The set-up: I'm all about picking "spots." Here's a good one for Milwaukee in my opinion. The Bucks have issues this year, but they play with immediate revenge after losing here to the Raptors 124-113 two nights ago. That was the Bucks fourth straight SU/ATS loss in a row and suffice it to say, I expect Milwaukee to hit the panic button and play with extreme desperation here as it tries to break the slide. OKC is in town tomorrow night, but the Bucks won't be looking past Eastern rival Toronto obviously. 

The pick: With a game at Minnesota tomorrow though, the Raptors could easily be caught looking ahead to that much more "winnable" game, content with having already earned a hard-fought split against the Bucks. From a situational stand-point, it definitely is a great play on the Bucks here in my opinion. But also note, Milwaukee is 7-1 ATS in its last eight in trying to revenge a home loss vs. an opponent in which it allowed 120 or more points in. I'm laying the points and expecting a major blowout.

This is a 10* REVENGE BEST OF THE BEST on the Bucks.

The set-up: Iowa has won two a row to move to 9-5 in Big Ten play. Iowa most recently hammered Michigan State 88-58 on Saturday. Wisconsin though enters having lost two straight to fall go 9-6 in conference play. Most recently the Badgers lost 67-59 to Michigan. The Badgers will have to push the pace here though to keep up with Iowa's high-flying offense which enters averaging 87.4 PPG. The Hawkeyes aren't nearly as good on the defensive side though, allowing 73.5 PPG. 

The pick: The Badgers are averaging 70.3 PPG, while conceding 62.6. Wisconsin though should be noted that it's seen the total go "over" the number in ten of its last 14 after two or more SU losses in a row. I look for Iowa to push the pace and for the hungry Badgers to respond. Look for this total to fly over sooner, rather than later.

This is a 10* BIG TEN TOTAL OF THE MONTH on the OVER Iowa/Wisconsin.

The set-up: New York is playing well, as it enters on a three-game win streak. The Knicks are needing massive games every night from Julius Randle to pull these out though and I think he and the rest of the visiting side are in for a bit of a letdown on the road here finally. 

The pick: The Magic on the other hand are out to bounce back at home here off a 19 point road loss to the Suns. Previous to that they broke a slide with a win at Sacramento. This is a revenge game for the Magic as well after they lost by seven in The Big Apple in mid January. New York only shot 36 percent in that victory as well, but got another big game from Randle. However, as I stated above, I can't see that happening again here and especially now that the Knicks are hitting the road. Note that the Magics are 7-2 ATS in their last nine after losing by 15 or more points SU/ATS on the road in their last outing as well. I'm grabbing the points.

This is a 10* DESTRUCTION on the Orlando Magic.

The set-up: Mercer is 12-8 and East Tennessee State is 12-9. The Bears average 79.1 PPG, which is pretty good, but they allow 74.3, which isn't particularly great. East Tennessee State will try to take advantage here, as it averages 70 PPG, while allowing 65.1. 

The pick: The "over" though is 7-3 in the Bears last ten road games and I'm definitely anticipating a more wide open contest here, where each teams pushes the pace from the opening tip, until the final horn. A faster pace = more shots and more shots = more points. Look for these two front runners to eclipse this posted total sooner, rather than later.

This is a 10* TTOAL DESTRUCTION on the OVER Mercer/East Tennessee State.

The set-up: Florida comes in off a 6-3 win over the Lightning, while Carolina enters off a 7-3 win over Columbus. These teams have each seen the total go "over" in three straight and this is the first time they've seen each other this season. While both teams have been playing to many high-scoring affairs this season, I beleive this opening contest finally sets up as more of a defensive affair. 

The pick: Florida has seen the total go "under" in eight of its last 11 road games after scoring six or more goals in a three-goals or greater victory, while Carolina has seen the total dip below the posted number in ten of its last 14 after scoring six or more goals in a victory in its last outing. Look for these two rivals to battle to a tighter, lower-scoring contest on Wednesday night.

This is a 10* TOTAL DESTRUCTION on the UNDER Panthers/Hurricanes.

The set-up: I had a free play on the Penguins on the puckline in their 6-3 win over Washington here two nights ago (paid +180), and while that game obviously flew well "over" the number, I expect this second contest to be more of a defensive affair. It's all hands on deck now for the Capitals, who have lost four straight coming into this one. Washington can score, but it needs to double down immediately on the defensive end if it has any hopes of breaking the slide. 

The pick: The Pens are on a two game win streak, but note that they've seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 11 home games after scoring six or more goals in a three goals or greater victory in their last outing. I expect a hard-fought, but ultimately lower-scoring affair here on Tuesday night.

This is a 10* TOTAL ELITE OF THE ELITE on the UNDER Capitals/Penguins.

The set-up: I think this one sets up well from a situational stand point for Boston. In this season of "COVID," situational handicapping has become very useful in certain...situations. Denver is coming off a big home win over the Lakers and it has a game at Washington tomorrow night. The Celtics have lost three in a row and are desperate for a victory before Atlanta comes to town for a two-game set, starting tomorrow night. One of these teams is desperate, the other is very content.

The pick: Additionally note that the C's are 7-2 ATS in their last nine non-conference home games following a three games or longer SU losing streak. I'm expecting a blowout once the final horn sounds, so lay the points with confidence.

This is a 10* COACH'S CORNER on the Celtics.

The set-up: Austin Peay is 13-8, while Southeast Missouri State is 7-14. These teams played at Austin Peay a few nights ago and the Governors hammered the Redhawks 78-63. But with a game at 17-5 Eastern Kentucky up next, I think the visiting side will have a much more difficult time duplicating its offensive performance against this revenge-minded SE Missouri State team on the road. After winning five of seven, and with the upcoming two-game series vs. Eastern Kentucky, this one sets up as a trap for the visitors. 

The pick: The Redhawks are the "hungrier" side here, as they look to snap a three-game losing streak. The Governors are the deeper, more experienced team, but this situation favors the home side. I'll stop short in predicting an outright upset, but everything points to this one coming right down to the wire.

This is a 10* PLAY-BOOK on SE Missouri State.

The set-up: I like the Hawks on the moneyline here, as I expect them to find a way to leave The Big Apple with a victory. Atlanta is the hungrier team, and I believe that motivating factor will prove to be the difference. Conversely, all signs point to a classic letdown here for the Knicks after two straight wins. This is also a revenge game, as New York has taken four of hte last five in the series, including three of four in this building. Last month Trae Young had 31 points and 14 assists vs. the Knicks and I look for the Hawks' star to duplicate that success. 

The pick: Mitchell Robinson was in the line-up for the Knicks the first time they faced the Hawks, but he won't be this evening. Atlanta has two tough road games at Boston up next, followed by a home game against Denver, making tonight's contest the most "winnable" by far of all of these. Combined with the urgency factor after two straight losses and the expected letdown from the Knicks, I look for Atlanta to find a way to get the job done at the end of the night. 

This is a 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on the Atlanta Hawks.

The set-up: The Isles are coming off a 4-2 win over the Bruins and I like them to take advantage of a Sabres team which hasn't seen any action since January 31st. Last night I had a free play on the Penguins on the PUCK LINE, -1.5 +185. My reasoning was that the extra week and a half off that the Capitals had wasn't going to help them, but was in fact likely a detriment. The Pens had just come off a win over these very Islanders and I thought they'd carry that momentum over in that favorable spot. 

The pick: Despite being on the road, this contest sets up almost identically for the Islanders. Who, as I just mentioned, come to town on top form. Expect the Isles to build off their last win and to catch Buffalo a little flat-footed in its first game back to action.

This is an 8* DESTRUCTION on the New York Islanders.

The set-up: The Lightning smashed the Panthers 6-1 two nights ago, but I expect a more competitive and ultimately lower-scoring contest in the end here. These two teams both have excellent goaltending and on most nights, their defense is among the best in the league as well. Florida though has seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 12 in trying to revenge a home loss vs. an opponent in which it allowed five or more goals in.

The pick: Florida is just 2-10 the last 12 in this series. The Panthers will be desperate here and I think that'll come in the form of doubling down on the defensive end as they look to get Tampa "off its game." A great situational call on the "under" in my opinion.

This is a 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK on the UNDER Panthers/Bolts.

The set-up: Virginia sits atop the conference after taking out UNC 60-48 at 11-1 thus far. Florida State enters of a momentum-building 92-85 OT win over Wake Forest and it's now 11-3 overall and 7-2 in ACC action. The Cavaliers of course get the job done with their smothering defensive play (58.8 per contest conceded), as they enter averaging 69.9 PPG. 

The pick: The Seminoles average 79.1 PPG, while conceding just 69.4. This is a team which likes to get down and dirty defensively as well, but it's their up-tempo pace on offense which I think UVA will have difficulties matching. Especially on the road. Yes, this is a much-improved UVA team, one of the best that FSU has seen all year. But the said can also be said for the Cavaliers, on the road facing an underrated and dangerous FSU side. I'm going with FSU to win at home in this one.

This is a 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on Florida State.

The set-up: These are two good teams. Two good defensive teams. I think this number is a little low though. East Tennessee State enters off a 71-49 win over Wofford in its last outing. The Bucs average 71 PPG, while conceding 65.8. Overall the Buccaneers are 12-8 overall.

The pick: Chattanooga is 16-5 overall. The Mocs enter off a 70-66 win over the Citadel. Chattoonga averages 74.3 PPG, while allowing 69.8. The "over" is 8-3 in the Mocs last 11 home games. These two teams beat other teams with their tough defensive play, but when these two strengths collide, I feel that the value in this one has now swung the other way as far as the total is concerned. This number is a little low in my estimation.

This is an 8* TOTAL DESTRUCTION on the OVER East Tennessee State/Chattanooga.

The set-up: Cleveland's lost seven straight on the road. The Cavaliers only average around 104 PPG. Cleveland's defense is in the top ten though, conceding around 110 PPG. The Clippers will need to focus, but not run up the score here. LA has a much tougher contest against the Heat here tomorrow night, so I expect the team to get focussed on that matchup as well here in the second half. From a situational stand point, I think this one sets up great as more of a defensive affair. 

The pick: The Cavs have seen the total go "under" the number in five of their last seven after seeing the total go "over" in three or more straight contests, while LA has seen the total dip below the posted number in eight of its last 11 home games after posting 125 points or more in a SU/ATS road victory in its last outing (won 126-106 at Chicago.) Considering all the above information, I do indeed feel this total is a little high.

This is an 8* TOTAL DESTRUCTION on the UNDER Cavs/Clippers.

The set-up: The first thing that comes to mind when we look at these two teams is obviously, high-scoring offenses. Both teams push the pace and each has difficulty defending the perimeter, but I believe this line is a bit inflated due to public perception, as it's now automatic for many NBA bettors to just hammer the "over" whenever Dallas plays these days. So why will today's matchup finally stay "under" here?

The pick: Let's take a quick look at these team's offensive averages to start. Portland averages 115.2 PPG, while Dallas averages 112.7. After holding on for a 143-130 win over the Pelicans on Friday, I expect this Dallas offense to take a step back here. Portland beat Cleveland 129-110 in a high-scoring home game, but note that the Blazers have seen the total dip below the posted number in seven of their last ten road games after scoring 125 or more points in a SU/ATS home victory in their last outing. This can still be a high-scoring game and stay "under" this sky-high number, and that's exactly what I'm expecting. 

This is a 10* TOTAL COACH'S CORNER on the UNDER Blazers/Mavericks.

The set-up: This is a revenge game for ASU after it fell 80-79 at Oregon State in the final moments. Oregon State though is just 10-9 overall with a 6-7 league record, entering this one on a two-game slide, most recently falling 70-61 on the road to the Arizona Wildcats. Arizona State is only 6-9 overall and 3-6 in conference play. Most recently the Sun Devils lost 75-64 to Oregon on Thursday. 

The pick: Overall these teams numbers are very similar. ASU's offense is slightly better and Oregon State's defense is a little better. The back-to-back road games isn't doing Oregon State any favors though. Home floor, combined with the revenge factor (note that ASU is 7-2 ATS in its last nine in trying to revenge an in-season road loss to an opponent in which it allowed 80 or more points in. Lay the points, expect a blowout.

This is a 10* PLAYBOOK on Arizona State.

The set-up: These are two poor teams, but I think this one will be decided by whichever side has its hands on the ball last. Miami is 7-11 overall and 3-10 in league play. Most recently it lost 80-76 to Virginia Tech. However, a postponement in its game vs. UNC on Monday will be beneficial for sure in my opinion for the Hurricanes, who get an extra couple days off to focus and prepare to take advantage. 

The pick: The Irish are just 8-10 overall and 5-7 in conference action. Notre Dame looks primed for a letdown here as well after a 93-89 win over Duke on Tuesday. Neither team will qualify for the Big Dance, so motivation in that respect simply isn't there for either of these team's right now. Miami has had to deal with plenty of injury issues, but it plays with revenge here after falling 73-59 at home to the Irish earlier in the season. I think Notre Dame gets caught flat-footed after its big win from last time out and I like the hungrier Hurricanes to keep this one interesting down the stretch. Grab the points.

This is an 8* ACC DESTRUCTION on Miami.

The set-up: Washington is out to atone for a lousy 7-4 home loss to the Flyers in its last outing. Pittsburgh's coming off a 4-3 shootout win at the Islanders, after losing 4-3 to the Isles a couple nights earlier. These teams have been playing to some higher-scoring affairs of late (the entire league has seen elevated offensive numbers), but I think the conditions are now finally right for more of a defensive affair.  

The pick: Each club has had issues defensively and between the pipes, but note that the Capitals have seen the total go "under" in seven of their last ten after allowing six or more goals in a three goals or greater home loss in their last outing, while the Penguins have seen the total dip below the posted number in 14 of their last 22 after an OT road victory in which it score four or more goals in. Expect a tight, and ultimately lower-scoring "under" in this one.

This is a 10* TOTAL COACH'S CORNER on the UNDER Caps/Pens.

The set-up: It's an immediate revenge scenario for lowly UNLV, which lost 78-66 to the Broncos on Thursday. I expect a tighter contest here and while I'll stop short in calling for an outright upset, everything points to this one coming right down to the wire in my opinion. Bryce Hamilton is a matchup issue for any team. If Hamilton can get any type of support, the Rebels have a legitimate shot at winning this game outright (he finished with 26 points on Thursday.) Overall UNLV allows just 68.1 PPG.

The pick: The Broconos average 78.4 PPG. They shot 50 percent in the win on Thursday. Boise State previous to this series lost two straight to Nevada, while splitting with Colorado. Consistency from game-to-game has been an issue of late for Boise State and I think that pattern continues here. Again, I don't think it'll have such a huge collapse here that it loses outright, but I do think the this line is inflated. Expect the hungrier team to keep this one interesting down the stretch and grab the points.

This is a 10* MOUNTAIN-WEST GAME OF THE MONTH on UNLV.

The set-up: Ottawa is terrible, but its desperate for a win and I think it'll find the back of the net a couple times here as it desperately tries to find any sort of positive momentum. Winnipeg could obviously care less about the Sens problems and I think it'll keep the foot on the gas from start to finish here. Ottawa has the worst defense in the league, allowing over 4 GPG. 

The pick: The Jets have seen the total go "over" in eight of their last 11 home games after a four goals or greater home victory in their last outing (beat the Sens 5-1 here two nights ago.) The situation and the trends all point to a higher-scoring 'shootout.' 

This is a 10* TOP TOTAL on the OVER Sens/Jets.

The set-up: Philadelphia has been on fire of late, but it opened up its four-game Western road-swing with a loss in Portland. Phoenix enters on top form having won four in a row, most recently a victory over the visiting Milwaukee Bucks. 

The pick: Philadelphia struggled to contain Portland's outside shooting, so it'll be quick to remedy that situation here vs. the Suns. Making adjustments from game-to-game is the name of the game in the NBA to be successful. It's also a good approach to handicapping, as I've always believed that being flexible with your style/approach is the best way to earn profits over the long-term. Non-conference matchup here is going to produce more of a defensive affair than what this O/U line is trying to lead us to believe.

This is a 10* NON-CONFERENCE ULTIMATE TOTAL on the UNDER 76ers/Suns.

The set-up: While the outright victory is obviously not out of the question, in the end I'll recommend to grab as many points as you can. Northeastern comes to town on a seven-game win streak and in first place. Towson is on a seven-game losing streak. Northeastern is 10-4 ATS this year, but I think it's asking too much to cover his mid-sized spread on the road vs. this super hungry and motivated home side. The Huskies aren't great offensively, but they make up for it on the other end by conceding just 68.6 PPG. Towson allows 76.5. 

The pick: The Tigers are a really good rebounding team and they're 7-2 ATS in their last nine after five or more SU/ATS losses in a row. The Huskies are the better team this year, but I think they'll have their hands full until the final moments. Grab the points.

This is an 8* DESTRUCTION on Towson.

The set-up: K-State is bad. It's 5-16 overall and 1-11 in conference action. The Wildcats are riding an 11-game losing streak, most recently falling 80-77 to Texas. Oklahoma State is 12-6 overall, but just 5-6 in conference action. The Cowboys enter off a 78-66 loss on Monday to Kansas. K-State's defense catches a break here facing this inconsisteent Cowboys offense. 

The pick: K-State averages just 63 PPG, while the Cowboys average 76.2. The Wildcats though have seen the total go "under" in seven of their last ten road games after allowing 80 or more points in a SU loss in their last outing. I expect a hard-fought, but ultimately lower-scoring contest here. The play is the under.

This is a 9* O/U ELITE OF THE ELITE on the UNDER K-State/Oklahoma State.

The set-up: Dallas has played to so many "overs" this year, that I think that whenever anyone sees them play now, they're automatically just playing the "over." Both teams in fact enter having played to several straight "overs," but I think that this line is inflated finally here by public perception and I look for it to finally swing the other way. 

The pick: With a much more winnable game at Detroit, New Orleans could be caught looking ahead here. The Mavericks are off a tight 118-117 home win over the Hawks, allowing Atlanta back into the game late. I think the home side buckles down finally a little on the defensive end as they look to continue their recent up-tick in play. Finally note that New Orleans has seen the total go "under" in ten of its last 14 road games after playing to three or more straight "overs" overall. This number is high for sure in my opinion.

This is a 10* SOUTHWEST DIV. TOTAL OF THE YEAR on the UNDER Pels/Mavs.

The set-up: San Diego is 4-5 so far, while Cal State Bakersfield is 12-7. These teams offensive and defensive numbers aren't drastically different. I just think that it sets up well for San Diego, as it's 5-1 ATS in its last six after posting 100 or more points in a SU home victory in its last outing (won 101-64 over Bethesda.) 

The pick: The Roadrunners are going to be caught looking ahead to a two-game road set at Conference leading UC Santa Barbara and the hungry Tritons are going to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch. Grab the points.

This is an 8* DESTRUCTION on San Diego.

The set-up: Both teams have been playing to plenty of "overs" of late and I now think that this O/U line is a bit too high. North Kentucky has seen the total go "over" in six straight, while Wisconsin Green Bay has seen the total go "over" in five straight (that was after seeing it go "under" in five straight.) The Phoenix average 71.4 PPG, while UNK averages 71.1. When you add those two figures up, we land right on this posted number essentially. So why is today's going "under?" 

The pick: Northern Kentucky is locked into third spot in the conference right now, while Green Bay is near the bottom. However, not only do I strongly feel that this O/U line is inflated, but note that UNK has seen the total go "under" in eight of its last 11 road games after two more straight ATS covers in a row, while Wisconsin Green Bay has seen the total dip below in 14 of its last 20 home games after playing to five or more straight "overs" in a row. I think the home side plays UNK tough here at home and I expect that to result finally in a lower-scoring "under."

This is a 10* Horizon League TOTAL OF THE MONTH on the UNDER UNK/Green Bay.

The set-up: The Pacers are 11-12 and they're on a four-game losing streak after falling 104-94 to the Nets just last night. The Pistons won't be lacking for motivation here, they're 6-18 and coming off a 122-111 win over Brooklyn on Tuesday. Indiana has struggled defensively this year, conceding 111.9 PPG. In the second game of the back-to-back, I think they'll have their hands full here with this hungry home side.

The pick: Detroit hasn't been much worse defensively, allowing 113.5. Indiana has started to slide and playing the second game of the back to back on the road against a desperate Detroit team is not what the doctor ordered to get back on track in my estimation. The Pistons and Jerami Grant have an opportunity here to win this one outright as they're 7-2 ATS in their last nine after scoring 120 or more points in a SU/ATS victory in their last outing. I'm grabbing the points, but would not be shocked by an outright upset.

This is a 10* UNDERDOG GAME OF THE YEAR on the Detroit Pistons.

The set-up: Two really good teams collide in this one on Thursday night and I think that we'll have an old fashioned "shootout" on our hands. Both teams have excellent goaltending and explosive offenses. It honestly wouldn't be too difficult to write a convincing argument for the "under" here either, considering the overall defensive talent from each team. Florida has always had difficulties with the Lightning and goaltender Sergei Bobrovsky in particular has had a hell of a time with them, going 6-8-1 with a poor .885 save percentage vs. them. 

The pick: Tampa netminder Andrei Vasilevkskly has had more success vs. the Panthers in the past, but Florida has seen the total go "over" in eight of its last 11 home games after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. I look for a wide-open "shootout" in this one. 

This is a 10* TOTAL COACH'S CORNER on the OVER Bolts/Panthers.

The set-up: All six of Montana's Big Sky losses have been decided in the final seconds, with three by three points or fewer, and none being by more than six points (which was a double OT defeat). In short, the Grizzlies win/loss record could easily be a lot better if a couple lucky bounces went their way. It's very interesting to note as well, that over its last three series, Montana has won the first game, only to lose the second two days later. 

The pick: Weber State is primed for a letdown after four-straight victories. With a home and home set vs. Eastern Washington next week, the road ahead doesn't get any easier for the Grizzlies. This is a crucial contest for the season and I don't think that home court advantage can be looked past. Montana is the hungrier dog in this fight and I like it to deliver on home-court.

This is a 10* PLAY-BOOK on Montana.

The set-up: The Hawks broke a three-game slide with a 132-121 win over Toronto on Saturday. The Hawks are now 11-12. After a terrible stretch, the Mavericks have started to play better of late as well, winning two of their last three after dropping six straight. The Mavericks are 11-14. Clearly the first thing that comes to mind when we think about these two teams is dynamic offenses and teams which play very little defense on any given night. So why is this particular game going to fall "under?"

The pick: Atlanta's seen the total go "under" in eight of its last 11 after scoring 130 or more points in a SU/ATS home victory. Dallas has seen the total dip below the number in 14 of its last 20 after playing to four or more straight "overs." Sometimes non-conference games can lead to some higher-scoring games, but I don't expect that to be the case here. I look for these two hungry teams to play a tighter contest than what this sky-high total would suggest.

This is a 10* NON-CONFERENCE TOTAL OF THE MONTH on the UNDER Hawks/Mavericks.

The set-up: I'm expecting a shootout between these rivals. Honestly, it wouldn't be difficult to write a convincing argument for an "under" here either. Each team has great goaltending. These have been two of the higher-scoring teams in the league as well though, as the Leafs have scored three or more goals in nine out of their ten games, while Montreal ranks No. 1 in the NHL on the offensive end in many categories, including in shots per game and in shooting percentage.

The pick: The total has gone "over" in six of these teams last seven vs. each other. These are the two best offenses in the league going head to head. It's also two teams which really dislike each other. I expect an open, faster-paced contest, one which goes "over" sooner, rather than later.

This is a 10* TOTAL PLAY-BOOK on the OVER Leafs/Habs.

The set-up: A couple of bottom feeders going head-to-head here, but I don't think that the home court advantage can be overlooked as a very real deciding factor in this particular case. Both teams come in off losses. Wake lost 79-58 to the Fighting Irish, while Boston College lost 81-65 to NC State. The Notre Dame loss snapped a five-game ATS win streak as well for the Demon Deacons and I think they'll take another step back here as well. Overall Wake averages 69.2 PPG, while allowing 68.7.

The pick: Boston College returned to action after missing three weeks in the loss to the Wolfpack, and it looked ugly early, as NC State went on a 37-3 run at one point, before the Eagles close the first half at 44-21. BC was without a couple of players as well in that one, but the team looked much stronger as the game went on and considering the circumstances and the way the contest opened, the Eagles definitley pulled it together quickly and finished that one strong. And I feel there's no reason not to believe they can't carry that momentum over here as well. With the rust of a few weeks off now gone, look for BC to come out much faster this time around. The Eagles average 72.1 PPG, while allowing 78.4, but note tha they're 7-2 ATS in their last nine home gaems after allowing 80 or more points in a SU/ATS loss in their last outing. I like BC to find a way to get the job done here.

This is a 10* UNDERDOG GAME OF THE YEAR on Boston College.

The set-up: Creighton has been struggling against the spread for bettors, losing three in a row. One of those losses was an outright loss at home to Georgetown just last week. The Blue Jays were favored by 14 points in that one. Georgetown has a losing record, but it's 8-6 ATS overall this season. The Hoyas have covered in five straight games, including in their last one when they lost 84-74 at Villanova as 13.5 point underdogs.

The pick: After that close call, I think the Hoyas definitely take a step back here. Creighton is ready to avenge last week's setback and the spread it has to cover here is almost cut in half of what it was in that contest. Much more manageable and realistic and I expect the Blue Jays to deliver in this fantastic situational opportunity. Lay the points.

This is a 10* BIG EAST GAME OF THE YEAR on Creighton.

The set-up: New Orleans has won three straight. The Pelicans catch Houston off a 119-94 loss in Charlotte just last night. New Orleans also plays with revenge here after losing to the Rockets just two weeks ago. The Pels also hit the road for five games starting tomorrow night in Chicago, so that makes tonight's contest extra important.

The pick: Frankly, Houston has overachieved since the James Harden trade and it's definitely starting to show some "cracks in the armor." I base my picks on many different things, but from a situational standpoint, they simply do not get much better than this. I look for a completely lop-sided blowout here for the home side.

This is a 10* REVENGE GAME OF THE YEAR on the Pelicans.

The set-up: While yesterday's contest stayed "under" in Edmonton's 3-1 win, I expect a much more wide-open affair in the second game of the back-to-back. Edmonton has been great offensively this year, averaging 3.50 GPG. Unfortunately though the Oilers are allowing 3.57 GPG. 

The pick: That's good news for Ottawa's offense, which averages just 2.23 GPG. The Senators' have been terrible defensively this year though, allowing 4.23 GPG, ranked 31st overall. Additionally note that Ottawa has seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 11 home games in trying to revenge a home loss vs. an opponent in which it scored one or less goals in. Look for this total to eclipse the posted number sooner, rather than later.

This is a 10* TOTAL ELITE OF THE ELITE on the OVER Oilers/Senators.

The set-up: This is the second game of a two-game slate. The firsg game went "under," but I expect more of a "shootout" here. The Runnin Rebels took the first game 68-58. UNLV is now 4-5 in league play. Air Force is 4-13 overall now and only 2-11 in conerence action. Air Force actually shot 47 percent from range in the loss, but only 43 percent from the rest of the field. Look for the Falcons to be much more efficient here. 

The pick: Bryce Hamilton had 22 points and 13 boards for the Rebels in the latest victory and I expect him to have another monster game tonight. Expect a much looser, faster-paced game here after the first, slower-paced, tighter affair. Finally note that Air Force has seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 11 after scoring 60 or less points in a SU road loss in its last outing. 

This is a 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK on the OVER Air Force/UNLV.

The set-up: Minnesota is having another difficult season, mainly due to injuries and COVID. The Wolves enter having lost three of their last four. Dallas enters having won two of three, most recently a 134-132 victory over the Warriors. Dallas is 4-1 SU the last five in this series at home and it's covered in seven of the last ten in this series overall. That includes going 4-6 ATS here in this building. Note that Minnesota's last remaining good player, D'Angelo Russell, is also questionable for this contest. 

The pick: Dallas may have won two of three, but it hasn't been pretty. The Mavericks have continued to struggle posting any ATS victories though, but I think that's finally about to change here. This is the perfect opponent to get back on track against defensviely and I expect the Mavericks' offense to continue to build chemistry as well. Look for a full four-quarter effort from the home side and lay the points with confidence.

This is a 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on the Dallas Mavericks.

The set-up: I think Vancouver will be much more competitive in the third game of this mini-series with Toronto, after losing the first game 7-3 and the second by a score of 5-1. The Leafs have a night off before a home and home set against rival Montreal as well after this, so the possibility of finally getting caught "looking ahead" is there as well. 

The pick: But for the now desperate Canucks, clearly there isn't any "looking past" anyone at this point. Vancouver has major issues on both ends of the ice, but the talent is in place across the board to make a marked improvement and I do expect to finally see the Canucks' best effort tonight. Toronto looks good in every respect, but I'll point out that Vancouver is 7-2 in its last nine after back-to-back road losses of four or more goals. In a game which I see being decided late or even in extra time, I'm going to recommend to lay the reasonable price for the extra 1.5 goals of insurance.

This is a 10* PUCK-LINE GAME OF THE WEEK on the Canucks.

The set-up: I played on the Chiefs in the AFC Conference Championship and I play on the Bucs in the NFC Conference Championship. These teams are similar in many respects, but I think that the Chiefs are the better overall team through all three phases. Better QB and offense. Equal defense and better special teams. Yes, Tom Brady has a plethora of experience at this level, and while they've looked very good to reach this point, team chemistry and this most elite level is in question in my opinion. Not so for Andy Reid, Patrick Mahomes and this deep Chiefs offense. 

The pick: This will truly be a passing of the torch moment for the NFL. I'm not going to break down individual stats, because I'm not basing this pick entirely on stats. As I said, these teams have similar numbers. They're really good in almost every department. Honestly, it wouldn't be difficult to write a convincing argument for either team to win this game straight up, but as I also mentioned the intangibles that KC brings to the table here, and along with Reid, who is a master when he has a week or more to prepare for a game. I repsect Brady and I think the Bucs are for sure the best team in the NFC.

The is a 10* GAME OF THE MONTH on the Kansas City Chiefs.

The set-up: What's the first thing that comes to mind when you think of Tom Brady and Patrick Mahomes. Obviously for most it would be "offense." No question about it, these two QB's were once a couple of the most prolific in the league. Both offensively and defensively, these teams are pretty evenly matched. With two whole weeks to prepare and scheme though, I think these defenses are the ones that will benefit the most. 

The pick: This is a big game for both teams. The Bucs want to become the first team to win a Super Bowl on their own field. Brady wants to win another Super Bowl to add to his legacy. The Chiefs are trying to become the first team to repeat in 16 years. These teams met in Tampa in Week 12 and the Chiefs won that game 27-24. But note that KC took the foot off the gas in that one, allowing 14 fourth-quarter points. Brady took advantage of a suspect Green Bay defense, but he already struggled once against KC this season and I expect that to happen again here. In my opinion, this one sets up as a defensive "chess match," not a "shootout." 

This a 9* play on the UNDER Chiefs/Bucs.

The set-up: The 12-10 Golden State Warriors will look to build off their impressive 147-116 road win over these very Mavericks here two nights ago. Kelly Oubre Jr. exploded for a career-high 40 points, while Stephen Curry contributed 28. Golden State shot 57 percent from the floor and went 22 of 43 from range. Do I expect Oubre and the Warriors to shoot at such a high percentage in back-to-back games against the same team? I don't at all. Perhaps if this was a different club, but the fact that they're playing the exact same team definitely swings the situational factors to the under for me. 

The pick: And for Luka Doncic, Kristaps Porzingis and the Mavericks, what can you say about these guys right now? This definitley is not the same team that made a deep playoff bubble run last year. Luka doesn't look like a league MVP at all this season, as team's have made adjustments to counter this big European's dynamic play. I think Dallas doubles down on the defensive end tonight, especially on the perimeter though as it tries desperately to get back into the winners circle. Finally I'll point out that Dallas has seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 11 after allowing 145 or more points in a SU/ATS home loss in its previous outing. This total is indeed a tad high in my opinion.

This is a 10* TOTAL ELITE OF THE ELITE on the UNDER Warriors/Mavericks.

The set-up: Vancouver's been struggling defensively this year, evident by its 7-3 loss in the opener of this three-game series. Both teams have experienced netminders and backups. Each is filled with offensive talent as well. While some may be expecting a wide open "shootout" again in this second contest, I think it'll in fact be a scrappier, lower-scoring contest. 

The pick: Note that Vancouver has seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 11 after allowing six or more goals in a four goals or greater loss in its previous outing, while Toronto has seen the total dip below the posted number in ten of its last 14 after scoring six or more goals in a four goals or greater home victory in its last outing. A great overall situational play on the "under" here in my opinion.

This is a 10* TOTAL COACH'S CORNER on the UNDER Nucks/Leafs.

The set-up: Northwestern won't be lacking for motivation here as it's just 3-8 in league play. Most recently the Wildcats fell to Rutgers. In fact, Northwestern enters having lost eight in a row. Here's the perfect opponent to get untracked against, as Purdue has lost two of three, including a 61-60 setback to Maryland in its most recent outing. Northwestern averages 74.7 PPG< and it allows 71.9.

The pick: Purdue only allows 66.3, but the Boilermakers offense isn't any better by averaging 73.9. Northwestern is also 7-2 ATS in its last nine conference road games after a five-games or longer SU losing streak. I think Purdue struggles with focus here after its latest road loss and I like the Wildcats to risk life and limb today as they try to get off the schneid. I'm grabbing the points.

This is an 8* DESTRUCTION on Northwestern.

The set-up: Western Carolina is 8-10 so far, while the Citadel Bulldogs are 9-7. The Catamounts come in hungry to return to the winners circle after a loss to Chattanooga last time out. The Citadel won't be lacking for motivation here either after three-straight losses. Betting on "motivated" teams when playing an "over" is something I always look for and this contest sets up perfectly as far as that angle is concerned. Keep your eyes on Xavier Cork for the visiting side, as he had 18 points and four boards in WCU's latest 74-67 loss to the Mocs.

The pick: The Citadel is entering off an 85-66 loss to the Spartans, but Hayden Brown was a bright spot with 19 points and seven boards. Note that the Bulldogs though have seen the total go "over" the number in eight of their last 12 home games after being held to 68 or less points in a SU/ATS loss in their last outing. These teams met last Monday, and the Catamounts posted the 76-75 win. I expect another hard-fought, but even higher-scoring game this time around.

This is a 9* TOTAL PLAY-BOOK on the OVER Western Carolina/Citadel.

The set-up: Toledo is 16-4 and Ball State is just 6-9. Outright win? I'm not predicting that, but I do definitely think the stage is set for a much more competitive battle than what this spread would suggest. Toledo has won five straight, including a 15 point victory over Akron last time out. Winning, especially at the College level, can lead to complacency. 

The pick: Ball State won't be lacking for motivation here, as it's facing the top team in the league on its own floor, while it will also be trying to erase a four-game slide. Last time out the Cardinals fell by 20 points to the Bulls. Toledo has hit a very "vanilla" part of its schedule, with NIU up next and I think it finally comes out a bit flat here. I'll point out as well that Ball State is 7-2 ATS in its last nine home games after scoring 60 or less points in a SU/ATS loss in its previous outing. Grab the points.

This is a 10* MAC GAME OF THE MONTH on Ball State. 

The set-up: This is the first game of a two-game set between the teams and I expect it to be a lot more competitive than what this spread is leading us to believe. Cal Poly won't be lacking for motivation off a 64-51 loss to CSU Northridge on Saturday. Hawaii split its last series with UC Irvine, winning 62-61 in OT in the last one and I think it comes out a bit flat to start this one after that emotional revenge victory. Overall the Mustangs average 60 PPG, while allowing 69.9. Hawaii averages 71.1 and concedes 66.2. 

The pick: Cal Poly's offense has been an issue all year, but it comes in as the hungrier team here. These defenses are very similar and I think the visitors will keep it competitive until the final moments. I'll stop short in calling for the outright upset, but as stated before, this one definitely looks like it'll come right down to the wire. Grab the points!

This is an 8* DESTRUCTION on Cal Poly Slo.

The set-up: This is the first game of the year for each team. The Sharks have had a few games postponed, so they come in fresh here. The Ducks are off a 3-1 win over the Kings on Tuesday and they won't be lacking for motivation either sitting at 4-5-2 on the year. San Jose is just 3-5-0. Betting on "motivated" teams whenever playing an "over" is definitely something I look for, and we don't have to question either of these clubs drive and motivation for a victory today. 

The pick: The early numbers aren't good for either club offensively, but I think the worm turns in that department tonight. I'll point out as well that Anaheim has seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 11 after a two goals or greater victory in its last outing. Considering the circumstances, I believe this number is low.

This is a 10* WEST-CONF. TOTAL OF THE MONTH on the OVER Sharks/Ducks.

The set-up: Toronto has played to three straight "overs," while Brooklyn has seen the total fly "over" in five straight. Neither team has been great on the defensive end this season, but I think the last thing the Raptors can afford to do here is to try and turn this into a "track meet" with the Nets and expect to win this game. Clearly the visitors will be out to slow this one down whenever possible, as they're only 3-7 on the road this season. 

The pick: Brooklyn is 10-4 at home. The Nets have a big game in Philadelphia tomorrow night as well, so they'll be looking ahead and thinking about that contest. Toronto will be looking to save some energy as well for a tough matchup in Atlanta on Saturday night. This can still be a high-scoring game and stay well "under" this sky-high total, and that's exactly what I expect. A great situational call on this one. 

This is a 10* TOTAL PLAY-BOOK on the UNDER Raptors/Nets.

The set-up: Boston managed a 4-3 OT win in this building two nights ago, but I'm expecting more of a defensive affair this time around. Both teams are great on both ends of the ice, so honestly it wouldn't be difficult to write a convincing argument for either the "over" or the "under" to hit in this one. So why do I think tonight's game will be more of a defensive "goaltenders battle" than the previous one?

The pick: These are two great goaltenders in Carter Hart and Tukka Rask are arguably Top 5 in the World right now. Philly has also seen the total go "under" the number in ten of its last 14 home games in trying to revenge an OT home loss vs. an opponent. Expect a hard-hitting, lower-scoring "under" once the final horn blares.

This is an 8* TOTAL BLOWOUT on the UNDER Bruins/Flyers.

The set-up: Marshall's won two in a row, but I think it'll stumble here vs. a hungry ODU side which is rested, as it's had its last four games postponed due to COVID issues. Previous to winning two in a row, Marshall had dropped two in a row. Overall the Herd is 3-3 in Conference play. Previous to its break, ODU had won four of five. ODU enters are 4-2 in league play. 

The pick: The Monacrchs only allow 68.5 PPG this season, and despite being 5-2 on the road this year, I think that Marshall will have a difficult time replicating its last two offensive performances. Not only is ODU a perfect 5-0 SU at home this year, but it's also 5-1 ATS in its last six home games vs. a team with a road winning percentage of greater than .600. I'm banking on ODU to quickly shake off any rust and while the outright win is clearly not out of the question, in the end I'll recommend to grab as many points as you can.

This is a 10* CONFERENCE USA GAME OF THE MONTH on Old Dominion.

The set-up: Denver comes in off a satisfying win over Utah, as Nikola Jokic posted his ninth straight double-double. LA had lost four straight ATS, but they were able to break that slide with an 8-point road victory.

The pick: The last four times Denver has come to play in this building, LA has averaged 121 points, while conceding just 109 to it. I think this trend of domination continues, as I don't think Denver has the defense to hang with the home side down the stretch. This is an important game and I expect The King and company to build off their latest ATS victory with an even stronger performance this evening. Lay the points.

This is a 10* BLOCKBUSTER on the Lakers.

The set-up: The 18-1 Belmont Bruins are going to come out and push the pace here in my opinion vs. the 6-13 Eastern Illinois Panthers. The Bruins are off a win over Murray State and they come in having won 15 in a row. Belmont barely got by the Racers though 72-71, and because of that I expect the Bruins to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish tonight. 

The pick: Eastern Illinois also comes in with momentum, snapping a four-game slide with a 70-61 over SIUE. And that's significant, as Eastern Illinois has seen the total fly "over" the number in ten of its last 14 after scoring 70 or more points in a SU/ATS vicotry in its last outing. The stage is set for a "shootout" in this one, so the play is the "over."

This is a 10* TOTAL BEST OF THE BEST on the OVER Belmont/Eastern Illinois.

The set-up: Scoring is up around the league, but I expect a lower-scoring affair in the opener between the Canucks and Leafs. Vancouver looked shaky to begin with, then went on a win streak, and now it heads back East on a two-game slide. Toronto will also be out to atone for a 4-3 OT loss to the Oilers. These are two hungry teams off losses and each has been letdown by its defensive play. The start of a new series and I expect each to buckle down on that end. It's a great "situational" play in my opinion. 

The pick: If we simply went by averages, then for the most part we'd almost always take "overs" right now in the NHL, but that's not what gambling is about at all. Situations, trends, scheduling, injuries and plenty of other factors have to always also be taken into account. And that's the case here. Finally note that Toronto has in fact seen the total go "under" in ten of its last 15 after allowing four or more goals in an OT loss in its last outing. I'm banking on a hard-hitting, but ultimately lower-scoring "under" once it's all said and done.

This is a 10* TOTAL COACH'S CORNER on the UNDER Canucks/Leafs.

The set-up: I'm going to lay this reasonable mid-sized price for the extra goal and a half of insurance. Vancouver is coming off two straight losses, so it won't be lacking for motivation here. The Leafs are off a tough 4-3 OT loss to the Oilers. In the early going, Toronto's numbers have been better, as Vancouver did go through some massive off-season changes to its goaltending and defense. 

The pick: Vancouver though is averaging 3.69 GPG, while Toronto is averaging 3.60. Finally I'll point out as well that Vancouver is 7-2 in its last nine road games after a two-games or longer losing streak. However, while we do think the outright win is possible, we're simply looking for a solid "cover" in this particular wager. In a game which I see being decided late or even in extra time, I'm grabbing the visiting side on the puck line.

This is an 8* PUCK-LINE DESTRUCTION on the Canucks.

The set-up: These are two good teams. Each can score, and each is also good on the defensive end. I think this particular game sets up as a "duel" and defensive affair. Boston is 6-1-2 and Philly is 7-1-2. Philadelphia plays with double revenge here after losing twice to the Bruins already. After a come from behind 5-3 win in the Nation's capital, I think Boston comes out a bit flat here (I had the Bruins on the PUCK LINE in that one, hitting for a big plus-money return.) 

The pick: Boston only allows 2.22 GPG this year. Philadelphia has been better offensively than defensively, but note that it's seen the total go "under" in 11 of its last 14 home games in trying to revenge an in-season road loss to an opponent. Look for the men between the pipes to be the main storylines in tomorrow's summaries.

This is a 10* TOTAL DESTRUCTION on the UNDER Bruins/Flyers.

The set-up: Houston comes to town winner of six straight. Most recently the Rockets beat these very Thunder here 136-106 on Monday night. That total went "over" the number, but I think today's contest sets up as more of a defensive affair. OKC will be eager to atone for its poor defensive performance at home last time out and to avoid a three-game slide. In fact, OKC has lost three of the last four in this series, so I expect a much more intense effort from the home side, especially on the defensive end. 

The pick: The Rockets have sure been great since the James Harden trade, but with a game at Memphis tomorrow night, I think the visiting side also gets caught "looking ahead" here. Finally note that the Rockets have seen the total go "under" in ten of their last 13 after five or more SU victories in a row. The value on the total has swung to the "under" in the second game of this two-game mini-series.

This is a 10* TOTAL COACH'S CORNER on the UNDER Rockets/Thunder.

The set-up: Dallas will look to snap out of a six-game losing skid here. Devin Booker hit a last second shot and the Mavericks most recently fell at home to the Suns. Atlanta enters off an eight-point loss to the Lakers. Both teams have plenty of talent, but each has struggled at times this year. 

The pick: With a spread like this, clearly the oddsmakers think these teams are evenly matched. However, Dallas is 7-1 ATS in its last eight non-conference road games after a five-games or longer SU losing streak. I like Luka Doncic and the now desperate Mavericks to lay everything on the line here and to find a way to earn a victory finally. Lay the short points.

This is an 8* ATS BLOOD-BATH on the Dallas Mavericks.

The set-up: I'm expecting a hard-fought, but ultimately lower-scoring game here. South Carolina is 4-6 and Florida is 10-4. The Gamecocks are just 1-4 SU in their last five, most recently off a loss to Vanderbilt. On the other end of the spectrum is Florida, which has won four in a row, most recently off a victory over WVU. 

The pick: Both teams can score and each has seen the total fly over in several games of late, but I think this number has now gotten too high, as note that Florida has seen the total dip below the posted number in seven of its last ten home games after a five games or longer SU unbeaten streak. I think the Gamecocks continue their shaky play on the road and I look for this total to sneak "under" once it's all said and done.

This is an 8* TOTAL COACH'S CORNER on the UNDER South Carolina/Florida.

The set-up: Outright win? I'm not predicting that. But I do think the stage is set for a much more competitive battle than what this spread would suggest. Houston is 15-1 overall and 10-1 in AAC action. The Cougars have won eight in a row. Winning can lead to complacency, especially among college athletes. East Carolina enters under the radar and hungry to break out of a six-game slide, most recently falling to Tulsa 77-68. Houston's a good team, most recently beating SMU 70-48. With a week off before a contest at USF though, I think the Cougars will come out flat in the second half as they get caught looking ahead. They're in no fear of actually losing this game outright, but I also don't think they'll run up this score, instead leaving the back door open for a nice cover for the hungry home side.

The pick: ECU average 61 PPG and it concedes 69.3. Hence its poor overall record. The Pirates though are 7-2 ATS in their last nine home games as an underdog in the +15.5 to +17.5 points range and as stated, they're clearlier the "hungrier" dog in this fight. I expect Houston to indeed get caught looking ahead here. No upset, but tighter than what this spread would suggest. Grab the points.

This is a 10* GAME OF THE MONTH on East Carolina.

The set-up: The panic button has been hit in Ottawa. The Senators have lost eight straight. They lost 8-5 to the Oilers in their last game. Ottawa is obviously a really bad team, but I expect its best effort here. The Oilers have been "hit or miss" this season, as before winning two in a row here, they had lost three straight. 

The pick: Of course Edmonton is the better team, but I think it gets caught looking ahead to four whole nights off after this before a game at Calgary. And for the Senators, I look for them to risk life and limb today getting into shooting and passing lanes to try and secure a victory. At this price, I think this is a fantastic value play on the PUCK LINE.

This is a 10* SITUATIONAL PUCK-LINE DESTRUCTION on the Ottawa Senators.

The set-up: Memphis is 8-6 and it's coming off a huge win in San Antonio just last night. Now it's 9-6. Suffice it to say, I think this sets up as a classic "letdown" spot, as Memphis now travels across country to play a non-conference game just 24 hours later. 

The pick: Indiana on the other hand is on a two-games losing streak. The Pacers will be desperate to break out of their slump and I think this is the perfect situation in which to do that. These team's offensive and defensive numbers are similar, but note that Indiana is 4-1 ATS in its last five home games after a two-games or longer SU losing streak. I'm laying the points and expecting a blowout.

This is a 10* DESTRUCTION on the Indiana Pacers.

The set-up: These two teams struggle with offensive consistency and are much better on the defensive end. Neither team has played to many "overs" of late, but I think that the value has now finally swung the other way on this total because of that. Butler is 5-9 and 4-7 in conference play and it enters off two straight losses. the Bulldogs won't be lacking for motivation. Most recently they lost 68-55 to Xavier. Marquette is 8-9 overall and it enter son a three-game losing streka, most recently falling to St. John's by a score of 75-73. One player for Butler to keep your eyes on today is Jair Bolden, who is averaging 12.6 points and 3.9 boards per game so far. 

The pick: One player to keep your eyes on for the Golden Eagles is Cherry Garcia, who is averaging 12.6 points and 7.1 boards per game. I think each team is going to push the pace as each tries to earn an elusive victory. This number is definitely much too low, as note that Butler has seen the total go "over" the number in seven of its last nine conference road games after being held to 55 points or fewer in a SU/ATS loss in its last outing. Look for this total to fly well over as it comes down the stretch.

This is a 10* BIG-EAST TOTAL OF THE YEAR on the OVER Butler/Marquette.

The set-up: After three straight losses, the Suns have now won two in a row, including a 111-105 victory over these very Mavericks on Saturday. The Suns are playing without Devin Booker right now, so the Mavericks have no excuse in this revenge scenario. And not only does Dallas play with revenge here, it's also out to break a five-game losing streak. For all intents and purposes, this is absolutely a "must win" scenario for Luka Doncic and company. 

The pick: Betting on sports isn't about simply looking at team's averages and figuring out if they can cover a spread. Indeed, there's so many other factors to take into account and in this case, I still think Dallas is the better team on paper and on the floor. There's just been zero chemistry for this Dallas team this year for some reason. But that's about to change. Doncic and Porzingis are a forced to be reckoned with and I thnk they'll will their team to its best win of the year tonight. I'm laying the short points.

The is a 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on the Dallas Mavericks.

The set-up: Boston enters off a 4-3 OT loss here on the 30th, but I like it to win handily in this revenge scenario. The Bruins only have one regulation loss in their eight games this year. The Bruins only allow 22.9 shots per game, while averaging 32.5 of their own. Boston is also first in the NHL with a 9.63 shot-differential. 

The pick: Washington has been good late as well. The Capitals though have struggled in this spot for bettors by going just 1-4 in their last five after scoring four or more goals in an OT victory in their last outing. Boston on the other hand is 7-1 in its last eight in trying to revenge an OT loss to an opponent in which it allowed four or more goals in. I look for Boston to not only win this one, but to win by a big margin. 

The is a 10* PUCK-LINE GAME OF THE WEEK on the Boston Bruins.

The set-up: I'm expecting a faster-paced and ultimately higher-scoring game here once it's all said and done. Murray State is 7-8 overall. The Racers had won two straight before falling to Belmont last time out. Southeast Missouri State is 6-10 this year. The Redhawks though are playing their best ball of the season right now, with consecutive wins over SIU Edwardsville and Eastern Illinois. Murray State will be especially motivated here to get back into the winners circle after its tight 72-71 loss to Belmont on Saturday. 

The pick: The Redhawks are coming off a 75-44 win and I think they can build off that offensive performance, as Nana Akenten had 13 points with five rebounds and two assists. These are two hungry teams and this total is just too low. Look for this one to eclipse the posted number as the game comes down the stretch.

The is a 10* MISSOURI VALLEY TOTAL OF THE MONTH on the OVER Murray State/Southeast Missouri State.

The set-up: Despite any of the issues the Hawks are going through with COVID right now, I'm expecting a higher-scoring game here, after the Jackets took the first one in a lower-scoring affair. Columbus is now on a three-game win streak and it's 4-2-3 so far. Chicago is 3-6-0. Chicago won't be lacking for motivation here and one player to keep your eyes on is Patrick Kane, who already has three goals and five assists. 

The pick: The Blackhawks' weak point is on the backend, especially between the pipes, as three different men have seen time in the early going. These teams only combined for three goals two nights ago, but the "feeling out" stage is over and I'm expecting a much more wide-open and faster-paced contest this time around.

This is a 10* TOTAL COACH'S CORNER on the OVER CBJ/Chicago.

The set-up: Hey, I'm all about betting a really great "situation," and that's definitely the case here for the Wizards in my opinion. The Nets are off a 147-125 win over the Thunder in their latest game, but with a much more high-profile game against the Clippers at home on Tuesday, I think the visiting side gets got "looking ahead." The Wizards on the other hand won't be lacking for motivation here after four straight losses. 

The pick: The Nets are also just 1-5 ATS in their last six after scoring 145 or more points in a SU/ATS home victory in their last outing, while the Wizards are 7-2 ATS in their last nine after four or more straight SU/ATS losses in a row. The Nets are the better team, but this is about the overall "situation," which I've outlined definitely favors the home side here. Grab the points.

This a 10* TOTAL DESTRUCTION on the Washington Wizards.

The set-up: MTSU won't be lacking for motivation here as it tries to break a five-game losing streak. The Blue Raiders average 60.8 PPG, while allowing 67.5. Dontrell Shuler averages 12.6 points and 2.2 boards. The UAB Blazers have won six of their last seven and I think they're going to get caught "looking past" their lowly opponent here and I look for them to leave the back door open just enough for this hungry Blue Raiders team to comfortably sneak through down the stretch. UAB averages 75 PPG and it concedes 58.5. 

The pick: Betting on sports isn't about simply adding up offensive and defensive averages and then trying to find edges in posted lines, as there are a plethora of other factors to also consider. And that's the case here. Clearly UAB is the better team, but I don't think it'll run up the score here and we definitely don't have to question the Blue Raiders resolve after their extended losing streak now. UAB won this game 70-59 two nights ago as an 11-point favorite, pushing on the number. The Blue Raiders are getting a few more points here, but I expect an even more tightly contested affair this time around. Grab the points.

This is a 10* CONFERENCE USA GAME OF THE MONTH on MTSU.

The set-up: St. Louis comes in fresh here after its latest game was postponed with the Knights for COVID reasons. St. Louis is 4-2-1 so far. The Ducks are 3-3-2 so far, most recently coming off a 3-2 loss to Arizona. Early numbers are something that must always be considered, but drawing any concrete conclusions on any team to this point isn't possible yet in my opinion. 

The pick: That said, Anaheim is averaging just 1.75 GPG, while the Blues are averaging 2.67. St. Louis has a couple of blowout lop-sided losses, so it's GAA is skewed. The Ducks have been good defensively, but note that they're just 12-29 in their last 41 when playing on one days rest. The Blues are 9-4 in their last 13 on the road and I expect them to not only win, but to win big. Let's lay the 1.5 goals for the big plus-money return. Go St. Louis go!

This is an 8* PUCK-LINE DESTRUCTION on the Blues (-1.5).

The set-up: I expect each team to field as many of its superstars as possible. Both teams are deep and each will be eager to put on a show here. Whoever is on the floor today, I think that from a situational stand point, this one sets up as more of a "shootout," than "chess match." This is LA's sixth straight on the road. Boston won't be taking anything for granted here though after its listless 110-106 loss to the Spurs on Wednesday. LA only allows 104.8 PPG, while averaging 112.8. 

The pick: Boston averages 112.6 PPG, while allowing 109.9. These are two of the better defenses in the league, but the trends point to a shootout, as note that Boston has seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 11 after a two games or longer layoff, while also coming off a loss in which it scored 110 or less points in. LA as mentioned has been one of the best defensive teams the last few years, but it's also interesting to note that it's seen the total fly "over" the number in seven of its last ten after two or more straight SU road losses. Expect a faster-paced, and ultimately higher-scoring affair in this one.

The is a 10* SITUATIONAL TOP TOTAL on the OVER Lakers/Celtics.

The set-up: The Oilers are in desperation mode now after losing this first game vs. the Leafs 4-3 two nights ago. Edmonton split a pair of games in Toronto two weeks ago, winning the first game 3-1 and I'm expecting a similar final combined score in this second one in Alberta tonight. The Oilers are struggling with consistency on both ends of the ice. Particularly defensively. Look for Edmonton to make adjustments tonight to do everything it can to get into shooting and passing lanes and slow this Leafs' offense down. Toronto's top line is a major concern for every team, but the Leafs also have great goaltending in Frederik Anderson and Jack Campbell.

The pick: I think Edmonton doubles down defensively today to try and block shots after this poor stretch of play on that end of the ice. Note as well that the Oilers have seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 11 after allowing four or more goals in a one goal home loss in their previous outing. All signs point to a hard-hitting, but lower-scoring game.

This a 10* TOTAL ELITE OF THE ELITE on the UNDER Leafs/Oilers.

The set-up: Am I suggesting that you should play the 0-12 Idaho Vandals on the moneyline here for their first victory of the season? Of course not. But I do now believe that the value has swung their way as far as the spread is concerned. This number is just too big. Weber State is 8-4, but after a 25 point victory in the first matchup with the Vandals on Thursday, I think the Wildcats get caught looking ahead to a few days off before a home game against No. 1 Montanta State on February 4th. 

The pick: The Vandals actually had some decent numbers in the Thursday loss, shooting 42.9 percent from the floor, with 33 total rebounds and 17 assists. Turnovers and extremely poor outside shooting did them in, but I expect a much cleaner game this time around. As I said up top, no outright, but more competitive than what Las Vegas is trying to lead us to believe. Grab the points.

The is an 8* DESTRUCTION on Idaho.

The set-up: Ball State is going to double down on the defensive end in my opinion after losing four of its last six games. The Cardinals are averaging 70.8 PPG, but conceding 73.2. To do that though, Ball State is going to have to upset Akron, which enters on a five-game win streak. The Zips average 78.7 PPG, while allowing only 70.4. 

The pick: Arkon's a favorite in this game for a reason. The Zips are going to shut down this offensively challenged Cardinals team in my opinion. Ball State has also seen the total dip below the posted number in eight of its last 11 road games after back-to-back SU/ATS road losses, while Akron has seen the total dip below the posted number in six of its last nine after a five games or longer ATS unbeaten streak. I think Ball State slows this one down and I expect this total to stay "under" once the final horn sounds.

This a 10* MAC TOTAL OF THE YEAR on the UNDER Ball State/Akron.

The set-up: After six-straight victories, I think that UC Irvine takes a step back here. Hawaii had lost two in a row, before winning in a blowout in its last outing. The Warriors allow 68.5 PPG, while the Anteaters concede just 62.5. UC Irvine's strength of schedule can be question in my opinion, and note that it's just 1-3 on the road so far this season. 

The pick: Hawaii is 2-2 at home, but it's 7-2 ATS after a 15 points or greater SU/ATS victory in its last outing. Keep your eyes on Casdon Jardine, who leads the Warriors in points and rebounding. UC Irvine has been shaky on the road this year and it now faces a Anteaters team coming off its best performance of the season. Hawaii also plays with revenge here after losing both games in this series last season. While the outright is clearly not out of the question, all signs point to a solid cover at the least.

This is a 10* BIG-WEST GAME OF THE YEAR on Hawaii.

The set-up: This NHL season is based a lot on the "situation," and I definitely think this one sets up well for the Blackhawks. Colubmus comes in off a much-needed 3-2 SO win over the Panthers just last night. The win moved the team to 3-7 on the year. The Jackets have been consistently inconsistent and I just can't trust this "on-again, off-again" offense (or defense for that matter!)

The pick: Chicago started the season with a few injury issues to key players, so the Hawks 2-6 record at this point isn't a big surprise. Chicago's only two victories this year have come at home. Granted, that's been over the Red Wings, but the Hawks have for sure been better at home on the road in the early going. Also note that Colubmus is just 2-7 in its last nine when coming off a win and playing a road game in the second game of a back-to-back. All things considered, this is what great line value is all about!

The is a 10* ULTIMATE BODY-CHECK on the Chicago Blackhawks.

The set-up: A couple of weeks ago, Cleveland was the best defensive club in the league. The Cavaliers aren't the best in the NBA on the defensive end anymore, but they still have Top 5 numbers. And that's good, because despite having seen the total fly "over" the number in five straight, the Cavs still only average 105.4 PPG, while allowing 109. 

The pick: New York comes in hungry to snap a three-game slide. All three agmes the Knicks have looked decent defensively in. The Knicks average only 101.5 PPG, while ranking first in field goal defense and three point defense. The Knicks return home from a lengthy trip and will look to slow this one down from start to finish. This number is a little high.

The is a 10* TOTAL BLOWOUT on the UNDER Cavs/Knicks.

The set-up: Edmonton split a pair of games in Toronto last week. The Leafs enter off a two-straight wins in Calgary and I think they'll have a predictable letdown here. If we just went by every team's early season averages, then it would be easy to pick winners every single night. But that's not what sports gambling is about at all. It's about emotion, and momentum, and scheduling, and revenge and many other factors on top of those stats. 

The pick: Edmonton is the much hungrier team here. It's also 7-2 in its last nine after allowing six or more goals in a two goals or greater road loss in its previous outing (fell 6-4 in Winnipeg). Great value on the Oilers!

The is an 8* SLAP-SHOT on the Edmonton Oilers.

The set-up: Outright victory? Maybe. This is a contest which I envision coming right down to the wire, and because of that, I'm going to recommend to grab as many points as you can. I think 16-1 Belmont is going to get caught looking past the 8-5 Austin Peay Governors. Belmont enters off a 114-62 win over SIU-Edwardsville. The Bruins average 83.2 PPG, while allowing 68.3. 

The pick: Austin Peay likely got caught looking ahead to this game in its last game, falling 76-70 to Jacksonville State. The Governors average 73.5 PPG while allowing 69.7. These teams are very similar on the defensive end, and as I pointed out, I do think this sets up as a bit of a letdown spot for the Bruins, who are just 2-7 ATS in their last nine after scoring 110 or more points in a SU/ATS road victory in their last outing. I smell an upset, but in the end let's grab up the points!

The is a 10* UNDERDOG GAME OF THE MONTH on Austin Peay.

The set-up: I got down early and do not have a very good line (just +2), however I think the Blazers are going to win this one outright (that said, I'm still going to recommend to play with the points, rather than the moneyline.) My "Coach's Corner" packages are all about "situations." This one sets up GREAT for the Blazers in my opinion. The Blazers have lost three straight against the spread, going just 1-2 straight-up in the process, most recently a 125-122 home setback to the Thunder. Portland though comes in motivated to win here in my opinion after the scuffling stretch and because this is the opener of a big seven-game road trip. Also throw in the fact that it's a "revenge" game after a 128-126 OT loss back on December 26th. 

The pick: After three straight victories, and with a night off before a four-game Estern swing, I think the home side finally gets caught complacent and flat-footed here. I'm banking on the Blazers winning outright, but as I said up top, the official play will be to grab as many points as you can.

The is a 10* COACH'S CORNER on the Portland Trailblazers.

The set-up: Columbus jumped out to a 2-0 lead vs. the Panthers two nights ago, and it had a 3-2 lead with just moments to go in the game before then giving up the tying goal, and then eventually losing in extra time. Who is the more desperate team in this matchup? Columbus has only two victories this year and six losses. The Panthers have played three games and they have three victories. The Jackets have to hit the road to take on an equally as hungry and desperate Blackhawks team tomorrow night as well, putting added incentive to finally get off the schneid here with a decent full three-period performance. 

The pick: I do think Florida finally has a letdown here after its torrid start to the season, as it has a night off before a two-game set in lowly Detroit. A great price here on the home side for sure in my opinion considering the circumstances.

The is a 10* ULTIMATE DESTRUCTION on the Blue Jackets.

The set-up: Montreal is 4-2, with two losses coming in OT. The Flames are 2-2-1. Calgary won't be looking past the Habs obviously, but especially after back-to-back home losses to the Leafs. Jacob Markstrom has looked a bit shaky the last couple of games in net for the Flames, but there's no need to hit the panic button. Markstrom is a big reason why the Canucks advanced to the second round last year. 

The pick: Carey Price and Jake Allen make a formidable duo in net for Montreal as well. These teams have proven that they can score, but the situation points to these two competent netminders being the main story lines in tomorrow's summaries. 

The is an 8* SUPER TOTAL on the UNDER Flames/Habs.

The set-up: Scoring is up in the NHL. These two teams have played to several "overs" already this season, including in the Canucks' 7-1 win in the opener of this three-game series. Ottawa won't be lacking for motivation here after losing five-straight. The Senators will be doubling down defensively as well after that atrocious performance in the first game.

The pick: The Canucks finally got back on track defensively in their Game 1 win and I think they'll be able to duplicate that success here as well. If we just add up these team's early season averages, then everything would point to the "over" as the correct call here. But betting totals isn't completely about that obviously and taking into account the overall situation, I think we're going to finally see a lower-scoring battle. This number is indeed high.

The is a 10* NORTH CONFERENCE TOTAL OF THE YEAR on the UNDER Sens/Canucks.

The set-up: Detroit enters off a 119-104 win over Philadelphia, while the Cavaliers enter off a 115-108 loss to the Lakers. Detroit though has lost its last two on the road. Overall the Pistons average 109.5 PPG, while conceding 113. Detroit allowed just 104 points in its last game though and it'll be out to duplicate that performance here vs. the offensively challenged Cavs.

The pick: After winning three straight, the Cavs enter having lost two in a row. Cleveland averages only 104.5 PPG, while allowing 109.1. Expect the Cavs to buckle down on the defensive end today after back-to-back losses and expect this total to sneak "under" once it's all said and done.

The is a 10* TOTAL COACH'S CORNER on the UNDER Pistons/Cavs.

The set-up: Western Carolina is 7-7 and the VMI Keydets are 8-8. Western Carolina is out to snap a five-game losing streak. The Catamounts average 79.6 PPG, and they concede 78.4. Mason Faulkner is averaging 16 points and 4.8 assists.

The pick: The VMI Keydets are averaging 81.4 PPG, while conceding 77.2. The Keydets have split their last six games, but note that they're just 2-6 ATS in their last eight conference home games as a favorite in the +1.5 to +4.5 points range. Finally note that the road team is 10-4 ATS in its last 14 in this series. These teams are evenly matched for sure, but WCU enters as the hungrier side. I look for the Catamounts to find a way to deliver on the road.

The is a 10* BLOWOUT OF THE MONTH on Western Carolina.

The set-up: San Jose has split its first three series. It enters at 3-3, tied with the Avs for fourth spot in the division. Colorado hasn't gotten out to the start it's hoped for either, but it'll be pumped to return home after two straight series on the road and a 3-1 loss to the lowly Ducks. 

The pick: Both teams have struggled with consistency in the early going, but the Avalanche are the much more motivated team here. Colorado comes in off a humiliating effort to Anaheim, while the Sharks enter off a satisfying 5-3 road win at Minnesota. The Avs are just 1-5 "against the spread" this year (+1.5/-1.5), but I expect that lop-sided trend to start correcting itself immediately. I look for Colorado to not only, but to win BIG. Lay the 1.5 goals for the small plus-moeny return.

The is a 10* PUCK-LINE GAME OF THE MONTH on the Colorado Avalanche.

The set-up: New York is 8-10 after falling by three points in Portland last time out. The Knicks' offense isn't very good, but their defensive play has been outstanding, allowing just 103.6 PPG so far this season, despite allowing 116 last time out. The last thing New York can do is try to get into a "shootout" with the red hot Jazz and expect to win this game.

The pick: Winning can lead to complacency. After eight straight wins, including a 19-point victory over the Warriors last time out, and with the Mavericks coming to town tomorrow for a two-game set, I think the Jazz take the foot off the gas on the offensive side here and look to control this contest instead throughout. This one has all the makings of a lower-scoring and defensive affair.

The is a 10* TOTAL PLAY-BOOK on the UNDER Knicks/Jazz.

The set-up: SIU is 4-5 and Eastern Illinois is 5-10. THe Cougars are averaging 67.2 PPG, while allowing 74.4. The Panthers are averaging 71.1 PPG and conceding 75.8. Eastern Illinois has faced a more difficult schedule and has the advantage of playing at home here. 

The pick: Eastern Illinois has lost five straight. Losing isn't fun. Winning is. THe Panthers though have an unbelievable opportunity here, as not only are the Cougars a bad team, but they also haven't even played since December 10th. I look for the hungrier, more in "game shape" Panthers to finally figure it out and to pull away down the stretch for the comfortable ATS cover.

The is a 10* ELITE OF THE ELITE on Eastern Illinois.

The set-up: Without question scoring is up across the league. I had a play on the "under" 6.5 goals in the Montreal/Vancouver Game 3 the other night and they entered the third period with just two goals, but that one finished with 7. The Senators have been terrible this year, they're off three straight losses to the Jets and I think they'll have a hard time mustering up much of an offensive attack here either. 

The pick: Ottawa will be especially mindful about its defensive play here, as it's allowing 4.0 GPG in the early going. I think the Senators buckle down on that end tonight. Same with the Canucks, who are going through their own defensive and goaltender issues. These are two teams that desperately need to get things figured out on the defensive end and with so much attention being put there by both clubs this evening, we can expect this total to indeed sneak below this posted number once the final horn sounds.

The is a 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK on the UNDER Senators/Canucks.

The set-up: Neither team usually lights up the scoreboard on any given night, but I think these hungry sides will push the pace and eclipse this posted number as the game comes down the stretch. The Southern Jaguars are 3-5 and the Alabama State Hornets are 1-5. Southern had won three straight before a loss to Alabama A&M last time out. Harrison Henderson was a standout with 21 points, ten boards and three assists. 

The pick: Brandon Battle had 17 points and ten boards in the Hornets 57-52 loss to Alcorn State. The Hornets though have seen the total go "over" the number in eight of their last 11 home games after scoring 55 points or less in a SU/ATS loss in their previous outing. I think Southern pushes the pace and I like the home side to keep pace. This number is just a little low.

The is a 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK on the OVER Southern/Alabama State.

The set-up: Brooklyn has played to 12 straight "overs." At some point it's going to play to an "under" and I believe that night is tonight. The Nets won this game two nights ago by a score of 128-124. The Heat are just 6-9, while the Nets are 10-8. Miami was one of the better defensive clubs in the league last year, and it'll be eager to reverse its fortunes obviously. The Nets have been terrible defensively this season, so if they're going to really contend against the Lakers, they have a long way to go on that side of the ball as well. 

The pick: If we add up these team's season averages, it comes to 129.6 (109.3 for the Heat and 120.3 for the Nets.) I don't think either is going to hit those averages here, as I look for a much more intense game, with shots being contested from the perimeter throughout. This number is a little high now.

The is a 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK on the UNDER Heat/Nets.

The set-up: After winning three in a row, I think the Hawks finally have a small letdown here. The Bucks on the other hand are 9-6 and they'll be eager to atone for a 113-106 home loss to the Lakers on Thursday. Atlanta though is still only 2-5 ATS in its last seven road games vs. a team with a winning home record. 

The pick: This is a bad matchup for Atlanta though, as the Bucks have really skilled perimeter defenders in Jrue Holiday and Khris Middleton. After back-to-back losses to the Nets and Lakers, look for the home side to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish in this one.

The is a 10* EAST-CONFERENCE GAME OF THE YEAR on the Bucks.

The set-up: We've seen plenty of high-scoring NHL games this year. I had a play on the "under" in the Canucks game last night, and it was 2-0 going into the third period. These teams played two nights ago and the Penguins won 4-3 in OT. So far Pittsburgh has seen the total go "over" in every game it's played this year, but I expect that extremely lop-sided number/trend to start correcting itself. Starting tonight. 

The pick: Alexander Georgiev is 1-1-0 with a 2.40 GAA and a .907 save percentage for the Rangers. Casey DeSmith is 2-0-0 with a 2.76 GAA and .879 save percentage for the Penguins. Look for these two competent netminders to be the main storylines in tomorrow's summaries.

The is a 10* TOTAL DESTRUCTION on the UNDER Rangers/Penguins.

The set-up: Whether Patrick Mahomes plays or not, I think the Chiefs are deep and talented enough to pull off a victory here at home over the Bills. Buffalo is now definitely in unchartered territory. With Josh Allen under center, this Bills team has a shot at competing with any team in the league. Buffalo's weakness this year is definitely on the defensive side of the ball though and I think that'll be its downfall finally here in this difficult road venue.

The pick: The Chiefs have had lapses in concentration this year (lost at home to the Raiders), but overall the reason they eclipsed their team season win total for an eighth straight year was because of an improved defense. KC is loaded with offensive and defensive talent and I like Andy Reid to have a masterful plan cooked up here to deal with the potential of Mahomes being sidelined. The game of Football is about more than just one player obviously and in this case, I think that the defending champs still have more than enough pieces in place to pull off another victory and advance to the Super Bowl. I'm laying the points!

The is a 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on the KC Chiefs.

The set-up: Is Aaron Rodgers the better QB in this matchup? At this point of their careers, I'd say that's the case. That said, on any given night, clearly Tom Brady has enough left in the tank to beat any team or person on the planet. This game isn't going to be decided though by Brady and Rodgers. Night in and night out, we almost always know what we can expect from these two legends. I think each will be on top of his game. For me, this one is going to be decided by defense, special teams and the Bucs superior run game. The Rams ran out of gas last weekend, but the Bucs come to town full of energy and on a mission. 

The pick: Note as well that the Packers are just 2-7 ATS in their last nine after allowing 20 points or less in a SU/ATS home victory in their last outing. I think the Bucs can control this game through all three phases and while I do expect an outright victory, in the end I'll recommend to grab as many points as you can. 

The is an 8* ROUT on the Bucs.

The set-up: Davidson comes in off a 73-58 win over Fordham on Wednesday. It was an 18.5 point favorite and while the Wildcats have been winning, they have failed to cover in three straight. UMass comes in off a 65-46 win at Fordham last week as a nine point favorite. The Wildcats last three wins have been by at least 14 points though and I think they'll pull away for a comfortable cover finally here. 

The pick: UMass has covered in three straight, and while it does average 82.8 PPG, the Minutemen also concede 75 per contest. Davidson is the more complete team here, definitely better on the defensive end and note that it's 4-1 ATS in its last five on the road. The Minutemen are vastly improved, but I think their record has taken advantage of a favorable schedule to this point. I'm laying the points, but expecting a decisive victory.

The is a 10* ANNIHILATION on Davidson.

The set-up: The Warriors are 8-7 and are coming off a loss to the Knicks on Thursday night. Previous to that GS beat the Lakers in a thriller on the road, followed by a solid victory over the Spurs at home. The Warriors have been better than most likely thought they'd have been without Klay Thompson in the lineup. Steph Curry and this potent Warriors line-up is going to be able to push this tough Jazz defense to the brink in my opinion.

The pick: The Jazz have covered in seven straight, but Golden State is 7-2 ATS in its last nine after scoring 105 points or less in a SU/ATS home loss in its last outing. I expect Golden State to come in focussed and while the outright is possible, let's grab the points.

This is a 10* COACH'S CORNER on the Golden State Warriors.

The set-up: This is clearly going to be the most interesting NHL season of all time. These back-to-back games, or even three in a row are unprecedented as far as how we should be approaching these contests on a daily basis. We can start to come to some logical conclusions though about some of these contests and that's the case here. After these two teams have split the first two games, with Vancouver winning 6-5 in a shootout in the first one, followed by a 7-3 Montreal victory in the second, I'm expecting a much more defensive affair this time around.

The pick: The numbers support that as well, as Montreal has seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last ten after scoring six or more goals in a road victory in its last outing, while Vancouver has seen the total go "under" in six of its last eight home games after playing to two or more straight "overs" at home in a row. This one has "battle" written all over it, but this time it's going to be a defensive one. 

This is a 10* TOTAL DOMINATOR on the UNDER Habs/Canucks.

The set-up: Valparaiso is 3-9, while Illinois State is 5-8. Valparaiso comes in hungry to snap a five-game losing streak. OVerall the Crusaders are averaging 71.5 PPG, while conceding 67.5.

The pick: The Redbirds have lost five of their last seven. Overall Illinois State is averaging 76 PPG, while allowing 76.8. Illinois State's issues on the defensive end are going to be the issue here for it. Look for Valparaiso to pull away for the comfortable cover in the second half.

This is a 10* MID-MAJOR MAULING on Valpo.

The set-up: Brooklyn has seen the total go "over" in ten straight. That ihncludes Cleveland's 147-135 double OT victory here two nights ago. The Nets have all the talent in the World, on the offensive end that is. If Brooklyn is unable to play any defense, it simply won't be going very far in the playoffs. The Lakers are fantastic defensively and that was once again proven on the road in Milwaukee last night. The Cavaliers have seen the total go over in two straight, so that also makes me lean heavily to the under here. 

The pick: If going by "numbers/stats/trends" alone, of course everything points to a high-scoring game here. These teams have played to multiple "overs," but note that Cleveland is in fact still the No. 1 defensive club in the league. Look for these incredibly lop-sided numbers to correct themselves right away here as this total stays well "under" once it's all said and done.

This is a 10* TOTAL OF THE YEAR on the UNDER Nets/Cavs.

The set-up: Pittsburgh dropped its first two games, but it then won its second two. All four Penguins' games have flown over the posted number this year, but I think that this game vs. the Rangers, who hit the road for their first trip away from friendly confines, sets up as more of a defensive affair. The Rangers are off a 4-3 loss to the Devils. Alexandar Georgiev posted a shutout in his first start, but allowed four goals in that setback. New York will be especially focussed here, as dating back to last season it has just one road win over its last seven.

The pick: Pittsburgh's mortal enemy is Washington, and after two straight victories over it, including a 5-4 shootout win in the second, I think a predictable mental letdown is in the cards here vs. the lowly Rangers. Let's not over-react to early offensive and defensive numbers, but instead use our heads and look at the situation as the way we base our selection today. I'll finally point out as well that the Pens have seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 11 home games after scoring four or more goals in an overtime or shootout in their previous outing. This number is high, the plays is the under.

This is a 10* TOTAL BLOOD-BATH on the UNDER Rangers/Penguins.