Brigham Young goes up against Southern Utah in an early season matchup. Both teams last saw action this past Saturday. Southern Utah won 79-78 in overtime at Nebraska, while Brigham Young fell to San Diego State at home, 76-71. 

Southern Utah is ranked first in Division I with an average of 90.1 possessions per game and must be underestimated in their ability to cover in this spot.

SOUTHERN UTAH is 9-0 ATS  in November games over the last 3 seasons.BYU is 4-12 ATS  when the total is 150 to 159.5 over the last 2 seasons.Simon is 18-9 ATS  in non-conference games as the coach of SOUTHERN UTAH.

Southern Utah to cover 

San Antonio looked asleep at the wheel last time out vs Memphis and lost as DD chalk. Now after that embarrassing effort Im betting on this talented but inconsistent team to step up their game against a Minnesota team that is playing at a high level, but due for regression after some hard fought affairs over a short period of time. 

SAN ANTONIO is 21-8 ATS  off an upset loss as a home favorite of 10 points or more

San Antonio owns an 89-30 all-time series lead on the Timberwolves. The Spurs have won the season series against Minnesota 22 times in 30 seasons, including the last six.

SAN ANTONIO is 22-10 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Road teams (SAN ANTONIO) - after being beaten by the spread by more than 12 points in two consecutive games, in November games are 49-20 ATS L/23 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on San Antonio to cover 

The Billikens, who are in the midst of a season-opening six-game home stand, enter Wednesday's game 2-0 after wins against Florida Gulf Coast (89-67) and Valparaiso (81-70). The Billikens have scored 80 or more points in the first two games of the season for just the second time since the 1990s and despite it still being early on the season, look like a very viable group and one of the better ones the program has put o the floor in a while and get my support here on their own home floor.

Ford is 30-19 ATS  in all home games as the coach of SAINT LOUIS.SAINT LOUIS is 9-2 ATS  in a home game where the total is 130 to 139.5 over the last 2 seasons.

E WASHINGTON is 2-9 ATS  in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

Play on St.Louis to cover 

CSUB (1-1) is coming off a solid start to the season after earning a 50-point win in its regular-season opener and playing a thrilling matchup against South Dakota State. While Bakersfield fell against the Jackrabbits in double overtime, the `Runners put up a strong showing, especially on the offensive end and definitely have earned my respect on a DD dog line.Through the first week of the season, CSUB ranks 11th among all NCAA Division I schools with an average of 97.0 points per game . When looking at underdogs like this you have to feel confident that they have the ability to be competitive and if all else fails have the capability to give us a back door cover. Bakersfield passes with flying colors. 

N IOWA is 5-14 ATS  after scoring 65 points or less 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons.

Barnes is 20-8 ATS  after 2 straight games - attempting 10+ more shots than opponent in all games he has coached since 1997.

Take the points with CS Bakersfield 

This will be a back to back for the Sixers and their 3rd game and 4 nights and  they will now be on tired legs vs a up trending Orlando team that is slowly getting back into a culture of winning.  Advantage Orlando. 

PHILADELPHIA is 11-25 ATS  after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Road teams vs. the money line (PHILADELPHIA) - off 2 no-covers where the team won straight up as a favorite against opponent off an upset loss as a home favorite are just 7-24 L/23 seasons for a 75% SU conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Orlando Magic to cover

Quinnipiac went 11-7 in MAAC play during the regular season, earning the No. 3 seed in the league's postseason tournament at the Times Union Center in Albany, N.Y.  and Im betting they are improved this season, and matchup well vs Brown on the road here tonight.Brown was picked No. 5 in the Ivy League Preseason Men's Basketball Poll.

QUINNIPIAC is 17-7 ATS  as a road underdog or pick over the last 3 seasons and is 10-2 ATS as a road underdog of 6 points or less or pick over the last 3 seasons.

BROWN is 4-14 ATS L/18 in a home game where the total is 140 to 144.5.

Play on Quinnipiac to cover 

  These teams are not performing at an optimal level right now  and I dont believe that Pennsylvania should be this be a favorite in a rivalry game  . La  Salle despite of still being in a rebuilding mode  has the athletes to keep this close . The visitor is 9-1-2 ATS last 12 in this series and Im betting on LaSalle to cover.

Play on LaSalle to cover 

Villanova (1-0) Im betting are going to have their hands full  with a balanced Ohio State(2-0) attack that is extremely under rated. Both these teams have looked good but both have  shown some early seasons inefficiencies, but tonight I expect home court advantage to buoy the Buckeyes.

Wildcats are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Wildcats are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games.Wildcats are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

Play on Ohio State to cover 

Sacramento is playing pretty good ball of late,  and are well rested, but an injury to starting point guard, De'Aaron Fox has caused what Im betting is an over reaction on the line giving us value with the home dog. Im betting veteran backup Cory Joseph will do just fine filling in tonight and give the Kings an opportunity for a win and more importantly cover  for the 4th time in their L/5 games. 

SACRAMENTO is 20-9 ATS  as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

Note: NBA Teams are 0-12 ATS /SU as a road dog off a win as a favorite in which they had overtime (Portland ended a 4 game losing streak with a OT win vs Atlanta last time out)

The Kings are 18-1 ATS when the line is within 3 of pick with rest off a win as a favorite when they lost 2 straight vs current opponent.

Play on the Sacramento Kings 

 CS Northrdige  has given up 87-plus points in consecutive tilts , and look ripe to get ravaged by the Pepperdine Waves. 

CS-NORTHRIDGE is 1-8 ATS  after playing 2 consecutive road games over the last 3 seasons.

Pepperdine to cover 

The Nets enter this road game against the Jazz having covered at a 15-6 ATS rate  in their last 21 vs. Western Conference and are  13-6 ATS in their last 19 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The Jazz on tired legs after playing last night and are vulnerable here vs this type of uptempo side.

BROOKLYN is 27-12 ATS  in road games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or better of their attempts over the last 3 seasons

The Nets are 23-3-1 ATS L/27 on the road with less than two days rest off a game as a dog when they lost 2 straight vs current opponent.

NBA Teams like the Jazz  are 0-14 ATS L/14 with less than two days rest off a win in which they had at least 5 turnovers less than their season-to-date average.

NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (UTAH) - in non-conference games, off a road win by 10 points or more are 44-85 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 66% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Brooklyn Nets to cover 

 After Long Beach State won its home opener for the ninth straight season, the Beach will now return to the road to take on PAC 12 opponent Stanford. This is a very young Long Beach State team, but they have enough pure talent to stay competitive here tonight. 

Long Beach State  to cover 

at Moda Center - Portland, OR  

Memphis’ No. 1 recruiting class  will have their hands full with an experienced Oregon backcourt . Lots of talent but a lack of experience will be the Tigers demise in this spot.

OREGON is 8-1 ATS  in all neutral court games over the last 2 seasons.Altman is 9-1 ATS  in road games after a game with 24 or more assists in all games he has coached which was the case in a DD beat down of Boise State last time out. 

CBB Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (OREGON) - good team from last season - outscored opponents by 4 or more points/game, after a combined score of 165 points or more are 54-23 ATS L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Oregon to cover 

North Texas   Mean Green returns three under rated  starters: Gibson, Roosevelt and Zachary Simmons. Coach McCasland  and must be respected here as underdogs vs a SEC group from Arkansas. Despite of the discrepancies on paper this program must not be underestimated in their ability to cover.  Note:  Rebounding has been a key point of emphasis for the Mean Green this season who during the offseason added considerable size. In a hostile environment , UNT matched the nationally ranked Rams last time out on the boards as each team grabbed 31.UNT turned its 12 offensive rebounds into 16 points while VCU who also grabbed 12 offensive rebounds could only muster up seven second-chance points. Arkansas is going to have their hands full here tonight. 

N TEXAS is 8-1 ATS  as an underdog of 10 or more points over the last 3 seasons.

N.Texas  to cover 

Indiana has been playing some very good basketball of late, winning, 6 of their L/7 games, but are now on tired legs and prepare to play their 5th game in 8 days. With Oklahoma City beginning to score on a more consistent rate of late, are viable opponents here on this line.

NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (INDIANA) - good team - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game, after 4 straight games where both teams scored 100 points or more are 13-38 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Teams like the Pacers are 1-18-1 ATS L/20 (2-18 SU) with less than two days rest off a win as a dog facing an opponent getting less than 25 percent or their rebounds on the offensive end. 

NBA Teams are 1-14 ATS /SU at home when the line is within 3 of pick off a win in a road game in which they had 30+ assists.

Play on the Oklahoma City Thunder to cover 

Davidson last at Auburn last time out, failing to live up their early season, hype. After watching parts of that game Im betting there is work be done in Wildcat land and living on reputation alone will not get done. I know Charlotte does not inspire bettors , but getting 10 plus points here on home court according to my projections makes for a viable underdog call. 

DAVIDSON is 15-30 ATS L/45 in road games after playing a game as a road underdog.  

Charlotte  to cover 

The home team has won every game in the all-time series and Im betting Marist here on their own home floor gets the job done again.

Marist won their first game on the road as underdogs last time out, and have been good bets in the past under these perimeters going  18-7 ATS  off an upset win as a road underdog .

Play on Marist to cover 

American was picked third in the Patriot League Preseason Coaches Poll and are a up trending under rated team getting points. AU is off to a 0-2 start after losses at Siena and against William & Mary, but according to my early season head to head matchup power rankings matchup well vs George Washington. 

Eagles are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Eagles are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.

Play on American to cover 

Xavier lost 71-56 in Columbia, Mo. last season, and now have revenge on board. Both teams are 2-0 but home court advantage and pay back with a motivated group will be key to a cover for us here today behind what I bet is an improved interior D. XAVIER is 13-3 ATS L/16  in home games off 2 consecutive home wins by 10 points or more. 

Play on Xavier to cover 

A win on Tuesday would move UMass to 3-0 on the young season, its best start since the 2015-16 campaign and Im betting they get it. Tuesday will be UMass' second of three games this season against in-state opponents like Northeastern. Since the 2011-12 season, the Minutemen are 15-4 (.789) against teams from Massachusetts.

Play on Umass to cover

 The Ohio University Bobcats  are 3-2 in the East Division of the MAC. and are not out of contention for their division as they enter this tilt against Western Michigan. However, to achieve their goal this is a must win situation vs a side Im betting they matchup well against especially here at home.

The Bobcats offense gets the job done , and while not spectacular are consistent averaging 29 points per game, which ranks 65th in the nation. Ohio averages 407 total yards per game, which ranks 67th in the nation. That includes 208 ypg in the air ( 89th in the nation,(  and 198 ypg on the ground (37th in the country). Defensively, the Bobcats allow 29 points per game, which is 78th in the nation.  

Western Michigan has averaged 36 ppg, and really rumble on the ground, but the same holds true for Ohio. I look for both sides to pound away with their ground games, but for Ohio to make a couple of more key stops on their own home field and to come out on top. Note: Western Michigan is 0-4 on the road this season, and are not performing at the same level they are at home.

Play on Ohio to cover 

Akron has shown zip this season, (excuse the pun) they have been horrendous and  have failed to win or even cover any of their first 9 games, thanks mostly to an undeniably bad offence. However, their defence is viable, and are only allowing 5.4 ypp, ranking in the top-60 nationally. Meanwhile, E.Michigan D, is not as good as Akrons, allowing  6.2 ypp and 4.8 yards per rush. On a night that is supposed to see bad weather in Akron, Im betting the Zips can run the ball down the throat of porous run D, and do enough damage offensively behind their only real offensive dual threat QB Kato Nelson, and get us the cover. Lets be brave here , and take the points.

E MICHIGAN is 10-22 ATS after allowing 37 points or more in 2 straight games.

Creighton is 2-9 ATS when playing against a terrible team (Win Pct. 25% or less ) as the coach of E MICHIGAN.

CFB Road favorites (E MICHIGAN) - with a poor scoring defense - allowing 31 or more points/game, after allowing 31 points or more in 2 straight games are 34-70 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 67% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Akron to cover 

 When Pitt plays Robert Morris on Tuesday night, serving as the first guest in the Colonials’ new home, Jeff Capel knows what to expect.

“The place will be jumping,” Pitt’s coach said.

This is the grand opening of the new 45 million dollar facility for Robert Morris so Im betting on them stepping up their game and getting us the cover . 

Pittsburgh is off a  loss to Nicholls State, 75-70, on Saturday, and showed me their a long way from prime time. 

PITTSBURGH is 2-9 ATS in road games over the last 2 seasons. PITTSBURGH is 0-6 ATS  in road games off a home loss over the last 2 seasons.

Robert Morris to cover 

Pacific faces Hawaii in an early season matchup. Pacific blew out Florida A&M by 22 in its last outing. Hawaii lost 81-75 loss at home against South Dakota in its most recent game. Pacifc had a much easier time than Hawaii and will be fresher, after Hawaii worked hard in loss to South Dakota. Advantage Pacific.

Warriors are 5-16 ATS in their last 21 vs. West Coast.Warriors are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games.Warriors are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Warriors are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

Stoudamire is 10-2 ATS in a road game where the total is 130 to 139.5 as the coach of PACIFIC. 

Play on Pacific to cover 

The Utah Jazz enter this game off a big home win vs the Milwaukee Bucks last time out, and Im betting they will now be in a letdown situation. I know Golden State is also in a funk, and on tired legs , but in a game that will be fairly slow paced and quite probably lower scoring, a 9 point spread for advantage players looks like a viable investment option.The Jazz are 0-4 ATS /1-3 SU L/4 on the road.the lone win came by a 1 point margin vs the Suns. 

NBA Road teams (UTAH) - very good defensive team - shooting pct defense of 41% or less on the season, after 3 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 42% or less are 38-83 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Golden State Warriors to cover 

Boston enters this game of an upset underdog win on the road vs the San Antonio Spurs last time out by a 135-115 count  for their 7th straight win. They are currently in top form and a tough opponent for any team whether it is at home or on the road . Note: BOSTON is 13-2 ATS  off an upset win as a road underdog over the last 3 seasons. 

NBA Home favorites  (BOSTON) - top caliber team - outscoring their opponents by 9+ points/game against opponent after allowing 100 points or more 5 straight games are 31-1 SU L/23 seasons with  a + 13.7 ppg diff. 

Play on the Boston Celtics to cover 

Minnesota lost in a hard fought OT  game last night to Denver and will now be on tired legs and a letdown spot. Advantage Detroit Pistons with  two days rest. 

Favorite is 10-3-1 ATS in the last 14 meetings.Timberwolves are 0-8 ATS in the last 8 meetings.Timberwolves are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Detroit.

The Pistons are 11-0 ATS /SU when they won 4+ straight meetings vs current opponent.

The Timberwolves are 0-10 ATS SU  as a dog after they scored fewer than 10 fast break points last game.

Play on Detroit to cover 

Towson looks to have a special group this season, and  leads the Colonial Athletic Association (CAA) in scoring defense (44.5), field goal percentage defense (31.6), 3-point field goal percentage defense (21.1), rebounding (26.0), blocked shots (4.5), steals (13.0), scoring margin (+41.5), rebounding margin (+15.0) and turnover margin (+11.0).Towson is 2-0 for the first time since 2016 and get my support here vs Kent State.Towson is averaging 16 assists in its two games.The Tigers have scored 40 points in three consecutive halves.The Tigers averaged 1.351 points per possession against Bryn Athyn. Gibson has scored 24.2 percent of Towson's 95 bench points.

Golden Flashes are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Golden Flashes are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.

Tigers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 50 points in their previous game.

KENT ST is 0-7 ATS  at road when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons.

Play on Towson to cover

 Ben Rothlisberger was forced to the sidelines earlier this season, with a nasty elbow injury  but the Steelers have found a way to jell behind  backups  Duck Hodges and Mason Rudolph and find themselves in a hunt for a play off spot .  It must also be noted that  Mike Tomlin is   9-2-3 ATS as a home pup, and also  10-5 SUATS against the NFC West, including 6-1 SUATS a home. Meanwhile, the Rams do not have a great history vs the AFC North going  1-8 SU and 1-7-1 ATS against .500 or better opposition .

Steelers  as  hosts when coming off a win and facing an opponent coming off consecutive wins like the Rams , are 11-0 SUATS versus non-division opposition.

NFLFavorites of 3.5 to 10 points (LA RAMS) - excellent offensive team (370 or better YPG) against a team with a poor defense (335 to 370 YPG) are 10-59 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 63% conversion rate for bettors.

NFL Favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (LA RAMS) - after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite against opponent off a home win are 12-34 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors.

NFL Favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (LA RAMS) - after a game where they committed 1 or less turnovers against opponent after 4 consecutive games with a turnover margin of +1 or better are 7-27 ATS L/36 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Pittsburgh Steelers to cover 

The Nuggets' looked impressive last time out vs a top tier  Philadelphia 76ers club. They came back in  spectacular fashion as they erased a 21-point fourth-quarter deficit to take a 100-97 victory and improve to 6-2 for the season.This is a top quality team that matches up very well vs a up trending but not quite ready prime time Minnesota side. 

Nuggets are 23-10-1 ATS in their last 34 vs. NBA Northwest. Nuggets are 23-10-1 ATS in their last 34 vs. NBA Northwest. Nuggets are 21-5-1 ATS in the last 27 meetings in Minnesota.

Timberwolves are 4-10-1 ATS in their last 15 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Timberwolves are 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Timberwolves are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.Timberwolves are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.Timberwolves are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.Timberwolves are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.Timberwolves are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 home games.Timberwolves are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 1 days rest.Timberwolves are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.

Play on the Denver Nuggets to cover 

 Central Michigan has 3 returning starters while Miss Valley State has no returning starters. MVS lost their first two games, by landslide scores to Iowa State (110-74) and Utah (143-49). MISS VALLEY ST is 1-9 ATS  after trailing in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half . Meanwhile,Central Michigan smashed MICHIGAN-DEARBORN by a 102-62 count in their opener. Davis is 16-3 ATS after leading in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half as the coach of C MICHIGAN. Bottom line: While I do not expect a record setting 94 point margin of victory  like the Utes layed down on the Delta Devils, but  I do  like Central Michigan to dominate  behind a very well balanced offense  that ranks 31st in offensive efficiency and a defence that works hard to get better. Mississippi Valley State ranks 346th in defensive efficiency since last season and rank 274th in free throw attempt (FTA) rate (0.208). The Chippewas rank 45th in opponents’ FTA rate (0.190). Advantage Central Michigan. 

CBB Road underdogs of 20 or more points (MISS VALLEY ST) - poor team from last season - outscored by opponents by 4 or more points/game, after a combined score of 175 points or more are 7-29 ATS L/22 seasons for go against conversion rate of 81% with the average ppg diff clicking in at 34.8 ppg.

Play on Central Michigan to cover 

This looks like a complete mismatch because of the opposite trajectories each of these teams has taken this season. However, it must be noted that New Orleans as a DD home favorite vs division opponents at home  is just 3-12 ATS L/15  and 0-6 ATS versus sub .200 opponents. Meanwhile , the Falcons are 5-1 ATS l in their L/6 as  double-digit dogs, as well  and are 22-3 ATS in this series when they enter with a win percentage of .625 or less.With that said, lets  be brave, take the points on what my projections estimate is a mathematical advantage. 

NFL Road teams (ATLANTA) - excellent passing team (265 or more PY/G) against a poor passing defense (230-265 PY/G) after 8+ games, after allowing 7 or more passing yards/attempt in 2 straight games are 25-5 ATS L/10 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors.

NF LRoad underdogs or pick (ATLANTA) - after 6 or more consecutive losses, in weeks 10 through 13 are 36-13 ATS L/36 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Atlanta Falcons 

The hard luck Buccaneers are off back to back losses at Seattle and at Tennessee, respectively, the past two weeks both times in OT. If this was a college team , I would bet they would be emotionally drained, but pros are pros for a reason and they react to adversity a lot different than kids. With that said, Im betting on a top tier effort this week from the Bucs here at home vs a Arizona side travelling from west to east and off a hard fought 28-25 loss against the 49ers last week in prime time. Im betting the Cards are the ones with the emotional hangover , and not the Bucs. Note: Im sure HC Bruce Arians has had this game circled for a while against his old team, and will be well prepared. 

Cardinals are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.

Cardinals are 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 games in November.

Cardinals are 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.

Buccaneers are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.

NFL Road teams (ARIZONA) - off 1 or more straight overs against opponent off 6 or more consecutive overs are 5-25 ATS L/36 seasons for a 83% go against conversion rate for bettors.

NFL Favorites (TAMPA BAY) - after failing to cover the spread in 4 out of their last 5 games, after the first month of the season are 102-62 L/10 seasons for a 62% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Tampa Bay to cover 

These are two teams that have polar opposite records, with the Bills registering a 6-2 record while the Browns are at 2-6. However, the truth is the Browns are a talented team with a QB with a big arm in Baker Mayfield are highly under rated .  Note: The Browns have played a much tougher schedule than the Bills, their six losses coming against teams that are a combined 35-17, including 8-0 San Francisco, 8-1 New England and 7-2 Seattle. Cleveland’s roster includes 10 starters who are first- or second-round draft picks, either by the Browns or other teams and despite of some big name media clowns on their sidelines(not going to mention names) they are a team that can get things done if pressured like they are right now in their current form making them dangerous and motivated opponents for the Bills this Sunday.Add to that the activation of running back Kareem Hunt from a 8 game suspension and we have ignitor fuel to bet into. 

  Buffalo is over rated , having played the weakest schedules to date, behind the flimsy arm of quarterback Josh Allen who owns the 28th ranked  passer rating and a defence that has had its run D exposed of late.The Bills’ six wins this season have come against opponents whose combined record is 9-42. Four wins have come vs. 0-8 Cincinnati, 1-8 Washington, 1-7 Miami and the 1-7 New York Jets.

The Bills are 0-15 ATS/SU L/15 on grass vs a non-divisional opponent before playing on the road.

BUFFALO is 9-21 ATS in road games after having won 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games since 1992.

NFL teams where the line is +3 to -3 (CLEVELAND) - after 4 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers against opponent after a game where they committed no turnovers are 45-15 ATS L/36 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Cleveland Browns to cover 

 This side investment option is based on a simple premise , that the Ravens after this huge prime time win vs the Patriots last Sunday night will be immensely hungover as they take on Cincinnati this week. Meanwhile, Cincinnati  rested and off a bye week and a new QB under center (Ryan Finely) is not as bad as their winless record would indicate, and have shown flashes of being very competitive. The Bengals lost 23-17 at Baltimore earlier this season, and will be primed to pull of an upset in the rematch and extend a positive 9-3 ATS run L/12 in this series. Note: Teams that have defeated a Super Bowl Champ in their L/game, are 7-25 SUATS in division contests going all the way back to 1980.   Also froma . team specific trend shows teams that beat the Patriots and then open as a 7+ point favorite  in their following tilt are 0-8 ATS dating back 16 seasons. 

Key injury update: Bengals A.J. Green is expected to make his season debut on Sunday. 

NFL Home underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (CINCINNATI) - after failing to cover the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games, a struggling team (25%) playing a team with a winning record in the second half of the season are 67-26 ATS L/36 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Cincinnati to cover 

Two struggling teams the NY Jets and NY Giants co tenants of their facility will go head to head here this week, in a game I have pegged as a pickem , thus getting points with the underdog Jets is a value play. Taking the Jets is just the lesser of two evils, but from a mathematical standpoint a prudent decision in my opinion in a game that could easily be won with a late FG. 

NFL team (NY JETS) - after 5 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers against opponent after a game where they committed 3 or more turnovers are 64-28 L/36 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the NY Jets to cover 

Coming off a 71-57 win over Fresno State in their season opener, No. 15 Oregon draws another Mountain West Conference opponent at home on Saturday when it faces the Boise State Broncos in Eugene, Ore. This time around Im betting Oregon will have a much tougher time getting a win and more importantly a cover vs a Boise State team that  is coming off a 126-49 win over NAIA Life Pacific on Tuesday. The 126 points represent a single-game school record, as is the 77-point margin of victory. Rice is 46-22 ATS after allowing 60 points or less as the coach of BOISE ST.

The Broncos are 2-8 all-time against the Ducks, but have won two of the last five meetings.

Play on Boise State to cover 

After getting upset by Kansas State two weeks ago, there has been alot of soul searching in Sooner land , and now well rested , Im expecting them to come out here and be fired up and ready to lay a beatdown on their visiting conference foes this week Iowa State. Note: Oklahoma is 26-11 ATS as conference home fav of 14 or fewer points, and 36-0 SU and 25-10 ATS during the regular season when coming off a loss since 1999. Oklahoma has not beat anybody of note other than Texas, and they need a big win here to prove their the real deal to the committee, and while the Hawkeyes are no pushovers, Im betting they do end up as sacrificial lambs this week in a bad situational spot. 

OKLAHOMA is 6-0 ATS in home games vs. excellent passing teams with a completion pct. of 62% or better over the last 3 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at +29.7 ppg.

CFB Home favorites (OKLAHOMA) - excellent offensive team (440  or more YPG) against a team with an average defense (330 to 390 YPG), after gaining 7.25 or more yards/play in 2 consecutive game are 64-22 L/26 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Oklahoma to cover 

at Sanford Pentagon - Sioux Falls, SDOklahoma has been dominant in non-conference play in recent seasons, boasting a combined 23-3 record in its last 26 non-league regular-season games. In non-conference play since 2017-18, Oklahoma is 9-3 against major conference schools (ACC, Big East, Big Ten, Pac-12, SEC) and 12-3 in games played away from Norman. 

Golden Gophers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Saturday games.Golden Gophers are 3-16 ATS in their last 19 vs. Big 12.Oklahoma is 16-5-1 ATS L/21 vs non conference oppositon.

 Play on Oklahoma Sooners to cover 

BYU is off back to back big wins vs Utah State and Bosie State the last two weeks, and could easily find themselves in an emotional letdown state vs a side they maybe overlooking. Im betting on senior QB Steven Calvert, who has compiled over 11,000 passing yards in his career, to be the key catalyst behind a cover here today for a Bowl eligible Liberty team that has scored 59 or more points three times this season already. 

BYU is 10-22 ATS in home games vs. good passing teams averaging 250 or more passing yards/game

CFB Road underdogs (LIBERTY) - excellent offensive team (440 or more YPG) against a good offensive team (390 to 440 YPG), after outgaining opp by 175 or more total yards in their previous game are 44-14 ATS L/10 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Liberty to cover 

 St.Joh's under HC Mike Anderson looks tenacious as was evident when the  Red Storm smashed  Mercer in their home opener by a  109-79 count .The Red Storm high pressured attack can cause teams to break down quickly especially a side like Central Connecticut that  ranked 264th in offensive turnover percentage last season. 

 Central Connecticut State is a hoops program in a rebuild mode as  head coach Donyell Marshall  trys to replace four   starters from last season’s  11 win squad.It must be noted the Blue Devils ranked 301st in offensive efficiency and 313th in defensive efficiency last season and could find it hard to get out of their own way here this afternoon vs an explosive side on their own home floor here Carnesecca Arena. This is an easy lay for me.

Blue Devils are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 road games.Blue Devils are 3-13-1 ATS in their last 17 games following a ATS loss.Blue Devils are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games.Blue Devils are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 Saturday games.Blue Devils are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a double-digit loss at home.Blue Devils are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss.

Red Storm are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after scoring more than 90 points in their previous game.Red Storm are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games.

Play on St.Johns to cover 

Could this finally be a turning of the guard in the SEC? Quite possibly yes, but as far as we are concerned covering is much more important. Alabama has dominated this conference for so long, its hard to bet against them. However, LSU is the real deal, both on defence and offence, and are more than capable of hanging tough here vs conference gridiron gods the Crimson Tide. It must be noted that No. 1 ranked teams are 10-2 SU and 9-2-1 ATS since 1981, including 8-0 SUATS as a dog. The Boyou Tigers fit the bill and have the guns to deliver the cash this Saturday. Last season Saban and company pasted the Tigers 29-0 and now with revenge on board LSU will be breathing Cajun fire knowing they are 5-1 ATS L/6 with conference revenge and 5-2 ATS vs undefeated opposition. Note: Alabama is just 3-10 ATS L/13 as 10 point or less conference favs. 

Look for Joe Burrow to outduelAlabama QB Tua Tagovailoa. 

Take the points with LSU 

  Georgia Southern now playing back to back road tilts  is off a huge  upset of Appalachian State last week and Im betting they will be in a letdown situation here this Saturday vs a Trojans team off a tough loss last week and now ready to get back into the win column on their own home field. Im betting Troys QB Kaleb Barker will take advantage of a week Georgia Southern pass D. Troys air attack has been extremely strong this season, and we will see that here today. Note:( Troy has had back to back 500 yard offensive outputs both on the road)

 Meanwhile, Troy’s  run D will get tested again this week for the 2nd straight time and they will be ready and fresh to handle that pressure because of the constant exposure to a ground attack. Coastal Carolina was able to upset Troy last week, because of their ability to balance their run game with key passes, something Georgia Southern just cant do. Note: Georgia Southern is highly over rated as they have been outscored and out yarded this season, and despite of up trending are a little over rated here in this spot a road chalk)

Georgia Southern is 3-7 ATS L/10 as road favourites.

Troy has won 17 of their L/23 SU at home. 

Home coming side gets it done today plus the points,

Take Troy to cover 

BC has been uptrending on my power rankings for a while now, and after accumulating a  school record 691 yards in offence last week in a DD blasting of Syracuse they enter this game with a great deal of momentum. Meanwhile, Florida State their visiting opponents can be best described as inconsistent and now completely lost without fired head Coach Will Taggart. Advantage Boston College.

Seminoles are 1-8-3 ATS in their last 12 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Seminoles are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a double-digit loss at home.Seminoles are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.Seminoles are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games.Seminoles are 0-5-1 ATS in their last 6 games on fieldturf.

Eagles are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.Eagles are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Eagles are 7-2 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.Eagles are 17-5-1 ATS in their last 23 games following a ATS win.Eagles are 16-5-1 ATS in their last 22 games on fieldturf.Eagles are 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.Eagles are 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 conference games.Eagles are 39-17-2 ATS in their last 58 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.

 CFB Home favorites  (BOSTON COLLEGE) - after going over the total by 21 or more points total in their last three games, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team are 36-1 SU L/10 seasons and a perfect 5-0 SU this season! 

Play on Boston College to cover 

The Golden Gophers are averaging 39.9 points and 446.9 total yards per game and have the ability to make the Penn State defence very hard to keep them under control. Im betting the Golden Gophers, who rank 24th in the nation with 232.0 rushing yards per game, to give the Nittany Lions top tier run D all they can handle on their way to a cover for the 6th straight time.

PENN ST is 4-14 ATS L/18  in road games versus excellent defensive teams - allowing 285  or less yards/game. PENN ST is 7-23 ATS L/30 in road games after allowing 9 points or less last game. Franklin is 8-17 ATS  when the total is between 42.5 and 49 as the coach of PENN ST.

Nittany Lions are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS win.

MINNESOTA is 10-2 ATS L/12 after allowing 275 or less total yards in 2 consecutive games. Fleck is 23-9 ATS  after gaining 6.25 or more yards/play in their previous game in all games he has coached.

Golden Gophers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 conference games.Golden Gophers are 5-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

Home team is 3-1-2 ATS in their last 6 meetings.

CFB home team vs. the money line (MINNESOTA) - an excellent offensive team (34 or more PPG) against an excellent defensive team (16 or less PPG) after 7+ games, after scoring 37 points or more in 2 straight games are 26-6 SU L/10 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors.

CFB  home team (MINNESOTA) - good rushing team (190-230 RY/game) against an average rushing team (140-190 RY/game) after 7+ games, after allowing 100 or less rushing yards last game.are 50-19 ATS L/10 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Minnesota Golden Gophers to cover 

Public drilling this line with high expectations from the media for USC, and the perception of Portland being a lower tier teams from an inferior conference. The Pilots run with a small lineup, with their tallest player forward Tahirou Diabate standing 6-foot-9,  but have an edge here on a slightly bloated line. 

Pilots are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Pilots are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games.Pilots are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

Trojans are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Trojans are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games after allowing less than 50 points in their previous game.

Play on Portland to cover 

I know alot of pundits might think that Washington is washed up and an emotional let down state after losing to Utah last time out, for their third home loss this season.... their most in in 4 years. However, it most be noted that Oregon State despite of up trending, just dont matchup well here vs a unfortunate but very good Huskies team that might want to get the pundits off their backs by taking out their frustrations on Beavers. Im betting on Huskies QB Eason to pick apart the Beavers pass defense wit big play after big play.  Washington is 22nd in the country in passing explosiveness and Oregon State is 126th at defending it. The Beavers rank outside the top 110 in opponent rush and pass explosiveness and look like fodder for a angry and downtrodden group this Friday night. 

Play on Washington to cover 

 at Stan Sheriff Center - Honolulu, HI

It will be the season opener for South Dakota, so may they well be rusty.   Pacific already won their first game of the season behind an experienced group of retuning players and should be a hand full for South Dakota tonight. 

Play on Pacific to cover 

 Reigning NBA Most Valuable Player Giannis Antetokounmpo and the Milwaukee Bucks visit Salt Lake City to take on Utah tonight. The public is loving the Bucks, but are greatly underestimating the tenacity of the Jazz, against a team on tired legs as they play their 3rd game in 5 nights on the road and in the high altitude of Salt Lake city. Advantage Utah. Take the points.

NBA teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (MILWAUKEE) - very good team - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game, after allowing 105 points or more 3 straight games are 26-5 SU L/23 seasons for a 84% conversion rate .

NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (MILWAUKEE) - very good team - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game, after allowing 105 points or more 3 straight games are 4-22 ATS L/23 seasons for a go against 84% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Utah Jazz to cover 

The burn of losing a home opener for the first time in 17 years stung for Grand Canyon last time out. I believe that this usually well coached group got looking ahead to this this tilt with Illinois. Illinois is the first Power Five visitor to GCU Arena since the Lopes gave Louisville a scare three years ago.

QUOTE:"Illinois is a tough team but we'll be ready for it, a lot more ready than we were Tuesday, that's for sure," Jenkins said.

"I was talking to my teammates and saying, 'What's done is done.' We can erase all of that by going and winning that game Friday. That's a big game and a big team. It's a tough task but I know we're more than capable of beating them. END QUOTE:

Grand Canyon on their own home floor will be a formidable pesky opponent for Illinois and I recommend we take the points. 

Fighting Illini are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Fighting Illini are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games.Fighting Illini are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.Fighting Illini are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.

Antelopes are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

Play on Grand Canyon to cover 

The desperate  Orlando Magic return home to Amway Center on Friday looking to end a four-game losing streak vs a Memphis side that they matchup well against.ORLANDO is 9-1 ATS  when playing against a struggling team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) over the last 2 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at +15.8 ppg. 

The Magic are 9-0 SU/ 7-2 ATS  L/9 as a home favorite.

Play on the Magic to cover 

Alumni Hall - Annapolis, MD

 A top tier matchup at the  Veterans Classic features No. 24 Auburn vs. Davidson. Two teams that my early season power rankings suggest are very evenly matched .Auburn is down a bit this season after  losing three key starters from last years final four group which accounts for  42 points per game of scoring and filling those sharp shooting spots will extremely difficult. Meanwhile,   Davidson is very experienced as they return all five starters from last season 24 victory team that will Im betting take advantage of the Tigers inexperienced back court. 

McKillop is 74-40 ATS  when the line is +3 to -3 as the coach of DAVIDSON.

Play on Davidson to cover 

The Spurs have dropped three of their past four, including Tuesday's 108-100 setback in Atlanta and because of this we have a decent recency bias to bet into here with the desperate home chalk. Meanwhile, Oklahoma City have won two in a row and getting some media accolades on a small sample size. Truth is at least from my perspective , is that despite of the Thunders hard work and recent positive results, thye are still over matched here according to my power rankings which take into account variables  media polling numbers don't such as matchup discrepancies based on systems. With that said, Im betting on the Spurs to come out here with a top tier effort on their way to a win and cover for the 5th straight time at home in this series.Home team is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

SAN ANTONIO is 17-5 ATS  in home games against Northwest division opponents over the last 3 seasons.

Donovan is 8-22 ATS  in road games after covering 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread as the coach of OKLAHOMA CITY. 

NBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (SAN ANTONIO) - after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread against opponent after having covered 4 of their last 5 against the spread are 48-19 ATS L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on San Antonio to cover 

The Chargers are a team that does not get accolades from the public, and are in some ways homeless and using temporary shelter in LA where no one seems to care about them. So this Chargers team feels more comfortable on the road than when playing hosts . Meanwhile, the future Las Vegas Raiders , are a team that is up trending, and getting alot of respect from the pundits. However, it seems the lines makers are not buying the hype, and have installed the home team in this matchup as essentially a pickem on a short chalk line. It must be noted that Chargers QB Phillip Rivers , has been a ATM machine for his backers when he goes on the road vs division opposition going 27-12-1 ATS , and 16-4 ATS when his team is not favoured by more than 3 points which is the case here this Thursday night. I know Oakland has looked good this season, and are off a impressive win vs the Lions, but it must be noted that the Silver and Black have a long history of failure  this series losing 4 straight and 20 of the L/27 meetings SU and if they  are off a SU/ATS win and playing at home they are  0-11 ATS . 

Chargers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 Thursday games.Chargers are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games in November.Chargers are 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 road games.

Chargers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings in Oakland.

Play on the LA Chargers to cover 

Boston is off a 119-113 win vs Cleveland last time out, in a high shooting percentage tilt for the Celtics. Note: BOSTON is 12-23 ATS after a combined score of 225 points or more over the last 2 seasons. Stevens is 5-16 ATS  after a game where they made 55% of their shots or better as the coach of BOSTON. Meanwhile, Charlotte has won 3 straight , and are more than capable of hanging tough against a Celtics side playing their 3rd straight road game in 5 nights and on tired legs. 

NBA Favorites (BOSTON) - up-tempo team averaging from last season 83 or more shots/game, after 2 straight games making 9 or more 3 point shots are 78-125 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 61% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Charlotte to cover (LATE STEAM)

The Temple Owls enter this game off a bye week, but prior to their break, they allowed  an average 45.3 PPG and 587 YPG in their last three tilts, which had me believing that they are highly over rated especially on D. Meanwhile, USF has won 3 of their L/4 and up trending and needs wins badly to become bowl eligible and will be ready to play a big game here tonight vs a program they have beaten in 3 of their L/4 meetings including the two most recent matchups as hosts. 

CFB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (TEMPLE) - after allowing 6.25 or more yards/play in their previous game against opponent after outgaining opp by 125 or more total yards in their previous game are 30-70 ATS L/5 seasons for a 70% go against conversion rate for bettors. 

CFB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (S FLORIDA) - after outrushing opponent by 150 or more yards last game against opponent after being outrushed by 125 or more yards last game are 27-6 L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on USF to cover 

The Jazz have lost two straight both on the road, but still look lie a formidable NBA team, and now on two days rest  will be prepared to bounce back here on home court vs a Philadelphia 76ers group playing their 3rd  road game in 5 nights , Note: Jazz are 20-7-1 ATS in their last 28 games following a straight up loss.

The Jazz are also 12-0 ATS/SU at home off a road game in which their opponent shot under 40% from the field and  are 7-0 ATS /SU when the line is within 3 of pick off a 10+ loss as a road dog facing an opponent averaging more than 7 refereed turnovers per game.

NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (UTAH) - off 2 or more consecutive road losses, playing with 2 days rest are 48-9 SU L/5 seasons for a 84% conversion rate for bettors. 

Utah Jazz to cover 

 Syracuse  is being highly touted as usual under the tut-ledge of Jim Boheim, but he has his work cut out for him early on this  season after  losing four starters from last years team ,  while  also adding a five-player freshman class.  This is now a rebuilding program, with some top tier  talent but a great deal of inexperience , which is never great when going against a defending champion such as Virginia.  Tonight I am expecting Virginias extremely organized  and tenacious pack line D, to dominate and to continue the recent string of Cavalier owner ship over the Orange. Note:  Virginia has won three in a row vs Syracuse,  which includes their last two visits to the Carrier Dome by an average of 20.5 points.

VIRGINIA is 10-1 ATS in road games over the last 2 seasons wit the average ppg diff clicking in at +12.4 ppg. and s 9-1 ATS  as a road favorite of 6 points or less or pick over the last 3 seasons.

Virginia to cover 

According to my power rankings the Toronto Raptors matchup well vs the Sacramento Kings , and with the added home court advantage look like very viable favorites here tonight. 

Torontos SRS: ranks 9th in the NBA ( 4.98) vs Sacramento's 27th ranking ( -7.52). SRS - Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average. Advantage Raptors 

NBA Home teams vs. the money line (TORONTO) - excellent free throw shooting team (79%or better) against an average free throw shooting team (72-76%), poor ball handling team (16.5 or more  TO's) against an average pressure defensive team (14.5-16.5 TO's) are 25-2 SU 23 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at +9.9 ppg which makes this a via-able ATS situation. 

Toronto Raptors to cover 

Both these teams struggled last season, greatly, and are pretty evenly matched according to my projections as this season begins thus giving us value with the underdog here.McNeese, which lost 13 of its last 17 regular-season games including its last three, will put out a different roster compared to last season. The group they now have is under rated.

Take the points with McNeese State to cover 

The Dallas Cowboys have defeated the NY Giants 5 straight times, but  NYG QB Daniel Jones was not under center in any of those games. All good and bad things must eventually come to an end. Whether the tide changes or not will soon be foretold. But one thing I am betting on is that the Gmen will make a game of this behind the arm of their young gun Jones: Note:  This is the first time Jones has all his skill players healthy and ready to play. WR Sterling Shepard looks ready to return after sitting out two games with his second concussion. TE Evan Engram is healthy. WR Golden Tate has played in four straight after returning from a suspension for using performance-enhancers. Barkley will be playing in his third straight after sitting out three with an ankle injury.

DALLAS is 6-16 ATS in road games off a home blowout win by 21 points or more since 1992.

Cowboys are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 Monday games.

Cowboys are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games in Week 9.

Cowboys are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.

NFL Road teams (DALLAS) - after beating the spread by more than 21 points in their previous game, in weeks 5 through 9 are 33-77 SU L/36 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the NY Giants to cover 

Milwaukee might be the public darling here but from a matchup perspective Minnesota is being highly under rated.(The Timberwolves will once again be without their star center Towns when they host Giannis Antetokounmpo and the Milwaukee Bucks on Monday) But this is a team that plays deeper and more systematically than past versions of the Wolves and can withstand his absence as was evident when they took out the Washington Wizards last time out. With Milwaukee off a hard fought emotional win vs the Raptors last time out, Im betting they are more vulnerable here than the linesmakers and public might anticipate. 

Bucks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Bucks are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

Timberwolves are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.

NBA Favorites (MILWAUKEE) - up-tempo team averaging from last season 83 or more shots/game, after 2 straight games making 9 or more 3 point shots are 71-118 L/23 seasons for a go against  63% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Minnesota Wolves to cover 

The Jazz are a team that matches up well against a side like the Clippers and already proved it once this season, in a 110-96 victory vs the Clippers on Oct. 30 in Utah. I know Kawhi Leonard was out that night because of load management , but despite of  the super stars huge efforts this season, could find the going tough vs a team that knows how to control pace and muck things up which effects opposition flow. According to SRS equations, the Jazz are the superior team at this point on the season. Utah 6:25 SRS ranked 7th in the league vs Clippers 5.21 SRS, ranked 9th in the league. ( SRS - Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule.)

Jazz are 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings in L.A..Jazz are 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings.

UTAH is 23-12 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.( Utah lost a 102-101 decision to the  Sacramento Kings on Nov.1 and now with some rest should be ready to rebound)

NBA team (LA CLIPPERS) - good 3PT shooting team (36.5% or better ) against a good 3PT defense (33% or less), average ball handling team (14.5-16.5 TO's) against an average pressure defense (14.5-16.5 TO's) are 7-27 L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. 

The undefeated New England Patriots actually look vulnerable here according to my power rankings, and matchup algorithms vs rested Baltimore side off a bye week . It must be noted    that the Baltimore  Ravens rush  offence puts up an average of 5.5 YPR, while the Patriots allow 4.6 Yards Per Rush on defense.  So what Im expecting tonight is for the hosts to pound the ball down the throat of the Pats and to do extensive damage with this formula, and to come out of this tilt with a cover. 

New England is just 2-9 ATS L/11 vs rested .500 or better  non division opposition .

BALTIMORE is 32-17 ATS  against AFC East division opponents since 1992.

NFL Road favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (NEW ENGLAND) - quick starting offensive team - scoring 14+ PPG in the first half, after allowing 14 points or less last game are 9-29 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors.

NFL Road favorites (NEW ENGLAND) - dominant team - outscoring opponents by 10 or more points/game, after a win by 10 or more points are 18-50 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors.

NFL Favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (NEW ENGLAND) - excellent offensive team - scoring 27 or more points/game, after allowing 14 points or less in 2 straight games are 7-25 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Baltimore Ravens to cover 

There is no real home field advantage for the LA Chargers playing here , in Dignity Health Sports Park and there will probably be more Packers fans than Chargers fans here. However, my power rankings suggest we have value in what could best be described as a neutral field environment.The Packers/Chargers are tied for the NFL lead with seven touchdown receptions by running backs and are more evenly matched than most might think. 

Last week the Chargers beat the Bears, but  the organization has had enough of  offensive coordinator Ken Whisenhunt  play calling and instead will have their QB coach Shane Steichen call plays this week a guy I think has been undervalued by the Chargers. This week look for QB Philip Rivers  who is s second in the league with 202 completions, fourth with 305attempts, third with 2,315 yards and 10th with 66.2 percent accuracy to have a decent Sunday, vs Aaron Rodgers and company.Note: In three career starts against Green Bay, he’s averaged 398 passing yards. 

I know its hard to bet against the Packers because of recency biases, but Im not going to give a great deal of attention to those numbers today and instead will base my opinion on the mathematics that suggest we have value taking points. 

NFL Underdogs or pick (LA CHARGERS) - struggling rushing team ( 3.5 YPR) against a poor rushing defense (4.5  or moreYPR) after 8+ games, after gaining 99 or less rushing yards in 3 straight games are 26-6 L/36 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the LA Chargers to cover 

There is no culture of winning in Cleveland and now thye have to endure bad coaching which just does not bode well for this franchise. All the off seasons moves along with  the pundits in the media telling us how great Cleveland was going to be , still has the public believing the hype. I know QB  Baker Mayfield has a great arm, but he is no longer taking advantage of weak Big 12 defences, and here against secondaries and defences with a heart beat he's had his issues , and here against a blue collar Broncos D, Im betting those problems persist. I also know Joe Flacco is now lost to the Broncos for the season, and his backup Brandon Allen will start, but Flacco was not playing well and this might actually be a shot in the arm for  Denvers struggling offence. Note:Denver defense  has held each of their last four opponents to season low  or 2nd low yards. Im betting they will be key to us getting the cover. 

CLEVELAND is 0-8 ATS  vs. excellent kickoff return teams, more than 24 yards per return over the last 3 seasons.CLEVELAND is 4-14 ATS  after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.

I was on the fence , waiting and watching this line, and now that it has moved , thanks to public sentiment Ive changed my my mind and decided to jump in here and take the points. 

Play on the Denver Broncos to cover 

Whether Kansas City QB Patrick Mahomes  starts this week or not , he had previous to be injured  flashed  signs of  the dreaded sophomore jinx and  in his three appearances  prior to that as he  completed less than 58% of his passes in those aforementioned tilts.

MINNESOTA is 12-4 ATS  in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 2 seasons.

NFL team (MINNESOTA) - good team (outgain opp. by 40-100 YPG) against an average team (+/- 40 YPG) after 8+ games, after gaining 375 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games 40-5 SU L/5 seasons. 

 Minnesota head coach Zimmer has seen his team cash 16 of his L/21 versus AFC opposition , including 6-0 ATS when the Vikings are coming off consecutive wins.Zimmer is also 41-15-2 ATS outside the NFC North and deserves respect as an underdog.

Play on the Minnesota Vikings to cover 

Last time out the Eagles temporarily saved their season with a win as dogs, and on the flip side their opponents the Bears continue their incompetence, off a loss they should have had against the Chargers last week in a season full of a comedy of errors. Now Chicago Im betting will be feeling downtrodden while the Eagles will feel rejuvenated and ready to perform here at home with momentum on their sides. I honestly have not had a great read on the Eagles this season, but momentum means alot and I'm riding that here today. 

Bears are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up loss.

Bears are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 meetings.

PHILADELPHIA is 6-0 ATS off a upset win as an underdog over the last 3 seasons

The Bears are 0-13 ATS /SU failing to cover by more than 13 ppg as a road dog after a game in which less than 22 percent of their opponent?s first downs were from third down.

Play on the Philadelphia Eagles to cover 

Wembley Stadium - London, England

The Jags D, has been playing well of late but my own QB vs D, power rankings suggest Texans QB Deshaun Watson who has the  5th best QB rating in the league this season (105.7), has the edge. I know this is like the Jags second home after playing 6 games here in England,  but the overall matchup projections favour the Texans. 

The Jaguars are 2-16 SU/ATS as non-conference dogs dating back 7 seasons. 

NFL Favorites vs. the money line (HOUSTON) - excellent passing team - with a completion pct of 64% or better, after allowing 6.75 or more passing yards/attempt in 4 straight games are 46-5 L/10 seasons for a 90% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Houston to cover 

 Im not sold on Oregon and believe their being over hyped by the media.  The Ducks have recently struggled defensively against air raid offenses like USC owns and have really showed some serious cracks in their secondary.  Oregons last  two games,  they were really blown up and had to make comebacks to win those tilts , by a combined 6 points. So tonight against an elite group of USC receivers, the Ducks Im betting are in trouble . On D, Im also believe more strongly than most in the Trojans D is a quality group. Note:USC is 10th in opponent red zone touchdown scoring and own  a top-20 rank in points allowed per red zone trip.

The Trojans are 16-6-1 ATS as home underdogs, including 9-1 ATS if they won .625 or less win percentage.

CFB road team (OREGON) - good team - outscoring opponents by 7 or more points/game, after allowing 31 points or more in 2 straight games are 42-84 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 67% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the USC Trojans to cover 

The Nets enter this game against the Pistons off a hard fought win vs the Houston Rockets last night. The Nets hosts tonight the Pistons also played last night in a loss, but the difference maker for this matchup comes via home court advantage and slightly fresher legs of the Pistons, vs a Nets team playing their 3rd game in 3 nights.Note: Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (BROOKLYN) - after 1 or more consecutive wins, extremely tired team - when playing their 3rd game in 4 days are just 66-131 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 63% conversion rate for bettors.

Dating back 5 seasons, teams like the Brooklyn Nets with a line between 3 to -3 off no rest & won their previous game as a dog by a margin less then 30 pts against an opponent who had 50 or more points in the paint are 0-23 ATS/ SU.

Play on the Detroit Pistons to cover 

The Pelicans are off an upset win last time out vs Denver by a 122-107 count as 4 point home dogs. Note: NEW ORLEANS is 2-15 ATS L/17 off an upset win by 15 points or more as a home underdog . The Pelicans have been running a full throttle take no prisoners game plan so far this season, and after that draining effort last time out Im looking for a regressionary effort today in Oklahoma City.

Pelicans are also  0-5 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.

Meanwhile, the well rested Thunder are off a 102-99 loss last time out to Portland, but have bounced back well in the recent  past positing a  4-0 ATS record  in their last 4 games following a ATS loss.

Thunder are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. Western Conference.Thunder are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games playing on 2 days rest.

We also have a interesting NBA trend anomaly attached to this tilt that favors the Thunder: NBA Home favorites (OKLAHOMA CITY) - poor ball handling team - committing 16 or more turnovers/game, on Saturday games are 31-8 ATS L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (NEW ORLEANS) - good shooting team (45.5-47.5%) against a poor shooting team (41.5-43.5%), after a game making 12 or more 3 point shots are 5-24 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Oklahoma City to cover 

Utahs top tier  defence is relentless but they don't get alot of sacks. Tonight I betting Washingtons QB Eason will have time to operate and generate alot more scoring chances then the public and lines-makers are estimating. Im not underestimating how good a team the Utes, have and respect them greatly but my power ranking suggest that the Huskies matchup well against the Utes. Last season the Utes lost twice to Washington  , once as hosts  (in their only home loss of the campaign) and then in the rematch in the Pac-12 title game, scoring a lowly 10 combined points in those defeats. It must be noted HC Chris Peterson is much maligned, for his under performing ways,  and will now be operating in desperation mode under what could easily be his last stand. The wagons are  circled and the plans are in place, and I expect a huge effort from the under valued  home side in this spot. 

Since 2005, a Top 10 ranked team like Utah vs an unranked team like the Huskies off a loss & the line is 5 or less is just 1-13 SU.

CFB  team (UTAH) - after beating the spread by 49 or more points total in their last five games, a top-level team ( 80%) or better  playing a good team (60% to 80%) is 16-43 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Washington Huskies to cover 

TIAA Bank Field - Jacksonville, FL

The Gators (7-1, 4-1 SEC) and Bulldogs (6-1, 3-1) both are ranked among the nation's Top 10 for a second straight meeting. GEORGIA is 11-2 ATS in road games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons

Georgia's Jake Fromm will start against Florida for the third consecutive year after directing victories in 2017 (42-7) and last season (36-17). The junior quarterback has completed 70.7 percent of his passes (123 of 174) this season for 1,406 yards, with nine touchdowns and three interceptions. Im betting he is key to a victory here vs a a up-trending but not quite ready for prime time Florida side. 

Keys on Defence favors Georgia:Defensively, the Bulldogs rank seventh overall by allowing 266.7 yards; the Gators are 25th while allowing 319.5ypg. Florida ranks ninth with 29 sacks (3.63 average), while Georgia is fifth against the run (85.7 yards per game).

Smart is 9-1 ATS  in road games after a win by 21 or more points as the coach of GEORGIA. ( Georgia 21 Kentucky 0 last time out )

Play on Georgia to cover 

Kansas State played an amazing game last week in a huge upset win vs Oklahoma. Now Im betting they will be in a huge emotional letdown situation vs a up trending Kansas side and very vulnerable. It must also be noted that Kansas State has lost the stat wars in 5 straight games, and own the No. 129th Red Zone Defense in the nation, and are highly over rated despite of their  media blitzed accomplishments. Im betting on QB Carter Stanley to add to his  900 yards in his last three games and 13 touchdowns with a primo effort here in a tilt that could feature a SU upset, but more importantly as far as we are concerned a Jayhawks cover. 

KANSAS is 12-3 ATS after gaining 450 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games.

CFB home team (KANSAS) - good offensive team (390 to 440 YPG) against an average defense (330 to 390 YPG) after 7+ games, after gaining 475 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games are 23-3 SU L/27 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Kansas to cover 

The Thundering Herd are proving themselves highly inconsistent and a team that plays down their competition consistently. Note: Marshall is just  12-26-4 ATS as road favourite against below .500 opposition  .With a big time battle in the  C-USA West division  on the horizon vs No.1 Louisiana Tech  a full concentrated effort vs a team like Rice with no victories is a high probability. The Owls cannot get over the hump, but they are an improved team, that has suffered 4 losses by 10 points or less and viable Home Coming underdogs here this Saturday afternoon. 

MARSHALL is 0-6 ATS  when the total is between 42.5 and 49 over the last 2 seasons and is 0-6 ATS when playing on a Saturday this season and is also 0-6 ATS  after 2 consecutive game where they committed 1 or less turnovers over the last 3 seasons.

Play on Rice to cover 

Old Dominion enters this tilt against Florida International with just one victory this season and that came  against Norfolk State in their opener,. Currently on a 7 game losing streak, things don't look to get much better for a side just going through the motions, as they face a team that needs wins to get a Bowl game invite. Im betting the Monarchs128th offence that averages. only 14.5 PPG will be on the wrong side of a big time beatdown. ODU is 0-6 ATS L/6 as underdogs of 15 points or more and another negative output Is my bet today.

Wilder is 7-16 ATS  as an underdog of 10.5 to 21 points as the coach of OLD DOMINION with the average ppg diff clicking in at -23.4 ppg. 

CFB road team (OLD DOMINION) - after failing to cover the spread in 4 out of their last 5 games against opponent after failing to cover the spread in 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games are 10-36 ATS L/5 seasons for a 78% go against conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Florida International to cover 

Since 2014 the  Central Michigan Chips have been NIU’s kryptonite and have won four of the last five and Im betting they find a way to turn the trick again. 

Meanwhile, Quinten Dormady will once again take the snaps for the Chips in place of David Moore, starting his fourth game in a row. Dormady has completed 63.7% of his passes this season for 1022 yards. He is backed by  Jonathan Ward who is one of the best running backs in the MAC. He’s averaging 6.8 yards per carry and has 725 yards and nine touchdowns on the campaign. I am expecting the Chips to do more damage then the linesmakers expect vs a banged up NIU defence and get us the cover here today. 

C MICHIGAN is 8-1 ATS after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games over the last 3 seasons.

CFB Home favorites vs. the money line (C MICHIGAN) - after going over the total by 21 or more points total in their last three games, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team are 36-1 SU L/10seasons for a 97% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Central Michigan to cover 

The Lakers are full of veteran talent, but  they are a little banged up right now with key cog Anthony Davis at less than 100% with a nagging shoulder injury. Dallas meanwhile, despite of being young is healthy right now and deserve respect on their own home court. 

The Lakers  dating back to last season are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 road games.

Mavericks are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

Lakers are 3-7 ATS in the last 10 meetings in Dallas.

Play on Dallas to cover 

Houston and the Washington Wizards set a record with 317 combined points in a tilt that was decided by one point as the Rockets snatched  a 159-158 win in that game. Im now expecting some regression on the part of the Rockets, after that energy draining effort. There are also some troubling numbers attached to the Rockets last effort most notably being that they  allowed Washington to shoot 62.6 percent from the floor. Look for Kyrie Irving and company to thrive in this spot play. 

HOUSTON is 6-16 ATS in road games after playing a road game over the last 2 seasons.

Brooklyn has win and covered 3 of the L/4 meetings in this series. Rockets are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall.Rockets are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400. 

Rockets are 2-7 ATS in the last 9 meetings.Underdog is 7-2 ATS in the last 9 meetings

Nets are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 vs. NBA Southwest.Nets are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 vs. Western Conference.

NBA Road teams vs. the money line (HOUSTON) - off 2 no-covers where the team won straight up as a favorite against opponent off an upset loss as a home favorite are 7-23 L/23 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Favorites (HOUSTON) - up-tempo team averaging from last season 83 or more shots/game, after 2 straight games making 9 or more 3 point shots are 66-111 ATS L/23 seasons for a go against 62% conversion rate for bettors. 

Take the points with Brooklyn to cover 

The Milwaukee matchup is the middle game of a set of three in four nights at Orlando. Im betting the Bucks tired legs play an integral part in us getting a cover here tonight with the home dog. 

Bucks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Bucks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

Magic are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 home games.

Home team is 3-1-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.Bucks are 4-9-1 ATS in the last 14 meetings in Orlando

NBA team (MILWAUKEE) - good shooting team (45.5-47.5%) against a poor shooting team (41.5-43.5%), good ball handling team (14.5  or less TO's) against an average pressure defensive team (14.5-16.5 TO's) are 11-35 ATS  L/5 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Orlando Magic to cover 

 This Thursday night  two teams to be perceived the public to be at the opposite end of the performance spectrum do battle. San Francisco is at the head of the  NFC West as the remaining undefeated team in the conference after smashing Carolina last week 51-13, while Arizona is below .500 and in last place in the division. However, Arizona may not be as bad as the public might believe, as the Cardinals were riding a three-game winning streak before visiting the New Orleans Saints Sunday and losing 31-9. Recency bias plays into alot of lines in any bet-able sports, and because of this value can be obtained in certain circumstances. Tonight we have one of those situations as my own projections estimate that from a mathematical standpoint that Arizonas chances of covering are in the 55% range, which makes this a very viable investment opportunity. Note: Arizona is 5-0 SU in its last 5 overall games when playing San Francisco and  is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against San Francisco.

ARIZONA is 25-8 ATS after allowing 7 or more yards/play in their previous game . 

ARIZONA is 17-4 ATS L/21 vs. very good defensive teams who give up 14 or less points/game . 

NFL Favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (SAN FRANCISCO) - excellent offensive team - scoring 27 or more points/game, after allowing 14 points or less in 2 straight games are 7-25 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors.

NFLRoad favorites (SAN FRANCISCO) - dominant team - outscoring opponents by 10 or more points/game, after a win by 10 or more points are 18-50 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against  74% conversion rate for bettors.

NFL Home teams  (ARIZONA) - mistake-free team - committing 0.75 or less turnovers/game, after 4 consecutive games where they committed 1 or less turnovers are 31-5 SU L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Arizona to cover 

The Eagles currently on a 3 game win streak are 16-point underdogs entering the rivalry game,  at the time of my selection. GS  is the last team to take down App State by a a 34-14 shocker on Oct. 25, 2018. Since losing to the Eagles over a year ago, App has rolled off 13 straight victories. 

Can  Georgia Southern turn the trick again. Well I don't know , but I do believe according to my projections that we have value at two TDs or more with a Eagles side, that actually has the type of team that an make the Mounties work hard for a win.Georgia Southern ranks No. 7 nationally in rushing offense (259.9 yards per game),  and hardly ever throw. So we all know what's coming at App State , but that still does not make it an easy task for the Mountaineers. 

Look for this big time rivalry to be a physical hard fought battle that will be won on the ground. 

CFB  road team (GA SOUTHERN) - average defensive team (330-390 YPG) against a good defensive team (280 to 330 YPG) after 7+ games, after outgaining opp by 125 or more total yards in their previous game are 35-11 ATS L/10 seasons for a 76% conversion rate. 

CFB Underdogs of 10.5 to 21 points (GA SOUTHERN) - off a home win by 17 points or more against opponent off a double digit road win are 40-14 ATS L/10 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.

CFB Home favorites (APPALACHIAN ST) - after beating the spread by 35 or more points total in their last three games, undefeated on the season are 17-43 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Georgia Southern to cover 

Baylor at 7-0 is off a by week and well rested, and very ready and fresh to lay a two way beatdown on a struggling West Virginia side that is just plain over matched here. West Virginia has averaged 14 ppg in their L/2 and Im betting they wont even reach that out put here this week, while they get gashed in a big way resulting in a Baylor cover. Note: BAYLOR is 10-1 ATS L/11 as a home favorite of 14.5 to 21 points : Baylor 40.9 Opponent 16.3 . 

CFB home team  (BAYLOR) - a top caliber team (+14 or more PPG differential) against a terrible team (-10 PPG or less differential), after a win by 17 or more points are 27-1 U L/27 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at +31.4 ppg. 

Play on Baylor to cover 

The Jazz according to my own ratings should be -5 favs here against the public leaning Clippers. Hey I know the Clippers have the best player in the league Kawhi Leonard in their their lineup and their currently playing very good hoops, but Utah is no pushover. Utah has the second-lowest opponent expected eFG% in the league and their  defense is tops in the league  allowing just 92 points per 100 possessions. The Clippers are 24th on D under the same parameters. With that said, Im going directly against the public and the Clippers and agreeing with the market forces that suggest Utah has an edge.

Utah is 3-0 SU L/3 at home in this series.

NBA Favorites (UTAH) - up-tempo team averaging from last season 83 or more shots/game, after 2 straight games making 9 or more 3 point shots are 106-61 ATS L/23 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Utah Jazz to cover 

Kyrie Irving is playing at an extremely high level right of the game this season for his new team the  Brooklyn Nets. However, I am expecting a natural letdown regression offensively , and for the Nets nasty defensive play to burden them against a Indiana side  that are capable of busting out of an early season scoring slump. It must be noted that despite of Kyrie Irving circus the Nets needed a late  Irving's  3-pointer  Friday after blowing a 19-point lead. Two days later, the Nets held an eight-point lead with three minutes remaining and gave up a 10-2 run that forced overtime. The 1-2 Nets are down trending and may not be the solid bet the public thinks they are tonight. 

BROOKLYN is 4-14 ATS  in home games against Central division opponents over the last 3 seasons.

Indiana is 3-0 SU l/3 visits to Brooklyn. 

NBA team (INDIANA) - after 2 or more consecutive losses, first 6 games of the season, playoff team from last season who lost 6 or more of their last 8 games are 41-16 ATS L/23 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Indiana Pacers to cover 

The Jazz made a season-high 18 3-pointers and tied a franchise record with 13 threes in the first half while routing Sacramento 113-81 on Saturday, in a top tier two way game. Defence remains the mainstay of the Jazz success behind two-time reigning NBA Defensive Player of the Year Rudy Gobert and here tonight Im betting their top tier D will be the difference maker as they march to a conclusive win vs a exhausted Suns team that will play their 3rd game in 4 nights and that they matchup well against .Utah has taken the last seven meetings by an average of 24.1 points and one more conclusive win is on tonights agenda. 

Home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (PHOENIX) - off an home win scoring 110 or more points, extremely tired team - when playing their 3rd game in 4 days are 10-34 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Utah Jazz to cover 

After the five-time defending Western Conference champion Warriors were hammered at home by the Clippers 141-122 in the season opener, Golden State coach Steve Kerr said the performance was not "a one-off." Quote:"This is the reality," Kerr said. "There's going to be nights like this this year."End Quote: And the next night like that came at Oklahoma City on Sunday as the Thunder led by as many as 41 points in rolling to a 120-92 victory.

With the league now wanting to take advantage of a great franchise that took great joy and pounding opponents mercilessly over the last few years payback by their opponents is now at hand. 

Both these teams are still without a win this season, but New Orleans according to my projections has an edge here at home laying the short lumber.

NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (NEW ORLEANS) - after allowing 110 points or more 2 straight games against opponent after trailing in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half are 34-3 SU L/23 seasons with the combined average ppg diff clicking in at +10.4 ppg.

Play on the New Orleans Pelicans to cover 

Aaron Rodgers is red hot, and the KC Chiefs will start a backup QB in place of their star pivot Patrick Mahomes who is surprisingly already back at practice. However, Andy Reid knows how to win, and it's never easy to get a victory in Arrow Head  and covering here won't be an easy task. 

Packers are 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 games following a ATS win.Packers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.Packers are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.

Chiefs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 8.Chiefs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Chiefs are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.Chiefs are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 games following a ATS win.Chiefs are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.Chiefs are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.Chiefs are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up win of more than 14 points.

NFL Underdogs or pick (KANSAS CITY) - after going under the total by 35 or more points total in their last three games, in non-conference games are 23-4 ATS L/10 seasons for a 85% conversion rate.

Play on the KC Chiefs to cover 

Kyrie Irving is fitting in well to his new home in Brooklyn  and followed up a top tier  50-point performance in his season debut by highlighting a late surge in the fourth quarter of Brooklyn's 113-109 win versus the New York Knicks on Friday night. According to my early season projections, Irving and the Nets matchup well here vs Memphis and are viable road favorites of 5 points or less.

MEMPHIS is 21-39 ATS in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.BROOKLYN is 53-32 ATS in road games over the last 3 seasons .

Nets are 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Memphis. Nets are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 vs. NBA Southwest.

Play on the Brooklyn Nets to cover 

The Warriors (0-1) and Thunder (0-2) are both still looking for their first wins. Golden State  lost  a 141-122 confrontation to the Los Angeles Clippers and Oklahoma took season-opening losses at Utah and at home against Washington . Both rosters are vastly different from last season, but after watching some of key action from these games, I like the Thunder a little more at this point of the season, and believe they have an edge here on on home court this afternoon. 

The Warriors are 0-5 ATS L/5 as a favorite. Warriors are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.

Underdog is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings.

NBA Home teams vs. the money line (OKLAHOMA CITY) - off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a home favorite against opponent after a home game where both teams score 100 or more points are 28-4 SU L/5 seasons for a 88% conversion rate. 

Play on Oklahoma City to cover 

NY was dumped last week vs Arizona by a 27-21 count, but did make a come back after being down by DDs earlier in that game and have the ability to hang with a Motown side that has lost 3 straight games thanks in part to a porous D. Note: NFL  visiting underdogs are a bankroll expanding 45-24-1 ATS this season, including 18-4-1 ATS when facing opposition  coming off a defeat. Im betting on young gun Daniel Jones to have some luck here this week vs the Lions rickety secondary and for the Gmen to deliver the cash. 

Giants have won 4 of their L/5 visits to Detroit. 

NY GIANTS are 16-3 ATS L/19  after allowing 17 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games. DETROIT is 31-52 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.

NFL Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (NY GIANTS) - after allowing 17 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games against opponent after a loss by 10 or more points are 36-12 ATS L/36 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the NY Giants to cover 

 Man did Philadelphia disappoint me last week in Dallas. It was an atrocious effort . Their D allowed 400 plus yards for the 2nd straight game. However despite of that,  according to my projections and perceptions  still a solid overall team that I whole heartedly believe in, especially against what I also project to be a over rated Buffalo team that has beat up on teams with a combined 6-25 SU record. I know this is the Eagles 3rd straight road game, and that they lost the previous two, but it must be noted that  NFL road teams in the 3rd of three straight away tilts are  a bankroll expanding 40-26 ATS when coming off consecutive losses and  32-16 ATS dating back 27 seasons), including 20-6 ATS in non- division tilts  and a near perfect 11-1 ATS when coming off a losing effort  of  10  or more points.. The Eagles themselves are  5-1 ATS as dogs in their 3rd straight away game.  The Eagles are also 12-1 SU and 13-0 ATS away in the regular season after scoring 10 or fewer points which was the case last week in Dallas. 

PHILADELPHIA is 8-1 ATS  when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 75% or better) over the last 3 seasons.

Bills are 1-4 ATS L/5 at home vs a side with a losing record.

Play on the Philadelphia Eagles to cover 

I was going to completely by pass this game, but the key number I was looking for awoke me to the value being offered here on this line. I know the Colts are playing great football, but Denver has been highly competitive so far this season despite of last weeks debacle vs the KC chiefs and QB  Flacco's sack numbers. The Broncos had won their previous two games, and lost by 2 points to Jacksonville, and Chicago and gave the red hot Packers a run for their money in a 26-17 loss. With recency bias on our sides and a the fact that all the Colts decisions have come within 7 points or less, this is a viable side opportunity with the underdog. 

I also expect the Colts to be in a letdown spot after their big win vs Houston last week giving the hungry side room to out energize their opponent. 

Broncos are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games in Week 8.Broncos are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games in October.Broncos are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games after accumulating less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.

Colts are 0-3-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.

Play on the Denver Broncos to cover 

This line has just gone crazy as it opened at -3.5 and has steamed via public action all the way up to this -7 line. After that adjustment, we now have value with the ugly home mutt. I know Atlanta has looked horrendous for much of the early part of this season, but thanks to that recency bias we have value here taking points from a mathematical perspective. 

Fading large steam moves like this have been a long term winning proposition -131-77-6 ATS dating back 14 seasons for a solid 62% conversion rate and a ROI of 23%. 

ATLANTA is 33-17 ATS   after allowing 375 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games.

Play on the Atlanta Hawks to cover 

UNLV found a way to beat Vanderbilt last time out, and will now be completely wiped out and in a emotional letdown state, vs a Aztecs side that has revenge on board for being upset by UNLV last season at home. San Diego State is currently in top form having held their last three opponents to season low averages, and another shut down performance Im betting will come late Saturday night. 

SAN DIEGO ST is 9-1 ATS in road games vs. poor punt return teams, less than 7.5 yards per return with the average ppg diff clicking in at +19 ppg.

San Diego State is 22-1 SU and 19-4 ATS off a SUATS victory under Rocky Long when taking on a  .500 or less conference opponent, including 13-0 SU and 12-1 ATS away.

CFB road team (SAN DIEGO ST) - a good team (+5 to +10 PPG diff.) against a terrible team (10 or less PPG diff.) after 7 or more games, in conference games are 32-9 ATS L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.

CFB Home underdogs (UNLV) - with a turnover margin of -1 /game or worse on the season, after a game with a turnover margin of -3 or worse are 11-40 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate! 

Play on San Diego State to cover 

Missouri was completely asleep at the proverbial wheel last week vs previously winless Vanderbilt, and had no energy what so ever after having rolled off 5 straight victories prior to that ugly affair,. Now steaming and embarrassed I expect the Tigers to come out here and roll over a toothless Kentucky offense that is down to using a WR as a QB. Last week, Kentuckys D, stood tall against Georgia in a rain drenched affair but could not move the ball and lost 21-0. The Wildcats might have more success this week, but Im betting it wont be enough against a  Missouri team that will be angry and motivated. 

 KENTUCKY is 0-6 ATS in home games in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.KENTUCKY is 0-7 ATS after allowing 125 or less passing yards in 2 straight games.

CFB Home underdogs of 10.5 to 21 points (KENTUCKY) - after 3 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers are 38-77 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 67% conversion rate for bettors.

CFBroad team (MISSOURI) - after going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last five games against opponent after going under the total by 49 or more points total in their last seven games are 35-11 ATS L/27 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Missouri to cover 

Kansas played a great game last week vs Texas, and despite of a humungous effort lost by two points. Now in a huge emotional let down spot Im betting they come out flat tonight against visiting Texas Tech and take it on the proverbial chin. I know the Texas Tech may not inspire bettors and they are off a loss last week, but in the past this has been a positive boost for their betting backers as the program has cashed 33 of their L/45 off a home defeat for a 73% conversion rate. Note:The Red Raiders have won 15 of the L/16 meetings including 8 straight as visitors and have the edge in this spot play.  

KANSAS is 4-16 ATS L/20  after 3 straight games where 60 total points or more were scored .

CFB Road favorites (TEXAS TECH) - average rushing team (+/- 40 RY/G) against a poor team who is outrushed by 50+ YPG after 7+ games, in conference games are 61-26 ATS L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Texas Tech to cover 

There is very good news coming out of Edmonton for  the Eskimos as starting  Quarterback Trevor Harris, has been activated off the six-game injured list. He can practice this week and it is likely, but not confirmed that he will start against the Roughriders on Saturday. However sources close to the team say he's ready to go. His presence Im betting buoys the Eskies to a cover and possible SU win this Saturday. 

CFL Home teams vs. the money line (EDMONTON) - with a good defense - allowing 350 or less total yards/game, after allowing 5.5 or less yards/play in their previous game are 33-3 L/5 seasons for a 91% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Edmonton Eskimos to cover 

This is a bad matchup for the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors according to my cross reference power rankings, thus getting points is a viable investment opportunity. Hawaii has not won in New Mexico since 1987, and if they finally get it done this week, Im betting they won't cover here vs a Lobos team that can pound the rock on the ground with merciless fashion and that is 2-1 SU at home this season.Not having  suspended QB Sheriron Jones under center will have no impact on this game.

HAWAII is 0-7 ATS versus good offensive teams - averaging 5.9 or more yards/play over the last 3 seasons. HAWAII is 3-15 ATS  after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread over the last 3 seasons. 

NEW MEXICO is 40-21 ATS 61 vs. good offensive teams - scoring 31 or more points/game.

CFB Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (NEW MEXICO) - good offensive team (5.6 to 6.2 YPP) against a team with a terrible defense (6.2 YPP), in conference games are 31-8 ATS L/10 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. 

CFB Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (NEW MEXICO) - off 2 consecutive losses by 10 points or more to conference rivals, in October games are 31-9 ATS L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on New Mexico to cover