North Carolina ended the Wake Forest win streak at 8 games last week in a emotional back and forth offensive slugfest. Now Im betting the Tar Heels wont have that same energy this week after that exhausting physical and emotional victory , and will fall victim to a Pittsburgh team that can actually play defense and light up the board just as efficiently. With that said look for Panthers QB Pickett to land KOs all day in the pocket behind a top-10 offensive line. 

 N CAROLINA is 0-7 ATS  off a home win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons. Brown is 0-9 ATS  off a home win against a conference rival as the coach of N CAROLINA. Brown is 4-15 ATS  after a home game where both teams score 31 or more points in all games . 

CFB Favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (PITTSBURGH) - excellent offensive team (440  or more YPG) against a poor defense (390 to 440 YPG) after 7+ games, after gaining 6.75 or more yards/play in their previous game are 30-9 ATS L/10 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors,

CFB Road underdogs (N CAROLINA) - excellent offensive team (6.2 or more YPP) against an average defense (4.8 to 5.6 YPP) after 7+ games, after gaining 525 or more total yards/game over their last 2 games are 14-41 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Pittsburgh to cover 

The Celtics suffered their worst loss of the young season in a 115-83 thrashing by the Raptors on Oct. 22 and now the Celtics will be looking for redemption. However, in the recent past when the Celtics are in revenge mode for a loss of 10 points ore more  they are just 3-12 ATS L/2 seasons.  .BOSTON is also just 4-15 ATS vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons and overall are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite.

Meanwhile, the Raptors are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog and are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Boston and are my selection here taking points based on my power rankings and overall SRS ratings: Boston owns the 17th best mark in the league @-.0.47 --while Toronto is ranked i 7th @ +3.78 giving us value according to those numbers on this line even with home court advantage on the Celtics side.

Note: SRS - Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average. 

NBA Road teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (TORONTO) - off a home loss by 10 points or more against opponent off a road loss are 23-4 L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Toronto Raptors to cover 

The Rockets have dropped eight consecutive games and closed a recent five-game road trip without a victory and now are suddenly being asked to cover as favorites. Motown may not inspire bettors, but they have shown a few flashes of brilliance this season . Also some bad beats and calls make them look worse than they are. No way a trust the Rockets in the fav role and will back the Pistons here getting points. 

DETROIT is 17-5 ATS after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.HOUSTON is 9-22 ATS in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

HOUSTON is 8-27 ATS  when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. HOUSTON is 10-22 ATS versus poor offensive teams - scoring 108 or less points/game over the last 3 seasons. Silas is 2-17 ATS in home games after a loss by 10 points or more as the coach of HOUSTON.HOUSTON is 1-10 ATS  in home games vs. poor rebounding teams - out-rebounded by opponents by 3+ per game over the last 3 season.Rockets are 7-20 ATS in their last 27 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. 

Pistons are 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Houston.

The Cardinals have   been a top tier unit against the run as  they have not  allowed more than 130 yards in any of the last four games and that will be key Im betting in a road win N.Illinois. On the flipside add to that the Huskies have allowed 12 touchdowns on 23 possessions over the last two games and you have an edge to the short road fav. 

BALL ST is 8-0 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.  BALL ST is 7-0 ATS versus good rushing teams - averaging >=200 rushing yards/game over the last 3 season. BALL ST is 7-0 ATS  versus good rushing teams - averaging 200 or more  rushing yards/game over the last 3 season. Cardinals are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Cardinals are 14-3 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

Huskies are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

Huskies are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games as a home underdog. 

CFB home team (N ILLINOIS) - good rushing team - averaging 4.75 or more rushing yards/carry, after allowing 6.5 or more rushing yards/attempt in 2 straight games are 4-26 ATS L/10 seasons for a 87% conversion rate.

 Ball State has won the L/2 meetings in this series. Road team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

Injury note:[QB] 11/04/2021 - Rocky Lombardi left last game, is "?" Wednesday vs Ball State ( Head )

Play on Ball State to cover 

UCF is a talented big team, but Robert Morris might surprise them here a bit tonight, behind HC Toole , and knows how to slow a game down in the half court. UCF Im sure will oblige and carry on at a snails pace like they usually do. Advantage getting points is the call 

CBB Home favorites of 10 or more points (UCF) - first 5 games of the season, non-tournament team from last season who won 4+ of their last 5 games, mediocre team from last season that won between 45-55% of their games are 4-28 ATS L/24 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Robert Morris to cover 

 Last night we saw ,MAC hoops programs perform admirably  against their  Big Ten advisories.  The Akron Zips looked very strong against Ohio State  and Eastern Michigan over powered Indiana down the stretch in the 2nd half. Now a Bulls team with 5 returning starters and plenty of experience, also looks like a side that could give a revamped Michigan side that lost alot of their scoring from last season some problems.This is a  Buffalo program that  ranked in  the top-25 Division I teams in defensive effective FG%, as well as  defensive 3P% and offensive rebounding conversion rate and that defensive prowess Im betting will be the difference maker tonight.Bulls are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 road games.

Play on Buffalo to cover

The Clippers have won 4 straight and are currently in top form. Meanwhile, the Trailblazers have been highly inconsistent this season, and have not shown themselves to be viable bets on the road failing to cover in their L/6 away games. Recent history also favors the Clippers who are 5-0 ATS L/5 in this series at home.  LA CLIPPERS are 41-27 ATS  versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more  assists/game over the last 2 seasons 

 NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (LA CLIPPERS) - after beating the spread by 24 or more points total in their last three games, first half of the season are 43-16 L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.  

NBAHome teams where the line is +3 to -3 (LA CLIPPERS) - after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 49-17 L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.  

 Play on the Clippers to win 

The Eagles took part in a back and forth affair last time out on the road vs Toledo winning by a 52-49 count as 9 point dogs, and will now be in a letdown spot here this Tuesday making them vulnerable to a Ohio program that has covered 5 of their 6 tilts in this series. 

Bobcats are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 conference games. Bobcats are 19-7 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.Bobcats are 16-6 ATS in their last 22 games as an underdog. Bobcats are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games as a road underdog.

E MICHIGAN is 1-11 ATS L/12 after 3 straight games where 60 total points or more were scored.E MICHIGAN is 3-15 ATS   in home games after allowing 7.25 or more yards/play in their previous game. Eagles are 16-33 ATS in their last 49 games following a straight up win.

Eagles are 7-15 ATS in their last 22 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.Eagles are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games following a ATS win.Eagles are 7-16 ATS in their last 23 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

OHIO U is 10-2 ATS  in road games vs. excellent punt coverage teams, allowing  7.5 or less yards per return. 

Play on Ohio. to cover 

Top scorer Brandon McKissic  moved on but now but UKMC  return two of their four double-digit scorers and have a tenacious group of rebounders to compliment them. Meanwile, Minnesota finished last season losing 8 of their L/9 games and now have a boatload full of transfers in the lineup which Im betting will see them take time to jell. Thats not conducive to covering tonights spread according to my projections. 

Play on UMKC to cover

Jacksonville State returns  96% of its scoring   from an 18-win team  and has a talented group that includes  high-major transfers,. With that said Jacksonville State poses a formidable opposition  for the higher brand name  Wichita State  Shockers.  Key problem with the Shockers could be their rebounding that saw them finish  20 worst defensive rebounding teams in Division I. They will obviously try to address this but against this type of opponent the correction process could be paused right out of the gate.  JACKSONVILLE ST is 8-1 ATS   as an underdog over the last 2 seasons. Plus this interesting anomaly that shows them cashing 16 of their L/19 Tuesday night tilts. Harper is 39-21 ATS  as an underdog as the coach of JACKSONVILLE ST.

Jacksonville State to cover 

My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Bulls are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games in November.Bulls are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game.Bulls are 11-5-1 ATS in their last 17 games as an underdog.

BUFFALO is 19-8 ATS L/27 when the total is between 56.5 and 63.  Bulls are 11-5-1 ATS in their last 17 games as an underdog.

CFB Road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (BUFFALO) - in conference games, off a upset loss as a double digit home favorite are 51-19 ATS L/29 seasons for a 73% conversion rate.

CFB Favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (MIAMI OHIO) - off an upset loss as a road favorite of 7 or more, in weeks 10 through 13 are 13-38 ATS L/5  seasons for a 75% conversion rate. 

Play on Buffalo to cover

The Gaels posted a strong MAAC Tournament showing ripping though all their opponents to get the big dance, and once again look like a cohesive unit and hoops program on the rise. App State is a solid group but Im betting their over matched. 

 The Kings lost last night to the Indiana Pacers, but  Sacramento has proved resilient  off a loss lately going  9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 games following a straight up loss. Meanwhile, the Suns will be without Deandre Ayton and that Im betting messes with their offensive flow and their ability to beat a well conditioned Kings team. Suns are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games.

SACRAMENTO is 15-2 ATS in November games over the last 3 seasons.

PHOENIX is 15-31 ATS  after 3 consecutive covers as a favorite.

NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (SACRAMENTO) - after beating the spread by 30 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going over the total by more than 12 points in two consecutive games are 24-4 ATS L/25 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Favorites (PHOENIX) - after scoring 120 points or more 2 straight games against opponent after scoring 43 points or less in the first half last game are 15-43 ATS L/25 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors,

NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (SACRAMENTO) - extremely tired team - playing their 5th game in 7 days, in November games are 71-33 ATS L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. 

Suns are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

Play on Sacramento to cover

 Atlanta has lost 6 of their L/7 and are not in good form coming into this game against a Golden state side has won 8 of 9 games. Hawks are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 road games and are fade material in this spot play vs a Warriors side that is in triple revenge mode. 

 ATLANTA is 3-12 ATS in road games versus horrible foul drawing teams - attempting 21 free or less throws/game over the last 2 seasons.  ATLANTA is 4-15 ATSin road games versus good pressure defensive teams - forcing 15 or more turnovers/game over the last 3 seasons.

GOLDEN STATE is 14-3 ATS  in home games after playing 2 consecutive home games over the last 2 season

NBA Road teams (ATLANTA) - after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games against opponent after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games are 23-51 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Golden State to cover

This is Brooklyns 3rd game in 4 nights and enter this contest with  no rest after playing last night in Toronto with tonight being their 2nd straight of back to back road tilts. Needless to say they are vulnerable here in Chicago on tired legs. Nets are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog. Bulls are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite. 

NBA teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (BROOKLYN) - a struggling  offensive team (104-108 PPG) against an excellent defensive team (104 or less PPG), after a win by 6 points or less are 49-101 SU L/25 seasons for a go against 68% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Chicago Bulls to cover 

 The Timberwolves are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 road games and  are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600  including  3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog. The Wolves remain competitive beyond the expectations of the lines-makers and deserve respect here vs a Memphis side,  that are  just 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite.

NBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MINNESOTA) - after going under the total by 30 or more points total in their last five games, a bad team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a winning record. are 25-6 ATS L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Minnesota to cover 

Cleveland has won 6 of their L/8 games  including 3 straight and are up-trending in my power rankings. They are off a tenacious road win vs the Raptors last time out and once again deserve respect as underdogs here in NY vs the Knicks. Meanwhile, the Knicks after some uneven performances took a big road win vs the Milwaukee Bucks last time out, which will have them in a letdown spot .

Cavaliers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog.Cavaliers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog.

NBA team vs the money line (CLEVELAND) - averaging 45 or less rebounds/game on the season, on Sunday games are 49-23 L/25 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Cleveland to cover 

,Arizona had their perfect 7-0  season come to an abrupt end last time out and could easily find themselves in an emotional letdown spot.  The Cards are just 1-5 SU and 0-6 ATS in games when coming off a SU home chalk loss and have lost 8 of their L/9 overall in tilts after playing against the Green Bay Packers. With QB Jimmy Garoppolo looking healthy and off a strong  performance last time  ( 17-of-28 for 322 yards) I like the 49ers chances in this spot play. With the Niners  4-0 ATS at home in a key division game vs a team off a Thursday night game Im liking our chances.ARIZONA is 1-8 ATS  in the second half of the season over the last 2 season.Underdog is 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings.

Play on SF 49ers to cover 

Toronto had a 5 game win streak end last time vs Cleveland in a 1 point loss. Now Im betting on a motivated bounce back effort against a Brooklyn side that is on a 4 game win streak, and vulnerable here to being upset by a Raptors side that are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall and  4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss. 

Nets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Nets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games.Nets are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 1 days rest.

TORONTO is 3-1 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons here in TO. 

NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (TORONTO) - after beating the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games, first half of the season are 61-20 ATS L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate. 

NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (BROOKLYN) - after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last seven games against opponent after going under the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games are 9-30 ATS L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate.

Play on the Toronto Raptors to cover 

The Saints are off a huge underdog win vs TB last week and will now be in a emotional  letdown situation. It must be noted that teams that upset  Super Bowl champion as a dog are just 19-36  SU/ATS  bd division opposition  the following game,   when not favored by 7 or more points. I know Atlanta may not inspire bettors but is also must be noted that NEW ORLEANS is 7-23 ATS L/20 in home games vs. struggling teams - outscored by 6+ points per game on the season. 

NEW ORLEANS is 10-22 ATS  in home games after having won 4 out of their last 5 games

NFL Home teams (NEW ORLEANS) - off an upset win over a division rival as a home underdog, with a winning record on the season are 11-34 ATS L/38 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Atlanta to cover 

The Jags do not inspire many bettors, but when value arises I have to bite my pride, and follow the right path. Buffalo is obviously the superior side, but this is just to many points in my humble opinion, especially with Urban Meyer and company looking at this tilt like an opportunity for redemption after a disastrous start to this campaign. 

NFL Road favorites (BUFFALO) - with a good first half defense - 7 or less points per game, after allowing 14 points or less last game are 8-29 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors. 

NFL Road favorites (BUFFALO) - dominant team - outscoring opponents by 10 or more points/game, after a win by 10 or more points are 19-47 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against  71% conversion rate for bettors.

Jacksonville to cover 

These two teams have lost 7 games in row, and both will desperate for a win here and Im betting it will be a battle to the very end with getting  points being eventually golden. 

HOUSTON is 8-1 straight up against MIAMI and have won 3 of the L/4 visits here . 

NFL Road underdogs or pick (HOUSTON) - after 6 or more consecutive losses, in November games are 44-14 ATS L/38 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.

NFL Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (HOUSTON) - after a game where they committed 1 or less turnovers against opponent after a game with a turnover margin of -2 or worse are 30-8 ATS L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate. 

NFL Home favorites (MIAMI) - a poor offensive team (14-18 PPG) against a horrible defensive team ( 27 PPG or more ), after a loss by 10 or more points are 9-38 ATS L/38 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate. 

Play on Texas to cover 

Denver is off a grinding home win last time out  vs Washington and now come into this game with momentum vs americas team the Dallas Cowboys who are on a 6 game win streak . The Broncos according to my power rankings are being underestimated this week, no matter who starts at QB for the Cowboys ( Prescott or Rush). I know how well the Cowboys have played overall, but from a historical standpoint laying DDs at home vs a non divisional opponent has not been profitable for their backers as they have failed to cover 10 of their L/13 opportunities. Also NFL  road dogs like Denver  coming off a win of 6 or more points are  15-3 ATS so far this season. Denver has also won and covered 3 of their L/4 visits to Dallas to play the Boyz.  

It must also be noted that Denver QB Teddy Bridgewater  away games as an NFL starter,  is a perfect 10-0 ATS versus above .500 opposition and is key here for a Broncos cover.

NFL Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (DENVER) - after a game where they committed 1 or less turnovers against opponent after a game with a turnover margin of -2 or worse are 30-8 ATS L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate.

NFL Favorites (DALLAS) - with an incredible offense - averaging 385 or more total yards/game, after gaining 450 or more total yards/game over their last 3 games are 7-32 ATS L/5 seasons for. ago against 82% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Denver to cover 

The Sun Devils  enter into this game in a 2 game losing streak and recently that has not been a good formula for success for this program  as they are just  6-15 SU  in conference games when coming off two straight negative results. I know the Trojans may not inspire bettors with their uneven play this season but they are 17-4 L/21 vs Arizona State and from a matchup view point offer value on this line. I know USC will be without star WR Drake London, (injury) but QB Kedon Slovis still has a strong duo of WRs Tahj Washington and Gary Bryant that could start on most college football teams in this nation. 

CFB Home favorites (ARIZONA ST) - after being beaten by the spread by more than 28 points in their previous game, after the first month of the season are 26-60 ATS L/10 seasons for a 70% go against conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on USC to cover 

The Sixers will look for a sixth consecutive win they travel to  to take on the  Chicago Bulls on Saturday.76ers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall .

Meanwhile, the Bulls fell behind by double figures in their last two games. They managed to erase a 19-point deficit vs Boston but against tonights competition the Sixers they could not complete the comeback, and as a result of those two games Im betting the Bulls will be on tired legs and on the flip-side Im betting the Sixers will be more vigilant this time around. Advantage Philadelphia. 

CHICAGO is 13-25 ATS  when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. Bulls are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.

NBA Favorites (CHICAGO) - after beating the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games, in a game involving two top-level teams ( 75% or better ) are just 14-40 L/25 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors.

PHILADELPHIA is 6-0 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons including 2-0 here in Illinois. 

Play on Philadelphia 76ers to cover 

After blowing a huge lead last time out to Michigan state - Michigan will come in here hanging their heads low vs a side that would love nothing more than to inflict more damage on their already battered egos. they could also easily find themselves looking ahead to Penn State which will be their next opponent. I know Penix Jr is out at QB for the Hooisers but  they are  quite capable of  top tier offensive production behind  freshman QB Donaven McCulley who threw for 242 yards and two scores last time out in a 38-35 loss to Maryland . Note:  Donaven McCulley was a 4 star prospect. 

MICHIGAN is 9-21 ATS in home games off an upset loss as a favorite. Indiana is also 6-0 ATS L/6 on the road in conference action as a 13 point or more dog.

INDIANA is 19-8 ATS L/27  in road games vs. excellent teams - outscoring opponents by 17+ PPG on the season.  

CFB Underdogs of 10.5 to 21 points (INDIANA) - after failing to cover the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games against opponent after covering the spread in 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games are 30-7 ATS L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Indiana to cover 

Texas RB RB Bijan Robinson ran for just 43 yards last time out  on 19 carries  . It was a disappointing performance for a back that had accumulated  100 yards in five straight games previous to that. This week Im betting on the senior bouncing back in a big way and being a key contributor in a Texas cover vs Iowa State. 

CFB Favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (IOWA ST) - off an upset loss as a road favorite of 7 or more, in weeks 10 through 13 are 12-38 ATS L/29 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate. 

CFB Road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (TEXAS) - after going over the total by 21 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going over the total by 35 or more points total in their last five games are 36-11 ATS L/29 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors.

Longhorns are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.Cyclones are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games in November.

Play on Texas to cover 

Last weeks lopsided loss to Georgia will be a demoralizing factor coming into this road game against the Gamecocks.  South Carolina (4-4, 1-4) is coming off a bye week that followed a 44-14 defeat at then-No. 17 Texas A&M on Oct. 23 and now on rested legs will be out to pull off the upset while trying to get some kind of redemption. 

Gators are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games as a road favorite.Gators are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 road games. Gators are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

South Carolina  8-2 ATS in the last 10 games at home as an underdog of 13 or more points. 

CFB Road favorites (FLORIDA) - after allowing 5.5 or more rushing yards/attempt in 2 straight games are 22-54 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors.

South Carolina to cover 

 The Winnipeg Blue Bombers (10-1) host the Montreal Alouettes (6-5) at IG Field on Saturday. the Bombers are a team on a mission and Montreal is not a team that can slow them according to my power rankings. Note: the Blue Bombers faced the Lions a last week and won by a score of 45-0 count. Another explosion and cover is my call here this evening. 

WINNIPEG is 18-2 ATS off a division game over the last 3 seasons.WINNIPEG is 18-4 ATS    after 1 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 3 seasons.The Blue Bombers are allowing 11.5 points per contest,  rankings 1st in the CFL. The Blue Bombers are 1st in the CFL   in offensive output averaging  of 27 ppg.

Play on Winnipeg to cover 

This is alot of points to be laying if your a Alabama backers, especially considering the LSU Tigers have revenge on board for a ugly DD loss they suffered to the Tide the last time they played. Now rested and off a bye week with a great deal of preparation time Im betting on LSU making a game out of this or at the the very least covering the number. LSU is 6-0 ATS when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest over the last 3 seasons. LSU Is 8-2 ATS L/10 as a dog of 20 or more points , including 7-0 ATS when playing with revenge.

LSU has covered 8 of their L/12 visits here, and won SU the last time they were here in 2019. Road team is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

LSU is 13-2 ATS  vs. excellent passing teams with a completion pct. of 62% or better over the last 3 seasons.

Play on LSU to cover 

Miss State is off a big win vs Kentucky last week, and could find it hard to get up the energy to take out a Arkansas side that  my power rankings  suggest is a under rated opponent. MISSISSIPPI ST is 1-9 ATS off 2 consecutive wins by 10 points or more against conference rivals

ARKANSAS is 18-6 ATS L/24 in home games vs. excellent passing teams averaging 275 or more passing yards/game. ARKANSAS is 13-4 ATS   in home games after gaining 475 or more total yards/game over their last 3 games

MISSISSIPPI ST is 0-7 ATS against teams who commit 1 or less turnovers/game on the season over the last 3 seasons.

CFB home team vs. the money line (ARKANSAS) - excellent team outrushing opponents by 80+ YPG against an average rushing team (+/- 40 RY/G), after gaining 225 or more rushing yards in 2 straight games are 31-1 L/5 seasons for a 97% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +19.6 ppg. 

Play on Arkansas to cover 

Utah State can put points on the board but their defense is atrocious  allowing an average 435-yards per game. That to me is not conducive to be able to cover this big of spread on the road . I know New Mexico state may not inspire may bettors, but this is a viable point take here for the home dog according to my projections, especially since they are off a bye week and have had two weeks to prepare . Add to that back door cover capabilities with  the   28t h  ranked  passing offense in the nation ( 276 yards per game)  and Im betting we have value with a ugly puppy. Aggies are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.Aggies are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up loss.Aggies are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 vs. MWC. Aggies are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall.Home team is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings.

Play on New Mexico State to cover 

Michigan State used alot of energy to come back from a DD deficit to defeat their long time Big 10 rivals Michigan last week, and will now have some problems getting back that intensity vs a Purdue side that has won the stats battles in 6 of their 8 games this season. It was not all peaches and cream for the spartans lat week a they allowed a hefty amount of yards on D.  MICHIGAN ST is 4-18 ATS L/22  in road games after allowing 6.25 or more yards/play in their previous game.

Brohm is 8-1 ATS  vs. good passing teams averaging 8 or more passing yards/att. as the coach of PURDUE.Brohm is 7-0 ATS vs. very good offensive teams - scoring 34 or more points/game as the coach of PURDUE.Brohm is 17-4 ATS L/21   versus good rushing teams - averaging 4.75  or more rushing yards/carry in all games he has coached. 

Play on Purdue to cover 

Middle Tenn State vs W Kentucky “100 miles of hate”. plus the points looks like a viable wagering opportunity. These teams are big time rivals , and Im betting on fireworks tonight in a tilt Im expecting to be closer than the line might indicate. Both sides are 4-4 on the season, and are both playing well overall right now. Major Bowl implications and a rivalry situation makes the points golden in my humble betting  opinion. Hey I know how explosive the Hilltoppers offense has been , but Middle Tenn has also been explosive recently scoring 34 or more points in 4 of their L/5 trips to the gridiron.Blue Raiders are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games in November.Hilltoppers are 9-19-1 ATS in their last 29 games as a favorite.

Blue Raiders are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings. The two most recent meetings in this series were decided by 3 and 4 points. 

Play on  Midd Tenn State to cover 

West Virginia with recent wins vs Iowa State  and  TCU are now in bowl contention and must not be underestimated as home dogs when they are determined to get a much needed third straight victory. Oklahoma State is a fine team, winning 7 of 8 but are just 2-9 ATS L/11 as road favs going against a side off 2 consecutive SU/ATS wins. 

CFB team (W VIRGINIA) - off an upset win as a home underdog of 7 or more, with 4+ more total starters returning than opponent are 29-7 ATS L/10 seasons for a 81% conversion rate.

Play on West Virginia to cover 

Huge heart breaker last week as SMU lost their first game of the season, thanks to a punt return returned for a TD and a subsequent 44-37 loss. That  was excruciating painful and Im betting the Mustangs will have a huge problem getting their butts off the mat for this one.SMU is 14-30 ATS in road games vs. good offensive teams - scoring 31 or more points/game while MEMPHIS is 24-10 ATS   in home games vs. good offensive teams - scoring 31 or more points/game.

 Dykes is 0-6 ATS in road games versus good offensive teams - averaging 5.9 or more  yards/play as the coach of SMU. 

Memphis covered six straight times in this series until  suffering a close 30-27, loss as chalk last season . 

 SMU is 1-9 ATS  in road games after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.SMU is 0-6 ATS  in road games after scoring 20 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons.SMU is 3-12 ATS  after having won 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games.

CFB Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (MEMPHIS) - after going under the total by more than 21 points in their previous game, in the second half of the season are 36-12 ATS L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Memphis to cover 

Illinois has almost no offensive flow while Minnesotas D, has been mostly staunch as is evident by allowing just 18.9 ppg with 5 of their L/6 opponents unable to muster more than 16 points. The Gophers can also light up the board, especially at home where they have put 30 or more points in the board in 3 of their L/4 as hosts. Im betting on a lopsided affair here. 

MINNESOTA is 9-0 ATS vs. poor punt return teams, less than 7.5 yards per return over the last 3 seasons. MINNESOTA is 8-1 ATS vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 58% or worse over the last 3 seasons

CFB Favorites of 10.5 to 21 points (MINNESOTA) - good rushing team (190-230 RY/game) against an average rushing team (140-190 RY/game) after 7+ games, in conference games are 24-4 ATS L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Minnesota to cover 

Stanford is highly inconsistent but according to my power rankings this ATS  number is bloated making the Cardinal a live home dog here vs Utah. The Cardinal showed  their inconsistencies last time out in. a favorite loss to Washington by a 20-13 count, but the Huskies are very under rated so Ill give the Cards a break on that one.  HC Shaw is 14-4 ATS   off an upset loss as a favorite as the coach of STANFORD. He's on the hot seat right now, and if he does not have his team ready to play this week, a farewell party maybe on the agenda. Stanfords Desperation, redemption  quotas have me taking points here. 

UTAH is 2-10 ATS L/12 as a road favorite of 7.5 to 10 points. 

CFB Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (STANFORD) - an average offensive team (21-28 PPG) against a good offensive team (28-34 PPG) after 7+ games, after scoring 3 points or less in the first half last game are 56-24 ATS L/29 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Stanford to cover 

The Pacers have won back-to-back games following a 1-6 start but after watching them I still feel there is not a sufficient amount of flow and team chemistry might be an issue. Its early in the season to make that kind of statement, and things may eventually even out for the Pacers but for now they have alot of wrinkles to iron out, and this is not a good matchup for them according to my power rankings. The Blazers have won 11 of the L/12 meetings here SU with the lone loss coming last season, making this a revenge spot for them.    Trail Blazers are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Pacers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.  INDIANA is 13-26 ATS versus good 3 point shooting teams - making  36% or better  of their attempts over the last 2 seasons  

 Pacers are 3-14 ATS in the last 17 overall meetings.

NBA Home favorites of -165 to -500 vs. the money line (PORTLAND) - off 2 or more consecutive upset losses as a road favorite, first half of the season are 24-1 L/25 seasons for a 96% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +10.6 ppg.

Play on Portland to cover 

The Raptors are heating up as is evident by 5 straight wins, and matchup well here vs a Cleveland side that despite of up-trending are on tired legs as they prepare to play their 6th road game in their L/7 trips to the hardwood. Toronto has won 5 of the L/6 meetings here at the ACC center in this seres and have covered 4 straight times  and tonight Im betting we ride their current momentum to another win and cover.Cavaliers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. 

Play on Toronto to cover 

Boston College is having problems again the run and  especially dual QB threats.    Louisville Cardinal  Malik Cunningham and Syracuse’ Orange pivot Garrett Shrader  ran all over Boston College as the Eagles  allowed  620 + rushing yards  including  6.4 yards per carry in those losing tilts. Don't look now but  now they have to face another strong ground game  featuring  double trouble threat Burmeister. 

CFB team (BOSTON COLLEGE) - average rushing team (140-190 RY/G) against an average rushing defense (140-190 RY/G) after 7+ games, after allowing 5.5 or more rushing yards/attempt last game are 22-55 ATS L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Virginia Tech to cover 

 The Brooklyn Nets haven't gone on the road for nearly two weeks and Im betting they're equilibrium and energy levels will take time to adjust to being-on the road and going without proverbial home cooking. The Pistons  got smacked around the when they played  117-91 on Halloween night vs the Nets and now Im betting they get up enough gumption to  redeem themselves at least from a competitive standpoint.  

DETROIT is 16-5 ATS after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Underdogs of 10 or more points (DETROIT) - struggling  team - outscored by their opponents by 9+ points/game, in November games are 107-61 ATS L/25 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA team (BROOKLYN) - after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a struggling team (25% or less) are 125-189 ATS L/25 seasons for a go against 60% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Motown to cover 

The Thunders only win of the season came against the Lakers, and Im betting they wont be taken down easily tonight vs a side that has a tendency of taking nights off vs lower tier sides. OKLAHOMA CITY is 19-6 ATS in road games off 2 or more consecutive road losses.

LA LAKERS are 4-14 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.  LA LAKERS are 1-10 ATS  off 2 or more consecutive home wins over the last 2 seasons. LA LAKERS are 9-24 ATS  when the total is 210 to 219.5 over the last 2 seasons. LA LAKERS are 13-25 ATS  as a home favorite over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Underdogs of 10 or more points (OKLAHOMA CITY) - horrible team - outscored by their opponents by 9+ points/game, in November games are 106-61 ATS L/25 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Oklahoma City to cover 

Indianapolis is off a frustrating OT loss vs Tennessee last Sunday and could easily find themselves in a letdown spot this Monday night vs a  NY Jets team with a new QB at the helm Mike White who led them to a OT win vs a tough Cincinnati crew by a 34-31 count.  

I know Carson Wentz is a quality QB but he's not consistent enough and has a tendency to fold under pressure more often than not . On the flip-side  the Jets players have said they were very happy when Mike White Lightning came on the field as their new QB  and the entire team Im betting  will play behind him which is important for team chemistry. Momentum and confidence sit on the Jets side of the field. 

Colts are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite.

NFL Road underdogs or pick (NY JETS) - after failing to cover the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games against opponent after covering the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games are 24-6 ATS L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate.

NFL Home favorites of 10.5 or more points (INDIANAPOLIS) - after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games, in weeks 5 through 9 are 17-42 ATS L/38 seasons for a 71% go against conversion rate.

Play on the NY Jets to cover 

Georgia State took part in a hammering slugfest vs Southern Georgia last week and Im betting they are still not at 100% after that nasty battle in the trenches and could find the sledding rougher than expected against a very physical Lafayette side. Meanwhile, Louisiana  Head coach Billy Napier  is a perfect 15-0 all-time against Sun Belt West sides including a  5-0 record  in conference play this year and 5-0 all-time against Georgia State. I know these are SU numbers, but Lafayette is explosive averaging 40.5 ppg at home this season while allowing just over 12 ppg, and that will be the difference maker -the Cajuns offense. 

The Ragin Cajuns at home have outscored their opposition by an average of 23.5 point per game and have covered  by 15 or more  points in each of their last three home games. Meanwhile, Georgia State is 1-3 ATS as dogs this season. 

CFB Home favorites vs. the money line (LA LAFAYETTE) - off a blowout win by 21 points or more over a conference rival, in November games are 59-9 L/5 seasons for a 87% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +19.3 ppg which qualifies on this spread. 

Play on Lafayette to cover 

Memphis opened the two-game set against the Nuggets with a 106-97 victory on Monday, and now Im betting on the Nuggets to get redemption in this spot play. The Nuggets looked tired last time out QUOTE:  "I didn't think we were ready to play," Malone said. "I think we had some guys that looked like they had no energy out there, just kind of fatigued, tired or whatever you want to call it." END QUOTE: Im expecting a big bounce back effort tonight. 

Malone is 34-19 ATS in road games off a road loss as the coach of DENVER.

Grizzlies are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games following a straight up win.

Grizzlies are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite.

Play on the Denver Nuggets to cover 

Neither side is inspiring bettors but home court advantage Im betting will be the difference maker here this evening.

Clippers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up win.

Timberwolves are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points.Timberwolves are 13-5-1 ATS in their last 19 games following a straight up loss.Timberwolves are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a double-digit loss at home.

NBA Home teams vs. the money line (MINNESOTA) - off an upset loss by 15 points or more as a favorite against opponent off a home no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite are 29-6 L/25 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Minnesota to cover 

The Jazz are already operating in mid season form as  they bring a 5-1 record into this tilt with the 5 wins coming by 9 or more points. The Jazz have defeated Sacramento five times in a row and more importantly have covered the all important number all 5 times including a 110-101 win on the road  back on Oct 22.  The Kings small ball style of play is something that Utah is and has been prepared to deal with. Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation here this evening. 

Kings are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

Jazz are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite.Jazz are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.

NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (UTAH) - after 3 or more consecutive unders, in a game involving two average offensive teams (108-114 PPG) are 48-20 ATS L/25 seasons for a 71% conversion rate.

Play on the Utah Jazz to cover 

The  Mavs are  looking like a viable side , especially at home, where they are 3-0, so far on the season , winning 4 of their L/5 tilts.  The Mavs in their current form are  more than capable of covering and or upsetting the streaking Heat that despite of being on a 4 game win streak, are on tired legs as they play their 4th game in 6 nights including their  3rd road game. 

Mavericks are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.

NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (MIAMI) - after beating the spread by more than 6 points in three consecutive games against opponent after going under the total by 18 or more points total in their last three games are 8-28 ATS L/25 seasons for a 78% go against conversion rate . 

NBA Road favorites (MIAMI) - after 3 or more consecutive wins, playing with 2 days rest are 17-45 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Dallas Mavs to cover 

Miami (OH) gets their starting QB back making them a dangerous opponent for Ohio. RedHawks are 7-1 ATS in their last eight road games vs. teams with a losing home record.

  Ohio is 1-7 on the year and have lost four of their last five games and fade material in this current form. 

MIAMI OHIO is 6-0 ATS against teams who force 1 or less turnovers/game on the season over the last 3 seasons.

 OHIO U is 3-15 ATS L/18 when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) 

Martin is 30-9 ATS   after playing 2 straight conference games as the coach of MIAMI OHIO.Martin is 12-1 ATS  against teams who force 1 or less turnovers/game on the season as the coach of MIAMI OHIO.

OHIO U is 0-6 ATS in home games after 1 or more consecutive straight up losses over the last 3 seasons.OHIO U is 2-10 ATS   in home games over the last 3 seasons.

CFB Road favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (MIAMI OHIO) - after going under the total by 35 or more points total in their last three games are 87-46 ATS L/29 season for a 66% conversion rate.

Play on the Miami Ohio Red Hawks to cover 

Eastern Michigan has lost only one game by more than 7 points this season and that was to Wisconsin on the road. Creighton is 7-0 ATS   as a road underdog of 7.5 to 14 points as the coach of E MICHIGAN and always has his team ready to compete. Creighton is 6-0 ATS  in road games against teams with a turnover margin of +1 per game or better as the coach of E MICHIGAN. Eagles are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games as a road underdog.Eagles are 24-9 ATS in their last 33 road games.

Candle is 3-11 ATS  off a home win against a conference rival as the coach of TOLEDO which was the case vs W.Michigan last time out.Candle is also just 4-12 ATS  vs. excellent passing teams with a completion pct. of 62%  like E.Michigan or better as the coach of TOLEDO.Rockets are 5-16 ATS in their last 21 games following a bye week.Rockets are 2-7 ATS/SU in their last 9 games following a straight up win.

Play on Eastern Michigan 

I know Indiana has been struggling of late, but according to my power rankings the Pacers style vs style  algorithms matchup well vs San Antonio here at home. 

Spurs are 2-8 ATS in the last 10 meetings. Pacers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 home games.

NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (INDIANA) - in a game involving two average offensive teams (108-114 PPG), after a combined score of 205 points or less 2 straight games are 30-1 L/25 seasons for a 97% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +10.9 ppg which qualifies ATS on this offered number.

NBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (INDIANA) - after 2 or more consecutive unders, in a game involving two average offensive teams (108-114 PPG) are 62-29 ATS L/25 seasons for 68% conversion rate.

Play on Indiana to cover 

Detroit won last night and has some momentum coming into this tilt and now face a Brooklyn side off a win last time out as well, but their play overall has been uneven. Also in the recent past the Nets have used games against lower tier opponents like a defacto night off, and overlooked those sides. Note: BROOKLYN is 0-8 ATS when playing against a struggling team (Win Pct. 25% or less) over the last 2 seasons. 

Nets are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up win.Nets are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 1 days rest.

NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (DETROIT) - after a road game where both teams score 100 or more points, bad team from last season who won only 25% to 40% of their games are 19-11 SU L/5 seasons for a 63% conversion rate.

Play on Detroit Pistons to cover 

The loss last night by the Bucks to the Spurs was their second straight defeat at home and now Im betting  the Bucks will come in here ready to get some redemption vs one of the NBAs top teams the Milwaukee Bucks. Meanwhile, the Jazz after opening their season with a 4-0 record lost last night in Chicago by a 107-90 score and looked a little wiped as the game progressed, which does not bode well for them here in a tough road environment. Hey I know their host Milwaukee are also on the tired side of the tracks, but overall on younger legs the defending champs have the edge. Jazz are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 0 days rest. Bucks are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

MILWAUKEE is 28-13 ATS in home games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more  of their shots over the last 3 seasons. MILWAUKEE is 8-0 ATS in home games on Sunday games over the last 3 seasons.

NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (MILWAUKEE) - average 3PT shooting team (33-36.5%) against a good 3PT defense (33% or less), in a game involving two good ball handling team (14.5 or more  TO's) are 113-67 ATS L/25 seasons for a 63% conversion rate. 

Play on the Milwaukee Bucks to cover 

Tom Brady and company took out the Saints last season in the NFC playoffs last season, and  now Im betting on a huge revenge scenario to manifest here and for the Saints to come out spitting fire.  Note:  Saints are 11-2-1 ATS as home underdogs L/15 seasons , and failed to cover just once under new  head coach Sean Payton.  New Orleans has owned this series in the regular season going  5-0 SUATS L/5 meetings  and Im betting have the edge again getting points as hosts. 

 Payton is 24-8 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points as the coach of NEW ORLEANS.

NFL Favorites (TAMPA BAY) - with an incredible offense - averaging 385 or more total yards/game, after gaining 450 or more total yards/game over their last 3 games are 7-31 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 82% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the New Orleans Saints to cover

The Bengals are off a huge underdog win last time out vs the Baltimore Ravens and will find themselves in an emotional letdown spot here vs a ugly home dog in the NY Jets making them vulnerable . Previous to the Bengals win last week, they had not beat an above .500 team so Im not ready to crown them possible super Bowl contenders just yet. With that said, I know it will be tough for many of you to take the points here with the Jets, but with Zach Wilson now on the sidelines for the Jets and Mike White under center Im betting we will see a better version of the Jets this week. White was brilliant in his time with Western Kentucky and must not be underestimated . Bengals are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win.

NY JETS are 16-6 ATS L/22 after being outgained by 100 or more total yds 2 consecutive games. NY JETS is 7-1 straight up against CINCINNATI since 1992. in NY. 

Jets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Jets are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a home underdog.

NFL Favorites (CINCINNATI) - solid team - outgaining their opponents by 0.75 or more yards/play, after gaining 400 or more total yards/game over their last 3 games are 14-48 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the NY Jets to cover

I am not disputing which side is the better group, but in a division game a two TD difference is a little over the top. I know how well and how badly each team has played, but this line is bloated according to my power rankings and Im willing to take the points with a clothes pin attached firmly to my nose. Note:  NFL home favorites in division games of 14 or more points are just  48-65-6 ATS L/41 seasons , including a  0-7 L/7 ATS run. 

BUFFALO is 18-33 ATS L/51 after having won 4 out of their last 5 games. 

 NFL Favorites (BUFFALO) - solid team - out-gaining their opponents by 0.75 or more yards/play, after gaining 400 or more total yards/game over their last 3 games are 14-48 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors. 

NFL Road underdogs or pick (MIAMI) - after failing to cover the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games against opponent after covering the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games are 23-4 ATS L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Dolphins to cover 

After back to back underdogs wins vs Buffalo and Kansas City Im betting the Titans will have problems mustering the energy needed to take out the Colts as visitors.  The Colts current group is also suited well to defending against the run , and with  QB Carson Wentz in top form throwing multiple TDs pass in 4 straight games with no interceptions the Colts are a dangerous looking team. Note: Tennessee 0-4 ATS in games coming off consecutive SU underdog wins.I

INDIANAPOLIS is 14-4 ATS versus good offensive teams - averaging 350 or more yards/game over the last 3 seasons

TENNESSEE is 0-6 ATS  in road games after a game with a turnover margin of +2 or better over the last 3 seasons. 

Play on the Colts to cover 

Rams took out the lowly Lions last week by a 28-19 count, but they had to work extremely hard to do it after falling 10-0 in the first quarter. To me its obvious the Rams  are taking defacto bye  weeks  to rest players against lower tier sides at least from an emotional standpoint ( their effort and grit look less than positive at time despite of the talent levels. In the recent past it seems the odds makers have over estimated the Rams ability to beat up on lower level sides, as is evident by  their  1-5 ATS mark  vs. a team with a losing record. After last weeks emotional come from behind victory Im fading them as huge road favs vs a team that will be motivated for redemption of some sort. 

HOUSTON is 13-3 ATS L/16 after scoring 14 points or less in 2 straight games. 

LA RAMS are 2-10 ATS after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons. 

NFL Favorites (LA RAMS) - solid team - outgaining their opponents by 0.75 or more yards/play, after gaining 400 or more total yards/game over their last 3 games are 14-48 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against  78% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Texans to cover 

The  Washington Huskies  are a  7-0 team  if the offensive play-calling wasn’t so bad. The talent is there at Washington but its the guys directing plays on the sidelines that down grade this Huskies program. However, today vs a inconsistent Stanford team Im betting the visitors find a way to cash for us here this Saturday. 

STANFORD is 0-6 ATS off a road loss over the last 3 seasons.

CFBl teams where the line is +3 to -3 (STANFORD) - after a road game where both teams score 31 points or more, in October game are 13-41 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Washington to cover 

Cleveland had a 3 game win streak halted vs the Lakers last time out, but I have liked their form this season, and my power rankings have as well, and with that said Im betting we have an edge on the line vs a Suns team that is exhibiting a major Championship finals hangover. as is evident by their 1-4 record to start the season. Suns are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite.

NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (CLEVELAND) - after a road game where both teams score 100 or more points, bad team from last season who won only 25% to 40% of their games are 19-11 SU L/5 seasons for a 63% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA Road teams (CLEVELAND) - after 2 or more consecutive unders, an average team (+/- 3 PPG differential) against a terrible team (7 PPG  or less differential) are 40-14 ATS L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Cleveland to cover 

Auburn is well rested and off a bye week, and will be primed to take down Ole Miss in this spot play. The Auburn D, will be the difference maker as they are 78 yards bette than the Ole Miss stopping units. 

Auburn has won the two most recent meetings in this series and are 17-4 L/21 overall meetings. 

CFB Home favorites (AUBURN) - off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival against opponent off 3 straight wins against conference rivals are 121-76 ATS L/29 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Auburn to cover 

 Im betting the explosive offense of SMU will be held in check this week by the Houston Cougars D, that is ranked 4th overall. The host has covered 4 straight in this series and Im betting on a Rinse and Repeat situation. 

SMU is 1-8 ATS in road games after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.SMU is 3-15 ATS  after covering the spread in 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games.

CFB  home team (HOUSTON) - after 3 or more consecutive straight up wins against opponent after 5 or more consecutive straight up wins are 27-7 ATS L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors.

CFB home team vs. the money line (HOUSTON) - after 3 or more consecutive straight up wins against opponent after 5 or more consecutive straight up wins are 28-6 L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Houston to cover

 GEORGIA ST is 8-0 ATS  in road games after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games since 1992.

GEORGIA ST is 9-1 ATS vs. awful passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 62% or worse over the last 3 seasons

CFB road team vs. the money line (GEORGIA ST) - average team (+/- 0.6 YPP) against a terrible team (outgained by 1.2+ YPP), after gaining 475 or more total yards/game over their last 3 games are 29-1  L/10 seasons for a 97% conversion rate. 

Georgia State to cover 

The Wizards took out the Celtics 3 days ago in Boston winning by a 116-107 count and are now 4-1 on the season, and in a better flow than the Clovers who are q team that is down trending in my power rankings at the moment . Based on current form the home side has the edge tonight.  Celtics are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a road underdog.

WASHINGTON is 14-0 ATS after having won 3 of their last 4 games over the last 2 seasons.WASHINGTON is 9-0 ATS  after having won 4 of their last 5 games over the last 2 seasons.

WASHINGTON is 2-0 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons here in D.C.

NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (WASHINGTON) - after beating the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games, first half of the season are 59-20 ATS L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Celtics are 1-5-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings.

Play on the Washington Wizards to cover 

Southern Miss generated just 107 offensive yards last week while getting shut out by UAB and they are big time fade material here vs a Middle Tennessee State team that up-trending in my rankings. 

SOUTHERN MISS is 0-6 ATS   as an underdog this season with the average ppg diff clicking in at -22.9 ppg. 

SOUTHERN MISS is 0-6 ATS in road games vs. excellent passing teams with a completion pct. of 62% or better over the last 3 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at -24.9 ppg. 

CFB Underdogs of 10.5 to 21 points (SOUTHERN MISS) - with a poor offense - averaging 315 or less total yards/game, after gaining 3.25 or less yards/play in their previous game are 8-29 ATS L/10 seasons for 79% conversion rate.

CFB Road underdogs vs. the money line (SOUTHERN MISS) - slow starting offensive team - scoring 8 or less PPG in the first half, after scoring 3 points or less in the first half last game are 1-33 L/5 seasons for a go against 97% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at -18.9. 

Middle Tennessee to cover 

Michigan State  is the real deal and just keep improving. Ill be honest I was not sold on them, but after watching the Spartans play on more than one occasion I get the feeling this is a never say die very tough crew . Entering this game against arch nemesis Michigan they are averaging 34.9 points and 451.7 yards per game while the  defense, which allowed more than  21 points  just once this season.

CFB home team (MICHIGAN ST) - after 3 or more consecutive straight up wins against opponent after 5 or more consecutive straight up wins are 27-7 ATS L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate.

Michigan State to cover 

Bowling Green has won just 5 of their L/30 trips to the gridiron and are completely outgunned according to my projections by a Buffalo program that plays their best football at home and after 2-54 start have won 2 straight and in contention in the MAcEast. 

BUFFALO is 6-0 ATS  in home games in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons with the average margin ppg diff clicking 31.3 ppg. 

Buffalo  6-1 ATS win skein in this series. 

BOWLING GREEN is 0-6 ATS in road games after a loss by 17 or more points over the last 3 seasons . Opponent 49.2 BG 8.3

BUFFALO is 7-0 ATS in home games after a game where they committed 1 or less turnovers over the last 3 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at 21 ppg. 

CFB Home favorites of 10.5 to 21 points (BUFFALO) - good offensive team (390 to 440 YPG) against a team with an average defense (330 to 390 YPG), after outgaining opp by 125 or more total yards in their previous game are 24-4 ATS L/10 seasons for a 86% conversion rate. 

Play on the Buffalo to cover 

Nevada according to my power rankings is being over rated here on this line. I know UNLV is o-7 on the season, but they have been mostly competitive and deserve respect here getting 20 plus points . The last time these teams met the Rebels upset Nevada 33-30 two seasons ago, and Im betting they make the Wolfpack work hard again.Rebels are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog.Road team is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings.Wolf Pack are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game.

Play on the UNLV to cover 

This selection is all about momentum and Im betting Golden States 4-0 season stretches to 5 tonight against a tired Memphis team off a DD blowout loss last night in Portland. Memphis now face the daunting task of  playing their 4th straight road game against a confident side. 

NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (GOLDEN STATE) - first 6 games of the season, after closing out last season with 8+ spread covers in last 10 are 25-2 L/25 seasons for a  92% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +10 ppg. 

NBA Underdogs (MEMPHIS) - off a close road loss of 3 points or less, average team from last season that won between 45-55% of their games are 6-27 ATS L/25 seasons for a go against 82% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Warriors to cover 

Packers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games overall.Packers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win. Packers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games in October.

Cardinals are 9-20 ATS in their last 29 games as a home favorite.Cardinals are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

ARIZONA is 1-11 ATS  L/12 in home games after allowing 200 or less total yards in their previous game.ARIZONA is 0-6 ATS in home games after out-gaining opp by 100 or more total yards in their previous game over the last 2 seasons. ARIZONA is 4-14 ATS L/18  off a home blowout win by 21 points or more. 

GREEN BAY is 8-1 ATS after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of +1 or better over the last 2 seasons.

NFL Home teams (ARIZONA) - out-gaining their opponents by 1.75 or more passing yards/attempt, after gaining 6.75 or more passing yards/attempt in 4 straight games are 7-27 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate.

NFL Home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (ARIZONA) - after allowing 5.5 or less passing yards per attempt last game against opponent after gaining 7 or more passing yards/attempt in 2 straight games are 9-33 ATS L/10 seasons for a79% go against conversion rate. 

Play on the Green Bay Packers to cover 

Chicago has won their first 4 games of the season, and Im betting they make it  5 in a row here vs the NY Knicks. Lets ride the momentum of a hungry side. 

Knicks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.

Bulls are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall.Bulls are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS win.Bulls are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up win. Bulls are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games.

NBA Road teams vs. the money line (NEW YORK) - off a win by 10 points or more over a division rival against opponent after 3 consecutive covers as a favorite are 3-27 L/5 seasons for a go against 90% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (NEW YORK) - off a win against a division rival against opponent after 3 consecutive covers as a favorite are 8-54 L/25 seasons for a go against 87% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Bulls to win 

Im betting that Coastal Carolina ha a huge hangover after having their undefeated season come to an abrupt end last time out vs   at Appalachian State  by a 30-27 count.  Now against the 7th ranked defense in the nation, Im betting Coastal has problems on lift off and will start slowly. Note: In recent meetings the Trojans have really made Coastal work for wins . CCU won 36-35 at home two seasons ago and than took a hard fought are 42-38 in L.A.. Im betting things wont come easily again. 

TROY is 7-0 ATS  against teams who force 0.75 or less turnovers/game on the season. 

CFB Favorites of 10.5 to 21 points (COASTAL CAROLINA) - in a game involving two good defensive teams (16-21 PPG), after scoring 20 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games are 14-39 ATS L/29 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Troy to cover 

East Carolina won last year's meeting 44-24 and now redemption is at hand for the Bulls and Im expecting them to be ready to perform after last weeks win vs Temple. The Pirates (3-4, 1-2),   have lost two games in a row, and are limping into this tilt.

Pirates are 8-21 ATS in their last 29 games as a favorite.Pirates are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games as a home favorite.

S FLORIDA is 5-0 straight up against E CAROLINA since 1992 here on the road. 

Play on South Florida to cover 

I know Motown is not inspiring NBA bettors at the moment but with Ben Simmons out til hes traded and top star Joel Imbiid injured or playing at less than 100% , the Pistons have enough edges here to cover the number. 

DETROIT is 10-1 ATS (vs. excellent 3 point shooting teams - making 39%or more  of their attempts over the last 2 seasons.DETROIT is 13-4 ATS  versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Play on Detroit to cover 

The Clippers have shown they can win without often injured super star Kawhi Leonard in the lineup and tonight Im betting they will prove their abilities again vs a Cleveland side that despite of winning two straight are on tired legs as they prepare to play their 3rd game in 4 nights. Im sure the Cavs are gassed after playing their last game in the high altitude of Denver and are very vulnerable vs a LAC side that has covered 5 straight in this series and 5 straight as hosts. Note: The Cavs are 2-12 ATS  against Pacific division opponents over the last 3 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at -18.6 ppg. CLEVELAND is 10-25 ATS  as a road underdog over the last 2 seasons with the average ppg deficit clicking in at just 11 ppg. 

Play on LA Clippers to cover

 This will be the Grizzlies 3rd straight road game all in a 4night period making them. vulnerable on tired legs to a HC Billups coached side that needs to bounce back off a loss to the Clippers last time out. NBA Underdogs (MEMPHIS) - off a close road loss of 3 points or less, average team from last season that won between 45-55% of their games are 6-27 ATS L/25 seasons for a go against 82% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Portland to cover 

New Orleans has alot of problems with offensive flow this season and  have  scored +107 points just once so far early in this campaign ranking just 26th in offensive rating . Here tonight vs a top flight Hawks D, Im betting those problems continue to fester without the injured Zion Williamson in the lineup.The Pelicans went 2-9 SU and only covered 5 times  without Williamson last season and look to be a disadvantage again. 

Hawks are 10-3-1 ATS in their last 14 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Hawks are 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings in New Orleans.Hawks are 7-0 ATS in the last 7 meetings.

Pelicans are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 home games.Pelicans are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.

Hawks took both meetings last season by 123-107 and 126-103 counts. Rinse and repeat on the agenda.

Play on the Atlanta to win 

Whether King LeBron plays or not my power rankings suggest the Lakers matchup very well vs the Spurs and this line is beatable for a cover. Note: Early on this season it has become obvious the Spurs are sharing the ball well, and the Lakers are well built to handle multiple looks form different players which gives them an edge here. 

SAN ANTONIO is 4-14 ATS in a home game where the total is 220 to 229.5 over the last 2 seasons. SAN ANTONIO is 16-33 ATS  in home games versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 or less  free throws/game over the last 3 seasons. 

LA LAKERS is 4-0 straight up against SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons in Texas . 

NBA Road favorites of -165 to -500 vs. the money line (LA LAKERS) - after being beaten by the spread by 24 or more points total in their last three games, first half of the season are 33-4 L/5 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Lakers to cover

The Clippers have proved in the past they can win without their star Kawhi Leonard in the lineup. The Clippers are off two straight losses to begin their season, but from a matchup perspective have an edge here vs a Portland side, that looks to be having some early season chemistry problems under new New Trail Blazers head coach Chauncey Billups . Yes, I know Portland won their last time out, but I watched parts of that game, and there were some definite issues that needed to be ironed out. Note: Portland's Norman Powell exited with a left knee injury on Saturday and will miss Monday's game. Tony Snell (foot) will also sit out the contest and this Im betting will effect the Blazers overall flow. 

Clippers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss. LA CLIPPERS are 39-22 ATS (  after 1 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.

LA CLIPPERS is 6-0 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons.

NBA Road teams vs. the money line (PORTLAND) - after beating the spread by more than 24 points in their previous game, first half of the season are 17-38 L/5 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the LA Clippers to cover 

The Pacers after starting their season with 2 straight 1 point losses bounced back with a win at home in their opener against the Miami Heat and once again like viable opponents against a Milwaukee side that will be on tired legs as they play their third straight road game. Advantage ride with the home dog. 

MILWAUKEE is 9-23 ATS   in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.MILWAUKEE is 10-24 ATS in road games after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.

Bucks are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.

Pacers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog.Pacers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as a home underdog.Pacers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. 

Bucks are 2-6 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Indiana.

NBA Home teams vs. the money line (INDIANA) - an excellent offensive team (118 or more  PPG) against a poor defensive team (114-118 PPG) are 26-2 L/25 seasons for a 93% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Indiana to cover 

The Warriors are much improved but Im also betting the Kings will uptrend as well and deserve respect here as home underdogs as they have thrived overall dating back to last season as underdogs cashing 10 of their L/14 games taking points. The Kings are also 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record and have covered 4 straight vs the Warriors here in Sacramento and overall have cashed 9 of the L/10 tickets for their backers in this series. 

Play on Sacramento to cover 

 The Colts after a slow 0-3 start have won 2 of their L/3 games, with the loss coming to Baltimore by a 31-25 count. This team and its current roster according to my power rankings is more than capable of hanging with a SF 49ers side that has a banged up QB (Jimmy Garoppolo ) at the helm of the offense that is playing at less than 100% when he is on the field. Advantage Colts to cover. 

INDIANAPOLIS is 9-1 ATS  vs. good passing teams averaging 7 or more passing yards/att. over the last 2 seasons. NDIANAPOLIS is 6-0 ATS  in road games after having won 2 out of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons.

SAN FRANCISCO is 1-8 ATS  when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

NFL team vs the money line (INDIANAPOLIS) - off a blowout win by 28 points or more over a division rival, after the first month of the season are 31-6 L/10 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors.

NFL team vs the money line (INDIANAPOLIS) - an average defensive team (18 to 23 PPG) against a poor defensive team (23-27 PPG), after scoring 25 points or more in 3 straight games are 28-4 L/5 seasons for a 88% conversion rate. ( This trend gives a decent probability of possible upset thus giving top tier value with taking points. 

INDIANAPOLIS is 3-0/ATS 2-1 SU against the spread versus SAN FRANCISCO in SAN FRANCISCO since 1992. 

Indianapolis to cover 

That was a big win for Rodgers and company last week against their long time rivals the  Bears and now Im expecting an emotional letdown situation to unfold for Green Bay giving us an advantage with taking points with the Washington football team. I know Washington has not looked good defensively, but they are still capable of slowing down the Packer train. Note: From a historical standpoint GREEN BAY is just  9-22 ATS   in home games versus struggling  defensive teams - allowing 6 yards/play or more .

Football Team are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.Football Team are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.Football Team are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Rivera is 9-1 ATS in road games after failing to cover the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games in all games he has coached .Rivera is 20-8 ATS  after 2 or more consecutive losses against the spread in all games he has coached

Packers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

Play on Washington to cover 

After last weeks back and forth tilt vs the Dallas Cowboys that saw New England lose to the Cowboys in OT, Im betting on a huge letdown performance from the Pats here this week vs the lowly Jets, Also according to my power rankings the Jets are not as bad as their record suggests and are more than capable of hanging tough here and pulling off the upset. 

NFL Road teams (NY JETS) - with a struggling offense - averaging 285 or less total yards/game, after allowing 400 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games are 39-14 ATS L/38 seasons for a 74% conversion rate.

Play on the NY Jets ( LATE STEAM)

Both San Antonio and Milwaukee are off losses. I expected the Bucks to come out strong in their home opener after their championship season, and they did, beating Brooklyn handily. However, now Im expecting a period of champion ship hangover to permeate for a while. With that said, Im betting on San Antonio giving the Bucks all they can handle tonight. Note: San Antonio is 6-0 ATS L/6 in this series, and it must also be noted MILWAUKEE is 0-10 ATS  against Southwest division opponents over the last 2 seasons and are 11-24 ATS  in road games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons. 

Play on San Antonio to cover 

The Bulls cruised to a 128-112 rout of the visiting New Orleans Pelicans on Friday and beat the Pistons by 6 points in their first game of the season in Motown. I know the Bulls have played more game and are off  playing last night, but they do matchup up very well against Detroit, and since its still early in the season Im betting they have plenty of energy left to dispatch the visitors here in  Chicago tonight and get us the all important cover.Pistons are 0-8 ATS in the last 8 meetings Pistons are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog.Bulls are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite.Bulls are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a home favorite. Bulls are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.

Play on Chicago Bulls to win/cover

USC at 3-3 are not be respected right now by linesmakers despite of great deal of talent all through the lineup. Yes, they have not performed optimally but are still extremely dangerous opponent for an inconsistent and lucky to sport a 5-1 record this  Fighting Irish side. Both sides are well rested but it must be noted that the Trojans are 9-1 ATS going into a non conference battle off a bye and 4-0 ATS L/4 off a loss. USC is 6-1 ATS as a underdog of 6 or more points and 11-2 ATS when coming off a SU home favorite loss. 

USC is 12-3 ATS  after allowing 42 points or more last game.

CFB Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (USC) - with 16 total starters returning are 73-34 ATS L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate.

Play on USC to cover 

 UL Monroe  (3-3 on the season) scored a huge underdog upset  vs Liberty last week by a 31-28 count and now with momentum on their sides I expect them to be competitive here again this week vs a South Alabama  : Note: South Alabama is just 12-23-1 ATS on the road in Sun Belt play. 

S ALABAMA is 1-9 ATS  off a home win by 17 points or more which was the case in the 41-14 win vs Georgia Southern last week. 

Play on UL Monroe to cover 

Air Force is a one way offense that moves the chains on the ground,  and that is a problem for them here tonight as  they take on a San Diego State  rush defense allowing just 61 rushing yards per contest ranking among the best in the nation. 

SD State is 7-2 L9 ATS in this series and have won 9 straight  with the  Visitor  going 3-0 L/3 . San Diego State is also  9-2 as  8 point dogs or less. 

AIR FORCE is 1-10 ATS after allowing 125 or less rushing yards in 3 straight games.

CFB road team (SAN DIEGO ST) - with a good first half defense - 8 or less points per game, after a win by 6 or less points are 31-11 ATS L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the San Diego State to cover 

 Atlanta defeated the Dallas Mavericks 113-87 on Thursday and are getting alot of accolades. But now in a letdown spot vs a desperate Cavaliers side that is 0-2 and lost their opener, Im betting we have a viable underdog spot to pick on. Atlanta has lost their L/4 trips to Cleveland SU, and are vulnerable here in this pot play.ATLANTA is 8-20 ATS  in road games after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.

Play on the Cavaliers to cover 

Boston College roared out to a 4-0 start to their season, and than lost a hard fought battle to Clemson by a 19-13 count and than in a letdown state were beat up by North Carolina in their follow up. Now rested and ready for redemption Im betting the Eagles come out here and give Louisville all they can handle for the cover. Note: BC is 7-0 ATS L/7 entering this series off a loss. From a statistical standpoint the Golden Eagles are 122 yards superior to the Cards from a defensive standpoint, which Im betting will be the difference maker here today. 

BOSTON COLLEGE is 24-11 ATS (as a road underdog of 7 points or less since 1992.BOSTON COLLEGE is 9-1 ATS  in road games off 2 straight losses against conference rivals since 1992.

BC has won 4 of the L/5 meetings on the road in this series with the only loss coming by 2 points. 

Play on BC to cover 

Clemson has not been an underdog in 64 straight games  dating back to the 2016 season. I know they have not performed optimally this season, behind their QB  DJ Uiagalele, but this is still a talented group especially on defense where Im betting they will give this explosive Pittsburgh team problems. 

CLEMSON is 21-9 ATS in road games vs. incredible offensive teams - scoring 37 or more points/game since 1992. Swinney is 11-2 ATS after 4 consecutive games where they committed 1 or less turnovers as the coach of CLEMSON.

Narduzzi is 1-8 ATS  in home games after allowing 125 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games as the coach of PITTSBURGH.

CFB road team (CLEMSON) - with a good first half defense - 8 or less points per game, after a win by 6 or less points are 31-11 ATS L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Clemson to cover 

Cal does not deserve to be this big a favorite here. The Bears have accumulated a    1-5  SU record with the only win against FCS Sacramento State.The Golden Bears currently  rank last in the PAC 12 in total defense  while their opponent the (Colorado Buffaloes  ranks 4th and 6th in total offense . Note: CALIFORNIA is 0-7 ATS as a home favorite over the last 3 seasons. 

Colorado won 34-0 last week as dogs and are being put into the dog pound again this Saturday in Berkeley. Colorado under Dorrell is 5-0 ATS coming off a SU underdog victory.

CFB Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (COLORADO) - with 16 total starters returning are 73-34 L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Colorado to cover 

 From a matchup perspective Kstate. Matched up well here according to my power rankings and from a historical standpoint  have done well in this series winning  4 of their last 5 trips  to  Lubbock while winning 9 of the last 10 meetings overall. I know the wildcats lost last week, so they are not getting alot of respect right now form lines-makers, but it must be noted HC Chris Klieman when coming off a SUATS loss  is 6-0 ATS L/6. Look for KStates top tier QB Skylar Thompson to be the difference maker. 

KANSAS ST is 11-1 ATS  as a road underdog of 3 points or less since 1992.

Wells is 1-12 ATS  after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse in all games he has coached since 1992.

TEXAS TECH is 0-6 ATS after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread over the last 2 seasons.

CFB home team (TEXAS TECH) - after 5 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers against opponent after 2 consecutive game where they committed 1 or less turnovers are 10-33 ATS L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate. 

Play on the KState Wildcats to cover 

The Bearcats are 0-4 ATS as road favorites of 17 or more points and despite of all their obvious  strengths could find the sledding tough against a never say die  Navy side that has cashed 4 of their L/5 as 12 point or more conference dogs.  Note: Military Dogs of 20 or more points are 5-0 ATS L/4 seasons.  The Bearcats have also failed to cover in 6 of their L/8 vs Military schools including 0-3 ATS when favored by two TDs or more. Probably not an upset in the making, but getting points is a viable investment option.

Play on Navy to cover 

I  know Wake Forest is undefeated on the season, but Im still not a big believer in their overall prowess as a top tier team , and feel strongly they will find the sledding tough here in West Point this Saturday vs Army. From a historical standpoint the Demon Deacons are just 0-3-1 ATS as road favs when carrying a undefeated record. The Black Knights  can hit the weakest part of the Wake D,  which allows an average of 171 ypg on the ground, behind the  2nd-ranked rushing offense in the nation and garner us a cover and possible outright upset. 

CFB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (WAKE FOREST) - after a road game where both teams score 31 points or more, in October game are 12-41 ATS L/10 seasons for a 78% go against conversion rate. 

CFB Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (ARMY) - off 1 or more consecutive unders, solid team - outscoring opponents by 10 or more points/game are 29-12 ATS L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate.

Play on Army to cover 

Ben Simmons trade demand saga continues to have a demoralizing effect on the 76ers, and here  vs a talented Brooklyn team that wants redemption for a beatdown to the defending champion Bucks last time out,  Im betting  more of the same negative feelings will permeate for them when the final buzzer goes off.  76ers are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog.

Nets are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.Nets are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games as a favorite. Nets are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.

BROOKLYN is 47-28 ATS  in road games when playing with 2 days rest.

NBA Road teams vs. the money line (BROOKLYN) - off a road loss by 10 points or more, good team from last season who won 60% to 75% of their games are 37-18 L/25 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the  Brooklyn Nets 

Cleveland Im betting will be an upgraded unit this season, and I was personally impressed by them in game 1 of the season vs Memphis despite of losing. Note: Evan Mobley  is the real deal and he proved it in his first league game, Also of importance was Jarrett Allen who had a perfect shooting night  and Darius Garland and Ricky Rubio who recorded point-assist double-doubles. Meanwhile, Charlotte took an emotional comeback win and now are in a vulnerable letdown spot on the road. They played hard last time out, and Im sure exhaustion will now help us get a cover with the home side. Hornets are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS win.Hornets are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up win.

Hornets are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games.

CLEVELAND is 24-5 straight up against CHARLOTTE at home since 1996.

NBA Road teams vs. the money line (CHARLOTTE) - off an upset win as a home underdog, first 6 games of the season, after closing out last season poorly with 4 or more straight losses are 5-24 L/25 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Cleveland to cover