The set-up: San Antonio took the first game of this home and home set 154-147 in double OT on Thursday. Clearly its payback time for the Thunder on their own floor. LeMarcus Aldridge exploded for a career-high 56 points, nine boards, four assists and four blocks to lead San Antonio’s victory, but clearly I’m not expecting a repeat performance here. The Spurs are just 9-11 on the road this year. Russell Westbrook had 24 points, 13 boards and 24 assists in the setback on Thursday for the Thunder. OKC is 10-9 ATS at home this year, but the immediate revenge factor swings the scales in favor of the home side in my opinion. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but the Spurs are just 2-4 ATS in their last six after scoring 130 points or more in their previous contest, while OKC is already 5-1 ATS this year in revenging a SU loss vs. an opponent as a road favorite. Lay the points.

10* DEMOLITION

The set-up: I think this one sets up well to be a lower-scoring defensive battle from a situational stand point. WSU will be eager to atone for a poor 92-60 loss in Colorado on Thursday, while Utah will also be out to bounce back after a 69-53 loss at home to Washington. Utah has won nine straight in this series, including a 77-70 road victory last February 17th. I believe we’ll see a similar final combined score here as well. As stated above, I think from a “situational” stand point that this one definitely sets up as more of a defensive affair. 

The pick: Note as well that WSU has already seen the total go “under” in three of its last four on the road and in ten of its last 15 off a road loss vs. a conference rival of more than ten points, while Utah has seen the total dip “under” in three of its last four as a home favorite in the 9.5 to 12 points range. This number is high, play the “under.” 

10* TOTAL OF MONTH

The set-up: Boston comes to town off a 4-2 loss at Washington. The setback broke a five-game win streak and I think the Bruins are poised for another letdown here as well. Boston is just 9-13 on the road, averaging 2.23 goals and allowing 2.77 in those contests. Toronto got back on track with a 4-2 road win at New Jersey. The Leafs are 28-15 overall this season, including 13-9 at home, averaging 3.27 goals and allowing 2.55 in those games.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Boston is already just 1-3 (-2.7 units) this year after playing three straight home games, while Toronto is 13-3 (+9.8 units) this season in trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent. Lay it.

8*

The set-up: Andrew Luck and the Colts have sure looked impressive over the last month, but I believe their story comes to and tonight. The Chiefs can’t play a lick of defense, but they haven’t had to with their dynamic offense, led by Patrick Mahomes, who set offensive records this year. With a week off to focus and game-plan though, I absolutely expect the Chiefs’ to also “step up” their game defensively as well. Indianapolis averaged 27.1 PPG, while allowing 21.5. The Chiefs averaged 35.3 PPG though and allowed 26.3. 

The pick: Mahomes though is the difference maker in my opinion. He finished with 5,097 passing yards with a sharp 50/12 TD/INT. Take it for what you will as well, but despite the Colts recent “up-tick” in play, they’re still only 14-17 ATS in their last 31 as an underdog, while Kansas City is 13-5 ATS in its last 18 after scoring 30 points or more in its last game. In my estimation, everything points to the Colts running out gas this weekend. I’m laying they points.

10* play

The set-up: I think that home floor will prove to be the difference in this matchup. The BC Eagles are 9-5 and the ND Fighting Irish are 10-5. BC comes in off an 83-56 loss to Virginia on Wednesday, while the Irish fell 72-62 to Syracuse in their latest action. ND beat BC twice last year and look for the Irish to take the first one this season as well. BC actually comes in off three straight losses. The Eagles are averaging 75 PPG and they’re allowing 72.1. Notre Dame won’t be taking anything for granted here though after two straight conference losses. Overall the irish average 75.6 PPG and they allow 68.3. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but the home team is 4-1 ATS in its last five in this series, while BC is 0-5 ATS in its last five following a SU loss of more than 20 points and just 1-4 ATS in its last five following a double-digit home loss. I’m laying the points and expecting a rout.

8* WAKE AND MAKE

The set-up: LeBron James got injured the Lakers would go on to predictably lost three straight. LA has looked better of late after winning two in a row, but I think that an immediate return to mediocrity is in the cards. Kyle Kuzma had a career-high 41 points the Lakers latest home win over Detroit. LA is averaging 112.2 PPG, while allowing 110.8. I think Kuzma though will struggle to duplicate his best performance ever as a pro, especially in this difficult road venue vs. the Jazz, who have “upped” their game on the defensive end of the floor of late, allowing just 100.7 PPG over their last four. Utah comes in on top form having won three of its last four and I look for it take advantage of this favorable matchup.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Utah is 7-2 ATS in its last nine home games and 5-1 ATS in its last six vs. teams with losing road records, while LA is just 2-6-1 ATS In its last nine following a SU win and only 4-11-1 ATS in its last 16 following an ATS victory. Lay the points, expect a rout.

10* DEMOLITION

The set-up: Carolina didn’t put up much of a fight in a 3-1 setback on Tampa Bay last night, but the Hurricanes don’t have to travel far to get back home to take on the Sabres on Friday. I think the home side got caught looking ahead to this more favorable matchup and I expect it to make the most of it after last night’s sub-par showing. Despite the Sabres 5-1 win over the Devils at home last time out, they’re still just 9-12 on the road, averaging 2.62 PG and allowing 2.90. The Hurricanes are 11-11 at home, averaging 2.82 GPG and allowing 2.64. Carolina had Petr Mrazek in net last night, but Curtis McElhinney will get the nod here (he’s 10-6 with a 2.26 GAA on the year and 6-2 with a 2.01 GAA at home).

The pick: Take it for what you will as well but the Sabres are just 4-6 (-1.6 units) already this year after a win by two goals or more. I think McElhinney will prove to be the difference maker here. Lay it.

10* GRINDER

The set-up: Wright State somehow managed to take both games vs. Northern Kentucky last year, but I think the Norse will bounce back this season and take the first matchup this time around. Wright State comes in off an 89-73 win over Oakland, while NKU destroyed Detroit 95-73 last time out. The Norse are balanced on both sides of the ball and are the much “deeper” team this season, note that six players would score in double figures in the win over the Titans. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Wright State is just 5-12 ATS in its last 17 vs. teams with a winning percentage above .600, while NKU is 7-2 ATS in its last nine home games after a victory in which it scored 95 points or more in. Lay the points, expect a rout.

10* DEMOLITION

The set-up: Youngstown State will be gunning for an upset here after its 76-51 road win over Milwaukee in its latest contest. UIC enters off a tough 66-64 loss at home to IUPUI in its latest action. The Penguins play with revenge here as they’ve lost four straight in the series, including a 100-75 road loss last February 8th. Youngstown State averages 76.6 PPG and it allows 80.3. UIC averages only 75.6 PPG, while allowing 77.1. 

The pick: take it for what you will as well, but Youngstown State is already 3-1 ATS this season as a road dog in the 6.5 to 12 points range and 10-4 ATS in its last 14 after playing two consecutive road games as the underdog, while UIC is just 1-3 ATS in its last four as a home favorite in the 9.5 to 12 points range. I believe that these teams are much more evenly matched than what this spread would suggest. Combine the situational and motivational factors working in favor of Youngstown State and an outright win isn’t out of the question here. That said, I’m grabbing the points.

10* play

The set-up: Boston was able to take the foot off the gas in its blowout win over the Pacers last night and I like it to carry that momentum over here against the Heat. Overall the C’s average 111.9 PPG and they allow 105.3. Miami is trending in the other direction. having now lost two straight. Overall the Heat are just 9-12 ATS at home. They average only 106.3 PPG, while allowing 105.7. 

The pick: Note as well that Miami is a poor 0-4 ATS in its last four when playing on one days rest, while Boston is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 vs. the East. The Celtics have been getting healthier and their pieces are finally starting to play with chemistry. Look for that to continue here. Play on Boston.

10* play

The set-up: Neither team is going to be lacking for motivation today and I believe this competitive battle will produce a lot of points. Miami Florida clearly can’t be happy at 8-6 overall and 0-2 in ACC action. FSU is a much better 12-2, but the Seminoles enter this one off a poor conference opening 65-52 loss to Virginia on Saturday. With both teams looking to break back into the win column, I believe that from a situational stand point, there’s no question that this one sets up as a higher-scoring “shootout.” 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well though, but the Hurricanes have seen the total go “over” the number in nine of their last 11 as a road underdog or pick and in six of eight already this season vs. teams with winning records, while FSU has seen the total go “over” in five of seven at home this season and in four of its last five after scoring 60 points or less in its previous outing. This number is low, play the “over.” 

10* play

The set-up: Colorado posted a 6-1 home win over New York in its latest action, while the Jets posted a 5-1 blowout victory over the Stars at home on Sunday. The home side has to be feeling confident here though, as the only other game this year between the clubs was a decisive 5-2 home win for the Jets. Overall the Avs average 3.4 GPG, while allowing 3.0. The Jets have been better on both sides of the ice though, averaging 3.4 goals and allowing 2.8. 

The pick: Note though that the Jets have been even better vs. division opponents this season, going 9-3 (+5 units). Note as well that Colorado is just 9-11 (-2.9 units) this season revenging a loss vs. an opponent and only 6-9 (-4.9 units) after a win by two goals or more. I think the home side is well worth the price of admission in this one.

10* play

The set-up: The Pacers will be eager to return to form here after a 121-105 road loss to the Raptors on Sunday. The Cavs enter off another loss, a 133-98 setback at home to the Pelicans on Saturday. These teams though have split two games this year, with the Cavs earning the 92-91 road victory in the latest on December 18th. I think a similar hard-fought, lower-scoring battle is in store here as well. Previous to their latest loss the Pacers had won six straight. Overall Indiana averages just 107.7 PPG, which ranks 23rd, but the Pacers make up for it on the other end, allowing just 101.9 PPG. And that’s bad news for the offensively challenged Cavaliers, who are averaging 102 PPG, while allowing 111.4. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Indiana has already seen the total go “under” the number in seven of eight this year after playing two consecutive road games, while Cleveland has seen the total go “under” in four of five already this season when playing with two days rest. This number is high, play the “under.” 

10* play

The set-up: Villanova has won three straight and I think it carries that momentum over here into another solid victory at home against the surprising Red Storm, who have started the year 14-1, including conference wins over Marquette and Georgetown. The Red Storm have been playing over their heads, including the thrilling 97-94 OT win over Georgetown. Can anyone say “letdown” spot though? The defending champs will be out to send a message here in my opinion. 

The pick: Note as well that Villanova is 19-7 ATS in its last 26 at home and 35-16 ATS in its last 51 vs. teams with winning records, while St. John’s is still just 1-3-1 ATS in its last five on the road. Lay the points, expect a rout.

10* play

The set-up: Two of the best in the West go head-to-head on Monday night and in my opinion, points are going to be plentiful. The Nuggets come in off a 123-110 home win over Charlotte on Saturday, while the Rockets will be eager to get back to their recent winning ways after falling 110-101 in Portland this weekend. Denver plays with revenge here though after a 109-99 home loss back on November 13th to Houston. But the Nuggets come in on top form, having won five straight, they’re averaging 110.6 PPG, while allowing 105.2. Houston’s slow start is now firmly in the rear-view mirror. Houston’s been competitive at home, going 11-6-1 ATS, and it’s also seen the total go “over” the number in 11-6-1- in those contests. The Rockets average 110.3 PPG and they allow 109.

The-pick: Take it for what you will as well, but the Nuggets have seen the total go “over” the number in eight of 12 already this year after scoring 115 points or more in their previous contest, while Houston has seen the total go “over” in ten of 15 as a home favorite this season. With both teams pushing the pace, look for this one to fly “over” sooner, than later.

10* play

The set-up: I won with Alabama last year and I think the Tide are going to roll again this season as well. This is the fourth straight year these teams have faced each other in the big game. Last year the Tide won 24-6. Clemson does come in off a nice 30-3 win over the Irish last Saturday, but the step up in competition on both sides of the ball will prove to be too much again for the Tigers again in my estimation. Clemson freshman QB Trevor Lawrence looked solid with 327 yards passing, three TD’s and no INT’s. The Tigers are no slouches defensively either, ranked fifth in allowing just 12.9 PPG. The Tide pulled away for a tougher than expected 45-34 win over Oklahoma last weekend. QB Tua Tagovailoa had 318 yards passing and four TD’s. The Tide dominate on both sides of the ball though, ranked second with 47.7 PPG and 12th in yards allowed per game. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Clemson is just 1-4 ATS this year in non-conference games, while Alabama is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 after falling to cover the spread in two of its last three games. This has and likely always will be a “bad matchup” for Clemson. Lay the points.

10* play

The set-up: These teams have been moving in opposite directions of late overall and I think that trend carries over here. SA comes in having won four straight and eight of its last ten. Overall the Spurs are averaging 111.7 PPG and they’re allowing 108.6. The Pistons are averaging 107.2 PPG and they’re allowing 109.4. As mentioned off the top, Detroit has been scuffling of late and it now sits three games under .500.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but the Pistons are just 1-4 ATS in their last five vs. teams with a losing road record, while the Spurs are 5-0 ATS in their last five following an ATS victory and 4-0 ATS in their last four vs. the East. Lay the points.

8* play

The set-up: Temple is 10-3 and Wichita State is just 7-6, but after back-to-back losses, I think the Shockers defend home court and bounce back this evening. Temple comes in susceptible after its three-game win streak was snapped in loss to UCF last time out. Temple averages 73.8 PPG and it allows 68.5. Wichita State is averaging 70.4 PPG and it’s allowing 70.8. 

The pick: Take it for what you will though, but Temple is just 2-5 ATS in its last seven vs. teams with winning records and only 2-7 ATS in its last nine after playing two consecutive road games, while Wichita State is 4-1 ATS in its last five after allowing 85 points or more in its previous contest. Play on Wichita State.

10* play

FREE FIRST HALF NFL PLAY: The set-up: Philadelphia clearly can’t sit back and wait for the game to come to it, it’ll have to be the attacker from the outset if it has any shot at pulling off the upset. With QB Nick Foles directing the show, I believe the Eagles lay everything on the line early and I will therefore recommend this first half wager. Philadelphia looked good in its 24-0 win over a depleted Redskins team last weekend. The Bears actually helped the Eagles get into the playoffs with their Week 17 victory over the Vikings. On paper, the Bears have the better offense and slightly better defense. Foles and the Eagles though bring experience and intangibles to the table which I think are being severely undervalued.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Philadelphia is a sharp 9-2 ATS in its last 11 after two or more consecutive victories against the spread, while Chicago is 0-3 ATS in its last three off an upset win over a division rival as an underdog. Look for the Eagles to take the first half.

10* play.

The set-up: While Seattle won a lower-scoring 24-13 contest at home over the Cowboys back on September 23rd, I believe this time around we’ll see a much more wide open “shootout.” Both teams have made leaps and strides since the early weeks, especially on the offensive side of the ball. Ezekiel Elliot rushed for nearly 1,500 yards, which allowed Dak Prescott to find his game again. The late season acquisition of Amari Cooper was also a huge boost for the Dallas offense late in the year. Seattle veteran QB Russell Wilson put together arguably his best ever campaign and he also benefited greatly from a strong run game, which finished No. 1 in the league. From a situational stand point in my opinion, this one definitely sets up as a higher-scoring affair. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well though, but Seattle has seen the total go “over” the number in five of eight this year as an underdog, while Dallas as seen the total go “over” in five of eight at home and in four of its last five home games when the total in the contest is set between 42.5 and 45 points. This number is a low, play the “over.” 

10* play

The set-up: This is the conference opener for both teams and I absolutely believe that home court will prove to be the difference maker in the end. Oregon has won four of the last five in the series and it’s been even better when on its home floor with seven straight victories over the Beavers. Oregon State is ripe for the picking as it comes in with zero momentum having lost three of their last four. Oregon tate averages 73.3 PPG and it allows 64.9. Oregon has won four straight and it averages 72.1 PPG and it allows 62.5. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Oregon is 12-4 ATS in its last 16 at home, while Oregon State is just 1-3-1 ATS in its last five following a SU win and only 2-9 ATS in its last 11 played on the road following three or more straight games at home. Lay the points.

8* play

The set-up: The Hornets are only 7-8 ATS on the road this year, but they’re 9-6 SU. Charlotte enters off an embarrassing 122-84 home loss to the Mavericks in its latest action and it’ll be out to atone for that pathetic effort. And a date vs. the Nuggets is just what the doctor ordered to get back on track as the Hornets have won four of the last five in this series, including a 113-107 home victory in the first matchup this year back on December 7th. The Hornets average 112.9 PPG and they allow 111.4. Denver averages 110.3 PPG and it allows 105.1. 

The pick: But this is a matchup which Charlotte has excelled in and after its recent poor effort, I expect it to give a full four-quarter effort tonight. Additionally note that the Hornets are already 12-4 ATS this year after having lost two of their last three games. Grab the points.

10* play

The set-up: FSU is 12-1 and Virginia is 12-0. I’m not calling for an outright victory, but I definitely think that the Seminoles can keep this one a lot more competitive than what this spread would suggest. The Seminoles enter off an 87-76 win over Winthrop, while Virginia smashed Marshall 100-64 at home in its most recent action. Overall FSU averages 82.3 PPG, while allowing 68.4. The Cavaliers average 74.7 PPG and they allow 51.4. 

The pick: The numbers though support our play on the visitors today, as note that FSU is 4-0-1 ATS in its last five road games with a home win percentage of greater than .600, while Virginia is just 2-6 ATS in its last eight after scoring 100 points or more in its previous game. Grab the points.

10* play

The set-up: The Wild come in off a 4-3 road win over Toronto, while Ottawa enters off a 4-3 home loss to Vancouver. After suffering a five-game losing streak, the Wild have won two of their last three. Minnesota is only 9-10 on the road though, averaging 2.59 goals and allowing 2.89 in those contests. Wild’ goaltender Devan Dubnyk though owns a sharp 2.64 GAA lifetime against the Sens. Ottawa on the other hand is in a complete free-fall with six straight losses. The Senators are 11-11 at home, averaging 3.36 goals and allowing 3.18 in those contests. The Sens are expected to send out Anders Nilsson between the pipes and he’s 1-4 with a 3.23 GAA lifetime against Minnesota. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Ottawa is a poor 10-25 in its last 35 vs. the Western Conference, while Minnesota is a perfect 5-0 in its last five in this series. This is a price which I have no issues at all in laying. Play on the Wild.

10* play

The set-up: The UCF Knights are 11-2 and they’ve seen the O/U go 6-6 in lined games, while UConn is 9-5 overall, while seeing the O/U go 8-5. The Knights come in on top form having won five straight and I think they carry that momentum and confidence over here. Overall the Golden Knights are averaging 76.5 PPG and allowing 63.8 (they did give up 73 to Temple in their last game though.) After winning two straight, the Huskies will be eager to get back into the winners circle after two straight setbacks. UConn averages 80.4 PPG and it allows 71.7 (note though that the Huskies have allowed 78.5 PPG over their last two games.) 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but UCF has seen the total go “over” the number in four of its last five following a home victory, while UConn has seen the total go “over” in five of eight at home. This number is low, play the “over.”

8* play

The set-up: The Jazz are the “better” team, but the Cavs are the “hungrier” team tonight. Utah enters off a 122-116 road loss in Toronto on Tuesday, while Cleveland comes in off a blowout loss at home to the Heat. Utah’s achilles heel forever has been its play on the road and that’s been no different this season either, going just 9-12-1 ATS away from friendly confines thus far. Overall the Jazz average 107.7 PPG and they allow 106.1. The Cavs average 102 PPG and they allow 111.4. Cleveland has lost seven straight though and clearly it’ll be risking life and limb to try and reverse that trend.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Utah is already just 3-5 ATS this year when playing with two days rest and only 6-8 ATS in its last 14 non-conference games, while Cleveland is 8-5 ATS this season following a SU home loss. Grab the points.

10* play

The set-up: Nashville comes in off a 4-0 home win over Philadelphia, while Detroit enters off a 5-3 home loss to the Flames. After losing six straight, the Preds have won two in a row, thanks in part to a renewed urgency on the defensive end, winning 6-3 in Washington, before the shutout at home over the Flyers. Nashville goaltender Pekka Rinne has a lifetime 2.58 GAA against the Wings. Detroit though comes in desperate after six straight losses. It’s just 8-14 at home, averaging 2.82 goals and allowing 3.00 in those contests. Wings’ net minder Jimmy Howard though has been sharp against Nashville throughout his career with a 2.38 lifetime GAA.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Nashville has seen the total go “under” the number in 11 of 16 already this season after scoring four goals or more in its previous outing, while Detroit has seen the total go “under” in 11 of its last 17 after playing to three or more consecutive “overs.” This number is high, play the “under.”

10* play

The set-up: Two teams which like to get out and push the pace collide in a big early Western Conference match-up on Thursday night and I think that points are going to be plentiful. It’s a rematch of last year’s West Conf. Finals. Houston most recently enters off a 113-101 home win over the Grizzlies, while the Warriors enter off a 132-109 road win over Phoenix. Golden State plays with revenge here after a listless 107-86 setback in Houston back on November 15th. But the Rockets come in on fire, having won five straight. Both teams have plenty to play for and each is now finally starting to “fire on all cylinders.” From a situational stand point, there’s no doubt this one sets up as a higher-scoring shootout in my opinion. 

The pick: Note as well that Houston has seen the total go “over” the number in five of six vs. the Pacific Division this year and in seven of 11 following a home victory, while Golden State has seen the total go “over” in seven of its last ten in trying to revenge a blowout loss of 20 points or more vs. an opponent. This one has “shootout” written all over it. Play the “over.” 

10* play

The set-up: The Dons come in at 12-2 and St. Mary’s is 9-6. The Gaels started slowly by losing their first four, but they’ve bounced back to go 9-6 to this point and I think they’ll carry that momentum over here. Tanner Krebs led the way in St. Mary’s most recent win with 20 points off six three-pointers. The Gaels come in averaging 113.4 points per 100 possessions, while allowing just 99.7 points per 100 possessions. San Fran may be 12-2, but it comes in off a 73-71 road loss to UC Santa Barbara. San Fran is scoring 107.8 points per 100 possessions, while allowing just 94.2 per 100 possessions. 

The pick: Take it for what you will though, but St. Mary’s is 4-1 ATS in its last five following a SU win of 20 points or more, while San Francisco is 0-3-1 ATS in its last four following an ATS loss. Clearly the outright is possible, but I’m grabbing the points.

10* play

The set-up: No need to overthink this one. Boston enters off a satisfying 4-2 win on New Years Day over the Blackhawks in the Winter Classic and I think it’ll carry that momentum over here against an exhausted Calgary team which fought from behind and bested the Red Wings in Detroit just last night. From a situational stand point, there’s no doubt that this one sets up great for the home side. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Calgary is just 2-6 in its last eight in Boston and only 3-10 in its last 13 road games vs. teams with a home winning percentage of greater than .600, while Boston is 14-3 in its last 17 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Note that Bruins goaltender Jaroslav Halak is 8-1 with a 1.98 GAA at home as well. This line could/should easily be a lot larger in my estimation. Play on Boston.

10* play

The set-up: After a satisfying 4-0 home win over Vancouver, I think the Devils suffer a predictable letdown here in this difficult non-conference venue. The Stars on the other hand will be eager to return to form after a tough 3-2 OT loss at home to the Canadiens. MacKenzie Blackwood has been strong in six games in net for the Devils, but after posting back-to-back shut-outs, there’s no question that this one sets up as a letdown spot in my opinion. The Devils are still just 4-15 on the road, averaging 2.69 goals in those games and allowing 3.89. Dallas has played better at home than on the road, going 12-7 there, averaging 3.26 goals and allowing 2.42 in those contests. Stars’ net minder Ben Bishop is an unreal 9-2 with a 1.43 GAA lifetime vs. New Jersey.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well but the Devils are a poor 23-48 in their last 71 road games vs. teams with a home winning percentage of greater than .600, while the home team is 6-2 the last eight in this series. This line could easily be a lot larger. Play on the Stars.

8* play

The set-up: Two teams which like to push the pace first and think about defense second collide on Wednesday night, but I think the conditions are right for a lower-scoring “under.” Dallas looks to return to form after a 122-102 loss at Oklahoma City on Monday. Charlotte enters off a 125-100 home win over the hapless Magic. The Mavs average 110.6 PPG, and they allow 110.4. The Hornets average 113.7 PPG and they allow 111.1. 

The pick: Take it for what you will though, but Dallas has interestingly seen the total go “under” the number in all four games it’s played vs. the Southwest Division this season and in eight of its last 12 following a blowout loss of more than 20 points, while Charlotte has seen the total dip “under” in three of four already this season after a blowout win by 15 points or more. This number is high, play the “under.” 

10* play

The set-up: Two of the top teams in the nation collide and I think that points will be plentiful. The Pirates enter off a 76-74 home win over St. John’s, while the Musketeers will be eager to keep the momentum rolling after a 74-65 home win over DePaul. Seton Hall comes in at 10-3 and it plays with “double revenge” here after dropping both contests in the series last year. The Pirates average 75.5 PPG and they allow 69.6. Xavier though is 7-1 at home and it averages 75.4 PPG, while allowing 70.1. 

The pick: I’m expecting a wide open, faster paced game. Take it for what you will as well, but Seton Hall has seen the total go “over” the number in ten of its last 14 as a road dog or pick, while Xavier has seen the total go “over” in 21 of its last 36 at home. This number is low, play the “over.”

10* play

The set-up: Cal State is 4-9 and Washington is 8-4. The Huskies haven’t played since beating Sacramento State on December 21st and with one last “tune-up” before conference play, I’m expecting the home side to make the most of this favorable matchup. The Titans beat Portland 79-64 on Saturday, but previous to that Cal State had lost four in a row. The Titans have struggled against better defensive clubs, which clearly poses a problem facing the stingy Huskies today. 

The pick: Cal State has struggled with consistency to this point as well, going 0-5 ATS in its last five on the road and 0-4 ATS following a SU victory. Washington on the other hand is 5-1 ATS in its last six vs. teams with losing records. This one has “blowout” written all over it. Lay the points.

The set-up: Two teams that are loaded with talent on both sides of the ball and up and down the line collide in the Sugar Bowl in Atlanta on Tuesday night and I’m expecting a war until the final moments. Georgia comes into this one still hung over and miserable after its crushing defeat in the SEC Championship game to Alabama. This is a consolation prize for the Bulldogs, while Texas will be looking to make the most of this moment, having not been in a New Year’s Six bowl game since 2014. From a situational stand point, this one definitely sets up great for the underdogs in my opinion (note that Texas head coach Tom Herman is 12-2-1 ATS as an underdog, with nine outright victories.) 

The pick: take it for what you will as well, but Georgia is just 2-7 ATS in its last nine after a two weeks or more layoff and as a ten points or more favorite, while Texas is 6-2-1 ATS in its last nine after a SU loss and 5-2 ATS in its last seven neutral site games. Grab the points.

10* play

The set-up: UCF enters at 12-0 and while it may leave here with a blemish on its record, I expect the Golden Knights to at the very least, take this one right down to the wire. Despite losing starting QB McKenzie Milton to injury, UCF would still go on to post a two TD win over Memphis. LSU comes in off a deflating loss to Texas A&M in its latest outing. In fact, the Tigers would play through seven OT’s,but still come up short vs. the Aggies. Players could barely stand by the end of the game they were so exhausted. 

The pick: The Knights looked just fine with Darriel Mack under center in their win over Memphis, throwing for 348 yards and two TD’s. Take it for what you will as well, but the Knights are 5-1 ATS in their last six as an underdog, while LSU is just 2-4 ATS as a favorite this year. Grab the points.

10* play

The set-up: Two teams with a ton of momentum collide in the Gator Bowl from Jacksonville Florida on Monday night and in my opinion, points are going to be plentiful. NC State enters on a three-game win streak over Louisville, UNC and ECU, while Texas A&M also posted three straight wins to end the year over Ole Miss, UAB and LSU. NC State will be leaning heavily on QB Ryan Finley here, and he has 3,789 passing yards along with 24 TD’s. The Aggies weakness on defense is against the pass, allowing 262.7 YPG. Clearly Finley will be given the “green light” to air it out from start to finish. The Aggies are also down several defenders, including safety Donovan Wilson. The Aggies feature a potent offensive attack as well, featuring dynamic back Trayveon Williams, who had 1,524 rushing yards and 15 major scores.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but NC State has seen the total go “over” the number in seven of its last nine non-conference road games as an underdog in the 2.5 to 9.5 points range. This one has “shootout” written all over it, play the “over.” 

10* play

The set-up: The Rangers come in with plenty of momentum here after a 4-3 win over Nashville last time out and I think New York carries it over. St. Louis on the other hand is out to atone for a 6-1 loss to Pittsburgh in its latest outing. Blues’ net minder Jake Allen is struggling through his worst campaign as a pro, as he’d let in four goals on 17 shots before getting pulled. From a situational stand point, I definitely feel this one sets up as a higher-scoring affair. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well though, but New York has seen the total go “over” the number in five of its last six off a home win in which it scored four or more goals in, while St. Louis has seen the total go “over” in seven of its last nine after allowing six or more goals in its previous outing, while scoring one or less of its own. This number is low, play the “over.” 

10* play

The set-up: The Magic come in off a confidence building 109-107 win over the Pistons at home yesterday afternoon and I think they carry that momentum over here. The Magic have won back-to-back games now after also destroying Toronto. The Hornets will be hungry for a victory here as they enter off a tough 130-126 road loss to Washington on Saturday in the second game of a back-to-back. Orlando though plays with revenge after the Hornets won the first match-up of the season 120-88 back on October 19th. The Magic average 114.2 PPG on the road and they allow 115. Charlotte is an above average offensive tam, ranked seventh in the NBA by averaging 113.4 PPG. The defense though is the Hornets weak point, allowing 111.4 PPG. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Orlando has seen the total go “over” the number in four of five already this year in trying to revenge a blowout loss vs. an opponent of 20 points or more, while Charlotte has seen the total go “over” in four of its last five following a divisional contest. This number is low, play the “over.”

8* play

The set-up: Missouri was 8-4 in regular season play, but just 4-4 in SEC action. Oklahoma State squeaked into the Bowls with a 6-6 regular season record, including going 3-6 in the Big 12. Overall the Tigers are averaging 36.9 PPG and they’re allowing 24.4. Missouri QB Drew Lock finished with 3,125 passing yards and a 25:8 TD/INT. Oklahoma State took the foot off the gas in its final game after securing bowl eligibility in its second to last game of the season in an impressive 45-41 win over WVU. QB Taylor Cornelius had 3,642 passing yards and a 28:11 TD/INT.

The pick: The Cowboys’ offense is the difference maker for me in this one though. Oklahoma State averages just under 500 total yards per game and 38.4 points. Overall they’re allowing 32.4, but with extra time off to prepare, I definitely expect Oklahoma State to keep this one competitive. Take it for what you will as well, but OKS is 4-1 ATS in its last five neutral site games, while Missouri is only 1-4 ATS in its last five following an ATS victory. Grab the points.

10* BOWL GAME OF YEAR

The set-up: Atlanta has been playing well of late, most recently it defeated the Hawks 111-108 on Saturday. Indiana enters off a very satisfying 125-88 home win over the Pistons and I think it’ll get caught “looking past” its lowly opponent today. This is a big time revenge game as well, as Indiana has taken seven straight in the series, including both this year and last week’s 129-121 Boxing Day victory. But Atlanta is now playing its best ball of the year, having won five of its last six. Indiana has won four straight, but note that it’s still a terrible 6-9 ATS in its last 15 off a win by ten points or more vs. a division rival.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but ATL is already 9-5 ATS this season as a road dog in the 6.5 to 12 points range and 7-5 ATS this year in trying to revenge a home loss vs. an opponent. Grab all those points!

10* play

The set-up: Stanford comes in on top form having won three straight. Pittsburgh comes in a bit deflated in my opinion though after falling to Clemson in the ACC Championship. Stanford’s final win of the year came over California. Pittsburgh relies on a strong run game and defense. Stanford does as well, but an injury to star RB Bryce Love shifted the focus of the offense this year to QB KJ Costello, who had 3,435 passing yards. 

The pick: The Cardinal closed strong and I think that momentum gets carried over here. Note that Stanford is 7-2 ATS in its last nine bowl games. Pittsburgh had a ton of momentum, but the humbling loss to Clemson carries over (note that the Panthers are 1-5 ATS in their last six bowl games.) Lay the points.

10* play

The set-up: Neither team is doing very well this year. Montana state is 4-7, while Northern Arizona is just 2-9. But after beating Southern Utah 92-62 this past Saturday, I think Montana State will take a step back here. Overall Montana State averages 72.7 PPG, while allowing 81.9. Northern Arizona averages 72.1 PPG and it allows 81.1. Most recently the Lumberjacks fell 86-73 to Montana last weekend. 

The pick: Take it for what you will though, but Montana State is just 8-21 ATS in its last 29 after covering the spread in its previous game, while Northern Arizona is still 13-9 ATS in its last 22 at home and 9-2 ATS in its last 11 after five or more consecutive losses. I think the “hungrier” teams finds a way to get the job done here. Play on Northern Arizona.

10* play

The set-up: I’m expecting very little defense played between these hungry non-conference opponents. Philadelphia comes in having split its last eight games. Overall the 76ers are averaging 114.5 PPG, while allowing 111.6. Big man Joel Embiid leads the nightly charge with 26.5 points and 13.3 boards per game. Philadelphia comes in having won five of its last eight on the road. The Blazers have split their last ten and they’ll be eager to get back on track after a loss to the Warriors at home last night. Portland upset Golden State on its home floor on Thursday, so the visitors were out for revenge last night. Regardless, Portland is averaging 110.9 PPG and allowing 110.8 and it’s led by Damian Lillard with 26.7 points and 5.8 assists per game. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Philadelphia has seen the total go “over” the number in 14 of its last 22 as a favorite and in ten of 17 on the road, while Portland has seen the total go “over” in eight of 11 non-conference contests. This number low, play the “over.”

10* play

The set-up: With a playoff spot up for grabs, I’m expecting this total to sneak over the number sooner, rather than later. The Colts come in off a thrilling 28-27 come from behind home win over the Giants last Sunday and I don’t think there’s any reason not to think that they can’t carry that momentum over here as well. The Titans posted a 25-16 home win over the Giants last weekend. Overall the Colts average 26.8 PPG and they allow 21.2. The Titans average 19.5 PPG and they allow 18. In the first meeting this year though, Colts’ QB Andrew Luck had 297 passing yards and three TD’s in a 28 point win.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Indianapolis has seen the total go “over” the number in 12 of its last 20 after playing at home, while Tennessee has seen the total go “over” in five of its last six in trying to revenge a loss where an opponent scored 28 points or more. This number is low, play the “over.” 

10* play

The set-up: The Browns are looking to play spoiler and they come in with plenty of momentum. Outright victory?! It’s not out of the question! In fact, Cleveland already upset the Ravens at home 12-9 in OT earlier in the year. Browns’ rookie QB Baker Mayfield had 284 passing yards and three TD’s vs. the Bengals last week. Cleveland’s defense dominated as well, giving up just 209 total yards. Note that Cleveland has in fact won five of six overall. The Ravens are the better team on paper, but I think they get pushed to the brink here after upset win over the Chargers in LA last weekend. 

The pick: The Ravens have struggled against the division as well, going just 1-5 ATS in their last six vs. the AFC North. Note that Baltimore is just 1-4 ATS in its last five at home as well. The Browns on the other hand are 5-1 ATS in the last six after an ATS win. Grab the points.

10* play

The set-up: Win or lose, the Bears are in the playoffs. Chicago does have a lot to play for here, as a victory today and a San Francisco win will earn it a bye into the divisional round of the playoffs. The Vikes though need a victory here, or there done. If they win though, then they’re in. The entire season of turmoil can be put behind them with one big winning effort and that’s exactly what I’m expecting to see happen. If the Bears go down early, one has to wonder how long they’ll try to keep up the fight? Already assured a spot, clearly this one “means more” to Minnesota. “It is going to be a heightened sense of urgency. For us, playoffs have already started,” Minnesota coach Mike Zimmer assessed at his Wednesday press conference. “We know that we have to win this game in order to get into them. There has to be heightened sense of energy and focus and study time,” he added. “You have to make sure that your bodies are rested and understand it is going to be a physical football game on Sunday.”

The pick: Note as well that Chicago is 5-10 ATS in its last 15 as a road underdog, while Minnesota is 11-4 ATS in its last 15 as a home favorite of 7 points or less. Lay the points.

8* play

The set-up: The Eagles need to win this game, and have the Vikings lose to sneak into a wild card spot. Clearly the only thing that Philadelphia can control is its performance on the field of play today, so with that in mind, I expect the defending champs to continue their late season surge and to leave the Nation’s capital with a convincing victory. The Eagles have been “re-born” with Nick Foles under center, who had four TD passing in last week’s come from behind win over the Texans. Washington would love to play spoiler, but it’s hard to imagine it mustering up much energy this weekend, after last week’s 25-16 listless setback to the Titans, their fifth loss in their last six games, officially eliminated it from contention. Can anyone say letdown spot?!

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but the Redskins are a poor 2-6 ATS in their last eight home games vs. teams with winning road records. Whether they make it into the playoffs or not is yet to be seen, but in my opinion everything definitely points towards a lop-sided destruction for the visitors. Lay the points.

8* play

The set-up: Lipscomb comes in off a 91-66 win over Vermont last Saturday to improve to 9-3, but I think the Bison will struggle in this difficult non-conference road venue vs. the Power 5 opponent. Clemson comes in at 9-3 as well and having won three straight, most recently a 78-68 victory over South Carolina. Despite having failed to cover in five of their last six, I think the Tigers will take full advantage of this favorable match-up. Marcquise Reed is back in the line-up after missing three games and he had 20 points in the win over the Gamecocks. I think he’s a difference maker and I believe he’ll be a match-up issue for the Bison.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Clemson is 7-2 ATS in its last nine non-conference home games on the heels of a three games or more unbeaten streak. I’m banking on a blowout. Lay the points.

10* play

The set-up: This is the finale for the New York Giants. The Cowboys posted a 27-20 home win per the Bucs in their latest action, while New York fell 28-27 to the Colts last week. The Cowboys have already clinched a wild card, but I think the value still lies with the visitors. Dallas posted a 20-13 home win over New York back in Week 2. The Dallas defense is a difference maker here as it ranks fourth in the NFL, allowing only 19.3 PPG. Giants’ QB Eli Manning won’t be throwing to Odell Beckham Jr, who is done for the season. Last week the Giants allowed 357 passing yards. Overall New York allows 25.1 PPG and it averages just 22.3. 

The pick: Despite both Cowboys’ offensive stars’ Dak Prescott and Ezekiel Elliot likely to see limited time in this one, the visitors are still the deeper team. The Cowboys’ defense (as stated above), is also a difference maker for me here. Grab the points.

8* play

The set-up: I don’t think the Pilots will score the outright upset here, but I do think they can keep this one competitive late. Fullerton won this game on the raod 76-66 last year. But Portland comes in with momentum after a 54-39 home win over Florida A&M, while Cal State comes in off a deflating 86-62 road loss to Nebraska. Overall the Pilots average 72.1 PPG and they allow 73.9, while the Titans average 73.4 PPG and allow 72.8. I think Cal State is vastly over-rated here. 

The pick: Portland has performed well in this spot for bettors, going 16-8 ATS in its last 24 vs. teams with losing records and 6-2 ATS in its last eight after scoring 60 points or less in two straight games, while Cal State has struggled, going just 1-3 ATS in its last four as a home favorite in the 6.5 to nine points range. Grab the points.

8* play

The set-up: The Hornets were upset at home last night by the Mavs and I think they’ll be ripe for the picking here as well. The Rockets comes in off three straight victories, including over the Celtics most recently. Houston plays with revenge here as well after the Pelicans took the first game in the season series 131-112 in mid October. 

The pick: New Orleans is also just 1-5 already in the second game of the back-to-back scenario this season. Note that the Pelicans are allowing a whopping 124.2 points per game in the second game of the back to back this year. This one is going to be a blowout. Play on Houston.

10* play

The set-up: The Knights enter off a 2-1 home win over the Avs, while the Kings come in off a 2-1 home win over the Coyotes. Las Vegas has predictably had its struggles this year after its unreal first season, but it’s still 21-19 and only three points out of first place in the Pacific. Knights’ net minder Marc-Andre Fleury is so far 21-14 with a 2.60 GAA this year. LA has won four straight, but I think it’ll come crashing back down to Earth here. Still last in the Pacific, goaltender Jon Quick is 5-10 with a 2.92 GAA this year for the Kings.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Las Vegas is 14-3 (+11.3 units) in its last 17 in trying to revenge a home loss vs. an opponent (lost to LA at home earlier in the year), while the Kings are a poor 38-55 (-20.3 units) the last two seasons vs. teams with winning records. Great price on the Knights.

10* play

The set-up: The Irish are 12-0 and the Tigers are 13-0. This is the Cotton Bowl, but the winner of this will move on to face either Oklahoma or Alabama in the National Championship Game. Notre Dame had to hold on for dear life in its regular season finale vs. USC, while Clemson easily steamrolled Pittsburgh in its ACC Championship title. Both teams feature elite defenses and I believe they’ll “steal the show” in this one. 

The pick: Each team will be trying to establish its run game throughout while on offense. And take it row what you will, but Notre Dame has seen the total go “under” in seven of its last ten after allowing 280 or more passing yards in its previous game and in four of its last five neutral site games, while Clemson has seen the total go “under” in seven of its last nine neutral site affairs on a three weeks or more lay off. This number is a little high, play the “under.” 

10* play

The set-up: After losing to Duke, Kentucky has won nine of its last ten. The Wildcats enter off a win over UNC last weekend, but I think they’ll finally have a letdown here. Louisville looks to defend home court and it comes in with plenty of momentum itself with three straight victories. To say this is a “revenge” game would be an understatement as well as the Wildcats have won five of the past six in the series. These teams are clearly very evenly matched, but after the extended stretch of great play, including the win over the Tar Heels last weekend, I definitely feel that this sets up as a letdown spot finally for Kentucky.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Kentucky is just 5-6 ATS in its last 11 non-conference games, while Louisville is already 4-1 ATS as an underdog this year. I’m banking on home floor being the difference. Play on Louisville.

10* play

The set-up: I’m expecting a rout from start to finish in this one. The Cavs come in with zero momentum after losing three of their last four, including to Virginia Tech most recently. The Gamecocks upset the Wolverines in last year’s Outback Bowl and they won their final game of the year over Akron (28-3.) “You get a bunch of bowl gear, and if you lose the game, you damn sure don’t want to wear any of it,” SC coach Will Muschamp said recently. “I haven’t put anything on from the Birmingham Bowl, I’ll tell you that. …When you win the bowl game, it just makes everybody feel better about what’s going on, where the program is headed. …Our guys understand that coming off a win gives you a little more confidence in your program about where you are. But the 2018 team will close its book in Charlotte.” Virginia opened at 6-2, but the Cavs have stumbled unbelievably down the stretch and I think that carries over here. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, South Carolina is 4-0 ATS in its last four vs. teams with winning records, 6-0 ATS in its last six neutral site games and 4-1 ATS in its last five following an ATS loss. Virginia is just 2-5 ATS in its last seven when playing on three or more weeks rest on a neutral field. Lay the points.

10* play

The set-up: I’m expecting a wide open shootout in this one. OKC will be eager to get back on track after a 113-109 road loss in Houston on X-Mas Day. Phoenix on the other hand will be looking to keep the momentum roling after its 122-120 OT win over Orlando on Wednesday. The Suns play with revenge today as well after a 110-100 loss to the Thunder here on November 17th. The Thunder average 111.9 PPG and they allow 105.8. The Suns average 105.1 PPG and they allow 113.6. The Suns have been getting healthier and they’ve been playing lot better of late and there’s no reason not to think that they can’t carry that momentum over here.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but OKC has seen the total go “over” the number in 12 of 20 vs. teams with losing records already this season, while Phoenix has seen the total go “over” in 15 of its last 21 off an upset win as a road dog. This number is low, play the “over.” 

10* play

The set-up: No outright victory, but I think this one will be a lot more competitive than what this spread would suggest. I think the Wolves, who have won two straight, get caught “looking past” their lowly opponent tonight. After winning three straight, the Hawks are looking to bounce back after a loss in Indiana in their latest outing. Kent Bazemore was a standout in the setback with 32 points. The Wolves are playing great under the guidance of Derrick Rose, but note that they’ve been consistently inconsistent in this spot by going just 1-4 ATS this year after a blowout win of 15 points or more.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but ATL is already 8-5 ATS this season as a road dog in the 6.5 to 12 points range. For all the reasons listed above, play on Atlanta.

8* play

The set-up: Austin Peay comes in “under the radar” here. The Governors have won six straight and they’re averaging 78.1 PPG, while allowing 75.4. Austin Peay is lead by Terry Taylor who is averaging 17.8 points and 8.3 boards per game. Arkansas has won six of eight, but it’s not too hard to imagine the home side looking past its lowly non-conference opponent tonight. Overall Arkansas is averaging 82.4 PPG and allowing 70.7. 

The pick: Take it for what you will though, but Austin Peay is 5-1 ATS in its last six non-conference games, while the Razorbacks are 0-4 ATS in their last four at home and 0-4 ATS in their last four non-conference games. As stated off the top, I think the Governors come in “under the radar” and while I’ll stop short in calling for the outright upset, I do indeed feel that the stage is se for a tighter battle than what this spread would suggest. Grab the points.

10* play

The set-up: Two teams hungry for a win collide on Friday night and I think that points will be plentiful. The 5-8 UC Riverside Highlanders have split their last ten games. Overall they’re averaging 62.5 points, while allowing 69.7. Dikymbe Martin is averaging 16.2 points and 2.2 assists for the Highlanders. Air Force has lost five of seven. The Falcons are averaging 65.3 points and allowing 72.1. LaVelle Scottie averages 11.9 points and 1.5 assists per game. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but UC Riverside has seen the total go “over” the number in nine of its last 14 after scoring 60 points or less in its previous contest, while Air Force has seen the total go “over” in six of its last eight off an embarrassing road loss in which it scored 60 points or less in. This number is low, play the “over.”

8* play

The set-up: In a contest which I envision being decided late or in extra time, I believe the prudent move is to lay the reasonable mid-sized price for the extra 1.5 goals. Ottawa enters off a 4-0 home loss to Washington, while the Isles return home after a 3-1 road win over the Stars. Overall the Sens average 3.19 GPG and they allow 3.89. Note that Ottawa goaltender Craig Anderson has a very respectable 2.52 lifetime GAA vs. the Isles in 18 match ups. The Isles are averaging 2.83 GPG and they’re allowing 2.71. NY net minder Tomas Greiss is 3-1 with a 3.48 GAA lifetime vs. Ottawa.

The pick: Take it for what you will though, but Ottawa is 3-1 (+2 units) in its last four when playing with three or more days rest, while New York is already 0-3 (-3.1 units) this season in the same position. Lay the price, grab the 1.5 goals.

10* play

The set-up: No one expected the Orange to finish 9-3 overall and go 5-1 in their last six, but now they’ll look to continue to defy the odds and carry that momentum over into the Camping World Bowl. WVU comes in off back-to-back losses to Oklahoma State and Oklahoma and it’ll be without starting QB Will Grier, who will skip to focus on the draft. That just means that it’s “next man up” for the Mountaineers. And that next man is Jack Allison, who now has a golden opportunity to cement his role next year. WVU is loaded with other offensive weapons though and the Mountaineers will be hungry to finish up strong as well. From a situational stand point, there’s no doubt this one sets up as a “shootout” in my opinion. 

The pick: Note as well that Syracuse has seen the total go “over” the number in five of seven as a favorite already this year, while WVU has seen the total go “over” in five of six already this season when the total is greater than or equal to 63. This number is a little low, play the “over.” 

10* play

The set-up: Utah has won three of four, while Philadelphia saw a two-game win steak end in a OT loss at Boston on X-Mas Day. Philadelphia looks to bounce back here in this difficult venue: “I look forward to watching us evolve,” 76ers’ head coach Brett Brown assessed last night. “We will learn from this. We leave disappointed, but I think there’s lots you’re going to point to and say it was a hell of a job, and we lost to a team that’s very tough…. The fact that the starting five for the large majority of the game was excellent. I though the spirit was great, the energy was great, but we need to continue to grow our bench, and to work with our starters to finish out the game.” Maintaining focus for the Jazz vs. the Eastern Conference opponent is a concern though in my opinion. 

The pick: Because take it for what you will, but the Jazz are still a poor 3-7 ATS in their last ten following a victory, while Philadelphia is 7-2 ATS in its last nine following a SU loss. Grab the points, expect a competitive battle.

10* play

The set-up: The Avs come out of the X-Mas break hungry after losing six of their last eight games. The Knights will be equally as hungry here as well after a lacklustre first half and back-to-back losses of their own. Both teams remain in the playoff picture, but clearly the need for wins in the second half the season becomes paramount. From a situational stand point, there’s no doubt this one sets up nicely for more of a shootout than a goaltenders battle in my opinion. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well by the Avs have seen the total go “over” the number in nine of their last 14 when playing with three or more days rest, while the Knights have seen the total go “over” in its last six home games when the total is set at 6 or higher. This number is a low, play the “over.” 

10* play

The set-up: I think this one will sneak “over” the number once it’s all said and done. This is the Texas Bowl from NRG Stadium in Houston. Vandy became eligible by winning its final two games of the year over Ole Miss and Tennessee. Baylor’s also looking to cap a 6-6 season a high note after it broke a two-game skid with a bowl eligibility victory over Texas Tech back on November 24th. On offense, Vanderbilt will be leaning on Ke’Shawn Vaughn, who posted 1,001 rushing yards and ten TD’s on 144 carries this season. Baylor is susceptible against the run as well, allowing 172.8 rushing yards per game. Vandy also has a steady presence under center in Kyle Shurmur, who finished with 2,844 yards and 23 passing TD’s. After only one victory last season, clearly the Bears are very happy to be back bowling this year. Baylor’ QB Charlie Brewer finished with 2,635 passing yards and and 17 TD’s. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Vanderbilt has seen the total go “over” in three of its last four when playing with two weeks rest, while Baylor has seen the total go “over” in its last two non-conference games. This number is a little low, play the “over.”

10* play

The set-up: Minnesota looks to bounce back here after a 2-1 loss to the Stars on Saturday. A date vs. the hapless Hawks is just what the doctor ordered. Chicago comes in off a 6-3 loss to Florida. Minnesota will be desperate here and the break couldn’t have come at a better time after four straight losses. Overall the Wild are averages 2.9 GPG and they’re allowing 2.8. After three straight losses the Hawks fell to the Panthers in their last game. Chicago averages 2.8 GPG and it allows 3.7. 

The pick: Minnesota though is 56-36 (+3.1 units) the last two years vs. teams with losing records, while Chicago is just a horrible 5-16 (-13.2 units) in its last 21 when playing with three or more days of rest. I’m expecting the extra time off to benefit the Wild much more than the Hawks in this one. Lay the price.

8* play

The set-up: The Flames are atop the Pacific Division as they come out of the X-Mas break, despite a three-game losing streak. Winnipeg leads the Central and the overall Western Conference standings with 50 points. Calgary averages 3.43 GPG and it’s allowing 2.73. Calgary’s middle of the road on both the power play and penalty kill though. Winnipeg averages 3.53 GPG and it allows only 2.78. Jets’ goaltender Connor Hellebuyck is 3-1-0 with a 2.17 GAA lifetime vs. the Flames.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but the Jets are 8-0 in their last eight when playing on three or more days rest, while Calgary is just 1-5 in its last six in the same position. The Jets are 24-10-2 at home and I believe they’ll find a way to get the job done on Thursday night as well.

10* play

The set-up: The 5-9 UMKC Kangaroos are at Creighton to take on the 8-4 Blue Jays and in my opinion, points are going to be at a premium. The Kangaroos went into the X-Mas break with an impressive 95-59 win over Elon on Saturday, going 16 of 26 from behind the arc. The defensive performance by UMKC was likely even more impressive though. The Blue Jays destroyed sub-division Coe College 110-60 in their latest action. Creighton though faces a much more difficult defensive task today.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but the Kangaroos have seen the total go “under” the number in seven of their last nine road games after a victory in which they scored 95 points or more in, while the Blue Jays have seen the total go “under” in eight of their last 11 after scoring 105 points or more in a 20 points or more blowout victory in their previous outing. This number is high, play the “under.” 

10* play

The set-up: Two 7-5 teams collide in the Pinstripe Bowl on Thursday night and I’m expecting an all out war until the final whistle. Last year Wisconsin beat Miami in the Orange Bowl and I think a repeat performance is in the cards here as well. Note that this game is being played at Yankee Stadium and in three road games in relatively cold weather against Virginia, Georgia Tech and BC, the Hurricanes managed just 48 total points in those ones. Miami has a great defense, but the offense was middle of the road in averaging only 374.6 YPG. At 4-4 in the ACC, this was considered a poor year for Miami. Wisconsin finished 5-4 in the Big 10 West. The Badgers rely on a strong run game on offense and an above average defense which allows just 358.8 YPG. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Wisconsin is 4-1 ATS in its last five following a SU loss, while Miami is just 1-6 ATS in its last seven bowl games and only 1-5 ATS in its last six vs. the Big Ten. Grab the points.

8* play

The set-up: In what is expected to be a very low-scoring defensive battle, I like the Horned Frogs to pull away down the stretch for the victory. TCU was 3-5, but it closed the season strong by winning three of its final four, including a 31-24 home win over OK State in its regular season finale to make it to 6-6. I think the Frogs carry that momentum over here. Cal on the other hand maybe peaked too early, as it had won four of five before a loss to Stanford in its finale (a disastrous 10-6 setback.) Cal averages 22.8 PPG and it allows 21.2. TCU average 24.7 PPG and it allows 24.4. 

The pick: Take it for what you will though, but Cal is just 1-5 ATS in its last six neutral site games, while TCU is 7-2 ATS in its last nine following a win in which it scored 30 points or more and following a two weeks or more break. Play on the Horned Frogs.

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The set-up: Simply put, I don’t think that home court advantage can be overlooked as a very real deciding factor in this matchup. The Nets once again come in under the radar here after winning eight of their last nine. The Hornets look poised for another letdown here after their two-game win streak was broke in a 119-103 loss in Boston last time out. Overall the Hornets average 110.9 points per 100 possessions, while allowing 108.2 per 100 possessions. The Nets average 109.9 points per 100 possessions, while allowing 110.2 per 100 possessions. 

The pick: Take it for what you will thought, but Brooklyn is 6-1 ATS in its last seven vs. the Eastern Conference, while Brooklyn is just 7-19-1 ATS in its last 27 following a SU loss of ten or more points. Kemba Walker is doing a hell of a job to keep the Hornets relevant, but I think he’ll stumble in this now difficult road venue. Play on the Nets.

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The set-up: While I wouldn’t be completely shocked by an outright upset, in a contest which I envision being decided by whichever of these hungry teams has its hands on the ball last, I’m going to grab the points. Both teams have struggled this year (Washington is just 13-21 and Detroit only 15-16.) The Wizards come in desperate for a victory after dropping five of their last seven. The Pistons can empathize with their counterparts today as they’ve gone just 3-9 in December. Most recently Detroit fell 98-95 at home to the lowly Hawks. 

The pick: Take it for what you will though, but Washington is already 3-1 ATS this year after failing to cover the spread in four straight games, while Detroit is just 3-7 ATS this season as a home favorite. This one has “nail-biter” written all over it. Grab the points.

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The set-up: I think the Yellow Jackets’ option attack will prove to be too much for the Gophers to keep up to down the stretch in this one. Georgia Tech ended the year with a loss to Georgia, finishing 7-5 overall, while Minnesota was 6-6, managing to gut out the sixth win with a very satisfying victory over rival Wisconsin. Can anyone say letdown spot? In fact, that victory over the Badgers is much bigger than a win here could possibly mean. Georgia Tech couldn’t finish with an upset in its finale, but it had signature victories of its own over Miami, Virginia Tech and Virginia this season. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but GT is 4-0-1 ATS in its last five neutral site games, while Minnesota is just 2-5-1 ATS in its last eight following a SU victory. This one has blowout written all over it. Lay the points.

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The set-up: This is a consolation game in the Diamond Head Classic and I like the Rhode Island Rams to put the foot on the gas and run the home side Warriors off the floor once its all said and done. Hawaii enters off a 70-62 win over Colorado in the consolation bracket Sunday, while the Rams beat Charlotte 75-61 in their consolation game on Sunday. The Rams feature the more senior players and more talented line-up though and I think this depth will be the difference in the outcome of this one.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Rhode Island is still 10-6 ATS in its last 16 tournament games, while Hawaii is a disappointing 5-8 ATS in its last 13 as a home underdog or pick. For all the reasons listed above, lay the points.

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The set-up: The Thunder look to get back on track here after a 114-112 loss at home to Minnesota on Sunday. It was the second game of a back-to-back and clearly OKC was tired in that one. The Rockets have looked a lot better of late and they enter off a 108-101 home win over San Antonio. OKC has taken two straight in this series, including a 98-80 home win in the first matchup on November 8th. While that contest was a low-scoring defensive affair, I think the overall conditions for this one set it up as a classic “shootout.” Overall OKC averages 112 PPG, while allowing 105.6. The Rockets got out to the slow start and still only averaging 109.2 PPG, while allowing 108.5. 

The pick: Take it for what you will though, but OKC has seen the total go “over” the number in 14 of its last 23 vs. poor defensive teams which allow 106 PPG, while Houston has seen the total go “over” in nine of its last 14 as a home favorite. This number is high, play the “over.” 

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The set-up: I got down on this one early and have a favorable line, but regardless, I think the high-powered Bucks are going to lay the hammer down from start to finish. The Bucks comes in off a 94-87 road loss in Miami, a setback which snapped a four-game win streak. Overall Milwaukee averages 116.9 PPG and it allows 108.5. The Knicks come in on the other end of the spectrum, having lost four straight, most recently a listless setback at home to the Hawks. The Knicks average 108.6 PPG and they allow 115.9. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but New York is just 1-7 ATS in its last eight following a SU loss and 0-5 ATS in its last five at home, while Milwaukee is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 following a SU loss. This one has blowout written all over it. Lay the points.

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The set-up: Two teams playing out their respective seasons collide on Monday night. If these clubs could have a “do over,” they’d clearly both jump on it. Regardless, I think the Broncos will do just enough to gut out the win and cover. The Raiders have nothing to play for here and another loss will only help them in the draft next year. Raiders’ hired Jon Gruden on the off-season last year and his first season has been a disaster. Broncos’ head coach Vance Joseph is expected to be fired after his Week 17 matchup with the Chargers, but he’s not going down without a fight: “Absolutely. We want to win,” Joseph said on Monday. “These next two games are important for us to finish the right way. That part is very important to me. It’s about winning. That’s what it’s about. It’s not about losing, it’s about winning. That’s very important to our football team and our coaches.”

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Denver is already 2-0 ATS this year after a loss by 3 points or less, while Oakland is a terrible 4-8 ATS as an underdog. For all the reasons listed above, play on the Broncos.

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The set-up: From a situational stand point, there’s no doubt that this one sets up as a high-scoring shootout. The Chiefs come in off a tough 29-28 home loss to the Chargers on Thursday. The Chiefs remain the highest scoring team in the league, but they’re in the bottom third defensively. KC needs to win this game to keep pace for the top spot in the AFC. The Hawks also come in off a tough 26-23 OT loss in San Francisco last weekend. Both teams feature a couple of the best QB’s in the league in Patrick Mahomes and Russell Wilson. Each will be given the green light here today obviously. As stated off the top, this one definitely sets up as a higher-scoring shootout in my opinion.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well though, but KC has seen the total go “over” the number in six of seven on the road already this year, while Seattle has seen the total go “over” in ten of its last 15 as an underdog. This number is low, play the “over.”

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The set-up: I don’t think that the home ice advantage can be overlooked as a very real deciding factor in this particular match-up. The Isles enter off a 4-2 loss in Vegas, while Dallas fell to the lowly Blackhawks in their last game. Dallas though posted a 6-2 road win over the Isles in New York last month and I look for it to post a similar beatdown here as well. This is the end of a tough Western swing for the Isles and I think they’ll come out flat. Overall New York averages 2.8 GPG and it allows 2.8 GPG as well. Dallas is 11-4-1 at home and it averages 2.7 GPG, while allowing 2.8. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Dallas is 5-1 in its last six at home, while New York is just 1-4 in its last five when playing on two days rest. I like Dallas to bounce back on home ice. Lay the price.

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The set-up: The Pelicans will be eager to get back into the winners circle after a 112-104 road loss to the Lakers on Friday. The Kings enter off a very satisfying 102-99 home win over the Grizzlies and I believe they’ll suffer a predictable letdown here. New Orleans has dominated this series of late, including a 149-129 home victory in the first meeting this year on October 19th. Overall the Pelicans average 116.3 PPG and they allow 115.2. Sacramento is averaging 114.9 PPG and it’s allowing 116.4. Clearly that’s not a recipe for long-term success. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but New Orleans is still 11-6 ATS in its last 17 as a road favorite of six points or less. I’m banking on the Pelicans dominance of this series continuing. Play on New Orleans.

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The set-up: I think the tired Canes come out flat here. Carolina played and lost 3-0 at home to Pittsburgh just last night. Boston comes to town off a confidence building 5-2 home win over Nashville. Boston has in fact won three in a row and six of eight. Overall the Bruins average 2.81 GPG and they allow 2.53. The Hurricanes have lost eight of nine. Overall Carolina is averaging 2.55 GPG and allowing 2.88.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Boston is 5-0 in its last five when playing on zero days rest, while Carolina is just 7-19 in its last 26 when playing in the third game of a 3-in-4 situation. Look for the “hotter” team to come out on top. Great value on the Bruins.

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The set-up: The Rams look ripe for the picking here in my opinion. LA comes in off a 30-23 home loss to Philadelphia. Arizona was crushed 40-14 by Atlanta last weekend, but it plays with revenge here after falling 34-0 in LA in Week 2. 

The pick: LA has in fact lost back-to-back games, falling 15-6 in Chicago in Week 14, followed by last week’s upset as well. Arizona would love nothing more than to continue to play spoiler. The home side won’t be rolling over. Take it for what you will as well, but the Cards are still 3-1 ATS vs. the division this year. I’m grabbing the points.

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The set-up: Carolina still has a shot at one of the wild card spots in the NFC, but the team just shut down starting QB Cam Newton after six straight losses and I think the Falcons, who broke a three-game slide with a win over the Cardinals last weekend, will like nothing more than to play the role of spoiler here. Atlanta is eliminated from playoff contention, but the core group will be looking to end the season on a positive note and taking out their hated rival will go a long way in soothing the disgruntled fan base back in ATL. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but ATL is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 off a home victory, while Carolina is just 1-3 ATS in its last four after playing on MNF. Lay the points and look for Matt Ryan and the Falcons to deliver the knock out blow.

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The set-up: The defending champs continue to defy the odds and keep their playoff hopes alive. The Texans posted a 29-22 road win over New York and it still has a two game lead over Indy for the division title. Philadelphia rallied for a 30-23 upset win over the Rams last weekend and it’ll need to win today as well to keep pace in the Wild card race. 

The pick: The Eagles’ defense remains a difference maker and I think the unit will be once again this week as well. Additionally note that Houston is just 8-11 ATS in its last 19 as a road underdog, while Philadelphia is 10-5 ATS in its last 15 as a home favorite. Look for Nick Foles and company to defend home turf.

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Analysis to come. 10* play

The set-up: I think the home side has a legitimate shot at winning this one outright. That said, I’ll recommend laying the price for the extra 1.5 goals of insurance in the end. Could you fault the Jets for looking past their lowly opponent today after winning six of their last seven? The Canucks though have quietly been dominating themselves of late by going 3-1 on their current home stand. In a contest which I envision being decided late or even in extra time, the hot/hungry home side is the correct call here in my opinion. 

The pick: The Canucks have actually going 6-1-1 in their last eight behind an improved defense which has allowed two goals only twice in its past seven games. Play on the Canucks puck line.

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The set-up: Buffalo enters with a 10-3 record, while Troy finished 9-3. Buffalo averaged 34.8 PPG, behind a strong rushing offense which finished 45th in the country. The Bulls were above average defensively, allowing just 24.7 PPG, ranked 48th (Jared Patterson and Kevin Marks had 1,751 rushing yards combined). Troy only averaged 29.8 PPG, but it made up for it on the other side of the ball by allowing only 21.2 (ranked 23rd.) The Trojans had to make a shift at QB when No. 1 Kaleb Barker went down with injury and backup Sawyer Smith was average at best, finishing with a 10/6 TD:INT over seven games. Troy’s offense revolves around RB BJ Smith, who posted at least 100 rushing yards in five of his last eight games.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Buffalo has seen the total go “under” the number in seven of its last nine after having lost two of its last three games, while Troy has seen the total go “under” in four of its last five following a two weeks or more period of rest. This number is high, play the “under.” 

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The set-up: The Dons are 11-1 and the Cardinal are just 6-4 (SU), but I think the value is on the undervalued underdog in this one. The Cardinal have played a difficult non-conference schedule to this point, with three of its setbacks vs. AP Top 25 teams. Stanford though comes in playing its best ball of the young season with two straight wins, most recently a 78-73 defeat of San Jose State. The Dons have beaten Harvard and Cal, but beyond that its opposition has been much weaker to this point. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but San Francisco is just 1-7 ATS in its last eight games as a favorite in the 7 to 12.5 points range. while Stanford is 4-1-1 ATS in is last six as a road underdog in the 7 to 12.5 points range and 12-3-1 ATS in its last 16 vs. teams with a win percentage above .600. Grab the points.

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The set-up: Washington is still in the playoff hunt after holding on for a win against the Jaguars in Week 15, but the Redskins’ chances are still slim, especially considering the significant injuries. The Titans have won three straight over the Jets, Jags and Giants and I think it’ll keep the foot on the gas from start to finish here as well. Not only are the Skins down to their third string QB, but CB Joshua Holsey was lost for the season in last week’s narrow victory. Tennessee on the other hand is getting steady play from QB Marcus Mariota, while getting superb play from RB Derrick Henry. The Titans though are now No. 2 in the NFL in scoring defense after allowing just one TD over their past 12 quarters of play.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Washington is just 2-6 ATS in its last eight after allowing 14 points or less in its last game, while Tennessee is 4-2 ATS at home this year and 8-5 ATS in its last 13 as a home favorite. Lay the points, expect a rout.

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The set-up: Mike Norvell is looking to lead the 8-5 Memphis Tigers to their first bowl win since 2014. Norvell has taken his team to two other bowl games, but he’s come up short each time. Wake Forest finished 6-6 and it could just be happy to be here after winning both the Military Bowl in 2016 and the Belk Bowl last year. Both teams are dealing with injuries to key offensive players. Wake Forest is likely without the services of Greg Dortch, who led the ACC with 1,750 all purpose yards, but who suffered a finger injury in the Deacons’ 59-7 rout of Duke in their finale (if he does play, clearly he won’t be at 100% health). Memphis averages 43.6 PPG, but it’ll be without star RB Darrell Henderson, who will move onto the NFL now. Regardless, the Tigers are still loaded with talent and I have a hard time seeing the Deacons keeping pace down the stretch.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Memphis is 7-3 ATS in its last ten following an ATS loss, while Wake Forest is just 2-7 ATS in its last nine vs. teams above the .500 mark. Lay the points and expect a rout.

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The set-up: The Memphis Grizzlies are in a “free fall” right now and I think the hungry home side takes advantage. The Grizz have lost four straight and six of their last seven. The Kings enter off back-to-back losses as well, over the Wolves and Thunder, so they won’t be lacking any motivation here either. Memphis has been dealing with injury issues again to guard Mike Conley, as well as to forward Omri Casspi. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Memphis is 1-4 ATS in its last five on the road and only 1-5 ATS in its last six vs. the Western Conference, while the Kings are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 when playing on one days rest and 8-3 ATS in their last 11 home games vs. teams with losing road records. This line could easily be a lot larger in my opinion. Play on the Kings.

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The set-up: Oregon has only played one true road game this year and it was a 65-61 loss to Houston on December 1st. And that came on the heels of a shocking 89-84 home loss to Texas Southern. Bears fans can empathize. Baylor enters off an upset 59-58 home loss to Stephen F. Austin. Overall Baylor has been the better defensive team this year and I think that’ll be the main difference in the outcome of this one (note that the Bears are giving up just 63.4 PPG overall and they’ve actually held six of their ten opponents to 61 points or fewer.) 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Baylor is 5-1 ATS in its last six following an ATS loss and 4-0 ATS in its last four following a SU loss, while Oregon is 3-7-1 ATS in its last 11 following a SU win. Lay the points, expect a rout.

10*

The set-up: Both teams return to bowl action after missing last year. Both teams have a freshman QB under center today. Both were forced into the starters role in the middle of the campaign for different reasons. WMU is averaging 33.2 PPG, while allowing 33.2. Kaleb Eleby helped WMU end a three-gam losing streak with a 28-21 win over NIU in the regular season finale. Eleby finished with 285 passing yards. BYU is averaging only 25.4 PPG, but it makes up for it on the other end, allowing just 21.7. Zach Wilson finished with 1,261 yards passing with a 10/6 TD:INT over six starts for the Cougars. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but BYU is just 1-3 ATS in its last four after playing with two weeks or more of rest, while WMU is 8-4 ATS in is last 12 following a home win. This one has competitive battle written all over it. Grab the points.

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The set-up: Calgary will be looking to control the pace of this one and as such, I look for this total to sneak under this sky high number once it’s all said and done. Tampa has won nine of its last ten, while Calgary enters off a 2-0 shutout loss in Dallas, after having won three in a row and eight of nine previous. These teams are getting great production on both ends of the ice, but I’m expecting more of a defensive battle between these non-conference foes this evening. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Tampa has seen the total go “under” the number in eight of its last 13 vs. teams with winning records, while Calgary has seen the total go “under” in 14 of its last 24 after playing three straight road games. This number is high, play the “under.”

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The set-up: These two teams may not play in the same conference, but each will be hungry for a victory here. Houston started off the season poorly, but it’s since shown signs of its former glory, with Chris Paul and James Harden playing much better. Harden leads Houston with 31.5 PPG, while Paul adds 15.8 points, 8.2 assists and 2.7 steals per game.) Miami enters with a ton of momentum as well after going 4-2 on its most recent road trip. Hassan Whiteside has played much better this season, averaging 13.4 points, 13.3 boards and 2.88 blocks per game.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Houston has seen the total go “over” the number in six of its last nine vs. teams with losing records, while Miami has seen the total go “over” in five of its last seven against teams with winning records. This number is low, play the “over.” 

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The set-up: South Florida opened the season 7-0, but it then lost five straight to finish 7-5. With a chance to erase the disappointing second half with a third straight bowl victory, I think the Bulls will pull off the minor upset today. Marshall last played on December 1st, a 41-20 loss to the Hokies which snapped a three-game win streak. A three week layoff isn’t going to help the Herds’ chemistry. USF will be leaning heavily on the RB duo of Jordan Cronkrite and Johnny Ford, shoe combined for over 1,800 rushing yards and 17 TD’s. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Marshall is just 2-6 ATS in its last eight as a road favorite and already 0-2 ATS this year when playing with two weeks or more of rest, while USF is 4-1 ATS in its last five when playing with two weeks or more of rest and 3-1 ATS in its last four following a loss of 17 points or more. Grab the points.

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The set-up: The Ducks have been playing a lot better of late, but I think they’ll finally come up short here in this difficult road venue. Anaheim comes in off a 3-1 loss in New York, while the Bruins return him off a 4-0 road win in Montreal. Anaheim averages 2.53 GPG and it allows 2.81. Boston averages 2.74 GPG and it allows 2.59. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but the Bruins are 18-6 in their last 24 when playing with two days rest, while the Ducks are just 2-8 in their last ten road games vs. a team with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. No upset here, lay the price.

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The set-up: Ohio is 7-3 and the Boilermakers are 6-5. The Bobcats come in off a narrow 63-61 win over Detroit on Saturday. Teyvion Kirk finished with 16 points and seven boards for Ohio, which would go on to outscore Detroit 30-20 in the paint. Purdue comes into this one reeling, loser of five of its last seven after a sharp 4-0 start. Most recently the Boilermakers fell to Texas and Notre Dame. Clearly the competition has been stiff, but I do think that the door is open for Ohio to keep this game competitive as well. Note that the Boilermakers shot just 9 of 29 from range in the loss to the Irish.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Ohio is 5-2 ATS in its last seven after a win by six points or less, while Purdue is just 1-3 ATS in its last four after two or more SU losses. Grab the point and expect a more competitive battle than what this spread would suggest.

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The set-up: Stephen Curry returned about two weeks ago and after a shaky stretch, the Warriors have now won six of their last seven. The Jazz are trending in the opposite direction now, having gone just 1-4 in their last five. Speaking of Curry, he’s having an awesome year despite missing a month of action. Curry and Kevin Durant combined for 69 points in a 124-123 win at Utah back on October 19th. Utah comes in ice cold offensively, having not reach the 100-point plateau in back-to-back games. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Golden State is 6-2 ATS in its last eight following a blowout win by 15 points or more, while Utah is just 3-4 ATS as an underdog this season. Lay the points, expect a blowout.

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The set-up: Both teams are pretty terrible. Grand Canyon is 5-5, while Northern Iowa is 4-6. The Antelopes though are 0-2 in true road games, while the Panther are 2-0 at home. Northern Iowa average 67 PPG and it allows 71. Grand Canyon is averaging 75 PPG and it’s allowing 72. 

The pick: On paper coach Marjele’s Antelopes have the advantage. But I thick Grand Canyon’s numbers are skewed by the level of competition to this point. Take it for what you will as well, but Northern Iowa is 7-2 ATS in its last nine home games following a two games SU/ATS losing streak. Play on the home side.

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The set-up: I think these two heated rivals will play to more of a lower-scoring goaltenders battle tonight. Washington is 20-12, but Pittsburgh is just 15-18. Pittsburgh is out to atone for a 4-2 home loss to Anaheim, while Washington enters off a 4-3 shootout win over Buffalo. Pittsburgh is averaging 3.36 GPG and allowing 3.21. Matt Murray gets the call in net for the Pens and he’s a solid 3-1 with a 2.47 GAA on the road this season. Washington averages 3.72 GPG and it allows 3.09. Braden Holtby gets the nod between the pipes for the home side and he’s 8-5 with a 2.78 GAA at home.

The pick: The stage is now set for these two competent netminders to “steal the show.” Note as well that Pittsburgh has seen the total go “under” in five of eight already this year vs. the division, while Washington has seen the total go “under” in 15 of its last 24 home games when the total in the contest is set at 6 or higher. This number is high, play the “under.” 

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