New Giants  head coach Brian Daboll will want to make a statement right out of the gate with some aggressive offensive football so I expect QBs Taylor , Webb and even Jones should see some time right out of the gate in preseason ball. Daboll is well known for his advanced offensive systems , and should do enough damage here to get us to the promised land vs a New England side that is said to be having troubles with chemistry on offense so far in preseason scrimmages. 

Gmen are 6-1 ATS L/7  in this series dating back 23 seasons   / visitor 9-2 SUATS. 

Play on the NY Giants to cover 

The Phillies will go with Zack Wheeler (10-5, 2.69 ERA) on the hill  Tuesday. In his last start against the Atlanta Braves, Wheeler allowed five hits and one run in seven innings.Wheeler is 9-4 with a 2.45 ERA in 18 career starts against the Marlins and gives the explosive Phillies an edge. 

The Phillies clubbed 14 home runs in their four-game weekend sweep over the Washington National and are in top form offensively making them viable runline candidates here today vs the usually light hitting Marlins. 

MLB favorites with a money line of -200 or more (PHILADELPHIA) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 2.70 or better on the season (NL), starting a pitcher who gave up 1 or less earned runs last outing are 107-18L/5 seasons with the average rpg diff clicking in at +3.2 which qualifies on runline action. 

Play on Philadelphia to win -1.5 runline 

White Sox starter Cease has dominated of late, going 3-0 along with a minuscule 0.47 ERA. Im betting he continues to own his opposition here tonight and projected run-ilne win. Cease is  6-1 with a 1.30 ERA in nine road starts.

CEASE is 24-6 against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with the average rpg diff clicking in at +2.8 

Texas Starter OTTO is 1-11 SU in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with the average rpg diff clicking in at  -3.  Otto owns a 2-3 home record this season with a 7.69 ERA and is fade material in his current form. 

Play on White Sox to win 

Justin Verlander the Astros top tier veteran starter owns a 1.72 ERA on the  road this season, and  owns a very stingy 1.64 ERA against teams that are .500 or better in his six road starts. Im betting on more of the same action here today against the Guardians. 

The Astros come to play against top tier teams consistently showing their elite status and laying -1.5 runs here is a viable wagering opportunity with Verlander on the hill. 

CLEVELAND is 6-26  SU vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons with the average rpg diff clicking in at 2.8 rpg. 

HOUSTON is 23-9 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season with the average rpg diff clicking in at 2 rpg. 

Play on Houston Astros -1.5 

Rockies starter FREELAND is 8-2 SU when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (Team's Record) FREELAND is 7-3 SU against division opponents this season. (Team's Record) FREELAND has seen his team win his L/3 starts vs Padres. 

 Padres are 2-5 in their last 7 games vs. a left-handed starter.

We definitely have a runline advantage here and a viable investment opportunity. 

MLB team (SAN DIEGO) - average offensive team (4.0 to 4.5 runs/game) against an average starter (ERA 4.20 to 5.20)-NL, with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.100 or less  over his last 10 games are 26-41 L/5 seasons for a go against  61% conversion rate.

Play on Colorado +1.5 runline 

Super star Dodgers starter  Clayton Kershaw (7-3, 2.66 ERA), has started more games against the Giants than against any other team. When he gets the ball on Thursday, he will be making his 53rd career start in his 55th overall head-to-head against the Giants, having garnered a 1.99 ERA.

The veteran lefty   is also 14-6 with a 1.58 ERA in 27 career games, including 25 starts, at San Francisco's Oracle Park and gets the nod again for a highly likely dominating performance. 

Im betting the road side   to sweep this series and improve to 8-0 against the Giants  since the All-Star break and in the process win by more than 2 runs according to my projections. 

MLB favorites with a money line of -175 to -250 (LA DODGERS) - average hitting team (AVG .255 to .269) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA 3.00 or better ) -NL, with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better on the season (NL) are 57-9 L/25 seasons for a 87% conversion rate with the average rpg diff clicking in at +2.5 which qualifies on this RL offering. 

Play on the LA Dodgers to win -1.5 RL 

Atlanta will send All-Star left-hander Max Fried (10-3, 2.73 ERA) against Arizona right-hander Merrill Kelly (10-5, 3.04). Kelly has been hot lately, but my power rankings suggest regression here vs a hot hitting Braves batting order that my pitcher vs batting order power rankings suggests he does matchup well against. Note: Kelly has made two career starts against the Braves, going 0-2 with a 6.23 ERA.

MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +175 to +250 (ARIZONA) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.150 or better on the season-NL, starting a pitcher who did not walk a hitter last outing are 42-4 L/25 seasons with the average rpg diff clicking in at +2.1 rpg. 

Play on the Atlanta Braves to win 

Braves starter ANDERSON is 8-0 against the money line in home games vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with the average rpg diff clicking in at 3.5 runs which qualifies on the -1.5  RL offering. ANDERSON is 10-1 SU  in home games in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with the average rpg diff registering at 2 rpg.  ANDERSON is 1-0 in his career when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 1.29 and a WHIP of 0.429.  9 I know Anderson has had a hiccup in his L/2 starts, which were far from quality but he matches up very well here according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings and deserve respect . 

ARIZONA is 7-39 SU  as a ML road underdog of +175 to +250 over the last 2 seasons with the average rpg diff clicking in at -2.3 which qualifies on this RL offering. 

MLB Home favorites with a money line of -175 to -250 (ATLANTA) - where team's hitters draw 3 walks or less/game on the season against opponent starting a pitcher who walked 5 or more hitters last outing are 57-7 with the average rpg diff coming in at +2.6 which once against qualifies on this RL offering from the books. 

These two West Division rivals went head to head  a couple weeks ago with  Winnipeg (7-0) coming out on top of the Stamps 26-19. Im betting on a diff result this time as  well rested Calgary (4-1) has had time to study film, after a bye week while Winnipeg plays their 2nd straight road game.

Dickenson is 14-4 ATS as an underdog as the coach of CALGARY.

Teams off a bye week like Calgary have won SU 6 of 8 times this season.

CFL teams where the line is +3 to -3 (CALGARY) - off a road loss, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 39-15 ATS L/26 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Calgary Stamps to cover

Reds starter CASTILLO is 4-9  against the money line as a favorite of -150 or more over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with the average rpg diff clicking in at -0.9 . 

Im betting on the Marlins keeping this close or getting the outright win which adds value to gets +1.5 runs on the line. 

MLB Home favorites against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line =+115 to +160) (CINCINNATI) - team with a poor SLG (.400 or less) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.250 or better ) -NL, with a very bad bullpen whose ERA is 5.00 or worse on the season are 2-32 L/25 seasons for a  go against 94% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Miami to cover +1.5 on the runline 

CHICAGO is 12-5 ATS  versus good 3 point shooting teams - making >=33% of their attempts this season.

NEW YORK is 0-6 ATS in home games after 3 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 42% or higher over the last 2 seasons.

WNBA Road favorites vs. the money line (CHICAGO) - after 4 or more consecutive wins, on Saturday games are 37-5 L/25 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at -8 . 

- Road teams (INDIANA) - sub par performing  team - outscored by their opponents by 6+ points/game, on Tuesday nights are 70-29 ATS L/25 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. 

LOS ANGELES is 3-12 ATS after 2 consecutive non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

Roughriders top tier rush game Im betting gives the Toronto Argos nightmares here this week.Toronto averages just 15 points/game which is 10.8 ppg less than the league average. It is unlikely they can keep up with this explosive Saskatchewan side. 

Dickenson is 13-4 ATS in non-conference games as the coach of SASKATCHEWAN.

Play on Saskatchewan to cover 

My WNBA sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 15 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Mike Minor is for lack of a better word, crap during this campaign,  as is evident by garnering a 6.33 ERA and 6.79 FIP. With that said Im betting on Stanton lighting him up.  Minor this  has a ugly slash line vs righties .310/.385/.610  and with guys like  Stanton in the lineup who  is a top tier right handed batter.  

Athletics starter  Irvin has posted a 5.03 ERA and a 5.92 FIP in his L/34 innings of sub par work and here today in the finale of this series Im betting the Yankees unleash their offense and easily come away with a 2 more run victory.OAKLAND is 0-18  against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better this season like the Yankees starter  Taillon with the average rpg diff clicking in at -3.4 which qualifies on this runline investment option. TAILLON is 12-1 (+11.2 Units) against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season. (Team's Record) with the average rpg diff coming in at +3.5 rpg. 

Play on the Yankees to win -1.5 RL 

The Yankees are off a hard fought series vs the Houstons Astros this past weekend that resulted in a series split. Now in a emotional letdown state, Im betting the Yankees are vulnerable to a sub par performance vs a top tier hurler in the form of the As starter Blackburn 6-3, 2.97 ERA).  BLACKBURN is 6-0 against the money line in road games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season. (Team's Record) BLACKBURN is 7-1 against the money line as a road underdog of +100 or higher this season. (Team's Record) Blackburn's only career appearance against the Yankees was on  Aug. 29 in Oakland when he opposed Montgomery and pitched five scoreless innings. He goes against Montgomery again  and I like what he brings to the table again. OAKLAND is also 29-14 against the money line in road games against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons like Montgomery. 

MLB Home teams against a run line. (+1.5, -130) to (-1.5, +160) (NY YANKEES) - cold hitting team - batting .240 or worse over their last 10 games against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 3.00 over his last 10 games are 13-41 L/5 seasons for a  go against 76% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Oakland on the RL. +1.5

My WNBA sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 15 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My WNBA projections are based on a system I have used for more than 15 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Well its do or die for the Celtics tonight, and I believe they have enough talent and moxy to find a way to take this to a game 7 and more importantly get us the cover. Remember in game 5 the Celtics essentially beat themselves missing 10 FTs as Curry did not make a 3 pointer and the Warriors only shot 41% from the field. Curry can be notoriously streaky and instead of a bounce back dont be surprised if he's kept in check again. 

BOSTON is 11-1 ATS  after scoring 95 points or less this season which was the case in game 5. Average ppg diff clicks in at+ 9.7 . BOSTON is 11-2 ATS  after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games this season.

Warriors are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Warriors are 1-3-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Boston.

NBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (GOLDEN STATE) - after having covered 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 28-67 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against  71% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Boston Celtics to cover 

The Giants are heating up again having won 5 straight games, while their opponents tonight have lost 4 straight. Im betting on both these runs remaining intact tonight. Rinse and repeat. 

Note: The Royals have seen their L/13 games decided by 2 runs ore more. 

MLB Home teams against a run line. (+1.5, -130) to (-1.5, +160) (SAN FRANCISCO) - cold hitting team - batting .200 or worse over their last 3 games, with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 2.50 the last 10 games are 39-14 L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on San Francisco to win -1.5 

Boston starter  Nick Pivetta (5-5, 3.78 ERA) who is 5-1 with a 1.96 ERA over his past seven starts go to the hill today to take on a very inconsistent Oakland batting order that my own power rankings suggest he matches up well against. Pivetta has pitched seven shutout innings in each of his two career starts against Oakland (last two seasons). PIVETTA is 2-0 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 0.00 and a WHIP of 0.571. Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation today. 

Athletics are 0-6 in their last 6 vs. American League East.

OAKLAND is 1-14 against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.200 or better this season with the average rpg diff clicking in at - 3.7 .KOTSAY is 2-25  against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start as the manager of OAKLAND with the average rpg diff clicking in at -3.7. 

Play on Boston Red Sox -1.5 runline 

Braves took a 10-4 win yesterday and my projections estimate another lopsided victory today. The Braves are red hot having won 10 straight while the Pirates are in a slump as is evident by 5 straight losses. ' PITTSBURGH is 9-34  against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start over the last 2 seasons with a the average rpg diff clicking in at -2.8. 

Note: Pirates starter Quintana  owns a  8.68 ERA in four career starts against Atlanta. Quintana is coming off a poor start against the Detroit Tigers on Tuesday when he permited four runs in 3 1/3 innings of a 5-3 loss.

Pirates are 3-9 in their last 12 games after losing the first 3 games of a series. Pirates are 0-5 in their last 5 overall.

Braves are 10-1 in their last 11 overall.

MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +175 to +250 (PITTSBURGH) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.00 or better on the season (NL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.050 or better on the season-NL are 8-61 L/25 seasons with the average rpg diff clicking in at -2.3. 

Play on Atlanta to win 

PITTSBURGH is 9-34  against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start over the last 2 seasons with a rpg diff clicking in at -2.8. 

Road underdogs with a money line of +175 to +250 (PITTSBURGH) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.00 or better on the season (NL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.050 or better on the season-NL are 8-61 L/25 seasons with the average rpg diff clicking in at -2.3 . 

The Phillies are red hot and with Zack Wheeler on the hill at home wheres  he’s been over powering this season they have a definitive edge. Wheeler in  36 1/3  innings of work as a host  has recorded a minuscule  1.73 ERA and a 2.21 FIP. PHILADELPHIA is 7-0  against the money line in June games this season winning by an average of 4.9 rpg (  Phillies 7.6  Opponent 2.7)

Dbacks starter BUMGARNER is 0-11  against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a average rpg diff clicking in at -2.5 rpg. 

ARIZONA is 7-36  against the money line as a road underdog of +175 to +250 over the last 2 seasons with the average run diff clicking in at -2 which qualifies on this runline offering. 

Play on Philadelphia Phillies to win 

My WNBA  sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 15 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 25 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned

The A's are 16 games under .500 for the first time since Sept. 18, 2017 and are off a 1-9 home stand. Needless to say the As are not in good form and susceptible to be blown out against a Braves side that is one of the best in baseball vs LHP like Irvin averaging 6.1 rpg in production.  Atlanta ranks #1 vs LHP pitching with isolated power  and No.4 in OPS vs southpaws. Note:Irvin has made five career relief appearances against Atlanta, all while he played for Philadelphia, and posted an 11.32 ERA in 10 1/3 innings. 

OAKLAND is 0-11  against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start this season with the average rpg diff clicking in at -3.5 rpg. 

MLB favorites with a money line of -200 or more (ATLANTA) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 2.70 or better on the season (NL), with a tired bullpen - throwing 9+ innings over the last 2 games are 57-5 L/5 seasons for a 92% conversion rate for bettors with the average rpg diff clicking in at +3.8 which qualifies on the RL offering. 

Play on Atlanta Braves  to win -1.5 

The Celtics came out in game 1 of their NBA Finals series  and continued their strong play from game 7 of their series with the Miami Heat. I know zig zag theorists  would now suggest a Golden State bounce back, but Im betting the Celtics continue to give the Warriors all they can handle and according to my projections give us a cover. Note:BOSTON is 9-1 ATS L/10 in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing 108 or less  points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.BOSTON is 8-1 ATS in road games as a # 2 seed in the playoffs this season.BOSTON is 4-0 straight up against GOLDEN STATE as visitors  the last 3 seasons. 

Celtics are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 2 days rest.Celtics are 9-1 ATS in the last 10 meetings in Golden State.

NBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (GOLDEN STATE) - after having covered 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 65-28 ATS L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate. 

The visiting side in the NBA Finals has won and cashed 4 straight times as dogs of -0.5 to -5 in game 2. 

Play on the Boston Celtics to cover

Play on Boston to cover 

 Detroits offense on the road has really been struggling averaging just 2.1 RPG via a lowly .197 BA. My pitcher vs batting order power rankings suggests Montgomery matches up very well here and that the Yankees  top tier offense also matches up well vs Garcia who is a right-hander  (0-1, 4.70 ERA). 

Yankees team ERA is a major-league-best 2.73. Montgomery has allowed three runs or fewer in each start this year. 

Yanks have won all 5 games this season by 2 runs or more vs Detroit. 

NY YANKEES are 19-2  against the money line vs. good fielding teams - averaging 0.6 or less errors/game this season with the average  rpg diff clicking in at +3.6. NY YANKEES are 15-1  against the money line in home games after 2 straight games where they committed no errors this season with the average rpg diff coming in at +3.8. 

MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +175 to +250 (DETROIT) - after 2 straight games where they committed no errors against opponent after a game where they had 4 or less hits are 37-2 L/5 seasons for a 95% conversion rate with the average rpg diff clicking in at +3.7. 

Play on NYY -1.5 

  The Heat have dropped two straight at home to the Celtics in this series but this series has been widely erratic with each team going on a long uninterrupted offensive runs. But here in a key game 7 situation Im betting home court advantage will be golden.  Note: The Heat are 36-14 SU  and 30-19-1 (61.2%) ATS  as hosts this season.Also from a historical betting viewpoint it must also be noted that  Home teams in Game 7 after winning their previous game by a margin of six or greater like the Heat did  are a perfect 15-0 straight up  going back 22 seasons. 

MIAMI is 20-8 ATS  as an underdog this season.MIAMI is 10-2 ATS off an upset win as a road underdog this season.

BOSTON is 15-28 ATS  revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Home teams vs. the money line (MIAMI) - in a game involving two average offensive teams (108-114 PPG), after scoring 48 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games are 29-9 SU L/26 seasons for a 76% conversion rate. 

Play on the Miami Heat to cover 

My WNBA sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 15 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

I know the Heat have not looked good in recent games, especially on offense, but this team is deep and have enough pride to rally here tonight as they are being openly disrespected by the pundits and the lines-makers alike. 

MIAMI is 15-6 ATS  as a road underdog this season. MIAMI is 7-0 ATS  in road games after having lost 3 of their last 4 games this season. MIAMI is 15-3 ATS after 2 or more consecutive unders this season. MIAMI is 10-2 ATS  when playing with double revenge - 2 straight losses vs. opponent this season.

BOSTON is 2-11 ATS  in home games after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.

NBA Road teams (MIAMI) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off a home loss by 10 points or more are 116-66 L/5 seasons for a 64% conversion rate. 

NBA team vs the money line (MIAMI) - an average offensive team (108-114 PPG) vs. an excellent defensive team (104 or lrdd  PPG) after 42+ games, after a combined score of 205 points or less 2 straight games are 59-16 L/25 seasons for a 79% conversion rate.

Play on Miami Heat to cover 

The Mavericks avoided being eliminated last time out, but worked very hard to get the win, and are now exhausted after playing an extended amount of post season basketball. Im betting this is not a good spot for them, and are in big time jeopardy of losing this tilt by 8 or more points.

Warriors are 7-0 ATS in the playoffs coming back home after losing on the road when the line is between -7 and -8.5 with the average margin of victory coming by an average of 20.86 ppg.

GOLDEN STATE in 20  home games versus sub par offensive teams - scoring 108 or less  points/game this season with the average ppg diff clicking in at +13.6.  GOLDEN STATE is 8-1 ATS  in home games revenging a road loss vs opponent of 10 points or more this season.

Play on Golden State to cover 

Detroit has averaged just 2.3 rog on the road this season behind a lowly .209 BA. The Tigers have lost 9 of their L/11 games by 2 runs or more and Im expecting similar results here vs a Minnesota side that is averaging 6.6 rpg in their L/7 tilts with the average rpg diff clicking in at +2.9 . 

DETROIT is 2-14  against the money line vs. AL teams allowing 3.9 or less runs/game on the season this season with the average of 2 rpg diff clicking in  which qualifies on this runline offering. 

MINNESOTA is 21-6  against the money line vs. poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game this season with the average rpg diff clicking in at 2 rpg. 

MLB  underdogs against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line  +110 to +155) (DETROIT) - poor hitting team (AVG .260 or less) against an average starting pitcher (ERA 4.70 to 5.70) -AL, with a slugging percentage of .350 or worse over their last 5 games are 6-37 L/25 seasons for a 86% go against conversion rate. 

Play on the Minnesota Twins -1.5 runline 

Both these teams are banged up in what is turning into a back forth battle between two very evenly matched teams, which has me taking points tonight. I know Butler sat out the entire 2nd half in game 3 but is expected  back tonight for at least a portion of the game and even in limited use gives us an edge. If  butler  does not play Lowry and center Bam Adebayo make a formidable duo that wont be easily handled especially with Smart and Jason Tatum hobbled with injuries and less than 100%. 

MIAMI is 10-1 ATS  off an upset win as a road underdog this season. MIAMI is 11-3 ATS  as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season. MIAMI is 20-9 ATS after a win by 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons.

Heat are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Heat are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 Conference Finals games. MIAMI is 16-7 ATS  when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) this season. MIAMI is 16-6 ATS  versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game this season.

Celtics are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 Conference Finals games.

Heat are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Boston.

Play on the Miami Heat to cover 

The Mavericks came back in game 2 and  scored 72 first-half points as they led by as much as 19. However, they exerted to much energy early and did not pace themselves and  faltered down the stretch. Here in game 3 Im betting the Mavericks work more methodically and do enough damage needed behind the energy of their  home crowd and  motor themselves to a victory and more importantly a cover. DALLAS is 13-2 ATS  as a home favorite of 6 points or less this season. 

DALLAS is 20-8 ATS  revenging a same season loss vs opponent this season.DALLAS is 17-6 ATS off a road loss this season.DALLAS is 11-2 ATS  in home games versus good shooting teams - making 46%  or more of their shots - 2nd half of the season this season.

GOLDEN STATE is 8-18 ATS  in road games versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 or less  free throws/game - 2nd half of the season this season. GOLDEN STATE is 11-23 ATS  on the road when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons.

NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (DALLAS) - after beating the spread by 42 or more points total in their last seven games against opponent after going over the total by more than 18 points in their previous game are 60-30 L/26 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Dallas to cover 

After watching the Celtics manhandle the Heat in game 2 of this series, alot of money has come down on Boston. Wrong or right Im going to take a contrarian stance, with the under rated Heat and their ability to bounce back in true zig zag theory. It must be noted for whatever reason, I began to focus on the Heats progressions closely this season, and according to my power rankings are vastly under rated and with 6+ points to take on the table Im betting we get a cover. 

BOSTON is 7-18 ATS  in home games after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. Celtics are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 Conference Finals games.Celtics are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.Celtics are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win

MIAMI is 15-6 ATS revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points this season. MIAMI is 18-6 ATS   as an underdog this season. Heat are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a double-digit loss at home.Heat are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.

MIAMI is 15-6 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game this season. MIAMI is 15-7 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) this season.

NBA Road teams (MIAMI) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent against opponent off a win by 10 points or more as an underdog are 58-28 L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors.

Heat are 10-3 ATS in the last 13 meetings in Boston.

Play on Miami to cover 

Texas will send Jon Gray (1-1, 5.73 ERA) to the mound while Houston will counter with fellow right-hander Justin Verlander (5-1, 1.38). The pitching advantage obviously resides with the Astros . Verlander has won his last four starts, has pitched at least five innings in each of his seven starts this season and has not allowed more than five hits in any tilt he has pitched in . His most recent outing was on Sunday when he gave up just two hits and three walks in five innings in an 8-0 Houston win in Washington.

HOUSTON is 30-10  against the money line in home games vs. AL teams allowing 4.4 or less runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons with the average rpg diff clicking in at +1.8 . 

MLB Home favorites with a money line of -175 to -250 (HOUSTON) - top level team, outscoring opponents by 1 or more runs/game on the season, after scoring 1 run or less are 49-5 L/5 seasons for a 91% conversion rate with a average of +3.2 which qualifies on this runline offering. 

Play on the Astros to win -1.5 

My WNBA sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 15 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends - In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Houston left-hander Framber Valdez (2-2, 2.93 ERA) will start the opener against Texas on Thursday. He is coming off his longest outing of the season: stretching out for  7 2/3 innings during which he allowed one run on seven hits and two walks with six strikeouts in a 6-1 win over the Washington Nationals on Friday. Im betting the momentum of his last effort continues here . Meanwhile,Right-hander Glenn Otto (1-1, 6.38 ERA) goes to the hill for the Rangers. He matched his career high for hits (eight), walks (four) and earned runs (eight) allowed in his latest start, an 11-3 loss to the Red Sox on Saturday. His form in that game is a pretest to what Im betting his fate is here today vs a consistent Houston Astors squad. Otto owns a  6.39 ERA against Houston -- all at Globe Life Field. WOODWARD is 10-40  against the money line in road games vs. a team with a very good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.250 or better as the manager of TEXAS with a rpg diff  average of -2. 

Play on Houston to win -1.5 runline 

Los Angeles starter right-hander Tony Gonsolin (3-0, 1.33),has limited the opposition to a .168 batting average through his first six starts covering 27 innings and gives the an edge to the Dodgers on the runline. I know the DBacks have played well ,but they now go against a Dodgers side that will want to keep momentum going after a win vs the Phillies on Sunday. If this game is close, in the later innings and even if the Dbacks have a improbable lead  it must be noted that DBacks closer, Mark Melancon has an 8.49 ERA with five losses.

ARIZONA is 2-27 against the money line in road games vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better over the last 2 seasons with the average rpg diff clicking in at -3.6. 

MLB Home favorites with a money line of -175 to -250 (LA DODGERS) - very good offensive team (5.0 or more  runs/game) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA 3.00 or less) (NL), with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better on the season (NL) are 31-2 L/25 seasons for a 94% conversion rate with the average rpg diff clicking in at +2.7 which qualifies on the ATS line. 

Play on LA Dodgers to win -1.5 

The dominance of home teams continued in this series as the Mavericks cruised to a 113-86 win over the Suns and Im betting nothing changes in game 7. 

PHOENIX is 11-1 ATS revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more this season.

PHOENIX is 19-8 ATS  in home games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with the average ppg diff clicks in at +10.7. 

NBA Home favorites of -165 to -500 vs. the money line (PHOENIX) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off a road blowout loss of 20 points or more are 29-1 L/5 seasons for a 97% conversion rate fro bettors with the average ppg  diff clicking in at +13.7 which qualifies on the ATS line offering. 

Play on Phoenix Suns to cover 

Kris Middleton remains out for the Bucks. Dating back to last season, the Bucks are 14-15 SU and 12-17 ATS in games without Middleton. This situation has put alot of pressure on on. Antetokounmpo and he has had to carry this team on his shoulders for much of this series, and watching him in game 6 it became obvious to me that he was exhausted and banged up. Considering this Im betting the Celtics have the edge here in game 7. 

BOSTON is 12-2 ATS  versus good rebounding teams - out-rebounding opponents by 3+ per game this season. BOSTON is 27-10 ATS  versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more  assists/game - 2nd half of the season this season. BOSTON is 21-7 ATS  after a combined score of 205 points or less this season.

MILWAUKEE is 9-22 ATS  in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.MILWAUKEE is 13-30 ATS  after 3 straight games out-rebounding opponent by 5 or more over the last 3 seasons.

Play on Boston to win 

The Golden State Warriors came out flat at the worst possible time in game 5 of this series losing 134-95 on the road. They had the opportunity to take advantage of a Memphis team playing without their top player Morant and instead fell flat on their faces. That Im betting wont happen again.  GOLDEN STATE is 8-1 ATS in home games revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a road favorite this season. GOLDEN STATE is 23-7 ATS  in home games after allowing 130 points or more. 

Kerr is 14-2 ATS   in home games vs. dominant rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 5+ per game - 2nd half of the season as the coach of GOLDEN STATE.

 NBA Home favorites of -165 to -500 vs. the money line (GOLDEN STATE) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off a road blowout loss of 20 points or more are 28-1 L/5 seasons for a 97% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +13.7 which qualifies on this ATS offering. 

Play on Golden State to cover 

Dodgers starter Clayton Kershaw (4-0, 1.80 ERA  has given up one run or none in four of his five starts.  In three lifetime appearances (two starts) against the Dodgers, Phillies starter  Gibson is 0-3 with a 9.00 ERA. Advantage Dodgers in bounce back mode from a loss yesterday.

MLB favorites with a money line of -200 or more (LA DODGERS) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 2.70 or better on the season (NL), starting a pitcher who gave up 1 or less earned runs last outing are 90-10 L/5 seasons for a 90% conversion rate with a rpg diff clicking in at +3.7 which qualifies on a run-line betting option. 

MLB Home favorites with a money line of -175 to -250 (LA DODGERS) - very good offensive team (5.0  or more runs/game) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA 3.00 or less) (NL), with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better on the season (NL) are 31-1 L/25 seasons  with the average rpg diff clicking in at +2.8 which qualifies on the run-line. 

Play on LA Dodgers on the Runline -1.5 

The Phoenix Suns are one victory away from a second straight trip to the Western Conference finals and now Im betting with blood in the water are dangerous opponents in this spot . They made the adjustment they needed to vs Dallas and beat them 110-80 last time out, and that scheme series is highly probable to continue tonight. 

PHOENIX is 16-6 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 this season. PHOENIX is 22-9 ATS  in road games against Southwest division opponents over the last 3 seasons.

NBA Home underdogs (DALLAS) - revenging a road blowout loss vs opponent of 30 points or more against opponent off an home win scoring 110 or more points are just 22-54 ATS L/26 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Suns are 9-3 ATS in the last 12 meetings in Dallas.

Play on Phoenix to cover 

This series has been a homer event, since game 1 with the hosts holding an advantage in their own back yard and Im betting nothing changes tonight in Philly. 

 Heat are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 playoff games as an underdog. Heat are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Philadelphia.

76ers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a home favorite.

NBA Underdogs vs the money line (MIAMI) - after a win by 10 points or more against opponent after a huge blowout loss by 30 or more points are 8-42 L/26 seasons for a go against 84% conversion rate. 

Play on the 76ers to win/cover

Memphis in game 4 found a way to stay competitive without Ja Morant in the lineup, but I doubt they will be that good again as they rallying cry will fade as will Golden States previous inability to read the Grizzlies defensive schemes. What Im saying is that the Warriors will adjust here and get the win . MEMPHIS is 2-12 ATS when facing elimination in a playoff series since 1996.

Kerr is 15-5 ATS in road games after a close win by 3 points or less as the coach of GOLDEN STATE.

NBA Underdogs (MEMPHIS) - off a road cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 19-63 ATS L/26 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate.

Play on Golden State to cover 

The Cardinals have lost three straight games but will be ready to bounce back behind Miles Mikolas (2-1, 1.53 ERA)  and will primed for a strong effort here vs a side that they can handle.  

 BALTIMORE is 7-24  against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start over the last 2 seasons with the rpg diff clicking in at -2.1. 

MLB favorites with a money line of -200 or more (ST LOUIS) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 2.70 or better on the season (NL), with a tired bullpen - throwing 9+ innings over the last 2 games are 55-5 L/5 seasons for a 92% conversion rate with the average rpg diff clicks in at +3.7 which qualifies on a runline wager. 

Play on Cardinals -1.5. 

Four of five  previous games in this series were decided by 2 goals or more and Im betting that trend to continue tonight. I know Florida has not been as explosive as it was during the reg season, but they are more than capable of unloading at any time. With both teams at full strength, the Panthers had a 49-27 advantage in shots and a 21-14 edge in scoring chances and with the trend moving in their direction, a momentum style win after their 3-2 OT victory in this spot play. 

FLORIDA is 27-2 SU/ATS  in home games off a win or tie in their previous game this season with the average gpg diff clicking in at +2.6 . 

FLORIDA is 26-5 ATS in home games against good offensive teams - averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game this season.

Play on Florida to win/cover -1.5 

After watching the Celtics come back and almost take game 3 of this series losing 103-101 and than  take command with a  game 4  116-108 victory it became obvious to me the momentum had swung into the Celtics favor. With Kris Middleton still on the sidelines for Milwaukee the Celtics are a strong play , especially here at home.Bucks are 8-18 ATS in their last 26 games as a road underdog.

Bucks are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. MILWAUKEE is 13-30 ATS  in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Celtics are 26-12-1 ATS in their last 39 playoff games as a favorite. BOSTON is 11-1 ATS ( versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game this season.

BOSTON is 11-1 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons.

Play on Boston to cover 

The home team has won every game and the series is tied 2-2 going into Game 5 on Tuesday night in Phoenix and Im betting nothing changes tonight. Suns super star lead the team with 35 points in the game 4 loss, but  as quoted is ready for a the ups and downs of any post season series QUOTE: "We understand that it's a series," Booker said. "It's the playoffs for a reason. "We're going to make our adjustments. ... I think we just have to flush it and move on to the next game." END QUOTE. 

PHOENIX is 14-0 ATS  revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a road favorite over the last 2 seasons with a average pgg diff clicking in at +15.6 . 

PHOENIX is 10-1 ATS  revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more this season. 

PHOENIX is 18-8 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at just under +10. 

NBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DALLAS) - after having covered 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread, good team, winning 60-75% of their games on the season are 47-92 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 66% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Phoenix to cover 

This series has been a homer affair to this point and Im betting home court advantage to once again be golden as the 76ers visit south Florida to take on the Heat. Note:76ers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog and  are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 road games. 76ers are also  0-5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.

Interesting anomaly:  PHILADELPHIA is 0-9 ATS  on Tuesday nights this season.

PHILADELPHIA is 9-22 ATS in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 3 seasons.

Heat are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a home favorite. MIAMI is 20-7 ATS   versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more  of their attempts this season. 

NBA Road underdogs (PHILADELPHIA) - in a game involving two good three point shooting teams ( 36.5% or more ), after 2 straight games making 16 or more 3 point shots are 11-32 ATS L/26 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate. 

Play on Miami Heat to cover 

 Ja Morant suffered a knee injury and is officially doubtful and expected to miss Game 4, according coach Taylor Jenkins. This is a big blow for the Grizzlies both mentally and on the court as the young super star is heart beat of the team. Im betting Golden State takes this opportunity and makes the most of it in what should likely be a conclusive DD win much like in Game 3 .Grizzlies are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog.Warriors are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games.

GOLDEN STATE is 16-7 ATS  in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season with a average ppg diff clicking in at +11.2.  GOLDEN STATE is 12-4 ATS in home games off a home win by 10 points or more this season with the average pgg diff coming in at +12.2. 

NBA Favorites (GOLDEN STATE) - after failing to cover 4 of their last 5 against the spread against opponent after having covered 2 of their last 3 against the spread are 174-116 ATS L/5 seasons for a 60% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Golden State to cover 

Im betting on key cog Giannis Antetokounmpo   to help lead Milwaukee to a 3-1 series advantage when the Bucks host the Boston Celtics on Monday night in Game 4 of the Eastern Conference semifinals. In game 3 he potted 42 points, 12 rebounds and had eight assists and his dominance should continue tonight vs a defense that he matches up well against. Bucks are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 Conference Semifinals games  and  are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 playoff games as a favorite. The Bucks have lost all 3 games here at home this week. 

NBA Underdogs (BOSTON) - a good defensive team (104-108 PPG) against an avg. defensive team (108-114 PPG) after 42+ games, after allowing 105 points or less 2 straight games are 11-31 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Milwaukee to cover

The Sixers stormed back in game 3 of this series with a convincing win  and proved that they are formidable opponents for the Heat especially here at home where Im betting the 76ers have the edge behind the energy of their vocal fans.Heat are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 playoff games as an underdog.76ers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite.

PHILADELPHIA is 47-34 ATS after playing a home game over the last 2 seasons.

Play on Philadelphia to win /cover

Dallas rebounded at home in Game 3 with a 103-94 win over the Suns to get this series to 2-1. Trying to replicate  another victory Im betting will not come so easily for the Mavs here in game 4. The Mavs allowed an   average of 125 points in the first two games and played with non stop energy in game 3, but like i said above replicating that type of energy wont be easy against a  Suns side, that can easily rebound into explosive mode at any time. 

PHOENIX is 9-1 ATS revenging a road loss vs opponent this season. PHOENIX is 16-3 ATS revenging a loss vs opponent this season. PHOENIX is 15-3 ATS  revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points this season.

PHOENIX is 14-4 ATS on the road when the line is +3 to -3 this season.PHOENIX is 16-5 ATS  when the line is +3 to -3 this season.

Williams is 22-8 ATS  in road games against Southwest division opponents as the coach of PHOENIX.

Suns are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up loss.Suns are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite.Suns are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 Conference Semifinals games.

Suns are 23-9 ATS in the last 32 meetings.Suns are 9-2 ATS in the last 11 meetings in Dallas.

Play on the Suns to win. 

The young Grizzlies left everything on the floor as they escaped with a 106-101 late surge victory in game 2 . Now in enemy territory in a hostile environment, vs an experienced post season team, Im betting an emotional letdown scenario is a viable scenario here in game 3, which will effect their ability to stay at the same level of energy the home side will have.  GOLDEN STATE is 20-9 ATS  in home games after 1 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons and are  16-6 ATS revenging a road loss vs opponent this season.

Kerr is 13-1 ATS  in home games vs. dominant rebounding teams - out-rebounding opponents by 5+ per game - 2nd half of the season as the coach of GOLDEN STATE.

NBA Home favorites (GOLDEN STATE) - playing with 3 or more days rest, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 130-79 L/26 seasons for a 62% conversion rate.

Play on Golden State to cover 

The Celtics evened the series with a win at home last time out, and now Im expected a bounce back by the Bucks here at home in game 3 in true zig zag theory .  Note: Bucks are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 playoff games as a favorite and  are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up loss.

NBA Home teams vs. the money line (MILWAUKEE) - after going under the total by more than 12 points in two consecutive games, good team, winning 60-75% of their games on the season are 80-20 L/5 seasons for  80% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA Home teams (MILWAUKEE) - after going under the total by more than 18 points in two consecutive games, with a winning record on the season are 52-25 L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA Underdogs (BOSTON) - a good defensive team (104-108 PPG) against an avg. defensive team (108-114 PPG) after 42+ games, after allowing 105 points or less 2 straight games are 11-31 L/5 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (BOSTON) - hot team - having won 20 or more of their last 25 games are 25-51 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 67% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Milwaukee to cover 

The Suns matchup very well against the Mavs as was evident in game 2 of this series and have an edge here even as visitors. Suns are 13-3 ATS in the last 16 meetings in Dallas. PHOENIX is 11-1 straight up against DALLAS as visitors over the last 3 seasons. 

PHOENIX is 16-4 ATS  when the line is +3 to -3 this season. PHOENIX is 14-3 ATS  on the road when the line is +3 to -3 this season. 

PHOENIX is 22-7 ATS  in road games against Southwest division opponents over the last 3 seasons.

PHOENIX is 21-9 ATS  in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 3 seasons.

NBA Home underdogs (DALLAS) - after going over the total by more than 18 points in their previous game, on Friday nights are 14-53 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Phoenix Suns to cover /win 

With key cog Joel Embiid out of the Sixers lineup, they are very over matched and vulnerable to another DD beatdown at the hands of a deep Miami Heat squad. Miami is 5-1 SU/L/6 at home in this series. 

PHILADELPHIA is 4-15 ATS in road games revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons. PHILADELPHIA is 2-11 ATS  as a road underdog of 6.5 to 12 points over the last 3 seasons.

NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (MIAMI) - in a game involving two average offensive teams (108-114 PPG), after a combined score of 205 points or less 2 straight games are 33-2 L/26 seasons for a 94% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +10.9 . 

Play on Miami Heat to cover 

The Warriors squeaked out a 117-116 win and game 1 of this series, and have the guns to turn the trick here again in game 2.  GOLDEN STATE is 35-19 ATS L/54 off a road win by 3 points or less . Kerr is 15-4 ATS  in road games after a close win by 3 points or less as the coach of GOLDEN STATE. Jenkins is 8-20 ATS  after a loss by 6 points or less as the coach of MEMPHIS.

Grizzlies are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 playoff games as an underdog.

GOLDEN STATE is 36-17 ATS L/53  vs. dominant rebounding teams - out-rebounding opponents by 5+ per game - 2nd half of the season .

NBA Underdogs (MEMPHIS) - off a cover where the team lost the game straight up as an underdog, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 25-71 L/26 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate.

Play on Golden State to cover 

 The Celtics came out flat in game 1 of this series and played an absolute clunker losing a 101-89 count vs a Bucks side that probably played their best defensive game of the play offs. Now Im betting on the Celtics bouncing back with a big effort here and for the defending champs to have a regressive event after playing such an emotionally charged game 1.  Note: BOSTON is 9-0 ATS  after scoring 95 points or less this season.

MILWAUKEE is 8-21 ATS  in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

BOSTON is 24-9 ATS  versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more  assists/game - 2nd half of the season this season. BOSTON is 15-7 ATS  versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game this season.

NBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MILWAUKEE) - after having covered 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 27-57 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 68% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Celtics to cover 

Dallas is a fine team, and matched up well against the Utah Jazz in their last series, but I dont believe at this point that the Mavs do not matchup all that well vs the Suns as was evident by losing  three times this season to Phoenix . With  the previously injured Devon Booker back in the lineup for the Suns they have an edge here on their own home floor. 

Suns are 9-1-1 ATS in their last 11 Conference Semifinals games.Suns are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games playing on 3 or more days rest.

Mavericks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 3 or more days rest.

PHOENIX is 27-7 ATS  as a home favorite of 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DALLAS) - after having covered 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread, good team, winning 60-75% of their games on the season are 47-87 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 65% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Phoenix to cover

Previously injured Jimmy Butler (knee), is expected to  return at home to face the Sixers on Monday in Game 1 of the Eastern Conference semifinals. Meanwhile, the Sixers with be without key offensive cog Joel Embiid (concussion). The Sixers went 6-8 without Embiid during the regular season and are at a disadvantage here vs a deep side. 

PHILADELPHIA is 9-19 ATS off a road win this season (Took To out on the road last time out) NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (PHILADELPHIA) - off a win by 20 points or more over a division rival against opponent off a home win are just 19-48 L/26 seasons for a go against  72% conversion rate.

NBA Favorites vs. the money line (MIAMI) - in a game involving two average offensive teams (108-114 PPG), after a combined score of 205 points or less 2 straight games are 48-7 L/26 seasons with a pgg diff of +9.3 which qualifies on this offered ATS line.

NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (MIAMI) - in a game involving two average offensive teams (108-114 PPG), after a combined score of 205 points or less 2 straight games are 32-2 L/26 seasons for a 94% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +10.8. 

NBA Underdogs vs the money line (PHILADELPHIA) - after beating the spread by more than 24 points in their previous game against opponent after going under the total by more than 18 points in their previous game are 5-33 L/5 seasons for a 87% go against conversion rate for bettors with a ppg diff og -8 points which qualifies on this ATS offering, 

Play on the Heat to cover 

These teams are evenly matched according to my current numbers, with home court advantage Im betting being the difference maker.

Grizzlies are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 road games.Grizzlies are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 Conference Quarterfinals games.

Timberwolves are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

Timberwolves are 15-7-1 ATS in their last 23 games following a straight up loss.

NBA Home teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (MINNESOTA) - revenging a close loss vs opponent of 3 points or less, with a winning record on the season are 36-8 L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Minnesota to cover

Since Devon Booker went down the Suns have not looked like the same team, and that was very evident the last time these teams played here in New Orleans  as the Pelicans won  by 15 points. Im betting the desperation of the do or die situation here tonight will have the Pelicans ready to extend to this series to a final game 7. 

Suns are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up win.Suns are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a road favorite.

Pelicans are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS loss.Pelicans are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up loss. Pelicans are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 Conference Quarterfinals games.

NEW ORLEANS is 38-24 ATS revenging a same season loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.

Play on Pelicans to cover 

This has been a big time back and forth series between two young talented teams. The Wolves played lights in the last game in this series and won. Now Im betting on a bounce back scenario here tonight, at home where the Grizzlies have thrived this season, as is evident by a  31-12 SU record along  with the average margin ppg diff clicking in at +9.1 . 

MINNESOTA is 9-21 ATS  off an upset win as an underdog over the last 2 seasons and is is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) after a win by 6 points or less this season.

MEMPHIS is 14-3 ATS revenging a road loss vs opponent this season and is 13-2 ATS off a road loss this season.

Interesting anomaly, MEMPHIS is 8-0 ATS  on Tuesday nights this season.

NBA team (MINNESOTA) - as a # 7 seed in the playoffs are 102-163 L/26 seasons for a go against 62% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Memphis to cover 

The Miami Heat are the far superior side here according to my power rankings and for the most part have proved that prognosis correct during this series. More of the same one sided action is my call here again tonight in South Florida. 

MIAMI is 18-4 ATS  versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more  of their attempts this season.

ATLANTA is 0-8 ATS  in road games after a blowout loss by 15 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

ATLANTA is 1-12 ATS  in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game this season. ATLANTA is 4-13 ATS  in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. ATLANTA is 3-14 ATS  as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season.

NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (ATLANTA) - off a home loss, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 52-105 ATS L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Miami Heat to cover 

This usually offensively explosive Utah side has been really tamed by the Mavericsk top tier defense, and now with home court advantage on their side and Doncic back in the lineup the home team looks very much like a viable side to back on a short fav line. Note: Not only has the Jazz offense faltered, but their perimeter D continues to be exposed like in last seasons post season tilts. Advantage Dallas. 

UTAH is 3-12 ATS  in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 2 seasons. UTAH is 9-23 ATS  versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more  assists/game - 2nd half of the season this season.

DALLAS is 11-2 ATS versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game - 2nd half of the season this season. DALLAS is 11-2 ATS  as a home favorite of 6 points or less this season.

NBA Home teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (DALLAS) - revenging a close loss vs opponent of 3 points or less, with a winning record on the season are 36-8 L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Road teams (UTAH) - after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games against opponent after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games are 36-67 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 65% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Dallas to. cover 

This is it for Brooklyn- do or die. Im betting on do, and for the Nets to extend this series to game 5. Im obviously expecting Kyrie Irving to do as well as he did in game 1 and for Durant to finally break through after being continually frustrated by the Celtics . Based on what we have seen in the series so far I know the Nets do not look like a viable option. However,  this is a more talented Brooklyn team than both Denver and Toronto and both sides have found a way to extend their series and Im betting the Nets do as well. 

NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (BROOKLYN) - revenging 4 or more losses vs opponent in last 2 years, off a home loss against a division rival are 26-3 L/26 seasons for a 90% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (BOSTON) - hot team - having won 20 or more of their last 25 games are 25-51 ATS L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Brooklyn to cover

The Suns fell asleep at the proverbial wheel in game two their series vs the Pelicans, but thanks to bering nudged out of a coma, they are now fully awake and ready to perform at a top level here in a pivotal game in this series. key to this game is  suns C  Paul  who was masterful in Game 3. He scored 28 on 10-18 shooting. The top tier  guard also  dished out 14 assists. With Devon Booker out Im betting on Ayton and Chris Paul doing a double shuffle and to pick-and-roll all night against a inexperienced New Orleans defense.

  PHOENIX is 11-2 ATS  in road games when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) over the last 2 seasons.PHOENIX is 33-19 ATS versus good rebounding teams - out-rebounding opponents by 3+ per game over the last 3 seasons.PHOENIX is 15-3 ATS  when the line is +3 to -3 this season. PHOENIX is 13-2 ATS  on the road when the line is +3 to -3 this season.

PHOENIX is 21-6 ATS in road games against Southwest division opponents over the last 3 seasons.

Suns are 6-1 SU/ATS L/7 visits to New Orleans.

Play on the Phoenix Suns to cover 

Atlanta made a miraculous comeback in game 3 of this series,  after falling behind by 16 points late in the 3rd quarter after a 21-0 Miami run, and took a 111-110 victory. Unfortunately however for the Hawks they spent alot of energy in that come from behind win, and will now find it difficult to come up here with the same effort against a side that Im betting is more talented and wide awake now after that above mentioned collapse. I know Kyle Lowry may not be 100% with a hamstring injury, but he is expected to play and even if he does not I still like the Heats depth to get the job done.  

MIAMI is 17-4 ATS  versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36%  or more of their attempts this season.

ATLANTA is 1-11 ATS  after a win by 6 points or less this season. 

NBA Road favorites (MIAMI) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a road favorite, off a upset loss as a favorite are 108-62 ATS L/28 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors. 

The defending champs have made adequate adjustments of the course of this series to be able to easily deal with whatever the Bulls can muster. That was evident in game 3 of this series as the Bucks romped to a 111-81 victory. Im betting the Bulls will perform better here today but it wont be enough. Also no Buck players breached the 20 point plateau in a team effort. Im betting super star Antetokounmpo comes back alot stronger in this tilt and helps lead his team to victory. 

Milwaukees HC Budenholzer is 19-3 ATS L/22 in road games after 2 consecutive division games in all games he has coached . 

MILWAUKEE is 20-9 ATS as a road favorite this season.

CHICAGO is 5-15 ATS  in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Road favorites (MILWAUKEE) - off a win by 10 points or more over a division rival against opponent off a home loss by 10 points or more are 72-27 ATS L/26 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Home underdogs (CHICAGO) - revenging a blowout loss vs opponent of 30 points or more against opponent off a win by 10 points or more over a division rival are 7-29 ATS L/26 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Milwaukee Bucs to cover

After losing game 1 of this series, to the Wolves , the Grizzlies have bounced back and taken control of this series, and Im betting on more relentless two way pressure from them here again tonight. in Minnesota  MEMPHIS is 34-20 ATS  as a favorite this season.MEMPHIS is 24-13 ATS as a road favorite over the last 2 seasons.MEMPHIS is 24-12 ATS after 2 or more consecutive wins this season.Grizzlies are 19-7 ATS in the last 26 meetings.

Grizzlies are 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Minnesota.Grizzlies are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 playoff games as a favorite.

Grizzlies are 21-6 ATS in their last 27 games playing on 1 days rest.

Timberwolves are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 1 days rest.Timberwolves are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games.

Grizzlies are 19-7 ATS in the last 26 meetings.Grizzlies are 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Minnesota.

Play on the Memphis to cover 

This it do or die for the Raptors today and just like in game 3 Im betting they leave everything on the floor and get us the cover. 

Nurse is 25-8 ATS  after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games as the coach of TORONTO.

TORONTO is 8-1 ATS  in home games when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days this season.

PHILADELPHIA is 9-18 ATS  off a road win this season.

NBA Home teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (TORONTO) - revenging a close loss vs opponent of 3 points or less, with a winning record on the season 35-8 L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA team (TORONTO) - off a close loss by 3 points or less to a division rival against opponent after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite and 51-21 ATS for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Toronto Raptors to cover 

 The Pelicans surprised the Suns with a big time performance in game 2 of this series, and now Im betting the Suns will be primed for a big bounce back effort here in the Bayou this Friday night.  NBA team (PHOENIX) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite of 7 or more, off an upset loss as a home favorite are 39-12 ATS L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home underdogs (NEW ORLEANS) - off an upset win of 10 points or more as a road underdog, with a losing record. are 10-32 ATS L/5 season for a 76% go against conversion rate. 

PHOENIX is 14-3 ATS  when the line is +3 to -3 this season.PHOENIX is 15-3 ATS revenging a home loss vs opponent of 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.PHOENIX is 8-1 ATS revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more this season.PHOENIX is 20-6 ATS in road games against Southwest division opponents over the last 3 seasons.PHOENIX is 12-2 ATS  on the road when the line is +3 to -3 this season.

Play on Phoenix Suns to cover 

Chicago has played the Bucks tough this season, and upset them in game 2 in a closely contested tilt. I know the Bulls seem to have figured out how to be competitive and thrive against the Bucks , but the Bucks are also learning why they're getting frustrated by the Bulls and Im betting we see the visitors and NBA Champs finding a way to get the job done . Remember the Bulls have  been very inconsistent for a good part of the 2nd half of this season, and on a micro handicapping basis might seem to have an edge because of K Middletons absence from the Bucks lineup.  But the truth is Milwaukee is still the deeper team and must be respected here as short favs. 

From a SRS perspective Milwaukee ranks 7th  at 3.22 in the NBA while the Bulls rank 20th with a -0.38 mark. 

SRS - Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average

Chicago’s 4-8 home-underdog ATS mark, is tied for the fourth-worst covering percentage in the NBA this season. 

NBA team (MILWAUKEE) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite of 7 or more, off an upset loss as a home favorite are 39-12 ATS L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Bucks to cover 

The Raptors after 2 straight DD losses in Philadelphia are now in desperation mode here in game 3. Needless to say the Raptors need a victory, and Im betting they leave everything on the florr tonight and get us the cover. TORONTO is 23-9 ATS L/32  after 2 straight blowout losses by 15 points or more.

NBA  team vs the money line (PHILADELPHIA) - off 2 consecutive wins by 10 points or more against division rivals, extremely well rested team - playing 3 or less games in 10 days are 12-23 SU L/5 seasons for a go against 66% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA Home teams vs. the money line (TORONTO) - after allowing 63 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games against opponent after a blowout win by 15 points or more are 42-22 L/25 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. 

TORONTO is 5-1 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons at home.

Take the points with Toronto 

Im going to keep this selection explantation brief. The Hawks simply and generally do matchup well vs the Heat, and here on the road where the Hawks have struggled against top tier sides are once again in trouble. The Heat dominated game 1 as the final 115-91 score would indicate. Rinse and repeat type game highly like to be duplicated here. 

Heat are 38-18 ATS in their last 56 playoff games as a favorite.

ATLANTA is 1-11 ATS   in road games after a blowout loss by 15 points or more over the last 3 seasons. ATLANTA is 3-13 ATS   as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season. ATLANTA is 0-9 ATS  in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) this season.

 Hawks are 1-6 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Miami

Play on Miami to cover 

With Luka Doncic downgraded to doubtful Monday vs Utah ( Calf ) the Jazz become  viable option here as road favs. The Jazz dominated game 1 of this series, without the Euro star in the Mavs   lineup and a rinse and repeat scenario is highly likely, with the zig zag theory taking a back seat for the mean time. 

NBA Home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DALLAS) - off a home loss, in April games are 66-122 ATS L/26 seasons for a go against  65% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Favorites vs. the money line (UTAH) - after going under the total by more than 12 points in three consecutive games, second half of the season are 31-4 with the average margin ppg diff registering in at +11.7 which easily qualifies on this ATS line as a viable trend. 

Play on Utah Jazz to cover 

Previous to game 1 of this series the Raptors and the Sixers took part in 3 straight games that were decided by exactly 5 points and prior to that they played 4 straight games that were deiced by 6, 7,7,7  points. All in total Toronto won 4 of those 7  tilts SU, and in true zig zag theory are a viable cover option here in game 2 of this series according to my projections. From a SRS perspective  the Raptors rank 11th in the NBA with a 2.38 mark, while Philadelphia ranks 9th with a 2.57 mark, making them virtually even in a neutral court environment , but with home floor advantage are rue 4.5 favs, which is gives us value on this offered line. The DD, win by the 76ers has tainted the line, and gives us an edge on a cover proposition. Note:Nurse is 22-8 ATS  after a blowout loss by 15 points or more as the coach of TORONTO. TORONTO is 33-19 ATS  in road games revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.

Raptors are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game.Raptors are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss.Raptors are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog.Raptors are 26-10 ATS in their last 36 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

76ers are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games following a straight up win.

NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (PHILADELPHIA) - in a game involving two average teams (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 42 or more games, after scoring 125 points or more are 18-49 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors.

The Heat are well rested while the Hawks have played hard in two wins to get to this point, and will now be in a letdown spot vs what my power rankings suggest is a superior side. 

ATLANTA is 0-8 ATS  in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) this season.ATLANTA is 1-10 ATS   in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game this season. ATLANTA is 3-12 ATS  as a road underdog of 6.5 to 12 points over the last 2 seasons.

MIAMI is 15-3 ATS\ versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more  of their attempts this season.

Play on Miami to cover 

The Leafs have a tendency of falling asleep at the proverbial wheel against lower level sides, as was the case recently in a loss to the Buffalo Sabres. Note:TORONTO is 9-11 ATS  in road games against lower tier  teams - outscored by opponents by 0.5+ goals/game over the last 2 seasons. Tonight against a Ottawa side that almost always comes to life when they play the Leafs especially at home Im betting we have value on this viable puckline offering. It must be noted that the Senators have been extremely competitive here in Canadas capital vs the /buds with the L/6 meetings decided by 1 goal, which includes 3 SU wins. 

Play on the puckline +1.5 with Ottawa 

The last 3 meetings this season between these teams were deiced by 5 points with the one game back in November decided by 6 points with the Raptors covering all 4 games while winning 3 straight up. Im betting on another close game, and for the under rated Raptors getting us the cover today with a 5 point advantage which is key to this selection advantage . 

TORONTO is 29-15 ATS  when playing against a team with a winning record this season. TORONTO is 19-7 ATS  versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts this season. TORONTO is 25-16 ATS  in road games this season.

PHILADELPHIA is 6-14 ATS  when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) this season.

NBA home favorites (PHILADELPHIA) - good shooting team (45.5-47.5%) against an poor defensive team (45.5-47.5%) after 42+ games, hot shooting team - 2 straight games making 50% or more of their shots are 49-84 ATS L/26 seasons for a go against 65% conversion rate.

Play on Toronto to cover 

Entering the play offs the Clippers were red hot having won 5 straight games.   .Clippers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. The last time these teams mets here in  Los Angeles this season the Clippers won the final meeting, 119-100 at home on April 3. Rinse and repeat scenario here. 

Pelicans are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

LA CLIPPERS are 12-4 ATS when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) this season.

NEW ORLEANS is 10-27 ATS  L/37 in road games off a win by 10 points or more over a division rival .

Play on the LA Clippers to cover 

The Hawks looked strong in the 2nd half of the season, and must be respected here at home. Note: Hawks are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite and  are 9-0 ATS in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a winning road record as well as  4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games.McMillan is 20-7 ATS in home games in the second half of the season as the coach of ATLANTA. Meanwhile , Charlotte , also played well down the stretch, but Im betting home court advantage is the difference maker this evening. In 4 previous meetings this season,Charlotte won by margins of three and 10 points. Atlanta's victories came by 10 and 22 points. Rinse and repeat victory is what Im betting on here this evening in Georgia. 

Play on Atlanta Hawks to cover

Im betting on the Wolves coming out here and finishing their season off strong vs a side that they have revenge against for a loss they suffered to Chicago in the only game between these teams this season. The Wolves are 4-0 ATS L/4 last games of the season. 

CHICAGO is 4-12 ATS  as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season. Bulls are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Bulls are 17-36 ATS in their last 53 games as an underdog.

NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (CHICAGO) - off a home loss, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 54-101 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 67% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Minnesota to cover 

Miami enters into this game against state rivals Orlando having won 6 straight SU/ATS and will want to finish off their season in strong form here going into the play offs. The Magic lost last time out by DDs and have lost 4 of their L/5 by DDs, and Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation here today.  ORLANDO is 1-9 ATS  in home games off a road loss by 10 points or more this season.

ORLANDO is 10-22 ATS  as a home underdog this season with the average ppg at 11.1 diff.ORLANDO is 8-21 ATS in home games when playing with triple revenge - 3 straight losses vs. opponent over the last 3 seasons with a average ppg diff of 11.1 ppg. 

Miami Heat to cover 

I know the Bucks will rest players today before the play offs, but Im betting on a strong effort from who ever plays as the Bucks have revenge on board for two nasty losses to the Cavaliers this season by scores of 115-99 here in January, and 119-90 as hosts  in December . Add to that Cleveland is not in good form of late losing 3 straight and 5 of their L/6 and have failed to cover 9 of their L/11 as nothing seems to come easy for Cavs . Advantage taking points with the defending champs. Bucks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games.

Cavaliers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite.Cavaliers are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

MILWAUKEE is 14-4 ATS  in road games after leading their last 2 games by 10+ points at the half over the last 3 seasons. Budenholzer is 44-16 ATS  vs. division opponents as the coach of MILWAUKEE.

NBA  team vs the money line (MILWAUKEE) - double revenge - 2 straight losses vs. opponent, after a cover as a double digit favorite are 41-14 L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Milwaukee Bucks to cover 

The Pelicans come in there with the 9th spot and a play off entry ticket if they can maintain their standing, so needless to say they will be playing hard tonight against a team that will want to be healthy and rested with the play offs starting next week. With the Grizzlies probably resting some players at different degrees tonight, they may not be playing with optimum output which gives is a viable opportunity to cash with the road dog. Add to that the Pelicans have revenge on board for a DD loss to the Grizzlies this season, and you have a very motivated side to back. Note: New Orleans is 4-1 ATS this season playing with revenge for a 20+ point loss. Also NBA team vs the money line (NEW ORLEANS) - double revenge - 2 straight losses vs. opponent, after a cover as a double digit favorite are 40-13 SU L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate.

NEW ORLEANS is 9-1 ATS  in road games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more  of their shots - 2nd half of the season this season.

New Orleans is 8-2 ATS L/10 overall.

New Orleans is 9-3 ATS L/12 in this series and have won 8 of those games SU. 

Play on New Orleans to cover