E.Carolina is playing their best football of the season, as they enter this game on a 4 game win streak, and have played their best football at home this season winning 4 of 5 games while allowing just 18.8 ppg defensively. I know Cincinnati is a top tier team but they have played a long hard schedule, at a very high level and from time to time this season, have played games against lower tier sides like its a de-facto bye week. Advantage East Carolina 

Bearcats are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite.Bearcats are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 conference games.Bearcats are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games on grass

CINCINNATI is 0-6 ATS  after allowing 125 or less passing yards in their last game over the last 3 seasons.

E CAROLINA is 8-1 ATS  when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons. E CAROLINA is 12-3 ATS in home games against teams with a turnover margin of +1 per game or better . Houston is 12-2 ATS L/15  vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 58% or better. as the coach of E CAROLINA. Pirates are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog.

CFB home team vs. the money line (E CAROLINA) - after 3 or more consecutive straight up wins against opponent after 5 or more consecutive straight up wins are 31-6 L/5 seasons for a 84% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on East Carolina to cover 

Texas is in free fall after suffering 6 straight losses. Ending their futility today Im betting wont come easy if at all and Kansas States strong defense will be the difference maker. Im not saying this version of the  Texas Longhorns  is soft but their defense certainly is  allowing 32.9 ppg overall  and will be their downfall here today as it has been all season long. 

KANSAS ST is 11-1 ATS L/12  as a road underdog of 3 points or less .  KANSAS ST is 6-0 ATS  after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread over the last 2 seasons

 TEXAS is 0-6 ATS after allowing 31 points or more in 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons.

Play on Kansas State to cover 

Eastern Michigans  passing attack  is explosive and the  ground game has been balanced and hard to stop .  That was evident in a  22-21 win over top tier Mac opponent Western Michigan. With a offense that rip points up on the board in bunches the Eagles are solid underdogs. 

Creighton is 8-0 ATS as a road underdog of 7.5 to 14 points as the coach of E MICHIGAN.Creighton is 9-1 ATS in road games vs. good offensive teams - scoring 31 or more points/game as the coach of E MICHIGAN.Creighton is 12-2 ATS   in road games after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games as the coach of E MICHIGAN.Creighton is 16-4 ATS  in road games vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 58% or better. as the coach of E MICHIGAN. 

E MICHIGAN is 15-2 ATS in road games vs. excellent punt coverage teams, allowing  7.5 or less  yards per return. 

Play on Eastern Michigan to cover 

This game has implications for the races in both the West and Mountain divisions and Im expecting both sides to leave everything on the field it what the lines-makers and myself expect to be a very close game, with the points in my betting opinion ending up being golden. 

The Aztecs defense is  a wall against opposing ground games, and it all ties together with an offense that controls games in a very chess like conservative fashion. In a big game like this the home side looks like viable option getting points. 

SAN DIEGO ST is 7-0 ATS  after gaining 100 or less rushing yards last game over the last 3 seasons.Hoke is 11-2 ATS in home games after allowing 75 or less rushing yards last game in all games he has coached.

Play on San Diego State to cover 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Egg Bowl

Mississippi State sits at 7-4 overall and 4-3 in the SEC West.  Ole Miss is 2nd in the division at 9-2 overall, 5-2 in conference play.

The Miss State Bulldogs have played well against higher-ranked teams, especially as hosts, taking out NC State, Kentucky, and Auburn at Davis Wade.  All of those football programs were ranked at the time. Im betting Leach and company have the edge again vs their higher ranked opponent. Key tonight will be  the Bulldogs strong rush defense which ranks  No. 21, in the nation and  4th in the SEC behind Georgia, Alabama and A&M which will take away from the Rebels being able to open up their pass game , which will limit their offensive options. On the flipside Im betting Miss State QB Rogers will meticulously follow a controlled game plan that will utilize everything available to him and give the viable Ole Miss D more than what they can plan for. 

Leach is 32-12 ATS  versus good rushing teams - averaging 200 or more  rushing yards/game in all games he has coached since 1992.Leach is 22-7 ATS  in home games after gaining 375 or more passing yards in 2 straight games in all games he has coached since 1992.

CFB Home favorites vs. the money line (MISSISSIPPI ST) - after having won 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games against opponent after having won 6 or 7 out of their last 8 games are 38-2 L/5 seasons for a 95% conversion rate.

Play on Miss State to cover/win

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

This is a big  game for San Jose State, as a win  would make it bowl eligible. Needless to say Im betting we pull out all the stops to find a way to get a victory here. Im betting on the Spartans top tier D to keep them in this game until the end. 

SAN JOSE ST is 9-1 ATS  in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.SAN JOSE ST is 13-4 ATS L/17 after gaining 3.25 or less yards/play in their previous game. Spartans are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a home underdog.

Bulldogs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on field-turf.

Underdog is 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 meetings. 

Play on the San Jose Spartans to cover

The Lions have a big reputation as Thanksgiving day money makers, but the truth  it's usually when they are favs that  they shine, but as dogs they have lost 12 straight times and covered only twice losing by an average of 9.8 ppg. I know Chicago may not inspire bettors but they are the superior side, and being very hungry for wins Im betting they dont pass up this opportunity to register a victory. 

Note: The Lions will start one of their woeful backups probably the horrendous looking Boyle this week and are down to just 3 healthy starting offensive lineman , so offensive continuity and  scoring is going to be an issue. I know QB Fields  may also not start for the Bears but to me veteran QB Dalton is a better option anyway . 

NFL Favorites vs. the money line (CHICAGO) - after allowing 5.5 or less passing yards per attempt last game against opponent after gaining 5.5 or less passing yards/attempt in 2 straight games are 27-1 SU L/5 seasons for a 97% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at 13.3 ppg which qualifies from a. ATS level as well. 

 NFL Road teams (CHICAGO) - in a game involving two struggling offensive teams (14-18 PPG) after 8 or more games, after a loss by 3 or less points are 21-3 ATS L/38 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors.

NFL  Road teams (CHICAGO) - after failing to cover the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games against opponent after covering the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games are 32-9 ATS L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.

Chicago has won 4 of the L/5 meetings in this series and their L/2 visits to Motown .

Play on Chicago Bears to cover

Minnesota is playing at a high level right now having won 4 straight games, while Miami despite of their top tier status are on tired legs as they play their 3rd road game in 5 nights and vulnerable vs a motivated team with momentum playing at home. 

NBA Favorites vs. the money line (MINNESOTA) - after allowing 105 points or less 4 straight games against opponent after allowing 95 points or less are 33-4 L/5 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (MINNESOTA) - after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games, with a losing record are 34-9 ATS L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors.

Minnesota has won the L/2 meetings here at home in this series.

Play on Minnesota to cover 

The Grizzlies have won three of their past four games, while the Raptors have lost three of the first four games on a six-game road trip. These teams are playing at the opposite end of the performance spectrum and with that said the home side get the nod on a short chalk line.  note:  The Raptors have played the past three games without OG Anunoby (hip pointer). He is averaging a team-best 20.1 points in 15 games.\ Without him the lineup the Raptors are at a disadvantage. Raptors are rested but that has not been a good omen for them recently as they are  are 8-21-2 ATS in their last 31 games playing on 2 days rest.

ORONTO is 7-18 ATS after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games over the last 2 seasons.

teams where the line is +3 to -3 (MEMPHIS) - after having won 3 of their last 4 games, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a marginal losing team are 29-8 ATS L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (MEMPHIS) - average offensive team (108-114 PPG) against a poor offensive team (104-108 PPG), after a combined score of 235 points or more are 81-12 L/25 seasons for a 87% conversion rate and ppg diff that clicks in at +9.3 ppg. 

Play on Memphis to cover 

Washington makes sure they take advantage of lower tier teams  like New Orleans and they almost never asleep against sub par sides. Wizards are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.Wizards are 22-8-1 ATS in their last 31 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record. Wizards are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.  Wizards are 11-3 ATS in the last 14 meetings in New Orleans.

NEW ORLEANS is 7-17 ATS  versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.  NEW ORLEANS is 1-8 ATS   after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games this season.

NBA Road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (WASHINGTON) - after 2 or more consecutive unders, an average team (+/- 3 PPG differential) against a terrible team (7 or less PPG differential) are 31-7 ATS L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Wizards to cover 

The Lakers are currently not operating optimally as is evident by losing 4 of their L/5 games wiht the the one win coming against the lowly Pistons as they came back from a DD deficit.  than after that game they played a hard fought affair vs the Knicks an lost 106-100 which sets them up to come in to this their 5 straight road game on tired legs which makes them vulnerable to a down game, vs a Indiana side that plays their best hoops at home where they have won 4 straight tilts.  .Pacers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a home favorite.Pacers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

Lakers are 0-5 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Indiana.

LA LAKERS are 2-16 ATS  in a road game where the total is 210 to 219.5 over the last 2 season.LA LAKERS are 4-13 ATS  after having lost 3 of their last 4 games over the last 2 seasons.Lakers are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games as a road underdog.Lakers are 4-13-1 ATS in their last 18 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.

Play on Indiana to cover 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

The Lakers exerted alot of energy in a brawl filled  comeback win against the Detroit Pistons last time out and will now be in an emotional letdown spot vs a hungry NY Knicks side that is desperate for momentum. 

NEW YORK is 31-19 ATS  versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more  of their shots over the last 2 seasons. Thibodeau is 15-5 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less as the coach of NEW YORK. 

Lakers are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games as a road underdog.Lakers are 6-20 ATS in their last 26 games following a straight up win.Lakers are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Lakers are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings in New York. Lakers are 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings. LA LAKERS are 2-15 ATS  in a road game where the total is 210 to 219.5 over the last 2 seasons. Vogel is 5-16 ATS against Atlantic division opponents as the coach of LA LAKERS.

NBA Road underdogs (LA LAKERS) - after being beaten by the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last seven games are 31-67 ATS L/5 seasons for a 69% go against  conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the NY Knicks to cover 

The Giants’ defense is top form and have been really been  stoppers in the last  three weeks giving them the ability to be competitive against any NFL team even the defending Super Bowl champion Bucs . On the flip side, the giants rarely get much push from the offensive line but against shaky TB secondary I expect for some big plays and scores.  With Big Blue getting healthy they are solid bets here to cover vs a Bucs side that is definitely not playing a top level at the moment. . 

Giants are 19-4 ATS L/23 as road underdogs. Judge is 8-1 ATS  in road games against conference opponents as the coach of NY GIANTS. NY GIANTS are 9-1 ATS  in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.

TAMPA BAY is 0-6 ATS  against NFC East division opponents over the last 3 seasons. TB has lost 19 of its L/26 SU after two consecutive road losses.

NFL Road underdogs or pick (NY GIANTS) - after a game where they committed 1 or less turnovers against opponent after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse are 35-5 ATS L/5 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors.

NFL Road teams (NY GIANTS) - off a home win, a struggling  team, winning 25% to 40% of their games, in the second half of the season  are 46-19 ATS L/10 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

NY Giants to cover 

 My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.  

 My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.  

Texas A&M to cover 

My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.  

OAKLAND is 11-1 ATS versus poor 3 point shooting teams - making 31%  or less of their attempts over the last 3 seasons.


Oakland  to cover 

After. a fast start to their season the Knicks have now lost 6 of their L/10 and are not looking cohesive especially in the offensive end of the court  averaging just 101.9 ppg during their current sub par 10 game run. Meanwhile, the Bulls are now in top form behind some tremendous defensive play and clutch offense. Note: The Bulls have  held their opp to  a 44.4%  FG conversion rate while ranking eighth best  in Defensive Rating, allowing 104.1 points per 100 possessions.  With revenge on board, for a earlier 103-104 loss to the Knicks Im expecting a redemption run here tonight and a subsequent win and cover at home for a Bulls side that has covered 11 of their L/16 overall. 

Interesting anomaly -CHICAGO is 10-1 ATS on Sunday games over the last 2 seasons

NBA Road underdogs (NEW YORK) - in a game involving two good three point shooting teams (36.5% or better), after 2 straight games making 16 or more 3 point shots are 8-29 ATS L/25 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate. 

Play on Chicago to cover 

Because the Suns are red hot there is a premium being added to their chalk lines  giving us an edge in spot situations. I know the Suns have revenge on board for a home loss to the Nuggets from late in October , but Denver matches up well from a style of play perspective and must be respected getting points . I also know that these two teams are currently playing at the opposite end of the performance spectrum, but it must be noted Malone is 14-4 ATS in road games after 3 or more consecutive losses as the coach of DENVER. Meanwhile, PHOENIX is 3-14 ATS L/17 in home games after 8 or more consecutive wins . 

Suns are also 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

NBA Home teams (PHOENIX) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points, off a home no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite are 29-61 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 67% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DENVER) - good rebounding team - giving up 11 or less off. rebounds/game on the season, on Sunday games are 112-67 ATS L/5 seasons for a 63% conversion rate. 

Take the points with Denver 

Lakers Key starters Davis and James is they play today vs the Pistons will see limited time because of injuries and the team as a whole, have shown a lack of chemistry and determination and are fade material here in Motown tonight. LA has also just 1-4 SU on the road this season, and don't deserve this much respect based on brand recognition along. No not even against the lowly Pistons. 

LA LAKERS are 0-8 ATS versus poor shooting teams - making 43% or less of their shots over the last 2 seasons. LA LAKERS are 8-21 ATS  versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

DETROIT is 19-8 ATS  off a home loss over the last 2 seasons. DETROIT is 3-0 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons.

NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (LA LAKERS) - after going over the total by more than 18 points in their previous game, with a losing record are 42-74 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 63% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Detroit to cover 

 My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.  

NIAGARA is 16-4 ATS  versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game over the last 3 seasons.

YOUNGSTOWN ST is 4-13 ATS L/17  in home games in November games . 

CBB Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (NIAGARA) - good 3PT shooting team (36.5% or better ) against a poor 3PT defense (36.5% or better ), after a game where a team made 60% of their shots or better are 30-5 ATS L/25 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Niagara to cover 

Dallas is off two exhausting back and forth losses to the Phoenix Suns and could find themselves vulnerable here on tired legs in a letdown spot . Meanwhile, Im betting the Clippers will be very focused as they  get back on track after a lackluster 94-81 loss at New Orleans lat time out. These clunkers in the NBA happen all the time even to well coached teams like the Clippers so I wont take a-lot of time to over analyze, especially considering that was the Clippers 5th game in 7 nights .With Dallas young star Luka Doncic  hobbled by an ankle injury and less than 100% if he plays the Mavs will be at a disadvantage. 

Mavericks are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog. Clippers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following a ATS loss.

NBA Favorites (LA CLIPPERS) - after going under the total by more than 24 points in their previous game, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team are 24-5 ATS L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on LA Clippers to cover 

The Washington football team after upsetting the defending Super Bowl Champs last week will now in a huge emotional letdown situation on the road. It must be noted that sides off a upset of the defending Super Bowl champion by 10 or more points have covered just 3 of the 19 times  when facing a .400 or better side like the Panthers in their  following tilt. With Carolina looking like a viable side to back with Cam Newton or former XFL star QB PJ Walker under center Im recommedning we pull the trigger here and lay a few points with a team that has plenty of momentum and crowd support this Sunday. 

WASHINGTON is 2-9 ATS after playing a game at home over the last 2 seasons. Football Team are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog.Washington is also 1-6 SU/ATS when coming off an underdog win of 7 or more points. 

NFL Favorites (CAROLINA) - an average defensive team (18 to 23 PPG) against a struggling  defensive team (27 or more  PPG), after scoring 30 points or more last game are 24-5 ATS L/5 seasons for a  83% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Carolina to cover 

 My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.  

Two teams playing at the opposite end of the performance spectrum go head to head this Sunday. Green Bay has lost 4 straight while, Weber State hs won 4 straight to begin their season. But according to my early season power rankings this line should be closer to a -10 giving us more than a full possession advantage which is significant. 

WI-GREEN BAY is 7-0 ATS in road games after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.

 WI-GREEN BAY is 10-2 ATS  versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Play on  U Wisconsin GB to cover 

Wizards are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 home games and must be respected here vs a very good but exhausted Miami side that will be playing their 7th game in 10 nights. Redemption now on board for a 112 -97 loss in South Florida a couple of days ago. 

Wizards are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a home underdog.

WASHINGTON is 15-5 ATS  after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games over the last 2 seasonWASHINGTON is 31-19 ATS  versus good shooting teams - making 46%  or more of their shots over the last 2 seasons.WASHINGTON is 23-10 ATS  after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 3 seasons.

NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (MIAMI) - after beating the spread by more than 6 points in three consecutive games against opponent after going under the total by 18 or more points total in their last three games are 9-28 ATS L/29 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA Home teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (WASHINGTON) - after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last ten games, in November games are 30-6 L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Washington to cover  

Indiana made a late run last night in a loss to Charlotte but they are well conditioned and will be ready in a friendly home environment  to take down a Pelicans side off an upset win last night. Pelicans are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog. (5 of those losses came by DDS)

NEW ORLEANS is 0-9 ATS  in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing 108 or less points/game over the last 2 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at -17.3 ppg. 

NBA team (INDIANA) - off 3 or more consecutive road losses, playing on back-to-back days are 29-9 ATS L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Indiana to cover 

After being very competitive this season , Syracuse looked tired/lifeless vs Louisville last week in a 41-3 loss. Previous to that 5 of their L/6 games were all decided by 4 points or less and they have won the stats battles in 8 of 10 games this season. There is good news coming for  Syracuse bettors this week as Babers is 8-0 ATS after gaining 3.75 or less yards/play in their previous game as the coach of SYRACUSE. On the flip-side NC States HC Doeren is 0-9 ATS versus excellent rushing teams - averaging 230 or more rushing yards/game as the coach of NC STATE like Syracuse. I expect Syracuse to pound away on the ground today and to take advantage of Wolfpack side that has failed to cover 4 of their L/5 as 10 or more point home fav in conference tilts. 

SYRACUSE is 12-3 ATS L/15 vs. excellent kickoff return teams, more than 24 yards per return. SYRACUSE is 8-2 ATS in all games this season. 

CFB Road underdogs (SYRACUSE) - with a good offense - averaging 5.8 or more yards/play, after gaining 3.75 or less yards/play in their previous game are 30-8 ATS L/10 seasons for a 80% conversion rate. 

Play on Syracuse to cover 

Rivals go head to head today in southern California , and Im betting the under performing but under rated home side has the edge. 

The UCLA secondary is vulnerable as is evident by  allowing an average of  240 yards per game. The one thing that USC can do consistently is go deep and make passes, and that what will be the difference maker here today. UCLA is 4-14 ATS L/18 when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%).

USC has been a recent ATM when faltering going 6-0 ATS as a home pup when coming off consecutive losses, including a  6-0 ATS mark as a home dog with a below .500 record.

CFB Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (USC) - with 16 total starters returning are 76-38 ATS L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors.

Play USC to cover 

CFB  Road underdogs vs. the money line (RICE) - slow starting offensive team - scoring 8 or less PPG in the first half, after scoring 3 points or less in the first half last game are 1-34 L/5 seasons for a go against 97% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking at -19 ppg. 

Play on UTEP

Alabama has crushed   Arkansas 100-10 count  in the last two meetings and Im betting on another beatdown here, as the Tide ramp up into championship form, especially on defense, where they have allowed just 15.8 ppg at home this season. Alabama is 5-1 ATS as home favorite of less than 24 points.

Lay and it and play it on Alabama to cover 

The UTSA Roadrunners come into this game undefeated, but Im betting they will have their hands full with UAB this week in a key game. Its alot of pressure for a team to stay undefeated in College Football, and Im betting they feel the heat here today vs a UAB side that is ntorious for picking up big wins in key games. Note: The Blazers allow a little over 100 rushing yards per game, and  they lead the league in total defense. Defence wins championships and in this case gets us the cover in this spot play. 

Clark is 30-14 ATS  against conference opponents as the coach of UAB.Clark is 12-3 ATS  after 2 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers as the coach of UAB.


CFB Home favorites (UTSA) - after being beaten by the spread by more than 21 points in their previous game against opponent after going over the total by 28 or more points total in their last three games are 18-44 ATS L/29 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on UAB to cover

Iowa State has big time revenge on board vs  Oklahoma this Saturday , after  having their butts handed to them  in last year’s Big 12 Championship. Note:Iowa State is a profitable 5-1 ATS L/6 away with conference revenge .I know the Cyclones are also off a loss last week in heart breaking fashion, but now that will make them even hungrier as a collective.  Advantage Iowa State.

Cyclones are 20-7 ATS in their last 27 games following a straight up loss.Cyclones are 20-9-1 ATS in their last 30 games as an underdog.

Sooners are 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 games in November.

CFB Favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (OKLAHOMA) - off an upset loss as a road favorite, in weeks 10 through 13 are 45-85 ATS L/29 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors.(Lost a Baylor last week 27-14)

Iowa State to cover 

Clemson slowly but surely has gotten back towards championship form and now must be respected here at home to handle a one way Wake Forest offensive juggernaut.  The Clemson D, Im betting will give Wake a real test, while the Deacons D, is usually their weak link and wont stand up very well in the end. (Wake ha allowed an average of 42 ppg on the road this season) 

Clemson HC Swinney is 14-2 SU L/16  when having won  three straight games..

WAKE FOREST is 0-6 ATS  in road games after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games over the last 3 seasons.

CFB Road underdogs (WAKE FOREST) - good team - outscoring opponents by 7 or more points/game, after allowing 31 points or more in 2 straight games are 50-17 ATS L/10 seasons for a 76% conversion rate.

Clemson to cover 

The Bulls are playing much better hoops but they are in a bad spot here at the tail end of their West Coast rodeo tour as they play their 5th straight road game in the  thin air of Mile High city. Im betting on Denver here taking advantage of their tired hosts. Denver has won 19 of the L/23 meetings here in Denver. 

Bulls are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games as a road underdog.Bulls are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.

NBA Home teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (DENVER) - after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last ten games, in November games are 28-6 L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate. 

Denver to cover 

Air Force has impressed me this season, winning the stats battles in 9 of 10 games and are 4-0 SU/ATS on the road this season  and after watching them take down Colorado state last time out on the road by a 35-21  margin it became clear they are for real. Now the  talented and gritty Falcons crew  take to  the road again and Im betting they wont be intimidated at all here by a Nevada side that did not completely live up to expectations this season and now in a emotional letdown spot, after losing a key heart breaker to San Diego State last week. .

CFB  team (AIR FORCE) - after outrushing opponent by 200 or more yards last game against opponent after being outrushed by 125 or more yards last game are 55-23 ATS L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Air Force to cover 

There is alot of pressure here on the Houston Cougars as a win this week against a dangerous Memphis side and another next week vs UConn and HC Holgernson and company will take on Cincinnati in the AC Conference Championship game. However, Memphis would love to play spoiler here and they do have the offensive weapons to make Houston sweat and to get us the all important cover. Note: Memphis is 5-1 SU/ 6-0 ATS L/6 in this series and must be respected because of their explosiveness and ability to get a upset win or backdoor cover.

Holgorsen is 29-47 ATS vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 58% or better. in all games he has coached since 1992

CFB underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (MEMPHIS) - with 16 total starters returning are a profitable bet going 78-36 ATS L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate.

Play on Memphis to cover 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Florida International to cover 

The Celtics enter this game against the Lakers with a  4-0 ATS record in their last 4 games as a favorite. Celtics are also 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall and offer us an edge at home a short line. 

BOSTON is 4-0 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons.

Lakers are 4-11-1 ATS in their last 16 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.

LA LAKERS are 2-13 ATS in a road game where the total is 210 to 219.5 over the last 2 seasons. LA LAKERS are 5-15 ATS  against Atlantic division opponents over the last 3 seasons.

NBA Home teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (BOSTON) - after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last ten games, in November games are 28-6 L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Celtics to cover 

Charlotte has won 4 straight games while Indiana has lost 2 straight. Ill chase the momentum here and the side playing in top from at home.

INDIANA is 15-27 ATS L/42 versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more  of their attempts over the last 2 seasons. INDIANA is 5-18 ATS ( after playing 2 consecutive road games over the last 2 seasons.

CHARLOTTE is 28-12 ATS   when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) over the last 3 seasons

NBA Home teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (CHARLOTTE) - after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last ten games, in November games are 28-6 L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate. 

NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (CHARLOTTE) - after beating the spread by 24 or more points total in their last three games, first half of the season are 47-17 ATS L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate.

Play on Charlotte to cover 

Toronto has fallen from their previous championship levels but they are still a talented team. Yes, they are in a funk, but correcting their current skid is not going to be problem going forward if they can stay relatively healthy. As for tonights battle against top tier opponent Utah, Im betting they will be competitive  and get us the cover. Note: Raptors are 8-0 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Utah.

Raptors are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Raptors are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Raptors are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games as a road underdog.

Play on the Raptors to cover 

The Atlanta Falcons suffered their worst loss in almost 20 years this past Sunday vs Dallas 43-3 and with that said it must be noted pros do not like to be embarrassed. Remember these NFL rosters are made up  of some of the top athletes in the world, and they own  some of the biggest egos on earth. Im expecting a big effort from the entire Falcons group here at home in this  national broadcast tilt and what Ill peg as redemption night in Georgia. I know New England smashed Cleveland last time out by a 45-7 count , but a repeat performance is unlikely here as is Atlanta having another muted offensive effort. 

Patriots are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.Patriots are 5-11-1 ATS in their last 17 games following a straight up win.Patriots are 4-9-1 ATS in their last 14 games following a ATS win.

ATLANTA is 6-0 ATS  after a game with a turnover margin of -2 or worse over the last 3 seasons.

Atlanta to cover 

The Clippers are in strong current form having  won 8 of their L/9 games overall. Meanwhile, Memphis has been less than consistent and are off snapping a 3 game losing streak. 

From a SRS perspective the Clippers are ranked 4th in the NBA ( 6.57) while the Grizzlies are ranked 22nd ( -2.31). Even with home court advantage, the Clippers according to the data is the superior team even with their injury issues and the Grizzlies playing with a healthy group tonight. 

The Grizzlies took out the the Clippers in Los Angeles on Oct. 23, 120-114 and now with revenge on board for the visitors a return of the favor is a strong possibility. 

LA CLIPPERS are 44-28 ATS  versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more  assists/game over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Favorites vs. the money line (LA CLIPPERS) - an average offensive team (108-114 PPG) against an avg. defensive team (108-114 PPG), after a combined score of 205 points or less 2 straight games are 57-5 L/5 seasons for a 91% conversion rate. 

NBA Home teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (MEMPHIS) - after going over the total by more than 18 points in their previous game against opponent after going under the total by more than 18 points in their previous game are 7-30 L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate.

Play on the LA Clippers to cover

Both these sides to do inspire me, but what does stand out, is that the Wolves are not a side that should be laying points under any circumstances in their current form even at home vs another struggling side. From a SRS perspective - Spurs are ranked 23rd while the Wolves were ranked 24th. Advantage Spurs. 

SRS - Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average

Timberwolves are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win.Timberwolves are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

Spurs are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.

  MINNESOTA is 7-21 ATS as a home favorite over the last 3 seasons. is 9-21 ATS  after failing to cover 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread over the last 3 seasons. MINNESOTA is 9-23 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons. 

NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (MINNESOTA) - poor team - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game against opponent after a loss by 10 points or more are 31-61 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 66% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on San Antonio to cover 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

UC Davis is off a 2-0 start and won on the road against Utah state which is never an easy out. the Aggies going back to last season have won 5 of their L/.6 road games and are according to my early season power rankings the superior side in this matchup vs Pepperdine (-1-2) and off a OT loss. CAL DAVIS is 14-5 ATS  as a road underdog or pick over the last 3 seasons.

PEPPERDINE is 0-6 ATS   in home games after playing 2 consecutive games as favorite over the last 3 seasons.PEPPERDINE is 1-9 ATS  in home games after 3 consecutive non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.

Play on UC Davis to cover 

Houston may not inspire bettors especially after the ugly effort they out out last time on the court in a 136-102 loss to Memphis and their current 12 game losing streak and 1-13 overall record but it must be noted that    their one win came this same Oklahoma City side, and repeat performance is not out of the question. 

HOUSTON is 11-0 ATS  L/11 in road games after a huge blowout loss by 30 or more . 

NBA Road teams (HOUSTON) - after being beaten by the spread by more than 12 points in two consecutive games, in November games are 52-24 ATS L/25 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA Road teams (HOUSTON) - after being beaten by the spread by more than 12 points in two consecutive games, in November games are 31-61 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 66% conversion rate for bettors. 

Take the points with the Rockets 

Boston has started their season shooting the lights out, but this will be their first road game and now I expect regression here against a Rhode Island side that present alot of defensive pressure Note:. BC has also shot a very low charity stripe rate (63.9 %), and as this game goes late, that could easily be a advantage for Rhode Island getting us the cover.

BOSTON COLLEGE is 3-11 ATS  after one or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons.

CBB  team (RHODE ISLAND) - after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite, marginal losing team from last season (40% to 49%) playing a team who had a losing record are 30-5 L/25 seasons for a 86% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +11.8 ppg. 

Play on Rhode Island to cover 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

BYU to cover

These are Two talented teams playing top tier hoops, but home court advantage will be the difference maker here this evening where Brooklyn is 10-4 SU  with the average margin of victory coming by 5 ppg. Brooklyn ha won the two most recent meetings  in this series by big DD deficits. Rinse and repeat at least on the victory front.  BROOKLYN is 9-1 ATS  against Pacific division opponents over the last 2 seasons.  BROOKLYN is 13-1 ATS  after 2 consecutive non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.   

NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (BROOKLYN) - after beating the spread by 24 or more points total in their last three games, first half of the season are 46-16 ATS L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.

 NBA  Home teams (BROOKLYN) - off 2 or more consecutive road wins, in November games are 27-10 ATS L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rare for bettors.

 Play on Brooklyn to cover  

E.Michigan is bowl eligible, but must garner a victory tonight   and beat Northern Illinois next week , as well some other uncontrollable good luck to be able to get a share of the  MAC West title. Needless to say Im betting the Eagles will leave everything on the field today vs a Western Michigan team that gives up alot of big plays in the secondary. 

Eagles are 22-9 ATS in their last 31 games following a straight up loss.

Creighton is 13-4 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) as the coach of E MICHIGAN.  Eagles are 27-12 ATS in their last 39 games as an underdog.

W MICHIGAN is 2-10 ATS vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 58% or better. over the last 3 seasons. W MICHIGAN is 0-6 ATS  after playing 3 straight conference games over the last 2 seasons.W MICHIGAN is 3-12 ATS L/15 as a road favorite of 3.5 to 7 points.  Broncos are 1-7-1 ATS in their last 9 conference games.

Lester is 0-6 ATS vs. good offensive teams - scoring 31 or more points/game as the coach of W MICHIGAN.

CFB Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (E MICHIGAN) - after going over the total by 35 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going over the total by 35 or more points total in their last five games are 38-11 ATS L/29 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.

Underdog is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

Play on Eastern Michigan to cover 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

CBB Home favorites of 10 or more points (UCF) - first 5 games of the season, non-tournament team from last season who won 4+ of their last 5 games, mediocre team from last season that won between 45-55% of their games are 3-25 ATS 29 seasons for a go against 89% conversion rate for bettors. 

JACKSONVILLE is 7-0 ATS  after allowing 60 points or less over the last 2 seasons which was the case last time out. 

Play on Jacksonville to cover 

The Raptors have lost 4 of their L/5 games and in no way should be looked at as contenders . This team does not resemble their championship side, and despite of being competitive are fade material in tonight in this spot play on tired legs as they play their 4th game in 6 nights including their 3rd road game in that period.  In their loss to the Pistons last time exhaustion looked to be a major factor and Im betting that will factor in what Im betting will be loss tonight. Yes, I know the Blazers have also had a brutal schedule, but playing at home where they have won 5 straight tilts will be the difference maker. 

NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (TORONTO) - a poor offensive team (104-108 PPG) against an avg. defensive team (108-114 PPG), after allowing 125 points or more are 3-33 L/25 seasons for a 91% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +13.6 ppg. 

Play on Portland to cover 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Play on  Sacramento 

After a slow start the Suns have exploded into top form and deserve respect here as short road  favs . The Suns have won 8 straight and have covered this offered spread all 8 times. Rinse and repeat vs an inferior opponent according to my power rankings. 

PHOENIX is 7-0 ATS in November games this season.  PHOENIX is 8-0 ATS  in road games after successfully covering the spread in 5 or more consecutive games over the last 3 seasons.

MINNESOTA is 9-23 ATS  against Pacific division opponents over the last 3 seasons. Finch is 0-8 ATS  versus teams who average 9 or more steals/game on the season as the coach of MINNESOTA.

NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (MINNESOTA) - after being beaten by the spread by 42 or more points total in their last seven games, a bad team, winning 25% to 40% of their games on the season are 5-22 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 82% conversion rate for bettors.

Road favorites vs. the money line (PHOENIX) - after successfully covering the spread in 7 or more consecutive games, tired team - playing 8 or more games in 14 days are 27-1 L/25 seasons for a 97% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +12.3 ppg which qualifies on this ATS line. 

Play on Phoenix to cover 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Furman has won their first two games of the season including a win vs Lousiville.The Paladins also snapped the Cardinals' 59-game winning streak in November home games, including a 46-0 mark in the KFC Yum! Center and must be respected here as underdogs.

Play on Furman 

The Wizards enter this game in top form as is evident by their current 4 game win streak including victories in 7 of their L/9 trips to the court. Meanwhile, the Pelicans ended a 9 game losing streak last time out vs Memphis last time out as underdogs. With said, I expect the Wizards will not overlook tonights opposition after seeing what they did to the sleeping Grizzlies last time out and will be very prepared to take down their opponents here even though their big star Bradley Beal is out. 

NEW ORLEANS is 9-27 ATS L/36 in road games off a win by 10 points or more as an underdog.NEW ORLEANS is 3-14 ATS in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing 108 or less  points/game over the last 3 seasons. 

WASHINGTON is 10-1 ATS  after having won 4 of their last 5 games over the last 2 seasons. WASHINGTON is 15-2 ATS   after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (WASHINGTON) - an average offensive team (108-114 PPG) against an avg. defensive team (108-114 PPG), after a combined score of 205 points or less 2 straight games are 37-3 L/5 seasons for a 93% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +12.5 ppg. 

Play on Washington to cover 

NBA Favorites vs. the money line (WASHINGTON) - an average offensive team (108-114 PPG) against an avg. defensive team (108-114 PPG), after 2 straight games where both teams scored 105 points or less are 25-1 L/25 seasons for a 96% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +11.3 ppg. 

Cleveland is operating at a very high level and have won 6 of their L/7 games and from a a betting perspective are 10-1-1 ATS L/12 as they are being consistently under rated by the lines-makers. I know Boston has revenge on board for a home loss to Cleveland a couple of days ago (91-89). But  in the words of Mick Jagger of the Rolling Stones you don't always get what they want. With that said, Ill take the points with the the upstart side.

BOSTON is 9-20 ATS revenging a same season loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons. BOSTON is 7-17 ATS  revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite over the last 2 seasons. 

CLEVELAND is 8-1 ATS after a game where they covered the spread this season.CLEVELAND is 8-1 ATS  versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 or less free throws/game this season. Bickerstaff is 15-4 ATS   in home games after having won 3 of their last 4 games in all games he has coached. 

NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (BOSTON) - after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last seven games against opponent after going under the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games are 10-32 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors. 

 NBA Home teams vs. the money line (CLEVELAND) - after allowing 105 points or less 2 straight games against opponent after a combined score of 185 points or less are 43-13 L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors.

Road teams vs. the money line (BOSTON) - after a combined score of 185 points or less against opponent after a combined score of 195 points or less are 10-36 L/5 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Cleveland to cover 

Sacramento has lost 4 straight games and nothing is coming easy for them at this time, so their status as Road chalk here at this offering is dubious even against the Pistons, who incidentally have won 2 of their L/3 and have been competitive in 4 straight games with one loss coming to top tier Brooklyn by just 6 points. Advantage resides with a Pistons side that has cashed 3 of the L/4 meetings in this series  overall. 

Kings are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games as a road favorite.Kings are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall

SACRAMENTO is 4-14 ATS  after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons. 
 SACRAMENTO is 7-20 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games over the last 3 seasons.

Play on Detroit to cover 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Play on  st. thomas

Denver is heating up and have won 4 straight games, and are now playing optimally making them viable favs here vs a inconsistent Portland side that is now playing their  4th straight road game on tired legs . The exhaustion from their current away trek and the difficulties of playing on the Mile high City makes the Blazers vulnerable . Denver is 6-1 at home this season, with the average margin of victory coming by an average of 7.9 ppg. My projections make this a +8 or more victory for the Nuggets giving us value with this line. 

Trail Blazers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog.Trail Blazers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Trail Blazers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record

Favorites vs. the money line (DENVER) - after allowing 105 points or less 4 straight games against opponent after allowing 95 points or less are 32-4 L/5 seasons for a 89% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +10.9 ppg which qualifies on the ATS line.

Play on Denver to cover 

The Broncos have won  2 straight games including a big upset on the road against the Dallas Cowboys last week.  Last weeks victory ended a 5 game streak where they lost they stats battle so Im not that impressed by the  surprising win, as their over all work must be considered.

I know Philadelphia may not inspire bettors but QB Jalen Hurts continues to improve, and hes a handful for most defenses, and according to my rankings he matches up well here and should have a good day as a dual threat pivot. Im betting Hurts will be the difference maker today. 

Denver  has failed to cover 16 of their  24 games   as a home favorite in tilts after winning straight-up as a dog, including 1-10-1 ATS  if they are off back to back SUATS wins. DENVER is 17-38 ATS L/55 in home games off a non-conference game. 

NFL team vs the money line (PHILADELPHIA) - mistake-free team 1.25  or less TO/game committed) against a team with 1.25 or less TO/game forced, after 4 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers are 46-14 SU L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors.

NFL Road underdogs or pick (PHILADELPHIA) - mistake-free team (1.25 or less TO/G committed) vs a team with 1.25 or less TO/G forced after 8+ games, after a game where they committed no turnovers are 23-4 ATS L/39 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Eagles to cover 

The  Buffalo Bills lost in shocking fashion to the Jacksonville Jaguars last time out with a bizarre 9-6 score attached to it.  Buffalo is now 0-3 ATS this season as  double-digit road favorites. I know many expect, the now inconsistent Bills to come out here spitting bullets ,as they look for a quick redemption result, but laying almost two TDs in a divisional road game seems a bit much in my opinion.  Especially  with NYJ incumbent QB Mike White under center. With that said,   the Jets will not easy targets and get my support here getting points as a home dog.    

Jets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home underdog.Jets are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.Jets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.Jets are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

NFL Road favorites (BUFFALO) - with a good first half defense - 7 or less points per game, after allowing 14 points or less last game are 8-30 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors.

NFL Favorites of 10.5 or more points (BUFFALO) - after allowing 5.5 or less passing yards/attempt in 2 straight games against opponent after gaining 7 or more passing yards/attempt last game are 8-29 ATS L/38 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors. 

Underdog is 9-3 ATS in their last 12 meetings.

Play on the NY Jets to cover 

RB Adrian Peterson who has lots of miles on him is now the Titans No.1 running back  as  Tennessee’ has to move forward without  the injured  Derrick Henry for at least the rest of the regular season  . That will be a difficult transition for a offense that leans hard on Henry to move the chains. Yes, I know the Titans have played smash mouth football of late against top tier competition, but that kind of action takes a toll on a team, and now this week against the Saints Im betting we see some exhaustion play a part in making the Titans vulnerable home favs. Note: NFL teams like Tennessee off 4 straight underdog wins have covered just 1 of their L/7 opportunities as favs in their followup tilt.  TENNESSEE is also just 3-15 ATS  off an upset win by 10 or more as a road underdog which was the case after a DD win vs the Rams last week. 

NEW ORLEANS is 8-0 ATS   in road games versus good offensive teams - averaging 350 or more  yards/game over the last 3 seasons. NEW ORLEANS is 8-1 ATS   as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.

NFL Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (TENNESSEE) - after scoring 25 points or more in 2 straight games against opponent after a playing a game where 50 total points or more were scored are 28-62 ATS L/38 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on New Orleans to cover 

 The Seminoles were fourth in the nation in defensive turnover rate last season (32.5%) while  the Gators  ranked  57th   (21.2%) in turnover rate.In a closely contested affair this key analytic will be the difference maker. Florida State is the bigger team overall so Im betting  they will  wreak alot of havoc and pressure the Gators into mistakes giving them the edge. Florida State  has won and covered in five straight meetings vs Florida and nothing changes today. Gators are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 home games.

White is 19-31 ATS as an underdog as the coach of FLORIDA.

Hamilton is 82-63 ATS  when the line is +3 to -3 as the coach of FLORIDA ST.

Play on FSU to cover 

Ivy League member Yale exhibits a strong  very deep group that must be respected behind seniors Azar Swain and Jalen Gibbidon. Yale can score and bunches and will not be easily intimidated because of their experience. Meanwhile.Seton Hall could be without key component  Jared Rhoden ( ankle injury) and if he plays he will be less than 100%  or see limited time.  Advantage Yale .

Pirates are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 home games.

 YALE is 13-2 ATS   after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.Bulldogs are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog.Bulldogs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a road underdogBulldogs are 14-5 ATS in their last 19 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

Play on. Yale to cover

Texas brings in a deep experienced  group that will not easily be intimidated by their super star opponents Gonzaga. Chris Beard the new HC for the Longhorns is every bit the coach that Mark Few is and Im expecting the better chess master (Beard ) to have the edge. Talent wise Gonzaga racks up as the best in the nation, but we must not under rate the group after Beard smashed and grabbed his way into via the transfer portal by brining in former Minnesota Gopher, Marcus Carr, and Dylan Disu from Vanderbilt, Tre Mitchell ( UMass) ,  and Timmy Allen ( Utah),  and Christian Bishop from Creighton . Wow. What a group and Beard just didnt go out and get scorers he wanted a cohesive group and that was evident in game 1 . Texas chemistry may shock some and in the end their No.5 ranking maybe short lived to the upside.)

Take the points with Texas to cover 

This is long way to go for Mississippi State traveling  east to west to play in an extremely unfriendly environment  that has a good fan base @ California Baptist. In their opener the Delta Devils were blasted and lost  to St.John's 119-61 (+58 diff) and another beat down Im betting is on Saturday nights agenda by a Lancers team that must be respected as one of the better teams in the WAC. 

CBB Road underdogs of 20 or more points (MISS VALLEY ST) - poor team from last season - outscored by opponents by 4 or more points/game, after a combined score of 175 points or more are 10-35 ATS L/24 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors.

California Baptist to cover 

The Celtics are off a big win in OT last night vs Milwaukee. With that said, Im now betting on them being in an emotional and physical letdown spot as they play back to back nights on very tired legs. Thats a good omen for a Cavaliers  cover with what has recently been a hard working Cleveland Cavaliers side with a never say die attitude. The Cavaliers  have also been  consistently under rated by the lines-makers, as is evident by the following trends.Cavaliers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog and are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games and longer term are  10-1 ATS in their last 11 games overall.

Celtics are 2-6-1 ATS in the last 9 meetings in Cleveland.

NBA Home teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (CLEVELAND) - after beating the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games, first half of the season are 65-24 L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate. 

Take the points with Cleveland 

Wake Forest  explosive offense  Im betting will really be aggressive and  attack the Wolpacks  D which has  allowed over 400 yards in three of its last five games. Advantage Wake Forest. 

WAKE FOREST is 6-0 ATS  in home games after a playing a game where 60 total points or more were scored over the last 3 seasons.

NC STATE is 1-10 ATS  versus good offensive teams - averaging 425 or more yards/game over the last 3 seasons.

CFB home team (WAKE FOREST) - after gaining 6.75 or more yards/play in 2 consecutive games, game between two teams with 8 or more defensive starters returning are 39-11 ATS L/10 seasons for a 78% conversion rate. 

CFB Home favorites vs. the money line (WAKE FOREST) - after having won 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games against opponent after having won 6 or 7 out of their last 8 games are 37-2 L/10 seasons for a 95% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Wake Forest to cover 

Rested Virginia was on a 4 game win streak before being derailed last time out  in a back and forth offensive slugfest but now Im betting on a bounce back effort vs Notre Dame.

NOTRE DAME is 8-26 ATS after covering the spread in 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games since 1992.

Virginia is 16-3 ATS vs .800 or better opposition. Virginia is 5-1 ATS L/6 off a bye. 

VIRGINIA is 8-1 ATS  in home games in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. VIRGINIA is 9-1 ATS in home games when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons. Mendenhall is 7-0 ATS in home games after scoring 42 points or more last game as the coach of VIRGINIA which was the case vs BYU in a 49-66 loss. 

CFB  home team (VIRGINIA) - excellent offensive team (440 or more YPG) against a team with an average defense (330 to 390 YPG), after gaining 7.25 or more yards/play in 2 consecutive games are 70-36 ATS L/29 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Virginia to cover 

The Wizards are beginning to play at a top tier level, while Orlando continues to have consistency issues thanks to what my own observations is a lack of chemistry sprinkled in with bad coaching decisions. I know Bradley Beal will be out tonight for the Wizards but they are still capable road chalk here at anything under -5.

WASHINGTON is 15-2 ATS  after having won 3 of their last 4 games over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Favorites of -165 to -500 vs. the money line (WASHINGTON) - an average offensive team (108-114 PPG) against an avg. defensive team (108-114 PPG), after a combined score of 205 points or less 2 straight games are 35-2 L/25 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking at +11.5 ppg which qualifies on this ATS line. 

NBA Favorites vs. the money line (WASHINGTON) - an average offensive team (108-114 PPG) against an avg. defensive team (108-114 PPG), after 2 straight games where both teams scored 105 points or less are 24-1 L/25 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at +11.3 ppg which qualifies on this ATS line. 

Play on Washington to cover 

The Sixers are on a 3 game losing streak and are without their top player Joel Embiid (Covid) and are vulnerable again to suffering a 4th straight defeat. Meanwhile, Indiana is starting to ramp up and are playing decent ball at the moment as they come off a win vs the Utah Jazz by a 111-100 count as DD underdogs. INDIANA is 17-4 ATS l/21  off a double digit win as a road underdog of 6 more points. 

Pacers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Pacers are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

76ers are 7-22-1 ATS in their last 30 games as a road underdog.76ers are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog.

Play on Indiana to cover 

Evansvilles deliberate  style of hoops  is not suited  to deal with one of the faster spaced teams in the nation Belmont who are off a loss vs a good looking Ohio program and now frothing at the mouth to get back in the win column here at home where they play their best basketball are viable options here laying points. BELMONT is 8-0 ATS  in home games after a game where they failed to cover the spread over the last 3 seasons with the average ppg diff +28.3 ppg. 

Belmont to cover

Saskatchewan barely got by Edmonton when they played last week here in Alberta 19-17  and Im betting on another closely contested battle again.

CFL Home teams vs. the money line (EDMONTON) - after 6 or more consecutive straight up losses, in weeks 10 through 15 are 21-4 L/25 seasons for a 85% conversion rate. 

CFL Home underdogs or pick (EDMONTON) - average passing team (245-290 PY/G) against an average passing defense (245-290 PY/G) after 9+ games. are 37-13 ATS L/25 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors,

Play on Edmonton to cover

Lamar is a defensive minded side that plays very physically, and Im betting they lean on that type of hoops here against MAC side that has plenty of experience, and offense, but could be considered soft under glass and on the rim. 

Cardinals are 7-1 ATS L/8 overall and have covered 4 of their L/5 vs a above .500 opponent. 

Miami O in the one opportunity they had at covering a 12.5 or more spread last season failed. 

CBB    Home favorites of 10 or more points (MIAMI OHIO) - team from a mid-major division 1-A conference against a team from a weak conference, off an upset win as an underdog are 4-24 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 86% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Lamar to cover

Sooners’ are over rated and the pollsters know it , but the lines makers don't seem to because of their lengthy win streak keep propping them up which is great for sharp money but not so much so for the diehard fans who back the Sooners no matter what .  Yes the Sooners have found ways to win this season but are 0-6 ATS with HC Lincoln Riley at the helm as conference road favorites.  Nothing seems to be coming easily for the Oklahoma and that will continue here vs a side in Baylor that is playing in revenge mode for a loss last year in this series.   The Bears are 20-5 SUATS at home in Waco the last 10 seasons against opposition  coming off a victory including 8-0 ATS as an under dog.  BAYLOR is 8-0 ATS  vs. very good offensive teams - scoring 34 or more points/game over the last 3 seasons.

CFB home team (BAYLOR) - good rushing team (190-230 RY/game) against an average rushing team (140-190 RY/game) after 7+ games, after allowing 100 or less rushing yards last game are 23-3 ATS L/5 seasons for a 89% conversion rate. 

Play on the Baylor Bears to cover 

 ECU allows 24 ppg to Memphis' 29.1 and more than 400 yards a game so the better defense rests with the Pirates. The Pirates have only failed to  cover 2 of their 9 games  ATS this season to rank 6th-best in the nation at covering the spread and once again according to my power rankings matchup very well here vs the Memphis . Look for E.Carolina to lean on their D, here and to pound the ball on the ground alot more to slow the flow of their explosive opponents.E CAROLINA is 11-2 ATS vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 58% or better. over the last 3 seasons.

CFB road team (E CAROLINA) - after allowing 175 or less total yards in their previous game, with an experienced QB vs. opponent with inexperienced QB are 107-53 ATS L/29 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on E.Carolina to cover 

UCF is playing decent ball of late and have 3 straight and 4 of their L/5 with the only loss coming to undefeated Cincinnati. With that said, the UCF is more than capable hanging around here vs a SMU side that has lost two straight while giving up 400 plus yards in those tilts defensively. Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (UCF) - after going under the total by more than 21 points in their previous game, in the second half of the season are 36-13 ATS L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.UCF is 8-1 straight up against SMU since 1992.

CFB road team vs. the money line (UCF) - after allowing 14 points or less in 3 straight games against opponent after a loss by 6 or less points is 33-6 L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate.

Play on UCF to cover 

The Temple  Owls look to just be going through the motions as it looks like they threw the towel in on their season a while, back and that has  been evident over their L/4 games where they have  been outscored, 180-27. With that said, Im betting Houston laying down abeatdown of mammoth proportions here today against a team that will probably just lie down for them.Houston is ranked 10th in the nation, averaging 39.1 points per game and Im betting they breach that number here in this spot. 

TEMPLE is 0-6 ATS off a road loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at -34 ppg. 

CFB Home underdogs of 14.5 or more points (TEMPLE) - after failing to cover the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games, in November games are 27-62 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors.

CFB Favorites of 21.5 to 31 points (HOUSTON) - after scoring 35 points or more in a win over a conference rival against opponent off a loss by 10 points or more to a conference rival are 60-28 ATS L/29 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Houston to cover 

Villanova is the most experienced team in the nation, and despite of UCLA making a great run last season still did not get into the big dance. Yes, the Bruins are playing at home, but the Big Cats will not be intimidated and when they are in a groove the treys will rain down here in dry Southern California by the bucketload. There is just to much overall depth on the Villanova side of the court not to take the points in a game they could easily win outright. Wildcats are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog. 

 The Idaho State  Bengals are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 road games and are off a nice win in their opener while Pepperdine did not look good against Rice in a opening loss that saw them shoot just 35.4% in FG conversion rate while being out rebounded and out assisted. 

The key here will be work around the rim and the glass where Idaho State has suddenly become  tenacious over the last couple of seasons under HC  Ryan Looney as is evident by   the numbers that show the Bengals out rebounded opponents 36.1-29.9 last season. In the 2019-20 season the Bengals out rebounded teams 32.9-32.1. In the season opener vs. Eastern Oregon, the Bengals won the rebounding battle, 35-28.

Home favorites of 10 to 19.5 points (PEPPERDINE) - first 5 games of the season, non-tournament team from last season who won 4+ of their last 5 games, mediocre team from last season that won between 45-55% of their games are. 3-25 ATS L/24 seasons for a go against 89% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Idaho state to cover 

The Mavs despite of having talent are an inconsistent team. Luka Ducic is an incredibly talented player but the group around him are not 100% in vibe with this young superstar so thats why the uneven efforts especially from a betting perspective .   Mavericks are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games and  are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.DALLAS is 4-16 ATS   when playing against a struggling  team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) over the last 2 seasons.  I know the Mavericks have taken the season's first two games in the Lone Star State rivalry, winning 104-99 as hosts on Oct. 28 and 109-108 on the road just six days later, but after watching both tilts is become obvious this is a coin flip  affair, making getting points golden in my humble betting opinion with the home dog . 

Spurs are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

SAN ANTONIO is 10-1 ATS   when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days over the last 2 seasons

NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (SAN ANTONIO) - after beating the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games, first half of the season are 63-23 ATS over the L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on San Antonio to cover 

Sacramento has lost 5 of their L/7 games and 3 straight  while their hosts the Thunder have won 3 straight and are currently in top form and have covered 6 of their L/7 and now show value as home dogs. Note: Kings are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games as a road favorite.  SACRAMENTO is also 4-13 ATS after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.

Thunder are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog.

Thunder are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record. 

NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (SACRAMENTO) - after going over the total by more than 24 points in their previous game, with a losing record are 20-47 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Oklahoma City to cover

Alabama basketball started its season on a strong note, blowing out Louisiana Tech 93-64 Tuesday night inside Coleman Coliseum. Meanwhile, South Dakota State opened its season by beating Bradley 81-65 on Tuesday.  Last season, SDSU recorded its seventh regular-season Summit League title in the last nine years. The Jacks return all five starters and 10 letter winners from a season ago, including 99.3% of their minutes and 99.7% of their points. Despite of this they go against a Alabama group despite of a core of new players are as talented as anyone in the league thanks to top tier recruiting and transfers. The Crimson Tide are fully invested in the analytics-driven theory that three-point shooting will be the difference maker for their championship objectives, and that according to my projections gives them an edge as the game progresses. Crimson Tide are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games as a home favorite.

ALABAMA is 10-2 ATS  when the total is 160 to 169.5 over the last 3 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at 14.4 ppg.

CBB Road underdogs of +375 or higher vs. the money line (S DAKOTA ST) - after leading in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half against opponent after scoring 85 points or more are 9-177 SU L/24 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at -18.5 ppg. 

CBB Home favorites of 10 to 19.5 points (ALABAMA) - team from a major division 1-A conference against a team from a mid-major division 1-A conference, off a home win scoring 85 or more points are 215-138 ATS L/24 seasons for a 61% conversion rate for bettors.

This the Bucks 4th straight road game against quality opposition and now Im betting they may exhibit exhaustion as the game progresses giving an edge to the home side. Meanwhile, Boston has been very competitive lately going 3-0-1 ATS L/4 overall. BOSTON is 5-0 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons and Im recommending we take the points with the Celtics here. 

MILWAUKEE is 7-23 ATS  after 3 straight games out-rebounding opponent by 5 or more over the last 3 seasons.

NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (BOSTON) - after beating the spread by 24 or more points total in their last three games, first half of the season are 45-16 ATS L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (MILWAUKEE) - after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last seven games against opponent after going under the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games are 10-36 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Boston to cover 

USF will be very motivated to be ready to extend their 6-0 ATS L/6 mark in this series vs  undefeated Cincinnati. Bearcats are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 meetings in South Florida. Its a ugly kind of clothes pin to the nose type selection, but this is easily the Bulls biggest game of the season considering that will not go bowling. Im betting they leave everything on the filed here while the Bearcats begin to feel the pressure of maintaining a  undefeated season. 

Bearcats are 1-5 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.Bearcats are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.

Bulls are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a home underdog.Bulls are 6-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

Play on South Florida to cover 

 The Huskies were voted 11th in the Pac-12 Preseason Poll after a 5-21 season including a 4-16 mark in conference play and Im betting things dont get much better this season. Even here vs a lower tier opponents laying this many points is not a recipe for success for their betting backers. 

N ARIZONA is 6-0 ATS  in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.Lumberjacks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.

Lumberjacks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record and  are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record as well as  going 9-3 ATS in their last 12 road games.Lumberjacks are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 games following a straight up loss which was the case in their opener.Lumberjacks are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as a road underdog.

WASHINGTON is 6-23 ATS when the total is 130 to 139.5 over the last 3 seasons.Huskies are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games as a favorite.

Play on Northern Arizona to cover 

The Indiana Pacers struggled in the high altitudes of  Denver against the  Nuggets  despite of not having their  reigning NBA Most Valuable Player Nikola Jokic  in the lineup, missing a 3-point attempt in the final second and losing 101-98. Now Im betting on the Pacers being competitive again and getting us the all important cover. Pacers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

Pacers are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

Pacers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 0 days rest.

Pacers are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog.

INDIANA is 12-3 ATS  in road games when playing 8 or more games in 14 days over the last 2 seasons. INDIANA is 13-4 ATS  in road games in non-conference games over the last 2 season.

Carlisle is 33-16 ATS versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 13 or less  turnovers/game as the coach of INDIANA.

NBA  team vs the money line (INDIANA) - in a game involving two average offensive teams (108-114 PPG), after scoring 48 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games are 41-21 L/25 seasons for a 65% conversion rate  which qualifies ATS. 

NBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (INDIANA) - after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last ten games, a bad team, winning 25% to 40% of their games on the season are 38-13 ATS L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate. 

Play on Indiana to cover