Since these teams have met earlier this season, the Utes D has become more physical and has come together and currently showing alot of chemistry. Im betting the Utes physicality and grit will be the difference maker in the rematch.Entering the Pac-12 Championship game, Utah leads the Pac-12 in third down and fourth down defense, first downs defense, passing defense, rushing defense, scoring defense, total defense and time of possession.  

It must be noted that on the season the Utes have the PPG differential advantage , winning by +19.3 as  compared to USC’s +16.2 ppg diff average. •    The Utes are averaging 39.4 points per game, ranking 10th nationally.

Utah is the only team in the Pac-12 that ranks in the top-20 nationally in both scoring offense and defense, ranking 10th and 19th.    In the last three games, Utah has been averaging 67.3 yards per scoring drive while averaging 51.4 in the previous nine games.  Utah is averaging 26.4 first downs per game while holding opponents to 15.5, ranking fourth in first down offense and 11th in first downs defense in the FBS.  

Note:Extending plays is Utah's specialty this season, ranking eighth in the FBS in third down conversions (.503)Utah ranks fifth in both sacks allowed and tackles for loss allowed per game in the country.

UTAH is 22-10 ATS L/32  in road games when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct.  75% or better. )  UTAH is 22-7 ATS  after allowing 75 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games since 1992.

USC is 7-18 ATS in December games since 1992.

CFB  team (USC) - excellent offensive team (6.2 or more  YPP) against a team with a poor defense (5.6 to 6.2 YPP), after allowing 6.75 or more yards/play 2 consecutive games are 11-39 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors.

CFB  team (UTAH) - excellent rushing team (4.8 or more  YPR) against a poor rushing defense (4.3 to 4.8 YPR) after 7+ games, after outrushing opponent by 125 or more yards last game are 34-13 ATS L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Utah to cover

Denver has won 4 straight games with the last 3 victories coming by DDs and are currently playing at a very high level and deserve respect here as short road favs. Meanwhile, Atlanta has lost 3 of their L/4 and 4 of their L/6 and have failed to cover 6 of their L/8 tilts overall. I know the Hawks won their last time out, but that was against very inconsistent Orlando side. Note:  Home underdogs vs. the money line (ATLANTA) - after leading in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half (which was the case vs the Magic) are just 38-118 SU L/26 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at -5 easily qualifying on this ATS offering. 

Hawks are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

Hawks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS win.

ATLANTA is 12-24 ATS versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more  of their attempts over the last 2 seasons. 

ATLANTA is 0-8 ATS in home games in December games over the last 3 seasons.

Play on Denver to cover 

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

LONG ISLAND is 6-0 ATS  in home games after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.

CBB road team (TOWSON ST) - after going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last seven games, a top-level team (80% or better) playing a team with a losing record are 2-26 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 93% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Long Island to cover 

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

 
The Flashes are coming off two competitive losses to 6-1 College of Charleston (74-72) and current No. 1 Houston (49-44). the last game was particularly grueling and Im betting will put the Flash in a letdown mode here making them vulnerable . 

S DAKOTA ST is 33-18 ATS  versus good defensive teams - allowing 64 or less points/game .

CBB Home teams as a favorite or pick (KENT ST) - a good offensive team (74-78 PPG) against an average offensive team (67-74 PPG), after 2 straight losses by 6 points or less are 6-30 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors.

South Dakota State to cover 

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

St.Josephs have lost two straight by DDs, while Penn has won 4 straight and the last 3 by DDs. Im betting on both these trends continuing here today and are chosen side to cover.

PENNSYLVANIA is 9-1 ATS in home games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. PENNSYLVANIA is 6-0 ATS in home games after 3 consecutive non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

CBB road team vs. the money line (ST JOSEPHS) - poor foul drawing team from last season - attempted

The Knicks took down the Pistons, last night  but now on tired legs  as they now play back-to-back set  vs the  Milwaukee Bucks . This wont  be  as easy a task as playing a short handed squad yesterday. . The /bucks are currently in top form and off strong wins vs the Cavaliers and Mavericks and Im betting the magick of 3 is in play tonight. 

NEW YORK is 1-9 ATS   in home games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons. NEW YORK is 5-21 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. NEW YORK is 5-17 ATS   in home games after 1 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons. Thibodeau is 2-11 ATS  in home games in November games as the coach of NEW YORK.

MILWAUKEE is 9-1 ATS  in road games versus poor 3 point shooting teams - making 33% or less of their attempts over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (NEW YORK) - after beating the spread by more than 24 points in their previous game are 6-29 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Milwaukee to win/cover

 Sharks goaltender Kaapo Kahkonen stopped 28 shots in Montreal to earn his third career shutout last time out but Im betting he wont be as lucky or good here tonight.  Kahkonen has a 3-5-2 record with an .884 save percentage. The Sharks won for just the second time in their past seven games (2-4-1) and are at a disadvantage in this road game vs a Leafs side that has won 4 straight games and 5 of their L/6 overall. 

TORONTO is 23-4 ATS  in home games after playing a road game over the last 2 seasons with the average gpg clicking at +1.7. 

NHL home Favorites of -200 to -300 against the money line (TORONTO) - extremely tired team - playing 8 or more games in 14 days, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season are 26-0 L/5 seasons for a 100% conversion rate with the average gpg diff clicking in at +2.3. 

Play on Toronto -1.5 to win 

Since they last met in June, the Mavericks have had this rematch circled on their calendars. I know the Mavericks are currently not playing at the same level as the Warriors , but Im betting with revenge on their minds and redemption as a goal , here on their own home floor they deserve respect having won 8 of 11 tilts this season . It must also be noted that the Warriors despite of their strong play have had problems on the road and have only garnered  wins in their L/11 road games. GOLDEN STATE is 24-38 ATS  in road games over the last 2 seasons.

Warriors are 8-20 ATS in their last 28 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Warriors are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Warriors are 3-7 ATS in the last 10 meetings in Dallas.

Play on Dallas Mavericks to cover 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.

CBB Road teams with a money line of +135 to -155/ATS  (UC-SANTA BARBARA) - good 3PT shooting team (36.5% or more ) against a poor 3PT defense (36.5% or better ), after a game where a team made 60% of their shots or better are 32-5 SU/ATS L/26 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on UC Santa Barbara to cover

After a fast start to their season Utah has really cooled off but this is a good matchup for them here at home vs a Chicago Bulls side that has been highly inconsistent this season. The Jazz are off a heart breaking loss to the Suns on the road but proved their the really deal and here in the friendly confines of  Vivint Arena where they are 6-2 SU have na edge. Jazz are also  9-4-1 ATS in their last 14 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

CHICAGO is 20-34 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more  of their shots over the last 2 seasons. CHICAGO is 4-14 ATS  in road games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Home teams vs. the money line (UTAH) - excellent shooting team (47% or more) against an terrible defensive team (47% or more ), average ball handling team (14.5-16.5 TO's) against an average pressure defense (14.5-16.5 TO's) are 35-3 L/5 seasons for a 92% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Road underdogs (CHICAGO) - off an upset loss as a road favorite, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season are 7-32 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 82% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Utah to cover 

Pittsburgh is being under rated here in this matchup vs the Colts especially with JJ watts in the lineup. His energy permeates through this team and gives them an extra charge.  The Steelers are  8-0-1 ATS in the last nine matchups  versus AFC South opponents, while the Colts  are just 1-6 ATS L/7 vs AFC North opponents.

The  Steelers are 16-2 SU L/18 in this series, including 2-0 SUATS as a pup. I know the Colts have played better of late, but this team is still in disarray and fade material in my humble betting opinion. 

Pittsburgh 8-1 ATS L/ 9 MNF vs division opposition

Play Pittsburgh to cover . 

The Eagles had to get down and dirty in a come from behind  in the 4th quarter last week to garner a  17-16 win vs Indianapolis and will now be in an unfortunate emotional letdown situation vs a very hungry Green Bay side. I know the Packers fell flat on their faces last week losing as favs , but it must be noted that  QB Aaron Rodgers is 10-1 SU/ATS as a pup when the Packers are coming off a SU favorite loss. Rodgers is a very streaky QB, and dont be surprised if he finishes this season on fire, starting tonight in Philly on national TV. 

It must also be noted that Philly has lost the stats wars in 3 of their L/6 games and are being over rated by the pundits in my humble betting opinion. 

PHILADELPHIA is 14-31 ATS  in a home game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 points since 1992.

NFL Underdogs or pick (GREEN BAY) - after a game where they committed no turnovers against opponent after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse are 26-4 L/5 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors.

NFLHome favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (PHILADELPHIA) - hot team, after having won 8 or more out of their last 10 games, top level team, winning 75% or more of their games, in the second half of the season are 5-24 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Green Bay Packers to cover

Indiana has been playing some viable basketball this season, while the Clippers have been inconsistent and on a 2 game losing run. However, its been a long standing mistake many pundits make under estimating the Clippers abilities even when Leonard and George are sidelined.Im betting on the Clippers undervalued depth and grit to triump here and get is the cover.

Lue is 32-17 ATS  in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 as the coach of LA CLIPPERS.

NBA Road favorites (INDIANA) - off a home win by 10 points or more, on Sunday games are 9-38 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors. 

Pacers are 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings.

Play on LA Clippers to cover 

The Warriors  against the Timberwolves in last seasons meetings , won by an average of 11 points in two home games, but lost by an average of 17.5 in two visits to Minnesota.Karl-Anthony Towns was key on the home wins for the Wolves garnering  26 points and 11 rebounds to a 119-99 romp in January, then 39 points and nine rebounds to a 129-114 triumph in March. Rinse and repeat pattern on board here with the line favoring the Wolves. 

GOLDEN STATE is 1-9 ATS  in road games this season. GOLDEN STATE is 11-24 ATS  on the road when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons.

NBA Road favorites (GOLDEN STATE) - off a home win by 10 points or more, on Sunday games are 9-38 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (MINNESOTA) - after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 55-15 ATS L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Minnesota Wolves to cover

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.

Canisius has made 10-or more treys in four of the first five games. Dangerous downtown shooting side that deserves respect as underdogs. 

CBB Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (BUFFALO) - poor defensive team (45-47.5%) against a horrible defensive team (47.5% or more ), average ball handling team (14.5-17.5 TO's) against an average pressure defense (14.5-17.5 TO's) are 31-9 ATS L/26 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Canisius to cover

The Jets averaged 2.1 yards per play in last Sundays defeat at the hands of the New England Pats and don't deserve this much respect based on having a overall strong D. QB Wilson will not start this week, but any back up pivot Im betting wont fair much better . Yes, I do know QB Justin Fields is not 100% but his legs are dangerous offensive weapons and if he does not play pounding the ball on the ground is not a foreign concept of moving the ball for the Bears giving them an advantage in this type of matchup. 

NY JETS are 19-34 ATS  off a road loss against a division rival since 1992. NY JETS are 22-38 ATS in home games in non-conference games since 1992.

NFL Home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (NY JETS) - in a game involving two average teams (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 8 or more games, after allowing 3 points or less in the first half last game are 13-40 ATS L/39 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate. 

CHICAGO is 6-1 against the spread versus NY JETS since 1992 and have covered their L/3 visits to NYJ. 

Chicago is 4-0 ATS L/4 vs AFC East opposition.

Play on the Chicago Bears to cover 

After watching these teams play last night Im betting there is value on taking the road team to grab their 2nd straight win in this series. Matchup discrepancies were obvious favoring the Lakers. Injury updates: 

[SF] LeBron James (Adductor) - Probable [11/21/2022] James is battling an adductor injury but will take the court for the Lakers.

[C] Anthony Davis (Back) - Probable [11/19/2022]  Davis is dealing with a back injury and is expected to take the court for the Lakers.

NBA Favorites vs. the money line (LA LAKERS) - after a win by 10 points or more against opponent after 3 straight losses by 10 points or more are 38-3 L/5 seasons for a 93% conversion rate! 

Play on the LA Lakers to win /cover

 App State enters this game as a weak favorite in my betting opinion as their 2-7 ATS record in lined games would indicate as well as a ugly  1-7 ATS record  as a chalk. The Mounties have also failed to cover 4 straight and despite of a boatload full of talent seem like their missing decent chemistry.  On the flip-side we  have to remember that the home side needs a victory here to garner a Bowl invite so they will leave it on the field today .APPALACHIAN ST is 1-9 ATS  in road games vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 58% or better. over the last 3 seasons.Clark is 11-21 ATS  as a favorite as the coach of APPALACHIAN ST. G Southern is 4-0 ATS L/4 home finales.

Play on Georgia Southern to cover 

Iowa State takes on  a perfect 10-0 TCU side that is off a late FG win in a grueling tilt vs Baylor last time out and could easily find themselves in a letdown situation this Saturday. Add to that Iowa State despite of not being Bowl eligible have played much better down the stretch than earlier in the season and have out yarded their L/5 opponents . This could easily be the Cyclones biggest and most important game of the season from a personal perspective and I expect we see them leave everything on the field versus a side easily looking ahead to their upcoming Big 12 championship game. 

Iowa State has covered 6 straight aas conference road pups and are 3-0 ATS L/3 in this series as underdogs. 

Campbell is 15-6 ATS vs. excellent passing teams averaging 8.5 or more passing yards/att. as the coach of IOWA ST.

CFB road team (IOWA ST) - poor rushing team - averaging 3.25 or less rushing yards/carry are 179-106 ATS L/5 seasons for a 63% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Iowa State to cover 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Two of Utah Valley's three losses this season have come in overtime. The Wolverines dropped a 68-65 overtime decision at Wake Forest before falling 73-72 in overtime to Morgan State and they must not be underestimated in their ability to go head to head against a top tier side like Boise State .Madsen is 13-5 ATS versus struggling  3 point shooting teams - making 31% or less  of their attempts as the coach of UTAH VALLEY ST.BOISE ST is 0-7 ATS  in home games after 2 straight games with 12 or less assists over the last 2 season.

CBB  team (BOISE ST) - poor shooting team (40-42.5%) against an good defensive team (40-42.5%), after 2 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 37% or less are 18-49 L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Utah Valley to cover 

Play Utah Valley to cover

Liberty is off a 1 point loss to Vtech last week and are not in a good mood. This Liberty side is known as the king of cripple killers and Im betting their wrath has no end this week, against a side they overwhelmingly matchup up well against. Note: Liberty has crushed  sub  par .333 opponents by an average of  33 ppg in their L/17 opportunities  and  have covered  and won these events. 7-0 straight times in lined tilts. Rinse and repeat. 

Play on Liberty to cover 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

 Princeton is 13th in defensive rebounding percentage and NU is 105th in offensive rebounding percentage and these 2nd chance opportunities will be a difference maker today.

 Princeton to cover 

After playing Illinois last week Michigan is bruised and banged up and Im betting that  will effect their performance this week vs. revenge minded Ohio State side that has had this game circled on their calendar for a while now after getting shellacked by a 42-27 count last season at the hands of the wolverines. CFB Road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (MICHIGAN) - off 3 straight wins against conference rivals against opponent off a double digit road win are 20-50 ATS L/30 seasons for a 72% conversion rate. 

Play on Ohio State to cover 

 Things are bad in San Antonio land of late , but dont be surprised if the Spurs put up a valiant effort here vs a Lakers side that seems to over look losing sides when on the road. Note: Lakers are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.

Lakers are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 road games.

Popovich is 29-15 ATS  after 2 straight losses by 10 points or more as the coach of SAN ANTONIO.

NBA team (SAN ANTONIO) - struggling  defensive team - shooting pct defense of 50% or worse on the season, averaging 48 or less rebounds/game on the season are 33-9 ATS L/26 seasons for a 76% conversion rate. 

NBA Home teams (SAN ANTONIO) - average 3PT shooting team (33-36.5%) against a poor 3PT shooting team (33% or less), poor ball handling team (16.5 or more  TO's) against an average ball handling team (14.5-16.5 TO's) are 103-47 ATS L/26 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors.

The Kings are  off a 115-106 loss at Atlanta on Wednesday that ended a seven-game winning run and now Im betting they suffer a 2nd straight loss and also fail to cover vs an explosive Boston side that has won 10 of their L/12 behind the leagues top duo of  Tatum and Brown.BOSTON is 23-11 ATS  after having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games over the last 2 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at +10.4. Note:The Kings have played just six games so far against elite teams with winning records, and own a sub par 2-4 record. NBA Home favorites SU (BOSTON) - an excellent offensive team (118 or more  PPG) against a sub par defensive team (114-118 PPG) are 27-1 L/28 opportunities with the average ppg diff clicking in at +12.1 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. 

Play on the Boston Celtics to cover

Arkansas known as inconsistent football program under HC Pitman is off a huge win vs Miss last time out and now Bowl eligible will be in huge letdown spot vs a Missouri program that had success in this series over the years. Note: Arkansas has lost 11 of their L/15 off a upset win. 

ARKANSAS is 11-25 ATS L/37 as a road favorite . 

Drinkwitz is 9-2 ATS  versus excellent offensive teams - averaging 450 yards/game as the coach of MISSOURI.

MISSOURI is 11-2 ATS L/13 in home games versus inconsistent defensive teams - allowing 6.25  or more yards/play.

CFB Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (ARKANSAS) - after allowing 6.25 or more yards/play in their previous game against opponent after out gaining opp by 175 or more total yards in their previous game are 29-62 ATS L/30 seasons for a go against 68% conversion rate. 

MISSOURI is 3-0 against the spread versus ARKANSAS .MISSOURI is 4-0 straight up against ARKANSAS at Arkansas. 

Play on Missouri to cover 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.  .

Amaker is 18-7 ATS as a home underdog of 3 points or less or pick in all games he has coached since 1997.

CBB road team (LOYOLA-IL) - poor foul drawing team from last season - attempted 18 or less  free throws/game, team from a second tier division 1-A conference against a team from a mid-major conference are 10-36 L/5 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors.

CBB road team vs. the money line (LOYOLA-IL) - poor foul drawing team from last season - attempted 18  or less free throws/game, team from a second tier division 1-A conference against a team from a mid-major conference are 8-38 L/5 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Harvard to cover  

Both these teams have identical 9-2 records on the season, and their only recent losses have both come to UCF in closely contested affairs. The difference maker today will come via Bearcats home field advantage and the fact this is a football program is use to high pressure games and will not fold under any kind of pressure. This is not the case for Tulane. 

CFB home team vs. the money line (CINCINNATI) - off a double digit road win, in a game involving two top-level teams ( 80% or better) are 36-4 L/5 seasons for a 90% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +12.1.

Play on Cincinnati cover

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.  .

Wooden Legacy - Anaheim Convention Center - Anaheim, CA

The Huskies and Gaels meet for the first time since the 2018 NIT Tournament and eighth time in history, with the Dawgs holding a 6-1 edge. Washington advanced to the final with a 62-57 win over Fresno State on Wednesday while Saint Mary's topped Vanderbilt. The Huskies won the Wooden Legacy in 2014 and last played on Thanksgiving Day in 2015.

WASHINGTON is 8-1 ATS  versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. WASHINGTON is 13-2 ATS  versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 18  or less free throws/game over the last 2 seasons. WASHINGTON is 6-0 ATS  in road games after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread over the last 3 seasons.

CBB Neutral court teams (ST MARYS-CA) - after going over the total by 36 or more points total in their last five games, in November games are 25-62 L/25 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at -4.6 . 

Play on Washington to cover

Wow it was a crazy week for both these sides last time out on the gridiron. The 8-2 Vikings took their worst home loss since 1963 and the Pats after looking asleep at the wheel  for most of their game vs the Jets took a walk off win with a punt return for the length of the field. Now Im betting on a complete reversal of sorts as a huge redemption minded bounce back for the Vikes is in play and for karma to instantly strike back at the Pats vs an embarrassed side looking to gain back some self respect. Im betting on Minnesota to make it 5-0 SU/ATS L/5 Thanksgiving days games.

MINNESOTA is 12-2 ATS  in home games after a loss by 21 or more points since 1992.

Play on the Minnesota Vikings to cover 

London Basketball Classic - Copper Box Arena - London,

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.  .

Play on Army to cover

Milwaukee has won 6 of the L/7 meetings vs Chicago and 5 of those wins have come by DDs with the smallest margin of victory coming by 7 points which is what we are being asked to coincidently cover here by backing the Bucks tongiht. From a power ranking and SRS perspective we actually have value backing the home side here. I know the Bulls are off an impressive win vs Boston last time out, but now Im betting a letdown scenario taking hold and for the Bucks not to be caught looking ahead and primed to crush a division competitor. Milwaukee ranks 7th in the league with a 3.28 mark and Chicago ranks 12th with a 1.37. Adding in my own power ranking adjustments this line should be closer to -9 giving us enough room for a full possession cover. There -6 available.

 SRS - Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average

Budenholzer is 49-20 ATS vs. division opponents as the coach of MILWAUKEE with the average ppg diff clicking in at +13. 

CHICAGO is 39-56 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons

NBA Road underdogs (CHICAGO) - good shooting team (45.5-47.5%) against an average shooting team (43.5-45.5%), average ball handling team (14.5-16.5 TO's) against a good ball handling team (14.5 or less  TO's) are 13-34 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Milwaukee to cover 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.  .

Maine made easy work of the Columbia Lions last Friday and carried off a 93-70 win. Maine is now 3-1 while Central Connecticut State sits at 0-5.

CBB Road teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (MAINE) - good 3PT shooting team (36.5% or better ) against a poor 3PT defense (36.5% or better ), after a game where a team made 60% of their shots or better are 31-5 SU L/26 seasons for a 86% conversion rate. 

CBB Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (MAINE) - good 3PT shooting team (36.5% or more ) against a poor 3PT def ense (36.5% or more ), after a game where a team made 60% of their shots or better are 31-5 ATS L/26 seasons for a 86% conversion rate! 

Play on Maine to cover 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

 NC State 4-0 so far this season behind, head coach Kevin Keatts who has led the Pack to nine wins over ranked opponents in his tenure here and  and his team should not be underestimated in their ability compete vs Kansas on a neutral court. 

NC STATE is 12-3 ATS  L/15 as a neutral court underdog of 6.5 to 12 points . 

CBB Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (NC STATE) - off 2 consecutive home wins by 10 points or more, team that had a losing record last season are 22-7 ATS L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors.

CBB team (NC STATE) - first 5 games of the season, after closing out last season with 8+ ATS losses in last 10 games against opponent first 5 games of the season, after closing out last season strong with 7+ wins in last 8 games are 32-9 ATS L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on NC State to cover

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.

Arizona played a hard fought run and gun Tourney affair with Cincinnati yesterday and could easily be vulnerable to a down effort here today in a letdown spot on short rest.  

SAN DIEGO ST is 9-1 ATS versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.

CBB Neutral court teams (ARIZONA) - excellent defensive team (40% or less) against a good defensive team (40-42.5%), red hot shooting team - 3 straight games making 50% or more  of their shots are 20-51 ATS L/26 seasons for a 72% conversion rate!

Play on San Diego State to cover

After a slow start to their season Sacramento has peeled off 6 straight wins, while their opponents tonight Memphis has shown flashes of brilliance and unexpected collapses like they suffered last time out where they fell apart in the 4th quarter vs Brooklyn losing by a 127-115 count on the road as 8 point dogs. That was the Grizzlies 3rd straight road loss. However at home the Grizzlies have played their best hoops winning 6 of 7 overall with the lone loss coming the Boston Celtics by a 109-106 count. With that said Im betting on home court advantage for the Grizzlies being the difference maker. MEMPHIS is 7-0 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons and 3-0 L/3 at home in this series.

MEMPHIS is 13-1 ATS off a road loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

MEMPHIS is 20-5 ATS  against Pacific division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

MEMPHIS is 12-1 ATS as a home underdog of 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons.

MEMPHIS is 8-0 ATS after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread over the last 2 seasons.

MEMPHIS is 12-2 ATS  in home games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts over the last 2 seasons. MEMPHIS is 17-7 ATS   in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (SACRAMENTO) - explosive offensive team - scoring 118+ points/game on the season, first half of the season are 12-32 ATS L/26 seasons for a 73% go against conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Memphis to cover

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

The #13 Auburn Tigers will square off against the Bradley Braves at 6 p.m. ET on Tuesday at Hard Rock Hotel Riviera Maya.

Pearl is 0-11 ATS  after allowing 65 points or less 3 straight games as the coach of AUBURN.

CBB team (AUBURN) - up-tempo team averaging from last season 62 or more shots/game, after 3 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 37% or less are 6-24 ATS 26 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Bradley to cover 

The Clippers have won five of seven since  they lost to  Utah earlier this season and with  Kawhi Leonard back in the rotation they are strong candidates to get revenge here and notch a win.

UTAH is 3-19 ATS  after 2 or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons.

LA CLIPPERS are 31-17 ATS  in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 3 seasons.

NBA Home teams vs. the money line (LA CLIPPERS) - excellent shooting team (47% or more) against an terrible defensive team (47% or more ), average ball handling team (14.5-16.5 TO's) against an average pressure defense (14.5-16.5 TO's) are 33-3 L/5 seasons for a 91% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +11.4! 

NBA Road teams (UTAH) - good offensive team - scoring 114+ points/game on the season against opponent after allowing 100 points or less 2 straight games are 13-41 ATS L/5 seasons for a 76% go against conversion rate. 

Jazz are 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Los Angeles.

Play on LA Clippers to cover

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

 .  MISSISSIPPI ST is 0-7 ATS  in road games after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 3 seasons

Marquette to cover

After winning the first two games on their current road trip, the Knicks have dropped back-to-back games and are ready for a bounce back effort vs a Oklahoma City side that my power ranking suggest they matchup well against. Note: NEW YORK is 18-6 ATS L/24 in road games off 2 consecutive road losses by 10 points or more . NEW YORK is 38-18 ATS  when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons.

OKLAHOMA CITY is 0-8 ATS  in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 230 over the last 3 seasons.

NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (NEW YORK) - after going under the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a losing team are 41-14 ATS L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate!

Play on NY Knicks to cover 

Philadelphia has lost 6 straight, while Calgary has won 3 of their L/4. Considering the Flyers likely will be without Travis Konecny, who has team-leading totals in goals (seven) and points (19) or if he plays at less than 100% the Flyers are at a disadvantage. 

CALGARY is 10-0 ATS  in road games against poor possession teams-averaging 3+ less shots on goal than opp over the last 2 seasons with the average gpg diff clicking in at +3.6. 

PHILADELPHIA is 8-27 ATS in home games against explosive offensive teams - scoring 3+ goals/game over the last 3 seasons.PHILADELPHIA is 0-8 ATS  in home games off 2 or more consecutive road losses over the last 3 seasons.

Flames are 9-1 in their last 10 Monday games.

Flames are 25-9 in their last 34 vs. a team with a losing record.

Flames are 32-14 in their last 46 vs. Metropolitan.

Play on Calgary to cover 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

CBB Home favorites of 10 to 19.5 points (CLEMSON) - first 5 games of the season, non-tournament team from last season who won 4+ of their last 5 games, mediocre team from last season that won between 45-55% of their games are 4-30 ATS L/26 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors. 

Loyola Maryland to cover

Memphis snapped a losing streak   by earning a 121-110 win over the visiting Oklahoma City Thunder on Friday when Jaren Jackson Jr. scored 25 in his second game back from right foot surgery and Im betting despite of Brooklyn playing some strong hoops at this time will be primed and ready compete. 

BROOKLYN is 7-33 ATS  as a home favorite over the last 2 seasons. BROOKLYN is 9-29 ATS  in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.

BROOKLYN is 1-13 ATS in home games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or better of their attempts over the last 2 seasons.

MEMPHIS is 32-19 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

MEMPHIS is 5-0 against the spread versus BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons

MEMPHIS is 5-0 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons and are 2-0 SU/ATS L/2 visits to Brooklyn. 

Play on Memphis to cover 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Boise states hoops program prides itself on its fitness and ability to compete . So here on short rest must not be underestimated in their ability to run and gun the floor. Meanwhile, Colorado after a huge output last time out is vulnerable to major regression . Note: Boyle is 2-9 ATS  after scoring 95 points or more as the coach of COLORADO.

BOISE ST is 7-0 ATS in road games when playing with one or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.

BOISE ST is 10-2 ATS  in road games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. BOISE ST is 15-4 ATS  versus good rebounding teams - out-rebounding opponents by 4+ per game over the last 3 seasons.

CBB Neutral court teams (COLORADO) - after going over the total by 42 or more points total in their last five games, in November games are 17-43 L/5 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors.

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

UCF upset Oklahoma state in OT last time out and will be in a huge letdown spot here vs a quality San Clara basketball program. 

UCF is 4-13 ATS L/17 in road games off an upset win as an underdog. 

SANTA CLARA is 12-3 ATS when playing their 2nd game in 3 days over the last 3 seasons.SANTA CLARA is 17-6 ATS after 1 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.

CBB Neutral court teams as a favorite or pick (UCF) - very good defensive team - shooting pct defense of 39% or less on the season against opponent after a game where a team made 20% of their 3 point shots or worse are 92-156 ATS L/26 seasons for a go against 62% conversion rate for bettors.

Santa Clara to cover 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

No. 19 Illinois moves on to face #16 Virginia on Sunday in the Championship of the Continental Tire Main Event (2 p.m. CT, ESPN).

Illinois is making its seventh trip to Las Vegas, and fifth for a multi-team event. Illinois won its first three MTE's in Vegas, claiming titles at the 2001 Las Vegas Invitational and 2004 Las Vegas Holiday Classic held at Valley High School, and the 2014 Continental Tire Las Vegas Invite at The Orleans.

Illinois is 9-3 SU all-time in games played in Las Vegas and looks for its fourth MTE title in Las Vegas on Sunday vs. Virginia in the championship game of the Continental Tire Main Event.

Virginia played a lights out big time game last time out taking out Baylor with some extraordinary down town shooting hitting treys in the 2nd half of the game. After making just one 3-pointer in the first half,  the Cavaliers went 8-for-12 from deep in the final 20 minutes to knock off No. 5 Baylor (3-1) 86-79 Friday evening. No in a regressionary letdown situation Im betting their vulnerable. 

 Illinois' win last time out  over No. 8 UCLA improved the program to 11-5 in their last 16 games versus top-10 teams during the Underwood era.

ILLINOIS is 6-0 ATS after 2 straight games with 19 or more assists over the last 3 seasons.

ILLINOIS is 8-1 ATS in road games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 37% or more  of their attempts over the last 3 seasons.

CBB Neutral court teams as a favorite or pick (VIRGINIA) - slow-down team from last season averaging 53 or less shots/game, after a game where a team made 50% of their 3 point shots or better are 12-42 ATS L/26 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Illinois to cover 

Atlanta is 4-6 SU on the season, but even at that sub standard record is a aberration  as the Falcons have been out-yarded -82 in net YPG  ranking second worse in the NFL and are an ugly  1-9  in the stats battles this  campaign. Meanwhile, the Bears , despite of not being a top tier side, are dangerous behind the legs of  QB Justin Fields and a offensive system that starting to micmic cfb military school programs. That might be an exaggeration but you get the picture. Im saying the Bears matchup well here vs a obviously over rated opponent based on stats. 

Bears are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss which was the case last time out. 

Bears are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.

ATLANTA is 1-8 ATS  as a home favorite over the last 3 seasons.ATLANTA is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.

NFL Home teams (ATLANTA) - off a road loss, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a bad team (25-40%) are 24-61 ATS L/39 seasons for a go against  72% conversion rate. 

Underdog is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.

Bears are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.

Play on Chicago Bears to cover 

NY Jets are playing over all proficient football and are  6-3 SUATS record, including 4-0 SUATS on the road and have an overall 5-1 SU record L/6 trips to the gridiron and obviously deserve respect as road dogs. I know New England carries a famous brand name but the Jets are a team on the rise and look very much like a viable side to back. Yes, I know the Pats are well rested, but that has not been a recipe for success for Bellichick and company going 1-10-1 ATS with rest. 

Patriots are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. AFC East.

NY JETS are 37-21 ATS  in a road game where the total is between 35.5 and 38 points since 1992.

Play on NY Jets to cover 

 Detroit rallied last week from a 24-10 deficit to pull off a 31-30 win, the franchise's first victory after trailing by 14 or more points entering the fourth quarter since 1993. Now with momentum on their sides the Lions enter with confidence and Im betting will be prepared to battle again this week vs the Giants. The Lions' offense has been very  efficient over the past three games, turning the ball over just once and must not be underestimated in the dog role.

Visitor is  10-2 ATS in this series .Detroit is  8-3 non-division road dogs of  6 points or less.

DETROIT is 6-0 ATS versus poor defensive teams - allowing 5.65 or more yards/play in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.DETROIT is 17-5 ATS  after being out-gained by 75 or more total yards in 3 consecutive games.

Lions are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games in November.Lions are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win.Lions are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Lions are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 vs. NFC.

Campbell is 1-9 ATS  after allowing 400 or more total yards/game in their last 3 games in all games he has coached since 1992.

NFL Road underdogs or pick (DETROIT) - good offensive team - scoring 24 or more points/game, after a win by 3 or less points are 95-47 ATS L/39 seasons for a 67% conversion rate.

DETROIT is 5-1 against the spread versus NY GIANTS L/6 meetings.Road team is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 meetings.

Lions are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings in New York.

Play on Lions to cover

Fresno State is playing well and Nevada is not having suffered 8 straight losses after q 2-0 start to their campaign. I know the Bulldogs are the superior side, but they have not played well on the road this season losing the stats battles in 4 of 5 games. Im not doubting Fresno State wins here straight up, but I wont be surprised to see Nevada cover this spread and in fact Im betting they do. 

Nevada was blast 41-3 on the road like week in Boise State but it must be noted that this program has proved somewhat resilient in the past after a ugly offensive output going  14-3 ATS  L/17 in home games after scoring 14 points or less last game . 

Tedford is 0-7 ATS   in road games vs. poor teams - outscored by 10+ points per game on the season in all games he has coached since 1992.

Play on Nevada to cover 

 The Philadelphia 76ers Im betting have a great chance at  remaining perfect on their five-game home-stand on Saturday, playing the second leg of a back-to-back when they host the Minnesota Timberwolves. This version of the Sixers is well conditioned and I have confidence they will perform at a high level tonight as they carry the momentum of late nights victory over Milwaukee into this tilt against another viable side. I know Maxey may not play tonight for the Sixers but Shake Milton is a fine replacement if that indeed is the case. Also the Wolves are on tired legs as they play their 4th straight road game tonight. Advantage Philly 

Timberwolves are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

Timberwolves are 3-12 ATS in the last 15 meetings.Timberwolves are 2-6 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Philadelphia.

NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (PHILADELPHIA) - after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last seven games, in November games are 30-10 ATS L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate.

Play Philadelphia 76ers to cover

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.  .

The lines-makers expect this game to be close between Providence and Miami Fl. Note: The Friars finished 11-3 in games decided by five points or less in 2021-22 and were 3-0 in OT games. This screams of tenacity and a never say die attitude implemented by HC Cooley. 

PROVIDENCE is 7-0 ATS  when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 80%) over the last 2 seasons.PROVIDENCE is 10-0 ATS (versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.PROVIDENCE is 6-0 ATS  vs. top caliber teams - outscoring their opponents by 12 plus points/game over the last 2 seasons. PROVIDENCE is 9-1 ATS  as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.

MIAMI is 11-22 ATS (-13.2 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons. 

Larranaga is 21-32 ATS   vs. dominant rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 7+ per game as the coach of MIAMI.

CBB Neutral court teams (PROVIDENCE) - an explosive offensive team (76 or more  PPG) against a good offensive team (74-76 PPG), after scoring 85 points or more 2 straight games are 105-59 ATS L/26 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Providence to cover

Georgia is a power house and heads and shoulders above most teams in this entire nation and have a history  of having strong performances in their final road games of the season registering an astounding 11-0 SU/ATS record. With that said, and despite of the hefty line offering laying this much lumber is a viable offering.  Note: CFB Road favorites of 21.5 to 31 points (GEORGIA) - dominant team (outgain opp. by 100+ YPG) against an average team (+/- 50 YPG) are 27-4 ATS L/10 seasons for a 87% conversion rate. 

CFB Home underdogs of 14.5 or more points (KENTUCKY) - after being beaten by the spread by 49 or more points total in their last seven games, in November games are 16-40 ATS L/10 seasons for a 72% conversion rate.

Play on Georgia to cover

UL Monroe has won their L/2 games, and now go against a strong Troy side, that despite of 8-2 overall record and a 7-0 run have only one win of more than 9 points during their current winning streak. Its Troys /D that does a majority of the top tier work, while the offense regularly struggles. My projections estimate this is just to many points to lay with the Trojans with the value sitting with the road dog with winning momentum .

"Don't let their record give you any indication," Troy coach Jon Sumrall said. "They're 4-6 by record but they lost by a score to Coastal Carolina, they lost by a score to South Alabama, and they played Alabama and Texas, two Power Five teams.

TROY is 0-10 ATS L/10  in home games off 3 or more consecutive unders . TROY is 0-6 ATS in home games after playing a game at home over the last 3 season.TROY is 4-14 ATS   in home games when playing against a sub par team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%)

Play UL Monroe to cover 

The Georgia State Panthers must not be underestimated here vs James Madison as their  defense is staunch and has been dominating their opposition of late. It must be noted that in the last three trips to the gridiron they have given up a grand total 785 yards combined and they have sacked the QBs 15 times  during their current smash down of offenses.   I know James Madison is a fine football program, but they will feel the heat here today vs a gritty/physical side with a never say die attitude. 

GEORGIA ST is 6-0 ATS  in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.GEORGIA ST is 9-1 ATS L/10 in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) since 1992.  GEORGIA ST is 10-2 ATS L/12 in road games vs. good teams - outscoring opponents by 10+ PPG on the season. GEORGIA ST is 8-0 ATS   in road games after playing 3 straight conference games over the last 3 seasons. GEORGIA ST is 8-1 ATS  in road games in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

CFB road team (GEORGIA ST) - good offensive team (5.6 to 6.2 YPP) against a team with an average defense (4.8 to 5.6 YPP), after gaining 525 or more total yards/game over their last 2 games are 25-5 ATS L/10 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Georgia State to cover 

Its not my usual m.o to  lay this many points on the road . But Im betting we have a firm advantage here with the road team UTSA that has won 7 straight behind a consistent offense that will take advantage of Rice D, that has allowed 41,56, 30, 45 points respectively in their L/4 trips to the gridiron. The Roadrunners are also trying to clinch a chamoionship game spot so motivation will be a huge factor this Saturday  Note:Road favorites vs. the money line (UTSA) - off 3 straight wins against conference rivals against opponent off a road blowout loss by 21 points or more are 36-1 L/10 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at +19.8 ppg which easily qualifies on this ATS offering . UTSA has won the L/6 meetings in this series and have won and  covered the last 3. 

Play on UTSA to cover 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.  .

Both theses sides are undefeated but the difference maker today will come via the superior D of the Maryland Terps and their ability to muscle their way to a win or cover here from a physical perspective. The Big 10 is a league that focuses alot on  gritty play and that will dictate alot of the action here today, which benefits Maryland. Dont get me wrong Saint Louis is fine mid major hoops program but just betting they get kicked around on the inside and of they win it wont come easily or without some pain. With that said , Im recommending we take the points. 

MARYLAND is 6-0 ATS after a win by 15 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

SAINT LOUIS is 17-37 ATS L/52  in road games versus excellent ball handling teams - committing 12 or les turnovers/game .

CBB Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MARYLAND) - off 2 consecutive home wins by 10 points or more, team that had a losing record last season are 22-6 ATS L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Maryland to cover 

The defending Big 12 champs Baylor Bears were defeated  30-28 as 7.5-point chalk at TCU last season, and now have revenge on board and are redemption minded after a down effort last week vs Kansas State  in what Im betting was a look ahead situation that back fired on them from a attention standpoint. Now wide awake and ready to perform they are very viable underdogs at home vs a TCU side in an emotional letdown scenario after pulling off an upset on the road vs Texas last week. TCU is 5-15 ATS L/20 off an upset win as a road underdog since 1992.

Baylor has covered  13 of their L/14  as an underdog when out looking for  conference revenge versus an opponent coming off a SUATS victory, including 8-0 ATS L/8 when playing as hosts.

.BAYLOR is 31-16 ATS L/47 versus excellent rushing teams - averaging 5.25  or more rushing yards/carry.BAYLOR is 6-0 ATS in home games after a game where they forced 1 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons.Aranda is 13-5 ATS   when playing against a team with a winning record as the coach of BAYLOR.

Play on Baylor to cover 

The visiting Celtics are looking for their ninth consecutive victory, while the Pelicans shoot for their fourth consecutive win. From a SRS perspective the Celtics are ranked No.1 with a 6.92 mark while the Pelicans are ranked 4th with a 4.35 . But when factoring in home court obligatory advantage of around 4 points i this game should see the home side favored by -2. But  thanks to the the huge brand name  respect attached to one of the oldest and most respected NBA franchises we get to take points here with the up-trending home side, which screams value. 

Note: SRS - Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average.

NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (BOSTON) - explosive offensive team - scoring 118+ points/game on the season, first half of the season are 11-32 ATS L/26 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (NEW ORLEANS) - after beating the spread by 24 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going over the total by 42 or more points total in their last seven games are 30-9 ATS L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on New Orleans to cover 

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.  .

N.Arizona has lost 3 of 4 games they have played but the three losses are against Mich State, Utah Valley State and Arizona State and they were competitive each time out and covered over hyped numbers. 

UC-SANTA BARBARA is 5-14 ATS  when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

CBB team (N ARIZONA) - first 5 games of the season, after closing out last season poorly with 7+ losses in last 8 games against opponent first 5 games of the season, after closing out last season strong with 8+ wins in last 10 games are 20-9 SU L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate!

N.Arizona (Late Steam)

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.  

BELLARMINE is 20-9 ATS versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 18 or less free throws/game over the last 3 seasons.

 CBB Home favorites of 10 or more points (CLEMSON) - first 5 games of the season, non-tournament team from last season who won 4+ of their last 5 games, mediocre team from last season that won between 45-55% of their games are 5-34 ATS L/26 seasons for a go against 87% conversion rate for bettors.

BELLARMINE  to cover 

I know the Detroit Pistons have not played well this season, but  they will face a inconsistent Los Angeles Clippers,  side operating at less than 100% with key injuries .Considering the Clippers propensity under HC Lue to take nights off vs sub standard sides like the young men from Motown it will not be a hard decision to grab points here. Note: Lue is 3-14 ATS  in home games when playing against a struggling team (Win Pct. 25% or less ) in all games he has coached.

DETROIT is 34-19 ATS  after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons. DETROIT is 35-19 ATS  off a home loss over the last 3 seasons.

DETROIT is 16-6 ATS when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) over the last 2 season.

NBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (LA CLIPPERS) - off a road cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team are 25-55 ATS L/26 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Detroit to cover 

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Colorado State is known for their top tier offense, but their defense is under rated. Im betting they have decent success here from an output perspective vs a strong South Carolina D, but that their own /D will do enough to keep the Gamecocks sub par attack from consistent offensive production. 

Medved is 10-2 ATS L/12  after leading in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half in all games .

CBB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (S CAROLINA) - after 2 straight wins by 6 points or less against opponent after scoring 75 points or more 2 straight games are 15-42 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Colorado State to cover

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Furman ha a lot of top tier offensive talent and must not be underestimated in their ability to compete against any Big 10 conference side including Penn State. 

Play on Furman to cover 

New Orleans played a physical game last night against Memphis and prob do not have enough proverbial gas left in the tank to compete as needed against a revenge minded Bulls group on a few days rest. These teams just played a few days ago with the Pelicans squeaking out a 115-111 victory. The Bulls than came out in their next game and looked tired and demoralized , and got blasted by Denver in a DD loss. But now with redemption and revenge combo now in play are in my betting opinion solid underdog wagers. 

CHICAGO is 17-4 ATS after 2 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 50% or higher over the last 3 seasons.

NBA Road teams (CHICAGO) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off a home blowout loss of 20 points or more are 39-14 ATS L/5 seasons for a 74/5 conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Chicago to cover

Despite of an array of returning players from last season, Northern Illinois is just 3-7 SU on the campaign and will not be going bowling this season. Meanwhile, 4-6 Miami O still has a chance at a Bowl invite and Im betting are very motivated  and well prepared to get a W here today. I know Northern Illinois is off a victory last time out, but that has not always been a recipe for success when facing this particular MAC football program going  0-7 ATS coming off an outright away win vs the Hawks. Overall Miami O is 7-1 ATS L/8 meetings in this series and get the nod here behind a solid D, that is allowing just 23 ppg. Note: Northern Illinois is allowing an average of 38 points per game ranking 114th nationally allowing 8.3 yp attempt and here even against a pedestrian Miami O offense wont necessarily be ready for any kind of sudden bounce back. 

MIAMI OHIO is 6-0 ATS  in road games after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread over the last 3 seasons.(lost to Ohio last time out)

CFB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (N ILLINOIS) - off a road win against a conference rival, a bad team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a losing record are 7-33 ATS L/30 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Miami O to cover

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.  .

Legends Classic - Barclays Center - Brooklyn, NY

My own numbers suggest Michigan should be 10 or more favs here thus giving solid value with this current line offering. 

Play on Michigan to cover 

Portland has won nine of its first 13 games , but according to my specific power rankings should not be this big a favorite vs the Spurs. I know the Spurs are not playing well overall at least from a W/L perspective but do matchup well here according to my head to head player personnel data.PORTLAND is 9-20 ATS when playing 8 or more games in 14 days over the last 2 seasons. PORTLAND is 14-30 ATS versus horrible foul drawing teams - attempting 21 or less free throws/game over the last 2 seasons.

SAN ANTONIO is 9-1 ATS after trailing in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half over the last 2 seasons.SAN ANTONIO is 23-11 ATS  in road games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more  of their shots over the last 3 seasons.

Spurs are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game.Spurs are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Spurs are 14-6 ATS in their last 20 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Spurs are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 road games.

 NBA team (SAN ANTONIO) - good shooting team (45.5-47.5%) against an average defensive team (43.5-45.5%), poor ball handling team (16.5 or more TO's) against a poor pressure defensive team (14.5 or less TO's) are 80-40 ATS L/26 seasons for a 67% conversion rate.

Spurs are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings.

Play on San Antonio to cover 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.  

Gainbridge Fieldhouse - Indianapolis, IN

The seventh-ranked Blue Devils face sixth-ranked and reigning national champion Kansas on Tuesday night in Indianapolis for the Champions Classic. Defending national champion Kansas is 3-1 straight up in the past four against Duke and get the nod again. 

CBB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (KANSAS) - after leading their last 2 games by 10+ points at the half, with just two starters returning from last year in the first 10 games of the season are 104-58 ATS L/26 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Kansas to cover

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

The price for playing a strong College basketball brand like Xavier gives value to the underdog number being offered here. 

Young is 13-5 ATS  in road games after a non-conference game as the coach of FAIRFIELD. Young is 11-3 ATS  in November games as the coach of FAIRFIELD.

FAIRFIELD is 8-1 ATS in a road game where the total is 130 to 139.5 over the last 2 seasons.

CBB favorite (XAVIER) - first 5 games of the season, non-tournament from prior season who won their last 3 games, good team from last season (60% to 80%) playing a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) from last year are 4-27 ATS L/26 seasons for a go against 87% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Fairfield to cover

Dallas has played their best hoops at home this season winning 5 of their 6 tilts , with the average ppg diff clicking in at just under +8. My power ranking suggest -8 is the correct line here favoring the host thus giving us an edge on this current line offering especially with the visitors playing short handed ie (Kawhi Leonard and John Wall) and now playing back to back nights. Luka Doncic scored at will against the Los Angeles Clippers last season and Im betting he will once be the catalyst in this contest. Note: Doncic  scored 96 total points vs the Clippers in two games that were 48 hours apart. Doncic, leads the NBA ins coring  averaging 34.3 points per game on 49.6 percent shooting.

Mavericks are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.Mavericks are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

Clippers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. LA CLIPPERS are 5-21 ATS  when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (LA CLIPPERS) - well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days, on Tuesday nights are 9-65 L/5 seasons for a 88% go against conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at -13.8 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. 

NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (LA CLIPPERS) - well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days, on Tuesday nights are 18-55 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the 
Dallas Mavs to cover 

Memphis is off a  DD loss last time out at Washington  but have proven resilient under those circumstances in bounce back opportunities and have also played well against top tier teams in a groove like the Pelicans. 

MEMPHIS is 12-0 ATS off a road loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

MEMPHIS is 18-7 ATS   versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.MEMPHIS is 32-15 ATS   versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots over the last 2 seasons.

Meanwhile, Pelicans are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600 and are fade material here laying points against a quality opponent that does not take kindly to having lost last time out. 

Play on Memphis to cover 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

CBB Home favorites of 10 or more points (CLEMSON) - first 5 games of the season, non-tournament team from last season who won 4+ of their last 5 games, mediocre team from last season that won between 45-55% of their games are 5-33 ATS L/26 seasons for a go against 87% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on USC Upstate 

Charlotte is in desperate need of a win after 8 straight losses, and will primed to get a victory and revenge at the same time for a 113-93 loss they suffered to the Magic back on Oct 28th of this season. CHARLOTTE is 19-9 ATS revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

Hornets are 46-16-2 ATS in their last 64 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.

CHARLOTTE is 22-9 ATS when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) over the last 3 seasons.

The Magic have had a long history of crapping the bed vs sub .500 opposition. 

Magic are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Magic are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.ORLANDO is 25-41 ATS  when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons

NBA  team (CHARLOTTE) - off 2 consecutive losses against division rivals, in November games are 88-48 L/26 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA Home favorites (ORLANDO) - after beating the spread by more than 18 points in their previous game against opponent after going under the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games are 63-107 L/26 seasons for a 63% conversion rate. 

Play on Charlotte to cover 

Both Toronto and Detroit are a bit banged up entering this tilt with some nagging injuries through each lineup and key players out.Toronto has lost three of its last four games and four of its last six. Forward Pascal Siakam is out and they look like vulnerable road favs here vs a side they have failed to cover 6 straight times against. I know Motown is not playing all that well , but from a long term perspective DETROIT is 33-19 ATS  after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons. Pistons are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

TORONTO is 13-31 ATS L/44 after 2 straight games being called for 5+ less fouls than opponent .

Raptors are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.

Play on Detroit to cover

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

 North Carolina Tar Heels were tested by the College of Charleston program this past  Friday night in Chapel Hill. Charleston held a 50-43 halftime edge against the nation's top-ranked team while outrebounding the Tar Heels 35-32 to put the country on notice . The Cougars are now well prepared and obviously talented enough to give defending league champs a run for their money tonight on home court.

COLL OF CHARLESTON is 12-4 ATS  as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.

 CBB road team vs. the money line (RICHMOND) - poor foul drawing team from last season - attempted 18 or less free throws/game, team from a second tier division 1-A conference against a team from a mid-major conference are 8-31 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate for bettors. 

CBB Road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (RICHMOND) - team that had a winning record last season, with just two starters returning from last year in the first 10 games of the season are 7-26 ATA L/5 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors.

COLL OF CHARLESTON is 3-0 against the spread versus RICHMOND since 1997. 

Play on college of Charleston 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

PRINCETON is 15-2 ATS off a close road loss by 3 points or less which was the case last time out.

MD-BALT COUNTY is 4-12 ATS  as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.

Princeton to cover 

When Zach Lavine is in the lineup and healthy the Bulls are dangerous opponent for all comers. He is expected to play this evening vs Denver, and with the Bulls on 3 days rest the home side will be  fresh and ready to perform. Note: Chicago swept the season series from Denver last season behind solid play from LaVine, who averaged 34 points in the two games, and Im betting he will be the difference maker yet again. 

CHICAGO is 22-9 ATS  after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.

DENVER is 18-31 ATS  after playing a road game over the last 2 seasons. Nuggets are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games.

NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (CHICAGO) - after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last seven games, in November games are 30-8 L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate. 

Play on Chicago to cover 

 Rams were shocked last week as with 35 seconds left on the clock Tom Brady engineered a come from behind victory with a TD that shocked and emotionally smacked the Rams down a few notches. Now in a rebound mode Im betting the redemption minded Rams come out here with their proverbial hair on fire and take down the visiting Cardinals. ARIZONA is 0-6 ATS vs. mistake free teams - 42 or less penalty yards per game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. ARIZONA is 2-11 ATS vs. excellent passing teams with a completion pct. of 64% or better in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. Kingsbury is 0-6 ATS after allowing 30 points or more in 2 straight games as the coach of ARIZONA.

NFL Underdogs vs. the money line (ARIZONA) - with a poor scoring defense - allowing 24 or more points/game, after allowing 30 points or more in 3 straight games are 3-33 L/5 seasons a  go against 92% conversion rate.

NFL Underdogs vs. the money line (ARIZONA) - poor team - outscored by opponents by 4 or more points/game, after allowing 30 points or more in 3 straight games are 2-29 L/5 seasons for 94% conversion rate.

Rams are 5-1 SU/ATS L/6 in this series.

Play on LA Rams to cover 

I respect how well the Giants have played this season overall but they have a long history of playing down to their opposition. It must be noted that the Gmen have failed to cover 12 of their L/16 vs sub .150 struggling sides like the Texans. Texans are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games in Week 10.

Texans are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

NY GIANTS are 3-11 ATS vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 61% or better in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. NY GIANTS are 8-19 L/27  ATS  in home games after covering the spread in 4 out of their last 5 games . 

Giants are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up loss.Giants are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.

NFL Favorites (NY GIANTS) - in a game involving two average defensive teams (18-23 PPG), after a loss by 10 or more points are 8-29 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors. 

NFLRoad underdogs or pick (HOUSTON) - mistake-free team (1.25 or less TO/game committed) against a team with 1.25 or less TO/game forced are 60-29 ATS L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors.

Underdog is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

Play on Texans to cover 

According to my power rankings this game should be closer to a pickem even though the Bears have home field advantage thus giving us value with the road dog. DETROIT is 8-1 ATS  vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 61% or worse in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Lions are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in November.

Lions are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 vs. NFC North.

CHICAGO is 0-6 ATS in weeks 10 through 13 over the last 3 seasons.CHICAGO is 5-13 ATS  against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.

Bears are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 vs. NFC North.Bears are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.Bears are 0-3-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.

NFL team (CHICAGO) - after going over the total by 35 or more points total in their last three games, a bad team, winning 25% to 40% of their games on the season are 4-25 ATS L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors.

NFL Road underdogs or pick (DETROIT) - after failing to cover the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games against opponent after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games are 36-10 ATS L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.

Underdog is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

Play on the Detroit Lions to cover 

The  inconsistent Saints  played their most complete game of the season when they beat visiting Las Vegas 24-0 two weeks ago and despite of a loss last week are more than capable of a bounce back vs a Pittsburgh side they matchup well against. Not betting on another shut out, but against a  offense, which is averaging just 15 points per game and is tied for the fewest offensive touchdowns in the NFL (11) the Saints have a great opportunity for victory. 

NEW ORLEANS is 6-0 ATS  in road games vs. poor passing defenses - allowing 235 or more passing yards/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.NEW ORLEANS is 6-0 ATS in road games vs. excellent passing teams with a completion pct. of 64% or better in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Saints are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.Saints are 10-2-1 ATS in their last 13 games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous gam

PITTSBURGH is 3-12 ATS L/15 against teams with a turnover margin of -1 per game or worse in the second half of the season . 

NFL Favorites vs. the money line (NEW ORLEANS) - good rushing team (125 to 150 RY/game) against a poor rushing team (70-95 RY/game) after 8+ games, after allowing 175 or more rushing yards last game are 35-2 L/39 seasons for a 95% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Saints to cover 

Cleveland according to my power rankings despite of a sub .500 record is very under rated and deserve respect here as underdogs vs a Miami side that are ranked 15th in rushing yardage allowed per game this season. Look for Nick Chubb to do what other RBs have not done to the Dolphins and rush consistently and for more than 100 yards. Chubb is second only to Derrick Henry in rushing yards per game (105.1) and leads the league in rushing touchdowns, with 10. Chubb will be the difference maker . 

 Miami is 0-7 ATS  after gaining 6.5 or more yards/play in 2 consecutive games since 1992. MIAMI is 6-21 ATS  in home games after a win by 3 or less points .MIAMI is 16-30 ATS in home games after a win by 6 or less points. 

NFL Favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (MIAMI) - after failing to cover the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games, in November games are 3-26 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 90% conversion rate for bettors. 

NFL Home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (MIAMI) - after allowing 5.5 or less passing yards per attempt last game against opponent after gaining 7 or more passing yards/attempt in 2 straight games are 9-37 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate.

NFL Road teams (CLEVELAND) - excellent offensive team (370 or more  YPG) against a poor defense (335 to 370 YPG) after 8+ games, after outgaining opp by 150 or more total yards in their previous game are 24-4 ATS L/26 seasons for a 86% conversion rate. 

Play on Cleveland to cover 

Jacksonville is improving as is evident by winning the stats battles in 5 of 9 games this season and off a SU win last week  and  are capable of competing  here vs a KC team in a letdown situation after  QB Patrick Mahomes passed for 446 yards last week. Im now bettong on regression from the KC QB and his team. Note: KANSAS CITY is 1-8 ATS after gaining 300 or more passing yards in 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons. KANSAS CITY is 1-16 ATS L/17 after gaining 450 or more total yards/game over their last 3 games .  

Reid is 1-9 ATS in home games after a dominating performance - 34+ minutes TOP, 24+ First downs as the coach of KANSAS CITY.

NFL favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (KANSAS CITY) - after failing to cover the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games, in November games are 3-26 L/5 seasons for a go against 90% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Jacksonville to cover 

Last time out future HOF  QB  Brady went on a , 60-yard drive with under 40 seconds left of last week’s victory vs the Rams and in doing so showed us you can never count him or his team out of any game.  I know the Buccaneers opponents today the Seahawks have won 4 straight, su and ATS but they are an over rated bunch in my humble opinion and the lines-makers look like they agree with my assessment. It must be noted Brady  is 3-0 SUATS in his NFL career in regular season games on neutral field and is now motivated to get his team back to .500. Look for the super star to be primed to perform on an international stage and to help his team to a win and cover over Pete Carroll and company. 

Buccaneers are 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game.Buccaneers are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games in November.

TAMPA BAY is 11-3 ATS vs. excellent passing teams with a completion pct. of 64% or better in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons

NFL teams where the line is +3 to -3 (TAMPA BAY) - after 3 or more consecutive losses including pushes  against the spread against opponent after 2 or more consecutive wins against the spread are 34-8 ATS L/10 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors.

Seahawks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

Tampa Bay to cover 

Georgia is off a huge win vs Tennessee last week by double digits . It was impressive to say the least against an explosive offense. Now in a letdown situation the Dawgs may not start as quickly vs a home side that deserves respect behind the viable arm of Will rogers and company. Note: Miss State HC Mike Leach has cashed 17 of 23 times in his career vs undefeated opposition. Georgia won 31- 24 at home last season in this series, failing to cover as -26.5 chalk and with a limited swing on this line, taking points with the home dog is not as far fetched as some pundits might suggest. Mississippi State has covered 2 of the L/3 meetings at home in this series.Georgia  are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games following a ATS win.

Miss State are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 home games and are 25-9 ATS in their last 34 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

Play on Mississippi State to cover 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Witherspoon is 19-5 ATS  in home games after playing a game as a home underdog in all games he has coached since 1997

CBB road team (ST BONAVENTURE) - poor foul drawing team from last season - attempted 18 or less free throws/game, team from a second tier division 1-A conference against a team from a mid-major conference are 8-30 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Canisius  to cover

Playing without a couple of key players, the Wizards showed positive chemistry en route to a 113-105 victory over the Dallas Mavericks last time out  and have the ability with this group to do the same to the visiting Jazz. I know Utah has played exceptionally well despite of key off season departures, but tonight after slugging it out non stop early this season against some strong opponents a letdown could be in order as was the case earlier this season when they lost too the young Houston rockets. . Washington has covered 3 straight and 4 of their L/5 and must not be underestimated as home dogs. Wizards are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

Jazz are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 2 days rest.

WASHINGTON is 18-4 ATS in home games after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread over the last 3 seasons.

UTAH is 25-44 ATS  versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more  assists/game over the last 2 seasons. UTAH is 3-17 ATS  after 2 or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Road teams vs. the money line (UTAH) - explosive offensive team - scoring 118+ points/game on the season, after allowing 115 points or more 2 straight games are 13-33 L/26 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (WASHINGTON) - struggling  team - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game, after allowing 105 points or less 2 straight games are 46-19 ATS L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Jazz are 1-3-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

Play on Washington to cover

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.

CBB Road underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (N ARIZONA) - poor team from last season - outscored by opponents by 4 or more points/game, with all five starters returning from last year in the first 5 games of the season are 52-19 L/26 seasons for a 72% conversion rate!

Northern Arizona to cover 

Alabama enters this game vs Ole Miss in very cranky mood , after falling flat on their faces and getting upset SU vs LSU last time out. You can bet life was miserable in practice this week for the Crimson Tide, and now  this massive group of 4 and 5 star athletes will be ready to get redemption and what could easily be a merciless Alabama explosion. 

Saban is 13-0 SU in his career vs sides with a better record and 27-2 vs former assistants. 

ALABAMA is 16-6 ATS in road games vs. poor ball control teams, 28 or less possession minutes/game since 1992 with the average ppg diff clicking in at just under 20 ppg. 

ALABAMA is 10-2 ATS  after playing their last game on the road over the last 3 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at just under 30 ppg. 

CFB Home underdogs of 10.5 to 21 points (OLE MISS) - in conference games, off a road win against a conference rival are 8-32 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Alabama to cover

After a slow start Louisville has gone 4-0 SU/ATS L/4 tilts and are in a upward momentum drive and now deserve respect here vs a over rated Tigers side that lost last time out to Notre Dame by DDs a a fav.  Note: CLEMSON is 1-9 ATS  off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a road favorite since 1992.

CLEMSON is 0-6 ATS in a home game where the total is between 49.5 and 56 over the last 2 seasons.

CFB Road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (LOUISVILLE) - good offensive team (5.6 to 6.2 YPP) against a team with an average defense (4.8 to 5.6 YPP), after gaining 6.75 or more yards/play in their previous game are 29-8 L/10 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Louisville to cover 

Western Kentucky football program has had a long history of over powering performances late in the season. In week 11 games they are a perfect 13-0 L/13 opportunities and 9-0 SU/ATS L/9 chances. Im betting on another explosive effort here vs a Rice side that has a tendency to fall asleep at the proverbial  wheel like their ugly 56-23 upset loss to Charlotte at home as 15 point favs a couple of weeks ago. Western Kentucky smashed Charlotte last week 59-7 and  beat Rice last season by a 42-21 count. Rinse and repeat on board. 

Owls are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games.Owls are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

Hilltoppers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games in November.

Hilltoppers are 4-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.Hilltoppers are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 conference games.

CFB Underdogs of 10.5 to 21 points (RICE) - with a turnover margin of -1 /game or worse on the season, after 3 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers. are 34-67 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 66% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Western Kentucky to cover

JMU (5-3, 3-2) spent a week in the Top 25 after winning its first five games, including an upset of Appalachian State in Boone, North Carolina. But JMU has lost three games in a row since as has ODU . While, the Dukes are not going to Bowl or allowed to be a championship side because of this being their first season in the FBS, they may not be as inclined to fight it out like a do or die situation. Meanwhile, the Monarchs are   still in the hunt for a bowl bid, and need 3 straight wins to do so and with that said Im betting leave everything on the field today. 

CFB road team vs. the money line (JAMES MADISON) - off a road loss, a good team (60% to 80%) playing a team with a losing record are 1-7 this season . 

Play on Old Dominion to cover 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.

Fort Wayne took it on the chin vs Michigan in their opener, but now after they rude awakening vs a top tier side, this contest will seem like a walk in the park. 

SIU EDWARDSVL is 2-9 ATS  in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

IUPU-FT WAYNE is 3-0 against the spread versus SIU EDWARDSVL since 1997 at home.

IUPU-FT WAYNE is 5-0 straight up against SIU EDWARDSVL since 1997 at home.

Fort Wayne  to cover 

Im betting on a huge hangover for the LSU Tigers after upsetting the Alabama Crimson Tide  last time out making them vulnerable to being upset here today vs Arkansas side that fell asleep at the wheel last time out and were upset. Razorbacks are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game which was the case in a 21-19 defeat vs under rated Liberty. 

The two most recent meetings in this series have been decided by 3 points . 

 Arkansas is  8-1 ATS as a  underdog of 16 or fewer points. 

Tigers are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.

 CFB road team (LSU) - off an upset win as a home underdog of 7 or more, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 22-52 ATS L/30 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Arkansas

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.

ST PETERS is 8-0 ATS ( after leading in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half since 1997. ST PETERS is 24-10 ATS in all games over the last 2 seasons.

Saint Peters to cover 

After 8 straight wins the Cleveland Cavaliers have now lost 2 straight, and with this being their 5th straight road game Im betting their on tired legs and vulnerable to defeat here again tonight vs a Warriors team that  have defeated them in each of the past 10 regular-season meetings in this series. I know Golden State has been erratic to start the season, but still owns an impressive  9-1 ATS   in home games in November games over the last 2 seasons and are on extended rest. Warriors are 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 games playing on 3 or more days rest Warriors are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 Friday games.Warriors are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Warriors are 27-9-1 ATS in their last 37 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

. Meanwhile,CLEVELAND is just 19-39 ATS  when playing 6 or more games in 10 days over the last 3 seasons and their conditioning according to some charts Ive kept on them is suspect.CLEVELAND is  also 18-37 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 3 seasons. 

Cavaliers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

Cavaliers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game.

NBA Road teams vs. the money line (CLEVELAND) - after allowing 68 points or more in the first half last game against opponent after a close win by 3 points or less are 18-52 L/26 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Golden State to cover 

East Carolina deserves respect here after 3 straight victories vs BYU, UCF, and Memphis. Meanwhile, Cincinnati seems to not playing with alot of motivation and the offense seems much more inconsistent than over the last few seasons, giving credence to me recommending we grab the points with a never say die underdog that plays with passion. Houston is 9-2 ATS  vs. good passing teams averaging 250 or more passing yards/game. as the coach of E CAROLINA.E CAROLINA is 16-4 ATS L/20 as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points .

Play on East Carolina to cover 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Aside from its four top-100 players out of high school, the Titans have seven players that previously played in high-major leagues that generally send multiple teams to the NCAA Tournament.

BC HC Grant is 9-23 ATS in home games in non-conference games in all games he has coached since 1997.

Play on Detroit to cover 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.  .

Sun Devils are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games following a straight up win.ARIZONA ST is 6-0 ATS after a win by 6 points or less over the last 2 season.Hurley is 11-2 ATS after a game where their opponent was called for 27 or more fouls in all games he has coached.

NBA Home favorites of 10 to 19.5 points (ARIZONA ST) - first 5 games of the season, non-tournament team from last season who won 4+ of their last 5 games, mediocre team from last season that won between 45-55% of their games are 28-4 ATS L/26 seasons for a 88% conversion rate.

Play on Arizona State to cover