The Eagles need to win and they need the Bears to beat the Vikings to get into the playoffs. Needless to say, the Eagles need only worry about taking care of their business, here. However, Im betting Washington will not be so willing a participant in letting the Eagles get a free pass in  their home finale and will cherish the opportunity to play spoilers vs the defending Super Bowl champs. . The Eagles have struggled as visitors   this season overall  as they are just 3-4 on the road, with the average point differential clicking in at -3.2. Eagles 23.1 Opp 26.3. Im recommending we go on the take .

Eagles are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win.Eagles are 2-5 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.Eagles are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.Eagles are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 vs. NFC.Eagles are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 vs. NFC East.Eagles are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.Eagles are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.

Redskins are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.Redskins are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games on grass.Redskins are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games.Redskins are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games following a straight up loss.

WASHINGTON is 17-3 ATS L/20 versus inconsistent defensive teams - allowing 6 or less yards/play in the second half of the season.

WASHINGTON is 22-6 ATS  vs. excellent passing teams averaging 260 or more passing yards/game after 8+ games. 

 PHILADELPHIA is 2-11 ATS  versus struggling  defensive teams - allowing 6 or more yards/play over the last 3 seasons.

Play on the Washington Redskins to cover 

Lipscomb climbed to 32nd in the latest NCAA NET Rankings. Liberty (64) is the next highest ASUN squad.The Bisons came in ranked ninth in this week’s CollegeInsider.com Mid-Major Top 25 poll, and remained 11th in the SB Nation Mid-Major Madness poll.Dating back to last season, Lipscomb has won 17 of its last 21 games. In that span they are 7-2 in road games and must not be underestimated in their abilities to upset  a top tier Clemson  side here in Little John behind a offence that is averaging a  ASUN-best 87.3 PPG, which ranks 10th nationally . Lipscomb also leads the conference in free throw percentage (77.4%), assists per game (18.7), steals per contest (8.3), field goal percentage defense (40.5%), assist-turnover ratio (1.49) and defensive rebounds per game (28.58).

Play on Lipscomb to cover 

New York has won just two games in December and carries a six-game losing streak into Salt Lake City after losing back-to-back games against Milwaukee on Tuesday and Thursday and because of that form we are getting decent value here on a slightly bloated line. vs an inconsistent Jazz side.  The Knicks swept the season series with the Jazz last season and have a recent history of playing well against Utah as is evident by going 23-3 ATS in this series, including 12-1 ATS at Salt Lake City. Its never easy backing a side like NYK, but I  have enough line value here to warrant a solid investment recommendation. 

Knicks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. Western Conference.

Jazz are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Jazz are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Jazz are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.

Play on the NY Knicks to cover 

The Celtics have won the last five in this inter conference rivalry vs Memphis, limiting the Grizzlies to 93 and 98 points in last year's two-game season-series sweep and have the edge again here tonight as I expect the Celtics  behind their top tier D will be primed to rebound off a  127-113 loss in Houston on Thursday night. Yes, the Celtics have struggled of late, but they are a resilient bunch, as far as providing their betting backers with profits as the clovers, are 13-1 ATS after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games over the last 2 seasons. 

OSTON is 23-8 ATS  vs. poor rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 3+ per game over the last 2 seasons.

 Celtics are 15-0 SUATS as a road favorite with rest off a loss in which they scored at least 30% of their points from threes which happened last time out vs Houston. 

Play on Boston to cover 

The  NAU Lumberjacks played eight of their 10 non-conference games on the road and will be playing their first game in seven days following an eight-day, three-game road trip , but now well rested are fresh enough to make this a closer game the linesmakers are estimating vs a good but over rated Montana side. 

I know the Lumberjacks are on a losing streak, but in the recent  past N ARIZONA has proven resilient in their ability to be competitive when in a slump as  is evident by their  8-1 ATS  record after 5 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.Murphy is 32-16 ATS  versus teams who average 33 or less rebounds/game on the season as the coach of N ARIZONA.

CBB Underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (N ARIZONA) - after going under the total by 18 or more points total in their last three games, terrible team, winning 20% or less of their games on the season 131-77 L/21 seasons for a 63% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on N.Arizona to cover 

 Instate rivals Kentucky and Louisville meet at the KFC Yum! Center where the Cardinals will be hell bent on getting revenge  for a 90-61 behind the shed spanking in Lexington last season.The Cards new head COACH  Chris Mack formerly at Xavier was a strong underdog in  non- division matches cashing 27 of 38 times . With the Cards playing their best hoops at home where they are  8-0 SU this season Im betting on them being extremely competitive here and if they lose they will still cover.

KENTUCKY is 1-8 ATS  in road games after scoring 75 points or more 4 straight games over the last 3 seasons.LOUISVILLE is 8-1 ATS in home games after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread over the last 3 seasons

CBB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (KENTUCKY) - in a game involving 2 very good teams - outscoring opponents by 8+ PPG, after scoring 80 points or more 3 straight games are 33-76 ATS L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Louisville to cover 

Xavier (8-5 ) has owned this series of late and has won eight straight over the Blue Demons and wins in 11 of the last 12 meetings. XU is 10-1 vs. DePaul (8-3) since the two teams became BIG EAST rivals in the 2013-14 season and Im betting they have the edge again here tonight according to my power rankings and system vs system matchup stats. Note:The Musketeers are 4-1 in BIG EAST Conference openers.

XAVIER is 11-2 ATS versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game over the last 2 seasons.DEPAUL is 73-101 ATS in home games against conference opponents since 1997.

Play on Xavier to cover 

According to my power ranking estimations Missouri should only be 13 point favs here, thus giving 1 possession value with Morehead State. I know Missouri (8-3) has won five straight , however Morehead state coach  Spradlin is familiar with SEC basketball having spent five seasons on head coach John Calipari's staff at Kentucky and will Im betting devise a game plan to keep his team competitive here. Note:Morehead State ranks second in the Ohio Valley Conference in offensive rebounds. The Eagles pull down 13.1 boards off the offensive glass, and the Eagles also rank second in offensive rebounding percentage at .327. This is key to them keeping Missouri honest today and giving us an edge on the line.

Play on Morehead State to cover 

ARIZONA BOWL - Arizona Stadium - Tucson, AZ

The Red Wolves completed the 2018 regular season with an 8-4 overall record and as the Sun Belt Conference West Division co-champions.Nevada completed its regular season with a 7-5 overall record and finished tied for second in the Mountain West Conference’s West Division. My cross reference power rankings suggest that Arkansas State has the edge. 

 ARKANSAS ST is 12-3 ATS  when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) since 1992.

CFB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (ARKANSAS ST) - off a double digit road win, a good team (60% to 80%) playing a team with a winning record are 26-8 ATS L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors.

Arkansas State to cover 

A gritty defensive performance buoyed Butler to a 61-54 win over Florida Nov. 23 in the final contest of the 2018 Battle 4 Atlantis on Paradise Island, Bahamas, which proved to me how well Butler matches up vs Florida. Only two of Butler's 12 opponents this season have scored more than 70 points as the Bulldogs' defense is allowing only 63.5 points per game on average, which is the stingiest mark in the BIG EAST and Top 35 nationally. Butler has now covered 4 straight in this series and Im betting that their tough defence will get them the cover again.

Play on  Butler to cover 

My own projections estimate that this line is bloated and that we have value with the visitor here. Loyola Marymount is off to fast start and looking good but this UC Davis side has a top tier championship coach on the sidelines and will not allow his team to be easily intimidated. 

Lions are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games.Aggies are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Aggies are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Aggies are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 road games.Aggies are 20-9-1 ATS in their last 30 games following a straight up loss.Les is 11-2 ATS  after 3 straight games with 31 or less rebounds as the coach of CAL DAVIS. 

LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT is 44-70 ATS  as a home favorite or pick since 1997 with the average point differential over that 114 game sample size clicking in at 3.1 ppg. HC Dunlap is 0-8 ATS  in home games versus poor passing teams, averaging 12 or less assists/game as the coach of LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT and he is 9-20 ATS as a home favorite or pick as the coach of LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT.

Play on UC Davis to cover 

This will be the Spurs fourth game in a week, with their last game coming on Dec 26th in San Antonio when they beat this same Nuggets group 110-103. Now the Nuggets  wth revenge on board and on fresher legs playing only their second game in 6 days, and 3rd in 10 days, look to have an edge here in the thin air of the Mile High City especially as the game goes into the 2nd half. 

DENVER is 16-2 ATS after 1 or more consecutive unders this season.DENVER is 12-4 ATS in home games this season.

SAN ANTONIO is 9-24 ATS in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.SAN ANTONIO is 4-13 ATS  in a road game where the total is 210 to 219.5 over the last 2 seasons. Popovich is 10-22 ATS in road games after 4 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 42% or less as the coach of SAN ANTONIO.

NBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DENVER) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points, off 2 or more consecutive road losses are 45-16 ATS L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (SAN ANTONIO) - good shooting team - shooting 46% or more on the season, after 4 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 42% or less are 4-22 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against 85% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Home teams vs. the money line (DENVER) - off a road loss, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) are 23-2 SU L/3 seasons for a 92% conversion rate going back father these teams are 49-5 SU 91% going back 5 seasons with the average point differential clicking in at 10.9 ppg. Also Home favorites vs. the money line (DENVER) - off a road loss, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) are 47-3 L/5 seasons for a 94% conversion rate with a point differential of 12 ppg.

Play on Denver Nuggets to cover 

Im not a big fan of New Orleans HC Gentry and when he goes against a top tier coach like Randy Carlisle I look for variables that make fading Gentry a viable investment wagering opportunity. Currently the Pelicans are not performing well, as Super Star Anthony Davis is banged up and not operating at 100% efficiency. Anthony has also said, that hes not committed to the Pelicans in the longterm no matter how much money he gets, and trade is now on the table and also a distraction. That kind of thing in itself has a negative  energy sucking effect on a team. With that said, look for the Mavs to be competitive here tonight and get us the cover. 

DALLAS is 31-18 ATS  as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons.

DALLAS is 22-11 ATS  when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days over the last 2 seasons.

Carlisle is 106-82 ATS as a road underdog of 6 points or less as the coach of DALLAS.

NEW ORLEANS is 0-8 ATS  off 2 or more consecutive road losses this season. NEW ORLEANS is 3-15 ATS after playing a road game this season.NEW ORLEANS is 1-10 ATS (after 2 or more consecutive losses this season.

Play on Dallas to cover 

Minnesota is coming off a DD win last time out vs Chicago , and for whatever reason, its seems HC Thibodeau, cannot inspire his troops to fire on all cylinders in consecutive tilts as he is just 8-22 ATS in home games after a blowout win by 20 points or more in all games he has coached since 1996 and during that lifetime 30 game sample size the point differential click ins in at at just 2.1 ppg. Meanwhile, the young Atlanta Hawks desoite of still being inconsistent, are showing some flashes of brilliance, and have won 3 of heir L/4 SU and been mostly competitive on the road covering 3 of their L/5 as visitors.

Timberwolves are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 vs. NBA Southeast.Underdog is 5-0-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.

NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (ATLANTA) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, in December games are 43-20 ATS L/5 seasons. 

Play on the Atlanta Hawks to cover 

The Charlotte Hornets  will be out looking for revenge vs the  Brooklyn Nets tonight on their own home court after the Nets shocked the Hornets 134-132 in two overtimes Wednesday night. When Hornets coach was asked about the loss he responded with this : QUOTE: We'll see this team again on Friday night," Hornets coach James Borrego vowed to reporters afterward. "We'll play hard on Friday night. I expect our guys to respond." END QUOTE

I like backing motivated teams and Charlotte is very motivated tonight. 

The Hornets are 11-0 ATS SU as a favorite with rest off a game as a dog in which they scored at least 30% of their points from threes with none of the wins coming by less than 5 points.

NBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (CHARLOTTE) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points, off 2 or more consecutive road losses are 45-16 ATS L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Charlotte to cover 

Oakland has won six of the last eight contests against the Vikings including its last three games inside the Wolstein Center.

CBB home team (CLEVELAND ST) - average shooting team (42.5-45%) against an terrible defensive team (47.5% or more ), average rebounding team (+/-3 reb/game) against a poor rebounding team (-3 to -6 reb/game) are 57-100 ATS L/21 seasons for go against 66% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. 

Play on Oakland to cover 

The Tribe has played one of the toughest schedules in the country. According to the NCAA's new NET rankings, W&M's schedule currently ranks 65th in the country, and are very prepared for their rivals James Madison tonight.The Tribe has won nine of the last 11 games vs. JMU, including both last season and the nod to win and cover again.The Tribe has turned the ball over 10 or fewer times in each of the last five games, averaging just 8.8 miscues per contest during that stretch and Im also betting their discipline will be the difference maker vs JMU this evening.

Dukes are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall.Dukes are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Dukes are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Dukes are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games.Dukes are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

Tribe are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. Colonial Athletic Association.Tribe are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Tribe are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games after scoring less than 50 points in their previous game.Tribe are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 Friday games.Tribe are 37-13-2 ATS in their last 52 games following a straight up loss.Tribe are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games.Tribe are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up loss of more than 20 points.Tribe are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS loss.

Play on William Mary to cover 

Huskies are 0-2-2 ATS in their last 4 games overall and my projections estimate they are not a solid favorite here vs a side like Drexel. 

DREXEL is 11-3 ATS vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% or better of their attempts over the last 2 seasons. NORTHEASTERN is 5-16 ATS in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game since 1997. 

CBB Road underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (DREXEL) - after allowing 80 points or more against opponent after scoring 30 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games are 69-25 ATS L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on Drexel to cover 

Detroit has owned this series vs  4-9 Youngstown State as is evident by their 11-0 SU record in the L/11 meetings .Detroit Mercy's finished its non-conference schedule at just 3-9, but should not be underestimated as it was one of the toughest in the country with nine road games and teams posting a 90-53 (62.9%) record so far.The schedule was featured as the 14th hardest by ESPN's BPI standard in a recent article released on Dec. 17. That rough and tumble schedule will have them very ready to compete in this Horizon league opener. 

Play on Detroit Mercy to cover

MUSIC CITY BOWL - Nissan Stadium - Nashville, TN

Purdue got some very good news when Jeff Brohm turned down Louisville and stayed at Purdue , and he now gets a huge amount of respect from the kids he coaches, and Im now betting they will play hard for him in this tilt against the Tigers. The Purdue offense finished 14th in the country in yards per play at 6.53 and Im betting Auburns pedestrian attack will not be able to keep up. Look for QB David Blough  who  completed 66.6% of his passes, and he threw for 25 touchdowns to shine in this Bowl tilt and lead his team to a cover. 

PURDUE is 9-1 ATS vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 58% or better. over the last 2 seasons.

Play on Purdue to cover 

This is the second meeting between the teams this season. Philadelphia won 113-107 on November 16  and matchup well vs the defensive minded Jazz. Philadelphia  also swept the season series a year ago.

Utahs key defensive stalwart Gobert will have his hands full with Sixers center Joel Embiid. The Sixers top tier group of   Jimmy Butler and Ben Simmons play a style of  hoops that could easily exhaust the Jazz giving us an edge here taking points in what should be a closely contested affair. Getting points with a up trending team like Philadelphia is a good long term wager. 

Brown is 32-18 ATS against Northwest division opponents as the coach of PHILADELPHA and  is 42-17 ATS off a road loss over the last 3 seasons which happened at Boston last time out in OT. UTAH is 8-18 ATS  after having won 3 of their last 4 games over the last 2 seasons. 

NBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (PHILADELPHIA) - after having won 2 of their last 3 games, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team are 33-16 ATS L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on the Philadelphia 76ers to cover 

This is essentially a home game for Baylor here  in the Texas Bowl at NRG Stadium in Houston, Texas. With key WR Jalen Hurd out for the Bears, some might think their now not a viable choice here, but they would be mistaken, as the Bears have a couple of options at their disposal and ready to reset their look vs a Vanderbilt D, that has looked atrocious at times this season. 

Baylor HC Rhule is 10-2 ATS in road games after allowing 100 or less rushing yards last game in all games he ha coached and  29-15 ATS  as an underdog in all games he has coached. 

CFB Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (BAYLOR) - after having lost 2 out of their last 3 games against opponent after having won 3 out of their last 4 games are 73-36 ATS L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on Baylor

PINSTRIPE BOWL - Yankee Stadium - Bronx, NY

The Miami Hurricanes will face off against the Wisconsin Badgers in the 2018 New Era Pinstripe Bowl at Yankee Stadium in the Bronx.A year ago, Miami went through the regular season at 10–2 before losing to Wisconsin in the Orange Bowl and now revenge is on board. Miami after a mid season swoon,  went on to win its final two regular- season tilts against Virginia Tech and Pittsburgh in dominating fashion, largely because of its defense that ranks No.2 in the nation in Total D.  With that said, Look for the Badgers passing game to stall vs an impressive Canes secondary and for their key mode of moving the chains RB Johnathon Taylor to find the sledding tough vs a staunch physical D. Meanwhile, Miami will find a way to score enough points here vs a inconsistent Wisconsin D and get us the win and cover. 

MIAMI is 6-0 ATS L/6 in road games after a win by 21 or more points over the last 3 seasons.MIAMI is 8-0 ATS in road games after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread over the last 3 seasons. Richt is 8-0 ATS after having lost 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games in all games he has coached since 1992.

Play on Miami fl to cover 

Sacramento has been flirting with disaster in their L/2 games before the Christmas break and came back from being down by DDs in those home tilts vs Memphis and New Orleans for wins.  I like Sacramento and their upward overall performance trajectory , but their recent issues with slow starts are an ominous sign in my opinion tonight against a run and gun opponent here in hostile territory. With that said,  Im betting the Kings are in trouble vs a Clippers team that is offensively explosive especially at home where they have averaged just under 117 ppg on the season. 

The Clippers have won 8 of the L/9 meetings in this series.

My projections estimate that LA will score 117 or more points here tonight, vs a side that allows an average of 117.2 ppg on the road this season. Note: SACRAMENTO is 13-33 ATS  when they allow 112 or more points in a game over the last 2 seasons with the average point differential clicking in at 19.7 ppg. Also the  LA CLIPPERS are 13-3 ATS when they score 117 or more points in a game this season with a point diff of 6.9 ppg. 

Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (LA CLIPPERS) - after a game where they covered the spread, in a game involving two marginal winning teams (51% to 60%) are 68-20 ATS L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. 

Play on the LA Clippers to cover 

CHEEZ-IT BOWL - Chase Field - Phoenix, AZ

Following a seven-win regular season that saw the Golden Bears rank among the best defensive teams in the country, the young men from Berkeley look like the matchup well vs TCU. The Golden Bears won four of their next five games with victories at Oregon State and against Pac-12 champion Washington starting the run and more than capable of upending a  inconsistent  and over rated TCU side. 

Cal has played twice in the game now known as the Cheez-It Bowl with victories in both contests and get the nod again.

TCU  is 12-26 ATS in all games over the last 3 seasons.TCU is 3-11 ATS  in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.TCU is 0-6 ATS with rest or after a bye week over the last 3 seasons.

CALIFORNIA is 9-2 ATS  in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Play on California to cover 

The Celtics opened the season with a 105-87 victory over the Sixers in Boston, but now the Sixers have Jimmy Butler in the lineup, and should be more competitive. However, Im still betting the Celtics have an edge here at home as short chalk vs a Sixers. side that is 2-9 ATS in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
 I also know the Celtics have been inconsistent of late and the team has had some internal meetings, to try to right their ship, which will have positive effect going forward  . With the Celtics off a momentum building win vs Charlotte last time out, Im betting they are ready to show the pundits and their opponents that they are still a force to be reckoned with in the NBA east. 

BOSTON is 22-8 ATS  after having lost 3 of their last 4 games over the last 3 seasons.

 Sixers are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Boston and have lost 7 of 8 SU. .76ers are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 vs. NBA Atlantic.76ers are 5-13 ATS in their last 18 road games.

BOSTON is 12-3 ATS  in home games vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons. PHILADELPHIA is 3-14 ATS  in road games vs. division opponents over the last 2 season.

The Celtics are 16-0 SUATS L/16 as a favorite with rest off a game as a dog facing an opponent averaging more than five blocks per game.

NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (BOSTON) - off a home win by 10 points or more, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team are 38-14 ATS L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Boston Celtics to cover

DIAMOND HEAD CLASSIC - Final Rnd - Stan Sheriff Center - Honolulu, HI

My own line makes Rhode Island a 2.5 point favorite which according to projections makes Hawaii playing here in their own back yard as solid underdog choices here on a value line  today. 

Hawaii outlasted Colorado in OT yesterday and lost their  tourney opener to UNLV. Meanwhile Rhode Island lost to Bucknell in their opener and beat Charlotte yesterday. 

Note:

Rams are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 neutral site games.Rams are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games following a straight up win.Play on the Hawaii Warriors to cover 

Play on Hawaii to cover 

Houston has had some inconsistent stretches during this season, but right now they are in top form after having won 6 of their L/7 games overall SU/ATS. With that said, Im betting they continue their top tier play vs the Oklahoma City Thunder with a win here at home  where they are 10-5 SU this season .The Rockets have won 5 of the L/6  head to head battles vs the Thunder here deep in the heart of Texas are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 overall home games and get the nod again. 

NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (OKLAHOMA CITY) - very good team - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game, on Tuesday nights are 63-105 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against 63% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (OKLAHOMA CITY) - hot shooting team - 3 straight games making 47%  or more of their shots against opponent after 2 straight games making 9 or more 3 point shots are 16-80 L/5 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors on the blind and 10-0 this season for a 100% conversion rate.

Play on the Houston Rockets to cover 

Its become obvious that KC is a one dimensional team, with an explosive offence and a atrocious porous defence, that is worse than horrible vs opposing ground games allowing 5 ypc. on average. Thats not a good omen against the Seattle team that can run the ball well. The Chiefs are currently down trending after three straight losses including a heart breaking 27-26  defeat to the LA Chargers last Monday night in the final play of the game and don't look like viable favs here in an emotional letdown own spot .  But hey the public money loves Patrick Mahomes, and in some ways I can't blame them, as he is entertaining as heck to watch. But from an imperial standpoint , KC is like a big heavy weight puncher looking for the KO, always leaving them selves open for counter punches and in turn getting knocked out themselves.  Thats why Carroll the ultimate tactician Im betting will take the Chiefs apart little by little here this Sunday evening and then deliver big blows .

Bottom line here Win or lose taking the points here is just the right thing to do , especially since standing in the line with square bettors is not an appetizing prospect. 

Meanwhile, Seattle is a side. that looks much more balanced and a side that plays their best football at home and better prepared ready to bounce back off a hard fought 26-23 loss to a SF team that was hell bent on taking them down in revenge mode. Note: Underdogs or pick (SEATTLE) - off an upset loss as a road favorite, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season are good long term bets going 38-13 ATS L/35 seasons for a 75% conversion for bettors on the blind. Pete Carroll is also  11-0 SU  when coming off a SU favorite loss and the Seahawks are powerful 11-1 SU  after batting with the Forty Niners, including 5-0 SUATS at home,  and 5-1  ATS as a home dog behind QB Russell Wilson.

SEATTLE is 9-0 ATS L/9 in home games vs. awful passing defenses - allowing 260 or more passing yards/game after 8+ games. Carroll is 12-2 ATS in home games vs. mistake prone teams - 60+ penalty yards per game in the second half of the season in all games he has coached since 1992. Carroll is 22-6 ATS versus poor defensive teams - allowing 350 or more  yards/game in the second half of the season as the coach of SEATTLE. 

Seattle to cover 

DIAMOND HEAD CLASSIC - Round 2 - Stan Sheriff Center - Honolulu, HI

 The Hawaii Warriors  are in a bounce back situation from a  disappointing 73-59 loss to UNLV in their last outing. I know home court advantage did not help the Warriors last time out, but this is a team that thye matchup well against from a system vs system power rankings  team vs team power ranking comparison chart  that  I use. 

COLORADO is 8-20 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons. COLORADO is 4-14 ATS in road games versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season over the last 3 seasons

COLORADO is 0-6 ATS  in a road game where the total is 140 to 144.5 over the last 3 seasons and is 0-6 ATS ( in road games in December games over the last 2 seasons. COLORADO is 1-10 ATS  after having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games over the last 3 seasons.COLORADO is 2-13 ATS  in road games after 2 straight games giving up 9 or less offensive rebounds over the last 3 seasons. 

Play on Hawaii to cover 

The Pelicans had eight scorers record double figures in a 149-129 home win over the Kings during the first week of the season in October. Now the Kings will play this game with revenge in mind and Im betting they get vs a poor traveling Pelicans side that have lost 13 of their 17 road games this season. 

SACRAMENTO is 9-1 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 this season.

NEW ORLEANS is 1-12 ATS versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36%  or better of their attempts this season.SACRAMENTO is 13-5 ATS  versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.

Play on Sacramento to cover 

Cleveland is up trending but now they're  suddenly a favourite of more than TD against a long time division rival. In my humble opinion, Im betting we have a over reaction to their recent 4-1 SU/ATS run. It is definitely  some tasty bait for a willing public to bite and bet into. At the time of this analysis,   a great deal of square dollars and tickets were backing them this week according to data. Im not saying the sharp money is always right, but more often than not, that's the case , and in this situation I  have no problem fading the public. It must be noted that the last time the Browns were more than 7 point fav was back in the 2010 and that game  they barely got by the Panthers by 1 point. Hey , I know the Browns  are looking good behind emerging star QB Baker Mayfield, and I also know the Bengals have struggled for most of this season, however, this is a  rivalry  game and Im  betting the Bengals with momentum off a  lopsided win last week, won't be giving the Browns a free pass here, and will primed to compete in a revenge scenario for a loss they suffered to them earlier this season, which snapped a 7-0 SU/ATS run in this series.

CLEVELAND is 0-7 ATS vs. excellent kickoff return teams, more than 24 yards per return over the last 2 seasons. 

NFL Home teams (CLEVELAND) - after covering the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games, in a game involving two marginal losing teams (40 to 49%) are 4-23 ATS L/35 seasons for a go against  85% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Cincinnati to cover 

The current No. 2 seeds form the AFC, the Houston Texans take on a Eagles team off a big time win vs the LA Rams on the road last week. Nick Foles came off the bench for the defending champs and replaced Wentz, and looked good in the process. But Im betting he will have a hard time replicating that kind of effort here vs a very tough Texans D. It must be noted that Defending Super Bowl champions  as home favorites when coming off a SU underdog win, are just 1-5 SU and 0-6 ATS from Game Fifteen out.

The  Texans if they can secure wins here in the last two weeks of the season, can get a bye, so they will be primed to play, and will not give the Eagles a free ride .

NFL Road teams (HOUSTON) - mistake-free team (1.25 or less TO/G committed) vs a team with 1.25 or less  TO/G forced after 8+ games, after 4 consecutive games where they committed 1 or less turnovers are 29-9 ATS L/35 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Texans to cover 

The Dallas Cowboys, were smashed last week by a 23-0 count vs Indianapolis which is not a good omen here as they  are just 1-17 ATS L/18 as home favorites when coming off a SUATS loss. I know the Boyz are loved by the public, but because of that this line is slightly bloated giving us value with a young group that has in the recent past played very well against team like Dallas that can run the ball.  Note: TAMPA BAY is 6-0 ATS versus good rushing teams - averaging 130 or more  rushing yards/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. I know the Bucs do not inspire bettors, but they have been competitive of late and  have only failed to cover 1 of their L/5 games. With that said, lets take the points here this Sunday with the visitors. 

NFL Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (TAMPA BAY) - after covering the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games, team with a losing record in the second half of the season are 45-15 ATS L/10 season for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Tampa Bay to cover 

Dolphins are a team that are extremely inconsistent and own a -79 scoring diff margin on the season and were smashed last week in a start to finish demolishing by the Vikings losing by more than 3 TDs. Note:The Dolphins are 0-18 ATS L/18 as a home favorite after a loss in which they never led and  are 0-18 ATS L/18  as a favorite coming off a road game where they gained no more than 15 first downs. Meanwhile, I know Jacksonville does not inspire bettors, because of their ugly 4-10 record, but their every bit as good as Miami and have a better D and overall have a 64 point positive diff over the Fins and can't be underestimated here as many of the players on the Jags sending a shakeup in the upcoming off season need to sharpen their numbers and stats in preparation for their proverbial  judgement day. Only once in their L/6 games have the Jags lost by more than 4 points and Im betting they stay in the range here today and get the cover.

MIAMI is 0-8 ATS  after allowing 375 or more total yards in 4 consecutive games and is 9-25 ATS  after allowing 400 or more total yards/game in their last 3 games.MIAMI is 47-69 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.

Play on Jacksonville to cover 

The Vikings looked good last week in a big win , but I just dont believe you can trust QB Cousins-of the Vikings to be consistent  or to even have good back to back games. . Minnesota is also 0-12 ATS as a favorite in Last Road Games against below .500 competition. Meanwhile, Motown despite of a ugly 5-9 record, have only lost  by more than 7 points just once in their 6 games, and are more than capable of being competitive again here this Sunday.

The Lions are 6-0 ATS L/6, off a loss as a dog in which they had fewer than 10 incompletions which happened last week. 

Play on the Detroit Lions to cover 

Cornell's bench has outscored its opponents' reserves in all 11 games this season and 15 straight contests dating back to last year and Im betting they will be the difference makers here tonight vs SMU. Cornells Senior guard Matt Morgan enters the week among the national leaders at 23.1 ppg. while adding 4.8 rpg., 2.7 apg., 1.2 spg. and 0.5 bpg. This guy looks dangerous and must also be respected a difference maker. 

CORNELL is 7-0 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 3 seasons.CORNELL is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) after allowing 85 points or more over the last 3 seasons.

Play on Cornell to cove r

With the final two games of the Continental Tire Las Vegas Classic played inside Orleans Arena, the Aggies will have a slight advantage over their opponents as they own an 18-2 overall record when playing games there since the WAC moved its conference tournament to Orleans Arena in 2011. Drake is a good team, but New Mexico state advances and cover for us today in this tourney game.

CBB Neutral court teams (DRAKE) - after 3 or more consecutive unders, good offensive team - scoring 77+ points/game on the season are 46-87 L/5 seasons for a go against  66% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on New Mexico State to cover 

Troy plays a strong brand of hard nosed  defensive old school football that Im betting will give Buffalo's some times prolific offence problems.  That was the case when Buffalo lost the MAC Championship to N.Illinois another team that plays a similar type of football to Troy. 

Note: Troy has not allowed more than 21 points in its L/5 games. 

BUFFALO is 2-12 ATS in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%).

TROY is 8-0 ATS  when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons

TROY is 7-0 ATS  in road games in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasonsTROY is 6-0 ATS  in road games after having won 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games over the last 2 seasons.

CFB team (BUFFALO) - an excellent offensive team (34 or more PPG) against an average defensive team (21-28) after 7+ games, after a loss by 3 or less points are 14-39 ATS L/26 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on Troy to cover 

No. 17 Mississippi State is coming off a scare against dangerous Wofford on Wednesday night  and heading into Saturday's game against Wright State in Jackson, Miss and will now be wide awake for this tilt. At 10-1 Mississippi State .The Bulldogs have shot 53.2 percent from beyond the arc in their last four games and that why they are so dangerous and viable DD favs here vs a good but over rated Wright State team that is in over their heads here  and 0-5 on the road this season.The Raiders are the third non-conference opponent that Mississippi State has faced from the State of Ohio on the season. MSU has already defeated Dayton (66-58 on 11/30) and Cincinnati (70-59 on 12/15).

WRIGHT ST is 3-11 ATS  in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game over the last 3 seasons

MISSISSIPPI ST is 7-0 ATS  in home games versus excellent ball handling teams - committing 12 or less turnovers/game over the last 3 seasons.

CBB Home teams as a favorite or pick (MISSISSIPPI ST) - team from a major division 1-A conference against a team from a mid-major division 1-A conference, off a home win scoring 85 or more points are 373-247 L/22 seasons for a 60% conversion rate for bettors.

Miss State to cover 

Mississippi State to cover 

Under fourth-year head coach Eric Musselman, the Wolf Pack has gone 48-5 at Lawlor Events Center, including a 37-2 record in its last 39 home games.

Even more impressive is that no out-of-conference interlopers have been able to pick up a single win in Reno in the last four seasons. Under Musselman, Nevada is a perfect 26-0 in non-conference home games. While those numbers are impressive, Im more interested in what Im betting is a bloated line, that gives us value on the under rated visitors. It must be noted that Overall, Akron’s four losses this season  have come by a combined 12 points.

Note:Nevada might be without its best 3-point shooter, Jazz Johnson, because of a concussion. If he dresses he will be less than 100% and could see limited playing time. 

NEVADA is 2-12 ATS L/14 as a home favorite of 15.5 to 18 points .

Play on Akron to cover 

The Tenn Martin Skyhawks (5-4) are coming off back-to-back wins, including an exhilarating 75-72 win over in-state rival Chattanooga on Tuesday and have momentum heading into this tilt vs an explosive Fresno State hoops team. Im betting we have value here with the underdog.

CBB Favorites of 10 or more points (FRESNO ST) - average defensive team (67-74 PPG) against a poor defensive team (74-78 PPG), after scoring 85 points or more 2 straight games are 4-24 ATS L/5 seasons for go against 86% conversion rate for bettors. 

CBB Favorites of 10 to 19.5 points (FRESNO ST) - after 3 straight wins by 15 points or more against opponent after scoring 75 points or more 2 straight games are 12-36 ATS L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Tenn Martin to cover 

The game is on the heels of a tough loss to another former MWC foe, UNLV. The Cougars' late comeback fell short with the Rebels' taking a dramatic 92-90 overtime win. The loss ended BYU's three-game winning streak put forth after taking a humiliating 113-103 loss to Weber State Dec. 1. According to my power rankings Im betting BYU bounces back here vs a side they matchup well against. 

Play on BYU to cover 

Green Bay will make the trip to Evansville for the first time since December 5, 1988, but will be looking for its third-straight win in the series.Green Bay's pressure defense continues to force teams into bad passes and turnovers, having now forced double-figure turnovers in every game this season. GB ranks 24th in the NCAA in turnovers forced, averaging 17.3 forced per game. Been Bay is even better when measuring turnover margin, ranking 15th in the NCAA with a 4.9-1 turnover margin.   The turnovers and steals have the Phoenix, ranked 11th in the NCAA with 107 steals this season.Here against Evansville, Im betting their ability to cause havoc will be key in a cover. 

WI-GREEN BAY is 6-0 ATS L/6 in road games vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% ormolu of their attempts over the last 2 seasons. WI-GREEN BAY is 12-4 ATS  versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.

WI-GREEN BAY is 8-1 ATS when the total is 160 to 169.5 over the last 2 seasons. 

WI-GREEN BAY is 14-3 ATS when playing only their 2nd game in a week over the last 2 seasons.  

CBB Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (WI-GREEN BAY) - after a road game where both teams scored 75 points or more, playing with 5 or 6 days rest are 25-5 ATS L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors.

Wisconsin GB to cover 

The Pacific Tigers improved to 9-4 after snatching a hard fought 79-77 victory at Cal State Northridge last Sunday. This is a hard working team, that plays all out but are well rested. so their energy levels Im betting will be sky high here.  CBB Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (PACIFIC) - after a road game where both teams scored 75 points or more, playing with 5 or 6 days rest are 25-5 ATS L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Boise State has a good hoops program but from a bettors perspective they have not faired well vs top tier competition as is evident by this following trends that shows BOISE ST is 3-11 ATS  when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) over the last 2 seasons.BOISE ST is also a lowly 0-6 ATS as a home favorite of 6.5 to 9 points over the last 3 seasons and are fade material against a hot well rested team on a 4 game win streak. 

Play on Pacific to cover 

No 11/12 Florida State, which has won five consecutive games, travels to play Saint Louis in the 2018 Metro by T-Mobile Orange Bowl Classic on Saturday. St.Louis is a fine team, but this is their toughest test of the season, and could make this game interesting but as we closer to the finish line Im betting Florida State will pull away for a cover.No. 11 Florida State owns a 7-2 record in nine previous Orange Bowl Classic appearances and enters the 2018 Classic having won seven of their last eight games with victories . Add one more those numbers today and a cover. 

Play on Florida State to cover 

Northern Iowa enters Saturday's match riding a two-game losing streak and has lost its last five contests vs. Division I opponents. They just don't seem to have that extra bit of energy it takes to notch wins which is uncharacteristic of a Ben Jacobson team. My own projections suggest that N.Iowa does not matchup well against this type of team, and should be closer to 4 point chalk here, thus giving us value on this slightly bloated line. 

N IOWA is 4-17 ATS versus excellent teams - shooting 45% or more  with a defense of 42% or less over the last 3 seasons.N IOWA is 6-25 ATS  versus good shooting teams - making 45%  or more of their shots over the last 3 seasons. 

N IOWA is 0-8 ATS in December games over the last 2 seasons. 

Play on N.Dakota to cover 

USC has lost four consecutive games for the first time since the 2017 season, and will be primed to take care of business tonight in a convincing manner. 

USC is 17-3 ATS after 2 straight games giving up 9 or less offensive rebounds over the last 3 seasons. 

Play on USC to cover 

Right now entering this game Memphis is struggling and have not scored more than 99 points in a tilt in 7 straight trips to the hardwood. To make matters worse their top player and the energy behind this team Mike Conley is hobbled with a hamstring injury. He is expected to play but is less than 100%.The Grizzlies had no such offensive issues in their 112-104 home win over Sacramento last month, but things have changed since then and Sacramento will have revenge on board. Here at home the Kings have the advantage. 

Grizzlies are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 vs. NBA Pacific.Grizzlies are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss.Grizzlies are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.Grizzlies are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.Grizzlies are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games.Grizzlies are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games playing on 1 days rest.Grizzlies are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Grizzlies are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 vs. Western Conference.Grizzlies are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall.Grizzlies are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.

MEMPHIS is 9-21 ATS after having lost 6 or 7 of their last 8 games over the last 2 seasons. MEMPHIS is 6-19 ATS when playing 8 or more games in 14 days over the last 2 seasons.  

 SACRAMENTO is 8-1 ATS  when the line is +3 to -3 this season. 

Play on Sacramento to cover 

I look for a key element when Im backing big DD underdogs and that is their ability to convert at a high level of their shots and in particularly their ability to sink from beyond the arc. Note: DU is shooting 44.7 percent from the field on the year.
• Denver is also hitting 3s at a good rate, ranking second in the Summit League in 3-point percentage at 39.7 and 20th in the country. Gonzaga is a big time time program, and we all know how explosive they can be, and supporting them comes at a hefty line cost. With that said,Im betting we have the value you needed to get the cover here this evening.

Play on Denver to cover 

The Spurs  were defeated by a 128-89 count at Minnesota back on November 28 and now have revenge on board for that loss. Thats not good news for the Wolves, as the Spurs have now won 4 straight games by 25 points or more behind the league's best 3-point shooting conversion rate of 38.2 %. Note:MINNESOTA is 9-20 ATS in road games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more  of their attempts over the last 2 seasons. Meanwhile, the Spurs are  10-0 ATS  revenging a road loss vs opponent this season. 

Spurs are 10-0 SU L/10 at home in this series with every win coming by 4 points or more. 

Play on the San Antonio Spurs to cover 

The Celtics try to bust out of a two game losing run as they host the Bucks this Friday night in a game that Im betting favours the home side. I know the Bucks are now considered a NBA power house and hell bent on taking out a Celtics team  that beat them in last years play offs, but Im betting the Clovers have got what it takes to get the win here at home tonight, and extending a 6-0 SUATS home run in this series. ( Boston won the last meeting here on Nov 1 by a 117 -113 count ) 

BOSTON is 11-2 ATS in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 2 seasons. BOSTON is 12-2 ATS at home when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons. BOSTON is 31-12 ATS  when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days over the last 2 seasons. 

NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (BOSTON) - off a upset loss as a favorite, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 65-29 ATS L/22 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Boston to cover 

After 16 years working as the head basketball coach at Middle Tennessee State, the first-year Ole Miss coach will return to Tennessee on Friday to face off against his former team. He will back looking to make an impression and prove hes not showing favouritism . Note: MIDDLE TENN ST is 0-8 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record this season and is  0-7 ATS  versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game this season.MIDDLE TENN ST is 0-9 ATS in non-conference games this season. MISS is 7-0 ATS as a favorite this season.

Play on Ole Miss to cover 

Brooklyn enters this game red hot  winning 7 straight , while the Pacers are off a loss to the very good Raptors team by 3 points last  time out. Im betting Indiana will be ready to put that defeat behind them with big time victory on road vs Brooklyn here tonight and show their doubters that they are a team on the rise. 

Pacers are 8-0 SU & 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings and the nod to cover here.

Pacers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Friday games.Pacers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.Pacers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games overall.Pacers are 15-5 ATS in their last 20 vs. NBA Atlantic.Pacers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games.Pacers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 vs. Eastern Conference.Pacers are 37-18 ATS in their last 55 games following a straight up loss.

Play on Indiana to cover 

Play on Towson to cover 

Dallas's DeAndre Jordan  takes on his old team the Los Angeles Clippers at Staples Center on Thursday for . the first time since he signed with the Mavericks as a free agent this past offseason. In the first meeting at  home in Dallas on Dec. 2, the Mavs came away with a 114-110 victory and according to my power rankings match up very well vs the Clippers. Tonight Im betting Jordans tough D, and rebounding circus act will be one of the the difference makers for a Dallas cover. Quote: "(Jordan) is one of the best rebounders in the land," Clippers head coach Doc Rivers said at practice Wednesday. "We know there are some things you have to do with D.J. to at least try to keep him off the glass. He's tough. END QUOTE: 

DALLAS is 7-0 ATS  versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game on the season this season.DALLAS is 30-18 ATS  as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons.

The Clippers are 0-10 SUATS  at home off a loss in which they allowed 50-plus points in the paint. The Mavericks are 9-0 ATS /8-1 SU with rest off a game as a dog in which they allowed 55%-plus shooting from the field. the lone SU loss came by 2 pts. 

NBA team vs the money line (DALLAS) - after failing to cover the spread in 4 or more consecutive games, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season are 66-35 SU L/5 seasons . 

Play on Dallas to cover 

Monmouth is playing its first game in 12 days dating back to December 8th at Albany and should be ready to compete vs a very good Yale team here . I know Monmouth is a ugly 0-11 SU on the season, but because of this this....  the line is a  little bit tainted and we now have value with the home side. 

Hawks are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 home games following three or more consecutive road gamesBulldogs are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 vs. Metro Atlantic Athletic.CBB A home team vs. the money line (MONMOUTH) - after 8 or more consecutive losses, terrible team, winning 20% or less of their games on the season are 31-25 SU L/5 seasons.

Take the points with Monmouth 

The Jazz and the Warriors enter this game playing at the proverbial opposite end of the performance spectrum. But despite of that Im betting he Jazz will be ready for a top tier  team they handle well as is evident by winning 3 of the L/4 meetings with the only loss suffered last time out by a 124-123 score here in Salt Lake City on Oct 17 of this season. It must also be noted that there are many ebbs and flows to a NBA season, and current form does not always indicate how a game will be played out. Matchup discrepancies, system vs system, and coaching consistencies trump form in a league that can see performance charts change over a short period of time and game to game. With that said, Im backing the slumping Jazz to right their ship tonight vs the defending champion Warriors here in their own backyard. 

NBA team vs the money line (UTAH) - explosive offensive team - scoring 103+ points/game on the season, after scoring 40 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games are 23-4 L22 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Utah Jazz to cover 

FRISCO BOWL - Toyota Stadium - Frisco, TX

Ohio's Frank Solich has an explosive offensive team, but San Diego State despite of 3 consecutive losses to finish out their season are a side that must not be underestimated , especially with HC Rocky Long on the side lines. With that said, in a battle, that will feature the Aztecs’ No. 4 ranked rush defense (95 YPG and 2.7 YPR) and Ohio’s big time rushing offense (262 YPG and 6.1 YPR) I feel a stalemate type of game will be played with the points eventually proving to be golden. 

Long is 9-2 ATS  in road games versus excellent offensive teams - averaging 450  or more yards/game as the coach of SAN DIEGO ST.SAN DIEGO ST is 11-2 ATS in road games after a loss by 3 or less points which happened in Hawaii In their last game of the season.

OHIO U is 1-10 ATS   L/11 in road games after 3 consecutive game where they committed 1 or less turnovers.

Play on SD State to cover 

The Hilltoppers are off a rare 87-81 at home to Troy on Dec. 16, snapping a streak of eight straight wins for WKU inside E.A. Diddle Arena .  Meanwhile, Belmont is coming off a huge 74-72 road win at UCLA on Saturday and could easily be in a letdown spot. Public money  is all over this one with Belmont. I like the situation and the opportunity to fade the public here. 
 

W KENTUCKY is 6-0 ATS   after a loss by 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons.W KENTUCKY is 13-5 ATS versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game over the last 2 seasons.

Stansbury is 16-6 ATS   after scoring 80 points or more as the coach of W KENTUCKY.Byrd is 3-11 ATS  in home games after 2 or more consecutive unders as the coach of BELMONT. 

Play on W.Kentucky to cover 

San Antonio has been playing better hoops of late after a slow start to their campaign, but in the past being in top form than going on the road has not always been a profitable situation for their betting backers as they are just 1-9 ATS  in road games after covering 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread over the last 2 seasons

 Meanwhile, Orlando after struggling with defence early on the season, are now playing a more physical and methodical brand of basketball  that has seen them hold 4 of their 7 opponents under 91 points, and has resulted in them  winning 2 straight games thanks to their more responsible defensive stances. As a result the Magic have played some low scoring tilts of late, which have in the past translated in positive ATS results for them and their backers as ORLANDO is 10-0 ATS after 4 or more consecutive unders over the last 3 seasons.

Tonight Im betting the home team, takes the Spurs offensive flow away, and systematically slows their opposition down on their way to a win, much like they did when they met the Spurs back on Nov. 4 in Texas taking out the Spurs by a 117-110 count. 

NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (ORLANDO) - in a game involving 2 up-tempo teams (82 or more shots/game), after game - allowing a shooting pct. of 35% or less are 28-8 L/22 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA Road teams vs. the money line (SAN ANTONIO) - poor defensive team - shooting pct defense of 46% or better  on the season against opponent after game - allowing a shooting pct. of 35% or less are 4-25 SU L/5 seasons for a go against 86% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Orlando Magic to cover 

The Seahawks, 4-7, visit former Colonial Athletic Association rival Georgia State, 7-4. The Seahawks has lost three in a row to high-profile opponents, including last Saturday's setback at nationally-ranked Furman. But those games will have them ready to compete here vs this type of  versatile  opponent in Georgia State. 

Take the points herewith the NC Wilmington 

Eastern Washington hosts a strong Jackrabbits team that are 9-4 following last Saturday's 72-68 loss at unbeaten Nevada (11-0). Im betting after that  hard fought loss that South Dakota State will be a in natural letdown situation, vs a  struggling team that Im sure their overlooking. 

E WASHINGTON is 24-10 ATS  in home games after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread 

Play  on E.Washington to cover 

UT Chatanooga enter this game off a 20 point loss to Mississippi last time out, and will now be in a letdown spot after playing a superior SEC team that Im sure they were pumped to play against. In the past when Chat has been blown out they have not faired well  in their followup as is evident by going just 0-10 ATS  after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons and is 0-8 ATS  after a loss by 15 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

UT Martin is a perfect 4-0 at home during the 2018-19 campaign and  get the nod again to win and more importantly cover in this spot behind a lineup that  boast six players who average double-figures in the scoring column while six different UT Martin players have led the team in scoring through the season's first eight games.

Play UT Martin to cover 

The Murray State Racers (7-1) look to extend their 13-game home winning streak when they welcome the Evansville Purple Aces (5-5) into the CFSB Center. I know we have to lay DDs here with the Racers, but they have this line right, and actually short on it in my humble opinion.The Racers lead the OVC in blocked shots (5.9 per game), field goal percentage defense (.351, which is second in all of NCAA D-I), 3-point percentage defense (.205, first in the nation) and scoring defense (56.5ppg, fifth in the country). Last week in wins over Southern Illinois and Jackson State, the Racers only gave up seven 3-pointers in 80 minutes of basketball. Domination is the name of the game here tonight at home in front of their own alumni. 

Play on the Murray State to cover 

Washingtons been harping on playing better D , and they acquired two way stalwart  Trevor Ariza to help them out in that department. However, for now Im betting  it will take their own flow away and hinder them more than help at least for now.  I know Atlanta does not inspire bettors, but this young team has endless energy and can grind away at an opponent with non stop energizer bunny type of hoops. With that said, Im betting on Atlanta covering here tonight, vs a Washington team that has played its absolute worst hoops on the road this season where they are 4-12 SU/ATS.

WASHINGTON is 3-12 ATS in road games versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season.

WASHINGTON is 1-8 ATS  in road games versus good passing teams, averaging 23  or more assists/game this season.

WASHINGTON is 0-7 ATS  in road games after allowing 110 points or more 3 straight games this season and   is 0-9 ATS  in road games after allowing 105 points or more 3 straight games this season is 0-8 ATS in road games after a combined score of 215 points or more 3 straight games this season. ( Beat LAL 125-110 last time out). WASHINGTON is 0-8 ATS in road games after a non-conference game this season.

NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (ATLANTA) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, in December games are 42-17 ATS L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA Road teams vs. the money line (WASHINGTON) - poor defensive team - shooting pct defense of 46% or worse on the season, hot shooting team - 3 straight games making 47%or more  of their shots are 1-10 SU this season. 

Play on Atlanta to cover 

Both these teams have shown flashes of brilliance this season, and both have looked a little tepid in their play of late. But according to my power rankings they matchup very well against each other in a game that could easily be a pickem.

 BU has lost 3-of-4 after a 6-1 start and  is 7-4 during the 2018-19 season with a 1-2 road record. The Braves did win their last road game with a 68-62 victory at Little Rock on Dec. 4.  Meanwhile, Georgia Southern enters the game with a 7-3 record in 2018-19. The Eagles have lost three of their last five after a 5-0 start.

The last time these teams mets Bradley held a Eagles team that was averaging 83.5 points per game to just 57 in a five-point victory.  Right now Georgia Southern  run and guns just the opposite of the Braves, averaging 89.7 points per game but allowing 76.7. In 11 games, the Braves have learned they will only go as far as their defense takes them.In its seven wins, Bradley is allowing only 61.4 points per game.  That what Im betting on here being key to us getting the cover. DEFENCE. Just like ion last seasons victory. 

Bradley is 15-8 all-time against current members of the Sun Belt Conference.

Take the points with Bradley to cover 

Xavier, 7-4, is coming off a 95-77 win over Eastern Kentucky on Saturday at Cintas Center. Xavier shot 71.4 percent (35-of-49) from the field, the highest single-game effort by any team in the nation so far this season and roll in this game with a fullhead of steam and momentum on their sides here in Missouri Tuesday night. Xavier has had  faired well against current teams in the Southeastern Conference despite its 88-79 overtime loss to No. 8 Auburn on Nov. 19 at the Maui Invitational. XU is 19-6 in its last 25 games against nine different current SEC members dating back to 2008 and get the nod again in a positive matchup situation.

MISSOURI is 6-20 ATS after playing 3 consecutive home games since 1997.

Play on Xavier to cover 

Drexel enters the game averaging more than 82 points per contest, tops in the Colonial Athletic Association. All five starters average at least 10 points and are a dangerous side, even against a team like UConn that is over rated because of consistent wins vs mid major teams, but is still not back to being a national championship contender just yet  . According to my projections we have alot of value here on a bloated DD line based on false assumptions. 

Play on Drexel to cover 

The Saints came from behind for a win last week vs TB, to clinch their division title, and will now be in a letdown spot. With all the hard fought games that the Saints have won lately, and their overall output not looking as consistent as did earlier in the season, as scouting staffs start to figure out their offence, they don't look like viable favs here on the road in Carolina .  I know the Panthers may not inspire bettors but Ron Rivera's team that has out yarded 4 of their L/5 foes despite of  finding way to lose all 5 tilts. The Panthers are also 11-0 ATS L/11 covering by more than 15 ppg, as a dog off a road loss where they failed to cover. The Panthers are  also 8-0 ATS   as a dog after they made at least 5 third downs last game.  HC Ron Rivera is  8-1 ATS  during December in games when going against opponents coming off a SUATS win, going 8-1 SUATS in his career.

CAROLINA is 14-3 ATS L/17 in home games versus excellent offensive teams - averaging 375 or more yards/game in the second half of the season. HC Payton is 3-11 ATS in road games after having won 8 or more out of their last 10 games as the coach of NEW ORLEANS.

Play on the Carolina Panthers to cover 

 Valpo is off defeating George Washington in Washington, D.C. by an 82-79 final and have momentum entering this game. Note: Valpo enjoyed its second strong shooting performance in the last three games, hitting at a 53.6% clip (30-of-56) from the field.

The two hoops programs have matched up nine times over the last 12 seasons,  and Valpo has  won the last five matchups on its home court against the Cardinals and get the nod again according to my power rankings and projections.

Valpo posted a 10-4 record at home last year, its eighth consecutive season reaching double figures in home victories

- Valpo has recorded a 60-9 (.870) mark in home games since the start of the 2014-15 season.

- Over the last 23 years, Valpo owns a 295-65 (.819) record on its home court at the ARC.

BALL ST is 1-8 ATS off a road loss over the last 2 seasons. BALL ST is 25-62 ATS  L/ 87 off a road loss by 10 points or more.BALL ST is 2-9 ATS  after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games over the last 2 seasons.BALL ST is 4-13 ATS after 3 straight games where they made 47% of their shots or better.

Play on Valparaiso to cover 

 Detroit's ended a  six-game losing streak this past Saturday night by  defeating the Boston' Celtics and ending their  opponents eight-game winning streak with a 113-104 victory at Little Caesars Arena. With momentum on their sides, I now expect the Pistons to give the Bucks a team that has won 3 of their L/4 a fight for their money in their spot. Detroit is 3-1 SU l/4 at home in this series, and are 4-1 in division games this season!

DETROIT is 13-3 ATS versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 or less free throws/game this season. 

MILWAUKEE is 14-25 ATS  after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Road teams vs. the money line (MILWAUKEE) - dominant rebounding team - outrebounding opponents by 5+ per game, in December games are 103-185 L/22 seasons for a go against 64% SU conversion rate foe bettors. 

NBA Road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MILWAUKEE) - after going under the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games, first half of the season are 14-42 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Detroit Pistons to cover 

The Deacons after being off for 10 days for exams are fresh and ready to  play a Davidson team Monday night that should rank as the best team Wake Forest has played this season.Before the break in a DD win, Wake Forest held Charlotte to a 3-for-18 clip from beyond the arc, a season-best in 3s made and in percentage allowed (16.7 percent). Davidson  is a trey heavy group  , with 47.6 percent of its shots coming from behind the arc. Im betting the Deacons ability to limit them will the difference maker here this evening. 

CBB Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (DAVIDSON) - good shooting team (45-47.5%) against an average defensive team (42.5-45%), hot shooting team - 4 straight games making 47% or more  of their shots are 12-40 ATS L/21 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Wake Forest to cover 

This must be very humiliating for a NFL championship team  like the Philadelphia Eagles to be DD underdogs to a LA Rams team that despite of being explosive and respected by the public and pundits a like has still not won anything. Im betting the Eagles are pumped to prove their detractors wrong and to finally show us what made them champs last season, vs a team that already has a play off spot marked on the calendars and have little left to play for and just want to stay healthy .  With that said, it must be noted that defending Super Bowl champions are 3-0 ATS since 1980 as underdogs of more than 9 points and Im betting they will be 4-0 ATS when this final whistle blows here tonight.

Injury update: Wentz is a not a 100% go here this week and if he  does not play, the Eagles will go with Nick Foles, who led the Eagles to a Super Bowl victory last season. So either way this game remains a play on situation for the Eagles. 

NFLRoad teams (PHILADELPHIA) - after failing to cover the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games, in December game are 43-16 ATS L/10 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Philadelphia Eagles to cover 

Sunday night's key prime time matchup in the NBA features the top teams in the Eastern and Western Conferences. Both teams are banged up, and missing players. But one key players that Im betting makes a difference here tonight will be hard to replace for the Raptors and that is center Jonas Valanciunas, who just underwent surgery and is out for extended period of time.It must also be noted that Raps Forward Kawhi Leonard also just recently missed two games with a hip injury,  and is less than 100% and guard Kyle Lowry is listed as questionable for Sunday's game with a thigh injury.The Nuggets snapped the Raptors' eight-game winning streak with a 106-103 victory on Dec. 3 and I know the Raps will be out looking for revenge, but you don'T always get what you want as the Nuggets matchup well vs this type of opponent. 

Raptors are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 vs. NBA Northwest and are 3-8 ATS L/11 in Denver.Underdog is 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings.

Nuggets are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games.Nuggets are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Nuggets are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up win.Nuggets are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS win.Nuggets are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Nuggets are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Nuggets are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games overall

 Denver is 14-2 ATS after 1 or more consecutive unders this season. Denver is 5-0 ATS L/5 vs Toronto.

NBA Home teams vs. the money line (DENVER) - very good team - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game against opponent after scoring 110 points or more 3 straight games are 43-10 SU L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Denver Nuggets to cover 

I'll start off by saying  that I am not much an admirer of the Pelicans and HC Gentry system. I know he has hands full trying to find stablemates and side kicks for super star Anthony Davis, but this team, runs on Davis's energy, and when he's not 100% , which he's not, the team is also less than 100% The Pelicans have not won back to back games since mid November , and just don't have any real consistency. Meanwhile, their opponents tonight the Heat, are a well coached team behind, Spoelstra  who knows how to deal with teams like the Pelicans going 16-5 ATS L/21  in road games versus struggling defensive teams - allowing 110+ points/game. Miami despite of not having a super star like Davis in their lineup work hard, and Im betting they get us the cover in this spot via their usual blue collar efforts.

Spoelstra is 22-8 ATS in road games after playing 4 consecutive road games as the coach of MIAMI. 

MIAMI is 11-2 ATS  in road games versus terrible defensive teams - allowing 110+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

NEW ORLEANS is 1-11 ATS  versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts this season. 

Play on the Miami Heat to cover 

CSUN is coming off of a ugly loss at San Diego, which halted a two game win streak for the Matadors.They are 3-6 overall, which includes a 1-3 home record. Im betting they are at a disadvantage vs a Pacific team on a 3 game winning streak.

CBB Home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (CS-NORTHRIDGE) - playing with 5 or 6 days rest are 55-95 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 63% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. 

CBB Home underdogs of +145 to +350 vs. the money line (CS-NORTHRIDGE) - off a road loss by 10 points or more, playing with 5 or 6 days rest are 1-44 L/5 seasons for a go against   98% conversion rate for bettors with the average point differential clicking in at 9.8 ppg. 

Play on Pacific to cover 

New England  enters this tilt against struggling Pittsburgh behind future HOF QB Tom Brady  off a loss vs the Dolphins last time out (34-33), as their bad luck vs them was extended thanks to a freak play that saw the Dolphins win on the last play of the game . The Pats are now  just 1-6 SU and 0-7 ATS  when Brady plays the Fins in Miami .There is a silver lining however, here, as Brady is 25-2 SU overall away during the final month of the season,  and when going against a  below .600 team that does not include the Dolphins he  is a  perfect 17-0 SU.New England is also 23-5 SU off a loss since 2010, including 15-3 SUATS away. With Pittsburghs Big Ben Rothlisberger not completely 100% healthy and showing signs of his advanced age, and the beatings he has taken in his career the Steelers don't look like solid options here. 

Belichick is 7-0 ATS L/7 off an upset loss to a division rival as a favorite of 6 or more as the coach of NEW ENGLAND.

NEW ENGLAND is 15-3 ATS versus good offensive teams - averaging 5.65 or more yards/play over the last 3 seasons

NFL Road teams (NEW ENGLAND) - mistake-free team (1.25  or less TO/G committed) vs a team with 1.25  or less TO/G forced after 8+ games, after 4 consecutive games where they committed 1 or less turnovers are 29-7 ATS L/35 seasons for a 81% conversion  rate for bettors. 

Play on the New England Patriots to cover 

San Francisco has struggled on the road this season but have been competitive at home lately , beating Denver last week, and prior to that pounding Oakland 34-3 and then losing a heart breaker to the up trending NY Giants 27-23. Two weeks ago they were annihilated  on the scoreboard 43-16 by the team their hosting today the Seahawks back in Seattle . Note: Seahawks were however outgunned by 127 yards in that above mentioned tilt so the score was not indicative of the play, and as a matter of fact the Seahawks have managed Ws of late despite of being out yarded in 3 straight tilts. So Pete Carrolls  Seabirds are performing optimally behind a Las Vegas style smoke and mirrors magic show and are not solid road favs here despite of the all the accolades their getting. With revenge on board I now expect the 49ers to make a game of this and get us the cover, vs a side that in my humble opinion is a  over rated public favorite. 

NFL Home underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (SAN FRANCISCO) - after failing to cover the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games, a terrible team (25%) playing a team with a winning record in the second half of the season are 56-25 ATS L/35 seasons for a 69% long term conversion rate for bettors.

Play on SF 49ers to cover 

 The Cowboys are red hot right now and have won and covered 5 straight, but they are in an emotional letdown spot after a hard fought OT victory vs the defending Super Bowl Champion Eagles last time out. and susceptible to being flat in an unfriendly environment.  Thats not a good omen for the Boyz chances this week as  NFL teams coming off a SUATS OT victory are just  13-31-1 ATS the last four seasons, including 6-23 SUATS when  they're not the favorite. Furthermore, Indy QB Andrew Luck is a money QB and owns a  13-4 ATS career mark at home in games against foes with a better record,   The Colts are no pushovers and have won 6 of their L/7 and  deserve to be favoured in this tilt against Americas team , as they are   one of only three teams to rank in the Top 10 in both total offence and total defence. 

DALLAS is 14-30 ATS  L/44 in road games after covering the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 game.

NFL Home favorites (INDIANAPOLIS) - after having won 2 out of their last 3 games, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team are 25-6 ATS L/10 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Indianapolis Colts to cover 

The Tennessee Titans must win their final three games to have a chance at the AFC's final wild-card spot, starting Sunday on the road against the New York Giants. Needless to say the Titans will be aggressive and hell bent on staying alive here vs the Giants today. I know the Omen have been playing well and have won 2 straight, but against a desperate opponent  with the backs up against the wall Im betting they 're  in trouble today. 

NY GIANTS are 7-20 ATS in home games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%). 

Injury update: NYG Odell Beckham Jr is downgraded to OUT Sunday vs Tennessee ( Quad ). 

NFLHome teams where the line is +3 to -3 (NY GIANTS) - in a game involving two average teams (within +/- 40 YPG of their opponents) after 8+ games, after outgaining opp by 100 or more total yards in their previous game are 8-24 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. 

Play on the Tennessee Titans to cover 

at T-Mobile Arena - Las Vegas, NV

After losing  to No. 24 Houston in its last outing, the LSU has to adjust to a aa different style of play here tonight  vs St.Mary's.(Saint Mary’s) runs a European-style offense, as they use alot of guard screen action, with a lot of different cutting actions. Im betting this poses some problem for the Tigers.Ford, the Gaels’ leading scorer at 22.5 points per game, is hitting 51.5 percent from the field and makes 44.0 percent of his shots from beyond the 3-point arc and will be key here.As a team, Saint Mary’s is connecting on 49.7 of its field-goal attempts and shoots 39.1 percent from 3-point range.  Bottom line, this is a tough turnaround situation for LSU after playing Houston, and a slow start here could doom them here, or at least give us a very viable opportunity for us to get a cover here. 

Play on St.Marys to cover 

The Sooners enter this game against USC with a 8-1 start all out of conference wins, using defence rather than offence to get the job sone. The Sooners are coming off one of their best defensive performances in recent seasons , holding Wichita State to 48 points on 15-of-62 (.242) shooting their last time out, and has held its opponent to 60 or fewer points four of its last six games and are well prepared to face the Trojans are with momentum on their sides. Oklahoma’s defense has been especially dominate late in the game. In OU’s eight victories, its opposition are shooting a combined 30.1 percent (20.5 percent from 3)  in the last 15 minutes of the game, giving me confidence in the Sooners ability to finish this tilt strong and get us the cover   .The Sooners are 5-0 against Pac-12 opponents during the Lon Kruger era and they get the nod again and im more importantly the cover.

OKLAHOMA is 6-0 ATS  as a favorite this season with he point diff clicking in at 15.8 ppg this season.

HC Enfield is 1-8 ATS   in road games after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games as the coach of US and is 10-21 ATS   when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 80% or more ) as the coach of USC with the average ppg diff clicking in at 10.6 ppg. 

Play on Oklahoma to cover 

Eastern Illinois currently in top form looks to win its third straight game as the Panthers visit Bradley. The Braves 7-3 might have a winning record, but Im not overly impressed by them , and according to my projections are being over rated by the linesmakers here on the opening line.  Bradley stopped a two game losing streak to Arkansas LR last time out, but had to come from behind to do it. Note: BRADLEY is 6-18 ATS after trailing their last 3 games by 5+ points at the half and  is just  3-11 ATS on Saturday games over the last 2 seasons.

Play on Eastern Illinois to cover 

Boston (18-10) has won eight straight, including a 129-108 victory over Atlanta on Friday night and enter this game against their hosts the Pistons with a full head of steam, and despite of a heavy schedule still lookalike very viable options to cover vs a team they matchup well against. Note: NBA Favorites SU (BOSTON) - after 8 or more consecutive wins, tired team - playing 6 or more games in 10 days are good long term  bets going 43-5 SU L/5 seasons for a 90% conversion rate with the average point differential clicking in at 10.5 ppg making this a viable cover situation for the Celtics .

BOSTON is  also 12-1 ATS  off a home blowout win by 20 points or more over the last 3 seasons.

The Celtics have already beaten the Pistons twice this season. They smashed them  at Little Caesars Arena 109-89 on Oct. 27, then beat them in Boston 108-105 three nights later. Note: The Pistons are just 0-6 ATS L/6 vs the Celtics with same season double  revenge . 

DETROIT is 2-12 ATS in home games against Atlantic division opponents over the last 2 seasons with the average point diff clicking in at 4 ppg. 

Play on the Boston Celtics to cover 

 CAMELLIA BOWL - Crampton Bowl - Montgomery, AL

I was little surprised at how this line opened, so I looked as deep  into this bowl game, and found no key injuries or news that would effect it. Georgia Southern is a very good team and own a 9-3 record compared to Eastern Michigan’s 7-5 recored. Yes, Eastern Michigan is a tough under rated team, but despite of being competitive don't have a killer instinct and consistently find ways to lose close games. Meanwhile,  Georgia Southern should have more of their fans here than  E.Michigan, because of the proximity of the location of this football game, and thus have more support in what will likely be a mostly empty stadium. Bottom line:

Georgia Southern is pound the ground type of offence , ranked 9th in the nation ( rush offence ) 260.8 ypg and  have an advantage vs E.Michigans, 93rd ranked rush D that allows an average   4.43 ypc, and 192.9 ypg. The Southern Eagles get my support here on a short line. 

CFB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (E MICHIGAN) - after going under the total by 35 or more points total in their last three games, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season are just 6-26 ATS L/10 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Georgia Southern to cover 

The Texans were on a 9 game win streak heading into last week, and then lost . NFL teams that have won 9 in row in the past and  had their win streak abruptly end have failed to cover 5 of their L/6 followups.  I know  the Jets do not inspire bettors, but with QB Sam Darnold healthy again, and off a win last week, I expect a confident top tier effort from home team today. 

Jets are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

exans are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS loss.Texans are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.Texans are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.Texans are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games in Week 15.Texans are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.Texans are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up loss.Texans are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games in December.

HOUSTON is 9-21 ATS L/30in road games versus sub par defensive teams - allowing 350or more yards/game in the second half of the season.HOUSTON is 1-8 ATS ( in the last 4 weeks of the regular season over the last 3 seasons. 

The underdog has covered the L/4 meetings. NYJ are 3-1 SU/ATS L/4 at home in this series.

Play on the NY Jets to cover 

at Bankers Life Fieldhouse - Indianapolis, IN

On Saturday, Butler (7-2) takes on No. 25 Indiana (8-2) in the Crossroads Classic.

This seasons Indiana team is much better than last years team and have already notched 4 top 50 kenpom victories. They have three straight victories over quality competition, and have a lot to prove here, on a national stage and Im betting they're up to it. Im also betting the difference will come at the charity stripe. Hey I know the Hoosiers have been highly inconsistent with their Its , but  they still own a top-80 free throw rate despite making just 63.6 percent of their freebies. Meanwhile, Butler is ranked in the 260s in both offensive and defensive free throw rate. Look for Indiana to convert a fairly high percentage of the free throws and snatch a superior advantage at the charity stripe.

BUTLER is 1-8 ATS  in road games versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or more of their shots over the last 2 seasons and  is 4-12 ATS  when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct.  80% or better) over the last 2 seasons.

 Butler's  had an explosive performance at home last time out, with 95-68 rout of visiting Northern Illinois on Dec. 8. , but a regression should be expected bossed on recent top their efforts  as they are 1-10 ATS in road games after playing a home game over the last 2 seasons.BUTLER is  also 0-6 ATS in road games after a game where they made 50% of their 3 point shots or better over the last 3 seasons and is 0-8 ATS  in road games after scoring 85 points or more over the last 2 seasons. 

CBB  underdog vs. the money line (BUTLER) - after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more against opponent after 3 straight games where both teams score 70 points or less are 4-42 L/5 seasons for a go against 91% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Indiana to cover 

Denver is 6-0 ATS L/6 vs the Thunder and beat them SU the last time they met in Oklahoma City back on Nov 28 this season winning 105-98  as 6 point rod dogs.and according to my matchup power rankings are still the  superior side when comparing system vs system output projections. I know the Thunder who are currently playing top tier hoops will be out to revenge that loss, but it must be noted that OKLAHOMA CITY is just 9-21 ATS revenging a same season loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons and is 6-18 ATS vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

DENVER is 7-0 ATS  in home games after a game where they covered the spread this season, which was the case last time out, in a 105-99 win vs Memphis 3 days ago. 

Bottom line here. Is that Denver is well rested and matchup well vs the Thunder. especially considering this will be the Thunders 5 road game in their L/6 outings. Also after a ha rd fought affair and loss on Wednesday night in New Orleans and now playing in the thin air of the Mile High City I wont be surprised if the Thunder run out of gas as this tilt moves into the 2nd half. Advantage Denver. 

NBA Home teams vs. the money line (DENVER) - very good team - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game against opponent after scoring 110 points or more 3 straight games are 42-10 SU L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Denver Nuggets to cover 

Golden State after the tremendous success they have had over the last few seasons, are not playing with alot of intensity of late and are showing signs of complacency. That was evident when the Raptors came into Oakland and clobbered the defending champions by a 113-93 count this past Wednesday night. Now the sometimes lethargic looking champs go into Sacramento to play a young high energy Kings team playing inspired hoops and is up trending. The Kings on most nights are handful to handle, and nothing Im betting changes tonight. So if Golden State does get the win Im betting it will not come easily making getting points here with the home dog golden in my opinion. Note: Golden State held off Sacramento 117-116 at home on Nov. 24. A rinse and repeat situation looks to be a high probability event again. 

Warriors are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games overall.Warriors are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS loss.Warriors are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Warriors are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.Warriors are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up loss.Warriors are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.Warriors are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Warriors are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 vs. Western Conference.

GOLDEN STATE is 12-25 ATS  when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) over the last 2 seasons.

Kings are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.Kings are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games playing on 1 days rest.Kings are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up win.Kings are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.Kings are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game.Kings are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.Kings are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.Kings are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win.Kings are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 vs. Western Conference.Kings are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 home games.

SACRAMENTO is 16-7 ATS when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season. 

NBA home teams vs. the money line (SACRAMENTO) - after beating the spread by more than 12 points in two consecutive games against opponent after going under the total by more than 18 points in their previous gamePlay on the Sacramento Kings to cover are 51-14 SU L/22 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Sacramento to cover 

The Pacers are a fine team, big and athletic and probably one of the best in the NBA . Indiana has won five straight, including a 16-point win over the Milwaukee Bucks on Wednesday night. I   know Philadelphia is very talented , despite of some recent down efforts, but from a matchup perspective the Pacers matchup very well against them and must be respected here as underdogs even though they are on the road. With With Victor Oladipo back from a knee injury that sidelined him 11 games, Indiana is back at a full strength and the are according to power rankings the beast of the east.   INDIANA is 9-1 ATS  in road games after a division game over the last 2 seasons. 

76ers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

Pacers are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Pacers are 13-4 ATS in their last 17 vs. NBA Atlantic.Pacers are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Pacers are 15-6 ATS in their last 21 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

The 76ers are 0-13 ATS  and 1-12 SU with rest off a home loss that was tied five-plus times and it is before the All-Star break with the one win coming by just 2 points. 

Play on the Indiana Pacers to cover 

UIC will play a road game in essentially their own neighbour hood  when the Flames travel less than three miles to take on the DePaul Blue Demons .The Flames won as guests at McGrath-Phillips Arena in Lincoln Park on Dec. 14, 2016, 80-75 and must not be underestimated tonight. UIC has already beaten instate rivals Bradley (Nov. 17) and Illinois State (Dec. 5) earlier this season at Credit Union 1 Arena.The Cardinals have not played since Dec. 9 at LSU and will be on fresh legs here and very ready to compete. 

IL-CHICAGO is 7-0 ATS  in road games on Friday nights over the last 3 seasons. IL-CHICAGO is 9-1 ATS when playing with 5 or 6 days rest over the last 3 seasons.IL-CHICAGO is 20-7 ATS  when the total is 150 to 159.5 over the last 3 seasons.

Play on Illinois Chicago to cover 

The Lakers (17-10) have won six of seven games  and are now fourth in the Western Conference. Their defense,  has been particularly strong while up trending, as they have recorded  a 101.4 defensive rating  ,  ranked third in the NBA  . Tonight Im betting they have a ATS advantage vs a host team  ( Houston) that can't find consistency and constantly 2nd guessing themselves and their overall  approach.  Needless to say the host team is far from being stable at the moment and weak favorites even here on their own home court. 

HOUSTON is 8-19 ATS  versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game over the last 2 seasons

Lakers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss and  are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 Thursday games. Lakers are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 vs. Western Conference.

Rockets are 6-13 ATS in their last 19 vs. Western Conference.Rockets are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Rockets are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 Thursday games.Rockets are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.Rockets are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games overall. Rockets are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.

Rockets are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 1 days rest.

Rockets are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game

NBARoad underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (LA LAKERS) - after having won 2 of their last 3 games, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team are 33-13 L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the LA Lakers 

The Tigers are 7-2 after a 91-50 home win over Incarnate Word, while Houston comes in 8-0 after a 63-53 road win over Oklahoma State. The pundits look like their in love with the Cougars, and Im not  doubting how good of a team they have, Im just betting this line is bloated and will be bet down by sharp money quickly and Im on board. Note: Houston’s strength of schedule is currently ranked 350th out of 353 teams in Division I.

HOUSTON is 0-6 ATS  off a road win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

Play on LSU to cover 

Portland State  is  4-1 under HC Barret Peery dating back to last season vs  West Coast Conference.  BYU 7-4 on the season, is a tough place to play, for visiting sides, and I doubt that the Vikings can win out right here, but catching this many points is good value considering my projections  make this a 9.5 true value point spread. 

PORTLAND ST is 15-6 ATS  in road games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 3 seasons.PORTLAND ST is 12-3 ATS in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

BYU is 1-8 ATS  after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 3 seasons. 

Play on Portland State to cover 

The Pacers, have won four games in a row, and are very ready to take on a very good Milwaukee Bucks team here tonight. The Pacers have been playing well without key cog  Oladipo and because of their never say die attitude and very physical athletic team, are never to be discounted .  Especially at  home where they are 9-4 this season, behind their No.1 ranked defence.  Milwaukee took out the Pacers  back on Oct 19 and now the host team has revenge on board. Note INDIANA is 11-2 ATS  in home games revenging a same season loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.INDIANA is 29-15 ATS  versus good shooting teams - making 46% or better  of their shots over the last 2 seasons. 

NBA Road teams vs. the money line (MILWAUKEE) - off a win by 10 points or more over a division rival against opponent after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite are 16-64 SU last 22 seasons for go against 80% conversion rate for bettors with the point differential clicking in at 8.9 ppg. 

Indiana to cover 

The Raptors enter this game against the Clippers struggling. Even a very good team like the Raptors go through slumps, and Im betting thats what thy are in the midst of right now  as they  are scoring just  105 points per game, while going 1-3 over their last four trips to the hardwood. With that said, I look for the Clippers to be very competitive here tonight on their own home floor where they have won 9 of their L/11 overall this season. 

Clippers are 2-0 SU L/2 as hosts in this series and have won 3 of the L/4 meetings overall. 

The Clippers are 10-0 ATS/SU L/11 with less than two days rest off a win as a favorite when they won 2 straight vs current opponent and it is before the All-Star break. 

Play on the LA Clippers to cover 

The Rockets are not the same team they have been the last couple of season and have  a lot of weaknesses that are becoming obvious. The Rockets defence is ranked 25th in points allowed per 100 possessions (112.2) and their week under the offensive glass ranking 29th in defensive rebounding rate (68.5 percent) and ahead of only the Washington Wizards. The Rockets are playing uninspired ball, and showing very little cohesiveness as a team and as a result have ,lost 7 of their L/9 games. Meanwhile, Portland after an extended slump, have come to life lately with two consecutive wins, and will be primed to continue to jump start themselves here by ending a 4 game road losing streak , which has me recommending we go o take here with the visitors in this spot. 

HOUSTON is 7-19 ATS versus teams - scoring 110+ points/game over the last 2 seasons and is 5-14 ATS  versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season. HOUSTON is 1-8 ATS  when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days this season.

PORTLAND is 15-5 ATS after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite over the last 3 seasons

NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (PORTLAND) - after having won 2 of their last 3 games, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team are 26-4 ATS L/5 season for a 87% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Portland to cover 

Both these teams have played competitive basketball this season, via two contrasting styles.

The Eagles (5-2 against the spread) shot 38.5% on 3s in their latest win over Mercer last time out. Im always on the quest for hot behind the arc shooting teams when Im looking for a  DD cover, and they fit the bill. 

According to my line projections this line  should be closer to 9 point favourites, and offers us value with the visiting dog. 

Play on G.Southern to cover 

LBSU returns a pair of All-Big West honorees from a season ago. Both Yussuf and Booker were Honorable Mention All-Big West selections and are key members on a team that must not be disrespected, despite of their losing record so far this season .  I know Pacific has played well of late, and 7-4 this season and boast a solid 5-1 home record, but I have to stick to my power ranking assessments that say this game should be closer to a 3 point line favouring Pacific thus giving us value backing Long Beach State. 

Play on Long Beach St to cover