The Marlins are off to a terrible start and they dropped yesterday's series opener. They're favored for a valid reason this afternoon though and will take advantage of the opportunity for victory.

Mitchell Parker has gotten off to a wonderful beginning for Washington. He's still only made 2 major league starts though and his minor league numbers were mostly mediocre. He'll come back down to earth and that should happen this afternoon. Even if Parker pitches well again, he's unlikely to get a whole lot of support. Cabrera struck out 10 in his lone home start, allowing only 1 run in 6 innings. Cabrera is 2-1 with a solid 3.86 ERA in 4 career appearances versus Washington. Miami gets it done with a rare home win! **NL EAST GOM**

At first glance, the over 3.5 goals might appear to be an attractive option. Further review reveals that the opposite is true. Off a 5-0 loss to Arsenal, Chelsea will be determined to clean up its goals conceded. In its previous match, Chelsea recorded a clean sheet.

Aston Villa has only conceded one goal in its last 2 league matches combined. Eight of the past 9 meetings have produced 3 goals or less. The last 3 matches had scores of 1-0, 2-0 and 2-0. Go with the Under!

You likely saw what happened in the first 2 games. They both sailed over the total. Tonight, we work with a very high total of 6.5. We don't even have to lay heavy juice to get it. Winnipeg is 15-9-3 to the under when playing in a road game where where the total is 6 or more.

The Jets only allow 2.5 goals a game on the road. The Avalanche concede just 2.7 goals per game at home. The goal scoring barrage comes to an end tonight. Go with the Under.

The Jets seemed like they'd never lose there for awhile but the Avalanche ended their winning streak in Game 2. The magic of the winning streak is now over. Worse, the Jets are now away from the comforts of Winnipeg. Instead, they are in hostile Colorado where the Avalanche have a 31-10 record.

When their backs against the wall, the Avalanche responded with a big win in Game 2. This is a playoff-tested team. The Game 2 win gave them control of home ice advantage in the series and they're not about to just relinquish that. The Avalanche outscore teams by 2.2 goals per game here. This is a pivotal game and they will not be denied!

A young team, the Orlando Magic weren't quite ready to win a playoff road game at Cleveland. They have been fabulous at the Kia Center though and they will get back in the series after a win today. The Magic defense is at another level in their home games. They allow just 104.6 points per game on this floor. The Cavaliers are also known for their defense but they allow 109.7 points per road game. They also score only 110.8 points in games played away from Cleveland. The Magic score 112.4 at home.

Orlando coach Mosley said: "It's going to be great to be back at home, in front of our fans. That energy. That intensity. That's something that we'll be looking forward to. Take care of homecourt."

Orlando's Franz Wagner added: "We're excited to go play at home. Do the same as they did."

Hosting their first playoff game since 2019, Wagner, Banchero and the young Magic will treat the home fans to a victory.

The Mavericks were favored in Game 1 but got blown out by a Clipper team which was without Leonard. When off an upset loss as a favorite, the Mavericks are 9-5 to the over. When off an upset win as an underdog, the Clippers are 4-1 to the over.

For Game 1, the total was 221. The regular season totals were in the 236.5 to 237 range. Playoff games are lower-scoring. But its my opinion that this low total, far lower than any of those, is an over-reaction. LAC games average more than 227. Dallas games average more than 233. Go with the Over!

Game 1 got out of hand. A 7-6 final. Hockey playoffs are funny though. You can have a game like that and see the next one play out completely differently. The benefit of that Game 1 result is that the Game 2 total is now jacked right up. The Avalanche are 2-0 to the under the past 2 years when trailing in a playoff series.

The Avalanche are 20-10 to the under their last 30 tries when playing with revenge. The Jets are 11-7 to the under after allowing 4 goals or more. The Avalanche still allow just 3.1 goals per game and the Jets still allow a measly 2.5 goals per game, 2.2 gpg over their last 5. Go with the Under!

The Dodgers are the top dogs in the NL West. The Padres remain a solid contender. The Rockies are already an afterthought. The Padres took yesterday's game and they will take advantage of their weaker division rivals again this evening.

King is one of a handful of converted relievers enjoying a great deal of early success this season. He was flat out dominant in his last start. In 7.2 innings, he limited Milwaukee to 2 hits and 1 run. He racked up 10 strikeouts. In 3 road starts, he has a 2.29 ERA and 0.864 WHIP. Feltner has a 5.06 ERA so far which is actually better than his career ERA. He gave up 9 hits and 6 runs last game, getting taken out of the park twice. Go with the Padres!

Game 1 went over. Game 2 has a higher line but will be lower-scoring! Off the game 1 over, the 76ers are now 7-4 to the under their last 11 first round playoff games. Over that same period, the Knicks are 5-1 to the under in the first round of the playoffs. They are also 3-0 to the under when leading in a series.

In the regular season, the Knicks allowed the fewest number of points per game in the Eastern Conference, 2nd least in the NBA. Philadelphia ranked in the top 10. The 76ers are 16-8-2 to the under their last 26 against winning teams. Before the Game 1 result, the previous 2 meetings between these teams produced 152 and 185 points. This will be a defensive war right from the beginning.

One of the best kept secrets from the first month of the season is Pittsburgh's Jared Jones. The 22-year old Jones has 32 strikeouts in 23 innings and a dynamite 0.78 WHIP. In 3 April starts, he has 23 strikeouts without issuing a single free pass. That's impressive for anyone, let alone a rookie. Now Jones can come in and play hero, when his team needs him most.

Joe Ross had a couple of decent years in 2015 and 2016 but has been nothing special ever since. He's got a 4.91 ERA and 1.64 WHIP on the season, his first since he was 5-9 in 2021. In 3 of the past 4 years that he pitched, Ross had an ERA above 5. Very hittable, in his last start Ross conceded 9 hits 6 earned runs. He's walked 8 in less than 14 innings in his 3 April starts. That's exactly the type of matchup which the Pirates need to break their losing streak. Go with the rookie over the journeyman. **NL Central GOY**

Boston won on Friday and Saturday but Pittsburgh will prevail on Sunday! Josh Winckowski is a reliever who isn't accustomed to starting. He hasn't been very good in the bullpen and moving to the starting rotation isn't going to make things any better.

Martin Perez pitched for Boston in 2021 and will be ready to take down his old team. A life-long member of the American League, the move to the National League has been great for Perez. The Pirates lost yesterday but are still 7-5 in day games. They won't be denied today!

The gap between these clubs is wide. Fiorentina has a +7 goal differential. Salernitana has a -42 goal differential. That's the worst by a mile in Serie A. There is truth in the statement that Fiorentina often struggles to score on the road. Salernitana is the worst team in the league though and can't keep the ball out of the net. Salernitana is on borrowed time. Relegation is reality. A victory for Fiorentina will officially seal their fate.

Salernitana is winless in its last 14 league matches. That includes 11 losses and 3 draws. Salernitana will want to snap its skid with a win for the home fans at Stadio Arechi. Fiorentina isn't going to let that happen though and will be determined to earn a rare road victory. Fiorentina won 3-0 in December's reverse fixture and will not be denied on this day either. Salernitana's struggles continue!

Bournemouth has scored 1 goal in 2 of its 3 April matches. The Cherries are unlikely to score more than 1 against an Aston Villa squad which blanked Arsenal 2-0 last Sunday and which has Emi Martinez in its goal. Martinez, the goalie for the Argentine national team, is controversial but he's also really good.

Aston Villa was just in a Europa League match on Thursday and may have some tired legs. Scoring won't come easily. Villa has scored 2 or less in 6 of its last 7 matches. Six of the past 7 h2h matches, including each of the 3 at Villa Park, have finished with 3 goals or less. Go with the Under!

The Suns soundly beat the Timberwolves to close out the regular season. When it really matters, on April 20th, we will see a much different result. The Suns are 9-17 versus the spread after a win by 10 points or more.

The Timberwolves are a perfect 10-0 their last 10 tries, both straight up and against the spread, when playing with revenge from a home loss. Minnesota is also 9-4 ATS And 11-3 SU after an upset loss. Minnesota allows the fewest points in the entire NBA. The Wolves were 30-11 at home and only allowed 103.7 points a game here. Lay the small number!

Luton Town is facing relegation and is off a 5-1 loss. The Hatters are one of the weakest teams in the league and have only one victory in their last 10 matches. Brentford is off a 2-0 victory over Sheffield and is undefeated in its last 4 league matches.

Six of Brentford's last seven meetings with Luton have seen the Bees earn a victory, including a 3-1 home win in December. The last meeting here at Kenilworth Road resulted in a 3-0 victory for Brentford. That was in English Championship League play, on Halloween in 2020. The Hatters are dealing with major injury concerns on their back-line. Their chances of staying in the top league will take another hit on Saturday. Brentford wins!

Chicago's first game came against Atlanta. The Hawks and Heat are opposites. Atlanta allowed the 3rd most points in the NBA. Miami allows the 3rd least. The Bulls game against Atlanta was high-scoring. Tonight's game against Miami will be the opposite. Chicago is 79-59-1 to the under its last 139 tries, against winning teams.

Miami's game against Philadelphia had no business going over. The Heat hit a 3-pointer with less than a second left to send the game over and that was after a foul-fest in the closing minute. The Heat are still 24-19 (56%) to the under their last 43 playofff games. During that period, the Bulls are 6-2 (75%) to the under in their playoff games. D-E-F-E-N-S-E! Go with the Under!

Wednesday game resulted in a 2-0 pitcher's duel. Thursday afternoon's game will be entirely different. Carrasco is permitting a lot of baserunners. He has a 1.657 WHIP. Averaging less than 5 innings, he likely won't be around long. Four of Carrasco's last five starts against Boston have finished with 10 or more runs. Last game here Carrasco went only 2 1/3 innings and allowed 10 hits and 5 runs.

Brennan Bernardino won't be going deep into the game either. This is his first start this season. Of his 61 big league appearances, only 6 have been starts. The Boston bullpen didn't come into play yesterday because of Houck's masterpiece but it will today. Red Sox relievers have an awful 6.94 ERA and 1.69 WHIP at Fenway. Go with the Over!

The Milwaukee Brewers haven't been involved in many pitcher's duels but they're about to get one on Tuesday! Dylan Cease allowed 2 runs in 6 innings last start. Both were unearned. He has allowed 2 runs or less in 6 straight starts. He is 5-2 to the under his last 7 starts. As a Padre, Cease has a 2.16 ERA and 0.814 WHIP. He held the Brewers to 2 runs in 7 innings in a start last August.

Miley has a 2.25 ERA and 0.75 WHIP from this season's only start. He allowed only 1 hit and 1 run through 4 innings. Since last season, he has allowed 1 run or less in 4 of his last 5 starts, 3 runs in the other. Just like Cease, Miley is 5-2 to the under his last 7 starts. Miley's last start against SD finished with a 1-0 score. Both bullpens have been solid. Go with the Under!

The Flyers weren't given much hope at the beginning of the season. They played better than expected, gained everyone's respect and appeared to be playoff bound. Then they slumped and their playoff chances took a big hit. They're giving it one last kick at the can and have won back to back games. They are at home tonight and they have had the past 2 days off. They catch Washington play8ing with 0 days rest.

The Capitals have played a lot of hockey over the past 2 weeks. The last time that they played with 0 days rest, they lost by 2 goals. The Flyers need a win in regulation. They are excited again and playing their best hockey. They are 2-1 against the Capitals this season. With Washington off last night's upset win, the Flyers will get it done tonight!

Here's what I said prior to the first leg: "Dortmund has suffered three successive quarter-final Champions League eliminations. The German squad looked bad against Stuttgart and will have trouble scoring today against a rested Atletico Madrid squad which doesn't concede often at home. Go with Atletico Madrid." Atletico Madrid won 1-0.

Now the second leg will be played at Dortmund's Signal Iduna Park. With the venue shifting from Spain to Germany, we are now able to get an extra half goal with the visiting Spanish squad. In a match which has a great chance at resulting in a draw, that extra half goal may easily prove to be the difference. Look for Atletico Madrid to earn at least a draw and to advance to the semi-finals of the Champions League once again.

Yesterday's game finished with a 5-2 score and runs will be hard to come by again today. Paxton has a dynamite 1.64 ERA in 2 starts. He's off a quality start at Minnesota, a game which finished with a final score of 4-2. Paxton faced the Padres last season and held them to 1 run in 6 innings. The final score was 6-1.

Darvish has been decent so far as he has a 3.86 ERA. Darvish has allowed 3 earned runs or less in 6 straight starts against the Dodgers, 2 or less in 5 of those. He only went 3 2/3 innings in this season's first start agains them but allowed just 2 hits and 1 unearned run. San Diego bullpen has been fairly solid (1.25 WHIP) on the road. Twelve of Darvish's 13 starts versus LA have finished with 9 runs or less. Eleven of those games finished with less than 9. Go with the Under! **NL WEST TOY**

This is the biggest game of the season for Orlando. The Magic have their sights set on a top 6 position which would mean avoiding the play-in round. A win over the Bucks gets them there.

"We control our destiny in this situation," said Orlando coach Jamahl Mosley, "so the way in which we have to play, the focus we have to have, and the attention to detail in how we start games and how we finish games is going to be very important."

"We just need one win and we're good," Magic forward Franz Wagner said. "One more game and we have to focus on that one and get a win."

The Bucks are still without Giannis Antetokounmpo and have lost 7 of their last 10 games. A win gets them the #2 seed but they don't seem overly concerned about it.

"You're going to play somebody good in the playoffs no matter what. There is no easy path. We learned that in the past before -- winning it and also losing it.

The Magic are 25-11 versus the spread, when favored. They've had a great season and they will finish it strong. Lay the points!

The Senators and their fans had hoped for a much better season. The players still have pride and they know that their fans still love the team. This is their home finale and they are going to go all out to get the victory.

We want to leave our best effort for our fans and leave a good taste in their mouth moving forward into next year," Senators captain Brady Tkachuk said. "Create some excitement, create some energy for hopefully a big season next year. But, most importantly, for a year that's been a lot of ups and downs, just to leave on a high note with the people that have supported us through thick and thin."

Ottawa is off a win at Tampa and has won 2 of 3. The Senators are 8-2 the past 10 meetings, 2-0 this season. The Canadiens are 13-33 their last 36 tries in the revenge role. They are also 19-47 their last 66 tries with home revenge. This one is all Ottawa! **ATLANTIC DIV GOM**

This is an interesting battle of two Brazilian fighters who both need a win to keep their momentum going. Marina Rodriguez is a quality striker but she doesn't have the strength or power that Andrade has. Remember that Andrade has fought at Flyweight, 125 pounds instead of 115. One recent common opponent was Amanda Lemos. Lemos scored a TKO against Rodriguez. Andrade submitted her in the first round!

Andrade, the former champion, is going to hurt Rodriguez with body blows, something she does well. Rodriguez isn't going to possess the power to make Andrade respect her. Instead, Andrade will take some shots in order to get in. She will mix in grappling and will be able to exploit Rodriquez's suspect take-down defense. Whether by KO/TKO or submission, Andrade will win this fight!

This is a lot of points to be giving a desperate home underdog. The Kings are playing with 0 days rest but the last time that they did that, they lost by only 1 point at Boston. This is a Sacramento team which badly needs to get on track before its too late. They will fight with everything they've got. The Suns are 8-9 in division games, the Kings are 10-6.

The Kings are 9-4 versus the spread after allowing 130 points or more. The Suns are 9-16-1 versus the spread off a win by 10 points or more. The Suns are also 8-20 ATS versus good offensive teams - scoring 116+ points/game. The Kings are 17-10 ATS as underdogs. Grab the points! **Pacific Div. GOM**

Bad start (4-10) for Houston but yesterday's 13-3 loss represents rock bottom. The Astros are 10-6 their last 16 tries after 3 or more consecutive losses and 12-5 their last 17 tries after allowing 10 runs or more.

France has allowed 3 runs in each of his 2 home starts. He has made one home start against Texas. That came last July. In 7 innings, France allowed only one run and it was unearned. Houston won 4-3. Dunning usually seems to get to face the Astros at home. This time, he's at Houston. In his only previous start here, a span of only 4 innings, he gave up 7 hits and issued 3 walks. He also allowed 4 runs. The Astros won 6-5. They will win again tonight! **AL WEST GOM**

The Dallas Stars are the best team in hockey's Western Conference this season and they are on a mission to lock down first place. They can do that with a win tonight. The Jets are battling for a chance to have home ice advantage in the first round. They have an even bigger game against Colorado coming up Saturday though. That's the one they really need and will be getting excited about.

The Jets are 6-8 their last 14 tries, when playing against a team with a winning record. They are 24-38 (-14) their last 62 tries, when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season. Both teams have excellent goalies but Dallas has better scorers. The Jets score 2.9 goals per game on the road. The Stars score 3.9 goals per game at home. Dallas goalie Oettinger is 8-0-0 with a pair of shutouts his last 8 starts. He has posted a 1.63 goals-against average and a .939 save percentage in those games. Go with Dallas!

The Pirates got off to a hot start last year and then cooled right off. They are off to a hot start again this season. Once again, they will begin to cool off. That's what I said before their last game and they lost to the Tigers. Now they are on the road against a difficult opponent. Pirate rookie Jared Jones is also off to a strong start but he has only made 2 starts and will also cool off today.

The Phillies are off a win yesterday and they send Ranger Suarez to the mound today. They are 2-0 in his starts this season and he has a dynamite 0.727 WHIP in those games. The Phillies are 3-0 when Suarez starts against the Pirates. In 2 of those starts, Suarez allowed 0 runs. One was a game here where Suarez delivered a complete game 4-hitter. Off a win, the Phillies are 121-79 their last 200 tries. The Phillies are also 13-4 the past 17 times they hosted the Pirates. I'm going with the Phillies!

Arizona snapped its 5-game losing streak yesterday. This afternoon, in a rematch of a March 30th pitching matchup between Henry and Gomber, the Diamondbacks will make it 2 in a row.

The Rockies won that first meeting between Gomber and Henry. Henry was much better last start though. He was facing the powerful Braves but allowed only 2 runs in 5 innings. Before the March 30th loss, Henry had fared very well against Colorado. He allowed 2 hits through 7 shutout innings in his previous start against the Rockies and is 3-1 his 4 team starts against them. Go with Arizona.

Playing at Metropolitano Stadium will give Atletico Madrid with the edge in this match. Atletico has never suffered a Champions League knockout defeat here, or their old Vicente Calderon home. Since a 1-0 (group-stage) defeat to AC Milan in November 2021, Atletico have gone nine Champions League home games without a loss - winning each of the last four here.

Dortmund has suffered three successive quarter-final Champions League eliminations. The German squad looked bad against Stuttgart and will have trouble scoring today against a rested Atletico Madrid squad which doesn't concede often at home. Go with Atletico Madrid.

This is a true clash of the titans. Real Madrid is a 14-time champion. Manchester City is the current champion. It's a rematch of a battle a little less than a year ago which saw Manchester City win 5-1. That was the semis and this is the quarter finals. The super heavyweights may not combine for 6 goals again but they will get at least half that many.

Real Madrid is in top form. The Spanish squad virtually always makes it past the quarter finals. City has the longest winning streak in Champions League history. Both offenses are absolutely top level. Both defenses can be prone to being beaten. Both teams should score and at least 1 of them should do so multiple times. Go with the Over!

A string of unders from both teams have kept this line in the mid 140s. Its a lower total than either team saw in either of the last 2 rounds. Too low! These may be excellent defenses but there is no stopping either of these offenses. UConn has scored 75 or more in every game this tournament. Prior to the low-scoring game against NC State, Purdue has scored 72 or more in 5 straight and 10 of 11.

Purdue was an underdog twice. Those games averaged 162 points. The Boilermakers are 4-1 to the over when playing with 1 days rest and 6-2 to the over after allowing 60 points or less. The Huskies are 5-1 to the over their past 6 tries as a neutral court favorite of 6.5 to 9 points. This game goes Over!

The Houston Rockets can't afford any losses. The Rockets are four games behind the Warriors with only five remaining in the regular season. That obviously doesn't give them much of a chance. They have fought all year though and they are going to continue to battle until the bitter end.

Rockets coach Ime Udoka: "Just finishing on the right step, on the right foot and playing the right way."

Dallas isn't entirely healthy and wants to make sure it it for the playoffs. Doncic missed the Mavericks last game and is questionable. So is Kleber. Those guys would play if this was a playoff game but they may not for this one. Rookie sensation Lively is out. Green remains out.

The Rockets are 7-3 versus the spread after 3 or more consecutive losses. Grab the points! **Southwest GOY**

The Rockets have many factors in their favor tonight. They are playing with Double-Revenge with the Warriors having won both of this season's previous meetings. Golden State has been strong on the road this season but the Rockets are even better at home. The Warriors need wins but the Rockets need them even more!

The Warriors play at Dallas tomorrow night. Its a really big game and a rematch from Tuesday. If there is a game to look ahead to, its a game against Luca Doncic and the Mavericks! The Rockets have been underestimated all year. They are 13-7 versus the spread as home underdogs and they won 11 of those game outright. They are 12-3 ATS against Pacific Division teams and they will have their revenge on Thursday night!

Charlotte went through a stretch of games which went under the total. That is finished but the markets have still yet to adjust. This is the 2nd lowest of Wednesday's 9 totals. Too low!

Charlotte's last 7 games have resulted in 6 overs and 1 under. The Hornets allowed more than 110 points in all 7 games. Their last 2 games averaged 235 points.

Portland is 7-2 to the over its last 9 games. On the season, Trail Blazer games average 223.2 points. Charlotte games average an identical 223.2 points. When favored at home. Charlotte games average 233.2 points. Go with the Over!

Both teams are battling for the final playoff spot. The Devils are well-rested and the Penguins are coming off a road win over the Rangers last night. Advantage New Jersey. In 10 tries with 3 or more days rest, the Devils are 7-3. When off a win by 2 or more goals, the Penguins are 9-13 (-9.1).

The Devils are 8-2 (+7.9) their last 10 meetings with the Penguins, 2-0 this season. The Devils are also 19-14 after allowing 4 or more goals. They fell behind Pittsburgh with the Penguins winning last night but the teams will continue to play leap-frog again tonight. **METRO DIV GOM**

Indiana State has a far superior record and is the better team here. Inside or outside their conference, the Sycamores have handled their business. The Sycamores were 19-4 against Missouri Valley Conference opponents and 12-2 in non-conference play. Utah was only 10-12 within its conference. The Pac-12 has some good teams but so does the Missouri Valley. The level of competition doesn't account for such a large discrepancy in records!

The Utes are 0-3 versus the spread their last 3 tries as a neutral court underdog of 3 points or less or pick. They were only 4-7 ATS as underdogs this season. They won only 5 of their 12 road games. The Sycamores are 20-11 ATS as favorites. They are 30-14 ATS their last 44 tries after scoring 80 or more. Lay the small number!

Both teams need this game. The Jets need it more though as they are stuck in a losing streak. It needs to be stopped today! This will mark the Jets' 4th straight home game. They are 10-1 (+8.4) after playing their previous 3 games at home. They are 30-11 (+17.8) their last 41 tries in that situation!

The Kings build up their record against bad teams. They are 16-19 against teams with a winning record. They are 53-71 their last 124 tries against winning teams! OFf a loss to Calgary last game. the Los Angeles coach stated: "We were a step behind." The Jets are healthier than the Kings. Tonight they will also be better than them!

These teams are jostling for position in the crowded NBA playoff race. Both want this victory. The Pelicans closed a 4-game road trip and have been playing some elite teams since coming home. Since returning, they've faced OKC, Milwaukee and Boston. The Suns are also strong. Though they did win here in January, the Suns aren't as good on the road as they are in Phoenix. That makes tonight important as the teams play again at Phoenix next week!

This is game 5 of a 5-game road trip for the Suns. They are looking forward to getting home. The Suns are 5-10 versus the spread and 7-8 straight up against teams from the Southwest, 8-10 ATS when off a loss of 10 or more points. New Orleans is 9-6 SU (10-5 ATS) off a loss of 10 or more. The Pelicans are also 13-4 straight up when revenging a home loss. New Orleans wins! **Western Conf. GOY**

These clubs have gotten off to opposite starts. The Tigers are 3-0 and the Mets are 0-3. That's partly a result of who they were playing. The White Sox are going to be awful this season and the Tigers began their season against them. A game at Citi Field will be a different matter! The Mets were 20-12 the last 2 years, after 3 or more consecutive losses. The Tigers were 13-13 after 3 or more consecutive wins.

Off the sweep at Chicago, the Tigers are still 75-90 on the road. After getting swept by Milwaukee, the Mets are still 97-70 at home. Manaea's teams are 2-0 his last 2 "home" starts against the Tigers. They won 8-4 and 3-1. Both Manaea's starts were quality. In all starts, Manaea has allowed 3 runs or less in 11 of his last 13. Go with the Mets!

Zach Edey is a different kind of player. He changes the game. You have to worry about him when you're on both offense and on defense. Worry too much about him on offense and he'll mess up your shot, if he hasn't blocked it. Worry too much about him on defense and he'll kick it out to Purdue's capable 3-point shooters. So far, that formula has worked for the Boilermakers. That was before they had to contend with the Tennessee Volunteers! Purdue hasn't faced a defense like this one in this tournament. Tennessee allowed 49 and 58 points its first 2 games!

Excellent on both sides of the ball, the Volunteers are peaking at exactly the right time. They got a taste of Purdue in the Maui Invitational. The Boilermakers pulled away late for a 4-point win. The experience of having faced Edey once will help Tennessee in Sunday's rematch. The Volunteers know what he's all about. They know they could have won that game. They know that they've improved since then. The Boilermakers average more than 80 points a game but the Volunteers are 7-1 their last 8 tries versus the spread against teams which average 77 or more per game. Grab the points!

We successfully backed the Reds in Thursday's season opener. Off their 8-2 win, the Reds coughed up a lead yesterday and lost 7-6. They will respond by closing the series with a victory! Used primarily as a reliever, Martinez is ready to prove he can cut it as a starter for Cincinnati. Opposing batters only hit .172 against him in the spring.

Irvin was 3-7 with a 4.61 ERA and 1.42 WHIP last season, 1-2 with a 4.89 ERA on the road. In two starts against Cincinnati last season, Irvin gave up 3 home runs in 10.3 innings. The Nationals may have taken yesterday's game but they are still 20-40 their last 60 as a road underdog of +125 to +175. Reds win!

The Alabama offense versus the Clemson defense. Who wins? I say, who cares. I'm going with the total instead! The Tigers kept Arizona and Baylor well below their season averages. The Crimson Tide have the best offense in the country though. They also allow more than 80 points per game, more than 89 per game on the road!

The Tigers have only faced 3 teams which allow more than 77 points a game. The over was 2-1 in those games. Alabama is 26-9 to the over on the season, 6-1 in tournament play. The Tide are going to score more than 80 points, probably significant more, and the Tigers are going to have to do the same if they want to keep pace. The Tigers have scored more than 70 in all 3 of their games and those were better defenses. Against a weaker defense, in a game where they will need to score to keep up, they can easily get more than 80. Go with the OVER!

We had with the Rays yesterday so it was nice to see them add some late insurance runs to their 8-2 blowout victory. That was also the score in Thursday's opener, the Blue Jays winning that one. Those totals were set at 7.5 and 8. This one is even higher. Too high!

Littlell was sneaky good in a September start versus the Jays. He gave up 2 runs through 5 2/3 innings but both were unearned. He struck out 6 and walked one, keeping the ball in the park. In 8 starts versus Tampa, Kikuchi has allowed 3 or fewer earned runs on 7 occasions. The bullpen won't blow it again. Go with the Under!

Houston versus Duke. In the past, you'd expect the Blue Devils to be favored over the Cougars. Those days are over. The Cougars are the better team, as they were last year. Duke still carries the name and the tradition though and that has helped in preventing this line from being even higher. The Cougars are 12-7-1 against the spread in 20 tries with 3 or more days rest. The Cougars only allow 57.7 points a game. Their defense is for real.

The Cougars are 10-2 versus the spread their last 12 tries, a perfect 12-0 straight up, in a neutral court game where the total is 130 to 134.5. The Blue Devils are only 2-5 versus the spread their last 7 tries as an underdog. They found themselves in that role twice this season and went 0-2 ATS with losses against Wake Forest and UNC. This is the end of the road for the Blue Devils!

Off a loss on Opening Day, the Tampa Bay Rays are going to really want this one. The Rays were 78-64 off a loss the last 2 years. Aaron Civale came over at the deadline from Cleveland last year. Civale was better before the move. He's got a lot of determination to get off to a strong start to show Tampa what he's all about.

Bassitt was a much better pitcher at home than on the road last season. He had a 2.86 ERA and 0.99 WHIP at home but a 4.50 ERA and 1.486 WHIP on the road. He turned things around in May but struggled with a 5.18 ERA before that. The Rays are 104-61 their last 165 games at home. They will even their record after today.

Illinois has been going over this tournament and all season. The Illini results are creating a high total. They are finally meeting a team which can slow them down. The Cyclones can really get after it on defense! With Illinois permitting a respectable 66.2 points per game versus non-conference opponents, this total is too high!

The Cyclones are 5-1 to the under in their last 6 NCAA Tournament games. They have allowed 65 or fewer points in 10 straight games. Last game, they limited Washington State to 56. They kept Houston to only 41. Their last 5 opponents are averaging 56 points and hitting 38% of their field goals. Illinois will get more than 56 but not as many as it usually does. Go with the Under!

Paced by their top three starters, Luis Castillo, George Kirby, and Logan Gilbert, the Mariners should again have one of the better starting rotations in baseball. In fact, they return all five starters from last year. Remember, Seattle had the best combined ERA (3.74) in the American League last season. Seattle pitchers recorded 18 shutouts in 2023, the most in the big leagues and a franchise record. The Mariners also set a franchise record with 1,459 strikeouts in 901 innings pitched. Today's starter Castillo is the best of the bunch. In 5 spring starts Castillo had a 2.95 ERA and 0.93 WHIP. Opposing batters hit only .194 against him here last season. The Red Sox are a young team which is in for a long season. Bello had a 4.66 ERA when starting on the road last year.

Mitch Haniger, who has returned to Seattle, said this of the Mariners: "This group is just hungry The guys in here want to win. Ultimately, being a loser is not fun. It's really motivating just to try to get back into the playoffs and win a World Series -- the No. 1 goal. It's win the division first and get in the playoffs, and then make a run and win that last game of the season." They take the first step towards that goal on Thursday night!

The Bruins are one of the best teams in hockey. They could even hoist the Cup this year. They're not very good when playing 2 games in 2 days though. Off a win over the Panthers last night, they will not be able to complete the state of Florida sweep tonight. Boston is only 4-6 when playing with 0 days rest.

The Lightning, 7-2 in March and 6-1 their last 7, come in well-rested. They had the last 2 nights off. They have taken 2 of 3 meetings against the Bruins this season, winning 5-4 here at Tampa. They are playing great and they will be fresh. Let's go Lightning!

If you pay attention to how teams fare in certain situations, you'll understand why this the case of the wrong team being favored. Both teams are off a victory last night. That works in favor of Dallas. The Mavericks are 8-3 versus the spread their last 11 tries, when playing with 0 days rest. The Kings are only 4-8 ATS when doing so.

The Kings played great defense last night. The problem is that they are only 2-9 ATS their last 11 tries, after allowing 105 points or less. The Mavericks are 29-18-1 ATS (30-18 straight up) when revenging a home loss, 12-5 ATS their last 17. The Kings won twice at Dallas but the Mavericks get them back tonight!

Seattle was 9-3 versus the spread in non-conference action. Having beaten Grand Canyon during the season, the Redbirds know that they can beat this Fairfield team. The Stags are 1-5 versus the spread their last 6 tournament games and the Redbirds are 5-1 versus the spread.

The Redbirds are the stronger team but they also have a scheduling advantage. They play 2 games in 2 days but the Stags are playing 3 games in 3 days. That extra Sunday game played by Fairfield, as opposed to Seattle playing on Saturday, will be a factor. Lay the points with the Redbirds!

This is a great price on Toronto. The Maple Leafs are off a loss to Carolina, a top level opponent. They will be angry and fired when they encounter a weaker New Jersey club. Toronto is 8-2 (+5.2) their last 10 tries, when playing against a team with a losing record. The Maple Leafs are also 9-1 the last 10 meetings with the Devils.

The Devils are off a 4-0 victory but they are an atrocious 25-47 (-36.6) their last 72 tries, after a win by 2 goals or more. This season, they are 4-17 (-20.4) when off a win by 2 or more goals! Give me the better team on home ice!

This is as essentially as big a mismatch as it gets in the NBA. The Denver Nuggets are the defending champions. They need to keep winning and they dominate teams at home. The Memphis Grizzlies are playing for nothing. This is a team which is beleaguered by injuries.

The last time that these teams faced each other, the Nuggets won by 37 points. The Nuggets have won 41 of 50 meetings here and many of them have been blowouts. The last 5 Denver home wins over Memphis have all been by at least 13 points. With the Grizzlies only 4-7 versus the spread their last 11 tries with 2 days rest, this one will see the Nuggets win by at least 20! **WESTERN CONF GOM**

The San Diego State Aztecs are an experienced team which made a deep run in this tournament. They have the type of team suited to winning at this time of the year. The Yale Bulldogs were fortunate to win the Ivy League Finals. Then, they pulled off a first round upset over Auburn. That was a big win but they won't duplicate it tonight.

The Aztecs will dial up the defensive intensity and low-scoring games don't really suit Colorado. The Buffaloes are just 1-3 versus the spread their past 4 when the total was 120 to 129.5. San Diego State is a perfect 5-0 ATS its past five tries, as a neutral court favorite of 3.5 to 6 points. The Aztecs caught a break by getting Yale and they will take advantage of it!

Utah State has gone over the total in 5 straight games. Things will change against a Purdue team off a dominant defensive effort! The Boilermakers held Grambling to only 50 points in round 1. The under is now 4-1 in Purdue's last 5 tries in an NCAA tournament game.

The Boilermakers aren't always as high-scoring as some of the other top teams in this tournament. They have failed to score more than 80 points in any of their last 5 games. When the Aggies play with more than 1 days rest, their games average more than 150 points. When they play with 1 day of rest or less, their games average only 137 points. Go with the Under!

A small line is offering excellent value with the Big 12 team. The Mountain West is a solid conference but the Big 12 is stacked. The Horned Frogs have wins over teams like Houston, Texas Tech, Baylor, K-State Cincinnati and Oklahoma. They were within a bucket of beating Kansas, and Iowa State. In fact, there were numerous very close losses. This team is better than its record!

The Horned Frogs are 21-9 versus the spread their last 30 tries, off a loss against a conference rival. The only time that they played with 7 or more days rest in between games resulted in an easy cover, a 77-42 blowout. The Frogs were 14-10 versus the spread as favorites, 3-1 ATS as road favorites. TCU is 7-1 straight up its last 8 against Mountain West teams. The Aggies are 1-5 ATS as underdogs and 0-3 ATS versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games. Lay the small number!

This number is too low. This is likely going to be a competitive game. The winning team is probably going to score more than 70 points. Yet, the losing team isn't going to get blown out. Drake scores 80.5 points a game. Washington State scores 74.3. Cougar games average more than 140 points. Bulldog games average more than 150.

Off an 84-80 win, the Bulldogs have scored more than 70 points in each of their last 11 games. The Cougars are off a low-scoring game but their previous 4 games all finished above 140. They are 7-2 to the over after allowing 60 points or less. Drake is 4-2 to the over when the total is 130 to 139.5. Washington State is 7-4-1 to the over when the total is 130 to 139.5. Go with the Over!

Getting to play this game in Jadwin Gymnasium is a big advantage for Princeton. The Tigers were undefeated on their home floor this season. In going 12-0, they outscored visiting teams by an average of 16.8 points. UNLV had some big wins but came up short when it mattered. The Rebels are a long way from home and aren't going to be as motivated as the Tigers.

The Tigers score more points and they allow less. That's not all from the Ivy League schedule either. The Rebels are only 2-5 versus the spread in 7 tries in a road game where the total is 135 to 139.5. The Tigers are 6-3 ATS in nine tries, off a loss against a conference rival. Lay the small number!

Give me the points with Timberwolves! The situation is that the Nuggets are off a buzzer beater loss on Sunday and the Timberwolves are off a comeback win last night. Because of the lack of rest, the Nuggets are laying a hefty number as a road favorite. Too hefty!

If we look at Minnesota's 10 games with 0 days rest we find a 7-3 straight up record. Closer examination reveals that all 3 losses came on the road, the last 2 both by single-digits. The Timberwolves are 4-0 straight up when playing a home game after playing the previous day. Twice they've played a home game after playing an away game and they won those games by an average of 118-107. On the season, the Timberwolves have a better home record than Denver does a road record. Give the me points! *Northwest GOW

The Red Wings need a victory and Columbus is the right opponent to get one against. Detroit is already 2-0 against the Blue Jackets this season. The Blue Jackets have been bad all year and they have lost 4 of their last 5. They have many injuries and nothing to play for.

The Red Wings are still waiting for the return of Dylan Larkin but otherwise are quite healthy. This is a game which they cannot afford to lose. The Red Wings lost last game but that was on the road and they were playing with 0 days rest. They have been much stronger at home all season and they won their last game here 4-1. This game will be all Detroit!

I wasn't surprised that the Hawks showed up for last night's game. I don't believe that they'll be able to do it two nights in row though. Atlanta is 4-7 versus the spread when playing with 0 days rest. When playing the 2nd of back-to-back road games, the Hawks are 0-2 both straight up and against the spread. They lost those 2 games by an average score of 120-111.

Overall, the Hawks are only 12-19 ATS as underdogs. They are really bad when they are off an upset victory. In that situation, they've gone 10-27 ATS their last 37 tries, 3-7 ATS this season. The Lakers lost at Atlanta in January but they smashed the Hawks by 16 the last meeting here. Another big win coming up tonight!

Nice win for the Wolfpack yesterday. Any time you knock out Duke, its a good day! They are only 5-9 versus the spread their last 14 tries off an ATS victory though and now they will face a dominant defensive team. They are 1-4 straight up the past 5 times versus good defensive teams - allowing

Yesterday's results don't tell the whole story as both these teams went to Overtime. The Aztecs are 34-18-1 to the under their last 53 tries when the total is 130 to 139.5. That includes a 4-0 under mark in a neutral court game where the total is 135 to 139.5. Before yesterday's over due to overtime, the Aztecs were 6-0 to the under their previous 6 conference tournament games.

Utah State can score but SD State is 13-6 to the under last 19 versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games. The Aggies are 4-1 to the under in their 5 neurtal court games. They are also 2-0 to the under when playing with 1 or less days rest. The last h2h meeting stayed below the total by more than 10 points. This will be another defensive battle! Go with the Under!

Who in their right mind would back Villanova after the Wildcats only beat Depaul by 1 point? Call me crazy and count me in. Yesterday's result was great. It's keeping people off the Wildcats today and that is leading to extra points on the line. With Marquette's best player Tyler Kolek out, and with Nova needing the win more than the Golden Eagles, this is a lot of points. They could come in handy, as Villanova has had some close ones. Yesterday's 1-point game was preceded by a 2-point loss versus Creighton, a game Villanova was down big and showed heart in rallying. Remember the 1-point game versus UConn?

A win today and the Cats could start feeling a lot better about their NCAA Tournament hopes. Marquette already knows it'll be there. The Golden Eagles are 1-2 versus the spread on a neutral floor. The Wildcats have thrived in their neutral court games including victories over UNC, Texas Tech and Memphis. They are 2-0 both straight up and versus the spread when playing with 0 days rest. Give me the points!

The Gauchos weren't that good against the spread this season. They were good to me when I supported them though. I won my Big West Game Of The Year on them way back in the middle of January. I was high on them then and I still them. I also won with the Gauchos last March 11th, my Big West Tourney Game Of the Year from last year. They were laying a similar number that day that they are today and they won by 10.

The Gauchos have been excellent as short neutral court favorites the past couple of years. In all neutral site games they were 6-3 versus the spread. The Matadors have won just 1 of their last 10 first round tournament games, going 3-7 versus the spread. The Gauchos went to the NCAA Tournament last year. They won't be stopped tonight.

There won't be much defense on display at Detroit tonight. The Pistons are off a big win and thats been a situation which has led to high-scoring game. They are 5-1 to the over after a win by 10 or more points. They are also 9-2 to the over against Atlantic Division teams.

The Raptors are 21-9 to the over in raod games when the total was 220 or more. When it creeps up as high as 230 or more, they are 13-3 to the over. Toronto road games average 239.6 points. The last 2 h2h meetings finished with 256 and 255 points. Go with the over!

Arkansas' disappointing regular season has provided us with great value in the opening round. Vastly superior to Vanderbilt talent-wise, at least in my opinion, the Razorbacks somehow got upset by the Commodores at home, in late February. They were favored by double-digits! That was a low point and now is a chance to start making things right.

The Razorbacks are 5-1-1 versus the spread their last 7 tries, when revenging a home loss. They are a respectable 8-6 ATS their last 14 tries against losing teams but 13-1 SU in those games. The loss was the Vanderbilt game. The majority of those spreads were a lot higher than this one. Looking for its revenge, Arkansas will move to 14-1 its last 15 tries against losing teams and will cover the small number for us in the process!

The River Hawks lost to Vermont in the America East Championship game last year. They want another crack at the Catamounts this year. A win here should earn them that opportunity as Vermont is a 13 point home favorite versus New Hampshire.

Playing this game on their home floor is a major advantage for U Mass Lowell. The Bulldogs are strong at home but below .500 on the road. The River Hawks are 4-0 both straight up and versus the spread in four meetings since last season. They beat them by 22 here a few weeks ago after winning by 9 at Bryant the previous week. Bring on Vermont!

I won with Weber State as my 2023 Big Sky Conference Tourney GOY. The Wildcats led from wire-to-wire in their quarterfinal victory over Sacramento State. The Wildcats brought back a ton of experience and depth from that team, including unanimous First Team All-Conference performer Dillon Jones. Jones had 18 points (plus 5 rebounds, 4 assists and 3 steals) in last year's GOY win.

Jones is even more dominant this season. He averages more than 20 points and more than 10 rebounds. He's scored more than 20 points in 3 straight games and at least 17 points in each of his past 12. Heavily favored to win this conference before the season started, Jones and the Wildcats know that their time is now. They lost to the Bobcats to close out the regular season but will avenge that loss with a big win "when it counts" on Monday.

James Madison is in a class of its own in the Sun Belt and will prove it again this evening. The Dukes are 28-3 and they haven't lost since January. They beat Texas State by 17 in the lone regular season meeting. A dominant team, the Dukes also have the schedule in their favor.

Both teams played yesterday. Its not surprising that JMU had an easier time with Marshall than Texas State had with Troy. Not only did the Bobcats have to battle harder yesterday but they also will already be playing their 4th game in this tournament, the first of which went to Overtime. It will catch up them against a superior opponent which had a double-bye and will be playing just its second game of the tourney. Lay the points!

Chicago has no home ice advantage. The Blackhawks are also at a scheduling disadvantage. They lost at Washington yesterday. The Hawks are 2-8, when playing on back-to-back days. They are 7-30 (-14) with 0 days rest, for the last 3 years. Over that time, they are 15-58 (-35.2) versus division opponents.

Arizona hasn't quit fighting. The Coyotes beat Detroit 4-0 last game and have won 3 of their last 5. They will be playing with revenge as the Hawks beat them less than a week ago, at Arizona. They will be determined not to lose 2 in a row to the worst team in the league and they won't! Coyotes win and improve to 15-12 against losing teams. *CENTRAL DIV GOM

I always enjoy getting points with a team which I expect to win outright! Though its unlikely that such a small point spread will come into play, when considering how close the regular season meetings were, its far from impossible. Those scores were 72-71 and 64-62, in Overtime. The Terriers won both games!

You'll hear people say that its hard to beat a team 3 times. Guess what? It happens! I like to counter with the argument that its hard to beat a team which has already beaten you twice. Not only has Boston beaten Lehigh twice but the Terriers get to play this game at Case Gym, their very own home floor. They are 9-6 at home, Lehigh is 7-10 on the road. Boston is 6-1 the last 7 meetings and gets it done again this afternoon!

The Kangaroos enter the tournament on a hot streak. The opposite is true of the Pioneers. The tournament is a chance to wipe the slate clean though and those recent results have provided additional line value with the underdog. In the regular season,  UMKC was only favored by 2 points at home against the Pioneers. (The Pioneers were favored by 4.5 at Denver.) Tonight, the Roos are laying more than that for a neutral site game. Value!

This is unfamiliar territory for the Roos. They aren't used to being favored in tournament games. They are 15-44 SU their last 69 tournament games, 5-21 in conference tourney games. Over the last 2 seasons, they are 2-8 (3-7 ATS) in tournament play, 0-2 SU/ATS in the Summit Tourney. The Pioneers are 6-3 ATS their last 9 tries, when playing with 5 or 6 days rest. Denver is also 6-2 ATS its last 8 tries as a neutral court underdog of 3.5 to 6 points. Grab the points!

This is another case of too many points in a game which should come down to the wire. The Blue Devils did win both regular season meetings. Those wins each game by a single point though. That's 3 straight meetings which were decided by exactly one point. Scores of 73-72, 69-68 and 58-57. The previous two before that were both double-digit Wagner wins.

One of the reasons Wagner gives the Blue Devils trouble is its defense. The Seahawks allow just 62.8 points per game. Central Connecticut is just 4-8 versus the spread its last 12 tries versus good defensive teams - those allowing

I said this about Luton Town last week: "Luton Town is not a good team. The Hatters are off an ugly 6-2 loss in FA Cup action and they reside in 18th spot in the Premier League standings. Injuries have taken a toll, particularly to the defense. The Hatters have also dropped 3 straight league matches. Relegation is becoming more likely." The Hatters would go on to lose 3-2 to Aston Villa. Now Aston Villa is a difficult opponent but at least the Hatters were at home.

Now, they're on the road to take on a hungry Crystal Palace squad. Palace hasn't forgotten that it lost at Luton Town and is out for revenge. Even with that result, four of the Eagles' last five Premier League fixtures against newly-promoted sides have resulted in victory. They are much stronger at home in front of the Selhurst Park faithful. Last home game resulted in a 3-0 victory over Burnley. Palace will exact some revenge from the loss at Luton Town.

Give me all those points with Tennessee Martin! The Eagles are a really good team but they're running into a really hot opponent. The Skyhawks are a perfect 7-0 both straight up and versus the spread their last 7 games. They won 21 games this season and they are 9-1 ATS their last 10. One of those wins came versus Morehead State.

The Eagles easily won yesterday but still didn't cover. They are playing 2 games in 2 days for the first time this season. Even with 1 day's rest, they are 3-6 versus the spread. Grab the points with the rested, higher-seed! **OVC Tourney GOY**

The Aztecs are no longer in the running for the regular season title. They have bigger fish to fry though. They want to win the Conference Tournament in order to get as high a seed as possible for the NCAA Tournament, which is where the ultimate goal lies. They don't want to expend too much energy in winning the Conf. Tournament though. That means that they absolutely do not want to have to play 4 games in 4 days to win it. If they lose tonight, they'd be in danger of dropping all the way down to the 6 seed. That would mean no bye and it would mean they would need to win 4 games in 4 days, which would leave them weary for the Big Dance. This game is important.

The Aztecs are undefeated at home this season. A victory here gives them their first undefeated home record in school history. They are 4-1 ATS their last 5 tries when revenging a road loss vs opponent. They are also 4-1 ATS their last 5 tries off a MWC loss. Better still, they are 4-0 versus the spread as home favorites of 6.5 to 9 points. They will still be perfect in that role after tonight. Lay the points!

Yesterday was a favorable matchup for Belmont as the Bruins got to beat up on a bad Valparaiso team. That was expected but today's opponent represents a night-and-day difference. The Panthers were one of the preseason favorites to win this conference and they've been showing that type of form. They closed the season off 3 consecutive double-digit wins.

The last meeting saw UNI win by 11 at Belmont. The Bruins are 6-11 versus the spread, when playing against a team with a winning record. The Panthers are 8-3-1 versus the spread their last 12 on a neutral court. They are hot and rested and they will secure a small upset by knocking off Belmont this afternoon. **MVC Tourney GOY**

This is a big rivalry in the Bay area. The Golden Bears won at Cal but the Cardinal will win here at Stanford. The Cardinal are 3-0 straight up and versus the spread their last 3 tries in a home game where the total is 155 to 159.5. The Cardinal are also 13-8 ATS their last 21 tries in the road revenge role.

The Bears are playing their 3rd straight road game. They lost the first game by 10 and then got annihilated by 39 last game. The Bears beat up Stanford at Cal last season but the game at Stanford was an entirely different story. The Cardinal crushed Cal by 29. Lay the points!

Off three straight road games, Portland returns to the Pacific Northwest. Playing at home is not an advantage for the Trail Blazers. They are 10-18-1 versus the spread here. The Trail Blazers are also 16-31-1 versus the spread, after playing 3 consecutive road games.

The Thunder average 120.9 points per game. The Trail Blazers average only 107.6. When matched up against low-scoring teams like Portand, the Thunder tend to dominate. They are 31-9-1 versus the spread their last 41 versus poor offensive teams - those. scoring

Different teams react differently to different amounts of days in between games. Many teams struggle with no rest. Others thrive. Some are at their best with 1 or 2 days rest, others do better with 3 or more. The Ducks have had the past 2 days off and that is NOT a favorable situation for them. Anaheim is 0-7 this season with 2 days rest in between games. Over the past 3 seasons, the Ducks are 10-36 (-24.8) with 2 days rest.

Over that time, Anaheim is also 15-44 after scoring 1 goal or less in its previous game. The Senators, 4-3 with 3 or more days rest, play with revenge from a home loss to the Ducks. They are 27-18 their last 45 when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season and they will get it done for us tonight!

The first leg was low-scoring but with this match being played at Estadio Santiago Bernabeu and with RB Leipzig needing to score goals to win, this match will be much higher-scoring.

Real Madrid is off a 2-2 draw with Valencia in La Liga action. Last Champions League home match, Read Madrid scored 4 times. Leipzig is off a 4-1 victory over VfL Bochum. The Germans will have to throw caution to the wind and that will lead to scoring chances, for both sides. Go with the OVER!

Toronto plays higher-scoring games against teams from the West than it does against teams from the East. New Orleans is the opposite. The Pelicans tend to play higher-scoring games against Eastern Conference opposition. That was on display when these teams played exactly one month ago. That 2/5 game finished with 238 points.

With the Pelicans off since 3/1, this will be another high-scoring game. Three times the Pelicans have played with 3 or more days rest. All 3 games went over the total. The Raptors are 18-12 to the over when playing against a team with a winning record. This game will be a shootout!

I've got the Howard Bison winning big in this one. The records may be similar but the Bison have some matchup advantages. They already beat the Hornets at Delaware State and they beat them by 20 when the teams played here last season. This is Senior Day and that the Bison are going to want to close out their final home game of regular season with a big statement win.

If the Hornets can't beat teams at home, they're rarely able to do on the road. They're 1-5 versus the spread their last 6 tries when playing with home revenge. Delaware State gets outscored by 8.8 points per road game. Howard outscores teams by 6.5 points per home game. The Bison are 4-1 versus the spread their last 5 tries as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points. Lay the points! **Mid Eastern Athletic GOM**

As good as Napoli was last season, you'd expect them to at least contend for another UCL spot this season. Well, that has not been the story so far. Having said that, Napoli is coming off a very important win against Sassuolo, where they netted six goals in a 6-1 victory. Napoli has won all of the its last four meetings in Naples against Juventus.

Juventus have a strong record, but haven't been particularly good as of late. They've lost two of their last four contests and struggled against a poor Frosinone side in their last game. Since coming back from injury, Victor Osimhen has scored five goals and assisted one in three games (including his UCL performance against Barcelona.) He should help provide a boost to this Napoli team that was shut out in the reverse fixture. Juventus haven't 'swept' them since 2018-19. Napoli wins this game on Sunday!

The Predators are really hot at the moment. They've been beating up on bad teams though. Some of their recent wins came against teams like Ottawa, San Jose and Anaheim. Now, they will take on the one of the best in the league. Also, many of the Predators recent wins have come on the road. They are rather rare in that they are stronger on the road than at home.

The Predators did beat the Avalanche in this season's first meeting. Colorado has won its past few visits here though. Also, the Avalanche are 15-5 (+8.4) their last 20 in the revenge role, 53-25 (+10.6) over the long haul. The Avalanche won their last game 5-0 after winning their previous one 5-1. They are 12-5 their past 17 tries off a shutout win and they'll get it done for us again today! **Central GOM**

The Seahawks upset them at Fairleigh Dickinson. This afternoon, the Knights will do the same at Wagner. The Knights are 5-1 versus the spread their last 6 tries, as a road underdog of 3 points or less or pick. All five ATS victories were also of the straight up variety. Wagner is the opposite. The Seahawks are 1-3 their past 4 tries as home favorites of 3 or less. All the ATS losses came outright. Last year as 2 point road underdogs, the Knights beat the Seahawks by 18 here! That was after Wagner has won at FDU. Sound familiar?

The Knights love March basketball. They're 20-4 versus the spread their last 24 lined games in the month of March, 5-1 ATS the past 2 years. They are also 9-5 ATS their last 14 tries, after scoring 60 points or less and 5-2 ATS their last 7 tries versus good defensive teams - those allowing

Luton Town is not a good team. The Hatters are off an ugly 6-2 loss in FA Cup action and they reside in 18th spot in the Premier League standings. Injuries have taken a toll, particularly to the defense. The Hatters have also dropped 3 straight league matches. Relegation is becoming more likely.

Aston Villa can score goals in bunches. and that spells trouble for the shaky and depleted Luton Town defense. The Lions scored 4 goals last match. They are off consecutive league victories and have won 3 of their last 4. They handled the Hatters with ease in the reverse fixture, a 3-1 victory. The Lions are top 4 in the standings and can't afford not to get max points out of this type of matchup. Undefeated on the road in 2024, they won their last 2 road matches by a combined score of 7-1. They will be too much for the Hatters again on Saturday.

This season's first two meetings had totals of 218 and 220. Those two games averaged 220 points. One had 212 and one finished with 228. Tonight's line is lower than both of those scores. It's far lower than any other Friday total and it's too low.

Memphis games average 219.1 points. Portland games average 223.5. The Trail Blazers allow 118 points per game on the road and the Grizzlies are 11-3 to the over their last 14 tries versus poor offensive teams - those scoring

Both these Metro Division rivals have struggled a bit of late. The Flyers are 2-4 their last 6 games. The Capitals are 1-2 their last 3. The Flyers are off a big 6-2 win though and the Capitals are off a big 8-3 defeat. Both are battling for the playoffs. I've of the strong opinion that Philadelphia will make it two in a row.

The Flyers have been better than Washington this season. An ability to play well on the road has been key. The Flyers outscore teams by a 3.2 to 2.8 average in their road games. The Capitals get outscored by an average of 3.0 to 2.7 at home.

Each team has had 2 days off, a scheduling setup which should favor the Flyers. Philadelphia is 25-20 (+11.9) its last 45 tries, when playing with 2 days rest. Washington is 18-21 (-7.1) when doing so. The Flyers are 3-0 against the Capitals since the start of 2023. With home ice no advantage and with Washington dealing with numerous injuries, Philadelphia is the winner. *Metro Div GOM*

After consecutive losses, the Gamecocks won at Ole Miss last game. They will now be playing their second straight road game and they will do so against a desperate Texas A&M. Though the Aggies have lost 4 in a row, 3 of those losses were on the road. They are still 9-4 at home. They will be happy to face a South Carolina team which they beat by 41 points the last meeting.

The total for this game is in the mid 130s. The Aggies are 5-1 versus the spread their last 6 tries when the total is 130 to 139.5. Over the last 3 seasons, Texas A&M is 31-16-1 ATS when the total is 130 to 139.5. They are also 6-2 ATS (8-0 straight up) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points. Lay the points with the Aggies!

Four of todays' 6 NBA games have totals in the 230s. This is by far the lowest on the Wednesday board. Too low! Minnesota is a good defensive team but Memphis is 15-5 its last 20 to the over, versus good defensive teams - allowing

I had the Kings last night. Great game by them. They went to LA and hammered the Clippers, a hated division rival. That puts them in a difficult position tonight. They are 3-5 versus the spread when playing with 0 days rest. They are also 3-5 versus the spread when off an upset win as an underdog.

The Heat are playing their best basketball and they come in fresh and well-rested. They are 8-1 versus the spread since end of January, 7 of those wins coming outright. That streak began with a 9 point win over Sacramento. Last season's games were both close, decided by 4 and 6 points. With the schedule in their favor, grab the points with the red hot Miami Heat.

What can you say about Mississippi Valley State? Projected in the preseason to finish last in the Southwestern Athletic Conference, the Delta Devils haven't disappointed. They are now 0-27 on the season! Most of their games have gone under but there have been certain spots where the over has hit. This will be another of those.

When playing at home with an O/U line of 135 to 139.5, the Delta Devils are 2-0 to the over. The over is 6-3 their last 9 in that situation. Over the same time-frame, the Delta Devils are 18-8 to the over when playing with revenge. Neither team plays good defense. The Delta Devils allow more than 79 points a game. The Panthers allow more than 76 per game, 78.6 per game on the road. This game will feature plenty of scoring. Southwestern Athletic TOY

The wheels have come off for the Islanders. They are 23-34 overall, 10-18 on the road. A dismal 7-17 (-15.3) record against Western Conference opposition hasn't helped their cause. Now, they play on the road against one of the best teams from the West. That spells trouble.

The Stars are 17-11 at home. They score more than 4 goals per game here. The Islanders score less than 3 per game on the road. The Stars won their last game but had lost several before that. They will be inspired to make it 2 in a row and they will also be playing with revenge from a loss at Long Island. Dallas wins big.

Not many will want to back the Hurricanes in this spot. Miami has lost 6 straight games, one of them to North Carolina. The Hurricanes are 1-5 versus the spread in those games, 0-4 the past 4. That's going to keep people off them. The oddsmakers are forced to post a very large point-spread. That's giving us exceptional value on the road underdog.

The Hurricanes have been playing some close games. Miami is off a 4-point loss and that the game against North Carolina was decided by only 3 points. The Tar Heels have also been playing some close ones. They are 5-3 their last 8 games and only one of the games was a win by more than 10 points. That was a 15-point win over Virginia Tech, a team which Miami is 2-0 against.

The Hurricanes are on a long-term 43-24 ATS run, after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games. They are also 8-2 versus the spread (7-3 straight up) their last 10 tries, revenging a home loss vs opponent and 7-2 ATS their last 9 road games where the total was 150 to 154.5. The Hurricanes won outright here last February. Give me the points!

Give me the points with Sacramento in this important Pacific Division battle. The Clippers won both this season's meetings but both of those were in 2023. The Kings have been playing well on the road since losing here earlier and they are 44-25-1 versus the spread their last 70 tries in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 230.

The Clippers are 1-5 versus the spread their last 6 games. Their last 4 wins have all been by 6 or less. The Kings are off consecutive wins and their alst loss was by only 5. This game is also likely going to be decided late. Grab the points. **PACIFIC DIV GOM**

Minnesota has been printing money for its backers this season. The Gophers have been excellent versus the point-spread all season and they beat Nebraska by 11 back in December. Their ATS success comes to a screeching halt this evening though. Nebraska has been strong at home this season and the Gophers lost by 11 here on this exact day last year.

The Cornhuskers are a perfect 6-0 versus the spread their past 6 tries when revenging a road loss vs opponent. They are 17-8 ATS their last 25 tries. With a 5-1 ATS record this month, 3-0 ATS the last 3, Nebraska is playing better than it was for the earlier meeting. The Gophers are 20-41-1 ATS their last 62 a road underdog of 6.5 to 9 points. Lay the points with Nebraska this evening.

They can't make this total high enough. The earlier meeting finished at only 152 but that was a game where Tulane didn't score. At home, the Green Wave will get a lot more than they 69 they scored that day. Why can I say that with such certainty? Because UAB just allowed 94 points last game and more importantly because Tulane averages 88.7 points per home game.

Tulane is 12-4 to the over its past 16 tries when revenging a road loss. The Green Wave are 26-14-1 to the over in home lined games the last 3 years. During the same timeframe, UBA is 20-12 to the over on the road. The Blazers are also 13-5 to the over after allowing 80 or more points. The only previous time that Tulane lost 3 straight, the Green Wave answered with a 92-80 win. This will be another shootout!

A trip to Hawaii isn't easy on students. Coaches can help them avoid distractions but there's the physical toll of the trip itself. There's also a tough defensive team waiting for them upon arrival. The Warriors are 10-6 here. They make scoring difficult. Visiting schools score 67.7 points per game here. Long Beach State allows more than 77 points per game on the road.

The Warriors are 5-3 versus the spread their last 8 tries as a home favorite of 3 points or less or pick. They lost last month at Long Beach State but they beat the Beach by 9 here last season. They're undefeated at home this month including a revenge win. They will help close out our Saturday with another win and cover.