Mets RH Zack Wheeler (1-2, 5.40 ERA) vs. Nationals RH Stephen Strasburg (2-0, 2.89)

Zack Wheeler after sitting out the last two seasons with Tommy John surgery, is finally starting to round into form , and looked good last time out while logging 110 pitches.  That is impressive , and Im betting he shocks some people here today with the life he has in his arm. Meanwhile, the Nationals Strasburg, despite of being a big time hurler and in good form, enters this game of paternity leave, and may not be 100% into this game , mentally and also a little rusty after being off since April 20th.

Mets are 9-4 in their last 13 road games.

Mets are 8-3 in their last 11 road games vs. a right-handed starter.NY METS are 23-9  against the money line in road games after 6 consecutive games versus division rivals.

Yesterday the Mets looked hot and took out the Nationals 7-5 and still have some payback left on board for a 3 game sweep they suffered at home to Washington earlier this season.

MLB Home favorites with a money line of -110 or higher like Washington - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better on the season (NL), with a team slugging percentage of .440 or better on the season (NL) are just  13-33 L/44 opportunities for a go against positive conversion rate for 72% for bettors. Also Home teams like the Nationals - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better on the season (NL), with a team slugging percentage of .440 or better on the season (NL) are just 19-43 for a 70% go against conversion rate for bettors.

There is value here taking the runline +1.5 with the Mets 

Play on the NY Mets on the runline 1 unit reg selection 

Eastern Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 6 - BOS Leads 3-2

Boston won the last two games here in Chicago in this series, but I'm betting on a big time effort tonight by the Bulls on their own home floor to extend this series to 7 games.The Bulls erased 20-point deficits in Games 3 and 4 before Boston surged ahead to get the wins, but now with adjustments and desperation  I can see the Bulls holding their lead in this game.BOSTON is 2-15 ATS  after 3 or more consecutive wins this season.CHICAGO is 16-5 ATS  after 3 or more consecutive losses.

Play on the Chicago Bulls to cover 1 unit reg selection

Jared Weaver (R) vs Tijuan Walker (R)
San Diegos offense going into Wednesday nights action were averaging just 3.1 rpg via a ugly .218 BA, and no matter what happened last night are fade material here this Thursday, behind a bullpen that owns a bloated 5.81 ERA on the season. Considering how explosive the offensively the DBacks have been, especially at home averaging 7.5 rpg, and how inept the Fathers have been overall it is an easy decision for me to back them at home tonight on the runline!

ARIZONA is 8-1 against the money line in home games in night games this season, winning SU by an average of 4.2 rpg and are 10-2 at home overall winning SU by an average of 3 rpg.

Play on Arizona DBacks on the runline -1.5 / 1 unit reg selection

The Raptors have taken a 3-2 lead in this series after having lost the first game. Considering how schizophrenic both teams have been, in this series, I won't be surprised by a complete reversal tonight, by a desperate Bucks team trying to avoid elimination. The Raptors have never proven they can close a deal easily and nothing changes tonight, especially with super star Kyle Lowry dealing with a back injury.

MILWAUKEE is 8-0 ATS  in home games after 2 straight losses by 10 points or more.

Play on the Milwaukee Bucks to cover 1 unit reg selection

It has become obvious that the Atlanta Hawks match-up well against the Washington wizards, playing them tough in the first two games of this series on the road, and than  taking out the  Wizards by convincing margins in both Game 3 and Game 4. Game 5 is Wednesday in Washington,  and now I'm betting  once again that his meeting will have both these teams interlocked in battle, that will favor the team getting points.Hawks are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win.Wizards are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games following a ATS loss.

The biggest issues for the Wizards, centers around their downtown shots.  The Wizards during the regular season were a top tier 3-point shooting team  , but right now the Wizards are hitting a playoff-low 29.7 percent after four games and are having difficulties in transition as they were also outscored in fastbreak points in game 4.  What has also become obvious is that Atlanta's coaching staff have done a better job, of preparing for this series, and have put themselves in a good place for an upset going forward, and more importantly as far as we are concerned a cover tonight. Note:  NBA team vs the money line like the  Wizards - as a # 4 seed in the playoffs, are just 19-39 SU L/ 52 games dating back 5 seasons.

Favorites like the Washington - vs. division opponents, off 2 or more consecutive road losses are just 31-55 ATS over the last 5 years,

  for a go against conversion rate of 61% for bettors.ATLANTA is 8-0 ATS L/8 after 2 consecutive division games over the last couple of  seasons.

Play on Atlanta to cover 1 unit reg selection

 Western Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 5 - HOU Leads 3-1

Im betting on Houston wrapping up this series Tuesday night at home. The Rockets have been has been the superior team  this series despite of not catching fire yet from three point land.  Eventually the Rockets will explode, and tonight is as good a time as any to light a fire and connect on their treys. Bet on the Rockets to romp. 

NBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points like the Rockets - a top tier  team (+3 to +7 PPG diff.) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 42+ games, after scoring 110 points or more 2 straight games are a bankroll expanding 40-12 ATS dating back 21 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors.

OKLAHOMA CITY is 9-23 ATS L/32 in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220. Houston has won 7 straight at home in this series. 

Play on the Houston Rockets to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Eastern Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 5 - Series tied at 2-2

The Raptors made adjustment in game 4 of this series, and somehow found a way to win vs what looked to be a lifeless Milwaukee Bucks side, getting a much needed 87-76 victory. However, despite of the Raptors getting the needed win to tie this series up, I felt that something was not right with them, and continually got the feeling that despite of leading for most of the game, that they still could have blown it at anytime. The same must be said about the Raptors game 2 106-100 win after losing the opener. I kept getting the feeling that , that their is something missing , from their lineup ( grit, heart, rhythm) ie  or all the above.The Raptors  are not receiving alot of respect from me in this series, because of  getting run out of their gym in Game 1 and absolutely crushed in Game 3 in Milwaukee. Last time out the Bucks duo of Middleton and Antetokunmpo struggled mightily, but Im betting they rebound in a big way tonight.

Bucks are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points.Bucks are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games following a straight up loss.Bucks are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 vs. NBA Atlantic.Raptors are 8-22-1 ATS in their last 31 Conference Quarterfinals games. Raptors are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games.Bucks are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

Play on the Milwaukee Bucks to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Boston Celtics arrived in Chicago for game 3 of this series and turned their play around by getting themselves back into their Eastern Conference playoff series with the Bulls with a lopsided 104-87 win. The series now stands at 2-1 . However, despite of that big game last time out, Im now betting on the  Bulls coming back and getting back into a groove in game 4. My own numbers alos suggest tthere is value backin the home underdog. 

CHICAGO is 28-18 ATS  as an underdog this season and s 22-9 ATS  in home games after a loss by 10 points or more and also 13-4 ATS  L/17 after scoring 90 points or less. 

NBA Home underdogs the Bulls  - revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days are 122-77 ATS. 

Play on chicago to cover 1 unit reg selection

Western Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 4 - HOU Leads 2-1


According to my own numbers the wrong team is favored here. I know Oklahoma city is at home , and played the Rockets tough in the last two games in this series including a very close win last time out . But after watching the Thunder blow a big lead last time out, and be fortunate enough to get a victory, Im betting their exhausted legs will not deal well with a explosive Rockets side that can run and gun with the best teams in the league.
HOUSTON has covered 13-4 ATS on the road when the line is +3 to -3 this season and get the nod again today.OKLAHOMA CITY is 7-15 ATS L/22 versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game.

NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 like the Thunder - lower tier defensive team - allowing 103+ points/game on the season, after a close win by 3 points or less are just 27-62 ATS in their follow up game for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors.HOUSTON is 7-0 ATS L/7 in road games revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points this season.


Play on the Houston Rockets to cover 1 unit reg selection (LATE STEAM)   

Western Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 4 - SAS Leads 2-1

Now that the Grizzlies have bullied the officials into allowing them to pound away with physical abandon, against the Spurs, without the same repercussions they suffered in the first two game of this series.Im betting they now have the advantage. Although the Spurs had more attempts (28, to Memphis' 20) in the last game at the charity stripe, the Grizzlies were still getting away with alot more than they were allowed to in game 1 and  2. Now  Im betting they have the advantage here tonight behind the the trio of point guard Mike Conley, center Marc Gasol and power forward Zach Randolph.

 MEMPHIS is 15-7 ATS  as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season.

Play on the Memphis Grizzlies to cover 1 unit reg selection

Game 3 between the visiting Wizards  and the Hawks takes place this  Saturday at Philips Arena, with Washington holding a 2-0 lead.  In the first two games Atlanta played the Wizards tough, but that was not a enough to register a victory. The bottom line here is that The Wizards finished the season as one of the league's hottest sides and have not slowed down in the play offs , while the Hawks have been extremely inconsistent all season long, and have demonstrated their volatility in this series, with huge runs , followed by long lulls of futility. That In my humble opinion is not going to get the job done against a side like the Wizards. 

WASHINGTON is 20-8 ATS L/28 off 2 or more consecutive home wins. ATLANTA is 5-13 ATS L/18 vs. division opponents this season. Dating  back to Nov 4 of this season, the Wizards have won 5 straight meetings in this series, including the only game as visitors by a 112-86 count covering as 3.5 point dogs.

NBA favorites Favorites like the Hawks - vs. division opponents, off 2 or more consecutive road losses are just 31-51 ATS in their followup games, for a go against 62% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Washington Wizards to cover 1 unit reg selection

According to my own numbers the wrong team is favored here. I know Oklahoma city is at home , and played the Rockets tough in the last three quarters, in game 2 of this series, before the Rockets took control and showed their superiority. I also know super star Westbrook will be the go to guy, again, and the home crowd will help them out, but Westbrooks usage numbers during the regular season were astonishing as he owns a 41.7 % ratio.Note: OKC owned a sub par 18-21 SU record this season when Westbrook had over a 40 % usage rate and they were 0-2 against the Rockets, and had a big game last time out. However,  we all know what the results were in that game. Nothing changes tonight, despite of what will be the Thunders best efforts. 

HOUSTON is 12-4 ATS  on the road when the line is +3 to -3 this season.

Play on the Houston Rockets to cover 1 unit reg selection

    Western Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 3 - SAS Leads 2-0
In their game 2 meetings back in San Antonio the Grizzlies tried to implement their usually physical style of basketball, and to try to slow the game down into an affair that would keep them competitive vs a superior side. However, despite of their efforts the officials refused to allow the Grizzlies to get mucky and slow the game down, as was evident by the huge advantage of free throw fouls in the game. The Spurs were 31 for 32 from the charity stripe while, the Grizzlies, went 13 of 15 with FTs, which paints a picture of which team was being penalized the most. After the game HC Fizdale of the Grizzlies was furious, at the officials, for being so anal, and thus received a $30,000 fine for a screaming tirade, while pointing the finger at the officials , as he called them unprofessional and unacceptable. So not only were the Grizzlies trying to intimidate their opponents, but now are also trying to bully officials in laying off on their aggressiveness. What I'm betting, will happen now is that the Spurs will be even more motivated to respond, and for the league and officials to push back , and remain consistent in their current officiating stance. One of the reasons, why attacking officiating is met with such disdain, is because leagues don't want the officials to be bulied in to changing the way they call a game, which Im sure will be a key to any conference calls between the league head offices and referees. It has become obvious to me, that the Spurs look very focused on a championship run and intimidation will not work.
Also one last thing, with ball hawk Tony Allen not in the lineup its become obvious to me the Grizzlies are not as cohesive or dangerous, making them fade material tonight at home in game 3.


Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points like San Antonio - off 2 consecutive home wins by 10 points or more, top tier team, winning 75% or more of their games on the season are a bankroll expanding 32-10 ATS for a 76% conversion rate for bettors.
MEMPHIS is 1-12 ATS when playing with 2 days rest this season losing SU by an average of 10 ppg and is 1-8 ATS off a loss against a division rival this season.Spurs are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 Conference Quarterfinals games.Grizzlies are 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 Conference Quarterfinals games.Favorite is 11-5 ATS in the last 16 meetings.

Play on the San Antonio Spurs to cover 1 unit reg selection   

The Braves will have Matt Kemp in the lineup today which will boost their expectations going forward. The veteran slugger after being on the disabled list is welcome site to an offense with upside potential. Today against the Nationals starter Strasburg, a pitcher who has had problems in the past at Turner Field , Im betting on the Braves, to surprise as underdogs. Meanwhile, Im betting on Braves  knuckleballer Dickey, giving the Nationals ussually potent but fastball orientated batting order problems.  I know the Braves have had a big edge over the Braves the last few seasons , and got clobbered 14-4 yesterday, but it must be noted, ATLANTA is 12-1 L/13 against the money line off a loss by 10 runs or more to a division rival.

*Nationals  bullpen owns a ugly 7.63 ERA on the road this season.

Play on the Atlanta Braves on the runline 1 unit reg selection 

Warriors coach Steve Kerr said Durant may not play tonight against  Portland in the second game of this series, after Golden State took a 121-109 victory Sunday.  Even withut Durant Im betting the Warriors are the superior team, and come out here firing darts against a over rated Portland side that they have beaten   in 11 of the past 12 meetings .GOLDEN STATE is 21-8 ATS L/29  in the first round of the playoffs and get the nod again in this spot as they go for 10 straight wins at home in this series. 

Play on Golden State to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Western Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 2
The Houston Rockets have been an entertaining explosive offensive entity on the NBA highlight reels this season and cruhed the Oklahoma City thunder in game 1 of this series and I was not surprised by the outcome. This what I said, about game 1 and it still holds true for game 2. The Rockets after a huge run for most of the season , slacked off towards the end especially with their 3 point shooting, but now I expect a upward reversion to the norm, as key catalyst Ryan Anderson is now healthy. With so many weapons, including a motivated veteran James Harden the Thunder I am betting will have problems dealing with their opponents in their own charged up building in game 1 of this series. Meanwhile, the Rockets goal will be to focus their attentions on slowing Oklahoma City's super star Westbrook down, which in turn will alter the flow of the Thunder's attack, since the team has had problems , getting the entire goup involved. Westbrooks usage numbes are astonishing as he owns a 41.7 % ratio.Note: OKC owned a sub par 18-21 SU record this season when Westbrook had over a 40 % usage rate and they were 0-2 against the Rockets. And yes, Westbrook did put up some big numbers vs the Rockets this season, but it must be noted his team still lost 3 of 4 matchups. I know alot of people are focusing on how close some of the meetings this year, but game 1 of this series offers up a completely dfferent set of circumstances and atmosphere than those games, and the Rockets have the advantage as long as they can bang heads with top rebounders Taj Gibson, Enes Kanter, and Steven Adamas, which I very much expect. .

OKLAHOMA CITY is 4-14 ATS L/16 in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season OKLAHOMA CITY is 3-15 ATS L/17 in road games after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games this season losing SU by ana verage of 10.7 ppg. Houston is 10-2 ATS L/12 vs the Thunder and have won 6-0 straight meetings at home in this series covering 5 of the 6. 

Play on the Houston Rockets to cover 1 unit reg selection

Eastern Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 2

Chicago went all out to secure a playoff spot, winning 7 of their L/9 games,    and than stormed in and took out Boston in game 1 of this series, hauling down an amazing 20 offensive rebounds, something Im betting they won't even close to replicating tonight in game 2 of this series. The question is what makes the Bulls so much better than they were during the regular season. They were a streaky mediocre team to say the least and despite of the late season run are still according to my power rankings the less of the two teams doing battle tonight. Meanwhile, while the Celtics  took out 13 of their L/17 opponents,entering the play offs and despite of  looking like they were  asleep at the proverbial wheel in game one,  are now wide awake and will be playing with immediate urgency .With that said, look for the Celtics  to play a complete game what promises to be an energized home crowd. CHICAGO is 9-23 ATS L/31 off a road win over the last 2 seasons and is is 16-30 ATS  off an upset win as an underdog.

Play on the Boston Celtics to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Eastern Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 2 - MIL Leads 1-0

The Raptors are now 0-9 SU L/9 in opening games of first-round playoff series .  The team came out very flat losing by a 97-83 count  . It was noted that  all star G Kyle Lowry , had flu symptoms and that some players were experiencing fatigue, because a virus or something similar was making the rounds through the locker room.  Whether this was an excuse or rumor makes no difference as I now expect the talented Raptors to come out on fire and ready for redemption in game two of this series.  Now with time to rest and get completely healthy I expect a reversal in the Raptors fortunes here in game two.MILWAUKEE is 6-18 ATS L/24 after allowing 85 points or less 

Play on the Toronto Raptors to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Western Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 2 - SAS Leads 1-0

In the first game of this series the Grizzlies came out on fire exerting a great deal of energy, to roll out to  DD lead , before tiring and scored just 33 points in the second half and missed 9 of its 10 3-point attempts after halftime. It was ugly to say the least , especially considering how they started the game. The Spurs took the opening game of the series  thanks to the Grizzlies exhaustion, and their own 19-0 offensive explosion over a five-minute span  startiing at the end of the third quarter to turn a tightly contested tilt into a 111-82 beat down. I know the Grizzlies are without defensive specialist, Tony Allen, but their inability to monitor and conserve their energy levels was a killer in game 1. Now in true a zig zag theory, recommendation, I am going to back the Grizzlies in game 2. You have to remember Memphis finished 2-2 against the Spurs in their four regular-season games, and in 197 minutes, the Grizzlies finished with a +2.0 net rating and have proven in the recent past they can play the Spurs tough and compete.The Grizzlies stood tall vs Spurs' offense, allowing them a 98.2 offensive rating in a very physical fashion.Marc Gasol and Zach Randolph smothered the Spurs in their 61 minutes on the court together, posting a +18.7 net rating and must not be underestimated based on the first game of this series.

SAN ANTONIO is 0-7 ATS L/7 in home games off a win against a division rival this season, while Memphis is 15-7 ATS L/23 off a road loss this season.

Play on the Memphis to cover 1 unit regarding selection

Western Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 1
The Houston Rockets have been an entertaining explosive offensive entity on the NBA highlight reels this season. The Rockets after a huge run for most of the season , slacked off towards the end especially with their 3 point shooting, but now I expect a upward reversion to the norm, as key catalyst Ryan Anderson is now healthy. With so many weapons, including a motivated veteran James Harden the Thunder I am betting will have problems dealing with their opponents in their own charged up building in game 1 of this series. Meanwhile, the Rockets goal will be to focus their attentions on slowing Oklahoma City's super star Westbrook down, which in turn will alter the flow of the Thunder's attack, since the team has had problems , getting the entire goup involved. Westbrooks usage numbers are astonishing as he owns a 41.7 % ratio.Note: OKC owned a sub par 18-21 SU record this season when Westbrook had over a 40 % usage rate and they were 0-2 against the Rockets. And yes, Westbrook did put up some big numbers vs the Rockets this season, but it must be noted his team still lost 3 of 4 matchups. I know alot of people are focusing on how close some of the meetings this year, but game 1 of this series offers up a completely dfferent set of circumstances and atmosphere than those games, and the Rockets have the advantage as long as they can bang heads with top rebounders Taj Gibson, Enes Kanter, and Steven Adamas, which I very much expect. .

OKLAHOMA CITY is 4-12 ATS L/16 in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season losing SU by an average of 10.4 ppg. OKLAHOMA CITY is 3-14 ATS L/17 in road games after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games this season losing SU by ana verage of 10.7 ppg. Houston is 9-2 ATS L/11 vs the Thunder and have won 5-0 straight meetings at home in this series covering 4 of the 5. 


Play on the Houston Rockets to cover 1 unit reg selection

Chicago went all out to secure a playoff spot, winning 7 of their L/9 games, including a 112-73 beatdown of Brooklyn in their season finale.  I mean this team worked really hard, and must be exhausted by now.I respect their effort, but  what Im betting on now, is that not even the short rest , will be enough to avert a loss on tired legs vs what  my own power rankings suggest is the far superior side and one of the top teams in the East. The Celtics  took out 13 of their L/17 opponents, and once again look strong as favorites on their own home floor. In their L/meeting here on March 12 the Celtics handed the Bulls as 100-80 beatdown. Rinse and repeat in Game 1 of this series. 

NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points like the Bulls- revenging a road blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more against opponent off an home win scoring 110 or more points are just 4-32 ATS for a go against 89% conversion rate for bettors. CHICAGO is 8-19 ATS  L/27 in road games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 assists/game or more.

Play on the Boston Celtics to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Eastern Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 1

The fourth-seeded Wizards (49-33) and No. 5 Hawks (43-39) open their best-of-seven first-round series  in the nations capital this Sunday.  Alot of pundits expect the Wizards to run all over  the Hawks.  But in this  playoff opener. I expect Hawks Coach Mike Budenholzer will have his team playing a tougher brand of defense, and is expected  to have Tim Hardaway Jr. and Taurean Prince starting Game 1, which gives the Hawks a much different dynamic , than the Wizards may have planned on playing against. I really feel the Hawks  must not be underestimated as was the case when they  won four in a row late in the season, including a home-and-home sweep over the defending NBA champion Cleveland Cavaliers.With that said,  look for the Hawks to bang their way to a cover in game 1. ATLANTA is 31-16 ATS  when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) and 17-8 ATS L/25 versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game this season. 

Play on the Hawks to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Western Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 1

The Clippers enter this play off series vs the Utah Jazz having won 11 of their L/13 games  including 7 straight,and are back to playing at a very high level, after a mid season swoon because of key injury issues. Meanwhile, the Jazz are also playing a top tier style of basketball. However, from a matchup perspective my own data suggests the Clippers are the superior overall team when healthy as they are now , especially when playing here at home in the Staples Center. 

Utah is 11-22 ATS L/33 in road games when playing against a team with a winning record.UTAH is 1-10 ATS L/11 as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season and failed to cover 14 of 19 road games as dogs. UTAH is 2-11 ATS  as a road underdog of 6 points or less this season.Jazz are 7-22-1 ATS in their last 30 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Jazz are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 vs. NBA Pacific.Jazz are 8-22-2 ATS in their last 32 vs. Western Conference.Clippers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Clippers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Jazz are 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings.

P:lay on the LA Clippers to cover  1 unit reg selection 

The goal for the Bulls here tonight is to win this game , and get into the play offs, Its a simple scenario. Bulls win= playoffs.  All that stands in their way is a sometimes explosive , Brooklyn Nets team. that have proven they can be a formidable opponent, for all comers over the last month of the season, and will not easily bow down to the Bulls in this spot. Another thing that must be considered concerning for Bulls backers is that the team, has been playing all out of late, and must be extremely tired. Last time out they played a full game at full speed, beating lowly Orlando 122-75 which sets up these dismal trends. CHICAGO is 0-11 ATS L/11 in home games after allowing 90 points or less over the last 2 seasons  and  is 1-11 ATS L/12  after having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games dating back to last season. Also the two most recent meetings in this series were were decided by 1 and 2 points respectively, and Im betting on a much closer game than the lines-makers expect once again.

Play on the Brooklyn Nets to cover 

The Oklahoma City Thunder enter into this game with their super star Westbrook achieving his statistical goals, and the team guaranteed the 6th seed entering the play offs. With nothing left to play for in the regular season, and staying healthy the main focus, I'm betting against the Thunder  tonight in Minnesota . Meanwhile, a  young Wolves team that would love to end their season on a winning note in their final home game of the season, will be primed to play and play hard . It must also be noted that the team is unveiling a new logo, so getting off on the proverbial right foot is important, and thus we should have a motivated group to back in this spot. 

Play on the Minnesota Wolves to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Tonight Miami needs a win badly to keep their play off hopes alive, and I am betting they will be primed to play hard, against a Cleveland team that may rest key players, for all or parts of this game. I know the Cavaliers have revenge on board, for a 120-92 loss to the Heat March 4th, where the Cavs also rested players, but once again the champs don't have alot of incentives to tire their stars for short term goals, considering they played last night, with super star James clocking 47 minutes . I am betting  HC Lues' focus is on the play offs, and that will be evident tonight. The Heat have won 12 straight games in this series here in Miami and nothing changes tonight. Cavaliers are 7-15 ATS in their last 22 games playing on 0 days rest.Heat are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

Play on the Miami Heat to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Lakers despite of being eliminated from the post season, and by all accounts having an overall dismal season, have been rolling of late winning three straight games and more importantly have covered 4 straight tilts. QUOTE:"I think we're playing more together," said Lakers forward Larry Nance Jr. . "We're not necessarily caring who gets the points, who gets the rebounds, who gets the steals. Everybody's focused on trying to get some wins." END QUOTE: Meanwhile, the visiting, Minnesota Wolves are looking a little fatigued of late , and that was evident in  a 120-113 loss on Friday to Utah, after blowing a decent lead. With that said, the Timberwolves are 0-3 on their current four-game road swing  and are weak favorites here in spot according to my own cross reference matchup guides. MINNESOTA is 12-22 ATS L/34 when playing against a team with a losing record this season and is 11-26 ATS L/27 versus lower tier  teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game. 

Play on the LA Lakers to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Dallas Mavs dont have alot to play for as they have been eliminated from the post season, and look unmotivated in a loss last time out. However they do have to keep their pride intact going into the off season , which  actually means something top pedigree coaches like Carlisle.  Their hosts the  Suns are  bottom feeders in the  Western Conference  and a lowly 1 1/2 games below the Los Angeles Lakers . However despite of that have  won two of three against Dallas this season and actually stunned the Oklahoma City Thunder last time out by a 120-99  count. With that said,  Im now betting the young Suns after their all out, take no prisoners win last time out, will now be in an emotional letdown spot today vs a side that wants revenge for an earlier loss in this series this season. It must also be noted that the Mavericks entered the  fourth in the league in scoring defense (100.5) and Phoenix was last (113.2) Even with a depleted Dallas lineup,  I am betting they can keep pace with this opponent and even pull off the SU upset as road dogs.

Suns are 12-28 ATS in their last 40 games following a straight up win.Mavericks are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss.Suns are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.

DALLAS is 21-9 ATS  revenging a same season loss vs opponent this season and is 11-3 ATS L/14 revenging a home loss vs opponent this season.

PHOENIX is 6-16 ATS L/22  versus poor offensive teams - scoring or less 98 points/game.

 NBA Road favorites like Dallas - with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season, on Sunday games are a bankroll expanding 35-8 ATS for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. It must be noted seems to like playing on Sundays , as is evident by a  10-0 ATS record in Sunday games this season winning SU by an average of 13 ppg. 

Also NBA Road favorites like the Mavs - poor defensive team - shooting pct defense of 46% or better on the season, poor rebounding team - out-rebounded by opponents by 3+ per game are 31-13 ATS for 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Dallas to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Cincinnati got crushed yesterday by a 10-4 count vs their hosts the St. Louis Cardinals allowing 22 base runners. I don't think things will get much better today, as the Reds send Scott Feldman (0-1, 5.79 ERA) to the hill to face a suddenly explosive St. Louis' offense. Meanwhile, the Cards pitcher Martinez looked great in his opening day assignment, pitching 7 1/2 innings of scoreless ball vs the defending Wolrd Series champion Cubs. Martinez has alsp done well  in his career against Cincinnati, going 5-1 with a 2.76 ERA in 16 outings ( 5 starts). He posted two wins last year over the Reds and is my choice in this spot. When Martinez starts in April his team is 9-0 SU L/9 winning SU by an average of 4.6 ppg. CINCINNATI is 4-19 L/23 against the money line in road games after having won 3 of their last 4 games over the last 3 seasons , losing SU by an average of 2 rpg. Dating to the start of the 2003 season, Cincinnati has won just four of its last 39 series at Busch Stadium, losing 32.

Play on the St.Louis Cards on the runline -1.5 

The Indiana Pacers look suddenly rejuvenated after the addition of former franchise juggernaut  Lance Stephenson. Since his arrival the Pacers took the Cleveland Cavaliers to double ot and than proceeded to win their two following games. Now playing with confidence and also a sense of urgency I expect they will be primed to perform tonight vs a Orlando team out of the play offs and debuting D League prospects. From a matchup perspective the Pacers have owned the Magic this season, winning all three meetings, by an average of 14 ppg, including a 98-88 win here  in the Magic Kingdom on Feb 1.  What we have here is a  Rinse and repeat situation based on head to head and matchup analysis.  

The Pacers are 4-0 SU/ATS L/4 visits to Central Florida to play the Magic.

ORLANDO is 13-25 ATS in home games this season and 25-34 ATS as underdogs losing SU by an average of 8.5 ppg. Pacers HC McMillan is 35-15 ATS L/40 in road games versus terrible teams - outscored by their opponents by 6+ points/game, winning SU by an average of 7 ppg. 

Indiana Pacers to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Jazz enter this game notching wins in  four of their last five games despite of an array  injury woes. I personally respect the Jazzs coach Quin Snyder  and his ability to mix and match lineups while continuing to have players remain disciplined behind his system, despite of his walking wounded . Meanwhile, the   Timberwolves blew  another fourth-quarter lead in Thursday's 105-98 loss to Portland . This young team breaks down on a regular basis as that was their 21st time after leading by double digits that they lost a game, the worst such record in the league. With that said, I expect the home team will be primed to play tonight, and be very motivated to keep the all important fourth seed entering the post season, and to also be focused on reaping revenge for a a 107-80 home loss to the Wolves which ended a five-game winning streak in the series.

Timberwolves are 1-7-1 ATS in their last 9 road games.Jazz are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 home games.Favorite is 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings.

Play on the Utah Jazz to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Indiana Pacers play host to the Milwaukee Bucks on Thursday night as both teams try to garner post season spots, but Indiana is the more desperate of the two and cannot afford a loss.

The Milwaukee Bucks after a strong run, winning 14 of 17 have now lost two in a row in look exhausted in their last tilt losing by a 110-79 blowout decision vs the Oklahoma City. Meanwhile, the Indiana Pacers, have looked very rejuvenated since the return of Lance Stephenson and rode the energy of the home crowd last time out in a smash down of a good Toronto Raptors team by a 108-90 count. Now with Indiana needing wins to stay alive for the post season and the added incentive of getting revenge for three straight losses in this series this season Im betting we see a take no prisoners attitude and an extremely motivated (performance from the home team . ( The Pacers are 27-12 at home, while the Bucks have held their own on the road at 18-20.) 

It must be noted that he Indiana Pacers are 8-0 SU/ATS L/8 with same season triple revenge as hosts. Meanwhile the Bucks are just 1-11 SU and and 2-10 ATS L/12 away vs a side like the Pacers looking to get revenge for three straight losses in a series. 

Play on the Indiana Pacers to cover 1 unit reg selection

Two teams at the bottom end of my power rankings go head to head tonight in the Magic Kingdom as the Brooklyn Nets play the Orlando Magic. Granted Brooklyn has looked decent of late, but still have alot of problems to deal with in the off season,  as they have a tendency of going into catastrophic breakdown mode when not consistently hitting treys from downtown and a defense that is porous to say the least. Also according to my own cross reference systems and play player to  player matchup scenarios the Magic actually have the edge here on their own home floor. With Orlando playing with better flow, thanks to their wings ability to run and shoot in transition Im betting they matchup well and get my endorsement in this ugly betty spot play . The Magic are 3-1 SU/ATS L/4 at home in this series including a 118-11 win here back on Dec 16th of this season. (Brooklyn shot an amazing 64% from the floor in victory vs Philadelphia last time out,  and now expecting  for a reversion to the mean in a letdown effort scenario). 

Play on the Orlando Magic to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Clippers have won four of their last five overall and seven of nine, but one of the losses came  to the Mavericks , a team that has won two straight meetings in this series. The Clippers are just 4-13 ATS L/17 when playing against a team with a losing record, and look to be over blown favorites in ths spot. LA CLIPPERS are 2-12 ATS  in home games when playing with double revenge - 2 straight losses vs. opponent. With that said,  Im betting on HC Carlisle formulating a game plan that helps his team be very competetive tonight. 

NBA Home favorites like the LA Cippers - a strong  3PT shooting team (36.5% or better) against a poor 3PT defense (36.5% or worse), average rebounding team (+/-3 reb/game) against a horrible rebounding team (-5.5 or less reb/game). 

Play on the Dallas Mavericks to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Two teams at the proverbial opposite end of the performance spectrum go head to head tonight as the explosive Golden State Warriors visit the desert to play the young Phoienx Suns. The Warriors have won 12 straight SU while the Suns have lost 12 straight.  The bottom line here, is that Golden State has virtually wrapped up the top seed in the West , but are still trying to keep momentum on their side, going towards the play offs, and despite of resting some players will still be primed to win. Im also sure HC Kerr has told his team not overlook tonight's opponent, which gives me confidence in laying points with my own rankings is the best and deepest team in the league. It must be noted that the Warriors have beaten the Suns 10 straight times, including three times this season by 6, 13, 29 points respectively, and Im betting on another conclusive win here.

This from a league wide NBA data base: Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points like the Suns - revenging a road blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more against opponent off an home win scoring 110 or more points are just 4-31 ATS or a go against conversion rate of 89% for bettors. 

Play on the Golden State Warriors to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Dallas Mavericks and Sacramento Kings are two teams that won't be in the play offs this season. The Kings will miss their 11th straight post season, and the Mavs will miss for  only the second time in 17 seasons. The Kings are rebuilding , while Dallas looks for younger players to replace the old guard. Needless to say this game does not have alot excitement attached to it. However, more importantly it is a bankroll expansion money making opportunity , that has me recommeding we go against a Sacramento side, that meets my criteria as  a weak favorite despite of winning 3 of their L/5 overall. 

DALLAS is 18-8 ATS L/26 versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game.DALLAS is 15-4 ATS after having lost 3 of their last 4 games this season and is is 9-1 ATS   after 3 straight games being outrebounded by opponent by 5 or more this season. SACRAMENTO is 4-13 ATS L/17 when playing with 2 days rest.

This is a key long term trend form a NBA Database: NBA Home teams like the Kings - good 3PT shooting team (36.5% or more) against a poor 3PT defense (36.5% or more ), average rebounding team (+/-3 reb/game) against a lower tier  rebounding team (5.5 or less reb/game) are 18-51 ATS for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Dallas Mavericks to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Oklahoma City is slumping a bit of late, and Im blaming that on the one man show Russell Westbrook. Why you say? Westbrook is a super star. Yes, and he has an ego that matches his vast  talents, and has a tendency to be selfish. With that said,  and for now at least the Thunder have lost focus on their post season  goals and  don't seem to be as foused on more important factors, but rather on their super stars records status. Meanwhile, the Bucks ,  are a team fighting for a post season appearence and playoff positioning, and are capable of upsetting the Thunder in their own diggs. Last time out, they looked like the pressure of their current status, effected their play, in a 109-105 loss,  but today I expect they bounce back in a big way. QUOTE: We didn't play hard enough, we didn't do what we usually do," key Bucks cog Antetokounmpo said. "That's the game, and we move on. We know how important these last five games are for us. We're going to play together and try to finish it off strong." END QUOTE

Bucks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up loss.Bucks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games. Thunder are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.

Milwaukee has covered 3 of the L/ 4 meetings in this series and won a 98-94 decision at home back on Jan 2 of this season. 

Play on the Milwaukee Bucks to cover 1 unit reg selection

Brooklyn has been playing decent basketball of late, and have won two straight, but despite of their better play, are still a team with all lot of deficiencies. The Nets are also on tired legs as this will be their 3rd game in 4 days. Note: BROOKLYN is just 11-27 ATS when playing their 3rd game in 4 days , losing SU by an average of 11 ppg. Meanwhile, Philadelphia their hosts tonight despite of being banged up and depleted, are a side with some great work ethic, and seeing some great contributions from new faces like Alex Poythress who was in the NBA development league. With that said, I like the home team in this spot, from a systems matchup perspective and recommend we plug our noses , hold our breath and pull the trigger on the 76ers side that has won all three meetings in this series this season and 25-11 ATS at home during the current campaign including 5-1-1 ATS vs their division.

PHILADELPHIA is 20-9 ATS  after 2 or more consecutive losses this seasonPHILADELPHIA is 11-2 ATS  vs. division opponents this seasonPHILADELPHIA is 7-0 ATS when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season. BROOKLYN is 4-13 ATS  after having won 2 of their last 3 games.

Play on the Philadelphia 76ers 1 unit reg selection 

After winning their respective Final Four matchups on Saturday, No. 1 seed Gonzaga will battle No. 1 seed North Carolina for the national title Monday night. Ok folks, now Im going to be as blunt and to the point as possible. I know Gonzaga has had a tremendous season, and I wont take that way from them, but beating lower tier teams in a lower tier conference  and than taking out underdog upstarts like Xavier ad South Carolina , Northwestern ,  and over rated West Virginia  from more respected conferences to get here is not overly impressive to me. I know some might argue about what I'm saying, but  I'm not knocking the four teams I just mentioned , I just don't believe they are in the same company as speedy/ explosive offensive Tar Heels squad. I'm also not sold on Gonzagas coach Mark Few, who despite of being a great recruiter is a guy that has not ever proven he can deliver a national championship banner, and has failed in key big games in the past. With that said, look for Roy Williams years of winning experience   to be the key difference maker here today. Also after watching,  a very tough Joel Berry II play decently on his sore/sprained ankles Im starting to believe that this injury is being overblown by the media, and possibly even being used as a trojan horse by Williams and company, to make them appear vlnerable,  and  will not greatly effect North Carolinas offensive flow .

This from a CBB ATS data base: All teams where the line is +3 to -3 like the Heels  - team from a major division 1-A conference against a team from a second tier conference, off a no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite are a bankroll expanding 23-5 ATS dating back 5 seasons for a very profitable 82% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the North Carolina Tar Heels to cover  1 unit reg selection

The Miami Heat and the Denver Nuggets, both need to get in the win column today, and this will be an important play off type game for both of them as they vie for a post season appearance. Due to tiebreakers, the Chicago Bulls are in seventh place, the Heat are eighth. With that said, the the Heat matchup well vs the Nuggets and  have won three straight games in their series  and once again get my backing here today. It must be noted that the  Nuggets are banged up and  have three players who are questionable for Sunday: point guard Jameer Nelson (calf); shooting guard Will Barton (foot) and forward Darrell Arthur (knee) which I: betting effects their flow. MIAMI is 11-2 ATS L/13 versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts and is 13-1 ATS  versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game and also 12-1 ATS L/13 versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots.DENVER is 0-7 ATS L/7 revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite this season. MIAMI is 15-7 ATS as a home favorite this season winning SU by an average of 8 ppg.

Play on Miami Heat  to cover 1 unit reg selection 

When there was no pressure on Milwaukee they looked to be in a flow, and have gotten themselves in a position for a play off spot by winning 14 of their L/18 overall. But now with added pressure , Im wondering about their ability to be as dangerous. Their last effort punctuated my current thought processes , as they struggled to beat a Motown Pistons team that is mired in a deep funk, working extra hard to get a 108-105 OT win after blowing a 18 point lead. Milwaukee is also expected to be without guard Malcolm Brogdon, a Rookie of the Year candidate , and his absence was missed last time out , and Im betting will be missed again. Meanwhile the desperate Mavericks come to Milwaukee looking to stop a four game losing streak  and need wins badly to stay in the play off picture. The odds are they won't make it to post season play, which means I expect they wil be playing loose and dangerous with nothing really to lose.It must be noted that Dallas has won eight of the last 10 meetings with the Bucks, including an 86-75 overtime victory earlier this season. and I'm recommedning we back them  today getting points.

MILWAUKEE is 5-15 ATS  versus poor defensive teams like Dallas - shooting pct defense of 46% or more  this season.DALLAS is 9-0 ATS  in Sunday games this season. MILWAUKEE is just 6-15 ATS  as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season.

Play on the Dallas Mavericks to cover 1 unit reg selection 

I have been hard on Charlotte this season because of their wild inconsistencies, but they are presently playing at a high level, winning 6 of their L/8 SU/ATS  and must be respected. My own player to player and matchup systems analysis also tell me that actually matchup well against their hosts the Oklahoma City Thunder . The Hornets beat the Thunder 123-112 on Jan 4 th, and Im betting they will be competitive today vs a team off a hard fought heart breaking loss to the Spurs, last time out by a 100-95 count  that will now have them in a letdown scenario this Sunday. Hornets are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. NBA Northwest.

Play on Charlotte to cover 1 unit reg selection 

NCAA Tournament - Final Four - University of Phoenix Stadium - Glendale, AZ

North Carolina is a team with some big time pedigree and has a huge amount of respect from the nations basketball pundits, Meanwhile, Oregon does not get the same respect from the meida, but has proven to be a very strong side this season. With that said, the Ducks have been ranked high on my power rankings during my current betting campaign, and after watching them take out Michigan, and than a very good Kansas team, in what was essentially a road game for them, they have gained my respect and admiration. From a matchup standpoint the Ducks have proven all season long that they can slow down the best of offensive teams ie Arizona and UCLA, and I have confidence that they can do it again. Meanwhile, North Carolina is off a huge emotionally charged last second win vs Kentucky, and may now have problems mustering up the same energy here this Saturday despite of the rest. With the Tar Heels star guard Joel Berri II expected to play with a banged up ankle, Im betting the Ducks take their flow away and possibly end up advancing to the championship game with a outright win as dogs. However more importantly I expect Altamn to out coach Roy Williams and get us the cover. OREGON is 20-7 ATS  versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game this season.OREGON is 8-1 ATS  vs. top caliber teams - outscoring their opponents by 12+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.OREGON is 7-1 ATS L/8  versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game. Altman is 30-13 ATS L/43 versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game.

Play on Oregon to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 Two teams on 2 game winning streaks, enter into this tilt in decent form, and vying for a play off spot. The Hawks prior to their wins , had a ugly 7 game losing streak, but have been wildly inconsistent all season long, as have their opponents today the Chicago Bulls, who proved their inefficiencies in a loss to lowly injury riddled Philadelphia recently. From a head to head matchup perspective the Hawks , however, have the edge against a team that depends to much on a hot shooting from downtown, as their coach Hoiberg prefers. I know the the Hawks are playing with out key cog Millsap, but watching their recent adjustments to his absence gives me confidence in them making this a hard fought affair, that gives them the edge taking points. Note: The Hawks own a seven-game winning streak vs the Bulls including three this season and get the nod again with points in hand. 

CHICAGO is 17-32 ATS L50 as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points dating back to last season.CHICAGO is 11-22 ATS L/33 after a win by 6 points or less which happened against the Cavs last time out.Hawks are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 vs. NBA Central.Bulls are 18-40 ATS in their last 58 vs. NBA Southeast.

 Play on the Atlanta Hawks to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 College Insider Tournament - Championship Game

The line of this championship game opened at -1.5 with St.Peters as favorites. Than both public and smart money flowed in on the Peacocks. With that said, St.Peters is a fine team, and have really come together late in the season, but now we are dealing with mathematics and lack of overall respect for Texas AM Corpus Christi. While its not always a good thing to go against the marker flow, there comes a time when it is over done, and thats what Im betting on here. Currently according to my own numbers and cross reference systems and player to player matchup configurations  this line is now slightly bloated, and a very underrated Texas AM CC has an edge as the underdog getting points. This also from a CBB trend data base: Home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points like Texas A&M CC - after beating the spread by 24 or more points total in their last three games, a good team (60% to 80%) playing a team with a winning record are a bankroll expanding 67-29 ATS and 5-0 ATS this season for a very profitable long term 70% conversion rate for betting backers. 

Play on Texas A&M CC to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 The Detroit Pistons stopped a five-game losing streak Thursday but nothing comes easy for the Pistons, and its seems they are just plain tired and wiped out as the regular season finish line comes closer.  The Pistons have lost 8 of their L/10 SU and after watching some of their games, it has become obvious to me that things are a mess with Motown hoops. I know the Pistons are still in pursuit of a play off spot, and HC Van Gundy is saying all the right things, but the results on the court are much different than his perceptions. Meanwhile, Milwaukee a team that looks destined for the play offs improved to 13-3  SU in its last 16 games with a 103-100 road victory against a strong  Boston Celtics on Wednesday, and Im betting this tilt we be like a walk in the park after playing a superior side last time out. With that said, and according to my own matchup stats the Bucks are the far superior team in a head to head matchup, and I'm recommending we lay the lumber here with the young men from Wisconsin. 

Milwaukee is 5-2 in the last seven home meetings with Detroit and have crushed them by DDs in their L/2 meetings this season. DETROIT is 0-7 ATS in road games vs. division opponents this season losing SU 22.7 ppg and 1-10 ATS L/11 off a road win, losing SU by ana verage of 15 ppg. 

Play on the Milwaukee Bucks to cover 1 unit reg selection

Denver after losing last time out to the red hot Portland Blazers 122-113, have dropped out of the final play off spot in the Western Conference. Its not like the Nuggets will now throw in the towel as regaining their post season status is very attainable as long as they can muster up wins. More importantly they are now under pressure to get a victory tonight vs the  inconsistent Charlotte Hornets. With that said, Im betting the Nuggets leave everything on the floor and will not easily be taken down tonight, which makes taking points a viable wagering situation. 

QUOTE: "I've been in the league a long time, and you expect the unexpected," Nuggets coach Michael Malone told the Post. "If we stop believing and letting go of the rope, it could get ugly. I didn't get that sense (Thursday). Our guys are disappointed that we had a bad home loss against New Orleans and a tough loss against a Portland team that is playing very well. We have an opportunity to get back on track." END QUOTE. I like the Nuggets drive , while I dont have the same confidence in the tired looking Hornets , a side that will most likely not make a play off appearence this season. 

DENVER is 14-4 ATS off a loss against a division rival .CHARLOTTE is 1-10 ATS L/11 in home games when playing their 3rd game in 4 days this season. 

Denver Nuggets to cover  1 unit reg selection 

 Two rivals the Chicago Bulls and the the banged up Cleveland Cavaliers go head to head tonight in a prime time battle that Im betting will be a hard fought one. The Cavaliers have recently been slumping and the players have echoed their frustration , but have not shown any urgency in their tones,  or performance on the court as HC Lue said his long term focus is on  the post season and staying healthy. With that said, look for a hungry and desperate Bulls team to come out here and give it their all ,as they vie for a post season appearance vs what looks to be a Cavaliers team just gojng through the motions. I know the Bulls have struggled, of late but they have matched up well against the Cavaliers, winning all three meetings this season and wont go down easily in this spot, as they are well rested and are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 3 or more days rest.

CLEVELAND is 13-22 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record this season and  are just 15-22 ATS on the road including 1-4 ATS L/5 overall. Bulls are 20-7 ATS in their last 27 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600 and are are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

Play on the Chicago Bulls to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Two injury-riddled teams  the  Atlanta Hawks and   Philadelphia 76ers go head to head on Wednesday night in the City of Brotherly Love.  Both sides are off wins last night. The Sixers upset the Nets as road dogs, and the Hawks took a victory over the lowly Suns, but failed to cover. Looking at a long term data base, as part of tonight's handicapping analysis  my betting direction centered on the struggling Hawks ability to notch a 2nd straight win vs a side trying to do the same. My attention also focuses on   my player to player systems matchups which  centers on bench strength , which favors the Hawks. Also it must be noted that Philadelphia is coming home, off 5 straight road games, and will take time to acclimate themselves to their own digs, which I'm betting will be an advantage to the visitors. I know both these teams do not inspire bettors, but according to my own humble opinion is that the Hawks are a very viable betting option in this particular spot. 

ATLANTA is 21-9 ATS  in road games after having lost 2 of their last 3 games over the last 3 seasonPHILADELPHIA is 4-13 ATS ( when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. 

NBA teams  teams where the line is +3 to -3 like the 76ers - off an upset win as a road underdog, a bad team, winning 25% to 40% of their games on the season,are just 22-51 ATS in their followup tilt. NBA Home underdogs like Philadelphia  - after playing 2 consecutive road games, playing on back-to-back days are 45-76 ATS datng back 5 seasons. Also NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 Hawks - after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games, extremely tired team - when playing their 3rd game in 4 days are 71-37 ATS for 66% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Atlanta to cover 1 unit reg selection 

NIT - Semifinals - Madison Square Garden - New York, NY

TCU after suffering through a 7 game losing streak at the end of the season, finally came to life with surprising wins vs Oklahoma and schizophrenic Kansas before being blown out by explosive Iowa State in the Big 12 Tournament. They have won all 3 of the NIT games , but now  against a unfimiliar and tenacious defense first opponent UCF , Im betting they will have problems, keeping their offensive flow alive  It must be noted that UCF held a potent Cincinnati Bearcats team to 49 points in a win back o Feb 26, and if they can repeat that type of game plan here, which I beleive they can, a upset as underdogs is not far fetched. Thus taking the points with them is  a very viable option.

UCF is 7-1 ATS L/8 in all tournament games this season and 9-1 SU L/10 overall with their only loss coming to to top tier SMU hoops program.TCU is 0-6 ATS  in road games after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games dating back to last year and is 2-10 ATS  in road games off a home win. TCU is 0-7 ATS L/7 vs. dominant rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 7+ per game after 15+games over the last 2 seasons and is 7-20 ATS  versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game after 15+ games during the same time peremiters. 

Play on UCF to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Brooklyn has showed remarkable improvements over the last month, and  have been very competitive covering 9 of their L/12 overall and have also  won 3 of their L/4 overall , with the one loss coming to a strong Washington Wizards team. Meanwhile, the visiting Philadelphia 76ers have lost 11 of their L/14 games, and will now go against a team with revenge on board, for a 105-95 loss here at home back on Jan 8. With that said, I'm betting on the Nets getting the revenge they want. 

BROOKLYN is 8-1 ATS  in home games after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread this season.76ers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.Nets are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.

From a NBA Trends data base: NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 like the 76ers - in a game involving two poor defensive teams (45.5-47.5%), average rebounding team (+/-3 reb/game) against a poor rebounding team (-3 to -5.5 reb/game) are 9-32 ATS dating back 5 seasons, Favorites like the Nets - poor defensive team - shooting pct defense of 46% or more on the season, after game - allowing a shooting pct. of 35% or less are 26-5 ATS for a 84% conversion rate for betting backers.

Brooklyn to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Miami has some back court injury issues they are dealing with at the moment. Which is not a good omen for their chances tonight, vs their struggling but desperate hosts Detroit. It must be noted that the Heat have lost three of its last four games with shooting guard Dion Waiters (15.8 ppg) on the sidelines with ankle injury. Guess what he is expected to be out again tonight, which I'm betting effects the Heats flow. Also key cog Hassan Whiteside, has a cut hand that is still healing and other nagging injuries that are slowing him which is another reason for a negative outlook for the Heat tonight. Add to that Dragic is also banged up with a sore hip, and you can see that Heat are getting far to much respect from the linesmakers in ths spot. . With that said, I feel that the Heat are fade material tonight despite of having the superior team when healthy. DETROIT is 9-1 ATS L/10 home games when playing against a team with a losing record and is 9-1 ATS vs. teams who are called for 2+ more fouls/game than their opponents - 2nd half of the season over the last couple of seasons. DETROIT is 14-4 ATS L/18 in home games after having lost 4 of their last 5 games. Detroit won both games in this series this season and are 4-1 SU/ATS L/5 here in Motown.
 

Play on the Detroit Pistons to cover 1 unit reg selection

Milwaukee is a team that has won 11 of their L/14 games. and still looking very much like a side on the rise in the NBA. Yes, they had a bad game last time out, vs the Bulls,  but after their previous two losses they bounced back, and I once again expect another rebound in this spot. Meanwhile, despite of Charlotte playing decent ball at the moment, the Hornets  are still very inconsistent, which was evident last time against the  the Phoenix  Suns. In that tilt, the Hornets ran out to a huge 17-1 lead, and up 22 points at the  half, and were up by  25 in the third quarter. But  than the wheels fell of the proverbial apple cart . Towards the end of the game they  were up just 105-101 before pulling away late for the victory.  that was ugly and told me a story of a team with problems.My own power ranking suggest their wildly erratic play , and player to players systems do not match-up well vs a Bucks side that can perform well vs best teams in the NBA, especially  at their current level of over all play.

CHARLOTTE is 1-8 ATS after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread this season.CHARLOTTE is 3-14 ATS  after playing 2 consecutive home games this season. Milwaukee has covered 5 straight meetings here in Charlotte. The road team is 11-1 ATS in the last 12 meetings.

Play on the Milwaukee Bucks to cover 1 unit reg selection 

It seems the media in general is proclaiming that the Cleveland Cavaliers are on a down trend, and that LeBron James is degrading and has lost a step and that the Cavaliers defense is not of a championship quality. Now with all detractors out in full force, the Cavaliers visit another top tier team the San Antonio Spurs. I have alot of respect for the Spurs, but tonight Im betting on James ,who is now, entering this tilt with a big chip on his shoulder, to rally the troops and come out here with a all out effort in what I expect to be a subsequent cover.

Spurs are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games overall.Spurs are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 home games.Underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.Road team is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings and the Cavaliers are 2-0 ATS L/2 visits to San Antonio. It must be noted that the Spurs are on a 4 game win streak, but are just 5-14 ATS after 4 or more consecutive wins this season.

Cleveland to cover 1 unit reg selection

The only two losses Denver has suffered in their L/8 games have come to the explosive Houston Rockets. Since those losses, the Nuggets have shot 50 percent from the field and have missed only three of their 56 free throws in their last two games. Meanwhile, New Orleans despite of playing better of late, with Cousins and Anthony jelling, this particular matchup is not a good one for them ,as they will be in a letdown state and on tired legs in a high altitude after running and gunning but losing to the Rockets last time out. The Nuggets beat the Pelicans 107-102 in the season opener on Oct. 26 despite Davis' 50 points and 15 rebounds, and Im betting on a repeat performance here from the Nuggets  and more importantly a cover. DENVER is 15-6 ATS L/21 versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game and is 21-11 ATS  versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game and make 6 or more treys per game.

Play on the Denver Nuggets to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Kentucky started slow this season, but as time progressed this group of top tier collegiate players has now become a force to be reckoned with, both defensively and on offense. After taking down UCLA on Friday night, it has become apparent to me that this team has arrived and are now playing with a chip on their shoulders, which is not a good thing for their opponents the North Carolina Tar Heels. With  Monk and Fox at the  top of their game and the Wildcats D, playing shutdown hoops, I'm betting Roy Williams team will find the sledding very tough and could easily end up on the wrong side of the scoreboard when the final buzzer goes. With that said, getting points for me is a solid investment option. 

Play on Kentucky to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The explosive Houston Rockets host the Oklahoma City Thunder in a game between to hot teams that could face each other in the play offs. With that said, despite of the Thunder playing some very good hoops at the moment, I still rank them well below the Houston Rockets in head to head play, especially here in Texas. With the Rockets out looking to establish dominance over a potential post season partner, I expect they will be very primed here at home to make a statement.  Look for key offensive catalyst James Harden  to be the deal breaker today. The stars current streak of four straight games with at least 30 points and 10 assists is the longest since Michael Jordan accomplished the task in five consecutive contests in 1988-89.

This from a NBA team vs team ATS data base: Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points like the Rockets - a top tier team (+3 to +7 PPG diff.) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 42+ games of the season, after scoring 110 points or more 2 straight games are a bankroll expanding 39-10 ATS for a 80% conversion rate for betting backers.

OKLAHOMA CITY is 6-20 ATS L/26 in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 and is 2-11 ATS L/13 in road games after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games this season and s 1-8 ATS  in road games after covering 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread this season.Thunder HC Donovan is 5-16 ATS  in road games versus  Top tier  offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game, losing SU by an average of 7.6 ppg.

Thunder are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Rockets are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 vs. Western Conference.Thunder are 1-8 ATS in the last 9 meetings.

Play on Houston Rockets to cover 1 unit reg selection 

College Insider Tournament - Quarterfinals

The UMBC Retrievers explosive offense has averaged 86.2 ppg as hosts and have been tough to beat at home this year, posting an 11-4 SU record at the RAC Arena. Meanwhile, Liberty plays decent defense, but from a offensive perspective averaging just 66.6 ppg  I'm betting they don't have the guns, to keep pace as this tilt progresses. Also from a cross conference player to player and systems matchup perspective the home team has the edge. 

Play on UMBC to cover 

Atlanta has lost 6 straight games, and are getting more frustrated by the day, as their once strong play off hopes slightly fade. Meanwile, Brooklyn despite of getting hammered by one of the leagues top teams last night the Wizards, are playing some overall good hoops and have covered 8 of their L/10 games overall. Nothing comes easy for the Hawks,and Im betting that is once again the case tonight, against a Nets team that is currently capable of running and gunning with some of the better teams in the East . In their most recent meeting on March 8 Atlanta did win 110-105 but failed to cover as 10 point dogs. The linesmakers have lowered the Hawks favorite status here, but it is still bloated in my humble betting opinion. When the Hawks are slumping they have not been a good bet in the past, as HC Budenholzer is 5-18 ATS  after having lost 6 or 7 of their last 8 games.ATLANTA is 18-29 ATS  as a favorite this season.

Brooklyn Nets to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 Kansas dismantled its first three opponents of this tournament, and are now 6 point opening chalk.I know how much love Kansas is now getting, but according to my own cross conference reference match-ups data base, Oregon matches up very well against them, and their guard heavy attack behind Mason. You have to remember this was a Ducks team, that had to deal with speedy attack oriented PAC 12 teams like Arizona and UCLA this season, so they will be well prepared for this tilt.  With that said, what I expecting to happen is that Oregon will win the rebounding battle behind under rated Jordan Bell, like they did against Michigan and control the interior game,  which will free up Dillion Brooks and Dorsey to pound down points in bunches from the inside and perimeter. I won't be surprised if Oregon pulls off the upset, but the prudent position here to take the points.

 Play on the Oregon Ducks to cover 1 unit reg selection 

College Insider Tournament - Quarterfinals

To put this simply St.Peters has really come together as a team, winning 8 of their L/9 and have been playing some great two way basketball for a month and half. According to my own numbers, they should come out this with a conclusive victory as a pickem or short chalk vs a lucky to have gotten this far Texas State squad.

ST PETERS is 8-0 ATS  after allowing 55 points or less this season which  happened against a pretty decent Albany hoops program last time out .ST PETERS is 13-1 ATS  in road lined games this season.

Play on St.Peters to cover 1 unit reg selection 

In what could be a possible play off matchup, the Utah Jazz and Los Angeles Clippers square off Saturday at Staples Center. These teams don;t seem to like each other much, so both should be prepared to play tonight.The Jazz are coming off a 108-101 win on Thursday over the New York Knicks, which ended  a three-game losing string, but while watching that game, the Jazz truly looked a little tired to me. Their tenacious defense first type of play not only tires their opponents but also themselves, and that at least to me is apparent at the moment.With key components Derek Favors and and Shelvin Mack expected to not play tonight, and this being their 5th road game in their L/6 games, Im betting their tired legs will not serve them well tonight. Meanwhile, the Clippers lost 97-95 to the host Dallas Mavericks on Thursday and are now 7-7 in March. Their Dr.Jeckyll and Mr.Hyde outputs may be troubling, but this is still a solid overall team,  with the likes of Chris Paul and Blake Griffin patrolling the hardwood.  The Clippers are 23-11 at home in Staples this season, outscoring their opponents by an average of 8 ppg. 

UTAH is 1-8 ATS L/9 as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season and 13-28 ATS  as a road underdogs dating back to last season.

Play on the LA Clippers to cover 1 unit reg selection

Wisconsin with 5 returning starters and one of the best players in the nation Nigel Hayes patrolling the hardwood are a team that stands out as a strong side, that deserves an elite 8 appearance.  The Badgers matchup very well against the Florida Gators especially in the paint, and in what promises to be a physical affair their superior interior play will be the difference maker.

Florida when off a low scoring physical game like they took part in last time out, in a 65-39 win vs Virginia, are just 1-11 ATS L/12 after a combined score of 115 points or less went of the scoreboard.

Wisconsin to cover 1 unit reg selection 

My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

NCAA - East Regional Semifinals - Madison Square Garden - New York, NY

After upsetting Duke the pundits have come out of the woodwork in support of S.Carolina. Im betting instead, a huge letdown is in order and the S.Carolina returns to be a just above average SEC team, that is fortunate to have made this far. Remember this is the same Gamecocks team that lost 5 of their L7 regular games of the season. Meanwhile, according to my own numbers Baylor should be a 6 point fav, here, so at least according to my own power rankings and player to player matchup systems we have value with the Bears in the SWEET SIXTEEN. 


S CAROLINA is 0-6 ATS L/6 versus good rebounding teams like Baylor - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game after 15+games, losing SU by an average of 10.6 ppg.S CAROLINA is 0-9 ATS L/9 after 2 or more consecutive overs .BAYLOR is 10-2 ATS L/12 as a neutral court favorite of 3 points or less or pick.

Play on Baylor to cover 1 unit reg selection

NCAA - South Regional Semifinals - FedExForum - Memphis, TN

Right or wrong Im not a big believer in this version of the North Carolina Tar Heels. Yes they are a quality team with great pedigree, but this group in my humble opinion does not have what it takes to be a solid elite 8 or final 4 team and if they do get by this hardworking and tenacious Butler side that recently beat Villanova , it won;t come easily. 

N CAROLINA is 1-7 ATS L/8 in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game like Butler. BUTLER is 10-1 ATS versus top tier  teams like North Carolina  - shooting 45% or more of their shots with a defense of 42% or better this season and is 8-1 ATS L/9 in road games vs. dominant rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 7+ per game.BUTLER is 12-2 ATS  versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game this season. BUTLER is 6-0 ATS L/6  in road games when playing with 5 or 6 days rest dating back to last season  and BUTLER is 6-0 ATS  in a post-season tournament game over the last few seasons.

Play on Butler to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Cleveland enters this game having lost 2 of their L/3, but they match up very well vs their hosts tonight the Charlotte Hornets, as is evident by winning three straight meetings this season, including a 121-109 beatdown here in Charlotte back on Dec 31. With that said, and as the play offs approach, the defending champions are trying to strategiclly  rest players but at the same time maintain momentum. After their recent mini downturn, Im sure their will be an uregency to get things moving in the right direction again and they will be in top form in this spot, with the core of the team healthy and  expected to play. Meanwhile, despite of Charlotte playing better of late and on a 3 game winning  streak, are a team that is wildly inconsistent, and in the lower tier levels of  my power rankings. 

CHARLOTTE is 3-11 ATS L/13 revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points this season  .CHARLOTTE is 0-7 ATS L/7 after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread this season.Cavaliers are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 vs. NBA Southeast.Hornets are 4-10 ATS in their L/14 home games.Cavaliers are 4-0-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings all as favorites.

Play on the Cleveland Cavaliers to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 The LA Clippers enter this game against their hosts the Dallas Mavericks , with momentum as they chase the down the Utah Jazz for 4th seed in the Western Conference play off race. I am expecting the Clippers who are on a three game winning streak  to be primed on keeping the pedal to metal in this spot vs a struggling  Mavericks team that has lost 4 of their L/6 overall SU/ATS. The Clippers have won the last 2 visits here to Dallas, and get the nod again. 

Mavericks are 6-13 ATS in their last 19 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Clippers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

Play on the LA Clippers to cover 1 unit reg selection 

NCAA - West Regional Semifinals - SAP Center - San Jose, CA

Gonzaga point guard Nigel Williams-Goss will be important cog for his team against the Mountaineers' press.  This kids ability to protect the ball, and adjust to pace will be an important factor in Gonzaga's quest to move forward. The Mountaineers biggest weakness  is their lack of a over powering  center who  can match up against Gonzaga's huge  7-foot-1 300 pound player Przemek Karnowski, and Im betting this will be a key deciding factor as the game progresses and gets more physical. I know we are hearing alot about the Mounties defense, but the Zags must not be underestimated , and Im treating their big turnover anomaly in the 2nd half of their last game vs Northwestern as nothing more than a ghostly aberration by the time this tilt comes to an end.

GONZAGA is 12-3 ATS  versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game this season winning SU by an average of 15.8 ppg and 8-2 ATS  versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game this season winning SU by an average 11.5 ppg. 

Play on Gonzaga to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Brooklyn Nets looked like they had won a champinship when they hit a buzzer beater last time out in a win vs the Detroit Pistons (98-96). Now in an emotional letdown state I expect the Brooklyn Nets to have prblems dealing with another lower tier team the Phoenix Suns. Incidently it must be noted that the Nets have not won two straight games in almost a year, and have failed to make it two wins in a row in their L/13 tries overall. If they do get it tonight, Im betting it won;t come easily and that the vistors cover. I know the Suns do not inspire bettors, but these teams are more evenly matched than the pundits might think, at least according to my own player to player matchup systems indicate.

PHOENIX is 17-6 ATS L/23 in road games vs. poor rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 3+ per game. Phoenix is 21-12 ATS L/23 as a underdog o 3.5 to 9.5 points. Suns are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.Suns are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 vs. NBA Atlantic.Nets are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Nets are 5-14 ATS in their last 19 home games.Underdog is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings

This is a long erm  league wide ATS trend  from a NBA data base : Road underdogs like the Suns- after allowing 105 points or more 3 straight games against opponent after a win by 6 points or less are 40-8 ATS L/48 for a powerful 83% conversion rate for betting backers.

Phoenix Suns to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Despite of Heat star Hassan Whiteside being less than 100% with a lacerated hand, I still like the Heat at home tonight vs their rivals the Toronto Raptors, who are also expected to be without key component Sege Ibaka (suspension). Last season these teams took part in a closely contested play off series, that the Heat won, and could face each other in the play offs again. With that said, I expect the Heat to be very focused on sending a message to the visitors tonight prior to the above mentioned post season possbilites.
The Raptors have not done well against the Southeast division of late failing to cover in 7 their last 8. Meanwhile, the Raptors despite of winning three straight and off a win last tim out are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win. Meanwhile, the Heat are 11-1 ATS in their last 12 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record and are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.


MIAMI is 9-0 ATS L/9 when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season and is 13-5 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season.Heat are 16-4-1 ATS in their last 21 games playing on 1 days rest.Favorite is 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings.Home team is 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings.

Play on the Miami Heat to cover 1 unit reg selection

Golden State looks ready to rev up as the play offs approach, as was the case last night in fairly easy road win in Oklahoma City  vs the Thunder by a 111-95 count. The mighty Warriors after a short slump have now won four straight, and three straight by Double digits blowouts, and must be respected in their current form. Meanwhile, Dallas after winning 5 of 6 games, between Feb 25 to March 10, have since been slumping losing 3 of 5, two of which came against the lowly Sixers and Suns. Right now I'm not liking what I see from the Mavericks, despite of getting a win vs a less than prime time Brooklyn Nets last time out. In my own view the Mavericks look a little ragged and exhausted as  the age of their key players, is becoming an issue here in the stretch drive when a high energy level is needed . Tonight, despite of HC Kerrs propensity to rest starters , I expect Dubs key offensive catalyst Curry to play, because of the matchup between him and his brother has been highlighted by the NBA and their  media pundits. With that said, I am recommending we lay the points with the road Warriors. 

GOLDEN STATE is 27-13 ATS L/24 after 2 straight blowout wins by 15 points or more and  is 44-26 ATS  as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points. Warriors are 9-1 SU L/9 in this series.

Golden State to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 The Pelcians Anthony Davis and his side kick DeMarcus Cousins are currently playing at a very hight level,  and in good form as they host the Memphis Grizzlies tonight. With the twin tower super stars finally starting to jell, and the Pelicans winning 4 of their L/5, Im expecting good things from them here tonight vs a Dr.Jeckyll and Mr.Hyde Grizzlies. After losing five straight, Memphis has won four consecutive tilts, including a 104-96 home win on Saturday over San Antonio. That hard fought win against the Spurs however, Im betting will take its toll on the team, and have them in an emotional letdown situation in this spot, even though they are on two days rest. You have to remember the Grizzlies cant rest starters , as they play hard for a play off birth, and with this being their 6th game in 10 days they will still be on tired legs.NEW ORLEANS is 15-7 ATS  in home games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game this season.

Play on the New Orleans Pelicans to cover 1 unit reg selection

The Bulls despite of their struggles enter this game against their hosts the Toronto Raptors  playing decently without Dwayne Wade in the lineup, who will miss the rest of the season with assorted nagging injuries. Chicago took out  the Utah Jazz 95-86 on Saturday at the United Center, as they showed some unexpected life, and previous to that played a very good Wizards team tough in a 112-107 loss covering as dogs. Butler scored 23 points against Utah and looks suddenly reenergized which is a good thing for the Bulls going forward and more importantly as far as we are concerned tonight. Meanwhile, Toronto is still trying to find an identity with their star Kyle  Guard Lowry sidelined, alternating defensive strategies and run and gun attack systems  as was evident in recent win vs Detroit, 87-75 and than Indiana 116-91 smack down of the Pacers. In this matchup and according to  my own player to player and systems matchup analysis, the Bulls match up well against the Raptors, making the visitors viable underdogs in this spot.It must be also noted that this Bulls franchise has owned the Raptors in the recent past as is evident by having won 11 in a row against Toronto, including twice this season, and Toronto as mentioned above will be hard pressed to get a victory here and or cover.

CHICAGO is 25-11 ATS  L/36 versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game. Torontos HC Casey is 3-16 ATS  revenging 2 consecutive straight up losses to opponent as a favorite.

Play on the Chicago Bulls  to cover 

NIT - Quarterfinals

On Sunday night the Richmond Spiders played a heck of a game against a very good Oakland Basketball program and showed their immense fortitude by pulling off a 87-83 victory, despite of not covering the spread. Meanwhile, TCU despite of a decent run in the Big 12 Conference tournament, and recent wins in the NIT vs Iowa and Fresno State, still do not inspire confidence in me. You have to remember that his same TCU squad lost 7 straight previous to this run, and their L/3 victories have been squeakers and very closely contested. Tonight I expect another battle, and for the never say die Spiders to get us the cover.

RICHMOND is 7-0 ATS  when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) this season.TCU is 9-22 ATS L/31 in home games versus excellent ball handling teams - committing 12 or less turnovers/game.TCU is 5-12 ATS  L/17 when playing against a team with a winning record.RICHMOND is 8-0 ATS  after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread this season.TCU is 9-23 ATS L/31 in home games when playing their 2nd game in 3 days.

Play on the Richmond Spiders to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Boise State is a pretty good team, and has a solid hoops program, but even against a average at best Big 10 team are at a distinct disadvantage. Illinois is a side that has beaten teams like Northwestern Nebraska, Mich State  this season and a decent second tier conference side Valparaiso by a 82-57 count to start this tournament. Thus crushing Boise State won;t come as a surprise, which warrants a wager on the home team

Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points like Illinois  - team from a major division 1-A conference against a team from a second tier conference, off a home blowout win by 20 points or more are 70-35 ATS for a 67% conversion rate for bettors, dating back almost 21 seasons.

.ILLINOIS is 8-0 ATS as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points over the last 3 seasons.

Play on Illinois to cover 1 unit reg selection 

. Utah is ending  a four-game road trip tonight at Indiana. They dropped the last two games in their travels to Cleveland and Chicago, falling 95-86 to the Bulls on Saturday night, and looked exhausted in  doing so. The Jazz play a very physical and tenacious style of basketball that not only wears it opponents down, but also has a way of burning them out to . I really like Utah , and their style of play, but Im betting their legs won't support them in this spot. Meanwhile, Indiana enters this game having alternated wins and losses over their L/12 games. All the losses have come on the road . They lost last time out to Toronto 116-91 on the road, and now Im betting on a rinse in repeat situation here tonight, at home sweet home where they are 24-10 SU on the season.

INDIANA is 9-0 ATS L/9 in home games versus good defensive teams - allowing 98 or less points/game like Utah dating back to last season.

Play on the Indiana Pacers to cover 1 unit reg selection 

This is a matchup of the Western Conference's worst club against the Eastern Conference's best.The Lakers lost to the Bucks 107-103 in a physical contest that resulted in the ejection of Young and teammate D'Angelo Russell fro their last game. The kids brought alot of energy into that tilt, as they play for roster positions next year and a attempt to garner some respect from their opponents. I expect these kids will play this game like its for a championship tonight and will not be easily dismantled. Meanwhile, Cleveland looked lifeless in a lopsided 108-78 loss  with LeBron James, Kyrie Irving and Kevin Love resting vs the  LA Clippers last night , and I wont be surprised if one or more of these guys rest again tonight or see  alot of bench minutes during this matchup vs an inferior side. Cavs are  just 1-8 ATS L/9 in road games when playing on back-to-back days this season.

Take the points with the LA Lakers to cover 1 unit reg selection

NIT - Second Round

My estimates and player to player matchup and systems charts , give Oakland an edge as dogs, and their is also a 50% chance or better according to my own proprietary program that shows Oakland is strong SU upset possibility. However,  with that said, taking points is our best  and most prudent option here. 

OAKLAND is 16-6 ATS L/22 when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) .OAKLAND is 10-2 ATS  as a road underdog or pick dating back to last season. RICHMOND is 3-11 ATS  in home games after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.

Oakland to cover 1 unit reg selection 

NCAA Tournament - Second Round - Golden 1 Center - Sacramento, CA

Oregon lost big man Chris Boucher (ACL) back on March 11, but this team has enough weapons, to be able to handle a Rhode Island side that despite of being talented is in over their heads in this matchup.

RHODE ISLAND is 1-8 ATS L/9 in road games versus excellent ball handling teams - committing 12 or less turnovers/game like the Ducks.OREGON is 11-4 ATS  versus good shooting teams - making 45% or more of their shots this season.

CBB  Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points like Oregon - team from a major division 1-A conference against a team from a second tier conference, after a cover as a double digit favorite are 97-55 ATS in the follow up for a 64% conversion rate for bettors.OREGON HC Altman is 10-1 ATS  L/11  in a neutral court game where the total is 130 to 139.5 .

Play on the Oregon Ducks to cover 1 unit reg selection

The Miami Heat continue to be on fire as is evident by a 23-5 SU run , that after a ugly 11-30 start to their season. This Miami team has something referred to by sports pundits as chemistry, and along with their work ethic are a hard team to play against. Meanwhile, their opponents the Blazers are also hot, and off two straight road underdog wins, but are also on tired legs as they played last night  and  playing their 5th straight road game, and 7th game in 10 days. It must be noted that 

NBA teams like the Blazers - off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as a road underdog, tired team - playing 6 or more games in 10 days are just 8-32 ATS for a go against 80% conversion rate for bettors dating back 21 seasons. With that said, I am betting the hard working Heat take advantage of a tired Portland team tonight and get us the cover.

MIAMI is 10-0 ATS  versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more  of their attempts winning SU by an average of 11.2 ppg and is 7-0 ATS L/7 when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) winning those tilts by an average of 12.5 ppg.

MIAMI is 10-1 ATS L/11 after successfully covering the spread in 5 or more consecutive games this season. MIAMI is 8-0 ATS  off 2 or more consecutive home wins this season.PORTLAND is 3-12 ATS  after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games this season.

Play Miami to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The New Orleans Pelicans showed they had some life , last time out by defeating the explosive Houston Rockets by a 128-112 count as underdogs. They won that game without DaMarcus Cousins, who sat  and rested because of injury issues. Some media sources, hinted towards the Pelicans playing better without Cousins. I am sure the sensitive super star heard the rumblings and now with his ego fully bruised, I expect he will be ready to prove the pundits wrong. Meanwhile, their opponents tonight the Minnesota Wolves, playing with a banged up group, and on tired legs as they play 6 games in 9 days,  have lost 3 of their L/4, and are finally succumbing to the absence of guard Zach Lavine (ACL) and C Niola Pekovic (Ankle). Don;t get me wrong the Wolves , are a team on the rise, but tonight Im betting they are a disadvantage in this matchup in the Bayou. Note:MINNESOTA is 5-13 ATS  in road games after a game where they failed to cover the spread this season, which happened last time out, when they lost 123-105 to the Heat.

Play on the New Orleans Pelicans to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

NCAA Tournament - Second Round - BOK Center - Tulsa, OK

HC Izzos Michigan St must not be underestimated, vs a extremely good but over rated Kansas side. My own numbers suggest we have value in player to player and systems match -up configurations.

Mich St is 20-0 SU and 15-3-2 ATS pick or fav off SUATS win in tournament play. (They defeated Miami Fl yesterday to advance to 2nd round).

Play on Michigan St to cover 1 unit reg selection

NCAA Tournament - Second Round - Bankers Life Fieldhouse - Indianapolis, IN
These are two very evenly matched teams. One from the powerful SEC and the other from the Missouri Valley Conference.I k ow Kentucky are chalk full of future NBA players, but Wichita State can not be underestimated talent wise, and their ability to pull off the upset.
Wichita State is 6-0 ATS L/6 as a dog or pick in tournament play.
Neutral court teams as a favorite or pick like Wichita State - good 3PT shooting team (36.5% or more) against an average 3PT shooting team (32-36.5%), after game - allowing a shooting pct. of 33% or less are 34-10 ATS L/34.

Wichita State to cover 1 unit reg selection

NCAA Tournament - Second Round - Bradley Center - Milwaukee, WI

Purdue is built to deal with teams like uptempo teams like Iowa State.  PURDUE is 10-3 ATS L/13 versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season.  9-1 ATS  versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game this season. PURDUE is 7-0 ATS  when playing with one or less days rest dating back to last season.IOWA ST is 1-9 ATS  L/10 in road games after scoring 80 points or more 4 straight games. 

Purdue to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Spurs enter this game with a  16-4 SU record  since losing back to back tilts to the New Orleans Pelicans and Dallas Mavericks on Jan. 27-29. Wednesday's loss was one of their worst games in recent memory vs the Portland Trailblazers in a 110-106 as 11 point chalk, and now Im betting on a rebound effort . Note:Spurs HC Popovich is 20-6 ATS L/26  off an upset loss as a home favorite of 10 points or more, winning SU by 12.5 ppg. Meanwhile, Memphis despite of a three game winning streak  are  still a team that is just 17-16 SU since Jan 1, and have been down graded on my power rankings lists. In their two previous three game win streaks, since the new year, the Grizzlies lost by 15 points  to the Warriors on Feb. 10 and lost by 12 at Oklahoma City to the Thunder  on Feb. 3, and tonight I expect their lack of consistency vs a superior side will once again become prevalent.
The Spurs will also have the extra incentive of payback on their sides as the Grizzlies took the first meeting 89-74 when the Spurs played without Leonard and shot a lowly 36.6 percent in Memphis on Feb. 6. San Antonio has won 10 of the last 13 meetings and are my choice tonight with revenge.

Play on the San Antonio Spurs to cover  1 unit reg selection

The Trail Blazers, coming off a big 110-106 victory at San Antonio on Wednesday will now be in a letdown situation, thanks to the  great amount of energy they exerted in that win. They now play a Hawks team that is off a embarrassing home loss to Memphis last time out, by a 103-91 count, and that will now be primed for a rebound . Recent trends  point to a Hawks victory being a strong possibility as the Hawks are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games following a double-digit loss at home, while the Trail Blazers are 9-23 ATS in their last 32 games following a straight up win.
In previous meetings the Hawks have dominated  and notched victories in five straight against the Trail Blazers, with the lone victory this season at Portland coming in overtime. With that said, Im betting on another victory and more importantly a cover by a hungry team needing redemption for recent lapses. Hawks are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games following a double-digit loss at home.Trail Blazers are 9-23 ATS in their last 32 games following a straight up win.Trail Blazers are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
PORTLAND is 9-20 ATS  after 1 or more consecutive wins this season and is 3-12 ATS  as a road underdog of 6 points or less this season.

Play on Atlanta to cover 1 unit reg selection

NCAA Tournament - Second Round - Energy Solutions Arena - Salt Lake City,UT

Northwestern is a hardworking team with darkhorse written all over them. Gonzaga despite of their reputation, and pedigree Im betting will be in for a big time battle.

NORTHWESTERN is 7-0 ATS L/7  in road games versus teams who average 40 or more rebounds/game on the season  and is 11-3 ATS  in road games versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game and 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% or more of their attempts this season. NORTHWESTERN is 13-2 ATS (+10.8 Units) in a neutral court game where the total is 130 to 139.5.

Northwestern to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

NCAA Tournament - Second Round - KeyBank Center - Buffalo, NY

West Virginia finsihed their season, looking a little ragged,  coming from behind for a very hard fought win vs KSate (51-50) before losing to Iowa State in their finale and started this tourney against Bucknell looking average at best , procuring a hard fought 86-80 win and failing to cover as 14 point favorites. Huggins brand of physical basketball not only takes it toll on the opposition, but on his own team as well. 

It must also be noted W VIRGINIA is 2-8 ATS L/10 in road games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game like Notre Dame.

W VIRGINIA is 3-10 ATS  when the total is 140 to 149.5 this season and are singing the ATS blues in Saturday games failing to cover 9 of their L/11 events. NOTRE DAME played a grueling game against a very good Princeton team last time out, to advance , which will serve them well here vs West Virginia. The Irish are 11-3 ATS  when playing only their 2nd game in a week this season. After a slow start to their season, the Irish have really impressed me of late, and Im betting they have an edge in this tilt. 

Play on Notre Dame to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

Northern Kentucky to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Two young teams with alot to prove go head to head tonight, in Phoenix as the Suns host the Orlando Magic. Orlando looked like they had no energy last night on Golden State and were  crushed 122-92 for their fourth straight SU/ATS loss . Whether their tankning for a future draft pick, or just plain running on empty is of little concern to me. What is more important, is whether they can compete tonight. Which a highly doubtful considering their current form and  HC Voglel probably resting his starters in a back to back situation  .Meanwhile, the Suns are playing better overall hoops, compared to the Magic, and are 4-4 in their L/5 games and are rightully the favored team in this spot. 

Orlandos HC Vogel is 0-8 ATS L/8 versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game like the Suns losing SU by 10 ppg. 

ORLANDO is 5-13 ATS  when the line is +3 to -3 this season.PHOENIX is 17-6 ATS L/23 in non-conference games this season.

Play on the Phoenix Suns to cover 1 unit reg selection 

My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

Marquette to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

Miami Fl to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Houston Rockets after taking out the Cleveland Cavaliers in a emotional affair this week, tried to keep their adrenalin pumping by playing  top tier basketball in the follow up by routing the Lakers by a 139-100 count. I don't care what anybody says, there has to be an eventual letdown situation that entails that kind of all out work ethic. I know the pundits are all over the Rockets amazing take no prisoners style of basketball, but it has its limitations. Meanwhile, DeMarcus  Cousins and his vast talents and ego to match , will have an opportunity to be on display in a big way tonight. With that said,  Im betting on  him and his co star Anthony Davis standing  tall and leaving everything on the floor. I have been hard on Cousins, but this is the kind of game he can hang his hat on for a while, and I'm betting he showcases his stuff tonght before eventually having a on or off the court trantum and melt down in the future. 

Rockets are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game and are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games following a ATS win.Pelicans are 20-7 ATS in their last 27 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.Underdog is 17-8-1 ATS in the last 26 meetings.NEW ORLEANS is 24-11 ATS L/ 35 in home games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game.HOUSTON is 22-38 ATS L/60 as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points 

Play on the New Orleans Pelicans to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Andre  Drummond and Reggie Jackson the key cogs in the Pistons faltering machine look worn out and tired of late. Actually  the whole team looks exhausted, Here is a quote from Detroit HC Stan Van Gundy: "We've had six guys start since the All-Star break, four of them have started every game and we've gotten off to one good start. One," Van Gundy said. "Why are you a step-and-a-half slow at the start of every game? I don't know the answer to that.END QUOTE.

That is not a good omen for them as they host the Toronto Raptors tonight.  The Pistons in two exhausting affairs have been blown out by Cleveland and Utah this week, and will now still be in a let down mode this evening. I know the Raptors might not inspire bettors beccause of their current struggles, but Im keying on the return of defensive and rebounding specialist DeMarre Carrol to ingnite a team that has been focusing more and more on playing top tier defensive basketball of late. I also expect for the Raptors to be very focused ,as the last time they played Motown they blew a huge 16 point  lead going into the fourth quarter, finally losing 102-101,which was embarrassing to say the least. So redemption and payback must also be highlighted as motivting factors for the visitors. 

TORONTO is 12-4 ATS L/16 after playing 2 consecutive home games this season.and 10-4 ATS in their last 14 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Pistons are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Road team is 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings. Raptors are 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Detroit.

Play on the Toronto Raptors to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

Play  on Jacksonnville State 1 unit reg selection 

 My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

Oregon to cover 1 unit reg selection 

This is a game of two teams at the opposing ends of the proverbial talent and perormance spectrum. Golden State is the top team in the west and the NBA , while Orlando is one of the worst teams in the league .The Warriors chalk full of stars, while Orlando is not. But now putting that aside, lets focus on the immediate state of affairs. Golden State as a team is exhausted and off having to work extremely hard to come back  from a 11 point deficit last time out to beat the Philadelphia 76ers. Previous to that they played eight games in eight different cities, three times traveling into multiple time zones between tilts. So now after comparing my line to the linesmakers number, and taking the above info into consideration, I like the option of taking points with an inferior team.Orlando opened a three-game Western swing with a 120-115 loss at Sacramento on Monday night, and look spirited doing it, and I feel we have value taking them in this spot play. One last thing, the Dubs have really struggled, with their shooting lately, and considering a league wide trend that states Home favorites of 10 or more points like the Warriors - after 2 straight games making 39% of their shots or worse are just 4-22 ATS  dating back 21 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors, I feel we are looking in the right direction.

GOLDEN STATE is 1-12 ATS L/13 versus lower teams - outscored by their opponents by 6+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last few seasons.GOLDEN STATE is 1-10 ATS L/10 versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 free throws/game and s 9-23 ATS  when playing against a team with a losing record this season. 

Play on the Orlando Magic to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

Nevada to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals. 

Wisconsin to cover 1 unit reg selection