The Spurs entered the all star break in a slump, and many believe Toronto will be out looking for retribution for a DD loss to the Spurs earlier this season. Yes, the Spurs were slumping and yes the Raptors have revenge on board, but because of this the price being asked on the line a is a little bloated according to my projections. The line I have set clicks in a 4.5 so according to my estimates we have value with a talented San Antonio team that desperately needs to get back on track and won't be easily run over here. Note:  TORONTO is 3-13 ATS  in home games revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.

Spurs are 13-3 SU L/16 overall meetings and are 5-0 ATS L/5 battles.

SAN ANTONIO is 18-9 ATS versus good shooting teams - making >=46% of their shots this season. TORONTO is 10-19 ATS  versus up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots/game this season.

NBA team (SAN ANTONIO) - after going over the total by more than 6 points in five consecutive games, in non-conference games are 69-31 ATS L/22 season for a 69% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the San Antonio Spurs to cover 

 A couple of weeks ago Harvard demolished Brown by a  68-47 walloping.  That was a strange game considering these are the leagues two top scoring teams..  The low scoring domination by the Crimson Im betting was an outlier and that this game will be more true to form, with the revenge minded home team getting the advantage taking points as their opponent will Im betting get caught looking ahead to a big game with Yale tomorrow.       

Play on Brown to cover 

When I look for underdogs one of my criteria is find a team that can shoot threes consistently and convert on FTs from the charity stripe. The Big Green are one of those pups , as their shooting percentages include 71.7% for free throws and 38.4% for three point percentage so far this season. Their hosts Yale, shooting percentages include 69.5% for free throw percentage and 36.9% for three point percentage at this point of the campaign. Yale is the superior overall team, but they do have a big game against Harvard tomorrow, and could easily be overlooking this opponent and if Bulldogs have a big lead , could also easily take their foot of the pedal and allow an opportunity for a back door cover. 

DARTMOUTH is 17-2 ATS in road games after a game where they made 50% of their 3 point shots or better since 1997(which was the case against Princeton last time out in a 1 point loss)

DARTMOUTH is 6-0 ATS after 2 straight games committing 11 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons.

McLaughlin is 8-1 ATS  in road games after having lost 3 of their last 4 games as the coach of DARTMOUTH.

Big Green are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS win.Big Green are 20-8-4 ATS in their last 32 games following a straight up loss.Big Green are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games.Big Green are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall.Big Green are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 vs. Ivy LeagueRoad team is 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings.Big Green are 5-2-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Yale.

CBB Home favorites of 10 to 19.5 points (YALE) - after going over the total by more than 24 points in their previous game against opponent after going over the total by 42 or more points total in their last five games are 19-45 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against 70% for bettors on the blind.

Play on Dartmouth to cover 

Ohio looks like they have packed it in for the season as is evident by having lost 6 straight games SU/ATS. Meanwhile, Bowling Green is 11-2 in conference play and wont let up Im betting until they cross the finish line. 

BOWLING GREEN is 10-0 ATS off a home win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons. 

OHIO U is 4-18 ATS  in all games this season.OHIO U is 1-11 ATS   after 1 or more consecutive losses this season.

OHIO U is 0-7 ATS  versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games this season.

CBB Home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (OHIO U) - an average offensive team (67-74 PPG) against an average defensive team (67-74 PPG) after 15+ games, after trailing in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half are 10-29 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against  75% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Bowling Green to cover 

Hawaii has revenge on board here tonight for a ugly DD loss as 3-point home favs to Santa Barbara la couple of weeks ago and have responded by winning 3 of their L/4 and will be primed for pay back here vs a side that has lost 3 straight games. UC-SANTA BARBARA is 18-33 ATS L/51 in home games versus good shooting teams - making 45% or more  of their shots after 15+ games .Ganot is 11-3 ATS  in road games in February games as the coach of HAWAII.

HAWAII is 9-2 ATS after playing a home game this season.  UC-SANTA BARBARA is 2-8 ATS  against conference opponents this season. 

CBB team (HAWAII) - revenging a home blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more, with 2 more starters returning from last year than opponent are  101-56 L/22 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on Hawaii to cover 

The Sacramento Kings are the type of team that matchup well vs the explosive Dubs, and are very viable underdogs here on the road. Sacramento has covered 4 of the L/5 meetings here in gets the nod again in this spot play. Note: The Kings are 4-0 ATS L/4 with more than 5 days rest. Golden State is 4-14 ATS L/18 after 5 days rest. 

GOLDEN STATE is 9-22 ATS  when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.GOLDEN STATE is 4-13 ATS as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points this season.

The Warriors are 1-12 ATS at home with rest after playing as a road favorite facing an opponent averaging more than 30 points from 3s.

The Kings are 12-0 ATS/10-2 SU L/12 on the road with rest off a game as a dog facing an opponent averaging more than 30 points from 3s a game.

Play on the Sacramento Kings to cover 

This line according to projections is bloated and should be closer to -9 t for the home team thus giving us line value of more than 1 possession , which makes for a viable advantage player proposition. Back on Feb 2 N.Arizona bombed Idaho by DDs, and now the visitors have revenge on board. Im betting they stand tall here, and make a better effort in the rematch and get us the cover. 

 ARIZONA is 2-9 ATS  when the total is 140 to 149.5 this season.

CBB Underdogs of 10 or more points (IDAHO) - after allowing 75 points or more 5 straight games, with just one or fewer starters returning from last season are 55-21 L/22 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. 

Play on Idaho to cover

Top seeded Lafayette was dramatically upset in the semifinals of their conference tourney last by UT Arlington, 71-68 after looking like they would be going to the NCAA tournament towards the end of late season. Now with huge revenge on board I expect  a Louisiana  side that is a perfect 8-0 ATS L/8  when seeking revenge for a LTKO conference tourney loss the previous season to get us the cover here today. I know the Mavs are a strong team despite of being on a 2 game losing streak but the Cajuns are battle tested after brutal non conference schedule , that seen them play  Power 5 programs Indiana, Arkansas, Missouri and Texas, plus top-5 ranked Gonzaga.

CBB team (LA-LAFAYETTE) - after being beaten by the spread by 36 or more points total in their last five games against opponent after going under the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games are 75-27 L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on UL Lafayette to cover 

After a big mid season run Brooklyn has six losses in its last nine games and according to my matchup stats are over matched here vs a side that can easily run with them.The Blazers went into the all star break showing how under rated they are when they dominated the fourth quarter in their 129-107 win over the Warriors at home behind. Damian Lillard scored 29 points. Im betting he will be the key again here tonight in a road victory for the Blazers.PORTLAND is 8-1 ATS  after a blowout win by 15 points or more this season.

Note: Portland owns a 9th ranked  +3.71 SRS compared to Brooklyns 21st ranked -1.22 SRS. ( 

SRS stands for Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average. 

Portland is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings with the Nets and has won their L/2 visits to Brooklyn.

NBA Home underdogs (BROOKLYN) - after having covered 3 of their last 4 against the spread, in a game involving two marginal winning teams (51% to 60%) are 12-38 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Portland to cover 

Two NBA bottom feeders go head to head tonight in Cleveland with the Suns visiting the Cavs.  . The Suns have lost 15 straight games  , while the Cavaliers dropped 23 of their past 27 games. If th Suns lose they will have broken a franchise record, and tonight because of their embarrassing scenario will be extremely primed to get a win.  QUOTE:"Fresh start. We have a stretch of games, very winnable games for us," Suns shooting guard Devin Booker told reporters. "Cleveland, Atlanta, Miami -- so we're about to go out East for the last time and hopefully come out with some big wins." END QUOTE. If there is a game that the Suns can win its this one and and they as a group will be hell bent on getting the victory making them a viable side to back. 

 Cleveland in 19 non conference games this season has seen a averagepoint differential of 14.4 ppg.CLEVELAND is 10-23 ATS  against Pacific division opponents over the last 3 seasons.

NBA Home teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (CLEVELAND) - horrible team - outscored by their opponents by 9+ points/game against opponent after allowing 100 points or more 3 straight games are 12-39 SU l22 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (PHOENIX) - off a road loss by 10 points or more, in February games are 25-7 ATS L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.

Phoenix to cover 

  Greg Marshall’s Shockers basketball program is down quite. few notches this season,  for past incarnations, and are far from the dangerous opponent they have been in the recent past as they're AAC  12-11 SU would indicate. The Shockers have played better of late, but Im sure their in an emotional  letdown spot  after tangling with the Cincinnati Bearcats in a hard fought loss last time out and susceptible to a down effort in what will be back to back road games. Meanwhile Frank Haith’s Tulsa  team is out looking for revenge for a DD loss as visitors to Wichita earlier this month. It must be noted that the Canes are  14-1-1 ATS at home when playing with revenge, and  7-0 ATS in home games revenging a loss where opponent scored 75 or more points over the last 3 seasons. Considering Wichita State is 0-16 L/16 SU in this series when made underdogs  I like our odds here for cashing a ticket on short chalk line. 

Play on Tulsa to cover 

The Razorbacks have struggled a little bit over the past week and have lost their last three games, but overall this team has been competitive and have tremendous talent on their bench thanks to one of the better recruiting classes in the nation and are viable dogs here at explosive Auburn. 

 Razorbacks are 12-13 SU at Auburn, but the 12 wins  ties for second-most by the Razorbacks  victories against any SEC team.The teams split the last four meetings but the Razorbacks have won 10 of the last 12. Head coach Mike Anderson is 8-2 versus Auburn as Arkansas head coach.

In the last three meetings between these sides the Hogs have started quickly and outscored the Tigers by almost 7 points going into the 2nd half.Im betting they will be all over the Tigers again, making them very solid underdogs here in this spot if my projections are correct. 

Some key matchup stats suggest Arkansas must not be disrespected here as underdogs. 

Arkansas is third in the SEC in turnover margin (2.6) and ranks second in turnovers forced (16.48) — which ranks 19th nationally.

Arkansas (1.17) and Auburn (1.16) rank 2-3 in the SEC in assist-to- turnover ratio,

Arkansas (406) and Auburn (379) rank 2-3 in the SEC in assists.

Auburn (9.1 avg) and Arkansas (8.1 avg) rank among the NCAA top 25 in steals.

CBB Home favorites of 10 or more points (AUBURN) - in a game involving two average defensive teams (67-74 PPG) after 15+ games, after scoring 65 points or less 2 straight games are 31-70 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Arkansas to cover 

UNLV enters the game dumping the cash for their supporters on a regular basis of late , failing to cover 6 of their L/7 . Meanwhile, Wyoming is 4-1 ATS in their L/5 games , and viable bets here vs a poor travelling Rebels squad that is 5-6 SU/ATS on the road this season and have failed to cover 4 of their L/5 away.

WYOMING is 7-0 ATS  in home games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.

UNLV is 2-9 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons. UNLV is 9-22 ATS against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.

Play on Wyoming to cover

 Avery Johnson’s Alabama enters this game with one goal and that is to get a win here, because if they lose this game  their tournament chances are probably gone.  After two ugly blowout losses they are desperate. With the Tide playing with a sense of urgency Im betting they cross the finish line ahead of the Aggies and get us the win and cover here tonight. 

( note: TexasA&M beat Alabama 81-80 as road dogs about a month agao and now the Tide have revenge on board)

 . ALABAMA is 7-0 ATS after having lost 2 of their last 3 games this season.ALABAMA is 8-0 ATS  after scoring 55 points or less over the last 3 seasons. 

Johnson is 11-1 ATS  after scoring 55 points or less as the coach of ALABAMA.

 A&M is 9-18 ATS in all home games over the last 2 seasons

CBB Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (ALABAMA) - revenging a close loss vs opponent of 3 points or less, off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a favorite 37-10 ATS L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Alabama to cover 

 The Tennessee Vols come off a lopsided loss vs Kentucky that abruptly snapped their undefeated SEC streak this past weekend and are now expected by the public  to angrily come storming out here tonight  and hand out  a beating on hapless Vanderbilt.  The Vols might snatch the win , but how motivated they will be after that big time clash and negative result is something that Im questioning, as its never easy getting back the same energy levels immediately after having taken part in a proverbial heavy weight battle for any competitor. Especially if that competitor was knocked out and humbled in the process.  Add to that the the price on the line offered seems a little exuberant , considering this is a rivalry game that has seen Vandy cover 6 of the L/7 meetings. I know Im playing physiologist here in my perception of this matchup, but from an empirical standpoint my numbers also suggest we have a  mathematical edge on the line no matter what the  situation and thus offers up line value for advantage players. I know it's not easy betting against the Vols, and backing a struggling side like the Commies but its all about edges, and win or lose this methodology must always be in place in my humble opinion. With that said, Im recommending we take the points. 

Drew is 10-1 ATS versus good passing teams, averaging 16 or more  assists/game after 15+ games as the coach of VANDERBILT. 

Play on Vanderbilt to cover 

West Virginia is down quite a few notches thanks to inconsistent backcourt, from past Huggins program incarnations, while Kansas State is proving that they are a Big 12 contender. Earlier this season, the Mounties lost a hard fought 71-69 battle on the road in this series, and will be primed for pay back here in the rematch at home despite of being short handed and in a complete tailspin. Note: The Wildcats are expected to be without Dean Wade and Cartier Diarra.

Bob Huggins hasn’t lost to K-State at home since 2013, and despite of what their records might indicate are plausible home dogs in this spot. 

Play on West Virginia to cover 

The Bison host North Carolina Central in their home finale Monday (Feb. 18) for Senior Night, and will be primed to perform but according to my projections , the wrong team is favoured , and the line should be flipped. 

 Each team is coming off of a loss this past Saturday. Howard lost 85-81 at home to NC A&T, while NC Central fell 75-71 in overtime at Norfolk State. 

NC Central is a senior dependent side with  seniors. Raasean Davis, Zacarry Douglas, Jibri Blount and Larry McJr.   accounting for 56 percent of the team's scoring this year and 59 percent of all Eagles points over the team's last five game. Im betting these older guys will be key to us getting a cover here tonight behind a D that has allowed 63.4 points per game in 12 conference games. That will be key against a Howard side, that leads the league in ppg. 

Play on North Carolina Central to cover 

 MEAC foes meet as FAMU squares off against SC St.

Florida A&M has won its last three road games, scoring 74 points, while allowing 70 per game.Florida A&M has been playing shut down defence allowing opposing teams to 67.2 points per game, the second-lowest ppg among all MEAC teams. The Rattlers have allowed just 63.1 points per game against conference opponents.Look for their defense and key offensive cogs   Justin Ravenel, Isaiah Martin and Tracy Hector who have collectively accounted for 42 percent of the team’s scoring this season and 71% of all the Rattlers points over the last five games to be the catalysts for cover here on the road. 

Rattlers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Rattlers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games.Rattlers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win.Rattlers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.Rattlers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games overall.Rattlers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 vs. Mid-Eastern Athletic.

Bulldogs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss.Bulldogs are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss.Bulldogs are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.Bulldogs are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games.Bulldogs are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Bulldogs are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Bulldogs are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games overall.Bulldogs are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 vs. MEC.

Play on Florida A&M to cover 

The local rivalry is back on Monday afternoon, with Idaho making the trip up to Cheney to take on Eastern Washington.  Idaho (4-20, 1-12 BSC) defeated Eastern Washington (9-15, 7-6 BSC), 74-71, in the first meeting in Moscow and actually matchup well  in head to head systems analysis. 

IDAHO is 34-19 ATS  in road games versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 4+ points/game .E WASHINGTON is 7-16 ATS in all lined games this season. 

CBB Underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (IDAHO) - after allowing 75 points or more 5 straight games, with just one or fewer starters returning from last season are 46-14 ATS L/22 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Idaho to cover 

The Hokies are off two straight wins vs  Georgia Tech and then Pittsburgh this past Saturday  and  now are primed to play a game they have had circled for a long time vs their instate rivals the Virginia Cavs. The Hokies are particularly motivated here thanks to being pounded by a 81-59 count last month by the merciless Cavs and will be out for payback here tonight. I know its never easy going agains the Wahoos, but this situation offers some clear value based on past trends and point spread  mathematics. Note. Virginia Tech is 15-5 ATS log in its last 20 home games when playing with revenge and 8-1 ATS at home with revenge in the series.Virginia Tech is 6-0 ATS in home games revenging a road loss vs opponent of 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.Virginia Tech is also 13-0 ATS L/13 at home as a dog when seeking revenge. 

Play on Virginia Tech to cover 

I have analyzed the rosters and matchups for this contest and Im now releasing a very viable point-spread selection. I will say its been a while since I bet a All star fromat game, but this one has enough value that Im willing to recommend we pull the trigger. 

Alot is being made of Super star LeBron James side, but the Greek Freak Antetokounmpo and center Joel Embiid and Thunder forward Paul George,Stephen Curry and Kemba Walker (playing at home in Charlotte) are a big strong group with heaps of athletic prowess and will not make life easy for James and company.With Russell Westbrook and Middleton coming off the bench this Giannis group is dangerous and a good bet in my opinion getting points. 

Take the points with Team Giannis

 LUC  after last years huge run that took them deep into the NCAAA tourney has become a distant memory for most, but despite of not being as prolific as last season still   lead the MVC with a 9-4 record . Today they could summon up what made them great last season vs a Missouri State team that embarrassed them back in January  by a unbelievable 70-35 blowout score that stung more than a locker room wet towel to the cannolis.  Now with huge revenge on board   Im betting on a huge effort and payback scenario . It must be noted that Missouri State is just 5-15 SU and 6-14 ATS in their last 20 road games and  despite of that above mentioned victory are just  2-7 ATS mark in this series of late, and have failed to cover 4 of their 5 as  visitors.  

MISSOURI ST is 0-6 ATS in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing 64 or less points/game over the last 2 season.LOYOLA-IL is 21-7 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.LOYOLA-IL is 6-0 ATS  after 2 straight games where both teams score 65 points or less over the last 2 seasons.

CBB Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MISSOURI ST) - after allowing 65 points or less 2 straight games against opponent after 2 straight games where both teams score 65 points or less are 16-42 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on Loyola Chicago

According to my projections Pacific in their current form are the superior side and get the nod here on a pickem line in a revenge scenario.

SANTA CLARA is 0-6 ATS in home games off an embarrassing home loss scoring less than 60 points over the last 3 season whihc was the case last time out. PACIFIC is 9-0 ATS after playing 2 consecutive road games over the last 2 season.

PACIFIC is 8-1 ATS  in road games versus bad pressure defensive teams - forcing 12 or more turnovers/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons and is 8-1 ATS in road games versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons. 

CBB Road teams as an underdog or pick (PACIFIC) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite, off 2 consecutive losses of 10 or more to conference rivals are 41-13 ATS L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Pacific to cover 

The Vols  are 4-point underdogs  in this spot-- which makes  for a greatly value wagering  situation behind the nation's No. 1 team . Tennessee is 11-0 in the SEC and winning league games by an average of 16.6 points per contest, but yet here we are getting points with them, as they face a behemoth public favourite. Don't get me wrong I have all the respect in the World for the Cats, but this is strictly a mathematical play, with a group that is every bit as good as the home side if not better. I know LSU is off a loss vs LSU, and are primed to bounce back and show the world the SEC is still theirs for the taking, but the Vols will not be an easy out, which makes for a viable wagering proposition.The Vols' 23-1 SU record features five wins over top-50 KenPom teams -- most notably neutral-court victories over Gonzaga and Louisville and will not give-up a 19-game winning streak easily vs Kentucky. Note:TENNESSEE is 14-4 ATS in road games over the last 2 seasons.

Play on Tennessee to cover 

 This 5-returning starter Harvard squad  played last night and got a win vs Princeton and are in top form.  These kids play smart, and will be ready to grab a victory on back to back nights and  are 6-2  ATS in the last eight matchups with Penn when playing without rest. With Harvard out looking to get revenge  for a loss in last seasons Ivy tournament 68-65 you can payback will be a priority here and a rally call for the Tide.   Note:HARVARD is 6-0 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.

HC Donahue of Penn is 9-22 ATS  in home games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 37%  or more of their attempts after 15+ games in all games and is 4-12 ATS versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game as the coach of PENNSYLVANIA.

Play on Harvard to cover 

Iowa has had most of this week off and could be rusty here vs a pesky Rutgers side that is capable of upsetting anyone in the Big 10 in their current form.Note: HC McCaffery is 4-12 ATS in road games when playing with 5 or 6 days rest as the coach of IOWA and is 4-12 ATS  in road games over the last 2 seasons. The Scarlet Knights in took out Iowa 80-64 home win on Jan. 17, 2018 and get my support again getting points.  

Play on Rutgers to cover

Eagles enter the game on a three-game winning streak vs Gardner-Webb a strong home team that is undefeated there this season. But Winthrop is a strong enough group to come out of this with a win. 

Winthrop is 4-1 on the road in league play and has won five of the last seven away from home and have to be respected. Winthrop is the league's top scoring team at 85.6 ppg and Gardner-Webb is third at 80.0. 

Eagles lead the  all-time series 22-9 overall and have won 10 straight in the series and get the nod again in a key conference game. 

Play on Winthrop to cover 

analysis to follow-thank you for your patience

Ohio to cover 

 Kansas State has won nine consecutive Big 12 games,  is at the top of the conference standings and are ranked in the top 20. but because of those lofty numbers and stats opponents see a big target on their backs and are coming at Kansas State with a lot of motivation. Kansas, Baylor and Texas came at the Wildcats with some huge intensity levels in each of the last three tilts. The Wildcats trailed at halftime in all three of those games and had to exert a tremendous amount   of energy to come back, and now Im betting all that tenacious work could easily go against them here, vs a Iowa State team that also has endless amounts of energy.The Cyclones are two games behind Kansas State in the standings and need a victory in this game in order to stay in the Big 12 race so they won't be easy outs here. 

 Iowa State to cover 

Richard Pitino's Minnesota  is ranked  13th in the Big Ten in conference  in points per possession allowed, at more than 1.08. The Gophers don't force turnovers, they don't defend FG shooting well and their weak around the rim.  Minnesota has lost its last four games and are down trending in my power rankings making desperate Indiana a pick here for today getting points. 

INNESOTA is 7-23 ATS  versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons .

CBB Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (INDIANA) - after being beaten by the spread by 48 or more points total in their last ten games against opponent after going under the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games are 42-14 ATS L/22 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Indiana to cover 

THE CITADEL is 10-2 ATS in road games revenging a same season loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.W CAROLINA is 1-8 ATS  in home games after 2 straight games with 9 or less offensive rebounds over the last 3 seasons.HC Baucom is 1-8 ATS versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game as the coach of THE CITADEL.

THE CITADEL is 11-3 ATS  in road games versus good shooting teams - making 45% or more of their shots after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons.W CAROLINA is 11-22 ATS versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons.

CBB Home teams as an underdog or pick (W CAROLINA) - after going over the total by 48 or more points total in their last seven games against opponent after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last ten games are 9-38 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

767 Citadel to cover /win

The Aggies (10-3, 3-8) have rebounded with consecutive victories including 3 straight covers and have  been competitive in recent losses to Ole Miss and Tennessee.  Today in this  Southeastern Conference basketball battle Im betting the Texas A&M  are primed to be competitive here today vs a South Carolina side that my power ranking suggest they matchup well against. Im betting senior post Christian Mekowulu, who has recorded 30 points and 25 rebounds in the last two games to be the key to this game and a Aggies cover.

623 Texas A&M  to cover 

 Auburn goes into Nashville today play Vanderbilt early start Saturday tipoff at Memorial Gymnasium . Bruce Pearl’s squad off a tough loss vs Ole Miss last time  could easily find themselves in a letdown spot vs a 0-12 conference  team that they maybe overlooking  . But  hold your horses , as Bryce Drew’s bottom feeders wont just lay over and die, like some think they will as they are  27-9 SU , including 9-1 SUATS the last ten meetings in this series and must not be underestimated as home dogs . Note:AUBURN is 0-6 ATS  in road games after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 2 seasons.

Play on Vanderbilt to cover 

Oklahoma (15-10, 3-9 Big 12) travels to Fort Worth for a Saturday morning showdown with TCU (17-7, 5-6 Big 12). In the recent past these two teams have battled in closely contested affairs. The last three meetings between OU and TCU have been decided by a combined six points with the Sooners escaping with victories in all three  and Im betting on a repeat performance here today in this high noon showdown. 

OU has recorded a 22-4 all-time record vs TCU and has won 14 of the last 17 meetings. OU leads the series 11-3 since the Frogs joined the Big 12 in 2012.Oklahoma is also 9-2 when taking on the Horned  Frogs on the road in Fort Worth.

OKLAHOMA is 12-3 ATS versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season.OKLAHOMA is 16-6 ATS  in all games this season. 

CBB Road teams as an underdog or pick (OKLAHOMA) - off 3 straight losses against conference rivals, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team are 69-32 ATS L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on on Oklahoma to cover 

The second place Wright State  hosts the first place Northern Kentucky Norse to the WSU Nutter Center Friday night.The Raiders, are currently riding a three-game winning streak and have won seven of the last eight. The Raiders are 11-2 overall and 5-1 in league games at home and haven't lost at the Nutter Center since the overtime slip to UIC on Dec. 28. The visiting the Norse won the first meetings between these rivals by a  68-64  count at NKU on Jan. 11. In that game  and will be primed for revenge. The Raiders won both meetings last year, 69-67 at home, and 84-81 at Northern.

WRIGHT ST is 11-0 ATS  versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons. Nagy is 25-8 ATS in home games in February games in all games he has coached since 1997.

CBB underdog (N KENTUCKY) - excellent shooting team (47.5% or more ) against an poor defensive team (45-47.5)  are 37-74 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 67% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on Wright State to cover 

 Marist has four of the MAAC's top 12 in three-point %: Isaiah Lamb (5th, .421); David Knudsen (7th, .413); Ryan Funk (11th, .390); and Aleksandar Dozic (12th, .385 and can hang with Quinnipac MAAC leading 3 point totals (10.3 per game)

CBB  A favorite (QUINNIPIAC) - off an upset win as an underdog, on Friday nights are 46-80 ATS  L/5 seasons for go against 64% conversion rate for bettors. 

Marist to cover 

 Brown is a team that must be respected when they have revenge on board behind 5-returning-starters in their lineup.Brown ranks second in the Ivy League in scoring offense (75.1 ppg), scoring defense (68.9 ppg) and field goal defense (.414), while leading the league in 3-point FG defense (.301).Last season this group took a couple  of losses vs Cornell and will now be out get some payback, Meanwhile, the Big Red, are  3-9 SU this season vs winning teams like Brown of late and in the past have been a bankroll draining  8-23 ATS in this series .

Play on Brown to cover 

After winning a pair of road games last weekend at Rider and Saint Peter's, the GoldenGriffins return home this weekend for a pair of MAAC games on well rested legs. The Griffs beat Fairfield 73-68 earlier this season, and matchup well against them and have the edge here at home in the rematch.  

FAIRFIELD is 1-8 ATS  versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 4+ points/game this season.

CBB Road underdogs of +145 to +350 vs. the money line (FAIRFIELD) - in a game involving two poor defensive teams (45-47.5%), after a game where a team made 20% of their 3 point shots or worse are 4-58 SU L/5 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at -11 ppg. 

Play on Canisius to cover 

 San Diego is a solid team with 4 returning starters back from last season, and have shown flashes of brilliance this season. With revenge on board for a being knocked out of their conference tourney vs BYU last season they will come here primed to give back some  payback. 

The  Cougars are a god awful 2-8 ATS in  away games from Provo this season. BYU is 1-7 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.BYU is 1-11 ATS   in road games after having won 4 of their last 5 games over the last 3 seasons.

San Diego to cover 

The Pelicans looked horrendous in a ugly effort vs Oralndo last time out, as the team as a whole stunk out the place as they showed their displeasure in having tp play alongside  super star Anthony Davis , a ego that isn't  really interested in being a part of this group.   Davis himeslef had the second-lowest point total of his seven-year career in games in which he has played 20 or more minutes. He had two points in 20 minutes against Toronto as a rookie.Davis had just three points on 1-of-9 shooting and in 24 minutes of the Pelicans nasty 118-88 home loss to Orlando on Tuesday. However, now after being embarrassed I expect Davis will come out here like his hairs on fire and in effort to keep pace with Westbook and company tonight, and for his teammates at least temporarily come to life behind him in an effort to take down a red hot Oklahoma City team. The Pelicans have covered 4 of the L/6 meetings in this series and my choice getting points tonight.

It must be noted that the Pelicans are 12-0 ATS L/12 off a loss in a home game. 

Donovan is 8-21 ATS in road games after covering 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread as the coach of OKLAHOMA CITY.

NBA Home underdogs (NEW ORLEANS) - revenging a road loss vs opponent, off an upset loss by 15 points or more as a favorite are 54-22 ATS L/22 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Home underdogs (NEW ORLEANS) - off an upset loss as a home favorite, second half of the season are 45-17 ATS L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on New Orleans to cover 

The Hornets have beaten the Magic 13 times in a row, including six straight at Orlando and Im betting if they lose tonight they won't go down without a fight and actually matchup well vs a Orlando team that despite of playing well at the moment are far from consistent. It must also be noted that the Magic: 1-16 L17 as division home favs and just don't inspire me.The Magic  in their two meetings this season vs Charlotte were horrendous from down beyond the arc going a combined 16-for-66 (24.2 percent) and Im betting their inability to pop and  stop from downtown vs this Hornets group will be their downfall again. Note: ORLANDO is 7-17 ATS  as a home favorite over the last 2 seasons.

The Magic are 0-10 ATS/1-9 SU at home when the line is within 3 of pick with less than two days rest off a road game in which they had assists on at least 70 percent of their field goals with the only SU win coming by 2 points.  The Magic are 0-11 ATS/SU at home with rest off a win facing an opponent averaging less than 6 refereed turnovers per game. 

Play on Charlotte to cover 

After winning three straight and four of the last five games with a pair of upsets over Top 25 teams Illinois is gaining respect, but the Illini still don't have a true road victory and are  0-6 in visitors role this season. With that said, Im betting Illinois road troubles will continue vs a Ohio State team up trending and  on a 3 game win streak, The Buckeyes took the first game in this series this season by 10 points on the road, and are capable of turning the trick again as -8 chalk as hosts. 

ILLINOIS is 8-18 ATS in road games versus good shooting teams - making 45% or better of their shots over the last 3 seasons with the point diff clicking in at -10.2 ppg.

ILLINOIS is 2-9 ATS in road games after 1 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons with the average point differential -10.8 ppg. 

CBB underdog vs. the money line (ILLINOIS) - off 2 consecutive home wins by 5 points or less against opponent off a close road win by 3 points or less are 0-44 SU L/22 seasons with the average margin loss differential clicking in at -12.2 ppg.

Play on Ohio State to cover 

A Valentine's Day showdown between the College of Charleston (20-6, 9-4 CAA) and Hofstra (21-4, 11-1) will showcase the Colonial Athletic Association's schedule today.Charleston has rattled off six-straight victories since its mid-January 0-2 road trip to Northeastern and Hofstra and are playing their very best hoops at home as is evident by a 11-1 mark here, as compared to Hofstras 7-4 road record. CofC is 4-2 lifetime when playing at home in the series and get the nod again. 

Play on College of Charleston to cover 

Colorado has big time revenge on board tonight for a ugly 83-61 loss at Tempe  last month and will be very motivated to get some payback vs an Arizona State side off an emotional win vs Washington last time out and could easily be in letdown spot. With that said, Im betting a energized group of Buffaloes now playing their best hoops of the season will avenge that previous loss and extend their current 3 game win streak.CU is 7-1 all-time against the Sun Devils in Boulder, including four straight wins.

ARIZONA ST is 5-17 ATS off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.Hurley is 11-21 ATS  in road games against conference opponents as the coach of ARIZONA ST.

ARIZONA ST is 4-13 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 45% or more of their shots after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.COLORADO is 6-0 ATS  in home games after playing 2 consecutive games as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.COLORADO is 8-1 ATS in a home game where the total is 145 to 149.5 over the last 2 seasons.Boyle is 18-4 ATS  in a home game where the total is 145 to 149.5 as the coach of COLORADO.

Play on Colorado to cover 

Denver plays its best basketball at home  and are 24-4 SU &  20-8 ATS as hosts  this season coming into this tilt vs Sacramento. Meanwhile, the Kings while looking very competitive this season do not match up well on the road vs teams that can run and gun with them like Denver can as is evident by the following trend.SACRAMENTO is 1-8 ATS in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 230 this season with the average point differential -14.3 ppg. Also DENVER is 18-8 ATS  in home games versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season with the average differential of +12.1 ppg. 

DENVER is 15-2 ATS  in home games after 1 or more consecutive wins this season (Denver beat Miami 103-87 here in the MileHigh City last time out)

The Kings are 0-15 ATS /0-15 SU on the road off a game as a favorite facing an opponent averaging more than 24 assists per game.The Nuggets are 13-0 ATS/ SU as a home favorite off a win after a game with 8+ lead changes and it is before the All-Star break. 

Play on Denver Nuggets to cover 

 Miami has been struggling of late , but must not be underestimated in their ability to cover or pull off an upset here vs a Dallas team that is highly inconsistent despite of of the accolades it gets from the media for having a rising star in their lineup , Luka Doncic. With this being both teams last game before the all star break I expect a spirited affair that will see getting points to be a golden proposition. 

MIAMI is 21-9 ATS  vs. teams who are called for 2+ less fouls/game than their opponents over the last 3 seasons.MIAMI is 31-17 ATS  in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

MIAMI is 16-4 ATS in road games after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games over the last 2 seasons.MIAMI is 31-19 ATS  as a road underdog over the last 2 seasons.MIAMI is 19-7 ATS  against Southwest division opponents over the last 3 seasons and 17-7 ATS on the road in non conference games. Spoelstra is 23-8 ATS in road games after playing 4 consecutive road games as the coach of MIAMI.The Heat are 9-0 ATS  on the road when the line is within 3 of pick with rest off a loss in which they had at least 30% of their points from threes.

NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (MIAMI) - off a road loss by 10 points or more, in February games are 24-7 ATS L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Road teams (MIAMI) - in non-conference games, off 3 or more consecutive road losses are 45-19 ATS for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Miami Heat to cover 

The Chicago Bulls will be motivated to avoid a winless home stand vs a side that they matchup well against when they host the Memphis Grizzlies on Wednesday night.The Grizzlies will be playing on short rest after losing 108-107 to the visiting San Antonio Spurs on Tuesday night and now exhausted and in a letdown spot are susceptible to a down effort vs a Chicago side that went 2-0 against the Grizzlies last season, with both wins coming by single digits. The lines-makers once again expect a close game, but my own projections estimate that the Bulls should be 3 point chalk here at home, which give credence to me backing the Bulls in this spot play. Note: Mike Conley's status for this game is questionable as he suffers with a undisclosed illness. 

MEMPHIS is 4-13 ATS off a loss against a division rival over the last 2 seasons.

 The Bulls are 18-0 ATS /16-2 SU when the line is within 3 of pick off a loss as a dog when they won 2 straight vs current opponent and it is before the All-Star break.

NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (CHICAGO) - average 3PT shooting team (33-36.5%) against an average 3PT defense (33-36.5%) after 42+ games, good ball handling team (14.5 or less TO) vs. an average pressure defense (14.5-16.5 TO) after 42+ games are 105-26 L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Chicago to cover 

 After a fast start to their current campaign that saw them go 13-1 SU NC State with the easiest non conference schedule in the nation has cooled off quite a bit. ,  losing 6 of their L/9 while covering just twice during that time. Considering the series host is just 2-7-1 ATS  I wont be surprised when Boheim and company cover and or pull off the SU upset vs a side that has become very inconsistent. Note:  North Carolina State won the first meeting between the teams under new head coach Kevin Keatts, winning 74-70 in the Carrier Dome last year, and now the visitors will have the extra motivation of looking for payback here.

Matchup analysis: North Carolina State full-court defense and transition offense Im betting will have some issues  when they push the tempo vs Syracuse methodical 2-3 zone. The Wolfpack can fight for rebounds in the offensive zone, but   they are one of ACC’s  worst defensive rebounding teams and that's where Im betting they will get in trouble.

Play on Syracuse to cover  

Orlando is playing decently and have won their first two games of their current 3 game road trip and 3 in a row, but are still a team that is far from being considered a upper tier team, and not a group that have proven long term consistent upward trajectory status. Meanwhile, their hosts tonight the Pelicans, are off a loss last time out, to the Grizzlies, in a ugly game (99-90), on the 10th of Feb, but should now be well rested and ready to rebound, as they become acclimated to having super star Anthony Davis back in the lineup.

Pelicans are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up loss.Pelicans are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 Tuesday games.Pelicans are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss.Pelicans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. Eastern Conference.

The Magic are 0-16 ATS/SU  with rest off a win when they are facing a team that is averaging less than 6 refereed turnovers per game.

Magic are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Magic are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 vs. Western Conference.

NBA Road underdogs (ORLANDO) - after a road game where both teams score 100 or more points, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a losing team are 19-48 ATS L/5 seasons for a 71% go against conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the New Orleans Pelicans to cover 

Up-trending St. Bonaventure travels to Philadelphia looking for a sweep of this year's series with Saint Joseph's Tuesday night.St. Bonaventure has won its last three Atlantic 10 road games, winning at UMass, Richmond and Duquesne.St. Bonaventure dominated St.Josephs in the first game and  led from start to finish  by a final score of 73, 47. Now St.Josephs is being made home favs here. While they might want revenge, St.Josephs looks like they don't matchup well vs this current group of Bonnies and in my opinion false favorites. The Bonnies have won the last nine of the last 10 meetings and get the nod again.

 .ST BONAVENTURE is 6-0 ATS as a road underdog of 3 points or less or pick over the last 3 seasons

CBB underdog (ST BONAVENTURE) - in a game involving two average defensive teams (42.5-45%) after 15+ games, after a game where a team made 33% of their shots or worse are 62-25 ATS L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on St.Bonaventure to cover 

Purdue  currently on a 8 game win streak held Maryland to 28.6 percent shooting in second half of 62-60 win on Dec. 6. That matchup showed me how well the Boilermakers matchup against Maryland and gives me credence backing them to win and cover here tonight on the road in the rematch . Also since that victory All of the data shows 12th-ranked Purdue is a different team than when its Dec. 6 win over Maryland and could be even more ferocious this time around. Purdue  has won the last 5 meetings in this series.

Note: Maryland has not scored more than 70 points in over a month which is not a good omen vs a  Purdue side that  is ranked fourth nationally in offensive efficiency.

Maryland is ranked last in the Big 10 in turnover diff. 

Purdue has won three straight Big Ten road games by a combined 25 points.

PURDUE is 11-3 ATS  vs. dominant rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 7+ per game over the last 3 seasons.( Maryland is ranked No.1 in Big 10 rebounding margin at 8.9 pg)

Play on Purdue to cover 

Both these teams are struggling but according to my power rankings and system vs system data, the visitors are actually the superior team on a short line. My personal line for this game makes the wrong team the favorite in this spot play.

Play on Arkansas Pine Bluff to cover 

 Milwaukee's star player Giannis Antetokounmpo is suffering with some knee pain, and despite of  being expected to play tonight is less than 100%. The last time out the Bucks struggled in a home loss to the Orlando Magic and blamed it on tired legs. Well Im sure that was true, but another truth is that the Bucks have come at opponents relentlessly this season and are not pacing themselves and I wont be surprised if that comes back to haunt them again tonight. 

Bulls are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Central.Bulls are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Bulls are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.

NBA Favorites of 10 or more points (MILWAUKEE) - an excellent offensive team (102 or more  PPG) against a horrible defensive team (102 or more PPG), after scoring 90 points or less are just 7-26 L/5seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Chicago Bulls to cover 

The Mavs  are exhausted after a tenacious come from behind win vs Portland last night  which is not a good omen vs a Houston side hell bent on revenge for a earlier loss to the Mavericks this season. It must be noted that the Mavericks have lost 10 straight games when playing without rest against same-season avenging side and are just 0-8 SU and 1-7 ATS as a road dog without rest after facing the Blazers. With that said, a combination and exhaustion and revenge will be the key  us getting the cover here laying DDs. 

Play on the Houston Rockets to cover 

Roy Williams North Carolina's  owns an explosive offence that can hang with Virginias offence and also give hem issues defensively, much like Duke proved last Saturday when they took out Cavs in front of their own fans. Here on the road, vs the Tar Heels, an emotionally spent  Cavaliers will once again find themselves in trouble in a very unfriendly atmosphere. Add to that   the Tar Heels have revenge on board for a 71-63 loss to Virginia in the 2018 ACC Championship game and  Im betting you have a recipe for the Cavs suffering their second consecutive loss. 

Home team is 10--1 ATS L/11 meetings in this series.

N CAROLINA is 6-0 ATS in home games vs. top caliber teams - outscoring their opponents by 12+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons and is 10-1 ATS  in home games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons. 

NC is  18-1 SU as a host i in this series when they own a win percentage of .666 or greater.

N CAROLINA is 6-0 ATS  in home games when playing with one or less days rest over the last 3 seasons. 

Play North Carolina to cover 

Im betting on Miami hanging tough here vs this explosive Golden State team, based on my power ranking projections. There is value on this underdog line and we must always follow long term edges, win or lose. Look for  Hassan WhiteSide who has recorded a double-double in each of the last four games and is shooting 67.3 percent from the floor in these tilts to be a key factor here tonight in making this alot more physical than the Warriors would like.

 MIAMI is 32-17 ATS  in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons. MIAMI is 16-5 ATS  in road games versus sub par defensive teams - allowing 110+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.MIAMI is 8-0 ATS   after failing to cover 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread over the last 3 seasons. HC Spoelstra is 41-25 ATS  in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game as the coach of MIAMI. 

The Heat are 14-1-1 ATS L/16 as a dog with less than two days rest off a road game facing an opponent averaging more than 45 rebounds per game.The Warriors are 1-13-1 ATS  at home off a win as a favorite facing an opponent averaging more than 45 rebounds per game.The Warriors are 0-9-1 ATSL/10 as a home 8+ favorite with rest off a 10+ win in a road game facing an opponent with an assist-to-turnover ratio greater than 1.5. 

Play on Miami to cover 

Stanford  currently on a three game win streak earned a 35-point win (96-61) at Maples Pavilion in the lone meeting last season and you can bet Altman and company have had this game circled on their calendars for a while and will be prepared to return the favour in front of their own fans . Im betting Oregon winners of 3 of their L/4 overall get their revenge and cover according to my own projections that suggest the Ducks are being under valued as favs.  My line is  -8 points favouring Oregon on their own home floor. 

Under coach Dana Altman, Oregon has a 52-21 record (.712) during the second half of Pac-12 play.

STANFORD is 0-6 ATS  off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.OREGON is 10-0 ATS in home games off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.

Play on Oregon to cover 

Northwestern enters this game  having limited opponents to shooting just 29.1 percent from beyond the arc this season, the best mark in the conference and 12th best nationally. Iowa their Big 10 hosts tonight have made 37.3%  of their three-point attempts and has attempted the fourth-most threes in the conference. This Im betting will be key to Northwestern staying close vs Hawkeyes' big town town game.

My own projections estimate that Northwestern will score 67+ points or more, whihc sets up well for us covering, as NORTHWESTERN is 9-1 ATS in road games when they score 67 to 74 points in a game over the last 3 seasons.

CBB underdog (NORTHWESTERN) - in a game involving two average defensive teams (42.5-45%) after 15+ games, after a game where a team made 33% of their shots or worse are 61-25 ATS L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Northwestern to cover 

 The Lakers looked good in a win vs the Boston Celtics 3 days ago as underdogs, and now with some momentum on their sides, Im betting Philadelphia will have to play hard to take the Lakers out here , especially if  key player Joel Embiid does not play because of illness. Thus getting points here with the Lakers is a viable opportunity to cash a ticket. Add to that the Lakers have revenge on board for a loss they suffered in LA 121-105, and we have a nice revenge situation to bet into.

 The Lakers are 12-0 ATS L/12 off a game as a dog in which their opponent made at least 10 more free throws and are are 11-0 ATS on the road with rest off a win as a road dog after scoring 15+ points more than Vegas projected. 

The Seventysixers are 1-14 ATS L/15 with less than two days rest off a home game in which they had more than 10 refereed turnovers.

LA LAKERS are 8-1 ATS  in road games after allowing 120 points or more this season

LA LAKERS are 15-7 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record this season. PHILADELPHIA is 11-20 ATS  versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 free or less throws/game this season.PHILADELPHIA is 2-11 ATS  after playing 2 consecutive home games this season.

Underdogs (LA LAKERS) - revenging a home loss vs opponent, off a road win are 153-95 ATS L/5 seasons for a 62% conversion rate for bettors.

Lakers to cover 

 The UMBC   (14-10, 6-3 America East) looks for its third consecutive road win in America East when they  go against the inconsistent Maine Black Bears (5-19, 3-6) this Sunday. UMBC had a 5 game losing streak come to end last time out, but will be very ready to rebound here today, behind a solid D, that leads the league in scoring defense at 63.3 points per game.UMBC has won nine consecutive games in the series and are 5-0 at Maine since the 2014 season and get the nod again.

Maryland Baltimore to cover 

I know the Sun Devils  might not look like a viable choice for public bettors to beat a team on 12 game win streak. But it must be noted that Arizona State is one of the few teams  that can handle a  2-3 zone defense like Washington owns. Also the Huskies after a hard fought win vs Arizona last time out on the road will now have a hard time rising to the occasion again, and may actually be emotionally drained against a reved up team ready to play hard and garner an upset. ASU tenacious ball snatching work will go a long way to them getting us the win here. The Sun Devils are  the Pac-12 leader in rebounding margin (+6.6), has outrebounded 18 of 22 opponents this year.

ARIZONA ST is 7-0 ATS when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 80% or more ) over the last 2 seasons and is 6-0 ATS   versus good defensive teams - allowing 64 or less points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Play on Arizona State to cover 

These two teams are evenly matched according to my power rankings but , home court advantage favours Houston to pull this one out vs the Thunder making it 7 wins in their L/8 tries at home in this series. 

OKLAHOMA CITY is 4-17 ATS  in road games after covering 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread over the last 3 seasons. The Thunder are 1-10 ATS/SU with less than two days rest off a 10+ win in a home game when the line is at least 10 points higher than their last game.

NBA Home teams vs. the money line (HOUSTON) - off 3 or more consecutive road wins, on Saturday games are 25-3 L/22 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Road underdogs (OKLAHOMA CITY) - after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more against opponent after scoring 120 points or more are 14-31 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Houston to cover 

 The Bulls carry the momentum  of their impressive effort vs Brooklyn last night notching a 125-106 win. Newly acquired  Porter shot 7-for-9 overall and 4-for-5 on 3-pointers, helping the Bulls convert 50.0 percent of their 28 attempts from three point land. Porter got the start alongside Lauri Markkanen in both looked to mesh well together as does Guard Zach LaVine. This group looks to have chemistry and must be respected here as dogs tonight vs a poor travelling Washington team that have lost 21 of 28 road games. The Bulls won 101-92 at Washington in December in the clubs' only previous meeting this season. The win was the Chicago's second straight over Washington and a third straight win is not out of the question tonight. 

Washington also won last night in a 119-106 victory vs Cleveland, but are just 1-12 ATS  in road games after scoring 115 points or more this season and is 0-12 ATS (in road games after a combined score of 215 points or more 3 straight games this season. WASHINGTON is 6-21 ATS  in road games versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season.

CHICAGO is 20-9 ATS  against Southeast division opponents over the last 2 seasons. 

The Bulls are 20-3 ATS L/23 when the line is within 3 of pick off a game as a dog when they won 2 straight vs current opponent and it is before the All-Star break.The Wizards are 4-23 ATS/SU on the road facing an opponent getting less than 25 percent or their rebounds on the offensive end. 

NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (WASHINGTON) - poor foul drawing team - attempting 24 . or less  free throws/game, poor defensive team - shooting pct defense of 46% . or better  on the season are 84-129  over the last 5 seasons for a 60% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on the Bulls to cover 

There was a vibe around the Pelicans last night against the Minnesota Wolves that was not a positive one despite of team winning. It seems to me , that this group isn't thrilled about having super star Anthony Davis back in the lineup. Yes, they pulled off the victory but , it seemed like their was a real awkward adjustment having the self centered star back in the lineup , knowing that he doesnt want to be there, making them fade material tonight vs a much hungrier Grizzlies team  with a more positive vibe after some players were traded  .Coach Alvin Gentry didn't play Davis in the final 15-plus minutes even though Minnesota made it a one-possession game several times while Davis sat. 

The Grizzlies are 13-1 ATS/SU at home when the line is within 3 of pick off a road game after rebounding less than 20% of their own misses and it is before the All-Star break.The Pelicans are 0-8 ATS/SU on the road with no rest when their opponent is seeking same season revenge for a loss at home.

NBA team (NEW ORLEANS) - off a home no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite, on Saturday games are 35-80 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (MEMPHIS) - vs. division opponents, off a road loss by 10 points or more are 39-17 ATS L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Memphis to cover 

 Two Southeast division rivals to battle tonight in Atalanta. The Hawks are a team that I have as moving upward in my rankings on a consistent basis. Their youth both hinders them and aids them, and must be respected here vs a inconsistent Charlotte team getting points.Atlanta had its two-game winning streak broken on Thursday night by the Toronto Raptors in a 119-101 home loss, but for the first part of that game the Hawks looked like upset possibilities before Toronto put the hammer down.ATLANTA is 19-8 ATS off a home loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

Note: Charlotte will be without veteran Tony Parker, who left the Tuesday game against the Los Angeles Clippers with a back injury.

The Hawks are 18-3-1 ATS as a home dog with rest off a loss in a home game facing an opponent averaging less than 6 refereed turnovers per game.The Hawks are 12-0 ATS/11-1 SU as a home dog with rest off a loss in a home game facing an opponent averaging less than 6 refereed turnovers per game and it is before the All-Star break.

The Hornets are 0-12 ATS L/12 with more than one day of rest off a loss after allowing 50-plus points in the paint.The Hornets are 2-17 ATS /3-16 SU with rest after they shot worse than 25% from beyond the arc with at least 20 attempts and it is before the All-Star break.

Play on Atlanta to cover 

The top two teams in the Southland Conference will toe   when the first-place Sam Houston State Bearkats travel to second-place Abilene Christian at Moody Coliseum. This promises to be a barn burner but Sam Houston according to my power rankings is the superior teams and viable bet getting points.Sam Houston is currently one of just 10 teams  in the country with an unbeaten record within  conference play. The Kats 11-game win streak is tied with defending national champion Villanova and Pac 12 leader Washington for the third-longest current win streak in the nation, only trailing No. 1 Tennessee (16 games) and No. 4 Gonzaga (12 games).

Take the points wit Sam Houston to cover 

Almost a month ago both these teams took part in a ferocious battle and now Duke and Virginia are back at it in another Top 5 matchup Saturday.Both teams are tied with North Carolina atop the ACC standings at 8-1 in conference play so this is a key game for them . Virginia is depending way to much  on their 3-point shooting ,  and Duke is the kind of team that can make them take bad threes as was evident when , the Cavaliers went  just 3-for-17 (17.6 percent) from deep in the previous meeting.Duke because of their size and strength don't need to pound threes and make a majority of their scores from in close . Virginia Im betting is susceptible to being manhandled in in the paint here tonight and with  Tre Jones back from injury the   Blue Devils look hard to handle. I know Virginia is on a 27-1 run at home, but I won't be surprised if a 2 is added into the loss column after this final buzzer goes off today.

VIRGINIA is 0-9 ATS L/9 in home games after having won 18 or more of their last 20 games. 

Play on Duke to cover 

The Gators pushed Vols Jan. 12 in Gainesville before falling 78-67 and actually matchup well vs this top ranked team form a empirical   power ranking viewpoint.... based on system vs system analysis.

Tennessee has allowed SEC opponents to make at least 10 3-pointers in five of nine league games this season so far. It must be noted that Florida made 12 in the teams’ first meetings, tying Texas A&M for the most 3s the Vols have surrendered to an opponent all season and it will be the Gators 3 point shooting Im betting that will keep them close in this affair and get us the all important cover. 

CBB road team (FLORIDA) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off 2 consecutive losses of 10 or more to conference rivals are 352-240 L/22 seasons for a 60% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Florida to cover 

South Carolina got hammered by Kentucky last time out and now have to taken a red hot Arkansas side on a 4 game win streak. However, despite of  how downtrodden the Gamecocks might seem, they still have beat Mississippi State, Florida and Auburn, with the conference losses coming to Kentucky , LSU, and Tennessee. Now in desperation mode I expect the home team to play big here this afternoon and notch a win vs a side that is surprising me and over rated according to my matchup projections and systems. Note: In SEC home contests this season, Carolina is averaging 80.5 points per game, 44.2 percent from the field and 70.9 percent from the free throw line.

ARKANSAS is 9-22 ATS L/31 in road games after covering 4 of their last 5 against the spread. ARKANSAS is 1-8 ATS after a close win by 3 points or less over the last 2 seasons which was a the case in a 69-66 win vs Vanderbilt last time out. 

Play on South Carolina to cover 

Cleveland State, has struggled with injuries and illness, but  will  be primed to seek a measure of revenge against Milwaukee after the Panthers rallied to win the first game of the season between the two teams 83-76 in Milwaukee on Jan. 3. The Phoenix are on a 4 games losing streak, and very much look like a desperate home team can handle, especially behind the incentive of revenge on their sides.

CLEVELAND ST is 7-0 ATS  after 2 straight games giving up 9 or less offensive rebounds over the last 2 seasons.

Play on Cleveland State to cover 

 UK enters this SEC fray vs Mississippi State on a 9-0 SU run and in their last game trounced  South Carolina by DDs. The Cats also beat todays hosts the Bulldogs 76-55   at Lexington during that above mentioned win streak and will now have to face a team with revenge on board , as they themselves have a big target on their backs at the moment, because of their torrid top tier play .Note:MSU as a home dog  with same-season loss revenge, are 6-0-1 ATS  L/7 when the loss was by 14 or more points . Miss State HC Howland is no pushover , and will have  his troops ready to stand tall and extend on a   11-1 ATS as home underdog in his career here and are  3-0-1 ATS as a home dog in this series.

This is a huge game for Mississippi State as they are slumping after a hot start, but  are now 4-4 in SEC games and are in desperate need of a big win to keep their NCAA Tournament dreams alive. 

Mississippi State to cover 

Anthony Davis is expected to play tonight for the Pelicans after it was learned that he would not be traded and might not be as injured as he thought. With Jeff Teague expected to miss or be at less than 100% if he does play  the Wolves now on tired  legs after playing last night definitely look to be at a disadvantage. Note: The Timberwolves are 1-23 ATS /0-24 SU as a dog with less than two days rest off a 10+ loss in a road game facing an opponent averaging less than 6 refereed turnovers per game. The Pelicans are 10-0 ATS/SU as a favorite off a win in a road game in which they has at least twice as many assists as turnovers with the average margin of victory coming 16.4 ppg. 

NBA Road underdogs (MINNESOTA) - after a road game where both teams score 100 or more points, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a losing team are 18-47  ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. 

This is the final meeting between Minnesota and New Orleans this season. The home team has won each of the previous three meetings and Im betting the home team holds serve again. 

Play on New Orleans to cover 

The Bucks are an explosive team , and look like viable threats to Golden States supremacy. But teams like Dallas must not be underestimated when playing at home in front of their own fans. HC Carlisle is top tier coach, and has instilled a never say die attitude into his now talent laden playing personnel.  Overall the Mavs have played teams like the Bucks well, as is evident by DALLAS going  7-0 ATS  versus up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots/game - 2nd half of the season this season.DALLAS is also 22-10 ATS versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game this season with the average point diff clicking in at minuscule 0.2 ppg. Carlisle in 265 games as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points as the coach of DALLAS has seen the average point diff click in at 4.2 ppg.

The Mavericks are 14-0-2 ATS at home after a game with 8+ lead changes which was the case in a 99-93 win vs Charlotte last time out. 

Bucks are 1-9-2 ATS in the last 12 meetings.Bucks are 0-5 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Dallas.Underdog is 3-0-1 ATS in the last 4 meetings.

Dallas has covered 8 straight games overall, and Im betting on another cover here as they add to a 9-1 ATS record  as a home underdog this season. 

Play on Dallas to cover

Washington as this big a favorite against anyone in the NBA just does not sit well with me, even though they are on their own home court vs a struggling lower tier team. The Wizards are just 3-9 ATS L/12 vs a sub .500 team, and have failed to cover 8 of their L/11 vs the NBA Central. Meanwhile, the Cavs are starting to show some upward trajectory from a betting perspective and have covered 4 straight vs NBA eastern foes, and are 5-2 ATS L/7 vs Southeast division opposition. The Cavs are also 4-1 ATS L/5 in their series and the underdog has covered 7 of the L/8 meetings and once again the away pup looks like a viable option a DD line that Im betting is bloated. 

The Cavaliers are 10-1 ATS L/11 as a road dog with more than one day of rest when they won 2 straight vs current opponent. The Wizards are 0-12 ATS/1-11 SU with rest off a 10+ loss in a road game and it is before the All-Star break with the one win coming by 3 points.

NBA Road underdogs of 10 or more points (CLEVELAND) - poor foul drawing team - attempting 24 or less free throws/game, terrible defensive team - shooting pct defense of 48%  or better on the season are a long term profitable bet, going 58-37 ATS L/22 seasons for a 61% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Cleveland to cover 

Oh boy the Knicks a storied NBA franchise is completely in a disarray and now embarking on a rebuild, but with some stable bodies and minds guiding the way as guards Dennis Smith Jr. and Wesley Matthews as well as center DeAndre Jordan are inserted into the starting lineup. The Knicks current 14 game losing streak tells a story of a team that had no chemistry and very little will to win. However, thanks to these trades and overall house cleaning, the Knicks Im betting will show some fight here in the 2nd of back to back games vs the Detroit Pistons. ( Motown won the first game in this b2b) 

Knicks are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Pistons are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games. Road team is 5-0 ATS L/5 in this series.DETROIT is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in home games against Atlantic division opponents over the last 2 seasonsThe Pistons are 0-15 ATS L/15  as a favorite off a 10+ win in which they had at least a 10 percent higher BAP than their opponent and it is before the All-Star break.The Pistons are 0-11 ATS L/11 at home with more than one day of rest off a 10+ win as a favorite in which they had more than 8 times as` many field goal attempts as turnovers. 

Play on the NY Knicks to cover 

The lines makers have made the Toreros short road favs here, and those assessments are correct according to my power rankings. San Diego beat Loyola Marymount 71-58 at home earlier this season in conference play, and matchup well vs the Lions. I know the Lions have been potent at home this season, as their 10-1 record as hosts would indicate, but San Diego has won the last two meetings here at the Gersten Pavilion and are a viable side. It must be noted that San Diego are a well conditioned team  that gets stronger as games progress. The Toreros  have outscored opponents 932-824 during the second half this season, while shooting 51 percent from the field and 41 percent from 3-point range.  
 In the final five minutes of games, USD is shooting a powerful 51 percent from the field and 37 percent from 3-point range, while their D is holding opponents to 45 percent from the field and 30 percent from 3-point range. These are important data and stats  trends points when considering this  is essentially a pickem game and expected to be closely contested. 

SAN DIEGO is 18-7 ATS as a road underdog or pick over the last 3 seasons and is 24-11 ATS  in road games over the last 3 seasons.

Play on San Diego to cover 

Portland State comes off a narrow loss at Idaho State on Saturday, 69-67. The Vikings had won three straight prior to that, including a win at Weber State last Thursday as they continue to play solid competitive basketball, making them viable road underdogs here in this spot vs Northern Colorado. I know NCU has done well of late and the lines makers respect them, but now their getting a little bit to much respect vs a hardworking opponent . 

N COLORADO is 4-17 ATS L/21 after playing 4 consecutive games as favorite .

Play on Portland State to cover  

The Wildcats are in desperation mode after having list 4 of their L/5 overall. Biut tonight according to my power rankings have system they matchup well against and have an edge at where they have won four straight home games against Washington and nine of the past 10 hosting the Huskies.

The Wildcats are 95-5 at home in their last 100 home games, which dates back to the 2012-13 season. Arizona's 92-5 mark at home since the start of the 2013-14 season is tops nationally. Im betting the Wildcats ability to limit mistakes will be key to taking down the visitors tonight.The Wildcats are averaging 11.3 turnovers per game, which is the fewest of any team in the Pac-12. and overall  has a turnover margin of +3.8, which leads the Pac-12, and is 15th-best in the country.

CBB team (ARIZONA) - after being beaten by the spread by 36 or more points total in their last five games against opponent after going under the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games are 59-19 ATS L5seasons for a 77%conversion rate for bettors on the blind. 

Play on Arizona to cover 

The Red Wolves have played four overtime games this season, and despite of a negative record are almost always competitive. There  is sharp money all over Arkansas State and Im not blaming my colleagues one bit for taking the points here in a game that have handicapped at closer to 3 points , thus we are getting the value of a one possession game according to my projections. 

Play on Arkansas State to cover 

The Raptors are off a big win vs the Philadelphia 76ers last time out in a start to finish victory. That impressive outing, also came at a price as this team exerted alot of energy and will now be  emotionally drained, even with a couple days rest, against a young Atlanta team that loves to run and gun.The Hawks  are an up trending team that must not be discounted, having gone 12-12 since Dec. 18. and have won two in a row. Note:The Raptors are 1-13 ATS  L/14  with rest off a road game.The Raptors are 3-17 ATS  with less than two days rest off a win as a road dog in which they had more than 8 times as` many field goal attempts as turnovers which happened vs the Sixers. 

The Hawks are 6-0 ATS /5-1 SU with rest off a win in which their turnovers decreased by at least 10 from the game before. 

Play on Atlanta to cover 

The Clippers will be without leading scorer Tobias Harris,  key chemistry cog Boban Marjanovic and their top bench player Mike Scott after all three were traded to the Philadelphia 76ers in a deal that was made official Wednesday. Considering their new lineup, Im betting the Clippers will have their hands full with a Pacers team off a 42 point diff beatdown of the LA Lakers last time out and suddenly on a 3 game win streak, after initially looking downtrodden,  when their leading scorer Victor Oladipo (knee) was lost for the season. Now feeling confident I expect the Pacers with momentum to come out here and lay down another beatdown on a LA team. I also know that the Clippers are supposed to have Gallinari back in the lineup tonight, but after a long lay off he is rusty, and far from being the kind of player that can carry a team on his back. With that said , its Pacers all the way here. 

The Clippers are 1-20-2 ATS on the road with rest off a game as a dog when they lost 4 straight vs current opponent

Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (INDIANA) - off a home win by 10 points or more, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team 104-58 ATS L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Indiana to cover 

  Houston Cougars  have been on a tear this season  but tonight against a revenge minded UCF team Im betting they're in trouble.   Last season,  UCF had their proverbial butts kicked by a 84-56, count  in the first round of last year’s AAC tourney  by the Cougars and UCF has had this game circled their calendar for a while now. Add to that   Houston is off a game with Temple  last time out  and are in a natural letdown situation and also are in a precarious  look ahead situation  with Cincinnati on deck.With UCF almost always playing their best hoops at home as is evident by a  36-8 SU record as hosts under HC Dawkins), the Knights look like solid underdogs in this spot. 

UCF is 7-0 ATS  in home games vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% or better  of their attempts over the last 3 seasons.

Play on UCF to cover 

High Point has won seven of the last eight matchups in this series vs Campbell and get the nod again behind a hard core rebound group that leads  the Big South Conference and is 12th in the nation with a rebounding margin of +7.8 rebounds per game. This tenacious High point squad have held a rebounding edge in 17 of their last 18 contests. There in close and physical inside style of play has seen the Panthers score 60.0 percent of their points from 2-point FG, the second-highest ratio in the nation. Im betting Tubby Smiths gritty take no prisoners style of hoops will put them in a positive situation here on their own home floor vs Campbell. 

Play on High Point to cover 

Houston looks like a viable short favorite here vs a Sacramento Kings team that they matchup well against according to my system vs system analysis charts. Houston has won 3 of their L/4 visits here and gets the nod again.

HOUSTON is 13-4 ATS  in road games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

The Rockets are 11-0 ATS/SU as a road favorite with less than two days rest off a game as a favorite after a win in which they never trailed which was the case in Phoenix last time out.The Kings are 2-16 ATS/SU when the line is within 3 of pick after they had at least 5 turnovers less than their season-to-date average.

NBA Home underdogs (SACRAMENTO) - after having covered 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread, in a game involving two marginal winning teams (51% to 60%) are 11-38  ATS L/22 years for a go against  78% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Houston Rockets to cover 

Its not very often lay this much lumber with an NBA game, but the truth is Phoenix is just a bad team, and their banged up and short handed as their  best player Devon Booker will be out the the lineup tonight as is forward Dragan Bender (thumb) is day-to-day, while forward T.J. Warren (ankle) is out until the All-Star break. After being humiliated by Houston in a 125-98 loss on Saturday you can bet the Jazz on extended rest will be ready to run here tonight and what Im betting will be an easy win and cover. 

PHOENIX is 10-22 ATS versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with the average ppg differential clicking in at around 15 ppg. 

The Jazz are 11-0 ATS /SU as a 8+ favorite off a home game after allowing 15+ points more than Vegas projected with all the wins coming by 15 points or more. 

Play on Utah to cover ( LATE STEAM)

Wisconsin has revenge on board for a loss thye suffered to Minnesota about a month ago at home, and will now be hell bent on getting even here. Minnesotas HC Richard Pitino has seen his team go just 1-7 /0-8 ATS L/8 in conference situation vs a avenging side like the Badgers. With that said, Im betting on a Badgers team that is 4-1 SU in conference road games this season to deliver the cash for us tonight. 

Wisconsin to cover 

Dallas on 4 days rest behind their revamped line-up that will feature new additions, Trey Burke, Tim Hardaway Jr. and Courtney Lee from the New York Knicks (trade) will  Im betting will be ready to roll in a big way here tonight vs a Charlotte team on tired legs after playing last night. 

The Hornets are 0-7 ATS /SU on the road off a game as a favorite facing an opponent with an assist-to-turnover ratio greater than 1.5 . 

NBA  Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DALLAS) - good rebounding team - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game, in February games are 172-111 for a 61% conversion rate over the L/22 seasons.

The Mavericks are 15-0-1 ATS L/15 at home off a road game after a game with 8+ lead changes which happened 4 days ago in their Last outing vs Cleveland. 

Play on Dallas to cover 

Both these teams enter this game a little banged up, and are looking forward to the all star break. Both teams have looked good this season, but Denver according to my power rankings is the superior side. It must be noted that his  Brooklyn team  is suddenly in a funk and on a 3 game losing streak and are pooched and in an emotional letdown spot after tangling with Milwaukee last time out, which makes them susceptible to being possibly upset here right in their own backyard. With that said, Im recommending we take the points with the Nuggets.

The Nets are 0-14-1 ATS /0-15 SU at home when the line is within 3 of pick off a loss as a dog in which they shot under 40% from the field and it is before the All-Star break and are 1-18-1 ATS / 1-19 SU  at home when the line is within 3 of pick off a loss as a dog in which they shot under 40% from the field. 

The Nuggets are 14-0 ATS/SU when the line is within 3 of pick off a loss in which they scored 10 or more points in the first than the fourth quarter which was the case in a defeat vs Detroit last time out on the road.The Nuggets are 15-0 ATS/SU  when the line is within 3 of pick with rest off a loss in which their opponent shot over 50% from the field and it is before the All-Star break.

 NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (BROOKLYN) - sub par defensive team - allowing 103+ points/game on the season against opponent after scoring 55 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games are 99-147 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against 60% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. 

NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (DENVER) - off a road loss by 10 points or more, in February games are 24-5 ATS L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Denver Nuggets to cover 

Ole Miss after a quick start to their campaign are coming back down to earth and have lost 4 straight games, and 5 of their L/6 and  are wobbly favs at this time. I know Texas A&M do not inspire bettors in their current form, but its not like their incapable of pulling off upsets as was the case vs Alabama and Kansas State already this season . Also after playing against Tennessee last time out this will seem  like a proverbial walk in the park for the Aggies. note: A&M owns a 6-2 lead in the all-time series between the schools and has won each of the last three meetings.

TEXAS A&M is 10-2 ATS  in road games versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game over the last 2 seasons. 

Play on Texas A&M to cover 

The Aztecs  are on a three game win streak and have been victorious in four of their last five tilts (lone loss was a four-point defeat at Fresno State).Since Jan. 15 (includes SDSU's last five games), the Aztecs own a scoring margin of +11.8 which is tied for 24th nationally. My power rankings show them in upward trajectory, while the opposite is true for their hosts New Mexico a team that has lost 6 of their L/7 overall. I know its never easy playing here at the Pit, vs the Lobos, but it must be noted that San Diego State has handed New Mexico seven of its last 42 losses here since the 2006 season. 

SAN DIEGO ST is 10-1 ATS  when playing only their 3rd game in a week over the last 2 seasons and is 9-2 ATS  off 2 straight wins against conference rivals over the last 2 seasons. 

Play on San Diego State to cover 

These are two talented teams  Toronto and Philadelphia , but Im betting the home court advantage will be the difference maker here tonight. Add to that Raptors star Lowry is less than 100% and questionable and we have enough edge here vs some short chalk to consider this a value call. Note the home team has won the L/5 meetings in this series.

PHILADELPHIA is 21-9 ATS  in home games versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. PHILADELPHIA is 10-1 ATS  in home games in February games over the last 3 seasons. 

The Seventysixers are 21-1 ATS /SU as a home favorite with more than one day of rest off a game as a favorite facing an opponent with an assist-to-turnover ratio greater than 1.5 and won 12 Straight SU all by more than the spread here being asked.The Raptors are 4-18 ATS and 2-19 SU  as a road dog with rest off a win facing an opponent with an assist-to-turnover ratio greater than 1.5.

NBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (PHILADELPHIA) - good rebounding team - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game, in February games are 172-110 ATS L/22 seasons for a long term 61% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on Philadelphia to cover 

NC State is off a dismal performance last time out , shooting at a just a 16.7 % clip and converting of just 9 of 54 shots losing a choppy 43-27 affair vs Virginia Tech as chalk. That ugly effort came after they had taken power house Virginia to OT in their previous game. The Wolfpack left everything on the floor in that tilt vs the Cavs, and still lost and were in an emotional letdown sandwich spot vs the Hokies in the followup knowing  this game vs their instate rivals North Carolina was on deck. Now rejuvenated and ready to get back to work, Im betting on NC State being a viable underdog in this spot. Note NC State HC Keatts is 9-0 ATS L/9  after a game where they made 20% of their 3 point shots or worse . ( NC State is 15-2 this season when it shoots 30% or better from beyond the arc  and 1-4 when it shoots under 30% from down town.)

 UNC won the earlier meeting this season between the two programs at PNC Arena, 90-82.

- NC State won last season at Chapel Hill, defeating the Tar Heels 95-91 in overtime

NC STATE is 30-15 ATS off an upset loss to a conference rival as a favorite. 

CBB Road underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (NC STATE) - off an upset loss by 15 or more as a home favorite against opponent off a road win are 42-12 ATS L/22 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors on the blind and if we tighten those perimeters and base it on Tuesday nights games the under has cashed 24 of 28 times for a 86% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on NC State to cover 

Both these teams are on 5 game losing streaks, but Pittsburgh according to my power rankings is the superior team here and deserves respect as short chalk. I know the Panthers have dropped 19 consecutive road contests, including their past 16 ACC road games, but all good and bad runs must eventually come to an end and thats what Im betting on here tonight in Winston-Salem. 

Pittsburgh key advantage will come via  their D, as Pitt ranks fifth in the ACC and tied for 20th nationally in field goal percentage defense (.397).The Panthers have held nine opponents below 40 %  shooting from the field and here vs a Wake Forest side that has  a 39.9% FG conversion rate , the Panthers have a hefty edge on a short line. 

WAKE FOREST is 7-21 ATS against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons and 7-21 ATS as a conference underdog. 

PITTSBURGH is 11-1 ATS L/12 in road games when playing against a struggling team (Win Pct. 20% to 40%) after 15 or more games. WAKE FOREST is 4-15 ATS  versus teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons. 

CBB Road teams as an favorite or pick (PITTSBURGH) - a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a bad team (20 to 40%), on Tuesday nights are 44-19 ATS L/21 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Pittsburgh to cover 

 Kent State is off an impressive never say die 83-80 overtime victory last time out against a desperate Ball State team. The win gave Kent State its second overtime win in its last three games and improved the squad to 7-0 in games decided by five points or fewer. The Flashes have shown their tenaciousness and ability to win  in close games, and get the nod again in a tilt vs MIAMI OHIO  in a matchup the  linesmakers once again expect to be close. 

KENT ST is 22-10 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.

Play on Kent State to cover 

Sacramento is on a 7 game home winning streak, but all good and bad runs must come to end. Tonight Im betting the Kings winning streak comes to an abrupt end vs a  Spurs team in top form and off a win Saturday night that has them entering this tilt with the momentum of a  five-game  winning streak. San Antonio has thrived in the recent past against teams like the Kings. SAN ANTONIO is 18-5 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more  of their shots this season and is 20-9 ATS  versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game this season.Add that the Spurs will be very motivated here as they seek revenge for a loss here back in December.  SAN ANTONIO is 20-2 ATS revenging a loss vs opponent this season and is is 16-0 ATS revenging a road loss vs opponent this season. 

The Kings are 2-19 ATS/SU when the line is within 3 of pick with less than two days rest off a win as a dog facing an opponent averaging more than 62 ppg from 2-point range.The Kings are  also 3-19 ATS /1-21 SU as a home dog off a win facing an opponent averaging less than 16 percent of points off free throws.  

The Spurs are 16-1 ATS /SU when the line is within 3 of pick off a home game in which they had more than 8 times as` many field goal attempts as turnovers and it is before the All-Star break. 

NBA Home underdogs (SACRAMENTO) - after having covered 3 of their last 4 against the spread, in a game involving two marginal winning teams (51% to 60%) are 11-37 ATS L/22 seasons for a  go against 77% conversion rate fro bettors. 

Play on the San Antonio Spurs to cover 

Idaho (4-16, 1-8 BSC) is 11-9 all-time against Southern Utah (9-10, 4-6 BSC).  Last season, Idaho won both regular season matchups but fell in the Big Sky Tournament. Tonight  in revenge mode against a Southern Utah  team on a 3 game losing streak, and playing without senior Dwayne Morgan ( 13 ppg) the struggling  and desperate Vandals, will be primed to pull off the upset.

Note:  Something about the cold month of February as the Vandals have been on a big run in Big Sky play in the month of February since rejoining the conference.  In the last four seasons, Idaho has recorded a Big Sky record of 21-9 in February conference games, compared to a 26-25 record outside of February.

CBB Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (IDAHO) - off a home loss against a conference rival against opponent off 2 consecutive road losses of 5 points or less are 41-16 ATSL/22 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Idaho to cover 

Indiana and New Orleans two teams playing without key players go head to head tonight in the Bayou. Indiana is without Victor Oladipo and New Orleans without the often injured Anthony Davis who is asking to be traded. Both are struggling to an extent without those key cogs, but Im betting the Pelicans have the edge here tonight at home as I really like how this team has played without Davis, staying competitive vs Denver Nuggets and San Antonio Spurs in the last two games and losing by an average of just 5.5 points.Pacers are 0-5 ATS in the last 5 meetings.Pelicans are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

New Orleans took both meetings last season and one more winner Im betting is on tonights agenda. 

The Pacers are 1-18 ATS/SU L/19 on the road when the line is within 3 of pick with less than two days rest off a win after a game with 8+ lead changes which happened vs Miami last time out. The Pacers are 0-13 ATS /SU L/13 on the road with less than two days rest off a road game when they lost 2 straight vs current opponent and it is before the All-Star break.

NBA Favorites (INDIANA) - in non-conference games, off an upset win as a road underdog are 68-117 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 63% conversion rate for bettors.( Indiana upset Miami last time out in Florida)

NBA team vs the money line (NEW ORLEANS) - excellent shooting team (47.5% or better ) against an average defensive team (43.5-45.5%), good ball handling team (14.5 or less TO) vs. an average pressure defense (14.5-16.5 TO) after 42+ games are 30-8 L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on New Orleans to cover 

Louisville is off a loss last time out, but will be primed for a bounce back here this week against a Virginia Tech program that the Cardinals have dominated over the years. Note: The University of Louisville is 14-0 SU in its last 14 games against Virginia Tech. Meanwhile, VTech is off a bizarre game last time out that they won by a 47-24 count vs NC State. They played choppy physical ball in that game, and could easily feel the effects of that tilt here vs a Louisville side that  has won 3 of their 4 ACC road games, vs N.Carolina, Gtech, and Wake Forest and lost by just 3 points to Pittsburgh . With that said, my power rankings suggest that the Cardinal matchup very well vs the Techsters and get my backing in this spot. LOUISVILLE is 19-10 ATS against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons. 

Play on Louisville to cover 

Yes, QB Tom Brady maybe the greatest NFL QB of our generation, and maybe of all time and his HC Bellichck one of the top coaching minds in all of football. But Im still going to pull the trigger on the unthinkable, and go with the Rams here this week at a +FG. Yes, even  despite of  watching Tom Terrific put on another dramatic show stopper a couple of weeks ago in the championship game to get the Pats to yet another Super Bowl. I also know how fortunate the Rams are to be here thanks in part to a blown call.  However, I still feel that Brady and his side kick Gronkowski have slowed down enough to not be as intimidating as they once were, and that the Pats D, is very beatable, as was the case in last seasons Super Bowl vs Philadelphia. Plus the Rams greater body of work this season, was actually superior to that of the Pats, and many at the start of this season including myself saw this LA team as a big time Super Bowl contender and deserving champs behind a deep talented team on both sides of the ball. So here we are and Im not going to waver here in my opinion, and will take a direct stance taking points with the underdog this Super Bowl Sunday in a neutral field environment. Hey its never easy going against the tide of early money, but it must be noted that the underdog has covered 9 of the L/11 Super Bowls and won 8 of those straight up. Im looking for recent history to repeat itself here as I go against the early money. 

The Rams are 8-0 against AFC opponents since head coach Sean McVay took over the team in 2017. The Patriots have  averaged just 23.3 points per game on the road this season, which was more than 10 points lower (33.8 PPG) than what they averaged at Foxboro. They had the second worst home/away scoring difference this season, only ranking behind  the Oakland Raiders .

Play on the LA Rams to cover 

Bot these teams are well below .500 and struggling overall, but tau I expect a fairly close game between two long time rivals. Maine's 69-68 win last January (2018) at Cross Insurance Center ended the Wildcats' six-game win streak vs. the Black Bears; New Hampshire won the most recent matchup and are now being hefty underdogs here in a game that I have pegged at closer -6 for the home side, thus giving us value on this line with the road underdog.UNH enters the weekend ranked second in the conference with 8.8 3-pointers made per game and take care of the ball well as they commit the second fewest turnovers per game (12.2) and Im betting these two attributes will serve them well here today in what Im betting with be a cover.

Play on New Hampshire to cover