Defense has been an issue recently for the Los Angeles Clippers. However, they've had four days to work on it before they host the struggling Golden State Warriors and should be very ready to play a shut down game here on rested legs, which to me suggests a blowout situation. The Clippers hammered the Warriors 141-122 on Oct. 24. Rinse and repeat at hand tonight as teams now have a chance to give back some the nasty medicine the Warriors forced on opponents over an extended period of time in the last decade. No Mercy rule in effect. LA CLIPPERS are 8-0 ATS  when playing with 3 or more days rest over the last 3 seasons. 

NBA Teams like the Clippers are 19-2 ATS /21-0 SU as a 8+ favorite with more than one day of rest off a game as a favorite in which their opponent shot over 50% from the field with a the average ppg diff clicking in at +17.9 ppg.

Play on the LA Clippers to cover 

Sacramento will be short handed and banged up for tonights game against the explosive Milwaukee Bucks with Richaun Holmes and Bogdan Bogdanovic  laready  ruled out, while Cory Joseph and Nemanja Bjelica sat out Thursday’s practice due to bumps, bruises and illness. Advantage Bucks as their super star Giannis Antetokounmpo is expected play.

The Bucks are 19-1 ATS /20-1 SU as a 8+ favorite with less than two days rest facing an opponent averaging less than 16 percent of points off free throws with the average ppg diff clicking in at +22.2. 

The Kings are 0-16 ATS /0-16 SU as a home dog off a win as a road dog facing an opponent averaging more than 5 blocks per game with the average ppg diff clicking in at -15.8. 

NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MILWAUKEE) - excellent defensive team (41.5% or less ) against a poor defensive team (45.5-47.5%), good rebounding team (+3 to +5.5 reb/game) against an average rebounding team (+/-3 reb/game) are 30-6 ATS L/23 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Milwaukee Bucks to cover 

This is a young Grizzlies team that is suppose to be rebuilding, but what most pundits are missing is how talented they are and how consistent they have been of late. I know their opponents the Spurs have the bigger names, and respected franchise pedigree but , what they dont have is consistency and work ethic and that  is why Im backing the home side tonight to get the cover. The Grizzlies are 11-0 ATS /SU L/11 at home when the line is within 3 of pick after they had a field goal percentage of at least 50 a free throw percentage of at least 85. (Which was the case last time out.The Grizzlies are also 10-0 ATS /SU when the line is within 3 of pick off a game as a favorite after out scoring their opponent in the paint by double digits.

The Spurs are 1-16-1 ATS /1-17 SU on the road when the line is within 3 of pick with rest off a 10+ win in a road game.

Play on Memphis to cover 

Brooklyns C LeVert is getting healthy again and hes now ready tp play a full game, with no minute restrictions, and Im betting we now see more flow from what was clunky Brooklyn offence . Meanwhile, the Heat are showing themselves to be atop tier team this season, but have had issues against lower tier teams , as was evident by recent losses vs Orlando and Washington . Meanwhile, BROOKLYN is 22-10 ATS  when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct.  70%or better ) over the last 3 seasons.

The Nets are 10-0 ATS when the line is within 3 of pick with more than one day of rest off a home game after a game that was tied 5+ times.

The Heat are 0-12 ATS /L/12 as a road favorite off a win after allowing 50-plus points in the paint

The Heat are 1-13 ATS /SU when the line is within 3 of pick with rest off a win in a road game facing an opponent averaging more than 7 refereed turnovers per game.

Play on the Brooklyn Nets to cover 

The Jaspers are among the nation's best on defense, limiting teams to a MAAC-low 63.7 ppg (65th NCAA) while also pacing the MAAC in field goal percentage defense (.396-64th NCAA) and 3-point defense (.318). Manhattan also ranks among the nation's leaders in forced turnovers (15.6/game-74th NCAA) and steals (7.6/game-92nd NCAA). I know Fairfield also plays tough D, but the difference maker will come via the better offence which my ranking suggest belong to  the Jaspers. Manhattan has already won their L/2 MAAC road games and wont be surprised if they turn the tric again. 

FAIRFIELD is 5-13 ATS  as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

CBB  road team (MANHATTAN) - off 2 or more consecutive road wins, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a bad team (20 to 40%) are 31-10 ATS L/23 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Manhattan to cover 

My College basketball selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision.

BYU to cover 

My College basketball selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision.
 

My College basketball selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision.

Top-ranked Gonzaga typically sails through West Coast Conference play, but its first two conference victories this season were by an average of just nine points and they are showing signs of regression this season as compared to past program groups. Advantage SD to cover.

SAN DIEGO is 6-0 ATS  in home games versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or more  of their shots over the last 3 seasons.

San Diego has covered the L/4 meetings in this series.

 Play on San Diego to cover 

My College basketball selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision.

My College basketball selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision.

 Play Weber State to cover 

My College basketball selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision.

The Philadelphia 76ers will be severely short-handed for their game against the visiting Boston Celtics on Thursday.All-Star center Joel Embiid will miss the game with a dislocated left ring finger. Meanwhile, Bostons star forward Kemba Walker, who had missed the previous three games with flu-like symptoms, played 18 minutes while on a minutes restriction last time out, and should get more time tonight. Tonight Im expecting a Celtics team with redemption and revenge on mind for two losses in this series earlier this season and two current overall losses to have an edge on a value line. BOSTON is 9-1 ATS  revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points this season.

BOSTON is 13-3 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record this season

NBA team vs the money line (BOSTON) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off an upset loss by 15 points or more as a home favorite are 39-19 SU L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rare for bettors.

Play on Celtics to cover 

My College basketball selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision.

 

My College basketball selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision.

My College basketball selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision.

My College basketball selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision.

Wagner to cover

My College basketball selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision.

Purdue  to cover

The game will feature the Big 12's top-two scorers in KU's Devon Dotson (18.4 ppg) and ISU's Tyrese Haliburton (17.7)...ISU (80.2) and KU (79.5) also are the league's top scoring teams.Im betting on hard fought affair and for KANSAS to add to a  3-11 ATS  mark  in road lined games over the last 2 seasons. I know Iowa State is off a close loss last time out vs TCU on the road, but now with redemption at hand vs a perennial Big 12 super program, Im betting we see them at their best. Note: IOWA ST is 16-4 ATS in home games off a close loss by 3 points or less to a conference rival. 

The Cyclones have won three of the last five meetings in Ames. In the last 13 meetings, ISU is 7-6 against KU with eight of those outcomes being decided by seven points or less. 

CBB Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (IOWA ST) - off a close loss by 3 points or less to a conference rival against opponent off a no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite are 44-15 ATS L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Iowa State to cover 

These two teams are operating at the proverbial opposite end of the performance spectrum. Houston has won 11 of their L/14 SU while, Atlanta has lost 12 of their L/14 overall,  and when these teams met earlier this season, the divergence in talent was on full display as the Rockets smashed the Hawks by a 158-111 count. I know Atlanta has revenge on board, but Im betting they dont have the legs to get redemption as they play their 3rd game in 4 nights against a visitor that is fresh and on 4 days rest. 

ATLANTA is 5-14 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season.

NBA Road favorites of -165 to -500 vs. the money line (HOUSTON) - after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more against opponent after a combined score of 215 points or more 3 straight games are 30-1 SU L/23 seasons, with the average ppg diff clicking in at +9.2 ppg which qualify as a positive league wide trends situations when applied to  this offered side number. 

NBA Home underdogs (ATLANTA) - revenging a road blowout loss vs opponent of 30 points or more against opponent off an home win scoring 110 or more points are 45-15 ATS L/23 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Houston Rockets 

Play on Houston to cover 

The Raptors are banged up with a boat load full of injuries and fade material in their current condition and form. Team scoring leader Pascal Siakam remains out with a groin injury. The Raptors were also without Fred VanVleet (hamstring), Marc Gasol (hamstring) and Norman Powell (shoulder) on Tuesday. Meanwhile, Charlotte despite of a overall dismal record has shown some life of late winning and covering 2 of their L/3 and get my support to get us a cover here tonight.

The Raptors are 0-15 ATS /3-12 SU  off a loss as a favorite in which they led after each of the first three quarters

 Play on Charlotte to cover 

My College basketball selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision.

Fairfield to cover ( LATE STEAM )

The superior team here is obviously the LA Lakers, but it has also become obvious that the Lakers have a tendency of conserving energy and not going full throttle against most of their lesser opponents which is like to resting players. The Lakers have not seen a more than 13 point margin of victory  in almost a month spanning 12 games and tonight Im betting the Knicks keep this run alive with a cover .  NEW YORK is 8-0 ATS  in road games after playing a road game this season ( they are currently playing their 3rd road  in a west coast trip)

  LA LAKERS are 1-10 ATS against Atlantic division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

LA LAKERS are 7-21 ATS  versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Play on the NY Knicks to cover 

My College basketball selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision.

TCU to cover ( LATE STEAM )

Both these teams are red hot, but home court advantage for the Raiders will be paramount here vs a Baylor team that has played only one true road game  this season at Coastal Carolina where they looked average at best. Here at home  in the recent past  Texas Tech are 3-0 SU at home against Baylor with an average margin of victory coming by 17.3 points and a repeat as far fetched as it might sound is a definite possibility. 

The Red Raiders own the 13th-best adjusted defensive efficiency in the nation while holding opponents to just 42.9% FG conversion rate  and their ability to slow the Bears offence will be key to us getting a cover here tonight in this Big 12 mega matchup. 

Play on Texas Tech to cover 

Villanova is one of the youngest teams in the nation, and despite of being talented are just to inexperienced for me to consider them as having a protracted enough edge to win in a place like Creighton where the home team has won all 10 of their games this season. Dating back to last season the Blue Jays have won 15 in a row at home.Add to that the Blue Jays are an explosive offensive side that have scored 89+ points in 5 of their L/6 in front of their own alumni and you have a viable short favorite to bet on  in this spot. 

CREIGHTON is 11-1 ATS  in home games after playing a game as a road underdog over the last 3 seasons ( they lost at Butler last time out and will be ready rebound)

Play on Creighton to cover 

The Memphis Grizzlies continue to uptrend in my power rankings as they go for  their  straight win  and 9th in their L/15 when  they open a six-game home stand against the Minnesota Timberwolves on Tuesday.  The Grizzlies have momentum and confidence entering tilt behind an explosive cohesive offence that is off an impressive 140-114 rout of the Los Angeles Clippers and followed up by a 121-114 victory over the Phoenix Suns on Sunday. As far as this tilt vs a very banged up Minnesota Wolves team is concerned , that matchup very well here, as is evident by two previous victories in this series this season via a 137-121 home win on Nov. 6, and  a 115-107 victory in Minneapolis on Dec. 1. Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation here this evening in Memphis vs a Wolves side that has lost 8 of their L/10 on the road. Memphis has won 3 of their L/4 meetings at home in this series and 7 of the L/9  meetings overall . 

Play on Memphis 

Illinois State has won five of the last six games in the series between the two teams, the only Missouri State win in that stretch came last season when the Bears used a last-second half court shot to pick up the victory.  This season Illinois State opponents average an offensive possession length of 19.0 seconds. That time is the third-longest defensive possession length in the country, behind only Navy (19.6 seconds per possession) and Washington (19.1)Teams are having problems penetrating the perimeter against this Redbirds team and that Im betting will the difference maker tonight. 

Ford is 0-6 ATS  on the road when the line is +3 to -3 as the coach of MISSOURI ST. Ford is 2-10 ATS  in road games after 1 or more consecutive losses as the coach of MISSOURI ST.

Play on Illinois State to cover

Cleveland is in complete disarray with key starters like Kevin Love not getting along with HC Altman , and the team as whole showing little or no chemistry. Meanwhile, Detroit despite of playing without Blake Griffin are a team, that gets along and plays hard as a unit and Im betting their work ethic gets them to the promised land tonight and provides us with a cover.

Pistons are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite.

Cavaliers are 5-11-1 ATS in their last 17 home games.

Cavaliers are 22-51 ATS in their last 73 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

CLEVELAND is 2-11 ATS  in a home game where the total is 210 to 219.5 this season

NBA Home teams (CLEVELAND) - horrible team - outscored by their opponents by 9+ points/game against opponent after allowing 100 points or more 4 straight games are 47-93 ATS L/23 seasons for a go against 67% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Detroit to cover 

Kent State id read hot after winning 11 of their 15 games so far.   Visting Toledo is only 8-6 but are much better than their record might indicate and rank almost as highly a the Flashes in my power rankings which coincide in the efficiency numbers  at kenpom that rank the Flashes  96th and Rockets   105th,  which dictate a line that should be closer  +3. Value here with the visiting underdog in a  a close to a one to two possession line. Note:TOLEDO is 12-3 ATS in a road game where the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 3 seasons.

Play on Toledo to cover 

My College basketball selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision.

BC to cover ( LATE STEAM )

West Virginia just played two very tough back to back games against ranked opposition defeating Ohio State in Cleveland in a neutral court environment and than a hard fought loss to Kansas and will now come into another tough environment  in what could easily be a letdown situation which will result in a lack of energy against a hungry team in a need of a marquee win.Advantage -Oklahoma State.

CBB underdog (OKLAHOMA ST) - after being beaten by the spread by 36 or more points total in their last five games against opponent after going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last seven games are 57-21 L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Oklahoma State ( LATE STEAM)

Texas Southern has a sub par record losing 10 of their first 14 games this season, but their competetion has been amazing and of the top tier variety which includes  true road games at Wichita State, Gonzaga, Nevada, Oregon, and Arizona State.  /that Im betting will have them playing this tilt like its a walk in the park.  Meanwhile, Alcorn State  has looked every bit as bad as their 4-8 record would indicate . Texas Southern HC  Johnny Jones  knows how to win and is merciless in his pursuit of victories behind a explosive offence that operates behind tbhe  16th ranked  adjusted tempo. Thats not a good omen for Alcorn State  to be competetive here tonight behind a pathetic  2P% conversion rate of 38.7% while ranking 299th behind the arc with a  29.6% conversion ratio. From my standpoint and projections this is a big time blowout situation that favors the home side Texas Southern. 

ALCORN ST is 1-8 ATS  in road games against conference opponents over the last 2 season with the average ppg diff clicking at at  -17.7 ppg.

Texas Southern to cover

The Jackson State Tigers are battle tested after taking on two top 10 teams: No. 6 Baylor and No. 9 Memphis each back in the month of December. The Tigers were competitive  against both teams but ultimately fell in each contest. Tonight against a Alabama State team that 3-9 on the season, while  averaging 66.6 points per game on offence  while allowing whopping  81.6 ppg on defence the Tigers have a big edge here at home.

Play on Jackson State to cover

New Orleans has been playing very well of late and have won 5 of their L/6 overall,  but that will have Utah wide awake and ready to compete vs a uptrending side. The Jazz are also playing their best hoops of the season , winning 10 of their L/11 SU and have coved 6 straight times.  UTAH is 14-4 ATS  in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at +6 ppg. 

Utah is 10-1 ATS L/11 overall and have won and covered their 4 most trips to the Bayou to take on the Pelicans.

Play on Utah to cover

Oklahoma City has been playing some very good basketball of late, and have won  9 of tjheir L/10 and covered 7 of their L/8 behind  a stingy defence that has allowed 101.1 ppg in their L/5 overall all  of which were wins. That Im betitng will be key to them being competetive vs a slumping Phaildephia team that is completely out of rythm and on a 4 game losing streak. Yes, I know the Sixers are desperate and have played their best hoops at home this season ( 16-2), but in their current form cannot be trusted to cover this wide a spread vs a streaking side that is built to throw offences out of their flow.  Oklahoma City is 20-1 SU L/21 in this series and get my support to cover here tonight. 

Play on Oklahoma city to cover

The Memphis Grizzlies have been playing well of late, winning 8 of their L/14 SU and are a vialbe underdog here vs a side that they have already played twice this season. and have notched a v115-108 victory at Phoenix . According to my projections Memphis in their current form matchup very well vs the Suns, and get my support here getting points. PHOENIX is 2-11 ATS  in home games after scoring 120 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

The Grizzlies are 13-0 ATS /9-4 SU as a dog off a win in a road game in which they had assists on at least 70 percent of their field goals.

The Suns are 0-14-1 ATS L/15 as a home favorite off a win facing an opponent averaging more than 45 rebounds per game.

NBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MEMPHIS) - horrible foul drawing team - attempting 21 or less free throws/game, on Sunday games are 46-15 ATS L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Grizzlies to cover

The Clippers were pounded 140-114 by the visiting Memphis Grizzlies on Saturday and are obviously not in a groove. I know NY may not inspire bettors, but if Leonard does not play tonight which is higly likely since he is not played in back to back games, this season, the Knicks can hang here and get us the cover.

The Clippers are 1-18 ATS L/19 at home with less than two days rest off a home game when they won 3 straight vs current opponent.

The Clippers are 1-22 ATS L/23 as a home favorite with less than two days rest off a home game when they won 2 straight vs current opponet.

 NBA Road underdogs of 10 or more points (NEW YORK) - well rested team - playing 6 or less games in 14 days, a bad team, winning 25% to 40% of their games on the season are 49-17 ATS L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate flor bettors. 

Play on the NY Knicks to cover

NKU has been the most dominant hopps program in the Horizon League over the last three seasons, recording a 47-17 mark against league opposition  while winning four of the combined six league championships (regular season and tournament). They have not started to roll quite yet ,but here againast this is a rebuilding Oakland team they have an edge. NKU has been stingy on the defensive end, holding teams to 65.7 points per game, and makes its hay with the nation's 11th-best 3-point field-goal shooting defense, limiting foes to just 26.6 percent, while their hosts  the Golden Grizzlies score at a 64.0 points per game clip, but surrender 67.1.In the flip side NKU Offensively, are converting a strong rate from down town in the land of the trey as is evident by ranking 13th in the country in 3-point field-goal attempts (406) and 32nd in made threes (131). The combination of the Norse ability to slow the Oakland offence and their beyond the arc shooting to get us a win here. Note:Neither team has fared well on its home court, as NKU is 6-4 all-time at Oakland and Oakland is 7-3 at NKU. Advantage NKU

OAKLAND is 4-16 ATS L/20 in home games after allowing 85 points or more (Wright State lit them up last time out 96-69 for their 7th loss in 9 games.

CBB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (N KENTUCKY) - off an embarrassing road loss scoring less than 60 points, a good team (60% to 80%) playing a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) are 78-40 ATS L/23 seasons for a long term 66% conversion rate for bettors. ( That happened in their last game vs Detroit Mercy last time out). 

IUPU-Indianapolis has won and covered 4 straight meetings in this series and almost always seem to bring their best efforts to tilts against  Green Bay. I know the Phoenix are  explosive offensivevly but their still a 7-9 team that cannot be trusted to cover a DD spread like this on a consistent basis in a conference game. IUPUI has seen 6 of their losses this season decided by 2 possessions or less and Im betting they can hang. The Jaguarts have won the last five meetings in the series. IUPUI is 4-0 against the Phoenix since joining the Horizon League prior to the 2017-2018 campaign.  

Play on IUPU Indianapolis to cover

NFC Wild Card Playoffs

I firmly believe that the Vikings are dark horse playoff contenders, and Im will to put my money where my mouth his here today vs the mighty Saints. The big concern with New Orleans is their D, and despite of their good over lying numbers, the metrics tell a different story, as they have been torched for 28 or more more points in 3 of their L/6 games. 

Vikings HC Mike Zimmer, responds owns a  43-18-2 ATS career record  in non-division tilts, including 18-3-1 ATS when coming off a loss which they did in their last game of the regular season. The Vikings are also  13-0 ATS L/13 covering my more than 12 ppg as a dog when their opponent is off two double-digit win and they are not off a double-digit win.

NEW ORLEANS is 0-7 ATS in home games off a division game over the last 3 seasons.

MINNESOTA is 19-9 ATS  in dome games over the last 3 seasons.

NFL Home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (NEW ORLEANS) - after having won 6 or 7 out of their last 8 games, top level team, winning 75% or more of their games, in the second half of the season are 13-35 ATS L5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors.

NFL Home teams (NEW ORLEANS) - off a road win against a division rival, a top-level team (75% or better) playing a team with a winning record in the second half of the season are 7-25 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Minnesota to cover 

The Pats may not be a real Super Bowl contender this season, and Tom Brady may have lost a few steps as Father Time catches up to him . However, this experienced New England team is more than capable of knocking off a Tennessee team that did not play against the Pats this season, and have no real gauge as to handle their attack or perceived weaknesses, other than film and scouting reports. The same can be said for Beliichik and company, but it must noted that the Pats are 17-1 SU in playoff games behind Bill Belichick in games against opponents they did not face during the regular season. It must also be noted that QB Ryan Tannehill has no experience in the play offs while, Tom Brady is the god of play off football, and is always one patented series of plays away from a key TD,making the Pats the side to back today. Hey guys I know recency bias comes into play here as NE looks horrendous last week vs Miami. However, as outlandish as it might sound I would not  be surprised if Bellichick and company really wanted to win last week as badly as many might have thought and instead were playing possum. I know , this sounds like a whacky conspiracy theory , but this HC is a football and mad genius like no other  , and who. knows where his degenerate thoughts go. He's proven he is not beyond doing anything to win games and this might be his physiological peace   de resistance . Time will tell, but Im betting on the Pats to advance and more importantly cover in a short line.  

The Titans are 2-22 ATS L/24 when they are off a win and they are facing a team allowed more than 370 total yards in their last game.

NEW ENGLAND is 31-10 ATS  when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) in the second half of the season since 1992.

NEW ENGLAND is 20-8 ATS  in home games against AFC South division opponents since 1992.

Play on the NE Pats 

My College basketball selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision.

Wofford to cover ( LATE STEAM )

Bruce Pearls 12-0 Auburn despite of their perfect record are over rated and are lucky to be undefeated this season after some come from behind wins vs Furman and Alabama State . Today vs Mississippi State with top teir G Nick Weatherspoon back in the lineup after serving a 10 game suspension the Bulldogs are a viable threat to end Auburns run.It must be noted that Mississippi State ranks top-100 2-point scoring rate (53.8%) in the nation and must not be underestimated vs an Auburn defense giving up the 33rd-highest 2-point scoring rate (56.9%). Im also expecting Mississippi State size advantage to help on the glass today and limit the Tigers ability to run and gun. 

Play on Mississippi State to cover

These teams two polar opposite types of basketball . Oklahoma list up the scoreboard as well as any team  in the Big 12 but rank near the bottom of the conference when it comes to defense. Meanwhile, K-State plays a top tier level of physical  defense and are more methodical in their offensive postures.  There is an old adage in that is defence travels well, and Im betting on Wildcats stopping power to help get us a cover here. Note: KState coach is 11-4 SU vs Sooners HC Lon Kruger and almost always seems to have a strong game plan devised for these matchups. Advantage. KState.

KANSAS ST is 9-2 ATS  in road games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons. Weber is 24-9 ATS  in a road game where the total is 130 to 139.5 as the coach of KANSAS ST.

Play on on Kansas State to cover 

Armed Forces Bowl - Amon G. Carter Stadium - Fort Worth, TX

After a very strong start to their season Tulane fell apart down the stretch losing 5 of their L/6 and are on a 3 game losing streak. Their demise has a lot to do with the disintegration of their  offensive line coupled with the struggles of  LSU transfer QB Justin McMillan, who was sacked 18 times  during that ugly  6-game run. Here against a Southern Miss D,  ranked No. 36 in the country in total defense (350.3 ypg). Im betting the Wave scoring output will once again be curtailed . Meanwhile,The Golden Eagles have relied heavily on their passing  game this season as . Southern Miss ranked among the top 25 nationally and led Conference USA in passing offense (288.6 ypg) during the regular season,  and today Im betting on them hitting enough explosive plays to get us the promised land and get us the cover.

Play on Southern Miss to cover

Fairfield comes into the MAAC schedule playing its best basketball of the season as they finsihed non-conference action by winning three of its last four games. All three of those victories came off campus with a neutral site win against Texas A&M followed by true road decisions over Oakland University and Wagner College. Meanwhile, their opponents the Niagarathe Purple Eagles have lost four straight games and are fade marerial in their current form.

NIAGARA is 9-25 ATS in home games after playing 4 consecutive games as an underdog.FAIRFIELD is 6-0 ATS after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread this season.

Play on Fairfield to cover

Famous Idaho Potato Bowl - Albertsons Stadium - Boise, ID

The Wolf Pack played in the 2006 and 2008 bowls, losing to Miami and Maryland, respectively. The Bobcats played in the 2011 bowl, beating Utah State. 

This Ohio football  program has  a viable strong history and culture under Solich that has an explosive offense and that Im betting will be the difference maker here today.

Add to that Nevada will be without key starters on the defensive side of the ball  for a brawl they had with UNLV in their last game of the season and have a new defensive coordinator for this game, which is not a good omen for a  Wolfpack side that   ranks 116th in defensive rushing success rate and 115th in line yards.  With that said, Im betting on Solich pounding the rock on the ground today for big gains and score behind Rourke and for Nevadas inconsistent offence to have issues repsonding.

  Solich is 9-2 ATS  after gaining 6.75 or more yards/play in 2 consecutive games as the coach of OHIO U.

CFB Favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (OHIO U) - excellent offensive team ( 440  or more YPG) against a poor defense (390 to 440 YPG) after 7+ games, after gaining 6.75 or more yards/play in their previous game are 38-9 ATS L/10 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Ohio . to cover 

The Pistons are banged up and short handed for this tilt vs the Clippers  with Blake Griffin doubtful and Markieff Morris  ruled out.The Pistons are 4-12 on the road, while the Clippers are 14-3 at home. This is a tale of two polar opposites, and Im not going to be shy about laying points here with this spot play. DETROIT is 3-15 ATS  versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game over the last 2 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at 13.8 ppg.The Pistons are 0-11 ATS /SU  as a 8+ dog with the average ppg diff clicking in at -19.2 ppg. 

The Clippers are 13-1 ATS/13-1SU as a home favorite with rest after playing as a road favorite facing an opponent with an assist-to-turnover ratio greater than 1.5.

Play on the LA Clippers to cover 

My College basketball selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision.

Gonzaga is obviously the superior side here, but the Pilots rank second in the WCC in FG percentage defense (.398), three-point defense (.291) and blocked shots (4.0) while also ranking third in points allowed per game (65.5) are solid enough to stay within this huge DD underdog line here at home. 

Play on Portland to cover 

 My College basketball selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision.

UCLA to cover 

This will be the Oregon Ducks’ first test at altitude this season  where the thin air  can really slow down teams not accustomed to dealing with it. Oregon has never won in Boulder and despite of being a top tier team nationally this season, will have their hands full trying to deal with this Rocky Mountain environment .  Tonight Im betting the Boulder shutout continues for the travelling Ducks  vs a Colorado side that returned every key member of last season’s 23-13 squad this season. The  key difference between the Buffs and the Ducks, is home teams ability to play solid consistent D, as is evident by ranking 18th in KenPom’s metrics in the nation while limiting opponents to below 40% from the field and rank 23rd in points allowed. Oregon rank 63rd in defensive efficiency at KenPom.  Altitude + Home court Advantage + Defence = Colorado Edge .

COLORADO is 11-3 ATS  in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

CBB Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (OREGON) - after a blowout win by 20 points or more against opponent after scoring 75 points or more 3 straight games are 13-38 L/5 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Colorado to cover 

Harald Frey is in the back court for Montana State which automatically has me evaluating their underdog status here in a league where home court advantage never seems to weight heavily in the home teams favor. . The kid Frey is one of the nation’s best point guards and looks headed to playing pro ball very soon as is evident by his 17.5/5.3/5.2 slash line  per game on 43.6% shooting from the land of the trey  and a  90%  conversion rate from the charity stripe. This kid is a difference maker and has me taking the points here this evening. Montana State has held 11 of its 13 opponents this season to under 50% shooting from the field which is important against a team like Colorado with a lot of offensive flow.

Play on Montana State to cover 

With Caris LeVert and Kyrie Irving out of the Brooklyn lineup with injuries they are looking clunkier by the day , and are struggling with flow and particularly their 3 point shooting which has become a concern. Tonight against a Dallas team off a game where they blew a late lead on the road to Oklahoma City,  Im betting the rebound redemption minded Mavericks will be primed to romp vs a down trending side. The Mavericks are 12-0 ATS /11-1 SU after they scored fewer than 10 fast break points with the average ppg diff clicking in at +9.2 . 

NBA teams like the Mavs  are 24-4 ATS/26-2 SU as a home favorite with less than two days rest off a loss in which they had at least a 10 percent higher BAP than their opponent.

NBA Teams like the Nets are 2-21-1 ATS L/2-22 SU  with more than one day of rest off a loss in a road game facing an opponent averaging less than 20 fouls per game.

Play on Dallas to cover

The Thunder head to San Antonio after a emotional   hard fought 106-101 home win over the Dallas Mavericks on Tuesday. Chris Paul scored 17 points -- including 13 in the final 4:31 -- to help erase a seven-point deficit with less than three minutes remaining. Now in a letdown spot vs a Spurs that  are playing better of late, Im betting the Thunder are fade material in what has been a hall of horrors( AT&T Center)  for them as is evident by 9 straight regular season losses here.

SAN ANTONIO is 33-19 ATS  in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

The Thunder are 0-11 ATS /2-9 SU off a win facing an opponent averaging more than 62 ppg from 2-point range.

NBA Teams  like the Thunder are 0-11 ATS /1-10 SUL/11 when the line is within 3 of pick with less than two days rest off a game as a dog in which they had 6+ double digit scorers.

Play on San Antonio to cover 

 Head Coach John Becker during his UVM tenure  is a combined 61-11 (.847) in the first month of the new year, including 26-1 in the last three seasons. 

DARTMOUTH is 4-16 ATS L/20 in home games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game. 

Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DARTMOUTH) - off an upset loss as a favorite against opponent off a home blowout win by 20 points or more are 30-62 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 68% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Vermont to cover 

Indiana must not be underestimated here behind an  offense that ranked No. 14 in offensive SP+.  This Hoosiers side , looked very viable against a top tier opponent in Penn State in mid-November and just missed on a victory at Michigan State when the Spartans were ranked No. 25 in late September. This is a good team, and despite of Tennessee turning a corner and up-trending Im betting they hit a disrespected buzz saw here today and end up on the wrong side of the ATS sheet. Note:  Vols Wide receiver Jauan Jennings a future NFLer in the  will sit the first half with a  suspension from a sideline altercation against Vanderbilt, that Im betting will have Tennessee starting slow offensively. 

CFB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (TENNESSEE) - off a home win against a conference rival, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season are 11-35 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Indiana to cover 

All-American LT Andrew Thomas not suiting up for Georgia and  starting RT Isaiah Wilson also out out as they prepare for the NFL draft as well as  starting guard Ben Cleveland  who was ruled academically ineligible.It does end there as the Dawgs will also be  without its top two receivers a Lawrence Cager and Dominick Blaylock  as they deal with injuries. Georgias key RBs could also be out as leading rusher DeAndre Swift,  is banged up and hobbled and could easily just try to get healthy before the  NFL Draft and skip here or see very limited action. Add to that  James Cook,  is in trouble with the law for a having a gun in his car, and you have an array of Georgia Bulldogs  out or missing and team with very little motivation taking the field today against a hard working Baylor team, that has a coach on the sidelines in Matt Rhule who has thrived in the underdog role for bettors, going 33-15 ATS getting points and 30-14-1 ATS in neutral site tilts . Some times Bowl games are all about motivation that off sets some talent issues. Kirby Smarts group is a team that could easily just be going through the motions here today, while Baylor will be sky high and ready to make a mark and get this program back on the College football map again.Per Rhule, he will have his entire team at his disposal, including starting quarterback Charlie Brewer, who left the Big 12 championship game on Dec. 7 with a concussion.

"Our guys value the opportunity to compete. I think they value the opportunity to compete against one of the best teams in the country," Rhule said. "What a great measuring stick for us as a program, our players. And we have a lot of guys that -- everyone is going to play."

Rhule is 10-1 ATS vs. excellent ball control teams, 32 or more possession minutes/game in all games he has coached since 1992. Rhule is 11-1 ATS  after 4 or more consecutive wins against the spread in all games he has coached since 1992

BAYLOR is 7-1 ATS  vs. good offensive teams - scoring 31 or more points/game this season. BAYLOR is 11-3 ATS vs. good teams - outscoring opponents by 10+ PPG on the season over the last 3 seasons. 

Advantage Baylor plus the points 

The Wolves have listed seven players on their injury report prior to Wednesday's tilt vs Milwaukee. Karl-Anthony Towns (knee), Andrew Wiggins (illness), and Jake Layman (toe) won't play, Teague is doubtful, Treveon Graham (illness) and Noah Vonleh (glute) are questionable, and Josh Okogie (elbow) is probable. This is a complete whitewash situation, in the making as Im betting the powerful Bucks will romp to an easy one sided victory here today. 

Play on Milwaukee to cover 

Rose Bowl - Rose Bowl - Pasadena, CA

 I was surprised to see this line float into the FG range with  Wisconsin, as according to my projections the underdog Oregon Ducks were the slightly superior side and matchup well against a team like Wisconsin that uses their running attack as a key to controlling time of possession . I know many pundits have not given the Ducks D, the kudos they deserve this season, because of perception . The Ducks are perceived as just an explosive offensive team, but the real truth is that they are balanced and have shown themselves resilient defensively holding 6 teams to season low offensive yards output.Key here today will be pressure on Whiskeys QB- look for  Pac-12 Defensive Freshman of the Year Kayvon Thibodeaux (team-high 14.0 tackles for loss, 9.0 sacks) to pace an Oregon defense  ranked No. 11 in the country with 41 sacks.

QUOTE: "Between Oregon and Ohio State, they both have amazing athletes on the field that get after the quarterback and make big plays," Badgers quarterback Jack Coan told reporters. "They're an amazing defense." END QUOTE:

OREGON is 19-8 ATS L/27 in road games vs. excellent ball control teams, 32 or more possession minutes/game. OREGON is 45-14 ATS after allowing 3 points or less in the first half last game and is 32-9 ATS  after leading their last 2 games by 14+ points at the half. 

It must also be noted that Mario Cristobal’s Ducks  are a bankroll expanding  8-0  ATS as underdogs  versus the Big 10 opposition, and 11-2 SU and 12-1 ATS as dogs with rest. 

CFB Bowl pups with 17 or more returning starters from last year returning if they  won 8 or less games,  and are coming off an ATS win of 3-plus points, are 15-1 ATS since 1990.  (Oregon fits this description)

CFB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (WISCONSIN) - after allowing 6.25 or more yards/play in their previous game against opponent after outgaining opp by 125 or more total yards in their previous game are 32-74 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Oregon to cover 

The Furman goes for its fifth straight win and a 2-0 start in Southern Conference play when the Paladins take on  VMI on Wednesday at Cameron Hall in Lexington, Va. Their last lost was Auburn of the SEC by a 81-78 count, so as you can see the Paladins are a strong side.

Paladins are 8-0 SU in their last 8 games against VMI.The Paladins have won by an average margin of  at least 12 or more  points in those tilts.  Furman brings in a top 40 field goal percent offense, while VMI is the 217th worse defense in defending shots from the floor.   This one for me is clear lay the lumber situation. 

Play on Furman to cover 

Alamo Bowl - Alamodome - San Antonio, TX

HC Herman of Texas may not have a great overall record with this program of late, but what he does well is to get his teams to play tough competition at a top tier level as is evident by cashing 15 of his L/20 as an underdog. Im betting on Texas here today vs a Utah team that was humbled in their last game of the season vs Oregon .Because of that mentioned debacle the Utes missed the play offs and may not be as motivated as need be here vs a Texas side that has won their L/3 Bowl appearances.

Utah will be at a disadvantage with All-Pac-12 safety Julian Blackmon (knee) and cornerback Jaylon Johnson (NFL draft) both ruled out. So Sam Ehlinger should have success behind what is a healthy Longhorn offence, that will have senior wideout Collin Johnson (hamstring) and junior tight end Cade Brewer (ankle)in the lineup and ready to play.

TEXAS is 17-4 ATS L/21 after allowing 375 or more passing yards in their last game  which happened in their last game of the regular season in a 49-24 victory vs Texas Tech. 

Play on Texas to cover 

The Kings may not inspire bettors in their current form but they have performed well vs tp tier sides like the Clippers of late. Note: Walton is 11-2 ATS  versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game as the coach of SACRAMENTO.

 The Kings are 15-0 ATS /13-2 SU at home with less than two days rest after they had assists on at least 70 percent of their field goals.The Kings are 13-0 ATS L/13 as a dog off a loss as a dog facing an opponent with an assist-to-turnover ratio greater than 1.5.The Kings are 18-2 ATS L/20 off a loss as a road dog in which they shot over 50% from the field.

The Clippers are 0-10 ATS L/10 3-7 SU with more than one day of rest off a 10+ loss after a game that was tied 5+ times.The Clippers are 1-13 ATS L/14 as a road favorite with rest off a game as a favorite facing an opponent averaging less than 20 fouls-against per game.

Play on the Sacramento Kings to cover 

Arizona Bowl - Arizona Stadium - Tucson, AZ

Georgia state according to my power rankings matches up very well vs this punchless Wyoming football program that will have problems taking advantage of a sometimes porous GState D.  On the flip side,  Georgia State averages 32.5 PPG and is ranked  No. 14 in the nation with their ground attack and  27th in total offense and should do more than enough damage to secure a cover here . Note:Sun Belt   conference teams have been cash cows  in bowl games since 2013  going 26-9  straight up and SBC bowl pups  of  3  or more points are a bankroll expanding  11-4 SU and 12-3 ATS and get the nod again this New Years eve.

Georgia State to cover 

Liberty Bowl - Liberty Bowl Memorial Stadium - Memphis, TN

Navy triple option offence ranks no1. in the nation in rushing  and  they also own the   No. 2 Red Zone Offense. Your always going to get a great effort from a military teams, as is evident by Navys 5-0 ATS run  as a bowl favorite . Navy is not only hard working but very disciplined ranking No. 3 in nation with the least penalties. It must be noted that Military teams are 10-1 L/11 ATS as favorites of 7 or fewer points in Bowl games.

Kansas their opponent a team that lost 5 of 6 stats battles against Bowl teams might seem like a good matchup for the Middies, but despite of similar mind sets about running the ball and time of possession control , their actually not as cohesive or consistent as they seem as it must be noted that  the Wildcats rank No. 130 in Red Zone Defense. I know the  reputation of their current HC Chris Klieman (former North Dakota State super coach) but he lacks Bowl experience and that is going to be a detriment to him here today when this is all said and done. 

Tuesday’s Bowl tilt is about finishing their season with gusto for Navy. The Middies have a chance to tie the program record of 11 wins set in 2015 and end the year in the Associated Press rankings for just the third time in the past 56 years and Im betting on a humungous effort from them here today. 

. NAVY is 7-1 ATS  as a favorite this season. 

NAVY is 6-0 ATS vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 58% or worse this season.

CFB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (NAVY) - excellent passing team (8.3  or better PY/Att.) against an average passing defense (6.4-7.5 PY/Att.), after allowing 5.5 or less passing yards per attempt last game are 36-10 ATS L/10 seasons for a 78% conversion rate. 

Play on Navy to cover 

The Sixers  despite of playing top tier basketball at home  as was evident when they recently beat the Bucks, are a team that struggles on the road having garnered a 1-6 SU record vs above .500 sides . Meanwhile the  while the Pacers are 14-3 SU  overall at home and deserve respect here as dogs especially with Malcolm Brogdon back in the lineup today for the Pacers. 

McMillan is 21-8 ATS  in home games after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread as the coach of INDIANA.

he Pacers are 17-3 ATS/SU  at home with rest off a loss as a dog in which they had at least 25% of their points from free throws.

The Seventysixers are 4-20-1 ATS 4-22 SU on the road when the line is within 3 of pick facing an opponent averaging less than 20 fouls-against per game.

NBA Road teams (PHILADELPHIA) - off a road cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 18-54 ATS L/23 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Indiana Pacers to cover 

Boston after getting beaten up and humbled by DDs vs the defending NBA champion Raptors last time out, will be ready to come out here with a start to finish bounce back situation here this evening vs a very inconsistent Charlotte team 5 straight games. BOSTON is 15-4 ATS (L/19  off an upset loss to a division rival as a favorite of 6 or more.

Boston has already beaten Charlotte twice this season by DD deficits and Im betting on a 3rd here. 

NBATeams like the Celtics  are 16-0 ATS /SU as a road favorite with more than one day of rest off a loss in a home game facing an opponent averaging more than 30 points from 3s with the ppg diff clicking in a +12.3 ppg. 

Play on Boston to cover 

CSUN will play Morgan State for the seventh-straight season at The Matadome on Tuesday. The Matadors are undefeated in six all-time meetings as they held off the Bears for a 94-86 win last December and are my choice to win and cover here again today. 

Sun Bowl - Sun Bowl - El Paso, TX

Mike Norvell has left Memphis and is now the new HC at Florida State. He won't be on the sidelines today, butIm sure he is having an influence already which is a positive going into this Bowl game Meanwhile, this Sun Devils  program is missing some key players here today on offence which will hinder their ability to be offensively aggressive ie 1000 yard rusher  Running back Eno Benjamin, and a 1000 yard receiver in Brandon Aiyuk  who are out getting ready for the NFL draft. Add to that to tha the Devils t have a lousy ATS record as bowlers as is evident by a   0-7 ATS mark all tine in Bowl games   versus the ACC. Add to that  PAC 12 teams are  just. 2-20 ATS L/3 seasons in Bowl games  .  ARIZONA ST iw also s 0-6 ATS  as a favorite this season and are fade material here vs a FSU side feeling good about themselves at the moment behind a new mentor. 

Play on FSU 

"I think our guys know I plan on being here for a long time. I know what I have here. I love being here. I think we're building a championship program here." – UF head coach Dan Mullen on NFL rumors. 
( The core of this team looks towards the future with Mullens on the sidelines which is both a key mitigating and momentum based factor that has me supporting the Gators here today on a two TD line)

This team has come a long way over the last two seasons and are only getting better. Virginia is a fine football program, but their over matched here by an over powering SEC team , and as this game moves forward the Gators Im betting will run away with this. 

Play on Florida to cover 

 The Brooklyn Nets have hit a wall  in  offensive production . However, they have the ability to bounce back as they  had been fairly effective overall without injured starters Kyrie Irving and Caris LeVert in the lineup against a Minnesota team that has own just 1 of their L/12 games. 

The Nets are 12-0 ATS/SU  on the road when the line is within 3 of pick with rest off a 10+ loss. The Nets are 12-0 ATS /SU L/12 as a favorite off a road game facing an opponent averaging more than 30 points from 3s.

NBA Teams like the Nets  are 22-2-1 ATS/SU  on the road when the line is within 3 of pick with less than two days rest off a 10+ loss as a road dog after rebounding less than 20% of their own misses.

The Timberwolves are 0-11 ATS/1-10 SU at home facing an opponent taking more than one third of their shots from beyond the arc.

Play on Brooklyn to cover 

 The College of Charleston   (7-6, 1-0 CAA) carries a two-game win streak into a key early conference matchup at Delaware (11-3, 1-0 CAA) and have momentum on their sides. I know Delaware is red hot, but Charleston matches up well agains them despite of the record discrepancies. 

College of Charleston are 4-0 SU/ATS L/4 in this series and won 7 straight meetings. 

COLL OF CHARLESTON is 37-12 ATS 49 in road games in December games. 

CBB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (COLL OF CHARLESTON) - after leading their last 3 games by 5+ points at the half against opponent after scoring 75 points or more 3 straight games are 74-39 ATS L/10 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on College of Charleston  to cover 

The Sacramento Kings are struggling in a big way right now and have lost  6 straight games, and are now on tired legs after playing last night  against Phoenix and now going into the high altitudes of Denver to play a top tier team in the Nuggets.Playing in this Mile High venue for top tier teams is hard enough little lone a team like the Kings who proverbially can not tie their own shoelaces in their current form.  The Nuggets  54-14 SU and 44-27 ATS at home over the last few seasons  and are a hard team to face here at the Pepsi Center . It must also be noted that Denver has this circled as grudge match as they seek revenge for a loss to Sacramento back on Nov 30 on the road  and thus I see very little mercy being shown here on their way what Im betting will be a hefty DD win and cover.Sacramento is 0-7  SU and 1-6 ATS L/7 after taking on the Suns. 

Play on Denver to cover 

The Hornets enter this game against the Grizzlies  having lost five of their last six games and four in a row and are fade material in their current form.The Grizzlies defeated Charlotte 119-117 on Nov. 13 in Charlotte. My own power ranking suggest they matchup very well against a side that can't shoot 3s consistently and when out muscled struggle because of their need to do most of their scoring from the perimeter. 

The Hornets are 2-20-2 ATS /1-24 SU as a road dog with rest off a loss facing an opponent averaging more than 5 blocks per game. 

NBA Teams like the Grizzlies are 13-0 ATS /SU L/13 as a home favorite with less than two days rest off a loss in a road game when their opponent is seeking same season revenge for a loss at home. 

 . Kansas got side swiped last week at Villanova and Im betting they are gong to have their hands full again this week vs up trending Stanford.KansasHC Bill Self  is not a big rebound type of guy and his young men are just  7-16-2 ATS in his career coming off a  SU favorite loss. . Self has also not done all that well vs PAC 12 opposition covering just 3 of his L/10 Pac-12 games as a visitor and have failed to cover just 1 of their L/5 in this series vs the Cardinal.  meanwhile,  Stanford has covered 10 of their L/12 as a home dog and must note be underestimated behind the nations , its No. 6  ranked Scoring Defense at 57.7 ppg.STANFORD is 6-0 ATS  in home games versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or better  over the last 2 seasons.STANFORD is 8-1 ATS in home games versus excellent teams - shooting 45%  or better with a defense of 42%  or better over the last 3 seasons.

Play on Stanford to cover 

The Bearkats made clutch plays down the stretch to hold off a second-half rally by New Orleans to notch their second-straight Southland Conference victory with an 87-79 victory Saturday at Johnson Coliseum.

Sam Houston State (8-4 overall, 2-0 in SLC) ran its season-high winning streak to four games and improved to 7-0 at home this season. They are red hot right now and deserve our respect here as one possession underdogs. 

Play on Sam Houston to cover 

Everyone just loves the Saints. After all they are exciting to watch, but it must be noted that they are  just 2-5 ITS the last seven games since their bye week and have some flaws. The Saints are also just 1-7 ATS K/8  as a favorite of 13 points  or more vs sub .500 opposition, and just 4-15 ATS as double-digit favourite  in division tilts . I know Carolina looked terrible last week in. a loss , but are a solid 7-0 ATS at home after scoring less than 7 points last time out. Im betting they give the Saints a fight this week and get us the cover. 

CAROLINA is 9-1 ATS as a home underdog of 7.5 to 14 points since 1992.

NFL Underdogs or pick (CAROLINA) - after being beaten by the spread by 49 or more points total in their last five games against opponent after going over the total by 49 or more points total in their last seven games are 28-7 ATS L/5 37 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors.

Carolina to cover 

New England will grab the No. 2 AFC seed with a victory today vs  the  visiting Miami Dolphins.The Patriots beat the Dolphins 43-0 on Sept. 15,  proving how well they matchup against the Fins.  Im expecting the Pats to be ready to hammer the Fins here again today as they need a win here and a tune up for the play offs at the same time. 

NFL team (MIAMI) - average offensive team (4.9 to 5.4 YPP) against a good defense (4.5 to 4.9 YPP) after 8+ games, after allowing 375 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games are just 2-23 ATS L/37 seasons for a go against 92% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on New England to cover 

This game means nothing for both sides, with the Chargers going golfing soon, and the Chiefs grabbing the No.2 seed in the AFC for the play offs. Expect a lot of wind here today in Arrowhead, and lower scoring game that impacts what will be a closer than anticipated matchup and cover by the road dog. Hey I know how ugly the Chargers looked las time out but they are 10-1 ATS  off SU favourite  loss 7  pts or more  vs .500  or better opposition. Note:Things have been less rosy at Arrowhead Stadium, which is typically considered one of the toughest environments in the NFL. The Chief  lost three consecutive games  to the Colts, Texans and Packers.

NFL Favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (KANSAS CITY) - excellent offensive team - scoring 27 or more points/game, after allowing 14 points or less in 2 straight games are 7-29 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the LA Chargers to cover 

The Mountaineers (10-1)  No. 22   will be sky high and ready  for this nonconference matchup against No. 2 Ohio State in Cleveland on Sunday . Reports have said Huggins has left no stone unturned in his preparation for the Buckeyes who are also 10-1 on the season.  In its 10 wins this season, West Virginia has given up more than 70 points in just two times. It allows just 36.2 percent shooting from the field, including just 24.6 percent from 3 and this will be key to them covering here today.

CBB underdog (W VIRGINIA) - after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last seven games, in a non-conference game between two teams from major division 1-A conferences are 74-45 ATS L/23 seasons for a 63% conversion rate for bettors. 

West Virginia to cover 

The Lakers come off a emotional and physically gruelling game vs the LA Clippers last time that they lost, and now in a letdown situation go against a franchise that they have a long history of futility against the Portland Trailblazers. The Blazers have won 15 of the L/18 overall meetings  . With Dallas on board for tomorrow night, Im betting the Lakers may not be as focused as they need to be. I know the Lakers smashed the Blazers when they played earlier this season, but the Blazers have been very good in revenge mode from a 20 or point loss, cashing 6 of their L/7 opportunities and get my support to turn the trick again. 

Play on Portland Trailblazers to cover 

This non conference Big West/West Coast  battle  featuring the Anteaters taking on the Pacific Tigers. This  is a revenge match for a host UC Irvine side that took a 84-75 loss as 3.5-point favourite  at Pacific last season.  Irvine hoops program has proven itself very good pay back sides going 5-1 ATS at home with revenge  in this series,. Here at home Irvine is not easily defeated in non conference action going  85-25 SU at The Bren the last 20 seasons. Meanwhile, Pacific is just 1-6 SU away versus non-conference foe looking for revenge and with Pepperdine on board for Pacific next we may not see them fully focused.UCI has won its last two games played at the Bren by margins of 20+ points including a 77-56 win over Eastern Michigan.

Play on Cal Irvine to cover

BYU is an explosive basketball team that just does not get the respect it deserves as is evident by victories vs Houston, Utah State and VTech.  

I know Oral Roberts is playing well and on a 4 game win streak but this is a tough venue for any visitor , and in a game where they will have to find answers for BYUs impressive downtown game (40.3% from the 3) Im betting their fade material on a DD underdog line. The Eagles love to run, and if they get into a run and gun affair here which they are built to do, they will find themsleves over whelmed by a team that could rack up the score quickly, especially considering their ugly 29.3% conversion rate fro the land of the trey. 

Play on BYU to cover 

San Antonio despite of being highly inconsistent gets my support here tonight at home, in revenge mode vs a Detroit Pistons team that beat them, 132-98 earlier this season. It was an embarrassing event for the Spurs, and HC Popovich was steaming after that game, and will now his team ready to play in this redemption scenario.Note: SAN ANTONIO is 15-3 ATS  revenging a road loss vs opponent of 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

The Spurs are 11-0 ATS /SUL/11  at home with rest off a road game after rebounding less than 20% of their own misses .The Spurs are 15-2-1 ATS /18-1 SU at home with less than two days rest after their points decreased by at least 25 from the game before.

The Pistons are 1-20 ATS /SU  as a dog off a win as a home favorite facing an opponent averaging less than 20 fouls per game failing to cover cover by more than 10+ ppg. 

Play on San Antonio to cover 

Dallas according to my projections is getting to much love here tonight as DD road chalk. I know Golden State played last night, but recently this well conditioned young team is showing life, as has been evident by 4 consecutive wins including one against Houston . Yes, Golden State got clobbered by a ugly 142-94 count by Dallas by in November on the road but it must be noted Kerr is a fine HC with alot of pride, and has lead  GOLDEN STATE to a 8-1 ATS revenging a same season loss vs opponent this season.

NBA team (DALLAS) - good shooting team (45.5-47.5%) against a poor shooting team (41.5-43.5%), good ball handling team (14.5 TO's or loss ) against an average pressure defensive team (14.5-16.5 TO's) are just 13-36 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Golden State to cover 

Projected score: Clemson 31 Ohio State  27

Washington came into NYK and convincingly controlled the Knicks and took the road win. Now in revenge mode the pundits seem to think a inconsistent Knicks team off a upset win vs Brooklyn last time out can grab two in a row behind a revenge scenario.Even if the Wizards  Bradely Beal is less than 100% or cant play, I still feel the Wizards are the right side behind the replacement reliable duo of Troy Brown Jr. or Jordan McRae . Truth is I just don't feel the Knicks deserve their fav status in this rematch , especially here on the road.  NBA Road teams vs. the money line (NEW YORK) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off a double digit win as a underdog of 6 points or more are 3-25 SU L/5 seasons for a go against 89% conversion rate for bettors.

NEW YORK is 1-10 ATS L/11 versus struggling  defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 48%  or worse over the last 2 seasons. 

Play on the Washington Wizards to cover 

My College basketball selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision.

 Longwood to cover 

The No. 19-seeded Kentucky Wildcats  enter this home rivalry matchup vs No.3 Louisville very much in a need of a victory after suffering back to back losses.Im betting  Calaparis group will be able to limit the Cardinal long range game, behind the 85th best 3 point D in the nation. With the Wildcats getting healthier, and 6"9 Nate Sestina back in the lineup, beating Kentucky will not be easy for Louisville.The Cards always seem to get their edges by controlling the board, but Kentucky has a +7 rebounding diif and are hard to contend with on the glass. With that said, Im betting on the better charity strip team ( Kentucky) and tougher overall D to get us to the promised land in this matchup of top tier sides.LOUISVILLE is 0-6 ATS  off 2 consecutive home wins by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.LOUISVILLE is 47-72 ATS L/119 vs. dominant rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 7+ per game.KENTUCKY is 43-26 ATS in home games when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct.  80% or better)

Play on Kentucky to cover 

Camping World Bowl - Camping World Stadium - Orlando, FL

Notre Dame owns a top tier offence butI Iowa State  behind quarterback Brock Purdy, who completed 66.3 percent of his passes for 3,760 yards, 27 touchdowns are no pushovers and deserve respect as underdogs in a neutral field environment. HC Kelly of Notre Dame  said could not afford to take Iowa State for granted. "This is a really good football team that could easily be 11-1," Kelly said. "We know what we're getting."Explosive offenses in the Big 12, really solid defensively, physical football team, well coached -- Matt Campbell is an outstanding football coach. It's going to be a good football team we're playing." I agree with Kellys assessments, and wont be surprised by a SU upset victory by the Cylcones here today. 

IOWA ST is 9-1 ATS when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 75% or more ) over the last 3 seasons. IOWA ST is 12-3 ATS vs. good teams - outscoring opponents by 10+ PPG on the season over the last 3 seasons. NOTRE DAME is 0-7 ATS L/7 in road games after scoring 31 points or more in 4 straight games .

Iowa State is 31-13 ATS L/44 as a dog. 

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Cotton Bowl - AT&T Stadium - Arlington, TX

Memphis seems to be a popular pick here by some pundits, but with HC Norvell  no longer on th sidelines for Memphis after taking the HC job at Florida State Im betting his former team may not have the needed guidance to deal with a top tier Penn State team that has tangled with some of the best teams in the country.You have to remember  Penn State  made Ohio State work hard for a 28-17 win in 2nd last game of the season. The way I lookout this is, if Memphis had some problems dealing with Cincinnatis D, they are really going to have issues taking on what Im betting is the most physical group they have faced all season long here vs the Nitanny Lions. Like the old saying goes, offence gets you to a championship but defensewins those big games. The good thing for Penn State is that they both have a  upper shelf D, to go a long with a under rated offence and Im betting they get the job done here today vs the underdog that is loved by the public because of their prolific scoring abilities. 

Penn Statest wo losses have come on the road by a combined 16 points to then-No. 17 Minnesota and No. 2 Ohio State.

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The Celtics are big favourites here, vs the struggling Cleveland Cavaliers. I know this is the new NBA and laying lumber with upper tier teams is becoming the norm, but in my usual contrarian fashion, and my old school mind set I believe this line to be slightly bloated thanks to both recency bias and perceived expectations that actually don't jive with what is according to my projections a one possession extension on a line that should be closer to -11.  

Tonight Im betting the Celtics will over look their opponents while the away team plays up to their opponents eyeing a chance at an upset vs a upper tier side. 

The Celtics are 0-15 ATS /7-8 SU L/15 off a 10+ win as a road favorite when they won 4 straight vs current opponent.

BOSTON is 4-15 ATS L/19  in home games after 3 straight games where they made 50% of their shots or better. 

NBA Favorites (BOSTON) - after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a bad team (25% to 40%) are 15-40 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Road underdogs of 10 or more points (CLEVELAND) - well rested team - playing 6 or less games in 14 days, a bad team, winning 25% to 40% of their games on the season are 46-17 ATS L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

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Pinstripe Bowl - Yankee Stadium - Bronx, NY

MSU has gone against some of the best teams in the country this season and are more than prepared to take on Wake Forest in this Bowl tilt. Dantonio already owns school records for most bowl wins (five) and bowl appearances (12), including a school-record four-game bowl winning streak with victories in the 2011 Outback Bowl vs. No. 18 Georgia, 2012 Buffalo Wild Wings Bowl over TCU, 2014 Rose Bowl against No. 5 Stanford, and 2015 Cotton Bowl vs. No. 4 Baylor. The Spartans defeated No. 18 Washington State, 42-17, in the 2017 Holiday Bowl.

MSU has won five of its last seven bowl games.

Michigan State D, will out perform Wakes viable offence. After facing the likes of Penn State , Michigan, and Wisconsin the Spartans are more than ready for what comes their way here at Yankee Stadium.

CFB team (MICHIGAN ST) - after being beaten by the spread by 49 or more points total in their last five games, in December games are 44-17 ATS L/27 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors.

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 Military Bowl - Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium - Annapolis, MD

Mack Brown  has moved North Carolina forward since taking over as a coach and alosmot pulley's doff an upset vs Clemson earlier this season and  now gets a Bowl Game to preview their ascension..  Despite of this Im still not 100% sold on the Tar Heels and recently the  ACC in Bowl games have failed to cash 4 straight as chalk against  the AAC. Also  Brown himself is just   1-7 ATS as a  a HC as a bowl favorite of 4 or more points. Meanwhile, Temple  is a team that must not be underestimated in their tenacity and are 5-1 ATS as an underdog while  winning four times SU. The Temple offense was serviceable at 27.4 PPG (though 4-points below what their foes allowed on the season). The Owls defense is their strength and  allowed just  23.4 PPG and were No. 4 in Red Zone Defense this season and will be the difference maker today.  TEMPLE is 14-3 ATS  vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 58% or worse over the last 3 seasons.

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The Minnesota Wolves have ost 11 straight games, and are once again fade material here on the road vs a Kings team that is struggling but more than capable of rebounding in this spot . 

SACRAMENTO is 15-3 ATS  after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games over the last 2 seasons.

The Timberwolves are 1-17-1 ATS /1-18  SU  as a road dog facing an opponent averaging less than 20 fouls-against per game.

NBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (SACRAMENTO) - after allowing 100 points or more 3 straight games against opponent after trailing their last 3 games by 5+ points at the half are 26-4 ATS L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Sacramento to cover 

The Oklahoma City Thunder enter this game on a 4 game win streak and have won 7 of their L/9 and have won 11 of their 16 home games this season . Against todays competition the visiting Memphis Grizzlies the Thunder have won 9 straight times here and once again have the advantage vs a side that is highly inconsistent and have lost 13 of 18 road games this season, including last weeks visit to Sooner State where they lost 126-122 count as 6.5 point dog. Note:NBA Teams like the Thunder are 20-2 ATS /21-1 SUL/22 as a opening line 8+ favorite with rest off a game as a dog when their opponent is seeking same season revenge for a loss on the road with the average ppg diff clicking in at 17 ppg. 

NBA Teams like the Grizzlies  are 2-33 SU/ 5-29-1 ATS  as a road dog with more than one day of rest after allowing 15+ points more than Vegas projected with the average ppg diff clicking in at 14.2 ppg. 

The Thunder are 14-1 ATS/15-0 SU L/15  as a home favorite with more than one day of rest off a home game in which they has at least twice as many assists as turnovers with the average ppg diff clicking at 14.1 ppg.

The Grizzlies are 0-14 ATS /SU as a opening line  8+ dog with more than one day of rest off a game as a dog in which their opponent shot over 50% from the field with the average ppg diff clicking in at 21.5 ppg. 

Play on Oklahoma City to cover 

Motivation might be a issue here for Pittsburgh, but their defence is head and shoulders the superior side here today vs an atrocious E. Michigan D. I know the Panthers offence has taken some time to jell cohesively behind a new pass happy system, but today they should be able to get things going vs a below average secondary and a Eagles D, that rank 129th in both Line Yards and Stuff Rate. Note:MAC bowlers are 0-10 SU and 1-9 ATS as underdogs of 8 or more points.

Play on Pittsburgh to cover 

The coaching change of  David Fizdale on Dec. 6 for interim coach Mike Miller has not sparked the Knicks to consistent efforts, and there is just something off about the chemistry of this team, and their work ethic and preparation. Just before the Christmas break, they got clobbered by Miami and Milwaukee , and than got run over by the Washington Wizards  by a 121-115 count at  home on Monday. Now Im betting their lack of proper motivation , fluidity, and upper their talent will see them lose again and more importantly as far as we are concerned fail to cover.

NEW YORK is 2-12 ATS off 2 or more consecutive home losses over the last 2 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at 15.1 ppg.

The Knicks are 0-13 ATS /SU L/13 as a dog with more than one day of rest with every loss coming by 8 points or more with the average ppg diff clicking in at 20 ppg. 

Play on Brooklyn Nets to cover