The lines-makers have valued this line based on a  Philadelphia 76ers win vs Golden State last time  as road dogs vs a Sacramento team on a 5 game home winning streak. The public and lines makers are expecting a letdown situation, but Im betting this 76ers team has matured enough to be ready to play tonight and could be even more energized by that win and bring some real swagger into this game. 

 The Kings are 0-17 ATS /SU as a dog with more than one day of rest after a win in which they trailed by double digits. 

PHILADELPHIA is 33-11 ATS  versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Play on Philadelphia to cover 

 This game has been circled Auburn’s  HC Bruce Pearl. calendar for a while, as Alabama smashed the Tigers last years in the SEC tournament by DDs. Pearl was steaming after that game and will come out here ready to get revenge. Meanwhile, Auburn has been money bank at home in this series winning 5 of the L/6 meetings and  cashing 18 of their L/22 meetings including 5-0 SU/ATS when favored by 5 or more points if they own .667 or better record.  

Play on Auburn to cover 

 These two teams are operating at the proverbial opposite end of the performance spectrum, and their is no arguing which is the superior side, but where I see a weakness is by how much the Volunteers are being favoured. According to my projections Tennessee should be closer to 8.5 point road chalk, and at 12 points we have some very good value with the home underdog. With that said, Ill take the points here and take a contrarian stance . 

Kennedy is 21-10 ATS in home games after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games as the coach of TEXAS A&M.

TEXAS A&M is 26-11 ATS  in home games versus excellent ball handling teams - committing 12 or less turnovers/game.

Texas A&M to cover 

The public loves the home team ( Utah State) and Im going directly against the vast majority of the ticket holders here and taking a sharp money stance with the under appreciated road dog. 

UTAH ST is 15-28 ATS  versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 3 season.

CBB  Underdogs of 10 or more points (UNLV) - a good offensive team (74-78 PPG) against a good defensive team (63-67 PPG) after 15+ games, after a loss by 15 points or more are 39-16 ATS L/22 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on UNLV to cover 

After starting the season 1-3 in SEC play, the Gators have won three straight conference games. They beat Georgia 62-52, Texas A&M and then Ole Miss. The Gators have won two straight and four of the last six against Kentucky in Gainesville. Florida won last year’s game 80-67 after spanking the Cats 88-66 in 2017. UK has a history of less than stellar performances here, andIm betting the Gators will make life difficult for them here again. In his fourth season at Florida, HC White is 3-3 against John Calipari and the Cats and knows how to play vs Caliparis system.  With that said, take the points. 

FLORIDA is 27-11 ATS versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or more  of their shots after 15+ games.FLORIDA is 79-52 ATS  when the line is +3 to -3 since 1997.Calipari is 39-56 ATS  in road games as the coach of KENTUCKY.

Play on Florida to cover 

If the University of Akron basketball team is to be in a position to make a run for an appearance in March Madness, the Zips will have to start by winning on the road and now today will come here primed to get such a win. The Zips are ranked 18th in the NCAA for scoring defense only allowing 62.8 points per game and Im betting that will be the difference maker here in this MAC event. 

Note:The Zips have won 10 of the last 15 meetings in this series and will be in a double revenge mode and ready to snap a two game losing streak vs Ohio. 

OHIO U is 3-10 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record this season and OHIO U is also 0-7 ATS L/7 versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season this season and 3-10 ATS  versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game this season. 

HC Phillips of Ohio  is 2-12 ATS when the total is 120 to 129.5 in all games he has coached since 1997.

CBB team (AKRON) - after being beaten by the spread by 36 or more points total in their last five games against opponent after going under the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games in are 56-17 L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Akron to cover 

 Notre Dame has won 5 straight meetings in this series including the L/2 here at Boston College and have the edge again according to my power rankings. 

BOSTON COLLEGE is 0-6 ATS in home games after playing a home game this season. BOSTON COLLEGE is 6-19 ATS in home games after covering 4 of their last 5 against the spread 

CBB Road teams as an underdog or pick (NOTRE DAME) - off 3 straight losses against conference rivals, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team are 63-28 ATS L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors.

Notre Dame to cover 

Looking to carry momentum from Wednesday's 14-point win against in-state rival Holy Cross I look for Boston University  to come in here spitting bullets. I know their hosts the Raiders are riding a 12-game home win streak dating back to last season and are a perfect 8-0 this year but thanks to their positive trajectory the lines makers have over value them in this matchup giving us value with the road dog. I knowColgate claimed a 77-56 win at Case Gym back on Jan. 19 vs Boston U, but the Raiders only led, 47-43, at 13:47 in the second half and looked flustered at times. 

Play on Boston University to cover 

The Cardinals entered league play 9-4, and opened with a 15-point victory at Toledo. Since then they’ve dropped five of six, with four of those losses coming by six points or less and are now absolutely desperate for a win.

Ball State is a team with multiple weapons, great size, great athleticism. They’re a few plays away from having their (MAC) record flipped and Im betting  must be respected here in desperation mode. 

Senderoff is 36-51 ATS  after playing a game as an underdog as the coach of KENT ST.

CBB Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (KENT ST) - an good offensive team (74-78 PPG) against an average defensive team (67-74 PPG) after 15+ games, after a combined score of 155 points or more 2 straight games are just 36-69 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 66% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Ball State to cover 

 Before I make this recommendation , just let say I consider the Wolverines as one of the top 3 teams in the nation. Tonight however,  Iowa will be out their minds looking to make a mark in the Big 10, and at the same time  avenge three straight losses in this series , including a 77-71 loss in the opening round of the Big Ten tourney last season. The Hawkeyes are no pushovers and own a  12-4 ATS record at home in this series and have covered 6 of the L/8 overall meetings. With that said  look for this 5-returning starter Iowa  group  to come in to this tilt with a take no prisoners attitude in an attempt to slow down this behemoth opponent and grab what might seem like an impossible victory. Note: Hawkeyes HC Fran McCaffery has covered 20 of his L/30 as a home underdog and must be respected getting points in front of his own alumni.

Play on Iowa to cover 

The Bulldogs are currently first in the WCC standings at 6-0 while the Cougars are tied for second at 5-2.

 In all their greatness Im betting Mark Fews Gonzaga will still feel the effects of this strong home venue vs BYU and  that they may not find the  sledding all that easy vs a hardworking group of Mormon hoops players. BYU is no pushover in front of their own alumni as their 129-9 SU record  would indicate when they own a  .760 win % or less at  home with HC Dave Rose on the sidelines.Rose is also 21-11 ATS in home games versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or less after 15+ games as the coach of BYU.

According to my line the Bulldogs should only be 10 point favs here on the road, thus giving us value on what Im estimating id a bloated line by close to 2 possessions. 

BYU is 15-5 ATS in home games versus up-tempo teams averaging 62 or more shots/game since 1997.  

Play on BYU. to cover 

The Nets enter this tilt against San Antonio off a 122-117 home win over Chicago that allowed Brooklyn to improve to 11-3 in January,. This Nets team is playing never say die brand of basketball and must not be underestimated in their ability to cover and cash a ticket here for us in Texas tonight. Meanwhile, San Antonio is off a very hard fought 126-124 win over a bottom feeder in Phoenix on Tuesday and overall looked sloppy in that game. Im betting their lack of execution will effect their ability to manhandle or easily defeat the road dog in this spot.

BROOKLYN is 12-1 ATS  in road games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons. 

NBA team vs the money line (BROOKLYN) - after beating the spread by 48 or more points total in their last ten games against opponent after going over the total by more than 6 points in three consecutive games are a perfect 9-0 100% this season. 

Play on the Brooklyn Nets to cover 

 The Milwaukee Bucks will be trying to win the season series with the Toronto Raptors on Thursday night when they visit Scotiabank Arena. Toronto is well rested with 3 days rest but in the past this has not seen them do well failing to cover 5 straight times. 

The Raptors lost the first two meetings before winning 123-116 in Milwaukee on Jan. 5, but Im betting the Bucks are are the slightly better  team and will get the cover here this evening. The series visitor is 5-1 ATS L/6. 

TORONTO is 9-23 ATS in home games versus very good shooting teams - making 48%  or better of their shots.

Bucks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. NBA Atlantic.

MILWAUKEE is 17-8 ATS  when the total is 220 to 229.5 this season.TORONTO is 13-24 ATS when the total is 220 to 229.5 over the last 2 seasons. 

Play on Milwaukee Bucks to cover 

Dallas played last night in New York notching a win vs the hapless Knicks  and will now be on tired legs and susceptible to getting caught in a letdown spot vs a hungry Detroit team desperate for wins and in revenge mode for a loss they suffered to the Mavs 5 days ago in Dallas (106-101)

NBA Favorites (DETROIT) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points against opponent off a road win are 197-133 L/5 seasons for a 60% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. 

DALLAS is 4-15 ATS  on the road when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons.

NBA Underdogs vs the money line (DALLAS) - in a game involving two sub par defensive teams (102 or more  PPG) after 42+ games, after allowing 90 points or less are 7-50 L/5 seasons for a go against 88% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Detroit to cover

William Mary enters this game struggling and have lost 5 straight games and more importantly have failed to cover all 5 of those negative results. Meanwhile, Drexel has won 3 of their L/5 games and covered 4 of those games, and in their current form offer value on this line getting points. I know WM found a way to beat Drexel earlier this season, but Im betting Dragons come back breathing fire and are competitive here. Note:  Drexel won in Williamsburg for the third time in the last four trips, and it must be noted for four years in a row  that these teams have split the season series so I won't be surprised if the visitor not only notches a cover but a su victory. 

WM & MARY is 2-10 ATS  versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season.

WM & MARY is 0-6 ATS in home games in January games over the last 2 seasons and is 1-7 ATS after playing a game as an underdog this season.

607 Drexel to cover   

Purdue now with a huge target on their backs as they come off a enormous upset win vs Michigan State last time out, will now be in a natural letdown situation vs a viable home underdog in Penn State. I know the Nittany Lions in their current form ( 7 straight losses), do not inspire bettors but, here in the Big 10 the talent levels are fairly comparable , and it should not surprise anyone if Penn State is competitive this evening on their own home court. It must also be noted that Penn State has revenge on board for a Conference tourney loss to Purdue last season and will be extremely motivated to pull off an upset of their own vs a side that is just 3-6 SU on the road this season. 

PURDUE is 0-6 ATS  in road games versus struggling shooting teams - making 42%  or less of their shots over the last 3 seasons.Painter is 24-37 ATS in road games after having won 8 or more of their last 10 games as the coach of PURDUE.

Play on Penn State to cover 

The Timberwolves  with revenge on board for a ugly 100-87 loss they suffered to the Grizzlies  back on Nov 18 at home, will  now be in a perfect spot for revenge as they face a  team that will be without three players: forward Omri Casspi (knee), guard Garrett Temple (shoulder) and guard Dillon Brooks (toe). Forward JaMychal Green (knee) is questionable and and if he plays will be less than 100%. Memphis is not only short handed , and beat up but exhausted as well as this will be their 8th game in 14 days , which is not a good omen for them covering here tonight. The Grizzlies showed how tired they were last time out vs Denver by blowing a historic 25 point lead and losing 98-95 to Denver.  Note: MEMPHIS is 9-21 ATS when playing 8 or more games in 14 days over the last 2 seasons. \

The Grizzlies 0-10  SU/ATS L/10 as a dog with less than two days rest when their opponent is seeking same season revenge for a loss at home and it is before the All-Star break with all the losses coming by 10 points or more. 

NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MINNESOTA) - after allowing 105 points or more 2 straight games against opponent after a close loss by 3 points or less are 90-46 ATS L22 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA Home favorites of -165 to -500 vs. the money line (MINNESOTA) - after allowing 105 points or more 3 straight games against opponent after a close loss by 3 points or less are 36-4 SU L/22 seasons with the average margin of victory coming by 10.6 ppg.

Play on the Minnesota Wolves to cover 

 Indiana is in the worst kind of shape losing 6 straight  and have completely gone into a tailspin after a  inspired  12-2 start to their campaign.Archie Miller needs this game badly and has enough talent to upend a Rutgers program that despite of a surprising 2 game win streak are still mired in  a long term Big 10  slump as the Knights  have lost 36 of his 44 Conference games , and have lost 6 straight vs teams with revenge like Indiana (  Hoosiers lost 76-69  in the Conference tourney last season). Rutgers is just 2-10 SU vs avenging conference opposition  and 0-4 SUATS at home. I know Indiana is flawed team, but if they an be aggressive offensively tonight form the get go, against a Rutgers team that needs top defensive efforts to get wins the desperate visitors will get a results they badly need. Im betting they do exactly that. 

Play on Indiana to cover 

Kentucky is off a hard fought affair with Kanas this past weekend and will now be in a natural letdown spot. going into this road game against Vanderbilt. Thats not a good omen as this UK Hoops program is just  0-4 ATS after battling with the Jayhawks.With Vandy in revenge mode for a  74-67 loss in Lexington earlier this month ,  Im betting on them being pumped to get even and pull off the upset in front of their own alumni. It must be noted that the Commodores are  7-0  L/7 ATS in this series when playing with same-season revenge and have split this series here in Nashville going 6-6 SU L/12 meetings here.VANDERBILT is 57-36 ATS in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game.

Calipari is 9-23 ATS  in road games when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games in all games he has coached and is 4-13 ATS   in road games when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) after 15 or more games in all games he has coached since 1997.

Play on Vanderbilt 

Pittsburgh at 12-8 this season are up trending, and all ready have shown a great deal of progress under the tutelage of former Duke assistant Jeff Capel as was the case earlier this season when they notched wins vs Louisville and Florida State and barley lost to NC State. The Panthers new found ability to play tough man to man D, will aid them here vs a Clemson team that is in an emotional letdown spot after blowing a 5 point lead and losing with under a minute to play last time out vs NC State, thanks to missing four straight charity stripe conversions and four FG attempts. Both these teams need wins, and Im expecting/betting on a spirited effort tonight with the points proving to be golden.

 CBB Road teams as an underdog or pick (PITTSBURGH) - off 3 straight losses against conference rivals, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team are 63-26 ATS L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Pittsburgh to cover 

No Anthony Davis in the lineup means there is little or no respect for the Pelicans . That is obvious by the line here in Houston against the Rockets with line being slightly bloated according to my own numbers. Needless to say these Pelicans have a chip on their shoulders, and will use that as a motivating factor here tonight. QUOTE:"We're still not giving up," New Orleans coach Alvin Gentry said. "We're not giving up on our season, if that's what everybody thinks. We've just got to keep plugging away, and some kind of way we're going to get this thing turned around. END QUOTE: 

New Orleans is a perfect 6-0 ATS L/6 as +8 or more underdog and are 9-0 ATS off a home loss which they suffered last time out to San Antonio. 

Road underdogs (NEW ORLEANS) - after allowing 100 points or more 2 straight games against opponent after 3 straight wins by 6 points or less.

NBA Road underdogs (NEW ORLEANS) - after allowing 100 points or more 2 straight games against opponent after 3 straight wins by 6 points or less are 34-9 ATS L/22 seasons for a 79% conversion rate. 

Play on the New Orleans Pelicans to cover 

The Bucks, off a rare loss last time out,   and will be out looking for  redemption  and a season series sweep vs a Pistons that they matchup very well against as is evident by a  121-98 on New Year's Day  beat down. It must be noted that the   Bucks have not lost two in a row all season and are 11-0 ATS /SU as a road favorite off a loss with all the wins by 6 points or more. ( the books know this that's why the 6.5 point hook line).Note: DETROIT is 0-8 ATS  in home games revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more this season with he average point differential clicking in at 8.2 ppg. 

Milwaukee has dominated its Central Division opponents this season, posting an 8-1 record and tonight Im betting on another victory and more importantly a cover.

Play on Milwaukee to cover 

Ball State (11-9, 2-5) has lost five of its last six games, all against conference foes and are now being made DD underdogs here on the road vs a ranked team. However the Cardinal have been very competitive and only once in their L/7 games have they lost by more than 9 points with the average point differential clicking in at 5.7 ppg. I know how explosive Buffalo is but they have a big target on their backs after getting so many early season accolades, and have had endure all efforts by their MAC opponents which has started to wear on them. It must also be noted that the Bulls are off a hard fought  battle at Kent State and could easily find themselves in an emotional letdown spot vs a hard working never say die team desperate for wins. This also falls into a long term betting against the public  perimeter based trend I use on occasion when it present itself that has  returned  a 33% ROI since the 2006 season .  It does not always win, but more often then not we cash, ( 68%) . Since Im always looking for a long term edge, this situation makes for a viable investment wagering option. 

Also CBB Home favorites of 10 to 19.5 points (BUFFALO) - off a road win against a conference rival against opponent off an upset loss as a favorite.  are just 24-54  ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate. 

Play on the Ball State to cover 

 N.C. State is feeling good about its offense with point guard Markell Johnson back in the lineup after recouping from a back injury and must be respected as home underdogs despite of going against a behemoth opponent in Virginia. Also the  Wolfpack's versatility  creates issues when vs any  defensive game plans, yes  even that of the Cavaliers as Six N.C. State players have led the team in scoring this season. Look for N.C States ability to mix and match and provide different looks to make Virginia look somewhat human here in this matchup. 

CBB Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (VIRGINIA) - off a road blowout win by 20 points or more, in a game involving two top-level teams ( 80% or better). are 16-44 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. ( Virginia destroyed NotreDame last time out by DDs, and have exerted alot of energy in back to back games vs the Irish and previous to that Duke making them possible letdown favs here. 

Play on NC State to cover 

Atlanta is playing alot better and are a .500 team over their L/18 games and are 6-6 ATS in their L/12 road tilts. Meanwhile, the Clippers, despite of winning 3 of their L/4 games, have looked less then dominating, and have lost 9 of their L/14 home games straight up. From a historical perspective the Hawks have been a viable side to back here covering 16 of their L/25 visits to LALA land and get my support taking points tonight vs a Clippers side on tired legs after playing last night against run and gun Sacramento. Note: The Clippers are 0-10 ATS L/10 at home with no rest . 

The Hawks also have revenge on board for a 127-119 loss at home to the Clippers back in late November and lost in their L/visit here last season, by a 108-107 count. Note: The Clippers   are  0-11 ATS at home with no rest when they won 2 straight vs current opponent. Also Atlanta is 6-0 ATS away at Western Conference venues as a underdog vs  .550  or less opponents when playing with same-season home loss revenge. 

Road underdogs (ATLANTA) - revenging a loss vs opponent, a bad team, winning 25% to 40% of their games on the season are good long term bets going 348-248 ATS L/5 seasons for a 59% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on Atlanta to cover 

 Baylor brings a 4-game winning streak into its  at Oklahoma. BU is coming off a 73-68 win over Alabama, improving to 5-1 in Big 12/SEC Challenge history.Baylor finished 9-4 in non-conference play, with marquee wins at Arizona, vs. Oregon and vs. Alabama and must not be underestimated in their ability compete here and even pull off a SU upset. Note: Baylor is 32-34 in Big 12 road games since 2012, second-best in the league behind only Kansas (43-23). 

OKLAHOMA is 3-15 ATS  when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons and is 1-8 ATS  when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.

BAYLOR is 6-0 ATS in road games versus teams who average 40 or more rebounds/game on the season over the last 3 seasons.BAYLOR is 6-0 ATS in January games this season. 

Baylor has won 2 straight meetings here and have won 3 of the L/4 meetings SU.BU's last 3 trips to Norman include a 2-point loss in 2016, a 26-point win in 2017 and a 2-point loss in 2018.

Play on Baylor to cover 

The Celtics played a hard fought game vs the Golden State Warriors last time out losing a 115-111 heart breaker. The young men from Boston played their hearts out and left everything on the floor and still fell short. Now in an emotional letdown situation this Beatdown hoops crew will now face the difficult task of going against a hard working Nets team on a 6 game win streak that plays basketball with a never say die attitude. With that said, Im recommending we take the points with the visitors. 

 The Nets are 22-0-1 ATS and have won 9 straight SU on the road with rest facing an opponent averaging less than 58 ppg from 2-point range and it is before the All-Star break.The Celtics are 0-7 ATS/SU at home with rest off a game as a dog after a loss in which they made more field goals than their opponent.

BROOKLYN is 22-12 ATS  versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season. BROOKLYN is 35-22 ATS as a road underdog over the last 2 seasons.

Play on Brooklyn to cover 

The Bethune Cookman 'Cats lead the MEAC in defensive rebounding average (27.9), rebounding average (40.76), FG defense (40.8%), and 3pt defense (29.5%). BCU is second in rebound margin (+2.7), and offensive boards (12.84) and according to my numbers should be 4.5 point road chalk here thus we are getting a value line here to bet into vs a Coppin State side that they beat both times they met them last season. 

Play on Bethune Cookman to cover 

I have made this line at -5.5 for North Carolina Central (9-10 overall), thus we are getting old value with the road team according to my projections.NCCU has shot over 50 percent from the floor seven times this season. Meanwhile,Savannah State  4-14 overall is currently 1-3 in MEAC play heading into the weekend, but lead the league in three-pointers made per contest with 11.7 and live and die with their downtown shots, leading the conference in Treys. But tonight against a NCCU team that can light the board up from all over the court Im betting they're in trouble. 

Play on North Carolina Central to cover 

The defending champion Golden State Warriors are in a groove and currently hitting on all cylinders. Thanks to over powering 10 game  run and wining streak , they are being made 9 point favs here on the opening line, which is bloated in my humble opinion, giving us value on the disrespected  home underdog Indiana getting points. Note:Indiana is 18-6 SU at home this season , while Golden State is just 12-13 ATS on the road and are on tired legs as they play their 5th straight road game and are off a hard-fought battle vs the Celtics last time out. 

GOLDEN STATE is 4-16 ATS  as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season.INDIANA is 17-5 ATS L/22 as a home underdog of 6.5 to 12 points.

NBAHome underdogs (INDIANA) - off a upset loss as a favorite, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 38-13 ATS L/22 season for a 75% conversion rate for bettors .

Play on the Indiana Pacers to cover 

NJIT will face ASUN newcomers North Alabama for the second time this year.

In their only previous meeting on January 12, the Lions defeated NJIT, 61-55, in Florence, AL and. now  despite of  NJIT wanting revenge it seems this line is  bloated by 1 possession which gives us value on line with the visitor.  I know the Lions have struggled on the road this season,  , winning just one out of 14 games away  tilts, but they are  currently stand in third place of the ASUN, one place ahead of NJIT. Their 5-2 conference record indicates a blue collar never say die attitude that will suit them well here in this hostile environment. 

Take the Points wth North Alabama to cover 

Seton Hall after pulling off wins vs Kentucky and Maryland earlier this season, have been suddenly struggling for wins losing 4 of their L/5 despite of being highly competitive with the average point diff  of those 4 losses clicking in at 4.5 ppg.  Every loss they have suffered this season besides two were within five points, and they lost four by just four points .  Villanova is showing us that they are once again a good NCAA tourney bet, and despite of the off season departures, must be respected. However, with that said, Seton Hall is not an easy out, and are desperate for wins and will leave everything on the floor today in what Im betting will be a cover for them and their backers. Look for Myles Powell who is averaging  22.2 points per game,  and hitting 45.3% of his shots to be a key catalyst for the  Hall here in a cover effort. 

SETON HALL is 23-8 ATS  in road games after failing to cover 4 of their last 5 against the spread and is s 11-3 ATS in road games after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread over the last 2 seasons. 

SETON HALL is 13-4 ATS in road games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons and  is 6-0 ATS  in road games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game this season. 

CBB Home teams as a favorite or pick (VILLANOVA) - after going over the total by more than 6 points in four consecutive games against opponent after going under the total by 36 or more points total in their last five games are 7-29 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Seton Hall to cover 

San Francisco at 17-3 are proving they are a side that needs to be respected when laying short lumber. I know San Diego is feisty hard working team, but  are outgunned by a team on a 3 game win streak , especially if  Olin Carter III is not playing or less than 100% which he is reported as he suffers with a  ( Abdominal )  injury. FRANCISCO is 14-3 ATS  off a blowout win by 20 points or more over a conference rival

CBB Road teams as an favorite or pick (SAN FRANCISCO) - an good offensive team (74-78 PPG) against an average defensive team (67-74 PPG), after leading in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half are 53-22 L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. 

SF to cover 

Despite a 3-3 start, the Bruins are not out of the running for the Pac-12 regular season title and have an opportunity to right their ship here tonight vs Arizona. Despite of it not appearing their desperate, this game is a must win type affair especially after their ugly effort vs Arizona State last time out when they lost as chalk. Note: Bartow is 9-1 ATS  after allowing 80 points or more in a loss to a conference rival and 20-8 ATS off an upset loss as a favorite in all games he has coached since 1997.Meanwhile, Arizona despite of their accolades are starting to fall back down to earth, and are fragile looking at the moment after getting clobbered by USC last time out.

ARIZONA is 5-13 ATS  versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game over the last 2 seasons.ARIZONA is 13-26 ATS (-15.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 season

UCLA to cover 

Denver will go against a 76ers team playing without key cogs Joel Embiid and Jimmy Butler tonight. That puts the 76ers at a big disadvantage vs a side that has revenge on board for last seasons 123-104 loss at Philadelphia. I know Denver played last night, in a 132-95 win vs Phoenix but they did not over use any of their players with no one seeing more than 29 minutes of playing time. Their much fresher than the the back to back efforts might indicate and get the nod here as fairly hefty home  favs .DENVER is 13-2 ATS in home games after 1 or more consecutive wins this season. 

The 76ers are 0-14 ATS/SU as a road dog off a game as a favorite when they are facing a team that is averaging more than 45 rebounds per game and HC Brown is 3-15 ATS  off a close home win by 3 points or less as the coach of PHILADELPHIA which was the case in a hard fought 122-120 win vs San Antonio last time out. 

Play on Denver to cover 

 Evansville has revenge on board for a loss they suffered to NIU in the MVC tourney  last season.   Meanwhile, Northern Iowa .  is in an emotional letdown situation after a loss last time out . Thats not a good omen for their chances to cover here as Northern Iowa is just  1-4 SUATS in their  last 5 games versus opposition  with conference  revenge.  Add to that Evansville has performed admirably as dogs this season going a bankroll expanding  8-3 ATS getting points for their backers , while the Panthers are just  5-10 ATS  on the season.  

Play on Evansville to cover 

Ill take -3 or less with the Spurs  on the road any time its available  vs a side like New Orleans that is expected to play without their  super star Anthony Davis, even though they themselves will play without DeRozan.  I know the Pelicans play a team orientated style  of hoops and move the rock around with consistency but the  Spurs do well against these types of teams and  are 10-0 ATS L/10 going against  an opponent averaging more than 24 assists per game.San Antonio owns a 44-18 all-time mark against the Pelicans and has won 18 of the 31 games between the teams in New Orleans and lost to NO the last time they played here, but it must be noted that SAN ANTONIO is 14-0 ATS  revenging a road loss vs opponent this season.

NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (SAN ANTONIO) - after a loss by 6 points or less against opponent after 2 straight losses by 6 points or less are 23-6 ATS L/22 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on San Antonio to cover 

My power rankings and line suggests we have value with this line with Middle Tennessee .

MIDDLE TENN ST is 7-0 ATS  versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons. 

N TEXAS is 1-7 ATS  in all home games this season. 

N TEXAS is 0-7 ATS  in home games when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 20% to 40%) over the last 2 seasons.N TEXAS is 3-11 ATS versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 4+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Play on Middle Tenn State to cover 

Kentucky leads the all-time series with Kansas, 22-9, but the Jayhawks are riding a 3-game winning streak , but Im betting that all ends abruptly here today. My personal opinion on Kansas is they are down a notch this season and one shouldn't be fooled by their record, and with Calipari eyeing triple revenge for the Wildcats will have his team ready to perform in a big way here today.KENTUCKY is 14-5 ATS  when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 80% or better ) over the last 3 seasons and Calipari is 23-10 ATS  when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 80% or better ) after 15 or more games as the coach of KENTUCKY.KANSAS is 2-13 ATS after having won 12 or more of their last 15 games over the last 2 season.

Play on Kentucky to cover 

In their last outing, the South Carolina State  Bulldogs dropped an tough 69-74 decision to Norfolk State.The Bulldogs  record may not give bettors hope (4-17, 2-3 MEAC) but this offense is anchored by 6-foot-8 junior Damani Applewhite who averages 17.3 points and 7.8 rebounds per game and he's proven he can take advantage of teams like Savannah Statee (4-14, 1-3 MEAC) which gives us an edge on a short line.

Play on South Carolina State to cover 

Oregon State has been playing some great basketball  and are surprising the heck out of the pundits and that's why they are getting so much respect from the lines- makers here today  But the Washington Huskies,  undefeated in PAC12 play visit Corvallis, looking to avenge a 69-66 defeat to the Beavers in last year’s Pac-12 tourney and wont be used around here by this hard working blue collar group. Note:Hopkins is 6-0 ATS  at road when the line is +3 to -3 as the coach of WASHINGTON and is 10-1 ATS in road games vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% or more  of their attempts as the coach of WASHINGTON. 

CBB home team (OREGON ST) - excellent FT shooting team (73% or more ) against a good FT shooting team (69-73%) after 15+ games, after 2 straight games making 50% of their shots or better are 19-43 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Washington to cover 

Boston College off a nice win vs Florida State last time out will carry the momentum of that win in to Wake Forests a struggling side that has lost 5 of their L/6 games. 

BOSTON COLLEGE is 6-0 ATS  in road games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game this season. BOSTON COLLEGE is 6-0 ATS  after playing a game as a home underdog over the last 2 seasons and is 8-0 ATS after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games over the last 2 seasons

WAKE FOREST is 10-23 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

CBB Home teams as an underdog or pick (WAKE FOREST) - after going over the total by 48 or more points total in their last seven games against opponent after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last ten games are 8-31 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate for bettors.

CBB Road teams as an favorite or pick (BOSTON COLLEGE) - off a home win against a conference rival, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a marginal losing team are 92-49 ATS L/22 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors.

Boston College to cover 

 E.Carolina has lost 4 straight games, and according to my numbers and projections should be closer to-6.5 point dogs here. South Florida has struggled a bit lately but are still a dangerous foe having covered 14 of their 19line games this season. The struggles Im taking about came to Temple in a 2 point loss and to Houston by 9 and Cincinnati by 8 so needless to say those make the battle tested road team a very viable side to back. 

CBB home team (E CAROLINA) - after going under the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season are 103-162 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against 61% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on South Florida to cover 

Marquette is in top form, but Xavier is almost never an easy out on their own home court and must be respected  especially when they have revenge on board for a loss as was the case when they  suffered a 70- 52 beatdown in Marquette earlier this season on Jan 6. Xavier has five players averaging in double figures in scoring through 20 games and I expect a complete team effort here in a cover performance. 

The Musketeers are 5-1 SU vs. Marquette at Cintas Center.

XAVIER is 13-3 ATS  versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game over the last 2 seasons.XAVIER is 47-29  L/76 ATS in home games revenging a road loss vs opponent .

Play on Xavier to cover 

The Clemson Tigers  just played and lost to Duke and suffered a home defeat against Virginia and are battle tested and will not be intimidated vs NC State today that has lost 3 of their L/5 overall. Im betting on two desperate teams in need of a win to battle it out in a closely contested affair, with the points proving to be golden.

Clemson has won 3 of the L/4 meetings. 

NC STATE is 9-19 ATS  versus good shooting teams - making 45% or better of their shots after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons.

CBB Home teams as a favorite or pick (NC STATE) - very good shooting team - shooting 48% or more on the season, after a game - attempting 20+ less free throws than opponent are 37-70 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against for a 66% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Clemson to cover 

Im a big believer in Chris Mack and Im betting he gets his team NCAA tourney ready in a hurry.Louisville, ranked 23rd by AP and 24th in the USA Today poll, come in here today against a improved but still out talented Pittsburgh team ready to get payback for a 89-86 OT loss earlier this season.  Im betting Louisville has an edge, especially with revenge on board for that surprising upset loss vs the Panthers. Note: Louisville is 21-4 SU and 18-6-1 ATS  at home in same- season conference revenge  Meanwhile, Pittsburgh  1-6 ATS in their last seven tilts versus opposition with same- season conference revenge, and have not performed well vs the Cards going just 1-12 SU and 3-10 ATS in this series.

LOUISVILLE is 22-10 ATS revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a road favorite since 1997 with the average point diff clicking in at 15 ppg. 

Louisville's 2019 signing class is ranked second in the nation by ESPN.

Play on Louisville to cover 

Fordham has lost 7 straight games, and does not matchup well vs the Flyers. Note: Neubauer is 1-8 ATS  in home games versus good shooting teams - making 45% or better of their shots after 15+ games as the coach of FORDHAM and is 4-15 ATS versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game as the coach of FORDHAM. This game registers under a long standing system .CBB Road teams against the total (DAYTON) - excellent shooting team (47.5% or better) against an average defensive team (42.5-45%) after 15+ games are 710-524 ATS L/22 seasons for a long term 58% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Dayton to cover 

 Hofstra is an explosive team, that rarely shows mercy, and are pounding their L/3 opponents by DDs. More of the same here today vs a struggling side that despite of having won their L/2 games are still. sub .500 home team this season.HOFSTRA is 9-2 ATS  versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game this season.TOWSON ST is 0-6 ATS after scoring 30 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons. 

CBB home team (TOWSON ST) - off a close win by 3 points or less over a conference rival, with just one or fewer starters returning from last season are 20-46 L/5 seasons for a 70% go against conversion rate for bettors. 

Hofstra to cover 

VCU has won the L/6 meetings including the L/3 here on the road between these two hoops programs  and according to my matchup stats and power rankings deserve their -3 fav road status here and should win this game according to my projections by 4 points or more. 

 Their key to success today will be their defence.

VCU opponents are shooting just .264 from beyond the 3-point arc, which ranks fourth nationally. VCU opponents shot .351 from 3-point range last season. VCU has held nine opponents to 60 points or fewer this season

 VCU is 77-33 in conference play over that span, a .700 winning percentage. VCU is also 13-5 in A-10 Tournament play. 

Play on VCU. 

at Madison Square Garden - New York, NY

Maryland is the superior team here, but on neutral court, this line Im betting is a little bloated and there is value on contrarian betting perspective.   HC Underwood is 15-5 ATS  in  non home games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game after 15+ games in all games he has coached since 1997. Illinois has either led (eight times), been tied (twice), or trailed by two with the ball (once) during the second half in 11 of its 14 losses and are my choice to cover vs ranked Maryland. 

Note:Illinois has played 11 games all-time at Madison Square Garden, compiling a 3-8 SU record with only 3 of the losses coming by more than 9 points.

Play on Illinois to cover 

Creighton is 11-8 SU overall and 2-4 in BIG EAST play while enduring the nation's ninth-toughest schedule, having already played 12 teams that won 21 games or more a year ago. Meanwhile, Butler is 12-8 this season and 3-4 in BIG EAST play after Tuesday's 80-72 home loss to Villanova. The Bulldogs are 1-4 in true road games. Butler won the first meeting this season between these two hoops programs, 84-69 on January 5 in Indianapolis and now Creighton will be primed to get revenge for that defeat. Creighton is 6-2 all-time in Omaha vs the Bulldogs, including a 4-1 mark since the schools became BIG EAST rivals and gets my support here in revenge mode. Look for the Blue Jays ability to connect from downtown to be the difference maker here this evening. Creighton ranks second nationally in three-point percentage (.431), third in total three-pointers (231), third in three-pointers made per game (12.2)  and fifth in field goal percentage (.505).

BUTLER is 1-9 ATS in road games versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or more  of their shots over the last 2 seasons and are just  8-17 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.BUTLER is 2-12 ATS  in road games after playing a home game over the last 2 seasons.

Play on Creighton to cover 

Houston is a team that needs James Harden to play at an optimal level at all times. He is off a game vs NYK where he scored 61 points and barley got his team in the win column by a 114-110 count. Im now expecting a natural letdown situation to occur and for Harden to just be above average rather than play a super man role. To beat Toronto you have to have a complete team effort, and his supporting cast is not playing up to par, which makes them fade material in this spot, mostly because of their shaky defensive play that has seen them allow 112.2 ppg at home this season. Note: Chris Paul and Clint Capela are less than 100% and if they play may see very limited time. Meanwhile, the Raptors are expected to be a full strength. 

D'Antoni is 7-18 ATS ) against Atlantic division opponents as the coach of HOUSTON. HOUSTON overall  is 3-12 ATS  against Atlantic division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

 The Rockets are 1-15 ATS/SU   as a dog with less than two days rest off a win as a favorite in which their opponent had at least a 10 percent higher BAP. The Rockets are also  0-8 ATS/SU as a dog with less than two days rest off a win in a road game facing an opponent averaging more than 27 points from 3s.The Raptors are 13-0 ATS/SU as a road favorite with less than two days rest off a road game in which they had 6+ double digit scorers. 

Play on Toronto Raptors to cover 

Washington foolishly  got  themselves involved into a run and gun affair with Golden State on Thursday night, and are now completely exhausted going into a back to back situation. The banged up Wizards exhausted three starters at least 39 minutes and come into this game with an empty tank, something that the inconsistent Magic should be able to take advantage of on their own home floor. 

The Magic are 20-0-2 ATS /22-0 SU as a favorite with less than two days rest off a loss as a road dog when seeking same season revenge for a loss on the road.The Wizards are 0-11 ATS/SU as a road dog with no rest after they had 3+ players with 20+ points. 

WASHINGTON is 3-15 ATS  in road games versus struggling  defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season and 0-10 ATS  in road games after scoring 115 points or more this season. 

Play on Orlando to cover 

Riders is on a 5 game win streak with all the victories coming against conference rivals, and are operating on all cylinders. Needless to say they will be hard to stop tonight here at Iona, versus a side, that  is a hard team to beat on their own floor, but far from consistent overall as is evident by a 4-6 mark in their L/10 trips to the hardwood. With that said,  Im betting on  a Rider side, that returns all five starters, their top six scorers and 95 percent of their scoring from last year's team to continue to roll. 

IONA is 4-11 ATS in all games this season.IONA is 2-14 ATS  after playing a game as a road favorite over the last 3 seasons. 

Road teams as a favorite or pick (RIDER) - after 4 or more consecutive wins, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team are 94-46 ATS L/22 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Home teams as an underdog or pick (IONA) - in a game involving two average teams (+/- 3.5 PPG diff.) after 15 or more games, after scoring 75 points or more 2 straight games are 3-24 L/5 seasons for a go against 89% conversion rate for bettors with the average combined point differential clicking in at 8.7 ppg. 

Play on Rider to cover 

Brown had a 6 game win streak abruptly end in a hard fought 70-67 loss to  Yale last time out as hosts in the first game of a back and back series. Now in revenge mode I look for Brown to get us a cover here and possibly end Yales 7 game win streak. Note:Martin is 9-1 ATS in road games off a home loss as the coach of BROWN and is 10-1 ATS in road games after having won 3 of their last 4 games. Brown has covered 15 of their 21 trips to Yale and get the nod again to grab the cash for us.

Play on Brown to cover 

Indiana is reeling having lost 5 straight games. Desperation has set in over this Indiana hoops program and Archie Moore and company desperately need a win.  I know the Hoosiers do not inspire bettors in their current form, but here at home , Im betting they leave everything on the floor in an attempt to upend a powerful Michigan team and get a much needed victory. Considering that Michigan has been mired in a slump over the last two tilts scoring just  54 points in a loss at Wisconsin and 59 in a buzzer beater win over Minnesota it is not inconceivable Indiana won't make life even ore difficult for the Wolverines in this spot. Note: .Beilein is 2-10 ATS off a close home win by 3 points or less as the coach of MICHIGAN

Miller is 40-23 ATS  in home games against conference opponents in all games he has coached since 1997. Dont count Miller out in his abilities to coach his team to success. When he was in Dayton his team started 12-3 one season, and than start A-10 play with a 1-5 record, he corrected that situation and Dayton would turn it around, winning 13 of its last 16 and an eventual appearance in the  Elite Eight appearance. Im not saying thats the direction he will take the Hoosiers in this season, but Im saying look for him to find a way for his team to make a game of this here tonight. 

Hoosiers are 15-7 ATS in their last 22 home games.

Play on Indiana to cover 

No. 14 Buffalo is 17-3 overall and 5-1 in conference play. In their last outing, the Bulls dropped their first conference game against Northern Illinois, 77-75, showing us they are far from perfect. Tonight against a Kent State team that was one of three teams to defeat them last season, Im betting they will have their hands full again. Meanwhile, Kent State improved to 15-4 in conference play after defending home court with an 87-85 overtime win over Toledo and are 10-2 SU at home this season, and 16-4 L/20 SU at home in this series  and get my support getting points here tonight. 

Underdog is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.

KENT ST is 14-2 ATS  when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct.  80% or better) after 15 or more games since 1997 and 10-2 ATS at home under the same perimeters. HC Senderoff is 8-0 ATS  when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 80% or kore ) after 15 or more games as the coach of KENT ST. 

Play on Kent State to cover 

 Hot shooting and smothering defense carried  Tennessee State to a 70-56 win over Austin Peay at the Gentry Center last season. According to my projections theTigers  can stay fairly close again and cover this number vs the Govs. TSU is 3-2 in the last four seasons, vs Austin Peay with  one win  coming in the Winfield Dunn Center. Six games between these combatants have gone into overtime, four in Clarksville, one in the Dunn Center in the first round of the OVC Tournament in 2007. Im betting for a closer game than many might expect. 

TENNESSEE ST is 42-17 ATS in road games after having lost 6 or 7 of their last 8 games since 1997.

Home favorites of 10 or more points (AUSTIN PEAY) - hot team - covering 8 or more of their last 10 against the spread, a good team (60% to 80%) playing a bad team (20% to 40%) are 22-55 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Tennessee St to cover 

The L/14 seasons, Little Rock has called the Jack Stephens Center home, and the venue has helped the Trojans become one of the Sun Belt's most proficient home teams. Little Rock has record a 130-72 overall record (.644) at the Jack and is 71-45 (.612) in Sun Belt play, posting a winning record in 12 of the 13 seasons . The Trojans are 6-3 at home this year, winning their last three games at the Jack and get the nod here tonight vs Coastal Carolina. 

COASTAL CAROLINA is 0-6 ATS in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons.

CBB favorite vs. the money line (ARK-LITTLE ROCK) - in a game involving two good offensive teams (74-78 PPG) after 15+ games, after allowing 75 points or more 2 straight games are 88-17 L/5 seasons for a 84% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Arkansas Little Rock to cover

 Denver has lost their L/7 trips to the Salt Lake  City to play the Jazz and Im betting nothing changes tonight. Look  for a very motivated effort from a revenge minded Jazz side that  lost an embarrassing  103-88  road battle in the Mile High City back in November. Note:  Home favorites vs. the money line (UTAH) - off a loss against a division rival against opponent off a home blowout win by 20 points or more are 78-16 L/23 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. (Utah lost to Portland last time out, and were thumped  by DD vs the Nuggets the when they played earlier this season)

Home team is 9-0 ATS in the last 9 meetings.

Nuggets are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Utah.Favorite is 14-2 ATS in the last 16 meetings.

Utah is 15-5 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 46% or better  of their shots - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.DENVER is 8-22 ATS  after scoring 120 points or more over the last 2 seasons and is 2-12 ATS in road games after playing 2 consecutive home games over the last 2 seasons

Nuggets are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 3 or more days rest.Nuggets are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Nuggets are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 road games.Nuggets are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 vs. Western Conference.Nuggets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

Jazz are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 Wednesday games.Jazz are 9-1-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up loss.Jazz are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS loss.Jazz are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.Jazz are 12-4-2 ATS in their last 18 games playing on 1 days rest.Jazz are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 vs. Western Conference.

 Home teams (UTAH) - off a loss against a division rival against opponent after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite are 45-18 ATS L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Utah Jazz to cover 

This will be the second of four meetings between the Hawks and Bulls. Chicago took the first game 97-85 in Atlanta on Oct. 27. The Bulls have now won the past five games against Atlanta and  the Hawks are one of the few teams that they matchup well against. Meanwhile, Atlanta despite of playing better of late, still have not found a consistent way to win on the road where they have lost 19 of 25 games and are once again fade material. 

ATLANTA is 4-14 ATS  versus terrible teams - outscored by their opponents by 6+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (CHICAGO) - average 3PT shooting team (33-36.5%) against an average 3PT defense (33-36.5%) after 42+ games, good ball handling team (14.5  or less TO) vs. an average pressure defense (14.5-16.5 TO) after 42+ games are101-22 L/5 seasons and 7-0 100% perfect this season.

Play on Chicago Bulls to cover 

The Sam Houston Bearkats entered 2019 and the Southland season with a sub par 5-8 record, but have won their first five conference games and have the only perfect mark in the league.The Bearkats have thrived in conference play thanks to giving up only 60.8 points per game.

Last Saturday, the BKats prevailed 71-65 at Houston Baptist for their seventh win in the last eight games, including their  L/2 road games  and are hitting on all cylinders as they come together as a team. Meanwhile. the Demons are playing at the proverbial opposite end of the performance spectrum,  as they sport a sub par (7-11 overall, 2-3 in the Southland) and lost 78-69 this past Saturday at Abilene Christian,  and are now expected to play without second-leading scorer DeAndre Love, (wrist injury.)

Northwestern is a bigger team, but Sam Houston is more athletic, and more intimidating even though their slighter smaller. Look for the tougher more talented road team to lay down  the hammer here on the road. 

Play on Sam Houston St to cover 

he Indiana Pacers have revenge on board for a loss they suffered to the Raptors earlier this month as road dogs it was their 2nd loss to the Raptors. The Pacers have been good bets in the past when they have same season double revenge on board in this series  cashing 3 of their L/4 . Tonight against a tired Raptors team that played last night against run and gun Sacramento Im betting the angry home team will avenge those earlier defeats. Note: Indiana is 6-0 SU/ ATS L/6 at home vs teams playing back to back nights like the Raptors.

After a 120-96 home loss to the Philadelphia 76ers on Thursday, Pacers forward Thaddeus Young had a message for his teammates.

QUOTE"If we want to consider ourselves an elite team or one of those top-tier teams, it starts with beating them," Young said Tuesday after practice. "I told them, 'We don't beat them, then everyone is going to continue to look at us the same way they do now: not in that class. In order to be in that class, we have to beat those teams. And we haven't done it yet. Not lately.' END QUOTE 
With that said, look for a Indian team with alot to prove to be in top form tonight looking for revenge and statatement win. 

NBA team vs the money line (INDIANA) - excellent shooting team (47.5% or better ) against an average defensive team (43.5-45.5%) after 42+ games, good ball handling team (14.5 or less TO) vs. an average pressure defense (14.5-16.5 TO) after 42+ games are 29-7 SU L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors 

NBA Road underdogs of +145 to +350 vs. the money line (TORONTO) - after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more against opponent after scoring 120 points or more. are 2-29 SU L/5 seasons 94% conversion rate with the average point diff clicking in at 12 ppg. 

Play on Indiana to cover 

 Alot of public money has come in on LSU here tonight, and some sharp money has now fired back with Georgia . I my self project this line to be closer to 9.5 to 10 points thus giving us a almost 1 possession value line to back with the underdog. I know the Dawgs have not looked good so far this season, and are off a ugly 62-52 loss to Florida lat time out, but their battle tested after playing Auburn, Tennessee, and Kentucky in SEC play already this season so they wont be intimidated by the red hot Cajun Tigers in this tilt. Note: Georgia has won 3 straight in this series and have covered 5 of the L/6 meetings, and actually matchup well from a system vs system perspective.

Bulldogs are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games following a double-digit loss at home.GEORGIA is 6-0 ATS in road games off a home loss over the last 3 seasons.Underdog is 6-1-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings.LSU is 9-23 ATS  as a home favorite of 9.5 to 12 points since 1997.

CBB Road teams as an underdog or pick (GEORGIA) - off 3 straight losses against conference rivals, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team are 61-26 ATS L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Georgia Bulldogs to cover 

Xavier a team that has struggled in Conference play so far this season have been looking forward to payback for last seasons Big East tourney loss in the  semifinals to a Providence side that has also been struggling losing 4 of their L/5 overall.  The  X-men have proven good bets in the recent past when they have revenge on board as they are a bankroll expanding 11-3 ATS in SU wins when seeking revenge and are a perfect 5-0 at home SU L/5 games in this series.

XAVIER is 93-66 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) after 15 or more games since 1997.

Play on Xavier to cover 

The Crimson Tide lost a close game to Tennessee on the weekend 71-68  but covering as 14 point dogs. You can see this team is coming together and up trending and  already have a statement win vs Kentucky earlier this season and as of Monday the Crimson Tide are No. 50 in the NET rankings that replaced the RPI in helping the NCAA selection committee select its field of 68. Tonight against No.20 Ole Miss Im betting the Tides reserves who have been a strength of this year's team, averaging nearly 27 points per contest (26.6) entering the contest against Ole Miss will be  one of the difference makers tonight in this SEC battle. Also The Tide are one of the top rebounding teams in the nation. Alabama has won the rebounding fights in 16 of its 17 tilts this season. For the year, Alabama ranks second in the SEC and 27th nationally in rebounding margin (+6.4), outrebounding the opposition by an average of 39.2-32.8. In SEC games only, the Tide has outrebounded each of its five SEC opponents and leads the league in rebound margin at +5.8 (39.8-34.0). Meanwhile, Ole Miss is over achieving this year, and I keep waiting for them to drop back down to earth and feel confident betting against them vs a hungry team, with revenge on board for a loss at the Pavillon last season by a 78-66 count. Alabama owns a 38-7 record  when playing Ole Miss in Coleman Coliseum, including wins in four of the last five games played here as hosts and get the nod again.

Play on Alabama to cover 

There have been five meetings between Villanova and Butler at historic Hinkle Fieldhouse between the Wildcats and Bulldogs since the BIG EAST was reconfigured in 2013. None has been decided by more than eight points and the average margin of victory in those clashes is 4.8 points per game. Villanova won the first three games and have lost the last two, but come into this game wide awake, with a lot to prove, and won't be intimidated by a Butler team that my own power rankings suggest is less superior to this version of Wildcats and a few notches under previous incarnations of Butler basketball. Im betting on Villanova's two senior foundational pieces, Paschall and Booth to be the difference makers tonight and for this fast improving sophomore supporting group to help us grab the cash in hostile environment. 

Wildcats are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Wildcats are 41-18-1 ATS in their last 60 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Wildcats are 36-16 ATS in their last 52 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Wildcats are 35-16 ATS in their last 51 games following a straight up win.Wildcats are 37-17 ATS in their last 54 games overall.Wildcats are 39-19-1 ATS in their last 59 road games.Wildcats are 47-23 ATS in their last 70 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

Play on Villanova to cover 

Well rested Clemson off for a week entering this game will look for its second consecutive victory  as visitors to Tallahassee tonight to face  a tired Florida State side playing their 2nd 48 our turnaround . The Tigers’ last victory on the road against Florida State was a 62-56 victory on Feb. 4, 2015. FSU is not only tired but are dealing with nagging injuries, ( Mann, Trent, and Phil) makes them weak home favs tonight. 

Seminoles are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 home games.Seminoles are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.Seminoles are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Seminoles are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall.Seminoles are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Seminoles are 2-11 ATS in their last 13 vs. Atlantic Coast.Seminoles are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up loss.

Clemson to cover 

The Flashes improved to 14-4 overall and 3-2 in conference play as they defended home court in a 78-68 win over NIU last time out  and roll into this game against Toledo as viable home dogs. After all the Flashes have played their best hoops at home this season, where they are 9-2 SU and deserve respect getting points in this friendly environment, vs what my own rankings suggest is a very good but slightly over rated Rockets hoops group, that has some defensive short coming as is evident by allowing 77.1 ppg on the road this season. Kent State is 9-3 L/12 at home in this series, and get the nod here tonight to get the cover. Note:Senderoff is 7-0 ATS  when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct.  80% or better ) after 15 or more games as the coach of KENT ST and overal lKENT ST is 13-2 ATS L/15 when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct.  80% or more) after 15 or more games since 1997. 

Play on Kent State to cover 

 Five of Niagara's nine wins have come at the Gallagher Center with victories over St. Bonaventure, New Hampshire, Cornell, Norfolk State, and Iona and this is where they play their best basketball. Meanwhile,   Saint Peter's is 0-9 on the road this season.

The Purple Eagles are 20-7 at home versus the Peacocks since the 1991-92 season.

•  Six of the last 10 meetings with Saint Peter's have been decided by less than five points with NU going 5-1 in those six games and they get the nod again on short line. Favorite is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

CBB Road underdogs of +145 to +350 vs. the money line (ST PETERS) - in a game involving two poor defensive teams (45-47.5%), after a game where a team made 20% of their 3 point shots or worse are 2-56 L/22 seasons for a 97% go against conversion rate. 

Play on Niagara to cover 

 West Virginia is off a huge win vs Kansas this past Saturday and are now in a huge letdown situation. With  Baylor  out looking for revenge for  a 13-point loss in the first round of the Big 12 tourney last season which was their 3rd loss in this series last season, I now expected the Bears to be bad news for  Huggins and company. Before West Virginias last game they did not look like contenders and are down a notch this season talent wise, so its not like Im calling for a miracle here or anything today by backing a highly cmpetetive  Baylor team that is 6-0-1 ATS L/7 overall.W VIRGINIA is 13-25 ATS  after a game where they covered the spread over the last 3 seasons.

Baylor is 12-3 ATS under head coach Scott Drew when not favored by more than 6 points against sub .500 opponents.BAYLOR is 10-2 ATS after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games over the last 3 season

Play on Baylor to cover 

Monday's showdown features the top two scoring offenses in the league with Creighton averaging 83.5 ppg with the Hoyas right behind with 82.8 ppg. Georgetown continues to be the top rebounding squad in the BIG EAST with 40.6 rpg and also leads the conference in assists with 17.5 apg and Im betting that their ferocity under the glass and ability to spread the ball around will be the difference maker for a home team win in this spot for Georgetown.

The Hoyas behind a revenge factor are my choice tonight vs a Bluejays program that won both contests last season and have won three-straight in the series which activates a personal 17-2 ATS triple revenge angle that I have used over the L/7 seasons. 

Note: Creighton has lost four-straight BIG EAST games following a league-opening victory over Providence and have not traveled well vs power 5 teams losing 4 of their L/5 with Providence being the exception. 

CREIGHTON is 2-11 ATS as a road underdog or pick over the last 2 season.CREIGHTON is 0-6 ATS in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.s 3-11 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 45% or better of their shots after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.

Play on Georgetown to cover

The struggling Orlando Magic, visit the up trending Atlanta Hawks in a holiday matinee Monday afternoon in a tilt that Im betting favors the home team.Atlanta is currently  in 12th place in the East, one spot behind Orlando, but has been the better of the two of late, going 8-8 SU in its last 16 games. 

ORLANDO is 18-31 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Atlanta is 3-1 SU/ATS L/3 at home in this series.

NBA Road teams vs. the money line (ORLANDO) - poor defensive team - shooting pct defense of 46%or less  on the season, hot shooting team - 3 straight games making 47%  or better of their shots are just 32-86 L5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Home teams (ATLANTA) - after 2 straight games - attempting 10+ less free throws than opponent against opponent after a game making 12 or more 3 point shots are 32-10 ATS L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Atlanta to cover 

Everyone loves how explosive the KC Chiefs are offensively, but the Pats behind a future HOF QB and coach are a solid wager here as underdogs. 

In each of the last three games Tom Brady has started in which the Patriots were a dog by a field goal or less... the Pats have won by DDs. 

NEW ENGLAND is 15-1 ATS after allowing 75 or less rushing yards last game over the last 3 seasons which was the case last week.

Patriots are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 playoff games and are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.KANSAS CITY is 3-13 ATS  in playoff games since 1992 and s 1-9 ATS  after gaining 400 or more total yards in 3 consecutive games.

NFL team vs the money line (NEW ENGLAND) - good team (outgain opp. by 40-100 YPG) against an average team (+/- 40 YPG) after 8+ games, after gaining 375 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games are 44-7 SU L/5 seasons and 11-1 SU this season! 

Play on New England to cover 

The Missouri State  Bears have won their last two MVC road games with recent wins at Indiana State & Bradley and are more than capable of hanging tough here and getting us the cover. Missouri State also has revenge on board for a pair of losses to Drake last season, by 61-58 and 76-73 scores. Note: The Blackies are 8-2 SU vs the Bulldogs with revenge  and get my backing here today. 

HC Ford of Missouri State  is 14-2 ATS in road games in January games in all games he has coached in his career. 

Play on Missouri State to cover 

 NFC Championship Game

The Rams. have played some of their best ball on the road going  14-3 SU away from the Coliseum under HC McVay,  dating back to last season and deserve our respect here as underdogs vs the New Orleans Saints.  The Rams D has been solid on the road this season, allowing an average of 19.9 ppg,  while it must be noted that the Saints offence has looked inconsistent down the stretch and have scored 14 or less points in 3 of their L/6 games, and only twice scored more than 20 points.  With that said, Im betting on the Rams keeping Drew Bree's and company to a minimum output while they themselves do enough damage to possibly  pull off the upset and more importantly cover the number. 

This  championship  round of the play offs has seen 13 lucky upset underdog winners since the  2000 campaign and I wont be surprised if the Rams add their names to that list after today.

NFL Road teams (LA RAMS) - excellent passing team (265 or better  PY/game) against a poor passing defence (230-265 PY/game), after allowing 7 or more passing yards/attempt in 2 straight games are 34-8 ATS L/10 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Rams to cover 

Oh boy how far the Cavs have fallen since the departure of their superstar LeBron James. Just take a look this line, and you will see their down quite a bit in the eyes of the public and lines makers. But pros don't like to be embarrassed, and now the NBA has embraced and accepted betting lines, you can bet that all the Cavs are aware of how thye are being perched tonight in the Mile High City and will be out to prove their detractors wrong and at least be competitive. I know the Cavs took it on the chin last night in Utah by a 115-99 count, but their well conditioned and young enough to push tonight and get us the cover on a slightly bloated line.

 Denver exploded on the ChicagoBulls last time out after being humbled by the Warriors in their previous game, but now after back to back all out efforts could be an a natural letdown spot here.The Nuggets are 0-12 ATS at home after they shot 50% or better from beyond the arc and are 6-6 SU in those games with non coming by more than 7 points.

DENVER is 0-7 ATS after scoring 120 points or more this season.

NBA Favorites of 10 or more points (DENVER) - excellent offensive team (102 PPG or better ) against a sub par defensive team (102 PPG or more) after 42+ games, after a blowout win by 20 points or more are 23-51 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Cleveland to cover 

ASU (12-5, 3-2 in Pac-12 play)shooting woes make them lousy favs here . On the season ASU is hitting just  .439 from the field and .342 from 3-point range but an nasty .654 from the line. Even though  Oregon is missing banged up with some injuries their key starter sophomore F Kenny Wooten is healthy again making them dangerous underdogs here tonight . 

ARIZONA ST is 1-11 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 45% or better of their shots after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons is 0-6 ATS versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or less  after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.

OREGON is 20-8 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons.

Play on Oregon to cover 

 Atlanta is up trending in my power rankings and are 7-7 SU in their L/14 games and deserve my respect here in this spot vs Boston on their own home court. The market thanks to the public money has pushed this line up  giving me an edge here with the home dog Hawks.  I know the Celtics have beat up on these kids in DD wins so far this season, but Atlanta as mentioned above is playing much better hoops of late and improving . Meanwhile, Boston is off playing last night vs Memphis  in a hard fought home win and on tired legs. This situation is a good omen for us here behind the young legs  of a Hawks group that is 4-0 ATS as dogs against unrested opposition this campaignvand that are  3-0-1 ATS at home when playing with 3 or more days of rest.  It must be noted that the Celtics are  just  0-6 ATS and 1-5 SU as road favs without rest.

Stevens is 2-15 ATS versus terrible defensive teams - allowing 110+ points/game - 2nd half of the season as the coach of BOSTON.BOSTON is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) when playing their 3rd game in 4 days this season.

Play on Atlanta to cover 

Temple has won 11 straight meetings in this series, but in recent battles here on the road Penn State has been very competitive and covered 7 of their L/9 visits. I know the Quakers have looked wobbly of late, without injured G Ryan Betley who is out for season, and are on on a 4 game losing streak, but now in desperation mode, will be ready to leave everything on the floor today. Note: PENNSYLVANIA is 21-8 ATS after 4 or more consecutive losses since 1997. You have to remember this is a PennState team that upended Villanova this season, and are not completely futile or without talent. 

TEMPLE is 0-6 ATS  as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points over the last 2 seasons.

Play on Penn State to cover 

 There was a key number that I was looking for in this Kentucky vs Auburn battle, and now that I have it will recommend we pull the trigger.  

Saturday's matchup between No. 12/14 Kentucky and No. 14/12 Auburn will mark the eighth time in the series' history the teams will meet while both are ranked in the Associated Press Top 25 and the first since No. 24 Auburn took on No. 4 Kentucky on Jan. 22, 2003. 

Kentucky owns a 92-19 all-time record in the series, including a 30-15 advantage when the game is played in Auburn. UK also has a lead in the series during the seven prior meetings when the teams were both ranked with a 6-1 edge.

John Calipari and Bruce Pearl have matched up head-to-head with ranked squads on four occasions, splitting the meetings 2-2. Calipari is 9-5 all-time against Pearl.

Auburn beat Kentucky last season and now we have revenge on board for Calipari in company. 

This game will feature an Auburn side that likes to smack down 3s and take an average of 35 a game, and HC Calipari despite of seeing his team struggle against treys will have his athletic side ready to respond here today. Note: Wildcats have held their last two opponent to 50 points or less , and are extremely capable of keeping this game close and even pulling off the upset vs the public favourite.  

Auburn is proving susceptible to fouls and giving up offensive rebounds,  Im betting the charity stripe and the Cats determination under the basket  will be a deciding factor in which side covers today. 

Play on Kentucky to cover 

Oklahoma City played a hard fought tilt last time out, and than lost in OT by 10 points to the Lakers , which is a huge drain on a team both emotionally and physically. Now travelling from West to East going against a Philadelphia team that is starting to uptrend both from a talent and maturity level, and that plays their best hoops at home Im betting the Thunder will be on the wrong end of this score when the final buzzer goes off. Note: OKLAHOMA CITY is 1-10 ATS  off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

Even if J Embild does not play today for the 76ers Im betting they find a way to win. 

NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (PHILADELPHIA) - hot shooting team - 2 straight games making 50%  or more of their shots against opponent after 2 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 50% or higher are 59-9 L/22 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Philadelphia to cover 

Even though this game is being played at Kent State I have this tilt projected as a pickem, making N.Illinois a value selection here according to my estimates. NIU has revenge on board for a  61-59 loss in last years tourney to Kent State and are a experienced team  with 5 returning starters that can get things done .  Northern Illinois has covered 6 of the L/7 meetings and gets the nod again. 

Note: Kent State picked up a big win last time out as home pups , but in the past KENT ST is  just 6-16 ATS  in home games off an upset win as an underdog  and are  0-10 ATS at home when coming off a Straight up underdog win and facing opposition coming off a SU/ATS loss.. 

N ILLINOIS is 8-1 ATS  in a road game where the total is 145 to 149.5 over the last 3 seasons.

Play on Northern Illinois to cover 

Both these programs are down a notch this season, with West Virginia getting the most trash talk from the pundits. If anyone thinks that West Virginia's proud hoops program will now roll over and die, because of a bad start might be in for a surprise especially opposing betting detractors as HC Huggy Bear is 6-0 ATS L/6 at home as a dog. What Im betting here to happen in Morgantown is that the Mounties will have plenty of fight left in them vs a Kansas program that has not faired well here in the recent past as is evident by a their 1-5 ATS mark here in their L/6 visits. 

KANSAS is 2-11 ATS  after having won 12 or more of their last 15 games over the last 2 seasons.W VIRGINIA is 13-3 ATS  in home games after 3 or more consecutive overs since 1997. W VIRGINIA is 15-6 ATS  in home games after a game where they failed to cover the spread over the last 3 seasons.

Play on West Virginia to cover 

Talk about a huge letdown situation as Syracuse comes home off a huge win vs Duke last time out on the road. Wow. But hey you have to remember that Duke was off a thrilling tight win vs Florida State previous to that  and were flat for that affair vs the Orange in their followup. Now The Panthers who are starting to play much better  go against another emotionally drained team, and could easily spring a ugly upset here, much like Syracuse did to Duke. This Pittsburgh program has also been a cash ATS for their backers going  22-8 ATS in the series, including 5-0 ATS as dogs of 6 or more points and really must not be underestimated in this situational play. Remember the Orange are far from infallible at home as was the case when they lost outright to Georgia Tech as 8.5 point home chalk already this season. 

Take the points here with Pittsburgh to cover 

Golden State is playing some top tier basketball at the moment , but their hosts the LAClippers have proven themselves to be very competitive group vs strong units,  and  are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600 with the underdog recording a  4-0 ATS record  in the last 4 meetings. Earlier this season, the Warriors beat the Clippers by a 129-127 count at home, and now with revenge on board, are ready to spring an upset and be very competitive again. 

NBA Home teams vs. the money line (LA CLIPPERS) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off an upset loss by 15 points or more as a home favorite are 25-5 SU L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rare for bettors.

NBA Home underdogs (LA CLIPPERS) - revenging a road loss vs opponent, off an upset loss by 15 points or more as a favorite are 54-21 ATS L/23 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors.

Warriors are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Warriors are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games playing on 1 days rest.Warriors are 5-16-1 ATS in their last 22 vs. Western Conference.Warriors are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game.Warriors are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 vs. NBA Pacific.Warriors are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game.

GOLDEN STATE has failed to cover 19 of their L/25  when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. GOLDEN STATE is 3-15 ATS  as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season. 

Play on the LA Clippers to cover 

Portland comes in off an easy 129-112 home victory over Cleveland and I am betting they will be much fresher than a Pelicans team playing their  4th consecutive road game on what will be a 5 game west coast road trip and also  off a hard fought emotional back and forth loss to the Golden State Warriors last time out. With Portland playing at home where they have won 19 of 26 games this season, they have an edge. Note: New Orleans has lost 18 of 24 road games this season and are 4-13 ATS off a road loss this season and  2-11 ATS after playing two consecutive road game this season. 

PORTLAND is 10-1 ATS in home games after scoring 105 points or more 5 straight games over the last 2 seasons.PORTLAND is 39-26 ATS  in home games over the last 2 seasons. 

NBA Road underdogs (NEW ORLEANS) - after a road game where both teams score 100 or more points, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season are 59-109 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 65% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Portland to cover 

These teams are operating at the proverbial opposite end of the performance spectrum. With Brooklyn winning 15 of 20 while Orlando has lost 15 of their L/20. However, Orlando after losing a  120-115 overtime road loss against the Detroit Pistons on Wednesday a game that that were leading late, are in desperation mode, and feeling a little humiliated which Im betting makes them dangerous in this spot. Meanwhile, the Nets  exerted alot of energy last time out making big time comebacks in regulation and  then eventually in overtime Wednesday to record a surprising 145-142 road victory over a top tier  Houston Rocket side and could now easily be in an emotional letdown situation, making the home team a viable underdog here. 

The Magic have won 16 of their past 21 home games against the Nets.

Magic are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games.Magic are 9-1-1 ATS in their last 11 vs. NBA Atlantic.Magic are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

Nets are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

Home team is 5-2-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings.

Play on the Orlando Magic to cover 

My own head to head power rankings makes Sacramento State a possible SU upset underdog here at N.Arizona in this big Sky Conference tilt.

Sacramento State are off a heart breaking 72-70 home loss to Idaho State on Saturday, and are now desperate for a win. Sacramento State (6-7, 0-4)  are the lone team in the Big Sky without a conference win,  but are better than their record indicates as the Hornets could just as easily be 3-1 in league play, but thanks to their conditioning and concentration deficiencies the  Hornets have had trouble in the later stages of the second half in three of their conference losses. Note: Sacramento State had a 63-58 lead  slip away with 2:30 remaining vs. Northern Colorado, trailed just, 69-67, with 4:00 left at Montana State, and held a 64-62 lead with 2:38 left this past Saturday vs. Idaho State. Bad Breaks, also played a part, and like all good ad bad runs must come to end eventually which Im betting will be the case again tonight . 

Last season, in these teams' only meeting, Sacramento State held a nine-point halftime lead in Flagstaff before NAU outscored the Hornets by a 40-26 margin on the way to a 58-53 Lumberjack victory. The Hornets missed each of their last five FG attempts,  and did not score during the final 2:18, and watched NAU close the last minute on a 6-0 run. Just a couple breaks here tonight for the bad news Hornets and they will take home a  desperately needed victory and more importantly a cover for us . 

• Sacramento State had been 6-2 prior to the current five-game losing streak, so their not completely futile, and have the edge on this line .Sacramento State's four conference losses have come against four of the top five teams in the Big Sky standings.

HC Katz is 15-6 ATS in road games versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games as the coach of SACRAMENTO ST.

N ARIZONA is 14-30 ATS L/44 at home when the line is +3 to -3.

Play on Sacramento State to cover 

Belmont enters the 2018-19 season as one of only six non-Power 5 programs to post a Top 100 RPI each of the last eight seasons and must be respected every time they go to court no matter where the game is taking place. FROM A MATCHUP PERSPECTIVE Belmont according to my power rankings should be -2 favs here on the road vs this top tier Jacksonville State hoops program  and are the superior team. The last time these teams met  last season the Bruins were embarrassed at home by a 83-73 count and now HC Byrd will have team ready for some payback. 

CBB Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (BELMONT) - off 3 or more consecutive home wins are 100-48 ATS L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors.

CBB Road teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (BELMONT) - off 3 or more consecutive home wins, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 80%) are 25-4 SU L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Belmont to cover 

The Sixers are a upper echelon NBA team that still has some growing up to do, as their young roster still has not found a way to harness or sustain their energy levels.The Sixers despite of being ultra talented are inconsistent especially on the road where they find themselves tonight in Indiana to play the Pacers. Their futility when it comes to their betting backers bankrolls has been significantly effected as is evident by their sub .500 away record of 10-12 SU and 8-14 ATS. The Sixers also make a habit of following up explosive performances,  like the one they had last time out vs Minnesota ( 149-107)with average at best outputs as is evident by the following trends...PHILADELPHIA is 0-7 ATS in road games after a win by 10 points or more this season and is 2-10 ATS  in road games after 1 or more consecutive wins this season and is 4-12 ATS after scoring 120 points or more this season. Tonight against a equally talented Pacers squad, Im betting their in trouble. Note: The 76ers are just 1-5 ATS vs .600 or better opposition on the road this season. With that said, Im recommending we take Indiana to cover as short home chalk. 

INDIANA is 33-16 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 46% or better of their shots over the last 2 seasons.INDIANA is 39-26 ATS as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

NBA  teams where the line is +3 to -3 (PHILADELPHIA) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite against opponent after a cover as a double digit favorite are 8-33 ATS L/23 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (PHILADELPHIA) - in a game involving two average defensive teams (43.5-45.5%) after 42+ games, after a game where a team made 55% of their shots or better are 6-28 ATS L/23 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Indiana to cover 

Golden State came out last night with something to prove and walloped the Denver Nuggets in a start to finish beatdown. Working that hard and exerting that much energy especially in the thin air of the Mile High City , and then hopping on a flight home, will Im betting see the champs exhausted and running on fumes as this game against the visiting Pelicans progresses .With that said, look for a offensively capable New Orleans squad to come out here and actually give the dubs a run for their money in Oakland tonight. 

The Warriors are 1-6 ATS L/7 at home with no rest and are 0-4 ATS when coming off a revenge tilt which they had last night vs the Nuggets for a previous loss.

NEW ORLEANS is 19-8 ATS in road games versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

GOLDEN STATE is 3-15 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season with a negative point diff of 0.7 ppg.

Play on the New Orleans Pelicans to cover 

 Boston and Toronto according to power rankings and  my head to head projections on a a neutral floor  are -2 chalk.  However, with Boston enjoying home court advantage here tonight, the line should be closer to Boston -3 at thus giving us value with this number. It must also be noted that the Raptors: 0-4 L4 in a division road game with the series host  going 7-0 ATS L/7. Im betting nothing changes tonight. 

The season series between the Raptors and Celtics is tied at 1, with each team winning at home. The Raptors won 113-101 on Oct. 19, and the Celtics won 123-116 in overtime Nov. 16

Raptors are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 vs. Eastern Conference. .Raptors are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Raptors are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Raptors are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 road games.Raptors are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game.Raptors are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game.

Celtics are 17-5-1 ATS in their last 23 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600..BOSTON is 14-3 ATS  in home games versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.Stevens is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct.  70% or more) - 2nd half of the season as the coach of BOSTON.

NBA Underdogs (TORONTO) - after going over the total by more than 18 points in their previous game, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 23-61 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Boston to cover 

The Bulldogs are looking for their second MVC win of the season while the Bradley Braves are winless to date in league action. The Bulldogs have won two of the last three meetings between the two teams and are hungry to get back into the win column after a road loss at UNI. With that look for Drake  a good ball moving team and an explosive down town shooting side, that averages 79.2 points per game this season, the highest mark in the Valley and 63rd nationally to be dangerous underdogs vs a struggling side.

BRADLEY is 1-8 ATS versus good passing teams, averaging 16 or more assists/game over the last 3 seasons.

BRADLEY is 1-7 ATS  as a home favorite or pick this season.

Drake is 11 -4 ATS on the season, and get the nod again.

Play on Drake to cover 

Evansville is a tough team that plays hard and will not be easily intimidated even though this a transition season, not even here on the road vs very good Missouri State team . It must also be noted that the Purple Aces have only lost one of their L/9 by more than this point spread. They did lose last time out, in a letdown situation after upsetting league leaders Loyola Chicago in a previous game,  but this team has shown resilience especially for their betting backers off of defeat as HC McCarty is 7-0 ATS  after 1 or more consecutive losses as the coach of EVANSVILLE. 

MISSOURI ST is 4-15 ATS in home games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.

Play on Evansville to cover 

The Magic are playing well as is evident by back to back wins vs top tier opponents the Boston Celtics and Houston Rockets. After those victories  Orlando is brimming with confidence, something the group from Motown is not exhibiting .  The Pistons have lost 15 of their L/19  overall and even when they work hard are losing, and now in a state of despair they are fade material.

Tonight despite of going against a lower tier Magic team their problems wont be easily taken care of, as the Magic sport a 7-1 ATS mark here on this floor while the Pistons, are 1-11 home vs .500 or less  non-div conference  opposition. 

DETROIT is 9-21 ATS in home games after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games over the last 3 seasons. 

NBA teams(DETROIT) - poor three point shooting team (33% or less) against an average 3PT defense (33-36.5%), after a game - attempting 20+ less free throws than opponent are 23-72 SU L/23 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Orlando to cover 

Iowa enters this game against Penn State on a 3 game win streak, and Im betting it reaches four after tonight. Whats makes Iowa a up trending team on my power rankings is their ability to play a much better bran of defence than in the past as is evident by at he Hawkeyes  80th overall rankings  in the nation in adjusted defensive efficiency, according to KenPom. That’s  up significantly fro their  242nd  ranking last season. Tonight I look for their defence to be the difference maker vs a  Penn State side that is  struggling to score points. The Nittany Lions are the only team to average fewer than 60 points in conference play, and they shot only 36.7 percent from the field in a 71-56 loss against No. 6 Michigan State on Sunday. It must also be noted that visiting Hawkeyes have had  this tilt circled  on their calendars since the two losses they suffered in this series last season and will be primed for payback. Note: Iowa is 6-1 SU L/7 with revenge in this series.Penn State is 0-4 SU/ATS in conference play this season. I know Iowa's  leading scorer  Tyler Cook might not play tonight because of some nagging injuries, but  they got the job done without him vs Northwestern while showing their residence, and tonight they have the guns to get things done again.

Play on Iowa to cover 

 The Nuggets have been playing at a high level lately, especially at home, where they are 18-3 SU and have won their last 12, while the visiting defending champs Golden State have been playing very inconsistent  basketball despite of being healthy and from a betting perspective are just 4-11 ATS L/15 overall and not as ferocious as they once were. The last time these teams played here the Nuggets triumphed and Im betting they get the  cover here in this spot. 

 DENVER is 22-10 ATSwhen playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 3 seasons

The Nuggets are 13-0 ATS/SU  at home with rest off a win in which there were eight-plus lead changes and it is before the All-Star break.DENVER is 12-1 ATS in home games after 1 or more consecutive wins this season.DENVER is 17-5 ATS in home games against Pacific division opponents over the last 3 seasons

GOLDEN STATE is 2-14 ATS on Tuesday nights over the last 2 seasons . GOLDEN STATE is 8-18 ATS against Northwest division opponents over the last 2 seasons. 

Play on Denver to cover 

Kermit Davis took over a  Ole Miss hoops program in transition, but has surprised with his ability to get the most out of this group especially with what looks to be the best backcourt in the nation, with. Devontae Shuler, Terence Davis and Breein Tyree.  Tonight however, despite of being  undefeated  in SEC play and at home this season, his Rebs will have his hands full, with a LSU Tigers side  that has gotten progressively better after  a  eight-man rotation has been put in place. I have projected one possession game so we have value taking points here with the underdog. 

CBB road team vs. the money line (LSU) - in a game involving two excellent free throw shooting teams (73% or better ), average ball handling team (14.5-17.5 TO) vs. a good ball handling team (14.5 TO or less ) after 15+ games have won 18 of the L/29 such matchups SU, for a 62% conversion rate for bettors with the average point differential clicking in at 3 points per game which gives us value on this line.

Play on LSU to cover 

The Hawks are starting to play much better basketball of late winning 7 of their L/14 SU and have  covered 10 of their L/18 overall  and despite of losing by DDs, to a top tier  Milwaukee side  in their last home game were competitive in that tilt for 3 quarters. Note: 

Hawks are 35-16 ATS in their last 51 games following a double-digit loss at home.Hawks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss.ATLANTA in their L/24 games  after allowing 110 points or more 3 straight games over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined average point diff of 2.2 ppg.

In 18 home games this season this young Hawks side, has also not been an easy out with the average point differential clicking in at 6 ppg. Meanwhile, Oklahoma City is only 12 -10 on the road this season, with the average point differential with coming by an average  roughy 3 ppg.Hawks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss.

NBA Road teams vs. the money line (OKLAHOMA CITY) - poor three point shooting team (33% or less) against a poor 3PT defense (36.5% or more ), good ball handling team (14.5 or less TO) vs. an average pressure defense (14.5-16.5 TO) after 42+ games are just 10-32 SU L/5 seasons  for a go against 76 % with the average point diff clicking in at 7.9 ppg.

Play on Atlanta to cover