All Sports Archive | |||||||
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
12-02-23 | Cal-Irvine +6 v. Utah State | 69-79 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 21 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. . Sprinkle is 1-10 ATS after 3 straight games where opponent grabbed 31 or less rebounds in all games he has coached since 1997. Turner in his teams last 33 games as a road underdog of 3.5 to 6 points as the coach of UC-IRVINE has seen average ppg diff of -1.4 ppg.UC-IRVINE is 9-1 ATS versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons. Play on UC Irvine to cover |
|||||||
12-02-23 | Pacers +3.5 v. Heat | 144-129 | Win | 100 | 11 h 20 m | Show | |
Miami took the first game of this back to back series by a 142-132 count, but Im betting they wont come out of this one so easily vs this run and gun Pacers side. That was a big output for the Heat and now regression is expected. However, the Pacers offense never seems to slow down as they are the highest scoring team in the NBA. Advantage Pacers.
NBA Road underdogs (INDIANA) - after a combined score of 235 points or more against opponent after a combined score of 265 points or more are 24-5 ATS L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home favorites (MIAMI) - after a combined score of 255 points or more against opponent after a combined score of 235 points or more are 19-54 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Indiana to cover |
|||||||
12-02-23 | Michigan v. Iowa +22.5 | 26-0 | Loss | -115 | 36 h 15 m | Show | |
This is biggest spread in the history of the Big 10 Championship game. This behemoth line is what we get to bet in here with Iowa . Considering Big 10 chalk has failed to cover 8 of the L/12 events , it becomes obvious they we may have some top tier value with a team with a top tier D, playing at home. It thus must be noted that HC Harbaugh vs top tier Ds, who are .800 or better opposition allowing less than 12.5 PPG, is just 1-5 ATS as a big chalk fav of -18 plus points. After taking on the Buckeyes last week in a close win Im not sure Michigan will be 100% after that physical game and could also be in an emotional letdown state at the worst possible time. Im not saying the Hawkeyes will win, but covering is definitely a strong possibility here.Ferentz is in 32 vs. incredible offensive teams - scoring 37 or more points/game as the coach of IOWA has seen a average ppg diff of - 3 ppg. Play on Iowa to cover |
|||||||
12-02-23 | Magic +2.5 v. Nets | 101-129 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 31 m | Show | |
Orlando is on a roll having won 10 straight games, and have the young legs and ambition not to let up here in Brooklyn tonight. Yes, the Magic played last night in a 130-125 win last night but they are one of the NBAs best conditioned teams and deserve respect here as underdogs. Note: ORLANDO is 13-2 ATS after a win by 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons. ORLANDO is 13-4 ATS in all games this season.ORLANDO is 10-1 ATS after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons. BROOKLYN is 23-44 ATS as a home favorite over the last 3 seasons. NBA Home teams (BROOKLYN) - bad pressure defensive team - forcing 12 or less turnovers/game, in December games are 3-24 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 89% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams vs. the money line (ORLANDO) - revenging a road loss vs opponent against opponent off a close home loss by 3 points or less are 22-10 L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate. Play on Orlando to cover |
|||||||
12-02-23 | SMU v. Tulane -3.5 | 26-14 | Loss | -105 | 52 h 22 m | Show | |
Statistical analysis based on recent performances might make these teams seem closely matched. But from an empirical view point home field advantage and what my power rankings suggest is the more talented side, laying this little lumber makes for a viable wagering opportunity with a team that has been ranked top 25 for much of this season. Add to that SMU QB SMU's star quarterback, Preston Stone, broke his fibula in last week's battle with Navy. The Mustangs will now turn to redshirt freshman Kevin Jennings who despite of being talented is just not as prolific as Stone. Tulane is 9-0 ATS L/9 as a favorite of 7 points or less. SMU is 0-7 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons. SMU is 0-7 ATS in road games vs. excellent passing teams with a completion pct. of 62% or better over the last 3 seasons. SMU is 0-8 ATS L/8 in road games after scoring 31 points or more in 5 straight games. Road underdogs (SMU) - excellent offensive team (6.2 or more YPP) against an average defense (4.8 to 5.6 YPP) after 7+ games, after gaining 450 or more total yards in 3 consecutive games are 12-35 ATS L/31 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Tulane to cover |
|||||||
12-02-23 | Georgia -4.5 v. Alabama | 24-27 | Loss | -110 | 34 h 40 m | Show | |
SEC Championship Game - Mercedes-Benz Stadium - Atlanta, GA Im doing the unthinkable and taking Georgia a program that has won 29 straight games to take out Nick Sabans Alabama this week and more importantly to cover. My power rankings suggest the Bulldogs are the best team in the country, and despite of Alabama looking good down the stretch, did not look like one of HC Sabans more cohesive or even talented groups that he has mentored in his long coaching career. That was most evident to me in the Tides loss to Texas , a side that is of the top tier variety, but not in the same spectrum as Georgia. Key : No opponent reached 150 rushing yards against Georgia the past three seasons and no opponent has scored more than 23 points total against the Bulldogs. Bottom line: This is by far the best defense Alabama has faced this season .On the flipside the Bulldogs get to crack open the gaps behind RB K Milton vs a Tide side that has given up more than 200 yards rushing in two of the last four games. Milton has rushed for 349 yards on 41 carries and 5 touchdowns the last three games with an 8.5 yards per carry average. Saban is 7-20 ATS vs. mistake free teams - 42 or less penalty yards per game as the coach of ALABAMA.Saban is 9-18 ATSL/27 in road games versus excellent offensive teams - averaging 450 or more yards/game as the coach of ALABAMA GEORGIA is 6-0 ATS on a neutral field where the total is between 49.5 and 56 over the last 3 seasons. Play on Georgia to cover |
|||||||
12-02-23 | Boise State v. UNLV +2.5 | 44-20 | Loss | -104 | 34 h 9 m | Show | |
UNLV Runnin’ Rebels host the Boise State Cowboys this afternoon are playing at home . The Rebels have the better record which sets up a nice trend to continue as coach Odom is 12-1 SU at home in his career in games in where his side owns the better win percentage on the season, which UNLV does. On the season UNLV is a perfect 5-0 ATS in the underdog role. Yes, I know Boise State has won 3 straight but that kind of run has not historically been kind to them as they are 3-6 L/9 SU off a .3 or more game SU/ATS positive run. CFB Road favorites (BOISE ST) - excellent offensive team (6.2 or more YPP) against a team with a poor defense (5.6 to 6.2 YPP), after gaining 6.25 or more yards/play in 2 consecutive games are 43-86 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on UNLV to cover |
|||||||
12-02-23 | Detroit +11.5 v. Cleveland State | 58-69 | Win | 100 | 4 h 48 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. . Detroit to cover |
|||||||
12-02-23 | Marquette v. Wisconsin +3.5 | 64-75 | Win | 100 | 3 h 22 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Two experienced sides, in a game my projections estimate will be a close back and forth affair. Wisconsin has not faced the same competition as Marquette, but playing at home here gives them an edge on this line. Last year Wisconsin won by a 80-77 count and here as hosts I wont be surprised if there is a similar outcome. WISCONSIN is 11-3 ATS vs. top caliber teams - outscoring their opponents by 12+ points/game over the last 3 season WISCONSIN is 12-3 ATS when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 80% or better ) over the last 3 seasons. Play on Wisconsin to cover Play on Wisconsin to cover |
|||||||
12-01-23 | Nuggets -2 v. Suns | 119-111 | Win | 100 | 13 h 37 m | Show | |
The Nuggets are expected to be almost fully healthy tonight as Jokic , and Murray are expected to play . The Nuggets have dominated their opposition when healthy and are 7-1 when Murray plays. I know the suns have played well, but are just 1-8 ATS versus good shooting teams like Denver - making 46% or more of their shots this season. The Suns couldn't stop the Nuggets in last years play offs and Im betting nothing changes today. Play on Nuggets to cover |
|||||||
12-01-23 | Connecticut v. Kansas -2.5 | 65-69 | Win | 100 | 12 h 14 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. This will be a back and forth event , but home court advantage is in play here. Kansas enters Friday’s matchup averaging 81.3 points per game with a plus-16.6 scoring margin. Kansas and UConn are meeting for the fourth time in a battle of two big brand programs. Kansas has won all three previous meetings with the most recent matchup coming in the second round of the 2016 NCAA Tournament, a KU 73-61 win in Des Moines, Iowa. Im betting History will repeat itself. Hurley is 4-13 ATS as a road underdog of 3 points or less or pick in all games he has coached since 1997. Play on Kansas to cover |
|||||||
12-01-23 | Purdue v. Northwestern +5.5 | 88-92 | Win | 100 | 11 h 48 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Purdue didn't lose very often last season, but all five of its regular season losses came inside Big Ten action so their not immune to a down performance. Purdue went up to Northwestern as the #1 team in the country and Northwestern pulled off the 64-58 upset. While revenge will be a motivating factor their also the issue of Northwestern knowing what it takes to beat Purdue.
Zach Edey is still at Purdue. Im betting they battle to the end again and getting the points remain golden. NORTHWESTERN is 11-2 ATS versus excellent teams - shooting 45% or more with a defense of 42% or less over the last 2 seasons. PURDUE is 1-10 ATS in December games over the last 3 seasons.PURDUE is 3-11 ATS as a road favorite or pick over the last 3 seasons. Painter is 1-8 ATS in road games after 3 straight games outrebounding opponent by 10 or more as the coach of PURDUE. Play on Northwestern to cover |
|||||||
12-01-23 | Wizards +11.5 v. Magic | 125-130 | Win | 100 | 4 h 48 m | Show | |
Orlando took out Washington by a 139 -120 count in the first of these back to back games in this series, but I saw enough in the first game to believe that the Wizards can be more competitive in rebound mode. NBA team (WASHINGTON) - after a blowout loss by 15 points or more against opponent after 2 straight games where both teams scored 115 points or more are 55-18 L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Wizards to cover |
|||||||
11-30-23 | Creighton v. Oklahoma State +8 | 79-65 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 30 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. We are getting value with the underdog here based on the fact that OSU has played the last three-and-half games without their most consistent offesnive threat – senior guard Bryce Thompson (14.3 ppg, 6/12 3pt) – but other weapons have emerged in his absence and they must not be disregarded as viable underdogs here at home.OSU has scored 90+ points in back-to-back games for the first time under Boynton and have the capabilities to had here as pups. OKLAHOMA ST is 31-8 ATS L/39 in home games after 4 straight games committing 14 or less turnovers. McDermott is 27-46 ATS in road games versus excellent ball handling teams - committing 12 or less turnovers/game as the coach of CREIGHTON. Play on Oklahoma state to cover |
|||||||
11-30-23 | Seahawks +9.5 v. Cowboys | 35-41 | Win | 100 | 26 h 26 m | Show | |
Because Dallas has been top form of late, and also because they are Americas team they are being over rated here vs the Seattle Seahawks a side that has won 3 of the L/4 meetings vs the Boyz including 4 straight covers. I know Seattle has not performed optimally of late, and lost their last two games both as pups but it must be noted Seahawks teams are 10-0 ATS L/10 when losing consecutive tilts as underdogs. Carroll is 20-5 ATS after 2 or more consecutive losses as the coach of SEATTLE. Carroll is 20-10 ATS against NFC East division opponents as the coach of SEATTLE. DALLAS is 17-38 ATS L/55 after covering the spread in 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games. NFL Favorites (DALLAS) - with a good offense - averaging 335 or more total yards/game, after gaining 450 or more total yards/game over their last 3 games are 12-32 ATS L/5 seasons for. a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Seattle to cover |
|||||||
11-30-23 | Fairleigh Dickinson +11.5 v. Fordham | 52-80 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 46 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. CBB team (FARLEIGH DICKINSON) - good 3PT shooting team (36.5% or better ) against a poor 3PT shooting team (32% or less), after 3 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 47% or higher are 12-41 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Fairleigh Dickinson to cover |
|||||||
11-30-23 | Liberty +8 v. Florida Atlantic | 58-83 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 10 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. FAU is a top ranked team, but this balanced Liberty side is being highly underestimated in their abilities to hang here, vs FAU as Kenpom ranks them 39th in the country.Unbeaten Liberty received seven votes in this week's AP Poll, the second straight week the Flames have received seven votes. Im betting Liberty's slow tempe will pull FAU out of their flow and make this a grinding game that favors the visitors. LIBERTY is 21-8 ATS L/29 after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games . CBB Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (LIBERTY) - in a game involving two good defensive teams (40-42.5%), dominant rebounding team (+6 or more reb/game) against an average rebounding team (+/-3 reb/game) are 38-14 ATS L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Liberty to cover |
|||||||
11-29-23 | Virginia Tech +10 v. Auburn | 57-74 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 17 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. The Hokies only hit 20-60 (33.3%) against No. 19 Florida Atlantic last time out and were just 2-17 (11.8%) from long range. • In Mike Young’s 131 games as Tech’s head coach, the Hokies have shot 35% or worse just nine times. Im expecting a big bounce back here tonight, along with top tier charity stripe conversion to be the diff maker in us covering this number. Pearl is 2-13 ATS after allowing 65 points or less 3 straight games as the coach of AUBURN. Pearl is 12-25 ATS after leading their last 2 games by 10+ points at the half in all games he has coached since 1997. CBB underdog (VIRGINIA TECH) - after being beaten by the spread by more than 18 points in their previous game, in a non-conference game between two teams from major division 1-A conferences are 35-8 ATS L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. VTech to cover |
|||||||
11-29-23 | 76ers -2 v. Pelicans | 114-124 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 10 m | Show | |
Philadelphia was hitting on all cylinders in their last game vs the Lakers, and Im betting with that momentum on their sides will continue to push forward here tonight vs a streaky Pelicans side that has lost 2 straight SU/ATS. Philadelphia ranks 2nd in the NBA in SRS with 10.18 mark while, ranks 18th with a 0.45. Considering this the linesmakers in my humble opinion are over estimating the 76ers regression probabilities off a huge game . PHILADELPHIA is 26-12 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons. PHILADELPHIA is 17-6 ATS on the road when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons. PHILADELPHIA is 16-4 ATS as a road favorite of 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons. NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (PHILADELPHIA) - off a home blowout win by 20 points or more, good team, winning 60-75% of their games on the season are 23-3 ATS L/5 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Philadelphia to cover |
|||||||
11-29-23 | Gardner-Webb v. Queens NC +2 | 80-83 | Win | 100 | 13 h 57 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Queens NC to cover |
|||||||
11-28-23 | Rockets v. Mavs -4.5 | 115-121 | Win | 100 | 13 h 15 m | Show | |
Houston has struggled with explosive offensive sides like Dallas recently especially on the road where they are here tonight. Advantage Dallas.HOUSTON is 1-12 ATS ) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 116+ points/game over the last 2 seasons. I know Houston has been an ATM machine for their backs of late, but now the market has adjusted and laying under 5 at home with the Mavericks according to my projections is viable investment option. NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (HOUSTON) - after beating the spread by 48 or more points total in their last ten games, on Tuesday nights are 4-38 L/5 seasons for a 90% go against conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at -12.2 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (HOUSTON) - after beating the spread by more than 18 points in their previous game against opponent after going under the total by more than 18 points in their previous game are 6-27 ATS L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. NBA team (DALLAS) - after being beaten by the spread by 48 or more points total in their last seven games, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 47-22 ATS L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Dallas to cover |
|||||||
11-28-23 | Thunder v. Wolves -3.5 | 103-106 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 33 m | Show | |
The Wolves rank 3rd in the NBA in SRS with 7.70 mark while the Thunder are ranked 4th with a 7.69 mark. When taking into consideration the home court edge where the Wolves are almost always in top form we have a line as mentioned above that should be closer to 5, thus giving us value laying lumber here with the home fav. SRS - Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average. MINNESOTA is 10-0 ATS in home games after a blowout win by 20 points or more over the last 3 seasons.MINNESOTA is 7-0 ATS versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 or less free throws/game this season. NBA Road underdogs of +145 to +350 vs. the money line (OKLAHOMA CITY) - after beating the spread by 30 or more points total in their last five games, on Tuesday nights are 3-31 L/5 seasons for. a go against 91% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff registering at +11 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. Play on Minnesota to cover |
|||||||
11-28-23 | McNeese State v. UAB -6 | 81-60 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 5 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. UAB is 17-6 ATS L/23 in home games versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or more of their shots UAB to cover |
|||||||
11-28-23 | Hawks +5 v. Cavs | 105-128 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 28 m | Show | |
Atlanta can run and gun with anyone in the NBA and despite of tnheir defensive failures recently are side that must be respected getting points especially the way their star Trae Young is shooting the ball.Young's most recent top teir offensive effort came on Sunday in a 113-103 loss to the Celtics, when he connected on a team-high 33 points and added seven assists in the second game of a back-to-back.Meanwhile, the market was slow to catchup with Cleveland as this season began , but now they have caught up and are starting to over adjust giving us value with this underdog selection. Advantage Atlanta. NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (CLEVELAND) - off a close home win by 3 points or less, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season are 5-23 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 82% conversion rate for bettors. .Atlanta has won five of seven games over Cleveland, dating to the beginning of the 2021-22 season. Play on the Atlanta Hawks to cover |
|||||||
11-28-23 | Miami-FL v. Kentucky -6.5 | 73-95 | Win | 100 | 7 h 57 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Two weeks ago, Kentucky lost to top-ranked Kansas in a tight game in the Champions Classic. Now, the Cats take on their second Top 10 foe of the season when eighth-ranked Miami visits Rupp Arena on Tuesday night in the SEC/ACC Challenge and this time they are now better prepared and organized. Kentucky has now scored at least 81 points in each of its first six games and will have no problems dealing with Florida States balanced attack. Kentucky to cover |
|||||||
11-28-23 | Islanders v. Devils -1.5 | 4-5 | Loss | -100 | 25 h 29 m | Show | |
The Islanders are down two key defenseman ( Aho and Pelech) and are just not flowing with this aging lineup. Somethings not right, and it seems to be getting worse. Against a sometimes explosive NJ Devils line up I just don't believe they have the fire power to keep up here . The Isles are also on tired legs as they play their 3rd in 5 nights. Note: NY ISLANDERS are 2-8 ATS when playing their 3rd game in 5 days this season. I know the Devils have not looked great of late, but they did notch a 7-2 win vs Columbus last time out and have momentum on their sides, Play on the Devils -1.5 on the puckline |
|||||||
11-28-23 | Mississippi State v. Georgia Tech +8.5 | 59-67 | Win | 100 | 11 h 14 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. MISSISSIPPI ST is 1-8 ATS after 5 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons. Stoudamire is 10-2 ATS in home games when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 80%) in all games he has coached since 1997 CBB Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (GEORGIA TECH) - after being beaten by the spread by more than 18 points in their previous game, in a non-conference game between two teams from major division 1-A conferences are 22-4 ATS L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. Georgia Tech to cover |
|||||||
11-28-23 | Western Carolina v. Tennessee Tech +5.5 | 69-65 | Win | 100 | 11 h 7 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. CBB Road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (W CAROLINA) - off 2 or more consecutive home wins, marginal winning team from last season who won between 51% and 60% of their games are 8-31 ATS L/26 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate for bettors. Tennessee Tech to cover |
|||||||
11-27-23 | Nuggets +5.5 v. Clippers | 113-104 | Win | 100 | 12 h 25 m | Show | |
Denver is 11-6 on the season but just 3-6 on the road, but Im betting those numbers will turn around to upside in Nuggets away games, as they are just to talented to not get into a groove even away from the Mile High City. DENVER is 8-1 straight up against LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons and according to my power rankings have an edge here taking points. I know the Nuggets played last night, but they are a well conditioned side, that will be ready to play here tonight in LA even without Jamal Murray in the lineup. The Clippers rank 9th (3.62) in /SRS while the Cliipers ranks 13th with a 1.31 mark. SRS - Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average. NBA team vs the money line (DENVER) - after a cover as a double digit favorite, in November games are 40-6 L/5 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Denver to cover |
|||||||
11-27-23 | UC-Santa Barbara +2 v. Fresno State | 69-65 | Win | 100 | 12 h 37 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. UC-SANTA BARBARA is 9-2 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 45% or more of their shots over the last 2 seasons. FRESNO ST is 1-8 ATS in November games over the last 2 seasons. CBB Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (UC-SANTA BARBARA) - good 3PT shooting team (36.5% or more ) against a poor 3PT defense (36.5% or better ), after a game where a team made 60% of their shots or better are 34-5 ATS L/26 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors. CBB Road teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (UC-SANTA BARBARA) - good 3PT shooting team (36.5% or better ) against a poor 3PT defense (36.5%) or better , after a game where a team made 60% of their shots or better are 33-6 L/26 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. UC-SANTA BARBARA is 5-0 against the spread versus FRESNO ST since 1997. Play in US Santa Barbara to cover |
|||||||
11-27-23 | Bears +3 v. Vikings | 12-10 | Win | 100 | 34 h 28 m | Show | |
The Vikings had their 5 game win streak snapped last time out, and now enter this home game vs a side they beat earlier this season, but saw them out stated while putting just 220 yards of offense on the board. The Vikings /Horse Shoe might be starting to loosen, and the proverbial wheels looks ready to fall off the cart. Remember that above mentioned game that the Vikings won saw Bears QB Justin Fields get injured and with him fully healthy again I like the Bears odds of being competitive. Note the Vikings are 0-6 ATS on MNF when coming off a loss. Vikings are 3-9 ATS L/12 as division home chalk. Bears are 6-1 ATS L/7 Monday night away games. Play on Chicago to cover |
|||||||
11-26-23 | Bulls +4 v. Nets | 109-118 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 12 m | Show | |
Brooklyn is on tired legs as they play their 2nd back to back games this season and are vulnerable .The Nets earned a 109-107 win in Chicago during an in-season tournament game on Nov. 3 and Im betting on another close game here with the points to be golden. BROOKLYN is 11-24 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.BROOKLYN is 4-15 ATS in home games when playing 4 or less games in 10 days over the last 3 seasons.BROOKLYN is 21-37 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 3 seasons.Vaughn is 11-25 ATSin home games versus struggling teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game in all games he has coached since 1996. Play on Chicago to cover |
|||||||
11-26-23 | Suns v. Knicks -3 | 116-113 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 11 m | Show | |
Knicks have looked a little lethargic offensively in back to back games . The first tgame came at the end of a exhausting 5 game road trip and the 2nd was when they played their first game at home after that for-mentioned away rodeo. Now acclimated to home cooking and well rested Im betting on the Knicks will be primed and motivated to play at an optimal level, against a Phoenix Suns squad on a 5 game win streak. NEW YORK is 8-0 ATS after scoring 105 points or less 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons. The Suns beat Memphis last time out by DDs, but this is not a favorable spot from a historical standpoint for the Suns as Vogel is 12-26 ATS (- in road games off a road win by 10 points or more in all games he has coached. Key injury updates: Beals still out for Suns and Durant(foot) is questionable tonight and if he plays is less than 100%. PHOENIX is 26-44 ATS L/70 in road games vs. dominant rebounding teams - out-rebounding opponents by 5+ per game . NBA Favorites on the opening line of 3.5 to 9.5 points (NEW YORK) - after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team are 35-11 L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home favorites of -165 to -500 vs. the money line (NEW YORK) - after having won 3 of their last 4 games against opponent hot team - having won 8 or more of their last 10 games are 36-2 L/5 seasons for a 95% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +11.3 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. Play on NY Knicks to cover |
|||||||
11-26-23 | Mississippi Valley State +21 v. Pacific | 65-68 | Win | 100 | 9 h 43 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Pacific played a hard fought game and get the win last time out by. a 73-71 count vs lower tier LeMoyne and could easily find themselves flat here. PACIFIC is 3-11 ATS off a home win over the last 3 seasons.PACIFIC is 3-11 ATS off a home win over the last 3 seasons.
MISS VALLEY ST is 19-8 ATS versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 4+ points/game over the last 3 seasons. CBB Home favorites of 10 or more points (PACIFIC) - after a close win by 3 points or less against opponent after scoring 65 points or less 3 straight games are just 10-33 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors. CBB Favorites of 20 or more points (PACIFIC) - after a close win by 3 points or less against opponent after 2 straight losses by 15 points or more are 11-35 ATS L/26 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Miss St Valley to cover |
|||||||
11-26-23 | Bellarmine v. West Virginia -9.5 | 58-62 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 39 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. West Virginia to cover |
|||||||
11-26-23 | Bills +3.5 v. Eagles | 34-37 | Win | 100 | 71 h 11 m | Show | |
Buffalo has had a bit of disappointing season but still rank in the Top 10 on both offense and defense and should be respected here against a foe in a letdown spot after a huge upset win vs KC last time out. NFL home sides who pulled an upset vs the defending Super Bowl champion in its last game like the Eagles did , have failed to cash 6 straight times, dating back to the 2020 season. BUFFALO is 14-4 ATS in road games after failing to cover the spread in 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games . McDermott is 12-4 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games as the coach of BUFFALO. NFL Road underdogs or pick (BUFFALO) - with a sub par passing D - allowing a comp pct of 64% or worse, after allowing 5.5 or less passing yards per attempt last game are 58-29 ATS L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Buffalo to cash |
|||||||
11-26-23 | Stonehill v. Quinnipiac -12.5 | 69-80 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 34 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Quinnipiac to cover |
|||||||
11-26-23 | Steelers -1.5 v. Bengals | 16-10 | Win | 100 | 4 h 29 m | Show | |
Joe Burrows is out for the season, and the Bengals as a group Im sure in a letdown mentality and that Im betting plays out here today against a hungry Steelers group that must not be understimated . Note: Bengals will start veteran backup Jake Browning who will make his first start in just his third game since entering the league in 2019.this is important because QBs making their first career start vs. Steelers are 1-11 straight-up (SU) in their last 12 games dating back to 1987. Steelers to cover |
|||||||
11-25-23 | Colorado State v. Hawaii +5.5 | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 31 h 16 m | Show | |
Colorado needs a win to become Bowl eligible but they just seem like a team that does not perform well under pressure and have been inconsistent all season long. Here tonight against a Hawaii side that has improved as the season has progressed and enter this game on a two game winning streak Im betting they choke. Note: Hawaii is 5-0 SU in their L/5 home finales the L/5 years and with that said, Im betting on the underdog getting points. Play on Hawaii to cover |
|||||||
11-25-23 | Mavs -2 v. Clippers | 88-107 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 21 m | Show | |
Dallas 10-5 is the fresher team here entering this tilt against a LA Clippers (6-8) side that played last night. The Mavs rank 15th with. a+0.83 rating in the NBA in SRS while the Clippers, are ranked 21st with a -0.01 rating. Factoring in exhaustion adn performance levels the Play on Dallas cover |
|||||||
11-25-23 | California +10 v. UCLA | 33-7 | Win | 100 | 56 h 37 m | Show | |
The California Bears need a win here today at the UCLA to become Bowl eligible. With the Bruins off a big win vs USC last week by a 38- 20 score Im betting the Bruins are vulnerable to a letdown vs a hungry side. Note : the the Bruins are 1-8-1 ATS at home after facing USC. . Cal Bears HC Justin Wilcox is 13-5 ATS L/18 as a home dog. Cal is 9-1 ATS in this series when UCLA is coming off a win and get the nod here in desperation mode. CALIFORNIA is 23-10 ATS L/33 as a road underdog of 7.5 to 14 points. Kelly is 0-7 ATS as a home favorite of 7.5 to 14 points as the coach of UCLA. UCLA is 13-26 ATS ( L/39 as a home favorite of 7.5 to 14 points. NCAAF Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (CALIFORNIA) - off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival, with 17 or more total starters returning are 36-12 L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Cal Bears to cover |
|||||||
11-25-23 | South Alabama v. Texas State +6 | 44-52 | Win | 100 | 11 h 34 m | Show | |
Jaguars have played well lately but are just are 1-12 ATS following consecutive home chalk victories and and 1-11 ATS away off consecutive home tilts. I know Texas State is off a ugly loss last time out, but they have been very competitive this season and deserve respect here as pups. note: Texas State is 8-2 ATS when coming off a double-digit loss. S ALABAMA is also 0-12 ATS L/12 when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) . TEXAS ST is 4-0 straight up against at home vs S ALABAMA since 1992. Texas State to cover |
|||||||
11-25-23 | Furman v. UAB -5 | 86-92 | Win | 100 | 9 h 0 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. FURMAN is 1-9 ATS in road games after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons. CFB Road teams as an underdog or pick (FURMAN) - after allowing 75 points or more 4 straight games against opponent after a combined score of 115 points or less are 7-31 L/5 seasons for a go against 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play on UAB to cover |
|||||||
11-25-23 | Georgia Southern +8.5 v. Appalachian State | 27-55 | Loss | -110 | 99 h 33 m | Show | |
11-25-23 | Virginia Tech -3 v. Virginia | 55-17 | Win | 100 | 54 h 38 m | Show | |
Virginia upset Duke last week and are now in a huge emotional letdown spot vs instate rivals Vtech and very vulnerable . Vtech is 11-1-1 ATS.in finales , Virginia is just 0-11 SU L/11 when facing a Hokies side with a better record on the season. VIRGINIA TECH is 32-16 ATS L/48 as a road favorite of 7 points or less . CFB road team (VIRGINIA TECH) - mistake-free team (1.25 or less TO/G committed) vs a team with 1.25 or less TO/G forced after 8+ games, after a game where they forced 1 or less turnovers are 89-52 ATS L/10 seasons for a 63% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Vtech to cover |
|||||||
11-25-23 | James Madison v. Coastal Carolina +9 | 56-14 | Loss | -110 | 49 h 45 m | Show | |
James Madison had their undefeated season abruptly come to end vs App State last time and could easily find themselves in a letdown spot vs a Coastal Carolina squad that had a 5 game win streak end last time out. With Coastal having a 7-4 record they need a win to get them to the Sun Belt title game vs. Troy and will be ready to play all out football here this week vs a program ineligible to play post season football this season/ CFB Favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (JAMES MADISON) - with an excellent rushing D - allowing 100 or less rushing yards/game, after gaining 75 or less rushing yards last game are 62-31 ATS L/31 seasons for a go against 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Coastal Carolina to cover |
|||||||
11-25-23 | Wisconsin v. Minnesota +3 | 28-14 | Loss | -108 | 48 h 12 m | Show | |
Wisconsin is Bowl eligible after last weeks win while Minnesota desperately needs a victory to get a Bowl invite. Im betting the home, side has the edge. I know the Gophers have not looked good of late, but it must be noted that HC Fleck is 9-1 SU/ATS when coming off a pair of losses and than playing at home.MINNESOTA is 11-2 ATS after being out-gained by 175 or more total yds 2 consecutive games. Fleck is 8-1 ATS after allowing 31 points or more in 2 straight games as the coach of MINNESOTA. Minnesota to cover |
|||||||
11-25-23 | Florida Atlantic v. Rice -4 | 21-24 | Loss | -110 | 45 h 22 m | Show | |
Rice according to my power rankings sis the superior side here today and the line should be closer to -7 for the home side. RICE is 21-7 ATS in home games vs. poor ball control teams, 28 or less possession minutes/game.RICE is 27-10 ATS L/27 in home games when playing against a sub par team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%. ). FLA ATLANTIC is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) after allowing 100 or less rushing yards last game over the last 3 seasons. RICE is 15-1 ATS L/16 in home games after out-gaining opp by 175 or more total yards in their previous game. CFB Home favorites (RICE) - in a game involving two average rushing teams (3.5 to 4.3 YPR) after 7+ games are 44-22 ATS L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate. Play on the Rice to cover |
|||||||
11-25-23 | Ohio State +3.5 v. Michigan | 24-30 | Loss | -110 | 51 h 43 m | Show | |
This game has some huge implications as the winner will get to the College Football Playoff semifinals. With Michigan QB JJ Macarthy (ankle) less than 100% and going just 12-for-23 via pass including 1 interception against the Terrapins” last week some doubts about his ability to play vs this type of prime time Ohio State D loom large . The Buckeyes have been solid dogs in the past in n Big Ten Title games cashing 10 straight times as pups. . We all know how good the /Wolverines D as is evident by allowing 9 points and 253 yards per game. But the Buckeyes football program has won 15 of their L/18 SU versus conference opposition that allow less than 10 ppg. Wolverine iconic HC Harbaugh will once again not be on the sidelines for this big game- which is not a good omen for a side that has cashed only 2 of their L/ 9 opportunities ATS vs undefeated conference opponents . OHIO ST is 8-1 ATS versus good rushing defenses - allowing 120 or lesws rushing yards/game over the last 3 seasons. CFB road team (OHIO ST) - with a great scoring defense - allowing 14 or less points/game, after allowing 14 points or less in 2 straight games are 39-14 ATS L/.5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Ohio State to cover |
|||||||
11-24-23 | Spurs v. Warriors -10.5 | 112-118 | Loss | -107 | 14 h 54 m | Show | |
The Golden State Warriors have struggled out of the gate this season and now have an opportunity to take on their frustrations out on a San Antonio team on a 10 game losing run and that they have beaten up pretty easily in recent meetings with 37,31, 15 points deficit victories in their L/3 meetings. I know Golden State has not covered any of their 7 home games this season, but all good and bad runs must come to an end, and thats what Im betting on here with the DD fav. Note:GOLDEN STATE is 8-0 ATS in home games off a loss against a division rival over the last 2 seasons which was the case last time out in Phoenix. GOLDEN STATE is 21-7 ATS in home games off a road loss over the last 3 seasons. SAN ANTONIO is 8-25 ATS in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 230 over the last 2 seasons.SAN ANTONIO is 16-31 ATS as a road underdog over the last 2 seasons. SAN ANTONIO is 12-28 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. Favorites (GOLDEN STATE) - off a road loss against a division rival, on Friday nights are 33-9 ATS L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Golden State to cover |
|||||||
11-24-23 | Heat v. Knicks -5.5 | 98-100 | Loss | -107 | 12 h 4 m | Show | |
Miami has played some decent defensive ball of late , while winning at Cleveland and Chicago. But from a historical standpoint this has not been a good omen for their betting backers as they are 2-11 ATS after allowing 105 points or less 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons. Meanwhile, NYK after a extensive 5 game road trip looked flat in tired in their final game of the trip with a 117-110 loss to Minnesota. However, they have now been off since Nov 20th and with extensive rest and back on home court Im betting on a big effort from the Knicks. . NEW YORK is 10-1 ATS after scoring 100 points or less over the last 2 seasons. Note: Underdogs vs the money line (MIAMI) - off a road win by 10 points or more against opponent off a road loss by 10 points or more are 6-34 L/5 seasons for a go against 85% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +8.2 which qualifies on this ATS offering. Home favorites of -165 to -500 vs. the money line (NEW YORK) - after having won 3 of their last 4 games against opponent hot team - having won 8 or more of their last 10 games are 35-2 L/5 seasons for a 95% conversion rate with the average ppg diff registering at +11.5 which qualities on this ATS offering. MIAMI is 18-32 ATS after a game where they covered the spread over the last 2 seasons.( Heat beat Cleveland 129-96 last time out) NBA Road underdogs (MIAMI) - in a game involving two good three point shooting teams (36.5% or better ), after 2 straight games making 16 or more 3 point shots are 18-43 ATS L/27 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rte for bettors. Play on NY Knicks to cover |
|||||||
11-24-23 | Penn State -20.5 v. Michigan State | 42-0 | Win | 100 | 34 h 16 m | Show | |
Penn State continues to struggle against the top tier teams in the Big 10 losing to both Ohio State and Michigan this season. However, against the lower tier programs seem to always come to play in merciless fashion. Michigan State is a team that suddenly finds itself in the lower echilon of the conference and with nothing really to play for could easily come out flat here today and crushed by a frustrated Litany Lions side that will want to make a statement.PENN ST is 7-0 ATS as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points over the last 2 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking at + 27.1. Play on Penn State to cover |
|||||||
11-24-23 | Missouri v. Arkansas +9.5 | 48-14 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 53 m | Show | |
After a hard fought narrow win against Florida last time out, Im betting Missouri is vulnerable here today against Doctor Jekyll and Mr Hyde football team in Arkansas. Recent history also tells a story of Tigers futility as they are 0-5 ATS L/5 in Last Road Games, and are 0-6 ATS away in their final tilts of the campaign. ARKANSAS is 4-0 against the spread versus MISSOURI at home since 1992. ARKANSAS is 25-10 ATS L/35 in a home game where the total is between 52.5 and 56. CFB Home underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (ARKANSAS) - after a game where they committed 1 or less turnovers against opponent after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of +1 or better are 25-8 ATS L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Arkansas to cover |
|||||||
11-24-23 | Air Force +7 v. Boise State | 19-27 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 13 m | Show | |
After starting their season 8-0 this Air Force side has looked flat of late, with their current 3 game losing streak starting with a ugly make no sense loss to Army. That embarrassing defeat and deflating loss to their military foe has reverberated into two more losses. The 2nd loss came in Hawaii and I can see this group just licking their wounds and just laying back on paradise island and not preparing well for the Rainbow game where they looked lifeless or maybe hungover. Last weeks loss vs UNLV had them back on track despite of negative3 31-27 count. Now this week against the Broncos Im expecting Air Force will fly high again and possibly even pull of the upset vs a side that they matchup well against. . BOISE ST is 3-11 ATS after a win by 17 or more points over the last 3 seasons (which was the case last time out)Calhoun is 34-13 ATS when the total is between 42.5 and 49 as the coach of AIR FORCE. Play on Air Force to cover |
|||||||
11-24-23 | Utah State -6 v. New Mexico | 44-41 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 35 m | Show | |
Utah State was smashed last week in a 35-point home loss to Boise State in embarrassing fashion and are now in a key bounce back situation vs New Mexico this week, as they desperately need a win to become bowl eligible. Utah State is 6-0 SU/ATS series run and according to my power rankings should be more than TD fav here. I know the Lobos took out Fresno State last week in. big upset win, but will now be in a letdown spot and very vulnerable vs a hungry side. Note: Lobos’ 0-7 SU L/7 in games coming off an upset win as a dog of 16 or more points and have failed to cover 4 of their L/5 at home under those perimeters. Play on Utah State to cover |
|||||||
11-24-23 | Dolphins v. Jets +10 | 34-13 | Loss | -125 | 23 h 18 m | Show | |
The Jets have dropped three straight games and are turning to journeyman Tim Boyle under center when they face the Dolphins in a Black Friday clash at East Rutherford, N.J. Im betting he will be a blast of fresh air for this stale Jets attack. I know Miami has done well this season, offensively but the Jets D has been mostly solid and Im betting hold up well here in the cold windy conditions today against a team not so ready to play in the cool weather. NY JETS are 19-8 ATS L/27 in home games vs. excellent passing teams averaging 7.5 or more passing yards/att. NY JETS are 29-14 ATS L/43 in home games vs. good teams - outscoring opponents by 6+ PPG on the season. NFL Home underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (NY JETS) - slow starting team - outscored by 5+ PPG in the first half, after scoring 14 points or less last game are 34-9 L/10 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the NY Jets to cover |
|||||||
11-24-23 | TCU +10.5 v. Oklahoma | 45-69 | Loss | -115 | 28 h 57 m | Show | |
TCU has obviously not had a great season, especially considering their appearance the CFB Playoff championship game last year. But with the experience on the sidelines, with the coaching staff and with the context of desperation in play here as the Frogs need a win to become Bowl eligible, Im betting on them putting alot of fight into this tilt and they won't go down without a fight. Note: The Frogs have covered their L/4 trips to Norman to play the Sooners and Im backing them to continue that run this Friday. TCU is 10-2 ATS vs. good passing teams averaging 250 or more passing yards/game. over the last 2 seasons CFB road team (TCU) - a good offensive team (28-34 PPG) against a good defensive team (16-21 PPG) after 7+ games, after scoring 42 points or more last game are 24-3 ATS L/10 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors. Play on TCU to cover |
|||||||
11-24-23 | Iowa +2.5 v. Nebraska | 13-10 | Win | 100 | 28 h 43 m | Show | |
The Hawkeyes are the 2023 Big Ten West champs yet are being placed as dogs here vs a Nebraska side that despite of needing a win here badly, are not a football program that has a recent history of winning games clutch or otherwise. Hey I know Iowa has problems scoring , but their D, is outstanding and should give a pedestrian Nebraska offense a load of problems here today in a game I doubt they deserve to be favorites in. Iowa has won 7 of the L/8 in this series, and must not be underestimated in the underdog role. IOWA is 19-7 in their L/26 road game where the total is 42 or less have seen a +2 ppg diff . CFB road team (IOWA) - with a great scoring defense - allowing 14 or less points/game, after allowing 14 points or less in 2 straight games are 39-15 ATS L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Iowa to cover |
|||||||
11-24-23 | Miami-FL v. Boston College +10.5 | 45-20 | Loss | -105 | 27 h 27 m | Show | |
Its chilly in Massachusetts this time of year, and the Canes Cristobal and company may find their welcome from Boston College chilly as well. The Canes are off 3 hard fought losses, and doubt they have much gas left in the proverbial tank. Note :The Canes are 0-5 ATS L/5 as a favorite when coming off three losses-exact,. I know BC has not been a very consistent side this season, but at home have a recent history of being a solid dog especially at home covering 5 in q row as +8 or more pup. MIAMI is 1-8 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points over the last 3 seasons.MIAMI is 3-12 ATS (against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons. MIAMI is 0-8 ATS vs. excellent punt coverage teams, allowing 7.5 or less yards per return over the last 2 seasons. Play on BC to cover |
|||||||
11-24-23 | Memphis -12.5 v. Temple | 45-21 | Win | 100 | 26 h 45 m | Show | |
11-23-23 | 49ers v. Seahawks +7.5 | 31-13 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 29 m | Show | |
I know everyone is in love with the SF 49ers , but Im one of these guys who still believes they are a bit over rated. Note: Im betting this is a close battle and getting a TD here is viable investment opportunity Seattle HC Pete Carroll as a home dog in his NFL career, is 9-2 ATS as a when getting f 4 or more points. SEATTLE is 17-6 straight up against SAN FRANCISCO L/23 at home. NFL Road favorites (SAN FRANCISCO) - dominant team - outscoring opponents by 10 or more points/game, after a win by 10 or more points are 18-44 ATS L/10 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Seattle to cover |
|||||||
11-23-23 | Commanders +13.5 v. Cowboys | 10-45 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 23 m | Show | |
Dallas has a long history of less than stellar Thanks Giving Day outings as is evident by a current 5-7 SU and 1-11 ATS run the the last 12 seasons. Meanwhile, the inconsistent Commanders seem to bring their best stuff for big games against top tier sides like the Cowboys. Hey I know Dallas has looked explosive of late, but it must be noted that from a historical angle they are in a play against situation.Favorites (DALLAS) - after gaining 450 or more total yards/game over their last 3 games are just 11-33 ATS 5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.WASHINGTON is 8-1 ATS in November games over the last 3 seasons.WASHINGTON is 16-5 ATS in road games after a dominating performance - 34+ minutes TOP, 24+ First downs since 1992.WASHINGTON is 35-19 ATS L/54 in road games after having lost 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games.DALLAS is 16-38 ATS L/54 after covering the spread in 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games. Play on Washington to cover |
|||||||
11-23-23 | Florida Atlantic v. Butler +7 | 91-86 | Win | 100 | 7 h 11 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. BUTLER is 27-12 ATS L/49 in a neutral court game where the total is 130 to 139.5 with the average ppg diff clicking at 0.00 (even). CBB Neutral court teams (FLA ATLANTIC) - good shooting team from last season - made 45% of their shot attempts, with 3+ more starters returning from last year than opponent, in the first ten games of the season are 11-32 L5 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Butler to cover |
|||||||
11-23-23 | Packers v. Lions -8 | 29-22 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 2 m | Show | |
This might seem like a crooked number at just over a key TD offering , but the Lions are by far the better side, and a line closer to -10 should be on the board, making this a viable lay. Note: Thanksgiving Day favorites of more than 7 points qnd facing sub .500 squads , are 6-0 SUATS when coming off consecutive SU/ATS win which the Lions are. DETROIT is 6-0 ATS in home games vs. excellent kickoff return teams, more than 24 yards per return over the last 3 seasons.DETROIT is 9-2 ATS vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 61% or worse in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. Play on Motown to cover |
|||||||
11-23-23 | Penn State +8 v. Texas A&M | 77-89 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 21 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. PENN ST is 34-17 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.PENN ST is 9-1 ATS as a neutral court underdog or pick over the last 3 seasons.PENN ST is 8-0 ATS in all tournament games over the last 2 seasons. Play on Penn State to cover |
|||||||
11-22-23 | Mavs -2.5 v. Lakers | 104-101 | Win | 100 | 12 h 19 m | Show | |
The Mavericks are scoring 122.8 points a game, which is second-most in the league, in wide open run and gun fashion, and that makes them viable options against a Lakers side that is due for offensive regression after last nights 131 output vs the Jazz. NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (DALLAS) - after a home game where both teams score 100 or more points, playing with 2 days rest are 95-84 L/5 ATS for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. NBA team vs the money line (DALLAS) - an explosive offensive team (118 or more PPG) against an avg. offensive team (108-114 PPG), after allowing 68 points or more in the first half last game are 25-6 L/27 seasons for a 81% conversion rate with a average ppf diff clicking in at +8.2 which qualifies on this ATS offering. DALLAS is 3-0 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons. Play on Dallas to cover |
|||||||
11-22-23 | 76ers v. Wolves -5 | 99-112 | Win | 100 | 15 h 53 m | Show | |
The Timberwolves have won 10 of their first 13 games to jump to the top of the Western Conference standings and according to my power rankings matchup well here vs the Philadelphia 76ers here tonight with home court advantage on their sides. The Wolves rank 1st in the NBA in defensive efficiency which is important in game that features the 76ers top ranked offensive efficiency. Minnesota is coming off back-to-back wins against the New Orleans Pelicans and New York Knicks, and it has won nine of its last 10 trips to the hardwood and have momentum on their sides, vs a Philadelphia side on a short rest after taking the Cleveland Cavaliers last night in a tilt that went to OT in a 122-119 loss at home. Now exhausted and off a red eye to get here the 76ers are at a disadvantage. Finch is 13-3 ATS in home games after a blowout win by 15 points or more as the coach of MINNESOTA with the average ppg diff clicking in at +11.9. NBA Favorites of -165 to -500 vs. the money line (MINNESOTA) - after having won 3 of their last 4 games against opponent hot team - having won 8 or more of their last 10 games are 38-3 L/5 seasons for a 93% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +11.1 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. Play on the Minnesota Wolves to cover |
|||||||
11-22-23 | Michigan +1.5 v. Memphis | 67-71 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 40 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Michigan has opened the season winning its first three games by 23.7 points before suffering its first loss against Long Beach State, 94-86, at Crisler Center in a freakish back and forth event. Note: Howard is 35-18 ATS after a game where they failed to cover the spread as the coach of MICHIGAN.( Upset by Long Beach St last time out) Rebound redemption mode in play. Michigan has scored 45-plus first half points in all four games; the Wolverines have scored 85-plus points in all four games; U-M has had at least one 20-plus point scorer in all four games; and the Maize and Blue has had 38-plus rebounds in all four games and matchup well vs the Tigers attack. MICHIGAN is 11-1 ATS when playing only their 2nd game in 8 days over the last 2 seasons. MICHIGAN is 88-57 ATS in all tournament games since 1997. CBB underdog (MICHIGAN) - after being beaten by the spread by more than 18 points in their previous game, in a non-conference game between two teams from major division 1-A conferences are 35-8 ATS L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Michigan to cover Michigan to cover |
|||||||
11-21-23 | Toledo +3.5 v. New Mexico | 84-92 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 27 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. • Toledo 4-0 leads the MAC in FOUR categories — 52.2 FG%, 44.4 3PTFG%, 10.7 spg, and a 1.7 A/TO ratio. Toledo to cover |
|||||||
11-21-23 | Georgia Southern +5.5 v. Northeastern | 76-93 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 5 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Georgia Southern to cover |
|||||||
11-21-23 | Prairie View A&M +11 v. Eastern Kentucky | 76-64 | Win | 100 | 5 h 17 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Prairie View A&M to cover |
|||||||
11-20-23 | Kings v. Pelicans +1.5 | 93-129 | Win | 100 | 13 h 58 m | Show | |
The Pelicans have been an inconsistent commodity this season, but they have recent wins against top tier opponents Denver, and Dallas, and 1 point loss to Minnesota and must be respect as underdogs here at home tonight vs the Sacramento Kings. NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (SACRAMENTO) - average 3PT shooting team (33-36.5%) against a good 3PT defense (33% or less) are 13-36 L/5 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams vs. the money line (SACRAMENTO) - good shooting team (45.5-47.5%) against an poor defensive team (45.5-47.5%), red hot shooting team - 3 straight games making 50% or more of their shots are 7-27 L/5 seasons for a go against conversion rate for bettors. Play on New Orleans to cover |
|||||||
11-20-23 | Bucks v. Wizards +9.5 | 142-129 | Loss | -108 | 12 h 12 m | Show | |
The Bucks are off a physical high octane battle against Dallas that they won by a 132-125 count last time out and could easily be vulnerable to being a letdown spot here vs Washington on the road tonight. I know Milwaukee has looked unstoppable of late, but with all the running and gunning their doing , their proverbial tank is probably on empty and it should not come as a surprise that they could also be over looking a lower tier opponent. Note:MILWAUKEE in their L/34 after scoring 120 points or more 3 straight games have seen a average ppg diff clicking in at -0.2. NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MILWAUKEE) - after scoring 120 points or more 2 straight games are 116-182 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 61% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Washington Wizards to cover |
|||||||
11-20-23 | St. Joe's v. Kentucky -15 | 88-96 | Loss | -105 | 1 h 1 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Kentucky basketball is playing with a shortened rotation as their 3 big men are not going to be available to play. But St.Josephs is not a team that can take advantage of this situation. Plus remaining talent on this Kentucky roster is more than capable of controlling play here tonight. Kentucky to cover |
|||||||
11-20-23 | Tennessee v. Syracuse +14 | 73-56 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 40 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Syracuse has won their first 3 games of the season, but have failed to cover each time and today Im betting they finally get out of their ATS funk for their betting backers and get us the cover vs Tennessee.Barnes in 9 road games against ACC opponents as the coach of TENNESSEE has seen the average ppg diff click in at +7.6 ppg. SYRACUSE is 44-24 ATS L/68 as a neutral court underdog or pick with the average ppg diff clicking at -0.5. Play on Syracuse to cover |
|||||||
11-19-23 | Suns v. Jazz +5 | 140-137 | Win | 100 | 12 h 32 m | Show | |
The Jazz, host the Suns again on Sunday night in Salt Lake City, after a hard fought battle that saw them lose 131-128 to Phoenix in an NBA in-season tournament game. Now here at home, in the high altitudes of Salt Lake City where alot of teams have have some problems playing will see the Jazz get revenge or more importantly get us the cover. UTAH is 9-1 ATS as a home underdog of 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons. NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (PHOENIX) - after a combined score of 255 points or more against opponent after a combined score of 245 points or more are 9-34 ATS L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate. Play on Utah to cover |
|||||||
11-19-23 | Seahawks -1 v. Rams | 16-17 | Loss | -103 | 56 h 8 m | Show | |
The Rams in my humble opinion continue to get to much respect from the pundits and betting public and even the lines-makers. Yes, the Rams are rested, but their overall inconsistencies and HC McVay poor coaching decisions just make them bad bets .Meanwhile, Seattle is a side, that has taken care of business against these types of teams, and with a top tier coach in Carrol on the side lines deserve respect here as a pickem or slight fav according to my power rankings. LA RAMS are 0-7 ATS in November games over the last 3 seasons. NFL team vs the money line (LA RAMS) - an average offensive team (18-23 PPG) against an average defensive team (18-23 PPG), after scoring 6 points or less last game are 3-23 L/10 seasons for ago against 89% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Seahawks to cover |
|||||||
11-19-23 | Jets v. Bills -7 | 6-32 | Win | 100 | 55 h 9 m | Show | |
The Bills are surprisingly just 5-5 on the season , and really need to get the wheels moving on their season . Their piss poor efforts are thanks in part to turnovers and a banged up D. Now n desperation mode Im and playing at home Im betting they come up big here this week vs a Jets side that is playing their 2nd straight road game after a loss at Las Vegas last time out. It must be noted that the Jets are just 1-8 ATS when coming off a SU favorite loss and 1-6 ATS as a underdog after a chalk rating in their previous tilt. NY JETS are 1-8 ATS in road games in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons. BUFFALO is 26-11 ATS L/37 after 3 or more consecutive losses against the spread. NFL Favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (BUFFALO) - off an upset loss as a home favorite against opponent off a road loss are 33-10 ATS L/10 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. NY JETS are 4-17 ATS L/21 in road games versus good rushing teams - averaging 4.5 or more rushing yards/carry in the second half of the season. Play on Buffalo to cover |
|||||||
11-19-23 | Titans +7 v. Jaguars | 14-34 | Loss | -110 | 54 h 49 m | Show | |
The Jags look like weak favs here as they are just 2-5 SU and 1-6 ATS as division home favorites. I know Tennessee is off two straight losses, but it must be noted that HC Verbal has only failed to cover 1 of his L/8 as an underdog when coming off back-to-back defeats. The public is all over the Jags after the Titans miserable effort last week, but my data base has picked up on a NFL situational trend that is successful 61% of the time as it focuses on teams of that kind of ugly outing. TENNESSEE is 12-3 ATS vs. excellent punt coverage teams, allowing 7.5 or less yards per return over the last 3 seasons. JACKSONVILLE is 1-8 ATS against teams who force 1 or less turnovers/game on the season over the last 3 seasons.Pederson is 6-16 ATS in weeks 10 through 13 in all games he has coached since 1992 NFL Home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (JACKSONVILLE) - after a game where they forced no turnovers against opponent after 2 consecutive game where they committed 1 or less turnovers are 16-47 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors. NF Lteam vs the money line (JACKSONVILLE) - an average offensive team (18-23 PPG) against an average defensive team (18-23 PPG), after scoring 6 points or less last game are 3-23 L/10 seasons for a go against 89% conversion rate for bettors. ( Tennessee lost 20-6 last week at Tampa Bay) Play on Titans to cover |
|||||||
11-19-23 | Cardinals +5 v. Texans | 16-21 | Push | 0 | 53 h 8 m | Show | |
Texans are off an emotionally charged 30-27 upset of the Bengals in Cincinnati last week and Im betting will be in a letdown situation this Sunday against a Arizona squad with QB Kyle Murray back under center. Yes, he started a little slow after the long lay off last week, but this guy is dangerous two way threat with his legs and arm and makes this Cards side dangerous in the underdog role . Arizona is 5-1 ATS L/6 vs the AFC South. ARIZONA is 11-3 ATS as a road underdog of 7 points or less over the last 3 seasons. HOUSTON is 6-20 ATS in home games after gaining 300 or more passing yards in last game. HOUSTON is 2-10 ATS in home games after outrushing opponent by 100 or more yards last game. NFL Road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (ARIZONA) - with a terrible passing D - allowing a comp pct of 64% or worse, after allowing 5.5 or less passing yards per attempt last game are 34-9 ATS L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Arizona to cover |
|||||||
11-19-23 | Mississippi State v. Northwestern +4.5 | 66-57 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 8 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Northwestern and Miss State are two evenly matched teams , but Im betting it will Northwestern rebounding abilities that will keep them in this game against their SEC opponents. NORTHWESTERN is 13-5 ATS versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or less over the last 2 seasons CBB Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (NORTHWESTERN) - after being beaten by the spread by more than 18 points in their previous game, in a non-conference game between two teams from major division 1-A conferences are 22-4 ATS L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion to cover. Play on Northwestern to cover |
|||||||
11-19-23 | Connecticut -12 v. Indiana | 77-57 | Win | 100 | 5 h 1 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. According to my projections this has mismatch written all over it.The defending national champions Connecticut are loaded and dominating at both ends of the court , They are backed by the back court withTristen Newton and Donovan Clingan at center, and Cam Spencer who can shoot the proverbial lights out.UConn is currently ranked as the No. 1 2-point offense in the country and have covered all 3 of their games in impressive fashion. Meanwhile, Indidana despite of their brand name and expected strong projections, are a one dimensional side, that just dont matchup well vs UConn.UConn is currently ranked as the No. 1 2-point offense in the country. with the average ppg diff clikcing in at 16.6 ppg.CONNECTICUT is 6-0 ATS ( after scoring 80 points or more 3 straight games over the last 2 seasons Play on the UConn to cover |
|||||||
11-18-23 | Minnesota +27.5 v. Ohio State | 3-37 | Loss | -105 | 56 h 2 m | Show | |
Minnesota got caught looking ahead to this game with Ohio State this week, and were flattened by Purdue . That was the Gophers second straight loss but there is good news from a historical trends chart that I use. Notably Minnesota is 9-1 ATS when coming off consecutive SU/ATS losses, and HC Fleck is 5-0 ATS as a road dog of 25 or more points, and has coincidentally covered 4-0 straight as a double-digit pup versus undefeated opposition. Meanwhile, Ohio State Im betting will be looking ahead to their battle with Michigan next week and could easily find themselves more concentrated on staying healthy and play with less enthusiasm than usual. Fleck is 20-6 ATS vs. poor punt return teams, less than 7.5 yards per return as the coach of MINNESOTA.Fleck is 13-4 ATS vs. excellent passing teams averaging 275 or more passing yards/game. in all games he has coached.MINNESOTA is 11-2 ATS as a road underdog of 21.5 to 28 points since 1992. CFBroad team (MINNESOTA) - mistake-free team (1.25 or less TO/G committed) vs a team with 1.25 or less TO/G forced after 8+ games, after a game where they forced 1 or less turnovers are 87-47 ATS L/10 seasons for a 65% conversion rate. Play on Minnesota to cover |
|||||||
11-18-23 | North Carolina +7 v. Clemson | 20-31 | Loss | -110 | 55 h 13 m | Show | |
The better team with the better record here is North Carolina vs a over rated Clemson side that should be. no more than a FG fav here based on home field advantage in Dearth Valley and not necessarily the talent gap. Mack Brown’s 16 -5- ATS in his career as a underdog with the better record, with 13 SU wins during that span, including 5-0 S/UATS the last five tilts. North Carolina has won the stats battles this season in 9 of 10 games and get the nod here to cover the number. CFB Road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (N CAROLINA) - after gaining 525 or more total yards/game over their last 3 games against opponent after outgaining opp by 125 or more total yards in their previous game are 25-6 ATS L/10 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on North Carolina to cover |
|||||||
11-18-23 | Mississippi State -7 v. Washington State | 76-64 | Win | 100 | 3 h 26 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. KenPom ranks the Cougars 82nd nationally and outside the top 85 in Offensive and Defensive Efficiency despite of 3-0 record to begin this campaign. Yes the Cougars did win last time out in convincing fashion but this is still not a good matchup vs a staunch and physical Mississippi State' defense . The Bulldogs have smashed their opponents by DDs and I wont be surprised by a rinse and repeat situation here in this matchup vs a far less superior side.WASHINGTON ST is 3-11 ATS in road games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game over the last 2 season.WASHINGTON ST is 0-6 ATS ( in road games after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. Play on Mississippi State to cover |
|||||||
11-18-23 | Sacred Heart v. Loyola Maryland +2.5 | 66-51 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 20 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.
Loyola to cover |
|||||||
11-17-23 | Mercer +30.5 v. Alabama | 67-98 | Loss | -115 | 15 h 60 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. The Tide are one of the best teams in the nation and because of this will be getting a great deal of public money which in turn will bloat this number from where the true market value is. Taking points is the right choice here because of this. The last time Mercer and Alabama met was Dec. 19, 2017 when the Tide held off a late charge by MU before prevailing, 80-79. MERCER is 9-1 ATS L/10 as a road underdog of 12.5 or more points . ALABAMA is 0-7 ATS after a game where they made 60% of their shots or better which was the case last time out vs South Alabama in a 102-46 victory. CBB favorite (ALABAMA) - excellent shooting team (47.5% or more ) against an poor defensive team (45-47.5%), after a game where a team made 60% of their shots or better are 6-29 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Mercer to cover |
|||||||
11-17-23 | 76ers +1.5 v. Hawks | 126-116 | Win | 100 | 15 h 4 m | Show | |
The Philadelphia 76ers will be primed to snap a two-game skid and a 1-3 ATS run when they face the host Atlanta Hawks in the NBA in-season tournament on Friday night. In the two losses tge 76ers looked tired but now with extra day of rest Im betting they will be good to go. Note: PHILADELPHIA is 10-1 ATS after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread over the last 2 seasons. Meanwhile, the Hawks are off a 116-114 home loss to the New York Knicks on Wednesday and are on tired legs with this being their 3rd game in 4 nights. Also key star Trae Youngs wife just had a baby so Im sure life has been hectic for him and it could show on the court tonight at some juncture. ATLANTA is 16-29 ATS when playing their 3rd game in 4 days over the last 3 seasons. ATLANTA is 8-18 ATS against Atlantic division opponents over the last 2 seasons PHILADELPHIA is 48-32 ATS versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game over the last 2 seasons. ATLANTA is 18-34 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 3 seasons. NBA Home teams (ATLANTA) - after allowing 115 points or more 4 straight games against opponent after a loss by 10 points or more are 16-47 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Philadelphia to cover |
|||||||
11-17-23 | St. Thomas v. Cal Poly +7 | 60-61 | Win | 100 | 14 h 14 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. CAL POLY-SLO is 15-3 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.CAL POLY-SLO is 11-1 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.CAL POLY-SLO is 7-0 ATS versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.CAL POLY-SLO is 9-1 ATS when playing only their 2nd game in 8 days over the last 2 seasons. Play on Cal Poly to cover |
|||||||
11-17-23 | Holy Cross +11 v. Winthrop | 51-89 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 7 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Holy Cross stands 1-2 so far this year, including a 68-67 victory at Georgetown on Nov. 11 and must not be underestimated in their abilities to compete here vs Winthrop today. CBB Home favorites of 10 or more points (WINTHROP) - first 5 games of the season, non-tournament team from last season who won 4+ of their last 5 games, mediocre team from last season that won between 45-55% of their game are 36-7 ATS L/27 seasons for a 84% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Holy Cross to cover |
|||||||
11-16-23 | Thunder -2 v. Warriors | 128-109 | Win | 100 | 14 h 39 m | Show | |
The Oklahoma City Thunder (7-4; 8-3 ATS) have gone 4-1 SU and ATS over their last five trips to the hardwood and have momentum on their sides. Meanwhile, the Warriors are on a four game losing run and are fade material in their current form especially with the explosive Curry and tough man Green out of the lineup. OKLAHOMA CITY is 11-2 ATS revenging a close loss vs opponent of 3 points or less over the last 3 seasons. GOLDEN STATE is 3-13 ATS vs. sub pard rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 3+ per game over the last 2 seasons. NBA Favorites vs. the money line (OKLAHOMA CITY) - after a cover as a double digit favorite, in November games are 33-2 L/5 seasons for a 94% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clikcing in at +14.4. Play on Thunder to cover |
|||||||
11-16-23 | Utah v. Wake Forest +5.5 | 77-70 | Loss | -109 | 6 h 36 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. The Demon Deacons are coming off an 80-77 loss at Georgia in their first real raod game this this past Friday (Nov. 10) . Wake Forest went 16-of-18 (88.9 percent) from the free throw line against Georgia. For the season, the Deacs are now a stellar 35-of-39 (89.7 percent) from the charity stripe and Im betting it will be their ability to convert from the FT line will be a key difference maker tonight vs Utah. UTAH is 1-9 ATS in road games after playing a game as a home favorite over the last 3 seasons. Smith is 4-17 ATS after 2 straight games giving up 9 or less offensive rebounds as the coach of UTAH. Forbes is 23-9 ATS in road games after 1 or more consecutive losses in all games he has coached since 1997. WAKE FOREST is 19-8 ATS after 2 or more consecutive overs over the last 3 seasons.Forbes is 27-11 ATS in road games after playing a game as an underdog in all games he has coached since 1997. Play on Wake Forest to cover |
|||||||
11-16-23 | Bengals v. Ravens -3 | 20-34 | Win | 100 | 24 h 52 m | Show | |
Baltimore Ravens host the Cincinnati Bengals on Thursday night with both sides entering off a loss. Baltimore claimed a 27-24 victory at Cincinnati in Week 2 and now Im betting on an even wider margin of victory in the rematch. CINCINNATI is 3-14 ATS L/17 versus excellent rushing teams - averaging 150 or more rushing yards/game in the second half of the season. NFL team (BALTIMORE) - off an upset loss as a home favorite, good team, winning 60-75% or more of their games, in the second half of the season are 42-15 ATS L/10 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. NFL Favorites vs. the money line (BALTIMORE) - good rushing team (125 to 150 RY/game) against a poor rushing team (70-95 RY/game) after 8+ games, after allowing 175 or more rushing yards last game are 35-2 L/40 seasons for a 95% conversion for bettors with a average ppg diff of +10 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. . NFL road teams (CINCINNATI) - with a pathetic defense - allowing 6.0 or more yards/play, after being outgained by 150+ total yards in their previous game are 5-23 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Baltimore to cover |
|||||||
11-15-23 | Bucks v. Raptors +4.5 | 128-112 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 21 m | Show | |
MILWAUKEE is 1-9 ATS in all games this season and have failed to cover 7 straight games overall. Their marker value has been consistently over rated by the lines-makers and tonight looks to be no different against what looks to be a tenacious hardworking group of Raptors. Key injury Note: Giannis Antetokounmpo (Calf) is not 100% despite of being expected to play tonight. Raptors are 3-1 SU/ATS L/4 at home in this series. The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 28 games (-19.55 Units / -17% ROI) dating back to last season. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (TORONTO) - after 2 or more consecutive unders, average defensive team (108-114 PPG) against a horrible defensive team (118 PPG or more) are 35-5 L/27 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +9.6. Play on the Toronto Raptors to cover |
|||||||
11-15-23 | Celtics -3.5 v. 76ers | 117-107 | Win | 100 | 8 h 19 m | Show | |
The Celtics have revenge on board for a loss they suffered to the Sixers last week by a 106-103 count, and will be primed for pay back here tonight in the rematch. Meanwhile, on the flipside the Sixers play again tonight after seeing their eight-game winning streak snapped last night vs Indiana . Now on tired legs against a talented and redemption minded squad Im betting the 76ers are in trouble. BOSTON is 21-9 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons. BOSTON is 15-3 ATS when playing 6 or more games in 10 days over the last 2 seasons. NBA team vs the money line (BOSTON) - after allowing 100 points or less 2 straight games against opponent after allowing 125 points or more 2 straight games are 23-5 L/27 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking at +13.6. NBA team vs the money line (PHILADELPHIA) - after allowing 115 points or more 2 straight games against opponent after 3 straight wins by 10 points or more are 6-40 L/5 seasons for a 86% go against conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at -11.6. Play on Boston to cover |
|||||||
11-15-23 | Evansville v. SE Missouri State -2.5 | 76-57 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 59 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. The Redhawks are 24-8 SU all-time in home- openers since joining the NCAA Division I in 1991-92. Southeast Missouri began its home slate with a win in eight of the last 11 years and posted victories in 15 of its previous 18 home-opening contests. The Redhawks won their home-opener in five of their last seven seasons and according to my projections have the edge again. EVANSVILLE is 0-9 ATS in road games on Wednesday games over the last 3 seasons. EVANSVILLE is 0-6 ATS in road games after allowing 60 points or less over the last 3 seasons. CBB road team vs. the money line (EVANSVILLE) - poor foul drawing team from last season - attempted 18 or less free throws/game, team from a second tier division 1-A conference against a team from a mid-major conference are 9-38 L/5 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at -6.3. Play on Missouri State to cover |
|||||||
11-14-23 | Grizzlies v. Lakers -4.5 | 107-134 | Win | 100 | 15 h 11 m | Show | |
Lakers are off two straight wins and look to be in sync entering this tilt vs the Memphis Grizzlies tonight. I know the Grizzlies are off a win vs the Clippers on Sunday, but Im not impressed by the Clippers so far this season, so Im betting that the 2-8 bad news Bears revert back to the inconsistent type of play they have exhibited this season. MEMPHIS is 1-18 ATS as a road underdog of 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons. MEMPHIS is 10-28 ATS in road games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game over the last 2 seasons. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (LA LAKERS) - excellent shooting team (47.5% or better ) against an sub par defensive team (45.5-47.5%), good ball handling team 14.5 TO's or less) against a good pressure defensive team (16.5 TO's or more )are 24-2 L/27 seasons for a 92% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +11.1 which esaily qualifies on this ATS offering. Play on the LA Lakers to cover |
|||||||
11-14-23 | Coyotes v. Stars -1.5 | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 23 m | Show | |
Dallas' is off a 8-3 victory over the Minnesota Wild on Sunday and have momentum entering this game as they go for their 4th straight win and 7th in their L/8. The Stars opponents the Arizona Coyotes are a side that owns a ugly 3-26 ATS in road games against explosive offensive teams like Dallas - scoring 3+ goals/game over the last 2 seasons Wild goalie Oettinger 7-2-1 with a 2.19 goals-against average and a .929 save percentage this season so far. and buoys what looks to be a solid team from top to bottom. I know the Coyotes have played decent competitive hockey for the most part this season but according to my analytics do not matchup well here vs the Stars. Dallas is one of the better conditioned teams in the NHL and that is evident by a 11-0 ATS mark in home games when playing their 3rd game in 4 days over the last 3 seasons with the average margin of victory coming by 2.3 gpg. Coyotes are 13-47 in their last 60 road games. Coyotes are 6-22 in the last 28 meetings.Coyotes are 7-20 in the last 27 meetings in Dallas. Dallas to win -1.5 |
|||||||
11-14-23 | Texas A&M v. SMU +5.5 | 79-66 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 40 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Big game for SMU at Moody tonight and Im betting their enthusiasm behind the home crowd should help them stay competitive via a havoc style of play that creates alot of turnovers . The Mustangs also exhibit tenacious rebounding on both the defensive and offensive board . With Texas A&M off a Big 10 win on the road, vs Ohio State last time out could find keeping their energy at a high level difficult. The last time SMU played an SEC school at home they upset Vanderbilt, 84-72, back in December of 2021. TEXAS A&M is 0-6 ATS in road games versus teams who average 40 or more rebounds/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. CBB Underdogs of +145 to +350 vs. the money line (SMU) - good offensive rebounding team - averaging 13/game or more on the season, in November games are 26-18 L/5 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at -0.5 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. Play on SMU to cover |
|||||||
11-14-23 | Boston University +10.5 v. Howard | 53-64 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 51 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. According to my projections this line should be closer to -7 giving a solid one possession value to cover this hefty side offering. BOSTON U is 23-8 ATS L/31 in road games versus sub par passing teams, averaging 12 or less assists/game. Play on Boston U to cover full game and first half Boston U to cover |