The set-up: The Hornets come in off a tougher than expected 1-point win over the Wizards at home just last night. The victory broke a three-game slide. Clearly it’s not going to get any easier facing the dangerous Bucks, who broke a two-game skid with a blowout win over a tired Pacers team last time out. The Hornets have struggled for the most part this season, but they won’t be lacking for motivation here. The Bucks on the other hand appear to be scuffling late and I think they’ll get caught looking past their lowly opponent in a small way tonight. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Charlotte is 3-1 ATS in its last four as a road dog in the 12.5 to 18 points range, while Milwaukee is just 1-4 ATS in its last five as a home favorite in the same points range. This spread is too large in my opinion. Grab the points.

10* play

The set-up: I base my picks on many different things. This one is based on scheduling and the revenge factor. Carolina lost at home to Winnipeg just last night and I think it comes in dog tired in the second game of the back-to-back at the end of the season. The Predators play with revenge here after falling 6-3 in Carolina earlier in the season. From a situational point of view, there’s no doubt that this one sets up great for the home side.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well though, but Carolina is just 12-13 (-2 units) this year vs. teams with winning records, while the Predators are 67-45 (+7.7 units) the last two seasons revenging a loss vs. an opponent and 3-1 (+1.3 units) this year when playing with three or more days rest. This line should be higher. Lay it.

10* play

The set-up: This is a big game, as it’ll play a part in deciding first place in the conference standings. Both teams are expected to make deep runs into the NCAA tournament and each has a legitimate shot at winning the conference tournament despite the result of tonight’s contest. From a situational stand point, I absolutely believe this one sets up great as a higher-scoring shootout, rather than a lower-scoring defensive battle. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well though, but Michigan has seen the total go “over” the number in 12 of its last 18 as an underdog, while MSU has seen the totla go “over” in seven of its last ten home games when the total was set between 134 and 140. This number is low, play the “over.”

9* play

The set-up: This is a big game. The Blue Devils will be without Zion Williamson in this one, but they’re out for revenge after falling to UNC earlier in the year. UNC won’t be rolling over obviously as it comes in on top form having won six straight. Despite what happens in this one, each is expected to make a deep run in the upcoming tournament and both have a legitimate shot at winning the upcoming conference tournament. From a situational stand point, I absolutely believe this one sets up great as a classic high-scoring “shootout.” 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well though, but Duke has seen the total go over the number in eight of its last ten as an underdog (including in both games this season,) while UNC has seen the total soar “over” in three of its last four as a home favorite of six points or less or pick. This number is a little low, play the “over.”

10* play

The set-up: These teams are tied for third at 8-9 with five other schools. This is a big game, as the winner could potentially earn the No. 3 seed in the upcoming tournament. I don’t think that the home court advantage can be overlooked as a very real deciding factor here. The Red Storm have zero momentum after losing three of their last four, most recently getting smoked 92-83 at DePaul Sunday. St. John’s is 3-5 on the road in conference play, allowing 79 PPG. St. John’s has lost seven straight in this series and it’s just 1-4 at Xavier since the Big East reconfigured in 2013. Xavier is on the bubble as well and it’ll be out to bounce back on Seniors Night after a 71-66 loss at Butler on Tuesday. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Xavier is 6-2 ATS in its last eight home game svs. a team with an above .500 road record, while St. John’s is just 3-4 ATS in its last seven as a road underdog of six points or less or pick. Lay the short points.

9* play

The set-up: Baylor is still basically “on the bubble,” so a signature road victory in its season finale would seal the deal. The Bears currently site one game behind Kansas in the conference standings, so to say this is a big game would be an understatement. Baylor comes in focused after back-to-back losses. The Bears average 113.9 points per 100 possessions and they allow 110.1 points per 100 possessions. However note that Byalor has given up just 97.9 points per 100 possessions during league play. Kansas broke a two-game slide with an 81-68 win over Oklahoma. The Jayhawks average 113.7 points per 100 possessions and they allow 92.8 in league play. 

The pick: Take it for what you will though, but Kansas is just 3-7 ATS in its last ten vs. teams with a winning SU record, while Baylor is 8-2-1 ATS in its last 11 following a SU loss and 6-2-1 ATS in its last nine on the road. Grab the points.

8* play

The set-up: The Vols come in off a 71-54 home win over Mississippi State to move to 15 in league play, while the Tigers are 10-7 after beating Alabama on the road. The Vols are in a fight with LSU for the top spot, but regardless they’re still projected to be a No. 1 seed in the NCAA. The Vols look to keep the foot on the gas after three straight wins. Overall Tennessee averages 82.4 PPG and it allows 67.1. Auburn has won three straight as well. The Tigers average 79.9 PPG and they allow 68.1. 

The pick: Take it for what you will though but Tennessee is 12-6 ATS in its last 18 as a road favorite or pick, while Auburn is 0-3 ATS as a home dog or pick and 0-5 ATS this year vs. good offensive teams which score 77 plus points per contest. Tennessee is the correct call here, lay the short points.

9* play

The set-up: Denver broke a three-game slide with a win over the Lakers and it plays with revenge here after the Warriors drilled them at home earlier in the season. Denver catches the defending champs scuffling, as they’ve dropped five of their last eight, including an embarrassing blowout loss to the struggling Celtics on their own floor, a game in which they posted a measly 95 points. The Warriors on the ropes, but if there’s on thing this team has done over the years is show it’s mettle when up against adversity. And here’s the perfect test and opponent to do that against. The Nuggets will be pushing the pace from start to finish as they look to avenge the earlier loss as well. So from an overall “situational” stand point, in my professional opinion this one absolutely sets up great as a higher-scoring affair. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well though, but Denver has seen the total go “over” the number in nine of its last 11 when trying to revenge a home loss vs. an opponent of ten points or more, while GS has seen the total fly “over” in both games that it’s played in this year after playing to three or more consecutive “unders.” This number is low, play the “over.”

10* play

The set-up: The Hawks had won two straight before a tight 86-85 OT loss at Rhode Island on Tuesday. The Hawks though will look to bounce back here against VCU, which has already earned the outright A-10 championship and which has won 11 in a row. St. Joe’s has struggled at VCU over the years (0-3), but they won their last road game 66-52 at Fordham on February 27th. Even if VCU stumbles in the conference tournament, they’ve still done enough to win an at large bid for the NCAA tourney. With everything already wrapped up nicely, I think the home side has a small mental letdown here. Outright victory? Probably not, but the stage is set for a competitive affair. 

The pick: Additionally note that St. Joseph’s is 3-0 ATS in its last three off a home loss by three points or less, while VCU is just 1-3 ATS in its last four as a home favorite in the 9.5 to 12 points range. Grab the points.

10* play

The set-up: The Blues come in off a harder than expected, but momentum building 5-4 win at Anaheim just last night and I think they’ll keep the foot on the gas here as well and find a way to get the job done in this favorable matchup. The visitors have to be feeling confident here as well with backup Jordan Binnington in net, as he’ll look to atone for a 4-3 loss to the Kings back on January 21st (his lone career start vs. them.) The Kings are out of the playoff picture after their latest 3-1 loss to the Habs on Tuesday. LA is 1-7-4 in its last 12 games, going 0-6-0 when it scores two or fewer goals.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but LA is just 9-27 in its last 36 vs. teams above the .500 mark, while St. Louis is 5-1 in its last six road games vs. a team with a sub .500 home record. Despite this being the end of the season, I like St. Louis to dig deep and grab all the points in this one as well. 

8* play on the St. Louis Blues

The set-up: Louisiana Monroe comes in off a deflating 97-91 home loss to Coastal Carolina on Saturday. Arkansas State is looking to rebound as well after an 81-70 road loss to Georgia Southern over the weekend. But the Red Wolves have to be feeling confident here, because they already took the first meeting between the teams 85-75 on the road on January 6th. Louisiana Monroe has alternated wins and losses over its last six. Overall the Warhawks average 78.5 PPG and they allow 75.2. Arkansas State still has a chance to move up out of ninth place and there’s no better opportunity than this one. The Red Wolves average 73.5 PPG and they allow 77.2. 

The pick: Take it for what you will though, but Louisiana Monroe is just 1-3 ATS in its last four as a road favorite of six points or less or pick, while Arkansas State is 5-2 ATS in its last seven after allowing 75 points or more in two straight games. I’m grabbing the points and expecting a war until the end between these two hungry teams.

9* play

The set-up: Both teams come in highly motivated. I think this sense of intensity and competition will lead to a lower-scoring affair. UL Lafayette is out to break a three-way tie for fifth place in the Sun Belt, while Little Rock is out to avenge a loss in the reverse fixture. From a situational stand point, this one definitely sets up well as more of a lower-scoring defensive war.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well though, but UL Lafayette has seen the total go “under” the number in both games it’s played in this season off a home loss vs. a conference rival, while Little Rock has seen the total go “under” in eight of its last ten as a home underdog of six points or less or pick. This number is high, play the “under.”

9* play

The set-up: UCF plays its first game as a ranked team in eight years. The No. 20 ranked Bearcats come to town in control of their own destiny. If they win tonight and then again at home vs. Houston, they’ll take the AAC title and the No. 1 seed on the tourney. The Bearcats are playing well on both ends of the floor and enter on a five-game win streak. UCF comes in off a big time 69-64 win over No. 8 Houston on Saturday and I expect it to keep the foot on the gas here and continue its recent form. UCF has won three straight since its loss at Cincinnati and now it’s time for a little revenge.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but UCF is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 home games vs. teams with an above .600 road record, while Cincinnati just 2-6 ATS in its last eight vs. teams with a win percentage above .600. Look for the Knights to exact that revenge.

10* play

The set-up: Columbus comes in off a 2-1 shootout win at New Jersey, but I think it’ll come up short here in this difficult road venue. Jackets’ net minder Sergei Bobrovsky is 11-13 with a 2.93 GAA lifetime vs. Pittsburgh. Overall Columbus averages 3.13 GPG and allows 2.77. The Pens though come in under the radar here in my opinion. At least in the stand point that the oddsmakers are slow in recognizing how well Pittsburgh is playing currently, entering having won three of its last four. Pens’ goalie Matt Murray is 7-2 with a 2.90 GAA lifetime vs. Columbus.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Columbus is just 13-14 (-4.2 units) this season in trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent, while Pittsburgh is 6-2 in its last eight home games off a win and as a favorite in the -115 to -135 range. Great value on the home side here.

10* play on the Pittsburgh Penguins 

The set-up: Calgary comes in having lost three of its last four. It plays with revenge here though after the Knights pulled off a 2-0 win in Alberta in their most recent matchup. The Knights won’t be rolling over though as they look to gain ground in the Pacific. I think we’ll see a much more wide open affair here in Sin City as each of these hungry teams will be out to push the pace from start to finish. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Calgary has seen the total go “over” in 19 of 29 this year in trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent, while Las Vegas has seen the total soar “over” in 11 of 16 home games this year when the total is set at 6 or higher. This number is low, play the “over.”

9* play

The set-up: St. Louis will be eager to return to form after a 4-1 loss to Dallas on Saturday. The Blues have had a couple nights off to prepare for this one and to get back on track after losing three of their last four. The putrid Ducks earned a 2-1 win over Colorado on Sunday to end a five-game slide, but an immediate return to mediocrity seems imminent. 

The pick: Despite their recent scuffling form, the Blues come in confident by winning seven of their last ten away from friendly confines. The Ducks can’t say the same thing though as they’re just 3-10 in their last 13 in front of the home town crowd. I’m laying the price and expecting a complete blowout from the “better” and “hungrier” team.

10* PLAY

The set-up: Philadelphia enters off a confidence building win over Orlando just last night and I think it’ll keep the foot on the gas here as well in this favorable matchup. Chicago has shown some promise for the future over the last month, but it comes in off back-to-back losses to the Pacers and Hawks. I think these teams are now firmly moving in opposite directions.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Chicago is just 7-19 ATS in its last 26 home games and only 1-4 ATS in its last five vs. teams with a winning percentage above .600, while Philadelphia is 7-2 ATS in its last nine in the second game of a back to back on the road as a favorite in the -3 to -7 points range. Lay the points and expect a rout.

10* play

The set-up: The Bonnies won’t be rolling over here. St. Bonaventure enters having won six straight. Davidson has alternated wins and losses over its last five and it enters off a win over Fordham most recently. The Bonnies remain in contention for a double-bye in the conference tournament. Note that St. Bonaventure has held seven of its last eight opponents to 60 points or less. Davidson won’t want to have a letdown here either, but I think that the stage is set for a very competitive battle between the home side and the surging visitors. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but the Bonnies are 6-2 ATS in their last eight as a road underdog or pick, while Davidson is just 2-4 ATS this season off a home win against a conference rival. Grab the points and expect a war.

10* play

The set-up: Houston is one of the hottest teams in the West and Toronto is one of the hottest teams in the East. These two surging non-conference opponents go head-to-head North of the border on Tuesday night and in my opinion, points will be plentiful. The Rockets come in having won five straight, most recently destroying Boston 115-104 on the road. The Raptors had won nine of ten before an OT loss in Detroit in their latest action. Houston averages 113.4 PPG and it allows 111.1. The Raptors average 114.2 PPG and they allow 108.9. 

The pick: Take it for what you as well, but Houston has seen the total go “over” the number in 15 of its last 20 non-conference games, while Toronto has seen the total go “over” in eight of its last 11 revenging a SU loss vs. an opponent when it was the fav. This number is low, play the “over.” 

10* play

The set-up: I think that Nashville is the “hungrier” team here. The Predators managed a 3-2 win at Minnesota on Sunday and I believe they keep the foot on the gas at home. After victories over both Calgary and Winnipeg last week, I think the Wild’s latest surge has run out of gas. Note as well that Nashville didn’t play No. 1 goaltender Pekka Rinne in Sunday’s win. But he’ll be in the crest tonight and he’s 4-2 over his last six, holding the opposition to two goals or less in that span. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Minnesota is a poor 6-13 (-12.3 units) this year following a divisional game, while Nashville is 60-40 (+9.6 units) in its last 100 vs. the division. Lay the price.

6* play

The set-up: Two teams hungry for wins collide and I believe that points will be plentiful. UNC is tied with Virginia for the conference lead. The Tar Heels enter on top form having won five straight. Overall UNC averages 87.1 points, while allowing 73.3. The Eagle are in tenth spot in the conference, but they won’t be going down without a fight today as they look to pull off the upset and to play spoiler. Overall the Eagles average 71.9 PPG and they allow 72.3. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well though, but UNC has seen the total go “over” the number in four of five this season off a no-cover where the team won SU as a favorite, while BC has seen the total soar “over” in nine of its last 12 as an underdog. This number is low, play the “over.” 

9* play

The set-up: The Hokies come in off a confidence building 77-72 home win over Duke to improve to 11-6 in league action, while the Seminoles moved to 11-5 within the ACC after their 78-73 home win over NC State. VT enters on top form, but I think it’ll have a difficult time in this difficult road venue. Overall the Hokies average 74.5 PPG and they allow 61.5. FSU has won ten of its last 11 league games. The Seminoles are 14-1 SU at home this year. In those contests they’ve averaged 79.5 PPG and allowed 67.9.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but FSU is 7-2 ATS in the last ten home games in this series, while VT is still only 3-7 ATS in its last ten vs. teams with a win percentage above .600. I look for these strong trends to continue. Lay the points.

9* play

The set-up: Xavier comes in off an 84-73 road win over St. John’s, but I think it’ll struggle to duplicate that same energy for a second straight contest away from friendly confines. Butler won’t be lacking for motivation here either. The Bulldogs come in off a humbling 75-54 loss to Villanova and will be eager to atone for that mess. They also play with revenge here after falling 70-69 on the road in the first matchup this season. From a situational stand point, there’s no question that this one sets up great for the home side. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Xavier is still only 4-6 ATS on the road this year. Butler on the other hand is 6-2 ATS in its last eight as home favorite in the 2.5 to 6 points range. Everything points to a blowout. Lay the points.

9* play

The set-up: The Clippers are 35-29 and the Lakers are 30-33. The Clippers are looking at the playoffs right now, while the Lakers are on the outside looking in. LeBron James and company come off a horrible loss to the lowly Suns and they’re going to be out for redemption as they try to redeem themselves for the LA faithful. The Clippers average 113.9 PPG and they allow 113.7. The Lakers come in having lost four of five since the All Star game. The Lakers average 112.4 PPG and they allow 113.9. 

The pick: It’s now or never for the tenth placed Lakers. Another division loss here and it could be too deep a hole for even The King to climb out of this time. I expect the “home side” to play with extreme desperation. Take it for what you will as well but the Clippers are just 7-10 ATS this year as a road underdog of six points or less or pick, while the Lakers are 9-3 ATS vs. the division. Lay the points.

10* play

The set-up: Northern Arizona comes in hungry after back-to-back losses and defeats in six of its last eight. Most recently UNA lost 84-73 to Montana State. Northern Arizona is led by Jonahtan Andre weigh 13.4 points and 8.4 boards per game. overall the Lumberjacks average 73.2 PPG. Montana enters off a 70-54 win over Southern Utah. Montana averages 77.3 PPG. 

The pick: Montana though is a terrible 3-8 ATS in conference home games. The Lumberjacks play with revenge here as well after the Grizzlies took the first meeting on the road. I’m not calling for the outright, but all signs point to a closer battle than what this spread would suggest. Grab the points.

8* play

The set-up: Two teams which would have to run the board to make the playoffs collide in this non-conference matchup on Monday night. While that’s clearly not going to happen, each remains competitive and I believe that trend carries over here and contributes to a higher-scoring affair. The Oilers off a 4-0 road win over Columbus. After losing 11 of 12 the Oilers have won four of five. Oilers’ goaltender Mikko Koskinen is just 8-12 with a 3.07 GAA on the road. Buffalo enters off a 5-2 road loss in Toronto. The Sabres are 13-27 in their last 40 games. Buffalo averages 3.13 goals and allows 3.03 at home this year. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Edmonton has seen the total go “over” the number in three of four after shutting out its opponent in its previous game, while Buffalo has seen the total go “over” in 11 of its last 16 after a loss by two goals or more in its previous outing. This number is low, play the “over.”

10* play

The set-up: The Cavs are an amazing team and they are atop the ACC standing with two games remaining. Syracuse is 10-6 in league play and I expect it to keep this one competitive until the final moments. The Orange have pretty much secured a spot in the big dance because of their recent form, but they clearly won’t be taking the foot off the gas at this point. The Cavs most recently beat Pittsburgh 73-49. Overall the Cavs average 121.8 points per 100 possessions and limit teams to just 85.9 points per 100 possessions. Syracuse averages 102.1 points per 100 possessions, while allowing 92.7 per 100 possessions. 

The pick: The Cavs have been money in the bank for bettors this year, dominating in almost every single ATS statistical category there is. That’s why it’s important to note that Virginia is just 2-3 ATS in its last five after two straight covers as a double digit favorite. As mentioned off the top, I don’t expect the Orange to simply roll over (note that they’re a money-making 5-1 ATS in their last five after scoring 75 points or more in two straight games.) Grab the points.

10* play

The set-up: Two teams hungry for victories collide in this high-profile non-conference matchup on Sunday afternoon and in my opinion, points are going to be plentiful. The Rockets come in off a 121-118 home win over Miami, while Boston broke a four-game losing streak with a 107-96 home win over Washington. The Rockets average 113.4 PPG and they allow 111.2. The C’s average 112.1 PPG and they allow 106.6. 

The pick: Take it for what you will though, but Houston has seen the total go “over” the number in 15 of its last 20 non-conference games, while Boston has seen the total go “over” in 20 of its last 33 at home and in 14 of its last 20 non-conference games. With each team expected to push the pace, I look for this one to fly “over” sooner, rather than later.

10* play

The set-up: These teams are moving in opposite directions right now and I look for those trends to continue here. The Capitals enter off a 3-1 road win over the Islanders, while the Rangers come in off a 4-2 home loss to the Canadiens. Washington is now tied atop the Metro with the Islanders after that victory, so with a chance to claim the No. 1 position completely with a win here, I believe the defending champs continue their late season push towards the playoffs. Washington is 18-14 on the road, averaging 3.22 goals and allowing 3.38 in those games. The Rangers are 16-18 at home, averaging 2.85 and allowing 2.74. 

The pick: Take it for what you will though, but New York is just 15-37 in its last 52 after scoring two goals or less in its previous game, while Washington is 17-6 in its last 23 after allowing two goals or less in its previous contest. For all the reasons listed above, lay the price.

10* play

Analysis to come, 9* play

The set-up: Enough is enough! After three straight losses, I think the Thunder “come to play” tonight. A date vs. the “on again, off again” Spurs is just what the doctor ordered. San Antonio did break a three-game losing skid with a win at home over Detroit last time out, but if it’s shown anything this year, it’s been inconsistency in form from one game to the next. Despite not having the services of Paul George, I think that Russell Westbrook and company can take advantage. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but OKC is 7-3 ATS in its last ten as a road underdog, while SA is just 9-13 ATS off a home victory this year. This one has upset written all over it.

10* play

The set-up: Cal had lost 16 in a row before upsetting Washington Thursday and now the Golden Bears look to make it tow in a row. A date vs. WSU, who was blowout out by Stanford is just what the doctor ordered for Cal. The Golden Bears looked great in the win over the Huskies, out-rebounding Washington 29-26 and committing only 11 turnovers vs. one of the conference’s top defensive units. Not surprisingly, Cal plays with revenge here as well after falling 82-59 in WSU last month. The undermanned Cougars’ 98-50 loss to the Cardinal is a sign of things to come for WSU down the stretch in my opinion. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but WSU is just 3-6 ATS on the road this year, while Cal is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 off a win vs. a conference rival. Look for the Bears to build momentum at the end of the season and to avenge the earlier loss. 

9* play

The set-up: To say this is a big game would be a big understatement. These teams are tied for first place (along with LSU as well) in the SEC right now. Kentucky comes in off a 70-66 win over Arkansas, while Tennessee scored the 73-71 road win over Ole Miss. The home side plays with revenge here though after falling 83-69 in the reverse fixture on February 16th. From an overall situational stand point, this one definitely sets up as more of a high-scoring shootout, rather than a slower-paced defensive oriented “chess match.” 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well though, but Kentucky has seen the total go over the number in five of its last seven as a road underdog or pick, while Tennessee has seen the total go over in three of its last four revenging a loss vs. an opponent that scored 85 or more points. This number is low, play the “over.” 

9* play

The set-up: The Terriers are 25-4. Wofford hasn’t lost a game since mid December. I think the mighty visiting side gets classically caught looking past its lowly opponent today. The Samford Bulldogs are 16-14. Samford had won three straight, but the Bulldogs come into this one motivated after three straight losses. 

The pick: The last time these teams matched up, Samford gave the Terriers all they could handle in a 107-106 Wofford victory. The conditions are right for another competitive affair in my opinion, so grab the points.

9* play

The set-up: Both teams are hungry for a victory and each will be pushing the pace. The Tigers are tied atop the SEC standing with Kentucky and Tennessee (who play each other today), while Alabama comes in having won two straight. LSU averages 82.1 PPG and it allows 73.4. The Tide though won’t be going down without a fight here either, as this one arguably means even more to them. Alabama is on the bubble with a 17-11 record this year. The Tide average 73.3 PPG and they allow 71.5. 

The pick: Take it for what you will though, but LSU has seen the total go “over” the number in five of eight on the road already this year and in ten of 15 vs. the conference, while Alabama has seen the total go “over” in nine of 13 at home. This number is low, play the “over.”

9* play

The set-up: It’s payback time. The Hoosiers won the reverse fixture 79-75 earlier in the year and I think that the visitors avenge that setback. The Spartans come to town off a 77-70 road win over Michigan to improve to 14-3 in league play. Indiana is just 5-12 in the Big Ten, but it looks poised for a predictable letdown here in my opinion after its 75-73 OT win at home over Wisconsin at home last time out. Overall MSU averages 80.1 PPG and it allows 65.8. The Hoosiers average 70.4 PPG and they concede 67.2. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well though, but Indiana is just 2-5 ATS in its last seven at home, while MSU is 17-4 ATS in its last 21 following a SU win and 8-1 ATS in its last nine road games vs. a team with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. Lay the points, expect a beatdown.

9* play

The set-up: A great spot to pull the trigger on the underdog home side. Vegas had to hold on for dear life in a 6-5 win over the Panthers just last night and I think it’ll come into this one “dog tired.” Anaheim is playing for pride here after four straight setbacks, but it has a golden opportunity facing this exhausted Knights team. From a situational stand point, this one sets up beautifully for the Ducks in my opinion. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well though, but LV is just 2-4 (-4.2 units) in its last six vs. teams with losing records, while Anaheim is interestingly 19-9 (+6 units) in its last 28 games played in the month of March. Probably not the best supporting stat, but it’s interesting none-the-less. Besides, this one is based on the overall “situation,” which I believe clearly favors the under-valued underdog home side. Play on the Ducks.

9* play

The set-up: Two of the hottest teams in the league collide North of the Border Friday night and in a contest which I envision coming down to whichever of these talented teams has its hands on the ball last, I’m going to recommend to grab as many points as you can. Sure the Blazers are going to stumble at some point, but Portland has easily destroyed all of its Eastern competition since coming out of the All Star break. The Blazers come to Toronto on a five game win streak after easily dispatching the Celtics in Boston on Wednesday. Toronto bounced back from a loss to the Magic to beat Boston as well. But Portland won’t be lacking for motivation here. Note that the Blazers had lost five straight in this series before a convincing 128-122 home win on December 14th in the lone meeting so far this season. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well but Toronto is 0-5 ATS in its last five after scoring 100 points or more in its previous game, while Portland is 4-0 ATS in its last four vs. teams with winning records. Grab the points.

10* play

The set-up: The Rams come in off an 80-53 home win over George Washington on Tuesday, while Dayton posted a 72-48 road win over Massachusetts. The Rams play with revenge here though after falling 77-48 at home in the first matchup on February 9th. The Rams are currently in ninth spot, but clearly they haven’t completely given up quite yet as evidenced their last performance. The Rams would also love to play spoiler here as Dayton is currently tied for second, two games behind with three games remaining. The pressure is on and I think the home side gets caught looking past its lowly opponent. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Rhode Island 4-1 ATS in its last five revenging a loss where the opponent scored 75 or more points in, while Dayton is just 6-11 ATS as the favorite this year. Grab the points.

10* play

The set-up: Utah comes in off a come from behind 111-105 win over the Clippers just last night and I think it’ll have difficulty mustering up enough energy to contend with the Nuggets in the thin Denver air. So far these clubs have split a pair of meetings, but the home side actually plays with revenge after dropping the last one 114-108 in Utah on January 23rd. The Jazz are 5-5 SU in the second game of back-to-backs this year, but fatigue is definitely a major factor in my opinion at this point of the season. From a situational stand point, there’s no question that this one sets up great for the home side in my opinion. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well though, but Denver is 5-1 ATS in its last six home games vs. teams with a losing road record, while Utah is a terrible 4-11 ATS in its last 15 when playing the second game of a back-to-back. This one has blowout written all over it, lay the points.

10* play

The set-up: Dallas comes in focused after its 4-1 road loss to Vegas on Tuesday. LA enters off a humbling 6-1 loss to Carolina on Tuesday and I think it’ll have its hands full here as well. Stars’ goaltender Ben Bishop is a big difference maker for me in this one as he’s 19-14-2 with a 2.29 GAA this year. The Kings actually went 0-4 on their recent road trip and home ice has been anything buy “friendly” as they’re 12-15-2 overall there, including having lost nine straight. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but LA is 0-6 in its last six when playing on one days rest, while Dallas is 4-1 in its last five vs. a team with a losing record and 41-20 in its last 61 following a loss of three or more goals. Great price, play on the Stars.

10* play

The set-up: At 15-13, Xavier is on the outside looking in at the NCAA Tournament. The Musketeers need to string some wins together at this point. St. John’s is 20-8 overall and it’s locked into a No. 8 seed currently. From a situational stand point, there’s no question in my mind that this one “means” a lot more to the visiting side tonight. However note that Xavier enters on top form, having won four straight, most recently a 66-54 victory over Villanova as a 5.5 point underdog. The Red Storm can’t leave anything to chance either as they’ll look to avoid slipping under the .500 mark in conference play, but I think they’ll have their hands full with this “under the radar” visiting side.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Xavier is 4-1 ATS in its last five following a SU win, while St. John’s is only 1-5-1 ATS in its last seven following an ATS victory. Grab the points and expect this one to come right down to the wire.

10* play

The set-up: LA comes in as the “hungrier” team here. The Lakers have lost two straight and they’ll be desperate to start stringing some wins together to get back into the playoff picture. New Orleans comes in off a home loss to Philadelphia and I think it’ll struggle to match pace with this focused Lakers team. Note as well that the Lakers just lost in New Orleans last week when the Pelicans had star player Anthony Davis on the sidelines. This is an immediate revenge scenario for The King and I’m expecting him to step up and deliver the goods. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but New Orleans is just 3-8 ATS in its last 11 as a road dog of six points or less, while LA is 11-5 ATS in its last 16 in revenging a loss against an opponent that scored 110 points or more. The table is set for a rout. Lay the points.

9* play

The set-up: I don’t think that the home floor advantage can be overlooked as a very real deciding factor in this particular matchup. Villanova returns home after three straight road losses. The Wildcats are now 1.5 games behind the Golden Eagles for the conference lead. Marquette has won four in a row, but I think the stage is now set for the Golden Eagles to have a letdown. Villanova has been unbeatable at home so far, winning 13 straight and I like that trend of success to continue. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Marquette just 2-3 ATS as an underdog this season, while Villanova is 9-5 ATS in its last 14 vs. the conference and 8-4 ATS in its last 12 at home. Lay the points.

10* play

The set-up: No need to overthink this one. I think the Pacers get caught looking past their lowly non-conference opponent here. After winning two straight the Pacers were dumped by a desperate Pistons team last time out. The Mavericks don’t have that same luxury though, as they’ve lost five straight, most recently to the Clippers on Monday. From a situational stand point, I think this one sets up great for the home side. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Indiana is just 13-16 ATS on the road this year, while Dallas is 10-3 ATS as a home underdog. Grab the points.

8* play

The set-up: No need to overthink this one. I think the Pacers get caught looking past their lowly non-conference opponent here. After winning two straight the Pacers were dumped by a desperate Pistons team last time out. The Mavericks don’t have that same luxury though, as they’ve lost five straight, most recently to the Clippers on Monday. From a situational stand point, I think this one sets up great for the home side. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Indiana is just 13-16 ATS on the road this year, while Dallas is 10-3 ATS as a home underdog. Grab the points.

8* play

The set-up: Washington comes to town looking to bounce back off a 119-112 home loss to Indiana, while Brooklyn comes in off an impressive 101-85 home win over the Spurs. I think the home side can carry that defensive momentum over here. The Wizards are out to atone for a shoddy defensive performance, so from a situational stand point, I think this one absolutely sets up as a lower-scoring defensive battle. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well though, but Washington has seen the total go “under” the number in three of four already this year when playing with three or more days rest, while Brooklyn has seen the total go “under” in nine of its last 12 when the total in the contest is greater than or equal to 230. Play the “under.” 

10* play

The set-up: Calgary enters off a 3-1 road win in Long Island just last night and I think the red hot visitors will keep the momentum rolling in the second game of the back to back. New Jersey comes in off a tough 2-1 home win over Montreal, but everything points to a return to mediocrity for the home side in my opinion. The Flames are sizzling with six straight wins. Calgary has given up just seven goals during its five game win skein. David Rittich gets the nod in the net for the visitors and he’s 12-6 with a  2.09 GAA on the road. The Devils earned a win last time out, but they’re still going be sitting out of the playoffs this year. New Jersey may have won four of its last six, but note that goaltender Corey Schneider is still just 4-10 with a 3.26 GAA on the year. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Calgary is 7-1 in its last eight vs. the Metropolitan and 25-9 in its last 34 as the favorite, while New Jersey is just 8-20 in its last 28 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Look for Rittich to be the difference maker again here. Lay the price.

10* play

The set-up: Both teams come in desperate for a win. Dallas comes in off a much-needed 4-3 win over Chicago, while the Knights enter having lost three straight. Dallas also plays with revenge here after a 4-2 loss in the only other meeting between the clubs. The Knights obtained Mark Stone from the Senators, but he’s not expected to suit up here. Las Vegas is struggling with offensive consistency and I think that trend continues here. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Dallas is 16-10 (+5.3 units) in its last 26 in trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent, while Las Vegas is just 2-4 in its last six home games following a three games or more losing streak. I’m laying the very reasonable mid sized price for the extra insurance. Play on the Stars on the puck line.

8* play

The set-up: While I’ll stop short in calling for the outright victory, I do think that the table is set for a much more competitive affair than what this spread would suggest. Syracuse couldn’t capitalize at home vs. a short-handed Duke team last time out, falling to 9-5 in league play after the 75-65 setback. Overall the Orange average 108.4 points per 100 possessions and they allow 92.4 points per 100 possessions. The Tar Heels average 119.2 points per 100 possessions and they allow 96.6 points per 100 possessions. 

The pick: Take it for what you will though, but Syracuse is 5-2 ATS on the road this year and 9-5 ATS vs. conference opponents, while UNC is still only 2-3 ATS in its last five as a home favorite in the 9.5 to 12.5 points range. I think the Tar Heels finally have a letdown here, as they leave the back door wide open down the stretch. Grab the points.

10* play

The set-up: Boston is in desperation mode here after losing four of its last six. The Celtics come in averaging 112.8 PPG and allowing 106.8. Toronto has won eight of its last ten. The Raptors average 114.1 points per game and they allow 108.9. These teams are evenly matched, but I think Boston is the much more motivated/hungry side

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Boston is still 5-2 ATS in its last seven vs. the Eastern Conference, while Toronto is 0-4 ATS in its last four at home and 0-4 ATS in its last four when playing on one days rest. These teams are evenly matched. I’m grabbing the points.

9* play

 The set-up: New Orleans rallied for an impressive win over LBJ and the Lakers without star player Anthony Davis in the line-up, but I think the team will have a hard time mustering up the same energy vs. their non-conference opponent today. The 76ers’ four-game win streak was snapped last time out vs. the Blazers at home and while they’ll be without their big man Joel Embiid tonight, they won’t be lacking for motivation. The 76ers average 115.3 PPG and they allow 112.3. The Pelicans on the other hand average 115.7 PPG and they allow 115. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Philadelphia is already a perfect 2-0 ATS this year off an upset loss by ten points or more as a home favorite, while New Orleans is just 6-8 ATS this season as a home favorite of six points or less. This one has upset written all over it. Grab the points.

10* play

The set-up: Oklahoma needs some victories to ensure a spot in the Tournament. The Sooners come in off a quality 69-67 win at home over Texas. The visitors play with “revenge” today after a tight 75-74 setback to Iowa State on February 4th. Since the victor Iowa State has been in a “free fall,” having dropped three games behind front runner K-State. 

The pick: Oklahoma is also 6-0-3 ATS in its last nine road games vs. teams with an above .600 home record, while Iowa State is 0-5 ATS in its last five as a favorite. While I’ll stop short in calling for the outright upset, all signs point to this one coming down to the wire. Grab the points.

10* play

The set-up: Both teams come in off losses. I think the home side will find a way to get the job done in this one though. Montreal fell 6-3 in Toronto, while New Jersey lost 5-2 to the Rangers. The Habs are just 14-15 on the road, averaging 2.79 goals and allowing 3.21 in those contests. The Devils are 16-15 at home, averaging 3.16 goals and allowing 2.77. Montreal is playing some of its worst hockey of the season right now and it’s achilles heel all year has been its play on the road. And that plays directly to the strength of the hungry Devils. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Montreal is just 7-11 (-3.8 units) this season trying to revenge a home loss vs. an opponent, while New Jersey is 6-2 in its last eight home games after giving up five or more goals in a road loss in its last outing. Great value on the undervalued home side. Play on the Devils.

9* play

The set-up: The Jets organization was devastated by a flu bug for most of February, but the team looks to have shaken that off and it’ll be out to build off its most recent 6-3 road win in Las Vegas on Friday. Arizona has won two straight, including a 3-2 victory in OT over the Canucks on Thursday, but I think the Coyotes will have their hands full in this lop-sided matchup. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Winnipeg is 19-11 (+5.2 units) this year already after scoring four or more goals in its previous contest, while Arizona is just 4-8 (-3 units) this season after playing three straight road games. All signs point to a classic letdown here for the home side. Great value, play on the Jets.

10* play

The set-up: The Spurs come in dejected, still thinking about their 120-117 road loss in Toronto on Friday. The Knicks enter off a 115-104 loss to Minnesota on Friday night. San Antonio continues to struggle away from friendly confines though during its annual “Rodeo road trip,” now just 1-5 after the setback in Canada. The margin for error is slim most nights for the Spurs, who average 112.4 PPG and who allow 111.5. 

The pick: The Knicks are in full rebuild mode, but they feature some talent and I think this is a great overall “spot” for this new look side to be competitive. Note that San Antonio is just 14-16 ATS on the road, while New York is 9-5 ATS in its last 14 after a non-conference games. I’m grabbing the points.

10* play

The set-up: Two of the top teams in the West get ready to battle and I think that points will be at a premium in the end. The Clippers enter off a 112-106 road win over Memphis, while Denver won 114-104 in Dallas on Friday. Denver has won two of three meetings between the clubs already this year, including a 121-100 home win in the most recent. I’m expecting another hard-fought and similar final combined score here as well. From situational and recent history stand points, I absolutely feel that this one sets up as more of a defensive affair this evening. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well though, but LA has already seen the total go “under” the number in 13 of its last 19 as a road underdog, while Denver has seen the total go “under” in nine of its last 12 after scoring 110 points or more in two straight games. This number is high, play the “under.” 

10* play

The set-up: The winner of this game will likely be crowned the conference regular season champion. I’m expecting this one to come right down to the wire and will therefore recommend that you grab as many points as you can. These teams are very evenly matched, as evidenced by this spread. It wouldn’t be hard to write a convincing argument for either of these teams, but in a game where the talent level and team numbers are so similar, I’ve always tended to grab the points in a situation like that. And that’s the situation we find ourselves in here for sure.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but MSU is 7-3 ATS on the road and a perfect 5-0 ATS this season after two or more consecutive SU home victories, while Michigan is just 3-5 ATS this year after successfully covering the spread in two or more straight games. For all the reasons listed above, grab the points.

10* play

The set-up: Two of the best in the league go head to head here. There is no love loss between these teams. There’s no lack of offensive talent either. If you are wagering on this game, then the story lines and cast of characters are well known (even to the most casual NBA fan, the Rockets and Warriors are obviously two of the most talked about teams in the league), so there’s no need to break this one down on any player vs. player stand point. 

The pick: Take it for what you will though, but the “over” is 10-4 in the Warriors last 14 games vs. the Western conference and in four of their last five following an ATS loss, while Houston has seen the total go “over” in both games it’s played in this season in which it’s been a road underdog of 6.5 to 12 points. This number is low, play the “over.” 

8* play

The set-up: While I’m not going to call for the outright victory, I do think that the hungry and revenge minded Bulls will keep this one a lot closer than what this spread would suggest. SFU plays with revenge after falling 69-60 on the road on January 19th to the Cougars. Both teams comes in off victories, but at 7-6, the Bulls are still looking to improve their standings. Houston comes in complacent after ten straight wins and I believe it leaves the back door open.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but USF is 6-1 ATS on the road this year and 5-1 ATS as a road dog or pick, while Houston is just 4-9 ATS in its last 13 off a road win by ten points or more. For all the reasons listed above, grab the points.

10* play

The set-up: LA is 23-37 and Florida is 26-33. These are two non-conference bottom feeders going head to head here, but I think the home side could in fact be a much larger favorite in this particular matchup. LA has been a complete disaster of late, it enters having lost six straight. Kings’ goalie Jon Quick is 11-15-5 overall with a 3.06 GAA. Panthers’ goaltender Roberto Luongo is 7-4-1 with a 2.42 GAA at home. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Florida is 6-1 in its last seven as a favorite in the -170 to -200 range, while LA is just 11-24 in its last 35 on the road. I think Luongo is the “X-Factor” here. Lay the price.

9* play

The set-up: In a contest which I envision coming down to whichever of these evenly matched sides has its hands on the ball last, I’m going to recommend grabbing as many points as you can. Notre Dame won’t be lacking for motivation here as its lost eight of its last ten. The Hokies’ two game win streak was snapped last time out in a setback to Virginia on Monday. And with a game vs. No. 1 Duke up next, not only does this set up as a “letdown” spot, but also a “look ahead.” The Irish also play with the added incentive of “revenge” after falling 81-66 at VT on January 1st. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but VT is just 4-9 ATS vs. the conference, while ND is 7-3 ATS in its last ten revering a loss vs. an opponent of ten points or more. Grab the points.

9* play

The set-up: UNC enters off a big upset win over Duke, which has propelled it into a three-way tie for first place in the ACC. FSU is 9-4 in league play and in the fourth spot. I think this sets up as a classic letdown spot for the Tar Heels though after their win over the Blue Devils. The Seminoles come in on top form as well, having won eight straight after an impressive 77-64 road win over Clemson on Tuesday. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but FSU is 3-1 ATS already this season as an underdog, while UNC is just 2-5 ATS this year after scoring 80 points or more in two straight games. I’m expecting a “nail biter.” Grab the points.

9* play

The set-up: Both teams come in off victories to open the second half, but I don’t think that the home floor advantage can be overlooked as a very real deciding factor in this particular matchup. Portland posted the 113-99 road win in Brooklyn, while Philly held on for a 106-102 home win over Miami. The 76ers though play with revenge this afternoon after they lost 129-95 at Portland on December 30th. The Blazers average 113.3 PPG and they allow 110.1. The 76ers average 115.7 PPG and they allow 1112.

The pick: Note though that Philadelphia is 28-11 ATS in its last 39 home games vs. a team with a losing road record, while the visitors are still just 11-15 ATS on the road this year. I think the home side pulls away down the stretch for the convincing victory. Lay the short points.

10* play

The set-up: Two heavyweights in the SEC collide on Saturday afternoon and I believe that points will be at a premium. The Vols posted a 58-46 home win over Vandy in their latest action, while the Tigers come in hungry after falling 82-77 at home to Florida. The home side plays with revenge as well after falling 84-61 at Tennessee last year. This is a big game, as Tennessee holds just a one game lead over LSU for the conference lead. Tennessee is 6-1 on the road and it averages 83.7 PPG and it allows 67.4. LSU is 12-2 at home and it averages 82.7 PPG and it allows 73.8.

The pick: Take it for what you will though, but the Vols have seen the total go “under” in four of their last five as a road dog of three points or less or pick, while LSU has seen the total go “under” in nine of its last 15 after scoring 75 points or more in two straight games. This number is a little high, play the “under.” 

9* play

The set-up: There are two super hungry teams. The Jets come in having lost three straight. Winnipeg’s grip on the No. 1 spot in the Central is now down to a single game over Nashville. The Jets have been lacking a scoring punch over the last month, but Winnipeg is finally getting healthier after it was hit hard by a flu bug. The Knights also come in hungry for a win. Vegas has lost nine of its last 12. The Knights are in the sixth spot in the West, but a lack of offense has also been a concern for Las Vegas since the All Star break.

The pick: With both teams looking to break slumps and out to push the pace, this one definitely sets up as more of a “high scoring shootout” than a slower-paced defensive affair in my opinion. But take it for what you will as well, but Winnipeg has seen the total go “over” the number in 10 of its last 14 following a divisional contest, while Vegas has seen the total go “over” in nine of 13 already this season in all home games there the total is set at six or higher. This number is low, play the “over.” 

10* play

The set-up: The Thunder dropped their final game before the All Star break to the Pelicans, but previous to that they’d won four in a row. The Jazz lost to the Warriors in their final game before the break. Utah’s achilles heel this year has been its play on the road and I think that trend of futility comes back to haunt it again here vs. the rested and focused Thunder side.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but OKC is 4-1 ATS in its last five home games vs. a team with a losing road record, while Utah is just 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games vs. a team with a winning percentage above .600. Look for Westbrook, George and the home side to all send an early message with a resounding effort. Lay the points.

10* play

The set-up: Davidson comes in off a crushing 74-73 home loss to Dayton. The Wildcats are now firmly on the bubble as far as their Tournament hopes are concerned, but the only thing they can control is their performance tonight: “We put ourselves in that position,” said Davidson guard Jon Axel Gudmundsson. “We didn’t come out to fight.” Rhode Island is 12-13 overall and 5-8 in league play. The Rams would love to play spoiler here, but I just don’t see it happening. Rhode Island has zero momentum after four straight losses and I think the Rams are going to be outclassed severely here as well from this angry Davidson side.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Davidson is 6-2 ATS in its last eight following a SU loss and 7-3 ATS In its last ten as a road fav in the +0.5 to +6.5 points range, while Rhode Island is just 7-22 ATS in its last 29 after scoring 50 or fewer points in its previous game and 0-4-1 ATS in its last five games as a home underdog. Lay the points, expect a rout.

10* play

The set-up: The Grizzlies enter the second half without big man Marc Gasol. That trade happened a month ago, but the new look home side will be looking to play spoiler here. The Clippers smashed the Suns 134-107 in their last game before the All Star break. LA comes in with a legitimate shot at making the playoffs, currently in the eight spot. LA averages 111.0 PPG and it concedes 110.2. The Grizz lost 122-110 in Chicago in their final game before the All Star break. Memphis averages 103.9 PPG and it allows 106.9. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but LA has seen the total go “under” the number in 15 of 24 this year in trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent, while Memphis has seen the total go “under” in six of its last eight when playing with three or more days rest. I think each team comes out a little flat to open the second half. When taking into account the rest of the above info, all signs do indeed point to the “under” as the correct call here.

8* play

The set-up: Neither team has lived up to expectations this year. Injuries and other issues have led to a 24-34 record for the Wizards and a 27-30 record for the Hornets. Washington lost 129-120 on the road in Toronto most recently, while the Hornets fell 127-89 on the road to Orlando in their final game before the All Star break. The Wizards look impotent though, going into the break with two straight losses and five in seven. Washington averages 113.9 PPG and it allows 116.9. The Hornets won’t be lacking for motivation here though either after dropping two in a row and four of five. But the Hornets still hold the seventh spot in the East and I think that the extra time off couldn’t have come at a better time. Charlotte averages 110.8 PPG and it allows 111.3. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Washington is just 8-21 ATS on the road this year, while Charlotte is 15-10 ATS in its last 25 at home. Look for the home side to lay the hammer down. Lay the points.

8* play

The set-up: SIU Edwardsville Cougars enter off a 73-69 loss to Tennessee-Martin last time out. The Cougars are struggling down the stretch having lost four straight and I don’t see that trend of futility ending tonight. The Cougars allow over 80 PPG on average to their opponents. Tennessee State Tigers look to take advantage and to bounce back from an 84-65 loss to Jacksonville State on Saturday. The Tigers won’t be lacking for motivation here either as they enter having lost three straight. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well though, but the Cougars are just 3-9 ATS on the road this year and only 5-9 ATS following a conference game, while the Tigers are already 4-1 ATS this season after three or more consecutive SU losses. I’m banking on the home floor advantage being the difference. Lay the points.

10* play

The set-up: Jayson Tatum of the Cetlics predicted that his team would win the Championship this year over the All Star break. Whether or not that bold prediction comes true will come with time, but I do think that the C’s can keep this one competitive, if not even take it outright. Boston scored the 118-110 home win over Detroit in its final game before the break, while Milwaukee earned the 106-97 road win over Indiana in its latest action. These teams have been competitive this year, having split two games thus far. Boston averages 113 PPG and it allows 106.6. The Bucks average 116.9 PPG and they allow 107.1. 

The pick: With Kyrie Irving expected to suit up tonight, the Celtics become even more dangerous in the first game back from the break. Note that the Celtics are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 when playing with three or more days rest, while the Bucks are only 3-10 ATS in their last 13 when playing with three or more days rest. Grab the points.

10* play

The set-up: Both teams come in off losses. Ottawa fell 8-7 on the road to Chicago, while New Jersey lost 4-3 at home to Pittsburgh. The Sens have now lost seven of their last ten. Ottawa goaltender Craig Anderson is 3-13 with a 4.35 GAA on the road and the Senators are only 8-21 overall on the road, averaging 3.03 goals and allowing 4.38 in those contests. The Devils haven’t been much better, as they come in having lost six of their last nine. Devils’ goalie Cory Schneider is 6-5 with a 2.21 GAA lifetime vs. Ottawa. New Jersey is 15-14 at home, averaging 3.13 goals and allowing 2.87 in those games. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Ottawa is 9-4 in its last 13 home games as a favorite in the -110 to -150 range, while Ottawa is a poor 16-49 in its last 65 as a road underdog. This one has beatdown written all over it. Lay the price.

10* play

The set-up: Two non-conference teams collides in the dessert on Wednesday night. Both teams are “hungry” though. Boston has won six in a row, including an impressive 6-5 OT win over San Jose. The Bruins will show no signs of slowing down here either in my opinion vs. this “on again, off again” Knights team. The home side won’t be lacking for motivation though as it’s lost eight of its last 11. Las Vegas is holding down the sixth spot in the Western Conference, but clearly it has to get its act together down the stretch. 

The pick: The Knights lost 4-1 in Boston earlier in the year, so they also play with the added incentive of revenge tonight. Take it for what you will as well, but Boston has already seen the total go “over” the number in six of nine this year following a three games or longer unbeaten streak, while Las Vegas has seen the total go “over” in 16 of its last 25 after scoring one goal or less in its previous outing. This number is low, play the “over.”

10* play

The set-up: Louisville comes in content after its 56-55 home win over Clemson, while the Orange are out to atone for a 73-58 loss to NC Stateon the road in their most recent action. The Cards’ defense was fantastic in the win over the Tigers, but the offense was horrible, shooting just 35.2 percent from the floor, including only 31.6 percent from range. The Cardinals average 77.4 PPG and they allow 68. The Orange average 70 PPG and they allow 64.3. The Orange are in sixth spot right now in the ACC standings, so would love to move up and get the “double bye” to open the conference tourney. This one “means” more to the home side in my opinion. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well though, but Louisville is just 13-19 ATS in its last 32 off a loss win by three points or less over a conference rival, while Syracuse is 10-3 ATS in its last 13 off a loss by ten points or more to a conference rival (including 3-0 ATS this year.) All signs point to a rout, play on the Orange.

10* play

The set-up: Andrea Petkovic is 31. Anastasia Potpova is only 17. Petkovic is 29-23 over the last 12 months and Potpova is 32-15. Petkovic has won 11 titles, while Potapova has won one. 

The pick: I believe that the experience that Petkovic brings to the table at this stage will prove to be the difference in Budapest today. Potpova’s future is bright, but I think she stumbles vs. the German veteran.

10* play on Andrew Petkovic -162 Pinnacle (over Anastasia Potpova). 

The set-up: These are two crummy teams. It wouldn’t be difficult to write a convincing argument for either, but unfortunately for the Coyotes, they played (and lost 5-2) in Calgary just yesterday afternoon. The Oilers have been a disaster this year, but they’ve been off since a 5-2 setback in New York on Saturday. No need to over think this one in my opinion as I believe Arizona comes in “dog tired” in the second game of the back-to-back. From a “situational” stand point, I absolutely think this one sets up beautifully for the home side. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well but Arizona is 10-12 (-1.2 units) vs. teams with losing records this year, while the Oilers are 21-15 (+5.7 units) in their last 36 after playing three straight road games. This one has blowout written all over it, lay the price.

8* play

The set-up: While the outright win isn’t out of the question, I’ll recommend grabbing as many points as you can in a contest which I envision being decided by whichever of these hungry teams has its hands on the ball last. FSU most recently beat Georgia Tech on Saturday, while Clemson enters with zero momentum after back-to=-back losses to Miami and Louisville. FSU has won four straight at home, but it’s also won three straight away from friendly confines. FSU’s current win streak started with a 77-68 win at home over Clemson on January 22nd and I expect a similar final combined score here as well. After back-to-back one point losses, things aren’t going to get any easier for the reeling Tigers. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but FSU is 7-3-1 ATS in its last 11 road games vs. teams with a winning home record and 4-0 ATS in its last four following a SU win, while Clemson is just 2-5 ATS in its last seven home games following back-to-back close losses of 3-points or less. Grab the points.

10* play

The set-up: The Lightning killed the Blue Jackets 5-1 last night and I think they’ll carry that momentum over here in the second game of the back-to-back. The Flyers enter off a 3-1 road win in Detroit. Note that Tampa was just 1:45 away from posting its third straight shutout last night. Tampa is expected to start Louis Domingue in net tonight and he’s 18-4 with a 2.90 GAA on the year. The Lightning are now 20-8 on the road, averaging 3.50 goals and allowing 2.93 in those contests. The Flyers have won 11 of their last 13, but they’re still six points out of the eighth spot in the East. Philly is still only 15-15 at home, averaging 3.00 goals and allowing 3.13 in those games. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Tampa is 19-6 (+6 units) this year vs. teams with losing records, while Philadelphia is just 4-9 (-5.3 units) after a win by two goals or more. The Bolts coasted down the stretch last night and I think they enter this one “fresher” that most would expect. Lay the price, expect a rout.

10* play

The set-up: Two of the best teams in their respective conferences collide on the West Coast on Monday night and in my opinion, goals are going to be plentiful. Boston is in a tight race for second place in the East behind Tampa. The Bruins are looking to sweep the California portion of their road trip with another victory here after dispatching the Kings 4-2 on Saturday. Keep your eyes on Boston’s Brad Marchand, who has four goals and 13 assists over his last ten games (he also has four goals and three assists in 12 lifetime match ups vs. the Sharks.) San Jose can’t afford to take the foot off the gas either as its tied atop the Pacific with Calgary. The Sharks also hit the road for a four game Eastern swing immediately after this one, making tonight’s contest that much more important. From a “situational” stand point, this one absolutely sets up as a high-scoring shootout in my opinion. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well though, but Boston has seen the total go “over” the number in five of its last six following a three games or more unbeaten streak, while San Jose has seen the total go “over” in 15 of its last 21 non-conference games. This number is low, play the “over.” 

10* play

The set-up: Washington went into the All Star game losing seven straight, but it’s come out and won four of six. That includes an impressive 5-1 road victory at San Jose on Thursday. After breaking a seven game slide with a 1-0 win over Vancouver, the Ducks predictably fell in a 3-0 loss to the Bruins immediately after. The Ducks look poised for another letdown here in my opinion vs. the suddenly surging Capitals. 

The pick: Anaheim has in fact been outscored by a whopping 40-9 over its last nine games, going 1-8. Additionally note that the Ducks are 0-5 in their last five as an underdog in the +150 to +200 range, while the Capitals are 15-4 in their last 19 after allowing two goals or less in their previous contest. This line could/should be much higher in my opinion. Lay it.

8* play

The set-up: This is more an “event” than a game. Clearly you have to be careful wagering on these types of events, as for the most part, this contest means absolutely nothing in the grand scheme of things and it’s going to come down to whichever of the two sides is the more “motivated” in the end. In my opinion, that’s the team Giannis.

The pick: I think there are far too many “egos” on LeBron James’ team. James, Anthony Davis, James Harden and Kevin Durant all on the same team looks good on paper, but I doubt the chemistry. The East has harder working players that would I believe can work better together in this event. Throw in the fact that Steph Curry will be wanting to put a dagger in The Kings plans tonight, then I obviously wouldn’t be completely shocked by an outright upset. That said however, I’ll still recommend grabbing as many points as you can. 

6* play

The set-up: I think George Mason comes in flat footed after its tough 80-75 OT win over UMass on Wednesday. The Bonnies though are ready to build off their convincing 76-51 road win over Saint Joseph’s on Tuesday. Note that the Bonnies also play with revenge here after falling 68-53 at George Mason on the first matchup this year back on January 6th. From a “situational” stand point, I think this one sets up beautifully for the home side. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well though, but George Mason just 1-4 ATS this year off two straight victories vs. conference rivals, while St. Bonaventure is 3-1 ATS in its last four revenging a same season loss vs. an opponent. For all the reasons listed above, play on the Bonnies.

10* play

The set-up: Tennessee got the better of South Carolina 85-73 at home on Wednesday, while Kentucky pulled away for a 73-71 win at home over LSU on Tuesday. Tennessee is 23-1 this year and ranked No. 1 in the country. Kentucky is 20-4 and it’s ranked No. 5. But for me this game comes down to “revenge.” Kentucky got the better of the Vols 77-72 in the SEC Tournament Title game back on March 11th 2018. With a chance to avenge that setback, I think the visitors “come to play” tonight. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but the Wildcats are just 5-11 ATS in their last 16 following a SU loss, while Tennessee is 5-1 ATS in its last six vs. a team with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. Clearly the outright win isn’t out of the question, but in the end I’ll recommend to grab the points.

9* play

The set-up: The Oilers come in off a 3-1 road loss in Carolina just last night. Edmonton has now lost nine of its last ten. Clearly the Oilers have many issues this year, but I think the visitors play with extreme desperation in the second game of the back-to-back. The Islanders have been rolling and are one of the surprise teams in the NHL this year, but with three whole nights off before a Western road swing, I think the home side get caught in a “trap” this evening. 

The pick: Take it for why you will as well, but the Oilers are 6-3 (+2.1 units) in their last nine after scoring one goal or less in their previous outing, while New York is just 2-3 (-1.4 units) this season after shutting out its opponent in its previous outing. Lay the price, play on Edmonton the “puck line.” 

10* play

The set-up: Florida State will be pushing the pace as it looks to extend its win streak to seven games this afternoon. The Yellow Jackets will be desperate here and they’ll have to match pace with the visitors as they look to pull off the upset and snap a six-game losing streak at the same time. In my opinion, this one sets up as more of a “run and gun shootout,” than a slower-paced defensive affair where each side sets up a half four offense. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well though, but FSU has seen the total go “over” the number in six of its last nine off three straight victories vs. conference rivals, while GT has seen the total go “over” in four of its last five after two or more straight losses on the road. This number is low, play the “over.”

9* play

The set-up: Oklahoma enters off a 59-53 road loss to Baylor and I think it’s primed for another letdown here. TCU comes in focused after a tough 82-77 OT loss at home to No. 14 Kansas in its latest action. Note that this is a “revenge” game as well for the Horned Frogs, as the Sooners have won three straight in this series, including a 76-74 victory in the first matchup at home back in mid January. There’s no question that from a “situational” stand point, that this one sets up beautifully for the home side in my opinion. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well though, but TCU is 5-0 ATS in its last five home games vs. a team with a winning road record and 9-3 ATS in its last 12 at home overall, while Oklahoma is just 1-4-2 ATS in its last seven vs. a team with a winning percentage above .600. Lay the points, this one has blowout written all over it.

10* play

The set-up: Southern Illinois comes in off a deflating 72-69 home loss to Drake on Tuesday, while Indiana State enters off a confidence building 87-82 OT road victory over Valparaiso on Wednesday. These teams are moving in opposite directions right now and I think that trend carries over. Also note that Indiana State plays with revenge here after it fell 88-73 on the road in the first match-up back on January 30th. From a “situational” stand point, this one sets up fantastically for Indiana State in my opinion. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well though, but Southern Illinois is just 6-7 ATS this season following a conference game, while Indiana State is 4-2 ATS as a favorite this season and 7-3 ATS in its last ten revenging a road loss vs. an opponent of ten points or more. Lay the short points.

9* play

The set-up: Both teams are red hot, but I don’t think that the home floor advantage can be overlooked as a very real deciding factor in this particular matchup. Buffalo enters at 21-3 and on two straight victories, while Toledo is 20-4 and in the midst of a five-game win skein. This however is a “revenge” game for Toledo after it was smoked 110-80 at Buffalo back on January 8th. The Rockets have played exceptionally since that setback and with a chance to avenge that pathetic effort, I do indeed expect the home side to step up and answer the call. From a situational stand point, this one definitely sets up well for the home side in my opinion. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well but Toledo is 7-2 ATS In its last nine at home, while Buffalo is just 1-4 ATS in its last five on the road. For all the reasons listed above, grab the points.

10* play

The set-up: The Blues have won seven straight and at some point they’re definitely going to suffer a letdown, but I don’t think that tonight will be that night. The Blues are averaging and allowing 2.9 GPG this year. St. Louis though has arguably been the best team in the league over the last month and they come in having allowed three goals or less in ten of their last 13 games. The Coyotes have lost five of their last seven. Arizona averages 2.6 goals and it allows 2.9. 

The pick: Arizona has admittedly been playing better of late, but I think it runs into a buzz saw here. The Blues are 5-0 in their last five on the road and the Coyotes are only 3-8 in their last 11 as a home underdog. As stated off the top, St. Louis is “due” for a letdown, but that’s not going to come against the hapless Coyotes. Lay the price. 

8* play

The set-up: Murray State comes in with plenty of momentum having won three straight, nost recently dispatching the SIU Edwardsville Cougars 86-55 on Saturday. Overall Murray State shot 52.9 percent from the floor and it also won the rebounding battle by 18-11. Ja Morant led the way in the win with 20 points, five boards, six assists, a block and a steal. Overall Murray State averages 82.7 PPG, while allowing 67.1. Austin Peay has won four straight, most recently holding on for a 94-86 victory over Eastern Illinois on Saturday. The Governors average 82.7 PPG, and they allow 71.3. 

The pick: Take it for what will though, but Murray State is 6-1 ATS in its last seven vs. teams with winning home records and I think the high-scoring Racers will improve on that trend and take advantage of an Austin Peay defense which ranks 181st in the country. Play on the visitors.

10* Play

The set-up: The Thunder will look to close the first half with another big win before then concentrating on the All Star game. The Pelicans are in complete free fall mode after their star Anthony Davis announced that he won’t re-sign with the team at the end of the year. The Pelicans have lost five of six and they’re firmly out of the playoff hunt on the season. Davis has only three points in his last game and it would appear as if he and his team have “thrown in the towel.” Russell Westbrook and Paul George though are breaking NBA records almost every other night. These teams are moving in opposite directions and I expect that to continue here.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but OKC is 14-5 ATS already this year off a home victory, while New Orleans is only 13-14 ATS at home. Lay the points, expect a rout.

10* play

The set-up: The home side is looking to bounce back after falling to Youngstown State in its latest action. Oakland started the season slow, but it’s looked better over the last month. The Golden Grizzlies though are also looking to break a two game slide. Overall Oakland averages 76.3 PPG and it allows 77.6. Despite a loss in their last game though, the Phoenix are aiming for a third victory in four outings tonight. The Phoenix average 83.4 PPG, and they allow 82.8. 

The pick: Normally these are two higher-scoring teams that don’t put a lot of credit on the defensive side of things, but each enters “hungry” and I think this competitiveness lends itself to more of a defensive affair finally. And take it for what you will as well, but Oakland has seen the total go “under” the number in nine of 14 on the road, while Green Bay has seen the total dip “under” in four of its last five as a home favorite of three points or less or pick. This number is high, play the “under.”

8* play

The set-up: I think the 19-4 Belmont Bruins get caught looking past the lowly Tennessee State Tigers. The Bruins have won seven straight. Tennessee State though won’t be lacking for motivation today after starting 8-16. But Tennessee State has looked better over the last month, as despite losing to Eastern Kentucky in a tight game last time out, it had won its three previous. I think the oddsmakers are slow in recognizing the Tennessee State improvement. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Belmont is still only 6-7 ATS in its last 13 after scoring 80 or more points in a win over a conference rival, while Tennessee State is 4-1 ATS in its last five as a home underdog or pick. Grab all the points.

8* play

The set-up: I think the 23-1 Houston Cougars get caught looking past the 13-11 UConn Huskies. The Cougars have won eight straight and come in a tiny bit complacent in my opinion. The Huskies on the other hand enter razor focused after consecutive setbacks to Memphis and Temple. Clearly on paper, Houston is the better team, but I think the overall situation favors the hungry dog. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Houston is still only 11-12 ATS in its last 23 after successfully covering the spread in two or more straight games. UConn on the other hand has responded well in this spot by going 4-1 ATS in its last five after two or more straight road losses. Grab the points and expect a battle. 

8* play

The set-up: Vancouver enters off a 7-2 home loss to the Sharks, while the Ducks are off a 6-2 road loss in Philly. These are two teams desperate for victories and with each expected to push the pace from start to finish, I look for this total to blast past the number sooner, rather than later. Vancouver is 12-18 on the road, averaging 2.67 goals and allowing 3.17 in those contests. Canucks’ goaltender Jacob Markstrom is 9-12 on the road with a 2.93 GAA. After losing four of its last five, clearly Vancouver won’t be holding anything back today. And neither will Anaheim, which has lost seven straight, getting outscored 37-8 in the process. Ducks’ net minder John Gibson is 9-13 with a 2.83 GAA at home. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Vancouver has seen the total go “over” the number in eight of its last 12 vs. the division, while Anaheim has seen the total go “over” in nine of its last 13 when playing with three or more days rest. For all the reasons listed above, play the “over.”

10* play

The set-up: Miami is struggling right now and I think it’s ripe for the picking. The Heat have fallen into ninth spot in the East with a 25-30 record. Most recently Miami lost for a sixth time in seven games in its 103-87 setback in Denver. Overall Miami averages 105.9 PPG, while allowing 106.7. However over its last ten games Miami has posted just 103.3 points per game over its last ten. The Mavericks are looking to bounce back from a 120-104 loss to Houston. The Mavs average 108.4 PPG and they allow 108.5. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Miami is already only 4-9 ATS this year after a loss by ten points or more, while Dallas is 10-3 ATS this season as a home favorite of six points or less or pick. Lay the points, expect a rout.

10* play

The set-up: I base my picks on many different things. One thing I almost always take into account is scheduling. For the most part, that’s what I’m basing this selection on. The Flyers have been rolling of late, but after a humbling 4-1 loss at home to the Penguins, I think they’ll predictably come out flat here. On the other end of the ice, the Wild come in extremely focused on the task at hand as they’ve lost five of their last six games. From a “situational” stand point, there’s no question that this one sets up fantastically for the home side. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but the Flyers are still only 12-14 (-5.7 units) this season vs. teams with losing records, while the Wild are 11-8 (+2.1 units) in their last 19 following a non-conference game. Lay the price, expect a rout.

10* play

The set-up: Anthony Davis won’t be playing for the Pelicans next year and while he’s also going to be playing limited minutes, he’ll still be a “man on a mission” as he looks to cement his resume before moving on. The Pelicans will be hungry here after their 99-90 loss on the road in Memphis. The Magic on the other hand look poised for a classic letdown in my opinion after their 124-108 road in Atlanta in their most recent action. The Magic average 105.2 PPG and they allow 107.5. The Pelicans average 115.8 PPG and they allow 114.6. 

The pick: Take it for what you will though, but Orlando is just 2-5 ATS in its last seven road games vs. a team with a home winning percentage of greater than .600 and only 3-8 ATS in its last 11 vs. the Western Conference, while New Orleans is 4-0 ATS in its last four following a SU loss and 6-1 ATS in its last seven following an ATS setback. Lay the points.

10* play

The set-up: I think goals will be at a premium tonight between these two hungry clubs. New York comes to town off a 2-1 home win over Minnesota, while Buffalo is in bounce back mode after its 3-1 home loss to Winnipeg. Isles’ net minder Robin Lehner is 2-3 with a 2.15 GAA lifetime vs. the Sabres. New York is 16-11 on the road, averaging only 2.74 goals in those games, but allowing only 2.44. Buffalo is 16-12 at home, averaging 3.07 goals and allowing 3.04 in those contests. Sabres’ goalie Carter Hutton is so far 10-8 with a 2.48 GAA at home. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but the Isles have already seen the total go “under” the number in seven of their last ten following a three-games unbeaten streak, while the Sabres have seen the total go “under” in five of seven after playing three consecutive home games. This number is high, play the “under.”

8* play