The set-up: The Hawks had to play from behind the entire in Game 1, but they pushed the pace and got some big shots down the stretch, winning the game, and the total flying "over" the number. Game 2 was a completely defensive affair by the Bucks, as the Hawks once again went down early, but this time it appeared as if they resigned themselves to a loss in that one and they were already looking ahead to Game 3 at home. 

The pick: And that game comes here and now. The Hawks will look to get out and push the pace in this one and to finally not have to play from behind. The Bucks are the highest scoring team in the league and while I do think they'll take a step back on the defensive end here, I expect that this open-paced affair will see them put plenty of points on the board as well. Everything points to a high-scoring contest in Atlanta on Sunday night.

This is a 10* TOTAL PLAY-BOOK on the OVER Bucks/Hawks.

The set-up: I'm going to lay the price here and expect a winner of the "rocking chair" variety, similar to the Brewers rather simple 10-4 win yesterday. The visitors go with the volatile Chi Chi Gonzalez (2-4, 6.12 ERA), who gave up six runs off eight hits over 5.1 innings in a loss to Milwaukee. Over his last three starts, Gonzalez has now allowed 18 runs. 

The pick: The home side counters with the improving Eric Lauer (1-3, 5.21), who gave up three run over five innings in a no-decision to these very Rockies last week. It was a good start on the road. I think Lauer can build off that performance, and note that he owns a sharp 3.56 ERA in all "day" games this year. Finally, note that the Brewers are 7-1 in their last eight after scoring ten or more runs in a home victory in their previous outing. Lay the price, expect a comfortable victory.

This is an 8* DESTRUCTION on the Brewers.

The set-up: I love the Rays to build off their 13-3 win here yesterday. The visting side goes with Pablo Sandoval (2-2, 3.69 ERA), who gave up three runs over six innings in a win over the Tigers on Saturday. Sandoval has been decent this year, but note that his ERA rises to 4.45 on the road. 

The pick: I like Ryan Yarbrough (4-3, 4.59) to bounce back here after allowing ten runs combined over his last two outings. Tampa is rolling, and it's 7-2 in its last nine after a home victory in which it scored ten or more runs in. I think that Sandoval struggles in this difficult interleague venue, while I expect Yarbrough to get back on track in this favorable matchup.

This is an 8* COACHES CORNER on the Rays.

The set-up: The Giants won last night and I think they're going to come out fired up here and find a way to do it again. Alex Wood (6-3, 4.09 ERA) is coming off a crummy start for the Giants, but I still love him here over confirmed "gas can" Frankie Montas 7-7, 4.79) for the A's. Montas was lit up in his last outing and he's struggled on the road.

The pick: San Francisco is also 7-2 in its last nine after shutting out its opponent in a home victory in its last outing. Considering the circumstances, I think we're getting an excellent price here on the home side.

This is a 10* COACHES CORNER on the Giants.

The set-up: Game 1 snuck "over" the number. Game 2 fell "under" the number in the Clippers 106-92 victory. I think this back and forth pattern continues as far as the total is concerned, as I expect this one to fly over as it comes down the stretch. Phoenix has to push the pace and get the Clippers playing from behind. The Suns can't afford to sit back and try to beat LA at its own game.

The pick: Also note that Phoenix has seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last ten in trying to revenge a road loss against an opponent in which it was held to 95 points or less in. Expect this faster-paced Game 4 to produce a lot of points on the board. 

This is a 10* TOTAL PLAY-BOOK on the OVER Suns/Clippers.

The set-up: Jacob DeGrom is 7-2 with a 0.50 ERA. He's throwing better right now than I've ever seen any pitcher throw in my life. The only downside for deGrom is that he plays on the Mets. The Mets are inconsistent at the plate, and they have a poor bullpen.

The pick: Zach Eflin is just 2-6 with a 4.39 ERA for the Phillies. He's taken a step back this year. The Phillies also have a poor bullpen, but I still think that Eflin has a big opportunity for a bounce-back performance against this "on again, off again" Mets' offense. deGrom is going to have a letdown at some point, and I say that some point is today. Grab the value on the hungry visiting side!

This is an 8* DESTRUCTION on the Phillies.

The set-up: Game 1 snuck "over" the number, but I expect Game 2 to be more of a defensive affair. Overall, the playoffs have been low-scoring compared to the regular season. The Bucks were the highest scoring team in the league during the regular season. But the Hawks have advanced to this point mainly because of their suprising defensive play. That defense wasn't at it's best in Game 1, but it came up big when it had to at the end of the game. 

The pick: Milwaukee has seen the total go "under" in eight of its last 11 in trying to revenge a home loss against an opponent in which it allowed 115 or more points in as well. Atlanta comes out aggressive here, and so does Milwaukee. Expect that to translate into a defensive battle in Game 2.

This is a 10* TOTAL COACHES CORNER On the UNDER.

The set-up: After losing here 8-2, I like the Cards to bounce back on Friday. I actually had a play on Chad Kuhl and the Pirates on the "run line" option last night, but here I'm going the other way and laying the price. I actually think this line could be a lot larger consider the circumstances and the talent discrepancy between the starting pitchers. The visitors hand the ball to Wil Crowe (0-4, 6.42 ERA) who has yet to taste a victory in his short MLB career. He's looked better over his last two games, but I still think he's going to struggle against this revenge-minded home side and difficult overall road venue.

The pick: The home side counters with Kwang Hyun Kim (1-5, 3.60), who gave up one run over four innings in a double-header against Atlanta. He's now allowed four runs or less in all 11 starts this year. He's been at his best at home as well, going 1-1 with a 2.72 ERA. I'm laying the price, but expecting a big blowout!

This is an 8* DESTRUCTION on the Cardinals.

The set-up: I'm not going to break down the cast of characters on each team. If you're wagering on this contest, you almost assuredly know the strengths and weaknesses of each team and how they got to this point. So why is Tampa going to win Game 7 here on its own ice? I don't think that its experience at this level can be overlooked. New York is in unchartered territory right now. 

The pick: Tampa is 26-8-2-0 at home, while New York is just 16-17-3-1 on the road this season. The last time these teams played here, the Bolts won 8-0. I don't expect such a ridiculous lop-sided destruction here in Game 7, but I do expect it to be convincing. Lay the price with confidence.

This is a 10* GAME 7 BEST OF THE BEST on the Lightning.

The set-up: I just think the Clippers are going to dig deep and deliver the goods in this Game 3. They won't be panicking, as they've already been here in their two previous series, going down 0-2, only to then rally for a series victory. I got down early and have an unfavorable line, and while the Clippers are now the slight home dog, I still think that the change in venue is just what Paul George and this veteran-laden Clippers team needs to get back into this series. 

The pick: Game 2 was tight, and the Clippers had their chances at the end. I say Game 3 is controlled start to finish by the home side. Chris Paul won't be at 100% health and I think LA's competent guards can slow him down even further. For all the reasons listed above, the play is LA.

This is a 10* ELITE OF THE ELITE on the Clippers.

The set-up: This series has been dominated by great goaltending and tough defensive play. Las Vegas was favored to win this series by quite a lot, but the high-powered Knights are now on the ropes as they try to figure out this tough Habs' defense. Las Vegas was the No. 1 defensive team in the league this year, but it was also the No. 3 on the offensive end. 

The pick: Montreal is going to have its hands full here against a Las Vegas team playing with deperation. Montreal has been good offensively throughout the playoffs though and will have extra opportunities on the back end with the Knights' defenders having to constantly join the attack. Game 6 (to me!), just screams over. 

This is a 10* TOTAL COACHES CORNER on the OVER Knights/Habs.

The set-up: I think the Pirates have much more than just a "punchers chance" in this one. That said, I'll lay the very reasonable price for the extra 1.5 runs on the "run line" option. The Cards have lost three straight and they face Chad Kuhl (1-4, 5.66 ERA), who comes in off his best start of the season, allowing one run over six innings and striking out four in a victory over the Indians. 

The pick: Kuhl has struggled, but I think he can build off his last performance and get the better of his counterpart Carlos Martinez (3-8, 6.62), who most recently got shelled for eight runs over three innings in a loss to the Braves. Martinez has now been rocked for at least five runs in three of his last four outings. I think Kuhl on the RUN LINE is the correct call here.

This is a 10* RUN-LINE DESTRUCTION on the Pirates.

The set-up: The Atlanta Hawks are averaging 106.3 points on 44.4 percent shooting and allowing 105 points in the playoffs, while the Milwaukee Bucks are averaging 107.9 points on 45.1 percent shooting and allowing 102.3 points so far in the post-season. The Bucks were one of the favorites to advance in the East before the season started, but the Hawks rise to this point is nothing short of spectacular. Clearly, Atlanta has already exceeded expectations to this point. 

The pick: I think Milwaukee is going to win this series. I don't think it'll sweep Atlanta though. That said, I do think that the Bucks' Giannis Antetokounmpo is a major matchup issue for the Hawks and I believe that Atlanta is going to struggle down the stretch of this opener. I'm laying points and expecting a comfortable cover for the home side in Game 1.

This is a 10* COACHES CORNER on the Bucks.

The set-up: This has been a back and forth series, but after getting blown out 8-0 in Game 5, I believe that the Islanders are going to double-down on the defensive end in an attempt to stave of elimination. The Isles have seen the total go "under" in eight of their last 11 in trying to revenge a five goals or greater road loss to an opponent as well. 

The pick: Tampa looked not only great on the offensive end in scoring those eight goals, but it also looked great defensively. Do I expect the Bolts to explode for another eight goals tonight? Of course not, that was an outlier. Do I believe that Tampa's going to play "lock down" defense and get great goaltending again? That's a given. So after the offensive explosion in Game 5, Game 6 sets up as a lower-scoring "under."

This is a 10* TOTAL PLAY-BOOK on the UNDER Lightning/Islanders.

The set-up: The Rockies lost a tight 2-1 affair here last night in the opener. They've now dropped three straight. This is a pitching matchup which favors the visitors though. Despite German Marquez (5-6, 4.26 ERA) struggling on the road this season, he comes in on top form, most recently going six shutout innings against the Brewers on Thursday. It was his fifth quality start out of his last six trips to the hill and he now owns an 82/39 K/W over 82.1 innings of work. 

The pick: Justus Sheffield (5-6, 5.65) got destroyed for seven runs over five innings in a loss to Minnesota on Wednesday. He's been rocked for at least two home runs in three straight starts. I say at this price, Marquez is the correct call.

This is a 10* DESTRUCTION on the Rockies.

The set-up: Kyle Freeland (0-2, 9.58 ERA) gave up five runs over four innings against San Diego on Wednesday. Over 20.2 innnings, he has a poor 2.27 WHIP and 12/11 K/W. Clearly, the only way Freeland can go is "up" from here. That said, the sample size is still way too small at this point and he draws a favorable matchup here against this poor Seattle offense.

The pick: Chris Flexen (6-3, 4.12) comes in off a great start, going eight scoreless against the Twins. Of concern though is that he has just 44 strikeouts over 67.2 innings of work. I don't trust either starter, but believe that Freeland's "upside" is where the value lies here. 

This is a 10* RUN-LINE DESTRUCTION on the Rockies.

The set-up: I love the Habs chances here. I think they have much more than just a "punchers" chance in this one. These teams' playoff numbers are almost identical. There's been no clear advantage for either team. On home ice or on the road. 

The pick: Montreal though is 7-1 in its last eight in trying to revenge an OT home loss against an opponent in which it was held to one or less goals in. Great value on a great team.

This is a 10* PLAY-BOOK on the Canadiens.

The set-up: The Clippers ran out of gas in the fourth quarter, but despite only shooting 45 percent from the floor, they still had a shot at upsetting the Suns in Game 1. Phoenix didn't look overly impressive and I believe the Clippers can make the necessary adjustments to not only make Game 2 even more competitive, but possibly even pull off the straight-up upset here. 

The pick: The continued absence of Chris Paul won't help this Suns team over the long-term. He'll likely return soon, but he's out again tonight. So is Kawhi Leonard for the Clippers, but LA is deep and experienced and I believe it throws it best shot at the Suns tonight. That said, grab the points.

This is a 10* COACHES CORNER on the Clippers.

The set-up: 17 losses in a row for the Diamondbacks. As bad as a team is, when a losing streak gets as long as this (and the same goes for a winning streak), it becomes unrealistic to continue much longer. The Diamondbacks have been playing hard of late though and I believe they're in line to finally break this string of futility. Off a 9-8 loss here last night to the Dodgers, Merrill Kelly (2-7, 5.40 ERA) will get the nod for the home side. He's off a loss to the Giants, but note that he's been better at home with a 3.99 ERA, than on the road with a 6.71 ERA.

The pick: Brett Anderson (2-4, 4.24) is off his best start of the year, going seven scoreless vs. the Reds, unfortunate to receive a no-decision. He had nine strikeouts, which was a season-high. Previous to that he'd not struckout more than four in any start though. Also note, while he's 1-1 with a 2.86 ERA at home, he's just 1-3 with a 5.58 ERA on the road. If not now, WHEN for the Diamondbacks! I'm standing in front of this train and say that this streak ends here and now!

This is a 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on the Diamondbacks.

The set-up: The same reasoning behind why I laid the price for Montreal on the puck-line last night, is the same reasoning that I'm using here for the Islanders. Game 5, tied 2-2. This series has been incredibly even. Both series have. For the most part, they've been very defensive affairs and that should once again be the case here. 

The pick: I just can't see the Lightning running up the score here even if they do get the lead. In a contest which I see being decided late, or even in extra time, I'm laying the price for the extra 1.5 goals.

This is an 8* PUCK-LINE DESTRUCTION on the Islanders.

The set-up: This is a big game for both teams. They come into the final match level on points and goal difference. Ukraine holds the tie-breaker though with one extra goal scored over Austria, but for either to advance, they're going to have to win outright today, and not settle for the the push. 

The pick:Ukraine though has so far been decent offensively, creating 4.52 expected goals (xG) through its first two matches against the Netherlands and North Macedonia. Ukraine's defense though has been shaky, as the Dutch created 2.05 xG vs. them, while North Macedonia even posted a 1.50 xG. Austria has a ton of value in this match and while a draw would likely get it into the next round, I think it'll take advantage of this weak Ukraine defense and just try to keep the momentum rolling, instead of playing super strategically. I expect each team to push for an outright win. This number is low, the play is the over.

This is a 10* TOTAL OF THE MONTH on the OVER Ukraine/Austria.

The set-up: These teams are evenly matched. If you check out their year long stats, Las Vegas has the superior numbers, but since the playoffs have started, these teams are in fact evenly matched up and down the line. 

The pick: The mighty Las Vegas offense has for the most part been cold in this series and I don't expect anything to change here either in Game 4. The Canadiens have the blue-print to success, and everything points to this one coming down to the wire once again. 

This is an 8* DESTRUCTION on the Montreal Canadiens on the PUCKLINE.

The set-up: Some cappers put a lot of stock into where the public money is going. Most sharps are contrarian by nature. When there's just a few games remaining though, those percentages of public money become skewed. I think they're much more accurate during the regular season. Most of the public money is on the Hawks, but in this case I think the public is correct. 

The pick: This is going to be a battle. It has been all series. Very back and forth and very close. Nothing's going to change here. Note though that the Hawks are 7-2 ATS in their last nine in trying to revenge a home loss against an opponent in which they were held to 100 points or less in. This one comes down the final moments, so grab as many points as you can.

This is a 10* COACHES CORNER on the Hawks.

The set-up: I like Detroit to bounce back in the finale of this four-game series, while I think LA will have a letdown after winning the first three. Previous to losing three straight, the Tigers had won three in a row. Detroit has to be feeling confident sending Casey Mize (4-4, 3.49 ERA) to the hill, as he's now given up three or fewer runs in nine straight outing and he's gone six or more innings in eight of those starts. 

The pick: Dylan Bundy (1-7, 6.98) has been flat-out terrible this season for the Angels. He most recently got blasted for seven runs over 2.1 innings on Monday in a loss to the A's. He's failed to finish six innings in six straight starts. The final nail in the coffin for the Angels today is the fact that Detroit is 7-2 in its last nine in trying to revenge three straight losses against an opponent. 

This is a 10* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the Tigers.

The setup

The A’s lost to the Yankees on Saturday for the first time in nine games. Today it is Manaea vs Montgomery on the hill for the Yankees. Montgomery is 3 -1 with an era of 4.20 for the season, but NY has a habit of winning when he is on the mound. Montgomery hasn’t often pitched late into the game, but he does have the Yankees stellar bullpen to back him up.

Manaea in his last four games has only given up two earned runs. Manaea can and will need to pitch deep into the game as the A’s bullpen has been so-so of late.

Oakland’s offense has been potent while sweeping both KC and the Angels. It is surprising considering their lineup how light hitting the Yankees are this season.

The wager

Oakland is an underdog here. Take the A’s to win.

The setup

The A’s lost on Saturday for the first time in nine games. Today it is Manaea vs Montgomery on the hill. Montgomery is 3 -1 with an era of 4.20 for the season, but NY has a habit of winning when he is on the mound. Montgomery doesn’t often pitch late into the game.

Manaea in his last four games has only given up two earned runs, however Oakland’s bullpen has been so-so of late.

Oakland has been scoring runs in bunches while sweeping KC and the Angels, and the total has edged up. Yankees have been beating up on struggling bullpens.

The wager

With Montgomery on the hill, the A’s potent offense, and Oakland’s bullpen, look for the total to go over.

The set-up: The Nets would have easily won this series if not for injuries to James Harden and Kyrie Irving. I don't think that Kevin Durant is the best basketball player of all time, but he's clearly been the best players in this series. Even better than the Bucks Giannis, who has played very well himself. But KD is going to be exhausted at this point and after the Game 6 collapse, I think the Bucks can smell the blood in the water. 

The pick: Further, note that Milwaukee is 7-1 ATS in its last eight after holding its previous opponent to 90 points or less in a SU/ATS home victory. Milwaukee's depth will prove to be the difference here vs. this wounded and undermanned Nets side. 

This is a 10* COACHES CORNER on the Bucks.

The set-up: This has been a very defensive series so far, but I think that changes finally here. The Lightning won 2-1 in Game 3, but note that the Isles have seen the total go "over" in eight of their last 12 in trying to revenge a home loss against an opponent in which it was held to one or less goals in. 

The pick: These teams have two of the best goaltenders between the pipes, but the overall situation points to more of a wide-open affair. I expect the Islanders to go on the attack early and to push the pace from the opening face-off, until the final horn. As a result, look for this total to fly "over" the posted number sooner, rather than later.

This is a 10* SEMI-FINALS TOTAL OF THE YEAR on the OVER Lightning/Islanders.

The set-up: Germany looked less than impressive in its loss to France, while Portugal rolled to a 3-0 win over Hungary. The Portugese won't be taking the foot off the gas here in this difficult group, and the pressure really is on the Germans here (especially with an own goal from Mats Hummels deciding the contest in Munich.)

The pick: Joachim Low's team struggled to create opportunities, and I think that'll again be the case here vs. Portugal. Germany will be desperate to avoid defeat, as a draw today wouldn't be the end of its chances. I'm laying the price and grabbing the spread on Portugal here.

This is a 10* BLOOD-BATH on Portugal +0.5.

The set-up: Both opening games of this series have been competitive and I expect that to again be the case here as it shifts to Montreal. These teams are very evenly matched. On both ends of the ice. Goaltending is a "wash," and the Knights perceived advantage on the offensive end is also a "wash" here on the road in the Habs' own building. 

The pick: Montreal though is 7-2 in its last nine as a home underdog in the +125 to +145 range. I lay chalk when I think that the situation calls for it and while I do think Montreal has what it takes to take Game 3 outright, I'll lay the price and grab the insurance.

This is an 8* PUCK-LINE DESTRUCTION on the Canadiens.

The set-up: This is a complete pitching mismatch. Jose Berrios (7-2, 3.49 ERA) struck out eight over seven innings while allowing just two runs in a win over the Astros on Saturday. He has 81 K's over 77.1 innings of work and he's 3-1 with a 2.84 ERA on the road. 

The pick: Mike Foltynewicz (1-7, 5.48) gave up eight runs over 2.2 innings in a 12-1 loss to the Dodgers in his last start. He's 1-4 with a 6.92 ERA in all night games. The Twins can't take anyone for granted after a terrible start to the season. They just broke a three-game slide with a 7-2 win at Seattle on Wednesday and I like them to build off that with their ace on the mound. Lay the price with confidnce, the play is Minnesota.

This is a 10* AL BLOWOUT GAME OF THE YEAR on the Twins.

The set-up: With a chance to end this series here and now, I like the Hawks chances to do just that. This is a well-coached team that continues to get underestimated, both by its opponents, and the bookmakers. It's Atlanta that is controlling the pace and flow of this series and I say nothing changes here in this crucial contest. Philadelphia has the best player on the floor in Joel Embiid, but the Hawks counter with the second best player in this series in Trae Young. 

The pick: The bottom line here though is that Atlanta's defense has been the difference-maker for it during the playoffs and I like the Hawks to continue that run here in this crucial Game 6. Outright win is completely possible obviously, but let's grab the points just in case.

This is a 10* PLAY-BOOK on the Hawks.

The set-up: Kevin Durant is playing like a man possessed right now and with James Harden on the mend, the Nets will look to take advantage a shaky Bucks team that will be focussed on pushing the pace itself. THe Nets have played fantastic defense to this point, but fatigue plays a factor here in my opinion finally.

The pick: And it won't be these talented offenses that suffer, it'll be their defensive play. These guys can run and gun all day, but when they get tired, it's their defensive play that goes down the tubes. With Giannis desperate to avoid defeat, look for this faster-paced affair to go "over" the number sooner, rather than later.

This is a 10* TOTAL COACHES CORNER on the OVER Nets/Bucks.

The set-up: Game 1 went "under." Game 2 went "over." I think Game 3 follows suit here and will fall "under" once the final horn sounds. New York isn't going to win this series by turning this into a "track meet" with the Lightning. Instead, they'll have to grind out victories and wait for the Bolts to make the first mistake. 

The pick: These are two of the best defensive clubs in the NHL, and this decisive Game 3 has all the makings of a lower-scoring affair. Finally, take note that the Isles have seen the total go "under" in eight of their last 11 in trying to revenge a two goals or greater road loss to an opponent. This number is high.

This is a 10* TOTAL PLAY-BOOK on the UNDER Lightning/Islanders.

The set-up: I think the Giants will not only win this game, but win by a significant margin. The visitors hand the ball to Zac Gallen (1-1, 3.04 ERA), who returns from a stint on the injured list. Gallen struggled with control before landing on the IL, but he's now been given the green light to go here. He'll be on a short leash though, which definitely swings the odds in favor of Kevin Gausman today. 

The pick: Gausman (7-1, 1.43) is coming off his first loss of the season, giving up only two runs over four innings to the Nationals. To go along with his minuscule 0.78 WHIP, he also owns a sharp 97:18 K:BB over 81.2 innings of work. Look for Gausman to go deep, for Gallen to the get the hook early, and for the home side to post a big winning victory.

This is a 10* RUN-LINE DESTRUCTION on the Giants.

The set-up: Netherlands has the home advantage and while it didn't look overly impressive in its win over Ukraine, it still got the job done. I think it continues to build momentum here in this favorable matchup. If recent history is any precedence, then the Netherlands has to be feeling confident here, as they've won the last six straight head-to-head meetings. 

The pick: Austria is an organized team, but after punching its first Euro Cup victory ever over North Macedonia last time out, this absolutely sets up as a letdown spot in my estimation here. Conversely, Netherlands won't be taking anything for granted after its "close call" last time out. Considering the circumstances listed above, I have no issues at all in laying this larger price.

This is a 10* GAME OF THE MONTH on Netherlands.

The set-up: Yes, the Golden Knights looked fantastic in Game 1, but I believe that Montreal can make adjustments to be much more competitive in Game 2. The Habs won't be panicking. Montreal has played extremely well, as it had to battle back from a 3-1 deficit to beat high-powered Toronto in seven games, before then sweeping the high-powered Jets in four. 

The pick: The Habs are also 7-2 in their last nine in trying to revenge a two-goals or greater loss to an opponent. Look for Montreal to at the very least, take this one into extras. 

This is a 10* PUCK-LINE ELITE OF THE ELITE on the Canadiens.

The set-up: This series has been interesting. Atlanta has clearly played extremely well ever since it hired Nate McMillan as coach. This has been a back and forth series. Game 1 went "over," Game 2 went "under," Game 3 went "over" and Game 4 went "under." This pattern is now set to continue in this all-important Game 5 in my opinion. 

The pick: And that's based upon this strong trend that's emerged, but also because of a couple strong O/U ATS trends each team has exhibited in this position, as ATL has seen the total go "over" in eight of its last 11 after holding its previous opponent to 100 points or less in a SU/ATS victory in its last outing, while Philly has seen the total fly "over" in 14 of its last 21 in trying to revenge a road loss against an opponent in which it was held to 100 points or less in. This number is low.

This is a 10* TOTAL PLAY-BOOK on the OVER Hawks/76ers.

The set-up: Sometimes I completely dissect a play, getting into every tiny detail I can. Other times I think a simpler approach, an "eye test" approach is the best way to handicap a contest, and for me that's the case in this particular situation. Yes, the Jays are a dangerous hitting team, but the massive talent discrepancy on the mound between these starting pitchers has me all over Gerritt Cole and the Yanks this evening. Cole is 7-3 with a 2.31 ERA. 

The pick: Ross Stripling is 2-3 with a 4.91 ERA for the Blue Jays and he continues to struggle as we head towards the mid-summer classic. Note that the Yanks are also 7-2 in their last nine road games by Cole with a money line in the -155 to -165 range. 

This is an 8* DESTRUCTION on the Yankees.

The set-up: Despite both Kyrie Irving and James Harden sitting this one out, I think Kevin Durant and his cast of role players can take this inconsistent Bucks team down to the wire. 

The pick: I think that Blake Griffin, Jeff Green and Joe Harris will have significantly better games at home. The Bucks are just 2-5 ATS in their last seven on the road. Clearly, the outright win isn't out of the question, but also note that Brooklyn is 13-3 ATS in its last 16 at home. I'm grabbing the points.

This is a 10* PLAY-BOOK on the Nets.

The set-up: Both teams came into this three-game series red hot, but I think the White Sox will bounce back here after yesterday's 5-2 opening loss. Shane McClanahan (2-1, 4.54 ERA) gets the nod for the visitors, and he gave up three runs over three innings in a fortunate no-decision to the Nationals on Wednesday. It was his second straight poor outing and I think he'll continue to strulggle, especially in this difficult road venue. 

The pick: Give me Dallas Keuchel (5-1, 4.14) who is coming off back-to-back quality starts. I love Keuchel here at this price, lay it with confidence.

This is a 10* ELITE OF THE ELITE on the White Sox.

The set-up: I had a play on the Islanders on the "puck-line" in Game 1, and while we didn't even end up needing the extra goal-and-a-half in their 2-1 win, I think that the now revenge-minded Lightning are well worth the price of admission in Game 2. The Isles have been playing at an extremely high-level and a drop off is imminent here in my opinion. 

The pick: The bottom line is though, Tampa had its chances in Game 1. It has to be feeling confident here though as it's gone 7-2 in its last nine in trying to revenge a home loss against an opponent in which it was held to one or no goals in. I'm laying the price and expecting a winner of the "rocking chair variety."

This is an 8* DESTRUCTION on the Lightning.

The set-up: Portugal is out to defend its title with an opening clash against Hungary in Budapest. Portugal will be determined to get out to a quick start here considering the competition in Group F, and because of that, I'm expecting a higher-scoring affair here. 

The pick: Both teams desperately need a victory here in this opening game Portugal has to face Germany after this, followed by France. It's now or never for Portugal. But an upset here for Hungary would clearly be monumental as well. I say these teams push the pace and this one flies over sooner, rather than later.

This is a 10* EURO-CUP TOTAL OF THE WEEK on the OVER Hungary/Portugal.

The set-up: I think the extra time off here benefits the underdog. The Habs are going to try and win this game by a "war of attrition." Montreal is red hot and I think it has the unit to upset the Golden Knights at their own game. 

The pick: I had a play on the Islanders on the PUCK-LINE last night as well, but didn't even need the extra goal and a half. Here though, we very well could. In a contest which I see being decided late or in extra time, I'm laying the price for the extra 1.5 goals.

This is a 10* PUCK-LINE DESTRUCTION on the Canadiens.

The set-up: The Hawks have been fantastic at making game-to-game adjustments since Nate McMillan took over as head coach. I think that happens again here. Atlanta is now desperate to avoid an 0-3 hole and I like the Hawks to at the very least, take this one right down to the wire. Note that Philly is just 2-7 ATS in its last nine after back-to-back SU/ATS victories in a row as well. 

The pick: ATL on the other hand is 7-3 ATS in its last ten in trying to revenge a 15 points or greater SU/ATS home loss to an opponent. Look for Trae Young to have a monster game for the Hawks' defense to finally show up as well. Outright is obviously possible, but grab the points.

This is a 10* COACHES CORNER on the Hawks.

The set-up: I think off of yesterday's 18-4 Jays victory, that Monday's series four-game series finale sets up as much more of a "duel." Toronto hands the ball to Alek Manoah (1-0, 3.14 ERA), who bounced back from a bad outing to allow two runs over five innings while striking out four in a no-decision vs. the White Sox last time out. He so far has a decent 16/7 K/BB over 14.1 innings of work. 

The pick: Clearly, Boston's bullpen can't be happy with yesterday's result. This pick is based mostly upon the steady play of Boston starter Nathan Eovaldi (7-3, 4.11), who gave up five runs over six innings in a loss to Houston in his last outing. It was only the third home run he's given up all season though, and note that he's been at his best in all "night" games with a 3-1, 2.99 ERA record. Finally, note that Boston has seen the total go "under" in eight of its last ten after a ten runs or greater home loss in its last outing. This number is high, the play is the under.

This is a 10* TOTAL OF THE YEAR on the UNDER Jays/Red Sox.

The set-up: This is a major mismatch on the mound. The Cubs are off a win yesterday over the Cards and I love them to do it again here. Carlos Martinez (3-6, 6.21 ERA) has struggled big time this year, especially on the road where he's just 1-4 with a 7.15 ERA.

The pick: Zach Davies (3-3, 4.45 ERA) comes in off his best start of the season, allowing no runs over six innings in a victory over San Diego. Davies is a solid 2-1 with a 3.58 ERA at home. Lay this price, but expect a big home side blowout.

This is a 10* PLAY-BOOK on the Cubs.

The set-up: Up and down the line, these clubs are very evenly matched. The Islanders have the lockdown defense to push the Lightning to the brink in this series. I also like New York to push the Bolts in Game 1. Note that the Isles are 7-1 in their last eight when playing with three or more days of rest.

The pick: Conversely, the Lightning are only 2-6 in their last eight when playing with five or more days of rest. I'm banking on the defensive-minded visiting side, to at the very least, take this one into extra time.

This is a 10* PUCK-LINE DESTRUCTION on the Islanders.

The set-up: Brooklyn looked like it was going to roll over the Bucks in this series, but then it shifted to Milwaukee and the Bucks somehow managed to hold on for the 86-83 victory. It was a back and forth game and really, Milwaukee did not win that one by very much obviously. But I think that Game 4 finally sets up as a great spot for the Bucks to bounce back with a convincing win.

The pick: Brooklyn's role players aren't contributing and it's two super stars are now worn out, as the continued absence of "The Beard" is now taking its toll on the Nets. I like Giannis and company to lay the hammer down here. Outright win is obvious, but let's grab the points anyways.

This is a 10* COACHES CORNER on the Bucks.

The set-up: No need to overthink this one in my opinion. The massive talent discrepancy on the mound absolutely justifies in laying the 1.5 runs for near pick-em price. 

The pick: Trevor Bauer is 6-4 with a 2.40 ERA this year and he's been better at home than on the road for the Dodgers. Kolby Allard is 1-2 with a 3.41 ERA for the Rangers, but he's a poor 0-1 with a 5.51 ERA on the road. Lay the RUN LINE here on the home side and expect a blowout.

This is an 8* RUN-LINE DESTRUCTION on the Dodgers.

The set-up: I think this game is going to come down to the wire. I really like the Clippers here to bounce back in Game 3, but the Jazz aren't going to go down without a fight. Donovan Mitchell was slightly injured at the end of Game 2 as well, so his health is a concern here for the visiting side. 

The pick: Instead of playing the spread option though, I'm going to lay the price here and take Kawhi Leonard and Paul George on the money-line. The Clippers are a near-perfect 7-1 ATS in their last eight when trying to revenge back-to-back losses to an opponent, but as I say, we're not even worrying about the spread here. Lay the price and expect a win!

This is an 8* MONEY-LINE DESTRUCTION LA Clippers.

The set-up:

The pick:

This is a 10* COACHES CORNER on the White Sox.

The set-up: This has been an interesting series so far. Atlanta is an interesting "X Factor" that's come out of no where to be extremely competitive. Atlanta won Game 1 after jumping out to an early lead and then maintaining that pace throughout. I expect a similar game-plan here, as Philly will try to do everything it can to contol the pace and run its offense through its big man Joel Embiid. 

The pick: However, the shift in venue favors a faster-pace in Game 3, one which I absolutely believe will be dictated by the home side. One last thing from a trend based stand-point, note that ATL has seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 11 in trying to avenge a ten points or greater road loss to an opponent. This number is a little low.

This is a 10* TOTAL PLAY-BOOK on the OVER 76ers/Hawks.

The set-up: I think Lucas Giolito (5-5, 3.88 ERA) and the White Sox are well worth the price of admission in this spot. Giolito is out for revenge here after giving up four runs over seven innings in a loss to Detroit at home last Saturday. He did go on to strike out nine. Overall Giolito has been great this year and a bounce-back is imminent in my opinion, as note that he's 2-1 with a tiny 2.79 ERA in all "night" games this year. 

The pick: Tarik Skubal (3-7, 4.33) gave up one run throwing opposite Giolito last Saturday for the victory, spanning five innings. He also had 11 strikeouts. Skubal has been better at home than on the road, but definitely better in all "day" games (2-1, 2.05), than in "night" contests (1-6, 5.91). Look for Giolito to come in fired up here and to easily outduel his inconsistent counterpart. 

This is a 10* GAME OF THE MONTH on the White Sox.

The set-up: Turkey is the youngest team in the Tournament. Italy is a young team as well. Both clubs have played well coming into the Euro, but to open things off, I think the favored Italians will be prepared to take care of business on home soil. The last two head-to-head meetings between the countries have ended in a 1-1 draw, so Italy won't be taking anything for granted here either. 

The pick: Of their 13 international meetings leading up to this moment, the Italians have lost only once, while the Turks have drawn seven times. Turkey plays a "war of attrition" style, but I don't think that's going to cut it here against a highly-motivated Italian side. This tournament is going to feature a few big upsets, but not on Opening night. Lay the price with confidence.

This is a 10* BLOOD-BATH on Italy.

The set-up: I think the Clippers have a legitimate shot at taking Game 2 outright. LA let a lead slip away in Game 1, and it had a shot at sending it to OT late, but ultimately while LA covered in Game 1, it lost outright. Kawhi Leonard and Paul George continue to play well though and the Clippers have the defensive toughness to make adjustments and play better against Donovan Mitchell and the Jazz. 

The pick: LA is also 7-2 ATS in its last nine in trying to revenge a road loss against an opponent in which it allowed 110 or more points in. I say that this one comes right down to the wire (at the very least) as well, and that's why I'm recommending to grab as many points as you can.

This is a 10* COACHES CORNER on the LA Clippers.

The set-up: I expect Las Vegas to double down on the defensive end in an attempt to end this series here and now. The Knights stumbled in Game 1, losing 7-1, and while the lost Game 2 in OT, they've still been the much better team in this series from the get-go. Las Vegas is the No. 1 defensive team in the league, and I expect it to put on a classic clinic in front of the home town crowd here. 

The pick: Colorado is on the ropes and I think that it's fatigued majorily. Look for this one to fall well "under" once the final horn sounds.

This is a 10* TOTAL PLAY-BOOK on the UNDER Avs/Knights.

The set-up: The Blue Jays won 6-2 last night, getting five runs over the final two frames to secure the victory. Hyun Jin Ryu though is coming off his worst start of the year and I think he'll struggle again here in this difficult road venue. Dallas Keuchel has been as solid as Chicago could possibly hope for and he comes in off a victory. I say these pitchers are evenly matched, and that swings the value to the revenge-minded home side.

The pick: Which is 7-2 in its last nine in trying to avenge a four runs or greater home loss to an opponent. Bank on Keuchel outlasting Ryu and for the home side to bounce back after yesterday's defeat.

This is a 10* AL BLOOD-BATH on the White Sox.

As of now, the Islanders are underdogs heading home leading 3-2 in their division finals. Bruins out-shot New York 44-19, and had a sub-par performance from the usually dependable Tuukka Rask.

If the Bruins are all about the fire power of the perfection line, the Islanders show a balanced attack. While young gun Barzal has stepped up in the last two games, seven forwards are major players in Isles post season scoring.

Will there be a home advantage? Bear in mind the Isles’ regular season record of 21-4-3. Special teams? If you face the Bruins, you can count on PP. opportunities. Last night the Islanders converted 3 of 4 opportunities. The Isles are also one of the least penalized teams in the NHL. Last night Boston was 1 for 2 on the power play.

Isles goaltender Varlamov has been more than steady in net. Tukkaa Rask is now listed as ‘questionable” for game 6. Believe of that what you may..

One last factor to consider is the ‘Barry Trotz’ impact. A fine strategist with a steadying effect, he is a little like an extra player.

The wager

Play the islanders to win

The set-up: I'm going to lay the reasonable mid-sized price for the extra run-and-a-half of insurance. Robbie Ray (3-2, 3.57 ERA) enters off a strong start over the Marlins on Tuesday, allowing one run and striking out nine over six innings. I like Ray to carry that momentum over here. 

The pick: Carlos Rodon (5-2, 1.98) has been excellent for the White Sox this year, but his early numbers are already taking a hit, as he comes in off his worst start of the year after allowing five runs over six innings. I think Ray can match Rodon inning for inning (at the least), and in a situation like that, I think the value swings to the undervalued underdog.

This is an 8* RUN-LINE DESTRUCTION on the Blue Jays.

The set-up: The Hawks destroyed the 76ers in Game 1. Well, they did for three quarters anyways, and then they took the foot off the gas and allowed Philly to make a game of it. Atlanta never trailed though and I think the Hawks have a legimtate shot at taking Game 2 as well. Atlanta looked especially good on the defensive side for three quarters. 

The pick: Is 76ers big man Joel Embiid back to 100% health? He wasn't in top form in Game 1 and the uncertainty in Game 2 is definitely not going to help this 76ers offense. When Embiid is in the line-up, the offense is run through him, but his injury makes it awkward and difficult to game-plan in the short-term. The Hawks are 100% healthy, hungry and Nate McMillan has been brilliant in making adjustments from game to game and I expect him to have another masterpiece planned tonight. Grab the points.

This is a 10* COACHES CORNER on the Hawks.

The set-up: With a chance to eliminate the dangerous Hurricanes, I think the defending champs will not only win Game 5, but I expect them to win big, getting a couple extra emtpy netters in the process. Carolina is on the ropes and I don't think it has the heart left in it to compete from a 1-3 hole. 

The pick: Carolina got out of its normal game-plan in Game 4, having to push the pace to try and avoid the 1-3 hole, and it'll have to abandon its normally tight defensive game-plan here as well. And that I think is not going to work against the Champs, who are versatile and can adapt. Great value, expect Tampa to move on with a decisive victory.

This is a 10* PUCK-LINE BEST OF THE BEST on the Lightning.

The set-up: So far home ice advantage hasn't meant a whole lot in this series, but I do think it will in this game. Boston's superior offensive numbers at home will push it over the top here. New York has struggled with consistency from game-to-game in the playoffs, especially on the road. 

The pick: Boston is 7-2 in its last nine in trying to revenge a road loss against an opponent as well in which it was held to one or less golas in. Look for Boston to respond in a major way on home ice and lay this price with confidence.

This is an 8* DESTRUCTION on the Bruins.

The set-up: I expect an all out offensive war between these two evenly matched clubs. The Avs jumped all over the Knights in the first game of this series and won by a score of 7-1, but since then it's been a very competitive series. The last two games have fallen under th enumber, but I expect a wide-open affair here finally in Game 4.

The pick: The Avs have to be careful here to not have a letdown. They'd won six in a row and looked well on their way to winning a seventh and now they'll have to match that intensity from this now confident Knights team. Everything points to a high-scoring offensive affair today.

This is a 10* TOTAL PLAY-BOOK on the OVER Avs/Knights.

The set-up: I'm expecting an absolute war until the final horn. In fact, this game could even go to extra's, that's how competitive it's been. LA's only averaed 108 points here during the playoffs, while Dallas has averaged 115 on the road.

The pick: The Mavericks are also 7-2 ATS in their last nine in trying to revenge a home loss against an opponent in which they were held to 100 points or less in. Outright victory? Of course. Dallas has already proven it can win here. In the end though, let's grab the points.

This is a 10* COACHES CORNER on the Dallas Mavericks.

The set-up: The Reds have taken the first three games of this series, but I say that the Cardinals dig deep here and salvage in the fourth. I also think that as good as Wade Miley (5-4, 3.26) has been this year for the Reds, John Gant (4-3, 1.60) has been even better for the Cardinals. 

The pick: Finally, note that St. Louis is 7-1 in its last eight in trying to avenge three-straight losses to an opponent. As Bob Barker used to say: "The Price is right!" as well. 

This is a 10* AFTERNOON BLOOD-BATH on the Cardinals.

The set-up: This can still be a pitchers duel and go "over" this tiny number, and that's exactly what I'm expecting here. It's impossible to say anything negative about either Jacob deGrom of the Mets or Joe Musgrove of the Padres. Each has been damn near perfect. Regression is likely to come, but not anything terrible. All of that said, this play is based entirely on some very strong O/U trends that each team has exhibited in this spot.

The pick: As note that the Mets have seen the total go "over" the number in eight of their last 11 in trying to revenge a shutout road loss to an opponent, while San Diego has seen the total go "over" in seven of its last ten after shutting out its opponent in its previous outing while scoring two or less runs in the process. Look for this one to sneak over in the latter frames.

This is a 10* TOTAL ELITE OF THE ELITE on the OVER Mets/Padres.

The set-up: We haven't yet really witnessed the true power of these Brooklyn Nets. Kyrie Irving, KD and James Harden only played in eight regular seaosn games together, and Brooklyn still finished No. 2 in scoring behind the Bucks. Both teams rolled through their first round opponents, but was most impressive to me was how well the Nets played defensively against the Celtics.

The pick: The Heat were completely pathetic. I think Boston could have beaten Miami if they played in the first round. I expect the Nets' Big 3 to take this personally and to send an early message. A great "situational" play here, so lay the points.

This is a 10* ELITE OF THE ELITE on the Nets.

The set-up: Carolina lost both games at home, but managed to gut out an OT win in Game 3. Suffice it to say, everything points to a letdown here for the visiting side in my opinion. The Lightning are experienced and will feel confident that they can bounce back here, as note that they're 7-2 in their last nine in trying to avenge a home loss to an opponent. 

The pick: Carolina is a fantastic team, but the Lightning are just too deep and experienced. I expect a decisive win here, so I'm laying this price without any worries.

This is an 8* DESTRUCTION on the Lightning.

The set-up: Colorado won Game 1 by a score of 7-1, and then it managed a 3-2 OT victory in Game 2. The Knights aren't going to be able to sit back and hope that Colorado makes the first mistake in Game 3, because the Avs are much too disciplined. Also, they have a two-game lead. Instead, Las Vegas will be forced to push the pace of this contes from start to finish.

The pick: And it's interesting to note that the Knights have seen the total go OVER the number in seven of their last ten in trying to revenge an OT road loss against an opponent. I think we'll see a similar final combined score as what we saw in Game 1.

This is a 10* TOTAL COACHES CORNER on the OVER Avs/Knights.

The set-up: If the Clippers are going to have any chance at pushing this to a Game 7, in my estimation they have to shut down Luka Doncic and the Mavericks perimeter game. LA is filled with some tough defenders and I believe Kawhi Leonard and company will be up to the task. Dallas has been playing well defensively as well so far in this series, and that trend is going to continue here as well as the Mavs desperately try to end this series tonight. All signs from a situational angle point to a defensive affair.

The pick: LA has interestingly seen the total go "under" the number in seven of its last ten in trying to revenge a home loss against an opponent. I'm not sure if the Clippers can in fact win this game or not, but everything points to a similar final combined score as what we saw in Game 5 in my opinion.

This is a 10* TOTAL PLAY-BOOK on the UNDER Clippers/Mavericks.

The set-up: Luis Castillo (1-8, 7.22 ERA) has been an absolute disaster for the Reds, most recently getting shelled for four runs over five innings in a loss to the Cubs. He's been terrible anywhere he's thrown this season, but especially on the road, going 0-4 with an 8.92 ERA away from friendly confines.

The pick: The Reds have to be feeling confident with Kwang Hyun Kim on the mound. He's 1-3 with a 3.65 ERA, and while he does coe off his worst start of the season, allowing four runs over five innings in a loss to the Diamondbacks, I like him to bounce back here at home where he's 1-0 with a 1.90 ERA thus far. Look for the Cards to avenage last night's loss with the superior starter on the hill.

This is a 10* ELITE OF THE ELITE on the Cardinals.

The set-up: The Reds are off a 17-3 loss at home to Philadelphia two nights ago. That snapped a two-game win streak. The Reds are just 12-15 on the road this year. The Cards are 15-10 at home. St. Louis has lost three of four and after getting smashed 14-3 at the Dodgers yesterday afternoon, allowing 11 runs in the first inning, a little "home cooking" is just what the doctor ordered to get back on track. 

The pick: Adam Wainwright (3-4, 4.22 ERA) has been good at home by going 2-2 with a 2.41 ERA. I like him over Vladimir Gutierrez (0-1, 1.80) who has looked decent over two major league starts, but who still is completely unproven. Look for the Reds to take advantage and lay the price.

This is a 10* NL BEST OF THE BEST on the Cardinals.

The set-up: These teams are evenly matched, but this is the biggest spread so far in the series. I think the outright upset is very possible here, but in the end I'm going to grab the points. The Nuggets have a chance to close out this series here and now after their 147-140 OT win. Damian Lillard had a truly monster game for the Blazers, and Portland still couldn't pull off the upset. I don't see the Blazers being able to push this one to a Game 7. 

The pick: Nikola Jokic continues to put up impressive numbers and Denver's depth and experience is paying huge dividends right now. The Nuggets are also 7-2 ATS in their last nine as a road dog in the +4.5 to +6.5 points range. In a contest which I see being decided late, I'm grabbing the points.

This is a 10* COACHES CORNER on the Nuggets.

The set-up: The first two games of this series have fallen under the number, but everything points to more of a wide-open affair here in Game 3 in my opinion. Carolina has its back against the wall here. Another loss would be just too devastating. The Hurricanes will look to push the pace from the outset, as they try and break down this unusually stout Lightning defense. 

The pick: Note that Carolina has seen the total go OVER the number in eight of its last 11 in trying to avenge back-to-back losses to an opponent. The Lightning's strength has been their ability to play any style of game, so an up-tempo contest is just what the doctor ordered for them in Game 3 as well. Everything points to this one blasting past sooner, rather than later.

This is a 10* TOTAL OF THE MONTH on the OVER Hurricanes/Bolts.

The setup: If you aren’t yet on the Manoah bandwagon, check this game out. After a brief stint in Minors, Manoah forced his way into the Jays’ beleaguered rotation with three strong starts in Triple A. His first major league game was versus the Yankees in Yankee stadium. Nerves? Not a chance. Nervy, more likely. Manoah delivered 6 innings, 2 hits, 0 runs and 7 strikeouts, and baffled the Yanks from start to finish.

Pitching for the Marlins is Pedro Lopez, no slouch either. An unlucky 1- 3 this season, with an ERA of 2.71, Lopez in his last three starts has delivered 19 innings, 4 earned runs, 3 walks, and 16 strikeouts. The Marlins’ bullpen is much improved over last year, and the total has gone under 3 of the last 4 of Marlins games.

The pick: The Jays have never faced Lopez, and while they have the potential of formidable offense in 2021, they are still a very young team. They have a tendency to struggle the first time against an unfamiliar pitcher. This total is indeed high in my opinion.

This is a 10* IL TOTAL BEST OF THE BEST on the UNDER Marlins/Jays.

The setup: While this is only Alex Manoah’s second start, don’t look for the Marlins to score many runs on Wednesday. Manoah was unhittable in the minors and formidable against the Yankees. The Jays bullpen has been sharp when not overtaxed. They are well rested at the moment after some long outings by the starters and the odd day off.

Contrary to his win/loss record, Pedro Lopez has pitched well this year, especially in his last three starts. The Jays can score runs, but they are a young team and often struggle against an unfamiliar pitcher. The Jays haven’t face Lopez before.

Marlins are struggling; .429 on the road, 4 straight losses, scoring only 9 runs in the last 5 games. The total has run Under in 3 of 4 of their last games.

THe pick: I don’t see this as a high scoring game, but the Jays’ big bats will win out. Take the Blue Jays to win.

This is an 8* DESTRUCTION on the Blue Jays.

The set-up: Seattle managed a 6-5 extra-innings win here over the A's yesterday, but with what I believe to be the superior starter on the hill for it on Tuesday, I look for Oakland to bounce back in this favorable spot. The visitors hand the ball to Chris Bassitt (5-2, 3.21 ERA), who shutout the Angels over nine innings while striking out nine in a victory Thursday. The right-hander owns a sharp 74/16 K/BB this season and I expect him to easily get the better of his counterpart. 

The pick: Who is the erratic Marco Gonzalez (1-3, 5.40), who returns after a short stint on the IL. Note tha the's 0-1 with a 5.25 ERA in all "night" games. Oakland is also 7-2 in its last nine in trying to revenge an extra innings road loss against an opponent in which it allowed six or more runs in. I'm laying the price and expecting a decisive victory.

This is an 8* DESTRCUTION on the A's.

The set-up: I think LeBron James and the Lakers have more than enough fight in them to at the very least, take this one right down to the wire. AD can still return to this series, and LA will be looking great heading home to Game 6 if it can somehow pull off an upset. I don't see much of a drop off here with Andre Drummond ready step and fill the void left by Davis. 

The pick: Chris Paul and Devon Booker are going to have their hands full with LA's elite defense. The Lakers are one of the best in defending the perimeter and I believe the visiting side will double down on that end of the court tonight. I'm not counting out King James in this big game situation. While the outright victory is possible, in the end let's grab the points.

This is a 10* PLAY-BOOK on the Lakers.

The set-up: It was a tight defensive affair in Game 1, but with their backs against the wall and looking to avoid the 0-2 hole, I believe the Hurricanes will push the pace in Game 2, and ultimatley this will result in this total eclipsing the posted number. Two great teams. On both ends of the ice. Game 1 was competitive, and I believe Game 2 will be as well.

The pick: But as mentioned, I expect a lot more pucks to find the back of the net. Note that Carolina has seen the total go OVER the number in eight of its last 11 in trying to revenge a home loss against an opponent in which it was held to one or less goals in. A faster pace = more shots and more shots = more goals.

This is a 10* TOTAL COACHES CORNER on the OVER Lightning/Hurricanes.

The set-up: Game 1 had the potential to "under" the number, but the Bruins scored three unanswered goals late in the third period for the big 5-2 victory. The Islanders are the No. 2 defense in the league still though and if they want to steak a game here in Boston and secure a "split," they're going to have to get back on track and dicate the tempo of tonight's contest. 

The pick: The Bruins were terrible over the first half of the season, but they've been the best team in the league over the second. Boston is equally adept on both ends of the ice and can play any style of game. One thing to note here though is that New York has seen the total go "under" in eight of its last 11 in trying to revenge a three-goals or greater road loss against an opponent. All signs point to the under as the correct call in Game 2.

This is a 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK on the UNDER Islanders/Bruins.

The set-up: I say the Wizards don't go down without a fight here. Note that Philadelphia is just 2-7 ATS in its last nine after three or more straight SU/ATS victories in a row. 

The pick: Washington is also 8-3 ATS in its last 11 in a "double revenge" spot against an opponent, so the fact that this is a "triple revenge" spot makes this play even stronger. I think the outright win is a possibiity as well. I say Washington fights until the final moments. Grab the points.

This is a 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on the Wizards.

The set-up: Both of these starting pitchers has been decent this year, but  I believe these hungry line-ups will garner the most headlines in tomorrow's summaries. The visitors go with Vince Velasquez (2-0, 2.95 ERA) who went six shutout innings against the Marlins on Tuesday. It was easily his best start of the year. After a couple of shaky campaigns, Velasquez looks to finally have found his groove again. Hard to say anything negative about him at this point, I just think he's in the wrong place at the wrong time essentially.

The pick: Wade Miley (4-4, 3.50) gets the nod for the home side and he returns from a short stint on the IL with a sprained foot. He'll be on a bit of leash here in this outing. Also note that he's 0-2 with a 4.91 ERA in all "day games" this season. This one has "over" written all over it.

This is a 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK on the OVER Phillies/Reds.

The set-up: The Nets suddenly are facing some adversity. The Celtics finally made some adjustments and combined with a little "home cooking" Jayson Tatum and company looked much better in their upset Game 3 victory. And now I believe Boston will keep the foot on the gas here to try and even things up.

The pick: The Nets have all the talent in the World, but dominating in the regular season and doing well in the playoffs are two entirely different things. Brooklyn's weakness all year has been on the defensive end and I expect it to regress here in this now pressure situation. While the outright is possible, in the end I'll recommend to grab as many points as you can.

This is a 10* PLAY-BOOK on the Boston Celtics.

The set-up: I'm expecting a high-scoring shootout between these two rivals. These teams were led by their offenses this year. Tampa got uneven defensive play, but fantastic offensive play in its opening series victory. Expect this trend to continue. 

The pick: Also note that it sets up well from a trend-based stand-point, as the Bolts have seen the total go OVER in eight of their last 11 when playing with three or more days of rest.

This is a 10* TOTAL COACHES CORNER on the OVER Bolts/Canes.

The set-up: The Phillies have been trading wins and losses over their last seven games, and I expect that trend to continue here after yesterday's 5-3 defeat in which they allowed two runs in the bottom of the eighth. Tampa has a four-game set at division rival New York starting tomorrow, which sets this up as a "look-ahead" as well for the home side. 

The pick: I'll call Eflin and Patino a "wash" here for arguments sakes, but will point out that the Phillies are 7-2 in their last nine IL games in trying to avenge road loss against an opponent in which they allowed five or more runs in. The stage is set for a minor upset.

This is a 10* UNDERDOG BEST OF THE BEST on the Phillies.

The set-up: The Leafs got down early in Game 5 and they were never able to recover against a desperate Montreal side. With a chance to still close out this series in Game 6 though, I think the "better" team will deliver on the road. The Leafs have the superior numbers on both ends of the ice, and they're 7-2 in their last nine in trying to revenge an OT home loss against an oppponent. 

The pick: Montreal's biggest knock this year has been it's game-to-game consistency, and note that the Habs are a terrible 0-4 in their last four home games against a team with a road winning percentage of greater than .600. Montreal is also just 1-6 in its last seven on one days rest. Lay the price, expect a blowout!

This is an 8* DESTRUCTION on the Leafs.

The set-up: Philadelphia won the first two games at home, but I expect a minor letdown here in its first game away from friendly confines. Russell Westbrook is listed as questionable for this game, and while I do expect him to play, whether he does or not I still love Bradley Beal and the revenge-minded Wizards to claw tooth and nail at home, and at the very least, take this one right down to the wire. 

The pick: Note that the Wizards are also 7-2 ATS in their last nine in trying to revenge back-to-back losses to an opponent. With their backs against the wall, look for the Wizards to put forth their best effort so far in this series and in the process, easily cover this spread. Grab the points.

This is a 10* COACHES CORNER on the Wizards.

The setup: At 13-1, it is hard to bet against the Rays, but with the Phillies’ ace, Zack Wheeler on the mound, I am saying “go with the pitching” Wheeler, 4-2 , with an era of 2.38, has done all that has been asked of him this year. Expect 7 plus innings with great control, and remember, the Rays strike out a ton.

Ryan Yarbrough, Saturday’s starter, is hardly the shining light of the Rays rotation. At 2-3 and with an ERA of 4.27 he is seriously outclassed on the mound.

The pick: The Phillies’ bats are better against a lefty. I believe the Phillies will get to Yarbrough early, and Wheeler will give them his usual solid start. The line is softening in Philadelphia’s favor. Watch the line, then take the Phillies.

This is a 10* PLAY-BOOK on the Phillies.

The set-up: I love Madison Bumgarner (4-4, 4.53 ERA) to help his team break its horrible 11-game slide today with a win over Johan Oviedo and the visiting Cardinals on Friday night. Oviedo has just been called up from Triple-A Memphis to make this start. Over 15.2 innings of work in the big leagues this year he has an poor 13/9 K/W. 

The pick: Bumgarner is coming off an outing to forget in which he allowed seven runs over six innings. He only allowed one earned run over the first five innings, but he came apart in the sixth vs. the Rockies. Note though that Bumgarner has been at his best at home this season, going 2-1 with a 3.89 ERA. I'm banking on Arizona breaking the slide.

This is a 10* ULTIMATE OF THE ULTIMATE on the Diamondbacks.

The set-up: "Momentum" is a very real, tangible factor in sports. Minnesota has won back-to-back games, and I'm not buying into any "fatigue factor" here in Game 7. The Wild dominated on both ends of the ice in their 3-0 win in Game 6 and I expect another battle until the end here as well. 

The pick: Las Vegas is on the ropes, all the pressure is now on the Knights to perform in this spot. Minnesota though is 7-2 in its last nine after shutting out its previous opponent at home. Throw the seasonal stats and averages out the window here. The momentum that Minnesota has created is REAL. Outright victory is possible, but let's lay the price for the extra 1.5 goals of insurance. 

This is an 8* DESTRUCTION on the Wild PUCK-LINE.

The set-up: So far Brooklyn has clearly been the better team. I knew the Nets could score, but it's been their defensive play which has been the suprising thing over their first two victories in this series. I didn't think though that the Celtics would win this series, but I also don't expect it go get swept. This is it, do or die for Boston, as clearly an 0-3 hole would be just too big for it to climb out of. 

The pick: Boston is 7-2 ATS in its last nine in trying to avenge back-to-back SU/ATS losses to an opponent. The Nets somehow managed to hold Boston star Jayson Tatum to just nine points in Game 2, but I expect an entirely different effort from the All Star at home. Expect a much grittier effort from Boston today (and grab as many points as you can!)

This is a 10* TOTAL PLAY-BOOK on the Celtics.

The set-up: The first two games of this series have fallen "under" the number, but I look for the shift in venue to lead to a more high-scoring contest in Game 3. Yes, the Lakers are one of the best defensive clubs in the league, but note that Phoenix has seen the total go "over" in eight of its last 11 in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent in which it was held to 105 or less points in. 

The pick: The Suns improved dramatically on the defensive end this year, but the Lakers can now smell the blood in the water after their Game 2 wind and I look for them to kick it up a notch on the offensive end now. Note as well that the Suns have seen the total go "over" the number in seven of their last eight following an ATS loss. This number is low.

This is a 10* TOTAL BLOCKBUSTER on the OVER Suns/Lakers.

The set-up: Clearly, this is a great pitching matchup. Shohei Ohtani (1-0, 2.37 ERA) has been unreal for the Angels, but his line-up is depleted and I think that A's starter Chris Bassitt (4-2, 3.69), can easily match him inning for inning. I trust the A's bullpen more, and clearly Oakland has a significant advantage at the plate as well right now. 

The pick: Oakland just snapped a three-game slide with a win over the Mariners, while the Angels enter off a highly-satisfying victory last night. The A's are 4-1 in Bassitt's last five home starts vs. a team with a losing record, while LA is 0-5 in its last five vs. a right-handed starter. Lay the price.

This is a 10* BEST OF THE BEST on the Athletics.

The set-up: Montreal took Game 1, but since then it's been all Toronto. The Leafs are the better team in this series, but I don't expect the Habs to go down without a fight here. Montreal has the defense and goaltending to steal this one outright, but in a contest which I envision being decided late or even in extra time, I'm going to lay the small price for the 1.5 goals in my back pocket. 

The pick: Note as well that Montreal is 7-2 in its last nine in trying to avenge a shutout loss of three or more goals to an opponent as well. 

This is an 8* DESTRUCTION on the Montreal Canadiens.

The set-up: The Clippers are clearly getting too much respect here after their 113-103 Game 1 loss. Dallas has a golden opportunity to take a commanding series lead here and I think the pressure is fully on the home side. Note that Dallas is 7-2 ATS in its last nine off a ten points or greater SU/ATS road victory. 

The pick: The Clippers actually lost the last two games of the regular season on purpose to avoid playing the Lakers, and now they're going to pay the price. Note that the Mavericks are 5-2 ATS in their last seven on the road, while the Clippers are just 1-4 ATS in their last five at home. Outright is possible, but let's grab the points.

This is a 10* COACHES CORNER on the Mavericks.

The set-up: Two of the first three game shave gone "under" the number, but I expect a more wide-open affair in Game 4. The Leafs have one of the best offenses in the league and while the Canadiens have been stout defensively so far in this series, the Habs are going to have to go on the attack here now after dropping back-to-back games. Note that they've seen the total go "over" in eight of their last ten in trying to revenge two-straight losses against an opponent. 

The pick: With the home side pushing the pace of this one, expect this total to fly "over" the number sooner, rather than later. 

This is a 10* TOTAL PLAY-BOOK on the OVER Leafs/Habs.

The set-up: I think this is a great situational play. Steven Matz hasn't been perfect this year, but his numbers are decent. He's been better on the road than at home as well and his team will be ultra-motivated here to get back on track after losing eight of ten. Here's a great spot to bounce back in.

The pick: The Yanks have won nine of their last ten. They're coming off a sweep of the White Sox. Corey Kluber has been fantastic this year, but after throwing his first career no-hitter last time out. Toronto has the offense to match pace, and I think it offers great value to bounce back here.

This is a 10* UNDERDOG BEST OF THE BEST on the Jays.

The set-up: Down 3-1, I like the Wild to fight tooth and nail here and at the very least, take this one to extra periods. Minnesota managed the Game 1 upset victory here on the road, but since then it's been all Las Vegas. These teams actually have very similar numbers on both ends of the ice, so the 4-0 shutout loss in Game 4 is a bit surprising really.

The pick: Note as well that Minnesota is 7-2 in its last nine in trying to revenge a shutout home loss vs. an opponent. I think the Knights have a small letdown here as well after three straight victories. Lay the price, get the extra insurance.

This is an 8* FAN APPRECIATION PUCK-LINE DESTRUCTION on the Wild.

The set-up: The Heat lost Game 1 by a score of 109-107. I say that's a moral victory for the Heat, as both Jimmy Butler and Bam Abedayo had horrible games. And despite that, Miami took the mighty Bucks to OT on their own floor and even had a shot at the outright victory. Last year the Heat took out the Bucks in the Eastern Conference Finals. Miami coach Eric Spolestra was masterful with his adjustments from game-to-game last year, and with a fully healthy club to draw upon here, I expect him to do just that.

The pick: The Bucks have to get a huge game every night from Giannis. I'm positive the Milwaukee star will deliver with another big performance here, but I think Miami's depth and experience can at the very least, once again keep this one close until the final moments. Grab the points.

This is a 10* COACHES CORNER on the Heat.