My matchup statistics and power rankings make this game closer to -2 for Denver giving us value with taking points. This sis a game that could flip either way , thus getting to ride the underdog is a viable wagering opportunity.

 Mavericks are 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings.Mavericks are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Denver.

Nuggets are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games overall.


DENVER is 8-21 ATS  after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons .


DALLAS is 25-13 ATS in road games over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Home teams (DENVER) - off a home no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite, with a losing record. are 14-38 ATS L/5 seasons for a 72% go against conversion rate for bettors.

Dallas to cover 

My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Two struggling sides do battle tonight in desperation mode. This looks to be a dog fight, which makes taking the points a viable betting option. 

CLEVELAND is 11-2 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.CLEVELAND is 23-9 ATS in road games versus terrible defensive teams - allowing 110+ points/game over the last 3 seasons


NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MEMPHIS) - poor three point shooting team (33% or less) against a poor 3PT defense (36.5% or more ), average rebounding team (+/-3 reb/game) against a poor rebounding team (-3 to -5.5 reb/game) are 59-28 ATS L/24 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Cleveland to cover 

My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball Totals/sides projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Sides/Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball Totals/sides projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Sides/Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

I am not impressed by the Raptors so far this season, and despite of a weak bench Im betting on the core veterans of this group to come together tonight and give the Suns a battle which my projections estimate to supply us with a cover. The opening line was closer to where it should be and recency bias and public money streaming in the Suns  is now making getting points a viable opportunity for profit. 

TORONTO is 28-12 ATS after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread over the last 3 seasons.

 Williams is 9-25 ATS  in home games vs. teams who are called for 2+ more fouls/game than their opponents in all games he has coached since 1996.

NBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (TORONTO) - good team from last season who won 60% to 75% of their games, after 1 or more consecutive losses are 43-16 ATS L/24 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA team vs the money line (TORONTO) - off a double digit loss as a home favorite of 6 or more against opponent after a home game where both teams score 100 or more points are 23-4 SU L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate. 

Play on Toronto to cover 

My College basketball Totals/sides projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Sides/Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

 Play on Texas A&M 

Detroit has really stunk up the joint here so far this season, in the won loss column at 1-6  but , they have been competetive for the most part and have cashed 4 of their L/5 trips to the hardoowd including a recent 122-120 heartbreaking loss the Celtics. Meanwhile, the Bucks are off two lopsided wins, with plenty of scoring punch spread around the lineup,including the last tilt vs this same Pistons group. Note: The Bucks are 0-12 ATS L/12 failing to cover by just under 13 ppg  with rest off a win in which they had 6+ double digit scorers. Also  NBA Home favorites of 10 or more points (MILWAUKEE) - after a win by 10 points or more against opponent after scoring 55 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games are just 16-41 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Underdogs (DETROIT) - terrible defensive team - shooting pct defense of 48% or better on the season, after a game - allowing a shooting pct. of 55% or higher are 105-60 ATS L/24 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Motown to cover 

My College basketball Totals/sides projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Sides/Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

The banged up Cavaliers after a quick start to their campaign are in desperation mode after suffering their  fourth loss in their past five trips to the hardwood.  The Cavs now play the Orlando Magic for the second time in the last  three nights and lost the last one 103-83  Monday. I know the Cavs dont look viable in their current form but with Issac Okoro expected to return tonight and with Orlando expected to be without Fournier and Williams we have an edge here taking points.Cavaliers are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Magic are 6-14 ATS in their last 20 home games and  are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 1 days rest and are also  7-18-1 ATS in their last 26 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

Play on Cleveland to cover 

My College basketball Totals/sides projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Sides/Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

The Spurs have lost 4 straight , but two of those games to a Lakers group that they did not matchup well against. The other two losses were closely contested. I know the Spurs Aldridge may not play or is less than 100%, but i still feel confident taking points here behind a hardworking group that actually matches up well vs the Clippers. Add to that ,  Im also betting this  will be an unmotivated Clippers group off a two game road trio vs strong competetion ( Suns, Jazz) and will now be on tiored legs as they play their 3rd game in 5 nights. NBA Road underdogs (SAN ANTONIO) - after a blowout loss by 20 points or more against opponent after 2 straight games where both teams scored 100 points or more are 129-77 ATS L/23 seasons for a 63% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the San Antonio Spurs to cover 

My College basketball Totals/sides projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Sides/Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

MISSISSIPPI ST is 11-3 ATS  vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% or more  of their attempts over the last 2 seasons.  

CBB road team (MISSOURI) - after 2 or more consecutive unders, in a game involving two good defensive teams (63-67 PPG) are 70-104 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 60% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Miss State to cover 

Neither one of these teams are playing all that well, and while Minnesota has looked far worse recently than the the Utah Jazz, Im betting this line is slightly bloated when comparing matchup schemes and my own power rankings

NBA Favorites of 10 or more points (DENVER) - poor foul drawing team from last season - attempted 24 or less  free throws/game, after 2 straight games making 9 or more 3 point shots are 6-27 ATS L/24 seasons for a go against 82% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Home favorites (DENVER) - after allowing 105 points or more against opponent after 2 straight blowout losses by 15 points or more are 13-36 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Minnesota to cover 

My College basketball Totals/sides projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Sides/Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball Totals/sides projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Sides/Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball Totals/sides projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Sides/Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball Totals/sides projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Sides/Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball Totals/sides projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Sides/Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball Totals/sides projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Sides/Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball Totals/sides projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Sides/Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (TORONTO) - after going over the total by more than 18 points in their previous game against opponent after going under the total by more than 18 points in their previous game are 7-28 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Boston to cover 

Philly took out Charlotte by a 127-112 count last time out , but I saw enough good matchups for Charlotte to back them getting points in the rematch. 

PHILADELPHIA is 7-23 ATS after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 3 seasons.

CHARLOTTE is 32-17 ATS after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.

NBA Home favorites (PHILADELPHIA) - after allowing 110 points or more against opponent after 2 straight blowout losses by 15 points or more are 6-29 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Favorites (PHILADELPHIA) - after 3 consecutive covers as a favorite, team that had a winning record last season are 12-36 ATS L/24 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate. 

Play on Charlotte to cover

My College basketball Totals/sides projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Sides/Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

S.Illinois to cover 

My College basketball Totals/sides projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Sides/Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Siena to cover

My College basketball Totals/sides projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Sides/Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Super star Westbrook's Washington Wizards are coming off their finest outing of the young season and now I am going to ride that momentum into this game . The Wizards are playing their 3rd game in 4 nights but for a while now they have had one of the best conditioning programs in the league, and will be ready to run and gun again here tonight vs a uneven Brooklyn side that are poster boys for inconsistency which features the inability to cover in 4 straight tilts. WASHINGTON is 25-11 ATS   when playing their 3rd game in 4 days over the last 3 seasons. 

Play on Washington to cover 

My College basketball Totals/sides projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Sides/Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball Totals/sides projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Sides/Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

St.Joe's to cover

Tennessee was absolutely obliterated last week vs Green Bay and will now be primed for redemption here this week vs a Houston side with a 4-11 record and feeling less than motivated with nothing to play for as this season winds down. 

HOUSTON is 6-16 ATS L/22 vs. incredible offensive teams - scoring 29 or more points/game . HOUSTON is 0-7 ATS  after gaining 275 or more passing yards in 3 straight games over the last 2 seasons. 

NFL Favorites vs. the money line (TENNESSEE) - good rushing team (125 to 150 RY/game) against a poor rushing team (70-95 RY/game) after 8+ games, after allowing 175 or more rushing yards last game are 32-2 SU L/37 seasons for a 94% conversion rate with the average ppg diff of 9.6 ppg. 

NFL Home underdogs or pick (HOUSTON) - after having lost 4 out of their last 5 games, a bad team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a winning record are 12-36 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate. 

Play on Tennessee to cover

 It matters very little  what the Chiefs do today. They have the No. 1 seed and get a bye week coming up, but that does not mean that they wont want to stay sharp.  Take the points. 

KANSAS CITY is 17-8 ATS  against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons

NFL team vs the money line (KANSAS CITY) - an average defensive team (18-23 PPG) against a horrible defensive team (27 or more  PPG) after 8 games, after a win by 6 or less points are 27-3 SU L/10 seasons for a 91% conversion rate for bettors.

NFL Underdogs or pick (KANSAS CITY) - mistake-free team (1.25 or less  TO/game committed) against a team with 1.25 or less TO/game forced, after 2 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers are 36-10 ATS L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Kansas City to cover 

The Bears behind QB Mitchell Trubisky  have scored 30-plus points in four straight games for the first time in team history and in their current form are more than capable of ending the Green Bay Packers 5 game win streak.  I know the Packers really put the boots to the Bears when they faced them back in end of November by a 41-25 count but it must be noted that CHICAGO is 16-5 ATS L/21  in home games revenging a road loss against opponent by 14 points or more and are desperate to get a win and here and garner a play off spot. CHICAGO is  also 26-13 ATS  L/39 in home games versus good rushing teams - averaging 4.5 or more rushing yards/carry.

NFL Road teams vs. the money line (GREEN BAY) - after failing to cover the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games, a top-level team (75% or better ) playing a team with a winning record are 5-28 L/10 seasons for a 85% go against conversion rate. 

Play on Chicago to cover 

 These two sides the Raiders and the Broncos are probably busy booking golf holidays instead  of being fully focused on this tilt. But there is still some pride on the line here as the Broncos should be keyed up to reap some revenge on a  Las Vegas side that smashed then 37-12 as home chalk back  in mid-November . The Raiders are off three straight home losses and look lifeless setting up what Im betting is down performance here.  Note: NFL visiting sides like the Raiders  coming off three consecutive home losses are 1-8 SU in division games since 1980.

 LAS VEGAS is 0-6 ATS  in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 5.65 or more  yards/play in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

 DENVER is 6-0 ATS  after a game with a turnover margin of -2 or worse this season.

NFL Home teams (DENVER) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 35 or more points, off an extremely close loss by 3 points or less to a division rival are 22-4 ATS L/37 seasons for a 85% conversion rate. 

Play on the Denver Broncos to cover 

My College basketball Totals/sides projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Sides/Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball Totals/sides projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Sides/Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball Totals/sides projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Sides/Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball Totals/sides projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Sides/Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

The  Raptors at this point in the season no longer look like Eastern Conference contenders and  are  just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite. Meanwhile, New Orleans has looked uneven in its tilts, but did look like they matchup well vs the Raptors in their opening game winning by a 113-99 count. In the rematch Im betting the Pelicans once again have an edge, as home underdogs in a spot they could easily win SU.  Van Gundy is 60-35 ATS in home games when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) in all games he has coached since 1996.

NBA Home teams vs. the money line (NEW ORLEANS) - after a win by 10 points or more against opponent after a combined score of 185 points or less are 54-13 L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate. 



Play on the New Orleans Pelicans to cover 

The Philadelphia 76ers will look for their third consecutive victory when they host the Charlotte Hornets on Saturday I just dont think it will come that easily here vs a Charlotte tonight. I know the Hornets lost last night as chalk , but after watching some tape of the game, its obvious they did not exert much energy and will have plenty left in the tank for this tilt. Quote: Despite the loss, head coach James Borrego has been pleased with the team's progress."For us it's just about building and growing," Borrego said. "We didn't have the best training camp. There's a lot of factors there, but I believe now we have found our footing." Enf Quote: I agree with the HCs assessments and they get my under rated factor here in a game based on brand reputation. 

NBA Road teams vs. the money line (CHARLOTTE) - good shooting team (45.5-47.5%) against an average shooting team (43.5-45.5%), in a game involving two average ball handling team (14.5-16.5 TO's) are 40-17 L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate. 

NBA Road teams (CHARLOTTE) - off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a favorite, a bad team, winning 25% to 40% of their games on the season are 33-11 ATS l/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Charlotte to cover 

My College basketball Totals/sides projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Sides/Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball Totals/sides projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Sides/Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball Totals/sides projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Sides/Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball Totals/sides projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Sides/Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball Totals/sides projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Sides/Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball Totals/sides projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Sides/Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

 Sacramento enters this game having covered 5 of their L/6 tilts dating back to last season, and continue to uptrend in my power rankings, while Houston is playing at the proverbial opposite end of the spectrum as far as bettors are concerned failing to cover in 6 of their L/7 overall and are 0-4 ATS L/4 at home in are fade material here in this spot against a weak favorite line. Rockets new HC  Silas acknowledged that the Rockets are a "work in progress" on defense and that Im betting will be their downfall today. 

SACRAMENTO is 19-9 ATS  as a road underdog over the last 2 seasons  is 23-12 ATS  in road games over the last 2 seasons.

SACRAMENTO is 25-14 ATS  in road games versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.  SACRAMENTO is 31-19 ATS versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more  assists/game over the last 2 seasons.  SACRAMENTO is 46-29 ATS  when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons

HOUSTON is 118-154 ATS  in home games against Pacific division opponents since 1996.

Play on Sacramento to cover 

My College basketball Totals/sides projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Sides/Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball Totals/sides projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Sides/Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

The Ducks got into the Pacific-12 Conference title game only because Washington had to drop out because of coronavirus concerns. Oregon made the most of the opportunity by defeating host USC 31-24 for the championship and Im betting they will make the best of this bowl appearance. 

CFB Neutral field favorites vs. the money line (IOWA ST) - after having won 2 out of their last 3 games, in a non-conference game between two teams from major division 1-A conferences are 22-12 L/10 seasons for a 65% conversion rate. 

CFB  team (OREGON) - in a game involving two excellent rushing teams (4.8 or more  YPR), after allowing 40 or less rushing yards last game are 35-9 L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate. 

Oregon to cover 

My College basketball Totals/sides projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Sides/Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball Totals/sides projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Sides/Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball Totals/sides projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Sides/Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball Totals/sides projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Sides/Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball Totals/sides projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Sides/Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Utah played last night in a loss to the Suns, and looked lifeless. Now on tired legs dealing with a Clippers die that is expected to have their super star Kawhi Leonard in the lineup tonight the Jazz are once again in trouble . Note: Leonard owns a  +25.8 efficiency differential when on court vs. off this season. LA CLIPPERS are 25-12 ATS  as a road favorite over the last 3 season. 

Play on LA Clippers to cover 

 These teams Ohio State and Clemson  took part in a 29-23 Championship event last season and Im betting on another close tilt this time around that will see the underdog cover. 
Key will be the Buckeyes  top tier standard downs Success Rate in the nation, which has been an Achilles heel for the Clemson defense.

OHIO ST is 20-7 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992 . 

CFB team (OHIO ST) - excellent rushing team (>=4.8 YPR) against a good rushing team (4.3 to 4.8 YPR), after outrushing opponent by 200 or more yards last game are 51-23 ATS L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Ohio State to cover 

Hornets have surprised me with some nice wins vs Nets and Mavericks and now have my attention going into tilt vs a banged up and disorganized looking Memphis side that will be without Grayson and Allen.CHARLOTTE is 16-6 ATS  when playing against a struggling  team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) over the last 2 seasons. MEMPHIS is 0-8 ATS  after trailing in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half over the last 3 seasons.

My College basketball Totals/sides projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Sides/Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Old Dominion to cover

My College basketball Totals/sides projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Sides/Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball Totals/sides projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Sides/Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball Totals/sides projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Sides/Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball Totals/sides projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Sides/Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Notre Dame had a fine campaign, but they were exposed by Clemson in a one sided loss late in the season. Its the Irish D, that showed the most promise this season, but the Tigers slashed them, and Alabama is a side that can and Im betting will do similar damage in what my projections estimate will end uo in a one sided Alabama victory. The Crimson Tide (11-0) topped 50 points six times and averaged 49.7 points  second-best nationally, and have the guns to dismember any team in the nation, including a Irish program I have a high degree of respect for. Bama  offensive coordinator Steve Sarkisian Im sure detected and dissected  what Clemson did in the victory vs Notre Dame. NFL Underdogs of 10.5 to 21 points (NOTRE DAME) - after being outrushed by 125 or more yards last game are 98-164 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 63% conversion rate.

Alabama head coach Nick Saban is 104-1 SU in his career when favored by 17 or more points. 

Play on Alabama to cover

I have been impressed with the Phoinex Suns and have no problem supporting them here vs a Utah  side they matchup well against. Phoenix, has wins over Dallas, Sacramento and New Orleans this season and I wont be surprised if they clip the Jazz here tonight and in the process get the cover. PHOENIX is 9-0 ATS in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 2 seasons.

Play on the Suns to cover 

The Raptors have started poorly losing 3 straight, but now Im betting on them coming out like their hair is on fire and taking down a Knicks side that hey have beaten  eight consecutive  times. The Knicks continue to deal with injuries. Obi Toppin (calf), Austin Rivers (groin), Immanuel Quickley (hip), Dennis Smith Jr. (quad) and Alec Burks (ankle) were inactive on Tuesday which im betting effects the teams flow in this spot. TORONTO is 12-2 ATS  as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points over the last 2 seasons and  TORONTO  14-4 ATS  after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games over the last 3 seasons.

Play on Toronto to cover 

Since Embiid returned to the court for the 76ers they have looked rejuvenated and on a mission. Im going to bet on the Sixers flow and momentum here vs a viable but still over matched Orlando side. 

NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (ORLANDO) - in a game involving 2 up-tempo teams (82 or more  shots/game), after 4 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 47% or higher are 27-59 ATS L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors.

Missing players due to covid from Bulls  give us value with the Wizards. Late Steam. 

Play on Wizards to cover

 Army Head coach Jeff Monken is 3-0 so far with the Knights in bowls and the program has won four straight going back to 1986. I have alot of respect for this HC, and his ability to have this team ready to play West Virginia here today. 
W VIRGINIA is 0-8 ATS  as a neutral field favorite of 7 points or less since 1992. 

CFB  team (ARMY) - after allowing 17 points or less in 2 straight games against opponent after scoring 6 points or less last game are 35-11 ATS L/10 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors.


CFB Neutral field favorites vs. the money line (W VIRGINIA) - after 1 or more consecutive straight up losses, in a non-conference game between two teams from major division 1-A conferences are 20-11 SU L/10 seasons . 

Play on Army to cover 

The Bulldogs (3-7) will make a school-record 11th consecutive bowl appearance, while the Golden Hurricane (6-2) will play in their first bowl since 2016 when they meet on New Year's Eve in the Armed Forces Bowl at Fort Worth, Texas.

Tulsa behind a top tier D had a fine season, but Mississippi State is a power 5 team from one of the strongest conferences in the nation and deserve our respect here in this spot.  It must be noted noted that. the underdog dog is 5-1 ATS in the last six Mississippi State  bowl games  and HC Mike Leach stands tall with a  26-11 ATS as a road dog against sides like Tulsa with a better record. Considering ACC bowl sides are just 1-5 ATS L/6 vs a the ACC, it was not a hard decision for me to pull the trigger with the Bulldogs. 

CFB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (MISSISSIPPI ST) - poor team - outscored by opponents by 7 or more points/game, after a playing a game where 70 total points or more were scored 107-59 ATS L/28 seasons for a 65% conversion rate. 

Play on Mississippi State to cover 

My College basketball Totals/sides projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Sides/Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Tennessee State to cover

Dallas after starting their season with two straight losses finally got untracked last time out with a huge DD win vs the LA Clippers, and now Im betting on them carrying that momentum into this tilt vs a Charlotte side that they matchup well against according to my power rankings.

NBA Favorites (DALLAS) - in a game involving two poor defensive teams (45.5-47.5%), after game - allowing a shooting pct. of 35% or less are 26-6 ATS 
L/24 seasons for a  81% conversion rate for bettors. 

The Los Angeles Lakers hit the road for the first time this season when they square off against the Spurs on Thursday night in the first game of back-to-back matchups in San Antonio over a three-day period. The Lakers looked uninterested late in their game vs the Portland Trailblazers last time and lost. Im betting on more of a championship hangover for the Lakers tonight on the road vs a San Antonio Spurs that is uptrending in my power rankings since last season.SAN ANTONIO is 35-21 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.Vogel is 18-37 ATS  in road games after allowing 115 points or more in all games he has coached since 1996.

Play on San Antonio to cover 

My College basketball Totals/sides projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Sides/Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Murray State to cover

My College basketball Totals/sides projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Sides/Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Nebraska to cover

My College basketball Totals/sides projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Sides/Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

George Mason to cover

My College basketball Totals/sides projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Sides/Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Fresno State to cover

My College basketball Totals/sides projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Sides/Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Temple to cover

My College basketball Totals/sides projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Sides/Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Bowling Green to cover

 Mayo Bowl - Bank of America Stadium - Charlotte, NC

Wisconsin at 3-3 on the season  is getting far to much respect here in a rebuilding year. I know Wake forest finished the season, on a 0-2 run but ot must be noted that head coach Dave Clawson,  when off consecutive losses, is a bankroll expanding  10-0 ATS when the last loss was a  double-digit ATS defeat, which was the case . Clawson is also 8-0 ATS after allowing 6.25 or more yards/play in 2 consecutive games as the coach of WAKE FOREST.

Take the points with Wake Forest to cover 

Colorado used to be a member of the Big 12 conference and it must be noted that when Texas played  the Buffs they smashed them  in five straight games by an average margin of 32.8 points. I know these are different manifestations of these football programs, but from a matchup perspective my projections. make the Longhorns DD favs in this spot thus we have value based on my numbers. 

Key to this tilt: Colorado had the 13th-highest rushing rate in the country this season, keeping the ball on the ground on 60% of its offensive possessions. However, the Texas  defense has been close to spectacular slowing the run this season, ranking 36th in the country in Rushing Success rate  allowing 3.6 yards per carry, rankings 25th in the nation. Advantage Longhorns. 

Texas HC Herman is 16-5 ATS  in non-conference games in all games he has coached with a the average ppg diff clicking in at +22.6 ppg. Texas is 3-1 in the Alamo Bowl, including a 38-10 win over Utah last season. With Herman at the helm of the program Texas is 3-0 in bowl games, winning by an average of 17.3 ppg. 

Play on Texas to cover 

My College basketball Totals/sides projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Sides/Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Gonzaga to cover

My College basketball Totals/sides projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Sides/Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Purdue to cover

The Lakers obviously matchup very well against Portland as was evident in the NBA play offs when they grabbed 4 of 5 games. Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation here with the Lakers as short chalk on home floor. as they enter in top form off two DD blowout wins. Vogel is 10-1 ATS L/11 after 2 straight blowout wins by 20 points or more in all games he has coached .

NBA Underdogs of +145 to +350 vs. the money line (PORTLAND) - off a close home win by 3 points or less, average team from last season that won between 45-55% of their games are 1-24 SU L/24 seasons for a go against 96% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at  -9.9 ppg. 

NBA team vs the money line (LA LAKERS) - off a home blowout win by 20 points or more, good team from last season (60% to 75%) playing a team who had a losing record last year 26-3 L/24 seasons for a 90% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +14.1 ppg. 

Play on LA Lakers to cover

My College basketball Totals/sides projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Sides/Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Arizona to cover

The Bills who have clinched a play off appearance  won 24-21 on Nov. 1 in Buffalo vs the Patriots. The Patriots haven't been swept by a division opponent in 19 seasons, and Im betting the Pats will primed to keep that streak alive, and wont go down without a fight vs a side that may be looking ahead to the play offs and just as importantly staying healthy. Note: New England when they are seeking  a same-season division loss under Bill Belichick,  are  16-0 SU and 15-1 ATS the L/16  opportunities. 

NEW ENGLAND is 7-0 ATS in home games vs. excellent kickoff return teams, more than 24 yards per return over the last 3 seasons.NEW ENGLAND is 13-4 ATS L/17 vs. top tier offensive teams - scoring 29 or more points/game in the second half of the season. NEW ENGLAND is 20-6 ATS  as a home underdog of 7 points or less since 1992 and are 10-1 ATS L/11 as home underdogs. 

NFL Home teams (NEW ENGLAND) - revenging a road loss against opponent, off an upset loss as a road favorite are 90-44 ATS L/37 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on New England to cover

According to my projections the young Thunder do have the guns needed to hang with an experienced Utah Jazz side. Thus laying anything short of DDs,is a viable wagering opportunity according to my numbers. 

NBA Home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (OKLAHOMA CITY) - after a close win by 3 points or less against opponent after a loss by 6 points or less are 19-46 ATS L/24 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate.

Play on Utah to cover

My College basketball Totals/sides projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Sides/Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Northern Iowa to cover

My College basketball Totals/sides projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Sides/Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Illinois State to cover

My College basketball Totals/sides projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Sides/Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Maryland to cover

My College basketball Totals/sides projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Sides/Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Canisius to cover