All Sports Archive | |||||||
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
12-22-23 | Central Florida -4.5 v. Georgia Tech | 17-30 | Loss | -112 | 25 h 27 m | Show | |
Georgia Techs defense is a big issue here facing a side that can light up the board in hurry. .The Gtech rush defense is the worst of any team in this Bowl season season, ranking No. 128,th allowing 233 ypg and 5.7 ypc. With that said Im expecting the UCF top tier ground game that has accumulated 233.2 yards per game ranking No. 4 in the nation while scoring 28 rushing touchdowns to rip apart the GTech rush D, which will set up a strong Knights passing game that averages 266 ypg in what Im betting will be a decisive victory.Malzahn is 9-1 ATS in road games versus poor rushing defenses - allowing 4.75 or more rushing yards/carry in all games he has coached since 1992. Play on Central Florida to cover |
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12-22-23 | Siena +12.5 v. Brown | 67-71 | Win | 100 | 6 h 56 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Siena to cover |
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12-21-23 | Boise State v. Washington State | 61-66 | Win | 100 | 16 h 40 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Washington State to cover |
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12-21-23 | Saints v. Rams -4 | 22-30 | Win | 100 | 22 h 20 m | Show | |
Rams are currently sitting on the No. 7 playoff seeding spot, and edging out the Saints, so this is an all important game thats every bit as important as a playoff game. I know the Saints looked good last time out, but they have long history of inconsistent efforts after a win as is evident by Allens 4-15 ATS record after 1 or more consecutive wins in all games he has coached since 1992 and his .1-7-1 ATS mark coming off a double-digit victory. NEW ORLEANS is also 1-9 ATS after allowing 75 or less rushing yards last game over the last 3 seasons. Meanwhile the Rams have played their best ball late in the season recently as they are 10-1 ATS in December games over the last 3 seasons. Considering the home side in this series is a perfect 8-0 SU/ATS Im like the Rams to come out here with a truly top tier prime time effort and for us to grab the cash by backing him. Play on the Rams to cover |
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12-21-23 | Syracuse v. South Florida +3 | 0-45 | Win | 100 | 52 h 58 m | Show | |
Boca Raton Bowl - FAU Stadium - Boca Raton, FL Dino Barbers losing tenure comes to end this week, as Syracuse goes in a new direction after this Bowl tilt. The Orange are a side, that is 0-6 ATS versus good offensive teams - averaging 425 or more yards/game over the last 2 seasons like South Florida. Also the Orange are 3-9 ATS all-time versus the AAC and have failed to cover 8 of the L/10 meetings vs the Bulls and with this game bing a defacto home game for South Florida Im betting they have the edge when taking points. Play on South Florida to cover |
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12-21-23 | Hampton v. Eastern Michigan -4.5 | 69-72 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 21 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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12-20-23 | Clippers v. Mavs +3.5 | 120-111 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 34 m | Show | |
The Clippers enter this game in red hot form winning 8 straight games, but Dallas is the type of team that can make like difficult for even the hottest of teams. Los Angeles split two games with Dallas earlier this season, but what stood out to me in those games, is not the Clippers star Leonard, but the Mavs top man Doncic who averaged 37 points in the two games against the Clippers. He had 44 points on 17-of-21 shooting in the Dallas victory and 30 points in the loss only because he shot 1 of 8 form downtown. Im betting bhe will be key tonight in a Mavs cover. LA CLIPPERS are 1-10 ATS after playing a road game this season.(Beat Indiana last time out by a 151-127 count and now Im betting on major regression) NBA Underdogs vs the money line (DALLAS) - after a blowout loss by 15 points or more against opponent after 2 straight games where both teams scored 115 points or more are 38-24 L/5 seasons for a 61% conversion rate for bettors. NBA team (DALLAS) - after a blowout loss by 20 points or more against opponent after 2 straight games where both teams scored 115 points or more are 34-9 ATS L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Dallas to cover |
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12-20-23 | Jazz +7 v. Cavs | 116-124 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 51 m | Show | |
Utah seems to reserve it best hoops for top tier teams like Cleveland. Note: UTAH is 37-17 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. After a top tier effort in a 125-108 underdog win vs the Brooklyn last time out Im betting that the momentum of that victory has them playing with confidence here tonight in Cleveland. UTAH is 14-1 ATS off an upset win by 15 points or more as a home underdog. Utah is 3-1 L/4 and the play of Sexton who has averaged 25.6 points and 4.0 assists in the past five games has been key the Jazz' recent resurgence. Im betting he will alos be to us getting the cover in this spot play situation. Utah is 11-3-1 ATS in its last 15 games when playing Cleveland. Utah is also 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing Cleveland. Utah is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Cleveland NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (UTAH) - struggling team - outscored by their opponents by 6+ points/game, after scoring 125 points or more are 61-26 ATS L/27 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Utah to cover |
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12-20-23 | Connecticut -8.5 v. Seton Hall | 60-75 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 12 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. UConn is down right explosive and currently in dominate form. The opening line despite of the push back is closer to true value than the beat down number. Advantage Uconn. CONNECTICUT is 13-1 ATS after having won 4 of their last 5 games over the last 2 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at +15.6. CONNECTICUT is 21-7 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 45% or better of their shots over the last 2 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at +10.8 CBB road team (CONNECTICUT) - after going under the total by more than 6 points in five consecutive games against opponent after going over the total by 42 or more points total in their last seven games are 31-7 ATS L/25 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Connecticut to cover |
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12-20-23 | Baylor +3.5 v. Duke | 70-78 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 54 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Baylor to cover |
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12-20-23 | Grambling State +5.5 v. Southeastern Louisiana | 47-48 | Win | 100 | 9 h 53 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. SE LOUISIANA is 1-8 ATS versus struggling teams - outscored by their opponents by 8+ points/game over the last 3 seasons. GRAMBLING is 8-0 ATS as a road underdog of 6.5 to 9 points since 1997. CBB Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (SE LOUISIANA) - an average offensive team (67-74 PPG) against a struggling defensive team (78 PPG or worse ), after scoring 65 points or less 2 straight games are just 25-60 ATS L/26 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Grambling State to cover |
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12-20-23 | Longwood v. North Carolina Central +6 | 70-79 | Win | 100 | 5 h 37 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play on North Central to cover |
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12-19-23 | UTSA v. Marshall +13 | 35-17 | Loss | -111 | 33 h 3 m | Show | |
UTSA had a fine season but historically have not done well in Bowl action as is evident by their 0-4 record. Meanwhile, Marshall despite of a mediocre season, are a football program that has alot of Bowl experience cashing ,13 of their L/18 SUATS in FBS bowl tilts , and are 7-0 SUATS vs. sub .750 opposition. Also UTSA HC Traylor has failed to 9 of 14 as a non- conference favorite. After finishing their reg season with a 29-16 loss to Tulane, Im betting that UTSA may not be fully focused here. Note: CUSA Bowl sides are just 2-8 SUATS off a double-digit defeat. CFB Neutral field favorites (UTSA) - after having won 3 out of their last 4 games, good team, winning 60-80% or more of their games on the season are 6-28 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors. Marshall to cover |
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12-19-23 | Spurs +16.5 v. Bucks | 119-132 | Win | 100 | 11 h 52 m | Show | |
There is enough calculated mathematical value here for us to a take a flyer on the points. Make no mistake the Spurs are losing team, but this line value is something that cannot be ignored. NBA Home favorites of 10 or more points (MILWAUKEE) - after going over the total by 48 or more points total in their last seven games, good team, winning 60-75% of their games on the season are 19-38 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Spurs to cover |
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12-19-23 | Mississippi Valley State +23 v. Tulsa | 50-79 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 23 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. TULSA is 1-10 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. TULSA is 1-14 ATS versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 18 or less free throws/game over the last 2 seasons. TULSA is 4-18 ATS versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons. CBB Favorites of 10 or more points (TULSA) - after a close win by 3 points or less against opponent after scoring 65 points or less 3 straight games are 12-42 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors. Miss State Valley to cover |
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12-19-23 | Grizzlies +7.5 v. Pelicans | 115-113 | Win | 100 | 4 h 35 m | Show | |
Memphis gets their star point guard Ja Morant back after a 25-game suspension and Im betting his team feels his energy here tonight in what Im betting will be a cover in the Bayou. Yes I know the Grizz have lost 5 straight including a road loss vs the Thunder last time out. But Jenkins seems to rally his troops in road games off a road loss by 10 points or more as the coach of MEMPHIS as is evident by covering 18 of this L/24 bounce back efforts. NBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (NEW ORLEANS) - off a win against a division rival, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season are 15-37 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Memphis to cover |
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12-19-23 | Western Carolina +4 v. Vanderbilt | 63-62 | Win | 100 | 14 h 12 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. The Catamounts enter the week ranked 12th in the Mid-Major Top 25 from CollegeInsider dot com , and must not be underestimated in this ability compete here vs this lower tier SEC team. VANDERBILT is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in home games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons. W.Carolina to cover |
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12-19-23 | Georgetown +11.5 v. Butler | 64-74 | Win | 100 | 13 h 11 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Georgetown and Butler split the pair of games last year, each stealing a win on the road. At Hinkle last season, Georgetown won 68-62 and Im expecting the Hoyas to do enough damage here to get us the cover. GEORGETOWN is 16-6 ATS L/22 in road games vs. excellent free throw shooting teams - making 77% or more of their shots. Cooley is 19-8 ATS versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 84+ points/game in all games he has coached. BUTLER is 2-11 ATS in home games when playing only their 2nd game in 8 days over the last 3 seasons. Georgetown to cover |
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12-19-23 | Samford v. Valparaiso +9.5 | 79-61 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 16 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Valparaiso to cover |
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12-18-23 | Eastern Washington v. Cal Poly +9 | 62-53 | Push | 0 | 13 h 15 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. CAL POLY-SLO is 13-5 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 45% or better of their shots over the last 2 seasons.Smith is 22-10 ATS after scoring 25 points or less in the first half last game as the coach of CAL POLY-SLO which was the case last ttime out with the average ppg diff clicking in at -6.5 . CBB favorite (E WASHINGTON) - excellent shooting team (47.5% or better ) against an struggling defensive team (45-47.5%), after a game where a team made 60% of their shots or better are 11-31 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors. CBB team (E WASHINGTON) - excellent shooting team (47.5% or better ) against an struggling defensive team (45-47.5%), after a game where a team made 60% of their shots or better are 15-39 ATS L/5 seaons for a go against 72% conversion rate for betters . Cal Poly to cover |
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12-18-23 | Mavs +8 v. Nuggets | 104-130 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 36 m | Show | |
Dallas is not easily intimidated and have won 9 of their L/13 road games this season and must not be underestimated in their ability to compete in this Mile High showdown against the Nuggets. I know Denver beat the Mavs earlier this season , but HC Kidd always seems to make the adjustments needed in avenging rematches as is evident by. a 34-20 ATS record revenging a same season loss vs opponent as the coach of Dallas he average ppg clicking in at +2.2 . DALLAS is 33-16 ATS L/47 in road games after 2 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 50% or higher . NBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DALLAS) - poor defensive team - allowing 114+ points/game on the season against opponent after scoring 115 points or more 2 straight games are 92-56 ATS L/5 seasons for. a 62% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Dallas to cover |
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12-18-23 | Eagles v. Seahawks +3 | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 76 h 21 m | Show | |
QB Hurts is not 100% for Philadelphia and is questionable for this game against Seattle. Even if he plays I like the Seahawks chances of covering and possibly even pulling off the upset. The Eagles according to my power rankings are over rated and after watching them get shellacked the last two weeks by SF, and Dallas my assumptions were justified, my Note: I know Seattle has not faired well in their L/2 as dogs but from a historical standpoint have an edge here. The Seattle Seahawks are 16-1 ATS when off consecutive losses as a underdog, including 12-0 ATS the last 12 tilts overall. PHILADELPHIA is 0-6 ATS in road games vs. awful passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 64% or worse over the last 2 seasons. SEATTLE is 8-1 ATS after allowing 25 points or more in 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons. Seattle is 6-1 ATS L/7 in this series. Play on Seattle |
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12-18-23 | Clippers v. Pacers +3 | 151-127 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 59 m | Show | |
The Pacers after a nice in tournament run are in a bit of funk right now as is evident by three straight losses, all on the road by DDs. Now back home I expect they will be primed to upset the visiting LA Clippers who have procured 7 straight wins but just one of them on the road vs the short handed Utah Jazz. The Clippers have done sub optimal work on the road this season, losing 7 of 11 and have lost their L/2 visits here. Carlisle is 20-7 ATS in home games after a non-conference game as the coach of INDIANA. NBA team (INDIANA) - after 2 straight losses by 10 points or more against opponent after a combined score of 255 points or more are 36-14 ATS L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Underdogs (INDIANA) - after being beaten by the spread by 30 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going over the total by more than 30 points in their previous game are 23-9 ATS L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Indiana Pacers to cover |
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12-18-23 | Western Kentucky +4.5 v. Old Dominion | 38-35 | Win | 100 | 29 h 26 m | Show | |
The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers behind QB Austin Reed are explosive offensive group as is evident by the QBs 3,340 yards passing, 31 touchdowns. I know the Toppers have shown some defense weaknesses this season which skew their negative net gains, but Old dominion is a sub .500 side, and have shown a propensity to break down over and over again this season and when they did win they were all very close as their average margin of victory in their 6 wins rings in at 3.83 ppg. .Considering the Hilltoppers are 5-1 SU L/6 in this series Ill jump on taking the points with the underdog. W. KENTUCKY is 23-10 ATS L/23 as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992 at - 3.5 ppg. Play on Western Kentucky to cover |
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12-17-23 | Warriors v. Blazers +5.5 | 118-114 | Win | 100 | 11 h 8 m | Show | |
Golden State after a strong performance and win last night, look vulnerable in this pot pay on tired legs. Note: The Warriors have not won back to back games in almost 6 weeks and if they get the victory tonight Im betting it wont come easily. GOLDEN STATE is 20-34 ATS as a road favorite over the last 3 seasons. GOLDEN STATE is 4-16 ATS vs. poor rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 3+ per game over the last 2 seasons. GOLDEN STATE is 2-18 ATS in road games after having lost 2 of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons. NBA Favorites vs. the money line (GOLDEN STATE) - after allowing 115 points or more 4 straight games against opponent after allowing 130 points or more are 10-21 L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate. Play on the Blazers |
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12-17-23 | Ravens v. Jaguars +3.5 | 23-7 | Loss | -115 | 27 h 41 m | Show | |
The Ravens are in a look ahead spot here as they face San Francisco next Monday night, and could easily be over looking this opponent or at least not focused 100% which they will have to be vs a revv up group of Jaguars. The Ravens are just 1-7 ATS L/8 off consecutive wins, and just 3-7 L/10 SU meetings in this series and lost last year here on this field by a 28-27 count. Jacksonville have cashed 7 of their L/9 as dogs, and have cashed in 6 of their :/7 Sunday games. Play on Jacksonville Jags to cover |
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12-17-23 | 49ers v. Cardinals +12.5 | 45-29 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 57 m | Show | |
The Niners have clinched a play off spot and this a situation where they could be more interesting in staying healthy than playing their top players the entire game through. This game has letdown written all over it. From a historical standpoint the Niners are just 0-4 ATS L/4 on the road as DD favs dating back 11 seasons. Arizona is 8-1 ATS as a home dog of 9 or more points when at home when taking on a .750 or better foe.Also Road favorites of 10.5 or more points (SAN FRANCISCO) - team outgaining opponents by 1.5+ yards per pass against team outgained by 1.5+ yards per pass are just 6-27 ATS dating back to 1983. Play on Arizona Cards to cover |
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12-17-23 | Magic +9 v. Celtics | 97-114 | Loss | -113 | 5 h 46 m | Show | |
The Celtics beat up on Orlando group by DDs, the day before yesterday for their 13th straight home win.Sunday marks the third meeting of the season between the teams. The Magic beat Boston 113-96 as hosts on Nov. 24 and must not be underestimated in their ability to bounce back here with a competitive performance.ORLANDO is 31-17 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons and have covered 3 of their L/4 visits to Bean-town. Play on Orlando to cover |
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12-17-23 | Chiefs -8 v. Patriots | 27-17 | Win | 100 | 19 h 11 m | Show | |
Kansas City has lost 2 straight and are now fully focused on a start to finish beat down of this opponent. The last game hurt as the Chiefs lost to the Bills by a 20-17 count and were not impressed by the officiating which Im betting has them pumped up entering this tilt. Note: The chiefs are 5-0 SU/ATS L/5 off a home loss. I know the Pats got a surprise win last week, but its not going to happen this week, and Im betting on it. NEW ENGLAND is 1-7 ATS vs. excellent passing teams with a completion pct. of 64% or better this season.NEW ENGLAND is 0-6 ATS after having lost 2 out of their last 3 games this season. NFL Road teams (KANSAS CITY) - off an upset loss as a home favorite, good team, winning 60-75% or more of their games, in the second half of the season are 32-9 ATS L/10 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on KC Chiefs to cover |
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12-17-23 | USC +9 v. Auburn | 75-91 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 50 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. CBB Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (USC) - after being beaten by the spread by more than 18 points in their previous game, in a non-conference game between two teams from major division 1-A conferences are 24-6 ATS L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors.\ Play on USC to cover |
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12-17-23 | Oregon v. Syracuse +4.5 | 63-83 | Win | 100 | 3 h 24 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Syracuse to cover |
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12-17-23 | Texans +3.5 v. Titans | 19-16 | Win | 100 | 3 h 18 m | Show | |
The Texans are planning to start Case Keenum on Sunday against the Tennessee Titans, instead of Stroud who is on concussion protocol. Despite of this I steel feel the Texans are capable of covering this number vs a Titans team that despite of stunning victory vs the Fins last tike look lifeless more often than not and will now be in a letdown spot. Houston has covered 5 of their L/7 road games while the Titans are 1-5 L/6 vs AFC South sides. NFL Underdogs or pick (HOUSTON) - off an upset loss as a road favorite, winning between 51% and 60% of their games in the second half of the season are 33-9 ATS L/30 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. NFL Home favorites (TENNESSEE) - with a poor turnover defense - forcing 1 or less turnovers/game, after a game where they committed 3 or more turnovers are 8-30 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Texans to cover |
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12-16-23 | California v. Texas Tech -3 | 14-34 | Win | 100 | 27 h 50 m | Show | |
Texas Tech got pretty banged up this season and injuries derailed a promising campaign, but believe me when I say this is a solid team.Also I'm not getting down on them for that ugly loss to Texas in their season finale.Note: TEXAS TECH is 8-0 ATS off a road loss against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons. Meanwhile, Cal had a decent season, but it was their offense and not their usually staunch D that saw them get this Bowl invite. Note: Pac-12 bowl sides have not been good bets for while now going 3-11 SU and 4-10 ATS L/14 opportunities. Also Cal is 1-6 ATS this season against fellow Bowl sides . I know Cal mauled the the Bruins, 33-7, at the Rose Bowl stadium in their last game, but now Im betting they will be a letdown spot after that huge emotional win. Play on Texas Tech to cover |
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12-16-23 | Thunder +5 v. Nuggets | 118-117 | Win | 100 | 10 h 16 m | Show | |
Thunder rookie Chet Holmgren,, along with Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, are dangerous foes for all comers including the Denver Nuggets. Yes Denver has played well lately, but are 12-24 ATS after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons. Advantage Thunder taking points. OKLAHOMA CITY is 20-6 ATS versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 13 or less turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.Daigneault is 32-17 ATS in road games off a road loss as the coach of OKLAHOMA CITY.Daigneault is 67-43 ATS as a road underdog as the coach of OKLAHOMA CITY. Play on Oklahoma City Thunder |
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12-16-23 | Broncos +4.5 v. Lions | 17-42 | Loss | -110 | 60 h 26 m | Show | |
Detroit has been explosive offensively this season, but they go against a tough Denver D that hasn't given up more than 22 points in the last eight games. Also the Lions have looked vulnerable even before their loss to Green Bay on Thanks Giving as was evident when they found a way past the Los Angeles Chargers (41-38) on a last-second field goal, and also needed two late touchdowns to rally past Chicago (31-26) at home previous to Turkey Debacle and are off a loss to Chicago in the rematch last time out. With that said, one side looks to be uptrending ( Denver) while the other despite of the accolades in downtrending ( Detroit.) Advantage Broncos to cover. They barely held off New Orleans (33-28) after taking an early 21-0 lead, then were soundly defeated by the last-place Bears 28-13 Sunday. NFL team vs the money line (DENVER) - off a win by 10 points or more over a division rival, in the last 4 weeks of the regular season are 33-6 L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. NFL Road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (DENVER) - with a sub par passing D - allowing a comp pct of 64% or worse, after allowing 5.5 or less passing yards per attempt last game are 36-10 ATS L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. NFL Home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (DETROIT) - after allowing 25 points or more in 4 straight games are 8-30 ATS L/30 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors. Denver has won 2 of the L/3 meetings here in Motown. Play on Denver to cover |
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12-16-23 | Pacers +9.5 v. Wolves | 109-127 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 59 m | Show | |
With the offensive fire power that the Pacers have there are is a very good chance here they stay within the offered underdog number. INDIANA is 17-6 ATS when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 70% or more ) over the last 3 seasons. MINNESOTA is 8-23 ATS L/30 in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 116+ points/game . NBA team vs the money line (INDIANA) - an explosive offensive team (118 or more PPG) against an avg. offensive team (108-114 PPG), after allowing 68 points or more in the first half last game are 30-8 L/26 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Indiana to cover |
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12-16-23 | UCLA -4 v. Boise State | 35-22 | Win | 100 | 109 h 38 m | Show | |
The UCLA Bruins (7-5) will take on the Mountain West Champion Boise State Broncos (8-5) in the 2023 Starco Brands LA Bowl . UCLA is expected to go with junior QB Ethan Garbers for this game. He has tossed for 984 passing yards, nine touchdowns, and three interceptions this season and is more than capable of getting the Bruins to the promised land here today. On the flipside UCLA plays its best D against the run allowing an average of just 70 yards per game, and Boise State is a run first side team, with 60% of its offensive plays coming via the ground game. So the Advantage resides with the Bruins. Note: The Broncos may start a freshman QB for this game . Play on UCLA to cover |
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12-16-23 | Pistons +17.5 v. Bucks | 114-146 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 45 m | Show | |
Im sure the Bucks are looking at this like a defacto night off vs the the league worst team. Meanwhile, the Pistons will play with absolutely no pressure as they cant sink any lower than their current form. When the Pistons visited Milwaukee earlier this season they lost by a 120-118 count, but covered as 12.5 underdogs. Rinse and repeat in play here this evening. NBA team (DETROIT) - after a blowout loss by 15 points or more against opponent after 2 straight games where both teams scored 115 points or more are 59-18 ATS L/5 seasons and a perfect 8-0 ATS this season. Play on Detroit to cover |
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12-16-23 | Steelers +2 v. Colts | 13-30 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 30 m | Show | |
Im expecting the return of TJ Watts to ignite the Steelers here today. Hey I know the Steelers have suffered consecutive home losses to Arizona and New England, but HC Tomlin has a way of getting his troops to perform at optimal levels when you least expect it. I also know the Colts are playing decent ball of late, but their D remains a concern and can implode at any time like they did last week in a 34-14 loss on Sunday in Cincinnati. Tomlin is 33-17 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games as the coach of PITTSBURGH. NFL Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (PITTSBURGH) - after failing to cover the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games, in December games. Colts are 2-17 SU L/19 in this series – including 0-3 SUATS the last three times as favs. Play on the Steelers to cover |
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12-16-23 | Loyola-Chicago v. South Florida +1.5 | 64-77 | Win | 100 | 7 h 27 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. S.Florida to cover |
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12-16-23 | Chicago State +3.5 v. Valparaiso | 63-62 | Win | 100 | 7 h 24 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Chicago State to cover |
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12-16-23 | Miami-OH v. Appalachian State -5.5 | 9-13 | Loss | -110 | 238 h 15 m | Show | |
Cure Bowl - FBC Mortgage Stadium - Orlando, FL The Miami (Ohio) RedHawks (11-2, 10-3 ATS) square off with the Appalachian State Mountaineers (8-5, 6-6-1 ATS) in the Avocados From Mexico Cure Bowl. The Mountaineers are 6-1 straight up all-time in bowl games. Appalachian State is 3-0 SU when facing a MAC school in a bowl game. Today Im betting Miami O wont be able to keep up here vs a explosive Appalachian State offense that ranks tied for 19th in the country in scoring offense, with an average of 34.8 points per game. Quarterback Joey Aguilar is a top tier stud and has passed for 3,546 passing yards. He’s tied for third in the nation with 33 touchdown passes. I know Miami has shown a strong D, but the Mountaineers can rip apart of the best of stop units. On the flipside App States defense has also really started to show signs of stopping power. Over the last four regular-season games they allowed 15.3 points per game while picking off eight passes and get the nod to cover here today. Play on App State to cover |
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12-16-23 | Jacksonville State v. UL-Lafayette +2.5 | 34-31 | Loss | -105 | 20 h 59 m | Show | |
Jacksonville State according to my post season power rankings are being over rated here today against the UL Lafayette The Ragin’ Cajuns are 5-1 SU all-time in the New Orleans Bowl and have won 7 of their L/10 Bowl games including three victories as pups. It must also be noted Gamecocks HC Rich Rodriguez is 2-9 ATS in his career in Bowl games, and 7 of his L/8 when favored. .Rodriguez is 9-21 ATS in road games vs. good offensive teams - scoring 31 or more points/game in all games he has coached in his career. Play on UL Lafayette to cover |
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12-16-23 | Kansas v. Indiana +7.5 | 75-71 | Win | 100 | 4 h 43 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Indiana to cover |
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12-15-23 | Connecticut v. Gonzaga +4.5 | 76-63 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 23 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. According to my projections these two sides are fairly evenly matched with both showing similar strengths and weaknesses. With this game being played in Seattle Gonzaga has a underdog edge. GONZAGA is 16-5 ATSL/21 against Big East conference opponents. Gonzaga to cover |
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12-15-23 | New Mexico v. New Mexico State +15 | 73-72 | Win | 100 | 13 h 43 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. The Aggies will be primed in revenge mode to make the rematch of the Battle of I-25 more competitive this time around,after suffering a 106-62 loss in Albuquerque on December 2. New Mexico in their only true road contest of the season, lost 72-58 to Saint Mary's. The Aggies own a 4-0 record inside the Pan American Center and Im betting find a way to stay competitive here at home. CBB Road teams as an favorite or pick (NEW MEXICO) - hot team - having covered 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread, a top-level team (80% or better ) playing a team with a losing record are 11-41 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors. New Mexico State to cover |
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12-15-23 | Rockets v. Grizzlies +3.5 | 103-96 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 1 m | Show | |
Houston has been almost unbeatable at home this season but are just 1-8 SU on the road and are being over rated here in the favorites role.I know they have beaten the Grizzlies twice this year both times at home but it must be noted that MEMPHIS is 23-7 ATS when playing with double revenge - 2 straight losses vs. opponent over the last 3 seasons and Im sure knowing how well HC Jenkins can adjust to opponents give me credence in backing a Grizzlies side that has won their L/4 meetings at home in this series. Jenkins 29-16 ATS as a home underdog of 6 points or less as the coach of MEMPHIS.MEMPHIS is 9-0 ATS in home games vs. teams who are called for 2+ more fouls/game than their opponents over the last 3 seasons. Play on Memphis to cover |
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12-15-23 | Cleveland State v. Bradley -9.5 | 76-69 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 31 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. BRADLEY is 6-0 ATS as a home favorite of 9.5 to 12 points over the last 3 seasons. BRADLEY is 10-2 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at +13.4 . Play on Bradley to cover |
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12-15-23 | Texas State v. Sam Houston State -4 | 73-60 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 60 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Sam Houston to cover |
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12-15-23 | Mt. St. Mary's v. St Francis PA +7 | 72-65 | Push | 0 | 9 h 35 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play on Saint Francis to cover |
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12-14-23 | Thunder v. Kings -1.5 | 123-128 | Win | 100 | 14 h 38 m | Show | |
This game is a rematch of a 105-98 Kings home victory in the early stages of the NBA in-season tournament last month. Entering this game the Brooklyn, the Kings were smashed 119-99 on the road against the Los Angeles Clippers on the second night of a back-to-back Tuesday. The Kings took out the Brooklyn Nets in the first game of the consecutive tilts , but looked very tired in the followup. Now rejuvenated and going up against a side they matchup well against Im betting on a rebound performance. SACRAMENTO is 15-4 ATS in home games after 4 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 47% or higher over the last 3 seasons. Brown is 35-18 ATS vs. excellent 3 point shooting teams - making 39% or more of their attempts in all games he has coached NBA team (SACRAMENTO) - after a blowout loss by 20 points or more against opponent after 2 straight games where both teams scored 115 points or more are 31-8 ATS L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Sacramento to cover Sacramento is 4-0 SU L/4 at home in this series and are 7-1 SU L/8 overall meetings. |
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12-14-23 | Jazz +4.5 v. Blazers | 122-114 | Win | 100 | 3 h 26 m | Show | |
Utah played last night but they are well conditioned and offer value vs a weak favorite that has lost 4 straight games. UTAH is 42-23 ATS as an underdog over the last 2 seasons. PORTLAND is 0-8 ATS in home games after covering 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread over the last 2 seasons NBA Road teams (UTAH) - after being beaten by the spread by 42 or more points total in their last seven games against opponent after going over the total by more than 18 points in their previous game are 45-19 ATS L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Utah to cover |
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12-14-23 | Wolves v. Mavs +2 | 119-101 | Loss | -110 | 1 h 24 m | Show | |
12-14-23 | Chargers +3 v. Raiders | 21-63 | Loss | -105 | 34 h 30 m | Show | |
Los Angeles' 24-17 home win over Las Vegas in Week 4 and according to my power rankings still matchup well here giving us an edge taking points. I know Chargers QB Juston Herbert is gone for the season, but Easton Stick is viable backup and must not be disrespected. Quote: "Look, I understand North Dakota State is not the National Football League, but I'm used to winning," said Stick, who played college football for the Bison. "I only know one way." End Quote. both teams are seeing alot of nagging injuuries take their tolls on both sides, but depth charts still suggest getting points here is optimal. LA CHARGERS are 22-9 ATS L/31 versus poor offensive teams - averaging 285 or less yards/game in the second half of the season. LAS VEGAS is 1-9 ATS vs. poor passing defenses - allowing 235 or more passing yards/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. NFL Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (LA CHARGERS) - after failing to cover the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games, in December games are 34-9 ATS L/10 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. NFL Road teams (LA CHARGERS) - after failing to cover the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games, in December games are 93-38 ATS L/10 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Chargers to cover |
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12-14-23 | St. Thomas v. Marquette -25.5 | 79-84 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 9 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. The Tommies lack size and are really going to rolled over in the paint and under the rim vs a more athletic and bigger Marquette hoops group. Marquette to cover |
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12-13-23 | Utah State v. Santa Clara +3.5 | 84-82 | Win | 100 | 13 h 29 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Santa Clara to cover |
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12-13-23 | Weber State +9.5 v. Nevada | 55-72 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 39 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. . Weber State to cover |
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12-13-23 | Knicks v. Jazz +6.5 | 113-117 | Win | 100 | 14 h 42 m | Show | |
Utah has not had a great season, but they have won their L/6 home games and are never easy to face here in the high altitudes of Salt Lake City. I know the Jazz have struggle of late, but it must be noted that they are Hardy is 15-3 ATS after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread as the coach of UTAH. I know NYK is a quality side, but they have lost 3 of their L/4 games and are in my opinion being over rated here against the Jazz tonight. Note: Jazz top scorer Markkanen has missed the past eight games for Utah, but he's been ramping up his participation in recent practices and is on the verge of a return, possibly even tonight. UTAH is 12-1 ATS as a home underdog of 6 points or less on the opening line over the last 2 seasons. UTAH is 17-5 ATS as a home underdog over the last 2 seasons. NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (UTAH) - after scoring 120 points or more against opponent after a combined score of 255 points or more are 43-12 ATS L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Jazz to cover |
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12-13-23 | Grizzlies +7.5 v. Rockets | 104-117 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 32 m | Show | |
The Rockets home-court 11 game winning streak may not be in jeopardy tonight vs the the inconsistent Memphis Grizzlies, but the line in my humble opinion is just a little bit over done. by around 1 possession giving us an edge here to cover according to my projections. The Grizzlies have covered 6 of their L/9 road games, and have won 4 of those games SU with the average ppg diff clicking in at -2.8 in their L/11 away tilts this season. NBA Home teams (HOUSTON) - sub par pressure defensive team - forcing 12 or less turnovers/game, in December games are 8-29 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (HOUSTON) - off a win against a division rival, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season are 12-35 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Memphis to cover |
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12-13-23 | Pacers +6.5 v. Bucks | 126-140 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 2 m | Show | |
Watching the Milwaukee Bucks play of late, has me wondering if this team is currently over rated. They honestly look slow and old and their super star the Greek Freak looks a little slow ( knee issues) as does the team overall. With that said, Im betting the run and gun Pacers offer up some issues for the Bucks giving us an edge with the underdog. Note: The Pacers have won and covered 6 of their !0 road games this season with the average ppg diff clicking in at -3.1. From a SRS perspective : Milwaukee ranks 12 with a 2,77 mark, while Indiana ranks 11th with a 2.89 , even with home ciurt advantage factored in we still according to my projections have a one possession edge. NBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (INDIANA) - good offensive team - scoring 114+ points/game on the season against opponent after a combined score of 255 points or more are 28-7 ATS L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Indiana to cover |
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12-13-23 | Hornets +8.5 v. Heat | 104-115 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 43 m | Show | |
Miami is one of those teams that reserves their best hoops for top tier teams, but against sub par opponents like Charlotte they have a tendency of living up to the lines makers projections as is evident by their 3-15 ATS mark when playing against a below .500 team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) over the last 2 seasons. Add to that MIAMI is 2-15 ATS as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points over the last 2 seasons and you get the picture These teams played a close game here a couple od days ago with the Heat pulling off a 2 points win and Im now betting on another hard battle that favors the underdog cashing . Spoelstra is 6-17 ATS off a close win by 3 points or less over a division rival as the coach of MIAMI with the average ppg diff clicking in at just 0.2 in those 23 tilts. NBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MIAMI) - off a win against a division rival, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season are 12-35 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors. Charlotte to cover |
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12-13-23 | Hawks +2.5 v. Raptors | 128-135 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 23 m | Show | |
Monday marked the Raptors' first regulation defeat in team history when scoring 130 points.All five Toronto starters scored in double figures for the seventh time this season. Im now betting on immediate regression off a demoralizing result. Toronto has now failed to win or cover in four straight. NBA Road underdogs (ATLANTA) - good offensive team - scoring 114+ points/game on the season against opponent after a combined score of 255 points or more are 45-20 ATS L/27 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (TORONTO) - after 4 or more consecutive losses, in December games are 13-54 L/5 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Atlanta Hawks to cover |
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12-12-23 | Cavs +10 v. Celtics | 113-120 | Win | 100 | 14 h 29 m | Show | |
Cleveland lost 104-94 to the Orlando Magic Monday, failing to cover as a 2.5-point underdog. The linemakers expect a tired side to play against one of the leagues top teams, the Boston Celtics and thats why we have a nice double digit line to bet into with the viable underdog. Considering the Cavs are one of the better conditioned teams in the NBA Im betting we get the cover in this spot with a talented group on the rise. CLEVELAND is 26-13 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 3 seasons. NBA Home teams (BOSTON) - sub par pressure defensive team - forcing 12 or less turnovers/game, in December games are 7-28 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Cleveland to cover |
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12-12-23 | Lakers v. Mavs +2.5 | 125-127 | Win | 100 | 14 h 20 m | Show | |
After winning the NBA in season tournament Im betting on some let down regression here effecting the Lakers overall energy levels giving the home side an advantage . Dallas has won 6 of the L/8 meetings in this series straight up. NBA Road teams (LA LAKERS) - after going under the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 12-36 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Dallas Mavs to cover |
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12-12-23 | Arkansas-Pine Bluff +16.5 v. South Florida | 86-104 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 36 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. CBB team (ARK-PINE BLUFF) - good 3PT shooting team (36.5% or better ) against a poor 3PT shooting team (32% or less ), after 3 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 47% or higher are 43-14 ATS L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play Ark Pine Bluff to cover |
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12-12-23 | Georgia Southern v. Tennessee -33 | 56-74 | Loss | -111 | 8 h 3 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Georgia Southern was tabbed No. 13 in the Sun Belt preseason poll after losing three of its top four scorers from a group that finished 17-16 (9-9) last year and look like cannon fodder here tonight according to my projections. CBB Home teams as a favorite or pick (TENNESSEE) - team from a major division 1-A conference against a team from a mid-major division 1-A conference, off a home win scoring 85 or more points are 468-335 ATS L/26 seasons for a 58% conversion rate. Play on Tennessee to cover |
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12-12-23 | Long Island +20 v. UMass Lowell | 65-78 | Win | 100 | 12 h 41 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. CBB Home favorites of 10 to 19.5 points (UMASS-LOWELL) - a good team (60% to 80%) playing a struggling team (20% or less) are 235-343 ATS L/26 seasons for a go against 59% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Long Island to cover |
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12-11-23 | Packers v. Giants +7 | 22-24 | Win | 100 | 107 h 59 m | Show | |
After three straight underdog wins the Packers are back in the play off race, against a side the NY Giants that are not. Thats not a good thing from my perspective, as the Giants are playing loose while the Packers will now feeling pressure to perform and could easily be in a letdown situation after that trio of surprising victories. Also the Gemn have momentum coming into this prime time affair, after win last week and are now feeling alot more confident about themselves. Daboll is 15-6 ATS vs. sub standard passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 61% or worse as the coach of NY GIANTS. NFLRoad favorites (GREEN BAY) - in a game involving two sub standard defensive teams (335 to 370 YPG), after gaining 375 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games are 6-28 ATS L/40 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors. NFL Home underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (NY GIANTS) - slow starting team - outscored by 5+ PPG in the first half, after scoring 14 points or less last game are 34-12 ATS L/10 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on NY Giants to cover |
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12-11-23 | Jazz +13 v. Thunder | 120-134 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 4 m | Show | |
The Thunder are coming off a 138-136 overtime win over Golden State on Friday where they forced 29 turnovers, leading to 35 points and even though they are on a couple days rest Im betting they feel a natural letdown from that affair here tonight vs a Jazz side Im sure their over looking . I know the Jazz are without leading scorer Lauri Markkanen , but are capable of being competitive here tonight as they have had sufficient time to adjust to his absence. UTAH is 17-3 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 2 seasons.Hardy is 41-22 ATS as an underdog as the coach of UTAH. UTAH is 30-17 ATS after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games over the last 2 seasons. NBA Road underdogs (UTAH) - good rebounding team - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game, first half of the season are 99-55 ATS L/5 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Jazz |
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12-10-23 | Eagles +3.5 v. Cowboys | 13-33 | Loss | -110 | 60 h 54 m | Show | |
Its not easy going against a Cowboys side that has won 14 consecutive games at home ,but thats what Im about to recommend we do. I know the Eagles had their clocks cleaned vs the SF 49ers last week, but even top tier teams like the Eagles can have an off week. I also know the Boyz despite of their strong current run still have not beaten an .above .500 team this season, and do most of their damage against sub par sides. With that said and considering the fact that the Eagles when QB Jalen Hurts, is on the field play vs an above .500 squad like the Cowboys the Eagles have gone 14-1 SU L/15 .
NFL Home teams vs. the money line (DALLAS) - excellent offensive team (370 or more YPG) against a team with a struggling defense (335 to 370 YPG), after allowing 375 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games are 8-18 L/10 seasons for ago against 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Philadelphia to cover |
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12-10-23 | Michigan v. Iowa -3.5 | 90-80 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 20 m | Show | |
Iowa swept the season series against the Wolverines a season ago, including a 93-84 overtime victory in Carver in January.Iowa is 4-0 inside Carver-Hawkeye Arena this season, averaging 99.8 points per game. The Hawkeyes are shooting 51.1 percent from the floor in four home games Iowa is one the nation’s top offensive teams, averaging 85.3 points in nine games. The Hawkeyes are tops in the Big Ten and 22nd nationally. The team has scored at least 84 points in six games, including 110 points in the season opener against North Dakota. There is just to much fire power here for a struggling Michigan Wolverines side to contain. Since starting out the season with three straight victories, the Wolverines have lost five of their last six games. The Hawkeyes have won seven of the nine meetings between the two schools in Iowa City since 2012 and get the nod again here today.
Play on Iowa to cover |
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12-10-23 | Bills v. Chiefs -1 | 20-17 | Loss | -115 | 72 h 41 m | Show | |
The Chiefs have not performed optimally of late , but don't be mistaken this a top tier team that is capable of capturing a Super Bowl and now in bounce back mode after a down effort vs the Packers last time out. Meanwhile, nothing has come easily for the Bills this season, and Im betting they will find themselves in a tough spot this week in KC. Buffalo has failed to cover 7 of their L/8. BUFFALO is 1-8 ATS vs. good passing teams averaging 235 or more passing yards/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.Reid is 41-21 ATS in games where the line is +3 to -3 as the coach of KANSAS CITY. bottom line is here, is that Im big believer in Mahomes and the Chiefs, add to that I have some futures bets on the Chiefs winning the Super Bowl and you might understand why Im taking this position. Play on the KC Chiefs to cover |
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12-10-23 | Texans v. Jets +3.5 | 6-30 | Win | 100 | 52 h 53 m | Show | |
Texans behind rookie QB Stroud are getting alot of accolades, but after escaping Broncos last drive last week that stalled on Houstons 8 yard line, they enter into this game as road chalk something that they dont have a great history of being successful at ,as is evident by failing in 6 of their L/7 in the chalk role. Add to that the Texans lost one their top WR Dell, which Im betting will be a blow to them in this spot and you have a situation that could easily see the under performing ( Im being nice here) pulling off the upset and more importantly getting us the cover. HOUSTON is 3-11 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons. NFL Home underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (NY JETS) - slow starting team - outscored by 5+ PPG in the first half, after scoring 14 points or less last game are 34-12 ATS L/10 seasons for a 74% conversion rate. Jets 3-1 ATS L/4 meetings in this series. Play on NY Jets to cover |
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12-10-23 | Colts +2 v. Bengals | 14-34 | Loss | -105 | 52 h 39 m | Show | |
Bengals QB Browning shocked alot of ppl in his big performance last week that saw him break some records for a back up , but Im betting he will suffer regression here this week, after that miraculous 34-31 OT underdog win vs the Jags. This is an important game for both the Bengals and the Colts, as post season implication prevail in what should be a grueling affair. NFL team (CINCINNATI) - off a huge upset win as a double digit underdog, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 3-21 ATS L/30 seasons for a 88% go against conversion rate for bettors. Play on Colts to cover |
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12-09-23 | Cincinnati v. Xavier +1.5 | 79-84 | Win | 100 | 10 h 8 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. The Xavier University Musketeers, 4-5, and the University of Cincinnati Bearcats, 7-0, will meet for the 91st time on Saturday. Xavier will be looking for its fifth-straight win vs. its crosstown rivals. XU is 9-1 vs. UC at Cintas Center, including nine straight victories. dont be fooled by the Muskies 3 game losing run, this is still a viable side, that is getting acclimated to the new bodies in the lineup. Im betting the competitive juices to be flowing here and for the Musketeers to get the cover. XAVIER is 7-0 ATS in home games against Big 12 conference opponents since 1997.XAVIER is 6-0 ATS versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 37% or better of their attempts over the last 3 seasons. CINCINNATI is 2-11 ATS against Big East conference opponents since 1997. Play under |
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12-09-23 | Army v. Navy +3 | 17-11 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 11 m | Show | |
According to my own power rankings these sides are pretty evenly matched . Last season these two military schools played a grueling tilt that Army won 20-17 in OT, and Im betting on the same kind of action this time around, but with the edge going to the revenging side taking points. The revenging side has covered 10 of the L/12 meetings. NAVY is 19-6 ATS when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) since 1992.(Army 5-6 on the season) Play on Navy |
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12-09-23 | Central Michigan +31.5 v. Creighton | 64-109 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 27 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. CBB favorite (CREIGHTON) - a good defensive team (63-67 PPG) against a struggling defensive team (74-78 PPG), after scoring 40 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games are 8-34 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors. Central Michigan to cover |
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12-08-23 | Kings -1.5 v. Suns | 114-106 | Win | 100 | 14 h 57 m | Show | |
The Kings are off a 127-117 loss to the visiting New Orleans Pelicans on Monday during the in-season tournament quarterfinals, while the Suns were beaten by a 106-103 count to the host Los Angeles Lakers on Tuesday in another quarterfinal matchup. From a matchup perspective the Kings from my viewpoint stand a better chance of a bounce back, knowing that HC Brown is 17-4 ATS off a home loss as the coach of SACRAMENTO and. 11-2 ATS in road games vs. division opponents as the coach of SACRAMENTO. Meanwhile, ,Vogel is 1-10 ATS versus good shooting teams -like the Kings that convert 46% or better of their shots as the coach of PHOENIX. The Suns have failed to cover in 4 straight. NBA Home teams (PHOENIX) - bad pressure defensive team - forcing 12 or less turnovers/game, in December games are just 5-26 L/5 seasons for a go against 84% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road favorites vs. the money line (SACRAMENTO) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, in a game involving two marginal winning teams (51% to 60%) are 42-12 L/27 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +6.9 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. Kings are 3-1 SU L/4 vs Suns. Play on the Sacramento Kings to cover |
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12-08-23 | Pistons +11.5 v. Magic | 91-123 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 40 m | Show | |
Detroit is mired in a nasty slump to start their season losing 17 of 19 games, but Im not worried about that as a pretext to me taking them to cover. After-all Im in the business of picking advantageous situations against what the linesmkaers are offering. In this situation the Magic despite of being a team on the rise are a little banged up on the injury front, and have lost two straight while the Pistons, despite of their ugly numbers have covered at a 5-1-1 ATS rate in their L/7 games as underdogs of 9 or more points. NBA Home favorites of 10 or more points (ORLANDO) - after going over the total by 48 or more points total in their last seven games, good team, winning 60-75% of their games on the season are 13-38 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Detroit to cover |
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12-08-23 | Hawks +8 v. 76ers | 114-125 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 12 m | Show | |
Philadelphia is on extended rest , as they have not played since Dec 1. There is a such a thing as too much time off, and thus getting back into game flow is not an easy transition. Im betting the rust could cause a lack of continuity for the 76ers and for an Atlanta side on two days rest to come out here in give the 76ers all they can handle. I know the Hawks have not been viable bets of late, failing to cover in 5 straight and 9 of their L/10 but 6 of those games were as favorites and 5 of those losses were by 2 points or less. ATLANTA is 21-10 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 2 seasons. Snyder in 16 games against Atlantic division opponents as the coach of ATLANTA has ween a ppg diff of -6.2. Snyder in 14 games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game as the coach of ATLANTA has seen a average ppg diff of -5 ppg. Snyder in 102 games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game in all games he has in his carrer has seen an average ppf diff of -5. . NBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (ATLANTA) - good offensive team - scoring 114+ points/game on the season against opponent after a combined score of 255 points or more are 28-6 ATS L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Atlanta to cover |
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12-08-23 | North Carolina A&T +22 v. High Point | 62-75 | Win | 100 | 11 h 11 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. N CAROLINA A&T is 13-4 ATS L/17 in road games after playing 5 consecutive games as an underdog . CBB Home favorites of 10 or more points (HIGH POINT) - hot team - having covered 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread, a good team (60% to 80%) playing a terrible team (20% or ,less) are 19-53 ATS L/26 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on North Carolina A&T to cover |
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12-07-23 | Patriots v. Steelers -5.5 | 21-18 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 34 m | Show | |
Bill Belichick’s Patriots just cant score, they have no flow to their offense what so ever. The Steelers are also not much better, but they have shown some signs of like under new offensive coordinator Canada. . This could easily be a snore fest , and the linesmakers know it setting a total of around 30 points on this tilt. I know most of the general public are not interested in this game, but from a bettors perspective their are some edges that can be isolated giving us the edge needed to cash a ticket. First off the Steelers after a big win feel asleep at the wheel last time out, which brings into play a strong bounce back tendency form HC Mike Tomlin see his team go 10-1 SU and 8-3 ATS in his career, off a home loss. Considering New England is just 0-10 SUATS in their last ten non-division contests and 1-12 SUATS in their thirteen games as a pup. Im betting Tomlin weaves his bounce back magic once again, and with Trubisky under center for the Steelers, a new sense of offensive effectiveness may take hole. But whatever the case Im betting the lack of Patriots scoring will doom them here again tonight in this prime time affair. NEW ENGLAND is 0-6 ATS vs. sub par kickoff coverage teams, allowing 24 or more yards per return this season with the average ppg diff clicking in at -15.7. NEW ENGLAND is 1-8 ATS passing teams with a completion pct. of 61% or better. this season with a average ppg diff of -11 ppg.NEW ENGLAND is 1-7 ATS as an underdog this season with a average ppf diff of -9.8 ppg. NFL Home teams (PITTSBURGH) - after going under the total by 28 or more points total in their last three games, with a winning record in the second half of the season are 28-8 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Pittsburgh to cover |
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12-06-23 | SMU v. Arizona State -3 | 74-76 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 21 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Arizona State (5-2) is looking to extend a three-game winning streak when they face SMU (6-3). It is the sixth time the Sun Devils and Mustangs have matched up, with ASU winning each of the previous five meetings. Im betting nothing in this series changes tonight as the Sun Devils continue their strong play at home. Arizona State has outscored opponents 232-189 (+43) during the streak, with all three victories coming by double-digits. Coach Hurley has led the Maroon & Gold to nine-straight wins against non-conference opponents at Desert Financial Arena. Rinse and repeat in play. ARIZONA ST is 9-2 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) over the last 2 seasons. SMU is 0-7 ATS after a blowout win by 20 points or more over the last 3 seasons. Hurley is 9-0 ATS after 2 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 37% or less as the coach of ARIZONA ST. CBB underdog (SMU) - average 3PT shooting team (32-36.5%) against a good 3PT defense (32% or less), average rebounding team (+/-3 reb/game) against a poor rebounding team (-3 to -6 reb/game) are 26-60 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Arizona State to cover |
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12-06-23 | 76ers v. Wizards +10.5 | 131-126 | Win | 100 | 11 h 8 m | Show | |
After two hard fought games and losses vs New Orleans and Boston the Sixers are on tired legs and in a bit of a letdown situation, which bodes well for us covering this offering with the home dog Washington Wizards. Also the 76ers after. fast start to their campaign have failed to win 6 of their L/10 and are being a little over rated here in this situation. Note: Washington has covered 4 of their L/6 and get my support getting points in this spot play. NBA Home underdogs of 10 or more points (WASHINGTON) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points, off a road cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog are 44-18 ATS L/27 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. NBA road teams (PHILADELPHIA) - a very good team (7 or more PPG differential) against a terrible team (7 or less PPG differential), after a combined score of 235 points or more are 5-25 L/27 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Washington to cover |
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12-06-23 | Magic +4.5 v. Cavs | 111-121 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 1 m | Show | |
The Magic had a 9 game win streak snapped last time out and now Im betting on a bounce back effort vs the Cleveland Cavs here tonight. Quote:"The last couple of games, we've been slipping," Magic forward Franz Wagner said, per the Orlando Sentinel. "That's how we set the tone during the game, that's how we get out and run, and get easy points in the transition. "We got to make sure we get back to that." End Quote: I concerted effort from this very well conditioned and focused Magic side is the bet Im recommending. ORLANDO is 31-15 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons. NBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (CLEVELAND) - off a win against a division rival, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season are 10-35 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Orlando to cover |
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12-06-23 | Penn State +7.5 v. Maryland | 75-81 | Win | 100 | 11 h 22 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. After Maryland was outhustled and outplayed by the Hoosiers last time out Im betting despite of wanting to bounce back just do not matchup well enough to cover this number. With 10 new players, including nine transfers, the Rhoades-led Nittany Lions are not a Big 10 team that is getting much respect . They started hot with four straight wins, but have since dropped the same number of games , but are still competitive and must be respected here getting points. Penn State to cover |
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12-05-23 | Suns v. Lakers -1 | 103-106 | Win | 100 | 15 h 30 m | Show | |
Lakers future HOFer James helped the Lakers to a 4-0 record in group-stage play of the inaugural event and the top seed in the West heading into the win-and-advance quarterfinals and Im betting he will be the difference maker here tonight her vs a Suns side that the Lakers have dominated of late winning 4 straight meetings. The Lakers opened their in-season tournament group-stage schedule with a 122-119 victory at Phoenix on Nov. 10. Los Angeles and according to my projections a rinse and repeart situation is once again in play. Note: PHOENIX is 1-9 ATS revenging a close loss vs opponent of 3 points or less over the last 2 seasons. PHOENIX is also just 1-9 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 46% or better of their shots this season. Play on the LA Lakers to cover |
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12-05-23 | Seton Hall +11.5 v. Baylor | 60-78 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 39 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Seton Hall has some injuries but are still more than capable of being competitive here this evening at Baylor. SETON HALL is 16-6 ATS in road games over the last 3 seasons. SETON HALL is 13-4 ATS in road games after playing a home game over the last 3 seasons.. Holloway is 32-17 ATS L/49 as a road underdog or pick in all games he has coached SETON HALL is 9-2 ATS versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game over the last 2 seasons. CBB Favorites of 10 to 19.5 points (BAYLOR) - hot team - having covered 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread, top level team, winning 80% or more of their games on the season are 41-81 ATS L/5 seasons for go against 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Seton Hall to cover |
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12-05-23 | Weber State v. Utah Valley +3 | 54-70 | Win | 100 | 15 h 38 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. UTAH VALLEY ST is 13-1 ATS versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons. UTAH VALLEY ST is 9-1 ATS versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game over the last 2 seasons.UTAH VALLEY ST is 8-1 ATS versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.UTAH VALLEY ST is 9-1 ATS versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game over the last 2 seasons. UTAH VALLEY ST is 20-3 ATS after playing a game as favorite over the last 2 seasons. WEBER ST is 1-10 ATS after 5 straight games committing 14 or less turnovers over the last 3 seasons. UTAH VALLEY ST is 5-1 straight up against WEBER ST since 1997. Play on Utah State Valley to cover |
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12-05-23 | Louisiana Tech v. Stephen F Austin -3.5 | 56-49 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 15 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. SF AUSTIN ST is 6-0 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less or pick over the last 2 seasons. SF AUSTIN ST is 9-1 ATS as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points Play on Stephen F Austin to cover |
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12-05-23 | Knicks v. Bucks -4.5 | 122-146 | Win | 100 | 13 h 11 m | Show | |
Winners in nine of their past 11 tilts, the Bucks will host the Knicks in an NBA in-season tournament quarterfinal battle on Tuesday. Milwaukee has won their L/8 home games and are 7-1 L/8 overall vs the Knicks and get the nod again here this Tuesday night. MILWAUKEE is 18-7 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons. NBA Underdogs (NEW YORK) - off a road win against a division rival, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 19-46 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road underdogs (NEW YORK) - in a game involving two good three point shooting teams (36.5% or better ), after 2 straight games making 16 or more 3 point shots are 19-43 ATS L/27 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Milwaukee Bucks to cover |
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12-05-23 | Villanova v. Kansas State +2.5 | 71-72 | Win | 100 | 14 h 41 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. KANSAS ST is 10-1 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) over the last 2 seasons. CBB underdog (KANSAS ST) - after being beaten by the spread by more than 18 points in their previous game, in a non-conference game between two teams from major division 1-A conferences are 36-10 ATS L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Kansas State to cover |
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12-04-23 | Cal Poly +14 v. Oregon State | 63-70 | Win | 100 | 12 h 26 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. OREGON ST is 0-6 ATS when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 20% to 40%) over the last 3 seasons. OREGON ST is 3-12 ATS as a home favorite or pick over the last 3 seasons. CAL POLY-SLO is 18-4 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. |
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12-04-23 | Arkansas State +25 v. Alabama | 65-89 | Win | 100 | 11 h 1 m | Show | |
Alabama is off a loss to Clemson last time out and finally looked like they had run out of gas after fast action run and gun affairs. Now in a bit of physical and emotional letdown situation Im betting on them paying more attention to strong defensive ball , which in turn will help is get a strong opportunity for a tilt that that sees the under rated dog stay closer than expected. ALABAMA is 0-9 ATS after allowing 80 points or more 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons.ALABAMA is 1-12 ATS after 2 straight games where both teams score 75 points or more over the last 3 seasons. Oats is 0-11 ATS after allowing 75 points or more 3 straight games as the coach of ALABAMA. ARKANSAS ST is 13-4 ATS L/17 versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 84+ points/game. CBB Road teams as an underdog or pick (ARKANSAS ST) - after going under the total by more than 6 points in five consecutive games against opponent after going over the total by 42 or more points total in their last seven games are 24-4 ATS L/26 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Arkansas State to cover |
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12-04-23 | Celtics -4.5 v. Pacers | 112-122 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 4 m | Show | |
Boston destroyed Indiana by a 155-014 count when they met back in November as their side open style of play back fired on them against a team with a far superior D, and and even more lethal balanced offense. The Pacers despite of looking for revenge, Im betting dont have what it takes to beat the Celtics and more importantly even cover the number. Mazzulla is 23-7 ATS versus terrible defensive teams - allowing a shooting pct defense of 48% or more as the coach of BOSTON with a average ppg diff of +10.3 ppg. Home underdogs of +145 to +350 vs. the money line (INDIANA) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points, off a road win by 10 points or more are 3-39 L/5 seasons for a 93% conversion rate with the average ppf per game diff clicking in at -11.5 which easily qualifies in this ATS offering. Play on Boston to cover |
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12-04-23 | Maryland-Eastern Shore +16.5 v. East Carolina | 52-63 | Win | 100 | 7 h 46 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. MD-EAST SHORE is 11-2 ATS after playing 2 consecutive games as a road underdog over the last 3 seasons.MD-EAST SHORE is 12-1 ATS after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games over the last 3 season.MD-EAST SHORE is 12-1 ATS after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games over the last 3 season. Crafton is 9-2 ATS in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game as the coach of MD-EAST SHORE. Play on Maryland Eastern Shore to cover |
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12-03-23 | Chiefs v. Packers +6 | 19-27 | Win | 100 | 32 h 21 m | Show | |
The Chiefs have a recent history of not performing optimally off one win exact going 2-9 ATS including 1-5 ATS road games . Kansas City is also 0-9 ATS as a favorite when both teams are coming off an ATS win and is 0-7 ATS after a win by 14 or more points over the last 2 seasons. (Packers won last week as dogs and the Chiefs polished off Vegas by DDS as favs.) On the fliside the Packers are 13-4 ATS as a dog of 3 or more points with HC Matt LaFleur on the sidelines. Also Packers QB QB Jordan Love owns a 3-0 SU/ATS in his young career hosting a non-conference opponent. LaFleur is 8-1 ATS in a home game where the total is between 42.5 and 45 points as the coach of GREEN BAY. Add to that GREEN BAY is 10-1 ATS L/11 in home games vs. good defensive teams who give up 17 or less points/game in the second half of the season and is s 10-1 ATS L/11 in home games vs. good passing defenses - allowing 5.7 or less passing yards/att. in the second half of the season , As well as GREEN BAY is 16-4 ATS L/20 in home games vs. good teams - outscoring opponents by 6+ PPG on the season in the second half of the season . .NFL Underdogs or pick (GREEN BAY) - off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as an underdog, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% in the second half of the season are 31-9 ATS L/30 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Green Bay to cover |
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12-03-23 | Panthers +3.5 v. Bucs | 18-21 | Win | 100 | 6 h 11 m | Show | |
The Tampa Bays Bucs' will be with out three top tier defenders for this this game: LB Lavonte David (groin), LB Devin White (foot) and CB Jamel Dean (ankle) making a inept Carolina D, more proficient. Thats not a good omen considering The Bucs D since they came offt heir bye in Week 6, rank last in the NFL in EPA/play (0.069) On the flipside the Bucks offense with Bake Mayfield at the helm have proven to be bad bets when favored cashing just 13 of 38 times for a go against 65% conversion rate for his batting backers. With that said, Ill recommend we take the points with a Carolina team that has not pressure on them what so ever, as their play off hopes are already dead in the water. )TAMPA BAY is 1-9 ATS L/10 vs. struggling passing teams averaging 5.2 or less passing yards/att in the second half of the season. NFL Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (CAROLINA) - slow starting team - outscored by 5+ PPG in the first half, after scoring 17 points or less in 4 straight games are 97-47 ATS L/30 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. NFL Road teams (CAROLINA) - after failing to cover the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games, in December games are 87-38 ATS L/10 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. NFL road pups with one or less wins entering their eighth through 12th contest of the season are 63-30-5 (68%) ATS since 2003, covering by an veage 3.6 points per game. Play on Carolina to cover |
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12-03-23 | Broncos +3 v. Texans | 17-22 | Loss | -102 | 26 h 55 m | Show | |
Broncos have now won 5 in a row SU after starting the season 1-5 SU and deserve respect here as underdogs this week vs the Texans. Nothing comes easily for the Texans this season, and Im betting if they get the win here this week, it wont come easily. Advantage taking the points. HOUSTON is 0-6 ATS in home games in weeks 10 through 13 over the last 3 seasons. NFL Home teams (HOUSTON) - excellent passing team (7.3 or more PYA) against an average passing team (5.9-6.7 PYA), after gaining 6.75 or more passing yards/attempt in 4 straight games are 11-35 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors. DENVER is 6-3 straight up against HOUSTON since 1992 and won the most recent meeting here in Texas. Payton is 13-4 ATS in road games after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of +1 or better in all games he has coached since 1992. Play on Denver to cover |
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12-03-23 | Lions v. Saints +4.5 | 33-28 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 11 m | Show | |
The Lions looked bad in their Thanksgiving Day loss to the Packers, and have shown alot of signs of weakness at times this season despite of the consistent accolades they get from the media. From a trends perspectivee the Lions have also failed to cover 5 of their L/6 off a SU chalk loss . Meanwhile, the Saints are desperate and need a victory badly to stay inNFC Playoff race.as well as NFC South contention . I know the Saints have not looked good of late, but they are New s 6-0 ATS when coming off back-to-back SUATS defeats and are 7-2 ATS in this series and 4-0 ATS when getting points . NEW ORLEANS is 15-5 ATS L/20 vs. dominant ball control teams, 32+ minutes TOP, 21+ FD's per game in the second half of the season DETROIT is 16-31 ATSas a road favorite since 1992. NFL Favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (DETROIT) - solid team - outgaining their opponents by 50 or more yards/game, after gaining 400 or more total yards/game over their last 3 games are 45-91 ATS L/10 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on New Orleans Saints to cover |