The set-up: Anthony Davis won’t be playing for the Pelicans next year and while he’s also going to be playing limited minutes, he’ll still be a “man on a mission” as he looks to cement his resume before moving on. The Pelicans will be hungry here after their 99-90 loss on the road in Memphis. The Magic on the other hand look poised for a classic letdown in my opinion after their 124-108 road in Atlanta in their most recent action. The Magic average 105.2 PPG and they allow 107.5. The Pelicans average 115.8 PPG and they allow 114.6. 

The pick: Take it for what you will though, but Orlando is just 2-5 ATS in its last seven road games vs. a team with a home winning percentage of greater than .600 and only 3-8 ATS in its last 11 vs. the Western Conference, while New Orleans is 4-0 ATS in its last four following a SU loss and 6-1 ATS in its last seven following an ATS setback. Lay the points.

10* play

The set-up: I think goals will be at a premium tonight between these two hungry clubs. New York comes to town off a 2-1 home win over Minnesota, while Buffalo is in bounce back mode after its 3-1 home loss to Winnipeg. Isles’ net minder Robin Lehner is 2-3 with a 2.15 GAA lifetime vs. the Sabres. New York is 16-11 on the road, averaging only 2.74 goals in those games, but allowing only 2.44. Buffalo is 16-12 at home, averaging 3.07 goals and allowing 3.04 in those contests. Sabres’ goalie Carter Hutton is so far 10-8 with a 2.48 GAA at home. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but the Isles have already seen the total go “under” the number in seven of their last ten following a three-games unbeaten streak, while the Sabres have seen the total go “under” in five of seven after playing three consecutive home games. This number is high, play the “under.”

8* play

The set-up: Purdue comes to town at 10-2 and in second place in the Conference. Maryland isn’t far behind though at 9-4 and it’ll be out for a little revenge here after it fell in a narrow 62-60 defeat to the Boilermakers in early December. Would anyone fault Purdue having a letdown here after eight straight victories, including one of the “rocking chair” variety in last Saturday’s 81-62 home win over Nebraska? Purdue averages 78.8 PPG and it allows 68.4. The Terps beat Nebraska 60-45 in their most recent action. The Terps lead the league in rebounding margin at +10.4, and they easily out rebounded the Huskers 53-38. From a situational stand point, i think this one definitely sets up great for the home side.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Purdue is just 3-4 ATS in its last seven as a road dog or pick, while Maryland is already 3-1 ATS this season in trying to revenge a road loss vs. an opponent. For all the reasons listed above, grab the points.

10* play

The set-up: The Jayhawks may have beaten lowly Oklahoma State last time out, but Kansas has still lost four of seven, thanks in large part to a heavily depleted roster. The Jayhawks started four freshman for just the second time in head coach Bill Self’s 16 year tenure in the win over the Cowboys and I think an immediate return to mediocrity is imminent here, facing a Horned Frogs squad coming off one of its biggest victories in over ten years. TCU comes in off two straight victories, including a 92-83 win at Iowa State last time out, a victory over a ranked team on the road for the first time in 21 years! 

The pick: Clearly the momentum is in favor of the surging Frogs, but I’ll point out as well that they’re 9-2 ATS in their last 11 at home and 9-4 ATS in their last 13 following a victory, while Kansas is still 0-4 ATS in its last four on the road. This one has “blowout” written all over it, play on TCU.

10* play

The set-up: The Wizards are off a high-scoring 134-125 road win over Chicago on Saturday, while Detroit enters off a home and home sweep of the Knicks, most recently pulling away for the 120-103 victory on Friday. So far these teams have split two meetings this year, with Washington winning the last 101-87. These are two hungry teams who haven’t thrown in the towel and I believe this competitiveness will help in driving this total below the posted number. In my opinion, this one has the feel of a very low-scoring defensive battle, rather than a wide open shootout. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Washington has seen the total go “under” the number in four of five already this year after scoring 130 or more points in its previous game, while Detroit has seen the total go “under” in 19 of 30 in revenging a loss vs. an opponent. This number is a little high, play the “under.”

10* play

The set-up: Both teams come in off losses. The Kings fell 5-4 in OT to the Bruins on the road, while the Capitals lost 5-4 in OT to the Panthers at home. Previous to their loss in Boston though, the Kings had won three straight. Kings goalie Jonathan Quick is an astounding 9-2 with a 2.23 GAA lifetime vs. the Capitals. The defending champs come in on the other end of the spectrum as they’ve lost nine of their last 12. Caps’ net minder Braden Holtby is just 1-3 with a 2.51 ERA lifetime vs. the Kings.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but LA is 6-1 in its last seven after allowing five goals or more in its previous contest, while Washington is just 1-5 in its last six after allowing five or more goals. This is a great price for the extra goal-and-a-half of insurance. Play on the Kings on the puck line.

10* play

The set-up: Locked in a three way fight for second spot in the Atlantic with Montreal and Boston, and off a big win over the Habs just last night, I think the Leafs carry that momentum over today in this favorable matchup in The Big Apple. Leafs’ goaltender Frederick Anderson has won three straight over New York and overall he’s 5-2-1 with a 2.90 GAA vs. the Rangers. New York comes in off a deflating 3-0 loss at home to Carolina on Friday and I have a hard time seeing the Rangers’ offense keeping pace with the high-flying Leafs tonight. Rangers’ goaltender Henrik Lundqvist has lost three straight. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but New York is just 5-16 in its last 21 vs. teams with a winning percentage above .600, Toronto is 15-6 in its last 21 vs. clubs with a sub .500 record (also 5-2 in their last seven in New York.) Lay the price, expect a rout.

10* play

The set-up: The Suns are looking to bounce back after a 117-107 home loss to the Warriors. The Kings look poised for a bit of a letdown here in my opinion after their 102-96 home win over Miami on Friday. These teams have played twice already this year, and they’ve split those games, with the Suns taking the latest 115-111 at home on January 8th. Phoenix is absolutely desperate here to break its slide after 13 straight losses and while I’m not going to predict a SU victory here, I do think that the desperate visiting side can keep this one much more competitive than what this spread would suggest. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Phoenix is already 3-1 ATS this year after ten or more consecutive losses, while Sacramento is just 4-7 ATS vs. the division and just 1-2 ATS after playing four straight home games. Grab the points, expect a nail-biter.

10* play

The set-up: Both teams have struggled this year. Both teams comes in on losing streaks. The Yellow Jackets are the better defensive club, but not by much. Georgia Tech’s defense though looked pretty average in its 65-42 loss to Clemson last time out. Notre Dame beat Boston College, but then it lost at Miami, managing just 47 points in the setback. The Hurricanes aren’t the best defensively this year, but playing in their own building is never an easy task. A little “home cooking” is just what the doctor ordered for the Irish though in my opinion. 

The pick: As note that ND is 4-2 ATS in its last six home games as a favorite in the 3.5 to six points range and 4-1 ATS in its last five after playing two consecutive road games as an underdog, while GT is just 1-4 ATS in its last five as a road dog in the 3.5 to six points range. Lay the point, expect a blowout.

10* play

The set-up: The Avs come in off another road loss, this time a deflating 4-3 OT setback to the Isles, while the Bruins come in off another home win, a confidence building 5-4 OT victory over the Kings. The Avs have lost six straight and I think they’ll stumble again here in this difficult road venue. Colorado is only 12-17 on the road, averaging 3.45 goals and allowing 3.52 in those contests. Boston is 19-10 at home, averaging 3.45 goals and allowing 2.48 in those contests. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Boston is 9-1 in its last ten vs. the West and 32-18 in its last 56 home games vs. a team with a losing road record, while Colorado is a horrible 6-21 in its last 27 games following OT on the previous game. I’m laying the price with confidence.

8* play

The set-up: The Predators now sit only 1.5 games back of the “free falling” Jets for the Central division lead and with a chance to narrow the gap, I look for the home side to deliver the goods here. Note that this is an immediate “revenge” game as well for the Preds, are they were upset 3-2 by the Blues on Friday night. From a situational stand point, there’s no question that this one sets up great for the home side. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Nashville is 15-6 in its last 21 in the fourth game of a 4-in-6 situation and 42-17 in its last 59 home games vs. a team with a winning road record, while St. Louis is just 1-10 in its last 11 in the third game in a 3-in-4 situation. This one has blowout written all over it. Lay the price.

8* play

The set-up: Marshall comes in having lost five of six. The Owls have been terrible of late as well, going just 2-6 in their last eight. Rice will be “gassed” here as well after falling in double OT to WKU on Thursday. The Herd looked horrible in their most recent 78-51 loss at UNT on Thursday. From a situational stand point, this one absolutely sets up as a lower-scoring battle in my opinion between these two hungry/desperate teams. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Marshall has seen the total go “under” the number in four of its last five after two or more consecutive losses, while Rice has seen the total go “under” in both games it’s played in this season off a home loss against a conference rival. This number is a little high, play the “under.” 

10* play

The set-up: Both teams come in hot. Duke has won six straight and it already beat Virginia earlier in the year. Since losing that game to Duke, Virginia has won four straight. In a contest which will once again come down to the wire, I’m going to grab the points. 

The pick: Note that Duke is 15-7-1 ATS in its last 23 road games vs. teams with a home winning percentage of greater than .600, while Virginia is still dealing with injury issues. I think Duke can smell the blood in the water and I look for the visiting side to go in for the kill. Grab the points.

8* play

The set-up: Here’s another one where I don’t think that the home floor advantage can be overlooked as a very real deciding factor. The Cardinals look poised for a letdown after their very satisfying 72-64 road win over Virginia Tech. The Seminoles return him off a road victory over Syracuse. FSU won’t be taking anything for granted here after Louisville took two of three in the season series last year. The Cards average 78.8 PPG and they allow 68. The Seminoles though are 10-1 on their home floor and they average 77 points and allow 68.3. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Louisville is just 4-7 ATS in its last 11 off a road win vs. a conference rival, while FSU is 3-1 ATS in its last four off an upset win over a conference rival as an underdog. Lay the points, expect a rout.

10* play

The set-up: I don’t think that the home floor advantage can be overlooked as a very real deciding factor in this particular matchup. The Tigers are 4-5 in the ACC and they’ll be very hungry for a win here. VT had won three straight before falling 72-64 to Louisville last time out. The Hokies played just six players in the one with three starters playing 38 or more minutes. The Tigers come in “under the radar.” After losing five of six, Clemson has now three straight over Pitt, Wake Forest and Georgia Tech. Virginia Tech averages 76.7 PPG and it allows 60.8. Clemson averages 71 PPG and it allow 64.6.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Va Tech is just 1-4 ATS in its last five following an ATS loss, while Clemson is 7-0 ATS in its last seven following a SU win of more than 20 points and 5-1 ATS in its last six in front of the home town crowd. Lay the short points and expect a blowout.

8* play

The set-up: Two hungry teams collide on Friday night and I think that points will be plentiful. The Bucks hammered the Wizards 148-129 on Wednesday, while Dallas enters off a 99-93 win over Charlotte at home on Wednesday. The Mavericks will be hungry here to avenge a 116-106 road loss in the first meeting between the clubs. Milwaukee is surging still as it comes in having won five straight. Overall Milwaukee averages 117.8 PPG, while allowing 107.6. Dallas has won five of its last seven and it averages 109.1 PPG, while allowing 108.4. With nothing to lose, I’m expecting these non-conference opponents to push the pace from start to finish.

The pick: Note as well that Milwaukee has seen the total go “over” the number in four of its last five after covering the spread three straight times as a favorite, while Dallas has seen the total go “over” in seven of its last nine home game after failing to score 100 points in a victory in its previous outing. This number is a little low, play the “over.”

10* play

The set-up: The Spurs have lost back-to-back road games, most recently falling in Golden State. The Blazers won’t be taking anything for granted here though after losing to Miami at home last time out. The Spurs were without DeMar DeRozan and LaMarcus Aldridge and they’d go on to fall 141-102. Both players could/should see time here, but I still think that the Spurs will stumble in this difficult road venue. The Blazers fell flat after three straight victories last time out, but Portland is poised for a bounce back here in my opinion as it’s consistently played much better at home than on the road.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but The Blazers are 22-8 ATS in their last 30 home games vs. teams with a losing road record, while the Spurs are just 1-4 ATS in their last five vs. the Western Conference. In my professional opinion, this one has “blowout” written all over it. Lay the points.

8* play

The set-up: Indiana enters off a big upset win over Michigan State over the weekend and I think they’ll carry that momentum over here. Iowa also comes in off a big win, downing No. 5 ranked Michigan. I believe though that the Hawkeyes will come in complacent here in this difficult road venues. The Hoosiers don’t have that luxury though, as they lost their first seven league games this year. From a situational stand point, I absolutely believe this one sets up perfectly for the home side. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Iowa is just 3-7 ATS in its last ten when playing with five or six days rest and only 10-14 ATS in its last 24 following a home win by ten points or more, while Indiana is 23-14 ATS in its last 37 as a home favorite and 3-1 ATS already this season after a victory by six points or less. Lay the points, expect a rout!

10* play

The set-up: I base my picks on many things. This one is based almost entirely on “common sense.” The Hornets come in off an exhausting and heart-breaking 117-115 loss at home to the Clippers just last night and I believe they’ll suffer a predictable letdown here as well. The Mavs on the other hand have won two of their last three after easily dispatching the Cavaliers 111-98 on Saturday. Dallas took the first meeting between the clubs 122-84 on the road in the first matchup between the teams this year and I expect a similar final blowout here as well. From a situational stand point, this one definitely sets up nicely for the home side in my opinion. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well though, but Dallas is 15-5-1 ATS in its last 21 at home, while Charlotte is just 2-9 ATS in its last 11 road games vs. teams with winning home records. This one has blowout written all over it, lay the points.

10* DALLAS. 

The set-up: The Bears are 6-2. They look poised for a letdown here though after six straight wins in my opinion. To say this is a “revenge” game would be a ridiculous understatement, as Baylor has won six straight. The Longhorns are desperate though as they’ve lost three of their last four, including a tight 65-60 setback at Iowa State most recently. I think that from a “situational” stand point, this one sets up very well for the “hungry” home side. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Baylor is just 3-5 ATS in its last eight off a home blowout win by 20 points or more, while Texas is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 vs. good defensive tams which allow 64 points or less. Lay the points.

8* TEXAS

The set-up: The Sens will be eager to get back on track here after a listless 2-0 home loss to Detroit last time out. The Leafs could clearly care less about their rivals problems as they’ll be looking to build off their commanding 6-1 home win over Anaheim. The Sens are terrible. Ottawa goaltender Craig Anderson is just 3-10 with a 4.23 GAA on the road this year. Toronto is now 16-12 at home, averaging 3.36 goals and allowing 2.68 in those contests. 

The pick: I’m not going to lay this steep price on the home side, but I absolutely expect a wide open affair here. Take it for what you will as well but Ottawa has seen the total go “over” four of five this year when playing with three or more days rest and in 12 of 18 after a loss by two goals or more. Also note that the Leafs have seen the total go “over” in nine of their last 12 vs. divisional foes. This number is low, play the “over.”

10* OVER

The set-up: I don’t think that the home floor advantage can be overlooked as a very real deciding factor in this particular matchup. Ole Miss is desperate here as it looks to break a four-game slide. Previous to their slide, the Rebels won 11 of 12. A date vs. the lowly Aggies is just what the doctor ordered to get untracked though as A&M is just 1-5 in its last six overall. I don’t think the Ole Miss has hit the panic button yet though, as it’s faced some very stiff competition. I think that a little “home cooking” is the difference tonight. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Ole Miss is 10-4 ATS in its last 14 at home and 4-0 ATS in its last four vs. teams with losing records, while A&M is just 3-8 ATS in its last 11 following a double-digit home loss. Lay the points, expect a rout.

8* OLE MISS

The set-up: I don’t think that the home floor advantage can be overlooked as a very real deciding factor in this particular matchup. The Huskies come in complacent here in my opinion after going 3-1 in their last four, including a victory over ECU last time out. The Owls clearly the hungrier side, having lost three of their last five. Temple though did get back on the winning track by beating Tulane this past Friday and I look for the Owls to now build off that effort. The Huskies have been the beneficiary of a weak schedule of late, and I think they’ll predictably stumble here in the “step up” in competition and in this difficult road venue. From a situational stand point, there’s no question that this one sets up great for Temple. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but UConn is still just 3-4 ATS this year as an underdog and only 12-17 ATS in its last 29 on the road, while Temple is 7-3 ATS in its last ten as a home favorite of six points or less or pick and 3-1 ATS this season vs. good offensive teams which average 77-plus points per contest. This one has blowout written all over it, lay the points.

8* TEMPLE

The set-up: The Blackhawks look poised for a letdown here after their 4-3 OT road win in Minnesota on Saturday. The Oilers on the other hand will be desperate to get a win here after their 4-3 OT road loss in Montreal on Sunday. If recent history is any precedence though, then the Oilers have to be loving their chances as they’ve already taken both meetings between the clubs this year. The Hawks have in fact won four in a row, but they’re still allowing 3.13 GPG, ranked 30th in the NHL. The Oilers have been better at home than on the road and they’ve performed well in this spot for bettors as well.

The pick: As note that Edmonton is 5-1 in its last six after a non-conference OT road loss, while Chicago is just 2-8 in its last ten when playing on two days rest and only 1-6 in its last seven road games vs. a team with a losing home record. I’m banking on the “hungrier” team getting the job done done. Play on Edmonton.

The set-up: I base my picks on many different things. This particular one is based entirely around the fact that Detroit played and won big at home just last night over the Nuggets. The Pistons were desperate for a victory, but after that emotional come from behind win, I think a predictable letdown is inevitable in the second game of the back to back facing an equally as hungry/desperate Knicks side.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Detroit is just 14-22 ATS in its last 36 when playing on back-to-back days, while New York is 20-13 ATS this year trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent. Grab the points, expect a nail-biter.

The set-up: The Knights went into the All Star break as arguably the hottest team in the league, but they’ve predictably come out and stumbled in the second half. Las Vegas most recently fell 3-1 in Florida on Saturday, while Tampa comes in off a 3-2 road win over the Rangers. But as mentioned off the top, Vegas comes in struggling across the board after four straight losses. Note that the Knights have scored just six goals during their slide. The Lightning though are ranked as the No. 1 offense in the NHL with an average of 3.87 GPG. The Bolts aren’t too shabby defensively either, allowing 2.81. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well but Tampa is 6-1 in its last seven vs. the Pacific, while Las Vegas is 1-5 in its last six vs. teams with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. This one has blowout written all over it, lay the price.

The set-up: Clearly I’m not calling for the outright upset, but the stage is set for a competitive battle in this one in my opinion. The Cavaliers are making trade moves, but they’ll be eager to get off the schneid and try to pull off an outright victory at home after suffering a 111-98 loss at home to the Mavericks on Saturday. Not surprisingly this is a double revenge game for the Cavs after dropping both in the season series this year, including a 123-103 road setback in Boston on January 23rd. Note though that the C’s will be without the services of star offensive player Kyrie Irving in this one.

The pick: Additionally note that Boston is just 9-15-1 ATS on the road this year. Cleveland on the other hand is 5-1 ATS in its last six when playing with two days of rest. Grab the points, expect a war.

The set-up: LA comes to town off a 115-101 road loss to Golden State. The Pacers are in action last night in New Orleans and after pulling off the 109-107 victory, I think they’ll carry that momentum over here. The Pacers certainly won’t be lacking for motivation facing former team-mate Lance Stephenson. The Pacers are very familiar with “The King” as well of course. But LA is going through inner turmoil of its own. The Lakers are trying to pull off a blockbuster trade with the Pelicans for Anthony Davis and have offered half the team in return. The players had an altercation with head coach Luke Walton in the loss to the Warriors and one has to wonder where the Lakers’ heads are at collectively in this one? Despite having played just last night, I think this one sets up great for an outright home side victory. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but LA is just 5-6 ATS this year when playing with two days rest, while Indiana is a perfect 3-0 ATS as a home dog of three points or less and 6-3 ATS when playing on back-to-back days. Grab the points.

The set-up: I base my picks on many things. This one is based on “common sense.” The Kings have been terrible this year and they’ve especially struggled on the road. After their upset 4-3 win in the Big Apple just last night, I believe an immediate return to mediocrity is in store here. The Devils most recently posted a 3-2 OT road win in Montreal. Note that despite last night’s win as well, the Kings are still only averaging 1.84 goals on the road, while allowing 2.96. The Devils are 13-11 at home, averaging 3.33 goals and allowing 2.88 in those contests.  

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but New Jersey is 7-2 in its last nine vs. teams with a winning percentage below .400, while LA is still only 4-11 in its last 15 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. In my professional opinion, this is the very definition of “great line value.” Play on New Jersey.

The set-up: Bowling Green dismantled WMU 79-48 at the Stroh Center back on January 19th and I think a similar final combined outcome is in the cards tonight as well. Bowling Green is rolling, going 11-1 in its last 12, it enters off its biggest win in a decade, pulling away for a victory over then No. 18 Buffalo last Friday. The Falcons know they can’t come in complacent here against a WMU team which is 0-8 in league play: 

“We don’t want to get to that place where we’re complacent and we think [winning] is just going to happen,” BG head coach Michael Huger noted. “You can’t play up or down to the opponent–you’ve got to play the same way every single time. It’s easier said than done. I can say it, but now we’ve got to go out and do it, and that’s the hard part.”

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but WMU is just 7-19-1 ATS in its last 27 at home, while Bowling Green is 8-1 ATS in its last nine following a SU victory. This one has blowout written all over it, lay the points.

10* BOWLING GREEN

The set-up: The Kings enter off a 4-2 loss in Long Island and I think they’ll have a difficult time in the Big Apple as well. New York is off a competitive 3-2 home loss to league leading Tampa and I expect it to find a way to get the job done at the end of the night here. LA is now a deplorable 8-17 on the road, averaging only 1.84 goals and allowing 2.96 in those contests. The Rangers are 13-13 at home, averaging 2.92 goals and allowing 2.62 in those contests. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but LA is interestingly just 8-22 in its last 30 when its opponent scores two goals or less in its previous contest and only 1-8 in its last nine vs. the Eastern Conference, while New York is 44-19 in its last 63 vs. a team with a win percentage below .400. In my professional opinion, this line could/should easily be much larger. Lay the price.

10* play

The set-up: The story lines are well known. The Rams are the up and coming West Coast team that’s backed by a high-powered offense, while the Patriots are one of the most storied franchises in history. I’ve just never been fully convinced by this year’s version of the Patriots. Tom Brady and company beat the Chiefs at home earlier in the year, so the fact that they won last week doesn’t come as a huge surprise despite being the underdog. LA got blasted for 45 points in a loss to New Orleans earlier in the year, but the Rams’ defense came up huge in the 26-23 OT NFC Conference Championship victory. I simply feel that the Rams’ suddenly improving defense, combined with the “one, two” punch of Goff and Gurley will prove to be too much for Bill Belichick.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but New England 2-3 ATS this year already after two or more straight victories ATS, while LA is 3-1 ATS this year after two or more straight wins vs. the spread. Grab the points, expect a nail-biter.

10* play

The set-up: The Thunder continue to roll and I expect them to keep the foot on the gas here as well. Most recently OKC came out on top 118-102 in Miami on Friday. The C’s also come in off a blowout victory, hammering the Knicks 113-99 on the road on Friday. While the first matchup between these clubs was a lower-scoring “under” (Boston won 101-95 on October 25th in OKC), that was at the start of the season, before OKC started to turn things around. I’m expecting each side to push the pace of this one from start to finish and a faster paced game = more shots and more shots = more points.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but OKC has seen the total go “over” the number in 14 of 18 this season already after a non-conference game, while Boston has seen the total go “over” in 16 of 26 at home. This number is a little low, play the “over.” 

10* play

The set-up: The Ramblers have won five of their last six and I think they keep the momentum rolling here. Illinois State has won two in a row and four of its last five, but the Loyola Chicago has won nine of its last 12 on the road. Clearly these teams are very evenly matched, but the difference comes in the numbers.

The pick: Take it for what you will ,but Illinois State is 0-4 ATS in its last four home games in this series, while Loyola Chicago is 4-1 ATS in its last five vs. teams with winning records, 19-8 ATS in its last 27 vs. the conference and 35-16-1 ATS in its last 52 on the road. This one has blowout written all over it. Play on Loyola Chicago.

9* play

The set-up: This is a revenge game for Minnesota after it fell 103-101 in Denver back in November. The Nuggets though come in “dog tired” in the second game of a back-to-back scenario, pulling away for a big 136-122 home win over Houston on Friday. Can anyone say “letdown spot?!” It’s a perfect set of situational factors working in favor of the Wolves tonight.

The pick: It also sets up nicely for the Wolves from a trend based stand point, as note that Denver is just 5-8 ATS this year as a road favorite, while Minnesota is 5-3 ATS as a home underdog. I’m grabbing the points.

10* play

The set-up: The Blues have struggled this year, especially on the road. Columbus used to lead the Metro division, but it comes in having lost four straight and desperate for a victory. I think St. Louis is going to struggle against this hungry and focused home side and in this difficult road arena. Columbus has played some top tier teams of late, but finally it catches a break here facing the “on-again, off-again” Blues.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but St. Louis is just 1-4 in its last five after scoring five goals in its previous game, while Columbus is 43-21 in its last 64 home games vs. a teams with a losing road record. This one has blowout written all over it, lay the price.

10* play

The set-up: The Mississippi State Bulldogs are 15-5 and the Ole Miss Rebels are 14-6. I can’t understate how important I think that the home floor advantage will be in this particular matchup. The Rebels upset Mississippi State 81-77 on the road on January 12th and I think an even bigger blowout is in the cards on their home floor. The Rebels are 4-3 in league play and the Bulldogs are 3-4. Mississippi State comes in off a deflating 83-79 road defeat to Alabama and I have a hard time seeing it mustering up the same energy in this difficult arena. The Bulldogs have regressed defensively as well since the start of conference play. Overall they’re allowing 96.6 points per 100 possessions, but since the start of league action that’s ballooned to 106.3 points per 100 possessions. Ole Miss has lost three straight and it comes in off a tough 90-86 road loss to Florida, but as stated off the top, I think a little “home cooking” is just what the doctor ordered.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Mississippi State is just just 3-5 ATS in its last eight revenging a home loss vs. an opponent, while Ole Miss is already 10-1 ATS this season as a favorite. Lay the short points.

10* play

The set-up: Seton Hall is 13-8 and 4-5 in Big East play. It’s currently right on the bubble for the Big Dance. Butler is 12-10 and 3-6 in league action. The Bulldogs have a lot of work to do to get back into the NCAA Tourney conversation. These are two “hungry” teams and as such, I believe that from a “situational” stand point, this one definitely sets up as a higher-scoring shootout.

The pick: Recent history as well tells us that this number is a little low as well, as when these teams met on Jan. 9th, it was the Pirates who scored the 76-75 victory. Take it row what you will as well, but Seton Hall has seen the total go “over” the number in four of five already this season off a home no cover where the team won straight up as a favorite, while Butler has seen the total go “over” in nine of its last ten as a home favorite of six points or less or pick. As stated off the top, this number is a little low. Play the “over.”

8* play

The set-up: From both a situational stand point and a trend based one, I think this one sets up great as a lower-scoring under. Both teams come in off horrible losses and as such, I’m expecting a much more concerted effort on the defensive end of the floor from each. The Hawks were destroyed 135-113 in Sacramento on Wednesday, while Utah fell 132-105 in Portland the same night. Clearly each will be out to atone for that massive letdown on the defensive end of the floor.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but the Hawks have seen the total go “under” the number in all five games that they’ve played in this year after playing to three or more consecutive “overs,” while Utah has seen the total dip “under” the posted number in eight of its last 12 after a blowout loss of 20 points or more. This number is high, play the “under.” 

10* play

The set-up: Toronto goaltender Frederik Anderson is 12-4-1 on the road with a 2.79 GAA this year. He’s also 7-0-0 in his last seven vs. the Wings, posting a 2.50 GAA and .920 save percentage. Leafs’ forward Jon Tavares has two goals and five assists in three wins over the Wings this year, while Auston Matthews has six goals and five assists during a seven-game point streak vs. Detroit. Wings’ net minder Jimmy Howard is 9-8-4 with a 2.63 GAA at home, but he’d let up four goals to the Leafs on 34 shots in a loss back on October 11th. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Detroit is just 1-8 in its last nine after allowing two or fewer goals in its previous game, while Toronto is 13-5 in its last 18 vs. teams with losing records. No upset here as I look for Anderson to continue his red hot play away from friendly confines. Lay the price.

10* play

The set-up: These teams come in off other ends of the spectrum and I believe that dynamic carries over into this one. Columbus enters off a disheartening 5-4 home loss to lowly Buffalo, while Winnipeg comes in off a 4-3 shootout win over the Bruins. Columbus has in fact lost three in a row. Note that that Blue Jackets average 3.00 GPG on the road and allow 2.96. The Jets are 7-3 in their last ten. Winnipeg is 18-8 at home this season and it averages 3.81 goals and allows 2.65 in those contests. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Columbus is just 3-7 in its last ten vs. teams with a winning record, while Winnipeg is 16-5 in its last 21 in the third game of a three-in-four situation. In my estimation, this line could/should easily be a lot larger. Play on the Jets.

10* play

The set-up: Dallas has been a lot better on the road than at home this year and it had lost four of six previous to last night’s big win in The Big Apple. Can anyone say letdown spot? Detroit on the other hand has lost back-to-back games, including to these very Mavs just last week. From a situational stand point, this one is definitely being handed to the home side on a “silver platter” in my opinion. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Dallas is just 3-8 ATS in its last 11 after three consecutive non-conference games and just 1-2 ATS after allowing 90 points or less, while Detroit is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 revenging a same season loss vs. an opponent. Lay the points, expect a rout.

10* play

The set-up: UCLA rolled to a 90-69 win over Arizona at home in its latest action and I look for it to carry that momentum over here as well. Washington State on the other hand enters off a poor 78-58 loss on the road to Oregon and I think it’ll have a hard time containing the up-tempo Bruins. UCLA won’t be taking anything for granted here either as the win over the Wildcats would in fact snap a three-game slide. The Bruins aerate 78.3 PPG, while allowing 75.3. WSU has lost three straight and nine of its last ten. The Cougars average 77.4 PPG and they allow 77.9. 

The pick: Note that UCLA is 7-2 ATS in its last nine road games following a SU/ATS win at home in which it scored 90 or more points in, while WSU is just 2-7 ATS in its last nine vs. teams with winning SU records. This one has blowout written all over it, lay the points.

10* play

The set-up: The Pelicans have to adjust to the idea that Anthony Davis will soon be leaving the team. He won’t be suiting up here. It’s going to be all hands on deck though as New Orleans tries to gain an identity moving forward. In this contest anyways, I think the Pelicans rally and at the very least, keep this one competitive against a Rockets team which I predict will get caught looking past its lowly opponent. The Pelicans’ have lost three straight, but Jrue Holiday looked decent after posting 29 points, seven boards and three assists in the losing effort. He’ll be leaned upon heavily moving forward. The Rockets continue to win, but it was anything but easy in their latest 103-98 victory over the lowly Magic at home. I think James Harden and company are starting to run out of gas and there’s no question in my mind that this one actually sets up as a bit of a “trap” for the home side. 

The-pick: Take it for what you will as well, but New Orleans is 8-4 ATS this year trying to revenge a same season loss vs. an opponent, while Houston is just 3-4 ATS this season as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points. No upset, but closer than expected. Grab the points.

10* COACH’S CLINIC PELICANS

The set-up: Buffalo is 24-24 and Columbus is 28-20. Both teams have been better on home ice and I think that trend of success continues here for the Jackets. Buffalo went into the break off a 4-3 road loss to Vancouver, while Columbus fell 2-1 to Minnesota on the road. Buffalo goaltender Carter Hutton is just 4-11 with a 3.22 GAA on the road this year. Overall the Sabres are just 10-15 on the road, averaging 2.68 goals and allowing 3.16 in those contests. Columbus goaltender Sergei Bobrovsky is 10-8 with a 2.85 GAA at home this season. The Jackets are 15-10 at home, averaging 3.40 goals and allowing 3.08 in those games.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Columbus is 16-5 in its last 21 when playing on three or more days rest, while Buffalo is just 2-8 in its last ten in the same position. No upsets here, lay the price with confidence.

8* play

The set-up: Outright upset? Clearly it’s not out of the question. That said, I’ll recommend grabbing the points in a contest which I envision coming down to whichever of these hungry sides has its hands on the ball last. Both teams come in off wins. Toledo averages 80.6 PPG and it allows 69.2. Miami Ohio averages 73.4 PPG and it allows 70.2. 

The pick: From a trend based stand point though, there’s no question that this one favors the home side, as note that Toledo is a poor 2-4 ATS on the road already this year, while Miami Ohio is 11-5 ATS in its last 16 as a home dog or pick. Grab the points.

10* MAC-ATTACK Miami Ohio.

The set-up: TCU comes to town off a 55-50 home win over Florida, while Texas Tech comes in off a hard-fought 67-64 home victory over Arkansas. TCU is 3-3 in league play, while the Red Raiders are 4-3. These are two defensive minded clubs and I believe that points will indeed be at a premium here. TCU’s offense was poor in the win over the Gators, as the team shot just 36 percent from the floor collectively. The Horned Frogs average 76.9 PPG and they allow just 66. The Red Raiders average only 70.0 PPG, but they make up for it on the either end of the floor, allowing just 56.4 PPG, ranked second in the country only behind Virginia. 

The pick: Note that TCU has seen the total go under in its last five vs. teams with a winning percentage above .600 and in five of its last six on the road, while TT has seen the total dip under in six of its last seven home games vs. teams with a losing road record. This number is high, play the “under.” 

10* play

The set-up: Am I calling for an outright upset? I’m not. But I do think that the stage is set for a much more competitive war than what this spread would suggest. Boston comes in off a loss to the red hot Warriors and now face one of the league’s other white hot teams in the Nets, who come to town on a six-game win streak, including a victory over the Knicks on Friday. The Celtics didn’t manage a win over the Warriors and I think a letdown here is imminent after that “close call.” From a situational stand point, this one definitely sets up great for the visitors in my opinion. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well though, but Brooklyn is already 9-5 ATS this year off a home win and 5-1 ATS off a win vs. a division rival, while Boston is just 18-25 ATS in its last 43 as a home favorite in the 6.5 to 12 points range. I’m grabbing the points and expecting a battle until the end. 

10* play

The set-up: Despite a 4-2 road loss vs. the Stars in its final game before the break, I think Winnipeg will bounce back here in this favorable matchup in its first game back after the All Star game. The Flyers on the other hand look poised for a predictable letdown here after the lay off and from their latest 5-2 road win in Montreal. Overall Winnipeg is 13-9 on the road though, averaging 3.05 goal and allowing 2.91 in those instances. The Flyers are only 10-13 at home though, averaging 2.83 goals and allowing 3.26. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Philadelphia is just 3-13 in its last 16 after scoring five goals or more in its previous game, while Winnipeg is 25-9 in its last 34 vs. the Eastern Conference. I’m banking on the Jets coming out flying to start the second half. Lay the short price.

10* play

The set-up: Two non-conference, but hungry teams collide on Sunday night and in my opinion, this one sets up as more of a defensive affair than a wide open shootout. The Raptors will be looking to bounce back after a 121-119 loss to Houston on Friday, while Dallas comes in off a 106-101 home win over the Pistons on Friday. Toronto will be especially focused here after back-to-back losses. The Raptors average 113.9 PPG and they allow 108.5. Dallas won’t be rolling over though as the Mavs enter having won two straight. The Mavs average 109.4 PPG, while allowing 109.3. 

The pick: Take it for what you will though, but note that Toronto has seen the total go “under” the number in 15 of its last 22 when the total in the game is greater than or equal to 220, while Dallas has seen the total go “under” in eight of 12 already this season in trying to revenge a same season loss vs. an opponent (Toronto won 116-107 at home on Oct. 26th.) This number is high, play the “under.” 

10* play

The set-up: After its 68-59 road win over Cal on Thursday, I think Colorado will stumble in this difficult road venue. The Cardinal are looking to rebound as well after their 70-66 home loss to Utah on Thursday. To say this is a “revenge” game as well for Stanford would be a bit of an understatement, as Colorado has won nine straight in the series. But the Buffs had dropped two in a row and four of five before their latest victory and I believe an immediate return to mediocrity is imminent. The Buffs average 76.2 PPG and they allow 69. The Cardinal won’t be taking anything for granted here as they’ve lost five of their last seven. Overall Stanford averages 72.5 PPG and it allows 73.4. 

The pick: But note that Stanford is 5-1 ATS in its last six as a favorite and 6-2 ATS in its last eight after a loss by six points or less. Colorado on the other hand is just 8-23 ATS in its last 31 on the road. This one has blowout written all over it. Lay the short points on the hungry and revenge minded home side.

8* play

The set-up: Two of the best in the country go head to head here and I’m expecting points to be plentiful. Kansas has won 16 of 19 to open the season. Overall the Jayhawks average 78.1 PPG, while allowing 70.2. Several players average double figures for the visitors, including Lagerald Vick with 15 points and 3.9 boards. Kentucky has won 15 of its first 18 games and it averages 80 PPG, while allowing 67.5. The Wildcats are loaded with talent as well, including Tyler Herro who averages 13.7 points and 4.3 boards per game. 

The pick: Note as well that Kansas has seen the total go “over” the number in nine of its last 11 non-conference games, while Kentucky has seen the total fly “over” in eight of its last ten after allowing 60 points or less in its previous outing. This number is low, play the “over.” 

8* play

The set-up: LSU has won 15 of 18, but I think it’ll have its hands full today vs. a Missouri team which enters off a loss to Arkansas. LSU has won eight straight and I think it comes in complacent. Overall LSU averages 83.1 PPG and it allows 71.9. Tremont Waters leads LSU with 14.2 points and 6.1 assists per night. Missouri averages 67.8 PPG, but it makes up for it on the other and by allowing just 65.6. Keep your eyes on the home side’s Jordan Geist, who leads the way with 13.3 points and 4.2 boards per game. 

The pick: Take it for what you will, but LSU is just 8-13 ATS in its last 21 after a win by ten points or more, while Missouri is 3-1 ATS in its last four as a home underdog of six points or less or pick. I’m grabbing the points and expecting a battle.

8* play

The set-up: Iowa State comes in hungry after its 80-76 setback at Kansas. Mississippi comes in off a loss as well, getting smoked 74-53 by Alabama. Previous to their latest loss though the Cyclones had won two in a row. Iowa State averages 78.5 PPG and it allows just 65.1. The Runnin Rebels are no slouches either, averaging 77.9 PPG and allowing 68.4. 

The pick: Take it for what you will though, but Iowa State is 5-1 ATS in its last six vs. good offensive teams which score 77 plus points per game, while Mississippi is just 3-5 ATS in its last eight as a home favorite of thre points or less or pick. The Cyclones have been playing more consistently of late and I believe that translates into a “W” here.

10* play

The set-up: Miami enters off a 111-99 home loss to the Clippers on Wednesday, while Cleveland returns home off a 123-103 road loss in Boston on Wednesday. Both teams are struggling this season, but the Cavaliers play with the added incentive of “double revenge,” having dropped both previous meetings with the Heat, including a 117-92 setback in Miami in the most recent at the start of the year. Clearly the Heat are the better team, but the Cavs won’t be rolling over here as they look to break their own string of futility (lost 17 of 18.)

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Miami is just 1-4 ATS in its last five as a road favorite in the 6.5 to 12 points range, while Cleveland is just 4-1 ATS in its last five off a road blowout loss of 20 points or more. I’m grabbing the points.

8*

The set-up: I’m not calling for the outright upset, but I think the home side comes in a tiny bit complacent here and I look for the under-manned, but hungry visiting side to keep this one competitive down the stretch. The Knicks were competitive in a 114-110 loss at home to Houston on Wednesday, a game which saw James Harden drop 61 points on them. The Nets come in off a satisfying 114-110 home win over Orlando on Wednesday. Brooklyn has taken two of three between the clubs this year, so the revenge factor comes into play here as well. 

The pick: Note that the Knicks are 9-4 ATS this year after a non-conference game, while Brooklyn is still just 14-15 ATS in its last 29 as a home favorite. I think the conditions are correct for a much tighter battle than what this spread would suggest. Grab the points.

8*

The set-up: No need to overthink this one in my opinion. The Wizards have been playing a lot better of late, even without star John Wall, but they come into his one off a home loss to Golden State just last night. I have a hard time seeing the Wizards “getting up” for this one. The Magic will look to take advantage. These teams have already split two games this year, with each winning on its own floor. The Magic won 117-108 in their home victory and I believe we’ll see a similar final score discrepancy here as well. From a situational stand point I do indeed feel this one sets up fantastically for the home side.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well though, but Orlando is a solid 4-1-1 ATS in its last six at home, while Washington is just 17-36 ATS in its last 53 on the road. This one has blowout written all over it, lay the points.

8*

The set-up: Clearly with a spread like this, an outright upset wouldn’t be a complete shock. I’m not in fact calling for the outright upset, but I think this one will come down to whichever of these hungry sides has its hands on the ball last. After seven straight wins, complacency sets in for the Bulldogs in my opinion. Note that this is an IMMEDIATE revenge game for the Bears as well! Brown had won six in a row before a loss to Yale last weekend. Suffice it to say, revenge is a dish best served cold. 

The pick: Yale won that game 70-67 and I expect another very competitive battle here as well. Additionally note that Brown is 4-1 ATS in its last five vs. good offensive teams which average 77 plus points per contest, while Yale is just 4-8 ATS in its last 12 vs. good offensive teams which score 77 plus points per game. Grab the points.

10* Brown

The set-up: Belmont is 13-4 after beating Tennessee State 92-74 this past weekend. Overall Belmont is averaging 86.3 PPG, while holding the opposition to 66. Dylan Windler had 25 points, six boards and four assists in the most recent victory. Murray State has won seven straight, most recently pulling away for an 82-72 victory over SIU Edwardsville. The Racers are averaging 84 PPG and they’re allowing just 66. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but the Bruins are just 2-5 ATS in their last seven vs. teams with winning records and only 1-4 ATS in their last five following an ATS victory, while the Racers are 6-0 ATS in their last six vs. teams with winning SU records and 5-1 ATS in their last six after scoring 80 points or more in a SU victory in their last contest. Look for the home side to take advantage. Lay the points.

10* play

The set-up: I think this a great spot to pull the trigger on the underdog tonight. The Pelicans come in “under the radar” in my opinion. The Thunder enter off a 123-114 home win over the Blazers, but with two nights off before a game at home vs. the Bucks on Sunday night, I expect the home side to get caught looking past its opponent tonight. And who could fault the Thunder in doing so? They’re playing at home and facing a team playing without its superstar (Pelicans’ center Anthony Davis is out) and coming off a game just last night. 

The pick: New Orleans though can put points on the board with the best of them. Note that the Pelicans average 117.1 PPG, while the Thunder average 114. Take it for what you will as well but the Pelicans are 4-1 ATS in their last five as a road underdog in the 6.5 to 12 points range, while the Thunder are just 3-7 ATS this year as a home fav in the 6.5 to 12 points range. A great “situational” play on the Pelicans.

10* play

The set-up: A couple of hungry non-conference teams collide on Wednesday night and I don’t think that the “home court advantage” can be overlooked as a very real deciding factor in this particular matchup. Memphis comes in as the “hungrier” team here as it looks to snap a six-game losing streak. The Hornets look poised for a letdown though in my opinion after winning three of their last four. Charlotte averages 112.2 PPG and it allows 111.7. The Grizzlies averages only 100.6 PPG, while allowing 103.9. 

The pick: Take it for what you will though but memphis 16-7-1 ATS in its last 24 home games vs. a team with a road winning percentage of less than .400, while Charlotte is still just 2-8 ATS in its last ten on the road and only 1-5 ATS in its last six when playing on two days rest. I like Memphis to finally get off the schneid in this favorable home matchup. 

10* play

The set-up: No need to overthink this one. I think the the Habs are well worth the price of admission in this spot. The Coyotes have actually been better on the road than at home this year, but after their big win in Ottawa just last night, I think they’ll be “dog tired” in the second game of the back to back and in this difficult venue. The Canadiens on the other hand are out to atone for a 5-2 home loss to the Flyers. From a situational stand point, this one definitely sets up great for the home side. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well though, but Arizona is still just 52-119 in its last 171 vs. teams with winning records and only 6-17 in its last 23 in the third game of a 3-in-4 situation, while Montreal is 10-4 in its last 14 vs. teams with losing records. All in all, I feel that the price is right. Play on Montreal.

10* play

The set-up: Calgary’s won seven of its last eight and I think it’ll carry that momentum over here against a potentially dangerous Carolina team. The Hurricanes broke a slide with a very satisfying 7-4 win in Edmonton on Sunday and I believe they’ll stumble in the second game of the Alberta stop-over. Despite their recent victory the Hurricanes still come in averaging 2.8 goals, while allowing 3.00. The Flames beat Edmonton 5-2 in their latest action and they currently have the second best record in the NHL. Overall Calgary averages 3.7 GPG, while allowing 2.8. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but the Flames are 7-1 in their last eight vs. teams with losing records and 5-1 in their last six at home, while Carolina is just 17-38 in its last 55 vs. teams with winning records and only 14-38 in its last 52 road games vs. a team with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. No upsets here, lay it.

8* play

The set-up: Ole Miss comes in off an 84-67 win over Arkansas in its latest action, but I think it’ll stumble here in this difficult road venue. Overall the Runnin Rebels average 79.4 PPG. The Tide come in as the “hungrier” team after their 71-68 loss to Tennessee. Alabama enters averaging 76 PPG. A date vs. the Rebels is just what the doctor ordered for the Tide to get back on track though as Mississippi has covered in just five of its last 17 trips to Tuscaloosa. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but the Tide are 7-2 ATS in their last nine following a tight SU loss of 3 points or less. I’m banking on home court playing a big part in the outcome of this one. Play on Alabama.

10* play

The set-up: Two hungry non-conference teams collide in the nation’s capital on Tuesday night and in my opinion, goals will be at a premium. San Jose will be eager to atone for a dreadful 6-2 road loss to Florida, while Washington also has some questions to answer after its atrocious 8-5 loss in Chicago in its most recent action. San Jose comes in focused here after three straight losses. Washington fans can empathize, as the defending champs enter having lost five straight! From a situational stand point, I’m absolutely expecting a battle from start to finish and to me, that just screams “under.” 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but San Jose has seen the total go “under” the number in 31 of its last 46 after a loss by two goals or more in its previous game, while the Capitals have seen the total go “under” in three of its last four following a three games or more losing streak. This number is high, play the “under.”

10* Under

The set-up: I think that this one sets up great for a higher-scoring shootout between the non-conference opponents. The Kings got caught “looking ahead” to this one after their blowout loss in Brooklyn just last night. The Kings haven’t fared well in the second game of back-to-backs of late (0-7 ATS in their last seven), so if they want to reverse that trend, clearly they’re going to have to match pace with the high-flying home side. The Raptors on the other hand enter off a 119-90 destruction of the Grizzlies on Saturday and I look for them to carry that offensive momentum over here as well vs. this Western Conference foe. The Kings average 114 PPG and they allow 115.1. The Raptors average 113.9 PPG and they allow 108.3. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but the King shave seen the total go “over” the number in all ten games they’ve played in this year as a road underdog in the 6.5 to 12 points range, while Toronto has seen the total go “over” in seven of its last ten off a home win by ten points or more. This number is low, play the “over.” 

10* Over

The set-up: The Jayhawks have to have a “short memory” here as they look to bounce back from a tough 65-64 defeat to Virginia over the weekend. The setback dropped Kansas into a four-way tie for the Big 12 lead. Iowa State is clearly no push over, but note that it’s won just one of its last 13 trips to Allen Fieldhouse. After a 72-59 win over Oklahoma State on Saturday, I think the Cyclones stumble in this difficult road venue. Kansas plays with revenge here as well after falling 77-60 in Iowa State back on January 5th. Note that the Cyclones have not swept the season series between the schools since 2001. 

The pick: Additionally note that Iowa State is 35-16-3 ATS in its last 54 following a SU loss, while Iowa State is just 4-9 ATS in its last 13 as a road dog. The situation and the trends/numbers both point to a home side blowout. Lay the points.

10* play

The set-up: Outright victory? Clearly it’s not out of the question. I’m expecting a battle though obviously and am going to grab the points in the end. The Rockets come in off a 138-134 OT win over LA on Saturday, while Philly lost 117-115 to OKC in its most recent action. Houston is 6-4 overall in its last ten and it averages 112.6 PPG and it allows 110.5. But after their three-game win streak was snapped in dramatic fashion last time out, I think the 76ers are ripe for another letdown here. Overall Philadelphia averages 115.4 PPG and it allows 112.2. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but the 76ers are a poor 1-5 ATS in their last six vs. the Southwest division, while Houston is 6-1 ATS in its last seven vs. teams with a winning percentage above .600 and 5-1 ATS in its last six following an ATS loss. Grab the points and expect a war.

10* play

The set-up: No upsets here as I look for the surging Knights to find a way to get the job done at the end of the night here. The Wild look poised for a predictable letdown here in my estimation after their 2-1 home win over the Blue Jackets. The Knights on the other hand are once again the “cream of the crop” in the Western Conference, most recently destroying the Penguins 7-3 at home. The Wild have in fact lost four of their last seven. Minnesota is a poor 11-12 on the road, averaging 2.52 goals and allowing 3.00 in those contests. The Knights have in fact won nine of their last 11. Vegas is 16-7 at home, averaging 3.35 goals and allowing 2.09. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Vegas is 62-30 in its last 92 vs. the Western conference, while Minnesota is just 39-81 in its last 120 road games vs. a team with a home winning percentage above .600 and only 3-7 in its last ten vs. the Western Conference. I’m banking on a blowout, lay the price.

8* play

The set-up: If you’re betting this game, then you probably don’t need the “overview” of this game. These teams and their strengths/weaknesses are well known by even the most casual NFL fan. The Patriots of course are the most storied team in the league and QB Tom Brady is a lock for the hall of fame. The Patriots rolled to a 41-28 win over the Chargers at home last weekend, but I think they’ll have their hands full in this difficult road venue. The Chiefs smashed the Colts 31-13 at home and after falling 43-40 in New England back on October 18th, I believe they’ll get their revenge here. I’ve never been fully convinced of the Patriots this year and overall from a “situational” stand point, I absolutely feel that this one sets up great for Chiefs’ QB Patrick Mahomes (50 passing TD’s in the regular season!) and the hungry home side.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but New England is just 3-5 ATS on the road this year, while KC is 12-8 ATS in its last 20 as a home favorite of seven points or less. Lay the points, expect a blowout.

10* Chiefs. 

The set-up: No need to overthink this one in my opinion, as each comes in off a game on Saturday. The Hornets played and beat the Suns at home, while the Pacers played the Mavericks at home. Indiana plays with revenge here today as well after falling 127-109 in Charlotte back on November 21st. The Hornets average 112.1 PPG and they allow 111.4. The Pacers average 108.7 PPG and they allow just 103.4. That’s first in the NBA (note that the “under” is 15-6 for the Pacers this season when they play at home.) 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Charlotte has seen the total go “under” the number in three of four vs. good offensive teams which score 106-plus points per contest, while Indiana has seen the total go “under” in 13 of 18 as a home favorite this season and in three of four in revenging a loss where the opponent scored 110 or more points in. This number is a little high, play the “under.”

10* play

The set-up: Detroit comes in off a 6-4 loss in Calgary and heads out even further West to now face the Canucks, who enter off a 4-3 home win over Buffalo. I don’t think that the home ice advantage can be overlooked as a very real deciding factor here. Wings’ goaltender Jimmy Howard is just 4-6 with a 3.12 GAA on the road this year. Detroit is 8-15 overall away from friendly confines, averaging 2.83 goals and allowing 3.74. Vancouver has scored 14 goals over its last three games. Jacob Markstrom is 10-8 with a 2.58 GAA at home this season. Vancouver averages 3.13 goals and allows 2.87 at home. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Vancouver is 6-2 in its last eight home games after a win in which it scored four or more goals in, while Detroit is just 1-6 in its last seven on one days rest. For all the reasons listed above, I think this is great value on the under-valued home side.

10* play

The set-up: From a “situational” stand point, I think this one sets up great as a higher-scoring affair. Washington is out to atone for a 2-0 home loss to the Islanders, while Chicago is looking to bounce back after a 4-3 road loss to the Rangers. Despite the lacklustre effort at home, note that the Capitals are still 14-9 on the road, averaging 3.35 goals and allowing 3.26. The Blackhawks are just 8-15 at home, averaging 2.92 goals and allowing 3.46. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Washington has seen the total go “over” the number in 11 of 17 in non-conference games this year, while Chicago has seen the total go “over” in six of seven already this season when playing with two days rest. This number is low, play the “over.”

8* Over  

The set-up: This sets up great in two ways from Edmonton today. From a “situational” stand point, and the numbers/trends are also working in its favor in my opinion. Simply that the Flames played at home to Detroit last night and I believe they come in flat here in the second game of the back-to-back. The Oilers though come in with a ton of momentum after consecutive wins over the Sabres and the Canucks. As stated above, I think this one sets up great from a situational stand point for the home side. 

The pick: Additionally note that Calgary is still just 13-14 (-3.3 units) after playing three straight home games, while Edmonton is 11-7 (+3.4 units) in its last 18 vs. teams with winning records. For all the reasons listed above, play on Edmonton.

8* Oilers.

The set-up: This one has “blowout” written all over it in my opinion. After their 76-55 road win over Portland to move back to .500 in league play (2-2), I believe the Toreros will suffer a predictable letdown here. The Gaels improved to 3-1 in conference action after an impressive home win over Santa Clara last time out. Overall San Diego averages 75.8 PPG, while allowing 67.7. Saint Mary’s is averaging 77.2 PPG, while allowing 65.6. The Gaels have quietly been playing a lot better with three straight wins and I believe they carry that momentum over here vs. this now complacent San Diego side. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but St. Mary’s is 6-1 ATS in its last seven home games vs. a team with a losing road record, while SD is 1-4 ATS in its last five following an ATS victory and 1-5 ATS in its last six following a SU win. Lay the points and expect a blowout.

10* St Marys

The set-up: Both teams come in off losses. I think home court will prove to be the difference maker for the hungry Pacers though. Dallas lost 105-101 at home to the Spurs on Wednesday most recently, while Indiana lost 120-96 at home to Philadelphia on Thursday. While they haven’t played yet this year, the Mavs have won three straight in the series, including a 109-103 victory in the latest back on Feb. 26th, 2018. The Mavs though have dropped five of their last seven and overall they’re just 11-11 ATS on the road. Dallas averages 109.8 PPG and it allows 109.7. Indiana is 11-10 ATS at home. Overall the Pacers average 108.7 PPG though, while allowing just 103.4. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Dallas is just 6-9 ATS in its last 15 off an upset loss as a home favorite, while Indiana is a solid 5-1 ATS in its last six as a home favorite in the 6.5 to 12 points range. For all the reasons listed above, lay the points.

10* PACERS

The set-up: I think that from a situational stand point that this one sets up beautifully for the underdog visiting side. Philadelphia comes in off consecutive victories (7-4 over Wild and 4-3 over Bruins) and it’s had two whole nights off coming into this one. Montreal on the other hand enters off a very satisfying 4-1 win in Columbus just last night. Can you say “letdown” spot?!

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Philadelphia is 7-2 in its last nine road games after back-to-back wins, while Montreal is just 16-20 (-3.4 units) in its last 36 when playing on back-to-back days. This one has “upset” written all over it.

8* Flyers.

The set-up: After four straight wins, I think the Jets come up short here in this difficult road arena. The Jets are primed for a letdown finally in my estimation after their very satisfying 5-1 win over Nashville on Thursday. The Stars lost to Winnipeg 6-1 on January 6th and six then it’s lost five of its last six. That includes four straight. It’s a revenge game for the Stars, who will be risking life and limb to get off the schneid. From a situational stand point, this one definitely sets up well for the home side in my opinion. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Winnipeg is just 17-18 (-6.9 units) in its last 35 after a three-game unbeaten streak, while Dallas is 14-8 (+3.3 units) in its last 22 after three or more consecutive losses. Play on the “hungrier” home side.

8* Stars.

The set-up: Virginia will look to build off its impressive 81-59 win over Virginia Tech last Tuesday. The Cavs were efficient 58.5 percent from the floor collectively. Virginia is 16-0 this year. Overall the Cavs allow just 51.7 PPG, ranked No. 1 in the country. The Blue Devils come in off an exhausting 95-91 OT loss to Syracuse in its latest action and I think it’ll be “dog tired” here after that marathon. From a situational stand point, I think this one sets up great for a lower-scoring under. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well though by Virginia has seen the total go “under” the number in its last eight as an underdog and in 19 of its last 26 on the road, while Duke has seen the total go “under” in 11 of 14 as a favorite this year and in seven of nine at home. This number is high, play the “under.”

10* Under

The set-up: The Kings are 19-29 and the Avs are 21-26. Clearly neither side is happy where it sits currently, but after a rare 2-1 road win over Dallas, I think that LA suffers a predictable letdown here. The Avs though will be eager to get back on track here after a 5-2 road loss to the Senators. LA is averaging only 2.00 goals over its last 11 games. Kings’ net minder Jon Quick is just 2-6 with a  2.96 GAA on the road. The Avs average 3.25 goals and allow 2.85 at home. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but LA is just 12-13 (-3.8 units) this year vs. teams with losing records, while Colorado is 7-2 in its last nine home games following a non-conference road loss by two goals or more. Lay the price with confidence.

8* Colorado.

The set-up: The Tar Heels look poised for a letdown here after their 75-69 hoe win over Notre Dame in my opinion as they hit the road to face a Hurricanes side which posted a 76-65 home win over Wake in its latest action. The Tar Heels were blown out by Louisville in their pervious contest, but Luke Maye posted 14 points and ten boards to help UNC back into the winners circle. Note thought that Two of the Tar Heels four losses have come against ranked opponents. UNC comes in averaging 87.4 PPG, while allowing 73.2. Miami Florida was led by Chris Lykes in its latest win with 25 points. The Hurricanes are 7-2 at home. Overall they average 76.5 PPG, while allowing 70.1. 

The pick: Take it for what you will though, but UNC is still just 12-15 ATS in its last 27 on the road and just 6-9 ATS in its last 15 after failing to cover the spread in two or more straight games, while Miami Florida is 3-1 ATS in its last four following a conference contest. Grab the points, expecting “nail-biter.”

8* Miami

The set-up: No need to overthink this one in my opinion. The Isles laid everything on the line in their win at home over New Jersey last night, knowing that they’d have this difficult match-up in the Nation’s capital on Friday. Washington comes in “hungry” and focused as well after its terrible 7-2 loss to Nashville on the road. It’s hard to say too many negative things about the Isles, as they’ve been much better than expected this season. I simply feel this sets up as a difficult spot for them as outlined above.

The pick: Additionally note that Washington is 35-17 in its last 52 when playing on two days rest, while the Isles are a poor 12-31-2 in their last 45 on the Capitals’ ice. I’m banking on a blowout, so lay the price.

8*

The set-up: I think home ice will prove to be the difference between these two evenly matched sides. The Habs are 26-22, while the Blue Jackets are 28-18. Montreal comes in off a 5-1 home win over Florida, while Columbus enters off a 4-1 home victory over the Devils. The Canadiens have won three in a row, but they haven’t been at their best on the road this year, averaging 2.92 goals and allowing 3.08. Also note that Montreal comes in ranked 31st in the league in power play conversions at just 12.9%. Columbus will look to take advantage and to build off its own four-game win streak. The Blue Jackets are 14-10 at home, averaging 3.50 goals and allowing 3.04 in those contests. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Columbus is 7-2 in its last nine home games following a four games or more unbeaten streak and posted as a favorite in the -135 to -155 range, while Montreal is still a poor 14-42 in its last 56 vs. teams with winning records. I think the writing is on the wall and a letdown is in the cards for the visitors. Lay this reasonable price.

Columbus 8*

The set-up: The Ducks have lost 12 straight and I think they’re going to stumble again here vs. the hungry 23-23 Wild. The Ducks sit two points behind the Wild for eighth spot in the West, but Anaheim continues to struggle to break its slide, most recently falling 4-3 in OT at Winnipeg. Note that Anaheim has posted a mere 20 goals in its last 12 losses. The Wild broke a two-game slide with a 3-2 shootout win over the Kings in their most recent outing. 

The pick: Note that Anaheim is just 8-22 in its last 30 after scoring two or fewer goals in its previous contest, while Minnesota is 7-3 in its last ten in the third game of a 3 in 4 situation. Everything points to a home side blowout. Lay it.

8* MINNESOTA

The set-up: Both teams come in hungry, as each enters off a loss. The Blues are just 20-25 overall and they most recently fell 2-1 in OT on the road to the Isles. The Bruins are 26-20 and they most recently lost 4-3 on the road in Philadelphia last night. Previous to their most recent setback though, the Blues had been playing well, winning three straight. St. Louis will have to match pace with its difficult opponent tonight, as it’s just 9-10 on the road, averaging 2.37 goals and allowing 2.47. The Bruins won’t be leaving anything to chance today after going just 1-3 in their last four. Overall though Boston is 16-7 at home, averaging 3.48 goals and allowing 2.43. From a situational stand point, I definitely think this one sets up as more of an offensive affair (note the plus money return on the line!).

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but St. Louis has seen the total go “over” the number in seven of its last nine road game following an OT loss in its previous game in which it was held to one or less goals, while Boston has seen the total go “over” in six of its last eight when playing on back-to-back days. This number is a little low, play the “over.”

Over 10* 

The set-up: Two hungry teams collide on Thursday night and in my opinion, points are going to be plentiful. The Kings come in confident after their 115-107 home win over the Blazers on Monday. Charlotte also comes in ready to go after its 108-93 road win over the Spurs on Monday. Charlotte plays with the added incentive of revenge as well here after falling 104-97 in Sacramento just last week. From a situational stand point, this one definitely sets up as a higher-scoring shootout in my opinion. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well though, but Sacramento has seen the total go “over” the number in 23 of its last 33 as an underdog and in 13 of its last 11 as a road underdog, while Charlotte has seen the total go “over” in six of eight already this year when playing with two days of rest. 

8* Over 

The set-up: Two hungry teams collides on Thursday afternoon and in my opinion, points will be plentiful! New York enters off a 108-105 home win over Philadelphia on Sunday, while Washington comes in off a frustrating 140-138 OT loss at home to the Raptors this weekend. The Wizards have taken both meetings between the clubs so far this season. The Knicks won’t be lacking motivation here though after losing four straight and 12 of their last 13. Note that New York has seen the total go “over” the number in 15 of 25 on the road this year already. Washington had won three of four previous to its latest setback to the Raptors. The Wizards have seen the total go “over” the number in 14 of 21 at home so far this year. 

The pick: Additionally note that New York has seen the total go “over” the number in 20 of its last 30 as an underdog, while Washington has seen the total go “over” in six of its last eight when playing with three or more days rest. This number is low, play the “over.” 

8* OVER

The set-up: Edmonton comes in off a 7-2 home win over Buffalo and I think it’ll carry that momentum over here as it looks to avenge an earlier loss to Vancouver as well. The Canucks come in off a satisfying 5-1 home win over Florida. Both teams are still in the playoff race. Both have struggled with consistency this year, but for me this play comes down to the trends. 

The pick: As note that the Oilers are 6-2 in their last eight after scoring five goals or more in their previous game, while the Canucks are a poor 4-11 in their last 15 when playing on two days rest (also note that the Oilers are already 17-11, +7.6 units this season in revenge a loss vs. an opponent). Play on the revenge-minded visitors.

*10 Oilers

The set-up: I think 7-10 LBSU is severely overmatched here. The UC Irvine Anteaters enter at 14-4 overall. LBSU averages 75 PPG and it’s allowing 76. Clearly that’s not a recipe for long-term success. Deishaun Booker has been a bright spot by averaging 15 PPG though. UC Irvine averages 70 PPG, but it allows just 64. The Anteaters are deep and talented are hitting 44 percent from the floor as a team thus far. 

The pick: Additionally note that LBSU is a poor 11-15 ATS in its last 26 after playing its previous game as the favorite, while UC Irvine is 14-8 ATS in its last 22 as a home favorite or pick. Lay the points.

*10 UCI

The set-up: Two hungry non-conference competitors go head-to-head on Wednesday night and in my opinion, points will be plentiful. Brooklyn comes in having won five of its last seven, most recently pulling away for a 109-102 win over the Celtics. D’Angelo Russell led the way with 34 points, five boards and seven assists in the victory. Not to be outdone though, the Rockets come in red hot as well after winning 14 of their last 18, most recently destroying the Grizzlies 112-94 at home. James Harden would explode for 57 points in the victory. 

The pick: When these teams layer on November 2nd it was the Rockets that pulled away for the 119-111 win. I’m expecting a similar final combined score here as well as I look for each team to push the pace from start to finish. This number is low, play the “over.”

*10 over 

The set-up: New Mexico will be out to atone for a 91-76 loss at Colorado State on Saturday as two-point favorite. The Lobos fell to 2-2 in MWC action with the setback. SDSU enters off a pathetic 62-48 loss to Air Force as a 5.5 point road favorite this weekend to also fall to 2-2 in league play. The Aztecs ply managed 16 first half points and I think they’ll have trouble with their offensive play today as well against this focused Lobos side.  

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but the Lobos have seen the total dip “under” in seven of their last nine overall, while SDSU has seen the total go “under” in 11 of the last 15 in this series. The conditions and the trends point to the “under” as the correct call in this one.

8*

The set-up: After winning eight of their last nine, I think the Knights stumble in this difficult road venue. Most recently Vegas managed a tough 4-3 OT win over lowly Chicago on Saturday. Can anyone say letdown spot here North of the border?! The Jets have won four of their last five, most recently beating the Ducks at home on Sunday. 

The pick: Both teams have been hot and it wouldn’t be difficult to write a compelling argument for either to actually win this game. However note that Vegas is already just 8-10 (-4.6 units) this season after scoring four or more goals in its previous contest, while Winnipeg is 15-8 (+5 units) this year after scoring four or more goals in its previous contest. The price is right, play on Winnipeg.

*10 Jets

The set-up: Minnesota enters off a tough 110-106 home win over New Orleans on Saturday night and I think it’ll carry that momentum over here vs. this equally as difficult non-conference opponent. The 76ers enter off a tougher than expected 108-105 road win over the Knicks on Sunday. Minnesota averages 111.6 PPG and it allows 111. Philadelphia is averaging 114.6 PPG, while allowing 112.5. 

The pick: The Wolves have won four of their last five thanks in large part to a renewed commitment on the defensive end of the floor. Minnesota has in fact seen the total go “under” in 20 of its last 30 road games when the total is greater than or equal to 220. Philly has lost two of its last three, but it’s seen the total go “under” in five of its last seven following a road victory. I think this number is a little high, play the “under.”

10*

The set-up: The Blazers come in off a 116-113 loss in Denver last night. I think the Blazers though regroup quickly and get back to their winning ways in this favorable matchup on Monday night. Note that despite the loss to the red hot Nuggets, Portland still won the turnover and rebounding battle, while shooting a very respectable 45.5 percent from the floor overall. The Kings come in off a satisfying win over the Hornets in their last outing, but I think they’ll struggle in this conference match-up. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but the Kings have been simply terrible in this spot for bettors, going just 1-6 ATS in their last seven vs. teams with winning records and just 1-6 ATS in their last seven vs. the Western Conference. Look for Portland’s depth to prove to be too much for the Kings to keep up to down the stretch. Grab the points.

10* play

The set-up: The Sabres enter off a 5-3 loss at home to Tampa Bay, while the Oilers come in off a 3-2 home loss to Arizona on Saturday. These teams haven’t played yet this season, but the Sabres have won four straight in the series, including a 5-0 road victory last January 23rd. With a chance to avenge that pathetic effort and to atone for the listless setback at home to the lowly Coyotes, I think the Oilers find a way to get the job done here against a Buffalo team which is just 3-6-1 in its last ten. The Oilers are just 3-9-0 in their last 12, but I think that home ice will prove to be the difference here.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well but Buffalo is just 2-7 in its last nine non-conference road games following a home loss in which it allowed five or more goals in. In my professional opinion, this is the very definition of “great line value.” Lay it.

10* play

The set-up: Portland’s rolling after winning six of its last seven and I think it’ll carry that momentum over here. The Blazers average 111.9 PPG and they allow 109.7. Damian Lillard leads the nightly charge with 25.8 points for Portland. Clearly the Nuggets won’t be rolling over though, as they come in having won seven of their last nine. Denver is averaging 110.7 PPG, while allowing 105.4. Nikola Jokic is averaging 19.2 points for Denver. Portland will be very aware of the fact that Denver is 14-6 ATS at home, winning by an average margin of 11.7 PPG this season. With both teams pushing the pace, from a situational stand point there’s no question that this one sets up as more of a higher-scoring shootout.

The pick: Note as well though that Portland has seen the total go “over” the number in six of its last eight after scoring 120 points or more in its previous contest, while Denver has seen the total go “over” in not surprisingly 16 of its last 26 vs. poor defensive teams which allow 106 plus points per contest. This number is low, play the “over.” 

10* play

The set-up: Both teams played yesterday. The Isles lost 2-1 at home to the Rangers, while the Bolts came from behind to knock off of the Sabres 5-3 on the road. TB is averaging 4.1 GPG and it’s allowed three goals or less in 12 of its last 18. The Isles are averaging 3.00 GPG overall and allowing 2.6. 

The pick: TB has performed well in this spot for bettors though, going 6-2 in its last eight in the second game of a back-to-back scenario. The Isles have done well in the second game of a back-to-back as well, but this is a match-up which has confounded them for years (just 1-10 the last 11 in this series.) Look for TB to come in focused on the task at hand and lay the price.

10* play

The set-up: I got down early and have a favorable line, but regardless, I love the surging Eagles to catch the Saints a little “flat footed” after their week off. Philadelphia once again defied the odds last weekend with a win in Chicago, as the Bears banged a FG off the cross bar as time expired for the victory. New Orleans went 13-3 in the regular season, but I think that “rest” will lead to “rust” here. The Eagles have been in must win mode for weeks now and that mentality, along with the experience from actually winning the Super Bowl last season, will once again keep this game extremely competitive in my opinion. While the Eagles’ offense dealt with plenty of issues this year, the defense was once again a strength and I think the unit is an overlooked factor here. Note as well that this is an in-season “revenge” game, as Philly was destroyed 48-7 in New Orleans back in Week 11. 

The pick: Nick Foles is under center this time for the Eagles though and I think the experience and momentum that he brings to the table is big as well. Take it for what you will as well, but Philly is interestingly 5-1 ATS in its last six after four or more SU victories, while New Orleans is just 3-4 ATS as a home favorite this season and and just 1-4 ATS following a divisional contest. I won’t call for the outright, but look for this one to come down to the wire. Grab the points.

10* play

The set-up: The Sharks come in with a ton of momentum and I look for them to carry that over here. San Jose is now 7-1-0 in its past eight outings. The Senators come in off back-to-back wins over the Ducks and Kings, but I think a return to mediocrity is definitely in the cards for Ottawa in this difficult arena. The Senators have won back-to-back road games for the first time all year and in my opinion, I believe this sets up as a classic “trap” for the over-achieving visitors.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but San Jose is 4-1 in its last five when playing one days rest, while the Sens are still 0-4 in their last four vs. teams with winning records. I’m laying the 1.5 goals for the near pick-em price. 

SJ -1.5 10*

The set-up: Edmonton beat Arizona ten days ago and I look for a repeat performance here. Arizona comes to town off back-to-back victories and a return to mediocrity is imminent in my opinion. After a 4-3 OT win in Vancouver, I think the Oilers take advantage of this tired Coyotes side. The Oilers enter off a 4-3 shootout win over the Panthers on Thursday and I look for them to carry that momentum over here. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Edmonton is 4-0 in its last four at home in this series, while Arizona is just 3-7 in its last ten when playing on one days rest. Great price on the Oilers here.

8*