All Sports Archive | |||||||
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
01-12-22 | East Tennessee State v. Furman -9 | 69-78 | Push | 0 | 14 h 38 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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01-12-22 | LSU v. Florida | 64-58 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 33 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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01-11-22 | Nuggets -1.5 v. Clippers | 85-87 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 11 m | Show | |
Despite of some injuries the Nuggets have still been able to win 5 of their L/7 overall. Meanwhile the Clippers after dealing well with the Kawhi Leonard injury started to have major cohesive problems without the injured Paul George in the lineup . From my perspective things wont get much better vs a Denver side that matches up well here at Staples where they have won their L/6 road games vs the Clippers. LA CLIPPERS are 2-13 ATS in a home game where the total is 210 to 219.5 this season. Clippers are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 home games. NBA Favorites vs. the money line (DENVER) - in a game involving two poor offensive teams (104-108 PPG), after allowing 95 points or less are 55-7 L/5 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (DENVER) - in a game involving two average three point shooting teams (33%-36.5%), average rebounding team (+/-3 reb/game) against a poor rebounding team (-3 to -5.5 reb/game) are 33-11 ATS L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Denver to cover |
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01-11-22 | Thunder +9.5 v. Wizards | 118-122 | Win | 100 | 12 h 5 m | Show | |
Neither one of these teams are operating optimally from a win/loss perspective but the one thing that stands out has been the young Thunders ability to be fairly competitive on a consistent basis as is evident by covering 11 of their L/14 overall. When these teams met on Nov 26 the visiting Wizards took a 101-99 decision and Im betting on a fairly close battle tonight as these sides take part in the DC rematch. OKLAHOMA CITY is 15-6 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season. Wizards are 1-10-1 ATS in their last 12 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Wizards are 0-6-1 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. NBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (OKLAHOMA CITY) - after going under the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games, a bad team, winning 25% to 40% of their games on the season are 35-11 ATS L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Oklahoma City to cover |
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01-11-22 | Hofstra +3 v. Towson | 66-78 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 18 m | Show | |
01-10-22 | Cavs -5 v. Kings | 109-108 | Loss | -106 | 11 h 18 m | Show | |
Both these teams are in a down mode lately, and both are exhausted. But the Cavaliers still possesses better chemistry and cohesiveness and are better conditioned. CLEVELAND is 8-1 ATS when playing 8 or more games in 14 days this season. SACRAMENTO is 8-20 ATS in home games when playing their 3rd game in 4 days over the last 3 seasons. SACRAMENTO is 2-10 ATS when playing 8 or more games in 14 days this season. NBA Road teams vs. the money line (CLEVELAND) - after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team are 27-6 L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams (CLEVELAND) - after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team are 35-10 ATS L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. |
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01-10-22 | 76ers v. Rockets +10.5 | 111-91 | Loss | -102 | 9 h 54 m | Show | |
These two sides Philadelphia and Houston are operating at the proverbial opposite ends of the performance spectrum. However, according to my power rankings the Rockets have an edge here at home as DD underdogs. Yes, the Rockets played last night, but it's not conditioning that has been an issue lately, but chemistry. Meanwhile, the Sixers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a road favorite and could easily use this as a defect game off, and rest key starters as this tilt progresses giving us lots of room for a backdoor cover. NBA Road teams (PHILADELPHIA) - in a game involving two poor offensive teams (104-108 PPG), after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more are 11-35 ATS L/26 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Underdogs of 10 or more points (HOUSTON) - poor defensive team - allowing 114+ points/game on the season, after allowing 63 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games are 36-13 ATS L/26 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Rockets to cover |
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01-10-22 | Georgia -2.5 v. Alabama | 33-18 | Win | 100 | 107 h 40 m | Show | |
CFP Championship Game - Lucas Oil Stadium - Indianapolis, IN I know it's never an easy decision to bet against Alabama , but I feel strongly this is Georgias time. The Bulldogs were head and shoulders the best team in College Football this season . Yes, they did lose to Saban and company allowing 30.4 ppg more than theyre season average But now with that loss out of the way Im betting Georgia will feel the need to be more aggressive with Alabama rather than show them to much respect , which was part of the reason they lost last time they played. Note: GEORGIA is 20-8 ATSL/28 in road games revenging an upset loss against opponent as a favorite. GEORGIA is 52-33 ATS L/85 in road games vs. good teams - outscoring opponents by 10+ PPG on the season. Saban is 7-19 ATS L/26 vs. mistake free teams - 42 or less penalty yards per game as the coach of ALABAMA. CFB team (GEORGIA) - good rushing team (190-230 RY/game) against an average rushing team (140-190 RY/game) after 7+ games, after allowing 100 or less rushing yards last game are 51-17 ATS L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Georgia to cover |
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01-10-22 | Spurs v. Knicks -6 | 96-111 | Win | 100 | 9 h 14 m | Show | |
This is the Spurs 7th straight road game, and are on back to back games after playing a hard fought game and close loss to the Brooklyn last night. Now exhausted and in an emotional letdown spot, Im betting there will not be alot left in the tank for tonights game against the New York Knicks. It must be noted that back in December the Knicks showed how well they matchup vs the Spurs in a DD road victory (121-109). This Im betting is a rinse and repeat situation. Knicks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Spurs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games.Spurs are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (SAN ANTONIO) - after a loss by 6 points or less against opponent after a blowout loss by 20 points or more are 4-34 L/5 seasons for a go against 89% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Favorites (NEW YORK) - after going under the total by 30 or more points total in their last three games, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a lower tier team (25-40%) are 39-11 ATS L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate. Play on NY Knicks to cover |
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01-10-22 | Holy Cross v. Lehigh -6 | 69-77 | Win | 100 | 8 h 41 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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01-09-22 | Grizzlies v. Lakers -3 | 127-119 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 21 m | Show | |
Memphis played last night and are on tired legs as this is their 5th game in 7 nights overall . I have alot of respect for the Grizzlies and they are showing alot of ferocity , consistency and chemistry. But despite of the super human numbers they have put up of late against top tier sides, they are most probably running on empty. With the LeBron James ego at stake you can bet the old super star will be wide awake here and ready to make headlines. With that said, Im betting on the Lakers rallying around him and taking down the Grizzlies . MEMPHIS is 16-32 ATS L/48 in road games when playing their 5th game in 7 days . Lakers are 4-0 SU L/4 meetings at Staples Center. NBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MEMPHIS) - after having covered 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 36-73 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 67% conversion rate for bettors. |
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01-09-22 | Bulls v. Mavs +3.5 | 99-113 | Win | 100 | 10 h 21 m | Show | |
Both these sides Dallas and Chicago are currently playing at a very high level with the Bulls on a 9 game win streak and their hosts the Mavs on a 5 game winning run! With that said, Im betting home court advantage will be the difference maker here this evening. NBA Road teams (CHICAGO) - an average offensive team (108-114 PPG) against an excellent defensive team (104 or less PPG), after scoring 68 points or more in the first half last game are 16-46 L/26 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate. Play on the Dallas Mavs to cover |
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01-09-22 | Wolves v. Rockets +7.5 | 141-123 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 27 m | Show | |
Houston has shown flashes of brilliance this season, but recently they have fallen into a deep freeze. However, according to my power rankings the Rockets from a style of play perspective matchup well here and are viable home pups vs a tired Wolves side playing their 5th road game in their 6 overall trips to the hardwood. NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MINNESOTA) - after going over the total by more than 18 points in their previous game, with a losing record are 76-48 ATS L/5 seasons for a 61% conversion rate. Play on Houston to cover |
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01-09-22 | Pelicans v. Raptors -7.5 | 101-105 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 38 m | Show | |
Toronto is playing their best basketball of the season and are currently on a 5 game win streak and have been an ATM machine for their backers covering 10 of their L/11 overall. Meanwhile, New Orleans despite a few flashes of brilliance remain an inconsistent side, with chemistry issues which is hampering their flow. NEW ORLEANS is 6-14 ATS in road games this season with the average ppg diff clicking in at -8.2 NEW ORLEANS is 3-13 ATS in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing 108 or less points/game over the last 2 seasons with the average ppg diff -11.7. TORONTO is 7-0 ATS after 4 or more consecutive overs this season with the average of +11.7 ppg diff. NBA team (TORONTO) - after going over the total by more than 6 points in five consecutive games, in non-conference games are 78-40 ATS L/26 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Toronto to cover |
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01-09-22 | Washington v. Colorado -9 | 64-78 | Win | 100 | 8 h 1 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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01-09-22 | 49ers +4.5 v. Rams | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 55 h 50 m | Show | |
The Rams QB Stafford is not seeing the field well as was evident last week when the threw another pick-six , and now has seven turnovers in the last three trips to the gridiron . Stafford is infamously streaky and his form is not where it should be entering this game against the SF 49ers. . Meanwhile, the Niners who have won the stats battles in 7 of their L/8 overall have urgency attached to this affair and will be very motivated to snatch a SU win as a victory or a loss by the Saints, will get them a post season wild card position . From a matchup perspective the Niners took out Los Angeles, 31-10, as a 3.5-point home underdog back in November, and have been a ATS machine for their backers after they covered the L/3 meetings in this series. SAN FRANCISCO is 5-0 straight up against LA RAMS over the last 3 seasons. NFL Road underdogs or pick (SAN FRANCISCO) - after a game where they committed 1 or less turnovers against opponent after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse are 37-8 L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. NFL team vs the money line (LA RAMS) - revenging a road loss against opponent by 14 points or more, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) are 24-3 L/39 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. NFL Home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (LA RAMS) - after allowing 5.5 or less passing yards per attempt last game against opponent after gaining 7 or more passing yards/attempt in 2 straight games are 9-38 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the SF 49ers to cover |
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01-09-22 | Hawks v. Clippers +5 | 93-106 | Win | 100 | 5 h 37 m | Show | |
The Atlanta Hawks are playing their 6th straight road game and are now on tired legs . I know the Clippers have not played cohesive basketball of late, but they are deep enough to compete here even with key cog George expected to miss. Yes, the Clippers played yesterday but after being humiliated by the Grizzlies by DDs, Im betting on a concerted effort fro a side that does not take well to being embarrassed. Hawks are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games as a favorite. Clippers are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games as a home underdog. ATLANTA is 5-15 ATS versus good defensive teams - allowing 108 or less points/game this season. Play on the LA Clippers to cover |
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01-09-22 | Fairfield v. Siena +2.5 | 62-69 | Win | 100 | 5 h 13 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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01-09-22 | Rider +9 v. Marist | 79-75 | Win | 100 | 4 h 58 m | Show | |
01-09-22 | Washington Football Team v. Giants +7 | 22-7 | Loss | -110 | 52 h 53 m | Show | |
Both these teams are done for the season, after today, and Im betting we wont see alot of motivation other than the revenge scenario the Gemn have for a 1 point loss they suffered to the Football team back in Sept. What I do expect is for both coaches to try to find a way to finish their season with some positives, via some slight structural renovations to their systems. In this type of affair, taking points with a home dog is a strong wagering opportunity . Note: NY GIANTS are 9-1 ATS in home games revenging an extremely close loss against opponent by 3 points or less. Football Team are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games as a favorite. Football Team are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. NFC East. Football Team are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 meetings. NFL Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (NY GIANTS) - slow starting team - outscored by 5+ PPG in the first half, after scoring 17 points or less in 3 straight games are 1160-96 L/39 seasons for a 62% conversion rate. NFL Favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (WASHINGTON) - with a poor turnover defense - forcing 1 or less turnovers/game, after a game where they forced no turnovers are 26-56 ATS L/10 seasons for last 10 seasons for a go against 68% conversion rate for bettors. |
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01-08-22 | Heat +8.5 v. Suns | 123-100 | Win | 100 | 11 h 34 m | Show | |
This has been a long grueling road trip for Miami , but they have proven to me during this West coast tour is they are a deep team, that is extremely well conditioned and are more than capable of retaining a high level of stamina behind a deep bench. Note: Heat are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. and once again matchup well getting this many points. Yes, even against the Suns in a hostile road environment. Heat are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games as a road underdog. Heat are 11-2 ATS in the last 13 meetings in Phoenix. MIAMI is 10-2 ATS as an underdog this season. MIAMI is 11-1 ATS after 4 or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons. MIAMI is 9-1 ATS in road games after a win by 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons. NBA Favorites (PHOENIX) - in a game involving two average offensive teams (108-114 PPG), after leading their last 2 games by 10+ points at the half are 18-38 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Miami Heat to cover |
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01-08-22 | Mississippi State v. Ole Miss +3 | 72-82 | Win | 100 | 10 h 21 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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01-08-22 | Magic +2.5 v. Pistons | 92-97 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 43 m | Show | |
Orlando is not playing all that well from a W/L perspective and their opponents Detroit are the same form. I know the Pistons have won a couple of games recently and shocked the Bucks in one of those tilts, but according to my power rankings the Magic in desperation mode matchup well here and actually have an opportunity for a rare SU win. Magic are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (DETROIT) - a terrible offensive team (104 or less PPG) against an avg. defensive team (108-114 PPG), after trailing in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half are 6-25 L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (DETROIT) - poor team - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game against opponent after a loss by 10 points or more are 34-64 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Orlando to cover |
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01-08-22 | Jazz -3 v. Pacers | 113-125 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 16 m | Show | |
Indiana has lost 6 straight games, and things dont look like they will get much better for them here tonight vs a ferocious Jazz side that has won 14 of 18 road games this season with the average margin of ppg diff clicking in at +10 . From a SRS perspective the Jazz rank 2nd in the league with a 8.53 mark while the Pacers rank 16th with a 0.04 mark. SRS: Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average. Even if Mitchell does not play tonight the Jazz are still the superior side. UTAH is 38-22 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons. UTAH is 8-0 ATS in a road game where the total is 220 to 229.5 this season. NDIANA is 4-14 ATS in home games versus teams who make 14 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 3 seasons NBA Road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (UTAH) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points, tired team - playing their 2nd road game in 2 days are 63-27 ATS L/26 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Jazz to cover |
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01-08-22 | South Dakota v. South Dakota State -15.5 | 65-84 | Win | 100 | 10 h 18 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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01-08-22 | Iowa State v. Oklahoma -5.5 | 66-79 | Win | 100 | 8 h 41 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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01-08-22 | Northern Iowa +5 v. Missouri State | 85-84 | Win | 100 | 6 h 19 m | Show | |
01-08-22 | Washington State v. Utah -1.5 | 77-61 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 47 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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01-08-22 | Grizzlies -2.5 v. Clippers | 123-108 | Win | 100 | 5 h 36 m | Show | |
Memphis is in top form having won 7 straight games, and the last time they played the Clippers back in Mid November the Clippers took a conclusive DD victory and deserse respect here as short road favs vs a side that is 4-8 SU L/12 overall. Note: LA CLIPPERS are 3-12 ATS in home games revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite over the last 2 season Grizzlies are 14-5 ATS versus good defensive teams - allowing 108 or less points/game this season. MEMPHIS is 8-0 ATS in road games after a game outrebounding opponent by 15 or more over the last 2 seasons. LA CLIPPERS are 2-12 ATS in a home game where the total is 210 to 219.5 this season. LA CLIPPERS are 2-12 ATS in a home game where the total is 210 to 219.5 this season. NBA teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (LA CLIPPERS) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite against opponent after a cover as a double digit favorite are 13-41 L/26 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (LA CLIPPERS) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite against opponent after a cover as a double digit favorite are 10-39 ATS L/26 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Memphis to cover |
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01-08-22 | St. John's +4.5 v. Providence | 73-83 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 30 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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01-08-22 | South Carolina +6 v. Vanderbilt | 72-70 | Win | 100 | 3 h 29 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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01-08-22 | Clemson +1.5 v. NC State | 70-65 | Win | 100 | 3 h 26 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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01-08-22 | Montana State v. North Dakota State -7 | 10-38 | Win | 100 | 3 h 32 m | Show | |
North Dakota State has a 47-6 record in true road games since 2011, and that record is 57-6 including 10 neutral site games over the same span. NDSU has a 40-3 record in the FCS playoffs. North Dakota State has won a record eight FCS national championships and is making a record ninth appearance in the title game. The Bison are 13-2 overall in playoff title games with the only losses coming in the Division II championships in 1981 to Texas State (42-13) and 1984 to Troy (18-17). Needless to say this storied FCS program knows how to win. Key today vs Montana State: North Dakota State has the No. 3 rushing offense in FCS averaging 273.6 yards per game. NDSU has seven backs averaging better than 5.0 yards per carry, and the team's 6.13 yards per carry is fifth best in school history and nothing will change here today in what Im betting will be a over powering performance vs a strong MSU D that is vulnerable to big gain on the ground vs this type of opposition . North Dakota State crushed Montana State in the 2018 and 2019 playoffs : The Bison took a 38-3 halftime lead in the 2018 second round and cruised, 52-10, then smashed them again to a 29-7 halftime lead in the 2019 semis before rolling 42-14. This might be a better version of Montana state but they still are in my opinion DD dogs despite of the line. Montana State averaged just 19 points per game over its final five regular-season contests, but in the play offs came alive under a backup QB Mellott, but after a 3 week lay off cohesiveness will be a problem vs this type of D. North Dakota State to cover |
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01-07-22 | Wizards v. Bulls -6 | 122-130 | Win | 100 | 9 h 53 m | Show | |
Chicago has won 8 straight games and according to my projections should be -7 or more point favs here at home, even after taking into consideration who's missing from each line up tonight. Wizards are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Bulls are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Bulls are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite.Bulls are 20-9 ATS in their last 29 games as a favorite. Wizards are 5-12 ATS in the last 17 meetings. NBA team vs the money line (CHICAGO) - a good defensive team (104-108 PPG) against an avg. defensive team (108-114 PPG), after 2 straight wins by 6 points or less are 28-7 L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +6.7 ppg. Play on Chicago to cover |
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01-07-22 | Bucks +5 v. Nets | 121-109 | Win | 100 | 8 h 2 m | Show | |
With their star Giannis Antetokounmpo upgraded to probable Friday vs Brooklyn Im recommending we take the points. Nets are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 home games. BROOKLYN is 6-15 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season. BROOKLYN is 3-14 ATS ( as a home favorite this season. BROOKLYN is 4-12 ATS versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game this season. NBA team vs the money line (MILWAUKEE) - off 2 or more consecutive upset losses as a favorite, on Friday nights are 46-10 L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Milwaukee to cover |
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01-07-22 | Cornell v. Pennsylvania -4 | 65-79 | Win | 100 | 9 h 58 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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01-07-22 | Kent State v. Ohio -7.5 | 72-80 | Win | 100 | 6 h 1 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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01-07-22 | Southeastern Louisiana -2 v. McNeese State | 83-78 | Win | 100 | 6 h 21 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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01-06-22 | Warriors -6.5 v. Pelicans | 96-101 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 11 m | Show | |
Golden State played last night and lost in Dallas, and despite of playing on back to back nights and this bering their 3rd game in 4 nights, Im now expecting a bounce back by this well conditioned side vs a host that is on a 3 game losing streak and just 7-11 at home this season. Note: GOLDEN STATE is 7-0 ATS when playing their 3rd game in 4 days this season. GOLDEN STATE is 16-6 ATS when playing against a struggling team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) over the last 2 seasons.GOLDEN STATE is 20-9 ATS versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons. NBA Road teams (GOLDEN STATE) - after going under the total by more than 30 points in their previous game against opponent after going over the total by 18 or more points total in their last three games are 46-21 ATS L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Golden State to cover |
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01-06-22 | Stephen F Austin v. Abilene Christian -5.5 | 64-58 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 26 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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01-06-22 | Seattle University -10 v. Chicago State | 93-77 | Win | 100 | 10 h 29 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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01-06-22 | Arkansas State v. UL - Lafayette -4.5 | 77-83 | Win | 100 | 10 h 27 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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01-06-22 | Texas-Arlington +8 v. Georgia State | 70-63 | Win | 100 | 9 h 60 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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01-05-22 | Heat v. Blazers -1 | 115-109 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 18 m | Show | |
The Long and Winding Road - the iconic song by the Beatles best describes the Heats woes entering this tilt vs their host the Portland Blazers. This is Miami's 4th straight West coast road trip game and overall their 8th road game in their L/12 tilts overall. This kind of schedule will take a toll on any team, especially with the problems associated with covid protocols. With Jimmy Butler downgraded to not starting tonight for the Heat, the short handed young men form South Florida look to be a disadvantage on tired legs as visitors in Oregon tonight. Note: The Heat are also off a hard fought battle vs the Golden state Warriors last time out they lost in will be in an emotional letdown spot. Heat are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record. Heat are 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Portland. NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (PORTLAND) - average offensive team (108-114 PPG) against a poor offensive team (104-108 PPG), after a combined score of 245 points or more are 40-3 L/26 seasons for a 93% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Portland to cover |
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01-05-22 | Jazz v. Nuggets +4.5 | 115-109 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 56 m | Show | |
Denver had a three game losing streak end last time out, against Dallas . But that was the tail end of a grueling four game road trip for a Nuggets side that was short handed because of injuries and covid issues. Nuggets are however, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points. I know their opponents the Jazz continue to run over opponents, but from a matchup perspective the Nuggets actually align well in this head to head battle especially with Jazz key components less than 100% as Donovan Mitchell and Rudy Gobert playing with nagging injuries. Jazz are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite. NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DENVER) - after a game committing 13+ more turnovers than opponents are 71-31 ATS L/26 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Denver Nuggets |
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01-05-22 | Wisc-Milwaukee +1.5 v. Green Bay | 63-49 | Win | 100 | 5 h 8 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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01-05-22 | Rockets v. Wizards -7 | 114-111 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 10 m | Show | |
After a brief flash of brilliance from this young Houston group back in late November early December the wheels have fallen off the proverbial wagon, as the rockets have suffered 10 losses in 11 games overall including 8 straight defeats, including 3 straight by DD deficits. Needless to say the Rockets look like weak dogs here vs a Washington side that has won 4 of their L/7 and covered 6 of their L/7 . Even if Christian Wood plays tonight for the Rockets they are at a disadvantage according to my projections making the Wizards my chosen side . HOUSTON is 9-21 ATS versus poor offensive teams - scoring 108 or less points/game over the last 2 seasons. HOUSTON is 4-17 ATS after 8 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons. NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (HOUSTON) - a poor offensive team (104-108 PPG) against an avg. defensive team (108-114 PPG), after allowing 125 points or more are 4-31 L/5 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at -12.1 which qualifies on the this ATS line offering. Play on the Wizards to cover |
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01-05-22 | Massachusetts v. Richmond -10 | 72-80 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 4 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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01-04-22 | Virginia +4 v. Clemson | 75-65 | Win | 100 | 11 h 33 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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01-04-22 | Providence v. Marquette -1 | 56-88 | Win | 100 | 9 h 27 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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01-04-22 | Suns -7.5 v. Pelicans | 123-110 | Win | 100 | 9 h 4 m | Show | |
We know who the superior side is here, the question is will the Suns be motivated and ready to romp to a big victory on the road? The answer is yes. After losing 3 of 4 the Suns smashed Charlotte last time out by a 133-99 count and now look rejuvenated after an inevitable mini slump because of their high octane energy draining style of play. The last 4 meetings in this series have seen the Suns win each time by conclusive DD deficits and Im betting on a rinse and repeat scenario here vs a inconsistent side that has lost two straight. note: PHOENIX is 9-1 ATS in road games after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread over the last 2 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at 12.1. Williams is 15-5 ATS in road games against Southwest division opponents as the coach of PHOENIX with the average ppg diff clicking in at 9.5 ppg. Play on the Suns to cover |
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01-04-22 | Pacers v. Knicks -1.5 | 94-104 | Win | 100 | 11 h 30 m | Show | |
The Pacers have lost 4 straight and 7 of their L/9 while their hosts the Knicks have lost two straight. However, from a overall performance spectrum and head to head matchup analysis the Knicks are the superior side at the moment playing with home court advantage. Pacers are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 road games. NEW YORK is 20-6 ATS at home when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons. Thibodeau is 33-17 ATS versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% as the coach of NEW YORK. Knicks are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 Tuesday games.Knicks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Knicks are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite. NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (INDIANA) - after a loss by 6 points or less against opponent after a blowout loss by 15 points or more are 10-50 L/5 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (NEW YORK) - after going under the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a losing team are 36-14 ATS L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate. Pacers are 6-14 ATS in the last 20 meetings in New York. Play on NY Knicks to cover |
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01-04-22 | Kentucky +1 v. LSU | 60-65 | Loss | -105 | 25 h 57 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. CBB team (LSU) - in a game involving two excellent defensive teams (40% or better ), after a game where a team made 33% of their shots or worse are just 24-63 L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate. |
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01-04-22 | Eastern Michigan v. Western Michigan +2.5 | 85-79 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 39 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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01-04-22 | Illinois -6.5 v. Minnesota | 76-53 | Win | 100 | 9 h 36 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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01-04-22 | Ohio v. Akron -1 | 69-63 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 50 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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01-03-22 | Nuggets v. Mavs -3 | 89-103 | Win | 100 | 12 h 41 m | Show | |
When these teams played on Nov 15 the Mavs took a 111-101 victory on home court and proved to me they matchup well vs the Nuggets.Note: DENVER is just 8-18 ATS revenging a road loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons. Meanwhile, Dallas is off a strong defensive effort vs Oklahoma city lat time out, and have momentum entering this tilt vs the Nuggets. DALLAS is 18-6 ATS after scoring 100 points or less over the last 2 seasons. The Nuggets are playing well, recording three straight wins but they have proven highly inconsistent or over rated when they are on a positive run as Malone is 16-30 ATS in road games after 3 or more consecutive wins as the coach of DENVER. Advantage Dallas. NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (DALLAS) - in a game involving two poor offensive teams (104-108 PPG), after a combined score of 195 points or less are 27-2 L/5 seasons for a 93% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +11 ppg. Play on Dallas to cover |
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01-03-22 | Browns +3 v. Steelers | 14-26 | Loss | -117 | 9 h 4 m | Show | |
Cleveland is off two very close losses by 2 points each time and are desperate for a victory and despite of now being eliminated from the playoffs but are still a side that needs to finish strongly and play spoilers . Meanwhile, Pittsburgh was crushed by the Chiefs last time out , but still can win the AFC North. Needless to say this is a big game for the Steelers but because of their ineptness this will be a grinding affair with getting points in my opinion being golden. Browns are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games in January. Note: the Steelers have now been held without a TD in the first half of 5 consecutive games and these slow starts are a game killers and Im betting it could easily rare its ugly head again tonight. Plus I cant help but feel Steelers QB Ben Rothlisberger is not longer a top tier pivot as father time remains undefeated. Steelers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Monday games.Steelers are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games as a home favorite.Steelers are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite. Steelers are 0-6 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.Steelers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. NFL Underdogs on the opening l vs. the money line (PITTSBURGH) - off a road loss, when playing on Monday night are 1-24 L/5 seasons for a go against 96% conversion rate for bettors. NFL team vs the money line (PITTSBURGH) - average passing team (5.9-6.7 PYA) against an average passing defense (5.9-6.7 PYA) after 8+ games, after allowing 8 or more passing yards/attempt in their last game are 5-30 L/5 seasons for a go against 86% conversion rate for bettors. NFL Road teams (CLEVELAND) - off an extremely close road loss by 3 points or less, in the last 2 weeks of the regular season. are 27-6 ATS L/29 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play in Cleveland to cover |
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01-03-22 | UT-Rio Grande Valley v. Sam Houston State -8 | 78-86 | Push | 0 | 1 h 26 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. UTRGV is 0-6 ATS when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) over the last 2 seasons. SAM HOUSTON ST is 7-0 ATS as a home favorite or pick over the last 2 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at +19.5 . |
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01-02-22 | Wolves v. Lakers -8 | 103-108 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 37 m | Show | |
Minnesota enters this tilt against the LA Lakers having lost 4 of their L/5 games, while the Lakers have won 2 of their L/3 covering all 3 times including a DD beatdown at home vs Portland last time out. After watching parts of the game against Portland and reviewing the Lakers overall play and the fact the team is looking healthier now , Im betting they continue their upward momentum, with a convincing win here on their own home court vs a Wolves side without key starter Karl Anthony Towns. Note: The Lakers also have the added incentive of having revenge on board for a loss to the Wolves back on Dec 17th in the Land o Lakes. MINNESOTA is 4-15 ATS in road games against Pacific division opponents over the last 3 seasons. NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (LA LAKERS) - revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, off a home blowout win by 20 points or more are 28-3 L/5 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at +11.2 which qualifies on this ATS Line. Play on the LA Lakers to cover |
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01-02-22 | Suns v. Hornets +2.5 | 133-99 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 54 m | Show | |
Charlotte is very under rated and matchup well against explosive sides like the Suns. The Hornets rank 2nd in ppg offense in the NBA and are currently on a 3 game win streak where they have shown better defensive capabilities as well. Their current form will aid them well here, which makes them viable home court underdogs. Note: The Hornets are 11-2/ATS at home this season, while the Suns are 11-4 SU but have covered just 8 of those tilts. The Suns are also 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Hornets are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. CHARLOTTE is 25-13 ATS in home games versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 or less free throws/game over the last 2 seasons. CHARLOTTE is 8-1 ATS as a home underdog this season. CHARLOTTE is 10-0 ATS in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 230 over the last 2 season. CHARLOTTE is 7-0 ATS revenging a road loss vs opponent of 10 points or more this season. CHARLOTTE is 10-2 ATS revenging a road loss vs opponent this season. Borrego is 20-8 ATS in home games versus horrible foul drawing teams - attempting 21 or less free throws/game as the coach of CHARLOTTE. NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (PHOENIX) - hot team - having won 20 or more of their last 25 games are just 18-47 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate. Play on charlotte to cover |
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01-02-22 | Arizona State +1.5 v. California | 50-74 | Loss | -102 | 2 h 51 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. ARIZONA ST is 3-0 straight up against CALIFORNIA over the last 3 seasons. CBB Home teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (CALIFORNIA) - bad pressure defensive team - forcing 12 or less turnovers/game, after 2 straight games committing 11 or less turnovers are 38-83 L/5 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate. What was supposed to be a road game against Stanford has become a home game vs. Arizona State for the Cal men’s basketball team on Sunday afternoon. The switch became necessary mid-week because of a COVID-19 outbreak on the Stanford team. |
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01-02-22 | Heat v. Kings +4 | 113-115 | Win | 100 | 9 h 34 m | Show | |
Miami is on the road here and are short handed because of covid protocols and injuries, while Sacramento is unscathed and playing on the confines of their own home building. I know the Heat are deep and well coached which always makes them dangerous , but the Kings despite of being highly inconsistent have shown flashes of brilliance and are viable underdogs with their team much healthier than their opponents .Heat are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite.Heat are 2-6 ATS in the last 8 meetings. Play on Sacramento to cover |
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01-02-22 | Louisville -3 v. Georgia Tech | 67-64 | Push | 0 | 1 h 53 m | Show | |
01-02-22 | Lions +7 v. Seahawks | 29-51 | Loss | -105 | 56 h 54 m | Show | |
The Seahawks are not going to play offs, and will now be in a emotional down situation here this week vs a rejuvenated Detroit side that will motivated to finish their season on a strong note. Note: Seattle probably does not deserve a play off spot anyway, considering they have lost the stats battles in 12 of 15 games. this seasons ,by an average -82 net ypg. Seattle is 0-5 ATS in their last five battles against the NFC North. The Lions are 5-1 ATS record in NFC West game and have covered four straight vs NFC. Lions are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog. Seahawks are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 17. DETROIT is 6-0 ATS vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 61% or worse in the second half of the season this season. DETROIT is 8-2 ATS in games played on turf this season. NFL Home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (SEATTLE) - after a game where they forced no turnovers against opponent after 2 consecutive game where they committed 1 or less turnovers are 15-45 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Seattle to cover |
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01-02-22 | Dartmouth v. Cornell -4.5 | 71-79 | Win | 100 | 5 h 49 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Cornell did not look out of place against 2 power 5 teams recently VTech and Syracuse and previous to that had won 4 straight. Meanwhile, Dartmouth after spending a good part of this season on the road out west and currently on a 7 game losing streak are at a disadvantage . CBB team (CORNELL) - in a game involving 2 up-tempo teams ( 60 or more shots/game), good rebounding team (+3 to +6 reb/game) against a poor rebounding team (-3 to -6 reb/game) are 54-25 L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate. CORNELL is 8-1 ATS in all lined games this season.CORNELL is 7-0 ATS in home games after playing a road game over the last 3 seasons. |
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01-02-22 | Dolphins +3.5 v. Titans | 3-34 | Loss | -110 | 52 h 13 m | Show | |
Since star RB Derrick Henry went on the IR the Titans have been in a bit of nose dive, and until he returns things wont get much better including today against a up trending Dolphins side that is on a 7 game win streak. Note : NFL sides on a 7 game win streak, are on a 12-1 ATS run when coming off a non-division victory. (Miami beat NO last week 20-3). Tennessee has had problems scoring since Henry went down, and recently during a 5 game run have averaged just 15.8 ppg in offense. On the flipside the Fins have allowed just one side more than 17 points in their L/7 games overall. MIAMI is 12-3 ATS vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 61% or better in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. MIAMI is 9-1 ATS after covering the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games over the last 2 seasons. TENNESSEE is 20-35 ATS as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992. NFL team vs the money line (TENNESSEE) - average passing team (5.9-6.7 PYA) against an average passing defense (5.9-6.7 PYA) after 8+ games, after allowing 8 or more passing yards/attempt in their last game are 5-35 L/5 seasons for a go against 86% conversion rate. Underdog is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings. Play on Miami to cover |
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01-02-22 | Jaguars +17 v. Patriots | 10-50 | Loss | -117 | 52 h 58 m | Show | |
The Jags are on a 7 game losing streak and have failed to cover 6 straight times, but here I am recommending we take the points . This offering from a mathematical standpoint according to my projections is a almost a full FG off , giving us value taking points. Last week the Pats got a reality check against the Bills in a loss and QB Mac Jones showed his relative immaturity in that loss. Desperation and some sort of redemption for this Jaguars side Im betting has them leaving everything on the field this Sunday. Jaguars have covered 3 of their L/4 as 13 or more points pups dating back to last season. Underdog is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings. NFL Road underdogs or pick (JACKSONVILLE) - after a game where they committed 1 or less turnovers against opponent after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse are 37-7 L/5 seasons for a 84% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Jacksonville Jaguars to cover |
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01-01-22 | Warriors +5.5 v. Jazz | 123-116 | Win | 100 | 11 h 59 m | Show | |
Utah enters this game having won 6 straight and 14 of their L/16 games, while the Golden State Warriors have won 6 of their L/8 overall, and are 11-4 in road games this season and are are 11-1 ATS in their last 12 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. like the Jazz including 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Jazz are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Jazz are 0-5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games. The above trends give credence to an advantage taking points. GOLDEN STATE is 10-2 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record this season. UTAH is 2-13 ATS in home games after a division game over the last 3 seasons NBA Favorites (UTAH) - after scoring 120 points or more 2 straight games against opponent after scoring 43 points or less in the first half last game are 17-44 L/25 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Golden State Warriors to cover |
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01-01-22 | New Mexico v. Nevada -11 | 70-79 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 59 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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01-01-22 | Baylor +1.5 v. Ole Miss | 21-7 | Win | 100 | 26 h 16 m | Show | |
Sugar Bowl - Ceasars Superdome - New Orleans, LA Baylor's is a top tier two way side, controlling the ball for 31:37 per game and that will be the difference maker here today vs Ole Miss. BAYLOR is 9-0 ATS vs. very good offensive teams - scoring 34 or more points/game over the last 3 seasons.BAYLOR is 8-1 ATS versus excellent offensive teams - averaging 450 or more yards/game over the last 3 seasons.BAYLOR is 10-1 ATS vs. good teams - outscoring opponents by 10+ PPG on the season over the last 3 seasons.BAYLOR is 9-1 ATS in road games in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. SEC teams are 3-6 ATS in the last nine Sugar Bowls. Play on Baylor to cover |
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01-01-22 | Nuggets -6.5 v. Rockets | 124-111 | Win | 100 | 9 h 54 m | Show | |
Houston after showing some improvement about a month ago have now fallen back into a deep depression registering 6 straight losses, and 8 of their L/9. I know Denver is still dealing with injuries and covid protocol issues, but according to my projections still have enough weapons to come out this with a convincing victory. Silas is 1-10 ATS in home games off a home loss by 10 points or more as the coach of HOUSTON. Silas is 8-23 ATS in home games after 2 or more consecutive losses as the coach of HOUSTON. HOUSTON is 8-20 ATS in home games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots over the last 2 seasons. NBA Favorites vs. the money line (DENVER) - in a game involving two poor offensive teams (104-108 PPG), after allowing 95 points or less are 49-7 L/5 seasons for a 88% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +9.9 ppg which qualifies on this ATS line. NBA Road favorites of -165 to -500 vs. the money line (DENVER) - playing with 3 or more days rest, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season are 37-4 L/25 seasons for a 90% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking at +9.1 ppg which once again qualifies on this ATS line. NBA Road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DENVER) - after 2 or more consecutive unders, an average team (+/- 3 PPG differential) against a terrible team (7 or les PPG differential) are 33-8 ATS L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Denver to cover |
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01-01-22 | Bulls v. Wizards +2 | 120-119 | Win | 100 | 9 h 51 m | Show | |
Washington, meanwhile, welcomed Bradley Beal back from protocol in its 110-93 win over the Cleveland Cavaliers on Thursday and must be respected as home dogs here vs the red hot but tired Chicago Bulls who play their 3rd game in 4 nights and off playing Indiana last night in a hard fought 108-106 win. Advantage with the home side. Wizards are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. WASHINGTON is 16-2 ATS after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.NBA Road teams vs. the money line (CHICAGO) - after 1 or more consecutive wins, extremely tired team - playing their 5th game in 7 days are 13-39 L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate. Play on Washington to cover |
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01-01-22 | Pelicans +11 v. Bucks | 113-136 | Loss | -101 | 8 h 53 m | Show | |
Based on the style of play the Pelicans have settled into of late, I believe they are capable of hanging in against the explosive Bucks. New Orleans has won 5 of their L/6 and have momentum and confidence on their sides. With Milwaukee off a Florida vacation taking down Orlando in two straight they could easily start slowly here back in the chilly climes of Wisconsin as they get accustomed to home cooking again. MILWAUKEE is 2-12 ATS off 2 or more consecutive road wins over the last 2 seasons.MILWAUKEE is 3-12 ATS against Southwest division opponents over the last 2 seasons. NBA Underdogs of 10 or more points (NEW ORLEANS) - well rested team - playing 6 or less games in 14 days, in January games are 24-5 ATS L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. NBA team (MILWAUKEE) - after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a bad team (25% to 40%) are 20-54 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on New Orleans to cover |
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01-01-22 | Utah v. Ohio State -4 | 45-48 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 17 m | Show | |
Rose Bowl - Rose Bowl - Pasadena, CA Ohio State has something to prove here after being defeated by Michigan to end their season. Im betting we see them at their best here vs a good but not quite ready for prime time Utah Utes side. I know some key players will be out for Ohio State as they prepare for the NFL draft but their replacements are top tier recruits and will be out to show off their abilities. OHIO ST is 9-1 ATS L/10 in road games off an upset loss to a conference rival as a favorite of 6 or more points. (Lost to Michigan 42-27 to end their season) OHIO ST is 29-13 ATS versus excellent rushing teams - averaging 5.25 or more rushing yards/carry. CFB Neutral field favorites vs. the money line (OHIO ST) - after gaining 525 or more total yards/game over their last 2 games, with an inexperienced QB as starter 32-2 L/29 seasons for a 94% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +16.6 . CFB Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (UTAH) - excellent offensive team (6.2 or more YPP) against a team with an average defense (4.8 to 5.6 YPP) are 48-81 ATS L/5 seasons for a 63% go against conversion rate. Ohio State to cover |
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01-01-22 | Kentucky -3 v. Iowa | 20-17 | Push | 0 | 19 h 53 m | Show | |
Citrus Bowl - Camping World Stadium - Orlando, FL The Hawkeyes and Wildcats use their ground attacks as their no1 option to move the chains and both play strong defense . Both are patient and can force mistakes. Both play similar styles but Im betting the Wildcats are the superior side. KENTUCKY is 7-0 ATS after playing a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons. Bowl teams that scored 3 or less points in their last game are 1-11 ATS L/12 opportunities. (Iowa lost 42-3 to Michigan to end their season) CFB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (IOWA) - after allowing 6.25 or more yards/play in their previous game against opponent after outgaining opp by 125 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games are 9-30 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors. CFB Neutral field favorites vs. the money line (KENTUCKY) - after gaining 525 or more total yards/game over their last 2 games, with an inexperienced QB as starter 32-2 L/29 seasons for a 94% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +16.6 ppg which qualifies on this offered ATS line. Play on Kentucky to cover |
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01-01-22 | Oklahoma State +1 v. Notre Dame | 37-35 | Win | 100 | 19 h 44 m | Show | |
Fiesta Bowl - State Farm Stadium - Glendale, AZ The Cowboys were in my humble opinion the most under rated team in the nation this season, behind a top tier D, and explosive offense . The Cowboys were also 5-0 SU/ATS on the road this season and must be respected here away from home vs a Notre Dame side that will be without their top RB Kyren Williams and their best defensive player DB Kyle Hamilton . Cowboys are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 bowl games are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 Bowl games. Cowboys are 9-1-1 ATS in their last 11 games overall. Cowboys are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 bowl games as an underdog. Cowboys are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 non-conference games. NOTRE DAME is 14-33 ATS L/47 versus good defensive teams - allowing 4.5 or less yards/play. OKLAHOMA ST is 8-1 ATS after allowing 100 or less rushing yards last game over the last 2 seasons. Play on Oklahoma State to cover |
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01-01-22 | Arkansas v. Penn State +2.5 | 24-10 | Loss | -100 | 18 h 6 m | Show | |
Early on this season, the Lions looked like Big 10 Contenders , but some close loses to top tier competition looked to take the wind out of them down the stretch. Im now betting we see Penn State back in top form . I know Arkansas looked strong down the stretch but their defense remains vulnerable and could easily be their Achilles heel in this Bowl tilt. Razorbacks are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite. PENN ST is 21-9 ATS L/30 in road games vs. excellent punt coverage teams, allowing 7.5 or less yards per return . PENN ST is 7-0 ATS in road games after failing to cover the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games over the last 3 seasons. Franklin is 8-1 ATS after 3 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers as the coach of PENN ST. .Nittany Lions are 11-4-1 ATS in their last 16 non-conference games. CFB Neutral field favorites vs. the money line (ARKANSAS) - after having won 2 out of their last 3 games, in a non-conference game between two teams from major division 1-A conferences are 13-22 L/10 seasons for a go against 63% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Penn State to cover |
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12-31-21 | Georgia -7.5 v. Michigan | 34-11 | Win | 101 | 24 h 10 m | Show | |
Georgia is the best team in the nation, and deserve to be 10 point favs according to my projections. I know Michigan has had a fine season, but this is a special SEC group of Bulldogs and they deserve the ultimate respect. I know anything can happen in one game, and upsets are possible but 99 out 100 times this Georgia team comes out with a conclusive victory according to my projections. Miracles are beautiful things to behold, but Im betting today wont bring any Sister Lucia like enlightenment to the Orange Bowl. Note: SEC Bowl favorites are 9-3 ATS L/12 versus the Big Ten. CFB Favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (GEORGIA) - with a good rushing D - allowing 3.25 or less rushing yards/carry, after allowing 125 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games are 61-30 ATS L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Georgia to cover |
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12-31-21 | Clippers +6 v. Raptors | 108-116 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 56 m | Show | |
The Clippers are short handed because of injuries and covid but have some of the best chemistry in the entire NBA and bench depth and must be considered live dogs here vs a Toronto side that is a shell of itself at the moment because of covid protocols. LA CLIPPERS are 17-5 ATS in road games when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) over the last 3 seasons. NBA Road teams vs. the money line (LA CLIPPERS) - after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team are 35-8 L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. LA CLIPPERS is 4-0 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons including 2-0 at Toronto. Take the points with the LA Clippers |
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12-31-21 | Cincinnati +13.5 v. Alabama | 6-27 | Loss | -104 | 20 h 48 m | Show | |
Cotton Bowl Classic - AT&T Stadium - Arlington, TX Oh boy here I go Im going to bet against Nick Saban's Alabama. Im not only feeling brave, but confident. I know old Nick has a reputation as virtually unbeatable, but this is a big spread and the advantage must go to an undefeated side that has proven itself consistently against top tier opposition covering their L/7 vs above .900 opposition like Alabama. The Bearcats were also 7-0 ATS against above.500 foes this season. Bottom line: Cincinnatis D is very strong, even when considering this type of explosive offensive opposition. Note: The Bearcats own the No. 1 Team Passing Efficiency Defense, and rank No. 3 in the nation in Red Zone Defense. This Im betting keeps them competitive enough to get us the cover. CINCINNATI is 9-0 ATS vs. excellent punt coverage teams, allowing 7.5 or less yards per return over the last 2 seasons.CINCINNATI is 9-1 ATS vs. very good offensive teams - scoring 34 or more points/game over the last 3 seasons.CINCINNATI is 8-0 ATS after allowing 100 or less rushing yards last game over the last 2 seasons.CINCINNATI is 10-1 ATS vs. excellent passing teams with a completion pct. of 62% or better over the last 3 seasons. Play on Cincinnati to cover |
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12-31-21 | Delaware v. College of Charleston -3 | 67-66 | Loss | -109 | 4 h 38 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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12-31-21 | Suns v. Celtics +4 | 108-123 | Win | 100 | 6 h 42 m | Show | |
The Celtics have lost 3 straight games and are now in desperation mode and will prepared for a bounce back vs a top tier opponent . The Celtics also have the added motivation of revenging a loss to the Suns in the desert back on Dec 10th . Note: BOSTON is 11-1 ATS after having lost 4 of their last 5 games over the last 2 seasons.BOSTON is 24-7 ATS versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game over the last 3 seasons. NBA team (BOSTON) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points, off 2 or more consecutive upset losses as a favorite are 97-50 ATS L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate. NBA Underdogs (BOSTON) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points, off 2 or more consecutive upset losses as a favorite are 41-16 ATS L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate. Play on Boston Celtics to cover |
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12-31-21 | Central Michigan +7 v. Washington State | 24-21 | Win | 100 | 17 h 43 m | Show | |
Sun Bowl - Sun Bowl - El Paso, TX Im a fan of Central Michigan head coach Jim McElwain, who has a money making 12-5 SUATS coming off a bye including 7-1 ATS run when coming off a victory. He has really put together a tough and explosive group together here with the Chips and deserves respect for his work and what is top tier preparation levels. They enter this game on a 4-0 SU/ATS run while averaging 41 points per game and Im betting will hang with their PAC 10 OPPONENTS . Pac-12’s sides like Washington State are 1-23 ATS in bowl games against opposition coming off a win . C MICHIGAN is 13-3 ATS vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 58% or better. over the last 3 seasons. WASHINGTON ST is 0-6 ATS after a bye week over the last 3 seasons CFB Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (C MICHIGAN) - after going under the total by more than 21 points in their previous game, in the second half of the season are 39-20 ATS L/5 seasons for 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Central Michigan to cover |
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12-30-21 | Arizona State v. Wisconsin -6.5 | 13-20 | Win | 100 | 13 h 2 m | Show | |
The Badgers looked strong down the stretch winning 7 of their L/8 games and deserve respect here vs Arizona State tonight . I know ASU have been strong defensively, but the Badgers are from a conference with some hardcore top tier defenses, and wont be phased . With that said, I really feel the Badgers have an edge, on both sides of the ball. The Badgers have only failed to cover 1 of their L/7 postseason tilts . From a historical view: Vegas Bowl has seen the favorites, cash 7 of the L/10 times. Wisconsin has won 7 of their L/8 Bowl games SU. Note: [RB] 12/09/2021 - Rachaad White is OUT Thursday vs Wisconsin ( Personal ) CFB Favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (WISCONSIN) - with a good rushing D - allowing 3.25 or less rushing yards/carry, after allowing 125 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games are 61-30 L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Wisconsin to cover |
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12-30-21 | South Alabama v. Texas-Arlington +3 | 87-89 | Win | 100 | 9 h 20 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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12-30-21 | Cavs +4 v. Wizards | 93-110 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 31 m | Show | |
Both sides are expected to be short handed tonight because of covid protocols, but based on bench depth, G-league signings and who is left to play, the Cavaliers are the superior side, which according to my projections makes getting points a advantageous situation. Wizards are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite. Cavaliers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up loss.Cavaliers are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. CLEVELAND is 10-2 ATS versus poor offensive teams - scoring 108 points/game this season.CLEVELAND is 15-2 ATS after covering 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread this season. NBA team vs the money line (WASHINGTON) - off a cover where the team lost the game straight up as an underdog against opponent off an upset loss as a road favorite are 11-37 L/5 seasons for a 77% go against conversion rate. NBA team (WASHINGTON) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite, off a cover where the team lost the game straight up as an underdog are 159-243 ATS L/25 seasons for a go against 61% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Cleveland to cover |
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12-30-21 | 76ers v. Nets -4.5 | 110-102 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 19 m | Show | |
Brooklyn has won 6 of its L/7 games overall, and have covered 4 of their L/5 meetings the 76ers. Meanwhile, I know the Sixers have won 3 of their L/4 overall and have won 3 straight road games, but despite of the current positive traveling data, do not matchup well here vs what my projections say is the superior side. With Kevin Durant expected to play tonight for the Nets, laying a little lumber here is a solid investment option. Note: From a SRS perspective the Sixers own a 16th ranking in the league (0.17) while the Nets are ranked 7th with at (2.75). Advantage Sixers with home court edge added in. SRS - Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average BROOKLYN is 14-2 ATS after 2 consecutive non-conference games over the last 2 seasons. PHILADELPHIA is 1-10 ATS off a road win this season.PHILADELPHIA is 12-25 ATS in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 3 seasons NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (BROOKLYN) - average offensive team (108-114 PPG) against a poor offensive team (104-108 PPG), after scoring 120 points or more are 88-16 L/25 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at.+9 ppg, which qualifies on this ATS Line. Play on Brooklyn to cover |
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12-30-21 | Old Dominion v. Florida International | 82-77 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 60 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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12-30-21 | Pittsburgh v. Michigan State -3 | 21-31 | Win | 100 | 10 h 45 m | Show | |
Peach Bowl - Mercedes-Benz Stadium - Atlanta, GA Pitt won’t have their super star QB Kenny Pickett tonight as he opts out to to prepare for the NFL draft while Michigan State won’t have their prize RB Kenneth Walker III in the lineup. But like I have said many times before RBs are easily replaced , while big time QBs are not easily replaced. Advantage Michigan State. Panthers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog.Panthers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 bowl games. Spartans are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 non-conference games. Spartans are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 Bowl games. Big 10 have owned the ACC in bowl games, going 7-1 ATS in the last eight meetings. Michigan State to cover |
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12-29-21 | Mavs v. Kings +2.5 | 94-95 | Win | 100 | 11 h 60 m | Show | |
Dallas key component Luka Doncic is downgraded to OUT Wednesday vs Sacramento ( Quarantine ) and there are more players being added as I write this. Advantage goes to home side Sacramento. DALLAS is 7-17 ATS when playing against a struggling team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) over the last 2 seasons NBA Home teams vs. the money line (SACRAMENTO) - after going under the total by 18 or more points total in their last three games, in a game involving two marginal losing teams (40 to 49%) are 33-8 L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (SACRAMENTO) - after going under the total by 18 or more points total in their last three games, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a losing team are 43-17 ATS L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Sacramento Kings to cover |
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12-29-21 | Jazz v. Blazers +7 | 120-105 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 53 m | Show | |
Key component for the Jazz Donovan Mitchell will be out tonight. I know their are missing bodies for the Blazers, but Im expecting a strong effort from the entire group in revenge mode for a DD loss the team suffered back on Nov.29th . NBA Underdogs (PORTLAND) - revenging a road blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more, off an upset loss by 15 points or more as a favorite are 34-8 L/25 seasons for a 81% conversion rate. Play on Portland to cover |
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12-29-21 | Lakers +6 v. Grizzlies | 99-104 | Win | 100 | 8 h 12 m | Show | |
The Grizzlies are off a hard fought 3 game road trip vs the Suns , Kings and Warriors and are now in a physical and emotional letdown situation here in their first game back home. After road trips like this it takes teams time to get use to home cooking again, and and jet lag will be have an effect on the Grizzlies over all performance. I know the Lakers played last night, but they looked like they have some swagger back after a conclusive road win which will suit them well here in Memphis tonight. NBA Road teams vs. the money line (LA LAKERS) - after a road game where both teams score 100 or more points against opponent off a road win by 3 points or less are 31-18 L/5 seasons for a 63% conversion rate. NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (LA LAKERS) - after 2 straight games where both teams scored 115 points or more are 75-39 L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the LA Lakers to cover |
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12-29-21 | Memphis -9.5 v. Tulane | 84-85 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 39 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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12-29-21 | Hofstra v. William & Mary +14.5 | 62-63 | Win | 100 | 11 h 40 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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12-29-21 | LSU v. Auburn -4 | 55-70 | Win | 100 | 9 h 19 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. CBB Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (LSU) - after 4 or more consecutive wins against opponent after 7 or more consecutive wins are 3-25 ATS L/5 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Auburn to cover |
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12-29-21 | Long Island v. Sacred Heart -2.5 | 65-69 | Win | 100 | 9 h 12 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. CBB road team (LONG ISLAND) - off 2 consecutive home wins by 10 points or more, a bad team, winning 20% to 40% of their games on the season are 12-37 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors. |
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12-29-21 | Missouri +20.5 v. Kentucky | 56-83 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 52 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. KENTUCKY is 1-11 ATS after a game where they covered the spread over the last 2 seasons.KENTUCKY is 0-9 ATS after a cover as a double digit favorite over the last 3 seasons.KENTUCKY is 10-23 ATS ( L/33 in home games versus struggling defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 45% or more since 1997. |
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12-28-21 | Yale v. St. Mary's -12.5 | 60-87 | Win | 100 | 14 h 33 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. St.Mary's has been dominant at home so far this season going 8-0 with the average ppg diff clicking in at 18.5 ppg. Yale is just 2-5 on the season away, and a long way from home, in a unfriendly environment and at a big disadvantage vs a side that my projections estimate is the superior side. Bulldogs are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Gaels are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite. CBB Road teams as an underdog or pick (YALE) - after going over the total by 30 or more points total in their last five games, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 154-231 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 60% conversion rate for bettors. Play on St.Marys to cover |
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12-28-21 | Cavs v. Pelicans +6 | 104-108 | Win | 100 | 11 h 37 m | Show | |
The Pelicans have been playing better ball of late and just had a 4 game win streak end. Their chances of pulling off an upset are not particularly strong here as they face a superior Cavaliers side, but getting us the cover is however, a strong ;possibility based on their current momentum and team chemistry. Ill also add to that that this is the NBA and upsets are not out of the norm. NEW ORLEANS is 18-7 ATS in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 3 seasons. Pelicans are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games.Pelicans are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss. NBA Road teams vs. the money line (CLEVELAND) - hot team - covering 8 or more of their last 10 against the spread, well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days are 13-37 SU L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate. Play on New Orleans to cover |