Illinois Chicago had a 7 game win streak halted last time out at home vs Cleveland State by 86-78 count. The loss came vs a team that was explosively red hot, as the Vikings scored 33 of 48 first-half points from beyond the arc, shooting 61 percent on 18 attempts. Despite of that the Flames made a ferocious comeback, but fell short in the final 5 min, as they looked exhausted. Now with time to rest and digest what happened I'm betting they have a bounce back effort here tonight vs a Green Bay side that has lost 10 of their L/12 and must be looked at as fade material.

 IL-CHICAGO is 7-0 ATS L/7 off a home loss against a conference rival .

WI-GREEN BAY is 1-10 ATS L/11 home games on Friday nights.

UIC toppled Green Bay in the first meeting this season, 84-73, at the UIC Pavilion on Jan. 10.  The Flames shot a season-high 58.4 percent from the field in that victory.

IL-CHICAGO is 7-1 ATS L/8 when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 20% to 40%) this season.IL-CHICAGO is 6-0 ATS  at road when the line is +3 to -3 dating back to last season.

CBB Road teams as an favorite or pick (IL-CHICAGO) - in a game involving two average teams (+/- 3.5 PPG differential.), after a combined score of 155 points or more 2 straight games are 24-5 ATS L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors.

Illinois Chicago to cover

Northern Kentucky  comes into this game against Wright State looking for revenge for a 84-81 loss at home as 10.5 point favs in the first meeting. This tilt is also has the added importance of being  a battle for  first-place in the Horizon League standings. NKU is riding a five-game winning streak, its third streak of the season of at least four games., and has won 27 of its last 35 games (.771) against League opponents. It must also be noted that  N Kentucky faces a side that is just 2-8 ATS as a Horizon League home dog and  despite of being a quality team, are 0-3 SU/ATS vs teams with a higher win % on the season, which the Norse have. Look for what my power rankings suggest is the top team in this conference to grab the cash here tonight and get their payback.

Northern Kentucky is 17th in the nation in 2-point field goal percent (57.0) and is averaging 17.0 assists per game, a mark that ranks 22nd in the nation. It also only commits 12.2 turnovers an outing, which ranks 88th nationally. Combining those two marks results in an assist-to-turnover ratio of 1.40, the 25th-best in the country.
NKU forces the 69th-most turnovers per game in the nation (14.8) and allows teams to distribute just 11.3 assists per game.
NKU is 40th in the country in steals (7.6 spg), registering double-digit steals seven times this year.
NKU's 3-point field goal defense ranks 30th in the nation at 31.5 percent.
Through games played Feb. 14, NKU sits 88th on KenPom.com, which is tops in the Horizon League.The Norse are 19th in the CollegeInsider  Mid-Major Top-25 Poll and 22nd in the Mid-Major Madness Power Rankings.

 HC Brannen is 13-5 ATS in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game.

N KENTUCKY is 8-2 ATS   in road games after playing a game as favorite this season.

CBB Road teams as an favorite or pick (N KENTUCKY) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite of 7or more, with 2 more starters returning from last year than opponent are 77-36 ATS L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors .

Play on Northern Kentucky to cover

Detroit Mercy has dropped two tough games so far on the four-game road swing, but will look to continue a great run it holds as the Titans are riding a 10-game winning streak over Youngstown State. Detroit Mercy has also have won eight of their last nine visits to the Beeghly Center.
 With Youngstown state pulling off an improbable win vs Oakland last time out, I'm betting they are now in a huge emotional letdown situation and once again face a situation where they could come out flat and lose to a program that's had their number for  a while. The Titans currently rank third in the Horizon League and 71st in the nation in scoring offense at 78.1 points per game. 
Detroit Mercy has scored at least 71 points in 19 games, including three 100+point efforts and must not be underestimated as dogs in this spot.

Detroit Mercy has  converted regularly from the  free throw line connecting on 75.0 percent, third in the HL and 62nd in the country.
Detroit Mercy has also  converted 80.0 percent or more at the line in 11 games and I'm betting this will be the difference maker here this evening.

YOUNGSTOWN ST is 2-10 ATS l/12 after a win by 6 points or less over the last few seasons.
Penguins are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

CBB home team (YOUNGSTOWN ST) - average shooting team (42.5-45%) against an struggling defensive team (47.5% or more ), average rebounding team (+/-3 reb/game) against a poor rebounding team (-3 to -6 reb/game) are 55-106 ATS L/21seasons for a 66% go against conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Detroit Mercy to cover

Hawaii enters this game against UC Irvine having lost 5 straight games. But the  Rainbow Warriors have been very competitive in most games, with only one loss coming by more than 6 points. Prior to the unfortunate run Hawaii had won 4 straight, so this is a very under rated team according to my own power rankings.  With Hawaii with revenge on board for a 72-58 home loss to Irvine back in November, I expect we will see the Warriors...... a side that  has decidedly improved since that debacle to be viable underdogs in the rematch.

I'm betting the key to us getting the cover will be the Bows ability to sink FTs , as they are converting 81% of their charity stripe attempts over the L/6  games.

Anteaters are 3-11-1 ATS in their last 15 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

Play on Hawaii to cover

The last time Oregon faced USC they lost at home earlier this season by a 75-70 count. Now with revenge on board and the need to secure wins if they want a shot at the big dance this tilt becomes paramount for the young men from Eugene. With the Trojans off big games (losses) vs Arizona and Arizona State, I won't be surprised if the Trojans are in an emotional letdown spot here . Actually the Trojans have failed to cover 4 straight times after battling Arizona and are currently on a 3 game losing streak. It must also be noted that USC has only covered 1 time in their L/14 games  as chalk of 12 points or less in this series vs the Ducks , with Oregon also amassing a solid 18-4-2 ATS mark as visitors when playing USC. The Ducks off a blowout 84-57 win vs Washington State now have momentum on their sides going into this tilt and deserve my backing as dogs. Note: OREGON is 11-1 ATS L/12 off a home win against a conference rival and is 9-1 ATS off a blowout win by 20 points or more over a conference rival.

OREGON is 7-0 ATS  L/7  in road games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games dating back to last season and a perfect  9-0 ATS L/9  in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games dating back to last season.

CBB Road teams as an underdog or pick (OREGON) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off a home win by 10 points or more are 156-103 ATS L/5 seasons for a 60% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on Oregon to cover

The Milwaukee Bucks have been playing decent ball since Jason Kidd was fired, but I'm still not completely sold on them going forward. Meanwhile, the Denver Nuggets are also in top form and have won 5 of their L/6 overall via an explosive offense averaging more than 117.8 ppg during that stretch. The Nuggets according to my power rankings are playing their best hoops of the season and must be respected here as underdogs. Note: Denver is 15-2 ATS L/17 as an underdog in this series. From a SRS perspective Denver owns a  +0.88 mark while Milwaukee clicks in at  -0.18. ( SRS =Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average) With that said, we have value with taking points here.

Milwaukee is just 33-67 ATS at home as chalk  in  non conference home  tilts of late.

NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (DENVER) - off a home win, in a game involving two marginal winning teams (51% to 60%) are 28-11 ATS  L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Denver Nuggets to cover

 Ray Harper's Gamecocks take on  Murray State on Thursday evening. The Racers after a 76-71 victory at home earlier this season will have confidence on their sides, vs a program they matchup well against in their current forms. The loss to JSU is just one of MSU's two league defeats this season. I know Murray State will have revenge on board, and prepared for the Gamecocks, but I'm betting Jacksonville State will not be an easy out.

JACKSONVILLE ST is 7-0 ATS L/7  in road games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 37%  or more of their attempts.JACKSONVILLE ST is 8-0 ATS  L/8  in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games over the last few seasons. JACKSONVILLE ST is 8-0 ATS versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game this season.

CBB Underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (JACKSONVILLE ST) - off an upset loss by 15 or more as a home favorite against opponent off a road win are 42-12 ATS L/21 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.

CBB Home favorites of 10 or more points (MURRAY ST) - off a no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite against opponent off an upset loss by 15 points or more as a favorite are 30-6 ATS L/21 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Jacksonville to cover

Despite losing 130-123 at Dallas on Saturday, the Lakers are playing some very competitive basketball of late , and have won 12 of their l/17 games and have upward momentum on their sides and are up trending in my power rankings.   The Lakers newly acquired point guard Isaiah Thomas came off the bench Saturday in his Lakers' debut and scored 22 points and had six assists in 31 minutes and is a very nice addition to this young team. Meanwhile, New Orleans, are still adjusting to playing without  DeMarcus Cousins, and must not be over estimated in their abilities despite of upsetting Detroit Pistons last time out  (118-103). It must also be noted that NEW ORLEANS is 9-22 ATS L/31 off a win by 15 points or more as an underdog .

Pelicans are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Pelicans are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Pacific and  are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.Road team is 30-14 ATS in the last 44 meetings

LA LAKERS are 14-6 ATS   versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less  turnovers/game this season.NEW ORLEANS is 27-42 ATS as a home favorite over the last few seasons.

Play on the LA Lakers to cover

The Clippers have surprisingly won four of their last five games and are 4-2 since  a trade  sent Blake Griffin to the Detroit Pistons. Needless to say the Boston Celtics will not be over looking them despite of this Clippers team going into rebuild mode. Considering both teams rosters  and current systems, the head to head matchup favors the home team by 7 points according to my own numbers giving us value on a basic 5 point home advantage line.

Celtics are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs. Western Conference.Clippers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 vs. NBA Atlantic.

BOSTON is 20-7 ATS L/27 versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more  of their shots this season.Clippers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

Home teams vs. the money line (BOSTON) - after 2 or more consecutive losses, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a marginal winning team (51% to 60%)  are 31-2 SU for a 94% conversion rate with the average margin deficit clicking in at 10.6 ppg.

Play on the Boston Celtics to cover

Villanova's invincibility has been questioned of late, as they recently showed their actually just  humans with a loss to St.John;s.  With that in mind we now have a  Providence  team that has revenge in mind for a 89-69 road loss they suffered to the Cats on Jan 13  . I'm recommending we back a motivated team  getting points in what should be a packed house.  

Note: Nova's Phil Booth  suffered a fractured right (shooting) hand late in that above mentioned  contest and has not played since.

Providence is 15-6 ATS L/21 at home as dogs.

PROVIDENCE is 10-1 ATS  L/11  revenging a loss where opponent scored 75 or more points. PROVIDENCE is 6-0 ATS  L/6  in home games revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points and 10-0 ATS L/10 with same season revenge form a loss more than 7 points. PROVIDENCE is 12-4 ATS L/16  in home games versus good shooting teams - making 45%  or more of their shots.VILLANOVA is 1-9 ATS  L/10 in road games after 4 straight games committing 11 or less turnovers

Play on Providence to cover

Clemson is ranked for the seventh consecutive week in the AP Top 25 poll (No. 11). Clemson is also ranked in the USA Today Coaches Poll at No. 12 and must be respected here as underdogs vs a team they are motivated to take down after suffering 2 losses to Florida State last season.Clemson’s RPI checks in at fourth nationally, while their SOS sits 21st.  Note: Clemson is 17-4 ATS L/21 with revenge in this series, and a perfect 9-0 ATS as a dog of 2 points or more.

In the latest KenPom rankings, the Tigers are ranked Nos. 16, 13 and 31 in overall, adjusted defensive efficiency (94.6) and adjusted offensive efficiency (115.7).

CLEMSON is 8-2 ATS  versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season. CLEMSON is 8-1 ATS  L9 after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games this season. FLORIDA ST is 26-43 ATS   as a home favorite of 6 points or less or pick  .

Play on Clemson to cover

Iowa can light up the board with their offense very quickly which makes them viable underdogs of 10 points or more here in this spot. Iowa has scored 50 or more second-half points six times this season, including three of its last five games  and are always back door cover opportunists making them a viable side to back on a DD underdog line.

The Hawkeyes have won five of the last six meetings in this series. Michigan won this season's first meeting, 75-68, in Iowa City on Jan. 2, 2018.

CBB Home favorites of 10 or more points (MICHIGAN) - after 3 straight games forcing opponent to commit 11 or less turnovers against opponent after 5 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers are 45-97 ATS L/21 seasons for go against conversion rate of 68% for bettors.

CBB Road underdogs of 10 or more points (IOWA) - good 3PT shooting team (36.5% or more ) against an average 3PT shooting team (32-36.5%) after 15+ games, after 3 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 47% or higher are 28-8 ATS L/21 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Iowa to cover

USF faces UCF for the second time this season The Knights handed the Bulls a heartbreaking 71-69 loss in the first half of the season series.USF led for 29 minutes on Jan. 20, but UCF came on strong late and just slid past the Bulls. From a matchup perspective USF actually matches up well vs their opponents, and I'm betting their ability to draw fouls, and get the charity stripe will help us cover this number. As a team, the Bulls are shooting 72.4 percent (331-for-457) from the free throw line on the season.

UCF is 0-7 ATS   struggling pressure defensive teams - forcing 12 or less turnovers/game .

CBB Home favorites of 10 to 19.5 points (UCF) - after 3 straight games forcing opponent to commit 11 or less turnovers against opponent after 5 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers are 43-89 ATS L/21 seasons for a go against  68% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on USF to cover

Rutgers enters this home game against Northwestern having lost 7 straight games, and are fade material in their current mode . Northwestern has won 4 of their L/6 , after a lackluster effort last time out in a loss to Maryland where they shot just 33%. The Wildcats have actually been good bets of late and resilient after a loss as they are 8-1 ATS  L/9 in road games after 1 or more consecutive losses. Northwestern won all three meetings with Rutgers a year ago, and  are a  perfect 5-0 against Rutgers since the Scarlet Knights joined the Big Ten and get the nod again this Tuesday night.

RUTGERS is 19-34 ATS  L/53 against conference opponents.

CBB Road teams as an favorite or pick (NORTHWESTERN) - a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team, on Tuesday nights are 69-33 ATS L/21 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Northwestern to cover

Cleveland has won three consecutive games, scoring 121 or more points in each and now the pundits are all piling back on to the bandwagon. I'm a believer in the Cavaliers ability to continue their upward momentum, as well over the long haul, but I'm betting this is a bad spot for them. Meanwhile, Oklahoma city is expected to have both Russell Westrook and Carmelo Anthony  back in the lineup tonight, after both sat two games with a ankle injury. Both these top tier players presence  , and  the positive  energy involved with taking on a championship contender will have the Thunder ready to perform in  what is a very tough venue for visitors to play in . Oklahoma City has won the L/2 meetings in this series home and away.

CLEVELAND is 8-22 ATS  L/30 revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points. CLEVELAND is 16-34 ATS  L/50 versus teams who make 6 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season. CLEVELAND is 4-18 ATS  L/22 in a road game where the total is 220 to 229.5 over the last 2 seasons. CLEVELAND is 4-14 ATS  L/18 in non-conference games this season.

NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (CLEVELAND) - after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are just 13-40 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 76% for bettors.

Play on Oklahoma City to cover

Maryland enters this tilt having lost 8 of their 11 road games this season, and have lost 7 of their L/11 overall, while their hosts Nebraska have won 13 of their 14 home tilts and overall are on a 5 game win streak, and looking stronger as each games passes. The one Husker home loss came to Kansas by just 1 point.

Coach Mark Turgeon's  Terps team has been hit by injuries, losing a pair of starters (Justin Jackson and Ivan Bender) to season-ending injuries and are at a disadvantage. This Cornhuskers team is flying under the radar with Nebraska's defense  has been the key to their  Big Ten success. The Huskers are third in field goal defense (.403) and held 11 of their last 13 opponents under 45 percent. Since Jan. 1, the Huskers are holding opponents to .404 shooting and  must be respected here as short home chalk.

Nebraska's 1.25-to-1 assist-to-turnover ratio is on track to be one of the best in school history.

NEBRASKA is 12-2 ATS   versus good shooting teams - making 45% or more  of their shots this season and have covered 7 straight under the same perimeters. NEBRASKA is 10-1 ATS  L/11 versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game this season.NEBRASKA is 9-1 ATS   versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game after 15+ games this season. NEBRASKA is 9-0 ATS  L/9 off a win against a conference rival this season.

Play on Nebraska to cover

Western Michigan enters this road tilt vs Bowling Green playing some of their best basketball of the season, winning 4 of their L/5 games. The Broncos have been a second half team this season outscoring opponents, 1037-970 the final 20 minutes of play. WMU has scored at least 50 points in the second half four times this season and get stronger as games progress thanks to their top tier conditioning program. With that said, I'm betting as this game progresses the Broncos run over a Bowling Green team off an exhausting come from behind OT  win last time out vs E.Michigan. Lay the short lumber with the road team. 

 Since 2012, WMU is 29-13 in the month of February which is the second best record amongst NCAA Division I schools in the state of Michigan.

W MICHIGAN is 15-6 ATS  L/21 when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%).W MICHIGAN is 24-9 ATS  L/33 when playing only their 2nd game in a week  and is 11-3 L/14 ATS   after playing a game as a home favorite .

CBB underdog (BOWLING GREEN) - an good offensive team (74-78 PPG) against an average defensive team (67-74 PPG), after 3 straight games where both teams score 70 points or less are 6-33 ATS L/21 seasons for a go against 85% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Western Michigan to cover

Baylor enters this tilt vs Texas as a very underrated Big 12 hoops program. Baylor 's offense  is averaging 81.4 ppg over its last 5 Big 12 games after averaging 66.0 ppg in its first 7 Big 12 games.  Despite of a lackluster road record the Bears , have been on the wrong side of the lucky charm pedestal, as   6 of their 7  losses have come  to ranked teams, including 3 by one possession. Also from a head to head matchup perspective Baylor’s bench has out-scored the opponents’ bench 121-37 over the last 4 games, and the Bears had a 23-9 advantage over Texas in bench scoring when the teams met in Waco on Jan. 15 and once again look like solid dogs vs an opponent they matchup well against. Baylor has recorded more points in the paint than its opponent in 21 straight and 24 of 25 games this season. The Bears are averaging 37.8 points in the paint per game against opponents’ 26.9 paint ppg and I'm betting their ability to control the interior game will be the difference maker here again.

Baylor ranks 14th nationally in rebounding margin (+7.1) and has out-rebounded 20 of 25 opponents.
Baylor has been tied or leading in the final 2 minutes in 4 of its Big 12 losses, all vs. ranked teams.

Baylor is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs. Big 12. Bears are als0o 20-8 ATS in their last 28 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Bears are 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Texas.Baylor is 53-11 against in-state opponents since the start of the 2011-12 season

BAYLOR is 11-4 ATS L/15 versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season and is 14-5 ATS L/19 in road games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game.BAYLOR is 18-8 ATS L/26 in road games against conference opponents/

CBB  Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (BAYLOR) - after beating the spread by 30 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going over the total by 30 or more points total in their last three games are 39-10 ATS L/21 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Baylor to cover

The Knicks, who lost All-Star center/forward Kristaps Porzingis for the season to a torn left ACL last week are now looked upon as a downtrodden group that does not deserve any respect. While that maybe partially true, thanks to their overall horrid W/L record,  this team still has some fight left in them as players look to solidify their standing on the team and future paydays. They always say pro sports is all about the money,  and it is, so the Knicks wont stop playing hard, as very few of them on this team have any guarantees in this league going forward. The Knicks are not just going to lye down and take a nap, but instead I expect will fight even harder. Tonight, I'm betting their being under rated vs a 76ers side that despite of being a lot better than in previous seasons, is still a side that is young, with consistency  still  being a problem with these talented kids. . So needless to say  Its a hard stretch for me to suddenly see them listed as 12 plus point favs, against anyone in the NBA even here at home .I know  the Knicks played last night and the  Sixer's and their fans have recently fed off the energy associated with the  Eagles winning the Super Bowl, but that's now fading and when you put out that much emotional energy its sometimes hard to keep playing at a high level, especially against a beat up team like the Knicks that they are probably overlooking. With that said, I'll take a contrarian stance here and take the dogs to cover on a slightly bloated line.

76ers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.

The 5 meetings in this series have seen 3 games decided by 1 point , one game by 3 , and their most recent game by 7 points.

PHILADELPHIA is 4-18 ATS L/22 in home games after 2 straight games where they attempted 90 or more shots .NEW YORK is 21-10 ATS L/31 after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread.

NBA team (PHILADELPHIA) - after beating the spread by more than 6 points in three consecutive games against opponent after going under the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games are 7-31 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 82% for bettors.

Play on the NY Knicks to cover

The top two teams in the Patriot League standings square off a what I'm betting will be a much closer game than the lines-makers expect. The Raiders have won six of their last seven games and hold down second place in the league standings with a 9-4 record. Defending champ Bucknell sits atop the standings at 11-2. I know Bucknell took the the season's first meeting 63-51 in Hamilton on Jan. 15.  , mostly because Colgate couldn't get it going offensively as the Raiders finished the game shooting a season-low 27.1 percent from the field, but have converted more than 46% of their shots from the field this season. With that said, I'll write that one off as an anomaly and expect closer to their season average this time around and to be very competitive.

Raiders are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

CBB Underdogs of 10 or more points (COLGATE) - good 3PT shooting team (36.5% or more) against an average 3PT shooting team (32-36.5%) after 15+ games, after 3 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 47% or higher are 34-11 ATS L/21 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Colgate to cover

WSU enters this game against Oregon ranked  fifth in the nation and leads the Pac-12 with 11.3 made 3-pointers per game.The Cougars have made 12 or more 3's in 14 of their 23 games this season making them a viable dog because of the ability to rack up quickly and open the way for possible back door covers. The Cougars also rank fourth in the Pac-12 and 62nd in the country with a .380 3-point field goal percentage and must not be underestimated in their ability to cover this number. Note: WSU has trailed at halftime in 14 of its games this season, as well as its exhibition game, and was tied at the half once, coming back from five of them for victories. Washington State is a different team in the second half compared to the first averaging 40.6 points per game this season in the second half, compared to just 32.7 in the first. Add to that, WSU is shooting .477 (322-675) from the field and .424 (273-663) from 3-point range in the second half, compared to .412 (265-638) from the field and .331 (112-338) from 3-point in the first half. With that said,  this is the kind of DD underdog, that I can sink my proverbial teeth into because of their tireless conditioning.

OREGON is 2-8 ATS   versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season

CBB Underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (WASHINGTON ST) - after allowing 75 points or more 5 straight games, with just one or fewer starters returning from last season are 40-10 ATS L/21 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors.

CBB Road underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (WASHINGTON ST) - good 3PT shooting team (36.5% or more) against an average 3PT shooting team (32-36.5%) after 15+ games, after 3 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 47% or higher are 28-7 L/21 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Washington State to cover

Houston enters this game against visiting Dallas having won its seventh straight game with a 130-104 blowout of the Denver Nuggets on Friday. But its interesting to note the Rockets are just 2-11 ATS  L/13 in home games after a blowout win by 20 points or more.  The Rockets also have a tendency of playing down to their opponents, and are just  0-7 ATS  in home games when playing against a struggling team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) this season.HOUSTON is also 0-8 ATS  as a home favorite of 12.5 or more points this season and are slightly over valued considering how they seem to do just enough to get victories vs teams likes this as they save their energy  for bigger fish. Meanwhile, Dallas despite of having a down season, are still capable of being competitive despite of playing last night ( beat LAL 130-123) and are my recommendation getting points in this spot Note:. Mavericks have covered 4 of their L/5 in back to backs, and  are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.

Rockets are 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game.

DALLAS is 14-6 ATS   versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game this season. Mavericks are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 vs. NBA Southwest

NBA Underdogs of 10 or more points (DALLAS) - a good offensive team (98-102 PPG) against a horrible defensive team (102 PPG or more), after a loss by 10 points or more are 30-8 ATS L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Underdogs of 10 or more points (DALLAS) - poor rebounding team - outrebounded by opponents by 3+ per game, in February games are 25-8 ATS L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Dallas to cover

The Sacramento Kings are a young team, but they have a great deal of energy and must not be underestimated in their ability to cover this DD number as road dogs here in Minnesota tonight. The Kings have recently pulled off upsets on the road against the Heat and Pelicans and have a never say die attitude. Meanwhile, MINNESOTA is  just 7-17 ATS   when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season dating back to their last campaign and 12-23 ATS  when playing against a struggling  team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%).

Kings are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games

NBA Underdogs of 10 or more points (SACRAMENTO) - poor rebounding team - outrebounded by opponents by 3+ per game, in February games are 25-8 ATS L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Sacramento Kings to cover

According to my power rankings and head to head matchup analysis Memphis should be 5 point favs here at home in this battle vs UCF, thus we have value taking them here to cover. UCF is just 5-6 SU on the road this season while Memphis plays their best games at home going 12-3 SU this season.

MEMPHIS is 9-0 ATS  L/9 off 2 straight losses against conference rivals . MEMPHIS is 10-1 ATS  L/11 off a home loss.Knights are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 vs. American Athletic Conference.Tigers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a double-digit loss at home.

Memphis have owned this series at going 11-0 SU.

CBB teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (UCF) - after trailing in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half, with just two starters returning from last season are 23-55 L/5 seasons for a 70% go against conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Memphis to cover

St.Marys exerts so much energy each and every time they play a game, leaving everything on the floor as is evident by their winning scores and if you tune in sometime and watch them play. Because of this they are some times left exhausted when on short rest. The Gaels just played on Thursday night in a DD road win vs Loyola Marymount, and now will be on tired legs at the worst possible time as they face a Gonzaga side that is 5-1 ATS L/6 vs .900 or better opposition. St.Marys is just 0-8 ATS with 1 days rest and could easily get upset tonight by a Bulldogs program, that has revenge on board for a 74-71 loss they suffered to the Gaels earlier this season. GONZAGA is 11-2 ATS    in road games revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite and is 10-1 ATS   in road games revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite of 7or more.

ST MARYS-CA is 0-6 ATS L/6  in home games on Saturday games .ST MARYS-CA is 0-6 ATS  L/6 in home games off a road win by 10 points or more

CBB Road teams as an underdog or pick (GONZAGA) - off a road win by 10 points or more against opponent off a road blowout win by 20 points or more are 75-32 ATS L/21 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Gonzaga to cover

I know that the San Antonio Spurs are a little banged up with key cog Leonard out of the lineup , however,  I'm betting their still viable underdogs here on a line that according to my own projections is a little bloated,  thanks to the defending champion Golden State Warriors being a public team. The Warriors are just 21-31-2 ATS this season, and have continually failed to produce covers for their backers, thanks to the exaggerated lines attached to their tilts. I know they clobbered the Spurs earlier this season on the road by a 112-92 mark, but lately the champs have looked a little tired and maybe just floating into the all star break as they look preserve energy for the stretch run. Meanwhile, Popovich and company are a group looking for revenge here, and probably feel a little disrespected by being pegged DD dogs. ( By the way despite of what NBA players and coaches say they do take the occasional  peak a vegas lines)

SAN ANTONIO is 10-1 ATS  L/11  in road games after 2 straight games where they attempted 90 or more shots . Golden State is 4-16 ATS facing teams with same season revenge for a 20 point or more loss.

NBA Underdogs of 10 or more points (SAN ANTONIO) - after one or more consecutive overs, a good offensive team (98-102 PPG) against a  defense  allowing  (102 PPG or more ) are 29-8 ATS L5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate.

NBA Underdogs of 10 or more points (SAN ANTONIO) - revenging a home loss vs opponent against opponent after a cover as a double digit favorite are 41-16 L/5 seasons, for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the San Antonio Spurs to cover

Texas Tech is riding high at the moment, but I'm betting they get side tracked here, by a revenge minded Kansas State side that has revenge on board for a 74-58 beat down at Lubbock earlier this season. The Raiders have a great record on the season ( 20-4 , 8-3) but their only 3-3 in true road games, and have lost their L/8 trips here to play the Wildcats. The Cats are also 5-1 ATS at home when seeking revenge in this series and are viable dogs in this spot .

 Play on Kansas State to cover

The Orlando Magic are  playing some very good basketball at the moment and enter this game against the Milwaukee Bucks with  three straight wins. What is even more important as far as we are concerned is the Magic's ability to be very competitive as they have covered 13 of their L/15 overall.  It took some time but this team is jelling behind a patient coaching staff, and management that has not been hard on this young group. The Magic  are playing well with the duo D.J. Augustin and Shelvin Mack as their primary point guards after Elfrid Payton was traded to Phoenix at the deadline.  With Augustin as a starter  the Magic have flourished going 6-2 SU with him in the starting lineup. During a current 6-5 11 game run the Magic are averaging 107.6 points on 48 percent shooting while allowing 105.4 points and dangerous opponents vs a tired Milwaukee team that looked exhausted last night in a physical loss to the Heat (91-85), and will have very little left in the tank in this spot. 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up loss.

MILWAUKEE is 9-19 ATS  L/28 against Southeast division opponents over the last 2 seasons.Magic are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Magic are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 vs. NBA Central.Underdog is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings.Bucks are 3-8 ATS in the last 11 meetings in Orlando and 1-4 ATS L/5 meetings overall.

Play on Orlando to cover

Virginia beat up on VTech in their first meeting this season 78-52, and now Virgina Tech will be out to get some payback and be competitive vs their rivals.  The Hokies are 7-0 ATS in this series with same season revenge, and the Cavaliers are just 0-5 L/5  ATS  overall vs the Hokies when they have revenge .  The Cavs may also be ripe for the picking after starting out their last game looking very tired, and had to mount a ferocious comeback to get a win vs Florida State that may have them in a emotional deflated situation at the worst possible time.

VIRGINIA TECH is 6-0 ATS   revenging a same season loss vs opponent over the last few seasons.

VIRGINIA TECH is 30-17 ATS  L/47 as an underdog over the last few seasons.

Play on Virginia Tech to cover

UT Arlington has revenge on board for a ugly 83-62 loss to Texas State in  the Sun Belt Tournament last season, and will now be out to hand out some payback here this afternoon vs a side in a slump after suffering 3 straight losses.  Series history is on the Mavericks side as they have won 9 of the L/10 meetings in this series covering 8 of them. Overall Texas State also has a ugly history in losses to avenging foes going just 1-16 ATS and are fade material here vs a revenge minded side playing in front of their own fans.

TX-ARLINGTON is 8-0 ATS  after allowing 75 points or more 2 straight games, which has just  happened in back to back wins.

Play on Texas Arlington to cover

  Purdue got caught looking ahead in peekaboo fashion to this game with Michigan State, and got taken out by Ohio State 64-63 in their last trip to the hardwood. Now the Big bad Boilermakers have an even more focused outlook on this game, and I'm betting they come up big here vs the Spartans. Wednesday’s loss to Ohio State was Purdue’s first in Big Ten play and dropped the Boilermakers into a first-place tie in the league standings at 12-1 with the Buckeyes. Michigan State is one game back at 11-2, in what has become the best three-team race in America. Purdue has not lost two straight league  games since  2014-15 season.  Purdue is among just 3 teams that are unbeaten in “true” road games this year (Purdue, Saint Mary’s, Ohio State). The Boilermakers 8 Consecutive road wins dating to last year, the second-longest streak in the country. If they lose today it won't come easily and I'm betting the worst case scenario is a one possession loss which makes getting 3 to 3.5 points golden in my opinion.

PURDUE is 7-0 ATS  L/7 versus teams who average 40 or more rebounds/game on the season this season.PURDUE is 16-4 ATS  L/20 versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game .MICHIGAN ST is 1-7 ATS  L/8 versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game after 15+ games this season.

CBB  - Road teams as an underdog or pick (PURDUE) - off a home loss against a conference rival against opponent off 2 or more consecutive road wins are 132-75 ATS L/5 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on Purdue to cover

From a matchup perspective and considering both sides current form and a system vs system analysis Eastern Michigan is the superior side despite of losing the first meeting of the season 75-71.  There was some unfortunate turnovers and missed FTs that put Eastern Michigan in the loss column in that meeting, but revenge and payback is now at hand. The two most recent meetings have seen the road team win, I'm betting on a rinse and repeat situation

BOWLING GREEN is 1-8 ATS  L/9  in home games versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or less.BOWLING GREEN is 2-12 ATS  L/14 versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or less  after 15+ games dating back  a few seasons.

CBB underdog (BOWLING GREEN) - an good offensive team (74-78 PPG) against an average defensive team (67-74 PPG), after 3 straight games where both teams score 70 points or less are 5-33 ATS L/21 seasons for go against 87% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Eastern Michigan to cover

Kansas ranks sixth nationally in the Ratings Percentage Index (RPI) and is second in strength of schedule (through games as of Feb. 7) and must be respected here on the road as short chalk. The linesmakers are expecting a close game here today, but it must be noted that Nine of Kansas' 11 conference games this season have been decided by seven points or less with the Jayhawks going 7-2 SU in those tilts. Going back  to last season, Kansas has played 20 Big 12 contests that were decided by seven points or less, with  Kansas going  17-3 in those outcomes. Needless to say the Jayahwks know how to win close games and get the nod again vs Baylor in this spot.

KANSAS is 8-1 ATS  L/9  in road games in February games. KANSAS is 9-1 ATS  L/10  in road games after having won 2 of their last 3 games. KANSAS is 13-2 ATS L/15  in road games versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or less over the last couple of seasons.KANSAS is 15-4 ATS  L/19  in road games versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season. BAYLOR is 0-7 ATS L/7  in home games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 37% or more of their attempts.BAYLOR is 0-6 ATS  L/6 in home games versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or more of their shots.BAYLOR is 1-9 ATS   in home games versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or less after 15+ games over the last few seasons.

Baylor has won 6 straight meetings in this series overall and 2 straight as visitors.

Play on Kansas to cover

Duquesne slapped Fordham around in their first meeting of the season,  as visitors and now payback is at hand. It must be noted that the road team has won the last four meetings , and I'm betting on the visitor covering again, in a game that features two teams with sub par records. Fordham however, has shown some life of late posting 2 wins in their L/3 games whle Duquesne has lost 4 of their L/5 overall. DUQUESNE is 13-28 ATS  L/41 in home games versus poor shooting teams - making 42% or less of their shots after 15+ games and have a recent negative  history of late in February games losing 12 of their L/13 overall SU.

Fordham to cover

The Utah Jazz are playing some very good basketball at the moment,  having won 7 straight and despite of making a couple of trades at the deadline, are still looking like a viable side to back in this spot vs visiting Charlotte. Yesterday, the Jazz dumped one of their top scoring guards Hood, for an equally gifted  Jae Crowder from Cleveland, a two way player who fits in perfectly into their hard nosed defensive system. I'm expecting the Jazz not to skip a beat. Meanwhile, Charlotte, has lost two straight, and are off a exhausting OT tilt vs Portland last night, and now going in to the thin air of Salt Lake City should have problems competing as this game progresses, making them fade material in this spot.

UTAH is 10-2 ATS after 2 or more consecutive wins this season.CHARLOTTE is 6-16 ATS (as an underdog this season.UTAH is 13-5 ATS  L/18 versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game this season.

NBA Home teams (UTAH) - off 2 or more consecutive road wins, on Friday nights are 36-13 ATS L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Utah  Jazz to cover

As this season has progressed I have gained a lot of respect for the Miami Heat, and their work ethic behind key cog Hassan Whiteside. With newly acquired Dwayne Wade coming home to finish his career after getting traded yesterday, and some desperation after a 5 game losing streak,  I'm expecting a little extra jump in the legs of this Heat team, and for and from them to come out of this with a victory vs the  Giannis "Greek Freak" Antetokounmpo and company.

Note: Milwaukee is short handed .. G Delavedova  and  G Malcolm Brogdon (torn left quad) are out with injuries.

MIAMI is 15-4 ATS  L/19 when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season dating back to the last campaign.Heat are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record MIAMI is 17-8 ATS   versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less  turnovers/game this season.Heat are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 vs. NBA Central.Bucks are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 vs. NBA Southeast.Bucks are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings.

NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (MIAMI) - after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 78-21 SU L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Underdogs (MILWAUKEE) - off 2 or more consecutive road wins, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team are 57-99 ATS L/21 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 61% for bettors on the blind.

Play on the Miami Heat to cover

Houston has been in top form almost all season, and despite of a current 6 game win streak enter this game a little banged up with starting forward Ryan Anderson (ankle) and reserve guard Eric Gordon (back) on the bench along with key starter Ariza and will be  short handed here tonight. Meanwhile, the Nuggets, winners of three straight and six of eight, are also currently in good form, and out to looking to avenge a loss to Houston earlier this season. Considering the Rockets situation and  heavy schedule of late, I'm making a contrarian move here and backing Denver to cover the number in a spot play.

DENVER is 11-3 ATS L/14  revenging a same season loss vs opponent this season. HOUSTON is 5-18 ATS L/23 in home games versus good passing teams, averaging 23or more assists/game .HOUSTON is 8-18 ATS  L/26 in home games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots.

NBA Home teams (HOUSTON) - off 2 or more consecutive road wins, on Friday nights 36-13 ATS L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate .

Play on Denver to cover

Harvard has revenge on board for 3 straight losses to Princeton  last season and will now be primed for payback. With the Crimson currently rounding into top form and playing their best hoops of the season, (5-1 L/6) it will be an easy decision to lay the short lumber and take them here at home in this spot. Note: The Crimson has come alive from beyond the 3-point line, making 38 triples over the last three games while shooting 48.7 percent making them dangerous in their current form.

Tigers are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games following a straight up loss.Crimson are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Crimson are 17-6-2 ATS in their last 25 vs. Ivy League.Harvard was a stellar 6-1 at home in Ivy play last season, and outscored its opponents over the 14-game stretch by nearly eight points per game.

HARVARD is 11-2 ATS  L/13  versus good 3 point shooting teams - making  37% or better of their attempts .  PRINCETON is 0-6 ATS  L/6 as a road underdog of 6 points or less or pick.

Play on Harvard to cover

 BYU is off an emotional loss to Gonzaga last time out, in a hard fought tilt that saw them lose for the 3rd time in 4 outings,  and will now enter this game in a let down situation and be susceptible to a down effort vs a opponent that they will look at as inferior. BYU clobbered San Clara 80-54 earlier this season on Jan 13th and now  the visitor will be playing with revenge and very focused on giving out a better effort in the rematch. With that said, lets take the points.

Santa Clara Trending upwards....Santa Clara has posted 26 of its 52 blocks in the last six games,
Note: Santa Clara has won three of its last four on the road after dropping its first five of the season away from Leavey Center.

Santa Clara and BYU are sixth and seventh, respectively, in 3-pointers per game. The Broncos average 8.0 per game and the Cougars 6.8.

SANTA CLARA is 8-0 ATS  L/8 off 2 straight losses against conference rivals over the last few seasons. SANTA CLARA is 7-0 ATS  L/7  in road games after scoring 25 points or less in the first half last game.SANTA CLARA is 20-6 ATS  L/26  in road games after having lost 6 or 7 of their last 8 games.SANTA CLARA is 11-2 ATS  in road games off a loss against a conference rival .BYU is 6-16 ATS  L/22 after a game where they covered the spread.

CBB Road teams as an underdog or pick (SANTA CLARA) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off 2 consecutive losses of 10 or more to conference rivals are 94-48 ATS L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors.

Santa Clara to cover

LMU took down BYU last Thursday on the Bluff, and must not be underestimated in their ability to cover vs might St.Mary's here tonight. In the season’s first matchup with the Gaels, SMC shot 62 percent (31-for-50) against the Lions and 62.5 percent (10-for-16) from three, the best shooting percentages for any LMU opponent this season. I'm betting the Gaels won't come near those numbers again. Since that ugly low point, eight of LMU’s conference games have been decided by seven points or fewer, including seven of the last eight games and five straight. My own power rankings and system to system ranking suggest we have value with the home pup.

Favorites of 10 to 19.5 points (ST MARYS-CA) - after 3 or more consecutive unders, an explosive offensive team (76 PPG or more ) against an average offensive team (67-74 PPG) after 15+ games are 31-64 ATS L/5 seasons for a 68% go against conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Loyola Marymount to cover

Southern Illinois and Illinois State are both playing some of their best basketball of the season entering this tilt, with Southern Illinois on a 5 game win streak, while the Red Birds are 3-0 L/3.During Illinois State head coach Dam Muller's tenure, the Redbirds have a 44-22 record over the last 12 games of the regular season, including a 4-2 mark this season. His ability to make his teams better as the season progresses, is a testament to his top teir coaching abilities, and his side is the choice tonight on their own home court behind his big time group of three leading scorers of Yarbrough, Keyshawn Evans , and Fayne . These athletes are a one of the best trios in the  country  as they average 15 points per game.

Illinois State has covered 19 of the L/25 meetings in this series and when they own a .520 or better record like they do now they are a perfect 11-0 ATS.

S ILLINOIS is 0-7 ATS  L/7 after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games.

Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (S ILLINOIS) - good shooting team (45-47.5%) against an average defensive team (42.5-45%), hot shooting team - 4 straight games making 47% or more  of their shots are just 13-37 ATS L/21 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 74% for bettors.

Play on Illinois State to cover

The Washington Wizards despite of not having All-Star John Wall  in the lineup conjured up a     five-game winning streak before abruptly having it end in their last trip to the hardwood. The victorious run included wins vs Oklahoma City  and  Toronto.  Meanwhile, their opponents the Boston Celtics also had their ,  four game win streak ended when they were beaten up on by Toronto last time out  111-91  thud. Now these teams will both be looking to get back on track. Both according to my power rankings are pretty evenly matched, with home court advantage being the difference maker and their ability to outduel their opponents via top tier  ball movement and balanced scoring .

WASHINGTON is 19-8 ATS L/27 in home games after a loss by 10 points or more over the last few  seasons. Washington has won 5 of the L/7 meetings at home in this series SU. Wizards are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

NBA All teams where the line is +3 to -3 (WASHINGTON) - off a road loss by 10 points or more, in February games are 40-17 ATS L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate.

NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (BOSTON) - after scoring 40 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games against opponent after a combined score of 215 points or more are 8-54 SU L/21 seasons for a87% go against conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Washington Wizards to cover

The Flames won the last meeting between the schools, 92-78, at the Beeghly Center on Jan. 18, and now Youngstown State will be out looking for revenge and more importantly a top tier effort. I know Illinois Chicago is on a big time run right now , after a slow start to their campaign, but from a power rankings perspective and projections based on tonight's starting lineups we have value on this line with the underdog.

The last time these schools played at the UIC Pavilion, the Flames came away with an 84-81 victory in 2017.

YOUNGSTOWN ST is 27-13 ATS  off 2 consecutive losses of 10 or more to conference rivals .

CBB Road underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (YOUNGSTOWN ST) - off a home loss against a conference rival against opponent off 2 or more consecutive road wins are 71-32 ATS L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Youngstown State to cover

Orlando is play very good basketball at the moment, winning 3 of their L/4 games and are off beating the Cleveland Cavaliers last time out.Since a 130-113 defeat  at Washington, the Magic are at .500 ( 5-5)  in their last 10 games. Four of the losses during that run are by single digits and four victories came  against teams with above.500 records Meanwhile. Atlanta has also won 2 straight, but my own power rankings suggest the Magic have the edge on their own home court. With that said, I am recommending we take the points in this spot.

Magic are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 vs. Eastern Conference.Magic are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games overall.Hawks are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 vs. Eastern Conference.Hawks are 4-16-1 ATS in their last 21 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points.Hawks are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.

NBA Underdogs (ATLANTA) - off a home blowout win by 20 points or more, a bad team, winning 25% to 40% of their games on the season are 53-96 L/21 seasons for a 65% go against conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on Orlando to cover

Bryant has used 16 different starting lineup combinations this season, which is the most nationally entering the week. The Bulldogs have started 12 different players this season, with only Ikkenna Ndugba  and Adam Grant  starting in at least two-thirds of Bryant's 25 games and are thus hard to scout and prepare for by most teams including Wagner. From a matchup perspective the linesmakers have gotten carried away here with this number, and we have good value taking the points in this spot.

CBB Underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (BRYANT) - off a home loss against a conference rival against opponent off a home win by 10 points or more are 109-56 ATS L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Bryant to cover

UC Irvine Anteaters'  took a 71-54 victory over the Matadors on Jan. 13, but this time around I expect UC Northridge will be much more competitive as their coach Theus is a top tier technical guy who has the  ability to make adjustments .

CS-NORTHRIDGE is 34-12 ATS  L/46 in road games revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more. HC Theus is 9-1 ATS  L/10  in road games versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game after 15+games.

CS-NORTHRIDGE is 8-1 ATS L/9  in road games versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or better after 15+ games over the last few seasons. CS-NORTHRIDGE is 13-4 ATS  L/17   in road games versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or better. CS-NORTHRIDGE is 15-6 ATS L/21 in road games against conference opponents.

CBB Home teams as a favorite or pick (UC-IRVINE) - after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last ten games, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season are 61-100 L/21 seasons for a 65% go against conversion rate for bettors.

Play on CS Northridge to cover

It's official the lines-makers have finally thrown in the towel on the Cleveland Cavaliers after the Cavs completely embarrassed themselves in a  116-88 loss  to the Orlando Magic on Tuesday. Absolutely pitiful is the best two words I can use to describe that effort . It truly sickening to watch a talented team like this implode, which seems to be the case as HC Tyronn Lue can't seem to stomach watching this calamity unfold, and  has left the last two games at some point because of undisclosed illness. Despite of that last nasty effort, I'm still grasping on to my power rankings that suggest we have a live home dog here with what still must be considered a championship calibre team. With pride on the line, and revenge on board for a Cleveland's loss to the  Wolves on Jan. 8, in  Minnesota via a ugly 127-99 beating I'm actually going to recommend we take the points here. I know this is a contrarian viewpoint, but my convictions about this team, are still at least for now solid . With the Cavs showcasing a 19-7 SU record at home this season, I'm betting they dig deep here in play an inspired game in front of their fans , and get us the cover. QUOTE: "Just got to keep pushing," said LeBron James, who scored only 10 points the last time the Cavs played Minnesota. "Stay positive, keep pushing. Try to get better. That's where it's at for me. We've got another opportunity tomorrow playing against a very good team that beat us up pretty good in Minnesota before. We look forward to the challenge. We've got to come out with the right game plan, we've got to come out with a sense of urgency and we've got to play the game the right way and try to sustain some good basketball for 48 minutes." END QUOTE:

Minnesota has lost 4 of their L/7 overall, and  is 7-17 ATS  L/24  in road games in non-conference games .Timberwolves are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 road games.

Home underdogs (CLEVELAND) - revenging a road loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, off an upset loss by 15 points or more as a favorite. are 33-9 ATS L/21 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Cleveland Cavs to cover

These two teams the Jazz and Grizzlies are currently playing at the opposite ends of the proverbial performance spectrum of late, with Utah on a 6 game win streak while the Grizzlies are on 4 game losing streak. Despite of the their current discrepancies   ,  their is value backing the home dog on what is a slightly bloated number. I know the Grizzlies played last night, but they did not exert much energy, in a lifeless loss to Atlanta, and recently have shown resiliency and good conditioning as they are 4-0 ATS L/4 back to backs, and are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400 and  6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days and 7-2-1 ATS L/10 at home overall. Meanwhile the Jazz are Jazz are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. This ticket is not based on which side is better at the moment, but is based on the mathematics associated with spread betting, and according to my numbers and power rankings we  have value taking points.

Underdog is 9-4 ATS in the last 13 meetings.

NBA teams like  (UTAH) - after 4 or more consecutive wins, in February games are just 40-77 ATS L/5 seasons for a 66% go against conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Memphis to cover

Virginia is proving it is one of the front runners for the national championship this season behind  a defense that is ranked No.1 and allowing just 53 ppg. Meanwhile, their hosts the Florida State Seminoles, after a fast start to their season, have slowed considerably and are just 5-5 in their L/10 games for a .500 record during that period. As far as todays matchup is concerned it must be noted that Virginia  lost Florida State at home last season by a 60-58 count , and will be primed to exact revenge for that defeat in this spot. With Virginia well rested I expect they will deliver some payback.

HC Tony Bennett is a perfect 11-0 L/11 in his career with 3 or more days rest seeking revenge.

VIRGINIA is 11-4 ATS L/15 when playing against a team with a winning record this season.VIRGINIA is 9-2 ATS   versus good shooting teams - making 45% or more of their shots this season. VIRGINIA is 11-4 ATS   versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game this season. VIRGINIA is 8-0 ATS  L/8  in road games after having won 12 or more of their last 15 games.

Play on Virginia to cover

Samford will be meeting Wofford  tonight in a key SoCon tilt. The Terriers   barley got by the Bulldogs earlier this season, 93-89, in a  battle at the  Pete Hanna Center in Birmingham, Alabama, on Jan. 18. Samford despite of not performing all that well this season, do matchup well vs Wofford according to my cross reference player to player and system to systems analysis and are viable underdogs in this spot.

Samford HC Padgett is 16-5 ATS  L/21  in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%).

WOFFORD is 1-7 ATS  L/8 after 2 consecutive conference games this season.SAMFORD is 14-4 ATS  L/18  in road games after failing to cover 4 of their last 5 against the spread.

CBB Road teams as an underdog or pick (SAMFORD) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off 2 consecutive losses of 10 or more to conference rivals are 94-48 L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Samford to cover

 Both the Memphis Grizzlies and their hosts the Atlanta Hawks have been highly inconsistent this season, with neither probably inspiring many bettors to back them. But in a game involving two bottom feeders, one side the ( Grizzlies) are the lesser of two evils according to my power rankings and head to head matchup analysis. When these teams played   on Dec. 15.  the Grizzlies defeated the Hawks  96-94 in Memphis , and once again look like a viable side to back in this spot.

ATLANTA is 1-13 ATS  L/14  in home games after failing to cover 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread dating back to last season.

Grizzlies are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Hawks are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win.Underdog is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings.Road team is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (MEMPHIS) - off a road loss by 10 points or more, in February games are 24-4 ATS L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Memphis Grizzlies to cover

The Knicks enter this game frustrated and embarrassed after blowing what looked like a sure win last time out, as they gave up a 5 point lead with under 2 min lefts  and lost to Atlanta . Now completely dejected and with nothing to lose, I expect a all out effort from a side looking to get some pride back. Key Trend: Knicks are 5-0 ATS l/5 after a loss. QUOTE: "I can't even process that we lost," Knicks leading scorer Kristaps Porzingis told reporters after the game. "I can't believe it. It was our game. It was 100 percent our game. Stuff happened quick, and boom, it was over. ... We're just not there yet as a team. We keep losing these games." END QUOTE: I know the Knicks don't inspire many bettors, but considering their current mood, and  the fact they actually matchup well vs the Bucks  actually makes them  decent options in this spot. Note:  When these teams played last week the Bucks squeaked out a 92-90  vs the Knicks at home , but now with this game now in NYC could get easily get  hi jacked in MSG in the rematch tonight. (  The Knicks are outrebounding Bucks this season, 44.4 to 39.0, and the Bucks rank  19th in the NBA in points per game (104.7) and 11th in points allowed (104.9). The Knicks are right behind the Bucks in both categories ranking  20th in points per game (104.1) and 13th in points allowed at 105.5. Milwaukee has a SRS of - 0.28 vs NYK -1.69 .

Bucks are 3-8-2 ATS in their last 13 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record. Underdog is 7-2 ATS L/9 meetings and Bucks have failed to cover 4 of their L/5 visits to NY to play the Knicks.

Bucks Giannis Antetokounmpo left last game, is upgraded to probable Tuesday vs New York ( Foot ) but is still operating at  less than 100% tonight.

NEW YORK is 15-5 ATS  L/20 after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons. MILWAUKEE is 18-30 ATS  L/48 after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games .

NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (NEW YORK) - after a close loss by 3 points or less against opponent after scoring 105 points or more are  55-27 ATS L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on the NY Knicks to cover

Ohio enters the contest with a 9-13 SU overall record and 2-8 in MAC play and are struggling mightily after having lost 4 straight  . Ohio is 7-5 (1-4 MAC) at home and once again according to my power rankings are being over rated here on this home chalk line vs a Akron side that matches up well against them despite of their experience levels . Meanwhile, Akron is on a 3 game losing streak, but it must be noted that  since the start of the 2004-05 season, the Zips have been one of top teams in the country when it comes to bouncing back off a loss. Excluding season-ending losses, Akron is 97-39 SU (.713)  following a loss.  During this strong run, Akron has only posted 30 losing streaks with 18 of those at just two games and 22 have consisted of two or more games on the road (road/neutral site).  UA has not lost more than four-straight games in over 10 years and this trend I'm betting will not easily end tonight, making getting points golden in my humble opinion.

The Zips have won 10 of the last 14 meetings, and three of the last five meetings at the Convocation Center and won the first meetings of the season between these two teams back on Jan 23 71-68 as 1 point chalk.

OHIO U is 4-12 ATS  L/16 versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season. OHIO U is 0-6 ATS  L/6 as a home favorite of 6 points or less or pick. OHIO U is 0-6 ATS   on Tuesday nights this season.

Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (OHIO U) - after going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last seven games, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a losing team are 26-62 ATS L/21 seasons for a 71% go against conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Akron to cover

The Huskies enter this game against red hot Toledo, off an 81-65 setback at home against Miami this past Saturday (Feb. 3), just their second home loss of the season, but I'm expecting a big bounce back here vs a program that they always seem to be up for playing against. Note:  NIU (10-13, 3-7 MAC) has won each of its last three trips to the Glass City, including a 74-72 victory last season (Jan. 28, 2017). I know Northern Illinois has been very inconsistent this season, but they are showing flashes of brilliance, which have influenced my MAC power rankings and matchup stats.  NIU Over the last four games,  is shooting 64 percent from the field in the second half, including 54.5 percent from three-point range, and has scored 46.0 points per game after the intermission. So from a back door perspective , this is the kind of side I feel good backing on this type of DD underdog line.

CBB Home favorites of 10 to 19.5 points (TOLEDO) - after 4 straight games forcing opponent to commit 11 or less turnovers against opponent after 5 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers are 13-42 ATS L/21 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

CBB Underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (N ILLINOIS) - off an upset loss by 15 or more as a home favorite against opponent off a road win are 41-12 ATS L/21 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Northern Illinois to cover

Two cellar dwellers go head to head tonight in the NBA. The Bulls  are  near the bottom of the Eastern Conference. The Kings are at the bottom  of the Western Conference. But according to my power rankings one side is the lesser of two evils and that is the Chicago Bulls, a hoops franchise that despite of rebuilding has played well for long stretch's this season and have gained my respect. I know their leading scorer(Mirotic)  was traded to the Pelicans, in exchange for forward Omer Asik and guard Jameer Nelson, but with key cog Markkanen back in the lineup after a week off (personal) they  will have fresh legs in the lineup and will be  dangerous underdogs.    With that said,  the Kings have not won on their own home floor since a 106-98 victory over the Denver Nuggets on Jan. 6 and are weak chalk here again tonight .

Chicago has won 4 of their L/5 visits to Sacramento and are 2-0 here in recent meetings.

SACRAMENTO is 4-14 ATS  versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game this season. CHICAGO is 14-5 ATS  L/19  versus struggling foul drawing teams - attempting 21 or less free throws/game this season.CHICAGO is 18-9 ATS   versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts this season.

NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (CHICAGO) - off a road loss by 10 points or more, in February games are 24-3 ATS L/5 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors, and NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (CHICAGO) - off 2 or more consecutive road losses, well rested team - playing 6 or less games in 14 days are a bankroll expanding 70-25 ATS L/21 seasons for a long term 74% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Chicago to cover

The Jazz have won five in a row, including their last four road games, and they upset the San Antonio Spurs on Saturday night 120-111 and are currently operating at a top level of performance. Meanwhile, the New Orleans Pelicans have lost three of four games since star center DeMarcus Cousins suffered a season-ending left Achilles tear and are now struggling to find cohesiveness as they adjust to his absence. From a matchup perspective in both sides current for the Jazz have the edge.The Jazz have won four of the last five against New Orleans and get the nod again as road pups.

Jazz are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Pelicans are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Jazz are 6-1-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings in New Orleans.

UTAH is 9-1 ATS  L/10 after 2 or more consecutive wins this season. UTAH is 15-4 ATS  L/19 in road games when playing 4 or less games in 10 days. NEW ORLEANS is 27-42 ATS  L/69 as a home favorite. Pelicans HC Gentry is 9-24 favorite ATS  L/33 where they attempted 90 or more shots in all games in 2 straight games .  Snyder is 21-9 ATS   revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home in his career.

NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (UTAH) - after going over the total by more than 30 points in their previous game, second half of the season are 24-4 ATS L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Utah to cover

Super Bowl 52 - US Bank Stadium - Minneapolis, MN

New England's super star QB Tom Brady despite of being able to perform miracle after football miracle, via amazing comebacks,  must finally be feeling like he and his team mates need to play a complete start to finish game, and stop messing around with fate. With that said, I expect the 40 year old  Phenom, to be extremely focused and prepared to lay down a big beat down vs a Philadelphia side that is over matched  and in an emotional letdown situation after surprising Minnesota in DD blowout in  their Conference championship game .That aforementioned victory  saw the Eagles exert a lot of energy in a stadium that was rocking and shaking all night long with  extremely exuberant fans. The Party in the City of brotherly love, after wards was enormous, and the players now exhausted and ready to go into Super Bowl preparations, will now be even more drained by the time game time arrives.  Now against what I am betting is a very focused and experienced  Patriots team that been here before,   I expect we will see their superior overall talent in most facets of this game, including the all important Head Coach position  on full display this Sunday. Everyone loves an underdog, but when push comes to shove, the defending champs must be respected on any line of a TD or less and are my pick to win and cover and get yet another Super Bowl ring.

NEW ENGLAND is 11-1 ATS  L/12 versus good offensive teams - averaging 5.65 or more  yards/play and is 10-1 ATS  L/11  vs. good passing teams averaging 235 or more passing yards/game.

Belichick is 16-4 ATS L20 vs. dominant ball control teams, 32+ minutes TOP, 21+ FD's per game.

PHILADELPHIA is 0-6 ATS  L/6 in road games  vs teams - allowing 350  or more yards/game.

NFL team (PHILADELPHIA) - off an upset win as a home underdog, with a winning record on the season are 97-169 ATS L/34 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Update: I know the Pats previous Super Bowl wins have been close, but I'm betting that won't be the case this time around. Note: the straight-up winner of the Super Bowl is 43-6-2 ATS L/51.

Play on the New England Patriots to cover

Portland has been playing some highly competitive hoops of late and have won 7 of their L/9 games and have only failed to cover 1 of their L/8 games overall. The Trail Blazers saw their four-game winning streak end abruptly last time out in a 130-105 loss at Toronto on Friday, but will now be ready to bounce back in a big way vs a Celtics side playing without injured Kyrie Irving. The Blazers have scored 100 points in 17 straight games, and matchup well here vs a side has suddenly become defensively deficient of late holding only 2 of their L/10 opponents to under 100 points.

The road team won both meetings last season and I expect another cover here by the visitors.


PORTLAND is 8-1 ATS L/9 on the road when the line is +3 to -3 this season.PORTLAND is 10-1 ATS L/11 in a road game where the total is 200 to 209.5 this season.BOSTON is 6-17 ATS L/23 in home games after playing 2 consecutive home games.BOSTON is 18-34 ATS L/52 in home games after 3 straight games where they made 47% of their shots.


Blazers are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall.Road team is 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings.

NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (PORTLAND) - off a road loss by 10 points or more, in February games are 24-3 ATS L/5 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Portland Blazers to cover

Ohio State enters this game on a 8-1 SU run, and will now be ready for a Illinois team off their first win in Big 10 play last time out against Rutgers. From a matchup perspective Ohio State is the far superior side, and have revenge and a motivational factor on side for a New Years day loss to Illinois last season. It must be noted that Illinois is just 3-18 ATS L/21 when they lose vs a conference side with revenge. Ohio State has gone 3-0 SU/ATS L/3 with revenge in this series, and are a bankroll expanding 32-3 ATS when they get their SU revenge in conference games. The Illini have lost seven in a row in Value City Arena and are 2-13 there. Note: Ohio State has won their home games by an average almost 15 ppg this season.

ILLINOIS is 16-31 ATS  L/47  in road games off a home blowout win by 20 points or more , which happened against Rutgers last time out. ILLINOIS is 1-8 ATS  L/9 versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or more of their shots after 15+ games. OHIO ST is 8-0 ATS  L/8  in home games after 2 straight games where opponent grabbed 26 or less rebounds . OHIO ST is 9-2 ATS against conference opponents this season.

Play on Ohio State to cover

San Diego State I'm betting is in a emotional letdown spot, after a grueling game with UNLV they lost last time out. Actually the Aztecs, have struggled a bit recently losing 4 of their L/5 SU and currently much to my surprise do not look like Mountain West contenders. Meanwhile, visiting Air Force despite of a sub par below .500 record ( 8-12) have been highly  competitive , while covering 6 of their L/7 overall and according to my numbers are solid underdogs in this spot.

 AIR FORCE is 6-0 ATS   when playing against a team with a winning record this season. AIR FORCE is 8-0 ATS  L/8 versus excellent teams - shooting  45% or more with a defense of 42%  or less the last few seasons. AIR FORCE is 19-8 ATS L/27 as a road underdog of 15.5 to 18 points.

San Diego State is 1-8 ATS L/9 in this series.

Play on Air Force to cover

Denver enters this game having played three straight grueling games, with their last game resulting in a last second 127-124 buzzer beater win vs Oklahoma City. Now on tired legs and in an emotional letdown state, I'm betting they have problems dealing with a Golden State team that they may meet in the first round of the play offs. The Warriors also aware of the possible post season implications, will now take the  time I'm betting to deliver a message and knock down a fragile Nuggets group still dealing with confidence issues, after making a habit of squandering leads this season, including the win they took last time out. There is also a low possibility  , that the Warriors will not be prepared to play here tonight, as Denver has played them tough on occasion in the past including shocking them by 96-81 back on Dec 3 at home. With that said, I'm also betting the Warriors would love to shovel out some pay back here tonight and leave this building  and their fans in a shambles via  smack down performance.

 Nuggets are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 vs. NBA Pacific.Road team is 8-2-1 ATS in the last 11 meetings.Warriors are 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings in Denver.

Golden States SRS - is 8.21 vs Denver SRS - 0.50 .( Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average.)

GOLDEN STATE is 15-4 ATS  L/19  in road games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season dating back to last season.

NBA Road favorites (GOLDEN STATE) - off a win by 10 points or more over a division rival, tired team - playing their 3rd road game in 5 days are 25-2 ATS L/21 seasons for a 92% conversion rare  winning SU by an average of 11.1 pgg.

Play on Golden State Warriors to cover

Last night  Pacers came back from an 18-point first-half deficit to make the game tight, but ended up losing 133-126 to the Charlotte Hornets. What I took from that game, was how much of a flow the Pacers can get into when their running and gunning and how well they matchup vs a side the  76ers. With that said, I'm betting on the well conditioned PACERS continuing their flow vs a Philadelphia 76ers side  that has lost 4 of their L/5 road games SU  and also played last night .76ers are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games playing on no  rest.  Also add to that Indiana will have the added motivation, vs a Sixers side that took them out, by a 121-110 count back in November in Philly and you have a quality side situation to sink our teeth into.

76ers are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games when their starting 5 players combine for more than 160 minutes of the previous day. Chalk is 8-2 ATS L/10 meetings in this series.

INDIANA is 27-13 ATS  in home games revenging a same season loss vs opponent. Indiana has won 3 straight at home in this series.PHILADELPHIA is 5-17 ATS L/22 when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) - 2nd half of the season over the last few seasons

NBA Road teams vs. the money line (PHILADELPHIA) - good shooting team (45.5-47.5%) against an poor defensive team (45.5-47.5%), poor ball handling team (16.5 TO's or more ) against a good ball handling team ( 14.5 TO's or less) are 9-31 SU L/21 seasons for a go against conversion  rate of 78% for bettors.

Play on the Pacers to cover

My  College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

FLA ATLANTIC is 1-8 ATS   versus good shooting teams - making 45% or more of their shots this season.FLA ATLANTIC is 2-9 ATS  L/11  in home games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game.SOUTHERN MISS is 8-0 ATS L/8 off 2 or more consecutive road losses.

CBB Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (FLA ATLANTIC) - after going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last seven games, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a losing team  are 26-62 ATS L/21 seasons for a 71% go against conversion rate for bettors .

Play on Southern Miss to cover

My  College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

OLE MISS is 13-0 ATS L/13 off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.OLE MISS is 17-4 ATS  L/21 as a road underdog of 10 or more points.

CBB Road underdogs of 10 or more points (OLE MISS) - off a home loss against a conference rival against opponent off a home win by 10 points or more are 88-44 ATS L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors.

CBB Underdogs of 10 or more points (OLE MISS) - off a home loss against a conference rival against opponent off a home win by 10 points or more are 115-59 ATS L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Ole Miss to cover

Alabama  enters this game vs Florida as a underdog with a bite, as is evident by a 3-1 record when playing an AP Top-25 team this season. The Tide,  have defeated then-No. 5 Texas A&M, then-No. 17 Auburn and then-No. 12 Oklahoma, and  is one of eight teams from around the nation who has at least three victories of AP Top-25 teams this season. I know the  Crimson Tide were upset last time out by Missouri, but I think this group got caught looking ahead to this tilt, as they lost for the first time at home in program history to the Tigers.  I'm betting Alabama will now be very focused this Saturday, and ready to extend on a 6-3 ATS SEC conversion rate this season.  Meanwhile, Florida is off a hard fought tilt against Georgia last time out, which has not been a good omen for the program in the past as they are 0-13 ATS L/13 after facing Bulldogs.  

From a matchup perspective Alabama defense is allowing opponents to shoot 41.3 percent from the field , while Florida is shooting just .437 on the season ranking just No.229 in the nation. My own projections make this a much closer game the linesmakers estimate, because of the offense vs defense power rankings system I used for this tilt.

Alabama is 9-3 ATS in this series as a dog of 6 points or more.

Play on Alabama to cover

The last time these teams met, the Lakers took out the Nets by a  124-112 win  as former  Net  Lopez scored a season-high 34 points on 13 of 23 from the field and made six 3-pointers. From a matchup perspective I feel the Lakers once again have a viable opportunity to turn the trick again. It must be noted that Brooklyn  could easily also be in a letdown scenario here , after back to back  grueling division games, including an upset of the 76ers ast time out . BROOKLYN has crashed and burned consistently in the past after these type of affairs  as is  evident by their 1-12 ATS L/13 record in home games after 2 consecutive division games .

Lakers are 9-2-2 ATS in the last 13 meetings in Brooklyn

NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (LA LAKERS) - off 2 or more consecutive road losses, well rested team - playing 6 or less games in 14 days. are 69-25 ATS L/21 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Also NBA  Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (LA LAKERS) - off a road loss by 10 points or more, in February games are 23-3 ATS dating back 5 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on LA Lakers to cover

The Pacers are coming off a 3-0 homestand that included a 105-96 victory over the Hornets on Monday night but despite of that momentum, this is a bad spot for them according to my reference power rankings and system vs system matchup projections. The home team also has the  added edge factored in for Coach Nate McMillan  not being behind the bench tonight for the Pacers because of  personal reasons.  The Hornets also have motivation on their side as they look to get revenge for a earlier loss to the Pacers this season. Actually in that loss the Hornets looked like the better team, when they pushed Dwight Howard to the front of their offensive attack and focused on him getting the ball. They floundered in the second half however, when they got away from that game plan and lost . But now tonight with the Pacers weaknesses exposed look for Howard once again be a focal and point and eventual catalyst in what I am betting will be  a Hornets win and cover .

Pacers are 0-6 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Charlotte.Home team is 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings.

 NBA Road teams vs. the money line (INDIANA) - hot shooting team - 2 straight games making 50% or more  of their shots against opponent after 2 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 50% or higher 9-20 SU for go against 69% conversion rate for bettors over the last 5 seasons losing by an average of 4.4 ppg .

NBA Favorites vs. the money line (CHARLOTTE) - off a win by 10 points or more over a division rival against opponent off a home win are 60-18 SU L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate with the average margin of victory coming by 7.1 ppg.

Play on Charlotte to cover

Head coach Jason Gardner, will have his teamed primed and ready to get back on track vs a  Titans team defeated 81-66 back in January of this season when they last met. IUPUI shot nearly 52 percent as a team while holding Detroit to just over 40 percent from the floor.From a matchup perspective my power rankings suggest the Jaguars have a good chance of breaking a recent 3 game skid here tonight vs Detroit Mercy. Meanwhile, Detroit is 6-17 SU overall and 2-8 SU in Horizon League play. The Titans are 4-7 SU at home this season. The Titans come in having dropped four straight, which began with the 81-66 loss on Jan. 16 to the Jaguars and are fade material in this spot as chalk as they enter this game possibly short handed, and feeling deflated ...

 DETROIT is 0-7 ATS  L/7 in a home game where the total is 150 to 159.5 dating back to last season.DETROIT is 5-15 ATS  L/20 after 2 straight losses by 10 points or more .

Play on IUPU-Indianapolis to cover

The San Francisco  Dons  will travel east on the Bay Bridge to take on long time rival Saint Mary's on Thursday night in McKeon Pavilion. The Gaels are team that is riding a 16-game winning streak, and looks like their on a mission this season. However, with this group playing all out on a nightly basis I'm betting they will  eventually   slow down a bit, which could be the case   against a upstart rival that would love to upset them in this spot. From a matchup analysis standpoint, my system vs system projections give us a decent opportunity to cash via cover . 

ST MARYS-CA is 3-11 ATS  L/14  in home games after a win by 10 points or more.

ST MARYS-CA is 4-12 ATS  L/16 as a home favorite of 12.5 or more points.

CBB Favorites of 10 or more points (ST MARYS-CA) - after 3 or more consecutive unders, an explosive offensive team (76 PPG or more ) against an average offensive team (67-74 PPG) after 15+ games are 31-68 ATS L/21 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on San Francisco to cover

The Thunder have possibly put it all together as they have been surging of late. I'm not completely sold on their sudden reversal in fortunes just  yet, despite of the prognosticators and media shoveling their love for them down our proverbial throats. Hey guys, I'm not dumping on the  Thunder, because the big three of Westbrook, Melo, and George are true big times talents, I'm just throwing caution to the wind as their a lot of basketball to played this season, before a definite stance can be taken and in my opinion the jury is still out.  In their last trip to the hardwood Oklahoma City had  a 8 game win streak abruptly ended against Washington despite of the Wizards playing without John Wall, and in the recent past have proven themselves unreliable and inconsistent despite of their talent levels. With that said, I'll take a contrarian stance, and back the young but talented Denver Nuggets to grab us some cash in the Mile High city tonight. It must be also noted that Oklahoma City has crashed and burned consistently after being cash cows for their backers for extended periods, as this trend indicates: OKLAHOMA CITY is 1-12 ATS   in road games after covering 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread . The Thunder have also not been able to take advantage of struggling defenses: OKLAHOMA CITY is 6-16 ATS  L/22 versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or worse this season.

OKLAHOMA CITY is also just  2-10 ATS  vs. division opponents this season. Thunder are 2-11 ATS in their last 13 vs. NBA Northwest.Nuggets are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Northwest

NBA team vs the money line (DENVER) - average free throw shooting team (72-76%) against a poor free throw shooting team (69-72%), average ball handling team (14.5-16.5 TO's) against a good ball handling team (14.5  or less TO's) are 25-9 L/5 seasons SU for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.

Injury update: Nuggets C Nikola Jokic (ankle) is probable Thursday vs Oklahoma City.

Play on the Denver Nuggets to cover

These are two strong hoops programs, with similar records and defensive records. I know the players and home town crowd will be sky high for this tilt, but if Old Dominion gets the win it won't come easily and I'm betting they fail to cover. Middle Tennessee State is a perfect 8-0 SU/ATS L/8 in this series. Middle Tennessee State has played in hostile environment and recently taken part in NCAA Tourney games and are not easily intimidated. Home court advantage is worth something here, but not enough for me to consider the home chalk as a stable choice, and instead I'm siding with what my own system to system rankings suggest is the better team. ( Middle Tennessee State) This game could easily be decided by one or two possessions  which makes getting points a quality opportunity.

No team in the nation has more wins on the road this season than Middle Tennessee, with a 8-1 record in true road games.

MIDDLE TENN ST is 8-1 ATS  l/9  versus good defensive teams - allowing 64 or less points/game over the last few seasons and overall is 21-9 ATS  L/30 when playing against a team with a winning record  . OLD DOMINION is 8-20 ATS  L/28  in home games after playing 5 consecutive games as favorite.

CBB favorite (OLD DOMINION) - average shooting team (42.5-45%) against an good defensive team (40-42.5%) after 15+ games, after a game - allowing a shooting pct. of 55% or higher are 13-37 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 74% for bettors.

Play on Middle Tennessee State to cover

Youngstown States win/loss record is not very impressive, but in their defense they have played a road heavy schedule of late , with 9 of their L/13 as visitors. However, in the 4 games at home during that span they have won 3 of those games, with the only loss coming against a top tier Illinois Chicago program. The visitors today Northern Kentucky are a strong team, but this line is bloated according to my own data and projections. With Youngstown State averaging 88.4 ppg at home this season, I'm betting their well positioned to get us a cover vs a N.Kentucky side that despite of a 16-7 overall record on the season is just 5-5 ATS on the road this season .

YOUNGSTOWN ST is 9-2 ATS L/11 off 2 straight losses against conference rivals and is 12-4 ATS L/16 after having lost 6 or 7 of their last 8 games.


CBB Underdogs of 10 or more points (YOUNGSTOWN ST) - a good offensive team (74-78 PPG) against a good defensive team (63-67 PPG) after 15+ games, after a loss by 15 points or more are 36-12 ATS L/21 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Youngstown State to cover

UNC Greensboro enter this home game on tired legs after two straight wide open run and gun affairs , a 98-82 win at Samford , and a upset loss at Chatanooga by a 87-85 margin. For a team that usually plays strong D, their are some issues that need to be addressed, and I'm expecting a concerted and more methodical effort from Greensboro in this spot, which will make for closer gap in the margin of victory than the lines-makers are estimating. I know VMI may not inspire many bettors but they have covered 4 of their L/6 and have down in enough upward meomtnum to be considered viable dogs in this situation.

Greensboro HC Miller is 0-6 ATS L/6   after a game - attempting 20+ less free throws than opponent  and  is 1-9 ATS L/10 after playing a game where both teams score 80 points or more

UNC-GREENSBORO is 2-13 ATS  L/15  after scoring 40 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games. UNC-GREENSBORO is 0-6 ATS  L/6 after a combined score of 165 points or more. UNC-GREENSBORO is 9-22 ATS  L/31  in home games after a loss by 6 points or less

CBB Home favorites of 10 to 19.5 points (UNC-GREENSBORO) - after going over the total by more than 18 points in their previous game against opponent after going over the total by 42 or more points total in their last five games are 32-69 ATS L/21 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 68% for bettors on the blind.

Play on VMI  to cover

 When these teams met earlier this season UNLV came out on top  , 82-76, in overtime at the  Event Center. The Rebels are obviously the superior team, and San Jose State has struggled mightily this season, but from a player vs player /system vs system analysis the Spartans actually matchup fairly well, especially on this line and vs a side that has a tendency to play down to their opponents. It must also be noted that San Jose State played a decent  Wyoming hoops program very tough loss last  time out ( 90-86),  covering a 11 point dogs and are showing progress. San José State shot 48.4 percent (30-62) on Wednesday night compared to Wyoming's 44.1 percent (30-68). It's the sixth time in nine Mountain West games that SJSU has finished with a higher shooting percentage than the opponent. With that said, I'll recommend we take San Jose State in this spot vs a side that is consistently over rated by the linesmakers as they covered only once in their 11 games . That one cover was in their last trip to the hardwood, in an emotional  88-78 win  vs top tier San Diego State, that will now also have the Rebels in a let down state,   and susceptible to a down game vs less competetion.

UNLV is 1-9 ATS  L/10 when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games. UNLV is 6-18 ATS  L/24 against conference opponents .

CBB Road underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (SAN JOSE ST) - after 6 or more consecutive losses, on Wednesday games are 40-15 ATS L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

CBB Underdogs of 10 or more points (SAN JOSE ST) - off a home loss against a conference rival against opponent off a home win by 10 points or more are 113-59 ATS L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors.

San Jose State to cover

Philadelphia after a hot streak that saw them notch wins in 10 of 13 games,  have now lost back to back games including a  10-point loss at Oklahoma City on Sunday and a 12-point smack down at Milwaukee on Monday. I watched highlights from those game , and some shot clips, and the 76ers looked exhausted and are fade material here in their current form, even against a struggling side like Brooklyn, especially laying this much lumber on the road. Note: BROOKLYN is 13-4 ATS   versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season and 19-9 ATS  when playing against a team with a winning record this season. BROOKLYN is 16-7 ATS  L/23 as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season

I also betting on a motivated game from the Nets newest acquisition Okafor as he goes against his old teammates. His will to show his old team what he's truly worth  should spread and motivate the entire squad to a stronger than normal performance . Okafor a former No.3 pick with the Philadelphia 76ers was traded to the Brooklyn Nets last month, and has slowly been getting acclimated to his new teammates and is getting more minutes of late. This kid has talent, and despite of not working out in Philly is a steal in my opinion for the Nets.

NBA Road teams vs. the money line (PHILADELPHIA) - vs. division opponents, off 2 consecutive road losses by 10 points or more 13-52 SU L/21 seasons for a go against  80% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Brooklyn to cover

The Cavs,  for a team that is held in such high regard by NBA prognosticators, is a team that has not been fluent of late as their  5-8 record in January would indicate . This team needs some motivational therapy, as they are now a half game ahead of the  Heat for third place in the East. To make matters worse the team will have to play without all star Kevin Love who broke his  hand  in his last trip to the hardwood. However, the silver lining is that the Bulls will now be playing small ball for longer stretches , and when they go big with Jae Crowder ( 6-6) and bring Channing Frye off the bench they wont be easily intimidated by guys like Hassan Whiteside, and maybe more motivated in Love's absence ,which I'm betting actually helps them in the long run.  I recently began to believe going small for Cleveland would get them over this ugly slump their in, and now their going to be forced to do it. In their only meeting this season the Cavs beat the Heat 108-97 and lead by as much as 34 points , and now even with out a key cog in their lineup matchup well vs the Heat.

CLEVELAND is 8-0 ATS L/8  in home games after 2 consecutive division games  .MIAMI is 1-8 ATS  L/9 after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games this season .

NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (MIAMI) - revenging a loss vs opponent against opponent off a road loss against a division rival are 10-29 L/5 seasons for  ago against conversion rate of 75% for bettors.

NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (CLEVELAND) - off a loss against a division rival, in January games are 28-6 ATS L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Cleveland to cover

Pittsburgh is having problems notching wins and are currently on a 9 game losing streak in conference action and desperate for a win. I know the Panthers record is ugly but my own cross reference analysis suggests their has been improvement with a program that is chalk loaded full of freshman, and on this DD line are viable dogs. Their ability to work hard and be competitive was showcased when Pitt dropped a hard-fought battle to Syracuse, 60-55, Saturday at the Petersen.Pitt has limited its past two opponents to 34.4 percent (43-of-125) shooting from the field, including 24.0 percent (12-of-50) from beyond the three-point arc and capable of giving a Miami Fl side of a hard fought 104-93 loss to instate rivals last time out  and now in a letdown state a battle for their money in this spot Note: PITTSBURGH is 6-0 ATS  after 6 or more consecutive losses dating back to last season.

MIAMI is 8-17 ATS   after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread

MIAMI is 2-9 ATS  L/11  in home games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less  turnovers/game.

CBB Underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (PITTSBURGH) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off a home loss are 180-115 ATS L/5 seasons for a 61% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

CBB Road underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (PITTSBURGH) - after 6 or more consecutive losses, on Wednesday games are 40-15 ATS L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors.

CBB Home favorites of 10 or more points (MIAMI) - a very good team (8 or more PPG differential) against a poor team (-3.5 to -8 PPG differential), after a combined score of 175 points or more are 23-55 ATS L/21 seasons for a 71% go against conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Pittsburgh to cover

Kentucky enters this game off a huge win vs the West Virginia Mountaineers on the weekend and will now be in a letdown spot vs visiting Vanderbilt and susceptible to a down outing. Meanwhile, Vanderbilt despite of sporting just a 3-6 SU record in SEC play this season, have been highly competitive and have covered their L/3 games to the hardwood. One of those aforementioned losses came to Kentucky by a 74-67 deficit at home and the commodores will now have revenge on board. Note: VANDERBILT is 7-0 ATS  L/7  in road games revenging a loss vs opponent and  is 6-0 ATS  in road games revenging a home loss vs opponent.

CBB Home favorites of 10 or more points (KENTUCKY) - after 4 straight games forcing opponent to commit 11 or less turnovers against opponent after 5 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers are 15-46 ATS L/21 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Vanderbilt to cover

Houston at home this season, has played down to lower tier opponents like Orlando and have used these type of games , as resting points and live in game scrimmages. Resting key players for longer junctures of the game, and conserving their overall energy levels for foes they deem more important in  stature. This is an intelligent game plan, in a long in grueling season, but it provides an opening for a cover on a DD line. Note: HOUSTON is 0-7 ATS   as a home favorite of 12.5 or more points this season and long term are is 17-37 ATS  L/54 as a home favorite of 12.5 to 18 points.  I know Orlando does not inspire bettors , but they have been competitive of late, and have covered 6 of their L/7 overall

Houston is also just 5-18 ATS  L/23   in home games in non-conference games. Orlando is also 8-2 ATS on the road as non conference DD dogs.

NBA Home favorites (HOUSTON) - after going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last five games, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a bad team (25% to 40%) are 6-27 ATS L/5 seasons for a 81% go against conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Orlando Magic to cover

The Jackrabbits (18-6, 6-1 Summit League) are coming off a grueling 78-76 win over Fort Wayne in the 2018 Pork Classic Saturday and could now easily be in a letdown spot. From a matchup standpoint the  Rabbits took out visiting Mavericks  101-88  in Omaha earlier this month and now the lines-makers are adding a couple of digits in there for good measure because of home court advantage. I have a lot of respect for the home team, as they have won 16 straight here, one of the longest active streaks in College Hoops, but complacency could make it difficult to be motivated vs a side that thet stepped on in the earlier meeting, and with the added energy they exerted last time out, I'm betting their  susceptible to a non salient performance this evening.

Note: NEBRASKA-OMAHA is 12-2 ATS L/14 revenging a loss vs opponent  and  is 8-0 ATS  revenging a same season loss vs opponent .S DAKOTA ST is 2-9 ATS  L/11 when playing only their 3rd game in a week .

Omaha is led by four double-figure scorers, with Zach Jackson (18.1 points per game) pacing the team.The Mavericks are averaging 78.3 points per game as a team and shooting 46.7 percent combined and are the type of hoops group that have the ability to cover a DD line like this because of their ability to score in bunches, especially via the back door scenario .

NEBRASKA-OMAHA is 10-1 ATS L/11  in road games versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game after 15+ games.

CBB Road teams as an underdog or pick (NEBRASKA-OMAHA) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off 2 consecutive losses of 10 or more to conference rivals are 93-47 ATS L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Nebraska Omaha to cover

The Indiana Pacers enter this game in a big letdown situation after taking on a top tier  Purdue program at home on the weekend  in a grueling game that saw the Hoosiers take the Boilermakers down to the wire before losing. After the energy they exerted, I doubt they will have much left in the tank, versus an explosive Ohio State side that is a perfect 9-0 SU at home this season and 8-1 ATS winning those games by an average of 16 ppg . It must also be noted that Ohio State has revenge on board for losing to Indiana in their final game of last season, which is a good omen for the Buckeyes covering as they are 7-1 ATS with revenge L/8 at home in this series.

INDIANA is 6-17 ATS  L/23  in road games after playing a home game and  is 1-8 ATS  L/9 in road games after 2 straight games where they made 50% of their shots or better .INDIANA is 14-29 ATS  L/43  in road games when playing their 2nd game in 3 days and just 0-13 SU and 2-11 ATS L/13 when playing on the road with one days rest  . Indiana HC Miller is 2-12 ATS   in road games after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games in his career.

Play on Ohio State to cover

The Dallas Mavs enter this game desperate for a win after being losers of three in a row and six of the last seven, and are off a heart breaking 2 point loss to the Denver Nuggets last time out. The Heat are a fine team but with this being their 4th game in 7 nights will be on tired legs, and susceptible to down performance after playing 5 straight closely contested and grueling games. Dallas won the first meeting between these teams this season, but DALLAS is 32-17 ATS   revenging a same season loss vs opponent and are viable home dogs in this spot.

DALLAS is 13-4 ATS L/17  in home games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 turnovers/game or less - 2nd half of the season dating back to last season.DALLAS is 20-11 ATS L/31 when playing against a team with a winning record this season.DALLAS is 33-18 ATS L/51 when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%).

NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (DALLAS) - in a game involving two good offensive teams (98-102 PPG) after 42+ games, after a loss by 6 points or less are 36-13 ATS L/21 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Dallas to cover

Minnesota is 12 games above .500 and 20-6 at home but the  Timberwolves have lost six of their last seven tilts on the road  and are weak favorites here as they look ahead to going against  the Toronto Raptors on their schedule for  tomorrow night . Meanwhile, Atlanta despite a lackluster record, in a rebuilding year, have been competitive for most of this season, despite of some recent lopsided setbacks. Minnesota is 8-11 against the East and Atlanta is 8-11 against the West and from a system to system and player to player standpoint  the Hawks matchup fairly decently vs the Wolves especially on their own home court.

MINNESOTA is 17-33 ATS  L/50 versus struggling  teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game .ATLANTA is 10-1 ATS  L/12 after 2 consecutive division games.ATLANTA is 16-7 ATS  after having lost 4 of their last 5 games this season and is 13-5 ATS  L/18 in non-conference games this season.

NBA Home teams vs. the money line (ATLANTA) - in non-conference games, after allowing 105 points or more in a loss to a division rival are 29-12 SU L/21 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Atlanta Hawks to cover

The visiting Charlotte Hornets enter this game with a 4-9-3 ATS in their last 16 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record and 1-3-1 ATS in their L/5 strips to the hardwood. The Hornets are also just 3-9 away in  a 1 and 1 situation vs conference opposition. Meanwhile, their hosts the Pacers unlike some people, seem to like playing on Mondays as their 11-1 ATS mark  in their L/12 first games of the week would indicate . The Pacers from a betting perspective have also faired well against  NBA Southeast opposition cashing 8 of their L/10 meetings with the series host cashing 5 straight meetings and once again look like viable wagers.

CHARLOTTE is 14-25 ATS  when playing 6 or more games in 10 days over the last 2 seasons. Indiana is 19-8 ATS  L/27 vs. teams who are called for 2+ less fouls/game than their opponents.

NBA Favorites vs. the money line (INDIANA) - very good shooting team - shooting 48%or better  on the season against opponent after a game where a team made 35% of their shots or worse are 43-3 SU l/21 seasons for a 94% conversion rate with the average margin of victory coming by 8.4 ppg.

Play on the Indiana Pacers to cover

Lehigh enters this game desperately looking for a win after a 4 game losing streak, during which they have not played badly and experienced some heart breaking close losses. After splitting a pair of meeting last season, Lehigh won the first meeting this year, 83-77  and matchup very well against Holly Cross and are viable underdogs.

Meanwhile, Holy Cross began Patriot League play 0-3, but is 4-3 over its last seven games and according to my power rankings are a pickem against this type of opponent according to my head to head system to system, analysis. Holy Cross is last in the league in scoring offense (63.3), but stands second in scoring defense (69.4). I'm betting the  teams lack of consistent scoring will be their undoing in this matchup.

LEHIGH is 11-1 ATS L/12  in road games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 o less turnovers/game and LEHIGH is 16-4 ATS L/20 in road games and 14-3 ATS L/17 as a road underdog or pick .LEHIGH is 7-0 ATS L/7  in road games after playing 2 consecutive road games . LEHIGH HC Reed is 6-0 ATS  L/6  in road games versus slow-down teams averaging 53 or less shots/game like Holy Cross.

CBB road team (LEHIGH) - average shooting team (42.5-45%) against an average defensive team (42.5-45%) after 15+ games, average rebounding team (+/-3 Reb/G) against a horrible rebounding team (6 or less Reb/G) - 15+ games are 46-17 ?21 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Lehigh to cover

Duke is coming off a huge game against Virginia last time out which they lost 65-63. Coach K stuck with his starting 5 for the entire 2nd half, which is going to effect his team tonight. The Blue Devils exerted a heck of a lot of energy in a grueling physical game, and will now be in a letdown scenario vs a Notre Dame team that despite of being in a slump, will be out looking for revenge for last seasons ACC Finals loss. QUOTE: We have to put (the Virginia game) behind us and get ready for Notre Dame," Krzyzewski said. "It was a very physical game. I'm not saying dirty or anything like that. It was hard-fought. We have to recover, not just emotionally, but physically, before Monday night." END QUOTE:  It must be noted that Duke is just 0-4 ATS L/4 as home favs of 13 points or more after taking on the Cavaliers.

The Fighting Irish  desperately are now trying to end a 5 game  losing streak  thanks in part of suffering through and  injury bug (ie  PG Matt Farrell, and Bonzie Colson),  and inexcusable shooting from the floor of late (less than 40%), 

With that said, both teams have their issues going into this game, but from a matchup standpoint this line is a little bloated which gives us value with the visiting dog. Notre Dame has won and covered both their games vs .900 or better opposition this season.

DUKE is 0-9 ATS  L/9  in home games versus excellent ball handling teams - committing 12 or less turnovers/game after 15+ games over the last few seasons. NOTRE DAME is 8-1 ATS  L/9 versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 84+ points/game.

CBB Underdogs of 10 or more points (NOTRE DAME) - off an upset loss as a favorite, playing their 2nd game in 3 days are 169-108 ATS L/21 seasons for a 61% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on Notre Dame to cover

The California Bears current 7 game losing streak might not suggest to passive college hoops fan that they are a very good team. But the truth is, this young rebuilding program lead by Justice Sueing (18.9 ppg) is actually starting to show signs of positive momentum according to my own data and power rankings, and are gaining confidence with each game out, as was the case when they almost upset UCLA last time out . Meanwhile, USC remains a contender in the PAC 12, and despite of their superiority may not be all that motivated vs a side they beat by 18 points earlier this season, especially after taking part in  a hard fought revenge win vs Stanford last time out. With that said, my own numbers suggest we have value taking the Bears here.

CALIFORNIA is 14-4 ATS  L/18  in road games after 3 or more consecutive unders. USC is 9-22 ATS    in home games after 2 straight games committing 11 or less turnovers.CALIFORNIA is 25-12 ATS   in road games off 2 straight losses against conference rivals.Enfield is 14-24 ATS  in home games when playing only their 2nd game in a week as the coach of USC

CBB Favorites of 10 to 19.5 points (USC) - after 3 or more consecutive unders, an explosive offensive team (78 PPG or more ) against an average offensive team (67-74 PPG) are 36-78 ATS for a 69% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on California to cover

Powerful Purdue enters this game against their Big 10 rivals Indiana, pounding opponents mercilessly. Purdue may look unbeatable, but their are chinks in their armour, especially when it comes to getting to the charity stripe. Meanwhile, Indiana despite of a 1 point loss to Illinois last time out,  I'm betting Archie Miller and company will be very prepared to pull of the upset here at home in Assembly Hall vs a side that destroyed them in two meetings last season. Note: Purdue is just 2-6 ATS L/8 on the road as chalk vs a side with Double revenge. Indiana is 15-6 ATS L/21 at home with revenge as long as they have a .500 record or better and 7-1 ATS in their L/8 overall.

PURDUE is 7-22 ATS  L/29  in road games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) after 15 or more games. INDIANA is 20-9 ATS L/29  in home games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game. INDIANA is 11-3 ATS    in home games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 37% or more of their attempts.

Take the pointS with Indiana to cover

Northern Kentucky is in a letdown situation after playing against a top tier  Oakland program on Friday night and losing in a grueling affair. Meanwhile, Detroit is a team that despite of a ugly record have been very competitive for the most part this season behind an offense that averages more than 80 ppg overall. The Jesuits did look bad in their last game vs Wright State , losing by 30 plus points  but that kind of ugly performance has been rare this season, and they are capable of  bouncing back in this spot.

CBB Favorites of 10 to 19.5 points (N KENTUCKY) - after being beaten by the spread by more than 18 points in their previous game against opponent after going under the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games are 8-31 ATS L/21 seasons, for a 80% conversion rate for bettors.

CBB Favorites of 10 or more points (N KENTUCKY) - off a loss by 10 points or more to a conference rival against opponent off an embarrassing road loss scoring less than 60 points are 9-31 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 78% for bettors.

Play on Detroit to cover

My  College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

St.Mary;s is off a big win vs BYU last time out and will now be in a letdown spot, and susceptible to being upset but more importantly not covering.

CBB Favorites of 10 or more points (ST MARYS-CA) - after 3 or more consecutive unders, an explosive offensive team (76 PPG or more ) against an average offensive team (67-74 PPG) after 15+ games are 29-67 ATS L/21 seasons for a 70% go against conversion rate for bettors.

PORTLAND is 9-1 ATS L/10 in road games after a game with 9 or less assists and is 6-0 ATS L/6 in road games on Saturday dating back to last season.

ST MARYS-CA is 0-6 ATS L/6 in home games when playing their 2nd game in 3 days over the last 2 seasons and is 0-6 ATS L/6 in home games when playing with one or less days rest.

Portland has won and covered its last two trips to St.Mary's.

CBB Underdogs of 10 or more points (PORTLAND) - off a home loss against a conference rival against opponent off a home win by 10 points or more.
CBB are 111-59 ATS L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors.
  .
Play on Portland   to cover

The Minnesota Wolves enter this game on a 2 game losing streak, and looked very lackluster on defense in the process, allowing 126 points to Golden State and 123 to Portland.  They looked tired for long stretches of those games, which is not a good omen headed into this game vs a well conditioned Brooklyn team that is tenacious and competitive.  In the  Nets last trip to the hardwood a 116-91 loss to the Bucks,  they had a rare ugly outing but that has been the exception in recent outings, as 11 of their last 14 games have been decided by six points or less,  and they have covered 12 of their L/15 overall. When these teams met on Jan 3 the Nets squeaked out a 98-97 win at home and actually matchup pretty well against the Wolves and get my support here getting points.

BROOKLYN is 13-3 ATS  L/16 versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season. BROOKLYN is 16-4 ATS  after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games this season.MINNESOTA is 37-61 ATS  L/98 after allowing 120 points or more .MINNESOTA is 17-30 ATS  L/47 in non-conference games dating back to last season.

NBA Road underdogs (BROOKLYN) - after a blowout loss by 20 points or more against opponent after a combined score of 215 points or more 2 straight games are 61-28 ATS L/21 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Brooklyn to cover

My  College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

Wow. How often do we see Kentucky as this big a dog. I know the Wildcats are a young team, but now with no pressure on them, and many expecting them to lose I'm expecting we see this team at its very best .  It must be noted that West Virginias coach Bog Huggins is 0-13 ATS L13 vs the SEC and once against looks like his team will have problems covering vs a Kentucky team with a chip on their shoulders.

Play on Kentucky  to cover

My  College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

 BELMONT is 0-7 ATS  L/7  in home games after a game where they made 78% of their free throws or better .

Play on SIU-Edwardsville  to cover

My  College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

 Iowa State has owned non conference teams in their own home court over the years, sporting a 212-21 SU mark in these games including 45-1 from game 12 out. I will not be surprised if home court advantage helps them spring another upset and more importantly get us a cover.

Play on Iowa State  to cover

My  College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

Play on  IUPUI  to cover

My  College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

W CAROLINA is 21-10 ATS  L/31 when the total is 130 to 139.5.

CBB Favorites of 10 to 19.5 points (FURMAN) - after 3 or more consecutive unders, an explosive offensive team (76 PPG) or more  against an average offensive team (67-74 PPG) after 15+ games are 26-63 ATS L/21 seasons for a 71% go against  conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Western Carolina   to cover