The set-up: So far this series has been dominated by the Islanders, but I don't expect the Capitals to go down quietly. Before the pandemic started, the Caps were ranked No. 2 on offense. Down 3-0, the Capitals will need to push the pace from start to finish. This will leave the open and suscepitble on the back end though, as the defense will also have to push and play up throughout (that will in turn of course open up scoring opportunities for the opportunistic Islanders.) 

The pick: The first two games of this series went over the number and all signs point to a wide open affair here as well. Additionally note that the Caps have seen the total go over the number in seven of their last ten after three or more straight losses. This one flies over sooner, rather than later!

This is a 10* TOTAL COACH'S CORNER on the OVER Capitals/Islanders.

The set-up: I like the Orioles to bounce back here after yesterday's 7-2 defeat. Toronto got the win despite slugger Bo Bichette out of the line-up with inury. Bichette will be out for a week or two and I don' think that's going to help this visiting side here. Toronto hands the ball to rookie Nate Pearson (0-0, 5.11 ERA), who has a big fast ball, but who is untested after just three big league games. 

The pick: Baltimore goes with Wade LeBlanc (1-0, 7.13), who benefits greatly from the fact that the O's are one of the AL's top offensive teams this year, as their .779 on-base-plus-slugging percentage ranks fifth in MLB. I like LeBlanc in this matchup and I think the Orioles' offense takes advantage. 

This is a 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on the Baltimore Orioles.

The set-up: These teams played a four-game series at the start of August and they split. Snell threw opposite Tanaka back on August 8th and he was under a pitch count at the time...he looked pretty good though, he went three scoreless, allowing no hits and two walks while striking out five. Snell is 1-0 with a 2.08 ERA this year so far, posting his first win of the season last time out, allowing four hits and going five scoreless in Boston, striking out six and walking none. And so with that stellar performance, Snell has been cleared to return to normal starter activity tonight.

The pick: Tanaka was in a similar boat as Snell coming into the season...started on the IL because of concussion protocol after taking a come-back to the head in his final Spring tune-up. He threw 69 pitches opposite Snell and went five scoreless, allowing one hit, no walks and he also struck out five. And then in his last start Tanaka allowed two runs over four innings in a no-decision to the Braves. They weren't even close to 100% when they squared off on August 8th...they've both been cleared for full duties and they're each coming off a strong start. I think recent form is important. I think the UNDER is definitely the correct call in this one.

This is a 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK on the UNDER Rays/Yanks.

The set-up: I took this game early and have an unfavorable line, but I still love this play and while I'll stop short in calling for the outright upset, I do think the deep and talented Magic will easily keep this one close enough to cover with the ample points they've been afforded. Both teams were 3-5 in the bubble. The Bucks swept all four regular season games, but the Magic were dealing with several injuries to key players back then. Orlando has Vucevic back which is signficant, but is dealing with an injury to Aaron Gordon, meaning that Terrence Ross and Evan Fournier will have to step up here. 

The pick: I think the Bucks classically get caught a bit complacent in this very first game. Milwaukee is also just 2-6 ATS in its last eight following a ten points or greater loss (fell 119-106 to the Grizz.) The odds are clearly against Orlando winning this series or this game, but if it has any shot, it will be in trying to pull off the upset in Game 1. As I stated off the top, I'm not calling for an outright upset, but I do expect this one to be competitive until the final moments. Grab the points.

This is a 10* PLAYOFF GAME OF THE YEAR on the Magic.

The set-up: Are the Clippers really deeper and more talented than the Mavericks? Both teams are dealing with injuries right now, but I'd argue that Montrezl Harell's absence for LA is the most significant. Also note that Patrick Beverley and Landry Shamet are both questionable for this one as well. The Mavs have a possible injury to Seth Curry, but guys like Tim Hardaway Jr and Trey Burke have been very steady for the Mavs. 

The pick: I'll point out as well that the Clippers are a devastatingly poor 8-22 ATS in their last 30 playoff games as a favorite. The Clippers supporting cast is banged up, while the Mavs have two stars in Luca Doncic and Kristaps Porzingis playing at their highest level of their careers. The outright win is possible, but in the end let's grab the points!

This is a 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on the Mavericks.

The set-up: The White Sox lost both games of their double header to the Cards on Saturday, but they bounced back with a 7-2 win in the finale on Sunday. I think the ChiSox keep that momentum rolling here in this favorable matchup. The visitors hand the ball to the volatile Matthew Boyd (0-2, 10.24 ERA) who faced these very White Sox last Wednesday and took the loss, getting shelled for seven runs off seven hits over 4.2 innings. In his previous outing he also gave up seven runs over 4.2 innings. 

The pick: The home side counters with Gio Gonzalez (0-1, 6.61) who looked decent vs. Detroit last week, allowing two runs over 4 2/3's innings, almost qualifying for the victory. The White Sox bullpen remains a strength as well, as Jimmy Cordero has conceded one of 33 inherited runners to score. All things considered, I think this is a great price on the hungry home side.

This is a 10* SITUATIONAL BEATDOWN on the ChiSox.

The set-up: Gary Harris and Will Barton are both out for the Nuggets, but Jamal Murray has played well in their absence. The Nuggets also got big contributions from Michael Porter Jr. over the first eight games. 

The pick: The Jazz haven't looked great in the bubble, they went 3-5 SU and there was one point where they conceded over 125 points in three straight games. Utah lost 134-132 in OT to the Nuggets in early August and while this game won't reach that many points, I do expect another wide-open affair and for this total to fly over sooner, rather than later.

This is a 10* TOTAL ELITE OF THE ELITE on the OVER Utah/Denver.

The set-up: I think a little surprisingly, the first two games of this series have flown over the number. I think that from a situational stand point though that Game 3 sets up perfectly as a goaltenders battle, instead of a wide open "shootout." Firstly, the Blues need to slow the pace of this one down and try to control the tempo, as the speedier Canucks are skating them off the ice so far. I do indeed expect the defending champs to now try and turn this series into a "grindy" affair (much like the Blackhawks did on Saturday when their Game 3 fell way below the posted number, after the first two games went well above.) 

The pick: Additionally note that St. Louis has seen the total go under the number in eight of its last 11 after back-to-back playoff losses. Expect a hard-hitting, but ultimately lower-scoring Game 3.

This is a 9* SUPER TOTAL on the UNDER Blues/Canucks.

The set-up: So far the first two games of this series have fallen UNDER the number (or pushed in Game 2, depending on the line you got), but now that the "feel out" stage is done between these clubs, I finally expect a much more wide-open affair in Game 3. Especially from the Flyers, as they now face their first adversity since the re-start. Philadelphia looked completely unstoppable up to this point, so the Flyers will clearly be looking to push the pace from the opening face off, until the final horn. And for the Habs, they've proven that they can easily score in this series as well.

The pick: Additionally note that the Flyers have seen the total go OVER the number in eight of their last 11 after getting shutout and losing by five or more goals in their previous game. Don't be shocked if this one flies over sometime in the second period.

This is a 10* EASTERN-CONFERENCE PLAYOFF TOTAL OF THE YEAR on the OVER Flyers/Habs.

The set-up: Arizona got out to a sluggish start to this abbreviated 60 game season, so the D-Backs have some work to do if they want a shot at the playoffs. Last night they came from behind to win 7-6 and I think they'll have an easier of time of it on Sunday. Garrett Richards (1-1, 3.74 ERA) has had a ton of success vs. the D-Backs in the past, but I simply feel that he's in the wrong place at the wrong time tonight (note that Arizona has scored 25 runs over its last three games.) 

The pick: Arizona starter Robbie Ray (1-2, 10.59) won't be lacking for motivation here obviously. Ray had a good spring tune-up as well, so his poor start to the regular season is a bit strange. He's 5-6 with a 4.40 ERA in 17 career starts vs. the Friars. The Padres are spiralling down the proverbial toilet right now with four straight losses and I believe they're primed to get swept in this series tonight. Great value on the hungry and under-valued home side.

This is a 10* ULTIMATE BEST OF THE BEST on the D-Backs.

The set-up: Both games of yesterday's double-header went "under" the number. Double-headers this year only go seven innings, but despite that, I still think that the finale of this AL series sets up as a "slug-fest." Brady Singer (1-1, 4.50 ERA) earned a loss in his MLB debut by allowing four runs over five innings to the ChiSox, before then allowing two runs over five innings in a win over these very Twins last Friday. Now that Singer is on the road though, I think the rookie takes a predictable step back here, especially now that the Twins' have had a look at him. 

The pick: Randy Dobnak (3-1, 0.90) has so far been "lights out" for the Twins, most recently allowing one run in a win over Milwaukee. Are these numbers sustainable? Dobnak is throwing well right now, but regression also seems imminent to me and I expect that downward trend to start tonight. Additionally note that the Twins have seen the total go over the number in eight of their last 11 home games after two or more straight "unders." This number is a little low.

This is a 10* ULTIMATE SLUG-FEST on the OVER Royals/Twins.

The set-up: These two teams played to a lower-scoring "under" last night, with the Rangers coming out on top 3-2. While tonight's game could see a little more offense, I do still think that this number is much too high. Kyle Gibson (0-2, 4.11 ERA) gave up four runs off nine hits over 4.1 innings in a loss to the Mariners on Monday. In his previous start he struck out nine in an unfortunate setback. The veteran was 13-7 with respectable 4.14 ERA for the Twins in 2019. 

The pick: German Marquez (2-2, 2.08) gets the call for the home side and he allowed five runs (just two earned) over seven innings in a loss to the Mariners as well. Marquez still owns a sharp 27:6 K:BB and there's no reason not to think that he won't be able to carry over that progression here. I expect these two competent starting pitchers to be the main story lines in tomorrow's summaries.

This is a 10* TOTAL COACH'S CORNER on the UNDER Rangers/Rockies.

The set-up: Chicago looked pretty good in getting past the Oilers in the first round, but its inability to slow down the Knights on the defensive end has been the difference in why they're now down 0-2 in this first round playoff series. The Blackhawks can score with the best of them, but if they don't quickly find some way to really slow the pace of this series down and wear out Las Vegas, they're going to be out of this tournament shortly. 

The pick: And so that's what I'm expecting in Game 3, a much less frenetic pace. Instead I look for Chicago to body up on Vegas whenever possible and to try and now turn this series as "dirty" as possible. Additionally note that the Knights have seen the total go under in 11 of their last 17 after back-to-back overs in which they've scored 12 or more goals in. This one has "under" written all over it in my opinion. 

This is a 9* SUPER TOTAL on the UNDER Knights/Hawks.

The set-up: So far both of these contests have gone "under" the number. Game 1 so five OT's and then the Blue Jackets won Game 2 by a score of 3-1. While the first two games of this series have gone UNDER and while it's so far been dominated by great goaltending, I believe that trend changes dramatically in Game 3. This has been an exhausting series and I believe each team will struggle to maintain the same defensive intensity.

The pick: Addtionally note that Tampa has seen the total go over the number in 13 of its last 20 after back-to-back "unders" and off a two goals or greater loss. The gloves are off and the "feeling out" period is over. Game 3 has "shootout" written all over it!

This is a 10* TOTAL ELITE OF THE ELITE on the OVER Lightning/Jackets.

The set-up: The Phillies won 6-5 yesterday and with the vastly superior starting pitcher on the mound Saturday afternoon, I look for them to find a way to get the job done here as well. The visitors hand the ball to the volatile Steven Matz (0-3, 8.20 ERA), who was most recently crushed by the Nationals on Monday, allowing eight runs off eight hits, including three dingers, over only 4.1 frames of work. So far Matz has been shelled for 13 runs and five home runs over 7.1 innings. 

The pick: Philadelphia counters with ace Aaron Nola (1-1, 2.79) who allowed one run off two hits with a walk while striking out ten over eight innings in a victory over Atlanta on Monday. Nola continues to dominate, entering with a sharp 27:2 K:BB over 19.1 innings of work this year. With a chance to extend his Cy Young candidate season in front of the home town crowd and in this favorable matchup, I'm going to lay the price and expect a big time blowout from start to finish.

This is a 10* PLAY-BOOK on the Philadelphia Phillies.

The set-up: Ja Morant hasn't played very well in the Bubble, but the dynamic guard has a chance to reverse his fortunes here in which he hopes will be a two-game play in series. If Portland wins, then this series is over and the Blazers will go on to face the Lakers. But if Memphis wins, these two teams will play a second game. Portland has played well behind Damian Lillard, but the Grizzlies matchup well with Portland in my opinion. 

The pick: Additionally note that Portland is just 3-7 ATS in its last ten as a favorite in the +6 to +12 range. In a game which comes down to the wire, I'll recommend to grab as many points as you can.

This is a 10* BEST OF THE BEST on the Memphis Grizzlies.

The set-up: Clayton Kershaw went seven scoreless in his season debut vs. the D-Backs, so he took a bit of a predictable step back in his second, allowing four runs over four innings in a loss to the Giants. He did go on to strike out seven. Overall Kershaw continues to look solid, so there's no reason not to think that he won't be able to give the Dodgers are least six innings in this favorable matchup. 

The pick: Patrick Sandoval (0-1, 2.70) was called up and he looked decent in a 2-0 loss to the Rangers on Saturday, allowing two runs over six innings. Sandoval was 0-4 with a 5.03 ERA last year and there's no doubt that this is the stiffest competition he's seen in a while. The sample size is small for the Angels' young hurler and I don't have any confidence in him here. And that means that I have no issues at all in laying this mid sized road chalk.

This is a 10* MASSACRE ON THE DIAMOND on the LA Dodgers.

The set-up: The Clippers have seen the total go over the number in four straight and in five of their first seven overall, while the Thunder have seen the total go over in four of their first seven, including in three straight. While these teams have been firing on all cylinders offensively during the re-start, I believe their finale finally sets up as a lower-scoring "under." 

The pick: And that's because LA is locked into the No. 2 spot and I think it will just go through the motions tonight as it looks to avoid any serious injury. And the same thing for the Thunder, who are tied with the Rockets in fourth spot and will be facing Houston in the first round. This meaningless contest has "under" written all over it.

This is a 10* TOTAL BEST OF THE BEST on the UNDER Thunder/Clippers.

The set-up: This game was close until the third period and then the Canucks pulled away for the 5-2 win. The defending champs are still loaded with talent and veteran leadership though and I believe they're going to find a way here to bounce back. The Canucks young core is hungry, but they're in unchartered territory here now. I believe that St. Louis has the goaltending and pedigree to bounce back in this spot.

The pick: And I also think this does indeed set up as a classic "letdown" position for Vancouver, which is 5-10 in its last 15 after scoring five or more goals and winning by three or more goals in its previous outing. The dogs were barking in Game 1, but look for St. Louis to deliver this time around.

This is a 10* BEST OF THE BEST on the St. Louis Blues.

The set-up: Game 1 was tied at 0-0 until the final ten minutes of the third period, in which the Avs would then go on to explode for their three goals in the span of about eight minutes. The Coyotes waited patiently for Colorado's aggressive style of play to cause it to make the first mistake in Game 1, but that didn't end up happening in the end. Instead, Colorado looked really good on both ends of the ice and now the Coyotes will be forced to open things up to try and equalize. From a situational stand point, I absolutely believe this sets up great as more of an offensive affair in Game 2.

The pick: Additionally note that the Coyotes have seen the total go over the number in 12 of their last 19 after getting shutout and losing by three or more goals in their last outing. Expect this total to fly over the number sooner, rather than later.

This is a 10* TOTAL DESTRUCTION on the OVER Coyotes/Avs.

The set-up: I had a play on the Flames in Game 1 and if you didn't have a chance to read that analysis, I believe it's worth a look here, because for the most part the logic behind that selection, basically directly applies to this one as well:

Calgary took two of three from Dallas in the regular season and considering these clubs recent form, I believe the Flames are going to find a way to get the job done in Game 1 of their opening round series. Interesting that these clubs have never met in the playoffs before. Yes the Flames finished the regular season with the 20th ranked offense, bu from January 1st on they moved up into the top seven. In fact Calgary averaged 4.0 GPG in its series win over the Jets. The Flames' special teams was solid with the power play producing at 29.4 per cent and the penalty kill at 88.2 per cent (while also adding a shorthanded goal.) A strong performance from Cam Talbot certainly didn’t hurt either. The netminder went 12-10-1 with average numbers in the regular season but posted a .945 save percentage, 1.51 goals-against average and one shutout in four starts against the Jets. The Stars looked terrible in their three round robin games, allowing an average of 36.5 shots per game to the opposition. Dallas was ranked 26th in the NHL in scoring before the break and it looked terrible on that end of the ice during the re-start. I'll back the better in form team here!

The pick: Additionally note that the Flames are 7-2 in their last nine after allowing two or less goals in a victory in their last outing. Calgary looks better on both ends of the ice and I expect that trend to carry over here.

This is a 10* COACH'S CORNER on the Calgary Flames.

The set-up: I like Tyler Glasnow to finally settle down here and I look for the Rays to take advantage of this very favorable starting pitching matchup and to jump out to an early lead and then to never look back. Glasnow (0-1, 5.56 ERA) gave up four runs off five hits over three innings in a loss to the Yanks on Saturday. Glasow was 6-1 with a 1.78 ERA last year and I think the veteran will get the better of his younger counterpart today. 

The pick: Kyle Hart (0-0, 0.00) makes his MLB debut today. Last year he had a 3.86 ERA and 1.27 WHIP over 100.1 innings in Triple-A. The book is out on Hart here, while the pressure is on Glasnow. I like Tampa and I actually believe this line could/should be much higher.

This is a 10* ULTIMATE OF THE ULTIMATE on the Tampa Bay Rays.

The set-up: Tampa won Game 1 in five overtime periods by a score of 3-2. The Lightning had almost 90 shots on net and the Jackets had almost 70 shots on goal. Every person in every position is exhausted, but I think this fact will lead to more goals, not less in Game 2. I believe the goaltenders and the defensive aggressivenss will be the victims here, not the offense. 

The pick: And note that Columbus has seen the total go over the number in seven of its last nine after losing in OT and scoring two or less goals in its previous game. As stated off the top, I believe each team drags its ass on the defensive end and I look for this total to fly over sooner, rather than later.

This is a 10* PLAYOFF TOTAL BEST OF THE BEST on the OVER Blue Jackets/Lightning.

The set-up: Yes the Flyers looked great over their three-game round robin, they annihilated Tampa, Washington and Dallas. The Flyers look "for real," but I think they'll have all they can handle from the Canadiens in this first game. 

The pick: The Habs were fantastic in dispatching the Penguins as they continue to get a high level of play from star goaltender Carey Price. Montreal is deep and it benefited from the extra time off. In a contest which I see being decided late or even in extra time, I'm laying the price for the extra 1.5 goals.

This is an 6* play on the Habs PUCK LINE.

The set-up: Both of these starting pitchers have a lot of talent and potential, but I think each will get the hook early on Wednesday night and I believe that'll lead to this total flying over the posted number sooner, rather than later. Jordan Yamamoto (0-0, 9.00 ERA) allowed four runs off six hits, including two dingers, in a fortunate no-decision vs. the O's on Thursday. Last year he was 4-5 with a 4.96 ERA and I think he'll struggle in this difficult matchup. 

The pick: Nate Pearson (0-0, 2.70) gets the call for the Jays and he most recently allowed three runs over five innings in a no-decision to the Braves on Thursday. Pearson has been decent over his first two MLB starts, but regression at some point does seem imminent. The sample size is simply too small still and I'm unconvinced Pearson can keep up these numbers for much longer. As stated off the top, I look for both pitchers to get the hook early and I look for that to help in seeing this total eclipse the posted number once it's all said and done.

This is a 10* ULTIMATE SLUG-FEST DESTRUCTION on the OVER Fish/Jays.

The set-up: The Coyotes have an interesting mix of youth and veteran leadership and while I do think Arizona will win a couple games in this series, I ultimately look for the Avs to prevail in the end and in Game 1. Yes Arizona squeaked by Nashville in its opening round series, but Colorado's offense is on an entirely different level. 

The pick: The Avs aren't afraid to get dirty either. This will for sure be an interesting series, but Colorado is fresher, deeper and more talented. All things considered, I feel this line could/should in fact be a lot larger.

This is an 8* play on the Avs.

The set-up: The Islanders grinded out first round victory over Florida, but now they face a veteran laden Capitals team that's loaded with talent on both ends of the ice. New York's strength is its depth across its four lines, but the Capitals have been here before and I think that they'll find a way to get the job done here as well. 

The pick: The first game of each series in the playoffs will be critical to win, as there is no home ice advantage this season. If a home team loses its first game, it absolutely has a big time advantage in that second game in trying to rebound. But that factor is now nullified because of the Pandemic. I look for Braden Holtby and the Capitals to come out firing in Game 1, so lay the reasonable price.

This is an 8* play on the Capitals.

The set-up: Enough is enough! The White Sox were picked by many to go deep into the post-season, if not legitimately contend for the World Series, but shoddy starting pitching and lack of production has been the early theme for Chicago. Detroit wasn't supposed to do well at all and it's probably done better than most would have though to this point. But all of that said, I think that the visiting side will step up here and take full advantage of this favorable starting pitching matchup. Chicago goes with Dylan Cease (2-1, 4.05 ERA) who enters off a gem vs. Cleveland on Friday, allowing two hits and striking out four over five scoreless for the victory. 

The pick: The home side counters with the beleagured Matthew Boyd (0-1, 9.20) who allowed seven runs off eight hits with three walks over 4.2 innings vs. the Pirates on Friday. Last year Boyd was a shaky 9-12 with a 4.56 ERA and it appears as if his issues are carried over into 2020. I'm banking on Cease being a difference maker here!

This is a 10* COACH'S CORNER on the Chicago White Sox.

The set-up: The Blackhawks are fresh off a big upset over the Edmonton Oilers, but I think they're going to stumble here in the opener of this series vs. the high-powered Knights. Las Vegas cruised to a 3-0 record in its round robin games, demolishing clubs on both ends of the ice with ease.

The pick: Chicago had great success vs. the Oilers, but I think its ineffeciences on the defensive end are really going to get exposed here. Las Vegas is much better on the defensive end though and when you add it all up, that = blowout city in my books. I'm laying the price and expecting a lop-sided destruction.

This is a 6* play on the Knights.

The set-up: For this pick I'm concentrating solely on the starting pitching in this matchup and in my opinion, Dylan Bundy's current form makes him the correct call here. Mike Fiers (1-0, 5.40 ERA) earned his first win of the year despite allowing four runs off seven hits with two walks over six innings vs. the Rangers on Thrusday. Through 16 frames Fiers has posted just five K's. 

The pick: Bundy (2-1, 2.84) gave up one run off four hits with ten K's in a complete game victory over the Mariners in his last outing. So far the 27-year old has a sharp 25:2 K:BB and I believe he'll be the difference maker for LA in this matchup. I'm laying the short price.

This is a 10* ULTIMATE BEATDOWN on the LA Angels.

The set-up: Both of these starters has been decent and each of these clubs has struggled somewhat with offensive consistency. Despite that though, I think this one sets up as a classic "slug-fest." Jon Lester gets the call for Chicago (1-0, 0.82 ERA) and he's allowed just one run over two starts. If Lester had one weakness last season though it was definitely his play on the road, where he was only 5-6 with a 4.90 ERA. Regression seems imminent for the over-acheiving veteran hurler. 

The pick: The home side counters with Adam Plutko, who makes a spot start here in place of Clevinger, who is placed on the 14 Day Covid list for breaking protocol. Plutko allowed two runs over six innings in a win over the White Sox on Tuesday, but I think that being thrust into the spot-light here is not going to be conducive in registering a decent outing. When you add it up, this number is just a little low, as I look for these two hungry clubs to eclipse sooner, rather than later.

This is a 10* TOTAL SLUG-FEST on the OVER Cubs/Indians.

The set-up: Despite no fans being in the stands, I don't think that the home field advantage can be overlooked in this particular matchup. The Orioles hand the ball to Alex Cobb (1-0, 2.89 ERA) who gave up one run with three walks over five innings in an unfortunate loss to MIami last time out. Cobb's been decent, or his numbers appear to be early. That said, he's had difficulty going deep into games already and note that he was 0-2 with a 10.95 ERA last year. 

The pick: Zack Wheeler (1-0, 1.29) gets the nod for the home side and allowed three runs with two K's over six innings in a win over the Yankees on Wednesday. Last year Wheeler was 11-8 with a 3.96 ERA and I think the veteran now settles down for his new team here and delivers a gem in friendly confines. Honestly, I feel this line could/should in fact be a lot larger; great value on the home side.

This is a 7* BOOKMAKER'S MISTAKE on the Philadelphia Phillies.

The set-up: Portland has seen four of five go over the number, including in three straight. The Mavericks rested both Luca Doncic and Kristaps Porzingis in their game vs. the Jazz yesterday and while each may see some action today, the rest of the Mavs are clearly going to be "gassed" in the second game of the back to back scenario. While both teams have played to several OVERs, I think the overall situation finally points to a lower-scoring affair.

The pick: Situationally it sets up great for an "under," but also note that the Blazers have seen the total go under the number in eight of their last 11 after playing to three or more consecutive "overs." This number is indeed just a little high.

This is a 10* TOTAL BEST OF THE BEST on the UNDER Blazers/Mavericks.

The set-up: Calgary took two of three from Dallas in the regular season and considering these clubs recent form, I believe the Flames are going to find a way to get the job done in Game 1 of their opening round series. Interesting that these clubs have never met in the playoffs before. Yes the Flames finished the regular season with the 20th ranked offense, bu from January 1st on they moved up into the top seven. In fact Calgary averaged 4.0 GPG in its series win over the Jets. The Flames' special teams was solid with the power play producing at 29.4 per cent and the penalty kill at 88.2 per cent (while also adding a shorthanded goal.) A strong performance from Cam Talbot certainly didn’t hurt either. The netminder went 12-10-1 with average numbers in the regular season but posted a .945 save percentage, 1.51 goals-against average and one shutout in four starts against the Jets.

The pick: The Stars looked terrible in their three round robin games, allowing an average of 36.5 shots per game to the opposition. Dallas was ranked 26th in the NHL in scoring before the break and it looked terrible on that end of the ice during the re-start. I'll back the better in form team here!

This is an 8* play on the Flames.

The set-up: Yes Columbus looked good in its upset series win over the Leafs and yes the Lightning stumbled to an 0-3 record during its round robin stage, but now that "the real thing" is here, I expect the "real" Tampa Bay to show up finally. The Blue Jackets actually won two of three over the Bolts in the regular season, so clearly Tampa won't be taking anything for granted tonight.  The Lighting not only play with revenge from the regular season, but they also play with revenge for the first round playoff knockout by these very CBJ's last year. 

The pick: I just think that Columbus is due for a major mental letdown here after its big emotional series win over the favored Leafs. I believe Tampa was just going through the motions during its first three games, saving itself for the postseason, not caring which team it got in the first round. Despite being down their best defenseman in Victor Hedman, I like Tampa to at the very least, find a way to win Game 1.

This is a 6* play on the Bolts.

The set-up: Neither of these veteran starters has gotten out to a very good start, but both should quickly settle down and be much better moving forward. I like both of these guys, but I think that Sean Manaea has the advantage. Julio Teheran (10-11, 3.81 ERA) gave up two runs off two hits with two walks over 2.2 innings in a loss to the Mariners on Wednesday. Once again Teheran is expected to be on a count today as he works himself back into game shape. 

The pick: Manaea (0-2, 7.00) allowed four runs and a walk while striking out five over 3.1 innings in a no-decision to the Rangers on Wednesday. Manaea has the pedigree and experience to bounce back here though, as note that he was 4-0 with a 1.21 ERA last season. I'm banking on Manaea outlasting his counterpart today and that'll be more than enough for Oakland to deliver.

This is a 9* PLAY-BOOK on the Oakland A's. 

The set-up: Washington's game vs. the Orioles was suspended yesterday after the seventh innings, a 5-2 Baltimore win. The Mets were also involved in a very low-scoring affair yesterday, as they beat Miami 4-2 with their ace Jacob deGrom on the mound. While yesterday's games both went "under" for these teams, I think that Monday's contest sets up more as an offensive affair.

The pick: Patrick Corbin allowed three runs off eight hits over 5.2 innings in a win over these very Mets last Tuesday. Corbin was rock solid last year, but note he had a rather pedestrian 4.48 ERA on the road. He'll be opposed by confirmed "gas can" Steven Matz (0-1, 3.18) who was rocked for five runs off seven hits over three innings in a loss to these very Nationals last Tuesday. Additionally note that New York has seen the total go over the number in seven of its last ten after allowing two runs or less in a victory. This number is a little low in my opinion.

This is a 10* NL TOTAL OF THE WEEK on the OVER on the Nats/Mets.

The set-up: No need to overanalyze this pick, as I think Phillies' ace Aaron Nola is well worth the price of admission in this matchup. Nola (0-1, 3.97 ERA) has one terrible start so far and one great one. In his last start he allowed one run off three hits and no walks while striking out 12 over six innings in an unfortunate no-decision to the Yanks on Wednesday. Note that Nola was particularly good in this spot by going 6-2 with a 2.92 ERA at home last year. 

The pick: The visitors counter with Sean Newcomb (0-0, 8.22) who allowed two runs off five hits over 4.2 innings in a fortunate no-decision to the Jays on Wednesday. In his previous outing Newcomb allowed six runs over four innings vs. the Mets. Considering the talent discrepancy on the mound, I feel that this line should/could in fact be much steeper.

This is a 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on the Philadelphia Phillies.

The set-up: These two teams enter off high-scoring OT contests last time out and I think each enters with "heavy legs." The Mavs are two games behind the Jazz and they come off a thrilling 136-132 OT win over the Bucks, while the Jazz actually went two OT's, but they instead fell 134-132 to the Nuggets. From a situational stand point, I absolutely love how this sets up as more of a "defensive affair," rather than a "run and gun shootout." 

The pick: Both teams have had less than 40 hours since their last game and I expect that fact to lead to extreme fatigue from both sides. This is a great situational play on the under.

This is a 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK on the UNDER Mavericks/Jazz.

The set-up: The Suns are 5-0 in the Bubble, that's both SU and ATS, but I think Phoenix finally takes a step back here vs. surging OKC, who enters off a relatively simple 121-103 win over Washington on Sunday afternoon. Note that that Thunder are a super 7-2 ATS in their last nine when playing the second game of a back to back and off a 15 points or more victory. 

The pick: Additionally note that the Suns have a tough game tomorrow night vs. the 76ers, who are just as hungry for victories right now as well. Everything's been going right for the Suns, but now they face a red hot Thunder team with even greater depth and experience. So while clearly the outright win isn't out of the question, in the end I'll recommend to grab as many points as you can. 

This is a 10* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the OKC Thunder.

The set-up: The Indians beat the White Sox on Saturday afternoon, but I think the home side will dig deep and find a way to get the job done in the finale. The visitors hand the ball to Shane Bieber (2-0, 0.00 ERA) who allowed two runs off five hits over 7.2 innings in a win over the Reds on Tuesday. Bieber's been great, but note that the two runs he gae up in his last game were of the "solo dinger" variety. 

The pick: Lucas Giolito (0-1, 6.52) gets the call for the home side and he enters off a gem as well, allowing two runs while striking out nine over six innings in a 3-2 win over the Brewers on Tuesday. So far over 12 innings Giolito owns a sharp 15:5 K:BB and note that he was particularly strong in this spot last season by posting a 3.37 ERA in all "night" games. Look for the home side to bounce back here behind a vintage performance from Giolito.

This is a 10* ULTIMATE DESTRUCTION on the Chicago White Sox.

The set-up: The Blazers come in off a tough 122-117 loss to the Clippers yesterday afternoon and I think they'll have a hard time mustering up the same energy here. Philadelphia has struggled with consistency in the bubble and it just found that it's lost the services of scorer Ben Simmons for the rest of the season to injury. From an overall "situational" stand point, this contest defintiely sets up as more of a "chess match" than a "run and gun shootout." 

The pick: The eight-game "re-start" was definitely going to be about strategy for most teams and for handicappers that means being flexible with their approach. Certainly approaching the games from a "situational" stand point makes sense to me and that's primarily what this pick is based on. However, not, Portland has also seen the total go under in 12 of its last 18 after allowing 120 points or more in a loss and in the second game of a back-to-back scenario. This number is a tad high.

This is a 10* COACH'S CORNER on the UNDER 76ers/Blazers.

The set-up: I think the massive talent discrepancy on the mound absolutely justifies in laying this larger road price. German Marquez (2-1, 1.89 ERA) most recently allowed two runs off six hits with one walk while striking out nine over eight innings in a commanding performance vs. the Giants on Tuesday. So far Marquez has a sharp 23:5 K:BB over 19 innings worked. 

The pick: Justus Sheffield (0-2, 9.39) most recently allowed four runs off four hits with two walks while striking out five over 4.2 innings. Sheffield has been disastrous so far and he enters with a weak 7:6 K:BB so far. At some point Marquez is going to slip up and regress, but not here vs. the light-hitting Mariners in this pitcher friendly park. Lay the price.

This is a 6* DESTROYER on the Colorado Rockies.

The set-up: After yesterday's high-scoring 8-4 Yanks win, I'm expecting much more of a "duel" in the finale of this three game set. James Paxton (0-1, 13.50 ERA) gets the nod for the visitors, who comes off a pair of poor starts to the 2020 campaign. Paxton had surgery in February and it's caused a decrease in velocity on his fast ball, which has led to a pair of poor outings. The veteran should improve with each outing though, as his track and pedigree definitely point to a comeback effort here sooner, rather than later. 

The pick: Charlie Morton (1-1, 8.00) gets the call for the visitors and he comes off his first win of the year, allowing one run off five hits with no walks and five K's over six innings vs. the Reds on Tuesday. After a shaky first outing, Morton definitely returned to the form which saw him go 16-6 with a 3.05 ERA last season. I'm banking on Morton continuing his progression and I absolutely expect Paxton to be much better here. With these two starters battling deep, look for this one to stay under once it's all said and done.

This is a 10* TOTAL BLOWOUT on the UNDER Yanks/Rays.

The set-up: Both teams have lost both of their round robin contests, but the winner of this one will have the higher seed once the playoff begins. The last time these teams played together was on X-Mas Eve and the B's won 7-3. With one last chance before the playoff start and with the top seed on the line, I look for the league's No. 1 defense to dominate and to post a similar score here once it's all said and done. 

The pick: Additionally note that Boston is 7-2 in its last nine after back-to-back losses, while Washington is just 4-7 in its last 11 in the same position. I think the Bruins come with their "A" game here, so lay the short price.

This is a 10* PLAY-BOOK on the Boston Bruins.

The set-up: With a win in their last game, the Bucks have now clinched the top spot in the East. Everything from here on out is to work on playoff strategy, so don't expect to see much of Giannis Antetokounmpo in this one if you're a Milwaukee fan. 

The pick: The Mavericks on the other hand have lost five of their last seven, most recently getting blown out by the Clippers. Dallas is still in a fight for positioning and it absolutely needs to start playing better if it has any shot at advancing in the postseason. So far it's been a letdown for Luca Doncic and company in the bubble, but a game vs. the Bucks' "B-Team" is just what the doctor ordered to get back on track. Outright victory?! Of course! That said, let's grab the points.

This is a 10* UNDERDOG ELITE OF THE ELITE on the Dallas Mavericks.

The set-up: A couple of confirmed "gas cans" go head to head in this NL matchup on Saturday night and suffice it to say, I'm expecting runs to be plentiful. Anthony DeSclafani (0-0, 0.00 ERA) went five scoreless in his debut vs. the toothless Tigers last Sunday. DeSclafani was only 3-5 with a 4.28 ERA on the road and I believe he'll struggle here as well in this difficult road venue. 

The pick: Brett Anderson (0-0, 6.00) goes for the Brewers and he most recently allowed two runs over three innings to the White Sox on Monday. So far Anderson has struggled with consistency in the early going and all signs point to this trend continuing here. I believe these starters get the hook early and that will ultimately help in contributing to this total flying over sooner, rather than later. 

This is a 10* TOTAL PLAY-BOOK on the OVER Reds/Brewers.

The set-up: No need to overanalyze this one in my opinion, as I fully expect Jake Odorizzi to get the better of his inconsistent counterpart this evening. Odorizzi (0-0, 0.00 ERA) makes his first start of the year here after starting on the IL. He was 15-7 with a 3.51 ERA overall last season and he was particularly good in this position by going 8-4 with a 3.65 ERA on the road.

The pick: Danny Duffy (0-2, 4.11) allowed one run off three hits over six innings in an unfortunate loss to the Cubs last time out. Previous to that he allowed two runs off three hits over three innings. Duffy was just 7-6 with a 4.54 ERA last season and I think he'll struggle vs. the big bats' of Minnesota. I love Odorizzie to perform well in his first start, so lay the price.

This is a 6* ULTIMATE DESTRUCTION on the Minnesota Twins.

The set-up: Despite there being no fans in the stands, I don't think that the home field advantage can be overlooked as a very real deciding factor in this particular matchup. Framber Valdez (0-1, 2.53 ERA) gets the nod for the visitors and after getting rocked for three runs over four innings in a loss to the Dodgers, Valdez bounced back in his last start to allow one run over six innings of relief vs. the Angels in his last outing. He was an unremarkable 4-7 with a 5.69 ERA last year, including just 1-6 with a ballooned 7.76 ERA in all "night" games. 

The pick: Frankie Montas (1-1, 2.25) counters for the home side and he most recently comes off a commanding 11-1 win over the Mariners, allowing one run off four hits with nine K's over seven innings. Montas was 9-2 with a 2.63 ERA last year overall and he was particularly tough in all "day" games, going 3-0 with a 1.50 ERA. All things considered, I think this is the very definition of "great line value." Lay it.

This is a 10* COACH'S CORNER on the Oakland A's. 

The set-up: These teams met three times in the regular season and two of their three games went "under" the number. Each has played two games so far in the bubble and Las Vegas has seen both go "over," while Colorado has seen both go "under." 

The pick: Both starting goaltenders are loaded with experience and talent and I believe they'll "steal the show." 

Las Vegas: Marc-Andre Fleury - playoffs - 1-0, 4.00 GAA, .765 SV% (season - 27-16-5, 2.77 GAA, .905 SV% ) or Robin Lehner - playoffs - 1-0, 3.02 GAA, .893 SV% (season - 19-10-5, 2.89 GAA, .920 SV%) 

Colorado: Philipp Grubauer - playoffs - 1-0, 1.01 GAA, .969 SV% (season - 18-12-4, 2.63 GAA, .916 SV%) or Pavel Francouz - playoffs - 1-0, 0.00 GAA, 1.000 SV% (season - 21-7-4, 2.41 GAA, .923 SV%)

This is a 10* SUPER TOTAL on the UNDER Knights/Avs.

The set-up: Jake Junis is 0-1 with a 4.28 ERA in seven career starts vs. the Twins. KC enters off a rare 13-2 win over the Cubs last night which broke a six-game slide, so I believe a return to mediocrity is imminent after that big emotional outburst. 

The pick: The Twins had their six-game win skein snapped last night after a ninth inning loss to the Pirates. The visitors turn to southpaw Devin Smeltzer (1-0, 11.57 ERA) who makes his third appearance so far in 2020; note that in 2019 he had his best start of his career vs. the Royals, going six scoreless and scattering just two hits. I'm laying the price and expecting an absolute destruction.

This is a 6* SUPER DESTRUCTION on the Minnesota Twins.

The set-up: Mashairo Tanaka has gotten out to a better start for the Yankees than Blake Snell has had for the Rays. Tanaka is 0-0 with a 3.80 ERA, while Snell is 0-0 with a 5.40 ERA. The Yanks come off a four-game split with the Phillies, while the Rays stumbled against the Red Sox yesterday. New York is 9-3 and Tampa is 5-7. This is a series that the Rays would have had circled at the start of the year though and we expect them to come to play today. 

The pick: Additionally note that Snell has been at his best vs. New York at home, going 2-1 with a 2.08 ERA in five starts vs. them there. Off their 5-0 home loss to Boston on Wednesday and with an extra day off to prepare and focus, look for TAMPA to come out firing today.

This is a 10* COACH'S CORNER on the Tampa Bay Rays.

The set-up: Yes, Blake Snell has struggled to start this season a bit, but he's always been at his best vs. the Yankees at home, going 2-1 with a 2.08 ERA in five starts opposed in friendly confines. The problem for Tampa here is that it's offense has been downright terrible, hitting a collective .211 with an on-base percentage of only .303. 

The pick: The Yanks Masahiro Tanaka is 0-0 with a 3.38 ERA this year, but note that he's pretty much dominated the Rays throughout his career by going 10-4 with a 3.20 ERA in 18 starts opposed, including 4-2 with a 1.79 ERA in his last eight vvs. them. I look for these starting pitchers to be the main story lines in tomorrow's summaries. 

This is a 10* TOTAL PLAY-BOOK on the UNDER Yanks/Rays.

The set-up: I think the Penguins are going to dip deep here and find a way to get the job done and push this series to a pivotal Game 5. Matt Murray is still 1-2 with a 2.50 GAA in this series. He also is 4-1-0 with a tiny 2.19 GAA lifetime vs. Montreal. 

The pick: Carey Price has been key in his clubs early success, as he's 2-1-0 with a 2.19 GAA. Overall though Price is only 13-14-5 with 3.01 GAA lifetime vs. Pittsburgh. Montreal has exceeded expectations and I believe a very predictable letdown is imminent here. The Pens are loaded with offensive talent and heart and I look for that to be on full display tonight. I'm laying the price and expecting a blowout and then our first official Game 5.

This is a 10* PLAYOFF GAME OF THE YEAR on the Pittsburgh Penguins.

The set-up: The Jazz come in off a 124-115 victory over the Grizzlies. Utah has looked better after a shaky first couple of games, as its depth and overall defensive acuity has been on full display of late. With a chance to lock up the fourth spot, clearly the last thing the Jazz will want to do is to turn this into a "track meet" with the speedier Spurs. 

The pick: The Spurs come in off a crushing 132-126 loss to the Nuggets and San Antonio is now running out of time. San Antonio will have to commit to playing defense if it has any shot at gaining entry to the postseason in my opinion. I expect a slower-paced, defensive affair between these two hungry Western Conference opponents.

This is a 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK on the UNDER Jazz/Spurs.

The set-up: Denver pulled away for a 132-126 win vs. the Spurs last night, but I think that the Nuggets will predictably come up short here with their overall offensive effort in the second game of the back-to-back scenario. 

The pick: The Blazers are playing well and still have a shot at a playoff spot if they can continue to find ways to win. Last time out Portland controlled the tempo and beat the high-scoring Rockets 110-102 and I expect a similar game-plan deployed tonight as well. This one has the feel of a "chess match," rather than a high-scoring "run and gun shootout." This number is a little high.

This is a 10* TOTAL COACH'S CORNER on the UNDER Blazers/Nuggets.

The set-up: Tyler Chatwood (0-0, 0.71 ERA) gets the nod for the visitors and I think he'll easily get the better of his counterpart Brad Keller (0-0, 0.00) who makes his season debut here after starting the season on the IL due to Covid 19 positive test. Keller isn't expected to see many innings, and it's ultimately why I feel extremely comfortable laying this steeper price on the road team. 

The pick: Chatwood dominated over seven innings on Saturday vs. the Pirates, allowing three hits, two walks and striking out 11 and allowing no runs. Chatwood is on top form and I expect him to dominate this weak Royals lineup. Lay the price.

This is an 8* ULTIMATE DESTRUCTION on the Chicago Cubs.

The set-up: The Astros turn to Brandon Bielak (2-0, 1.69 ERA) here and he most recently gave up one run and struck out six over five innings in a win out of the bullpen vs. the Angels. 

The pick: Zac Gallen (0-0, 2.70) gets the nod for the D-Backs after allowing two runs over six innings vs. the Dodgers on Friday. The problem for Gallen here is the lack of production that his team is making right now at the plate. The Astros are raking and I believe they'll get the job done here in this favorable road matchup. Lay it.

This is a 10* COACH'S CORNER on the Houston Astros.

The set-up: Two veteran pitchers who have been accustomed to success over their careers, but who have struggled somewhat to open this abbreviated season, collide in this AL matchup on Thursday afternoon and suffice it to say, I'm expecting this total to fly over sooner, rather than later. Mike Minor (0-2, 5.91 ERA) gets the nod for the Rangers and he most recently got rocked for six runs off nine hits in a loss to the Giants on Friday. Over 10.2 innings of work Minor now has a poor 1.41 WHIP.

The pick: The A's counter with Mike Fiers (0-0, 5.40) who allowed two runs off four hits and one walk over six frames in a no-decision vs. the soft-hitting Mariners on Saturday, also striking out three. Previous to that Fiers was rocked for four runs off seven hits over four innings in a fortunate no-decision vs. the Angels. These two pitchers have seen better days and I think they'll each "get the hook" early, which will ultimately help in pushing this total over the posted number as the game comes down the stretch.

This is a 10* TOTAL OF THE MONTH on the OVER Rangers/A's.

The set-up: The Wild won Game 1 by shutting down the Canucks, but Vancouver bounced back in Game 2 by pushing the pace from the outset and the result was a 4-3 victory. So which way will Game 3 go? A defensive affair like Game 1, or a more wide open contest like Game 2? In my opinion, it will definitely be more like Game 2. Vancouver looked sluggish in its first game back, but it got its "game legs" underneath it and all signs point to this young team pushing the pace from the opening face-off, until the final horn blares.

The pick: It's interesting to note as well that Vancouver has seen the total go over the number in eight of its last 11 after scoring four or more goals in a victory. As mentioned off the top, this one has wide open "shootout" written all over it.

This is a 10* TOTAL DESTRUCTION on the OVER Canucks/Wild.

The set-up: I think the home side is well worth the price of admission in this spot. The visitors hand the ball to Adrian House (0-0, 1.80 ERA) who gave up one run and three walks over five innings in a no-decision vs. the Pirates in his last outing. Houser for the most part has been very consistent for the Brewers the last couple of seasons, but if he had one clear weakness last year it was his play on the road where he was just a pedestrian 4-4 with a 4.84 ERA. 

The pick: The ChiSox counter with Dallas Keuchel (2-0, 3.38) who earned a win over the Royals on Friday by allowing two runs over six innings while also striking out seven. Keuchel is the correct call here in my opinion, as I don't trust Houser in this difficult interleague road venue. Lay the price.

This is a 10* PLAY-BOOK on the Chicago White Sox.

The set-up: This series is all tied up at one-game a piece after the Penguins won 3-1 in Game 2. I believe we'll see a similar type of ending here, with Pittsburgh's depth, offensive skill and superior defensive play proving to be too much for Montreal to handle as this series wares on. Not only do I expect the Penguins' offense to finally "wake up" here (note, their potent power play is just 1 for 12 so far in this series and I don't expect that trend of futility to continue) and win this game, but I believe they're going to win by a significant margin.

The pick: And that makes laying this goal and a half for the signficant return the sharp wager in my opinion. Additionally note that the Pens are 7-3 in their last ten after a playoff win by two or more goals. 

This is a 10* PUCK-LINE BEST OF THE BEST on the Pittsburgh Penguins.

The set-up: Toronto averages 112.8 PPG and it allows 106.3, while Orlando averages 107.1 PPG and it concedes 107.6. Toronto has looked good defensively so far vs. the Lakers and Heat, but I think it'll finally have it hands full here with the very hungry Magic. 

The pick: Orlando has been off since Sunday after demolishing the Kings 132-116 and I expect it to keep that offensive momentum rolling here (it also plays Indiana on Tuesday, but note that it's seen the total fly over the number in 8 of its last 12 when playing on B2B nights.) The Magic got much healthier with the extra time off and its paying dividends in production on the court. I look for this total to fly over sooner, rather than later.

This is a 10* TOTAL BLOOD-BATH on the OVER Raptors/Magic.

The set-up: This series shifts from Cincinnati to Cleveland for two more. Despite what happens on Tuesday in Cincinnati, I expect these two starting "studs" to be the main storylines in tomorrow's summaries. Luis Castillo (0-1, 4.50 ERA) has faced the Tigers twice already this year and in one game he was downright filthy and in the other he got shelled. Castillo was 15-8 with 3.40 ERA last year and he was especially dominant on the road by going 7-1 with a 3.88 ERA (also 12-3 with a 3.53 ERA in all "night" games.) 

The pick: Mike Clevinger (0-1, 4.91) is coming off back-to-back tough outings, which is uncharacteristic for the Indians' hard-throwing right-hander. Clevinger was 13-4 with a 2.71 ERA last year and he was particularly awesome at home by going 5-1 with a 1.79 ERA. With these two starters expected to throw deep, I look for this total to stay under.

This is a 10* TOTAL ELITE OF THE ELITE on the UNDER Reds/Indians.

The set-up: Both teams are in desperate need of a victory here. Dating back finds the Grizzlies entering on a four-game losing slide, while the Jazz are just 1-2 in the Bubble, including losing back-to-back games. The Grizz enter averaging 112.7 PPG and allowing 113.9, while the Jazz are averaging 110.7 and conceding 108. 

The pick: Utah though has performed incredibly well for bettors in this spot for bettors, going 7-2 ATS in its last nine after back-to-back SU/ATS losses. These teams are very familiar with each other, but the Jazz have the upper hand in a number of matchups (especially in the middle of the paint) and I expect them to pull away down the stretch for a comfortable cover by the end of the night.

This is a 10* DESTRUCTION on the Utah Jazz.

The set-up: This was a pick-em priced game and series, but the Wild dominated with a 3-0 victory in Game 1. The Canucks are a highly talented offensive squad though and I think they'll make the necessary adjustments and come out firing from start to finish in the second battle. 

The pick: Some strong trends back up this play as well, as Minnesota has interestingly seen the total fly over the number in 15 of its last 21 after a shutout victory of three or more goals, while the Canucks have seen the total go over the number in eight of their last 12 after being blanked by three or more goals in their previous outing. Expect a much faster paced affair and for this total to fly over sooner, rather than later.

This is a 10* PLAYOFF TOTAL OF THE MONTH on the OVER Wild/Canucks.

The set-up: No need to overthink this one, as I am not expecting any colossal upsets here or anything. The visitors hand the ball to the suspect Brady Singer (0-0, 3.60 ERA) who gave up two runs and two walks over five innings in a no-decision vs. the toothless Tigers on Thursday (both runs given up were off solo dingers.) 

The pick: Cubs' ace Kyle Hendricks (1-1, 4.05) will be eager to return to form here after allowing six runs off seven hits over 4.1 innings in a loss to the Reds on Wednesday. In his season debut Hendricks through a complete-game shutout with nine K's. Look for this Chicago veteran to return to form here and easily get the better of his younger counterpart; lay the price with confidence. 

This is an 8* BLOWOUT DESTRUCTION on the Chicago Cubs.

The set-up: Both teams have plenty of "pop" in their respective lineups, but I believe that these hungry starting pitchers will be the main story lines in tomorrow's summaries once it's all said and done. Matt Shoemaker (0-0, 1.50 ERA) who comes in extra rested after the Jays' series with the Phillies was postponed over the weekend. Shoemaker looked brilliant in his season debut, holding the Rays to one run off three hits over six frames, and I don't have any reason not to believe that the veteran won't carry that momentum over here as well.

The pick: Max Fried (1-0, 2.31) get the nod for the home side and he was even better than his counterpart in his opener, holding the Rays to one run off three hits while striking out seven over seven innings. These two pitchers already have a similar opponent and each looked brilliant (note as well that Fried was a sharp 9-3 with a 3.21 ERA at home last season as well.) This one has "duel" written all over it. Play the under.

This is a 10* TOTAL PLAY-BOOK on the UNDER Jays/Braves.

The set-up: Patrick Corbin (0-0, 1.42 ERA) had the weekend off because of the postponed series vs. the Marlins and I think that benefits the defending champs' starter. In his first start Corbin looked fantastic as well, retiring the first 11 Yankees he faced (and five via strikeout), ultimately striking out eight with no walks and just one run over seven innings in what turned out to be an unfortunate no-decision.

The pick: Steven Matz (0-1, 3.18) gets the nod for the visitors. Matz allowed three runs off eight hits with two walks over five innings in a loss to the Reds on Thursday. Matz has been consistently inconsistent with his game-to-game performance though and note that he was particular poor on the road last season, going just 3-8 with a 6.67 ERA. Look for the well rested home side to take advantage and lay this very reasonable price.

This is a 10* GAME OF THE MONTH on the Washington Nationals.

The set-up: The Suns entered the Bubble healthier than they've been all season and that has translated into two straight victories, but I think that Phoenix will finally stumble here vs. this "step up" in competition. The Clippers lost to the Lakers in their first game, before recovering to hammer the Pelicans 126-103 in their second. Phoenix is still 2.5 games behind the Spurs for the eighth spot with six games remaining, but the Clippers are only two games up on third-place Denver. Unfortunately for the Suns, the Clippers can't afford to take the foot off the gas either. 

The pick: Note that the Clippers are now 8-1 ATS in their last nine vs. the Western Conference, while the Suns are a poor 2-9 ATS in their last 11 in this series. I believe the Suns lack of depth on the bench gets exposed here as the game comes down the stretch. Lay the points.

This is a 10* GAME OF THE MONTH on the LA Clippers.

The set-up: Utah looked out of sorts in its 110-94 setback to the Thunder. The Jazz managed a slim victory over the Pelicans in their opener and while they may not take this game outright, I do think the stage is set for a nail-biter. The Lakers of course looked good in their opener vs. the Clippers, but they seemed pretty disinterested in their second game, a blowout loss to the Raptors. 

The pick: The fact of the matter is, the Lakers only needed to go 1-7 over these final eight games to lock up the top spot in the West and they already did that in their first game. LA does not need to push the pace or risk injury at all over the next two weeks, instead it can already be planning for the playoffs and working on different things related to that. The Jazz though need to find consistency and tonight's game is ultra important in proving that. I'm grabbing the points.

This is an 8* play on the Utah Jazz.

The set-up: Montreal and Carey Price looked impressive in their 3-2 win over the Pens in Game 1 of their five-game play-in series, but with their backs against the wall, I believe the Penguins will bounce back in fine fashion in the second game. For me, the value definitely lies with Pittsburgh here, which remains the much deeper offensive team. If the Habs had any shot at stealing this series, Price had to elevate his game and while he did do that in Game 1, he's consistently been inconsistent from game to game throughout his career and I expect that pattern to continue. 

The pick: While this line will surely continue to climb before face-off, it did open at right around -150. If Pittsburgh had actually won Game 1, that line would have opened closer to -180 (or possibly higher?!) The value is on the hungrier/more desperate and overall better talented Pens side.

This is an 8* UPPER-SHELF DESTRUCTION on the Pittsburgh Penguins.

The set-up: The Spurs looked good in their Opening Day win, but they play against a hungry Memphis team on Sunday and I think they'll predictably stumble here vs. a 76ers side which will be out to prove that their blowout loss to the Pacers in their Opener was just an "outlier." 

The pick: As primarily a situational handicapper, these are the types of "spots" that I am always keeping my eyes open for. For all intents and purposes, this becomes a "must win" for Philly, who can't afford any more chemistry issues or execuses. I'm laying the points.

This is an 8* play on the Philadelphia 76ers.

The set-up: The Mets and Braves conclude their three game series on Monday night and in my opinion, I think the home side has the advantage here in this duel of team "aces." The visitors go with Jacob deGrom (0-0, 1.64 ERA) gave up two runs over six innings while striking out four in a no-decision vs. the Red Sox on Wednesday. deGrom continues to be the victim of poor run support and with the recent off field issues involving Yoenis Cespidis, things aren't looking any better for this already struggling New York hitting line-up. 

The pick: Mike Soroka (0-0, 1.59) gets the nod for the home side and he'd give up three runs (just two earned) over 5.1 innings while also striking out five in a no-decision vs. the Rays on Wednesday. Note that Soroka was extremely dominant in all "night" games last year as well, going 9-2 with a 2.50 ERA. I like Soroka and the Braves to lay the hammer down here.

This is a 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on the Atlanta Braves.

The set-up: The Pacers laid the hammer down on Philly 127-121 in their opener and I expect them to keep the foot on the gas here as well in their second game vs. the undermanned and "gassed" Wizards. Washington has a game vs. the Nets on Sunday afternoon and I believe it's going to predictably come into this one with "heavy legs." 

The pick: Indiana took two of three in the regular season series and that was without the services of Victor Oladipo. I believe Indiana will push the pace/tempo from the opening tip until the final horn and that's why I have no issues at all in laying these points.

This is a 10* play on the Indiana Pacers.

The set-up: The Nuggets looked sluggish in their 125-105 setback to the Heat in their opener, but I think this incredibly deep team will make adjustments and come out much better in its second outing. The Thunder rolled over the Jazz, but Utah had a mental lapse there after its 106-104 Opening night win over the Pelicans. 

The pick: Denver took two of three in the regular season series, as its big men present significant matchup issues for OKC. I expect Denver to indeed make some adjustments and to continue its recent domination of this particular matchup. 

This is an 8* play on the Denver Nuggets. 

The set-up: Dallas lost 153-149 to the Rockets in OT in its opening game back, but I believe it'll get the job done tonight in its second outing vs. the Suns, who enter off a 125-112 win over the Wizards in their opener. 

The pick: Dallas took two of three in the season series, as this is a matchup which definitely favors it. Note as well that the Mavs are a sharp 8-4 ATS in their last 12 Western Conference contests after allowing 150 points or more in a loss in their prevoius outing. I'm banking on a bounce back blowout here.

10* play on the Dallas Mavericks.

The set-up: The Leafs took two of three in the regular season series, but I like Columbus to at the very least, take this one into extra time and push Toronto to the brink (in Game 1 anyways!) Elvis Merzlikins is a difference maker for Columbus here in my opinion, as he enters the playoffs sporting a 2.35 GAA for the season (ranked third overall in the East and sixth in the league). 

The pick: Frederick Anderson has a 2.85 GAA, which ranks him 18th in the Eastern Conference. Note that Columbus lost 419 man games when the league stopped on March 12th, by far the most in the NHL. Now it's healthy and I expect that to pay dividends to open up the Playoffs. 

8* PUCK-LINE DESTROYER on the Columbus Blue Jackets.

The set-up: The Spurs looked good in their 129-120 win over the Kings, but I think they'll struggle against the equally as "deep," but now even hungrier Grizzlies, who enter off the tough 140-135 OT setback to the Blazers. 

The pick: The Grizz won two of three in the regular season and I predict another ATS victory here. Note as well that Portland is just 2-7 ATS in its last nine after at OT win in which it scored 140 points or more in. I'm banking on the "hungrier" team that lost on Opening night to dig deep and find a way to get the job done at the end of this one.

8* play on the Memphis Grizzlies. 

The set-up: Portland received a two point shot from Carmelo Anthony at the end of regulation to push its opening game vs. the Grizzlies to OT and then the Blazers pulled way for the 140-135 victory. The Celtics on the other hand had to play from behind the entire night vs. the Bucks in their opener and while they played tough, they'd ultimately lose 119-112. 

The pick: I think though that the Blazers come into this contest predictably "gassed," while I look for the much hungrier Celtics, who got much stronger in the second half of their loss to Milwaukee. Note that the C's almost won as well with star Jason Tatum having his worst game almost of his entire career as well. That's not going to happen twice though. Look for this deep Boston side to bounce back with a solid ATS victory on Sunday.

8* play on the Boston Celtics.

The set-up: With a line like this, clearly the oddsmakers think these teams are evenly matched. On paper that would appear to be the case, as each pretty much dominated right up until the coronavirus break. Both teams have plenty of depth, talent and each is backed by superb goaltending. It honestly wouldn't be too difficult to write a convincing argument for either team. All of that said though, I do indeed feel the best way to approach these opening games is from a "situational" stand point and in my opinion, Boston's experience is the trump card in this particular matchup. The Bruins have been among the league's best for many years and they lead the NHL in almost every offensive and defensive statistical category this season. 

The pick: "Momentum" is a very real, almost "tangible" thing in sports and I think the long lay off will absolutely throw the proverbial "monkey wrench" into the Flyers fantastic start to the 2019/20 campaign. All things considered, I'd say that this is the very definition of "great line value."

10* GAME OF THE MONTH on the Boston Bruins.

The set-up: The Nets looked great for one quarter vs. the Magic in their Opener, but they then predictably stumbled and then end up losing 128-118, the total sailing well over the posted numer. The Wizards similarily looked strong at points in their opener vs. the Suns, but in the end they also fell behind and were unable to catch up, eventually succumbing 125-112, the total also eclipsing the posted number by a significant margin. Both teams entered the bubble with significant injury issues and that's again the case here. Instead of a high-scoring, back and forth shootout though, I believe this total will stay well under the number once it's all said and done. 

The pick: The Wizards won all three regular season matchups between the clubs. Note that two of those three would have fallen well under this number as well. Despite these teams both playing to "overs" in their respective first games back, I believe their second will be much more of a sloppy, defensive affair.

10* EASTERN-CONFERENCE TOTAL OF THE YEAR on the UNDER Wizards/Nets.

The set-up: No upsets here as I look for the Rays to take full advantage of this starting pitching matchup. Yonny Chirinos (0-0, 0.00 ERA) gets the nod for the visitors and he'd give up one run off four hits to go along with four K's over four innings in a no-decision vs. the Braves on Tuesday. The Rays went easy on their starter to open the year, but Chirinos will now be given the green light to resume a full game regimen.

The pick: Tommy Milone (0-1, 12.00) was annihilated for four runs off four hits with three walks over three innings in a 13-2 loss to the Red Sox on Friday. Milone was a poor 4-10 with a 4.76 ERA while with Seattle last season and I don't think he'll be able to keep pace with Chirinos whatsoever. Milone is in the line-up out of necessity and I think he gets the hook early here again. Lay the price.

8* TOP VALUE PLAY on the Tampa Bay Rays.

The set-up: One team which is certainly not a "fraud" is the Toronto Raptors. The long lay off definitely helps the defending champs, as they had several key players dealing with nagging injury issues. Those are now resolved and this under-rated team comes in looking for a back-to-back opportunity. 

The pick: I think the Lakers come in a step slow here after their opening night contest vs. division rival Clippers. I'm grabbing the points, but I wouldn't be shocked by a straight up situational victory here.

10* play on the Toronto Raptors.

The set-up: Teams will have to build chemistry "on the fly" in the NHL Playoff tournament. Both teams come in healthy, which benefits the favored Penguins here, who I believe are simply too deep and talented for this Canadiens side to upset. 

The pick: Montreal barely made it into the qualifying round with the fewest amount of points of all 24 teams. The Habs are streaky, but their entire post-season hopes ride on veteran goaltender Carey Price's shoulders. Conversely, Pittsburgh can turn to many different leaders on any night. Considering the circumstances, I believe Pittsburgh should/could in fact be a much larger fav in this one.

8* DESTROYER on the Pens.

The set-up: I think this is a great spot to the pull the trigger on the hungry underdog side. The visitors hand the ball to Zack Godley (0-0, 0.00 ERA) who gave up four hits with seven K's over four scoreless frames vs. the Mets in his team debut. It was a great showing and I think the veteran can carry that momentum over here and at the very least, match Masahiro Tanaka inning for inning.

The pick: Tanaka (0-0, 0.00) suffered a concussion in Spring Training after taking a come back liner to the head, but he's now been cleared to go. Tanaka was a mediocre 11-9 with a 4.45 ERA last year, including a sub-par 4-5 with a 5.46 ERA in all "night" contests. Despite what happens on Friday night, I like Godley here to get the better of Tanaka, who I believe comes in "rusty" after his unfortunate injury in Spring training. 

10* SITUATIONAL UNDERDOG DESTRUCTION on the Boston Red Sox.

The set-up: The 76ers are a fraud in my opinion until they can finally prove that they can win an important series. Philly was just 10-24 on the road this season as well.  

The pick: The Pacers played well without Victor Oladipo and whether he plays or not, I think Indiana has a real shot at taking this opening contest ouright. Note that Indiana was one of the most effective offensive teams in the NBA, hitting 47.7 percent from the field and 36.3 percent from range. Grab as many points as you can.

8* play on the Indiana Pacers.

The set-up: New Orleans has a tough game out of the gate in Utah on Opening night and I think it'll come in tired here. New Orleans was one of the hottest teams before the break, but one has to wonder if the long lay off will a proverbial "monkey wrench" into its momentum? 

The pick: Same for the Clippers though, who sit three games back of the Lakers, a team which they face on Opening night July 30th. All three of their regular season games would have easily blasted past this posted number, but the overall situation makes the "under" the correct call finally in this matchup.

10* play on the UNDER Pels/Clips.

The set-up: We're not dealing with your typical scenario obviously with this re-start. For me this particular selection comes down to the fact that the Jazz will be looking to take advantage of New Orleans on Opening Night and won't be prepared for the quick turnaround vs. the deep Thunder. 

The pick: OKC is loaded with talent and it's good on both ends of the floor. The Thunder can't sit back and hope things turn out well here, they have to hit the ground running. As far as "situational" plays go, I think this is as solid as it gets.

8* play on the OKC Thunder.

The set-up: Both teams sit first in their respective divisions. Both teams are going to want to hit the ground running as to build momentum, but I believe that Miami is better prepared on Opening night. Miami is a young team and I think the extra time off will help this group focus. 

The pick: Jamal Murray is questionable as well for Denver, which swings things in favor of Jimmy Butler and the Heat here in my opinion. Miami was poor on the road, but the proximity to home helps it in this situation as well. 

8* play on the Miami Heat.

The set-up: The Mavericks have a golden opportunity to catch up to the Rockets, who are first int he Southwest at 40-24. Dallas is 40-27. To say this is a "big" game right out of the gates would be an understatement. Note that Houston is 29-35-0 ATS this year, while Dallas is 35-29-3. 

The pick: Both teams are dealing with a few injury issues, but certainly Houston's Russell Westbrook having to deal with the coronavirus right now is the biggest blow. Westbrook is listed as questionable for this contest. That's a major issue in my opinion for Houston and I believe that Dallas will attack from the outset in this game. Houston opened as the fav, but now Dallas is. Regardless, I look for the Mavericks depth to prove to be too much for James Harden to overcome by himself on Opening Night.

10* GAME OF THE MONTH on the Dallas Mavericks.

The set-up: The Rays "ace" continues to struggle. Blake Snell (0-0, 0.00 ERA) was 6-8 with a 4.29 ERA last year and he'd allow three hits and two walks while striking out five in a no-decision vs. the Jays on Sunday. Note that he was particularly ineffective on the road as well last season, going just 2-5 with a 5.82 ERA. 

The pick: Alex Cobb (1-0, 1.69) is a late fill in here and while he did well with a victory over the Red Sox on Saturday in his season debut, I still think the book is out on the veteran, who previously hadn't won a game since 2018. Cobb was 0-2 with a 10.95 ERA last year and I think that regression is definitely imminent in this difficult second matchup. I am anticipating that each starter will get chased early which will help tremendously in pushing this total over the number by the end of the night.

10* TOTAL OF THE MONTH on the OVER Rays/Orioles.

The set-up: Colorado had the day off on Thursday to travel home and prepare for this game. The Padres on the other hand played in San Francisco on Thursday. Garrett Richards (0-0, 0.00 ERA) went five scoreless vs. the toothless D-Backs in his opener. Richards has dealt with injuries throughout his career and I think he's in the wrong place at the wrong time here. 

The pick: Jon Gray (0-0, 1.93) gets the nod for the home side and he most recently allowed one run off three hits while striking out three over five innings in a no-decision vs. the Rangers on Saturday. I like the veteran to build off that decent outing and to take advantage of the familiar surroundings; great price on the hungry home side!

8* ANNIHILATION on the Colorado Rockies.

The set-up: The White Sox can't be too happy on how they've started, so they'll be extra anxious to here to get untracked vs. the lowly Royals. The visitors hand the ball to Dallas Keuchel (1-0, 3.38 ERA) who earned a victory vs. the Twins on Saturday, allowing two runs off three hits with zero walks over six innings. There's no reason not to believe that Keuchel won't be able to carry that momentum over here. 

The pick: Kris Bubic is 22 years old and he's yet to even throw at the Double A level, but the talent-strapped Royals have little choice but to throw the rookie to the hungry wolves here. Perhaps Bubic will go on to be the greatest pitcher in the history of the game, but I think he'll struggle here in this difficult first matchup. All things considered, a great price.

10* COACH'S CORNER on the Chicago White Sox.

The set-up: Both teams need victories to advance past the first eight games. The longer lay off though has me believing that each side will come out with some "offensive rust" to start. 

The pick: Also note, I'm basing this pick on the massive amount of talent that's going to be sidelined for each club.

Sacramento 

De'Aaron Fox Ankle is questionable 

Harrison Barnes COVID-19 is questionable Friday vs San Antonio

Richaun Holmes COVID-19 is questionable Friday vs San Antonio

Buddy Hield COVID-19 is questionable Friday vs San Antonio

Alex Len COVID-19 is questionable Friday vs San Antonio

Jabari Parker COVID-19 is questionable Friday vs San Antonio

Marvin Bagley III Foot is out indefinitely

San Antonio Spurs 

LaMarcus Aldridge Shoulder is out for season

Dejounte Murray Calf is out indefinitely

Jakob Poeltl Knee is out indefinitely

10* TOTAL OF THE MONTH on the UNDER Kings/Spurs.

The set-up: Is Dylan Bundy the better pitcher in this matchup? I'm not so sure. It was just last week that Shohei Ohtani was favored on the road in Oakland over Mike Fiers despite having not thrown in the majors since 2018. I had a play on the A's then, as I thought the line was way off and that's the case here as for this particular matchup as well. The M's go with Marco Gonzales (0-1, 6.23 ERA) who lost on Opening day to Houston. Gonzales though is 5-1 with a 4.17 ERA in 12 starts vs. the Angels, which includes a sparkling 3-0, 3.12 ERA in six starts in Anaheim. 

The pick: Bundy (1-0, 1.35) gave up one run over six innings in a win over the A's in his opener and while he's enjoyed success vs. the M's in the past, I still think he's over priced here. I look for Gonzales to match Bundy inning for inning and in a scenario like that, I'll definitely jump on the hungry dog. Look for Seattle to build off yesterday's 10-7 victory.

10* UNDERDOG BEST OF THE BEST on the Seattle Mariners.

The set-up: To say these are unprecedented times would be an understatement. Whoever is on the court today, I believe the overall circumstances of this situation will help in driving this total well under the number once it's all said and done. 

The pick: Also note that these teams have played three games against each other already, with the Clippers winning 112-102 on October 22nd, LA also prevailing 111-106 on December 25th, before the Lakers coming out on top 112-103 on March 8th. All three of those games would have also stayed "under" this number that we have posted for Opening Night. This number is just a little high in my opinion.

10* SUPER TOTAL on the Clippers/Lakers UNDER.

The set-up: The Padres have looked good in the early going, but I think they're over-priced on the road here, swinging the value to the hungry home side. Chris Paddack (1-0, 0.00 ERA) gets the nod for the visitors and he enters off having gone six scoreless in his season debut vs. the toothless D-Backs on Friday. If Paddack had one weakness last year, it was his play on teh road though, going 3-4 with a 4.53 ERA. 

The pick: Johnny Cueto (0-0, 2.25) gets the call for the home side and he earned a no-decision in his team's season opener, allowing one run off five hits while striking out three over four innings. I look for the veteran to match Paddack inning for inning and in a scenario like that, the hungrier home dog is the correct call in my opinion.

8* BAIL-OUT BLOWOUT on the San Francisco Giants.

The set-up: I think the Braves' ace could/should easily be a much bigger in this particular matchup. The Rays turn to Charlie Morton (0-1, 13.50 ERA), who after going 16-6 with a 3.05 ERA last season, struggled mightily in his first start of 2020, allowing six runs off seven hits over four innings to the Jays. 

The pick: Mike Soroka (0-0, 0.00) was 13-4 with a 2.68 ERA last year and he dominated in his first start of the year vs. the Mets on Friday, going six scoreless, allowing four hits, no walks and striking out three (note that Soroka was also a sharp 9-2 with a 2.50 ERA in all "night" games last season). I believe Morton's regression is going to be significant over the short-term and I have no reason not to expect Soroka to be able to carry his momentum and confidence over into his first home contest. I'm laying the price.

10* GAME OF THE MONTH on the Atlanta Braves.

The set-up: I think that Jacob deGrom (0-0, 0.00 ERA) is well worth the price of admission vs. the volatile Nathan Eovaldi and the Boston Red Sox. deGrom went five scoreless vs. the Braves in his opener, allowing one hit and one walk while striking out eight. deGrom has been absolutely dominant at home throughout his career and I expect that trend to carry over here. 

The pick: Eovaldi (1-0, 1.50) gave up one run over six innings in a 13-2 win over the Orioles in his opener. Eovaldi looked decent, but I believe he'll struggle in this difficult interleague venue (had a poor 6.04 ERA after the all star break last season). Lay the price.

8* PITCHING MISMATCH on the New York Mets.