What can you say about Mississippi Valley State? Projected in the preseason to finish last in the Southwestern Athletic Conference, the Delta Devils haven't disappointed. They are now 0-27 on the season! Most of their games have gone under but there have been certain spots where the over has hit. This will be another of those.

When playing at home with an O/U line of 135 to 139.5, the Delta Devils are 2-0 to the over. The over is 6-3 their last 9 in that situation. Over the same time-frame, the Delta Devils are 18-8 to the over when playing with revenge. Neither team plays good defense. The Delta Devils allow more than 79 points a game. The Panthers allow more than 76 per game, 78.6 per game on the road. This game will feature plenty of scoring. Southwestern Athletic TOY

The wheels have come off for the Islanders. They are 23-34 overall, 10-18 on the road. A dismal 7-17 (-15.3) record against Western Conference opposition hasn't helped their cause. Now, they play on the road against one of the best teams from the West. That spells trouble.

The Stars are 17-11 at home. They score more than 4 goals per game here. The Islanders score less than 3 per game on the road. The Stars won their last game but had lost several before that. They will be inspired to make it 2 in a row and they will also be playing with revenge from a loss at Long Island. Dallas wins big.

Not many will want to back the Hurricanes in this spot. Miami has lost 6 straight games, one of them to North Carolina. The Hurricanes are 1-5 versus the spread in those games, 0-4 the past 4. That's going to keep people off them. The oddsmakers are forced to post a very large point-spread. That's giving us exceptional value on the road underdog.

The Hurricanes have been playing some close games. Miami is off a 4-point loss and that the game against North Carolina was decided by only 3 points. The Tar Heels have also been playing some close ones. They are 5-3 their last 8 games and only one of the games was a win by more than 10 points. That was a 15-point win over Virginia Tech, a team which Miami is 2-0 against.

The Hurricanes are on a long-term 43-24 ATS run, after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games. They are also 8-2 versus the spread (7-3 straight up) their last 10 tries, revenging a home loss vs opponent and 7-2 ATS their last 9 road games where the total was 150 to 154.5. The Hurricanes won outright here last February. Give me the points!

A visit from struggling Brentford is exactly what West Ham needed. The Hammers have dropped 3 straight Premier League matches and need to restore order. Brentford has previously enjoyed success against West Ham but the Bees have dropped 4 of their last 5 and are currently not playing good football. The Bees continue to play without Rico Henry, Aaron Hickey, Ethan Pinnock, Kevin Schade, Bryan Mbeumo and Josh Dasilva.

The Bees have 10 points from their 12 league road matches this season, while West Ham has 19 points in 12 league home matches. This is the Hammers' first game at London Stadium since losing 6-0 against Arsenal, which equalled their biggest ever home loss. They will be extremely determined to win and today will be the day which sees West Ham finally squash the pesky Bees.

Give me the points with Sacramento in this important Pacific Division battle. The Clippers won both this season's meetings but both of those were in 2023. The Kings have been playing well on the road since losing here earlier and they are 44-25-1 versus the spread their last 70 tries in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 230.

The Clippers are 1-5 versus the spread their last 6 games. Their last 4 wins have all been by 6 or less. The Kings are off consecutive wins and their alst loss was by only 5. This game is also likely going to be decided late. Grab the points. **PACIFIC DIV GOM**

Minnesota has been printing money for its backers this season. The Gophers have been excellent versus the point-spread all season and they beat Nebraska by 11 back in December. Their ATS success comes to a screeching halt this evening though. Nebraska has been strong at home this season and the Gophers lost by 11 here on this exact day last year.

The Cornhuskers are a perfect 6-0 versus the spread their past 6 tries when revenging a road loss vs opponent. They are 17-8 ATS their last 25 tries. With a 5-1 ATS record this month, 3-0 ATS the last 3, Nebraska is playing better than it was for the earlier meeting. The Gophers are 20-41-1 ATS their last 62 a road underdog of 6.5 to 9 points. Lay the points with Nebraska this evening.

They can't make this total high enough. The earlier meeting finished at only 152 but that was a game where Tulane didn't score. At home, the Green Wave will get a lot more than they 69 they scored that day. Why can I say that with such certainty? Because UAB just allowed 94 points last game and more importantly because Tulane averages 88.7 points per home game.

Tulane is 12-4 to the over its past 16 tries when revenging a road loss. The Green Wave are 26-14-1 to the over in home lined games the last 3 years. During the same timeframe, UBA is 20-12 to the over on the road. The Blazers are also 13-5 to the over after allowing 80 or more points. The only previous time that Tulane lost 3 straight, the Green Wave answered with a 92-80 win. This will be another shootout!

A trip to Hawaii isn't easy on students. Coaches can help them avoid distractions but there's the physical toll of the trip itself. There's also a tough defensive team waiting for them upon arrival. The Warriors are 10-6 here. They make scoring difficult. Visiting schools score 67.7 points per game here. Long Beach State allows more than 77 points per game on the road.

The Warriors are 5-3 versus the spread their last 8 tries as a home favorite of 3 points or less or pick. They lost last month at Long Beach State but they beat the Beach by 9 here last season. They're undefeated at home this month including a revenge win. They will help close out our Saturday with another win and cover.

The Wild visited here on December 10th, the last time that these teams faced each other. At the time, the Kraken were off to a terrible start. They'd dropped 7 straight going into the Minnesota game and they were off a loss versus Tampa the previous night. The Wild were only to happy to kick the Kraken when they were down. With Seattle playing its 2nd game in 2 days, Minnesota won 3-0.

Things are different now. The Kraken just easily beat the best team in the West on Thursday, a 5-2 win over Vancouver. That was their 3rd win in 4 games and they had yesterday off. Not so for Minnesota. The Wild are off a 4-2 upset of Edmonton. They are 2-7 when playing with 0 days rest. Seattle settles the score.

Some recent lower scores have brought this number down and it is now too low. North Alabama games average more than 152 points. The Bellarmine shooters are going to relish the opportunity to face the Lions who give up more than 79 points per game on the road.

The Lions can score with the best of the A-10 teams though and thats why they are favored. The Knights are 11-7 to the over their last 18 tries when listed as underdogs. The Lions are 12-5 to the over their last 17 tries, when playing with 1 or less days rest. I've got this one finishing well over the number.

Small line but this should be a big win in this Big South Conference "Battle of the Bulldogs" this afternoon. The Gardner Webb Bulldogs won at Gardner Webb but they only have 5 wins in 16 road games. The UNC Asheville Bulldogs are 12-1 at home. They outscore teams by an average of 18.9 points here!

UNC Asheville is 5-0 versus the spread its last 5 home games where the total is 150 to 154.5. Gardner Webb is 1-6 versus the spread (0-7 straight up) its last 7 tries, in a road game where the total is 150 to 154.5. UNC Asheville has thrived in the revenge role and is 9-4 versus the spread its last 13 tries, when off a conference loss. UNC Asheville beat GW by 12 here last season. Lay the points.

The Nittany Lions upset the Hoosiers at Indiana. Now the Hoosiers will do the same right back to them. The Hoosiers have won 12 of their last 20 games here. Off 3 straight losses, they really need this game.

The Hoosiers are 5-3 versus the spread when off a loss against a conference rival, 17-12 ATS the last 3 years. The Nittany Lions are 4-7 versus the spread after scoring 80 points or more. Penn State is also 3-6-1 ATS its last 10 as a favorite. Give me the points with Indiana.

Remember what happened when Everton played here last year? Brighton and its fans sure do! The Toffees embarrassed them 5-1. That was last May and its time to make things right. The Toffees are winless in their last 8 league matches (4 losses, 4 draws) and near the bottom of the table. They have scored only 3 goals in their last 6 top flight matches.

The Seagulls just smashed Sheffield 5-0 last match. In their last game here at Amex Stadium, they crushed Crystal Palace 4-1. They will be too much for struggling Everton and a big win will help the fans forget what happened here last year.

The Charlotte Hornets upset the Jazz last night and have actually won a few in a row. Reality will set in tonight. The Golden State Warriors blew out the Lakers 128-110 last night and are 8-2 straight up and versus the spread their last 10 games. They had to travel last night. The Warriors did not.

The Warriors are 3-0 their last 3 games against teams from the East. They beat Indiana, Philadelphia and Brooklyn by 56 combined points, an average of nearly 19 per game. The Hornets are 9-17 versus the spread on the road and this will be another beating.

The Buffalo Sabres beat bad teams like the Columbus Blue Jackets. The Sabres are 6-2 their last 8 tries against losing teams and 26-11 (+14.1.) the last 3 years when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season.

The Blue Jackets are 2-14 (-11.1) after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game. They're also 12-29 (-14.1) their last 41 tries, after a win of 2 goals or more. This will be their first game back from a trip out West. We won with the Sabres in their last game and will come right back and win with them again tonight.

Home-court means a great deal to each of these clubs. The Ospreys are 10-4 at home but 5-9 on the road. The home/road differences are even greater for Jacksonville. The Dolphins are 2-13 away but 10-1 at home. The Ospreys won at North Florida. Now the Dolphins will win at Jacksonville.

The Dolphins allow only 59.5 points per game at home. The Ospreys allow 81.4 points per game on the road. The Dolphins are 7-1 straight up and versus the spread their last 8 tries in a home game where the total is 135 to 139.5.

It was on this day (2/23) 2 years ago that Jacksonville beat North Florida 71-39. The Dolphins will repeat history and will improve to 4-1 versus the spread in five tries when playing with road revenge.

Real Sociedad recorded a 3-0 win over Villarreal in the reverse match earlier this season. That was at Villarreal. Playing at home at Estadio Anoeta, Real Sociedad should comfortable pick up maximum points. The last h2h meeting here resulted in a 1-0 victory for Real Sociedad.

It needs to be mentioned that Real Sociedad does have some rather serious injury concerns. However, Villarreal is also dealing with numerous injuries and Real Sociedad has superior depth to deal with theirs. Understand that Real Sociedad is a full 14 points ahead of Villarreal in the standings. The class difference will be evident and Real Sociedad will come away with another win.

The first meeting had a higher O|U line than this. This one is too low. With the Skyhawks off an 88-82 victory over Morehead State, it's going to be another barn-burner tonight. Tennessee Martin is 3-1 to the over after scoring 80 or more. The Skyhawks average more than 80 points and their games average more than 156.

Lindenwood is off a lower-scoring game. The Lions lost 72-57 at Eastern Illinois. They gave up more than 90 (91-63 loss) in their previous game though and they are 11-4 to the over their last 15 games with a total, after scoring 60 or less in their previous game. Last year, these teams played a lower-scoring first game and the rematch was higher-scoring and finished over the total. That's what'll happen again this year. Go with the Over.

The Pistons still find themselves on the road, even after the break. They are 0-2 versus the spread after 3 or more days rest and 0-5 ATS after playing 3 consecutive road games. They are 4-23 on the road, getting blown out in many of those.

The Pacers beat the Pistons by 8 at Detroit but the game at Indiana wasn't even close. The Pacers won 136-113. Detroit hung with the Pacers for a half but didn't have the firepower to keep it up for the whole game. With the Pistons averaging 113.9 points on the road and the Pacers averaging more than 126 at home, that's likely to happen again. The Pacers are 9-2, both straight up and versus the spread, against division foes. They will pull away and crush this team.

This is a battle of Eastern Conference heavyweights. The Panthers are very hot right now but the Hurricanes are also very hot and this is not an easy place to play. This is no ordinary game for the Hurricanes either. They lost earlier this season at Florida but this the first time that they hosted the Panthers, since Florida eliminated them in last year's playoffs.

The Hurricanes have had this game circled and will have their revenge. They are 13-8 when revenging a loss versus opponent. The Hurricanes are 9-4 when playing with 2 days rest, 28-13 the last 3 years. The Hurricane are also 62-28 their last 90 home games with a total of 6 or more. It'll feel like a playoff game and the home fans will leave happy!

Too many points. Samford can really score but so can the Paladins. Furman won this season's first meeting by 10 points. The Paladins have won 4 straight in the series and 9 of the last 10. Four of the last 5 meetings have been decided by 10 or fewer points, one of those going to Overtime.

Samford is off a 4-point loss. Furman has won 3 straight games, the margin of victory growing with each one. The Paladins are 5-1 versus the spread their last 6 tries when listed as a road underdog of 6.5 to 9 points. The Paladins are also 11-1 ATS versus good offensive teams after at least 15 games have been played, good being defined as teams which score 77+ points/game after 15+ games. Grab the points.

Neither team has much of a home ice advantage and the road team has won all 3 meetings. The Canadiens won the first 2 at Buffalo but the Sabres smashed them 6-1 in the most recent game, which was here at Montreal in January. Both teams lost their last game 4-3. The Sabres are 13-8 (+10.2) after allowing 4 goals or more.

The Canadiens are just 6-13 their last 19 tries, when playing with 3 or more days rest. During that time, Montreal is a dismal 18-42 when revenging a home loss and an even worse 19-48 vs. division opponents. The road team success continues in a big Buffalo win.

Porto will be inspired to play in front of its home fans but that will not be enough. The Portuguese squad is fortunate to even be here. Arsenal is in exceptional current form and scoring goals at an alarming rate. In three February EPL matches, the Gunners have scored 14 goals, conceding only one.

In their last 5 EPL matches, the Gunners are 5-0 with 17 goals scored. That success will carry over to the Champions League. Porto is dealing with some defensive injuries and that will be a problem. Arsenal hasn't been to the knockout stage of the Champions League for 7 years. The Gunners understand the signficance of the moment and will not be denied victory.

The Vancouver Canucks gave up 10 goals in a 10-7 loss at Minnesota yesterday. The Canucks are 14-18 (-6.6) their last 32 tries when playing 2 games in 2 days. The 10 goals allowed is not a good sign.

The Colorado Avalanche had yesterday off after beating division rival Arizona the previous day. The Avalanche are 49-26 their last 75 tries after playing a divisional opponent and 24-10 after playing 3 or more straight overs. Colorado is also 21-5 (+12.8) in a home game where the total is 6 or more. Home ice and a scheduling advantage have me firmly backing the Avalanche.

Both teams played yesterday. The Minnesota Wild won by a football score 10-7 against the Canucks and the Winnipeg Jets lost 6-3 at Calgary. Here's where its important to know how teams do in a back-to-back situation.

The Wild are 2-6 when playing with 0 days rest. The Jets are 4-0 when playing with 0 days rest. The Wild are 5-8 versus the division. The Jets are 12-4 within the division. The Wild are 10-15 when playing against a team with a winning record. The Jets are 20-8 when playing against a team with a losing record. Go with the Jets.

The Dallas Stars played an Overtime game yesterday. The Stars are 14-17 (-10.6) their last 31 tries when playing 2 games in 2 days.

The NY Rangers are 6-0 this month and they've now won 7 straight. The Rangers are also 15-4 (+8.4) their last 19 tries, when playing with revenge. The Stars have suffered some injuries and the Rangers will keep on winning.

For a game involving the Fordham Rams, this total is too low. Fordham's last game had 148 points. The Rams have allowed 75 or more points in each of their last 3 games. They have allowed 65 or more (and as many as 119) in 15 straight games.

Davidson's last game had 136 in regulation, 161 with OT. For the season, Davidson games are averaging 138.5. Their previous game versus Fordham exceeded that average finishing with 148.

Davidson is 6-1 to the over its last 7 tries as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points. Fordham is 7-1 its last 8 tries when the total is 130 to 139.5. Go with the Over!

The Spartans lost in the MEAC Championship game last season. They are determined to get back there and to win it this year. They are gearing up to do so and that means beating teams like NC Central when they come for a visit.

The Eagles are off back to back losses. The Spartans are off a victory. The Eagles won this season's first meeting. They aren't as good on the road though and the Spartans are undefeated at home. In 10 games here, they outscore teams by a 87.6 to 62.8 average score. The Spartans are also 6-1-1 versus the spread their last 8 tries when playing with road revenge. They are 5-0 ATS their last 5 tries as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points and they will get us a win and cover tonight.

They beat them at Iowa State but the Cyclones aren't built to go on road and to contend with a team like these Houston Cougars. They feed off the energy at home but all 5 of their losses have come on the road or at a neutral site. They are 5-8 versus the spread their 13 versus good defensive teams - allowing

Ottawa couldn't even beat Chicago last game, or Anaheim before that. The Senators are 32-51 (-17) the last 3 years, after a non-conference game. Over that time frame, they are also 41-61 (-16.2) in the revenge role, 8-17 (-11.2) their last 25. The Senators are 35-66 their last 101 tries, when playing against a team with a winning record.

The Lightning ran into a red hot Florida team last game and suffered the consequences. They will be happy to face a bad team like Ottawa which they always beat here. Tampa is 67-30 (+14.8) its last 98 tries, when playing against a team with a losing record. Lay the price and look for Tampa to come out on top. **ATLANTIC DIV GOY**

The Toffees are fighting to avoid relegation. A visit from a depleted and defensively-challenged Crystal Palace squad is exactly what they need.

Palace is missing a number of key pieces. Cheick Doucoure (Achilles), Rob Holding (ankle), Michael Olise (thigh) and Jesurun Rak-Sakyi (thigh) are all out. Marc Guehi (knee) and Eberechi Eze (thigh) are likely also be out. Will Hughes (ankle) is questionable and less than 100%.

Everton is missing a couple of players but is mostly getting healthy. Importantly, Abdoulaye Doucoure is back and expected to start, as are Seamus Coleman and Amadou Onana.

The Toffees won 3-2 at Crystal Palace and 3-0 the last h2h match at Goodison Park. They win again this afternoon!

These are two bubble teams, both coming in hungry for a victory. This season's first meeting slipped under the total and this one will be even lower-scoring. The Pirates don't score nearly as many points on the road. They managed only 54 points in their last road game. Seton Hall did respond with a big game versus Xavier. That was at home though and the Pirates are 13-6-1 to the under the past 20x times that they scored 80 or more in their previous game.

The Red Storm lost the first meeting and they are also off a loss in their last game. They are 6-3-1 to the under off a loss and they are also 3-0 to the under their last 3x that they played with road revenge. Give me the Under!

The Tigers may be wounded but they are still very dangerous. Prior to losing their last game to North Texas, they had won 3 straight. They have also defeated SMU 4 straight times. The Tigers are especially deadly as underdogs. Over the last 3 years, they are 14-5 versus the spread, when getting points. This season, they are 4-2 in the underdog role with 4 outright victories.

The Mustangs lost a close 3-point game at Memphis in January. Revenge isn't much of a motivator for them though as they are only 5-9 versus the spread their last 14 tries in the road revenge role. The Mustangs are 12-18 ATS their last 30 tries when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games and they are 4-8 ATS their last 12 tries versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games. Give me the points!

The Ramblers are strong at home but beatable on the road. They are 11-16 versus the spread the L3 years when off a conference victory. During that time, they ware 1-2 ATS as a road favorite of 3.5 to 6 points.

Though they are off consecutive ATS victories on the road, the first a big SU win and the second a close 2-point loss, the Rams have also been much stronger at home. They are 9-4 here, averaging 88 points. They've won 4 of their last 6 games here. Three of those were decided by 4 points or less. Give me the points with Rhode Island!

Luton Town was living on borrowed time. The bubble finally burst for the Hatters in their last game. They fell 3-1 to Sheffield United, the worst team in the Premiership. Off that loss, they are in no shape to contend with the rejuvenated Red Devils. Really, the warning signs had been there for Luton Town. The Hatters have only won 1 of their last 5 matches.

Undefeated in 4 2024 league matches, Manchester United is 3-0 in February. The wins came by a combined score of 9-4. It's fair to say that United is playing some of its best football in quite some time. The November match was won 1-0 by United. Given the form of the Red Devils and with Luton Town off the loss to Sheffield, this will result in another victory.

Brighton & Hove Albion is a much stronger squad than Sheffield United. Frankly, any club in the Premier League could say the same. Not long for the top flight, Sheffield is in shambles. A victory over Luton Town last game was a nice reprieve but it doesn't change anything. Through 24 matches, Sheffield has a -38 goal differential.

The Seagulls sit in 9th in the table. They are battling a lot of teams and need maximum points here. They responded to their last defeat with a 4-1 victory. Off a 2-1 loss to Tottenham, they will again respond. Brighton wins.

San Jose returns home from a road trip. The first game back is difficult. The Sharks are missing some key players. The Sharks are 23-41 (-9.1) their last 64, after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game. The Sharks are also 9-25 their last 34 tries, after a win by 2 goals or more.

The Sharks only score 2.2 goals per home game. The Blue Jackets average 3 goals per road game. The Blue Jackets scored 11 goals, including 6 here at San Jose, in sweeping last season's 2 games. They do it again tonight!

The Wildcats have a score to settle. The Sun Devils beat them by a point here last season. Arizona did go on to lay a beating on its instate rivals in the Pac-12 Tournament. Yet, the Wildcats are going to be determined to make this one hurt.

Arizona is 12-4 versus the spread when playing against a team with a winning record. The Wildcats average 93.4 points per home game.

Arizona State is 0-3 versus the spread when the total is 150 to 159.5. The Sun Devils are 1-6 ATS their last 7 tries with a total in that range. They average only 67 points per road game. This will be a "cake-walk."

Short line for Duquesne at home. The Dukes are 8-4 at home. The Hawks are 3-6 on the road. The Hawks narrowly won the first meeting, at St. Josephs. Duquesne won the last game here by 14 points.

The Hawks are 1-3 versus the spread as a road underdog of 3 points or less or pick. They have won just 8 of their last 39 road games which had a total of 145 to 149.5.

Off a bad loss to Dayton, Duquesne will respond. The Dukes are 2-0 versus the spread, after scoring 60 points or less In that situation, they beat Fordham by 9 and they went on the road and beat St. Bonaventure by 6. Dukes do it again!

This total is too high. Last year's totals were 134.5 and 136.5. The games finished with 141 and 145. This total is in 150s.

Nebraska allowed only 59 points last game. Penn State's last 3 road games have seen the Nittany Lions concede only 46, 71 and 68 points.

The Corn Huskers are 4-1 to the under their last 5 tries when playing with 5 or 6 day's rest in between games. In two such occasions this season, the games have averaged 128.5 points. I'm projecting this afternoon's game to also come in under the 150 mark. Go with the Under.

This is a case of too many points. Cornell was favored by 5.5 points over Harvard here last season, also a mid-February game. The Crimson won outright by 17 points! Having lost this season's first meeting, the Crimson are coming in with another upset on their minds.

Harvard dominated Dartmouth last game. Cornell is off a tough 2-point loss to Yale. Though the Big Red covered the spread in that game, they are only 5-11 against the number of their last 16 games played in February.

Cornell can really score but Harvard is 19-7-1 its last 27 against the spread versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games. Harvard is also 3-0 against the spread its last 3 games as a road underdog of 6.5 to 9 points. Grab the points.

The Wolverines took the first meeting by a score of 65-58. That was at home and they are 2-11 on the road. The Lancers are 10-4 at home. They limit visiting teams to less than 64 points per game.

The point spread is low partly because Cal Baptist has lost 3 straight games versus the number. The Lancers are 5-2 against the spread their last 7 lined games, after 3 straight non-covers. The Lancers have to win this one as they face the best team in the conference next, the first of 3 straight road games. Lay the small number!

The Grizzlies fought tooth and nail to beat the Rockets last night. They will feel the effects of that victory tonight. They are 3-6 against the spread this season, when playing with 0 day's rest in between games, 0-3 ATS when playing a home game after playing a home game the previous day. They were outscored 114 to 102 in those 3 home games and none game against a team as strong as this one.

The Bucks are 30-19-1 ATS their last 50 tried, when off an upset loss as a favorite. They lost by 41 points here last season and will return the favor with a big blowout win of their own tonight.

It's not going out on a limb to say that James Madison is very likely going to win this game. The Dukes are 22-3 and favored by 2 touchdowns. The Panthers are 11-13 and 4-10 on the road. The question becomes: what kind of game will it be? Will the Dukes dominate the Panthers with their defense or run them out the door with their offense?

A look to last season provides a valuable clue. The Dukes blew out the Panthers in both games last year but they did so in 2 very different fashions. In the gam at Georgia State, they dominated defensively, a 63-47 victory. The game at James Madison played out differently, the Dukes ran the Panthers out of the building in a 90-69 offensive thrashing. With JMU averaging more than 86 points at home and GSU allowing 79 ppg on the road, this one will play out like last year's game here did. The Panthers will move to 10-5 to the over in their road games. Go with the OVER!

Great price on the home underdog Buffalo Sabres. The Sabres just smashed the LA Kings 7-0 on Tuesday. They have scored 5 or more goals in 3 of their last 5 games. Off one of their biggest wins in years, they are feeling good about themselves and can't wait to get back on the ice.

The Florida Panthers won again last night. Off 3 straight wins, they have been playing well. The problem is that they are only 13-18 (-11.2) their last 31 tries when playing with 0 days rest.

The Sabres are 4-2 their past 6 tries off a shutout win. They are also 17-3-1 when scoring first in games this season and their starting goalie Luukkonen has 3 shutouts (1.60 GAA and .941 save percentage) in his last 12 games. Let's Go, Buffalo!

Here is a case of 2 teams going in different directions. The Minnesota Wild have won 3 in a row and 6 of their last 8. The Arizona Coyotes are 0-6 their last 6 games. With 28 goals allowed in those 6 games, at least 3 in each, the Coyotes can't keep the puck out of the net. None of Minnesota's last 7 opponents have scored more than 3 goals.

The Wild have been waiting for this game and not just because Arizona is struggling. The Coyotes humiliated them 6-0 at Minnesota in January. At the time, the Wild were mired in a 1-7-1 stretch and they had just gotten Kaprizov back from injury for his first game back. Now the healthier and hotter team, the Wild will take advantage of the winnable road game and avenge last month's blowout. **CENTRAL GOY**

Tennessee is a very strong team but Arkansas is much better than most bettors realize. These were both top 10 teams in this year's preseason rankings. Public perception is providing us with a very generous line on a talented and live underdog.

The Razorbacks have under-achieved but they have turned the corner. They won their last game and have 2 wins their last 3 games. The Razorbacks are 9-4 SU at home and 38-9 here the last 3 years. They are 11-1 SU their last 12 home games where the total is 150 to 154.5

The Volunters are 6-5 on the road, only 3-8 against the spread. They are 8-13-1 versus the spread their last 22 tries, in a road game where the total is 150 to 154.5. They are off a loss to the Aggies and have dropped 2 of their last 4.

The Razorbacks have beaten the Volunteers the last few meetings here and they are 10-3 the last 13 here. In a game they could end up winning outright, let's grab all those points! **SEC GOY**

South Carolina is one of the bigger surprises of the season. Picked to finish in the basement, or at least near the bottom, of the competitive SEC Conference, the Gamecocks have thrived. They won't sneak up on the Tigers though and Auburn is a double-figure favorite for a reason.

When the Tigers win, they win big. Their last 6 victories have all come by at least 14 points. They have beaten the Gamecocks 6 straight times, the last 5 of those all came by greater than 10 points. The Tigers are 10-5, both straight-up and against the spread, their last 15 off a conference loss. They are also 5-0 versus the spread the past 5x that they home favorites of 9.5 to 12 points. This will be another cakewalk.

This season's earlier meeting had 263 points, all in regulation. This one will also lack any semblance of defense. The Indiana Pacers allow 123 points a game on the road. They are 7-2 to the over off an upset loss, 25-10 to the over their last 35 in that spot.

The Toronto Raptors are 30-14 to the over their last 44 versus poor defensive teams - defined as teams allowing 116+ points/game. They are 46-25 to the over their last 71 against such teams. The Raptors are also 14-8 to the over this season when the total was set at 230 or higher. Go with the Over!

This is a very low total. These may not be offensive super-powers but the number is still too low. Boston is 13-6 to the over last 3 years when a total was in the 120s. Army is 7-4 to the over the last 3 years when a total was in the 120s.

Boston is 18-7 to the over its last 25 tries, when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games. The Terriers are 3-0 to the over this month and the over is now 14-4 in their February games the last 3 seasons. This month's games have all finished with at least 138 points.

Army is off a 136 point game versus Navy. That game also had a low total but the final score finished well above it. Last month's game finished over and the over is 5-1 the past 6 meetings. Go with the Over!

We lost with a German team, RB Leipzig, yesterday afternoon. I felt that it was a good spot for Leipzig at home, getting a 0.5 goal. They had numerous chances and a disallowed goal. It took a beautiful goal and a lot of big saves to beat them. Even so, they were up against an elite Real Madrid team, one of the best in the world. This situation is different. This time, its the German side which is one of the best in the world.

Bayern Munich, undefeated in their last 12 Champions League matches against Italian teams, is strong on the road. Lazio is vulnerable and won't be able to hold back the German giants. Bayern won both matches against Lazio in the Round of 16 in Feb. and March of 2021, including a 4-1 thrashing at Stadio Olimpico. This will be another victory for the superior side. Go with the visitors.

They say that an elephant never forgets. Apparently a "Wolf Pack" rarely does either. Nevada is an exemplary 79-50 against the spread its last 129 lined games, when playing with road revenge. That includes a 15-7 against the spread record when playing with revenge from a road loss of 20 or more points. Think the Wolf Pack remember last month's 89-55 throttling at New Mexico? You better believe it!

Since that beating, the Wolf Pack have won 3 straight, both straight up and versus the pointspread. The Lobos have dropped 2 of their last 3. They've been underdogs twice this season and came up short in both instances. Lay the small number!

This total is a few points higher than it was for last month's game at Air Force. With both teams currently struggling to hit the basket, it's too high.

Air Force has scored 56, 64 and 66 points its last 3 games. All three games had lower totals than this one. But those opponents could score. Tonight the Falcons face a San Jose State squad which has scored 60, 57 and 47 its last 3 games. The Spartans have scored 65 or less in 5 straight.

The Falcons are a perfect 3-0 to the under the past 3x that they were road underdogs, or pick, of 3 or less. Before last month's game finished at 137, the previous 4 meetings all finished with 134 or less. This one will also stay below that number!

I've now played on the Milwaukee Bucks twice in a row. The Bucks crushed Charlotte on the weekend and they dominated Denver last night. Tonight's game presents a far greater challenge.

Last night's win was a big one. The Bucks were home underdogs against the world champions and they served notice that they deserved more respect than that. That's exactly the type of win that a team can experience a let down from. The Bucks are 3-8 straight up and against the spread their last 11 tries, when off a SU win as an underdog.

The Heat have won 4 of their last 6 and both losses came by 8 or less. They are 5-1-1 ATS after playing 3 or more consecutive home games. Take the points!

Two struggling teams but both have a very different outlook on the rest of the season. The Washington Capitals have been losing. They are now 23-28 and they only average 2.4 goals per game. The reality that they are not a good team has started to set in.

The Colorado Avalanche are too good to continue losing. They've had the past 2 days off and are facing an opponent which they can handle. The Avalanche are 19-7 (+9.1) their last 26 tries after scoring 1 goal or less. They are also 31-10 their last 41 tries when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season. Over that time, the Washington Capitals are 19-36 when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season. Colorado bounces back and kicks the Capitals while they're down.

Real Madrid is very talented but playing in Germany will provide host RB Leipzig a considerable advantage. Leipzig is healthy. Looking to make up for disappointment with their last trip to the round of 16, Leipzig will also be hungry. Real Madrid will again play without Jude Bellingham amongst others. The important midfielder will be missed. These teams last met here in October 2022. The German side earned a 3-2 victory. Leipzig is flying under the radar and will surprise once again.

Time will tell but I believe that they've got the wrong team favored in this one. I love a good home underdog as much as the next guy. The problem is Texas Tech isn't even a home underdog. The Red Raiders are laying points against a top 5 Kansas team. Short-handed or not, the Jayhawks are still the stronger team.

The Jayhawks are battling through some adversity as they are short-handed. The statuses of McDowell and McCuller are both up in the air. Important players that make the Jayhawks better. They just beat Baylor without them though, the defense elevating and delivering a peak performance.

The Red Raiders have battled illness themselves and are also coming off a strong defensive game. They are only 11-19 ATS their last 30 tries, after allowing 60 or less. Kansas is already 2-0 ATS as an underdog. The Jayhawks have beaten the Raiders 8 of the last 9 times and 3 of the last 4 meetings were decided by 2 buckets or less. Grab the points.

The Bucks are back. I won with them when they throttled Charlotte in their last game. Charlotte is weak and it allowed Doc Rivers' team the opportunity to work through some of their issues and restore their confidence. The 36 point blowout victory followed by 2 days of rest was exactly that they needed.

Doc Rivers said this after the last game: "I thought we set a tone defensively. We were flying around tonight. Our energy was high." Now the Bucks will get a chance to host the defending champions. The timing couldn't be better. The Nuggets just lost their last game by 29 points. They are 7-13-1 against the spread, as road favorites.

The Nuggets beat the Bucks in Denver this season, just as they did last year. Last season, the Bucks beat them here at Milwaukee. Tonight, they will do it again.

These teams both have trouble scoring at times. The Coyotes average 2.8 goals per game on the road. The Flyers average 2.8 goals per game at home. This season's first meeting had three first period goals but still only finished at 4-1.

The Flyers may have lost their previous starting netminder for a while but they are still getting exemplary goal-tending. They've conceded only 4 total goals thier last 3 games. None of those finished with more than 5 combined goals. Samuel Ersson has been sharp and his backup Cal Petersen came through with a strong performance when called upon last game. The surging Flyers will make scoring difficult for an Arizona team which is missing some attacking pieces. That will help keep this game under the total!

I recently made the following statement about Crystal Palace. "Crystal Palace is a team that Brighton can handle. Palace may not be in immediate relegation danger but they are a bottom tier club. Brighton has a +1 goal differential, CP sits at -14." Brighton did end up handling Palace with ease. Chelsea will do the same.

Palace is currently beaten up mentally and physically. Missing a number of important players, this is not the time to face a Chelsea team which always gives them problems. The Blues have defeated Palace in 12 successive matches. Some were close. Others were not. The end result is always the same. Given the current morale of the home squad, it will be once again!

This is not the same Kansas City team that faced the 49ers in the Super Bowl 4 years ago. This year's Chiefs are a defensive team. That's how they got here. They allowed 17.3 points a game in the regular season and they're allowing just 13.7 ppg in the playoffs.

San Francisco can make the same claim. The 49ers allowed 17.5 ppg in the regular season, the fewest of any NFC team. Though the playoff numbers aren't as impressive, you just saw their defense stiffen and hold the Lions to 7 second half points.

The Chiefs have now seen 8 of their last 9 games finish with 46 or fewer points. Only 1 of their last 17 games has finished with more than 48. This will not be a high scoring game and the total is too high. Go with the Under!

A number in the 130s at this venue, with these teams, is too low. The Panthers play higher-scoring games away from home. Northern Iowa road games average 147.1 points. The opposite is true of Illinois-Chicago. The Flames play higher-scoring games at home. Their games here average 143.9 points.

The Panthers are 19-11 to the over their last 30 tries when off a conference win. The Flames are 10-5 to the over their last 15 off a conference win and 11-7 to the over their last 18 when playing with revenge. The O|U line was 138.5 when the Panthers played here last season. Sound familiar? The final score was 150. Go with the Over!

The Celtics are scoring at a phenomenal rate this season and especially right now. On the season, they average 120.6 points. Over their last 5 games, they are averaging 124.6. They've scored 125 or more in 3 straight. Their last 5 games are averaging 239.6 points.

Miami home games have been much higher-scoring than Miami road games. The Heat score more at home but also allow more. Games here are averaging more than 226. Boston's visit here last month finished with 253!

The Celtics are 6-3 to the over after scoring 130 or more in their most recent game. This game flies over!

Villanova's strong homecourt defense will make the difference in this afternoon's game against the Seton Hall Pirates. Seton Hall allows 69.4 points per road game. The Wildcats only permit 63.9 points per home game. Visiting teams average less than 30 first half points and hit just 40% of their field goals.

The Wildcats are 6-1 against the spread when the O|U line was in the 130 to 139.5 range. The Wildcats are 2-0 ATS when playing a home game with an total of 130 to 134.5. They are also 5-2 ATS their last 7 as home favorites of 3.5 to 6 points.

The Wildcats lost a close one at Xavier last game but they pounded Providence in their last home game. They will bounce back with another big home win.

This match has 3 possible outcomes and by getting an extra half goal with Manchester United, we've got 2 of them covered. United does absolutely have a chance to win this match but the value of also winning in the event of a draw is of great importance.

United has found its scoring form of late. The Red Devils have tallied 11 goals in their last 3 matches, 9 their last 3 in the Premier League. They are well- rested and playing with as much confidence as we've seen in some time. Villa comes off a mid-week loss to Chelsea.

A look at the last 10 top flight h2h meetings reveals that the Red Devils are 6-2-2, six wins, 2 losses and 2 draws. Again, getting a win with a draw is big. United will keep scoring and come away with at least a point.

San Francisco can score plenty of points but that's been factored into this very high total. Too high. The Dons are already 2-0 to the under this season when the O/U line was in the 150s. Both games finished in the 140s.

Santa Clara often has trouble scoring. The Broncos managed only 59 points last game. They had a similar 58-point effort versus Yale. Less than a month ago, they scored only 49 against St. Mary's. They are 7-3 to the under their last 10 versus teams which score 77+ points/game after 15+ games.

They played a high-scoring OT game in the West Coast Conference Tournament last year but 7 of the last 9 regular season meetings have finished with 150 or less. This game stays Under! **WCC TOY**

The Hurricanes are an elite team. They responded to their 3-2 loss against Vancouver by hammering Colorado, one of the best teams in hockey, by a 5-2 score. They are a profitable 65-37 the last few seasons, after scoring 4 or more goals in their previous game.

The Devils are missing a number of important players right now. The missing defense is leading to a lot of goals allowed. They gave up 5 goals last game. That's 28 goals allowed in their last 6 games, a minimum of 3 in each. That many goals allowed won't cut it against a Carolina club which has conceded 2 or less in 4 of its last 5 games, 3 in the other.

The Hurricanes own the Devils here. They are 7-1 the last 8 meetings in Raleigh. Nothing changes today.

Wright State is one of the fastest teams in the country. The Raiders can run visiting teams right out of the building. They average 87.7 points per home game and 88.8 points a game in Horizon League play. They connect on a very high 56.4% of their field goals, in this building.

Oakland struggles against top level competition. The Golden Grizzlies are 1-3 against the spread their last 4 against teams with a winning record. That brings them to 8-14-1 ATS their last 23 tries, when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games.

These teams will face each other again on February 25th, at Oakland. The Golden Grizzlies will have a chance in that one but not today. The Raiders are 9-3 SU and 7-5-1 ATS their last 13 as a host in the series. Unable to contend with the pace, the Golden Grizzlies aren't going to know what hit them!

Off their upset win at North Carolina, my feeling is that the Tigers are ripe for a letdown on Saturday afternoon. Clemson is 1-3 straight up and against the spread, when coming off a win over an ACC rival. They are also 5-9 ATS when off a SU win overall.

The ACC is always difficult but the Orange have also played some strong non-conference opponents like Gonzaga, Tennessee and Oregon. Clemson won't scare them. There have been some issues on the road but the Orange are 11-1 at home. The only time that they were home underdogs, the Orange smashed NC State by 12 points.

This has long been a strong role for Syracuse. The Orange are 14-5, both SU and ATS, as home underdogs of 3 or less, or pick. Grab the points.

I won with Brighton last Saturday. That was a home match against Crystal Palace. The Seagulls haven't been good at following up a strong result with another one and a road game at Tottenham is going to be far more challenging.

The visitors are winless their last five top-flight road games on the road and they've failed to score in the last 2 of those matches. The home side has won its last 4 top-flight games at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium.

South Korea and Mali have now been eliminated from the Asian Cup and Africa Cup of Nations. That means that Tottenham will see the return of captain Son Heung-min and Yves Bissouma, formerly an important defensive midfielder for Brighton. Brighton will get Mitoma back but will still be without some key pieces. Look for Tottenham to avenge a December loss at Brighton.

The Milwaukee Bucks played last night but that won't save the Charlotte Hornets from the beating which is coming their way. The Bucks won this season's earlier meeting by 31. Charlotte definitely hasn't gotten any better since then and is walking into a hornet's next.

The coaching change to Doc Rivers hasn't paid immediate dividends for Milwaukee. The Bucks have now lost 3 straight games and 5 of their last 6. To be fair, 5 of those games were on the road and last night's was against a top level team from the West, the one with the most road wins of any team in the NBA. Clearly, this is a big drop in class.

Charlotte lost at Detroit back on January 24th. That marked the first loss of the Hornets' current 9-game losing streak. Seven of their last 8 have come and the Hornets still couldn't get a win. The only road game over that time resulted in a 20-point loss.

The Bucks next 2 games come against the defending NBA champions and the defending Eastern Conference champions, Denver and Miami. After that, the Bucks go on the road again. Rivers knows his team needs a big win and that he needs one, too. He will make sure that that the Bucks don't squander this opportunity.

The Penguins are 54-33 to the under the last few seasons, 13-10 this year, when playing on the road with a total of 6 or more. The Wild are 14-9 to the under at home, when the total was 6 or more.

Both teams are playing a low-scoring brand of hockey since the All Star Break. The Penguins last 3 games, all unders, have averaged, 3.3 goals. Minnesota's last 3 games, also all unders, have averaged 4.33 goals. The Wild are now 16-8 to the under their last 24 in the month of February.

Remember that Minnesota goaltender Marc-Andre Fleury played for the Penguins for many years. The under trend continues for another night!

These teams faced each other 3x in 2023. All 3 went under the total, as all 3 meetings finished with 125 or fewer points. Scores were 63-62 and 62-58 in the regular season and 68-56 in the A-10 Tournament.

The Rams have gone under 4 straight times and they are 6-0 to the under their last 6 against winning teams.

The Flyers are off a big offensive output at St. Joseph's but they'll face a better defense tonight. The Flyers are 7-3 to the under the last 10 times that they played a road game with a total of 135 to 139.5, a 4-0 under mark this season. Let's avoid Overtime and this game will stay under the total!

Marseille is struggling to score right now. They lost 1-0 to Lyons last match. Three of their last 4 matches have finished with 3 or fewer combined goals.

Marseille is struggling to score at the moment. Metz just struggles to score, period. Only last place Clermont scores fewer goals. In fact, they've only found the back of the net twice over their last 7 Ligue 1 matches. Five of those 7 matches finished with 2 goals or less and today's will do the same.

This is splendid value. We get Hawaii at home, playing with revenge and we don't even have to lay any points. Hawaii is 31-15 at home the last 3 seasons. Uc San Diego is 15-25 on the road.

This is no easy place to play and that's not just because of the travel factor. The Warriors 12-6 straight up their last 18 off a loss, won their last home game by 10 points. They allow only 66 points a game here. It was 365 days ago that they beat UC San Diego here by 7 points. Home court will reign supreme and the Warriors will win again tonight!

Detroit is off a 133-120 win last night. The Pistons are 5-1 to the over when off a SU win, 5-0 if that victory was an upset. The Pistons, 5-3 to the over when playing with 0 day's rest in between games, are 17-6 to the over on the road this season. The over is also 30-15 when they were underdogs.

Last year's game here had a total of 231.5 and finished with 241 points. At this stage of the season, there's not much reason for playing defense for these teams and tonight's game will also fly over the total. Go with the Over!

For under bettors, Seattle home games are the gift that keeps on giving. In Seattle's last 41 home lined games, the Redhawks are 30-9-2 to the under.This season, the Redhawks are allowing 64 points. Visiting teams hit only 40.4% of their field goals. Abilene Christian plays high-scoring games (158.4 points) at home but much lower-scoring (145.4 points) road games.

Last game, the Redhawks won 61-60. That was a road game. Last home game, they won 62-61. They will slow down the Wildcats and keep this final score below the total!

The Bulls have the talent edge and are healthier. They've got plenty of their own injuries though and they're on the road. They're also the type of team that the Grizzlies can outwork.

When they're at their best, the Bulls can be quite good. They beat Minnesota last game. That was at Chicago. They are only 9-15 on the road. They've got Orlando on deck and the Magic beat them twice. A look-ahead spot past Memphis. The Grizzlies are 20-5 against the spread their last 25 against teams from the Central. Grab the points.

The Flyers upset the Jets at Winnipeg last month. At the time, the Jets were on a franchise best 8-game winning streak. Winnipeg did manage to win its next two games but has since proceeded to lose 4 in a row. Tonight, they get a chance to get revenge against the team which got them going in the wrong direction!

It's no wonder that Winnipeg struggled to score in the first game as the Jets played without leading point scorer Mark Scheifele and leading goal scorer Kyle O'Conner. They'll have both big guns in the lineup tonight.

The Flyers may be at home but the Jets road record is better than their record here at Philadelphia. Though they lost the first game to the Flyers, the Jets are still a solid 13-8 against Eastern Conference opposition. Let's go Jets!

These teams went over when they played on January 3rd. Both have playing lower-scoring games since then though and both cranked up the defensive intensity in winning their last game. The Trojans held Oregon State to only 54 points. The Golden Bears kept Arizona State to 66.

The Bears are now 5-3 to the under since facing USC, a perfect 3-0 under record their last 3. The Trojans are 5-2 to the under their last 7 games.

Games at USC have truly been high-scoring. Not so here in Berkeley. The Trojans last visit here produced only 117 points! The Bears are 7-1 to the under their last 8 against losing teams, after at least 15 games. This game goes under!

The Bulldogs lost to St. Mary's last game. They're going to be in a bad mood. Portland is showing up at a bad moment. Not that there's ever a good time for the Pilots to play here. They last played here one year ago and they lost by 40. The score was 61-28 by halftime and 115-75 by the end of the game.

The Pilots are off a couple of wins but those were at home and came against Pacific and Pepperdine. They are 4-10 against the spread their last 14 against winning teams. They are also 4-10 ATS their last 14, when off a conference win. Long-term, that is an ugly role for the Pilots. They are 45-74, not counting pushes and non-lined games, their last 119 tries, off a conference win. Lay the points in what will be another 30+ point rout.

The Wizards may not be a very good team but this is a case of the Cavaliers laying "too many points." Everyone is high on Cleveland right now and down on Washington. That's led to the Wizards catching double-digits at home. They're bad but they're not "that bad." The Cavaliers weren't even laying this many points for the 2 games at Cleveland.

Washington is off a blowout loss to Phoenix. The Wizards last 3 games against Eastern Conference opposition have been a lot closer though, an 8 point loss to Miami, a 14-point win over Detroit and a 4-point loss to New York. The Wizards are also 12-9 against the spread off a loss of 10 or more points and 11-6 ATS after allowing 130 or more.

The Cavaliers are 16-24-2 ATS their last 42 tries when up against a losing team in the 2nd half of the season. Washington is well rested and has tomorrow off. Cleveland faces Brooklyn tomorrow. Let's take what the books are offering and cash in with the big points on the home underdog Wizards.

Scheduling advantage for the Maple Leafs in this one. The Dallas Stars just withstood a 48-shot barrage at Buffalo last night. The Maple Leafs had the night off.

The Stars are only 14-16 (-9.6) their last 30 tries, when playing 2 games in 2 days. Over that time, Dallas is also only 13-17 (-9) when off 3 or more consecutive victories.

Backup Scott Wedgewood will be between the pipes for the visitors. He's not as capable of stealing a game as #1 netminder Jake Oettinger. The Leafs have dominated Dallas and Western Conference teams in general. They will get it done for us tonight.

Both teams went under last night but this will be a high-scoring game. Brooklyn is 4-2 to the over when playing with no rest, 2-0 to the over when playing at home after playing at home the previous day. Dallas is 5-3 to the over when playing with 0 days rest. Games are averaging 241.5 points.

The Mavericks go under against good teams but the opposite is true when they face weaker teams. They are 16-5 to the over against losing teams. Last meeting finished with 245 and last meeting in Brooklyn finished with 254. Go with the Over.

If the playoffs started today, both these teams would be on the outside looking in. Washington still believes and expects to make a playoff push. Montreal is further back and knows its chances are bleak. The recent trade of center Sean Monahan for draft picks shows they're already thinking about the future. With Brendan Gallagher, another center, serving a suspension, the Habs are weak up the middle.

The Capitals were struggling before the break but are going to be ready to go tonight. Ovechkin will lead the way. The Capitals captain commented: "Right now you can see everybody's fresh, everybody's happy to be back and Tuesday's going to be a great day to play hockey." The Capitals are 3-0 the last 3 meetings here, outscoring Montreal 18-6. They will make it 4 in a row tonight.

Canisius is off a bad loss and has struggled of late. That has led to a nice underdog line against an inferior opponent. The Golden Griffins also struggled to start last season. But by February, they turned things around. They're 12-5 against the spread their last 17 in February. This team is fully capable of doing the same and it starts tonight.

The Golden Griffins beat the Purple Eagles handily at Canisius last season. The game at Niagara was decided by just 3 points. Niagara has lost 2 of its last 3 home games. All 3 were decided by 6 or less. Canisius is 25-13 against the spread the last 2 years against winning teams and has an excellent chance of winning this game outright. Grab the points.

Kansas comes in hot and defense has been a big part of the reason. The Jayhawks held Houston to 65 points last game. Before that, they limited Oklahoma State to only 56. They will face a Kansas State team which has scored 53 or less in 2 of its last 3 games.

This season, Kansas State has been going over the total against losing teams and staying under the total against winning teams. The Wildcats are 11-2 to the under against teams with a winning record.

Off a game Saturday, I will point out that Kansas is 3-0 to the under when playing with 0 or 1 day's rest in between games. The Jayhawks are 15-8 to the under in that situation their last 23.

K-State is 7-3 to the under when the total was in the 140s and 4-1 to the under at home when the total was 140 to 144.5. This game stays under! **BIG 12 TOY**

Both teams have been playing great but this one sets up nicely for the Cleveland Cavaliers. The Cavaliers are 9-5 against the spread and 11-3 straight up when the total was 230 or more. The Cavaliers are also 10-6-1 ats when in a revenge situation.

Sacramento is at the end of a very long road trip. This will be the Kings' 7th straight road game. They last played at home on January 22nd. It's only natural for them to be thinking about getting home.

Cleveland embarks on a road trip after this and will want to make sure to win at home tonight. Off 5 straight wins and with a 13-1 record their last 4 games, the Cavaliers are the hottest team in the NBA. The defense has been dominating and they keep it rolling on Monday!

If Rayo Vallecano can't find victory, a draw is a distinct possibility in this one. Three of the last 4 La Liga meetings between these clubs have ended in draws. I prefer the total.

Three of the last 4 h2h meetings have produced 2 or fewer goals. The last 2 h2h matches at Campo de Futbol de Vallecas both ended 1-1. That could happen again, as could a scoreless draw. A 1-0 (or 2-0) win for the home team is also possible. The visitors are likely to have trouble scoring, either way. Sevilla has only found the back of the net twice in its last 4 league matches. With only 3 total goals in its last 8 league matches, scoring is far from guaranteed for Rayo Vallecano. Both clubs are missing some key attacking pieces. This match goes Under!

The Trail Blazers hung with the champions for most of Friday's game but they will not be able to do do twice in a row. There was still some question about Jokic's health before Friday but the Denver big man dominated and is fully ready to go for this one.

The Trail Blazers may have covered 48 hours ago but they are still 14-26-1 against the spread in divisional game the past 2 years.

Portland was practically patting itself on the back for losing by only 12 on Friday. Denver will demonstrate its dominance from the opening tip tonight. The Nuggets are simply much stronger at both ends of the floor. A win of greater than 15 points is expected!

Its a Saturday night showdown at San Siro, as Inter Milan meet Juventus in a highly anticipated Derby d'Italia. These are the top 2 teams in Italy right now and this will be a great match. Playing their best football right now, Inter will get the job done.

Inter has won 5 straight matches. They've played 21 matches and have found the back of the net at least once in all 21 of them. They also have 13 clean sheets, most in Serie A. Playing at home in Italy's largest stadium, Inter will find the back of the net for the 22nd straight time with an excellent shot at securing a 14th clean sheet. It'll be a great match and the home fans will leave happy.

Last year's game had a low total and the final score snuck over it. This is another low total and the final score will again finish to the over.

Davidson games average 139.6 points. Loyola-Chicago games average 140.8. This total is lower than either of those numbers. Digging deeper reveals that Davidson road games are higher-scoring. The Wildcats are therefore 5-1 to the over on the road. Those true road games are averaging 150.

Loyola-Chicago is 11-2 to the over its last 13 home games when the total was in between 135 and 139.5 points. The Ramblers are also 4-1 to the over last 5 tries as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points. Go with the Over!

Give me Gonzaga at home in this battle of West Coast Conference heavyweights. These are the top 2 teams in the conference every year. The Bulldogs get more attention but the Gaels are also consistently very strong. This year is no different. Gonzaga is currently in a better place.

The Gaels have had trouble in consecutive games. Hosting back to back lightweights, they were favored by 16.5 and 13.5 points. They struggled with those bad teams though and won each game by only 5 points. Last game, they beat Santa Clara 82-77. That level of play won't cut it tonight.

The Bulldogs were favored by 14.5 points last game, roughly the same that St. Mary's was for its game. Unlike the Gaels, Gonzaga won by 34 points. That confidence building blowout is going to serve them well tonight!

The Gaels are only 5-11-1 against the spread their last 17 tries, after scoring 80 or more points. The Bulldogs are 7-3 ATS their last 10 tries, when facing a team which allows 64 or fewer points, through at least 15 games of the season. Gonzaga won by 26 last March in the WCC Tournament and by 9 in last season's regular season game here. Lay the points!

The Orange are off a 77-72 loss to Pittsburgh. It was their 5th loss in ACC play. After their previous four ACC losses, they've cranked up their defense leading to the under going a perfect 4-0 the next game. Off a loss to Virginia, they beat Cornell 80-71. That game had a total of 165. Off a loss to Duke, they beat BC 69-59. Off a loss to UNC, they beat Pitt 69-58. Off a loss to Florida State, they beat NC State 77-65. Those four games didn't just go under, they EASILY went under!

We know the Orange crank up the defense off an ACC loss but it should also be understood that Wake Forest plays great defense at home. Visiting games are averaging only 64.1 points a game here, hitting 40.9% of their field goals. Four of the last 5 meetings at Wake have gone under. Go with the Under!

With both teams off a game last night, its important to know how these teams typically handle playing 2 games in 2 days. A quick look shows that Golden State tends to do a much better job than Atlanta.

The Warriors are 5-3 against the spread, when playing 2 games in 2 days. Upon closer examination, we find that they are 3-0 ATS when playing a road game after also playing on the road on the previous day.

The Hawks, 1-13 against the spread after a non-conference games, are 1-7 against the spread when playing 2 games in 2 days, 0-2 ATS when playing a home game after playing at home the previous day.

The Warriors had an easier time last night than the Hawks. They are 6-1 ATS off a win by 10 points or more. Give me the points.

Most assume the Huskies are unbeatable. The reality is that St John's has a better home record than UConn has a road record. The Red Storm score more points at home than the Huskies do on the road. The Red Storm also allows fewer points at home than Uconn does on the road. St. Johns outscores teams here by a 80 to 64.5 average. UConn outscores teams on the road by a 75.6 to 70.2 average.

Remember that St. John's nearly upset the Huskies at Connecticut. The Red Storm lost by only 4. They beat Villanova by 20 their last game here. That same Villanova team almost beat UConn.

The Red Storm are 4-2 against the spread as underdogs. The Huskies are 2-4 against the spread their last 6 road game with an total in the 145 to 149.5 range. Take the points!

Brighton will not be denied in this match! The Seagulls were humiliated 4-0 at Luton Town last match and they're going to be extremely determined to make amends. They are a much stronger team at Amex Stadium.

Crystal Palace is a team that Brighton can handle. Palace may not be in immediate relegation danger but they are a bottom tier club. Brighton has a +1 goal differential, CP sits at -14.

Recent head-to-head meetings at Crystal Palace have resulted in draws but the Seagulls won 1-0 the last h2h match at the Amex. They will respond to the Luton loss with an important victory today!

These are both good teams. They've been getting it done in different ways. Toledo has been winning by outscoring opponents. Akron has been winning by dominating teams with its smothering defense. It may be a different story for the rematch at Toledo but with this game being played at Arkon, the Zips will effectively dictate the tempo and slow down the Rockets to the level of their liking.

There are a lot of stats which point to this play staying below the total. Here are some of those: Akron is 6-3 to the under in conference play. The Zips are also 5-2 to the under in their home games. None of the Zips' last 10 opponents have scored more than 76 points. The last team that they faced scored only 46. Five of their last 6 games have gone under.

The Rockets are 5-2 to the under off a conference win and 2-0 to the under when playing a road game with a total of 145 to 149.5. The number is high and this game will go Under.

Great setup for the Heat. After a long stretch of pointspread futility, they answered with a win and cover last game. Now they are off a win, had a day off and have tomorrow off. Better yet, they get to take on one of the weakest teams in the NBA.

Though they've managed 6 wins on the road, the Wizards have the worst home record in basketball. They are 3-19 here, 7-15 against the pointspread. Visiting teams outscore them by an average of 10.6 points.

This has been a profitable venue for Miami for years. The Heat are 37-16-2 against the spread their last 55 trips here. Expect them to win convincingly.

The Bundesliga weekend gets started Borussia Dortmund and Heidenheim collide wat the Voith Arena on Friday night. If you haven't heard of Heidenheim, its because its their first even Bundesliga season. They've been exceeding expectations, which has kept the price reasonable, but are in for a reality check against a superior Borussia Dortmund squad.

One of the top 5 teams, Borussia Dortmund has a +14 goal differential through 19 matches. Heidenheim has also played 19 matches but has a -7 goal differential. Borussia Dortmund settled for a 2-2 draw in the reverse fixture but has been unstoppable in 2024. Three straight victories and 10 goals in the process. Heidenheim, for its part, is off 3 straight 1-1 draws. Matches here have been exciting and high-scoring but in the end Heidenheim won't be able to keep up.