak  and losses in 4 of their L/5   proved to me they dont matchup all that well vs the Wings. In the  first meeting with the Wings this season on June 20. the Mercury two key offensive threats  Griner and Bonner were held to a combined 20 points as Phoenix shot 24.6 percent and was outrebounded 49-28. While I dont expect that lopsided of a occurrence here I do believe we have value taking points with the visitors. Note:Diana Taurasi is downgraded to doubtful Wednesday vs Dallas Wings ( Back ).

Play on the Dallas Wings to cover 

Atlanta according to my power rankings is being under rated here thus giving us value taking points with the with the Dream vs Chicago. Atlanta won two of the three games between the teams last year, including an 89-74 romp at home in the most recent matchup.

WNBA Home favorites (CHICAGO) - after a game where they covered the spread, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team are 25-57 L/5 seasons for go against 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Atlanta to cover 

Chicago recorded a 78-66 home win over Dallas last Sunday to snap a five-game losing streak and once again have the edge according to my projections that make them a -1 point  favorite instead of a dog. Note: Dallas is expected to be short-handed along the frontcourt for this match, with Azura Stevens sidelined with a foot injury and center Isabelle Harrison's status uncertain as she is in concussion protocol and unlikely to play. 

Sky are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games playing on 1 days rest.Sky are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 vs. Western Conference.

Wings are 8-18-1 ATS in their last 27 games overall.Wings are 4-14 ATS in their last 18 vs. Eastern Conference.Wings are 3-12-1 ATS in their last 16 games following a ATS loss.Wings are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 Sunday games.

Play on the Chicago Sky to cover 

L.A. has shown flashes of brilliance of late at least when at home, but is a different stroy on the road where they are   3-5 SU and been outscored by an average of 14.7 points while losing three in a row and are expected to be without Candace Parker tonight ( Candace Parker is downgraded to OUT Friday vs Indiana Fever ( Foot ).  Meanwhile, the Atlanta Dream despite of having problems getting into the win column consistently are a under rated side, and on most nights a very competitive team that just cant get over the hump. With that said, getting points with the host Fever according to my projections is a viable wager. 

LOS ANGELES is 4-12 ATS versus teams who attempt 16 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons. 

Play on the Indiana Fever to cover 

The Chicago Sky have shown a lot   improvement since opening 2019 with a lopsided loss to the Minnesota Lynx and now in revenge mode are viable bets here on an almost pickem line. Minnesota is off a hard fought win vs Connecticut last time out by a 74-71 score , and could easily find themselves in a letdown spot here vs a hungry team. Note:MINNESOTA is 0-8 ATS  after a win by 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons.

Play on the Chicago sky to cover 

According to my projections this line is slightly bloated giving us value with the under rated Phoenix Mercury who now have Diana Taurasi travelling with the team and is expected to  back in the lineup after a lengthy lay off. Meanwhile , Washingtons, star Delle Donne broke here nose last time out, and is less than 100% entering this game giving the Mercury and edge here on this line. 

The Mercury have won and covered 2 of their L/3 visits here to Washington DC. 

Thibault is 19-30 ATS  in home games in non-conference games as the coach of WASHINGTON.

Brondello is 8-1 ATS  after 3 straight games where they committed 11 or less turnovers as the coach of PHOENIX.

WNBA Home teams vs. the money line (WASHINGTON) - after being beaten by the spread by more than 18 points in their previous game, on Wednesday nights are 8-23 su L/22 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Take the points with Phoenix to cover 

Washington has won the L/4 meetings in this series, and are showing that they are contenders for a WNBA championship if they can stay healthy. They have won 5 straight games, and are showing no signs of slowing down, making them viable road favs here vs the inconsistent LA Sparks. 

WNBA Road favorites (WASHINGTON) - after 5 or more consecutive wins, in July games are 33-11 ATS L/22 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Washington Mystics to cover 

The defending Grey Cup champion Calgary Stampeders are being made underdogs here, and Im betting we have value taking the points here this Saturday night in Saskatchewan. Last week Quarterback Nick Arbuckle helped his team to a unlikely come from  victory  after coming off the bench in the final 3 minutes, completing a 21 point  comeback against the B.C. Lions. Now with the momentum of that win on their sides, Im expecting another big game from the Stamps.

Considering 55% of games have been decided in the final 3 minutes and wont be hard for me to imagine this game going down to the wire here and for the points to eventually be golden. 

Dickenson is 10-2 ATS versus good offensive teams - scoring 29 or more points/game as the coach of CALGARY.

CFL team (SASKATCHEWAN) - outgaining their opponents by 0.75 or more passing yards/attempt, after gaining 10 or more passing yards/attempt in 2 straight games are 11-43 ATS L/22 seasons for go against 76% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Calgary Stampeders to cover 

Atlanta is 9-1 on the ML against the Marlins this season, including three shutout victories. Miami has scored more than two runs in only three of the 10 games against the Braves and are fade material on the runline here this afternoon.

Note: Atlanta Braves left-hander Max Fried will be making his first start Saturday since the death of his close friend, Los Angeles Angels left-hander Tyler Skaggs.

The Braves have had their way with lower tier teams:ATLANTA is 13-1  against the money line when playing against a terrible team (Win Pct. 38% or less) this season with the average run differential clicking in a +3 per game.

Play on the Atlanta Braves to win on the RL -1.5

The NY Liberty are playing top tier basketball entering this game, as they look for their fourth straight victory. Even though Diania Taurasi is expected to return to the court tonight for the Mercury after a long absence, I still believe we have value with the road underdog Liberty.  I know the Liberty are on short rest but that have proven well conditioned and under estimated in this spot recently as they have cashed 6 of their L/7 with 1 days rest. 

Liberty are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Phoenix.

Play on the NY Liberty to cover 

 The DBacks are on a 3 game losing streak but with their stopper Greinke on the hill Im betting they end their mini slump today.  It must be noted that  the Diamondbacks are 8-0  on at least a three-game losing streak, beating their opponents by 2.6 runs per game when Greinke goes to the hill.  

ARIZONA is 25-11 SU revenging 2 straight home losses vs opponent over the last 3 seasons winning by an average of 2,2 rpg. GREINKE is 45-12  against the money line as a home favorite of -175 to -250 since 1997. (Team's Record) with a run diff of 2.1 rpg. 

MLB Home favorites with a money line of -150 or more (ARIZONA) - very good offensive team (5.0 runs/game or more) against an average starter (ERA 4.20 to 5.20)-NL, on a good fielding streak, 10 straight games with one or less errors are 102-25 SU L/22 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Arizona DBacks to win on the ML

The Dream enter this game as still be very under rated and have been money in the bank of late when playing on the road cashing 10 of their L/14 opportunities and are once again a value line call here vs a Minnesota team that my power rankings suggest they matchup well against.

WNBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MINNESOTA) - after going over the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last seven games are 5-25 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Atlanta Dream to cover 

In 23 opener starts this season, Stanek is 0-1 with a 2.25 ERA. The Rays are 15-8 in games started by the right-hander this season. Ryan Yarbrough is likely to get the bulk of the innings on Monday. This combination of pitchers Im betting trumps the Orioles pitching options. 

BALTIMORE is 3-22 SU vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better this season with the average run per game diff clicking in at -2.2 rpg. BALTIMORE is 1-18 SU after allowing 3 runs or less 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons with the average run diff clicking in at -3.6 rpg. HYDE is 3-23 SU vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) as the manager of BALTIMORE with a average rpg diff of -3.0 rpg. 

TAMPA BAY is 20-4 SU when playing on Monday over the last 2 seasons with a average run per game differential of +2.7 rpg. 

Orioles are 2-7 in the last 9 meetings.Orioles are 3-14 in the last 17 meetings in Tampa Bay.

MLB Home teams against a run line. (+1.5, -130) to (-1.5, +160) (TAMPA BAY) - AL team with a low on-base percentage (.320) against a team with a bad bullpen (WHIP 1.550 or better ), cold hitting team - batting .225 or worse over their last 5 games are 42-16 L/22 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors and a perfect 4-0 100% this season.

Play on TB on the -1.5 runline 

 The Wings have not beaten the  Minnesota Lynx since relocating from Tulsa after the 2015 season, losing all 10 meetings . They have lost 12 straight to the Lynx since an 86-78 victory June 21, 2015, but the last four defeats have all been by single digits and Im betting we have another close one today with the points eventually proving to be golden.

Lynx are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games following a straight up win.Lynx are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. Western Conference.Lynx are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games.Wings are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 home games.Wings are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.

Play on the Dallas Wings 

The Fever (5-8) are trying to salvage a split of this two-game swing out west after losing 91-69 at Phoenix on Friday night, their worst defeat of the season and Im betting they now bounce back and are much more competitive after that sleepy effort. According to my power rankings this Fever team is very under rated and I wont be swayed by the recency of that last result. Note:Turnovers continue to be a problem for Las Vegas, which ranks 11th in the 12-team league in turnovers at 16.8 per game after committing 19 on Thursday night. 

WNBA Home favorites of 10 or more points (LAS VEGAS) - averaging 45 or more rebounds/game on the season, in May, June, or July game are 9-31 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.

WNBA Road underdogs (INDIANA) - after 3 or more consecutive losses, in May, June, or July games are 44-18 L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Indiana Fever to cover 

Connecticut (9-3) still has the best record in the WNBA but is coming off a 74-73 defeat to the Dallas Wings on Wednesday night for their 2nd straight loss. Because of the recency of the Sun loss and the Mystics current 5 game win streak we now get a value line to bet into , making getting points here a prime opportunity according to my power rankings. Connecticut has won 3 straight meetings in this series and 3 of their L/4 visits to DC and get the nod here. 

Play on the Connecticut Sun to cover 

These teams are currently playing at the opposite end of the performance spectrum with the Chicago Sky looking for their third straight win on the road and in this series while the Seattle Storm trying to avoid their 3rd straight loss overall in head to head meetings with the Sky. This is a momentum play that favors the Sky to cover , especially with key Seattle  guard Jewell Loyd expected to miss with an injury. 

WNBA Road teams (CHICAGO) - well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days, in June games are 101-74 L/5 seasons for a solid 60% conversion rate. 

Play on the Chicago sky to cover 

 Blue Jays RH Trent Thornton (2-5, 4.25 ERA) vs. Yankees LH James Paxton (5-3, 3.75)

James Paxton the Yankees stater  has won back-to-back starts, combining to permit three runs and 13 hits over 11 innings (2.45 ERA). He has walked four against 14 strikeouts in those outings. His current form and the fact they he is backed by one of baseballs most explosive offences averaging 5.7 rpg vs righties like the Jays starter Thornton makes this a viable runline option this afternoon favoring the Yankees.

Note: The Jays offence has struggled in day games this season averaging just 3.1 rpg, while the Yankees offence has averaged 6.5 rpg in day tilts.

MLB Road underdogs against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line +110 to +155) (TORONTO) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 on the season (AL), terrible speed team - averaging 0.35 or less SB's/game on the season are 13-35 L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the NY Yankees on the RL -1.5

The Aces have not been consistent early on this season, but they are very under rated and have proven how explosive they can be while, my power ranking suggest the Seattle Storm are over achieving. This WNBA market is highly inefficient and my number suggests it should be closer to -8 favoring the Aces.. thus we have value laying the lumber . 

SEATTLE is 18-37 ATS L/55 in road games after a win by 6 points or less.Hughes is 24-41 ATS versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 40% or less in all games. 

Play on the Aces to cover 

With the Sparks Candice Parker now making here third start since returning of injury should now have gotten rid of her rustiness and Im betting we see her at the top of her game. Road underdogs (LOS ANGELES) - after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games and are 46-16 ATS L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate. 

WNBA team vs the money line (PHOENIX) - after scoring 55 points or less are 26-2 L/5 seasons for a 93% SU conversion rate.

Play on the LA Sparks to cover 

The Dream according to my power rankings are one of the most under rated teams in the WNBA, and according to numbers we have value on the this home dog line.This is Washington's first game in Atlanta since winning Game 5 of the WNBA semifinals 86-81 last September.

ATLANTA is 12-4 ATS  versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

WNBA Home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (ATLANTA) - well rested team - playing 5 or less games in 14 days, on Sunday games are 49-21 ATS L/22 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Atlanta Dream to cover 

 After starting their season at 0-5 the Wings have won two straight and have momentum entering this game against Bill Lambeers Las Vegas Aces. Dallas has a recent history of success in this series having won 6 straight meetings overall and the L/3 here in Vegas and have enough talent to keep this game closer than the spread the linesmakers have placed on it might indicate. 

WNBA Road teams (DALLAS) - well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days, in June games are 101-65 ATS L/5 seasons for a 61% conversion rate for bettors.

WNBA Home favorites of 10 or more points (LAS VEGAS) - averaging 45 or more rebounds/game on the season, in May, June, or July games are 8-31 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Dallas Wings to cover 

Mike Reilly BCs newly acquired star QB Im betting will be key here to them covering vs his former team the Edmonton Eskimos a side  that is not disciplined and takes to many penalties.  Reilly in three straight seasons  produced  5,500-plus passing yards and gets my support here in what could be coin flip game , which makes getting points a value investment option. 

EDMONTON is 0-8 ATS  in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.Edmonton  is 0-7 ATS  in home games when playing against a terrible team (Win Pct. 25% or worse) as the coach of EDMONTON.Maas is 8-19 ATS ( as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points as the coach of EDMONTON.

CFL Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (BRITISH COLUMBIA) - good passing defense from last season - allowed 245 or less passing yards/game are 25-7 ATS L/22 seasons for a 78% conversion rate.

Play on the BC Lions to cover 

 According to my power rankings the Atlanta Dream are much better than their record might indicate and they offer us value on the line here this evening vs the Sun.   The Dream did beat the Fever last time out, and have momentum entering this game, and Im betting they wont be easy outs even though they continue to adjust without star Angel McCoughtry out of the lineup.

Atlanta has won and covered 2 of their L/3 visits here against the Sun.

WNBA Home favorites of 10 or more points (CONNECTICUT) - averaging 45 or more rebounds/game on the season, in May, June, or July games are 8-30 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors.

WNBA Home favorites of 10 or more points (CONNECTICUT) - dominant rebounding team - outrebounding opponents by 5+ per game, in May, June, or July games are 9-29 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Atlanta Dream to cover 

Washington looked explosive and dominating when they opened a stretch of four consecutive road contests with a conclusive 81-52 victory at Los Angeles on Tuesday. I know their hosts the Aces have won 2 straight, but my power ranking suggest they will have their hands full of a confident team playing with immediate momentum. 

WNBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (WASHINGTON) - good team - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game against opponent after a combined score of 155 points or more in 3 straight games are 32-10 ATS L/22 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Washington Mystics  to cover 

 Despite of all the off season departures the Red Black found a way to beat the defending Grey Cup Champion Calgary Stampeders last week by a 32-25 count winning and covering at 8 point plus dogs. However, this week, in an emotional let down scenario Im betting they will have their hands full with what Im betting will be this leagues strongest defence .  Yes, Even with the loss of Willie Jefferson, the Saskatchewan Roughriders will have the best defence in the CFL  especially with the addition of Micah Johnson and Solomon Elimimian.

SASKATCHEWAN is 46-20 ATS  when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 75% or better ) since 1996. SASKATCHEWAN is 86-61 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1996.

CFL Favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (OTTAWA) - first month of the season, after closing out last season strong with 4 or more wins in last 5 games, team that had a winning record last season are just 9-30 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors.

CFL Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (SASKATCHEWAN) - good passing defense from last season - allowed 245 or less passing yards/games are 25-7 ATS L/22 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.

Take the points with Saskatchewan to cover 

Connecticut, which has won five straight overall, is trying to break the franchise record of 11 consecutive home victories originally established from Sept. 19, 2004-July 28, 2005 and Im betting they get it as well as the all important cover.

SEATTLE is 2-11 ATS  off an upset win as an underdog over the last 3 seasons. (Which happened last time out)

WNBA Home favorites (CONNECTICUT) - explosive offensive team - scoring 77+ points/game on the season against opponent after 2 straight wins by 6 points or less are 30-9 L/22 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors.

WNBA Road underdogs (SEATTLE) - good offensive team - scoring 73+ points/game on the season, after 2 straight wins by 6 points or less are 15-42 L/22 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Connecticut Sun to cover 

Still without injured star Angel McCoughtry, Atlanta's averaging just 69.0 points -   shooting a league-worst 36.6 percent. The Dream also allowed at least 82 points in each of their first three losses before falling 65-59 to Connecticut on Sunday and are fade material in their current form.Dallas is struggling to the franchise's worst start since relocating to the Dallas 0-5  in 2016, the Wings have been hit hard by injuries , but still have enough guns to chase their first win and more importantly get us the cover. Dallas has won the L/3 meetings here and gets the nod again to cover.

Play on the Dallas Wings to cover 

Astros will send  left-hander Framber Valdez (2-2, 2.73 ERA) to the hill. He hd a quality outing last time  in his previous start, allowing one run on five hits with seven strikeouts over seven innings Valdez, who made his big-league debut Aug. 21, 2018, went 4-1 as a rookie and is 6-1 with a 2.30 ERA over six career starts for Houston. Meanwhile,Left-hander Clayton Richard (0-2, 7.04 ERA) will start for the Blue Jays in the middle game of the series. 

HOUSTON is 20-6 SU vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better this season with the average margin of victory coming by 2.4 rpg. TORONTO is 7-20 against the money line after a 3 game span where the bullpen threw 13 total innings or more this season with the average run differential clicking in at 2.7 rpg. 

MLB Road teams (TORONTO) - ice cold hitting team - batting .230 or worse over their last 20 games, after a game where the bullpen was rocked for 6 or more earned runs are 12-37 SU L/5 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Houston Astros to win on the RL

.

New York (2-4) was finally able to halt a losing stretch that reached 17 games with an 88-78 home victory over Las Vegas on Sunday. (Vegas has lost 3 of their L/4)The Liberty held the Aces (2-3) to 35.4 percent shooting en route to their a win and followed that up with a victory vs Minnesota, and Im betting they are competitive here again, behind super star Tina Charles. 

LAS VEGAS is 0-6 ATS  in home games after 2 or more consecutive unders over the last 3 seasons

Home favorites of 10 or more points (LAS VEGAS) - averaging 45 or more rebounds/game on the season, in May, June, or July games are 30-7 ATS L/22 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the NY Liberty to cover 

Charlie Morton the Rays starter owns a 7-0 record along with a , 2.30 ERA, and  91 SO this season.  Morton is a prime candidate to remain undefeated in his 14th start of the season. He has thrown 7.0 innings in each of his last two starts, including a scoreless outing against the Tigers on Wednesday in which he had eight strikeouts and zero walks. Meanwhile, the Rays, get to bat against a hurler that has spent most of his time on the minors .Anderson  in his 11 games for the Triple-A club garnered a  6.26 ERA and could easily get lit up today by a sometimes explosive and more importantly consistent offence. 

Play on Tampa Bay to win on the RL -1.5

Milwaukee enters Sunday with eight wins in its last 12 games to improve to 37-28. Five of those wins are against the Pirates, whom they have scored 46 runs and hit 16 of their 112 homers against. In the  6 games the Pirates have played  vs Milwaukee  this season the pitching staff has garnered 7.23 ERA and once again suceptiable to being beat up on again with starter Brault on the hill. The southpaw is  1-0 with a 4.76 ERA as a starting pitcher this season and 3-4 with a 4.76 ERA in 20 career starts and does matchup well vs Brewers team averaging 4.8 rpg vs LHP this season. 

Anderson the Brewers starter today  is 8-4 with a 3.61 ERA in 15 career starts against the Pirates. He held Pittsburgh to two runs on six hits in five innings in Milwaukee's 11-5 win on May 30 and gets my support in this spot play on the runline.

PITTSBURGH is 1-11  against the money line revenging 4 or more straight losses vs opponent in last 2 years this season with the average loss coming by 4 rpg game.

Play on the Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 runline 

 Both these teams won their last games out, with Chicago taking out Seattle, and Washington clobbering Atlanta by DDs. To many points here considering the matchup stats , which gives us value taking points.

WNBA Home favorites of 10 or more points (WASHINGTON) - after a game where they covered the spread, well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days are 10-34 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors.

WNBA Home favorites (WASHINGTON) - off a home win, in June games are 12-35 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Chicago Sky to cover 

These teams took part in a hard fought opener for both teams back in NY with the Fever squeezing out a 1 point win on the last shot of the game by a 81-80 score vs a stunned Liberty team. Now in a revenge mode Im betting on the Liberty getting us the cover between two evenly matched sides.

NYL have won their L/3 visits to Indiana SU.

WNBA Road teams (NEW YORK) - after 1 or more consecutive losses, first 5 games of the season, after closing out last season poorly with 12+ losses in last 15 games are 27-6 ATS L/22 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors.

WNBA Road teams (NEW YORK) - after 1 or more consecutive losses, first 5 games of the season, after closing out last season poorly with 10+ losses in last 12 games are 24-5 ATS L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate! 

Take the points with the NY Liberty to cover 

DANIEL NORRIS (L) vs. MIKE SOROKA (R)

Tigers left-hander Daniel Norris (2-3, 4.18 ERA) goes to the hill for the Tigers this Saturday against the Braves. Detroit has lost six of his last seven starts. Meanwhile Mike Soroka (5-1, 1.07 ERA, 46 SO) Atlanta's rookie hurler continues to build a strong All-Star resume, as he has allowed one earned run or less in each of his first eight starts. He posted a 0.79 ERA and limited opponents to a .145 batting average over five May starts and get my support here on the runline. 

Detroit has averaged just 3 rpg vs righty hurlers like Soroka this season via a lowly .220 BA. 

MLB  favorites with a money line of -200 or more (ATLANTA) - after a game without an extra base hit are 50-5 L/5 seasons for a 91% conversion rate with the average rpg diff clicking  in at +2.9 rpg which qualifies on a runline wager. 

Play on the Atlanta Braves to win on the RL

Blue Jays RH Edwin Jackson (0-2, 9.00 ERA) vs. Rockies RH German Marquez (5-2, 3.56)

These teams the Rockies and the Blue Jays  are operating at the opposite end of the proverbial performance spectrum entering this game  with Colorado having won 6 of their L/7 with  4 walk off victories.  The Jays meanwhile, have lost 12 of their 16 overall. From a cursory look at this matchup Colorado looks to be a viable favorite. But the RL offering does not take into consideration, what could easily be a letdown scenario for a Rockies team vs a sub par side that has spent alot of energy with hard fought victories. We have a tremendous amount  of hedging power here as compared to what fair value should be considering the outliner circumstances, especially on the runline . Note: There is value laying both the runline and moneyline , but our best aggregated investment option sits with a run-line proposition. 

Blue Jays are 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.

Rockies are 12-26 in their last 38 interleague home games vs. a team with a losing record.Rockies are 21-46 in their last 67 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.Rockies are 2-5 in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.

I know the Blue Jays starting veteran hurler Edwin Jackson is struggling, but he  9-2  against the money line vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) and is  14-6  against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. JACKSON is 9-1 against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) 

MLB Home favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (COLORADO) - with a team slugging percentage of .430 or better on the season (NL), after scoring 10 runs or more are 25-39 L/5 seasons for a go against 61% conversion rate for bettors.

MLB Road teams (TORONTO) - after being swept in a 3 game series by a division rival, starting a pitcher who walked 1 or less hitters each of his last 2 outings re 60-38 L/22 seasons for a 61% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Toronto Blue Jays on the +1.5 runline 

Snell, the American League Cy Young Award winner in 2018, will be facing the Blue Jays for the second time this season.

The left-hander was on the hill in the  Blue Jays' 3-1 victory on April 13 at Toronto. Snell pitched six scoreless innings, allowing only a walk and a single.Snell has had success vs the Jays in the recent past and is  4-2 with a 2.63 ERA in nine career starts against the Blue Jays and 2-0 with a 0.40 ERA in his last four starts against them.  Today against a Jays team that has loss 19 of 26 in May and struggling to find ways to win look to be at a big time disadvantage tonight. 

THORNTON the Jays starter  is 0-1 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 15.00 and a WHIP of 3.333.

TORONTO is 12-35  against the money line when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct.  62% or better over the last 2 seasons with the average diff clicking in at -2.7 rpg. TORONTO is 3-16 (against the money line after a 2 game span where the bullpen threw 9 total innings or more this season with the average rpg diff clicking in at 2.8 rpg.

MLB Road teams (TORONTO) - terrible offensive team (3.6 or less runs/game) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA 3.50 or better ) (AL), with an on base percentage of .285 or worse over their last 5 games are 15-52 L/5 seasons for a  go against 78% conversion rate for bettors with the average margin diff clicking in at 2.1 rpg. 

Play on TB Rays on the -1.5 runline 

STEVEN MATZ (L) vs. RICH HILL (L)

After allowing five runs in his season debut, although only one was earned, the Dodgers starter  Hill has continued to get better as the season progresses. In his past two starts, Hill has allowed just one run with 17 strikeouts across 12 innings and gets my support here tonight on the  1.5 runline. 

LA DODGERS are 23-4  against the money line as a favorite of -150 or more this season by an average of 2.9 rpg. 

NY METS are 0-8  against the money line in road games vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start this season with the losses coming by an an average of 2.3 rpg. NY METS are 0-7  against the money line in road games vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start this season losing by an average of 2.8 rpg. 

Mets are 4-17 in their last 21 road games.Mets are 1-6 in their last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.Mets are 0-5 in their last 5 road games vs. a left-handed starter.

Play on the LA Dodgers -1.5 runline

Health issues within the team and coaching staff are expected to make the Seattle Storm's defense of their WNBA title much more difficult and makes them weak home dogs here as well vs the Phoenix Mercury. I know the Mercury are banged up as well but Phoenix, , still has two of the league's top players on the floor and prepared  to go in superstar Brittney Griner (20.5 ppg, 7.7 rpg, 2.6 blocks per game) and DeWanna Bonner (17.3 ppg, 7.2 rpg). The Mercury also took versatile Stanford star Alanna Smith in the first round of last month's draft. Note: PHOENIX is 16-5 ATS  in road games over the last 2 seasons. 

WNBA Home teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (SEATTLE) - good free throw shooting team from last season - made 76% or more of their free throws are 5-20 L/25 seasons for go against 80% conversion rate with a the average ppg diff clicking in at 7.7 ppg.

Play on the Phoenix Mercury to cover

Eastern Conference - Finals - Best of 7 - Game 5 - Series tied at 2-2

Wrong or right my perception of the Raptors last win in this series vs the Bucks was an albatross event, and that the Bucks are the superior team in a bounce back situation after an embarrassing 18 point loss. It must be noted that the Bucks  lost just 7 games this season by 10 or more points . In the last  six losses, the Bucks went 6-0 ATS, covering by 12.8 points per game. Also from a league wide perspective teams like Milwaukee coming off a 10 point plus post season loss are 25-11 ATS in the followup game in the Conference Finals. In the last 14 seasons teams that have won at least two straight games entering a playoff game and are in the underdog role in their next game and it is between game 5 and 7 in a playoff series, the team on the two-game-plus winning streak is just 31-48-1 ATS.  

MILWAUKEE is 16-3 ATS  off a upset loss as a favorite this season. MILWAUKEE is 10-1 ATS  off an upset loss as a road favorite this season. 

NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MILWAUKEE) - revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, off 2 or more consecutive road losses are 37-13 ATS L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Milwaukee Bucks to cover

Eastern Conference - Finals - Best of 7 - Game 4 - MIL Leads 2-1

The Raptors came out in game 3 of this series in desperation mode, and played like their play off lives depended on it, and still needed double OT to get barely get by the Bucks. After playing an exhausting 7 game series with the Sixers Im betting fatigue will now be in a factor for the Raptors and that they are at a disadvantage in game 4 here in Toronto because of that. Meanwhile, the Bucks are much fresher, and very ready to take advantage of the Dinos . It must be noted that no team in the NBA was better at rebounding of a loss this season than Milwaukee as is evident by going  22-1 SU  with a +15 ppg diff and 19-4 ATS  after a loss this season covering by an average of 7.6 ppg. Milwaukee is  20-6  ATS after allowing 115 points or more in their last game with the average ppg cover diff coming  by 6 ppg. 

Play on the Milwaukee Bucks to cover 

Eastern Conference - Finals - Best of 7 - Game 3 - MIL Leads 2-0

I have not been impressed by the way the Raptors have played in the play offs overall especially the Philadelphia series, and the 2nd game of this series when they lost by 22 points. However, there is enough talent and pride with guys like Kawhi Leonard, and hardcore work ethic from key character players like Siakam to produce a top tier effort in desperation mode here at home today. Note: The L/14 seasons home favorites like the Raptors that were defeated their previous game by double digits have gone 117-79-5 ATS in the playoffs.

MILWAUKEE is 7-21 ATS L/28  off 3 or more consecutive home wins .

Milwaukee is 0-23 ATS as a rested dog when they are off a win as a home favorite in which they shot better than 25% from the arc and are facing a team with an assist-to-turnover ratio of better than 1.50.

NBA Home favorites (TORONTO) - revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, off 2 or more consecutive road losses are 53-22 ATS L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Toronto Raptors to cover 

Western Conference - Finals - Best of 7 - Game 3 - GSW Leads 2-0

After squandering a gigantic lead last time out vs Golden State in game 2 in this series, I can see the Blazers in a classic emotional letdown situation. When you exert that much energy and play much better than anyone anticipated and still lose, a follow up effort could easily be more muted than many expect here in game 3. I know alot of pundits point out that the Warriors are vulnerable without Durant in the lineup. However,  it must be noted that the Warriors, play well together without Durant on the court, as they are 3-0 SU/ATS this season when he is out of the lineup, covering by more than 14 points per game, with all of the tilts coming on the road. Overall Durant is has been out, of the Warriors line 14 times since he came to Oakland and 5 of those games saw Steph Murray play, and guess what the Dubs were a perfect 5-0 SU/ATS in those tilts.

Kerr is 11-2 ATS in road games after a close win by 3 points or less as the coach of GOLDEN STATE. 

NBA team (PORTLAND) - off a cover where the team lost the game straight up as an underdog, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 44-100 L/22 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Golden State Warriors to cover 

Eastern Conference - Finals - Best of 7 - Game 1

The Raptors looked clumsy at best in their game 7 win vs the Philadelphia 76ers, and overall in that series. Overall, I believe both teams in that series, somehow effected the energy flow of each other in a negative way, which resulted in some of the ugliest basketball in this years playoffs. One thing did stand out to me in that above mentioned series, and that is the absolute dominance of Kawhi Leonard, and how he is a  top tier player and game changer at the height of his career . His efforts were key for the Dinos in the play offs so far and nothing will change tonight vs a rested but rusty Milwaukee team that  easily disposed of Boston in their last series victory. Im being careful here not to use any head to head matchup stats from the regular season, as the hoops that we will see tonight, wont be the same kind of hoops we have seen previously. I know the Raptors have a poor game 1 history in the play offs, but they did win game 1 vs Philly, and their still in game shape after a long series with the Sixers, while the inexperienced Bucks, are off a long lay off, and could easily start slow, which Im betting on a entire game basis effects their ability to cover, giving us value with the underdog Raptors. 

NBA Home favorites (MILWAUKEE) - after beating the spread by 54 or more points total in their last ten games against opponent after going under the total by 48 or more points in their last ten games are 11-43 .  ATS L/5 seasons for a  go against 80% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Toronto Raptors to cover 

Eastern Conference - Semifinals - Best of 7 - Game 7 - Series tied at 3-3

Philadelphia awoke from a 2 game slumber last time out in game 6, and forced a game 7 here in Toronto this Sunday. From the outset of this series I thought these teams were fairly evenly matched, and my thoughts have not changed. With that said, Im now betting we have value on the line getting points with Philadelphia in a game that  has a high probability according to my projections of being hard fought to the very end. 

TORONTO is 2-11 ATS  in home games revenging a road loss vs opponent of 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.TORONTO is 4-15 ATS in home games revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.

PHILADELPHIA is 77-58 ATS  as an underdog over the last 3 seasons with the average margin deficit of those 135 games clicking in at 5 ppg.

Play on the Philadelphia 76ers to cover 

In his past four starts,Twins starter Odorizzi is 4-0 with a 1.11 ERA and 23 strikeouts in 24 1/3 innings. He has a 3-1 record and 3.77 ERA in eight career starts against the Tigers and gets the nod tonight on this runline wager. Meanwhile,Tigers starter Tyson Ross (1-4, 5.34 ERA), gave up five runs on seven hits in 1 1/3 innings in a 15-3 loss to Kansas City this past Saturday, will make his second start of the season against the Twins. Ross, is 0-4 with a 5.30 ERA in six games and four career starts against Minnesota and is fade material in his current form. 

JAKE ODORIZZI is 13-5  against the run line in home games over the last 2 seasons.

The Twins are in top form and 11 games over .500 (23-12) and swept the Tigers in an abbreviated 2 game sweep earlier this season, and matchup well vs Motown , especially here tonight in a game that Im betting ends in a 2+ run or more positive deficit for them. 

Play on the Minnesota on the -1.5 RL

Western Conference - Semifinals - Best of 7 - Game 6 - DEN Leads 3-2

Denver phenom Nikola Jokic continued  his top tier play with  25 points and 19 rebounds in Game 5 . The big man is averaging 26.4 points, 14.4 rebounds and 8.8 assists and controlling play while hes on the court.  His emergence into the associations list of up and comers and the good energy he creates for his hard working teams mates makes this Denver hard to beat in their current form and they get my backing again tonight to cover this spread. 

PORTLAND is 11-22 ATS  when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 2 seasons.PORTLAND is 6-17 ATS versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game this season. 

Play on Denver to cover 

Eastern Conference - Semifinals - Best of 7 - Game 6 - TOR Leads 3-2

It has become painfully obvious to Sixers backers over the last couple of games that the young men from the City of Brotherly Love,  are having issues dealing with the Raptors  super star Kawhi Leonard who is proving himself as the best player in this series.  Add to that the  sudden emergence of Kyle Lowry , as he finally is showing us he can play well in a play off environment and you have a situation that favors the Raptors to advance to the next round with a win tonight. Note: Leonard has become the fifth player in NBA history to register150 points, 30 rebounds and 15 assists through the first four games of a playoff series in NBA history, and Im betting he will be the difference maker in this spot. Note:  Since  the 2014-15, season, home underdogs in game 6  are 0-10 SU, losing by an average of 19.5 ppg. 

Philadelphias Embiid is averaging just 17 points and 7.6 rebounds in the series ( injuries, ailments, exhaustion, and lack of play off experience is key here )

76ers are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 Conference Semifinals games.

NBA Home underdogs (PHILADELPHIA) - revenging a road blowout loss vs opponent of 30 points or more against opponent off an home win scoring 110 or more points are 14-44  ATS L/22 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate.

Play on the Toronto Raptors to cover 

Western Conference - Semifinals - Best of 7 - Game 5 - Series tied at 2-2

The opening line on this game was -9.5 which is pretty accurate , and now because of public perceptions about Houstons ability to compete with Golden State a flurry of public money has lowered this line down to value level and Im now all over Golden State elevating their play here tonight in coming out here like their hair is on fire. Note:  NBA playoff teams  like the Rockets that won two straight games vs a one or a two seed to tie the series at two games are 0-8 ATS/SU L/8 times in game five with the average margin defeat coming by 17.4 ppg.

NBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (GOLDEN STATE) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points, off 2 or more consecutive road losses are 55-22 ATS L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Golden State to cover 

 KC Right-hander Jorge Lopez (0-3, 5.09 ERA) will make his first career appearance against the Astros in the series finale. Lopez is 0-2 with a 4.50 ERA on the road this season and does not matchup well according to my power rankings vs this Houston batting order. Note:HOUSTON is 53-14 SU vs. a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities over the last 2 seasons winning by an average of 2.7 rpg. 

KANSAS CITY is 9-33  SU against AL West opponents over the last 2 seasons losing by an average of 1.8 rpg. KANSAS CITY is 2-17 SU in road games after 2 or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons losing by an average of 2.3 rpg.

Houston is in revenge mode today after being embarrassed by the Royals yesterday losing by a 12-2 count. Note: MLB chalk of more than -200 coming off a 10+ run loss are 22-3 SU in their followup game winning by an average of 3 rpg .  

Play on Houston Astros RL -1.5 to win and  cover 

 Western Conference - Semifinals - Best of 7 - Game 5 - Series tied at 2-2

Denver has shown me they are the superior team in this series conflict with Portland thanks in part to a top tier defence, better open court shots, and a young man by the name of Jokic who is averaging 24.5 points per game, 12.5 assists, 9.3 assists and shooting better than 50% from the field, which are to this point the greatest numbers ever put up by a rookie in play off history. The big man logged alot of minutes last time out, but hes well conditioned and young, and more than capable of having another big game here at home in the Mile High City where the Nuggets have played their best hoops this season.

Portland has failed to cover 18 of their L/23 after a straight-up loss in the playoffs under HC Stotts. 

Trail Blazers are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 Conference Semifinals games.

Nuggets are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 Conference Semifinals games.Nuggets are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Nuggets are 21-8-1 ATS in their last 30 vs. NBA Northwest.

Home teams vs. the money line (DENVER) - off a road win against a division rival against opponent off a home loss are 63-19 L/5 seasons for a 77% SU conversion rate with the average ppg dif clicking in at +6.6 .

NBA Road underdogs (PORTLAND) - vs. division opponents, off an upset loss to a division rival as a favorite are 8-25 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Denver Nuggets to cover 

Eastern Conference - Semifinals - Best of 7 - Game 5 - Series tied at 2-2

These teams are pretty evenly matched according to my head to head power rankings . I know Joel Embiid looked horrible in the final half of the last quarter, and possibly single handily handed the Raptors the win in game 4 of this series , with ugly charity stripe shooting, turnovers, and very nervous and overall big man clumsiness, and his lack of being an experienced closer . Despite of all this he is very talented and being on the road should help him be more balanced. With that said,  Im betting the young man comes out here and adjusts , with a much better effort and leads his team to a cover.

Raptors are 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 Conference Semifinals games. Underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

NBA team vs the money line (PHILADELPHIA) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite against opponent off an upset win over a division rival as an underdogs are 41-22 L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate .

Play on the 76ers to cover 

The Celtics have to come out of their defensive minded shell and compete with the Bucks, who just refuse to slow down. It's not like the Celtics don't have the fire power or determination to compete, and tonight I expect some adjustments that make them more aggressive offensively. Look for Kyrie Irving to come out of a 2 game shooting funk here and really put forward a top tier effort. 

BOSTON is 12-2 ATS  in home games in all playoff games over the last 2 seasons.

Celtics are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 Conference Semifinals games.Celtics are 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.Celtics are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

Favorite is 9-4 ATS in the last 13 meetings.

NBA Underdogs vs the money line (MILWAUKEE) - after going over the total by more than 18 points in their previous game, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 19-79 SU L/5 seasons for a 80% go against conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Boston Celtics to cover 

Im betting the Raptors are in trouble without the injured Siakam in the lineup here today in Philadelphia, especially in transition where he is one of the best in the league. It must be noted that Toronto has decreased its FG% conversion rare  by 4.7% margin with Siakam not playing . When Siakam is on the bench during  the these playoffs, the Raps are recording an Offensive Rating of 94.2 and an eFG% of 42.9%; they’ve been at 109.7 and 55.2% with him on the floor. The Raptors bench is weak, and volatile  and with the way Lowry continues to struggle, and the Dinos ultra dependence  Kawhi Leonard for offence, things just don't look good for them despite of being desperate for a win. 

During the L/5 play of seasons,sides that were defeated in  their previous game by 10 ppg or more and then are underdogs in their next playoff tilt have really let their betting backers down going  45-76-1 for a go  against 61% conversion rate on the spread .

NBA Road underdogs (TORONTO) - vs. division opponents, off an upset loss to a division rival as a favorite are 7-25 L/5 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Philadelphia 76ers to cover

Western Conference - Semifinals - Best of 7 - Game 3 - GSW Leads 2-0

Golden State are still the odds on favs to win the NBA championship, and rightly so. I know Houston is one of the few teams that matchup well against the Warriors, but the Dubs are still the superior side, and are a dangerous road dog, making them my choice here tonight deep in the heart of Texas. Lots of value at this line.

Warriors are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Rockets are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games playing on 3 or more days rest.Rockets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.

GOLDEN STATE is 13-5 ATS  when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) this season. HOUSTON is 7-16 ATS  after allowing 115 points or more this season which was the case in the game 2 loss.

Play on Golden State to cover

Western Conference - Semifinals - Best of 7 - Game 3 - Series tied at 1-1

After a top tier performance in game 1 the Nuggets then looked fatigued in game 2 of this series vs the Blazers. Do I think 2 days rest, is enough for the the young men from Denver to get back the form they had against the Spurs and then in the first tilt of this series? Yes, I do and suggest we take the points. Note: Denver really struggled from beyond the arc in game 2  , converting on just 6 of 29 shots for a 20.7% conversion rate. It not all bad however, from a ATS perspective as teams over the L/14 seasons, who hit 21% or less of their down town attempts, were positive money earners cashing at 101-77-4 ATS clip in their follow up game.

PORTLAND is 6-14 ATS versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game this season. 

Nuggets are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 Conference Semifinals games.
Nuggets are 19-8-1 ATS in their last 28 vs. NBA Northwest.

Play on the Denver Nuggets to cover

Eastern Conference - Semifinals - Best of 7 - Game 3 - Series tied at 1-1

The teams split games in Boston during the regular season, with the Celtics winning 117-113 in November and the Bucks prevailing 120-107 in December. But since the beginning of this season the Bucks have morphed into a power house in this league and must be respected here as road underdogs.  The Bucks started this series very slowly, but boy did they ever pick things up last time out with a dominating 123-102 victory, and Im betting they continue to surge here on the road where they have covered their L/4 as visitors overall. BOSTON is 5-15 ATS off a road loss this season and are fade material here. I just cant get over the fact of how the Celtics struggled for long periods of time this season, and how they have been bad bets at home of late, failing to cover 8 of their L/10 at home and 10 of their L/14 as home chalk. 

Play on Milwaukee to cover

Eastern Conference - Semifinals - Best of 7 - Game 3 - Series tied at 1-1

The 76ers and the Raptors spilt the first two games of this series, in Toronto , but I feel the Raptors are better and deeper team, and have an edge here tonight in Philadelphia. Im not the only one who feels like this as is evident by the market shift and overall smart money that has steamed in on this  since the line was posted. 

TORONTO is 32-19 ATS versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more  assists/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. TORONTO is 33-17 ATS  vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons.

In the last 14 seasons teams that cashed an underdog in their last game, like the Sixers, are long term bad bets as is evident by going  176-208-8 ATS including 80-102-2 ATS when those same  sides play at hosts in their next tilt.

The Sixers are just 3-7 ATS after a SU win as an underdog, failing to cover by 5.9 points per game and this season after a SU win , the 76ers are a bankroll  depleting 22-33 ATS for their backers for a go against 60% conversion rate for opposing bettors. 

Raptors are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss.Raptors are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 road games.Raptors are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up loss.Raptors are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games overall.Raptors are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 vs. Eastern Conference.Raptors are 35-17 ATS in their last 52 vs. NBA Atlantic.

76ers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 Conference Semifinals games.

Play on the Toronto Raptors to cover 

Western Conference - Semifinals - Best of 7 - Game 2 - DEN Leads 1-0  

Denver after a long series against San Antonio kept their momentum alive in game 1 of this series vs Portland with a win. However, this Nuggets team must be tired and their fatigue could easily be a factor tonight against a motivated opponent that needs a win here to gain a split in this series. These teams are just to evenly matched from alot of perspectives that make me feel confident about taking points here. 

DENVER is 12-27 ATS  after scoring 120 points or more over the last 2 seasons. 

Trail Blazers are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 Wednesday games.Trail Blazers are 25-10 ATS in their last 35 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.Trail Blazers are 14-6-1 ATS in their last 21 games following a ATS loss.Trail Blazers are 21-9 ATS in their last 30 games playing on 1 days rest.Trail Blazers are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games following a straight up loss.

Nuggets are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games playing on 1 days rest.Nuggets are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.Nuggets are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games following a ATS win.Nuggets are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 Wednesday games.

Play on the Portland Blazers to cover 

Western Conference - Semifinals - Best of 7 - Game 2 - GSW Leads 1-0

The Rockets are one of the few teams in the NBA that matchup well against the Warriors.The Dubs squeezed past Houston in game 1 , but game 2 Im betting will see the Rockets be in a position to pull off an upset and more importantly cover the number for the 2nd straight time. Note: Golden State has failed to cover 11 of their L/18 ATS this season in that next home game, after a win  failing to cover the spread by 6.9 points per game

Golden St is 0-8 ATS L/8 at home off a tilt in which Steph Curry was not their high scorer,(which was the case in game 1) falling to over by an average of 19.38 ppg.

Play on the Houston Rockets to cover

Eastern Conference - Semifinals - Best of 7 - Game 2 - BOS Leads 1-0

The Celtics came in and upset the Bucks in game 1 of this series. It was in some ways surprising . In the past in the play offs the the Celtics were just 12-17 ATS as dog in their L/30 games as compared to being 19-3 ATS as a post season favorite. Both were rested for game 1 and both look similar to each other in some ways, but Im betting the difference maker in game 2 will be the Greek Freak Giannis Antetokounmpo. 

MILWAUKEE is 9-1 ATS  off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.MILWAUKEE is 15-3 ATS  off a upset loss as a favorite this season and is  18-4 ATS  after 1 or more consecutive losses this season.

Play on the Milwaukee Bucks to cover 

Western Conference - Semifinals - Best of 7 - Game 1

My own projections and matchup stats suggest the Rockets matchup better than most teams in the west vs the defending NBA champion Dubs. Including the regular season and playoffs meetings, the Rockets are 8-6 SU against the Warriors over the last couple of seasons. After coming close to knocking off the champs in last year's Conference Finals, the Rockets will get their shot at redemption and will be primed to perform.

HOUSTON is 15-6 ATS  versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or better of their attempts this season.

GOLDEN STATE is 11-24 ATS  as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season.

Play on Houston Rockets to cover 

Eastern Conference - Round 2 - Best of 7 - Game 1

The last time these teams played back in February the Bucks came out of that game with a 98-97 win, here in Milwaukee.  This Sunday afternoon Im expecting another hard fought game, in a tilt between combatants that know each other very well.  The Bucks have won 5 of the L/7 here straight up but the Celtics have cashed ATS in 5 of those games and Im recommending we take the points again in this spot.  

Im betting on the Celtics to implement small ball game plan here with Horford vs Lopez at the center of the attention  which will be key to aggravating the Bucks flow. Also with Malcolm Brogdon out for Milwaukee there is definitely room here and value with getting points with the Celtics. 

MILWAUKEE is 11-24 ATS  versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more  of their attempts - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. 

BOSTON is 19-8 ATS  versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.BOSTON is 15-7 ATS  against Central division opponents this season. 

Play on Boston to cover 

Western Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 7 - Series tied at 3-3 

I just don't like the flow the Spurs at this point of the season. The Spurs  shooting on the whole looks horrendous for the most part and Im also not impressed with their rebounding. The Spurs have not played well away from home all season long, garnering just 17 wins in 44 games, and have already lost 2 of the 3 games here in the Mile High City in this series. After watching the Spurs flail away in the first half of the last game before their desperation and home town fans buoyed them to a win in game 6 , with a 2nd half surge, it became obvious to me the more talented team behind  key technical players like  Nikola Jokic make this young Denver team a bad matchup for the Spurs. With that said, Im backing the Nuggets to deliver the cash on a cover here in game 7 and advance. 

DENVER is 12-4 ATS  in home games revenging a loss vs opponent this season.DENVER is 25-16 ATS as a home favorite this season. 

SAN ANTONIO is 8-18 ATS in a road game where the total is 200 to 209.5 over the last 2 seasons.SAN ANTONIO is 11-21 ATS  after scoring 115 points or more this season.SAN ANTONIO is 16-29 ATS  in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons

Spurs are 17-8-1 ATS in their last 26 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Spurs are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.Spurs are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games following a straight up win.

Play on the Denver Nuggets to cover 

 Western Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 6 - GSW Leads 3-2

The Warriors are the defending NBA champs and have a core of veteran players that know how to win big games and championships. I know the Warriors have looked lazy as they took the Clippers for granted especially in game 5. But  now wide awake and not wanting a game 7 look for this super star  Dubs team to shine through and get the win and more importantly as far as we are concerned the cover . The key and difference maker int his game  Im betting comes behind Greens defensive prowess around the rim. Golden State has won 7 of their L/8 visits to the Staples Center vs the Clippers and get the nod again. This is the biggest spread put on a NBA road play off game  in at least 14 seasons, but the Warriors despite of showing chinks in their armour are still capable of covering this number , and the linesmakers and smart money know it. 

In the last 14 seasons, double-digit underdogs in the NBA playoffs are  10-107 straight up. 

 GOLDEN STATE is 29-13 ATS  in the first round of the playoffs since 1996. 

Play on Golden St to cover

Western Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 6 - DEN Leads 3-2

Denver looked good last time out, but this Spurs team has for some reason, struggled on the road this season, so I was not completely surprised  when they lost the key game 5 in the Mile High City.  The Spurs are 33-10 SU home this season and have an edge here on their own floor against almost anyone in this league. When the going gets tough having a guy like Popvich in your corner is a good thing . Note: The Spurs behind Popovich are bankroll expanding 30-17-2 ATS in Games 5-7. 

SAN ANTONIO is 24-5 ATS  revenging a road loss vs opponent this season and is 13-2 ATS revenging a road loss vs opponent of 10 points or more this season. 

SAN ANTONIO is 21-8 ATS  when the line is +3 to -3 this season. 

Play on San Antonio to cover 

. 

Western Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 5 - HOU Leads 3-1

Harden and the Houston Rockets are not an easy team to play against, but Utah as time has gone in this series, look to be catching on to ways to slow this behemoth side down.  In game 3 they were the better team , and they still lost, but in game 4 they dominated and won . In the L/2 meetings of this series the Rockets have been held to a 35.2 % FG conversion rate, and  in game 4  the Rockets were held  to a 97.8 offensive rating as the Jazz owned the Rockets in the paint  while allowing them to convert just 47.6% around the rim. Here in game 5, I don't think the Jazz can do as much damage as last time, but their toughness and resiliency make them a viable side investment option at this number The public loves the Rockets and with all the money coming in on them you think the line would go the other way, but the books have chopped a half point off the opener knowing that contrarian market moves have been  coming in this tilt. I like our  edge here, and recommend we take the points with a side fighting for its play off lives.

D'Antoni is 18-35 ATS  in home games versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game - 2nd half of the season in all games he has coached since 1996. 

Play on Utah Jazz to cover

The Thunder showed  flashes of brilliance earlier this season, and even before the play offs started I looked at them as a possible dark horse contender. But in never ending chase for value and a readjustment on my estimated market price attached to them, I changed my opinion. The Thunder continue to struggle with their shooting , and they just dont look like they have an answer for McCollum and and Lillard and with Paul George struggling with nagging injuries and his  lack flow for long periods of time, it very much looks like their party is over. I know the public loves the Thunder, but there comes a time when illusion transgresses back into reality. 

PORTLAND is 11-3 ATS at home when the line is +3 to -3 this season. 

OKLAHOMA CITY is 4-15 ATS  after 5 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 42% or less over the last 3 seasons

NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (PORTLAND) - average 3PT shooting team (33-36.5%) against an average 3PT defense (33-36.5%) after 42+ games, good ball handling team (14.5 or less  TO) vs. an average pressure defense (14.5-16.5 TO) after 42+ games are 138-37 L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate with a point differential of 7.9 ppg clicking in! 

NBA Home teams vs. the money line (PORTLAND) - off a win by 10 points or more as an underdog, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) are 55-12 L/22 seasons for 82% conversion rate for bettors with the average point diff clicking in at 8.8 ppg whihc qualifies as value on this spread. 

Portland to cover 

Eastern Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 5 - TOR Leads 3-1

 Since game 2 of this series the Raptors have absolutely dominated and dismantled the young Magic and Im betting nothing changes tonight in TO. The Raptors are cleaning the glass at a high rate, not allowing open 3s and just plain old showing us all how dangerous and deep they are. This matchup reminds me alot of the  lopsided Milwaukee /Detroit series . Note: The Raptors Net Rating +23.7 which is almost on par with the Bucks. 

TORONTO is 9-0 ATS  in home games after allowing 90 points or less over the last 2 seasons with the average point diff clicking in at 15.8 ppg.

In the L/14 seasons, chalk  favored by double-digits in  Game 5 are 25-1 SU, with the average wining point diff clicking in at 14.4 points per game

Play on Toronto to cover

Western Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 4 - HOU Leads 3-0

The Jazz did everything possible to beat the Rockets last time out and they still lost. Now completely letdown the Jazz have to face a group that gives them alot of matchup difficulties and  their just not built to handle them. That's  why Im betting on a sweep here and for the Rockets to end this tonight. Note: Favorites with a  3-0 series lead in Game 4 are 24-17-1 ATS last 14 seasons.

Play on the Rockets to cover

Western Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 4 - POR Leads 2-1

Thanks to Westbrooks great shooting in game 3 of this series, the Thunder muscled past the Blazers, as they played like their hair was on fire and also as a team shot at 50% with their treys. Now in a sort of a letdown scenario I expect Westbrook who is off one of his worst shooting years  from beyond the arc (29.3%)  to regress here, and to take his team with him .  Im betting on Damian Lillard to stand tall here for the Blazers and get us the cover.

Thunder are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games following a straight up win.Thunder are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win.Thunder are 8-22 ATS in their last 30 Sunday games.Thunder are 5-15 ATS in their last 20 vs. Western Conference.Thunder are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Northwest.

PORTLAND is 11-1 ATS  revenging a road loss vs opponent of 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. 

OKLAHOMA CITY is 1-10 ATS  on Sunday games this season. 

Play on Portland to cover

Eastern Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 4 - TOR Leads 2-1

The Raptors have now won and completely controlled  back to back games in this series to take a 2-1 lead, and look like viable road favorites tonight to deliver the goods again vs a Orlando Magic side that is in a shooting funk for the first time since they made their late season run to the play offs. We have concurring momentum patterns forming, with the Magic slumping at the worst possible time, and the powerful Dinos finally starting to show their dominance. 

NBA Home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (ORLANDO) - revenging a home loss vs opponent, off a home cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog are 8-30 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Toronto Raptors to cover

Western Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 4 - GSW Leads 2-1

I know alot is being made of the DeMarcus Cousins injury, but from a defensive perspective thats a good thing for the Warriors. As for the Warriors offence they have more than enough guns , to make up for his absence and like I said, they now no longer have a defensive liability on the floor. 

I know the Clippers played a tremendous game last time out, and shocked the Warriors, but it must be noted that the Warriors are 12-3 SU and 11-4 ATS in the game after a defeat when taking on  a Western Conference team in the playoffs. Overall the Dubs have cashed 13 of their L/18 on the road and can go from being up by a few points to DDs in the flash of an eye, so laying points with them here in a bounce back situation is not that scary a proposition vs a LA CLIPPERS team that is 2-11 ATS  in April games over the last 2 seasons with the point diff clicking in at -13.2 ppg.  

Play on Golden State to cover

Eastern Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 4 - BOS Leads 3-0

Boston can wrap this series up this Sunday, and thats what Im betting they do. The men from Bean town have owned the Pacers and nothing suggests anything will change today. I think some pundits are surprised the Celtics have righted their ship after a bumpy ride the end of their season, and Im not 100% sure that they can continue this type of play into the next series. But what i do know is that the Celtics matchup well vs a Pacers team that did not look cohesive entering the playoffs. Note:  INDIANA is 4-12 ATS  versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.

Teams down 3-0 are 3-12 SU L/15 times dating back the 2016 season.

BOSTON is 12-1 ATS  off an upset win as a road underdog over the last 2 seasons which was the case in game 3 of this series. Boston is 6-1 L/7 here in Indiana . 

Play on Boston Celtics to cover

Eastern Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 3 - MIL Leads 2-0

This game and series between the Pistons and the Bucks is a complete mismatch, and the first two lopsided scores favoring Milwaukee were no flukes. No even home court advantage Im betting will save the Pistons from another beatdown.

MILWAUKEE is 7-0 ATS  in road games when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) - 2nd half of the season this season with the average margin of victory coming by 13 ppg.

MILWAUKEE is 8-1 ATS  as a road favorite of 6.5 to 12 points this season. 

MILWAUKEE is 14-3 ATS vs. division opponents this season with the average point differential clicking in at +13 ppg. 

Play on the Milwaukee Bucks to cover

JUSTIN VERLANDER (R) vs. DREW SMYLY (L)

With a 2-1 loss at Oakland on Wednesday, Houston saw its 10-game winning streak come to an end, but that game was a blip on an upward momentum chart and Im betting they rebound in a big way here today with Verlander on the hill for them.

DREW SMYLY the Texas starter is 0-2 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 5.40 and a WHIP of 1.741 he has seen his team lose all 4 of his career starts vs the ASTROS.

MLB favorites with a money line of -200 or more (HOUSTON) - excellent fielding team - averaging 0.5 or less errors/game on the season, after scoring 1 run or less are 42-1 L/5 seasons winning by an average of 3.7 rpg.

Play on Houston on the -1.5 RL

Eastern Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 3 - Series tied at 1-1

The Raptors after losing game 1 came storming back with a convincing two way performance, crushing Orlando by a 111-82 count. After watching the Raptors dismantle, the Magic, Im betting the zig zag theory does not apply to this matchup. I know Orlando has had quite a 2nd half run ,but right now I feel the Dinos talent level and hunger for victory will trump what this young group has to offer.Note: NBA play off road favs are  30-11-1 against the spread over the last couple of seasons for a 73% conversion rate. I like this game alot and would bet it as high as -6. 

TORONTO is 33-19 ATS  in road games after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons

NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (TORONTO) - in a game involving two explosive offensive teams (102 or more PPG) after 42+ games, after allowing 90 points or less are 71-31 ATS L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Raptors to cover

Western Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 3 - Series tied at 1-1

Denver may have found a way to win and cover in game 2 of this series, but San Antonio still looked like the better overall team, and deserve my backing here tonight. 

Nuggets are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games playing on 1 days rest.Nuggets are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 Conference Quarterfinals games.

DENVER is 6-15 ATS in road games versus good shooting teams - making >=46% of their shots this season.

Spurs are 15-6-1 ATS in their last 22 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Spurs are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

SAN ANTONIO is 20-2 ATS  revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points this season. SAN ANTONIO is 6-0 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons in San Antonio.

SAN ANTONIO is 13-4 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season. SAN ANTONIO is 16-5 ATS in home games versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game over the last 3 seasons. SAN ANTONIO is 7-0 ATS  in home games when playing 4 or less games in 10 days this season. SAN ANTONIO is 8-1 ATS  in home games against Northwest division opponents this season.

Play on the San Antonio Spurs . to cover

Eastern Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 3 - Series tied at 1-1

This series is now tied 1-1 and swings back to Brooklyn in a more favorable environment for the Nets. The Nets stole game 1 before the Sixers stormed back in game 2 and won in convincing fashion.Now on a couple of days rest the Nets will now be ready to rebound. Note: The Nets are 16-5 ATS in their past 21 games on two days of rest. During the regular season, Philadelphia was 20-21 as visitors, while Brooklyn was 23-18 as hosts and have the edge here getting points. 

In the last 13 + seasons, teams like theNets that allowed 125 or more points in a loss have gone 28-18 (61%) ATS in the playoffs

BROOKLYN is 21-9 ATS  revenging a same season loss vs opponent this season.PHILADELPHIA is 19-32 ATS  after 1 or more consecutive wins this season.

NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (BROOKLYN) - vs. division opponents, off a road loss by 10 points or more 41-17 L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate.

Play on the Brooklyn Nets to cover

Eastern Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 2 - BOS Leads 1-0

The Celtics prevailed 84-74 in the best-of-7 opener.The Pacers, meanwhile, have rallied to win the series on two of the last three occasions when they lost Game 1 so Im not counting them out from the game 1 preview and still believe they have what it takes to compete. 

INDIANA is 15-7 ATS  revenging a road loss vs opponent this season.McMillan is 20-7 ATS in April games as the coach of INDIANA. 

The Pacers are 17-0 ATS covering by more than 10 ppg in the playoffs off a loss in which they had a BAP at least 9.5 points higher than their opponent and were 13-4 SU with none of the 4 SU losses coming by more than 6 points.

NBA  team (BOSTON) - good team - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game, after scoring 85 points or less are 34-65 ATS L/5 seasons for ago against 67% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Indiana to cover

 Western Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 2 - SAS Leads 1-0

Denver lost a101-96 decision to the San Antonio Spurs in Game 1 of the Western Conference quarterfinal series thanks to some atrocious shooting by key players. Note:The Nuggets  shot just 42% from the field and 6-of-28 from 3 and still almost won. Now in  a must-win situation for Denver as; (a loss drops the No. 2 seed in an 0-2 hole heading back to San Antonio for two games ) Im betting the Nuggets young guns nerves now settled  come out here and play like nbnbtheir hairs on fire and get us the win and cover.

NBA  play off seeds (1-3) have historically hit a 58%  conversion rate when playing as a home favorite after a loss and non-cover.

SAN ANTONIO is 8-18 ATS  in a road game where the total is 200 to 209.5 over the last 2 seasons. DENVER is 12-3 ATS  in home games revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite over the last 2 seasons. 

Play onDenver Nuggets

Western Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 2 - GSW Leads 1-0

In true zig zag theory Im going to take the points here with the LA Clippers on a value spread. I know Golden State has owned this series of late, but I saw enough from them in game 1 to feel comfortable taking points with them here in game 2. 

GOLDEN STATE is 11-27 ATS  when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. LA CLIPPERS are 23-10 ATS  vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons. LA CLIPPERS are 14-5 ATS off a road loss this season.

NBA Underdogs of 10 or more points (LA CLIPPERS) - revenging 2 straight losses vs opponent of 10 points or more, off a loss against a division rival are 94-47 ATS L/22 seasons for a 67% conversion rate. 

NBA Favorites of 10 or more points (GOLDEN STATE) - excellent offensive team (102 r more PPG) against a horrible defensive team (102r more PPG) after 42+ games, after a blowout win by 15 points or more are  60-90 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against 62% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the LA Clippers to cover

Western Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 1

The last playoff series to tip off in the NBA’s first round is the No. 5 Utah Jazz visiting the No. 4 Houston Rockets in the Western Conference on Sunday night. 

This is a rematch from last season’s Western Conference semifinals.  . The Rockets took the series  in five games, with every game in the series decided by at least eight points and Im betting this game will follow suit. Im betting on the Rockets super star  Harden who led the league in scoring at 36.1 ppg, more than 8 points better than No. 2 Paul George to once again lead the way . Note: Harden’s average is the most since Michael Jordan’s 37.1 in 1986-87.

NBA Underdogs (UTAH) - off a cover where the team lost the game straight up as an underdog, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%)are 17-62 ATS L/22 seasons for a  go against 79% conversion rate. 

NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (UTAH) - after going over the total by more than 24 points in their previous game, in April games are 4-29 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 88% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Houston to cover 

GERRIT COLE (R) vs. MARCO GONZALES (L)

Houstons Cole (0-2, 3.32 ERA) is still searching for his first victory of the season, while Seattles starter  Gonzales (4-0, 3.16) has won each of his starts and offers us value on the runline .

SEATTLE is 11-3  against the money line against right-handed starters this season.

MLB team (SEATTLE) - excellent speed team - averaging 1 or more SB's/game on the season, on a streak where they have hit a home run in 10 consecutive games and are 48-17 L/22 seasons for a 74% conversion rate.

MLB underdogs against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line 190 to +165) (SEATTLE) - good hitting team (AVG .285 or better ) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA 3.50 or less ) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better on the season-AL 38-6 L/22 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Seattle on the RL

Im expecting the Toronto Raptors to shut the Orlando Magic down today, on their way to a DD win. Toronto after recent early departures from the play offs  have a huge chip on their shoulders and will be out to get some real momentum going. ( LATE STEAM)

Magic are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 Conference Quarterfinals games.

NBA Underdogs (ORLANDO) - off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as a road underdog, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season are 17-45 L/22 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Toronto Raptors to cover

Eastern Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 1

Brooklyn has come along way and are now in the play offs, for the first time in a very long time, and Im betting they will be sky high here and leave everything on the floor here in game 1. I know the Nets dont have much play off experience but it must be noted  that  During the last 13 seasons, road teams without playoff experience are 74-47-4 (61.2%) ATS in the first round when taking on  an opponent that made the postseason the year before. Meanwhile, Philadelphia enters these play offs suffering with a few nagging injuries to key players Joel Embiid(knee)  and Jimmy Butler (back) and could find themselves in a real battle. Note: During their meetings in the  regular season, the Nets outscored the 76ers by 40 points in 58 minutes with Embiid off the floor. 

Nets have the deeper bench  in this series and get the nod from me to cover in game 1.

Nets are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games.Nets are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Nets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Nets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win.Nets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 2 days rest.Nets are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 Conference Quarterfinals games.Nets are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.Nets are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games overall.Nets are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win.Nets are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 vs. NBA Atlantic.

 76ers are 6-15 ATS in their last 21 vs. NBA Atlantic.76ers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win.76ers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points.76ers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.

NBA Home underdogs (PHILADELPHIA) - poor defensive team - allowing 99+ points/game on the season, after leading in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half are 19-44 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against  70% conversion rate.

Brooklyn to cover 

JAKE ARRIETA (R) vs. SANDY ALCANTARA (R)

Friday's pitching matchup features a pair of right-handers: Miami's Sandy Alcantara (1-0, 1.50 ERA) against Philadelphia's Jake Arrieta (1-1, 2.77).Friday's pitching matchup features a pair of right-handers: Alcantara is overpowering at times with a fastball that averages 95.8 mph and has hit 100 mph and gets my support here on a +1.5 runline. Meanwhile, Arrietas looks to be down trending, as his ERA has gone up in each of his last three seasons (from 3.10 to 3.53 to 3.96) and in his most recent start, he got just one swing-and-miss in seven innings of a loss to the Minnesota Twins and is fade material here in this spot play. 

PHILADELPHIA is 11-18  against the money line as a road favorite of -110 or higher over the last 2 season.

MIAMI is 15-7  against the money line in home games after batting .200 or worse over a 3 game span over the last 3 seasons. 

MLB Home underdogs against a 1.5 run line (MIAMI) - below average NL hitting team (AVG .255 or less) against a team with a below avg bullpen (ERA 4.50 or more), with a terrible bullpen whose ERA is 5.50 or worse on the season are 43-10 L/22 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on the Miami Marlins on the RL

The Bucks' playoff position is set as the No. 1 seed in the Eastern Conference, and they'll sit Most Valuable Player candidate Giannis Antetokounmpo and starting center Brook Lopez to prepare for the playoffs , thus the advantage goes to the Thunder to get us the cover. 

NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (OKLAHOMA CITY) - after a game where they covered the spread, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team are 105-54 ATS L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Oklahoma City to cover 

The Hawks will play an Indiana team with little left to play  for after locking up a play off spot and that could be resting a majority of their starters here tonight in Atlanta as they try to stay healthy and fresh for the play offs. Atlanta has been one of the best teams down the stretch drive and have shown a lot of promise for next season and are motivated to give their fans a good send off this evening.ATLANTA is 20-11 ATS  in the second half of the season this season. 

Play on Atlanta Hawks to cover 

Rangers LH Mike Minor (1-1, 4.63 ERA) vs. Diamondbacks RH Zack Greinke (1-1, 9.31)

MINOR the Rangers starter is 2-0 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 1.23 and a WHIP of 1.022. GREINKE is 3-6 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 2.88 and a WHIP of 1.092.

GREINKE DBacks starter  is 50-66  against the money line vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .330 or worse since 1997. (Team's Record) TEXAS is 21-10 L/31 against the money line in road games after scoring 2 runs or less 3 straight games. 

Home favorites against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line +115 to +160) (ARIZONA) - with a team slugging percentage of .430 or better on the season (NL), with a slugging percentage of .480 or better over their last 10 games are 4-36 on the RL L/5 seasons for a go against 90% conversion rate for bettors.

MLB teams (ARIZONA) - with a team batting average of .275 or better on the season (NL), with a slugging percentage of .480 or better over their last 10 games are 16-45 SU for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Texas on the  RL