The set-up: Texas Tech is 18-10, advancing by beating Utah State 65-53. Arkansas is 23-6 after getting the better of Colgate 85-68. I think the Red Raiders Mac McClung will be a matchup issue for Arkansas today. Texas Tech only allows 63 PPG this year, but just conceded 53 to the Aggies, and there's no reason not to think they won't bring that same intensity here towards the Razorbacks. 

The pick: Arkansas allows 70.6 PPG, and it just gave up 68 to Colgate. The Red Raiders are well-coachd and experienced and I look for their tough defensive play to be just too much for Arkansas to handle. Lay the the points.

This is an 8* DESTRUCTION on Texas Tech.

The set-up: This is an instate rivalry, but these teams haven't played in over a decade. Illinois cruised by Drexel 78-49 and while I'm not expecting quite as big a blowout here, I do definitely expect Illinois to jump out to a quick lead, one which I expect it to hold onto going into the half-time break. The Ramblers played from behind in their 71-60 win over Georgia Tech last time out, and I think they are in fact "gassed" after that ordeal. 

The pick: Loyola Chicago's offense simply can't match pace with Illinois. The Illini come from the tough Big Ten as well and I think they'll be out to send a message here today. Note that Illinois is also 7-2 ATS in its last nine after a 25 points or greater win in its last outing. Look for the Fightning Illni to put the foot on the gas to open up the FIRST HALF.

This is a 9* FIRST HALF DESTRUCTION on Illinois.

The set-up: Abilene Christian is 23-4, while Texas is 19-7. The Wildcats have won four in a row, most recently a 34-point victory over Nicholls in the conference tournament game. Abilene Christian is extremely adept defensively and I expect that fact to keep it competitive with the Longhorns late.

The pick: Texas has won five in a row, including beating Oklahoma State in the Big 12 title game. Expectations are high for the Longhorns, but note that they're 0-9 ATS in their last nine NCAA Tournament games. The Wildcats are 7-2 ATS in their last nine netural site contests as an underdog in the +8.5 to +11.5 points range as well. The Wildcats have looked like one of the best and most dangerous mid-major teams and I look for them to at the very least, take this one right down to the wire. Grab the points.

This is an 8* DESTRUCTION on Albilene Christian.

The set-up: After seeing a bunch of favorites get the hook early on Friday, the Virginia Cavaliers will be cautious not to follow the same fate here in what is actually a very favorable matchup for them. Note that the Cavs are still the reigning NCAA Champion, because last year's tournament was cancelled. The Cavs had a small COVID issue, and one player will not be at the game today, but they've won seven of their last ten and three in a row. 

The pick: Ohio has won nine of its last ten games. It's had to deal with COVID issues this year as well. The Bobcats lack the depth and experience a this level though, and note that the Cavs are 10-3 straight-up in their last 13 NCAA Tournament games and 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 after an ATS loss. The Cavs are well-coached and their defense is suffocating. Look for UVA to pull away for a comfortable win and cover on Saturday night.

This is a 10* FIRST ROUND GAME OF THE YEAR on UVA.

The set-up: Enough is enough for the Stars here, who have lost two in a row and six of their last ten. Dallas fell 4-3 in a shootout at home to Tampa, before then coming up short here 3-2 two nights ago. Now the revenge-minded Stars look to bounce back and improve upon their 8-2 record in trying to avenge a road loss vs. an opponent in which they scored two or less goals in. 

The pick: After winning three of its last four, and with two nights off before a two-game set in Nashville, all signs point to this finally being a minor letdown spot for suddenly overachieving Detroit. I'm laying the price with confidence, as this one has has blowout written all over it!

This is an 8* TOP-SHELF ANNIHILATION on the Stars.

The set-up: No upsets here. There were a bunch yesterday obviously, but I expect the Wolverines to come in focussed and to pull away in the second half for a comfortable win and cover. Texas Southern has won ten games in a row, including an eight-point victory over Mount St. Mary's in the FIRST FOUR. 

The pick: Michigan is 20-4 this year. The Wolverines will come in angry after getting upset by Ohio State in the Big Ten tournament by a point. Wolverines head coach Juwan Howard had this to say of his team's great season in the tough Big Ten Conference: "It's been a great experience for not only players but the coaches as well. All we've dealt with has truly prepared us for this time. Some of the close games that we've had this year, the overtime victory that we've had, a loss during a close game. We've also experienced some games that we've really dominated on both ends of the floor. It's prepared us for this moment." The Wolverines bring a ton of experience here and they're 4-1-1 ATS in their last six NCAA Tournament games as the favorite, while The Tigers are just 2-7-1 ATS in their last ten Saturday games (does that matter? It certainly doesn't help!) Texas Southern ranks 237th in adjusted offensive efficiency, while Michigan ranks seventh. Lay the points.

This is an 8* PLAY-BOOK on Michigan.

The set-up: Both teams are struggling right now. St. Louis is the better team on paper though and I expect it to finally break its five-game slide here in this favorable matchup. The Blues also play with revenge here after falling 3-2 to the Sharks in their most recent matchup in early March. 

The pick: San Jose is off a 5-4 loss at Vegas and is just 2-7 in its last nine after a road loss in which it allowed five or more goals in. St. Louis on the other hand is 7-2 in its nine after five or more straight losses in a row. Look for the "better" team to deliver and lay the price.

This is an 8* DESTRUCTION on the Blues.

The set-up: I think this one sets up well for the Celtics. Sacramento plays better at home than on the road, and after its 121-119 win oat Washington two nights ago, an inevitable letdown is imminent. Note that not only is it a "letdown" spot for the visiting side, but it's also a "look-ahead" spot as well with a game in Philadelphia tomorrow night. 

The pick: BOston has lost two in a row and is in desperation mode. The Celtics also play with revenge here after falling 116-111 in Sacramento in early February. It's a perfect set of situational circumstances working in favor of Boston tonight, so lay the points with confidence.

This is a 10* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the Cetlics.

The set-up: Houston smoked Cincinnati in the ACC Tournament Championship game, but I think it'll have its hands full here with this underrated Cleveland State side. The Vikings are the Horizon League Tourney champ after dispatching Oakland 80-69. Cleveland State averages only 69.5 PPG, but it's one of the best on the defensive ends, especially at defending the three-ball, allowing just 30.4 percent from range, which ranks 34th in the country.

The pick: Houston allows only 57.6 PPG, while scoring 77.6. Clearly the Cougars are a good team, but note that they're just 1-4 ATS in their last five after scoring 90 or more points in their previous outing. The Vikings on the other hand are 7-1 ATS in their last eight as an underdog and 4-0 ATS in their last four neutral site games. I think the Vikings tough defensive play keeps them competitive late. No outright, but much closer than what this massive spread would suggest. Grab the points.

This is a 10* COACHS CORNER on Cleveland State.

The set-up: Georgia Tech finished 17-8. Loyola Chicago finished 24-4. The Yellow Jackets are led by Jose Alvarado and they allow 70 PPG. Loyola Chicago though is led by senior center Cameron Krutwig, who actually helped lead the Ramblers to a Final Four berth in his freshman year in 2018. 

The pick: The Ramblers own one of the top defenses in the country, conceding just 55.5 PPG. Finally, the Yellow Jackets are going to have play this game without standout Moses Wright as well. While I do think an outright upset is possible, in the end let's grab the points.

This is an 8* DESTRUCTION on Loyola Chicago.

The set-up: Virginia Tech finished 15-8, losing to UNC in the Conference Tournament, hwile Florida finished 14-9, losing to Tenneesee in its Tournament. Virginia Tech struggled down the stretch, losing two of its final three. In the loss to the Tar Heels it allowed 81 points. 

The pick: The Gators issues this year revolve around their offense, but clearly they catch a break here facing this struggling Hokies defense. Florida has to push the pace here and break out of its offensive slump if it has any hopes at competing. Expect each to push the pace and for this one to fly "over" as it comes down the stretch.

This is an 8* TOTAL TOURNEY PLAY-BOOK on the OVER VT/Florida.

The set-up: UCLA enters on a four-game losing streak. That included a first round exit in the conference tournament to the eventual champion Oregon State Beavers. It was a tight game though, as the  Bruins eventually lost 83-79 in OT. Michigan State had an up and down year as well. The Spartans lost in the first round of their conference tournament as well by a score of 68-57 to Maryland. 

The pick: UCLA averages 72.8 PPG, and it concedes 68.5. Michigan State on the other hand averages 69 PPG, while allowing 70.6. The Spartans are also a poor 5-11 ATS in their last 16 following an ATS loss and just 1-6 ATS in their last seven neutral site games, while UCLA has in fact performed very well in this spot for bettors of late, going 7-3 ATS in its last ten as an underdog. Clearly I think the outright is going to happen, but in the end I'm still grabbing the points.

This is a 10* FIRST-FOUR PLAY-BOOK on UCLA.

The set-up: The Thunder have split their last ten games. Overall they average 106.4 PPG, while allowing 112.1. Atlanta is on a six-game win streak. The Hawks average 112.9 PPG, while allowing 111.4. OKC though has performed well in this spot for bettors, going 4-1 ATS in its last five following an ATS loss. The Thunder are also a great 13-7 ATS on the road this season. 

The pick: With an eight-game extended Western road swing starting at the Lakers on Saturday night, there's no question that this also sets up as a "look ahead" spot for the home side. The Thunder have been trading good starts with bad of late, but with upcoming road dates at Houston and Minnesota, a three-game win skein is a very real possibility. I like the "hungrier" team to at the very least, keep this one close down the stretch.

This is a 10* NON-CONFERENCE ELITE OF THE ELITE on the Thunder.

The set-up: These two teams are evenly matched, but after losing 109-99 to the Clippers here two nights ago, I expect the Mavericks to lay everything on the line here to avenge that setback. Note that the Mavs are 7-2 ATS in their last nine in trying to revenge a home loss vs. an opponent in which it scored 100 or less points in. 

The pick: The Clippers have been alternating ATS wins/losses over their last four games and I look for that pattern to continue here, especially with three whole nights off after this before a home game against the Hornets. While the outright win is clearly not out of the question, I'm still grabbing the points.

This is a 10* COACH'S CORNER on the Mavericks.

The set-up: Both teams are struggling with defensive and goaltending issues, but that just means that each will be putting a concerted effort on that end of the ice tonight. Especially after the Flyers high-scoring 5-4 OT victory here two nights ago. 

The pick: The Rangers have seen the total go "under" the number in ten of their last 14 home games in trying to revenge an OT home loss in which they allowed five or more goals in. If we wagered on games based entirely on team's seasonal defensive and offensive averages, then we'd lose a lot of money. The situation here definitely points to a scrappy, but lower-scoring contest on Wednesday.

This is a 10* TOTAL COACH'S CORNER on the UNDER Flyers/Rangers.

The set-up: Toledo finished 21-8, while Ricmond was 13-8. The Rockets finished averaging 81.3 PPG, whiel conceding 71.4. The Spiders average 75.6 PPG, while allowing only 69.3. 

The pick: Richmond ended the season by losing three straight, but this is a deep and talented Spiders team which comes from the much tougher conference. Toledo has been great no doubt, but its competition has to be called into question here, as its offensive numbers are skewed due to that talent level faced. I think Richmond can win this one outright, but in the end I'll grab the points.

This is a 10* DESTRUCTION on Richmond.

The set-up: Obviously the Lakers are the better team. LA is still having to play without the services of big man AD though, so consistency from game to game has been an issue for the defending champs of late. Minnesota has had problems since Day 1 this year (COVID, injuries), but it comes in playing its best basketball of the season, having covered in three straight and going 2-1 SU as well. With two road games at Phoenix upcoming, the road ahead isn't going to get any kinder for the Wolves either. Not surprisingly, Minnesota plays with revenge here as well after a 112-104 loss as a six-point dog in early February. 

The pick: The Lakers have won and covered in two straight since the break, but a letdown is imminent here facing this lowly Wolves side and with LaMelo Ball and the Hornets (Jordan), coming to town on Thursday. I look for the hungrier visiting side to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch. Grab the points.

This is a 10* UNDERDOG BEST OF THE BEST on the T-Wolves.

The set-up: I am a "situational/motivational" handicapper at heart. I also look for strong trends. I also like to go against completely lop-sided trends and numbers. This particular contest sets up great for the Stars in a number of ways. Tampa is off a 4-1 loss at Nashville just yesterday afternoon. The Lightning have lost two of three and I think some minor regression is in order here now after such a long and strong start to the season. I'm not talking any epic losing streaks, but even Tampa's lofty standards were being stretched. 

The pick: Dallas, not surprisingly, plays with revenge here after a 2-0 loss to the Bolts in their latest matchup in early March. The Stars broke a two-game slide with a tough 3-1 shootout win at Columbus, but note that Dallas is 7-2 in its last nine in trying to revenge a shutout loss to an opponent. Great situational play and fantastic value on the revenge-minded home side here.

This is a 10* UNDERDOG BEST OF THE BEST on the Stars.

The set-up: I think this is a great spot to pull the trigger on the Knicks. New York has covered in three of its last four games and gone 2-2 SU in that span. Last time out it fell 117-112 at Brooklyn. If you sleep on the Knicks this year, Julius Randle and company are going to burn you. New York plays with revenge after falling 109-89 to Philly on December 26th, but the Knicks have made big strides since then. And with a game at home against Orlando on Thursday, New York has nothing to look past to in this revenge spot. 

The pick: Philly continues to do well without big man Joel Embiid in the line-up, as it's won and covered in three straight since the break. But with a game at home tomorrow night vs. the surging Bucks, this absolutely sets up as a "look ahead" spot for the home side. This is a classic "trap" for Philly here and I expect it to fall in. Grab the points.

This is an 8* DESTRUCTION on the Knicks.

The set-up: I use "motivation" a lot when handicapping games. Which team is going to be more "motivated" than the other (for varying different reasons.) Clearly, both teams are "hungry" for a win here. Ottawa is likely the worst team in the league, while Vancouver's inconsistent start has it having to play "catch up" as we get closer to ending the first half of the season. Both teams are equally as "hungry" for a victory here. 

The pick: The Canucks though have unquestionably been playing a lot better hockey of late, winning five of their last seven, including a 2-1 victory over Edmonton in their last game. Goaltending and defense were the two major weak points for Vancouver to open the season, but the adjustments its made over the last month have worked. As for Ottawa, it snapped a three-game slide with a rare road victory over the Leafs just last night. Can anyone say "letdown" spot?! I love the Canucks to take advantage here and dominate from start to finish.

This is a 10* GAME OF THE MONTH on the Vancouver Canucks.

The set-up: The WIzards are one of the worst defensive teams in the league, but I still think this number is much too high. Milwaukee has won eight of its last nine. The Bucks average 119.4 PPG, while allowing 112.4. Washington on the other hand has lost five of its last six. It averages 114.4 PPG, while allowing 119.7. 

The pick: Washington's losing, but it's been competitive. It hung with the Bucks just a few days ago, but then fell apart down the stretch. The Wizards though have seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 11 home games in trying to revenge a SU loss vs. an opponent in which it allowed 125 or more points in. With a much tougher and more high-profile game coming up next at surging Philadelphia, it's also a look-ahead spot for the visiting side. I expect a slower-paced game here, one which does indeed fall "under" once it's all said and done.

This is a 10* TOTAL PLAY-BOOK on the UNDER Bucks/Wizards.

The set-up: The Devils had a 2-0 lead over New York in the second period yesterday, but it stubmled and ended up losing 3-2. Enough is enough here for New Jersey, which is clearly a team that has plenty of issues, but which won't be lacking motivation today after losing three in a row and eight of its last ten. Note that four of the Devils last five games have been decided by a single goals, which proves that NJ is in fact trying its hardest. 

The pick: Would anyone fault the Isles for a bit of a mental letdown here after eight straight victories? And with a much more high-profile game in the Nation's Capital on Tuesday, this is also a "look-ahead" spot the visiting side. The home side does not have that luxury though, as we can expect it to risk life and limb here to get into shooting and passing lanes to try and earn an elusive victory. Lay the price for the extra 1.5 goals of insurance.

This is a 6* PUCK-LINE DESTRUCTION on the Devils.

The set-up: Are the Jazz a better overall team than the Warriors? Their win/loss record would certainly indicate that. However, I think this one sets up well for the home side to at the very least, keep this one close enough to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch. Utah's numbers both defensively and offensively are superior, but after its rather easy victory at home over the Rockets, and with upcoming road contests at Boston, Washington, Toronto and Chicago, this sets up as a look-ahead spot for the visiting side. 

The pick: No such luxury for the Warriors though, who not only play with revenge here after falling 127-108 to the Jazz back on January 23rd, but who have lost four straight overall. Note that GS is 7-2 ATS in its last nine home games after three games or longer losing ATS/SU streak. A great situational call on the home side here in my opinion. Grab the points.

This is a 10* COACH'S CORNER on the Warriors.

The set-up: Two hungry teams collide in the Big Ten Championship game. Illinois beat No. 5 Iowa 82-71, while Ohio State upset No. 3 Michigan with a 68-67 victory. Ohio State jumped out to an early lead, but the Buckeyes faltered late and allowed Michigan back into it. Duane Washington Jr. was a stand out with 24 points, six boards and four assists. Overall the Buckeyes average 77 PPG, while allowing 70.3. 

The pick: Ohio State is going to have its hands full today with one of the Nation's top offenses, as the Fighting Illini average 81 PPG, while allowing 68.6. Ohio State is very efficent offensively, ranking fifth in the KenPom rankings in shooting splits and in free-throw shooting. Expect these two highly effective offenses to push this total well "over" once it's all said and done.

This is a 10* TOTAL DESTRUCTION on the OVER Ohio State/Illinois.

The set-up: Edmonton is off a big 6-2 win at home just last night over Ottawa and I think it'll have a hard time duplicating its energy levels here on the road vs. a Canucks team which had its three-game win streak snapped in a 5-1 loss to the Canadiens two nights ago. Vancouver plays with revenge here though after losing its most recent matchup with the Oilers 3-0. And with an extended Eastern road swing up next, it puts added importance onto this contest for the home side. 

The pick: The Oilers, content with their big win at home over the Sens, are going to also be caught looking ahead here to a two-game series vs. Provincial rival Calgary on Monday. This is a great situational/spot wager for the revenge-minded and hungrier home side.

This is a 10* UNDERDOG GAME OF THE YEAR on the Canucks.

The set-up: The Kings beat the Rockets 125-105 before the break. Sacramento has struggled on the road though this season and I think it'll have its hands full here vs. this rested home side. Note that the Kings are just 1-6 ATS in their last seven as an undredog. 

The pick: Atlanta looks for its fourth straight win here, and it's definitely been better at home than on the road. Sacramento is also a terrible 3-10 ATS in its last 13 here, while the Hawks are 4-0 ATS the last four in this series. Home court DOES matter here, so lay that points.

This is an 8* PLAY-BOOK on the ATL Hawks.

The set-up: Both teams are "hungry" for a victory here and I expect this competitiveness to result in a lower-scoring defensive battle. Toronto has lost five of six. The Raptors average 113.2 PPG, while allowing 111.8. 

The pick: The Hornets have won five of their last eight. Overall Charlotte averages 112.5 PPG, while allowing 112.9. Toronto's still a banged up team. The only chance the visiting side has is to grind out a win a here. Expect a slower pace and for this one to fall "under" the number once it's all said and done.

This is a 10* TOTAL DESTRUCTION on the UNDER Raptors/Hornets.

The set-up: The Longhorns are after their first tournament title, advancing to the finals after Kansas withdrew due to COVID concerns. In their last game they beat Texas Tech by a score of 67-66. The Cowboys are coming off a huge 83-74 win over Baylor as nine-point dogs. I think Oklahoma State is going to be in trouble here vs. this hard-nosed Texas defense which concedes just 68.2 PPG.

The pick: The Cowboys average 76.5  PPG, while allowing 72.2. The Longhorns average 74.6. But fatigue is a factor here. Nerves are a factor here. Expect each team to double down on the defensive end and for this total to fall "under" once it's all said and done.

This is a 9* TOTAL PLAY-BOOK on the UNDER OKS/Texas.

The set-up: Michigan advanced to the semi finals with a 79-66 win over Maryland. Ohio State has won two straight in the Conference tournament to advance, most recently an 87-78 OT win over Purdue to advance. Michigan won the lone regular season battle on the road between the teams, a 92-87 thriller and I'm expecting a similar style battle, and ultimately higher-scoring contest here as well. Ohio State has gotten out to two early big leads so far in the tournament, only to then allow its opponent to get back into the contest. The Buckeyes will look to avoid that here, and they'll have to match pace obviously with the high-flying Wolverines. 

The pick: Ohio State averages 77.3 PPG, while Michigan averages 76.6. Each is adept defensively as well, but their strengths lie on the offensive end. And I believe it'll be these offenses on full display on Saturday afternoon as each side gets out and pushes the pace from start to finish. This number is a little low.

This is a 10* TOTAL DESTRUCTION on the OVER Buckeyes/Wolverines.

The set-up: Minnesota's rolling right now and I think the Wild will keep it going here, and are well worth the price of admission. Arizona has been playing well of late, but it still only averages 2.5 GPG. this year. It's also been better at home than on the road. Arizona concedes 2.8 GPG. 

The pick: The Wild on the other hand concede just 2.6 GPG. Offensively Minnesota averages over 3.00 GPG and it's also 4-0 in its last four at home as a faovrite and 7-1 in its last eight as the favorite, while Arizona is just 8-20 in its last 28 on the road. Minnesota is destined for a big letdown at some point, but not tonight. Lay the price with confidence.

This is an 8* MID-CHALK DESTRUCTION on the Minnesota WIld.

The set-up: Both teams have been playing to several OVERS of late. Washington came out of the break and lost a high-scoring game to the Grizzlies, while Philadelphia won just last night in a high-scoring win at Chicago. These teams love to get out and push the pace and defense is usually an afterthought, but the overall conditions in this one point to a lower-scoring affair in my opinion. Philly's obviously gassed after last night's win, so I expect it to come out and play a different style here, more of a half-court set while on offense. 

The pick: Note that Washington has seen the total go "under" in eight of its last 11 after allowing 120 or more points in a SU/ATS road loss in its last outing. Considering all of the above information, I'm hammering this under.

This is a 10* COACH'S CORNER on the UNDER 76ers/Wizards.

The set-up: Both teams have been playing to a whole lot of "unders" of late, but I believe that has now pushed this O/U number a little bit too low. Both regular season matchups between these teams flew well "over" the number, and I absolutely expect that again to be the case here. 

The pick: Yes, these are two great defenses, but these offenses are loaded with talent as well. The trends/numbers support our theory this morning as well, as note that Maryland has seen the total go "over in seven of its last ten after holding its previous opponent to under 60 points in a SU/ATS victory, while Michigan has seen the total soar "over" in eight of its last 12 after playing to five or more straight "unders" in a row. This number is low, the play is the over.

This is a 10* BIG TEN TOURNEY TOTAL OF THE YEAR on the OVER Maryland/Michigan.

The set-up: South Carolina plays with revenge here in the Tournament after losing the only regualr season matchup with Ole Miss by a score of 81-74. While the Gamecocks lost that contest by seven, I expect this one to come right down to the wire, where whichever team has its hands on the ball last will come out on top. South Carolina lost its final two games of the regular season, but it played the Rebels competitively in the regular season and I expect that to happen again here. 

The pick: Ole Miss has a significant advantage on the defensive side of the ball, but the Rebels are just 2-6 ATS in their last eight neutral site games as a favorite in the +6 to +9 points range as well. I like SC to battle tough and to at the very least, take this one down to the final moments. Grab the points.

This is an 8* SITUATIONAL TOURNEY BLOWOUT on South Carolina.

The set-up: Montreal's been consistently inconsistent over the last month, and after it's big bounce back 5-1 win in Vancouver just last night, I think a very predictable letdown is in the cards here for the visiting side. 

The pick: The Flames offer great value in this spot. The Flames always play better at home than on the road and after back-to-back losses, there's no question that they're the hungrier team in this fight. Home ice advantage is a very real factor here in my opinon and one which the oddsmaker have not properly taken into account. I'm banking on a blowout from start to finish.

This is a 10* SITUATIONAL UPPER-SHELF SLAP-SHOT on the Flames.

The set-up: Philadelphia is 24-12 and the Bulls are 16-18. Philly is going to have to make some adjustments coming out of the break, with a few key players still on the COVID list. Overall the 76ers are averaging 114.7 PPG, while allowing 111.2. 

The pick: The Bulls have won six of their last nine games. Overall Chicago is averaging 115 PPG, while allowing 115.2. Chicago comes in healthier than its been in a long time and it plays with revenge. Note as well that the 76ers are just 13-36-2 ATS in their last 51 on the road, while the Bullds are a solid 4-1 ATS in their last five as the favorite. Philly struggles on the road even with its best players in the line-up, but with Simmons and Embiid out, I have a hard time seeing the visiting side competing whatsoever today. Lay the points.

This is a 10* COACH'S CORNER on the Bulls.

The set-up: Oklahoma State just upset the Mountaineers 85-80 as ten-point dogs, but after winning six of their final seven games down the stretch of the regular season, I look for the Cowboys to finally take a step back here. Overall Oklahoma State averages a decent 76.7 PPG, but it concedes 72.3. 

The pick: WVU is etter on both end of the floor, averaging 77.6 PPG, while allowing 72.1. The Cowboys have actually won four out of the last seven in this series, so the Mountaineers have added incentive in this matchup. Finally note that WVU is 7-2 ATS in its last nine in trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent in which it allowed 85 or more points in. Lay the short points.

This is a 10* BIG 12 BEST OF THE BEST on West Virginia.

The set-up: Oklahoma State upset WVU by ten points in its regular season finale, so it'll have its hands full here in trying to duplicate that 85-80 win. I can't see WVU allowing the Cowboys to run up the score again like that, instead I expect the revenge-minded favorite to really clamp down on the defensive end from the opening tip, until the final horn. 

The pick: It sets up well as a lower-scoring game from a trend-based stand-point as well, as note that WVU has seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 11 in trying to revenge an in-season home loss to an opponent of ten or more points. This number is a tad high.

This is an 8* TOTAL DESTRUCTION on the UNDER Oklahoma State/West Virginia.

The set-up: Vancouver's been playing a lot better of late, as it enters having won four of its last five, including three in a row. In its last three wins, all three have gone "under" the number. That includes a 2-1 shootout win over the Habs here two nights ago. These teams have another game here two nights from now. I think Vancouver can build off its recent run, but I absolutely also expect a much better effort from Montreal here to in this immediate bounce-back scenario. 

The pick: Note that Montreal has seen the total go "over" the number in seven of its last ten in trying to revenge an OT loss vs. an opponent in which it score one or less goals in. I expect a much faster-paced contest here and I look for this total to fly over sooner, rather than later.

This is a 10* TOTAL COACH'S CORNER on the OVER Habs/Canucks.

The set-up: I expect a really high-scoring game here. UTEP has won four of its last five. It averages 70.8 PPG and it allows 68.2. FAU enters on top form as well, having won four straight. The Owls average 78.6 PPG, while allowing 66.3. 

The pick: The "over" though is 4-1 in the Minders last five neutral site games, while FAU has seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 11 after a three games or longer SU/ATS unbeaten streak. These teams have been great down the stretch and I expect that to translate into offensive production in this tournament contest. This number is a little low.

This is an 8* TOTAL BARN-BURNER on the OVER UTEP/FAU.

The set-up: Both teams are hungry for a win here. San Antonio entered the break just at the right time, as it had lost three of its final five. The Mavs won three straight heading into the break, so the timing was very bad for them. Also note that Luke Doncic is questionable for this contest and if he does play, he's not going to be at 100%.

The pick: Finally note that San Antonio is 5-2 ATS in its last seven on the road, while the Mavericks are just 2-7 ATS in their last nine vs. clubs with winning records. Expect this rested Spurs team to at the very least, take this one right down to the wire. Grab the points.

This is a 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on the San Antonio Spurs.

The set-up: I like the Bucknell Bison to sneak in through the back door comfortably in this one. Bucknell advanced to the semis with a 92-84 win over Lafayette. Colgate got here by defeating Boston 77-69. 

The pick: The Bison though are 7-3 ATS in their last ten vs. teams with winning records, while Colgate is just 2-4 ATS in its last six after back-to-back SU/ATS victories. Colgate hasn't been good at covering big numbers at home and I expect that trend to continue here vs. this high-scoring Bison side. Grab as many points as you can.

This is an 8* DESTRUCTION on Bucknell.

The set-up: The Horned Frogs are allowing 71.2 PPG. K-State and TCU play at slower paces, but all signs point to this opening conference tournament game being a bit more wide open.  

The pick: And that's because note, K-State has seen the total go "over" the number in seven of its last ten after playing to five or more straight "unders" in a row, while TCU has seen the total eclipse the posted number in eight of its last 12 in trying to revenge a loss to an opponent in which it scored 55 points or less in. This number is now a little too low, the play is the over.

This is a 10* TOTAL PLAY-BOOK on the OVER K-State/TCU.

The set-up: After back-to-back defeats to end a five-game Western swing in Vancouver, I expect Toronto to not only win this game, but to win big. The Leafs still by far have the best numbers in the league, posting 3.46 GPG, while allowing only 2.42.  

The pick: Winnipeg enters off a humbling 7-1 loss at Montreal, and note that it's just 2-6 in its last eight after a five goals or greater loss in its previous outing. The Jets have also conceded three goals or more in seven of their last ten games. Look for Toronto to pull away late for a big win on home ice!

This is a 10* PUCK-LINE DESTRUCTION on the Leafs.

The set-up: LBSU is 5-11 and Cal State is 8-12. The 49ers average 72.3 PPG, while allowing 79.5. The Matadors average 72.5 and concede 77.3. These are the two bottom feeders going head to head here in the opener of the conference tournament, and with nothing to lose, I'm definitely expecting a very faster-paced, wide-open affair. 

The pick: Additionally note that the "over" is 5-2 in LBSU's last seven neutral site games while CSU Northridge has seen the total go "over" in six of its last eight neutral site games. I don't expect any defense to played at all and I believe this total will eclipse the posted number sooner, rather than later.

This is an 8* DESTRUCTION on the OVER LBSU/CSU Northridge.

The set-up: Boston College enters this game with a 4-15 record, losing by four to Miami on the road in its last game. Duke enters with an 11-11 record, falling by 18 points on the road in its previous outing. BC has been terrible this season, on both ends of the court. 

The pick: This has been Duke's worst year in memory as well, as it enters the Tournament on a three-game slide. Duke still has an oppportunity to make the Big Dance though if it can win a couple games in the Conference Tournament, so here's the perfect opponent to get untracked against. I think Duke doubles down on the defensive end now that the Tournament is here and I look for this total to sneak under once the final buzzer blares.

This is a 10* ACC TOURNEY TOTAL OF THE YEAR on the UNDER BC/Duke.

The set-up: This is the Summit League Tournament. South Dakota State is 14-10 and it's coming off a win over UM Kansas on Sunday to advance. The Bison average only 69.3 PPG, but they make up for it on the other end by conceding just 67.2. 

The pick: South Dakota advanced by beating Western Illinois. The Coyotes average 75.6 pPG, while allowing 72. Both teams though have struggled with offensive consistency in this position, as evidenced by the fact that North Dakota State has seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 12 games following a SU win and on zero days rest, while South Dakota has seen the total go "under" in nine of its last 13 after scoring 85 points or more in a SU/ATS victory in its last outing. I expect each team to double-down on the defensive end here, as each comes in tired after their respective victories on Sunday. This number is indeed high.

This is a 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK on the UNDER North Dakota State/South Dakota.

The set-up: Ottawa comes in off a tough 4-3 shootout win in Calgary just last night and suffice it to say, I expect a predictable letdown here in the second game of the back-to-back. The Senators have been playing a lot better than at the start of the season, but they're still pretty bad in every department. And now throw on the fact that they're coming off a satisfying victory (in a shootout no less), just 24 hours previous, and there's no question that this one has "letdown" written all over it for the visiting side. 

The pick: Edmonton has looked shaky this year, but here's a big opportunity to build off its 3-2 win over Calgary in its previous outing, a victory which snapped a three-game slide. With a favorable upcoming schedule, the Oilers have nothing to look past to here either. It's a perfect situation for Edmonton to not only win here at home on Monday night, but to win in a big blowout fashion. As such, I'm pulling the trigger on the home side on the puck-line.

This is an 8* PUCK-LINE DESTRUCTION on the Oilers.

The set-up: I think this is a good spot to pull the trigger on the home side on the puck line here. The price of admission is worth it, as I expect the Sharks to throw everything they have at the Blues tonight. St. Louis just had its four-game win streak snapped in a 4-3 OT loss at LA last time out, and with four whole days off after this, I believe it'll struggle to find energy here in San Jose. 

The pick: The Sharks not only play with revenge after a 7-6 loss to the Blues back on February 27th, but they are also desperate to break a three-game slide, including a 4-0 shutout loss at home to Vegas in their most recent. In a contest which I see being decided late or even in extra time, I'm laying the price for the extra 1.5 goals of insurance.

This is an 8* PUCK-LINE PLAY-BOOK on the Sharks.

The set-up: These teams played on Thursday and the Wolverines managed the 69-50 victory. Michigan is still in hunt for the No. 1 seed in the Big Dance, but with the regular season title wrapped up and the Big Ten Tournament to now look ahead too, I do indeed believe that the Wolverines will get caught looking past their lowly opponent today. 

The pick: Michigan State could earn a spot in the NCAA Tournament with an upset win today. It's also senior night at Michigan State. There's a lot on the line today for the home side. Revenge from the immediate loss. Senior night. A spot in the Big Dance on the line. Michigan isn't going to lose this game, but I believe the conditions are definitely right for a much more competitive battle than what Las Vegas is trying to lead us to believe. This is a few too many points to be giving up, so make sure to grab as many as you can.

This is a 10* GAME OF THE MONTH on Michigan State.

The set-up: These teams have played to a couple of high-scoring "overs," but I expect more of a defensive affair in their third-straight game here. Tampa has a two-game set in Detroit after this, so it'll have to be cautious to not get caught looking ahead. Chicago's weakness is on the defensive side, but note that it's seen the total go "under" the number in seven of its last 11 home games after scoring four or more goals in a home victory in its last outing.

The pick: The Lightning have seen the total go "under" in six of their last eight in trying to revenge a road loss vs. an opponent in which they allowed four or more goals in as well. Tampa still has the No. 1 ranked defense and I expect it to double-down on the end today as it looks to leave Chicago with a series victory. This one has "under" written all over it.

This is a 10* TOTAL PLAY-BOOK on the UNDER Lightning/Hawks.

The set-up: Wisconsin will be laying everything on the line here in my estimation as it looks to avoid a three-game losing streak to end the season. The Badgers have actually lost four of their last five, including a tight 73-69 defeat to at No. 23 Purdue on Tuesday. Iowa is still in a hunt for a No. 1 seed, but after its big 102-64 spanking of Neraska, I think it comes out a bit complacent here. This is a revenge game for Wisconsin, which lost 77-62 at home to the Hawkeyes back on February 18th (note that the Badgers are 7-2 ATS In their last nine in trying to revenge a home loss vs. an opponent in which it lost both SU and ATS and in which it scored 65 or less points in.) 

The pick: Iowa has a great offense, but it's defense is its weakness. I'll point out as well that the Hawkeyes are just 1-4 ATS in their last five after back-to-back SU/ATS victories. Look for this one to come right down to the wire and grab as many points as you can.

This is an 8* REVENGE DESTRUCTION on Wisconsin.

The set-up: The Rebels lost to No. 19 SDSU last time out. With the victory, the Aztecs claimed the MWC regular season title. Despite that though, UNLV has been playing well of late, winning three of its last five. Overall the Rebels have averaged 69.7 PPG this season, while allowing 67.3. 

The pick: Wyoming is ripe for the picking here after having four of its last seven games canceled or postponed due to COVID. Most recently the Cowboys lost 72-59 to Utah State. Wyoming has poor numbers, averaging 75.4 PPG, while allowing 75.9. The Rebels are playing better and have a golden opportunity to close out strong against this disorganized Wyoming side. A great situational spot wager on UNLV.

This is a 10* MOUNTAIN WEST GAME OF THE MONTH on UNLV.

The set-up: The Habs just recently fired their head coach after a scuffling stretch. Montreal has continued to scuffle, but I expect it to dig deep here and finally post a victory against the Jets. Winnipeg has won all three meetings over the Habs so far this year, but I expect that streak to come to an end here finally. 

The pick: Obviously, if we were to simply look at these team's recent form, then the Jets would be the correct call here. But gambling on sports isn't that easy obviously either. These teams are evenly matched, but I think the Habs can finally get it together here (note as well that the Canadiens are 7-2 in their last nine in trying to revenge two straight losses two an opponent.) All things considered a very fair price on the absolutely desperate home side here. 

This is a 10* COACH'S CORNER on the Montreal Canadiens.

The set-up: Villanova is the better team, but I think the home side can at the very least, take this one right down to the wire. Villanova enters off a 12 point win over Creighton at home. The Wildcats though are just 11-9 ATS. The Friars are 11-13 ATS this seaosn. Villanova is the better team here, but this one has battle till the end written all over it. 

The pick: Providence is good on the boards and it plays better at home. The Friars also play with revenge here after falling 71-56 at Villanova earlier in the season (note that they're 6-3 ATS in their last nine in trying to revenge a road loss of ten or more points vs. an opponent.) I'm grabbing the points and getting the popcorn ready!

This is an 8* UNDERDOG DESTRUCTION on Providence.

The set-up: These teams have had some great goaltending in the past, but each has struggled in that department this season. But while the first two games of this three-game series have flown well "over" the number, the situation and trends both point to the finale as being more of a defensive affair. Philly has seen the total go "under" in seven of its last ten road games after playing to back to back "overs." 

The pick: Pittsburgh can't be happy with the way the last game ended, as it had a 3-0 lead late. Philly rallied for four straight goals, which clearly won't be sitting well with the Penguins. Note though that Pittsburgh has seen the total go "under" the number in nine of its last 14 in trying to revenge a one goal home loss to an opponent. Expect a hard-fought, but ultimately lower-scoring under once the final horn blares.

This is an 8* O/U DESTRUCTION on the UNDER Flyers/Pens.

The set-up: I think FSU gets caught looking past Notre Dame this afternoon. The Seminoles enter off a relatively simple 29 oint home win over Boston College, but note that they've split their first six true road games this year. 

The pick: The Irish are going to be in a terrible mood here after losing four straight, including an upset loss to NC State at home in their most recent. Notre Dame is just 5-5 at home, but note that the Irish have responded well in this spot for bettors by going 7-2 ATS in their last nine after a ten points or greater SU home loss in their last outing. Expect the home side to play with pride as it looks to close out the regular season with a signature victory. That said, grab the points for sure.

This is a 9* REVENGE DESTRUCTION on Notre Dame.

The set-up:

The pick:

This is a 10* PUCK-LINE DESTRUCTION on the Hawks.

The set-up: Both offenses can for sure "light it up," but this total is just too high in our opinion now. The total earlier in the year between these clubs was set at 147, and it did go "over" in the final seconds of that contest, but I don't see that happening again here. Ball State has scored at least 90 points over its last three games, but that offensive output is unsustainable now. 

The pick: Both teams are poor at rebounding, so second chance points are going to be hard to come by (also note that Toledo does a great job of limiting its fouling.) Ball State is second best in the conference as well in defending the three ball. When you add it all up, this total is indeed a little high, definitely considering how competitive I'm expecting it to be. 

This is a 10* TOTAL PLAY-BOOK on the UNDER Ball State/Toledo.

The set-up: No upsets here in our opinion. Cal Irvine is 14-8 this year and the Anteaters won't take the foot off the gas with the regular season finish line in sight. LBSU is just 5-9 and it enters having lost two straight. LBSU has a good offense which averages 73.6 PPG, but the Anteaters have an exceptional defense which concedes just 64.3. 

The pick: UC Irvine's offense is averaging only 64.3 PPG as well, but the visitors catch a break here for sure facing this terrible LBSU defense which allows 80.6 PPG. LBSU is just 1-3 ATS in its last four at home, while UC Irvine is 7-3-1 ATS in its last 11 when playing with four-plus days of rest. Look for the Anteaters to come in focussed and for their superior defense to be the difference-maker in the end.

This is an 8* DESTRUCTION on UC Irvine.

The set-up: After a 5-2 win over Vancouver, I believe the Jets, who have actually won five of their last six, will take a step back here on the road. Winnipeg averages 3.36 GPG, and it allows 2.64. 

The pick: Montreal, by far in my estimation, comes in as the "hungrier" team in this situation. The Habs had lost five in a row before a win over Ottawa last time out. Overall the Habs average 3.24 GPG, while allowing 2.81. Montreal has also lost three straight in this series, so the TRIPLE revenge-factor also comes into play here. I'm banking on the Canadiens finding a way to get the job done at the end of hte night. Lay it!

This is a 10* REVENGE BEST OF THE BEST on the Habs.

The set-up: Toronto has lost three of its last four. This is its final game before the all star break. The Raptors are dealing with a major COVID outbreak and I think they're just going to go through the motions today here as they look to get some rest and return healthy after. Throw the seasonal offensive and defensvie out the window for the visiting side, this pick for me is based upon the situation. 

The pick: The Celtics will look to control the pace of this one vs. the undermanned Raptors, who lost 129-105 at home to the Pistons just last night. Finally note that Boston has seen the total dip under the number in five of its last six home games after posting three or more SU home victories in a row. This number is a little high.

This is a 10* TOTAL DESTRUCTION on the UNDER Raptors/Celtics.

The set-up: Canisius is 6-4 and Siena is 11-3. The Griffins are 5-1 in their last six, but they're coming off a loss in their last outing to Fairfield. Canisius has had to deal with several COVID postponements this season

The pick: The Saints enter having won three straight. Sienna is better at home than on the road, coming in having gone 9-4-1 ATS in its last 14 in friendly confines. I can't trust the Griffins on the road. The Saints haven't been great against the spread, but they've been playing really well lately, scoring 68 or more points in three straight wins and allowing 70 or less at the same time. I look for the Saints to pull away down the stretch for a comfortable cover.

This is a 10* MID-MAJOR MAULING on Siena.

The set-up: San Jose has been playing a bit better of late, but after playing to four straight "overs," including an upset 6-2 victory over the Avs two nights ago, I'm finally expecting more of a defensive affair here for the home side. 

The pick: The Avs have seen the total go "over" in two straight, but note that they've seen the total go "under" in seven of their last ten in trying to revenge an in-season loss in which they allowed six or more goals in. Scoring is up around the league this season, but the situation and the numbers both point to the "under" as the correct call here in our opinion.

This is a 10* TOTAL COACH'S CORNER on the UNDER Avs/Sharks.

The set-up: The Bulls upset the Pelicans at home a couple weeks ago. These teams are similar in many respects. They're both filled with young and raw talent that likes to get out and push the pace and where defense is mostly an after-thought. The Bulls won that game at home and the total did indeed go "over" as well. This is the Bulls final game before the break, while the Pels have a much more high-profile final contest at home tomorrow night against the Heat. Situationally this one definitely sets up as more of a defensive affair.

The pick: Note as well though that Chicago has seen the total dip "under" the number in eight of its last 11 after allowing 115 or more points in a SU/ATS home loss in its last outing, while New Orleans has seen the total go "under" in seven of its last ten home games in trying to revenge an in-season loss vs. an opponent in which it allowed 125 or more points in. This can still be a high-scoring game and stay well "under" this sky-high number and that's exactly what I'm expecting here.

This is a 10* TOTAL PLAY-BOOK on the UNDER Bulls/Pelicans.

The set-up: This is the first round of the A-1 Championship. George Washington crushed Fordham 71-47 back on December 30th, but I think the hungry Rams can keep this one much more competitive now that the Tournament is here. Fordham won't be lacking for motivation after two straight losses. The Rams average only 52 PPG, while the Colonials average 69.7. 

The pick: Fordham's defense has been decent though, conceding just 67.6 PPG. Of course, when you score less than you allow, it's hard to win on most nights. The Colonials though lost four of their last five games down the stretch and have zero momentum here. George Washington's numbers over the last month are so terrible, that they're now comparable to Fordham's. In this battle of bottom feeders, I'm going to grab the points and expect it to be much closer than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe.

This is a 10* DESTRUCTION on Fordham.

The set-up: This is the first time these teams have met this year. Phoenix has won eight of its last ten. LA has struggled without Anthony Davis in the line-up, but Dennis Schroeder recently returned and LA comes into this one now having won two straight. LeBron James struggled for the first couple weeks without AD, but the veteran has made adjustments and LA looks a lot better now. 

The pick: And with a game tomorrow night at Sacramento, "The King" will look to take advantage of familiar surroundings and take on this challenge personally in my opinion. Note as well the the Lakers are 7-2 ATS in their last nine as a home favorite in the -1 to -2.5 points range. For this pick though, we're going to bypass the spread and instead lay the reasonable price on the "money line" for the Lakers to win this one outright.

This is a 10* GAME OF THE MONTH on the LA Lakers.

The set-up: In a contest which I see being decided late or even in extra time, I'm going to lay the price for the extra 1.5 goals of insurnace. Both teams have plenty of issues. For Buffalo though, it's not a talent issues, it's a chemistry issue. The Sabres were also hit hard by the COVID at the start of the season. 

The pick: New York on the other hand has struggled all season with offensive consistency, and now it's having to deal with the loss of top offensive talent Panarin to personal reasons. I think Buffalo is the "hungrier" and better team on paper here and while the outright win is obviously not out of the question, in the end I'll recommend to play this one on the PUCK LINE.

This is an 8* PUCK-LINE DESTRUCTION on the Buffalo Sabres.

The set-up: Fort Wayne enters the Horizon League Tournament with an 8-14 record. The Mastadons enter with momentum as well afte rwinning two of three, most recently a victory over Green Bay. The Vikings are 16-7 and they're won two of their last three as well. 

The pick: Cleveland State though has been off since February 20th, when it defeated this very Purdue Fort Wayne team by a score of 67-55. The longer two week lay off isn't going to help with chemistry and note that the Mastadons are 5-1 ATS in their last six following an ATS victory. I expect a battle until the final moments, so grab as many points as you can.

This is a 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on Purdue Fort Wayne.

The set-up: Toronto just smoked Edmonton here 4-0 two nights ago, snapping the Oilers five-game win streak. The Leafs have the best record in the NHL, thanks to a potent offense and an effective defense. The Oilers can score with the best of them, but they unforutnately let in almost as many goals they score. And that means that most nights, the margin of error is really slim for Edmonton.

The pick: Clearly the Oilers can't be happy about getting blanked in their last game. Edmonton can't sit back and wait for Toronto to make the first mistake today, instead the Oilers will have to push the pace if they have any hopes here of bouncing back. Two interesting stats to take note of as well, as note that TO has seen the total go "over" in eight of its last 11 after shutting out its last opponent in a road victory, while Edmonton has seen the total eclipse the posted number in seven of its last 11 games in trying to revenge a shutout home loss to an opponent. The stage is set for some fireworks tonight, the play is the "over."

This is a 10* TOTAL COACH'S CORNER on the OVER Leafs/Oilers.

The set-up: The Pelicans have been alternating SU/ATS wins/losses over their last five games and they most recently come off a 117-114 road loss as 2.5 point favorites at San Antonio. They also play with revenge here after losing 129-118 to the Jazz as 6.5 point underdogs back on January 21st. Clearly the Pelicans have all the motivation they need right in front of them here, but also note that they're 7-2 ATS in their last nine home games after allowing 115 or more points in a SU/ATS road loss in their previous outing. 

The pick: Utah's the better team, I won't try to convince you otherwise, but I simly feel this spread is too large for it to cover. With a more high-profile and "tougher" game looming at Philadelphia on Wednesday, this is also a prime "look ahead" spot for the visiting side. A great situational play that I'm taking out of my PLAY-BOOK. Grab the points.

This is a 10* TOTAL PLAY-BOOK on the New Orleans Pelicans.

The set-up: Clearly WKU is the better team. The Hilltoppers are 16-5, but I don't think they're going to be able to cover this large spread. The FIU Panthers are 9-15. FIU won't be lacking for motivation after losing six in a row. The Panthers average 74.9 PPG, and they allow 76. 

The pick: WKU comes in complacent here after winning seven of its last eight, including a 91-58 blowout victory over FIU in its last outing. Winning can lead to complacency (especially at the Collegiate level), and that's what I'm expecting here. With a final home series vs. fourth place ODU up next, this also sets up as a "look-ahead" spot for the home side. I like FIU to keep this one a lot closer than what this spread would suggest. 

This is a 10* DESTRUCTION on Florida International.

The set-up: Memphis is gonna be hungry here as it comes to Houston having lost three of its last four. Most recently the Grizz fell 119-99 at home to the Clippers. I think it's very interesting to note here that the Grizzlies have seen the total go "over" the number in eight of their last ten games after scoring 100 or less points in a SU/ATS home loss in their last outing. 

The pick: Here's the perfect opponent to get back on track against. Or at least attempt to. The Rockets can empathize with the Grizz, as they come into this one having lost ten in a row. Both teams are struggling, but hungry. Expect this to result in a faster-paced, and ultimately higher-scoring game.

This is a 10* TOTAL PLAY-BOOK on the OVER Grizzlies/Rockets.

The set-up: The Aggies took the first game on Friday night by a score of 75-72. This is a battle between the third and fifth ranked teams. This game means much more to Utah State at this point though, because its still currently on the outside of the NCAA Tournament looking in. Utah State has already moved into third though after Boise State lost to SDSU. Utah State needs to win its last three games and it has a chance to run down Colorado State still. 

The pick: Nevada played well and covered two nights ago, but previous to that it hadn't played since early February due to COVID issues. I think the Wolfpack get caught flat-footed here now in this second contest and vs. this determined home side. Nevada gave its best shot and came up short last time out and with a chance to end their Tournament hopes, I like the Aggies to find a way to deliver the goods. 

This is a 10* ULTIMATE DESTRUCTION on Utah State.

The set-up: This NHL season is all about picking "spots." Teams are playing each other so often, that situational handicapping has been key to this point. And when I look at this game, that's definitely the approach I'm taking here. The Flyers held on for a 3-0 win here two nights ago and suffice it to say, I'm absolutely expecting a more wide-open shootout in the second contest. 

The pick: Note that Philadelphia has seen the total go "over" the number in seven of its last nine after posting a road shutout in a three goals or greatner victory, while Buffalo has seen the total eclipse the posted number in eight of its last 11 home games in trying to revenge an inseason shutout loss to an opponent. Expect this faster-paced contest to fly "over" the number sooner, rather than later.

This is a 10* TOTAL COACH'S CORNER on the OVER Flyers/Sabres.

The set-up: Montreal fired its coach for some reason and then it lost 6-3 at Winnipeg. The Habs are already making mistakes and messing up this year after such a promising start. The Habs were one of the best on the defensive end over the first month, but they've been terrible of late, having seen the total go "over" in two straight, while also losing four in a row. Enough is enough for Montreal fans obviously. I expect the Habs to play with much more intensity on the defensive end of the ice. 

The pick: The Jets started off slowly, but they come in having won seven of their last ten, including three in a row. It's interesting to note though that Winnipeg has seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 11 after scoring six or more goals in a three goals or greater victory in its last outing. I'm banking on a much tighter and ultimately lower-scoring affair this time around.

This is a 10* TOTAL COACH'S CORNER on the UNDER Habs/Jets.

The set-up: Despite who is or isn't on the court playing tonight, I think this sets up well from a situational stand point to fly well over this posted number. Dallas has seen the total go "under" in three straight, but after its lacklustre 111-97 setback on the road to the 76ers, I expect the visiting side to play at a much higher-pace this evening. Note that the Mavericks have seen the total go "over" in eight of their last 11 after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row.

The pick: Brooklyn is rolling along now, having won eight straight against the spread. The Nets are at their best when their in transition and shooting the three ball, as that stretches their opponents defense most nights. While the Nets are off a lower-scoring 129-92 win over the lowly Magic, all signs point to this non-conference matchup going "over" the number sooner, rather than later. This number is a little low in my opinion.

This is a 10* TOTAL ELITE OF THE ELITE on the OVER Mavs/Nets.

The set-up: The 49ers are third in the Conference USA and 47th in the country in scoring defense, limiting their opposition to just 64.9 PPG. Charlotte is also proficient from the charity stripe, ranked third in the conference. Charlotte took both meetings last year, this is the first this season. However note that the 49ers lost to UTEP 57-53 the last time these teams played in El Paso back in 2019, so the visiting side won't be taking anything for granted.

The pick: The Miners are 10-10 overall and 6-8 in league play. UTEP averages 71 PPG, and it allows 69.6. Note though that Charlotte has done extremely well in this spot for bettors, going 7-2 ATS in its last nine conference road games as an underdog in the +4.5 to +6.5 points range. This one is going to come down to the final moments, so I'm grabbing the points.

This is a 10* COACH'S CORNER on Charlotte.

The set-up: Both teams come in hot, but Minnesota's offense has been ridiculous of late and I like it to carry that momentum over here at home. LA has been exceptional of late as well, winner of five straight. But winning on the road is tough in the NHL and the Wild have conceded two goals or less in four straight games.

The pick: Also note that LA is just 2-6 in its last eight after a five-games or longer unbeaten streak, while Minnesota is 7-2 in its last nine after scoring six or more goals in a road victory in its last outing. I'm laying the price and expecting a lop-sided outcome.

This is a 10* DESTRUCTION on the Wild.

The set-up: No need to overthink this one. These teams played just last night and the Grizzlies managed the outright win as 8.5 point underdogs. Coming into that contest the Clippers had been on quite the run, but they still have a chance to catch the idle Lakers, who have been struggling without big man AD in the lineup. Now this line has dropped a couple points and the "better" team in this matchup plays with revenge and has all the motivation it now needs to bounce back and crush the Grizzlies. 

The pick: Memphis had been on an extended losing streak leading up to that point and it played with revenge as well. With both those motivational factors now out of the way, an immediate return to mediocrity is imminent in my opinion. I look for the visiting side to make a quick and immediate response in this bounce-back revenge scenario. Lay the points.

This is a 10* COACH'S CORNER on the LA Clippers.

The set-up: I'm going to lay the steeper price for the extra goal and a half of insurance. Is Vancouver the "hungrier" team in this fight? Without question in my opinion. The Canucks offense has been decent, but inconsistencies in net and in the backend have seen Vancouver take a major step back this season. That said, the Canucks are for sure the "hungrier" team in this fight after losing three in a row including a 4-3 OT loss at home to Winnipeg, before the 4-3 loss to these very Oilers two nights ago. It's an extended break after this as well for the Canucks, as they don't play again till March 1st in Winnipeg. Suffice it to say, I expect them to come out extremely prepared here. 

The pick: Edmonton is going to finally get caught a little complacent here my estimation. The Oilers have won four in a row, and with a much more high-profile series against the Leafs at home on Saturday, this is definitely a "look ahead" spot as well for the visiting side. In a contest which I see being decided late or in extra time, let's lay the chalk for the 1.5 goals.

This is a 6* BIG-CHALK PUCK-LINE DESTRUCTION on the Vancouver Canucks.

The set-up: I like Denver here. Washington had won five in a row, before a blowout loss to the Clippers in its last outing. This will be the Wizards fourth and final game of their road trip, and with a much "easier" game at home vs. Minnesota on Saturday, there's no doubt that this one sets up as a classic "let-down/look-ahead" spot as well. 

The pick: The Nuggets have last two straight against the spread, falling 123-115 at Atlanta as 2.5 point favorites, before then beating Portland 111-106 at home in their last outing, unable to cover the 6 point spread. After this game though the Nuggets hit the road for an extended five-game trip, so that definitely puts added importance onto tonight's contest for the home side here. Finally note that the Nugs play with revenge as well after falling 130-128 in the Nation's capital in mid February as 2.5 point favorites. This one has ATS "B-L-O-W-O-U-T" written all over it. 

This is a 10* COACH'S CORNER on the Denver Nuggets.

The set-up: Miami Ohio has won two straight and I like the Red Hawks to continue to push hard with the end of the regular season just around the corner. WMU though enters having lost two in a row. WMU has had three of its last five games postponed due to COVID, and teams having to deal with these issues have almost always struggled in every circumstance. The Broncos only average 63.5 PPG. 

The pick: WMU lost to Miami Ohio a few weeks ago and only managed 56 points in that one. Miami Ohio comes to town off its best game of the entire seaosn as well, smoking Central Michigan 96-54. Finally note that WMU is just 1-5 ATS in its last six home games vs. a team with a losing road record, while Miami Ohio is 3-1-1 ATS in its last five vs. a team with a losing straight-up record. Lay the points, expect a comfortable cover.

This is a 10* MAC DESTRUCTION on Miami Ohio.

The set-up: St. Louis has been scuffling lately. LA has won five in a row. The Kings started off terribly, but they've arguably been the best team in the league over the last two weeks. One of the Kings most recent victories was a 3-0 win over these very St. Louis Blues in this very building just two nights ago. Can anyone say "letdown" spot for LA here finally? Especially with a tough back-to-back set in Minnesota just two nights from now. 

The pick: St. Louis has two whole nights off before a game at the lowly Sharks, so the Blues can absolutely put their full focus onto this contest as they look to avenge that poor effort vs. the Kings last time out. St. Louis is still 6-2 at home and I like it improve on that here. Lay the price, expect a blowout.

This is a 10* REVENGE BEST OF THE BEST on the St. Louis Blues.

The set-up: The Hornets are off a 132-110 loss at Utah, but I think they'll keep tonight's contest much closer. Outright victory? It's possible, but in the end I'll recommend to grab as many points as you can. Phoenix has won three straight, scoring 132-, 128 and 132 points in the process, most recently blasting Portland 132-100. But with a three-game road trip up next, starting in Chicago, and ending at the Lakers, this definitely sets up as a "look ahead" spot for Phoenix. 

The pick: Charlotte has been alternating against the spread wins and losses over its last six games and that pattern is going to continue here. The Hornets have a difficult schedule before the All Star game, finising out the remainder with every game on the road, so this is a team which can't afford to look past any body or anything at this point. The Hornets are 6-0 ATS in their last six following a loss of more than ten points as well. Grab the points.

This is a 10* SHOCKER OF THE MONTH on the Charlotte Hornets.

The set-up: I like betting on motivated teams. There's only a handful of games remaining in the regualr season and South Carolina will be eager to snap a five-game slide. Most recently the Gamecocks enter off a 93-78 home loss to Missouri as 3.5 point underdogs. This is also a revenge game for South Carolina, which lost 75-59 in Columbia as a 2.5 point underdog back on February 6th. Ovearll South Carolina averages 74.2 PPG, while allowing 78.4.

The pick: Mississippi State is going to get caught complacent here, as it just revenged an earlier loss to rival Ole Miss in its last outing. Teh Bulldogs average only 70.1 PPG, while allowing 66.4. I think the home side comes out flat here after its big win and I think the hungrier revenge minded visiting team will at the very least, keep this one close enough to comfortably sneak in through the back door. Grab the poins.

This is a 10* REVENGE ELITE OF THE ELITE on South Carolina.

The set-up: Philly is 20-11 and the Raptors are 16-15, but these two teams are suddenly moving in opposite directions. The 76ers have lost four of their last five, most recently losing 110-103 at the Raptors on Sunday. Ben Simmons was a bright spot with 28 points, nine boards and five assists. 

The pick: Toronto's won nine of its last 12 and four in a row. Pascal Siakam had 23 points, seven boards and eight assists in the win over the 76ers, as he is finally working his way back to full health after an injury to open the season. These teams have been playing to several "unders" of late, but with Philly pushing the pace from the opening tip in a revenge bid here, I look for this total to fly "over" the number sooner, rather than later.

This is a 10* TOTAL EAST-COAST DESTRUCTION on the OVER 76ers/Raptors.

The set-up: Both teams are coming off impressive wins and I think they'll keep the momentum rolling here. This is going to be a competitive series as well, one which I think will have plenty of offense in it in the first one. The Pens are winning right now, but note because of their goaltending, which is combining to concede 3.1 GPG. The offense has carried the weight for the Pens, and it's going to have to do that again here in the Nation's capital.

The pick: The Capitals' netminders combine to allow a 3.00 GPG average. Washington's strength lies on the offensive side as well though, with Nicklas Backstrom leading the way with eight goals and 14 assists. While the last meeting between the clubs went "under" the number, we can expect a much higher-scoring game here as these two offenses enter on top form. This number is low, the play is the over.

This is a 10* TOTAL BLOCKBUSTER on the OVER Penguins/Capitals.

The set-up: The Hokies are coming off an OT win at Miami, and after surviving that near disaster, I like them to come in focussed here vs. this dangerous Georgia Tech side. Virginia Tech hasn't playes since February 9th, but it's desperate for a win here. Georiga Tech has been playing well against some good teams, but it keeps coming up short. Overall the Jackets allow 67.2 PPG. 

The pick: Virginia Tech is dealing with a couple injuries, but with so much time off to prepare, I don't see this being an issue at all. I think Georgia Tech is primed for a letdown here vs. a desperate Hokies side. These teams haven't played this year, but VT does play with revenge as well after falling 76-57 to the Jackets last season. I'm laying the short points, but expecting a major blowout!

This is a 10* ACC GAME OF THE MONTH on Virginia Tech.

The set-up: The Lakers have been struggling a bit without Antony Davis in the line-up. LeBron James has recently vowed to find a way to bridge the gap and fill the void until he returns, but easier said than done in my opinion. Washington on the other hand comes to town finally playing its best basketball of the year and there's no way this visiting side will take the foot off the gas. Russell Westbrook has worked hard and finally found some chemistry with Bradley Beal, as the Wizards have won four straight SU/ATS, including over some pretty big name teams. 

The pick: Scheduling wise it favors Washington as well, as the Wiz will lay everything on the line here as they have a game tomorrow night at the Clippers. The Lakers on the other hand are in prime "look-ahead" territory with a road game at West leading Utah up next on Wednesday. A currently red hot team, facing an injured defending champion side which can't help itself looking ahead to its much more important conference matchup up next. This one actually has outright upset written all over it, but let's grab up all these points!

This is a 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on the Washington Wizards.

The set-up: They say revenge is a dish best served cold. Oklahoma State won this game by eight points on the road as an 8.5 point underdog in mid January. The Red Raiders are still ranked, but after back-to-back losses, this is now a "must win" game. The Red Raiders average 73.6 PPG, while allowing 62.9. The Cowboys are primed for a letdown here after winning five of their last six. Oklahoma State averages 75.8 PPG, while allowing 70.6. 

The pick: Texas Tech is 7-2 ATS in its last nine in trying to revenge an in-season home loss of five or more points to an opponent as well. Texas Tech's defense, combined with the stellar play of Mac McClung is the difference-maker. Lay the points.

This is a 10* REVENGE BEST OF THE BEST on Texas Tech.

The set-up: The Sabres have a 5-7-2 record and the Islanders are 8-6-3. These teams just faced each other last week in Buffalo and the Isles took both games. Buffalo had been on an extended break due to COVID issues, so its slow start on the back-to-back games was to be expected. The Sabres though finally got off the schneid in their last game and broke a four-game losing streak by beating the Devils 3-2 last time out. The Sabres weak point this year has come in net where they've allowed three or more goals in eight of their last ten games.

The pick: New York won't be lacking for motivation here though after back-to-back losses. Offense has struggled at times for the Isles, but here's the perfect opponent to get back on track against. With both teams motivated for a victory today, I expect that to translate into offensive production on the ice.

This is a 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK on the OVER Sabres/Islanders.

The set-up: Both teams have played to several "overs" in a row, but I believe that today's contest will sneak "under" once the final horn sounds. Boston's been decent defensively, allowing 109.4, but the Pels have struggled on that end, allowing 115.1. After back-to-back losses though, we can expect New Orleans to double down on the defensive end here today. Boston broke a lengthy slide with a win over the Hawks at home, and it'll be out to control the tempo here as well. Situationally I think this one definitely sets up nicely for a lower-scoring "under." 

The pick: But also note that Boston has seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 11 road games following a SU/ATS home victory, while New Orleans has seen the total dip "under" in 14 of its last 21 home games after playing to the "over" in five or more straight games. This number is a tad high, the play is the under.

This is a 10* TOTAL DESTRUCTION on the UNDER Celtics/Pelicans.

The set-up: The Terrapins are on the road to face Rutgers, and they come to town on top form, having won three straight, most recently getting the better of Nebraska 79-71. The Scarlet Knights are ahead of the Terps in the standings, but they come in off a 71-64 road loss at Michigan. Maryland's defense has been great though this season, allowing just 65.6 PPG this year. Rutgers hasn't been quite as stout, allowing 68.1 PPG. 

The pick: Rutgers does have the rebounding advantage, and it produces more steals per game, but note that it's just 2-7 ATS in its last nine after scoring 65 points or less in a SU road loss in its last outing. In a contest which I see being decided by whichever of these team's has its hands on the ball last, I'm grabbing the points.

This is a 10* BLOWOUT DESTRUCTION on Maryland.

The set-up: The Devils have a tough schedule, as they have to play almost every other day due to some COVID issues at the start of the season. The Devils are a young team though, which is beneficial considering the circumstances. New Jersey will look to take advantage of a Washington teams which enters off a 4-1 loss to the Rangers. 

The pick: Defensive struggles have been the main culprit in the early going for Washington, as it's conceding 3.4 GPG. Washington's offense though is among the league leaders in almost every statistical category. With both teams coming off disappointing offensive performances, I look for each to open things up here and I then expect this total to fly over sooner, rather than later.

This is a 10* TOTAL PLAY-BOOK on the OVER Devils/Capitals.

The set-up: Washington has won three in a row, but it faces a stiff test out of the gate here on its Western swing in Portland. These two teams like to push the pace and defense is often an after-thought, but I think this number is just a little too high. This can still be a high-scoring shootout and fall well below the posted number and that's exactly what I'm expecting here. 

The pick: Portland has six wins in a row despite a plethora of injuries. How "up" will Damian Lillard get for this non-conference game vs. one of the worst teams in the league? Not very is the answer, especially with a three-game road trip starting on Monday night at Phoenix, Denver and at the Lakers respectively? Can anyone say look-ahead spot for the home side?! A great situational play on the "under," as I expect Washington to come out flat in the opener of this West Coast swing and I think the Blazers do to after their extended run and with such an important road trip on deck. This number is a little high.

This is a 10* TOTAL PLAY-BOOK on the UNDER Wizards/Blazers.

The set-up: Both teams have been playing to several lower-scoring games of late, including in the Blues 3-2 win here in OT two nights ago. St. Louis sits atop the West Division now and I expect it to get at least three goals this time around as well. San Jose is allowing 3.53 GPG, but its 2.40 GPG average isn't going to cut it obviously.

The pick: I'll point out though that the Sharks have seen the total go "over" the number in seven of their last nine road games when trying to revenge a one goal road loss vs. an opponent. THis number is low, expect it to eclipse sooner, rather than later.

This is a 10* TOTAL COACH'S CORNER on the OVER Sharks/Blues.

The set-up: Kansas is now 16-7 after its 59-41 win over K-State on Wednesday. Texas Tech returns to action after an 82-71 loss to WVU on February 9th to fall to 14-6 overall. It was a tough loss for the Red Raiders, who had two games postponed. Not due to COVID issues though, but rather weather related. Because of this, I think it in fact works in favor of Texas Tech. Overall Texas Tech averages 74.2 PPG, while allowing 62.7. 

The pick: The Jayhawks average 74 PPG, while allowing 66.2. Kansas is coming off the satisfying win over its rival and note that it's only 1-4 ATS in its last five vs. teams with winning records. Also note that the road team is 5-2 ATS in its last seven head-to-head meetings. Four of the Jayhawks last five wins have come against bottom feeders. Expect the Red Raiders to pull off the minor upset here, but grab as many points as you can.

This is a 10* DESTRUCTION on Texas Tech.

The set-up: Eastern Washington is 11-6 and Montana is 9-11. Eastern Washington won this game by 14 points on Thursday. Eastern Washington won 90-76, and while that contest flew well "over" the number, I expect a more defensive affair here finally. 

The pick: Montana has been hovering right around .500 for most of the season and hasn't won back-to-back games since mid January. Montana looked a lot better in the second half vs. Eastern Washington two nights ago, especially on the defensive end and I like it to carry that momentum over here. This number is now a little high in my opinion.

This is a 9* TOP TOTAL on the UNDER Eastern Washington/Montana.

The set-up: Atlanta picked up an eight-point win over the Celtics on Wednesday. Kemba Walker wasn't playing in that contest, but Jason Tatum had 35 points for the Celtics. Boston is usually much better defensively, but it was playing the second game of a back-to-back and it ran out of energy after a victory. The Celtics have been scuffling of late, due to injury and COVID, but they won't be lacking for motivation here as they look to double down defensively on the perimeter today in this revenge scenario. 

The pick: If the Celtics are going to get back on track, they're going to have to control this contest, not get into a "shootout" with the Hawks. I expect the home side to clamp down defensively throughout, with half and full-court pressure. While the first game flew "over," all signs point to the "under" as the correct call this time around.

This is a 10* TOTAL PLAY-BOOK on the UNDER Hawks/Celtics.

The set-up: The Panthers have been good, they're coming off a 6-4 win over Tampa and then a 4-3 OT win over Carolina. The Wings have struggled all year, but they won't be lacking for motivation here as they try to break a two-game slide. I like betting on motivated teams and I like going against teams that I view as possibly being complacent. Would anyone fault the Panthers for having a bit of a letdown here after back-to-back epic wins and facing the worst team in the NHL?

The pick: Detroit has lost nine of the last ten in this series as well, so the big time revenge factor comes into play here as well. In a contest which I see being decided late or even in extra time, I'm going to recommend laying the price for the extra 1.5 goals of insurance. 

This is an 8* PUCK-LINE DESTRUCTION on the Red Wings.