The set-up: SDSU lost its final three games, but it comes in healthy to this one and it’s loaded with talent and experience. The bottom line is I think that the Aztecs are the more “complete” team through all three phases. Ohio comes in off two straight wins to end the regular season over Buffalo and Akron. The problem for the Bobcats’ high-powered ground attack, is that SDSU’s strength on the defensive side of the ball is against he run. In fact the Aztecs rank fourth nationally in stopping the run. In total SDSU allows just 94.5 YPG rushing. SDSU death with injury issues all year to key offensive pieces, but they’re both back healthy here (QB Christian Chapman and RB Juwan Washington). These two will have something to prove in this bowl.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but SDSU is 3-1 ATS in its last four off an upset loss as a double digit fav, while Ohio is only 3-5 ATS in its last eight after a win by 21 points or more. Grab the points.

10* play

The set-up: The Spurs have gotten back on track of late, most recently destroying the 76ers 123-96 at home on Monday. The Magic return home after knocking off the Jazz 96-89 in Mexico City on Saturday. Note though that this is a big time “in-season” revenge game for SA after the Magic upset them at home 117-110 back on November 4th. SA averages 110.6 PPG and it concedes 110.5. Orlando averages only 104 PPG, while allowing 106.7. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but SA is already 6-1 ATS this year in trying to revenge a SU loss vs. an opponent as a favorite, while Orlando is only 14-26 ATS in its last 40 off an upset win as an underdog. Play on the Spurs.

10* play

The set-up: Buffalo is 10-0 and Syracuse is 7-3. The Orange will be motivated to snap the Bulls perfect record and I think the home side will deliver the goods. The Bulls return many of the players from a team that went 27-9 last year and which upset No. 3 Arizona in the NCAA Tourney. The Bulls average 112.5 points per 100 possessions. The Orange average 109.9 points per 100 possessions.

The pick: Buffalo has been playing at an extremely high level, but there’s no doubt that this is a difficult road venue. Looking a little closer and we discover that the Bulls are in fact just 1-3 ATS in their last four after eight or more consecutive wins, while Syracuse is still 4-1 ATS in its last five as a home favorite of six points or less or pick. Lay the points.

10* play

The set-up: I think LBJ and company will bounce back after a 128-110 road loss in the nation’s capital on Sunday. The Nets on the other hand look ready for a letdown in my estimation after their big 144-127 win over the Hawks on Sunday. The 144 points posted was impressive, but they 127 conceded to the ATL is unacceptable and won’t lead to success over the long-term obviously. LA averages 113.4 PPG and it allows 111.6. The Nets may have won four in a row, but they’re average 111 PPG and allowing 111.8. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Brooklyn is just 9-19 ATS in its last 28 home games vs. teams with a losing road record, while LA is 4-0 ATS in its last four following a SU loss of more than ten points. Lay the points, expect a blowout.

10* play

The set-up: Toronto comes in as the “hungrier” team as it’s lost four of its last five. Overall Toronto is 21-10-2, while New Jersey is 11-13-7. The Leafs average 3.5 GPG and they allow 2.8. A date vs. the lowly Devils is just what the doctor ordered to get untracked. NJ has lost six of its last eight and it averages 3.00 GPG and allows 3.5. 

The pick: Take it for what you will though, but Toronto is 7-0 in its last seven when playing on two days rest, while NJ is just 1-5 in its last six home games following a three games or more losing streak. I’m laying the price and expecting a blowout.

10* play

The set-up: I think this one has defensive battle written all over it. UAB won the C-USA with a 10-3 record, while NIU was 8-5 overall. The Blazers ten wins were a school record and UAB got the job done with stifling defensive play. UAB has a question mark with its starting QB AJ Erdely, but the strength on offense is the run game behind Spencer Brown anyways. The UAB offense would only post 30 points four times this year, but the defense is allowing just 17.3 PPG. NIU also relies on its run game to generate offense, led by Tre Harbison. The Huskies averaged only 20.7 PPG and they allowed just 21.5. 

The pick: Two defensive minded teams which rely on the run game collide in this one. Also note that UAB has seen the total go “under” the number in four of its last five then the total is set between 42.5 and 49 points, while NIU has seen the total go “under” in ten of its last 15 when the total is set in the same points range. This number is high, play the “under.” 

10* play

The set-up: I think this is a great spot to pull the trigger on the hungry visiting side. Portland broke a two-game slide with a 128-122 home win over Toronto and I look for it to carry that momentum over here. The Clippers’ red hot start is starting to fade quickly in the rear view mirror as they come in having lost three straight. And after this LA has the surging Mavericks and defending champ Warriors up next. Can anyone say classic “trap game?” 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Portland is 7-2 ATS in its last nine road games after scoring 125 points or more in a win at home in its previous outing, while LA is just 2-4 ATS in its last six after three or more SU losses. Grab the points.

8* play

The set-up: This one has defensive battle written all over it in my opinion. After a slow start, the 4-3 Rider Broncs have won four of their last six. Overall they’re averaging 78.1 PPG, while allowing 74. Jordan Allen is averaging 14 points and 2.9 boards. Rider though won’t be taking anything for granted here as it’s lost three of its last four road games. The Cougars are averaging 83.5 PPG and they’re allowing 75. Robert Franks leads the nightly charge with 24.4 PPG. The Cougars are tough at home and they come in having won eight their last 12 in friendly confines. With the visitors desperate for a victory and not wanting to turn this into a “track meet” with the home side, I think from a situational stand point that it sets up perfectly for a lower-scoring “under.” 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well though, but Rider has seen the total go “under” the number in eight of its last ten after failing to cover three of its last four ATS, while WSU has seen the total go “under” in ten of its last 15 after allowing 85 points or more in its previous contest. This number is high, play the “under.” 

10* play.

The set-up: This total has dropped since opening and I think the value has definitely now swung to the over. Two teams which hate each other collide on Monday night and I’m expecting more of a wide open offensive affair than a lower-scoring battle. The Saints are 11-2 and are now in top spot in the NFC after LA lost to the Bears last week. New Orleans owns the tie-breaker against the Rams and with a chance to further cement, I expect veteran Drew Brees to be “on point” tonight. And as one of 6-7 teams, Carolina is only one-half game back of the Vikings for the second wild-card berth, so the home side still has everything to play for here as well. From a “situational” stand point, there’s no question that this one sets up a shootout.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but New Orleans has seen the total go “over” the number in ten of its last 13 when the total in the contest is set between 42.5 and 50 points, while Carolina has seen the total go “over” in seven of its last ten as an underdog in the 3.5 to 9.5 points range. This number is a low, play the “over.” 

10*

The set-up: Clearly the Thunder are the better team and I’m not going to try and convince you otherwise. I simply feel that the high-powered home side will get caught classically looking past its lowly non-conference opponent this evening. The Bulls come in with confidence as well after a big 98-93 road win in San Antonio on Saturday. The Thunder on the other hand look poised for a letdown here in my opinion after their 110-104 home win over the Clippers. Chicago will also be playing with confidence that it has in fact already beaten OKC this year, 114-112 at home back on December 7. From a situational stand point, I think it sets up as more of a competitive affair than what this spread would suggest. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Chicago is 7-4 ATS in its last 11 non-conference games while OKC is just 8-17 ATS in its last 25 in trying to revenge a SU loss vs. an opponent as a road favorite. Grab the points.

10* play

The set-up: Both teams come in with identical 6-4 records. Ball State comes in off an 89-77 loss to Evansville. Tahjal Teague had 17 points and eight boards in a losing cause. Valpo on the other hand comes in off a win over George Washington most recently. Bakari Evelyn had 27 points and four assists in the victory. From a situational stand point, I definitely think this one favors the more confident home side.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well though, but Ball State is just 1-9 ATS in its last ten following a SU losses, while the Crusaders are still 12-7 ATS in their last 19 vs. good offensive teams which score 77 plus points per contest. Play on Valpo.

8* play

The set-up: I don’t think that that home ice advantage can be overlooked as a deciding factor in this matchup. The Ducks have been red hot, but after winning three straight and ten of 12, including a 2-1 OT win over Columbus last time out, I think they’ll finally have a letdown here in this difficult road venue. The Pens have been consistently inconsistent all year, but they come in off back-to-back victories, including a tough 4-3 OT home win over the Kings in their most recent. 

The pick: The Ducks have had a hell of a time whenever they’ve come to Pittsburgh of late, going just 2-8 in their last ten in the Steel City. Pittsburgh is 4-0 in its last four at home and 17-5 in its last 22 vs. the Western Conference. This one has home side blowout written all over it. Lay the price.

10* play

The set-up: Nick Foles is back under center for the Eagles and with nothing to lose except another game, I like the defending champs to give the Rams everything they can handle this weekend. Philly lost 29-23 in OT to Dallas last weekend, while the Rams look very susceptible after their poor 15-6 road loss in Chicago. The Eagles only average 21.6 PPG, but they make up for it on the other end by allowing 22.7. The Rams average 32.7 PPG, but they allow 24.1. 

The pick: After their red hot start, the Rams appear to be running out of gas. Especially RB Todd Gurley. With the offense becoming more one-dimensional than ever, LA could struggle to post the same offensive efficiency down the stretch. Take it for what you will as well, but the Eagles are still 4-2 ATS in their last six on the road. I’m grabbing all those points!

10* play

The set-up: The Sharks come in on top form with three straight wins and I look for the high-powered visiting side to carry that momentum over here. The Hawks come in on the other end of the spectrum, having lost nine of their last ten after a disheartening OT loss to Winnipeg on Friday. The Sharks have regrouped after a ho-hum start, anchored by improved defensively play, going 5-0-1 in their last six and surrendering just 12 goals in that span. 

The pick: Note as well that Chicago is just 1-4 in its last five at home and a terrible 15-41 in its last 56 vs. teams with winning records, while San Jose is 38-17 in its last 55 vs. teams with losing records. I’m laying the price and expecting a blowout.

10* play

The set-up: This one is simple for me, it comes down to motivation. The Hawks missed the playoffs last year, but with a win today they’ll punch their ticket back to the promised land. Seattle comes in on top form with four straight wins. Seattle’s defense is back in top form as evidenced by last Monday’s 21-7 home win over the Vikes, holding Minnesota to just 276 total yards. The 49ers look poised for a letdown here after their upset 20-14 win over the Broncos last weekend. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but San Fran is just 1-7 ATS in its last eight home games as an underdog in the 3.5 to ten points range, while Seattle is a solid 3-1-1 ATS in its last five as a road favorite. For all the reasons listed above, lay the points.

8* play

The set-up: Central Arkansas is 4-5 and it’s lost five straight on the road. New Mexico is just 4-4 and it’ll be just as hungry for a victory here. Two hungry teams collide and in my opinion, this one sets up as more of a defensive affair than a high-scoring shootout. Central Arkansas was most recently destroyed 68-55 by Missouri. Eddy Kayouloud was Central Arkansas’ high scorer with 19 points on 7-for-13 shooting. New Mexico comes in off an 87-84 win over the lowly CSUN Matadors. 

The pick: The Lobos have been decent offensively, but I think they’ll have their hands full today with a Bears team desperate to reverse its fortunes on the road. Take it for what you will as well, but Central Arkansas has seen the total go “under” the number in seven of its last nine following a four games or more road losing streak. This number is high, play the “under.” 

10* play

The set-up: I like the Bears to take care of business at home today. The Packers kept their slim playoff hopes alive with a 34-20 win over hapless Atlanta last weekend, while Chicago enters off a hard-fought and impressive 15-6 home win over the high-flying Rams. If LA couldn’t move the ball last week, I have a hard time seeing Aaron Rodgers and his patchwork unit posting much production either. Overall the Packers average 24.2 PPG and they allow 23.6. The Bears are averaging 27.6 PPG and they’re allowing just 19. That ranks third in the league. The Packers are simply too one-dimensional to fool this talented Bears defense. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Green Bay is already only 1-3 ATS this year as a road underdog, while Chicago is a perfect 5-0 ATS at home as a favorite. With a chance to end the Packers’ season, look for the home side to lay the hammer down. Lay the points.

10* play

The set-up: If these two teams could be given a “do over” for the 2018/19 season, clearly each of them would take it. These clubs have struggled at times to put points on the board, but I think the overall conditions point to more of a “shootout” in this one finally. Washington comes in off a humbling 40-16 loss to the Giants and it’ll be eager to reverse its fortunes here. Josh Johnson is the QB in Washington now as he took over for Mark Sanchez last weekend and threw for 200 yards and a TD. The Jags are just 4-9 and while they were blown out by Tennessee last weekend, QB Cody Kessler was a bright spot with 250 yards and a TD.

The pick: Both teams will be opening up the playbook, so from a situational stand point, this one definitely sets up as a high-scoring game in my opinion. Take it for what you will as well, but the Skins have seen the total go “over” the number in eight of their last 12 as a road underdog, while the Jags have seen the total go “over” in seven of its last 11 non-conference games. This number is low, play the “over.” 

8* play

The set-up: Southhampton is tied for last in the Premier League 2017-18 table with 9 pts so far. While "The Gooners" are tied for 4th in the table with 34 pts. 

The pick: While Arsenal is looking to get in the top 4 this year and with Mesut Ozil is expected to return to the pitch on Sunday (for Arsenal) Southampton's chances aren't looking to good. With The Saints struggling with consistency yet again this year, look for The Gooners to take advantage early in this one. Take Arsenal!

8*

The set-up: I think that from a situational stand point, this one sets up great for an outright upset victory for the hungry Clippers. Oklahoma City looks ripe for the picking here after its 109-98 loss in Denver just last night. The Clippers are averaging 110.4 points per 100 possessions, while allowing 109.6 per 100 possessions. The Thunder lead the league in most defensive categories, but the unit looked “gassed” last night and I think it’ll struggle here in the second game of the back-to-back scenario.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but the Clippers are 5-1 ATS in their last six in revenging a loss vs. an opponent in which it scored 110 or more points in, while the Thunder are still only 40-47 ATS in their last 87 vs. good offensive teams which score 106 plus points per contest. Grab the points.

10* play

The set-up: Granted Cleveland’s looked a lot better this year, but it has nothing to play for whatsoever and with an extremely satisfying 26-20 home win over Carolina last weekend, I do indeed believe this sets up as a classic letdown spot for Cleveland. The Browns average only 22.5 PPG, while allowing 25.5. Denver had won three in a row before a lacklustre 20-14 loss at San Francisco last weekend. But overall the Broncos average 22.3 PPG, while allowing just 21.7.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Cleveland is still only 2-5 ATS in its last seven as a road underdog of seven points or less, while never is 3-1 ATS in its last four after a loss by six points or less. “Home cooking” is the difference here. Lay the points.

10*

The set-up: The Celtics come in off a relatively simple 129-108 win over the Hawks at home last night and I think that Boston will carry that offensive momentum over here as well. The Pistons could care less about the C’s eight-game win streak, as they come in desperate for a win here after six straight losses, most recently falling 108-107 at Charlotte on Wednesday. The Pistons also play with revenge tonight after falling 108-105 in Boston on Oct. 30th. The Celtics average 111.1 PPG and they allow 103.6. Detroit averages 109 PPG and it allows 110.2. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Boston has seen the total go “over” the number in eight of its last 11 in the second game of a back-to-back after winning the first and scoring over 120 points in doing so, while Detroit has seen the total go “over” in seven of its last nine home games in trying to revenge a close road loss to an opponent of three points or less. This number is low, play the “over.” 

8* play

The set-up: I think the Ducks will stumble in this difficult road venue and off back-to-back wins. Most recently Anaheim bested Dallas 6-3. Ducks’ goaltender John Gibson is now 13-9-4 on the year. Columbus enters off a 4-1 win over the Kings. Sergei Bobrovsky was sharp in the victory, stopping 29 of 30 shots. 

The pick: I think home ice can’t be overlooked here. The Ducks have been great, but note that they’re still only 27-30 (-8.2 units) in their last 57 after a win by two goals or more, while Columbus is already 6-3 (+2.3 units) this season vs. teams with winning records. Lay the price.

8* play

The set-up: Arizona State closed the year strong under new head coach Herm Edwards, but I think the Sun Devils will struggle to keep pace with the Bulldogs. Fresno State was 11-2 overall, while ASU was 7-5. Arizona State has a couple of big time playmakers in QB’ Manny Wilkins and RB Eno Benjamin, but it lacks depth on the offensive side. Fresno State QB Marcus McMaryion is a difference maker here. McMaryion finished by completing 70 percent of his passes to go along with a sharp 25/3 TD:INT. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but ASU is only 4-5 ATS in its last nine non-conference games and just 4-5 ATS in its last nine after scoring and allowing 30 points or more in its last game, while Fresno State is 6-1 ATS in its last seven after allowing 17 points or less in two straight games. Lay the points, expect a rout.

8* play

The set-up: Tulane was 6-6 and UL Lafayette finished 7-6. The Ragin Cajuns lost 30-19 to App State in the Sun Belt title game, but I think Lafayette will keep this one close. These teams played in 2016 and the Green Wave came from behind to post the 41-39 OT win. The Green Wave though average just 25.7 PPG. Tulane struggles against the pass defensively as well, allowing 265.2 YPG. UL Lafayette QB Andre Nunez has 2,136 passing yards and a 64.4 percent completion percentage. Overall Lafayette allows 33.7 PPG, but the unit catches a big break here facing the Green Wave’s impotent offensive attack. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but UL Lafayette is 4-0 ATS in its last four after a SU loss and 4-1 ATS in its last five bowl games, while Tulane is just 2-6 ATS in its last eight after two or more weeks of rest. Grab the points.

10* play

I think this one has defensive battle written all over it. Southeast Missouri State will be eager to get back into the winners circle here after falling to 5-5 with an 83-73 defeat to Southern Illinois in their latest action. Ledarrius Brewer of the Redhawks would lead the way with 17 points and four boards. The Citadel comes in having won five straight after crushing sub-division Johnson and Wales 127-93 last time out. But with the step up in the level of competition this week, I think the Bulldogs offense comes back down to Earth tonight.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but SE Missouri State has seen the total go under the number in seven of its last nine road games after a loss in which it gave up 82 or more points in, while The Citadel has seen the total go “under” in six of its last eight after scoring 125 points or more in a win in its latest outing. This number is a little high, play the “under.” 

 10* play

The set-up: FAU comes in off a 68-64 win over Mercer to improve to 72. The Owls average 77.8 PPG and they allow 68.4. Jailyn Ingram averages 19.7 ppg, 8.0 rpg, 2.0 apg. Arkansas State comes in hungry after falling 72-56 to Minnesota this past Saturday. Overall the Red Wolves are averaging 74.9 PPG and allowing 79.1, but a lot of that has to do with the level of competition in the early going in my opinion. Ty Cockfield averages 21.3 ppg, 3.9 rpg, 3.0 apg, 1.1 spg. I think home court will prove to be big here.

The pick: The Red Wolves are the “hungrier” team. Take it for what you will as well, but FAU is just 2-6 ATS in its last eight after holding its previous opponent to 65 points or less, while Arkansas State is 7-2 ATS in its last nine after failing to score 58 or more points in its previous outing. Play on Arkansas State.

10*

The set-up: The Knicks are not a very good team, but they’ll be eager to get back into the winners circle here after a 113-106 road loss at Cleveland last time out. New York also plays with revenge here after falling 119-107 in the first matchup in this series at home just this past weekend. The Hornets on the other hand broke a three-game slide with a tough 108-107 win at home over Detroit on Wednesday. The Knicks come in averaging 108.3 PPG and allowing 114.9. Enes Kanter averages 15 points and 11.5 boards per night. The Hornets average 113.9 PPG an they allow 110.7. Kemba Walker averages 26 points and 6.3 dimes per contest. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but New York has seen the total go “under” the number in four of its last five off an upset loss as a road favorite, while Charlotte has seen the total go “under” in three of four already this season as a home favorite in the 6.5 to 12 points range. This number is high, play the “under.” 

10*

The set-up: These are two hungry teams, but I think that the home side is “hungrier.” The Bruins are 17-10-4 this year, while the Pens are just 13-11-6. The Bruins come in off a 4-3 win over the Coyotes on Tuesday. The Pens on the other hand come in desperate after a lacklustre 6-3 loss at Chicago on Wednesday. 

The pick: The Bruins have the better record, but note that they’re just 13-16 (-9.1 units) in their last 29 following a three game unbeaten streak, while Pittsburgh is 11-6 (+2.5 units) in its last 17 after playing three straight road games. Great price on the desperate home side.

10*

The set-up: The Eastern Washington Eagles are just 1-6 and the San Francisco Dons are 8-1. Clearly this is a major mismatch, but I think the home side is going to get caught looking past its lowly opponent, leaving the back door open just wide enough for the Eagles to sneak in through. Eastern Washington has lost three straight, most recently a 74-67 setback to NDSU, led by 25 points from Jacob Davidson. Overall the Eagles average 62.9 PPG. The Dons average 80.2 PPG and they come in off a very satisfying 79-60 win over the Cal Golden Bears. Can anyone say letdown spot? From a situational stand point, I think it sets up great for the underdog.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but the Eagles are 6-2 ATS in their last eight after two or more straight road losses, while the Dons are just 12-16 ATS in their last 28 as a home favorite of pick.

10* play

The set-up: The Rockets won 124-115 in LA back on October 20th and I’m expecting another high-scoring shootout this time around as well. Since then though, these teams have essentially moving in opposite directions, with the Lakers slowly improving on both ends of the court, while Houston has struggled for the most part to re-gain its form from season’s past. Both teams come in off victories though (Lakers won 108-105 over the Heat, while Houston snapped a losing streak with a convincing 111-104 win over Portland). LA plays with revenge and will be pushing the pace. Houston will be out to build off its recent victory. From a situational stand point, I definitely think this one sets up as a high-scoring affair.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but LA has seen the total go “over” the number in seven of its last nine in trying to revenge a home loss vs. an opponent in which it allowed 120 or more points in. This number is a little low, play the “over.”

10* play

The set-up: Both teams have been better than they were last year, especially Buffalo. The Coyotes are 13-16 in the early going, while the Sabres are 18-13. Arizona comes to town off a 4-3 loss in Boston, while Buffalo comes in off a 4-3 OT home win over the Kings. Buffalo smashed Arizona 3-0 earlier in the year and I think it’ll find a way to get the job done here as well. Arizona averages only 2.59 GPG, making up for it on the defensive end of the ice by allowing 2.76. Buffalo average 2.97 GPG and it allows 2.94. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Arizona is just 34-80 in its last 114 on the road, while Buffalo is 5-1 in its last six when playing on one days rest. This one has blowout written all over it, lay the price.

10* play

The set-up: Two hungry teams collide on Wednesday night and I think points will be at a premium. Portland State is 5-3 and BYU is 7-4. In the Vikings most recent win over Portland, Holland Woods posted 27 points and six assists in the eventual 87-78 win over the Pilots. BYU comes in off a hard-fought win over Utah, led by 31 points and 11 boards from Yoeli Childs. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Portland State has seen the total go “under” the number in both of its “true” road games this year, while BYU has seen the total go “under” in 15 of its last 24 after a win by 15 points or more. This number is a little high, play the “under.” 

10*

The set-up: Clearly the Mavs are the better team, but I think the home side gets caught looking past its lowly non-conference opponent tonight. The Hawks come in with plenty of momentum as well, as they broke a four-game slide with a 106-98 win over the Nuggets on Saturday. John Collins had 30 points and 12 boards in the win. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Atlanta is already 5-2 ATS this year after playing two straight at home and 4-1 ATS after scoring 105 points or more in three straight games, while Dallas is just 1-3 ATS this year in trying to revenge an in-season loss to an opponent. No outright, but closer than expected. Grab the points.

10*

The set-up: The Flyers are hungry clearly, but they’ve been downright terrible this season, especially on the road. The Flames are 19-12 and they’ve been one of the best teams in the league at home. In all honesty, I think this line could in fact be a lot larger. Philly has lost seven of eight. The Flyers average 3.04 GPG and they allow 3.61. The Flames average 3.45 GPG and they allow 2.71. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but the Flyers are just 3-10 in their last 13 when playing on one days rest, while the Flames are 6-2 in their last eight after allowing two goals or less in their previous contest. Play on Calgary.

8

The set-up: Two teams hungry for victories collide on Wednesday night and in my opinion, this one has defensive battle written all over it. The Pistons are 13-12, but they come in having lost five straight. Most recently the Pistons fell 116-102 in Philadelphia. The Hornets broke a two-game slide with a 119-108 victory against the Knicks most recently. Overall Detroit is averaging 109.1 PPG and allowing 110.3, while Charlotte is averaging 114.2 PPG and allowing 110.8.

The pick: Take it for what you will though, but Detroit has seen the total go “under” the number in seven of 12 as an underdog this year and in both games that it’s played in revenging a SU loss vs. an opponent as a favorite, while Charlotte has seen the total go “under” in six of nine already this year after scoring 115 points or more in its previous contest. This number is a little high, play the “under.”

The set-up: Colorado’s been rolling (7-1 overall and five straight wins) and because of that, I believe it’ll get caught looking past its lowly non-conference opponent today. The Lobos are 4-3 and they’ll be focused and eager to get back on track after back-to-back setbacks at the hands of New Mexico State and St. Mary’s. 

The pick: Colorado is about to being a stretch of six straight games on the road and note that the Buffs are just 9-26 on the road the last three seasons. Take it for what you will as well, but the Buffs are just 2-6 ATS in their last eight as a road favorite or pick. Grab the points.

10* play

The set-up: From a situational stand point, this one sets up great as a higher-scoring shootout in my opinion. And I base that mostly on the fact in that I believe Houston is going to be pushing the pace of this contest from start to finish. The Rockets play with revenge here after falling 104-85 in the first meeting. The Rockets come in off a 107-104 road loss in Dallas, their third straight setback and seventh in their last nine games. Clearly Houston is out to “right the ship” tonight. Portland won’t be going down without a fight though as it comes in with plenty of momentum with back-to-back victories. As mentioned off the top, from a situational stand point it sets up great as a shootout.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well though, but Portland has seen the total go “over” the number in seven of its last nine Western Conference road games following a two games or more unbeaten streak, while Houston has seen the total go “over” in seven of its last nine home games in trying to revenge a blowout in-season loss to an opponent of 15 points or greater. This number is low, play the “over.” 

10* play

The set-up: Toronto is 20-10, while Carolina is 13-15. The Leafs will be eager to return to form here after a 6-3 home loss to Boston. Carolina on the other hand looks primed for a predictable letdown here in my opinion after its 4-1 road in Anaheim in its most recent action. Toronto plays with revenge here as well after falling 5-2 in the first meeting this year. The Leafs average 3.63 GPG and they allow 2.80. Carolina averages only 2.50 GPG, while allowing 2.71. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Carolina is just 2-5 in its last seven vs. teams with a winning percentage above .600, while Toronto is 37-17 in its last 54 vs. teams with losing records. Great price on the Leafs.

8* play

The set-up: I think the home side is well worth the price of admission in this one. The Coyotes enter off a 5-3 home loss to San Jose, while the Bruins come in off a 2-1 OT win at Ottawa. After a four-game win streak, the Coyotes have now lost back-to-back games and I expect them to flounder here as well in this difficult road venue. The Coyotes average 2.57 GPG and they allow 2.71. The Bruins come in having won two straight. Boston averages 2.67 GPG and it allows 2.53.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but the Bruins are 10-2 in their last 12 home games vs. a team with a winning road record, while Arizona is just 19-40 in its last 59 road games vs. a team with a home winning percentage above .600. Lay the price.

The set-up: Clearly this is a big game for both NFC playoff hopefuls. The Vikes are in rebound mode after falling 24-10 in New England last weekend, while the Hawks are rolling now, most recently destroying the 49ers 43-16. The Vikes average 22.9 PPG and they allow 22.5. Note though that Kirk Cousins has the Vikes’ offense ranked sixth in the league with 276.3 YPG. The Seahawks are averaging 26.6 PPG behind the league’s No. 1 rushing offense. The defense is allowing 21.6 PPG. From a situational stand point, I definitely feel this one sets up as a higher-scoring affair. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Minnesota has seen the total go “over” the number in four of six on the road this year, while Seattle has seen the total go “over” in 11 of its last 16 as a home favorite. This number is low, play the “over.” 

The set-up: Sacramento was a bad team last year and clearly it’s made big strides this season though. The Kings are 13-12, while the once mighty Bulls are just 6-21. Chicago has dealt with injury issues before the season even started though, so expectations going in were low. The Bulls have been getting healthier and they’ve looked better of late and I think they’ll catch this young Kings’ team flat-footed as they finish off their lengthy Eastern swing. From a situational stand point, this one sets up great for the hungry home side.

The pick: Take it for what you as well, but Sacramento is already just 2-4 ATS this season after covering three of its last four against the spread, while Chicago is already 8-5 ATS this season as a home underdog. Grab the points.

10*

The set-up: Pittsburgh is a terrible 12-16, while the Isles are slightly better 14-14, but I still think this one favors the underachieving visitors. The Pens are the “hungrier” side here off a 2-1 OT loss at Ottawa, while the Isles are poised for a letdown after their 3-2 road win in Detroit. So far Pittsburgh is averaging 3.43 GPG and allowing 3.18, while the Isles are averaging 2.89 GPG and allowing 2.89 as well. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but the Isles are just 2-4 in their last six home games following a road victory in which they allowed two goals or less in, while Pittsburgh is 5-1-1 in its last seven after allowing two goals or less in its previous outing. Lay the price.

10*

The set-up: Washington comes to town off a 116-101 road loss to Cleveland, while the Pacers enter off a 107-97 home win over the Kings on Saturday. The Wizards average 112 PPG and they allow 116.7. Bradley Beal had 27 points in the upset loss to the Cavs. Indiana comes in on top form having won three straight. The Pacers average only 106 PPG, ranked 26th overall, but the Pacers make up for it on the other end by allowing only 101.5, which is ranked 1st. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Washington has seen the total go “under” the number in five of seven already this year following a blowout loss by 15 points or more, while Indiana has seen the total go “under” the number in eight of ten as a home favorite this year already. This number is a little high, play the “under.”

8*

The set-up: Morehead State is 3-5 and Marshall is 5-4. Two hungry non-conference sides collide on Monday night and in my opinion, points are going to be at a premium. Morehead State comes in off a blowout of lowly Chillicothe, but it’ll have its hands full with a much more talented Herd side. In the win for the Eagles, Djimon Henson had 23 points, three boards and three assists. Marshall’s struggled against the “better” competition it’s faced and in its most recently loss to Toledo, Jon Elmore was a bright spot with 21 points. From a situational stand point, I think this one sets up great as a lower-scoring defensive battle between these two focused sides.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Morehead State has seen the total go “under” the number in its last two games when playing with seven or more days worth of rest, while Marshall has seen the total go “under” in seven of its last ten after allowing 75 points or more in three straight outings. This number is high, play the “under.” 

10*

The set-up: The Rams posted a tough 30-16 road win in Detroit last weekend they’ll have their hands full again this week on Sunday night at Soldier Field. Chicago is out to atone for a 30-27 OT loss to New York last weekend, so from a situational stand point, I definitely feel this one sets up as more of a lower-scoring defensive battle, where field position and time of possession are key to victory.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but LA has seen the total go “under” the number in four of six on the road already this year, while Chicago has seen the total go “under” in seven of its last ten as a home dog. This number is a little high, play the “under.”

10*

The set-up: The Cards come in off a 20-17 road upset at Green Bay. Both Arizona and Detroit have nothing to play for in this game except for pride, but after their 30-16 home loss to the Rams, I simply feel this one “means more” to the Lions. Overall Detroit is averaging 21.2 PPG and allowing 26.3. The Cardinals are averaging only 14.6 PPG and allowing 25.8.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Arizona is 4-12-2 ATS in in its last 18 following a SU win and 0-4-1 ATS i its last five after posting more than 150 yards in its previous game, while Detroit is 7-1-1 ATS in its last nine vs. teams with losing records and 9-3 ATS in its last 12 following a double-digit loss at home. Lay the points.

8*

The set-up: The Pelicans have dominated this series of late and I think that’ll again be the case here (won three straight in the series, including a 118-103 road win in Detroit last Feb.) While the Pelicans are just 5-8 ATS on the road, they’re a solid 7-6 SU overall. The Pelicans average 118.1 PPG and they allow 115.9. Detroit’s lost three straight and it’s just 6-8 ATS at home this year. The Pistons average 109.4 PPG and they allow 109.8. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but New Orleans is 40-31 ATS in its last 71 after having lost two of its last three games SU, while Detroit is just 1-3 ATS in its last four after allowing 110 points or more in three straight games. Lay the points.

10* play

The set-up: While the outright win isn’t out of the question here, I’m going to lay this very reasonable price for the extra 1.5 goals of insurance. Both teams come in off victories. St. Louis enters off a satisfying 1-0 road win over the Jets, while Vancouver comes in off a 5-3 home win over Nashville. The Canucks average 2.84 GPG and they allow 3.42. St. Louis is averaging 2.85 GPG and it’s allowing 3.22. 

The pick: These two horrible teams are pretty evenly matched, but note that Vancouver is 3-1 (+2.9 units) in its last four after a win by two goals or more, while St. Louis is just 3-4 (-2 units) this season after scoring one goal or less in its previous outing. Play on the Canucks on the puck line.

10* play

The set-up: Ball State is 6-3, while Evansville is 4-4. The Cardinals enter red hot having won five straight, most recently a 75-69 win over Loyola Chicago. Ball State is averaging 81.1 PPG, while Evansville averages 77.8. While these two hungry sides don’t normally have a difficult time scoring, the numbers suggest a competitive defensive battle today.

The pick: As note that Ball State has seen the total go “under” the number in its last two games after scoring 75 points or more in five straight contests, while Evansville has seen the total go “under” in nine of its last 14 vs. good offensive teams which average 77 plus points per contest. This number is high, play the “under.” 

10* play

The set-up: The Colts play with revenge here after falling 37-34 in OT at home to the Texans in Week 4. Houston’s been almost unbeatable since that game, but Andrew Luck and Indianapolis has made great strides this year on both sides of the ball. The Colts were stymied 6-0 last week vs. Jacksonville, but there’s no reason not to think that Luck and company can’t bounce back and return to their normal form. The Texans continue to find ways to win, but I think they’ll have their hands full today vs. a Colts team that will be desperate for an upset and to avenge the earlier setback. These teams are very evenly matched.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Indianapolis is 4-1 ATS in its last five in revenging a home loss vs. an opponent, while Houston is just 1-2 ATS in its last three after two straight SU home victories. Grab the points.

10*

The set-up: Both teams have been hot. Baltimore features the league’s No. 1 defense and the Chiefs have the league’s No. 1 offense. Something has to give on Sunday. While KC didn’t look very good on the defensive side of the ball in last week’s 40-33 win at Oakland, the Chiefs have been a “different” team in front of the home town crowd. The Ravens’ achilles heel has been their offensive play, especially on the road. It’s difficult to win on the road at any time, but after last week’s 26-16 win at Atlanta, a predictable letdown is imminent for the visitors in my opinion.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Baltimore is just 2-4 ATS in its last six as a road dog in the 3.5 to seven points range, while KC is 11-6 ATS in its last 17 as a home favorite of seven points or less. Lay the points.

8*

The set-up: No need to overthink this one. The Kings come in off a very satisfying 129-110 win over the Cavs just last night and I think they’ll stumble in the second game of the back to back on the road. The Pacers also played and won last night (112-90 in Orlando), but clearly home court advantage in the second game of the back-to-back scenario favors Indiana greatly this evening. Note as well that Indiana plays with revenge after falling 111-110 in the first match-up of the season just last week.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Sacramento is still only 10-17 ATS in its last 27 after covering five or six of the last seven ATS, while Indiana is 4-1 ATS in its last five after falling to cover four or five of the last six ATS. Lay the points.

10* play

The set-up: Pittsburgh comes in off a 6-2 win at home over the Isles and I expect it to carry that momentum over here. Ottawa enters off a 5-2 home loss to the Canadiens and I believe it’ll stumble again here in this difficult match-up. Pittsburgh averages 3.52 GPG and it allows 3.22. The Sens average 3.52 GPG, but they allow 4.10.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Pittsburgh is 17-8 in its last 25 after scoring six or more goals in a home win its previous outing, while Ottawa is just 1-4 the last five in this series. Lay the price with confidence.

10* play

The set-up: Navy dominated this match-up for over a decade, but the Army Golden Knights come into this year’s match-up having won two straight. Army is 9-2 in 2018 and enters on top form, having won seven straight. Navy is just 3-9 and it’s gone only 1-8 in its last nine overall. The Midshipmen live for this game though and I’m expecting the underdog to push the pace from start to finish. This is the first time since 2002 that Navy will finish with a losing record, so it’ll have one last shot at redemption here as it looks to play spoiler on Army’s great overall campaign to this point. With both teams pushing the pace, from a situational stand point, there’s no doubt this one sets up as a higher-scoring shootout. 

The pick: Note as well though that Navy has seen the total go “over” the number in three of its last four as a neutral field underdog, while Army has seen the total go “over” in 14 of its last 20 as a favorite. Play the “over.”

10* play

The set-up: If recent history is any precedence, then Liverpool FC has to be liking its chances today, as it’s won four of the last six Premier League matches in this series. That includes a 2-0 sweep last year, with a 7-0 aggregate score. The Cherries ended a run of four straight defeats with a win over Huddersfield mid-week, but a return to mediocrity is in store in my opinion.

The pick: Liverpool can’t be stopped and should/could easily be a much larger fav in this spot. It’s won 39 points out of a possible 45 this year as only six teams in the Premier League era have more points over the first 15 league games. This pick is all about “momentum” and “line value.” Play on Liverpool.

10* play

The set-up: The Thunder are 16-7 overall, while the Bulls are just 5-20. I think the hungry home side though will catch the Thunder complacent and flat footed Thunder team which comes in off an epic come from behind 114-112 win over Brooklyn in their latest action, a game which saw Paul George explode for 47 points and a game winning three-pointer. Can anyone say letdown spot?! The Bulls are terrible, but they’ll be eager to break a seven-game slide, most recently falling 96-90 to Indiana. Lauri Markkanen played will in his second game with 21 points and ten boards.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but OKC is still only 4-5 ATS in its last nine asa  road favorite in the 6.5 to 12 points range, while Chicago is 13-5 ATS in its last 18 as a home dog in the same points range. I think OKC finally has a letdown here and while I’m stopping short in calling for the outright upset, this one has competitive battle written all over it. Grab the points.

Bulls GOM. 

The set-up: Two struggling teams collide in this one and with each pushing the pace, I expect this one to fly “over” the number once it’s all said and done. The Suns fell 122-105 at home to the Kings in their last game, while the Blazers fell 111-102 on the road in Dallas on Tuesday. Phoenix is desperate for a win, so far it’s only 1-11 on the road this year. Phoenix averages 103 PPG and it allows 114. Portland’s lost three in a row and six of its last seven. Overall the Blazers average 112.5 PPG and they allow 111.7. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Phoenix has seen the total go “over” the number in five of its last six after playing two consecutive divisional contests, while Portland has seen the total go “over” in 12 of its last 20 after two or more consecutive road losses. This number is low, play the “over.”

10* play

The set-up: I don’t think that the home ice advantage can be overlooked as a deciding factor in this one. The Wild have struggled on the road, especially against “good” home teams. Which Calgary is. Minnesota is just 2-5 in its last seven in Calgary overall. The Flames come in off a shootout win over the Blue Jackets and they enter having gone 10-1 in their last 11 when playing on one days rest.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Calgary is also 4-1 in its last five at home. This line could easily be a lot larger in my opinion. Play on the Flames.

10* play

The set-up: Jacksonville plays with revenge. It’s also looking to put a nail in the coffin to the Titans season with a victory here. The Jags slowed won the Colts in last week’s 6-0 win. They came up short at home in September vs. the Titans, falling 9-6, but with nothing to lose, I think the visitors will once again keep it competitive this week. The Titans could barely get past the Jets last week at home (26-22) and I think they’ll have their hands full today against this revenge minded and much improved Jags’ defensive unit. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Jacksonville is interestingly 5-1 ATS in its last six in revenging an extremely close loss of three points or less, while Tennessee is just 9-11 ATS in its last 20 as a favorite (including 0-2 ATS this season.) Grab the points.

10* play

The set-up: Iowa State has won eight of the last ten in this series, but I don’t think that the home court advantage can be overlooked as a deciding factor this time around. After four straight wins, including an 81-59 victory over NDSU on Monday, I think Iowa State suffers a letdown here finally. The Cyclones allow only 61.9 PPG, but I think they’ll have their hands full today against a Hawkeyes team desperate to avoid a three-game skid. Iowa has been a beast on the offensive end though, scoring 80.8 PPG. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Iowa is 3-0-1 ATS in its last four following a SU loss by 20 or more points, while Iowa State is just 4-11 ATS in its last 15 on the road. Play on Iowa.

10* play

The set-up: The Hurricanes are spiralling out of control right now, entering having lost three of their last four. Carolina is averaging 2.5 GPG and allowing 2.7. San Jose can empathize though, as it’s lost five of its last seven. The Sharks average 3.00 GPG and they allow 3.1. 

The pick: Take it for what you will though, but Carolina is just 2-5 in its last seven road games and 0-4 in its last four vs. the Pacific, while San Jose is 6-2 in its last eight at home. “Home Cooking” is the difference. Lay the price.

8*

The set-up: It’s the 5-1 TCU Horned Frogs vs. the 6-3 Mustangs and in my opinion, this spread could easily be a lot larger. TCU has gotten healthier over the last two weeks, with the return of forward Kouat Noi and guard Jaylen Fisher. “[Fisher has] made our offense better without shooting at a high, high percentage,” head coach Jamie Dixon noted. “He has a real good understanding of where other guys on the floor are at. He’s one of our best guys at playing without the ball. His cuts and his movement, that’s what makes us better with him.” SMU has won four straight, but the level of competition gets called into question, most recently a 79-67 win over Oral Roberts.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but SMU is just 3-7 ATS in its last ten at home and only 6-19-1 ATS in its last 26 vs. teams with winning records, while TCU is a solid 4-0-1 ATS in its last five following an ATS win. Play on TCU.

10*

The set-up: I don’t think that the home court advantage can be overlooked as a very real deciding factor in this match-up. The Clippers posted a 129-126 win over New Orleans on Monday, while the Grizzlies will be the “hungrier” team here after falling 103-95 in Philadelphia in their latest action. Note that this is a revenge game as well after the Clippers posted the 112-107 OT him win earlier in the year. LA is primed for a letdown here at the end of its tough four game road trip. Memphis on the other hand comes in focused and desperate after losing four of its last five.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but LA is just 3-5 ATS already this season as a road dog of six points or less, while Memphis is 6-1 ATS as a home favorite. Play on the Grizzlies.

10*

The set-up: I’m expecting a wide-open affair between these two hungry non-conference opponents. The Magic come in off a confidence building win in Miami just last night and there’s no reason not to think that the young and healthy home side can’t carry that momentum over here as well. The Nuggets are rolling as well, 16-7 on the year and off an impressive 106-103 road win in Toronto. Orlando won’t be rolling over here either as it plays with revenge after a 112-87 loss in Denver on November 23rd. The Nuggets average 110.2 PPG and they allow 102.7. The Magic average 105.8 PPG and they allow 108.1. 

The pick: Take it for what you will though, but Denver has seen the total go “over” the number in 15 of its last 22 after successfully covering the spread in three straight games, while Orlando has seen the total go “over” in three of four already this year in trying to revenge a blowout loss of 20 points or more vs. an opponent. This number is low, play the “over.”

8*

The set-up: If you wager on the NHL, then there needs to be no break down of this one. This is a rematch of last year’s NHL finals. The Knights won Game 1, but then the Capitals would roll to four straight victories. Washington took the first game between the clubs this year 5-3 at home and I’m expecting a similar high-scoring, wide open affair here as well. Washington averages 3.6 GPG and it allows 3.2. Vegas averages 2.9 GPG and it allows 2.8. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Las Vegas has seen the total go “over” the number in seven of its last nine in trying to revenge a road loss vs. an opponent in which it gave up five or more goals in. This number is low, play the “over.” 

10*

The set-up: This is a battle of the SEC for the Big 12 in the Jimmy V Classic and while these teams are very adept defensively, I think this one will sneak “over” the number once the final horn sounds. The Gators come in off a 98-66 beatdown of North Florida, while WVU enters on top form having won four straight. Florida averages 71.7 PPG and it allows 62.4. WVU averages 86.4 PPG and it allows 75.9. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but WVU has seen the total go “over” the number in its last four vs. the SEC and in four of its last five neutral court games when the total is set between 140 to 144.5, while Florida has seen the total go “over” in seven of its last 11 after a cover as a double digit favorite. Play the the “over.” 

10*

The set-up: The Kings are 11-11 and the Suns are 4-19. The Kings enter off a satisfying 111-110 home win over Indiana and I think they’re primed for a letdown here. The Suns won’t be lacking any motivation obviously after the terrible start to the year, most recently a 120-96 setback at the Lakers on Sunday. Phoenix took three of four in this series last year and I think it’ll keep it competitive here as well. The Kings average 114.3 PPG and they allow 117.1. The Suns average 103 PPG and they allow 113.7. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Sacramento is just 2-6 ATS in its last eight off a close home win by three points or less, while Phoenix is 14-7 ATS in its last 21 after falling to cover in six or seven of its last eight ATS. Grab the points.

10*

he set-up: After their 3-2 road win in Chicago, I think the Flames take a step back here. The Jackets on the other hand come in as the hungrier team after a 3-2 road loss to the Islanders. Calgary averages 3.37 GPG and they allow 2.78. Columbus averages 3.46 GPG and it allows 3.15. 

The pick: Take it for what you will though, but Columbus is 8-2 in its last ten when playing on two days rest and 7-2 in its last nine vs. teams with a winning records, while Calgary is still just 2-11 in its last 13 road games vs. teams with a winning home record. Great price on the home side.

8*

The set-up: Neither team can rest on its laurels. The Oilers are a disappointing 13-13 so far, while the Stars are a poor 14-13. Both teams come in off lower-scoring 2-1 victories, but I believe we’ll see a much more wide open affair here. The Stars play with revenge here after falling 1-0 in OT in Edmonton in the first matchup this year. Edmonton averages 2.69 GPG and it allows 3.04. Dallas averages 2.74 GPG and it allows 2.63. 

The pick: Take it for what you will though, but Edmonton has seen the total go “over” the number in six of its last nine vs. teams with winning records, while Dallas has seen the total go “over” in five of seven home games this year when the total is set at 5.5. This number is low, play the “over.” 

10*

The set-up: This is a big game for both teams. The winner of this divisional contest will remain on the fringes of the wild card spot, while the other will officially be eliminated from contention. With so much on the line, I’m expecting each side to open up the playbook The Redskins lost starting QB Alex Smith to injury and Colt McCoy was unable to to lead Washington to a win on Thanksgiving Day, eventually falling 31-23 to the Cowboys. Philadelphia’s stagnant offense will have its opportunities today against a Redskins unit which allowed Dallas to score three of its four TD’s by covering at least 16 yards. The Eagles kept their slim hopes alive in last week’s come from behind 25-22 win over the Giants and I think they carry that confidence and momentum over here.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Washington has seen the total go “over” the numb run eight of its last 11 as a road underdog, while Philadelphia has seen the total go “over” in ten of its last 15 vs. the division. This number is low, play the “over.”

 10* play

The set-up: Both teams played last night, meaning that the home court advantage can’t be overlooked as a very real deciding factor in this particular matchup. The Clippers come in off a loss to Dallas and they look ripe for the picking. The Pelicans enter off a 119-110 win in Charlotte and there’s no reason not to think that they won’t be able to carry that momentum over here as well. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but the Clippers are already just 2-5 ATS this year as a road dog of six points or less, while New Orleans is 6-4 ATS as a home favorite and interestingly 3-1 ATS vs. the Pacific division. Lay the points.

10*

The set-up: Two hungry Western Conference opponents collide on Monday night and in my opinion, points will be plentiful. Neither team can be happy with its record (Rockets 11-11, Wolves 11-12). The Rockets average 112.2 PPG and they allow 111.8. The Wolves average 107.9 PPG, while allowing 108.9. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Houston has seen the total go over the number in four of five already this year in a road contest when the total is greater than or equal to 220, while Minnesota has seen the total go over 13 of its last 21 home games when the total is greater than or equal to 220. This number is low, play the “over.”

8*

The set-up: These teams are very evenly matched. The Steelers missed RB LeVeon Bell last week and they’re going to again today as well. After winning three straight, the Steelers came up short in Denver last weekend. LA though enters off a blowout win over the Cardinals and I don’t think there’s any reason not to think that veteran pivot Phillip Rivers can’t carry that momentum over here facing this Steelers unit which struggled last weekend. 

The pick: Note as well that LA is 4-1 ATS in its last five on the road and 3-1 ATS in its last four following a two game home stand, while Pittsburgh is just 3-4 ATS as a favorite this season. Grab the points and expect a “nail biter.” 

The set-up: The 5-2 Washington Huskies aren’t going to take the 6-1 UC Santa Barbara Gauchos for granted here. And that’s because the Gauchos have won five straight, most recently crushing Sacramento State 75-58 on Thursday. But the Huskies are the deeper and more skilled team from the Power Conference and I look for them to lay the hammer down here. Washington bounced back a two-point loss to Minnesota to destroy Eastern Washington 83-59 on Tuesday.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but UCSB is just 1-3 ATS in its last four after cover four of its last five ATS, while Washington is 4-1 ATS in its last five after covering as a double digit favorite. Lay the points.

10* play

The set-up: The 15-6-5 Colorado Avalanche are in Detroit to take on the 12-11-3 Wings and I think the visitors will lay the hammer down here. The Avs have won seven of their last nine games. Colorado averages 3.7 GPG and it allows 2.8. Note that the Avs have now given up three or less goals in each of their last ten. The Wings are averaging only 2.8 GPG, while allowing 3.2. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Colorado is already 8-4 (+3.7 units) this season in non-conference games, while Detroit is just 5-9 (-2.5 units) vs. teams with winning records. Lay the price.

8*

The set-up: From a situational and also from a trend based stand point, I think this one sets up great as more of a defensive contest. Utah’s won two straight on the road, including a 119-111 road win at Charlotte on Friday. The Jazz average 105.9 PPG and they allow 108.2. The Heat average 108.5 PPG and they allow 110 PPG. Two hot teams collide and I think this one has defensive battle written all over it.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Utah has seen the total go “under” the number in 14 of its last 23 off an upset win as an underdog, while Miami has seen the total go “under” in nine of its last ten off an upset win as a home underdog. This number is high, play the “under.” 

The set-up: The Vikes remain in the NFC playoff picture after last weeks win over the Packers. Kirk Cousins had a big game with 342 passing yards, three TD’s and no INT’s. I think the veteran carries that momentum over here. Overall the Vikes are averaging 24.1 points and allowing 22.1. New England is averaging 27.9 PPG and it’s allowing 22.6. The Pats are getting healthier and I think they’ll put the foot on the gas from start to finish.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Minnesota has seen the total go “over” the total in four of five on the road already this year, while the Patriots have seen the total go “over” in 13 of its last 17 vs. teams with winning records. This number is low, play the “over.” 

The set-up: Both teams have shown hot overall form of late and I think that gets carried over here. The Ducks have won five of their last six, most recently a 2-1 OT win over Carolina on Friday. The Capitals though have been even hotter, having won seven straight, most recently a 6-3 blowout victory over the Devils. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Anaheim has seen the total go “over” in three of its last four after playing to three or more consecutive “unders,” while Washington has seen the total go “over” in seven of its last ten after scoring four or more goals in its previous game. This number is low, play the “over.” 

10*

The set-up: This game means more to Atlanta. The Falcons are 4-7 and they’ll need to run the table for a chance at a Wild card spot. The Ravens need wins as well, but at 6-5 it’s a little less urgent. Baltimore comes in off a 34-17 home win over Oakland on Sunday, but QB Lamar Jackson looked pretty pedestrian by going 14 of 25 for 178 yards and two first half INT’s. The Ravens have the best defense in the league as far as yards conceded, but Falcons’ QB Matt Ryan won’t be going down without a fight today. He has 3,683 passing yards with 24 TD’s and only five INT’s. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Baltimore is just 2-3 ATS in its last five on the road, while ATL is 5-1 ATS in its last six off a road loss. Home cooking is the difference here, play on the Falcons.

The set-up: The Broncos can smell the blood in the water, as the Bengals move forward without starting QB Andy Dalton. These two teams are moving in opposite directions anyways, with Denver having won two straight and Cincinnati having dropped three straight. From a situational stand point, there’s no doubt this one sets up fantastic for the visitors.

The pick: But take it for what you will as well that the Bengals are 1-5 ATS in their last six following a SU loss of more than 14 points, while the road team is 7-1 ATS in the last eight in this series. Look for the visitors to take full advantage of the “rudder-less” home side. 

The set-up: These two teams are very familiar with each other. Last year Boise State won this exact game vs. this exact opponent 17-14 and I believe we’ll see a much bigger final discrepancy this time around. Fresno State comes in at 10-2 after last week’s 31-13 win over San Jon Jose State. Fresno State averages 36.3 PPG and it allows 13.5. Boise State comes in on top form, having won seven straight, most recently a 33-24 win over No. 21 ranked Utah State last weekend to advance to the Championship game. Overall the Broncos are averaging 37 PPG and allowing 22.3. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Boise State is already 4-2 ATS at home this year. These teams actually played at Albertsons Stadium earlier this season and the Broncos came out on top 24-17. This is a horrible match-up for Fresno State and I think that trend continues. Lay the points.

10* play

The set-up: I think these two non-conference opponents will push the pace from start to finish. Boston enters off a 128-95 win over the Cavs last night, while the Wolves enter refreshed after most recently destroying the Spurs 128-89 on Wednesday. Note that when these teams played here on March 8th last year, Boston left with the 117-109 road victory. Boston is averaging 108.1 PPG, while allowing 103.9. Minnesota is averaging 109.9 PPG and it’s allowing 110.2. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Boston has seen the total go “over” the number in seven of its last nine following a win by 20 points or more, while Minnesota has seen the total go “over” in eight of its last 12 home games following a victory by 20 or more points. This one has high-scoring “shootout” written all over it.

The set-up: The Warriors come in off a 131-128 road loss in Toronto, a setback which saw star Kevin Durant score 51 points. Golden State has been struggling without Stephen Curry in the line-up, but the proficient point guard makes his triumphant return to the Association this evening and I believe he’ll make all the difference. The Pistons present the perfect opponent to get back on track against and test themselves as Detroit comes in having won four straight. Level of competition though has to be taken into account during the Pistons recent mini-run, most recently a victory over the lowly Bulls. Golden State averages 116.5 PPG and it allows 111.5. Detroit averages 111.8 PPG and it allows 110.7. Clearly the margin for error is pretty slim for the Pistons most nights.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Golden State is 5-1 ATS in its last six games after allowing more than 125 points in its previous outing, while Detroit is 2-5 ATS in its last seven non-conference home games as an underdog in the +3.5 to +7.5 points range. “The Chef” returns and the defending champs return to form. Lay the points.

10*

The set-up: Winnipeg catches a New Jersey team off an exhausting 6-3 loss in Pittsburgh just last night. The Jets are averaging 3.5 GPG and they’re allowing 2.9. Winnipeg enters on top form, having scored at least four goals in each of its last five games. New Jersey has now given up at least four goals in five of its last six games. 

The pick: The Devils are just 2-8 in their last ten in the second game of a back-to-back as well. This one has has “blowout” written all over it.

The set-up: It’s the AAC Championship between Memphis and UCF. The Tigers finished 8-4 overall, while the Knights come in at 11-0. UCF may be without its starting QB McKenzie Milton, but I think that Darriel Mack Jr. is “the next man up,” and will fill in seamlessly. The Tigers will be relying on the legs of RB Darrell Henderson, who had 24 carries for 178 yards and two TD’s in last week’s high-scoring 52-31 win over Houston. 

The pick: Mack is out to prove himself and he will be given the green light to air it out all night long. Memphis will be pushing the pace as well as it tries to pull off the upset. When you add it all up, this one has high-scoring “shootout” written all over it.

8* play

The set-up: K-State enters off a 77-58 home win over Lehigh, while Marquette comes in off a 76-55 home victory over Charleston Southern. K-State is a difficult opponent, as all five starters return from last year. Northwestern averages only 73.0 PPG, but it makes up for it on the defensive end by allowing just 56.3. Those numbers (especially the defensive ones) are a bit “skewed” though in my opinion due to the level of competition to this point. Golden State won’t be going down without a fight, it’s 5-2 to open the year and it averages 75.3 PPG, while allowing 65.4. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but K-State is just 6-15-2 ATS in its last 23 road games following three or more consecutive home games and interestingly just 1-5 ATS in its last six vs. the Big East. The Golden Eagles are 4-0 at home this season. Expect that unbeaten streak to extend. 

10*

The set-up: Its the inaugural Sun Belt Conference title game and a trip to the New Orleans Bowl is at stake. Am I call for an outright upset? I am not. However, I do think the Ragin Cajuns can keep this one a lot more competitive than what this spread would suggest. Louisiana Lafayette won its final three games to earn its spot here, while App State defeated Troy State to advance. Lafayette averages 33.7 PPG. Clearly it’s not going to be a cake walk as the Mountaineers have won four straight since a 34-14 setback to Georgia Southern. App State gets the job done with a strong run, averaging 242.5 YPG, while racking up 27 TDs. 

The pick: Take it for what you will though, but UL Lafayette is 4-1 ATS in its last five on the road and 4-1 ATS in its last five vs. teams with a record above the .500 mark. Both will be looking to establish the run. This one is going to be much tighter than what Las Vegas wants us to think. grab the points.

10* play

The set-up: It’s the PAC 12 Championship and I’m expecting a blowout. The No. 17 Utah Utes face the No. 16 Washington Huskies. The Utes enter off a 35-27 win over BYU, while the Huskies earned a 28-15 road victory over a tough WSU team. The Huskies have dominated this series for a long time, going 11-1 the last 12, including a convincing 21-7 road victory back on September 15th. Utah had to come from behind to beat BYU last weekend and overall it’s averaging 30.8 PPG and allowing 19.2. Washington averages 28 PPG and it allows only 16.5. Veteran QB Jake Browning plays in his final PAC 12 game of his career and I believe his veteran experience in this situation can not be overlooked. The Utes are without RB Zack Moss and QB Tyler Huntley as well.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Utah is just 2-5 ATS in its last seven after two or more SU victories, while Washington is still 5-2 ATS in its last seen as a favorite in the 3.5 to ten points range. Lay the points.

10* play

The set-up: LA is 9-15-1 and it’s averaging 2.2 GPG and allowing 3.1. Jon Quick has allowed 27 goals on 352 shots. Calgary is averaging 3.4 GPG and allowing 2.9. Mike Smith has allowed 43 goals on 367 shots faced. 

The pick: This is the second game of a back-to-back for LA and it’ll be desperate to avoid another loss after a 3-2 loss in Edmonton. Take it for what you will as well, but LA has seen the total go “over” the number in seven of its last nine road games in the second game of a back to back in which it lost the first one and scored two goals or less in the process. This number is low, play the “over.”

10* play

The set-up: Utah enters off a 101-91 road win over Brooklyn on Wednesday and I think it’ll carry that momentum over here. Charlotte took down Atlanta 108-94 at home on Wednesday. These teams split a pair of games last year. The Jazz average 105.3 PPG and they allow 108.1. Big man Rudy Gobert averages 15.3 points, 12.5 boards and 1.95 blocks per game.) The Hornets are averaging 114.9 PPG and they’re allowing 110. Kemba Walker leads the way with 27.4 pints and 6.3 assists per game.

The pick: It’s interesting to note though that Utah is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 vs. the Southeast Division, while Charlotte is just 2-7 ATS in its last nine home games vs. a team with a winning road record. With Donovan Mitchell back in the line-up, the Jazz are an entirely different team. Grab the points.

10* play

The set-up: The Bulls come in off a disheartening 116-113 road loss in Milwaukee on Wednesday and off that “oh-so-close” setback, I believe Chicago has a predictable mental letdown here. The Bulls average 104 PPG and they allow 112.9. The Pistons average 111.8 PPG and they allow 110.7. Detroit’s won three straight coming into this one and I think it’ll look to control the pace of this one in this favorable home matchup.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Chicago has already seen the total go “under” the number in 12 of 16 vs. good offensive teams that score 106 plus points per contest this season, while Detroit has seen the total go “under” in nine of its last 14 after two or more SU wins. This number is high, play the “under.” 

8* play

The set-up: The 4-1 Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks are 4-1 after beating St. Edwards 73-60 on Sunday. Shannon Bogues had 16 points. The Dons are 6-0 and off to their best star ever. Most recently San Francisco beat Dartmouth 84-65 on Saturday. Franke Ferrari had 19 points, four boards and seven assists.

The pick: Take it for what you will though, but SFA is 5-2 ATS in its last seven neutral site games, while San Francisco is just 2-5 ATS in its last seven following a four games or more SU unbeaten streak. I think these teams are more evenly matched than what this spread would suggest. Grab the points.

The set-up: The Pacers come in off back-to-back road wins and they’ll be playing without Victor Oladipo, their main offensive weapon. The Lakers have lost two straight after a five-game win skein, including a humbling defeat in Denver last time out. I think the Pacers go through the motions today and I believe “The King” will lay the hammer down from start to finish in this favorable matchup. This spread could easily be a lot larger in my opinion. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but LA is 7-2 ATS in its last nine non conference home games on the heels of a two games or more SU/ATS losing streak. Lay the points.

The set-up: The Kings are primed for a classic letdown after their 2-1 OT road win over the Canucks in my opinion, while I believe the Oilers will build off their 1-0 OT home win over Dallas on Tuesday. More than anything though, I’m basing this pick on the immediate “revenge factor,” as LA posted the 5-2 home win over Edmonton this past weekend.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but LA is just 4-14 in its last 18 following a win and a poor 1-5 in its last six when paling its four game in six nights. Great value, play on the Oilers.

 8* play

The set-up: Both teams come in with identical records (14-8-2). The Wild are looking to bounce back here after a 4-3 loss to Arizona in their last outing. Goaltender Devan Dubnyk fell to 9-5-2 on the year after allowing three goals in a span of five minutes in the third. The Blue Jackets enter off a momentum building 7-5 win over Detroit. Goaltender Sergei Bobrovsky let in five goals on 32 shots.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Minnesota has seen the total go “over” the number in four of five non-conference games, while Columbus has seen the total go “over” in six of ten after allowing four goals or more. Look for these two hungry teams to push the pace and play the “over.”

10* play

The set-up: Both teams are 5-1. Alabama enters off a 78-72 home win over Murray State, while UCF comes in off a 66-63 home win over Northern Kentucky. Note that this is a revenge game for the Tide after the Knights recorded the 65-62 road win last year. The Tide average 77 PPG and they allow 70.3. The Knights average 75.3 PPG and they allow 62.3.

The pick: Alabama comes from the tougher conference and it’s loaded with talent. I’m expecting a battle between these two titans. Take it for what you will as well, but Alabama is 4-1 ATS in its last five as a raod dog in the 3.5 to six points range, while UCF is still 14-15 ATS in its last 29 after allowing 60 points or less. Grab the points.

 10* play

The set-up: Phoenix is 4-15 and the Clippers are 13-6. LA is at the top of the division, while the Suns are wallowing in the basement. Phoenix has talent and while it’s struggled from range this season, I think it offers great value as an underdog here. LA has won back-to-back games over the Blazers and Grizz and comes in complacent. The Suns have lost back-to-back games after beating the Bucks at home and they enter hungry. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Phoenix is 6-3 ATS in its last nine vs. teams with winning records, while LA is just 1-2 ATS in its last three when playing on two day rest. Grab the points.

The set-up: This one has “shootout” written all over it. OKC is just 1.5 games back of LA, while the Cavs come in having won two of their last three. Cleveland though comes in hungry to get back on track after its two game win streak was snapped in a 102-95 home loss to Minnesota. Note that since joining the starting line-up Colin Sexton has averaged 18.6 points and 3.0 assists per game over his last five. The Cavs average 107 PPG and they allow 113.6. OKC won’t be taking anything for granted here after a tough home loss to Denver broke a two-game win streak. OKC averages 107.8 PPG and it allows 102.6. 

The pick: Take it for what you will though, but Cleveland has seen the total go “over” the number in both games it’s played this year in trying to revenge a home loss vs. an opponent, while OKC has seen the total go “over” in six of ten at home already. This number is low, play the “under.” 

The set-up: These two teams are both undefeated, but I think the Cavs unrelenting defensive attack will once again win the day on Wednesday night. Virginia most recently dominated Wisconsin 53-46 to win the Battle For Atlantis, holding the Badgers to just 2 of 11 from range and 43.8 percent from the floor overall. The Virginia defense is ranked No. 2 in the country, allowing 49.3 PPG. Maryland has been the beneficiary of a weak schedule to this point, with five of its first six games at home. The Terps do come in off an impressive 104-67 destruction of Marshall, but note that this is a spot in which Maryland has struggled in nightly. 

The pick: As take it for what you will, but the Terps are already a poor 2-4 ATS in their last six non-conference games and just 1-4 ATS at home overall, while the Cavs are 4-2 ATS in non-conference contests and 17-6 ATS in their last 23 on the road. Lay the points.