My  College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

Dayton is in a letdown spot after taking out Davidson last time out by a 65-64 count and now susceptible to a down performance. That last game was a huge paybakc effort, for losing in last years A10 Tourney to Davidson. Meanwhile, St.Louis is much improved and have been playing great ball at home and are my choice here tonight to take advantage of Daytons situation.

Dayton is just 1-4 ATs L/5 off a conference win.

 
Play on St,Louis   to cover

My  College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

Play on Arkansas Little Rock to cover

My  College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

The home team Rhode Island is obviously the better team, but from a matchup analysis system I use , my data has me believing the  line is slightly bloated and their is value with the underdog.

DUQUESNE is 6-0 ATS  L/6  in road games after playing 2 consecutive home games.RHODE ISLAND is 5-16 ATS  L/21  in home games after 4 or more consecutive wins.

CBB  Underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (DUQUESNE) - off an upset loss as a home favorite against opponent off 2 or more consecutive road wins are 24-3 ATS L/5 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Duquesne to cover

The LA Lakers enter this road tilt vs the Bulls  playing decently of late, winning 7 of their L/9 and have been especially good  at home, where they have won 6 straight games. However, you have to remember that this young Lakers team previous to their current top tier play, lost 9 straight , and have lost 15 of 21 road games and I currently feel still don't deserve a great deal of respect at this juncture of their campaign. Meanwhile, Chicago, in what has been tabbed as a rebuilding year, have surprisingly been tough to play against as is evident by covering 6 of their L/7 overall and 20 of their L/26 , and  13 of their 21 home tilts. After a bad outing against the 76ers last time out, I'm betting the Bulls will be primed to bounce back with a big effort here. Add to that the Bulls are also in revenge mode for a 103-94 loss at Staples back on Nov 21 and we have a fired up group to back in this spot play.

Lakers are 5-14 ATS in their last 19 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. Lakers are 2-6 L/8 in Chicago.

Bulls are 8-0-1 ATS in their last 9 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Bulls are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Bulls are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 home games. 

NBA Favorites vs. the money line (CHICAGO) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points against opponent off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as a home underdog are 30-1 SU 21 seasons for a 97% conversion rate for bettors with the average margin of victory coming by 11.5 ppg, which qualifies this as solid ATS choice.

Underdogs vs the money line (LA LAKERS) - in a game involving 2 up-tempo teams (82 or more shots/game), after a game - attempting 20+ more free throws than opponent are 10-52 SU L/5 seasons for a go against 84% conversion rate for bettors losing by an average of more than 8 ppg.

Play on the Chicago Bulls to cover

Both these teams are having sub par  below .500 seasons from a records perspective, but one side  ( Harvard) in my humble opinion shows upward momentum, behind a tough physical defense A IS evident by not allowing more than 65 points in any of their L/7 games, including holding three of those opponents to under 58 points or less. Meanwhile, Yale plays a more wide open style of play, and I' betting they will have their flow interrupted tonight, by Harvard's big men, which will  take . them put of their comfort zone and translate into a non cover and down performance.

Crimson are 10-2-1 ATS in their last 13 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Crimson are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games.Crimson are 9-4-2 ATS in their last 15 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Crimson are 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Yale.

Bulldogs are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall.Bulldogs are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 home games.

HARVARD is 6-0 ATS  L/6 after allowing 60 points or less. HARVARD is 11-2 ATS  L/13 versus good shooting teams - making 45% or more  of their shots over the last couple of seasons. HARVARD is 12-3 ATS  L/15 versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season . YALE is 2-9 ATS  L/11vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% of their attempts. YALE is 2-8 ATS in all lined games this season.

Play on Harvard to cover

Detroit's record is horrendous, and its been a frustrating season for a decent group of young talent. Mercy however, has won 2 of their L/5 overall, and have seen 2 of the three losses decided by 6,2,7 points. Two of those losses came against a strong Oakland squad, and another against explosive N.Kentucky. So despite of their overall record this side is a viable option on this DD underdog line. When these teams played on Jan 5 Wright State beat the Jesuits  by 7 points, and now the lines-makers have added the obligatory home court advantage of 5 points on to that deficit. With that said, according to my own numbers this line is slightly bloated and thus we have value taking the underdog.

Note: Injury update- Raiders Justin Mitchell is out indefinitely ( Personal )

Raiders are 9-20-1 ATS in their last 30 games following a straight up loss.Raiders are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.Raiders are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.

CBB Favorites of 10 to 19.5 points (WRIGHT ST) - average shooting team (42.5-45%) against an terrible defensive team (47.5% or more ) are 41-75 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 65% for bettors.

Play on Detroit to cover

My  College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

California is in a rebuilding season but they are showing a marked uptick in their performance levels as the season has progressed. My own power rankings suggest the Bears are more than capable of covering the number here on the road vs a more experienced UCLA side that is experiencing a lot of injury issues to depth players and is on a current 3 game losing streak.

UCLA is 26-40 ATS  L/66 as a favorite .

CBB Road underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (CALIFORNIA) - after being beaten by the spread by 42 or more points total in their last seven games against opponent after going over the total by more than 18 points in their previous game are 45-17 ATS L/21 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on California to cover

San Diego after a quick start to their campaign have lost 4 of their L/5 and are now dejected after a ugly performance against BYU last time out losing by a 74-58 count.  Meanwhile, Santa Clara are a under rated team, that is getting better as the season has progressed. They are 4-3 in their L/7, but the 3 losses have all come to quality teams, BYU, St.Mary's and Gonzaga, with the 4 wins coming against teams that are on par with their opponent tonight San Diego . With that said, I'm recommending we take the points in this spot play.

SAN DIEGO is 12-28 ATS  L/40  in home games versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 45% or more  after 15+ games .SANTA CLARA is 7-0 ATS   in road games after a loss by 15 points or more , which happened last time out vs Gonzaga (75-60). SAN DIEGO is 0-7 ATS  L/7  in home games after a game forcing opponent to commit 8 or less turnovers.

Santa Clara is 15-5 ATS L/20 in this series and have won their L/2 visits to San Diego.

CBB home team (SAN DIEGO) - average shooting team (42.5-45%) against an terrible defensive team (47.5% or more ), average rebounding team (+/-3 reb/game) against a poor rebounding team (-3 to -6 reb/game) are 55-105  ATS L/21 seasons for a go against  65% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Santa Clara to cover

The Arizona Sun Devils started their season out with 12 straight wins, and were the talk of College basketball .  Since then , they have lost 4 of 6 in conference play, and despite of performing  at a below average clip, are being over rated by the lines-makers thanks in part to their fast start. The Sun Devils won last time out vs a rebuilding  California program  by 81-73 count, but did not cover as hefty 10 point favs and in the process failed to cover for the  7th straight time. Meanwhile Utah is off two straight home wins, and enter this game with revenge, for a 80-77 loss on Jan 7th as 3 point home dogs. Now with payback at hand , I expect the Utes, who are 11-0-1 ATS L/12 in this series to be very competitive in a possible upset scenario. Note: Utah is 3-0 SU/ATS L/3 in this series when seeking same season revenge.  

ARIZONA ST is 1-9 ATS  off a win against a conference rival. UTAH is 25-10 ATS  L/35 revenging a close loss vs opponent of 3 points or less.

CBB Road teams as an underdog or pick (UTAH) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off a home win by 10 points or more  are 147-89 ATS L/5 seasons for a 63% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on Utah to cover

N.Arizona has lost 9 of their L10, but have been competitive vs the spread cashing 5 of their L/6. Meanwhile Montana State has lost 3 straight, all DD losses, and are not quite ready to be made DD chalk, vs a side that despite of a ugly record has not been easy out on most nights.

N ARIZONA is 10-2 ATS  L/12 off 2 straight losses against conference rivals .HC Murphy is 13-5  L/18 ATS   when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%).

CBB Road underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (N ARIZONA) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 75 or more points, off 2 covers where the team lost straight up as an underdog are 61-28 ATS L/21 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Northern Arizona to cover

Arizona remains the front runner for a PAC12 championship and subsequent NCAA tourney appearance in what is looking like a weaker than normal conference this season. Meanwhile Colorado has won 4 of their L/6 in conference action, covering in 5 of those games. Tonight I expect the buffalos will be competitive again vs a Wildcats side off a hard fought win vs Stanford last time out by a 73-71 count and could easily experience a letdown in this spot.

ARIZONA is 1-7 ATS  L/8 when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) this season.

Colorado has covered 4 of the L/5 meetings here in Arizona.

CBB Road underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (COLORADO) - off an upset loss to a conference rival as a favorite against opponent off 2 or more consecutive road wins are 23-2 ATS L/5 seasons for a 92 % conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Colorado to cover

Lafayette is really rolling right now winning 7 straight and are 17-3 on their campaign. Because of their successes the lines-makers are over doing some this line vs a side that has proven very competitive this season.  S ALABAMA is 10-2 ATS   as an underdog this season.

Lafayette HC Marlin is 3-15 ATS L/18  after a game where they made 50% of their 3 point shots or better, which happened last time out vs Texas State. S.Alabama HC Graves is 16-7 ATS  L/23 versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game .

LA-LAFAYETTE is 0-7 ATS  L/7 in home games versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season after 15+ games.

Home favorites of 10 to 19.5 points (LA-LAFAYETTE) - in a game involving two 3 point shooting teams (20/game), after 4 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 40% or less are 11-34 ATS L/21 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 76% for bettors.

Play on South Alabama to cover

Ohio State has played some surprisingly  good ball to this point in the season, and because of their successes are being over rated on the point spread according to my own numbers tonight. The public is all over the Buckeyes. But I'm waiting on them to fade and refuse to follow the consensus despite of their successes to this point in the season. Here a Mark Twain quote that I have always liked: "Whenever you find yourself on the side of the majority, it is time to pause and reflect." –Mark Twain-

and here's another one

It's not the size of the dog in the fight, it's the size of the fight in the dog. 

With that said, I'll take the underappreciated puppy in this spot play. Penn State.

OHIO ST is 2-10 ATS  L/12 after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread over the last 3 seasons.

CBB Underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (PENN ST) - good 3PT shooting team (36.5% or more ) against an average 3PT defense (32-36.5%) after 15+ games, in a game involving two good rebounding teams (+3 to +6 reb/game) after 15+ games are 38-12 ATS L/21 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Penn State to cover

Sharp money attacked this underdog line right out of the box, but now even a couple of points of its highs there is still value with taking the points with Eastern Illinois. Belmont is a fine program, with top notch pedigree, but the linesmakers are over valuing them here according to my own numbers.

Road underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (E ILLINOIS) - off a home loss against a conference rival against opponent off a home win by 10 points or more are 80-39 ATS l/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on E.Illinois to cover

 The Kings enter this game with a little momentum after they  snapped an eight-game losing streak Tuesday, by taking out  the Orlando Magic 105-99 in the visitors role. Meanwhile, the Heat are of an emotional close lose by a  99-90 count at the Houston Rockets on Monday. That game was very competitive  to the very end and a grueling conclusion to  a 5 game road trip , and will now have a Heat side that has not been home in 10 days, and still getting acclimated to their own digs again in a letdown spot. This makes the Heat vulnerable in my opinion, especially on a slightly bloated line. Hey folks, I know the Kings may not inspire bettors, but they are playing better overall ball as this season has progressed and found a spark plug Garrett Temple who had a career best 34 points last time out. His energy and professionalism/work ethic  are spreading through the Kings locker room and translating itself into a nice energy flow for his team. QUOTE: "Garrett has been a fantastic leader for us, and I couldn't be happier for him," Kings coach Dave Joerger told the media. "He is the ultimate professional. For him to have this type of night, I'm just tickled." END QUOTE.

The Heat are 0-10 ATS failing to cover by 5.4 ppg off a loss as a dog in which they led by double-digits.

NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MIAMI) - off a road cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog, playing with 2 days rest are 43-83 ATS L/21 seasons for a go against 66% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on the Sacramento Kings to cover

Stanford has won 5 of their L/6 and covered 6 straight games. Their only loss came last time out, against Arizona by a 73-71 loss. The Cardinal have gotten better with each successive game this season, and despite of being in a letdown situation after their loss to Arizona last time out, I'm betting the linesmakers have over exaggerated the situation by asking USC bettors to lay 10 points. Stanford shown its moxy, and I expect they will find the energy to get us a cover here as DD ddogs.

STANFORD is 8-0 ATS L/8 versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 37% or more  of their attempts after 15+ games dating back to last season.

CBB Underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (STANFORD) - off a home loss against opponent off 2 or more consecutive road wins are 85-40 ATS L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on Stanford to cover

My  College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

Drake is a perfect 8-0 at home this season, and are viable underdogs here in a game vs top tier competition. Loyola Chicago has lost only 4 games  this season, and 3 of those came on the road. Take the points.  

DRAKE is 10-1 ATS L/11 versus very top tier  teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game  and  10-2 ATS versus strong defensive teams - allowing 64 or less points/game.DRAKE is 6-0 ATS L/6  in home games after covering 2 of their last 3 against the spread.

 CBB road team (LOYOLA-IL) - good defensive team (40-42.5%) against a poor defensive team (45-47.5%), hot shooting team - 4 straight games making  47% or better of their shots ARE 16-44 ATS L/21 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Drake  to cover

My  College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

Indiana State is a highly competitive hard working team, that owns a solid 6-1-1 ATS mark in their L/8 games overall, and must be respected here getting points vs a side that has failed to cover 6 of their L/7 overall.

S ILLINOIS is 0-6 ATS   versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 37% or more  of their attempts this season.

CBB Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (INDIANA ST) - after beating the spread by more than 18 points in their previous game against opponent after going over the total by 18 or more points total in their last three games are 63-28 ATS L/21 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Indiana State to cover

The Pistons enter this game on a 5 game losing streak, and are now desperate to get back in the win column here at home in Motown this Wednesday night. Meanwhile, visiting Utah also continues to exhibit inconsistencies this season, and have lost 13 of their L/17 overall. Despite of both teams futility , one side stands out as being slightly superior from a matchup perspective and that is the home team according to my own player to player and system vs system matchup stats/data. In a contest of two struggling teams the lesser of two evils is the Detroit Pistons.

The Pistons SRS is 0.36 ranking them 14th in the league while the Jazz SRS -0.43 ranking them 17th in the league. ( SRS
Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average)

DETROIT is 11-3 ATS  in non-conference games this season.DETROIT is 15-5 ATS L/20 in home games off a upset loss as a favorite which happened last time out to Brooklyn 101-100.DETROIT is 12-2 ATS L/14 in home games when playing 6 or less games in 14 days.

Jazz are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 vs. Eastern Conference.Pistons are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 vs. NBA Northwest.

 UTAH is 27-42 ATS  as a road underdog over the last few seasons.

NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (UTAH) - off a upset loss as a favorite against opponent off a close home loss by 3 points or less are 2-25 SU L/5 seasons for a 93% conversion rate for bettors with the average margin of loss coming by 10.1 ppg.

Play on the Detroit Pistons to cover

My  College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

The Hawks won the first meeting with the Bonnies this season, 85-78, on Jan. 6

St.Joes 'has covered 11 of their L/15 games at St.Bonaventure.

JOSEPHS is 10-2 ATS  L/12 in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) after 15 or more games dating back a few seasons.ST BONAVENTURE is 1-8 ATS L/9 versus excellent ball handling teams - committing 12 or less turnovers/game.

CBB Road teams as an underdog or pick (ST JOSEPHS) - off 2 or more consecutive home wins against opponent off 2 consecutive road losses of 10 or more are 36-14 ATS L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on St.Joseph;s to cover

My  College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

This selection is based on my own projections,  and simple math which tells me this is a  bloated line. Take the points.

CBB Home underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (FORDHAM) - after a loss by 15 points or more against opponent after scoring 40 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games are 53-21 ATS L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Fordham to cover

Saint Louis is played great basketball at home this season, but VCU is the better overall team, and has dominated this series in recent years. All the numbers and matchup stats points to VCU getting us the cover here tonight on the road.

VA COMMONWEALTH is 6-0 ATS  L/6 versus poor 3 point shooting teams - making 31% or less of their attempts .

CBB Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (VA COMMONWEALTH) - a good offensive team (74-78 PPG) against a poor offensive team (63-67 PPG) after 15+ games are 44-14 ATS L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on VCU to cover

LSU has some troubling stats and performance data attached to their resume as they are  ranked 295th in the country in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 14.6 times per 100 possessions and the Tigers are ranked  227th in the nation in defensive rating with 103.5. Yes, Bayou Bengals can light the scoreboard up, but playing pylon D, makes them vulnerable against a solid two way side like Texas A&m , that is exceptional in defensive  transition  allowing   66.9 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 57th in the nation. My power rankings suggest a more than 3 point win for the Aggies.

LSU is 1-10 ATS  L/11 in home games against conference opponents.

LSU is 1-8 ATS  L/9  in home games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games dating back to last season and is 0-6 ATS  L/6  in home games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game after 15+ games dating back to last season.LSU is 4-12 ATS  L/16   in home games when playing against a team with a winning record .

CBB Road teams as an favorite or pick (TEXAS A&M) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite, with 2 more starters returning from last year than opponent are 129-71 ATS L/21 seasons for a 65% conversion rate on the blind for bettors.

Play on Texas A&M to cover

Cleveland and San Antonio are two teams that have been  under performing of late. But one team looks like they care and are working hard to get back on track, while the other( Cleveland ) despite of saying what's politically correct to the media , looks like their just going thorough the motions. The Cavs leader, LeBron James responses to media of late about his team performances (3-9 SU L/12) , have been  positive in nature, and despite of him saying he's playing as hard as ever,  its not translating onto the court, which  is a worrisome situation.  The Cavs biggest issue is one that makes you wonder if their a championship calibre team,  as  they have allowed 119.8 ppg in their L/5 trips to the hardwood, and overall on the season rank 28th in defensive efficiency. Meanwhile, San Antonio are coming off a only their 4th loss at home this season last time out to Indiana, but are more than capable of bouncing back behind a defense, that is ranked No.1 in the league in points allowed and 2nd in defensive efficiency. With that said, the difference maker tonight I'm betting will come via the superior defense and coach ( Popovich).

CLEVELAND is 11-29 ATS  versus teams who make 6 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season and is 4-15 ATS versus horrible foul drawing teams - attempting 21 or less free throws/game this season .CLEVELAND is 1-10 ATS  after having lost 2 of their last 3 games this season.CLEVELAND is 3-13 ATS after scoring 115 points or more this season and is 1-9 ATS  off a home loss by 10 points which happened against  Oklahoma City 148-124.

SAN ANTONIO is 9-1 ATS  in home games after playing a home game this season. SAN ANTONIO is 17-5 ATS L/22 in home games off a upset loss as a favorite which happened against Indiana last time out.

NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (SAN ANTONIO) - off a upset loss as a favorite, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 63-28 L/ 21 seasons for 69% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

NBA Home teams vs. the money line (SAN ANTONIO) - after 2 or more consecutive losses, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) are 35-2 SU L/5 seasons, winning SU by 10.6 ppg for a 94% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on San Antonio to cover

Davidson is currently playing their best hoops of the season, and have won 5 straight games and 6 of their L/7 overall. Meanwhile, their opponents Dayton, in a rebuilding season, are still very inconsistent, as is evident by their current 2 game losing streak, which ha culminated a recent 6-6 run. According to my power rankings the superior side is Davidson, nd they get my backing in this spot play.

DAVIDSON is 9-2 ATS L/11 versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game.DAYTON is 2-8 ATS L/10 after playing a home game this season.

CBB Home teams as an underdog or pick (DAYTON) - after going over the total by 48 or more points total in their last seven games against opponent after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last ten games are 5-24 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors.

Play Davidson to cover

Wisconsin is playing its seventh and eighth road games of the season this week. Only two major conference teams have played more than six road games . This is making this young team tougher and more accustomed to being on the road, which also makes them a lot more dangerous than if they were to have played mostly at home. After  watching Badgers All-American Etahn Happ  ranking  (sixth at 16.7 ppg in Big 10), rebounds (fourth at 8.5 rpg) and assists (10th at 3.7 apg) its become obvious to me this team will jell around him, and get better as this season progresses.

Wisconsin has won six of the last seven meetings, with the one loss coming in last season's only meeting, which resulted in a 59-57 Hawkeyes' win in Madison . The Badgers now  have payback on todays agenda. UW is currently enjoying a three-game win streak in Iowa City and get the nod again to add to a 19-6 overall record here.

CBB Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (WISCONSIN) - after beating the spread by more than 18 points in their previous game against opponent after going over the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games are 57-22 ATS L/21 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Wisconsin to cover

Arkansas has just to be much firepower for a Georgia side, that has struggles on offense of late. Yes, Georgia can play solid D, but its their offensive transition game that most worries me , which makes them fade material in this spot vs this type of explosive side that is converting on  an amazing 49.3%  from the field.

GEORGIA is 3-11 ATS  L/14 versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 37% or more of their attempts . ARKANSAS is 9-2 ATS  L/11  in road games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game .GEORGIA is 0-6 ATS  L/6  in home games after having lost 2 of their last 3 games. ARKANSAS is 10-2 ATS  L/12 when the total is 140 to 149.5 .

CBB Home teams as a favorite or pick (GEORGIA) - a good defensive team (63-67 PPG) against a poor defensive team (74-78 PPG) after 15+ games, after scoring 65 points or less 4 straight games \re 5-24 ATS L/21 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Arkansas to cover

The Timberwolves were riding a  five-game win streak in early January, but have suddenly begun to struggle losing to Orlando and Houston in back to back affairs, before coming up with a big victory vs the Raptors on Saturday. Meanwhile, the Clippers, ended a  six-game winning run  on the weekend with a loss to the Jazz. The Clippers have also  won four consecutive home games and 12 of their past 16 contests overall  and  from a matchup standpoint here on their own home floor deserve to be favorites and are my choice tonight as short chalk. Note: LA also has revenge on board for a loss here to the Wolves back in December, and will primed for payback.

Note: Wolves Jimmy butler is less than 100% for this tilt with a knee injury and may miss this tilt.

NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (MINNESOTA) - hot team - having covered 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread, with a winning record on the season are 31-69 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Underdogs vs the money line (MINNESOTA) - in a game involving 2 up-tempo teams (82 or more  shots/game), after a game - attempting 20+ more free throws than opponent are 9-52 SU L/ 5 seasons and a perfect 0-7 SU this season for a go against conversion rate of 85% for bettors.

Play on the Clippers to cover

The No. 9 ranked  Spartans, have only played two true road games this season, so tonight's conference tilt will give us some more insight into a team, that is being slightly over rated here because of their earlier season successes. Meanwhile, Illinois (10-10, 0-7) is the only Big Ten team without a conference victory, and enter this game in desperation mode, and will I'm betting leave everything on the court tonight, in what I estimate will be a cover.

ILLINOIS is 6-0 ATS  L/6 after scoring 65 points or less 2 straight games. MICHIGAN ST is 0-7 ATS  L/7  in road games off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival  which happened vs Indiana last time out by a 85-57 count.

Illinois has covered 11 of the L/16 meetings here at home in this series.

CBB Underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (ILLINOIS) - a good offensive team (74-78 PPG) against a good defensive team (63-67 PPG) after 15+ games, after a loss by 15 points or more are 34-10 ATS L/21 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Illinois to cover

The Denver Nuggets were focused this season in the first meeting,  between these teams  in Portland on Dec 22. walking away with a solid 102-85 win in a game where they looked like they matched up well vs their opponents. After ugly losses to Atlanta and Phoenix at home lately, HC Malone is on the hot seat, and needs a win here to keep the proverbial wolves at bay. I'm betting he will pull out all the stops here to get his reeling team back in gear here in what is important game for the Nuggets in a few different ways.

Trail Blazers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games.Nuggets are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs. NBA Northwest.Favorite is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings.

NBA Home teams vs. the money line (DENVER) - off a upset loss as a favorite against opponent after a home game where both teams score 100 or more points are 117-43 SU winning by an  average of 6.8 ppg.

Play on Denver to cover

The explosive Rockets take on the feisty Miami Heat on Monday night at Toyota Center  after exerting a lot of energy in back to back wins vs  the  Minnesota Timberwolves and Warriors at home . Now in an emotional let down spot I expect the Rockets may find themselves in a bit of a letdown spot vs a physical side  and susceptible to being upset but more importantly failing in their quest to cover.

HOUSTON is 5-17 ATS  L/22  in home games in non-conference games and is 6-17 ATS  off an upset win as an underdog, which happened vs the Warriors last time out.

MIAMI is 13-4 ATS  L/17 as a road underdog of 6.5 to 12 points .

MIAMI is 15-4 ATS  L/19 versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more  of their shots - 2nd half of the season dating back to last season.MIAMI is 31-13 ATS  versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game - 2nd half of the season dating back to last season.

NBA Underdogs of 10 or more points (MIAMI) - after one or more consecutive overs, a good offensive team (98-102 PPG) against a horrible defensive team (>=102 PPG) are 28-6 ATS L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA team (HOUSTON) - after going under the total by more than 6 points in three consecutive games, good team, winning 60-75% or more of their games on the season are 35-74 ATS L/5 seasons for go against conversion rate of 67% for bettors.

Play on Miami to cover

Nebraska according to my power rankings is being under rated here vs a public team (Ohio State ), that has performed well above expected levels this season. We have plenty of value here backing  the underdog. Note: I watched Nebraska vs powerful Purdue in a game earlier this season, and was impressed by their tenaciousness under the rim and paint, against their big men, and once again feel they will once again not back down in this matchup) . Take the points with the road dog.

NEBRASKA is 11-1 ATS l/12 versus good ball handling teams - committing

 Utah won its last game but not has not won two games in a row  in over a month. I'm betting things wont change this  Monday night when they visits the Atlanta Hawks. It must be noted that on  the season the Jazz are just 8-15 SU on the road, for the leagues worst away record. Meanwhile, Atlanta after a horrendous start to their campaign, has won seven  of their L/ 16 games and more importantly have covered 11 of their L/17 overall and have become highly competitive. The Hawks got shellacked last time out, but this rebuilding franchise has been resilient of late, and are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a double-digit loss at home. In their current forms the wrong team is favored here. Take the points.

Jazz are 3-11 ATS in their last 14 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.

NBA Home teams vs. the money line (ATLANTA) - off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a favorite, well rested team - playing 6 or less games in 14 days are 60-19 SU L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Atlanta to cover

North Carolina  ranked  No. 15  are gearing up into top form at the moment and on a current 4 game winning streak, after suffering a bit of a early season slump. Meanwhile, Virginia Tech (13-6, 2-4) has lost back-to-back games for the second time since the start of its conference schedule , and fade material here according to my current power rankings. Virginia Tech has been outrebounded in five of its six ACC games, with double-digit rebounding margins in three of those tilts  and do matchup well against this type of team.

VIRGINIA TECH is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% this or less on the  season losing SU by an average of 7 ppg. N CAROLINA is 16-7 ATS L/23 after a game where they failed to cover the spread .

CBB Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (VIRGINIA TECH) - in a game involving 2 very good teams - outscoring opponents by 8+ PPG in the 2nd half of the season, after allowing 75 points or more 3 straight games are 9-27 ATS L/21 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 75% for bettors.

Play on North Carolina to cover

Iowa State has revenge on board for a 74-70 loss at home to Texas earlier this season, and will primed for payback in this spot. the Cyclones have been good bets with revenge in the past cashing 11 of 13 opportunities and have won 17 of their L/23 straight up with same season revenge if the loss was by 4 or fewer points.  Meanwhile, Texas came out flatter than I expected after defeating Texas Tech, and  lost vs West Virginia last time out ,  and were sent flying back down to earth. Those two back to back games will see Smarts side even flatter now and susceptible to a down performance.

TEXAS is 2-12 ATS L/14 after 3 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers.

CBB road team (IOWA ST) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent against opponent off a road loss by 20 points or more 63-24 ATS L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Iowa State to cover

Indiana will be in an emotional letdown state after taking on Michigan State last time out, and losing by a 85-57 count. That was a demoralizing loss for this program, as they entered the game on a 3 game winning streak,  and  feeling good about themselves  until the 20 ton boulder was dropped on them. It must be noted the  Hoosiers are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up loss of more than 20 points. Meanwhile, Maryland, is a decent team, that is capable of taking advantage of this situation and viable options in this spot.

MARYLAND is 11-3 ATS  L/14 after covering 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread.Terrapins are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Favorite is 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings.

CBB road team (MARYLAND) - excellent defensive team (40% or less) against an average defensive team (42.5-45%), average ball handling team (14.5-17.5 TO) vs. a poor pressure defense (14.5  or less TO) after 15+ games are 111-66 ATS L/21 seasons for a 63% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Maryland to cover

The Spurs are desperate to get back on track after struggling of late, and will have their opportunity here at home vs a exhausted Indiana Pacers team that has lost two straight while mustering 86 points in both tilts and  on the tail end of a 5 game  Western Conference road trip. Add to that the Spurs have revenge on board for a 97-94 loss at Indiana as 6.5 point favorites earlier this season and you have a motivated side to back . With that said, the odds according to my own power rankings  are weighted sufficiently enough in the Spurs favor  to get payback here at the AT& T Center tonight where they have won 14 straight games.  Recent  top tier non conference performances at home by the Spurs this season also indicate ( 15-3 ATS) that we are backing a solid favorite here.SAN ANTONIO is also  13-4 ATS  overall as a home favorite this season winning SU by an average of 11.6 ppg.

SAN ANTONIO is 13-5 ATS   in home games versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season - Spurs 107.3 opposition 97.5 .

NBA Home teams vs. the money line (SAN ANTONIO) - after 1 or more consecutive losses, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) are 71-7 SU  L/5 seasons with the average margin of victory coming by more than 10.8 ppg. 

Play on San Antonio to cover

Valparaiso is in a rebuilding mode, losing 10 of their L/13 overall . Meanwhile,  Loyola Chicago is in top form as is evident by winning 15 of their 19 games this season. The linesmakers thanks to Vals pedigree and  past successes in this conference  are asking their backers and true believers to lay the lumber here. However, my own numbers make the visitor the superior side, and I firmly believe the wrong team is favored.

LOYOLA-IL is 12-3 ATS  L/15 versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game .LOYOLA-IL is 6-0 ATS  L/6 after allowing 30 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games

CBB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (LOYOLA-IL) - off 2 consecutive home wins by 10 points or more, a good team (60% to 80%) playing a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) are 28-5 ATS L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Loyola Chicago to cover

The Steelers looked ahead to what they thought would be a meeting with the New England Pats, and were left flat lined in their game against Jacksonville last Sunday. You would think the Jaguars would have learned their lesson and remained humble after posting the upset and  Game and advancing to the AFC Championship Game  . But it looks like they have not, as their already chirping in social media about taking New England out this week, and advancing to the Super Bowl. I like the Jaguars , but in no way shape or form do they matchup well against the Pats, and are fade material in this spot at 10 points or less according to my power rankings.
This week I expect the less than gifted big man under center for the Jags  QB Bortles and the banged up rookie RB  Forunette  to struggle mightily against the Pats, and for NEs future hall of fame QB Tom Brady and array of multiple weapons to take the Jaguars out with ease.

NEW ENGLAND is 8-0 ATS L/8 versus good offensive teams - averaging  350 or more yards/game. NEW ENGLAND is 14-3 ATS L/17 when playing against a team with a winning record.JACKSONVILLE is 1-9 ATS L/10 in road games after scoring 40 points or more last game.NEW ENGLAND is 11-0 ATS (L/11 after allowing 75 or less rushing yards last game .NEW ENGLAND is 12-1 ATS  L/13 after allowing 17 points or less in 3 straight games.

Update: No one knows how serious the supposed injury to Tom Brady's hand is, but one thing for sure, its not as bad  as HC Billicheck and company are playing it up to be. This HC is the king of mind games, which makes me doubt the seriousness of this clip to Brady's hand in what was described as  a very light  collision in practice.

New England has won 7 straight meetings in this series at home.

Play on the Patriots to cover

The Celtics won the first two games of the season series with Orlando and have won six straight against the Magic.   Boston has also won 14 straight and 17 of the last 18 against the Magic at TD Garden and part of the reason this line is slightly bloated and offering value for advantage . Boston's a hard working team, that has played valiantly this season, despite of a opening game injury suffered by Gordon Hayward, but in their current form makes them less than viable DD favs, as has been evident in 3 of their L/5 when they failed to eclipse the 91 point plateau. it must also be noted that  Orlando has been highly competitive of late , covering 4 straight and 5 of their L/6 and its also interesting to note that  Celtics HC Stevens is 1-10 ATS L/11 versus struggling  defensive teams - allowing 110+ points/game - 2nd half of the season in his career with the Celtics.

BOSTON is 3-13 ATS  L/16  in home games when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%).

NBA Home teams (BOSTON) - after going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last five games, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a bad team (25% to 40%) are just 4-26 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 87% for bettors.

Play on Orlando to cover

Pepperdine is desperate after 10 straight losses, and with each successive loss the lines-makers adjust their lines to the higher end of the acceptable spectrum, which now favors them covering according to my own numbers .


CBB Underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (PEPPERDINE) - after allowing 75 points or more 5 straight games, with just one or fewer starters returning from last season are 40-10 ATS L/21 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors.

CBB Road underdogs of 10 or more points (PEPPERDINE) - an average offensive team (67-74 PPG) against a good defensive team (63-67 PPG) after 15+ games, after allowing 75 points or more 5 straight games are 26-8 ATS L/21 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Pepperdine to cover

Golden State the reigning NBA champs come into Houston ready to inflict some punishment on a team, that is a direct threat to their elite status. The last time these teams played here in Houston the Warriors took a 124-114 win . The Rockets tried to unsuccessfully run and gun with the champs, and nothing should change in the rematch including the margin of victory for the visitors.HOUSTON is 8-19 ATS  L/27  in home games revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points and  is 0-8 ATS  L/8 in home games versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game .

HOUSTON is 4-17 ATS  L/21 in home games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more  assists/game over the last couple of seasons and is 1-9 ATS  L/10 in home games versus good passing teams, averaging 23  or more assists/game - 2nd half of the season dating back to last season.

Golden State is 6-1 SU/ATS L/7 visits here.

Play on Golden State to cover

Mississippi State is just 2-4 in SEC play, but have been highly competitive behind a top tier defense, that is allowing just  39.4% shooting from the floor. In three of the four losses only one came by more than 6 points and considering my matchup scenarios I'm betting on them making a game of this vs a Alabama side they have revenge against for three losses last season including the SEC tourney. Alabama is just 1-4 ATS  a team from last season looking for triple revenge. MISSISSIPPI ST is 10-2 ATS  L/12 versus good shooting teams - making 45% or more of their shots after 15+ games over the last few seasons.

Play on Mississippi State to cover

Tulsa enters this game in bad form having lost four straight games. Nothing has come easy for them lately, and nothing changes tonight in a matchup vs a Memphis side in top form, after having won four straight games.

TULSA is 2-13 ATS L/15 in home games after 3 or more consecutive losses.

CBB Road teams as an underdog or pick (MEMPHIS) - in a game involving two average teams (+/- 3.5 PPG diff.) after 15 or more games, after allowing 50 points or less are 32-8 ATS L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Memphis to cover

Elon plays their best basketball at home as is evident by a 13-2 SU L/15 record as hosts  with the two losses coming by 1 and 2 points respectively. Now in revenge mode for a loss to William Mary in last seasons CAA tourney, payback is on todays agenda, which gives us an advantage via motivation and home court . The Tribe has lost 8 of their L/13 road games, and are not in a good spot here vs a program sporting 5 returning starters.

ELON is 10-2 ATS  L/12  in home games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game.ELON is 6-0 ATS  in home games when playing their 2nd game in 3 days over the last couple of seasons and is 6-0 ATS  L/6  in home games when playing with one or less days rest.

Play on Elon to cover

These programs are operating at the proverbial opposite end of the performance spectrum, but motivationally speaking Duke won't be up for this game, and I'm betting theirs a high probability they just go through the motions of notching a win on a slightly bloated line that offers value for advantage bettors.

PITTSBURGH is 17-7 ATS  L/24 versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season .PITTSBURGH is 9-1 ATS  L/10 in road games after 2 straight games - attempting 10+ less shots than opponent .

CBB Road underdogs of 20 or more points (PITTSBURGH) - revenging a loss where team scored less than 60 points, off 2 consecutive losses of 10 or more to conference rivals are 44-16 ATS L/21 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Pittsburgh to cover

Cleveland has struggled mightily, of late, and barely took a 104-103 win vs lowly  Orlando last time out, as there looks to be very little motivation , from even key players like LeBron James. But now with this game on national tv (ABC) James will want to make a big showing. He's a great player , but his ego , and ability to speak about himself in the third person, has me wondering where one of the greatest players the game has ever seen mindset is. Wherever his thoughts are one thing for sure is that he wants his legacy to be remembered, and on this big stage, I'm betting he will shine and lead his team to victory in this spot vs a Oklahoma  City side , that they matchup well against  . By the way folks, I'm not down on Cleveland , with so much time left to play in the season. I'm a true believer in this group, as they have the talent to turn things around, and today could be a catalyst to them starting to play the way I think they can. Note: Cleveland D, has struggled of late, but the Thunder has shown a lack of an ability to deal with these types of pourous defenses, as is evident by a 4-16 ATS  record  versus struggling defensive teams -  allowing shooting pct defense of 46% or more  this season .

OKLAHOMA CITY is 7-15 ATS  L/22 versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36%  or more of their attempts this season.OKLAHOMA CITY is 4-12 ATS  L/16  versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game this season .

NBA team vs the money line (CLEVELAND) - after failing to cover the spread in 7 or more consecutive games, with a winning record on the season are 70-31 SU l/101 opportunities winning by an average of 6.5 ppg.

NBA Home favorites of -165 to -500 vs. the money line (CLEVELAND) - after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team winning SU by an average of 10.4 ppg.

Play on Cleveland to cover

Seton Hall is  6-0 L6 in this series and are 4-0 off SU loss vs opponent like Xavier  off back to back home wins. I expect the sell out crowed expected today to buoy the home side to win and cover again.  The Pirates, 15-4 overall and 4-2 in the BIG EAST, boast an 11-0 home record and must be respected as hosts vs a side that is just 3-2 on the road in an unfriendly environment again.

XAVIER is 0-6 ATS  L/6 in road games in January games over the last 2 seasons.

Play  on Seton Hall to cover

 The Jayhawks’  and West Virginia took part in a epic battle this past week that saw the Jayhawks  comeback for a victory in  Morgantown  and will now be in a let down spot  vs  the  Longhorns and Shaka Smart . Considering  Texas  has had this game circled for a long time after taking it on the chin 3 times last season to this program including the Big 12 tourney ,  it will be an easy decision to take the points  here today in Morgantown via a revenge minded squad.  It must be noted that West Virginia has failed to cover 15 of their L/21 playing at home off a loss. Add to that   Smart’ ATS career record when seeking LTKO revenge  is 5-1 ATS and you have a decent argument to back the under rated road team. From a series perspective the Longhorns are 9-2 ATS and are a team that is stronger than most have noticed as the  Longhorns  D is , allowing just 65.4 PPG on 39.6% shooting.  I know many have West Virginia pegged for the Final Four, but Texas is no pushover. note: Texas is 8-1  SU L/9 when seeking triple revenge from a previous season and are 4-0 ATS in the dog role under those perimeters.

Mountaineers are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 Saturday games.Longhorns are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. Big 12.Longhorns are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

Play on Texas to cover

This is a huge game for UConn, and while they maybe far removed from being a final four candidate they still have pedigree and an ability to not be embarrassed here at home in front of their own fans. We all know the explosiveness of Villanvoa, but it must be noted that CONNECTICUT is 7-0 ATS L/7 in home games versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 84+ points/game . With this being Villanova's third straight road game in a 7 day period, fatigue maybe a factor, which gives us some room here to get the cover.
Cats HC Wright is 19-34 ATS  after playing 2 consecutive road games .

CBB Favorites of 10 to 19.5 points (VILLANOVA) - after 3 or more consecutive unders, an explosive offensive team (78 PPG or better ) against an average offensive team (67-74 PPG) are 34-77 ATS L/21 seasons for a 70% go against conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on UConn to cover

Wisconsin and Illinois are both desperate for wins as they  arrive on losing streaks. With that said, I'm expecting both to leave everything on the floor in a game that points getting points as the smart play.

WISCONSIN is 3-11 ATS  when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

WISCONSIN is 0-6 ATS L/6 after 2 or more consecutive unders this season. ILLINOIS is 12-3 ATS  L/15  in road games off 3 straight losses against conference rivals.

CBB Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (WISCONSIN) - off a road loss by 20 points or more, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 24-53 ATS l/5 seasons for a 69% go against conversion rate for bettors.

Play on  Illinois to cover

Canisius has won 7 of their L/8 games are currently in top form and are the superior side according to my own power rankings. Laying some very short lumber on the road makes for a viable wagering option.

MANHATTAN is 2-11 ATS   when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) over the last 3 seasons. CANISIUS is 7-1 ATS as a favorite this season.

CBB Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (CANISIUS) - good free throw shooting team (69-73%) against an average free throw shooting team (65-69%), in a game involving two average rebounding teams (+/-3 reb/game) after 15+ games. are 67-31 L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Canisius to cover

The Pistons enter this game in a slump after having lost 3 straight games, and consistently struggle since point guard Reggie Jackson went down with injury.  Meanwhile, Washington despite of also being inconsistent actually matchup well against the Pistons according to my cross reference power rankings systems and get  the nod here on the road tonight in Motown.

DETROIT is 12-28 ATS  L/40 when the line is +3 to -3 dating back to last season.

WASHINGTON is 7-2 straight /ats against DETROIT over the last few seasons ; Washington won the first two meetings this season -- both came at  home , by an  average 11 ppg.

NBA Home underdogs (DETROIT) - after having covered 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread, in a game involving two marginal winning teams (51% to 60%). are 9-35 ATS L/21 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Washington Wizards to cover

Miami is a big strong physical team that matches up very well against Brooklyn. The Heat's defensive play is above average and tenacious in nature and are allowing  and average of just 98.4 points in their last 20 games.Miami's defensive rating during this time span  is 103.7 points per 100 possessions while allowing  opposition offenses  to convert just  44.9 percent from the floor and 35.5 percent from downtown.  Meanwhile, Brooklyn is a team that usually  struggles against teams like the Nets, with big men, on their roster  ie ( Hassan Whiteside) and according to my own cross reference rankings matchup poorly in both teams current forms. The nets have lost 3 straight and   6 of their L/7 overall, and have lost 6 of their L/8 at home, and now have to face a side that is in top form and out to revenge a ugly 111-87 loss the Nets at home back on Dec 29. With that said, I'm betting on the Heat coming out here motivated and ready to inflict some payback, in a place where they have had good success off late winning and covering their L/4 trips to Brooklyn.

MIAMI is 30-12 ATS  versus teams who make 6 or more 3 point shots/game - 2nd half of the season dating back to the last campaign. Road team is 4-0-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.Favorite is 5-1-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings.

Play on Miami to cover

Indiana has been streaky this season, and right now they are  on a winning streak, of 3 games  and have won 5 of their l/6 SU and have looked good in back to back road games. Now with momentum on their sides I'm expecting another top tier effort vs a very inconsistent Portland side. The Pacers also have the added incentive of revenge on board for a 114-96 loss at home earlier this season to the Blazers. So now on a couple of days rest and motivated to get some pay back I'm recommending we take the points with them here tonight.

INDIANA is 13-3 ATS  L/16  in road games when playing with 2 days rest .PORTLAND is 3-11 ATS   as a home favorite this season.

Trail Blazers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall.Trail Blazers are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Pacers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall. Pacers are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 road games.Trail Blazers are 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 vs. NBA Central.Trail Blazers are 6-15-3 ATS in their last 24 home games.

NBA Home favorites (PORTLAND) - after allowing 100 points or more 5 straight games against opponent after scoring 55 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games are  51-18 ATS L/21 seasons and a perfect 6-0 ATS this season !

NBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (PORTLAND) - after failing to cover the spread in 4 or more consecutive games, tired team - playing 6 or more games in 10 days are 26-6 ATS L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Indiana Pacers to cover

Pacific has won 3 straight games, and are now getting a little bit to much love from the lines-makers because of it. The  Tigers took out Portland in their L/game 66-54 but it must be noted that has not been a good omen for the betting backers of this program, as they are 0-7 ATS  L/7 after allowing 60 points or less  and 4-12 ATS  L/16 after 1 or more consecutive wins. I know Pepperdine is struggling mightily at this time, and banged up, but according to my numbers are a viable underdog in this spot at 11 points or more.

The Waves have won six of the nine matchups since the Tigers rejoined the WCC, including two of the four trips to Stockton.

CBB Road underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (PEPPERDINE) - off 2 consecutive losses of 10 or more to conference rivals, terrible team, winning 20% or less of their games on the season are 23-4 ATS L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Pepperdine to cover

San Diego is the superior team here, but I have multiple team vs team systems analysis factors that project a much lower margin of victory and also indicates a couple of matchup discrepancies which became evident  in a 81-74 loss Portland suffered at home Jan 4th when they covered as 7.5 point dogs vs San Diego.

SAN DIEGO is 0-7 ATS  L/7  in home games versus bad pressure defensive teams - forcing  12 or less  turnovers/game after 15+ games over the last few seasons. SAN DIEGO is 2-9 ATS  in a home game where the total is 135 to 139.5 .

PORTLAND is 10-2 ATS  L/12  in road games after 3 straight games committing 14 or less turnovers and is 11-3 ATS  L/14  in road games after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread and  10-2 ATS  L/12  in road games after a game with 9 or less assists .

CBB Underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (PORTLAND) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off an embarrassing home loss scoring less than 60 points are 84-46 L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Portland to cover

Weber State has been playing some pretty good ball of late, winning 3 of their L/4 and 6 of their L/8 , but in the past they have not been a good bet when rolling, as  WEBER ST is just  1-11 ATS  L/12 after having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games. Sacramento State meanwhile, ended a 3 game losing streak with a upset win vs Montana last time out and now will use that momentum heading into this game to their advantage.SACRAMENTO ST is 7-0 ATS  L/7 off an upset win as an underdog.

SACRAMENTO ST is 11-3 ATS L/14 versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games dating back to last season.WEBER ST is 5-14 ATS L/19 when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games over the last few seasons. WEBER ST is 4-12 ATS L/16 versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game after 15+ games .

CBB Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (WEBER ST) - an explosive offensive team ( 76 PPG or more ) against an average offensive team (67-74 PPG) after 15+ games, after allowing 80 points or more are 71-129 ATS L/21 seasons for a 65% long term go against conversion rate on the blind.

Play on Sacramento State to cover

WSU won the first meeting in this series last season, a 91-89 overtime thriller at Pullman, Jan. 21, then Colorado won the final two, a decisive 81-49 win at Boulder, Feb. 12 and a come-from-behind, 73-63 victory at the Pac-12 Tournament, March 8. WSU is a much better team now and are more than capable of hanging around here and even possibly pulling off an upset . Meanwhile, Colorado is off an emotional 68-59 win on the road at UCLA, and will now be in a letdown situation vs a side I'm sure their over looking. COLORADO is 1-8 ATS  L/9 after allowing 60 points or less in a previous game and is 8-20 ATS  after 1 or more consecutive wins.

When looking at underdogs, I  like teams that can make the downtown shot, because of all the options we have via back door covers. Note: WSU is third in the nation and leads the Pac-12 with 11.9 made 3-pointers per game.

COLORADO is 12-22 ATS  L/34 when playing against a team with a winning record.

At least one of the two meetings between Washington State and Colorado over the last four seasons has been decided in overtime.

CBB road team (WASHINGTON ST) - in a game involving two average teams (+/- 3.5 PPG diff.) after 15 or more games, after a blowout win by 20 points or more are 41-14 ATS L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Washington State to cover

Drexel's record may not inspire bettors , but they have for the most part been very competitive, and must be respected here as DD underdogs, vs what my own line estimates suggest to be an over rated home favorite in Towson.

Towson won both meetings last season, by 4 points and 1 point, and according to my power rankings this line should be closer to -9  thus giving us value taking points.

TOWSON ST is 0-6 ATS  L/6  in home games after having won 2 of their last 3 games .

 Road team is 8-1-1 ATS in the last 10 meetings.Dragons are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Towson.

CBB Road underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (DREXEL) - average shooting team (42.5-45%) against an good defensive team (40-42.5%), after a game - allowing a shooting pct. of 55% or higher are 83-42 ATS L/21 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors.

CBB home team (TOWSON ST) - a very good team (>=+8 PPG differential) against a poor team (-3.5 to -8 PPG differential), after scoring 95 points or more are 41-81 ATS L/21 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on Drexel to cover

College of Charleston is off a 63-58 loss to Elon last time out in a grueling physical affair, that could easily have this team in an emotional letdown situation. Note:Grant is 1-10 ATS  off a road loss scoring less than 60 points Tonight's opponent, visiting UNC Wilmington recently just beat Elon and according to my cross reference system and player ranking matchup well here. I know Charleston has five returning starters compared to the relatively inexperienced UNC Wilmington group, but  my numbers suggest this is a bloated line which favors the underdog.

UNC-WILMINGTON is 10-1 ATS  L/11  in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) after 15 or more games over the last few seasons.

UNC Wilmington is 5-1 SU L/6 meetings and 2-0 SU/ATS L/2 visits here.

CBB Underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (UNC-WILMINGTON) - after allowing 75 points or more 5 straight games, with just one or fewer starters returning from last season are 39-10 ATS L/21 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on UNC Wilmington to cover

The Citadel might not be winning much, but boy are thye fun to watch, behind an explosive offense, 92,91, and 110 points in their L/3 games.  Teams like this make for great DD underdogs, and I'm recommending we back them here tonight vs UNC Greensboro. I know Greesnboro is been winning of late, but HC Miller is just  1-9 ATS  L/10 after having won 8 or more of their last 10 games, most probably because the lines-makers sometimes over compensate for streaking teams, offering up value on the dog.

HC Baucom is 8-0 ATS  L/8 n road games after 2 or more consecutive overs.

CBB Road underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (THE CITADEL) - after allowing 85 points or more 2 straight games against opponent after allowing 30 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games are 31-9 ATS L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Citadel to cover

 Utah State enters this game vs Boise State   in a double revenge situation  from last season. The Aggies have faired well before with revenge in this series in the past cashing 5 straight here in the visitors role.  With  the Broncos off a big game against San Diego State  last time out, and with conference leader Nevada on deck, they will probably not be 100% focused on this tilt and in an emotional letdown state after their last aforementioned battle . 

BOISE ST is 0-6 ATS  L/6  in home games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games.BOISE ST is 8-23 ATS  L/31 after leading their last 3 games by 5+ points at the half .BOISE ST is 2-9 ATS  L/11  in home games after a conference game .

CBB Road underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (UTAH ST) - an average offensive team (67-74 PPG) against a good defensive team (63-67 PPG), after allowing 75 points or more 5 straight games are 31-9 ATS L/21 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Utah State to cover

The Horned Frogs (13-4, 1-4 in Big 12) have lost four of their past five games and three contests in a row and all 5 games have been grueling and exhausting affairs, that could easily have the Horned Frogs play a down game just because of the sheer amount of energy exerted. I know Iowa State is also struggling in the W/L column of late , but they are a viable opponent for all comers in the Big 12  as was evident in an easy 75-65 win vs Baylor last time out. Note" Iowa State has won 4 of the L/5 in this series overall and 4 of their L/5 tips to TCU.

TCU is 1-8 ATS  L/9  in home games vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% or more of their attempts over the last couple of seasons.IOWA ST is 19-9 ATS L/28  in road games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game over the last few seasons and is 12-4 ATS  L/16 versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game. Last year in Fort Worth, TCU won 84-77 on Jan. 14, 2017. It was the Horned Frogs' first victory over Iowa State in 20 years.

Iowa State to cover

Xavier is off a big win  on Saturday afternoon  by taking out Creighton ( after a 2 game losing streak). The Musketeers exerted a lot of energy in that tilt, and may not be as exuberant this time around vs a St.John's side that is better than many anticipated before the season began. The Storm have played hard  even after sophomore guard Marcus Lovett, was injured and lost for the season, as was the case last week against one of the best teams in the nation Villanova (78-71- +12 dog). I'm recommending we take the points here with the underdog.

CBB Favorites of 10 to 19.5 points (XAVIER) - after 2 or more consecutive unders, an explosive offensive team (76 PPG or more ) against an average offensive team (67-74 PPG) after 15+ games. 68-120 ATS L/21 seasons for  a go against conversion rate of 64% for bettors on the blind.

Play on St.John's to cover

The Pelicans, are on tired legs  after, defeating the Eastern Conference-leading Celtics 116-113 in overtime at Boston on Tuesday night. Meanwhile, Atlanta is playing much better of late,  and are coming off a 102-99 loss to the San Antonio Spurs on Monday. The Hawks have shown some fight in recent games and must not be disrespected here as they are  4-3 against Western Conference teams at home this season. In 31 of their 43 games, the Hawks have been within at least one possession at some point in the fourth quarter and deserve our attention as dogs in this spot play.

ATLANTA is 27-14 ATS  L/41 versus good passing teams, averaging 23  or more assists/game. Pelicans HC Gentry is 9-23 ATS  L/31 after 2 straight games where they attempted 90 or more shots.

Pelicans are 7-15 ATS in their last 22 vs. NBA Southeast.Hawks are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 vs. Western Conference.Hawks are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Hawks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.Underdog is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings.

NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (NEW ORLEANS) - off a road win by 3 points or less, playing on back-to-back days are 5-26 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 84% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (NEW ORLEANS) - off a road win by 3 points or less, playing on back-to-back days are 4-27 SU L/5 seasons losing  by an average of 10.2 ppg.

Play on the Atlanta Hawks to cover

Bradely after starting their season in red hot form, have now lost 4 of their L/7 and are beatable in their current form . I know Illinois State has also stumbled , losing 2 straight, but they matchup well from a systems standpoint and get the nod, with home court advantage on their side.

HC Muller of Illinois State  is 16-4 ATS  L/20  after a game where they made 53% of their free throws or worse.

Illinois State has won the L/4 meetings in this series overall and are 15-4 SU L/19 at home in this series.

ILLINOIS ST is 11-2 ATS  L/13 after 1 or more consecutive losses.

BRADLEY is 1-8 ATS  L/9 in a road game where the total is 130 to 139.5. BRADLEY is a long term negative bet as they are  95-126 ATS   as a road underdog or pick.

CBB favorite (ILLINOIS ST) - average 3PT shooting team (32-36.5%) against a good 3PT defense (32% or less), good ball handling team (14.5 TO or worse) vs. an average pressure defense (14.5-17.5 TO) after 15+ games are 85-43 ATS L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate .

Play on Illinois State to cover

Both these teams are struggling, with South Florida having lost 5 straight games and East Carolina 5 of their L/6.The lone E.Carolina win came against this same S.Flordia side by a 67-65 count and another one possession game is not out of the question. From a matchup perspective this line should be closer to a pickem, thus getting points according to my data is a very good wagering option.

CBB Home teams as a favorite or pick (E CAROLINA) - in a game involving two poor offensive teams (63-67 PPG) after 15+ games, after a combined score of 115 points or less are 9-32 ATS for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on South Florida to cover

Dayton is into top form as they have won 2 straight and 3 of their L/4 , with the lone loss coming by 2 points. Meanwhile, St.Jospehs has failed to win and cover two straight, and are a sub .500 team on the season. From a matchup perspective Dayton has the edge according to my power rankings, and get the nod here as short dogs.

ST JOSEPHS is 0-6 ATS  L/6  in home games after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread.

ST JOSEPHS is 4-13 ATS  L/17  in home games versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games. ST JOSEPHS is 4-13 ATS  L/17 off a close road loss by 3 points or less.DAYTON is 12-3 ATS  L/15 after a game where they made 13 or more 3 point shots.

CBB road team (DAYTON) - in a game involving two average teams (+/- 3.5 PPG diff.) after 15 or more games, after a blowout win by 20 points or more are 44-14 ATS L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors.

CBB Road teams as an underdog or pick (DAYTON) - in a game involving two average teams (+/- 3.5 PPG diff.) after 15 or more games, after a blowout win by 20 points or more are 36-10 ATS L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Dayton to cover

Tulsa, after starting the season with a 10-5 record has lost 3 straight games, with their loss  coming  vs ranked Wichita State, by a 72-69 count , showing me their ability to compete against some of the best teams in the nation. Meanwhile, Temple has lost 6 of their L/7 overall, but have for the most part been highly competitive. Even when they have won nothing has come easily. so another closely contested matchup vs a quality opponent is  high probability making getting points a viable wagering option.

TEMPLE is 1-9 ATS  L/10 versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season after 15+ games dating back to last season and 2-8 ATS  L/110 versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game.

CBB Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (TEMPLE) - after going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last seven games, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season are 39-79 ATS L/21 seasons for a 67% go against conversion rate on the blind for bettors.

Play on Tulsa to cover

This tilt according to my own numbers has value taking the underdog . I know Pittsburgh is rebuilding and not  as cohesive as they once were, but this point spread is beatable vs a Syracuse side is also not playing very well as is evident by having lost four straight games.

CBB road team (PITTSBURGH) - off 2 consecutive losses of 10 or more to conference rivals, playing only their 3rd game in a week are 53-22 ATS L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Pittsburgh to cover

On Saturday, the Sooners beat TCU 102-97 in overtime in an exhausting affair and now will  be in a little bit of letdowns situation, vs a revenge minded foe that clobbered them last season by a 81 -51 count. Take the points here with the hungry home team.

Kansas State is 2-0 SU l/2 games here in this series and are 10-3 SU L/13 at home in this series.

OKLAHOMA is 3-12 ATS  L/15 versus excellent ball handling teams - committing 12 or less  turnovers/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons. OKLAHOMA is 12-23 ATS  L/36  when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%).OKLAHOMA is 5-16 ATS  L/21 when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) after 15 or more games. OKLAHOMA is 0-8 ATS L/8 off 2 straight wins against conference rivals over the last 3 seasons.

CBB Road teams as an favorite or pick (OKLAHOMA) - top caliber team - outscoring their opponents by 12+ points/game, after allowing 45 points or more in the first half last game are 39-75 ATS L/21 seasons for a go against 66% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on Kansas State to cover

The Orlando Magic have struggled for most of this season, and are on a 7 game losing streak, but  have been fairly competitive of late with  five losses coming  by single digits with the  average margin of defeat clicking in at  8.4 ppg during the skid. Meanwhile, Minnesota is in top form and off a 5 game home stand where they won all their games. But it's not always easy transitioning in cohesive fashion from a  comfortable road environment to a   hostile one on the road, especially after an extended period of time in your own digs. It must also be noted that the Wolves have lost 2 in a row on the road, and 3 of their L/4 away  and have  Houston on deck next. This combination could have the TWolves looking ahead and feeling just a bit to confident , which gives Orlando a viable chance at an upset and more importantly a cover.

The Wolves have covered only 2 of 10 games as non conference chalk this season. Orlando has covered 7 of the L/8 meetings in this series as dogs.

MINNESOTA is 16-32 ATS L/48 versus struggling  teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game.MINNESOTA is 18-43 ATS L/61 after scoring 120 points or more.

Play on Orlando to cover

Toledo enters this game with momentum as their 6-1 run would indicate and have revenge on board for a MAC Tournament loss to Ohio,(67-66 ) that ended their campaign last season . Overall series history favors the Rockets as they are 10-2 ATS L/12 meetings and have been money makers in the underdog role going 8-1 ATS and once again get the nod on a pickem line. It must also be noted that Toledo took out Central Michigan on the road last time as dogs, which sets up a favorable trend that has seen the Rockets go 13-2 ATS L/15 in road games off an upset win as a road pupp.

Ohio's HC Phillips is 1-11 ATS L/12 versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game like Toledo. Rockets HC Kowalczyk is 28-13 ATS as a road underdog of 3 points or less or pick in his career.

Play on Toledo to win/cover

Louisville is off a run and gun affair that they won vs Virginia Tech last time out by a 94-86 count and now I'm betting they will be in a letdown situation, after that tilt. It must be noted that LOUISVILLE is 0-6 ATS  L/6  in road games after a combined score of 155 points or more were scored, and 9-23 ATS  L/31 after playing a game where both teams score 80 points. Meanwhile, Notre Dame despite of losing key cog Bonzie Colson to injury are still a viable side to back on their own home floor where they are 6-0 SU/ATS L/6 vs Louisville.

Injury update: Irish  G Matt Farrell is upgraded to probable Tuesday vs Louisville ( Ankle ).

LOUISVILLE is 1-10 ATS  L/11  in road games versus excellent ball handling teams - committing 12 or less  turnovers/game after 15+ games over the last few seasons. LOUISVILLE is 0-6 ATS  L/6  in road games versus excellent ball handling teams - committing 12 turnovers/game.

Play on Notre Dame to cover

Ranking  No. 3 in the most recent polls and riding a 13-game win streak Purdue is getting a little bit to much love from the linesmakers here tonight against a tough young Wisconsin program led by All-Big Ten forward Ethan Happ.  Value here on the line.

CBB Favorites of 10 to 19.5 points (PURDUE) - after 3 or more consecutive unders, an explosive offensive team ( 78 PPG or more ) against an average offensive team (67-74 PPG) are 76-33 ATS L/21 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Wisconsin to cover

Utah has not played very inspired basketball of late losing 14 of their L/18 and probably don't inspire many bettors, but they are in a favorable spot here tonight against a tired Indiana side off a desert win vs Phoenix last night. With Indiana now on tired legs and now having to compete in the high altitudes of Salt Lake City the fatigue factor will become key to us laying the short lumber with the desperate home side that is well rested. Pacers are 15-31-1 ATS in their last 47 games playing on 0 days rest.

The Jazz are 8-2 SU L/10 at home in this series, and won and covered the most recent two meetings here. Jazz are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. Eastern Conference.Jazz are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 2 days rest


NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (INDIANA) - after 2 or more consecutive wins, playing on back-to-back days are 39-74 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 66% for bettors on the blind.

Play on the Utah Jazz to cover

Two  Big 12 rivals with identical 11-4 records go head to had tonight in a battle that I'm betting will be closely contested.  Oklahoma State Mike Boyton Jr. is a fine coach and despite of losing 3 of their L/4 conference tilts the Cowboys are a side that should not be underestimated getting points in the underdog role. In two meetings last year these teams, took part in hard fought affairs , and despite of the Pokes losing both contests they were close via a 3 and 4 point deficits. Also with Baylor looking ahead to Kansas in their next game, the Boyz get a break as they catch their Baylor opponents looking ahead.

Take the points with Oklahoma State

The struggling  Cleveland Cavaliers'   prepare to host the rival Golden State Warriors on national TV on Monday. The Cavs have played uninspired ball of late losing 7 of their L/9 overall, but now with the defending league champs in town , I'm betting on them finally coming out here and showing us their ability to play a complete game. Last time out they built a 22 point lead before losing a 97-95 decision to Indiana. That was a humbling experience for this talented group, and now with redemption at hand vs what is arguably the best hoops team in the world, they should be ready leave everything on the floor. When these teams  played on Christmas Day this season, the Cavs actually looked comfortable, and played well in a hard fought close 97-92 loss, and are more than capable of a cover here and SU upset vs a Warriors side on tired legs as they play their 3rd game in 4 nights and 7th in 11 days.

Cavaliers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Cavaliers are 5-2-2 ATS in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.Home team is 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings.Warriors are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

NBA Road teams vs. the money line (GOLDEN STATE) - average defensive team (43.5-45.5%) against a poor defensive team (45.5-47.5%) after 42+ games, average ball handling team (14.5-16.5 TO's) against a good ball handling team (14.5 TO's or less) are 14-39 SU L/5 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 74% for bettors.

NBA Home underdogs (CLEVELAND) - off a upset loss as a favorite, good team, winning 60-75% or more of their games on the season are 60-29 ATS L/21 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Cleveland Cavaliers to cover

Call me crazy but I'm going to stand in front of the Miami Heat freight train tonight. Yes, they have played well of late and won 7 straight games, but they are on tired legs after playing last night in South Florida vs the Bucks  and then had to catch a red eye here to Chicago to play the Bulls , in an afternoon affair. This should have both discombobulated and exhausted ,which obviously makes them vulnerable to a down performance vs a team that is playing only their 2nd game in 5 nights.

CHICAGO is 8-0 ATS   against Southeast division opponents this season.CHICAGO is 10-1 ATS when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days this season.CHICAGO is 8-0 ATS  after 2 or more consecutive wins this season. Bulls HC Hoiberg is 13-3 ATS L/16  in home games versus horrible foul drawing teams - attempting 21  or less free throws/game.

NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (MIAMI) - after 2 or more consecutive wins, playing on back-to-back days are 39-74 ATS L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Road teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (MIAMI) - after allowing 85 points or less against opponent after allowing 100 points or more 5 straight games are 31-7 SU L/21 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Chicago to cover

The Knicks have recently struggled on the road, but I'm not sure we should look at this as a true road game, as their will be plenty of Knicks fans in attendance here in Brooklyn to his afternoon.  Last night  New York choked and gave  up a 14-point lead in the fourth quarter and suffered a 123-118 overtime. I know the Knicks lost, but watching excerpts of that game, showed me this team still has the ability to take down any team in the league , and tonight I expect they will turn the trick vs a side that they matchup well against according to my power rankings. The Knicks  Tim Hardaway Jr. scored 25 points off the bench Sunday and  is looking strong and will make his 3rd start after coming back from injury and should be now in top form as the rust  has worn off. I'm betting on him to be the catalyst in a Knicks cover .

Nets are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Knicks are 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings.

NBA Road teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (NEW YORK) - off a road loss by 10 points or more, well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days are 28-7 L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate.

NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (BROOKLYN) - terrible defensive team - allowing 103+ points/game on the season against opponent after scoring 55 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games are 52-91 ATS L/21 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 64% for bettors on the blind.

Play on the NY Knicks to cover

Both Washington and Milwaukee are very inconsistent sides, despite of having a lot of talent , and today I expect they will partake in a closely contested affair , with the advantage going to the visitor getting points. Washington is a weak favorite as is evident by  their  4-15 ATS  record  as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season and 8-21 ATS record overall  chalk this season. I know the Wizards have played well of late but they don't deal well with success , as they are just  1-8 ATS  after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games this season. Meanwhile, the Bucks are off 2 straight losses, but it must be noted that  HC Kidd is 19-4 ATS  L/23 after 2 straight losses by 10 points or more . I know the Bucks played last night, but they are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 games playing on no rest.Bucks are also 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.

Wizards are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall and have failed to cover 4 straight at home.

NBA Road underdogs (MILWAUKEE) - after 2 straight losses by 10 points or more against opponent after a combined score of 215 points or more 2 straight games 60-33 ATS L/21 seasons for a 69% conversion rate.

Play on Milwaukee to cover

The Minnesota Wolves are a fine young team on a current 4 game win streak, but the Blazers now getting healthy and are a side that must not be underestimated. The last time these teams met about a month ago, the Wolves scratched out a 108-107 victory, in a game that could obviously gone either way.

Overall the Blazers style of play matches up very well against the Wolves, and despite of a two game losing streak are looking good overall, as they had previous to that notched six wins in eight games.  It must also be noted that Minnesota is just 6-12-1 ATS as home chalk this season,  and have failed to cover 18 of their L/23 in this series at home, and are just 2-8 SU/ATS when the Blazers are seeking revenge. Overall the Wolves have a history of short changing their backers at home vs non division foes looking for same season revenge going just 2-10 ATS when they are above. 500 on the season.

MINNESOTA is 4-14 ATS  L/18  in home games after scoring 115 points or more .Trail Blazers are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 road games.

Portland has covered 5 straight visits to Minnesota.

NBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (PORTLAND) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points against opponent off 3 or more consecutive home wins are 26-5 ATS L/5 seasons for a 84% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Portland Blazers to cover

The Utes enter this game having suffered 3 straight conference losses, to Arizona, Arizona State and UCLA, and finally have a matchup that is more favorable to their chances at notching a win and as far as we are concerned a cover. Yes, USC has played some good basketball of late, but according to my own cross reference power rankings the Utes matchup up well against the Trojans.

Utah is  11-2 vs opposition off SUATS previous home loss  with revenge.. Utah's last loss to USC was a 76-59 defeat to the Trojans back on Jan. 12, 2013 in Salt Lake .USC  has failed to cover or win 8 straight in this series and are  0-4  ATS 2nd BB home with revenge.

Play on Utah to cover

NFC Divisional Playoffs

Minnesota has impressed me this season with their brand of smash mouth football, and offensive production. The Vikings rank No.1 in overall scoring and defense and out gained 14 of their L/16 opponents this season, showing us their dominance in the process. They owned the stats battle entering this tilt vs the Saints, going 11-1 SU, 10-2 ATS and out yarded 11 of their L/12 opponents.  With that said, I look for a the Vikings to come out here and move forward  in explosive fashion as they attempt  to host this years Super Bowl, (a first in NFL history).  It must be noted that HC Mike Zimmer is a cover machine going 32-9 ATS lifetime vs non NFC North sides, including an amazing 18-3 ATS as hosts. Meanwhile, New Orleans despite of a strong campaign overall, reverted back to what my early season projections had suggested. Those estimations made the Saints an above average team , but not a over powering one. Their late season  dive I'm betting is more indicative of their true abilities as they were just 2-5 ATS down the stretch and lost the stats battle in the 5 ATS losses.

MINNESOTA is 13-4 ATS L/17 versus good offensive teams - averaging 350 or more yards/game .MINNESOTA is 8-1 ATS  in dome games this season.MINNESOTA is 9-0 ATS L/9 off a win against a division rival.MINNESOTA is 17-4 ATS L/21 after 2 or more consecutive wins against the spread. HC Zimmer is 24-8 ATS in home games  and is 17-6 ATS L/23 as a home favorite of 7 points or less.

NFL Road underdogs or pick (NEW ORLEANS) - after failing to cover the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 15-36 ATS L/10 seasons for  a go against conversion rate of 70% for bettors.

The Vikings are 17-0 ATS /16-1 SU  at home off a game as a favorite in which they converted at least five third downs with the average margin of victory coming 17.6 ppg and average cover by 12.97 ppg.

Lay the points with Minnesota to cover

The Jacksonville Jaguars (10-6)   visit Heinz Field  to play  the Pittsburgh Steelers (13-3) in the Sunday's AFC Divisional Round. The Jaguars upset the Steelers 30-9 in Week 5 as 7.5-point road pups, behind  rookie running back Leonard Fournette who had a season-high 181 yards and two touchdowns . The Jacksonville D, was also out standing  and they all over Roethlisberger, as was evident by the veteran QB throwing 5 picks and getting sacked twice. Note:Roethlisberger was quick to praise the Jaguars' defense this week.QUOTE:"This is one of the best defenses I've ever played against," Roethlisberger said. END QUOTE:

The Steelers finished the season ranked third in the NFL in passing yardage, with the Jaguars first in pass defense.  The Jags also limited RB  Le'Veon Bell to 47 yards on 15 carries n the above mentioned upset they pulled.

Now fast forward to this matchup, and things may not get all that much better for the Steelers here against a team that style wise matches up very well against them. While I doubt Roethlisberger will as bad this time around, I'm betting the Steelers will not have an easy go of it against solid Jaguars D, and   an the leagues No.1 run  offense that when in gear can chew up a lot of yards on the ground and make life miserable for their opposition. Considering what my power rankings and matchup system vs system estimations suggest, a tilt that is a one possession game  is a high probability outcome, which the linesmakers agree with me about. Thus taking a TD+ with the underdog makes for a viable wagering opportunity.

Jaguars are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 vs. AFC.Steelers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games.Steelers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win. Jags are 4-1 ATS L/5 visits to Pittsburgh.

NFL Road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (JACKSONVILLE) - average passing team (5.9-6.7 PYA) against an average passing defense (5.9-6.7 PYA) after 8+ games, after allowing 5.5 or less passing yards per attempt last game are 73-38 L/34 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on the Jacksonville Jaguars to cover
 

The Miami Heat enter this game in good form after having won 6 straight games. A combination of playing against lower tier teams and sides that are banged up culminated in this short handed group Heat group compiling this current streak. The Heat  during their run have been less than overpowering as Two of their victories have  come by one point and another came in overtime. It must also be noted that all six of those games were decided by less than 10 points. Now with a huge target on their backs, the Heat are vulnerable. With that said,   I'm betting the Greek Freak ( Giannis Antetokounmpo) and his Wisconsin travelling circus will be primed to come into South Florida and notch a win and more importantly a cover vs a team they matchup very well against according to my cross reference system vs system and player vs players analysis.

MIAMI is 5-13 ATS  in home games this season. .MIAMI is 0-8 ATS L/8 in home games on Sunday games .Bucks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Bucks are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Heat are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 vs. NBA Central.Heat are 4-10-2 ATS in their last 16 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Underdog is 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings.

NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (MIAMI) - off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as a road underdog, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season are 26-7 ATS L/21 seasons for 79% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Milwaukee to cover

Boise State will primed to take down visiting San Diego State in this spot . Last season Boise State got the living crap beat out of them by the Aztecs in the conference tourney ( 87-68) and now with payback on board will be energized and ready to return the favor here in front of their own alumni.

Boise State is a perfect 9-0 SU at home this season and 3-0SU/ATS in payback mode.

BOISE ST is 10-2 ATS L/12 versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game. BOISE ST is 7-1 ATS  L/8 versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game this season. SAN DIEGO ST is 2-13 ATS L/15 after 3 consecutive covers as a favorite.

Play on Boise State to cover

My  College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

LSU knocked off Arkansas as 10 point road dogs last time out and are now being over estimated by lines-makers despite of being in a letdown situation.

 LSU is 1-8 ATS  L/9  in home games against conference opponents.

Alabama to cover

The Pistons  have lost three of their last five games, but are coming off a 114-80 victory over Brooklyn on Wednesday. Despite of that victory I have not liked the way Van Gundy's group has played overall,  since starting point guard Reggie Jackson, went down with an injury  and are highly inconsistent , even more so than the average NBA team (which says something).  Meanwhile, the host Bulls  snapped a two-game losing streak Wednesday with a 122-119 double overtime victory over the New York Knicks and are now ell rested and ready to use that momentum heading into this tilt. The Bulls also have also the added services of formerly injured guard Zach  LaVine  and are getting healthier as the season has progressed despite of this being a rebuilding year and are my choice to cash tonight at home.

Note: Bulls Nikola Mirotic is upgraded to probable Saturday vs Detroit ( Illness ) .

CHICAGO is 7-0 ATS    in home games versus horrible foul drawing teams - attempting 21 or less free throws/game this season. CHICAGO is 9-1 ATS when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days this season.

DETROIT is 4-17 ATS  L/21 on the road when the line is +3 to -3 .

Play on the Chicago Bulls to cover

My  College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

MOREHEAD ST is 14-4 ATS  L/18 versus good shooting teams - making 45% or more of their shots after 15+ games over the last few seasons.

Morehead State to cover