Montas is ready to show that he can be the Reds' ace. Full of confidence, he improved and built up his innings as spring training went on. He was perfect in this season's spring training debut, while throwing limited innings. Back from shoulder surgery, he's ready to shine in his Cincinnati regular season debut.

Gray had a worrisome 6.61 ERA and 1.96 WHIP in spring training. That wouldn't be as much of an issue if he was showing improvement from start to start. That wasn't really the case. His last start saw him give up 2 home runs in 4 innings, 7 hits and 4 runs overall. At least he only walked one batter. In his previous spring start, he issued 7 free passes!

The Nationals are 19-39 the last 2 years as road underdogs of +125 to +175. Give me the Reds.

The Bruins are one of the best teams in hockey. They could even hoist the Cup this year. They're not very good when playing 2 games in 2 days though. Off a win over the Panthers last night, they will not be able to complete the state of Florida sweep tonight. Boston is only 4-6 when playing with 0 days rest.

The Lightning, 7-2 in March and 6-1 their last 7, come in well-rested. They had the last 2 nights off. They have taken 2 of 3 meetings against the Bruins this season, winning 5-4 here at Tampa. They are playing great and they will be fresh. Let's go Lightning!

So, we've got 2 teams with essentially equal records (Norfolk State is 23-11 and IPFW is 23-12) and one of them is playing at home. But the other is favored. Hmmm. What's the deal? The biggest reason for this is that the Horizon League is considered to be (and is) stronger. That doesn't make the Mastodons better on the road than the Spartans are at home. Ipfw is a solid 12-7 on the road but Norfolk State is a perfect 14-0 at home!

If we go back to the beginning of the season, Norfolk State was projected to be near the top of the MEAC. IPFW was expected to be near the bottom of the Horizon. The Mastodons didn't return a single starter from last season. They should be commended for having the season which they've accomplished but it will end with a loss. The Spartans outscore teams by a 84.5 to 62.6 point margin at home. That cannot be ignored. Make it 15-0 after tonight!

If you pay attention to how teams fare in certain situations, you'll understand why this the case of the wrong team being favored. Both teams are off a victory last night. That works in favor of Dallas. The Mavericks are 8-3 versus the spread their last 11 tries, when playing with 0 days rest. The Kings are only 4-8 ATS when doing so.

The Kings played great defense last night. The problem is that they are only 2-9 ATS their last 11 tries, after allowing 105 points or less. The Mavericks are 29-18-1 ATS (30-18 straight up) when revenging a home loss, 12-5 ATS their last 17. The Kings won twice at Dallas but the Mavericks get them back tonight!

Seattle was 9-3 versus the spread in non-conference action. Having beaten Grand Canyon during the season, the Redbirds know that they can beat this Fairfield team. The Stags are 1-5 versus the spread their last 6 tournament games and the Redbirds are 5-1 versus the spread.

The Redbirds are the stronger team but they also have a scheduling advantage. They play 2 games in 2 days but the Stags are playing 3 games in 3 days. That extra Sunday game played by Fairfield, as opposed to Seattle playing on Saturday, will be a factor. Lay the points with the Redbirds!

This is a great price on Toronto. The Maple Leafs are off a loss to Carolina, a top level opponent. They will be angry and fired when they encounter a weaker New Jersey club. Toronto is 8-2 (+5.2) their last 10 tries, when playing against a team with a losing record. The Maple Leafs are also 9-1 the last 10 meetings with the Devils.

The Devils are off a 4-0 victory but they are an atrocious 25-47 (-36.6) their last 72 tries, after a win by 2 goals or more. This season, they are 4-17 (-20.4) when off a win by 2 or more goals! Give me the better team on home ice!

This is as essentially as big a mismatch as it gets in the NBA. The Denver Nuggets are the defending champions. They need to keep winning and they dominate teams at home. The Memphis Grizzlies are playing for nothing. This is a team which is beleaguered by injuries.

The last time that these teams faced each other, the Nuggets won by 37 points. The Nuggets have won 41 of 50 meetings here and many of them have been blowouts. The last 5 Denver home wins over Memphis have all been by at least 13 points. With the Grizzlies only 4-7 versus the spread their last 11 tries with 2 days rest, this one will see the Nuggets win by at least 20! **WESTERN CONF GOM**

The road team has won both meetings this season. This should result in another victory for the road team! Vegas is 3-1 its last 4 visits here. The Blues are only 11-13, after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game. The Knights are 14-9 after a win by 2 goals or more. They are 48-36 in that spot the last 2 seasons.

The Blues average 2.9 goals a game. The Knights average 3.2 goals per game. The Knights average more than 31 shots per game. The Blues average 28. The Knights are off a dominant effort where they outshot their opponent 47-22. The advantages add up to a Vegas win!

My CakeWalk selections are usually reserved for favorites which I expect to win with ease. They don't have to be though. When I am getting points with an underdog which I expect to win outright, as I am here, I can occasionally use that title. Here, we've got a Montana team which won 24 games. Arkansas State won 19. Both teams score roughly the same number of points but Montana allows a lot less.

Though the points aren't likely to come into play, both teams did see their last game decided by 2 or less. Montana won by 1 and Arkansas State won by 2. If this turns out to be another game decided on the final possession, I'd rather be getting points than laying in them. The Grizzlies are 10-3 straight up (9-4 versus the spread) their last 13 tries when playing with 1 days rest or less. They are 25-11 SU their last 36 tries. Let's go Grizzlies!

The San Diego State Aztecs are an experienced team which made a deep run in this tournament. They have the type of team suited to winning at this time of the year. The Yale Bulldogs were fortunate to win the Ivy League Finals. Then, they pulled off a first round upset over Auburn. That was a big win but they won't duplicate it tonight.

The Aztecs will dial up the defensive intensity and low-scoring games don't really suit Colorado. The Buffaloes are just 1-3 versus the spread their past 4 when the total was 120 to 129.5. San Diego State is a perfect 5-0 ATS its past five tries, as a neutral court favorite of 3.5 to 6 points. The Aztecs caught a break by getting Yale and they will take advantage of it!

The top teams in the Big East are right there among the best and it starts with UConn. The defending champions are taking no prisoners this year. They have scored over 90 points in 2 of their past 3 games. Northwestern won't be able to keep up!

Playing on a neutral court must feel like playing at home for the Huskies. They are 7-1 versus the spread (8-0 SU) their past 8 games on a neutral court. They are 20-6 ATS their last 26. They are now 7-1 ATS their last 8 NCAA Tournament games. Some team will test them but Northwestern won't be the one to do it. Lay the points!

Utah State has gone over the total in 5 straight games. Things will change against a Purdue team off a dominant defensive effort! The Boilermakers held Grambling to only 50 points in round 1. The under is now 4-1 in Purdue's last 5 tries in an NCAA tournament game.

The Boilermakers aren't always as high-scoring as some of the other top teams in this tournament. They have failed to score more than 80 points in any of their last 5 games. When the Aggies play with more than 1 days rest, their games average more than 150 points. When they play with 1 day of rest or less, their games average only 137 points. Go with the Under!

In case you've haven't noticed, the Big 3 in the Big East are all special teams. The Huskies are the defending champs and didn't miss a beat this year. Arizona can compete with the top 3 in the Big East but the other Pac-12 teams cannot. We saw Creighton dismantle Pac-12 Tournament Champion Oregon last night.

Marquette is another special Big East team which has the potential to go a long way. The Buffaloes are 2-4 versus the spread as an underdog. The Golden Eagles are 17-9 versus the spread as a favorite. Lay the points!

The Flyers haven't been able to beat the Bruins. Boston has won 7 straight meetings in the series. The Bruins scored 5 or more goals in each of the last 4 of those wins. The Flyers simply cannot keep up. Off a loss, Boston will respond with a high level effort. From Boston's Jacob De Brusk: "We need a response. Nobody's happy in this room."

The Flyers continue to contend with many injuries on defense which will lead to another day filled with Boston goals. They can light the lamp but the Bruins can also beat you with defense. The last 3 times that they were off a loss, the answered by holding their next opponent to 1 goal. Let's Go Bruins!

North Texas is 9-3 to the over as an underdog. The Mean Green are 5-1 to the over this month. The Mean Green are off an 84-77 victory over LSU and the over is 5-0 when they scored 80 or more points in their previous game.

Seton Hall is 10-5 to the over at home, its last 15 tries when the total is between 135 and 139.5. The Pirates are 3-1 to the over in that situation this season. Seton Hall averages 77.6 points per home game and North Texas is averaging 77.6 points its last 5 games. This number is too low. Go with the Over!

These teams can both really get after it on the defensive end of things. The Gaels just held Gonzaga to 60 points. You saw Gonzaga score 86 yesterday. The Gaels can also hold down the Antelopes! It goes both ways as the Antelopes will also make scoring difficult.

Grand Canyon has allowed an average of 58.8 points its past 5 games. Opposing teams hit only 37% of their field goals in those games. St Mary's has been playing that kind of defense all season! The Gaels allow an average of just 58.7 points. Opposing teams hit only 39% of field goals. Go with the Under.

A small line is offering excellent value with the Big 12 team. The Mountain West is a solid conference but the Big 12 is stacked. The Horned Frogs have wins over teams like Houston, Texas Tech, Baylor, K-State Cincinnati and Oklahoma. They were within a bucket of beating Kansas, and Iowa State. In fact, there were numerous very close losses. This team is better than its record!

The Horned Frogs are 21-9 versus the spread their last 30 tries, off a loss against a conference rival. The only time that they played with 7 or more days rest in between games resulted in an easy cover, a 77-42 blowout. The Frogs were 14-10 versus the spread as favorites, 3-1 ATS as road favorites. TCU is 7-1 straight up its last 8 against Mountain West teams. The Aggies are 1-5 ATS as underdogs and 0-3 ATS versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games. Lay the small number!

Give me the extra +1.5 goals with the Pittsburgh Penguins. Every game and point is of critical importance for the Penguins at this time. They will fight to the end. The Dallas Stars are only 17-19 their last 36 tries after playing 3 consecutive home games. Now they have to win by more than a goal!

Pittsburgh's last visit here was one year ago, on March 23, 2023. The final score was 3-2 for Dallas, the extra +1.5 goals coming into play. Four of the past 5 meetings have been decided by 1 goal. Only 1 of the past 10 h2h meetings has resulted in a Dallas win of more than 1 goal. Play the Penguins on the puck-line.

Too many points between two equal teams in a game which will be close. The Wildcats are 4-0 versus the spread their last 4 NCAA tournament games. The Owls are 3-7 versus the spread their last 10 tries as a neutral court favorite of 3.5 to 6 points.

The Wildcats are also 6-2 versus the spread their last 8 tries, off a loss against a conference rival. Northwestern has 8 losses since getting blown out on January 2nd. All 8 losses came by single digits. During that time they have beaten teams like Illinois and Michigan State. They know that they can beat this Florida Atlantic team. Grab the points.

This number is too low. This is likely going to be a competitive game. The winning team is probably going to score more than 70 points. Yet, the losing team isn't going to get blown out. Drake scores 80.5 points a game. Washington State scores 74.3. Cougar games average more than 140 points. Bulldog games average more than 150.

Off an 84-80 win, the Bulldogs have scored more than 70 points in each of their last 11 games. The Cougars are off a low-scoring game but their previous 4 games all finished above 140. They are 7-2 to the over after allowing 60 points or less. Drake is 4-2 to the over when the total is 130 to 139.5. Washington State is 7-4-1 to the over when the total is 130 to 139.5. Go with the Over!

Oakland will be outclassed. Kentucky has disappointed in recent tournaments and will be ready to run up the score. It doesn't matter that the coaches are friends. The Wildcats were 8-5 versus the spread against non-conference opponents and they outscored them by an average of 16 points a game.

The Wildcats are 12-2 versus the spread their last 14 tries as a neutral court favorite of 12.5 to 15 points. Oakland was great with no rest but not so good with lots of it. The Golden Grizzlies are 0-3 versus the spread the last 3 times that they played with 7 or more days rest and 2-6 ATS their last 8 tries in that situation. Lay the points!

An Original 6 showdown is always exciting. When it features 2 of the top teams in the league, its extra enticing. Playing at home, the Bruins will have the edge. The Bruins are rolling. They have won 6 of 8 and they have scored 5 or more goals in 3 of their last 5 games. They are off a 6-2 victory.

The Rangers are playing without top-four defensemen Ryan Lindgren and without their captain Jacob Trouba. They were missed in a loss to the Jets on Tuesday. Their absences will be noticeable again tonight.The Bruins won all 4 games against the Rangers last season but are 0-2 in this season's first 2 games. Playing with 2x revenge, they won't let the Rangers beat them 3x in a row. The Bruins were better last game and have hit their stride. Go with the Bruins!

We get a good one right out of the gate: SEC taking on the Big Ten. 8 versus 9. Tom Izzo is a legend but Chris Jans is also a winner. I give the edge to the Bulldogs on the floor.

Playing the game at Spectrum Center in Charlotte shouldn't bother the Bulldogs. Did you know that Mississippi State is 9-0 when playing on a neutral court? The only loss came versus Auburn and the Bulldogs were playing their 3rd game in 3 days. The Bulldogs did beat Auburn earlier. They also beat Tennessee twice this year. When facing a Big Ten opponent, they thumped Northwestern. The Spartans split with NW but were outscored by 10 points in the two games combined. Let's go Bulldogs!

Getting to play this game in Jadwin Gymnasium is a big advantage for Princeton. The Tigers were undefeated on their home floor this season. In going 12-0, they outscored visiting teams by an average of 16.8 points. UNLV had some big wins but came up short when it mattered. The Rebels are a long way from home and aren't going to be as motivated as the Tigers.

The Tigers score more points and they allow less. That's not all from the Ivy League schedule either. The Rebels are only 2-5 versus the spread in 7 tries in a road game where the total is 135 to 139.5. The Tigers are 6-3 ATS in nine tries, off a loss against a conference rival. Lay the small number!

The Maple Leafs are off consecutive losses. This is a Toronto team which rarely loses 4 in a row. The Maple Leafs are 22-15 the past 37 tries, when playing on back-to-back days. They are 60-37 in same time frame after allowing 4 goals or more and 64-44 against losing teams. They are 7-2 their last 9 against losing teams.

The Capitals are off 3 straight wins. They rarely win 4 in a row. They are 2-4 in 6 tries, after 3 straight victories. Washington is playing its first game back home from a road trip. The Capitals are 12-19 their last 31 tries, after playing 3 or more consecutive road games. They are also 50-72 against teams with a winning record. Go with the better team. Take Toronto.

Give me the points with Timberwolves! The situation is that the Nuggets are off a buzzer beater loss on Sunday and the Timberwolves are off a comeback win last night. Because of the lack of rest, the Nuggets are laying a hefty number as a road favorite. Too hefty!

If we look at Minnesota's 10 games with 0 days rest we find a 7-3 straight up record. Closer examination reveals that all 3 losses came on the road, the last 2 both by single-digits. The Timberwolves are 4-0 straight up when playing a home game after playing the previous day. Twice they've played a home game after playing an away game and they won those games by an average of 118-107. On the season, the Timberwolves have a better home record than Denver does a road record. Give the me points! *Northwest GOW

The Red Wings need a victory and Columbus is the right opponent to get one against. Detroit is already 2-0 against the Blue Jackets this season. The Blue Jackets have been bad all year and they have lost 4 of their last 5. They have many injuries and nothing to play for.

The Red Wings are still waiting for the return of Dylan Larkin but otherwise are quite healthy. This is a game which they cannot afford to lose. The Red Wings lost last game but that was on the road and they were playing with 0 days rest. They have been much stronger at home all season and they won their last game here 4-1. This game will be all Detroit!

Not much separates these teams and I'm happy to grab the points being offered. Wagner was 9-7 versus the spread as an underdog. Howard was just 7-11 versus the spread as a favorite. The Seahawks don't score many points but they don't allow many either. Those type of teams give the Bison trouble.

Howard is 1-4 ATS their last 5 tries versus poor offensive teams - scoring

I wasn't surprised that the Hawks showed up for last night's game. I don't believe that they'll be able to do it two nights in row though. Atlanta is 4-7 versus the spread when playing with 0 days rest. When playing the 2nd of back-to-back road games, the Hawks are 0-2 both straight up and against the spread. They lost those 2 games by an average score of 120-111.

Overall, the Hawks are only 12-19 ATS as underdogs. They are really bad when they are off an upset victory. In that situation, they've gone 10-27 ATS their last 37 tries, 3-7 ATS this season. The Lakers lost at Atlanta in January but they smashed the Hawks by 16 the last meeting here. Another big win coming up tonight!

Despite being the better team, LAC isn't at full strength right now. Russell Westbrook is out and James Harden is questionable for this game. Having said that, this line is too big. In their last four meetings with each other, the Hawks have either won, or kept it within single digits.

Although Atlanta is on a losing streak, the Clippers have also been struggling lately. Also, Atlanta's losses have been close. They're still 3-3 their last 6 games and the Hawks last 2 losses were by only 6 combined points. This is a big game for the Hawks as they don't want to slip any further as the final play-in tournament team right now. The Hawks upset LA here last year. This line is considerably too high and don't be shocked if the Hawks win this one outright.

Strong situational spot for the Vegas Golden Knights here. Vegas is rested as the Knights had Friday and Saturday night off. The Devils played yesterday. The Knights have some injuries but the Devils injuries are worse. New Jersey is 2-10 when playing with 0 rest!

The Knights play with revenge and they are 17-8 their last 25 tries, revenging a loss versus opponent. They are 62-30 (+30) their last 92 in the revenge role! Knights are also 9-3 after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game. This game will be all Vegas!

The Bulldogs have gotten their act together just in time. They dominated Cornell yesterday and they will have their way with Brown this afternoon. This is the best team in the Ivy League and that will be on full display this afternoon.

Brown beat them at home less than a week ago but Yale is 4-1 versus the spread, 5-0 straight up the past 5 tries, when avenging a home loss. The Bulldogs are also 5-1 ATS (6-0 SU) their past 6 tries, as a neutral court favorite of 6.5 to 9 points. Yale is still 9-1 the past 10 meetings, even after last week's loss. The Bears' run comes to an end today. Yale by double-digits!

UC Davis might own the better record here. But, we all know that it’s March. The Beach are fighting to get revenge after losing to the Aggies just a week ago today. These two teams split the season series and that doesn’t surprise me. Long Beach State was able to knock off the top team during the regular season in UC Irvine in their last game and are now getting the respect that they deserve.

Long Beach State is 5-1 versus the spread in its last 6 conference tournament games. Cal Davis is 3-8-1 ATS its last 12 as a neutral court favorite of 3 or less. Marcus Tsohonis is someone to keep an eye on. The pace of LBSU should be enough to cause problems for UC Davis and let the 49ers into the big dance for the first time since 2012.

Nice win for the Wolfpack yesterday. Any time you knock out Duke, its a good day! They are only 5-9 versus the spread their last 14 tries off an ATS victory though and now they will face a dominant defensive team. They are 1-4 straight up the past 5 times versus good defensive teams - allowing

Yesterday's results don't tell the whole story as both these teams went to Overtime. The Aztecs are 34-18-1 to the under their last 53 tries when the total is 130 to 139.5. That includes a 4-0 under mark in a neutral court game where the total is 135 to 139.5. Before yesterday's over due to overtime, the Aztecs were 6-0 to the under their previous 6 conference tournament games.

Utah State can score but SD State is 13-6 to the under last 19 versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games. The Aggies are 4-1 to the under in their 5 neurtal court games. They are also 2-0 to the under when playing with 1 or less days rest. The last h2h meeting stayed below the total by more than 10 points. This will be another defensive battle! Go with the Under!

Its never wise to underestimate a Tom Izzo coached team. Sometimes, great coaching isn't enough. The Spartans simply have no answer for Zach Edey. He's dominated them and there's little reason to expect anything different on Friday morning. Edey scored 32 points, while adding 11 rebounds in the game a couple of weeks ago. Last season, Edey averaged 35 points against the Spartans.

If Izzo's Spartans go all out to contain Edey, it'll leave them vulnerable to Purdue's outsider shooters. This will be the first time that the Spartans have played 2 games in 2 days all season. The Boilermakers are 11-7-1 versus the spread with 3 or more day's rest and they are 5-0 straight up and ATS (or 4-0-1) when on a neutral court with wins over Gonzaga, Tennessee, Marquette, Alabama and Arizona. The line is low. Lay the points with Edey and the Boilermakers.

Georgia got a fortunate first round matchup against Missouri. The Tigers hadn't won a game in months. This is a big step up in class though and the Bulldogs will be exposed by a stronger Florida team tonight. The Gators won both regular season meetings.

Prior to yesterday, the Bulldogs were 0-3 straight up and versus the spread in neutral site games. Some teams are used to doing so but this will be the first time this season that they played with 0 days rest. When off a loss, as the Gators are, they outscored teams by an average score of 83.8 to 73.4. They'll beat the Bulldogs by at least that many tonight!

Who in their right mind would back Villanova after the Wildcats only beat Depaul by 1 point? Call me crazy and count me in. Yesterday's result was great. It's keeping people off the Wildcats today and that is leading to extra points on the line. With Marquette's best player Tyler Kolek out, and with Nova needing the win more than the Golden Eagles, this is a lot of points. They could come in handy, as Villanova has had some close ones. Yesterday's 1-point game was preceded by a 2-point loss versus Creighton, a game Villanova was down big and showed heart in rallying. Remember the 1-point game versus UConn?

A win today and the Cats could start feeling a lot better about their NCAA Tournament hopes. Marquette already knows it'll be there. The Golden Eagles are 1-2 versus the spread on a neutral floor. The Wildcats have thrived in their neutral court games including victories over UNC, Texas Tech and Memphis. They are 2-0 both straight up and versus the spread when playing with 0 days rest. Give me the points!

These teams are closer in talent than the point spread is telling us. They were the two best in the conference last season. The Golden Flashes were favored for the game at Kent State and the Rockets are laying nearly as many today as they were for the game at Toledo. The Flashes are 10-4 versus the spread their last 14 tries on a neutral court.

Toledo won the regular season title last year but Kent State won the MAC Conference Tournament to advance to the NCAA Tournament. The Flashes are 5-1 straight up and versus the spread their last 6 games in this tournament. They are coming in confident. The Rockets are only 6-10 versus the spread their last 16 tournament games. Give me the points!

The Gauchos weren't that good against the spread this season. They were good to me when I supported them though. I won my Big West Game Of The Year on them way back in the middle of January. I was high on them then and I still them. I also won with the Gauchos last March 11th, my Big West Tourney Game Of the Year from last year. They were laying a similar number that day that they are today and they won by 10.

The Gauchos have been excellent as short neutral court favorites the past couple of years. In all neutral site games they were 6-3 versus the spread. The Matadors have won just 1 of their last 10 first round tournament games, going 3-7 versus the spread. The Gauchos went to the NCAA Tournament last year. They won't be stopped tonight.

The Los Angeles Kings are better on the road than they are on at home. The Blues beat them here in Overtime earlier this season but the Kings had won the previous 5 meetings.

The Blues are off an impressive upset victory at Boston. They are only 9-12 after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game though and this will be their first game home from a long road trip. That's not going to be easy. The Kings are 8-5 their last 13 tries off a shutout win and they will make it 9-5 after tonight.

There won't be much defense on display at Detroit tonight. The Pistons are off a big win and thats been a situation which has led to high-scoring game. They are 5-1 to the over after a win by 10 or more points. They are also 9-2 to the over against Atlantic Division teams.

The Raptors are 21-9 to the over in raod games when the total was 220 or more. When it creeps up as high as 230 or more, they are 13-3 to the over. Toronto road games average 239.6 points. The last 2 h2h meetings finished with 256 and 255 points. Go with the over!

Arkansas' disappointing regular season has provided us with great value in the opening round. Vastly superior to Vanderbilt talent-wise, at least in my opinion, the Razorbacks somehow got upset by the Commodores at home, in late February. They were favored by double-digits! That was a low point and now is a chance to start making things right.

The Razorbacks are 5-1-1 versus the spread their last 7 tries, when revenging a home loss. They are a respectable 8-6 ATS their last 14 tries against losing teams but 13-1 SU in those games. The loss was the Vanderbilt game. The majority of those spreads were a lot higher than this one. Looking for its revenge, Arkansas will move to 14-1 its last 15 tries against losing teams and will cover the small number for us in the process!

If this was truly a neutral site game, the Eagles might be able to keep it close. Coppin State can't be very happy to have to play the Spartans at Norfolk Scope Arena though. The Eagles were 0-17 on the road this season and they were outscored 75.5 to 55.1 in those games.

The Spartans were 13-0 at home and they outscored teams by an average of 84.8 to 62.3. The Spartans played a number of tough non-conference road games (like Tennessee) to get them ready for the postseason. They won at places like Illinois State and VCU and will have no trouble with over-matched Coppin State.

Both regular season games went over the total. This total is lower than the lines for either of those games though. Hmmm. A closer examination reveals why that's the case. The early start time and the magnitude of the moment, may lead to some early jitters. That's not it though. Since the end of February, George Mason has cranked up its defense!

The Patriots defense has been getting better and better every time out. Four games ago, they allowed 61 points. Three games ago, they allowed 59 points. Two games ago? 51 points allowed. Then, last game, they held Richmond to just 46. The game had only 100 total points scored. The under is now 9-1 in George Mason's last 10 games played in March. This game goes under!

The Jackrabbits get a dream matchup and will punch their ticket to the Big Dance tonight. They beat an arguably better team by 10 last night and should win by even more than that tonight. After all, they're off 5 straight wins by 10 or more.

When they met earlier in the season, the Jackrabbits had yet to really hit their stride but when these teams met 3 weeks ago, the Jackrabbits won by 27 points. They've owned the Pioneers for years, the January loss at Denver was an anolmy. Remember that Denver was the #7 seed and had more losses than wins in regular season. South Dakota State will win this one in a "Cake-Walk!"

The River Hawks lost to Vermont in the America East Championship game last year. They want another crack at the Catamounts this year. A win here should earn them that opportunity as Vermont is a 13 point home favorite versus New Hampshire.

Playing this game on their home floor is a major advantage for U Mass Lowell. The Bulldogs are strong at home but below .500 on the road. The River Hawks are 4-0 both straight up and versus the spread in four meetings since last season. They beat them by 22 here a few weeks ago after winning by 9 at Bryant the previous week. Bring on Vermont!

The Fighting Irish aren't a great team but its my belief that they're currently better than Georgia Tech. Both regular season meetings were close but the Irish found a way to win each of them. That will give them confidence for this afternoon's big game.

Notre Dame lost a lot from last season and that meant going through some early growing pains. The talent is there though and they got better. The Irish are 5-3 their past 8 games and all 3 losses were at tough road venues. They've been their best within the conference, going 13-7 versus the spread. Losing senior Lance Terry early on the season didn't help the Yellow Jackets. Their season ends today.

The Wildcats may have a better record and a higher seed but they shouldn't be laying points against anyone right now. Since these teams last met, Davidson has lost 5 straight games. The Rams are also off 3 straight losses but the last 2 have been competitive, including a 2-point road loss at 20-win UMass.

Before that, the Rams had beaten George Mason and blew out Duquesne. Davidson's last 2 losses came by 18 and 10 points. It could be close so I will happily take points but I feel that the Rams are playing better basketball right now and I expect them to come through with the outright victory!

I won with Weber State as my 2023 Big Sky Conference Tourney GOY. The Wildcats led from wire-to-wire in their quarterfinal victory over Sacramento State. The Wildcats brought back a ton of experience and depth from that team, including unanimous First Team All-Conference performer Dillon Jones. Jones had 18 points (plus 5 rebounds, 4 assists and 3 steals) in last year's GOY win.

Jones is even more dominant this season. He averages more than 20 points and more than 10 rebounds. He's scored more than 20 points in 3 straight games and at least 17 points in each of his past 12. Heavily favored to win this conference before the season started, Jones and the Wildcats know that their time is now. They lost to the Bobcats to close out the regular season but will avenge that loss with a big win "when it counts" on Monday.

James Madison is in a class of its own in the Sun Belt and will prove it again this evening. The Dukes are 28-3 and they haven't lost since January. They beat Texas State by 17 in the lone regular season meeting. A dominant team, the Dukes also have the schedule in their favor.

Both teams played yesterday. Its not surprising that JMU had an easier time with Marshall than Texas State had with Troy. Not only did the Bobcats have to battle harder yesterday but they also will already be playing their 4th game in this tournament, the first of which went to Overtime. It will catch up them against a superior opponent which had a double-bye and will be playing just its second game of the tourney. Lay the points!

The Wizards are going to be outmatched at Miami today. Miami is 28-22-1 versus the spread its last 51 against division opponents. Off a cover at OKC, the Heat are 11-4-1 versus the spread, their last 16. The Wizards are 3-6 ATS their last 9. The Wizards, who have nothing to play for, are just 6-27 on the road!

The Heat fought hard against the Thunder, despite playing their second game in 2 days, and a similar effort will pay dividends today. Coach Spoelstra commented: "We'll get better from this. There were a lot of good things to take away. None of us want to talk about (the positives) right now because we're competitors." The Wizards won last game but are only 1-8 (SU) after a win. Lay the points and expect Miami to win in a "Cakewalk!"

Chicago has no home ice advantage. The Blackhawks are also at a scheduling disadvantage. They lost at Washington yesterday. The Hawks are 2-8, when playing on back-to-back days. They are 7-30 (-14) with 0 days rest, for the last 3 years. Over that time, they are 15-58 (-35.2) versus division opponents.

Arizona hasn't quit fighting. The Coyotes beat Detroit 4-0 last game and have won 3 of their last 5. They will be playing with revenge as the Hawks beat them less than a week ago, at Arizona. They will be determined not to lose 2 in a row to the worst team in the league and they won't! Coyotes win and improve to 15-12 against losing teams. *CENTRAL DIV GOM

I always enjoy getting points with a team which I expect to win outright! Though its unlikely that such a small point spread will come into play, when considering how close the regular season meetings were, its far from impossible. Those scores were 72-71 and 64-62, in Overtime. The Terriers won both games!

You'll hear people say that its hard to beat a team 3 times. Guess what? It happens! I like to counter with the argument that its hard to beat a team which has already beaten you twice. Not only has Boston beaten Lehigh twice but the Terriers get to play this game at Case Gym, their very own home floor. They are 9-6 at home, Lehigh is 7-10 on the road. Boston is 6-1 the last 7 meetings and gets it done again this afternoon!

It didn't look good for the Bulldogs for a time yesterday. They showed resiliency, grit and heart though and got the game to OT. Once there, they dominated. They won the extra session by a 12-1 margin. They'll bring that positive momentum into this afternoon's game. Longwood also went to OT yesterday. So, as far as minutes played, the teams are equal in that regard.

Give the Lancers credit for taking down High Point, the tournament hosts. This will be an even tougher matchup for them though. The Bulldogs were the preseason favorites in the Big South. The Lancers were picked 5th. The Bulldogs have won 3 of the last 4 meetings. This afternoon, they will prove the preseason pundits right!

The Kangaroos enter the tournament on a hot streak. The opposite is true of the Pioneers. The tournament is a chance to wipe the slate clean though and those recent results have provided additional line value with the underdog. In the regular season,  UMKC was only favored by 2 points at home against the Pioneers. (The Pioneers were favored by 4.5 at Denver.) Tonight, the Roos are laying more than that for a neutral site game. Value!

This is unfamiliar territory for the Roos. They aren't used to being favored in tournament games. They are 15-44 SU their last 69 tournament games, 5-21 in conference tourney games. Over the last 2 seasons, they are 2-8 (3-7 ATS) in tournament play, 0-2 SU/ATS in the Summit Tourney. The Pioneers are 6-3 ATS their last 9 tries, when playing with 5 or 6 days rest. Denver is also 6-2 ATS its last 8 tries as a neutral court underdog of 3.5 to 6 points. Grab the points!

This is another case of too many points in a game which should come down to the wire. The Blue Devils did win both regular season meetings. Those wins each game by a single point though. That's 3 straight meetings which were decided by exactly one point. Scores of 73-72, 69-68 and 58-57. The previous two before that were both double-digit Wagner wins.

One of the reasons Wagner gives the Blue Devils trouble is its defense. The Seahawks allow just 62.8 points per game. Central Connecticut is just 4-8 versus the spread its last 12 tries versus good defensive teams - those allowing

Alabama is a great team but given Alabama's recent struggles and the recent history between the teams here, this is a case of too many points. The Crimson Tide are off consecutive losses and have dropped 3 of their past 4. Their last two wins both were by 15 or less. Arkansas is off a big win and had won 3 of its past 5. The Razorbacks' last 3 losses all came by single-digits. Khalif Battle has scored 141 points over his past four games. That's the most in a four-game SEC span in 20 years!

The last 2 meetings at Alabama were both decided by 3 points or less. Last year's game here had a score of 86-63 and the year before the score was 68-67. This one will also be closer than expected. Grab the points!

I said this about Luton Town last week: "Luton Town is not a good team. The Hatters are off an ugly 6-2 loss in FA Cup action and they reside in 18th spot in the Premier League standings. Injuries have taken a toll, particularly to the defense. The Hatters have also dropped 3 straight league matches. Relegation is becoming more likely." The Hatters would go on to lose 3-2 to Aston Villa. Now Aston Villa is a difficult opponent but at least the Hatters were at home.

Now, they're on the road to take on a hungry Crystal Palace squad. Palace hasn't forgotten that it lost at Luton Town and is out for revenge. Even with that result, four of the Eagles' last five Premier League fixtures against newly-promoted sides have resulted in victory. They are much stronger at home in front of the Selhurst Park faithful. Last home game resulted in a 3-0 victory over Burnley. Palace will exact some revenge from the loss at Luton Town.

Give me all those points with Tennessee Martin! The Eagles are a really good team but they're running into a really hot opponent. The Skyhawks are a perfect 7-0 both straight up and versus the spread their last 7 games. They won 21 games this season and they are 9-1 ATS their last 10. One of those wins came versus Morehead State.

The Eagles easily won yesterday but still didn't cover. They are playing 2 games in 2 days for the first time this season. Even with 1 day's rest, they are 3-6 versus the spread. Grab the points with the rested, higher-seed! **OVC Tourney GOY**

The Trail Blazers upset the Rockets at Houston in this season's first meeting. The Rockets were 10 point favorites for that game and they've been waiting to get their revenge ever since. Though they lost that 1/24 game against Portland, the Rockets are 12-6 versus the spread as favorites. They are also 15-10 versus the spread when playing against a team with a losing record.

Home has not been kind to Portland. The Trail Blazers are 9-21 here. The Trail Blazers may have a better chance of beating Toronto tomorrow but tonight the Rockets will be too much for them to handle. Lay the points.

The Aztecs are no longer in the running for the regular season title. They have bigger fish to fry though. They want to win the Conference Tournament in order to get as high a seed as possible for the NCAA Tournament, which is where the ultimate goal lies. They don't want to expend too much energy in winning the Conf. Tournament though. That means that they absolutely do not want to have to play 4 games in 4 days to win it. If they lose tonight, they'd be in danger of dropping all the way down to the 6 seed. That would mean no bye and it would mean they would need to win 4 games in 4 days, which would leave them weary for the Big Dance. This game is important.

The Aztecs are undefeated at home this season. A victory here gives them their first undefeated home record in school history. They are 4-1 ATS their last 5 tries when revenging a road loss vs opponent. They are also 4-1 ATS their last 5 tries off a MWC loss. Better still, they are 4-0 versus the spread as home favorites of 6.5 to 9 points. They will still be perfect in that role after tonight. Lay the points!

Detroit needs a win and this is the right time and place to get it! The Red Wings are 3-1 (+2.6) after 3 or more consecutive losses. The Red Wings are 8-6 after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game. The Wings are also 13-9 when playing against a team with a losing record.

The Wings had yesterday off. The Coyotes are off a loss to Minnesota. They are 12-25 their last 37 tries, when playing on back-to-back days. The Coyotes are now 6-22 in the second half of the season. The Red Wings are 31-19 their last 50 visits here. They will snap their losing streak tonight.

Yesterday was a favorable matchup for Belmont as the Bruins got to beat up on a bad Valparaiso team. That was expected but today's opponent represents a night-and-day difference. The Panthers were one of the preseason favorites to win this conference and they've been showing that type of form. They closed the season off 3 consecutive double-digit wins.

The last meeting saw UNI win by 11 at Belmont. The Bruins are 6-11 versus the spread, when playing against a team with a winning record. The Panthers are 8-3-1 versus the spread their last 12 on a neutral court. They are hot and rested and they will secure a small upset by knocking off Belmont this afternoon. **MVC Tourney GOY**

The Panthers do play high-scoring games but this total is too high. The 2 regular season meetings had totals of 142 and 147. Radford's last 3 games had scores of 58-57, 71-62 and 67-60. That last of those occurred in the opening round. Two of High Point's last 3 games have finished with 146 or less.

High Point won both regular season meetings and Radford is 11-6 its last 17 tries when playing with road revenge, 5-2 to the under this season. As the better team and also getting to play at home, the Panthers are big favorites. When they get a big lead, which is likely, they can slow things down in the 2nd half. Go with the Under.

This is a big rivalry in the Bay area. The Golden Bears won at Cal but the Cardinal will win here at Stanford. The Cardinal are 3-0 straight up and versus the spread their last 3 tries in a home game where the total is 155 to 159.5. The Cardinal are also 13-8 ATS their last 21 tries in the road revenge role.

The Bears are playing their 3rd straight road game. They lost the first game by 10 and then got annihilated by 39 last game. The Bears beat up Stanford at Cal last season but the game at Stanford was an entirely different story. The Cardinal crushed Cal by 29. Lay the points!

After they got destroyed by the Pacers in their last game, we're going to get a big effort out of the Dallas Mavericks tonight. The Mavericks are 10-6 versus the spread after getting defeated by 10 or more points. They are also 10-3 ATS their last 13 tries, after losing three straight games. Not only that, the Mavericks are 9-2 ATS when off an upset loss.

The Heat haven't been very good as underdogs. They're 11-13 ATS when getting points. They're 0-2 ATS their last 2 games overall and they continue to play without Hero, Love and Richardson. Last season, both home teams won. The Mavericks won the game in Dallas by 25. Lay the points!

The Devils couldn't get there in their first game under their new interim coach. They were playing the Florida Panthers though and the Panthers are one of the best and hottest teams in hockey. Today's matchup against the St. Louis Blues is far more favorable.

The Blues only score 2.5 goals per game when they play on the road. They allow 3.2 That's exactly how many (3.2) goals that the Devils score at home. The Devils are a perfect 3-0 this season, when off 3 consecutive losses. They won by scores of 3-2, 5-2 and 7-2. Look for them to limit the Blues scoring opportunities and for them to win their first game of the post-Ruff era.

The class difference between these teams will be on full display this afternoon. Belmont (19-12) is hot. The Bruins are 3-0 (straight up and versus the spread their last 3 games and 7-1 their last 8. The Bruins are also 5-1 their last 6 tries against losing teams.

Valparaiso, 6-17 versus the spread its last 23 first round conf. tournament games, is 1-5 ATS (0-6 SU) its last 6 tries, when the total was in the 150 to 159.5 range. The Bruins dominated both regular season meetings including an 18 point win at Valparaiso in the most recent. No reason to expect anything different this afternoon. Lay the points.

Off three straight road games, Portland returns to the Pacific Northwest. Playing at home is not an advantage for the Trail Blazers. They are 10-18-1 versus the spread here. The Trail Blazers are also 16-31-1 versus the spread, after playing 3 consecutive road games.

The Thunder average 120.9 points per game. The Trail Blazers average only 107.6. When matched up against low-scoring teams like Portand, the Thunder tend to dominate. They are 31-9-1 versus the spread their last 41 versus poor offensive teams - those. scoring

Different teams react differently to different amounts of days in between games. Many teams struggle with no rest. Others thrive. Some are at their best with 1 or 2 days rest, others do better with 3 or more. The Ducks have had the past 2 days off and that is NOT a favorable situation for them. Anaheim is 0-7 this season with 2 days rest in between games. Over the past 3 seasons, the Ducks are 10-36 (-24.8) with 2 days rest.

Over that time, Anaheim is also 15-44 after scoring 1 goal or less in its previous game. The Senators, 4-3 with 3 or more days rest, play with revenge from a home loss to the Ducks. They are 27-18 their last 45 when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season and they will get it done for us tonight!

The SEC is very strong this season. South Carolina has defied the odds and thrived. The Gamecocks' most surprising victory came on January 30th when they went to Tennessee and upset the Volunteers. If that was the highlight of the Gamecocks' season so far, it was also the low point of the Volunteers season. It marked their only home loss, as they are 14-1 at home. They haven't forgotten and they will be ready to make things right.

South Carolina averages 72 points a game. Tennessee averages more than 80. The Volunteers more than doubled the Gamecocks here last season, as they won 85-42. South Carolina will score more than 42 tonight but wont be able to keep up. Vols in a blowout!

The first leg was low-scoring but with this match being played at Estadio Santiago Bernabeu and with RB Leipzig needing to score goals to win, this match will be much higher-scoring.

Real Madrid is off a 2-2 draw with Valencia in La Liga action. Last Champions League home match, Read Madrid scored 4 times. Leipzig is off a 4-1 victory over VfL Bochum. The Germans will have to throw caution to the wind and that will lead to scoring chances, for both sides. Go with the OVER!

Toronto plays higher-scoring games against teams from the West than it does against teams from the East. New Orleans is the opposite. The Pelicans tend to play higher-scoring games against Eastern Conference opposition. That was on display when these teams played exactly one month ago. That 2/5 game finished with 238 points.

With the Pelicans off since 3/1, this will be another high-scoring game. Three times the Pelicans have played with 3 or more days rest. All 3 games went over the total. The Raptors are 18-12 to the over when playing against a team with a winning record. This game will be a shootout!

The NY Islanders are playing some of their best hockey right now. They have won 3 straight games, beating Dallas, Detroit and Boston. After tonight's game, they will embark on a West Coast road trip. That makes winning 4 straight imperative, as every point is precious right now.

The Blues did the Islanders a small favor last night as they beat the Flyers. (Philadelphia did get 1 point.) That means the Blues are playing 2 games in 2 days though. They lost 3-2 when they were in that situation last week. With the win over Boston, the Islanders are now 19-11 their last 30 games played in the month of March. Playing with 2 days rest, they will have more life in their legs than the Blues tonight. Expect them to avenge a 4-0 loss at St. Louis from a few weeks back.

The Royals pulled off a minor upset at Florida Gulf Coast last night. Playing 2 road games in 2 days won't be easy for them though. They only played with 0 days rest once during the season and that resulted in a 10 point loss. The Royals are also 2-15 SU and 6-10-1 versus the spread when playing on the road.

One of the Royals' road wins came here at Stetson. It won't happen again! The Hatters, 11-2 at home, are 9-4-1 versus the spread their last 14 tries when playing with home revenge, 24-10 ATS (in lined games) in thats situation over the long-term. The Royals are 2-8 versus the spread as a road underdog of 3.5 to 6 points. Lay the small number!

Real Sociedad has been struggling of late but the Spanish side is going to come out with a lot of energy. They lost the first leg, at the Parc des Princes, by a 2-0 score. That means they need to reverse that score here. That's probably wishful thinking but it does ensure that they will be bringing it to their guests from the opening whistle.

The first leg was scoreless at the half but PSG was arguably lucky not to be trailing. Getting some key players back, Sociedad comes out strong again. Only this time, playing the Reale Arena in front of their home fans, they take a lead into halftime!

Here's a case of 2 teams heading in opposite directions. Memphis stayed competitive for some time this season but things have fallen apart. Massive injuries have finally caught up to the Grizzlies. Including last week's 25-point loss to the Nets, at Memphis, they have dropped 5 straight games. Off consecutive 10+ point wins, the Nets have won 2 in a row and 3 of 4. This should be another big Brooklyn win.

Some teams are good at snapping losing streaks but when the Grizzlies start losing, they continue to lose. They are 6-13 versus the spread (5-14 SU) the past 19 times that they were off three or more consecutive losses. The Nets, 9-7 versus the spread after allowing 105 or fewer points, are 4-1 ATS their last 5 versus poor offensive teams - those which score

I've got the Howard Bison winning big in this one. The records may be similar but the Bison have some matchup advantages. They already beat the Hornets at Delaware State and they beat them by 20 when the teams played here last season. This is Senior Day and that the Bison are going to want to close out their final home game of regular season with a big statement win.

If the Hornets can't beat teams at home, they're rarely able to do on the road. They're 1-5 versus the spread their last 6 tries when playing with home revenge. Delaware State gets outscored by 8.8 points per road game. Howard outscores teams by 6.5 points per home game. The Bison are 4-1 versus the spread their last 5 tries as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points. Lay the points! **Mid Eastern Athletic GOM**

Some might think that Columbus is catching the defending champion Golden Knights at the right time. I beg to differ. Off their most lopsided loss of the season and playing the final game of a disappointing road trip, the Knights will be entirely serious about returning to form on Monday. Columbus is a great place to get back on track The Blue Jackets have the fewest points (50) in the Eastern Conference and they have only 10 wins in their 30 home games.

Though the Blue Jackets are off a win, it came against Chicago, the worst team in the league. They won't be ready for the intensity which the Knights are going to bring to the table. The Knights won 7-2 the last time these teams played. They were laying -325 for that game. This price is expensive but not nearly so much as that. Lay the price as the Knights will not be denied.

This will mark Simone Inzaghi's 300th match as a Serie A manager. His team, top of the table Inter Milan, will help him celebrate by taking down mid-table Genoa. Inter is rolling and has a healthy lead on top of the standings. Relentless, playing at San Siro and riding a wave of positive momentum, the home team will not be denied.

Genoa plays much better at home but struggled on the road. They have always had trouble here in Milan. Their last 4 visits to San Siro have all resulted in blowout losses. They fell by scores of 4-0, 3-0, 4-0 and 5-0. Scoring goals in bunches, more than any other team in any of the top leageus, Inter has won every match its played in 2024. Back-to-back 4-0 victories and the last was against Atalanta, a better team than Genoa. Their next match, a visit to Bologna, may be more challenging. But for now, Inter wins another relatively easy one.

Memphis had its rough patch and are starting to play well again as we enter the month of March. UAB's road record is good, but Memphis' home record is better. The Blazers looked bad in their last game against Wichita State. The Tigers crushed East Carolina. UAB may have won the first meeting. Memphis seeks revenge as they now play this matchup at home. The Tigers are 75-44 ATS long-term when playing with road revenge, 9-5 ATS their past 14.

March has been "Tiger Time." The Tigers are 9-4 straight up as well as against the spread, their last 13 in March. Going back and they're 92-60 ATS (107-49 SU) in March. Even while winning this year's first encounter, the Blazers are 2-18 straight up in their last 20 games against Memphis (0-16 L16 on the road.) This game is important and not just because of it being Senior Day. (The Tigers will honor 5 seniors.) The Tigers are trying to imporve their postseason position. If it can keep winning, Memphis still has a path to a top-four seed and a double-bye in the AAC Championship. Memphis comes away victorious, both SU and ATS!

Who's ready for a blowout on Sunday afternoon? The Warriors have been hot but their winning streak will come to an end in Boston this afternoon. Golden State is 4-6 versus the spread its last 10, after winning its previous 3 games. If the Warriors were playing somewhere else, the streak might continue. Not here. Not with the Celtics ready to avenge a December loss in the Bay area.

Over the past few years, he Celtics are a dominating 50-29-3 versus the spread (63-19 SU) in the 2nd half of the season. They didn't lose a single game in all of February and rolled right into March by destroying Dallas. They are healthier and they will deliver another blowout on ABC TV this afternoon.

Having won the first meeting on the road, Los Angeles holds the advantage back at home this time. The Kings crushed the Canucks last game and will look to build on that today. Playing better, they're now 7-4 under their new coach. New Jersey has had injury problems throughout the year. The Devils haven't been consistent whatsoever.

LA's Drew Doughty on the win over Vancouver: "We played great right from the puck drop. I was so proud and so happy with our team's performance tonight. Every single player played well. There wasn't one dog out there and that's why we won."

Even while having 55 shots on the goal, the Devils lost to the Ducks in their last game. That should take some confidence away from a team that is already lacking that aspect. The Kings are back at home, where they look to improve as we near the end of the season. New Jersey is 2-5 in their last seven games played away from home. Los Angeles wins this game today and makes it 2-0 in the season series.

As good as Napoli was last season, you'd expect them to at least contend for another UCL spot this season. Well, that has not been the story so far. Having said that, Napoli is coming off a very important win against Sassuolo, where they netted six goals in a 6-1 victory. Napoli has won all of the its last four meetings in Naples against Juventus.

Juventus have a strong record, but haven't been particularly good as of late. They've lost two of their last four contests and struggled against a poor Frosinone side in their last game. Since coming back from injury, Victor Osimhen has scored five goals and assisted one in three games (including his UCL performance against Barcelona.) He should help provide a boost to this Napoli team that was shut out in the reverse fixture. Juventus haven't 'swept' them since 2018-19. Napoli wins this game on Sunday!

Big revenge game for the Canisius Golden Griffins here. The Broncs are 5-11 on the road. The Golden Griffins are 8-3 at home. Time for Canisius to get some payback after they lost that overtime game against them in January. This is a good role for the Griffins as they are 3-0 straight-up and versus the spread the past 3 times that they were home underdogs of 3 or less.

Even on their current 5-game winning streak, the Broncs still have a losing record this season. The Golden Griffins are 5-1 versus the spread in their last six games played in the month of March. Canisius has also been on a winning streak having won three in a row. With home-court advantage and the Golden Griffins honoring their seniors for Senior Day, Canisius is your winner.

The Predators are really hot at the moment. They've been beating up on bad teams though. Some of their recent wins came against teams like Ottawa, San Jose and Anaheim. Now, they will take on the one of the best in the league. Also, many of the Predators recent wins have come on the road. They are rather rare in that they are stronger on the road than at home.

The Predators did beat the Avalanche in this season's first meeting. Colorado has won its past few visits here though. Also, the Avalanche are 15-5 (+8.4) their last 20 in the revenge role, 53-25 (+10.6) over the long haul. The Avalanche won their last game 5-0 after winning their previous one 5-1. They are 12-5 their past 17 tries off a shutout win and they'll get it done for us again today! **Central GOM**

The Seahawks upset them at Fairleigh Dickinson. This afternoon, the Knights will do the same at Wagner. The Knights are 5-1 versus the spread their last 6 tries, as a road underdog of 3 points or less or pick. All five ATS victories were also of the straight up variety. Wagner is the opposite. The Seahawks are 1-3 their past 4 tries as home favorites of 3 or less. All the ATS losses came outright. Last year as 2 point road underdogs, the Knights beat the Seahawks by 18 here! That was after Wagner has won at FDU. Sound familiar?

The Knights love March basketball. They're 20-4 versus the spread their last 24 lined games in the month of March, 5-1 ATS the past 2 years. They are also 9-5 ATS their last 14 tries, after scoring 60 points or less and 5-2 ATS their last 7 tries versus good defensive teams - those allowing

Luton Town is not a good team. The Hatters are off an ugly 6-2 loss in FA Cup action and they reside in 18th spot in the Premier League standings. Injuries have taken a toll, particularly to the defense. The Hatters have also dropped 3 straight league matches. Relegation is becoming more likely.

Aston Villa can score goals in bunches. and that spells trouble for the shaky and depleted Luton Town defense. The Lions scored 4 goals last match. They are off consecutive league victories and have won 3 of their last 4. They handled the Hatters with ease in the reverse fixture, a 3-1 victory. The Lions are top 4 in the standings and can't afford not to get max points out of this type of matchup. Undefeated on the road in 2024, they won their last 2 road matches by a combined score of 7-1. They will be too much for the Hatters again on Saturday.

Getting points with the Florida Gators is a bonus, considering that I've got them winning this game outright. The Gators are already 4-2 versus the spread, as an underdog. They're 2-1 the past 3 seasons as road underdogs of 3 or less. Both the wins were both straight up and versus the spread. South Carolina coach Lamont Paris knows that the Gators, 9-2 their last 11, are going to be difficult: We've got a team that's been playing extremely well coming into our place."

This game is going to impact the seeding for the upcoming SEC Tournament. Remember that in the SEC that the top four teams in the final regular-season standings earn byes to the conference tournament quarterfinals. The Gators beat the Gamecocks by 21 last season and they've won 15 of their last 22 visits to South Carolina. They're still the better team and they'll prove it this afternoon!

This season's first two meetings had totals of 218 and 220. Those two games averaged 220 points. One had 212 and one finished with 228. Tonight's line is lower than both of those scores. It's far lower than any other Friday total and it's too low.

Memphis games average 219.1 points. Portland games average 223.5. The Trail Blazers allow 118 points per game on the road and the Grizzlies are 11-3 to the over their last 14 tries versus poor offensive teams - those scoring

The UL Monroe Warhawks are 12th in the Sun Belt. The South Alabama Jaguars are 7th. The Warhawks are 3-11 on the road. The Jaguars are 10-6 at home. The Warhawks won a January meeting at UL Monroe. The Jaguars will avenge that loss by blowing them out tonight!

These clubs last played here last February. Favored by 11 points, the Jagurs won by 36! With that victory, they are 36-15 straight up and 23-15 versus the spread at home the past 3 seasons.

The Warhawks are off an 18-point loss versus Texas State. They are 3-7 ATS when off a conference loss. The Jaguars win this game by more than 10 points.

Both these Metro Division rivals have struggled a bit of late. The Flyers are 2-4 their last 6 games. The Capitals are 1-2 their last 3. The Flyers are off a big 6-2 win though and the Capitals are off a big 8-3 defeat. Both are battling for the playoffs. I've of the strong opinion that Philadelphia will make it two in a row.

The Flyers have been better than Washington this season. An ability to play well on the road has been key. The Flyers outscore teams by a 3.2 to 2.8 average in their road games. The Capitals get outscored by an average of 3.0 to 2.7 at home.

Each team has had 2 days off, a scheduling setup which should favor the Flyers. Philadelphia is 25-20 (+11.9) its last 45 tries, when playing with 2 days rest. Washington is 18-21 (-7.1) when doing so. The Flyers are 3-0 against the Capitals since the start of 2023. With home ice no advantage and with Washington dealing with numerous injuries, Philadelphia is the winner. *Metro Div GOM*

The Boston Bruins are too good to keep losing. Vegas is 14-15 on the road. Boston is 18-12 at home. Though they managed a win at Toronto, the Golden Knights are only 12-13 against Eastern Conference teams. Now they will take on the giants of the East, a Boston team angry at them for an earlier loss in Las Vegas.

The Bruins have had an extra days rest than the Knights. They also have a much smaller injury list. The Bruins are at home and they are motivated. They rarely lose 4 in a row. This one will go their way.

These teams played a month ago, at Campbell. The Cougars won by 23. Playing at home, this will be another one-sided contest. The Cougars have won 7 straight games. Their last 2 wins came by 16 and 19 points. The Fighting Camels are only 3-10 on the road. The Fighting Camels average 64 points per game on the road. The Cougars average 81.7 points per game at home.

Charleston has allowed 57 or fewer points in 2 of 3 games and an average of 65 over its past 5 games. The class of the Coastal Athletic Association, the Cougars are 3-0 SU/ATS after allowing 60 or fewer points. The Fighting Camels are allowing 83.6 points their last 5. Better on both offense and defense, the Cougars will dominate from start to finish.

After consecutive losses, the Gamecocks won at Ole Miss last game. They will now be playing their second straight road game and they will do so against a desperate Texas A&M. Though the Aggies have lost 4 in a row, 3 of those losses were on the road. They are still 9-4 at home. They will be happy to face a South Carolina team which they beat by 41 points the last meeting.

The total for this game is in the mid 130s. The Aggies are 5-1 versus the spread their last 6 tries when the total is 130 to 139.5. Over the last 3 seasons, Texas A&M is 31-16-1 ATS when the total is 130 to 139.5. They are also 6-2 ATS (8-0 straight up) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points. Lay the points with the Aggies!

Four of todays' 6 NBA games have totals in the 230s. This is by far the lowest on the Wednesday board. Too low! Minnesota is a good defensive team but Memphis is 15-5 its last 20 to the over, versus good defensive teams - allowing

On Sunday, we won with Sacramento over the LA Clippers. Off that upset road win, we played against those same Kings on Monday, backing Miami over Sacramento. Off that upset road win, we will now play against the Heat. Miami is only 3-4-1 versus the spread with 0 days rest. The Heat get outscored by 6 points per game in that situation.

Off last night's win over the Kings, the Trail Blazers will be easy for the Heat to look past. Understand that Miami has the Denver Nuggets, the NBA champions on deck. Missing some players, they won't be at their best tonight. This is the end of a long stretch of home games for the Trail Blazers and they are going to really want to close it out with a victory. Grab the points!

Penn State won at home on the weekend but the road has not been kind to the Nittany Lions. They are only 3-10 away from home and they allow more than 78 points per road game.

The Hawkeyes lost at Penn State earlier this month and they lost at Illinois last game. Winning on the road has been difficult for them as well. They are 3-8 away from home. They are 11-3 in 14 home games though and they outscore visiting teams by more than 12 points a game here.

The total for this game is currently 161.5 or 162. A high-scoring game will favor the Hawkeyes. They are 15-2 SU and 11-5-1 versus the spread their past 17 tries when playing a home game with a total of 160 to 164.5. They average 90 points a game here and they will blow out Penn State tonight!

I had the Kings last night. Great game by them. They went to LA and hammered the Clippers, a hated division rival. That puts them in a difficult position tonight. They are 3-5 versus the spread when playing with 0 days rest. They are also 3-5 versus the spread when off an upset win as an underdog.

The Heat are playing their best basketball and they come in fresh and well-rested. They are 8-1 versus the spread since end of January, 7 of those wins coming outright. That streak began with a 9 point win over Sacramento. Last season's games were both close, decided by 4 and 6 points. With the schedule in their favor, grab the points with the red hot Miami Heat.