Powered by sophomore transfer James Bishop, who leads the A-10 in both points per game (20.5) and assists per game (7.8), GDUB's offense also boasts the top scoring tandem in the conference in Bishop and fellow sophomore Jamison Battle , who has  averaged 16.0 points per game this season and ranks 10th in the conference in scoring. Bottom line is GWashington is explosive to say the least and it will be their offense that will be the difference maker vs Delaware.Fightin' Blue Hens are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite.

Fightin' Blue Hens are 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

Fightin' Blue Hens are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 Friday games.

CBB road team (GEORGE WASHINGTON) - team from a second tier division 1-A conference against a team from a mid-major conference, first 5 games of the season, after closing out last season poorly with 4 or more straight losses. are 42-16 ATS L/23 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on George Washington to cover

CBB Favorites of 10 to 19.5 points (OREGON ST) - off 2 or more consecutive losses as a favorite, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 44-11 ATS L/23 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors.

CAL POLY-SLO is 9-2 ATS as an underdog of 10 or more points over the last 2 seasons.

CAL POLY-SLO is 7-0 against the spread versus SANTA CLARA since 1997.

CBB home team (CAL POLY-SLO) - first 5 games of the season, after closing out last season poorly with 8+ losses in last 10 games, bad team from last season (20% to 40%) playing a team that had a winning record last year are 65-23 ATS L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Cal Poly to cover

Baltimore is obviously the superior side but the they do have some covid issues and injuries to key contributors. Also the truth is the Ravens are not as dominating as last season and have lost 3 straight games, and cant be trusted in their current form to cover, vs a Dallas team that also needs to get a victory here if they have any chance for a play off spot.BALTIMORE is 8-19 ATS  in home games versus terrible defensive teams - allowing 375 or more  yards/game.Harbaugh is 11-22 ATS  in home games vs. bad defensive teams who give up 24 or more points/game as the coach of BALTIMORE.

Play on the Dallas Cowboys to cover 

The Belmont  Bruins have played 4 games already and are and have developed some early-season chemistry on their roster. Tenn State maybe improved this season, but are still over matched. BELMONT is 6-0 ATS  in home games after playing a game as a home favorite over the last 2 seasons. TENNESSEE ST is 4-14 ATS  in road games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.

Play on Belmont to cover

Kent State opened their season on a positive not almost upset a  top tier  Virginia program losing in overtime in their 2nd game. Here today the Flashes dynamic offence should give a Detroit Mercy program that has given up a combined 161 points across their first two games alot of heart break and deliver us a victory.  Senderoff is 19-9 ATS  in road games after playing a game as a road underdog as the coach of KENT ST.

Play on Kent State to cover 

Purdue owns a league-best 11-8 record in the ACC / Big Ten Challenge. The Boilermakers have won nine of the their last 11 Challenge games.vPurdue is one of the top 3-point shooting teams in the nation ranking 17th in 3-point percentage (.436) and 29th in 3-pointers per game (10.3).) The Boilermakers have dominant rebounders on the both ends of the floor. Trevion Williams  ranks fourth nationally in defensive rebounding percentage (.430), while Zack Edey is eighth nationally in offensive rebounding percentage (.202) and more than capable of making life tough on Miami guard orientated attack. This will be alot like dealing with Clemson, which ended in the Boliermakers only loss this season, but after that experience Im betting their now ready for what awaits them here. 

MIAMI is 4-16 ATS versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.MIAMI is 4-13 ATS  vs. top caliber teams - outscoring their opponents by 12+ points/game over the last 3 season.

 Larranaga is 14-24 ATS  in home games versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game as the coach of MIAMI.Larranaga is 1-8 ATS in home games after 2 straight wins by 15 points or more as the coach of MIAMI.

Play on Purdue to cover 

The Bills are 6-23 SU in prime-time tilts since the  2000 season, and have lost nine straight on Monday night since a victory  at Miami on Oct. 4, 1999. Buffalo is 0-2 in night games this season, with losses at Tennessee, in a COVID-19 rescheduled Tuesday night outing on Oct. 13, and Kansas City the following week. After watching QB Nick Mullens  top notch relief of injured starter Joe Garoppolo, which included a impressive victory  last week on the road against the Los Angeles Rams Im betting the 49ers get the job done again vs a Buffalo side. that has lost 2 of their L/3 road games. SAN FRANCISCO is 33-12 ATS  when playing on Monday night since 1992. The Niners are also 7-0 SU/ATS L/7 on Mondays vs AFC opposition . 

Play on SF 49ers to cover 

Loyola Marymount has seen more game time against better opposition  as this will be their 5th game of the season, while Santa Barbara will now play only their 2nd game of the season after going against lower tier Saint Katherine. 

E KENTUCKY is 14-37 ATS as a favorite of 10 or more points. 

CBB Favorites of 10 to 19.5 points (E KENTUCKY) - poor shooting team - shooting 42%  or less on the season against opponent after a game where a team made 33% of their shots or worse are 49-85 ATS L/28 seasons for a go against 64% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Morhead St to cover 

Drew Lock will be back under center when Denver visits Kansas City this week. Having a stable position player should give the Broncos some balance and confidence entering this tilt against a top tier opponent. Quote: ''Drew's going to be motivated,'' Broncos tight end Noah Fant said. ''I'm expecting him to come out and do good things.'' End Quote. Last week the Broncos were short at the QB position and were subsequently crushed and embarrassed by a 31-3 count vs the Saints and will be ready to bounce back and get some semblance of respect back. Note: DENVER is 6-0 ATS  after a loss by 14 or more points over the last 2 seasons. Meanwhile, KC is also off a big effort last time out, squeezing by TB 27-24 in a physical game that could easily see them in a emotional letdown spot. KANSAS CITY is 0-7 ATS  after gaining 450 or more total yards/game over their last 3 games over the last 3 seasons Also Reid is 1-11 ATS  in home games off a no-cover where the team won as a favorite in all games he has coached since 1992.

Broncos enter 12-3-1 ATS in this series when the Chiefs own a  .750 plus win percentage  and get my support here as underdogs.

Play on Denver to cover 

Seton Hall despite of their talent play a sloppy brand of hoops as was the case last time out when they  turned the ball over 17 times which now has them ranked 152nd in the nation in Turnover Percentage. Here today against a Penn State side that ranks second in the nation in Steal Percentage and 13th in opponent turnovers per game Im betting they are at a disadvantage. With that said, Im backing Penn State to take down a Pirates side that has lost 4 of their L/5 road games SU. 

Play on Penn St to cover 

Seattle U opened the 2020-21 season with three consecutive wins for the first time since the 2008-09 season and are being under rated here in this spot according to my projections.

LONG BEACH ST is 6-20 ATS  L/26 in home games versus excellent ball handling teams - committing 12 or less turnovers/game.LONG BEACH ST is 4-15 ATS in home games off a road loss by 20 points or more. (which was the case last time out)

Play on Seattle to cover 

The Saints (9-2) have won two straight games since star QN Drew Brees went down with a rib injury, extending  their overall winning streak to eight in a row heading into Sunday's game against the Atlanta Falcons. The Saints can clinch a playoff spot with a victory and a loss by the Bears and I am predicting a top tier effort and win by them in this spot play vs a Falcons side that exerted alot of energy in a lopsided win last week.New Orleans has won five of the past six meetings in the twice-a-year rivalry.NEW ORLEANS is 6-0 ATS   in road games when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) over the last 2 season.NEW ORLEANS is 7-0 ATS  in road games vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 61% or worse over the last 2 seasons.ATLANTA is 0-6 ATS vs. excellent kickoff return teams, more than 24 yards per return over the last 3 seasons.ATLANTA is 0-8 ATS  in home games off a home blowout win by 21 points or more since 1992.

NFL Favorites vs. the money line (NEW ORLEANS) - after allowing 5.5 or less passing yards per attempt last game against opponent after gaining 5.5 or less passing yards/attempt in 2 straight games are 27-1 SU L/5 seasons for a 97% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +13.2 ppg.

Play on New Orleans to cover 

 The Dolphins played a conservative solid game last week notching a   20-3 victory vs the hapless   Jets as a TD-plus road chalk .  It must now be noted that NFL favorites like the Dolphins playing on a natural surface have failed to cover 22 straight times  vs a non-divisional opponent when they themselves are off a 14 +point victory as a away favorite when  they registered  at least 28 minutes of possession time.

CINCINNATI is 7-1 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses this season. MIAMI is 3-15 ATS L/18 in home games after having won 6 or 7 out of their last 8 games .

NFL Home favorites of 10.5 or more points (MIAMI) - after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a losing record are 29-66 ATS L/37 seasons for a 70% conversion rate. 

Play on Cincinnati to cover 

After a long trip back home from Hawaii  after having their undefeated season abruptly end  Im expecting Wolf Pack... who have failed to cover the last five meetings in this series at home to once again feel the pinch in this key game vs a Fresno State side that deserves respect as an underdog. 

CFB home team (NEVADA) - off an upset loss to a conference rival as a favorite against opponent off 2 consecutive wins by 10 points or more against conference rivals are 13-37 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors. 

CFB Favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (NEVADA) - off an extremely close road loss by 3 points or less, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 16-43 ATS L/28 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Fresno St to cover 

Baylor's largest loss this year was by 10 points and Im betting they find a way to hand tough here vs this potent Oklahoma Sooners offense.Oklahoma and Baylor played twice last season -- both thrilling games pulled out by the Sooners. In the regular-season matchup, Oklahoma overcame a 31-10 halftime deficit to win 34-31. In the Big 12 Championship Game, the Sooners needed overtime to win 30-23. Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation here tonight. BAYLOR is 6-0 ATS vs. very good offensive teams - scoring 34 or more points/game over the last 2 seasons and  is 8-1 ATS  when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) over the last 3 season.BAYLOR is 6-0 ATS  in road games in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

CFB Home favorites of 21.5 or more points (OKLAHOMA) - after having won 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games, when playing on a Saturday are 25-58 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Baylor to cover 

The No. 3 Tigers  smashed Pittsburgh last week and looked like they were not worried about running up the score. for their 28th-consecutive home win.  Considering Clemsons D, now looks to be in top form as is evident by holding  4 of their last six opponents to season-low yards I will not feel any hesitation and laying a load of lumber here with them today vs a talented but  over rated Virginia Tech side.  Clemson is 17-0 ATS/SU L/17 as a road favorite of more than a TD coming off a game where scored more points than their team total with the average combined ppg diff clicking in at 36 ppg while covering by just under 19 ppg. Also CLEMSON is 7-0 ATS   in road games off a blowout win by 21 points or more over a conference rival over the last 3 seasons ( Clemson 43 Opp 9). 

Play on Clemson to cover 

 The No. 14-ranked Chanticleers (9-0) were scheduled to face No. 25 Liberty (9-1) on Saturday. But that game was cancelled Thursday due to COVID-19 issues within the Flames program.So Coastal Carolina will host No. 8 Brigham Young (9-0) instead.  According to my power rankings these sides are more closely matched than the linesmakers number and thus Im recommending we take the points. CFB  A home team vs. the money line (COASTAL CAROLINA) - off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival, in a game involving two top-level teams ( 80% or more )are 43-9 SU L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate. CFB home team vs. the money line (COASTAL CAROLINA) - in a game involving two explosive offensive teams (34 or more  PPG) after 7 or more games, after scoring 24 points or more in the first half last game are 30-7 SU L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. 

CFB Favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (BYU) - in a game involving two good rushing teams (190 to 230 RY/game), after allowing 100 or less rushing yards last game are 5-24 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Coastal Carolina to cover 

GTech after almost a month off came out and smashed the Duke Blue Devils last week putting a season-high 523 yards in their 56-33  victory.  Now Im betting on that momentum to continue vs a North Carolina State season looking ahead to post season play and most probably looking to stay healthy. GEORGIA TECH is 10-2 ATS off an upset win by 14 points or more as an underdog. GEORGIA TECH is 8-1  L/9 on the road against the spread versus NC STATE .

CFB Road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (GEORGIA TECH) - good offensive team (5.6 to 6.2 YPP) against a team with an average defense (4.8 to 5.6 YPP), after gaining 6.75 or more yards/play in their previous game are 31-6 ATS L/10 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Georgia Tech to cover 

The  Tulsa Canes produce just under  62% of its offensive flow  via their passing game while the  Navy defense ranks 2nd in the conference against the pass.  Meanwhile, the Middies  offense generates 62% of their drives on the ground while Tulsas defense ranks 4th in the conference against the rushing attacks. Im betting because of these peripherals that we see a game alot closer than the linesmakers are estimating . Add to that this is a look ahead situation for Tulsa with nationally ranked Cincinnati on deck for next week and a live dog looks to be on board here today. NAVY is 9-0 ATS  vs. sub par  passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 58% or worse over the last 2 seasons.

Play on Navy to cover 

Virginia is getting to much respect here based on three straight wins , that were actually not that impressive other than their 44-41 shootout win vs UNC  where they were still out yarded. Prior to their current run they lost 4 straight games which included blowout beatdowns vs Wake Forest and NC State. Meanwhile, Boston College remains under rated , despite of a strong Q JBurkovec who has thrown for over 2,500 yards on the season with 17 touchdowns with only five interceptions and a never say die group around him that plays hard.Virginia ranks last in the ACC in pass defense, allowing 289.0 yards per game through the air and are vulnerable here today. 

Play on Boston College to cover 

SIUE can really tee up with the trey from downtown and Im betting they take advantage of a Omaha side that does not defend the three well and also cannot shoot with the same effecicncy from beyond the arc as their opponent. We have alot of value here with a under rated underdog.NEBRASKA-OMAHA is 8-19 ATS L/27 in road games versus excellent teams - shooting 45% or better with a defense of 42% or better.

Play on SIUE to cover 

Akron has lost  20 straight tilts overall, including 11 straight on the road and their L/9 at home .  HC Tom Arth's  Zips haven't won a single game at  (0-16) and now they are being made 3 point chalk. Not buying it, and Im recommending we take the points with Bowling Green. AKRON is 0-10 ATS /SU when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.

BOWLING GREEN is 6-1 against the spread versus AKRON since 1992 @ Akron! 

CFB Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (AKRON) - with a turnover margin of -1.5 /game or worse on the season are 6-26 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 82% conversion rate for bettors.

CFB Road underdogs (BOWLING GREEN) - after allowing 31 points or more in 3 straight games against opponent after a loss by 17 or more points are 62-25 ATS L/10 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Bowling Green to cover 

Western Michigan is a perfect 4-0 on the season but their L/3 games have been decided in one possession final scores. Now enters a never say die hard nosed E.Michigan side that is not usually an easy out as is evident by their 23-6 ATS L/29 game record as road underdogs. E.Michigan is off a loss last time out, but that sets them up for a big motivational bounce back situation here vs top tier opposition. Note: Eastern Michigan is 14-0 ATS L/14 on the road coming off a loss with none of the SU losses in this set coming. by more than a TD. 

Play on Eastern Michigan to cover 

The Buckeyes come into this game with COVID-19 problems, and go against a Michigan State side that is starting to find its stride and is off a surprising win vs Northwestern last time out. The Buckeyes are still obviously the superior side, but Im betting Ohio States flow will be off because of the health issues being centered upon by league officials and the media. Its just not a cohesive environment, for positive energy to flow. With that said, Ill give the edge to the uptrending Spartans and their solid defensive abilities to cover the number . MICHIGAN ST is 38-19 ATS  after allowing 3.75 or less yards/play in their previous game. 

CFB Road favorites (OHIO ST) - excellent offensive team (440 or more YPG) against a team with an average defense (330 to 390 YPG), after allowing 6.25 or more yards/play in their previous game are 33-71 ATS L/28 seasons for a 68% go against conversion rate. 

Play on Michigan State to cover 

App State has lost two games this season one to ranked Coastal Carolina after blowing a  lead and once to a powerful looking Marshall football program. But Im betting that will be their last loss in Sunbelt conference action this season. and from my power rankings list matchup well vs a ULL side that they own a perfect 8-0 SU record against in their L/8 meetings.     Look for AUS QB Zac Thomas who  is 30-5 as a starter in his College career to show us what hes made of today and that in my opinion is pure titanium  After putting 70 points on the board vs UL Monroe last week, I look for a energy drop off here  against a side that is out to make a statement. :  You have to remember Lafayette has clinched a title shot  and are a in a look ahed situation with  Coastal Carolina up next  in the conference title game.  

APPALACHIAN ST is 8-1 ATS  versus good offensive teams - averaging 5.9 or more  yards/play over the last 2 seasons.APPALACHIAN ST is 7-0 ATS  after 2 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers over the last 3 seasons.

CFB Home favorites (APPALACHIAN ST) - dominant team (outgain opp. by 100+ YPG) against a good team (outgain opp. by 50-100 YPG), after outgaining opp by 175 or more total yards in their previous game are 29-8 ATS L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on App State to cover 

The Gamecocks have won three in a row going into the weekend to begin the season with a 3-1 record and according to my projections are a under rated  value dog . 

Mohegan Sun Arena - Uncasville, CT

Dating back to last season, the UConn Huskies are currently on a 10-2 run which includes three straight up wins as underdogs. I know USC is highly talented, but being out of their natural time zone Im betting the Trojans flow will be effected.

CONNECTICUT is 13-4 ATS  versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. Hurley is 14-4 ATS L/18 as a neutral court favorite or pick in all games he has coached. 

CBB team (USC) - hot shooting team - 3 straight games making 47%  or more of their shots against opponent after game - allowing a shooting pct. of 33% or less are 68-119 L/5 seasons for a go against 64% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on UConn to cover 

Illinois is a strong defensive side, but their pack line defense Im betting has problems with a Baylor side that likes to throw alot of screens and have a bevy of scorers that can do alot of damage. Bottom line :Illinois has looked explosive  against two ugly betty opponents, but when they faced Ohio they did not look good and barely escaped with a win. With that said look for the Bears bevy of top tier talent at the guard position to wreak havoc on Illinois  over flow in transition at both ends of the court .Fighting Illini are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 neutral site games.Fighting Illini are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Fighting Illini are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

Bears are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games as a favorite. Bears are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 neutral site games.

Baylor to cover 

The Murray State Racers scored a record-breaking season opening win 173-95 over the visiting Greenville Panthers at the CFSB Center in Murray, Ky. While Im not expecting a repeat I do expect the Racers to over run another opponent. 

Blue Raiders are 8-20 ATS in their last 28 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Blue Raiders are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall. Blue Raiders are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games.

Play on Murray State to cover 

No. 7 Kansas and No. 20 Kentucky go head to head in a game that Im betting favors a more experienced side.The Jayhawks’ key to success has been physical man-to-man defense that Im betting will eventually fluster this young Wildcats group.  Bill self is a long term winner vs non conference opposition registering a 58% ATS  November win percentage . 

Play on Kansas to cover

FIU looked weak defensively  versus division-two opponent Flagler in their opening two wins. That will be problematic here for FIU vs a Central Michigan team that exhibited a great deal of grit and spirited action vs UIC in their opener a game that they maybe should have won. Today Ill take what looks to be a physical Chips crew vs what seems to be a lazy group of Panthers. 

Play on Central Michigan to cover

The Nevada men's basketball team, off to a 2-0 start and are looking like a viable favorite here today vs Pacific.Wolf Pack are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 Monday games.Wolf Pack are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record and are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games as a home favorite.Wolf Pack are also 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Meanwhile, Pacifc despite of being 1-0 with a win vs Riverside, Im betting dont have the guns to hang here as they play without their top player from last season Khalil Tripp. 

Play on Nevada to cover 

Hawkins Arena has been kind to the Bears in recent years.  Each of the past two seasons, Mercer has gone 9-6 on their home floor. In 2017-18, the Bears were 11-3 inside Hawkins Arena and tonight Im betting they have an edge behind a group that shares the ball well.Currently, the Bears rank first in the Southern Conference and ninth in the country with 41 assists. Neftali Alvarez leads the team with 15 assists (7.5 apg) through two games abd have the edge vs Georgia State. 

Panthers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite.Panthers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

Bears are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall. Bears are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win.

Play on Mercer to cover 

Maui Invitational

Providence despite of teeing of on MAAC side Fairfield in their opener may take time to get going offensively this season vs Power 5 teams as they replace alot of last years key scoring attributes with   Alpha Diallo (14.1 ppg), Luwane Pipkins (10.8 ppg), and Maliek White (7.8 ppg) all gone. Meanwhile, considering Miller-coached teams key on  defense, and the  fact the Hoosiers finished 26th last year in adjusted defensive efficiency makes me feel like Indiana could bring home the cash today in a neutral floor environment as short chalk vs a side that may take time to flow and generate the same kind of numbers they did last season.Hoosiers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite.Friars are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 neutral site games as an underdog. Friars are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games.

Play on Indiana to cover 

Mighty Indianapolis squeaked out a 34-31 win vs the Green Bay Packers last time out, and now the Im betting on the Packers to be primed to bounce back in a big way this week and take out their frustrations  vs the Bears side that has lost four straight games . It must be noted that   Under Matt Fleur, the Packers are a perfect 5-0 SU/ ATS off a defeat, winning every game by more than a TD. Also  QB Rodgers’ owns a 7-0 ATS record in his last seven games when coming off a loss. 
 Meanwhile,Chicago is 0-11 ATS on a natural surface  vs a divisional opponent that has scored less than one-sixth of their points from FGs and have averaged at least 200 passing ypg season to date.

Play on Green Bay to cover 

Indianapolis got the better of Tennessee in their first meeting of the season, and are just the better more balanced side in my opinion. Philip Rivers is on a mission and seeing the field well, and has been a sharp shooter fitting passes into very tight openings, while the Colts’ running game is now in top tier form making them the complete package thanks to an over powering D. 

The Tennessee Titans are 0-16 SU and 2-14 ATS L/16 as single-digit division road underdogs, including 0-11 SUATS the last eleven.

Play on Indianapolis to cover 

It must be noted that ESPN  data says  NFL rookie quarterbacks from California teams are 1-14 straight up since the merger in Eastern Time zones. This keys in on Chargers  rookie QB Justin Hebert in his visit to play a strong Buffalo bills side that is well  rested and off a bye week.. It must also be noted that  the Chargers are 1-9 SU and 0-10 ATS against foes coming off a Bye week.

Buffalo Bills to cover 

The Jets have been eliminated from the playoffs and are showing no signs of life after losing the stats battle in 10 straight games. NYJ  D is allowing a whopping 5.9 yards per play and 31st in defensive passing success and are allowing 8 yards per attempt, per game. Meanwhile, the Dolphins are ninth in passing success and  averaging 7.2 yards per attempt through the air. With that said,Miami shut out the Jets, 24-0 earlier this season and now a rinse and repeat situation Im betting will be on todays agenda .Dolphins are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings and get the nod again.

Projected score: Miami 34 NY Jets 10

Miami to cover 

The Wolf Pack are  off a huge win vs San Diego State  last time out and will be in a letdown spot here vs Hawaii this week who sit  at 2-3  and hungry for a win as they look for a Bowl experience. , It must be noted that  HC Graham owns a 22-4 ATS record  at home against opposition  arriving off a SUATS victory.  Nevada is vulnerable thus taking points is a viable investment option. 

Wolf Pack are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.Underdog is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.

Play on Hawaii to cover 

Arizona did not play well vs Washington last week, but did look good vs strong USC team in a earlier tilt and very much look capable of staying close enough for a cover vs a Chip Kelley program that has been far from consistent since his arrival losing 18 of 27 games. 

Wildcats are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.Wildcats are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.Wildcats are 6-2-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record. 

Bruins are 7-19 ATS in their last 26 games as a favorite.Bruins are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.Bruins are 1-5 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.Bruins are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite.

Play on Arizona to cover 

Memphis is not as strong as they have been in recent seasons, and as a favorite (0-3 ATS) in an FBS game this season and the D is weaker than expected    allowing 477 yards per game .  Meanwhile, Navy coach Ken Niumatalolo is a proven winner and now desperate need for a victory to be Bowl eligible. With that said,  Im betting he will have his team ready to play this Saturday behind what is now a more balanced offensive attack . 

Navy is 11-0-2 ATS L/13 when they allowed at least 28 points last game. Midshipmen are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 conference games.Midshipmen are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 home games.

Tigers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games.Tigers are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games overall.Tigers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.Tigers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.Tigers are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games on fieldturf.Tigers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite.Tigers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win.Tigers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 conference games.

Play on Navy to cover  

Liberty basketball will face its third straight Power Five opponent to begin the season as the Flames face South Carolina and have far proved they can hang with the big boys. More of the same suffocating and grinding slow paced hoops will be on the agenda today Im betting they make the Gamecocks work for a win here. 

Play on Liberty to cover 

A big win vs Wisconsin last time out has Northwestern sitting at a perfect 5-0.  The Cats were far then perfect in the 17-7 win vs the Badgers and were out yarded by 100 yards and may now showing a little exhaustion and could easily be over looking the struggling Spartans making them vulnerable. Meanwhile, the Spartans under first-year head coach Mel Tucker have just win vs long time rivals Michigan and have suffered two straight loss one of which came vs a powerful Indiana team so they get a break there from me . Spartans are a viable 6-1 ATS  L/7home  as a DD dog and are viable underdogs in this spot. 

Michigan State to cover 

The Texas State Bobcats are uptrending in power rankings and  coming off a impressive upset of Arkansas State. Texas State also came very close to upsetting  Boston College earlier in this season  and took UTSA into double-overtime. Meanwhile Coastal Carolina despite of their high ranking are now a team that could feel some pressure and now in a huge emotional letdown spot after beating App State last time out will be vulnerable making getting points with this dangerous underdog a viable option.Bobcats are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a home underdog and have covered 5 straight games overall.

Play on Texas State to cover 

The LSU Tigers are projected to have a top-10 offense again this season  with the addition of Cam Thomas, a five-star guard and Oak Hill Academy’s all-time leading scorer. Considering my projections LSU is more than capable of winning this game straight up vs a  defensive minded St.Louis team that is expected to be shorthanded as Travis Ford said Fred Thatch Jr. (sprained knee) wont play and Hasahn French is on (concussion protocol).

Play on LSU to cover

Troy is a team Im keeping an eye on based on recruiting projections.  This group is well balanced  and are more than capable of competing and winning vs a UNC Wilmington group that is on tired legs as they play their third game of the season already. 

The Akron  Zips look to be in big trouble here today despite of showing off a explosive offense. The Zips real issues though are on the defensive side of the ball where they rank 124th in the nation against the run allowing an average of 234 ypg. Today against a Buffalo side that has a super star RB in Jaret Patterson who is off a 301 yard output last time out the Zips are not viable underdogs, and being over rated. Considering the Bulls were upset by Akron last season Im betting they will be wide awake for the revenger and ready to be merciless in their venture. Note: buffalo has cashed 6 of the L/7 when they have revenge in this series. 

CFB  Home favorites (BUFFALO) - excellent offensive team (440  or more YPG) against a team with an average defense (330 to 390 YPG), after gaining 7.25 or more yards/play in 2 consecutive games are 65-24 L/28 seasons for a 73% conversion rate. 

CFB Home favorites (BUFFALO) - in a game involving two dominant teams (outgain opponents by 1.2+ YPP), after gaining 7.25 or more yards/play in 2 consecutive games are 33-10 ATS L/10 seasons for a 77% conversion rate.

BUFFALO is 6-0 ATS L/6 in home games in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons with the average margin of victory coming by just under 27 ppl.

Leipold is 8-0 ATS  in home games versus good offensive teams - averaging 5.9 or more  yards/play as the coach of BUFFALO with the average ppg diff clicking in at 8.6 ppg. 

Play on Buffalo to cover 

Mercer Over the last 10 years,  has stunned several Power-5 foes on the court. The Bears' most notable win was during the 2014 NCAA Tournament when Mercer upset No.3 Duke, 78-71, to advance to the second round of the tournament. They must not be underestimated here vs Georgia Tech. 

Bears are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Bears are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games.Bears are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points.Bears are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 Friday games.Bears are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.Bears are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog.Bears are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Bears are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.Bears are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.Bears are 25-11-1 ATS in their last 37 games following a straight up win.

Yellow Jackets are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games after scoring more than 90 points in their previous game.Yellow Jackets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.Yellow Jackets are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 90 points in their previous game.Yellow Jackets are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.

Mercer to cover 

Despite losing four key seniors to graduation last year, LA Tech (0-0) still returns 11 letterwinners from that 22-win team and must be respected here according to my projections at less than 8 point chalk.  This is a  very experienced roster as 10 of the 15 players are upperclassmen, made up of seven seniors and three juniors.The Bulldogs are 25-8 all-time against the Mavericks and have won 12 of the last 13 meetings.  LA Tech has never lost to UTA inside the TAC, having won all seven meetings including the last time these two squads met which was in 2015.

LA Tech to cover 

The top returning scorer in the league, Miller was second in the SoCon in scoring last season at 17.8 points per game and led the conference in steals for the second straight season, totaling 89 and averaging 2.8 per contest to rank second and fourth, respectively, in NCAA Division I. He will be key a UNC Greensboro cover here today. 

Play on UNC Greensboro to cover 

Stanford has started their season slowly, but Im betting on them getting on track here vs the California Bears here today in PAC 12 action. Note: The Stanford Cardinal own a solid  9-1 SU record in this  series , including  a 5-0 SUATS run when playing on the road at Berkeley. The lone loss in this series came last time these teams met and now I expect revenge to be in play. I know Stanford has failed to cover or win 6 straight times going back to last season, but all good and bad runs must come to an end. Note: Stanford  HC Shaw is 16-2 SU and 15-3 ATS after a loss as a favorite. ( They lost time out 35-32 at home vs Colorado). Two weeks now since that ugly effort and Shaw will have his team ready to operate functionally. 

Play on Stanford to cover 

This line according to my numbers project at closer to 5 points thus giving us an edge on the line. 

Aggies are 11-1-1 ATS in their last 13 games as a road underdog.Aggies are 10-1-1 ATS in their last 12 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Aggies are 10-1-1 ATS in their last 12 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Aggies are 13-2-1 ATS in their last 16 games as an underdog.Aggies are 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 games following a straight up loss.Aggies are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Aggies are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 road games.Aggies are 9-4-1 ATS in their last 14 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

Play on UC Davis to cover 

Notre Dame’s is vulnerable here vs North Carolina. The Irish  defense ranks outside the top 70 in both pass and rush explosiveness which is  big trouble versus  a 5 star North Carolina offense that ranks top-25 in both and has scored 48 points or more their L/4 trips to the gridiron at home. 

UNC HC Mack Brown 12-6 AT L/18 as a conference home dog , including 4-0 SU/ATS as a dog of 6 or less points.

North Carolina. - home team vs. the money line (N CAROLINA) - after gaining 450 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games, returning 8+ offensive starters against opponent returning 5 or less defensive starters are 29-5 SU L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors.

CFB home team (N CAROLINA) - after gaining 6.25 or more yards/play in 4 consecutive games, returning 8+ offensive starters against opponent returning 5 or less defensive starters are 28-6 ATS L/28 seasons for a 83% conversion rate. 

CFB Favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (NOTRE DAME) - after scoring 20 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games against opponent after scoring 24 points or more in the first half last game are 13-40 ATS L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate.

Play on North Carolina to cover 

The Belmont Bruins are off a 95-78 victory over Howard to  open their regular season yesterday and now bring that momentum and flow into this tilt vs George Mason today. Meanwhile,George Mason  showed me alot of chink their armor in a close win in Queens NC by a final score of 66-65. Lots of value with this line, and 9 out of 10 times Belmont clicks off a win in this line of matchup which makes this a viable opportunity to cash a ticket  . 

George Mason are just 15-32-1 ATS in their last 48 games against a team with a winning record. 

Bruins are 8-0-1 ATS in their last 9 games after scoring more than 90 points in their previous game.

Bruins are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win.

Play on Belmont to cover 

Kansas is off a hard fought loss to Gonzaga yesterday and may have some issues getting unwound here today in letdown spot vs a St.Joes team that has all five starters back from last season and off giving Auburn all they could handle yesterday losing in OT. 

Play on St.Joes to cover 

 Iowa State according to my power rankings are right up there with the Sooners a side that they beat already this season in another marquee big 12 battle . HC  Campbell’  is  23-6 ATS  as a conference underdog, including 10-0 ATS against opposition coming off consecutive wins and looks like a viable option here this afternoon, Meanwhile, Texas just does not look consistent this season, while HC Tom Herman looks like a coach in jeopardy of losing his job , which does not play well in a dressing room which will reflect itself onto the field. Herman as a conference favorite, including an ugly  5-16 ATS  home record . 

Play on Iowa State to cover 

This one is simple for me. No way does New Mexico deserve to be road favs here . Remember this is a team that has lost 11 straight road games, and dont deserve this kind of respect. No not even against a struggling Utah State side that does have an advantage of being off a bye week, and now lead by a new HC Maile who was also a captain of this Aggies team in the early part of the century. He will have the respect of his team, and Im betting they play hard here today and that they wont go down without a fight and get us the cover. 
NEW MEXICO is 0-6 ATS ( when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

Cfb Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (UTAH ST) - pathetic team - outscored by opponents by 17 or more points/game, after allowing 31 points or more in 3 straight games are 39-12 ATS L/10 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Utah State to cover 

Liberty is restocking this season, but they still have two very experienced guards in the lineup that control a grinding flow. With Mississippi State with lots of new young faces in the lineup, flow will definitely be a problem for them early on this season as was the case vs Clemson last time out, as well as here today. This makes getting points a viable investment option. 

Flames are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 neutral site games.

Bulldogs are 5-13-1 ATS in their last 19 games following a double-digit loss at home.

Bulldogs are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games after scoring less than 50 points in their previous game.

Liberty to cover 

The Cowboys are off a big win last time out vs the Vikings as underdogs,  and are showing some  signs life of late and more upward trajectory to come according to my projections as they still have a chance at a play off appearance . Last week the Cowboys converted   converted 5-of-11 third downs at Minnesota and are looking viable in key spots which will make them dangerous vs a Washington side that was fortunate to get by Cincinnati last week and squeaked  out a rather strange victory after Bengals  QB Joe Burrow went down in the 2nd half.  This week Im betting a good Dallas side that is getting it mojo back to find a way to get revenge for a loss earlier this season to the Football team and avoid the season sweep vs what my rating consider a  over rated opponent. 

 Thanksgiving Day favorites of 3 or less points are 24-9 SU and 22-10-1 ATS, including 6-0 SUATS the last six seasons. 
 

Dallas is 14-0 ATS L/14 on artificial turf after  a road victory when they converted at least five third downs in each of their last two trips to the gridiron. 

DALLAS is 7-0 ATS  after allowing 300 or more passing yards in their last game over the last 3 seasons.

Play on Dallas to cover 

Auburn must replace all five starters and its sixth man from a season ago and will go without the services of the superstar freshman five-star point guard Sharife Cooper. Meanwhile, the Hawks off a embarrassing 6-26 season last season, bring back  almost everyone from last years roster  while also adding a few talented transfers . The Hawks ability to play together gives them an edge over a more talented group, but a less cohesive one. With that said, Im recommending we take the points with St.Joes .

Play on St.Josephs to cover 

Gonzaga enters this season with 30-plus wins in four consecutive seasons and are once again stacked and ready to prove their No.1 national ranking. Thanks to the Bulldogs hoops pedigree and reputation HC Mark Few has been able to recruit very well, and this season could easily be his most talented and deep squad. Last season they ranked first in adjusted offensive efficiency and 43rd in adjusted defensive efficiency and seventh in the country with a 38.6% team 3-point percentage. They will equal or better those numbers, and today against  defensive minded Kansas that will miss key players from last years roster (  Azubuike and Dotson) they will find a way to roll as the game progresses and get us the short cover. 

Play on Gonzaga to cover 

The Xavier Musketeers prepare to generate more offensive flow after a dominating 101-49 season-opening win over the Oakland Golden Grizzlies when they return to action as 9-point home favorites on Thanksgiving Day against the Bradley Braves. My projections estimate another DD win here vs a Braves side that is a tough out but out talented by a Musketeers program that is on the verge of getting back to top tier status. 

Play on Xavier to cover 

The Eagles  under head coach Jim Christan’s presurre D, Im betting will give Villanova alot more heat than must pundits might believe possible. Boston College forced an average of 14.5 turnovers per game, ranked 65th in the nation and have shown recently that upsetting a strong opponent is not out of the realm of possibility as was the case in wins  vs Virginia and  Virginia Tech. Meanwhile, Villanova now without guard Bryan Antoine and forward Dhamir Cosby-Roundtree may not have their usual flow, and against this type of D, might find themselves starting slowly. Note: In neutral court games last season, Villanova as a favorite was just 1-2-1 ATS, and overall were a sub .500 ATS side overall as chalk failing to cover 15 of 25 games despite of owning a 24-7 overall record. 

Boston College to cover

UNLV looked very strong as last season progressed especially  late in the 2019-20 campaign when they  went with  a four-guard lineup almost full-time. Considering  Otzelberger has said the program will embrace that alignment going forward they once again look to be a dangerous group despite of some new young faces in this group but will still be scary behind Bryce Hamilton.  Montana State is just over matched here today. 

Play on UNLV

Santa Clara returns four starters and seven of its top nine scorers from last season, including preseason All-West Coast Conference performer Josip Vrankic, a three-year starter. The senior ranked first on the team in scoring (12.5 ppg) and rebounding (5.4 pg) last season. The Broncos return six players who started at least 15 games last season. Idaho State according to my projections does not matchup well here.

Play on Santa Clara to cover 

The Waves feature an experienced squad, with seven of the top nine scorers from last season back. A total of 11 players have previously seen action for Pepperdine and are a dangerous opponent for all comers including Cal Irvine.

Pepperdine stunned UC Irvine in Firestone Fieldhouse last season when the Waves outscored the Anteaters 13-0 over the final two-plus minutes in a 77-73 win in Firestone Fieldhouse. The Waves have won each of the last four meetings against the Anteaters. Rinse and repeat situation on board here again this evening. 

Play on Pepperdine to cover 

Liberty is coming off the best season in program history, going 30-4 (before their season was shut down) But now they lack enough front court offensive prowess because of personal losses to be able to compete here.  Even last year the Flames ran a slow paced grinding attack behind a slow duo of guards, and the Boilermakers will have no problem dealing with that . With that said, Im betting on a   Boilermakers side that  brings back three starters and five players from last season’s nine-man rotation to deal with a side that will take time to jell. 

 Play on Purdue to cover 

 Oklahoma State basketball enters this season  led by Associated Press Preseason All-American Cade Cunningham, the Cowboys welcome the nation's No. 4 ranked recruiting class onto the floor and look very much like viable favs here in this spot vs Texas Arlington. The Pokes are 11-1 in the series with wins in the last five meetings and get the nod again as short  single digit favs. Note:three Cowboys hail from Arlington including key cog Cunningham  and Im betting they play lights out here. 

Play on Oklahoma State to cover 

 Los Angeles Rams, who are coming off an impressive victory over Russell Wilson and the Seattle Seahawks and are looking more confident and cohesive by the week and are viable underdogs vs public favorite Tampa Bay according to my projections .  Note: TAMPA BAY is 1-8 ATS as a home favorite of 7 points or less over the last 3 seasons. TAMPA BAY is 0-6 ATS after allowing 17 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons.

The Rams  are 6-1 ATS L/7 in this series, including 4-0 ATS as visitors . The Rams also boast a  4-1 SU/ATS L/5 vs the NFC South.  Meanwhile, Tampa Bay sport a ugly bankroll depleting 2-10 ATS as a chalk vs NFC West opposition. With that said, my money is on the under appreciated Rams.

Play on LA Rams to cover 

The Raiders' defense is playing its best football in years heading into this game, allowing 14.7 points per game, but Im betting they will be tested in a big way vs a revenge minded Chiefs side that is well rested after a bye. Note: Raiders beat KC 40-32 at home earlier this season) Chiefs, head coach Andy Reid has  proved to be money in the bank in the recent past recording a  39-19-1 ATS | 32.2% ROI on the road  while  the Chiefs also flaunt a 17-4 SU and 16-4-1 ATS record   in their L/21 away games.The Chiefs are also 12-0-1 ATS away when coming off consecutive victories   when going against an AFC opponent. Considering Patrick Mahomes, he is 29-14-2 ATS (32.3% ROI) career mark its never a bad bet putting a Chiefs ticket in your pocket. 

KANSAS CITY is 6-0 ATS  when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

NFL Road teams (KANSAS CITY) - mistake-free team (1.25 or less TO/G committed) vs a team with 1.25 or less  TO/G forced after 8+ games, after 4 consecutive games where they committed 1 or less turnovers are 37-10 ATS L/37 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. 

NFL Home teams (LAS VEGAS) - after allowing 5.5 or less passing yards per attempt last game against opponent after gaining 7 or more passing yards/attempt in 3 straight games are 16-41 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on KC Chiefs to cover 

Minnesota under Don Zimmer is   23-3 SU and 20-5-1 ATS as a favorite in non division home games and considering they are heating up with three straight wins including a MFL victory vs Chicago last week holding the Bears to just 148 yards of offense it will be an easy decision to lay the lumber here vs a Dallas side that  has lost 4 straight games . 

Minnesota has accumulated a 10-1 ATS record L/11 matchups against Dallas.. 

The Vikings are 13-0-1 ATS (/14-0 SU as a favorite of more than three points when the total is at least 46. 

Play on Minnesota to cover 

After Alex Smith of Washington teed off last week in a big output (Alex Smith threw for a career-best 390 yards) Im expecting a letdown here this week. 

I looked at this game from a long term trend outlook looking for value on the line . Most will handicap this game from an empirical  view point, but in a game that shows some long term negative trending algorithms on the home team , Im recommending we take a swipe with the road dog. Note: NFL  teams like Washington that won less than six games  in their last campaign are 0-22 ATS L/22 as a home favorite when they are off a defeat ,  and then are scheduled to play away games  in each of the next two weeks, and they are facing a non-divisional foe like Cincinnati  that has averaged more than 26 minutes of possession time. Add to that  WASHINGTON is 9-23 ATS  in home games when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) since 1992.

Also CINCINNATI is 6-0 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses this season which was the case last time out. 

NFL Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (CINCINNATI) - off a road loss, with a losing record are 41-15 ATS L/10 seasons for a  73% conversion rate.

Play on Cincinnati Bengals to cover 

 Pittsburgh and Jacksonville have played some very close games in the recent past with 10 of their past 12 meeting decided in  one-score tilts, including several decided on the final drive and a few on the final play. I know both teams are operating at the opposite end of the performance spectrum with the Jags on a 8 game losing streak and the Steelers on a 9 game winning run! But considering that Jacksonville has no chance at a play off spot this game this is about as close as they come to a Super Bowl, and with that said, Im expecting a monumental effort from this crew here today. Remember the Steelers run D, has been smashed lately, and the Jags will key on that which will make for. grinding fairly low scoring affair in my eyes, which bodes well for us to stay within the number. Note: PITTSBURGH is 1-9 ATS  as a road favorite of 10.5 to 14 points since 1992.

The Steelers are 0-8 ATS L/8 as a road favorite of more than three points coming off a game where they covered by at least seven points.

NFL Road favorites (PITTSBURGH) - dominant team - outscoring opponents by 10 or more points/game, after a win by 10 or more points are 20-53 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Jacksonville to cover 

The Titans have not  played since last  Thursday Night  (more than a week ago),  so their exceptionally rested and well prepared for the Ravens. I know the Ravens are a great team , and because of recency bias ( Tennessee loss last time out) this line is just slightly bloated enough for me to recommend we grab the points with a under rated side . Note:  opposing sides are  11-5 ATS (33% ROI) against the Ravens when quarterback Lamar Jackson is a home favorite. Meanwhile, Tennessee is 5-1 SUATS in away games after partaking on Thursdays, including 3-0 SU/ATS when they lost.  

 NFL Home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (BALTIMORE) - after a game where they forced no turnovers against opponent after 2 consecutive game where they committed 1 or less turnovers are 6-27 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 82% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Tennessee to cover

The Detroit Lions will be primed to compete here as they look to  rebound from a 4-5 start and make a run at the NFC playoff. With  Carolina star running back Christian McCaffrey and possibly quarterback Teddy Bridgewater at less than 100%, the Lions look like viable underdogs in this spot vs a side that has lost 5 straight grueling games and are pretty beat up overall. Note:Carolina is allowing opponents to convert a league-high 55.3% of third down chances and Im betting Lions QB Stafford really takes advantage of their inadequacies. 

CAROLINA is 0-8 ATS  when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.CAROLINA is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 350 or more yards/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. CAROLINA is 0-7 ATS in a home game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 points over the last 3 seasons. 

DETROIT is 7-0 ATS in road games after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread over the last 3 seasons. 

NFLRoad teams (DETROIT) - after allowing 6.75 or more passing yards/attempt in 4 straight games against opponent after allowing 8 or more passing yards/attempt in their last game are 48-20 ATS L/37 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Detroit 

RBS Chubb and Kareem Hunt combined to rush for 230 yards last week, and now looking healthy again Im betting the Cleveland Browns pound away again this week and find holes against a Eagles inconsistent run D. 

NFL Favorites vs. the money line (CLEVELAND) - after allowing 5.5 or less passing yards per attempt last game against opponent after gaining 5.5 or less passing yards/attempt in 2 straight games are 25-1 SU L/5 seasons for a 96% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at 13.9 ppg. 

NFL Road underdogs vs. the money line (PHILADELPHIA) - after having won 2 out of their last 3 games, a bad team, winning 25% to 40% of their games on the season are 2-26 L/5 seasons for a 93% go against conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at 9 ppg. 

Play on Cleveland to cover 

Boise State is missing some players because of covid but the key ingredients to the team are still intact and considering a recent embarrassing loss to BYU that still stings Im betting we see this team wide awake and ready to compete in a big way vs a Hawaii side, that just does not look as cohesive as some recent incarnations of the program. HAWAII is 0-7 ATS  vs. good offensive teams - scoring 31 or more points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Boise state is 7-0 SU/ATS L/7 meetings in this series. 

CFB Underdogs of 10.5 to 21 points (HAWAII) - after allowing 5.5 or more rushing yards/attempt in 2 straight games against opponent after gaining 125 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games are 4-25 ATS L/28 seasons for a go against 86% conversion rate for bettors with the average margin ppg diff clicking at 22 ppg. 

Play on Boise State 

 Utah opens at home to night against USC. It must be noted that CFB teams in  Game One of the season are 13-3 SU   versus opposition playing their third game of the season, including 8-0 SUATS in the last eight dating back 30 seasons. Considering the Trojans had to come from behind in both their first two games, its become evident to me there are some hiccups in their flow. Also exerting that kind of energy will now have them in a let down spot. With Utah in revenge mode for a 30-23 loss last season, Im betting we see them very motivated . Utah is 4-1 ATS L/5 in revenge mode. UTAH is 8-1 ATS  in home games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons. USC is 4-13 ATS  off 2 no-covers where the team won as a favorite since 1992. 

Utah is 14-1 SU in home openers and 13-2 SU in season openers with HC Whittingham at the helm. 

Utah to cover 

Iowa State is a solid team but this is a never say die Wildcats team that despite of some covid issues  is chalk full of physical players who play smash mouth  football and considering  KSU is 11-1 SU in this series Ill be recommending we take the points here today. 

 IOWA ST is 0-6 ATS  in home games after having won 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games over the last 3 seasons.

KSU head coach Chris Klieman getting points as he is 9-3 ATS as a dog in Big 12 games, including 5-0 ATS when getting 7 or more points.Kansas State is also 12-0 ATS  as a dog of more than seven points coming off a loss. 

CFB Road underdogs (KANSAS ST) - after covering the spread in 4 out of their last 5 games, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season are 32-11 ATS L/10 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Kansas State to cover 

This is not one of Sabans strongest teams , as is evident by currently ranking 49th  in the nation in Total Defense.  With  Next week, seeing Alabama  ready to play their  holiday fare: the Iron Bowl, Nov. 28, vs. Auburn, they could easily find themselves not focused here and what Im calling a look ahead situation. Meanwhile,   Kentuckys D, must be respected  and are more than capable of slowing down Alabama's vaunted offense. 

KENTUCKY is 6-0 ATS  in road games after gaining 275 or more rushing yards last game over the last 3 season. Stoops is 7-0 ATS  in road games after a game where they committed no turnovers as the coach of KENTUCKY.

Kentucky is 12-0 ATS /10-2 SU L/12  off a win as a favorite which was the case vs Vanderbilt last time out. 

Take the points with Kentucky 

These teams come in with identical 4-4 records and Im betting that the final score will be indicative of their current records and closely contested with the more rested team at home Pittsburgh having the edge getting points. VTech has really played some very tough physical games recently against Liberty and Miami by 3 points and 1 point respectively. Considering the  Panthers  will be in revenge mode for a  28-0  kick to the helmet last season  you can bet they will be primed and read to deliver some pay pack. . Pittsburgh has owned this series for their betting backers at home going   7-0 ATS .

VIRGINIA TECH is 2-11 ATS in a road game where the total is between 52.5 and 56. 

CFB road team (VIRGINIA TECH) - an excellent offensive team (34 or more  PPG) against an average defensive team (21-28) after 7+ games, after a loss by 3 or less points are 3-22 ATS L/28 seasons for a go against 88% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Pittsburgh to cover 

Both teams have viable offenses and viable defenses and according to my projections and look evenly matched but with Nevada having home field advantage (even with no fans)  the wrong team is favored. Nevada has won the last two meetings in this series and deserve respect here as underdogs. 

Norvell is 8-1 ATS  in home games after playing 2 straight conference games as the coach of NEVADA. 

CFB road team vs. the money line (SAN DIEGO ST) - excellent rushing team (4.8 or more  YPR) against an average rushing team (3.5 to 4.3 YPR), after allowing 125 or less rushing yards in 3 straight games are 9-21 SU L/10 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate. 

Play on Nevada to cover 

Cincinnati continues to roll and have beaten down most of their opponents with little empathy. That non stop flow of action however, may not benefit them in the long term and especially here today against a very tough opponent in UCF.  The  Knights lost 27-24 as 3.5-point favorites @ Cincinnati last season. Actually that tilt now gives me alot of confidence when backing Central Florida here today as UCF  outyarded the Bearcats 423- 343 in that game. Considering the Knights   are  22-2 SU at home the last four seasons it wont come as a surprise to me if they find a way to pull of the SU upset. 

Heupel is 8-0 ATS after allowing 14 points or less last game as the coach of UCF. (The Knights beat Temple 38-13 last time out)

CFB Favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (CINCINNATI) - with a good first half defense - 8 or less points per game, after scoring 20 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games are 10-31 L/5 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors. 

CFB Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (UCF) - off a home win, with 16 total starters returning are 31-10 L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on UCF to cover 

This time, for the first time in program history, the No. 9 Hoosiers (4-0 Big Ten) will participate in a regular-season, top-10 matchup when they play No. 3 Ohio State (3-0) with first place at stake in the East Division. The lines-makers obviously dont think that the Hoosiers are for real, and  they most probably cannot handle the pressure. But from a numbers standpoint I have to take a contrarian view and grab the points with the Hoosiers.

INDIANA is 6-0 ATS  in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.Allen is 6-0 ATS off a road win against a conference rival as the coach of INDIANA.

Play on Indiana to cover 

 Minnesota suffered a 35-7 loss  to Iowa a week ago and now look to rebound vs a Purdue side that continues to be without their their top WR  Rondale Moore and could be without their QB Aidan O Connell.  It might not seem like it but Minnesota is a talented team that won 11 games last season, with plenty of experience, and Im betting they right their sinking ship this week. The key will be based around not making as many mistakes as they have made early this season, and  for  Mohamed Ibrahim who leads the nation  in rushing yards per game at 178.8 to be  the catalyst  against a Purdue side off a heart breaking , loss last week ,  and now on  a short-week road spot . 

Minnesota is 6-1 against the spread in its last seven games following a double-digit loss at home.The Golden Gophers are 18-4-4 ATS in their last 26 games following an ATS loss.

Minnesota to cover 

Tulsa has had three weekends in which a game was postponed due to COVID-19 issues. This week, the Golden Hurricane return to action just five days after a 28-24 victory against then-No. 19 SMU and will now be in a letdown state after making a strong comeback in a physical affair. Meanwhile,Tulane is off a  38-12 victory Saturday against Army, and are surging via 3 straight victories and deserve respect here as underdogs. Tulane is also a bankroll expanding  5-0 ATS run while staunchly stopping  its last three opponents  and holding them to just 12 PPG.Tulane has defeated Tulsa each of the last three seasons, and this could be another rinse and repeat situation , which makes getting points a solid proposition.TULSA is 1-10 ATS  in home games against teams who commit 1 or less turnovers/game on the season since 1992.Fritz is 8-0 ATS   after a game with a turnover margin of +3 or better in all games he has coached since 1992. HC Philip is 4-13 ATS  in home games after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread as the coach of TULSA.

Play on Tulane to cover 

Ball State was handed a  38-31 defeat vs Miami  O took  a hard fought win by a  38-31 count over Eastern Michigan. Their biggest problem is the Cardinals  defense, and after N.Illinois proved they can push some effective offensive flow vs Buffalo putting 30 points on the board, in ther first game another positive output makes them viable opponents again here tonight. 

Neu is 4-16 ATS after a playing a game where 60 total points or more were scored as the coach of BALL ST.

N ILLINOIS is 45-23 ATS as a road underdog since 1992. 

N ILLINOIS is 25-11 ATS  in road games in November games since 1992.BALL ST is 13-28 ATS in home games after a playing a game where 60 total points or more were scored. 

N ILLINOIS is 9-2 SU/ATS BALL ST since 1992. 

Northern Illinois to cover 

After a huge comeback last time out against Toledo coming back with 2 TDS late in the game to win 41-38 will now have Western Michigan in a emotional  letdown situation. This negative energy flow situation does not bode well for them against Central Michigans very physical D, that leads the MAC . The Chips third-down stops have been key so far, allowing opponents only six conversions in 26 attempts.

C MICHIGAN is 7-0 ATS  in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.

CFB road team (W MICHIGAN) - an excellent offensive team (34 or more PPG) against a good defensive team (16-21 PPG), after a win by 3 or less points are 5-25 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against  83% conversion rate.

CFB Home favorites (C MICHIGAN) - dominant team (outgain opp. by 100+ YPG) against a good team (outgain opp. by 50-100 YPG), after outgaining opp by 175 or more total yards in their previous game are 28-8 ATS L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate.

Play on Central Michigan to cover 

 Western Michigan made a huge comeback last time out vs Toledo erasing  2 TD's in 28 seconds at the end of the game to win 41-38.  Now Toledo in a letdown spot will take time to get going, and considering Eastern Michigan ability to hang tough in most of their MAC games over the last few seasons I feel confident getting points. 

TOLEDO is 0-7 ATS in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.TOLEDO is 0-6 ATS  in road games after scoring 37 points or more last game over the last 3 seasons.Candle is 0-7 ATS   in road games after a playing a game where 70 total points or more were scored as the coach of TOLEDO.Creighton is 10-1 ATS off a close loss by 7 points or less to a conference rival as the coach of E MICHIGAN. (Eastern Michigan  is off to a  0-2 start with losses by 7 points or less at Ball State and Kent State.)

Play on Eastern Michigan to cover 

Akron did not win a game last season and went  1-11 ATS and started this season 0-1 SU but did cover  and are now big time DD underdogs here again. With a freshman QB at the helm of the offense , Im doubting things get much better in a shortened season for the Flashes, and as far as tonight goes, I expect they will have their proverbial butts handed to them, via the arm of QB Justin Crum who is averaging 8.8 yards per pass.

 CFB home team (KENT ST) - after allowing 5.5 or more rushing yards/attempt last game against opponent after allowing 5.5 or more rushing yards/attempt in 2 straight games are 61-25 ATS L/28 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Kent State to cover 

Im betting on the Bears top 10 ranked stop unit to be the difference makers here tonight on their own home field. I know the Vikings have won a couple in a row, but their problems according to my own data are extreme,  especially considering there is a 78 yard diff between these Ds, and with that consideration Im recommending we take the points. 

Vikings are 0-12-1 ATS L/13  on the road off a game as a favorite of more than three points.

The Vikings have struggled on the road when playing MFF tilts , recording a ugly 1-8 SU mark and 0-9 ATS record. 

Also the The Bears are 17-1-1 ATS L/19 as home dogs when coming off consecutive losses and going against  a foe coming off a victory.
 

Play on Minnesota to cover 

The Seahawks just lost in ugly fashion by a 44-33 count last time out to Buffalo, and now because of recency bias are not being under appreciated here by bettors. But it must be noted that Seahawks QB Wilson is 24-12-4 ATS (27.8%) off a loss and as an underdog is  is 23-9-2 ATS.In 2020, away  pups off a loss are 26-15 ATS for a 63% conversion rate for bettors. So it wont be a hard decision to back Seattle here vs a Rams side, that is. just 4-15 ATS as single-digit division home favorites. Finally HC Pete Carroll of the Seahawks has been money in the bank of a SU loss as chalk, going 11-1 SU and 9-2-1 ATS L/12. 

Seattle to cover