The set-up: Outright upset? Clearly not out of the question. Minnesota most recently won 24-9 at home over Detroit two weeks ago and I think it has a legitimate shot at taking this one outright. Chicago looks primed for a letdown here as well after its 34-22 win over Detroit last weekend. Overall the Vikes are averaging 24.6 PPG and they’re allowing 22.7. The Bears are averaging 29.9 PPG and they’re allowing 19.4. 

The pick: Take it for what you will though, but Chicago is just 8-18-1 ATS in its last 27 after allowing less than 90 rushing yards, while Minnesota is 5-1 ATS in its last six coming off a win in which it held its opponent under ten points and following its bye. Grab the points.

10* play

The set-up: The 11-8 Winnipeg Blue Bombers get ready to take on the 13-5 Calgary Stampeders in the CFL West Final and in my opinion, home field can not be overlooked as a very real deciding factor/advantage for the Stamps. Winnipeg has won six of seven and QB Chris Streveler has a 29/18 TD/INT. Calgary QB Bo Levi Mitchell has 5,124 yards and a 35/14 TD/INT. 

The pick: Take it for what you will, but Calgary is 7-2 ATS in its last nine home games as a favorite in the 3.5 to 7.5 points range. Lay the points, play on the Stamps.

10* play

The set-up: The Broncos come in out of their bye hungry as they’ve lost two straight. The Chargers though could be a bit complacent here after their big win over the Raiders last week. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well but Denver is 3-1 ATS in its last four after two or more SU/ATS losses, while LA is just 8-11 ATS in its last 19 at home and only 9-10 ATS in its last 19 as a favorite. I think LA has a letdown here after last weeks win, while Denver comes in focused after its bye. Grab the points.

10* play

The set-up: Arizona State has a chance to represent the South division of the Pac 12 with a win today, but Oregon will be doing everything in its power to prevent that. ASU will be going bowling for a second straight season though win or lose. QB Manny Wilkins has 2,449 yards, 16 TD’s and four INT’s. The Sun Devils defense took a hit this week with LB Merlin Roberson suspended after last week’s game against UCLA for a dirty hit. The Ducks are 6-4, but a couple more victories will elevate their bowl berth. QB Justin Herbert is the difference maker for me in this particular matchup though. Herbert has 2,621 passing yards and 25 TD’s thus far. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but ASU is just 12-25-1 ATS in its last 38 as an underdog in the 3.5 to ten points range, while Oregon is 12-5 ATS in its last 17 as a favorite in the same points range. Lay the points.

10* play

The set-up: I’m clearly not calling for an outright upset, but I do definitely expect the visiting side to keep this one more competitive than what this line would suggest. Mississippi State went blow for blow with Alabama last Saturday but fell 24-0. The Bulldogs looked “ok” defensively, but overall it was a humbling loss. Arkansas nearly upset LSU last Saturday, as QB Ty Storey went for 200 yards and two TD’s. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Arkansas is 12-4 ATS in its last 16 off a loss against a conference rival, while Mississippi State is just 3-4 ATS in its last seven as a favorite in the 21.5 to 31 points range. Grab the points.

10* play

The set-up: SMU in first place in the West Division of the American with a 4-2 overall record, while Memphis just 3-3. When these teams played last year, it was the Tigers that destroyed the Mustangs 66-45 at home. Memphis has struggled against teams like Missouri and UCF, but it enters off back to back blowout wins (47-21 over Tulsa and 59-41 over East Carolina.) So far the Tigers are averaging 531.9 YPG. SMU has won two straight as well, but like its counterpart today, defense has been the issue all year. SMU’ QB Ben Hicks has a sharp 16/4 TD:INT, but I still think the Mustangs will struggle keeping pace with the now surging Tigers.

The pick: I think Memphis lays the hammer down here despite reaching the six win plateau last weekend. SMU needs one more victory, but it’ll have to wait one more weekend to try and get it. Lay the points.

The set-up: I’m expecting these non-conference opponents to push the pace from start to finish and I look for this total to fly “over” sooner than later. Boston will be eager to get back on track here after a two-game losing streak ended in a 6-3 setback at Colorado on Wednesday. Dallas is also eager to get back on track after a listless 2-1 loss to Columbus on Monday. In fact, Dallas has lost four of its last five. 

The pick: From a situational stand point, there’s no doubt this one definitely sets up as a higher-scoring affair in my opinion. But it also sets up great from a trend based stand point, as note that Boston has seen the total go “over” in 18 of its last 28 road games when the total in the contest is set at 5.5, while Dallas has seen the total go “over” the number in five of six already this year at home when the total in the contest is set at 5.5. Play the “over.” 

 The set-up: Toronto comes in off back-to-back home losses, most recently falling 106-104 to Detroit. The Raptors will be eager to get back on track here and they’ll be feeling confident here, because when they faced Boston at home on October 19th, they left with a convincing 113-103 victory. Toronto is averaging 116.5 PPG, while allowing 109.1. The Celtics are averaging 105.6 PPG and they’re allowing 101.9. 

The pick: It’s definitely interesting to note though that Boston has seen the total go “over” in seven of its last nine in trying to revenge and in-season road loss to an opponent in which it fell by ten or more points. With each team pushing the pace, look for this total to fly “over” sooner than later.

The set-up: FAU comes in off an upset 35-14 victory over WKU, while North Texas suffered an upset loss in a 34-31 setback to Old Dominion. Note that this is a revenge game for the Mean Green after FAU posted the 69-31 home win over UNT last year. Despite last weeks win though, the Owls are still averaging only 31.1 PPG, while allowing 31.3. And despite last week’s loss, the Mean Green are still averaging 37.2 PPG and allowing 20.3. 

The pick: Note that UNT is 4-1 at home this year and 10-4 ATS in its last 14 after allowing more than 280 yards passing in its previous game, while FAU is just 1-4 ATS in its last five against teams with winning records. This one has blowout written all over it. Lay the points.

10* play

The set-up: After an unreal start the Nuggets come into this one desperate for a win after four straight losses. Denver’s lost its offense of late, but a date vs. the defense-less Hawks is just what the doctor ordered to get back on track in my opinion. And with a tough road trip starting in New Orleans on Saturday, the home side will definitely be pushing the pace from start to finish to try and take advantage of the Hawks “vanilla” offense. Clearly Atlanta won’t go down without a fight after five straight losses and with another tough upcoming game in Atlanta.

The pick: The conditions are definitely right for a higher-scoring shootout tonight. But note as well that Denver has seen the total go “over” in seven of its last nine home games following a four games or more unbeaten streak. This number is low, play the “over.” 

The play: For all intents and purposes, this is a “do or die” game for both teams. Green Bay kept its hopes alive with a 31-12 home win last weekend, while Seattle came up just short in a 36-31 setback to the Rams on Sunday. The Packers won’t be just sitting back on their heels and looking for the Hawks to make the first mistake. Green Bay is just 2-2 on the road this year and it’ll have to do what it does best and that’s give the ball to QB Aaron Rodgers and let him go to work. The Hawks looked terrible defensive last week against the “gun-slinging” Rams’ QB and I think the defense is going to have its hands full here as well. 

The pick: Note that Green Bay has seen the total go “over” in five of six against conference opponents this year and in its last six as a road dog of three points or less, while Seattle has seen the total go “over” in seven of its last ten following a divisional contest. This number is low, play the “over.” 

10* play

The set-up: Columbus is 10-6-1 overall, but only 4-4 at home. The Blue Jackets come in off a 2-1 win at Dallas and with a tough two-game Eastern swing starting on Saturday, I look for them to carry over their momentum here. Florida on the other hand comes in complacent after five straight victories. And with a game at New York on Saturday, it’s not too hard to imagine the visitors getting caught looking ahead.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Columbus is 30-15 (+9.4 units) when playing with two days of rest. Great price on the hungry home side.

The set-up: WKU enters off an 86-71 home win over UT Martin, while Valparaiso comes in off a 121-65 victory over Concordia Illinois. This is part of the Myrtle Beach Invitational. The Crusaders averaged 70.4 points and allowed 68.2 last year. Ryan Fazekas leads the nightly charge and he had 18 points in Val’s most recent victory. Last year WKU averaged 70.5 PPG and it allowed 72. Taveion Hollingsworth was a standout in the latest win with 22 points.

The pick: Take it for what you will though, but Valparaiso is 5-2 ATS in its last even neutral site games and 5-1 ATS in its last six following a SU win of more than 20 points. Grab the points.

The set-up: Two teams hungry for a win collide on Wednesday night and I believe points are going to be plentiful. Both teams come in with confidence after two straight wins to open the year. Marquette was picked to finish second in the Big East behind Villanova. Markus Howard had 37 points in the Golden Eagles’ 92-59 win over Bethune-Cookman. Indiana destroyed Montana State 80-35 in its most recent action. Romeo Langford is averaging 15.5 PPG.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Marquette has seen the total go “over” the number in 22 of its last 30 non-conference games, while Indiana has seen the total go “over” in seven of its last eight home games when the total is set between 145 to 149.5. This number is low, play the “over.” 

The set-up: Two teams which can struggle with offensive consistency collide on Wednesday night, but in my opinion, I believe we’re going to see more of a “shootout” than a “chess match.” Boston took three of four in the series last year. The Bulls come in averaging 105.9 PPG and allowing 112.4. Zach LaVine leads the way with 27.1 PPG. The C’s average 105.2 PPG an they allow 103.2. Kyrie Irving averages 21 points and 5.4 assists per game.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well but Chicago has seen the total go “over” in 50 of its last 87 vs. teams with winning records, while Boston has seen the total go “over” in three of four already this season when playing with two days rest. This number is low, play the “over.” 

The set-up: Buffalo is 9-1 and it’s won five straight. The Bulls have never opened a season 9-1 before and if they win today, they’ll clinch the division. However, I think the hungry Bobcats will battle hard and find a way to defend home turf. Previous to last week’s tough 30-28 loss to Miami Ohio, Ohio has been on fire. The Bobcats ran into an equally as hungry side in the Redhawks and they just didn’t have enough on the road. A little “home cooking” is just what the doctor ordered in my opinion though.

The pick: Note that Ohio is 6-1 ATS in its last seven against teams with winning records and 6-2 ATS in its last eight off a loss against a conference rival. Home field is the difference. Play on Ohio.

10* play

The set-up: Toronto lost its very first road game of the year in a 5-1 setback in Boston most recently. It’ll look to get back on track here and continue its road success against a Kings team which is just 5-11 overall and which enters off back-to-back losses. Clearly the Kings can’t be happy with where they sit and with the home side desperate to get back into the winners circle and also forced to match the pace of the high-tempo visitors, I believe this one has “shootout” written all over it.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Toronto has seen the total go “over” the number in 23 of its last 38 when playing with two days of rest, while LA has seen the total go “over” in 21 of its last 34 in the same position. This number is low, play the “over.”

The set-up: Charlotte enters off a strong 113-103 road win over Detroit and I’m expecting a similar type defensive performance here as well. Cleveland comes in off a listless 99-98 road loss to Chicago. The Hornets are averaging 116.5 PPG and they’re allowing 109.2. The Cavs are averaging only 103.3 PPG and they’re allowing 113.1. 

The pick: Take it for what you will, but Charlotte has seen the total go “under” the number in five of six already this year against teams with losing records. The Cavs have difficulty scoring on the best of days, but with the visitors looking to control the pace of this one, I expect this total to fall “under” once it’s all said and done.

The set-up: WMU is already bowl eligible, but since losing QB Jon Wassink to injury, the Broncos have struggled on both sides of the ball. It appears the team has packed it in with just a few games remaining. The Cardinals will need to run the board to become eligible and while that’s likely not going to happen with an injury to their starting QB as well, the home side certainly won’t going down without a fight tonight.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but WMU is already 2-4 ATS this year against teams with losing records, while Ball State is 4-2 ATS in its last six as an underdog in the 3.5 to ten points range. Grab the points and expect a competitive battle.

The set-up: Clearly these are two teams that would take a “mulligan” on the season if given the chance. The Giants come out of their bye week looking to avoid a 1-8 start, while the 49ers enter at 2-7. San Francisco won’t be going down quietly either, it enter off a confidence building 34-3 win over Oakland. Each team has plenty of issues on both sides of the ball and up and down the line, but from a “situational” stand point, I absolutely feel that this one sets up as a “shoot-out.” 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but New York has seen the total go “over” the number in its last two following its bye week, while San Fran has seen the total go over in five of its last eight as a favorite. This number is low, play the “over.” 

10* play

The set-up: Utah enters off a high-scoring 123-115 win over Boston at home on Friday, while Memphis enters off a 112-106 OT home victory over Philadelphia on Saturday. Memphis has already gone 2-0 in the season series, including a 110-100 road victory in the most recent. Utah averages 111.6 PPG and it allows 109.9. Memphis averages only 103.1 PPG and it allows only 101.1 (that’s tops in the NBA!)

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Memphis has seen the total go “under” the number in seven of its last nine home games following an OT victory in which it scored 110 points or more in. This number is a little high, play the “under.”

10* play

The set-up: Clearly the Lakers are the better team, but they have a tough game in Sacramento on Saturday night and I think its the opportunity that the desperate Hawks will need to at least keep this one competitive. The Hawks are just 3-9 overall and 1-5 on the road, but with upcoming games at Golden State, Denver and Indiana on the horizon, tonight’s contest against a tired Lakers team clearly takes on added importance.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but ATL is 7-2 ATS in its last nine road games following a three games or more unbeaten streak. Grab the points.

The set-up: Both teams are 1-0, but I think that USC presents match-up issues for Vanderbilt. It did last year when the Trojans prevailed 93-89 in OT last November. The Commodores play this difficult non-conference contest, but then they return home for a series of “cream puffs.” In my opinion, this sets up as a letdown spot for Vandy.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Vanderbilt is just 2-7 ATS in its last nine after scoring 90 or more points in its previous outing. Play on USC.

 10* play

The set-up: Eagles are winning and the Cowboys are losing. Dak Prescott and Dallas won’t go down without a fight here though. The Eagles have won three straight, while the Cowboys have dropped tow in a row. In last week’s 28-14 loss to Tennessee, newly acquired WR Amari Cooper had 58 yards and a TD. He’ll bring some depth to the passing game, which will in turn help out Ezekiel Elliot and the ground game. QB Dak Prescott had 248 yards and two TD passes in last week’s loss. The Eagles come in “rusty” here out of their bye in my opinion. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Philly is just 6-8 ATS in its last 14 as a favorite in the 3.5 to 9.5 points range and only 6-7 ATS in its last 13 vs. division opponents, while Dallas is 3-1 ATS in its last four after two or more consecutive SU losses. Grab the points and expect a “nail biter.” 

The set-up: BC Lions’ QB Travis Lulay is completing just over 60 percent of his passes for 2,494 yards, 13 TD’s and 11 INT’s. The BC ground game averages 94 YPG. Defensively the Lions allow 26.3 PPG and 361.3 YPG. While BC enters the playoffs having split its last six games, the Ti-Cats enter having lost three straight. Note that Hamilton has lost three of its last four at home. QB Jeremiah Masoli has been a bright spot with a 28/18 TD:INT. 

The pick: Take it for what you will though, but Hamilton is a poor 2-6 ATS in its last eight at home, while BC is 5-2 ATS in the last seven in this series. The Ti-Cats are currently being outscored by 7.7 points average during their three-game skid and everything points to another letdown here as well. Grab the points.

The set-up: Oregon State enters off a 38-21 loss at home to USC, while Stanford comes in desperate, having lost two straight and four of five, most recently a tight 27-23 setback at Washington last weekend. Oregon State is averaging 417.1 YPG on offense, but it’s very weak defensively, allowing 262.3 YPG through the air and 274.8 YPG on the ground. Stanford is allowing 266.3 YPG through the air and it’s averaging 26.1 PPG overall. 

The pick: Take it for what you will though, but the Cardinal are 7-2 ATS in their last nine home games after two or more consecutive SU/ATS setbacks. Lay the points and expect a rout.

At 3:30pmET, my selection is one Michigan/Rutgers to finish OVER the total. As one of the lowest totals on the board, I believe that this game gives everyone great value on the OVER. Michigan may even enough to score higher than the total themselves as they average 37 PPG this season so far. The last time the Wolverines played in HighPoint.com Stadium, they scored a total of 78 points. Look for another high scoring game. Take the OVER.

The set-up: The Knicks come in off a 112-107 road win over the Hawks, while the Raptors moved to 11-1 after a 114-105 victory at Sacramento to cap off a perfect 5-0 West Coast road trip. New York is averaging 107.3 PPG and it’s allowing 109.9. Toronto is averaging 117.1 PPG and it’s allowing 107.8, which is ranked seventh and ninth respectively. 

The pick: Kawhi Leonard has been dealing with an injury and Toronto has still found ways to win. But there’s no doubt this one sets up as a bit of a letdown spot for Toronto with the lowly Knicks coming to town. This number is high, play the “under.” 10* 

The set-up: Has there been any bigger surprise than the Vancouver Canucks this season? No team has done more with less. Buffalo enters off a 6-5 OT win over the Habs, but with a game against Tampa Bay on Monday, it’s not too hard to imagine the home side looking past its lowly non-conference opponent this afternoon. The Canucks are off an 8-5 win at Boston and are 5-2 on the overall. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Buffalo is just 2-7 in its last nine after scoring six goals or more in an OT victory in its previous outing. Lay the price for the 1.5 goals “puck line.” 10*

10* MSU

The set-up: Ohio State comes in off a tough 36-31 home win over Nebraska and I think it’ll have its hands full here as well in this difficult road venue. Michigan State enters off a 24-3 win over Maryland. This is a big time revenge game as well for the Spartans, as Ohio State has taken two straight in the series, including a 48-3 victory last November. Ohio State is averaging 42.2 PPG and it’s allowing 23.8, while MSU is averaging 23.4 PPG, while allowing just 19. 

The pick: Take it for what you will though, but Ohio State is just 2-6 ATS in its last eight following a two games or more unbeaten streak and in which it’s a road fav in the -3 to -10 points range, while MSU is 7-2 ATS in its last nine after allowing three points or less in its previous contest. This one has the all the makings of whichever team that has its hands on the ball last is going to come out on top. Grab the points.

The set-up: Boston enters off an epic come from behind OT win in Phoenix just last night, overcoming a 22-point second half deficit. Kyrie Irving exploded for 39 points. This is the finale of a tough Western swing and in my opinion, I believe the Celtics will be focusing on the defensive end of the floor tonight after Thursday’s marathon victory. The C’s themselves are allowing just 100.7 points per 100 possession on the defensive end of the floor for the league’s best defensive rating. Offensively though the Celtics are ranked 27th with a 103.7 rating. Utah has uncharacteristically struggled on the defensive end of the floor to open the year, but clearly the home side catches a break facing the “gassed” Celtics. 

The pick: Note that Utah has seen the total go “under” in five of its last seven after scoring 115 points or more in a victory in its previous outing. This number is high, play the “under.” 

The set-up: Will struggling Louisville win this one outright? Of course not. I’m not suggesting that whatsoever. The Cardinals are coming off a humbling loss to the Clemson Tigers, but they’ll be eager to atone for that blunder for head coach Bobby Petrino. Clearly Syracuse is the better team, but in my opinion this sets up as a “letdown” spot in some small way after big wins over Wake Forest, NC State and UNC.

The play: Take it for what you will as well, but Syracuse is 1-5 ATS in its last six vs. teams with losing records and just 8-10 ATS in its last 18 on the road. Look for Louisville to open up the playbook and keep this one competitive late. Grab the points.

Bonus: The set-up: Fresno State is 8-1 and 5-0 in MWC play, while Boise State is 7-2 and 4-1 in conference action. It’s a huge game for both teams. The Bulldogs have the advantage on the defensive side of the ball, but not by much. The Broncos sit only a game back of Utah, who just lost its starting QB last week. I don’t think that the home field advantage can be overlooked as a deciding factor in this one.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Boise State is 3-0 ATS in its last three as an underdog. In a contest which I look to be decided by whichever of these talented teams has its hands on the ball last, I’m going to grab the points.

The set-up: The Temple Owls were 17-16 last year, but they’re expected to take a step forward this season and they got things started off on the “right foot” with a 75-67 home win over La Salle. Detroit was 8-24 last year and it enters off a listless 89-76 loss to WMU in its opener. Things aren’t going to get any easier on the Mercy tonight, as the Owls love to get out and push the pace. The Titans lost three of their four top scorers from last year and I have a hard time seeing this year’s unit keeping pace with Temple. 

The pick; The Owls are 6-1 ATS in their last seven following a SU win, while Detroit is just 1-4 ATS in its last five following a SU loss. Look for Temple’s Quinton Rose and Shizz Alston Jr. to dominate and lay the points with confidence.

The set-up: LA enters off a satisfying 120-109 home win over the wolves on Monday and I think it’ll now predictably stumble in this difficult road venue. The Blazers continue to roll at home most recently getting the better of the Bucks 118-103 on Tuesday. The Clippers are averaging 116.2 PPG and they’re allowing 109.8. Portland is averaging 117.3 PPG an fit’s allowing only 107.4. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but LA is 0-4 ATS in its last four road games against a team with a home winning percentage above .600. Lay the points and expect a rout!

The set-up: Both teams come in rolling. Carolina enters off three straight wins, most recently a 42-28 victory over Tampa Bay, while Pittsburgh has won four straight, most recently a 23-16 win over Baltimore. These teams are very similar, with dynamic and capable QB’s who each have plenty of weapons to utilize. But Newton has struggled against the elite defenses throughout his career and I think that trend carries over here at Heinz Field.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well the Panthers are a terrible 3-8 ATS in their last 11 after two or more consecutive SU victories, while Pittsburgh is a perfect 2-0 ATS in its last two Thursday night contests. Lay the points and expect a rout.

The set-up: Wake Forest comes in off a loss to Syracuse and it lost its starting QB for the season in the process. Can anyone say letdown spot?! After back-to-back defeats, NC State finally bounced back with a destruction of FSU at home in its latest action, becoming bowl eligible in the process. Wake forest is averaging 32.2 PPG, but with QB Sam Hartman went down with injury mid-way though and because of that, I’m expecting the Demon Deacons to struggle to keep up with the Wolfpack. NC State is giving up just 25.5 PPG, while averaging 32.5.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but the home team is 18-4 ATS in the last 22 in this series, while Wake is now just 1-5 ATS in its last six conference contests. Wake has struggled against superior competition this year and nothing is going to change here. Lay the points. 

The set-up: Buffalo enters off a 3-1 road loss to the Rangers, while Montreal enters off a 5-3 road loss to the Rangers as well. But I don’t think that the home ice advantage can be overlooked here. Note that this is a revenge game as well for the Habs after the Sabres took the first meeting at home 4-3. 

The pick: The Sabres have lost four of their last five. Overall they’re averaging 2.87 GPG and allowing 2.92. Montreal is averaging 3.07 GPG and it’s allowing 3.00. Take it for what you will though, but Montreal is 6-2 in its last eight when playing on one days rest, while Buffalo is just 45-103 in its last 148 vs. teams with winning records. Great price, play on the Habs.

The set-up: Siena enters hungry after falling 77-67 to Providence in its Opener on Tuesday. The Saints would lose the rebound battle by a 31-23 margin. Evan Fisher was a bright spot in the setback with 11 points, six boards and three assists. Siena has a new coach and new faces, but its loaded with talent none-the-less.

The Colonials enter 0-1 as well, but I think they come in dwelling on what could have been after falling 77-74 in OT to the Stony Brook Seawolves on Tuesday. George Washington lost the rebound battle as well 17-12, while also committing 17 turnovers. Arnalda Toro had 13 points and 11 boards. 

The pick: It’s a rebuilding year for each team, but note that the Saints are 7-3 ATS in their last ten non-conference games. George Washington is still reeling from the opening night loss and while I won’t call for the outright, I’m expecting an all out battle until the end. Grab the points.

The set-up: Nashville enters off a 1-00 home win over Boston, while Colorado will look to get back on track after a 7-6 OT road loss to Vancouver. Nashville has had the Avs “number” of late, winning all four regular season games last year, and then going on to knock off Colorado in six games of the first round of the playoffs. Nashville is the top defensive team in the league, allowing only 2.14 GPG. Pekka Rinne is 5-1 with a 1.68 GAA and he’s 2-0 with a 2.18 GAA on the road. Colorado is ranked second in scoring with 3.71 GPG, but it’s been decent defensively as well by allowing 2.79. Avs’ net minder Semyon Varlamov is 2-2 with a 1.76 GAA at home thus far. 

The pick: Take it for what you will, but Nashville has seen the total go “under” in 15 of its last 23 road games when the total is set at six or higher, while Colorado has seen the total go “under” in 13 of its last 21 after playing three consecutive road games. Play the “under.” 

The set-up: Ohio is on a roll and that’s not going to stop this weekend facing the RedHawks, who just lost 51-42 to Buffalo. The Bobcats are rolling across the board, , most recently winning 52-14 and 59-14 over WMU as a three-point dog last weekend.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Ohio has seen the total go “over” the number in both games that it’s played so far this season as a favorite in the 3.5 to ten points range and in three of its last four off a win against a conference rival, while the RedHawks have seen the total go “over” in four of five as an underdog already this year (and in four of their last five as an underdog in the 3.5 to ten points range). The RedHawks desperately need a win here to keep their bowl hopes alive. With each team pushing the pace, I’m expecting this one to soar “over” sooner, rather than later.

The set-up: It’s the No. 4 Duke Blue Devils vs. the No. 2 Kentucky Wildcats and I think the SEC school will find a way to get the job done here. The Blue Devils were 29-8 in ACC play last year, while the Wildcats finished 26-11 in SEC action. Last year Duke averaged 84.4 PPG and it allowed 69.6. Kentucky averaged 76.8 PPG and it allowed 70.2. 

The picks: Duke may have the “flashier/bigger” names on its roster, but John Calipari’s team is loaded with talent as well and I don’t think they’re getting nearly enough respect here. Duke’s young recruits get their first real test here and I think they came up just short. Play on Kentucky.

The set-up: No need to over think this one in my opinion, as Dallas comes in “dog tired” after a tough game in Boston on Monday night. The Blue Jackets look to take advantage and break a two-game slide.

The pick: With a game in the nation’s capital up next, Tuesday’s contest takes on added importance for the Blue Jackets. Take it for what you will as well, but Columbus is 7-2 in its last nine following a two games or more unbeaten streak. Lay the price.

The set-up: Memphis is expected to rest some starters in Phoenix on Sunday night, so that it’ll be more fresh for this important game in Golden State on Monday night. After a slow start the Grizzlies have looked a lot a better of late. The Warriors though will look to take advantage of this potentially tired visiting side, while also building on their seven game win streak. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Memphis has seen the total go “over” the number in nine of its last 13 as a road dog of 12.5 points or more, while Golden State has seen the total go “over” in four of five already this season following a loss by ten points or more. With the home side pushing the pace, look for this one to fly “over” sooner, rather than later.

The set-up: Both teams come off their bye weeks. Tennessee lost 20-19 in England in its final game before its bye, while Dallas fell 20-17 in Washington in Week 7. Both teams need a win and I think each will be looking to establish the run from the “get go.” As a result, expect this total to sneak under the number at the end of the night. 

The pick: Both teams feature a couple of QB’s who are better at “managing” the game, than “blowing it wide open.” They also feature two very strong RB’s in the Titans’ Derrick Henry and the Cowboys’ Ezekiel Elliot. Take it for what you will as well, but Tennessee has seen the total go “under” the number in four of six already this year as an underdog, while Dallas has seen the total go “under” in six of its last nine non-conference games. This number is a little high, play the “under.” 

The set-up: The Blue Jackets come to town off a 4-1 loss to LA on the road, while the Ducks come in off a listless 3-2 home shootout setback to the lowly Rangers. With both teams pushing the pace and looking to get back into the winners circle, the overall situation of this contest sets up as more of a high-scoring “shootout,” than a lower-scoring goaltenders battle. 

The pick: Note that Columbus has seen the total go “over” the number in four of six already this year against teams with losing records, while Anaheim has seen the total go “over” in four of its last six in the same position. This number is low, play the “over.” 

The set-up: I think Aaron Rodgers and the stumbling Green Bay Packers can keep this one respectable on Sunday night. Green Bay came up just short in a massive upset in LA last weekend and with their backs against the wall, I think the Packers bring that same intensity here on Sunday night. The Pats have won three straight and are off a short week after hammering the Bills in Buffalo on Monday night. 

The teams: Packers’ QB Aaron Jones had 86 yards and a TD last week. Rodgers was his usual dominant self and the defense was decent considering the opponent, posting five sacks and eight QB hits. 

New England wasn’t challenged last week. It didn’t need starting RB Sony Michale last weekend, but I think his absence this Sunday will be more significant against this desperate visiting side. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well but Green Bay is 5-2 ATS in its last seven as a road dog in the 3.5 to seven points range, while New England is just already just 2-3 ATS this year as a favorite in the 3.5 to 9.5 points range. Grab the points.

The set-up: Both teams come in playing well, but I think the extra week off to rest and prepare for this one will be the difference for Philip Rives and the visiting Chargers.

The teams: LA comes in on top form having won four straight, most recently a 20-19 win over the Titans in London. Rivers has 2,009 passing yards and an elite 17/3 TD:INT

Seattle has won four of five after an 0-2 start. But after sweeping a two game road trip, including a 28-14 victory in Detroit last Sunday, I think the Hawks suffer a predictable letdown here on the return to friendly soil. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but LA is a perfect 3-0 ATS as a road favorite of three points or less and a perfect 3-0 ATS in its last three following its bye, while Seattle is just 4-7 ATS in its last 11 after two or more consecutive SU wins. Play on LA.

The set-up: After their 146-115 road rout in Atlanta, I think the surging 6-3 Kings take a step back on the offensive side today. Milwaukee enters off its first loss of the season in a tough 117-113 road setback in Boston and it’ll now look to avoid a letdown here.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Sacramento has seen the total go “under” the number in five of its last six after three or more consecutive SU wins and in nine of its last 15 following a victory by ten points or more, while Milwaukee has seen the total go “under” in its last three when the total in the contest is greater than or equal to 230. These are two young teams which like to get out and push the pace from start to finish and while this can still be a high-scoring affair, I look for this total to say “under” this sky-high number in the end.

The set-up: Washington comes in dog tired here after three straight victories, while the Falcons return to action fresh off their bye week and two straight victories. I expect the visitors to sneak away with an outright victory today. 

The teams: The bye week couldn’t have come at a better time for the hurting Falcons. Atlanta still has plenty of injury issues to deal with, but Matt Ryan and his WR core remains in tact and I think the unit will be a difference maker this afternoon. 

The Redskins comes in off a 20-13 win over the lowly Giants, with aging RB Adrian Peterson going for a season-high 149 yards. Suffice it to say, I don’t think AP is going to match that pace again in back-to-back weeks. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well but ATL is 3-1 ATS in its last four following its bye week and 8-5 ATS in its last 13 after two or more consecutive SU victories, while Washington is just 2-3 ATS in its last five off a win against a conference rival. I like a rested Ryan to pull off the upset Sunday afternoon.

The set-up: Detroit enters off a 28-14 home loss to Seattle, while Minnesota comes in off a 30-20 home loss to the Saints. 

The teams: The Lions last road game ended in a 32-21 Week 6 victory in Miami. While it struggled against the Seahawks last week, I think Detroit will have its opportunities today against Vikes’ defense which has been exposed. Overall the Lions are averaging 24.4 points and allowing 26.6. 

Minnesota is averaging 24.6 PPG and allowing 24.4. Kirk Cousins remains a bright spot on the team with a 16/4 TD/INT, but the once vaunted league leading defense is now firmly planted in the middle of the pack.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but the Vikes are just 1-4 ATS the last five in this series, while the Lions are 4-1 ATS in their last five on the road. Detroit has played well on the road this year, averaging 27.7 PPG away from friendly confines. Grab the points.

The set-up: The Browns will be leaving everything on the field today as they look to snap a three-game slide. KC enters off a 30-23 home victory over Denver, while Cleveland fell 33-18 to Pittsburgh last week. 

The teams: After their loss the Pats, the Chiefs come in having won two straight. The Chiefs average 36.2 PPG and they allow 25.6. Patrick Mahomes had four TD passes and an an INT last week. So far the Chiefs have been up to the task each week, but it’s not too hard to imagine the visitors getting caught looking past their lowly opponent today.

The Browns have been trying hard each week, but so far that effort hasn’t translated into many wins or offensive production. Cleveland averages 21.1 PPG and it concedes 26.2. RB Nick Chubb had 65 rushing yards last week.

The pick: Note that KC has seen the total go “under” the number in four of its last five as a favorite and in 13 of its last 18 after two or more consecutive SU wins, while Cleveland has seen the total go “under” in 14 of its last 19 at home and in three of four already as an underdog in the 3.5 to 9.5 points range. This number is high, play the “under.” 

The set-up: Pittsburgh lost 26-14 in this matchup at home earlier in the year and I think it’ll have its hands full in this hostile environment Sunday as well. The Steelers are poised for a letdown here in my opinion after three straight wins. Conversely, it’s all hands on deck this week for Baltimore after losing three of its last four, including a 36-21 setback at Carolina last weekend. 

The teams: The Steelers are averaging 418.1 YPG on offense, while allowing 359.7 YPG. Note there’s a major concern about QB Ben Roethlisberger who fractured his index finger on his left hand. 

Baltimore is only allowing 293.8 YPG. The offense is averaging 379.3 YPG. Last week the defense struggled against Cam Newton, but the unit catches a break this week facing the lumbering (and now injured) Roethlisberger. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Pittsburgh is just 2-6 ATS in its last eight trying to revenge a loss against an opponent, while Baltimore is 4-2 ATS in its last six after two or more SU losses. I’m banking on the more desperate team getting the job done today. Lay the points.

The set-up: The Irish look to remain undefeated after knocking off Navy last weekend. Northwestern has already knocked off two ranked foes this year, but I think the Wildcats will come up short here against Notre Dames complete team.

The teams: Notre Dame posted 584 total yards of offense against a hungry Navy team last weekend. A perfect season is in the Irish’s grasp, but they’ll have to stay focused now and take it one game at a time. 

Northwestern managed three fumble recoveries against Wisconsin, but RB Isaiah Brewer was one of the lone bright spots on offense with 117 yards and a TD. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but the Wildcats are just 1-3-1 ATS in their last five following a victory, while the Irish are 6-2 ATS in their last eight following a win by 20 points or more. Notre Dame is on a mission and I expect it to keep the foot on the gas this weekend. Lay the points.

The set-up: Missouri comes in off a 15-14 loss to Kentucky last Saturday, while Florida enters off a 36-17 beatdown loss at the hands of Georgia. If recent history is any precedence, then Missouri has to be liking its chances today as in last year’s matchup it won 45-16.

The teams: Missouri is averaging 35.5 PPG and it’s allowing 28.9. QB Drew Lock has 2,144 passing yards with 16 TD’s and six INT’s. 

Florida is averaging 32.2 PPG and it’s allowing 19. QB Feleipe Franks has 16 TD’s and six INT’s so far this season. Last weekend the Gators came back down to earth, turning the ball over three times, while not forcing one themselves.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Missouri is 7-2 ATS in its last nine conference road games in which it was held to points or less in its previous game and lost, while Florida is just 3-6 ATS in its last nine after scoring 17 points or less in a loss in its previous outing. Grab the points and expect a battle until the final moments!

The set-up: Detroit comes in off a disheartening 120-119 road loss in Brooklyn, while Philadelphia posted a 122-113 home victory over LA in its most recent action. Note that this is a big time revenge game for Philly after it fell 133-132 in OT in Detroit earlier in the year. 

The teams: This is the finale of a three game trip for the Pistons. Overall Detroit has already lost two of three on the road. The Pistons are averaging 109.9 PPG and allowing 110.5. 

Philadelphia is averaging 113.8 PPG and allowing 113.4. Joel Embiid had 41 points with 16 boards in the win over the Clippers. Note that the 76ers are now 5-0 on their home floor this season.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Detroit is just 11-15 ATS in its last 26 after scoring 115 points or more in its previous contest, while Philadelphia is 63-44 ATS the last two season in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent. The 76ers’ revenge the earlier loss and continue their home dominance with another convincing victory.

The set-up: The Wolves come in off an epic 128-125 win over the Jazz, a game in which Derrick Rose scored 50 points. Can anyone say letdown spot? Rose isn’t going to score 50 again for the rest of his career and I think the Warriors will look to take advantage of this tired visiting side. The Warriors are firing on all cylinders right now as well, as guard Stephen Curry is averaging a career-high 33 points, 5.9 assists and 5.0 boards per game. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Golden State is 6-2 ATS in its last eight after playing on one days rest and 5-1 ATS in its last six following an ATS victory, while Minnesota is just 8-20 in its last 28 on the road and interestingly only 3-7 ATS in its last ten after scoring 100 points or more. Lay the points and expect a blowout.

The set-up: WKU has just one win on the year (against lowly Ball State) and it comes in having lost four in a row. MTSU will look to take advantage and to build off back-to-back wins over ODU and Charlotte.

The teams: WKU is averaging only 19.8 PPPG and it’s allowing 30. The Hilltoppers are now essentially eliminated from bowl contention and with that fact weighing heavily on the team collectively, I’m expecting a predictable letdown here.

MTSU QB Brent Stockstill will look to build off another efficient game, last week going for 280 yards with two TD’s and one INT. RB Terell West exploded for 120 yards and a major score as well. 

The pick: Note as well that the Blue Raiders are 4-1 ATS in their last five against teams with losing records (the home team is also 4-0 ATS in the last four in this series), while WKU is just 4-11-1 ATS in its last 16 following a SU loss. This one has “blowout” written all over it. Lay the points.

The set-up: Oakland comes in off its third straight loss, a 42-28 setback at home to the Colts. Derek Carr and company are just playing for pride at this point. So too are the 49ers, who have lost six straight, most recently an 18-15 setback on the road to Arizona. With nothing to play, on the short week and with each side dealing with injuries, points are going to be at a premium in my opinion. 

The teams: The Raiders have already shelved RB Marshawn Lynch after he had surgery last week. Oakland also made some moves in its bye week, trading star receiver Amari Cooper to Dallas for a first round pick. Winning this Thursday night game is not of the greatest importance to this team right now.

The 49ers season went down the toilet when QB Jimmy Garoppolo went down with injury. The 49ers have seen four of their losses come by eight points or less, a testament their defensive and special teams play. 

The pick: The 49ers have been solid against the run and the Raiders have pretty much abandoned their ground game. The visitors offense is extremely one dimensional and I think the home side’s talented defensive unit will easily be able to make the adjustments to make things difficult on Carr from start to finish. This one has defensive battle written all over it. Play the under.

The set-up: This one sets up great from a situational stand point. Sacramento has exceeded expectations to this point, sitting at 5-3 overall and 3-2 on the road. But after four straight wins and back-to-back on the road and with two whole nights off before a game at East leading Milwaukee, there’s no question in my mind that this finally sets up as a letdown spot for the visitors. Clearly the Hawks don’t have the same luxury, as they’re 2-5 and they’ve lost three in a row. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but ATL is 7-2 ATS in its last nine after a three games or more unbeaten streak. Play on the Hawks.

The set-up: UCF puts the nation’s longest winning streak on the line tonight and while I’m not calling for the straight up outright loss, but I think the home side will have its hands full with the division co-leader tonight, who clearly won’t be going down without a fight. 

The teams: Temple is 5-3 overall, but 4-0 in league play. Last time out it knocked off previously unbeaten Cincinnati 24-17. QB Anthony Russo finished three INT’s, but he also had three TD’s. During the Owls three game win streak he’s thrown eight of nine TD passes while posting 791 yards through the air. 

UCF is averaging 44.4 PPG. QB McKenzie Milton was held out of last week’s win over the Pirates, ending a string of 27 consecutive starts. Note that his status for this game is uncertain as well. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but UCF has struggled mightily in the month of November, going just 1-5 ATS in its last six during that period, while Temple is 41-18 ATS in its last 59 on the road. I think the Owls have a legitimate shot at winning outright, but in the end I’ll recommend grabbing as may points as you can. Play on Temple.

The set-up: Ohio is 3-1 in conference play, while WMU is 4-1. The MAC West division race is wide open and I smell a small upset in the air on Thursday night.

The teams: WMU lost 51-24 to Toledo last time out, breaking a six-game slide. In that contest star QB Jon Wassink left early in the first quarter with injury. Wassink missed the final four games of 2017 as well and the Broncos would finish 1-3. Overall WMU is averaging 35 PPG and allowing 30.9. 

Ohio though comes in surging, it won its second straight conference game in a 52-14 blowout victory over Ball State. AJ Ouellette had 135 yards and two scores. QB Nathan Rourke had 127 yards passing and a TD as well. Overall the Bobcats are averaging 38.3 PPG while allowing 28.9.

The pick: Ohio though has held its last four opponents to under 27 points. Take it for what you will as well, but Ohio is 5-1 ATS in its last six against teams with winning records, while WMU is only 7-9 ATS in its last 16 at home, including only 1-3 ATS this season. 

The set-up: Pittsburgh’s four game win streak in which it scored 24 goals and allowed six, came to an end in a 6-3 home loss to these very Islanders on Tuesday night. Can anyone say “payback time?!” 

The pick: And there’s no question that this sets up as a classic letdown spot for New York which comes in off three straight victories on the road. Take it for what you will as well, but the Pens are 8-3 in their last 11 after allowing six or more goals in the first game of a home and home set in which they lost. Lay the price and expect a blowout.

The set-up: This is a great “situational” play in my opinion. After two straight losses, including a setback to the Blazers on Monday night, I think the Pacers come in focused on the task at hand here. New York on the other hand comes in content off a 115-96 victory over the Nets to move to 2-5. With three nights off before a two-game road trip, it’s also not too hard to imagine the home side getting caught “looking ahead” here.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Indiana is 7-2 ATS in its last nine after a loss in which it scored 95 points or less. Play on the Pacers.

The set-up: Toledo broke a two-game slide with a big win over WMU last Thursday and I think it’ll carry that momentum over here. Ball State comes in on the other end of the spectrum, off back-to-back losses to EMU and Ohio. In my opinion, this one has “blowout” written all over it.

The teams: Ball State rushed for just 80 yards and threw for only 162 in last week’s crushing 52-14 loss to Ohio. QB Riley Neal left in the second quarter with injury and he’s out for this one as well.

Toldeo’ QB Mitch Guadagni also suffered an injury in last week’s 51-24 blowout win over WMU last week, meaning Eli Peters is the “main man.” Last week he was 8 of 14 for 107 yards and three TD’s.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Toledo is 11-4 ATS in its last 15 against teams with losing records, while Ball State is just 2-6 ATS in its last eight on the road. Lay the points and expect a blowout.

The set-up: Buffalo has a perfect conference record, but Miami Ohio won’t be going down without a fight tonight. The Redhawks enter off a tough 31-30 double-OT road loss to Army, while Buffalo gutted out a 31-17 road victory over Toledo. Note that when these teams met last year it was Miami Ohio which posted the 24-14 home victory.

The teams: Miami Ohio’ QB Gus Ragland has 1,769 passing yards and a 14/3 TD:INT. The Redhawks offense revolves around their strong run game though, led by Alonzo Smith, who has 342 rushing yards. Overall the Redhawks are averaging 26.2 PPG and allowing 24.9.

Buffalo is averaging 32.9 PPG and it’s allowing 21.1. QB Tyree Jackson was 1,869 passing yards with a 20/8 TD:INT, but note that he’s thrown five INT’s over his last three games.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Buffalo is just 5-13-1 ATS in its last 19 following its bye week, while Miami Ohio is 5-0 ATS in its last five conference games and 4-1 ATS in its last five on the road. The Redhawks’ offense is firing on all cylinders right now and I think the unit keeps the visitors competitive late. Grab the points.

The set-up: If recent history is any precedence, then the Falcons have to be liking their chances tonight, as they took this game on the road last year by a score of 44-16. Kent enters off a 24-23 OT loss to Akron at home, while Bowling Green lost 49-14 at Ohio. Both teams are 0-4 in league play.

The teams: KSU averages 23 PPG, while allowing 35. Last week the Golden Flashes allowed the Zips to convert 10 of 19 third down chances.

Bowling Green is averaging 25.6 PPG, while allowing 47.8. The Falcons have been worse on the defensive side of the ball than their counterpart this year, but better on the offensive side. QB Jarret Doege is the difference maker for me today though, he so far has 2,078 yards passing with a decent 19/8 TD:INT.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Bowling Green is 7-2 ATS in its last nine home games following a three games or more unbeaten streak in conference action and as an underdog in the +1 to +3.5 points range. Play on the Falcons.

The set-up: The Devils broke a three-game slide with a 3-2 home win over the Panthers, but I think they’ll come up short in the opener of this tough Eastern swing, with upcoming games Detroit on Thursday and Pittsburgh on Sunday. Tampa is already 4-1 at home this year and there’s no reason not to think it can’t keep the momentum rolling.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but New Jersey is a terrible 32-52 (-9 units) the last two season against teams with winning records, while tampa Bay is 24-7 (+11.7 units) in its last 31 when playing with two days rest. Overall a great price in my opinion. Play on the Bolts.

The set-up: Here’s a fantastic “situational” play. The Hawks are in action on Monday night against the 76ers. Cleveland will look to take advantage and get off the schneid as it enters 0-6 overall, including 0-3 at home. One of those losses includes a 133-111 setback to these very Hawks just last week.

The pick: The King isn’t around anymore, but I still think it’s worth noting that the Cavs are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 following a three games or more SU losing streak. The situation and the numbers favor the home side. Lay the points.

The set-up: This is a great “situational” play. Miami has been solid in the early going, but with a game at home against the Kings on Monday, look for the visitors to rest some of their starters in the second game of the back to back. Charlotte already beat the Heat 113-112 early in the year, but after losing three of its last four, I’m expecting the home side to come in focused on the task at hand.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Miami is just 2-7 ATS in its last nine in the second game of a back-to-back when playing that second contest on the road. This one has “blowout” written all over it, lay the points.

The set-up: Tom Brady is 28-3 all time against Buffalo and while he won’t have offensive star TE Rob Gronkowski in the line-up, I still believe the all star will have more than enough to take care of the lowly (and injured) Bills.

The teams: After a 1-2 start the Pats come in having won four straight. Last week Brady threw for 277 yards and three TD’s in the victory over the Bears. WR Josh Gordon had four catches for 100 yards. Sony Michel is also expected to sit this one out, so expect to see a heavy dose of James White.

The Bills are dealing with several injuries, including at QB. Buffalo is already planning ahead to next year and I believe it’ll simply go through the motions tonight.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well but the Pats are 20-7 ATS in their last 27 after two or more consecutive victories, while Buffalo is just 10-13 ATS in its last 13 as an underdog. Lay the points and expect a rout.

The set-up: This is a great “situational” play in my opinion, as I expect the Kings to have a predictable letdown here after back-to-back home victories. After beating Washington 116-112 they Kings have had two nights off and with a game tomorrow night in Orlando, this contest also sets up as a “look ahead” spot for the visitors. The Heat look to take advantage, they’ve won two in a row and with a tough road trip starting tomorrow night in Charlotte, I’m expecting the home side to leave everything it has on the floor tonight.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but the Kings have gone just 3-7 ATS in their last ten after two or more SU/ATS victories. Lay the points and expect a rout.

The set-up: I think the Wizards will find a way to get the job done here. Washington is 1-4 SU/ATS and desperate for a victory after back-to-back road losses to the Warriors and Kings. LA on the other hand looks poised for a classic letdown here though in my opinion after its big 133-113 road win at Houston. And with a three-game road trip starting in OKC on Tuesday, it’s not too hard to imagine the home side getting caught “looking past” its lowly non-conference opponent tonight.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Washington is 7-2 ATS in its last nine after back-to-back road SU losses. Play on the Wizards.

The set-up: New Orleans comes in off a 24-23 road win over Baltimore, the league’s No. 1 defense, while Minnesota enters of a 37-17 dismantling of the Jets. These teams battled to a higher-scoring affair in the playoffs last year as well, with Minnesota eventually prevailing 29-24.

The teams: The Saints are averaging the second most points in the league, which is a good thing as the defense has regressed from last season, allowing 27.2 PPG. Drew Brees has an insane 13/0 TD/INT ratio and a QBR of 121.6.

Minnesota is averaging 25.3 PPG and and while it’s fifth in the league against the run defensively, it’s only 16th against the pass. Clearly that doesn’t bode particularly well facing the red hot Brees and company.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but the Vikes have seen the “over” go 5-2 in their last seven following a SU victory. Both teams are “firing on all cylinders” offensively. Play the “over.”

The set-up: I believe the overall situation favors the Knights so much in this one, that I do indeed have no issues at all in laying this larger price. After three straight wins the Senators have now lost two straight. But with much more “winnable” games upcoming at Arizona and then a home and home set with Buffalo, it’s not too hard to imagine the visitors getting caught “looking ahead.” Vegas has struggled as well this season after its Cinderella run last year, but after back-to-back losses to Vancouver and TB and with a tough road game starting in Nashville on Tuesday, I expect the home side to leave everything it has on the ice this evening.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but the Knights are 7-2 in their last nine home games following a two games or more losing streak. Lay the -1.5.

The set-up: Oakland only has one victory on the season and I think it’ll struggle containing Andrew Luck, who continues to gain confidence each week, despite being undermanned on both sides of the ball.

The teams: Luck had 156 yards and four TD’s in last week’s blowout win at home over the hapless Bills. Marlon Mack ran for 126 yards and a TD. Luck is getting improved play from his offensive line and I think that progression continues this week in what sets up as another favorable matchup.

Oakland coach Jon Gruden was signed to a ten year contract, so he’s gutting the team and rebuilding it the way he sees fit. Gruden’s indecision across the board has hurt the team in the short-term and probably in the long-term as well.

The pick: Take it for what you will, but note that Oakland is just 1-3-1 ATS in its last five at home, while Indianapolis is 11-2 ATS in its last 13 games on the road against teams with a losing home record. I like Luck to lay the hammer down and further expose Gruden’s complete ineptitude. Lay the points.

The set-up: Denver enters off a 45-10 win over Arizona and I think it’ll have its chances today against the Chiefs vanilla defense. Kansas City enters off a 45-10 win over Cincinnati, one week after coming up short in New England. Note that this is a revenge game for Denver after the Chiefs posted a 27-23 road win in Week 4.

The teams: Denver is averaging 23.6 PPG and it’s allowing 23.4. QB Case Keenum has 1,848 passing yards and an 8/9 TD:INT. The defense dominated last week, limiting the Cards to just 223 total yards.

KC is averaging 37.1 PPG and allowing 26. Patrick Mahomes has been unbelievable with 2,223 passing yards and a 22/5 TD:INT, but I think he’ll have his hands full today with this veteran Broncos defense.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but KC is still just 4-6 ATS in its last ten against teams with losing records. Denver took the Chiefs best shot they had and almost prevailed. I’m expecting a similar “war” here as well. Grab the points.

The set-up: Chicago is 3-3 and in desperate need of a victory this week to keep pace in the competitive NFC North. Thankfully the Jets are coming to town, as New York continues to deal with a number of injuries on both sides of the ball. This one has “blowout” written all over it in my opinion.

The teams: The Bears enter off a 38-31 loss to the Pats, as QB Mitch Trubisky continued his fine season with 333 passing yards and two TD’s. Chicago remains one of the best on the defensive side of the ball and Khalil Mack and company look poised for a big night against the Jets patchwork front.

Jets’ QB Sam Darnold was just 17 of 42 for 206 yards, one TD and three INT’s in last week’s blowout loss to the Vikes. The Jets also lost the services of RB Bilal Powell to injury.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but New York is 0-4-1 ATS in its last five games played on “grass,” while Chicago is 11-4-1 ATS in its last 15 at home and 11-5-1 ATS in its last 17 after allowing more than 350 total yards in its previous game. Lay the points.

The set-up: Pittsburgh has won two straight, but I think it’ll have enough of a “letdown” here to let the hungry Browns sneak in through the back door down the stretch. Cleveland comes in off a tight 26-23 OT loss to Tampa Bay, while Pittsburgh scored the difficult 28-21 road win over the Bengals. Note that these teams played to a 21-21 tie in Week 1.

The teams: Cleveland is averaging 21.6 PPG and it’s allowing 25.3. QB Baker Mayfield has 1,291 passing yards and a 6/5 TD:INT. The Browns looked sharp defensively, posting four sacks and two INT’s against the high-flying Bucs.

Pittsburgh is averaging 28.5 PPG, but it’s allowing 25.7. QB Ben Roethlisberger has 2,033 passing yards and a mediocre 12:6 TD/INT on the season.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Pittsburgh is just 1-8 ATS in its last nine following a SU win, while Cleveland is 3-0-1 ATS the last four in this series. No outright, but expect a battle until the end. Grab the points.

The set-up: SDSU comes in on top form having won six straight and I look for it to keep the momentum rolling. Nevada broke a two-game slide against Hawaii in its latest outing, but I have a hard time seeing the Wolf Pack keeping pace with the Aztecs down the stretch.

The pick: Nevada is getting much better play in Jay Norvell’s second year as head coach (4-4 so far this season), but note that the Wolf Pack are just 3-7 ATS in their last ten against teams with winning records and 0-4 ATS in their last four following a SU victory. The Aztecs are still 6-2 ATS in their last eight road games. Also note that SDSU is 5-1 ATS the last six in this series. The Wolf Pack have been a pleasant surprise, but I think they’re completely outclassed here. Lay the points.

The set-up: The Canucks fell flat in Arizona last time out and they come into this one suffering through some significant injuries. Pittsburgh on the other hand comes in on top form and off a resounding 7-0 beatdown of the Flames on Thursday night. I think the massive talent discrepancy on both ends of the ice tonight make Pittsburgh well worth the price of admission in this spot.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Pittsburgh is 7-2 in its last nine road games after scoring six or more goals in its previous outing. Lay the price.

The set-up: Washington has a lot of work ahead of it if it hopes to be invited to the College Football Playoff. It’s going to have to sweep the table and I think it’ll get things started with a big victory on the road against Cal. The Golden Bears return home off a 49-7 win over Oregon State. 

The teams: The Huskies come in off a 27-13 win over Colorado last week. QB Jake Browning had 150 yards passing with one TD and one INT. RB Salvon Ahmed had 73 yards and a TD as well. Through six games Washington is averaging 28.6 PPG and allowing only 15.6. 

Cal is averaging 26.7 PPG and it’s allowing 24. RB Chase Garbers had 234 passing yards and three TD’s last week. 

The pick: Take it for what you will though, but Cal is just 5-8 ATS in its last 13 against teams with winning records and only 4-5 ATS in its last nine as an underdog in the 10.5 to 21 points range, while Washington is 3-1 ATS in its last four as as road favorite in the 10.5 to 14 points range. Lay the points.

The set-up: The Terps come in off a 23-0 loss at Iowa, while Illinois fell 49-20 on the road at Wisconsin last weekend.

The teams: Illinois has struggled against the “better” conference competition this season, but it did smash Rutgers 38-17 on the road. The Illini also has a much more favorable schedule moving forward, vs. Maryland this weekend and then Northwestern, Iowa, Minnesota and Nebraska. The defense hasn’t been terrible either with 15 turnovers created through six games.

Maryland looked decent defensively in last weeks’ loss, holding the Hawkeyes to 310 total yards. But the offense was held to just seven first downs and 115 total yards. QB Kasim Hill has a weak 51.7 percent completion rate.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Maryland is interestingly just 2-12 ATS in its last 14 after allowing less than 170 passing yards in its previous games, while Illinois is 4-1 ATS in its last five following a loss. The Terps offense is broken. No outright, but closer than expected. Grab the points.

The set-up: USC is short-handed and deflated after last week’s 41-28 road loss to Utah. USC is likely down to third-string QB Jack Sears as well. ASU is in last place in the South in the Pac 12 and it most recently comes in off a hard-fought 20-13 setback to Stanford.

The teams: ASU held the Cardinal to 358 total yards last week, but three costly turnovers proved to be the difference. Overall QB Manny Wilkins was competitive though, accounting for 394 yards of total offense.

The uncertainty at QB doesn’t bode well for a Trojans’ offense that’s still reeling from last week’s loss. Additionally note that USC is just 2-10 ATS in its last 12 following an ATS loss.

The pick: On the year Wilkins has 1,799 passing yards with 11 TD’s and only two INT’s. ASU is also 6-1 ATS in its last seven following a SU loss. I think the Trojans’ frustrating trend of “playing down” to the level of its competition continues this weekend. Grab the points.

The set-up: UNC enters hungry off a 40-37 road loss to Syracuse in OT to fall to 1-3 in conference play. Virginia comes in off a 28-14 road victory over Duke to move to 3-1 in league play. Note that this is a revenge game for the Tar Heels after the Cavs took last years contest on the road 20-14.

The teams: In last week’s loss the Tar Heels put up 500 yards of offense, including 321 through the air. QB Nathan Elliot had 321 yards, two TD’s and no INT’s. The defense looked terrible, but the Cavs rank as one of the worst passing teams in the country.

Virginia gets the job done with tough defensive play, ranked 20th in points allowed with just 18.4. But the Tar Heels won’t be rolling over and UNC’s offense comes in on top form. Bryce Perkins has been decent, not great this season (but he hasn’t had to be, simply to manage.)

The pick: Take it for what you will though, but UNC is 7-2 ATS in its last nine road games in which it gave up 40 points or more and lost in OT in its previous outing. No outright, but much closer than expected. Play on North Carolina.

The set-up: Both teams have been decent to open the season, but I think the Avs are worth the price of admission here. Colorado comes in off a tough 1-0 home loss to the Lightning, so they’ll be looking to make the most of this opportunity before embarking on a tough road trip starting tomorrow night in Minnesota. Ottawa on the other hand saw its three game unbeaten streak come to an end in a 4-1 setback to Boston in its last outing (the end of a six-game home stretch) and everything points to a letdown here in the opener of this extended road trip as well.

The pick: And take it for what you will, but Colorado is 7-2 in its last nine home games after being shutout in its previous contest. Lay the -1.5.

The set-up: Down 0-2 and with their backs against the proverbial wall, I look for the Dodgers to find a way to get the job done in Game 3 and with the shift in venue to friendly confines. The visitors go with Rick Porcello, while the home side goes with Walker Buehler.

The pitchers: Porcello makes his third start of the playoffs, last pitching in Game 4 against the Astros, given yup four runs over four innings.

Buehler has allowed ten runs over 16 innings in three playoff appearances this year. Buehler though was 8-5 with a 2.62 ERA and 0.96 WHIP over 137.1 frames of work this season and I think he’ll settle down at Chavez Ravine.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but the Dodgers are 7-2 in their last nine night home games in which they’ve lost two or more games in a row previous. It’s do or die, now or never. Lay the price.

The set-up: I think this is a great “situational” play. Toronto has been on fire this year, opening up at 4-0 and getting fantastic play from the newly acquired Kawhi Leonard, who had 35 points in the most recent victory over the Wolves. But with a couple of nights off before a tough road game at conference rival and equally as hot Milwaukee up next, I think Toronto finally suffers a bit of a mental lapse on Friday night. After two straight home wins the Mavs came out flat in the second half of their game in Atlanta on Wednesday, but with a night off before a home game against Utah, I think the Mavs come in focused on the task at hand and catch the Raptors complacent.

The pick: And take it for what you will as well, but Toronto is just 3-8 ATS in its last 11 home games following a four games or more SU unbeaten streak. Play on Dallas.

The set-up: These two teams are moving in opposite directions right now and I expect those trends to continues here. Louisiana Tech has won two in a row, most recently 31-24 over UTEP, while FAU has lost three of its last four.

The teams: Louisiana Tech has never had an issue putting points on the board, but it’s now gotten some better defensive play of late as well, especially from DE Jaylon Ferguson in last week’s victory, as he’d posted 3.5 sacks.

The Owls most recently come in off a humbling 31-7 loss to Marshall, which for all intents and purposes has already eliminated them from repeating as Conf-USA Champs. But FAU has been hit hard by the injury bug this year, including to defensive stand out Azeez Al-Shaair. WR Dante Cousar suffered a broken leg in the loss to Mashall.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but FAU is just 1-4 ATS in its last five following a loss by 20 or more points, while the Bulldogs are 4-1 ATS in their last five against teams with losing records. A short week is not what the doctor ordered for FAU and while the outright win isn’t out of the question, I’m going to grab the points in the end.

The set-up: Miami has lost three of its last four, most recently a 32-21 setback at home to Detroit, while Houston comes in on the other end of the spectrum, having won four straight, most recently a commanding 20-7 win on the road over Jacksonville. On the short week, I believe points will be at a premium.

The teams: Miami was out gained 457-322 last week against a pretty bad Lions defense. And that doesn’t bode well this week facing a Texans’ defensive unit which is clearly “firing on all cylinders.” It wasn’t a pretty win last week by the Texans by any means, as they’d hold on for a slim 272-259 yardage edge in the victory.

The pick: Miami’s only hope on offense is to run the ball today (18th in the league in rushing, but it’s rushed for at least 100 yards in five of seven games.) Dolphins’ QB Ryan Tannehill is injured and Brock Osweiler is “hit or miss.” The Texans have been getting the job done by letting DeShaun Watson “manage” the offense and I don’t think anything will change this week either. Note that Miami has seen the total go “under” in three of its last four as an underdog in the 3.5 to 9.5 points range, while Houston has seen the total go “under” in five of its last six after two or more consecutive SU victories. This number is high, play the “under.”

The set-up: I think this one sets up well for the Thunder. Boston comes into this one at 2-2, as it’s so far traded good games with bad ones this year. It most recently fell 93-90 in Orlando. With a home and home set starting against Detroit on Saturday though, I think the visitors are going to get caught “looking ahead” to those more high-profile conference contests. The Thunder do not have that same luxury at all though as they come in having gone 0-3 SU and just 1-2 ATS to open the year. OKC has had three whole nights off though and they have two nights off after this contest before another one game against the lowly Suns. It’s now or never for the Thunder to start turning their season around.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but OKC is 7-2 ATS in its last nine after three or more consecutive SU losses. Play on the Thunder.

The set-up: App State is on the AP Top 25 for the first time in its history and suffice it to say, I’m expecting a predictable letdown here. Perhaps not enough of one to completely lose this one outright, but I do expect the hungry home side to go down fighting. In the end, I’ll recommend grabbing as many points as you can.

The teams: App State is 5-1, while Georgia Southern is 6-1. The Mountaineers have won five in a row after an OT loss at Penn State, but the offense which had put up at least 35 points during that run, didn’t last week against the Ragin’ Cajuns. Also note that the defense, which had limited four straight opponents to single digits in scoring, would then give up 17 points to Arkansas State. The Eagles are averaging 276.6 YPG on the ground, which is ranked fifth in the entire country. I believe the home side will have its opportunities to control the pace of this contest.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but App State is just 3-7 ATS in its last ten after four or more SU victories. Grab the points.

The set-up: WVU comes in off a humbling loss to Iowa State and I believe it’ll take out its frustrations on the Bears. While the setback probably is the nail in the coffin for the Mountaineers playoff chances, they’ll still try to run the table from here on out and see where they stand at the end. Baylor is the perfect opponent to get untracked against in my opinion, as it looks poised for a letdown here after almost upsetting Texas two weeks ago and coming out of its bye.

The teams: A letdown here seems imminent to me for Baylor after it’s “oh-so-close” 23-17 setback to No. 9 Texas two weeks ago. The defense was decent, but the offense was once again stagnant, as QB Charlie Brewer had 240 passing yards, one TD and one INT. The run game was basically non-existent though.

Mountaineers’ QB Will Grier had an “off night” last time out, going 11 of 15 for 100 yards, one TD and one INT in the shocking loss to Iowa State. I’m not going to read too much into one crummy showing though and I do definitely expect Grier and WVU’s high-flying offense to get back on track in friendly confines and against Baylor’s suspect secondary.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but WVU is 4-1 ATS in its last five after allowing more than 450 total yards in its previous game, while Baylor is 0-4 ATS in its last four following an ATS victory. Lay the points and expect a rout.

The set-up: No need to overthink this one as I believe this sets up as a classic letdown spot for the Avs, who enter at 6-1-1-1 overall and who just went 4-1 on a current road trip. With lowly Ottawa coming to town next, there’s no question that this sets up as a “trap” game for Colorado. After a tough 5-4 OT loss in Minnesota, Tampa bounced back with a 6-3 win at Chicago on Monday. But with a game in Vegas on Friday night, I expect the Lightning to take full advantage of this favorable spot.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but the Avs are just 2-7 in their last nine home games following a three games or more unbeaten streak. Play on the Lightning.

The set-up: After falling 8-4 in Game 1, I believe the Dodgers will respond in Game 2 with a victory behind what I believe to be the superior pitcher on the mound for them. The visitors hand the ball to Hyun-Jin Ryu, while the home side goes with David Price.

The teams: Ryu finished the regular season 7-3 with a 1.90 ERA and 1.008 WHIP with 15 walks and 89 strikeouts over 76.1 frames of action. He’s so far 1-1 with a 4.40 ERA in the playoffs.

Price went 16-7 with a 3.58 ERA in the regular season and he’s 1-1 with a 5.11 ERA and 1.38 WHIP over 12.1 post-season innings thus far.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Boston is interestingly just 1-4 in its last five Game 2 of a series, while LA is 4-0 in its last four interleague road games vs. southpaws. Looks like we’re headed to West Coast all knotted up at one game apiece.

The set-up: Toronto has started off the year by going 3-0 SU/ATS. Minnesota is 2-2, but 0-2 on the road. The Wolves though offer fantastic value in an upset role in my opinion and while I’m going to stop short in calling for the outright upset, I do think the Raptors are finally poised for a bit of a mental letdown here.

The pick: And that’s because note that TO is just 2-7 ATS in its last nine home games in which it enters on a three games or more ATS/SU unbeaten streak. Look for Minnesota’s deep and talented line-up to keep this one competitive until the final moments and grab the points.

The set-up: I think the “under the radar” Hawks offer great value in an upset role at home here. ATL is just 1-2, but it comes in off a convincing 133-111 road win over the Cavaliers. Dallas is 2-1, but off back-to-back victories and with a game at Toronto on Friday night, I do indeed expect Dallas to get caught “looking past” its lowly opponent tonight.

The pick: It’s a great situational play overall, but take it for what you will as well but the Hawks are 7-2 ATS in their last nine after scoring 130 points or more and earning a victory in their previous contest. Play on Atlanta.

The set-up: Cleveland coms in as the more desperate as it’s so far 0-3 to start the year, including a humbling 133-111 home loss to Atlanta in the most recent. With a road game in Detroit tomorrow night, the Cavs will clearly be leaving everything they have on the floor tonight to try and get off the schneid. The Nets are 1-2, but with upcoming games at surging New Orleans followed by a home game against the defending champs, I absolutely believe that the visitors get caught “looking ahead” to those more “important” match-ups.

The pick: And take it for what you will, but the Cavs are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 home games following a three games or more SU losing streak. Play on Cleveland.