The set-up: I think the Jazz will lay the hammer down here in this favorable position. Utah just hammered the Wizards by double digits and I expect this deep visiting side to once again win by a sizeable margin. Cleveland for the most part has been a complete disaster and it enters with zero momentum after having lost two straight. 

The pick: The Jazz have been fantastic in this spot for bettors all year as well, going 5-1 ATS in their last six when playing with two days rest and interestinly 10-4 ATS this season after scoring 120 points or more in their previous contest, while Cleveland is just 9-12 ATS after a home loss this year and a poor 9-15 ATS vs. clubs with winning records. Donovan Mitchell and Rudy Gobert are firing on all cylinders right now and I like them to combine and obliterate this home side. Lay the points.

10* ELITE OF THE ELITE on the Utah Jazz.

The set-up: Houston will have to be careful not to have a letdown here after its big road win over the Celtics. The Knicks are looking ahead to next year and have been for a while, but after breaking a six-game slide with a victory over Chicago last time out, the home side isn't going to simply roll over here. And clearly the last thing the Knicks can do is to turn this into a track meet and expect to hang with the high-flying Rockets. When looking at this one from a situational stand point, in my opinion it sets up as more of a "chess match," than a "shootout." 

The pick: Also note that Houston has seen the total go under the number in ten of 12 already this season after allowing 110 points or more in three straight games, while New York has seen the total dip below in 14 of 20 this season as a home dog. This number is a tad high.

10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK on the UNDER Rockets/Knicks.

The set-up: These team's recent forms are polar opposities and I expect those trends to continue here. The Capitals are 3-6-1 in their last ten, while the Wild are 6-3-1 in their last ten. The Wild are peaking right now though and I believe they come in and fight to the death to try and win this game. 

The pick: Additionally note that Wasington is just 3-5 in its last eight as a non-conference road favorite in the -101 to -125 range, while Minnesota is 13-6 in its last 19 non-conference games. I think "home ice" matters big time in this particular matchup right now.

10* COACH'S CORNER on the Minnesota Wild.

The set-up: The Lakers likely got "caught looking ahead" to this game after they lost in Memphis just last night right? Not in my opinion. The Grizzlies had lost five straight going into that one and they also played with revenge after losing to the Lakers earlier in the year. The Pelicans are in the same boat as Memphis, playing with revenge and in need of victories. New Orleans is playing its best basketball of the season right now and I believe this young core of super stars is going to risk life and limb tonight to try and pull off this minor upset, while also avenging last week's loss in LA. The Lakers are great, but this is a difficult spot in the second game of the back to back. 

The pick: Note as well that LA is interestingly just 5-6 ATS this year on all games played on a "Sunday," while New Orleans is 6-2 ATS in its last eight following a SU home win. I'm grabbing the points, but I'm expecting the outright.

10* GAME OF THE MONTH on the New Orleans Pelicans.

The set-up: Wisconsin is in a fight for second spot in the Big Ten. Minnesota will likely be in 12th in the upcoming Conference Tournament. Two weeks ago the Gophers upset the Badgers 70-52, so clearly the home side is looking to avenge that setback. Minnesota was impressive defensively though, holding the Badgers to just 28.4 percent. I think this one will result in a similar final combined score once it's all said and done. 

The pick: Besides, the numbers/trends support this theory as well. As note that Wisconsin has seen the total go under the number in eight of its last ten conference home games trying to revenge a same season road loss to an opponent of ten or more points, while Minnesota has seen the total dip below in nine of its last 14 conference road games as an underdog in the +4.5 to +7.5 points range. Both teams are extremely adept at launching up the three, but in this important conference game, I believe every shot will be contested, which will help in pushing this total well under once it's all said and done. 

10* TOTAL OF THE MONTH on the UNDER Minnesota/Wisconsin.

The set-up: Neither team puts much stock into playing defense, but I think this number is still way too high. Dallas beat the Wolves by 16 under two weeks ago, so the rebuilding home side is out to avenge that poor effort. Dallas also comes in off a loss, falling in Miami after another poor defensive effort. 

The pick: There's a chance that Mavs star Luka Doncic may sit this one out. But whether he plays or not, I love this total to stay below this sky-high number. Note as well that Dallas has seen the total go under the number in six of its last seven off a road loss, while Minnesota has seen the total dip below in nine of its last 14 after scoring 110 points or more in two straight games. This number is a tad high.

10* TOTAL ELITE OF THE ELITE on the UNDER Mavs/Wolves.

The set-up: It's 18-10 Xavier at 15-13 Georgetown. I think the home side is going to find a way to get the job done here. Note that the Hoyas play with revenge after the flost by nine at Xavier earlier in the year. Xavier is projected to be a ten seed in the NCAA Tournament, but Georgetown is on the bubble and falling off quickly after three straight losses. This is essentially a "do or die" game for the Hoyas. They also play with revenge. As primarily a "situational" handicapper, I do indeed believe that from a situational stand point, this one sets up great for the home side. 

The pick: Note as well that Xavier is just 3-6 ATS in its last nine conference road games as a -3.5 points favorite or pick, while Georgetown is 6-2 ATS in its last eight conference home games after three games or longer SU losing streak. I'm backing the "hungrier" dog in this fight. 

10* BLOWOUT BEST OF THE BEST on Georgetown.

The set-up: Carolina is likely the better team on paper in this matchup, but after its hard-fought 3-2 loss at home to Colorado last night, I believe the visiting side predictably comes in "flat footed" here. Montreal on the other hand won't be lacking for motivation here after two straight losses, including a 5-2 setback at home to the Rangers last time out. Situationally I believe this one definitely sets up great for the home side. 

The pick: Note as well that Montreal is 8-4 (+2.2 units) in its last 12 after suffering a two goals or larger loss in its previous outing. All things considered, I beleive this one falls under the defintion of "great line value." Play on the home side.

10* COACH'S CORNER on the Montreal Canadiens.

The set-up: These are two of the worst teams in the NBA and when the smoke does finally clear, I believe this total will stay well below the posted number. Both teams come in off losses. Both teams have plenty of young talent, but each is still very much in a re-building mode. Offensive consistency from game to game has hurt these teams the most this season though. 

The pick: In fact note that the Knicks haven't posted more than 106 points in four of their last five games. I expect these ineffecient teams to fight hard, but I look for this total to stay well under once the final horn sounds.

10* TOTAL ELITE OF THE ELITE on the UNDER Bulls/Knicks.

The set-up: Back on January 21st these teams played together and Kansas won 81-60, but at the end there was a bench clearing brawl that made national head lines and each team had players suspended because of it. Kansas comes in off a big 25 point win over Oklahoma State, while K-State enters off an 85-66 loss to Baylor. But after covering the spread in six straight games, I think the visiting side will be in for a real fight here vs. this revenge-minded home side. 

The pick: K-State may have lost eight in a row, but note that it's 7-2 ATS in its last nine in trying to revenge a conference road loss as a ten points or higher underdog. I think Kansas does in some small way get caught looking past K-State today. No outright, but closer than expected. Grab the points.

10* REVENGE BEST OF THE BEST on Kansas State.

The set-up: Ultimately I think that Pitt comes in under the radar here after five-straight losses. NC State has issues as well, as it enters having lost two straight. Neither team is "hungrier" than the other, so we can throw overall motivation out the window here in this one. Overall the Panthers average 64.9 PPG and they allow 64.6, while NC State averages 74.5 PPG and it allows 69.6.

The pick: Note as well that Pitt is 7-3 ATS in its last ten conference road games following a five-games or longer SU losing streak, while NC State is just 4-6 ATS in its last ten home conference games as a favorite in the 7.5 to 9.5 points range. I'm grabbing the points.

10* ULTIMATE OF THE ULTIMATE on Pittsburgh.

The set-up: Texas A&M had won three in a row, before a loss at home to Kentucky last time out. LSU won't be taking anything for granted here though as it desperately tries to get untracked after having lost five of its last seven overall. LSU posted an 89-85 OT win at Texas A&M earlier in the year, but I believe we'll be in for much more of a defensive affair in the re-match. 

The pick: The Aggies average 62.5 PPG, while LSU averages 80.2 PPG. That said, note that Texas A&M has seen the total go under the number in eight of its last 11 conference road games in trying to revenge a same season home loss vs. an opponent in which it gave up more than 85 points in, while LSU has seen the total dip under in seven of its last 11 conference home games when the total in the contest is set between 141 and 145. Expect these two hungry teams to fight tooth and nail and for this total to indeed stay under once it's all said and done.

10* TOTAL BEST OF THE BEST On the UNDER A&M/LSU.

The set-up: No need to overthink this one. The Sacramento Kings have been playing their best ball of the season over the last three weeks, but they're coming off a tight 112-108 loss in OKC just last night and I have a hard time seeing this team mustering much of an attack here from this desperate home side. The Grizzlies will be risking life and limb here to get back into the winners circle after going 0-4 on their most recent road trip. Note that the Kings are also 2-1 so far in this season series, meaning that the "revenge factor" also comes into play. 

The pick: It's interesting to note as well that Sacramento is a poor 1-6 ATS in its last seven after having won six or seven of its last eight games, while Memphis is 4-1 ATS this year off a loss against a division rival. This one has blowout written all over it, lay the points.

10* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the Memphis Grizzlies.

The set-up: I think this one sets up great as a higher-scoring affair from a situational stand point. Colorado has come in having won four straight low-scoring "unders," but with a tough game at Nashville tomorrow night, I believe the visiting side will push the pace here. Carolina has been trading wins and losses for the last seven games, but after a 4-1 loss to Dallas, it'll be out to match pace with its opponent today. Carolina also has to take advantage and push the pace here, as it hits the road for a tough game at Montreal tomorrow night. 

The pick: Note as well that Colorado has seen the total go over the number in four of its last five vs. clubs with winning records, while Carolina has seen the total fly above the posted number in ten of its last 15 after a loss by two goals or more in its previous contest. This number is a tad low in my opinion.

10* TOTAL COACH'S CORNER on the OVER Avs/Hurricanes.

The set-up: Orlando is one of the stingiest defensive teams in the league and it's even better at home. The Wolves like to push the pace and rarely do they ever worry about playing defense, but I still think the visiting side will have a difficult time moving the ball here today vs. this determined home side. And after a road win over the Heat, would anyone fault the lowly Wolves if they did have a letdown here? The Magic have won four of their last five and they've scored at least 110 points or more in those games, but I think the last thing the home side wants to do is to turn this one into a "track meet" with the high-flying Wolves. From a situational stand point, I absolutely believe this one sets up as a lower-scoring "under." 

The pick: Note as well that Minnesota has seen the total go under the number in five of its last six off an upset win as an underdog, while Orlando has seen the total dip below the posted number in 15 of its last 21 as a home favorite in the 6.5 to 12 points range. This number is way too high in my opinion.

10* TOTAL ELITE OF THE ELITE on the UNDER Wolves/Magic.

The set-up: Princeton comes in off a 65-62 win over Dartmouth on Saturday, while the Bears will be eager to back into the winners circle after their listless 63-45 loss to Cornell. Princeton beat Brown 73-54 at home in mid February, but I'm predicting a much higher-scoring affair this time around. Princeton will look to keep the foot on the gas here as it still sits one game back of Yale for top spot. The Bears were actually favored in their last game and they'll absolutely be out to atone for that poor effort, while also being extra motivated to avenge the earlier loss to Princeton as well. Situationally its sets up beautifully for a higher-scoring game. 

The pick: Note as well that Princeton's already seen the total go "over" the number in three of four this year after playing a game as a road favorite, while Brown has seen the total fly over the number in ten of its last 12 as a home underdog of pick. Considering all of the above factors, I do indeed feel that this number is a tad low.

10* IVY-LEAGUE TOTAL OF THE YEAR on the OVER Princeton/Brown.

The set-up: Norwich City enters off a 3-0 setback at Wolverhampton and I think the Canaries will struggle again to find the back of the net in this difficult road venue. The Foxes failed to produce vs. Man City and while the home side is down a few key pieces, I'm still predicting a decisive outright victory here. Admittedly Leicester's overall form has declined, it has to be feeling confident it can finally bounce back here in this very favorable matchup. 

The pick: Norwich has scored just one goals in four of its last six at Carrow Road. Over the last five league away days, Leicester have averaged 1.4 goals per game and conceded 1.2 per game at the other end. I like the visitors to get the job done in regulation.

10* GAME OF THE WEEK on Leicester City.

The set-up: This is the opener of a three-game road trip for the Western Conference leading Lakers. Clearly LA is the much better team here. That said, I do indeed believe that the Lake-Show will get caught "looking past" its lowly opponent tonight to much more difficult contests on the immediate horizon. Golden State comes in under-manned, but motivated here to break a seven-game slide. Situationally for sure I think this one sets up well for the underdog home side. 

The pick: Note as well that the Lakers are a poor 10-12 ATS this year as a road favorite, while Golden State is a perfect 2-0 ATS this year as a home dog of 12.5 points or more. With the visiting side likely sitting out some players tonight and considering all of the other above situational and trend based factors, I will in the end recommend to grab as many points as you can.

10* COACH'S CORNER on the Golden State Warriors. 

The set-up: Nashville is 6-3-1 in its last ten. Calgary is 19-13-2 on the road. The Flames though are ranked just 21st in the league in goals scored per game on the road. However, the Flames make up for it on the other end of the ice, ranked 8th in the league in goals allowed per game away from friendly confines. Nashville is ranked 19th in goals allowed per game at home and 22nd in the NHL in goals scored per game at home. 

The pick: Calgary has seen the total go under the number in nine of its last 14 in trying to revenge a home loss vs. an opponent, while Nashville has seen the total dip below in 13 of its last 21 home games when the total is set at 6 or higher. This number is a tad too high.

10* TOTAL PLAYBOOK on the UNDER Flames/Predators.

The set-up: Michigan has won seven of its last eight and it'll be playing in the NCAA tournament. Wisconsin will be out to pull off an upset here though as it enters having won five of its last six. UW hasn't won here since 2015 though. According to the KenPom rankings, these are two of the most efficient teams on the defensive end of the floor in the country, as Wisconsin is ranked 23rd and Michigan is ranked 17th. 

The pick: Additionally note that the "under" is 10-3 in the Badgers last 13 road games, while Michigan has seen the total dip below in eight of its last 11 conference road games after a four-games or longer unbeaten streak. This number is high.

10* BIG TEN TOTAL OF THE YEAR on Wisconsin/Michigan UNDER.

The set-up: Orlando is one of the slowest paced teams. The offense feeds off its tough defensive play. Clearly the last thing the hungry Magic wil want to do is to turn this one into a track meet. The Hawks love to push the pace and they rarely put much stock onto the defensive end of things. That said, off a blowout loss to the 76ers, I believe the home side will have difficulty on the offensive end vs. this stingy Magic defense. 

The pick: Orlando has also seen the total go under the number in seven of its last ten vs. the division and in ten of its last 15 after scoring 105 points or more in four straight games, while ATL has seen the total dip below the number in 15 of 23 in revenging a road loss vs. an opponent. Considering all of the above info, I do indeed feel this number is just a bit high.

10* TOTAL ELITE OF THE ELITE on the UNDER Magic/Hawks.

The set-up: Minnesota is rebuilding for next season and I think it'll have difficulties mustering much of a sustained offensive attack here in this difficult non-conference venue. The Wolves numbers are skewed now because of all the roster change and the overall strategy of the organization moving forward for this season, but note that they've seen the total go under in nine of their last 12 after scoring 110 points or more in two straight games.

The pick: Miami has been streaky this season. The Heat are better at home, especially on the defensive end. Note that they've seen the total go under in ten of their last 14 after allowing 105 points or more in four straight games. This number is much too high in my opinion.

9* TOTAL PLAY-BOOK on the UNDER Wolves/Heat.

The set-up: UCF has lost two of its last three and its just 5-9 in AAC play. The Knights are going to have their hands full here trying to muster up much of an offensive attack in my opinion vs. the stingy Huskies. UConn enters off a 78-71 win over USF. UConn is jockeying for better positioning in the upcoming Conference tourmanent, which it will need to win to get an invite to the Big Dance. 

The pick: These two teams have played to the under in seven of their last ten in the series and everything once again points to a lower-scoring battle tonight. UConn only averages 71.7 PPG and UCF clocks in a 68.9 per game. Considering all of the above factors, I'm going to recommend a play on the "under." 

10* TOTAL ELITE OF THE ELITE on the UNDER UCF/UConn.

The set-up: VCU is 7-7 in conference play after an 80-62 loss in St. Louis last time out. A date vs. 6-8 UMass is just what the doctor ordered to get untracked though in my opinion. UMass looks poised for a letdown here ultimately in my opinion after two straight wins, including a 57-49 victory over Fordham. Overall VCU averages 71.3 PPG and it allows 65, while the Minutemen average 68.7 PPG and they allow 71.6. 

The pick: VCU is the "hungrier" team here for sure after four straight losses. The Rams though are a money-making 7-2 ATS in their last nine following a four-games or longer conference losing streak and I expect this strong trend to continue here. Lay the points.

8* ULTIMATE DESTRUCTION on VCU.

The set-up: Villanove will be playing in the tournament, but St. John's is desperate for a few more wins. An outright upset here would solidify its spot and while I'm not actually calling for the outright upset, I do think that the stage is set for a much more competitive battle than what this spread would suggest. The Red Storm play with revenge here after losing by 20 to the Wildcats at home earlier in the season. Clearly Villanova is the better team, but after four straight wins I beleive it'll struggle to maintain focus today. 

The pick: Note as well that St. John's is 7-3 ATS in its last ten conference road games in trying to revenge a same season home loss of 20 points or more, while Villanova is just 3-6 ATS in its last nine after a three-games or longer SU/ATS unbeaten streak. No outright, but closer than expected. Grab the points.

10* ULTIMATE OF THE ULTIMATE on St. John's.

The set-up: I fancy the Oilers to find a way to win this game, but only win, but to find a way to win by a wide margin. Most recently Connor McDavid returned to Edmonton's line-up and he scored a goal and had two assists in his team's 4-2 win at LA. The Ducks have lost four in a row and I think they'll have a hard time keeping pace tonight after they fell 6-5 to Las Vegas last time out. Overall Edmonton averages 3.16 GPG and it allows 3.06, while Anaheim averages 2.52 GPG and it allows 3.16. 

The pick: Additionally note that the Ducks are 0-5 in their last five at home, while Edmonton is 7-3 in its last ten on the road. I don't think it'll be necessary to rely on an "empty netter" to cash this one. Look for Edmonton to go up early and to keep the foot on the gas until the final horn.

10* PUCK-LINE DESTROYER on the Edmonton Oilers.

The set-up: Detroit's patchwork line-up is coming off another disheartening loss on the road in Portland last time out and I think this team will now struggle in the thin air of this difficult road venue. Denver is staying focussed as well right now, as evidenced by its double digit win over the Wolves (another team that won't be in the playoffs) in its latest action. 

The pick: Denver is also 7-3 ATS in its last ten following an ATS loss, while Detroit is just 2-8 ATS in its last ten after scoring 100 points or more in its previous contest. The situation AND the numbers/trends all point to a home side blowout in this one. Lay the points.

10* PLAY-BOOK the Denver Nuggets.

The set-up: After three straight wins the Hornets are out to push the pace after a loss to the Nets at home in their last outing. The Pacers lost six in a row, before sandwiching victories around the All Star game. Indiana though returned to its sluggish form last time out in a loss in Toronto in its last game. In fact, the Pacers got destroyed and it wasn't even close, going down by 20 points in the first quarter and eventually succumbing 127-81. After that embarrassing effort, I absolutely expect the home side to keep the foot on the gas tonight from start to finish. 

The pick: Charlotte though has seen the total go over hte number in seven of its last ten as a road dog in the 6.5 to 12 points range (also in three of four this season when playing with two days rest), while Indiana has seen the total go over the number in 14 of its last 23 as a home favorite and in 14 of 23 after suffering a SU loss. I look for this one to sneak over this low number comfortably as the game comes down the stretch.

10* TOTAL COACH'S CORNER on the OVER Hornets/Pacers.

The set-up: Two teams scrapping for respectability on Tuesday night and I'm expecting an all out war from the opening tip until the final horn. TCU has won two of its last three, including a victory over WVU on the road last time out. Iowa State has lost seven of its last nine, including its most recent vs. Texas Tech. The Horned Frogs are definitely going to have their hands full here vs. the revenge minded home side, which fell 81-79 in OT at TCU earlier in the season (note TCU needed OT to beat WVU last time out as well.) Situationally this one definitely sets up as more of a "chess match," than a "shootout" in my opinion. 

The pick: Both teams are two of the worst on the offensive side of things and I think each unit struggles here. Note as well that TCU has seen the total go under the number in eight of its last 11 after an OT road victory, while Iowa State has seen the total dip under in eight of its last 11 home games as a favorite in the -1.5 to -3.5 range. Considering all of the above info, I do indeed believe this number is a tad high.

10* TOTAL DESTRUCTION on the UNDER TCU/Iowa State.

The set-up: Kent State comes in hungry after its 104-98 double OT loss to Buffalo last time out. Buffalo now moves two games ahead of the Flashes and with just four games remaining, it's now or never for Kent State. A date vs. the last place Redhawks is just what the doctor ordered to get untracked as well. Kent State also plays with revenge here after inexplicably falling to Miami Ohio 77-74 in the reverse fixture. 

The pick: Kent State is also 4-1 ATS in its last five after back-to-back SU losses and as a home favorite in the -9.5 to -11.5 points range, while Miami Ohio is just 4-6 ATS in its last ten on the road. If not now, when for the Flashes?! I'm expecting a victory of the "rocking chair" variety here. Lay the points.

10* ELITE OF THE ELITE on Kent State.

The set-up: Two teams hungry for a victory collide on Monday night and in my opinion, this one has "shootout" written all over it. The Suns came from behind to knock off the Bulls in their latest outing, led by Devin Booker, who is averaging a career best 26.4 PPG right now. The Jazz have progressively gotten better as the season has worn on, but they're out to rebound here after a loss to the ROckets last time out (Donovan Mitchell had 31 points in the setback). 

The pick: The Suns allow 113.5 PPG and note that they're posted 115 points or more in three out of their last four games. The Jazz have looked much better on the offensive end with Mike Conley, Jordan Clarkson and Bojan Bogdanovic. As mentioned off the top, this one has "shootout" written all over it in my opinion.

10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK on the OVER Suns/Jazz.

The set-up: Kansas is better than Oklahoma State in every conceivable way, but the Jayhawks look primed for a classic "letdown" here in my estimation after their big road win over then No. 1 Baylor last time out. Oklahoma State comes in with nothing to lose and the Cowboys are also confident, as they enter off an 83-66 win over Oklahoma. From a situational stand point, I think this one sets up beautifully for the visiting side. 

The pick: Note though that Oklahoma State is 3-0 ATS in its last three as a road dog of 12.5 points or more, while KU is already 0-4 ATS this season as a home favorite in the 12.5 to 15 points range. Grab the points, expect a competitive battle until the end.

10* GAME OF THE WEEK on Oklahoma State.

The set-up: The Rockets are the better team. They have better players and their offense is better. Houston's defense isn't that much better than the Knicks on most nights though. Off three straight wins and with conference rival Memphis coming to town, followed by a tough game at Boston, this one definitely sets up as a bit of a "trap" for the Rockets as well. New York has had two nights off and I believe this young team takes advantage of his complacent home side.

The pick: Outright upset? I'm stopping short in call for a straight up win for the Knicks, but note that they're 11-5 ATS in their last 16 following a home loss. Also note that Houston is just 5-11 ATS already this season after scoring 110 points or more in four straight games. Grab the points.

10* GAME OF THE WEEK on the New York Knicks.

The set-up: I think the Sens will struggle to score in this difficult road venue. Columbus comes in desperate after eight straight losses. The Sens come in having lost two straight. Ottawa's power-play unit is ranked 28th in the league at just 14.9 percent and I think it'll have difficulties vs. this determined home side, who will be out to control the pace/tempo of this one (note that the Columbus power-play is ranked just 24th in the league.) 

The pick: Note that Ottawa has seen the total go under the number in eight of 11 already this month, while Columbus has seen the total dip below the posted number in 15 of 20 this season after a non-conference game. Look for this one to sneak under once it's all said and done.

10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK on the UNDER Senators/Jackets.

The set-up: Indiana lost four straight before a win over the Bucks in their final outing before the All Star break. It then came out and posted a win and cover in New York to open the second half. The Pacers will have their work cut out for them here as well if they hope to win SU on the road and while they may not occur, I do think that the visitors will at the very least, take this one right down to the wire. Toronto hasn't had many lapses this year, but with the Bucks coming to town on Tuesday night, the possibility of a "look ahead" is definitely in the cards for the home side as well. 

The pick: Indiana plays with revenge today and note that it's 6-2 ATS in its last eight when playing with double revenge after two straight losses vs. an opponent. Toronto on the other hand is already an extremely poor 3-8 ATS this season as a home favorite of six points or less. I'm banking on a battle until the final shot. Grab the points.

10* DESTRUCTION on the Indiana Pacers.

The set-up: Miami has struggled for the most of the year, but it comes in having won three of its last four. It'll want to play spoiler here too, as the Irish are now firmly on the bubble. Both teams are desperate for victories and I believe the sense of urgency that each team plays with today will help in driving this total well under the posted number once it's all said and done. 

The pick: Note as well that Miami Florida has seen the total go under the number in eight of its last 11 conference road games after scoring 100 points or more in its previous contest in a victory (won 102-95 over Virgnia Tech in triple OT!), while Notre Dame has seen the total go under in seven of its last 11 conference home games as a favorite in the -4.5 to -7.5 points range. This number is too high.

10* TOTAL BEST OF THE BEST on the UNDER Miami Florida/Notre Dame.

The set-up: The Sharks led the Rangers for most of their game in The Big Apple yesterday, but in the end they came up short in the 3-2 setback. Now I think that San Jose simply "goes through motions" in the second game of the back to back. The Islanders are in a dog fight for positioning right now, but they are among the league leaders in giving up just 2.82 GPG overall (just 2.52 at home).

The pick: And that's bad news for a Sharks team which only averages 2.57 GPG overall. Expect the home side to grind this one down to a snails pace and to pull away down the stretch for the comfortable PUCK LINE cover.

10* PUCK-LINE DESTRUCTION on the New York Islanders.

The set-up: Boise State is 18-10 overall and 10-6 in conference polay, but 17-11 New Mexico (6-9) isn't going to simply roll over here. New Mexico comes in desperate after three straight losses (all to stiff competition: SDSU, UNLV and Nevada). Overall New Mexico averages 78.5 PPG, while allowing 76.6. Boise State averages 77 PPG and it allows 69.4. 

The pick: New Mexico is also 7-2 ATS in its last nine conference road games after three or more SU conference losses, while Boise State is just 3-5 ATS in its last eight home games as a favorite in the -8.5 to -11.5 points range. This spread is just too large considering all of these factors listed above.

10* DESTRUCTION on New Mexico.

The set-up: The Lakers have won of the best defenses in the league this year, but they fell 139-107 in Boston back in earl January. Boston comes to town having won nine of its last ten. These two red hot non-conference rivals collide and I believe that points are going to be at a premium. Boston averages 113.3 PPG and it allows 106.3, while LA averages 113.6 PPG, while allowing only 106.2. Both teams are decent offensively, but it's on the defensive end where each shines. After the first game went "over," I believe that the rematch is pointing towards a lower-scoring defensive affair. 

The pick: Note as well that Boston has seen the total go under the number in nine of its last 13 as a road underdog, while LA has seen the total dip below the posted number in eight of 12 in trying to revenge a road loss vs. an opponent. This is going to be a "chess match," not a "shootout." 

10* TOP TOTAL on the UNDER Celtics/Lakers.

The set-up: Cal is jsut 11-15, while Washington is only 12-15. The Huskies though play with revenge here after falling 61-58 in OT at Cal earlier in the year. The Golden Bears broke a four-game slide with their first road win of the year last time out in beating Washignton State, but I think a predictable letdown is inevitable here vs. this revenge minded home side. These team's offensive and defensive numbers are similar (poor), but note that the Huskies are still 9-6 at home this year and they're two Pac 12 victories have also been on their own floor.

The pick: Finally note that Cal is just 1-5 ATS this year as a road dog in the 6.5 to 12 points range, while Washington is 3-1 ATS in its last four vs. poor offensive teams which average 64 points or less per contest. I think the hungrier home side keeps the foot on the gas until the final horn. Lay the points.

10* ELITE OF THE ELITE on Washington.

The set-up: I like the Clippers to cover the big number at home today. The Kings opened up the second half of the season with a big 129-125 home win over Memphis, but I think that an immediate return to mediocrity is in store here. The Clippers return home off a 141-133 road loss in Boston and I think a little "home cooking" is just what the doctor ordered to get untracked. I look for the veterans on the Clippers to go at the young Kings backcourt of Buddy Hield and D'Aron Fox. 

The pick: The Clippers recently added Macus Morris and Reggie Jackson to the line-up. LA has dominated this series at home as well, going 5-1 the last six at home vs. Sacarmento. The Kings on the other hand are a poor 7-8 ATS already this season after allowing 120 points or more in their previous outing. Look for Sac to take a step back and for the Clippers to put the foot on the gas from start to finish.

10* COACH'S CORNER on the LA Clippers.

The set-up: After back-to-back losses, the Dukes will once again be pushed from start to finish vs. the high-flying Dayton Flyers. Duquesne most recently fell 70-67 at home to George Washington. Dayton enters off a 66-61 win over VCU, it's 15th straight victory. Dayton had to hold on for dear life the first time these team's met, eventually pulling away for a 73-69 road win on January 29th. 

The pick: Despite some recent lower-scoring games of late for each team, note that the Dukes still average 70.8 PPG, while the Flyers average 80.6. Duquesne has now seen the total go over the number in three of its last four as an underdog, while Dayton has seen the total soar over in seven of its last ten as a home favorite. I'm banking on a shootout, not a chess match.

10* TOTAL BLOWOUT on the OVER Duquesne/Dayton.

The set-up: I think the bleeding stops here and now for the Captials, who enter having lost three straight and five of their last six. The Devils are the perfect opponent to get back on track against, as they definitely look poised for a letdown after a 2-1 win over the Sharks last time out. Overall the Capitals average 3.47 GPG and they allow 3.03, while the Devils average 2.67 GPG and allow 3.37. 

The pick: Washington is 9-2 in its last 11 in New Jersey and because of the three straight losses, I believe it comes in razor focussed on the task at hand. And because of that, that makes this a price in which I have no issues at all in laying.

8* DESTRUCTION on the Washington Capitals.

The set-up: The defending National Champs are going to be in a dog-fight today in my opinion. And in a contest which I believe is decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, I'm grabbing the points. UVA has won three straight after an 80-73 loss to Louisville earlier in the month. UVA's defense remains elite this year, holding opponents to just 52.6 PPG, but it's offense has been putrid in averaging only 57.6 PPG. 

The pick: Pittsburgh will need a miracle to make it into the NCAA tournament, but the Panthers are still gunning for a spot in the NIT. Off three straight losses, I think Pittsburgh hangs tough here at home. Overall Pitt averages 65.9 PPG and it allows 64.6. Additionally note that UVA is just 6-14 ATS as the favorite this year, while Pittsburgh is a stellar 5-1 ATS this year vs. good defensive teams which allow 64 points or less per game. Grab the points.

10* UNDERDOG BLOOD-BATH on Pittsburgh.

The set-up: It's now or never for both teams. The Western conference is a difficult one and if either of these sub .500 teams is going to make a move, both have to come out hot and establish a run starting tonight. But with over a week off, I think these two normally high-scoring offenses will come out flat to start, opening up the door for the defenses to "steal the show." Situationally this one definitely sets up as a lower-scoring contest in my opinion. 

The pick: Note as well that New Orleans has seen the total go under the number in six of eight already this year off an upset loss as a favorite, while Portland has seen the total dip below the posted number in both games it's played in already this season with three or more days rest. I'm banking on this total staying well below the posted number once it's all said and done.

10* TOTAL PLAYBOOK on the UNDER Pelicans/Blazers.

The set-up: The Avs won't want to take the foot off the gas here after breaking a three-game slide with a 3-1 win over the Islanders last time out. The Ducks come in with zero momentum after a 4-1 loss to the Panthers last time out, their third loss in their last four games. Note as well that this is a huge game for Colorado, who can take over the No. 1 spot in the Central division with a win today vs. the scuffling Blues. Overall the Avs average 3.50 GPG and they allow 2.78. Anaheim averages 2.52 GPG and it allows 3.15. 

The pick: The Ducks are also a poor 1-5 in their last six at home, while Colorado is 18-11 vs. clubs with losing records this year. For all the reasons listed above, lay the price.

8* DESTRUCTION on the Colorado Avalanche.

The set-up: This is a big game for these middle of the pack A 10 teams. VCU is 17-9 and Saint Louis is 18-8. VCU is on the bubble now after four straight losses, meaning that every contest from here on out is essentially 'do or die.' VCU though comes in off two tight losses vs. two really good teams in Richmond and Dayton, holding the high-flying Flyers to just 66 points. The Billikens come in with zero momentum as well after losing three of their last four. Saint Louis recently suffered a big blow when guard Gibson Jimerson was lost to a foot injury. 

The pick: VCU is also an awesome 11-5 ATS in its last 16 as a road favorite or pick (including 3-1 ATS this year), while Saint Louis is already a poor 2-5 ATS in its last seven after playing a road game. The Rams' recent losing streak can be attributed to the level of their competition of late. I'm banking on a blowout from start to finish.

10* MID-MAJOR MAULING on VCU.

The set-up: The Islanders need to shake off a shaky stretch with a big convincing win at home and a date vs. the hapless Wings is just what the doctor ordered to do that in my opinion. The Isles are just 4-5-1 in tehir last ten, but they're still 18-7-4 at home. The Wings are just 5-25-2 on the road, but they've been playing better of late by going 5-5 in their last ten. Detroit won't be rolling over and the home side has something to prove. For NHL totals, this one is low and in my opinion, these two normally lower-scoring teams are now finally set up for more of an offensive affair this evening. 

The pick: Additionally note that Detroit has seen the total go over the number in nine of its last 14 following a divisional contest, while NY has seen the total go over in ten of its last 15 home games when the total is set at 5.5. For all the reasons listed above, play the over.

10* TOTAL COACH'S CORNER on the OVER Wings/Islanders.

The set-up: The Pacers fell victim to a red hot Knicks team a week before the All Star break. Indiana earned a victory in its final game of the first half over Milwaukee (sans Giannis) and I expect it to keep the foot on the gas here after a poor scuffling stretch leading up. The Knicks' run came to an end shortly after the Pacers victory with back-to-back losses going into the All Star game to the lowly Hawks and Wizards. 

The pick: Both teams have struggled with consistency this season, but Indiana clearly has much better depth. Also note that it's 7-2 ATS in its last nine on the road. New York on the other hand is just 5-15 in its last 20 at home. I look for Indiana's experienced backcourt of Brogdon and Oladipo to be the difference here. Lay the points.

10* REVENGE DESTRUCTION on the Indiana Pacers.

The set-up: Arizona has won seven of its last nine. Oregon State is on the "bubble" for an NCAA berth. The Beavers enter relatively hot after winning three of their last five. The Beavers are going to have their hands full with this revenge minded home side though in my opinion. Oregon STate averages 72.2 PPG and it allows 67. The Wildcats are 8-4 in league play and they'll absolutely be out to avenge that earlier loss to the Beavers. Overall Arizona averages 78 PPG and it allows 65.1.

The pick: Oregon State has also already seen the total go over the number in five of seven this year as the underdog and in six of eight on the road, while Arizona has seen the total fly above the posted number in three of four in trying try revenge a loss vs. an opponent which scored 75 points or more. Expect a faster-paced and ultimatley higher-scoring "shootout" here.

10* TOTAL ULTIMATE OF THE ULTIMATE on the OVER Oregon State/Arizona.

The set-up: This is the second game of a home and home set. The Pens won the last one 5-2, but I expect more of a defensive affair this time around. Note that goaltender Tristin Jarry has been remarkable for Pittsburgh since winning the starting job and also note that the Pens are ranked 11th in goals allowed per game while on the road. The Leafs normally like to put the offensive pressure onto other clubs, but after falling in Pittsburgh last time out, I think the home side is going to double down on the defensive end. 

The pick: I'll point out as well that Pittsburgh has seen the total go under the number in six of its last eight after a three-game unbeaten streakl while Toronto has seen the total dip below the posted number in three of its last four after playing three straight on the road. Expect this one to sneak under once it's all said and done.

10* TOTAL COACH'S CORNER on the UNDER Pens/Leafs.

The set-up: Ultimately I believe that "rest" is going to lead to "rust" for each team to open up the second half. Giannis Antetokounpo and company aren't going to have to run this score up to win this game. The Pistons are severely undermanned already, but to make matters worse the team bought out veteran guard Reggie Jackson. Derrick Rose is basically the last man standing in Detroit right now. 

The pick: The Pistons have failed to reach the 100 point plateau in two of their last three games. Look for the Bucks to "control" from start to finish and for this total to fall well under once it's all said and done.

10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK on the UNDER Bucks/Pistons.

The set-up: Both teams still have an outside shot at The Tournament. Belmont comes in off a 101-84 win over Jacksonville State, but after six straight wins, I believe the visiting side does indeed get caught "looking past" its opponent in some small way today. Morehead State is clearly the "hungrier" team after three straight losses. Morehead State also plays with revenge here. 

The pick: Note as well that Belmont is already a poor 4-7 ATS this year as a road favorite or pick and just 1-4 ATS in its last five after two straight covers as a double digit favorite, while Morehead State is 3-1 ATS in its last four off a blowout loss by 20 points or more to a conference rival. I'm banking on the hungier, revenge-minded home side to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch with teh ample points it's been afforded in this one.

10* REVENGE BEST OF THE BEST is Morehead State.

The set-up: Flroida is just 3-6-1 in its last ten, but it does enter off a victory. Anaheim is 5-3-2 in its last ten and it enters off a loss. John Gibson is in net for the Ducks and Sergei Bobrovsky counters for Florida. Neither has been fantastic, but I think each has a big opportunity to "steal the show" tonight. 

The pick: Note as well that Florida has seen the total go under the number in nine of its last 13 after playing a non-conference contest, while Anaheim has seen the total dip below in seven of nine already this year after playing to three straight "overs." This number is high.

8* TOTAL PLAY-BOOK on the UNDER Florida/Anaheim.

The set-up: Two teams which don't normally play to many high-scoring affairs collide in this non-conference matchup. However, each enters hungry for a break out performance and I believe that determination is going to translate into production on the ice once it's all said and done. The Isles are just 5-5 in their last ten. The Avs enter hungry for sure though after three straight losses. From a situational stand point, I think this one sets up as a higher-scoring shootout. 

The pick: Note as well that New York has seen the total go over the number in 14 of its last 23 vs. teams with winning records, while Colorado has seen the total soar over in interestingly, six of eight already this season after playing three straight home games (this is the finale of a four-game home stand.) The conditions are right for a shootout finally in my opinion.

10* TOTAL COACH'S CORNER on the OVER Isles/Avs.

The set-up: Tulane has lost nine in a row. The Mustangs will have to be wary not to get "trapped" here. SMU entes 18-6 overall and 8-4 in conference play. but after a 73-72 OT win in Houston, I'm expecting a more methodical pace from the visiting side tonight. Last time out the Green Wave were smoked 82-57 by Wichita State and I have a hard time seeing them mustering much of an offensive attack tonight either. 

The pick: Additionally note that SMU has seen the total go under the number in four of its last five as a road favorite in the 6.5 to 12 points range, while Tulane has seen the total stay under the number in ten of its last 13 after a loss by 15 points or more. This number is definitely high in my opinion.

10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK on the UNDER SMU/Tulane.

The set-up: After four straight victories, I think that Richmond gets caught looking past lowly George Mason, which is just 3-9 in league play so far. George Mason plays with revenge here though after the Spiders won 97-87 on the road in mid January. The Patriots average 68.2 PPG and the Spiders average 75.1. The Patriots still have an outside shot at the NCAA Tournament, but it'll depend on how they close out the rest of the way and what they do in the Conference tournament. One game at a time obviously.

The pick: George Mason is also a perfect 3-0 ATS in its last three as a road dog in the +12.5 to +15 points range, while Richmond is just 2-3 ATS in its last five after two straight wins by ten points or more. I'm grabbing the points and expecting a much more competitive battle than what this spread would suggest.

8* MID-MAJOR MAULING on George Mason.

The set-up: The Citadel won't be lacking for motivation here, as it's just 6-19 overall and winless in conference play. I had a pick on St. Joe's last night and it also was winless in conference action, until its monster come from behind upset outright victory. While I don't expect anything as dramatic as that in this one, everything does point to the home side keeping it competitive throughout in my opinion. Chattanooga is 7-7 in the Southern Conference. Note that Chattanooga averages 72 PPG, while the Citadel averages 76. 

The pick: Additionally I'll point out that Chattanooga is just 1-6 ATS in its last seven after successfully covering the spread in three or more straight outings, while The Citadel is 6-2 ATS this season revenging a loss vs. an opponent which scored 85 points or more. Grab the points, expecting a close battle.

10* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on The Citadel.

The set-up: Detroit is somehow 3-0 in this series this year. The last time these team's met the Wings won 4-3. The Habs enter desperate to avoid going 0-4 to the league's worst team this year and to also snap a four-game losing streak. The Wings have nothing to play for here (not even pride!), but to be able to sweep the Canadiens 4-0 this season would be one thing they'd be able to "hang their hat on." From a situational stand point, I believe this one sets up as a faster-paced and ultimately higher-scoring affair. 

The pick: Note as well that Montreal has seen the total go over the number in five of its last seven when playing on two days rest, while Detroit has seen the total soar over in four of its last five after playing three straight on the road. For all the reasons liste above, play the over.

10* TOTAL COACH'S CORNER on the OVER Habs/Wings.

The set-up: The Mountaineers are tied for sixth in the confernce with a 6-6 record, while Oklahoma State is 3-9. WVU beat the Cowboys 55-41 on the road, but I'm expecting a much tighter, and ultimatley higher-scoring affair this time around. OKS is playing its best ball of the year and I look for that momentum to get carried over. OKS opened Big 12 play by going 0-8, but it's since won three of its last four, including a 73-70 victory over No. 24 Texas Tech on Saturday. Overall Oklahoma State averages 67.2 PPG and it allow 65.9. WVU will also be especially motivated here after three straight low-scoring losses. All to Top 3 teams. 

The pick: Oklahoma State has also seen the total go over the number in eight of its last 12 after a win by six points or less, while WVU has seen the total fly over the number in 12 of 18 as a home favorite in the 6.5 to 12 points range. This one has the feel of a run and gun shootout, rather than a slower paced "chess match."

9* O/U BLOWOUT DESTRUCTION on the OVER OKS/WVU.

The set-up: Both teams should be in the NCAA Tournament. The Illini though come in as the "hungrier" team though after a loss to Rutgers last time out. Illinois has a balanced attack and it's ranked as the 32nd best tam according to KenPom. Penn State beat Northwestern 77-61 last time out, its eighth straight win. KenPom has the Nittany Lions ranked as the 11th best team in the Nation, but I think the home side will have its hands full with this determined visiting side.

The pick: Illinois is also already 2-0 ATS this year off an embarrassing road loss in which it scored less than 60 points in and 5-1 ATS in its last six vs. good offensvie teams which score 77 plus points per contest. I'm banking on the hungry visiting side to at the very least, take this one right down to the wire.

10* 'COACH'S CORNER' on Illinois.

The set-up: Vandy is just 3-7 the last ten in this series, but I think the "under the radar" visiting side does enough to get the comfortable cover once it's all said and done. Saban Lee averages 21 PPG for the Commodores, who average a very respectable 69 points per game on the road. Vanderbilt's poor defense catches a break here as well facing the slower paced Vols, who average only 66 PPG at home this season. 

The pick: Note as well that Vanderbilt is 7-3 ATS In its last ten as a road dog in the 6.5 to 12 points range, while Tennessee is only 5-8 ATS this year as a home favorite. I think Vanderbilt's offense mathches pace and while I'm not going to call for the outright upset, everything points to a competitive battle. Grab the points.

9* REVENGE DESTRUCTION on Vanderbilt.

The set-up: Davidson is 13-11 overall, 7-5 in conference play and just 4-6 as the road team. It looks poised for a letdown here in my estimation after its big 93-64 win over St. Bonaventure. I think the Wildcats get caught looking past their lowly opponent today. The Hawks are 4-21 overall, 0-12 in league play and 2-9 at home. Most recently St. Joe's fell to Rhode Island 73-55. 

The pick: Davidson is just 4-7 ATS on the road this year and it's 0-2 ATS after scoring 75 points or more in two straight games. St. Joe's on the other hand is already 4-1 ATS this year after three straight losses by ten points or more. I admit the Hawks are horrible, but Davidson has been poor as well. This sets up as a bit of a mental letdown spot for the visitors, while the home side is still desperate to post its first conference victory of the year. I'm grabbing the points.

8* ATS BLOOD-BATH on St. Joseph's.

The set-up: Kansas has won ten straight and it sits just one game back of 12-0 Baylor for the lead. The Jayhawks are at the Bears in their next game and I think that sets this one up as a bit of a "trap" for the home side. Note that Iowa State also plays with revenge after losing 79-53 at home to the Jayhawks earlier in the year. The Cyclones additionally come in "under the radar" after winning two of their last three. That includes their best offensive performance of the year in their 81-52 win over Texas. From a situational stand point, I think this one sets up well for the Cyclones. Kansas can't afford to lose any ground on Baylor, but I believe that the conditions are all in place to classify this as a "trap" for the home side. 

The pick: Note as well that Iowa State is 3-1 ATS in its last four in revenging a same season loss vs. an opponent, while Kansas is already 0-4 ATS this year as a home favorite in the 12.5 to 18 points range. No outright, but closer than expected. Grab the points.

10* GAME OF THE WEEK on Iowa State. 

The set-up: After a 4-1 loss at home to Edmonton, their second straight setback, the Panthers won't be lacking for motivation here as they try to get things back on track. The Sharks enter off two straight wins, including a 2-0 victory over Minnesota on Saturday. Overall Florida averages 3.41 GPG and it allows 3.36, while San Jose averages 2.59 GPG, while allowing 3.24. Both teams have not yet thrown in the towel on the post-season and I believe this extreme sense of competition between these non-conference foes will help in pushing this total over the number once it's all said and done. 

The pick: Note as well that Florida has seen the total go over the number in seven of its last eight vs. the Western Conference, while SJ has seen the total go over in ten of 14 this season after a win by two goals or more. I'm expecting a wide-open affair and I expect this total to fly over the number sooner, rather than later.

10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK on the OVER Panthers/Sharks.

The set-up: For these types of events/wagers, I always try to "find an angle" to use. Team LeBron won this event last year, so Team Giannis already plays with the "revenge" factor. But overall I think Team Giannis holds a lot of value because of the way that Antetokounmpo's draft has widely been viewed. While on paper Team LeBron could look better, I believe the way that Team Giannis has been viewed by the media as being the "lesser" team will only add fuel to the fire to these All Stars.

The pick: And that's the case. This game is being played by the best of the best. And in these types of games, everyone is looking for some sort of motivation to use. And in this case, as mentioned above, Team Giannis has two big motivational factors working in its favor today. While I obviously would not be shocked by the outright upset, in the end I'm going to grab the points.

10* BLOWOUT SPECTACULAR on Team Giannis.

The set-up: Vancouver actually plays with revenge here after losing the only other game so far between the teams this year, 1-0 back in November. And that was despite putting 40 shots on net. But that was then and this is now. Anaheim most recently enters off a 6-0 loss to Calgary. The Canucks on the other hand enter off back-to-back victories. 

The pick: Vancouver is also 5-0 (+5.2 units) this year when playing with three or more days rest, while Anaheim is a poor 11-17 (-4.6 units) this season vs. clubs with winning records. All things considered, a very reasonable price in my opinion.

6* DESTRUCTION on the Vancouver Canucks.

The set-up: Both teams have been playing to higher-scoring affairs of late, but I think today's competitive battle will fall under the number once it's all said and done. Memphis comes in hungry, as a three-game win streak has been followed by back-to-back losses. Overall the Tigers average 74.3 PPG. UConn's two-game win streak was snapped by a last second loss to SMU last time out and I think the Huskies are still collectively "caught up" on that heartbreaker. 

The pick: Note as well that Memphis has seen the total go under the number in eight of its last 12 Conference road games after back-to-back SU losses, while UConn has seen the total dip below in nine of its last 13 home games following a SU conference setback. I expect a war from start to finish. This number is a tad high.

10* AAC TOTAL OF THE YEAR on the UNDER Memphis/Connecticut.

The set-up: Villanova won't want to take the foot off the gas now in this dangerous non-conference road matchup on Sunday afternoon. The Wildcats escaped most recently with a slim 72-71 win over Marquette on Wednesday, while the Owls nudged past Tulane 72-68. Villanova's five starters all average in double figures; overall the Wildcats average 73.5 PPG. Temple has just two players averaging in double figures and the Owls average 69.3 PPG. 

The pick: Temple's been great at home of late, but now the level of competition gets raised dramatically. Villanova's depth is going to be the difference for me today, as I expect the Wildcats to come in focussed on the task at hand after their most recent "close call." Lay the points.

10* SUPER-DESTRUCTION on Villanova.

The set-up: Detroit lost 4-1 in Boston yesterday. Pittsburgh is about a -500 favorite in this game, so the Red Wings won't expect to have any mercy put upon them here. The visitors have nothing to lose (except another game of course!), and I believe that after yesterday's low-scoring effort, that they come out and push the pace of this one from start to finish. While only averageing 2.02 GPG, the Wings come in allowing 3.71. The Pens on the other hand average 3.27 GPG, while allowing 2.70. 

The pick: Note as well that Pittsburgh has already seen the total go "over" the number in four of its last five after playing three or more straight "unders." I think the home side destroys the Wings today, but I also expect Detroit to put a couple in the back of the net as well. This number is low, expect a shootout.

10* TOTAL DESTRUCTION on the OVER Wings/Pens.

The set-up: Diego Sanchez is long past his prime. This is a clear setup fight for Michel Pereira in my opinion. Sanchez's career peaked all the way back in 2009. Since then he's won and lost to various opponents. Pereira has fought twice in the UFC, the first being an awesome knock-out and the second he lost by unanimous decision to Tristan Connelly. 

The pick: Pereira has nothing to fear here. It's Sanchez who is going to have to press early and I think the veteran is going to get caught by his more explosive/hungrier opponent. Lay the price.

10* UFC PLAY OF THE MONTH on Michel Pereira. 

The set-up: LA is relishing the role of spoiler right now. The Kings enter off a 5-3 win over the Flames and I expect the team to carry over that offensive momentum here. LA had lost five previous, so it's not suddenly going to take the foot off the gas after one victory. Overall the Kings average 2.45 GPG and they allow 3.17. Colorado is only one game out of first place, so it won't be "looking past" this opportunity either. The Avs average 3.61 GPG, good because they concede 2.79. 

The pick: Note as well that LA has seen the total go over the number in seven of its last ten when playing with two days rest, while Colorado has seen the total go over the number in 11 of its last 16 after playing to three consecutive unders. The situation and numbers are both pointing to a shootout in my opinion.

10* TOTAL PLAY-BOOK on the OVER Kings/Avs.

The set-up: Two teams hungry for a win collide in St. Louis. This is the opener of a home and home set for the clubs, meaning that home ice is critically important to each. The Blues though also play with double-revenge after dropping both previous games to the Predators. Nashville looks poised for a letdown on the road here after a 5-0 home win over the Isles, while St. Louis enters on a three-game losing streak. Purely from a situational stand point, I think this one sets up great for the home side. 

The pick: Also note that Nashville is a poor 1-3 (-2.5 units) already this season after shutting out its opponent in its previous game, while St. Louis is already 5-1 (+3.6 units) this year after three or more consecutive losses. If not now, when for St. Louis? All things considered, a great price.

10* COACH'S CORNER on the St. Louis Blues.

The set-up: Mississippi State won the first meeting at home 74-70, but I expect a much tighter and lower-scoring affair this time around. Both teams are hungry for victories. Mississippi State plays its second straight on the road, as the Bulldogs enter off a poor 83-58 setback to Ole Miss. The struggling Razoracks can empathize, as they've lost three in a row, including an 82-61 loss to Tennessee last time out. Both teams are clearly on the bubble as far as the tournament is concerned. Both are struggling offensively as well. From a situational stand point, I definitely think this one sets up as a defensive affair, rather than a run-and-gun shootout.

The pick: Both teams are conceding less than 67 PPG this year. Arkansas averages only 65 PPG and Mississippi State averages 69.7. The numbers also don't match up here as far as I'm concerned. When taking into account all of the above info, I definitely believe this number is much too high.

10* SEC TOTAL OF THE YEAR on the UNDER Mississippi State/Arkansas.

The set-up: Both teams will be equally as "hungry" here. Both teams come in off losses. Syracuse is in a two-way tie for fifth place and so far its 4-2 on the road this year. Overall the Orange average 74 PPG and they allow 68.3. The Seminoles are coming in off a loss to Duke. FSU averages 75.1 PPG and it allows 65.1. 

The pick: I'll point out though that Syracuse is 7-3 ATS in its last ten conference road games as an underdog in the 8.5 to 11.5 points range, while FSU is just 2-5 ATS in its last seven home games following a SU loss and favored by 8.5 points or more. I like the Orange to fight until the end. Grab the points.

10* VERY EARLY NATIONAL TV BLOCKBUSTER on Syracuse.

The set-up: Both teams have been playing to lower-scoring affairs of late, but I think the conditions are finally right for more of a shoot-out this evening. The Habs fell 4-1 to the Bruins on Wednesday, while the Pens are looking for a much better effort offensively here as well after losing 2-1 to Tampa in their latest action. Overall Montreal averages 2.98 GPG, while allowing 3.03. Pittsburgh averages 3.25 GPG and it allows 2.73. 

The pick: It's interesting to note as well that Montreal has seen the total go over in 13 of 23 road games this year when the total is six or higher, while Pittsburgh has seen the total go over the number in seven of ten this year after scoring one goal or less in its previous contest. I'm expecting a faster paced game to produce a copious amount of goals tonight.

10* TOTAL COACH'S CORNER on the OVER Habs/Pens.

The set-up: Off a 4-1 win at home over Detroit, I execpt the Devils to predictably stumble here in the second game of the back-to-back. Also note that Carolina plays with revenge after falling 5-3 in New Jersey back in early November. Carolina is very much in the playoff hunt, but after dropping five of its last ten, it's now or never to make its push in my estimation. Most recently the Hurricanes lost 4-1 in Dallas. 

The pick: It's interesting to note as well that the Devils are a terrible 1-9 (-9.1 units) on "Friday nights" for some reason this season, while the Hurricanes are 10-6 (+2.9 units) when playing with two days rest. Not only do I expect Carolina to win, but I look for it to win big here.

10* PUCK-LINE BEST OF THE BEST on the Carolina Hurricanes.

The set-up: The IUPUI Jags have lost four in a row and reside in the basement of the Horizon League, while NKU has won four straight and is looking to lock down the top spot in the conference. The Jags are in a tough conference no doubt, coming in averaging 70 PPG. Northern Kentucky is vastly superior on both ends of the court, but note that it allows just 65 PPG, including ranking 12th in 3-point percentage allowed at under 29 percent.

The pick: In fact the Norse have allowed just 70 or more points just once during their recent four-game win streak. The Jags only allow 71 PPG this year, so when you add it all up, I do indeed believe that this total is much too high. 

9* BLOWOUT TOTAL on the UNDER IUPUI/Northern Kentucky.

The set-up: Both team's are 5-1 and at the top of the Ivy League Standings. Suffice it to say, I expect an all out war from start to finish, where every possession is contested. After falling to Harvard, Yale bounced back to crush Dartmouth by 18 at home in its latest action, while Princeton bounced back from a loss to Cornell to beat Columbia by seven. Yale has dominated this series of late, including in Princeton. The home side has the added motivation of revenge here as well. The Bulldogs rank in the Top 40 in the nation in allowing just 64 PPG. Not to be outdone, the Tigers have conceded just 65 points or less in six of their last eight overall. 

The pick: Princeton has seen the total go under in four of its last five home games overall, allowing just 62 points in those contests. If the Tigers have any hopes of pulling off the upset today, clearly it'll have to be because of a strong defensive performance. The stage is set for an all out war from start to finish.

10* TOTAL PLAYBOOK on the UNDER Yale/Princeton.

The set-up: This is a big game, as both teams are tied for eighth spot with a 5-7 record in the MAAC. The Stags play with revenge today after the Red Foxes picked up the 70-58 road win, snapping an 11 game losing streak for Marist at the time. Both teams season averages are comparable. They're bad. Marist's recent/current form is better, but I think that swings the value the other way here. Fairfield is the hungrier/more desperate team and it's also playing with revenge. 

The pick: And note that Fairfield is 10-5 ATS as an underdog this year and 4-0 ATS this season revenging a SU loss vs. an opponent as a favorite, while Marist is 0-2 ATS this year as a favorite and just 2-3 ATS this season off an upset win as an underdog. Clearly the outright is possible, but let's grab the points.

10* ELITE OF THE ELITE on Fairfield.

The set-up: Two "hungry" teams collide on Thursday night and when the smoke does finally clear, I look for this total to fly well above the posted number. While their first matchup went "under" in the Rangers 3-2 win, I am definitely expecting a more wide open affair this time around. 

The pick: Note that the Rangers have seen the total go over the number in 12 of their last 19 following a non-conference game, while Minnesota has seen the total fly over the number in eight of 12 this season after a win by two goals or more. I think the visitors push the pace from start to finish in an attempt to get the Wild out of their "comfort zone." This number is low.

10* PLAY ON THE OVER Rangers/Wild.

The set-up: The Thunder won nine of ten and got complacet and then lost two in a row at home to the Celtics and Thunder. OKC won't be taking the Pelicans for granted here and I believe its depth and experience will prove to be too much for the younger home side. The Pelicans do indeed look ripe for a letdown here in my estimation after three straight victories. OKC has won the first three of this four game season series and I expect them to find a way to get the job done here as well. The Thunder average 110.8 PPG, while the Pelicans allow 117.2. New Orleans averages 115.7 PPG, but OKC allows only 107.9. 

The pick: OKC has lost two in a row at home, but it's won seven straight on the road. I'm throwing the revenge factor out the window here, as I believe the Thunder are just as motivated to try and complete the season sweep, while also looking to get back on track after back-to-back losses. The Pelicans on the other look primed for a letdown, as I've mentioned above already. Grab the points.

10* COACH'S CORNER on the Oklahoma City Thunder.

The set-up: Both teams are equally as "hungry" for a win here. I am primarily a "motivational" handicapper, but this department is a "wash" tonight. The Flyers though are just 12-14-3 on the road this year, while the Panthers are 16-10-2. 

The pick: In fact note that the Flyers are ranked 28th in the league while on the road in goals allowed per game. They're also just 19th in goals scored per game as the away team. Florida is 28th in goals allowed per game on home ice, but it makes up for it on the other end by averaging the third most goals per game while in front of the home town crowd. Expect home ice to be the difference maker tonight. Great price as well in my opinion.

10* PLAY ON THE Florida Panthers.

The set-up: Columbus beat Buffalo 4-3 in OT back in October. 12 days ago Buffalo beat Columbus 2-1 in OT at home. For a numbers of reasons though, I believe that third and final meeting between the clubs will resemble the first meeting. Columbus only averages 2.60 GPG, while allowing 2.40, but it won't be lacking for motivation after back-to-back losses. Buffalo comes in off a 3-2 win over the Wings. The Sabres average 2.82 GPG and they allow 3.09. 

The pick: Note that Columbus has seen the total go over the number in six of its last ten after scoring one goal or less in its previous contest, while Buffalo has seen the total soar over in 11 of its last 17 vs. clubs with winning records. Both teams are "hungry" for a win here and I look for that sense of overall urgency to translate into offensive production on the ice. This number is low.

8* PLAY ON THE OVER Columbus/Buffalo.

The set-up: Wichita State opened the season 15-1, but it's since lost five of its last seven. It beat UCF 89-79 at home earlier in the year, but it didn't cover the 11.5 point spread. The UCF Knights have won two in a row, but I think they'll have their hands full here vs. the No. 45 Shockers who average 72.3 PPG, and allow 64.5. UCF averages 68.3 PPG and it allows 66.7. 

The pick: Note though that the Shockers are a perfect 3-0 ATS in their last three after three or more consecutive losses, while UCF is only 3-7 ATS at home this year and just 1-2 ATS in trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent. This is a big game for the Shockers and I look for them to finally get back on track in this favorable matchup. Lay the points.

10* ELITE OF THE ELITE on Wichita State.

The set-up: Memphis has the better overall record at 17-6, but it's 6-4 ACC record sits behind 15-8 Cincinnati's record of 8-3. The Bearcats fell 60-49 at Memphis earlier in the year, making "revenge" a significant factor working in their favor tonight. Memphis averages 73.7 PPG and it allows 64.1, while Cincinnati averages 72.5 PPG and it allows 65.7. 

The pick: Note though that Cincinnati is 4-0 ATS in its last four following a SU loss and 5-1 ATS in its last six at home, while Memphis is 0-3-1 ATS in its last four following three or more straight home games. The Bearcats have gotten better as the season has worn on. I like the home side to play with aggression tonight on its own floor and to avenge the earlier loss. Lay the points.

9* BLOWOUT DESTRUCTION on Cincinnati.

The set-up: Two teams hungry for a win collide in their final game before the All Star break. Clearly neither can be happy with their record right now, as Detroy is 19-37 and the Magic are 23-31. Off a double-digit loss at home to the lowly Hornets, the Pistons will be out to atone for that mess with a much better all around effort here. Orlando has been inconsistent all year, but it'll be out to build off its latest home win over the high-fying Hawks. Both teams have had to deal with plenty of injuries throughout the year, but from a situational stand point I absolutely believe this sets up as a faster paced "shootout." 

The pick: Note as well that Detroit has seen the total go over the number in six of eight this year off an upset loss as a home favorite, while Orlando has seen the total fly over the number in three of its last four after scoring 130 points or more in its previous outing. I look for this total to sneak above this very low total.

10* TOTAL PLAY-BOOK on the OVER Pistons/Magic.

The set-up: Bucknell plays with revenge here after Navy scored the win on its home floor earlier in the season. In that game Navy was led by 20 points from Cam Davis, while Bucknell was paced by 18 from John Meeks. The Bison have dropped four straight, so they definitely won't be lacking for motiation here. Navy leads the Patriot League in scoring defense, but I expect teh visitors to push the pace from start to finish. 

The pick: Additionally note that Bucknell has seen the total go over the number in eight of its last 11 after four or more straight conference setbacks, while Navy has seen the total eclipse the posted number in five of its last eight home games where the total is set between 129.5 and 133 points. This number is a tad low.

10* OFFENSIVE EXPLOSION on the OVER Bucknell/Navy.

The set-up: The Musketeers won their third game in a row by beating Providence 64-58, but I think they'll have their hands full with this hungry home side this evening. Butler won't be lacking for motivation after a poor 76-57 loss to Marquette in its latest action. Overall Xavier is averaging 71.3 PPG, while the Bulldogs average 68.9. The Bulldogs though are ranked 48th in field goal percentage in the nation. 

The pick: The Musketeers are also only 3-4 ATS on the road, including 0-2 ATS as a road dog in the 3.5 to six points range, while Butler is 7-3 ATS in its last ten as a home favorite or pick. I think the "hungrier" home side rises up to the challenge and gets back no track with a conviving win. Lay the points.

10* BLOCKBUSTER on Butler.

The set-up: Notre Dame comes in off a four-point road win over Clemson to improve to 15-8 on the year and 6-6 in league play, but I believe it'll take a step back here vs. the defensive-minded Cavaliers. Virginia comes in highly motivated after a seven point loss to Louisville in its last action, falling to 15-7 overall and 7-5 in conference play. Notre Dame averages 76.2 PPG and it allows 68.4. UVA averages 56.8 PPG and it allows only 51.7. 

The pick: As good as the Irish have looked of late, note that they're still just 3-4 ATS as an underdog this year and just 1-3 ATS after allowing 60 points or less. And note that UVA has performed well in this spot for bettors by going 4-1 ATS in its last five off a road loss. I believe the hungrier home side's suffocating defensive play is the difference maker in this one. Lay the points.

10* PLAY-BOOK on Virginia. 

The set-up: Winnipeg won't be taking this non-conference opponent lightly today, as it lost the reverse fixture in November by a score of 6-4. New York comes in off a 4-1 win at home over the lowly Kings, but a predictable letdown is imminent in this difficult road venue in my opinion. The Jets have won three straight and all signs point to this momentum getting carried over here. 

The pick: Note that the Rangers are a poor 7-10 this year after a win by two goals or more, while the Jets are 16-12 (+8.6 units) this season trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent. All things considered, I think this is fantastic "line value." 

10* BLOWOUT ULTIMATE OF THE ULTIMATE on the Jets.

The set-up: Neither team has played to many high-scoring affairs of late, but I believe that trend ends tonight. The NIU Huskies are 15-9 overall and 8-3 in league play, while the Ball State Cardinals are 13-10 overall and 6-4 in the MAC. NIU comes in off a 57-54 win over Kent State, while Ball State will be eager to return to the winners cirlce after a 68-64 loss to WMU last time out. 

The pick: I'll point out though that NIU has seen the total go over the number in three of four this year after playing two straight games as the underdog, while Ball State has seen the total go over the number in two of its last three off an upset loss as a favorite. As mentioned off the top, neither team has played to many "overs," this year, but that's just driven this total well below where it really should be set in my opinion. This number is indeed a little low, play the over.

10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK on the OVER Northern Illinois/Ball State. 

The set-up: Utah comes in off a thrilling last second win at Houston just last night (114-113 for the Jazz, staying "under" in that one as well) and I think it'll predictably lack energy here in the second game of the back-to-back scenario. The Jazz like the slow the pace of the game down, coming in averaging 111 PPG and allowing 107.1. Dallas has won three of its last five games. The Mavericks average 116.1 PPG and they allow 110.2. Note though that they'll once again be without the services of leading scorer Luca Doncic, who is out with an ankle injury. 

The pick: These are two of the slowest paced teams in the league. Additionally, the Jazz simply don't take a lot of three's, instead looking to control the tempo of the game and run a lot of half-court sets while on offense. I think this number is a little high considering all of the factors listed above.

10* PLAY ON THE UNDER Jazz/Mavericks.

The set-up: I think this game is going to be decided late or even in extra time, so in that case I feel it's worth the price for the extra 1.5 goals of insurance. Florida has won three in a row in this series, including a 5-2 victory in November. That said, the Panthers enter desperate here to break a three-game slide. Philly enters on the other end of the spectrum, having won five of its last seven and three in a row at home. The Panthers though are on the cusp, as despite falling to Pittsburgh last time out, they outshot it by 13 in the unfortunate setback. Philly though looks poised for a classic letdown here after its big 7-2 road win in the Nation's capital last time out. 

The pick: Note as well that Florida is 3-0 (+3 units) already this season after three or more straight losses, while Philly is just 6-10 (-4.2 unit) this year following a divisional contest. 

6* PLAY on the PANTHERS PUCK-LINE.

The set-up: The Seminoles come in at 20-3 and off a 99-81 win over Miami, while Duke is 20-3, barely holding on for a 98-96 win over UNC on the road in OT last time out. While each team played to a high-scoring affair last time out, I think each doubles down defensively in this high-profile, nationally televised game on Monday night. FSU will be looking to clean up its play, as despite winning last time out, it did go on to commit 19 turnovers. Duke had its hands full as well in its win, as it trailed by 9 at half time. 

The pick: Situationally I think this one sets up as more of a defensive affair, but also note that FSU has seen the total go under the number in three of its last four as a road dog in the 6.5 to 12 points range, while Duke has seen the total fall under the number in three of its last four after two no-covers where the team won SU as a favorite. This number is a little high.

10* PLAY ON THE UNDER FSU/Duke.

The set-up: Northwestern comes in focussed after having a week off to absorb its one point loss to Purdue last weekend. This is the first time these teams have played this year, but last season they split, each winning on the road. Note that the Wildcats are 4-1 all time at the RAC. This is the start of four games in ten days for Northwestern, so getting out on the "right foot" of a journey like this always paramount and with a week off to prepare, I expect NW to keep this one a lot closer than what this spread would suggest. Rutgers returns home after a two-game trip. The Scarlet Knights are 15-0 at home so far this year. Note though that NU has suffered four conference defeats this season by four points or less. 

The pick: Note as well that NW is 6-3 ATS in its last nine road games when playing with six or more days rest and as a double-digit underdog, while Rutgers is only 4-5 ATS in its last nine home games as a favorite in the -10 to -13.5 points range. I think the home side comes in complacent and I believe the visitors come in hungry. Probably no outright, but it'll be close. Grab the points.

10* DESTRUCTION on Northwestern.

The set-up: The Bulls beat the 76ers 100-89 back in January and I believe that a similar final outcome is in the cards here as well. Chicago has lost four in a row and three straight on the road. The 76ers won't be "looking past" their opponent today either, as they just broke a four-game slide of their own. The Bulls defense has been terrible of late, but they still rank 13th in the league in points allowed per 100 possessions (108.7.) And that doesn't bode well facing this focussed 76ers side which just heldo the Grizzlies to 107 points. And that's good new for Philadelphia, as their offense is ranked 20th in the league at scoring only 108.8 points per 100 possessions. 

The pick: Note as well that Chicago has seen the total go under the number in four of its last five after allowing 105 points or more in four straight games, while Philly has seen the total dip below in 11 of 18 already this season after scoring 115 points or more in its previous outing. I expect Chicago to come out hungry and to contest every shot as it tries to get off the schneid and I look for the home side to double down on the defensive end as it looks to gain ground after its recent scuffling stretch. This number is just a tad high.

10* TOTAL PLAY-BOOK on the UNDER Bulls/76ers.

The set-up: Cornell jumped out to an early lead yesterday in its 73-62 win over Princeton and I expect it to keep the foot on the gas here. Pennsvylvania comes in off a 76-67 victory at Columbia, but I believe it'll have a much tighter fight on its hands today vs. the suddenly confident Big Red team. Cornell now faces former Big Red head coach Steve Donahue today, looking to avenge the fact that they've dropped 13 of the last 14 in this series. 

The pick: Note that Penn is just 3-7 ATS in its last ten when coming off a five-points or greater victory and playing with zero days rest, while Cornell is 8-2 ATS in its last ten home games playing on no rest and off a win of ten points or more. I like the home side to at the very least, take this one right down to the final moments. Grab the points.

8* BEST OF BEST on Cornell.

The set-up: Both teams are looking for a win here as they try to lock down their playoff position. Each should definitely be in the post-season. Each has great scoring talent, but I'm expecting a more defensive affair in this non-conference matchup tonight. The Canes average 3.15 GPG and they allow 2.74. The Knights average 3.11 GPG and they allow 2.98. 

The pick: Note though that Carolina has seen the total go under the number in eight of its last 12 non-conference road games as an underdog in the +120 to +150 range, while Las Vegas has seen the total dip below the posted number in seven of its last 11 after scoring seven or more goals in its previous contest (was a 7-2 win over Florida last time out.) Look for this one to sneak under once it's all said and done.

10* TOTAL OF THE MONTH on the UNDER Carolina/Las Vegas.

The set-up: I base my picks on many things. Primarily though I'm a "situational" handicapper and from a situational stand-point, I think this one works highly in favor of the visiting side. The Kings have won two straight, most recently a very satisfying victory over the Heat at home just last night. The Spurs come in as the "hungrier" team after three straight losses. The Kings are just 10-15 at home this season anyways. 

The pick: The Spurs are also 7-3 ATS in their last ten after two or more consecutive losses and 3-1 ATS in their last four as a road favorite, while Sacramento is just 5-9 ATS as a home dog this year and only 3-4 ATS this season vs. teams which average over 106 plus points per contest. Look for the Spurs to take advantage of this tired/content Kings side and lay the points.

10* NBA GAME OF THE MONTH on the San Antonio Spurs.