The set-up: Pittsburgh dropped its first two games, but it then won its second two. All four Penguins' games have flown over the posted number this year, but I think that this game vs. the Rangers, who hit the road for their first trip away from friendly confines, sets up as more of a defensive affair. The Rangers are off a 4-3 loss to the Devils. Alexandar Georgiev posted a shutout in his first start, but allowed four goals in that setback. New York will be especially focussed here, as dating back to last season it has just one road win over its last seven.

The pick: Pittsburgh's mortal enemy is Washington, and after two straight victories over it, including a 5-4 shootout win in the second, I think a predictable mental letdown is in the cards here vs. the lowly Rangers. Let's not over-react to early offensive and defensive numbers, but instead use our heads and look at the situation as the way we base our selection today. I'll finally point out as well that the Pens have seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 11 home games after scoring four or more goals in an overtime or shootout in their previous outing. This number is high, the plays is the under.

This is a 10* TOTAL BLOOD-BATH on the UNDER Rangers/Penguins.

The set-up: The Knicks have had two days off to prepare for this one, and they also play in Sacramento tomorrow night. I look for New York to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish here as it takes advantage of a Warriors team that enters off a highly satisfying 121-99 win at home over the Spurs just last night.

The pick: Both teams have been better than most expected this year. The Knicks have been the league's punching bag for years, but they aren't a complete pushover this season. The Knicks are off a 91-84 win over Orlando and note that they're 7-2 ATS in their last nine after holding their previous opponent to 85 or fewer points in a SU/ATS victory. A great situational play in my opinion and while the outright victory isn't out of the question, in the end, I'll recommend grabbing as many points as you can.

This is a 10* NON-CONFERENCE GAME OF THE MONTH on the Knicks.

The set-up: Is Tampa the better team in this matchup? For sure. Is Columbus the "hungrier" team in this matchup though? I'd say yes for sure as well. Tampa plays its first game in almost a week, its first true road game of the season and I think it'll be a bit flat after easily handling the Blackhawks at home in two straight to open the season.

The pick: Columbus is just 1-3 after falling 3-2 in OT at Detroit in its latest action. Note that the Blue Jackets are interestingly 8-2 in their last ten after scoring two or less goals in an OT loss in their previous outing. I think the situational factors working in favor of Columbus make it the correct call here, but in this case, I'm going to lay the price for the extra 1.5 goals of insurance (just in case we see another OT period.)

This is an 8* DESTRUCTION on the Blue Jackets.

The set-up: I think Wichita State comes in complacent here after its 19 points win at home over Tulsa, moving it to 8-3. Memphis is 6-3, and it'll be eager to return to form here after losing by one point to Tulsa on the road. The Shockers have covered the spread in all four of their road games this year, but I think that now swings the value to the home side here, as oddsmakers over compenstate in my opinion. 

The pick: Both teams are decent defensively, and overall they're evenly matched. But the Tigers are the hungrier team here and note that they're 8-3 ATS in their last 11 home games after scoring 60 or less points in a SU/ATS road loss in their previous outing. This one has "letdown" written all over it for the Shockers in my opinion. Lay the short points.

This is a 10* BLOWOUT ELITE OF THE ELITE on Memphis.

The set-up: The Coyotes are 1-1-1 and the Knights are 2-0. Arizona has a great mix of veterans and younger players. Arizona also has a great goaltending duo in Darcy Kemper and Antti Raanta. 

The pick: The Golden Knights biggest issue is on the defensive end of the ice. The Knights offense is great, and the goaltenders are solid as well. I expect Arizona to bring its best effort here. This is another one which I foresee being decided late or in extra time.

The is a 10* PUCK LINE play on the Arizona Coyotes.

The set-up: The Sharks are the much more motivated side here after losing this game 5-4 on Monday night. San Jose is now 1-2, while St. Louis is 2-1. To say this is a "revenge" game would be a bit of an understatement, as San Jose has now lost six straight in this series. 

The pick: Both team's defense and goaltending looked poor on Monday night and the Sharks had a golden opportunity to actually win that one outright. Regardless, this one has all the makings of another highly competitive affair that's once again decided late and as such, I'll recommend to lay the reasonable mid-sized price for the extra 1.5 goals of insurance.

The is an 8* PUCK LINE play on the Sharks.

The set-up: Are the Leafs the better team here? Probably. They have the better record in the early going and they had slightly better odds to win the Stanley Cup before the season started. But Edmonton comes in for sure as the "hungrier" team after scoring 1-3. The Leafs have won three of four and I think they'll be a tiny bit complacent here. 

The pick: Edmonton hasn't had much luck playing in Toronto the last few year's, but this season is unlike any other for everyone. I'm not going to overreact to the Oilers' early season issues, and expect a much better showing here after their 3-1 home loss to the Habs in their last game. Lay the price for the extra 1.5 goals of insurance in a contest which I see being decided late or even in extra time.

The is a 6* PUCK LINE play on the Oilers.

The set-up: This is expected to be the return of Kyrie Irving to the Nets line-up after he missed seven games due to personal reasons. Jarrett Allen and Taurean Prince face off against their former team after being dealt to the Cavs in the Harden deal. The Cavaliers are 6-7, most recently coming off a gritty 106-103 win over the Knicks. The Cavaliers are the best defensive team in the league, allowing just 103.9 PPG, and I think they're going to bring their "A" game tonight as they look to pull off the outright upset.

The pick: Brooklyn looks really good, but I think consistency against weaker teams is going to be an issue for it this year. Irving is a distraction at this moment, not a benefit. I'll stop short in calling for the outright upset, but everything points this one being a lot closer than what this spread would suggest in my opinion. So grab the points!

This is a 10* UNDERDOG ULTIMATE BLOWOUT on the Cavaliers.

The set-up: Duquesne is the "hungrier" team in this matchup after back-to-back losses. The Rams have won two of their last three. The Rams are averaging 74.5 PPG this year, but note that they're a poor 1-4 on the road this season. Duquesne is only averaging 62.8 PPG this year, but note that Dukes are 7-2 ATS in their last nine home games after back-to-back SU/ATS losses. 

The pick: This is also a revenge game for the Dukes after the Rams blew them out in this game last year. The Rams' terrible play on the road is a very real factor here and while I do think the outright win is possible, in the end I'll recommend that you grab as many points as you can.

This is a 10* COACH'S CORNER on Duquesne.

The set-up: New Orleans finally broke a five-game slide with a 128-123 win at Sacramento in its last game. The Pelicans got 31 points from Zion Williamson, while Brandon Ingram added 22. Eric Bledsoe was also big with 21 points. Now New Orleans is in Utah for two straight, as these teams will play here again on Thursday night. This is their first game against each other this season. Last year the Jazz took three of four, but all were pretty competitive, including in Utah's 106-104 win back on July 30th of 2020 in the final one there.

The pick: The Jazz lost 112-100 at the Knicks back on January 6th and they haven't lost since, not only winning five in a row, but also covering in five straight. So now I think public perception here has pushed up this line on the home side after its recent win streak, and I think the value has now swung to this hungry underdog team. Williamson is finally starting to his stride, so I expect him to build off his latest game and at the very least, take the Jazz down to the wire. This one definitely sets up well for the visiting side.

The is a 10* ATS BLOOD-BATH on New Orleans.

The set-up: Duke is off a 74-67 loss at Virginia Tech in its latest action. It was the Blue Devils first conference loss. A couple of bright spots in defeat were Jeremy Roach, who had 22 points, and Matthew Hurt, who added 20 points and 11 rebounds. That was only the Blue Devils second road game of the year, and they looked shaky, going just 8 of 29 from 3-point range. But now the Blue Devils come to Pittsburgh focussed and hungry to bounce back. 

The pick: The Panthers enter having won six of their last seven, including two straight, most recently the 96-76 home beating of Syracuse as a four-point dog. Pittsburgh's been playing well of late, but the Blue Devils have done well in this matchup for years, going 8-2 the last ten in the series straight up. That included a 79-67 home win last year. Duke isn't the same Duke team as in year's past, and Pittsburgh is playing really well at the moment, but I think that off the loss to the Hokies, that the correct call in this matchup is for Duke to bounce back. 

The is a 10* ELITE OF THE ELITE on Duke.

The set-up: This is an interesting season, as "motiavtion" is a tangible factor with teams playing each other at least twice in every meeting this season. The Penguins are now 1-2 this year after squeaking by the Penguins 4-3 in a shootout on Sunday. Pittsburgh though has seen the total fly "over" in all three games it's played in so far this year and I think that trend of high-scoring games ends here finally. Note that the Pens have seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 11 home games after playing to three or more straight "overs," and off a shootout victory. 

The pick: Washington is 2-1, and two of its game have flown "over" the number so far, including the OT loss to the Pens last time out. In its first series it hammered Buffalo 6-4 in the first game, before then holding on for a 2-1 win in the second. I expect a similar final combined score in the second game here vs. Pittsburgh. The situational factors all add up to this big early season TOTAL OF THE YEAR opportunity.

The is a 10* TOTAL OF THE YEAR on the UNDER Caps/Pens.

The set-up: The NHL season is a different one for sure. Teams will face each other at least twice in a row in the same building (not always on back-to-back nights.) After this the Habs actually play three straight in Vancouver, so I think the visiting side is going to get caught looking ahead to that difficult journey. The Oilers on the other hand are now just 1-2 after getting destroyed 5-1 by Montreal two nights ago. The exact same thing happened to Edmonton on opening night, as it lost badly to the Blues in that first game, before then bouncing back and easily taking the second. Suffice it to say, I'm expecting the exact same thing to happen here. 

The pick: Note as well that Montreal is just 2-7 in its last nine after scoring five or more goals in a four-goals or greater road victory in its last outing. This one is extremely important to Edmonton and less so for the Habs. I'm laying the very reasonable price on the much "hungrier" team.

The is a 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on the Edmonton Oilers.

The set-up: When both teams play to several "overs" or "unders" in a row leading up to a game, that's when a contest comes onto my radar as one to look into further. That's the case here, as both the Spurs and Blazers enter this one having played to a few straight "unders" in a row. This is a big game for both teams though as they look to earn a victory here and now I think this number has gotten a little too low. 

The pick: Both teams take care of the ball really well, and that usually translates into more shot production from the floor as well. More shots = more points. Additionally note that the Blazers have seen the total go "over" the number in seven of their last ten after playing to or more straight "unders" in a row. This number is low, the play is the over.

The is a 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK on the OVER Spurs/Blazers.

The set-up: UConn has only played eight games this year, while most other teams have played closer to 14. The Huskies are also without three of their guards due to injury issues. St. John's is averaging 79 PPG, while allowing 78.5. The Huskies have averages 73.13 PPG, while allowing 61.75. 

The pick: UConn's only loss this year was a 76-74 setback to Creighton. Are the Huskies the better team here? Yes. But the lack of overall play has hampered them overall this year. St. John's has the offense to compete with any team in the nation and I expect it to give the home side everything it can handle today. Probably no outright, but much closer than expected. Grab the points.

The is a 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on St. John's.

The set-up: Neither team has played to many high-scoring affairs of late, but I think that trend changes tonight. This is a big time game for both teams. The Jazz had a 3-1 lead over the Nuggets in the Playoff Bubble last year, before then famously collapsing and allowing Denver to advance to play the Clippers. Utah is shooting the ball well from range this year, No. 4 in the league at 39.6 percent. Utah's won four straight, so expect that confidence and momentum to translate into offensive production on the floor. 

The pick: Denver has won three of its last four as well. When making a play on an "over," recent form is always a big factor I look at with both sides and in this case, this is exactly what we want, as each team enters "on fire." Note as well that Utah has seen the total eclipse the posted number in seven of its last ten after a three-games or longer SU unbeaten streak. Considering the circumstance, this number is a little low.

This is a 10* TOTAL DESTRUCTION on the OVER Jazz/Nuggets.

The set-up: This is a big game for two legendary QB's. Drew Brees is reportedly retiring at the end of the season. The Saints won both games over Tampa Bay in the regular season, so Tom Brady will definitely be out for some final revenge here now that the playoffs are here. I think that both Brady and Brees are going to be the main focal points in tomorrow's summaries, as I'm expecting an old fashioned shootout in New Orleans on Sunday night. 

The pick: Note as well that Tampa has seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 11 after scoring 30 or more points in a SU/ATS road victory in its last outing, while the Saints have seen the total go "over" the number in 14 of their last 21 after allowing ten or less points in a SU/ATS victory in their last game. Considering the circumstances listed above, I do indeed feel this number is a little low.

This is an 8* ULTIMATE TOTAL on the OVER Bucs/Saints.

The set-up: The Browns played to a high-scoring victory on the road in Pittsburgh, but I believe they'll have a much more difficult time producing that same energy here in this difficult road venue. The Browns played terrible defensively last time out and the last thing they'll want to do here in my estimation, is to turn this into another "track meet" and try to hang with Patrick Mahomes and the defending champs on their own field. That's never going to work. It worked against Pittsburgh, but if the Browns are going to pull off another unlikely upset, they'll have to run the ball first while on offense, while hoping to win the field position battle as well. 

The pick: KC has an underrated defensive unit this year. It's been burned a few times, but overall the Chiefs once again exceeded their season win total and that was due in large part to an improved defensive unit. I'll point out as well that Cleveland has seen the total go "under" the number in 11 of its last 17 road games after scoring 40 or more points in a SU/ATS victory in its last outing. From my calculations, this number is indeed a tad high.

This is a 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK on the UNDER Browns/Chiefs.

The set-up: Memphis hasn't played since December 29th, when it beat USF by a score of 58-57. Tulsa is the perfect opponent to get warmed up against, as it's now 7-4 after getting destroyed 72-53 to Wichita State as a 3.5 point dog on Wednesday. This is a revenge game for the Tigers as well after Tulsa scored the 56-49 upset road victory last year. Memphis averages 72.1 PPG, while allowing 64.1. 

The pick: Tulsa's offense is poor, averaging only 68.7 PPG, while it concedes 61.3. Look for the longer layoff to in fact help here in the final stages of the regular season and expect Memphis to exact its revenge from last year's upset at home.

This is a 10* COACH'S CORNER on Memphis.

The set-up: The Capitals blew out the Sabres in their first game of the year, and then managed to hold on for the 2-1 win in the second. Now 2-0 and on the road again, I think the Capitals have a predictable letdown here. The Pens on the other hand are 0-2 after losing two in a row to the Flyers, most recently a 5-2 setback. Motivationally speak, this one sets up very well for Pittsburgh early today. 

The pick: Clearly if we went just on what these teams have done over the first two games, Washington is by far the better side. But let's not over-react after just two games. Washington is still probably the better overall team, but the Penguins are going to have a decent season and I expect them to dig deep here and find a way to get the job done for their first win of the year(great price too.) 

This is a 10* DESTRUCTION on the Pittsburgh Penguins.

The set-up: The Canucks are 1-1 after splitting in Edmonton. Now the Canucks have to play two straight in Calgary. The Flames jumped out to an early lead in their opening matchup in Winnipeg, but a late third-period meltdown has them winless and hungry for a win on their own ice. I'm primarily a situational handicapper, so in my opinion, this one sets up really well for Calgary. I think these teams are evenly matched, but now the Canucks have to face their ex-goaltender on the road. 

The pick: The Canucks are a young team, which has issues on the defensive end of the ice. Note as well that the Flames are 7-2 in their last nine after allowing four or more goals in a one goal loss in their previous outing. I'm banking on Calgary finally breaking through with a victory. The price is definitely right on this one as well.

This is an 8* PLAY-BOOK on the Calgary Flames.

The set-up: The Ravens finally got over the hump in Tennessee in their Wildcard matchup, revenging last year's Playoff loss, as well as a regular season setback. The Ravens have been consistently inconsistent all season though and while the managed the win and cover on the road last time out, I think they'll have a much more difficult time trying to do that a second time. The Bills have improved dramatically on the defensive side of the ball and this Ravens' offense is suddenly struggling to put points on the board. 

The pick: These teams are similar in many respects, but the way that these two starting QB's have played this season, I'm giving the big nod to Josh Allen over LaMar Jackson. Allen has been getting the job done in evvery respect this year and I expect him to step up here at home and deliver. Instead of laying the points though, I'm going to recommend playing the home side on the very reasonable money-line price. 

This is a 10* BLOCKBUSTER on the Bills MONEY-LINE.

The set-up: I had a play on the "over" in these team's game on Thursday night, and while that one came up short in the Predators 3-1 victory, I believe that their second matchup will be a much more wide open affair, as Columbus will be out to push the pace and get a lot more pressure on net. Columbus has in fact seen the total fly "over" the number in eight of its last 11 road games after being held to one or less goals in a road loss in its last outing.

The pick: The Predators offense looked better as the game wore on, so I think the "rust" is now definitely off for both of these talented and deep teams. All signs point to this one flying over sooner, rather than later.

This is a 10* TOTAL COACH'S CORNER on the OVER Jackets/Predators.

The set-up: These teams played on Thursday night and the undermanned Rockets scored the 109-105 victory. Both teams have been playing to several "unders" of late, and that's definitely helped in driving this number lower than it normally would be in my opinion. The value now finally swings the other way here, as I expect the Spurs to push the pace here as they look to avenge the loss on Thursday. 

The pick: Note as well that San Antonio has seen the total soar "over" the number in ten of its last 14 after scoring 105 points or less in a SU/ATS home loss to an opponent in its last outing. The Rockets are going through player changes, but as I said, I'm expecting more of a "shootout" than defensive affair in these team's second matchup in as many days. This total is a little low.

This is a 10* SOUTHWEST TOTAL OF THE YEAR on the OVER Rockets/Spurs.

The set-up: Green Bay will look to get out and put the Rams' talented defense on its heels from the get-go. Green Bay will dial up the pressure and try to get an early lead and LA is going to then be forced to play from behind. The Rams are intimately familiar with the Seahawks, but not quite at all with Green Bay. In fact, these teams haven't even played against each other since 2018. Green Bay was 7-1 at home SU and 5-3 ATS. The Packers guaranteed home field advantage with a resounding 35-16 win at Chicago, facing a stiff Bears defense, very similar to this Rams' unit. From a situational standpoint, in my opinion this one definitely sets up as more of a "shootout" than a "chess match." 

The pick: I'll point out as well that LA has seen the total go "over" the number in seven of its last ten after playing to three or more straight "unders" (has now played to four straight "unders" after beating the Hawks last weekend), while Green Bay has seen the total eclipse the number in 14 of its last 21 home games after scoring 30 or more points in a SU/ATS victory in its last outing, while also playing with two weeks off. This number is low in my opinion.

This is an 8* SPECIAL TOTAL on the OVER Rams/Packers.

The set-up: How do you make your O/U picks? What do you base it on? Do you simply look at what each team's point's average is, combined with how much they give up on average and try to figure it out like that? Knowing those stats is just one of the steps that I personally use when making an O/U pick. I also look at what each team has done leading up to that game. I look at the injury report. I look at the past history between each other. And I also look at trends. Both teams have been playing to a lot of high-scoring games of late, but that is helping in driving this posted total a little too high now in my opinion. 

The pick: Note as well that The Citadel has seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 11 road games after playing to four or more straight "overs," while VMI has seen the total dip below the posted number in five of its last six home games after allowing 80 or more points in a home loss in its last outing (lost 80-78 to Wofford). For all the reasons listed above, the play is the "under."

This is a 10* TOTAL ELITE OF THE ELITE on the UNDER The Citadel/VMI.

The set-up: Both teams come in struggling and in need of a victory. The Wolves are down in the 14th spot, while the Baggies are a whole six points adrift of the safety line, with a poor -28 goal differential. Unfortunately for both teams, they're dealing with plenty of injury issues, AND COVID related problems.

The pick: I think each club will play cautiously here. This has all the makings of a "war of attrition" and in a case like that, the "draw" option (especially at this price!) is always the way to go in my opinion. I've looked at every EPL game on the board this weekend, and this first one on Saturday morning offers the best value for sure to end up in a DRAW.

This is a 10* PLAY OF THE WEEK on the DRAW West Brom/Wolverhampton.

The set-up: The Oilers lost to the Canucks on Opening night, but then bounced back in the second game. Colorado lost to St. Louis on Opening night, and now I look for it to do the same here, bounce back in fine fashion and get a lot more pucks on net in Game 2. These teams will play each other seven more times after this game, but I expect Colorado to risk life and limb here to avoid the 0-2 start to their conference rival. 

The pick: Colorado has done extremely well in this spot for bettors as well, going 4-0 in its last four after scoring two or fewer goals in a loss in its last outing. The Avs have also won 45 of the last 65 games when playing on one days worth of rest. I think the Blues are just happy that they've already earned the split, while it's "all hands on deck" for the Avs. Lay the price.

This is a 10* GAME OF THE MONTH on the Avalanche.

The set-up: This is a big total, but these are two teams which can score. Dallas' scoring has been down of late, but with the return of Kristaps Porzingis and off a 104-93 win over Charlotte last time out, and off three straight victories, I expect a more wide-open affair in this non-conference matchup. This is a featured game on Friday night, as the eyes of the basketball World will primarily be focussed on this contest. I expect each side to puash the pace and I don't see a lot of defense being played tonight. 

The pick: I'll point out as well that Dallas has seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 11 road games after winning and covering in its last outing, while holding its opponent to under 95 points, while Milwaukee has seen the total eclipse the number in seven of its last ten after playing to three or more straight "unders." This number is a low.

This is a 10* NON-CONFERENCE TOTAL OF THE YEAR on the OVER Mavs/Bucks.

The set-up: I had a play on the Flyers in their victory over the Penguins on Opening night. That total flew well over the number, but I expect a bit more of a defensive affair this time around. Pittsburgh jumped out to an early lead right out of the gate, so Philadelphia will be much more prepared I think from the start. 

The pick: While Carter Hart and Tristan Jarry allowed a combined nine goals in the firs tgame, we can expect a much better performance from whoever these teams put in net tonight. Situationally this one sets up well for a tighter, lower-scoring game, but note as well that the Pens have seen the total dip "under" the number in nine of their last 14 road games after allowing six or more goals in a three-goals or greater loss in their last outing. For all the reasons listed above, the play is the under.

This is an 8* TOTAL PLAY-BOOK on the UNDER Pens/Flyers.

The set-up: Green Bay started off the season 0-9, but it comes to town having won three straight. Suffice it to say, I expect the Phoenix to finally stumble here after three wins in a row. Most recently Green Bay posted an 87-78 victory over Oakland. Detroit's been off since December 27th, when it lost to Oakland 83-80 as a 1-point favorite to fall to 1-7 overall. The Phoenix have covered or pushed in six straight games, and I can't see that streak continuing here vs. this ultra hungry Mercy side. 

The pick: Detroit is also 7-2 ATS in its last nine after allowing 80 or more points in a SU/ATS loss in its last outing. The Titans have failed to cover in four straight, but the extra time off will be beneficial here in my opinion. This is the first of two games, and I like the "hungrier" home side to risk life and limb here to defend its turf and to pull away down the stretch. Lay the points.

This is a 10* HORIZON LEAGUE GAME OF THE YEAR on Detroit.

The set-up: After winning three-straight, I think that App State finally stumbles here. South Alabama enters desperate to break a three-game slide. The Mountaineers most recently took two close games over Georiga Southern. South Alabama struggled to contain Coastal Carolina in its most recent back-to-back losses, but it catches a break today facing the Mountaineers. 

The pick: App State allows teams to shoot 61.1 percent from inside the arc, so I look for Michael Flowers and the home side to push the pace here as they look to get back into the winners circle. I'll point out as well that App State has struggled mightily in this spot for bettors, going just 4-10 ATS in its last 14 road games following a three or more straight home contests. I like South Alabama to bounce back here and take advantage of App State's porous interior defense. Lay the short points.

This is an 8* DESTRUCTION on South Alabama.

The set-up: I'm calling for an upset on Opening Night in Las Vegas. The Golden Knights are one of the strangest organizations in sports to me. I've never seen a team achieve so much success and respect so quickly. Las Vegas famously made it all the way to the Stanley Cup in its inaugular season just a few year's back and it's been among the league's best ever since. All teams and organizations, now matter how great though, eventually go through a rebuilding or down period (just look at the Red Wings). 

The pick: A big drop off is going to happen at some point for Las Vegas and I think that that imminent slide starts this year. Anaheim has been floundering the regain its own direction the last couple of seasons, but it enters healthy and I think it's primed here for an upset. I think these teams are more evenly matched than what this line would suggest, which swings the value in favor of the hungry dog in my opinion. 

This is an 8* DESTRUCTION on the Anaheim Ducks.

The set-up: Both teams have big expectations this year. Each of these teams will face each other ten times this season and I'm expecting some offensive fireworks to kick things off. The Jackets will be especially motivated to get the season rolling on the right foot after only averaging 2.57 GPG last season. Overall the Jackets allowed 2.61 GPG. 

The pick: The Predators are 7-2-1 the last ten in this series. Last year Nashville averaged 3.07 GPG, while allowing 3.1. Nashville has averaged three goals per game the last four in this series, while the Jackets have averaged four goals in thie series over the last four. Finally note that the "over" has hit in eight of these team's last ten against each other as well. This number is low, the play is the over.

This is a 10* TOTAL ELITE OF THE ELITE on the OVER Columbus/Nashville.

The set-up: These two Central teams will become very familiar with each other this season. Each is loaded with talent at every position. With no preseason, I think it'll be these World-class goaltenders that are the main storylines in tomorrow's summaries. 

The pick: These teams have played to several "overs" in the past, but the different circumstances to the way this season is opening points to a defensive affair on Opening night in my opinion.

This is a 10* play on the UNDER Blues/Avs.

The set-up: Vancouver was the better, more consistent team last year. Edmonton is loaded with talent, but it's issues the last few seasons have come on the defensive end of the ice. Vancouver lost a few players in the offseason, but they added a big player in goaltender Braden Holtby, brought in as a veteran presence to bring stability to the backend. And that's going to be especially important early on in the season. 

The pick: Connor McDavid and Leon Draisaitl are amazing talents, but the Oilers get a bit thin after that. Goaltending falls to Mikko Koskinen and Mike Smith, so I'm giving Vancouver the nod in the net tonight and that's the deciding factor in this evenly matched contest. 

This is an 8* play on the Vancouver Canucks.

The set-up: No one is going to be caught looking past the Hornets anymore after winning and covering in four straight. That includes a 118-99 victory over the Mavericks. Dallas is dealing with a few COVID issues, but the good news is that co-superstar Kristaps Porzingis returns to the line-up to help out Luka Doncic. 

The pick: Charlotte has been better than advertised this year. LaMelo Ball has quickly found his footing and Terry Rozier has been fantastic as well. Charlotte is shooting the ball well and I expect that to continue here against this middle of the road Mavs' defense. The Mavs' two best perimeter defenders are out for this one, so expect Charlotte to be committed to the three-ball throughout. This number is low in my opinion.

This is a 10* TOTAL COACH'S CORNER on the OVER Dallas/Charlotte.

The set-up: George Mason has lost three straight to fall to 5-5 on the year. La Salle had its game against Fordham cancelled, then it most recently lost to UMass. The Explorers are oly averaging 67.6 PPG this year, as La Salle does not have a single player averaging in double-figures this season. 

The pick: The Patriots have struggled with consistency as well, but they have two players averaging in double figures (keep your eyes on Jordan Miller, who is averaging 15.1 PPG for George Mason). Finally note that the Patriots are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games following a double-digit home loss. Home court advantage can't be overlooked either. I'm laying the points and expecting a decisive home side victory.

This is a 10* MID-MAJOR DESTRUCTION on George Mason.

The set-up: The Pens failed to make the playoffs last yeaer, falling in four outints to the Habs in the qualifying round. Tristan Jerry is now the new No. 1 goalie in Pittsburgh and I think he'll have his hands full with this tough nosed home side. Philly had its best year in a decade last season, eventually losing to the Islanders in seven games. 

The pick: The Flyers have a major advantage in net with Carter Hart in my opinion. Note that Philly allowed the seventh lowest amount of goals in the league last year, while netting the seventh highest. I don't think that home ice can be overlooked as a very real deciding factor here on opening night. 

This is an 8* play on the Flyers.

The set-up: Indianapolis has a game in Sacramento against a desperate Kings team on Monday and I suspect that the Pacers will have their hands full with Sacramento, as it entered that one having lost two in a row and four of its last five. So from a situational standpoint alone, I absolutely feel this sets up great for Stephen Curry and the Warriors. Golden State has been better than most predicted I think. Especially after the first couple of games, as it appeared as if the Warriors would once again be a terrible team without Klay Thompson in the line-up. But that's obviously not the case, as Curry has been excellent and the younger pieces around him are definitely playing a lot better after that first awkward week.

The pick: Curry had a 62 point game last week and while he was just 2 of 16 for 11 points vs. the Raptors in his last outing, Golden State still dug deep and pulled out the 106-105 victory.   Toronto was desperate in that game as well to break out of its early season struggles, so the fact that the Warriors won that game despite Curry having such a poor performance I think speaks volumse to the current level that the Warriors are playing at right now. I believe the Pacers lay everything on the line to try and secure the victory against the weaker Kings on Monday night, and then I look for them to come out fatigued on Tuesday against this red hot Warriors side.

This is a 10* NON-CONFERENCE BEST OF THE BEST on Golden State.

The set-up: This pick is primiarly based upon the "situation" that each club finds itself in coming into this contest. It definitely sets up well for the Spurs in my opinion. Oklahoma City has won three straight, so this does set up as a bit of a natural letdown spot in my opinion. And with the Lakers in town tomorrow night, the Thunder are clearly going to get caught "looking ahead" to that much more high-profile contest vs. the defending champs. 

The pick: The Spurs on the other hand have won three of their last four, but they come in off a 96-88 setback at Minnesota in their last outing, dropping their last two ATS. Note as well that the Spurs are sharp 7-1 ATS in their last eight after scoring 90 points or less in a SU/ATS loss in their last outing. I'm laying the points and expecting a decisive victory for the visiting side.

This is a 9* PLAY-BOOK on San Antonio.

The set-up: I like Wisconsin the underdog here, I think it sets up well for it to keep this one close down the stretch. Michigan has won and covered in four straight. In fact it's 10-0 straight up and 8-2 against the spread. Most recently the Wolverines pulled away for an 82-57 win at home over Minnesota. After this game, Michigan has the rematch with the Gophers in Minnesota this weekend, so it does in a small way set up as a look ahead spot for the home side. Wisconsin has been playing well this year also, it's 10-2 straight-up, but so far it hasn't been as kind to bettors, going just 5-6-1 against the spread. It's actually been trading wins and losses against the spread over its last six games, and while it did win 80-73 in overtime against the Hoosiers in its last outing it didn't cover the nine-point spread. So this pattern continues here, I like the Badgers to bounce back and get a cover here now as well.

The pick: These teams last played just before the Pandemic hit in February 2020 and the Badgers managed the 81-74 outright upset in that one. I'll stop short in calling for an outright upset here , but in my opinion, I think everything points to a really tight game.

This is a 10* BLOWOUT ELITE OF THE ELITE on Wisconsin.

The set-up: These two non-conference opponents enter this game on other ends of the spectrum right now. Indiana has been doing well and Sacramento has been struggling. Indiana though had a two-game win streak snapped last time out in a 125-117 setback to the Suns. The Pacers had played five of their previous six at home and now they hit the road for an extended road swing, including a more high-profile game in Golden State tomorrow night. This absolutely (in my opinion anyways), sets up as a classic "letdown/look-ahead" spot for the visiting side. 

The pick: Conversely, the Kings come in desperate to break their recent shoddy play which has seen them drop five of their last six, including five in a row ATS. As mentioned off the top, this is what I believe to be a fanastic "situational" play and while the outright win isn't out of the question obviously, I will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can. 

This is a 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on the Sacramento Kings.

The set-up: The Cowboys are 7-2, but they return home for their first home game since December 17th. Most recently Wyoming splitting with Fresno State last weekend. The Broncos are 10-1 overall and 6-0 in conference play. This is a big game for the Cowboys, who I expect to double-down on the defensive end. BSU has won five-straight in this seris, so not only does Wyoming have motivation in its first home game back in a month, but it also plays with revenge.

The pick: And that's important in my equation here, as I believe the last thing the Cowboys will want to do is to turn this one into a "track meet" vs. the high-flying Broncos. Note as well that Boise State has seen the total go "under" the number in seven of its last eight after a six games or longer SU unbeaten streak. This number is a tad high in my opinion.

This is a 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK on the UNDER Boise State/Wyoming.

The set-up: What more can be said about these two teams which literally hasn't been said a million times at this point by every talking head and so called expert out there? The strengths and weaknesses and cast of characters, including coaches, is well known even to casual College Football fans. These teams are both really similar as well as far as their numbers. Frankly, it wouldn't be too difficult to write a convincing argument for either of these teams to win and cover this contest. I'm not here to give you individual player breakdowns, as I think that's meaningless at this point. I'm here to tell you why these two teams are going to play to a lower-scoring game, instead of a higher-scoring one.

The pick: The extra time off between games is going to have a bigger detrimental effect on these offenses in my opinion. This can still be a higher-scoring game, and stay "under" this sky-high total, and that's exactly what I'm expecting. These are two of the best defenses that each of these offenses has seen all year and I expect those units to be the main storylines in tomorrow's summaries. This number is too high.

This is a 10* TOTAL OF THE MONTH on the UNDER OSU/Bama.

The set-up: I got down early and have an unfavorable line, as shortly after taking Cleveland, it was announced that few players, including its head coach, had COVID. The bulk of Cleveland's talent will be on the field of play and clearly the Browns will be out for an outright upset here. These two teams know each other intimately. The Steelers stumbled down the stretch, but managed to win in Week 17. Pittsburgh has a couple COVID issues as well. 

The pick: The Browns have an offense which can keep pace with any team in the league. Cleveland's defense is also underrated in my opinion. I'm expect this one to come down to whichever of these division rivals has its hands on the ball last, so in that scenario, I'm definitely grabbing up the points!

This is a 9* BLOOD-BATH on the Cleveland Browns.

The set-up: I like the 3-6 Sycamores to fight hard and to comfortably sneak in through the backdoor down the stretch. Loyola is 7-2 and it's won four straight, but winning can breed complacency. Indiana State is for sure the "hungrier" dog in this fight, as it's lost four straight. Twice to Drake and twice to Missouri State. 

The pick: The Ramblers only scored 57 points in their last game against North Texas and I think they'll have their hands full here against a Sycamore's team that's 7-2 ATS in its last nine after three or more SU/ATS losses in a row. I think this one sets up great for Indiana State in a number of ways. I'm grabbing the points for sure.

This is a 10* GAME OF THE MONTH on Indiana State.

The set-up: Denver will look to keep the foot on the gas here after its 115-103 win at Philadelphia just last night. Normally I steer clear of playing an "over" with a team that's playing the second game of a back-to-back, but because we're so close to the start of the season, fatigue simply isn't an issue at all at this point of the season for these pro athletes. Overall Denver is averaging 117 PPG, while conceding 117. 

The pick: New York can't be "looked past" anymore, as the Knicks have won three of their last four. Overall the Knicks are averaging 102.7 PPG, while allowing 104.1. I'll point out though that Denver has seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 11 road games after scoring 115 or more points in a SU/ATS victory in its last outing. I think the Knicks easily eclipse their season average against this porous Denver defense. This number is indeed a little low.

This is a 10* TOTAL ELITE OF THE ELITE on the OVER Nuggets/Knicks.

The set-up: Chicago got crushed 35-16 in its regular season finale by Green Bay. The Bears only averaged 23.3 PPG, while conceding just 23.1. Chicago did better than most expected, but I think it'll struggle to score in this difficult road venue and against this vastly improved Saints' defense. 

The pick: New Orleans averaged 30 PPG, while allowing just 21.1. This is one of the better defenses that the Saints have gone up against this year and when they won in Chicago earlier in the season, it was by a score of 26-23 in OT. I look for New Orleans to masterfully control this contest and the clock and I expect this one to fall "under" once it's all said and done.

This is an 8* DESTRUCTION on the UNDER Bears/Saints.

The set-up: Baltimore is out to get revenege here against a team that it's had difficulties with over the last few years. The Titans upset the 14-1 Ravens in last year's playoffs 28-12. I'm having a hard time getting a firm read on a side in this one, but all signs point to this one being more of a "chess match," in my opinion, rather than a "shootout." And that's because I expect to see a heavy dose of the run game from each side while on offense today. 

The pick: These team's also faced off back on November 22nd and Tennessee managed a 30-24 victory, but that came in overtime. These are admittedly a couple of the highest-scoring teams in the league, but I'll also point out that Baltimore has seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 12 road games in trying to revenge an OT home loss in which it allowed 30 or more points in. This number is a little high in my opinion.

This is a 10* TOTAL DESTRUCTION on the UNDER Ravens/Titans.

The set-up: Tampa Bay has a great defense and it's offense is dynamic and experienced as well. The issue for Bruce Arians at times is making all those pieces work together at the same time. Washington finished the regular season 7-9, but it closed the regular season by going 4-1. The success of Tampa Bay though will 100% come down to how well Tom Brady does against Washington's stiff defensive front. 

The pick: Tampa has many injured as well, as note that questionable for Saturday are Carlton Davies, LeSean McCoy and Jason Pierre-Paul. Mike Evans is listed as probable. Cornerback Carlton Davis, linebacker Devin White, and defensive tackle Jeremiah Ledbetter are all out. I can't see Tampa holding onto a big lead, or running up the score if it has a lead late. I'm banking on the home side doing enough to earn a comfortable cover in this one. Grab the points.

This is an 8* DESTROYER on the Washington Football Team.

The set-up: The Sun Devils hadn't played in three weeks in their 81-75 loss to UCLA in their last game. I think they'll bounce back here though vs. the Trojans, who beat Arizona 87-73 in their latest action. 

The pick: ASU comes in fresh here, despite the loss last time out. It's the "hungrier" does in this fight as well. With a spread like this, clearly the oddsmakers think these teams are evenly matched, but I think from a situational stand point, it favors the home side. Additionally note that the Trojans are just 2-6 ATS in their last eight after scoring 86 or more points in SU/ATS conference victory in their last outing. While I obviously wouldn't be shocked by an outright upset, in the end I'll recommend to grab as many points as you can.

This is a 10* PAC 12 GAME OF THE YEAR on ASU.

The set-up: These teams split their regular season games, with LA winning 23-16, and the Hawks reciprocating at home in a 20-9 win in the regular season finale. Interestingly, in both games the Rams won the time of possession. The Rams have the playoff defense to keep this one close late, conceding only 18.5 PPG. Jared Goff has the ability to make plays and this Rams' run game can eat up clock as well. 

The pick: Seattle has one advantage here, Russell Wilson. Granted, that's a big advantage, but I think LA's pass rush is formidable enough to keep him in check like when these team's met the firs time (really, Wilson was pretty much contained in Week 17 as well.) I think this one comes down to the wire, so I'm grabbing the points.

This is an 8* BLOCKBUSTER on the LA Rams.

The set-up: The Colts have the offense and the defense to hang with Buffalo. The Bills weakness is their ground game. Their defense wasn't great all year, but it did well down the stretch of the regular season. The Colts finished second in the NFL in stopping the run, so the task for the visiting side will be to get to Josh Allen, who is admittedly having a great year. 

The pick: The Bills weakness defensively was stopping the run, so expect to see a heavy-dose of Colts' RB Jonathan Taylor, who is as versatile running the ball, as he is catching it. I think experience does matter at this point, so Rivers has a small advantage in that department. I think this one comes right down to the wire and therefore, I'm grabbing the points.

This is a 10* GAME OF THE MONTH on the Indianapolis Colts.

The set-up: The Jazz come to town off two straight losses to the Nets and Knicks. The Bucks have won three straight, most recently a 130-115 victory over Detroit. One of these teams is feeling a lot better about itself these days, while the other is on the  verge of hitting the panic button. I obviously don't expect the Bucks to come out and overlook Utah, but I do think that the Jazz is for sure the "hungrier" dog in this fight. 

The pick: The Bucks could rest starters as well in the second half of this non-conference game, with Cleveland coming to town tomorrow night as well. The Jazz will be risking life and limb here to try and pull off the upset and while that may not happen, I do expect this one to be decided by whichever of these teams has it hands on the ball last. I'm grabbing the points.

This is an 8* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the Utah Jazz.

The set-up: These teams are similar in a lot of respects. Their young, and their both hungry to prove themselves and to come out here and get a victory, but I think this is a matchup which favors New Orleans. After back-to-back victories, the Pelicans come in having lost two straight. Both losses though they were very competitive in, falling 118-116 in overtime at home to the red hot Pacers, before then losing 111-110 at home to Oklahoma City. This is an important game for New Orleans though, as after this it hits the road for seven straight road games against some really stiff competition, including the Mavericks, the Clippers, the Lakers and the Jazz. At 4-4, and off two straight losses, and just before a gruelling road trip, I'd call this a "must win" scenario almost for New Orleans.

The pick: Who knows what type of effort you're going to get from the Hornets from night-to-night though. And especially on the road. And especially after they finall broke a three-game slide with a 102-94 win at Atlanta in their last game. And with a rematch at home against the Hawks tomorrow night, this also DEFINITELY sets up as a classic "look ahead" spot for the visiting side. So as I said off the top, I think this one sets up great from a situational stand point for the Pelicans, who I believe will risk life and limb today to not only secure the straight up victory, but also a solid against the spread one.

This is a 10* BLOWOUT ELITE OF THE ELITE on the New Orleans Pelicans.

The set-up: After winning three of its last four to return to .500, I think that UNT has a letdown here. Both teams have plenty of issues on both sides of the court. UNT has a decent defense that's conceding 63.5 PPG. UTSA though enters as the hungrier dog in this fight after back-to-back losses to Rice dropped it to 4-5. 

The pick: The Roadrunners have struggled defensively, but that unit catches a big break today facing the poor offense of UNT. This is the first game of two straight here and I think the desperate home side is the correct call. I think the Roadrunners high-tempo offense keeps them competitive late and while I wouldn't be shocked by an outright upset, in the end I'll recommend to grab as many points as you can.

This is a 10* CONF. USA GAME OF THE YEAR on UTSA.

The set-up: This is the third matchup between these teams in the last week and a half. LA has taken the first two, the first one by 14 and the second by six. LA returns home after four straight road victories over the Grizzlies and Spurs. The Spurs played two nights ago and they pulled off a straight-up upset over the Clippers as double-digit underdogs. It was easily the Spurs best game of the year and now they come in rested and focussed and out for revenge. From a situational standpoint, I think this one sets up great as more of a wide-open affair. 

The pick: The Spurs beat the Clippers, despite Kawhi Leonard putting up 30 points. LeBron James is a similar sized forward who the Spurs have difficulties matching up against. Double revenge is a huge motivating factor for the Spurs today, who will look to be the aggressor again, as they look to duplicate their winning formula which they had in their most recent win over the Clippers. This total is a little low in my opinion.

This is a 10* TOTAL COACH'S CORNER on the OVER Spurs/Lakers.

The set-up: Obviously I think that the St. Francis Red Flash have a legitimate shot at winning this game outright, but in the end I'll recommend to grab the points. The Red Flash come in as the hungrier side here after a 1-4 start, most recently falling 75-57 to Mount St. Mary's. Overall St. Francis (PA) is averaging 63 points, while allowing 75.8. 

The pick: Long Island is averaging 73.5 PPG, while allowing 71. On paper, the Sharks are the better team here, but with both teams having missed over three weeks since their last action, "rust" is going to be a major factor for chemistry here. The Red Flash are 7-2 ATS in their last nine conference road games as an underdog in the +2 to +4.5 points range as well. I think the home side gets caught flat-footed here. Grab the points.

This is an 8* DESTRUCTION on St. Francis.

The set-up: I like betting on teams which are "hungry" or "desperate." Cincinnati fits that bill perfectly here. The Bearcats are 2-6 overall and 0-3 in conference play. Most recently the fell 70-63 to Tulsa. SMU is 6-1 overall and 2-1 in league play, but that one loss came in their last outing, falling 74-60 to Houston. Here's a great spot for Cincinnati to take advantage of, as I think playing against teams which have been on an extended win streak, and which are coming off their first loss in a long stretch, are at times perfectly primed for another letdown in their next game immediately after that scenario plays out. 

The pick: Note as well that the Mustangs are just 2-6 ATS in their last eight after a SU/ATS loss of ten or more points, while the Bearcats are 7-3 ATS in their last ten conference road games after three or more SU losses in a row. Grab the points for sure, but don't be shocked for an outright!

This is a 10* AAC GAME OF THE YEAR on Cincinnati.

The set-up: Utah State is the better teams, but New Mexico is by far the "hungrier" team in this matchup after dropping each of its first four Mountain West contests. Utah State comes in complacent here vs. its lowly opponent after winning six in a row. This is the start of three straight games in a row vs. each other, which also puts added incentive onto the home side to try and avoid getting swept in this series. 

The pick: New Mexico won its first three games, then dropped four. But I'll point out that the Lobos four losses cam against Nevada and Boise State, two teams with a combined 16-4 record right now. Utah State on the other hand has played suspect competition to this point, so its numbers are skewed. The underdog is also 4-1 ATS the last five in this series, while the home side is 10-2 ATS the last 12 between these schools. No outright, but closer than expected. Grab the points.

This is a 10* MOUNTAIN WEST GAME OF THE MONTH on the New Mexico Lobos.

The set-up: Charlotte comes in very hungry to break a three-game slide. So that's important to me when betting on an "over," as having teams which will kill themselves to try and get a win is always a good thing. And here's the perfect opponet to do that against, as the Hawks are conceding 112.3 PPG.

The pick: Charlotte though faces an equally as hungry Atlanta side, which is in fact one of the best in the league on the offensive end by averaging 118.3 PPG. Charlotte has allowed an average of 117.3 PPG over its last three, so expect Trae Young and the home side to push the pace from start to finish. This number is a little low in my opinion.

This is a 9* TOTAL COACH'S CORNER on the OVER Hornets/Hawks.

The set-up: Neither team has been playing to many high-scoring affairs of late, but I expect that trend to get broken here, as I look for these two hungry teams to push the pace and eclipse the posted number as the game comes down the stretch. This line came out late, because each team is dealing with several injury issues. Regardless of who is on the court, I expect a wide-open affair. 

The pick: Both teams are right in the middle of the pack on both the offensive and defensive ends. This play of course isn't based on what these team's seasonal numbers add up to, instead it's based primarily upon the situation and some strong trends. Off the poor 103-83 loss to Orlando two nights agao, I look for Cleveland to play with much more intensity tonight, especially considering it has another tough road game at Memphis up next, followed by a game at Milwaukee two nights after that. Orlando has played to three straight unders, but with a tough two-game road trip on the West-coast, starting in Houston, this home contest takes on added importance for Orlando as well. All signs point to this one total flying over the number sooner, rather than later. 

This is a 10* EAST-COAST TOTAL OF THE MONTH on the OVER Cavs/Magic.

The set-up: George Mason has lost two of three, making it the much hungrier dog in this fight in my estimation. VCU has won six in a row, but winning can lead to complacency. Especially among young athletes. VCU is only conceding 54.6 PPG, but it also only has two players averaging in double figures. 

The pick: George Mason lost 74-65 in Dayton last time out. Four Patriots average in double figures, and note that the Patriots are 7-2 ATS in their last nine home game after an eight-points or greater SU road loss. I expect VCU to get caught looking ahead and look for the desperate home side to at the very least, take this one right down to the wire. Grab the points.

This is an 8* DESTRUCTION on George Mason.

The set-up: I just played against the Longhorns after their upset win over KU, and now I'm also going to suggest a play against the Jayhawks here in this contest, as I believe they'll still be mentally caught up on their last poor effort. TCU has been great, 9-2 overall and it plays with revenge at home. 

The pick: Note as well that the Horned Frogs are 6-1 ATS in their last seven vs. a team with a winning percentage above .600. These teams are moving in opposite directions and I expect those trends to continue here. While the outright is possible, I'll recommend to grab as many points as you can.

This is a 10* play on TCU.

The set-up: I think this one sets up great from a situational stand point as being a slower-paced, more defensive affair. Minnesota is desperate to break a four-game slide and this is the second game of a two-game home-and-home series. Getting out to a quick start and establishing themselves will clearly be paramount for the Wolves as they try to pull off the upset here. Overall the Wolves are averaging 106.2 PPG, while conceding 119.5.

The pick: Denver is averaging 116 PPG, while allowing 116 as well. Both teams are struggling in many areas to open up the season, but I can't see Minnesota turning this one into a "track meet" as it tries to get back on track. Finally note that the Wolves have seen the total go "under" the number in ten of their last 15 after three or more SU losses in a row. This number is a tad high, the play is the "under."

This is an 8* TOTAL DESTRUCTION on the UNDER Wolves/Nuggets.

The set-up: I think this is a great spot to pull the trigger against Texas, after it made a historic win on the road at Allen Field House, completely blowing out the Jayhawks. Iowa State beat the Longhorns last year, but it'll be focussed tonight afte rfalling to Baylor 76-65 in its last outing. 

The pick: After four-straight victories, and with a game at West Virginia up next, I think the Longhorns suffer a predictable letdown here (note that they are in fact just 2-7 ATS in their last nine after a 30 points or greater SU/ATS road victory.) This is a few too many points to be giving up, the play is on the visiting side.

This is an 8* play on Iowa State.

The set-up: No Kevin Durant? No problem! The Nets are floundering right now and I think the rest of the teams steps up and answers the call here at home finally without KD in the line-up. The Jazz have been playing a bit better, but they're definitely inconsistent and thin after Mitchell and Gobert. 

The pick: Brooklyn is 7-2 ATS in its last nine after four or more SU/ATS losses. Utah is just 4-7 ATS in its last 11 road games after scoring 130 or more points in a SU/ATS victory (won 130-108 over the Spurs.) Bank on the desperate home side pulling away down the stretch. 

This is a 10* NON-CONFERENCE BLOWOUT OF THE YEAR on the Brooklyn Nets. 

The set-up: NIU comes in as the more desperate team after starting 1-7. The Huskies have moved on from their former head coach Mark Montgomery and I expect the unit to respond here under Lamar Chapman. 

The pick: Ohio broke a three-game slide with a 78-68 win over Ball State in its last outing, but with back-to-back games at league-leading Toledo up next, I think the Bobcats get caught looking ahead and take the foot off the gas in the second half. No outright, but closer than expected. Grab the points.

This is an 8* play on Northern Illinois.

The set-up: Wyoming won the first game of this two game set by a narrow margin and I like the home side to get immediate revenge. Wyoming has now won six in a row and I think it'll finally crack here and have a letdown. Wyoming averages 84.6 PPG, but it only managed 78 in the win over the Bulldogs. 

The pick: Fresno State had a couple games cancelled due to COVID issues early and since then it's gone 1-3. But now I expect the Bulldogs to finally get back on track here; one player to keep your eyes on is 7-0 Orlando Robinson, who averages 15.6 PPG. I look for Fresno State to bounce back here and be the much hungrier dog in this Mountain West battle. Lay the points.

This is an 8* PLAY-BOOK on Fresno State.

The set-up: The Knicks are coming off a 106-102 win over Indiana. New York is definitely not a push over anymore and any team that looks past it will likely suffer an upset. One team which won't look past anyone this year though is Atlanta, which will look to run up the score and beat teams with its incredibly high-tempo. 

The pick: Atlanta won't be lacking for motivation here, as it plays with revenge and it will also be out to snap a two-game slide. In the early going Atlanta is averaging 120 PPG, while conceding 112.2. These teams have played "over" the total in six of their last ten vs. each other and I like that trend to continue here as I expect these hungry sides to push the pace from start to finish.

This is a 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK on the OVER Knicks/Hawks.

The set-up: The Hornets are the hungrier team here, as after winning two in a row, they come to Philly now having lost two in a row, most recently a 127-112 setback to these very 76ers two nights ago. Philly is 5-1 and I think will get caught complacent here vs. its lowly opponent. To say this is a "revenge" game as well would be an understatement, as Charlotte has lost 12 straight in this series. 

The pick: Philly coach Doc Rivers could rest some starters here as well. Finally note that Charlotte is 7-2 ATS in its last nine in trying to revenge a SU/ATS loss of 15 or more points. No outright, but closer than expected. Grab the points.

This is an 8* DESTRUCTION on the Charlotte Hornets.

The set-up: Winning can lead to complacency. Especially among young players. Winthrop has jumped out to a big 7-0 start, but I believe it'll finally get caught flat-footed here and leave the door open just wide enough for the hungry home side to sneak in through down the stretch. The Buccanneers are only 1-5. The Eagles are perfect so far, but there have been a few very close calls. 

The pick: Charleston Southern has been competitive in defeat and it won't be lacking for motivation today. This is a revenge game as well. One player to keep your eyes on tonight for Charleston Southern is Phlandrous Fleming, who managed 19 points with 10 rebounds and three assists in his team's most recent setack to Hampton on December 22nd. Winthrop is the better team, but the overall situation sets up well for the home side. I'm not predicting an outright, but I do think the stage is set for a much more competitive battle than what this spread would suggest. Grab the points.

This is a 10* BIG SOUTH GAME OF THE YEAR on Charleston Southern.

The set-up: Liverpool is currently in first place in the Premier League standings. Liverpool though has failed to secure the full three points in each of its last two games, drawing 1-1 with West Bromwich two games ago and then drawing 0-0 with Newcastle. 

The pick: Southampton is in ninth place, winning just once out of its last five games. Overall Southampton hasn't scored in its last three games. Southampton though is pretty tough defensively, conceding just 1.19 GPG. No need for Liverpool to dial up the pressure if it has a lead vs. this offensively challenged Southampton club. The home side will be playing a war of attrition today, waiting for the visiting side to make the first mistake. All in all, this one has "under" written all over it in my opinion. 

This is a 10* TOTAL OF THE MONTH on the UNDER Liverpool/Southampton.

The set-up: Washington finally broke into the win column over the Timberwolves last time out, but I expect an immediate return to mediocrity here. The Nets started 2-0, but they've since gone 1-3. They've rested starters and had to deal with some COVID issues over the last week, but they're ready to roll tonight and I expect this high-powered team to lay the hammer down after this scuffling stretch. 

The pick: Russell Westbrook is out again for Washington, which isn't a good thing at all for the Wizards over the short or the long-term. Brooklyn has posted at least 118 points in its last five vs. this Wizards defense, and I expect an even bigger offensive explosion here. The Wizards are a poor 1-5-1 ATS in their last seven as a road dog and I like the home side to take advantage of that. Lay the points.

This is a 10* DESTRUCTION on the Brooklyn Nets.

The set-up: Drake is 11-0, but it hasn't played since before the New Year and I think it'll come out a bit flat here and look past its lowly opponent. Drake beat Indiana State in back-to-back games most recently, while the Salukis enter off their first loss of the season 84-72 to Evansville. Southern Illinois has six players which average at least 7.9 PPG, led by Marcus Domask with 18.1 per contest. 

The pick: Drake was down at the half in each of its games vs. the Sycamores, only to come back and not only win, but also go on to cover. The Bulldogs perfect record to this point puts a big red target on their backs - look for this under the radar Salukis side to keep this one much more competitive than what this spread would suggest. 

This is a 10* UNDERDOG GAME OF THE YEAR on Southern Illinois.

The set-up: New Orleans is the No. 2 seed in the NFC, one game behind Green Bay, who holds the tie-breaker after beating the Saints earlier in the year. New Orleans is tied with Seattle at 11-4 and it holds the tiebreaker over the Hawks. Carolina won't be in the playoffs, as it's 5-10. The Panthers though relished the role of playing spoiler last week, snapping a three-game slide with a competitive 20-13 win over Washington. 

The pick: Teddy Bridgewater has one last chance to impress today for the Panthers and he'll try to deal a blow to the Saints playoff positioning and take advantage of a team which will be without its entire starting RB group. I think New Orleans gets caught flat-footed here and I like the home side to deliver. The outright is possible, but grab as many points as you can.

This is a 10* GAME OF THE YEAR on the Carolina Panthers.

The set-up: A&M averages 31.67 PPG and it allows 21.1. UNC averages 43.0 PPG, while allowing 28.36. Both teams are dealing with injury issues and with players opting out of this game to prepare for the NFL draft, but I still think that Texas A&M is a bit of a fraud. The SEC overall had a down year and the Aggies numbers are skewed a bit in my opinion. UNC's offense is potent and it's faced some of the best defenses around. 

The pick: A&M is good, but not good enough to be the fifth ranked team in the nation. I'll point out as well that UNC is 7-2 ATS in its last nine as an underdog in the 7 to 9.5 points range. Look for these two hungry teams to battle tooth and nail until the final moments and make sure to grab as many points as you can.

This is a 10* ULTIMATE OF THE ULTIMATE on North Carolina.

The set-up: Both teams are hungry for victories here obviously. Toronto is 1-3, while New Orleans is 3-2. The Pelicans have amazingly seen the total go "under" in all five of their games this year and suffice it to say, I expect that lop-sided trend to end this evening. Toronto comes in with momentum finally after beating New York 100-83 at home last time out. The Raptors have been consistently inconsitent to open up, so they'll definitely be looking to push the pace here vs. the high-flying Pels.

The pick: I'm expecting the home side to try and get the Raptors out of their comfort zone and that means pushing the pace from start to finish. Note that New Orleans has seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 11 home games after allowing 80 points or less in its last outing (smashed OKC 113-80 on New Year's Eve.) Look for this total to fly "over" the number sooner, rather than later.

This is a 10* NON-CONFERENCE TOTAL OF THE YEAR on the OVER Raptors/Pelicans.

The set-up: I think this one sets up great as a wide-open "shootout." Morehead State comes in motivated to bounce back after a 75-61 loss to Missouri in its latest action. AJ Hicks was a bright spot in the loss with 18 points and seven assists. Overall the Eagles average 75.2 PPG. 

The pick: Murray State looks to build off its 110-82 win over Bethel in its latest action. Tevin Brown had 18 points. The Racers are averaging a blistering 81.2 PPG and while their defense has been decent, this is one of the best offenses that it's seen so far. I'm expecting an all out war, one which blasts past the posted number sooner, rather than later. This number is a little low, the play is the "over." 

This is a 10* OHIO VALLEY TOTAL OF THE YEAR on the OVER Morehead State/Murray State.

The set-up: NC State won each of its last four games, including over Florida State, Liberty, Syracuse and Georgia Tech. Kentucky on the other hand lost four of its last five. I like Bailey Hockman in this matchup, as Kentucky's secondary and defense overall is banged up. 

The pick: NC State is also 4-1 ATS in its last five vs. teams with losing records and 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 bowl games. The Wildcats only scored an average of 21.7 PPG this year and I think they'll have trouble keeping pace down the stretch. Grab the points.

This is a 9* PLAY-BOOK on NC State.

The set-up: This is the second game of the College Football Playoff Semifinal. Clemson has faced the 36th toughest schedule and Ohio State has faced the 67th. Ohio State beat Northwestern 22-10 to win the Big Ten Championship, while Clemson won the ACC crown with a 34-10 win over Notre Dame. This game features two of the best QB's in the nation in Justin Fields and Trevor Lawrence. The Buckeyes average 42.5 PPG, and they concede 21, while Clemson averages 44.9 PPG, while allowing 17.5. 

The pick: Clemson though is interestingly just 1-4 ATS in its last five after postin more than 450 total yards in its previous game, while Ohio State is 20-8 ATS in its last 28 as an underdog. This is the first non-conferece game for each team and I think that Fields has the offense to keep this one close and competitive until the final moments. I'm grabbing the points.

This is a 10* BOWL GAME OF THE YEAR on Ohio State.

The set-up: Brooklyn won the first matchup between the teams 145-141 on Wednesday and suffice it to say, I don't expect to see such a high-scoring affair here. First off, ATL has several injury issues, inculding to: PG Rajon Rondo, SG Tony Snell, PF De’Andre Hunter, and SF Danillo Gallinari. And now to make matters worse for the visiting side is that it could potentially be without their star PG Trae Young who is listed as probable with calf issue. The Nets on the other hand will be without PF Nicholas Claxton, and their sixth man PG Spencer Dinwiddie. 

The pick: And note, other than in the last game, the Nets have actually done well defensively this year by allowing 111.4 PPG. Combined with the injury issues listed above, look for this second contest to fall well "under" this sky-high number.

This is a 10* TOTAL OF THE MONTH on the UNDER Hawks/Nets.

The set-up: Jacksonville is 6-4 and Kennesaw State is 3-5. Jacksonville has played the stiffer competitoin to this point, most recently coming off a 70-46 loss to K-State. Corey Romich was a bright spot in defeat with ten points and five boards. 

The pick: Kennesaw State has lost three in a row, most recently an 81-71 setback to Mercer. These teams numbers are similar, but Jacksonville has faced the better competition and note that it's 7-2 ATS in its last nine road game after failing to score 50 points in a SU/ATS loss in its last outing. I'm laying the short points.

This is a 10* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on Jacksonville.

The set-up: Is Boise State the better team? It's 6-1, so of course it is. San Jose State is just 1-4. Am I suggesting that you play the Spartans on the moneyline? Of course I'm not, I'm suggesting that you grab all these points, because from a situational standpoint, this one sets up brilliantly for the underdog in my opinion. 

The pick: Boise State enters off an 89-52 win over New Mexico, and note that it's just 2-7 ATS in its last nine road games after a 30 points or greater SU/ATS victory. San Jose State enters off an 85-52 loss at Utah State, and note that it's 8-4 ATS in its last 12 home games after a 30 points or greater SU/ATS road loss. This is the first game of a two-game set between the teams, with the other coming on January 3rd. Look for the Spartans to keep this one competitive until the end. Grab the points.

This is a 10* UNDERDOG ULTIMATE BLOWOUT on San Jose State.

The set-up: The Knicks come in off back-to-back wins, hammering the Bucks at home, and then beating the Cavaliers by nine points on the raod as an underdog. The Raptors on the other hand enter absolutely desperate to reverse their fortunes after starting the season 0-3. Let's face it, Toronto isn't going to be the top team in the East this year. Or for a while. The Raptors are rebuilding and the faster the fan base realizes that, the better off they'll be mentally (I'm from Canada originally, so I hear it a lot about the Raptors.) 

The pick: One mistake that many novice bettors makes is to "overreact" at the start of the season. And that's the case here. Yes, Toronto is going to have many issues moving forward for a while, but it's still loaded with talent and after the poor start to the season, I'm expect to see the Raptors best effort so far here tonight. With games at Indiana and Atlanta upcoming, I think the young Knicks get caught looking ahead as well. Look for Toronto to go up early, keep the foot on the gas throughout and to pull away down the stretch for the comfortable ATS cover. Lay the points.

This is a 10* BULLDOZER on the Toronto Raptors.

The set-up: Both teams come in having played to many "unders" this year. Ball State has seen the total go under in four of its last five, including two straight, while San Jose State has seen the total dip below the posted number in six of seven this year, including in its last five straight. These two non-conference opponents get ready to battle in the Arizona Bowl on Thursday afternoon and in my opinion, these trends of lower-scoring games is going to end, as I look for these two non conference opponents to open up the playbook and air this one out. 

The pick: Ball State averages 34.3 PPG, which ranks 26th in the nation, while the Spartans allow just 17.86 PPG, ranked 13th. San Jose State has faced some suspect competition this year though to pad those stats. Spartans' QB Nick Starkel has 16 passing touchdowns and only four interceptions. San Jose State's offense averages 30.9 PPG, so expect SJSU to keep pace with the high-flying Cardinals as well. This one has "over" written all over it.

This is a 10* SUPER TOTAL on the OVER Ball State/San Jose State.

The set-up: So here's an interesting matchup between two teams which have gotten out to decent early starts. The Spurs are 2-1, and they've gone 3-0 against the spread. The Lakers had the game vs. Portland on Monday, but now the defending champs hit the road to play two games at San Antonio, including another one on New Year's Day. The NBA will do that a lot this year of course, having teams play back-to-back in the same arena, as to cut down the travel time and potential exposure to COVID 19. We've only played a few games into the season, so it's a little difficult to get firm reads on every team at this point. Obviously we know the Lakers are good and they're going to be contending for another Championship at the end, more than likely anyways.

The pick: The Spurs though weren't given much of a chance by the bookmakers befor the season started, but as I've pointed out, they've gotten out to the decent start to the season, going 2-1 straight up and perfect against the spread. The Lakers are going to have a big red target on their back now every night, even more than they did before they actually won the Championship, so they're going to get each team's best effort almost every given night. And I do think the Spurs come to play here. Note as well that San Antonio is 7-2 against the spread in its last nine after two or more whole nights of rest in between games. I think the home side will at the very least, keep this one close enough to comfortably cover with the handful of points it's been afforded. 

This is a 10* COACH'S CORNER on the San Antonio Spurs.

The set-up: Murray State is 4-3 and 1-1 in the OVC, while Belmont is 8-1 and 2-0. These two teams dominate this conference. These teams have both won the conference championship over the last two years. The Racers have lost all three true road games they've played, and with six of their first seven OVC contests away from friendly confines, today's road game definitely takes on added importance for Murray State. 

The pick: Belmont comes in off a 72-63 win over Evansville, but note that it's just 2-7 ATS in its last nine after three or more SU victories in a row. These teams are evenly matched for sure, but I like the "hungrier" dog in this fight. A great situational play on Murray State.

This is a 10* MID-MAJOR MAULING on Murray State.

The set-up: The Badgers snapped a three-game slide with a 20-17 win over Minnesota in their finale and I think they're going to find a way to get the job done here as well. The Demon Deacons enter having lost back-to-back games, including a humbling 45-21 loss to Louisville as one point favorites last time out. Wake has a good offense, which averaged 37 PPG, but it was atrocious defensively, allowing 31.6. Sam Hartman was a bright spot for the Wake, finishing with 1,906 passing yards, ten TD's and just one INT. 

The pick: Wisconsin only averaged 22.3 PPG, but it made up for it on the other end by playing "lights out" defense, conceding just 15.7 PPG this year. Graham Mertz finished with eight TD's and five interceptions this season, but note that the Badgers are 7-2 ATS in their last nine after allowing 18 points or less in a SU victory in their last outing. I think Wisconsin effectively slows down Wake and I look for Mertz to take advantage of this extremely bad Wake secondary. Lay the points!

This is a 10* play on Wisconsin.

The set-up: New York is 1-2. The Knicks come to town confident after their 130-110 blowout destruction of the Bucks on the 27th. Cleveland is inexplicably 3-0 to start the year. Most recently the Cavaliers destroyed Philadelphia 118-94. Cleveland has plenty of young and hungry talent, but I think its early record is more a case of team's not taking the Cavs too seriously right now and looking past their opponent. And that's not going to happen with the Knicks. New York doesn't face too many teams in the season that's on the "same level" as it, so this is a golden opportunity to try and string a couple wins in a row. 

The pick: The Cavs have a night off after this, before then embarking on a six-game road trip starting on New Year's Eve in Indianapolis. You can throw the ATS stats out the window in this one. As primarily a situational handicapper, I do indeed feel this one sets up extremely well for the hungry underdog visiting side. Clearly the outright win is a possibility, but in the end I'll recommend to grab as many points as you can.

This is a 10* GAME OF THE MONTH on the New York Knicks.

The set-up: Oklahoma State was 7-3 in Big 12 play. The Cowboys alternated wins and losses over the final month. Miami was 8-2 overall. The Hurricanes were on a five-game win streak before a 62-26 loss to UNC in their last game. The Cowboys have a strong run game, but Miami's rush defense is decent. Overall Oklahoma State averages 29.5 PPG, while allowing 21.9. QB Spencer Sanders though heads into this game without the services of top RB Chuba Hubbard. 

The pick: Miami averaged 34 PPG. QB D'Eriq King had 2,573 passing yards, 22 touchdowns and five interceptions. The Hurricanes allowed 26.0 PPG and I'd argue that their schedule was much more difficult than they Cowboys. With a spread like this, clearly the oddsmakers think these teams are very evenly matched. While I respect the OK State rushing game, I think Miami's big line will contain that aspect and turn the Cowboys one-dimensional. I like King to post a big game here as well. I'm on the Hurricanes.

This is a 10* BLOWOUT on Miami.

The set-up: I think the Rockets will fall to 0-2 here after losing 128-126 to the Blazers in OT to open the season. The Nuggets come in ready to now turn the page after starting 0-2, losing in OT to the Kings, before then falling to the Clippers at home in their last one. With a series of difficult road contests upcoming, I look for the Nuggets to come out extremely focussed here. The Rockets are still dealing with several issues on and off the court (COVID mostly), and I expect them to struggle in this difficult road venue and versus this now very hungry home side.

The pick: Note that Denver has performed very well in this spot for bettors as well, going 9-4-1 ATS in its last 14 as a home favorite and 4-0 ATS in its last four following a SU loss of more than ten points, while Houston is 0-4 ATS in its last four when playing on one days rest. Houston doesn't have a big man to handle the Nuggets' size and that's going to be a big difference-maker today as well. Lay the points.

This is a 10* ATS 'BLOOD-BATH' on the Denver Nuggets.

The set-up: The Patriots are eliminated. Cam Newton is going to be the only motivated player on the field for New England today. The Patriots have nothing to play for over the last two games, and they can't even really play spoiler here, as Buffalo has already clinched. Instead, I give the Bills the huge edge in being the more "motivated" team in this matchup. Buffalo won the first matchup and after being the "red headed step-child" of the division for so long, and after suffering so many beatdowns at the hands of the Pats over the years, I look for this visiting organization to lay down a can of whoop ass that none of us have witnessed in quite a while. Buffalo is simply the better team in every respect and I don't see it having any sort of letdown in enemy territory today. 

The pick: It's interesting to note as well that New England is just 1-3-1 ATS in its last five games played in the month of December, while Buffalo is 5-0 ATS in its last five following an ATS victory. With a chance to humiliate the Patriots on their home field, I look for the Bills to do just that!

This is a 10* AFC EAST BEST OF THE BEST on the Buffalo Bills.

The set-up: This is the second game of a back-to-back between the teams. Last night Drake won its ninth straight (both SU and ATS) vs. the Sycamores by a score of 81-63. The Bulldogs are the better team on paper here, averaging 86.4 PPG and allowing 60. Indiana State only trailed by one at half-time, but a slow start to the second-half doomed the Sycamores after that. I actually had a play on Indiana State yesterday afternoon, and while that big play failed to deliver, I'm back on the Sycamores here in this bounce-back position. 

The pick: Previous to the loss to the Bulldogs, Indiana State had won two in a row. It averages 69.4 PPG and it allows 69.2. All good things do come to an end though and with a few days off before a January 3rd home and home set vs. the lowly Southern Illinois Salukis, I think the stage is now set for Drake to finally have a mental lapse here. The Sycamores are definitely the more motivated side here and I think they can keep this one competitive not only for just the first half this time, but for the entire game. Grab the points, expect a "nail-biter!" 

This is a 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on Indiana State.

The set-up: The first game between these teams went well "under" the number in the Eagles' 23-9 home victory. Ben DiNiucci was under center for Dallas in that one, but Andy Dalton will be directing the Cowboys tonight. Philly has gotten a spark from rookie QB Jalen Hurts, and while many may think this'll be a classic "shootout," I expect this instead to be a very tight, lower-scoring battle. Philly's defense is definitely superior, but Dallas has come a long way in that department over the last three weeks. I expect each offense to be committed to the run throughout as well. If this was Week 10, I'd expect more of a shootout, but in this crucial end of season contest, this one has the feel of a "chess match," rather than "offensive fireworks."

The pick: From a trend-based standpoint it sets up well for a lower-scoring contest, as note that Philly has seen the total go "under" in four of its last six on the road. Also note that six of these team's last eight in the series have fallen below the posted number as well. For all the reasons listed above, look for this one to fall "under" the posted number once it's all said and done.

This is a 10* NFC EAST TOTAL OF THE YEAR on the UNDER Eagles/Cowboys.

The set-up: One of the biggest mistakes that novice gamblers can make is "overreacting" to Week 1 results, or after the first few games of the regular season. Are the Mavericks as bad as their 0-2 record would indicate in the early going? Obviously not. Does the Clippers 2-0 record mean that they're now the team to beat in the West? Probably, but again, let's not overreact after a couple of games. LA had two "revenge" games on its plate right out of the gate this year, beating the Lakers on Opening Night, and then beating the Nuggets in Denver on Thursday, avenging the playoff series loss. However, with those two very emotional contests out of the way and now back to play their first official "home" game, I think the Clippers come out flat here. 

The pick: And that's going to be bad news vs. Luca Doncic and the winless Mavericks in my opinion. Both teams are loaded with talent, but I think this one sets up fantastically from a situational stand point for Dallas and while I'll stop short in calling for the outright upset, all signs do indeed point to this one coming right down to the wire. Grab the points.

This is a 10* DESTRUCTION on the Dallas Mavericks.

The set-up: Baltimore has a "cream puff" final regular season game at Cincinnati and I think it gets caught looking ahead to that contest and takes the foot off the gas in the second half of this game. The Giants on the other hand come in absolutely desperate, needing a win or they'll be eliminated from contention. Last week they lost by 14 points to the Browns. QB Daniel Jones is expected to return. 

The pick: Baltimore crushed Jacksonville 40-14 last weekend. The Ravens are 9-4 and are back on track, but consistency has plagued LaMar Jackson and company all season long. If the Ravens have a lead in the second half, there's no need for them to run up this score, instead they'll be trying to avoid mistakes and injuries and kill the clock. New York will be aiming for the end zone on every drive and because of that, I expect this game to be much closer than what this spread would suggest.

This is a 9* ELITE OF THE ELITE on the New York Giants.

The set-up: Will Kansas City win this game? Of course. Can Atlanta make it interesting? I don't think it'll even bother here. The big question though is, will the Chiefs run up this score in the second half if they come out of the break with a lead? With a home game against already eliminated LA Chargers to end the season, there's no reason at all for the Chiefs to run up this score. KC's entire game plan will be to go up early, and then to control the clock, avoid injuries and get ready to finish off this strange season. Julio Jones is done for the year for ATL, and I just can't see at all where any sort of motivation will be coming from this "dome" team today. Situationally, this one sets up great as a lower-scoring affair in my opinion. 

The pick: Note as well that the "under" has hit in four of ATL's last five on the road as well. KC's defense is underrated and I think it'll grab the main headline in tomorrow's KC summaries. This number is a tad high.

This is an 8* TOTAL DESTRUCTION on the UNDER Falcons/Chiefs.

The set-up: Drake is 9-0 and 7-0 ATS. They say all good things have to come to an end, and I think that time is now for Drake. Overall it averages 86.4 PPG, while allowing 60.0. On paper, obviously Drake is the better team. Indiana State is 3-2, averaging 69.2 PPG and conceding 69.4. As I said, on paper, clearly Drake is the better team. 

The pick: Indiana State though won't be rolling over here. Note that it's 3-0 SU at home. Drake's early competition needs to be called into question here as well, as it enters off an 88-55 win over lowly North Dakota. Note that this is a back-to-back set as well, with each team playing here again tomorrow. I'll point out though that the Sycamores are 7-2 ATS in their last nine home games as an underdog in the +2.5 to +5.5 points range. In a contest which I see coming right down to the wire, I'm grabbing the points in what I feel to be a prime situational spot wagering position for the home side.

This is a 10* MISSOURI VALLEY GAME OF THE YEAR on Indiana State.