Philadelphia is on a 7 game win streak that Im betting will be in jeopardy here on Christmas day vs a Knicks side that had a 8 game win streak end recently and are now desperate to rebound after two consecutive losses. Most of the 76ers success has come at home this season, but on the road they are just 5-7 and recently lost 3 straight road games before their current streak , which was all achieved at home. 

Knicks are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

NEW YORK is 27-13 ATS  at home when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons.

NBA Home teams vs. the money line (NEW YORK) - off an upset loss as a home favorite against opponent off 3 or more consecutive home wins are 61-32 L/26 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA Road favorites (PHILADELPHIA) - off 2 or more consecutive home wins, on Sunday games are 8-31 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (NEW YORK) - after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 47-18 L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate.

Play on the NYK to cover

 Kansas City clinched  the AFC West last week, and could easily find themselves in a letdown spot here this week vs a  Seattle side Im sure they are overlooking. As the season winds down the Chiefs could start to rest some of their walking wounded  more often and with Seattle still with an outside chance to make the playoffs I expect Pete Carrolls Seahawks  will play hard here  and get us the cover. . 

Reid is 0-8 ATS in home games after 3 consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse in all games he has coached since 1992.

Carroll is 19-6 ATS  in a road game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 points as the coach of SEATTLE.

KANSAS CITY is 4-21 ATS  after gaining 6 or more yards/play in 4 consecutive games since 1992.

KANSAS CITY is 1-9 ATS  after scoring 30 points or more in 2 straight games over the last 3 season

Carroll is 19-4 ATS after 2 or more consecutive losses as the coach of SEATTLE

Carroll is 12-2 ATS in road games vs. excellent passing teams averaging 7.5 or more passing yards/att. as the coach of SEATTLE

Reid is 2-9 ATS in home games after a dominating performance - 34+ minutes TOP, 24+ First downs as the coach of KANSAS CITY

NFL Favorites (KANSAS CITY) - solid team - outgaining their opponents by 0.75 or more yards/play, after gaining 400 or more total yards/game over their last 3 games are 18-60 ATS L/5 seasons for a 77% go against conversion rate.

Seahawks to cover 

Cleveland has Watkins back under center-  Browns are 2-1 since Watson returned. He completed 18 of 28 passes for 161 yards in a 13-3 victory against Baltimore in his home debut in nasty conditions last Saturday. With this Saturday includes a 48 percent chance of snow, winds gusting beyond 30 mph and a high temperature of 13 degrees before factoring wind chill its going to be a ugly weather situation one that does not favor the dome side New Orleans.

Saints are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win which was the case last time out. 

Browns are 3-0 ATS L/3 in this series and 8-1 L/9 vs AFC South opposition. 

Browns are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 Saturday games.

NEW ORLEANS is 0-6 ATS versus good rushing teams - averaging 4.5 or more rushing yards/carry in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. NEW ORLEANS is 9-24 ATS against AFC North division opponents since 1992. NEW ORLEANS is 0-6 ATS  after allowing 3 points or less in the first half last game over the last 2 seasons. NEW ORLEANS is 0-6 ATS ( after playing a game at home this season.

NFL Underdogs vs. the money line (NEW ORLEANS) - after going under the total by 49 or more points total in their last seven games, in the last 4 weeks of the regular season are 1-26 L/5 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at -11.3 which qualifies on this ATS offering. 

NFL team vs the money line (CLEVELAND) - off a win by 10 points or more over a division rival, in the last 4 weeks of the regular season are 38-9 L/5 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at +8.2 which qualifies on this ATS offering. 

Play on Browns to cover 

Last week the Vikings garnered a huge come from behind win scoring 33 points to outlast the Indianapolis Colts by a 39-36 count. That clinched their division and play off birth and now Im betting they are in a huge emotional letdown situation that could easily effect them here today vs a hungry NY Giants side. It must also be noted that Vikings have been out yarded in 5 of their L/6 trips to the gridiron and have been involved in 10 one score games this season. I know the Gmen may not inspire us, but they have cashed 7 of 9 as dogs, under HC Dabol and are viable investment options in this spot play. .

Vikings are 1-6 ATS L/7 vs NFC East opposition. 

NFL Home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (MINNESOTA) - hot team, after having won 8 or more out of their last 10 games, top level team, winning 75% or more of their games, in the second half of the season are 7-26 ATS L/5 seasons for a 79% go against conversion rate. 

NFL Home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (MINNESOTA) - good offensive team - scoring 24 or more points/game, after a win by 3 or less points are 16-37 L/10 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Giants to cover

 New England lost a strange game last week, brain farts galore by some players best describes it. I wont get into it here, but it was embarrassing. Pros do not like to be embarrassed and coach Bellichick Im sure will have his team ready for redemption  against a red hot Bengals side that is on a 6-0 run.

Patriots are  6-1  ATS L7 in this series . and 4-1-1 L/6 vs AFC North opposition. NEW ENGLAND is 6-0 straight up against CINCINNATI since 1992. 

Patriots HC Bill Belichick is 14-0 ATS as a non-division dog coming off a loss with New England.

NEW ENGLAND is 26-12 ATS  as a home underdog since 1992.

Play on Patriots to cover 

The Pacers despite of not being productive in the win column have been mostly competitive of late not losing by more than 7 points in their L/8 trips to the hardwood. Tonight Im betting they keep up their current never say die  form and get us a cover a road dogs. the Pacers are fairly fresh and have had a lighter schedule of late and this will aid them tonight and keeping this game closer than the offered line.  INDIANA is 7-0 ATS   when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days this season. 

Carlisle is 35-19 ATS   after 2 straight games being called for 5+ more fouls than opponent in all games he has coached.

MIAMI is 3-11 ATS ) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season.

Play on Indiana to cover 

Dallas was pummeled  6-3 at home last time out and will now be primed to take out their frustrations against the struggling Montreal /Canadians. DALLAS is 72-38 ATS   off a home blowout loss by 3 goals or more since 1996. Dallas beat the Habs 5-2 earlier this season in the visitors role and now Im betting on a similar rinse repeat situation at home tonight. 

MONTREAL is 0-11 ATS   after playing a game where 3 or fewer total goals were scored over the last 2 seasons with the average gpg diff clicking at -2.9. (they lost 2-1 to Colorado and will now be in a letdown spot. )

Home Favorites of -200 to -300 against the money line (DALLAS) - extremely tired team - playing 8 or more games in 14 days, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season are 28-0 L/5 seasons with the average gpg diff clicking in at +2.3 which qualifies on this puckline offer. 

Play on the Dallas Starts to win on the puck-line 

Detroit after 4 straight losses is in desperation mode and Atlanta has been very inconsistent this season thus far and recently lost 3 of their L/5 SU  -making them according to my power rankings weak favs on this type of line offering. The line according to my projections should be -7. With a full possession advantage Im recommending we take the points.  Pistons are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Pistons are 20-8-2 ATS in their last 30 road games

ATLANTA is 1-11 ATS   in home games in December games over the last 2 seasons. 

DETROIT is 39-20 ATS  after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons. Casey is 55-32 ATS after 4 or more consecutive losses in all games he has coached since 1996.  NBA team vs the money line (DETROIT) - struggling  defensive team - allowing 118+ points/game on the season, after 2 straight blowout losses by 15 points or more have won 20 of their L/33 opportunities SU with the average ppg diff clicking in at +0.5 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. 

NBA Road teams (DETROIT) - sub standard defensive team - allowing 114+ points/game on the season, after 2 straight blowout losses by 15 points or more are 31-9 ATS L/26 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Detroit to cover 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Bucknell ranks 33rd nationally in opponent field-goal percentage (.389), and the Bison are one of only two teams in the nation shooting over 50% while holding opponents under 40%. Its a tall order but Im betting Bucknell keeps it close enough for the cover via top tier offensive and defensive  shooting skills. Bison are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

RUTGERS is 4-13 ATS  in home games on Friday nights since 1997

Play on Bucknell to cover

The Jags are finally playing top brand of football behind  ,QB Trevor Lawrence  who now leads the NFL in passer rating (111.2) and completion percentage,  (14 TDs, 1 int)   going back to Week 9 . Tonight he will be challenged by a top tier D, but probably wont have to worry about going back and forth as the Jets offense is extremely atrocious. With the Jags still in the race for play off spot Im betting they get the job done with an all out effort and more importantly as far as we are concerned get the cover. 

Jaguars are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 vs. AFC. Jaguars are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.

Jets are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 Thursday games.

Play on Jacksonville Jags to cover

Air Force behind their triple option offense  is ranked  No. 1 in the nation  in Time of Possession and Im betting they burn plenty of clock time and slow down Baylors offensive prowess because of breaking up their flow.  The Fly boys are also No. 1 team in the nation in Overall Defense and must not be disrespected in their ability to slow down a strong Baylor attack… The Falcons have also had great success in Bowl games cashing  10 of their   last 13 bowl games.  With Big 12 sides just 0-3 L/3 vs Military schools and Baylor having lost  5 of their L/7 here at this venue SU its an easy decision to grab the points with the under rated underdog. 

Calhoun is 29-11 ATS  when the total is between 42.5 and 49 as the coach of AIR FORCE

NFL Neutral field underdogs (AIR FORCE) - excellent ball control team, 32 or more possession minutes/game are 75-36 L/10 seasons for a 68% conversion rate.

Play on Air Force to cover 

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Chicago State to cover

New Orleans Bowl - Caesars Superdome - New Orleans, LA

Western Kentuckys explosive big play offense can do damage against the best of Defenses. Im usually a proponent of strong defenses in Bowl games, but like I said the Hilltoppers can make strong Ds like South /Alabama owns  look very average as the football program has registered  350 or more yards  of offense in 27 straight games.

S ALABAMA is 5-15 ATS L/20  in road games when playing against a team with a winning record .

W KENTUCKY is 21-9 ATS L/30 as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points. W KENTUCKY is 32-13 ATS L/45 vs. mistake prone teams - 60+ penalty yards per game. Helton is 15-6 ATS  in road games in games played on turf as the coach of W KENTUCKY.

Western Kentucky is 3-0 SU/ATS in bowl games vs. .666  or better opposition and are a bankroll expanding 13-2 ATS as a dog vs. Sun Belt foes and 11-3 ITS against Bowl sides since last season.

Play on Western Kentucky to cover 

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Utah has a huge win against Arizona, but Im betting they are over rated. I know TCU started slowly this season, but with  starting guard Damion Baugh back in the lineup the team is 4-0 SU since his return and up trending  quickly. 

UTAH is 1-9 ATS  versus poor 3 point shooting teams - making 31% or less  of their attempts over the last 2 seasons.

UTAH is 1-11 ATS   when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons.UTAH is 1-9 ATS   after 2 straight games giving up 9 or less offensive rebounds over the last 2 seasons.

TCU is 12-3 ATS   when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) over the last 2 seasons.

Play on TCU ( LATE STEAM)

Orlando is in a groove of late, and previous to 1 point loss to Atlanta last time out, had won 6 straight SU and have now covered 8 straight. Tonight Im betting they continue their top tier play on the road vs inconsistent Houston side, that has lost 3 straight games.

HOUSTON is 2-12 ATS   in home games off 2 consecutive home losses of 10 points or more. Silas is 3-13 ATS  in home games versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game as the coach of HOUSTON.Silas is 3-17 ATS  in home games after 2 straight losses by 10 points or more as the coach of HOUSTON.

NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (HOUSTON) - off an upset loss as a home favorite against opponent off a road loss are 7-30 ATS L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Road teams (ORLANDO) - off a close loss by 3 points or less to a division rival are 41-18 ATS L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Orlando Magic to cover 

The Celtics looked tired after an extensive 6 game road trip and then came home and showed their exhaustion in two straight losses to a well conditioned  Orlando side that was in a groove. Now with a few days rest and finally acclimated to home cooking Im betting we the Celtics at their very best vs a the inconsistent Pacers who has lost 4 of their L/5 and 9 of 15 road tilts this season.. 

BOSTON is 12-1 ATS  after having lost 4 of their last 5 games over the last 3 seasons.

BOSTON is 8-0 ATS ( in home games off 2 or more consecutive upset losses as a favorite over the last 3 season

NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (BOSTON) - an excellent offensive team (>=118 PPG) against a poor defensive team (114-118 PPG) are 30-1 L/26 seasons for a 97% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +31, which qualifies on this ATS offering. 

NBA Home teams vs. the money line (BOSTON) - after failing to cover 4 of their last 5 against the spread, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a losing record are 47-2 L/5 seasons for a 96% conversion rate, with the average ppg diff registering at +14.4 which qualifies on this ATS offering. 

Play on the Celtics to cover 

 The Bucks' 128-119 win over the Pelicans was an intense physically grueling affair that Im betting directly effects their ability to sustain the energy needed to defeat a talented Cleveland team tonight on the road. Cleveland, which has won four in a row, blasted their way  122-99 win over the Utah Jazz at home on Monday night  and in their current form look capable of taking out the Bucks here as hosts tonight. where they are 15-2 on the season.

CLEVELAND is 12-4 ATS  as a home favorite this season. CLEVELAND is 8-0 ATS  in home games after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.

CLEVELAND is 19-9 ATS  in home games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more  of their shots over the last 2 seasons.

Budenholzer is 24-41 ATS  in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game as the coach of MILWAUKEE.

NBA Favorites vs. the money line (CLEVELAND) - revenging a road loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, off a home blowout win by 20 points or more are 33-4 L/26 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Home teams (CLEVELAND) - after allowing 100 points or less 2 straight games against opponent after a combined score of 235 points or more are 45-17 ATS L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Cleveland to cover 

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

 Panthers force an average of 17.4 turnovers on opponents and are at their best when able to get out in transition off turnovers, that will be a problem here vs a Cardinals  side despite of being young has protected the ball well lately. Florida Inter has lost 4 games in a row and nothing seems to come easily lately and the same Im betting holds true today.

Florida Inter is having problems on offense of late scoring 65, 59, and 53 points receptive and according to my power rankings are being over estimated in their ability to cash as this big a DD underdog. 

FLA INTERNATIONAL is 2-13 ATS L/15 as a favorite of 10 or more points .FLA INTERNATIONAL is 4-19 ATS   after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread over the last 3 seasons.

Play on Incarnate Word to cover 

The Mile High city is not a friendly place for visiting teams to play in especially run and gun specialists like Memphis . The air in the Mile High city should slow them down enough to make them vulnerable to the more acclimated home side. 

MEMPHIS is 7-18 ATS  in road games after having won 2 of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons.

NBA opening line Road underdogs vs. the money line (MEMPHIS) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, on Tuesday nights are 4-54 L/5 seasons for a go against 93% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Nuggets to cover 

  My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

 Following a three-game winning streak, the Flames are flying high and must not be underestimated in their ability to be competitive against a power 5 opponent. 

IL-CHICAGO is 6-0 ATS as an underdog of 10 or more points over the last 2 seasons.

CBB Favorites of 10 to 19.5 points (NORTHWESTERN) - excellent free throw shooting team (73% or better ) against an average free throw shooting team (65-69%), after game - allowing a shooting pct. of 33% or less are 5-26 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 84% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Illinois Chicago to cover 

The Bulls, have lost four straight games and are now in desperation mode and hungry for a victory. The last loss was embarrassing to say the least as they were defeated 150-126  at the Minnesota Timberwolves, which was the most points allowed by the Bulls in regulation in the the past 40 years. Pros don't like to be embarrassed and thats why Im betting the entire team makes a concerted effort at getting redemption and a  victory here and more importantly as far as we are concerned a cover. I know Miami has won 4 straight, but they are just 2-2 ATS in those tilts and have failed to cover 6 of their L/8 and have also be weak favs overall this season / especially at home. 

MIAMI is 3-11 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season.MIAMI is 3-11 ATS  in home games this season. Heat are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. 

Donovan is 43-27 ATS after a non-conference game as the coach of CHICAGO.

Bulls are 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings in Miami.

Play on Chicago to cover 

Boca Raton Bowl - FAU Stadium - Boca Raton, FL

Liberty Im betting is being under estimated here in their abilities to pick up a straight up win and more importantly a cover even though they finished a down not as the team looked disappointed that they may lose their coach Freeze to a power 5 team, that dis materialize and now Im betting they will be ready to play.LIBERTY is 9-1 ATS  as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.LIBERTY is 37-19 ATS   in non-conference games .Liberty is 3-0 SU against  MAC sides  L/3 seasons.  Freeze is 9-1 ATS   after having lost 3 out of their last 4 games in all games he has coached since 1992.

Toledo is 3-9 ATS in bowl games since 2002,Candle is 0-6 ATS when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest as the coach of TOLEDO.

 MAC Bowl sides like Toledo are  just 6-28 SU and 8-25-1 ATS vs. opponents like Liberty  coming off a loss. 

Play on Liberty to cover 

QB Baker Mayfield made his return to the gridiron last week and lead the defending champs  to a  17-16 victory over the Raiders.  However, this Monday in the cold the tundra of historic  Lambeau Field  Im betting he freezes up and for the continually banged up Rams to falter.. Rams are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win. Rams are also just  1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.

It must be noted that the Green Bay Packers are 7-1 SU and 8-0 ATS in this series since 2007 . Also QB Aaron Rodgers is 23-12-3 ATS in his career against NFC West opponents  and   when he is  coming off a Bye week is 6-0 SU and 5-0-1 ATS at home in his career . 

GREEN BAY is 8-1 ATS in home games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons and they get the nod again tonight on MNF. 

Rams are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 meetings in Green Bay.

Rams are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 meetings.

Favorite is 10-2 ATS in their last 12 meetings.

Play on Green Packers to cover

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Stonehill has seen eight different players record double-figure scoring games through its first 12 game and despite of a sub par record have been very competitive only losing by more than this spread to times to power 5 sides, Providence and Connecticut. With that said, Bradley with a better record has played only 1 power 5 team this season, (Arkansas) last time out and lost by 19  points and were also pounded by Utah State by DDs. Looking at their schedule , it seems very likey Bradley is over rated on this line. Advantage Stonehill. 

BRADLEY is 1-11 ATS  after scoring 60 points or less over the last 3 seasons which was the case vs Arkansas last time out. 

CBB home team (BRADLEY) - good shooting team (45-47.5%) against an average defensive team (42.5-45%), good rebounding team (+3 to +6 reb/game) against a horrible rebounding team (6 or less reb/game) are 40-12 ATS L/26 seasons for a 77% conversion rate. 

CBB Home teams as a favorite or pick (BRADLEY) - good shooting team (45-47.5%) against an average defensive team (42.5-45%), good rebounding team (+3 to +6 reb/game) against a horrible rebounding team (6 or less reb/game) are 11-37 /ats L/26 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate. 

Play on Stonehill to cover 

I know Toronto has lost 5 straight games, but that will make them all the more hungry and dangerous. On flip  side -Even playing without Tyrese Maxey (fractured left foot), Tobias Harris (back) and Furkan Korkmaz (non-COVID illness) the Sixers have been putting up victories but these missing bodies Im betting will have an effect on them sooner or later. 

Nurse is 27-12 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games as the coach of TORONTO.

Rivers is 85-118 ATS after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite in all games he has coached  in  his career  . 

 NBA underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (TORONTO) - after being beaten by the spread by 48 or more points total in their last seven games against opponent after going over the total by 48 or more points total in their last seven games are 31-7 ATS L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Raptors to cover 

Myrtle Beach Bowl - Brooks Stadium - Conway, SC

The   Uconn Huskies played well this season and got  bowl eligibility under first year HC Mora who has got this group to play disciplined tough football. It must be noted that first year HC s have cashed 10 of their L14 Bowls as  double-digit dogs  .  Here today, Im betting UConn stays fairly competitive vs the lowly No. 127 in the nation Red Zone Offense. 

CONNECTICUT is 19-6 ATS  after covering the spread in 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games.  Huskies are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games.

Thundering Herd are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games in December. 

Play on UConn to cover 

Minnesota Im betting will be in a letdown situation after a upset win vs the Thunder last time out. the game was physically grueling and now the Wolves are vulnerable in this tilt vs a quality opponent, that is desperate for a win after suffering 3 straight losses. CHICAGO is 46-29 ATS  when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

MINNESOTA is 11-23 ATS off an upset win as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.

NBA Road favorites vs. the money line (CHICAGO) - off an upset loss as a home favorite, in December games are 33-4 L/5 seasons for a 92% conversion rate. 

NBA Home underdogs vs. the money line (MINNESOTA) - in non-conference games, off a close win by 3 points or less over a division rival are 5-39 L/26 seasons for a go against 89% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Chicago to cover 

Tom Brady has a big chip on his shoulder right now after a bad game against the SF 49ers last time out.   It  was embarrassing as it was   third-worst loss in Brady’s NFL career.   But now with a week of rest (bye week) you can bet the GOAT will be out looking hard for redemption. I know the Bengals have won and covered 5 straight, but looking maybe a little bit to over confident.  note:  Brady  11-1 ATS in  career as a home underdog and 10-0 SU/ATS off a loss of more than 7 points. Advantage Brady and company. 

NFL Underdogs or pick (TAMPA BAY) - mistake-free team (1.25 or less TO/game committed) against a team with 1.25 or less TO/game forced, after 3 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers. are 38-13 ATS L/10 seasons for a 75% conversion rate.

Play on Tampa Bay Bucs to cover 

Chargers are in a good mood after an upset, of the Dolphins last week. But now after that emotional win will be in a letdown mode and vulnerable to a down effort vs a side that is having some problems and now with a new HC.  Note:NFL .500 or greater NFL sides like Tennessee that are 0-3 SUATS in its last three games versus an opponent that is coming off a SU/ATS win are 8-1 SU and 16-3 ATS taking on a side  off a SU underdog win.  We also  know the Titans are a run first team , and here against the worst run D, in the league allowing an average of 5.4 rpc , trouble in brewing for the favs. Titans are 6-1 ATS L/7 vs West.LA CHARGERS are 1-8 ATS  after a dominating performance - 34+ minutes TOP, 24+ First downs over the last 3 seasons

LA CHARGERS are 21-39 ATS L/60 in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season. 

TENNESSEE is 6-0 ATS after allowing 6 or more yards/play in 2 consecutive games over the last 2 seasons.

Play on Tennessee to cover 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

In their last game over a week ago Belmont lost in OT. Previous to that they had won 5 of 6 games. This is a talented Belmont program  is getting more acquainted to a newer lineup as they replaced their 7 top scorers from last season. Note:  Alexander is 8-0 ATS off a home loss in all games he has coached since 1997. Meanwhile UTChatanooga is on a 6-0 run, but from a matchup perspective using my early season power rankings Belmont despite of alot of inexperience matchup well here.Earl is 4-15 ATS  after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games in all games he has coached since 1997.

Play on Belmont to cover 

There was a time earlier this season when I gave hope for Jaguars’ QB Trevor Lawrence,. but now my hopimism has turned positive  as is evident by his 111.7 passer rating over his L/3 outings.  I know he goes against a red hot Dallas side, but this Jags teams looks to have come to life and will highly motivated to steal a win here and more importantly as far as we are concerned get us the cover. In the only game here against Dallas in the history of the Jags, they are 1-0 SU/ATS. 

NFL Home teams (JACKSONVILLE) - in non-conference games, off a win by 10 points or more over a division rival are 31-9 L/10 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Jacksonville to cover 

My power ranking suggest Detroit is the better side and currently in better form. than their opponents the NY Jets. The Lions are 6-0 SU L/6 overall while the NYJ have 4 of their L/6 and have overall shown long droughts of not being able to put points on the board averaging just 20.3 ppg  on the season. Advantage Lions. 

DETROIT is 6-0 ATS  when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 season,DETROIT is 12-1 ATS  vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 61% or worse in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

NFL Underdogs vs. the money line (NY JETS) - after going under the total by 49 or more points total in their last seven games, in the last 4 weeks of the regular season are 1-26 L/5 seasons for a 96% conversion rate. 

Play on Detroit to cover

Frisco Bowl - Toyota Stadium - Frisco, TX

North Texas is getting to many points here according to my projections. Note: Conference title game losers  like North Texas as DD underdogs have cashed 8 of their L/10 opportunities. Also … CUSA Bowl sides are a perfect  5-0 ATS off a Double digit  defeat when going against. MWC opposition. NORTH TEXAS is 6-0 ATS  in road games after 1 or more consecutive straight up losses over the last 3 seasons. Bennett is 12-4 ATS  as an underdog of 10.5 to 21 points as the coach of NORTH TEXAS.

 Boise State also lost their conference championship game to Fresno State- teams like this that lost their conference title tilt are 2-8 ATS in their Bowl appearances. 

key matchup stat:NORTH TEXAS is 9-2 ATS vs. poor punt return teams, less than 7.5 yards per return over the last 2 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking at +2.7. 

Play on North Texas to cover 

The young men from Florida wont get much of welcome in the cold climate of Northern NY state this Saturday night against a revenge minded Bills who have redemption in mind for a loss they suffered in Miami earlier this season. I know the Bills already took a 16 point deficit win in the first revenge go around, but believe  me , teams like this double down this time of year and really come out to play. With this being the Dolphins 3rd straight road Im betting their a bit exhausted . Note: The Fins are 1-6 ATS L/7 in their 3rd game on the road. 

MIAMI is 4-13 ATS in road games when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct.  75% or better) in the second half of the season. 

BUFFALO is 19-5 ATS  in home games vs. bad defensive teams who give up 24 or more points/game in the second half of the season. 

Play on Buffalo to cover 

New Mexico Bowl - University Stadium - Albuquerque, NM

I was surprised to see SMU as  favs in this game vs BYU even though  they will play without star RB Lopini Kotoa as there are viable alternatives in that position on this team looking to make a statement  The Mustangs enter this game  0-5 ATS as favs and  0-3 SU all-time in this series.  . Considering this is  Mustangs’ HC Rhett Lashlee’s first  ever bowl game , his lack  experience could easily work against him here, and I expect BYU to pound their way to cover   .SMU is 4-15 L/19 ATS (in road games versus excellent rushing teams - averaging 5.25 or more rushing yards/carry . SMU is 1-12 ATS (-12.2 Units) off an extremely close home win by 3 points or less (which was the case last time out winning by 34-31 count vs Memphis.Mustangs are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 vs. INDEP.SMU is 2-11 ATS   in road games after having won 4 out of their last 5 games .

CFB Neutral field favorites vs. the money line (SMU) - after having won 2 out of their last 3 games, in a non-conference game between two teams from major division 1-A conferences have lost  17 of L/27 opportunities SU. 

Play on BYU to cover

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Clemson has exceeded the preseason poll projection nine times in Head Coach Brad Brownell’s 12 full seasons leading the program, including last season. This season they are much better than many expected as team chemistry is a key factor to their effectiveness. 

Clemson ( Late Steam) 

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

The Cardinals enter a new era led by Coach Kenny Payne, who came from the New York Knicks (2020-22) before spending a decade at Kentucky (2010-20) as an assistant and associate head coach and finally notched their first win last time out. Its obvious this version of Louisvilles hoops program has a long road back to respectability and are currently getting this much respect from the linesmakers because of their brand and not the talent on the floor. I know Florida A&M may not inspire many bettors but they are battle tested already taking on five power 5 sides. this season and it looked like it helped as they held their lower tier opponent last time out  to under 50 points for a win.   Note:  McCullum is 10-1 ATS  after allowing 50 points or less in all games he has coached

McCullum is 14-2 ATS as a road underdog of 12.5 to 18 points as the coach of FLORIDA A&M.

LOUISVILLE is 1-9 ATS   in home games after 1 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.

CBB Road underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (FLORIDA A&M) -  team - outscored by their opponents by 12+ points/game, after a combined score of 110 points or less are 48-18 ATS L/26 seasons for a 73% conversion rate!

Play on Florida A&M to cover

The Colts have not looked good lately and got beat up badly last time out vs Dallas, losing 54-19 allowing 33 points in the last quarter wow. Combination of bad luck and just plain ugly football has them embarrassed and out looking for immediate redemption. Pros dont like to be embarrassed like that and you can bet they will play like their proverbial hair is on fire. 
Note: Indianapolis is 11-0 ATS run when playing off a double-digit loss, 

Colts are 7-0 ATS L/7 vs NFC North opposition. Considering how inconsistent the Vikings have been this year wont be surprised if they have a down game. 

INDIANAPOLIS is 12-3 ATS vs. good passing teams averaging 235 or more passing yards/game. over the last 3 season

NFL Home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (MINNESOTA) - hot team, after having won 8 or more out of their last 10 games, top level team, winning 75% or more of their games, in the second half of the season are 7-24 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate. 

Play on Indy to cover 

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Both teams enter the week ranked in the CollegeInsider.com Mid-Major Top 25 and according to my power rankings more evenly matched than the line might indicate. Bryant was ranked 17h and Liberty No.20.) Thus giving us an edge taking the dog . (Bryant)

CBB Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (BRYANT) - in a game involving two good defensive teams (40-42.5%), dominant rebounding team (6 or better  reb/game) against an average rebounding team (+/-3 reb/game) are 39-12 ATS L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Bryant 

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

The Cougars are 0-9 in road games and that's why we have this over done line to bet into. I know its an ugly away record, but  Chicago State  behind  Jahsean Corbett who scored 25 points in Chicago State's 66-65 loss to the Murray State Racers last time out and up-trending is capable of being competitive here in foreign territory. That was the Cougars 2nd straight loss by 1 point.

CHICAGO ST is 14-5 ATS in road games after playing 4 consecutive games as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.

CHICAGO ST is 16-6 ATS versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.

S ILLINOIS is 5-15 ATS L/20 as a home favorite of 15.5 to 18 points.

CBB Road teams as an underdog or pick (CHICAGO ST) - after beating the spread by 36 or more points total in their last five games, on Friday nights are 31-8 ATS L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Chicago State to cover 

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

In each of Dartmouth's last five games, a team has ended the first half on a significant run (four times coming from the Big Green). On Tuesday, it was 12-0 Dartmouth. Last Friday at Central Connecticut State, the Big Green ended the first half on a 13-2 run. Against Vermont, it was 13-0 Catamounts to end the first. In the two previous games (both at home), Dartmouth ended the first with a 13-0 run against CSU Bakersfield and 14-0 vs. NVU-Johnson. It may be foreign to some , how I look at runs like this but, from my perspective these long bouts of domination, tell a story of a side that once they get into top condition, will be a hard side to handle . They can dominate, and are rarely dominated. Dartmouth has had issues with complete game performances, but when considering this matchup, their overall talent looks viable enough to compete and get us the cover vs USF. side that struggles with Free Throws and allows opposing 3 point shooters to convert for 37.8% when at home .  

Gregory is 12-23 ATS  in home games after playing a road game as the coach of S FLORIDA.Gregory is 35-50 ATS in all home games as the coach of S FLORIDA.

S FLORIDA is 0-6 ATSin home games after a game where they made 53% of their free throws or worse over the last 3 seasons. S FLORIDA is 4-14 ATS  in home games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 3 seasons

McLaughlin is 15-6 ATSin road games after having lost 3 of their last 4 games as the coach of DARTMOUTH.

Play on Dartmouth to cover 

Cure Bowl - Exploria Stadium - Orlando, FL

These two teams enter this Bowl tilt on 10-game win streaks . There is a difference here though between both sides and that comes on defense.Troy’s defense has held  the  seven bowl teams they played to 17 PPG/326  total YPG on average . Meanwhile,UTSA  has had  defensive problems  against  Bowl sides this season allowing,  an average of 29 PPG/409 total YPG on average. There is on old adage that says defense wins big games but offense gets you to those big games. This was never truer here in this matchup as UTSA has shown more offensive prowess than the Trojans, but the Trojans defense is superior according to the numbers and its obvious how tenacious their D is if you have watched any of their games. 

Troy is 6-1 SU and 7-0 ATS against Bowl teams this season and have won their L/4 appearances. Trojans are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games in December.

TROY is 7-1 ATS vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 58% or better. this season.

UTSA has never won a Bowl game and are 0-3 SU . 

Play on Troy to cover 

 Suns enter this game struggling  after suffering 5 straight losses and are   banged up  and also exhausted as they finish up their  four-game road trip, in LA at the Staples Center tonight against the Clippers. note: key Suns players Booker and Ayton are both listed questionable for Thursday's game, and if they do play could see limited time and be less than 100%. 

Suns are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games. 

Clippers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.

NBA Favorites vs. the money line (LA CLIPPERS) - after going under the total by more than 12 points in two consecutive games against opponent after going over the total by 36 or more points total in their last five games are 37-3 L/5 seasons for a 93% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +10.6 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. 

NBA Underdogs (PHOENIX) - averaging 45 or less rebounds/game on the season, after a game being outrebounded by opponent by 20 or more are 6-28 ATS L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate!

Play on LA Clippers to cover

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

UC Irvine is ranked top-50 nationally in the following categories: scoring offense (48), scoring margin (17) rebounds per game (21), rebound margin (10), assist per game (36), field-goal percentage defense (41), three-point field goal percentage (7), and three-point field goal percentage defense (50) and must be taken seriously in their ability to come in here at Santa Clara and steal this game. The Anteaters almost stole a game from  ranked San Diego State earlier this season, and behind a capable rebounding and physical presence around the rim present problems for all comers including another good rebounding side Santa Clara. 

Key: The Anteaters don't fire alot of  3-balls, but they are extremely consistent when they do as is evident by a 40.4% rate from beyond the arc , ranking 10th nationally from downtown.

SANTA CLARA is 2-9 ATS in December games over the last 2 seasons.SANTA CLARA is 1-8 ATS   in home games after 3 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons.

UC Irvine has won the L/6 meetings in this series including their L/4 visits to Santa Clara. 

Play on UC Irvine to cover 

 QB  Brock Purdy, and his 134 passer rating were impressive last week to say the least in the 49ers DD win vs the visiting Tampa Bay Bucs .  Meanwhile Seattle was taken out by a play off hungry Panthers last week by a  30-24 count, and failed to cover for the 4th straight time.   Despite of the two opposite trajectories these teams are on, Im betting the old ball coach Pete Carroll has some magic he can deploy in desperation mode as the Seahawks still have play off hopes.  With Star Deebo Samuel out with a sprained ankle and MCL and a expected regression from media darling Purdy and a desperation effort from the home side should help as cash a underdog ticket. ,Seattle is 4-0 ATS at home off a home game, as well 9-2-1 ATS in Thursday nights while the 49ers have failed to cover in three straight Thursday prime time tilts.  

SAN FRANCISCO is 13-28 ATS L/41 in road games after allowing 9 points or less last game . 

SEATTLE is 41-18 ATS  versus good rushing teams - averaging 130  or more rushing yards/game in the second half of the season. . Carroll is 6-0 ATS   in home games after failing to cover the spread in 4 out of their last 5 games as the coach of SEATTLE. Carroll is 7-0 ATS in home games vs. good defensive teams who give up 17 or less points/game in all games he has coached 

NFL Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (SEATTLE) - after 3 or more consecutive losses against the spread against opponent after 2 or more consecutive wins against the spread are 22-5 ATS L/10 seasons for a 81% conversion rate. 

Play on Seattle to cover  

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Wisconsin (8-2, 2-0 B1G) is coming off a pair of physically draining Big Ten wins over No. 13 Maryland (64-59) and Iowa (78-75, OT) and here against. a lower tier side could easily experience a letdown. 

Reed is 22-11 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) as the coach of LEHIGH. Reed is 32-21 ATS in road games after playing a home game as the coach of LEHIGH.

CBB Underdogs of 10 or more points (LEHIGH) - off an upset loss by 15 or more as a home favorite against opponent off a road win are 58-18 ATS L/25 seasons for a 76% conversion rate.

CBB Favorites of 10 or more points (WISCONSIN) - off an upset win as an underdog against opponent off an upset loss by 15 or more as a home favorite are 4-22 ATS L/26 seasons for a 85% conversion rate.

Play on Lehigh to cover

Sacramento looked tired last night in a DD loss to Philadelphia. Now playing their  5th straight road and this being a back to back Im betting that they are at a disadvantage against rested side , playing at home with redemption in mind for back to back losses vs lower tier  Orlando.  TORONTO is 20-9 ATS  when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days over the last 2 seasons.TORONTO is 13-3 ATS  in home games off a upset loss as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.

NBA Home favorites of -165 to -500 vs. the money line (TORONTO) - off 2 or more consecutive upset losses as a road favorite, first half of the season are 28-1 L/26 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at +10.2 whihc easily qualifies on this ATS offering.

Play on Toronto Raptors to cover 

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

JACKSON ST is 13-4 ATS as an underdog of 10 or more points over the last 2 seasons.

CBB road team (MISSISSIPPI ST) - after going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last seven games, a top-level team (>=80%) playing a team with a losing record are 4-30 ATS L/5 seasons for a 88% conversion rate. 

Play on Jackson State to cover +22

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

The Hall is coming off of a rivalry victory as it retained the Garden State Hardwood Classic trophy with a 45-43 win at Rutgers on Sunday and now Im betting they will be in a emotional letdown situation vs a lower tier non conference opponent making them vulnerable to a slow start or overall lethargic effort. 

SETON HALL is 4-13 ATS in home games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game over the last 3 seasons.

CBB Favorites of 10 or more points (SETON HALL) - after a close win by 3 points or less against opponent after scoring 65 points or less 3 straight games are 10-40 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on  Drexel to cover

The Pelicans roll into Utah on a 7 game win streak and deserve to be favs here at Salt Lake City vs a side that started fast but has now lost 11 of their L/16 games SU. Considering the walking wounded that the Jazz are dealing with Im betting they are at a disadvantage. ie  Lauri Markkanen (illness), Mike Conley (injury management), Jordan Clarkson (bruised right hip) and Collin Sexton (right hamstring strain) . 

NEW ORLEANS is 26-15 ATS  as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

Pelicans are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.Pelicans are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 1 days rest.Pelicans are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

Jazz are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games.Jazz are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

NBA team vs the money line (UTAH) - after allowing 115 points or more 3 straight games against opponent after scoring 125 points or more 2 straight games are 5-24 L/26 seasons for a go against  83% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on  NO Pelicans to cover 

Golden State Warriors are off an impressive win vs the Boston Celtics in a two way complete DD win las time out , but now in an emotional letdown spot on the road, Im betting a Bucks side that fell asleep at the wheel last time out , losing against Houston has the advantage. 

MILWAUKEE is 9-1 ATS  versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or more  of their shots over the last 2 seasons.

Budenholzer is 23-9 ATS  vs. teams who are called for 2+ more fouls/game than their opponents as the coach of MILWAUKEE.

Warriors are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 road games.Warriors are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Warriors are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (GOLDEN STATE) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, on Tuesday nights are 4-53 SU L/5 seasons for a go against 93% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at -13.4 which easily qualifies on this /ATS offering. 

Play on Milwaukee Bucks to cover 

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

I know UMass Lowell is on a big winning streak, but Rhode Island has played more top tier teams than their opposition and deserve respect as home dogs according to my projections. note: This young catalyst brings alot of chemistry to this Rhode Island squad and hes expected to play tonight.

CBB road team (UMASS-LOWELL) - after going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last seven games, a top-level team (80% or better ) playing a team with a losing record are just 4-30 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 88% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Rhode Island to cover 

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

VMI is coming off a thrilling 77-74 win over Radford last Saturday at Cameron Hall where five VMI starters scored in double figures, for their third straight win. Meanwhile, the The Eagles now stand at 7-2 and have not lost a game since Nov. 13 at George Mason and deserve to be favs here , but not by this much as my line is cloder to -7, which according to my projections gives us a excellent opportunity at cashing with the underdog. 

VMI is 15-4 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Brennan is 6-15 ATS versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season as the coach of AMERICAN.

CBB Home favorites of 10 or more points (AMERICAN) - team from a mid-major division 1-A conference against a team from a weak conference, off an upset win as an underdog are  7-31 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 82% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on VMI

Minnesota had defeated Portland five consecutive times before falling short on the second contest of their five-game road trip but now Im betting on a bounce back performance from the Wolves against Lilliard and company. PORTLAND is 18-31 ATS  versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more  of their shots over the last 2 seasons. MINNESOTA is 13-3 ATS  in road games vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons.

NBA  team vs the money line (PORTLAND) - good shooting team (45.5-47.5%) against an poor defensive team (45.5-47.5%), after 2 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 50% or higher are 57-96 L/5 seasons for a go against 63% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA Home favorites (PORTLAND) - off a win against a division rival, in December games are 19-42 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Minnesota Wolves to cover 

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

The Owls' road stretch has been a very successful one, as KSU is 4-2 over the first six games behind a group of 5 returning starters . That includes a road victory at Appalachian State. KSU has also been very efficient from the land of the trey this season, currently ranking 12th in the nation in three-point percentage at 40.4% which makes them viable back door cover choices here vs a ranked side.  

Take the points 

 New England  well rested after a bye week is one game ahead of the Jets  and currently sits as the  No. 8 seed in the AFC playoff race and come into tilt in need of wins to stay relevant for post season action, while the Cardinals are pretty much toast when it comes to making the play offs , unless they can string together wins here to finish of the season. Im betting both sides will be motivated, but the coaching edge , resides with Belichick  going against Kingsbury.  Arizonas coach   Kingsbury is just  5-15 ATS at home  when his side is s 2 point or less underdog. and his side is  0-3 SUATS the last three in Monday night prime time tilts .  Meanwhile,  Bill Belichick is 22-9 SU/ATS against NFC West opposition sides  in his NFL career,  and 13-0 SU if that team is coming off a loss like Arizona is.  Also the Pats despite of coming off a loss are a resilient bunch as is evident by their  6-0 ATS record off a home loss by 10 or more points over the last 3 seasons and are also  7-0 ATS  after being outgained by opp by 100 or more total yards last game over the last 3 seasons. 

Patriots are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games following a bye week. Patriots are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.

ARIZONA is 3-12 ATS   in home games against AFC East division opponents.ARIZONA is 1-9 ATS)in home games in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.. Cardinals are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 home games.

Pats are 4-0 SU/ATS L/4 visits to Arizona.

Play on New England Pats to cover 

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Minnesota has only faced Mississippi State once in school history, but coming just last year in Starkville, Miss. The Gophers earned an 81-76 win over the Bulldogs on Dec. 5, 2021. Revenge might be on board for the visitors but you dont always get what you want , like Mick Jagger of the Rolling Stones like to say. Even if Miss st gets the win , Im betting it wont come as easily as the linemkaers expect. 

MISSISSIPPI ST is 0-6 ATS  after allowing 65 points or less 4 straight games over the last 3 seasons. Jans is 4-13 ATS   off a home blowout win by 20 points or more in all games he has coached since 1997.

CBB road team (MISSISSIPPI ST) - after going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last seven games, a top-level team (80% or better) playing a team with a losing record are 3-28 ATS for. go against 90% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Minnesota to cover

Chicago played a complete game yesterday in a DD beatdown of the Dallas Mavs, scoring 144 points on the offense. Now on tired legs and emotionally drained Im betting we see major regression on the road in Atlanta.

CHICAGO is 1-8 ATS  after a non-conference game this season. Atlanta is 3-1 SU/ATS L/4 at home in this series. 

Bulls are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.

Bulls are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games.

McMillan is 41-26 ATS  in home games versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 or less free throws/game as the coach of ATLANTA.

Play on Atlanta 

The Lakers are on a 3 game losing streak and exhausted as they play their 6th straight road game. Detroits young legs  have the edge on this aging group at home in Motwon today. 

 LA LAKERS are 1-8 ATS after a loss by 10 points or more this season. LA LAKERS are 5-18 ATS  in road games after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons. Lakers are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 road games.

Lakers are 0-6 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Detroit.

NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (LA LAKERS) - after going over the total by 48 or more points total in their last ten games, a bad team (25% to 40%) playing against a terrible team (25% or less ) are 28-62 ATS L/26 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Detroit Pistons to cover 

49ers starting QB Jimmy Garoppolo went down with a season-ending foot injury last time out and now a backup QB will go to the field ie probably Purdy who took over from Jimmy last time . With Tom Brady and company out seeking revenge for a previous loss to SF Im betting the Bucks have edge . Brady is 19-4-1 ATS when his team is seeking revenge and his 24-6 overall ATS record when getting points. Considering San Francisco is just 1-7 ATS as non-division home favorite  of less than four points its an easy decision for me to back the future HOF  QB to come up big here as the Bucs make a run at post season action .  I know SF is ranked in No.1 in D, but Tampa Bay's defense is  also of the top tier variety  as the  Buccaneers rank eighth in the NFL in total defense (313.8), fifth in scoring defense (18.3) and fourth in sacks (38).

Tampa Bay to cover 

Seattle had to come from behind and take a  late win vs the banged-up  Rams in Week 13. Seattle is getting far to much respect from the lines-makers this week, despite of playing a sub par side. We have to remember  Carolina (4-8),  and are off a bye week so their well rested and believe it or or not sill in a playoff position in the slumping NFC South. With that said the Panthers still have plenty to play  as they are  only two games out of first place.

Panthers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall. Meanwhile, Seahawks are 7-15 ATS in their last 22 games following a straight up win.

Seahawks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.

SEATTLE is 0-6 ATS  after having won 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games over the last 3 seasons.

NFL Home teams (SEATTLE) - excellent passing team (7.3 or less PYA) against an average passing team (5.9-6.7 PYA), after gaining 6.75 or more passing yards/attempt in 4 straight games are 9-32 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Carolina Panthers to cover 

The Suns enter this game on a 3 game losing streak, and now are very motivated for redemption and revenge as they face a New Orleans side that beat them a few days ago. I know the Pelicans are playing great ball, but a letdown maybe in order after the intensity they put into beating the Suns last time out. 

Williams is 54-36 ATS  when the line is +3 to -3 as the coach of PHOENIX.

PHOENIX is 20-9 ATS revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons. PHOENIX is 23-7 ATS  revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons. PHOENIX is 15-4 ATS   revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a road favorite over the last 3 seasons.

NBA Road teams (PHOENIX) - revenging a loss vs opponent, off 2 or more consecutive upset losses as a favorite are 41-17 ATS L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Phoenix to cover

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Both teams were blown out last week, but one of these teams is more motivated than the other as ,  Jacksonville (4-8) has one shot to get it self into contention for post season action. It either wins this week or it will miss the playoffs for the fifth straight year since advancing to the AFC finals in 2017, when it held a fourth-quarter lead before losing in New England. Motivational factors support taking the points here with the Jags. 

Pederson is 14-3 ATS  versus good rushing defenses - allowing 90 or less rushing yards/game in all games he has coached since 1992.

TENNESSEE is 8-20 ATS L/28 vs. mistake free teams - 42 or less penalty yards per game in the second half of the season.  TENNESSEE is 9-22 ATS after gaining 99 or less rushing yards in 3 straight game

NFL Favorites of -160 to -475 vs. the money line (TENNESSEE) - after a game where they forced no turnovers against opponent after 4 consecutive games where they committed 1 or less turnovers are 8-17 L/10 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Jacksonville to cover 

Teams like Indiana with top tier down town shooting skills , have given the Nets problems this season and Im betting  nothing will change tonight. 

BROOKLYN is 0-7 ATS  versus teams who make 14 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season with the average ppg diff clicking at -10. 

Vaughn is 1-11 ATS on the road when the line is +3 to -3 in all games he has coached since 1996.

NBA Road teams vs. the money line (BROOKLYN) - off a home no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite, extremely tired team - when playing their 3rd game in 4 days are 12-33 L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Indiana to cover 

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Richmond is 3-5 this season with four losses coming by three or fewer points. Of note: o Richmond is the only team in D-I with four losses by three or fewer points this season. The Spiders are never out of it. UR is outscoring its opponents by 55 points in the second half this season. Despite  of the sub par record the Spiders are a quality side and deserve respect getting points at home. 

DRAKE is 1-9 ATS  in road games after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons

CBB road team (DRAKE) - after going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last seven games, a top-level team (80% or better) playing a team with a losing record are 3-28 ATS L/5 seasons for a 93% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Richmond to cover

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My power rankings suggest this game should be lined a full possession less than this offering giving us value taking points with Buffalo. 

The Bulls are ninth in the nation in fastbreak points, averaging 19.20 per game. This mark is the best in the MAC. Tulane has issues with these types of teams. 

BUFFALO is 12-4 ATS  in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons. BUFFALO is 23-9 ATS L/32 as a neutral court underdog or pick

 Tulane is 1-7 ATS this season. 

Play on Buffalo to cover

Boston is a team that never underestimates opponent and is almost always game ready . In the recent past they have not let up against struggling sides which is evident by the following over powering puck-line numbers. BOSTON is 15-2 ATS  against poor defensive teams - opponents average 29.5+ shots on goal this season.BOSTON is 30-6 ATS against poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 0.3+ goals/game over the last 2 seasons.BOSTON is 26-4 ATS  against struggling  teams - outscored by opponents by 0.5+ goals/game over the last 2 seasons.BOSTON is 19-2 ATS against struggling teams - outscored by opponents by 0.65+ goals/game over the last 2 seasons.BOSTON is 21-4 ATS  in all games this season.

NHL Home underdogs of +200 or higher against the money line (ARIZONA) - revenging a road loss versus opponent, tired team - playing their 4th game in 7 days are 4-30 L/5 seasons with the average gpg diff clicking in at -2.1 which easily qualifies on this puck-line offering. 

Play on Boston Bruins -1.5 puck-line 

The Suns have had their egos bruised after two straight losses vs Dallas and Boston respectively. Im betting what happened was the Suns went in to their game against Dallas with huge revenge on board  for last seasons play off losses and and still couldn't get it down  and than were in an emotional letdown state in the tilt vs the Celtics and just fell flat on their faces. Now with time to digest their problems Im betting on an all out performance from the Suns in redemption mode against a side that despite of playing well is still not as talented as the incoming side. Suns are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up loss.PHOENIX is 13-3 ATS in road games after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 3 seasons.PHOENIX is 30-15 ATS  on the road when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons. PHOENIX is 22-11 ATS  when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons

NBA Road favorites vs. the money line (PHOENIX) - off an upset loss as a home favorite, in December games are 32-3 L/5 seasons for a 92% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +11.6 . 

Suns are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings in New Orleans.

Play on the Phoenix Suns to cover 

After impressive back to back win vs Atlanta and Cleveland the Knicks look like a confident group and are ready to keep their current form rolling vs a inconsistent Charlotte side that ahs lost 3 straight and only garnered wins in 4 of their 12 home tilts this season. The Knicks beat the Hornets 134-131 in overtime Oct. 26 at home. Rinse and repeat. 

Knicks are 17-6 ATS in their last 23 road games.

Knicks are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.

NEW YORK is 11-2 ATS  in road games after a blowout win by 15 points or more over the last 3 seasons.

NEW YORK is 41-20 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons.

NBA road teams (NEW YORK) - after going under the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a bad team (25-40%) are 28-8 ATS L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Underdogs (CHARLOTTE) - off a road cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog, a bad team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a losing record are 17-39 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play NY Knicks to cover

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Vanderbilt is off a hard fought emotional 1 point win vs Pitt U last time out and could easily find themselves in a letdown spot here vs a Grambling side that rolls into this game after consecutive conclusive  DD wins. I know the wins did not come against Power 5 sides, but earlier this season Grambling did upset Colorado, and deserve respect here on this line offering.

Jackson is 17-4 ATS after allowing 30 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games as the coach of GRAMBLING.

Stackhouse is 6-18 ATS  in home games versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or less as the coach of VANDERBILT.  VANDERBILT is 17-34 ATS  in a home game where the total is 135 to 139.5 since 1997.VANDERBILT is 0-6 ATS  in home games after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games over the last 2 seasons.

CBB Road teams as an underdog or pick (GRAMBLING) - after beating the spread by 36 or more points total in their last five games, on Friday nights are 30-8 ATS L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate.

Play on Grambling to cover 

Denver is off a heart breaking 116-115 loss to Dallas last time out, which was their 3rd straight defeat, but the Nuggets HC Malone is 15-5 ATS  in road games after a close loss by 3 points or less as the coach of DENVER and will be primed to bounce back. DENVER is also  21-9 ATS  in road games after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread over the last 3 seasons. From a league wide trends perspective  NBA Road favorites vs. the money line (DENVER) - off an upset loss as a home favorite, in December games are 31-3 L/5 seasons for a 92% conversion rate for bettors.

I know the Blazers have won two straight , but Portland's consecutive victories came after the club lost seven of eight games and even with Damian Lillard back in the lineup , the Nuggets Im betting matchup well in this spot play. Portland routed the visiting Nuggets 135-110 on Oct. 24 when it outscored Denver 80-49 in the second half. Lillard scored 31 and Simons added 29- Revenge now on board for the Nuggets. 

PORTLAND is 17-31 ATS  versus good shooting teams - making 46%  or more of their shots over the last 2 seasons. 

Play on Denver to cover 

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Iowa will be out looking for redemption tonight at home vs instate rivals Iowa State, after an embarrassing loss to Duke last time out. The Blue Devils size played a big role in frustrating the Hawkeyes, but that wont be the case here vs a smaller group of Cyclones. 

I know Iowa State D, has played well of late, but is must be noted that the cyclones are just 1-13 ATS L/14 in road games after 2 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 37% or less . Otzelberger is 5-16 ATS L/21 in a road game where the total is 140 to 149.5 in all games he has coached.

McCaffery is 25-9 ATS  in home games after a loss by 10 points or more as the coach of IOWA.IOWA is 8-1 ATS  in home games in December games over the last 3 seasons. 

CB BRoad underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (IOWA ST) - an average offensive team (67-74 PPG) against an average defensive team (67-74 PPG), after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more are 14-38 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Iowa to cover

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

USC is off a hard fought win vs Oregon State last time out and Im betting they will experience a letdown here in this non conference tilt vs a side Im sure they are not considering to be a legitimate threat. 

CS-FULLERTON is 10-2 ATS  versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

CS-FULLERTON is 15-5 ATS   versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or less  over the last 2 seasons.CS-FULLERTON is 11-2 ATS as an underdog over the last 2 seasons. CS-FULLERTON is 6-0 ATS  in road games after 3 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers over the last 2 season

USC is 0-6 ATS  in home games off a home win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons which was the case last time out.USC is 1-10 ATS   in home games after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.

CBB Home favorites of 10 or more points (USC) - after a close win by 3 points or less against opponent after scoring 65 points or less 3 straight games are 8-33 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Fullerton to cover 

The Suns were limited to 15 points in the first quarter of Monday's loss to Dallas. It was their lowest point total in any quarter this season. Now with a chance at redemption and the energy of their home town fans behind them Im betting they show up with a full game effort and get a  victory vs the top tier Celtics . Add to that the possible return of All-Star point guard Chris Paul and the Suns get the nod. PHOENIX is 7-0 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses this season. PHOENIX is 22-9 ATS L/31 in home games after allowing 130 points or more .  

PHOENIX is 11-3 ATS versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more  assists/game this season. 

PHOENIX is 22-10 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons.

NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (BOSTON) - explosive offensive team - scoring 118+ points/game on the season, first half of the season are just 16-33 ATS L/26 seasons for a 67% conversion rate.

Play on the Phoenix Suns to cover 

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

 The Mustangs are 3-3 at home this season and 41-8 in the past 49 games at Moody Coliseum. Since Moody Coliseum re-opened for the 2014 American Athletic Conference schedule, SMU has successfully defended home court 126 times in 151 contests.

Arizona State goes 9-10 deep , but SMU home court edge gives me confidence in backing the host side getting points. In previous encounters against teams like ASU the Mustangs have been very  competitive. 

SMU in their L/6 games versus teams who average 40 or more rebounds/game on the season over the last 3 seasons have seen the average ppg diff clicking in at -2.

SMU  L/32 games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 3 seasons have seen the average ppg diff clicking in at +1.8. 

CBB  Road teams as an favorite or pick (ARIZONA ST) - after going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last seven games, a top-level team (80% or better ) playing a team with a losing record are 2-27 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 93% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on SMU to cover

Orlando lost its ninth consecutive game and the 11th in the last 12 contests Monday in a 109-102 decision against Milwaukee. In their current form they are fade material on this type of line vs what is a deeper and superior side even without Leonard or George in the lineup. If these two top tier stars play than the line should be closer to -8. 

I know the Clippers have not exactly been cover machines of late, but this league wide trend supports my betting option. NBA Road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (LA CLIPPERS) - after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games are 71-39 ATS L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate.

Clippers are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.

Clippers are 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Orlando.

Play on LA Clippers to cover

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

N.Alabama rallied for a come from behind win vs Morehead state last time out and could easily find themselves in a letdown spot after playing four straight away tilts. 

ALABAMA ST is 11-0 ATS  off a road cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.ALABAMA ST is 8-0 ATS after 3 straight games where they made 40% of their shots or worse over the last 2 seasons.ALABAMA ST is 6-0 ATS  in road games after 3 straight games committing 14 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons. Madlock is 10-1 ATS   in road games after 3 consecutive non-conference games in all games he has coached since 1997.

N ALABAMA is 0-8 ATS  versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. N ALABAMA is 2-17 ATS  versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing

After playing a emotional all out game against the Suns in a victory the Mavericks are vulnerable tonight in the high altitudes of the mile high city. The Mavericks will be playing their seventh game in the last 11 days. Meanwhile, the Nuggets offense is currently operating at a high rate of efficiency at least from a shooting conversion position which is a good omen for them tonight.  DENVER is 15-4 ATS L/9 in home games after 3 straight games where they made 50% of their shots or better. Yes, Denver has lost 2 straight and took a DD loss vs NO Pelicans , but it must be noted that the  Nuggets are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points.

Mavericks are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games following a straight up win.Mavericks are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game.Mavericks are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games.Mavericks are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 0 days rest.Mavericks are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Mavericks are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

DALLAS is 25-50 ATS  revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite of 7or more since 1996.

NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DALLAS) - well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days, on Tuesday nights are 18-55 ATS L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Denver to cover 

The Cavaliers play their best hoops at home where they 10-1 SUATS at Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse. The Cavaliers  are averaging 115.6 points on 49.3 percent shooting from the floor and 39.9 percent from 3-point range as hosts, as opposed to 107.7, 46.0, 35.8,, away from Cleveland. Tonight Im betting on their strong home court advantage to cool down a up-trending Lakers side off two impressive wins. CLEVELAND is 9-1 ATS   as a home favorite this season

NBA Favorites vs. the money line (CLEVELAND) - a good team (+3 to +7 PPG differential) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG differential), after a combined score of 205 points or less 2 straight games are 42-3 L/5 seasons for a 93% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +10.8 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. 

NBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (LA LAKERS) - after beating the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games, on Tuesday nights are 9-32 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Cavaliers to cover 

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Presbyterian has used the same lineup in their first 9 games, and despite of not notching wins consistently are beginning to show chemistry and cohesion, and deserve respect here vs a superior charlotte side at home getting points. Offensive rebounding will be their key tonight (currently ranked 81st in the nation). 

PRESBYTERIAN is 14-2 ATS after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread .

COLL OF CHARLESTON is 13-29 ATS  L/42 after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite.

CBB road team (COLL OF CHARLESTON) - after going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last seven games, a top-level team (80% or better) playing a team with a losing record are 2-27 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 93% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Presbyterian to cover

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Madison Square Garden - New York, NY

Illinois is 11-5 SU in their last 16 games versus top-10 teams.  Illinois has 10 wins over top-10 teams since 2019-20, second-most in the NCAA behind Baylor (12).  Illinois is the winningest team in the Big Ten over the last three seasons, registering a 44-17 mark in league play.

In this matchup vs Texas it must be noted that the Illini schedule to date has seen them play tougher competition, and because their battle tested will have in advantage in a game I have lined as a pickem. Texas' strength of schedule is 304th, according to KenPom.

Texas is decent at protecting shots from beyond the arc but this  Illini side  can sink the trey with a high degree of efficiency , with  36.6%  of their scoring having come from downtown. Ive watched the Longhorns struggle at times with deep shooters, and despite of their talent may find themselves over whelmed in this spot. 

Underwood is 44-28 ATS versus excellent ball handling teams - committing 12 or less turnovers/game as the coach of ILLINOIS.

TEXAS is 0-6 ATS   versus teams who average 9 or more steals/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.TEXAS is 4-14 ATS  versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 3 seasons. 

Illinois to cover

The Pacers looked lifeless last night in their 2nd straight loss but they have proven resilient  in the recent  past cashing  19 of their L/26 games  ATS in their last 26 games playing on 0 days rest.Pacers are also 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up loss. Meanwhile, the Warriors despite of playing well, are just 3-7 ATS off a win and just 2-5 ATS after a SU win of 10 or more points. The Pacers have covered 4 of their L.5 trips to Golden State and have covered 4 of the L/5 meetings overall. Im betting on a competitive effort from the Pacers in redemption mode .

NBA Road teams (INDIANA) - struggling defensive team - allowing 114+ points/game on the season, after 2 straight blowout losses by 15 points or more are 28-8 ATS L/26 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Pacers to cover 

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

The Kent State Flashes have won five of their eight games by 20+ points, and are 1-1 on the road and deserve respect here despite of the top tier Gonzaga program they are facing. Meanwhile, the Bulldogs are coming off a heart breaking 64-63 loss against No. 6 Baylor in the first Peacock Classic in Sioux Falls, S.D and could easily find themselves in a letdown spot vs a under rated foe 

KENT ST is 15-2 ATS vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% or more  of their attempts over the last 2 seasons. KENT ST is 10-2 ATS  versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons. KENT ST is 7-0 ATS  in non-conference games this season

GONZAGA is 22-38 ATS  L/60 in home games versus good defensive teams - allowing 64 or less points/game. GONZAGA is 0-6 ATS  after playing a game as favorite this season which they were against Baylor last time out. 

Kent State to cover 

The Phoenix Suns have owned the  regular-season matches with Dallas over the last three-plus seasons, but  in last years play offs  against the Mavericks  they were blasted in the final two games of that series and fell flat on their faces. You can bet that the Suns will be in redemption mode tonight and breathing fire in all out effort to get back some lost respect. Both sides are also operating at the opposite end of the performance spectrum entering this tilt as Phoenix has won seven of its last eight games while the Mavericks have victories   in just two of their last seven tilts. With that said motivation and form rest with the visitors getting points.

DALLAS is 4-13 ATS  as a favorite this season.PHOENIX is 22-9 ATS   when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons. 

Williams is 24-11 ATS  as a road underdog of 6 points or less as the coach of PHOENIX.
 Williams is 23-10 ATS  in road games against Southwest division opponents as the coach of PHOENIX.

Play on Phoenix Suns to cover 

The Cowboys are running hot, but Im going to take a contrarian stance here tonight and back Indianapolis to cover the line. I know the Colts disappointed last week in a loss as favorites but they have proven resilient in the past off that type of loss winning 11 of their L/13 opportunities for redemption. NDIANAPOLIS is 6-0 ATS  in road games vs. excellent punt coverage teams, allowing 7.5 or less yards per return over the last 3 seasons. INDIANAPOLIS is 6-0 ATS   in road games versus good offensive teams - averaging 350 or more  yards/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. INDIANAPOLIS is 8-1 ATS  in road games versus poor rushing defenses - allowing 4.5 or more rushing yards/carry over the last 3 seasons.

DALLAS is 0-6 ATS in home games after outgaining opp by 100 or more total yards in their previous game over the last 3 seasons.

Dallas’ owns a sub par  9-17 SU and 7-17-2 ATS record against non-division opposition in prime time Sunday Night affairs. 

The Cowboys own a 0-5 ATS record as  chalk of more than 7 points when coming off a Thanksgiving day game .  Meanwhile, the The Colts  owns a powerful  8-1 ATS records  before their Bye week, which is up next a are 7-1 ATS   in non-conference road tilts . 

Play on Indianapolis Colts to cover

The Lakers have played decent ball of late winning 7 of their L/9 including an upset of the Milwaukee Bucks last time out. Now though in an emotional letdown spot the Lakers are vulnerable to a side that has played their best hoops at home this season as is evident by winning 8 of 12 tilts as hosts. 

LA LAKERS are 2-11 ATS  after covering 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread over the last 3 seasons. LA LAKERS are 15-28 ATS (after a game where they covered the spread over the last 2 seasons.

Lakers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Lakers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game.

NBA team (WASHINGTON) - off a close loss by 3 points or less to a division rival against opponent after a road game where both teams score 100 or more points are 35-9 L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors.

Lakers are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Washington.

Play on Washington to cover

The Chiefs have big time revenge on board for their AFC championship game loss  last season,  to this Cincinnati side.  Im betting they get their redemption  behind the arm and legs of super star QB Patrick Mahomes who is  26-0 in his last 26 starts in November and December. 

 Play on KC Chiefs to cover 

I know the defending Super Bowl champions the LA Rams are banged up and not in top form , but this is just to many points for the Seahawks to cover in my humble opinion on the road , giving us value with the undervalued  home underdog. SEATTLE is 0-6 ATS in road games off a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons. Carroll is 18-33 ATS as a road favorite of 7 points or less in all games he has coached since 1992. 

Rams are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 13.

Rams are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in December.

NFL Favorites (SEATTLE) - good rushing team - averaging 4.5 or more rushing yards/carry, after being outrushed by 75 or more yards last game are just 67-119 ATS L/39 seasons for a go against 64% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Rams to cover 

The Ducks have allowed a league-high 106 non-shootout goals, an average of 37.8 shots on goal and are mired in an 0-3-2 rut overall. The Ducks are mired in an 0-4-2 skid on the road, and are fade material in their current form. Meanwhile, Winnipeg after 3 straight wins lost last time out in front of their own fans, and were embarrassed in the process losing by a 4-1 count to Columbus where the team looked lifeless. Quote: "That's just not our team," Jets coach Rick Bowness said."Every game is important. We set the standard of how we're going to play regardless of who we play. And, as I told (the team), it's on every individual to look at yourself first." END QUOTE: With that said, Im betting on a big bounce back effort today by the Jets in a full game effort which gives us a quality wagering opportunity on the puckline.WINNIPEG is 6-0 ATS off a home blowout loss by 3 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.

ANAHEIM is 0-11 ATS in road games revenging a loss versus opponent as a favorite this season.

ANAHEIM is 1-12 ATS  in a road game where where the total is 6 or more this season.

Play on Winnipeg to win -1.5 puckline

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Monmouth is playing its seventh road game in its first nine contests and have til now been unable to grab a victory. Because of their lack of Ws we are getting an advantageous line to bet into as the matchup is closer than this number would indicate according to my projections and power rankings. 

MONMOUTH is 9-2 ATS  in road games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.

Monmouth is 3-0 SU/ATS L/3 visits here and have eight consecutive victories in this series.

Play on MONMOUTH to cover

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

George Washington is off a big win vs South Carolina last time out and are now forming into a cohesive unit. GW has held New Hampshire and South Carolina to an average of 54.5 points per game and 31.8% shooting over the last two games and their ability to play disciplined transitional ball will Im betting be a key to them covering today vs Radford. The home side did have a big offensive effort last time out, 80-78 win but now a major offensive regression is on board. Note:RADFORD is 2-11 ATS L/13 in home games after scoring 80 points or more.

GW has held its opponent below 40% shooting in four of its seven games.

CBB Home underdogs vs. the money line (RADFORD) - off a home no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite against opponent off 2 or more consecutive home wins are 39-143 L/26 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on George Washington to cover

Play on George Washington to cover

 The Jets have pivoted from  QB Zach Wilson to Mike White and Im betting that will be a beneficial move . The Jets right now if the season ended would be in the play offs and are very motivated to get some upward momentum.  It must be noted in two career starts, White owns passer ratings of 149.3  and 101.1 in his first and only other start  last season.  Interestingly enough the Jets had eclipsed the  30 point -plateau  and 450 Total Yards in the last four seasons just 3 times and guess who was the starting QB  in those games, you got it - White. So this week against a Vikings side that has lost the stats battles in 3 straight games, the Jets must not be underestimated in this ability to cash a ticket for us. 

NY JETS are 6-0 ATS vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 61% or worse this season.NY JETS are 6-0 ATS  vs. mistake free teams - 42 or less penalty yards per game over the last 2 seasons.

NFL Underdogs or pick (NY JETS) - after a game where they committed no turnovers against opponent after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse are 26-5 ATS L/5 seasons for a 84% conversion rate for bettors.

NFLHome favorites (MINNESOTA) - in a game involving two mistake-free teams (1.25 or less turnovers/game committed), after 2 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers are 16-40 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors.

NY Jets to cover

The Bucks were upset by the Lakers last time out, but wil now be in bounce back mode and here and ready for redemption vs a Charlotte side that has lost 12 of their L/16 games overall and are sub .500 home side as is evident by a 4-6 record as hosts. MILWAUKEE is 23-10 ATS as a road favorite over the last 2 seasons with the average pgg diff clicking in at +8.5.  Budenholzer is 55-34 ATS off a upset loss as a favorite as the coach of MILWAUKEE with the average ppg diff clicking in at +8.4. 

MILWAUKEE is 9-1 ATS in road games versus poor 3 point shooting teams - making 33% or less of their attempts over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MILWAUKEE) - off an upset loss as a home favorite against opponent off an home win scoring 110 or more points are 31-6 ATS L/26 seasons for a 86'% conversion rate.

Play on Milwaukee to cover 

Whether George or Leonard take to the court for the Clippers Im betting they still hold an advantage here at home. This Clippers side is constantly being under rated and underestimated when their super stars are out of the lineup but they  have still proven resilient on many occasions thanks to team chemistry and top tier coaching and overall work ethic. Yes, the Kings have played great ball at times this season, but are still inconsistent as is evident by losing 3 of their L/4 .   NBA Home teams vs. the money line (LA CLIPPERS) - excellent shooting team (47% or better) against an sub par defensive team (47% or better), average ball handling team (14.5-16.5 TO's) against an average pressure defense (14.5-16.5 TO's) are 36-4 L/5 seasons for a 90% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +10.7 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. 

NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (SACRAMENTO) - explosive offensive team - scoring 118+ points/game on the season, first half of the season are n13-33 ATS L/26 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on LA Clippers to cover

MW Championship Game

Boise State took out Fresno State 40-20 earlier this season, and Im betting the Bulldogs will not have a big enough turn around to get the revenge win in the rematch. Boise is 11-1 SU L/12 at home this series and have won 5 of 6 home games . Home field advantage will prevail once again.

BOISE ST is 33-17 ATS vs. excellent passing teams averaging 275 or more passing yards/game. Tedford is 14-28 ATS  when the line is +3 to -3 in all games he has coached since 1992.

 CFB home team vs. the money line (BOISE ST) - with an excellent defense - allowing 285 or less total yards/game, after gaining 7.25 or more yards/play in their previous game are 29-2 L/5 seasons for a 94% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +18.7. 

CFB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (FRESNO ST) - revenging a road loss against opponent by 14 points or more, off 3 straight wins against conference rivals are 13-38 ATS L/30 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Boise State to cover 

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

I know the Hoosiers are   are 7-0 but 5 of those victories have come vs  KenPom sub-250 teams. Here against an aggressive and pestering D, getting a victory will not come easily . 

 Not an easy place to play in for visitors. Steve Pikiell as a Home Underdog since 2018 owns a 11-1 ATS mark. 

RUTGERS is 7-0 ATS in home games versus good shooting teams - making 45% or better of their shots over the last 2 seasons.

INDIANA is 2-16 ATS in road games off 3 or more consecutive home wins since 1997.

Play  on Rutgers to cover

Ive made Troy -10 advantage favs here according to my own personal projection sheets. Thus laying this number makes for a viable wager. TROY is 7-1 ATS   against conference opponents this season with the average ppg diff clicking in at +10.3 ppg. 

Note: Coastal Carolina is expected to play without  starting QB Grayson McCall. His replacement QB Jarrett Guest has not  shown much going  18-of-42 (42.9%) for 270 yards, 1 TD and 4 INTs in conference and here vs an extremely strong Trojans D, more struggles should be expected.

CFB home team (TROY) - off a road blowout win by 28 points or more, a top-level team (80% or more ) playing a team with a winning record are 30-10 ATS L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Troy to cover 

This will be the Bulls 5th straight road game, and now on tired legs are vulnerable to being beat up on by the explosive Golden State Warriors. Meanwhile, Golden state is 9-1 SU at home this season with the average ppg diff clicking in at 11 points, so the lines-makers are not asking to much here with the favorite. The two most recent meetings in this series saw the Warriors win by margins of 44 points and 26 points. Bulls are 1-7 ATS in the last 8 meetings.

CHICAGO is 5-15 ATS in road games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

Kerr is 20-8 ATS after 3 straight games outrebounding opponent by 5 or more as the coach of GOLDEN STATE.Kerr is 33-19 ATS  in home games when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) as the coach of GOLDEN STATE.GOLDEN STATE is 21-8 ATS  in home games in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Play on Golden State Warriors to cover 

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

This is Illinois first true road game, and despite of playing lights out ball so far this season, are at a disadvantage as visitors tonight as the Terps are just as big and physical as the road side and just as defensively disciplined. It must be noted that Illinois has impressed with their downtown shooting, but Maryland ranks 25th defensively vs the trey and must be respected with the home crowd behind them. 

ILLINOIS is 4-14 ATS  versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 season.

MARYLAND is 28-14 ATS L/42 in home games vs. dominant rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 7+ per game.

ILLINOIS is 1-8 ATS after a game committing 8 or less turnovers over the last 3 seasons. Underwood is 8-19 ATS versus very good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 39% or better as the coach of ILLINOIS.

CBB Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (MARYLAND) - after a cover as a double digit favorite, with 2 more starters returning from last year than opponent are 41-13 ATS ATS L/26 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Maryland to cover