Air Force as we know are going to pound the the ball via the run   behind an  offense that averaged 341.4 YPG with their ground attack this season, and nothing will change today, vs a Louisville side that Im betting will have their hands full from the get go in this Bowl tilt. 

Note: Louisville ended their season on a down note getting pummeled 52-21 by Kentucky allowing 352 yards on the ground. LOUISVILLE is 0-7 ATS L/7 in road games off a home loss by 14 or more points. 

AIR FORCE is 7-1 ATS vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 58% or better. this season.

Note:Neutral field underdogs (AIR FORCE) - outrushing their opponents by 100 or more yards/game on the season, after gaining 225 or more rushing yards in 3 straight games are 31-8 L/29 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. 

CFB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (LOUISVILLE) - after allowing 6.25 or more yards/play in their previous game against opponent after out gaining  opp by 125 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games are 9--31 ATS L/10 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Air Force to cover 

Auburn gave a top tier Alabama team a decent battle losing by a 24-22 count to finish their season, and must be respected here against a Houston team that is talented but not of the same talent level as their SEC opponent . It will be the superior D, of the tigers that Im betting will be the difference maker. 

HOUSTON is 1-11 ATS L/12  in road games vs. excellent punt coverage teams, allowing  7.5 or less yards per return .  

Houston from a historical level is just  0-4 SUATS in the last four bowl appearances,. Also the AAC is a ugly 0-13 ATS as bowl pup  of 7 or less points. 

Holgorsen is 6-21 ATS after a bye week in all games he has coached since 1992.Holgorsen is 2-10 ATS  n December games in all games he has coached since 1992.

Play on Auburn to cover 

The Jazz have revenge on board for a home loss suffered to the Spurs back on Dec 17th by a  128-126 count and now Im expecting they get their redemption. Previous to the above mentioned defeat the Jazz had won the L/3 meetings in this series by DDs.  

UTAH is 37-20 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons.

SAN ANTONIO is 1-12 ATS in home games after having won 3 of their last 4 games over the last 3 seasons.SAN ANTONIO is 4-18 ATS  in home games off a home win over the last 3 seasons.SAN ANTONIO is 7-23 ATS in home games after 1 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.SAN ANTONIO is 12-25 ATS  against Northwest division opponents over the last 3 seasons.

NBA Home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (SAN ANTONIO) - after leading in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half are 18-50 ATS L/25 seasons for a 74% conversion rate. 

NBA Road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (UTAH) - good team - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game against opponent after leading in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half are 38-11 ATS L/25 seasons for a 78% conversion rate.

NBA Road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (UTAH) - good free throw shooting team (76-79%) against an average free throw shooting team (72-76%), good ball handling team (14.5 or less TO's) against a poor pressure defensive team (14.5 or less TO's) are 44-19  L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors.

Jazz are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.

Play on the Utah Jazz to cover 

Clippers are short handed because of injuries and covid protocols , but still have enough talent to put up a fight here vs the Nuggets and even possibly pull off the underdog victory SU. The Clippers are on three days rest and pulled off a victory as road pups at Sacramento before their rest and must not be underestimated. Note: Denver recently just lost to Oklahoma city and imploded against Charlotte last time out blowing a DD lead going into the final quarter and losing. 

Clippers are 21-6-1 ATS in their last 28 games playing on 3 or more days rest.Clippers are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games as a home underdog.

LA CLIPPERS are 47-33 ATS versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more  assists/game over the last 2 seasons.

Nuggets are 6-16 ATS in their last 22 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DENVER) - off a home loss, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 41-89 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Clippers to cover 

Sacramento enters this home game well rested and fresh after 3 days off from the hardwood and Im betting they will present some problems in revenge mode  for a Memphis side that has now lost three straight games. Note: Kings are 23-5 ATS in their last 28 games playing on 3 or more days rest.

Memphis put a beatdown, on a tired looking Kings team on the 17th of December which will have the Kings motivated for redemption .

Grizzlies are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite.

Play on Sacramento Kings 

The 76ers are consistently weak favorites  as is evident by their    0-9 ATS mark  in their last 9 games as a favorite and are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a road favorite. I know the Wizards maybe without Bradley Beal tonight, but the line justification is off according to me making getting points a viable investment option. 

PHILADELPHIA is 18-32 ATS  when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days over the last 3 seasons.

WASHINGTON is 9-1 ATS after playing 4 consecutive road games over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Home teams vs. the money line (WASHINGTON) - averaging 45 or less rebounds/game on the season, on Sunday games are 35-13 L/25 seasons for a 73% conversion rate.

Play on Washington Wizards to cover 

Jared Goff  went  21-of-26 for 216 yards and three touchdowns in  the Lions  30-12 win against the  Arizona  Cardinals last week as 13-point home underdog, which was the Lions 2nd victory in 3 games. Now with momentum on their sides, Im betting they once again stand tall against a Atlanta team that has not liked playing in their new digs , where they are 0-5 this season while averaging just 13.2 ppg in offense while allowing 28 ppg which clicks in at - 14.8 ppg diff. Nothing comes easy for the Falcons and if they break their home losing streak it wont come easily if at all which has me recommending we take the points here.

 ATLANTA is 1-9 ATS  in home games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons. Falcons are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 vs. NFC.

Lions are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.Lions are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.Lions are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog.Lions are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. NFC and  are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog. 

Underdog is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings. Road team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings. 

Play on the Detroit Lions to cover 

Ok Get ready this is a plug your nose special. Im betting the stench of the Urban Meyer experiment has cleared. With that said,  Jacksonville will be ready to start a new chapter and in the short term at least show some motivational progress vs a Jets team that could also use some air  freshener  and a proverbial deep cleaning.  Both these teams struggle to score, but the difference maker comes on defense where I feel the edge goes to the Jags . Note: Jacksonville is 8-0 ATS as a underdog against AFC East opposition , including 4-0 SUATS L/4. Jets are 3-10 ATS L/14 at home as 4 or less point home favs. 

NY JETS are 1-10 ATS L/10 in home games vs. struggling  teams - outscored by 10+ points per game on the season.  NY JETS are 0-7 ATS  after allowing 25 points or more in 3 straight games over the last 2 seasons. NY JETS are 4-16 ATS  off a road cover where the team lost as an underdog.

NFL  team vs the money line (NY JETS) - bad team - outscored by opponents by 7 or more points/game, after allowing 30 points or more in 3 straight games are 3-25 L/5 seasons for a 89% go against conversion rate for bettors. 

NFL Home teams (NY JETS) - average offensive team (4.9 to 5.4 YPP) against a team with a poor defense (5.4 to 5.8 YPP) are 20-47 ATS L/5 seasons for go against 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Jacksonville to cover 

After a fast start to their season, the Cardinals are now just 3-4 SU/ATS L/7 and not in good form entering this tilt vs the under rated Colts. It seems ever since JJ Watt went down so did the chemistry of the Arizona  defense. With some key injures on offense for the Cards ie( Hopkins), and  a bruised and banged up QB Murray looking less than 100% the Colts look like a very viable option here behind star RB Johnathon Taylor. Im betting the Colts pound their way to a road win and continue their upward momentum after ending the Pats 7 game win streak last time out. Note: Colts are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a road underdog. Colts are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games.

Injury updates: Colts 3 of 5  starting offensive lineman  will miss this game -Quinton Nelson (COVID list), Mark Glowinski (COVID list), and Ryan Kelly (personal)- which has moved this line . When handicapping this game 2 of these guys were part of my assessments . It must be noted that the replacements for the Colts are fresher, almost equally talented as the starters.

INDIANAPOLIS is 9-1 ATS  in road games vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 61% or worse over the last 2 seasons. INDIANAPOLIS is 9-1 ATS   in road games vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 61% or worse over the last 2 seasons. Reich is 11-0 ATS in road games after having won 2 out of their last 3 games as the coach of INDIANAPOLIS.

ARIZONA is 0-7 ATS   versus good offensive teams - averaging 350  or more yards/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. ARIZONA is 1-8 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. Cardinals are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Cardinals are 9-23 ATS in their last 32 games as a home favorite.Cardinals are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 home games.

NFL Underdogs vs. the money line (ARIZONA) - after allowing 30 points or more in 2 straight games against opponent after leading their last 2 games by 10+ points at the half are 2-37 L/38 seasons for a go against  95% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Indianapolis to cover 

Boston has played Milwaukee tough in the recent past and covered 7 straight meetings including the L/3 here in Wisconsin.note: Celtics are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record and despite of some key missing players (ie Horford and Williams) they still have enough bench strength to hang here and get us the. cover. Boston  grabbed  a 122-113 overtime win at home versus Milwaukee in the teams' first meeting on Nov. 12.

Take the points with the Celtics to cover

Camellia Bowl - Cramton Bowl - Montgomery, AL

Senior quarterback Drew Plitt Im betting will be the key for Ball State Cardinal on Christmas Day.  He enters this game with a 124.9 quarterback rating while completing 60.5 % of his passes for 2,248 yards with 17 touchdowns . I know what perceptions are, but according to my cross conference power rankings Ball State matches up well vs Georgia State. 

BALL ST is 13-3 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons. BALL ST is 7-0 ATS  in road games after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread over the last 3 seasons.

CFB Underdogs of +155 to +300 vs. the money line (BALL ST) - after being beaten by the spread by more than 21 points in their previous game, in December games are 19-7 SU L/29 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

CFB Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (BALL ST) - after going under the total by more than 21 points in their previous game, in the second half of the season are 38-19 L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Ball State to cover 

The Lakers have lost 3 straight games, and are short handed,  but with Russell Westbrook and LeBron James available to play tonight, Im betting  there is still enough talent to put forward a  desperate effort from the home side, and subsequent win. 

-NBA Road teams vs. the money line (SAN ANTONIO) - double revenge - 2 straight losses vs. opponent, off a win by 15 points or more as an underdog are 4-32 L/5 seasons for a go against 89% conversion rate for bettors. (Lakers won both meetings this season home and away and the Spurs are off a 116-92 win vs the Clippers last time out, which has them qualifying on this long term trend) Note: The Spurs are 0-4 ATS L/5 off a ATS win. 

NBA Home favorites (LA LAKERS) - after going under the total by 30 or more points total in their last three games are 326-223 L/5 seasons for a 60% conversion rate. 

LA LAKERS is 7-1 straight up against SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons.

Play on the LA Lakers to win 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

BYU is 8-1 ATS versus good defensive teams - allowing 64 or less points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Charlotte enters this game exhausted as this is their 6th straight road game. Now on tired legs and playing in the Mile High city I can see the Hornets high octane attack sputtering and their usual lack of defence imploding. Meanwhile,  Denver is off loss last time out, but this team under Malone does not take losing lightly as is evident by their  5-0 ATS mark in their last 5 games following a straight up loss. Advantage Nuggets.

Hornets are 10-21 ATS in their last 31 games as a road underdog. Hornets are 18-38 ATS in their last 56 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Hornets are 22-47 ATS in their last 69 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

CHARLOTTE is 30-54 ATS  in road games against Northwest division opponents since 1996.

DENVER is 54-31 ATS in home games against Southeast division opponents since 1996.

NBA team vs the money line (CHARLOTTE) - off a cover where the team lost the game straight up as an underdog against opponent off an upset loss as a road favorite are 10-37 L/5 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA team (CHARLOTTE) - off a road cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog against opponent off an upset loss of 10 points or more as a road favorite are 22-55 ATS  L/25 seasons for a  go against 71% conversion rate.

Hornets are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Denver.

NYK and Washington have put forward disappointing seasons so far and both are operating at a low level of consistency. However according to my power rankings the Wizards matchup well against a short handed Knicks side that is  0-6 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog.

as well as  0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a home underdog.

NEW YORK is 1-8 ATS  when the total is 200 to 209.5 this season.

NBA Road teams (WASHINGTON) - after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team are 33-9 L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. 

Wizards are 10-4 ATS in the last 14 meetings in New York.

Play on the Washington Wizards to cover

The last time these teams met the Sixers took a 98-96 victory back on Dec 3rd and Im betting this tilt will also be fairly close as both play this game short handed because of COVID. Trae Young is expected back tonight for the Hawks, but even if he does not play this line still projects out to be slightly bloated. 

McMillan is 16-5 ATS  off 2 or more consecutive upset losses as a home favorite in all games he has coached.

PHILADELPHIA is 1-8 ATS off a road win this season. PHILADELPHIA is 7-15 ATS  when the total is 210 to 219.5 this season.

NBA Road teams (ATLANTA) - revenging a loss vs opponent, off 2 or more consecutive upset losses as a favorite are 45-19 ATS L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate. 

Play on Atlanta to cover

Gasparilla Bowl - Raymond James Stadium - Tampa, FL

Florida melted in the Heat of Gainesville this fall. HC Mullen  and the core of his assistants is gone, and were they're betting backers worst nightmare going 0-6 ATS down the stretch. On the flip-side HC Malzahn is experienced going against  SEC sides, like Florida when he was with Auburn, so he wont feel overwhelmed by this sub standard group of Gators. Note: Malzahn 13-2 SU L/15 vs above  .500 or less SEC opposition , including 7-1 SUATS on the road and get my support here getting points. 

FLORIDA is 1-8 ATS  in road games vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 58% or better. over the last 2 seasons.

CFB Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (UCF) - after going under the total by more than 21 points in their previous game, in the second half of the season are 38-19 ATS L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate.

Play on UCF to cover 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Haase is 6-16 ATS  as a neutral court favorite or pick in all games he has coached since 1997.

Cardinal are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games as a favorite.

This is like a defacto home game for North Texas as Denton is just down the highway  from the Frisco Bowl( maybe in hr in traffic)  With that said, the Mean Green enter this game with a lot of momentum as they finished their season on 6-0 SU/ATS run and must be respected here as what must be looked at as home  underdogs. 

RedHawks are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite.RedHawks are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 vs. CUSA.RedHawks are 4-13 ATS in their last 17 non-conference games.

NORTH TEXAS is 6-0 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.NORTH TEXAS is 6-0 ATS  vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 58% or worse this season.NORTH TEXAS is 7-0 ATS  after playing a conference game this season.

Play on North Texas to cover 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

UNLV is 0-7 ATS  when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) over the last 3 seasons.

Armed Forces Bowl - Amon G. Carter Stadium - Fort Worth, TX

 The much maligned D of the Tigers actually matches up well against Army's smallish offensive line ( no one over 290 pounds). I know Missouri had problems slowing the run this season, but they do matchup well here according to power rankings. Meanwhile, Army's defensive line is a big strong group, but they are substantially slower than the Tigers offense, and Im betting they have problems slowing this superior athletic SEC group. I know the popular pick in Bowl season are military colleges behind their triple option, but this is just to big spread according to my projections making getting points here golden.Black Knights are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite.

CFB Neutral field favorites vs. the money line (ARMY) - after having won 2 out of their last 3 games, in a non-conference game between two teams from major division 1-A conferences are 10-20  L/10 seasons for a go against  67% conversion rate. 

Play on Missouri to cover 

 Atlanta is expected to be without Trae Young, the second-leading scorer in the NBA (27.3 points) which will effect the Hawks offensive flow. Meanwhile, Orlando played with a short roster on Saturday in an upset victory vs the Brooklyn Nets, which had 10 players in COVID protocol. The Magic continue to be short handed , but have momentum coming into this tilt. If this contest is not cancelled Im betting this game is much closer than anticipated.

Hawks are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite.

Hawks are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 home games.

NBA Road underdogs (ORLANDO) - struggling team - shooting 43% or less with a defense of 46% or better  on the season against opponent after a game - allowing a shooting pct. of 55% or higher are 33-9 ATS L/25 seasons for a 79% conversion rate.

NBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (ORLANDO) - cold team - having lost 15 or more of their last 20 games against opponent after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games are 44-17 ATS L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Orlando to cover 

Jimmy Butler is out for Miami tonight, but the Heat according to my power rankings have enough depth to deal with a Pacers team that is 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games as a road favorite.

MIAMI is 11-2 ATS  versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 13 or less turnovers/game this season. MIAMI is 11-2 ATS after 1 or more consecutive unders this seasons. Heat are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Heat are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog.

NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (MIAMI) - in a game involving two poor offensive teams (104-108 PPG), after a combined score of 195 points or less are 26-2 L/5 seasons for a 92% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Miami Heat to cover 

San Diego State has a top tier defensive unit  , allowing just 319.5 YPG, ranked 14th in the country and that will be the difference maker here in this Bowl Game against CUSA opponent UTSA. Conference USA sides went 0-7 SU Last season, and Im betting the negative run continues today.

SAN DIEGO ST is 18-7 ATS  in road games vs. very good offensive teams - scoring 34 or more points/game.

CFB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (UTSA) - good team - outscoring opponents by 7 or more points/game, after allowing 31 points or more in 2 straight games are 19-45 ATS L/10 seasons for a 71% go against conversion rate for bettors.

Play on San Diego State to cover 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Kent State behind  senior quarterback Dustin Crum is a dangerous  two-way threat ,  as he finished second in the MAC with an average of 273.5 yards per game total offense. He passed for 2,922 yards and 16 touchdowns   and rushed for 633 yards and 11 more TDS. Add to that Running back   Marquez Cooper who was  fifth in the league with 1,080 yards rushing and had 11 touchdowns which contributes to an explosive  offense that is averaging  243 yards rushing and 237 yards passing per game. I know Wyoming has a strong D, but Kent State is a shock and awe type side, that will be hard to keep up with. Cowboys are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite. it must be noted that the Cowboys lost 38-14 to what was thought to be an inferior Hawaii team to end the season, and their consistency this year was non existent losing to sides like New Mexico  and don't inspire me with their game preparation. Cowboys are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a double-digit loss at home.

WYOMING is 6-17 ATS L/23 in road games after a loss by 21 or more points . 

Lewis is 12-4 ATS  after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread as the coach of KENT ST.

Play on Kent State to cover 

This is Charlottes 5th straight road game and are on back to back games after playing last night in Phoenix in a DD loss . However, the game yesterday seemed like a defacto game off for the run and gun Hornets, and tonight they could easily be more energized after their sleepy effort. Meanwhile, the Jazz have lost two straight, against Washington and San Antonio teams they should have beat. Hey every team slumps from time to time especially sides like the Jazz who go all out from start to finish. Watching exerts of their above mentioned losses you could see tired leg syndrome in full effect and tonight covering against the Hornets may not be an easy proposition with the points here looking golden. 

CHARLOTTE is 26-14 ATS  after having lost 2 of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Favorites of 10 or more points (UTAH) - good offensive team - scoring 114+ points/game on the season against opponent after allowing 63 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games are 7-28 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate for bettors. 

Underdogs of 10 or more points (CHARLOTTE) - poor defensive team - allowing 114+ points/game on the season, after allowing 63 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games are 35-12 ATS L/25 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Charlotte to cover 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

S DAKOTA ST is 7-0 ATS  in home games versus horrible foul drawing teams - attempting 15 or less free throws/game since 1997 with the average ppg diff clicking in at +19.6 ppg. S DAKOTA ST is 6-0 ATS  as a home favorite of 9.5 to 12 points over the last 3 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at +18.5 ppg.

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

ORAL ROBERTS is 9-1 ATS  in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

I know how strong a side TB is but after last weeks record setting event behind future HOG QB Tom Brady that saw them pull out a win in OT vs Buffalo Im betting  will now have this team in a natural letdown spot.  Meanwhile, Saints  remain in the playoff  hunt after their  victory on the road vs  the Jets last week and have motivation and momentum entering this tilt. Note: The Saints are  6-1 ATS in their last seven division r away games. I know which side is the better group, but the great thing about spread betting is that there are edges to be had, taking points with under rated sides. This Im betting is one of them. 

NEW ORLEANS is 6-0 ATS  in road games vs. good passing teams averaging 235 or more passing yards/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.NEW ORLEANS is 9-1 ATS  in road games versus good offensive teams - averaging 350 or more yards/game over the last 3 seasons.

NFL  away team in a tilt  in Sunday Night events  that is coming off a victory of more than 10 points  and than going against  opposition  coming off a pair of wins who won 10 or more games last year are 11-1-1 ATS L/41 seasons. 

NFLHome favorites (TAMPA BAY) - with an incredible offense - averaging 385 or more total yards/game, after gaining 400 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games are 12-36 L/5 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on New Orleans to cover 

The Suns are expected to have Devon Booker back in the lineup tonight for this tilt against the high energy run and gun Charlotte Hornets. From my betting perspective a team like Charlotte that is all offense and no defense, will have a problem with. a team like the Suns that can play a extremely strong  two way game ranking 6th in ppg offense and 4th in ppg defense. With this being the Hornets 4th straight road game, Im betting their tired legs will not support them in this spot play. 

Hornets are 9-20 ATS in their last 29 games as a road underdog.Hornets are 5-13-1 ATS in their last 19 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

Suns are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

NBA Road teams vs. the money line (CHARLOTTE) - after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games against opponent red hot team - having won 18 or more of their last 20 games are 1-42 L/25 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at -12.1 ppg which qualifies on this ATS line.

Play on Phoenix Suns 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

SF has won 10 straight games , but all good and bad runs eventually come to an end. Arizona State has also been playing at high level in their L/3 games defeating Creighton, and Oregon in two of those tilts. Arizona State is 3-0 SU/ATS in this series dating back 23 seasons, and 2-0 SU/ATS at home. 

Play on Arizona State to cover 

 The Broncos  honored  the late Demaryius Thomas who  suddenly died at age 33 the week of this game vs Detroit. The Broncos left everything on the field that day as they took out the banged up  Lions by a 38-10 count. Now in a huge emotional letdown state I betting they will not have the energy needed to get the.cover here vs a Bengals side that is desperate for a win. Note: Bengals QB Joe Burrows is a perfect 3-0 ATS when this team is off 2 consecutive losses.

Bengals are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games.Bengals are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Bengals are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings in Denver.

Broncos are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 vs. AFC. 

Cincinnati to cover 

Urban Meyer’s  short and ugly tenure here in Jacksonville looks to be almost completed .  Its been a horrendous season ,  Meyer has blamed his coaching staff for the problems which has put the entire team in disarray. The Jags have now lost 5 straight and really don't deserve to be this big a favorite , not even against another slumping side the Houston Texans. ....Advantage Texans. 

HOUSTON is 14-4 ATS L/18 after scoring 14 points or less in 2 straight games.

JACKSONVILLE is 0-6 ATS in home games vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 61% or better in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

JACKSONVILLE is 0-6 ATS after being outrushed by 75 or more yards last game over the last 2 seasons. JACKSONVILLE is 2-16 ATS L/18 in home games off 3 or more consecutive unders.

NFL Underdogs or pick (HOUSTON) - after a game where they committed no turnovers against opponent after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse are 25-3 ATS L/5 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors.

Texans are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings in Jacksonville. The underdog has cashed 4 of the L/5 meetings.

Play on Houston to cover 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Baylor is off a huge win vs Villanova last time out and will now be in a letdown state , making them vulnerable to a less than dominating performance in this spot play. 

OREGON is 11-1 ATS versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Altman is 26-12 ATS  in home games vs. dominant rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 7+ per game in all games he has coached since 1997.

Indianapolis has won 4 of their L/5 with the one loss coming to defending champion Tampa Bay by a 38-31 count. Meanwhile, the Pats have been the storyline in the NFL this season, as Bill Belichick cements his future HOF status. The Pats enter this game on a 6 game road winning run, but with said, all good and bad streaks must eventually come to an end and Im betting thats the case here in Indy today.  Ive kept a close eye on the Colts, and after watching them decimate the Bills, Ive come to the conclusion that they are very under rated and with the publics attention squarely on the Pats Ill lay the light lumber with the home side at under a FG. Right or wrong the sharp money will flow into the Colts column. Colts are 12-4-1 ATS in their last 17 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

 Home team has covered 5 of the L/6 meetings in this series.

INDIANAPOLIS is 11-2 ATS vs. good passing teams averaging 7 or more passing yards/att. over the last 2 season.

NFL  team (NEW ENGLAND) - off an upset win over a division rival as an underdog, when playing on a Saturday are 9-32 ATS L/38 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Indianapolis to cover 

Utah State has a had a very successful season and are off pounding a strong San Diego State  side to win the Mountain West title and they must not be underestimated here vs Oregon State. Despite of talent divergence between the PAC 12 and Mountain West from a general perspective, the Aggies have shown themselves an above average group, and Im betting will be competitive today behind a explosive offense. Note: Oregon state has been below average on  D this season and have almost no pass rush, which puts them at a disadvantage against this type of offensive unit. 

Pac-12 bowl teams coming off a victory like Oregon State are just  1-21 ATS L/6 seasons. 

Play on Utah State to cover 

The Celtics worked hard to compete with the Warriors last night, after falling behind by DD in the first half, and now on tired legs and in a letdown spot  in a back to back situation are at a disadvantage vs a hungry Knicks side that has won 8 of 14 away games. 

Knicks are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

Celtics are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite. BOSTON is 5-22 ATS  versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. BOSTON is 6-17 ATS vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Road underdogs (NEW YORK) - average 3PT shooting team (33-36.5%) against an average 3PT defense (33-36.5%), after 2 straight games making 16 or more 3 point shots are 30-9 ATS L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate. 

Play on the NY Knicks to cover 

Central Michigan blasted E.Michigan in their last game of the season by a 31-10 count. The team looked lethargic, and HC Creighton was not happy with the performance. Im betting they bounce back here in their Bowl appearance vs a public fav. (Liberty)  Note: Eastern Michigan HC Creighton has covered 14 straight times in his career as a road underdog when coming off a loss. E MICHIGAN is 20-7 ATS in road games off a road blowout loss by 21 points . Creighton is also 3-0 ATS L/3 Bowl appearances with W.Mich. 

E MICHIGAN is 14-2 ATS L/16 in road games vs. good passing teams like Liberty averaging 8 or more passing yards/att. 

Liberty finished their season failing to cover 3 straight and are fade material here for me today vs under rated and disrespected MAC side.

Play on Eastern Michigan to cover 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

CANISIUS is 9-1 ATS versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game over the last 3 seasons.Witherspoon is 17-3 ATS ( after 3 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 50% or higher in all games he has coached since 1997. 

Whitesell is 10-25 ATS  off an upset win as an underdog in all games he has coached since 1997 (Won at W.Kentucky last time out)

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

N TEXAS is 14-4 ATS  in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.McCasland is 8-1 ATS  in road games after leading their last 3 games by 5+ points at the half as the coach of N TEXAS. 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Smart is 12-2 ATS  as an underdog of 10 or more points in all games he has coached since 1997.

NBA Favorites of 10 to 19.5 points (XAVIER) - after having covered 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread, top level team, winning 80% or more of their games on the season are 97-156 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 62% conversion rate.

According to my power rankings UAB is highly under rated under HC  Bill Clark  who has built the Blazers into a strong cohesive unit.  UAB has looked tough as nails against top tier sides with a .800 or better record  cashing  7 of 9 opportunities  with 5 of those coming in the underdog role.  Considering how strong this Blazers D is allowing just 18.7 ppg on the road this season  Im betting BYU will not easily win this game if at all. 

UAB is 6-0 ATS vs. good passing teams averaging 250 or more passing yards/game. this season. BYU is 0-6 ATS  in road games when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.

CFB Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (UAB) - off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival against opponent after a road game where both teams score 31 points or more are 61-23 ATS L/29 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on UAB to cover 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

 The Rockets are currently showing alot more upward momentum than a Pistons side that has lost 13 straight games. The Road team has won the L/3 meetings in this series. 

 Rockets are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog.Rockets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. Rockets are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games overall.

Pistons are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games as a home favorite.

NBA Road teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (HOUSTON) - off a home loss by 10 points or more against opponent off a road loss are 25-5 L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Houston to cover 

The Nuggets have won 8 straight games and 7 of those tilts were by DD deficits. Now the lines-makers want us to lay hefty lumber again. Im not against taking big favs if the situation warrants, and this is one of those times as San Antonio D has looked very inconsistent of late allowing more than 117 ppg in their L/5 trips to the hardwood. Considering the  kind of groove the Jazz are in  and their No1 ranking in ppg offense in the league does warrant this DD line . Also from a SRS perspective: Utah ranks No.1 in the league with a 10.39 mark, while San Antonio  ranks 20th with a -1.31 mark. Which gives us a 11.5 point divergence without taking into consideration home court advantage. 

SRS - Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average.

NBA Favorites vs. the money line (UTAH) - after 3 straight wins by 10 points or more against opponent after a combined score of 245 points or more are 30-1 L/25 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at  +13.5 ppg.

Play on Utah Jazz to cover 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

CBB home team (TX-SAN ANTONIO) - team from a mid-major division 1-A conference against a team from a weak conference, off an upset win as an underdog are 25-52 L/5 seasons for a go against 68% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on UT  Rio Grande Valley 

Golden State comes into this game with the  NBA's best record at 23-5 SU including 9-3 on the road. After holding New York to 36.1 % shooting (30 of 83), the Warriors are the only team that has not allowed an opponent to shoot 50 % or better from the floor this season and despite of being on the road in a hostile environment matchup very well vs the inconsistent shooting Celtics that have gone  down hill defensively of late. 

GOLDEN STATE is 11-1 ATS after having won 4 of their last 5 games this season.

 GOLDEN STATE is 7-0 ATS   after 2 consecutive non-conference games this season.

NBA Favorites vs. the money line (GOLDEN STATE) - in a game involving two average offensive teams (108-114 PPG), after a combined score of 205 points or less 2 straight games are 44-5 L/25 seasons for a 90% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +9 ppg which qualifies on this ATS line. 

Play on Golden State to cover 

Bahamas Bowl - Thomas Robinson Stadium - Nassau

Toledo is being over rated here, under  HC Candle the Rockets are just 0-3/SU/ATS in Bowl Games and this season going against sides with a .500 record or better failed to cover 4 of 5 times. I know Midd Tennessee State is without their starting QB for this tilt, but are still built to hang with a side like the Rockets when factoring in a  complete depth perspective on both sides of the ball. 

TOLEDO is 9-22 ATS  in road games after 3 or more consecutive straight up wins.TOLEDO is 23-45 ATS L/68  vs. excellent passing teams with a completion pct. of 62% or better. 

Play on Middle Tennessee State to cover 

The Washington Wizards are in a deep nose dive entering this game having lost 6 of their L/7 and and 11 of their L/15 overall including failing to cover 7 straight times. The Wizards also enter this tilt against Phoenix on tired legs as this is their 6th road game in their L/7 games spanning just  10 days. The Suns even without Devon Booker in the lineup Im betting will be primed to take down a  currently in-cohesive and road weary group here in conclusive fashion. 

Wizards are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog.Wizards are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Wizards are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a road underdog.

NBA Road teams vs. the money line (WASHINGTON) - after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games against opponent red hot team - having won 18 or more of their last 20 games are 1-41 L/25 seasons for a go against 91% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at -12 ppg which qualifies here on this offered ATS line. 

Play on Phoenix to cover 

The Chiefs  during their current six-game winning streak, have forced 16 turnovers and allowed an average of 311.7 yards and just 10.9 ppg. The D, is merging at a high level with the offense, and in their current form are in top form and a formidable opponent for the Chargers . Add to that Reid and company have revenge on board for a loss suffered in last September back in KC and you have a viable favorite to back this Thursday night. Reid is 21-8 ATS in road games revenging a home loss against opponent in all games he has coached .

The Chiefs have won seven straight road games against the Chargers. 

Note:  Road favorites in ’ Thursday games have  won by an average of  -10.1 points per game this season. Rinse and repeat bet here in motion  with the Favorite. 

KANSAS CITY is 7-0 ATS vs. mistake prone teams - 60+ penalty yards per game over the last 2 seasons.KANSAS CITY is 7-0 ATS after allowing 7 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons. Reid is 7-0 ATS  after 3 straight wins by 10 or more points as the coach of KANSAS CITY.

LA CHARGERS are 2-13 ATS after gaining 400 or more total yards in their previous game over the last 3 seasons.LA CHARGERS are 1-9 ATS  after a dominating performance - 34+ minutes TOP, 24+ First downs over the last 3 seasons.

NFL Home teams (LA CHARGERS) - out-gaining opponent by 70 or more passing yards/game on the season, after gaining 7 or more passing yards/attempt in 2 straight games are 13-36 ATS L/10 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on KC Chiefs to cover 

NYK has hypothetically  crashed burned having lost 7 of their L/8 games. The team as a whole has disappointed and are showing very little resiliency. Meanwhile, Houston has been mostly  competitive  and recently 7 straight games. The Rockets have cooled off a bit of late losing 3 of their L/4 but the losses came to Memphis Cleveland and Bucks . With that said, the Knicks are no where near the consistency of those sides and in no way shape or form should be this big favorite in their current form especially here on the road where the Rockets have won 6 of their L/7 games as hosts. Note:Knicks are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.

Rockets are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a home underdog. Rockets are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games as an underdog.

Play on Houston to cover 

The Sixers  who have lost 2 straight and not been able to breach the 96 point plateau on offense in 3 of their L/4 tilts may or may not have often injured or just exhausted - Joel Embiid in the lineup tonight . If the 76ers star  does play he may not get the minutes he usually gets or may not be as effective.  Meanwhile Harden is not expected to play for the Nets, but there is still more than enough depth here at home for them to take this tilt. The Nets won the most recent meeting back on Oct 22 this season.  PHILADELPHIA is 6-17 ATS  in road games revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points over the last 3 seasons

76ers are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.

.

NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (BROOKLYN) - average offensive team (108-114 PPG) against a poor offensive team (104-108 PPG), after a combined score of 245 points or more are 38-3 L/25 seasons for a 93% conversion rate.

Play on Brooklyn to cover 

Memphis is in top form as they look for their  ninth victory in 10 games without Jay  Morant. The Grizzlies are in a positive flow, while their hosts tonight the  Blazers have now lost 5 straight games at home and 6 overall and  are in free fall. Considering the Grizzlies have revenge on board for a 116-96 loss back in October here in Portland Im betting they will come in here wide awake and ready for revenge. 

PORTLAND is 1-8 ATS  as an underdog this season. 

NBA Favorites vs. the money line (MEMPHIS) - revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, off a home blowout win by 20 points or more are 35-5 L/5 seasons for a 88% conversion rate. 

Play on Memphis to cover 

The Spurs have been competitive of late, but from a matchup perspective I feel Charlotte has the edge on the spread. I know Charlotte has not exactly been looking cohesive of late, but they continue to be under rated by the lines-makers as they have 12-3-1 ATS L/15 overall behind the 2nd ranked ppg offense in the league. 

SAN ANTONIO is 4-20 ATS   in home games after having won 2 of their last 3 games over the last 3 seasons.

CHARLOTTE is 29-12 ATS L/39 when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) over the last 3 seasons.

NBA Road teams (CHARLOTTE) - after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team are 32-8 ATS L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Charlotte to cover 

Lakers have been playing decently of late, but are  0-7 ATS  after having won 3 of their last 4 games this season. Consistency has been an issue, and tonight Im betting on the Mavs beating out the senior often injured and exhausted group of Davis and James.    LA LAKERS and   are 2-13 ATS off a home win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons .

LA LAKERS are 4-16 ATS ( in a road game where the total is 210 to 219.5 over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Home teams vs. the money line (DALLAS) - after beating the spread by more than 12 points in two consecutive games against opponent after going under the total by more than 18 points in their previous game are 61-19 L/25 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (DALLAS) - after beating the spread by 24 or more points total in their last three games, first half of the season are 50-22 ATS L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Dallas to cover 

Houston is playing very competitive ball of late, but this is a young team, that Im betting will find the sledding tough vs a Cleveland team that is also playing at a high level, and well aware of how well their opponents have been performing. Look for a Cavaliers side that will not be caught napping to be in top form tonight vs a up-trending opponent. 

Cavaliers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite. Cavaliers are 15-3 ATS in their last 18 games playing on 1 days rest. Cavaliers are 22-5 ATS in their last 27 games overall.

 CLEVELAND is 19-4 ATS  versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 or less free throws/game this season. CLEVELAND is 12-1 ATS  after covering 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread this season.CLEVELAND is 8-1 ATS sub par poor offensive teams - scoring 108 or less points/game this season

NBA Favorites vs. the money line (CLEVELAND) - after 3 straight wins by 10 points or more against opponent after a combined score of 245 points or more are 29-1 L/25 seasons for a 97% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +12.3 ppg which qualifies on this ATS line. 

Play on Cleveland to cover 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Golden State had to work hard for a win last night in Indiana , and now on tired legs as they play back to back games and 3 games in 4nights on the road . With that said, Im betting the Warriors who have played all out for weeks now at a disadvantage in this  spot situation vs a desperate and underperforming side that will be looking for some quick fix redemption and momentum going forward. Note: Warriors are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up win

NEW YORK is 18-7 ATS  in home games after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games over the last 3 seasons.NEW YORK is 35-22 ATS   versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots over the last 2 seasons.

Kerr is 29-46 ATS against Atlantic division opponents as the coach of GOLDEN STATE.

Play on NYK to cover

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Skerry is 0-9 ATS  in home games after covering 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread as the coach of TOWSON ST.

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Washington is struggling having lost 4 of their L/5 games , with the one win coming by 3 points vs lowly Detroit. I know Denver has also been less than consistent, but its never easy for opponents to play in the Mile High city and home court advantage Im betting will be the difference maker tonight.

DENVER is 20-7 ATS L/27 after 3 straight games committing 4+ less turnovers than opponents.

NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (WASHINGTON) - off a home loss by 10 points or more, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are !6-43 ATS L/5 seasons for  go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Denver Nuggets to cover 

Arizona QB Murray is an exciting athlete, and this sometimes overshadows his teams overall performances especially on D , where they have been out-yarded in 3 of their L/5 games. Add to that Arizonas 1-7 ATS record in its L/7 tilts  as a division host, and you have what Im betting against is an over rated side. Meanwhile, the Rams after a rough run -came out last time out with a get right effort winning by a 37-7 vs Jacksonville and now have momentum heading in this prime time tilt. 

Note: Arizona has failed to cover  10 of their L/12 at  home on Monday Nights . Cardinals HC Kingsbury is 0-4 SU/ATS L/4 at home as a 6 or less point favorite. 

McVay is 10-2 ATS in road games after failing to cover the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games as the coach of LA RAMS. McVay is 21-11 ATS  in road games against conference opponents as the coach of LA RAMS. Rams are 4-0 SU/ATS L/4 divisional battles and have won their L/2 visits to Arizona and are 8-1 ATS L/9 meetings overall in this series.

ARIZONA is 0-6 ATS versus good offensive teams - averaging 350  or more yards/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. ARIZONA is 0-6 ATS  in home games in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons

NFL Road underdogs or pick (LA RAMS) - after failing to cover the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games against opponent after covering the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games are 27-5 ATS L/5 seasons for a 84% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the LA Rams to cover 

Philadelphia is off a big upset win vs Golden State last time out, and will now be in a emotional and energetic letdown spot vs a side that plays teams tough at home with or without Jay Morant. Memphis is a tight cohesive group that has won 7 of their L/8 games and deserve respect here at home getting points.  

76ers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite. 76ers are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win . 

Grizzlies are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog. 

PHILADELPHIA is 3-14 ATS  in road games versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game over the last 3 seasons.

Play on Memphis to cover 

The Warriors are off a loss last time out vs Philadelphia as super star Curry struggled to convert from the field  and will now be primed for a bounce back effort this evening in Indiana. Warriors are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up loss.

GOLDEN STATE is 16-7 ATS  as a favorite this season.

INDIANA is 3-13 ATS in home games versus teams who make 14 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 3 seasons.

NBA Road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (GOLDEN STATE) - off a upset loss as a favorite against opponent off a home win are 38-14 ATS L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Warriors are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Indiana.

Play on the Warriors to cover 

Cleveland has won 3 straight and 7 of their L/9 and are playing at a very  high level entering this game and deserve respect here as favs on this line vs a Heat side, that will be playing without Jimmy Butler .

CLEVELAND is 18-4 ATS versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 or less free throws/game this season. CLEVELAND is 11-1 ATS  after covering 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread this season.  CLEVELAND is 8-1 ATS  after a win by 10 points or more this season.

NBA Road underdogs of +145 to +350 vs. the money line (MIAMI) - revenging a loss vs opponent, off a win by 15 points or more as an underdog are 1-35 L/5 seasons with the average ppg diff -13.8 ppg which qualifies from ATS perspective. 

Play on Cleveland to cover 

 The Kings continue to have defensive problems  allowing a whopping 116.9 ppg on the road this season and those deficiencies will be their downfall tonight vs a Toronto team that has won 3 of their L/4 games, and defeated this Kings team by a 108-89 score back in mid November. 

TORONTO is 22-9 ATS  after a win by 6 points or less over the last 3 seasons . TORONTO is 15-5 ATS  after a combined score of 195 points or less over the last 3 seasons.

NBA Favorites (TORONTO) - after going under the total by 30 or more points total in their last three games, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a losing teamare 61-26 ATS L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate.

Orlando played the LA Clippers tough yesterday and lost by a 108-106 score as 8.5 point dogs, and today Im betting they are being slightly under rated again and are viable underdogs on this DD offering. Meanwhile, the Lakers have had a habit of taking defacto nights off vs lower tier opponents like Orlando , and Im betting this is one of them. 

LA LAKERS are 1-10 ATS  versus poor shooting teams - making 43% or less of their shots over the last 2 seasons. LA LAKERS are 9-23 ATS   versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons. 

LA LAKERS are 6-14 ATS as a favorite this season. LA LAKERS are 1-8 ATS  after a game where they covered the spread this season.

LA LAKERS are 2-15 ATS   after allowing 95 points or less over the last 2 seasons.

NBA team (ORLANDO) - off 3 or more consecutive road losses, playing on back-to-back days are 31-9 ATS L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Orlando Magic to cover 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

RUTGERS is 6-0 ATS  versus very good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 39% or less over the last 2 seasons.RUTGERS is 7-0 ATS  off an upset win as a home underdog of 7 or more points ( Beat Purdue 70-68) Pikiell is 20-7 ATS (  versus good defensive teams - allowing 64 or less points/game as the coach of RUTGERS. 

SETON HALL is 15-36 ATS L/51 in home games after a win by 6 points or less. (Beat Texas 64-60)

Play on Rutgers to cover

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

CFL Playoffs - 108TH GREY CUP

Blue Bombers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite and are being over rated here in a game I have pegged as a pickem. Blue Bombers are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games as a road favorite. Meanwhile, the Tiger-Cats are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games. and  are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 playoff home games.

HAMILTON is 8-1 ATS versus good defensive teams - giving up 23 or less points/game - after 9 or more games over the last 3 seasons. HAMILTON is 6-0 ATS  versus good defensive teams - allowing 340 or less  yards/game - after 9 or more games over the last 3 seasons. HAMILTON is 8-0 ATS  after allowing 50 or less rushing yards last game over the last 3 seasons.  HAMILTON is 8-1 ATS  in home games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.

O'Shea is 0-6 ATS  in road games after allowing 300 or less total yards/game over their last 3 games as the coach of WINNIPEG.

CFB team vs the money line (WINNIPEG) - after 2 or more consecutive losses against the spread, a top-level team (75% or better) playing a team with a winning record in the second half of the season are 5-21 SU L/25 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate.

Play on Hamilton to cover 

This tilt  behind top tier sides Buffalo and Tampa Bay has the makings of game that will decided late and by one score, most probably a FG according to the linesmakers, making getting the hook with the points a strong opportunity for bankroll expansion. Tom Brady is the marquee name in this tilt, and lives with a cloak of invincibility around him, but he's not made of titanium, and eventually father time will get the best of him. Actually Ive noticed his legs have let him down on more than one occasion the last few seasons, and today vs a fast and explosive Buffalo D, his lack of mobility wont allow him the time he usually gets . What Im saying is that if TB wins it wont come easily. Advantage on the line goes to the Bills. 

BUFFALO is 6-0 ATS in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

The Buccaneers have been favored by 3.5 points or more 10 times this season and are 5-5 ATS in those contests. Buccaneers are 3-10-2 ATS in their last 15 games in Week 14.

 Buffalo is 5-2 overall, and 5-2 against the spread, on the road.The Bills are 4-2 ATS as 3.5-point underdogs or more on the road.

NFL Underdogs or pick (BUFFALO) - off an upset loss to a division rival as a favorite, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season are 48-19 ATS L/39 seasons for a 72%. conversion rate for bettors. Note: Bills are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss.

Play on Buffalo to cover

Both Cincinnati and San Francisco are both off losses. I thought the 49ers should have won their game vs Seattle , and deserve respect here on the road as essentially a pickem vs a Cincinnati team that is off a less than cohesive loss, and downtrending in my power rankings, especially with QB Joe Burrows hand injury( pinky finger). Todays difference maker will come via both sides offenses where the Bengals rank 24th in their passing game  and just  20th with their ground attack. While the 49ers are fourth via the pass  and ranked  sixth with their run game. 

SAN FRANCISCO is 21-7 ATS off an upset loss as a road favorite

CINCINNATI is 0-6 ATS  in home games versus good offensive teams - averaging 350 or more  yards/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Play on San Francisco to cover 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Villanova's two losses this season came to UCLA and Purdue, two teams that Baylor ranks above in my own rankings. Baylor has the better offense with a much faster flow pattern  and have an edge in interior play. 

BAYLOR is 7-0 ATS  vs. top caliber teams - outscoring their opponents by 12+ points/game over the last 2 seasons. BAYLOR is 6-0 ATS  versus good 3 point shooting teams - making  37%  or better of their attempts over the last 3 seasons.BAYLOR is 7-0 ATS after allowing 55 points or less over the last 2 seasons.  

NBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (VILLANOVA) - after 4 or more consecutive wins against opponent after 7 or more consecutive wins are 3-24 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 89% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Baylor to cover 

QB Cam Newton  of the Panthers looked horrendous last time out going   5-for-21 for 92 yards in a 33-10 loss to the Dolphins and the coaching staff said they wont make any changes this week. This reminds me of statement by Albert Einstein, that went something like this " doing the same thing over and over again and expecting different results is a form of insanity. Yes, maybe Im exaggerating a bit, but thats how I feel about that decision, and feel strongly that the Falcons prove me right this week, at least from a cover standpoint. Note: The Last 14 times that Newton has been the favorite the Panthers have only covered 3 times. I know Atlanta may not inspire bettors, but  have been money in the bank from a historical perspective in this series going 9-2 SU/ATS . Note: Yes, the Panthers are well rested and off a bye but the Falcons have cashed 4 of their L/5 against these types of teams. 

CAROLINA is 0-6 ATS in home games vs. excellent passing teams with a completion pct. of 64% or better in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. CAROLINA is 3-12 ATS  in home games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.

NFL Road underdogs (ATLANTA) - in a game involving two marginal losing teams (40 to 49%) are 23-4 ATS L/10 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors.

NFL Home teams (CAROLINA) - average offensive team (4.9 to 5.4 YPP) against a team with a poor defense (5.4 to 5.8 YPP) are 17-46 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Atlanta  to cover 

This is just to many points even though the Texans don't look like a viable side to back , especially if you watched their last game where they were shutout .  But pros do not like to be embarrassed and Im betting on a semblance of a bounce back here from the Texans at home. You have to remember Seattle has not looked good recently  despite of finding the win column last time out  and have been out-yarded in each of its last 11 trips to the gridiron this season. Bottom line no matter which way I slice it and handicap this game, this is just to many points to pass up on  with the pup as the favorite is just being plain over rated. Note: HC Carrol is 1-5 ATS L/6 as a 3 or more road fav and has covered just 5 of this L/16 coming off a SU underdog win. 

HOUSTON is 14-3 ATS L/17 after scoring 14 points or less in 2 straight games.  HOUSTON is 17-6 ATS L/23 in home games off a home loss. 

SEATTLE is 0-6 ATS in road games vs. awful passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 64% or worse in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. SEATTLE is 0-7 ATS in road games in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons

NFL Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (HOUSTON) - a horrible offensive team (14 or less  PPG) against an average defensive team (18-23 PPG), after scoring 14 points or less in 2 straight games are 54-22 ATS L/38 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Houston to cover 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Wyoming 8-1 on the season,  and own the advantage in the high altitudes, of Laramie , but their opponents today Utah Valley already showed their ability to work in the thin air as they covered vs Southern Utah last time out in Cedar City and have proven themselves well conditioned enough to compete and thrive way above sea level. You have to also remember this Utah Valley side  beat BYU recently and deserve respect here as underdogs behind a strong defense and top tier rebounding. , and timely shooting on offense behind star Canuck import Fardaws Aimaq who averages 20.4 ppg.

key trend: WYOMING is 0-6 ATS in home games versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game over the last 3 seasons.

UTAH VALLEY ST is 12-4 ATS  versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. UTAH VALLEY ST is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42%  or less over the last 2 seasons.

Play on Utah Valley to cover

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

When these teams played a couple days ago here the Spurs came out on top and showed they matchup well vs the Nuggets. Rinse and repeat. 

DENVER is 6-18 ATS L/24  revenging a road loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons. 

NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (SAN ANTONIO) - after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games, with a losing record are 36-9 L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Spurs to cover 

Houston ranks 27th in SRS: -7.09 and 22nd in ppg offense and 26th in ppg defense. Meanwhile, Memphis is ranked 9th in ppg offense and own a ranking of 12th in SRS at 0.63. Add in the edges for home court advantage and I will not be surprised by a DD victory for the home side. 

SRS - Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average.

HOUSTON is 13-24 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons.MEMPHIS is 13-1 ATS after 3 or more consecutive unders over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Favorites of -165 to -500 vs. the money line (MEMPHIS) - an average offensive team (108-114 PPG) against an avg. defensive team (108-114 PPG), after a combined score of 205 points or less 2 straight games are 37-2 L/25 seasons for a 95% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +11.4 ppg which qualifies from a ATS perspective. 

NBA team (MEMPHIS) - an average offensive team (108-114 PPG) against an avg. defensive team (108-114 PPG), after a combined score of 205 points or less 2 straight games are 72-38 ATS L/25 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors.

Memphis to cover 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

The Magic have some offensive momentum coming into this tilt against the LA Clippers, scoring 130 points last time out which is a good omen for those of us who feel taking points here is a good opportunity for profit taking. Note: The Magic are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game. I know the Magic will not inspire bettors and the Clippers are the superior side, but here in a very early afternoon game in LA the visitors Im betting have the edge, vs a side that could easily over looking them. Note: Lue is 7-19 ATS  when playing against a terrible team (Win Pct. 25% or less ) in all games he has coached since 1999. 

LA CLIPPERS are 0-8 ATS in a home game where the total is 210 to 219.5 this season.Clippers are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games playing on 2 days rest.Clippers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a home favorite. 

Play on Orlando Magic to cover 

We are expected to have cloudy skies a few showers and some overall less than favorable weather with temps around 50 degrees F. We know these teams use the triple option as their go to means for the moving the ball and nothing will change today. With that said, Im expecting a ground war, here between these military schools, with the points looking to be golden in what Im betting will be very close affair. I know Navy's record is not a feature that makes bettors feel comfortable , but remember the Middies made play off side Cincinnati work hard for a 27-20 win last month and must not be disrespected in what this team will be treating as their biggest game of the season.

ARMY is 19-41 ATS  after a bye week since 1992

CFB Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (NAVY) - after going over the total by 28 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going over the total by 35 or more points total in their last five games are 51-20 ATS L/29 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Navy Midshipman to cover 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

 The Wolves have lost 4 straight, but are still uptrending in my power rankings charts and deserve respect here when Karl-Anthony Towns  is in the lineup , which he is expected to be tonight. The Timberwolves' big man is averaging a team-high 24.2 points and 9.3 rebounds this season, and will be a handful for Cleveland D to defend against. Advantage Wolves. 

Timberwolves are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up loss.

CLEVELAND is 9-28 ATS when playing 8 or more games in 14 days over the last 2 seasons and is 12-33 ATS  when playing 6 or more games in 10 days over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Underdogs vs the money line (CLEVELAND) - after a win by 10 points or more against opponent after a huge blowout loss by 30 or more are 8-32 L/25 seasons for a go against  84% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Favorites (MINNESOTA) - after failing to cover 4 of their last 5 against the spread against opponent after having covered 2 of their last 3 against the spread are 146-91 ATS L/5 seasons for a 62% conversion rate for bettors. 

Cavaliers are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

Play on Minnesota to cover 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

The Knicks are not living up to their hefty expectations to this point in the season, and have not won back to back games since Oct. The Knicks have lost 4 of their L/5 and are once again looking vulnerable vs a Toronto team that may not be of championship calibre anymore, but are a team to watch with a group of young players that have shown flashes of brilliance and cohesiveness this season. Note:Knicks are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record. Knicks are 0-8 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Toronto.

NBA  teams where the line is +3 to -3 (TORONTO) - after going under the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a losing team are 35-12 ATS L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Toronto to cover 

 Denver won last time out, but have not won back to back games since Nov 14 and are fade material here vs a Spurs team that has lost two straight prior to a 4 game win streak. Denver took a 102 -96 win at home back in October, and in their current form I expect a  Popovich  lead group to that  is 30-15 ATS  revenging a road loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons to collect the money in this spot play. Spurs are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog.

Malone is 48-66 ATS  against Southwest division opponents as the coach of DENVER. Nuggets are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games as a road favorite.

NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (SAN ANTONIO) - after beating the spread by 42 or more points total in their last seven games against opponent after going over the total by more than 18 points in their previous game are 56-26 L/25 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on San Antonio to cover 

Pittsburgh is off a huge win last time vs Baltimore to keep their play off hopes alive but now they will be caught in an emotional letdown spot vs a Minnesota Viking side that is desperate for a win after back to back losses including one to formerly winless Detroit last time out. Note: Vikings Zimmer is  25-7-1 ATS  in non-division tilts in his career when coming off a defeat, including 11-1 ATS against  AFC opposition. Zimmer is 13-3 ATS after a loss by 3 or less points as the coach of MINNESOTA.

NFL team (PITTSBURGH) - off an upset win as a home underdog, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team in the second half of the season are 4-24 ATS L/38 seasons for a go against  86% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Minnesota Vikings to cover 

The Grizzlies looked  asleep at the proverbial wheel last night  as their  five-game winning streak ended  vs Dallas in an emotionless effort. After exerting very little effort last night Im betting they will have plenty of energy left in the tank for the second half of a back-to-back against the visiting Los Angeles Lakers on Thursday. Advantage Grizzlies. 

MEMPHIS is 17-6 ATS when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) over the last 2 seasons. MEMPHIS is 12-1 ATS  after 3 or more consecutive unders over the last 2 seasons.

LA LAKERS are 5-13 ATS  as a favorite this season. LA LAKERS are 2-12 ATS  off a home win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. 

NBA Home teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (MEMPHIS) - revenging a close loss vs opponent of 3 points or less, with a winning record on the season are 35-7 L/25 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Home teams (MEMPHIS) - an average offensive team (108-114 PPG) against an avg. defensive team (108-114 PPG), after a combined score of 205 points or less 2 straight games are 43-16 ATS L/15 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Seton Hall is expected to have Aiken in the lineup tonight, even though he's listed as questionable. That makes Seton Hall win  a viable betting option tonight. Even if the Pirates guard does not play they are still deep enough according to my projections to come out of this with a victory. 

TEXAS is 1-10 ATS when playing only their 2nd game in 8 days over the last 2 seasons.TEXAS is 0-7 ATS when playing with 5 or 6 days rest over the last 3 seasons.SETON HALL is 15-3 ATS  after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.Beard is 1-10 ATS in road games after 2 straight games where they were called for 15 or less fouls in all games he has coached.

Seton Hall to cover

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.